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Psychology of Intelligence Analysis


Author: Richards J. Heuer, Jr., Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency
Subject: CIA; psyops; IADeposit
Collection: USGovernmentDocuments; additional_collections

Description

Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency

1999



Table of Contents

Author's Preface

Foreword by Douglas MacEachin

Introduction by Jack Davis

PART I--OUR MENTAL MACHINERY

Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking; Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can't We See What Is There to Be Seen?; Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember What We Know?

PART II--TOOLS FOR THINKING

Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment: Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information; Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information?

Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind; Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems

Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

PART III--COGNITIVE BIASES

Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive Biases?; Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of Evidence; Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect; Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating Probabilities; Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of Intelligence Reporting

PART IV--CONCLUSIONS

Chapter 14: Improving Intelligence Analysis

Creative Commons license: Public Domain


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Identifier: PsychologyOfIntelligenceAnalysis
Mediatype: texts
Licenseurl: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/publicdomain/
Identifier-access: http://www.archive.org/details/PsychologyOfIntelligenceAnalysis
Identifier-ark: ark:/13960/t77s7s10f

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