252 A Short History of the Middle East those in power, effective social reform can be achieved by evolu- tionary and constitutional means. Palliative five-year-plans and the like will be drafted and duly pass into law, but how many of them will be translated into action? While the masses still hold as unquestioningly as ever to their traditional Islam, there has been a marked trend towards material- ism, agnosticism, and atheism among the upper and middle- classes, especially among their younger members, as a result of contact with "Western ideas. Many of the young nationalists are conscious of being Muslims only as apolitical bond with the masses, and of Islam only as a political rallying-cry against the foreigner. Between these sceptics and the mass of the population come the 'ulama, the preachers, the graduates of the Muslim seminaries, whose indurated conservatism of centuries has barely been touched by more modern ideas. Some beginnings of reform in Al Azhar, the ancient and well-frequented Muslim university of Cairo, have been effected in the last fifteen years, but the process is bound to be very slow. Islam has fallen into such a state of moral, intellectual, and spiritual catalepsy that it will take many decades, if not cen- turies, to reanimate the inert hulk; and it is doubtful if outside forces, whether the impact of the Anglo-American world or that of Soviet Russia, will give traditional Islam so long a respite. Nor can it be said that Christianity in the Middle East is in much better case. It makes virtually no converts from Islam, and is in fact losing in Egypt hundreds of Copts annually to Islam for poli- tical reasons. Except in Lebanon it is the religion of a minority, suspected by the Muslim majority, with some justification, of in- trigue with one or other European Power, and driven by this very circumstance to regard its religion as a political instrument rather than as a way of life.1 While some Christian Arabs are trying to fuse their religious differences with the Muslims in the crucible of Arab nationalism, the Muslims, conscious of their own intellectual inferiority, are slow to give them full confidence. Some Christians accordingly entertain the idea of concentrating their numbers by 1A vivid picture of the mingled physical fear and intellectual contempt with which the Lebanese Christians regarded their Muslim rulers before the First World War is given in Edward Atiyah's An Arab Tells his Story.