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tie  unclt.de  secunty  classification)  AN  ANALYSIS  OF  POST-SERVICE  CAREER  EARNINGS  OF  FEMALE  VETERANS 


;rsonal  Author(s)  Miirk  R.  Sliepcevic 


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jppiementary  Notation  The  views  expressed  in  this  thesis  iu-e  those  of  the  author  and  do  not  reflect  the  official  policy  or  position  of 
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18  Subject  Terms  (continue  on  reverse  if  necessary  and  identify  by  blocii  number) 

Earnings  Enlisted  Female  Personnel  Pay  Income  Veteran  Reserve 


bstract  (continue  on  reverse  if  necessary  and  identify  by  block  number) 

;  thesis  anidyzes  the  post-service  earnings  of  femiile  veterans.  A  review  of  the  literature  on  veterans'  post-service  earnings   was 
lucted  to  gjiin  some  insight  on  the  topic.  The  literature  on  womens'  labor  force  participation  was  also  reviewed.  An  empirical 
ysis  w:is  conducted  based  on  a  dataset  constructed  from  the  Reserve  Comrxjuents  Survev  of  1986.  A  log-e^uTiings  model  was 
ified  based  on  human  capitid  theory.  The  intent  of  the  model  was  to  measure  the  effects  of  mihtary  triiining  and  veteran  status 
he  post-service  eiimings  of  female  veterans.  These  results  were  compared  to  a  similar  model  of  male  veterans  to  analyze  gender 
;rences  in  veteran-nonveteran  wage  differentials.  Overall,  no  measurable  loss  of  income  was  incurred  by  female  veterans  who 
^ferred  their  military  skills  to  the  civilian  sector.  Nonwhite  females  realized  the  greatest  return  to  earnings  from  mihtary 
irience.  Also,  those  female  veterans  who  transfer  their  miUtiuy-acquired  skills  may  be  closing  the  wage  gap  between  themselves 
male  nonveterans.  The  relative  gains  in  wages  from  military  experience  may  last  up  to  an  average  of  nine  years  for  female 
rans. 


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An  Analysis  of  Post-Service  Career  Earnings 
of  Female  Veterans 


by 


Mark  R.  Sliepcevic 

Lieutenant,  United  States  Navy 

B.A.,  University  of  Illinois  at  Chicago,  1982 

Submitted  in  partial  fulfillment 
of  the  requirements  for  the  degree  of 

MASTER  OF  SCIENCE  IN  MANAGEMENT 


ABSTRACT 

This  thesis  analyzes  the  post-service  earnings  of  female  veterans.  A  review  of  the 
literature  on  veterans'  post-service  earnings  was  conducted  to  gain  some  insight  on  the 
topic.  The  hterature  on  womens'  labor  force  participation  was  also  reviewed.  An  empirical 
analysis  was  conducted  based  on  a  dataset  constructed  from  the  Reserve  Components 
Survey  of  1986.  A  log-earnings  model  was  specified  based  on  human  capital  theory.  The 
intent  of  the  model  was  to  measure  the  effects  of  mihtary  training  and  veteran  status  on 
the  post-service  earnings  of  female  veterans.  These  results  were  compared  to  a  similar 
model  of  male  veterans  to  analyze  gender  differences  in  veteran-nonveteran  wage 
differentials.  Overall,  no  measurable  loss  of  income  was  incurred  by  female  veterans  who 
transferred  their  military  skills  to  the  civilian  sector.  Nonwhite  females  realized  the  greatest 
return  to  earnings  from  military  experience.  Also,  those  female  veterans  who  transfer  their 
military-acquired  skills  may  be  closing  the  wage  gap  between  themselves  and  male 
nonveterans.  The  relative  gains  in  wages  from  military  experience  may  last  up  to  an 
average  of  nine  years  for  female  veterans. 


m 


^^^ 


CI 


TABLE  OF  CONTENTS 

I .  INTRODUCTION   ........  1 

II.  BACKGROUND 5 

A.  Economic  Issues  .....  5 

B.  Women  m  the  Workforce 7 

1.  1900  -  1970 8 

2.  1970  to  the  Present 10 

3 .  General  Observations  12 

C.  Women  in  the  Military 19 

III.  REVIEW  OF  PERTINENT  LITERATURE  24 

A.  The  Bridging  Effect 26 

B.  The  Military  as  a  Screening  Device 27 

C.  The  Transferability  of  Military  Acquired  Skills  28 

D.  Econometric  Models  of  Earnings  Potential   ...  29 

E.  Summary 31 

IV.  DATA  SET,  METHODOLOGY,  AND  MODEL  DETERMINATION   .  .  33 

A.  Data  Set 33 

B.  Methodology 34 

1.  Survey  Questions  34 

2.  Thesis  Questions  35 

iv 


3  .  Restrictions 37 

C.   Model  Determination  . 3  8 

V.  DATA  ANALYSIS  AND  RESULTS   .............  43 

A.  Descriptive  Statistics   . 43 

1.  Comparison  of  Means  by  Veteran  Status   ...  43 

2.  Comparison  of  Means  for  Females  by  Race   .  .  45 
3  .  Summairy 45 

B.  Multivariate  Analyses  52 

1.  The  Effects  of  Veteran  Status  for  Females   .  52 

2.  The  Effects  of  Veteran  Status  for  Males   .  .  60 

3  .  The  Results  for  Race 61 

4.  Earnings   Comparison  by  Gender  and  Veteran 

Status    66 

VI.  CONCLUSIONS  AND  RECOMMENDATIONS  69 

APPENDIX     72 

LIST  OF  REFERENCES 74 

INITIAL  DISTRIBUTION  LIST 7  6 


V 


I .   INTRODUCTION 

A  plethora  of  issues  surrounds  the  subject  of  women's 
roles  in  the  military.  Among  these  are: 

•  females  occupying  traditionally  male  military  occupations; 

•  assignment  of  women  in  combat-related  job  categories; 

•  equity  m  the  distribution  of  men  and  women  among  all 
military  job  categories; 

•  female  officer  career  patterns  influencing  selection  for 
command; 

•  inequity  in  sea/shore  rotation  for  navy  enlisted. 

This  thesis  will  focus  exclusively  on  the  impact  of  military 
training  and  experience  on  the  post-service  earnings  of  female 
veterans  as  an  extension  of  females  in  traditionally  male 
occupations . 

Much  has  been  written  regarding  the  effect  of  military 
training  on  the  post-service  earnings  of  male  veterans.  These 
studies  have  found  that  the  transfer  of  most  types  of  military 
training  and  experience  has  had  a  significant  impact  on 
veterans'  lifetime  earnings. 

Women's  earnings  functions  cannot  be  expected  to  behave  in 
the  same  fashion  as  men's.  Certain  gender-related  labor  force 
decisions  come  into  play  when  determining  variables  for  an 
econometric  model  that  deals  with  women  who  enter  the  service. 

Female  participation  in  the  Armed  Forces  is  purely 
voluntary.  There  may  be  a  bias  towards  self -selection  into 


male-oriented  occupations,  which  is  not  characteristic  of  the 
entire  female  population.  On  average  female  enlistees  have 
higher  mean  AFQT  scores  than  male  enlistees.  Since  one  factor 
m  ]ob  placement  is  the  AFQT  composite  score,  proportionately 
more  women  on  average  may  qualify  for  skilled  positions. 
There  may  be  a  propensity  for  high-ability  women  who  enlist  in 
the  services  to  seek  out  occupations  that  are  traditionally 
held  by  men.  This  self -select  ion  into  male-oriented 
occupations  may  not  be  characteristic  of  the  entire  female 
population. 

Women  have  been  entering  high-tech  military  jobs  that  were 
traditionally  male  bastions  at  an  increasing  rate.  There  is 
evidence  that  these  types  of  jobs  are  economically  beneficial 
to  the  veteran's  post-service  career  earnings.  If  the  military 
acts  as  a  "bridge"  for  women  to  overcome  sex-biased  obstacles 
to  male-dominated  occupations,  female  veterans  would  enjoy 
greater  job  opportunities  than  do  their  civilian  counterparts. 
The  higher  potential  productivity  of  female  veterans  and  the 
savings  that  private  firms  would  realize  in  training  costs 
from  hiring  women  with  military  backgrounds  should  translate 
into  higher  wages  for  the  prospective  employee  and  into 
general  social  benefits. 

In  this  thesis,  an  econometric  analysis  of  the  Reserve 
Components  Survey  will  be  conducted  to  specify  and  estimate  a 
human  capital  earnings  model  for  female  veterans  and 
nonveterans .  By  examining  the  accompanying  statistics,  the 


model's  validity  will  be  determined.  Care  has  been  used  to 
ensure  that  all  chosen  variables  and  the  functional  form  of 
the  equation  are  relevant  to  the  study.  The  Reserve  Components 
Survey  contains  data  on  females  who  have  chosen  to  enlist  in 
the  active  force  and  those  who  have  not.  The  self -selection 
bias  that  would  ordinarily  be  associated  with  comparing  groups 
from  the  civilian  sector  with  those  from  the  military  sector 
is  reduced.  The  Reserve  Components  Survey  data  controls  for 
background,  taste,  and  ability  factors  which  are  normally  the 
source  of  selection  bias.  Therefore,  the  cohort  under 
investigation  should  be  more  homogeneous,  which  will  improve 
our  ability  to  decompose  the  effect  of  the  explanatory 
variables.  Minimizing  selectivity  bias  will  mean  the  economic 
return  to  service  in  the  armed  forces  can  be  estimated  more 
accurately . 

The  purpose  of  this  study  is  to: 

1.  extract  information  from  the  Reserve  Components  Survey 
-■  for  the  year  1986  in  order  to  apply  Ordinary  Least  Squares 

methods  to  measure  the  effect  of  military  training, 
demographic,  socioeconomic,  and  other  explanatory  variables 
on  the  earnings  of  female  veterans; 

2.  determine  if  military  service  is  more  valuable  to  female 
veterans  than  to  their  male  contemporaries,  and 

3.  recommend  areas  for  follow-on  research. 

The  thesis  is  structured  as  follows:  Chapter  II  discusses 
the  history  of  women  in  the  labor  market  and  in  the  Armed 
Forces.  A  review  of  human  capital  theory  is  also  contained  in 
this  background  section. 


Chapter  III  contains  the  review  of  pertinent  literature. 
Topics  reviewed  include  the  effects  of  military  training  on 
men's  post-service  earnings  as  well  as  information  regarding 
the  current  military  force  composition.  The  role  of  women  in 
the  armed  forces  is  included  in  this  chapter. 

Chapter  IV  presents  a  description  of  the  Reserve 
Components  Survey  and  the  data  drawn  from  this  survey.  The 
specification  of  the  earnings  model  is  contained  in  this 
chapter.  The  chapter  also  presents  the  empirical  estimates  of 
the  veteran  -  nonveteran  earnings  differential. 

Chapter  V  contains  the  conclusions  and  final 
recommendations.  Implications  for  current  policies  and 
recommendations  for  further  study  are  presented  in  this 
section . 

The  goal  of  this  thesis  is  to  develop  a  model  that  will 
analyze  the  effect  of  military  service  and  training  on  female 
veterans'  post-service  earnings.  The  analysis  will  test  the 
hypothesis  that  those  women  who  transfer  their  military- 
acquired  skills  into  the  civilian  labor  force  will  tend  to 
improve  their  economic  status  relative  to  their  civilian 
counterparts,  all  other  factors  being  equal.  With  the 
downsizing  of  the  military  and  given  the  current  political 
climate,  this  study  should  be  of  significant  value  to  manpower 
policy-makers . 


II.  BACKGROUND 

A.   Economic  Issues 

To  measure  the  effects  of  transferring  military  acquired 
skills  to  the  general  labor  market,  we  must  examine  and 
compare  the  two  markets.  Transferability  of  skills  requires 
some  similarity  of  30b  characteristics.  Generally  speaking, 
the  greater  the  degree  of  similarity  between  the  military  and 
civilian  occupations,  the  easier  the  transition  for  the 
veteran  and  the  lower  the  cost  of  retraining  to  the  firm. 

The  decision  to  seek  training  and  employment  is  based  on 
the  utility  difference  between  staying  home  and  the  wages  that 
could  be  earned.  The  cost  of  going  to  work  can  be  measured  by 
summing  the  tasks  performed  by  the  individual  at  home  that  can 
not  be  done  if  she  works.  Also,  the  value  of  leisure  must  be 
included  in  this  equation.  The  individual  will  work  if  the 
value  of  acquired  earnings  is  greater  than  the  costs 
associated  with  working. 

Investment  in  human  capital  is  an  individual  decision 
based  on  the  benefits  one  would  receive  from  the  time  spent 
developing  skills.  The  individual  must  measure  the  difference 
between  the  benefits  received  from  the  investment  (pecuniary 
as  well  as  non-wage  benefits)  and  from  the  costs  of  training. 


A  fair  amount  of  time  may  be  necessary  to  recover  all  of 
the  costs  associated  with  skill  acquisition.  Blau  and  Ferber 
(1986)  noted  in  their  work  on  women  m  the  labor  force  that 
women  tend  to  have  disnomted  careers.  This  factor  affects 
their  wages  m  two  ways.  Women  tend  to  have  a  shorter  work 
life  than  men,  which  reduces  the  return  to  the  individual's 
investment.  Time  spent  out  of  the  work  force  will  diminish  the 
skills  that  one  has  developed.  This  will  affect  a  woman's 
wages  for  the  remainder  of  her  working  life  (Blau  and  Ferber, 
1986)  .  If  a  woman  can  expect  to  receive  less  from  the 
acquisition  of  skills,  she  will  be  less  likely  to  invest  in 
training . 

The  labor  market  participation  rates  for  females  will 
continue  to  change  as  the  factors  that  affect  their  decision 
to  seek  employment  fluctuate  over  time.  One  major  factor  is 
the  implicit  barrier  to  traditionally  male  occupations.  There 
are  many  factors  that  have  helped  build  and  maintain  these 
obstructions,  although  they  have  eroded  recently.  These 
factors  are: 

•  societal  attitudes 

•  female  job  seeker's  utility 

•  women  as  head  of  household 

•  women's  attitudes  towards  job  training,  and 

•  delays  in  starting  families 

Some  of  these  factors  are  sociological  in  nature.  They  are 
driven  by  public  attitudes  and  perceptions.  Others  are  purely 


economic  m  nature.  Much  of  the  change  in  women's  roles  m  the 
labor  force  is  due  to  some  combination  of  these  factors. 

As  more  women  enter  the  work  force,  it  is  only  logical  to 
assume  that  they  will  seek  out  the  higher  paying, 
traditionally  male  jobs.  Normally,  access  to  these  types  of 
employment  is  restricted  due  to  the  large  amount  of  training 
required  to  perform  adequately.  However,  women  are  accepting 
the  challenge  to  overcome  this  obstacle  to  success  by 
acquiring  technological  training  through  formal  schooling  and 
joining  the  military.  As  the  labor  market  barriers  keeping 
women  at  home  erode  and  the  benefits  of  entering  the  work 
force  increase,  more  women  will  be  willing  to  invest  in  their 
economic  future. 

B .   Women  in  the  Workforce 

The  work  history  of  women  in  the  twentieth  century 
reflects  changing  participation  rates,  training  levels,  and 
propensity  to  increase  tenure  with  a  single  firm.  These  are 
the  key  ingredients  in  an  individual's  earnings  profile.  Some 
of  the  changes  in  participation  rates  can  be  explained  by 
fluctuations  in  societal  attitudes  and  other  demographics.  The 
blossoming  United  States  economy  and  its  subsequent  demand  for 
laborers  contributed  to  the  dramatic  female  participation  rate 
increases  of  the  late  1970 's,  which  are  continuing  today.  The 
following  sections  briefly  review  the  history  of  female  labor 


force  participation,  first  for  the  period  1900-1970,  and  then 
for  1970  to  the  present. 
1.   1900  -  1970 

The  early  years  of  the  twentieth  century  found  mostly 
single  v;omen  in  the  labor  force.  Hiring  married  women  was 
frowned  upon  as  a  matter  of  personnel  policy.  Thus,  since 
marriage  was  the  norm,  access  to  on-the-job  training  as  well 
as  schooling  was  limited  for  many  females. 

Single  females  were  hired  to  work  in  specific  job 
classifications.  Prevailing  attitudes  of  the  day  set  aside 
certain  job  categories  as  traditionally  male.  The  evolution  to 
white  collar  office  professionals  was  the  first  opportunity 
for  women  to  access  higher  paying  jobs. 

World  War  II  caused  a  dramatic  shortage  of  manpower. 
The  slack  in  the  labor  supply  was  picked  up  by  women  eager  to 
help  the  war  effort.  Barriers  to  certain  traditionally  male 
occupations  were  dropped  as  a  matter  of  necessity.  The  absence 
of  male  workers  and  the  reduction  in  birth  rates  allowed  women 
to  enter  the  labor  market  during  this  period.  Women  had  proven 
their  ability  to  handle  traditionally  male  jobs.  The  post 
World  War  II  time  frame  found  an  increasing  birth  rate  and  a 
return  to  the  pre-war  status  quo  in  the  labor  market.  From 
1950  to  1970,  relative  pay  rates  (female-male  ratio)  remained 
nearly  constant  at  approximately  the  60  percent  level. 


Table  1  shows  that  during  the  period  from  1948  to 
1964,  10,962,000  new  positions  (or  685,125  per  year)  were 
created.  Women  accounted  for  6^^   of  the  growth  {7,214,000  new 
jobs) .  Most  of  the  positions  taken  by  women  were  low-skill, 
entry-level  jobs. 

Participation  rates  for  women  increased  by  6  .  0  percent 

(Table  2),  from  a  rate  of  32.7  m  1948  to  a  rate  of  38.7  in 

1964.  Male  participation  rates  during  this  time  frame  declined 

by  5 . 6  percent.  Women  realized  an  average  gain  of  .59  percent 

per  year  for  the  period  of  1948  to  1990  (Table  2) . 

Labor  market  experience'  levels  for  women  decreased 
slightly  from  1950  to  1965.  For  the  period  beginning  in  1965 
and  lasting  until  the  1980 's,  labor  market  experience  levels 
for  women  grew  an  average  of  8.5  percent  for  all  age 
categories  (Table  3) . 

Education  levels  for  women  actually  declined  from  1950 
to  1965.  Table  4  shows  that  growth  in  education  levels  for  men 
outpaced  changes  in  education  levels  for  women  by  an  average 
of  nearly  50  percent  across  the  20  to  40  year  age  range  for 
the  period  from  1950  to  1970. 

The  post  World  War  Two  years  showed  no  significant 
increase  in  earnings  for  women.  Hourly  wages  for  women  of  all 
age  groups  still  averaged  61.5  percent  of  those  earned  by  men 


^Labor  market  experience  levels  are  measured  by  the  number  of 
years  the  individual  has  invested  in  the  workforce.  Table  3 
expresses  this  value  in  fractions  of  a  year. 


m  1968  (Table  5).  Birth  rates  increased  dramatically  after 
the  war  while  investment  m  education  decreased.  Experience 
levels  for  2  0  and  2  5  year  old  women  fell  11.4  and  2  9.0 
percent , respectively,  from  1950  to  1965.  Labor  market 
participation  rates  increased  for  some  groups  of  women  while 
the  economy  experienced  a  period  of  solid  growth. 
2.   1970  to  the  Present 

Social  attitudes  towards  gender  and  racial  barriers  to 
traditionally  white  male  occupations  changed  dramatically 
during  this  period.  Women  began  to  invest  more  in  human 
capital  through  schooling.  Declining  birth  rates  allowed  for 
more  time  to  be  invested  in  the  labor  market.  Length  of 
service  (i.e.,  experience)  numbers  also  increased.  These 
factors  reflected  positive  changes  in  skill  levels  for  women 
and  a  rising  commitment  to  the  labor  force.  Increasing  human 
capital  investment  and  labor  force  experience  led  to  improved 
access  to  higher  paying  jobs.  Moreover,  women  showed  a  greater 
propensity  to  ignore  gender  boundaries  in  the  labor  market. 

In  1964,  the  baby  boomers  began  entering  the  labor 
market.  From  1964  to  1990,  Table  1  shows  that  total  jobs  grew 
by  48,609,000  new  positions  (1,869,000  per  year).  Growth  in 
positions  occupied  by  women  was  29,648,000.  This  translates 
into  61  percent  of  the  total  growth  during  the  period.  Female 
participation  rates  grew  from  38.7  to  57.5  percent  for  a  total 
increase  of  18.8  percent  from  1964  to  1990  (Table  2).  Annual 


10 


growth  m  female  participation  rates  was  nearly  double  that  of 
the  previous  period,  or  .^2  percent  per  year. 

Labor  market  experience  levels  for  those  women  3  0 
years  of  age  and  younger  improved  by  14.5  percent  between  1965 
and  1980.  Table  4  shows  that  for  the  period  from  1970  to  1980, 
men  25  and  older  increased  their  education  level  (measured  in 
years)  an  average  of  14.7  5  percent  over  women  from  the  same 
age  groups.  However,  women  who  were  between  2  0  and  2  5  years  of 
age  increased  their  education  level  by  110  percent  compared  to 
men  from  this  group.  Table  5  reveals  that  although  females' 
wages  as  a  percent  of  males'  were  nearly  constant  from  1964  to 
1980,  relative  wages  increased  significantly  for  20-44  year 
old  females  during  the  early  1980 's,  averaging  just  over  seven 
percent.  The  group  of  45-64  year  old  females'  relative  wage 
improvement  was  less  dramatic  (approximately  2.2  percent) . 
Table  6  presents  data  on  male  income  as  a  percent  of  female 
income  for  various  experience  levels  and  time  frames.  It  shows 
that  the  investment  in  human  capital  accomplished  by  women 
during  the  1970 's  has  paid  off  for  all  experience  and 
education  levels. 

Table  7  presents  relative  wage  data  by  educational  level 
for  1976  and  1982.  Women  have  been  experiencing  a  period  of 
high  return  on  human  capital  investment  during  this  time- 
frame. Increases  in  educational  investment  have  helped  close 
the  wage  gap  for  women  and  improved  their  economic  condition 
relative  to  their  male  counterparts.  Females  in  all  categories 

11 


experienced  an  average  of  4.3  percent  growth  in  wages  relative 
to  those  of  men  between  1976  and  1982. 
3.   General  Observations 

Some  gender  barriers  were  lowered  during  World  War  II 
due  to  necessity.  Women  proved  themselves  to  be  quite  capable 
at  adapting  to  traditionally  male  kinds  of  work.  The  post  war 
period  saw  the  labor  market  return  to  the  status  quo,  but  only 
for  a  while.  The  largest  increase  in  female  participation 
rates  was  among  the  least  trained.  Many  of  the  employed  women 
were  part-time  workers. 

During  the  1970 's,  a  large  influx  of  women  into  the 
labor  market  set  the  stage  for  wage  growth  and  changing  labor 
force  composition.  Increasing  education  levels  and  job 
experience  positioned  women  to  compete  more  aggressively  with 
men  for  the  higher  paying,  traditionally  male  jobs.  Birth 
rates  also  fell,  providing  women  with  the  opportunity  to 
pursue  human  capital  investments. 

Participation  rates  among  the  most  educated  and  well- 
trained  women  increased  during  this  period.  Women  closed  the 
wage  gap  by  an  average  of  13.6  percent  for  all  groups  from 
1979  to  1987  (Table  6) .  Growth  in  the  daycare  industry  could 
be  a  key  indicator  of  the  growing  influx  of  women  into  the 
labor  force.  The  labor  market  of  the  1990 's  and  the  next 
century  should  see  dramatic  changes  in  wage  differentials. 


12 


TABLE  1 

CIVILIAN  EMPLOYMENT  BY  GENDER 

(IN  THOUSANDS) 


Year 

Male 

Female 

Total 

1948 

41,725 

16, 617 

58,343 

1950 

41, 578 

17,340 

58,918 

1952 

41, 682 

18, 568 

60,250 

1954 

41, 619 

18,490 

60,109 

1956 

43,379 

20,419 

63,799 

1958 

42,423 

20, 613 

63, 036 

1960 

43, 904 

21,874 

65,778 

1962 

44, 177 

22,525 

66,702 

1964 

45,474 

23,831 

69,305 

1966 

46, 919 

25, 976 

72,895 

1968 

48,114 

27, 807 

75,920 

1970 

48, 990 

29, 688 

78, 678 

1972 

50,896 

31,257 

82,153 

1974 

53, 024 

33,769 

86,794 

1976 

53,138 

35, 615 

88,752 

1978 

56,479 

39,569 

96, 048 

1980 

57, 186 

.     42,117 

99,303 

1982 

56,271 

43,256 

99,526 

1984 

56,091 

45,915 

105, 005 

1986 

60,892 

48,706 

109,597 

1988 

63,273 

51, 696 

114,968 

1990 

64,435 

53,479 

117, 914 

Source:  Department  of  Labor,  Bureau  of  Labor 
Statistics 


13 


TABLE  2 

CIVILIAN 

LABOR  FORCE 

PARTICIPATION 

RATES  BY 

Year 

Male 

Female 

Total 

1948 

86.6 

32.7 

58.8 

1950 

86.4 

33  .9 

59.2 

1952 

86.3 

34.7 

59.0 

1954 

85.5 

34.6 

58.8 

1956 

85.5 

36.9 

60.0 

1958 

84.2 

37.1 

59.5 

1960 

83.3 

37.7 

59.4 

1962 

82.0  ~" 

--  -  3  7.9 

58.8 

1964 

81.0 

38.7 

58.7 

1966 

80.4 

40.3 

59.2 

1968 

80.1 

41.6 

59.6 

1970 

79  .7 

43.3 

60.4 

1972 

78.9 

43  .9 

60.4 

1974 

78.7 

45.7 

61.3 

1976 

77  .5 

47.3 

61.6 

1978 

77  .9 

50.0 

63  .2 

1980 

77  .4 

51.5 

63  .8 

1982 

76.6 

52.6 

64.0 

1984 

76.4 

53.6 

64.4 

1986 

76.3 

55.3 

65.3 

1988 

76.2 

56.6 

65.9 

1990 

76.1 

57.5 

66.4 

Source:  Department  of  Labor,  Bureau  of  Labor 
Statistics 


14 


TABLE  3 

YEARS  OF  LABOR  MARKET  EXPERIENCE 

( FEMALES ) 


Age 

Year  20       25        30        35       40  45 

1950  2.81     5.87     7.97  10.57  13.99  16.43 

1955  2.74     5.80     8.88  10.72  13.39  16.95 

1960  2.70     5.76     8.48  11.83  13.68  16.58 

1965  2.49     5.58     8.53  11.29  14.24  16.52 

1970  2.63     5.69     8.68  11.21  14.24  17.21 

1975  2.81     6.02     8.83  11.39  14.06  17.05 

1980  3.00     6.23     9.50  11.70  14.39  16.97 

Source:  Department  of  Labor,  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics 


15 


TABLE  4 
CHANGE  IN  MALE  EDUCATION  (IN  YEARS)  RELATIVE  TO 

FEMALE  EDUCATION 


Acfe 
Year  20  25  30  35  40 

1950-1970        .43       .60       .36       .42      .66 
1970-1980       -i.l      .16      .11       .14      .18 

Source:  Kosters,  1991 


TABLE  5 

HOURLY  WAGES  OF  WOMEN  AS  A  PERCENT  OF  THOSE  OF  MEN 

IN  THE  SAME  AGE  GROUP 


Age 

Group 

Year 

20-24 

25-34 

35-44 

45-54 

55-64 

1964 

82.0 

62.0 

55.2 

57  .4 

60.7 

1968 

74.5 

62.9 

53  .2 

55.8 

61.2 

1972 

76.4 

64.9 

53  .2 

55.8 

61.2 

1976 

77  .8 

67.5 

55.7 

53.8 

57.4 

1980 

77.7 

68.8 

56.2 

54.3 

56.7 

1986 

86.2 

75.3 

62.3 

57.0 

58.3 

Note:  Derived  from  multiple  sources 


16 


TABLE  6 

MALE  /  FEMALE  WAGE  RATIOS,  YEARS  OF  EXPERIENCE, 

AND  YEARS  OF  EDUCATION 


%   A(1979- 

Yrs  Exp 

Yrs  Ed 

1973 

1979 

1987 

1987) 

5 

8 

1.44 

1.29 

1.14 

-15.0% 

12 

1.29 

1.29 

1.16 

-13  .0 

16 

1.29 

1.24 

1.15 

-9.0 

15 

8 

1.60 

1.58 

1.39 

-19.0 

12 

1.55 

1.53 

1.31 

-22.0 

16 

1.55 

1.51 

1.34 

-17.0 

25 

8 

1.85 

1.59 

1.46 

-13.0 

12 

1.66 

1.59 

1.48 

-11.0 

-" 

16 

2  .04 

1.72 

1.59 

-13.0 

35 

8 

1.74 

1.63 

1.59 

-4.0 

12 


1.62 


1.61 


1.47 


-14.0 


Source:  Kosters,  1991 


17 


TABLE  7 

HOURLY  WAGES  OF  WOMEN  AS  A  FRACTION  OF  THOSE  OF  MEN 

BY  AGE  AND  EDUCATION  LEVEL 

Education  level        Ages  25  -  34  Ages  35-44 

1976     1982  1976  1982 

Post  Graduate           74.4     78.2  61.5  65.1 

College  Degree          69.9     73.5  54.4  63.3 

High  School  Grad        64.7     69.1  56.7  58.1 

Source:  Kosters,  1991 


C.   Women  in  the  Military 

Women's  participation  in  the  military  has  been  limited  by 
the  types  of  occupations  that  they  have  been  able  to  enter. 
Before  the  early  1970 's,  women  could  not  represent  more  than 
two  percent  of  the  total  force,  by  law.  Their  roles  were 
strictly  limited  to  noncombat  and  support  positions. 

Table  8  shows  that  88.8  percent  of  white  women,  94  percent 
of  black  women,  and  92.6  percent  of  hispanic  women  in  the 
armed  services  in  1972  were  in  the  occupational  skill  category 
classified  as  "semiskilled"  (Eitelberg,  1988).  This  category 
is  comprised  of  traditionally  female  occupational  fields  such 
as  medical  specialist,  dental  specialist,  and  administrative 


TABLE  8 

PERCENTAGE  DISTRIBUTION  OF  ENLISTED  PERSONNEL,  ALL 

SERVICES  BY  SEX,  OCCUPATIONAL  SKILL  CATEGORY,  AND 

RACIAL/ETHNIC  GROUP,  1972  AND  1984 

1972  1984 

Skill  Category   White   Black   Hisp.   White   Black   Hisp. 


Male 

Unskilled  28.2  43.8  39.8  31.7  36.3  32.8 

Semiskilled  48.0  44.9  45.9  41.4  44.8  47.3 

Skilled  23.8  11.3  14.3  26.9  18.9  19.9 

Total  100.0  100.0  100.0  100.0  100.0  100.0 

Female 

Unskilled  1.8     2.8     2.2  14.0  13.2  11.9 

Semiskilled  88.8  94.0  92.6  60.6  69.6  69.8 

Skilled  9.4     3.2     5.2  25.4  17.2  18.3 

Total  100.0  100.0  100.0  100.0  100.0  100.0 


Source:  Eitelberg,  19i 


19 


support.  During  this  period,  limited  access  was  granted  to 
women  m  the  "skilled"  positions,  primarily 
communications  and  intelligence  (9.4,  3.2,  and  5.2  percent 
respectively).  Very  few  women  (1.8,  2.8,  and  2.2  percent 
respectively)  were  in  occupations  classified  as  "unskilled" 
because  a  majority  of  these  positions  were  considered  to  be 
directly  related  to  combat  and  women  were  excluded  from  many 
of  them. 

During  the  late  1970 's  and  the  1980 's,  the  distribution  of 
females  in  military  occupational  categories  changed 
significantly.  Moreover,  the  proportion  of  women  in  the 
service  increased  nearly  seven-fold,  from  a  low  of  1.4  percent 
in  1965  to  9.2  percent  in  1987  (Table  9).  By  1984  female 
participation  in  the  "unskilled"  category  was,  at  most,  less 
than  half  the  rate  of  their  male  contemporaries  (Table  8). 
Women  comprised  nearly  the  same  percentage  of  "skilled" 
occupations  as  did  men  in  1984.  Still,  a  majority  of  women 
remained  in  the  "semiskilled"  job  classification  category. 

Movement  of  women  from  the  "semiskilled"  category  to  both 
the  "unskilled"  and  the  "skilled"  categories  can  be  thought  of 
as  "progress  towards  'equity  of  service'  or  'equal 
opportunity'"  (Eitelberg,  1988) .  On  average,  women  as  a  group 
more  than  tripled  their  participation  rate  in  the  "skilled" 
categoiry  from  1972  to  1984.  Since  this  category  requires 
advanced  occupational  training,  which  may  be  sought  by 
civilian  employers,  movement  into  the  "skilled"  occupational 

20 


TABLE  9 

RESIDENT  ARMED  FORCES  BY  SEX,  1950-1987 

(IN  THOUSANDS) 


Year 

Males 

Females 

Total 

Percent 
Female 

1950 

1,150 

19 

1,169 

1.6 

1955 

2,  033 

31 

2,  064 

1.5 

1960 

1,833 

28 

1,861 

1.5 

1965 

1,  920 

27 

1,946 

1.4 

1970 

2,  081 

37 

2,  118 

1.7 

1975 

1,  600 

78 

1,  678 

4.6 

1980 

1,479 

124 

1,604 

7.7 

1985 

1,  556 

150 

1,706 

8.8 

1987 

1,  577 

160 

1,737 

9.2 

Source:  Department  of  Labor,  Bureau  of  Labor  Statistics 

category  should  benefit  women  economically  in  their  post- 
service  careers.  Good  jobs  are  those  that  develop  marketable 
skills . 

It  is  interesting  to  note  that  as  more  occupations  are 
opened  to  women  and  greater  numbers  of  women  are  allowed  to 
enter  the  military,  the  services  may  be  forced  to  be  less 

21 


selective  of  enlisted  female  applicants.  If  women's  AFQT 
scores  fall,  more  women  will  find  themselves  in  the  least 
economically  desirable  catego2ry  of  "unskilled"  . 

Labor  force  participation  rates  for  female  veterans  are 
nearly  equivalent  to  those  of  nonveterans.  When  pre-Vietnam 
era  veterans  are  eliminated,  the  participation  rate  increases 
to  approximately  75  percent.  This  represents  nearly  a  20 
percent  increase  in  labor  force  participation  for  female 
veterans  compared  to  their  nonveteran  counterparts.  Their 
unemployment  rate  was  estimated  at  about  five  percent  in  1986 
(Roca,  1986)  .  Wage  differentials  (by  gender  and  military 
experience)  will  be  estimated  for  male  and  female  veterans  in 
the  final  section  of  this  thesis. 


22 


III.  REVIEW  OF  PERTINENT  LITERATURE 

Long  term  decisions  regarding  education,  employment, 
and  training  are  made  by  individuals  weighing  the  perceived 
costs  and  economic  gams  from  pursuing  each  alternative.  Women 
who  join  the  all-volunteer  milita]ry  do  so  expecting  to  better 
themselves  by  obtaining  immediate  employment  and  improving 
their  work  skills. 

The  military  offers  a  salary  that  is  generally  higher  than 
can  be  earned  m  the  civilian  labor  market  by  a  recent  high 
school  graduate.  Also,  skill  training  is  offered,  to  those  who 
qualify,  that  is  often  valuable  to  civilian  firms.  Much  of  the 
training  that  is  offered  by  the  military  could  be  acquired 
through  continued  education  and  trade  schools  at  a  (direct  and 
indirect)  cost  to  the  individual.  Because  the  military  bears 
the  costs  and  also  pays  an  enlistee's  salary  during  training, 
the  military  can  be  a  very  attractive  post-high  school 
alternative . 

Leaving  the  military  is  both  a  social  and  economic 
decision.  Economists  have  attempted  to  estimate  the  cost 
associated  with  reenlisting  in  the  military,  which  is  part  of 
the  economic  equation  that  is  used  to  determine  the  decision 
to  leave  the  military.  The  other  portion  of  this  equation  is 
the  potential  earnings  offered  by  civilian  firms  that  are 
foregone  if  one  reenlists.  The  explanatory  variables  often 


23 


associated  with  the  potential  civilian  earnings  function  of  an 
individual  service  member  include: 

•  Length  of  service  m  the  military 

•  Skill  type  or  MOS 

•  Skill  transferability  to  the  civilian  sector 

•  Education  level 

These  variables  (and  a  host  of  others)  have  been  considered  by 
many  authors  who  have  investigated  enlistees'  civilian 
earnings  potential. 

A  preponderance  of  literature  has  been  written  regarding 
the  transferability  of  military-acquired  skills  to  civilian 
labor  markets  for  male  veterans.  Other  studies  have 
investigated  the  role  of  women  in  the  civilian  labor  market. 
Literature  pertaining  to  female  veterans'  post-service 
earnings  is  virtually  nonexistent.  However,  econometric  models 
developed  to  investigate  post-service  labor  market  outcomes 
for  male  veterans  should  be  applicable  to  female  veterans  with 
only  minor  modifications. 

The  following  section  will  investigate  other  studies  that 
have  estimated  models  to  describe  and  decompose  the 
determinants  of  an  individual's  wages.  Initially,  this  thesis 
will  discuss  the  concept  of  the  military  acting  as  a  "bridge" 
to  facilitate  the  acquisition  of  quality  skill  training  by 
minority  veterans.  The  concept  of  "bridging"  may  also  be 
applicable  to  females.  The  next  topic  will  be  the  feasibility 
of  military  entrance  requirements  acting  as  a  screening  device 

24 


for  civilian  employers  who  are  seeKing  to  hire  veterans.  The 
topic  of  transferability  of  military-acquired  skills  has  been 
noted  m  previous  studies  and  also  will  be  presented  in  this 
chapter.  Finally,  a  comparison  of  econometric  models  that  have 
been  used  to  determine  the  variables  that  affect  an 
individual's  earnings  potential  will  be  examined. 

A.   The  Bridging  Effect 

For  certain  groups  of  veterans,  positive  returns  for 
military  experience  are  consistent  with  the  military  acting  as 
a  "bridge"  from  school  to  the  civilian  work  force.  Minority 
veterans  gain  access  to  training  and  skill  development  that  is 
not  normally  available  to  their  peers  who  do  not  enter  the 
armed  forces.  The  military  assists  some  groups  to  cross  socio- 
economic boundaries  by  improving  their  work  habits,  specific 
occupational  skills,  and  their  productivity. 

Martindale  and  Poston  (1979),  for  example,  found  that 
access  to  military  skill  training  paid  a  premium  to  minority 
veterans.  Working  in  the  military  environment  and  gaining 
experience  at  functioning  within  large  bureaucratic 
organizations  influences  post-service  earnings  in  a  positive 
manner.  Fredland  and  Little  (1980)  associated  this  gain  in 
earnings  with  the  acquisition  of  general  skills. 


25 


B.   The  Military  as  a  Screening  Device 

All  servicemembers  are  required  to  qualify  for  entrance 
and  for  specific  military  occupations.  The  qualification 
process  requires  high  performance  on  a  battery  of  mental, 
physical,  and  moral  examinations.  Once  employed  in  the  armed 
forces,  the  servicemember  gams  experience  in  dealing  with 
large  bureaucracies  as  well  as  the  value  of  good  order  and 
discipline.  To  the  extent  that  a  civilian  employer  is  familiar 
with  the  on-the-job  training  received  in  the  services,  time  in 
the  military  may  be  used  by  employers  as  a  positive  screen 
when  evaluating  the  applicants. 

Defray  (1982)  focused  on  the  civilian  employment  screening 
process  and  stated  that  military  status  positively  influences 
employers.  Military  training  is  considered  an  indicator  of 
high  productivity.  Schwartz  (1986)  found  that  an  employer  may 
be  either  positively  or  negatively  influenced  by  military 
experience  depending  on  his  or  her  perception  of  the  military 
as  an  institution.  Vietnam  era  veterans  were  considered  to  be 
negatively  impacted  by  their  military  experience  and  were 
viewed  as  less  attractive  by  civilian  employers. 

Military  entrance  examinations  are  purported  to  sift  out 
the  high  quality,  readily  trainable  individual  from  the 
average  performer.  Berger  and  Hirsch  (1983)  felt  that 
qualifying  for  the  military  was  a  clear  indication  to  an 
employer  that  the  individual  had  characteristics  that  would  be 
desirable.  Much  of  the  military  training  received  during 

26 


enlistment  could  be  classified  as  general  training  (Fredland 
and  Little,  1980).  Qualities  such  as  work  discipline, 
interpersonal  communication  skills,  and  others  would  be  highly 
sought  after  by  employers.  Military  qualification  and  training 
could  be  a  good  indicator  of  a  successful  and  readily 
trainable  employee.  Those  employers  who  understand  the 
military  recruiting  procedures  and  training  mechanism  may 
actively  seek  out  veterans  to  employ. 

C.   The  Transferability  of  Military  Acquired  Skills 

Transferability  of  military  skills  is  dependent  upon  the 
servicemember ' s  era  and  skill  classification  (Miller , 1991 ) . 
Magnum  and  Ball  (1989)  found  that  roughly  one-half  of  their 
study  group  felt  that  military  employment  helped  them  find 
work  while  approximately  one-third  actually  transferred  their 
acquired  skills.  Most  of  the  general  training  received  in  the 
military  is  readily  transferable,  but  whether  veterans 
actually  work  at  jobs  that  mirror  those  they  held  in  the 
military  depends  on  numerous,  difficult  to  measure  factors. 

Many  studies  (Mehay,  1992;  Bryant  and  Wilhite,  1990; 
Daymont  and  Andrisani,  1986)  established  that  for  the  first 
two  to  three  years  after  leaving  the  service,  most  veterans 
experienced  an  earnings  dip.  This  initial  loss  of  pay  is 
considered  to  be  consistent  with  earnings  profiles  of  other 
(nonveteran)  civilians  who  change  jobs.  After  the  third  year, 
however,  pay  for  veterans  grew  beyond  that  received  by  their 


27 


nonveteran  contemporaries.  The  rate  of  increase  in  pay  was 
continually  greater  for  years  after  the  break  even  point. 
Mehay  (1992)  and  Norrbloom  (1976)  found  that  those  veterans 
who  transferred  their  military  skills  were  even  better  off 
than  their  veteran  contemporaries  who  did  not. 

Those  with  technical  military  specialties  found  their 
skills  more  readily  transferable  to  the  civilian  marketplace. 
Since  military  job  categories  that  are  considered  to  be 
technical  in  nature  are  growing  at  a  more  rapid  pace, "it  is 
likely  that  the  skill  transfer  between  the  military  and 
civilian  sectors  is  more  prevalent  now  than  in  the  past" 
(Miller,  1991)  . 

D.   Econometric  Models  of  Earnings  Potential 

Model  specification  used  to  describe  and  decompose  the 
determinants  of  an  individual's  wages  takes  on  the  form  of  the 
standard  Mincer  log-earnings  function  (Kosters,  1991).  The 
generic  equation  is: 

In-earnings  =  B,,  +  B^X,  -h  BoX-j  -h  e 
where  the  In-earnings  represents  the  natural  log  of  an 
individual's  earnings;  B„  represents  the  intercept;  B^  and  B, 
are  the  independent  variables'  coefficients;  X^  and  X-j  are  the 
independent  variables,  and  e  is  the  associated  error  term.  The 
earnings  variable  Has  been  measured  in  various  studies  as  the 
hourly  wage  rate,  or  weekly  earnings,  or  annual  income. 


28 


Most  studies  reviewed  for  this  thesis  have  used  the  log- 
earnings  functional  form  m  their  statistical  analyses.  This 
functional  form  allows  the  researcher  to  investigate  the 
effect  of  incremental  changes  m  explanatory  variables  on  the 
dependent  variable  "  In-earnmgs  "  .  Each  variable  '  s  contribution 
to  earnings  can  be  isolated  and  compared  m  this 
specification. 

Choosing  variables  for  the  earnings  model  is  often  based 
as  much  on  limitations  of  the  available  data  as  well  as  on 
fundamental  economic  theory.  Those  models  that  used  the 
National  Longitudinal  Survey,  Youth  Cohort  (NLSY) ,  (Bryant  and 
Wilhite,  1991;  Daymont  and  Andrisani , 1986 ;  Bolin,  1980) 
included  educational  level  achieved,  civilian  and  military 
training,  work  experience,  race,  and  length  of  military 
training  as  explanatory  variables  in  their  models.  Table  10 
lists  the  explanatory  variables  that  were  used  in  four  prior 
All  Volunteer  Force-era  studies.  The  variables  that  are  common 
to  all  of  these  models  in  columns  are  education  and 
experience.  Race  and  marital  status  are  also  common  to  three 
of  the  models . 

These  models  may  be  acceptable  for  generic  studies 
regarding  earnings  potential,  but  the  variables  representing 
military  training  and  experience  may  have  less  descriptive 
power  when  analyzing  female  veterans.  Two  models  used  the 
Reserve  Components  Survey  (RCS),  (Miller,  1991;  Mehay,  1992) 
to  explore  the  differences  between  veterans  and  nonveterans. 

29 


The  RCS  allows  the  researcher  to  compare  individuals  with 
similar  tastes  for  military  service,  thus  avoiding  any  bias 
associated  with  self -selectivity , 

E .   Summary 

Econometric  modeling  requires  some  analysis  of  explanatory 
variables  prior  to  their  selection  as  inputs  for  the  model.  By 
reviewing  all  pertinent  literature,  the  researcher  can  examine 
previous  models  and  their  associated  variables  for  theoretical 
and  statistical  validity. 

Variables  that  have  proven  to  be  statistically  significant 
in  previous  studies  should  be  considered  for  inclusion  in  the 
econometrician' s  model.  Omission  of  relevant  variables  could 
lead  to  bias  in  the  coefficients  of  the  included  variables 
(Studenmund,  1992)  .  A  complete  study  of  relevant  literature  is 
required  before  the  regression  models  are  estimated. 


30 


TABLE  10 

EXPLANATORY  VARIABLES  USED  IN  PRIOR 

EARNINGS  STUDIES 


Mehay  1992      Bryant  and     Bolin  1980     Daymont  and 
Wilhite  1990  Andrisani  1986 


EDUCATION 

EXPERIENCE 

EXPERIENCE2 

SELF  EMPL. 

NONWHITE 

MARRIED 

CHILDREN 

YRSOUT 

YRS0UT2 

PRIORSERV 

TRANSFER 

OCCUPATION 


EDUCATION 


EDUCATI0N2 


EXPERIENCE 


RACE 

MARRIED 

AGE 

UNEMPLOYMENT 

GEO  AREA 

OCCUPATION 

INDUSTRY 

LOS  MILITARY 

SEX 


IQ 


MIL  TRAIN 


CIV  TRAIN 


EXPERIENCE2     EDUCATION 


RACE 


MARRIED 


AGE 


LOS  CIV 


HS  EDUC 
COLLEGE 

YRS  OUT  COL 

AFQT 

LOS  MIL 

YRS  OUT  MIL 


Source:  Compiled  from  various  sources 


31 


IV.  DATA  SET,  METHODOLOGY,  AND  MODEL  DETERMINATION 

A.   Data  Set 

This  study  uses  information  obtained  from  the  1986  Reserve 
Components  Survey  to  investigate  those  factors  that  are 
significant  determinants  of  the  log-earnings  of  female 
veterans.  The  Reserve  Components  Survey  was  chosen  because 
sampling  includes  responses  from  veterans-^  and  nonveterans  who 
are  similar  in  many  respects;  therefore,  any  bias  that  may 
occur  due  to  self -select ion  into  the  active  components  of  the 
armed  forces  and  prescreeriing  of  applicants  will  be  minimized 
by  using  this  survey.  Although  both  prior  active  duty 
reservists  (veterans)  and  those  with  no  active  duty  experience 
(nonveterans)  receive  milita2ry  training,  the  value  to  civilian 
firms  of  training  received  while  on  active  duty  should  create 
significant  differences  in  military-acquired  skill 
proficiencies  between  the  two  cohorts.  This  difference  in 
skill  levels  should  influence  the  relationship  between  active 
duty  training  and  future  civilian  wages. 

The  1986  Reserve  Components  Survey  was  administered  by  the 
Defense  Manpower  Data  Center  in  conjunction  with  the  office  of 


'^Veteran  is  defined  as  a  reservist  with  active  duty  experience 
and  training.  Nonveteran  is  defined  as  a  reservist  who  has  not  been 
on  active  duty  and  has  received  reserve  training  only. 


32 


the  Deputy  Assistant  Secretary  of  Defense  for  Guard/Reserve 
Manpower  and  Personnel.  The  survey's  purpose  was  to  develop  a 
data  base  for  all  reserve  components  that  would  be  useful  in 
investigating  the  effects  of  policy  decisions  regarding 
personnel  issues.  The  basic  sample  included  approximately 
109,000  officer  and  enlisted  reservists.  Respondents  were  only 
considered  if  they  were  trained  selected  reservists.  The 
response  rate  for  the  enlistees  was  59.7  percent. 

B.   Methodology 

1.   Survey  Questions 

The  Reserve  Components  Survey  asked  two  questions 

regarding  the  respondents'  civilian  pay.  One  question  focused 

primarily  on  weekly  civilian  earnings: 

In  1985,  what  were  your  USUAL  WEEKLY  EARNINGS  from  your 
main  civilian  job  or  your  own  business  before  taxes  and 
other  deductions?  Give  your  best  estimate. 

A  second  question  was  asked  regarding  annual  earnings.  This 

question   asked   the   respondents   to   include   all   income. 

During  1985,  what  was  the  TOTAL  AMOUNT  THAT  YOU  EARNED 
FROM  ALL  CIVILIAN  JOBS  or  your  own  business  before  taxes 
and  other  deductions?  Include  earnings  as  a  Guard/Reserve 
technician.  Include  commissions,  tips,  and  bonuses.  Give 
your  best  estimate. 

The  data  set  was  divided  into  two  basic  subsamples:  (a) 

female  veterans  and  nonveterans,  and  (b)  male  veterans  and 

nonveterans,  to  capture  the  value  of  active  duty  experience 

and  direct  military  acquired  skill  transfer  to  the  civilian 

workforce.  Each  subsample  was  used  to  investigate  the  natural 


33 


log  of  yearly  income  as  the  dependent  variable  for  an  ordinary 
least  squares  regression  equation. 

The  distribution  of  the  reserve  force  by  gender  is 
shown  m  Tables  11  and  12.  Table  11  provides  the  percentage 
makeup  for  each  of  the  branches  of  service  and  includes  all 
components.  The  proportion  of  enlisted  reservists  who  are 
female  is  highest  for  the  Air  Force  Reserve  (19  percent)  and 
lowest  for  the  Marine  Corps  (four  percent) .  Officer  and 
enlisted  gender  ratios  are  similar  for  the  individual  branches 
of  service.  Table  12  gives  the  population  size  for  the 
reserve  components.  Air  National  Guard  and  Army  National  Guard 
personnel  are  combined  with  their  respective  reserve  forces. 
Coast  Guard  Reserve  personnel  are  excluded  from  this  study. 
2.   Thesis  Questions 

Two  primary  questions  are  explored  in  this  thesis;  (1) 
Does  active  duty  military  experience  of  female  reservists 
(veterans)  improve  their  post-service  earnings  compared  to 
nonveteran  reservists?  and  (2)  Does  the  direct  transfer  of 
military-acquired  skills  lead  to  higher  wages  in  the  civilian 
workforce?  Question  (1)  is  an  attempt  to  measure  the  effects 
of  'general'  training  received  in  the  military  such  as  dealing 
with  large  bureaucratic  organizations,  militairy  discipline  and 
bearing,  and  the  ability  to  give  and  take  direction.  Question 
(2)  addresses  the  transfer  of  'specific'  skills  acquired  in 
the  military  which  are  transferred  to  the  civilian  job  sector. 


34 


Bm»wMMai«ni»niiiiitimniii«»niiiii 


The  respondents  were  asked  if  their  military  occupational 
specialty  is  directly  related  to  their  current  civilian  ] ob . 

A  secondary  issue  is  the  comparison  of  female 
veterans'  post-service  earnings  to  those  of  male  veterans. 
Future  studies  may  reference  these  results  m  order  to 
determine  trends  in  wages  for  women. 


TABLE  11 

GENDER:     ENLISTED    PERSONNEL    AND    OFFICERS    BY 

RESERVE    COMPONENT 


Ciender 


Enlistet;] 

Male 

Female 

(jf  fleer 

Male 
Female 


LISAR 


UCNR 


IJSMCR 


83% 
17% 

82% 

18% 


88% 
12% 

91% 
9% 


96% 
4% 

98% 

2% 


UCAFR 


81% 
19% 

7  9% 
21% 


TOTAL 

SELECTED 

RESERVE 


90% 

10% 

8  8% 

12% 


oource:    Defense   Manpower   Data   ("enter,    rjesc-rir't iijn   of    nff: 
Enliste'fl    Personnel    in    the   U.S.    Llelectecl   Reserve,     1986 


^r  and 


Notes:  total  DOD  numbers  include  ARNG  and  ANG  personnel 
total  Selected  Reserve  numbers  include  USCCjR  personnel 


35 


TABLE  12 

GENDER:  ENLISTED  PERSONNEL  BY 

RESERVE  COMPONENT 


■/:mB' 


i;:;Mi"'R 


l:l?^FR 


TiiT    [.H )[) 


Male 


172,465  92,555 

35,324  12,(d21 


ri,122  47,128  768,164 

1,297  11,055  85,352 


Enlii-r-^^l    F'^rrrmnt^l    in    the   \K:2.    .'.^l^'-n^c]   R^-^-.^^ry^ ^     193(3 
Note:    total    DiJD   numbf-'rs    imrluii"--    ARNCi   and   ANCi   [")eL':::onnel 

3.   Restrictions 

Restrictions  were  imposed  on  the  sample  to  ensure  the 
comparability  of  the  observations.  First,  the  dataset  included 
only  full-time  civilian  employees.  Those  reservists  who 
reported  part-time  employment  were  deleted.  Also,  those 
respondents  who  reported  their  status  as  'unemployed'  were 
deleted  from  the  sample  as  were  full-time  students  and 
homemakers . 

The  sample  was  limited  to  enlisted  members  who  had 
successfully  completed  at  least  one  active  duty  tour.  This 
restriction  was  established  by  limiting  active  duty 
respondents  to  the  rank  of  E-3  or  higher  and  by  deleting  those 
respondents  with  fewer  than  two  years  of  active  service. 

Separate  regressions  were  run  for  males  and  females. 
This  allowed  for  a  comparison  of  female  veterans  and  female 
nonveterans  by  including  a  veteran  status  variable  to  capture 


36 


the  effects  of  prior  service  on  civilian  wages.  The  effect  of 
veteran  status  was  measured  separately  for  both  males  and 
females  in  order  to  measure  the  veteran-nonveteran 
differential  in  wages  by  gender. 

C.   Model  Determination 

A  standard  Mincer  natural  log  of  earnings  regression 
equation  was  specified  and  estimated.  Use  of  the  natural  log 
of  wages  allows  the  researcher  to  investigate  the  percentage 
change  in  income  provided  by  a  one  unit  change  in  an 
independent  variable  (Kosters,  1991) . 

Independent  variables  can  be  categorized  as  either  (1) 
personal  variables,  (2)  military  variables,  or  (3) 
occupational  variables.  Table  13  contains  a  list  of  the 
personal  and  military  variables  and  their  descriptions  as 
derived  from  the  Reserve  Components  Survey.  The  expected  signs 
of  the  coefficients  for  these  variables  in  the  OLS  earnings 
model  are  also  included  in  Table  13 . 

Personal  variables  attempt  to  capture  the  individual 
demographic  attributes  that  may  affect  the  earnings  of  the 
survey  respondents.  The  experience  variable  is  included  to 
capture  the  effect  of  on-the-job  training.  The  square  of  the 
experience  variable  is  used  to  show  its  declining  influence  on 
wages  over  time. 

Military  variables  identify  the  kind  of  training 
transferred  to  the  civilian  labor  market.  The  variable  XFRVET 


37 


TABLE  13 
PERSONAL  AND  MILITARY  VARIABLES 


Personal 

Definition 

Expected 

Sign 

Variables 

CHILD 

1  if  number  of 

females 

- 

dependents  is 

males 

+ 

greater  than  2 

MARRIED 

1  if  respondent 

is 

females 

married 

males 

+ 

NONWHITE 

1  if  respondent 

is 

females 

7 

not  Caucasian 

males 

7 

EDUCATION 

number  of  years 

of 

females 

+ 

formal  education 

males 

+ 

EXPERIENCE 

number  of  years 

in 

females 

+ 

the  workforce 

males 

+ 

Military 

Variables 

XFRVET 

if  a  veteran 

females 

+ 

transferred 

males 

+ 

his/her  military 

- 

acquired  skills 

to 

civilian  job 

VETERAN 

1  if  respondent 

females 

- 

changed 

males 

- 

occupations  from 

active  duty  to 

civilian 

number  of  years 

females 

+ 

ADJEXP 

the  respondent  has 

males 

+ 

been  out  of  the 

service  or  out  o 

f 

school 

Source :  Author 


38 


measures  the  effect  of  direct  skill  transfer  from  the  militairy 
to  the  civilian  market.  The  variable  VETERAN  distinguishes 
between  those  respondents  with  active  service  experience  and 
those  without.  VETERAN  captures  the  effect  of  general  military 
training  on  a  veteran's  post-service  income.  ADJEXP  is  a 
measure  of  the  veteran's  time  out  of  the  military  and  the 
nonveteran's  time  out  of  school. 

The  expected  signs  for  the  personal  and  military  variables 
are  contained  in  Table  13 .  Signs  for  military-related 
variables  should  be  the  same  for  females  as  they  are  for 
males.  VETERAIJ  (pertains  to  general  skills)  and  XFRVET 
(pertains  to  specific  skills)  are  expected  to  have  positive 
coefficients;  those  respondents  with  these  traits  will  have 
greater  earnings  than  those  without  them.  Some  personal 
characteristics  are  expected  to  have  differing  signs  for  women 
and  men.  Women  with  children  can  be  expected  to  work  fewer 
hours  and  earn  a  lower  annual  income  (Blau  and  Ferber,  1986)  . 
Also,  married  women  are  more  likely  to  have  disrupted  careers, 
thus  the  coefficient  for  the  variable  MARRIED  should  have  a 
negative  sign.  All  other  coefficients'  signs  are  theorized  to 
be  the  same  for  females  as  they  are  for  males . 

Table  14  contains  the  occupation  and  industry  variables 
and  their  respective  definitions.  Occupation  and  industry 
variables  are  coded  as  dummy  variables  in  order  to  determine 


39 


the  returns  to  earnings  for  specific  30b  categories. 

The  amount  of  training  required  to  fill  any  position  will  tend 

to  vary. 

The  dependent  variable,  the  natural  log  of  annual  income, 
was  derived  from  the  individual's  primary  civilian  job  as  well 
as  all  other  income  sources.  The  deletion  of  part-time  workers 
and  those  who  were  unemployed  during  the  period  will  increase 
the  similarity  of  the  sample  population. 


40 


TABLE  14 
OCCUPATIONAL  VARIABLES 


Industry 
Variables 


Definition 


SELFEMPLOY 
AGRIMIN 

FINANCE 

MANUFACTURING 

ENT/REC 

SALES 

PRO  SERVICE 

PUBLIC  ADMIN 

REPSERV 

TRANSPORT 

GOVERNMENT 
CRAFT 

MANAGER 
OPMACHINE 

OPLABOR 
WHOLESALE 
RETAIL 
PROFESS 

SERVICE 


j  Self -Employed 

Agriculture,    Forestry, 
Construction 


Fisheries , 


and 


Finance,  Insurance,  Real  Estate,  Business 

Manufacturing 

Entertainment  and  Recreation 

Sales 

Professional  Services 

Public  Administration 

Repair  Services 

Transportation,   Communication,   and   other 
Public  Utilities 

State,  Local,  and  Federal  Employees 

Construction    Workers,    Mechanics,    and 
Engineers 

Administrative,  and  Managerial 

Precision  Production,  Machine  Operators,  and 
Assemblers 

Other  Handlers  and  Laborers 

Wholesale  Trade 

Retail  Trade 

Professional,     Scientific,     Teachers, 
Technicians,  and  Education  Administration 

Protective  Service,  Postal,  and  Food  Service 


Source:  Author;  created  from  Reserve  component  Survey,  lybb 


41 


V.  DATA  ANALYSIS  AND  RESULTS 

A.   Descriptive  Statistics 

1.   Comparison  of  Means  by  Veteran  Status 

Tables  15  through  19  present  the  sample  means  for  the 
explanatory  variables  used  below  in  the  earnings  models .  Each 
table  has  been  decomposed  by  veteran  status  to  measure  any 
differences  in  demographic  and  occupational  characteristics. 
The  means  are  calculated  by  gender  (Tables  15  and  era)  .  T- 
tests'  were  performed  on  each  variable  to  determine  whether 
differences  in  the  means  of  the  characteristics  of  veterans 
and  nonveterans  are  statistically  significant.  The  comparison 
of  subsample  means  will  give  an  overall  indication  of  group 
homogeneity . 

In  Table  15  the  average  reported  annual  income  for  the 
subsample  comprised  of  all  females  is  $18,238  for  veterans  and 
$18,408  for  nonveterans,  a  difference  of  only  $170,  This 
difference  in  annual  income  is  not  statistically  significant. 
In  Table  16  differences  in  annual  income  between  veteran  and 
nonveteran  females  who  joined  the  service  after  1973  are 
dissimilar  to  the  group  composed  of  all  females;  veterans 


^The  null  hypothesis  is  that  the  means  are  the  same 


42 


(post-1973)  earned  on  average  $2,452  less  than  nonveterans 

(significant  at  the  one  percent  level) . 

In  Table  17  mean  income  for  all  males  was 
significantly  lower  for  nonveterans  than  for  veterans  ($22,239 
to  $26,115)  .  In  Table  18  nonveteran  males  who  enlisted  m  the 
reserves  during  the  all-volunteer  era  also  earned 
significantly  less  than  their  veteran  male  contemporaries 

($17,495  to  $19,504) .  Both  differences  were  significant  at  the 

one  percent  level . 

Educational  levels  were  different  for  both  groups  of 

females.   For   the   cohort   of   all   females   in   Table   15, 

nonveterans  accrued  approximately  one-half  year  less  education 

on  average  and  are  12  percent  more  likely  to  have  accumulated 

some  college  experience.  In  Table  16,  for  post-1973  females, 

the  difference  drops  to  about  one-fourth  of  a  year,  which  is 

still  a  significant  difference. 

The  difference  in  educational  attainment  is  even  more 

pronounced  for  both  groups  of  males.  In  Table  17  nonveterans 

from  the  all  male  group  spent  one-half  of  a  year  less  in 

school  and  were  15  percent  less  likely  to  go  to  college  than 

their  veteran  counterparts.  In  Table  18  nonveterans  from  the 

post-1973  cohort  received  nearly  one-half  year  less  education 

and  were  11  percent  less  likely  to  go  to  college. 

A  comparison  of  the  female  veteran  cohorts  in  Tables 

15  and  16  reveals  that  22.8  percent  of  the  group  of  all  female 

veterans   held   civilian   jobs   similar   to   their  military 

i 

43 


occupations  (XFRVET)  while  24.4  percent  of  the  post -1973 
veterans  held  similar  jobs.  For  both  groups  of  male  veterans, 
the  transfer  rates  were  much  lower  than  they  were  for  females. 
For  all  males  only  12.0  percent  of  veterans  held  similar  :Jobs 
(Table  17),  about  half  the  percentage  for  females.  For  post- 
1973  enlistees,  16.3  percent  held  similar  jobs  (Table  18). 

Marriage  rates  were  not  statistically  different  for 
either  group  or  females.  The  group  of  all  male  veterans  were 
14.5  percent  more  likely  to  be  married  than  nonveterans.  For 
the  post-1973  group  of  males,  the  difference  was  11.2  percent. 

2 .  Comparison  of  Means  for  Females  by  Race 

For  this  comparison,  the  cohort  comprised  of  all 
females  was  broken  out  by  race  (Table  19) .  Annual  income  for 
the  two  groups  was  not  statistically  different,  although  the 
group  of  nonwhite  female  veterans  earned,  on  average,  $981 
more  than  white  female  veterans.  Both  groups  had  similar  means 
for  COLLEGE  and  EDUCATION,  but  white  female  veterans  were  2.2 
percent  more  likely  to  transfer  their  military  acquired 
skills.  Also,  white  females  were  12.5  percent  more  likely  to 
have  achieved  veteran  status.  Overall,  the  two  groups  were 
reasonably  similar. 

3 .  Summary 

Overall,  nearly  one-half  of  the  variables  had 
significantly  different  mean  values  between  veterans  and 
nonveterans  for  the  sample  of  all  females.  Only  one-fourth  of 


44 


the  differences  in  mean  values  for  the  post-1973  sample  were 
statistically  significant.  Since  the  T-test  examines  whether 
the  means  are  statistically  different,  both  groups  of  females 
show  some  statistical  resemblance.  The  opposite  can  be  said 
for  the  two  male  subsamples.  The  T-test  of  means  for  the 
variables  for  both  groups  of  males  are  mostly  significant .  The 
implication  of  the  tests  is  that  male  veterans  and  nonveterans 
have  statistically  different  means. 


45 


TABLE  15 

COMPARISON  OF  MEANS  FOR 
ALL  FEMALES  BY  VETERAN  STATUS 

Variable  Veterans  Nonveterans   T-TEST  (.01) 

INCANN  18,238  18,408  0.2451 

COLLEGE  0.6176  0.4991  -4.5727  * 

CHILD  0.7380  0.7025  -0.7017 

EDUCATION  13.7112  13.2940  -4.4319  * 

MARRIED  0.3652  0.3226  -1.6921 

NONWHITE  0.2734  0.4082  5.5403  * 

ADJEXP  8.0429  10.6842  7.3062  * 

XFRVET  0.2275           

SELFEMPL  0.0210  0.0227  0.2209 

AGRIMIN  0.0669   -----    0.0664  -0.0370 

FINANCE  0.0421  0.0804  3.2198  * 

MANUFACTURING  0.1033  0.1189  0.9530 

ENT/REC  0.0076  0.0052  -0.5499 

SALES  0.0459  0.0769  2.5684  * 

PROSERV  0.1721  0.1801  0.3982 

PUBADMIN  0.4111  0.3252  -3.3550  * 

REPSERV  0.0421  0.0402  -0.1761 

TRANSPORTATION  0.0746  0.0586  -1.1914 

GOVERNMENT  0.5526  0.4563  -3.6638  * 

CRAFT  0.0459  0.0210  -2.5642  * 

MANAGER  0.1836  0.1547  -1.4391 

OPMACHINE  0.0535  0.0708  -1.3886 

OPLABOR  0.0172  0.0262  -1.2185 

WHOLESALE  0.0096  0.0149  0.9527 

RETAIL  0.0593  0.0944  2.6069  * 

PROFESS  0.2084  0.1897  -0.8823 

SERVICE  0.1185  0.1198  0.0707 

Note:  *  denotes  varialDle  is  signiticant  at  tne  one  percent 
level , 


46 


TABLE  16 

COMPARISON  OF  MEANS  FOR 
POST-197  3  FEMALES  BY  VETERAN  STATUS 

Variable  Veterans     Nonveterans  T-TEST  (.01) 

INCANN  15,687  18,139  3.3829  * 

COLLEGE  0.5482  0.4991  -1.5694 

CHILD  0.6295  0.6975  1.2544 

EDUCATION  13.4940  13.2877  -1.8720  * 

MARRIED  0.3645  0.3198  -1.4885 

NONWHITE  0.2952  0.4122  4.0074  * 

ADJEXP  4.8102  10.1730  19.0767  * 

XFRVET  0.2  43  9           

SELFEMPLOY  0.0181  0.0213  0.3731 

AGRIMIN  0.0693  0.0638  -0.3482 

FINANCE  0.0482  0.0804  2.2391  * 

MANUFACTURING  0.1355  0.1183  -0.8124 

ENT/REC  0.0060  0.0055  -0.0994 

SALES  0.0633  0.0795  1.0333 

PROSERV  0.1566  0.1848  1.2160 

PUBADMIN  0.3614  0.3161  -1.5145 

REPSERV  0.0482  0.0416  -0.4985 

TRANSPORTATION  0.0693  0.0591  -0.6453 

GOVERNMENT  0.5030  0.4529  -1.5982 

CRAFT  0.0542  0.0213  -2.4975  * 

MANAGER  0.1566  0.1497  -0.3037 

OPMACHINE  0.0723  0.0702  -0.1263 

OPLABOR  0.0211  0.0259  0.5179 

WHOLESALE  0.0151  0.0148  -0.0357 

RETAIL  0.0753  0.0989  1.3786 

PROFESS  0.1717  0.1848  0.5515 


SERVICE  0.1416         0.1238        -0.8196 

Note:  *  denotes  variable  is  significant  at  the  one  percent 


level 


47 


TABLE  17 


COMPARISON  OF  MEANS  FOR 
ALL  MALES  BY  VETERAN  STATUS 


Variable 


Veterans 


Nonveterans   T-TEST  (.01) 


INCANN 

COLLEGE 

CHILD 

EDUCATION 

MARRIED 

NONWHITE 

ADJEXP 

XFRVET 

SELFEMPL 

AGRIMIN 

FINANCE 

MANUFACTURING 

ENT/REC 

SALES 

PROSERV 

PUBADMIN 

REPSERV 

TRANSPORTATION 

GOVERNMENT 

CRAFT 

MANAGER 

OPMACHINE 

OPLABOR 

WHOLESALE 

RETAIL 

PROFESS 

SERVICE 


26,115 
0.4889 
1.7421 
13  .3253 
0.7975 
0.24138 
14.2252 
0.1202 
0.0592 
0.1455 
0.0251 
0.2054 
0.0031 
0.0437 
0.0745 
0.2982 
0.0439 
0.1246 
0.4347 
0  .2015 
0.1126 
0.1326 
0.0447 
0.0227 
0.0518 
0.1715 
0.1466 


Note:  *  denotes  that  variable 
percent  level. 


22,239 

0.3387 

1.3053 
12  .7854 

0.6530 

0.1984 
12.6464 

0.0687 

0.2116 

0.0262 

0.2178 

0.0042 

0.0658 

0.0617 

0.1910 

0.0575 

0.0837 

0.2858 

0.2112 

0.1007 

0.1532 

0.0646 

0.0360 

0.1016 

0.1187 

0.1210 
is  signif icarTET 


-20.6448  * 

-25.0020  * 

-25.6071  * 

-23.5190  * 

■26.3735  * 

-8.4174  * 

-14.8035  * 

3.1285  * 

13  .9268 

0.5567 

2.4624  * 

1.5829 

7.8026  * 

-4.0600  * 

•20.4327  * 

4.9643  * 

10.9228  * 

25.4694  * 

1.8666  * 

-3.1387  * 

4.7639  * 

7.0266  * 

6.3043  * 

15.0521  * 

12.1999  * 

-6.0952  * 


~aZ    the  one 


48 


TABLE  18 

COMPARISON  OF  MEANS  FOR 
POST- 197 3  MALES  BY  VETERAN  STATUS 

Variable  Veterans  Nonveterans  T-TEST  (.01) 

INCANN  19,504  17,495  -6.6202  * 

COLLEGE  0.3751  0.2696  -10.3966  * 

CHILD  1.1493  0.8715  -10.3959  * 

EDUCATION  12.8580  12.4752  -11.6704  * 

MARRIED  0.6115  0.4996  -10.5887  * 

NONWHITE  0.3354  0.2520  -8.4143  * 

ADJEXP  5.0725  6.6047  19.0522  * 

XFRVET  0.163  3  

SELFEMPLOY  0.0516  0.0572  1.1662 

AGRIMIN  0.1855  0.2540  7.9022  * 

FINANCE  0.0224  0.0210  -0.4657 

MANUFACTURING  0.2101  0.2379  3.1237  * 

ENT/REC  0.0054  0.0058  0.2251 

SALES  0.0458  0.0654  4.1189  * 

PROSERV  0.0683  0.0498  -3.5340  * 

PUBADMIN  0.2287  0.1133  -13.7244  * 

REPSERV  0.0618  0.0742  2.3249  * 

TRANSPORTATION  0.0987  0.0664  -5.2830  * 

GOVERNMENT  0.3264  0.1824  -15.0527  * 

CRAFT  0.1992  0.2112  1.3895 

MANAGER  0.0532  0.0562  1.3895 

OPMACHINE  0.1432  0.1771  4.3840  * 

OPLABOR  0.0685  0.0871  3.2900  * 

WHOLESALE  0.0307  0.0364  1.4797 

RETAIL  0.0788  0.1307  8.2719  * 

PROFESS  0.1403  0.0840  -8.0043  * 

SERVICE  0.1832  0.1358  -5.9037  * 

Note:  *  denotes  variable  is  significant  at  the  one  percent 


level 


49 


TABLE  19 


COMPARISON  OF  MEANS  FOR 
ALL  FEMALE  VETERANS  BY  RACE 


Variable 


Whites 


Nonwhites 


T-TEST  (.01) 


INCANN 
COLLEGE 
CHILD 
EDUCATION 
MARRIED 
VETERAN 
ADJEXP 
XFRVET 
SELFEMPL 
AGRIMIN 
FINANCE 
MANUFACTURING 
ENT/REC 
SALES 
PROSERV 
PUBADMIN 
REPSERV 

TRANSPORTATION 
GOVERNMENT 
CRAFT 
MANAGER 
OPMACHINE 
OPLABOR 
WHOLESALE 
RETAIL 
PROFESS 
SERVICE 
Note:  *  denotes 


17, 996 
0.5280 
0.5919 
13  .4333 
0.3472 
0.3595 
9.7654 
0.0795 
0.0284 
0.0653  , 
0.0587 
0.1135 
0.0066 
0.0662 
0.1646 
0.3756 
0.0417 
0.0568 
0.4749 
0.0407 
0.1722 
0.0596 
0.0293 
0.0180 
0.0870 
0.1996 

0.1060 
variable  is 


18, 977 
0.5508 
0.9246 
13  .4105 
0.3164 
0.2344 
9.9951 
0.0574 
0.0115 
0.0688 
0.0852 
0.1148 
0.0049 
0.0689 
0.2000 
0.3115 
0.0393 
0.0754 
0.5066 
0.0066 
0.1492 
0.0754 
0.0131 
0.0049 
0.0770 
0.1885 
0.1426 


-1.3052 
1.2910 
-6.6041  * 
0.2567 
1,2910 
5.5239  * 
-0.6689 
1.7572  * 
2.5276  * 
-0.2798 
-1.9800  * 
-0.0757 
0.4513 
-0.2053 
-1.7850 
2.6756  * 
0.2285 
-1.4507 
-1.2438 
4.9432  * 
1.2414 
-1.221 
2.3351  * 
2.6425  * 
0.7209 
0.5531 
-2.1511  * 


level 


significant  at  the  one  percent 


50 


B.   Multivariate  Analyses 

1.   The  Effects  of  Veteran  Status  for  Females 

The  coefficients  of  the  earnings  models  for  all 
females  and  volunteer-era  females  are  presented  in  Tables  20 
and  21.  As  expected,  both  groups  of  females  had  positive 
returns  for  transferring  milita2ry-acquired  skills.  However, 
the  returns  for  all  females  (six  percent)  and  post-1973 
females  (four  percent)  were  both  statistically  insignificant. 
Although  insignificant,  the  positive  sign  for  the  coefficients 
does  reflect  some  desire  on  the  part  of  civilian  employers  to 
hire  veterans  with  these  skills. 

The  coefficients  for  the  variable  VETERAN  in  Tables  20 
and  21  represent  the  effect  on  earnings  of  changing 
occupations.  Normally,  individuals  who  change  occupations 
require  training  from  their  new  employer.  Some  of  the  cost  of 
this  training  must  be  absorbed  by  the  individual  in  the  form 
of  lower  wages.  The  estimated  coefficient  for  the  variable 
VETERAN  for  women  is  positive  but  insignificant  for  both 
groups  of  females.  One  possibility  is  that  female  veterans 
realize  a  slight  return  from  changing  occupations  to  the 
civilian  sector,  and  that  female  veterans  are  at  least  not 
penalized  for  their  active  duty  affiliation.  Since  the  primary 
reason  for  the  initial  drop  in  income  after  a  job  change  is 
the  firm's  training  costs,  the  value  and  transferability  of 


51 


military-acquired  training  may  at  least  offset  the  cost  to  the 
f  i  rm . 

Recall  that  more  than  22  percent  of  the  female 
veterans  transferred  their  military  acquired  skills  to 
civilian  occupations.  Tables  20  and  21  indicate  that  females 
who  transferred  skills  that  they  acquired  while  on  active  duty 
(XFRVET)  gained  a  larger  earnings  advantage  than  veterans  who 
did  not  transfer  skills.  However,  once  again,  the  coefficient 
for  the  transfer  variable  for  the  two  groups  of  females  is  not 
significant  . 

The  coefficient  for  the  variable  ADJEXP"*  (Tables  20 
and  21)  is  positive  and  significant  for  both  groups  of 
females.  The  immediate  effect  is  approximately  a  five  percent 
relative  gain  in  earnings  for  the  first  year  of  civilian  labor 
market  experience.  Tables  22  and  23  were  computed  by  allowing 
all  of  the  dichotomous  variables  to  be  equal  to  zero  and 
computing  various  possible  combinations  of  the  variables 
XFRVET,  VETERAN,  ADJEXP,  and  ADJEXP2 .  The  intent  is  to  measure 
the  partial  effects  on  In-earnings  of  active  duty  affiliation 
and  civilian  labor  market  experience.  Table  22  shows  the 
effects  of  post-military  civilian  labor  market  experience  for 
female  veterans  who  have  civilian  jobs  similar  to  those  they 
held  in  the  military  versus  females  who  have  chosen  different 
occupations.  The  net  effect  is  that  annual  income  increases  an 


^The  variable  ADJEXP  represents  an  adjustment  in  civilian 
labor  market  experience  for  veterans'  time  on  active  duty. 


52 


average  of  nearly  four  percent  per  year  for  a  ten-year  period, 
but  IS  slightly  reduced  over  time, 

Estima-ed  coefficients  for  the  active  duty-related 
variables  indicate  that  female  veterans  realize  no  noticeable 
earnings  penalty  upon  leaving  the  service.  This  observation 
holds  true  for  both  groups  of  female  veterans.  Table  22 
indicates  that  the  return  for  veteran  status  and  skill 
transfer  increases  income  by  50  percent  after  the  individual 
has  been  out  of  the  service  for  ten  years . 

As  presented  in  Tables  20  and  21,  married  females  with 
children  earned  over  five  percent  less  than  single  females. 
This  earnings  penalty  was  expected  since  married  women  with 
children  tend  to  have  less  time  to  invest  in  their  own  human 
capital.  However,  the  coefficient  for  CHILD  was  statistically 
insignificant . 

The  greatest  return  on  occupational  variables  for  both 
groups  of  females  was  for  those  employed  in  the  finance, 
entertainment /recreation,     public    administration,     and 
transportation  industries.  Those  who  were  self-employed  or 
worked  in  sales  had  negative  returns. 


53 


TABLE  2  0 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  ALL  FEMALES 


Variable 


Coefficient 


T-Statistic 


CHILD 

-0.0006 

-0.033 

EDUCATION 

0.0391 

4.315 

-*•-*•* 

MARRIED 

-0.05507 

-1.686 

* 

NONWHITE 

-0.0200 

-0.635 

ADJEXP 

0.0496 

7.036 

*  *  * 

ADJEXP2 

-0.0008 

-3.115 

*  *  * 

SELFEMPLOY 

-0.2996 

-3 .000 

*  -*•  * 

AGRIMIN 

0.5430 

4.259 

■*•■*•  * 

FINANCE 

0.7  52  5   ^'- 

5.990 

*  *  •*■ 

MANUFACTURING 

0.6327 

5.126 

■*••*••*• 

ENT/REC 

0.8909 

4.073 

*  *  •*• 

SALES 

-0.0097 

-0.132 

PROSERV 

0.5366 

4.431 

*  *  ■*• 

PUBADMIN 

0.7204 

5.790 

*  *  * 

REPSERV 

0.4871 

3  .714 

•*•  *  * 

TRANSPORTATION 

0.7723 

6.041 

*  *  * 

GOVERNMENT 

0.0552 

1.176 

CRAFT 

0.3517 

3.858 

*  *  * 

MANAGER 

0.2345 

5.261 

*  •  * 

OPMACHINE 

0.0574 

0.813 

OPLABOR 

0.0172 

0.172 

WHOLESALE 

0.6749 

3  .965 

*  *  * 

RETAIL 

0.3568 

2.824 

*  *  * 

PROFESS 

0.2421 

5.334 

*  *  * 

SERVICE 

0.2024 

3.955 

■*•  *  * 

54 


TABLE  20  (cont . ) 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  ALL  FEMALES 


Variable 


Coefficient 


T-Statistic 


VETERAN 

XFRVET 

INTERCEPT 

R- SQUARE 

AD J  R- SQUARE 

F-STATISTIC 

Sample  Size 


0.0243 

0.0602 

7.9603 

.2371 

.2245 

18.844 


0.675 
0.965 
48.300  *** 


1664 


*  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .10  level 
***  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .01  level 


55 


TABLE  21 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  POST-1973  FEMALES 


Variable 


Coefficient 


T-Statistic 


CHILD 

-0.0091 

-0.475 

EDUCATION 

0.0365 

3  .624 

■*••*•* 

MARRIED 

-0  .0578 

-1.610 

*■ 

NONWHITE 

-0.0078 

-0.226 

ADJEXP 

0.0494 

5.588 

*  *  * 

ADJEXP2 

-0.0006 

-1.772 

• 

SELFEMPLOY 

-0.4024 

-3.528 

*  *  • 

AGRIMIN 

0.5689 

4.250 

*  ■*■  • 

FINANCE 

0.7722 

5.917 

*  *  * 

MANUFACTURING 

0.6220 

4.851 

*■*•■*■ 

ENT/REC 

0.7907 

3.262 

*  *  * 

SALES 

-0.0077 

-0.100 

PROSERV 

0.5275 

4.174 

*  *  * 

PUBADMIN 

0.7101 

5.465 

*  *  •*• 

REPSERV 

0.4324 

3  .160 

*  *  •*• 

TRANSPORTATION 

0.7519 

5.591 

*  *  * 

GOVERNMENT 

0.0433 

0.837 

CRAFT 

0.3961 

3  .996 

■*•*•*• 

M7VNAGER 

0.2327 

4.627 

■*■  *  * 

OPMACHINE 

0.0368 

0.485 

OPLABOR 

0.0266 

0.249 

WHOLESALE 

0.6369 

3.615 

*  *  * 

RETAIL 

0.3613 

2.763 

*  *  * 

PROFESS 

0.2221 

4.330 

*  *  * 

SERVICE 

0.2126 

3.870 

*  *  * 

56 


TABLE  21  (cont . ) 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  POST- 197 3  FEMALES 


Variable 


VETERAN 

XFRVET 

INTERCEPT 

R- SQUARE 

AD J  R- SQUARE 

F-STATISTIC 

Sample  Size 


Coefficient 


T-Statistic 


0.0228 

0.0434 

7.9903 

.2353 

.2204 

15.772 


0.500 
0.562 
44.963  *** 


1411 


*  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .10  level 
***  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .01  level 


57 


TABLE  22 
COMPARISON  OF  CIVILIAN  LABOR  MARKET  EXPERIENCE  EFFECTS  ON 
LN-EARNINGS  FOR  ALL  FEMALE  VETERANS 


YEAR 


WITHOUT  XFRVET   WITH  XFRVET 
(A)  (B) 


CHANGE /YEAR 
(from  column  B) 


1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
7 
8 
9 
10 


0.0718 
0.1194 
0.1654 
0.2098 
0.2526 
0.2946 
0.3334 
0.3714 
0.4078 
0.4426 


0.1324 
0.1800 
0.2260 
0.2704 
0.3132 
0.3552 
0.3940 
0.4320 
0.4684 
0.5032 


0.0476 
0.0460 
0.0444 
0.0428 
0.0420 
0.0388 
0.0380 
0.0364 
0.0348 


TABLE  23 
COMPARISON  OF  CIVILIAN  LABOR  MARKET  EXPERIENCE  EFFECTS  ON 
LN-EARNINGS  FOR  ALL  MALE  VETERANS 


YEAR 


WITHOUT  XFRVET   WITH  XFRVET 
(A)  (B) 


CHANGE /YEAR 
(from  column  B) 


1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
7 
8 
9 
10 


0.1139 
0.1576 
0.1997 
0.2402 
0.2791 
0.3164 
0.3521 
0.3862 
0.4178 
0.4496 


0.1832 
0.2269 
0.2690 
0.3095 
0.3484 
0.3857 
0.4214 
0.4555 
0.4880 
0.5189 


0.0437 
0.0421 
0.0405 
0.0389 
0.0373 
0.0357 
0.0341 
0.0325 
0.0309 


58 


2.   The  Effects  of  Veteran  Status  for  Males 

The  two  groups  of  males,  all  and  post-1973,  showed 
positive  returns  to  transferring  their  military-acquired 
skills.  The  post-1973  group  realized  a  return  of  only  2.2 
percent  (Table  25),  while  the  group  of  all  males  gained  7.2 
percent  for  transferring  skills  (Table  24)  .  The  observed 
positive  coefficients  could  be  a  factor  of  higher  demand  for 
military  acquired  training.  This  finding  is  consistent  with 
other  studies  (Mehay,  1992;  Mangum  and  Ball,  1989). 

Males  received  a  positive  return  for  leaving  the 
service  and  entering  the  civilian  labor  market  (VETERAN) .  The 
size  of  the  return  was  7.2  percent  for  all  males  and  10.0 
percent  for  post-1973  males  (Tables  24  and  25)  .  Since  this 
positive  effect  is  significant  for  both  groups  of  veterans, 
civilian  employers  appear  to  place  added  value  on  all  training 
received  in  the  military,  at  least  for  male  veterans. 

•  As  was  noted  for  the  female  veterans,  male  veterans 
see  their  income  grow  as  the  number  of  years  out  of  service 
increases.  The  coefficients  for  the  variable  ADJEXP  (Tables  24 
and  25)  are  both  positive  and  significant.  The  return  on  years 
of  civilian  labor  market  experience  is  approximately  five 
percent  for  the  group  of  all  males  and  six  percent  for  the 
post-1973  group.  These  figures  closely  resemble  the  observed 
values  for  females'  returns  on  years  of  experience.  Table  23 
shows  that  after  the  veteran  has  been  out  of  the  service  for 


59 


ten  years,  his  annual  income  will  have  increased  by  51.9 
percent  due  to  the  partial  return  to  wages  of  the  military 
variables . 

The  coefficients  for  the  variables  MARRIED  and  CHILD 
(Tables  24  and  25)  have  the  opposite  effect  on  annual  income 
of  males  as  they  do  on  the  annual  income  of  females.  This 
result  IS  statistically  significant.  Males  employed  in  the 
manufacturing,  public  administration,  and  transportation 
industries  had  the  highest  returns  on  annual  income.  Males 
whose  occupations  were  in  labor,  service,  and  retail  had 
negative  returns  to  annual  income. 
3.   The  Results  for  Race  - 

Table  26  shows  the  decomposition  of  the  veteran- 
related  variables  by  race  and  gender  to  measure  the  partial 
effects  of  veteran  status  on  the  four  groups  after  one  year  of 
civilian  experience.  The  Appendix  contains  a  table  that 
displays  the  regression  results  for  different  racial  groups. 
Although  all  of  the  results  were  positive,  the  smallest  return 
was  for  white  females  (6.7  percent) .  Nonwhite  males  and 
females  had  the  highest  returns  to  their  incomes  (23.3  percent 
and  27.7  percent,  respectively)  .  This  result  could  be  an 
indication  that  the  military  is  an  effective  "bridge"  for 
minorities  into  higher  paying  occupations. 


60 


TABLE  24 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  ALL  MALES 


Variable 

Coefficient 

T-Statistic 

CHILD 

0.0195 

6.628 

*  +  * 

EDUCATION 

0.0572 

26.393 

*  *  * 

MARRIED 

0.1141 

12  .397 

*  *  * 

NONWHITE 

-0.1146 

-13 .153 

■*•  •  * 

ADJEXP 

0.0459 

30.727 

*  *  * 

ADJEXP2 

-0.0008 

-17.968 

*  *  * 

SELFEMPLOY 

0.0512 

3  .439 

■*•■*■*■ 

AGRIMIN 

0.1002 

2.648 

■*■  *  * 

FINANCE 

0.2077 

4.987 

*  *  * 

MANUFACTURING 

0.2302 

6.093 

■*■  *  * 

ENT/REC 

-0.0251 

-0.363 

SALES 

0.1161 

5.909 

*  ■*•  * 

PROSERV 

0.0115 

0.288 

PUBADMIN 

0.2438 

6.235 

*  *  * 

REPSERV 

0.0070 

0.179 

TRANSPORTATION 

0.3719 

9.654 

■*•*•*• 

GOVERNMENT 

0.0358 

2.855 

*  •  * 

CRAFT 

0.0928 

7.730 

*  *  * 

MANAGER 

0.1516 

10.400 

*  •  * 

OPMACHINE 

0.0329 

2.375 

*  *  * 

OPLABOR 

-0.0710 

-3  .998 

*  *  •*• 

WHOLESALE 

0.1351 

3.180 

*  *  * 

RETAIL 

-0.0311 

-0.793 

PROFESS 

0.1642 

11.889 

*  ■*•  * 

SERVICE 

-0.0088 

-0.641 

61 


TABLE  24  (cont . ) 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  ALL  MALES 


Variable 


VETERAN 

XFRVET 

INTERCEPT 

R- SQUARE 

AD J  R- SQUARE 

F-STATISTIC 

Sample  Size 


Coefficient 


T-Statistic 


0.0722 

0.0718 

8.3570 

.2677 

.2670 

355.279 


9.565  *** 
5  .  002  *** 
177.3225  *** 


26263 


*  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .05  level 
***  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .01  level 


62 


TABLE  25 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  POST- 197 3  MALES 


Variable 

Coefficient 

T-Statistic 

CHILD 

0.0107 

1.630 

* 

■  EDUCATION 

0,0594 

12.284 

-*•  *  * 

MARRIED 

0.1075 

6.943 

■*■  *  * 

NONWHITE 

-0.1154 

-7.501 

*  *  • 

ADJEXP 

0.0591 

14.983 

*  *  * 

ADJEXP2 

-0.0015 

-7.887 

Tk-  ■*•  * 

SELFEMPLOY 

0.1078 

3  .631 

*  *  * 

AGRIMIN 

0.0166 

0.279 

FINANCE 

0.1764 

2.511 

■*■  *  * 

MANUFACTURING 

0.1196 

2.000 

*  *  * 

ENT/REC 

-0.1149 

-1.093 

SALES 

0.0934 

2.704 

*  *  ■*: 

PROSERV 

-0.1086 

-1.660 

* 

PUBADMIN 

0.1918 

2.986 

*  *  * 

REPSERV 

-0.0684 

-1.116 

TRANSPORTATION 

0.2536 

4.042 

•*•■*••*• 

GOVERNMENT 

0.0726 

2.856 

*  *  •*■ 

CRAFT 

0.0092 

4.524 

*  *  * 

MANAGER 

0.1868 

5.634 

■*■  *  • 

OPMACHINE 

0.5544 

2.193 

*  *  •*■ 

OPLABOR 

-0.0388 

-1.362 

WHOLESALE 

0.0647 

0.950 

RETAIL 

-0.1060 

-1.733 

* 

PROFESS 

0.2022 

7.137 

*  *  * 

SERVICE 

-0.0183 

-0.738 

63 


TABLE  2  5  (cont . ) 
COEFFICIENTS  FOR  POST-1973  MALES 


Variable 


VETERAN 

XFRVET 

INTERCEPT 

R-SQUARE 

AD J  R-SQUARE 

F-STATISTIC 

Sample  Size 


Coefficient 


T-Statistic 


0.0998 

0.0216 

8.3367 

.1389 

.1366 

60.634 


6.157  *** 
0.672 
95.586  *** 


10173 


*  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .05  level 
***  denotes  coefficient  significant  at  .01  level 


64 


TABLE  26 
RETURN  TO  VETERAN  STATUS  AND  TRANSFER  OF  SKILLS  AFTER 
ONE  YEAR  OUT  OF  SERVICE 


XFI^VET    VETERAN   ADJEXP   ADJEXP2  j  Return 


White 
Females 

Nonwhite 
Females 

White 
Males 

Nonwhite 
Males 


+0.011    +0.003   +0.054   -0.0011   +0.067 


+0.196    +0.049   +0.033   -0.0001 


+0.077    +0.051   +0.047   -0.000! 


+0.043    +0.147   +0.043   -0.0007    +0.233 


+0.277 


+0.173 


Note:  Appendix  includes  full  regression  results  for  this 
table . 


4 .   Earnings  Comparison  by  Gender  and  Veteran  Status 

As  presented  in  Sections  One  and  Two,  veterans  tend  to 
have  higher  earnings  than  nonveterans  upon  entering  the 
civilian  labor  market.  Table  27  presents  the  results  of  four 
regressions  differentiated  by  gender  and  veteran  status.  To 
compare  the  effects  of  civilian  labor  market  experience  on 
veterans  and  nonveterans,  all  the  dummy  variables  were  set  to 
zero  and  the  variable  EDUC  was  given  the  value  13  (the 
approximate  mean  for  all  groups)  .  The  values  for  INTERCEPT  and 
EDUC  became  constants.  This  left  the  coefficients  for  ADJEXP 
and  ADJEXP2  as  the  only  variables  in  the  In-earnings  equation. 
The  equations  for  veterans  and  nonveterans  were  set  equal  to 
each  other  to  determine  at  what  level  of  civilian  labor  market 
experience  their  wages  would  be  equal.   Females'   annual 


65 


earnings  merged  at  9.3  years  of  labor  market  experience.  For 
males,  10.2  years  of  labor  market  experience  was  the  point  of 
intersection.  At  this  point,  nonveteran  and  veteran  males 
earned  the  same  annual  income. 

The  derivative  of  In-earnmgs  with  respect  to  ADJEXP 
presents  the  amount  of  labor  market  experience  at  which  there 
IS  no  longer  any  return  on  one  more  year  of  additional 
experience.  The  number  of  years  for  both  groups  of  males  was 
similar,  39.9  years  for  veterans  and  38.8  years  for 
nonveterans .  The  difference  for  females  was  25.4  years  (26,7 
years  for  veterans  and  52.1  years  for  nonveterans) . 


66 


TABLE  27 


REGRESSION  RESULTS  BY  GENDER 
AND  VETERAN  STATUS 


Femal 

es 

Mai 

es 

Variable 

VETS 

NONVETS 

VETS 

NONVETS 

INTERCEPT 

8.0271* 

7.9206* 

8.5434* 

8.2696* 

CHILD 

-0.0195 

0.0039 

0.0224* 

0.0075 

EDUC 

0.0390* 

0.0398* 

0.0534* 

0.0603* 

MARRIED 

-0.0404 

-0.0764* 

0.1148* 

0.1037* 

NONWHITE 

0.0431 

-0.0494 

-0.0879* 

-0.1501* 

ADJEXP 

0.0444* 

0.0544* 

0.0384* 

0.0564* 

ADJEXP2 

-0.0010* 

-0.0008* 

-0.0007* 

-0.0010* 

SELFEMPL 

-0.7523* 

-0.1176 

0.0385* 

0.0578* 

AGRIMIN 

0.5740* 

0.5496* 

0.1162* 

0.0919* 

FINANCE 

0.6815* 

0.7731* 

0.1620* 

0.2586* 

MANUFACT 

0.5982* 

0.6455* 

0.2559* 

0.2055* 

ENT/REC 

1.1193* 

0.7103* 

-0.0358 

-0.0059 

SALES 

0.0470 

-0.0341 

0.1260* 

0.1090* 

PROSERV 

0.5448* 

0.5377* 

0.0176 

0.0191 

PUBADMIN 

0.8125* 

0.6702* 

0.2460* 

0.2491* 

REPSERV 

0.5237* 

0.4831* 

0.0101 

0.0097 

TRANSPORT 

0.7098* 

0.8329* 

0.4082* 

0.3174* 

GOVERN 

0.0289 

0.0719 

0.0448* 

0.0111 

CRAFT 

0.4040* 

0.2702* 

0.0881* 

0.0969* 

MANAGER 

0.2194* 

0.2367* 

0.1463* 

0.1551* 

OPMACHINE 

0.0978 

0.0335 

0.0141 

0.0532 

OPLABOR 

0.0632 

0.0032 

-0.1019* 

-0.0396 

WHOLESALE 

0.5973* 

0.7029* 

0.1408* 

0.1246 

RETAIL 

0.2541 

0.3981* 

-0.0342 

-0.0247 

PROFESS 

0.3201* 

0.1985* 

0.1564* 

0.1699* 

SERVICE 

0.2216* 

0.1950* 

-0.0209 

0.0022 

Note:  *  denotes 
percent  level. 


significance  of  coefficient  at  the  10 


67 


VI.  CONCLUSIONS  AND  RECOMMENDATIONS 

The  intent  of  this  thesis  was  to  investigate  different 
earnings  models  m  order  to  measure  any  significant  post- 
military  income  differences  between  veteran  and  nonveteran 
females,  and  to  compare  the  veteran-nonveteran  differentials 
for  females  with  that  of  males.  The  Reserve  Components  Survey 
allowed  for  the  minimization  of  selectivity  bias  by  including 
respondents  who  have  been  screened  for  military  service,  thus 
ensuring  a  near  homogeneous  sample. 

The  primary  question  addressed  in  this  thesis  was:  Do 
female  veterans  have  higher  earnings  after  leaving  the  service 
than  do  their  civilian  contemporaries?  Although  the  net  effect 
of  the  job  change  (VETERAN)  and  the  transfer  of  military 
skills  to  their  new  occupation  (XFRVET)  may  have  a  positive 
effect  on  the  civilian  wages  of  veterans,  any  differences 
evaporate  after  approximately  nine  years  in  the  civilian 
sector.  Therefore,  the  returns  for  military  service  may  not  be 
large,  but  in  the  long  run  active  duty  females  earn  somewhat 
higher  incomes  than  their  civilian  contemporaries,  all  things 
being  equal . 

A  secondary  question  examined  in  this  thesis  was:  Do 
female  veterans  close  the  'gender  gap'  in  relative  pay  between 
males  and  females.  Examination  of  mean  annual  incomes  reveals 


68 


that  female  veterans  earn  approximately  80  percent  of  what 
male  nonveterans  earn,  on  average.  Historically,  the  gender 
gap  has  been  30  to  40  percent  (Blau  and  Ferber,  1986) .  This 
thesis  shows  that  white  female  veterans  earn  approximately  70 
percent  of  the  earnings  of  male  veterans.  When  female  veterans 
are  compared  to  male  nonveterans,  the  gap  closes  to  18 
percent '".  Comparatively,  the  average  female  veteran  in  this 
sample  has  slightly  lower  earnings  than  her  nonveteran 
counterpart.  This  differential  is  due  primarily  to  differences 
in  years  of  civilian  labor  market  experience. 

Skill  training  received  by  individuals  in  the  different 
services  varies  due  to  operational  necessity  and  specific 
mission.  The  Navy  and  the  Air  Force  have  the  greatest  number 
of  technical  fields  while  the  Army  tends  to  incorporate  more 
military  specific  training  that  may  require  lower  skills. 
Opportunity  for  the  most  sought  after  and  financially 
beneficial  high-tech  training  is  greater  in  the  Navy  and  Air 
Force.  The  size  of  the  sample  necessitated  the  grouping  of  all 
female  veterans.  This  made  interpretation  of  regression 
results  by  service  impossible.  Other  authors  have  found 
significant  differences  in  returns  to  military  training  by 
branch  of  service  for  males.  If  this  hypothesis  holds  true  for 
females,  then  there  may  be  some  impact  on  wages  depending  upon 
branch  of  service  for  this  group  also.  The  size  of  the  Army 


'Computed  from  mean  annual  incomes 

69 


cohort  could  have  a  significant  impact  on  the  coefficient  for 
grouped  veteran  status.  However,  removal  of  Army  veterans  from 
the  sample  leaves  too  few  observations  to  draw  any 
conclusions.  Future  studies  should  examine  post-service  wage 
differentials  by  branch  of  service  to  examine  the  effects  of 
each  services'  training. 

The  data  from  this  survey  are  nearly  a  decade  old.  If  the 
trends  noted  by  Eitelberg  (1988)  hold  true,  then  it  is 
expected  that  females  will  be  increasingly  interested  in  the 
high-tech  occupations  in  the  military.  Force  composition  by 
gender  may  have  changed  significantly  in  the  last  eight  years, 
and  female  enlistees  should  be  reaping  the  benefits  of  their 
military  experience.  Increasing  female  participation  in  the 
armed  forces  should  make  statistical  examination  of  the 
current  1991  Reserve  Components  Survey  more  insightful,  and 
provide  greater  detail  into  the  investigation  of  female 
veterans'  wages. 


70 


APPENDIX 
REGRESSION  COEFFICIENTS  BY  RACE  AND  GENDER 


Femal 

.es 

Mal( 

ss 

Variable 

WHITES 

NONWHITES 

WHITES 

NONWHITES 

INTERCEPT 

7.9712* 

7.9286* 

8.3449* 

8.2701* 

CHILD 

0.0045 

0.0091 

0.0278* 

-0.0045 

EDUC 

0.0329* 

0.0515* 

0.0548* 

0.0641* 

MARRIED 

-0.0820* 

-0.0153 

0.1019* 

0.1479* 

ADJEXP 

0.0538* 

0.0320* 

0.0467* 

0.0425* 

ADJEXP2 

-0.0011* 

-0.0001 

-0.0008* 

-0.0007* 

SELFEMPL 

-0.1455 

-0.8984* 

0.0600* 

-0.0141 

AGRIMIN 

0.5916* 

0.5055* 

0.1415* 

0.0047 

FINANCE 

0.8365* 

0.6256* 

0.2414* 

0.1217 

MANUFACT 

0.6880* 

0.5929* 

0.2751* 

0.1086 

ENT/REC 

0.8756* 

0.7978* 

-0.0249 

0.0173 

SALES 

0.0645 

-0.2178 

0.1246* 

0.0733 

PROSERV 

0.6286* 

0.4347* 

0.0730 

-0.1485* 

PUBADMIN 

0.7314* 

0.6729* 

0.2930* 

0.1255 

REPSERV 

0.5258* 

0.4614* 

0.0510 

-0.1035 

TRANSPORT 

0.8229* 

0.6752* 

0.3989* 

0.3055* 

GOVERN 

0.1576* 

-0.0667 

0.0309* 

0.0386 

CRAFT 

0.3652* 

0.1514 

0.0932* 

0.0910* 

MANAGER 

0.2270* 

0.2314* 

0.1624* 

0.1070* 

OPMACHINE 

0.0880 

-0.0053 

0.0241* 

0.0668* 

OPLABOR 

0.0276 

0.0260 

-0.0697* 

-0.0815* 

WHOLESALE 

0.7702* 

0.4395 

0.1794* 

0.0178 

RETAIL 

0.3046* 

0.5577* 

0.0054 

-0.1130 

PROFESS 

0.2444* 

0.2374* 

0.1716* 

0.1414* 

SERVICE 

0.1514* 

0.2697* 

-0.0028 

-0.0265 

Note:  '^  denot 

es  variable 

IS  signi 

ticant  at  the 

10  percent 

level 

71 


REGRESSION  COEFFICIENTS  BY  RACE  AND  GENDER 

(cont . ) 


Females 

Mai 

es 

Variable 

WHITES 

NONWHITES 

WHITES 

NONWHITES 

VETERAN 

0.0026 

0.0485 

0.0514* 

0.1465* 

XFRVET 

0.0114 

0.1960 

0.0770* 

0.0425 

Sample 

1055 

608 

20457 

5805 

Size 

R- SQUARED 

.3014 

.2013 

.2943 

.1891 

ADJ  R- 

.2837 

.1656 

.2934 

.1854 

SQUARED 

F -VALUE 

17.071 

5.641 

327.647 

51.825 

Note:  *  denotes  coefficient  significance  at  10  percent 


72 


LIST  OF  REFERENCES 

Berger,  M.  and  B.  Hersch,  "Veteran  Status  as  a  Screening 
Device  During  the  Vietnam  Era."  Social  Science  Quarterly,  V. 
18,  1983. 

Blau,  Francine  and  Marianne  Ferber,  The  Economics  of  Women, 
Men,  and  Work,  Englewood  Cliffs,  N J .  Prentice-Hall,  1986. 

Bryant,  Richard  and  Al  Wilhite,  "Military  Experience  and 
Training  Effects  on  Wages."  Applied  Economics,  V.22,  1990. 

Daymont,  Thomas  and  Paul  Andrisani,  "Job  Preferences,  College 
Major,  and  the  Gender  Gap  in  Earnings."  Journal  of  Human 
Resources ,  Summer  1984. 

De  Tray,  Dennis,  Veteran  Status  and  Civilian  Earnings,  The 
Rand  Corporation,  R-1929-ARPA,  March  1980. 

Eitelberg,  Mark,  Manpower  for  Military  Occupations,  Office  of 
the  Assistant  Secretary  of  Defense  (Force  Management  and 
Personnel) ,  1988 . 

Fredland,  John  and  Roger  Little,  "Long  Term  Returns  To 
Vocational  Training:  Evidence  from  Military  Sources."  Journal 
of  Human  Resources,  V.15,  No.  1,  1980. 

Rosters,  Marvin  H.,  Workers  and  Their  Wages,  the  AEI  Press, 
Washington  D.C,  1991. 

Magnum,  Stephen  and  David  Ball,  "Military  Skill  Training:  Some 
Evidence  of  Transferability."  Armed  Forces  and  Society,  V.13, 
No. 3,  1987. 

Mehay,   Stephen,   "Post-Service  Earnings   of   Volunteer-Era 

Veterans:   Evidence   from   the  Reserves."   Department   of 

Administrative  Sciences,  U.S.  Naval  Postgraduate  School, 
Monterey,  CA.,  1992. 

Miller,  Caroline  J.,  "Post-Service  Earnings  of  Veterans:  A 
Survey  and  Further  Research."  Masters  Thesis,  Naval 
Postgraduate  School,  Monterey,  CA.,  March  1991. 

Miller,  Harman,  "Annual  and  Lifetime  Income  in  Relation  to 
Education."  Armed  Forces  and  Society,  V.5,  1979. 


73 


Norrbloom,  E.,  An  Assessment  of  the  Available  Evidence  on  the 
Returns  to  Military  Training,  The  Rand  Corporation,  R-1960- 
ARPA,  July  1977 . 

SAS  Institute  Inc.,  SAS  Procedures  Guide,  Version  6,  Third 
Edition,  Car-y  NC :  SAS  Institute  Inc.,  1990. 

Schwartz,  Saul,  "The  Relative  Earnings  of  Vietnam  and  Korean- 
Era  Veterans."  Industrial  and  Labor  Relations  Review,  V.39, 
No . 4 ,  19  8  6. 

Waite,  Linda  J.  and  Sue  E.  Berryman,  Women  in  the 
Nontraditional  Occupations,  Rand  Corporation,  R-3106-FF,  March 
1985. 


74 


INITIAL  DISTRIBUTION  LIST 


No.  Copies 
Defense  Technical  Information  Center  2 

Cameron  Station 
Alexandria  VA  22304-6145 


Library,  Code  052 

Naval  Postgraduate  School 

Monterey  CA  93943-5002 


Stephen  L.  Mehay,  Code  AS /MP 
Naval  Postgraduate  School 
Monterey  CA  93943-5002 


Carol  Mitchell,  Code  AS/MI 
Naval  Postgraduate  School 
Monterey  CA  93943-5002 


5.   Mark  R.  Sliepcevic 
5819  S.  Newcastle 
Chicago  XL  60638 


75 


Y^'^'-cD/6 


J^-^^:-i.L^... 


,  '-'vu.iio^,^- 


/ 


Thesis 

S5712  Sliepcevic 

c.l      An  analysis  of  post- 
service  career  earnings 
of  female  veterans. 


AO-*l<