ANALYZING
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
By
STEPHEN OILMAN, B. Sc.
Certified Public Accountant (Wisconsin and Ohio); First Vice-President, International
Accountants Society, Inc ; Formerly member of the lirm, Tanner, Oilman & Ellis, Certified
Public Accountants; Formerly Manager of Credit Department, Tennessee Coal, Iron and
Railroad Company; Author of "Principles of Accounting"
THE RONALD PRESS COMPANY
NEW YORK
Copyright, 1925, by
RONALD PRFSS COMPANT
All Rights Reserved
2
PREFACE
Formerly interest in the subject of analysis of financial
statements was confined almost entirely to credit men. But
of late years corporation executives, accounting officers,
investors and public accountants have begun to appreciate
the importance of statement analysis, and in this volume
an attempt has been made to cover the subject from the
broader viewpoint represented by the interests of all these
various groups.
Surveying most of the existing literature on this subject
the reader must be impressed with its vagueness as to
method and technique of statement analysis, and as to the
interpretation of the relative significance of facts which the
analysis develops.
The author of this volume, while fully recognizing the
grave dangers involved in definitely outlining methods and
procedure, feels that a sharper focusing on the subject
matter will be a help to those readers who have little time
or inclination to study the pros and cons of each point.
Most of the procedure advocated has been in practical
use by credit men for years. There are, however, some
departures from the conventional treatment.
The trend percentage method which is advocated repre-
sents the application to statement analysis of the " index
number method " which has long been used by statisticians.
The application of this method to statement analysis is
interesting, practical and of great value. While a thorough
study of existing literature in this field fails to show that
this application of index numbers has ever before been sug-
gested or discussed, nevertheless the reader may feel entirely
safe in using it. This method of statement analysis was
submitted to several thousand certified public accountants
IV
PREFACE
for their criticism and with practically no exception their
replies indicated complete approval of the method, and,
indeed, considerable enthusiasm over its possibilities.
Further, extensive tests covering many months and hun-
dreds of balance sheets and profit and loss statements, def-
initely prove its simplicity, quickness and interpretive value.
Another innovation has been to point the analysis pro-
cedure toward certain specific business ailments, just as the
physician's diagnosis points toward specific human ailments.
While only the two principal financial statements the
balance sheet and the profit and loss statement have been
discussed in this book, many of the methods advocated are
generally applicable to various other exhibits, schedules and
statistical statements.
It is recognized that a volume several times this size might
be written to cover the analysis of internal business state-
ments, departmental reports and statistics, etc. However,
it was found necessary to draw a rather sharp line of dis-
tinction between the internal and external viewpoints and
with but few necessary exceptions the external viewpoint
has been consistently maintained throughout.
In almost all instances fictitious instead of actual names
of corporations have been used in illustrative statements.
Otherwise, with but few unimportant changes, these illustra-
tions represent actual cases.
Complete and grateful acknowledgment is due my father,
Stephen W, Oilman, LL.D., C.P.A., and to my dear friend
and associate, John B. Tanner, C.P.A., for their careful
reading of the manuscript and many helpful criticisms and
ideas. And to a host of certified public accountants who
offered important suggestions, much appreciation is due.
STEPHEN OILMAN
Chicago, 111.
October 15, 1925
CONTENTS
CHAPTER PAGE
I THE FIELD OF STATEMENT ANALYSIS 3
II THE BALANCE SHEET 14
III THE APPROACH TO STATEMENT ANALYSIS .... 27
IV ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEET ..... 31
V COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS 45
VI SPECIFIC BUSINESS AILMENTS 54
VII BALANCE SHEET RATIOS 63
VIII HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS RATIO
METHOD 74
IX HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS RATIO
METHOD 81
X COMPARATIVE SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS . 96
XI HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS TREND
METHOD no
XII HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS TREND
METHOD 123
XIII STANDARD RATIOS 133
XIV CONCLUSIONS AS TO ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE .... 150
XV PROFIT AND Loss ANALYSIS 154
XVI PROFIT AND Loss ANALYSIS 183
XVII USING ANALYSIS METHODS IN REPORTS 207
XVIII RESTATEMENT OF FUNDAMENTALS OF ANALYSIS . . . 212
ILLUSTRATIONS
FIGURE PAGE
1. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Quick Assets to Current Liabilities
of Five Bankrupt Companies 103
2. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Current Assets to Current Liabilities
of Five Bankrupt Companies 105
3. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Net Worth to Total Debt of Five
Bankrupt Companies 107
4. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Net Worth to Fixed Assets of
Five Bankrupt Companies 109
5. Trend Percentage Chart for the Profit and Loss Statement of
Andrews and Company 171
6. Trend Percentage Chart of Operating Expenses of Andrews and
Company 172
7. Comparison of Trend Percentage Chart and Logarithmic Chart
from Profit and Loss Statements of Andrews and Company . . 174 ,
8. Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Statement of the
Knight Hardware Company 179
9. Trend Percentage Chart of Operating Expenses of the Knight
Hardware Company 179
10. Trend Percentage Chart of Profit- and Loss Statement of the
Ames Manufacturing- Company 181
n. Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Statement of the
Jones Manufacturing Company 188
12. Trend Percentage Chart of Selected Items of Manufacturing Cost
and Operating Expense of the Jones Manufacturing Company 189
13. Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Statement of the
Southern Gas Company 194
14. Trend Percentage Chart of Production Statistics and Profit and
Loss Figures of the Smith Mining Company 200
15. Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Figures of the Blank
Tire Company ,. . 203
1 6. Trend Percentage Chart Comparing Bank Clearings Outside
New York with Sales of the Blank Tire Company .... 204
17. Trend Percentage Chart of Sales of Leading Tire Manufacturers 205
Analyzing
Financial Statements
CHAPTER I
THE FIELD OF STATEMENT ANALYSIS
The Language o Business. "The language of business
is figures/'
In this forceful yet simple manner C W. Patterson, presi-
dent of Austin, Nicholls and Company, of New York City, the
largest wholesale grocers in the world, has uttered a statement
peculiarly striking because of the vital thought expressed in
those few words.
For it is literally true that the language of business is fig-
ures. Business men write, talk and think of every phase of
commercial activity in terms of figures. Financing, purchas-
ing, producing, selling and the subdivisions of these activities
form a complex structure which can only be recorded, discussed
and understood when translated into the language of figures
usually dollars and cents.
The History of a Business. Practically every business
keeps a written record of its financial activities; and this is
particularly true in this country where the requirements of the
income tax laws during recent years make the keeping of such
records mandatory.
But even before the requirement by law, and even where
such requirements do not exist from a legal standpoint, busi-
ness men have recognized the indispensable value of such a
written history in the carrying on of their commercial activities.
The history of any business is recorded in its accounting
books and records, expressed in terms of figures and for the
greater part expressed in the terms of money.
Origin o Accounting. Accounting originated, no doubt,
in the keeping of what was a mere chronological list or record
of business happenings, or a diary of business transactions,
3
4 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. i
scarcely comparable with the intricate, carefully built account-
ing systems of today; but still a written record of the business
activities.
Double Entry Records. Accounting has kept pace with
the tremendous strides of industrial activity and has developed
into a definite procedure known as "double entry."
While this procedure as used by a particular enterprise may
appear to be very much different from the procedure used by
some other enterprise, nevertheless all double entry systems are
based on certain fundamental principles which are the same for
every business.
The Financial Statements. Of these fundamentals of
procedure, probably the most important is the ultimate goal of
double entry account keeping, which is the production of two
financial statements, known as the balance sheet and the profit
and loss statement, respectively.
They represent the end toward which the double entry sys-
tem is constantly working and toward which the whole of the
double entry machinery is directed.
This does not mean that the production of these two state-
ments is the sole purpose of double entry accounting, for there
are a number of other results which are obtained from the pro-
cedure; but it may be said that the production of these two
statements is the foremost purpose since the fundamental struc-
ture of the procedure is planned toward their preparation.
In this book the double entry accounting system will be
viewed only as a means to an end, and attention will be given
to this principal result of accounting, the balance sheet and the
profit and loss statement, rather than to the methods of account
keeping and the various procedures and devices which are used
to accomplish the result.
Description of Statements The Balance Sheet. Chief
consideration, then, will be given to these two statements, the
Ch. i] THE FIELD OF STATEMENT ANALYSIS 5
producing of which is the principal purpose of double entry
accounting :
1. Balance sheet.
2. Profit and loss statement.
While the name "balance sheet" is the one generally ac-
cepted and generally used to designate the first of these two
statements, and while it is the name which will be used hence-
forth in this volume, yet there are several other names by w r hich
the statement is sometimes known, one of which may be more
familiar to some readers than the term "balance sheet." Some-
times this statement is spoken of as a "statement of assets and
liabilities ;" sometimes it is called a "statement of resources and
liabilities ;" and sometimes it is referred to as merely a "finan-
cial statement."
From a technical standpoint, distinctions might be made
between these various names, but from the popular understand-
ing the names are practically synonymous. However, the tech-
nically correct name for the statement produced by double entry
accounting, "balance sheet," has come into such general use in
recent years that probably everyone will recognize it readily as
the statement showing financial position.
The Profit and Loss Statement Other names have often
been used, too, in referring to the profit and loss statement.
Such names as the "Income account" or "income state-
ment," the "loss and gain statement," or the "trading and profit
and loss statement," are often heard and are in more or less
general use in business today.
Perhaps "trading and profit and loss statement" is the most
accurate of these, but it is a cumbersome phrase and for that
reason no doubt has been largely abandoned for the shorter and
more convenient phrase "profit and loss statement."
This short title has not only gained rapidly in favor among
business men and accountants, but it has also received a some-
6 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. i
what official sanction through its use by the Federal Reserve
Board in an important accounting monograph prepared by that
Board in conjunction with the Federal Trade Commission on
the subject of "Approved Methods for the Preparation of
Balance Sheet Statements."
Grouping of Balance Sheet Items. The balance sheet is
a statement which exhibits the values that a business owns,
the amounts the business owes, and the difference, or net worth
all expressed in dollars and cents.
Usually the values are grouped in such a way that similar
items are classed together in one item, so that one description
and one amount on the balance sheet cover the total of all values
of a certain class.
For example, a company may have several different bank
accounts, but for the balance sheet these may all be added to-
gether and the total shown as one item on the balance sheet
described as "cash in banks."
Similarly, each machine is not listed on the balance sheet,
but all the machinery values may be added together and shown
on the balance sheet as one item described as "machinery."
In a like manner, those who owe money to the company for
goods purchased on open account are not listed on the balance
sheet, item after item and name after name, but all such values
are added together and are shown as one item on the balance
sheet described as "accounts receivable."
The balance sheet should include every financial item which
belongs to the business, and it should show every legal claim
and debt against that business. It is a statement of ownership
that conveys to the reader the measurement of the wealth of
the particular enterprise.
Nature of Profit and Loss Statement. The profit and loss
statement presents a story of the business transactions during
some certain period of time.
Ch. i] THE FIELD OF STATEMENT ANALYSIS 7
In the same manner that the balance sheet shows groups of
items, so does the profit and loss statement exhibit the trans-
actions that have occurred, in totals of classes of transactions.
For example, each sale that has been made is not shown
separately, but all the sales, expressed in monetary value, may
be added together and shown on the statement as one item,
called "sales."
Similarly, the amount of profit resulting from the difference
between the amount of money paid for an article and the
amount of money received for the article, is not set down item
by item for each sale, but total figures are accumulated for sales,
cost of goods sold, and gross profit, and they may appear in
the statement as three items, described by their respective
names. Sometimes these items may be so grouped as to show
each one of the three by departments, branches, or some other
division of the business.
In addition to the sales, cost of goods sold, and gross profit,
the profit and loss statement presents the expenses and the final
figure of net profit. The transactions representing expenses are
not set down item by item, but are usually classified so that ex-
penses of a like nature are grouped together and presented as a
single item; and other expenses of a like nature but different
from the first group, will be grouped in another total figure and
presented as another single item.
The resultant figure of the statement is the net profit re-
sulting from the transactions of the period.
The work of accumulating like transactions into groups is
not deferred until the time when the statement is to be pre-
pared but is carried on continuously through the means of the
accounting system, which is designed to effect these accumula-
tions by the means of its various accounts.
From these accounts are taken the total figures, which have
been accumulated, for the purpose of preparing the balance
sheet and the profit and loss statement.
8 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. r
Frequency of Statement Preparation. Some companies
prepare these statements only once a year, at the time when the
fiscal year ends; other companies prepare them semi-annually ;
others prepare them quarterly; and many companies prepare
them at the end of each month.
Usually the monthly statements are not issued for publica-
tion but are used by the directors and managers in connection
with the conduct of the business.
Relation of the Two Statements. These two statements,
the balance sheet and the profit and loss statements, are some-
what in the nature of complements.
Neither standing alone is sufficient to furnish a real grasp of
the financial situation; but the two together give a completed
viewpoint in respect to a given period.
The distinction between these two statements is both in-
teresting and important.
The balance sheet shows the condition of the business at
the end of the period, exhibiting the values which the com-
pany owns, the liabilities which it owes, and the net worth
which belongs to the company above its indebtedness. The ,
profit and loss statement shows the transactions during the
period, exhibiting the income, costs and expenses.
S. F. Brewster in his book, "Analyzing Credit Risks,"
gives an excellent illustration of the inter-related character of
these two statements :
The difference in the situation reflected in these two statements
(the balance sheet and the profit and loss statement) has been
likened unto the measurement of the contents of a tank of water
from time to time. Assuming an inflow and an outflow pipe,
changes in the volume of the water may be determined either: (i)
By comparing the actual level of the water (the actual amount of
the net worth) for different periods; or (2) by comparing the
total inflow (income from all sources) with the total outflow (all
costs and expenses).
Ch. i] THE FIELD OF STATEMENT ANALYSIS 9
The quotation is not exact since the explanatory paren-
thetical phrases have been inserted for clearness.
J. H. Bliss, in "Financial and Operating Ratios in Man-
agement/ ' says :
A complete grasp of the situation of a business is obtained
only by the use of both the income statement and balance sheet.
These two statements, then, being almost universally used
and forming the fundamental ground- work of an understand-
ing of the financial condition of any business, will furnish the
material for chief consideration and examination in this vol-
ume on analysis of financial statements. Attention will not
be centered in the mechanical means and methods by which the
figures are collected and the statements prepared, but in the
methods of interpreting and analyzing the information fur-
nished by the statements themselves.
Knowledge o Accounting a Prerequisite. While one
who has only a meager knowledge of the preparation of the
statements may secure a good understanding of the methods
of analysis and interpretation, nevertheless it is desirable that
the analyst have a general knowledge of the meaning of ac-
counting terms, the general principles of double entry books,
the flow of figures through the journals to the ledger, the gen-
erally accepted rules of valuing assets, the nature of deprecia-
tion, obsolesence, reserves, accruals, deferred and prepaid ex-
penses, etc., and for the purpose of this book the reader is
assumed to be possessed of such knowledge.
Necessity for Statement Analysis. In approaching the
discussion of any subject similar to the one dealt with in this
book, it will usually be found desirable to build a foundation
by considering the purpose o the activity, why it is under-
taken, and by whom it is undertaken ; so it is appropriate first
to outline the purpose of statement analysis, and consider the
reasons for making such analysis.
10 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. i
The purposes of statement analysis may be outlined as
follows :
1. To determine the desirability of:
a. Loaning money to an organization.
b. Extending trade credit to an organization.
c. Buying stock in an organization.
2. To measure the management efficiency of an organization.
Bankers, commercial credit men, and prospective stock and
bond buyers are concerned with statement analysis for the pur-
poses stated in the first group; while managers, owners, pres-
ent stockholders, present bondholders and the accountants who
serve them are concerned with statement analysis for the pur-
pose stated in the second group.
An Important Point. No doubt among the readers of this
book there will be many who are in the first group and for
that reason it is important to direct attention to a simple but
significant point that many writers on this subject have over-
looked.
Ordinarily the banker, credit man and investor are furnished
with the financial statements in respect to the organizations in
which they are interested, but usually they are given no oppor-
tunity to verify the truth of the figures. It is usually neces-
sary, therefore, for them to proceed on the assumption that
the figures are true if the statements are to be of any value
whatever.
Untrue Statements Of course, such an assumption car-
ries with it an element of danger, for the figures may be
incorrect
The statements may have been wilfully "doctored" for the
very purpose of conveying false impressions in respect to the
organization's condition ; or, on the other hand, the statements
may have been innocently distorted because of ignorance or
Ch. i] THE FIELD OF STATEMENT ANALYSIS n
negligence in their preparation or in the accumulation of the
figures which enter into them.
In either event the result is the same for the banker, credit
man or investor who has proceeded upon the assumption that
they are true statements and has secured a false impression
from them.
Safeguarding Against Misrepresentation. Such misrep-
resentation would be revealed by an audit of the books and rec-
ords from which the statements were prepared, but usually the
banker, credit man or prospective investor is not in a position
to require such an audit.
For that reason the matter of the truthfulness of state-
ments will be covered very briefly in this chapter, and in the
remainder of the book it is assumed that all statements as
presented have been properly and truthfully prepared and that
they accurately reflect the condition of the business at the time
of their preparation.
In considering, studying or analyzing any financial state-
ment one should always be watchful in regard to the possibility
that it may contain distorted statements or incorrect figures.
"Who prepared this statement and what motive might he have
for distorting it?" are questions that one may well ask himself
whenever he is studying or analyzing a financial statement.
Often he will find his question answered by the fact that the
statement has been certified by certified public accountants (and
reputable appraisers in some cases).
C. P. A. Certification. Such a certificate gives a sound
basis for accepting the facts and figures shown as being true
and correct, for while there are isolated cases of certified pub-
lic accountants who have been careless in their work, such
cases are so few as to be negligible ; and the certificates of the
recognized appraisal companies can also be accepted unhesitat-
ingly.
12 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. i
Qualified Certification Of course, it is always wise to
read the certificate carefully, for certified public accountants
are often called upon to make audits which do not cover all
phases of the business.
When this is done, the accountant qualifies his certificate
accordingly in order that the reader may know what items of
the financial statement he has verified and what items he has
not investigated or has investigated only to a certain extent.
For example, the auditor may qualify his certificate by
stating that the inventory is based on certificates from em-
ployees of the client, which means that the auditor has not
verified the inventory personally (or through his own em-
ployees), but instead has accepted the written testimony of
employees of his client as to the correctness of the inventory.
It should always be borne in mind that a certified public
accountant accepts responsibility only to the extent of his cer-
tificate, and that the qualifications and exceptions which he
states in his certificate are put there for the purpose of con-
veying to the person reading the statement the exact extent of
the accountant's verification of the facts and figures.
Important Credit Factors. The facts reflected by state-
ment analysis are by no means the only ones required for a
well-rounded consideration of the granting of credit or the
investment of funds.
Other factors are of considerable importance and should be
given due weight along with the financial statements.
The Four Factors. Four credit factors have come to be
generally accepted as of primary importance in connection with
matters of credit. They are as follows :
1. Character honesty, habits, etc.
2. Capacity business ability and astuteness.
3. Capital financial condition and earnings.
4. Conditions general business situation.
Ch. i] THE FIELD OF STATEMENT ANALYSIS 13
Thus, the most favorable statement analysis would seldom
justify entrusting funds or goods to a crooked organization,
or to an incompetent organization, or, except under special
safeguards, to any organization at a time of severe financial
panic.
The factors of '(*) character, (2) capacity and (4) con-
ditions are of prime importance. However, their considera-
tion does not come within the scope of this volume except in
so far as the methods of statement analysis do bring to light
facts relating to the competence of management.
How statements reflect managerial ability will be discussed
in later chapters.
CHAPTER II
THE BALANCE SHEET
The Balance Sheet Equation. In its simplest form, a
balance sheet conforms to this equation :
Funds = Source of Funds
For the purpose of illustration, assume that the Ames
Manufacturing Company (which is, of course, a fictitious
name) had total assets amounting to $78,328 on December 31,
1924. Then, the most simplified method of expressing this
fact in balance sheet form would be :
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31, 1924
Funds, $78,328 = Source of Funds, $78,328
Since the term "funds" is commonly considered to indicate
cash or its equivalent, while the term "assets" conveys a
broader meaning of value, the latter term will be better for use
in considering financial analysis.
Classification of Assets. The assets of the Ames Manu-
facturing Company may consist of a number of different kinds
of values. For example, let us assume that these different
kinds of values are as follows :
Cash. . . $10,512
Accounts Receivable 5 > #57
Inventories 22,210
Fixed Assets 37 290
Prepaid Expense 2,459
Total Assets $78,328
These, then, are the assets which the Ames Manufacturing
14
Ch. 2] THE BALANCE SHEET 15
Company had under its control on December 31, 1924, and
which it might use in any way that it desired.
Sources o Funds. And now comes the question presented
by the other side of the equation : From what source did the
Ames Manufacturing Company secure the funds with which
it was enabled to hold these values ?
Usually the source of funds or assets is twofold : ( i ) Con-
tributed by the owners, and (2) contributed by creditors.
Here is an important division, because funds contributed by
the owners represent their permanent investment in the busi-
ness, being equivalent in many respects to a loan with no
definite specified date for repayment, whereas funds contributed
by creditors are legal obligations which must be met within a
specified time.
In order to carry out the illustration of the Ames Manu-
facturing Company's balance sheet in figures, assume that
this division of the source of funds as of December 31, 1924,
is as follows :
Contributed by Creditors $10,248
Contributed by Owners 68 , 080
Total $78,328
Liabilities. The funds contributed by creditors are known
as liabilities and may be based on many different kinds of
transactions, of which the following are ordinary examples :
Merchandise credit extended, usually described as "accounts or
notes payable ;" money loaned by banks, usually described as
"notes payable ;" dividends declared but not yet paid, in which
instance the stockholders become creditors to the amount of the
dividend owing them; accrued amounts which are not yet
legally due, but for which the benefit has been received, such
as payroll, interest, etc.
Classification of Liabilities. The list of examples does
not by any means include all the different kinds of possible
jg ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 2
items that may be found under the classification of liabilities;
but it will serve as a basis for developing the illustration of
the Ames Manufacturing Company's balance sheet.
The following list of items may be taken as making up the
total of funds contributed by creditors :
Notes PayableTrade $ 1 ,000
Notes Payable Bank 2,000
Accounts Payable 5ooo
Dividends Payable 2,000
Accruals Payable 248
Total $10,248
Net Worth. The funds contributed by the owners usually
arise from two sources : the amounts put into the business as
investments, and profits that have accumulated and have not
been withdrawn.
In the case of businesses operating under the corporate
form of organization, the amounts put in as investments are
usually represented by the capital stock outstanding, and the
accumulated profits that have not been withdrawn are usually
represented by the surplus.
Both of these items can be classified in the balance sheet
under the group name of "net worth," and frequently the sum
of the two is described as "net worth."
Classification of Net Worth In order to complete the
illustration of the balance sheet of the Ames Manufacturing
Company, certain figures may be assumed to represent these
divisions, as follows:
Capital Stock Outstanding $50,000
Surplus 18,080
Total Net Worth $68,080
The Complete Balance Sheet This completes the devel-
opment of the equation of the Ames Manufacturing Com-
pany's balance sheet as of December 31, 1924, and the balance
sheet may now be shown in more detailed form by substituting
Ch. 2] THE BALANCE SHEET 17
the details for the single figures of $78,328, shown in the first
equation :
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31, 1924
Assets Liabilities and Capital
(Funds) (Sources of Funds)
Cash $10, 512 Notes Payable Bank $ i ,000
Accounts Receivable 5 , 857 Notes Payable Trade 2 , ooo
Inventories 22,210 Accounts Payable 5, ooo
Fixed Assets 37*290 Dividends Payable 2,000
Prepaid Expense 2,459 Accrued Liabilities 248
Capital Stock Outstanding. 50 , ooo
Surplus 18 , 080
Total $78,328 Total $78,3-28
Liabilities vs. Net Worth. This form of statement does
not bring out the distinction between the funds contributed
by creditors and funds contributed by owners.
This distinction is of vital importance because of the dif-
ference existing between the bases on which these funds' are
contributed, namely, that creditors should be repaid at a speci-
fied definite date, while the investor's contributions may be
held in the business so long as they are needed for the proper
and legal purposes of the corporation.
For that reason it is usually considered better to draw up
the balance sheet in such a way as to show the total of the
liabilities (funds contributed by creditors) and the total of the
net worth (funds contributed by owners).
Form of Balance Sheet. In the form of balance sheet
which follows, provision is made to show these important
totals.
This form of balance sheet also presents the advantage of
being more convenient for typing and printing, since the liabil-
ities and capital appear below the assets instead of opposite
x g ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 2
them, thus furnishing space for more detailed descriptions
when they are needed.
In this balance sheet the phrases "funds" and "source of
funds" are not used.
These phrases do not usually appear in balance sheets and
consequently they will not be used from now on, but it should
be understood that the meaning is there even though the
phrases themselves do not appear. The use of these phrases
is an important step in developing the theory of the balance
sheet and represents the viewpoint from which a balance sheet
should always be considered. But the words themselves are
never found as part of the statement.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31, 1924
Assets
Csah. .- $10, 512
Accounts Receivable 5 857
Inventories 22 , 210
Fixed Assets 37,290
Prepaid Expense 2 > 459
Total Assets $78,328
Liabilities and Capital
Notes PayableTrade $i ,000
Notes Payable Bank 2 ,000
Accounts Payable 5 ,000
Dividends Payable 2 ,000
Accruals Payable 248
Total Liabilities 10,248
Net Worth $68,080
Represented by:
Capital Stock Outstanding $50,000
Surplus 18,080 68,080
The items shown in this balance sheet present interesting
material for consideration and deserve a brief discussion.
Arrangement of Assets. The assets have not been set
down without regard to a logical order of arrangement, but
Ch. 2] THE BALANCE SHEET 19
a definite plan has been followed, a plan which has grown out
of accounting practice over a long period of years, until it has
come to be recognized as a proper arrangement of the assets
for balance sheet presentation.
It is not the only plan of arrangement which has been ap-
proved by accounting practice, but it has met with wide-spread
favor for all uses, and is strongly advocated for statements
used for credit purposes.
Determining Sequence of Items The assets have been
set down in the order in which they may be expected to be con-
verted into cash; in other words, in the order of their "cash-
ability," to coin a word for the expression of this meaning.
Following this plan the first item, quite logically, is cash
itself.
The second item, accounts receivable, represents legal claim
to cash, which in the ordinary and regular course of business
will be realized in cash within a short time.
The next item, inventories, represents, for the most part,
merchandise which is being held for sale. Normally it will be
sold and thereby converted into accounts receivable and then
into cash.
The fixed assets, consisting of such assets as land, build-
ings, machinery, furniture, fixtures, etc., is not held for sale,
but for use ; and under normal regular business operations will
not be converted into cash at all, although it should be borne in
mind that any of these items might be converted into cash be-
cause of unusual conditions.
The last item, prepaid expense, usually represents the least
cashable asset of all, since in the normal course of business it
will never be converted into cash but will be charged off as
expense during some future period.
Current Assets. In a going business, the first three items,
cash, accounts receivable, and inventories, are constantly active
20 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. *
in a process of continuously changing from one form of asset
into another.
Cash is spent to secure merchandise; the merchandise is
sold and an account receivable is created; the account is col-
lected and cash takes its place; the cash is spent for more
merchandise, and the cycle starts again.
This common group characteristic puts these three forms
of assets into a class by themselves ; and the name usually given
to this group is "current assets/'
Analysis of Current Assets But even within this group
there is a distinction of prime importance in connection with
the business operations.
An account receivable represents a legal claim to cash and
will normally be converted into cash ; but inventories do not rep
resent a legal claim to an account receivable. There is r.
decided break in the chain at this point, and at this break ir>
directed one of the most vital of the business activities.
Importance of Selling. The important step between in
ventories and accounts receivable is the sale, the activity of se'.*~
ing the company's merchandise.
Selling must be done before merchandise is converted into
receivables.
By the mere passage of time most of the accounts receivab'o
naturally and automatically are converted into cash; but the
process of converting merchandise into a receivable is not a
mere automatic process, but calls for the highest expenditure
of effort and money in the activity of selling.
The importance of this distinction to the analyst cannot be
emphasized too strongly, for companies which show equally
good position when viewed as to total current assets, may
show a decided difference in desirability as credit risks due to
a difference in the division of these current assets between the
three items comprising the group.
Ch. 2] THE BALANCE SHEET 21
This will be quickly recognized from the following example
illustrating how two companies may show such conditions :
Two companies, company A and company B, show balance
sheets with identical figures except for the differences in the
amounts of accounts receivable and inventories.
Company A Company B
Cash $ 1,000 $ 1,000
Accounts Receivable 5,000 10,000
Inventory 10,000 5 ,000
Liabilities 10,000 10,000
Comparing the Credit Risk. Both of these companies
show total current assets amounting to $16,000 and liabilities
amounting to $10,000 ; and yet if one were called upon to decide
which presents the better credit risk, the proper choice is quite
evident.
Company B, on the basis of these figures, presents the
better condition from a credit viewpoint, for it can pay all of
its liabilities out of cash plus the proceeds of its receivables
and still have $1,000 left; whereas company A would have
$4,000 of its liabilities left unpaid if it applied all of its cash
and accounts to this purpose.
Merchandise cannot be used to pay bills. It must be sold
before it represents a claim to cash, and selling is often an
expensive and uncertain gamble.
Quick and Working Assets. The importance of this dis-
tinction between cash and receivables on the one hand and
inventories on the other has led to the practice of introducing
two group titles as subdivisions of current assets, as follows :
Quick assets (cash and receivables).
Working assets (inventories).
Fixed Assets. Those items of the balance sheet that rep-
resent fixed tangible plant are grouped together usually under
some appropriate heading such as "fixed assets" or "plant and
equipment/'
22 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 2
Other Asset Groups. In addition to these standard asset
groupings which have already been discussed, there will fre-
quently be found other items such as :
Prepaid expense Patents
Deferred charges Franchises
Copyrights Goodwill
Of course, this list does not include all items which might
be found on balance sheets, but it includes those which are
common to many balance sheets and for that reason deserve
at least a brief consideration.
PREPAID EXPENSES. The title of "prepaid expenses" well
indicates the nature of the items included under this heading,
for it represents expenses which have been paid for in advance,
but for which the service has not been used as of the date
of the balance sheet.
When the service for which such an expenditure has been
paid is rendered, the items cease to exist as assets and conse-
quently disappear from the balance sheet.
Under this classification are grouped such items as prepaid
insurance, prepaid advertising and prepaid rent.
DEFERRED CHARGES. Deferred charges, on the other hand,
represent costs of service already received, which for good ac-
counting reasons are not to be charged into the expense of one
month or year, but are to be spread in instalments over a num-
ber of such periods. An example of such an item is the ex-
pense of organizing or starting a business.
INTANGIBLE ASSETS. The other items mentioned in the
list, copyrights, patents, franchises and goodwill, fall within
the group which is usually known as "intangible assets/'
They are often of the utmost importance to the company,
which possesses them, being the very foundation of the struc-
ture upon which the company is built.
For example, ttie manufacturing company producing a dis-
Ch. 2] THE BALANCE SHEET 23
tinctive product the basic, idea of which is protected by patent,
holds a peculiarly valuable position if this product is in demand
and can be produced and sold at a satisfactory profit.
Proof of Value. This last qualification presents the aspect
of intangible assets which should receive the careful considera-
tion of the analyst, for if the patented product is being pro-
duced and sold at a satisfactory profit, that fact should be re-
flected in the company's profit and loss statements, and if
properly administered, in the tangible values shown on the
company's balance sheets.
In other words, if the patent is valuable, that value should
be evidenced by having produced tangible values either left in
the business or withdrawn as cash dividends. So from the
analyst's viewpoint balance sheet values placed on intangible
assets have little meaning and are usually of little significance.
Types of Liabilities. The balance sheet of the Ames
Manufacturing Company does not exhibit all types of liabil-
ities which may be found in balance sheets, for there are other
types that are not at all unusual.
Such liabilities as mortgages (often in the form of bonds),
and debentures (which are equivalent to long-time promissory
notes), are often found on balance sheets and should receive
special consideration. They differ from the liabilities already
mentioned because they provide that a long period of time from
the date of issuing them in many cases 10 years or more
must pass before they become due and payable.
Long-Time vs. Current Liabilities. It is quite evident
that the distinction between such long-time obligations, also
called "funded," "fixed" or "permanent," and the short-time
obligations, usually called "current liabilities," becomes a matter
of exceeding importance in analyzing a balance sheet.
Liabilities which must be met within a short time from
the date of the balance sheet must be provided for in cash or
24 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 2
its immediate equivalent, whereas long-time liabilities do not
present the necessity of making provision for early payment.
The following example will serve to illustrate the point
involved in connection with this distinction between these two
types of liabilities :
The balance sheets of two companies, which are designated
as company C and company D, present identical figures except
as to the kind of liabilities.
Company C Company D
Current Assets $50,000 $50,000
Current Liabilities 10,000 40,000
Long-Time Liabilities 40,000 10,000
Comparing the Credit Risks. In looking over these figures
from the balance sheets of these two companies, it is observed
that both show total liabilities equal in amount to the current
assets.
But if the relative financial positions of these two com-
panies be weighed from the viewpoint of credit risk, it is evi-
dent that company C is much the better risk; for if its current
creditors all press for payment at one time, ample current funds
are available.
On the other hand, if all the current creditors of company
D press for payment at one time, the company might find it
difficult to secure $40,000 in cash out of its current assets of
$50,000, a substantial part of which probably consists of re-
ceivables and merchandise. Company D is largely at the
mercy of its current creditors and is, therefore, the less de-
sirable credit risk.
Balance Sheet Grouping "One Year Rule." Because of
the importance of the distinction between these two kinds of
liabilities, it has become customary to subdivide total liabilities
into two groups for the purpose of presenting them on the
balance sheet. These two groups are :
Ch. 2] THE BALANCE SHEET 25
Current liabilities
Long-time liabilities
Of course, it is necessary to formulate some rule as to the
length of time which will mark a liability as belonging to the
one group or the other.
Such a rule will, of course, be arbitrary, and consequently
it is impossible to find a rule which will be universally con-
sidered as satisfactory. However, the rule which has gained
the widest acceptance is to include in the first group all liabil-
ities which must be paid in less than a year and in the second
group all tho-se of longer maturity.
C. B. Couchman in his book, "The Balance Sheet/' com-
ments on this point as follows :
Liabilities also are divided into two groups, sometimes given
the same group names as the two chief division of assets, namely,
current and fixed. The distinction here, however, is purely an
arbitrary one, depending upon when the liability must be met.
Current liabilities are those which should be paid within the
current financing period, which is usually from sixty to one
hundred and twenty days or perhaps one year. Those which do
not mature for a longer period, or those which are readily renew-
able in character, are classed in the second group. For instance, a
bond or a mortgage might fall due within thirty days after the
date of a balance sheet, but if arrangements had been made for
renewal, it would be tabulated among the fixed rather than among
the current liabilities,
It is difficult to give any rule fully covering the difference
between these two classifications of liabilities. Long-time notes
and bonds are unquestionably fixed liabilities. On the other hand,
the liabilities resulting from purchases on open accounts, short-time
loans from banks or other sources, should be grouped as current.
Judgment and common sense must play a part many times in
making the right grouping, and it is a fundamental of account-
ancy that in case of doubt the preference- must lie with the more
conservative line of action. To list a liability as current is more
conservative than to list it as fixed if there be a reasonable doubt
as to its proper classification. Among the current liabilities are
26 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 2
found all short-time notes payable, open accounts resulting from
purchases, accrued payables and similar items.
Net Worth. The item of net worth presented on the bal-
ance sheet of a corporation is usually made up of two principal
items, capital stock and surplus.
The capital stock may consist of two or more different
kinds of stock issues such as first preferred stock, second pre-
ferred stock and common stock.
Surplus, too, may consist of a number of different items, of
which the following are typical examples :
Surplus
Undivided profits
Appropriated surplus (or true reserves)
Capital surplus
Deficit (the result of a debit balance in a surplus account)
Deducting Intangible Assets from Surplus. Many au-
thorities advocate that certain intangible assets, such as good-
will, should be shown in the net worth section of the balance
sheet as deductions from surplus. This treatment is particularly
desirable from the viewpoint of one analyzing the balance sheet
for credit purposes.
Balance Sheet Arrangement There are many different
variations in the arrangement of balance sheets, KildufPs
Auditing and Accounting Handbook shows eight examples.
The Accountants' Handbook 1 exhibits five distinct types.
From the analyst's viewpoint the exact manner of balance
sheet arrangement is unimportant as compared to the correct-
ness of the groupings,
* Published by The Ronald Press Company.
CHAPTER III
THE APPROACH TO STATEMENT ANALYSIS
Defining "Analysis." The word "analysis" as applied to
the study of the balance sheet may be defined briefly as the
examination of its component parts. Such an examination
presents itself from a triple aspect :
1. Each part separately.
2. The parts in relation to each other.
3. The parts in relation to the whole.
Analysis of a balance sheet is prompted by a desire for in-
formation about a business which may not be evident through
a mere cursory survey of the figures shown on the statement.
The Origin of Balance Sheet Analysis. The origin of
balance sheet analysis undoubtedly arose from the credit re-
lation which exists between buyer and seller.
Before he would extend credit, the seller naturally desired
to have some assurance that payment would be made when
the account fell due and in consequence demanded a showing
of the buyer's financial condition, i.e., a balance sheet. Upon
securing the statement the seller studied it carefully to satisfy
himself as to the probability of the buyer's ability to pay the
account.
This scrutiny of such balance sheets finally gave rise to
certain elementary methods of studying the figures, and these
methods form the basis of present-day analysis procedure.
Not only has the technique of analysis become more
definite, complete, and scientific, but there has also been a great
broadening in the purposes of such analysis.
2 g ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 3
Classes of Balance Sheet Analysis. Where, formerly,
only a few credit men were interested in statement analysis,
there now exist several broad classes of business men who use
these methods.
The prospective investor who is contemplating investing
his money in the stock or other securities of a company, is
interested in the information shown in the balance sheet from
a viewpoint different from that of the credit man; and yet he
finds the technique of statement analysis invaluable to him
in choosing investment offerings.
After investment has been made and the prospective in-
vestor becomes an actual holder of the securities, his interest
in analysis of the statements of companies in which he is a
stock or bondholder continues although his viewpoint is per-
haps altered to some extent.
Reputable investment bankers have such a well-defined in-
terest in statement analysis that often they maintain statistical
or analytical departments to study the financial statements of
the companies in which they are interested in order to avoid the
possibility of marketing dubious issues.
The Business Executive. The business executive is in-
terested in statement analysis from a still different viewpoint.
Often he is so engrossed in the day-to-day details of run-
ning the business that he finds it necessary to fortify himself
with a bird's-eye view of his business so that he will not lose
his perspective of the business as a whole and as parts related
to the whole and to each other.
Such a bird's-eye view he finds presented to him in the
study and analysis of the financial statements of the business
activities and conditions.
Where for some reason it is not practical for him to make
this study and analysis himself, it is quite usual for him to
have this work done for him by his company's comptroller or
Ch. 3] THE APPROACH TO STATEMENT ANALYSIS 29
auditor another class of men who are interested in statement
analysis.
The Public Accountant. The public accountant is also
vitally concerned with the various phases of the subject of
statement analysis.
The time has long- since passed when the public accountant
was called upon to serve in the capacity of a mere thief catcher
a sort of mathematical detective.
At the present time his function in business goes far beyond
the search for defalcations; he is called upon to be an expert
advisor on some of the most important financial phases of busi-
ness activities. The reports which he renders covering his
auditing work are expected to cover financial interpretations
and constructive criticisms, as well as the certification of the
facts verified in the course of the audit.
The quality of the public accountant's work, which carries
with it the satisfaction of his clients, depends much upon his
ability to see beneath the obvious surface of financial state-
ments and to draw shrewd conclusions as to business trends and
conditions. Correct analytical technique is very vital to him.
The Methods of Analysis. Having reviewed in a general
way the characteristics of the balance sheet and the purposes
and trend of analysis of financial statements, the next step is
to consider the methods of statement analysis, to discuss their
advantages and disadvantages, and to compare them as to
purpose and usability.
This discussion of the analysis of balance sheets will be
presented in four major divisions, which are as follows :
1. Analysis of the single balance sheet.
2. Analysis of two or more balance sheets.
3. Analysis by the ratio method.
4. Analysis by the trend method.
30 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Oh. 3
These four divisions are not sharply distinguished from
one another, but overlap to some extent and shade into one
another. However, in a general way they follow the sequence
of the historical development of analysis technique, which is a
very satisfactory and valuable method of approaching the study
of this particular subject.
CHAPTER IV
ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEET
History of Balance Sheet Analysis. In the last chapter
it was stated that balance sheet analysis undoubtedly originated
from the desire of the seller to be assured that he would re-
ceive payment from the buyer to whom he sold on credit, and
that in order to have evidence upon which to base his judgment,
he often insisted that the buyer furnish a copy of his balance
sheet or statement of financial condition.
This led to the development of methods of analyzing one
balance sheet alone, usually the latest balance sheet of the
buyer; and sometimes when the latest balance sheet had been
drawn off a considerable time previous, the seller even insisted
on a new balance sheet being made up that would show the
buyer's latest financial condition.
Old balance sheets were considered of little importance, as
the seller was principally concerned with the buyer's condition
at a time close to the date on which the seller was about to
extend credit.
Today balance sheets of prior dates are looked to for much
information of value, but there is still, of course, vital informa-
tion to be obtained from the latest balance sheet standing alone.
For this reason it is important to consider what should be
studied in the examination of a single balance sheet.
Illustrative Figures The reader will find it easier to fol-
low and understand the steps in such an examination if figures
are used, so that he can see the procedure developed from an
illustrative case, including the description of the balance sheet
items as well as the figures. So the procedure will be discussed
31
32 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 4
from the background of the following assumed balance sheet
of the Ames Manufacturing Company.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31, 1924
Assets
CURRENT ASSETS:
Quick Assets :
Cash $10,512
Accounts Receivable 5.857 $16,369
Working Assets:
Inventory 22,210
Total Current Assets $3&>579
FIXED ASSETS 37 , 290
PREPAID EXPENSE 2,459
Total Assets $78 ,328
Liabilities and Capital
CURRENT LIABILITIES:
Notes Payable Trade $ 1 ,000
Notes Payable Bank 2 , ooo
Accounts Payable 5 , ooo
Dividends Payable 2 ,000
Accruals Payable 248
Total Current Liabilities $10 , 248
LONG-TIME LIABILITIES none
Total Liabilities $10, 248
Net Worth $68,080
Represented by:
Capital Stock $50 , ooo
Surplus 18,080 $6_8 1 o8o
Solvency of the Business. Probably the first question
that would occur to any business man interested in the financial
condition of the Ames Manufacturing Company would be :
Is the Ames Manufacturing Company solvent ?
An examination of the balance sheet figures shows that the
company is solvent on December 31, 1924. Its total assets
are $78,328 and its total liabilities are $10,248. Deducting the
Ch. 4] ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEET 33
latter from the former leaves a balance of $68,080, which rep-
resents the net worth the owners' equity in the business, of
which $50,000 is a permanent investment in the nature of
capital stock outstanding, and $18,080 is surplus left in the
business, probably surplus earnings, and subject to withdrawal
in the form of dividends.
Permanency of Surplus. In many cases the surplus may
be looked upon as practically a permanent investment. Many
corporations have adopted the conservative policy of continu-
ously adding to surplus rather than diminishing it. To put it
in another way, only a part of each year's net profit is with-
drawn, and the balance is left for permanent use in the business
operations, thus leaving a margin to provide for the natural
growth and increase in the volume of business and at the same
time stabilizing this investment value by additional earned
surplus.
Nevertheless, the analyst must never lose sight of the fact
that all of the surplus may be withdrawn as dividends and that
such a possibility should always receive consideration when he
is studying the balance sheet figures.
Ability to Pay Debts However, the mere fact of sol-
vency indicated by the figures is only a first step in the chain,
and is not even conclusive as to probable continuance of the
business, for it sometimes happens that a solvent corporation
is forced into bankruptcy.
A corporation may have a substantial excess of asset values
over liabilities, which represents a solvent condition, and still
if it has an insufficient amount of those asset values in current
form, it may soon be in a condition where liabilities cannot be
met when they fall due. In aggravated instances such a con-
dition exposes the corporation to the danger of drastic action
by creditors and may result in the taking over of the business
by a receiver.
34 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 4
Current Assets and Current Liabilities. Therefore, the
next step in the analysis is to study the balance sheet figures to
determine whether such a condition exists. To do this the
current assets are compared with the current liabilities, thus :
Current Assets $3$ , 579
Current Liabilities 10,248
Net Current Assets $28,331
The "2 to i" Rule. In analytical procedure credit men for
many years have figured that if the current assets amounted
to more than twice as much as current liabilities, such a condi-
tion could be considered as satisfactory. This relationship
between the two groups of current items, current assets and
liabilities, has been called the "current ratio/' and when the
condition of current assets being more than twice as great as
liabilities has existed, it has been referred to as a "2 to i cur-
rent ratio."
The current ratio may be expressed as a percentage, ob-
tained by dividing the current assets by the current liabilities,
thus:
Current Assets = $38 , 579 , ~ ^ , _, , .
Current Liabilities -|sS ~ ^ 6 % - Current Ratio.
If the "2 to i" rule is accepted, then a current ratio of
ZQQ% would be satisfactory; and certainly the ratio shown on
the balance sheet of the Ames Manufacturing Company of
376% would be considered as representing a very satisfactory
situation, but not always.
Quick and Working Assets. There is still another pitfall
to be guarded against. If a large part of the current assets
consists of merchandise inventory which is difficult to sell, the
analyst must not be misled by the 376^ current ratio into
believing that the situation presents an entirely sound condition.
The 376% current ratio indicates that there is $3.76 worth
of current assets to meet every $i of liabilities. But if, for
Ch. 4] ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEEt 35
example, it were found that only a small part of the current
assets was in the form of cash and receivables and a larger part
was merchandise, the ratio would not seem as favorable.
The Acid Test. Therefore, the next step consists of an
examination of this feature of the balance sheet, which is ac-
complished by comparing the current liabilities with the quick
assets. This ratio has sometimes been referred to as the
"acid test"
Quick Assets =$16,360 , M . . , . ^ ,
Current Liabilities = fcrfj = l6 % = Acid Test Ratl '
This ratio tells that the Ames Manufacturing Company
has $1.60 of quick assets for every dollar of current liabilities;
and since it is somewhat of an accepted rule among credit men
that $i of quick assets per $i of current liabilities indicates a
safe condition, the balance sheet of the Ames Manufacturing
Company may be said to present a very satisfactory condition
from the standpoint of this acid test.
For many years the use of the "current ratio" and the
"acid test" comprised practically the whole art of balance sheet
analysis.
Scaling the Assets. The next step in the development of
analysis procedure undoubtedly grew out of the inaccuracies
and uncertainties which resulted from old-fashioned and un-
scientific bookkeeping. So many of the balance sheets were
prepared from poorly kept records that the analyst felt that it
was necessary for him to discount many of the statements
which were presented for his consideration. From this re-
sulted a procedure consisting of discounting marking down
or "shading" the asset values.
When using this method of analyzing the balance sheet,
the analyst would construct a new balance sheet from the old
one. In building up the new one he would carry over to it all
the liabilities shown on the old one, but would make heavy
36 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 4
reductions in most of the asset values. The motive for this
drastic revision never appears to have been very sharply de-
fined but apparently it was an attempt to reach the goal of
the liquidating value of the assets at a forced cash sale.
Schedule for Marking Down. One author says that asset
values should be shaded somewhat as follows :
Kind of Asset Per Cent
Merchandise:
General Store 20-30
Groceries 10-20
Dry Goods 20-25
Hardware 25-30
Millinery 35~ 6
Clothing 25-35
Accounts Receivable i-io
Plant, Machinery and Tools 50
Furniture and Fixtures 50
Intangible Assets 100
Apparently it is intended that these reductions are to be
made indiscriminately without regard for the character of the
management, the geographical location of the business, or other
factors.
Just how the analyst would decide whether to deduct 35%
or 60% from the inventory value of hats in any given instance
still remains a mystery.
Proper Balance Sheet Values. Of course, this whole pro-
cedure is the height of absurdity under present-day conditions.
It is senseless because it is arbitrary.
Even though it did result in reducing the assets to a fairly
accurate cash value, which is improbable, it is still useless be-
cause it assumes something which is untrue. It assumes that
the company under analysis is about to liquidate and go out
of business.
The modern theory holds that asset values must be judged
from the viewpoint of a going business. The only possible
Ch. 4] ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEET 37
basis for accurately valuing assets is their cost and this is now
universally recognized both by business men and by the courts.
It is true that good accounting practice requires, in the case
of inventories, that they should be valued at cost price or
market price whichever is lower, but when this adjustment is
necessary it is taken care of by an expedient known as a "valua-
tion account/' or more commonly, a "reserve account," where-
by the original cost prices are not altered or lost.
Nor does the rule imply that depreciation of any asset shall
be ignored. The original cost is merely the basis of valuations,
as distinguished from appraisal or forced liquidation values.
Deductions for depreciation find their place in the accounting
system in valuation or reserve accounts.
In most published balance sheets asset values are shown net,
i.e., at one figure representing the original cost less the accu-
mulated depreciation.
Illustration of Markdown Method. In no theory of asset
valuations is there justification for arbitrary percentage reduc-
tions in asset values by the analyst. It is a "rule of thumb"
procedure, based on false assumption, inaccurate and unjust.
Applying the percentages suggested to typical balance sheets
gives some absurd results.
Filene's (Wm.) Sons Company, is a famous store engaged
exclusively in the sale of ready-to-wear apparel. Its balance
sheet as given in Moody 7 s Manual is as follows :
Assets 1923
Real Estate $ 955, 189
Goodwill, Patents, etc 1 ,000,000
Investments , i ,878,220
Fixtures and Equipment 24 , 326
Merchandise (i) 2,658, 186
Cash (g) 379>6n
Accounts ^Receivable (q} 916,035
Prepaid Items 93 *97
Deferred Items 729,810
IJotal $8,634,574
38 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 4
Liabilities
Capital Stock ' $4,497,300
Accounts Payable (c) 650 , 414
Accrued Items (c) 150 , 182
Reserve for Taxes (c) 815,410
Other Reserves 946 , 412
Surplus 1,574,856
Total $8,634,574
The quick assets (marked q above) total $1,295,646. The
inventories (marked i) amount to $2,658,186. The current
liabilities (marked c) equal $1,616,006.
The "acid test" shows $.80 for each dollar of liabilities
while the "current ratio" shows $2.45 for each dollar of liabil-
ities. This is a good showing.
Using the percentages previously suggested, the balance
sheet may next be revised downward:
Assets 1923
Real Estate (50% off) (i) $ 477.594
Goodwill, Patents, etc. (100%)
Investments (2) 1 , 878 , 220
Fixtures and Equipment (50% off) 12 , 163
Merchandise (35% off) 1 , 727 , 821
Cash 379,6n
Accounts Receivable (2) 916,035
Prepaid Items (2) 93 , 197
Deferred Items (100%) (3)
Total $5,484,641
Liabilities
Capital Stock $4,497,300
Accounts Payable 650,414
Accrued Items 150, 182
Reserve for Taxes 815 ,410
Other Reserves 946 , 412
Total $7,059,718
Deficit (deduct to balance) i , 575 ,077
Total $5, 484., 641
The item marked (i) probably consists in part of land.
Any error involved in marking down that portion is probably
Ch. 4] ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEET 39
compensated by leaving the other items marked (2) at full
value.
While the item marked (3) was not specifically mentioned
as subject to discount, it seems consistent to mark it down
1 00%, since it is probably without cash value upon liquidation.
Effect of the Analysis. What has been the effect of this
"analysis" upon a well-known, prosperous, splendidly managed
company ?
The surplus of $1,574,856 has been changed into a deficit
of $1,575,077 a total decrease in net worth of $3,149,933.
The acid test shows the same as before, but the current ratio
now indicates only $1.87 of current assets for each dollar of
current liabilities.
From a splendid credit position, this drastic procedure in-
dicates a company to whom credit might be offered hesitatingly.
Applying this unjust method to a less well-rated organiza-
tion might easily develop figures indicating actual insolvency.
The Annual Sales. Turning attention again to the figures
for the Ames Manufacturing Company, there is very little
further information that can be gained without knowing addi-
tional facts. The most important fact desired is the amount
of the annual sales for the year.
It may well be noted here that information as to the amount
of annual sales is now regarded as vital to intelligent balance
sheet analysis. In spite of the fact that such figures belong
in the profit and loss statement instead of the balance sheet,
the custom is growing of including figures reflecting sales
volume as supplementary information to balance sheets even
when other profit and loss elements are not furnished.
The sales for the year 1923 amounted to $96,691. What
help does this give in analyzing the balance sheet? It throws
some additional light on two important items accounts re-
ceivable and inventory.
40 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch, 4
Sales and Receivables. Since accounts receivable result
from sales, there is a natural relationship between them which
can be reflected by a ratio.
If all goods were sold on 30 days' credit and all collections
were made promptly, the balance of accounts receivable at any
one time should be 1/12 of the sales volume for the year. This
assumes that the annual sales are made in 12 equal monthly
amounts. This assumption is never absolutely true and in many
lines of business never even approximately true.
Nevertheless it is a roughly accurate guide to consider that
the ideal relationship between accounts receivable and sales is
i to 12, where the usual credit terms are 30 days, and i to 6
where the usual credit terms are 60 days.
The Ratio of Receivables to Sales. To determine this re-
lationship for the Ames Manufacturing Company, divide the
sales by the accounts receivable : -
Sales $96, 691 = ~
Accounts Receivable - $ 5,857
This indicates $16.50 of sales for each $i of accounts re-
ceivable. This is better than the "ideal" of $12 of sales to $i
of receivables just discussed.
It means that the usual terms are shorter than 30 days, or
else that attractive cash discounts have induced a large pro-
portion of customers to pay before due date.
As a matter of fact the selling policy of Ames Manufactur-
ing Company is conducted to some extent on a C.O.D. basis.
Only a part of their sales are on credit. If it were known what
part of the total sales were made on credit, that part could be
divided by the receivables. This would furnish information
about the collection efficiency of this company.
As it is, the analyst must rest content with the knowledge
that as far as can be seen the condition of the accounts receiv-
able as shown by the ratio appears good.
Ch. 4] ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEET 41
Sales and Inventory. The second use of the sales figure
is in connection with the inventory.
There is an obvious relationship between the amount of
merchandise on hand and the amount sold.
If the annual sales were reduced to cost and if the inventory
was an average inventory, the one divided by the other would
give the "merchandise turnover," which is a significant per-
centage showing selling efficiency, much used by merchants.
The Merchandise Turnover. The principle of the mer-
chandise turnover is based on the fact that the most profit can
be made by that merchant, 'within a given group, who can get
the greatest volume of sales with a given average investment
in merchandise.
And, of course, the reverse Is true. That merchant with
the smallest sales in relation to average inventory is making
the least profit. Usually he may be suspected of merchandising
inefficiency and his inventory also may be under the suspicion
of containing a large proportion of obsolete or unsalable stock.
If it were possible for the analyst to ascertain (i) the
average inventory and (2) the annual sales at cost price, he
could divide the first into the second and obtain a valuable
insight into the character of the inventory item on the balance
sheet.
A Substitute for the Turnover. Usually he cannot learn
the average inventory but only the actual inventory at the
close of the fiscal period, and usually he cannot determine the
cost value of the annual sales but is fortunate to learn the
annual sales at selling price.
He can use these figures as the basis for a "turnover." It
will be less accurate but still fairly significant.
For the Ames Manufacturing Company the calculation is as
follows :
Annual Sales = $96,691
Inventory = $22,210
' 435%*
42 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 4
This indicates roughly that the inventory is "turned" ap-
proximately four times per year, i.e., that three months' supply
of merchandise is on hand.
Without having any standards of comparison, this is diffi-
cult to interpret. It "looks" all right and that is about as much
as can be said at this stage in the development of analysis
methods.
Danger Signals on the Balance Sheet. There are certain
general danger signals that will be looked for by the experi-
enced analyst. These danger signals are :
1. Very small amount of cash.
2. Improper combinations of unlike balance sheet items.
3. Heavy notes receivable.
4. Large intangible assets (particularly when there is no
surplus).
Cash is one asset that cannot be "innocently" misrepre-
sented. When a weak concern desires to make a good financial
showing as a basis for credit, it can find excuses for many
infractions of good accounting practice, but the item of cash
cannot be "improved" without positive misrepresentation. Ex-
perience has shown that a trifling cash balance on a balance
sheet is quite often a reliable warning signal.
Improper combinations of items may well throw doubt on
the entire balance sheet. Examples of such improper com-
binations taken from actual balance sheets are :
Cash and Accounts Receivable $
Plant and Franchise
Government and Other Bonds
In a very few lines of business it is customary to accept
notes in payment of accounts receivable. Usually, however,
there is a strong presumption that the credit management is
poor when a substantial item of notes receivable appears on a
balance sheet.
Ch. 4] ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE BALANCE SHEET 43
The combination in one balance sheet of no surplus to-
gether with heavy intangible assets usually leads the analyst
to suspect that these intangible assets really represent a deficit,
either in whole or in part.
None of these four danger signals are positive indicators,
but they are serious warnings that the experienced analyst has
learned to regard with real respect.
Importance of Current Ratio and Acid Test. Perhaps
the most important features discussed in this chapter are the
current ratio and the acid test.
There has been a tendency on the part of modern writers
to slight these balance sheet tests.
It is true, of course, that the rule of "two dollars of cur-
rent assets for every dollar of current liabilities" is arbitrary.
Conditions vary in different lines of business and a proper
ratio for one business might not be proper for another, and
yet, as a practical credit test applicable to a wide variety of
statements, it can hardly be abandoned.
Window Dressing. It is also true that these two ratios
are subject to "window dressing." This is a term used to de-
scribe financial operations which have for their only purpose
the preparation of a more attractive balance sheet.
A company might normally show the following condition
at the end of a year :
Cash $ 2,000
Accounts Receivable 5 , ooo
Merchandise 4,000
Total $11,000
Current Liabilities $ 6,000
This shows only $1.83 of current assets for every dollar of
current liabilities. Desiring to show a "2 to i" ratio on the
balance sheet a "sale" might be made of $1,000 of merchandise
for $2,000 to some friendly interest.
44 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 4
This would result in the following figures :
Cash $ 2,000
Accounts Receivable 7,000
Merchandise 3>QQQ
Total $12,000
Current Liabilities $ 6,000
The ratio is now $2 of current assets for every dollar of
current liabilities. The day after the date of the statement the
"sale" could be reversed in accordance with the previous
friendly understanding.
There are other methods of "window dressing" which need
nqt be discussed.
Interpreting the Ratio. The balance sheet analyst realizes
the possibility of "window dressing/' and he does not regard
a good ratio as a guarantee of good condition. But he does
look with suspicion on a poor ratio.
He realizes that a favorable ratio may mean nothing but
that an unfavorable ratio is significant. He is in the same posi-
tion as the doctor who does not regard the lack of fever as
indicative of perfect health but who regards its presence as an
important warning.
Other methods used to test financial statements have this
important characteristic.
The current ratio and the acid test are both based on sound
common sense from the viewpoint of the commercial credit
grantor.
S. F. Brewster, in "Analyzing Credit Risks," expresses
this thought forcefully:
A situation is frequently encountered . . . where the total
assets are considerably in excess of the total liabilities but where
the quick liabilities are in excess of the quick assets. To extend
credit to a concern in such a condition is almost equivalent to
buying a lawsuit,
CHAPTER V
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS
Use of Comparative Figures. In the last chapter it was
shown that a limited amount of information could be gained
from the study of one balance sheet.
But the major difficulty in such a study is the lack of
comparative data.
All measurement is based upon comparison. Measuring
the distance between two points involves comparing that dis-
tance with some other distance. The statement that it is 245
miles from St. Louis to Kansas City simply means that the
distance between the two points has been compared with
another distance known as a "mile" and is 245 times as long.
Similarly with the measurement of weight. A man's
weight is obtained by comparing it with another weight known
as the "pound."
Instances could be multiplied indefinitely to show that all
measurement is based upon comparison.
Methods of Comparison. Usually measurement is based
upon present comparison with a standard.
The mile, the pound, the quart and other familiar units are
standards which have been adopted for convenience.
There is also historical comparison which is frequently made
without reference to standards the comparison of the same
things at different times.
Thus, one may say, "I drove my car twice as far today as
yesterday," or, "My weight is 10% greater than it was a year
ago."
Historical comparison compares the same thing at two
different times instead of two different things at the same time.
45
46 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 5
Applied to balance sheet analysis, historical comparison
refers to the comparison of balance sheets of the same com-
pany as of two or more different dates.
Trends Shown by Historical Comparison. Such com-
parison gives relative results showing trends.
Trends are all important in the analysis of financial state-
ments. They answer the vital question as to whether the con-
dition of the company is improving or not.
Someone has said, "It is not where you are, but which way
you are going that counts/' This statement is as true of
corporations as it is of individuals, and while a company may
be below standard in some respect, if its condition is consistently
improving, optimism is justified.
Statements of Ames Manufacturing Company. Return-
ing to the illustration of the Ames Manufacturing Company,
the following comparative figures are valuable.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
Assets 1923 1924
Cash $7.190 $10,512
Accounts Receivable 5,629 5,857
Quick Assets $12,819 $16,369
Inventories 28,077 22,210
Current Assets $40,896 $38,579
Fixed Assets 36,163 37 2 9O
Prepaid Expense 2,545 2,459
Total Assets $79,604 $78,328
Liabilities and Net Worth
Notes PayableTrade $ 3>ooo $ i ,000
Notes Payable Bank 3>ooo 2 ,000
Accounts Payable 8,000 5 ,000
Dividends Payable 2 ,000 2 ,000
Accrued Liabilities 337 248
Current (and Total) Liabilities $16,337 $10,218
Ch. 5] COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS 47
Capital Stock Outstanding $50,000 $50,000
Surplus 13 , 267 18 ,080
Total Net Worth $63,267 $68 080
Total Liabilities and Net Worth $79,604 $78,328
Sales $90,652 $96,691
Determining the Ratios In the last chapter certain ratios
were suggested. If they are calculated for both balance sheets,
their comparison should be illuminating.
1923 1924
Quick Assets $12,819 $16,369
Current Liabilities $16 , 337 $10 , 248
Ratio (acid test) 78% 160%
This is very interesting. For every $i of current liabilities
there was only $.78 of quick assets in 1923 as compared with
$1.60 of quick assets in 1924. This trend is obviously
favorable.
1923 1924
Current Assets $40 , 896 $38 , 579
Current Liabilities $16 , 337 $10 , 248
Current Ratio 250% 376%
This trend is also good. From $2.50 of current assets
in 1923 to $3.76 of current assets in 1924 for every dollar of'
current liabilities is a favorable change.
In each instance alone the showing is better than required
by the "2 to i" rule. The comparison shows the trend and if
the figures were reversed, i.e., if the 1923 ratio was 376% and
the 1924 ratio was 250%, the reader would be warned of an
unfavorable tendency, whereas, with either of the balance sheets
alone, he might easily be satisfied with the current ratio.
1923 1924
Sales $90,652 $96,691
Accounts Receivable $ 5 ,629 $ 5 ,857
Ratio i ,610% i ,650%
The trend of these ratios is favorable. An increase is
48 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 5
shown from $16.10 to $16.50 of annual sales for each dollar
of accounts receivable.
1923 1924
Sales $90*652 $96,691
Inventory $28,077 $22,210
Ratio 323% 435%
This comparison Is favorable. When, for every dollar of
inventory the sales are increased from $3.23 to $4.35 a trend is
shown toward more profitable merchandising methods lulling
possible suspicions that the inventory may be getting over-
loaded with obsolete or unsalable stock.
While it may be assumed that the reason lies in more
efficient merchandising, there are other possible causes that
should not be overlooked :
1. The 1924 inventory may be lower than the average for
the year.
2. The 1923 inventory may be higher than the average for
the year.
3. The inventories may consist of proportionally the same
number of physical units but the 1924 inventory may
have been acquired at a substantially lower cost.
4. The sales may consist of proportionally the same number
of physical units but the 1924 sales prices per unit
may be greater.
These are possibilities that exist where sales (at selling
price) are divided by actual inventory instead of following
the correct, but often impracticable method of dividing average
inventory into sales at cost.
The comparison of these four ratios naturally represents
the first step in analysis when two or more balance sheets are
available. However, the availability of two or more balance
sheets offers an opportunity for a different type of analysis,
Comparison of Amounts. With two statements available
the figures may be lined up side by side and the increase or
Ch. 5 ]
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS
49
decrease of each item and group ascertained. This is an im-
portant basic method of analysis for showing changes.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
Assets 1923
Cash $ 7,190
Accounts Receivable 5 , 629
Inventories 28 ,077
Fixed Assets 36 , 163
Prepaid Expense 2 , 545
1924
$10,512
5,857
22,210
37,290
2,459
Increase
$3,322
228
Decrease
$5,867
1,127
86
Total Assets $79,604 $78,328 $4,677 $5,953
Liabilities and Net Worth
Notes Payable Trade $ 3 , ooo $ I , ooo
Notes Payable Bank 3 ,000 2 ,000
Accounts Payable 8 , ooo 5 , ooo
Dividends Payable 2 ,000 2 ,000
Accrued Liabilities 337 248
Capital Stock Outstanding 50 , ooo 50 , ooo
Surplus 13 , 267 18 ,080
Total Liabilities and Net Worth $79 , 604
$2, OOO
I,OOO
3ooo
89
$6,089
Presenting the statement . in this form emphasizes the
changes that have taken place. The facts stand out clearly
and their relative importance is more easily gauged.
This method of analyzing is perhaps the one most com-
monly used. For clearness the above statement does not show
group headings and sub-totals that would usually be given.
Application of Funds. As a step further, it is sometimes
of interest to use the figures of increase and decrease in another
statement. This statement is based on the fact that :
INCREASES IN ASSETS
plus
DECREASES IN LIABILITIES AND NET WORTH
equals
DECREASES IN ASSETS
plus
INCREASES IN LIABILITIES AND NET WORTH
50 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 5
Applying to this formula the figures of the Ames Manu-
facturing Company, the following proof is obtained:
Increases in Assets $4,677 $5,953 Decreases in Assets
Decreases in Liabilities Increases in Liabilities
and Net Worth 6,089 4,813 and Net Worth
Total $10,766 $10,766 Total
The equation forms the basis for the following statement,
usually called the "Application of Funds Statement/' which
shows (i) the classified sources from which funds were re-
ceived and (2) what was done with the funds.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
APPLICATION OF FUNDS STATEMENT
For the Year Ended December 31, 1924
SOURCE OF FUNDS:
Increase in Surplus $4,813
Decrease in Inventories (i) 5 , 867
Decrease in Prepaid Expenses (2) 86
Total to Be Accounted for $10,766
APPLIED TO THE FOLLOWING PURPOSES:
Increase in Cash $3 ,322
Increase in Accounts Receivable 228
Increase in Fixed Assets i , 127
Decrease in Notes Payable Trade 2 , ooo
Decrease in Notes Payable Bank 1 ,000
Decrease in Accounts Payable ^ ,000
Decrease in Accrued Liabilities 89 $10,766
Decreases in assets are theoretically regarded as sources
of actual funds for the purpose of the above type of statement.
This viewpoint may be regarded as true in the case of
marked (i) inventories. In the case of such an item as
marked (2) prepaid expense, it is only theoretically, not ac-
tually true. No actual cash was realized in this connection,
but had not this decrease in prepaid expense occurred, the in-
crease in surplus would have been greater to the extent of
$86, so that it amounts to the same thing.
Also decreases are often noted in fixed asset accounts which
are not due to some of those assets having been converted into
Ch. 5] COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS 51
cash but rather to increases in the allowance for depreciation
purely a book entry with no effect on the cash.
Nevertheless, this type of statement assumes that a decrease
in fixed assets is a source of funds, because the increase in
surplus would have been larger by the same amount had not
such depreciation provision been made.
In spite of the false assumptions as to actual funds result-
ing from all decreases in asset values, the effect produced by
the statement is the same as though the false assumptions were
really true.
This type of statement is most frequently used by account-
ants to answer the business man's question : "You say my
business shows a profit for the year. What has become of it?"
It is also used often enough by the analyst of financial
statements to justify its inclusion here as an optional part of
analysis technique.
Percentage Analysis of Statements. For the sake of
completeness it should be mentioned that there is some author-
ity for a plan which shows on the face of a comparative balance
sheet the percentage that each item and group of items bears
to the total assets.
Applying this plan to the figures for the Ames Manufac-
turing Company, the statement would appear as follows :
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
In- De-
Assets
Cash
i?
t 7
>23
, IQO
9.
o
IS
$10
>24
,512
13,
crease
$3,322
crease
Accounts Receivable. .
- '5
,629
,.7-
I
5
,857
7-
5
228
Quick Assets
$12
,8lQ
T6
T
$16
,369
20.
Q
3,550
Inventories
. 28
,077
35.
3
22
,2IO
28.
4
$5,867
Current Assets .
. $4.0
,806
51.
A
$38
,579
49
3
_
2,317
Fixed Assets . ....
,163
45-
37
,290
47
6
1,127
Prepaid Expense
2
,545
3-
2
2
,459
3
,1
86
Total Assets
. $7Q
,604
IOO.
$78
,328
IOO
.0
.
1,276
52 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 5
Liabilities and Net Worth
Notes Payable^-Trade. $ 3,000 3.8 $ 1,000 1.3 $2,000
Notes Payable-^-Bank. . 3,000 3-8 2,000 2.6 1,000
Accounts Payable 8,000 10.0 5.000 6.4 3,000
Dividends Payable 2,000 2.5 2,000 2.6
Accrued Liabilities 337 Q-4 248 0.3 89
Current Liabilities.. $16,337 20 5 $10,248 13.2 6,089
Capital Stock Outstand-
ing $50,000 62.8 $50,000 63 8
Surplus 13,267 16.7 18,080 23 o $4,813
Net Worth $63,267 79.5 $68,080 86 8 4,813
Total Liabilities and Net
Worth $79,604 IPO o $78,328 IPO o 1,276
Interpreting the Statement. It appears that very little
value attaches to these percentage calculations. In fact, to
the untrained reader they might at times be actually deceptive
as in the following example, occurring in a balance sheet used
to illustrate this method in a pamphlet, "The Preparation and
Use of Financial Statements/' published by the Illinois Manu-
facturers Cost Association :
Last Year % This Year %
Surplus $3,938,,ooo 15.2 $4,650,000 15.1
Total Assets 25,854,000 100.0 30,634,000 100.0
A superficial survey might give the impression of a poorer
surplus condition because of the drop in the percentages from
15.2% to 15.1%. It may appear a trifle far fetched that any
person could be so easily deceived, yet the example given illus-
trates the point that the total of the assets does not furnish a
desirable base figure for determining percentages.
The fluctuations of the total assets may be out of all har-
mony with certain items or groups, and no useful purpose
is served by figuring the percentages, one of the other.
Use of "Increase and Decrease" Method. The important
feature of this chapter is the "increase and decrease" method
of analyzing a comparative balance sheet.
Ch. 5] COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS 53
The use of this method plus the calculation of the current
ratio (and sometimes the "acid test" ratio) represents about
the sum total of analysis technique in common use at the
present time.
And for the ordinary work of credit departments, it is
usually sufficient. But for the needs of investors, executives,
public accountants and to meet extraordinary credit situations,
this limited procedure is quite inadequate.
The next few chapters will be devoted to the more ad-
vanced technique of balance sheet analysis and a comparative
consideration of different methods.
CHAPTER VI
SPECIFIC BUSINESS AILMENTS
Purpose of Analysis This chapter represents an impor-
tant interlude in the development of analytical technique.
Before developing finer and surer methods of analysis, it is
first necessary to consider more definitely the purpose of the
analysis.
The physician, in making his diagnosis, follows a systematic
procedure, each step of which has a specific purpose.
His is no unorganized survey based on the hope of luckily
discovering important facts. His entire plan of diagnosis is
based on positive knowledge that there are certain common
human ailments. He makes an orderly examination for symp-
toms of each, thus narrowing his field of investigation sys-
tematically.
Diagnosing Business Ailments. Similarly the balance
sheet analyst should search for common business ailments. He
should know what those ailments are, the symptoms of each,
and their relative seriousness.
This knowledge, like the physician's, must be based on ex-
perience, i.e., the history of the thousands of cases of business
"disease" as embodied in the statistics of failure.
The physician who desires to investigate the causes of
good health does not study well people, but diseased ones. The
business analyst who desires to learn the causes of business
success studies business failures.
Commercial Failure Statistics. The great mercantile
agencies, Bradstreet's and R. G. Dun's, have been accumulat-
ing failure statistics for years. These statistics classify busi-
ness failures by causes,
54
Ch. 6] SPECIFIC BUSINESS AILMENTS 55
Without attempting to reproduce the statistics which vary
slightly from year to year, it is sufficient to follow the general
statement as contained in the Accountant's Handbook : x
Two chief classes of business failures are :
1. Those for which the management is responsible.
2. Outside circumstances for which the management is not
responsible.
Under the first class are those resulting from :
a. Incompetence.
b. Lack of capital.
c. Poor credit management, etc.
About 80% of failures are accounted for by this group.
Under the second class are those resulting from :
a. Competition.
b. Physical disasters.
c. General business conditions.
About 20% of failures result from these causes.
The estimate that 80% of failures are directly chargeable
to poor management is probably low rather than high, because
certain of the companies whose failures are ascribed to "com-
petition" and "general business conditions" probably would
have overcome the difficulties had their management been
competent.
Relation of the Four Credit Factors These statistics
clearly emphasize the overwhelming importance of the factor
of business ability.
It was previously stated that there were four primary fac-
tors to use in judging the desirability of a credit risk (and these
four are also important from the viewpoint of other analysts
than credit men).
These four factors were stated to be :
1. Character honesty, habits, etc.
2. Capacity business ability and astuteness.
1 Published by The Ronald Press Company.
56 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch 6
3. Capital financial condition and earnings.
4. Conditions the general business situation.
From the statistics given it is evident that (2) capacity,
and (3) capital, are at least four times (80% as compared
with 20%) as important as the other two.
Financial Condition Reflects Ability. If, as many think,
lack of good financial condition and earnings is an evidence of
lack of business capacity, then there are only three factors
character, capacity, and conditions.
In support of this point a quotation from Forbes Magazine
is interesting. When Harvey Firestone, the well known tire
manufacturer, was asked what brought success, he said "lack
of capital" which made him "watch every expenditure."
"If I had had all the money I needed to start my business, it
would never have grown so large as it is, because I would not
have had to study every detail."
Assuming this to be true, and assuming that lack of
capacity (or ability) accounts for more than 80% of business
failures, then the analyst of financial statements will be pri-
marily interested in studying the elements of business ability
and the symptoms which evidence lack of ability.
Five Common Business Ailments. Research into many
hundreds of insolvent companies indicates that there are five
common business ailments which are usually the result of
managerial inefficiency to some degree.
One or more of the five are found to exist in the case of
practically every honest failure (the deliberately dishonest
failures and those due to public calamities are not considered
in this volume).
These five common business ailments are :
1. Insufficient net profits.
2. Over-investment in inventory.
3. Over-investment in receivables.
Ch. 6] SPECIFIC BUSINESS AILMENTS 57
4. Over-Investment in fixed assets.
5. Insufficient capitalization.
Statements Reflect Business Ailments. For (i) insuf-
ficient net profit, including all the various contributory factors
such as insufficient sales, etc., the analyst studies the profit and
loss statement and for the remaining four he studies the
balance sheet.
At first thought it may appear rather far-fetched to use
financial statements as a means of investigating so intangible
a quality as business ability but the fact remains that these
statements are, in effect, mirrors which reflect business ability
more accurately than any other means.
Since the analysis of profit and loss statements is treated
later in this volume, the reader need not concern himself now
with the first common business ailment insufficient net profit
but proceed directly to a consideration of the remaining
four.
The second of the five ailments is over-investment in in-
ventory. This simply means that a disproportionate amount
of money is tied up in inventory.
This has nothing to do with the actual amount of money in
inventory, but rather the size of the inventory compared to
other financial elements. A million dollar inventory might be
too small for one corporation, whereas a $10,000 inventory
might be too large for another.
Much depends upon the kind of business. For example, the
agricultural implement business during certain times of the
year requires a very high inventory. This holds true in con-
nection with manufacturers of skates, stoves, automobile
heaters, blankets, electric fans, companies handling natural ice,
and other seasonal enterprises.
Other types of business, because of their very nature,
require very low inventories. The packing house, because it
largely handles fresh meats, maintains a low inventory. This
5 8 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 6
is also true with grocery stores, artificial ice manufacturers,
dairies, etc.
But although enterprises differ considerably with respect to
the normal size of their inventories, it is true that for any
particular line of business there is some point beyond which
the inventory cannot increase without danger.
Over-investment in inventory is a serious condition. In
the first place, it ties up money in such a way that it does not
even earn bank interest; and in the second place, it requires
storage space, and the cost of providing such space is often
heavy. Furthermore, excess inventory may depreciate or be-
come obsolete before use.
Many corporations have become insolvent due to an ag-
gravated inventory condition.
The Holberg Manufacturing Company of Chicago made
standard machinery. In 1920 they felt the need of additional
capital. Because this was a small company the securing of
additional capital was quite a task.
The banks refused to handle the proposition; brokerage
houses were unwilling to take on the sale of stock; bond houses
refused to consider lending assistance.
An investigation by a public accountant revealed the aston-
ishing fact that the Holberg Manufacturing Company had
tied up in excess inventory more than twice the amount of
money they were so anxiously seeking from outside channels,
He found that of a certain item there was over seven years'
supply, while of other items that were part of the same as-
sembly, there were only a few weeks' supply.
This is an extreme illustration; yet it reflects the kind of a
situation that is quite common.
Over-Investment in Receivables The third common
business ailment is in many respects similar to the second, except
that it is probably more commonly encountered.
Too great generosity in the extension of credit results in
Ch. 6] SPECIFIC BUSINESS AILMENTS 59
tying up money in receivables. Properly controlled this may
do little harm, but it is very easy for such a situation to become
aggravated.
Extreme pressure is often brought by a concern's own sales-
man to allow long terms of credit and to grant unreasonable
extensions of payments to favored customers. Close, careful
collecting is an essential of sound business finance. Lax col-
lecting results in a distorted financial position, and frequently
in bankruptcy.
There should be a normal relation between the volume of
sales and the average amount of receivables. This relation is
determined, first of all, by the standard terms of credit; where
the average credit term is 60 days it is reasonable to expect a
larger volume of receivables than where 30 days' time is
customary.
Geographical Location. Geographical location is also
important. In certain parts of the country long-term credits
are expected; and even though short terms are specified, cus-
tomers will feel entitled to take their own time in making pay-
ment, and will often be seriously affronted by collection effort.
In other places collectibility of accounts will depend quite
directly on the prosperity of the leading industry, i.e., cotton
in Georgia, oil in Oklahoma, wheat in Nebraska, automobiles
in Michigan, etc.
It should be carefully borne in mind that this particular
business ailment has nothing to do with bad debts, although
the same causes are usually responsible for both. Over-
investment in receivables is usually due to laxness in collection
or over-generosity in assigning sales terms, often brought
about by improper sales policies.
The remedy for the condition is usually to be enforced
through the sales department.
Over-Investment in Plant. The fourth common business
ailment has to do with over-investment in fixed assets.
60 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 6
Land, buildings and machinery are very good assets with
which to operate, but are very poor assets with which to pay
bills. Ambitious business men, during periods of prosperity,
are tempted to over-expand plant facilities, thus tying up
capital in fixed assets to a greater extent than wisdom justifies.
In other instances, through pride of possession and per-
sonal vanity, business men will persuade themselves to over-
invest in this class of asset.
This is a cause of business failure the importance of which
it is difficult to overstate. It leaves the business in a distorted
financial position and subject to grave danger at the slightest
indication of unfavorable financial trends.
Only too often is a new factory or office building the tomb-
stone of a business.
Wise business men have an instinctive appreciation of the
primary importance of keeping funds liquid keeping them
"turning over" and making a profit on each turnover.
Many a large and profitable business is operated from
dingy and unattractive offices and plants.
Insufficient Capitalization The fifth common business
ailment is that of insufficient capitalization.
Many businesses are started on a "shoe string." Often
they grow quite rapidly, but because of the nature of the
business or for other reasons, additional invested capital is
not provided. Since the business must have sufficient capital
with which to operate, the result is that such capital is secured
from creditors, i.e., it is either borrowed from banks or
"borrowed" from vendors under the customary privileges of
ordinary trade credit. Such capital is not permanent capital
and must be constantly renewed.
If too much of this kind of capital is employed, the com-
pany is continually at the mercy of its creditors. As long as
general financial conditions are favorable, such a business may
continue to operate without much difficulty. But at the be-
Ch. 6] . SPECIFIC BUSINESS AILMENTS 6l
ginning of a period of depression such companies are among
the first to be forced into the courts.
This is largely due to their use of temporary capital, repre-
sented by their liabilities, in the place of permanent capital,
represented by shares of stock outstanding.
Different Classes o Liabilities. Since there are different
classes of liabilities, it is only fair to call attention to the fact
that it is "short-time" credits that are dangerous. Capital
secured through mortgages running a period of years, is, prac-
tically speaking, almost on a par with invested capital as to
permanence.
When a moderate amount of such semi-permanent capital
can be secured at a reasonable interest cost, Its use represents
good financing and reacts to the benefit of the company and
stockholders.
The Armstrong Company has a capital of $1,000,000, all
common stock, and an average annual profit of $100,000. It,
therefore, earns 10% on its common stock. If the Barnes
Company has the same profit and the same amount of capital,
half represented by common stock and half by 5% bonds, it
will have to pay out $25,000 in bond interest leaving $75,000
to apply to $500,000 of the common stock, or a 15% return.
Thus, under similar conditions, the stockholders of the
Armstrong Company get 10%, while the stockholders of the
Barnes Company get 15%.
In a highly speculative business with widely fluctuating
sales, a heavy mortgage indebtedness may easily represent a
menace, since its interest requirements represent a fixed
charge that must be met. Such a company should be financed
through stock ownership, since dividends need not be declared
at any definite time.
Other Business Ailments. It is hardly necessary to state
that these common business ailments are not the only important
62 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 6
ones in business. A business may have many ailments.
Some of them may be complicated, but the ones that have been
selected for discussion are so commonly found that they de-
serve to be set ahead of all the others.
In succeeding chapters the symptoms of each of these ail-
ments and the methods used to detect them will be considered.
CHAPTER VII
BALANCE SHEET RATIOS
Instruments o Control. A man driving an automobile
has certain definite things to watch. In addition to steering
the machine towards his destination, he must also be con-
stantly on the watch for troubles which will hinder his
progress.
There are certain common automobile ailments that must
be constantly guarded against.
Such things as underinflated tires, insufficient water in the
radiator, insufficient gasoline, or insufficient distilled water in
the battery may cause trouble.
As an aid to the motorist certain control instruments are
provided which are called "gauges."
Thus there is the moto-meter, the battery tester, the oil
gauge, the air gauge, the speedometer, and the gasoline gauge.
None of these gauges help to make the car go. Their sole
purpose is to act as instruments of control to keep the driver
informed regarding possible happenings that may stop his
progress or involve him in real danger.
There is a certain resemblance between a man operating an
automobile and one operating a business. And in studying
analysis of financial statements it will be helpful to consider
this similarity.
Common Ailments of Business. Just as there are certain
things that may happen to any automobile which will impair
its efficiency, so, as was developed in the preceding chapter,
there are certain common ailments in business.
These have already been described, but it will do no harm
to repeat them :
64 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 7
1. Insufficient net profit.
2. Over-investment in inventory.
3. Over-investment in receivables.
4. Over-investment in plant.
5. Insufficient capitalization.
There is practically no business which is immune from these
ailments, although some may be of greater importance in cer-
tain lines of business than in others.
This list does not include all of the various ailments which
a business may have. It does represent the common ones to
which every business may be subject and for which every
one interested must be constantly on the watch.
Gauging Business Ailments. If a system of gauges is im-
portant to the automobile driver, a. system of gauges is of
greater importance to a business manager.
A business organization is a far more complicated mecha-
nism than any automobile.
It is far easier for a business to develop undetected ail-
ments than for an automobile to do so.
The automobile will usually stop if anything goes wrong,
but a business can sometimes survive for years handicapped
by one of the common ailments without anyone really sensing
the trouble.
Just as human beings are sometimes blind to their own
insidious diseases, so are business managers often blind to
aggravated conditions within their own businesses. Because
these difficulties are frequently hard to diagnose, is the reason
why special methods of analysis are needed to detect them.
For many years accountants, statisticians and credit men
have been hunting for such gauges ; the search is not yet fin-
ished and perhaps never will be. But their work so far has
developed certain fairly reliable gauges.
Since all business activities of any kind are presented in
Ch. 7] BALANCE SHEET RATIOS 65
terms of figures, it is only natural that these warning gauges
should be in the form of figures.
The procedure of modern balance sheet analysis is based
on the thought that for any particular business, there are
certain normal relationships, i.e., the various factors in that
business should be in a harmonious relationship with one
another.
Balance Sheet Relationships Therefore, the effort to
discover gauges useful to the executive has been directed
toward finding relationships between certain groups of busi-
ness facts each of which will tell a plain story to the business
manager, just as the height of the red line in the moto-meter
tells a plain story to the automobile driver.
It would be a lengthy task to review all of the steps in
the research work which has been done in this field. But in
order to illustrate, consider briefly the common business prob-
lem of over-investment in inventory.
Over-Investment In Inventory. Everyone knows how im-
portant a problem this is.
Everyone realizes that money tied up in inventory is non-
productive is not even earning bank interest. Everyone real-
izes that a large inventory is liable to drastic shrinkage when
commodity prices drop. A large percentage of the failures
in 1920 and 1921 were caused by the shrinkage of top heavy
inventories.
How is one to determine whether an inventory Is too
large or too small ?
A $10,000,000 inventory might be small fo-r one company,
while a $10,000 inventory might be too big for another. Much
depends, therefore, on the size of the company, the amount
of business they are doing, the amount of their sales, etc.
Relation of Inventory to Sale. There is, as already ex-
plained in Chapter IV, a very direct connection between the
66 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 7
size of the merchandise inventory and the volume of sales.
Everything else being equal, the larger sales volume the com-
pany has, the more inventory it must carry.
If a company's annual sales be divided by the amount of
actual inventory, the result will be a percentage which can be
used as a gauge to show whether the company is investing too
much money in inventory or not.
For companies operating under similar conditions, the per-
centages will generally be about the same. Thus for five
copper companies in 1920 the percentages were as follows :
86%
144%
105%
102%
While for three general merchandising companies for the
same year the figures were :
652%
579%
In other words, there is a certain general uniformity of
this percentage within an industry, subject to important ex-
ceptions to be discussed in Chapter XIII.
The Ratios Such a percentage is technically called a
"ratio," and this term will be used hereafter.
It should be borne in mind that a ratio is always a per-
centage obtained by dividing one figure by another, i.e., in
this instance, by dividing the yearly sales by the inventory.
Average vs. Actual Inventories. As heretofore explained,
it is seldom possible to learn the average inventory of a com-
pany, and it has been customary to use the actual inventory
that appears on the balance sheet at the end of the accounting
period.
This may or may not be the same as the average inventory,
Ch. 7] BALANCE SHEET RATIOS 67
depending upon the nature of the business; but since a rough
gauge is better than none at all, it is usually the one that must
be used.
If the ratio of sales to inventory is lower than it ought to
be, it may mean one of two things.
It may mean that the inventory is too large, or on the
other hand, that the sates are too small. (Insufficient sales
as a contributing factor to insufficient net profit is treated
in Chapters XV and XVI.)
Comparison of Inventory and Current Items. Therefore,
in order to shed further light on the current status of the
inventory, another ratio based upon different factors should be
used.
It has been found that a certain normal relationship should
exist between the inventory and the quick assets and liabilities.
Since this involves three sets of figures, it will be neces-
sary to work out two more ratios; one, the "acid test/' which
shows the relationship between quick assets and current lia-
bilities, and the other, the current ratio, which shows the
relationship between the current assets (the sum of the quick
assets and the inventory) and the current liabilities. These
two used together will cast additional light on the inventory,
problem.
Thus, if the ratio obtained by dividing the quick assets
by the current liabilities is abnormally low, and the ratio
obtained by dividing the current assets by the current liabili-
ties is unusually high, it tends to confirm the impression that
the inventory is too heavy for the size of the business.
Here are two tests or gauges which help the analyst to
decide whether a business is ailing from over-investment in
inventory.
The Eight Ratios. Without attempting to go into the
reasoning which is responsible for the other ratios, a list fol-
68 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 7
lows of the five common business ailments together with the
ratios which may be used to diagnose all except the first,
which is to be treated in Chapters XV and XVI.
1. Insufficient net profit.
2. Over-investment in inventory:
a. Ratio of annual sales to inventory.
b. Ratio of quick assets to current liabilities (the "acid
test").
c. Ratio of current assets to current liabilities.
3. Over-investment in receivables :
a. Ratio of annual sales to receivables.
b. Ratio of quick assets to current liabilities.
4. Over-investment in plant :
a. Ratio of annual sales to fixed assets.
b. Ratio of net worth to fixed assets.
5. Insufficient capitalization :
a. Ratio of annual sales to net worth.
b. Ratio of net worth to total liabilities.
The use of the "acid test/' the current ratio and the ratio
of annual sales to inventory has already been discussed in
Chapters IV and V.
Over-Investment in Receivables. Over-investment in in-
ventory is perhaps the most common business mistake. But
of almost equal importance is the mistake of over-investing
in receivables.
By receivables is meant all indebtedness owed to a company
by its customers for goods sold. Receivables usually include
accounts receivable, notes receivable, and may also include
sight drafts, when accompanied by bills of lading, and C.O.D.
items.
Too much money becomes tied up in receivables through
too liberal extensions of credit and through lax collection
efforts.
When this condition exists it simply means that the com-
pany is allowing an unwarranted amount of its capital. to be
Ch. 7] BALANCE SHEET RATIOS 69
"loaned" to others in such form that it does not even pay
interest.
It frequently happens that a concern will permit itself to
get into this condition and at the same time -be so hard
pressed for funds as to be forced to seek new capital, whereas
the correct solution should be to release some capital from this
non-productive use.
Ratio of Sales to Receivables. The first test is to compare
the receivables with the annual sales.
Since the receivables result from sales there should be a
certain relationship between the two. This is determined by
dividing the annual sales by the actual amount of receivables
as shown on the last balance sheet, although this may be de-
ceptive in certain seasonal lines of business.
If the resulting percentage should be 100%, it would mean
that the equivalent of a whole year's sales was tied up in re-
ceivables. If 200% it would indicate that six months' sales
were tied up in receivables, and so on.
Naturally, for any line of business this depends on the
average terms of sales. It would be smaller for long terms,
and it would be larger if 30 days or less was the usual credit
extension. -
This percentage if too small may indicate that the receiv-
able item is too large.
As a check, therefore, the current ratio sheds further light
on this subject, since with most business concerns current
assets consist very largely of receivables.
Over-Investment in Plant. Another very common error
is to build up too heavy a plant investment account.
It is a temptation to many business executives to let their
pride of ownership get the better of their good judgment and
to invest large sums of money in land, buildings, machinery,
office equipment and other fixed asset items.
They seem to forget that their plant is merely a means
70 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 7
by which raw materials are to be ^re-worked and sold for a
profit, and that their plant should not be any more elaborate
than is necessary to accomplish this purpose.
From the accounting viewpoint immediately after a fixed
asset is bought, money invested in it is still an asset of the
same value as it was before. But from the financing view-
point there is a great difference, since cash can be used to
pay bills or take advantage of special business opportunities,
whereas the money invested in buildings remains "frozen"
permanently and when it is most needed it is often most diffi-
cult to realize.
Ratio o Sales to Fixed Assets. There should be a distinct
relationship between the size of the plant and the volume of
a company's sales, i.e., the more goods sold, the larger the plant
needed to make or handle the goods to sell.
This may be expressed as a ratio between sales and fixed
assets, the total amount of the annual sales being divided by
the book value of the fixed assets. The normal and desirable
situation is for the sales to increase at a somewhat faster rate
than the fixed assets, so that if from year to year this ratio is
increasing it will be a favorable sign. If it is constantly de-
creasing, it is usually unfavorable.
Since the change in the ratio of sales to fixed assets may
be due to fluctuation in sales volume rather than to increases in
fixed asset investment, it is also customary to compare the
fixed assets with the net worth of the company.
Ratio of Net Worth to Fixed Assets. This ratio is ob-
tained by dividing the net worth by the value of the fixed
assets.
If over a period of time this ratio increases, it may be
taken as a favorable indication since it shows that the net
worth is increasing at a faster rate than the fixed asset in-
vestment.
Of course, this is only true if the increases in net worth
Ch. 7] BALANCE SHEET RATIOS 71
are the result of earnings. If they are the result of stock
sales, a different, although perhaps equally favorable, conclu-
sion might be reached.
Under-Capitalization. Ambitious but unwise managers of
small companies frequently attempt to do a larger amount of
business than they are financed to handle.
This results in overworking their capital and is given by
the commercial agencies as one of the most frequent causes
of business failures. To compare the amount of capitalization
with the amount of sales is a natural step.
Capitalization for this purpose is the net worth of the
company, since retained earnings appearing as surplus are a
form of capital of the same general nature as the original
investment made by the stockholders.
Ratio of Sales to Net Worth. This ratio is obtained by
dividing the annual sales by the net worth.
Up to a certain point an increase in this ratio is a favorable
indication since it shows aggressiveness on the part of the
manager. Past that point it represents a warning signal.
In order to determine whether the ratio is increasing too
rapidly, it is wise to examine another ratio which usually
furnishes additional evidence bearing on the point.
Ratio of Net Worth to Liabilities. This ratio is the one
between net worth and total liabilities, and is obtained by
dividing the net worth by the total liabilities.
As already set forth, each item on the liability and capital
side of the balance sheet represents a source of funds. Lia-
bilities represent funds temporarily loaned by creditors, even
though these funds happen to be in the form of merchandise
or supplies. The capital stock represents funds permanently
loaned by the stockholders.
Since it is usually safer for a company to secure most of
its capital from stockholders rather than from creditors, it
72 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 7
will be seen that a consistent increase in this ratio from year
to year can be taken as a favorable indication, whereas a con-
sistent decrease may represent a danger signal.
The above two ratios taken together shed considerable
light on the question of insufficient capitalization.
Use of More Than One Ratio Necessary. The foregoing
discussion has involved eight different ratios.
These ratios are valuable to the analyst only when they
are used intelligently.
In order to use them intelligently it must be understood
that a ratio is after all only a percentage: and always involves
two factors the dividing figure and the one divided. Thus a
single ratio expresses two varying amounts.
Hence no definite conclusions should be made from the
study of one of these ratios alone. Ordinarily it requires two
ratios in order to insure even a fair degree of certainty as to
the diagnosis of a business ailment.
Intelligent use of these ratios also requires that the user
understand that they are rough and only partially accurate
gauges, and that their reliability depends upon numerous
factors.
Ratios Give Warning. If these ratios are used in the same
way as the control gauges of an automobile are used to give
warning of approaching trouble they perform a very satis-
factory service.
The fact that the moto-meter on a car shows overheating
is merely a warning which must be followed by further inves-
tigation.
The trouble may come from insufficient water in the radi-
ator, insufficient lubrication, breakage of the fan belt or other
causes. No driver could find out exactly the trouble with
the car by merely observing the height of the red line in the
moto-meter.
Similarly with ratios. They merely point out symptoms
Ch. 7] BALANCE SHEET RATIOS 73
more or less accurately, but they do not furnish a complete
diagnosis.
The ratios can be no more accurate than the original fig-
ures from which they are calculated. Balance sheet values in
many instances are only shrewd estimates, and sometimes they
are far from reflecting the truth.
These warning statements are sufficiently justified, because
some authors on this subject, without actually saying so, ap-
pear to imply that balance sheet ratios are a new "cure-all"
for business ills a supposition which is most decidedly not
true.
Intelligent Use o Ratios. There are many other balance
sheet ratios which have been suggested from time to time by
various authors, none of which seem to be sufficiently re-
liable or important to be mentioned here.
The eight which have been discussed are not all of equal
importance, as will appear later. But they probably represent
the eight best and most practical of all the balance sheet ratios
which have been suggested.
The next few chapters will discuss these ratios in much
greater detail They represent an important and fascinating
study. In the hands of experts they often afford an uncanny
insight into the affairs of a company whose bare figures tell
but little.
Used with intelligence and a liberal amount of common
sense, it is possible to develop quite accurate conclusions as to
business trends and conditions.
This is particularly true when the ratios are used in search-
ing for specific symptoms of common business ailments.
CHAPTER VIII
HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS-
RATIO METHOD
Standard Ratios. The point has already been brought out
that all measuring is a matter of comparison, so in order to
measure balance sheet ratios, it is necessary to have some-
thing to compare them with.
Most balance sheet ratios taken from a single balance sheet
are practically meaningless until compared with something
else.
If there were standard ratios for every kind of business,
just as there is a standard yard-stick or a standard pound
weight, there would be something definite with which to com-
pare ratios from a single balance sheet.
But as will be seen later, significant standard ratios are
difficult, if not almost impossible, to obtain. The best sub-
stitute is to compare the ratios from successive balance sheets
of the same company.
Historical Analysis. Most ratios standing alone mean
almost nothing, but compared with similar ratios of the year
before, two years before, etc., may assume the greatest sig-
nificance.
The Boston Machine Company's balance sheets for three
years developed the following figures :
RATIO SALES TO INVENTORY
1922 200%
1923 250
1924 300
Perhaps an "ideal" figure would be 500%. Nevertheless
the trend of the figures shown is good, and as long as they
74
Ch. 8] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 75
are on the up-grade, the situation may be viewed more op-
timistically than if the following had been the ratios:
1922 550%
i9 2 3 500
1924 450
The vitally important thing is trend first, last, and always.
And to get any real meaning out of ratio figures, it is neces-
sary to calculate them not merely for one year, but for two or
more years.
And this brings up a point of the utmost importance.
Uniformity o Balance Sheets. It is essential that the
various groups of assets and liabilities be made up of the same
kind of items for each of the various years.
This may sound elementary, but it represents a real source
of difficulty in this type of analytical work, since there is
hardly any concern which does not change its accounting
methods from time to time. Even if the accounting methods
remain unchanged over a period of years, changes in the ac-
counting personnel may result in different groupings in the bal-
ance sheet.
While it may not be possible to insure that identical classi-
fication of accounts be maintained from year to year, never-
theless unusual care should .be exercised that balance sheet
groupings from year to year are similar.
Optional Classification. A balance sheet for one year may
include certain items in current assets that a later balance sheet
may show in some other group.
Either arrangement may be justifiable, since the arrange-
ment of a balance sheet is, to some extent at least, a matter
of individual taste and judgment. It is not safe, therefore, to
use the group totals as they appear on the balance sheet, but
each balance sheet should be recast in such a way that the
groupings from year to year are uniform.
76 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 8
Interpreting Account Names. The actual facts about
every kind of asset and liability are of much more importance
than the names of the accounts.
Thus, a mortgage, without an offsetting sinking fund, may
be a long-time liability or a current liability, depending upon
its due date and attendant circumstances. A "reserve" may
be a deduction from an asset, as in the case of a "reserve for
depreciation; 7 ' or it may be a liability, as in the case of a "re-
serve for taxes;" or it may be a net worth item, as in the
case of a "sinking fund reserve."
The name of the item appearing on the balance sheet,
therefore, does not always tell in just what group it really
belongs.
Working Sheet Where a series of balance sheets of dif-
ferent years are to be analyzed, the reclassification of the items
may often be simplified by the use of a working sheet which
provides a wide left-hand column for the various groups of
items and a series of money columns, one for each year.
The figures contained on the various balance sheets can be
transferred into the standard groupings as given on the work-
ing sheet, 'which will then furnish uniform group totals for
ratio calculations.
Slide Rule Calculation. The calculations represent simple
division, and can best be made with a slide rule.
Dividing on a slide rule is rapid and easy. The slide
rule is not a mysterious or complicated instrument, and its
use, so far as multiplication and division are concerned, can
be completely mastered in 10 minutes by a grade-school gradu-
ate. Its accuracy is quite sufficient for statement analysis pur-
poses.
Slide rules can be purchased at engineering supply houses
and many book stores at prices ranging as low as $i for the
cheapest make.
Ch. 8] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 77
Effect of Kind o Business. Since balance sheet ratios
and balance sheet figures merely reflect business activities, any-
one attempting to analyze balance sheets should have a gen-
eral idea as to the important business factors involved in each
industry.
The balance sheets of a bank, a railroad and an instal-
ment house have but little in common. Similarly balance sheets
of other corporations differ from one another. The contents
and groupings of a balance sheet are largely dependent upon
the business policies of the company and trade customs of the
industry.
Where long-term credits are given, the effect on the balance
sheet is very noticeable, the item of accounts or notes receiv-
able usually being very large, and the amount of current in-
debtedness quite heavy.
Where a product is sold practically on a cash basis, an en-
tirely different balance sheet is to be expected. It is clearly
evident, therefore, that ratios which might be favorable for
one kind of a business might be very poor for another kind
of business.
This is clearly confirmed by published facts.
Eighty-seven companies noted by J. H. Bliss in "Financial
and Operating Ratios in Management" fell into 22 groups.
The average ratio of sales to accounts receivable for all of
them covering a six-year period was about 682%.
It is interesting to observe some selected groups that were
above and below this average :
INDUSTRIES SHOWING RATIOS ABOVE AVERAGE
Auto and Truck Manufacturing &5 8 %
Auto Accessory Manufacturing 967
Copper Mining and Manufacturing 14.30
Drug Manufacturing and Distributing 883
Mail Order Merchandising 938
Sugar Product and Refining 1304
Tobacco Products 910
78 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 8
INDUSTRIES SHOWING RATIOS BELOW AVERAGE
Chemical Products 3?o%
Coal Bituminous 341
Cotton Goods Manufacturing 380
Electrical Machinery Manufacturing 353
Railway Equipment ... 429
Rubber and Tire Manufacturing 492
Sales Policies. Sales policies may have a very important
effect on balance sheet ratios even for companies in the same
line of business.
One company may find it desirable to sell to jobbers and
thus collect payment quickly. This tends toward high ratios
of sales to receivables and to inventory. Others may sell di-
rectly to the retail trade and keep heavy stocks of goods in
distributing warehouses at various strategic points and the
ratios tend to become lower.
Others may go a step further and establish their own retail
stores, which means a further increase in inventories and also
in fixed asset items.
Manufacturing Policies. Finally, manufacturing policies
must be considered.
A manufacturer may attempt to control his sources of raw
materials which means that he may have to operate mines,
blast furnaces, railroads, mills, and a variety of other indus-
tries, while his competitor may buy the corresponding products
on the market.
It is to be expected that the balance sheets of two such
companies will present a different appearance and that it will
be difficult to make comparisons between their ratios.
Illustrative Figures. Figures furnishing considerable
food for thought are quoted by J. H. Bliss from his study of
published reports. These figures have to do with the ratios
of sales to fixed assets of 94 corporations divided in 24
lines of business showing an average ratio of 183%.
Ch. 8] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 79
Some of the groups whose ratios were above the average
are as follows :
INDUSTRIES SHOWING RATIOS ABOVE THE AVERAGE
Auto and Truck Manufacturing 295%
Auto Accessories . 477
Cotton Goods Manufacturing 270
Drugs 470
Electrical Machinery 455
General Merchandising 1047
Mail Order Merchandising 974
Retail Chain Stores 896
Slaughtering and Meat Packing 962
The merchants in the above list show much better ratios
than the manufacturers, as would be expected.
Industries with simple manufacturing processes also show
good ratios.
Looking at the other side of the picture for a moment the
following situation is found:
INDUSTRIES SHOWING RATIOS BELOW AVERAGE
Coal Bituminous 34
Iron and Steel Manufacturing 70
Lead Production and Manufacturing 75
Petroleum Oil 75
Paper Manufacturing 101
Sugar Production and Refining in
The mining and oil companies have their heavy holdings
of land to account for their low ratios. Iron, steel, paper and
sugar manufacturing require complex and expensive machinery.
Turning finally to the inventory situation, there are the
statistics for 94 companies divided into 24 groups with an
average ratio of sales to inventory of 421%. Some of the
groups are as follows :
INDUSTRIES SHOWING RATIOS ABOVE AVERAGE
Auto Accessories 425%
Chemical Products , 54 2
Coal Anthracite 1422
So ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 8
Coal Bituminous 893
General Merchandising 542
Retail Chain Stores 593
Slaughtering and Meat Packing 748
The reason for most of these high ratios is obvious. It
will be interesting, however, to compare the types above with
those in the following list :
INDUSTRIES SHOWING RATIOS BELOW AVERAGE
Automobile and Truck Manufacturing 317%
Cotton Goods 342
Electrical Machinery 267
Lead Production 221
Leather 155
Machinery 216
Petroleum 235
Rubber and Tires 279
Tobacco 177
Some of these companies have to purchase far in advance
either to insure their supply or because of buying crops.
With others, such as automobile manufacturing and elec-
trical machinery, the processes of manufacturing are long and
complicated, while with still others, the element of time is part
of the process involving large stores in storage, as in the case
of ageing tobacco and tanning hides.
An Important Caution. The figures that have been quoted
in this chapter are shown solely for their comparative value
and not their absolute accuracy. It is doubtful whether such
average percentages can be used as measures, but there is no
doubt that a comparative survey of them is stimulating and
broadening, and throws considerable light on the relation be-
tween ratios and the kind of business conducted by each group.
CHAPTER IX
HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS-
RATIO METHOD (Continued)
Illustrating Use of Ratios. The best way to understand
the method of constructing and using balance sheet ratios is to
follow a hypothetical case.
Below are given four successive balance sheets of the Ames
Manufacturing Company.
The Ames Manufacturing Company actually exists and
with a few unimportant changes the figures given are actual.
The name, however, is fictitious and the dates given are not the
actual dates. This has been done to conceal the identity of
the corporation since the figures are shown merely to illustrate
method.
After examining the ratios the reader can compare his
final conclusions with those first formed, and thus gain an
appreciation as to the value of ratios in balance sheet analysis.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
Assets
Cash
1921
. . $ 4,652
1922
$13,371
1923
$ 7,190
1924
$10,512
Accounts Receivable (Net)
.. 14,468
8,217
5,629
5,857
Net Quick Assets
.. $19,120
$21,588
$12,819
$16,369
Inventories
.. 17,556
20 , 607
28,077
22,210
Total Current Assets
. $36,676
$42,195
$40,896
$38 , 579
Fixed Assets (less Depreciation) .
17,922
25 , 707
36,163
37 , 290
Prepaid Expense
76
213
2,545
2,459
TotalAssets $54,674 $68,115 $79,604 $78,328
81
82 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 9
Liabilities and Capital
Notes Payable Trdtde $ i ,000
Notes Payable Bank 4,000
Accounts Payable 7. ooo
Dividends Payable 2,000
Accrued Liabilities 128
Current (and Total) Liabilities $14* 128
Capital Stock Outstanding $50,000
Surplus (Deficit) 9>454
Total Net Worth $40 > 54-6
Total Liabilities and Net Worth . . $54,674
Sales $52,088
Ratio of Quick Assets to Current Liabilities. The first
ratio to determine is that of quick assets to current liabilities.
Quick assets will be divided by the current liabilities in
order to determine the "acid test" ratios. (Slide-rule calcula-
tion gives sufficient accuracy for every purpose. Fractions of
a per cent have been omitted) :
1922
1923
1924
To state these figures somewhat differently, they simply
mean that in 1921 for every dollar of current liabilities there
was $1.35 in quick assets.
In 1922 for every dollar of current liabilities there was
$2.48 of quick assets.
In 1923 for every dollar of current liabilities there was
$.78 of quick assets, and in 1924 for every dollar of current
liabilities there was $1.60 in quick assets.
In three out of the four years there were more quick assets
than current liabilities by a substantial margin. In the year
1923, however, there was a substantial increase in current Ha-
Ch 9] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 83
bilities and a decrease in quick assets, which resulted in a lower
ratio.
Ratio o Current Assets to Current Liabilities. The next
ratio to determine is that of current assets to current liabilities :
1923.
1924.
$10,248
Ratio of Sales to Receivables The third ratio is that of
sales to receivables :
1921 feS'
1922 ^ Q*or^
1924
$ 5.857
Ratio of Sales to Inventory. The fourth ratio is that of
sales to inventory :
$ 52, 088
1921 <-_ ftf A
'9*3 $^7 = 323%
" " ~ %
Ratio of Sales to Net Worth. The fifth ratio is that of
sales to net worth:
-
84 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 9
1924 -r~ :
Ratio of Net Worth to Fixed Assets. The sixth ratio is
that of net worth to fixed assets :
1922
1923
; $36,163
$68,080
1924
Ratio of Net Worth to Liabilities. The seventh ratio is
that of net worth to total liabilities. In this illustration the
total liabilities are the same as current liabilities, but this might
not be true. In other instances there might exist a mortgage or
bonds payable or a purchase money obligation which wouM
not form part of current liabilities but would have to be in-
cluded in total liabilities.
'** ...........................
T021 $63.267.
1923 ............................
Ratio of Sales to Fixed Assets. The eighth and last ratio
is that of sales to fixed assets :
1923
, 163
Ch. 9] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 85
It has been pointed out by J. H. Bliss, in "Management
Through Accounts/ 5 that:
The effect of changing price levels on sales must not be over-
looked. If a business has a measure of physical volume such as
cases, tons, hundredweight, etc., it is better to state this ratio as
the cases, hundredweight, or other units of volume, per dollar
of fixed property investment. In this manner the ratio would
be figured on bases unaffected by changing price levels. Where
statistics on physical volume are not available, it may be ap-
proximated by eliminating from the sales the effect of changes
in average price levels. This may readily be done by applying a
price index figure to the sales volume. For most industries pub-
lished price indexes may be used.
Mixed Production. Comparatively few business organiza-
tions are able to express their sales in terms of a single unit
because they market a diversified line of products.
Thus, the United States Rubber Company is engaged in
manufacturing rubber foot wear, mechanical goods, tires and
also supplies needed in the manufacturing of rubber goods.
It would be difficult if not impossible for the outside analyst
to convert all these various products into terms of a single
unit.
This same condition holds true for the majority of con-
cerns.
There are a few, of course, which produce one and only
one commodity. The Ford Motor Company may be con-
sidered in this class and also certain producers of raw ma-
terial, such as mining companies, lumber companies, etc.
Furthermore the outside analyst very rarely has access to
the statistics of physical production.
Adjusting Sales by Price Indexes. Reverting to the sec-
ond suggestion, that "the effect of changes on average price
levels may be eliminated from sales by applying price index
figures to sales volume," certain grave difficulties must be faced.
Perhaps the principal difficulty has to do with the fact that
86 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 9
published price indexes are nearly all concerned with simple
materials or raw materials and very few with manufactured
products. Therefore, even though a company under analysis
made but one product, if that product was not represented in the
published price indexes, this plan could not possibly be applied.
The next objection refers to the fact that averages are
always dangerous when applied to the interpretation of a specific
situation. Price indexes are, of course, averages.
It is, therefore, doubtful whether this suggested plan of
adjusting sales is feasible even in the relatively few instances
where it could be used.
Purpose of the Analysis, Furthermore, there is some
question as to whether such a plan would actually serve to pro-
mote the purpose of the analyst.
His interest in the analysis is largely financial. The ratio of
fixed assets to sales is shown in terms of dollars and is, there-
fore, stated in terms of finance.
If such a ratio were constructed by dividing dollars of fixed
assets into the number of actual units of production, a useful
ratio might be obtained to indicate the operating efficiency of the
plant. But this is an internal problem that the analyst is not
usually interested in.
The attention of the reader is again called to the fact that
this entire discussion of financial analysis is considered pri-
marily from the viewpoint and opportunities of the external
analyst, and not from the viewpoint of the internal analyst,
who is almost wholly concerned with the welfare of his par-
ticular company.
Over-Investment in Inventory. The next step is to ex-
amine the eight ratios in their relation to four of the five com-
mon business ailments, omitting the first one of "insufficient
net profits."
An overgrown inventory is one of the most common, and at
the same time a very dangerous business symptom.
Ch. 9] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 87
To- diagnose this condition, first examine the ratio of sales
to inventory:
Year Ratio
1921 297%
1922 322
1923 323
1924 435
Since this ratio is constantly increasing, it shows that the
inventory is not increasing as fast as the sales. Anyone con-
sidering such a ratio should bear in mind that the inventory at
the end of the year may be quite at variance with the average
inventory during the year.
Also the inventory is usually valued at cost, while the sales
are expressed in terms of cost plus the mark-up, which is
supposed to be sufficient to cover all operating expenses and still
leave a margin for profit.
The factors which influence the amount of the mark-up
may vary from year to year, which may result in a situation
where an equal number of units of product are sold in two suc-
cessive years but where the annual sales in dollars are different.
Usually the analyst must accept the figures as submitted,
but he should constantly bear in mind that the factors mentioned
may distort his ratios to a point where they represent only
rough guides.
The figures as given appear to show a healthy inventory
trend, but this may be verified by examining the two ratios :
(i) Quick assets to current liabilities, and (2) current assets
to current liabilities :
Year
IQ2I ,
Ratio No. I
135%
Ratio No. 2
260%
IQ22
248
486
IQ2^
78
250
IQ2A
160
376
Reducing Ratios to Common Base. These tell their own
story, giving no indication that the inventory is out of propor-
135
100%
260
100%
135
248
184%
260
486
188%
135
78
58%
260
250
97%
135
1 60
119%
260
376
145%
135
260
88 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 9
tion, but the variations between the two sets of ratios may be
clearer if they are reduced to a common base.
This may be done by considering the 1921 ratios as being
100%. To do this, divide all the No. I ratios above by 135 and
all of the No. 2 ratios above by 260, with the following results :
No. i Ratio No. 2 Ratio
1921
1922
1923
1924
The adjusted No. 2 ratios are increasing faster than the No.
i. Since the only difference between them is the inventory
item, it seems clear that swelling inventories are responsible
for the increase.
The situation is, however, far from alarming, and by no
means contradicts the conclusions already formed. The dif-
ference between 119% and 145% is moderate. Had these
figures been considerably farther apart, the interpretation
might have been less favorable.
Ordinarily it will not be necessary to go through the last
mathematical step of reducing the ratios to a common base,
since a mere inspection of the two sets of actual ratios them-
selves will tell a sufficiently complete story.
From this study a reasonably safe conclusion may be drawn
that the inventory of the Ames Manufacturing Company shows
a satisfactory trend.
But if the following ratios from the cotton goods business
were offered for analysis, what would be the conclusion ?
1913 1914 1915
Ratio Sales to Inventory 595% 3*7% 288%
Ratio Quick Assets to Current Liabilities 74 45 47
Ratio Current Assets to Current Liabilities 125 116 120
Zi = 100%
H5 , I00 %
74 /0
15 ^ 6l%
125 uu/0
116 M
= Ql>%
74 /0
4Z- 64%
125 93 /0
I2O m
as 06%
74 4/
125 y /0
Ch. 9] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 89
The last two sets of ratios may be reduced to a comparable
basis as follows :
Acid Test Ratio Current Ratio
1913
1914
1915
The ratio of sales to inventory shows a bad condition, and
the adjusted ratios of quick assets to current liabilities and of
current assets to current liabilities confirms the conclusion, the
difference between 64% and 96% being relatively large.
Over-Investment in Receivables. The next question to
consider is whether the Ames Manufacturing Company is tying
up too much money in receivables.
The first ratio which has a bearing on this problem is the
one of sales to receivables :
Year Ratio
1921 , 360%
1922 808
1923 1,610
1924 1,651
This ratio is constantly increasing, which simply means that
sales are increasing faster than the volume of receivables.
For the year 1921 there was $3.60 of sales for every dollar
of receivables offhand, a rather poor record. To state the
situation a little differently, it means that more than three
months 7 sales were tied up in receivables ($3.60 divided by 12
months equals $.30. $i is more than three times $.30).
The steady improvement up to 1924, when there was
$16.51 of annual sales for every dollar of receivables, is re-
assuring. In 1924 only about three weeks' sales were tied up
($16.51 divided by 52 weeks equals approximately $.32. $i
is about three times $.32).
It should be remembered that changes in these ratios may be
90 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 9
influenced by the following factors, which may not be known to
the analyst :
1. The terms of sale may have been changed.
2. Sharp increases or decreases in sales prices may have
been made during some of the years, which would
result in the receivables (because they largely represent
recent sales) reflecting the price changes to a greater
extent than the annual sales do.
3. The basis for figuring the provision for doubtful accounts
may have been changed to a disturbing degree.
To check the foregoing figures consider again the ratio of
quick assets to current liabilities:
Year Ratio
1921 135%
1922 248
1923 78
1924 160
These figures tell no story to contradict what has already
been learned, and it is fair to conclude that the Ames Manu-
facturing" Company shows no trend toward over-investment in
receivables.
But less favorable conclusions would prevail if the ratios
of sales to receivables were as follows from the coal mining
industry :
Year Ratio
1918 -507%
1919 487
1920 383
1921 361
The following ratios are from the railway equipment
business :
Year Ratio
1919 987%
1920 341
1921 290
Ch. 9] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 91
The following ratios are from the meat packing industry:
Year Ratio
1918 1,140%
1919 890
1920 760
1921 570
Over-Investment in Fixed Assets Coming back to the
Ames Manufacturing Company, the next symptom to search
for is over-investment in fixed assets. The first ratio to ex-
amine is that of sales to fixed assets.
Year Ratio
1921 291%
1922 258
1923 251
1924 259
These figures show no particular trend. They indicate a
fairly harmonious relation between the rate of increase in
volume of sales and volume of fixed assets. There was a
moderate unfavorable tendency the first three years, but an
improvement was shown in the fourth.
It seems evident that fixed assets are not being increased too
fast, but before reaching a final conclusion the increase in fixed
asset investment should be compared with the rate of increase
in net worth. The increase in fixed asset accounts might not
be out of harmony with sales and still might be inconsistent
with net worth, thus resulting in an unbalanced financial
position.
The ratios of net worth to fixed assets follow :
Year Ratio
1921 226%
1922 231
1923 - 175
1924 182
The first set of ratios indicated a slight unfavorable trend.
These confirm that the fixed asset increase is somewhat out of
9 2 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 9
proportion to net worth. This is probably not a very alarm-
ing condition, since an improvement is noted in the 1924 figure,
but it puts the analyst on guard.
Interpreting the Ratios. Here is a good example of the
function of ratio analysis. An unfavorable trend has been dis-
closed, but does this mean that the Ames Manufacturing Com-
pany is "going broke" ? Not at all. It is merely a warning
indicator and its purpose is to fix the starting point for further
and more detailed investigation.
There is nothing conclusive about the findings so far. The
analyst has merely learned in what direction to investigate and
what general symptoms are evident.
It occasionally happens that a sharp decrease in this ratio
may be due to a heavy but legitimate investment in plant to-
ward the end of a fiscal year, the effect of which will be to in-
crease sales during years following.
Also companies -who own properties not used for direct
operating purposes, such as land held for future expansion,
may sell such properties. This might affect the ratios materially
without carrying important significance.
The matter of uniformity of depreciation policy should also
be borne in mind by the analyst.
The following ratios of sales to fixed assets come from the
automobile accessory business :
Year
TQT7
Ratio
802%
TOTS
683
TQIQ
396
IQ20 . .
, 341
IQ2I
137
Here the ratios clearly point out a dangerous tendency.
Following are similar ratios from a shoe manufacturing
company which are also unfavorable but not positively
alarming :
Ch. 9] HISTORICAL ANALYSISRATIO METHOD
93
Year Ratio
1919 586%
1920 563
1921 430
Next follow the ratios of one of the largest electrical
machinery manufacturers :
Year Ratio
1917 496%
1918 485
1919 446
1920 406
1921 322
These are interesting because they show a very gradual
trend. In many companies where the figures are not closely
analyzed, such a trend might continue unnoticed for a long
time until a really dangerous situation developed.
Insufficient Capitalization. The question as to whether
the Ames Manufacturing Company is sufficiently capitalized
is the next one for investigation.
The ratio of net worth to total liabilities is quite signifi-
cant, because it shows the relation between permanent capital
supplied by stockholders and temporary capital supplied by
creditors. Within reason, the larger the proportion that per-
manent capital bears to temporary capital, the better.
A decreasing ratio is unfavorable because it shows that
the company is pointed toward a situation of being under-
supplied with permanent capital and thereby being compelled
to make up the deficiency by increasing its liabilities :
Year Ratio
1921 287%
1922 684
1923 387
1924 664
The general tendency is favorable, because the ratio is
becoming larger.
94 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 9
To check these findings sales may be compared with net
worth :
Year Ratio
1921 128%
1922 112
1923 143
1924 142
A reasonable increase in this ratio is usually a favorable
indication, but too great an increase shows that the company
is heading toward the point of doing more business than its
capital justifies. In this instance there is no indication that the
Ames Manufacturing Company is tending towards under-
capitalization.
Ratio Interpretation. This study of the ratios of the
Ames Manufacturing Company has been described at length
to show just how ratios are prepared, used, and interpreted.
This interpretive work must be supported at all times by
common sense. It is easy, when working with ratios, to "get
off the track " and reach wild conclusions.
Important issues frequently hang on the results of this
analysis work. A wrong interpretation may easily involve
thousands of dollars in credit unwisely granted, investments
unwisely made, etc.
After making his study of the ratios, the analyst may well
"stop, look, and listen/' and apply the test of common sense to
his conclusions.
The Value o Ratios. A complete diagnosis of four of the
five principal ailments of business has been made. It is a
fairly conclusive diagnosis. It has been made entirely through
the study of ratios.
This simply means that a method of technique or analysis
has here been presented which, if intelligently used, is of great
value to the accountant, public or private, and to the business
executive, as well as to investors, bankers, credit men, etc.
Ch. 9] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS RATIO METHOD 95
This method is one commonly used by advanced analysts,
and while it has certain faults, it is quite effective and practical
It leads directly into the subject of standard ratios which is
to be discussed in Chapter XIII. A better and simpler method
of historical analysis (analysis of successive balance sheets of
the same company) is developed in Chapters XI and XII.
Chapter X discusses the relation of the ratios to the com-
mon business ailments from the viewpoint of the relative seri-
ousness of the ailments.
This is naturally an important study and one which will
enable the analyst to interpret balance sheets with much greater
sureness and accuracy.
CHAPTER X
COMPARATIVE SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS
AILMENTS
Purpose of Diagnosis. A physician might be thoroughly
trained in all various methods of diagnosing human ills; he
might be thoroughly skilled in the technique of searching for
symptoms; his program of testing might be ultra scientific;
and yet if he did not know the relative seriousness of the
various diseases much of his work would be valueless.
This is equally true of the balance sheet analyst. He
searches for certain common business ailments. Certain meth-
ods are devised to aid him in his search. These methods
involve the use of ratios and are presumed to be helpful to him
in his diagnosis.
And yet some of these ailments may be of but minor
importance, while others may be quite serious.
A doctor may have an accurate method of diagnosis for
measles and another equally accurate method of diagnosis for
typhoid fever. Both methods may be of equal accuracy, and
yet the diseases which they indicate are not comparable in their
seriousness.
Comparative Importance of Ailments Therefore, in
order to use balance sheet ratios intelligently, the analyst
should know something of the comparative seriousness of the
common business ailments.
Some of them may be of moderate importance to be com-
pared to minor human ailments, and some of critical impor-
tance to be compared to dangerous diseases.
Field for Research. It is doubtful whether anyone can
answer this question of relative importance with any degree of
certainty.
96
Ch. 10] SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS 97
Here lies a wonderful field for business research. Were it
possible for some statistical organization to have current access
to all the financial statements of all the business concerns in
the United States, it might contribute some remarkable in-
formation to the sum total of business knowledge informa-
tion so vital that its importance is difficult to estimate
information that would probably strike deep into the very
roots of business itself.
Business men will and should assume certain risks in con-
ducting their enterprises, but with the knowledge such a re-
search would give they would be able to assume such risks
intelligently.
Measurement of Business Risks. If the over-investment
in inventory is only moderately dangerous, the business man
might then compare the risks he takes through swelling his
inventory with the extra profits which might be made through
a rising market.
Given the proper information, he might decide not to take
such great risks for a modest profit or vice versa.
Perhaps one reason business men disbelieve in some phases
of balance sheet analysis and prefer to use their own "rule
of thumb" judgment, may be that they have an instinctive
understanding that while balance sheet ratios point out dan-
gers, the seriousness of the dangers themselves is not capable
of measurement.
Common Sense Analysis. While the present state of
knowledge does not appear to give much information as to
the relative seriousness of the common business ailments,
still it is true that common sense alone does shed some light on
this problem.
Common sense tells, for example, that over-investment in
plant is a much more serious condition than over-investment
in inventory for the very simple reason that an inventory is
gg ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 10
in a constant state of movement and given sufficient time will
usually be liquidated.
Inventories Self-Liquidating. Over-investment in inven-
tory does not necessarily have a permanent effect upon the
condition of a business.
Inventories may be too high at one time and at the expira-
tion of a few months may be entirely too low. This is due to
the character of the asset itself.
In other words, over-investment in inventories is not an
incurable disease. It represents a condition which once de-
tected can be remedied. The remedy may involve a loss of
money, to be sure, but except in aggravated instances, it is
not likely to involve serious financial embarrassment.
Of course, when an inventory is swollen with obsolete,
unnecessary, or unsalable items, or has been bought for specu-
lative purposes to a highly inflated point, having been financed
to that point through short-time loans, and the business is then
hit by a slump in sales as a result of a depression in general
conditions, it is unquestionably at the mercy of its banker or
trade creditors, and may naturally expect a call from the
sheriff. -
Over-Investment in Receivables. But on the whole,
swelling inventories usually are only dangerous when unrec-
ognized. Much the same thing is true of over-investment in
receivables.
To permit too much working capital to be concentrated in
the form of receivables where it is not even earning interest,
is unquestionably bad business policy. It is a fundamental of
business management to collect closely and to keep the invest-
ment in receivables at a minimum.
The failure to do this is not necessarily fatal, but it may
cause temporary embarrassment and in aggravated cases even
bankruptcy. Assuming that all the receivables are good and
that they are reasonably self-liquidating, all that is then re-
Ch. 10] SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS 99
quired to cure conditions is a change in collection or sales
policies and the passage of a few months' time.
This particular ailment is nearly always chargeable against
the sales department of a business, which in its eagerness to
build up a big volume of business is continually fighting for
over-liberality of credit fighting to have credit accommoda-
tions continued to doubtful customers, and longer and longer
credit terms extended to good customers.
When this cause of swollen receivables is removed and the
sales policy is readjusted, a long step is taken toward curing
this evil.
Over-Investment in Plant. But the situation with respect
to over-investment in plant is an entirely different proposition.
Money put into bricks, mortar and steel is permanently
invested, or practically so, while money tied up in receivables
or inventories will usually be coming back in the form of
money again at the expiration of a few weeks or months.
Of course, permanent assets can be and often are sold, but
they usually bring only a fraction of their original cost and
their sale represents so drastic a step that it would hardly if
ever be undertaken except under the most critica! circum-
stances. From the viewpoint of an operating business, it is
perfectly safe to consider fixed tangible assets as permanent
investments.
Money invested in plant is money permanently lost in so far
as paying bills, meeting pay rolls, purchasing and the general
requirements of doing business are concerned.
And it is right here that the danger of over-investment in
plant becomes evident. The business man does not appreciate
the value of money until he needs it in the form of actual
currency for the purpose of saving his business.
It is then he of ten. looks back with vain regret to the thou-
sands of dollars he has overinvested in buildings, land, ma-
chinery, delivery equipment, desks, filing cases, and the thou-
100 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 10
sand odd items which go to make up the total of the fixed
assets.
Therefore, from the common sense viewpoint, unsupported
by statistical facts, it is quite evident that over-investment in
plant is a very much more serious ailment than over-investment
in either inventories or receivables.
A Serious Symptom. By a similar method of reasoning,
the conclusion is reached that insufficient- capitalization is also
far more serious.
This is particularly true in the case of the smaller business
house. The large ones have access to financial assistance which
the smaller organization may not use.
The large corporation, feeling the need of additional cap-
ital, will ordinarily find no difficulty in disposing of capital
stock, and thus obtain money with which to retire notes, bonds
and current liabilities. It may in this way readjust its unbal-
anced condition.
The smaller organization has no such ready solution. The
amount of money it requires is ordinarily not sufficient to
attract brokers or investment houses, and unless it can sell its
capital stock among its employes, among those from whom it
buys goods, or among its customers a rather long, difficult,
and not entirely satisfactory plan its situation is not readily
curable.
Not being well known, the offering of its stock is looked
upon with suspicion, and if "fly-by-night" brokers can be
secured to market the stock, it is usually at a ruinous rate of
commission with no assurances whatever of completing the
financing.
About the only real cure for insufficient capitalization in
the case of the small corporation is through building up a
permanent surplus out of profits.
While this is the best solution, it represents a long drawn
out process which seldom appeals to the management, since
Ch. 10] SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS ioi
it requires the conduct of operations on a moderate scale.
This, of course, is entirely out of harmony with the American
ideal of making a "killing'' quickly.
Analyzing Statements o Bankrupts. Another rather in-
teresting angle from which to approach the problem would be
to analyze balance sheets of bankrupt companies to see what
the ratios foretold and how accurately each of them prophesied
the coming insolvency.
No definite conclusions could be drawn from any statistical
survey of bankrupt companies unless hundreds or even thou-
sands of financial statements were available for analysis, and
even then it would be necessary to eliminate the figures of all
companies whose failures were due to dishonesty a rather
difficult task in many instances.
Moreover, the findings would not be significant unless a
survey were also made of successful concerns to find whether
any showed the same symptoms.
The fact that a thousand bankrupt companies showed
undercapitalization would be meaningless if it could also be
shown that there were a thousand very successful ones that
were under-capitalized.
To reach definite conclusions by the study of bankrupts
alone would be like trying to prove that the possession of a
right hand is the cause of death, based on the fact that nearly
all dead men have right hands.
However, a general, rather than a statistical survey of
business, points out that a great majority of failures show
symptoms of one or more of the common business ailments,
and that a great majority of successful concerns show either
no evidence or negligible indications of any of the common
business ailments.
With this foreword, it is believed safe to introduce purely
for illustrative purposes the statistics of five bankrupt com-
panies. These statistics are, of course, insufficient to prove
102 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 10
anything, but they present certain features that are
interesting.
Adjusting Ratio of Quick Assets to Current Liabilities.
In the accompanying table are the figures from five companies
all of which went bankrupt within one year from the date of
the last figures:
RATIO OF QUICK ASSETS TO CURRENT LIABILITIES
Years Prior to Insolvency
765432 i
Company A Ratio. .. 556% 164% 238% 125% 51%
Company B Ratio ... 92 79 51% 43 41
Company C Ratio . . . 104% 88 80 78 69
Company D Ratio 91 49 58 60
Company E Ratio 119 59 42
A certain amount of information is obtainable from this
table. From mere inspection it is noted that all companies
showed a decreasing ratio of quick assets to current liabilities.
But because of various factors such as geographical loca-
tion, nature of the business, etc., the ratios are not closely
comparable.
For instance, company A shows a high ratio of 556%,
while company B shows a high ratio of only 92%. Such a
wide range makes interpretation of trends somewhat difficult.
For that reason the figures may be shown in a somewhat dif-
ferent form. The highest (not the earliest) ratio for each
company may be considered 100% and the remaining ratios
for the same company figured in corresponding proportion.
In the case of company A this is accomplished by dividing
all the ratios by 556. This makes the first 100%, the second
29%, the third 43%, etc. This leaves them at the same relative
value, one to another that they were before.
In order to distinguish the new figures from the actual
ratios, they may be called "adjusted ratios." These new
figures are shown in the accompanying table ;
Ch. 10] SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS
103
ADJUSTED RATIO OF QUICK ASSETS TO CURRENT LIABILITIES
Years Prior to Insolvency
Company A: 7
Ratios
6 5 4 3 2 i
556% 164% 238% 125% 51%
100 29 43 22 9
92 79 51% 43 41
100 86 55 47 45
7 88 80 78 69
85 77 75 66
91 49 58 60
100 54 64 66
119 59 42
100 50 35
Adjusted Ratios. ...
Company B :
Ratios
Adjusted Ratios. ...
Company C:
Ratios . . 104^
Adjusted Ratios. ... 100
Company D:
Ratios
Adjusted Ratios. ...
Company E:
Ratios
Adjusted Ra
100
90
80
70
60
! s
40
30
20
10
A
tios ...
S>
^
\
\
V
A
v
A- \
\
Com pan
Compan
\
\
\
\
V
^
yD
yC
\
^
\\
/
\
\
Compan
SB
/
\
\
Compan
yE
'
\
\ -,
\
Compan
yA
V 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Years Prior to Insolvency
Figure I. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Quick Assets to Current Liabilities
of Five Bankrupt Companies
I04 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 10
The exhibit now becomes more interesting and is even
more startling if shown in graphic form as in the chart in
Figure i.
A study of this chart shows that all the companies except
company D present a declining ratio of quick assets to current
liabilities during the last three years.
Adjusting Current Ratio. For the same five companies,
the ratios of current assets to current liabilities are shown :
RATIO OF CURRENT ASSETS TO CURRENT LIABILITIES
Years Prior to Insolvency
765432 i
Company A;
Ratios 9^0% 238% 543% 201% 132%
Adjusted Ratios 100 24 56 21 14
Company B :
Ratios - 191 226 258% 153 144
Adjusted Ratios .... 74 88 100 59 56
Company C:
Ratios 139% 134 Hi 131 141
Adjusted Ratios . . 98 95 100 93 100
Company D :
Ratios 234 188 169 104
Adjusted Ratios . . 100 80 72 44
Company E:
Ratios 370 210 in
Adjusted Ratios . . 100 57 30
When these adjusted ratios are plotted graphically, the
chart in Figure 2 results.
In this chart company C does not appear to conform to
the trends established by the other companies.
Nevertheless, there appears to be a substantial indication
that a declining ratio of current assets to current liabilities was
a clear danger signal, although probably not as significant as
the former ratio of quick assets to current liabilities.
This, of course, is due to the inclusion of inventories in
the calculation. It has already been shown that the inventory
Ch. 10] SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS
105
situation may not always represent an influence of primary
importance on insolvency.
Adjusting Ratio of Total Debt to Net Worth. To deter-
mine whether a corporation is under-capitalized according to
its volume of business is primarily a matter of ascertaining
the trend of the ratio between invested capital and loaned
capital, i.e., accounts, bills, notes and mortgages payable.
654321
Years Prior to Insolvency
Figure 2. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Current Assets to Current Liabilities
of Five Bankrupt Companies
This ratio is important because invested capital can be
retained in a business, whereas loans must be repaid sooner
or later. Obviously a decreasing ratio of net worth to total
worth from year to year is unfavorable.
106 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 10
Using the same five bankrupt corporations and reducing
the ratios to a comparable basis the following table results ;
ADJUSTED RATIO OF NET WORTH TO TOTAL DEBT
Years Prior to Insolvency
7654321
Company A:
Ratios
. 385%
910%
714%
455%
Adjusted Ratios. . .
. 42
IOO
71
50
Company B :
Ratios
X 82
222
263% 176
176
Adjusted Ratios.. .
. 69
4 6
100 67
67
Company C:
Ratios
. 110% 102
104
105
69
Adjusted Ratios. . .
. loo 93
95
96
62
Company D :
Ratios
. 270
227
- 185
156
Adjusted Ratios. . .
I00
84
- 69
58
Company E :
Ratios
588
270
124
Adjusted Ratios . .
t __
IOO
- 46
21
Plotting the adjusted ratios graphically, results in the
chart shown in Figure 3.
In studying this chart, it is seen that without exception all
the companies showed a sharp decrease in the ratio of net
worth to total debt for the last two years prior to bankruptcy.
Adjusting Ratio of Net Worth to Fixed Assets One of
the common financial ailments is over-investment in fixed
assets.
Investment in fixed assets should be made in a reasonable
proportion to the growth of net worth. When such additional
investments in fixed assets are made regularly on borrowed
capital, an unbalanced situation arises which may easily lead to
bankruptcy.
For this reason the ratio of net worth to fixed assets is an
important one. A decrease in this ratio from year to year is,
of course, an unfavorable sign. It shows that fixed assets are
increasing faster than net worth.
Ch. 10] SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS
100
107
Company B
Company C
Company D
654321
Years Prior to Insolvency
Figure 3. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Net Worth to Total Debt of Five
Bankrupt Companies
Determining this ratio for the five bankrupt companies
and reducing to a comparable basis the table on page 108 is
obtained.
When these adjusted ratios are charted, they appear as
shown in Figure 4. (See page 109.)
The uniformity of trend for all the companies during the
three years prior to bankruptcy is particularly noticeable in this
chart. The slight upward slant of the line for company C
during the last year is hardly sufficient to justify an exception.
Significance of Ratios. The analysis at the beginning of
this chapter indicated that over-investment in fixed assets is
a serious business offense and one not easily remedied.
108 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 10
ADJUSTED RATIO OF NET WORTH TO FIXED ASSETS
Years Prior to Insolvency
765432 i
Company A:
Ratios 178% 154% 192% 107% 101%
Adjusted Ratios 93 80 100 56 53
Company B :
Ratios 186 191 184% 134 128
Adjusted Ratios ... 98 100 97 70 67
Company C:
Ratios 167% 161 175 86 105
Adjusted Ratios. ... 95 92 100 ' 49 60
Company D :
Ratios 238 170 160 102
Adjusted Ratios 100 71 67 43
Company E:
Ratios 215 201 no
Adjusted Ratios 100 93 51
Apparently the common sense analysis and this brief statis-
tical survey agree.
Certainly there is evidence which points toward the state-
ment that of the common business ailments discussed in this
chapter, two are moderately serious and two are dangerous.
The moderately serious ones are :
1. Over-investment in receivables.
2. Over-investment in inventories.
The dangerous ones are :
1. Insufficient capitalization.
2. Over-investment in fixed assets.
It seems almost obvious that with this knowledge of the
relative importance of business ailments the analyst will be able
to perform his diagnosis with greater shrewdness and greater
sense of security in his conclusions.
Those readers whose work as credit men, bankers or in-
vestigators puts them into daily contact with balance sheets of
corporations, will find their use oi balance sheet ratios a source
of much greater satisfaction when they approach each situa-
Ch. 10] SERIOUSNESS OF BUSINESS AILMENTS
109
tion not only from the viewpoint of analyzing for the common
ailments of business, but also give to each Its proper emphasis.
Public accountants will find their analysis service much
sounder when approached from the viewpoint set forth in this
100
654321
Years Prior to Insolvency
Figure 4. Chart of Adjusted Ratios of Net Worth to Fixed Assets for Five
Bankrupt Companies
chapter. It will afford them a basis for constructive business
counsel that should win enthusiastic clients.
He who constantly watches the affairs of one company,
whether as its comptroller or chief executive, will find his
analysis of monthly statements more profitable when ap-
proached from the viewpoint of the common ailments and their
relative importance. Such an analysis forces him to take a
bird's-eye view a salutary thing for one who as the result of
his customary activities is immersed in details.
CHAPTER XI
HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF BALANCE SHEETS-
TREND METHOD
Theory of Balance Sheet Analysis. In studying technique
and methods it is wise not to overlook the purpose of balance
sheet analysis.
As already stated, its purpose is to bring to light informa-
tion which the balance sheet figures themselves do not clearly
reveal.
Just as the doctor's diagnosis develops facts which would
not be apparent even to his skilled eye through mere observa-
tion, so does balance sheet analysis shed light on hidden busi-
ness symptoms which mere inspection of the actual figures
would not discover.
The theory of balance sheet analysis assumes that the
financial condition of every business is constantly changing
for better or worse.
Distortion of financial position means that the various
classes of balance sheet items are out of their proper relation
with one another. It is to show such distortion that the balance
sheet reader makes his analysis.
From this viewpoint, therefore, the problem is not one
of studying the actual amounts appearing on the balance sheet,
but rather one of determining relationships between the various
classes of items composing the statement.
It is upon this theory that previous chapters have been based.
A number of relationships or ratios have been worked out.
These ratios are constructed from successive balance sheets
of the same- company and are then compared to see if any
definite trends are to be found.
Ch. ii] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD m
Balance Sheet Ratios The ratio method of balance sheet
analysis undoubtedly was started by the old time banker and
credit man to whom the beginning and end of balance sheet
analysis was to compare the current liabilities with the current
assets.
Just as the alleged trail made by the wabbling calf later be-
came well beaten and turned into a road, and finally into the
most crooked street of Boston, so was the "current ratio" of
the old time credit man responsible for the present ratio method
of balance sheet analysis.
Objections to the Ratio Method. There are certain strong
objections to the ratio method of balance sheet analysis.
These are as follows :
1. Any balance sheet ratio represents a relationship between
two varying factors and any change in a ratio from one
year to another must be interpreted by the examina-
tion of the changes in the two items from which the
ratio is built.
2. The ratio is so artificial a figure that it is difficult for
the analyst to keep in mind its connection with the
actual balance sheet under survey.
3. The ratios give an unwarranted impression of finality,
whereas the different ratios probably vary in their
reliability.
4. In studying balance sheets by the ratio method it is diffi-
cult to obtain a bird's-eye view of the relation of various
elements to one another.
The first objection has already been discussed. If the cur-
rent assets of a company in one year amount to $10,000 and
the current liabilities are $5,000, the ratio is 200%. If the next
year current assets remain at $10,000 and the current liabilities
fall to $2,500, the ratio is 400%.
But the ratio is also 400% if the liabilites remain at $5,000
and the current assets increase to $20,000. This means that
112 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. n
the ratio method of analysis requires a continual comparison
back and forth between the ratios and the actual balance sheet
figures.
It is also partly responsible for the fact that it requires at
least two ratios to diagnose properly each of the common busi-
ness ailments.
Ratios are Artificial. An even more important objection
is the second one.
The reader has probably experienced the feeling that ratios
are rather artificial figures. Working with ratios imposes a
mental strain. It is hard to keep in mind the connection be-
tween the ratios and the balance sheet from which they are
constructed.
Reliability of Ratios. Also there appears to be quite a
difference between the reliability of the different ratios. Some
seem to be fairly sure indicators, others not. Those working
with ratios will always have to be on guard against forming too
positive conclusions.
Analysis and Common Sense. Balance sheet analysis re-
quires the use of a good deal of common sense.
It is somewhat difficult to exercise the required amount of
common sense in analyzing balance sheets by the ratio method
because the ratio method splits the problem into different parts
and it is easy to lose the bird's-eye view of the entire balance
sheet situation.
Such a bird's-eye view is essential if common sense is to
be exercised.
Trend or Percentage Method of Analysis Because of
these various objections to the ratio method, another method,
which may be called the trend percentage method, has been
devised to take the place of the ratio method in so far as the
determination of trends is concerned.
Ch. 11] HISTORICAL ANALYSISTREND METHOD 113
The method is simple. It first involves grouping the various
items of assets and liabilities for the various years into classes
such as :
1. Quick assets. (This should usually be sub-divided to
show receivables separately.)
2. Inventories.
3. Current assets.
4. Fixed assets.
5. Current liabilities.
6. Long-time liabilities.
7. Net worth.
The next step is to divide the totals of each class for each
year by the total of the first class (in point of time).
This converts all of the actual group total figures into
percentages of the first.
In order to show just how this method works out, the
original balance sheet figures of the Ames Manufacturing Com-
pany are repeated here :
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
Assets 1921 1922 1923 1924
Cash $ 4,652 $13,371 $ 7,190 $10,512
Accounts Receivable (Net) 14,468 8,217 5,629 5,857
Total Quick Assets $19,120 $21,588 $12,819 $16,369
Inventories ! 17,556 20,607 28,077 22,210
Total Current Assets $36 , 676 $42 , 195 $40 , 896 $38 , 579
Fixed Assets (less Depreciation) . . 17, 922 25 , 707 36 , 1 63 37 , 290
Prepaid Expense 76 213 2,545 2,459
Total Assets $54,674 $68,115
Liabilities and Capital
Notes Payable Trade $ 1 ,000 $
Notes Payable Bank 4,000 4,000
Accounts Payable 7 . oo 4 , ooo
Dividends Payable 2 , ooo
Accrued Liabilities 128 690
Current (and Total) Liabilities. $14,128 $ 8,6qo $16,337 $10,248
II 4 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. n
Capital Stock Outstanding $50 , ooo $50 , ooo $50 , ooo $50 , ooo
Surplus (or * Deficit) * 9,454 9,425 13,267 18,080
Total Net Worth $40,546 $59,425 $63,267 $68,080
Total Liabilities and Net Worth. . 554,674 $68,115 $79,604 $78,328
Sales $52,088 $66,383 $90,652 $96,691
Analyzing the above by the ratio method the following
figures result :
Ratios
Quick assets to cur-
$19
1921
120 ^
$21
i<
,588
p22
$12
192;
,819
3
*I6,
I!
P24
rent liabilities. .
Current assets to
$14
$36
,I28~ I35 '
676_ 26( ~
$ 8
$42
,690
,195
$16
$40
,337
,896
$10,
38.
248
579
current liabilities
$14
$52
, 128
,088 AnC y,
8
$66
,690
,383
$16
$90
,337
,652
^10,
596,
248
691
$14
$52
, 468 /V
' 88 * <7^
$ 8
$66
,217
,383
$ 5
$90
,629
,652
$ 5,
$96,
857
691
4 JC'V
$17
$52
,S56~ 297%
,088 _~
$20
$66
,607
,383
322%
$28
$90
,077
,652
$22,
210
Net worth to fixed
$40
$40
,546 I28/
.546 Mf ~
$59
$59
,425
,425
$63
$63
,267
,267
143%
$68,
$68,
08O
080
assets, ....
Sl7
r\T> **O/u
Si? "
707
231 /o
$36
163
$37
290
182%
Net worth to liabil-
$40
.546 .o.rv
$59
,425
AOiC!/
$63
,267
iftHOf
$68,
080
ities
$14,
$52,
,i28~ 2Sy>0
,088 _ Q ^
$ 8
$66
,690
,383
$16
$90
,337
,652
$10,
$96,
248
691
asse s
$17,
,922 ~0 0/t/
$25
,70?
$30
,163
251%
$37,
290
- 259%
Certain definite conclusions regarding the trend of affairs
with the Ames Manufacturing Company can be reached by
studying the above tabulation, but the same conclusions can be
reached more easily, quickly, and certainly by a glance at the
following :
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
(Percentage based on 1921 figures.)
1921 1922 1923 1924
Percent- Percent- Percent- Percent-
1921 age of age of age of age of
Assets Amount 1921 1921 1921 1921
Accounts Receivable $14,468 100 56 39 40
Quick Assets 19 , 120 100 113 67 86
Inventories 17,556 ioc 117 160 127
Current Assets 36,676 100 115 112 105
Fixed Assets 17,922 100 143 202 208
Prepaid Expense (omitted)
Ch. n] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD 115
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities (also to-
tal) $14,128 loo 62 116 73
Net Worth 40,546 100 147 156 168
Sales 52 ,088 100 127 174 186
Interpreting the Percentage Statement A rather serious
study of ratios requiring considerable time will finally tell that
the only one noteworthy symptom is the disproportionate in-
crease in fixed assets.
The percentage statement tells the same story, but it tells
it far more quickly and vividly.
By inspection only it is possible to compare the increase
or decrease of each of the various factors with any of the
others. If it is desired to compare fixed assets with sales, a
mere glance will show that the fixed assets have increased to
208%, where sales have increased to only 186%.
This furnishes just as much information as is given by the
ratio of sales to fixed assets which dropped from 290% in 1921
to 259% in 1924.
But there is an additional advantage. At the same time
that the increase of fixed assets is compared with the sales, it
it also possible to compare the increase in fixed assets with other
items in the balance sheet. For example, fixed assets may be
compared with net worth which has increased to 168%. That
the fixed assets have increased faster than the net worth is
immediately apparent, and the belief that the fixed assets have
increased somewhat too rapidly is confirmed.
These conclusions are formed by mere inspection of all
the percentage figures. The conclusions are much more certain
to be supported at all times by common sense, since all of the
trends are surveyed at one time.
In attempting to diagnose the common business ailments,
this method is just as effective as the ratio method, if not
' more so.
Il6 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 11
Illustrations of Trend Method. As further evidence
of the value of this trend method, examine the following com-
parative balance sheet and the accompanying analysis :
STEEL PRODUCTS COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of the Dates Shown
Assets
Cash
Dec. 31, 3
1916
. . . . $ 18,565 $
Dec. 31,
1917
13*717
Dec. 31,
1919
$ 52,178
Sept. 28,
1920
$ 445
Notes and Accounts Receivable
176,551
175,536
239,123
27L5I7
Current Assets
. . . . $IQS, 116 $
189,253
$ 291,301
$ 271 962
Inventories
307,965
535,684
548,379
198,094
Current and Working Assets . *
. , . $503,081 $
724,937
$ 839 680
$ 470 056
Fixed Assets
292,955
544,605
574,066
693,264
Total Assets $796, 036 $i , 269 , 542 $1,413,746 $i, 163, 320
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities $215,386 $ 386,218 $ 497,856 $ 452,810
Net Worth 580,650 883,324 915.890 710.510
Total $796 , 036 11,269,542 $1.413,746 $1,163,320
STEEL PRODUCTS COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of the Dates Shown
(Based on percentage of 1916 figures.)
Dec. 31, 1917 1919 1920
1916 Percentage Percentage Percentage
Assets Amount of 1916 of 1916 of 1916
Receivables $176,551 99 *35 *54
Quick Assets 195 , 116 97 149 139
Inventories 307,965 174 178 64
Current Assets 503,081 144 167 93
Fixed Assets 292 ,955 186 196 236
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities $215,386 179 231 210
Net Worth 580,650 152 158 122
The increase to 210% in current liabilities as compared
with only 122% in net worth is a danger signal, showing that
the company is financing itself more through its creditors.
The decrease in current assets to 93% and the increase of
fixed assets to 236% show a decidedly unfavorable trend.
Ch. 11] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD
117
As a matter of fact the company (the name is fictitious)
became insolvent shortly after the date of the last balance
sheet.
Applying the trend method to another set of balance sheets,
the following appears :
WIRE AND IRON COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
Assets 1922 1923 1924
Cash $ 6,040 $ 6,375 $ 95
Accounts Receivable (Net) 38,500 41 ,385 43 ,920
Current Assets $ 44,54O $ 47,760 $ 44,015
Inventories 94 , 425 122 , 825 72 , 800
Current and Working Assets $138 , 965 $170 ,585 $116,815
Fixed Assets 113,600 127,200 117,500
Total Assets $252 ,565 $297,785 $234,315
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities $ 37,564 $ 80,704 $104,924
Net Worth 215,001 217,081 129,391
Total $252,565 $297,785 $234,315
WIRE AND IRON COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
(Trend percentages based on 1922 figures.)
Assets
1922
Amount
Receivables f 38,500
Quick Assets 44, 540
Inventories 94,425
Current Assets 138,965
Fixed Assets 113,600
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities $ 37,564
Net Worth 215,001
1923 1924
Percentage Percentage
of 1922 of 1922
107
107
130
123
XI2
215
101
114
99
77
84
103
279
60
ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
[Ch ii
1 hese figures tell a story of a desperate attempt to finance
a losing venture. Shortly after the date of the last balance
sheet, this company became bankrupt.
Another interesting set of figures is as follows :
ORNAMENTAL IRON WORKS
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of Dates Shown
Jan. i, Jan. i, Dec. 31, Mar. n,
Jan. i,
Assets
1908 1910 1910 1912
1013
Cash
$ 7,588 $ 5,604 $ 6,069 $ 450
$ 7,028
Receivables
.. . . 244,687 217,712 205,347 203,872
381,279
Quick Assets ....
. . . $252,275 $223,316 $211,416 $204,322
$ 388,307
Inventories
82,727 113,298 162,322 141,691
408,368
Current Assets
. 5335,002 $336,614 $373,738 $346,013
$ 796,675
Fixed Assets
169,669 172,354 166,140 523,355
581,165
Total Assets
$504,671 $508,968 $539,878 $869,368
$1.377.840
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities . .
$240,362 $252,068 $265,018 $263,968
$ 563,783
Mortgage Liabilities. .
... 160,000
250,000
Total Liabilities . ,
$240, 362 $252,068 $265,018 $423,968
$ 813,783
Net Worth
. .. . 264,309 256,900 274.860 445,400
564,057
Total
Sn.67i Iio8.o68 $539,878 $869,368
$1,377,840
ORNAMENTAL IRON WORKS
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of Dates Shown
(Trend
percentages based CD 1908 figures.)
1910 1911 1912
1913
Jan. i, Percent- Percent- Percent-
Percent-
1908 age of age of age of
age of
Assets
Amount 1908 1908 1908
1908
Receivables
. . $244,687 89 84 83
156
Quick Assets
. . 252,275 89 84 81
154
Inventories . . ...
82,727 137 196 171
494
Current Assets
-- 335 2 IO II2 IO 3
238
Fixed Assets
169,669 102 98 308
34. ^
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities
$240,362 105 no no
214.
Total Liabilities
240,362 105 no 176
3^0
Net Worth
. . 264, 30Q 97 104 I6Q
21.-?
Ch. uj HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD 119
What conclusions can be drawn from this analysis ?
Not having the sales figures available, it is a little difficult
to extract the full meaning from the figures, but it is signifi-
cant that the inventories have increased to 494% > while the
quick assets have increased only to 154%, and net worth to
only 213%. There is a strong indication of too much money
being tied up in inventories.
An increase in fixed assets to 342% as compared to the
increase in net worth to 213%, also shows a trend toward over-
investment in fixed assets.
The increase of current liabilities to 234% as compared
with the increase of quick assets to only 154^ and the increase
of net worth to only 213%, is a bad indication. The company
is apparently financing itself too much through its creditors
and not enough through permanent investment.
Everything considered, the company seems to be in a badly
BRIDGE AND STEEL WORKS
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of the Dates Shown
May 31, Aug. 31, Jan. 31,
Assets 1908 1909 1911
Cash $35368 $ 205,371 $ 227,482
Accounts Receivable (Net) 333 , 809 88,721 260,813
Quick Assets $369, 177 $ 294,092 $ 4 88 2 95
Inventories 33,30! 192, 822 ^ 96,269
Uncompleted Contracts, etc 189,936 272,737' 515.240
Current Assets $592,414 $ 759.651 $1,099,804
Real Estate and Plant 322,902 1,256,400 1,742,769
Total Assets $915.316 $2,016,051 $2,842,573
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities $294,839 $ 573 .292 $1,031,494
Mortgage 4,500 150,000 400,000
Deferred Liabilities 98*215 33 355 29,860
Total Liabilities $397,554 $ 756,647 $1,461,354
Capital and Surplus (less Goodwill) 517,762 1,259,404 1,381,219
Total $915,316 $2,016, OS* $2,842,573
120 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. n
distorted financial position, and it would not be far wrong to
anticipate financial difficulties. As a matter of fact the Orna-
mental Iron Works did go into receivership in the year 1913.
This case offers a good example of how a company can
be making money (as indicated by the increase in net worth)
and still become insolvent through improperly distributing the
proceeds of its profits.
The figures for the Bridge and Steel Works on page 119
and below tell a similar story :
BRIDGE AND STEEL WORKS
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of the Dates Shown
(Based on percentage of 1908 figures.)
May 31, 1909 1911
1908 Percentage Percentage
Assets Amount of 1908 of 1908
Accounts Receivable $333 , 809 27 78
Quick Assets 369, 177 So 132
Inventories 33 , 301 579 289
Uncompleted Contracts 189 , 936 144 271
Current Assets 592 ,414 128 186
Fixed Assets 322 , 902 389 540
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities $294,839 194 350
Long-Time Liabilities 102 , 715 179 418
Total Liabilities '. 397554 190 3^8
Net Worth 517,762 243 267
A marked tendency toward over-investment in fixed assets
is clearly indicated in these figures.
The heavy increase in liabilities as compared with net worth
shows an improper financing policy. The decrease in quick
assets and the small increase in current assets as compared
with the other classes of items on the balance sheet indicate
an approaching bad credit position.
Receivership of this company actually resulted in 1911.
Ch. 11] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD 121
Comparison of the Two Methods. In conclusion, it should
be noted that both the ratio method and the trend method of
analysis tell the same story. But the trend method tells the
story quickly and by mere inspection, while the ratio method
tells it in an involved way, which requires study to obtain the
facts.
The trend method of balance sheet analysis has advantages
over the ratio method as follows :
1. It furnishes a bird's-eye view of the problem.
2. The facts are presented in comparative form.
3. The trends are shown vividly.
4. The figures are easier to interpret.
5. Less highly trained help is required to work out the
figures for analysis, and the calculations can be made
much more quickly.
6. There is less liability for gross error because the result-
ing percentages are partially self -auditing through com-
parison with the actual figures.
This method has none of the disadvantages and has every
advantage of the ratio method so far as the analysis of the
trends of successive balance sheets of the same company is
concerned. It also has some further advantages as will be seen
in the next chapter.
Explaining Analysis Method to Others. This method is
much easier to explain to a client or general executive than
the ratio method. Sometimes such explanation is necessary,
although not often desirable.
It is usually not desirable, because the explanation of either
method is confusing to the non-technical person. Either one
of them should be used simply as a working tool to help form
conclusions.
There is usually no necessity to explain just exactly the
ways and means by which those conclusions were reached.
Further discussion of this point will be found in Chapter XVII.
122 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 11
The first hasty objection to this trend method might have
to do with the selection of the basic year, i.e., in the last ex-
ample, the year 1908. The claim might be made that it is not
a normal or typical year.
This, however, is not a valid objection since the method
does not pretend to show variations from normal, but rather to
show the trend of changes, and for this purpose the figures of
any previous year may be taken to represent 100%.
As a matter of fact it is doubtful whether there is a "normal
year" in any industry. A bulletin of the National Bureau of
Economic Research says, a No year is, strictly speaking, a
normal year."
CHAPTER XII
HISTORICAL ANALYSIS OF .BALANCE SHEETS-
TREND METHOD (Continued)
Two Advantages of Trend Method. The credit man who
has been using ratios in his analysis work will welcome the
trend method for two important reasons :
1. By the addition of narrow columns to the printed form
he regularly uses for comparative balance sheets, he
can show the balance sheet figures and the trend per-
centages on the one form.
2. The calculations by the trend method require considerably
less time and less highly trained help than calculations
by the ratio method.
These two advantages are more important in credit depart-
ments than elsewhere because of the large volume of analytical
work to be done. The executive, accountant, or investor does
not usually analyze a great number of statements currently.
With the ratio method the credit man requires either a
lengthy cumbersome form, the upper portion providing for the
comparative balance sheet figures and the lower for the ratio
calculations, or else two forms requiring reference back and
forth from one to the other.
By adding narrow columns for the trend percentages to
his regular comparative statement form, the credit man
secures a compact analytical exhibit which is easier to prepare,
use, and interpret accurately.
The second advantage is also important. In the credit de-
partments of large manufacturing and wholesale organizations
there is a constant stream of new statements. Each must be
transferred to a comparative statement form, which is usually
123
124 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 12
the first page of each customer's credit file. They are then
analyzed and conclusions are drawn.
If the calculations for this analysis can be done more
quickly and by cheaper help, it will release higher class
assistants for more difficult work.
The trend method is quicker than the ratio method because :
1. The divisor is constant in finding the trend percentages
of any given row of balance sheet items, whereas the
divisor changes as many times as there are years in
the comparative balance sheet in the case of any given
ratio. This constant divisor shortens the operation
greatly when calculating with a slide rule.
2. The trend method involves fewer calculations than the
ratio method to get the same information. In Chapter
XI the balance sheets of the Ames Manufacturing
Company were analyzed by both methods. The ratio
method required 32 separate calculations while the
trend method required only 24, or 25% less.
Trend Method More Flexible. Also, the trend method
possesses greater flexibility for all classes of users.
It works well with unusual balance sheets of non-trading
companies, where the standard ratios do not seem to be entirely
adequate or appropriate, or give false impressions. Railroad
companies, banks, public utilities, etc., fall in this class.
The following condensed balance sheets are of a street rail-
way company.
The balance sheets themselves are not noteworthy and are
shown only to illustrate the application of the trend method to
this type of statement.
The most noticeable feature of this statement is the small
amount of current assets as compared to the current liabilities.
The nature of the business requires practically no receiv-
ables, while the inventory is a minor factor, consisting not of
merchandise for resale but of materials and supplies for the
company's own use.
Ch. 12] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD 125
STREET RAILWAY COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
Assets
Cash
1921
Amount
, $ TT ?T8
1922
% of % of
1921 Amount 1921
S IT.3OI
1923
%of
Amount 1921
$ 0.877
Receivables
3
,685
I
,175
i
.241
Quick Assets
$
IS
003
IOO
$ 12
,476
83
5
II
,118
74
Inventories
23
,186
IOO
22
,294
90
20
,952
90
Current Assets
$
38
189
IOO
$ 34
770
91
JE
32
,070
R/t
Special Funds.
500
32
430
93
,002
Property and Plant
506
796
IOO
1 ,599
,680
IOO
I
,633
,855
102
Deferred Charges
85
,874
79
,237
84
,524
Total
. .. . . Si
Sr .'7A6
. 117
ST
__
Liabilities and Net Worth
Accounts Payable
$
107
431
5
I3O
208
$
62,973
Due City
17
5
982
Due Stockholders
48,426
Current Liabilities.
.. $
125
,412
IOO
$
136,
190
IO9
H
III, 399
89
Unredeemed Tickets
2
9 I 5
3>
616
4 595
Equipment and Other Notes ....
200
,000
178,
766
I73OOO
Bonds
877
,500
IOO
877,
500
IOO
917,500
105
Total Liabilities
... $i
2O5
,827
IOO
fr
196
072
99
ft
206 494
IOO
Capital Stock . . .
$
1QA
200
F~
436
AIK
F"
478 900
Surplus
155
113.
630
158,057
Total Net Worth
-- $
549
,532
IOO
f
5")0
IOO
?t
636 957
TT6
Total
=
755
359
JfT
746
117
fr
843 451
Gross Earnings
,... J"
All
~607
IOO
=
*
,""
AIO.
Hi 1
IO2
~
',.j 11
AI7.6O2
IOI
Testing the statement for each of the common business ail-
ments, the following conclusions are reached :
Over-investment in inventory Trend O.K.
Over-investment in receivables " "
Over-investment in plant " "
Insufficient capitalization " "
The credit position is, of course, bad from the viewpoint of
a trading concern, since the current assets are inadequate to
meet the current liabilities.
This series of balance sheets shows another application of
the trend method which is. of some interest to the investor in
bonds.
The fixed assets increased to 102%, while the bonded debt
126 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 12
increased to 105%. This, of course, is unimportant, but since
instances have been known of over-bonding, to the investor's
detriment, this particular examination of trends is one well
worth making before purchasing bonds.
The point is well illustrated by the following figures taken
from the balance sheets of a well known public utility company :
Trend Trend
Year Plant % Bonds %
1919 $1,703,000 100 $ 604,600 100
1920 I,8lI,OOO 106 736,000 122
1921 2,I2I,OOO 125 923,000 153
1922 2,174,000 128 923,000 153
1923 2,508,000 147 I,28l,OOO 212
There is obviously a steady tendency toward over-bonding
that might not be detected from a mere inspection of the
figures or from a calculation of the customary ratios.
It should not be inferred that the company is actually over-
bonded in 1923. There still appears to be an ample margin
of safety, but the trend toward over-bonding is evident and the
investor is put on guard accordingly. A bond of this company
bought in 1919 may be less adequately protected in 1923, and
to that extent, other things being equal, may be less valuable.
Trend o Operating Statistics. Excellent use may be
made of the trend method when, as frequently happens with
the published statements of non-trading companies, certain
operating statistics are available.
The following figures are taken from the annual reports of
a large gas company (unimportant items being omitted) :
1920 1921 1922 1923
% of % of % of % of
Statistics Amount 1920 Amount 1920 Amount 1920 Amount 1920
Miles of Mains. .. $ 1,007 100 $ 1,274 127 $ 1,551 154 $ 1,906 189
Number of Con-
sumers 56,500 100 70,752 125 87,374 *55 121,618 215
Output (M cu, ft.) 7t383.4S>8 100 9,546,925 129 I7,H3,529 232 25,405,140 344
Ch. 12] HISTORICAL ANALYSISTREND METHOD
127
Assets
Quick
Inventories. .
527,202
501,984
Current $ 1,029,186
Fixed $13,074.767
Liabilities
and Capital
Current Liabilities $ 1,477,706
Bonds 4.596,ooo
Total Liabilities $ 6.073.706
Net Worth $ 7,668,319
Sales $ 3,110,311
100 $ 726,789 138 $ 1,274.890 242 $ 1,199.029 22?
100 398,211 79 592,267 Ii8 755.86g 151
100 $ I ' I2 JL'Q. f I09 $ 1,867.157 181 _i_,9S4j898 190
100 $15,737,635 120 18,348,509 140 $22,822,804 175
100 $ 1,157,308 78 $ 1,606,331 109 | 2,435,317 165
100 7.378.000 161 9,344,000 203 11,825,000 257
100 f 8 535,308 141 JIQ.95Q.33I 180 $14,260,317 235
100 $ 8,029,394 105 $ 8,363,864 109 $ 9,361,858 122
100 $ 4,268,335 137 $ 5.739,154 185 9 7.349,607 236
A study of the trend of the statistics illuminates the balance
sheet trends.
The increases in the trend of "number of mains," "number
of consumers" and "output" all compare favorably with the
trend of the plant investment, and serve to confirm the con-
clusion that the company is not over-investing in plant.
A rather marked tendency toward under-capitalization is
evident, the total liabilities having increased to 235% as com-
pared with an increase in net worth to only 122%.
The trends of the statistics show rapid growth in 1922 and
1923. This sudden expansion was undoubtedly responsible for
the character of the financing.
The most obvious and practical remedy would be to sell
stock, preferably to the company's customers, and use the
proceeds to reduce current indebtedness. As a matter of fact
this plan was actually adopted in 1923, but the effect on the
1923 balance sheet of this financing, the cash returns from
which were undoubtedly on the instalment basis, was slight.
There is also a marked tendency toward over-bonding.
The fixed assets increased to 175% as compared with an
increase in bonded indebtedness to 258%. There is, however,
no indication -that a dangerous condition of over-bonding has
yet been reached.
The general conclusions from the analysis appear as
follows :
I 2 8 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 12
Over-investment in inventory Trend O.K.
Over-investment in receivables Trend O.K.
(Receivables were not shown separately
on the balance sheet, being an unimpor-
tant factor in this kind of business.)
Over-investment in plant Trend O.K.
Insufficient capital Unfavorable trend
Special Business Problems The trend method possesses
a flexibility that enables it to be used effectively, not only in
studying the complete balance sheet figures, but also in studying
special problems peculiar to certain types. of business, as, for
example, over-bonding by public utilities.
Also, a tendency toward insufficiency of depreciation pro-
visions may be developed, in special cases, by studying the
percentages showing trends of fixed assets and depreciation
reserves (valuation accounts).
And finally, the trend method readily permits the inclusion
of other factors, such as operating statistics, whereas the ratio
method is awkward when dealing with more than two factors.
In some instances this may be important. In analyzing
the statement of an automobile parts company, the inclusion
of trend percentages of the volume of business of one or more
automobile manufacturers might be illuminating.
Trend of Sales Volumes The following calendar year
figures were taken from the balance sheets of a corporation
making an important item of equipment for automobiles and
sold to the manufacturers thereof.
Refinancing operations in 1922, whereby the bond issue
was created, also involved the sale of $750,000 of preferred
stock. This- accounts in large part for the increase in "Net
Worth (a)."
The actual trend of net worth as nearly as can be deter-
mined by eliminating the $750,000 item is shown as "Net
Worth (b)." This trend is the significant one from the oper-
ating viewpoint.
Ch. 12] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD 129
1921 1922 1923
% of % of % of
Assets Amount 1921 Amount 1921 Amount 1921
Quick Assets $ 314.386 100 $ 473,936 150 $ 402,045 128
Inventories 1.73 7 ,996 100 1,542,862 89 1,762,032 101
Current Assets $ 2,052,382 100 $ 2,016,798 98 I 2,164,077 105
Fixed Assets 1,354,860 100 1,461,551 108 1,847,260 136
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities 12,297,761 100 $ 792,829 35 $ 1,110,248 48
Long- Time Liabilities none i , ooo , ooo i , ooo , ooo
Total Liabilities $2,297,761 100 $ 1,792,829 78 $ 2,110,248 92
Net Worth (a) 1,525,390 100 2,306,497 150 2,456,581 161
Net Worth (b) 1,525,390 zoo 1,556,497 102 1,706,581 112
Sales of This Company 1,852,836 100 2,947,873 159 3,778,910 204
Sales of Automobile Manufac-
turing Co 96,690,644 100 133,178,881 138 166,153,683 172
The inclusion of the sales figures of the automobile parts
manufacturer gives an indication of general trends in the
industry, and helps in forming a judgment as to the sufficiency
of the sales of the company under analysis. This matter is
more completely discussed in Chapter XVI.
Trends Only Shown by Trend Method. The suggestion
has been made that the trend method and the ratio method
are not two different ways of accomplishing identically the
same thing, but rather that they supplement one another.
There is a certain amount of truth in this contention. Any
value which the ratio method may have in analyzing a single
balance sheet is also of value in supplementing the trend
method of analyzing a series of balance sheets.
Only in so far as the ratio method is used to show trends
is it found a cumbersome instrument which can be replaced
more effectively by the trend percentage method.
In other words, the trend percentage method shows trends
and nothing but trends.
The ratio method shows the interrelationship of the various
elements in a single balance sheet, and when the ratios for
several single balance sheets are considered together, they shed
some light on the trends but they represent a clumsy instru-
ment for this purpose.
130 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 12
Trends vs. Condition. It is perfectly obvious that a com-
pany may show very bad trends and still be in good condition.
Thus in the gas company figures shown on a preceding
page, it was shown that fixed assets showed an increase to
175% and bonded indebtedness an increase to 258%. It was
explained that this was a bad trend, but that it did not signify
that a dangerous point had yet been reached.
As a matter of fact, even at the end of 1923 there was
approximately $2 of fixed assets for every dollar of bonds.
Here is an illustration of using the ratio method to supple-
ment the trend study.
Or again, there are instances of small current assets and
large current liabilities where the trend constantly shows a
greater increase in current assets than the increase in liabilities.
Such a trend, of course, is favorable, and yet the ratio between
the two on the last financial statement might still be so far
out of line that credit men would not feel justified in extending
accommodations.
Both Methods Useful. It is not fair, therefore, to say that
the trend percentage method is a complete substitute for the
ratio method.
It is fair to say, however, that the trend percentage method
is far more effective than the ratio method for showing trends.
It is also fair to say that the study of trends is vitally im-
portant in diagnosing the capability of business management,
which is, after all, the major factor, as every business man
realizes.
The common sense judgment in the case of ratio method
versus the trend percentage method involves a judicious com-
promise. The well-rounded analyst will adopt the trend per-
centage method as the most effective instrument for studying
trends and will supplement it by determining the few really
significant ratios for the latest of a series of balance sheets
under survey.
Ch. 12] HISTORICAL ANALYSIS TREND METHOD 131
This does not necessarily mean that al! of the ratios already
discussed will be calculated for the most recent balance sheet
of a series.
Often the mere survey of the figures themselves may sup-
plement the trend study without the actual calculation of any
ratios. In the great majority of remaining instances, deter-
mination of the current ratio and the "acid test" will suffice.
In rare instances or in special studies even further ratio calcu-
lations may be made, but it is safe to say that these occasions
will be quite rare.
Analysis Methods as Tools. This distinction between
studying present condition (involving ratios) and studying
trends (involving the trend percentage method) is an im-
portant one, and failure to appreciate it may lead into ab-
surdities.
An attempt to use the ratio method as the sole instrument
of financial analysis is equivalent to a carpenter using one tool
for two quite dissimilar operations. Because a plane has a
cutting edge, and might, therefore, be used as a chisel, is no
good reason for so employing it. Similarly, because the ratio
method will, in a clumsy way, indicate trends, is no reason "for
employing it when a better, quicker, and more graphic method
is available.
The vital importance of trend study seems to have been
recognized by Alexander Wall, Secretary of the Robert Morris
Associates, whose contributions to the ratio method, particu-
larly in the field of credit analysis, have been great.
In his book, "Analytical Credits," he says, 'The real fun-
damental value of a study of the current ratio lies not so much
in the development of the percentage at which the current
ratio rests, as in a study of the direction in which the current
ratio is traveling."
Other authors, by exhibiting comparative statements, admit
the overwhelming importance of trend study.
132 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 12
Combining the Two Methods. An interesting suggestion
has been made by Mr. Wall, the apparent purpose of which is
to combine the good features of both the ratio method and
the trend method. He attempts to do this by first figuring
out all the ratios for a series of statements. He then calculates
the trends of the ratios, and finally he assigns weights to each
ratio based on his estimate of their relative importance, and
adjusts the trend percentages of the ratios accordingly.
Without attempting to discuss the mathematical merits and
demerits of Mr. Wall's suggestion, it is nevertheless true that
simple analysis methods are the best, and that there is great
danger in getting too far away from the actual figures. Sim-
plicity appears to be one of the principal advantages of the
trend method over the ratio method.
Mr. Wall's method takes (i) the ratios which are already
too cumbersome for practical use, (2) converts them into
trends, and (3) again into weighted trends, i.e., three complete
steps away from the original figures themselves.
Even if this method gave a closer interpretation of the
balance sheet, which is extremely doubtful, it would still be
impracticable for ordinary use because of the difficulty of
explaining the method to a client or employer.
CHAPTER XIII
STANDARD RATIOS
A Second Use for Ratios. So far balance sheet ratios have
been discussed from only one angle that of ratios taken from
successive balance sheets of the same company.
From this study certain information may be secured as to
the trend of the company's affairs. While the trend per-
centage method gives a quicker and clearer view of trends, it
must be admitted, as stated in the last chapter, that trend
studies are possible with the ratio method.
Thus, for the Ames Manufacturing Company the ratio of
sales to fixed assets was:
Date Ratio
1921 290%
1922 258
1923 - 251
1924 260
These figures show a slightly unfavorable trend. This
has already been discussed, and it has been shown that the
Ames Manufacturing Company tended somewhat toward over-
investment in fixed assets.
Where Is the Danger Point? But there is still another
important question to be settled. Has the situation with the
Ames Manufacturing Company reached a danger point yet?
There must be some ratio of sales to fixed assets which
represents such a danger point. But from an examination of
the Ames Manufacturing Company ratios it is impossible to
tell whether they have already fallen below such a danger
point in 1921 or whether they were still above it in 1924.
If there was some way of knowing the ideal ratio of sales
133
ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
to fixed assets for such a business as that of the Ames Manu-
facturing Company, then it would be a simple matter to
compare the Ames' figures with such a standard figure.
Standard Ratios. This idea of determining standard ratios
for each line of business is not new. The first research work
along these lines was probably undertaken in a limited way
by the credit departments of very large manufacturers.
The first important published contribution to the subject
appears to have been made by Alexander Wall, formerly a
Detroit banker, who was commissioned by the Federal Reserve
Board at Washington to make a thorough study of standard
ratios and who later became Secretary of the Robert Morris
Associates, an organization of bank credit men formed for the
purpose of doing research work in standard ratios.
A much later study was made by James H. Bliss, Comp-
troller of Libby, McNeill and Libby, in his books entitled
"Financial and Operating Ratios in Management" and "Man-
agement Through Accounts."
There are many who show much enthusiasm over standard
ratios. The author of a recent article in a well-known technical
journal refers to standard ratios as "enabling one to determine
not only the standing of a given unit in an industry at a given
moment, but also, with a precision no less exact, enabling one
to point out the course that has been pursued and the rate
attained in reaching that standing; and by the same means
enabling one to foretell the fate of that industrial unit, that is,
whither it is bound and what factors are accelerating or retard-
ing its progress/'
And again he says, "It furnishes a standard of normalcy,
and any function of the concern that is not normal may be
quickly determined and a remedy may be pointed out! 9
Portions of these quotations have been italicized to bring
out the broad character of claims made for the standard ratio.
If the standard ratio is so important an instrument for locating
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 135
business diseases, it is most decidedly worthy of detailed con-
sideration here.
Construction of Standard Ratios. The standard ratio idea
is a very simple one.
If balance sheets could be secured from a number of differ-
ent concerns in the same line of business, the ratios could be
calculated separately and then averaged. Each such average
ratio could then be considered a standard with which to com-
pare the similar ratio of any individual company engaged in
that line of business.
Reverting to the ratio of sales to fixed assets for the Ames
Manufacturing Company, it seems that there are certain other
companies in the same line of business whose balance sheets
are available covering the same years of 1921 to 1924. These
are given below. The dates and names are, of course, ficti-
tious, but all the ratios given are based upon actual published
balance sheets.
The ratios of sales to fixed assets for these various com-
panies are as follows :
1924.
Ames Manufacturing Company 260%
Kard Manufacturing Company 143
General Manufacturing Company 144
Black Manufacturing Company 367
International Manufacturing Company 303
Comparison of Ratios. When the 1924 ratios for the
Ames Manufacturing Company are compared with those of
the other four companies, its situation does not seem so bad.
Its 1924 ratio of 260% is above the ratios of two of the
companies and below the ratios of the other two, and is above
the average for the five.
It seems plain, therefore, that while the trend of this ratio
for the Ames Manufacturing Company is downward, still it
136 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
has quite some distance to go before falling as low as the ratio
of other representative companies in that same line of business.
Of course, there are a number of questions about the above
figures which any alert person would immediately ask :
Is the industry as a whole stiff ering from some depression ?
Are the companies in the above list representative ?
Are there enough companies represented so that the result-
ing average may be considered reliable ?
With five companies all engaged in the same line of busi-
ness, why should one of them (The Black Manufacturing
Company) show a ratio almost three times as large as that of
another company (The Kard Manufacturing Company) ?
Can this be accounted for because they are in different
parts of the country?
Or, is it simply a false assumption that they are engaged
in similar work?
Or is it a false assumption that well managed companies in
the same line of business should all have ratios fairly close to
the average ?
These are only a few of many questions that might be
asked. Certainly, the management of the Ames Manufactur-
ing Company should not be complacent in view of their de-
creasing ratio when they see their competitors, The Black
Manufacturing Company and The International Manufacturing
Company with higher ratios.
Deviation of Figures Perhaps the most noticeable thing
about the above figures is the difference between each of the
figures and the average.
This is most clearly brought out by "over and under"
figures, revealing how much each company's ratio is above or
below the average.
From this table can be seen how the different ratios vary
from the average.
In other words the average is not typical.
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 137
1924 Average Over Under
Ames Manufacturing Company 260% 243% 17%
Kard Manufacturing Company 143 243 100%
General Manufacturing Company .... 144 243 99
Black Manufacturing Company 367 243 124
International Manufacturing Company 303 243 60
Just what does this mean?
As an illustration, if John is two years old and George
is 22 years, their average age is 12. But this average is not
typical and if the average age of George and John is given as
12 years, a false impression is created.
If John is ii and George is 13, this also gives an average
age of 12, but is more nearly typical.
In the first instance, there is a large deviation from the
average, John's age being 10 years on one side of the average
and George's age 10 years on the other side of the average.
In the second illustration, John's and George's ages deviate
only one year from the average.
Value of Averages. The less deviation shown by in-
dividual numbers from their average, the more typical and
reliable that average is.
In other words, the individual figures should "cluster 57
closely around their average if the average is to mean any-
thing.
As a matter of fact, there is not a single one of the five
companies which shows for the year 1924 a ratio of sales to
fixed assets close to 243%. Not only does the average not
typify the group, but it does not even typify any members of
the group.
A careful study of the foregoing paragraphs will justify
the conclusion that it is not safe to consider that the standard
ratio of sales to fixed assets for the year 1924 is 243%, nor
would anyone feel justified in using that as a yardstick for
judging the position of the Ames Manufacturing Company.
What then is the remedy?
138 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
Securing Better Averages. The remedy quite obviously is
not to use five balance sheets, but 50.
And a further remedy is not to use the arithmetic average
as has been done so far in this chapter, but to use some
substitute for it which will more closely typify the actual
figures.
The trouble with the arithmetic average, in this and other
uses as well, is that it gives effect to unusual or "freak"
figures.
To illustrate this in a simple manner, observe the following
figures showing the daily incomes of six employees :
i $50.00
2 *... 400
3 3-oo
4 3-00
5 3-00
6 3 oo
Total $66.00
Average $11 oo
While mathematically speaking the average income is $11
per day, this average is deceptive because one $50 man was
included. The common or typical income is $3 per day. This
is the income earned by four out of the six employees.
Any average figure must properly summarize the whole.
It must be significant or typical of the whole, or it is a mis-
leading average. The $11 average in the above example does
not conform to this fundamental rule.
As one authority says :
Every average is a sort of fictitious substitute for the details
which it replaces, serviceable when the conditions for which it
stands are known, but deceptive when they are ignored.
Substitute for Arithmetic Average. For most business
uses the arithmetic average should not be employed.
In place of the average it is better to use another figure
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 139
(sometimes improperly called an average), which is known as
the "mode."
The mode is the typical figure.
It is the one which occurs most frequently.
Thus, there might be 10 companies showing ratios of sales
to fixed assets as follows :
i 100% 6 300%
2 200 7 300
3 300 8 500
4 300 9 1,000
5 300 10 1,200
The arithmetic average of these is 450%. But the typical
figure, or mode, is 300%, because the greatest number of the
companies show 300% as the ratio. Therefore, 300% is the
common or typical figure of the group.
It would be much wiser to use 300% as a standard instead
of 450%, because the method of obtaining the 300% elimi-
nates the "freak" figures of 1,000% and 1,200%.
But in order to determine the mode it is necessary to have
quite a large number of individual figures. The ratios of the
five companies that have been used as an illustration are not
sufficient in number to calculate a mode. The ratios from 50
companies might be enough, but several hundred would be
even better.
The "Mode" Illustrated. The importance of the mode as
compared with the arithmetic average in determining standard
ratios was thoroughly recognized by Alexander Wall in his
book, "Analytical Credits."
He showed there exactly the method by which he accumu-
lated his figures. For one type of business he had 139 bal-
ance sheets from similar companies. From each he calculated
the ratio of sales to inventories. This gave him 139 ratios.
He then took a sheet with 16 columns. In the first column
he made a separate notation of each ratio that was under
300%; the second column he made a memorandum of each
I 4 o ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
ratio that was 300% or more, but less than 350% ; in the third
column he put down each "ratio that was 350% or more, but
less than 400%, and so on.
When he was all through, his sheet, with slight changes,
appeared somewhat as follows :
WORKING SHEET FOR SALES TO INVENTORY STANDARD RATIO
300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 7SO 800 850 900 950 1000
Below to to to to to to to to to to to to to to and
300 349 399 449 499 549 599 649 699 749 799 849 899 949 999 Over
280 308 376
418
498
Si6
575
613 694
733
758 820 921
IOIO
337 389
444
472
504
552
634 694
720
763 841 923
1030
314 397
416
468
533
563
612 674
712
772 817 948
1040
346 389
427
459
508
575
614 658
710
768 841 926
1000
343 398
441
491
504
552
630 655
710
788 820 941
1145
387
439
481
539
593
600 669
702
754 932
1113
391
412
473
517
591
675
725
787
1181
389
444
464
535
558
665
717
796
1305
393
412
478
525
560
650
733
1311
439
454
533
593
677
1370
401
450
523
574
438
498
529
563
432
452
531
556
461
516
578
478
506
563
484
512
564
450
513
592
452
533
486
529
474
478
No. in Group
I 5 9
13
21
19
17
6 10
9
85 6
10
The greatest number of ratios appear in the fifth column.
This is the column which shows the ratios between 450% and
499%,
In other words, the mode lies somewhere between 450%
and 499%.
Group Location. This is close enough for all practical
purposes. It is seldom possible to locate the mode exactly.
Usually it is necessary to locate it somewhere within a group,
as in the above illustration.
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 141
As a matter of fact the typical figure is closer to 499%
than it is to 450%, because the sixth column is also a long one,
containing 19 figures, and the seventh one is quite long as
well.
In fact, 57 of the 139 ratios fall in these three columns, i.e.,
between 450% and 599%. It is contended, therefore, that
any individual company in this same line of business whose
ratio of sales to inventories is under 599% and more than
450%, conforms to the standard or average.
A study of the above table shows what great difference in
ratios are to be found between different companies in the same
line of business. In other words, there is great deviation
from the average.
It appears to be almost impossible to summarize all of
these 139 ratios by one single average. A much better method
would be to summarize all of the ratios into groups as
follows :
No. of
Groups of Ratios Companies
299 and lower I
300 to 349 5
350 to 399 9
400 to 449 13
450 to 499 21
500 to 549 19
550 to 599 17
600 to 649 6
650 to 699 10
700 to 749 9
750 to 799 8
800 to 849 5
850 to 899 o
900 to 949 6
950 to 999 o
1,000 and above , 10
139
With the figures summarized in this manner they are much
easier to interpret, and the standing of any given company is
142 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
much easier to determine by comparison with this table than
by comparison with one average.
Objections to Standard Ratios Geographic Distribu-
tion. The balance sheet ratios of any company depend upon
a number of factors which are the result of business policies
and are influenced by the size of the company, its geographical
location and other factors.
Alexander Wall, at the time he made his investigation for
the Federal Reserve Board, found it necessary to divide the
United States into nine sections and to determine standard
balance sheet ratios for each separately.
This means that a very large number of balance sheets of
similar companies are necessary in order to obtain dependable
averages for each geographical section. Procuring such a
large number of balance sheets is a difficult task unless handled
by an association or governmental body.
Great difficulties are faced by individuals in attempting to
gather such balance sheets. It is observed that J. H. Bliss,
author of "Financial and Operating Ratios in Management,"
was able to procure for analysis the balance sheets of less than
250 companies. These were distributed over more than 40
different lines of business with the result that some of the
lines of business were so small as to include only one, two or
three companies.
His largest group of companies whose figures were avail-
able for determining the ratio of sales to inventory was 12
an entirely inadequate number of instances to serve as the
basis for determining a mode for a standard ratio. Bliss did
not attempt to follow Wall's example of accumulating his
averages geographically. Had he done so the resulting groups
would have been even more scanty.
A large number of balance sheets are necessary, but where
such a large number are involved there is still another diffi-
culty.
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 143
Factor of Business Mortality. Failure statistics show
that the mortality among business concerns is very heavy.
Figures have been published showing very small chances
of life of more than 15 years among manufacturers, whole-
salers and retailers.
When it is also borne in mind that the average business
life of a retailer, manufacturer, or wholesaler is somewhere
between seven and seven and one-half years, it can be appre-
ciated that any large number of balance sheets must include
many concerns w r hose span of life is short.
Size of Business Furthermore, most business concerns
are small and not very successful.
The 1919 statistics, as quoted by Lincoln in "Applied Busi-
ness Finance," show that 79.6% of manufacturing concerns
reported gross annual sales of less than $100,000. Moreover,
nearly one-third of all industrial organizations in that same
year showed deficits instead of profits.
These facts put the user of standard ratios in a serious
predicament. If he uses the balance sheets of successful
concerns only, he will find the number so few, after dividing
them geographically, that unreliable averages must result.
On the other hand, if he is fortunate enough to secure a
large number of balance sheets, he must face the fact that this
number will include a heavy proportion of small or unsuccess-
ful concerns. The resulting standard ratios must, therefore,
be misleading if they are to be considered as "ideal."
Accounting Classification. Furthermore, standard ac-
counting classification throughout an industry is almost essen-
tial before reliable standard ratios can be hoped for.
Oftentimes two different companies will show different
ratios due to the fact that their bookkeeping methods are dif-
ferent, whereas, they might show almost identical ratios if
their bookkeeping methods were uniform.
Considerable work has been done to promote standard
I 4 4 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
accounting classification, particularly in such lines as the
baking, biscuit and cracker business, face brick, paving brick,
caskets, foundries, portland cement factories, chair factories,
cotton finishers, electrical products, envelope makers, granite
makers, ice manufacturers, knit goods manufacturers, laundries,
lithographers, machine tool manufacturers, millwork, paint,
paper, pottery, and stove manufacturers, tanners, toy makers,
and wooden ware manufacturers.
At the present time, however, the attitude of the Federal
Trade Commission toward uniform accounting systems is
somewhat unfavorable because of its belief that such uniform
accounting systems lead to price fixing and elimination of
competition, which is in restraint of trade.
Importance o Recent Figures As the author firmly be-
lieves that published standard ratios as given in certain books
are almost valueless, no attempt has been made here to include
lengthy tables showing such ratios.
Most of the available figures are old, and standard ratios
unless right up to date certainly are not safe guides, even
assuming no other objections to them.
This is quite clearly brought out by published facts. Ratios
of sales to inventories of six automobile accessory manufac-
turers, as reported by one author, dropped from 499% in 1918
to 401% in 1920.
Another startling illustration is that of 12 copper mining
and smelting manufacturers, whose average ratio of sales to
inventories dropped from 268% in 1920 to 85% in 1921.
Any balance sheet analyst who would attempt to compare
the 1921 ratio for any particular copper mining company with
the 1920 average of 268% (assuming later figures not avail-
able) would obtain an entirely misleading impression.
Uniformity of Policies. The assumption underlying the
standard ratio is that of uniformity of policy, method, pro-
cedure and product within a given line of business,
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 145
Unfortunately the assumption is often untrue. Simply
because two companies make automobiles is no indication of
uniformity in certain factors that influence their ratios. One
may manufacture a large part of its product. The other may
buy standard parts and assemble them into finished cars.
Since the first would require much more extensive plant,
machinery and equipment than the other, is it reasonable to
assume that their ratios of sales to fixed assets would be
comparable?
One, like the Ford Motor Company, might sell for cash.
Another might have the cash basis as its ideal but actually sell
on long terms.
Would it be fair to consider that their ratios of sales to
receivables ought to be nearly alike ?
One might be financed entirely through stock widely dis-
tributed. The other might be directly financed to a limited
extent by a few men of ample means who would prefer to
finance the remainder of all capital required by lending their
credit through their endorsement of the company's notes to the
bank.
Would the ratios of net worth to fixed assets and to total
liabilities for the two companies be the same?
Similarly with other factors which influence ratios. It
often happens that companies that seem to be alike are really
very dissimilar.
Elements of Value in Standard Ratios* But the standard
ratio idea cannot be entirely condemned. It has elements of
value under very special circumstances.
FOR THE PUBLIC ACCOUNTANT. Thus the public account-
ant who serves a number of clients in the same general industry
can perform a helpful service to them all by using this standard
ratio idea.
He can use it effectively because of his intimate familiarity
I4 6 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
with the accounting records and the policies of each company.
His information in regard to each is so detailed that differ-
ences between the balance sheet ratios of the various com-
panies can be reconciled.
The public accountant's knowledge of the peculiar condi-
tion under which each operates will enable him to make a
shrewd comparative analysis as the basis for constructive
suggestions of inestimable value to each client.
And this may be done without divulging any information
having a competitive bearing.
The public accountant will ordinarily figure the ratios of
each such plant separately and since they will usually be few
in number, he need not average the results.
Preferably, he will list the similar ratios for the various
clients in their proper order from low to high, and then
through his detailed knowledge of the circumstances of each
will satisfy himself as to the causes underlying the very low or
very high ratios.
FOR THE COMPTROLLER. The comptroller of a corpora-
tion, or any of its general executives, may attempt much the
same plan, except that it is usually necessary to secure the
balance sheets of competitors from financial manuals, such as
Moody's, or from other sources.
The keen analyst will secure a surprising amount of val-
uable information through such comparative study. His knowl-
edge of his own business and of the policies of his competitors
will enable him to explain or reconcile many peculiarities of
the balance sheets.
No formal system of analyzing the facts need be followed
by one making such an analysis. His inspection of the various
balance sheets will alone give much information. His figuring
of ratios may not be on a formal statistical basis. In fact, the
procedure will probably be quite different from that required
to determine nation-wide standard ratios for an entire industry.
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 147
Summary o Important Factors. In conclusion it seems
clear that the "standard ratio" is not feasible except under an
unusual combination of conditions where :
1. A large number of balance sheets taken at the same time
of year are available.
2. The corporations furnishing the balance sheets are finan-
cially sound.
3. The corporations operate under similar geographic con-
ditions.
4. The balance sheets are of recent date,
5. The deviations of the individual ratios from the average
ratio are not too great.
6. Accounting methods throughout the industry are sub-
stantially uniform.
7. The business policies which influence ratios are substan-
tially uniform.
8. The products manufactured and sold are substantially
similar.
This combination occurs so rarely as to deserve little
consideration.
The chief, if not the only value, of the standard ratios lies
in the fact that they represent starting points for further
investigation.
Unfortunately the average individual analyst has no oppor-
tunities to make such further investigations.
Thus, the prospective investor contemplating the purchase
of stock in the Texas Company might observe that its 1921
ratio of sales to inventory was 137%.
He might compare this with the 1921 ratios of other oil
companies as published by one author :
Texas Oil Company 137%
Associated Oil Company 627
California Petroletun Company 2 , 88 1
Tide Water Oil Company. 293
Union Oil Company of California 261
Pure Oil Company 557
Average 252%
148 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 13
The average is evidently a weighted average, since it is not
a mode and since the arithmetic average is 792%.
After the prospective investor has compared the ratio of
137% with the others and with the average, he is at a stand-
still. He would like to use the figures as a basis for further
investigation but has -no facilities for doing so; no opportu-
nities for access to the detailed figures which form the basis of
the several ratios; no right to inquire into the causes that
result in the wide deviations.
The credit man is in about the same position interested
but often powerless to press the searching questions which
might shed light on the differences between these oil companies.
If the analyst were an executive of the Texas Company or
its consulting auditor, he might be able to go further in recon-
ciliation, because of knowledge of various petroleum trade
practices, marketing and collection policies, etc.
As already said, to such an analyst the standard ratic
represents a starting point for further investigation and a
challenge to his analytical ability.
But the great majority of analysts would find their com-
parison with the standard ratio an unsatisfactory finishing
point rather than a starting point.
Ideal vs. Standard Ratios. A suggestion has been made
by some who admit that reliable average ratios are difficult, if
not impossible to obtain.
This suggestion has to do with the possibility of securing
"ideal" ratios.
These would not be averages of ratios of good, bad and
indifferent companies, imperfectly grouped because of insuffi-
cient investigation.
Rather "ideal" ratios would result from a thorough scien-
tific study of the most efficient companies in a given group,
taking into consideration variations in at least the following
items :
Ch. 13] STANDARD RATIOS 149
1. Geographical location.
2. Products sold.
3. Methods of marketing.
4. Terms of sale.
5. Collection policies.
6. Manufacturing policies.
7. General financial policies, etc.
8. The business cycle.
Each has its effect on one or more of the common ratios.
A careful weighing of these factors in connection with such
a research would be a great stride forward in the hunt for the
4 'ideal" industry ratio.
As far as is now known, no attempt has been or is being
made to carry on such a research. It may be an impossible
task. Certainly it would be a costly one, since it would require
patient examination into the affairs of each company.
It would involve much more than the securing of balance
sheets from published sources, such as Moody's Manuals, the
clerical compilation of ratios and their averaging in a purely
mechanical way, proceeding on the assumption that the com-
panies are alike in policies, methods and products simply
because they are engaged in what superficially appears to be
the same "line of business/'
CHAPTER XIV
CONCLUSIONS AS TO ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE
Summary of Analysis Methods. The following methods
of balance sheet analysis have been discussed in previous
chapters :
A. Single balance sheets :
1. General ratios (Chapter IV).
2. Arbitrarily scaling down balance sheet values
(Chapter IV).
3. Danger signals (Chapter IV) :
a. Small amount of cash.
b. Improper combinations of balance sheet items.
c. Heavy notes receivable counter to trade prac-
tice.
d. Large intangible assets particularly when there
is no surplus.
4. Standard ratios (Chapter XIII).
B. Two or more balance sheets:
1. General ratios (Chapter V).
2. Increase and decrease calculations (Chapter V).
a. Application of funds.
3. Percentages using total assets as 100% (Chapter
V).
4. Ratios directed toward specific business ailments
(Chapters VI, VII, VIII, and IX).
5. Trend percentage method for showing trends toward
specific business ailments (Chapters XI and XII).
6. Standard ratios (Chapter XIII).
Since some of these methods are better than others, it
seems appropriate to furnish a list or schedule representing
recommended steps in analyzing (i) a single balance sheet,
and (2) two or more balance sheets of the same company.
150
Ch. 14] CONCLUSIONS AS TO ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE 151
Analysis Program pr One Balance Sheet For the single
balance sheet, the following will usually be found sufficient :
1. Calculate the ratios:
a. Acid test.
b. Current ratio.
c. Ratio of sales to receivables (if sales figures are
available).
d. Ratio of sales to inventory (if sales figures are
available).
2. Check for danger signals :
a. Disproportionately small amount of cash.
b. Improper combination of balance sheet items.
c. Disproportionately large amount of notes receivable
counter to trade custom.
d. Disproportionately large intangible assets, particu-
larly when there is no surplus.
3. Scrutiny of the balance sheet in order to insure common-
sense conclusions.
Analysis Program for Two or More Balance Sheets. For
two or more balance sheets of the same company the following
is the line of analysis to be followed :
1. Calculate the trend percentages for:
a. Receivables.
b. Quick assets.
c. Inventories.
d. Current assets.
e. Fixed assets.
f . Current liabilities.
g. Long-time liabilities.
h. Total liabilities.
i. Net worth (or capital stock and surplus separately).
2. Study the trend percentages for trends toward :
a. Over-investment in receivables.
b. Over-investment in inventory.
c. Over-investment in fixed assets.
d. Insufficient capitalization.
152 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 14
3. For the latest balance sheet of the series:
a. Calculate the "acid test" ratio.
b* Calculate the current ratio.
c. Check for the four danger signals.
d Determine whether unfavorable trends have reached
a danger point.
4. Scrutinize the balance sheets in order to insure common-
sense conclusions.
Discussion o Analysis Programs. It should be observed
that these two schedules, covering the single balance sheet and
two or more balance sheets, are designed to fit the usual
analytical requirements. They represent the bare essentials
of complete balance sheet analysis, and for unusual cases addi-
tional ratio, trend, or other studies may be made.
Special circumstances justify elasticity in the analysis pro-
cedure. Unusual types of business may call for resourceful-
ness in devising methods of interpreting statements.
Also the analyst will always be eager to employ all available
information to test his conclusions. Thus where a company's
stock is listed on a stock exchange, a comparison of its quoted
prices with the book value of shares as shown by the balance
sheets, is often illuminating, not only to prospective investors
but also to other classes of analysts.
Special importance should attach to the last item in each
of these "analysis programs/'
What may be termed the "common-sense scrutiny " should
be the last step not the first as so often occurs.
It should be the last step because the previous steps often
bring out certain trends toward common business ailments.
It is after those trends have been observed that a deliberate
general scrutiny of the statement or statements is of real value
in insuring that common sense is back of the conclusions.
The Checking List The conclusions finally reached may
profitably be put in written form as answers to the following
Ch. 14] CONCLUSIONS AS TO ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE 153
questions (and in offices where a great many statements are
analyzed a checking list based on these questions may well be
employed) :
1. Is there any dangerous tendency toward:
a. Over-investment in receivables?
b. Over-investment in inventory?
c. Over-investment in fixed assets?
d. Insufficient capital ?
2. Is the present position, as evidenced by the acid test,
current ratio and other ratios, satisfactory?
3. Are any of the four danger signals present.'
CHAPTER XV
PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS
Changing Conditions in Relation to Profit and Loss
Analysis. While a great deal has been published at different
times on the subject of balance sheet analysis, little if anything
has been written about analyzing profit and loss statements.
There is an excellent reason for this.
Until recently books and articles dealing with analysis of
financial statements have approached the subject purely from
the viewpoint of the credit man, engaged in either commercial
or bank credit work, and, generally speaking, credit men have
been able to secure from their customers only balance sheets.
Profit and loss figures have been considered by -business men
entirely too confidential for even limited distribution.
Since the balance sheet has usually been the only financial
statement available to credit men, authors have concentrated
their attention on balance sheet analysis.
Profit and loss statements are difficult to obtain. Only
too rarely have they been completely published in the past.
Conditions are changing and business men are realizing
more and more that publicity given to their profit and loss
statements, either through commercial agencies or direct to
their creditors will seldom prove harmful.
Another reason why so little has been written on the sub-
ject is that much analysis work is from the internal viewpoint.
Within each corporation there is some major executive
who makes it his task to study carefully his company's own
profit and loss figures. Such work is of the most fundamental
and far reaching significance in business administration and
forms an important basis for increasing profits.
Such an executive is able to make a complete investigation
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 155
in connection with every questionable item he discovers, since
he has access to all the supplementary and subsidiary records
from which the statement was built.
The public accountant in serving his client possesses this
same advantage.
Need for Method of Analysis But there are many others
who are called upon to analyze profit and loss statements
without having the privilege of detailed investigation in con-
nection with particular items upon which they desire further
information.
To meet such needs, a distinct method or technique of
analysis should be available. Such a technique has been estab-
lished for balance sheet analysis and the present purpose is to
outline similar plans and methods for diagnosing the profit and
loss statement.
These methods can well be used by the executive, even
though he does have access to the detailed figures, in his pre-
liminary analysis of the periodical statements, as a means for
localizing unfavorable symptoms. Also, they may be used by
the public accountant for the same purpose.
But these methods are of even more vital importance to
credit men, bankers, and investors.
Purpose of Analysis. Therefore, the present question is
how to make a general analysis of profit and loss statements
for the purpose of diagnosing symptoms rather than for the
purpose of a complete investigation to determine remedies for
unfavorable symptoms.
The fundamental structure of a profit and loss statement
is simplicity itself, since it conforms to the following formula ;
TOTAL INCOME
less
TOTAL COSTS
equals
NET PROFIT
156 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
More Detailed Classification. The actual structure of a
profit and loss statement must be somewhat more elaborate for
several reasons.
In the first place income is of two kinds : ( i) Operating in-
come and (2) non-operating income, such as interest from in-
vestments, rent from non-operating properties, etc.
Secondly the costs are commonly of three general kinds :
1. Direct costs of furnishing the service or of manufacturing
or buying the merchandise sold.
2. Operating expenses necessitated thereby.
3. Non-operating expenses.
Therefore, the general structure of most profit and loss
statements closely conforms to the following formula:
OPERATING INCOME
less
COST OF SERVICE RENDERED OR OF GOODS SOLD
equals
GROSS TRADING PROFIT
less
OPERATING EXPENSE (usually highly classified)
equals
NET OPERATING PROFIT
plus
NON-OPERATING (or other) INCOME
less
NON-OPERATING (or other) EXPENSE
equals
NET PROFIT
The important factors in this formula are (i) the oper-
ating income, (2) the cost of goods (or services) sold, and
(3) the operating expenses. The combination of the first two
results in the significant figure of gross profit or gross trading
profit, and the combination of the three results in the significant
figure of net operating profit.
Usually, but not always, the non-operating items are in-
significant from the analyst's viewpoint. The first three men-
tioned are the ones of primary importance.
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 157
Illustrative Figures For the purpose of having definite
figures to illustrate the various points involved, the balance
sheets and profit and loss statements for a trading organiza-
tion, which, for the purpose of making the illustration specific,
may be called Andrews and Company, are shown here :
ANDREWS AND COMPANY
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
Assets 1917 1918 1919 1920
Quick Assets $ 24 , 414 $ 32 , 063 $ 38 , 509 $ 42 , 326
Inventories 79 , 891 93 , 817 94 , 756 97 , 622
Fixed Assets 46,720 45*352 43,79* 42,802
Total $151,025 $171,232 $I77<>56 $1^2,750
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities $ 38,045 $ 52,927 $ 50,952 $ 75,483
Net Worth 112,980 118,305 126,104 107,267
Total $151,025 $171,232 $177,056 $182,750
Sales (Net) ' $140, 161 $194,324 $273,040 $286,445
ANDREWS AND COMPANY
COMPARATIVE TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Years Ended December 31
1917 1918 1919 1920
Gross Sales $141 ,479 $196,028 $279,229 $288,757
Less: Goods Returned j ,318 1 , 704 6,189 2,312
Net Sales $140,161 $194,324 $273,040 $286,445
COST OF GOODS SOLD:
Inventory Beginning $ 72,991 $ 79*891 $ 938i7 $ 94*756
Purchases 114.293 165,987 209,536 260,642
Freight on Purchases i>357 1,674 2,358 2,629
$188,641 $247,552 $305,711 $358,027
Less; Inventory End 79*891 93,817 94,756 97*621
Cost of Goods Sold $108,750 $153*735 $210, 955 $260,406
Gross Profit $31,411 $ 40*589 $ 62,085 $ 26,039
I 5 8 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
OPERATING EXPENSES:
Store Expense:
Salaries -Dept. Managers ..$ 4, TOO $ 5,656 $14,700 $13,646
SalariesSalesmen 5 , 820 6 , 369 10 , 043 12,012
Light and Power 203 133 187 187
Insurance 457 962 7$5 77i
Luxury Tax 122 166
State Income Tax 643 958 1,113
City Tax 1,900 1,405 1,634 2,104
Fuel . 3 2 3 240 352 286
Depreciation i ,482 i ,484 i ,484 i ,493
Repairs 83 23 8 311
General Store Expense 153 93 135 n?
Paper and Twine . . . 117 220 355 230
Total... 15,881 $ 17,51-3 $ 30 9*8 $ 31*323
General and Administrative
Expense:
Telephone and Telegraph . . $ 31 $ 61 $ 51 $ 64
Printing and Stationery .... 247 132 106 155
Charity and Donations 25
Subscriptions and Dues ... 22 62 64 144
Legal and Auditing 129
Advertising 511 480 697 784
Traveling Expense 37 33 86 75
Bad Debts 197 648 5 70
Total $ 1,174 $ 1,416 $ i , 009 $ 1,317
Total Operating Expense . $ 17,055 $ 18,9.59 $ 31,927 $32 . 640
Net Operating Profit (or
Loss*) $ 14,356 $ 21,630 $ 30,158 $ 6,601*
OTHER INCOME:
Rent Earned 225 225 225 225
$ 14 , 581 $ 21,855 $ 3Q , 383 $ 6,376*
OTHER EXPENSES:
Interest Paid $ 2,054 I 2,846 $ 2,911 $3,765
Soldier's andEducationalBonus
Surtax 936
Capital Stock Tax 108 95 1 13
$ 2,054 $ 2,954 $ 3,942 $ 3,878
Net Profit or Loss* $ 12,527 $ 18,901 $ 26,441 $10 , 254*
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 159
Analysis of the Balance Sheets. Since there always exist
important relationships between balance sheets and profit and
loss statements, it is interesting and instructive to make a brief
survey of the balance sheet before starting on the profit and
loss figures.
ANDREWS AND COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
(Based on percentages of 1917 figures)
1918 1919 1920
1917 Percentage Percentage Percentage
Amount of 1917 of 1917 of 1917
Quick Assets $ 24,414 131 158 173
Inventories 79 ,891 117 119 122
Fixed Assets 46,720 98 94 92
Total $151,025
Current Liabilities $38,045 139 134 198
Net Worth. 112,980 105 112 95
Total $151,025
Sales $140, 161 138 195 204
Without attempting a complete diagnosis of the balance
sheet, it is sufficient to note that the outstanding features are
the heavy increase in quick assets, the heavier increase in cur-
rent liabilities, and an indication of insufficient capitalization.
It is quite evident that in 1920 Andrews and Company
was in a less favorable balance sheet position than in 1917, or
in either of the two years intervening. With this picture of
conditions clearly in mind, the analysis of the profit and loss
statement may proceed.
First Step in Profit and Loss Analysis. The first step is
to determine the sufficiency of the net profits, i.e., the relation
of the net profits to the net worth of the company.
For this purpose either the net worth at the beginning of
each year or the average of the beginning and ending net
worths should be used. Both methods are shown here.
Year
Year
Net Worth
or (*) Deficit
of Year
1917...
$12,527
1918...
. $112,980
$115,642
18,901
17
1919...
. 118,305
122,204
26,441
22
1920...
126,104
116,685
10,254*
160 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
Net Worth Percentages
Beginning of Average Net Profits on First Net Worth
Average
16
22
It is difficult to state what represents a sufficient profit.
Few, if any, business men would ever admit that they were
making a sufficient profit.
As to what constitutes an insufficient profit there is also
uncertainty. Surely the profit from an enterprise should be in
excess of current interest rates on high-class investments, as
otherwise the stockholders would be better off if their money
were withdrawn and put into bonds or commercial paper.
Insufficient Profits. But current interest rates certainly
represent the very minimum that profits should reach.
In a speculative business they should be substantially in
excess of the average return on good bonds in order to com-
pensate stockholders for the risks they assumed in investing.
There is no reliable guide as to what represents a reasonable
return on a business venture, but it probably lies somewhere
between 10% and 15% of the net worth of the business. Prof-
its between 6% and 10% may be considered unsatisfactory,
while profits below 6% may be considered insufficient.
These rather arbitrary figures require some modification in
any given instance, based upon the hazards of the enterprise.
Other things being equal, the more risk there is involved, the
greater should be the minimum percentage of net profit
returns.
If these figures are accepted as substantially correct, then
Andrews and Company showed satisfactory profits until 1920.
The next step is to determine the reason for the bad profit
showing in 1920.
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 161
Summarizing the Profit and Loss Statement, The profit
and loss statement as above given is entirely too detailed for
the next step in analysis.
The next step is to determine which of the three basic
divisions of the profit and loss statement is responsible for the
insufficient profit.
This leads directly into the fundamental theory of net
profit.
In a trading business, net profit conies from buying goods
at one price and selling them at a price sufficiently greater to
provide a margin which will more than absorb all the oper-
ating expenses of the business.
This means, as already set forth, that there are really three
important factors to be watched in connection with profit and
loss analysis :
1. Income from operations or net sales.
2. Costs of goods sold.
3. Operating expenses.
Locating Losses. The cause of a loss may be found in any
of these three divisions. Even if merchandise is purchased at
the right price and expense is kept at a reasonable amount, a
net profit may be turned into a net loss by a failure to sell
goods at a sufficiently high price.
Or on the other hand, the sales price may be right, operat-
ing expenses may be normal, and a loss be traceable to unwise
purchases.
Even more commonly, the difficulty may be charged against
the operating expense classification. This means that goods
may be bought right and sold right, and still a net lost occur
because the operating expenses are larger than the gross profit.
Analysis of Expense. This often comes about because
many items composing operating expense are in the nature of
charges which do not fluctuate in direct proportion to the
volume of sales.
1 62 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
In the Andrews and Company statement a number of items
fall into this class. Consider light and power, which in 1917
amounted to $202.68 and in 1920 to $187.35, in spite of the
fact that the volume of business was more than doubled.
This is also true in connection with fuel, an item which
actually decreased over the four years' period in spite of the
increase in the volume of business.
Depreciation was practically a fixed quantity during those
years.
Examples of such expense items from other businesses are :
Rent Taxes
Bond interest Executives 7 salaries, etc.
Such expenses must be met if a company is to keep in busi-
ness, and they go on just about the same month after month
and year after year regardless (or practically so) of the volume
of business which is being performed. The aggregate of such
items represents almost an inflexible quantity a fixed charge
which cannot be reduced readily to fit a decreasing volume of
business.
Other Classes of Expense. There are other expenses
which are partially fixed and which vary but slightly with in-
creases or decreases in the amount of sales. The cost of that
insurance which represents protection of merchandise has
ordinarily some fairly definite relationship to sales volume.
Items such as paper and twine have a relationship to sales
as do telephone and telegraph; also traveling expense under
usual circumstances, although this does not appear to be true
in the Andrews and Company statement.
Finally, there are expense items, such as salaries of sales-
men, which one would naturally expect to increase or decrease
in rather close relationship to sales volume, although they are
easier to increase than to decrease unless a strict commission
basis of compensation is followed.
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 163
Danger in Operating Expense. In operating expense,
therefore, usually lies the greatest menace to net profit.
It Js the inflexibility of many of the operating expense
items which forces sales volume. There is always a certain
minimum of sales volume absolutely necessary in order that
the resulting gross profit be as great as the operating expense.
Since, generally speaking, operating expenses should not
increase as rapidly as sales volume, it is usually thought by ex-
ecutives that the answer to the problem of insufficient profit lies
in increasing sales. While this is oiten one of the solutions of
the net profit problem, it is not the only solution.
Trading vs. Manufacturing The foregoing discussion
refers to trading enterprises only.
With reference to manufacturing, there are certain fixed
charges due to manufacturing overhead expense, which form
a large part of the cost of goods sold. Naturally in a trading
business where all merchandise is purchased in finished form,
this factor of . manufacturing overhead does not complicate
the situation.
Usual Percentage Analysis. The analysis ordinarily
made of a profit and loss statement is to determine the per-
centage each item for each year bears to the net sales of that
year. This is not to be confused with the trend percentage
method.
ANDREWS AND COM PAN Y
COMPARATIVE TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
For the Years Ended December 31
1917 1918 1919 1020
Amount % Amount % Amount % Amount %
Net Sales $140,161 100 1194,324 100 $273,040 100 $286,445 100
Cost of Goods Sold 108,750 77 153.735 79 210, 955 77 260.406 __9_i
Gross Profit $31,411 22 $40,589 21 $62.085 23 $26,039 o
Operating Expense I7.Q55 J i8,9S9 _io^ 31.927 _*2_ 32,640 n
Net Operating Profit (or
Loss*) $ 14.356 i< $ 21.630 n $ 30.158 n $ 6.601*
164 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
On the face of it the situation of Andrews and Company
requires serious and prompt attention. The 1920 figures show
$140,000 increase in sales over 1917, while the net profit de-
creased $20,000. Obviously something is wrong with 'their
affairs. This kind of a percentage analysis seems to show that
the trouble lies entirely in the increase in cost of goods sold,
which was raised from 77% of sales in 1917 to 91% of sales
in 1920.
Principle Underlying This Method. The principle under-
lying this method of analysis seems to be based on the thought
that if cost of goods sold and operating expenses aggregated
less than 100% of sales and remained at the same constant per-
centage relation to sales from year to year, it would be im-
possible to show a net operating loss, regardless of fluctua-
tions in sales volume. And that if a net loss or undue decrease
in profit appears, it is due to one or both of these elements
getting out of such proper proportion to sales. And the next
"logical step" appears to be to figure the percentages and find
which item has gotten out of proportion.
Based on this reasoning the trouble in the case of Andrews
and Company seems to be all chargeable against cost of goods
sold, since the operating expense percentages have remained
about the same, being 11% for 1920 as compared -with 12%
in 1917.
This type of percentage calculation usually represents the
beginning and the end of profit and loss analysis. Seldom, if
ever, does the analysis go any further than such a mere deter-
mination of percentages of the various items composing the
profit and loss statement for each year, using sales of that
year as 100%.
Advantages and Disadvantages of the Method. There is
nothing improper about the method. It is indeed quite useful
when properly interpreted.
There should be a direct percentage relationship between
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 165
sales, cost of goods sold and gross profit that part of the above
percentage statement can be considered good practice in the
analysis of any trading business.
It will be observed that, for analysis purposes, the figures
have only been carried down to net operating profit or loss and
that the items of other income and other expense have not been
taken into consideration. Had these items been of real im-
portance, they should, of course, have been included.
Wrong Impressions Where this analysis fails is in con-
nection with operating expense.
The operating expense percentage for 1917 is 12% and for
1920 11%. This gives the impression that the cause of the
dwindling profits did not lie even in part in this item. Super-
ficially the operating expense seems entirely reasonable. If any-
thing, improvement appears to have been shown.
As a matter of fact, there is but little logical relationship
between operating expense and net sales in the average busi-
ness. It has already been mentioned that a goodly portion of
the operating expense usually consists of non-fluctuating items
which change but little from year to year in direct relationship
to the volume of business. To express such operating expenses
as percentages of net sales is to deny this well-known fact.
A desirable method of analysis should bring sharply to
attention all unfavorable factors rather than conceal any of
them through illogical percentage relationships.
Standard Profit and Loss Ratios. With this brief survey
of the fault of this common type of percentage analysis, the
next method is submitted.
In previous chapters standard balance sheet ratios were
discussed.
If standard balance sheet ratios could be obtained, it should
be possible to obtain equally good standard ratios for profit
and loss statements, and some attempts have been made to do
166 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
so. The difficulty of obtaining profit and loss ratios is much
greater than in the case of balance sheet ratios, since fewer
companies publish profit and loss figures.
It appears that standard profit and loss ratios are almost
an unattainable ideal, although in some instances it is possible
to obtain through the financial manuals or other sources, re-
ports which show sufficiently detailed profit and loss state-
ments of other companies in the same line of business to enable
an executive to make a fairly intelligent comparison of his own
figures with those of his competitors.
In spite of the difficulties in the way of obtaining profit
and loss ratios, it is nevertheless theoretically true that for
every line of business there exists certain normal profit and
loss ratios. These are influenced by the type of business, busi-
ness policies, geographical location and the size of the
enterprise.
Averaging the Statements A fairly good picture of the
normal ratios for one particular business often can be obtained
by combining statements for several years and then calculating
the percentages.
If the individual percentages do not deviate too greatly
from the averages thus calculated, and if the percentages of
such a combined statement can be considered reasonably
normal, these normal percentages can then be applied to the
net sales of any single year and an "ideal" profit and loss state-
ment constructed therefrom. This can then be compared with
the actual figures for that year.
The results of such an analysis for Andrews and Company
are shown herewith :
This method of analysis is not impractical. When properly
used under correct conditions by a chief executive, or public
accountant, such an analysis often forms the basis for remedy-
ing improper conditions. But as a general tool of statement
analysis it finds no place.
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 167
ANDREWS AND COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF COMPARATIVE PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
(Metnod involving average of three previous years as
basis for standard percentage figures to be applied to
sales of a later year, resulting in a fictitious " ideal
statement" for comparison with actual statement of
the later year.)
Net Sales
Obtained by Increase
Composite of 3 Applying Average Actual or
Previous Years % to 1920 Sales 1920 ^Decrease
$607 525 100% $286 445 100% $286 445
Cost of Goods Sold. . , ,
. . . 473,440 78 223,427 78 260,406 $36,979
Gross Profit
Operating Expense . . .
$134,085 22 $ 63,018 22 $ 26,039 *$36,975>
, . . 67,941 ii 31,509 ii 32,640 1,131
Net Operating Profit (or *Loss) $ 66,144 " $ 3L5Q9 it *S 6.601 *$3S,iio
Following are a few important objections to its use.
1. It is difficult to explain to the non-technical business man
who is inclined to resent, as "theoretical/' the arti-
ficial figures created by the averaging process.
2. It involves the untrue assumption that there exists an
important relationship between net sales and operating
expense which may lead to unsound conclusions.
3. Only in a fairly stable business will a series of individual
profit and loss percentages be found which will not
deviate too greatly from their average to be used as a
reasonable standard.
These various serious objections render this method of
analysis an impractical, if not a dangerous tool, except under
the special circumstances already stated.
This analysis brings out very distinctly one cause of the
lost profits in 1920.
It clearly indicates that if the percentage of costs of goods
sold to net sales had been the same in 1920 as prevailed in the
other three years, the company would have made a profit of
$31,200 instead of suffering a loss of $6,60 1.
In other words, the difference between what actually hap-
pened and what should have happened based on past per-
1 68 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
centages is $37,801, of which $37,266 represents an excess in
cost of goods sold.
The Trend Method. The next procedure is to apply the
trend percentage method of analysis to the Andrews and Com-
pany statement.
Each one of the three major elements of the 1917 state-
ment may be considered as 100% and the figures of the succeed-
ing years may be converted into percentages of the 1917
figures.
ANDREWS AND COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF COMPARATIVE PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Years Ended December 31
(Trend percentage method )
1917 1918 1919 1920
1917 % of Percentage Percentage Percentage
Amount 1917 of 1917 of 1917 of 1917
Net Sales $140,161 100 139 195 204
Cost of Goods Sold 108,750 100 141 194 239
Gross Profit. ... $ 31,411
Operating Expense. .. 17,055 100 in 187 191
Net Profit (or *Loss) $ 14, 3 56
This method is valuable because it brings out vividly the
variations in operating expense as compared to* variations in
the other two factors.
It develops by mere inspection alone the interesting fact
that operating expenses increased to 111% in 1918 and to 187%
in 1919. In other words, the operating expenses for the year
1919 increased at a faster rate than the sales volume, which
increased from 138% to 195%.
This a very important point and one which the previous
methods of analysis did not clearly set forth. (The expense
percentages based on net sales were 10% in 1918 and 12%
in 1919.) Attention is immediately directed to the operating
expense section of the 1918 and 1919 statements, where it is
seen that the total operating expense increased from $18,959
in 1918 to $31,927 in 1919, an increase of $12,968.
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 169
Analyzing Operating Expense Detail. Usually this is as
far as the analyst can proceed, because published profit and loss
statements seldom furnish the detail of items composing oper-
ating expense.
But if such details are available, the next step is to narrow
the investigation to the particular item or items responsible for
the unfortunate showing. This additional investigation is
fully set forth for completeness, in spite of the fact that obvious
conclusions could be drawn from mere inspection of Andrews
and Company operating expense details.
Each set of group totals within the operating expense sec-
tion and the more important items composing each such group
should be analyzed for trends in order to locate the difficulty
as specifically as possible. Unlike the profit and loss state-
ment of Andrews and Company, which only shows two
divisions of operating expense, many statements show a num-
ber of such groups of items. The method to be followed is
the same regardless of the number of such groups.
ANDREWS AND COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF OPERATING EXPENSE
Years Ended December 31
(Trend method.)
1917 1918 1919 1920
1917 % of Percentage Percentage Percentage
Amount 1917 of 1917 of 1917 of 1917
STORE EXPENSE:
Salaries Dept.
Managers $ 4,700 100 120 313 290
Salaries Salesmen. 5,820 100 109 173 206
Other Items 5,361 100 103 115 106
Total & 15,881 loo in 195 197
GENERAL AND ADMIN-
ISTRATIVE EXPENSE:
Advertising $ 511 100 94 136 153
Other Items 663 100 141 47 83
Total $ i, 17 \ loo 120 87 112
Net Sales $140, 161 100 138 195 204
170 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
Interpretation o Statement. The smallness of the gen-
eral and administrative expense renders its effect on net profit
insignificant. But inspection of the trends of store expense
and the items composing it, tells an important story.
Considerable responsibility for the bad net profit showing
evidently falls on the two salary items.
Of the total increase of operating expense of $12,968, by
far the greater part ($12,716) was due to an increase in the
two items, salaries of department managers and salaries of
salesmen. Had these salaries not been increased so sharply in
1919 and remained practically constant thereafter, it is more
than possible that 1920 would have shown some net profit in
spite of the sharp shrinkage in gross profit for that year.
Here is an important discovery which previous methods of
analysis failed to indicate sharply.
Classification. A survey of modern practice shows little
uniformity in methods of classifying profit and loss state-
ments, particularly in the division of operating expenses.
Some corporations fully departmentalize all the operating
expenses by assigning to departmental accounts all direct de-
partmental charges and then prorating general charges to such
departmental accounts.
Other companies partially departmentalize their expenses,
i.e., make direct charges to departmental accounts, but do not
distribute the indirect charges to those accounts.
Still other companies do not classify their expense accounts
departmentally at all.
The matter of expense classification is of particular impor-
tance to the public accountant's analysis, for when it appears
that the decrease in profits is due to the operating expense
factor, he should make an investigation of the details compos-
ing the operating expense total and endeavor to locate particu-
lar items or departments responsible.
Ch. 15]
PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS
171
Importance of Trends. The principal value of this method
of analysis lies in the bird's-eye view it gives of the trends of
factors influencing net profit.
The same deductions could undoubtedly be drawn from a
careful study of the actual figures themselves, but this is an
operation which requires considerable time. Furthermore,
there is ever present the danger of that detail viewpoint which
someone has described as "not being able to see the forest on
account of the trees."
300
1917 1918 1919 1920
Figure 5. Trend Percentage Chart for the Profit and Loss Statements of
Andrews and Company
Charting Trend Percentages. The trend method of
analysis can very well be charted. The chart in Figure 5 shows
the trend percentages for Andrews and Company.
The chart visualizes only the trends of the three factors of
net sales, cost of goods sold, and expense, and as long as it is
clearly understood that this is a percentage chart and a work-
ing tool of the analyst, and not an attempt to portray actual
figures for the layman, it is invaluable*
172
ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
[Ch. 15
It will be found worth while to compare this chart with
the actual percentage figures themselves given in a previous
table.
In this chart it is the slope of the line which is significant.
For 1919 it will readily be seen that the incline of the
expense line is steeper than the line for sales. This is the
400
1917
Figure 6.
1918
1919
1920
Trend Percentage Chart of Operating Expenses of
Andrews and Company
danger signal, since it shows that the expense has increased at
a faster rate than the sales. The steepness of the slopes on
such a chart show the rate of increase or decrease of the items.
The "operating expense" line should not show a steeper up-
ward slant than the "sales'* line. As a general proposition it
should show much less of a slope either upward or downward.
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 173
Ordinarily it should not be fully responsive to changes in sales
volume because it contains fixed and semi-fixed items. The
expense line slope in 1918 and 1920 probably represents about
a normal rate of increase in operating expense as compared
to the rate of increase in sales.
Also, the line representing the "cost of goods sold" should
seldom show a steeper upward slant than the line for "net
sales/' When this occurs, a dangerous trend is indicated.
For those who desire to study the trend of the expense
percentages in greater detail, the chart shown in Figure 6 has
been prepared. Such a study as this is always valuable when
expense as a factor w r hich seems to be responsible for a poor
profit showing.
Logarithmic Paper. For the benefit of those who have
been accustomed to analyzing profit and loss figures on
logarithmic paper, it might be well to explain that a chart of
trend percentage is equivalent to a chart on logarithmic paper
using the actual figures themselves. This is clearly demon-
strated in Figure 7, where the slopes of corresponding lines on
the two charts are identical.
Logarithmic paper has been popular for years with some
accountants for analyzing profit and loss figures. The only
reason it is not in general use is because of the current mis-
belief that charting on logarithmic paper requires a knowledge
of advanced mathematics. This is not absolutely true.
Logarithmic paper enables anyone to construct a trend
percentage chart without having to figure the percentages, the
ruling of the paper itself being so designed as to give the effect
of a trend percentage chart by posting the actual figures
themselves.
Importance of Charting Trends. While the use of loga-
rithmic paper is much quicker, the actual figuring of percentages
according to the trend method is not a burdensome task,
particularly if a slide rule is used, and the resulting chart is
174
ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
8
8" 8
8
t-i
SJBjjOQ
S
\i
8
8
or)
8 8
s
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 175
clearer because all of the three lines start from exactly the
same point, i.e., 100%. It is, therefore, easier to compare
their slopes.
This charting of the trend percentages is a very important
part of the analysis. It may be done quite roughly and still be
sufficiently accurate.
It is important, particularly from the administrative view-
point, because it shows vividly just when dangerous trends
started which often fixes a basis for investigating conditions
at that time in an attempt to find a remedy.
Variation of Trend Method. The same purpose could be
served by a variation of the trend percentage method which
would consider each year (instead of only the first year) as a
100% basis for figuring the percentages of the year following.
The following calculation illustrates the method :
1917 1918 1919 1920
Actual Sales $140, 161 $194,324 $273 ,040 $286 ,445
1918 sales -r- 1917 sales 100% 139%
1919 sales -* 1918 sales 100% 141%
1920 sales -s- 1919 sales 100% 105%
Actual Cost of Goods Sold $ 108 , 750 $i 53 , 735 $210, 955 $260 , 406
1918 C.G.S. -r 1917 C.G.S 100% 141%
1919 C.G.S. * 1918 C.G.S - 100% 137%
1920 C.G.S. -^ 1919 C.G.S 100% 123%
Actual Operating Expense $ 17 ,055 $ 18 ,959 $ 31 ,927 $ 32 ,640
1918 Exp. -i- 1917 Exp 100% 111%
1919 Exp. -s- 1918 Exp 100% 168%
1920 Exp. -J- 1919 Exp 100% 102%
In shortened form this analysis would appear as follows:
ANDREWS AND COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENTS
Years Ended December 31
(Each year's percentages based on previous year's figures as ioo%.)
1917 1918 1919 1920
Net Sales $140, 161 139% 141% 105%
Cost of Goods Sold 108 ,750 141 137 123
Operating Expense , 17 ,055 n i 168 102
176 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
These figures clearly indicate that the big jump in operating
expense occurred in 1919 and that the increase of 1920 over
1919 was apparently normal. They show that disproportionate
increases in cost of goods sold occurred in 1918 and 1920.
But the graphic chart of the trend percentages shows the
same facts just as vividly and eliminates the need for this
rather complicated calculation, which may be confusing to in-
terpret and very difficult to explain to the non-technical man.
Second Illustrative Case. The following illustration fur-
ther demonstrates the trend method of analysis :
KNIGHT HARDWARE COMPANY
COMPARATIVE TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Years Ended December 31
1920 1921 1922 1923
Net Sales * $53,842 $58,738 $66,059 $42,710
COST OF GOODS SOLD:
Inventory Beginning $15,856 $14,139 $12,347 $16,006
Purchases 40,058 44,155 f 55,272 29 , 947
$55 , 914 $58.294 ' $67,619 $45 , 953
Less Inventory End 14,138 12,346 16,006 13,271
Cost of Goods Sold .
Gross Profit $12,066
GENERAL ADMINISTRATIVE AND
SELLING EXPENSE:
Salaries and Wages
$ 2,441
37
44
9
26
81
10
3
39
147
48
664
907
112
5
494
5
$ 5>i8o
36
283
101
19
97
2
119
343
60
629
1,002
244
2
5
552
3
25
$ 4,447
12
198
94
65
735
85
23
263
456
61
692
1,225
24 I
447
17
$ 3>920
28
16
109
60
246
37
59
3H
, 2 43
89
793
1,094
245
10
3i
12
I 7 8
42
Donations
Advertising
Telephone, Telegraph and Postage.
Printing and Stationery
Insurance
Miscellaneous Expense
Repairs on Stores and Equipment .
Truck and Delivery Expense
Taxes
Light, Heat and Water.
Rent . . . .
Freight and Express
Depreciation ... . ...
Subscriptions and Dues .
Traveling Expense
Bad Debts.
Collection Expense
Legal and Auditing
Loss by Theft
Total
ff 5,153 -
$ 6,QI3
$ 8,702
A, 088
$ 9,071 \
$ S.^TK ;
t 7^526
2 . 5O2
Net Operating Profit
Ch. 15] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 177
OTHER INCOME:
Interest Earned
$ 7
$ 23
Discounts Earned
. . $ 541 $ 522
771:
47 5
Miscellaneous Income
6
Bad Debts Collected
162
OTHER EXPENSE:
Interest Paid .
$ 7,454 $ 4,610
. . . . $ 87 $ 147
$ 6,325
$ 471
$ 3ooo
$ 612
Discounts Lost ,
III
Net Profit
$ 87 _$ UJ
. ... $ 7.^67 & A.&fa
$ 582
$ 612
$ 2.188
KNIGHT HARDWARE COMPANY
SUMMARY COMPARATIVE TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
For Years Ended December 31
1920 1921 1922 1923
Amount % Amount % Amount % Amount %
Net Sales $53.842 100 $58,738 100 $66,059 100 $42,710 100
Cost of Goods Sold 41,776 78 45.948 78 51,613 78 32,682 77
Gross Profit $12,066 22 $12,790 22 $14,446 22 $10,028 23
Operating Expense 5,153 9 8,702 15 9,071 14 7,526 17
Net Operating Profit $ 6,913 13 $ 4,088 7 $ 5,375 8 $ 2,502 6
KNIGHT HARDWARE COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENTS
For Years Ended December 31
(Trend method.)
1921 1922 1923
1920 Percentage Percentage Percentage
Amount of 1920 of 1920 of 1920
Net Sales $53,842 109 122 79
Cost of Goods Sold 41,776 no 124 78
Gross Profit $12 , 066
Operating Expense 5,153 169 176 146
Net Operating Profit $ 6,913
This typifies a common situation where sales keep on in-
creasing over a period of years and then suddenly slump. The
prosperous feeling engendered by increasing sales causes re-
laxation of watchfulness in connection with the expense items,
which often grow out of all proportion to the increase in sales.
When sales decrease, expense is usually difficult to influence
downwards with the result that the profit is greatly reduced.
I7 8 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
Interpretation of Statement This appears to have hap-
pened with the Knight Hardware Company.
The actual cause of the very poor profit situation in 1923
was due in large part to the heavy rise in expense two years
previously. This is clear from an inspection of the chart in
Figure 8. An increase in expense to 169% in 1921 as com-
pared with an increase in sales to only 109% seems out of line
on the face of it.
There was apparently some attempt made at expense reduc-
tion in 1923, but it was not at a rate sufficient to equal the rate
of drop in sales. The trends of sales and cost of goods sold
seem fairly uniform throughout.
The trend method may, in this instance, be applied to some
of the details composing the operating expense.
KNIGHT HARDWARE COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF OPERATING EXPENSE
For Years Ended December 31
1921 1922 1923
1920 Percentage Percentage Percentage
Amount of 1920 of 1920 of 1920
Salaries and Wages $2,441 212 182 161
Rent 664 95 104 1 19
Freight and Express 907 no 135 121
Other Expenses i , 141 166 237 151
Total $5,153 169 176 146
While the chief responsibility for the trend of expense
probably rests on the item of salaries and wages, an upward
tendency is noted throughout the above statement. This is
reflected in the chart shown in Figure 9.
Third Illustration. As a third illustration of the use of
the trend method in profit and loss statement analysis, a sum-
mary statement of the Ames Manufacturing Company is pre-
sented. It will be recalled that the Ames Manufacturing Com-
pany is an actual company, disguised for the purposes of illus-
Ch. 15]
PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS
179
tration by changing the dates of the statements and the
corporate name.
f920 1921 1922 1923
Figure 8. Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Statements of the
Knight Hardware Company
300
Salaries and Wages
Other Expense
1920 1921 1922 1923
Figure 9. Trend Percentage Chart of Operating Expenses of the
Knight Hardware Company
Because this statement is in a highly summarized form it
does not offer the interesting analytical possibilities that the
180 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
other two statements did. Nevertheless, because its balance
sheet was analyzed in Chapters IX and XI, the profit and loss
figures are shown here for completeness.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
For Years Ended January I
1921 1922 1923 1924
Net Sales $52,088 100% 66,383 100% $90,652 100% $96,691 100%
Cost of Goods Sold and
Operating Expense . 42,270 81 SS.ioo 83 78,521 87 84,158 87
Operating Net Profit.. $ 9,818 19% $11.283 J7% $ 12 > JC3J 13% fe,533 13%
For simplicity, non-operating income and expense are not
shown.
Very little can be done toward analyzing the factors in-
fluencing the decreasing ratio of profits to sales because no
division is made between cost of goods sold and operating
expense. The last profit figure shown ($12,533) is 15% of
the net worth at the beginning of the year, which cannot be
regarded as insufficient.
Because of the nature of the statement, application to it of
the trend method can hardly be expected to yield any im-
portant information, but for completeness the trend percent-
ages are shown here.
THE AMES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENTS
For Years Ended January i
(Trend percentage method.)
1922 1923 1924
1921 Percentage Percentage Percentage
Amount of 1921 of 1921 of 1921
Net Sales $52,088 127 174 186
Cost of Goods Sold and Oper-
ating Expense 42,270 130 186 199
Operating Net Profit $ 9,818
The figures as charted in Figure 10 clearly indicate that the
years 1922 and 1923 are primarily responsible for the decreased
Ch. 15]
PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS
181
profit showing, the slopes of the two lines for 1924 being
practically parallel.
Program of Analysis. The general philosophy of profit
and loss analysis coincides with that of balance sheet analysis.
The purpose of the analysis in each instance is twofold:
1. Determine the trends as evidenced by a series of state-
ments.
2. Determine how far the trends have gone by a study of
the most recent statement of the series.
300
200
100
'Costs and Expenses -
Net Sales
Figure 10.
1921 1922 1923 1924
Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Statements of tlie
Ames Manufacturing Company
When possible, the trend study should go into details,
although it should again be noted that details are seldom avail-
able to the prospective or actual investor or the credit man.
The second purpose is served by what is equivalent to a
ratio study of balance sheets, i.e., by determining the percent-
ages of each principal item in the profit and loss statement to
the sales.
182 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 15
The percentage of cost of goods sold to sales, or the "oper-
ating ratio," as it is usually called, is such an important figure
in any profit and loss statement that many analysts would
determine it for each of a series of statements instead of the
most recent one. While this is not necessary if a trend study
is made and properly interpreted, still no erroneous impres-
sions will be formed thereby.
The greatest usefulness of the trend study lies in the light
it throws on the operating expense.
The following minimum analysis procedure is, therefore,
recommended for a series of profit and loss statements of a
trading business :
1. Determine the percentage of net profit for each year to
the net worth at the beginning of the year, or to the
average net worth during the year.
2. Study the operating expense trends in as much detail as
possible in relation to sales trades, and roughly chart
the trend percentages to obtain graphic comparison of
slopes.
3. Study the operating ratios for all statements.
4. Observe the operating ratio and the ratio of operating
expenses to net sales and the ratio of net profit to net
sales for the most recent statement of the series.
5. General scrutiny of statements prior to forming conclu-
sions in order to insure common sense viewpoint.
For a series of manufacturing statements about the same
procedure should be followed except that the trend study
should be extended to include the labor, material and manu-
facturing expense elements of the cost of goods sold. This
will be more fully set forth in the following chapter.
CHAPTER XVI
PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS (Continued)
Manufacturing Statements. The profit and loss state-
ments of manufacturing companies differ to some extent from
those of trading companies.
Whereas the trading company buys the merchandise which
it intends to resell, the manufacturing company produces such
merchandise from various raw materials which it purchases.
This involves a complete realm of activity which is unknown
to the trading company and which introduces new elements
into the analytical procedure.
To illustrate the difference in the form of the statements,
the following may be taken to represent the first section, down
to the gross profit point, of the detailed profit and loss state-
ment of a trading company :
JONES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
For Year Ended December 31, 1920
Net Sales $525,679
Cost of Goods Sold:
Inventory at Beginning of Year $ 77, 107
Purchases 495 635
Total $572,742
Less: Inventory Dec. 31 104,284
Cost of Goods Sold 468,458
Gross Profit g 57, 221
If the title "Cost of Goods Manufactured" should be sub-
stituted in the above statement in place of "Purchases," the
statement would then be turned into a statement for a manu-
facturing business :
183
184 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
JONES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
MANUFACTURING, TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
For Year Ended December 31, 1920
Net Sales $525,679
Cost of Goods Sold:
Inventory at Beginning of Year $ 77 , 107
Cost of Goods Manufactured 495.635
Total $572,742
Less: Inventory Dec. 31 104,284
Cost of Goods Sold 468,458
Gross Profit $ 57,221
But where one item, "Purchases, $495,635," represents
sufficient information on a trading statement, it must be recog-
nized that the manufacturing procedure which results in the
same figure is so important and so complicated that further
detail supporting the corresponding item, "Cost of Goods
Manufactured, $495,635," should be had.
Sometimes this is put in the form of a supplementary ex-
hibit as follows :
JONES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
MANUFACTURING STATEMENT
For Year Ended December 31, 1920
Goods in Process, January i $ 28 , 892
Material Used 418 ,610
Freight and Express 6 , 281
Direct Labor 48,081
Total $501 , 864
Less: Goods in Process Dec. 31 33 , 686
$468,178
Manufacturing Expense 27 , 457
Cost of Goods Manufactured $495 > 635
This exhibit forms the analytical explanation of the single
item, "Cost of Goods Manufactured, $495,635."
While for explanatory purposes the profit and loss state-
ment and the manufacturing statement of the Jones Manufac-
turing Company have been shown separately, it is equally good
practice to combine the two.
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 185
Illustration. The last column of the following compara-
tive manufacturing, trading and profit and loss statement in-
cludes the same figures as those given in the foregoing illus-
tration, except that the figures are exhibited in greater detail
and the operating expenses and other items are shown.
This statement is one of an actual company with the name
and dates changed, but no changes have been made in the
arrangement of the statement.
It appears open to some criticism from the viewpoint of
the best modern practice in the presentation of such statements,
but this is a matter of slight importance from the viewpoint
of the analyst who must usually accept statements as he finds
them.
JONES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE MANUFACTURING, TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss
STATEMENT
Years Ended December 31
Sales
19
$372
17
612
10
$508
18
186
19
$469
19
603
192
$526
0^6
Less: Prepaid Parcel Post
273
310
i
,153
i,
257
MANUFACTURING :
Goods in Process . . ...
$372
$ 33
,339
083
$507
$ 29
,876
907
$468
$ 21
>450
,888
$525 ,
$ 28,
679
R<T>
Material Used
269
656
300
053
283
464
418
6lO
Freight and. Express
5
,464
5
,393
6
,456
6,
?RT
Direct Labor
43
,639
45
,223
38
,798
48,
081
Less: Goods in Process Dec. 31
$351
29
,842
,908
$380
21
,576
,888
$350
28
,606
,892
$501,
33,
864
686
Prime Cost
$ 21
,934
$3*8
,688
$321
,714
$468,
178
MANUFACTURING EXPENSE:
Salaries
$ 10
,299
$ II
,726
f TO
,378
$ II,
895
Light
484
559
349
<VjT
Power
750
I
,034
860
731
Fuel
926
I
,308
860
I,
496
Belting
166
182
25
S7
Needles
281
178
55
40
40
32
IO
T8
Oil
33
16
16
TT
Miscellaneous Supplies
206
540
418
I*? 1 ?
New Parts for Machines
857
680
502
67O
138
230
177
it
266
870
983
555
777
Taxes State County and City
746
I
,392
I
,509
i,
7T
Rent
2
,092
5
,680
$
,680
6,
880
Telephone and Telecraoh
70
&3
68
60
186 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
. . 282
503
342
344
694
640
141
Water .
. . 52
53
66
60
957
769
Miscellaneous
177
141
218
$ 20,172
$ 26,819
$ 22 651
$ 27,457
Cost of Goods Manufactured
$342,106
$385,507
$344 , 365
$495,635
Finished Goods Inventory
50,519
102,623
102,847
77,107
Less: Finished Goods Inventory Dec. 31 ...
$392,625
102,623
$488,130
102,847
$447,212
77,107
$572,742
104,284
Cost of Goods Sold
. . . $290.002
$385.28^
$370,105
$468 , 458
Gross Profit .
. , . . $ 82,337
$122,593
$ 98,345
$ 57,221
OPERATING EXPENSE:
Delivery and Selling Expense:
Salaries
. . . $12, 754
$ 15,079
$ 15,410
$ 15,502
Commissions . . .
13,609
18,645
20,585
20,861
Traveling Expense . . .
, . . 2,688
2,485
2,274
2,068
Drayage and Express Outbound
433
415
498
915
Rent . .
. . . . 5
10
10
10
Depreciation
. . . 160
157
53
52
Light Heat and Water
6
6
6
6
Burlap . . .
I2O
607
30
IO
Cases
... 381
415
300
391
Paper
347
311
417
174
Rope . . ....
51
72
10
Advertising
98
War Tax
. . . . 22
138
139
177
Miscellaneous Expense
3
Total
$ 30,525
$ 38,319
$ 39,797
$ 40,274
Administrative Expense:
Salaries
$ 10,328
$ 11,832
$ 13,278
^ 'I
$15 ,953
Traveling -
184
522
135
85
Legal and Accounting ...
192
281
172
150
Subscriptions and Dues
62
220
173
266
Stationery and Printing . .
. - . 351
415
437
359
Bad Debts
250
114
312
189
Commercial Agencies
290
183
350
290
Collection Expense
J82
54
86
339
Rent
5
10
10
10
Depreciation . . . .
. ... 56
56
66
65
Light, Heat and Water
4
4
4
4
Postage ,
529
605
608
471
Telephone and Telegraph
163
214
212
216
Total
$ 14,510
$ 15,843
$18 ,397
Total Operating Expense . . .
$ 43, 121
$52,829
$ 55 640
$58 671
Net Operating Profit (or Loss *)
, . . . . $ 39,216
$ 69,764
$ 42 , 70S
$ I 450*
OTHER INCOME:
Interest Earned Notes
54
166
2
Interest Earned 'U. S. Bonds
895
I 701
784
Discount Earned
5 787
7 098
8 082
8 226
Collection Bad Debts
I c
2
Rags Sold
2 , 047
1,567
1,182
3,288
$ 47,104
$ 79,490
$ 53,687
$10,850
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 187
OTHER EXPENSE:
Interest Paid $ i , 161 $ 1,175 $ 435 I 381
Interest Paid U. S. Bonds 185
Discount Allowed 2 ,382 3 ,083 3 , 127 3 ,415
Exchange 156 133 6 2
Federal Income and Capital Stock Tax 10,526 44,779 8,654 356
Donations . 16 401 124 49
Loss on Liberty Bonds 2, 743
State Income Tax 4,464 2 ,928 i ,499
$ 18,705 $ 52,499 $ 14.030 $6,946
Net Profit $ 28,399 $ 26,991 $ 39 , 657 $ 3,904
Interpretation of Statement The first analysis of this
statement will follow the procedure already set forth for
trading statements.
JONES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Years Ended December 31
Net Sales
Amc
$372
191?
>unt
,339
,002
100
78
1918
Amount
$507,876
385,283
TOO
76
1919
Amount
$468,450
370,105
100
79
1920
Amount
$525 , 679
468,458
100
89
Cpst of Goods Sold
290
Gross Profit
$ 82
,337
,121
22
12
$122,
$2,
593
829
24
10
$ 98,345
55,640
21
12
$ 57
58
,221
,671
II
ii
Operating Expense
Net Profit (or Loss*) .
43
$ 39
,216
10
$ 69,
764
14
$ 42,705
9
$ I
,450*
_
JONES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF TRADING AND PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Years Ended December 31
(Trend percentage method)
1918 1919 1920
1917 Percentage Percentage Percentage
Amount of 1917 of 1917 of 1917
Net Sales $372,339 *& I26 HI
Cost of Goods Sold 290,002 133 127 161
Gross Profit $ 82,337
Operating Expense 43,121 123 129 136
Net Profit (or Loss*) $ 39,216
The year 1918 made a fairly favorable showing but the
trends in 1919 were bad, as may be seen in Figure n.
Cost of goods sold decreased but net sales themselves de-
creased still more, while operating expense continued its up-
ward climb. The effect of this was felt in 1920 in spite of
r88
ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
[Ch. 16
an increase in sales to a high point of 141%. Cost of goods
sold increased faster, reaching 161%. Expense continued to
increase but not at a rate disproportionate to the slope of the
sales line.
200
1917
1918
1919
1920
Figure II.
Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Statements of the
Jones Manufacturing Company
These conclusions are obvious from the analytical figures
already established. Since further details are available, it
should be possible to trace the difficulties more specifically by
making a trend analysis of some of the items on the manufac-
turing statement and of the operating expenses :
JONES MANUFACTURING COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF MANUFACTURING COSTS AND OPERATING EXPENSE
Years Ended December 31
(Trend percentage method.)
1918
1919
I92O
1917
Items to Be Analyzed Amount
Material Used $269 ,656
Freight and Express 5 ,464
Direct Labor 43 ,639
Manufacturing Expense 20 , 172
Salaries 10 , 299
Fuel 926
Repairs 138
Taxes 746
Rent 2,092
Percentage Percentage Percentage
of 1917
in
99
104
133
114
141
167
187
272
of 1917
105
118
89
112
101
93
128
202
272
of 1917
155*
no
136
162*
917*
230*
Ch. 16]
PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS
189
Operating Expense $ 43 , 121 123 129 136
Delivery and Selling Ex-
pense 30,525 125 130 132
Salaries 12,754 118 121 122
Commission 13,609 137 151 153*
Traveling Expense 2 ,688 92 84 77
Administrative Expense 12,596 115 126 146*
Salaries 10,328 115 129 154*
The survey of this detailed trend analysis points to the
items marked (*) as being the ones that have increased at a
faster rate than sales.
Scrutinizing the amounts on the statement again to deter-
400
300
u 200
&
100
Rent
Freight and Express
Material Used
Commissions and
A dmin istra t he Sa la ries
1917 1918 1919 1920
Figure 12. Trend Percentage Chart of Selected Items of Manufacturing Cost
and Operating Expenses of the Jones Manufacturing Company
mine the relative importance of these various items, it is found
that material used overshadows all of the others.
190 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
As seen in the chart in Figure 12, the trend of the labor
cost appears quite reasonable. The trend of manufacturing
expense in total seems high, although it has not increased at
as fast a rate as sales. Certain of the items in the manufac-
turing expense group, particularly, rent and taxes, are respon-
sible for the trend which would have been much more unfa-
vorable had not the substantial item of salaries been kept down
to a reasonable increase.
The operating expense group shows a more rapid increase
than would appear proper, and yet as a total it does not appear
to have accelerated at a dangerous rate. Acceleration would
have been less rapid had the increase in sales commissions not
been completely out of proportion with the increase in sales.
Also there would have been a better showing had administra-
tive salaries been controlled more carefully.
Using the Trend Analysis. This method of detailed trend
analysis enables one to pick definitely the items which are
responsible for a poor showing. That this can be done prac-
tically at a glance is, of course, a most valuable feature.
The mental process involved in scrutinizing the statement
allows, first, the noting of trend percentages that are out of
line and then mentally evaluating the importance of each factor
by reference to the actual amounts.
Thus an increase in an expense from $i to $5 represents
a trend percentage of 500%, whereas an item increasing from
$10,000 to $12,000 represents a trend increase to only 120%.
And yet one involves an increase of but $4, while the other
increase amounts to $2,000. Merely to consider trend per-
centages alone would lead to absurd conclusions. It is the
combination of the scrutiny of the trend percentages with the
relative importance of the actual items themselves that com-
prises the complete procedure.
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 191
Importance of Expense Trends. In studying the state-
ments of trading organizations it was observed that the great-
est menace to net profit is the inflexible character of certain
of the fixed operating expenses and that it was the normal
tendency for cost of goods sold to keep a fairly uniform rela-
tionship to sales.
In the manufacturing statement there are fixed items to be
found in both the operating expense group and the manu-
facturing expense group. In this type of statement, therefore,
it is important that a special study should be made of both
classes of expenses.
Material and Labor Costs Material costs and labor costs
are usually fairly uniform in their relationship to sales, al-
though the statement of the Jones Manufacturing Company
represents a violent exception.
Usually where the cost of goods sold in a manufacturing
business shows an upward trend as compared to sales, the
trouble can be pretty definitely traced to the manufacturing
expense group. This is because such expenses usually contain
a large proportion of fixed or practically fixed items.
Availability of Detailed Figures, It should, of course, be
understood here, as in previous examples, that it is unusual
for the analyst to find as much detail for his study as is shown
for the Jones Manufacturing Company.
Published statements are usually in summary form and
those furnished to commercial agencies are often in no greater
detail, so that the analyst can usually make no more intensive
study of a manufacturing company's statement than he can
of a trading organization.
However, the public accountant or financial executive does
have access to the detailed figures of his client or employer,
and will often find that valuable information may be gained
from detailed trend studies.
I 9 2 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
Analyzing Non-Trading Companies. The profit and loss
statements of non-trading companies, such as banks, public
utilities, etc., may be analyzed according to the same general
procedure as has already been outlined.
The fact that non-trading organizations use different meth-
ods of grouping items on their profit and loss statements is
a mere detail The analyst who undertakes this task must
keep in mind the two fundamental principles :
1. Trend study.
2. Scrutiny of the composition of the most recent statement.
Public Utility Statement. This is well illustrated by the
following brief analysis of the statement of a large gas
company :
SOUTHERN GAS COMPANY
COMPARATIVE PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Years Ended December 31
1921 1922 1923
Gross Earnings $4.268,335 $5,739.154 $7, 349, 607
Operating Expense and Taxes 3,151,534 4,208,089 5,285,645
Net Earnings $i, 116,801 $1,531,065 $2,063,962
Other Income 38,294 50,336 54,393
Total Net Income $1,155,095 $1,581,401 $2,118,355
Fixed Charges 392,882 534,274 687,155
Balance '. $ 762,213 $1,047,127 $1,431,200
Depreciation 209 , 099 295 , 600 380 , 704
Surplus $ 553 ^H $ 75 1.527 $1,050,496
In the statement of any public utility company, there are
two items of special importance. These are depreciation and
fixed charges.
For this reason they are usually exhibited separately and
not included among operating expenses and taxes.
It is, of course, a commonplace of accounting that depre-
ciation is as much an operating expense as salaries and wages,
and in industrial profit and loss statements it is regarded as
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 193
erroneous not to show depreciation in the operating expense
group.
The fixed charges which represent interest on bonded
indebtedness are ordinarily considered by the accountant to
represent non-operating expenses, or as sometimes called,
financial expense, in industrial statements.
Because these items are important in public utility state-
ments, they are exhibited separately.
Many accountants may take exception to some of the
terminology used. The most glaring misnomer is that of net
earnings which is shown before deducting depreciation and
fixed charges, but it is customary to sanction this usage in
connection with public utility statements. In any event the
form above given is the one substantially adopted and must
therefore be accepted.
The first step in the analysis is a trend study :
SOUTHERN GAS COMPANY
ANALYSIS OF PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENTS
Years Ended December 31
(Trend percentage method.)
1921 1922 1923
1921 % of Percentage Percentage
Amount 1921 of 1921 of 1921
Gross Earnings $4^68,335 100 134 172
Operating Expenses and Taxes ... 3,151,534 100 134 * 168
Net Earnings $i, 116,801
Other Income 38,294 100 131 142
Total Net Income $i , 155 95
Fixed Charges 392,882 100 136 175
Balance $ 762,213
Depreciation 209,099 100 141 182
Surplus I 553 , 114
Interpretation of Statement. With but minor exceptions,
the trends as charted in Figure 13 seem entirely satisfactory
and harmonious one to the other.
194
ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
[Ch. 16
The sales have increased nicely. Operating expenses and
taxes have increased, but not so fast. The fixed charges and
depreciation have increased slightly faster than gross earnings,
but not sufficiently to represent a warning of danger.
200
o
-Depredation \
-Fixed Charges
"*Gross Earnings
^Operating Expense ana Taxes
'-Other Income
1921 1922 1923
Figure 13. Trend Percentage Chart of the Profit and Loss Statements o the
Southern Gas Company
The next step is to scrutinize the latest statement of the
company which may be done by a percentage study of the
1923 statement.
SOUTHERN GAS COMPANY
PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Year Ended December 31, 1923
Gross Earnings $7,349,607
Operating Expenses and Taxes 5 ,285 ,645
100. 0%*
72.0 *
28.0%^
Net Earnings $2,063,962
Other Income 54*393
Total Net Income $2,118, 355
Fixed Charges 687,155 5.8
Balance $i , 431 , 200
Depreciation , 380, 704 1.7
Surplus $1,050,496 14. o
The percentages marked (i) are based on gross earnings
as 100%. The item marked (2) represents -the percentage of
fixed charges to the total amount of notes and bonds as shown
on this company's balance sheet. The item marked (3) rep-
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS
195
resents the percentage obtained by dividing depreciation by
fixed assets as shown by the balance sheet. The item marked
(4) represents the percentage of surplus net earnings to the
sum of gross earnings plus other income ($7,349,607 plus
$54>393> which equals $7,404,000).
Another percentage which should be calculated represents
the percentage which surplus earnings bear to the total net
worth of the company. This percentage is 11% (not shown
above) .
For the benefit of those who wish to make a further study
of these figures, attention is called to the fact that a summary
balance sheet of this company together with statistics, appeared
in Chapter XII.
The operating ratio has already been discussed and is con-
sidered by many analysts as a most important percentage calcu-
lation. This operating ratio can be determined for practically
any kind of a profit and loss statement.
The Margin of Safety. The profit and loss statements of
companies the nature of whose business permits a large bonded
indebtedness, are also subject to a further ratio calculation
which is usually called the "margin of safety/'
This margin of safety attempts to show the relationship be-
tween the fixed interest charges and the income available to
meet such charges. It is a ratio which is universally used in
the Moody Financial Manuals, and investors have learned to
look upon it as a very significant figure.
This percentage is obtained by dividing the total net income
before deducting fixed charges into the balance which is left
after deducting fixed charges. In the Gas Company statement
above this works out as follows: $1,431,200 divided by
$2,118,355 equals 68%.
This ratio is considered of such importance by investment*
authorities that it is usually published in the financial manuals
right along with the profit and" loss statements.
196 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
The bonds of a company showing no great fluctuation in
margin of safety from year to year are a better purchase than
those of a less stable nature.
Where the margin of safety is increasing each year, the
investment appears more attractive than if the margin of safety
stays stationary or decreases.
The margin of safety is a ratio interesting primarily to
bond buyers, and therefore, should be classified as a special
instrument of analysis rather than one of universal application.
Net Profits per Share o Stock. Another ratio popular
with investors is "net profits per share of stock outstanding."
This is obtained by dividing the net profits (less the amount
of preferred dividends) by the number of shares of common
capital stock outstanding at the end of the year. It affords a
good check on the stock market quotations, but as a general
tool of analysis, it possesses little merit.
Efforts at Establishing Standard Ratios. As intimated
in a preceding chapter, considerable effort has been expended in
attempting to work out standard profit and loss statements for
concerns in the same line of business.
The most note-worthy attempts along this line have been
the studies by Harvard University and Northwestern Uni-
versity.
HARVARD BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH. For a num-
ber of years Harvard University, through its Bureau of Busi-
ness Research of the Graduate School of Business Administra-
tion, has been studying the problems of the following:
Retail shoe business
Wholesale shoe business
Department stores
Wholesale groceries
Retail groceries*
Retail hardware business
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 197
Retail jewelers
* Retail drug stores
The Bureau has issued more than 30 bulletins on these lines of
business.
It is probable that the work they have done on profit and
loss statements is far more useful than any which has been
done looking toward standard balance sheet ratios.
The reason lies in the fact that early in their research
program, they recognized the importance of the uniformity
of financial statements. By getting in touch with a large num-
ber of individual firms in each of the above classes, they suc-
ceeded in working out plans of co-operation whereby individual
firms adopted standard accounting and statement procedure
and made periodical reports to the research bureau.
By insuring uniformity of classification at the source of the
figures, the Harvard Bureau avoided a very serious difficulty
in connection with standard ratios.
They also* adopted an educational campaign among their
contributors looking toward better accounting methods, and
they continually fostered this by furnishing their important
reports gratis to contributing members.
It is difficult to tell from their published reports just how
accurately the ratios picture the facts, because while they pub-
lish the number of firms reporting, they give only the modal
averages, or common ratios, for the entire group in each classi-
fication. This gives no indication how closely the individual
ratios cluster to the average, and until that is known, it is
difficult to pass an opinion as to the usefulness of the average
as a guide.
In some instances they do show high and low percentages
in addition to the modal or common average, and these appear
to indicate in many divisions a rather close grouping of the
items.
X g8 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
NORTHWESTERN BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH. The
Bureau of Business Research of Northwestern University, has
been concentrating its attention on three industries : Printing
industry, retail clothiers and retail meat industry.
Two bulletins have been issued on the first, 10 on the
second, and 10 on the third. Reports of this bureau are given
in considerably greater detail than those of the Harvard
Bureau. Their most recent study has to do with retail
clothiers, which gives an analysis for seven years of sales and
expenses of 120 retail clothiers. The bureau took particular
pains to insure that these stores were properly grouped.
In spite of these precautions there were quite noticeable
deviations of individual ratios from the averages.
Since this appears to be quite an important point in judging
the value of such averages as an operating guide, the following
figures are given representing the ratios of operating expense
to sales for the 16 retail clothiers who contributed from towns
having a population of 20,000 to 40,000 people.
For convenience in surveying the figures, fractions of i%
have been eliminated.
RATIOS OF OPERATING EXPENSE TO SALES
As Represented by Northwestern University Bureau of Research
For 16 retail Clothiers in 16 cities between 20,000 and 40,000 population, year 1922.
37% 27% 26% 20%
35% 27% 25% 20%
32% 27% 25% 15%
3i% 26% 24% 14%
The modal average or common percentage for the above
table is close to 25%, but it will be seen that there are quite
wide deviations from this figure. Had the individual per-
centages been more closely grouped about the average, it would
appear that the average would represent a safer guide to any
individual retailer who desired to use it as a standard.
Practicability of Profit and Loss Ratios. There can be
little doubt that the standard ratio is theoretically more feas-
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 199
ible in connection with profit and loss statements than it is with
balance sheets, but there is grave question whether in either
instance the standard ratio is an effective tool of analysis.
As the methods of making such standard ratio studies im-
prove and greater uniformity is obtained in account classifi-
cation and accounting methods, as well as in business policies
and other important factors, it is conceivable that the standard
ratio may become a more practical instrument for management
guidance,
Returned Goods. Before closing the general subject of
profit and loss analysis, there are a few special points that
justify brief consideration.
In any analysis of a trading concern the item of returned
goods represents an important factor.
It is important not only because of its effect on net profit,
but also as an indication of the efficiency of manufacturing
operations and selling. It is felt by many that where the fig-
ures representing volume of returned goods are available, these
figures represent quite a reliable index and that the trend
method of analysis should be applied to them in conjunction
with the trend study of sales.
It is safe to say that any sharp upward trend in returned
goods which is out of harmony with the trend of sales repre-
sents a danger signal. This is a point which is probably of
greater interest to the public accountant or to executives of a
business than it is to investors, credit men or other analysts
who seldom have access to such detail figures.
Trend of Operating Statistics. In Chapter XII it has
already been pointed out that interesting sidelights may be
thrown on the balance sheet by comparing with the balance
sheet trends, the trends of certain operating statistics.
Equal, if not more valuable, information can often be ob-
tained by comparing operating statistics and profit and loss
200
ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
[Ch. 16
figures in the same trend analysis,
following example :
This is illustrated by the
SMITH MINING COMPANY
COMPARATIVE PROFIT AND Loss STATEMENT
Years Ended March 31
(With Trend Percentages.)
1921
1922 1923
%of
%of
%of
Amount
1921
Amount 1921 Amount
1921
Tons of Ore Mined . $ 89 022
100
$ 84 463 95 $ 134 80 I
T si
Ounces Silver Produced . . i , r 50 , 963
100
889,778 77 1,553,652
I3S
Ounces Gold Produced 11,324
100
8,845 78 16,254
144
Sales of Bullion . $1255321
100
$989 4SO 79 $1 874 718
T AQ
Operating Expenses $ 973 310
100
$864 819 89 $i ^95 472
T-J }
Depreciation.. ... 5^ 674
52 898 * 55 721
$ 71,733 $ 523 525
Interest Earned 32 , 279
28,779 21,961
Net Income $ ^61 616
$100 512 -~~ $ 545 4.86
Depletion. ... 197 , 633
roo
187,508 95 299,258
151
Net Profit (or Loss*) . . . . $ 63 , 983
9flA
$ 86,996* $ 246,228
Tons of Ore
Mined
J
:- Salts
4?
"'"Ounces Gold Produced
/yfo
N* * Ounces Silver Produced
o i AH
<p
"'Operating E
xpense
Q
""SJ^^^r^;
/fly
1921 1922 1923
Figure 14. Trend Percentage Chart of Production Statistics and Profit and
Loss Figures of the Smith Mining Company
These trend percentages are shown graphically in Figure
14. The fact that the money value of sales increased at a
faster rate than the actual physical production of metal in
ounces is indicative of a rise in prices.
The discrepancy between the increases in tons of ore mined
Ch. 16] PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS 201
and ounces of metal produced would appear to indicate that
the ore was becoming leaner in metallic content.
The fact that the trend of operating expenses did not in-
crease as fast as the trends of any of the production figures
is favorable in 1923, although less so in 1922.
The item of depreciation is evidently on a fixed basis in
its relation to fixed assets, while depletion is arranged on a per
ton basis.
The analyst should welcome an opportunity to include in a
trend study relevant statistics of this type.
Unsatisfactory Sales Trends It often happens that profit
and loss trends, particularly sales trends, are apparently un-
satisfactory, and the question sometimes arises if such unsatis-
factory trends are the result of poor management or of general
business conditions.
A partial answer to this question can be had if it is remem-
bered that there are quite a number of so-called "business
barometers' 7 with which the sales can be compared. These
business barometers represent fundamental statistics. There
are a great number of different barometers which have been
proposed as being reliable indicators of general business con-
ditions, or of what is technically called the "business cycle."
Such compilations of figures as pig iron prices, bank clear-
ings, interest rates, stock exchange prices, and many others,
are used as business barometers.
Business Forecasting Bureaus* There are also two com-
mercial organizations which conduct business forecasting serv-
ices. These organizations compile fundamental statistics and
then by various means of weighting and combining the sta-
tistics produce figures and charts representing general business
conditions.
These organizations are the Brookmire Service and the
Babson Statistical Organization. In addition there are other
202 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
reliable services conducted by the Harvard Economic Bureau
and a variety of financial institutions.
Trend of Business Conditions. Most of these sources
furnish reliable figures which can be used to interpret sales
trends. This can be done by intelligently selecting a business
barometer.
Then, by applying the trend method both to the barometer
and sales figures, a series of trend percentages will result which
can be compared to each other. If the business barometer was
wisely chosen in the beginning, i.e., if common sense indicates
that its trends should correspond with the sales trends of the
company under analysis, then the unfavorable discrepancies in
the sales trends of that company may be due to misman-
agement.
An example of this method of analysis is submitted here.
The Blank Tire Company is engaged in the manufacture of
rubber tires. A survey of its statements indicates a sharp de-
crease in profits in 1923. A trend study of its sales for three
years appears as follows :
Actual Trend Operating Costs Trend
Year Sales % and Expenses %
1921 $14,690,932 100 $13,562,272 100
1922 20,487,324 139 18,630,128 137
1923 14,013,832 95 15,178,238 112
Figure 15 shows these percentages graphically.
The insufficient profit is clearly caused by the fact that in
1923 the sales volume decreased at a much more rapid rate
than the costs and expenses.
But it is sometimes important to know which was at fault.
The analyst is then often faced with this question. Is this
decrease in sales a reasonable decrease ? Perhaps general busi-
ness conditions were responsible for the drop in sales volume.
This may be important to know, if a cure for the condition
is to be sought.
Ch. 16]
PROFIT AND LOSS ANALYSIS
203
If the sales decrease is normal, then the cure must be found
in the reduction of costs and expenses. If abnormal, the cure
must be looked for elsewhere often in the sales department,
the advertising department or the design of the product, etc.
200
100
Costs and E pmses
1921 1922 1923
Figure 15. Trend Percentage Chart of Profit and Loss Figures of the
Blank Tire Company
Comparison of Trends. The first step, therefore, is to
compare the trend of the sales with the trend of some reliable
business barometer.
Probably the best reflection of general business conditions
is given by the figures for "bank clearings outside of New
York City." These figures are obtainable from a number of
different sources, such as financial periodicals and services.
Year
1921 .
1922.
1923.
Blank Tire Co.
Sales Trend
Percentages
too
140
95
Bank Clearings
Outside New York
Trend Percentages
100
109
13
Both of these sets of percentages are charted in Figure 16.
Since the trend of the bank clearings is consistently up-
ward, it is obvious that the trend of the Blank Tire Company's
sales in 1923 is out of line.
But are there peculiarities about the tire manufacturing
2O4
ANALYZING FINANCIAL [STATEMENTS
[Ch. 16
business as an industry which make it unreasonable to expect
the volume of tires sales to harmonize with the business cycle?
200
100
Bank Clearings Outside New York
Sales -Blank Tire Company
1921 1922 1923
Tr<
New York with Sales of the Blank Tire Company
Figure 16. Trend^Percentage Chart Comparing Bank Clearings Outside
That can be answered by investigating the sales trends of
other tire manufacturers.
SUNDRY TIRE MANUFACTURERS
STATEMENT OP SALES TREND PERCENTAGES
For the Calendar Years
1921 1922 1923
Percentage Percentage Percentage
of 1921 of 1921 of 1921
Blank Tire Company ioo 140 95
B. F. Goodrich Company ioo 108 124
Miller Rubber Company ioo 120 142
United States Rubber Company ioo 102 113
Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company . . ioo 104 108
Firestone Tire and Rubber Company. .. ioo 97 117
General Tire and Rubber Company. . . . ioo 135 149
Since the Blank Tire Company is the only one showing a
decrease in 1923, the previous conclusion is supported.
The chart in Figure 17 shows all of these trend percent-
ages graphically. In studying them it should be borne in mind
that tires are not the only product of some of the companies,
but in most instances are conspicuously the principal product.
Ch. 16]
PROFIT AN-D LOSS ANALYSIS
205
The comparison of sales trends with general business trends
is likely to be most accurate with companies dealing in products
widely used and less accurate with companies whose sales are
restricted to few customers or a limited geographical area.
The resourceful analyst will usually be able to locate some
barometer figures which will be helpful to him when under the
restricted conditions mentioned.
Selection of Barometers. The selection of business bar-
ometers to serve as a guide for such analytical work represents
a difficult task.
200
100
General Tire and Rubber Company
"-Miller Rubber Company
B. F Goodrich Company
-Firestone Tire and Rubber Company
"^-United States Rubber Company
'"-Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company
''"Blank Tire Company
1921 1922 1923
Figure 17. Trend Percentage Chart of Sales of Leading Tire Manufacturers
It is unfortunately true that the trends of all the various
business barometers do not absolutely agree, and this may
throw a certain amount of doubt on their value to the state-
ment analyst Nevertheless, if two or more such barometers
are subjected to a trend analysis and then intelligently com-
pared with the trend of sales of any given company, it is likely
that more light will be thrown on sales fluctuations than if the
trade barometer trends had not been used at all.
In dealing with artificial groups of figures, such as business
barometers, the analyst is required to use special intelligence
and common sense in order to insure fair conclusions. Such
206 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 16
aids represent keen weapons of analysis, but it must be borne
in mind that they are dangerous in the hands of the unskilled.
Internal vs. External Viewpoints. It has been difficult to
discuss profit and loss analysis because of the fact that readers
have two different viewpoints.
There are those who have the inside viewpoint because of
the fact that they are executives of companies who wish to
apply analytical methods to the affairs of their own company,
or they are public accountants who wish to apply these methods
to their client's figures for the purpose of remedying unfavor-
able conditions. Because they have access to the detailed fig-
ures of the company under analysis, they are able to trace
unfavorable trends to the very source.
There is another group whose motive is primarily of credit
granting. Such an analyst investigates financial statements to
determine whether or not credit should be extended. This
may be in the form of temporary credit, such as trade or bank
credit, or it may be in the form of investment, such as is made
by one purchasing stock, bonds or commercial paper.
Thus far in this volume an attempt has been made to keep
the requirements of this latter group of readers foremost in
mind. Their facilities for making a detailed study is limited,
and their analysis procedure with reference to profit and loss
statements is usually confined to simple trend studies and a
general scrutiny of the interrelationship of items on each most
recent statement.
In spite of the fact that an attempt has been made to keep
this viewpoint consistently throughout, there have been nu-
merous instances where a more intensive study has been sug-
gested or illustrated. It should be clearly understood that
where this has been done, it was for the purpose of offering
suggested procedure to analysts of either group who have
access to more detailed data than is usually included in pub-
lished statements.
CHAPTER XVII
USING ANALYSIS METHODS IN REPORTS
The Viewpoint o Some Executives. While many readers
will be interested in analysis methods for their own use, there
are perhaps even more who are interested on behalf of some-
one else.
Thus, the comptroller or auditor of a company is often
required to report verbally or in writing upon the results of
his work. The public accountant invariably must report to his
client. Sometimes the credit man will have to explain his
reasons for rejecting a large order by showing just how he
reached his conclusions.
It is often difficult for the technical man to explain to the
layman just how he forms his conclusions.
In the business world particularly it is observed that some
chief executives, particularly those of the old school, have only
a very rudimentary knowledge of accounting and business
statistics and that they are inclined to be impatient with the
technical aspects of accounting.
It, therefore, becomes the duty of a department head in
such an organization, or the public accountant serving it, to
consider with great care the presentation of reports.
Chief executives, untrained in the uses of accounting, have
often graduated into their positions through the sales depart-
ment or one of the production departments, where they have
been accustomed to thinking synthetically rather than analyti-
cally, and they often take no pains to conceal their contempt
for the "fine spun theories" of an accounting department head
or even of their public accountants.
Referring more particularly to the occasional necessity of
reporting results of statement analysis, it should first of all be
207
208 ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 17
borne in mind that all the various analysis methods the whole
scheme of analysis technique is nothing more or less than a
technical tool. The executive is, and should be, much more
interested in results than he is in the means by which they were
accomplished.
Therefore, whenever possible, the analyst should merely
formulate his conclusions, test them with common sense, and
present them without setting forth the technical methods by
which they were reached.
Rules of Reporting. Unfortunately, it only too often
happens that the results of such an analysis represent con-
clusions which are at variance with the "rule of thumb" opin-
ions of an important 'executive.
The analyst will then be faced with the necessity of defend-
ing his position and he may be forced to answer the question :
Just exactly how did you reach these conclusions ?
There are two fundamental rules to be followed in present-
ing a description of technical methods to a layman, particularly
where he is in a position of real authority:
1. Avoid technical words and phrases.
2. Build up an explanation which will appeal to the common
sense of the layman. It should always be borne in
mind that people have contempt for what they do not
understand.
With certain types of clients or corporate officers nothing
could be more fatal to successfully "selling" an idea than to
clothe it with technical words and phrases.
Very few people like to admit ignorance in any form.
They will, therefore, frequently pretend to understand a techni-
cal explanation, and failing to do so will condemn it as "theo-
retical."
Unquestionably there are many successful business men
who would not understand as simple a technical word as
"ratio."
Ch. 17] USING ANALYSIS METHODS IN REPORTS 209
Any report, therefore, which attempts to explain to any
degree, the methods of financial analysis should be presented
in every-day language, and it is well to make sure that the
methods are so stated as to appeal to the common sense of the
hearer.
Fortunately the more effective methods of statement analy-
sis are not particularly complex.
Thus in presenting a trend analysis of a balance sheet in a
public accountant's report, the following form is recommended :
WIRE AND IRON COMPANY
SUMMARY COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEET
As of December 31
(Together with percentages based upon 1922 figures to
indicate the trends of important items, i.e., the rate
of increase or decrease.)
Assets
1922
%of
Amount 1922
1923
%of
Amount 1922
1924
?
Amount
of
1922
Cash
$ 6
04.0
% 6
.^75
$
05
.
Accounts Receivable (Net).
38,
500
100
41
385
107
43,
92O
114
Quick Assets .
$4.4.,
54-0
IOO
$ 47
,760
107
$ 44,
OI5
99
Inventories
94.
425
IOO
122
,825
130
72,
800
77
Current Assets
$1^8,
965
IOO
$170
,585
123
$116,
815
84
Fixed Assets
"3.
600
100
127
,20O
112
117,
500
103
Total
$252,
565
IOO
$207
,785
118
$234,
^1,5
Q3
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities ........ $ 37,564 100 $ 80,704 215 $104,924 279
Net Worth .............. 215,001 100 217,081 101 129,391 60
Total ................. <352 565 loo $297,785 118 $234,315 93
There are four points in connection with this statement
which deserve brief discussion:
I. It is not presented as a percentage statement, but as a
summary comparative balance sheet, such as is often
used without the trend percentages by public account-
ants in the early pages of their reports. While the
real purpose of the above statement is to show the
2io ANALYZING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS [Ch. 17
trends, the method of presentation intentionally covers
this purpose.
2. The explanation of the percentages as given in the main
heading is an important part of the exhibit.
3. The headings of the percentage columns are also im-
portant.
4. Both the amounts and trend percentages should always
be shown together. Trend percentages should never
be exhibited separately from the amounts, in a report,
since a percentage statement alone is often confusing
to the layman.
Substitutes for Technical Words. The phrases "faster
rate" and "slower rate" may be used in discussing such a
statement, thus : "It would seem apparent from the above per-
centages that current liabilities are increasing at a faster rate,
.while net worth is rapidly decreasing. This is a dangerous
tendency because "
The words "tendency" and "trend" are not technical words
and are usually perfectly intelligible to the layman.
The word "ratio" is one which should practically never be
used in a verbal or written report. To the layman it represents
something complicated and mathematical. Because he was
taught ratio and proportion about the same time that he studied
cube root and logarithms, he is inclined to think that the word
"ratio" involves "impractical mathematics," instead of "good
business arithmetic."
It is sometimes a little awkward to dispense with the word
"ratio," since it involves a more roundabout phraseology.
Probably the best way to avoid the difficulty is always to dis-
cuss ratios in terms of "dollars per dollar," thus: "In 1921
your company had $2.59 current assets for every dollar of cur-
rent liabilities, in 1922 there were $4.86 current assets for
every dollar of current liabilities, while in 1923 there was a
drop, with only $2.50 current assets for every dollar of current
liabilities."
Ch. 17] USING ANALYSIS METHODS IN REPORTS 211
Figuring Percentages It is usually, unwise to figure per-
centages too closely.
It is the tendency of accountants to strive for accuracy be-
cause the nature of double entry bookkeeping makes absolute
accuracy essential. But percentage calculations used in state-
ment analysis need never be figured to a fine point. It is
strongly recommended that no fraction of a percentage be
shown in any report analyzing financial statements.
The Three Year Analysis. Finally it appears that there
are two good reasons why a statement analysis by the trend
method in a report should not cover more than three years :
1. Since it is essential that both amounts and percentages
be shown for each year, it would be difficult to put a
larger statement on standard 8^2 x 11 paper.
2. Great masses of figures confuse the lay mind. When a
statement contains more than six columns (three
amount columns and three percentage columns), it is
too large to be easily grasped and the significance of
trends may be lost.
Reports in Summary Form. It is a commonplace experi-
ence of accountants that reports over which they have labored
long and carefully are often never read. They are put aside
for later attention which they never receive.
Figures may tell a vital story about profits, but the lay mind
rejects great compilations of figures and excuses itself on the
ground "that they probably don't mean anything anyway/'
If they were simply presented in summary form with the im-
portant elements properly emphasized, they would receive re-
spectful attention.
This is a general observation applicable to all reports which
deal with figures, and of course, is equally applicable to that
portion of such reports which have to do with this particular
subject of analysis.
CHAPTER XVIII
RESTATEMENT OF FUNDAMENTALS OF
ANALYSIS
Restatement of Fundamentals. This volume has at-
tempted to set forth all the commonly recognized methods of
analyzing financial statements and has also embodied some pro-
cedure which is in advance of general current practice.
Of the various methods proposed, some are good and some
are bad ; some are effective and some are cumbersome.
Therefore, in order to clarify the entire subject, it seems
desirable to restate a few fundamentals:
1. Balance sheets and profit and loss statements available to
the analyst are usually not subject to verification, and
therefore, must be assumed to be truthful and accurate.
2. A frequent purpose of statement analysis is to determine
the desirability or undesirability of extending credit
in some form or other, i.e., trade credit, bank credit, or
investment. If this is the analyst's purpose, it should
be constantly borne in mind by him. It would be
absurd to spend time analyzing financial statements of
the United States Steel Corporation before deciding as
to the wisdom of extending it $100 credit. It would be
equally absurd for the banker to spend time analyzing
the financial statements of a corner grocer who is
requesting a million-dollar loan. It is usually only in
the "border line" cases that analysis procedure need
be employed to its full extent.
3. The purpose of statement analysis is to determine :
a. Trends.
b. Present condition for the purpose of proving or dis-
proving symptoms of each of the five following
common business ailments :
212
Ch. 18] FUNDAMENTALS OF ANALYSIS 213
(1) Insufficient profit
(2) Over-investment in receivables.
(3) Over-investment in inventories.
(4) Over-investment in plant.
(5) Insufficient capital.
4. Since conclusions reached through statement analysis
usually influence important decisions, involving sub-
stantial amounts of money, it is vitally essential that
the conclusions be carefully examined in the light of
common sense.
Use o Analysis Methods by Executives and Public Ac-
countants. While this volume has been primarily written for
the man who has no access to information supplementing the
balance sheet and the profit and loss statement, nevertheless
the methods proposed are equally useful to corporate executives
or public accountants :
1. For the purpose of giving a bird's-eye view and forming
tentative conclusions and for pointing out symptoms
to be more thoroughly investigated.
2. For analyzing exhibits, schedules and statements sub-
sidiary to the balance sheets or profit and loss state-
ments.
While but little emphasis has been placed upon special tech-
nique required in unusual cases or applicable to special forms
of enterprises, it should nevertheless not be overlooked that
each type of business has its own peculiarities. The analyst
will not be able to adopt a rigid, standardized form of tech-
nique, but will sometimes find it necessary to vary his proced-
ure to fit the requirements of unusual situations.
INDEX
Ability,
financial condition as reflection of,
56
Account Names,
interpretation of, 76
Accounting,
double entry records, 4
origin of, 3
standard classification, 143
Analysis,
balance sheet, 159
annual sales, 39
checking list, 152
classes of, 28
conclusions as to technique,
150-153
defined, 27
discussion of programs, 152
history of, 31
methods of, 29
of bankrupts, 101
origin of, 27
ratio-method of historical, 74-95
ratios, (See "Ratios")
scaling of assets, 35
single, 15, 31-44
single, comparison of current as-
sets and liabilities, 34
summary of analysis, methods,
150
trend method, 110-132
"2 to i" rule, 34
common sense applied to, 112
comparative balance sheet, 45-53
(For detailed index see under
"Balance Sheet, Comparative")
Analysis (Continued)
comparison of ratio and trend
methods, 121
current assets, 20
fundamentals of, 212
historical, significance of, 74
manufacturing statements, 183
illustration, 185
interpretation, 187
trend percentage method, 187
Chart, 188
use of trend, 190
Chart, 189
methods,
as tools, 131
combination of, 132
non-trading companies' statements,
192
percentage method, (See be-
low under "Analysis, Trend
Method")
profit and loss statement, 154-206
cause of insufficient profit, 161
changing conditions in relation
to, 154
expense, 161
illustrative figures, 157
location of losses, 161
need for method of, 155
operating expense detail, 169
profits, 159
program of, 181
purpose of, 155
returned goods, 199
standard ratios, 165
trading vs. manufacturing, 163
215
2l6
INDEX
Analysis ( Continued)
profit and loss statement
(Continued)
trend percentage method, 168,
171, 173, 175, 176, 17^, 194,
202
Charts, 171, 172, 179, 181, 194,
203, 205
usual percentage, 163
public utility statement, 192
purpose of, 54
special business problems, by trend
method, 128
statement,
approach to, 27-30
field of, 3-13
necessity for, 9
purpose of, 10
trend method, 112
illustration of, 112
interpretation of, 115
simplicity of, 121
trends only shown by, 129
trend of sales volumes, 128
use of methods by executives and
public accountants, 213
use of methods in reports, 207-211
usefulness of both ratio and trend
method, 130
Application of Funds Statement, 50
Assets,
arrangement of on balance sheet,
18
classification of, 14
comparison of as regards credit
risk, 21
comparison of quick with working,
34
current,
analysis, 20
comparison with current lia-
bilities, 34 ~~
defined, 19
ratio to current liabilities, 83
Assets (Continued)
fixed,
on balance sheet, 21
over-investment in, 91
ratio of net worth to, 70, 84
ratio of sales to, 70, 84
intangible,
deduction from surplus, 26
defined, 22
value of, 23
marking down on balance sheet,
36
quick,
comparison with current lia-
bilities, 35
defined, 21
ratio to current liabilities, 82
scaling of, 35
sources of, 15
working, defined, 21
B
Balance Sheet, 14-26
account names, interpretation of,
76
analyses of, 159
annual sales, 39
checking list, 152
classes of, 28
comparison of ratio and trend
methods, 121
conclusions as to technique, 150
defined, 27
historical ratio methods, 74-95
history of, 31
methods of, 29
origin of, 27
quick assets compared with
working, 34
ratios, 34
scaling of assets, 35
summary of methods, 150
theory of, no
INDEX
217
Balance Sheet (Continued)
analyses of (Continued)
trend method, (See below under
"Trend Method")
two or more, 151
"2 to i" rule, 34
working sheet for, 76
analysis of single, 31-44, 151
comparison of current assets and
liabilities, 34
arrangement, 26
assets,
arrangement of, 18
classification of, 14
current, 19
deferred charges, 22
intangible, 22
marking down of, 36
prepaid expense, 22
scaling of, 35
sources of, 15
classification, optional, 75
comparative,
amounts, 48
analysis, 45-53
application of funds, 49
increase and decrease method of
analysis, 52
interpretation of, 52
percentage analysis of, 51
ratios, 47
trends shown by historical com-
parison, 46
use of comparative figures, 45
complete, 16
danger signals in, 42
described, 4
equation, 14
fixed assets, 21
form of, 17
inclusions in, 6
items, grouping of, 6
liabilities,
classification of, 15
grouping of, 24
Balance Sheet (Continued)
liabilities ( Continued)
long-time vs. current, 23
types of, 23
vs. net worth, 17
net worth,
classification of, 16
inclusions in, 26
vs. liabilities, 17
of bankrupts, analysis of, 101
ratios, (See "Ratios")
relation to financial statement, 8
solvency, indication of, on, 32
trend method, of analysis, 110-132
advantages of, 123
flexibility of, 124
for operating statistics, 126
illustration of, 116
interpretation of, 115
simplicity of, 121
uniformity of, 75
"window dressing," 43
Bankruptcy,
balance sheets of, analysis of, 101
statistics, 54, 143
Bookkeeping, 4 (See "Accounting")
Business,
ailments,
classification of, 56, 63
common sense analysis, 97
comparative seriousness of, 96-
109
diagnosis of, 54, 96
gauges of, 64
insufficient capitalization, 60, 71,
93, ioo
miscellaneous, 61
over-investment in fixed assets,
9i
over-investment in inventory, 57,
65, 86, 98
over-investment in plant, 59, 69,
99
over-investment in receivables,
58, 68, 89, 98
218
INDEX
Business ( Continued)
ailments ( Continued)
ratios for diagnoses of, 67
specific, 54-62
statements reflecting, 57
average life of, 143
barometers, selection of, 205
condition of, trends vs., 130
conditions, trend of, 202
danger point in, 133
history of, 3
language of, 3
problems, special, trend method for
analysis of, 128
risks, measurement of, 97
size of, influence on standard
ratios, 143
Business Forecasting Bureaus, 201
C. P. A. Certification,
of financial statements, n
Capital Stock, Inclusions in, 26
Capitalization, Insufficient, 60, 71, 93,
100
Certification,
of financial statements, n
qualified, 12
Charges, Deferred, Defined, 22
Comparative Balance Sheet, (See
"Balance Sheet, Comparative' 1 )
Comparison, Methods of, 45
Comptroller,
value of standard ratios for, 146
Copyrights, On Balance Sheet, 22
Costs,
material and labor on manufactur-
ing statement, 191
Credit,
factors, 12
geographical location, effect of, on,
59
over-extension of, 58
Credit (Continued)
risk, comparison of assets in re-
gard to, 21
risk, comparison of liabilities as
regards, 24
short-time, dangers of, 61
Current Assets,
analysis, 20
comparison with current liabilities,
34
defined, 19
Current Liabilities,
comparison with current assets, 34
long time vs., 23
D
Debts, Ability to Pay, 33
Deferred Charges, Defined, 2J
Double Entry Bookkeeping, 4
E
Executive,
interest of balance sheet for, 28
use of analysis methods by, 213
Expense,
analysis of, 161
importance of trends, 191
operating,
analysis of, 169
danger in, 163
prepaid, defined, 22
Failures (See "Bankruptcy")
Financial Condition,
ability as reflected by, 56
Financial Statements (See also
"Balance Sheet," "Profit and
Loss Statement")
analysis,
approach to, 27-30
field of, 3-13
necessity for, 9
purpose of, 10
INDEX
219
Financial Statements ( Continued)
as goal of double entry account-
ing, 4
business ailments reflected m, 57
certification, qualified, 12
C. P. A. certification of, n
frequency of, 8
safeguards against misrepresenta-
tion, ii
untrue, 10
Fixed Assets, (See "Assets, Fixed")
Fixed Liabilities (See "Long Time
Liabilities")
Forecasting, Bureaus, 201
Franchises, on Balance Sheet, 22
Funded Liabilities (See "Long Time
Liabilities")
Funds (See also "Assets")
application of, 49
Goodwill,
on balance sheet, 22
H
Harvard Bureau of Research,
studies by, 196
Income Account (See "Profit and
Loss Statement")
Income Statement (See "Profit and
Loss Statement")
Intangible Assets,
deduction from surplus, 26
defined, 22
value of, 23
Inventory,
average vs. actual, 66
comparison net current items, 67
over-investment in, 57, 65, 86, 98
ratio to sales, 41, 65, 83
valuation, 37
Investor,
interest of balance sheet analysis
for, 28
Liabilities,
classification of, 15, 61
comparison of, as regards credit
risk, 24
current,
comparison with current assets,
34
comparison with quick assets, 35
ratio to current assets, 83
ratio to quick assets, 82
grouping on balance sheet, 24
long time vs. current, 23
net worth vs., 17
ratio of net worth to, 71, 84
types of, 23
Logarithmic Paper,
use of for charting trend percent-
ages, 173
Long Time Liabilities, Current vs.,
23
Loss and Gain Statement (See
"Profit and Loss Statement")
Losses, Location of, 161
M
Manufacturing Policies,
effect on ratios, 78
Manufacturing Statements,
analysis, 183
illustration, 185
interpretation, 187
trend percentage method, 187,
190
Chart, 1 88, 189
availability of detailed figures, 191
expense trends, 191
material and labor costs, 191
22O
INDEX
Merchandise Turnover (See "Turn-
over")
Mode, Definition, 139
N
Net Worth,
capital stock, 26
classification of, 16
inclusions in, 26
liabilities vs., 17
ratio to fixed assets, 70, 84
ratio to liabilities, 71, 84
ratio to sales, 71, 83
surplus, 26
Non-Trading Companies Statements,
analysis of, 192
Northwestern Bureau of Business
Research,
studies by, 198
Operating Statistics,
comparison with profit and loss
figures, 199
Chart, 200
use of trend method for, 126
Over-investment,
in fixed assets, 91
in inventory, 57, 65, 86, 98
in plant, 59, 69, 99
in receivables, 58, 68, 89, 98
Patents, on Balance Sheet, 22
Permanent Liabilities (See "Long
Time Liabilities")
Plant, Over-investment in, 59, 69, 99
Prepaid Expenses, Defined, 22
Production,
mixed, effect on ratio of sales to
fixed assets, 85
Profit and Loss Statement (See also
"Manufacturing Statement")
analysis, 154-206
cause of insufficient profit, 161
changing conditions in relation
to, 154
expense, 161
illustrative figures, 157
internal vs. external viewpoint,
206
location of losses, 161
need for method of, 155
operating expense detail, 169
profits, 159
program of, 181
purpose of, 155
standard ratios, 165
trading vs. manufacturing, 163
trend method, (See below under
"Trend Method of Analysis")
usual percentage, 163
classification, 156, 170
described, 5
inclusions in, 7
interpretation of, 170, 178
items, grouping of, on, 7
margin of safety, 195
nature of, 6
operating statistics compared with,
199
Chart, 200
ratios, (See "Ratios, Profit and
Loss Statement")
relation to balance sheet, 8
returned goods, 199
sales trends, unsatisfactory, 201
trend method of analysis, 168, 171,
172, 179, 181, 194, 202
Charts, 171, 172, I79> 181, 194,
203, 205
illustration of, 176, 178
importance of charting trends,
171, 173
variations in, 175
INDEX
221
Price Index,
adjustment of sales by, 85
Public Accountant,
interest of balance sheet for, 29
use of analysis methods by, 213
value of standard ratios for, 145
Public Utility Statements,
analysis of, 192
interpretation of, 193
Quick Assets Defined, 21
Ratios,
"acid test," 35
adjusted, 102
artificiality of, 112
assets,
current to current liabilities, 83
quick to current liabilities, 82
balance sheet, 34, 63-73
development of, in
comparative balance sheet, 47
current assets to current liabilities,
34
effect of kind of business on, 77
effect of sales policies on, 78
for diagnosis of business ail-
ments, 67
historical analysis of balance sheet
by, 74-95
important, 43
intelligent use of, 73
interpretation of, 44, 92, 94
manufacturing policies, effect on,
78
net profit per share of stock, 196
net worth to fixed assets, 70, 84
net worth to liabilities, 71, 84
objections to analysis by, in
Ratios ( Continued )
profit and loss,
averaging-, 166
net profit per share of stock, 196
practicability of, 198
quick assets to current liabilities,
35
receivables to sales, 40
reduction of, to common base 87
reliability of, 112
sales to fixed assets, 70, 84
effect of mixed production, 85
sales to inventory, 41, 83
sales to net worth, 71, 83
sales to receivables, 69, 83
significance of, 107
standard, 74, 133-149
comparison of, 135
construction of, 135
deviations from, 136
elements of value in, 145
group location of mode, 140
history of, 133
ideal vs., 148
importance of recent figures, 144
influence of size of business on,
143
mode, 139
objection to, 142
profit and loss, 165, 196
securing of better averages, 138
standard accounting classifica-
tion necessary for, 143
substitute for arithmetic aver-
age, 138
summary of important factors,
147
uniformity of policies necessary
for, 144
value of averages, 137
use of, illustration of, 81
use of several, 72
value of, 94
warning given by, 72
222
INDEX
Receivables,
over-investment in, 58, 68, 89, 98
ratio to sales, 40, 69, 83
Reports,
figuring percentages, 21
rules for reporting, 208
substitutes for technical words, 210
summary form of, 211
three year analysis, 211
use of analysis methods in, 207-211
Reserve Account (See "Valuation
Account")
Returned Goods,
as factor of profit and loss
analysis, 199
Sales,
adjustment by price index, 85
annual, balance sheet analysis of,
39
policies, effect on ratios, 78
ratio to fixed assets, 70, 84
ratio to inventory, 41, 83
ratio to net worth, 71, 83
ratio to receivables, 40, 69, 83
relation to inventory, 65
unsatisfactory trends, 201
volume of, trend of, 128
Selling, Importance of, 20
Slide Rule, Use of, 76
Solvency,
balance sheet figures showing, 32
Statement of Assets and Liabilities
(See "Balance Sheet")
Statement of Resources and Lia-
bilities (See "Balance Sheet")
Statements (See "Financial State-
ments")
Surplus,
deduction of intangible assets from,
26
inclusions in, 26
permanency of, 33
Trading and Profit and Loss State-
ment (See "Profit and Loss
Statement")
Trend Study (See "Analysis")
Turnover, ascertainment of, 41
substitute for, 41
Valuation,
assets, 36
inventories, 37
Valuation Account,
adjustment of inventories by, 37
Value,
intangible assets, 23
W
"Window Dressing,"
of balance sheet, 43
Working Assets,
defined, 21
Working Sheet,
for analysis of balance sheets, 76
34277