--* • "e^Jb^^jdfeLdbJbL-^db^b^ •r* LlJRARY SITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN DIEGO As 3- v, OF THE (Eamhrtlige Otttnn There have been printed seven hundred and fifty sets of which this is copy No. INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS OF ARTS AND SCIENCE THE TEMPTATION OF ST. ANTHONY Hand-painted Photogravure from the Painting 'by C. E. de Beaumont Few religio-classical subjects have received so much attention at the hands of painters as " The Temptation of St. Anthony," a theme that possesses the human interest to the utmost, and is fairly a composite of worldly desire and pious abnegation. The picture which is here reproduced is from the brush of the very distinguished painter, de Beaumont, whose treatment of the popular story is not more original than it is impressive and beautiful. The ac- cessories are so appropriate, the figures so characteristic that the composition needs neither description nor interpretation, since every feature perfectly reflects the incident and reveals the sentiment that invests the temptation. INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS OF ARTS AND SCIENCE EDITED BY HOWARD J. ROGERS, A.M., LL.D. DIRECTOR OF CONGRESSES VOLUME XIII ECONOMICS AND SOCIAL REGULATION COMPRISING Lectures on Commerce and Exchange, Transportation, Money and Credit, Finance, Life Insurance, Politics, National Administration, Municipal Administration, and Diplomacy UNIVERSITY ALLIANCE LONDON NEW YORK COPYRIGHT 1906 BY HOUGHTON, MIFFLIN & Co. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED COPYRIGHT 1008 BY UNIVERSITY ALLIANCK ILLUSTRATIONS VOLUME XIII FACING PAGE THE TEMPTATION OF ST. ANTHONY . . . . Frontispiece Photogravure from the painting by C. E. DE BEAUMONT HAROUN-AL-RASCHID Photogravure from the painting by J. KOCKERT RIGHT HON. JAMES BRYCE 338 Photogravure from a photograph THE WITCHES 416 Photogravure from the painting by WALTER MACEWEN TABLE OF CONTENTS VOLUME XIII ECONOMICS The Fundamental Conceptions and Methods of Economics . . 7 BY PROF. FRANK ALBERT FETTER, PH.D. Economic Science in the Nineteenth Century ..... 21 BY PROF. ADOLPH CASPAR MILLER, M.A. ECONOMIC THEORY. Economic Theory in a New Character and Relation ... 47 BY PROF. JOHN BATES CLARK, PH.D., LL.D. The Scope and Method of Political Economy .... 57 BY PROF. JACOB H. HOLLANDER, PH.D. TRANSPORTATION. Transportation . . . . . . . . . .71 BY PROF. EUGEN VON PHILIPPOVICH, LL.D. Problems of Transportation ........ 95 BY PROF. WILLIAM ZEBINA EIPLEY, PH.D. COMMERCE AND EXCHANGE. The Manufacturer and the Domestic Market . . . . . 115 BY PROF. EDWARD D. JONES, PH.D. Foreign Markets .......... 133 BY PROF. CARL COPPING PLEHN, PH.D. MONEY AND CREDIT. Our Monetary Equilibrium ........ 151 BY HORACE WHITE Present Monetary Problems . . . . . , . .161 BY PROF. JAMES LAWRENCE LAUGHLIN, PH.D. PUBLIC FINANCE. Eelation of the Science of Finance to Allied Sciences . .. . 179 BY PROF. HENRY CARTER ADAMS, PH.D., LL.D. Pending Problems in Public Finance . . . .• . . 190 BY PROF. EDWIN ROBERT ANDERSON SELIGMAN, PH.D., LL.D. INSURANCE. Life Insurance as a Science ........ 207 BY FREDERICK L. HOFFMAN TABLE OF CONTENTS Present Problems in Insurance . . .' . . . 236 BY PROF. BALTHASAR HENRY MEYER, PH.D. Works of Reference relating to Economics ..... 253 Works of Eeference relating to Commerce and Exchange . . . 257 Recent Works of Reference relating to Money and Credit . . . 258 SOCIAL EEGULATION INTRODUCTORY ADDRESS. Social Regulation . . . ... . . . . . 263 BY PROF. A. LAWRENCE LOWELL, LL.B. POLITICS The Fundamental Conceptions of Nineteenth-Century Politics . . 279 BY PROF. WILLIAM ARCHIBALD DUNNING, PH.D., LL.D. The Tendencies of the World's Politics during the Nineteenth Century 293 BY CHANCELLOR ELISHA BENJAMIN ANDREWS, LL.D. POLITICAL THEORY AND NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION. Political Philosophy ......... 309 BY PROF. WESTEL WOODBURY WILLOUGHBY, PH.D. •Problems of Political Theory 326 BY PROF. GEORGE GRAFTON WILSON, PH.D. National Administration ........ 339 BY HON. JAMES BRYCE, M.P., D.C.L., LL.D. DIPLOMACY. The Proper Grade of Diplomatic Representatives .... 355 BY HON. JOHN WATSON FOSTER, LL.D. The Contemporary Development of Diplomacy ..... 369 BY HON. DAVID JAYNE HILL, LL.D. COLONIAL ADMINISTRATION. The Control of Dependencies inhabited by the less developed races . 387 BY PROF. BERNARD MOSES, PH.D., LL.D. The Problems of Colonial Administration . . . . . 399 BY PROF. PAUL S. REINSCH, PH.D. MUNICIPAL ADMINISTRATION. Relations of Municipal Administration ...... 419 BY ALBERT SHAW, PH.D., LL.D. Problems of Municipal Administration ...... 434 BY JANE ADDAMS, LL.D. Works of Reference relating to Political Theory .... 451 Works of Reference relating to Diplomacy ..... 452 Works of Reference relating to Colonial Administration . . . 454 Additional Works of reference relating to Colonial Administration. . 456 HAKOUN-AL-KA8UU1D Photogravure from the original Painting ~by J, Kockert Haroun-al-Raschid was Calif of Bagdad in the eighth century. Under him the Eastern califate attained its greatest height of splendor and power. He is, however, best known from the tales of the Arabian Nights, in which everything curious, romantic, and wonderful is connected with his name, or i3 supposed to have happened in his reign. DIVISION E UTILITARIAN SCIENCES (continued} DEPARTMENT XIX — ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT XIX — ECONOMICS (Hall 1, September 20, 11.15 a. TO.) CHAIRMAN: PROFESSOR EMORY R. JOHNSON, University of Pennsylvania. SPEAKERS: PROFESSOR FRANK A. FETTER, Cornell University. PROFESSOR ADOLPH C. MILLER, University of California. IN opening the proceedings of the Department of Economics, the Chairman, Professor Emory R. Johnson, of the University of Penn- sylvania, spoke as follows: " The purpose of the deliberations of this Department will be to point out the present status of economic thought and to indicate the present trend of economic thinking. There is much evidence that economists are to-day coming to view political economy less as their predecessors of twenty-five and fifty years ago did, and to regard the science as it was conceived by Adam Smith. In Smith's classic work on the Wealth of Nations, the discussion arid analysis of pro- duction occupies the larger part of the volume. Smith was con- cerned but little with the distribution of wealth, but endeavored to put in scientific form the principles of the production of wealth. " Adam Smith and his successors for over a half-century studied production very largely to the exclusion of other phases of economics, because of the universal necessity for a greater amount of wealth. The intellectual and social progress during the latter part of the eighteenth and during the nineteenth century caused men to realize more clearly than ever before the necessity for more efficient pro- duction in order to satisfy the expanding wants of various classes of society. " With the industrial development of the nineteenth century and with the rapid accumulation of wealth, the ethical problems of distribution came to occupy the thought of social philosophers and turned the minds of economists toward ethical problems. The problems of distribution received almost exclusive attention for a score of years following 1880. In dealing with the theory of value and with the principles of the distribution of wealth, the most notable contributions were made by the Austrian and American economists, although Jevons and other English writers contributed in no small measure to the theory of distribution. The American people may well be proud of the achievements of their countrymen in the develop- ing of the theory of the distribution of wealth. " During the past few years the public has heard but little regarding 6 the theories of distribution. At the present time the economist as well as the business man is dealing more and more exclusively with the general problem of productive efficiency. The great technical development of the past fifty years and the constant effort of all classes of producers to secure greater economy through a more efficient organization of industry are concrete evidences of the subordination of distribution to production at the present time. " The same thought may be stated in another way by saying that men are now realizing more and more clearly that the distribution of wealth among producers is determined by and is dependent upon the relative productive efficiency of various producers. Recognizing the fact that distribution depends upon productive efficiency, wage- earners are striving to increase their efficiency by means of their unions; manufacturers and carriers through their consolidations, and capitalists by the formation of syndicates. The labor question and the trust problem are, at bottom, problems of production, and are being so considered both by the practical man and by economic scientists. " One other interesting evidence of the increasing demand for productive efficiency may be seen in the rapid development of busi- ness and commercial education. In Gennany and certain other European countries technical education has been provided by public authority with excellent industrial results. In the United States, private funds have thus far contributed most of the money spent in the development of facilities for technical, business, and commercial education; but our public school system has already begun to incorporate business education into its curricula. There are numer- ous evidences of the tendency to look to educational training for the promotion of economic efficiency. If it be true — and I believe it is true — that the distribution of wealth is determined primarily by relative productive efficiency, and that both industrial education of an elementary grade, and business education of a secondary and university grade can add to the economic efficiency of men and women, we may feel hopeful regarding the future welfare of society. There is no doubt about our being able to increase greatly our productive efficiency, and it seems to be the opinion of economic philosophers to-day that increasing economic efficiency will be accompanied by a progressively better distribution of the results of production." THE FUNDAMENTAL CONCEPTIONS AND METHODS OF ECONOMICS BY FRANK ALBERT FETTER [Frank Albert Fetter, Professor of Political Economy and Finance, Cornell University, since 1901. b. Peru, Indiana, March 8, 1863. Graduated, Indiana University, 1891; Ph.M. Cornell University, 1892; Ph.D. Halle, Wittenberg, 1894; The Sorbonne, and Ecole de Droit, Paris, 1892-93; and Halle, 1893- 94. Instructor in Political Economy, Cornell, 1894-95; Professor, Indiana University, 1895-98; Professor, Leland Stanford Jr. University, 1898-1900. Secretary and Treasurer of American Economic Association, 1901-05. Author of Versuch ciner Bevoelkerungslchre, Jena, 1894; The Principles of Economics, N. Y., 1904, Rent and Interest, 1904; also of many articles, monographs, etc., on economic subjects.] I. Conceptions Limitations of the subject. — This paper will necessarily be confined to a few of the important aspects presented by this many-sided subject. We proceed from the thought that economics as a science is primarily concerned with the explanation of the process of evaluat- ing objective things, materials and services, that minister to man's welfare. Every such problem of valuation is an economic pro- blem; every fact helping to an understanding of valuation is, in that aspect, an economic fact. The vast and complex world pours ceaseless streams of impressions into men's minds. As men have striven to correlate these impressions according to various principles, they have come to recognize value as one of the recurring and neces- sary relations, and have come to group things according to the economic principle. Historically viewed, the increasing scope and exactness of men's evaluation of the world about them is seen to be the unfolding process of men's thought. A theory of value logically adequate, therefore, must trace the value conception from its genesis through its successive stages of thought to the highest and most complex value relations. Good. — The primordial conception at the basis of all choice, economic or other, is that of the good. There can be no conceptions until mind has been evolved ; but an embryonic mind was in the first forms of life reacting upon their environment, shrinking from that which harmed and seeking that which helped. Before higher conscious thought-centers existed, nerves in plants and animals reached out toward the favorable and shrank from the unfavorable. Even the protoplasm has its fundamental economic conception. The evolution of higher animal forms is but the development of special organs of selection to choose the good and to flee from the evil. There need be, as to the use of the conception of good, at this 8 ECONOMICS point no subtle controversy over Epicureanism, or of Hedonism, or of Benthamite utilitarianism. " Good " is here any objective condi- tion, thing, or act, which is seen to have a beneficial relation to the man himself, or indirectly to any one, or anything, else to whom he is bound by sympathy. The old discussion of the utilitarian philosophy of morals has almost lost its meaning to modern thought. In the light of the evolutionary theory it may now be said that a conception of good and evil, in a physiological, an economic, a political, a moral, and a religious sense, are rooted alike in this primordial fact of the reaction of animate creatures upon their environment, choosing that which makes for efficiency and life, and avoiding that which destroys the individual and the species. When man at last rises to the stage of conscious and purposeful mastery over the world, when he, at last, in his gropings for a philosophy of things, begins to create also an economic theory, he recognizes in the broad conception of 'the good" the principle that has ruled the destiny of evolving life throughout its struggles upward from the ocean slime to the highest human intelligence. Scarcity. — Next to the conception of the good the most funda- mental economic conception is scarcity; indeed it may be said that economy (which is the study of the good in the objective world) does not truly begin until scarcity sets in. Among the many things surrounding the wriggling bit of protoplasm are some comparatively few things better adapted than others to further its life. It is the appropriation of these better things that insures survival, and so nature begins to shape the various species, making them larger, stronger, swifter to get, more able to digest and assimilate. But improvement in one individual and one species is met by improve- ment in another, and the contest never relaxes. The origin of species, once so mysterious, has, by the revelations of biology, been made a familiar fact. Selection of the fittest is an agency of biologic . progress because of the universal prevalence of superfluous life germs, competing for a limited supply of scarce means of life. This profound truth came to Darwin while he was reading Malthus' Principle of Population. Malthus had got a partial and distorted glimpse of a great fact of nature: the scarcity of food and the excess of life germs. It may be questioned whether Darwin and his fol- lowers in turn have sufficiently recognized that natural selection is but a fragmentary expression of a greater economic principle, — the scarcity of goods compared with wants. The survival and increase of a species is but the ultimate resultant of a multitude of acts and relations determining which of the individuals shall wax strong and prevail in the struggle for the scarce goods of their environment. The process of adaptation is twofold, — individual and racial, — a contrast implied in the whole question of natural and acquired CONCEPTIONS AND METHODS OF ECONOMICS 9 characters. Adaptation is likewise twofold, — subjective and objective, — according as the change influencing fitness for survival takes place in the living creature or in its environment. Both modes of adaptation are related to scarcity, the subjective mode enabling the individual to excel his competitors in securing and utilizing the particular goods available; the objective mode concern- ing the change in the environment itself, by natural means at first, then later by artificial agencies. Economic gratifications. — Now let us direct our attention to the conscious human stage of developing thought. Among the varying states or processes of mind and feeling, men distinguish some as good, others as indifferent or as evil. The good became linked by experi- ence and training with certain kinds of activity or with certain con- ditions of the objective world. In the broad sense any good psychic state or process is a gratification, and any objective condition of it is " a good." The scarce goods evidently are not all the goods necessary to life, and yet from the beginning of evolution the struggles, the appetites, and the interests center about scarce things. The superfluous things are not in dispute; they are taken for granted. Survival is favored by the concentration of all available energies at the strategic points where the real rivalry lies. Attention becomes intense only when focused upon a small area of thought; effort becomes effective only when narrowed in its task. And thus, throughout the world of animate life, the margin of scarcity bounds the field of economic interest and of economic effort. A distinction, therefore, is to be recognized between free goods, which exist in superfluity, and economic goods, which are scarce in relation to wants. Correspond- ingly there is a distinction between free gratifications and economic gratifications, but the word " gratification " is generally used in the latter and narrower sense. The quality of arousing gratification is not attributed prodigally to all goods ; it is not generally thought of as arising merely from the physiological action of free and super- fluous goods; it is the psychological effect credited only to the relatively scarce goods. As gratification is the subjective aspect of the relation of man to goods, so utility is the impersonal aspect, being the beneficial effect of things, whether felt and recognized or not. The relations of utility and value need further study. The paradoxes are forever recurring, — of intense desire, of strongly felt dependence on things far from vital, and of heedless disregard of things whose loss would be fatal. Gratification and gratitude are closely connected in thought and in life. The relations of man with nature are ruled by the principle of centering effort, interest, and appreciation, upon the scarce things. Relations of exchange are ruled by the principle 10 ECONOMICS of giving scarce goods only in return for scarce goods, measuring the equivalent more or less accurately in accordance with the gratifica- tion expected; that is, with the felt and recognized dependence of the want upon a particular supply. It is to be feared that after all the able recent contributions to the psychological economics, the terminology still bears the marks of an origin in a narrower utilitarian psychology, now much disputed. Fuller studies should clarify this important subject. Economists meantime, however, may (despite the confusion of terms) recognize that, as bearing on the analysis of value, the important factor is gratification expected rather than realized, gratification in acting quite as much as in being acted upon, gratification in the totality of sentiments connected with experience rather than in an absolutely isolated pleasure ; that, in short, gratification is an efficient element in the valuation process only in so far as it is expressed in volition. Psychic income next must be recognized as a conception. The various gratifications form a series of psychic conditions which constitute the motives of economic activity. This subjective form of income logically precedes all objective forms of income, for the importance attributed to any objective goods is but the reflection of the gratification which instinct, memory, and reason tell men those goods are capable of affording. Consumption goods are the favorable and scarce things about men just being converted into psychic income. These are the immediate points of contact of wants with environment. If men lived their economic life in the immediate present, consumption goods would be the only objects to which utility would be attributed. In a philosophy of goods these present the simplest and most under- standable problem of value. The animal economy, with rare excep- tions, is concerned only with this phase of value. The child and the savage recognize little dependence on any goods but these. Despite the growing complexity of the value problem, this phase of it re- mains .separable in thought from other phases, and both chrono- logically and logically is the primary objective aspect. The problem of value in its simplest form is that of the comparison of these immediate objective conditions to gratification. Usufruct. - - It is a slight step to the conception of usufruct. The material things affording gratification are not all perishable and destroyed, but are giving off or affording scarce uses, while h'ttle, if any, injured by use. Ever since men began to think of economic questions, this temporary use, apart from the durable bearer, of the use, has been recognized more or less vaguely as one of the essential aspects of the value problem. Usufruct always implies a more or less durable agent which is affording a psychic product. The CONCEPTIONS AND METHODS OF ECONOMICS 11 abstract ideal of usufruct, therefore, is that of an income yielded by an everlasting agent. Such a typical example is rarely presented by any concrete good. Though the conception of usufruct is always in some measure an abstraction rather than a fact, yet usufruct is a practical abstraction indispensable to the understanding of value problems. In practice a particular concrete agent may partake in varying degrees of the nature of a consumption good whose utility vanishes in affording gratification, and of the nature of a usufruct bearer, whose power to afford a series of gratifications is unimpaired by the successive uses. So essential is this conception in practical business that various devices are adopted, such as repair- and sinking-funds, to give the similitude of durability to agents which are gradually wearing out. The confusion of the conception of usufruct with other conceptions has been especially unfortunate in the treatment of rent. Time-value. — The conception of the value problem has widened through the centuries. The elemental phase of value, recognized even by animals, is found in a consumption good, of substance and material to afford gratification here and now. Primitive man recognizes in addition to this the factor of form, and sees in a fitting change of shape a rational cause of value. Many thousands of years elapsed before the change of place ceased to be a mysterious factor in value, and still in the late Middle Ages the merchant, the shipper, and other agents of transportation, seemed to the mass of men to be unproductive parasites upon the social organism. Even the over- whelming evidence of the senses and the estimates of all men showing that value was by these agencies imparted to goods did not, until of late, shake the stubbornly materialistic conception that value lay in the form and substance of things rather than in their psycho- logical relations. The time-relation proved to be still more subtle and difficult for the concrete minds of men to comprehend. The chapter of eco- nomic history dealing with the cruder aspect of the time-value problem, the notions of, and opposition to, interest on money loans, is familiar. Let us venture the more novel opinion that even certain subtle current conceptions of the interest problems are mixed with the dross of cruder materialistic thought, in that the theorists persist in finding the essence of the problem of interest in the par- ticular class of concrete agents with which interest is supposed to be connected. Economic theory is now ripe for the fundamental conception of time- value as the difference in value of goods of any kind in dif- ferent periods of time. Time-difference is a pervasive factor in the valuation of the simplest goods and the simplest economic societies, but so long as industry is concerned mainly with the present and a 12 ECONOMICS narrow zone of the future, time-value, being exceptional, seems, even more than place-value, to be a trick, a juggle, a thieving fiction of avarice. Capitalization. — The economic environment has progressively enlarged, and thus has been broadened the zone of time in which a rich and provident society lives its economic life and makes its economic estimates. Time- value is no longer a minute factor; it rises to a prominent place in the thoughts of men. The use of money and the multiplication of exchange makes the value estimates of men more general, conscious, and accurate. The most noteworthy manner in which time-value is recognized is in the capitalization of a series of incomes. When men provide for the future, they desire to get possession of durable agents yielding a series of future uses. Capitalization of a more or less durable agent is thus based upon usufruct. Capital is but the value expression of a sum of incomes reduced to their present worth by reference to a rate of time-discount. Current conceptions may, from this point of view, be seen to halt con- fused between the subjective conception of capital as the present worth of any durable agent, and the objective conception of it as consisting of certain concrete forms of goods (especially produced goods). The general use of the capital expression of wealth is a novelty, and the prevailing theories are medieval materialism united to modern views, half-man, half-fish, quite untrue to reality. Utility and Value. — We have made only passing use of the terms utility and value, but these conceptions pervade the whole discussion. Recent psychological economics has not entirely freed the terms from difficulties. The use of " marginal utility " as synonymous with '• value " of particular units in specific moments and conditions seems near at times to a merely verbal shift. We may query whether the difference is not deeper, " utility" expressing the real benefits, and "value " those felt.1 Now, as the relation of goods to gratification is recognized to be more or less direct or indirect, so there are different grades, or phases, of value. The theory of marginal units as applied to the exchanges made by groups of buyers and sellers in a given market is but a portion of the whole theory; or rather, the marginal unit theory as usually developed assumes the most difficult parts of the problem, and leaves them unanalyzed and unexplained. The commodities brought to a market are more or less durable, more or less direct gratifiers, more or less immediate or remote, in time, from gratification. Fish and meat exchanged for horses, weapons, or dress are goods of entirely different orders. Immediately consumable goods whose value is the exact reflection of gratification are balanced against durable agents whose usufructs 1 The doubts expressed above (p. 10) as to the adequacy and consistency of the terminology, apply to these terms also. CONCEPTIONS AND METHODS OF ECONOMICS 13 are to be distinguished over a series of years, and whose present exchange value is the capitalized sum of all the uses they contain. Therefore " marginal utility " is not the theory of value; it is but the alphabet of the theory of value. Building upon the conception of immediate gratifications the conception of usufructs, and upon the conception of usufructs the conception of capitalization and time- value, the framework of a theory of value may be reared, unified, consistent, and complete. The conception of proportionality is not mentioned, but is implied throughout the foregoing. In the progress of economic theory it was under the aspect of "the law of diminishing returns " that men first grasped a ragged corner of this broad principle. An historical view helps us to understand how it was possible for the keenest minds to believe at first that " diminishing returns " were peculiar to land used in agriculture, and were due to the peculiar chemical qualities of soil used for food production. Such a view mistook a logical economic principle for a physical fact. Then the same " law " was seen to be true of land in other uses; and of late by some able thinkers has been seen to be true of all indirect agents. We have now but to relate the " law of diminishing returns " in the use of durable agents to the principle of marginal utility in the use of immediately consumable goods for gratification, to arrive at a broad conception of "the diminishing utility of goods" in all con- ceivable applications, immediate or remote. This is the very heart and essence of the economic problem. It is the proportioning of lim- ited means to useful ends; it is the wise choice and union of limited agents; it is the rule of economy. And this is but a special aspect of a law as broad as life — the law of proportionality. In mechanics it is the adjustment giving the maximum of efficiency; in chemistry it is the union of elements in effective proportions; in politics it is the rule of justice and expediency; in ethics it is the Socratic golden mean between the opposing vices; in economics it is the wise adjustment of goods to wants. II. Methods Controversy over the deductive and the inductive methods. — In turning to the subject of the methods of economic inquiry I do not purpose reviving and continuing the well-worn controversy over the rival merits of induction and of deduction. That controversy may have had its uses; in any case it seems to have been inevitable; and yet to the eyes of to-day the issue appears to have arisen out of false analogies with other sciences. Induction and deduction are different modes of thought, or processes of logic, to arrive at truth. The methods of inductive thought and of deductive thought cannot validly be contrasted 14 ECONOMICS as mutually exclusive alternatives in the study of any of the con- crete sciences. Mathematics only, of all the sciences, moves in the realm of purely abstract relations, dependent for the truth of its conclusions only on the inner or logical consistency of its deductive conclusions, not on their correspondence to any specific set of con- crete facts. The ideal of shaping the social sciences on the model of mathematics misled for a long time the votaries of the science whose data were, to a greater or less degree, made up of the facts of the concrete world. In every branch of inquiry except mathematics, both inductive and deductive mental processes are constantly employed. They are like the chisel and the hammer to the graver, who must now use one, now another, and again both together. Man's power of thought is not so in excess of its task of understand- ing the economic world that only half of it need be exerted. The natural sciences, such as physics, chemistry, and, later, biology, suggested an analogy for economic students which was as misleading, perhaps, as was that of mathematics. The rapid ad- vance of the natural sciences, both in the bulk and in the exactness of their conclusions, seemed to challenge economics and to point the way to progress. Their predominant use of the inductive method served to blind to the fact that deductive processes were also frequently employed, and to offer the false hope that social truths were to be found, if sought, in an exclusive study of the facts of the objective world. And thus, in turn, as other sciences, as psychology and biology, have taken the center of the stage and have played the leading role in the drama of human progress, eco- nomic studies have been more or less influenced by their examples. The choice of method in any science must be made in the light of reason, not in the deceptive shadows of analogy. The division between the methods of economics and of the natural sciences is to be found in the nature of the materials dealt with and in the point of departure, whether in the thoughts of men or in the world of things, — the subjective and the objective methods. This dis- tinction appears to correspond with that between induction and deduction, but this correspondence is external and fortuitous rather than essential, as will be seen in considering more fully the special character of the social sciences. Dual nature of economics. — The social sciences have a character as distinct from pure mathematics on the one hand as from the physical sciences on the other. Mathematics presents the type of most abstract subjects of scientific thought; physics the type of the most concrete subjects; while social science presents a dual aspect. But although it may seem to share the features of the other two types, it is in no sense a mere compound of them. Mathematics is concerned with the logical relations of numbers; physics with the CONCEPTIONS AND METHODS OF ECONOMICS 15 observed and tested interrelations of material things; economics with the relations of man's thought with the utilitarian aspects of things. In this view the economist's problem as a whole is more complex, shifting, and elusive than either of the other types of problem. In part the problem can be studied in the realm of man's psychical nature, — his feelings and his judgments; in part in the physical world which appeals to and gratifies his desires; and finally in the relations between his psychical nature and the object- ive world. The value problem always involves this last relationship. The nature of the economic problem should determine the methods of economic inquiry. According as the ultimate relation is ap- proached from the side of man's nature or from the side of the mate- rial world, either the subjective or the objective method of study is employed. The two are separable in thought and practice, and yet as each is pursued it moves toward the other, and the labors and results of all students should combine at last into one harmonious body of knowledge. Subjective economics. — The problem of subjective economic analysis is that of interpreting man's psychical nature, his impulses, his wants, his modes of thought, so far as they are concerned with the utilization of the outer world. The subjective analysis should discover and express clearly the economic conceptions which men have regarding things, and it should thus clarify and harmonize the economic categories. In other words it should provide, in place of shifting and individual points of view, certain generally recognized outlooks, from which the whole economic globe can be scientifically charted and surveyed. The subjective study is to discover which among the many shifting points of view are most frequently taken, most essential, most grounded in the logical nature of the case. The need in clear thinking of keeping the subjective and the objective conceptions distinct may be seen in the confusion that long has continued in the theory of land and rent. It could not escape the earliest economic inquirers that some things appeal to men as durable yielders of usufructs. What is paid for the use of agents considered as indestructible was the "return" or rent for them. In the eighteenth century, when the effort was made to formulate a system of economic thought, it chanced that the only large class of wealth dealt with in the market under the usufruct- contract was land. Not apprehending the distinction between the subjective and the objective basis of economic conception, the early economists linked the idea of usufruct with that of natural resources in a hybrid, illogical conception of rent, which has continued for a century to puzzle and defeat much economic inquiry. The first form in which the time-aspect of value challenged a theoretical explanation was that of interest on money loans. 16 ECONOMICS Eighteenth century students saw that the same value problem was involved in the case of many agents generally exchanged for money, which chanced to be the products of manufacture in cities; and the term " interest " was thus extended. The concept of interest became thus an illogical cross between a value aspect common to all goods, and the income yielded by a certain objective class of goods. This confusion has been but dimly perceived because of the failure to distinguish consciously the subjective and the objective elements in the so-called " interest problem." The methods of subjective study. — The specific methods of study- ing economics subjectively can be hardly more than mentioned. It begins with introspection, and pursues the analysis of man's nature and wants by observing and comparing the impressions, the hopes, and the motives that determine acts in relation to gratifica- tions. The method of psychological analysis requires here no defense, and the service of the marginal utility theory, as developed by various writers, will hardly be denied. That service has, perhaps, been exaggerated, for in the enthusiasm over the discovery of a new and exacter mode of economic inquiry it was believed by some that this was the substance and scope of the economic problem. This study must be extended from the individual consciousness to social sentiments and social institutions, to class feelings, to the psychology of the masses, and to the evolving standards of living. Every degree of relationship of motives to gratification must be followed out, and the whole field of human action must be studied from this subjective standpoint. Study of the growth of economic theory. — A much neglected but fruitful field of subjective economics is the critical study of the evolution of economic thought; not that students have ignored the writings of their predecessors, but they have approached those writings either in the spirit of implicit faith or of partisan opposition to certain social institutions or plans. The scientific, critical spirit has in both cases been7 lacking. Almost every chapter of the repre- sentative economic works is bristling with logical difficulties and is a challenge to the best critical faculties. As economic thought has unfolded in the past two centuries it has presented errors and ming- ling of errors in kaleidoscopic variety. Progress of the abstract theory toward truth has been in an empirical manner. The whole problem has not at any one time been investigated fundamentally; rather, each new advance of thought has been inspired by a contem- porary need, and has shown, therefore, a temporary character. The analysis of the conceptions employed and close textual criticism give a rare exercise in logical thinking, a conscious mastery of the essential conceptions, and an historical perspective of the highest value to the economic theorist. r~ CONCEPTIONS AND METHODS OF ECONOMICS 17 Subjective analysis applied to practical problems. — Of what use can the subjective analysis be in the practical aspects of industry represented in this department? In seeking a science of the various arts that make for the fuller life of man, we have to inquire what are the wants that manufactures, transportation, commerce, mone- tary'agencies, public finance, and insurance seek to gratify? How, when called forth by human desires, do these great institutions react upon the estimates and even upon the nature of men? What aspects of value are presented by each of these industrial agents? What abstract conceptions are needed to make possible a logical classifi- cation of the phenomena in each of these lines of action? The sub- jective analysis is indispensable to the task of bringing order out of the chaos of facts. It gives the selective principles around which a' scientific treatment of these subjects can be made. The logical starting-point of all economic inquiry is human nature and human wants, as it is also the completion of the circle of economic action and of economic science. The objective method of study. — In the subjective analysis a re- cognition of objective conditions is already implied. Owing to the dual nature of economics, the study of the conceptions held by men regarding goods can proceed but a few steps without turning the eyes now and again at the kinds and qualities of goods. Even the study of the economic categories cannot be carried on by the closet philosopher. A knowledge of the ways in which men contemplate goods can be gained only by a study of men under manifold condi- tions and in manifold relations with goods. But there are many objective starting-points for economic study. The animal has in its instincts and memory a store of conscious and unconscious associations of goods with gratifications. The savage from necessity roughly classifies the birds, beasts, soils, and materials of his little world. Individual experience has grown at an ever- increasing rate into a social store of accumulated wisdom. Maxims, precepts, oral traditions, religious scruples, injunctions, faiths, and moral codes embody the economic experience of generations. Frag- mentary writings grow into systematic chronicles, and these into the history of deeds and into the recorded observations and conclu- sions of many minds. The growing delicacy of social organization is making possible, and the scientific spirit is demanding, an exacter study of contemporary occurrences. Larger resources are given to the gathering and printing of statistics and to the establishment of commissions of inquiry. Popular interest is encouraging the mono- graphic study of the minutest details of industry, and the publica- tion of these studies in many magazines. The spirit of economic inquiry among industrial leaders is unlocking to the world untouched treasures of practical experience and of wisdom in industrial affairs. 18 ECONOMICS All this knowledge of the objects of economic endeavor not only may be, but must be, made use of by the student who would attain to the fullest understanding of the economic process. Paraphrasing the words of the poet, the economist may well exclaim: I am a man, and nothing that concerns the welfare of mankind is foreign to me. At this point of view we may wonder whether any one ever could have sincerely doubted the worth of history as an agent of economic inquiry. Are not the fruits of a single generation of studies in economic history sufficiently visible in the broadening perspective of all contemporary inquiry? We wonder, again, whether any one ever could have seriously doubted the scientific worth of the psy- chological economics. Is it not amply vindicated by the increasing keenness of the critical faculties now attacking every moot point in theory? The subjective and the objective methods are not rivals, but allies; not mutually exclusive, but mutually indispensable. In- deed, they are not so much different methods as different hemispheres of the complete globe of economic knowledge. The Economic Process. — The ideal has found repeated expression among students that economics should, much more truly and fully than now, formulate the laws of industrial development of the economic process. A number of progressive steps have been made toward this end, which yet, however, appears a long way off. In- deed, as yet no thinker has been able to tell us more than vaguely, in terms of analogy with the biologic sciences, what such an economic process is. The suggestion ventured before (p. 15) may be repeated, that it may possibly be developed along the subjective and object- ive lines of inquiry. We may study historically the conception of value relations as it has unfolded in the minds of men. Parallel with this is the development of the material environment of wealth which reflects and embodies the value concept. The process of valuation is carried to a certain stage in each generation, corre- sponding to the process of industrial activity pursued by each epoch. In each individual as he develops from childhood to maturity are retraced the steps of the valuation process, and side by side at a given moment are found within a single country the various family and neighborhood economics at various stages of growth and complexity, analogous to the different forms of plant and animal life. Some such a conception is needed to make possible some unity in the chaotic mass of historical and statistical material already available to the student. The central thoughts may be economic desire and will expressing themselves in acts and institutions, and in the eco- nomic agents with which men have surrounded themselves. Economics as a science. — As here discussed, economics is seen to CONCEPTIONS AND METHODS OF ECONOMICS 19 be in no peculiar sense utilitarian, not more so than are the sciences of minerals, of animals, or of plants. It is the philosophy of the useful, but it is not necessarily, as a body of knowledge, more useful than any other philosophy. Its highest aim is truth rather than dollars, and theory rather than practice. But this does not imply the popular and misleading contrast of theory as something certain to fail, with practice as something sure to succeed; of theory as the fantastic and impossible, with practice as the sane and useful. Theory is truth-seeking, it is explanation, it is philosophy, and true theory is the highest and best expression of the practical. Neither is economics as a science to be thought of as useless know- ledge, in contrast with art as its useful application. Science is truth, not wealth; it is knowing, not doing. It has been said that the beautiful is as useful as the useful, and it may likewise be said that nothing has higher utility than truth. In economics more perhaps than in any other branch of human knowledge, the desire for results that can be immediately expressed in dollars tempts from the path of truth, and thus here is the greatest need to hold up the ideal of open-minded, disinterested research. The social conception of economics. — With broad strokes have been sketched the limits of our subject. Throughout the conceptions and methods of economics is the pervading thought that economics is a social science. The complex evaluation process can be carried on only under social conditions. The judgments, feelings, and senti- ments of men living in social relations must be studied to get an understanding of the resulting valuation of goods. As a " social" science, economics must be contrasted with the natural and technical sciences, not so much in the subjects studied, as in the point of view that is taken. When any man, or any group or class of men collate facts for their own benefit, the knowledge gained falls short of science, though it may provide material for the scientist. Each of the subjects in this department must be studied from the nearer standpoint of the technical manager; the economist must view each in turn from the social point of view; he must seek to understand the social functions of the railroad; the motives and the social results of commerce; the origin and social nature of money; the basis and the social effects of public financial measures; the social conditions which have the magic power of transposing a gambling debt into the social boon and blessing of insurance. Economic study is bounded only by the public welfare. The economist must be a devoted servant of the social truth, freeing himself as far as may be from the prejudices of class, and the inter- ests and the passions of the day. The social conception of economics is growing. The national studies of Ricardo, of List, and of Carey appear now to have been 20 ECONOMICS narrow and temporizing. This international gathering of scholars and of scholarly men of affairs calls to mind the growing international exchange of ideas. We meet as co-workers in the fraternal task of knowing the truth; we shall part with a broader social conception of economic science, and of its pacific part in the progress of the nations. ECONOMIC SCIENCE IN THE NINETEENTH CENTURY [Adolph Caspar Miller, Flood Professor of Political Economy and Commerce, University of California, b. January 7, 1866, San Francisco, California. A.B. University of California, 1887; M.A. Harvard University, 1888; Post- graduate, Harvard, 1888-90; Paris and Munich, 189-5-96. Associate Profes- sor of Political Economy and Finance, Cornell University, 1891-92; Professor of Finance, University of Chicago, 1892-1902. Member of American Economic Association. Advisory editor of Journal of Political Economy.] THE part assigned to me in the programme of this Congress is an historical review of the science of economics in the nineteenth century; more particularly, as I conceive it, such a review as may serve to set forth the progress that has been made by the science in that time. To compress a century's history of any active science into a fifty-minute discourse is no easy task. But the task of the historian of economics is especially great, for economics has had its troubles in the nineteenth century. It has come by no short and easy path to its present position, whatever this position may be defined to be. And it has left the record of its troubles and wander- ings in a literature of unusual extent and vast variety. Of activity at least there has been no end. Economics has made a history for itself if it has not made progress. So much, at least, is certain. But the history of a science must not be confused with its progress. Much that has a place in the history has little relation to progress. Since our interest lies with the progress of economics, it is my purpose to review the history only so far as it seems necessary for an appre- ciation of its progress. And all that is requisite for this purpose is to take a straight cut through the history, following the line that seems most competent to exhibit those features of the past development that are significant for the understanding of the successive phases that make up the life-history of the science. But what shall be the line of view? This question is the more difficult to answer because of the absence of a tolerable consensus of opinion among economists as to the proper character and constitution of the science. The Methoden- streit has not issued in a common understanding. I cannot agree with Professor Marshall that we have "worked our way through con- troversy to the extinction of controversy," if that is to be taken to mean a rapprochement on the fundamental question of the constitu- tion of the science. If less is said about this question than formerly, it is rather because controversy has taught the futility of controversy and that economists have taken to doing things instead of talking about them. For one has only to compare the procedure of two 22 ECONOMICS such master-works as Marshall's Principles and Schmoller's Grund- riss, to appreciate how considerable the divergence of aims and methods still is. Economic science is still a thing of schools, each contemplating the results of its own work with much understanding and satisfaction, but taking little regard of the others. It was only the other day that a brilliant and dispassionate critic of the present position of economics lamented the persistence of what he called an "archaic habit of thought"1 in the methods of the economists working under the guidance of the classical tradition. And but a short time before this, Professor Nicholson 2 had characterized the work of the historical school as "impressionism." This evidence and much more of similar effect might be quoted to show that economists are still far from being of one mind, and the reviewer who looks to find in the present state of economics a definite objective standard by which to estimate the work of the past, will find little guidance. We must, therefore, look elsewhere. The place assigned to economics in the programme of the Congress might seem to suggest a way of handling the matter. Economics is grouped here with the "utilitarian sciences," — with engineering, medicine, and agriculture. Though it is true that economics, like most of the sciences, began as a utilitarian science, its theoretical formulations being directed by a keen practical interest, and though it is true that the science derives its chief interest from the light it may throw upon the great questions of economic organization and control, and though it is also true that men of high repute claim that the science "is wholly practical " and "has no raison d'etre except as directing conduct towards a given end," 3 and though others, less frank in their avowal have yet cultivated the science with homiletical intent, yet I believe at this present day it would be a gratuitous innovation to undertake to estimate the progress of economics as a utilitarian science. The trend towards a scientific treatment of its subject-matter as distinct from its application has been one of the most marked symptoms of its growth. This is, in a sense, the progress of the science. Few economists would go the length that Cairnes did, a generation ago, but an increasing number would insist upon the observance of a sharp distinction between economics as science and political economy as art. Indeed, the vogue the term economics is coining to enjoy, as against the older term political 1 Dr. Thor^tcin VeWen, in nn article entitled Why is Economics not an Evo- h:lv>narji Hci