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BOSTON 
PUBLIC 
LIBRARY 


Department 
of  State 


W    of  State  ~1W  ~iW  j    & 

bulletin 


Oviobvr  1978 


ie  Official  Monthly  Record  of  United  States  Foreign  Policy  /  Volume  78  /  Number  2019 


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nppartmvnt  of  State 

bulletin 

Volume  78  /  Number  2019  /  October  1978 


Cover  Photo: 

President  Sadat 
President  Carter 
Prime  Minister  Begin 


The  Department  of  State  Bulletin, 
published  by  the  Office  of  Public  Com- 
munication in  the  Bureau  of  Public 
Affairs,  is  the  official  record  of  U.S. 
foreign  policy.  Its  purpose  is  to  provide 
the  public,  the  Congress,  and  govern- 
ment agencies  with  information  on 
developments  in  U.S.  foreign  relations 
and  the  work  of  the  Department  of 
State  and  the  Foreign  Service. 

The  Bulletin's  contents  include 
major  addresses  and  news  conferences 
of  the  President  and  the  Secretary  of 
State;  statements  made  before  congres- 
sional committees  by  the  Secretary 
and  other  senior  State  Department  of- 
ficials; special  features  and  articles  on 
international  affairs;  selected  press  re- 
leases issued  by  the  White  House,  the 
Department,  and  the  U.S.  Mission  to 
the  United  Nations;  and  treaties  and 
other  agreements  to  which  the  United 
States  is  or  may  become  a  party. 

The  Secretary  of  State  has  deter- 
mined that  the  publication  of  this  peri- 
odical is  necessary  in  the  transaction  of 
the  public  business  required  by  law  of 
this  Department.  Use  of  funds  for 
printing  this  periodical  has  been  ap- 
proved by  the  Director  of  the  Office 
of  Management  and  Budget  through 
January  31,  1981. 

NOTE:  Contents  of  this  publication 
are  not  copyrighted  and  items  con- 
tained herein  may  be  reprinted.  Cita- 
tion of  the  Department  oe  State 
Bulletin  as  the  source  will  be  appre- 
ciated. The  Bulletin  is  indexed  in  the 
Readers'  Guide  to  Periodical  Litera- 
ture. 

For  sale  by  the  Superintendent  of 
Documents,  U.S.  Government  Print- 
ing Office,  Washington,  D.C.  20402 

Price: 

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CYRUS  R    VANCE 
Secretary  of  State 

HODDING  CARTER  III 

Assistant  Secretary  for  Public  Affai 

JOHN  CLARK  KIMBALL 

Consulting  Editor 

PHYLLIS  A   YOUNG 

Editor 

COLLEEN  SUSSMAN 

Assistant  Editor 


CONTENTS 


A  FRAMEWORK  FOR  MIDDLE  EAST  PEACE 

President  Carter's  Address  to  the  Congress 

Remarks  by  President  Carter,   Viee  President  Mandate,  President  Sadat,  and  Prime 

Minister  Begin 
Joint  Statement 
Texts  of  Documents  and  Accompanying  Letters 


THE  PRESIDENT 

12      News  Conference  of  August  17 

AFRICA 

15  Peaceful  Solutions  to  Conflicts  in 
Namibia  and  Southern  Rhodesia 
f  Warren  Christopher) 

ARMS  CONTROL 

17  SALT  II— The  Home  Stretch  (Paul  C. 
Warnke) 

24  U.S.  and  Soviet  Strategic  Capability 
Through  the  Mid- 1 980 's  (ACDA 
Report) 

ECONOMICS 

26  Prospects  for  International  Action  on 
Natural  Rubber  (Julius  L.  Katz) 

28  GPO  Sales  Publications 

EUROPE 

29  The    Potential    of    the    Helsinki 

Dialogue  (Matthew  Nimetz) 
34      Most-Favored-Nation  Tariff  Status  for 
Hungary  and  Romania  (George  S. 
Vest) 

NARCOTICS 

37  Narcotics  Control  Efforts  in  Central 
America  and  the  Caribbean  (Joseph 
Linneman) 


NUCLEAR  POLICY 

38  Balancing  Nonproliferation  and 
Energy  Security  (Joseph  S.  Nve, 
Jr.) 

PACIFIC 

43  U.S.  Relations  With  the  Pacific  Is- 
lands (Richard  C.  Holbrooke) 

POPULATION 

45       World    Population:    The    Silent 
Explosion  —  Part     1     (Marshall 
Green,  Robert  A.  Fearer.  Lydia  K 
Giffler) 

SCIENCE  AND  TECHNOLOGY 

54  Science  and  Technology — Their  In- 
teraction With  Foreign  Policy 
(Lucy  Wilson  Benson) 

UNITED  NATIONS 

56  The  Role  of  ECOSOC  in  International 
Economic    Dialogue    (Andrew 

Young) 

TREATIES 

60      Current  Actions 

62     PRESS  RELEASES 
INDEX 


Boston  Publi:  Library 
Superintendent  of  Documents 

OCT  o  1  1973 


DEPOSITORY 


Clockwise  from  top: 

President  Curler  holds  a  pi e  summit  foreign  policy  luncheon  with  (from  left  to 

right)  Secretary  Vance,  Viee  President  Mondale,  Secretary  Brown.  Presidential 

aide  Jordan,  U.S.  Ambassador  to  Egypt  tilts,  and  U.S.  Ambassador  to  Israel 

Lewis  ( National  Set  urity  Adviser  Brzezinski  is  seated  between  Mr    Jordan  and 

Mr.  Eilts.). 

President  Carter  and  Israeli  Defense  Minister  Weizman. 

Secretary  Vance  and  National  Security  Adviser  Brzezinski 

Prime  Minister  Begin  and  President  Sadat  (in  the  bah  om  on  the  right)  receive  a 

standing  ovation  during  the  President's   address   to  the  joint   session  oj  the 

Congress. 

President  Carter  and  President  Sadat . 


A  FRAMEWORK  FOR  MIDDLE  EAST  PEACE 


In  August  8.    1978,   President  Carter  announced  that  Egyptian  President 
\ar  al-Sadat  and  Israeli  Prime  Minister  Menahem  Begin  had  accepted  an 
tation  to  meet  at  Camp  David,  Maryland,  to  seek  a  framework  for  peace  in 
I  Middle  East.  The  meetings  were  held  September  5-17. 

following  are  President  Carter's  address  before  a  joint  session  of  the  Con- 
Uss.  his  remarks  upon  departing  for  Camp  David,  the  exchange  of  remarks 
wteen  Vice  President  Mondale  and  President  Sadat  and  Prime  Minister  Begin 
j'fl  the  latters'  separate  arrivals  at  Andrews  Air  Force  Base,  a  joint  statement, 
I  remarks  by  the  three  leaders  at  the  ceremony  when  they  signed  the  two 
%uments,  and  the  texts  of  those  documents  and  accompanying  letters. 


RESIDENT'S  ADDRESS 
IFORE  THE  CONGRESS, 
}PT.  18' 

/ice  President  Mondale.  Speaker 
Weill,  distinguished  Members  of  the 
I  ted  States  Congress.  Justices  of  the 
fireme   Court,   other   leaders   of  our 
jat  nation,  ladies  and  gentlemen:  It's 
\n  more  than  2,000  years  since  there 
|;  peace  between  Egypt  and  a  free 
I  ish  nation.  If  our  present  expecta- 
i  is  are  realized,  this  year  we  shall 
I  such  peace  again. 
!  "he  first  thing  I  would  like  to  do  is 
tgive   tribute   to   the   two   men   who 
lie  this  impossible  dream  now  be- 
lie a  real  possibility — the  two  great 
Hers  with  whom  I  have  met  for  the 
I    2   weeks   at  Camp   David — first, 
Ssident   Anwar  Sadat   of  Egypt   and 
I  other,  of  course,  is  Prime  Minister 
il  nahem   Begin   of  the   nation   of 
lei. 
know  that  all  of  you  would  agree 
t  these  are  two  men  of  great  per- 
al  courage,  representing  nations  of 
>ples  who  are  deeply  grateful  to 
m  for  the  achievement  which  they 
7e  realized.   And  I  am  personally 
jteful  to  them  for  what  they  have 
lie. 

1  \t  Camp  David  we  sought  a  peace 
It  is  not  only  of  vital  importance  to 
|ir  own  two  nations  but  to  all  the 
|>ple  of  the  Middle  East,  to  all  the 
J>ple  of  the  United  States,  and,  in- 
l:d,  to  all  the  world  as  well, 
rhe  world  prayed  for  the  success  of 
I"  efforts,  and  I  am  glad  to  announce 
t  you  that  these  prayers  have  been 
iiwered. 

I've  come  to  discuss  with  you  to- 
>;ht  what  these  two  leaders  have  ac- 
mplished,  and  what  this  means  to  all 
us. 

The  United  States  has  had  no  choice 
Jt  to  be  deeply  concerned  about  the 
Sddle  East  and  to  try  to  use  our  influ- 
ce  and  our  efforts   to  advance   the 


cause  of  peace.  For  the  last  30  years, 
through  four  wars,  the  people  of  this 
troubled  region  have  paid  a  terrible 
price  in  suffering  and  division  and 
hatred  and  bloodshed.  No  two  nations 
have  suffered  more  than  Egypt  and  Is- 
rael. But  the  dangers  and  the  costs  of 
conflicts  in  this  region  for  our  own 
nation  have  been  great  as  well.  We 
have  longstanding  friendships  among 
the  nations  there  and  the  peoples  of  the 
region,  and  we  have  profound  moral 
commitments  which  are  deeply  rooted 
in  our  values  as  a  people. 

The  strategic  location  of  these  coun- 
tries and  the  resources  that  they  possess 
mean  that  events  in  the  Middle  East 
directly  affect  people  everywhere.  We 
and  our  friends  could  not  be  indifferent 
if  a  hostile  power  were  to  establish 
domination  there.  In  few  areas  of  the 
world  is  there  a  greater  risk  that  a  local 
conflict  could  spread  among  other  na- 
tions adjacent  to  them  and  then  perhaps 


erupt  into  a  tragic  confrontation  be- 
tween us  superpowers  ourselves. 

Our  people  have  come  to  understand 
that  unfamiliar  names  —  like  Sinai, 
Aqaba,  Sharm  el  Sheikh.  Ras  en  Naqb. 
Gaza,  the  West  Bank  of  Jordan — can 
have  a  direct  and  immediate  bearing  on 
our  own  well-being  as  a  nation  and  our 
hope  for  a  peaceful  world. 

That  is  why  we  in  the  United  States 
cannot  afford  to  be  idle  bystanders  and 
why  we  have  been  full  partners  in  the 
search  for  peace  and  why  it  is  so  vital 
to  our  nation  that  these  meetings  at 
Camp  David  have  been  a  success. 

Through  the  long  years  of  conflict, 
four  main  issues  have  divided  the  par- 
ties involved. 

•  One  is  the  nature  of  peace  — 
whether  peace  will  simply  mean  that 
the  guns  are  silenced,  that  the  bombs 
no  longer  fall,  that  the  tanks  cease  to 
roll,  or  whether  it  will  mean  that  the 
nations  of  the  Middle  East  can  deal 
with  each  other  as  neighbors  and  as 
equals  and  as  friends,  with  a  full  range 
of  diplomatic  and  cultural  and  eco- 
nomic and  human  relations  between 
them.  That's  been  the  basic  question. 
The  Camp  David  agreement  has  de- 
fined such  relationships,  I'm  glad  to 
announce  to  you,  between  Israel  and 
Egypt. 

•  The  second  main  issue  is  providing 
for  the  security  of  all  parties  involved, 
including,   of  course,   our  friends  the 


President  Carter  addresses  the  Congress;  behind  him  Vice  President  Mondale  and  Speaker  of  rhe 
House  Thomas  P.  O'  Neitl  applaud. 


Israelis,  so  that  none  of  them  need  fear 
attack  or  military  threats  from  one 
another.  When  implemented,  the  Camp 
David  agreement,  I'm  glad  to  announce 
to  you,  will  provide  for  such  mutual 
security. 

•  The  third  is  the  question  of  agree- 
ment on  secure  and  recognized  bound- 
aries, the  end  of  military  occupation, 
and  the  granting  of  self-government  or 
else  the  return  to  other  nations  of  ter- 
ritories which  have  been  occupied  by 
Israel  since  the  1967  conflict.  The 
Camp  David  agreement,  I'm  glad  to 
announce  to  you,  provides  for  the 
realization  of  all  these  goals. 

•  And  finally,  there  is  the  painful 
human  question  of  the  fate  of  the 
Palestinians  who  live  or  who  have  lived 
in  these  disputed  regions.  The  Camp 
David  agreement  guarantees  that  the 
Palestinian  people  may  participate  in 
the  resolution  of  the  Palestinian  prob- 
lem in  all  its  aspects,  a  commitment 
that  Israel  has  made  in  writing  and 
which  is  supported  and  appreciated, 
I'm  sure,  by  all  the  world. 

Over  the  last  18  months,  there  has 
been,  of  course,  some  progress  on 
these  issues.  Egypt  and  Israel  came 
close  to  agreeing  about  the  first 
issue  —  the  nature  of  peace.  They  then 
saw  that  the  second  and  third 
issues  —  that  is,  withdrawal  and 
security  —  were  intimately  connected, 
closely  entwined.  But  fundamental  di- 
visions still  remained  in  other  areas  — 
about  the  fate  of  the  Palestinians,  the 
future  of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza,  and 
the  future  of  Israeli  settlements  in  oc- 
cupied Arab  territories. 

We  all  remember  the  hopes  for  peace 


that  were  inspired  by  President  Sadat's 
initiative — that  great  and  historic 
visit  to  Jerusalem  last  November  that 
thrilled  the  world  and  by  the  warm  and 
genuine  personal  response  of  Prime 
Minister  Begin  and  the  Israeli  people 
and  by  the  mutual  promise  between 
them,  publicly  made,  that  there  would 
be  no  more  war.  These  hopes  were 
sustained  when  Prime  Minister  Begin 
reciprocated  by  visiting  Ismailia  on 
Christmas  Day. 

That  progress  continued  but  at  a 
slower  and  slower  pace  through  the 
early  part  of  the  year.  And  by  early 
summer,  the  negotiations  had  come  to  a 
standstill  once  again. 

It  was  this  stalemate  and  the  prospect 
for  an  even  worse  future  that  prompted 
me  to  invite  both  President  Sadat  and 
Prime  Minister  Begin  to  join  me  at 
Camp  David. 

They  accepted,  as  you  know,  in- 
stantly, without  delay,  without  precon- 
ditions, without  consultation  even  be- 
tween them.  It's  impossible  to  over- 
state the  courage  of  these  two  men  or 
the  foresight  they  have  shown.  Only 
through  high  ideals,  through  com- 
promises of  words  and  not  principle, 
and  through  a  willingness  to  look  deep 
into  the  human  heart  and  to  understand 
the  problems  and  hopes  and  dreams  of 
one  another  can  progress  in  a  difficult 
situation  like  this  ever  be  made. 

That's  what  these  men  and  their  wise 
and  diligent  advisers  who  are  here  with 
us  tonight  have  done  during  the  last  13 
days. 

When  this  conference  began,  I  said 
that  the  prospects  for  success  were  re- 
mote.  Enormous  barriers  of  ancient 


Prime  Minister  Begin,  President  Carter,  and  President  Sadat. 


Department  of  State  Bulhp 

history  and  nationalism  and  suspic 
would  have  to  be  overcome  if  we  w 
to  meet  our  objectives. 

But  President  Sadat  and  Pri 
Minister  Begin  have  overcome  th 
barriers,  exceeded  our  fondest  exp 
tations,  and  have  signed  two  agr 
ments  that  hold  out  the  possibility 
resolving  issues  that  history  had  tau 
us  could  not  be  resolved. 

The  first  of  these  documents  is  ei 
tied  "A  Framework  for  Peace  in 
Middle  East  Agreed  at  Camp  Davit 
It  deals  with  a  comprehensive  set! 
ment,  comprehensive  settlement 
tween  Israel  and  all  her  neighbors, 
well  as  the  difficult  question  of 
Palestinian  people  and  the  future  of 
West  Bank  and  the  Gaza  area. 

The  Israeli  military  government  o 
these  areas  will  be  withdrawn  and  \ 
be  replaced  with  a  self-government 
the  Palestinians  who  live  there.  A 
Israel  has  committed  that  this  gove 
ment  will  have  full  autonomy.  Pit 
Minister  Begin  said  to  me  seve 
times,  not  partial  autonomy,  but  1 
autonomy. 

Israeli  forces  will  be  withdrawn  : 
redeployed  into  specified  locations 
protect  Israel's  security.  The  Pales 
ians   will   further  participate   in   de  I 
mining  their  own  future  through  M  s 
in  which  their  own  elected  represei  9 
tives,  the  inhabitants  of  the  West  B  I 
and   Gaza,    will    negotiate   with   Eg  I 
and  Israel  and  Jordan  to  determine    j 
final  status  of  the  West  Bank  and  Ga  ! 
Israel  has  agreed,  has  commit  n 
themselves,  that  the  legitimate  right;  V 
the  Palestinian  people  will  be  rec  I 
nized.    After  the   signing   of  t  s 
framework  last  night,  and  during 
negotiations   concerning   the   establi 
ment     of    the     Palestinian     se 
government,  no  new  Israeli  settleme 
will  be  established  in  this  area.  T 
future  settlements  issue  will  be  decic 
among  the  negotiating  parties. 

The  final  status  of  the  West  Be 
and  Gaza  will  be  decided  before  I 
end  of  the   5-year  transitional   peri 
during  which  the  Palestinian  Arabs  vj( 
have  their  own  government,  as  part  o  ' 
negotiation  which  will  produce  a  pe* 
treaty  between   Israel  and  Jorda, 
specifying  borders,   withdrawal,    I 
those  very  crucial  issues. 

These  negotiations  will  be  based  I 
all  the  provisions  and  the  principles  f 
Security  Council  Resolution  242,  wl 
which  you  all  are  so  familiar.  Tj 
agreement  on  the  final  status  of  tht5 
areas  will  then  be  submitted  to  a  v<| 
by  the  representatives  of  the  inhabitaii 
of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza,  and  th/ 
will  have  the  right  for  the  first  tiif 
in  their  history  —  the  Palestinii 


"I  tober  1978 

jple — to  decide  how  they  will  gov- 
i  themselves  permanently. 
We  also  believe,  of  course,  all  of  us. 
it  there  should  be  a  just  settlement  of 
i  problems  of  displaced  persons  and 
ugees,  which  takes  into  account  ap- 
>priate  U.N.  resolutions. 
Finally,  this  document  also  outlines 
variety  of  security  arrangements  to 
mnforce  peace  between  Israel  and  her 
Highbors . 

iThis  is,  indeed,  a  comprehensive  and 

f  r  framework  for  peace  in  the  Middle 

1st.  and  I'm  glad  to  report  this  to  you. 

iThe  second  agreement  is  entitled  a 

|;ramework  for  the  Conclusion  of  a 

lace  Treaty   Between   Egypt   and  Is- 

ll."  It  returns  to  Egypt  its  full  exer- 

|;e  of  sovereignty   over  the   Sinai 

Ininsula  and  establishes  several  secu- 

1/  zones,  recognizing  carefully  that 

J/ereignty  right  for  the  protection  of 

I  parties.  It  also  provides  that  Egypt 

ill  extend  full  diplomatic  recognition 

|  Israel  at  the  time  the  Israelis  com- 

:te  an  interim  withdrawal  from  most 

the  Sinai,  which  will  take  place  be- 

sen  3  months  and  9  months  after  the 

^elusion  of  the  peace  treaty.  And  the 

ace  treaty  is  to  be  fully  negotiated 

J  signed  no  later  than  3  months  from 

t  night. 

I  think  I  should  also  report  that 

ime  Minister  Begin  and  President 

i  dat  have  already  challenged  each 

Iter  to  conclude  the  treaty  even  ear- 

kr.  This  final  conclusion  of  a  peace 

aty  will   be  completed  late  in  De- 

imber.  And  it  would  be  a  wonderful 

i  iristmas  present  for  the  world. 

Final  and  complete  withdrawal  of  all 

iaeli  forces  will  take  place  between  2 

id  3  years  following  the  conclusion  of 

I  j  peace  treaty. 

■  While  both  parties  are  in  total 
(reement  on  all  the  goals  that  I  have 
st  described  to  you,  there  is  one  issue 
I  which  agreement  has  not  yet  been 
i ached.  Egypt  states  that  agreement  to 
[move  the  Israeli  settlements  from 
^yptian  territory  is  a  prerequisite  to  a 
,  ace  treaty.  Israel  says  that  the  issue 
I  the  Israeli  settlements  should  be  re- 
ived during  the  peace  negotiations 
emselves. 

Now.  within  2  weeks  with  each 
ember  of  the  Knesset,  or  the  Israeli 
irliament  acting  as  individuals,  not 
>nstrained  by  party  loyalty,  the  Knes- 
t  will  decide  on  the  issue  of  the  set- 
:ments.  Our  own  government's  posi- 
on,  my  own  personal  position,  is 
ell-known  on  this  issue  and  has  been 
)nsistent.  It  is  my  strong  hope,  my 
rayer,  that  the  question  of  Israeli  set- 
ements  on  Egyptian  territory  will  not 
b  the  final  obstacle  to  peace. 
None  of  us  should  underestimate  the 
istoric  importance  of  what  has  already 


been  done.  This  is  the  first  time  that  an 
Arab  and  an  Israeli  leader  have  signed 
a  comprehensive  framework  for  peace. 
It  contains  the  seeds  of  a  time  when  the 
Middle  East,  with  all  its  vast  potential, 
may  be  a  land  of  human  richness  and 
fulfillment,  rather  than  a  land  of  bitter- 
ness and  continued  conflict.  No  region 
in  the  world  has  greater  natural  and 
human  resources  than  this  one.  And 
nowhere  have  they  been  more  heavily 
weighed  down  by  intense  hatred  and 
frequent  war.  These  agreements  hold 
out  the  real  possibility  that  this  burden 
might  finally  be  lifted. 


On  September  28.  1978.  the  Israeli 
Knesset  approved  the  Camp  David 
agreements  by  a  vote  of  85  to  19,  with  16 
abstentions. 


But  we  must  also  not  forget  the 
magnitude  of  the  obstacles  that  still 
remain.  The  summit  exceeded  our 
highest  expectations  —  but  we  know 
that  it  left  many  difficult  issues  which 
are  still  to  be  resolved.  These  issues 
will  require  careful  negotiation  in  the 
months  to  come.  The  Egyptian  and  Is- 
raeli people  must  recognize  the  tangi- 
ble benefits  that  peace  will  bring  and 
support  the  decisions  their  leaders  have 
made  so  that  a  secure  and  a  peaceful 
future  can  be  achieved  for  them.  The 
American  public,  you  and  I,  must  also 
offer  our  full  support  to  those  who  have 
made  decisions  that  are  difficult  and 
those  who  have  very  difficult  decisions 
still  to  make. 

What  lies  ahead  for  all  of  us  is  to 
recognize  the  statesmanship  that  Presi- 
dent Sadat  and  Prime  Minister  Begin 
have  shown  and  to  invite  others  in  that 
region  to  follow  their  example.  I  have 
already  last  night  invited  the  other 
leaders  of  the  Arab  world  to  help  sus- 
tain progress  toward  a  comprehensive 
peace.  We  must  also  join  in  an  effort  to 
bring  an  end  to  the  conflict  and  the 
terrible  suffering  in  Lebanon. 

This  is  a  subject  that  President  Sadat 
discussed  with  me  many  times  while  I 
was  in  Camp  David  with  him.  And  the 
first  time  that  the  three  of  us  met  to- 
gether, this  was  a  subject  of  heated 
discussion.  On  the  way  to  Washington 
last  night  in  the  helicopter,  we  mutu- 
ally committed  ourselves  to  join  with 
other  nations,  with  the  Lebanese  people 
themselves,  all  factions,  with  President 
Sarkis,  with  Syria  and  Saudi  Arabia, 
perhaps  the  European  countries  like 
France,  to  try  to  move  toward  a  solu- 
tion of  the  problem  in  Lebanon  which 
is  so  vital  to  us  and  to  the  poor  people 
in  Lebanon  who  have  suffered  so 
much. 


We  will  want  to  consult  on  this  mat- 
ter and  on  these  documents  and  their 
meaning  with  all  of  the  leaders,  par- 
ticularly the  Arab  leaders.  And  I'm 
pleased  to  say  to  you  tonight  that  just  a 
few  minutes  ago,  King  Hussein  of  Jor- 
dan and  King  Khalid  of  Saudi 
Arabia  —  perhaps  other  leaders 
later  —  but  these  two  have  already 
agreed  to  receive  Secretary  Vance, 
who  will  be  leaving  tomorrow  to  ex- 
plain to  them  the  terms  of  the  Camp 
David  agreement. 

And  we  hope  to  secure  their  support 
for  the  realization  of  the  new  hopes  and 
dreams  of  the  people  of  the  Middle 
East. 

This  is  an  important  mission,  and 
this  responsibility  I  can  tell  you,  based 
on  my  last  2  weeks  with  him,  could  not 
possibly  rest  on  the  shoulders  of  a  more 
able  and  dedicated  and  competent  man 
than  Secretary  Cyrus  Vance. 

Finally,  let  me  say  that  for  many 
years  the  Middle  East  has  been  a 
textbook  for  pessimism,  a  demonstra- 
tion that  diplomatic  ingenuity  was  no 
match  for  intractable  human  conflicts. 
Today  we  are  privileged  to  see  the 
chance  for  one  of  the  sometimes  rare 
bright  moments  in  human  history  —  a 
chance  that  may  offer  the  way  to  peace. 
We  have  a  chance  for  peace  because 
these  two  brave  leaders  found  within 
themselves  the  willingness  to  work  to- 
gether to  seek  these  lasting  prospects 
for  peace,  which  we  all  want  so  badly. 
And  for  that,  I  hope  that  you  will  share 
my  prayer  of  thanks  and  my  hope  that 
the  promise  of  this  moment  shall  be 
fully  realized. 

The  prayers  at  Camp  David  were  the 
same  as  those  of  the  shepherd  King 
David  who  prayed  in  the  85th  Psalm: 
"Wilt  thou  not  revive  us  again:  that  thy 
people  may  rejoice  in  thee?  ...  I  will 
hear  that  God  the  Lord  will  speak:  for 
he  will  speak  peace  unto  his  people, 
and  to  his  saints:  but  let  them  not  return 
again  to  folly." 

And  I  would  like  to  say,  as  a  Chris- 
tian, to  these  two  friends  of  mine,  the 
words  of  Jesus:  "Blessed  are  the 
peacemakers:  for  they  shall  be  the  chil- 
dren of  God." 


PRESIDENT'S  REMARKS, 
DEPARTURE  FOR  CAMP  DAVID, 
SEPT.  42 

I'm  leaving  now  for  Camp  David  to 
prepare  for  a  very  important  meeting 
between  myself.  President  Sadat  of 
Egypt,  and  Prime  Minister  Begin  of 
Israel.  During  the  next  few  days,  very 
important  decisions  will  be  made  by 
us,  working  with  our  advisers  repre- 
senting three  great  nations,  searching 


4 


Department  of  State  Bulk 


for  peace  in  the  Middle  East  which 
can  help  greatly  to  insure  peace  in  the 
future  throughout  the  world;  by  the 
Congress  while  I'm  gone,  in  dealing 
with  many  very  important  issues,  in- 
cluding the  evolution  of  an  energy 
policy  for  our  nation. 

As  we  meet  at  Camp  David,  no  one 
can  insure  the  degree  of  success 
which  we  might  enjoy.  The  issues  are 
very  complicated.  The  disagreements 
are  deep.  Four  wars  have  not  led  to 
peace  in  that  troubled  region  of  the 
world.  There  is  no  cause  for  exces- 
sive optimism,  but  there  is  also  no 
cause  for  despair. 

The  greatest  single  factor  which 
causes  me  to  be  encouraged  is  my 
sure  knowledge  that  Prime  Minister 
Begin  and  President  Sadat  genuinely 
want  peace.  They  are  determined  to 
make  progress,  and  so  am  I. 

We  will  need  the  encouragement 
and  the  prayers  of  everyone  in  our 
nation,  in  all  three  nations,  through- 
out the  world,  who  want  success  to 
come  from  our  deliberations.  Com- 
promises will  be  mandatory.  Without 
them,  no  progress  can  be  expected. 
Flexibility  will  be  the  essence  of  our 
hopes.  And  my  own  role  will  be  that 
of  a  full  partner,  not  trying  to  impose 
the  will  of  the  United  States  on  others 
but  searching  for  common  ground  on 
which  agreements  can  be  reached  and 
searching  for  exchanges  of  com- 
promise that  are  mutually  advantage- 
ous to  all  nations  involved. 

I  know  the  seriousness  with  which 
President  Sadat  and  Prime  Minister 
Begin  come  to  our  country,  and  I 
have  tried  to  prepare  myself  as  well 


as  I  possibly  could  to  bring  success  to 
these  efforts. 

It  will  have  to  be  a  mutual  thing, 
and  all  of  us  will  enter  these  discus- 
sions without  prejudice  toward  one 
another,  with  a  spirit  of  good  will  and 
with  the  realization  of  the  sober  re- 
sponsibilities that  fall  on  us. 

Lastly,  I  would  say  that  we  will  be 
almost  uniquely  isolated  from  the 
press  and  from  the  outside  world.  My 
hope  is  that  this  degree  of  personal 
interchange,  without  the  necessity  for 
political  posturing  or  defense  of  a 
transient  stand  or  belief,  will  be 
constructive. 

There  will  be  a  great  deal  of  effort 
made  to  insure  and  enhance  mutual 
trust  in  one  another  and  to  recognize 
accurately  that  we  all  want  the  same 
ultimate  goal.  There  is  no  doubt  in 
my  mind  about  this. 

I  want  to  express,  in  closing,  my 
thanks  to  these  two  great  leaders  for 
their  willingness  to  come  when  the 
political  consequences  of  failure 
might  be  very  severe  and  when  the 
prospects  of  complete  success  are 
very  remote.  We'll  do  the  best  we 
can,  and  I  fervently  ask  the  support 
and  prayers  of  all  those  who  share 
with  us  a  hope  that  we  might  bring  a 
new  prospect  for  peace  to  the  Middle 
East. 


PRESIDENT  SADAT'S  ARRIVAL, 
ANDREWS  AIR  FORCE  BASE, 
SEPT.  53 

Vice   President   Mondale:   Mr. 

President,   on   behalf  of  President 
Carter  and   the   people   of  the   United 


President  Carter  with  (from  left  to  right)  Defense  Minister  Ezet    Weizman,  Mrs    Begin,  press 
sit  retary  Dun  Pattir,  Yehiel  Kadashi  of  the  Prime  Minister's  offit  e.  and  Prime  Minister  Begin 


States,  we  welcome  you  again  to 
United  States  with  a  warm  heart.  1 
people  of  our  country  admire  grea 
your  wisdom,  your  courage,  and  y( 
statesmanship.  Welcome  to  t 
United  States. 

President  Sadat:  Mr.  Vice  Pre 
dent.  Mr.  Vance,  thank  you  for  yi 
thoughtful  words  and  the  genui 
sentiments  you  express  toward  i 
and  the  Egyptian  people. 

As  you  well  know,  these  feelir 
are  mutual.  The  Egyptian  peop 
value  very  highly  the  ever-growi 
friendship  and  cooperation  with  t 
people  and  leadership  of  the  Unit 
States.  We  are  also  gratified  by  t 
keen  interest  you  are  maintaining 
the  establishment  of  a  comprehensh 
just,  and  lasting  peace  in  the  Mid( 
East. 

All  along,  we  have  held  the  vii 
that  this  nation  is  the  most  qualifi 
to  be  a  full  partner  in  the  peace  pre 
ess.  Your  heritage  is  unique  and  so 
your  global  responsibility.  When  y 
demonstrated  your  determination 
assume  such  responsibility  fully,  y 
reaffirmed  the  faith  of  my  people 
the  United  States  and  its  dedication 
the  cause  of  peace. 

We  come  here  at  the  crucial  cro 
roads.  The  challenge  is  tremendoi 
but  we  have  no  choice  except  to 
cept  the  challenge.  We  cannot  affc 
to  fail  the  hopes  of  nations  all  o\ 
the  world.  No  one  has  the  right 
block  the  road  to  peace.  This  is 
time  for  maneuvers  and  worn  o 
ideas;  it  is  time  for  magnanimity  a 
reason. 

I  pray  to  God  Almighty  to  guide 
in  this  great  endeavor  and  to  enat 
us  to  achieve  the  noble  goal  whi 
inspired  President  Carter  to  call  f 
this  conference.  This  inspiration 
and  shall  remain  a  brave  and  galla 
act  of  statesmanship.  Together 
shall  proceed  to  build  a  viable  str 
ture  for  peace  on  the  solid  foundatii 
of  law  and  legitimacy.  Together,  v 
shall  realize  the  hopes  of  those  wl 
believe  in  the  supremacy  of  right  at 
justice,  and  together  we  sha 
overcome. 


PRIME  MINISTER  BEGIN'S 
ARRIVAL,  ANDREWS  AIR 
FORCE  BASE,  SEPT.  54 

Vice   President   Mondale:    M 

Prime  Minister,  on  behalf  of  Mi 
Carter  and  the  American  people, 
welcome  you  warmly  to  the  Unite 
States.  The  American  people  deepl 
admire  your  leadership--its  geniu; 
its  strength,   its  compassion.    Abov 


Rtober  1978 


11.  we  admire  your  profound  com- 
ptment  to  peace,  so  appropriate  at 
his  historic  moment.  Mr.  Prime 
Minister,  we  welcome  you  with  a 
l/arm  heart. 

Prime  Minister  Begin:  Mr.  Vice 
President.  Mr.  Secretary  of  State, 
udies  and  gentlemen,  dear  friends: 
lour  times  I  visited  the  President  of 
iie  United  States  in  the  interests  of 
leace.  since  we  were  elected  by  our 
eoples  to  conduct  their  affairs,  to 
lare  for  the  future,  and  for  the  pres- 
ervation of  liberty  and  democracy  in 
|ur  countries  and  elsewhere.  Twice  I 
net  the  President  of  Egypt  in  a  spirit 
f  understanding,  in  good  will  and  a 
ommon  striving  for  peace  in 
erusalem  and  in  Ismailia.  However, 
nere  is  no  doubt  that  this  fifth  meet- 
ng  with  President  Carter,  and  the 
lird  with  President  Sadat,  is  the  most 
nportant.  the  most  momentous  of 
lem  all. 

My  friends  and  colleagues,  the 
oreign  Minister,  the  Defense  Minis- 
;r.  and  I  and  our  friends  and  advisers 
/ill  make  all  endeavors  possible  to 
•jach  an  agreement  so  that  the  peace 
irocess  can  continue  and  ultimately 
<e  crowned  with  peace  treaties.  This 
>  the  peace  mission  on  behalf  of 
/hich  we  come  now  to  you,  Mr.  Vice 
•resident,  to  the  United  States  and  to 
mr  dear  friend,  the  President  of  the 
Inited  States. 

We  are  grateful  to  the  President  for 
ne  hospitality  he  bestowed  upon  us 
n  his  retreat  at  Camp  David  and  let 
|S   all   hope   that   out   of  that   unique 

Kolitical  conclave  a  day  will  come 
'hen  the  nations  of  the  world  will 
ay:  "Habemus  pacem"  —  "We  have 
eace." 


OINT  STATEMENT, 
EPT.  6s 

After  four  wars,  despite  vast  human 
fforts,  the  Holy  Land  does  not  yet 
njoy  the  blessings  of  peace. 

Conscious  of  the  grave  issues 
/hich  face  us,  we  place  our  trust  in 
he  God  of  our  fathers,  from  whom 
/e  seek  wisdom  and  guidance. 

As  we  meet  here  at  Camp  David  we 
sk  people  of  all  faiths  to  pray  with 
is  that  peace  and  justice  may  result 
rom  these  deliberations. 


EXCHANGE  OF  REMARKS, 
SEPT.  176 


President  Carter 

When  we  first  arrived  at  Camp 
David,  the  first  thing  upon  which  we 


President  Carter  with  (from  left  to  right)  President  Sadat,  Secretary  Vance,  and  Under  Secretary 
Osama  el-Baz  of  the  Egyptian  Foreign  Ministry. 


agreed  was  to  ask  the  people  of  the 
world  to  pray  that  our  negotiations 
would  be  successful.  Those  prayers 
have  been  answered  far  beyond  any 
expectations.  We  are  privileged  to 
witness  tonight  a  significant  achieve- 
ment in  the  cause  of  peace,  an 
achievement  none  thought  possible  a 
year  ago.  or  even  a  month  ago.  an 
achievement  that  reflects  the  courage 
and  wisdom  of  these  two  leaders. 

Through  13  long  days  at  Camp 
David,  we  have  seen  them  display 
determination  and  vision  and  flexibil- 
ity which  was  needed  to  make  this 
agreement  come  to  pass.  All  of  us 
owe  them  our  gratitude  and  respect. 
They  know  that  they  will  always  have 
my  personal  admiration. 

There  are  still  great  difficulties  that 
remain  and  many  hard  issues  to  be 
settled.  The  questions  that  have 
brought  warfare  and  bitterness  to  the 
Middle  East  for  the  last  30  years  will 
not  be  settled  overnight.  But  we 
should  all  recognize  the  substantial 
achievements  that  have  been  made. 

One  of  the  agreements  that  Presi- 
dent Sadat  and  Prime  Minister  Begin 
are  signing  tonight  is  entitled,  "A 
Framework  for  Peace  in  the  Middle 
East  [Agreed  at  Camp  David]." 
[Applause] 

This  framework  concerns  the  prin- 
ciples and  some  specifics  in  the  most 
substantive  way  which  will  govern  a 
comprehensive  peace  settlement.  It 
deals  specifically  with  the  future  of 
the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  and  the  need 
to  resolve  the  Palestinian  problem  in 
all  its  aspects.  The  framework  docu- 
ment proposes  a  5-year  transitional 
period  in  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza 
during  which  the  Israeli  military  gov- 


ernment will  be  withdrawn  and  a 
self-governing  authority  will  be 
elected  with  full  autonomy. 

It  also  provides  for  Israeli  forces  to 
remain  in  specified  locations  during 
this  period  to  protect  Israel's  security. 

The  Palestinians  will  have  the  right 
to  participate  in  the  determination  of 
their  own  future,  in  negotiations 
which  will  resolve  the  final  status  of 
the  West  Bank  and  Gaza,  and  then  to 
produce  an  Israeli-Jordanian  peace 
treaty. 

These  negotiations  will  be  based  on 
all  the  provisions  and  all  the  princi- 
ples of  U.N.  Security  Council  Res- 
olution 242.  And  it  provides  that  Is- 
rael may  live  in  peace  within  secure 
and  recognized  borders. 

And  this  great  aspiration  of  Israel 
has  been  certified  without  constraint 
with  the  greatest  degree  of  enthusiasm 
by  President  Sadat,  the  leader  of  one 
of  the  greatest  nations  on  Earth. 
[Applause] 

The  other  document  is  entitled. 
"Framework  for  the  Conclusion  of  a 
Peace  Treaty  Between  Egypt  and 
Israel." 

It  provides  for  the  full  exercise  of 
Egyptian  sovereignty  over  the  Sinai. 
It  calls  for  the  full  withdrawal  of  Is- 
raeli forces  from  the  Sinai;  and  after 
an  interim  withdrawal  which  will  be 
accomplished  very  quickly,  the  es- 
tablishment of  normal,  peaceful  rela- 
tions between  the  two  countries,  in- 
cluding diplomatic  relations. 
[Applause] 

Together  with  accompanying  let- 
ters, which  we  will  make  public  to- 
morrow, these  two  Camp  David 
agreements  provide  the  basis  for 


Department  of  State  Bulleti.J 


progress  and  peace  throughout  the 
Middle  East. 

There  is  one  issue  on  which  agree- 
ment has  not  been  reached.  Egypt 
states  that  the  agreement  to  remove 
Israeli  settlements  from  Egyptian  ter- 
ritory is  a  prerequisite  to  a  peace 
treaty.  Israel  states  that  the  issue  of 
the  Israeli  settlements  should  be  re- 
solved during  the  peace  negotiations. 
That's  a  substantial  difference. 

Within  the  next  2  weeks,  the  Knes- 
set will  decide  on  the  issue  of  these 
settlements. 

Tomorrow  night,  I  will  go  before 
the  Congress  to  explain  these  agree- 
ments more  fully  and  to  talk  about 
their  implications  for  the  United  States 
and  for  the  world.  For  the  moment, 
and  in  closing,  I  want  to  speak  more 
personally  about  my  admiration  for  all 
of  those  who  have  taken  part  in  this 
process,  and  my  hope  that  the  promise 
of  this  moment  will  be  fulfilled. 

During  the  last  2  weeks,  the  mem- 
bers of  all  three  delegations  have  spent 
endless  hours,  day  and  night,  talking, 
negotiating,  grappling  with  problems 
that  have  divided  their  people  for  30 
years.  Whenever  there  was  a  danger 
that  human  energy  would  fail  or  pa- 
tience would  be  exhausted  or  good  will 
would  run  out — and  there  were  many 
such  moments — these  two  leaders  and 
the  able  advisers  in  all  delegations 
found  the  resources  within  them  to 
keep  the  chances  for  peace  alive. 

The  long  days  at  Camp  David  are 
over.  But  many  months  of  difficult 
negotiations  still  lie  ahead. 

I  hope  that  the  foresight  and  the 
wisdom  that  have  made  this  session  a 
success  will  guide  these  leaders  and 
the  leaders  of  all  nations  as  they  con- 
tinue the  progress  toward  peace. 
[Applause] 

President  Sadat 

Dear  President  Carter,  in  this  his- 
toric moment.  I  would  like  to  express 
to  you  my  heartfelt  congratulations 
and  appreciation.  For  long  days  and 
nights,  you  devoted  your  time  and 
energy  to  the  pursuit  of  peace.  You 
have  been  most  courageous  when  you 
took  the  gigantic  step  of  convening 
this  meeting.  The  challenge  was  great. 
and  the  risks  were  high,  but  so  was 
your  determination. 

You  made  a  commitment  to  be  a 
full  partner  in  the  peace  process.  I'm 
happy  to  say  that  you  have  honored 
your  commitment. 

The  signing  of  the  framework  for 
the  comprehensive  peace  settlement 
has  a  significance  far  beyond  the 
event.  It  signals  the  emergence  of  a 
new  peace  initiative  with  the  American 


nation  in  the  heart  of  the  entire  proc- 
ess. 

In  the  weeks  ahead,  important  deci- 
sions have  to  be  made  if  we  are  to 
proceed  on  the  road  to  peace.  We  have 
to  reaffirm  the  faith  of  the  Palestinian 
people  in  the  ideal  of  peace. 

The  continuation  of  your  active  role 
is  indispensable.  We  need  your  help 
and  the  support  of  the  American 
people.  Let  me  seize  this  opportunity 
to  thank  each  and  every  American  for 
his  genuine  interest  in  the  cause  of 
people  in  the  Middle  East. 

Dear  friend,  we  came  to  Camp 
David  with  all  the  good  will  and  faith 
we  possessed,  and  we  left  Camp 
David  a  few  minutes  ago  with  a  re- 
newed sense  of  hope  and  inspiration. 
We  are  looking  forward  to  the  days 
ahead  with  an  added  determination  to 
pursue  the  noble  goal  of  peace. 

Your  able  assistants  spared  no  effort 
to  bring  out  this  happy  conclusion.  We 
appreciate  their  spirit  and  dedication. 
Our  hosts  at  Camp  David  and  the  State 
of  Maryland  were  most  generous  and 
hospitable.  To  each  one  of  them  and 
to  all  those  who  are  watching  this 
great  event,  I  say  thank  you. 

Let  us  join  in  a  prayer  to  God  Al- 
mighty to  guide  our  path.  Let  us 
pledge  to  make  the  spirit  of  Camp 
David  a  new  chapter  in  the  history  of 
our  nations.  [Applause] 

Prime  Minister  Begin 

Mr.  President  of  the  United  States, 
Mr.  President  of  the  Arab  Republic  of 
Egypt,  ladies  and  gentlemen:  The 
Camp  David  conference  should  be  re- 
named. It  was  the  "Jimmy  Carter 
conference."  [Laughter,  applause] 

The  President  undertook  an  initia- 
tive most  imaginative  in  our  time  and 
brought  President  Sadat  and  myself 
and  our  colleagues  and  friends  and  ad- 
visers together  under  one  roof.  In  it- 
self it  was  a  great  achievement. 

But  the  President  took  a  great  risk 
for  himself  and  did  it  with  great  civil 
courage.  And  it  was  a  famous  French 
field  commander  who  said  that  it  is 
much  more  difficult  to  show  civil 
courage  than  military  courage.  And 
the  President  worked.  As  far  as  my 
historic  experience  is  concerned,  I 
think  that  he  worked  harder  than  our 
forefathers  did  in  Egypt,  building  the 
pyramids.  [Laughter,  applause] 

Yes,  indeed,  he  worked  day  and 
night,  and  so  did  we — [laughter]  day 
and  night.  We  used  to  go  to  bed  at 
Camp  David  between  3:00  and  4:00 
o'clock  in  the  morning,  arise,  as  we 
are  used  to  since  our  boyhood,  be- 
tween 5:00  and  6:00,  and  continue 
working. 


From  left  to  right.  Deputy  Prime  Ministe 
Hassan  Touhamy,  Foreign  Minister  Mohamet 
Ibrahim  Kamel,  and  Chef  cle  Cabinet  of  th 
Foreign  Minister's  office  Ahmad  Maher  c 
Egypt  with  President  Carter. 


The  President  showed  interest  i 
every  section,  every  paragraph,  ever 
sentence,  every  word,  every  lette 
[laughter]  of  the  framework  agree 
ments. 

We  had  some  difficult  moments,  i 
usually,  there  are  some  crises  ii< 
negotiations;  as  usually,  somebod 
gives  a  hint  that  perhaps  he  would  lik 
to  pick  up  and  go  home.  [Laughtei 
It's  all  usual.  But  ultimately,  ladie 
and  gentlemen,  the  President  of  th 
United  States  won  the  day.  And  peac 
now  celebrates  a  great  victory  for  th 
nations  of  Egypt  and  Israel  and  for  a 
mankind. 

Mr.  President,  we,  the  Israelii 
thank  you  from  the  bottom  of  oi 
hearts  for  all  you  have  done  for  th 
sake  of  peace,  for  which  we  praye 
and  yearned  more  than  30  years.  Th 
Jewish  people  suffered  much,  to 
much.  And,  therefore,  peace  to  us  is 
striving,  coming  innermost  from  oil 
heart  and  soul. 

Now  when  I  came  here  to  the  Cam 
David  conference,  I  said  perhaps  as 
result   of  our   work,    one   day   peopl 
will,  in  every  corner  of  the  world,  b 
able  to  say  "Habemus  pacem"  in  th 
spirit  of  these  days.   Can  we  say  s<| 
tonight?  Not  yet.  We  still  have  to  go 
road   until   my   friend   President   Sada 
and   I    sign   the   peace   treaties.    W 
promised  each  other  that  we  shall  di 
so  within  3  months. 

Mr.  President  [President  Sadat],  to 
night  at  this  celebration  of  the  grea 
historic   event,   let   us   promise  eacl] 


October  1978 


jbther  that  we  shall  do  it  earlier  than 
■within  3  months.  [Laughter,  applause] 

Mr.  President,  you  inscribed  your 
■name  forever  in  the  history  of  two  an- 
tbient  civilized  peoples,  the  people  of 
■Egypt  and  the  people  of  Israel.  Thank 
Eyou.  Mr.  President. 

I  would  like  to  say  a  few  words 
■about  my  friend.  President  Sadat.  We 
ftnet  for  the  first  time  in  our  lives  last 
JjNovember  in  Jerusalem.  He  came  to 
jus  as  a  guest,  a  former  enemy,  and 
'during  our  first  meeting,  we  became 
H  friends. 

In  the  Jewish  teachings,  there  is  a 
■tradition  that  the  greatest  achievement 
■of  a  human  being  is  to  turn  his  enemy 
linto  a  friend,  and  this  we  do  in  rec- 
iprocity. Since  then,  we  had  some 
(difficult  days.  [Laughter]  I'm  not 
Igoing  now  to  tell  you  the  saga  of  those 
Kays.  Everything  belongs  to  the  past. 
■Today,  I  visited  President  Sadat  in  his 
lcabin  because  in  Camp  David  you 
Idon't  have  houses,  you  only  have  cab- 
fins.  [Laughter]  And  he  then  came  to 
•visit  me.  We  shook  hands.  And,  thank 
JGod,  we  again  could  have  said  to 
leach  other,  "You  are  my  friend." 
[Applause] 

And,  indeed,  we  shall  go  on  work- 
ing in  understanding  and  in  friendship 
and  with  good  will.  We  will  still  have 
[problems    to    solve.     Camp    David 
proved    that    any    problem    can    be 
solved,  if  there  is  good  will  and  un- 
derstanding and  some,  some  wisdom. 
May  I  thank  my  own  colleagues  and 
friends,  the  Foreign  Minister,  the  De- 
i  fense   Minister;   Professor   Barak   who 
I  was  the  Attorney  General  and  now 
:  he's  going  to  be  His  Honor,  the  Jus- 
j  tice  of  the  Supreme  Court — the  Israeli 
i  Brandeis — and  Dr.    Rosenne   [legal 
'  adviser  to   the   Foreign    Minister]   and 
'  our   wonderful    Ambassador   to   the 
United  States,  Mr.  Simcha  Dinitz.  and 
\  all  our  friends,  because  without  them, 
that  achievement   wouldn't  have   been 
possible. 

I  express  my  thanks  to  all  the  mem- 
bers of  the  American  delegation, 
headed  by  the  Secretary  of  State,  a 
man  whom  we  love  and  respect.  And 
so  I  express  my  thanks  to  all  the 
members  of  the  Egyptian  delegation 
who  worked  so  hard  together  with  us, 
headed  by  Deputy  Prime  Minister  Mr. 
Touhamy,  for  all  they  have  done  to 
achieve  this  moment.  It  is  a  great 
moment  in  the  history  of  our  nations 
and.  indeed,  of  mankind. 

I    looked   for  a   precedent;    I    didn't 

i  find   it.    It    was   a   unique   conference. 

perhaps   one  of  the   most  important 

since  the  Vienna  conference  in  the 

19th  century;  perhaps. 

And  now,  ladies  and  gentlemen, 
allow   me  to  turn  to   my  own   people 


from  the  White  House  in  my  own  na- 
tive tongue. 

[Brief  remarks  in  Hebrew.] 

President  Carter 

The  first  document  that  we  will  sign 
is  entitled,  "A  Framework  for  Peace 
in  the  Middle  East  Agreed  at  Camp 
David,"  and  the  texts  of  these  two 
documents  will  be  released  tomorrow. 
The  documents  will  be  signed  by 
President  Sadat  and  Prime  Minister 
Begin.  And  it  will  be  witnessed  by 
me. 

We  have  to  exchange  three  docu- 
ments, so  we'll  all  sign  three  times  for 
this  one. 

[The  three  leaders  signed  the  first 
document.] 

I  might  say  that  the  first  document 
is  quite  comprehensive  in  nature,  en- 
compassing a  framework  by  which  Is- 
rael can  later  negotiate  peace  treaties 
between  herself  and  Lebanon,  Syria, 
Jordan,  as  well  as  the  outline  of  this 
document  that  we  will  now  sign. 

And  as  you  will  later  see,  in  study- 
ing the  documents,  it  also  provides  for 
the  realization  of  the  hopes  and 
dreams  of  the  people  who  live  in  the 
West  Bank  and  Gaza  Strip  and  will 
assure  Israel  peace  in  the  generations 
ahead. 

This  second  document  is  the  one 
relating  to  a  framework  for  a  peace 
treaty  between  Egypt  and  Israel.  And 
this  is  the  document  that  calls  for  the 
completion  of  the  peace  treaty  negoti- 
ations within  3  months.  And  I  have 
noticed  the  challenge  extended  by 
these  two  gentlemen  to  each  other. 
They  will  complete  within  3 
months — I  might  say  that  this  docu- 
ment encompasses  almost  all  of  the 
issues  between  the  two  countries  and 
resolves  those  issues.  A  few  lines  re- 
main to  be  drawn  on  maps,  and  the 
question  of  the  settlements  is  to  be 
resolved.  Other  than  that,  most  of  the 
major  issues  are  resolved  already  in 
this  document.  We  will  now  sign  this 
document  as  well. 

[The  three  leaders  signed  the  second 
document.] 


TEXTS  OF  DOCUMENTS, 
SIGNED  SEPT.  177 


A  FRAMEWORK  FOR  PEACE 
IN  THE  MIDDLE  EAST 
AGREED  AT  CAMP  DAVID 

Muhammad   Anwar  al-Sadat,   President  of 
the   Arab   Republic   of  Egypt,   and   Menachem 


Begin,  Prime  Minister  of  Israel,  met  with 
Jimmy  Carter.  President  of  the  United  States 
of  America,  at  Camp  David  from  September  5 
to  September  17.  1978,  and  have  agreed  on 
the  following  framework  for  peace  in  the  Mid- 
dle East.  They  invite  other  parties  to  the 
Arab-Israeli  conflict  to  adhere  to  it 


Preamble 

The  search  for  peace  in  the  Middle  East 
must  be  guided  by  the  following: 

•  The  agreed  basis  for  a  peaceful  settlement 
of  the  conflict  between  Israel  and  its  neighbors 
is  United  Nations  Security  Council  Resolution 
242.  in  all  its  parts.8 

•  After  four  wars  during  thirty  years,  de- 
spite intensive  human  efforts,  the  Middle  East, 
which  is  the  cradle  of  civilization  and  the 
birthplace  of  three  great  religions,  does  not  yet 
enjoy  the  blessings  of  peace.  The  people  of 
the  Middle  East  yearn  for  peace  so  that  the 
vast  human  and  natural  resources  of  the  region 
can  be  turned  to  the  pursuits  of  peace  and  so 
that  this  area  can  become  a  model  for  coexist- 
ence and  cooperation  among  nations. 

•  The  historic  initiative  of  President  Sadat 
in  visiting  Jerusalem  and  the  reception  ac- 
corded to  him  by  the  Parliament,  government 
and  people  of  Israel,  and  the  reciprocal  visit  of 
Prime  Minister  Begin  to  Ismailia,  the  peace 
proposals  made  by  both  leaders,  as  well  as  the 
warm  reception  of  these  missions  by  the 
peoples  of  both  countries,  have  created  an  un- 
precedented opportunity  for  peace  which  must 
not  be  lost  if  this  generation  and  future  gener- 
ations are  to  be  spared  the  tragedies  of  war. 

•  The  provisions  of  the  Charter  of  the 
United  Nations  and  the  other  accepted  norms 
of  international  law  and  legitimacy  now  pro- 
vide accepted  standards  for  the  conduct  of  re- 
lations among  all  states. 

•  To  achieve  a  relationship  of  peace,  in  the 
spirit  of  Article  2  of  the  United  Nations  Char- 
ter, future  negotiations  between  Israel  and  any 
neighbor  prepared  to  negotiate  peace  and  se- 
curity with  it.  are  necessary  for  the  purpose  of 
carrying  out  all  the  provisions  and  principles 
of  Resolutions  242  and  338. 

•  Peace  requires  respect  for  the  sovereignty, 
territorial  integrity  and  political  independence 
of  every  state  in  the  area  and  their  right  to  live 
in  peace  within  secure  and  recognized  bound- 
aries free  from  threats  or  acts  of  force.  Prog- 
ress toward  that  goal  can  accelerate  movement 
toward  a  new  era  of  reconciliation  in  the  Mid- 
dle East  marked  by  cooperation  in  promoting 
economic  development,  in  maintaining  stabil- 
ity, and  in  assuring  security. 

•  Security  is  enhanced  by  a  relationship  of 
peace  and  by  cooperation  between  nations 
which  enjoy  normal  relations.  In  addition, 
under  the  terms  of  peace  treaties,  the  parties 
can,  on  the  basis  of  reciprocity,  agree  to  spe- 
cial security  arrangements  such  as  de- 
militarized zones,  limited  armaments  areas, 
early  warning  stations,  the  presence  of  inter- 
national  forces,   liaison,   agreed   measures  for 


President  Sadat.  President  Carter,   and  Prime   Minister  Begin  sign  the  documents  in  the   East 
Room  of  the  White  House.  Secretary  Vance  stands  behind  President  Sadat. 


monitoring,   and  other  arrangements   that   they 
agree  are  useful. 

Framework 

Taking  these  factors  into  account,  the  par- 
ties are  determined  to  reach  a  just,  com- 
prehensive, and  durable  settlement  of  the 
Middle  East  conflict  through  the  conclusion  of 
peace  treaties  based  on  Security  Council  Res- 
olutions 242  and  338  in  all  their  parts.  Their 
purpose  is  to  achieve  peace  and  good 
neighborly  relations.  They  recognize  that,  for 
peace  to  endure,  it  must  involve  all  those  who 
have  been  most  deeply  affected  by  the  con- 
flict. They  therefore  agree  that  this  framework 
as  appropriate  is  intended  by  them  to  consti- 
tute a  basis  for  peace  not  only  between  Egypt 
and  Israel,  but  also  between  Israel  and  each  of 
its  other  neighbors  which  is  prepared  to 
negotiate  peace  with  Israel  on  this  basis.  With 
that  objective  in  mind,  they  have  agreed  to 
proceed  as  follows: 

A    West  Bank  and  Gaza 

I.  Egypt.  Israel.  Jordan  and  the  representa- 
tives of  the  Palestinian  people  should  partici- 
pate in  negotiations  on  the  resolution  of  the 
Palestinian  problem  in  all  its  aspects.  To 
achieve  that  objective,  negotiations  relating  to 
the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  should  proceed  in 
three  stages: 

(a)  Egypt  and  Israel  agree  that,  in  order  to 
ensure  a  peaceful  and  orderly  transfer  of  au- 
thority, and  taking  into  account  the  security 
concerns  of  all  the  parties,  there  should  be 
transitional  arrangements  for  the  West  Bank 
and  Gaza  for  a  period  not  exceeding  live 
years.  In  order  to  provide  full  autonomy  to  the 
inhabitants,  under  these  arrangements  the  Is- 
raeli military  government  and  its  civilian  ad- 
ministration  will   be   withdrawn   as   soon   as   a 


self-governing  authority  has  been  freely 
elected  by  the  inhabitants  of  these  areas  to 
replace  the  existing  military  government.  To 
negotiate  the  details  of  a  transitional  arrange- 
ment, the  Government  of  Jordan  will  be  in- 
vited to  join  the  negotiations  on  the  basis  of 
this  framework  These  new  arrangements 
should  give  due  consideration  both  to  the  prin- 
ciple of  self-government  by  the  inhabitants  of 
these  territories  and  to  the  legitimate  security 
concerns  of  the  parties  involved. 

(b)  Egypt.  Israel,  and  Jordan  will  agree  on 
the  modalities  for  establishing  the  elected 
self-governing  authority  in  the  West  Bank  and 
Gaza.  The  delegations  of  Egypt  and  Jordan 
may  include  Palestinians  from  the  West  Bank 
and  Gaza  or  other  Palestinians  as  mutually 
agreed.  The  parties  will  negotiate  an  agree- 
ment which  will  define  the  powers  and  re- 
sponsibilities of  the  self-governing  authority  to 
be  exercised  in  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza.  A 
withdrawal  of  Israeli  armed  forces  will  take 
place  and  there  will  be  a  redeployment  of  the 
remaining  Israeli  forces  into  specified  security 
locations.  The  agreement  will  also  include  ar- 
rangements for  assuring  internal  and  external 
security  and  public  order.  A  strong  local 
police  force  will  be  established,  which  may 
include  Jordanian  citizens.  In  addition.  Israeli 
and  Jordanian  forces  will  participate  in  joint 
patrols  and  in  the  manning  of  control  posts  to 
assure  the  security  of  the  borders. 

(c)  When  the  self-governing  authority  (ad- 
ministrative council)  in  the  West  Bank  and 
Gaza  is  established  and  inaugurated,  the  tran- 
sitional period  of  five  \cars  will  begin.  As 
soon  as  possible,  but  not  later  than  the  third 
year  alter  the  beginning  of  the  transitional 
period,  negotiations  will  take  place  to  deter- 
mine the  final  status  of  the  West  Bank  and 
Gaza  and  its  relationship  with  its  neighbors, 
and  to  conclude  a  peace  treat)   between  Israel 


Department  of  State  Bulleti> 

and  Jordan  by  the  end  of  the  transitiona 
period.  These  negotiations  will  be  conducte< 
among  Egypt.  Israel.  Jordan,  and  the  electei 
representatives  of  the  inhabitants  of  the  Wes 
Bank  and  Gaza.  Two  separate  but  relatet 
committees  will  be  convened,  one  committee 
consisting  of  repfesentatives  of  the  four  partie; 
which  will  negotiate  and  agree  on  the  fina 
status  of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza,  and  it; 
relationship  with  its  neighbors,  and  the  seconc 
committee,  consisting  of  representatives  o 
Israel  and  representatives  of  Jordan  to  bt 
joined  by  the  elected  representatives  of  tht 
inhabitants  of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza,  tc 
negotiate  the  peace  treaty  between  Israel  anc 
Jordan,  taking  into  account  the  agreemen 
reached  on  the  final  status  of  the  West  BanV 
and  Gaza.  The  negotiations  shall  be  based  ot 
all  the  provisions  and  principles  of  UN  Secu 
rity  Council  Resolution  242.  The  negotiation; 
will  resolve,  among  other  matters,  the  locatior 
of  the  boundaries  and  the  nature  of  the  secu- 
rity arrangements.  The  solution  from  the 
negotiations  must  also  recognize  the  legitimatf 
rights  of  the  Palestinian  people  and  their  jus 
requirements.  In  this  way.  the  Palestinian; 
will  participate  in  the  determination  of  theii 
own  future  through: 

1)  The  negotiations  among  Egypt.  Israel 
Jordan  and  the  representatives  of  the  inhabi 
tants  of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  to  agree  oi 
the  final  status  of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  am 
other  outstanding  issues  by  the  end  of  thi 
transitional  period. 

2)  Submitting  their  agreement  to  a  vote  h\ 
the  elected  representatives  of  the  inhabitant; 
of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza. 

3)  Providing  for  the  elected  representa 
tives  of  the  inhabitants  of  the  West  Bank  anc 
Gaza  to  decide  how  they  shall  govern  them 
selves  consistent  with  the  provisions  of  their 
agreement. 

4 1  Participating  as  stated  above  in  tht 
work  of  the  committee  negotiating  the  peace 
treaty  between  Israel  and  Jordan. 

2.  All  necessary  measures  will  be  taken  and 
provisions  made  to  assure  the  security  of  Israel 
and  its  neighbors  during  the  transitional  period 
and  beyond.  To  assist  in  providing  such  secu- 
rity, a  strong  local  police  force  will  be  con- 
stituted by  the  self-governing  authority.  It  will 
be  composed  of  inhabitants  of  the  West  Bank 
and  Gaza.  The  police  will  maintain  continuing 
liaison  on  internal  security  matters  with  the 
designated  Israeli.  Jordanian,  and  Egyptian 
officers 

3.  During  the  transitional  period,  represent- 
atives of  Egypt.  Israel,  Jordan,  and  the  self- 
governing  authority  will  constitute  a  continu- 
ing committee  to  decide  by  agreement  on  the 
modalities  of  admission  of  persons  displaced 
from  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  in  1967.  to- 
gether with  necessary  measures  to  prevent 
disruption  and  disorder.  Other  matters  of 
common  concern  may  also  be  dealt  with  by 
this  committee. 

4.  Egypt  and  Israel  will  work  with  each 
other  and   with   other  interested  parties  to  es- 


'October  1978 

Htablish  agreed   procedures   for  a  prompt,  just 
land   permanent   implementation  of  the   resolu- 
tion of  the  refugee  problem. 

MB.  Egypt-Israel 

1.  Egypt  and  Israel  undertake  not  to  resort 
llto  the  threat  or  the  use  of  force  to  settle  dis- 
putes   Any  disputes  shall  be  settled  by  peace- 
ful means  in  accordance  with  the  provisions  of 

ikrticle  33   of  the  Charter  of  the  United  Na- 
i  tions. 

2.  In  order  to  achieve  peace  between  them. 
» the   parties   agree   to   negotiate   in   good   faith 

with  a  goal  of  concluding  within  three  months 
from  the  signing  of  this  Framework  a  peace 
Jfreaty  between  them,  while  inviting  the  other 
loarties  to  the  conflict  to  proceed  simultane- 
JlDUsly  to  negotiate  and  conclude  similar  peace 
reaties  with  a  view  to  achieving  a  comprehen- 
sive peace  in  the  area.  The  Framework  for  the 
^Conclusion  of  a  Peace  Treaty  Between  Egypt 
ind  Israel  will  govern  the  peace  negotiations 
Aretween  them.   The  parties  will  agree  on  the 
Inodalities  and  the  timetable  for  the   im- 
plementation  of  their  obligations   under   the 
reaty 


C.  Associated  Principles 

1.  Egypt  and  Israel  state  that  the  principles 
snd  provisions  described  below  should  apply 
o  peace  treaties  between  Israel  and  each  of  its 
leighbors — Egypt.  Jordan.  Syria  and  Lebanon. 

2.  Signatories  shall  establish  among  them- 
selves relationships  normal  to  states  at  peace 
a ith  one  another.  To  this  end,  they  should 
undertake  to  abide  by  all  the  provisions  of  the 
Charter  of  the  United  Nations.  Steps  to  be 
aken  in  this  respect  include: 

(a)  full  recognition; 

(b)  abolishing  economic  boycotts; 

(c)  guaranteeing  that  under  their  jurisdiction 
he  citizens  of  the  other  parties  shall  enjoy  the 
protection  of  the  due  process  of  law. 

3.  Signatories  should  explore  possibilities 
for  economic  development  in  the  context  of 
final  peace  treaties,  with  the  objective  of  con- 
tributing to  the  atmosphere  of  peace,  coopera- 
tion and  friendship  which  is  their  common 
goal. 

4.  Claims  Commissions  may  be  established 
for  the  mutual  settlement  of  all  financial 
claims. 

5.  The  United  States  shall  be  invited  to  par- 
ticipate in  the  talks  on  matters  related  to  the 
modalities  of  the  implementation  of  the 
agreements  and  working  out  the  timetable 
for  the  carrying  out  of  the  obligations  of  the 
parties. 

6.  The  United  Nations  Security  Council 
shall  be  requested  to  endorse  the  peace  treaties 
and  ensure  that  their  provisions  shall  not  be 
violated.  The  permanent  members  of  the  Se- 
curity Council  shall  be  requested  to  underwrite 
the  peace  treaties  and  ensure  respect  for  their 
provisions.  They  shall  also  be  requested  to 
conform   their   policies   and   actions   with    the 


undertakings  contained  in  this  Framework. 

For  the  Government  of  the 
Arab  Republic  of  Egypt: 

A.  Sadat 

For  the  Government 
of  Israel: 
M   Begin 

Witnessed  by: 

Jimmy  Carter.  President 

of  the  United  States  of  America 


FRAMEWORK  FOR  THE  CONCLUSION 
OF  A  PEACE  TREATY  BETWEEN 
EGYPT  AND  ISRAEL 

In  order  to  achieve  peace  between  them. 
Israel  and  Egypt  agree  to  negotiate  in  good 
faith  with  a  goal  of  concluding  within  three 
months  of  the  signing  of  this  framework  a 
peace  treaty  between  them. 

It  is  agreed  that: 

The  site  of  the  negotiations  will  be  under  a 
United  Nations  flag  at  a  location  or  locations 
to  be  mutually  agreed. 

All  of  the  principles  of  U.N.  Resolution  242 
will  apply  in  this  resolution  of  the  dispute 
between  Israel  and  Egypt. 

Unless  otherwise  mutually  agreed,  terms  of 
the  peace  treaty  will  be  implemented  between 
two  and  three  years  after  the  peace  treaty  is 
signed. 


The  following  matters  are  agreed  between 
the  parties: 

(a)  the  full  exercise  of  Egyptian  sovereignty 
up  to  the  internationally  recognized  border 
between  Egypt  and  mandated  Palestine; 

(b)  the  withdrawal  of  Israeli  armed  forces 
from  the  Sinai; 

(c)  the  use  of  airfields  left  by  the  Israelis 
near  El  Arish.  Rafah.  Ras  en  Naqb.  and  Sharm 
el  Sheikh  for  civilian  purposes  only,  including 
possible  commercial  use  by  all  nations; 

(d)  the  right  of  free  passage  by  ships  of 
Israel  through  the  Gulf  of  Suez  and  the  Suez 
Canal  on  the  basis  of  the  Constantinople  Con- 
vention of  1888  applying  to  all  nations;  the 
Strait  of  Tiran  and  the  Gulf  of  Aqaba  are  in- 
ternational waterways  to  be  open  to  all  nations 
for  unimpeded  and  nonsuspendable  freedom  of 
navigation  and  overflight; 

(e)  the  construction  of  a  highway  between 
the  Sinai  and  Jordan  near  Elat  with  guaranteed 
free  and  peaceful  passage  by  Egypt  and  Jor- 
dan: and 

(f)  the  stationing  of  military  forces  listed 
below . 

Stationing  of  Forces 

A.  No  more  than  one  division  (mechanized 
or  infantry)  of  Egyptian  armed  forces  will  be 
stationed  within  an  area  lying  approximately 
50  kilometers  (km)  east  of  the  Gulf  of  Suez 
and  the  Suez  Canal. 

B.  Only  United  Nations  forces  and  civil 


U.N.  SECURITY  COUNCIL 
RESOLUTION  242* 

The  Security  Council. 

Expressing  its  continuing  concern 
with  the  grave  situation  in  the  Middle 
East, 

Emphasizing  the  inadmissibility  of 
the  acquisition  of  territory  by  war  and 
the  need  to  work  for  a  just  and  lasting 
peace  in  which  every  State  in  the  area 
can  live  in  security. 

Emphasizing  further  that  all  Member 
States  in  their  acceptance  of  the  Charter 
of  the  United  Nations  have  undertaken  a 
commitment  to  act  in  accordance  with 
Article  2  of  the  Charter, 

1  .  Affirms  that  the  fulfillment  of 
Charter  principles  requires  the  estab- 
lishment of  a  just  and  lasting  peace  in 
the  Middle  East  which  should  include 
the  application  of  both  the  following 
principles: 

(i)  Withdrawal  of  Israeli  armed  forces 
from  territories  occupied  in  the  recent 
conflict; 

(ii)  Termination  of  all  claims  or 
states  of  belligerency  and  respect  for 
and  acknowledgement  of  the 
sovereignty,  territorial  integrity  and 
political  independence  of  every  State  in 


the  area  and  their  right  to  live  in  peace 
within  secure  and  recognized  bound- 
aries free  from  threats  or  acts  of  force; 

2.  Affirms  further  the  necessity 

(a)  For  guaranteeing  freedom  of  navi- 
gation through  international  waterways 
in  the  area; 

(b)  For  achieving  a  just  settlement  of 
the  refugee  problem; 

(c)  For  guaranteeing  the  territorial 
inviolability  and  political  independence 
of  every  State  in  the  area,  through 
measures  including  the  establishment  of 
demilitarized  zones; 

3.  Requests  the  Secretary-General  to 
designate  a  Special  Representative  to 
proceed  to  the  Middle  East  to  establish 
and  maintain  contacts  with  the  States 
concerned  in  order  to  promote  agree- 
ment and  assist  efforts  to  achieve  a 
peaceful  and  accepted  settlement  in  ac- 
cordance with  the  provisions  and  prin- 
ciples in  this  resolution; 

4.  Requests  the  Secretary-General  to 
report  to  the  Security  Council  on  the 
progress  of  the  efforts  of  the  Special 
Representative  as  soon  as  possible. 


♦Adopted  unanimously  on  Nov.   22. 
1967. 


10 


Department  of  State  Bullet 


police  equipped  with  light  weapons  to  perform 
normal  police  functions  will  be  stationed 
within  an  area  lying  west  of  the  international 
border  and  the  Gulf  of  Aqaba,  varying  in 
width  from  20  km  to  40  km. 

C.  In  the  area  within  3  km  east  of  the  inter- 
national border  there  will  be  Israeli  limited 
military  forces  not  to  exceed  four  infantry 
battalions  and  United  Nations  observers. 

D.  Border  patrol  units,  not  to  exceed  three 
battalions,  will  supplement  the  civil  police  in 
maintaining  order  in  the  area  not  included 
above. 

The  exact  demarcation  of  the  above  areas 
will  be  as  decided  during  the  peace  negotia- 
tions. 

Early  warning  stations  may  exist  to  insure 
compliance  with  the  terms  of  the  agreement. 

United  Nations  forces  will  be  stationed:  (a) 
in  part  of  the  area  in  the  Sinai  lying  within 
about  20  km  of  the  Mediterranean  Sea  and 
adjacent  to  the  international  border,  and  (b)  in 
the  Sharm  el  Sheikh  area  to  ensure  freedom  of 
passage  through  the  Strait  of  Tiran;  and  these 
forces  will  not  be  removed  unless  such  re- 
moval is  approved  by  the  Security  Council  of 
the  United  Nations  with  a  unanimous  vote  of 
the  five  permanent  members. 

After  a  peace  treaty  is  signed,  and  after  the 
interim  withdrawal  is  complete,  normal  rela- 
tions will  be  established  between  Egypt  and 
Israel,  including:  full  recognition,  including 
diplomatic,  economic  and  cultural  relations; 
termination  of  economic  boycotts  and  barriers 
to  the  free  movement  of  goods  and  people;  and 
mutual  protection  of  citizens  by  the  due  proc- 
ess of  law. 

Interim  Withdrawal 

Between  three  months  and  nine  months  after 
the  signing  of  the  peace  treaty,   all   Israeli 


U.N.  SECURITY  COUNCIL 
RESOLUTION  338* 

The  Security  Council 

1 .  Culls  upon  all  parties  to  the  pres- 
ent fighting  to  cease  all  firing  and  ter- 
minate all  military  activity  immediately, 
no  later  than  12  hours  after  the  moment 
of  the  adoption  of  this  decision,  in  the 
positions  they  now  occupy; 

2.  Calls  upon  the  parties  concerned  to 
start  immediately  after  the  cease-fire  the 
implementation  of  Security  Council  res- 
olution 242  (1967)  in  all  of  its  parts; 

3.  Decides  that,  immediately  and 
concurrently  with  the  cease-fire,  negoti- 
ations start  between  the  parties  con- 
cerned under  appropriate  auspices 
aimed  at  establishing  a  just  and  durable 
peace  in  the  Middle  East. 


'Adopted  on  Oct  22.  1973,  by  a  vote 
of  14  to  0  (P.R.C.  did  not  participate  in 
the  voting). 


forces  will  withdraw  east  of  a  line  extending 
from  a  point  east  of  El  Arish  to  Ras  Muham- 
mad, the  exact  location  of  this  line  to  be  de- 
termined by  mutual  agreement. 

For  the  Government  of  the 
Arab  Republic  of  Egypt: 

A    Sadat 

For  the  Government 
of  Israel: 

M   Begin 

Witnessed  by: 

Jimmy  Carter.  President 

of  the  United  States  of  America 


ACCOMPANYING  LETTERS 


uisite    to   any    negotiations   on 
between  Egypt  and  Israel. 
Sincerely. 


peace    tre; 


Sinai  Settlements9 


September  17,  1978 


Dear  Mr.  President: 

I  have  the  honor  to  inform  you  that  during 
two  weeks  after  my  return  home  I  will  submit  a 
motion  before  Israel's  Parliament  (the  Knesset) 
to  decide  on  the  following  question: 

If  during  the  negotiations  to  conclude  a 
peace  treaty  between  Israel  and  Egypt  all  out- 
standing issues  are  agreed  upon,  "are  you  in 
favor  of  the  removal  of  the  Israeli  settlers  from 
the  northern  and  southern  Sinai  areas  or  are  you 
in  favor  of  keeping  the  aforementioned  settlers 
in  those  areas?" 

The  vote,  Mr.  President,  on  this  issue  will  be 
completely  free  from  the  usual  Parliamentary 
Party  discipline  to  the  effect  that  although  the 
coalition  is  being  now  supported  by  70  mem- 
bers out  of  120,  every  member  of  the  Knesset, 
as  I  believe,  both  on  the  Government  and  the 
Opposition  benches  will  be  enabled  to  vote  in 
accordance  with  his  own  conscience. 
Sincerely  yours. 

(signed) 

Menachem  Begin 

The  President 
Camp  David 
Thurmont.  Maryland 


September  22,  1978 

Dear  Mr.  President: 

I  transmit  herewith  a  copy  of  a  letter  to  me 
from  Prime  Minister  Begin  setting  forth  how  he 
proposes  to  present  the  issue  of  the  Sinai  set- 
tlements to  the  Knesset  for  the  latter's  deci- 
sion 

In  this  connection.  1  understand  from  your 
letter  that  Knesset  approval  to  withdraw  all 
Israeli  settlers  from  Sinai  according  to  a  time- 
table within  the  period  specified  for  the  im- 
plementation of  the  peace  treaty  is  a  prereq- 


(signed) 
Jimmy  Carter 


Enclosure: 

Letter  from  Prime  Minister  Begin 

His  Excellency 
Anwar  Al-Sadat 
President  of  the  Arab 
Republic  of  Egypt 
Cairo 


September  17,  19 

Dear  Mr   President: 

In  connection  with  the  "Framework  for 
Settlement  in  Sinai"  to  be  signed  tonight, 
would  like  to  reaffirm  the  position  of  the  Ar 
Republic  of  Egypt  with  respect  to  the  sett 
ments: 

1  All  Israeli  settlers  must  be  withdra' 
from  Sinai  according  to  a  timetable  within  t 
period  specified  for  the  implementation  of  t 
peace  treaty 

2  Agreement  by  the  Israeli  Government  a 
its  constitutional  institutions  to  this  basic  pr; 
ciple  is  therefore  a  prerequisite  to  starti 
peace  negotiations  for  concluding  a  pea 
treaty. 

3.  If  Israel  fails  to  meet  this  commitme 
the  "Framework"  shall  be  void  and  invalid. 
Sincerely, 

(signed) 

Mohamed  Anwar  El  Sadat 

His  Excellency  Jimmy  Carter 
President  of  the  United  States 


September  22.  19' 

Dear  Mr.  Prime  Minister: 

I  have  received  your  letter  of  September  1 
1978,  describing  how  you  intend  to  place  t 
question  of  the  future  of  Israeli  settlements 
Sinai  before  the  Knesset  for  its  decision. 

Enclosed  is  a  copy  of  President  Sadat's  leti 
to  me  on  this  subject. 
Sincerely, 

(signed) 

Jimmy  Carter 

Enclosure: 

Letter  from  President  Sadat 

His  Excellency 
Menachem  Begin 
Prime  Minister  of  Israel 


Jerusalem"1 


September  17,  19 


Dear  Mr   President, 

I  am  writing  you  to  reaffirm  the  position 
the  Arab  Republic  of  Egypt  with  respect 
Jerusalem: 

1.  Arab  Jerusalem  is  an  integral  part  of  t 


Jctober  1M78 


11 


West  Bank.  Legal  and  historical  Arab  rights  in 
He  City  must  be  respected  and  restored, 
i  2.  Arab   Jerusalem    should    be    under   Arab 
uvereignty. 

]  3.  The    Palestinian    inhabitants    of   Arab 
'Jerusalem  are  entitled  to  exercise  their  legiti- 
mate national  rights,  being  part  of  the  Palesti- 
ian  People  in  the  West  Bank. 
,\  4.  Relevant    Security    Council    Resolutions, 
narticularly  Resolutions  242  and  267,  must  be 
pplied  with  regard  to  Jerusalem.  All  the  meas- 
res  taken  by  Israel  to  alter  the  status  of  the 
ity  are  null  and  void  and  should  be  rescinded. 
5.  All  peoples  must  have  free  access  to  the 
'lity  and  enjoy  the  free  exercise  of  worship  and 
le  right  to  visit  and  transit  to  the  holy  places 
ithout  distinction  or  discrimination 
.  6.  The   holy    places   of  each    faith   may   be 
i  laced  under  the  administration  and  control  of 
flieir  representatives. 

f  7.  Essential  functions  in  the  City  should  be 
ndivided  and  a  joint  municipal  council  com- 
posed of  an  equal  number  of  Arab  and  Israeli 
members  can  supervise  the  carrying  out  of 
-Jiese  functions.  In  this  way,  the  City  shall  be 
ndivided. 
Sincerely, 

(signed) 

Mohamed  Anwar  El  Sadat 

is  Excellency  Jimmy  Carter 
resident  of  the  United  States 


17  September  1978 

•ear  Mr   President. 

I  have  the  honor  to  inform  you,  Mr.  Presi- 
ent,  that  on  28  June  1967 — Israel's  Parliament 
The  Knesset)  promulgated  and  adopted  a  law 
)  the  effect:  "the  Government  is  empowered 
y  a  decree  to  apply  the  law,  the  jurisdiction 
nd  administration  of  the  State  to  any  part  of 
iretz  Israel  (land  of  Israel — Palestine),  as 
tated  in  that  decree.  " 

On  the  basis  of  this  law,  the  Government  of 
srael  decreed  in  July  1967  that  Jerusalem  is 
me  city  indivisible,  the  Capital  of  the  State  of 
srael. 

Sincerely, 

(signed) 

Menachem  Begin 

'he  President 
Tamp  David 
Tiurmont,  Maryland 


September  22,  1978 

)ear  Mr   President: 

I  have  received  your  letter  of  September  17, 

:978,   setting  forth  the   Egyptian  position  on 

erusalem.    I   am   transmitting  a  copy  of  that 

Better  to  Prime  Minister  Begin  for  his  informa- 

ion. 

The  position  of  the  United  States  on 
lerusalem  remains  as  stated  by  Ambassador 
3oldberg  in  the  United  Nations  General  As- 
sembly on  July    14,    1967."   and  subsequently 


by   Ambassador   Yost   in   the   United    Nations 
Security  Council  on  July  1 ,  1 969. ' ' 
Sincerely, 

(signed) 

Jimmy  Carter 

His  Excellency 
Anwar  al-Sadat 
President  of  the  Arab 
Republic  of  Egypt 
Cairo 

Implementation  of  Comprehensive 
Settlement  '3 

September  17,  1978 

Dear  Mr.  President: 

In  connection  with  the  "Framework  for 
Peace  in  the  Middle  East",  I  am  writing  you 
this  letter  to  inform  you  of  the  position  of  the 
Arab  Republic  of  Egypt,  with  respect  to  the 
implementation  of  the  comprehensive  settle- 
ment. 

To  ensure  the  implementation  of  the  provi- 
sions related  to  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  and  in 
order  to  safeguard  the  legitimate  rights  of  the 
Palestinian  people,  Egypt  will  be  prepared  to 
assume  the  Arab  role  emanating  from  these 
provisions,  following  consultations  with  Jordan 
and  the  representatives  of  the  Palestinian 
people. 

Sincerely, 

(signed) 
Mohamed  Anwar  El  Sadat 

His  Excellency 

Jimmy  Carter 

President  of  the  United  States 

The  White  House 

Washington,  D.C. 


Airbases15 


September  28,  1978 


Definition  of  Terms" 


September  22.  1978 


Dear  Mr.  Prime  Minister: 

I  hereby  acknowledge  that  you  have  in- 
formed me  as  follows: 

A)  In  each  paragraph  of  the  Agreed 
Framework  Document  the  expressions  "Pales- 
tinians" or  "Palestinian  People"  are  being  and 
will  be  construed  and  understood  by  you  as 
"Palestinian  Arabs." 

B)  In  each  paragraph  in  which  the  expression 
"West  Bank"  appears,  it  is  being,  and  will  be, 
understood  by  the  Government  of  Israel  as 
Judea  and  Samaria. 

Sincerely, 

(signed) 
Jimmy  Carter 

His  Excellency 
Menachem  Begin 
Prime  Minister  of  Israel 


Editor's  Note 

Any 

additional  correspondence 

wi 

11  be 

printed 

in   the    Bulletin   when 

it 

has 

been  publicly  released. 

Dear  Mr.  Minister: 

The  U.S.  understands  that,  in  connection 
with  carrying  out  the  agreements  reached  at 
Camp  David,  Israel  intends  to  build  two  mili- 
tary airbases  at  appropriate  sites  in  the  Negev 
to  replace  the  airbases  at  Eitam  and  Etzion 
which  will  be  evacuated  by  Israel  in  accordance 
with  the  peace  treaty  to  be  concluded  between 
Egypt  and  Israel.  We  also  understand  the  spe- 
cial urgency  and  priority  which  Israel  attaches 
to  preparing  the  new  bases  in  light  of  its  con- 
viction that  it  cannot  safely  leave  the  Sinai 
airbases  until  the  new  ones  are  operational. 

I  suggest  that  our  two  governments  consult 
on  the  scope  and  costs  of  the  two  new  airbases 
as  well  as  on  related  forms  of  assistance  which 
the  United  States  might  appropriately  provide 
in  light  of  the  special  problems  which  may  be 
presented  by  carrying  out  such  a  project  on  an 
urgent  basis.  The  President  is  prepared  to  seek 
the  necessary  Congressional  approvals  for  such 
assistance  as  may  be  agreed  upon  by  the  U.S. 
side  as  a  result  of  such  consultations. 

(signed) 

Harold  Brown 
Secretary  of  Defense 

The  Honorable 

Ezer  Weizman 

Minister  of  Defense 

Government  of  Israel  □ 


'Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Sept.  25,  1978. 

2  Made  to  reporters  assembled  on  the  South 
Lawn  of  the  White  House  (text  from  Weekly 
Compilation  of  Sept.  II). 

JText  from  White  House  press  release  of 
Sept.  5. 

4Text  from  White  House  press  release  of 
Sept.  5. 

Mssued  by  President  Carter,  President 
Sadat,  and  Prime  Minister  Begin  at  Camp 
David  (text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Sept. 
11). 

6Made  in  the  East  Room  of  the  White  House 
at  the  signing  ceremony  (text  from  Weekly 
Compilation  of  Sept.  25). 

'Texts  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Sept. 
25. 

8The  texts  of  Resolutions  242  and  338  are 
annexed  to  this  document  [original  in  agree- 
ment], 

'Released  by  the  White  House  on  Sept.  22 
(text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Sept.  25). 

'"Released  by  the  White  House  on  Sept.  22 
(text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Sept.  25). 

"For  text  of  Ambassador  Goldberg's  state- 
ment, see  Bulletin  of  July  31 ,  1967,  p.  148. 

12For  text  of  Ambassador  Yost's  statement, 
see  Bulletin  of  July  28,  1969,  p.  76. 

"Released  by  the  White  House  on  Sept.  22 
(text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Sept.  25). 

"Released  by  the  White  House  on  Sept.  22 
(text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Sept.  25). 

15  Released  by  the  Department  of  Defense  on 
Sept.  29. 


12 


THE  PRESIDENT: 

News  Conference 
of  August  1 7  (Excerpts) 


As  President  of  the  United  States, 
my  ultimate  responsibility  is  to  the 
protection  of  our  nation's  security,  and 
as  Commander  in  Chief  of  our  Armed 
Forces,  it's  my  obligation  to  see  that 
those  forces  are  operationally  ready, 
fully  equipped,  and  prepared  for  any 
contingency.  Because  I  take  these  re- 
sponsibilities seriously,  I  submitted 
this  spring  a  defense  budget  designed 
to  improve  our  military  preparedness 
and  calling  for  increased  spending  in 
real  terms,  above  and  beyond  the  cost 
of  inflation,  especially  for  enhanced 
readiness  and  for  the  urgent  re- 
quirements of  strengthening  our  NATO 
forces. 

Because  of  these  same  obligations, 
and  with  the  concurrence  of  the  Sec- 
retary of  Defense,  I  have  decided  to 
veto  the  defense  authorization  bill 
which  the  Congress  passed  last  week.1 

This  is  not  a  question  of  money. 
The  Congress  has  reduced  only 
slightly  the  amount  of  money  that  I 
recommended  for  our  nation's  defense. 
It's  a  question  of  how  that  money  is 
going  to  be  spent — whether  it  will  be 
concentrated  in  the  most  vital  areas 
of  need  or  diverted  to  less  crucial 
projects. 

We  must  have  the  strongest  possible 
defense  within  the  budget  limits  set  by 
Congress.  We  cannot  afford  to  waste 
our  national  defense  dollars.  We  need 
better  maintenance  and  logistical  sup- 
port, more  research  and  development, 
a  more  flexible  Navy.  And  we  need 
these  improvements  now.  not  8  or  10 
years  in  the  future.  The  defense  au- 
thorization bill  does  not  meet  any  of 
these  requirements. 

There  are  four  particularly  disturb- 
ing areas  in  which  this  bill,  by  cutting 
into  the  muscle  of  our  military  re- 
quest, could  weaken  our  defenses  and 
erode  our  contributions  to  NATO. 

This  bill,  for  instance,  cuts  $800 
million  for  weapons  and  equipment  for 
our  Army  forces,  undermining  our 
commitment  to  NATO  at  the  very  time 
when  our  allies  recognize  the  urgent 
need  to  improve  the  power  and  the 
readiness  of  our  forces  in  Europe. 

This  bill  would  also  cut  $200  mil- 
lion for  Air  Force  weapons  and 
equipment  which  would  add  flexibility 
and  strength  to  our  military  forces,  not 
only  in  NATO  and  this  country  but 
throughout  the  world. 


This  bill  would  also  cause  a  cut  of 
half  a  billion  dollars  — $500 
million — from  readiness  funds.  This  is 
an  unglamorous  part,  but  it's  neces- 
sary for  expenditures  for  ship  over- 
hauls, weapon  repairs,  spare  parts, 
personnel  training,  and  the  logistical 
support  which  guarantees  that  we  can 
move  our  forces  and  have  them  act 
immediately  when  they're  needed. 

And  this  bill  also  cuts  very  heavily 
from  military  research  and  develop- 
ment funds.  I  had  requested  a  sub- 
stantial increase  in  these  funds  to 
sustain  our  position  of  technical  ex- 
cellence in  a  world  where  circum- 
stances change  rapidly  and  where 
weapons  are  increasingly  dependent  on 
advanced  technology.  The  bill  that  has 
passed  the  Congress  could  lead  to  an 
actual  decrease  in  these  funds  for  next 
year. 

The  ultimate  effect  of  this  bill 
would  also  weaken  our  Navy  by  ag- 
gravating the  dangerous  trend  away 
from  a  larger  number  of  different 
kinds  of  ships,  which  can  maintain  our 
military  presence  on  the  high  seas,  and 
toward  a  disturbingly  small  number  of 
ships  which  are  increasingly  costly. 

What  the  Congress  has  done  with 
the  money  being  cut  from  these  vital 
areas  is  to  authorize  a  fifth  nuclear- 
powered  aircraft  carrier,  which  we  do 
not  need.  This  would  be  the  most  ex- 
pensive ship  ever  built.  Its  purchase 
price,  even  estimated  now,  would  be 
at  least  $2  billion,  and  the  aircraft  it 
would  carry  and  the  extra  ships  re- 
quired to  escort  and  defend  it  would 
cost  billions  more  in  years  to  come. 

In  order  to  use  our  dollars  for  their 
maximum  effect,  we  must  choose  the 
armor,  artillery,  aircraft,  and  support 
that  will  immediately  bolster  our 
strength,  especially  in  NATO.  By  di- 
verting funds  away  from  more  impor- 
tant defense  needs  in  order  to  build  a 
very  expensive  nuclear  aircraft  carrier. 
this  bill  would  reduce  our  commitment 
to  NATO,  waste  the  resources  avail- 
able for  defense,  and  weaken  our 
nation's  military  capabilities  in  the 
future. 

I  will  be  glad  to  cooperate  with 
Congress  in  passing  a  more  responsi- 
ble bill,  and  I  urge  the  Members  of 
Congress  to  face  that  duty  as  soon  as 
they  return  from  their  recess.  The  na- 
tion's interest  and  my  oath  of  office 


■• 


Department  of  State  Bulleti| 

require  me  to  veto  this  bill  and  to  see 
a  stronger  defense  for  our  country. 

Q.  Your  direct  involvement  in  th< 
Middle  East  summit  conference  nex 
month  is  seeming  to  be  a  high-risl 
gamble.  Could  you  say  what  led  yoi 
to  take  this  step  and  what  are  thi 
risks?    What   happens   if  this   effor 

fails? 

: 

A.  Let  me  say,  first  of  all,  that  w 
don't  act  just  as  a  nonintereste> 
mediator  or  message  carrier  in  th 
Mideast  negotiations.  Our  own  na 
tional  security  is  vitally  involved,  no 
only  in  maintaining  peace  around  th' 
world  but  especially  in  the  Middl 
East,  and  we  have  devoted  our  utmos 
effort  to  bringing  about  a  peaceful  res 
olution  of  the  longstanding  Middl 
Eastern  disputes. 

I  have  met  in  small  groups  and  pri 
vately  with  Prime  Minister  Begin  am 
with  President  Sadat  on  many  occa 
sions.  I  think  I  know  them  both  quiti 
well,  and  I  am  absolutely  convincei 
that  both  men  want  peace,  and  thi 
people  in  both  nations  genuinely  warn 
peace. 

All  of  us  were  pleased  las 
November  [and  December]  when  th* 
exchange  of  visits  took  place — Sada 
going  to  Jerusalem,  Begin  going  t< 
Ismailia.  It  was  one  of  the  happies 
few  weeks  of  my  career  as  Presiden 
not  to  be  involved  in  those  negotia 
tions  and  to  see  them  face-to-face 
trying  to  work  out  the  differences  be 
tween  them. 

Since  then,  the  interrelationship 
which  brought  us  such  high  hopes  las 
winter  have  deteriorated  rapidly.  Ir 
spite  of  our  best  efforts,  recently 
those  peace  talks  broke  down  com 
pletely,  not  only  at  the  high  level  ol 
the  Prime  Minister  and  President  bui 
even  at  a  lower  level  involving  cabinet 
officers  themselves.  Even  when  Sec- 
retary Vance  had  scheduled  a  trip  tc 
the  Mideast,  we  could  not  get  the 
leaders  to  agree  to  meet. 

It  is  a  very  high  risk  thing  for  me 
politically,  because  now  I  think  if  we 
are  unsuccessful  at  Camp  David,  I  will 
certainly  have  to  share  part  of  the 
blame  for  that  failure.  But  I  don't  see 
that  I  could  do  anything  differently, 
because  I'm  afraid  that  if  the  leaders 
do  not  meet  and  do  not  permit  their 
subordinates  to  meet  in  a  continuing 
series  of  tough  negotiations  that  the 
situation  in  the  Middle  East  might  be 
much  more  serious  in  the  future  even 
than  it  is  now. 

So,  I  decided  on  my  own,  and  later 
got  the  concurrence  of  my  top 
advisers — including  Secretary  of  State 
Vance  and  the  Vice  President  and 
others — to  invite  both  those   men  to 


ctober  1978 

neet  with  me  at  Camp  David.  We  do 
lot  have  any  assurance  of  success.  I 
lo  not  anticipate   being  completely 
uccessful    there   and    having   a   peace 
reaty    signed    in   that   brief  period   of 
ime.    But   if  we   can   get   them  to  sit 
own  and  discuss  honestly   and  sin- 
erely  their  desires  for  peace,   to 
xplore  the  compatibilities  between 
■hem,  to  identify  very  clearly  the  dif- 
ferences,  try  to  resolve  those  differ- 
ences,  then  I  think  we  can  set  a 
iramework  for  peace  in  the  future. 
|    It  may  result  only  in  a  redetermina- 
tion or  recommitment  to  continue  sub- 
. equent  negotiations.   We  might  make 
Jiiore  progress  than  that.   But  we  will 
o  there  as  a  full  partner  in  the  discus- 
lions,   depending   primarily,   however, 
>|n  the  two  national  leaders  themselves 
I)  work  out   the  differences   between 
Item. 

I  I  pray  and  I  hope  the  whole  nation, 
lie  whole  world  will  pray  that  we  do 
Jot  fail,  because  failure  could  result  in 
I  new  conflict  in  the  Middle  East 
hich  could  severely  damage  the  se- 
JJurity  of  our  own  country. 

Q.  You're  said  to  be  very  deeply 

I  mcerned  about  the  dollar.  Is  there 

dollar  crisis?  What  are  you  going 

:  p  do  about  it?  And  why  haven't  you 

i  9ne  something  yet?  And  I  have  a 

'Uowup.  [Laughter] 

.    A.  I  am  deeply  concerned  about  the 
I  )llar.  And  I  have  asked  Secretary  of 
treasury  Mike  Blumenthal  and  the 
i  hairman  of  the  Federal  Reserve,  Bill 
■  tiller,  and  others  to  consult  with  one 
t  tother  and  to  give  me  advice  on  steps 
i:  at  can  be  taken  by  them  and  by  me. 
"I  There  are  some  factors  that  are  en- 
luraging   in  the   long  run.    Recent 
onthly  data  have  shown  that  our 
ilance-of-trade  deficit  is  going  down, 
believe  that  we've  made  good  prog- 
ss  in  seeing  an  increase  in  the  eco- 
)mic  growth  of  other  nations  over- 
as  so  that  they  are  better  able  now 
id   in   the   future   to   buy   our  goods 
an  they  have  been  in  the  past,  when 
e  were  growing  fast  and  we  could 
ford  to  buy  their  goods. 
The   Congress   can   contribute.    The 
ngle  most  important  thing  that  Con- 
fess can  do  to  control   inflation   and 
so  to  ease  the  pressures  on  the  dollar 
id  to  reduce  our  severe  adverse  trade 
ilance  is  to  pass  an  energy  bill.  I've 
one  everything   in   the   world   that   I 
iuld  do  and  so  have  my  Cabinet 
embers  and  all  my  staff  members 
id  many  hundreds  of  people  around 
e  country  to  induce  Congress  to  go 
lead  and  act  on  a  comprehensive 
lergy  bill.   They  have  not  yet  done 
).  They've  been  working  on  it  since 
pril   of   1977.    We   still   have   hopes 


that  the  Congress  will  act  successfully. 

Another  underlying  problem,  of 
course,  is  inflation,  and  we  are  dealing 
with  that  on  many  levels.  One,  of 
course,  is  to  hold  down  the  size  of  the 
Federal  deficit.  We've  made  good 
progress  there.  I  know  that  when  I  ran 
for  President  in  1976,  the  Federal 
deficit  was  in  the  sixties  of  billions  of 
dollars.  By  1978,  it  was  down  to  the 
fifties  of  billions  of  dollars;  '79,  the 
forties  of  billions  of  dollars,  low  for- 
ties; and  by  the  1980  fiscal  year,  I  am 
determined  to  have  it  down  in  the 
thirties  of  billions  of  dollars. 

We  are  eliminating  excessive 
spending  and  demonstrating  to  our 
country  and  the  rest  of  the  world  that 
we  are  determined  to  hold  down  infla- 
tion. But  it's  a  tenacious  thing.  It 
would  be  erroneous  for  me  to  insinuate 
to  the  American  people  that  it's  easy 
and  that  we're  going  to  solve  it  over- 
night. Everybody  has  got  to  help.  But 
if  we  can  top  it  out — the  inflationary 
curve — this  year,  I  think  that  will  send 
a  good  signal  to  the  world  monetary 
markets. 

We  have  a  combination  of  prob- 
lems, some  of  which  we  are  address- 
ing successfully,  some  of  which  are 
very  difficult,  but  we  are  all  working 
in  concert.  And  I  believe  that  the  un- 
derlying economic  strength  of  our  na- 
tion will  prevent  a  further  deterioration 
in  the  status  of  our  nation  and  a  fur- 
ther deterioration  in  the  dollar,  par- 
ticularly if  the  Congress  will  act  and  if 
we  can  act  in  this  Administration  to 
address  those  questions  that  I've  just 
described. 

Q.  Back  to  the  summit  and  what- 
ever preparations  may  have  been 
made.  I  want  to  push  one  step  fur- 
ther, if  I  may.  Is  there  an  agreement 
or  an  arrangement  or  even  a  slight 
arrangement  already  in  place  before 
you  go  into  this  big  meeting? 

A.  In  my  letter  to  both  Prime 
Minister  Begin  and  Sadat,  I  outlined 
some  of  the  principles  on  which  we 
should  meet,  not  negotiating  principles 
but  the  need,  for  instance,  to  lessen 
the  vituperation  that  had  been  sweep- 
ing back  and  forth  between  govern- 
ment leaders,  to  express  in  a  positive 
fashion  their  determination  to  come  to 
Camp  David  with  flexibility  and  with 
an  ability  on  the  part  of  those  govern- 
ment leaders  to  act. 

The  immediacy  of  their  response — 
they  did  not  delay  at  all,  when  they 
read  my  letter,  to  say  "I  will  come  to 
Camp  David" — is  indicative  of  good 
faith  on  their  part.  But  I  do  not  have 
any  commitment  from  them  to  change 
their  previously  expressed  positions  as 


13 

a  prerequisite  or  prelude  to  coming  to 
Camp  David. 

Q.  Your  Agriculture  Secretary 
was  quoted  as  saying  earlier  this 
week  that  you  intended  to  retaliate 
against  the  cheapshot  artists  in  Con- 
gress who  oppose  some  of  your  pro- 
grams. What  is  your  attitude  toward 
Congress  as  you  come  up  to  the 
Labor  Day  recess? 

A.  I  would  say  that  in  general,  the 
Congress  has  been  very  cooperative 
and  very  constructive.  I  think  any 
analysis  of  the  accomplishments  of 
Congress  last  year  in  the  domestic 
field  would  be  favorable.  We  ad- 
dressed the  most  difficult  questions  of 
all  successfully.  The  energy  question 
was  put  off  until  this  year  and  still  has 
not  yet  been  addressed. 

In  foreign  affairs  this  year,  I  think 
the  Congress  has  acted  with  great 
judgment  and  also  with  great  courage 
to  deal  with  some  longstanding  ques- 
tions involving  sales  of  weapons  to  the 
moderate  Arab  nations,  approval  of 
the  Panama  Canal  treaties,  removal  of 
the  embargo  against  Turkey,  and  so 
forth. 

I  have  never  discussed  this  subject 
with  the  Secretary  of  Agriculture,  and 
he's  never  discussed  it  with  me.  But  I 
certainly  don't  have  any  animosity 
against  any  Member  of  Congress.  I  do 
not  have  a  list  of  Congress  Members 
who  are  worthy  of  punishment.  I  have 
no  inclination  to  do  that;  it's  not  part 
of  my  nature.  And  I  think  it  would  be 
counterproductive  if  I  attempted  it. 

Q.  Earlier  this  year,  you 
suggested  that  the  time  might  come 
when  you  would  have  to  move  ad- 
ministratively to  impose  import  fees 
or  quotas  on  foreign  oil.  My  ques- 
tion is,  are  we  near  that  time,  and  if 
Congress  should  adjourn  this  year 
without  passing  what  you  consider 
to  be  a  substantial  energy  bill,  will 
you  do  it? 

A.  That's  an  option  that  I  will 
maintain  open  for  myself.  Obviously 
there  are  several  options  that  can  be 
exercised,  the  most  advantageous  of 
which  to  consumers,  to  oil  producers, 
to  our  own  country,  and,  I  think,  to 
the  rest  of  the  world,  is  to  pass  the 
energy  proposal  as  I  presented  it  to  the 
Congress — to  impose  a  tax  on  oil,  to 
reduce  its  waste,  and  to  encourage 
more  use  of  American  oil  in  the  first 
place,  and  to  distribute  the  revenues 
from  that  tax  back  immediately  to  the 
American  people.  This  would  be  a 
very  constructive  attitude. 

The  second  one  would  be,  in  the 
absence  of  congressional  action,  for 
me  to  impose,  through  Executive  order 


14 

under  the  present  law,  either  import 
quotas,  limiting  the  amount  of  oil  that 
could  come  in,  or  import  fees,  which 
would  charge  extra  for  oil  coming  into 
the  nation.  And,  of  course,  the  other 
option,  which  is  one  that  I  think  would 
be  at  the  bottom  of  the  list,  would  be 
to  permit  the  oil  companies  to  unilat- 
erally increase  the  price  of  their  oil 
very  high  and  to  let  the  consumers  pay 
for  it  to  the  enrichment  of  the  oil 
companies  themselves. 

That's  a  list  of  the  options  that  I  can 
think  of  at  this  moment  that  exist  for 
me.  And  my  preference,  of  course,  is 
for  the  Congress  to  act.  But  I  cannot 
foreclose  the  option  that  I  have  to  act 
unilaterally  through  Executive  order  if 
the  Congress  does  not  act. 


Q.  Do  you  plan  to  continue  selec- 
tive trade  sanctions  against  the 
Soviet  Union  since  some  allied  na- 
tions, such  as  France,  are  unwilling 
to  cooperate  in  technological 
boycotts? 

A.  We  obviously  don't  have  any  in- 
clination to  declare  a  trade  embargo 
against  the  Soviet  Union  to  stop  all 
trade.  It's  to  the  advantage  of  our 
country  to  have  trade  with  the  Soviet 
Union.  I  think  embargoes  that  have 
been  imposed  in  the  past  by  previous 
Administrations — for  instance,  an  un- 
announced and  unilateral  stopping  of 
shipments  of  feed  grains  and  food 
grains  and  soybeans  overseas — has 
been  very  detrimental  to  our  country.  I 
do  not  intend  to  do  that.  But  we'll 
assess  each  individual  sale  on  the  basis 
of  several  criteria,  one  of  the  most 
important  ones  of  which  is,  does  this 
sale  contribute  to  an  enhancement  of 
the  Soviet's  military  capability  and  is 
this  country  the  only  reasonable  source 
of  a  supply  for  that  particular  item? 

And  we  have  a  very  well  established 
procedure  in  the  government  for  car- 
rying out  that  analysis.  And  I  believe 
that  my  own  cancellation  of  the  sale  of 
a  very  large  computer  a  month  or  so 
ago  was  well-advised,  but  we'll  have 
to  consider  each  one  of  those  addi- 
tional items  as  they  are  proposed  on 
its  own  merits. 

It  takes  a  long  time  for  a  decision 
like  that  to  get  to  my  desk.  Most  of 
them  are  simply  canceled  before  they 
ever  arrive — even  come  in  to  my  at- 
tention. The  Commerce  Department 
and  others  assess  it;  the  State  Depart- 
ment has  to  approve  it  before  it  comes 
to  me.  But  we'll  have  to  assess  them 
on  an  individual  basis. 

Q.  Getting  back  to  energy  and  the 
veto  today,  Senator  Jackson  was 
suggesting  today  that  this  is  going  to 


be  a  big  problem  for  the  energy  bill, 
now  that  you've  vetoed  the  defense 
bill,  because  he  says  the  aircraft 
carrier  was  kind  of  the  glue  that 
held  that  thing  together,  and  it  took 
them  6  months  to  get  the  bill.  And 
he  says  now  it's  going  to  be  a  prob- 
lem, and  he  says  we've  got  so  many 
headaches  and  this  is  another  one.  It 
seems  rather  significant  to  me,  in 
that  he's  the  man  that  is  carrying 
that  energy  bill  for  you. 

A.  I  met  this  morning  with  Senator 
Jackson  and  others  to  go  over  the  rea- 
sons for  my  veto.  He  did  not  disagree 
with  the  reasons  that  I  expressed.  I 
have  not  had  a  single  adviser  who  told 
me  that  we  ought  to  go  ahead  with  the 
nuclear  aircraft  carrier. 

The  only  concerns  that  anyone  has 
expressed  to  me  is  that  it  might  create 
additional  work  for  Congress  in  cor- 
recting an  error  that  I  think  they  made, 
or  that  it  might  cause  me  political 
problems  in  having  vetoed  a  bill  and 
had  a  confrontation  with  Congress. 

I  don't  desire  to  do  anything  with 
Congress  but  to  cooperate  with  them. 
We  are  working  now  in  the  House, 
which  will  first  take  up  the  veto  since 
the  bill  originated  in  the  House,  to 
make  sure  that  we  can  sustain  my  veto 
on  the  basis  of  its  own  merits.  I  don't 
see  any  reason  to  link  the  building  of  a 
nuclear  aircraft  carrier,  which  will  be 
completed  maybe  in  1987,  with  the 
approval  of  a  conference  committee 
report  on  natural  gas  that's  been 
negotiated  now  for  almost  16  months. 

Q.  Yes,  sir,  but  are  you  confident 
someone  up  there  might  not  see  it? 

A.  I  cannot  guarantee  that  nobody 
considers  it,  but  I  can  tell  you  this:  It 
won't  be  the  first  problem  we've  had 
with  the  natural  gas  bill.  [Laughter] 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

one  that's  mutually  set.  We  have 
very  good  representative  in  Chin; 
Leonard  Woodcock.  They  have  a  vei 
fine  representative  here,  a  new  repn 
sentative  not  known  as  an  ambassado 
in  Washington  whom  I've  not  yet  met 

But  we  are  constantly  exploring 
ways  to  have  better  relationships  wil 
China.  First  of  all,  no  matter  what  ot 
relationship  is  with  them  on  a  bilater, 
basis,  we  want  China  to  be  a  peacefi 
nation,  to  be  secure,  and  to  have  the 
beneficial  effects  felt  around  the  worh 
Secondly,  we  want  our  bilateral  n 
lationships  with  them  to  be  better,  t 
enhance  trade,  communications,  stu 
dent  exchange,  and  so  forth,  whethi 
or  not  we  have  diplomatic  relations  i 
such.  And  then,  of  course,  the  fin; 
thing  is  to  hope  for  diplomatic  rel; 
tions  when  we're  both  willing  to  pre, 
ceed  expeditiously  and  when  we'i 
both  willing  to  accommodate  on 
another's  wishes. 

I  can't  tell  you  what  the  pace  of  th. 
might  be.   It's  not  something  that 
could  unilaterally  impose  upon  then 
and  I  have  to  judge  by  what  their  Fi 
sponse  might  be. 

I  think  there's  a  new  impression- 
certainly  that  I  have  of  the  leadershi 
in  China — that  they  are  more  ou 
reaching  now,  they're  more  outgoing. 

The  present  visit  of  Chairman  Hu; 
for  instance,  to  Romania,  is  a  goc| 
indication  and  an  almost  unpn 
cedented  thing  for  them  to  go  out  im 
the  Eastern  European  world,  an 
perhaps  even  other  countries  as  we 
later  on.  to  make  visits.  I  think  th. 
they  are  reaching  out  in  a  spirit  ( 
friendship.  If  they  do,  I  will  respon 
in  good  faith.  I  just  cannot  give  you 
time  schedule. 

[ 


Q.  During  a  recent  interview  you 
made  the  point  that  both  we  and  the 
Chinese  are  patient  on  the  subject  of 
establishing  full  diplomatic  rela- 
tions. My  question  concerns  the  ex- 
tent of  that  patience  on  your  part, 
whether  now  it  might  be  something 
indefinitely  on  the  back  burner  or 
something  you  would  like  to  see  ac- 
complished between  now  and,  let's 
say,  the  end  of  1980. 

A.  The  normalization  of  relations 
with  the  People's  Republic  of  China 
has  always  been  a  goal  of  my  Admin- 
istration. It  was  a  goal  of  my  prede- 
cessors under  the  general  provisions  of 
the  Shanghai  communique  that  was 
signed  by  President  Nixon  on  his  his- 
toric visit  to  China. 

The   pace   of  negotiations   must   be 


For  full  text,  see  Weekh  Compilation  of  Presl 
dential  Documents  of  Aug.  21,  1978,  p.  1438 

'For  the  text  of  President  Carter's  message  t 
the  House  of  Representatives  returning  H  RJ 
10929  without  approval  on  Aug.   17,  1978,  se 
Weekly  Compilation  of  Aug.  21,  p.  1447. 


Ictober  1978 


15 


AFRICA:        Peaceful  Solutions  to  Conflicts 
in  Namibia  and  Southern  Rhodesia 


y  Warren  Christopher 


Based  on  an  address  before  the  liti- 
ation  section  of  the  American  Bar 
ssociation  in  New  York  on  August  9, 
$78.  Mr.  Christopher  is  Deputy  Sec- 
tary of  State. 


I  want  to  talk  briefly  at  the  outset 
Dout  our  efforts  to  find  peaceful  so- 
itions  to  serious  regional   conflicts 

1  tat  threaten  peace.  Our  participation 
l  the  peacemaking  process  is 
■itical — in  Namibia,  in  Rhodesia,  in 
ebanon  and  elsewhere  in  the  Middle 
ast,  in  Cyprus,  and  in  other  serious 
ouble  spots  of  the  world.  These  re- 
onal  disputes  contain  the  seeds  of 
ider  conflict.  Each  poses  a  grave  risk 
world  peace  in  a  nuclear  age. 
The  heaviest  toll  falls  on  those  who 

"re  caught  in  the  conflict.  Resources 
id  energy  are  drained  from  the  work 
building  better  lives  and  stronger 
icieties.  And  as  the  weaponry  of  re- 
onal  conflict  becomes  more  sophisti- 
ited,  the  potential  cost  in  human 
v>es  grows  more  dear. 
We  must  all  recognize  that  there  are 
)  instant  solutions  or  quick  remedies 
ir  disputes  with  such  deep  roots, 
ecades — sometimes  centuries — of 
utual  suspicion  and  distrust  are  not 
usily  overcome.  And  basic  differ- 
tces  of  race,  religion,  ethnic  back- 
ound,  and  national  identity  often 
el  the  discord.  But  it  is  equally  im- 
)rtant  to  recognize  that  progress  can 

[J:  made,  that  seemingly  irreconcilable 

fferences  can  be  overcome.  And  the 

nited  States  has  a  unique  role  to  play 

working  for  this  progress. 

There  has  been,  in  recent  years,  an 

l  warranted  pessimism  about  the  pos- 

<  bilities  for  American   diplomacy.    It 

'  ay  stem  in  part  from  the  fact  that  we 
e  dealing  with  an  increasingly  com- 
icated  world  scene  in  which  there 
e  many  more  nations  than  a  genera- 
Dn  ago  and  the  relative  influence  of 
ty  one  country  is  diminished. 
Professor  Stanley  Hoffmann  recently 
ascribed  our  past  diplomatic  experi- 

•tce  as  having  been  premised  either 
i  isolation  or  on  supremacy.  Now,  in 
more  pluralistic  world,  our  challenge 
to  lead  even  when  we  do  not  domi- 
ite;  to  use  our  immense  and  un- 
oubted  strength  to  inspire  other 
ations — strong  and  weak — to  work 
ith  us  toward  goals  we  share  and 
innot  reach  alone. 


I  have  no  doubt  that  the  United 
States  can  effectively  play  this  role. 
For  our  power — while  perhaps  di- 
minished in  relative  terms — has  never 
been  greater  in  absolute  terms.  Our 
military  strength  is  immense;  our  eco- 
nomic influence  unparalleled.  The  re- 
cent reassertion  of  our  concern  for 
human  rights,  the  breadth  of  our  rela- 
tions throughout  the  world,  and  our 
evident  commitment  to  peacemaking  in 
troubled  regions  make  us  valued  as  a 
mediator.  And  our  democratic  domes- 
tic traditions,  which  emphasize  build- 
ing coalitions  around  shared  interests, 
serve  us  well  when  we  are  working  to 
build  inclusive  and  cooperative  diplo- 
matic efforts  abroad. 

U.S.  Role  in  Namibia 

We  have  recently  had  an  example  of 
this  kind  of  new  American  leadership 
in  Namibia.  Let  me  briefly  describe 
what  has  happened. 

In  the  late  1800's  a  colony  twice  the 
size  of  California  was  established  by 
Germany  on  the  southwest  coast  of 
Africa.  In  the  geography  books  of  our 
youth,  it  was  called  Southwest  Africa. 
Now  it  is  called  Namibia. 

After  World  War  I,  administration 
of  this  area  was  transferred  to 
neighboring  South  Africa  under  a 
League  of  Nations  mandate.  After 
World  War  II,  South  Africa  declined 
to  allow  self-determination  for  the  ter- 
ritory and  extended  apartheid  to 
Namibia. 

In  1966  South  Africa's  international 
mandate  was  revoked  by  the  United 
Nations  with  U.S.  support.  South  Af- 
rica refused  to  accept  this  decision. 
The  conflict  over  independence  for  the 
people  of  Namibia,  and  transition  to 
majority  rule,  has  become  more  in- 
tense in  recent  years,  with  increasing 
clashes  between  South  African  forces 
and  those  of  Namibian  nationalists. 

Sixteen  months  ago,  the  five  West- 
ern members  of  the  U.N.  Security 
Council — the  United  States,  Britain, 
West  Germany,  France,  and 
Canada — launched  an  unprecedented 
joint  effort  to  resolve  the  Namibia 
problem  peacefully.  From  the  start, 
the  five  made  clear  that  they  favored 
no  particular  Namibian  political  group. 
At  the  same  time,  they  realized  that  it 
was  essential  to  gain  the  agreement  of 
the  two  parties  engaged  in  armed  con- 
flict in  Namibia — South  Africa  and  the 


South  West  Africa  People's  Organiza- 
tion known  as  SWAPO. 

In  the  spring  of  1977,  discussions 
began  among  representatives  of  the 
five  Western  countries — what  became 
known  as  the  "contact  group" — and 
South  Africa  and  SWAPO.  Through- 
out, the  Western  five  kept  all  Nami- 
bian political  groups  informed  of  sig- 
nificant developments  in  the  talks.  The 
neighboring  African  states  of  Zambia. 
Mozambique,  Angola,  Tanzania,  and 
Botswana — the  so-called  front-line 
states — as  well  as  others  in  Africa, 
were  deeply  engaged  at  each  stage  of 
the  negotiating  process. 

Because  the  parties  would  not  en- 
gage in  direct  negotiations,  the  contact 
group  used  a  variety  of  diplomatic 
techniques.  At  times,  it  engaged  in  a 
form  of  "shuttle  diplomacy,"  moving 
back  and  forth  among  the  parties  and 
the  various  African  states  that  were 
playing  an  indispensable  role.  At  one 
critical  point  in  February  of  this  year, 
representatives  of  South  Africa  and 
SWAPO  were  invited  to  New  York  for 
several  days  of  intensive  "proximity 
talks."  Although  the  parties  were  not 
in  the  same  room  together,  they  were 
able  to  exchange  views  through 
negotiating  intermediaries. 

One  of  the  extraordinary  aspects  of 
these  negotiations  was  the  ability  of 
the  five-nation  contact  group  to  func- 
tion together  as  a  unit.  Many  individu- 
als, from  each  of  the  countries  in- 
volved, played  critical  roles.  I  think 
all  who  were  involved  would  agree 
that  the  vision  and  persistence  of  Am- 
bassadors Andrew  Young  [U.S.  Per- 
manent Representative  to  the  United 
Nations]  and  Donald  McHenry 
[Deputy  Representative  to  the  U.N. 
Security  Council]  of  our  delegation  to 
the  United  Nations  have  been  vital. 
President  Carter  and  Secretary  Vance 
provided  constant  leadership  and  pol- 
icy guidance. 

There  were  many  times  when  the 
mistrust  built  up  over  the  years  set 
back  the  chances  for  a  settlement. 
Now,  however,  at  long  last,  the 
negotiations  have  produced  an  agree- 
ment between  South  Africa  and 
SWAPO  to  cease  hostilities  and  to 
proceed  with  a  prompt  transition  to 
independence  and  majority  rule 
through  U.N. -supervised  elections. 
Two  weeks  ago,  the  U.N.  Security 
Council  endorsed  this  agreement  and 
launched  the  process  for  establishing 


16 

international  peacekeeping  and  super- 
vision during  the  critical  transition 
period.  On  August  6,  the  U.N.  Sec- 
retary General's  special  representative 
[Marti  Ahtisaari  of  Finland]  arrived  in 
Namibia  to  begin  the  process  of  es- 
tablishing a  U.N.  presence  in  that 
country. 

A  great  deal  of  hard  work  remains 
to  assure  that  the  agreement  is  suc- 
cessfully implemented.  It  is  likely 
that  both  parties  will  attempt,  during 
the  coming  period,  to  reopen  various 
issues  on  which  they  were  unable  to 
obtain  full  satisfaction  during  the 
lengthy  negotiations  which  led  up  to 
the  final  agreement.  Such  pressures 
will  have  to  be  resisted.  For  our  part, 
the  United  States  will  lend  its  full 
support  to  the  implementation  effort. 

Approach  Toward  Negotiations 
on  Namibia 

It  may  be  useful,  I  think,  to  take  a 
moment  to  identify  the  major  ele- 
ments of  the  Namibia  effort  and  to 
consider  their  relevance  to  achieving 
a  peaceful  resolution  of  other  regional 
conflicts.  No  two  regional  conflicts 
are  likely  to  yield  to  precisely  the 
same  approaches,  but  nevertheless 
there  are  important  lessons  to  be 
found  in  the  principles  which  guided 
the  Namibian  endeavor. 

•  A  settlement  must  reflect  the  will 
of  the  parties  themselves.  A  solution 
cannot  be  imposed  from  the  outside. 
It  must  be  perceived  by  all  of  the 
interested  parties  as  meeting  their 
vital  interests. 

•  To  endure,  a  settlement  must  not 
only  have  the  support  of  the 
negotiating  parties,  it  must  gain  the 
acceptance  and  support  of  the  people 
directly  affected  by  it.  The  future  of 
Namibia  will  be  determined  by  open 
elections,  whose  fairness  will  be 
guaranteed  by  U.N.  supervision. 

•  The  mediation  of  impartial  na- 
tions whose  negotiators  are  respected 
by  both  sides  is  indispensable.  An- 
tagonism and  distrust  between  the  two 
sides  in  Namibia  made  negotiations 
all  but  impossible  in  the  absence  of 
outside  mediators  such  as  the  contact 
group.  They  provided  a  channel  for 
communicating  ideas  and  com- 
promises and,  ultimately,  for  reaching 
agreement. 

•  Encouragement  and  cooperative 
diplomacy  from  other  key  countries  in 
the  region  can  play  a  vital  role.  The 
neighboring  African  states  were  of 
crucial  importance  in  gaining  the  trust 
and  support  of  SWAPO.  Their  experi- 
ence in  gaining  their  own  independ- 
ence  gave   them   an    understanding   of 


what  was  needed  to  achieve  a  solu- 
tion. Their  interest  in  peace  and  sta- 
bility in  the  area  led  them  to  work 
closely  with  the  contact  group  to 
achieve  a  peaceful  solution. 

•  The  continued  commitment  of  the 
international  community  to  making 
the  settlement  work  is  critical.  With 
its  historic  connection  to  Namibia, 
the  United  Nations  has  provided  the 
framework  for  reaching  an  agreement. 
It  will  now  provide  the  machinery  for 
implementing  that  agreement  and  as- 
suring the  new  Namibian  Government 
international  support  and  acceptance. 
In  addition  to  supervising  the  election 
process,  the  United  Nations  will  pro- 
vide a  substantial  civil  and  military 
presence  to  assure  fair  elections.  And 
ultimately,  the  United  Nations  and  its 
specialized  agencies  will  help  the  new 
government  strengthen  its  political 
institutions  and  develop  its  economy. 

Major  Elements  of 
Negotiations  on  Rhodesia 

The  approach  I  have  described — 
based  on  democratic  principles  and 
cooperative  diplomacy — worked  well 
in  Namibia.  These  are  also  the  fun- 
damental elements  of  our  negotiations 
on  Rhodesia. 

As  in  Namibia,  an  end  to  the 
fighting  in  Rhodesia,  and  a  peaceful 
transition  to  majority  rule,  can  only 
come  from  an  agreement  that  is  ac- 
ceptable to  all  the  parties  and  that 
protects  the  rights  of  all  citizens  of 
Rhodesia — black  and  white.  In  the 
absence  of  such  an  agreement,  the 
prospect  is  for  increased  bloodshed. 

In  Rhodesia,  we  are  acting  in  sup- 
port of  Great  Britain,  which  has  pri- 
mary responsibility  as  the  colonial 
power  and  has  worked  over  the  years 
to  secure  a  peaceful  settlement.  We 
have  been  engaged  in  this  effort  with 
the  African  states  of  the  region.  They 
share  our  commitment  to  a  just  and 
peaceful  settlement  of  a  growing  war 
that  would  have  tragic  consequences 
for  the  entire  region.  And  we  are 
working  in  the  context  of  a 
longstanding  U.N.  concern  for  the 
future  of  Rhodesia. 

The  proposals  we  have  put  forward 
with  the  British  would  provide  for 
fair  nationwide  elections  open  to  all 
parties  on  an  equal  basis  and  under 
impartial  outside  supervision.  A  U.N. 
force  would  maintain  the  peace  and 
help  prevent  intimidation  during  this 
crucial  period.  U.N.  observers  would 
help  guarantee  that  elections  are  fair 
and  that  their  results  are  recognized 
by  the  world  community.  We  believe 
that  these  proposals  provide  the  best 
means  of  achieving  a  negotiated  set- 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

tlement,  but  we  would  support  at 
alternative  arrangement  which  tl 
parties  themselves  can  accept. 

There  has  been  progress.  Each  sit 
has  agreed  to  the  principle  of  majori 
rule  through  elections.  But  both  all 
seek  to  dominate  the  transition  pro 
ess.  We  are  working  to  bring  the 
together  in  an  "all  parties"  meetii 
to  agree  to  a  process  that  all  will  si 
as  fair  and  that  can  therefore  bring  ; 
end  to  the  conflict. 

To  keep  open  this  door  to 
negotiated  settlement  among  all  tl 
parties,  it  is  essential  that  the  Unitt 
States  not  choose  sides.  Some  ha' 
argued  that  we  should  now  suppc 
the  agreement  between  Ian  Smith  at 
some  of  the  black  leaders — and  cea: 
our  participation  in  the  U.N.  sani 
tions  against  Rhodesia — before  tru 
free  elections  are  held.  We  ai 
pleased  that  recent  efforts  in  the  Se 
ate  and  House  to  lift  sanctions  ir 
mediately  were  rejected. 

There  are  several  reasons  why 
strongly  believe  that  siding  wi' 
either  the  internal  or  the  external  pa 
ties  would  be  a  dangerous  course, 
would  not  help  to  end  the  fighting 
Rhodesia.   Whatever  one  may  thir 
about  the  two  sides  to  the  conflict, 
seems  clear  that  the  fighting  will  n 
stop  until  both  sides  come  together 
negotiate  a  transition  process  all  a 
cept   as  fair.   And  only   such  a  rest, 
will  eliminate  the  opportunity  fl 
growing    involvement    in   the    confli 
by  other  nations  less  committed  to  tl 
processes  of  peace. 

The  only  realistic  channel  no 
open  for  bringing  the  parties  togeth' 
is  the  U.S. -U.K.  negotiating  effor 
That  effort  will  remain  alive  only  ; 
long  as  we  remain  impartial  an 
retain  the  confidence  of  all  partit 
involved. 

The  wiser  course,  in  my  judgmen 
is  to  persist  in  our  efforts,  as  we  di 
in  Namibia,  to  bring  the  parties  tc 
gether  to  resolve  their  difference 
through  negotiations  and  to  work  fc 
a  peaceful  transition  to  a  stable  an 
internationally  accepted  nation  whet 
both  blacks  and  whites  can  prosper. 

As  I  conclude,  let  me  emphasiz 
that  the  United  States  will  maintai 
its  unyielding  commitment  to  th 
processes  of  peace.  We  want  never  t 
be  in  the  position,  years  hence,  c 
asking  whether,  had  we  worke 
harder  to  keep  open  those  processes 
a  war  could  have  been  avoided.  C 


n 


i 


October  1978 


17 


ARMS  CONTROL:        SALT  Ml-The  Home  Stretch 


My  Paul  C.  Warnke 

Following  are  an  address  and 
mestion-and-answer  session  before 
he  Foreign  Policy  Association  in 
few  York  on  August  23,  1978.  Mr. 
Varnke  is  Director  of  the  Arms  Con- 
rol  and  Disarmament  Agency  and 
hairman  of  the  delegation  to  the 
trategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks 
SALT)  with  the  personal  rank  of 
Imbassador. ' 

As  you  can  see  from  my  title, 
SALT  II— The  Home  Stretch, "  I  am 
uite  optimistic  that  we  are,  in  fact, 
earing  the  completion  of  what  has 
een  a  very  long  race.  SALT  II,  as  I 
m  sure  you  know,  has  been  in 
egotiation  for  almost  6  years.  In  that 
eriod,  most  of  the  major  problems 
ave  been  solved. 

We  are  close  to  the  full  develop- 
lent  of  a  detailed,  comprehensive 
greement  that  will  break  new  ground 
l  arms  control.  Agreement  has  been 
;ached  on  verification  measures,  on 
ew  ceilings,  and  on  subceilings  for 
articular  categories  of  strategic  nu- 
lear  delivery  vehicles. 

Agreement  is  now  emerging  on  re- 
xaints  on  new  types  of  missiles  and 
n  improvement  of  existing  missiles, 
nd  the  new  SALT  agreement  will 
lean  both  quantitative  and  qualitative 
mitations  on  the  Soviet  nuclear 
eapons  that  are  aimed  at  American 
ities  and  our  military  targets. 

But  I  would  have  to  say  that  the 
:latively  few  problems  that  remain 
J  re  very  tough  ones.  That,  I  think,  is 
i)  be  expected,  because  they  are  the 
ist  problems.  They  are  the  ones  that 
ave  proven  to  be  the  least  tractable, 
am,  however,  convinced  that  we  can 
Dmplete  the  home  stretch  and  that 
le  result  will  be  an  agreement  which 
rotects  and  advances  the  security  of 
le  United  States. 

background 

I  would  like  to  ask  you  to  step  back 
nd  take  a  long  view  of  SALT,  as  a 
rocess,  to  consider  how  and  why  we 
ecame  involved  in  it,  what  we  have 
ccomplished  to  date,  and  what  we 
ave  come  to  learn  of  the  implica- 
10ns  of  SALT — first  and  foremost  for 
ur  national  security  but  also  for  our 
stations  with  the  Soviet  Union — 
ecause  SALT  deals  with  the  core  of 


the  power  balance  between  the  United 
States  and  the  Soviet  Union,  specif- 
ically with  the  most  important  and 
most  dangerous  component  of  that 
balance — those  nuclear  weapons 
which,  if  ever  used,  would  mean  the 
devastation  of  both  societies. 

So  SALT  thus  involves  fundamen- 
tal and  vital  security  interests  of  both 
countries.  Because  this  is  so,  you 
might  ask  why  the  SALT  talks  didn't 
begin  until  the  late  1960's?  Why  was 
it  that  they  didn't  start  sooner — 
perhaps  in  the  early  1950's? 

I  think  the  answer  to  this  question 
can  be  found  in  the  history  of  U.S.- 
Soviet relations  and  the  evolution  of 
the  military  balance  between  these 
countries  since  the  end  of  World  War 
II  and  the  beginning  of  the  nuclear 
age.  Out  of  the  wartime  alliance,  and 
with  Europe  and  Japan  in  ruins,  the 
United  States  and  the  Soviet  Union 
emerged  as  the  two  dominant  and 
rival  powers. 


to  allow  this  lead  to  persist  as  long  as 
they  possessed  the  resources  to  close 
the  gap.  Even  if  our  strategic  nuclear 
edge  did  not  allow  us  consistently  to 
thwart  Soviet  foreign  policy  objec- 
tives and  its  ability  to  project  its 
military  power,  a  combination  of 
historic  Russian  sensitivity  to  the  ac- 
tivities of  the  West  and  Soviet  ideol- 
ogy drove  the  U.S.S.R.,  at  no  small 
cost,  to  try  and  catch  up  with  the 
United  States  in  strategic  nuclear 
forces. 

By  the  mid-1960's,  programs  for 
this  Soviet  effort  were  firmly  estab- 
lished and  underway,  and  thus  the 
two  superpowers  were  forced  to  face 
the  implications  of  the  new  military 
reality.  For  the  United  States,  it 
meant  that  no  longer  could  we  rely — 
either  in  practice  or  even  in 
rhetoric — on  the  doctrine  of  massive 
nuclear  retaliation,  a  doctrine  that 
actually  had  been  eroding  for  nearly  a 
decade. 


Agreement  is  now  emerging  on  restraints  on  new  types  of  mis- 
siles and  on  improvement  of  existing  missiles.  [It]  will  mean  both 
quantitative  and  qualitative  limitations  on  the  Soviet  nuclear 
weapons  that  are  aimed  at  American  cities  and  our  military 
targets. 


Fundamental  differences  in  goals, 
values,  and  political  systems  led  in- 
evitably to  this  rivalry  and  to  a  bipo- 
lar world.  And  for  many  years  any 
kind  of  useful  relations  or  productive 
negotiations  between  our  two  coun- 
tries appeared  almost  impossible. 
Many  questioned  whether  we  could 
even  live  together,  and  the  term 
"coexistence"  acquired  a  pejorative 
connotation.  So  that  arms  control  in 
these  circumstances  seemed  a  very 
unpromising  prospect. 

Moreover,  you  have  to  remember 
that  for  about  two  decades  we  had, 
first,  a  nuclear  monopoly  and  then  a 
clear  nuclear  superiority.  For  the 
Soviet  Union,  arms  control 
negotiations— in  the  light  of  this  great 
American  lead — seemed  to  offer 
nothing  but  permanent  second-class 
status.  And  for  the  United  States,  be- 
cause of  our  immensely  greater 
strategic  capability,  arms  control  was 
a  topic  of  no  particular  urgency. 

The  Soviets  could  not  be  expected 


Since  the  late  1950's,  it  has  be- 
come increasingly  clear  that  Soviet 
possession  of  a  nuclear  retaliatory  ca- 
pability meant  instead  that  our  mili- 
tary forces  must  be  capable  of  flexi- 
ble response,  commensurate  with  the 
military  challenge;  because  otherwise 
the  Soviet  Union  would  be  left  with 
wide  freedom  of  action  to  use,  or 
threaten  to  use.  its  conventional 
military  power. 

Now  there  have  been  some  who 
have  argued  that  we  never  should 
have  allowed  the  Russians  to  over- 
come our  nuclear  superiority.  A 
group  recently  formed  insists  that  we 
should  now  regain  that  strategic  nu- 
clear superiority.  They  do  not,  how- 
ever, tell  us  how  that  can  be  done. 
Nor  do  they  say  how  the  effort  to  do 
so  can  be  kept  from  creating  an  un- 
bridled competition  and  the  accumu- 
lation of  further  and  more  deadly  nu- 
clear weapons  that  would  mean 
superiority  for  neither  side  and  di- 
minished security  for  both. 


18 

The  fact  is  that  in  a  nuclear  race 
between  countries  with  the  resources 
of  the  United  States  and  the  Soviet 
Union,  one  side  can  gain  and  main- 
tain strategic  superiority  only  if  the 
other  side  defaults.  Now  we  know 
that  we  would  never  be  willing  to 
concede  nuclear  superiority  to  the 
Soviets,  and  I  think  we  have  no  basis 
for  hoping  that  they  may  be  more  in- 
dulgent and  give  us  that  advantage. 

So  it  is  the  inescapable  logic  of 
strategic  nuclear  weapons  and  the 
terrible  consequences  of  their  wide- 
scale  use,  if  strategic  stability  should 
disappear  and  deterrence  should  fail, 
that  even  bitter  competitors  have  to 
give  serious  thought  to  the  benefits  of 
limited  cooperation  in  the  form  of 
arms  control.  This  is  the  case  for  us, 
whatever  our  distaste  for  Soviet  am- 
bitions abroad  and  repression  at 
home. 

You  will  remember  that  the  first 
manifestation  of  this  dawning 
realism  about  nuclear  arms  came  in 
the  consideration  of  the  deployment 
of  antiballistic  missile  systems.  In  the 
mid-1960's,  the  Soviets  were  ex- 
panding their  air  defense  and  begin- 
ning to  deploy  some  ballistic  missile 
defenses,  and  the  question  we  had  to 
face  was  whether  we  should  move  our 
research  and  development  program  on 
antiballistic  missiles  beyond  that  de- 
velopment stage  into  actual  deploy- 
ment. There  were  those  within  gov- 
ernment who  consistently  urged  that 
course. 

What  I  regard  as  the  seminal  state- 
ment in  the  new  strategic  arms  debate 
was  a  speech  delivered  by  the  then 
Secretary  of  Defense,  Robert 
McNamara,  in  1967. 2  This  was  an 
historic  contribution  to  public  under- 
standing of  strategic  policy. 

In  his  speech.  Secretary  McNamara 
outlined  the  basic  concepts  of  nuclear 
strategy  and  explained  the  new 
realities  of  deterrence  and  the  mutual 
vulnerability  of  the  United  States  and 
the  Soviet  Union  to  the  ballistic  mis- 
siles of  the  other  side.  He  emphasized 
that  the  problem  with  ABM's,  with 
antiballistic  missile  defenses,  was  not 
the  problem  of  cost  but  the  fact  that 
the  system  itself  was  vulnerable  to 
countermeasures  which  the  other  side 
could  take.  No  matter  how  many  an- 
tiballistic missiles  one  side  might  as- 
semble, the  other  side  could  match 
that,  and  more  than  match  that,  with 
offensive  nuclear  warheads  and  also 
with  dummy  warheads. 

So  that  even  if  the  ABM  were 
technically  feasible,  U.S.  deployment 
of  a  massive  anti-Soviet  ABM  system 
would,  as  Secretary  McNamara  put  it, 
have  ".  .  .  strongly  motivated  [the 
Soviets]  to  so  increase  their  offensive 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 


capability  as  to  cancel  out  our  defen- 
sive advantage.*' 

We  could,  as  the  Secretary  of  De- 
fense pointed  out,  guess  at  Soviet  in- 
tentions, match  their  ABM  deploy- 
ments, respond  to  internal  pressures 
for  new  offensive  systems  to  over- 
come the  antiballistic  missile  de- 
fenses, and  try  to  preserve  our  secu- 
rity interests  in  a  new  round  of  the 
nuclear  arms  race.  "But,"  he  con- 
tinued, "what  we  would  much  prefer 
to  do  is  to  come  to  a  realistic  and 
reasonably  riskless  agreement  with 
the  Soviet  Union  which  would  effec- 
tively prevent  such  an  arms  race. " 

And  with  that  speech,  Mr. 
McNamara  placed  negotiated  arms 
control  explicitly  where  it  belongs — in 
the  context  of  national  security.  It 
was  really  out  of  this  new  perception 
of  the  strategic  realities  that  SALT 
was  born.  It  was  the  relative  parity  of 
the  strategic  nuclear  forces  of  both 
sides  that  made  SALT  possible,  and  it 
was  the  stability  of  that  balance  that 
made  SALT  desirable. 

When  the  United  States  was  still 
strategically  superior,  the  Soviet 
Union  didn't  dare  to  negotiate,  and 
we  felt  no  need  to  do  so.  But  once 
parity  was  achieved,  another  round  of 
the  arms  race  with  the  rich,  strong- 
willed,  and  technologically  powerful 
United   States   would  provide  the 


With  our  highly  sophisticated 
national  technical  means  of 
verification,  we  don't  have  to 
rely  on  Soviet  assurances. 


Soviet  Union  with  neither  greater  se- 
curity nor  greater  status;  because  with 
the  forces  in  relative  balance,  neither 
side  could  rationally  be  tempted  to 
launch  a  preemptive  first  strike. 

President  Johnson,  in  tying  his  ac- 
tions on  ABM's  to  Soviet  willingness 
to  negotiate  limitations  on  ABM's, 
was  really  the  one  who  committed  the 
United  States  to  the  SALT  process. 
And  every  President  since  then.  Re- 
publican and  Democratic,  has  con- 
tinued that  commitment  to  arms  con- 
trol. 

Their  consistent  belief  is  expressed 
in  President  Carter's  introduction  to 
my  agency's  1977  annual  report.  He 
noted  that:  "When  necessary,  we  will 
maintain  our  security  and  protect  our 
interests  by  strengthening  our  military 
capabilities.  Whenever  possible, 
however,  we  seek  to  enhance  our  se- 
curity through  arms  control.  Our  se- 
curity and  the  security  of  all  nations 
can  be  better  served  through  equitable 


fc' 


■' 


\ 


IS 

\ 


and  verifiable  limits  on  arms  tha 
through  unbridled  competition.  Th 
United  States  has  chosen  arms  contro 
as  an  essential  means  of  promoting  it 

security." 

ft 

flli 
Accomplishments 

In  SALT  there  already  have  beei 
significant  accomplishments.  Th 
SALT  I  agreements  in  1972  includei 
a  treaty  which  drastically  limited  an 
tiballistic  missile  defenses,  and  tha  ' 
treaty  was  so  successful  that  it  wa  ■ 
later  amended  to  cut  back  the  per 
mitted  deployment  of  ABM  system  s> 
from  two  to  one.  The  ABM  treat; 
logically  removed  a  major  incentiv 
to  build  up  offensive  systems;  be 
cause  of  the  fact  that  the  ABM's  wer 
essentially  banned,  it  meant  that  yo> 
did  not  have  to  engage  in  a  furthe 
accumulation  of  offensive  warhead 
in  order  to  penetrate  what  would  be 
come  a  nonexistent  defense. 

In  addition,  in  SALT  I  there  was  a: 
Interim  Agreement  on  control  o 
strategic  offensive  arms.  This  essen 
tially  froze  the  number  of  strategi 
missile  launchers  at  the  levels  alread;  51 
deployed  or  under  construction. 

Taken  together,   these   SALT 
agreements  constituted  recognitio 
that  the  key  to  strategic  stability  an- 
to  a  lower  risk  of  nuclear  war  was  t 
preserve  the  retaliatory  capability  o 
each  side;  and  that,   accordingly 
building  of  more  and  more  offensiv 
weapons  was  unnecessary,  dangerous 
and   inconsistent   with   our  goal  of 
secure  world. 

Since  May  of  1972,  when  SALT 
was  signed  in  Moscow,  the  carefu 
and  at  times.  I  would  say,  painfu 
development  of  a  SALT  II  agreemen 
has  been  proceeding.  In  late  1974 
there  was  a  major  breakthrough 
President  Ford  and  the  then  Genera 
Secretary  Brezhnev  agreed  in  Vlad 
ivostok  that  the  SALT  II  agreemen 
would  provide  for  equal  aggregates  it 
intercontinental  nuclear  delivery  sys 
terns. 

Moreover,  the  Soviet  side  agreec 
that  these  equal  numbers  could  bt 
part  of  the  new  treaty,  without  an) 
compensation  to  them  for  the  fact  tha 
the  United  States  maintains — in  base; 
in  Europe  —  the  so-called  ''for- 
ward-based systems"  that  enable  us  tc 
target  additional  thousands  of  nucleai 
weapons  against  the  Soviet  Union. 

It  is  important  that  we  now  embody 
this  principle  of  equal  aggregates  in  a 
formal  treaty,  because  even  if  it  were 
limited  to  this  feature  alone,  SALT  II 
would  be  very  much  in  the  interests 
of  the  United  States.  And  from  this 
starting  point  of  equal  ceilings  on  the 
number  of  total  launchers  and  launch- 


October  1978 

rs  of  missiles  with  multiple, 
ndependently-targetable  reentry  ve- 
licles  that  we  refer  to  as  MIR  Vs.  we 
an  go  on  to  parallel  reductions  in 
hese  ceilings.  It  has  already  been 
greed  at  Geneva  that  Vladivostok 
eilings  of  2,400  strategic  nuclear- 
lelivery  vehicles,  of  which  1,320  can 
ie  MIRV'ed,  will  be  cut  back  early 
m  in  the  course  of  SALT  II.  And  it 
ias  also  been  agreed  that  there  will 
>e  a  separate  subceiling  on  the  land- 
iased  intercontinental  ballistic  mis- 
iles  (ICBM's)  with  MIRVs. 

We  want  that  separate  subceiling 
ecause  these  are  the  most  dangerous, 
tie  most  destabilizing  of  the  nuclear 
/eapons.  They  are  the  ones  that  pose 
ie  greater  threat  of  a  counterforce 
apability  against  the  missile  forces 
f  the  other  side,  and  hence  a  threat 
)  the  assured  retaliatory  capability. 

.essons  From  SALT 

As  we  have  moved  in  the  last  dec- 

de  of  SALT  from  unrestricted  ac- 

amulation  of  nuclear  weapons  to  the 

eginning  of  control  and  now  to  the 

rospect  of  effective   quantitative   as 

ell  as  qualitative  restrictions,   we 

lave  learned  a  good  deal   about  the 

lirocess.  We  have  learned  a  good  deal 

jfpout  how  it  works  and  what  it  means 

>r  the  U.S. -Soviet  relationship. 

The  first  lesson  that  we  have 

'    arnod  is  that  we  can  negotiate 

bout  strategic  arms  and  that  the 

.'suiting  agreements  will  work.  The 

itiballistic  missile  limitation  treaty 
iid,  in  fact,  limit  the  deployment  of 

allistic  missile  defenses.  I  pointed 
1  at  that  we  have  cut  back  from  two 
lites  in  each  country  to  one;  and,  as  a 
l»atter  of  fact,  we  have  deactivated 
'|| ur  own  one  site,  because  we  don't 

:ed  it  to  protect  our  deterrent. 

The  second  lesson  is  that  strategic 
rms  control  agreements  can  be  de- 
eloped  which  are,  in  fact,  verifi- 
ble  by  our  national  technical 
leans.  Unless  we  can  have  adequate 
insurance  that  the  other  side  is  com- 
plying with  arms  control  provisions, 
ny  arms  control  agreement  will  be- 
rame  a  source  of  suspicion  and  fric- 
lon,  rather  than  a  source  of  comfort 
Ind  confidence.   With  our  highly 
IjDphisticated  national  technical  means 
jlf  verification,  we  don't  have  to  rely 
JJn  Soviet  assurances.  We  have  been 
fible  to  determine  under  the  SALT  I 
Agreements,   and   we   will  be  able  to 
ijetermine  under  a  SALT  II  agree- 
ment, that  the  limits — both  quantita- 
tive and  qualitative — are,  in  fact, 
eing  met  by  the  Soviet  Union. 
i  The  provisions  on  verification  that 
jlave  already  been  agreed  upon  pro- 


hibit any  measures  of  deliberate  con- 
cealment which  would  impede  our 
ability  to  verify  compliance,  and  they 
specifically  prohibit  any  interference 
with  our  national  technical  means. 
Moreover,  after  long  negotiation,  and 
in  the  face  of  the  traditional  Soviet 
reluctance  to  disclose  facts  on  mili- 
tary forces,  the  Soviet  negotiators 
agreed  earlier  this  year  to  an  ex- 
change of  data  that  will  establish  an 


19 


MIRVs,  SALT  I  left  MIRVs  to  run 
free. 

Now,  today,  in  the  course  of  the 
development  of  SALT  II,  a  frequent 
criticism  that  I  hear  is  that  SALT  II 
won't  prevent  the  Soviets  from  ac- 
quiring the  theoretical  potential  to 
threaten  land-based  forces  in  a  coun- 
terforce first  strike. 

I  have  mentioned  that  interconti- 
nental ballistic   missiles  (ICBM's) 


.  .  .  the  common  recognition  that  we  share  an  interest  in  survival 
has  enabled  SALT  to  continue  despite  the  intermittent  strains  in 
the  U.S. -Soviet  relationship. 


agreed  data  base  against  which  we 
can  measure  the  reductions  to  the  new 
agreed-upon  lower  ceilings. 

And  because  of  the  impossibility  of 
determining  by  national  technical 
means  what  kind  of  a  missile  is  in 
any  particular  missile  launcher,  we 
have  now  agreed  that  a  launcher  will 
be  counted  as  a  launcher  of  a  MIRV 
missile  if  it  is  of  a  type  which  has 
ever  contained  or  launched  a  missile 
which  is  of  a  type  which  has  ever 
been  tested  with  MIRVs.  That  sup- 
plements our  national  technical  means 
of  verification  and  gives  us  an  identi- 
fiable feature  against  which  we  can 
measure  compliance  with  the  SALT 
ceilings. 

There  is  a  third,  and  I  think  a 
very  important,  lesson  that  we  have 
learned  in  the  SALT  process,  and 
that's  the  fact  that  arms  control 
agreements  only  limit  those  things 
that  are  specifically  covered  by  the 
agreement.  We  can't  rely  on  com- 
pliance with  the  spirit  of  an  agree- 
ment; you  have  to  have  the  letter. 
You  have  to  have  something  to  which 
you  can  point  and  say  that  this  is  an 
agreed-upon  provision  which  limits 
the  activity  in  which  each  side  can 
engage.  And  we  have  to  recognize 
that  any  new  weapon,  or  any  new  de- 
velopment, that  is  excluded  from  the 
coverage  of  the  agreement  is  per- 
mitted for  both  sides — that  to  the  ex- 
tent that  we  preserve  options,  we  pre- 
serve them  also  for  the  Soviet  Union. 

For  example,  the  SALT  I  agree- 
ment limited  antiballistic  missiles, 
and  it  limited  launchers  of  offensive 
missiles  of  intercontinental  range.  It 
didn't  limit  warheads,  and  it  didn't 
limit  MIRV  testing  and  MIRV  de- 
ployment. So  it  is  somewhat  ironical 
that  although  SALT  I  banned  any 
major  deployment  of  antiballistic  mis- 
siles because  these  would  lead  to  of- 
fensive countermeasures   such  as 


with  MIRVs  are  the  most  dangerous, 
the  most  destabilizing  of  nuclear- 
weapons  systems  because  they  pos- 
sess the  combination  of  accuracy  and 
yield  that  enables  them  to  strike  hard 
targets,  such  as  our  hardened  Min- 
uteman  silos.  Now,  without  SALT, 
this  possible  vulnerability  would  ob- 
viously become  greater,  but  the 
threat,  at  least  in  theory,  does  exist. 
It  exists  because  of  the  fact  that  the 
Soviets  have  been  able  to  multiply 
their  warheads,  because  SALT  I  did 
not  prevent  the  development  of 
MIRVs. 

So  the  MIRV  option  that  we  chose 
to  keep  open  for  ourselves  has  thus 
come  back  to  haunt  us.  Now,  in 
SALT  II,  the  reductions  in  MIRV 
ballistic  missile  launchers — and  par- 
ticularly the  subceiling  that  I  have 
mentioned  on  MIRV'ed  interconti- 
nental ballistic  missiles — will  make  a 
beginning  toward  meeting  this  prob- 
lem; but  it  won't  be  until  SALT  III, 
at  the  earliest,  that  we  will  be  able 
fully  to  undo  that  which  SALT  I  al- 
lowed to  be  done  in  proliferating 
reentry  vehicles. 

I  would  say  then  that  the  third  les- 
son we  have  learned  from  SALT  is 
that  in  the  SALT  process  we  should 
protect  only  those  military  options  we 
genuinely  need  and  those  in  which  the 
net  balance,  if  both  sides  go  ahead, 
will  at  least  be  equal  and  preferably 
will  give  us  some  benefits.  We  should 
avoid  those  things  which  mean  only 
an  unnecessary  and  futile  intensifica- 
tion of  the  nuclear  arms  competition. 
And  it  is  with  this  thought  in  mind 
that  we  arrived  at  a  three-piece 
framework  for  SALT  II. 

SALT  II  will  consist  of  three  parts. 
One  is  the  basic  agreement,  which,  as 
it  now  stands  in  the  joint  draft  text, 
places  specific  limits  through  1985  on 
total  launchers,  on  launchers  of 
MIRV  missiles,  and  on  launchers  of 
MIRV'ed  ICBM's. 


20 

The  second  part  is  a  short-term 
protocol,  which  puts  short-term  limits 
on  certain  types  of  systems  on  which 
we  are  not  yet  ready  to  make  a  final 
program  decision.  For  the  period  of 
the  protocol,  deployment  of  mobile 
launchers  of  ICBM's  is  banned.  For 
that  same  protocol  period,  there  is  a 
ban  on  the  actual  deployment  of  long- 
range  ground  and  sea-launched  cruise 
missiles.  The  testing  of  these  systems 
can  continue;  and  while  the  protocol 
continues,  we  can  determine  whether 
longer  term  restrictions  should  be 
negotiated  as  part  of  SALT  III  or 
whether  our  interests  warrant  the  ac- 
tual production  and  deployment  of 
these  new  systems. 

We  will,  of  course,  have  to  keep  in 
mind  the  experience  of  the  matching 
Soviet  development  of  MIRV's  and 
be  alert  to  the  fact  that  if  we  elect  to 
have  the  freedom  to  go  ahead  with 
these  new  systems  after  the  period  of 
the  protocol,  we  must  anticipate  that 
the  Soviets  will  do  the  same.  The  de- 
sirability of  preserving  the  options 
must  be  balanced  against  the  possibly 
adverse  effects  of  the  introduction  of 
a  new  nuclear-weapons  system  into 
the  strategic  arms  competition. 

There  is  a  fourth  lesson  that  has 
been  taught  us  during  a  decade  of 
SALT  and  that  is  that  in  the  con- 
text of  overall  U.S. -Soviet  relations, 
SALT  has  developed  a  value  and  a 
momentum  of  its  own.  Since  1969 
the  common  recognition  that  we  share 
an  interest  in  survival  has  enabled 
SALT  to  continue  despite  the  inter- 
mittent strains  in  the  U.S. -Soviet  re- 
lationship. 

I  mentioned  earlier  the  many  dif- 
ferences between  the  United  States 
and  the  Soviet  Union.  With  or  with- 
out SALT,  I  think  we  have  to  antici- 
pate that  we  will  continue  to  be  com- 
petitors who  share  unmatched  military 
power  but  very  little  else;  that  we  will 
continue  to  have  very  different  views 
of  a  desirable  world  order  and  of  a 
domestic  system  which  promotes  the 
well-being  of  its  citizens.  We  have  to 
expect  that  there  will  be  times  of  ten- 
sion, times  when  the  international 
dialogue  will  be  bitter  and  abrasive. 
Our  disagreement  with  many  Soviet 
policies  and  many  of  its  actions,  both 
within  and  outside  the  Soviet  Union, 
will  necessarily  affect  our  attitude 
toward  that  government. 

But  we  pursue  SALT  to  lessen  the 
risk  of  nuclear  war  and  to  insure  our 
own  survival  as  a  modern,  function- 
ing society.  I  therefore — and  I  am 
sure  this  will  come  as  no  surprise  to 
you — find  myself  in  total  disagree- 
ment with  those  who  have  suggested 


that  we  should  cancel  or  suspend  the 
SALT  talks  because  of  Soviet  and 
Cuban  intervention  in  Africa  or 
Soviet  suppression  of  independent 
voices  within  that  country.  As  I  see 
it,  SALT  is  not  just  a  byproduct  of 
detente  nor  can  it  be  used  as  a  bribe 
to  make  the  Soviets  behave  in  a 
fashion  of  which  we  approve. 

SALT,  of  course,  doesn't  exist  in 
total  isolation.  The  Soviet  invasion  of 
Czechoslovakia,  almost  exactly  a 
decade  ago,  had  the  further  tragic 
consequence  of  postponing  for  more 
than  a  year  the  initiation  of  talks  on 
limiting  strategic  nuclear  arms.  As 
indicated  in  President  Johnson's 
memoirs,  he  was  prepared  to  an- 
nounce on  August  21,  1968,  that  he 
and  Premier  Kosygin  would  meet  on 
September  30  to  begin  strategic  arms 
limitation  talks.  But  it  was  on  August 
20  that  Soviet,  Bulgarian.  East  Ger- 
man, Hungarian,  and  Polish  army 
units  moved  into  Czechoslovakia. 

Neither  American  nor  international 
public  opinion  would  have  understood 
the  initiation  of  arms  control  discus- 
sions in  the  unhealthy  climate  of  the 
summer  that  followed  the  Prague 
spring.  And  by  that  fall,  when  talks 
might  have  been  started,  the  Johnson 
Administration  had  run  out  of  time. 
So,  it  was  not  until  November  17, 
1969 — in  a  new  U.S.  Administra- 
tion— that  American  and  Soviet  dele- 
gations met  in  Helsinki  and  ex- 
changed the  opening  statements  on 
the  limitation  of  strategic  arms. 

But  since  then  SALT  has  gone 
ahead  despite  many  U.S. -Soviet  fric- 
tions. SALT  I  —  we  have  to 
remember — was  signed  in  May  of 
1972,  just  about  a  month  after  the 
United  States  had  mined  Haiphong 
harbor  and  trapped  Soviet  ships. 

We  have  pursued,  and  we  will 
continue  to  pursue,  our  aims  in  the 
field  of  human  rights;  but  Soviet  re- 
sentment about  this  has  never  caused 
any  ripples  in  our  negotiations  in 
Geneva.  The  issue  has  never  been 
raised  with  me  by  any  Soviet 
negotiator. 

We  can't  be  sure  that  continued 
progress  in  the  SALT  process  will 
improve  detente,  but  I  believe  we  can 
be  certain  if  SALT  fails,  the  chances 
of  improved  relations  and  of  chan- 
neling the  U.S. -Soviet  rivalry  into 
less  dangerous  areas  of  competition 
would  be  immeasurably  damaged. 

To  me,  the  relationship  between 
SALT  and  detente  is  much  like  the 
relationship  between  SALT  and  the 
goal  of  halting  the  proliferation  of 
nuclear  weapons.  Success  in  SALT 
won't  automatically  bring  either  de- 
tente or  nonproliferation,  but  the  fail- 


Department  of  State  Bulletin, 

ure  of  SALT  would  leave  us  with  a 
very  dismal  prospect  of  achieving 
either  objective. 

There  is  a  fifth  lesson  that  I  think 
is  to  be  learned  from  our  experience 
with  SALT,  and  that  is  that  we  can 
pursue  it  without  risk  and,  indeed, 
with  major  benefit  to  our  national 
security.  SALT,  in  fact,  complements; 
our  assured  retaliatory  capability  with 
less  cost  and  at  less  risk. 

To  begin  with,  we  can  proceed 
with  SALT  because  of  the  fact  that 
we  have  the  technology,  the  re-[ 
sources,  and  the  forces  to  meet  our 
strategic  military  needs.  We  are  not 
negotiating  from  fear,  but  we  are 
negotiating  with  confidence.  We  are  j 
negotiating  from  strength  and  not 
from  weakness. 

To  illustrate  my  point,  a  study  re- 
cently completed  by  the  Arms  Control  | 
and  Disarmament  Agency  (see  p.  24) 
vividly  shows  that  while  pursuing 
SALT,  we  have  maintained  the  re- 
taliatory capability  that  protects  us 
against  the  use,  or  threatened  use.  of 
Soviet  nuclear  forces.  Today,  our  re- 
taliatory capability  could  do  more 
damage  to  the  Soviet  Union  after  a 
Soviet  first-strike  than  that  first-strike 
could  to  the  United  States.  Our 
second-strike,  destructive  capability 
exceeds  the  Soviet  Union's  first-strike 
capability. 

And  our  study  also  shows  that 
while  the  United  States  and  Soviet 
forces  will  both  become  substantially 
more  capable  and,  really,  essentially 
equal  in  capability  by  the  mid- 1 980 's, 
our  retaliatory  capability  after  a 
Soviet  first-strike  will  at  that  time  ex- 
ceed our  current  ability  to  retaliate 
against  Soviet  targets. 

In  a  speech  that  was  delivered  yes- 
terday. Secretary  of  Defense  Harold 
Brown  confirmed  this  increase  in  our 
second-strike  capability,  despite  any 
improvements  in  the  Soviet  offensive 
or  defensive  forces.  This,  I  would 
submit,  doesn't  square  with  the 
image,  which  is  suggested  by  some, 
that  the  United  States  has  been 
hamstrung  by  SALT  while  the  Soviets 
race  ahead. 

SALT  has  left  us  free  to  make 
those  changes  in  each  part  of  our  de- 
terrent nuclear  triad — the  interconti- 
nental ballistic  missiles,  the  subma- 
rine launched  ballistic  missiles,  and 
our  heavy  bombers — which  will  in- 
sure their  viability  in  the  light  of 
Soviet  military  improvements. 

SALT  II  will  enable  us  to  go  ahead 
with  the  military  options  which  our 
military  planners  tell  us  are  neces- 
sary. Under  the  limits  of  SALT  II. 
our  heavy  bomber  force  will  be  mod- 


)ctober  1978 

rnized  by  being  equipped  with 
ong-range  cruise  missiles,  missiles 
vith  a  range  that  enables  them  to  stay 
mtside  of  Soviet  air  defenses  and  still 
strike  the  lucrative  Soviet  targets. 

We  are  free  to  go  ahead  with  the 
~rident  ballistic  missile  submarine 
nd  the  longer  range  ballistic  missiles 
•hat  can  be  launched  from  ocean  areas 
(lose  to  the  United  States  and  still 
naintain  complete  target  coverage  of 
he  Soviet  Union. 

Sixth,  SALT  II  will  impose 
leaningful  limits  on  Soviet 
trategic  forces.  To  comply  with  the 
greement,  the  Soviets  will  have  to 
ismantle  or  destroy  up  to  several 
undred  strategic  systems.  The  new 
igreement,  furthermore,  will  hold  the 
leployment  of  Soviet  strategic  forces 
(ell  below  what  they  would  deploy  in 

le  absence  of  an  agreement.  Our  in- 

lligence  sources  indicate  that  the  net 
Uing  in  the  number  of  Soviet 
i  rategic  nuclear  delivery  systems 
i  rgeted  against  the  United  States  is 
omething  in  the  order  of  900 — that 

eans  900  less  systems  as  a  result  of 
KLT.  And  that,  by  any  definition,  is 

plus  for  American  security. 

I  have   suggested   that   SALT   is   a 

|  ocess.  I  don't  think  that  SALT  II  is 

ning  to  be  the  ultimate  word  in 

rategic  arms  control.  It  will  mean  a 

eaningful  step  forward,   but  we 

lould  regard  this  as  a  continuing 

1  ocess   in   which   we   move   deliber- 

|ely,  cautiously,  but  confidently  to- 

ard  the  effective  control  of  strategic 

;  iclear  weapons  and  the  elimination 

the  greatest  threat  to  the  survival 

the  United  States  and  of  the  world. 

Q.  The  first  general  set  of  ques- 
i  sns   is:    How    near   are   you    to   an 

•reement?  What  is  in  the  way?  Is 
>  politics?  Will  it  be  before  or  after 

e  election?  How  important  is  this, 
i ;  against  other  problems  of  negoti- 
I  ion  with  the  Soviet  Union? 

A.  As  far  as  timing  is  concerned,  I 
in  not  rash  enough  to  make  any  kind 
I  a  prediction.  If  you  look  at  it  in 
t  rms  of  where  we  were,  say,  3 
*  onths  ago,  and  where  we  are 
•■  day — if  we  make  that  same  amount 

progress,  we  would  certainly  have 
i(i  agreement  well  before  the  end  of 
|\e  year. 

S  As  far  as  the  timing  of  it  is  con- 
hrned,  my  instructions  from  the 
'resident  are  to  complete  a  negotia- 
Ipn  when  we  can  get  an  agreement 
iiat  we   want,  that  other  consid- 

ations  are  not  to  be  taken  into  ac- 

>unt,  that  we  will  get  an  agreement 
li  soon  as  we  have  one  that  serves 
'e  interests  of  the  United  States. 


I  think  that  this  is  the  only  way  in 
which  we  can  negotiate.  You 
shouldn't  set  for  yourself  any  sort  of 
arbitrary  deadlines,  which  will  just 
mean  that  you  are  not  going  to 
negotiate  effectively.  And  you 
shouldn't  postpone  the  opportunity  to 
grasp  an  agreement  which  does  meet 
your  criteria. 

Q.  The  largest  set  of  questions  we 
have  put  here  could  be  put  in  under 
a  single  heading,  I  think:  Can  you 
trust — should  you  trust — the  Rus- 
sians? What  about  their  activities, 
which  you  touched  on,  in  Africa? 
What  about  the  danger  that  they 
may  have  a  significant — perhaps  a 
compelling — civil  defense  program? 
What  about  their  killer  satellites? 
What  about — can  you  really  be  sure 
on  verification?  And  on  what 
ground  do  we  think  that  there  is 
truly  a  common  interest  in  SALT? 
And  why  do  you  negotiate  from 
weakness? 

A.  You  have  given  me  the  material 
for  an  additional  40-minute  speech.  I 
would  say  that  the  short  answer  is 
that  you  can  trust  the  Soviet  Union  to 
behave  in  its  own  interests.  And  I 
think  that  is  the  only  trust  you  can 
place  in  any  sovereign  country. 

We  don't  trust  the  Soviet  Union.  It 
is  why  we  have  been  very  careful  to 
work  out  the  verification  provisions 
that  I  have  outlined.  Those  will  en- 
able us,   by  our  national  technical 


21 


I  don't  think  that  anybody  can  en- 
visage the  destructive  capability  of 
that  number  of  warheads — -each  one 
of  which  is  many  times  the  size  of  the 
primitive  weapon  that  devastated 
Hiroshima.  The  idea  that  somehow 
the  Soviet  Union  can  protect  itself  by 
having  every  Muscovite  shoulder  his 
spade,  take  the  subway  out  to  the 
suburbs,  and  walk  into  the  tundra 
until  he  can  finally  dig  a  hole — 
provided  it  was  not  frozen — I  think  it 
is  an  illusion.  Again,  I  quote  Secre- 
tary Brown.  In  his  speech  yesterday 
he  indicated  that  whatever  the  Soviet 
Union  tried  to  do,  in  the  way  of 
either  offensive  improvements  or  de- 
fensive improvements,  would  not  im- 
pair our  retaliatory  capability. 

With  regard  to  antisatellite  sys- 
tems, we  obviously  view  with  alarm 
the  possibility  that  both  sides  may 
engage  in  a  race  in  space  that  could 
give  both  sides  the  ability  to  destroy 
the  satellites  of  the  other  side.  That 
would  not  only  interfere  with  verifi- 
cation, it  would  also  interfere  with  a 
number  of  developments  that  have 
proven  to  be  of  great  civilian  impor- 
tance. SALT  cannot  control  the  de- 
velopment of  the  capability.  It  does 
prohibit  any  use,  so  that  whatever  the 
capability  might  be,  it  could  not  be 
used  without  completely  destroying 
the  SALT  agreement. 

In  order  to  deal  with  the  question 
of  capability,  we  recently  initiated 
talks  on  a  prohibition  of  the  develop- 


.  .  .  my  instructions  from  the  President  are  to  complete  a  negoti- 
ation when  we  can  get  an  agreement  that  we  want.  .  .  we  will  get 
an  agreement  as  soon  as  we  have  one  that  serves  the  interests  of 
the  United  States. 


means,  to  determine  whether  or  not 
the  limits  of  SALT  II  are  being  met. 

I  am  confident  that  those  verifica- 
tion provisions  are  adequate  for  the 
purpose.  They  are  the  verification 
provisions  that  we  proposed  and  that 
eventually,  after  long  and  very  skill- 
ful negotiations,  we  managed  to  get 
the  Soviet  Union  to  accept. 

As  far  as  their  other  activities  are 
concerned,  mention  has  been  made  of 
civil  defense.  I  say  the  real  risk  of 
civil  defense  is  that  the  country  that 
put  money  in  it  may  convince  itself 
that  the  money  has  not  been  wasted 
and,  therefore,  may  bask  in  the  illu- 
sion of  invulnerability.  The  fact  of 
the  matter  is  that  our  more  than  9,000 
nuclear  warheads  could  totally  satu- 
rate any  civil  defense  effort  and 
wreak  totally  unacceptable  havoc  on 
the  Soviet  Union. 


ment  of  antisatellite  weapons.  I  par- 
ticipated in  those  talks  in  Helsinki  at 
the  beginning  of  June.  We  have  a 
further  round  of  talks  coming  up.  We 
have  to  realize  that  either  there  is 
going  to  be  a  ban  on  antisatellite 
systems  for  both  countries  or  else 
both  sides  will,  in  fact,  go  ahead. 

The  short  answer,  in  the  course  of 
a  long  answer,  is  that  we  do  not  trust 
the  Soviet  Union.  It  is  why  we  have 
developed  a  SALT  agreement  that 
doesn't  rely  on  trust  but  relies  on  our 
own  ability  to  verify  compliance. 

Q.  I  have  a  set  of  questions  about 
the  vulnerability  of  Minuteman  and 
the  role  of  multiple  aiming  point 
systems.  When  do  we  think  that 
Minuteman  will  really  be 
vulnerable— 1980?  1982?  Later? 
And  how  do  we  think  that  we  would 


22 

verify  a  Soviet  multiple  aiming- 
point  system,  if  they,  also,  took  this 
choice? 

A.  As  far  as  Minuteman  vulnera- 
bility is  concerned,  as  I  mentioned, 
there  will  be  at  least  a  theoretical 
vulnerability  at  the  point  at  which  the 
Soviet  Union  has  the  number  of 
warheads  and  the  degree  of  accuracy 
that  would  enable  them,  with  some 
degree  of  confidence,  to  deposit  two 
reentry  vehicles  on  each  Minuteman 
site. 

There  are  some  who  say  that  will 
occur  by  the  mid- 1 980 's.  Some  say 
earlier  than  that.  Some  say  never. 
There  are  formidable  problems  in 
planning  the  kind  of  attack  which  that 
scenario  would  envisage.  You  would 
have  to  be  able  to  send  over  enough 
missiles  so  that  you  had  enough 
warheads  so  that  you  had  two  for 
each  Minuteman  silo.  You  would 
have  to  time  your  attack  with  the  ex- 
quisite precision  that  would  enable 
you  to  reach  that  point  at  which  the 


Department  of  State  Bullet 


missiles  launched  from  submarines. 
The  Soviet  Union  has  something  like 
70%  in  intercontinental  ballistic  mis- 
siles. So,  if  intercontinental  ballistic 
missiles  are  vulnerable,  then  70%  of 
their  force  is  at  risk;  something  like 
30%  of  our  force  is  at  risk. 

As  far  as  mobile  launchers  are  con- 
cerned, that  option  is  preserved  after 
the  protocol  period.  We  can  test  any 
type  of  mobile  ICBM  launcher  im- 
mediately. And  if  we  decide  that  this 
is  something  we  have  to  do  to  protect 
even  the  30%  of  our  deterrent  force, 
we  would  be  free  to  go  ahead  with  it 
at  the  end  of  the  protocol  period. 

As  far  as  verification  is  concerned, 
you  have  to  recognize  that  SALT 
limits  launchers,  not  missiles.  You 
can't  verify  how  many  missiles  there 
are.  You  can  verify  the  number  of 
launchers.  So  the  verification  problem 
requires  that  you  have  a  system  in 
which  you  can  tell  what  the  launcher 
is  and  how  many  of  them  there  are. 
And  any  system  that  we  utilized 
would  meet  that  criterion,  because  we 


[The  United  States  and  the  Soviet  Union]  have  to  recognize  that  if  we 
continue  to  go  ahead  with  an  unchecked  competition  in  strategic  arms, 
we  can't  expect  the  rest  of  the  world  to  stand  by  and  indefinitely 
eschew  the  acquisition  of  a  nuclear  weapons  capability  of  their  own. 


oncoming  missiles  were  not  destroyed 
by  the  explosion  of  their  predeces- 
sors, the  so-called  fratricide  problem. 
You  would  have  to  assume  virtually 
flawless  performance  of  a  system  that 
has  never  been  tested  in  anger.  And 
you  would  also  have  to  assume  that 
the  President  of  the  United  States 
would  stand  calmly  by,  while  Soviet 
missiles — with  something  like  20-, 
25-,  30-minutes  warning — thundered 
overhead  to  attack  our  missiles.  Now. 
I  don't  think  the  President  of  the 
United  States  would  do  that,  and  I  am 
quite  sure  that  no  Soviet  planner  in 
his  right  mind  would  assume  that  the 
United  States  would  leave  its  missiles 
to  be  destroyed  once  we  had  assured 
proof  of  a  Soviet  attack. 

So  I  tend  to  be  with  those  that  say 
that  the  vulnerability  is  largely 
theoretical.  But,  if  I  am  wrong,  we 
are  taking,  and  have  taken,  the  steps 
to  make  sure  that  our  retaliatory  ca- 
pability is  preserved.  The  fact  that 
you  could  predict  a  point  at  which 
fixed  targets  could  be  vulnerable  was 
what  compelled  us  in  decades  past  to 
develop  the  ballistic  missile  subma- 
rine, and  it  put  a  substantial  part  of 
our  total   resources   into  our  ballistic 


would   insist   on   that   criterion   being 
met  by  the  Soviet  Union. 

Q.  Moving  on  to  a  cluster  of 
questions  on  related  issues,  what  is 
the  relation  between  SALT  and  the 
concern  of  our  allies?  You  have 
touched  on  the  issue  of  nonprolifer- 
ation;  how  about  mutual  and  bal- 
anced force  reductions  (MBFR)? 
And  what  is  the  relation,  also,  be- 
tween SALT  and  a  comprehensive 
test  ban? 

A.  There  is  no  direct  relationship 
between  SALT  and  these  other  arms 
control  negotiations.  You  could  have 
success  in  SALT  and  still  not  assure 
that  you  would  have  a  comprehensive 
test  ban.  However,  the  two  are,  in  a 
sense,  complementary.  For  example. 
I  have  mentioned  that  what  we  are 
trying  to  negotiate  is  some  sort  of  a 
prohibition  on  development  of  new 
strategic  arms.  Obviously,  if  you  had 
a  comprehensive  test  ban,  that  would 
give  you  additional  assurance  that 
new  strategic  arms  weren't  being  de- 
veloped, because  you  could  not  de- 
velop a  new  warhead  without  exten- 
sive testing.  But  the  two  of  them  do 
proceed  independently  of  one  another. 


It  is  quite  interesting  that  when 
am  in  Geneva  dealing  with  both  negol 
ations,  there  is  almost  no  social  ii 
terrelationship  between  the  two  Sovii 
delegations,  and  they  never  discu; 
the  problems  of  the  other  negotiatioi 
They  maintain  an  almost  complete! 
isolated  approach  to  the  separal 
negotiations. 

As  far  as  mutual  and  balanced  fore 
reduction  talks  are  concernec 
again,  there  is  no  direct  relationshi| 
Obviously,  it  would  improve  th 
overall  degree  of  confidence  betwee 
the  two  sides  if  we  were  able  to  pr< 
ceed  with  reasonable  parallelism  c 
the  two. 

But  MBFR.  you  have  to  remembe 
is  geographically  limited.  It  involvi 
only  the  central  European  situatioi 
and  therefore  you  could  not  negotia 
in  MBFR  any  restrictions  on  Sovic 
theater  nuclear  forces  that  were  n< 
located  within  the  central  Europe^ 
area  themselves.  Systems  that  wei 
located  in  the  Soviet  Union,  directe 
at  Western  European  targets,  woui 
be  entirely  outside  the  coverage  ( 
MBFR. 

It  seems  to  me  that  at  some  poin 
in  order  to  complete  the  arms  contn 
agenda,  what  we  will  have  to  do  is 
develop  some  sort  of  a  forum  i 
which  we  can  negotiate  meaningfi 
restrictions  on  the  theater  nucle; 
forces,  the  intermediate  range  balli 
tic  missile  systems  of  the  Sovi. 
Union,  and,  of  course,  then  sorr 
matching  restraints  on  our  longi 
range  forward-based  systems.  But  th 
forum  does  not  exist  as  yet. 

Q.  We  have  a  cluster  of  questioi 
that  relate  to  what  will  happen 
you  do  get  an  agreement:  Have  yo 
let  the  opponents  of  the  agreemen 
or  the  critics,  get  the  jump  in  th 
national  debate?  Are  you  plannin 
an  effort  at  persuasion?  When  wi 
it  begin?  Have  you  considered  ; 
given  the  difficulty  of  a  two-thiro 
vote,  the  possibility  of  an  executiv 
agreement?  What  would  be  the  ac 
vantages  and  disadvantages  of  that 
And  how  optimistic  are  you  aboi  ■■ 
the  country's  agreement  to  wha 
you  may  agree  to? 

A.  First  of  all,  we  have  to  depei 
sonalize  it.  It  won't  be  what  I  agre 
to;  it  will  be  what  the  U.S.  Govern 
ment  agrees  to.  I  think  it  has  to  b 
understood  that  the  entire  process  o 
developing  positions  in  SALT  is  a 
interagency  process.  It  is  done  by 
subcommittee  of  the  National  Securit 
Council,  on  which  sit  the  Secretary  o 
State,  the  Secretary  of  Defense,  th' 
President's  National  Security  Adviser 
the  Chairman  of  the  Joint  Chiefs,  th 


).' 


October  1978 

Director  of  the  Central  Intelligence 
Agency,  and  I  am  entitled  to  one 
small  vote  in  that  committee.  That  is 
where  the  positions  are  developed. 
That  is  where  we  determine  what 
moves  we  are  prepared  to  make. 

As  far  as  letting  the  opposition  get 

a  jump  on  us,   I  think  you  have   to 

recognize  that  it  is  awfully  difficult  to 

defend  a  treaty  which  doesn't  yet 

exist  against  somebody  else's  dream. 

I  can  dream  up  a  better  treaty  than  we 

are   going   to   be   able   to   present.    It 

would  be  a  very  one-sided  treaty,  and 

I  have   no  realistic  hope  that  the 

Soviet   Union — or  anybody  else   in 

their  right  mind — would  accept  it.  We 

Whave  to  recognize  that  in  order  to  get 

■restrictions  on  Soviet  systems  that  we 

■don't  like,  we  have  to  forego  certain 

■  military  options  of  our  own.  There 
jare  those  who  will  oppose  any  SALT 

■  treaty,  because  they  oppose  any  re- 
Bstrictions  on  American  total  military 
jl freedom.  I  think  they  are  wrong,  but 
Ithey  are  entitled  to  their  own  opinion. 

I  think  that  the  only  way  that  SALT 

lean  be  sold  is  on  its  merits.  I  believe 

that  the  agreement  will  commend  it- 

j  self  to  anybody  who  approaches  arms 

|  :ontrol  with  an  objective  frame  of 

nind.    Those    who   think   that   you 

should  not  be  doing  business  with  the 

■'Soviet  Union,  obviously,  aren't  going 

«to  be  satisfied. 

But,    to   me,    it    is   going    to   be   a 
question  of  whether  or  not  the  agree- 

■  ment  improves  the  security  of  the 
United   States.    I   think  an  agreement 

•  which  limits  Soviet  systems,  which 
,  requires  them  to  reduce,  which  pre- 
sents them  from  going  ahead  with  a 
■whole  new  fifth  generation  of  inter- 
j Continental  ballistic  missiles — that 
I  means  a  net  reduction,  as  compared 
1  with  where  they  would  be  by  1985,  of 
^something  in  excess  of  900  nuclear 
|  delivery  systems — is  not  going  to  be 
livery  hard  to  sell.  And  I  look  forward 
lto  the  debate  with  a  good  deal  of 

expectation. 

Q.  I  guess  I  should  draw  your 

attention   to   the  question  of  an 

executive    agreement    versus    a 

treaty. 

A.   That,   of  course,   is  a  possible 

option.    I   think   that   in   terms   of  the 


ratification  problem  that  it  wouldn't 
make  an  awful  lot  of  difference;  be- 
cause, of  course,  in  order  to  invoke 
cloture,  you  would  need  60  votes  in 
the  Senate  in  any  event.  So  it  is  a 
question  of  seven  less  votes,  as  com- 
pared to  the  problems  of  getting 
ratification  through  both  houses  of  the 
Congress.  It's  a  decision  that,  I  think, 
will  be  made  on  the  basis  of  congres- 
sional sentiment,  as  much  as  on  any 
other  consideration.  We  have  consid- 
ered that  SALT  would  be  a  treaty. 
Now,  of  course,  as  1985  comes 
closer,  it  begins  to  look  more  like  a 
short-term  executive  agreement.  But, 
as  I  say,  that  decision  remains  open. 
It  will  be  made,  obviously,  in  close 
consultation  with  the  Congress. 

Q.  I  think  I  will  just  sum  up  with 
one  more  question,  if  I  may,  Am- 
bassador Warnke,  and  that  is  if  you 
would  summarize  for  us  your  own 
sense  of  how  near  we  are,  actually 
on  the  clauses.  And  if  you  have — if 
there  is  one  or  another  point  that 
you  would  like  to  single  out,  is 
there  a  difference  of  substance  that 
you  find  particularly  troubling,  or 
are  you  basically  optimistic  because 
you  have  called  your  speech  "SALT 
II— the  Home  Stretch?" 

A.  I  would  say  that  we  are,  in  fact, 
very  close  at  this  point,  that  we  have 
solved  much  more  difficult  problems 
than  any  of  those  that  remain.  The 
remaining  problems  have  to  do,  for 
the  most  part,  with  the  degree  and 
coverage  of  the  restrictions  on  new 
types  of  missile  systems. 

The  Soviet  Union  would  like  to 
impose  tighter  constraints  on  our 
cruise  missiles.  We  would  like  to 
have  tight  constraints  on  the  Soviet 
ballistic  missiles.  One  of  the  prob- 
lems that  exists  is  the  fact  that  the 
Soviets  do  have  bigger  missiles  than 
we  have.  We  opted,  back  in  the 
1960's,  to  go  for  the  solid-fueled, 
smaller,  but  more  reliable,  systems. 
They  have  continued  with  the  larger, 
liquid-fueled  systems,  so,  as  a  result, 
they  have  larger  throw-weight.  One 
obvious  improvement  in  the  strategic 
situation  would  be  to  limit  the  way  in 
which  they  could  modify  these  exist- 
ing systems.   If  we  can  ban   most  of 


23 


the  new  systems,  if  we  can  prevent 
modifications,  modernization,  in- 
creased reentry  vehicles  on  the  exist- 
ing systems,  then  we  have  lessened 
the  prospects  of  Minuteman  vulnera- 
bility, and  we  have  created  a  more 
stable  strategic  situation. 

I  think  that  we  are  getting  there.  I 
think  that  the  Soviet  Union  recognizes 
that  they,  too,  have  an  interest  in  a 
SALT  treaty.  I  have  speculated 
sometimes  on  the  reasons  why  they 
would  be  interested — I  mean,  if  they 
want  it,  is  it  because  they  think  it  is 
good  for  them  and  bad  for  us?  There 
is  always  that  chance.  But  I  think  it  is 
probably  more  realistic  to  consider 
why  it  is  that  we  would  have  a  com- 
mon interest,  and  there  are  a  variety 
of  reasons.  I  have  mentioned  the 
common  interest  in  survival.  There  is 
also  the  common  interest  in  stopping 
the  proliferation  of  nuclear  weapons. 
Both  of  us  have  to  recognize  that  if 
we  continue  to  go  ahead  with  an  un- 
checked competition  in  strategic 
arms,  we  can't  expect  the  rest  of  the 
world  to  stand  by  and  indefinitely  es- 
chew the  acquisition  of  a  nuclear 
weapons  capability  of  their  own. 

I  think,  also,  that  the  Soviet  Union 
recognizes  that  the  alternative  to 
SALT  is,  for  them,  not  a  very  ap- 
petizing one.  I  don't  agree  with  those 
who  say  that  we  need  SALT,  because 
it  is  the  best  we  can  do  in  preventing 
the  Soviet  Union  from  massively 
overcoming  us.  I  think  that  we  have 
the  resources,  we  have  the  will,  we 
have  the  technology  so  that  we  could 
keep  up  in  any  kind  of  an  unbridled 
competition.  I  know  that  the  Soviet 
Union  knows  that,  too.  And,  there- 
fore, the  alternative  to  SALT  is 
merely  the  indefinite  perpetuation  of 
a  strategic  arms  competition,  which 
we  won't  allow  them  to  win.  Under 
these  circumstances,  I  think  that  we 
both  have  incentives  to  overcome  the 
remaining  differences.  I  think  that 
can  be  done  and  in  the  not-too-distant 
future.  d 


1  ACDA  press  release. 

2For  text  of  address,  see  Bulletin  of  Oct. 
9,  1967. p.  443. 


24 


I/.S.  and  Soviet  Strategy? 
Capabilitg  Through  the  md-19809s 


Report  of  the  Arms  Control  and 
Disarmament  Agency,  August  1978.* 

Many  of  the  static  measures  used  to 
compare  U.S.  and  Soviet  strategic 
forces  deal  only  with  factors  such  as 
numbers  of  bombers,  missiles, 
weapons,  throw-weight,  and  megatons. 
Other  factors  not  considered  can  far 
outweigh  these  simple  static  measures. 
These  factors  include,  but  are  not  lim- 
ited to,  the  readiness  of  the  forces, 
their  survivability,  their  ability  to 
penetrate  defenses,  their  accuracy  and 
reliability,  and  what  it  is  they  have  to 
attack. 

The  "capability  index"  used  in  this 
study  attempts  to  place  in  perspective 
the  relative  capabilities  of  the  U.S. 
and  Soviet  strategic  forces  according 
to  a  common  measure  of  effectiveness. 
This  measure  is  one  which  focuses  on 
what  the  forces  "can  do"  as  opposed 
to  what  the  two  forces  "look  like." 

Basis  for  Analysis 

The  first  step  in  the  process  is  to 
determine  what  it  is  that  the  forces 
will  be  used  against  in  the  event  of  a 
nuclear  exchange.  It  is  generally  ac- 
cepted that  the  various  categories  of 
targets  will  include  industrial  and  eco- 
nomic facilities,  civilian  and  military 
command  and  control  facilities,  and 
military  targets  such  as  missile  launch- 
ers, submarine  ports,  airfields,  and 
troop  installations.  In  terms  of  vul- 
nerability it  is  more  appropriate  to 
categorize  the  targets  according  to 
their  susceptibility  to  destruction.  The 
majority  of  potential  targets  are  very 
soft.  That  is,  any  nuclear  weapon 
which  detonates  within  a  few  thousand 
feet  will  probably  destroy  the  target. 
Other  targets  such  as  missile  silos, 
weapons  storage,  and  command  and 
control  facilities  are  built  to  withstand 
all  but  direct  hits  and  near  misses. 

In  this  analysis  a  basic  target  set  is 
assumed  against  which  the  capabilities 
of  the  two  forces  are  measured.  While 
there  are  asymmetries  within  the  U.S. 
and  Soviet  target  systems  on  a  func- 
tional basis,  it  is  not  unreasonable  to 
assume  an  equal  number  of  hard  and 
soft  targets  for  purposes  of  comparing 
overall  capability.  In  this  analysis  it  is 
assumed  that  each  country  has  1 ,500 
hard  targets  (2,000  psi)2  and  5,000 
soft  targets  (10  psi).  Excursions  to  this 
base  case  have  been  made.  They  show 


that  the  results  are  not  particularly 
sensitive  to  the  variations  in  the  total 
number  of  targets,  the  hardness  of  the 
targets,  or  the  ratio  of  hard  to  soft 
targets. 

This  means  of  measuring  force  ca- 
pability cannot  be  used  to  evaluate  the 
full  impact  of  the  current  and  pro- 
jected Soviet  strategic  forces.  Nor 
should  this  study  be  the  sole  basis  for 
accepting  or  rejecting  proposed 
changes  in  the  U.S.  force  posture. 
However,  the  overall  capability  of  nu- 
clear forces  to  accomplish  their  de- 
signed objectives — destruction  of 
targets — has  to  play  a  major  role  in 
any  comparative  assessment  of  relative 
strength. 

The  analysis  which  follows  com- 
pares the  capability  of  U.S.  and  Soviet 
strategic  forces  for  the  present  and  for 
the  mid-1980's  against  a  common 
target  set. 

Relative  Strategic  Capability  of 
U.S.  and  Soviet  Forces  in  1978 

While  the  Soviets  lead  the  United 
States  in  some  of  the  static  indices  of 
strategic  force  comparison,  the  United 
States  is  clearly  ahead  today  in  terms 
of  target  destruction  capability. 

Chart  1  shows  the  current  Soviet 
capability  to  destroy  a  target  system 
consisting  of  1,500  hard  targets  and 
5,000  soft  targets.  The  curve  which 
originates  at  the  lower  left  corner  of 
the  graph  shows  the  damage  expect- 
ancy for  a  sequentially  higher  alloca- 
tion of  weapons  to  hard  targets.  The 
dotted  curve  which  begins  in  the  lower 
right  corner  of  the  graph  indicates  the 
percentage  of  soft  targets  destroyed  by 
the  weapons  not  allocated  to  hard 
targets.  For  example,  if  no  weapons 
are  allocated  to  hard  targets  then  all 
weapons  are  used  against  soft  targets 
and  75  c/c  of  the  soft  targets  are  de- 
stroyed. At  the  other  extreme,  if  all 
weapons  are  used  against  hard  targets 
and  none  against  soft  then  the  Soviets 
could  destroy  56  %  of  the  1,500  hard 
targets. 

To  illustrate  the  use  of  these  curves 
consider  the  case  where  the  Soviets 
might  desire  a  damage  expectancy  of 
70%  against  the  soft  targets.  With 
1978  forces  this  is  achievable  but  in 
order  to  destroy  70%  of  the  soft 
targets  only  6%  of  the  force  would  be 
available  to  strike  the  hard  targets. 
Therefore,  from  the  curves  of  chart   I . 


;lft 


s 

■:.  • 

; 
K 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 

if  709c  of  the  soft  targets  are  de- 
stroyed then  only  14  %  of  the  hard 
targets  would  be  destroyed.  An  in- 
teresting way  of  comparing  forces  is 
shown  in  the  appendix. 

Chart  2  contains  the  Soviet  1978 
capability  curves  from  chart  1  as  well 
as  the  curves  which  show  how  capa- 
ble the  current  U.S.  strategic  forces 
would  be  against  the  same  target 
system  after  riding  out  the  Soviet 
first-strike.  In  these  curves  both 
forces  are  in  a  generated  alert  pos- 
ture. All  force  characteristics  such  as 
alert  readiness,  accuracy,  weapon 
yield,  and  reliability  have  been  taken 
into  account  as  well  as  estimates  of 
U.S.  bomber  force  capability  to 
penetrate  Soviet  air  defenses. 

It  can  be  observed  from  the  com- 
puter plot  of  chart  2  that  the  retalia- 
tory capability  of  U.S.  forces  in  1978 
exceeds  the  first-strike  capability  of 
the  Soviets  against  both  hard  and  soft 
targets.  It  can  be  seen  in  this  chart 
that  for  any  weapon  allocation  U.S. 
forces  in  a  retaliatory  attack  create  a 
larger  destruction  than  Soviet  forces 
in  a  first-strike.  For  example,  an  allo- 
cation in  which  80%  of  the  force  was 
used  against  soft  targets  while  the 
other  20%  was  used  against  hard 
targets  would  yield  the  following 
results. 


Hard  Targets  Soft  Targets 
Destroyed        Destroyed 

Soviet  first-strike       28%  61% 

U.S.  retaliation  43%  77% 


One  of  the  major  contributors  to 
U.S.  hard  target  kill  capability  is  the 
U.S.  manned  bomber  force.  This 
force  is  not  provocative  from  a  first- 
strike  viewpoint  because  of  its  rela- 
tively slow  response  time  (as  com- 
pared to  intercontinental  ballistic 
missiles — ICBM's);  however,  in  re- 
taliation it  has  the  capability  to  de- 
stroy a  wide  spectrum  of  targets. 


Relative  Strategic  Capability  of 
U.S.  and  Soviet  Forces  in  the 
Mid-1980's 

Both  forces  are  projected  to 
undergo  extensive  modernization  be- 
tween now  and  the  mid-1980's.  For 
the  United  States  the  changes  which 
will  take  place  include  improved  ac- 
curacy and  higher  yield  warheads  for 
the  Minuteman  III  ICBM;  the  de- 
ployment of  the  new  and  larger  Tri- 
dent submarines  equipped  with  the 
new  Trident  C-4  missile;  the  backfit- 
ting  of  the  Trident  C-4  missile  into 
many  of  the  Poseidon  submarines; 


ctober  1978 

nd  the  introduction  into  the  U.S. 
omber  force  of  the  air-launched 
ruise  missile  (ALCM). 

Chart  3  shows  a  comparison  of  the 
US.  retaliatory  capability  in  1978  to 
lat  of  the  mid-1980s.  It  can  clearly 
e   seen   in   this  chart   that  the   U.S. 

taliatory  capability  in  the  mid- 
980's  is  substantially  larger  than  our 
urrent  capability. 

Soviet  strategic  force  improvements 
re  even  more  dramatic.  The  MIRV - 
!ig  which  is  currently  underway  will 
ave  been  completed;  better  missile 
.-curacy  is  forecast;  and  several  new 
eapon   systems  are  projected  to  be 


Chart  1 

Current  First  Strike  Capability  of  Soviet 
Strategic  Forces 


Percent 
Destruction 

100 


Legend 


Percent 
Destruction 
100 


0  20         40  60  80         100 

Percent  of  Weapons  Allocated  to  Hard  Targets 
(Remaining  Weapons  Allocated  to  Soft  Targets) 


deployed.  In  chart  4  the  first-strike 
capabilities  of  the  current  and  pro- 
jected Soviet  strategic  forces  are 
shown.  As  can  be  seen  in  the  chart 
Soviet  first-strike  capability  in  the 
mid- 1 980  's  has  increased  sharply  over 
the  current  Soviet  first-strike  capabil- 
ity. It  can  be  noted  that  the  most  sig- 
nificant increase  in  capability  is  in 
hard  target  destruction. 

The  analysis  takes  into  account  the 
SALT  II  agreement  now  being 
negotiated.  Although  it  is  not  possible 
to  predict  Soviet  force  improvements 
in  the  absence  of  a  SALT  II  agree- 
ment,  it   is  apparent   that  the   overall 


Chart  2 

A  Comparison  of  Current  Soviet  First 

Strike  Capability  and  U.S.  Retaliatory 

Capability 


Percent 
Destruction 

100 


Percent 

Destruction 

100 


Legend 


40  60  80         100 

Percent  ol  Weapons  Allocated  to  Hard  Targets 
(Remaining  Weapons  Allocated  to  Soft  Targets) 


25 

capability  could  be  greater  since  it 
would  be  unrestrained  by  the  SALT 
limitations. 

In  chart  5  the  U.S.  retaliatory  ca- 
pability is  compared  to  the  Soviet 
first-strike  potential.  Both  forces  are 
roughly  in  balance;  however,  the 
overall  capability  of  the  United  States 
to  attack  hard  targets  is  about  10  per- 
centage points  lower  than  the  Soviet 
first-strike  capability  primarily  be- 
cause of  the  losses  incurred  by  the 
U.S.  Minuteman  force. 

Observations 

On  the  basis  of  the  capability  index 
used  in  this  study  the  following  ob- 
servations can  be  made. 

•  The  United  States  is  ahead  of  the 
Soviet  Union  today  in  target  destruc- 
tion capability. 

•  Both  the  United  States  and  Soviet 
forces  will  become  substantially  more 
capable  by  the  mid-1980's. 

•  U.S.  retaliatory  capability  after  a 
Soviet  first-strike  in  the  mid-1980's 
exceeds  the  current  retaliatory  capa- 
bility. 

•  The  capability  of  U.S.  and  Soviet 
strategic  forces  in  the  mid- 1 980 's  is 
essentially  equal. 

APPENDIX— Equal  Damage  Point 

An  interesting  way  to  examine  the 
curves  presented  in  this  report  is  at 
the  point  where  the  hard  and  soft 
targets  curves  cross.  At  this  point  the 
damage  to  both  hard  and  soft  targets 
is  equal.  This  point  will  be  referred  to 
as  the  equal  damage  point  (EDP). 


Chart  3 

A  Comparison  of  Current  and  Future 
(mid-1980's)  U.S.  Capability  to 
Retaliate 

Percent  Percent 

Destruction  Destruction 


100 


U.S.  (mid-1980s) 


100 


0  20  40  60  80         100 

Percent  of  Weapons  Allocated  to  Hard  Targets 
(Remaining  Weapons  Allocated  to  Soft  Targets) 


Chart  4 

A  Comparison  of  Current  and  Future 
(mid-1980's)  Soviet  First  Strike  Capa- 
bility 


0  20  40  60  80         100 

Percent  of  Weapons  Allocated  to  Hard  Targets 
(Remaining  Weapons  Allocated  to  Soft  Targets) 


Chart  5 

A  Comparison  of  Soviet  First  Strike 
Capability  and  U.S.  Retaliatory  Capabil- 
ity in  the  mid-1980's 


Legend 

Hard  Target  Damage 

Soft  Target  Damage  . . , 


0  20  40  60  80         100 

Percent  of  Weapons  Allocated  to  Hard  Targets 
(Remaining  Weapons  Allocated  to  Soft  Targets) 


26 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 


. 


ECONOMICS:        Prospects  for 

international  Action  on 

Natural  Rubber 


by  Julius  L.  Katz 


Address  before  the  25th  assembly  of 
the  International  Rubber  Study  Group 
on  June  19,  1978.  Mr.  Katz  is  Assist- 
ant Secretary  for  Economic  and  Busi- 
ness Affairs. 

We  are  honored  to  serve  as  host  to 
the  25th  assembly  of  the  International 
Rubber  Study  Group.  The  United 
States  was  a  charter  member  of  the 
International  Rubber  Study  Group  at 
its  formation  in  1944  and  the  new 
group's  first  assembly  was  held  the 
next  year  in  Washington.  The  group  is 
one  of  the  oldest,  and  indeed  one  of 
the  most  useful,  international  com- 
modity organizations  representing  both 
producers  and  consumers.  Its  statisti- 
cal information  on  natural  rubber  and 
synthetic  rubber  production,  consump- 
tion, and  trade  has  benefitted  industry 
and  government  alike.  The  studies  it 
has  undertaken  on  problems  of  the 
rubber  industry  and  its  supply-demand 
projections  have  been  very  useful. 
And  its  annual  meetings  have  provided 
an  opportunity  for  representatives  of 
some  30  countries  to  meet  regularly  to 
discuss  common  problems  and  de- 
velopments in  world  rubber  markets. 

My  own  experience  in  the  com- 
modities field  does  not  date  back  quite 
as  far  as  the  International  Rubber 
Study  Group's,  but  international  com- 
modity issues  have  been  a  major 
preoccupation   of  mine   over   many 


years.  While  my  current  respon- 
sibilities cover  the  spectrum  of  inter- 
national economic  problems,  I  find 
myself  frequently  engaged — by  per- 
sonal choice  as  well  as  circum- 
stance— in  our  government's  efforts  to 
address  specific  commodity  issues.  So 
it  is  a  personal  pleasure  to  welcome 
this  important  commodity  group  to 
meet  with  us  in  Washington. 

Since  early  1977,  a  series  of  discus- 
sions on  natural  rubber  have  taken 
place  under  the  auspices  of  the  U.N. 
Conference  on  Trade  and  Development 
(UNCTAD).  At  the  latest  preparatory 
meeting,  held  4  months  ago,  produc- 
ing and  consuming  countries  agreed  to 
participate  in  formal  negotiations  for 
an  international  price  stabilization 
agreement.  Those  negotiations  will 
begin  in  November.  In  light  of  these 
developments,  I  would  like  first  to  re- 
view briefly  the  outlook  for  natural 
rubber  and  then  focus  on  the  prospects 
of  achieving  agreement  at  the  forth- 
coming negotiations  in  Geneva. 


The  Role  of  Natural  Rubber 

Over  the  last  century,  the  natural 
rubber  industry  has  changed  dramat- 
ically. Natural  rubber  was  initially 
obtained  wild  from  several  species  in 
the  Amazon  basin,  but  today  is  pro- 
duced primarily  in  Southeast  Asia 
from  organized  plantings  of  a  single 
specie.  In  the  interim,  agricultural, 
physiological,   and  biochemical   re- 


f Strategic  Capability — cont'd) 

In  chart  2  which  compares  the  cur- 
rent Soviet  first-strike  capability  to 
U.S.  retaliatory  capability,  the 
Soviets  could  achieve  a  48%  damage 
expectancy  on  the  6,500  targets  by  al- 
locating 36%  of  their  weapons  to  hard 
targets  and  the  remaining  64%  to  the 
soft  targets.  The  U.S.  retaliatory  capa- 
bility at  the  EDP  is  to  destroy  58';  ol 
the  6,500  targets.  A  U.S.  retaliation, 
therefore,  has  10  percentage  points 
more  capability  against  this  target  set 
than  a  Soviet  first-strike. 

Examining  charts  3  and  4  one  can 
see  that  the  EDP  and  U.S.  retaliatory 
forces  grows  by  24  percentage  points 
between  now  and  the  mid-1980's. 


while  that  of  the  Soviet  first-strike 
grows  by  35  percentage  points  over 
that  same  period. 

The  net  effect  of  the  current  U.S. 
lead  and  the  more  rapid  Soviet  growth 
between  now  and  the  mid- 1 980 's  is 
that  the  equal  damage  points  of  a 
Soviet  first-strike  and  a  U.S.  retalia- 
tion are  equal  in  the  mid- 1980  time 
period.  C 


1  ACDA  press  release. 

2 The  stated  level  of  hardness  is  the  over- 
pressure in  pounds  of  pressure  per  square  inch 
which  the  target  can  withstand  [footnote  in 
original]. 


search  have  transformed  the  origina 
tree  into  a  more  efficient  producer.  I: 
1977  the  world  trade  in  natural  rubbe 
had  climbed  to  3.2  million  tons  am 
was  valued  at  $2.2  billion.  Excludin; 
oil,  natural  rubber  ranks  sixth  in  valu 
among  the  primary  products  traded  o 
world  markets. 

Natural     rubber     is     of     majo 
socioeconomic   importance   to  the  de 
veloping  countries  of  Southeast  Asiai 
which  supply  over  90%  of  world  pro 
duction;  it  is  also  of  growing  impoi 
tance  to  a  number  of  countries  in  Al 
rica  and  Latin   America.   Nearly   2. 
million  workers  are  directly  employe 
in   natural   rubber  cultivation.   Ove 
three-quarters   of  world   production   i 
by  smallholders — subsistence  farmer 
who  typically  own   fewer  than    1 
acres.    Moreover,   natural   rubber  is 
significant  earner  of  much-neede 
foreign  exchange.   In    1976   Malaysi 
generated  23%  of  its  foreign  exchang 
receipts   from    natural    rubber   and   In 
donesia  21%  of  non-oil  receipts.  Tin 
figures  for  Sri  Lanka  and  Thailan   as 
were  18%  and  9%,  respectively. 

Natural  rubber  is  also  important  t  i 
the  industrialized  countries,  which  ac 
count  collectively  for  over  80%  o> 
world  consumption.  The  transportatio 
industry,  particularly  commercial  an 
passenger  tire  production,  has  tradi 
tionally  accounted  for  the  bulk  of  de 
mand.  In  recent  years,  though,  othe 
sectors  such  as  latex  products,  belting 
footwear,  and  cable  insulation  hav 
been  rapidly  increasing  their  con 
sumption.  Natural  rubber  is  particu 
lady  important  to  the  United  States,  a 
the  world's  largest  single  consumer  c 
this  product.  In  1977  our  imports  tc 
taled  nearly  800,000  tons.  Thi 
equates  to  almost  8  pounds  of  nature 
rubber  per  capita  and  amounts  to  ove 
20%  of  world  production.  Given  ou 
growing  demand  for  radial  tires,  th< 
U.S.  market  for  natural  rubber  appear 
certain  to  continue  to  expand  rapidly. 


.: 


« 


Trends 

There  are  currently  several  trend 
underway  which  individually  and  col 
lectively  promise  significant  futurt 
changes  in  the  natural  rubber  market. 

First,  the  traditional  demand  struc 
ture  is  changing.  Higher  oil  price: 
have  slowed  down  growth  in  tota 
world  elastomer  (natural  and  synthetic 
rubber)  demand.  As  a  result,  it  ap 
pears  likely  in  the  next  15  years  thai 
annual  growth  in  world  elastomer  corv 
sumption  will  decline  from  the  recen 
historical  average  of  6.5%  to  abou 
5%.  The  automotive  industry  of  th« 
developed  countries  will  remain  the 


tjtetober  1978 

n,  eading  consumer,  but  its  growth  in 
|i  tatural  rubber  use  should  taper  off  in 
^  he  1980's.  Other  industrial  uses  in  the 
jj  leveloped  countries,  coupled  with  the 
ij  tutomotive  sectors  of  the  developing 
ill  md  nonmarket  countries,  should  help 
(  >ffset  those  slowdowns.   On  balance, 

lowever,  we  see  the  overall  outlook  as 
j|  avorable,  with  total  elastomer  con- 
j,  umption  growing   at  a  rate   leaving 

ioth   natural   and  synthetic   rubber 

imple  scope  for  expansion. 

Second,  the  energy  situation  has 
iltered  the  competitive  relationship 
>etween  natural  and  synthetic  rubber, 
'rior  to  1973  synthetic  rubber,  based 
>n  monomers  produced  from  inexpen- 
ive  petrochemical  products,  enjoyed  a 
listinct  price  advantage.  The  fourfold 
ncrease  in  oil  prices  changed  this  re- 
ationship  by  doubling  the  cost  of  most 
nonomers.  Although  the  international 
>il  market  currently  is  slack,  future 
etroleutn  price  levels  and  supplies 
smain  highly  uncertain.  Meanwhile, 
he  cost  of  natural  rubber — whose 
ftrgest  component  is  labor — has  not 
teen  as  strongly  or  directly  influ- 
mced.  The  result  has  been  a  substan- 
al  improvement  in  its  ability  to  com- 
ete  in  elastomer  markets. 

Third,    new   technologies   and   pro- 
uction  techniques  continue  to  be  de- 
eloped  in  the  field  of  synthetic  rub- 
ers. Cis-Polyisoprene,  a  synthetic 
lbber  that  is  a  virtual  chemical  dupli- 
ate  of  natural  rubber,  is  already 
vailable  but  presently   more  costly 
J  tan   its   natural   counterpart.    In   addi- 
|  on,   new    "convenience"   rubbers — 
jhich  would  facilitate  processing — 
nd    "specialty"   rubbers — which  are 
resigned  to  perform  well  under  ex- 
treme conditions — may  soon  be  avail- 
able. There  also  has  been  renewed 
Interest    in    guayule,    the    latex- 
]iroducing  shrub  indigenous  to  Mexico 
Ind  the  southwestern  United  States. 
I'hese  developments — and  the  apparent 
jlDmmitment  of  nonmarket  economies 
K)  increasing  their  synthetic  rubber 
[I  reduction — could   offset   natural  rub- 
ler's  increased  competitiveness. 

Fourth,  most  projections  indicate 
liat  a  supply  shortfall  in  natural  rub- 
j'er  appears  likely  in  the  late  1980's. 
lis  I  have  already  mentioned,  world 
lemand  for  elastomers  is  likely  to 
Irow  at  5%  annually  over  the  next  15 
Bears  or  so.  Replanting  and  technical 
linovations  will  allow  natural  rubber 

reduction  to  climb  from  its  historic 
Iverage  growth  of  3%  annually  to 

erhaps  4%  per  year.   But  even  with 

lis  effort,  a  gap  between  production 
llnd  consumption  seems  likely  to  de- 

jelop    in    the    latter   part   of   the    next 

iecade. 


Production  Investment  and  Price 
Instability 

To  reduce  that  anticipated  future 
shortage  of  natural  rubber,  expanded 
production  and  increased  investment 
are  needed.  An  international  workshop 
held  last  month  in  Southeast  Asia  pro- 
vided an  opportunity  to  view  firsthand 
the  production  situation  of  the  natural 
rubber  industry.  Particularly  impres- 
sive were  technological  innovations 
which  would  provide  increased 
supplies  of  natural  rubber  if  effectively 
and  energetically  implemented.  These 
innovations  encompass: 

•  Higher  yielding  trees  which  could 
raise  current  annual  yields  by  two  or 
three  times; 

•  New  planting  materials  and  tech- 
niques which  can  reduce  the  immatu- 
rity period  of  rubber  trees  from  the 
traditional  6  to  7  years  down  to  3  to  4 
years,  thus  reducing  investment  costs 
substantially; 

•  Chemical  stimulants  capable  of 
cutting  production  costs  and  enhancing 
yields  of  relatively  mature  trees;  and 

•  Methods  of  stemming  losses  from 
endemic  tree  diseases. 

Programs  to  implement  these  inno- 
vations are  underway  in  all  of  the  pro- 
ducing countries,  but  the  levels  of  ef- 
fort and  effectiveness  vary  consid- 
erably among  the  producing  countries. 
As  a  result,  in  the  near  future  there 
will  have  to  be  sizable  new  invest-  • 
ments  if  the  opportunity  facing  natural 
rubber  producers  is  to  be  seized  and 
natural  rubber  shortfalls  avoided  in  the 
late  1980's. 

Natural  rubber  prices,  however, 
have  traditionally  displayed  a  consid- 
erable degree  of  instability,  with 
strong  rises — notably  in  1951,  1955, 
1960,  and  1973-74— followed  by 
sharp  and  sudden  declines.  This  be- 
havior has  tended  to  destabilize  small- 
holders' incomes,  complicate  planning 
for  national  development,  and  impact 
adversely  on  foreign  exchange  earn- 
ings. It  has  also  tended  to  contribute 
to  unjustified  investment  during 
periods  of  high  prices  and  underin- 
vestment during  periods  of  low  prices. 
As  such,  short-term  price  instability 
has  clearly  been  among  the  factors 
generating  resistance  to  needed  long- 
term  investments. 


Prospects  for  an   International 
Agreement 

Our  own  analyses  and  the  UNCTAD 
discussions  have  shown  that  a  properly 
designed  and  implemented  price 
stabilization  agreement  on  natural  rub- 
ber could  provide  benefits  to  both  con- 


27 


suming  and  producing  countries.  From 
the  standpoint  of  producer  countries, 
an  agreement  could: 

•  Offer  greater  predictability  of 
smallholder  incomes  and  foreign  ex- 
change earnings; 

•  Encourage  investments  that  would 
steadily  and  substantially  increase  nat- 
ural rubber  production  and  stimulate 
rural  development;  and 

•  Boost  consumption  of  natural  rub- 
ber, thus  making  it  possible  for  small- 
holder incomes  and  foreign  exchange 
earnings  to  rise. 

The  U.S.  interest  in  such  an  agree- 
ment, and  I  assume  that  of  most  con- 
suming countries,  would  be  to: 

•  Moderate  the  extent  to  which  vol- 
atile raw  material  prices  trigger  in- 
flationary pressures  and 

•  Create  an  atmosphere  that  would 
help  to  assure  future  needed  supplies 
of  natural  rubber  at  reasonable  prices. 

Looking  to  the  Negotiations 

In  theory,  it  is  not  difficult  to  ap- 
preciate that  an  international  buffer 
stock  agreement  could  offset  imper- 
fections in  the  competitive  rubber 
market,  while  avoiding  interference 
with  basic  supply/demand  factors  or 
underlying  price  signals  in  the  market. 
In  doing  so,  an  agreement  should 
confer  some  of  the  benefits  just  listed. 
In  practice,  though,  establishing  a 
buffer  stock  agreement  is  not  a  simple 
matter.  Commodity  markets  are  com- 
plex, and  the  political  realities  of  the 
multilateral  negotiation  process  com- 
pound the  problem.  Each  government 
brings  to  the  bargaining  table  its  own 
set  of  economic  and  political  objec- 
tives, as  well  as  its  peculiar  perspec- 
tive on  the  problem. 

The  negotiations  beginning  in 
Geneva  next  November  will  need  to 
resolve  an  array  of  closely  linked  is- 
sues before  a  satisfactory  agreement 
can  emerge.  These  issues  include  the 
proper  buffer  stock  size  and  location; 
the  width  of  the  price  band  to  be  de- 
fended and  the  rules  for  adjusting  the 
band;  the  procedures  for  market  inter- 
vention by  the  buffer  stock  manager; 
the  scale  of  government  contributions 
to  financing  the  buffer  stock;  and  the 
decisionmaking  rules. 

Two  of  these  issues — export  con- 
trols and  pricing  provisions — are  likely 
to  be  troublesome.  Given  their  signifi- 
cance, I  would  like  to  elaborate  in 
some  detail  our  views  on  each  of 
them. 

Export  controls  are  advanced  in 
most  negotiations  for  commodity 
agreements  as  a  means  of  supple- 


28 

meriting  buffer  stocks  to  insure  de- 
fense of  floor  prices.  Part  of  their  ap- 
peal lies  in  the  notion  that  they  will 
decrease  the  required  buffer  stock 
size,  thus  reducing  the  participants'  fi- 
nancial obligations  in  comparison  with 
a  pure  buffer  stock  agreement.  Our 
experiences  with  other  commodities 
and  our  analysis  of  the  rubber  market, 
however,  suggest  that  export  controls 
have  serious  disadvantages.  In  par- 
ticular, export  controls: 

•  Are  cumbersome  devices,  difficult 
to  negotiate  and  implement; 

•  Freeze  export  patterns  to  the  dis- 
advantage of  more  active  and  efficient 
producers,  especially  when  the  con- 
trols are  based  upon  past  export  per- 
formances; 

•  Impair  the  agreement's  ability  to 
defend  a  price  ceiling  once  demand 
picks  up.  particularly  if  production  re- 
strictions are  also  imposed; 

•  Are  particularly  difficult  to  design 
and  could  be  destabilizing;  and 

•  Inefficiently  idle  factors  of  pro- 
duction which  could  be  devoted  more 
advantageously  to  buffer  stock  size. 

In  regard  to  pricing  provisions  gen- 
erally, our  preference  is  for  measures 
that  enhance  the  operation  of  the  free 
market  rather  than  replace  it.  We  op- 
pose arrangements  that  introduce  arti- 
fically  rigid  restrictions  on  the  market 
or  try  to  peg  prices  at  levels  above 
those  which  supply  and  demand  can 
sustain.  In  our  view,  the  aim  should 
be  to  stabilize  the  market  price  around 
its  long-term  trend  as  determined  by 
market  prices,  rather  than  by  institu- 
tional fiat.  We  seek  an  approach  which 
would  enable  producers,  consumers, 
and  investors  to  respond  to  clearer 
market  signals  while  erratic  pressures 
on  price  movements  would  be  damp- 
ened. Market  distortions  and  misallo- 
cation  of  resources  could  thus  be 
minimized. 

In  the  specific  case  of  rubber,  we 
believe  that  in  determining  the  width 
of  the  price  band,  it  will  be  necessary 
to  take  into  account  the  size  of  the 
buffer  stock  and  its  ability  to  contrib- 
ute to  price  stabilization  within  that 
range.  The  design — and  operation — of 
the  mechanism  for  adjusting  that  price- 
band  should  be  based  primarily  upon 
long-term  trends. 

Conclusion 

As  the  negotiations  approach,  we 
are  working  with  other  countries  to 
develop  a  proposal  that  will  incorpo- 
rate recommendations  for  the  major 
economic  provisions  of  an  agreement. 
In  so  doing  we  are  giving  careful  con- 
sideration to  the  proposals  of  both 


producer  and  consumer  countries.  If 
the  constructive  atmosphere  which  has 
characterized  the  preparatory  discus- 
sions carries  over  to  the  formal  negoti- 
ations, the  prospects  are  good  for  an 
agreement  that  will  serve  the  interests 
of  both  producers  and  consumers. 

Looking  beyond  the  November 
negotiations,  we  will  inevitably  face 
the  question  of  the  International  Rub- 
ber Study  Group's  future  role  and  its 
relationship  to  a  secretariat  created  by 
a  new  international  agreement.  One 
possibility  might  be  for  the  group  to 
retain  all  its  present  functions  and  the 
traditional  London  headquarters  but  at 
the  same  time  to  acquire  a  close 
working  relationship  with  the  sec- 
retariat of  the  newly  created  interna- 
tional body.  Such  an  agreement  would 
maintain  the  valuable  expertise  already 
developed  by  the  International  Rubber 
Study  Group,  lower  operating  costs  of 
the  newly  created  body's  secretariat, 
and  reduce  overlapping  of  efforts. 
Those  of  us  here  today,  though,  have 
not  been  tasked — nor  are  we  now 
equipped — to  reach  a  decision  on  this 
important  question. 

In  the  meantime,  I  am  certain 
that — in  the  tradition  of  the  group — 
the  discussion  at  this  week's  as- 
semblage will  make  a  substantial  con- 
tribution to  the  preparatory  process  for 
the  negotiation  by  deepening  our 
mutual  understanding  of  the  key  issues 
facing  the  rubber  industry. 

On  behalf  of  the  U.S.  Government. 
I  extend  our  warmest  welcome  and 
best  wishes  for  a  fruitful  meeting.       □ 


Publications 


GPO  SALES 

Publications  may  be  ordered  by  catalog  or 
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Washington,  DC.  20402.  A  25%  discount  is 
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are  subject  to  change. 

The  Trade  Debate.  A  history  of  U.S.  trade  and 
its  effect  on  foreign  policy.  Includes  discus- 
sion questions,  tables,  and  useful  words  and 
phrases.  Pub.  8942.  $1.20.  (Stock  No.  044- 
000-01682-6.) 

Agricultural  Commodities.  Agreement  with 
Lebanon.  TIAS  8676  19  pp.  $1.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8676.) 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 

Agricultural  Commodities.  Agreement  wil 

Indonesia.  TIAS  8677.   17  pp.  $1.  (Cat.  Nc 

S9. 10:8677.) 
Investment   Guaranties.   Agreement  wit 

Syria.  TIAS  8707.  24  pp.  $1.20  (Cat.  N< 

S9. 10:8707.) 
Agricultural  Commodities — Transfers  Undi 

Title  II.  Agreement  with  Peru.  TIAS  8709. 

pp.  700.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8709.) 
Agricultural  Commodities — Transfers  Undt 

Title   II.   Agreement   with   Pakistan.  TIA 

8710.  5  pp.  600.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8710.) 
Agricultural  Commodities — Transfers  Undt 

Title  II.  Agreement  with  Mozambique.  TIA    i, 

8711.  4pp.  60?.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8711.) 
Agricultural  Commodities.  Agreement  wit 

Ethiopia.   TIAS  8715.   26  pp.   $1.20.   (Cal 

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Syria.   TIAS   8716.    22   pp.    $1.    (Cat     No 

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Syria.  TIAS   8717.   7  pp.   700.   (Cat.   No 

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International   Fund   for   Agricultural   De 

velopment.   Agreement   with  other  govern 

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Agricultural  Commodities.   Agreement  witl 

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Portugal,  amending  ihe  Agreement  of  Oc 

tober  22.    1976     TIAS   8812.   8  pp.   700 

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Zaire.  TIAS  8813.    10  pp.  700.   (Cat.   No 

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Commodity  Import  Program.  Agreement  with 

Egypt.  TIAS  8815     15  pp.   900.   (Cat.   No. 

S9. 10:8815.) 
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Egypt,  amending  the  agreement  of  October 

26,    1976.  as  amended.  TIAS  8818.   3  pp. 

600.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8818.) 
Agricultural  Commodities — Transfers  Under 

Title  II.  Agreement  with  Cape  Verde.  TIAS 

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Agricultural  Commodities — Transfers  Under 

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3  pp.  700  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8820.) 
Agricultural  Commodities.   Agreement  with 

the  Republic  of  Korea.  TIAS  8821.   20  pp. 

$1.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8821.) 
Agricultural  Commodities.  Agreement  with 

Jordan  amending  the  agreement  of  November 

29,  1976.  TIAS  8822    5  pp    700.  (Cat.  No.   I 

S9. 10:8822.) 
Agricultural  Commodities.  Agreemen 

Tunisia,  amending  the  agreement  of  January   j 

21.  1977.  TIAS  8823.  3  pp.  700.  (Cat.  No.  |] 

S9. 10:8823.)  i 


k 
Ui 

101 


- 


It      NO.      |j 

J" 

it   with    | 


October  1978 


29 


EUROPE:        The  Potential 
of  the  Helsinki  Dialogue 


by  Matthew  Nimetz 

Address  before  the  annual  meeting 
of  the  American  Bar  Association  in 
New  York  on  August  3,  1978.  Mr. 
Nimetz  is  Counselor  of  the  Depart- 
ment of  State . 

Perhaps  at  no  time  since  the  Hel- 
sinki Final  Act  was  signed  by  the 
leaders  of  the  35  European  and  North 
American  states  at  the  summit  in 
1975  has  it  been  so  much  in  the  news 
as  in  the  wake  of  the  trials  of  Orlov, 
Shcharanskiy ,  Petkus,  and  other 
Soviet  dissidents  this  spring  and 
iummer.1  I  welcome  this  opportunity 
:o  discuss  the  potential  of  the  Hel- 
sinki dialogue. 

The  behavior  of  the  Soviet  Union 
ooth  internally  and  externally,  espe- 
cially over  the  past  6  months  or  so, 
las  been  a  matter  of  grave  concern 
or  the  American  public  and  for  the 
\dministration.  We  entertain  no  illu- 
ions  about  the  totalitarian  nature  of 
ooviet  society.  We  recognize  that  our 
elationship  is  essentially  an  adver- 
;ary  one,  defined  by  challenges  both 
deological  and  overt,  though  tem- 
pered by  cooperative  activities  in 
ome  areas. 

We  believe  it  is  in  our  fundamental 
lational  interest  to  moderate  the  tone 
ind  character  of  this  adversary  re- 
ationship  and  to  expand  the  areas  in 
■vhich  cooperative  ventures  are  mutu- 
ally advantageous.  Equally,  we  owe  it 
o  ourselves,  our  children,  and  the 
oeople  of  other  nations  to  seek  every 
leasonable  opportunity  for  reaching 
igreements  with  the  Soviet  Union  that 
vill  help  control  dangerous  military 
ompetition  and  lessen  the  risk  of  nu- 
lear  war.  These  efforts  to  seek  out 
ireas  of  agreement,  particularly  in 
irms  control,  do  not  in  any  way  sig- 
ify  our  acquiescence  in  Soviet  mis- 
reatment  of  American  diplomats, 
jusinessmen,  and  journalists  or  their 
>wn  courageous  citizens  who  are 
nerely  trying  to  act  on  the  rights 
>romised  to  them  under  the  Helsinki 
•■inal  Act  and  other  international 
greements. 

The  events  of  the  past  year  have 
emonstrated  how  difficult  it  is  for  a 
Communist  state  to  put  into  practice, 
ven  to  a  limited  extent,  certain  ele- 
nental  rights,  such  as  those  contained 
n  the  Helsinki  Final  Act.  However, 
he  fact  that  the  Soviet  leadership  has 


not  implemented  important  elements 
of  their  Helsinki  commitments  in  no 
way  diminishes  the  potential  of  the 
Final  Act  to  the  citizens  of  East  and 
West  alike,  or  the  advantages  of  the 
Helsinki  process  to  long-term  Western 
interests. 

I  believe  that  the  Final  Act,  and  the 
process  of  which  it  is  the  most  tangi- 
ble product,  can  contribute  to  a  more 
stable  and  more  beneficial  East-West 
relationship.  This  potential  can  be 
realized  only  over  a  considerable 
period  of  time  and  then  only  if  cool 
and  informed  judgment  is  exercised 
by  all  concerned — by  governments 
and  by  the  citizenry  of  the  par- 
ticipating states. 

The  Final  Act  in  Context 

The  document  signed  at  Helsinki  in 
the  summer  of  1975  marked  the  con- 
clusion of  the  Conference  on  Security 
and  Cooperation  in  Europe,  which  is 
commonly  referred  to  as  CSCE.  Such 
a  conference  was  first  proposed  by 
the  Soviets  in  the  mid-1950's  and 
then  picked  up  again  by  President 
Brezhnev  with  renewed  enthusiasm 
shortly  after  his  ascent  to  power. 

The  West  had  no  interest  in  such  a 
conference,  considering  it  to  be  a 
ploy  to  legitimize  Soviet  claims  on 
Eastern  Europe  while  weakening  the 
bonds  between  Western  Europe  and 
the  United  States.  In  fact,  the  Soviets 
had  originally  hoped  to  restrict  the 
conference  to  European  states  so  that 
their  security  situation  could  be  dis- 
cussed without  the  presence  of  the 
United  States. 

At  the  end  of  the  1960's  the  NATO 
alliance  began  to  express  cautious 
interest  in  some  kind  of  pan-European 
conference,  provided  that  the  United 
States  and  Canada  took  part  and  pro- 
vided practical  steps  were  taken  to 
deal  with  several  of  Europe's  most 
pressing  security  problems,  especially 
regarding  Berlin  and  conventional 
forces  in  central  Europe. 

During  this  period  the  Federal  Re- 
public of  Germany  launched  its 
Ostpolitik  in  an  attempt  to  defuse 
some  of  the  major  postwar  European 
problems  revolving  around  the  Ger- 
man question.  At  the  same  time  the 
United  States  and  the  Soviet  Union 
were  also  reaching  agreement  on  a 
range  of  subjects,  including  SALT  I 
and  cultural  and  scientific  exchanges. 


It  was  in  this  context  of  substantial 
movement  to  relax  political  tensions 
across  a  broad  front  that  agreement 
was  reached  to  open  preparatory 
CSCE  talks  in  Helsinki  late  in  1972. 
Between  the  first  Soviet  suggestion 
and  the  actual  convocation  of  a  con- 
ference, more  than  a  decade  had 
passed  and  the  entire  nature  of  the 
conference  had  changed. 

While  the  word  "security"  was 
retained  in  its  title,  the  concept  of 
"cooperation"  was  added.  Potentially 
explosive  political  issues  such  as  the 
German  problem  and  the  hardcore  se- 
curity issues,  including  strategic  arms 
limitation  and  reduction  of  troop 
levels  in  central  Europe,  were  being 
dealt  with  in  more  limited  special 
forums  (the  Quadripartite  Agreement 
on  Berlin  and  the  start  of  talks  in 
Vienna  on  mutual  and  balanced  force 
reductions  in  central  Europe).  CSCE 
concentrated  therefore  upon  security 
in  a  more  general  sense — the  security 
that  would  come  from  an  expansion 
of  cooperation  between  East  and  West 
in  a  wide  range  of  areas  including 
economic,  humanitarian,  educational, 
and  cultural. 

The  Final  Act  was  divided  into 
three  basic  areas,  or  baskets.  A  Dec- 
laration on  Principles  [Guiding  Rela- 
tions between  Participating  States], 
contained  in  basket  1 ,  was  not  the 
quasipeace  treaty  originally  suggested 
by  the  Soviet  Union.  During  the  2 
years  of  negotiations,  it  evolved  into 
a  general  restatement  of  long- 
accepted  principles  of  interstate  be- 
havior such  as  sovereign  equality  and 
non-threat  or  non-use  of  force.  These 
principles  were  drawn  from  and  are  con- 
sistent with  earlier  statements  of  inter- 
national law  such  as  the  U.N.  Charter, 
the  U.N.  Declaration  on  Friendly  Re- 
lations, and  the  U.N.  Definition  of 
Aggression. 

A  most  important  accomplishment 
was  to  include  a  strongly  worded  af- 
firmation of  respect  for  human  rights 
and  fundamental  freedoms  in  the 
Declaration  on  Principles  as  one  of  10 
principles  governing  the  participating 
states  in  their  mutual  relations.  That 
principle  was  carefully  drafted  to  be 
consistent  with  earlier  statements  in 
such  documents  as  the  U.N.  Charter, 
the  Universal  Declaration  of  Human 
Rights,  and  the  U.N.  covenants  on 
civil,  political,  economic,  and  social 
rights.   In  so  doing  it  gave  added 


30 

force  to  those  documents  and  promi- 
nence to  the  commitment  of  the  35 
governments  to  pay  heed  to  them. 

Another  important  part  of  basket  1 
was  a  set  of  military  confidence- 
building  measures  which,  in  an  in- 
novative way,  seek  to  promote  secu- 
rity by  providing  for  notifications  of 
military  exercises,  the  presence  of 
observers  at  such  exercises,  and  other 
constructive  steps. 

The  most  interesting  and  innovative 
accomplishment  at  Helsinki  was  the 
inclusion  of  a  series  of  concrete, 
practical  commitments  in  basket  3 
designed  to  improve  the  flow  of 
people  and  ideas  between  East  and 
West. 

These  provisions  were  not  written 
in  tight  treaty  language  but  rather  in  a 
somewhat  more  flexible  form  of  ex- 
pression favored  by  diplomats  who 
are  seeking  to  reach  agreement  in 
controversial  areas.  To  some  extent 
they  did  not  go  as  far  as  the  classical 
international  legal  statements  sum- 
marized in  the  basket  1  principle  of 
respect  for  human  rights  and  funda- 
mental freedoms.  For  example,  article 
13  of  the  Universal  Declaration  of 
Human  Rights,  incorporated  by  refer- 
ence in  the  basket  1  principle,  states 
that:  "Everyone  has  the  right  to  leave 
any  country,  including  his  own,  and 
to  return  to  his  country."  Basket  3  of 
the  Final  Act  says  that:  "The  par- 
ticipating States  will  deal  in  a  posi- 
tive and  humanitarian  spirit  with  the 
applications  of  persons  who  wish  to 
be  reunited  with  members  of  their 
family.  .  .  ."  It  pledges  the  par- 
ticipating states  to  ".  .  .  deal  with 
applications  in  this  field  as  expedi- 
tiously as  possible."  It  says  that: 
"Applications  for  the  purpose  of 
family  reunification  which  are  not 
granted  may  be  renewed  at  the  appro- 
priate level  and  will  be  reconsidered 
at  reasonably  short  intervals  by  the 
authorities  of  the  country  of  residence 
or  destination,  whichever  is  con- 
cerned ....  '  These  provisions  are 
not  all-encompassing,  but  they  pro- 
vide concrete  commitments  from 
which  diplomats  can  discuss  and 
often  solve  particular  emigration 
cases. 

The  Helsinki  achievement  thus  was 
to  fold  human  rights  concerns  into  the 
developing  fabric  of  East-West  de- 
tente. It  established  the  point  that 
detente  would  have  to  deal  not  only 
with  arms  and  armies,  with  balance  of 
payments  and  benefits  for  govern- 
ments, but  also  with  the  practical, 
day-to-day  concerns  of  people — 
businessmen,  family  members,  jour- 
nalists, clergymen,  and  others. 

There  were  two  reasons  for  the 


West's  insistence  upon  this.  It  was 
believed  that  by  encouraging  the 
Soviet  Union  and  other  Communist 
states  toward  a  more  open  and  toler- 
ant treatment  of  people  and  ideas, 
much  of  the  suspicion  that  fueled 
postwar  hostility  could  be  replaced, 
in  an  evolutionary  process,  by  an  in- 
creasing sense  of  mutual  confidence. 
It  was  also  recognized  that  a  policy  of 
active  cooperation  with  the  East  could 
only  be  sustained  in  the  long  run  for 
the  democracies  of  the  West  if  our 
publics  could  perceive  and  experience 
direct  benefits. 

This,  I  would  point  out,  was  by  no 
means  merely  or  even  primarily  an 
American  policy.  It  was  carefully  de- 
veloped and  coordinated  policy  of  the 
nations  of  the  NATO  alliance  and  of 
the  major  Western  European  neutrals. 

It  was  always  recognized,  of 
course,  that  the  Final  Act's  ultimate 
value  would  have  to  be  judged  not  on 
the  day  it  was  signed  but  at  some 
point  rather  far  in  the  future.  It  is 
important  to  emphasize  that  the  Final 
Act  is  not  a  treaty  but  a  political 
document  signed  by  heads  of  state  or 
government  with  the  solemn  intention 
of  giving  meaning  to  the  words  of  the 
agreement.  President  Ford  and 
President  Carter  have  both  em- 
phasized that  the  test  would  not  be 
the  aspirations  expressed  but  rather  the 
goals  fulfilled. 

There  were  many  who  believed  that 
the  words  to  which  the  heads  of  35 
nations  subscribed  at  Helsinki  would, 
in  fact,  be  forgotten  rather  quickly. 
Clearly  this  has  not  happened.  In- 
deed, few  documents  are  quoted  or 
referred  to  more  often  today  than  the 
Helsinki  Final  Act.  It  is  important  to 
understand  why  this  agreement  has 
such  vitality.  There  have  been,  I  be- 
lieve, three  mutually  supporting 
reasons. 

•  The  Final  Act  achieved  a  reso- 
nance among  the  citizenry  of  the 
Soviet  Union  and  the  countries  of 
Eastern  Europe  that  was  unforeseen 
during  the  long  years  of  negotiation. 
The  formation  of  monitoring  groups 
calling  for  the  full  implementation  by 
their  governments  of  the  pledges  they 
had  made  and  the  attempt  by  other 
courageous  individuals  to  exercise  the 
civil  and  political  rights  delineated  in 
the  Final  Act  or  to  apply  for  emigra- 
tion visas  also  focused  new  public 
attention  in  the  West  upon  the  CSCE 
process.  The  harsh  response,  particu- 
larly in  the  Soviet  Union  and  Czecho- 
slovakia, greatly  increased  interest  in 
the  content  of  the  Helsinki  agreement 
in  both  the  East  and  the  West. 

•  The  election  of  an  Administration 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

in  the  United  States  pledged  to  make 
human  rights  one  of  the  major  pillars 
of  its  foreign  policy  gave  particular 
prominence  to  the  Final  Act  and  the 
CSCE  process.  The  President  showed 
that  he  took  those  commitments  seri- 
ously. The  support  he  received  from 
the  Congress — in  particular  the  CSCE 
Commission  under  Congressman 
Dante  Fascell — demonstrated  legisla- 
tive support.  And  the  sympathetic 
reaction  to  the  goals  of  Helsinki  from 
a  broad  spectrum  of  public 
opinion — religious,  ethnic,  human- 
itarian, legal,  and  business — gave 
strength  to  the  U.S.  position.  The  at- 
titude in  Western  Europe  was  also 
supportive,  bolstering  the  united  ef- 
forts of  Western  governments  in 
promoting  compliance. 

•  The  Helsinki  Final  Act,  almost 
without  parallel  for  a  major  interna- 
tional document,  neither  assumed  its 
automatic  implementation  nor  left  that 
process  to  the  traditional  modes  of 
bilateral  or  multilateral  diplomacy. 
Instead,  it  contained  explicit  provi- 
sion for  followup,  most  notably  for  a 
series  of  review  meetings  that  would 
be  charged  with  the  primary  task  of 
assessing  the  state  of  implementation 
and  determining,  if  possible,  what 
additional  measures  might  be  under- 
taken to  improve  implementation. 

This  type  of  built-in  diplomatic  re- 
view procedure  is  perhaps  particularly 
useful  for  a  political  document  like 
the  Final  Act  which  the  signatories 
explicitly  declared  not  be  legally 
binding.  It  is  a  device  that  the  inter- 
national community  should  also  con- 
sider using  in  the  future  for  legally 
binding  multilateral  agreements.  Such 
mandated  followup  meetings  offer  a 
number  of  advantages  over  traditional 
procedures  for  effecting  compliance, 
since  parties  are  provided  regular  op- 
portunities to  raise  matters  of  concern 
without  broaching  the  always  serious 
questions  of  renegotiation  or  renunci- 
ation. At  the  same  time,  it  provides  a 
framework  for  making  further  ad- 
vances and  for  overcoming  stumbling 
blocks  by  negotiating  additional, 
functionally  related  agreements  if  the 
circumstances  permit. 


The  Belgrade  Followup 

The  first  CSCE  review  meeting, 
held  in  Belgrade  from  October  4, 
1977,  to  March  8,  1978,  has  a  long- 
range  significance  that  transcends  the 
innocuous  phrases  of  its  short,  dry 
communique  or  the  contentious  and 
almost  indeterminate  nature  of  its 
semipublic  debates.  The  meeting 
served  as  a  catalyst  for  focusing  pub- 


October  1978 


31 


lie  attention  on  the  content  of  the 
Helsinki  Final  Act.  This  public 
notice,  more  widespread  in  Europe 
than  in  the  United  States,  made  it 
certain  that  Western  delegations 
would  conduct  a  thorough  and  candid 
review  of  the  implementation  record 
and  that  the  review  would  necessarily 
focus  on  the  generally  negative  East- 
ern record.  The  fact  that  the  U.S. 
delegation  was  led  by  a  former  Su- 
preme Court  Justice  and  U.S.  Ambas- 
sador to  the  United  Nations,  Arthur  J. 
Goldberg,  further  served  to  direct 
public  attention  to  the  meeting.2 

At  the  same  time,  it  turned  out, 
after  the  review  was  accomplished, 
that  there  was  no  practical  possibility 
for  the  meeting  to  agree  either  on 
further  measures  to  improve  im- 
plementation or  on  a  document  that 
described  the  conclusions  of  the  con- 
ference in  detail.  Under  the  rules  by 
which  CSCE  proceeds,  all  decisions 
must  be  taken  by  consensus,  which  is 
defined  as  the  absence  of  objection  by 
any  participant.  Agreements  reached 
carry  great  weight  because  they  have 
been  freely  accepted  by  35  states, 
each  of  which  possesses  an  absolute 
veto.  However,  agreement  can  be  re- 
duced to  the  lowest  common  de- 
nominator when  one  state,  as  in  the 
case  of  the  Soviet  Union  at  Belgrade, 
chooses  to  insist  on  its  blocking 
power. 

The  first  3  months  of  the  Belgrade 
meeting  were  devoted  to  the  review 
of  implementation  and  consideration 
of  proposed  new  measures  designed 
to  improve  implementation.  The  re- 
maining period  was  devoted  to 
negotiation  of  the  concluding  docu- 
ment.3 The  Soviets  made  it  plain 
from  the  first  days  of  January  1978 
that  despite  repeated  efforts  by  the 
West,  and  especially  by  the  neutral 
and  nonaligned  delegations,  to  pro- 
duce substantive  compromises,  they 
would  accept  nothing  in  the  conclud- 
ing document  that  referred  directly  to 
human  rights.  Most  other  delegations 
were  unable  to  accept  a  Soviet- 
supported  document  that  would  have 
referred  selectively  to  their  proposals 
in  the  security  field  and  to  a  few  in- 
nocuous matters  while  ignoring  major 
issues  that  had  played  so  prominent  a 
part  in  the  meeting  and  were  integral 
aspects  of  the  Final  Act  itself. 

The  result  was  a  short  document 
which  nonetheless  did  contain  a 
number  of  significant  points.  The 
concluding  document  reaffirmed  the 
commitment  of  all  the  participating 
states  to  implement  the  Final  Act.  It 
provided  for  the  process  to  continue 
by  establishing  that  a  second 
Belgrade-style  review  meeting  would 


be  held  in  Madrid  in  the  fall  of  1980. 
It  also  provided  for  the  convening  of 
three  expert  meetings  which,  between 
Belgrade  and  Madrid,  would  consider 
specialized  topics  and  help  give  vital- 
ity and  added  depth  to  the  CSCE 
process. 

Perhaps  the  central  question  of  the 
Belgrade  meeting,  however,  revolves 
around  the  specially  creative  aspect  of 
the  Final  Act — the  insertion  of  the 
human  element  into  East-West  rela- 
tions. Throughout  the  Belgrade 
meeting  the  Soviet  Union  insisted  that 
Western  criticism  of  Soviet  or  Eastern 
European  human  rights  practices  with 
respect  to  principle  VII  and  basket  3 


that  the  participating  states  "held  a 
thorough  exchange  of  views"  and 
that:  "It  was  recognized  that  the  ex- 
change of  views  constitutes  in  itself  a 
valuable  contribution  towards  the 
achievement  of  the  aims  set  by  the 
CSCE,  although  different  views  were 
expressed  as  to  the  degree  of  im- 
plementation of  the  Final  Act  reached 
so  far."  Through  the  diplomatic  ver- 
biage one  can  perceive  an  implicit  ac- 
ceptance of  the  responsible  and 
detailed  manner  in  which  the  West 
conducted  the  review  of  implementa- 
tion. Moreover,  it  was  agreed  that  the 
Madrid  meeting  would  be  patterned 
on  the  Belgrade  precedent. 


.  .  .  the  fact  that  the  Soviet  leadership  has  not  implemented  important 
elements  of  their  Helsinki  commitments  in  no  way  diminishes  the 
potential  of  the  Final  Act  to  the  citizens  of  East  and  West  alike  .... 


of  the  Final  Act  was  itself  a  violation 
of  the  Final  Act.  The  Soviets  cited 
the  sixth  principle,  "Non-intervention 
in  internal  affairs,"  as  the  basis  for 
their  position. 

Western  delegations,  and  notably 
the  American  representatives,  insisted 
that  the  Soviet  position  was  untenable 
legally  and  politically.  We  noted  that 
parties  to  the  Final  Act  had  the  ob- 
vious right  to  make  observations 
about  the  degree  of  implementation 
by  another  party  of  commitments 
mutually  undertaken.  We  emphasized 
that  such  verbal  comment  and  analy- 
sis, particularly  in  a  meeting  con- 
vened to  assess  the  record  of  im- 
plementation, could  not  be  construed 
as  the  sort  of  forceful  intervention 
which  the  sixth  principle  was  de- 
signed to  cover.  We  also  pointed  out 
that  expressions  of  international  con- 
cern for  matters  affecting  the  funda- 
mental rights  of  individuals  were  a 
basic  political  element  of  the  Final 
Act  and  that  unless  this  aspect  was 
retained.  Western  popular  support  for 
CSCE  and  for  other  areas  of  East- 
West  cooperation  would  be 
endangered. 

In  our  judgment  the  course  of  the 
Belgrade  meeting  substantially  con- 
firmed the  Western  position.  The 
Soviet  Union  occasionally  dropped  its 
own  theoretical  defenses  by  attacking 
in  some  detail  Western,  particularly 
American,  human  rights  practices. 
We  welcomed  this  interchange,  not 
because  we  considered  that  the  Soviet 
comments  were  accurate  but  because 
we  wish  to  be  able  in  CSCE  to  en- 
gage in  a  candid  debate. 

Most  significantly,  the  Belgrade 
concluding  document  acknowledges 


Current  Status  of  CSCE 

Where  then  do  we  stand  with  CSCE 
after  more  than  3  years  of  experience 
with  the  Final  Act?  How  is  the  CSCE 
process  affecting  the  lives  of  indi- 
viduals throughout  the  35  signatory 
states'?  What  is  the  role  of  CSCE  in 
the  present  state  of  East-West  rela- 
tions and  over  the  next  several  years? 
The  answer  to  these  questions  must 
be  both  tentative  and  complex. 

To  begin  with,  there  certainly  has 
not  been  adequate  progress  toward 
full  implementation.  The  U.S.  as- 
sessment of  the  implementation  rec- 
ord, essentially  as  it  was  expressed  at 
Belgrade,  can  be  found  in  the  series 
of  semiannual  reports  which  the  State 
Department  prepares  and  the  Presi- 
dent transmits  as  required  by  law  to 
the  CSCE  Commission.  The  most  re- 
cent report  is  dated  June  3,  1978.4  The 
congressional  CSCE  Commission, 
which  works  in  close,  effective  coop- 
eration with  the  executive,  has  also 
compiled  its  own  quite  similar  public 
assessments.  We  consider  that  the 
Final  Act  reflects  basic  accepted 
worldwide  standards,  with  which  the 
United  States  and  the  other  Western 
countries  have  largely  been  in  com- 
pliance from  the  time  the  document 
was  signed.  Still,  we  recognize  the 
need  to  improve  our  performance  in 
certain  areas. 

The  1977  McGovern  amendment  in 
visa  waivers  was  a  useful  step  to  im- 
prove U.S.  compliance.  Based  upon 
basket  3  provisions,  it  liberalized 
entry  procedures  with  respect  to  indi- 
viduals who  might  otherwise  be  pre- 
vented from  visiting  the  United  States 
because  of  their  political  affiliations. 


32 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


There  is  an  unfortunate  attempt 
underway  in  the  Congress  to  undo 
this  progress  as  a  riposte  to  recent 
Soviet  actions.  In  our  view  such  a 
backward  step  would  complicate  the 
East-West  debate  in  an  unhelpful 
manner,  for  it  would  permit  the 
Soviet  Union  to  point  to  a  concrete 
example  of  U.S.  backsliding  when- 
ever we  mention  recent  Soviet 
actions. 

Although  we  consider  that  com- 
pliance by  the  Soviet  Union,  and  in 
varying  degrees  by  Eastern  European 
countries,  to  be  generally  insufficient, 
the  picture  is  not  uniformly  bad. 
There  has  been  a  record  of  good-faith 
compliance,  for  example,  by  all 
CSCE  nations  with  the  military 
confidence-building  measures.  Com- 
pliance with  basket  2  economic  provi- 
sions and  many  of  the  less  controver- 
sial provisions  for  cooperation  in 
cultural  and  educational  matters  has 
continued  in  a  generally  positive  pat- 
tern, although  even  in  these  areas 
considerable  improvement  would  be 
welcome. 

The  troubled  area,  however,  is 
clearly  that  in  which  the  greatest 
hopes  for  the  Final  Act  were 
invested — that  of  the  provisions  re- 
lating to  freer  movement  of  persons 
and  ideas.  For  example,  too  many  in- 
dividuals remain  without  exit  visas, 
and  too  many  are  punished  and  perse- 
cuted for  merely  expressing  a  desire 
to  emigrate.  Even  here,  however,  the 
picture  is  mixed.  The  rate  of  resolu- 
tion of  divided  family  cases  has,  in 
some  instances,  improved.  In  the  last 
year  or  so  the  number  of  Jews  re- 
ceiving permission  to  leave  the  Soviet 
Union  has  increased  considerably, 
though  not  to  the  levels  of  the  early 
1970's.  The  Federal  Republic  of 
Germany  continues  to  have  consider- 
able success  in  repatriating  ethnic 
Germans  from  the  Soviet  Union  and 
particularly  from  Poland  and  Romania 
and  maintains  special  arrangements 
with  the  German  Democratic  Republic 
on  behalf  of  those  who  wish  to 
emigrate  from  East  to  West  Germany. 
Also  it  should  be  noted  that  as  more 
people  emigrate  from  the  East,  more 
relatives  with  rights  and  desires  to 
emigrate  are  left  behind. 

Of  even  greater  political  impact  is 
the  fact  that  members  of  Final  Act 
monitoring  groups  in  the  Soviet 
Union  and  in  several  other  Eastern 
countries  have  been  ruthlessly  dealt 
with  in  violation  of  the  pledges  in  the 
Final  Act  which  confirmed  ".  .  .the 
right  of  the  individual  to  know  and 
act  upon  his  rights  ...  in  this  field.  " 

There  has  been  little  if  any  im- 
provement in  the  availability  of  West- 


ern newspapers,  books,  and  other 
sources  of  information  in  the  Soviet 
Union  and  Eastern  Europe,  and  in  re- 
cent days  strong  pressures  have  been 
applied  by  the  Soviet  Union  against 
American  journalists  seeking  to  carry 
out  functions  guaranteed  by  the  Final 
Act. 

The  history  of  the  Soviet  Union  in- 
dicates that  strong  actions  to  block 
the  impact  of  dangerous  foreign 
trends  and  to  stifle  dissent  have  deep 
roots.  When  similar  situations  de- 
veloped in  the  past,  Soviet  responses 
were  frequently  more  brutal  than  their 
actions  today,  and  the  West  was  even 
more  limited  in  its  possibilities  for 
response.  With  the  high-level  public 
Soviet  commitment  to  all  of  the 
statements  of  intent  in  the  Helsinki 
Final  Act,  it  has  been  possible  to  cite 
specific  obligations  and  shortcomings 
in  a  way  that  gives  the  Soviets  cause 
to  consider  carefully  the  international 
ramifications  of  their  actions  and, 
hopefully,  moderate  their  harsh  in- 
stincts in  these  matters.  For  example, 
in  the  case  of  the  Soviet  court  action 
against  Harold  Piper  and  Craig  Whit- 
ney,5 we  are  able  to  defend  the  pro- 
bity of  their  actions  by  citing  the  ac- 
tual language  of  the  Final  Act  which 
calls  upon  the  signatory  states  to  im- 
prove the  working  conditions  for 
journalists  by,  among  other  things, 
increasing  ".  .  .the  opportunities  for 
journalists  ...  to  communicate  per- 
sonally with  their  sources.  .  . "  and 
by  reaffirming  that  ".  .  .the  legiti- 
mate pursuit  of  their  professional  ac- 
tivity will  neither  render  journalists 
liable  to  expulsion  nor  otherwise 
penalize  them.'"  Similarly,  in  the 
case  of  the  Soviets'  outrageous  arrest 
of  the  American  representative  of  In- 
ternational Harvester,  we  can  cite  the 
basket  2  language  in  which  the  sig- 
natories undertook  to  improve  the 
working  conditions  of  representatives 
of  foreign  enterprises  in  numerous 
practical  ways. 

Benefits  of  the  CSCE 

Although  the  implementation  rec- 
ord is  predominately  disappointing, 
we  should  take  note  of  CSCE's 
tangential  benefits.  Most  important, 
perhaps,  has  been  the  positive  effect 
that  CSCE  has  had  and  continues  to 
have  on  Western  political  unity.  In 
developing  the  agenda  for  the  Hel- 
sinki conference,  in  insisting  upon  the 
inclusion  of  the  human  element  in  the 
Final  Act,  in  their  common  determi- 
nation that  Soviet  and  Eastern 
shortcomings  be  discussed  candidly  at 
Belgrade,  and  in  their  response  to  the 
current  difficult  period  occasioned  by 


the  recent  trials,  the  Western  nations 
have  given  expression  to  their  com- 
mon social  and  cultural  values. 

U.S.  policy  is  closely  coordinated 
with  our  NATO  allies,  and  the  proc- 
ess of  consultation  has  given  new 
political  impetus  to  the  alliance.  The 
members  of  the  European  Community 
have  found  in  CSCE  a  vehicle  by 
which  they  have  been  able  to  develop 
common  political  as  well  as  economic 
policy.  But  the  common  thread  of 
Western  policy  on  CSCE  extends  be- 
yond the  alliance  and  the  Community 
to  include  most  of  the  neutral  and 
nonaligned  nations  of  Europe.  CSCE 
has  therefore  served  to  reinforce  the 
political  strength  and  solidarity  of  the 
West  and  has  increased  the  West's 
perception  of  those  basic  differences 
which  persist  between  Western  and 
Eastern  societies.  This  strengthened 
perception  of  Western  values  and  the 
Soviet  Union's  defensive  position 
with  respect  to  implementation  have, 
I  believe,  been  significant  factors  in 
limiting  the  effectiveness  of  Com- 
munist parties  among  the  people  of 
Western  Europe. 

The  CSCE  process  has  also  pro- 
vided a  mechanism  within  which  the 
smaller  nations  of  Europe,  both  those 
within  and  without  alliances,  can  play 
a  more  important  part  in  the  diplo- 
macy of  their  continent  than  at  any 
time  since  the  end  of  the  Second 
World  War.  They  value  this  opportu- 
nity for  its  own  sake,  and  it  has  made 
a  contribution  to  their  self-confidence 
and  sense  of  security.  In  addition  we 
find  that  participating  states  like  Au- 
stria. Switzerland,  Sweden,  the  Vati- 
can, and  Yugoslavia  have  ideas  and 
insights  that  find  constructive  outlets 
in  CSCE  activities. 

Again,  the  CSCE  process  and  the 
wideranging  provisions  of  the  Final 
Act  have  established  a  framework 
within  which  Western  governments, 
including  the  United  States,  have 
been  able  to  accelerate  the  develop- 
ment of  relations  with  the  states  of 
Eastern  Europe.  The  extension  of 
cooperation  within  the  Final  Act 
framework  should  not  be  judged 
solely  on  the  proceedings  at  formal 
and  quasi-public  conferences  such  as 
Belgrade.  The  Soviet  Union  will  al- 
ways insist  on  a  substantial  degree  of 
bloc  unity  at  such  occasions. 

But  our  dialogue  and  that  of  our 
European  friends  with  the  countries  of 
Eastern  Europe  is  easier  within  the 
framework  of  the  Helsinki  Final  Act. 
Our  consultations  with  Romania  on 
CSCE  issues  have  been  frequent,  in- 
tensive, and  fruitful.  Our  discussions 
on  economic  issues,  cultural  ex- 
changes,   family   reunification,    and 


October  1978 


33 


other  issues  with  such  countries  as 
Bulgaria  and  Poland  have  been  use- 
ful. And  the  very  real  degree  of  im- 
proved relations  with  Hungary  sym- 
bolized earlier  this  year  by  the  return 
of  the  Crown  of  St.  Stephen  and  the 
granting  of  most-favored-nation  status 
is  attributable  in  significant  part  to 
the  determination  of  both  our  coun- 
tries to  give  concrete  expression  to 
the  potential  of  the  Final  Act. 

One  must  nevertheless  admit  that 
East-West  relations  are  presently 
under  somewhat  of  a  pall.  Recent 
Soviet  actions  have  led  some  in  this 
country  to  question  the  value  of  the 
CSCE  process  and  even  to  suggest 
that  the  United  States  should  in  some 
manner  show  its  dissatisfaction  with 
Soviet  contempt  for  the  Helsinki  prin- 
ciples by  renouncing  the  Final  Act 
ourselves.  This  attitude  is  perhaps 
understandable  but  extremely 
shortsighted  and  counterproductive. 

The  Final  Act  is  a  statement  of 
political  will,  not  a  legally  binding 
document.  It  contains  no  provision 
for  abrogation  or  renunciation.  It  is 
also  a  document  which  reflects  basic 
Western  values  of  openness  and 
cooperation.  Were  the  United  States 
to  renounce  the  Final  Act,  we  would 
be  turning  our  backs  on  our  own  val- 
ues. Such  an  action  would  cancel  no 
benefit  that  CSCE  had  conferred  on 
the  Soviet  Union,  since  the  Final  Act 
does  not  "legitimize"  anything  the 
Soviet  Union  has  done  in  Eastern 
Europe.  Rather,  the  United  States 
would  be  allowing  the  Soviets  to  es- 
cape from  a  document  which  commits 
them  to  undertakings  that  they  have 
found  difficult  to  implement  but 
which  remain  very  much  in  American 
interest.  We  would  be  viewed  by  our 
European  friends — neutrals  as  well  as 
allies — as  pulling  the  plug  at  the  first 
sign  of  difficulty  on  a  hopeful  but 
long-term  exercise  in  collective  dip- 
lomacy. Ironically,  we  would  be 
creating  the  very  situation  that  the 
Soviets  demanded  for  so  many  years 
and  the  West  resisted  —  a  purely 
European  security  arrangement  from 
which  the  United  States  was  absent. 
The  Madrid  conference  would  go  on 
as  scheduled  in  November  of  1980,  as 
would  the  conference  in  Montreux 
on  peaceful  settlement  of  disputes  be- 
ginning October  31,  1978,  the  Malta 
conference  on  aspects  of  Mediterra- 
nean cooperation  beginning  February 
13,  1979,  and  the  CSCE  scientific 
forum  in  Hamburg  in  February  1980, 
but  our  voice  would  not  be  heard  nor 
would  our  veto  be  available  to  check 
unwise  actions.  We  would  gain 
nothing — and  lose  a  great  deal  —  by 
abandoning   ship   at   the   first   sign   of 


trouble,  particularly  when  in  my  view 
we  have  the  advantage  legally,  mor- 
ally, and  diplomatically  over  the  po- 
sitions put  forward  by  the  Soviet 
Union. 

The  Future 

The  Final  Act  and  the  CSCE  proc- 
ess remain  today  what  they  have  al- 
ways been  —  an  integral  part  of  the 
developing  East-West  relationship. 
Successes  or  failures  in  CSCE  will 
affect  the  overall  relationship  just  as 
other  important  aspects  of  the  re- 
lationship from  SALT  to  Somalia  are 
bound  to  affect  CSCE.  The  Soviets 
have  always  sought  to  advance  the 
thesis  that  better  implementation  of 
the  Final  Act  will  only  be  possible 
after  the  superpowers  act  to  advance 
detente  through  agreements  in  areas 
desired  by  the  Soviet  Union,  particu- 
larly in  the  security  and  economic 
fields.  The  West  has  responded  that 
greater  cooperation  is  possible  only  if 
the  public  sees  direct  benefits  in  it 
and  if  previous  commitments  are  met. 
The  West,  therefore,  insists  that  dem- 
onstrated progress  in  all  the  important 
CSCE  areas  will  promote  progress  in 
other  fields. 

What  should  be  clear,  however,  is 
that  the  dialogue  begun  at  Helsinki  is 
needed  now  more  than  ever.  The 
present  tension  that  exists  in  East- 
West  relations  is  grounded  in  part  in 
differing  perceptions  of  the  human 
rights  question.  The  Final  Act  pro- 
vided us  a  measure  by  which  to  assess 
the  situation,  and  the  CSCE  process 
affords  us  a  means  and  rationale  for 
raising  in  diplomatic  channels  the 
questions  that  trouble  us.  We  can  and 
must  pursue  these  questions  through 
CSCE  while  at  the  same  time  dealing 
with  other  vital  East-West  problems, 
such  as  Strategic  Arms  Limitation 
Talks,  on  their  own  merits  and  on 
their  own  terms. 

Even  as  we  work  for  improvement 
on  these  vital  human  rights-related 
matters,  CSCE  also  continues  to  offer 
a  means  for  moving  forward  at  the 
same  time  with  a  wide  range  of  addi- 
tional cooperative  matters  dealt  with 
in  the  Final  Act  which  can  deepen 
and  solidify  relations  between  East 
and  West.  The  choice  as  to  what  use 
is  made  of  CSCE  —  whether  its 
broader  cooperative  promise  can  be 
more  fully  developed  —  is  to  a  large 
extent  in  the  hands  of  the  Soviets. 
Whatever  their  attitude,  CSCE  is  an 
invaluable  tool  that  the  United  States 
intends  to  continue  to  use.  We  will  be 
working  in  the  closest  consultation 
over  the  next  few  years  with  our  al- 
lies and  with  the  neutrals  to  develop 


common  lines  of  approach.  We  shall 
also  seek  extensive  consultations  with 
Eastern  nations  in  this  effort. 

It  is  too  early  to  predict  what  will 
occur  at  the  next  opportunity  for  a 
resumption  of  the  multilateral 
dialogue  at  Madrid  in  1980.  The 
course  of  that  meeting  will  be  deter- 
mined to  a  significant  extent  by 
events  in  the  interim,  and  the  flexible 
CSCE  process  offers  us  extensive  op- 
portunities. The  fundamental  elements 
of  our  approach  are,  however,  rather 
clear  and  should  be  acceptable  to 
those  who  value  the  CSCE  process. 

•  We  will  not  abandon  the  task  of 
making  a  responsible  assessment  of 
the  record  of  implementation. 

•  We  will  seek  practical  steps  to 
encourage  better  compliance. 

•  We  will  seek,  to  the  extent  pos- 
sible, to  build  upon  the  Final  Act  by 
reaching  consensus  on  appropriate 
new  areas  of  cooperation. 

One  way  to  accomplish  this  third 
element  would  be  to  extract  the  best 
of  the  approximately  100  new  ideas 
proposed  at  Belgrade  so  that  their 
potential  is  not  lost.  These  ideas 
might  be  explored  in  bilateral  and 
multilateral  contacts  between  now  and 
Madrid  so  that  if  possible  several  of 
the  most  useful  of  them,  representing 
advances  in  all  major  CSCE 
categories,  can  be  refined  and  then 
hopefully  agreed  upon  at  the  Madrid 
conference  in  1980. 

With  the  United  States  continuing 
to  play  its  proper  leadership  role  and 
through  such  a  careful  step-by-step 
balanced  process,  we  can  promote  the 
type  of  humane  and  secure  coopera- 
tion which  the  Helsinki  Final  Act,  by 
its  very  terms,  envisages. 

We  do  not  intend  to  abandon  our 
efforts  to  promote  security  and  coop- 
eration in  Europe,  in  spite  of  the  dis- 
appointments of  recent  months.  □ 


'For  text  of  the  CSCE  Final  Act.  see  Bul- 
letin of  Sept.  1.  1975,  p.  323. 

2 For  Ambassador  Goldberg's  statements  at 
the  opening  and  closing  sessions  of  the  review 
meeting,  see  Bulletins  of  Nov.  14.  1977.  p. 
674.  and  April  1978.  p.  40.  respectively. 

3 For  text  of  the  concluding  document,  see 
Bulletin  of  April  1978.  p.  43. 

4  Single  copies  of  this  fourth  semiannual  re- 
port (Special  Report  No.  45)  may  be  obtained 
from  the  Correspondence  Management  Divi- 
sion, Bureau  of  Public  Affairs.  Department  of 
State,  Washington,  D.C.  20520. 

5  Craig  R  Whitney  of  the  New  York  Times 
and  Harold  D.  Piper  of  the  Baltimore  Sun 
were  formally  accused  on  June  28.  1978.  by 
the  Soviet  Government  of  having  libeled 
Soviet  state  television.  After  being  repri- 
manded for  allegedly  slandering  the  Soviet 
media  and  judicial  system,  the  case  against 
them  was  dropped  in  mid-Aug. 


34 


Most-Favor ed-Nation  Tariff 
Status  for  Hungary  and  Romania 


by  George  S.  Vest 

Statement  before  the  Subcommittee 
on  International  Trade  of  the  Senate 
Committee  on  Finance  on  July  12, 
1978.  Mr.  Vest  is  Assistant  Secretary 
for  European  Affairs. ' 

I  am  pleased  to  have  this  opportu- 
nity to  testify  on  behalf  of  further  ex- 
tension of  the  President's  waiver  au- 
thority under  Section  402  of  the  Trade 
Act  and  specifically  his  authority  to 
continue  the  waivers  permitting 
most-favored-nation  tariff  treatment 
for  Romania  and  Hungary. 

Before  I  describe  in  detail  the  rea- 
sons we  believe  that  continuation  of 
the  President's  waiver  authority  for 
Romania  and  Hungary  is  warranted.  I 
would  like  to  outline  for  you  the  pol- 
icy considerations  on  which  our  rela- 
tions with  both  these  countries  are 
based. 


Policy  Considerations 

It  is  our  general  policy  to  seek  im- 
proved relations  between  the  United 
States  and  the  nations  of  Eastern 
Europe  that  in  turn  reciprocate  our  de- 
sire for  improved  relations.  We  be- 
lieve that  better  relations,  based  on  the 
principle  of  mutual  benefit,  will 
strengthen  the  positive  and  construc- 
tive ties  between  East  and  West  and 
promote  the  goals  of  the  Helsinki 
Final  Act.  We  believe  that  continua- 
tion of  the  President's  authority  to 
waive  the  limitations  imposed  by  sec- 
tion 402  in  appropriate  cases  can  be  an 
important  instrument  to  promote  these 
ends. 

Our  efforts  and  those  of  previous 
Administrations  to  improve  relations 
with  Eastern  Europe  in  no  way  indi- 
cate a  lessening  of  our  concern  about 
the  lack  of  democratic  institutions  and 
other  basic  elements  of  a  free  society 
in  that  part  of  the  world.  We  continue 
to  have  profound  disagreements  with 
the  governments  of  Eastern  Europe 
over  many  questions  of  political  free- 
dom and  basic  human  and  social  val- 
ues. I  would  like  to  stress  that  the 
very  expansion  of  relations  with  these 
countries  has  enabled  us  to  talk  more 
candidly  with  their  governments  about 
those  differences.  We  believe  that 
such  a  dialogue  is  an  effective  way  to 
foster  respect  for  the  values  that  this 
country  cherishes,  including  those  in- 


corporated in  the  Helsinki  Final  Act. 

We  have  achieved  significant  prog- 
ress in  our  relations  with  both 
Romania  and  Hungary  throughout  this 
decade,  to  the  advantage  of  our  na- 
tions and  peoples.  Our  relations  with 
each  country  have  taken  different 
paths,  reflecting  in  some  measure  the 
different  policies  pursued  by  those  two 
governments.  But  for  both,  the  estab- 
lishment of  nondiscriminatory  trade 
relations,  which  was  accomplished  in 
1975  with  Romania  and  just  last  week 
with  Hungary,  provides  a  sound  basis 
for  further  progress.  If  that  basis  were 
removed,  our  relations  with  both  could 
be  expected  to  deteriorate  signifi- 
cantly. 

Hungary 

I  believe  you  are  already  familiar 
with  the  reasons  for  the  President's 
decision  on  April  7  to  waive  the  pro- 
hibitions under  Section  402  of  the 
Trade  Act  with  respect  to  Hungary.  I 
explained  them  in  my  testimony  before 
this  subcommittee  on  May  9.  The 
House  of  Representatives  approved  the 
U.S. -Hungarian  agreement  on  May  22; 
the  Senate  did  so  on  June  27.  The 
agreement  entered  into  force  on 
July  7. 

We  have  received  numerous  expres- 
sions of  interest  from  American  firms 
who  see  improved  prospects  for  doing 
business  in  Hungary.  Our  useful 
dialogue  with  Hungarian  officials  on 
matters  of  emigration  and  family 
reunification  continues.  Since  my  tes- 
timony in  May  two  family  cases  have 
been  resolved.  At  present  there  are 
five  pending  problem  cases;  resolution 
of  two  is  expected  shortly.  We  are 
satisfied  that  the  Hungarian  Govern- 
ment has  continued  to  deal  with 
emigration  in  a  positive  and  human- 
itarian manner.  For  these  reasons,  we 
believe  that  the  President's  waiver 
authority  for  Hungary  should  be  ex- 
tended for  another  12  months. 

Romania 

Turning  now  to  Romania,  our  desire 
to  maintain  the  good  relations  that 
have  already  been  established  rests  in 
large  part  on  Romania's  relative 
foreign  policy  independence.  Let  me 
review  for  you  briefly  some  key 
examples  of  Romanian  independence. 

•  Since    1958  there  have  been  no 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Soviet  troops  in  Romania,  and 
Romania  participates  only  to  a  very 
limited  extent  in  Warsaw  Pact  military 
exercises. 

•  Romania  did  not  participate  in, 
and  strongly  condemned,  the  1968  in- 
vasion of  Czechoslovakia. 

•  Romania  maintained  diplomatic 
relations  with  Israel  after  the  1967 
Arab-Israeli  conflict  and  has  a  con- 
structive working  relationship  with  the 
Israelis. 

•  Romania  did  not  participate  in  the 
Arab-initiated  oil  embargo  and  in  fact 
increased  shipments  of  fuel  oil  and 
gasoline  to  the  United  States  during 
that  difficult  period. 

•  Romanian  President  Ceausescu 
played  an  important  role  in  helping  to 
set  the  stage  for  Egyptian  President 
Sadat's  historic  visit  to  Jerusalem. 

•  Since  the  end  of  World  War  II, 
over  300,000  Romanian  Jews  have 
been  permitted  to  emigrate  to  Israel, 
and  in  addition  Romania  for  a  time 
facilitated  the  transit  of  Soviet  Jews  to 
Israel. 

•  Romania  also  maintains  good  re- 
lations with  the  Arab  countries,  as 
well  as  with  such  countries  as  the 
People's  Republic  of  China,  the 
Democratic  People's  Republic  of 
Korea,  and  Albania — contacts  that 
sometimes  can  be  useful  to  the  United 
States. 

•  Economically,  Romania  has 
broader  ties  with  the  non-Communist 
world  than  other  Warsaw  Pact  states. 
Since  1974,  more  than  half  its  trade 
has  been  with  non-Communist 
partners. 

•  The  Romanians  are  among  the 
strongest  champions  of  the  right  of  all 
Communist  parties  to  chart  their  own 
course  in  a  pragmatic  way  rather  than 
following  the  lead  of  Moscow.  This 
frequently  puts  them  at  odds  with 
Moscow  on  ideological  issues,  such  as 
'  'Eurocommunism . ' ' 

•  At  the  Helsinki  Conference  on 
Security  and  Cooperation  in  Europe 
and  at  the  Belgrade  followup  meeting, 
the  Romanian  delegation  pursued  its 
own  path.  The  Romanians  avoided 
polemics  against  the  West  on  human 
rights  issues  and  played  an  active  and 
generally  positive  role  that  helped  in 
some  degree  to  bridge  East-West  dif- 
ferences and  to  advance  the  final  con- 
sensus that  emerged. 

In  the  context  of  these  hearings,  it 
is  worthwhile  remembering  that 
Romania  was  the  first  country  to  enter 
into  a  trade  agreement  with  the  United 
States  under  the  terms  of  the 
Jackson- Vanik  amendment  to  the 
Trade  Act  of  1974.  Romania  took  this 
step  at  a  time  when  Soviet  opposition 


October  1978 

to  this  amendment  was  abundantly 
clear.  Without  that  Romanian  initia- 
tive, it  is  highly  doubtful  whether  even 
by  now  any  other  country  would  have 
taken  such  a  step. 

Since  the  U.S. -Romanian  trade 
agreement  went  into  effect  in  August 
1975.  our  trade  with  Romania  has 
continued  to  grow.  In  1977,  two-way 
trade  reached  $493  million  with  a  bal- 
ance of  $26  million  in  favor  of  the 
United  States.  This  year's  trade  fig- 
ures show  a  continued  increase  in 
trade.  U.S.  exports  to  Romania  totaled 
$124  million  for  the  first  5  months. 
U.S.  imports  from  Romania  reached 
$114  million  giving  us  a  trade  surplus 
of  $10  million. 

Agricultural  commodities  such  as 
soybeans  and  soybean  products, 
wheat,  and  corn  make  up  the  largest 
share  of  U.S.  exports  to  Romania. 
Since  1975  U.S.  exports  of  manufac- 
tured goods  such  as  steel  plate  and 
machine  tools  have  been  growing 
rapidly.  The  Presidential  waiver  for 
Romania  has  made  it  possible  for  the 
United  States  to  use  Commodity  Credit 
Corporation  financing  for  exports  of 
agricultural  products  and  Export- 
Import  Bank  financing  for  capital 
equipment  sales. 

Since  this  committee  last  reviewed 
the  question  of  extending  most- 
favored-nation  status  to  Romania,  the 
most  significant  development  in  our 
relations  has  been  the  visit  to  the 
United  States  of  Romanian  President 
Nicolae  Ceausescu.2  President 
Ceausescu's  visit  in  April  provided  an 
excellent  opportunity  to  review  all  as- 
pects of  our  bilateral  relations  with 
Romania,  to  discuss  issues  of  global 


TABLE  1 

ROMANIAN  EMIGRATION 

TO  THE  UNITED  STATES 

Immigrant 

Visas  Issued  by 

U.S.    Embassy. 

Bucharest* 

1976 

1977 

1978 

January 

74 

69 

78 

February 

87 

59 

100 

March 

130 

138 

67 

April 

97 

101 

99 

May 

77 

129 

124 

June 

111 

106 

122 

July 

96 

111 

August 

104 

151 

September 

74 

106 

October 

40 

101 

November 

66 

94 

December 

65 

75 

Total 

1.021 

1,240 
y   processing 

* Includ 

es   third -countr 

but  excludes  dual  nationals 

importance,  and  to  cement  the  already 
good  ties  between  our  countries, 
thereby  laying  the  basis  for  further 
progress.  For  example,  we  made  very 
clear  to  the  Romanian  authorities  that 
this  Administration  and  this  Congress 
remain  deeply  committed  to  the  sup- 
port of  human  rights,  both  in  the 
United  States  and  abroad.  As  in  the 
past,  we  found  that  our  relations  with 
Romania  are  sufficiently  mature  to  en- 
able us  to  discuss  usefully  even  issues 
on  which  we  do  not  share  the  same 
perspective.  We  also  continue  to  find 
a  willingness  on  the  Romanian  side  to 
resolve  in  a  humanitarian  way  issues 
about  which  we  have  expressed  our 
concern.  Our  experience  with  Romania 
shows  that  a  solid  bilateral  relation- 
ship, of  which  the  most-favored-nation 
status  forms  a  part,  is  the  best 
framework  for  such  discussions. 

As  this  committee  is  aware,  there  is 
concern  on  the  part  of  the  Administra- 
tion, Members  of  Congress,  and  the 
American-Hungarian  community  with 
the  Romanian  Government's  treatment 
of  its  ethnic  Hungarian  minority.  We 
believe  that  this  is  primarily  an  inter- 
nal matter  to  be  resolved  by  the  citi- 
zens and  Government  of  Romania.  At 
the  same  time,  we  shall  continue  to 
lend  whatever  positive  encouragement 
we  can. 

In  March  of  this  year,  President 
Ceausescu  publicly  acknowledged 
certain  shortcomings  of  Romania's 
past  minority  policy  and  called  for 
specific  improvements,  including  in- 
creased work  opportunities  in  places  of 
origin,  improved  education  in  minority 
languages,  and  improved  health  care 
and  medical  education  for  members  of 
minority  groups.  We  hope  that  these 
Romanian  actions  will  improve  the 
situation  of  the  minorities  in  Romania, 
but  it  should  be  remembered  that  this 
is  a  centuries-old  problem  to  which  no 
quick  or  easy  solution  is  either  possi- 
ble or  likely.  We  note  also  that  the 
Romanian  and  Hungarian  Governments 
have  discussed  this  question,  and  we 
hope  this  dialogue  proves  productive. 

Emigration  from  Romania 

During  President  Ceausescu's  April 
visit,  the  question  of  emigration  and 
reunification  of  divided  families  was 
discussed  in  detail.  In  the  joint  decla- 
ration issued  on  April  13,  President 
Carter  and  President  Ceausescu 
pledged:  "To  cooperate  in  the  settle- 
ment of  humanitarian  issues,  including 
family  reunification,  in  the  spirit  of 
mutual  understanding  and  goodwill." 
We  believe  that  this  pledge  gives  us  a 
strengthened  basis  for  expecting  con- 
tinued progress  in  resolving  emigration 


35 


and  marriage  cases  in  which  we  have 
expressed  an  interest. 

Romania's  emigration  performance, 
although  certainly  leaving  room  for 
further  improvement,  has  shown  the 
kind  of  progress  since  the  waiver  was 
continued  last  year  that  is  required  by 
the  Trade  Act.  It  is  on  this  continuing 


TABLE  2 

ROMANIAN  EMIGRATION  TO  THE 

UNITED  STATES 

A 

nnual  Totals 

1968 

68 

1969 

142 

1970 

373 

1971 

362 

1972 

348 

1973 

469 

1974 

407 

1975 

890 

1976 

1,021 

1977 

1,240 

progress  that  the  President's  recom- 
mendation is  based.  There  are  still 
many  pending  cases,  including  some 
longstanding  and  difficult  ones,  but  we 
believe  the  long-term  trend  satisfies 
the  requirements  of  title  IV  of  the  act. 

We  have  provided  for  you  and  your 
subcommittee  statistics  which  enable 
us  to  assess  Romania's  emigration 
performance.  Tables  1  and  2  show 
emigration  to  the  United  States.  The 
figures  represent  the  number  of  per- 
sons to  whom  our  Embassy  has  issued 
immigrant  visas  or  for  whom 
documentation  has  been  completed  for 
final  processing  by  the  U.S.  Immigra- 
tion and  Naturalization  Service  office 
in  Rome. 

If  you  look  at  emigration  to  the 
United  States  since  the  previous  hear- 
ing before  this  subcommittee  at  the 
end  of  June  1977,  you  will  find  that 
1,228  persons  received  visas  for  per- 
manent resettlement  in  the  United 
States  since  that  time  through  June  of 
this  year.  This  represents  a  significant 
increase  over  the  total  for  the  previous 
12-month  period,  which  was  1,047.  It 
is  worth  noting  that  the  major  reason 
for  this  increase  was  the  relatively 
steady  rate  of  emigration;  that  is,  there 
was  no  sharp  drop-off  this  past  winter 
as  there  was  the  previous  winter.  I 
might  add  that  the  current  level  of 
emigration  to  the  United  States  is,  of 
course,  much  higher  than  during  the 
years  before  Romania  received  most- 
favored-nation  tariff  status. 

In  addition,  I  should  point  out  that 
our  Embassy's  statistics  actually 
underrepresent  the   number  of  Roma- 


36 


TABLE  3 

ROMANIAN  JEWISH  EMIGRATION 

TO  ISRAEL 

Number 

of  Emigrants 

1976 

1977 

1978 

January 

328 

46 

63 

February 

232 

62 

73 

March 

99 

113 

96 

April 

51 

132 

77 

May 

143 

105 

148 

June 

21  1 

109 

111 

July 

237 

70 

August 

238 

113 

September 

117 

181 

October 

118 

197 

November 

79 

118 

December 

136 

88 

Total 

1,989 

1.334 

mans  who  have  been  granted  permis- 
sion by  their  government  to  emigrate 
to  the  United  States.  There  are  two 
reasons  for  this. 

•  First,  many  Romanians  who  ac- 
tually wish  to  emigrate  to  another 
country  apply  for  permission  to  emi- 
grate to  the  United  States  because  they 
believe  this  increases  their  chances  of 
approval.  If  they  emigrate  elsewhere, 
they  are  not  included  in  our  statistics. 

•  Second,  a  good  number  of  Roma- 
nians apply  for  entry  into  the  United 
States  in  third  countries  as  refugees 
and  are  not  included  in  our  Embassy's 
statistics.  Several  hundred  Romanians 
are  in  these  two  categories. 

There  has  been  considerable  prog- 
ress in  resolving  cases  included  in  the 
representation  list  that  our  Embassy 
presented  to  the  Romanian  Foreign 
Ministry  on  March  28.  That  list  con- 
tained the  names  of  942  persons  seek- 
ing permission  to  emigrate  to  the 
United  States  or  to  marry  an  Ameri- 
can. By  the  end  of  June,  315 
persons — one-third  of  the  total — had 
received  approvals  from  the  Romanian 
Government.  We  are  particularly 
gratified  by  the  large  number  of  mar- 
riage approvals:  46  out  of  60  or  77%. 
In  addition,  considerable  progress  has 
been  made  in  resolving  the  most 
longstanding  cases  and  in  making  it 
possible  for  persons  who  wish  to  apply 
for  emigration  to  obtain  the  appro- 
priate forms.  Denial  of  forms  has  been 


one  way  in  which  some  Romanians 
have  been  prevented  from  emigrating. 

We  are,  of  course,  pressing  for  fur- 
ther progress,  and  a  new  representa- 
tion list  was  presented  to  the  Foreign 
Ministry  on  July  5.  This  new  list  con- 
tains the  names  of  817  persons,  many 
of  whom — 222  to  be  exact — appear  for 
the  first  time. 

We  have  also  continued  to  make  it 
clear  to  Romanian  authorities  that  we 
are  interested  in  emigration  from 
Romania  to  Israel.  The  number  of  per- 
sons arriving  in  Israel  from  Romania 
during  the  first  6  months  of  1978 
(January  1-June  30)  was  568.  This  is 
almost  exactly  the  same  as  the  total 
for  the  comparable  period  last  year 
(567).  There  is  reason  to  believe  that 
the  increase  in  emigration  to  Israel  in 
May  and  June  reflects  the  discussion 
of  this  subject  between  Presidents 
Carter  and  Ceausescu.  The  present  rate 
of  emigration  to  Israel,  however,  re- 
mains considerably  below  that  of  pre- 
vious years. 

The  problem  of  assessing  Romanian 
emigration  performance  with  regard  to 
Israel  is  complicated  by  the  difficulty 
of  verifying  the  number  of  Romanian 
Jews  who  have  applied  to  emigrate  or 
who  wish  to  depart.  Romanian  au- 
thorities consistently    maintain   that. 


TABLE  4 

ROMANIAN 

JEWISH 

EMIGRATION 

TO  ISRAEL 

Approximate  Annual  Totals 

1971 

1,900 

1972 

3.000 

1973 

4,000 

1974 

3,700 

1975 

2,000 

1976 

2.000 

1977 

1.330 

with  a  handful  of  exceptions,  all 
Romanian  Jews  who  wish  to  emigrate 
will  be  permitted  to  do  so.  At  the 
same  time,  they  clearly  do  not  wish  to 
encourage  emigration,  by  Romanian 
Jews  or  any  other  person.  Because  the 
procedures  for  emigration  to  Israel  at 
least  for  now  rule  out  the  preparation 
of  lists  of  Romanian  Jews  who  wish  to 
emigrate,  it  is  not  possible  to  say  with 
any   certainty   how   many   Romanian 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Jews  wish  to  emigrate  or  how  many 
are  or  feel  prevented  from  doing  so. 

Ultimately,  we  recognize  that  an  ac- 
ceptable level  of  emigration  from 
Romania  to  Israel  is  the  principal  con- 
cern of  the  two  countries  involved. 
Only  the  Israeli  authorities  can  deter- 
mine which  Romanians  who  have 
applied  to  emigrate  to  Israel  are  qual- 
ified to  do  so.  At  the  same  time,  we 
intend  to  keep  this  matter  constantly 
before  the  Romanian  Government  as  a 
matter  in  which  both  the  Administra- 
tion and  the  Congress  are  highly  in- 
terested. 

I  would  like  to  add  that  emigration 
from  Romania  to  the  Federal  Republic 
of  Germany  continues  at  a  very  high 
rate.  Last  year,  over  10,000  persons 
emigrated  to  West  Germany.  Accord- 
ing to  Romanian  figures,  which  in  the 
past  have  actually  been  lower  than 
those  provided  by  the  West  German 
Government,  the  5-month  total  for 
1978  shows  4,153  persons  approved 
for  emigration  to  West  Germany,  of 
whom  3,321  have  already  left  Romania. 

In  addition  to  recommending  to  the 
Congress  the  continuation  of  his  gen- 
eral waiver  authority  and  the  indi- 
vidual waivers  for  Romania  and  Hun- 
gary, the  President  informed  the 
Congress  on  June  2  of  his  decision  to 
extend  the  U.S-Romanian  trade 
agreement  for  another  3  years.  The 
trade  agreement  is  a  vital  part  of  our 
improved  relations  with  Romania.  It 
creates  a  solid  framework  for  trade 
growth  while  providing  adequate  pro- 
tection for  import-sensitive  U.S.  in- 
dustries. Its  political  significance  as  a 
symbol  of  lasting,  nondiscriminatory 
relations  is  considerable,  and  it  helps 
lessen  Romanian  economic  dependence 
on  the  Soviet  Union. 

To  further  U.S.  interests  in  Eastern 
Europe,  the  Administration  strongly 
recommends  extension  of  the  Presi- 
dent's authority  to  waive  Section  402 
of  the  Trade  Act  and  to  continue  in 
effect  the  waivers  for  Romania  and 
Hungary.  □ 


'The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings 
will  be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments. U.S.  Government  Printing  Office. 
Washington.  DC.  20402. 

2  For  text  of  material  relating  to  President 
Ceausescu's  visit,  see  Bulletin  of  June  1978. 
p.  36. 


October  1978 


37 


NARCOTICS:        Control  Efforts 
in  Central  America 
and  the  Caribbean 


by  Joseph  Linneman 

Based  on  a  statement  before  the 
Subcommittee  to  Investigate  Juvenile 
Delinquency  of  the  Senate  Committee 
on  the  Judiciary  on  August  22.  1978. 
Mr.  Linneman  is  Deputy  Senior  Ad- 
viser and  Deputy  Director  of  the  Of- 
fice of  International  Narcotics  Con- 
trol. ' 

I  am  pleased  to  be  with  you  today 
to  discuss  international  narcotics 
control  efforts,  specifically  the  prob- 
lems of  narcotics  smuggling  in  the 
Caribbean  and  Central  America. 

The  use  of  the  Caribbean  islands  as 
a  transit  route  for  illicit  drugs  reach- 
ing the  United  States  is  increasing.  In 
particular.  Jamaica  and  the  Bahamas 
are  becoming  major  transshipment 
points,  both  by  air  and  sea.  The  Drug 
Enforcement  Administration  estimates 
that  from  July  1975  through  March 
1978  approximately  250  tons  of 
marijuana  entered  the  United  States 
from  Jamaica.  Recent  Drug  Enforce- 
ment Administration  reports 
also  indicate  an  increase  in  cocaine 
trafficking  through  Jamaica  to  dis- 
tribution networks  in  Florida  and  the 
eastern  United  States. 

The  increasing  importance  of  the 
Bahamas  as  a  transshipment  point  is 
evidenced  by  the  arrests  of  1 1  Latin 
Americans  during  the  first  5  months 
of  1978,  each  carrying  at  least  one 
kilo  of  cocaine.  Narcotics  move  eas- 
ily to  the  United  States  through  the 
Bahamas  area  because  of  a  number  of 
factors,  such  as  the  large  number  of 
commercial  air  flights  to  the  Bahamas 
from  Latin  America;  the  ease  of 
smuggling  via  private  boats  and 
cruise  ships  to  Florida  and  the  east 
coast  of  the  United  States;  less  rigid 
Bahamian  customs  examination  of 
tourists  returning  from  Latin  America; 
and  relatively  lower  risks  of  prosecu- 
tion, conviction,  and  lengthy  incar- 
ceration. 

Central  America  also  appears  to  be 
gaining  in  importance  as  an  illicit 
drug  trafficking  area.  Traffickers 
utilize   both   private   and   commercial 


air  and  vessel  transport  to  facilitate 
smuggling  operations.  The  Govern- 
ments of  Guatemala.  Honduras,  and 
Costa  Rica  have  expressed  concern 
over  the  growing  problem  of  illicit 
narcotics  traffic.  In  response,  the 
U.S.  Government  has  undertaken  a 
number  of  initiatives  designed  to  help 
curtail  narcotics  smuggling  through 
the  Caribbean  and  Central  America, 
which  I  shall  briefly  describe. 

U.S.  Initiatives 

Special,  closely  coordinated  Coast 
Guard.  Drug  Enforcement  Adminis- 
tration, and  customs  operations  to 
monitor  the  various  sea  passages  in  the 
Caribbean  and  the  Gulf  of  Mexico 
have  resulted  in  large  seizures  of 
marijuana  and  cocaine.  The  Depart- 
ment of  State  has  assisted  these  oper- 
ations by  consultations  with  the  Gov- 
ernments of  Colombia,  the  Bahamas, 
Jamaica,  and  Honduras  to  effect  their 
cooperation  in  interdiction  activities. 
In  May  1978  a  joint  Coast  Guard  and 
Customs  Service  team  visited  Colom- 
bia to  evaluate  and  develop  increased 
Colombian  cooperation  in  coastal 
maritime  interdiction. 

In  the  area  of  international  agree- 
ments, the  State  Department  is  ex- 
pediting negotiations  to  conclude  a 
judicial  assistance  agreement  with  the 
Government  of  the  Bahamas.  A 
model  treaty  on  mutual  assistance  in 
law  enforcement  matters  has  been 
drafted  by  the  Departments  of  State, 
Justice,  and  Treasury.  We  are  re- 
questing blanket  authority  to  negotiate 
such  bilateral  agreements  with  a 
number  of  states.  The  treaty  provides 
for  mutual  assistance  at  both  the  in- 
vestigative and  prosecutive  stages. 
The  Department  of  State  is  also  sup- 
porting the  development  of  bilateral 
projects  with  key  Latin  American 
countries  for  improved  exchange  of 
prosecutorial  information.  A  Depart- 
ment of  Justice  team  visited  Colombia 
in  June  to  discuss  specific  cases  with 
the  Colombian  attorney  general. 
Other  countries  will  be  selected  in  the 
future   and   plans   made   for  visits   of 


similar  Justice-Drug  Enforcement 
Administration  teams. 

An  interagency  committee  for 
coordination  of  maritime  drug  inter- 
diction was  formed  in  February  1978 
under  the  auspices  of  the  Department 
of  State  to  coordinate  the  activities  of 
the  various  U.S.  agencies  responsible 
for  improving  maritime  drug  interdic- 
tion efforts.  The  membership  consists 
of  representatives  of  the  Departments 
of  Justice  and  State.  Coast  Guard,  the 
U.S.  Customs  Service,  the  Drug  En- 
forcement Administration,  and  the 
Immigration  and  Naturalization  Serv- 
ice. Working  through  this  committee, 
we  are  trying  to  regularize  our  own 
domestic  procedures  through  a  series 
of  agreements  with  those  countries 
whose  vessels  are  most  often  involved 
in  trafficking  operations. 

The  legal  subcommittee  of  the 
Strategy  Council's  narcotics  working 
group  is  also  developing  plans  for  as- 
sessing the  narcotics  laws  of  the 
countries  covered  and.  where  appro- 
priate, working  with  foreign  govern- 
ments in  drafting  effective  and 
uniform  legislation. 

The  State  Department  is  also 
working  closely  with  the  Departments 
of  Treasury  and  Justice  to  develop  a 
concerted  attack  on  the  financial  as- 
pects of  the  narcotics  traffic.  The 
objectives  of  this  plan  are  to  facilitate 
negotiations  with  foreign  governments 
for  exchange  of  financial  information 
regarding  narcotics  trafficking  and 
currency  transport  status  to  assist 
U.S.  efforts  to  prosecute  violations  in 
this  area.  We  also  hope  to  obtain  the 
cooperation  of  foreign  governments  in 
freezing  or  seizure  of  narcotics- 
derived  assets  abroad. 

The  Drug  Enforcement  Administra- 
tion, at  the  request  of  the  Department 
of  State,  recently  completed  a  special 
intelligence  assessment  of  the  narcot- 
ics problem  in  Central  America  and 
the  Caribbean  in  order  to  provide  a 
sound  basis  for  the  development  of 
appropriate  country  and  regional  nar- 
cotics control  programs  in  the  area. 
As  a  result,  an  international  narcotics 
control  program  evaluation  officer  is 
currently  in  the  Bahamas  to  begin  a 
needs-assessment  of  the  drug  traf- 
ficking situation.  Based  on  his  find- 
ings a  survey  team  will  visit  the 
Bahamas  to  design  the  parameters  of 
a  project  in  conjunction  with  Baha- 
mian officials.  A  special  study  mis- 
sion is  also  being  directed  toward 
analyzing  solutions  to  the  growing 
illicit  narcotics  trafficking  in 
Honduras. 


38 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


NUCLEAR  POLICY:        Balancing  J\onprolifcration 

and  Energy  Security 


by  Joseph  S.  Nye,  Jr. 

Address  before  the  Uranium  Insti- 
tute in  London  on  July  12,  1978.  Mr. 
Nye  is  Deputy  to  the  Under  Secretary 
for  Security  Assistance,  Science,  and 
Technology. 

Since  1945  the  power  of  the  atom 
has  posed  a  profound  challenge  to  the 
military  security  of  nations.  Arnold 
Toynbee  predicted  that  the  nation-state 
and  the  split  atom  could  not  coexist  on 
the  same  planet.  Thus  far  we  have 
done  better  than  the  dire  predictions. 
Important  steps  have  been  taken  and 
are  currently  being  negotiated  to  con- 
trol the  strategic  nuclear  arms  com- 
petititon.  But  grave  doubts  exist  about 
whether  it  will  be  possible  to  manage 
another  three  decades  without  the  use 
of  nuclear  explosives  in  war  if  nuclear 
weaponry  spreads  to  a  large  number  of 
countries.  Proliferation  is  likely  to 
produce  a  more  dangerous  world  for 
all  nations. 

In  the  area  of  military  security, 
there  is  general  agreement  over  the 
appropriate  steps  to  diminish  the  in- 
centives for  nuclear  proliferation.  The 
maintenance  of  alliance  relationships 
and    support    for   the    Nonproliferation 


Treaty  are  of  fundamental  importance. 
Efforts  to  negotiate  arms  control 
agreements  such  as  the  Strategic  Arms 
Limitation  Talks  (SALT)  and  a  com- 
prehensive test  ban  are  significant 
steps.  So  also  are  efforts  to  create 
nuclear-weapon-free  zones.  In  Latin 
America,  for  example,  only  Cuban 
ratification  remains  for  the  treaty  of 
Tlatelolco  to  enter  into  force  after  the 
recently  announced  U.S.,  Argentine, 
Soviet,  and  French  intended  actions 
come  into  effect. 

Energy  Security  Problems 

At  the  same  time,  it  is  important  to 
remember  that  for  many  countries, 
there  is  another  urgent  dimension  to 
the  security  aspects  of  nuclear  energy: 
energy  security.  The  problem  of 
energy  security  received  dramatic  at- 
tention when  the  oil  crisis  of  1973-74 
left  an  acute  sense  of  insecurity  among 
countries  heavily  dependent  upon  im- 
ported energy.  Many  nations  view  nu- 
clear energy  as  a  major  means  of 
minimizing  dependence  on  energy  im- 
ports and  are  concerned  that  actions 
designed  to  reduce  the  military  secu- 
rity risks  of  nuclear  proliferation  not 
worsen  their  energy  security  problems. 


The  United  States  is  keenly  sensitive 
to  the  energy  security  situations  of 
other  countries. 

At  the  same  time,  it  is  important  to 
keep  the  dimensions  of  the  energy 
problem  in  perspective.  The  energy 
security  issue  is  not  one  problem  but 
three.  The  first  is  short  term.  It  is  the 
problem  of  vulnerability  to  sudden 
politically  oriented  disruptions  of  sup- 
ply. The  best  protection  against  this 
risk  is  a  combination  of  national  oil 
stockpiles;  international  cooperation 
and  effective  diplomacy  to  diminish 
the  prospects  of  disruption. 

The  second  problem  is  midterm — 
and  relates  to  the  next  decade.  It  is  the 
prospect  that  rising  world  demand  for 
Organization  of  Petroleum  Exporting 
Countries  (OPEC)  oil  will  not  be 
adequately  constrained  by  gradual 
price  and  conservation  measures  in  the 
next  few  years,  leading  to  rapid  price 
increases  in  the  mid-1980's  with  at- 
tendant depressing  effects  on 
economies  and  possible  disruption  of 
world  financial  markets.  The  best 
protection  against  this  threat  is  appro- 
priate energy  production  and  conser- 
vation efforts  and  price  changes  that 
reflect  the  replacement  cost  of  energy. 

It  is  important  to  keep  in  mind  that 


(Narcotics  cont'd) 

Regional  Efforts 

We  are  also  encouraging  more  ef- 
fective regional  narcotics  control  ef- 
forts, such  as  the  May  meeting  in 
Lima  of  top  narcotics  enforcement 
officials  from  Peru,  Ecuador,  Bolivia, 
and  Colombia.  With  U.S.  Govern- 
ment technical  advice  and  possible 
assistance  in  the  future.  Mexico  and 
Guatemala  are  developing  more  ef- 
fective joint  border  control  of  narcot- 
ics. Cooperation  is  also  underway  in 
all  Central  American  countries  and 
Mexico  in  which  the  enforcement 
elements  in  each  country  will  be 
linked  to  narcotics  intelligence  opera- 
tions in  the  United  States.  More  ef- 
fective use  of  existing  narcotics  in- 
formation in  the  United  States  and 
direct  international  communications 
networks  for  the  area  will  be  very 
helpful  in  identifying  suspect  aircraft 
and  traffickers. 


The  Office  of  International  Nar- 
cotics Control  held  its  annual  Latin 
American  Narcotics  Conference  in 
Miami  in  November  1977.  bringing 
together  representatives  of  appropriate 
Federal,  State,  and  regional  agencies. 
Embassy  officers  involved  in  narcot- 
ics control  from  all  Latin  American 
posts  attended  the  conference  and  de- 
veloped a  new  understanding  of  the 
complexities  of  the  problem  and  the 
need  for  increased  cooperation. 

The  Department  included  narcotics 
as  an  issue  for  discussion  during  the 
Organization  of  American  States  an- 
nual conference.  Particular  emphasis 
was  placed  on  narcotics  during  the 
bilateral  substantive  talks  between  the 
Secretary  of  State  and  Latin  American 
foreign  ministers.  Our  bilateral  nar- 
cotics control  programs  with  key 
South  American  producing  countries 
are  intended  to  reduce  the  supply  of 
illicit   narcotic   drugs   as   close   to   the 


source  as  possible.2  Our  law  en- 
forcement agencies  believe  that  with- 
out these  supply  reduction  efforts  in 
other  countries,  effective  interdiction 
of  these  drugs  would  be  rendered 
even  more  difficult. 

The  social,  economic,  and  political 
costs  to  this  nation  and  to  the  coun- 
tries involved  associated  with  illicit 
narcotics  production  and  trafficking 
are  extremely  serious.  We  welcome 
the  interest  of  the  subcommittee  and 
its  support  of  our  efforts  to  curtail  the 
flow  of  illicit  drugs  into  the  United 
States.  D 


'The  complele  transcrip!  of  the  hearings  will 
be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments, U.S.  Government  Printing  Office, 
Washington.  DC.  20402. 

;For  a  discussion  of  the  international  narcot- 
ics control  program,  see  Bulletin  of  June 
1978.  p.  42. 


October  1978 


39 


nuclear  energy  will  not  contribute  sig- 
nificantly to  the  solution  of  either  the 
short-term  or  midterm  energy  problem. 
For  example,  even  if  a  nation  such  as 
Japan,  with  its  major  commitment  to 
nuclear  power,  is  fully  successful  in 
reaching  its  ambitious  nuclear  energy 
goal  of  60,000  MWe  [megawats 
electric]  by  1990,  it  would  reduce  its 
dependence  on  imported  energy  by 
about  10%.  In  reality,  then,  Japanese 
energy  security  is  far  more  dependent 
on  the  measures  already  mentioned  in- 
cluding close  cooperation  with  the 
United  States  and  other  states.  In  other 
words,  in  the  short-  and  medium- 
term,  the  conflict  between  nonprolifer- 
ation  concerns  and  energy  security  is 
nowhere  nearly  as  severe  as  is  some- 
times stated. 

The  importance  of  nuclear  energy  is 
in  relation  to  the  third  energy 
problem — how  to  manage  the  transi- 
tion from  oil  to  other  energy  sources 
over  the  longer  run  of  several  decades. 
By  the  year  2000,  nuclear  energy  may 
be  contributing  as  much  as  15%  to  the 
total  energy  consumption  in  the  United 
States.  The  share  of  nuclear  energy  in 
Japan  and  Europe  could  be  about 
one-fourth  of  total  energy  consump- 
tion. Solar  energy  proponents  argue 
that  nuclear  power  will  not  be  the 
major  alternative  energy  source  of  the 
next  century.  They  argue  that  if  $17 
billion  in  government  subsidies  are 
spent  on  solar  energy  as  they  were  in 
the  past  two  decades  on  nuclear  in  the 
United  States  alone,  the  current  mod- 
est projections  for  solar  energy  will 
turn  out  to  be  serious  underestimates. 

It  is  too  early  to  be  categoric  about 
which  energy  sources  will  prove  to  be 
dominant  by  the  middle  of  the  next 
century.  Governments  should  indeed 
go  ahead  with  major  development  of 
solar  and  other  renewable  energy 
sources.  But  at  a  minimum,  govern- 
ments would  be  unwise  to  deprive 
themselves  of  the  nuclear  option  dur- 
ing the  early  part  of  the  century  when 
the  transition  from  oil  and  gas  is  likely 
to  occur.  A  rapid  transition  to  renew- 
ables  is  likely  to  be  costly  and  to  in- 
volve unforeseen  problems.  A  judi- 
cious energy  policy,  like  any  major 
social  policy,  should  have  flexibility 
and  redundancy  to  protect  against  fail- 
ures. On  this  basis,  nuclear  energy  has 
a  major  role  to  play  in  relation  to  the 
longrun  problem  in  the  United  States 
even  if  solar  optimism  proves  to  be 
justified.  This  is  even  more  true  for 
other  countries  with  less  access  to  fos- 
sil fuel  resources  to  help  buffer  the 
transition  to  renewable  energy  tech- 
nologies. 

The  major  solutions  to  this  third 
energy  security  problem  are  appro- 


priate price  movements  and  techno- 
logical development  including  both  re- 
newables  and  nuclear.  One  danger  is 
that  the  political  constraints  and  debate 
in  our  democracies  may  deprive 
societies  of  the  margin  of  energy  se- 
curity that  the  existence  of  the  nuclear 
option  provides.  If  governments  wish 
to  maintain  that  option,  they  must 
show  their  publics  that  they  are  able  to 
cope  effectively  with  three  key  ques- 
tions: safe  siting,  long-term  waste 
management,  and  nonproliferation. 

Nuclear  Energy  and 
Nonproliferation 

The  connection  between  nuclear 
proliferation  and  peaceful  uses  of  nu- 
clear energy  is  an  ambiguous  one. 
Nevertheless,  it  exists,  and  defenders 
of  nuclear  energy  have  done  their 
cause  a  disservice  by  trying  to  pretend 
there  is  no  relationship.  The  proper 
way  to  put  the  point  is  to  demonstrate 
that  steps  can  be  taken  to  maintain  or 
even  increase  the  separation  between 
peaceful  uses  of  nuclear  energy  and 
military  uses. 

Indeed,  public  perception  of  erosion 
of  that  distance  after  the  Indian  explo- 
sion contributed  to  the  dissension  over 
nuclear  energy  policy  that  has  grown 
in  several  of  the  Western  democracies 
since  1974.  The  position  of  the  Cana- 
dian Government  on  more  stringent 
safeguards  and  the  history  of  the  U.S. 
legislation  of  1978  bear  the  marks  of 
public  opinion  during  this  period. 

Four  years  ago  India  exploded  a  nu- 
clear device  made  from  plutonium 
produced  in  an  unsafeguarded  reactor 
intended  for  "peaceful"  purposes  and 
then  separated  in  a  chemical  reproc- 
essing plant.  At  the  same  time  a 
number  of  other  countries,  with  little 
or  no  commercial  need  for  reprocess- 
ing facilities,  were  making  efforts  to 
acquire  such  plants.  Some  of  these 
countries  were  located  in  areas  of  in- 
ternational tension  or  appeared  to  be 
reacting  to  parallel  plans  of  their  tra- 
ditional rivals. 

These  developments  were  acutely 
worrisome.  For  while  reprocessing 
obviously  can  serve  legitimate  ends, 
it  is  also  the  step  that  changes  spent 
reactor  fuel  into  weapons-usable  ma- 
terial. And  the  acquisition  of  such 
material  is,  for  nuclear-weapon  aspi- 
rants, a  politically  and  technically 
critical  step. 

In  1976  no  commercial  reprocess- 
ing facility  for  light  water  reactor 
(LWR)  fuel  was  operating  anywhere 
in  the  world,  but  several  were  under 
construction.  Other  facilities  had  been 
operated  earlier  but  they  had  all  ex- 
perienced difficulties.  Nonetheless,  it 


was  the  general  assumption  that  all 
nations  would  proceed  with  the  recy- 
cle of  plutonium  in  light  water  reac- 
tors. On  that  basis,  an  International 
Atomic  Energy  Agency  (IAEA)  study 
predicted  that  46  countries  would 
have  reprocessing  needs  by  1990. 

The  consequences  of  proceeding  in 
this  way  would  have  involved  a  pro- 
liferation of  facilities  that  produce 
plutonium  in  weapons-usable  form, 
the  creation  of  large  stocks  of 
plutonium,  its  transport  to  fuel  fabri- 
cation facilities,  and  its  presence  at 
such  facilities  pending  its  incorpora- 
tion into  fuel  rods.  The  mixed  oxide 
fuel  itself  would  contain  more  readily 
recoverable  plutonium  than  that  in 
spent  LWR  fuel.  While  this  dramatic 
increase  in  the  accessibility  of 
weapons-usable  material  would  not 
necessarily  lead  to  its  misuse,  it  could 
both  facilitate  the  acquisition  of  nu- 
clear weapons  by  a  country  that  de- 
cided to  acquire  them  and  increase 
uncertainty  about  the  intentions  of 
neighboring  countries.  It  would  also 
greatly  increase  the  opportunity  for 
theft  or  seizure  of  weapons-usable 
materials  by  terrorists  or  other  subna- 
tional  groups.  Multiplied  by  46  re- 
processing nations  (or  even  a  fraction 
of  that  number)  this  situation  would 
pose  a  major  threat  to  global  stability. 

Ironically,  in  the  case  of  recycle  in 
light  water  reactors,  these  prolifera- 
tion security  risks  would  be  incurred 
for  only  marginal  economic  or  fuel 
security  benefits.  It  was  against  this 
background  that  both  the  Ford  Ad- 
ministration and  the  Carter  Adminis- 
tration reached  substantially  the  same 
conclusions  about  the  need  to  proceed 
more  cautiously  by  deferring  com- 
mercial reprocessing. 

U.S.  Nuclear  Energy  Strategy 

President  Carter's  April  1977  deci- 
sions about  deferring  the  commer- 
cialization of  plutonium  focused 
primarily  on  the  domestic  choices  he 
then  faced.  In  essence,  the  Carter 
Administration  balanced  energy  secu- 
rity and  military  security  by  choosing 
a  middle  path  in  domestic  energy 
policy.  That  middle  path  avoids 
energy  solutions  that  count  prema- 
turely on  either  windmills  or 
plutonium.  It  does  include  a  signifi- 
cant role  for  nuclear  energy.  As  the 
President  said  in  March  1978:  "Our 
current  once-through  fuel  cycle  is  and 
will  continue  to  be  a  significant  con- 
tributor to  our  energy  supply.  Prop- 
erly managed,  it  can  function  without 
increasing  the  risks  of  proliferation. 
Our  policy  takes  a  responsible  course 
between  forgoing  the  energy  benefits 


40 

of  nuclear  power  and  becoming  com- 
mitted to  commercialized  use  of 
plutonium  before  we  know  that  we 
can  deal  safely  with  its  risks.  " 

The  United  States  is  investing 
heavily  both  in  solar  energy  and  in 
breeder  reactor  research  and  de- 
velopment as  candidates,  together 
with  other  applications,  for  the 
long-term  follow-on  to  oil  and  gas.  In 
the  meantime,  both  coal  and  light 
water  reactors  will  play  important 
roles.  Even  with  conservative  esti- 
mates of  2.4  million  short  tons  of 
proven  and  probable  uranium  (U.-tOs) 
reserves  under  $50/pound  forward 
cost,  and  midrange  nuclear  growth 
assumption  to  320  GWe  [gigawatt]  by 
the  year  2000,  the  United  States  has 
adequate  resources  for  the  lifetimes  of 
all  light  water  reactors  to  be  installed 
into  the  next  century. 

At  the  same  time,  the  United  States 
is  aware  that  other  countries  without 
coal  and  uranium  reserves  feel  less 
secure  about  their  ability  to  manage 
the  longrun  transition  from  oil  to  gas. 
This  sense  of  energy  insecurity  has 
led  them  to  project  a  greater  reliance 
on  the  use  of  plutonium.  At  first 
glance,  decisions  about  the  commer- 
cialization of  plutonium  appear  to  be 
purely  domestic  energy  strategy 
choices.  But  nuclear  energy  has  a 
transnational  dimension.  Domestic 
choice  can  impose  costs  on  other  na- 
tions. Plutonium  separated  in  one 
place  can  pose  a  threat  to  the  security 
of  all  nations. 

Conversely,  deferral  or  commer- 
cialization of  plutonium  can  put  pres- 
sure on  world  uranium  supply  and  the 
prices  other  nations  pay.  It  was  a  rec- 
ognition of  this  interdependence  of 
domestic  energy  strategies  that  led 
President  Carter  to  call  for  a  cooper- 
ative international  study  of  ways  to 
design  and  manage  the  nuclear  fuel 
cycle  that  would  reconcile  energy  se- 
curity and  military  security  concerns. 
Forty  countries  and  four  international 
organizations  are  now  participating  in 
the  resulting  International  Nuclear 
Fuel  Cycle  Evaluation  (INFCE). 

The  Uranium  Issue 

INFCE  deals  with  a  number  of  as- 
pects of  making  the  whole  fuel  cycle 
safer.  The  key  question  of  uranium 
supply  is  the  subject  of  a  working 
group  in  INFCE.  Nonetheless  we 
cannot  expect  to  have  definitive  an- 
swers to  the  question  of  the  extent  of 
global  uranium  resources  within  2 
years.  How  then,  should  we  handle 
this  problem? 

First,  we  must  understand  the  lim- 
itations of  all  estimates.  Estimates  of 


U.S.  domestic  reserves,  uranium  de- 
posits which  have  been  delineated  by 
drilling,  are  made  by  the  Department 
of  Energy  from  data  voluntarily  re- 
ported by  the  uranium  industry  and 
are  relatively  uncontroversial.  How- 
ever, there  are  several  methods  of  es- 
timating potential  resources,  ranging 
from  extrapolating  trends  in  discovery 
rates  to  making  assumptions  about 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

its  continue  to  be  discovered;  exam- 
ples are  Jabiluka,  Australia,  (with 
more  than  250.000  tons  uranium)  and 
the  rich  "unconformity-related"  de- 
posits in  Canada.  While  it  is  possible 
that  continent-wide  geological  proc- 
esses have  segregated  types  of  depos- 
its in  such  an  extreme  fashion,  it 
seems  likely  that  the  emphasis  on  a 
particular  type  of  formation  in  a  given 


Nuclear  energy  is  truly  a  transnational  policy  issue.  .  .  .  Those 
who  bet  now  on  the  breeder  [reactor]  and  those  who  bet  for  now  on 
adequate  uranium  availability  and  improved  technology  must  each 
make  serious  efforts  to  meet  the  security  concern  on  the  other  side. 


geological  abundance  and  underlying 
distributions  of  grade.  The  most  com- 
prehensive and  detailed  projections 
are  made  by  the  Department  of 
Energy  using  geologic  and  reserve 
information  to  extrapolate  by  analogy 
into  unexplored  areas. 

The  data  on  which  projections  are 
based  have  been  affected  by  the  his- 
tory of  uranium  exploration  and 
discovery.  Until  the  late  1960's, 
exploration  and  resource  development 
efforts  worldwide  were  made  largely 
in  response  to  the  requirements  of 
governments  for  weapons  material. 
Prices  were  set  at  levels  which  jus- 
tified exploration  and  exploitation 
only  of  deposits  with  high  yields  of 
U.sOh.  An  expectation  of  rapid  growth 
in  commercial  nuclear  power  stimu- 
lated a  great  deal  of  activity  in  the 
late  1960's;  the  subsequent  slow 
growth  of  nuclear  power  left  the  U.S. 
domestic  industry  in  a  depressed  state 
until  about  1974,  with  excess  produc- 
tion capacity  and  little  incentive  to 
explore  for  or  develop  reserves.  Since 
1974  the  world  industry  has  been  very 
vigorous;  however,  lag  times  in  re- 
porting and  analysis  mean  that  current 
projections  do  not  fully  reflect  the 
intensive  exploration  activity  of  the 
last  few  years.  The  result  of  this  his- 
tory is  a  less  than  adequate  data  base 
on  which  to  plan  long-term  nuclear 
programs. 

Geological  understanding  of 
uranium  occurrence  is  also  far  from 
complete.  More  than  other  metals, 
uranium  is  relatively  mobile  and  is 
found  in  a  variety  of  geologic  set- 
tings. In  the  United  States,  about 
90%  of  discovered  resources  are  in 
sandstones.  Outside  the  United 
States,  Russia,  and  China,  nearly  90% 
are  in  nonsandstone  formations.  New 
environments  with   high-grade  depos- 


country  is  at  least  partly  the  result  of 
a  narrow  geological  focus  inspired  by 
success.  This  suggests  that  existing 
projections  of  uranium  resources  are 
likely  to  be  low. 

Worldwide,  the  most  recent  esti- 
mates of  the  Nuclear  Energy  Agency 
and  the  International  Atomic  Energy 
Energy  Agency  (December  1977)  are 
for  2.8  million  short  tons  U3O8  rea- 
sonably assured  and  2.7  million  tons 
estimated  additional  resources  (below 
$50/pound  U3O8).  Uncertainties,  and 
possible  conservatism  in  estimates, 
are  clearly  greater  for  foreign  projec- 
tions than  in  U.S.  projections.  It 
should  also  be  noted  that  higher  cost 
uranium  may  also  be  relevant  in  many 
circumstances  yet  is  not  included  in 
these  projections. 

The  interesting  policy  question  is 
where  the  differences  in  resources  es- 
timates begin  to  matter.  Cumulative 
world  consumption,  and  even  com- 
mitments, by  the  year  2000  would  be 
well  within  the  conservative  uranium 
estimates.  For  the  "present  trend" 
scenario  of  the  Nuclear  Energy 
Agency  (1000  GWe  at  the  end  of  the 
century  worldwide)  consumption  stays 
within  the  reasonably  assured  cate- 
gory while  the  related  commitments 
(less  than  5.5  million  tons)  stay 
within  the  estimated  additional  cate- 
gory. These  figures  mean  that  con- 
cerns about  the  physical  existence  of 
resources  are  not  the  critical  limits  for 
present  policy  decisions.  Instead,  re- 
liable access  should  be  the  predomi- 
nant concern.  If  exploration  and 
evaluation  continue  to  expand  re- 
source horizons,  increase  the  sources 
of  supply,  and  broaden  the  market,  it 
means  that  we  can  concentrate  on 
measures  such  as  national  and  mul- 
tilateral  stockpiles   which  may  prove 


October  1978 

to  be  both  the  safest  and  most  eco- 
nomic way  to  address  the  allocation 
problem. 

New  Technology 

Another  factor  to  consider  is  new 
technology.  During  the  next  10  years, 
advances  in  once-through  fuel  tech- 
nology could  lead  to  uranium  savings 
of  at  least  15%  for  the  once-through 
LWR  fuel  cycle.  These  benefits,  as- 
sociated with  extending  burnup,  are 
particularly  attractive  in  the  near 
term.  In  the  1990's  it  may  be  possible 
to  demonstrate  the  potential  for  in- 
creasing the  savings  an  additional 
10-15%.  if  the  necessary  develop- 
ment programs  are  successfully  com- 
pleted. 

Uranium  resource  requirements  can 
also  be  reduced  by  extracting  more  of 
the  fissile  U-235  content  from  natural 
uranium.    The    United    States   has   for 
some  time  conducted  an  advanced 
isotope   separation   technology   pro- 
gram, which  is  still  in  the  early  stages 
of  development.    It   is   aimed   at   de- 
veloping an   economically   feasible 
technology   for  production   of  natural 
assay   uranium   recovered  from  the 
tails  of  current  enrichment  processes. 
[Ilf  this  technology  is  successfully  de- 
veloped, then  it  will  be  possible,  in 
the  1990's.  to  reduce  the  U-235  tails 
[assay  from  the  value  of  0.20  to  0.05, 
thus   reducing   uranium   requirements 
| by  almost  20%. 

Although  the  prospects  of  success- 
ful   development   and    implementation 
II  of  advanced  isotopic  separation  proc- 
esses and  some  of  the  long-term  ad- 
vances in  reactor  technology  are  not 
(certain  at  this  time,  it  appears  that  if 
both  of  these  programs  are  success- 
fully carried  out  and  implemented,  it 
may   be   possible   to  achieve   uranium 
[savings  on  the  order  of  45%  in  plants 
[starting  up  by  the  year  2000.  These 
Itechnological  advances  may  well  be- 
Icome  available   prior  to   the   time   at 
Iwhich   present   high   confidence,    low 
cost   uranium   resources   begin   to  be- 
come uncertain. 

Uranium  and  the  Role  of  Plutonium 

U.S.  policy  is  based  on  these  con- 
siderations and  the  need  to  keep 
perspective  in  balancing  energy  and 
military  security  problems.  Plutonium 
does  not  provide  a  solution  to  the 
short  and  midterm  energy  security 
problems,  while  its  dispersal  and 
utilization  before  the  international 
system  has  learned  how  to  cope  with 
it  threatens  to  add  to  the  world's  se- 
curity burden.  Other  technologies  on 
the  other  hand  do  not  now  commit  us 


to  political  problems  we  don't  know 
how  to  deal  with.  For  these  reasons, 
the  U.S.  Government  has  opposed 
plutonium  recycle  in  thermal  reactors, 
which  offers  only  marginal  (if  any) 
economic  or  energy  security  benefit. 
Diminished  dependence  on  uranium 
imports  can  be  accomplished  more 
economically  and  safely  through 
modest  national  stockpile  programs. 

At  the  same  time,  we  have  not  op- 
posed breeder  reactor  research  and 
development  programs  because  of  the 
greater  range  of  uncertainty  sur- 
rounding estimates  of  their  energy 
costs  and  benefits.  A  key  element  in 
this  evaluation  is  the  question  of 
probable  uranium  resources.  And 
since  no  one  knows  the  answer  to  that 
question  with  certainty,  we  must  be 
sure  that  we  weigh  the  risks  of  being 
wrong  from  both  the  energy  and  the 
military  security  point  of  view. 

Essentially,  nations  are  making 
energy  and  economic  security  bets 
about  the  availability  of  uranium  and 
its  likely  price  on  the  one  hand  versus 
the  capital  costs  of  the  breeder  reactor 
on  the  other.  There  are  large  uncer- 
tainties in  the  breeder  capital  costs 
and  fuel  cycle  costs.  If  we  consider 
the  range  of  these  estimates,  we  see 
that  the  lower  priced  breeder  would 
compete  with  present  light  water 
reactors  using  uranium  oxide  priced  at 
about  $60/pound;  while  the  more  ex- 
pensive breeder  would  compete  with 
uranium  oxide  priced  at  about  $200/ 
pound.  The  improved  light  water 
reactor  would  compete  at  even  higher 
uranium  prices.  We  do  not  know  now 
what  the  competitive  costs  will  be. 
but  it  does  raise  the  following  ques- 
tions. Will  the  capital  costs  of  the 
breeder  escalate  as  has  occurred  with 
many  high  technology  projects  during 
the  commercialization  process?  Will 
uranium  reserves  be  exhausted  and 
prices  increase  rapidly?  Or  will  more 
resources  be  found  as  higher  prices 
stimulate  further  drilling? 

No  one  can  answer  these  questions 
with  certainty.  Yet  given  long  lead 
times  in  high  technology  research  and 
development  projects,  decisions  must 
be  made  before  all  the  facts  are 
known.  In  order  to  maximize  our  area 
of  common  interest,  we  should  strive 
for  a  situation  in  which  nations  can 
place  different  long-term  energy  bets 
without  jeopardizing  each  other's  se- 
curity interests.  We  ask  those  who  bet 
on  breeders  to  include  security  costs 
which  they  impose  on  others,  par- 
ticularly safe  fuel  cycles,  in  their 
economic  calculations.  At  the  same 
time,  they  can  rightly  ask  us  for 
greater  assurance  on  fuel  supplies, 
and  we  are  presently  exploring  bilat- 


41 


eral  and  multilateral  fuel  assurance 
options.  Then  each  nation  can  bet  as 
it  wishes  on  the  economics  of  the 
breeder  without  imposing  the  political 
costs  of  its  actions  on  others. 

We  ask  those  who  choose  to  go 
ahead  now  with  the  breeder  to  include 
the  following  factors  in  their  de- 
cisionmaking process. 

•  Avoidance  of  the  temptation  to 
reduce  per  unit  capital  costs  by  pre- 
mature exports — the  commercializa- 
tion of  the  breeder  (and  reprocessing) 
should  be  limited  to  situations  where 
it  has  compelling  advantages. 
Economies  of  scale  arguments  dictate 
that  only  the  largest  nuclear  programs 
could  satisfy  such  a  condition  for 
commercialization . 

•  Fuel  cycle  facilities  should  be 
designed  to  make  their  misuse  dif- 
ficult and  time  consuming,  even 
though  such  design,  as  in  the  case  of 
hot  fuel  fabrication,  may  involve  ad- 
ditional cost. 

•  Efforts  should  be  made  to 
minimize  flows  of  cold  plutonium  or 
fuels  with  high  concentrations  of  fis- 
sionable materials  even  if  this  adds  to 
transport  costs. 

•  Multinational  institutional  ar- 
rangements should  be  utilized  where 
there  are  compelling  reasons  to  pro- 
ceed with  new  technology.  While 
such  arrangements  could  produce 
benefits  in  economic  efficiency,  such 
steps  would  be  desirable  even  if  they 
led  to  a  net  cost. 

Measures  that  would  make  these 
sorts  of  compromises  possible  are 
currently  under  discussion  in  the 
INFCE.  Certainly  the  way  the  United 
States  will  respond  to  requests  for 
transfers  for  reprocessing  of  U.S.  ori- 
gin spent  fuel  will  depend  on  the  ex- 
tent to  which  other  countries  have 
made  serious  efforts  to  recognize  and 
take  proliferation  concerns  into  ac- 
count. At  the  same  time,  we  are  ready 
to  take  their  energy  security  concerns 
into  account. 

Prospects  For  Stability 
After  INFCE 

The  United  States  sees  INFCE  as  a 
cooperative  international  effort  to 
evaluate  the  role  of  nuclear  power 
technology  in  an  international  context 
and  help  develop  an  objective  ap- 
preciation of  the  nonproliferation, 
economic,  and  other  implications  of 
different  fuel  cycle  approaches. 
INFCE  provides  a  2-year  period  in 
which  nations  can  re-examine  as- 
sumptions and  find  ways  to  reconcile 
their  overlapping  but  somewhat  dif- 
ferent emphasis  on  the  use  of  nuclear 


42 

energy.  While  INFCE  has  a  technical 
cast,  it  is  part  of  the  political  process 
of  laying  a  basis  for  a  stable  interna- 
tional regime  to  govern  nuclear 
energy  through  the  end  of  the  cen- 
tury. 

A  stable  international  regime 
should  build  upon  and  reinforce  the 
previous  accomplishments  of  the 
Atoms  for  Peace  program,  the  IAEA, 
and  the  Nonproliferation  Treaty.  Even 
if  all  new  institutions  are  not  under 
the  jurisdiction  of  the  IAEA,  they 
should  be  consistent  with  it.  and  help 
to  reinforce  the  safeguards  system 
that  has  separated  peaceful  and  mili- 
tary uses  of  nuclear  energy  in  the 
past.  The  IAEA  should  be  envisaged 
as  the  center  of  the  institutional  sys- 
tem. 

A  stable  regime  should  be  designed 
to  minimize  the  global  distribution  of 
weapons-usable  materials  and  vulner- 
able points  in  the  fuel  cycle,  while 
adequately  meeting  the  energy  secu- 
rity needs  of  all  countries.  One  can 
visualize  five  basic  norms  for  a 
strengthened  international  regime: 
full-scope  safeguards,  avoidance  of 
unnecessarily  sensitive  facilities,  use 
of  diversion  resistant  technologies, 
joint  control  of  sensitive  facilities, 
and  institutions  to  insure  the  avail- 
ability of  the  benefits  of  nuclear 
energy. 

The  first  norm  —  fuel-scope 
safeguards — is  basic  to  the  existing 
international  regime  that  we  are  try- 
ing to  reinforce.  It  is  increasingly  ac- 
cepted that  full-scope  safeguards  pro- 
vide a  credible  assurance  of  peaceful 
intent,  without  interference  with  re- 
search or  power  programs. 

The  second  norm  says  countries 
should  avoid  sensitive  facilities  that 
involve  weapons-usable  materials 
unless  they  can  be  shown  to  be  eco- 
nomically necessary.  While  allowing 
a  range  of  interpretation,  this  norm 
rules  out  certain  activities  when  they 
are  clearly  economically  indefensible. 
This  does  not  reserve  sensitive 
facilities  only  to  existing  sites,  but  it 
does  emphasize  the  shared  interest  of 
members  of  the  international  commu- 
nity in  minimizing  the  vulnerable 
points  in  the  global  fuel  cycle,  and 
thus  reducing  the  burden  upon  the 
international  safeguards  system. 

The  third  norm — use  of  technology 
that  is  as  proliferation  resistant  as 
possible  or  appropriate  in  a  particular 
institutional  situation — appears  to  be 
attracting   support.    A    number   of   in- 


teresting ideas  have  been  suggested  in 
the  past  years.  While  still  too  new  to 
judge  fully,  such  ideas  indicate  the 
value  of  continuing  the  search.  At  the 
front  end  of  the  fuel  cycle,  France 
has  been  investigating  chemical  en- 
richment techniques  that  ideally  could 
increase  the  difficulty  of  producing 
weapons-grade  material.  The  propo- 
nents of  CIVEX  reprocessing  for  a 
breeder  system  have  suggested  proc- 
esses and  stipulated  a  useful  set  of 
criteria  for  terrorist  proofing  against 
which  their  technical  suggestions  can 
be  judged.  These  criteria  are: 

•  No  pure  plutonium  in  storage; 

•  No  pure  plutonium  at  any  inter- 
mediate point; 

•  No  way  to  produce  pure 
plutonium  by  simple  process  adjust- 
ment; 

•  No  way  to  produce  pure 
plutonium  without  equipment  modifi- 
cations; 

•  No  way  to  carry  out  equipment 
modifications  with  facilities  and  com- 
ponents normally  on  site; 

•  No  way  to  carry  out  the  required 
equipment  modifications  without 
plant  decontamination  or  entry  into 
extremely  high  radiation  fields;  and 

•  Length  of  time  required  for  suc- 
cessful diversion  should  be  such  that 
adequate  time  is  available  for  national 
and/or  international  responses. 

In  the  area  of  research  reactors, 
both  France  and  the  United  States  are 
developing  high  density  fuels  that 
will  provide  sufficient  neutron  flux  at 
lower  levels  of  enrichment  to  cover 
nearly  all  experiments  for  which  most 
research  reactors  are  used.  In  short, 
developments  and  explorations  in 
technology  can  help  to  create  an  en- 
vironment for  a  stable  regime,  though 
it  should  be  remembered  that  techni- 
cal fixes  alone  do  not  solve  the  prob- 
lem of  proliferation. 

The  fourth  and  fifth  norms  suggest 
the  need  to  develop  two  types  of  in- 
stitutions, both  of  which  are  included 
in  the  INFCE  terms  of  reference. 
First  we  need  to  explore  the  charac- 
teristics of  institutions  to  deal  with 
the  possibilities  of  effective  joint 
control.  Where  sensitive  facilities  are 
economically  essential  and  difficult  to 
safeguard  nationally,  we  should 
examine  together  forms  of  multina- 
tional ownership  and  management 
which  might  help  to  reinforce  the  ef- 
fect of  international  safeguards.  The 
political   costs  of  abrogating   an  ar- 


Department  of  State  Bulletii 

rangement  that  involves  a  number  ot 
states  would  be  added  to  the  costs  of 
dismissing  IAEA  inspectors.  Criteria 
and  procedures  can  be  developed  tor 
"effective  multinationality "  which 
requires  the  involvement  of  a  number 
of  states  while  inhibiting  replication 
or  dissemination  of  the  sensitive 
technology  to  national  facilities. 

Finally,  we  need  to  develop  in- 
stitutions to  implement  the  principle 
of  assurance  of  benefits.  Supply  as- 
surances, fuel  trusts,  and  international 
spent  fuel  repositories  are  good 
examples.  We  are  already  making 
progress  in  discussions  of  a  fuel  trust, 
and  President  Carter  has  announced 
willingness  to  make  a  substantial 
commitment.  Essentially  this  could  be 
a  stockpile  of  fuel  to  be  released  to 
countries  which  have  all  their 
facilities  under  safeguards,  have  a 
clean  safeguards  record,  and  have 
chosen  not  to  develop  sensitive 
facilities  on  a  national  basis.  By  re- 
lieving the  burden  on  the  world 
safeguards  system,  these  actors  de- 
serve special  recognition  and  help 
with  their  potential  energy  security 
problem.  Such  a  fuel  trust  need  not 
be  unduly  large  to  accomplish  its 
purpose  of  reinforcing  the  reliability 
of  the  uranium  market  by  reducing 
political  risks.  Complementary  bilat- 
eral and  multilateral  assurance  meas- 
ures can  also  contribute  to  this  goal. 

Conclusion 

In  the  largest  sense  of  security — 
both  energy  and  nonproliferation — the 
common  interests  of  the  nations 
utilizing  nuclear  energy  outweigh  the 
differences  that  divide  them.  Nuclear 
energy  is  truly  a  transnational  policy 
issue.  Domestic  and  international 
policy  choices  are  inextricably  in- 
tertwined. Those  who  bet  now  on  the 
breeder  and  those  who  bet  for  now  on 
adequate  uranium  availability  and  im- 
proved technology  must  each  make 
serious  efforts  to  meet  the  security 
concern  on  the  other  side.  Neither 
must  try  to  foreclose  what  may  be  the 
most  important  options  for  all.  One 
can  envisage  a  reasonable  com- 
promise over  current  differences.  Se- 
curity in  its  broadest  dimension  must 
prevail  over  any  commercial  consid- 
eration. On  that  bedrock  it  will  be 
possible  to  construct  a  stable  regime 
for  the  governance  of  nuclear  energy 
while  the  uncertainties  of  uranium 
supply  are  left  to  the  market,  miners, 
and  time  to  resolve.  □ 


October  1978 


43 


PACIFIC:        U.S.  Relations 
With  the  Pacific  Islands 


by  Richard  C.  Holbrooke 

Statement  before  the  Subcommittee 
on  East  Asian  and  Pacific  Affairs  of 
the  Senate  Committee  on  Foreign  Re- 
lations on  July  31,  1978.  Mr.  Hol- 
brooke is  Assistant  Secretary  for  East 
Asian  and  Pacific  Affairs. ' 

The  transition  from  colonial  rule  to 
independence  must  inevitably  alter  the 
relationship  between  the  United  States 
and  the  South  Pacific  region.  It  is  this 
changed  relationship  and  the  decisions 
flowing  from  it  that  1  would  like  to 
discuss  with  you  today. 

In  less  than  two  decades,  seven  in- 
dependent nations  have  emerged  in  the 
area;  your  colleague.  Senator  Glenn, 
led  our  delegation  to  the  celebration  of 
the  independence  of  the  Solomon  Is- 
lands only  a  few  weeks  ago.  Self- 
government  has  come  to  most  of  the 
remaining  territories,  and  there  will  be 
additional  independent  states  within 
the  next  few  years.  These  new  states 
vary  greatly  in  culture  and  size;  they 
range  from  Papua  New  Guinea  with 
almost  3  million  people  to  tiny  Tuvalu 
with  only  8,000  inhabitants. 

There  is  a  reservoir  of  great  good 
will  toward  the  United  States  among 
the  peoples  of  the  South  Pacific  and 
this  enhances  the  prospects  for  cooper- 
ative relations  between  them  and  the 
United  States.  It  will  be  to  our  advan- 
tage as  well  as  theirs  to  foster  this 
good  will.  These  emerging  states  will 
have  a  role  to  play  in  the  United  Na- 
tions and  in  other  international  forums 
as  well  as  in  Third  World  councils. 
The  waters  surrounding  the  islands  are 
promising  sources  of  fish  and  other 
marine  resources.  The  peoples  of  the 
islands — Micronesians.  Melanesians, 
and  Polynesians — have  already  en- 
riched our  culture  and  benefitted  from 
our  educational  and  technical  assist- 
ance; the  time  is  ripe  for  a  more  active 
interchange. 

Evolution  of  the  Islands 

During  the  battles  of  World  War  II, 
many  of  the  Pacific  Islands  became 
very  familiar  to  Americans  in  the 
Pacific  and  at  home.  I  was  deeply 
moved  to  see  relics  of  that  era  still 
carefully  preserved  in  Honiara.  Even 
today,  American  veterans  of  Guadal- 
canal return  to  the  Solomons  annually; 
a  number  of  them  were  honored  guests 


at  the  independence  ceremonies. 

In  the  years  after  the  war  the  islands 
began  their  development  toward  self- 
government  and  regional  cooperation. 
The  process  has  been  strikingly 
peaceful,  carried  on  in  a  spirit  of 
cooperation  and  accommodation  be- 
tween the  metropolitan  powers  and 
their  Pacific  territories.  It  is  perhaps 
for  this  reason  that  the  process  has  at- 
tracted less  attention  than  it  deserves. 

With  the  evolution  of  these  ter- 
ritories proceeding  under  the  auspices 
of  our  ANZUS  [Australia.  New  Zea- 
land, United  States  pact]  and  NATO 
allies,  we  focused  our  own  attention 
on  our  immediate  responsibilities  in 
Guam,  American  Samoa,  and  the 
Trust  Territory  of  the  Pacific  Islands. 
Even  in  those  early  days,  however,  we 
participated  in  an  important  effort  to 
deal  with  problems  and  opportunities 
on  a  regional  basis.  We  were  among 
the  original  members  of  the  South 
Pacific  Commission,  organized  in 
1947  and  including  among  its  mem- 
bers metropolitan  powers,  independent 
states,  and  Pacific  territories. 

In  the  1950's  and  1960's  self- 
government  became  the  rule  rather 
than  the  exception  in  the  islands. 
Since  1962  their  progress  toward  inde- 
pendence has  proceeded  apace.  West- 
ern Samoa,  Nauru,  Tonga,  Fiji.  Papua 
New  Guinea,  and  the  Solomons  have 
become  independent;  the  Cooks  and 
Niue  have  gained  a  large  measure  of 
autonomy;  Guam  and  American  Samoa 
as  well  as  the  French  territories  have 
become  self-governing;  and  Micronesia 
is  expected  to  become  self-governing 
within  a  few  years.  The  British  and 
French  are  prepared  to  grant  the  New 
Hebrides  independence  within  the  next 
few  years.  However,  French  Polynesia 
and  New  Caledonia  are  likely  to  re- 
main self-governing  French  territories 
for  some  time.  American  Samoa, 
Guam,  and  the  Northern  Marianas 
have  expressed  their  desire  to  remain 
self-governing  territories  of  the  United 
States. 

Important  changes  have  also  taken 
place  in  South  Pacific  regional  institu- 
tions. Once  dominated  by  the  met- 
ropolitan powers,  the  South  Pacific 
Commission  has  become  much  more 
representative  of  the  islands  them- 
selves. Each  of  the  island  members 
now  has  an  equal  voice  in  its  deliber- 
ations; the  Commission's  Secretary 
General  is  now  normally  selected  from 


among  the  island  members.  A  new 
organization  —  the  South  Pacific 
Forum,  founded  in  1972  by  the  inde- 
pendent states  of  the  region — has 
become  a  central  force  in  its  orderly 
development. 

The  new  states  of  the  South  Pacific 
were  fortunate  in  achieving  their  inde- 
pendence without  the  turmoil  and 
bloodshed  that  has  marked  this  process 
elsewhere.  They  are  fortunate  also  to 
be  emerging  as  members  of  a  broader 
Pacific  community  at  a  time  when 
peace  prevails  in  most  of  the  area  and 
great  power  competition  is  muted. 

There  are,  to  be  sure,  signs  of 
growing  Soviet  and  Chinese  interest  in 
the  area.  However,  at  this  time  the 
Soviet  side  seems  to  be  concerned 
largely  with  advancing  their  fishing 
interests  in  the  region  and  promoting 
their  diplomatic  standing  vis-a-vis  our 
own  and  that  of  the  People's  Republic 
of  China.  Peking  is  also  interested  in 
expanding  its  diplomatic  presence  in 
competition  not  only  with  Moscow  but 
also  with  Taipei. 

The  island  states  for  their  part,  by 
virtue  of  their  background,  their 
democratic  institutions,  and  their  eco- 
nomic interests,  are  primarily  oriented 
toward  the  West.  They  look  for  help 
in  preserving  free  institutions  and  ad- 
vancing the  welfare  of  their  peoples  to 
Australia  and  New  Zealand,  to  Britain 
and  France,  and  to  the  United  States. 

U.S.  Interests 

Our  own  interest  in  the  region  is 
inescapable.  It  is  part  of  a  Pacific 
community  to  which  we  are  tied  by 
geography  and  history  as  well  as  by 
growing  economic  interest.  A  stable, 
economically  healthy  South  Pacific 
contributes  not  only  to  the  peace  and 
well-being  of  American  territories  in 
the  region  but  also  to  the  broader 
interests  of  the  United  States. 

We  do  not  need  to  develop  massive 
programs  for  the  South  Pacific;  this 
would  be  contrary  to  the  interests  of 
the  islands  and  our  own.  Nor  should 
we  seek  a  dominant  role  as  initiator, 
helper,  and  guide.  We  do  not  wish  in 
any  way  to  impinge  upon  the 
sovereignty  of  these  free  peoples  or  to 
usurp  the  leadership  role  that  belongs 
to  them  and  to  their  near  neighbors, 
Australia  and  New  Zealand. 

The  basic  pillars  of  our  policy  in- 
clude: 

•  Understanding  and  sympathy  for 
the  political  and  economic  aspirations 
of  the  South  Pacific  peoples; 

•  Support  for  South  Pacific  regional 
cooperation; 

•  Particularly  close  and  cooperative 


44 

ties  with  Australia  and  New  Zealand; 
and 

•  Continued  cooperation  with 
France  and  the  United  Kingdom  in 
support  of  the  progress  of  the  South 
Pacific  peoples. 

In  implementing  these  principles, 
we  will  take  into  account  the  changes 
that  have  occurred  in  the  last  decade 
as  well  as  the  importance  of  insuring 
that  the  evolution  of  the  region  con- 
tinues along  peaceful  and  productive 
lines.  Thus  over  the  next  few  years, 
we  will  be  giving  particular  attention 
to: 

•  Establishing  a  larger  and  more 
effective  U.S.  presence  in  the  region; 

•  Participating  actively  in  South 
Pacific  regional  organizations; 

•  Adapting  existing  programs  and 
devising  new  ones  to  fit  the  unique 
needs  of  the  developing  island  states; 

•  Improving  coordination  among 
American  and  multilateral  programs; 
and 

•  Pursuing  the  Micronesian  status 
negotiations  with  the  goal  of  achieving 
a  free  association  agreement  between 
the  United  States  and  Micronesia  and 
termination  of  the  trusteeship  by  1 98 1 . 

Increasing  Contacts 

To  bring  us  into  closer  contact  with 
the  independent  Pacific  island  states, 
we  are  increasing  our  diplomatic  rep- 
resentation in  the  region.  We  use  mul- 
tiple accreditation  of  ambassadors  to 
cover  this  wide  region  and  we  are 
urging  the  island  states  to  do  the  same 
to  insure  that  they  have  accredited 
ambassadors  to  the  United  States.  We 
are  taking  a  fresh  look  at  our  repre- 
sentation in  the  South  Pacific  to  see  if 
we  are  making  the  best  use  of  our 
limited  resources.  We  will  also  con- 
sider whether  we  should  open  a  dip- 
lomatic post  elsewhere  in  the  region. 

A  resident  Ambassador,  John  Con- 
don, has  been  accredited  to  Fiji.  Pub- 
lic affairs,  administrative,  and  regional 
development  officers  have  been  added 
to  the  staff.  President  Carter  has 
nominated  our  Ambassador  to  Papua 
New  Guinea,  Mary  Olmsted,  to  serve 
also  as  Ambassador  to  the  newly  inde- 
pendent Solomon  Islands.  Our  Ambas- 
sador to  New  Zealand,  Armistead  Sel- 
den,  is  concurrently  accredited  to  the 
Kingdom  of  Tonga  and  to  Western 
Samoa.  The  International  Communi- 
cation Agency  will  expand  its  public 
affairs  and  cultural  affairs  programs. 
In  time,  we  may  ask  your  support  in 
building  on  this  modest  beginning  with 
additional  posts. 

In  Washington  many  parts  of  the 
government  are  more  actively  in  con- 


tact with  the  South  Pacific  region  than 
ever  before  in  connection  with 
fisheries  and  other  interests.  In  my 
own  bureau  I  have  appointed  a  new 
Deputy  Assistant  Secretary,  with  spe- 
cial responsibilities  for  the  South 
Pacific,  and  have  established  a  new 
office  which  will  focus  solely  on  the 
affairs  of  the  South  and  Southwest 
Pacific.  My  new  deputy,  Evelyn  Col- 
bert, will  bring  long  experience  in 
East  Asian  affairs  to  the  task  of  in- 
tegrating our  South  Pacific  policy  into 
our  broader  Pacific-wide  interests.  The 
Director  of  the  new  Office  of  Pacific 
Island  Affairs.  William  Bodde.  has 
been  deeply  involved  in  the  Mi- 
cronesian negotiations  for  the  last 
year;  he  will  be  assisted  by  a  highly 
trained  Pacific  specialist.  In  the  con- 
text ot  the  vast  Washington  bureauc- 
racy, these  are  hardly  earthshaking 
moves.  But  as  Senator  Glenn  can  tes- 
tify, they  were  greeted  with  en- 
thusiasm by  the  Pacific  island  leaders 
we  met  during  our  recent  visit  to  the 
area. 

We  will  also  be  promoting  more 
contacts  between  Pacific  Islanders  and 
Americans  both  to  demonstrate  our 
own  interest  and  to  learn  more  about 
their  interests  and  problems.  Ship  vis- 
its are  one  way  of  doing  this.  The 
Solomon  Islanders  were  delighted  by 
the  presence  of  two  U.S.  Navy  fri- 
gates, the  Holt  and  the  Whipple,  at 
their  independence  celebrations;  the 
Navy  is  now  developing  a  more  exten- 
sive program. 

Educational  exchange  is  another 
way  of  increasing  contacts  and  en- 
hancing understanding  as  well  as  pro- 
viding necessary  training.  We  are 
already  carrying  on  a  number  of  edu- 
cational programs  related  to  the  South 
Pacific  and  will  be  expanding  and 
strengthening  some  of  them. 

The  federally  assisted  East-West 
Center  in  Honolulu  has  encouraged  the 
study  of  problems  unique  to  the  island 
region.  The  presence  of  the  Prime 
Minister  of  Fiji.  Ratu  Sir  Kamisese 
Mara,  on  the  Center "s  board  of  gover- 
nors has  strengthened  its  ability  to  de- 
vise such  programs.  We  are  assisting 
the  University  of  the  South  Pacific  in 
Fiji  to  expand  its  extension  service 
which  uses  a  National  Aeronautics  and 
Space  Administration  satellite  to  make 
it  possible  for  students  throughout  the 
Pacific  to  take  university  level  courses 
while  remaining  on  their  home  islands. 
Through  the  Fulbright  program,  we 
provide  American  professors  for  their 
regional  universities.  We  will  also  be 
assisting  others  to  pursue  courses  of 
study  in  American  universities  not  yet 
available  at  the  regional  universities. 

The   Peace   Corps   has   made   a  par- 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 

ticularly  significant  contribution  to  the 
region.  There  are  over  540  volunteers 
in  Fiji.  Tonga,  Western  Samoa.  Mi- 
cronesia, the  Gilberts,  and  Tuvalu.  In 
many  of  these  islands  they  are  the  only 
Americans  present.  Their  value  is  sub- 
stantial. 

As  we  strengthen  our  bilateral  re- 
lationship we  are  also  strengthening 
our  regional  role.  For  the  first  time  a 
U.S.  ambassador  resident  in  the 
region — our  Ambassador  to  Fiji,  John 
Condon — will  be  the  senior  U.S.  rep- 
resentative to  the  South  Pacific  Com- 
mission, bringing  to  his  role  in  the 
Commission  the  sensitivity  to  the  spe- 
cial needs  and  desires  of  the  island 
states  that  only  close  acquaintance  can 
provide.  A  regional  Agency  for  Inter- 
national Development  representative 
has  also  been  assigned  to  our  embassy 
in  Suva.  In  addition  to  traveling 
throughout  the  region,  he  will  work 
closely  with  the  South  Pacific  Com- 
mission and  the  South  Pacific  Bureau 
for  Economic  Cooperation  to  foster  an 
integrated  regional  approach  to  de- 
velopment problems.  Our  role  in  the 
South  Pacific  Commission  cannot  fail 
to  benefit  from  this  closer  attention;  I 
might  mention  in  passing  that  the  U.S. 
financial  contribution  to  the  Commis- 
sion has  dropped  from  20%  of  its 
operating  budget  to  17%  because  of 
the  increased  contributions  by  the  is- 
land members. 

An  example  of  increased  U.S.  in- 
volvement in  South  Pacific  regional 
organizations  is  our  participation  in 
negotiations  to  establish  a  South 
Pacific  Regional  Fisheries  Organiza- 
tion. Meeting  in  Suva  last  November 
and  again  in  May  of  this  year,  we 
joined  the  island  nations  as  well  as 
France,  the  United  Kingdom,  their  de- 
pendent territories,  and  Chile  in  pre- 
paring a  draft  treaty  on  this  subject. 
The  organization  will  be  concerned 
with  the  management  and  conservation 
of  marine  resources — currently  the 
most  highly  charged  political  and  eco- 
nomic issue  in  the  South  Pacific.  Par- 
ticipation offers  the  United  States  an 
opportunity  to  cooperate  with  the  is- 
land states  and  territories  in  mutually 
beneficial  development  of  fishing  re- 
sources of  the  area. 

In  the  same  vein,  we  have  also 
made  a  special  contribution  of 
$300,000  to  a  new  South  Pacific 
Commission  project  designed  to  assess 
the  skipjack  tuna  resources  of  the 
western  Pacific. 

We  are  also  working  closely  with 
such  international  organizations  as  the 
United  Nations  Development  Program 
and  the  Asian  Development  Bank  to 
coordinate  and  strengthen  programs  for 
the  region.  For  example,  we  are  look- 


October  1978 


45 


WORLD  POPULATION: 
THE  SILENT  EXPLOSION— PART  1 


The  tremendous  growth  of  world  population  since  World  War  II  has  come  to 
be  recognized  as  a  critically  important  problem  threatening  in  the  most  funda- 
mental way  the  well-being  of  mankind. 

This  three-part  series  addresses  the  central  issues  of  the  population  explosion 
and  what  can  be  done  about  it.  Because  population  growth  is  far  greater  in  the 
developing  world  than  in  the  developed  world,  the  series  relates  largely  to  the 
former.  On  the  other  hand,  all  nations  face  varying  types  of  population  problems, 
the  United  States  being  no  exception,  as  brought  out  in  the  Rockefeller  Commis- 
sion report.  Population  and  the  American  Future,  in  1972.  Most  importantly,  we 
are  one  world.  Adverse  consequences  of  excessive  population  growth  in  one 
country  ultimately  affect  all. 

Prepared  by  Ambassador  Marshall  Green,  the  Department  of  State's  Coor- 
dinator of  Population  Affairs,  and  Robert  A.  Fearey,  Special  Assistant  to 
Ambassador  Green,  this  series  is  an  effort  to  assist  in  understanding  this 
long-range,  but  also  highly  urgent,  problem  and  to  indicate  what  recent  experi- 
ence suggests  are  the  most  promising  lines  of  attack  on  it.  The  presentation  draws 
on  recent  U.S.  Government  and  other  sources,  but  some  of  the  opinions  ex- 
pressed are  the  authors'  and  do  not  necessarily  reflect  government  policy. 
Demographic  assistance  has  been  provided  by  Mrs.  Lydia  K.  Giffler,  the  State 
Department's  demographer,  and  by  the  International  Demographic  Data  Center, 
Population  Division,  Bureau  of  the  Census. 

Due  to  the  widely  varying  accuracy  and  recency  of  national  population  data, 
the  figures  cited  are  sometimes  only  approximations.  They,  nevertheless,  are 
considered  sufficiently  accurate  to  support  the  conclusions  presented. 

This  series  is  being  presented  in  three  parts.  Part  I  centers  on  the  facts  of  the 
world  population  problem.  Part  2,  to  be  published  in  the  November  Bulletin, 
will  examine  the  consequences  of  excessive  population  growth  and  what  is  now 
being  done  to  reduce  such  growth.  And  part  3.  in  the  December  Bulletin,  will 
focus  on  how  world  population  control  efforts  may  be  rendered  more  effective. 


BASIC  FACTS 

World  Population  Growth 

It  took  from  mankind's  earliest  be- 
ginnings over  a  million  years  ago  to  the 
early  1800's  for  the  world  to  reach  a 
population  of  1  billion. 


Succeeding  decades  saw  a  substan- 
tial decline  in  death  rates  as  increasing 
agricultural  and  industrial  productivity 
brought  rising  living  standards,  as 
public  sanitation  improved,  as  scien- 
tific medicine  developed  and  became 
increasingly  available  (notably 
smallpox   vaccination),    and   as   better 


ing  into  ways  in  which  the  Asian  De- 
velopment Bank  might  adjust  its 
lending  procedures  to  meet  the  unique 
requirements  of  the  island  states. 

To  sum  up,  we  see  the  orderly  de- 
velopment of  the  South  Pacific  region 
as  a  contribution  to  the  stability  of  the 
broader  Pacific  community.  Our  joint 
efforts  there  are  still  another  way  in 
which  we  strengthen  our  historic  ties 
with  our  ANZUS  allies  and  work  to- 
gether for  our  mutual  interests.  The 
good  will  and  friendship  of  the  South 
Pacific  states  are  important  to  U.S. 
policy  objectives  in  the  United  Nations 
and  elsewhere. 

Our  historic  bonds  to  the  region 
forged  in  the  dark  days  of  World  War 
II  provide  us  with  a  large  fund  of  good 


will  on  which  to  build.  The  experience 
of  our  own  states  and  territories  in  the 
Pacific  and  the  talents  and  interests  of 
their  peoples  provide  an  additional  im- 
portant resource.  Great  amounts  of 
money  or  time  are  not  required.  We 
need  only  be  sympathetic  to  the  aspi- 
rations of  the  South  Pacific  peoples 
and  true  to  our  ideals.  It  is  the  inten- 
tion of  the  Department  of  State  with 
the  help  of  the  U.S.  Congress  to  carry 
out  the  policy  I  have  outlined  to  you 
today.  □ 


communications  and  transport  per- 
mitted more  effective  action  against 
famine.  The  world  reached  its  second 
billion  in  about  100  years,  by  1930. 

With  accelerated  advances  in 
medicine,  including  the  discovery  and 
widespread  use  of  antibiotics,  with 
malaria  control  programs  in  effect  in 
many  areas  of  the  world,  and  with  fur- 
ther improvements  in  the  production 
and  distribution  of  food,  the  third  bil- 
lion was  reached  in  30  years — 1960. 

The  fourth  billion  was  added  in  15 
years,  by  1975.  It  had  taken  only  45 
years  for  world  population  to  double 
again,  from  2  to  4  billion. 

Until  the  early  1960's,  governments 
either  evidenced  little  concern  over 
population  growth  or  such  growth  was 
welcomed  as  a  reflection  of  economic 
vigor  and  as  a  source  of  military 
strength.  This  traditional  perception 
gradually  altered  through  the  1960's  as 
many  developing,  low-income  coun- 
tries experienced  marked  increases  in 
the  rate  of  population  growth,  in 
population  size,  and  in  the  flow  of 
surplus  rural  population  to  the  cities. 
Many  governments  recognized  that 
rapid  population  growth  frustrated  and 
negated  economic  and  social  develop- 
ment, and  they  began  to  formulate 
policies  and  programs  to  reduce  high 
fertility  levels.  These  programs  have 
been  reinforced  by  funding  and  techni- 
cal assistance  from  the  United  Nations, 
aid  donor  governments,  and  private 
sources. 

The  rate  of  world  population  growth 
is  believed  to  have  peaked  at  about  2% 
around  1970,  declining  to  about 
1.8-1.9%  by  1977.  At  this  rate— which 
is  expected  to  continue  to  fall  but  at  an 
unknown  pace — world  resources  and 
national  economies  are  called  upon  to 
support  nearly  80  million  additional 
persons  every  year.  Barring  widespread 
famine,  nuclear  holocaust,  or  other 
disaster,  world  population  is  expected 


'The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings 
will  be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments, U.S.  Government  Printing  Office. 
Washington,  D.C.  20402. 


Single  copies  of  reprints  of 
this  three-part  series,  entitled 
"World  Population:  The  Silent 
Explosion,"  are  available  from 
the  Correspondence  Managment 
Divison,  Bureau  of  Public  Af- 
fairs, Department  of  State, 
Washington,  D.C.  20520. 


46 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


to  number  about  6  billion  by  the  year 
2000. 

The  level  at  which  mankind's  total 
number  ultimately  will  peak  appears  to 
lie  between  8  and  1 1  billion,  depending 
on  the  determination  and  skill  with 
which  the  world  addresses  the  problem. 
With  the  ecosystems  of  the  world  al- 
ready heavily  burdened  at  4  billion, 
there  is  urgent  need  for  nations,  espe- 
cially those  with  high  population 
growth  rates,  to  deal  with  this  problem 
more  effectively. 

Charts  1  and  2  present  graphically 
the  slow  historical,  and  rapid  and  ac- 
celerating current  and  prospective, 
growth  of  world  population.  Chart  1 
shows  world  population  reaching  5.8 
billion  in  2000  under  the  U.N.'s  low 
projection  variant,  which  assumes  a 
one-third  decline  in  fertility,  on  the 
average,  between  1970  and  the  end  of 
the  century.  Under  the  less  optimistic 
U.N.  medium  projection  variant,  which 
assumes  a  fertility  decline  of  only  24% 
during  this  period,  world  population  is 
shown  as  reaching  6.25  billion  in  2000. 
The  U.N.'s  high  variant,  projecting  a 
population  of  6.6  billion  by  2000,  is 
not  shown  because  declines  which  have 
occurred  since  the  mid- 1 960 's  in  the 
birth  rates  of  some  30  developing 
countries,  including  China,  suggest 
that  that  variant  is  no  longer  a  real 
possibility. 

Chart  2  shows  a  breakdown  of  the 
2000  medium  variant  figure  by  de- 
veloped and  developing  regions.  With 
both  regions  drawn  to  the  same  scale, 
the  chart  brings  out  strikingly  the  far 
greater  present  and.  even  more,  future 
total  population  of  the  current  de- 
veloping regions  than  of  the  current 
developed  regions;  the  small  antici- 
pated growth  of  the  developed  world's 
population  between  1975  and  2000;  the 
tremendous  expansion  of  the  develop- 
ing world's  population  in  that  period; 
and  the  great  preponderance  of 
younger,  presently  or  prospectively 
fertile,  age  groups  in  the  developing 
world's  population  now  and,  even 
more,  in  2000. 


Geographic  Distribution 

How  will  mankind's  growing  num- 
bers be  distributed  in  the  year  2000? 

The  share  of  people  in  developing 
countries,  many  least  able  to  support 
larger  populations,  will  continue  to  rise 
in  the  remainder  of  this  century — from 
66%  in  1950  to  78%  in  2000,  accord- 
ing to  the  U.N.  medium  projection 
variant.  The  table  below  and  chart  3 
present  the  prospect  numerically  and 
graphically. 

The   table    shows   little   change   be- 


Annual  Av. 

Share  of 

Growth  Rate  (%) 

Population  (%) 

1950- 

1970- 

1995- 

55* 

75** 

00** 

1950* 

1970* 

2000** 

World  total 

1.7 

1.9 

1.6 

100.0 

100.0 

100.0 

Developed  regions 

1.3 

0.9 

0.6 

34.3 

30.0 

21.7 

Developing  regions 

1.9 

2.3 

1.9 

65.7 

700 

78.3 

Northern  America 

1.8 

0.9 

0.7 

6.6 

6.3 

4.7 

Europe 

0.8 

0.6 

0.5 

15.7 

12.7 

8.6 

USSR. 

1.7 

1.0 

0.7 

7.2 

6.7 

5.0 

Africa 

2.1 

2.6 

2.8 

8.7 

9.7 

13.0 

Latin  America 

2.7 

2.7 

2.4 

66 

7.8 

9.9 

China 

1.6 

1.7 

1.0 

22.3 

21.4 

18.4 

India 

1.7 

2.4 

1.8 

14.1 

15.0 

16.9 

Other  Asia 

1.9 

2.4 

2.0 

18.3 

19.8 

22.9 

Oceania 

2.25 

2.0 

1.45 

0.5 

0.5 

0.5 

*Estimated 

"Projected 

tween  the  1950-55  and  1995-2000 
population  growth  rates  for  some  de- 
veloping regions.  But  the  figures  fail  to 
bring  out  the  anticipated  major  declines 
in  the  birth  and  death  rates  making  up 
(along  with  migration)  the  overall 
growth  rates.  The  1.9%  growth  rate  for 
the  developing  regions  as  a  whole  for 
1950-55  consists  of  a  birth  rate  of  42 


and  a  death  rate  of  23  per  1 ,000  popu- 
lation. The  1.9%  growth  rate  for 
1995-2000.  on  the  other  hand,  projects 
a  birth  rate  of  28  and  a  death  rate  of  9 
per  1,000  population.  This  projection 
assumes  a  continued  trend  toward  the 
modernization  (i.e.,  reduction)  of  birth 
and  death  rates  in  the  developing  re- 
gions. 


Chart  1 

The  Growth  of  World  Population  Since  the 
Beginning  of  the  Industrial  Era 

Billio 
Pe 

ns  of 
Dple 

Years  to 

Add 

Each  Billion 

/ 
// 
// 
// 

Medium  Projection  Variant,                              ffl 

-6.0 
-5.0 

I  (See  Note 
[Below) 

il2-14 

Yielding  6.25  Billion  in  2000                          // 

Low  Projection  Variant,                        1975f  / 
Yielding  5.8  Billion  in  2000                         /   / 

/1989 

-4.0 

>15 

196o/ 

-3.0 

1930/ 

-2.0 
-1.0 

>30 
>Over  100 

i                   i                    i                   i                   i 

0 

I  From  the 
|  Beginning 

1750            1800            1850            1900            1950            20 

Year 

00 

Note:  The  number  of  years  it  will  take  to  add  the  fifth  and  subsequent  billions  will  depend 

primarily  on  the  pace  of  fertility  declines,  and  to  a  lesser  extent  mortality  trends,  in  LDC's. 

Source:  Based  on  UN.  estimates  and  projections,  as  assessed  in  1973. 

October  1978 


47 


Chart  2 


Population  by  Age  and  Sex  (1975  and  2000) 


Developed  Regions 

1975  —  1.1  billion 
2000  —  1 .3  billion 


Age/ 


75+ 


Male 


I — I — I — I — I — I — I — I — I — I 1 — I — i — I — r 


Female 


I  I  Population  in  1975 

■MM  Increase  I  975  to  2000 


"1       \~ I      I       I      I      I      I      I      I      I      I      I      I — I 1 


320      280     240      200      160       120       80        40         0     0         40        80        120      160      200      240      280      320 

Millions 


Developing  Regions 

1 975  —  3.0  billion 
2000  —  5.0  billion 


^%C 


75+ 


320   280  240   200   160   120   80    40    0  0    40   80   120   160   200   240   280   320 

Millions 

Source:  U.S.  Bureau  of  the  Census.  The  data  projected  for  the  year  2000  represent  the  Bureau's  medium  variant. 


Age  Composition 

Chart  4  illustrates  that  developed 
countries  (e.g.,  Sweden)  have  many 
imore  people  of  labor-force  age  (15-64) 
than  they  have  children  less  than  15 
wears  old.  In  developing  countries 
«e.g.,  Pakistan),  the  age-sex  pyramid  is 
imuch  broader  at  the  base,  and  the 
proportion  of  dependent  children  (less 
Ithan  15  years  old)  usually  runs  between 
40%  and  45%  of  the  total  population, 
compared  with  25%  in  the  developed 
countries  (1975  estimate).  Put  another 
iway,  there  is  only  about  one  adult  of 
working  age  for  each  child  under  15  in 
the  developing  world  compared  with 
nearly  three  adults  of  working  age  per 
child  under  15  in  the  developed  coun- 
tries. 

There  are  three  major  disadvantages 
to  the  heavily  youth-oriented  age  dis- 
tribution of  most  developing  countries. 


children  relative  to  the  size  of  the  labor 
force  increases  the  burden  of  child  de- 
pendency, promotes  spending  for  im- 
mediate consumption,  restricts  private 
and  public  saving,  and  inhibits  invest- 
ment. 

•  When  the  excessive  number  of 
children  reach  working  age,  they 
swamp  the  rural  and  urban  labor  mar- 
kets. Large  numbers  of  unemployed 
and  underemployed  are  both  econom- 
ically wasteful  and  a  potential  source 
of  social  and  political  instability. 

•  The  cohort  of  young  men  and 
women  entering  the  years  of  fertility  is 
much  larger — perhaps  by  three 
times — than  the  number  of  older  people 
growing  out  of  the  age  of  fertility.  This 
is  a  key  factor  underlying  the  high  rate 
of  population  growth  in  the  developing 
countries  and  is  certain  to  accentuate 
overpopulation  problems  in  the  decades 
ahead. 


The    large   number   of  dependent         The  chart  also  brings  out  the  greater 


old-age  (65  +  )  dependency  burden 
borne  by  the  developed  than  by  the 
developing  countries.  However,  the 
developed  countries  were  able  to  build 
their  economies,  partly  through  the 
contributions  of  the  now  elderly,  be- 
fore this  burden  became  major.  The 
problems  it  presents  are  arousing  in- 
creasing concern  in  the  developed 
countries  but  are  less  critical  than  those 
imposed  on  the  developing  countries  by 
their  heavily  youth-biased  age  struc- 
tures. 


The  Momentum  Factor 

Even  if  it  were  possible  to  attain  in 
the  next  few  decades  an  average  level 
of  fertility  worldwide  which  would 
merely  replace  the  parental  generation 
(i.e.,  a  net  reproduction  rate  — 
NRR — of  1,  implying  an  average  of 
2.1-2.5  children  per  woman,  depend- 
ing  on   mortality   conditions),   popula- 


48 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


Chart  3 


The  Population  Explosion 

Where  the  People  Are  Likely  to  be  in  the  Year  2000 


Early  1800's 


Year 
1900  1930 


1960 


1975      1990    2000 


Its  effects  are,  and  will  be,  greater  in 
countries  of  Asia,  Africa,  and 
Latin  America 


Population,  by  Region  (millions) 


1970 

2000 

Percent  Growth 
1970-2000 

Northern  America 

226 

296 

31 

Latin  America 

283 

620 

119 

Europe 

459 

540 

18 

Africa 

352 

814 

131 

USSR 

243 

315 

30 

India 

543 

1,059 

95 

China 

772 

1,148 

49 

Other  Asia  and 
Oceania 

732 

1,463 

100 

Northern 
America 


Latin 
America 


Europe 


Africa 


U.S.S.R. 


India 


China 


Other  Asia 
&  Oceania 


1.0 


1.65 


2.0 


Billions 


3.0  4.0*         5,3*  6.25* 


UN  medium  projection  variant 


October  1978 


49 


tion  would  continue  to  grow  for  some 
50-70  years  thereafter.  The  size  of  the 
eventually  stabilized  (nongrowing) 
population  would  be  far  larger  than  at 
the  time  fertility  dropped  to  replace- 
ment level. 

The  projections  noted  in  the  box 
(p.  50)  are  not  intended  to  predict  the 
actual  course  of  world  population 
growth  but  only  to  illustrate  the 
enormous  potential  for  growth  built 
into  the  current  youthful  age  structure 
of  much  of  the  world's  population. 
For  every  decade  of  delay  in  achiev- 
ing an  NRR  of  1 — replacement 
level — the  world's  peak  population 
will  be  some  15%  greater  (chart  5). 

It  is  conceivable  that  at  some  future 
point  average  family  size  in  particular 
countries  or  regions,  or  in  the  world 
as  a  whole,  may  be  less  than  two 
children  (i.e.,  that  fertility  may 
stabilize  at  a  level  below  replacement 
of  the  parental  generation).  This 
would,  of  course,  speed  up  the  cessa- 
tion of  growth  and  bring  stabilization 
at  a  smaller  absolute  size.  A  sustained 
fertility  level  below  replacement 
would  eventually  lead  to  a  decline  in 
the  absolute  size  of  a  population.  This 
is  not  an  objective  of  any  govern- 
ment's current  population  policy,  but 
this  situation  may  change. 

Chart  6  illustrates  the  awesome 
potential  for  population  growth  in  a 
specific  developing  country — Mexico. 

In  1970  Mexicans  numbered  51 
million.  Of  this  number,  46%  were 
under  15  years  of  age  and  65%  were 
under  25  years.  The  NRR  was  esti- 
mated to  be  2.7  female  births  per 
woman.  Under  assumptions  of  linear 
fertility  decline,  leveling  off  at  re- 
placement level,  Mexico's  population 
would  reach  the  following  levels. 

•  If  replacement-level  fertility  is 
reached  by  2000-05,  the  population 
will  stop  growing  at  about  174  mil- 
ilion,  or  3.4  times  its  1970  size. 

•  If  replacement-level  fertility  is 
reached  by  2020-25,  the  population 
will  stop  growing  at  about  269  mil- 
lion, or  5.3  times  its  1970  size. 

These  figures  should  be  modified 
by  net  emigration  of  undetermined 
magnitude,  a  large  proportion  to  the 
United  States. 

Mexico's  demographic  situation  is 
typical  of  dozens  of  developing 
countries  where,  even  under  optimis- 
tic assumptions  of  fertility  decline, 
the  momentum  of  growth  is  bound  to 
double  or  triple  present  population 
.levels. 

In  1972  the  Mexican  Government 
initiated  a  family  planning  program. 
By  the  end  of  1977,  the  birth  rate  was 
believed  to  have  declined  to  below  40 


Burden  of  Dependency 

The  Burden  of  Child  Dependency  Weighs  Heavily  on  LDCs 

Chart  4 

Pakistan 

Male 

Age 
~|75+ 

70-7' 

65-6 

j60-e 

1 
9 
4 
59 

Female 

55- 

50-54 

45-49 

40-44 

35-39 

30-34 

25-29 

20-24 

15-19 

10-14 

5-9 

0-4 

1     l 
10987654    32    1    0    1    2345678910 

Percent 
The  Burden  of  Retirement-age  Dependency  is  Heavier  in  DCs 

Age 

male 

Sweden 

75+ 

70-74 

65-69 

60-64 

55-59 

50-54 

Male 

45-49 

Fe 

40-44 

35-39 

30-34 

25-29 

20-24 

15-19 

10-14 

5-9 

0-4 

Source:  Basec 

1  on  U.I 

1     1     1     1     1     1     1     1     1     1     1 
54321012345 

Percent 

vl.  data  for  1975 

50 


If  the  world  attained 

World  population  would                  And  world  population 

an  NRR  of  1  in* 

then  stand  at                               could  be  expected 

eventually  to 

stabilize  at 

1980-85 

4.2  billion  (1980)                                   6.4  billion 

2000-05 

5.9  billion  (2000)                                  8.4  billion 

2020-25 

8.4  billion  (2020)                                 11.2  billion 

2040-45 

12.0  billion  (2040)                                 15.2  billion 

*The  decline  in  fertility 

is  assumed  to  begin  in  all  cases  with  the  1965-70  level.  Thus,  an 

NRR  of  1  by  2000-05,  foi 

example,  implies  a  gradual  reduction  of  fertility  over  a  35-year 

period. 

Note:  These  projections  were  developed  by  Tomas  Frejka  of  the  Population  Council 

per  1,000  population.  President  Lopez 
Portillo  has  recently  indicated  a  na- 
tional goal  of  reducing  the  rate  of 
growth  to  2.5%  by  the  end  of  his 
term  in  office  in  1982  and  to  1%  by 
the  year  2000. 

International  Migration 

In  past  centuries,  millions  of 
people  suffering  poverty,  religious 
intolerance,  or  other  hardships  have 
emigrated  to  other  countries.  From 
the  mid- 17th  century  to  the  cutbreak 
of  World  War  II,  more  than  60  mil- 
lion Europeans,  according  to  one  es- 
timate, emigrated  overseas,  mostly  to 
the  Americas.  The  United  States 
alone  absorbed  some  33  million 
European  immigrants  between  1820 
and  1940. 

In  the  years  since  World  War  II, 
added  millions  have  moved  across 
national  boundaries  under  a  variety  of 
economic  and  political  circumstances. 
In  addition  to  the  traditional  inter- 
continental movements — mostly  to  the 
United  States,  Canada,  and 
Australia — there  have  been  mass 
transfers  of  populations  following  the 
partitioning  of  countries  (e.g.,  on  the 
Indian  subcontinent);  large-scale  re- 
patriations of  foreign  nationals;  and 
streams  of  refugees  occasioned  by 
political  dislocations,  particularly  in 
Asia,  Africa,  and  Europe. 

In  the  1960's,  labor  migration  be- 
came a  growing  component  of  post- 
war international  movements.  This 
flow  has  been  primarily  directed  to 
Western  Europe;  in  the  1970's,  it 
branched  out  to  oil-rich  countries.  In 
1976  foreign  workers  in  Western 
Europe — coming  largely  from  south- 
ern Europe,  north  Africa,  and 
Turkey — numbered  some  7.5  million, 
accompanied  by  5.5  million  depend- 
ents. 

Increased  employment  opportunities 
in  the  industrialized  countries  and 
liberalized  immigration  laws  in  some 
of  them  have  resulted  in  a  sharp  in- 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

there  are  no  reliable  estimates  of  their 
number,  but  they  are  in  the  millions.) 
Almost  two-thirds  of  the  migrants  to 
northern  America,  Australia,  and 
New  Zealand  came  from  Latin 
America.  The  largest  contingent  of 
LDC  migrants  in  Western  Europe 
came  from  north  Africa  (Algeria, 
Morocco,  Tunisia)  and  Turkey.  In 
1974  there  were  1  million  Turks  in 
the  Federal  Republic  of  Germany 
alone.  LDC  immigrants  to  the  United 
Kingdom  have  come  largely  from  the 
newly  independent  countries  of  the 
British  Commonwealth. 

Social  problems  frequently  arise  for 
migrant    workers   and   the   host   coun- 
crease    in    the    numbers    of    migrants     tries.  Also,  foreign  labor  markets  de- 
from  developing  to  developed  regions    pend  on  the  economic  vitality  of  the 

receiving  countries  and  cannot  be 
counted  upon  to  remain  open  on  the 


in  recent  decades.  In  1974,  according 
to  U.N.  estimates,  there  were  some 
9.5  million  migrants  from  less  de- 
veloped countries  (LDC's)  in  Western 
Europe,  northern  America,  Australia, 
and  New  Zealand,  a  threefold  in- 
crease over  I960.1  (These  figures  do 
not   include   illegal   migrant   workers; 


required  scale.  With  the  economic 
slowdown  in  Europe  beginning  in 
1973,  the  demand  for  migrant  work- 
ers has  fallen.  Several  countries  have 
imposed  stricter  controls  on  the  re- 
cruitment of  foreign  labor;  some  have 


Chart  5 

Momentum  of  World  Population  Growth 

Billions  of 

Persons 

16 

Declining  Fertility: 

Replacement-level  Fertility                         > 

15.1  Bit* 

14 

_      (NRR  =  1 .0)  Reached  in                       / 

-      2020-25                       / 

12 
10 

2000-05                   / 

1980-85                / 

^Stabilization  Level          /          . — """"' 
/         / 
/      /' 
/    / 

11.2  Bil* 

8 
6 

4 

/  / 

///' 

■  —6.4  Bil* 

2 

0 

i      i      i      i      I      i      i      i      i      I      i      i      i 

i       I 

1970          2000                       2050 

2100 

Year 

Source  of  Data:    Tomas  Frejka 

October  1978 


Chart  6 


Momentum  of  Mexico's  Population  Growth 


Millions  of 
Persons 
450  r 


400- 


350 


300 


250- 


200 


150 


100 


50 


Declining  Fertility: 
(NRR  =  1 .0)  Reached  in 

2040-45 

2020-25 

2000-05 

1980-85 


"Stabilization  Level 


419  Mil/ 


269  Mil. 


174  Mil.' 


113  Mil." 


_L 


J L 


J I I L 


J I I L 


1970  2000 

Source  of  Data:    Tomas  Frejka 


2050 


2100 


Year 


subsidized  the  return  of  foreign  work- 
ers to  their  native  lands.  The  growth 
of  the  working-age  population  in 
Western  Europe,  and  increasing  par- 
ticipation of  women  in  the  labor 
force,  may  further  restrict  employ- 
ment opportunities  for  migrant 
workers  well  into  the  1980's. 
Resource-rich  LDC's  have  attracted  a 
considerable  number  of  foreign  work- 
ers in  recent  years,  but  these  de- 
veloping countries'  potential  for 
absorbing  additional  migrant  labor  ap- 
pears limited.  The  pressure  in  poorer 
LDC's  to  emigrate,  nevertheless,  is 
likely  to  intensify  in  the  years  ahead, 
owing  to  the  rapid — and  in  many 
countries  accelerating — growth  of  the 
labor  force. 

Migration  to  industrialized  coun- 
tries has  significantly  eased  the 
population  pressure  of  a  number  of 
small  and  medium-sized  developing 
countries — for  example,  Puerto  Rico, 
Jamaica,    Mexico,    Turkey,    Algeria, 


Morocco,  and  Tunisia.  In  1974  Alge- 
rian workers  abroad  comprised  12% 
of  the  country's  economically  active 
population;  Tunisian  workers 
abroad  —  7%;  Moroccan  and 
Turkish — 5%.  (Migrant  workers  may 
also  bring  important  financial  advan- 
tages to  their  home  countries;  work- 
ers' remittances  are  an  important 
source  of  foreign  exchange.)  But  the 
9.5  million  LDC  migrants  in  indus- 
trialized countries  in  1974  comprised 
on  the  average  less  than  Vj%  of  the 
population  of  the  sending  countries. 
There  are  no  areas  left  on  Earth  with 
unused  land,  job  opportunities,  and 
welcome  for  the  tens  of  millions  of 
emigrants  which  would  be  required  to 
significantly  ease  population  pres- 
sures in  such  major,  overpopulated, 
low-income  countries  as  India,  Paki- 
stan. Bangladesh,  or  Indonesia,  even 
if  such  numbers  could  be  persuaded 
to  leave  their  homelands. 

Emigration,    in    brief,    can    assist 


51 


some  small  and  medium-sized  de- 
veloping countries  to  meet  their  over- 
population problems,  but  it  is  of  neg- 
ligible help  for  larger  nations. 

Doubling  Time 

One  way  to  grasp  the  implications 
of  a  particular  rate  of  population 
growth  is  to  consider  how  long  it  will 
take  a  population  to  double  at  that 
growth  rate. 

When  a  sum  of  money  grows  at 
compound  interest,  the  interest  rate  is 
applied  both  to  the  original  principal 
and  to  the  proceeds  of  past  interest 
payments,  making  total  growth  sig- 
nificantly faster  than  growth  at  simple 
interest.  Thus,  $1  at  1%  simple  inter- 
est takes  100  years  to  double,  while 
$1  at  1%  compound  interest  will  dou- 
ble in  69  years. 

In  the  same  way,  when  population 
grows  both  the  original  number  of 
people  and  the  numbers  accruing  from 
past  growth  increase.  Thus,  a  popula- 
tion growing  at  1%  per  year  will  take 
not  100  years  but  69  years  to  double. 
A  population  growing  at  2%  per  year 
will  double  in  only  35  years. 

A  quick  way  to  calculate  doubling 
time  is  to  divide  69  by  the  percentage 
of  growth.  For  example,  if  a  coun- 
try's population  growth  rate  is  3%  per 
year,  the  population  will  double  in  23 
years. 

The  concept  of  a  population  "ex- 
plosion," with  the  developing  coun- 
tries' populations  heading  sharply 
upward,  thus  derives  from  the  combi- 
nation of  an  unprecedentedly  rapid 
drop  in  death  rates,  much  more 
slowly  falling  birth  rates,  and  the 
compound,  or  geometric,  arithmetic 
of  the  resulting  population  growth. 


Annual  Growth 

Years  to 

Rate  (%) 

Double  Population 

1.0 

69 

1.5 

46 

2.0 

35 

2.5 

28 

3.0 

23 

3.5 

20 

4.0 

17 

CHANGING  PATTERNS 
OF  POPULATION  GROWTH 


Classical  Demographic 
Transition  Theory 

Before  the  onset  of  the  Industrial 
Revolution  in  the  late  18th  century, 
European  mortality  and  fertility  rates 


52 

were  both  high.  By  the  middle  of  the 
1930's,  death  rates  and  birth  rates 
throughout  the  West  had  plummeted 
(chart  7).  Demographers  have  sought 
ever  since  to  clarify  the  sequence  of 
this  transition  from  high  to  low  vital 
rates  and  the  means  by  which  it  was 
accomplished. 

One  of  the  resulting  theories  of 
demographic  evolution,  known  as  the 
demographic  transition  theory,  pos- 
tulates that  economic  development 
brings  about  a  fall  in  mortality, 
followed — after  some  time — by  a  fall 
in  fertility.  During  the  period  of  tran- 
sition from  high  to  low  death  and 
birth  rates,  the  pace  of  population 
growth  accelerates  markedly.  More 
specifically: 

•  The  initial  stage  of  high  (popula- 
tion) growth  potential  evolves  from  a 
backdrop  of  high  death  and  high  birth 
rates.  The  former  reflects  the  harsh 
struggle  for  existence  and  the  latter 
the  need  to  compensate  for  high 
mortality.  During  this  stage,  death 
rates  begin  to  fall,  under  the  influ- 
ence of  modernization,  including  ris- 
ing levels  of  living  and  new  controls 
over  disease.  Birth  rates  remain  high, 
causing  a  rise  in  the  rate  of  popula- 
tion expansion. 


•  During  the  subsequent  transi- 
tional stage,  the  rate  of  growth  of  the 
population  is  still  relatively  high,  but 
a  decline  in  birth  rates  becomes  well 
established.  The  new  ideal  of  the 
small  family  arises  typically  in  urban, 
industrial  settings. 

•  The  stage  of  incipient  decline  is 
reached  when  mortality  is  low  and 
fertility  levels  hover  around  replace- 
ment level.  A  stabilization  of  fertility 
below  replacement  level  would,  of 
course,  lead,  in  the  absence  of  net 
immigration,  to  an  eventual  decline  in 
the  absolute  size  of  a  country's 
population. 


Theory's  Relevance  for  LDC's 

The  demographic  transition  theory, 
particularly  its  concepts  of  ( 1 )  more 
or  less  automatic  decline  in  fertility 
subsequent  to  mortality  reduction  and 
(2)  economic  development  as  the  mo- 
tive power  for  both  declines,  has 
shaped  much  of  the  thinking  about 
population  problems  in  today's  de- 
veloping countries.  It  has  often 
served  as  a  basis  of  opposition  to 
government  policies  and  programs 
aimed  at  reducing  average  family  size 
on    the    premise    that    economic    de- 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 

velopment  will  bring  a  reduction  in 
fertility  as  a  natural  consequence  of 
rising  levels  of  living. 

The  theory's  supporters  further 
contend  that  fertility  will  not  decline 
in  the  absence  of  such  prerequisites  as 
rising  levels  of  living,  literacy,  and 
declining  infant  mortality.  Family 
planning  services  by  themselves,  it  is 
held,  are  largely  unavailing.  "De- 
velopment is  the  best  contraceptive" 
was  widely  proclaimed  by  Third 
World  government  delegations  to  the 
1974  World  Population  Conference.2 

Recent  reexamination  of  Europe's 
population  experience  has  done  nothing 
to  disprove  the  premise  that  lowered 
fertility  is  a  correlate  of  modernization. 
There  can  be  no  doubt  of  the  reality 
and  persistence  of  fertility  declines  in 
modernizing  Europe.  A  more  systema- 
tic documentation  of  mortality  and  fer- 
tility changes  in  Europe  from  the  18th 
through  the  early  20th  centuries  ap- 
pears to  weaken,  however,  the  validity 
of  some  aspects  of  the  demographic 
transition  theory  and  its  usefulness  in 
predicting  the  future  course  of  birth 
and  death  rates  in  the  currently  de- 
veloping countries. 

Analysis  of  Europe's  historical  data 
by  national  subunits  (e.g.,  provinces), 


Chart  7 


The  Demographic  Transition 


Annual  Vital  Rates 
(Per  1 ,000  Population) 

50  r 


40 


30 


20 


10 


Developed  Countries 


Birth  Rate 


Annual  Vital  Rates 
(Per  1 ,000  Population) 

50  r 


40 


Assumed  trend  in  the  absence  of 

World  Wars  I  and  II 


Natural 

Increase 

0.8% 


1750   1800   1850   1900   1950 


2000 


In  developed  countries  death  rates  declined  slowly  beginning 
in  the  late  18th  century  Birth  rates  followed  closely.  Population 
growth  rates  rarely  exceeded  1 ,5%  per  year. 


Source:  Based  on  U.  N.  estimates  and  projections  (medium  variant) 


30 


20 


10 


Developing  Countries 


Birth  Rate 


Natural 

Increase 

2.3% 


•  Assumed  trend  in  the  absence  of 
major  upheavals  (Tai-Ping  Rebellion. 
Indian  Mutiny,  epidemics,  World  Wars) 


_l_ 


_l_ 


0 
1750   1800   1850   1900   1950   2000 

In  developing  countries  birth  and  death  rates  remained  high 
through  the  first  decades  of  the  20th  century  Then  death 
rates  began  to  drop.  Birth  rates  stayed  high  and  populations 
grew  at  2.5,  3.0,  and  3,5%  or  higher  a  year.  Since  the  mid- 
1 960's  some  countries'  birth  rates  have  begun  to  decline. 


'ctober  1978 

ndertaken  by  the  Office  of  Population 
Research,  Princeton  University, 
howed  important  regional  variations  in 
nitial  mortality/fertility  levels,  timing 
if  the  onset  of  secular  (sustained)  de- 
lines  in  these  levels,  the  pace  of  such 
leclines,  and  the  apparent  causes  of 
hose  declines. 
The  reexamination  showed  that  fer- 
lity  levels  and  trends  varied  widely 
mong  and  within  19th  century  Euro- 
ean  countries;  that  fertility  declines 
ften  preceded  or  coincided  with  mor- 
ality declines,  instead  of  following 
lem;  that  regional  variations  in  fertil- 
y  appeared  most  closely  related  to 
ultural  and  linguistic  rather  than  de- 
elopmental  factors;  and  that,  overall, 
ertility  levels  and  trends  bore  no  clear 
elation  to  development.  Fertility  de- 
lines  occurred  in  provinces  that  were 
jral,  very  poor,  not  well  educated, 
nd  subject  to  high  infant  mortality, 
(ationwide,  fertility  began  to  fall  in 
easant.  Catholic  France  nearly  a  cen- 
try  earlier  than  in  England,  though  it 
as  England  that  was  the  leader  in  the 
ldustrial  Revolution. 
The  relevance  of  the  classical  demo- 
raphic  transition  theory  for  today's 
DCs  is  also  limited  by  differences  in 
i  ie  population  trends  of  present-day 
DCs  and  those  of  European  countries 
comparable  periods  of  their  eco- 
^mic  development. 

•  The  pace  of  decline  from  tradition- 
ly  high  mortality  levels  has  been  far 
eeper  in  the  currently  developing 
)untries  than  it  was  in  Europe.  Aver- 
se life  expectancy  in  the  West,3  for 
sample,  is  estimated  to  have  risen 
om  41  years  in  1840  to  50.5  years  in 
)00 — about  10  years  in  six  decades, 
he  average  life  expectancy  for  LDC's 
.  a  group  has  increased  from  42  to  51 
ears  in  15  years  (between  1950-55 
id  1965-70).  The  rapid  decline  in 
DC  mortality  has  been  attributed 
■imarily  to  technological  advances  in 
e  prevention  and  control  of  disease, 
tnployed  independently  of  the 
>cioeconomic  setting.  Marked  im- 
•ovements  in  the  availability  of  food 
so  played  an  important  role  in  sharply 
:ducing  death  rates. 

•  Birth  rates  at  the  beginning  of  the 
jveloping  countries'  demographic 
ansition  were  significantly  higher 
lan  in  preindustrial  Europe,  due 
lainly  to  earlier  and  more  universal 
larriage.  The  average  birth  rate  for  the 
DCs  has  been  estimated  at  42.1  per 
,000  population  between  1950  and 
955;  birth  rates  in  90  LDC's  exceeded 
lis  average.  By  contrast,  the  birth  rate 
i  Western  Europe  on  the  eve  of  the 
ldustrial  Revolution  is  estimated  at 
0-35  per  1.000.4 


•  Steeply  reduced  death  rates  and 
generally  high  birth  rates  have  pro- 
duced natural  growth  rates  in  LDC's  up 
to  3.5%  a  year  or  higher,  two  or  three 
times  as  high  as  those  experienced 
during  Europe's  period  of  most  rapid 
population  growth.  At  the  peak  of 
Costa  Rica's  fertility  (1959-61),  for 
example,  the  country's  natural  increase 
reached  3.8%  a  year;  the  rate  exceeded 
3.5%  for  more  than  a  decade.  In  Den- 
mark, by  contrast,  the  rate  of  natural 
increase  never  exceeded  1.5%. 

The  totally  unprecedented  dis- 
equilibrium between  birth  and  death 
rates  in  the  developing  countries  since 
the  end  of  World  War  II  is  the  reason 
for  the  massive  burgeoning  of  world 
population. 


Prerequisites  for 
Fertility  Reduction 

The  reexamination  of  Europe's  his- 
torical demographic  trends  has  led  the 
project's  senior  researcher.  Dr.  Ansley 
Coale,  to  conclude  that  the  following 
conditions  are  necessary  for  a  major 
fall  in  marital  fertility. 

•  Fertility  must  be  within  the  cal- 
culus of  conscious  choice.  Potential 
parents  must  consider  it  acceptable  be- 
havior to  balance  the  advantages  and 
disadvantages  of  having  another  child. 

•  Perceived  social  and  economic  cir- 
cumstances must  make  reduced  fertility 
seem  advantageous  to  individual 
couples. 

•  Effective  techniques  of  fertility  re- 
duction must  be  known  and  available, 
with  sufficient  communication  between 
spouses  and  sustained  will  in  both  to 
use  them  successfully. 

It  should  be  noted  that  neither  the 
classical  demographic  transition  theory 
nor  its  subsequent  refinements  indicate 
exactly  what  combination  of  social, 
economic,  and  political  conditions  give 
rise  to  the  cited  "calculus  of  conscious 
choice,"  to  the  interest  in  fertility  re- 
duction techniques,  or  to  the  "sus- 
tained will"  or  motivation  to  practice 
family  planning.  As  noted  by  Dr. 
Coale,  the  weakness  of  the  concept  of 
"transition"  lies  in  the  "difficulty  of 
defining  a  precise  threshold  of 
modernization  that  will  reliably  iden- 
tify a  population  in  which  fertility  is 
ready  to  fall. " 

Europe's  demographic  history  to  the 
mid- 1 930 's  did  provide  two  important 
lessons.  It  showed  that  changes  in  fer- 
tility due  to  the  voluntary  adaptation  of 
individual  families  to  new  personal  cir- 
cumstances evolve  very  gradually.  It 
also  showed  that  societal  sanction  of 
the  idea  of  family  planning  is  an  im- 


53 


portant  factor  in  the  diffusion  of  its 
practice. 

Both  findings  argue  in  favor  of  ef- 
fective population  policies  and  pro- 
grams, without  denying  the  important 
role  of  a  rising  level  of  living  as  the 
most  reliable  path  to  declining  birth 
rates.  The  retarding  effect  of  rapid 
population  growth  on  improvement  of 
the  living  conditions  of  the  average 
family  in  most  developing  countries 
renders  it  highly  important  for  those 
countries  to  accelerate  in  every  practic- 
able way  the  transition  from  high  to 
low  death  and  birth  rates.  Effectively 
organized  family  planning  programs 
not  only  provide  birth  control  informa- 
tion and  clinical  services  but  also  speed 
up  the  diffusion  of  a  basic  prerequisite 
for  the  use  of  these  services,  namely 
making  the  notion  of  planned  par- 
enthood acceptable. 

Birth  rate  reductions  in  present  day 
developing  countries  are  often  closely 
correlated  with  economic  and  social 
progress  (Singapore,  Taiwan,  Costa 
Rica,  Hong  Kong,  South  Korea,  etc.). 
Significant  declines  in  birth  rates  have 
also  taken  place,  however,  in  relatively 
backward  economic  settings  but  under 
conditions  of  all-out  mobilization  of 
political,  bureaucratic,  and  community 
resources  (including  womanpower)  be- 
hind family  planning  (China  and  In- 
donesia). 

LDC  Birth  Rates  in  Transition: 
A  Modest  Beginning 

If  present-day  LDC's  have  experi- 
enced an  accelerated  pace  of  mortality 
decline,  some  are  also  showing  an  ear- 
lier onset  and  a  faster  rate  of  decline  in 
birth  rates  than  occurred  in  moderniz- 
ing Europe.  Since  the  mid-1960's, 
some  30  LDC's,  containing  over  two- 
thirds  of  the  total  LDC  population,  ap- 
pear to  have  reduced  their  birth  rates  by 
10%  or  more. 

Delayed  marriages  appear  to  exercise 
an  important  role  in  the  reduction  of 
birth  rates  in  many  LDC's,  particularly 
in  the  initial  phase  of  the  decline.  Ris- 
ing age  at  marriage  is  a  product  of 
socioeconomic  development  that  pro- 
vides women  with  alternatives  to  an 
early  marriage  and  motherhood  and/or 
raises  a  couple's  material  requirements 
for  marriage  and  delays  the  union  until 
these  requirements  are  satisfied,  some- 
times with  the  help  of  the  woman's 
newly  acquired  earning  power. 

Large-scale  temporary  or  permanent 
migration  has  also  helped  to  depress 
the  birth  rate  in  a  number  of  LDCs  by 
reducing  the  proportion  of  the  popula- 
tion in  childbearing  ages,  separating 
families,  delaying  marriages,  and  ex- 
posing migrants  to  cultural  values  of 


54 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 


.' 


;• 


SCIENCE  AND  TECHNOLOGY: 

Their  Interaction  With  Foreign  Polieu 


by  Lucy  Wilson  Benson 

Based  on  an  address  before  the  Na- 
tional Science  Board  in  Washington, 
D.C.,  on  May  18,  1978.  Mrs.  Benson 
is  Under  Secretary  for  Security  Assist- 
ance, Science,  and  Technology . 

I'm  glad  to  have  the  opportunity  to 
talk  to  the  National  Science  Board  this 
afternoon.  The  prominence  of  science 
in  government  today  is,  in  part,  a  herit- 
age of  World  War  II.  But  times  are 
different  and  so  are  the  demands  and 
expectations.  There  is  a  new  emphasis 
on  the  civilian  aspects  of  science  and 
technology  after  years  of  heavy  em- 
phasis on  military  matters.  In  helping 
rebuild  Europe,  our  major  scientific 
and  technological  assistance  and  ex- 
change was  with  the  developed  coun- 
tries. Now  it  is  with  the  developing 
countries.  Then  it  was  largely  basic  re- 
search; now  there  is  more  emphasis  on 
application. 

Another  change  has  taken  place.  The 
recovery  of  the  advanced  nations  from 
the  effects  of  World  War  II  has  meant 
that  we  are  no  longer,  as  we  were  early 
in  the  post-World  War  II  era,  the  only 
exporter  of  science  and  technology  to 
the  four  corners  of  the  world.  We  have 
companions  and  we  have  competitors. 
This  is  undoubtedly  good  for  us  all, 


even  though  it  complicates  our  diplo- 
macy. Nevertheless,  our  technology 
remains  as  a  major,  if  not  the  major, 
aspect  of  how  other  peoples  view  us. 
And  this  reputation  for  technological 
excellence  is  an  important  source  of 
power,  influence,  and  potential  diplo- 
matic leverage. 

All  of  this  points  to  an  extensive  in- 
teraction with  foreign  affairs.  Perhaps 
the  most  significant  change  as  it  affects 
our  foreign  policy  is  the  growing  mul- 
tinational character  of  science  and 
technology-related  problems  and  the 
growing  complexity  of  the  institutional 
arrangements  set  up  to  deal  with  them. 
The  things  that  preoccupy  the  foreign 
policy  managers  today  are  big  and  al- 
most intractable  problems.  These  are, 
of  course,  nuclear  nonproliferation, 
energy  use,  pollution,  climate,  food, 
population  control,  and  the  use  of  the 
oceans.  These  are  all  problems  beyond 
our  capacity  to  deal  with  on  a  national 
basis  alone.  Thus  the  demand  for  new 
institutional  arrangements  and  a  new 
focus  in  such  multilateral  bodies  as  the 
U.N.  specialized  agencies. 

This  has  both  a  good  and  bad  side. 
On  the  one  hand  it  enlists  the  forces  of 
diplomacy  on  the  side  of  science  and 
technology  for  ends  that  everybody 
agrees  are  important.  But  it  also 
politicizes  questions  that  I   am   sure 


(Population  com' d) 

the  receiving  (usually  developed) 
countries. 

The  major  cause  of  the  decline  in 
LDC  birth  rates  to  date,  however,  has 
been  reduction  in  marital  fertility,  par- 
ticularly among  women  over  30  years 
of  age.  This  decline  relates — in  various 
degrees — to  a  fairly  steady  growth  in 
the  proportion  of  women  of  child- 
bearing  ages  who  use  modern  con- 
traceptive methods.  Such  use  has  been 
significantly  accelerated  in  many 
LDC's  by  public  provision  of  family 
planning  information,  education,  and 
contraceptive  services 

Observed  reductions  in  some  LDC 
birth  rates  may  signal  the  beginnings  of 
a  sustained  fertility  decline  for  a  large 
proportion  of  the  LDC  population.  But 
this  is  not  assured.  The  pace  of  future 
fertility  declines  is  still  unpredictable. 
The  birth  rate  in  Mauritius  has  risen 
since  1973;  an  upward  trend  in  fertility 


has  been  observed  in  Jamaica  and 
Trinidad  and  Tobago.  Nevertheless, 
there  is  basis  for  cautious  optimism 
that  fertility  will  continue  to  decline  in 
a  broad  range  of  LDC's.  Unfortu- 
nately, this  favorable  development 
must,  as  we  have  seen,  be  viewed  in  a 
context  of  massively  increasing  world 
population  totals.  □ 


1  Only  migrants  whose  stay  in  the  host 
country  is  more  than  1  year  are  included  in 
this  figure,  comprising  both  permanent  immi- 
grants and  temporary  (labor)  migrants. 

2 For  material  concerning  the  World  Popula- 
tion Conference,  see  Bulletin  of  Sept  30, 
1974,  p.  429. 

'Based  on  mortality  data  for  Denmark.  En- 
gland and  Wales.  France,  the  Netherlands. 
Norway.  Sweden,  and  the  State  of  Mas- 
sachusetts. 

4In  the  U.S.  and  Canada,  birth  rates  in  the 
18th  and  most  of  the  19th  centuries  were  much 
higher. 


many  of  you  would  prefer  to  see  re 
solved  on  their  scientific  and  techno 
logical  merit. 

What  I  would  like  to  do  is  explon 
with  you  how  we  in  the  Department  o 
State  see  this  linkage  of  foreign  polic; 
and  science  and  technology — what  ou 
objectives  are  and  how  we  view  ou 
own  responsibilities  in  meeting  them. 


Technology  as  a  Major  Concern 

First,  we  need  to  be  clear  that  al 
though  the  words  science  and  technol 
ogy  both  appear  in  my  title  and  job  de 
scription,  the  Department's  interes 
tends  to  lie  rather  more  toward  tech 
nology  than  science. 

Obviously,  one  cannot  exist  withou 
the  other:  Each  feeds  on  the  successe 
and  products  of  the  other — althoug 
not  always  at  predictable  times  or  i 
predictable  ways.  I  think  that  we  coul 
agree  that,  in  general,  science  is  th 
pursuit  of  knowledge  for  its  own  sake 
and  technology  is  the  application  c 
scientific  knowledge  and  its  derivative 
to  the  practical  affairs  of  mankind. 

Thus,  while  we  speak  of  science  an 
technology  in  one  breath,  and  while  w 
cannot  have  one  without  the  other,  th* 
manner  in  which  they  interact  wit 
foreign  policy  is  quite  different.  Th 
Department  of  State  is  aware  of  thi 
difference,  and  we  are  aware  also  tha 
science  has  its  own  international 
transnational  network  in  which  the  Na 
tional  Science  Foundation  plays  a  criti 
cal  role.  But,  while  the  Department  o 
State  performs  an  important  function  ii 
supporting  and  facilitating  internationa 
transactions  in  science,  our  major  con 
cern  is  with  technology  and  its  appli 
cation  as  an  agent  and  tool  in  suppor 
of  our  foreign  policy  objectives.  A; 
such,  it  is  inextricably  interwoven  wit! 
politics  and  economics. 


Sis 


■!'. 


1"! 
,' 

<:. 

■"i 
I J 

' 

'; 
r 


'. 


i, 


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': 


The  Role  of  Science  and 
Technology  in  Security  Policy 

Though  the  Department  of  State  i; 
not  directly  concerned  with  the  scien 
tific  and  technological  underpinning; 
of  a  strong  defense  establishment,  wt 
do  have  a  compelling  need  to  under- 
stand the  technological  dimensions  ol 
that  establishment  as  they  affect  arms 
control. 

The  question  here  is  not  just  under- 
standing the  opportunities  and  prob 


ctober  1978 

ms  that  the  technological  characteris- 
es of  specific  systems  may  present  to 
te  arms  controller,  but  also  how  tech- 
ology  can  be  applied  to  verify  and 
nforce  agreements  that  may  be 
ached.  This  applies  not  only  to  such 

t-piece  agreements  as  SALT 
strategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks]  but 

agreements  in  which  we  are  not  di- 
i&t  participants  like  Sinai  II,  where  we 
ave  provided  some  very  innovative 
mete  sensing  technology  to  monitor 
raeli  and  Egyptian  adherence  to  the 
greement.  The  role  of  science  and 
chnology  in  the  pursuit  of  our  nuclear 
onproliferation  policy  is  clearly 
nother  important  part  of  security 
Dlicy. 


ssisting  Developing  Countries 

In  addition  to  maintaining  the  peace, 
curity,  and  well-being  of  our  nation, 
te  of  the  major  objectives  of  the  Car- 
Administration  is  to  help  meet,  as 
*st  we  can,  the  aspirations  of  less 
rtunate  nations  in  an  increasingly 
terdependent  world.    Science  and 
chnology  play  a  critical  role  in  all  of 
lese  areas.   We  are,  for  example, 
ading  an  interagency  study  on  scien- 
1c  and  technological  relationships  with 
:veloping  countries.  The  study  in- 
>lves  an  assessment  of  resources  and 
"<  quirements  and  the  political  and  eco- 
»!  >mic  implications  of  various  courses 
i)   action.  Also,  the  President  has  given 
i  s  support  to  a  foundation  for  interna- 
I  onal   technical  cooperation   which 
1  Duld  establish  a  systematic  approach 
i  using  science  and  technology  for  de- 
I  rlopment. 

I  Perhaps  the  most  significant  role  sci- 
ence and  technology  can  play  today,  to 
I  lfill  our  objective  to  expand  the 
i  obal  economy,  is  in  aiding  the  de- 
I  ilopment  process  in  the  developing 
puntries  of  the  world.  In  this  respect, 
|e  are  making  a  major  effort  to  support 
Je  1979  U.N.  Conference  on  Science 
i|iid  Technology  for  Development. 

I  I  want  to  emphasize  the  essential 
|:rategy  which  underlies  our  approach. 

II  is  that  the  developing  countries  must 
)  emselves  participate  in  the  selection 

id  implementation  of  the  technologies 
f  ;eful  for  their  purposes.  Technology 
Bansfer  on  a  sort  of  turnkey  basis 
lion't  work.  We  will  focus  our  interest 
In  developing  scientific  and  techno- 
:|>gical  resources  in  the  less  developed 

jountries,  perhaps  through  such 
I'lechanisms  as  the  proposed  foundation 

j)r  international  technical  cooperation. 

he  involvement  of  U.S.  institutions  is 

r>  be  largely  in  response  to  that  activ- 

Ky.    It    will    be    demand-pull,    not 

U:chnology-push. 


Increased  Responsibility 

We  at  the  Department  are  no  longer 
in  a  position  where  we  can  fulfill  our 
responsibilities  by  simply  clearing  ca- 
bles produced  by  the  scientific  and 
technologically  oriented  agencies  of  the 
U.S.  Government.  We  are  being  in- 
creasingly pressed  to  take  the  lead  in 
developing  initiatives,  in  coordinating 
programs,  and  in  exercising  a  deter- 
mined and  focused  policy  oversight  of 
a  vast  range  of  complicated  issues  that 
heretofore  the  Department  tended  to 
leave  to  others.  Two  examples  of  ac- 
tivities that  come  to  mind  are  the  es- 
tablishment by  the  Department  of  two 
interagency  working  groups — one  on 
the  1980-90  U.N.  Decade  for  Drinking 
Water  and  Sanitation  and  a  second 
on  U.S. -Mexico  Cooperation  and  De- 
sertification. 

We  start  from  the  premise  that  the 
Department  has  been  given  a  mandate 
to  take  hold  of,  rather  than  react  to,  a 
much  larger  set  of  programs  and  re- 
sponsibilities than  has  been  the  case  up 


55 


access  to  weapons-usable  plutonium. 
What  we  need,  of  course,  is  reproc- 
essing techniques  that  do  not  produce 
weapons-usable  plutonium.  We  also 
need  to  identify  and  develop  a  safer  in- 
stitutional framework  in  which  any  re- 
processing that  occurs  may  take  place. 

In  the  immediate  term,  because  of 
our  view  that  reprocessing  is  prema- 
ture, we  must  take  significant  steps 
now  to  develop  safe  and  economically 
attractive  means  to  handle  the  storage 
of  spent  fuel. 

Finally,  we  must  devise  an  interna- 
tional regime  for  controlling  the  spread 
of  enrichment  facilities,  initially 
through  a  stronger  fuel  assurance  sys- 
tem and,  perhaps  ultimately,  through 
development  of  multinational  structures 
to  accommodate  such  facilities  that 
eventually  are  built. 

Oceans.  Oceans  matters,  if  not  as 
immediately  in  the  forefront  of  public 
attention  as  nonproliferation,  are  still 
an  immensely  contentious  issue  both 
here  and  abroad.  Beyond  the  very  im- 


.  .  .  science  is  the  pursuit  of  knowledge  for  its  own  sake,  and 
technology  is  the  application  of  scientific  knowledge  and  its  derivatives 
to  the  practical  affairs  of  mankind. 


to  now.  And  it  is  particularly  our 
charge  to  try  to  bring  a  better  sense  of 
order  and  discipline  to  the  international 
activities  of  the  technologically 
oriented  agencies  here  in  Washington. 
Let  me  give  you  a  few  specific  exam- 
ples. 

Nuclear  Nonproliferation.  Nuclear 
nonproliferation  has  been  at  the  top  of 
this  Administration's  foreign  policy 
agenda  since  it  took  office.  Our  objec- 
tive is  to  maintain  the  barriers,  in  the 
face  of  technological  change,  between 
the  civil  and  military  uses  of  nuclear 
energy.  We  want  to  permit — in  fact  we 
want  to  encourage — investment  in 
safeguardable  nuclear  power  without 
having  to  assume  also  the  liability  for 
having  encouraged  access  to  weapons- 
usable  material,  either  at  the  uranium 
enrichment  end  of  the  nuclear  fuel 
cycle  or  at  the  reprocessing  end. 

The  problems  are  indeed  formi- 
dable— we  must  manage  the  diffusion 
of  nuclear  technology  so  that  legitimate 
national  energy  needs  are  met  while  at 
the  same  time  an  evolving  world  con- 
sensus on  an  effective  nonproliferation 
regime  is  strengthened.  National  pro- 
grams and  priorities  will  not,  in  this 
environment,  always  coincide. 

Second,  we  must  find  feasible  alter- 
natives to  conventional  reprocessing 
methods  in  order  to  avoid  widespread 


portant  and  sticky  problem  of  restric- 
tions on  marine  research,  they  involve 
conflicting  needs  for  finite  stocks  of 
fish;  conflicting  views  on  what  con- 
stitute national  boundaries  in  the  new 
200-mile  conservation  zone;  and  con- 
flicting requirements  within  the  United 
States  on  the  part  of  conservationists, 
the  commercial  fishing  industry,  and 
sports  fishermen. 

If  that  weren't  enough,  the  fish 
themselves  have  their  own  non- 
negotiable  demands  to  make  since 
some  are  coastal,  some  pelagic,  and 
some  anadromous.  Each  type  presents 
its  own  challenging  conservation  re- 
quirements. As  you  can  well  imagine, 
congressional  interest  in  the  solutions 
the  international  community  may  de- 
vise to  the  problems  of  the  world  of 
fish  is  high,  and  where  congressional 
dissatisfaction  arises,  domestic  legis- 
lation is  sure  to  follow. 

Environmental   Concerns.    On   the 

positive  side  has  been  the  painstaking 
effort  to  coordinate  though  various 
international  bodies,  such  as  the  Or- 
ganization for  Economic  Cooperation 
and  Development  and  the  European 
Economic  Community,  the  registration 
and  regulation  of  handling  toxic  sub- 
stances. This  is  not  a  rapid  process, 
but  progress  is  being  made. 

On  the  negative  side  the  National 


56 

Environmental  Policy  Act  is  being  in- 
terpreted by  the  Council  on  Environ- 
mental Quality  to  require  environ- 
mental impact  statements  from  the 
U.S.  Government  when  it  is  involved 
in  programs  abroad  that  have  poten- 
tially harmful  effects  on  the  environ- 
ment. Two  suits  have  been  brought 
against  the  government  under  this  act. 
One  on  the  paraquat  spraying  of 
marijuana  in  Mexico  and  the  other 
against  the  Export-Import  Bank  for 
failing  to  provide  in  their  internal  reg- 
ulations for  the  preparation  and  filing 
of  environmental  impact  statements  on 
projects  the  Bank  was  financing 
abroad. 

The  implications  of  this  turn  of 
events  are  serious.  For  starters,  we 
could  find  a  good  portion  of  our  gov- 
ernment programs  tied  up  for  years 
while  Federal  agencies  struggle  to  de- 
fine and  analyze  environmental  un- 
knowns in  distant  parts  of  the  world. 
There  are  also  possibilities  for  severe 
damage  to  commercial  sectors  with 
large  overseas  projects  such  as  the  nu- 
clear power,  construction,  and  chemi- 
cal industries. 

Moreover,  it  is  far  from  clear  to 
those  of  us  involved  in  this  problem 
how  we  can  provide  impact  statements 
required  by  law  without  the  coopera- 
tion, indeed  the  full  collaboration,  of 
the  foreign  governments  concerned. 
The  infringement  of  sovereignty  that 
these  impact  statements  imply,  and  the 
atmosphere  of  paternalism  they  gener- 
ate, raise  serious  questions  about  the 
measure  of  collaboration  we  are  likely 
to  get,  to  say  nothing  of  the  reaction 
that  would  develop. 

Problems  and  Opportunities 

These  are  but  three  from  a  long  list 
of  interesting,  challenging,  perhaps 
even  unmanageable  problems  facing 
us.  On  that  list  you  will  find  desertifi- 
cation, water,  toxic  substances,  de- 
forestation, air  pollution,  space,  tech- 
nology transfer,  health,  food,  climate, 
and  many  more. 

Each  of  these  presents  its  own 
unique  opportunities  for  our  foreign 
relations;  for  enhancing  our  bilateral 
ties;  for  moving  countries  or  regions  in 
mutually  felicitous  directions;  and  for 
demonstrating  our  capacity  for  inno- 
vation and  leadership  in  international 
scientific  and  technological  affairs. 
Each  also  presents  difficult  prob- 
lems— some  of  which  are  quite  new 
to  the  professional  managers  of  for- 
eign policy.  The  increasing  polari- 
zation of  the  globe  in  both  its  eco- 
nomic and  political  dimensions — the 
developed  and  underdeveloped,  the 
haves  and  the  have  nots,  the  aligned 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 


UNITED  NATIONS:         The  Role 

of  ECOSOC  in  International 

Economic  Dialogue 


by  Andrew  Young 

Statement  before  the  U.N.  Economic 
and  Social  Council  (ECOSOC)  in  gen- 
eral debate  on  July  II.  1978.  Ambas- 
sador Young  is  U.S.  Permanent  Repre- 
sentative to  the  United  Nations.' 

Last  year,  I  raised  the  question  of  the 
role  of  ECOSOC  in  the  international 
economic  dialogue.  Clearly,  the  ques- 
tion remains  a  timely  one.  Many  of  our 
colleagues  will  be  spending  much  time 
during  this  session  wrestling  with  the 
question  in  the  context  of  their  effort  to 
find  a  consensus  on  how  to  implement 
those  aspects  of  the  restructuring  rec- 
ommendations that  are  designed  to 
strengthen  the  role  of  ECOSOC. 
Meanwhile,  I  join  others  in  this  general 
debate  in  the  Council  in  taking  stock  of 
the  accomplishments  and  frustrations 
of  the  past  year  and  in  exchanging 
ideas  as  to  where  to  proceed  in  the 
immediate  future. 

The  background  of  such  a  discussion 
must,  of  course,  be  the  economic 
realities  of  today  and  our  vision  for 
tomorrow.  The  "World  Economic  Sur- 
vey," which  we  have  among  our 
documents  for  discussion,  notes  wide- 
spread uncertainty  and  unease  about  the 
global  economy.  This  unease  exists  in 
all  of  our  countries.  We  wrestle  with 
problems  of  our  balance  of  payments, 
of  the  supply  and  price  of  energy,  of 
hesitant  growth  and  unemployment. 
Calls  for  protectionism  increase  in  de- 
veloped countries  just  as  developing 
countries  need  to  export  more  to  meet 
current  needs  and  heavy  debt  burdens. 


Inflation  pursues  all  of  us  implacably. 

In  the  face  of  this  situation,  th> 
world  community  has  recognized  tha 
interdependence  is  not  a  phrase  or 
matter  of  political  choice  but  a  state 
ment  of  fact.  The  world's  economic 
problems  affect  all  of  us  and  cannot  b< 
solved  without  the  participation  of  al 
or  without  regard  for  the  interests  of  all 

Put  more  positively,  the  world' 
economic  progress,  for  the  rest  of  thi 
century,  is  linked  not  only  to  economic 
revival  in  developed  countries  but  t< 
the  realization  of  the  greatest  potentia 
for  growth  that  we  have  in  thi 
world — which  is  the  developing  coum 
tries.  The  development  of  that  potentia 
is  of  the  highest  priority  to  all  of  us.  II 
should  not  be  difficult  to  agree  on  . 
basic  outline  of  what  is  needed  to  ac 
complish  it.  President  Carter,  in  hi 
address  to  the  Congress  of  Venezuela 
spoke  of  five  steps  we  needed  to  take 
together: 

•  Increasing    capital    flow    to    de 
veloping  countries; 

•  Building    a    more    fair    and    morn 
open  trading  system; 

•  Moderating    disruptive    pric 
movements  in  the  world  economy: 

•  Developing  and  conserving  energ; 
sources;  and 

•  Strengthening    the    technologica 
capacities  of  the  developing  world. 

I  stress  the  words  "take  together' 
for  each  of  these  five  elements  entail; 
responsibilities  for  both  developed  anc 
developing  countries. 

We  are.  after  all,  working  to  f ac i  1  i 
tate    major    structural    changes    in    thi 


and  nonaligned — make  it  impossible  to 
impose  solutions  to  international 
problems  and  difficult  to  negotiate 
them.  Problems  of  strategy  are  par- 
ticularly great  as,  oftentimes,  the  so- 
lutions tend  to  be  perceived  by  many 
of  the  participants  as  discriminatory, 
intrusive,  and  patronizing — in  short, 
an  old  form  of  colonialism  disguised 
in  scientific  dress. 

We  also  have  a  problem  of 
priorities.  We  do  not  have  in  the  De- 
partment, nor  are  we  likely  soon  to 
acquire,  the  manpower  to  give  full 
time  and  attention  to  all  of  the  science 


ami  technology  issues  that  are  befon 
us.  Thus,  where  we  put  the  emphasi: 
is  a  matter  of  great  policy  importance. 
We  want  to  be  in  the  position  U 
make  these  decisions  based  on  the  bes 
available  fact  and  judgment.  That  i; 
where  we  depend  heavily  on  you  anc 
on  the  outside  scientific  communit) 
for  advice  and  evaluation.  The  mes- 
sage I  want  to  leave  with  you  is  a  ver> 
simple  one.  If  you  have  some  advice 
to  give,  or  suggestions  to  make,  don'i 
wait  to  be  asked.  We  need  your  help, 
perhaps  in  ways  we  haven't  ever 
thought  of  yet. 


October  1978 


57 


world  economy.  These  cannot  be  ac- 
complished through  rhetoric;  they  can- 
not be  forced  by  diplomats  or  leaders 
upon  people  who  do  not  understand 
them.  The  obligation  to  participate  in 
this  process  cannot  be  pressed  on  some 
in  the  name  of  guilt  for  the  past;  nor 
can  it  be  denied  by  others  through 
ideological  claims  of  innocence.  No 
nations  that  contribute  billions  to  death 
and  destruction  in  today's  world  can 
claim  innocence  before  the  hungry 
millions  who  could  be  fed  in  the  very 
areas  where  this  destruction  takes 
place.  The  sowing  of  seeds  of  destruc- 
tion, the  dropping  of  bombs,  the 
planting  of  landmines,  and  the  rain  of 
bullets  cannot  be  expected  to  produce  a 
harvest  of  blessings  for  anyone. 

Change  will  require  the  participation 
and  the  effective  contributions  of  the 
people  of  all  developed  and  developing 
countries.  These  changes  must  also  be 
based  on  mutual  interest;  they  must 
come  from  examining  what  we  can  do 
together.  We  all  must  be  flexible  about 
old  positions  and  programs  and  bring  a 
maximum  of  imagination  to  the  search 
of  new  solutions. 

I  would  pledge  to  you,  and  to  all 
here  present,  my  own  government's 
firm  intention  to  contribute  to  this  ef- 
fort. President  Carter  had  the  opportu- 
nity to  discuss  these  issues  during  his 
meeting  with  Latin  American  and 
Caribbean  leaders  in  Panama  last 
month  [June  16-17].  As  a  result.  I  can 
tell  you  that  my  government  is  com- 
mitted at  the  highest  political  level  to 
expanding  areas  of  agreement  and  con- 
vergence on  North-South  questions. 
The  leaders  of  the  industrialized  coun- 
tries who  are  meeting  in  Bonn  this 
month  [July  16-17]  will  devote  priority 
attention  to  this  theme. 

The  Committee  of  the  Whole 

Here  in  the  U.N.  system  our  respon- 
sibility is  to  constantly  improve  the 
mechanism  available  for  the  exchange 
of  views  and  the  search  for  solutions  to 
development  problems.  I  would  like  to 
turn  now  to  efforts  made  to  enhance 
these  capacities  in  four  different  ways; 
in  the  Committee  of  the  Whole, 
through  the  international  development 
strategy,  in  preparing  for  the  U.N. 
Conference  on  Science  and  Technology 
jfor  Development,  and  by  restructuring 
the  economic  and  social  sectors  of  the 
U.N.  system. 

When  the  Council  met  last  year,  the 
final  ministerial-level  meeting  of  the 
Paris  Conference  on  International  Eco- 
nomic Cooperation  had  just  ended.  In 
September  the  resumed  31st  session  of 
the  General  Assembly  met  to  assess  its 
results  and  decide  on  next  steps.  This 


session  produced  no  agreed  text.  But  it 
was  in  the  course  of  that  session  that  a 
general  awareness  arose  that  there  was 
a  missing  element  in  the  international 
system.  A  mechanism  had  to  be  de- 
vised to  bring  senior  policymaking  of- 
ficials together,  on  a  periodic  basis,  to 
exchange  views  on  the  world  economy 
and  on  unresolved  problems  and  issues. 
It  was  also  clear  that  this  had  to  be 
done  within  the  U.N.  system. 

Thereafter  at  the  32d  General  As- 
sembly each  government,  or  group  of 
states,  worked  in  its  own  way  to  find  a 
formula  to  meet  this  need.  After  a  good 
deal  of  work — characterized  throughout 
by  a  common  desire  to  succeed — a 
framework  for  the  dialogue  was 
reached  in  Resolution  32/174.  We  were 
proud  of  our  accomplishment.  But  I 
suggest  that  few  of  the  negotiators 
surmised  the  degree  to  which  this  was 
but  a  first  step,  and  that  the  new  flag- 
ship of  international  economic  dialogue 
would  be  sailing  in  uncharted  waters 
from  its  first  days.  We  are  fortunate  in 
having  so  skilled  a  helmsman  as  Mr. 
Idriss  Jazairy  of  Algeria  to  steer  her. 

How  was  the  new  committee  to  work 
and  implement  its  mandate?  The  human 
reaction  in  new  situations  is  to  cling  to 
what  one  knows — to  use  old  charts 
even  in  new  seas.  If  the  model  of  the 
Paris  conference  was  not  seen  as  par- 
ticularly pertinent,  other  familiar  con- 
ceptions soon  emerged.  The  conception 
of  the  developed  countries  began  with 
the  premise  that  the  management  of  the 
world  economy  had  indeed  become  a 
concern  of  developed  and  developing 
countries  alike.  From  this  came  the 
view,  or  at  least  the  hope,  that  such  a 
process  of  management  could  imply  not 
a  North-South  dialogue  across  the  table 
but  a  common  approach  to  common 
problems.  The  model  which  suggested 
itself  was  either  the  domestic  one  or, 
on  an  international  level,  that  of  the 
Organization  for  Economic  Coopera- 
tion and  Development  which  had  so 
long  proved  useful  as  a  forum  for  ex- 
changes of  views  working  among  de- 
veloped countries. 

The  hope  of  most  developed  coun- 
tries was  that  frank  exchanges  of  views 
among  policymaking  officials  would 
contribute  to  a  greater  understanding  of 
global  economic  problems  and  of  posi- 
tions on  outstanding  issues.  This,  in 
turn,  could  lead  to  a  greater  con- 
vergence of  views,  leading  to  consen- 
sus in  the  respective  specialized 
negotiating  forums.  Most  developing 
countries,  on  the  other  hand,  saw  in  the 
committees  not  only  an  opportunity  to 
exchange  views — but  also  to  obtain 
specific  commitments  from  the  de- 
veloped countries  on  outstanding  is- 
sues, commitments  that  would  be  re- 


corded in  a  final  text  to  be  agreed  to  by 
the  committee  itself  following  tradi- 
tional U.N.  patterns.  Without  such  a 
process,  the  premise  of  "joint  man- 
agement" seemed  to  ignore  a  great 
body  of  proposals  for  change  they  had 
made . 

When  the  committee  met  at  its  first 
substantive  session  in  May.  both  ap- 
proaches were  used.  There  were  ex- 
changes of  views  in  the  beginning 
which  we  believed  useful.  But  finally 
the  committee  had  begun  an  arduous 
effort  at  drafting  a  text.  Members  had 
little  occasion  for  a  general  exchange 
of  views  or  of  new  ideas.  Failure  to 
agree  on  such  a  text  attested  to  the 
difficulty  of  producing  common  lan- 
guage on  issues  on  which  true  substan- 
tive agreement  was  not  yet  possible. 
Most  of  us  left  with  the  conviction  that 
further  exploration  of  the  committee's 
means  of  operation  was  necessary.  We 
must  find  a  way  to  use  it  as  a  unique 
forum  that  replicates  neither  the  roles 
of  existing  U.N.  policy  bodies  in 
adopting  broad  resolutions  on  out- 
standing questions  nor  those  of  existing 
specialized  negotiating  forums. 

I  believe  we  can  succeed  if  we  bear 
four  realities  in  mind.  The  first  is  that 
the  overriding  purpose  of  the  commit- 
tee is  to  facilitate  solutions  to  prob- 
lems. The  second  is  that  such  solutions 
should  evolve  from  the  discussions  at  a 
high  level.  The  third,  perhaps  less  ob- 
vious than  the  first  two.  is  that  the 
ideas  and  possible  solutions  which  are 
suggested  in  this  discussion  must  have 
time  for  thorough  exploration  within 
governments.  If  we  are,  indeed,  seek- 
ing important  decisions  on  important 
problems,  we  cannot  expect  even  a 
minister  to  be  able  to  commit  his  gov- 
ernment without  such  exploration. 
Fourth,  the  end  product  of  this  process 
should  be  concrete  new  proposals  to  be 
put  forward  in  the  appropriate 
negotiating  bodies. 


Proposed    Approach    to    Committee 
Meetings 

We  have  given  much  thought  in  the 
U.S.  Government  as  to  how  these 
realities  could  be  reflected  in  a  process 
which  bridges  the  different  perceptions 
of  the  committee's  role.  I  can  indicate 
the  broad  outlines  of  one  possible  for- 
mula. 

At  the  next  and  subsequent  meetings 
of  the  Committee  of  the  Whole,  there 
would  be,  as  we  have  had  in  May,  a 
period  of  extensive  exchanges  of  views 
among  high-level  officials.  These  dis- 
cussions should  terminate  with  agree- 
ment on  a  list  of  a  few  selected  topics 
which    participating    governments — 


58 

developed  and  developing  alike — 
would  engage  themselves  to  explore, 
with  a  view  to  action  or  to  the  formu- 
lation of,  new  proposals  in  appropriate 
international  fora.  In  a  later  session  of 
the  committee  another  discussion  on 
these  topics  would  be  held,  to  see  what 
progress  had  been  made.  Although 
there  would  be  clearly  no  obligation  to 
change  positions  on  every  issue,  there 
would  be  an  obligation  for  reappraisal. 
Finally,  a  last  review  of  progress  on 
agreed  themes  could  be  made  at  the 
special  session  at  ministerial  level  in 
1980. 

Clearly,  the  key  to  the  success  of 
such  an  approach  is  in  making  the  right 
choices.  A  delegation's  proposals  for 
topics  for  reexamination  should  be 
based  on  a  realistic  assessment  of  its 
government's  capacity  for  flexibility. 
Where  there  seems  little  or  no  prospect 
for  movement  on  the  part  of  individual 
governments  or  groups,  it  would  be 
better  to  admit  it  from  the  start  and 
move  on  to  more  promising  areas. 

This  last  observation  also  raises  the 
question  of  the  choice  of  priorities 
among  subjects  of  discussion  foreseen 
for  future  meetings  of  the  committee. 
There  is  clearly  a  consensus  that  all  of 
the  major  problem  areas  relating  to  a 
new  international  economic  order 
should  be  discussed  during  the  lifetime 
of  the  committee.  However,  of  the 
various  topics  on  what  I  cannot  help 
but  think  is  an  over-ambitious  agenda 
for  the  September  meeting,  I  believe 
the  problem  of  food  and  agricultural 
development  seems  the  most  pressing, 
the  most  amenable  to  new  and  addi- 
tional efforts,  and  hence  the  most 
worthy  of  our  concentration. 

As  the  report  prepared  for  the  next 
meeting  of  the  committee  by  the  Food 
and  Agriculture  Organization  notes,  the 
long-term  problem  in  this  area  remains 
unchanged;  growth  in  agricultural  pro- 
duction in  the  developing  countries  as  a 
whole  has  fallen  short  of  expectations. 
I  have  noted  with  particular  dismay  the 
fact  that  in  62  countries,  representing 
43%  of  the  population  of  the  develop- 
ing world,  growth  in  agricultural  pro- 
duction between  1970  and  1977  has  not 
even  kept  pace  with  levels  of  popula- 
tion growth. 

My  very  first  address  to  this  body,  in 
the  spring  of  last  year,  attempted  to 
call  attention  to  the  problems  of  hunger 
and  famine.2  I  did  so  because  of  my 
conviction  that  my  own  countrymen,  at 
least,  would  find  it  difficult  to  conceive 
of  a  discussion  of  development  which 
ignores  the  400  million  people  of  the 
world  who  are  starving.  If  we  are  to 
gain  popular  support  for  the  adjust- 
ments required  in  a  process  of  struc- 
tural change  in  the  world  economy,  we 


cannot  put  these  people  in  a  second 
plane. 

This  is  a  human  problem,  but  it  is 
not  only  a  humanitarian  concern.  A 
country  cannot  expand  employment, 
especially  in  the  industrial  sector, 
without  the  food  to  feed  those  par- 
ticipating. Nor,  as  we  learn  from  the 
experience  of  the  early  1970's,  can  we 
hope  to  conquer  inflation  without 
eliminating  the  threat  of  critical  food 
shortages  and  the  major  price  increases 
which  accompany  them.  Food 
security — a  steady  supply  of  food  for 
all,  and  at  reasonable  prices — is  in  the 
interest  of  everyone.  Unlike  others, 
food  is  a  renewable  resource.  The  ex- 
pansion of  agricultural  production  not 
only  meets  basic  human  needs  but  is 
essential  to  national  efforts  to  combat 
inflation,  create  jobs,  and,  indeed  to 
develop  across  the  board.  It  is  clear 
that  a  country  can  hardly  plan  de- 
velopment when  much  of  its  needed 
foreign  exchange  must  go  to  pay  for 
emergency  food  imports.  This  key 
linkage  between  food  security  and  de- 
velopment is  recognized  in  the  foreign 
assistance  bill  now  before  the  U.S. 
Congress,  which  calls  for  a  worldwide 
cooperative  effort  to  overcome  the 
worst  aspects  of  absolute  poverty  and 
to  assure  self-reliant  growth  in  the  de- 
veloping countries  by  the  year  2000. 

The  greatest  potential  for  expanding 
food  production  is  in  the  developing 
countries.  It  is  a  matter  of  simple  eco- 
nomics that  the  developing  countries 
can  provide  the  greatest  marginal  re- 
turns on  the  utilization  of  scarce 
inputs — from  oil  products  to  fertilizers 
to  gasoline.  The  United  States  wishes 
to  make  a  maximum  contribution  to 
such  development.  In  the  coming 
weeks  [on  September  5,  1978 J,  Presi- 
dent Carter  will  announce  the  creation 
of  a  Special  Presidential  Commission 
on  World  Hunger,  which  will  tackle  all 
aspects  of  the  problem  of  food  security. 
The  appointment  of  Mr.  Sol  Linowitz, 
one  of  the  negotiators  of  the  newly 
ratified  Panama  Canal  treaties,  to  head 
the  commission  is  a  clear  indication 
that  real  results  are  expected  of  this 
new  body. 


International  Development  Strategy 

One  of  the  questions  in  which  last 
year's  General  Assembly  was  unable  to 
take  action  was  that  of  a  new  interna- 
tional development  strategy.  Even  the 
brief  discussion  that  took  place,  how- 
ever, revealed  the  need  to  take  what  we 
call  a  zero-based  approach  to  the  sub- 
ject. That  is,  we  should  begin  by  ask- 
ing ourselves  the  most  fundamental 
questions  as  to  the  uses  and  the  utility 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

of  a  development  strategy.  One  may 
well  reexamine  the  value  of  the  last 
international  development  strategy  and 
the  entire  review  and  appraisal  process 
which  went  with  it.  My  government 
does  not  see  this  as  a  model  for  the 
next  strategy. 

Since  the  adoption  of  the  last 
strategy,  the  international  community 
has  set  itself  upon  the  task  of  achieving 
a  new  and  more  just  international  eco- 
nomic order.  It  is  clear  that  any  new 
strategy  must  reflect  this  concept.  But 
how?  Should  every  element  on  which 
discussion  of  a  new  order  must 
focus — from  trade  to  monetary  affairs, 
from  the  conditions  of  technology 
transfer  to  shipping — be  reflected  in  a 
new  strategy  as  well?  If  so,  given  the 
divergence  of  views  which  remain  in 
these  many  areas,  we  are  not  likely  to 
be  able  to  agree  on  a  strategy  in  the 
relatively  short  time  remaining. 

This  might  suggest  that  a  new  de- 
velopment strategy  should  not  be 
synonymous  with  any  particular  vision 
of  the  new  international  economic 
order  but  complementary  and  suppor- 
tive of  the  evolutionary  process 
through  which  a  new  order  will  be  at- 
tained. In  other  words,  the  strategy 
might  address  itself  to  some  of  the 
problems,  or  linkages,  inside  the 
broader  concepts  of  a  new  order.  For 
example,  national  and  international 
goals  for  industrialization  presuppose  a 
labor  force  physically  and  education- 
ally fit  for  the  new  tasks  required  of  it; 
they  presuppose  also  adequate  food 
supplies  for  this  new  working  popula- 
tion and  adequate  means  of  bringing 
these  to  industrialized  areas.  Develop- 
ment goals  presuppose  solutions  to 
problems  of  housing  and  urban  de- 
velopment; they  require  that  attention 
be  given  to  the  problems  of  transporta- 
tion and  communications,  particularly 
in  Africa.  Clearly  the  link  between  the 
two  "decades"  cannot  be  overlooked. 
These  problems  should  not  be  allowed 
to  fall  between  the  boards  while  inter- 
national attention  is  focused  elsewhere. 

These  questions,  it  is  clear,  are 
qualitative  as  much,  if  not  more,  than 
they  are  quantitative.  My  delegation 
has  substantial  doubts  as  to  the  advisi- 
bility  of  applying  a  set  of  targets  across 
the  board  and  to  treating  developed  and 
developing  countries  as  uniform 
groups.  The  setting  of  such  targets  is 
difficult  even  when  left  to  national  au- 
thorities; to  negotiate  them  on  a 
worldwide  basis  is  to  enter  into  an 
exercise  which  may  bear  little  relation 
to  reality. 

Rather,  I  suggest  that  a  strategy 
might  better  concentrate  on  designating 
problems  and  exploring  the  means  to 
solve    them.    By    the    same    token, 


October  1978 

periodic  views  of  progress  would  not 
De  acromonious  effects  at  welding  re- 
ility  with  abstraction  but  exchanges  of 
jseful  experiences  whereby  one  coun- 
:ry  can  learn  from  another.  The  de- 
velopment strategy  too.  should  be  an 
evolving  concept. 

These  are  preliminary  reflections, 
and  there  will  be  time  to  consider  them 
n  the  months  to  come.  What  we  would 
ask  is  that  all  concerned  with  a  strategy 
jut  away  past  examples  and  begin  with 
he  basic  question  of  what  form  of 
strategy,  if  any,  can  serve  as  a  real 
implement,  and  support,  to  the  proc- 
:ss  of  achieving  a  new  international 
:conomic  order. 


U.N.  Conference  on 
Science  and  Technology 

In  about  1  year  from  now  we  will  be 
participating  in  the  U.N.  Conference 
jn  Science  and  Technology  for  De- 
velopment in  Vienna.  ECOSOC  has 
ecognized  the  central  importance  of 
he  theme  of  this  conference  in  desig- 
lating  it  a  priority  area  for  considera- 
ion.  This  stress  parallels  our  own 
/iew. 

President  Carter,  in  his  remarks  be- 
ore  the  Congress  of  Venezuela  on 
viarch  29  notes  that  the  development  of 
he  technological  capacities  of 
developing  countries  was  essential  to 
promote  their  self-reliance.  He  stressed 
)ur  intention  to  make  technical  and 
cientific  cooperation  a  key  element  in 
our  relations  with  developing  countries 
and  pledged  to  work  to  this  end  through 
he  United  Nations  and  through  private 
and  public  institutions.  He  proposed 
:he  creation  of  a  U.S.  foundation  for 
:echnological  cooperation  to  facilitate 
jur  efforts.  We  hope  that  the  process  of 
:reating  this  foundation  will  be  well 
advanced  by  the  time  the  conference 
:onvenes. 

It  is  in  this  spirit  that  our  own  prep- 
arations for  the  conference  are  pro- 
gressing. We  hope,  through  our 
national  paper,  to  share  our  own  ex- 
periences, both  in  the  development  and 
in  the  application  of  technology,  with 
the  international  community.  We  have 
been  impressed  with  serious  examina- 
tion of  concrete  needs  and  problems 
which  the  preparatory  period  has  suc- 
ceeded in  promoting,  through  the  prep- 
aration of  national  and  regional  papers, 
and  the  consideration  and  selection  of 
illustrative  subject  areas.  It  is  our  hope 
that  further  work  on  the  conference  and 
on  the  program  of  action  will  be 
grounded  on  the  fruits  of  this  valuable 
experience.  In  this  way,  we  can  be 
confident  that  the  theme  of  science  and 
technology  for  development  will  not  be 
a  subject  for  the  attention  of  techno- 


crats but  a  source  of  improvement  in 
the  lives  of  men  and  women  and  a 
means  to  greater  self-reliance  in  de- 
veloping countries. 

Restructuring  Economic  and 
Social  Sectors 

Now  I  would  return  to  where  I 
began,  in  calling  the  Council's  atten- 
tion to  the  need  to  act  speedily  in  fol- 
lowing up  on  the  historic  step  the  Gen- 
eral Assembly  took  last  year  in  passing 
Resolution  32/197  on  restructuring  the 
economic  and  social  sectors  of  the 
U.N.  system. 

We  look  forward  to  participating  in 
informal  discussions  on  this  subject  in 
the  course  of  this  session  of  the  Coun- 
cil. These  consultations  will  have  many 
tasks.  The  one  on  which  the  most  ex- 
changes have  already  been  held  is  the 
implementation  of  the  chapter  con- 
cerning ECOSOC.  My  delegation  con- 
tinues to  believe  that  a  significant  revi- 
sion of  the  operating  procedures  of  the 
Council  and  its  various  subsidiary  or- 
gans is  necessary  for  it  to  regain  and 
fully  exercise  the  role  foreseen  for  it  in 
the  charter. 

The  ECOSOC  can  and  should  play  a 
vital  role  in  helping  the  Second 
[Economic  and  Financial]  and  Third 
[Social,  Humanitarian  and  Cultural] 
Committees  of  the  General  Assembly 
to  better  relate  their  work  and  thereby 
reflect  the  fundamental  fact  that  eco- 
nomic and  social  progress  are  insepara- 
ble. In  the  1980's  a  restructured 
ECOSOC  should  also  be  ready  to  fulfill 
the  very  first  of  the  responsibilities 
listed,  as  item  1(A)  in  the  recommen- 
dations, namely  to  serve  as  the  central 
forum  for  the  discussion  of  interna- 
tional economic  and  social  issues  of  a 
global  or  interdisciplinary  nature  and 
the  formulation  of  policy  recommenda- 
tions thereon  addressed  to  member 
states  and  to  the  U.N.  system  as  a 
whole. 

But,  if  ECOSOC  is  to  perform  these 
general  policy  functions  well,  it  must 
also  find  a  way  of  streamlining  its  on- 
going work  done  by  expert  bodies, 
committees,  and  commissions.  The 
direct  assumption  of  responsibilities  for 
the  work  of  some  committees  and 
commissions  in  subject-oriented  ses- 
sion provides  a  means  of  doing  so  and 
there  is  general  agreement  on  that 
principle. 

We  are  still  not  sure,  however, 
whether  this  can  be  converted  to 
agreement  on  specifics.  For,  when  spe- 
cific bodies  are  discussed,  a  kind  of 
protective  instinct  emerges.  There  is  a 
fear  that  if  the  work  done  in  these  is 
assumed  directly  by  the  Council, 
something    will    be    "lost,"    that   the 


59 

transfer  of  functions  represents  a  form 
of  demotion.  These  fears  exist  within 
all  governments,  sometimes  confined 
to  concern  for  one  body,  sometimes  for 
many.  The  problem  is  that  if  these 
reservations  are  added  together,  the  re- 
sult can  only  be  the  maintenance  of  the 
status  quo.  Let  us  hope,  therefore,  that 
all  can  agree  to  give  the  new  approach 
a  chance.  Allowing  for  a  review  of  the 
new  system  after  its  first  2  years  seems 
a  better  way  of  meeting  legitimate  con- 
cerns than  a  consensus  in  the  negative. 

Finally,  a  word  about  two  proposals 
with  which  my  delegation  has  been 
closely  associated  in  the  past.  Follow- 
ing on  our  initiatives  at  the  last  two 
summer  sessions  of  the  ECOSOC.  I 
wish  first  to  turn  to  the  work  underway 
on  the  problem  of  corrupt  practices, 
particularly  illicit  payments  or  bribery, 
in  international  commercial  transac- 
tions. My  government  continues  to 
place  high  priority  on  the  successful 
conclusion  of  this  work,  as  I  think  we 
all  agree  that  such  practices  corrupt 
national  institutions,  twist  the  process 
of  economic  decisionmaking,  distort 
the  normal  flow  of  goods  and  services, 
raise  their  costs  to  the  consumer,  and, 
thus,  must  be  seen  as  a  significant 
contribution  to  worldwide  inflation. 

We  are  pleased  with  the  progress 
made  in  the  intergovernmental  working 
group  on  corrupt  practices,  especially 
in  its  last  session,  and  with  the  active 
and  constructive  participation  of  both 
developed  and  developing  countries. 
We  are  gratified,  too,  at  the  endorse- 
ment given  to  the  work  of  the  group  by 
the  Commission  on  Transnational  Cor- 
porations at  its  recent  session.  The 
working  group  has  significantly  nar- 
rowed differences  on  key  issues,  so  we 
are  ready  to  enter  a  new  phase  of 
activity. 

Pursuant  to  the  recommendations  of 
the  working  group,  my  delegation  is 
prepared  to  introduce  a  resolution  for 
adoption  by  this  session  of  the  Council 
that  will  convoke  a  diplomatic  confer- 
ence to  adopt  an  international  conven- 
tion dealing  with  illicit  payments  and 
create  a  preparatory  committee  to  lay 
the  groundwork  for  that  conference. 
We  look  forward  to  discussing  our 
proposal  with  other  delegations. 

One  of  the  concepts  which  emerged 
from  the  seventh  special  session  was 
that  of  a  network  for  the  exchange  of 
technological  information.  The  net- 
work was  foreseen  as  a  means  to  pro- 
vide users  of  technology,  particularly 
developing  countries,  with  the  means 
of  finding  all  possible  sources  to  meet 
their  needs,  in  any  area.  It  could  be 
described  as  an  international  directory 
of  services  or  a  directory  to  directories. 


60 

The  first  key  steps  have  been  taken 
in  the  network.  The  interagency  task 
force  created  in  1975  has  attested  to  the 
feasibility  of  the  basic  concept;  one  of 
its  future  key  components,  the  United 
Nations  Industrial  Development  Or- 
ganization's industrial  technological 
information  bank,  is  on  the  road  to 
becoming  operational,  through  agree- 
ment on  first  pilot  areas.  At  the  32d 
General  Assembly,  a  consensus  resolu- 
tion, 32/178,  sponsored  by  a  host  of 
countries  from  all  continents,  provided 
for  the  presentation  of  further  concrete 
proposals  to  the  34th  General  Assem- 
bly. This  resolution  did  not,  however, 
elaborate  on  specific  organizational 
steps  to  be  taken  to  arrive  at  this  end. 
My  delegation  hopes  that  in  the  course 
of  this  session  we  can  see  more  clearly 
how  the  concrete  implementation  of 
this  resolution  will  take  place.  □ 


'Introductory  paragraph  omitted;  text  from 
USUN  press  71  of  July  11,  1978. 

2For  text  of  address,  see  Bulletin  of  May 
16,  1977.  p.  494. 


TREATIES: 

Current  \vt ions 

MULTILATERAL 

Aviation 

Convention  on  offenses  and  certain  other  acts 
committed  on  board  aircraft.  Done  at  Tokyo 
Sept.  14.  1963.  Entered  into  force  Dec.  4. 
1969.  TIAS  6768. 

Accession    deposited:    Sri    Lanka,    May    30. 
1978. 

Protocol  on  the  authentic  quadrilingual  text  of 
the  convention  on  international  civil  aviation 
(Chicago.  1944)  (TIAS  1591),  with  annex. 
Done  at  Montreal  Sept.  30.  1977.' 
Acceptance  deposited :  Niger,  Aug.  24. 
1978. 

Coffee 

International  coffee  agreement    1976.  with  an 
nexes.   Done  at  London  Dec.  3.    1975.   En- 
tered into  force  provisionally.  Oct.    I.   1976. 
definitively.  Aug.   I.  1977    TIAS  8683 
Ratification  deposited:    Liberia,   Aug.    28, 
1978. 

Cultural  Property 

Convention  on  the  means  of  prohibiting  and 
preventing  the  illicit  import,  export,  and 
transfer  of  ownership  of  cultural  property. 
Adopted  at  Paris  Nov.  14,  1970,  at  the  16th 
session  of  the  UNESCO  General  Confer- 
ence. Entered  into  force  Apr.  24.  1972. 2 
Acceptance  deposited:  Oman.  June  2.  1978. 

Customs 

Convention  concerning  the  International  Union 


for  the  Publication  of  Customs  Tariffs,  reg- 
ulations for  the  execution  of  the  convention, 
and  final  declarations  Signed  at  Brussels 
July  5,  1890.  Entered  into  force  Apr  I. 
1891.  26  Stat.  1518. 
Notification   oj  denunciation   deposited 

Peru.  July  26.  1978;  effective  Apr.  I,  1982. 
Protocol  modifying  the  convention  signed  at 
Brussels  July  5.  1890.  relating  to  the  crea- 
tion of  an  International  Union  for  the  Publi- 
cation of  Customs  Tariffs.  Done  at  Brussels 
Dec.  16.  1949.  Entered  into  force  May  5. 
1950;  for  the  U.S.  Sept.  15,  1957.  TIAS 
3922. 
Notification   oj  denunciation   deposited: 

Peru.   July   26.    1978;   effective   Apr.    I. 

1982. 
Convention  establishing  a  Customs  Coopera- 
tion Council,  with  annex.  Done  at  Brussels 
Dec.  15.  1950.  Entered  into  force  Nov.  4. 
19<2;  for  the  U.S.  Nov.  5.  1970.  TIAS 
7063. 
Accession  deposited:    Lesotho.   Aug.   2. 

1978. 

Diplomatic  Relations 

Vienna  convention   on   diplomatic   relations. 
Done  at  Vienna  Apr.   18.   1961.  Entered  into 
force  Apr.   24.   1964;  for  the  U.S.   Dec.    13. 
1972.  TIAS  7502. 
Accession  deposited    Syria.  Aug.  4.  1978. 

Energy 

Memorandum  of  understanding  concerning  co- 
operative information  exchange  relating  to 
the  development  of  solar  heating  and  cool- 
ing systems  in  buildings.  Formulated  at 
Odeillo.  France.  Oct.  1^*,  1974.  Entered 
into  force  July  I,  1975.  TIAS  8202. 
Signature:  Central  Organization  for  Applied 
Scientific  Research  (TNO).  Netherlands. 
Apr.  28.  1978. 

Implementing  agreement  for  a  program  of  re- 
search and  development  on  advanced  heat 
pump  systems,  with  annex.  Done  at  Paris 
July  27.  1978.  Entered  into  force  July  27. 
1978. 

Implementing  agreement  for  a  program  of  re- 
search and  development  for  energy  conser- 
vation in  cement  manufacture,  with  annex. 
Done  at  Paris  July  27.  1978.  Entered  into 
force  July  27.  1978. 

Finance 

Articles  of  agreement  of  the  International 
Bank  for  Reconstruction  and  Development 
formulated  at  the  Bretton  Woods  Conference 
July  1-22.  1944.  Opened  for  signature  at 
Washington  Dec.  27,  1945.  Entered  into 
force  Dec.  27.  1945.  TIAS  1502. 
Signature  and  acceptance:  Surinam.  June 
27,  1978. 

Human  Rights 

American  convention  on  human  rights.   ("Pact 

of   San    Jose.    Costa    Rica")    Done   at    San 

Jose  Nov    22.   1469    Entered  into  force  July 

18.  1978.2 

Ratifications   deposited.    Jamaica.   Aug.   7. 
I978;3  Peru.  July  28.  1978. 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Patents 

Patent  cooperation  treaty,  with  regulations. 
Done  at  Washington  June  19.  1970.  Entered 
into  force  Jan.  24.  1978  (except  for  Chapter 
II).  Chapter  II  entered  into  force  Mar.  29, 
1978.- TIAS  8733. 

Ratification    deposited:    Denmark.    Sept.     1, 
1978. 

Patents,  Microorganisms 

Budapest  treaty  on  the  international  recogni- 
tion of  the  deposit  of  microorganisms  for  the 
purpose  of  patent  procedure,  with  regula- 
tions. Done  at  Budapest  Apr.  28.  1977. ' 
Ratification  deposited:  Bulgaria.  July  19, 
1978. 

Pollution 

Protocol  relating  to  intervention  on  the  high 
seas  in  cases  of  pollution  by  substances 
other  than  oil.  Done  at  London  Nov.  2, 
1973.' 

Instrument  of  ratification  signed  by  the 
President:  Aug.  3.  1978. 

Postal 

Constitution  of  the  Universal  Postal  Union 
with  final  protocol,  general  regulations  with 
final  protocol,  and  convention  with  final 
protocol  and  regulations  of  execution.  Done 
at  Vienna  July  10.  1964.  Entered  into  force 
Jan.  1,  1966.  TIAS  5881 
Ratification  deposited:  EI  Salvador.  Jan.  9, 

1978. 
Accession   deposited:    Djibouti.    Nov.    18. 

1977. 
Additional  protocol  to  the  constitution  of  the 
Universal  Postal  Union  with  final  protocol 
signed  at  Vienna  July  10.  1964.  general 
regulations  with  final  protocol  and  annex. 
Signed  at  Tokyo  Nov.  14.  1969.  Entered 
into  force  July  I,  1971.  except  for  article  V. 
which  entered  into  force  Jan.  1.  1971.  TIAS 
7150. 
Ratification   deposited:    El   Salvador.   Apr. 

19.  1978. 
lecession   deposited:    Djibouti.   Mar.    21, 

1978. 
Second  additional  protocol  to  the  constitution 
of  the  Universal  Postal  Union  of  July  10, 
1964,  general  regulations  with  final  protocol 
and  annex,  and  the  universal  postal  conven- 
tion with  final  protocol  and  detailed  regula- 
tions Done  at  Lausanne  July  5.  1974.  En- 
tered into  force  Jan  1 .  1 976.  TIAS  823  1 . 
Ratifications  deposited:   Chad.   Mar.   23, 

1978;  Chile.  Mar.  20.   1978;  El  Salvador, 

Apr.    19.    1978;   Yemen   Arab   Republic. 

May  26.  1978. 
Accession  deposited:   Djibouti.   Mar.    21. 

1978. 
Money  orders  and  postal   travelers'  checks 
agreement,   with  detailed  regulations.   Done 
at  Lausanne  July  5.  1974.  Entered  into  force 
Jan.  1,  1976.  TIAS  8232. 
Ratifications   deposited:   Chad.   Mar.   23, 

1978;  Chile.  Mar    20.   1978;  El  Salvador. 

Apr     19.    1978;   Yemen   Arab   Republic, 

May  26,  1978. 
Accession   deposited:    Djibouti.    Mar.    21. 

1978. 


: 


ktober  1978 


61 


tional  protocol  to  the  constitution  of  the 
Postal  Union  of  the  Americas  and  Spain,  gen- 
eral regulations,  regulations  governing  the 
International  Office  and  the  Transfer  Office, 
and  convention  with  final  protocol  and  de- 
tailed regulations.  Done  at  Lima  Mar.  18, 
1976.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  1,  1976,  except 
for  article  107,  paragraph  1  of  the  general 
regulations  which  entered  into  force  Mar.  18, 
1976. 4 
Ratification  deposited:  El  Salvador.  July  31, 

1978. 

oney  order  agreement  and  final   protocol  of 
the  Postal  Union  of  the  Americas  and  Spain 
Done  at  Lima  Mar.    18.    1976.   Entered  into 
force  Oct.  I,  1976." 
Ratification  deposited:  El  Salvador,  July  31, 

1978. 

reel  post  agreement,  final  protocol,  and  de- 
tailed regulations  of  the  Postal  Union  of  the 
Americas  and  Spain.  Done  at  Lima  Mar.  18. 
1976.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  1 .  1976." 
Ratification  deposited:  El  Salvador,  July  3  1 , 

1978. 

(blications 

itutes  of  the  International  Center  for  the 
Registration  of  Serial  Publications.  Done  at 
°aris  Nov.  14,  1974,  and  amended  Oct.  11 
ind  12.  1976.  Entered  into  force  Jan.  21, 
1976;  provisionally  for  the  U.S.  Mar.  31. 
1978. 

Accessions  deposited:  Belgium.  Sept.  29. 
1976;  Argentina  and  Federal  Republic  of 
Germany,  Oct.  5,  1976;  Libya,  Jan.  6. 
1977;  Brazil.  Oct.  25.  1977;  Hungary. 
Dec.  27.  1977;  U.K..  Jan.  20.  1978; 
Nigeria,  Feb.  1.  1978.  Spain.  Mar.  9, 
1978;  Canada,  Mar.  28.  1978;  Finland, 
Apr   3.  1978;  Poland,  Apr.  4.  1978. 

cial  Discrimination 

ernational  convention  on  the  elimination  of 
ill  forms  of  racial  discrimination.   Done  at 
•lew  York  Dec.  21,  1965.  Entered  into  force 
an.  4,  1969. 2 
Signature:  Korea,  Aug.  8,  1978. 

ifugees 

otocol  relating  to  the  status  of  refugees.  Done 
it  New  York  Jan.  31,  1967.  Entered  into  force 
Dct.   4,    1967;   for   the   U.S.    Nov.    1.    1968. 
HAS  6577. 
Accession  deposited:  Spain.  Aug.  14.  1978. 

fety  at  Sea 

ernational  convention  for  the  safety  of  life 
it  sea,  1974,  with  annex.  Done  at  London 
Vov.  1.  1974. ' 

Instrument  of  acceptance  signed  by  the 
President:  Aug.  15,  1978. 

gar 

ernational  sugar  agreement,   1977,  with  an- 
lexes.   Done  at  Geneva  Oct.   7,    1977.   En- 
ered  into  force  provisionally,  Jan.  1,  1978. 
Ratification  deposited:   Argentina.  Aug.   4, 

1978. 
Accession  deposited:   German   Democratic 

Republic,  Aug.  4,  1978. 

rrorism 

nvention  on  the  prevention  and  punishment 


of  crimes  against  internationally  protected 
persons,  including  diplomatic  agents.  Done 
at  New  York  Dec.  14.  1973.  Entered  into 
force  Feb.  20,  1977.  T1AS  8532. 
Ratification  deposited:  Romania.  Aug.  15. 
1978. 

War 

Protocol  additional  to  the  Geneva  conventions 
of  12  Aug.  1949,  and  relating  to  the  protec- 
tion of  victims  of  international  armed  con- 
flicts (protocol  I),  with  annexes.  Done  at 
Geneva  June  8.  1977.  Enters  into  force  Dec. 

7.  1978. 

Ratification  deposited:   Ghana,   Feb.    28, 

1978. 
Signature:  Yemen  (Sana),  Feb.  14,  1978. 
Protocol  additional  to  the  Geneva  conventions 
of  12  Aug.  1949.  and  relating  to  the  protec- 
tion of  victims  of  noninternational   armed 
conflicts  (protocol  II).  Done  at  Geneva  June 

8,  1977.  Enters  into  force  Dec.  7,  1978. 
Ratification   deposited:   Ghana,   Feb.    28, 

1978. 
Signature:  Yemen  (Sana),  Feb.  14,  1978. 

Wheat 

Protocol  modifying  and  further  extending  the 
wheat  trade  convention  (part  of  the  interna- 
tional wheat  agreement)  1971  (TIAS  7144). 
Done  at  Washington  Apr.  26,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  June  24.  1978,  with  respect  to 
certain  provisions;  July  1,  1978,  with  respect 
to  other  provisions. 
Ratifications  deposited:    Iraq.   Aug.    25, 

1978;  Ireland  (with  statement).  Aug.    18. 

1978;  Mauritius.  Aug.  30.  1978. 
Declaration   of  provisional  application   de- 
posited: Nigeria,  Aug.  18.  1978. 
Protocol  modifying  and  further  extending  the 
food  aid  convention  (part  of  the  interna- 
tional wheat  agreement)   1971   (TIAS  7144). 
Done  at  Washington  Apr.  26,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  June   24,    1978,    with   respect   to 
certain   provisions;   July    1,    1978.   with   re- 
spect to  other  provisions. 
Ratification  deposited:   Ireland,   Aug.    18, 

1978. 


BILATERAL 

Australia 

Agreement  relating  to  peaceful  nuclear  coopera- 
tion. Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Can- 
berra Aug.  4  and  7.  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  7.  1978. 

Memorandum  of  agreement  relating  to  the 
provision  of  parts  and  services  for  air  navi- 
gation equipment.  Signed  at  Washington 
July  19  and  Aug.  11.  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  11,  1978. 

Bahamas 

Agreement  continuing  in  force  between  the 
U.S.  and  the  Bahamas  the  extradition  treaty 
of  Dec.  22.  1931  (TS  849),  between  the 
U.S.  and  the  U.K.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Nassau  and  Washington  Mar.  7, 
June  19,  and  Aug.  17.  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  17,  1978. 


Bangladesh 

Agreement  for  a  food  for  development  pro- 
gram, relating  to  the  agreement  of  Oct.  4, 
1974  (TIAS  7949),  with  annexes  and  min- 
utes. Signed  at  Dacca  Aug.  2.  1978.  En- 
tered into  force  Aug.  2.  1978. 

Agreement  concerning  the  establishment  of  a 
Peace  Corps  program  in  Bangladesh.  Signed 
at  Washington  July  13.  1978.  Entered  into 
force  July  13,  1978. 

Bolivia 

Treaty   on   the   execution   of  penal   sentences. 
Signed  at  La  Paz  Feb.  10,  1978. 
Ratifications  exchanged:  Aug.  17.  1978. 
Entered  into  force:  Aug.  17.  1978. 
Proclaimed  by  the  President:    Aug.    30. 
1978. 

Canada 

Treaty   on   the   execution   of  penal   sentences. 
Signed   at   Washington   Mar.    2.    1977.    En- 
tered into  force  July  19,  1978. 
Proclaimed  by  the  President:  Sept.  2,  1978. 

Memorandum  of  agreement  relating  to  the 
provision  of  flight  inspection  services. 
Signed  Mar.  10  and  Apr.  1,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Apr.  1.  1978. 

Colombia 

Agreement  relating  to  trade  in  cotton,  wool, 
and  manmade  fiber  textiles  and  textile  prod- 
ucts, with  annexes.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Bogota  Aug.  3,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  3.  1978;  effective  July  1,  1978. 

Denmark 

Agreement  relating  to  jurisdiction  over  vessels 
utilizing  the  Louisiana  offshore  oil  port. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Washing- 
ton Aug.  17  and  22,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  22,  1978. 

Egypt 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales 
of  agricultural  commodities  of  Dec.  7. 
1977.  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at 
Cairo  Aug.  3.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug. 
3,  1978. 

France 

Memorandum  of  understanding  concerning  a 
cooperative  program  in  science  and  technol- 
ogy, with  appendices.  Signed  at  Paris  May 
30.  1978.  Entered  into  force  May  30,  1978. 

Iceland 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  Jan. 
27.  1945  (59  Stat.  1464),  relating  to  air 
transport  services.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Washington  Aug.  17,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Aug.  17.  1978. 

India 

Understanding  relating  to  trade  in  tropical 
products,  with  lists.  Effected  by  exchange 
of  letters  at  Geneva  July  26.  1978.  Entered 
into  force  July  26.  1978. 

Ireland 

Memorandum  of  agreement  relating  to  flight 
inspection  services.  Signed  at  Washington 
and  Dublin  March  10  and  Aug.  4,  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Aug.  4.  1978. 


62 

Israel 

Protocol  relating  to  the  U.S. -Israel  air  transport 
agreement  of  June  13,  1950  (TIAS  2610). 
Signed  at  Washington  Aug.  16,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Aug.  16,  1978. 

Japan 

Agreement  modifying  and  extending  the  ar- 
rangement of  Sept.  27,  1974.  as  modified 
(TIAS  7934.  8181,  8644)  concerning  trade 
in  cotton,  wool,  and  manmade  fiber  textiles. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Washing- 
ton Aug.  28,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug. 
28.  1978. 

Agreement  concerning  payments  from 
Japanese  utility  companies  for  uranium  en- 
richment services.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Washington  Sept.  1,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Sept.  1 .  1978. 

Korea 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales 
of  agricultural  commodities  of  July  21.  1977 
(TIAS  8821).  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes 
at  Seoul  July  18.  1978.  Entered  into  force 
July  18,  1978. 

Mexico 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  May 
23,  1978,  relating  to  additional  cooperative 
arrangements  to  curb  the  illegal  traffic  in 
narcotics.  Effected  by  exchange  of  letters  at 
Mexico  July  11  and  13,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  July  13,  1978 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  June  2. 
1977,  as  amended  Sept.  28.  1977  (TIAS 
8952).  relating  to  additional  cooperative  ar- 
rangements to  curb  the  illegal  traffic  in  nar- 
cotics. Effected  by  exchange  of  letters  at 
Mexico  July  20  and  26,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  July  26,  1978. 

Minute  259  of  the  International  Boundary  and 
Water  Commission  amending  and  extending 
minute  240,  as  amended  and  extended  (TIAS 
8712),  relating  to  emergency  deliveries  of 
Colorado  River  waters  for  use  in  Tijuana. 
Adopted  at  El  Paso  July  27.  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Aug.  11,  1978. 

Agreement  relating  to  the  provision  and  utili- 
zation of  aircraft  to  curb  the  illegal  traffic  in 
narcotics.  Effected  by  exchange  of  letters  at 
Mexico  Aug.  23,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  23,  1978. 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  June  2, 

1977.  as  amended  Sept.  28,  1977  (TIAS 
8952).  and  July  20  and  26,  1978,  relating  to 
additional  cooperative  arrangements  to  curb 
the  illegal  traffic  in  narcotics.  Effected  by 
exchange  of  letters  at  Mexico  Aug.   24, 

1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  24.  1978. 
Agreement  relating  to  computerization  of  in- 
formation in  support  of  programs  against  il 
legal  narcotics  production  and  traffic  Ef- 
fected by  exchange  of  letters  at  Mexico 
Aug.  25,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  25, 
1978. 

Philippines 

Agreement  for  sales  of  agricultural  com 
modifies.  Signed  at  Manila  Aug.  24,  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Aug    24,  1978. 


Saudi  Arabia 

Project  agreement  for  technical  cooperation  in 
science  and  technology,   with  appendices. 
Signed  at  Riyadh  Feb.  29.  1976. 
Entered  into  force:  Aug.  7,  1978. 

Project  agreement  for  technical  cooperation  in 
customs  administration  and  training.  Signed 
at  Riyadh  and  Washington  June  1  1  and  22. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  10.  1978. 

Project  agreement  for  technical  cooperation  in 
supply  management  development,  with  at- 
tachments. Signed  at  Riyadh  July  13.  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Aug.  10.  1978. 

Sierra  Leone 

Agreement  for  sales  of  agricultural  com- 
modities. Signed  at  Freetown  Aug.  31, 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 

Sweden 

Agreement  relating  to  jurisdiction  over  vessels 
utilizing  the  Louisiana  offshore  oil  port. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Washing- 
ton Aug.  17  and  22,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  22,  1978. 

U.S.S.R. 

Agreement  amending  and  extending  the 
agreement  of  June  19.  1973  (TIAS  7652). 
on  cooperation  in  the  field  of  transportation. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Washing- 
ton June  19.  1978.  Entered  into  force  June 
19.  1978. 

United  Arab  Emirates 

Agreement  amending  and  extending  the 
agreement  of  July  10,  1976  (TIAS  8408). 
for  technical  assistance  in  connection  with  a 
project  for  collecting  and  conserving  water 
supplies  from  surface  runoff,  with  annexes. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  letters  at  Abu 
Dhabi  June  24  and  July  25,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  July  25,  1978;  effective  July  1, 
1978. 

United  Nations 

Agreement  relating  to  a  procedure  for  U.S. 
income  tax  reimbursement.  Effected  by  ex- 
change of  letters  at  New  York  June  30  and 
July  12.  1978.  Entered  into  force  July  12. 
1978. 

Zaire 

Agreement  regarding  the  consolidation  and  re- 
scheduling of  payments  due  under  PL  480 
Title  I  agricultural  commodity  agreements, 
with  annexes.  Signed  at  Washington  July 
19.  1978.  Entered  into  force  July  19.  1978. 

Zambia 

Agreement  for  sales  of  agricultural  com- 
modities Signed  at  Lusaka  Aug.  4.  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Aug.  4.  1978.  □ 


1  Not  in  force. 

2 Not  in  force  for  the  U.S. 

'With  declaration. 

4 Provisionally  in  force  for  the  U.S. 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 

PRESS  RELEASES: 

Department  of  State 


August  1 7 -September  8 

Press  releases  may  be  obtained  from  the  Of 
fice  of  Press  Relations.  Department  of  State 
Washington.  DC   20520. 


Subject 


*336 


*337 


*338 


*339 


*340 


3/17 


8/23 


8/24 


8/28 


8/29 


•341 


8/30 


*342 


*343 


*344 


*345 


8/30 


9/1 


9/7 


9/8 


*346 


*347 


9/8 


9/8 


i 

! 

« 


State  Department  opens  De 

troit  passport  agency. 
International   Telegraph    ani 
Telephone    Consultativi 
Committee  (CCITT),  stud; 
group  1 ,  Sept  .21. 

Nicholas  A.  Veliotes  swon 
in  as  Ambassador  to  Jordai 
(biographic  data). 

U.S.,  Iceland  amend  ai 
transport  agreement.  Aug 
17. 

Shipping  Coordinating  Com 
mittee  (SCC),  Subcom 
mittee  on  Safety  of  Life 
Sea  (SOLAS),  panel  o 
bulk  cargoes  of  the  work 
ing  group  on  subdivisio 
and  stability,  Sept.  21 . 

ACDA  Director  Paul  C 
Warnke  and  Ambassador  t 
the  U.S.S.R.  Malcolr 
Toon  to  address  conferenc 
on  U.S.  security  and  th 
Soviet  challenge.  Philadel 
phia,  Sept.  15. 

George  M.  Lane  sworn  in  a 
Ambassador  to  the  Yeme 
Arab  Republic  (biographi 
data). 

U.S..   Mexico  amend  textil   1' 
agreement.    Apr.    26    am 
29. 

US  nominations  to  the  In 
ternational  Court  of  Jus 
tice. 

ACDA  Director  Paul  C 
Warnke  and  Leslie  H 
Gelb.  Director  of  th. 
Bureau  of  Politico-Militar; 
Affairs,  to  address  confer 
ence  on  U.S.  security  am 
the  Soviet  challenge 
Tampa,  Sept.  26. 

Ambassador  Warnke  and  Mr 
Gelb  to  address  confer 
ence,  Miami.  Sept.  26. 

International    Radio    Consul 
tative  Committee   (CCIR)  I 
study  group  5,  Oct.  6. 


i 


*  Not  printed  in  the  Bulletin. 


INDEX 


CTOBER  1978 
H)L.  78,  NO.  2019 

i-ms  Control 

lilancing   Nonproliferation   and   Energy   Secu- 
rity (Nye) 38 

Bit  il— The  Home  Stretch  (Warnke)    17 

lience    and    Technology — Their    Interaction 

(With  Foreign  Policy  (Benson) 54 

Is.  and  Soviet  Strategic  Capability  Through 

[the  Mid-1980's 24 

iiia.    Prospects    for    International    Action    on 

Natural  Rubber  (Katz) 26 

liina.  President  Carter's  News  Conference  of 

August  17  (excerpts) 12 

(immodities.   Prospects  for  International  Ac- 
tion on  Natural  Rubber  (Katz) 26 

(ingress 

.  Framework  for  Middle  East  Peace  (Begin, 

Carter,    Mondale,    Sadat,    joint    statement, 

Itexts    of   documents    and    accompanying 

(letters)   1 

!  ist-Favored-Nation    Tariff    Status    for    Hun- 
gary and  Romania  (Vest)  34 

j:rcotics  Control  Efforts  in  Central  America 

ind  the  Caribbean  (Linneman)    37 

;sident  Carter's  News  Conference  of  August 

!l7  (excerpts) 12 

S-    Relations    With    the    Pacific    Islands 

[Holbrooke) 43 

'veloping  Countries 

e    Role    of   ECOSOC    in    International    Eco- 
nomic Dialogue  (Young)    56 

;  ience    and    Technology — Their    Interaction 

With  Foreign  Policy  (Benson) 54 

orld  Population:  The  Silent  Explosion  —  Part 

1  (Fearey,  Giffler.  Green)   45 

onomics.  The  Role  of  ECOSOC  in  Interna- 
tional Economic  Dialogue  (Young)    56 

•ypt.    A   Framework   for   Middle   East   Peace 

(Begin,  Carter,  Mondale,  Sadat,  joint  state- 

;  ment.  texts  of  documents  and  accompanying 

;  letters)   1 

lergy.    Balancing    Nonproliferation    and 
Energy  Security  (Nye) 38 


Environment.  Science  and  Technology  — 
Their  Interaction  With  Foreign  Policy 
(Benson) 54 

Europe.  The  Potential  of  the  Helsinki 
Dialogue  (Nimetz) 29 

Human  Rights.  The  Potential  of  the  Helsinki 
Dialogue  (Nimetz) 29 

Hungary.  Most-Favored-Nation  Tariff  Status 
for  Hungary  and  Romania  (  Vest)   34 

Israel.  A  Framework  for  Middle  East  Peace 
(Begin.  Carter,  Mondale,  Sadat,  joint  state- 
ment, texts  of  documents  and  accompanying 
letters)    1 

Latin  America  and  the  Carribbean.  Narcot- 
ics Control  Efforts  in  Central  America  and 
the  Caribbean  (Linneman)  37 

Middle  East.  President  Carter's  News  Confer- 
ence of  August  17  (excerpts) 12 

Military  Affairs.  President  Carter's  News 
Conference  of  August  I  7  (excerpts) 12 

Monetary  Affairs.  President  Carter's  News 
Conference  of  August  17  (excerpts) 12 

Namibia.  Peaceful  Solutions  to  Conflicts  in 
Namibia  and  Southern  Rhodesia  (Chris- 
topher)      15 

Narcotics.  Narcotics  Control  Efforts  in  Cen- 
tral America  and  the  Caribbean  (Linne- 
man)    37 

North  Atlantic  Treaty  Organization.  Presi- 
dent Carter's  News  Conference  of  August  17 
(excerpts) 12 

Nuclear  Policy 

Balancing  Nonproliferation  and  Energy  Secu- 
rity (Nye) 38 

Science  and  Technology — Their  Interaction 
With  Foreign  Policy  (Benson) 54 

Oceans.  Science  and  Technology — Their  In- 
teraction With  Foreign  Policy  (Benson)    ....   54 

Pacific.  US  Relations  With  the  Pacific  Is- 
lands (Holbrooke)    43 

Petroleum.  President  Carter's  News  Confer- 
ence of  August  17  (excerpts) 12 

Population.  World  Population:  The  Silent 
Explosion  —  Part  I  (Fearey.  Giffler, 
Green)    45 

Presidential  Documents 

A  Framework  for  Middle  East  Peace  (Begin. 
Carter,  Mondale.  Sadat,  joint  statement, 
texts  of  documents  and  accompanying 
letters)   I 

President  Carter's  News  Conference  of  August 
17  (excerpts) 12 

Publications.  GPO  Sales 28 


Romania.  Most-Favored-Nation  Tariff  Status 
for  Hungary  and  Romania  (  Vest)   34 

Science  and  Technology.  Science  and 
Technology — Their  Interaction  With  Foreign 
Policy  (Benson)   54 

Southern  Rhodesia.  Peaceful  Solutions  to 
Conflicts  in  Namibia  and  Southern  Rhodesia 
(Christopher) 15 

Trade.  Most-Favored-Nation  Tariff  Status  for 
Hungary  and  Romania  (  Vest)    34 

Treaties 

Current  Actions   60 

A  Framework  for  Middle  East  Peace  (Begin. 
Carter.  Mondale,  Sadat,  joint  statement, 
texts  of  documents  and  accompanying 
letters)    1 

U.S.S.R. 

The  Potential  of  the  Helsinki  Dialogue 
(Nimetz) 29 

President  Carter's  News  Conference  of  August 
17  (excerpts) 12 

Salt  II— The  Home  Stretch  (Warnke)    17 

U.S.  and  Soviet  Strategic  Capability  Through 
the  Mid-1980's - 24 

United  Nations.  The  Role  of  ECOSOC  in  In- 
ternational Economic  Dialogue  (Young)  ....   56 


Name  Index 

Begin,  Menahem   1 

Benson,  Lucy  Wilson   54 

Carter,  President 1,12 

Christopher,  Warren    15 

Fearey.  Robert  A  45 

Giffler,  Lydia  K 45 

Green .  Marshall  45 

Holbrooke.  Richard  C 43 

Katz.  Julius  L 26 

Linneman,  Joseph   37 

Mondale,  Vice  President    I 

Nimetz,  Matthew  29 

Nye,  Joseph  S. ,  Jr 38 

Sadat,  Anwar  al-    1 

Vest.  George  S 34 

Warnke,  Paul  C   17 

Young.  Andrew    56 


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m    of  State  ~IW  ~IW  j    & 

bulletin 


Novem her  MO  7H 


\e  Official  Monthly  Record  of  United  States  Foreign  Policy  /  Volume  78  /  Number  2020 


Department  of  State 

bulletin 

Volume  78  /  Number  2020  /  November  1978 


The  Department  of  State  Bulletin, 
published  by  the  Office  of  Public  Com- 
munication in  the  Bureau  of  Public 
Affairs,  is  the  official  record  of  U.S. 
foreign  policy.  Its  purpose  is  to  provide 
the  public,  the  Congress,  and  govern- 
ment agencies  with  information  on 
developments  in  U.S.  foreign  relations 
and  the  work  of  the  Department  of 
State  and  the  Foreign  Service. 

The  Bulletin's  contents  include 
major  addresses  and  news  conferences 
of  the  President  and  the  Secretary  of 
State;  statements  made  before  congres- 
sional committees  by  the  Secretary 
and  other  senior  State  Department  of- 
ficials; special  features  and  articles  on 
international  affairs;  selected  press  re- 
leases issued  by  the  White  House,  the 
Department,  and  the  U.S.  Mission  to 
the  United  Nations;  and  treaties  and 
other  agreements  to  which  the  United 
States  is  or  may  become  a  party. 

The  Secretary  of  State  has  deter- 
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odica! is  necessary  in  the  transaction  of 
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NOTE:  Contents  of  this  publication 
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CYRUS  R.  VANCE 
Secretary  of  State 

HODDING  CARTER  III 

Assistant  Secretary  for  Public  Affa 

JOHN  CLARK  KIMBALL 

Consulting  Editor 

PHYLLIS  A.  YOUNG 

Editor 

COLLEEN  SUSSMAN 
Assistant  Editor 


CONTENTS 


1      WORLD  POPULATION:  THE  SILENT  EXPLOSION— PART  2 

(Marshall  Green.  Robert  A.  Fearey.  Lydia  K.  Giffler) 


THE  PRESIDENT 

9      News   Conferences   of  Sept.    28   and 
Oct.  10 

AFRICA 

13  Southern  Rhodesia  Executive  Council 

Members  Visit  U.S.  (Department 
Announcement.  Joint  U.S. -U.K. 
Statement) 

ARMS  CONTROL 

14  A    Balanced   and    Effective    Defense 

(Harold  Brown) 

16  Convention  on  the  Hostile  Use  of  En- 

vironmental Modification  Tech- 
niques (Message  from  President 
Carter) 

17  Comprehensive   Test   Ban    (Leslie   H. 

Gelb) 

ECONOMICS 

19  Bonn  Summit  and  Investment  in  De- 
veloping Countries  (Richard  N. 
Cooper) 

21  Multilateral  Trade  Negotiations  (Mes- 
sage from  President  Carter) 

23  U.S.  Export  Policy  (President  Carter. 
Julius  L.  Katz) 

27  GPO  Sales  Publications 

EUROPE 

28  An  Overview  of  U.S. -Soviet  Relations 

(Marshall  D.  Shiilman) 

29  Letters  of  Credence   (Germany.    Ire- 

land) 

31  Ninth  Report  on  Cyprus  (President 
Center) 

33  An  Overview  of  Eastern  Europe  f  Wil- 
liam H.  Liters) 


MIDDLE  EAST 

42  Camp  David  Agreements  (Harold  H. 

Saunders) 

43  Secretary  Vance's  Middle  East  Visit 

UNITED  NATIONS 

45  33d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 

(Secretary  Vance) 

46  U.S.  Delegation  to  the  33d  U.N.  Gen- 

eral Assembly 
48      World  Conference  To  Combat  Racism 
( White  House  Statement) 

50  United  Nations  Day,   1978  (President 

Carter) 

51  United  Nations  Day,  1978  (Proclama- 

tion) 

WESTERN  HEMISPHERE 

51  The  Role  of  Human  Rights  Policy  in 
Arms  Transfers  for  Latin  America 
(Patricia  M.  Derian) 

53  Letter  of  Credence  (Grenada) 

54  Arms  Transfer  Policy  in  Latin  America 

(Foreign  Relations  Outline) 

55  U.S. -Mexico  Commission  on  Cultural 

Cooperation 

TREATIES 

56  Current  Actions 

58     PRESS  RELEASES 


PUBLICATIONS 

58       1950    "Foreign  Relations' 


"The   Near  East, 
Africa" 

INDEX 


Volume  V: 
South  Asia,   and 


Supe 


MOV  2 


'9 


DEPOSITORY 


Chart  12 


Birth  Rates  in  Selected  Developing  Countries: 
1965  and  1975 


5 


Singapore^ 
Cuba 


%m?%^sm%m%?a 


7///////////////////^^^^ 


China,  Rep.  of 


5 


(Taiwan)  p^^^^^^ 

Chile  (^ 
Trin.  &  Tob. 
Korea,  Rep.  of 


V///////////////////M^^^^^ 


5 


1975 
1965 


v////////////////////////  '///////A 


Mauri  tius^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^%^^%^^^ 
Sri  Lanka  P 


Costa  Rica 


V////////y  "g^^%%^%%%^^%^^^^%i 


Jamaica  BBBBBBBB^BfciMMi 
Panama  ^  W///////////////////////A 

Malaysia  ^ 
Colombia 

Tunisia  1%%?%^%^^^ 
Thailand  p 

Turkey 

Egypt 

India 

Philippines 

Venezuela 

Dominican  Rep.g 

Indonesia 

El  Salvador 

U.S.A. 

10  20  30  40 

Live  Births  per  1 ,000  Population 
Source:    Based  on  estimates  by  W.  Parker  Mauldin  of  The  Population  Council.  New  York,  1978. 


WORLD  POPULATION: 
THE  SILENT  EXPLOSION— PART  2 


iNSEQUENCES  OF 
CESSIVE  GROWTH 

The  consequences  of  excessive 
mlation  growth  are  evident  across 
spectrum  of  human,  animal,  and 
at  life,  mainly  in  developing  but 
•>  in  the  developed  countries. 

mlation  and  Food  Supply 

Tie  1974  U.N.  World  Food  Confer- 
e  resolved  that  ".  .  .all  govern- 
its  should.  .  .  accept  the  goal  that 
nin  a  decade  no  child  will  go  to  bed 
gry,  that  no  family  will  fear  for  its 
t  day's  bread,  and  that  no  human 
ig's  future  and  capacities  will  be 
ited  by  malnutrition. " 
here   is.   unhappily,   no  possibility 

this  goal  will  be  met  in  a  decade  or 
)od  deal  longer.  Because  of  rampant 
ulation  growth,  and  poverty  due  in 

to  that  growth,  the  hungry  two- 
is  of  mankind  is  no  better  off  today 
1  it  was  in  1974. 

n  the  industrialized  democracies, 
i  production  increased  an  average 
2.1%  per  year  during  the  decade 
8-77  and  population  increased  1%, 
a  per  capita  food  production  gain  of 
%  a  year.  But  in  the  developing 
•Id  (excluding  Communist  Asia  on 
ch  data  are  lacking),  a  painfully 
ieved  food  production  increase  of 
'5%  a  year  was  largely  offset  by  a 
ulation  increase  of  2.6%.  (Recent 
ids  in  grain  production  are  shown  on 
rt  8.)  Average  per  capita  food  in- 
;  in  the  developing  world  in  the 
'3-77  period  (excluding  Communist 
a)  was  about  2,185  calories  per  day, 
ipared  with  3,340  calories  in  the 
ustrialized  democracies.  A  1977 
N,  Food  and  Agriculture  Organiza- 
l  (FAO)  survey  found  that  in  23 
eloping  countries,  per  capita  daily 
aric  supplies,  in  fact,  declined  be- 
en 1961-63  and  1972-74. 
,ow  as  it  is,  the  developing  world's 

capita  food  intake  figure  fails   in 


Part  1  of  this  series  appeared 
n  the  October  Bulletin  and  set 
orth  the  facts  of  the  world 
copulation  problem.  Part  3,  to 
>e  published  next  month,  will 
ocus  on  how  population  control 
fforts  may  be  rendered  more 
ffective. 


two  respects  to  reflect  the  depth  of  the 
problem.  The  starchy,  predominantly 
grains  and  tubers  diet  of  the  developing 
world  is  less  nutritious  than  that  of  the 
developed  countries.  And  being  an  av- 
erage figure,  including  better-off 
countries  and  the  better-off  people  in 
each  country,  the  figure  indicates  a 
considerably  larger  per  capita  intake 
than  the  impoverished  majority  actually 
attains.  Nearly  2  billion  people  in  the 
developing  countries  are  continually 
undernourished,  with  resultant  low  vi- 
tality, vulnerability  to  disease,  and  low 
life  expectancy.  Outright  starvation, 
principally  of  children  and  the  aged, 
occurs  when  drought,  flood,  or  other 
disaster  undercuts  even  this  minimum 
level  of  subsistence,  unless  relief 
arrives. 

The  technology  of  food  production 
continues  to  advance,  but  successful 
applications  have  been  primarily  in  de- 
veloped countries  possessing  the  neces- 
sary capital.  High-yielding  green 
revolution  seed  varieties  require  com- 
plementary fertilizer;  water;  and  dis- 
ease, insect,  and  weed  control  inputs 
for  full  effect,  which  often  are  not 
available  to  developing  country  farm- 
ers. Per  acre  yields  in  most  developing 
countries  remain  far  below  those  in  the 
developed  countries. 

Developing  country  population 
growth  trends,  on  the  one  hand,  and 
realistically  anticipated  food  produc- 
tion increases  in  those  countries,  on  the 
other,  point  to  a  need  for  mounting 
developing  world  food  imports.  The 
prospects  are  grim,  as  developing 
countries  become  increasingly  depend- 
ent on  such  imports,  predominantly 
from  the  single  geographic-climatic 
zone  of  northern  America.  The  FAO  esti- 
mates that  food  deficits  for  developing 
countries  (excluding  Communist  Asia) 
can  be  expected  to  increase  fivefold 
between  1970  and  1990.  Meeting  those 
deficits  through  imports,  sources  of 
which  cannot  be  assured,  will  force 
many  of  the  developing  nations  deeper 
into  debt,  thus  limiting  their  ability  to 
finance  other  capital  costs  of  develop- 
ment, including  expanding  food  pro- 
duction. And  even  if  the  imported  food 
is  somehow  available  and  the  financial 
problems  can  somehow  be  overcome, 
physical  movement  of  the  enormous 
grain  tonnages  involved  in  feeding 
hundreds  of  millions  of  people  will 
present  tremendous  problems. 

Efforts,  sometimes  desperate,  to  in- 


crease developing  country  food  pro- 
duction through  slash-burn  farming  and 
overuse  of  land  can  have  precisely  the 
opposite  long-term  effect  on  food  pro- 
duction. The  U.N.  Environment  Pro- 
grame.  in  a  recent  report  on  the  state  of 
the  world  environment,  estimates  that 
during  the  last  quarter  of  this  century, 
twice  as  many  hectares  of  land  will  be 
lost  to  soil  erosion  and  urban  sprawl  as 
will  be  added  by  bringing  new  land  into 
cultivation. 

The  best  hope  for  raising  developing 
country  food  production  lies  in  in- 
creasing productivity  of  land.  But  this 
requires  improvements  in  agricultural 
technology  and  infrastructure  calling 
for  capital  expenditures  beyond  most 
developing  countries'  means,  in  addi- 
tion to  policies  favoring  the  small 
farmer,  better  water  management,  and 
other  measures  presenting  difficult 
political  and  administrative  problems. 
One  must  conclude  that  there  is  no 
practical  solution  to  long-term  food 
production  problems  that  does  not 
prominently  include  accelerated  de- 
clines in  population  growth  rates. 

It  is  sometimes  said  that  there  is  no 
food  problem,  only  a  population  prob- 
lem. This  is  an  oversimplification — 
there  would  be  food  problems  in  many 
developing  countries  even  if  their 
populations  were  suddenly  much  re- 
duced. But,  unquestionably,  the  severe 
undernourishment  of  two-fifths  of 
mankind  is  attributable,  in  major  part, 
to  the  handicap  of  too  many  mouths  to 
feed.  And  the  number  grows  daily. 

Population  and  Development 

Excessive  population  growth  ad- 
versely affects  economic  progress  in 
many  developing  nations.  Specifically, 
it: 

•  Lowers  per  capita  living  standards; 

•  Absorbs  resources  needed  for  in- 
vestment in  development; 

•  Contributes  to  the  income  disparity 
between  rich  and  poor; 

•  Absorbs  scarce  foreign  exchange 
for  food  imports;  and 

•  Intensifies  unemployment  and  un- 
deremployment. 

Improving  standards  of  living  re- 
quires that  economic  growth  signifi- 
cantly outpace  population  growth.  Yet 
while  the  per  capita  income  of  all  de- 
veloping countries  increased  over  the 
past  quarter  century  at  an  annual  aver- 


Department  of  State  Buli 


I"- 
".'■ 
ill 


Char  •> 


Grain  Production  (1960  -  77) 

Total  Production  of  Grain 


Population  Growth 


Per  Capita  Grain  Production 


Developing  Countries 
•  Developed  Countries 


Million 
M  Tons 
500 


Billions  of 
Persons 
2.0r 


Kilograms 
700  r 


\f 


,--,  I 


MV 


y 


i  i  i  i 


j i i i i i i_ 


1960 


1965         1970 
Year 


1975 


1960 


1965    1970 
Year 


1975 


1960 


1965   1970 
Year 


1975 


Note:  Grain  production  comprises  on  the  average  35%  of  total  food  production  in  developed  countries  and  64%  in  developing  countries. 

The  greater  variations  in  total  and  per  capita  gram  production  in  developed  than  in  developing  countries  are  attributable  to  greater  weather  vanations  in 
temperate  than  in  tropical  farming  zones  and  to  more  extensive  policy  interventions  by  developed  than  developing  country  governments  in  farm 
acreage  and  production  levels. 


Source  of  data:    US  Department  of  Agriculture 


r  Excludes  centrally-planned  economies. 


II 
I 

f 

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age  rate  of  over  3%,  in  low-income 
countries — particularly  those  of  popu- 
lous South  Asia — per  capita  economic- 
growth  was  less  than  half  the  average 
rate.  The  real  per  capita  income  of 
some  developing  countries  actually  de- 
clined. Despite  impressive  achieve- 
ments since  the  1950's  in  building  up 
the  foundations  for  economic  and  so- 
cial development,  all  too  many  people 
saw  little  or  no  improvements  in  their 
conditions  of  life. 

It  has  been  argued  that  moderniza- 
tion and  development  produce  lower 
fertility  rates.  But  this  is  not  an  au- 
tomatic process.  And  where  it  docs 
occur,  the  process  is  likely  to  require 
many  decades.  During  that  time,  rapid 
population  growth  slows  development 
and  widens  the  gap  between  rich  and 
poor  nations  and  between  the  rich  and 
poor  people  within  nations. 

Improvement  of  the  agricultural 
sector  is  the  key  to  economic  develop- 
ment of  most  developing  nations.  But  it 
is  in  the  agricultural  areas  of  these 
nations  that  human  fertility  is  usually 
highest.  The  result  is  either  out- 
migration  or  more  and  more  people  on 


the  land  (generally  a  combination  of 
the  two),  further  subdivisions  of  family 
holdings,  lower  productivity  per 
worker,  and  a  perpetuation  of  poverty. 

The  discouraging  cycle  of  develop- 
ment handicapped  by  excessive  popu- 
lation growth,  and  of  such  growth  con- 
tinuing because  of  stalled  development, 
can  be  overcome  only  through  a  variety 
of  carefully  formulated,  vigorously 
pursued  measures  adapted  to  each 
country's  needs.  But  one  of  the  princi- 
pal requirements  in  most  LDC's  is  all 
too  clearly  the  earliest  possible  reduc- 
tion of  high  fertility  rates 

Population  and  Social  Factors 

Excessive  population  growth  has 
serious  social  consequences,  especially 
in  terms  of  unemployment,  urban 
crowding,  and  overburdened  education, 
health,  and  other  public  services. 

Unemployment/Underemployment. 

Unemployment,  particularly  of  young 
people,  is  a  major  problem  in  the  de- 
veloped world.  But  in  the  developing 
countries,  the  problem  is  immense  and 


worsening.  The  number  of  yoi 
coming  into  the  working-age  rangi 
soaring,  while  job-creating  devel 
ment  proceeds  too  slowly.  The  rcsu 
rising  unemployment  or  undercmpl 
ment. 

Taking  the  developing  regions  a< 
whole    (excluding    China    for    lack 
adequate  data),  the  population   in 
1 5—64  years  age  range  is  projected 
the  United  Nations  to  grow  from 
billion  in   1975  to  2.2  billion  in  20 
an  annual  average  rate  of  2.9%  (cl 
9).  During  this  period,  the  socially  I 
politically    volatile    15-24    years    ; 
group,  in  which  unemployment  is  p 
ticularly    high,    is    projected    to    gr 
rapidly,  even  assuming  moderately 
creasing  fertility. 

The  International  Labor  Organizat 
(ILO)  has  projected  that  the  number 
persons  in  the  developing  world  lai 
force  will  grow  from  1,011  million 
1970  to  1,933  million  in  2000.  an 
crease  of  922  million  workers,  or  91 
in  one  generation.  The  ILO  has  furt 
estimated  that  30%  of  the  labor  force 
the  developing  world  will  be  either  l 
employed  or  underemployed  by  198C 


,:. 


mber  1978 


Ihe  Government  of  Egypt  recently 
mated  that  it  costs,  on  the  average. 

u  t  7,000  Egyptian  pounds 
$10,000)  to  create  a  new  job  and 

the  work  force  will  be  crowing  by 
But  350.000-400,000  people  every 
r  in  Egypt.  On  this  basis,  as- 
omical  expenditures  will  be  re- 
ed to  provide  jobs  for  the  projected 

million  additional   workers  in  the 

loping  world  as  a  whole  over  the 
0-2000  period. 

Irban  Crowding.  Unemployment/ 
eremployment  in  rural  areas  is  a 
cipal  cause  of  urban  overcrowding. 

re  there  is  not  enough  work  in  the 
ntryside  for  burgeoning  population, 
ses  of  people  swarm  into  already 
vded  cities  looking  for  jobs,  often 
vain.  It  has  been  estimated  that 
le  developing  countries'  popula- 
s  are  doubling  about  every  25-30 
"s.  their  large  cities  are  doubling 
y  10-15  years,  and  their  urban 
ns  or  shantytowns  every  5-7  years 
irt  10). 

he  flow  of  migrants  from  rural 
is  into  crowded  cities  is  a  matter  of 
cern  for  many  developing  countries. 

U.N.   Population  Commission  re- 

on  its  19th  session  (January  1977) 
its  out  that  the  governments  of  130 
eloping  countries  regard  this  situa- 

as  unacceptable.  Some  cities  can 
longer  be  called  cities  but  rather 
;  urban  agglomerations  with  exten- 
:  shantytowns  in  which  living  con- 
ons  are  deplorable;  agglomerations 
;re  people,  other  than  the  urban  elite 
1  middle  classes,  are  without 
quate  water,  sanitation,  health, 
cation,    and    other   social    services; 


SWELLING  CITIES 

Estimates  and  Rough  Projections 

of  Selected  Urban  Agglomerations 

in  Developing  Countries 

(millions  of  persons) 

1960   1970   1975   2000 


Calcutta 

5.5 

6.9 

8.1 

19.7 

Mexico 

City 

4.9 

8.6 

10.9 

31.6 

Greater 

Bombay 

4  1 

5.8 

7.1 

19.1 

Greater  Cairo 

3.7 

5.7 

6.9 

16.4 

Jakarta 

2.7 

4.3 

5.6 

16.9 

Seoul 

2.4 

5.4 

7.3 

18  7 

Delhi 

2.3 

3.5 

4.5 

13.2 

Manila 

2  2 

3.5 

4.4 

12.7 

Tehran 

1.9 

3.4 

4.4 

13.8 

Karachi 

1.8 

3.3 

4.5 

15.9 

Bogota 

1.7 

2.6 

3.4 

9.5 

Lagos 

0.8 

1.4 

2.1 

9.4 

Source: 

Based 

on    U.N.    estimate 

and 

medium  variant 

projections. 

where  people  are  often  living  five  or 
six  in  a  room,  acutely  aware  of  the 
great  disparity  in  wealth  and  poverty 
about  them.  All  this  contributes  to 
alienation  and  frustration  on  a  massive 
scale. 

Overburdened    Public    Services. 

Many  LDC  populations  are  growing 
faster  than  educational,  health,  sani- 
tation, transport,  and  other  public 
services  can  be  provided. 

In  education,  for  example,  the 
pyramidal  age  structure  of  population 
growth,  and  funding  shortages,  have 
left  educational  systems  increasingly 
incapable  of  meeting  school  facility 
and  teacher  needs  (chart  II).  Many 
governments,  once  committed  to  uni- 
versal education,  have  quietly  aban- 
doned that  objective.  In  1950  about 
44%  of  the  world's  adult  popula- 
tion— or  700  million  people — were 
illiterate.  Since  that  time,  the  per- 
centage has  declined,  but  the  absolute 
number  of  illiterates  has  grown  to 
about  800  million.  Of  these,  almost 
two-thirds  are  women. 

Similarly,  population  growth  has 
outstripped  the  provision  of  health 
facilities.  Disappointing  economic 
growth  trends  in  most  developing 
countries,  and  the  long  lead  times  in- 
volved in  implementing  health  care 
services,  suggest  that  attempts  to 
supply  fast-growing  populations  with 
medical  care  will  fall  farther  and 
farther  behind  demand.  Expanded  use 
of  paramedical  personnel  trained  to 
perform  routine  health  services  should 
help  to  meet  some  of  the  need  in 
countries  adopting  this  technique.  But 
unless  population  growth  can  be 
slowed,  this  approach  will  still  leave 
vast  unsatisfied  health  care  require- 
ments. 


In  sum,  the  social  consequences  of 
excessive  population  growth  are 
highly  damaging,  both  for  the  im- 
mediate well-being  of  a  large  propor- 
tion of  humanity  and  for  the  prospects 
of  improvement  through  development. 
Illiterate,  untrained,  disease-weak- 
ened people  are  unlikely  to  contribute 
effectively  to  the  development  proc- 
ess. 

Population  and  the  Environment 

The  population-environment  re- 
lationship is  a  crucial  one,  especially 
for  future  generations. 

In  recent  decades,  the  Earth's  veg- 
etation cover  (farmlands,  forests,  and 
grasslands),  fisheries,  mineral  re- 
sources, and  atmosphere  have  suf- 
fered a  sharply  increased  rate  of  de- 
pletion and  pollution. 


In  large  part  this  has  been  the  re- 
sult of  intensive  industrial  and  ag- 
ricultural development  by  the  ad- 
vanced countries,  seeking  to  improve 
their  already  high  living  standards. 
When  population  growth  occurs  in 
societies  where  wealth  and  technology 
have  led  to  high  production  and  con- 
sumption lifestyles,  the  added  demand 
on  energy  supplies,  fisheries,  forest 
products,  minerals,  natural  recreation 
areas,  and  water  is  inordinately  large, 
as  is  the  resulting  pollution.  The  de- 
veloped nations  are  attempting  to  re- 
duce the  environmental  damage  for 
which  they  are  responsible  through 
recently  initiated,  as  yet  inadequate, 
national  and  international  conserva- 
tion and  antipollution  controls  and 
through  falling  birth  rates. 

Environmental  degradation  has  also 
resulted  from  the  desperate  efforts  of 
rapidly  growing,  impoverished  popu- 
lations in  the  developing  countries  to 
increase  food  production,  collect 
firewood  for  fuel,  and  otherwise  sur- 
vive. Vast  areas  of  Africa,  South  and 
Southeast  Asia,  the  Middle  East,  and 
Latin  America  have  been  crippled  by 
slash-and-burn  agriculture,  overcrop- 
ping, overgrazing,  and  consequent 
wind  and  water  erosion.  Millions  of 
acres  of  forest  have  been  sacrificed  to 
the  ever-growing  need  for  cropland, 
firewood,  and  timber.  Deprived  of 
water-holding  cover,  millions  of  tons 
of  virtually  irreplaceable  topsoil  have 
been  washed  into  the  sea.  The  Sahel, 
Nepal,  Haiti,  Java,  and  many  other 
regions  have  been  described  as 
ecological  disaster  areas.  But  the 
population  pressures  which  caused  the 
damage  remain,  with  ever-growing 
numbers  attempting  to  subsist  from 
ever-depleting  natural  resources. 

The  problem  worldwide  is  evident 
in: 

•  Most  fundamentally,  the  destruc- 
tion of  vegetation  cover,  the  source  of 
man's  food  and  oxygen; 

•  The  decline,  since  1970.  in  the 
world  fishing  catch,  due  largely  to 
overfishing  and  pollution  of  spawning 
beds; 

•  Rapid  depletion  of  oil  and  gas 
reserves; 

•  Similarly  rapid  depletion  of  met- 
als resources; 

•  Overcrowding  and  impairment  of 
national  parks,  wildlife  preserves, 
city  parks,  beaches,  and  other  natural 
recreational  areas; 

•  Destruction  of  animal  and  plant 
wildlife  by  farming,  timbering,  ur- 
banization, pesticide  and  fertilizer 
poisoning,  and  hunting; 

•  Environmental  illnesses  (notably 
emphysema,    stroke,    parasitic    infec- 


tions,  heart  disease,  and  cancer) 
caused  by  the  introduction  of  new 
chemicals  into  the  ecosystem,  by  air 
and  water  pollution,  and  by  crowding; 

•  Water  shortages  due  to  the  mas- 
sive water  requirements  of  modern 
agriculture,  industry,  and  consumer 
living;  depletion  of  underground 
water  supplies;  pollution  of  lakes  and 
rivers;  and  exhaustion  of  promising 
water  catchment  and  irrigation  sites; 
and 

•  Damaging  rainfall  and  temper- 
ature pattern  changes  brought  on  by 
carbon  dioxide  in  the  atmosphere 
from  wood  and  fossil  fuels,  dust  from 
urban  and  agricultural  activity,  and 
the  thermal  effects  of  waste  heat  and 
economic  activity. 

This  environmental  loss  and  dam- 
age is  occurring  in  a  world  of  4  bil- 
lion people.  In  25  scars  the  number 
of  human  consumers  and  polluters  is 
expected  to  be  about  6  billion,  grow- 
ing to  8  billion  or  more.  Environ- 
mental conservation  and  purity  arc 
belatedly  an  accepted  world  goal.  But 
the  developed  countries  are  moving 
far  less  rapidly  than  they  might  to 
control  their  heavy  consumption  of 
scarce  materials  and  pollution  of 
oceans  and  air.  In  the  developing 
countries,  where  capital  for  conserva- 
tion and  antipollution  measures  is 
scarce  and  requirements  on  natural  re- 
sources for  survival  are  heavy,  more 
determined  efforts  to  slow  population 
growth  would  be  a  key  contribution  to 
the  developing  countries'  own  and  the 
world's  environmental  protection 
efforts. 

There  are  those  who  believe  that 
the  world's  biosphere,  already  heavily 
strained,  simply  cannot  tolerate  the 
combined  impact  of  projected  popu- 
lation growth,  increasing  resource 
use.  and  pollution.  There  is  growing 
concern  that  mankind's  mounting 
numbers,  pressing  against  finite  re- 
sources, will  overshoot  the  carrying 
capacity  of  the  Earth. 

Population  and  Political  Factors 

The  political  implications  of  high 
population  growth  are  difficult  to  de- 
fine for  they  vary  from  country  to 
country,  are  resistant  to  isolation  and 
analysis,  and  therefore  do  not  lend 
themselves  easily  to  generalizations. 
However,  a  few  are  offered 

High  population  growth  rates,  often 
attended  by  economic  stagnation, 
overcrowded  cities,  social  unrest,  and 
pressures  for  foreign  migration  can 
undermine  the  internal  stability  of 
nations  as  well  as  complicate  rela- 
tions among  nations.  Such  conditions 
also    detract    from    the    environment 


needed  to  attract  foreign  capital,  vital 
to  achieving  increased  levels  of  eco- 
nomic growth. 

To  the  extent  excessive  population 
growth  frustrates  economic  develop- 
ment, it  is  a  fundamental  factor  in 
perpetuating  and  even  widening  the 
gap  between  the  per  capita  incomes  of 
rich  and  poor  nations.  The  politiciza- 
tion  of  international  economic  rela- 
tions and  their  polarization  along 
"North-South"  lines  are  in  them- 
selves creating  new  challenges  and 
obstacles  for  improved  cooperation 
between  nations.  Intensifying  popula- 
tion pressures  will  serve  to  reinforce 
these  trends. 

In  centuries  past,  millions  of  poor 
have  accepted  their  lot  with  resigna- 
tion and  political  apathy.  This  situa- 
tion is  changing,  as  expanding  com- 
munications instill  greater  awareness 
thai  there  can  be  a  better  life.  Some 
can  be  expected  to  seek  radical  pre- 
scriptions in  violence,  including  ter- 
rorism. There  is  real  danger  that  vio- 
lence will  grow  and  spread  unless 
more  effective  means  can  be  found 
for  improving  conditions  of  life  for 
the  masses. 

Overpopulation  has  been  an  under- 
lying factor  in  certain  international 
conflicts  and  major  internal  disorders. 
This  danger  continues  and  may  inten- 
sify as  populations  burgeon  and  the 
scramble  for  scarce  raw  materials 
intensifies. 

Such  pressures  seem  destined  to 
produce  an  increasingly  turbulent  and 
dangerous  international  environment 
for  the  pursuit  of  peace,  stability,  and 
improved  conditions  of  life  for  all 
people. 


Department  of  State  Bull; 

life  support  systems,  and  stationary 
declining  living  standards  over  m. 
of  the  developing  world,  is  clear 


The  overpopulation  problem  is 
most  often  viewed  in  broad  economic, 
social,  and  political  terms.  But  it  is 
fundamentally  a  problem  of  the 
frustrations,  deprivation,  and  suffer- 
ing of  millions  of  individual  human 
beings,  predominantly  in  the  de- 
veloping countries.  Millions  of 
women  are  caught  up  in  a  cycle  of 
endless  childbearing.  wasted  health, 
drudgery,  and  limited  life  expectancy. 
Vast  numbers  of  children  are  born 
into  a  future  of  undernourishment, 
physical  and  mental  impairment,  and 
virtually  no  prospect  of  advancement 
and  a  better  life.  Multitudes  of  adults 
and  youths  are  without  meaningful 
employment. 

Population  pressures  are  by  no 
means  the  only  cause  of  these  condi- 
tions Poverty  and  suffering  existed 
long  before  there  were  such  pres- 
sures. But  the  central  importance  of 
overpopulation  in  the  syndrome  of 
mounting    demands    on    diminishing 


WHAT  IS  BEING  DONE? 


Growing  Awareness  of  the  Problen  ii 
and  of  How  It  Must  Be  Met 


ft 

.;, 
id  I 
lie 

fill 


Over  the  past  10-15  years,  tht 
has  been  an  encouraging  increase 
world  awareness  of  the  populati 
problem.  Many  developing  natil 
now  appreciate  the  need  for  urgei 
far-reaching  action  to  reduce  popu 
tion  growth  if  tomorrow's  world 
not  to  be  one  of  potentially  disastro 
overcrowding,  deprivation,  and  disc 
der. 

Developing  countries  have  seen  t 
situation  as  a  matter  of  direct  natior 
interest  if  their  development  effoi 
were  not  to  be  greatly  impaired 
totally  frustrated.  At  least  thre 
fourths  of  the  people  in  the  develo 
ing  world  live  in  countries  whe 
governments  have  now  adopi 
population  programs  related  to  the 
economic  development  plans.  D 
veloped  nations  also  have  populatii 
concerns,  although  they  are  differs 
from  and  generally  less  serious  an 
urgent  than  those  of  LDC's. 

To  a  large  extent,  far-sighte 
public-spirited  private  individuals  aj 
organizations  have  taken  the  lead 
sounding  the  alarm  and  initiating  n 
tional  and  international  populatii 
programs.  The  United  Nations  and 
concerned  specialized  and  associai 
agencies,  including  the  World  Ban 
have  become  more  and  more  i 
volved.  In  mid-1974,  a  U.N 
sponsored  World  Population  Confe 
ence  was  held  in  Bucharest.  Tl 
conference  adopted  a  World  Popul 
tion  Plan  of  Action  (WPPA)  whii 
reflected  a  consensus  of  136  pa. 
ticipating  governments  and  whn 
stands  today  as  a  charter  and  beacf 
for  effective,  morally,  and  cultural 
acceptable  population  policies  ar 
programs.  (The  Holy  See  did  not  pa 
ticipate  in  the  consensus.) 

The  WPPA  emphasizes  the  fund; 
mental  interrelationship  of  develop 
ment  and  population  growth.   It  note 


1 


Single  copies  of  reprints  of  this 
three-part  series,  entitled  "World 
Population:  The  Silent  Explosion,"  are 
available  from  the  Correspondence 
Management  Division,  Bureau  of  Public 
Affairs,  Department  of  State,  Washing- 
ton, DC.  20520. 


-ember  1^78 


couples  whom  development  has 
bled  to  attain  above-minimum 
ng  standards  are  more  likely  to  de- 

fewer  children  and  to  devote  the 
essary  attention  and  resources  to 
dementing  that  desire.  But  de- 
opment  can  proceed  only  with 
it  difficulty,  if  at  all.  in  the  face 
excessive  population  growth.  Ac- 
dingly    the    WPPA    advocates    a 

pronged  approach  in  which  de- 
opment  is  pursued  in  mutually 
forcing  conjunction  with  popula- 
i  programs. 

uch  population  programs  have 
le  to  center  in  two  broad  areas — 
ivation  of  couples  to  desire  small 
ilies  and  the  provision  of  modern 
lily  planning  services. 

Motivation  for  Small  Families.  At 

:harest  and  earlier,  it  was  recog- 
;d  that  broad  economic  and  social 
elopment,   leading  to  a  preference 

small  families,  could  not  be  an- 
pated  in  many  developing  coun- 
s  for  an  indefinite  period.  On  the 

r  hand,  experience  had  shown 
particular  elements  of.  or  ap- 
aches to,  development  are  espe- 
ly  effective  in  bringing  fertility 
lines.  Many  countries'  population 
cies  have  accordingly  sought  to 
)hasize  those  elements. 

Reduction  of  infant  and  child 
rtality — When  parents  expect  a 
aer  proportion  of  their  children  to 
/ive  to  adulthood,  they  have  fewer 
surance  births."  In  some  countries 
Africa,  Asia,  and  Latin  America. 
r  50%  of  all  deaths  occur  before 

age  of  five.   Time  and  again,   as 
lint  and  child  mortality  rates  have 
n    brought    down,    fertility    rates 
e  also  declined. 

1  Expansion  of  basic  education, 
ecially  for  girls — Studies  in  Latin 
ierica  reveal  that  women  who  have 

pleted  primary  school  average 
>ut  two  less  children  than  those 
o  have  not.  Schooling  tends  to 
ay  the  age  of  marriage  for  girls, 
is  reducing  the  number  of 
ldbearing  years.  For  both  men  and 
men  in  traditional  environments,  it 
adens  the  students'  view  of  the 
jortunities  and  potentialities  of 
inclines  them  to  think  more  for 
mselves,  and  reduces  their  suspi- 
n  of  social  change,  including  fam- 
planning.  Schooling  also  enhances 
girl's  prospects  of  finding  employ- 
nt  outside  the  home  that  may  com- 
e  with  raising  a  large  family.  And 
rents  see  children  in  school  as 
*ang  less  immediate  economic  util- 

but  greater  long-term  earning 
)acity;  this  conduces  toward  a  more 
iipact,    well-educated   family   norm 


with   children  better  able   to  care   for 
parents  in  their  old  age. 

•  Increasing  the  productivity  and 
income  of  the  rural  and  urban 
poor — The  fertility  of  subsistence 
landholders  and  landless  farmers  is 
characteristically  high.  Land  and  ten- 
ancy reform,  assured  availability  of 
water,  and  effective  extension  of 
credit  and  other  facilities  enable  such 
farmers  to  increase  their  productivity 
and  income  and  thus  to  attain  im- 
proved health,  education,  and  living 
standards.  This  normally  leads  to  a 
decline  in  birth  rates.  Government 
programs  to  enable  urban  poor  to  in- 
crease their  productivity,  earnings. 
and  access  to  public  services  tend  to 
be  similarly  rewarded  with  reduced 
fertility  rates. 

•  More  equitable  distribution  of  the 
benefits  of  economic  growth  — 
Economic  growth  alleviates  poverty, 
thereby  contributing  to  reduced  fertil- 
ity, only  if  the  masses  of  the  people 
participate  in  that  growth  through  in- 
creased employment,  incomes,  and 
consumption  of  goods  and  services. 
But  typically  in  developing  countries 
the  upper  20%  of  the  population  re- 
ceive about  55%  of  the  national  in- 
come, and  the  lowest  20%  receive 
about  5%.  Some  40%  of  the  popula- 
tion are  outside  the  development 
process.  Only  when  an  equitable 
share  of  the  benefits  of  growth  are 
secured  by  the  lower  income  groups 
does  economic  growth  have  substan- 
tial beneficial  effect  on  fertility. 


•  Enhancing  the  status  of  wom- 
en— Programs  to  enhance  the  social, 
economic,  and  political  status  of 
women  contribute,  perhaps  more  than 
any  other  measure,  to  reduced  fertil- 
ity. Esteemed — and  encouraged  to 
esteem  themselves — in  their  role  as 
mothers,  women  are  typically  denied 
equal  access  to  education,  much  less 
to  salaried  employment.  Despite  the 
burdens  they  carry  of  childbearing, 
housework,  farming,  and  marketing, 
they  also  tend  to  have  last  claim  on 
available  food.  The  role  of  govern- 
ment in  opening  the  door  of  opportu- 
nity to  women  in  traditional,  male- 
dominated  societies  is  crucial.  This  is 
a  matter  of  social  justice  and  human- 
itarian concern.  It  will  also  have  the 
likely  effect  of  lowering  birth  rates. 

In  the  desperately  poor  circum- 
stances of  wide  areas  of  Africa,  Asia, 
and  Latin  America  parents  may  be 
powerfully  motivated  to  have  many 
children.  From  the  perspective  of 
their  own  private  interests,  as  op- 
posed to  wider  community,  national, 
and  world  perspectives  of  which  such 
parents  are  little  if  at  all  aware,  sur- 
viving children  are  highly  desirable  to 
help  with  farm  and  household  tasks, 
to  provide  a  measure  of  old-age  se- 
curity, and  as  a  response  to  ingrained 
religious  and  social  values,  including 
male  dominance  and  machismo.  A 
U.N.  Fund  for  Population  Activities 
(UNFPA)  publication.  The  State  of 
World   Population    1978,    reports    a 


Chart  9 


Population  of  Working  Ages  in  the  Developing 
Countries*  (1975  —  2000) 


Billions  of 
Persons 

2r       1- 


*  Excludes  China 


0 


]  25-64  Years 
115-24  Years 


IP 


Wfflm 


n2 


1975  1980  1985  1990  1995  2000 

Year 

Source:  Based  on  U.N  projections,  medium  variant,  as  assessed  in  1973. 


Department  of  State  Bullel 


survey  in  a  section  of  Java,  Indonesia, 
which  showed  that  children  can  be  net 
income  earners  for  their  families  by 
the  age  of  9  or  10,  performing  the 
following  functions:  average  age 
7.9 — caring  for  chickens  and  ducks; 
8 — caring  for  younger  children; 
8.8 — fetching  water;  9.3 — caring  for 
goats  and  cattle;  9.5 — cutting  fodder; 
9.7  —  harvesting  rice;  9.9  — 
transplanting  rice;  12.9 — working  for 
wages;  and  13 — hoeing.  The  same 
UNFPA  publication  noted  that:  •"Ac- 
cording to  some  estimates,  a  poor 
family  in  rural  India  has  to  have  six 
or  seven  children  to  be  95%  certain  of 
one  surviving  son."  The  population 
growth  control-oriented  elements  of 
development  cited  above  will  not  be 
easily  implemented  in  the  vast  regions 
where  these  conditions  and  attitudes 
prevail.  But  experience  indicates  they 
offer  the  most  promising  means  of 
enhancing  desire  for  smaller  families 
in  the  face  of  such  conditions  and  at- 
titudes. 

Family  Planning  Services.  Com- 
plementing their  efforts  in  the  area  of 
motivation,  many  governments  and 
government-supported  private  organi- 
zations have  undertaken  programs  to 
provide  parents  with  readily  avail- 
able, effective,  safe,  and  convenient 
means  of  family  planning. 

The    prime    determinant    of    birth 


rates  is  the  motivational  factor — 
parental  desire  or  nondesire  for  large 
families.  But  the  ready  availability  of 
modern  contraceptive  information  and 
supplies  is  also  critically  important  to 
world  fertility  reduction.  A  1976  In- 
ternational Planned  Parenthood  Fed- 
eration (IPPF)  survey  indicated  that 
of  the  approximately  400  million 
women  around  the  globe  (excluding 
the  U.S.S.R.  and  China)  "at  risk"  of 
an  unwanted  pregnancy,  two-thirds 
were  not  practicing  contraception.  In 
the  developing  countries,  nearly  80% 
of  couples  "at  risk"  do  not  now  have 
access  to,  or  for  other  reasons  do  not 
use,  contraceptive  methods.  At  the 
same  time,  one  out  of  every  three  or 
four  pregnancies  ends  in  abortion. 
Availability  of  family  planning  serv- 
ices would  prevent  many  situations 
leading  to  abortions  or  unwanted 
births. 

Some  couples'  desire  to  restrict 
births  is  so  strong  that  they  will 
achieve  their  purpose  whether  modern 
contraceptives  are  available  or  not, 
through  such  traditional  methods  as 
late  marriage,  abstinence,  withdrawal, 
rhythm,  and  abortion.  Others'  desire 
for  large  families  is  so  strong  that  the 
availability  of  contraceptives  would 
have  little  or  no  effect.  But  the  ex- 
perience of  recent  years  shows  that 
couples  can  be  influenced  to  avoid 
undesired  births  by  knowledge  that 
effective,  safe,  and  convenient  means 


Chart  10 


Urban  Population  in  Developed  and  Developing 
Countries  (1950,  1975,  and  2000) 


Billions  of 
Persons 
6.0T 


5.0- 


4.0 


3.0- 


2.0- 


1.0 


About  half  of  world  total  population 
growth  between  1 975  and  2000  is 
likely  to  take  place  in  LDC  towns 
and  cities. 


LDCs 


Rural 


Urban 


LDCs 


LDCs 


DCs 


?54%? 


.,-,.-.„.. 


DCs 


■69V 


t27%- 


DCs 


■80  V 


39<? 


1950  1975 

Source:  Based  on  U  N  estimates  and  medium  variant  projections 


2000 


to   that   end   exist   and   by   the   real 
availability  of  such  means. 


In  sum,  the  critical  importance 
the  world  population  problem,  a 
the  more  promising  means  of  deal 
with  it.  are  much  more  widely  und 
stood  than  they  were  10-15  ye 
ago.  The  awakening  process  must 
on,  but  the  emphasis  in  much  of 
world  is  now  on  the  successful  i 
plementation  of  population  progra 
whose  need  and  importance  are  r 
ognized  and  accepted. 


: 

lew 

J"  ■ 

«ral 

in 

itlai 
icon 

effe 
ttwis 
cs 


Country  Programs  and 
Achievements 


Lea. 


Nearly  95%  of  the  people  of  ti 
developing  world  live  in  countri 
whose  governments  have  now  adopt< 
family  planning  programs  related 
national  development  plans  and/ 
family  health  and  welfare  or  whoi 
governments  permit — and  oft< 
support — private  activities  in  th 
field.  Only  8  of  the  144  developii 
countries  surveyed  by  the  United  N 
tions  restrict  in  any  way  access 
modern  methods  of  family  regulation  ] 

Family  planning  programs 
LDCs  vary  widely,  however, 
quality  and  effectiveness.  In  the  via 
of  W.  Parker  Mauldin  and  Berna< 
Berelson  of  the  Population  Counc 
these  programs  "...  range  from  vij 
orous  and  continuous  efforts  und 
skilled  management  to  weak  an 
spotty  performance  under  indiffere 
administration,  on  down  to  no  effci 
at  all." 

The  sharpest  declines  in  LDC  bir 
rates  during  the  1965-75  period  (i.e 


!l 


■ 


reductions  of  30%  or  more)  occurn 
in  Singapore,  Cuba,  Hong  Kon, 
South  Korea,  Barbados,  and  Taiwi 
(chart  12  facing  page  1).  Reductions 
20-30%  are  estimated  for  Chili 
Trinidad  and  Tobago,  Mauritius.  Cos 
Rica,  Malaysia,  Colombia,  Tunisi 
Thailand,  Panama,  Fiji,  Jamaica,  ai 
the  Dominican  Republic.  Countries  wi 
a  10-20%  decline  included  the  tw 
largest  market  economy  LDCs — Ind 
and  Indonesia — as  well  as  the  Phili|  l 
pines.  China's  birth  rate  is  unknowi 
but  Chinese  media  report  a  steady  de 
cline  in  the  country's  population  growl 
rate  in  recent  years.  China's  currei 
goal — vigorously  pursued,  by  & 
indications — is  to  reduce  its  populatio 
growth  rate  to  less  than  1%  by  the  en 
of  1980. 

All  the  above-cited  countries  havj 
instituted  programs  to  reduce  fertilityi 
and  most  have  also,  over  the  past  21 
years,  made  measurable,  broad-base4 
social  and  economic  progress.  Thusj 


st 


:[ 


ember  1978 

only  have  these  countries  pro- 
:ed  family  planning — many  of 
n  vigorously — but  most  have  acted 
improve  health  conditions;  raise 
level  of  educational  attainment; 
ance  economic,  political,  and 
tural  opportunities  for  women; 
,  in  some  cases,  achieve  a  higher 
relatively  widespread  distribution 
income.  These  measures  have  had 
effect  of  delaying  marriage  and 
rwise  contributing  to  fertility  de- 
es, 
should  be  noted  that  the  fertil- 
declines  in  Singapore,  South 
ea.  Taiwan,  and  some  other  coun- 
s  cited  above  began  before 
ernment-sponsored  family  plan- 
g  programs  had  commenced.  It  is 
yet  clear  whether  such  programs 
initiate  a  transition  from  high  to 
fertility  ahead  of  substantial  eco- 
lic  and  social  progress,  as  op- 
ed to  accelerating  a  transition  to 
er  fertility  in  a  context  of  such 
gress.  Among  non-Communist 
ntries,  Indonesia  offers  perhaps 
most  promising  testing  ground  for 
umber  of  innovative  approaches 
ard  lowered  fertility  in  the  ab- 
ce  of  substantial  social  and  eco- 
lic  development.  An  intensive  ef- 
is  being  made  to  gain  the  active 
iport  of  influential  village 
ders — and  village  wives'  clubs, 
Iwives,  and  other  local  groups — in 
ily  planning  activities  and  to  inte- 
tte  family  planning  services  into 
;r  social  and  economic  develop- 
it  programs  at  the  village  level. 
s  program  has  recorded  a  remarka- 
growth  in  family  planning  accep- 
;  notwithstanding  the  poverty  of 
country.  This  has  suggested  to 
knowledgeable  observer,  follow- 
a  field  trip  to  Indonesia,  that 
.  extreme  Malthusian  pressures 
y  provide  the  needed  motivation 
en  linked  to  a  strong  facilitating 
ily  planning  distribution]  system 
ich  reaches  people  at  the  local 
el."  (Professor  Ronald  Freedman, 
iversity  of  Michigan) 


n  sum,  about  30  LDC's  appear  to 
'e  reduced  their  birth  rates  by 
-40%  in  the  1965-75  period.  The 
luctions  have  derived  from  a 
nber  of  causes  but  primarily  from 
mutually  reinforcing  impact,  in 
;lear  proportion,  of  socioeconomic 
/elopment  and  family  planning 
>grams.  Though  the  example  of 
se  countries'  achievement  is  highly 
portant,  the  reductions  have  only 
derately  reduced  overall  LDC 
Dulation  growth  from  2.6%  in  the 
ly  1970's  to  about  2.4%  today, 
ving  aside  China. 


Chart  11 


School  Attendance  in  Developing  Countries 


Millions  of 
Persons 
900  r       ' 


800 
700 
600 
500 
400 
300 

200 

100 
0 


•Estimated 


Projected 


Medium  Variant 


Low  Variant 


Children  not  in  School 
1960  —  210  million 
1974  —  270  million 


Idren  in  School 


1960  —  117  million 
1974  —  231  million 
H L 


1960 


1970 


It  is  impossible  to  say  at  what  pace  the 
proportion  of  children  in  school  will  rise  in  the 
1 976-2000  period  The  chart  does,  however, 
clearly  indicate  the  tremendous  growth  in  the 
number  of  children  5-14  years  of  age  dunng 
that  period  and  the  heavy  burden  many  LDCs 
will  face  in  increasing,  or  even  maintaining, 
the  current  proportion  in  school. 

I I I I 

2000 


1990 


1980 
Year 

Note:  Excludes  China,  the  Democratic  People's  Republic  of  Korea,  and  the  Socialist 
Republic  of  Vietnam. 
Source:  Enrollment  data  from  UNESCO,  Statistical  Yearbook  1976.  1977,    Population  estimates 
to  1975  from  UN;  projections  from  U  S  Bureau  of  the  Census. 


External  Support 

In  their  efforts  to  deal  with  their 
population  problems,  governments  are 
able  to  turn  to  a  variety  of  gov- 
ernmental and  nongovernmental  or- 
ganizations for  advisory  and  funding 
assistance.  About  two-thirds  of  the 
funds  devoted  by  the  developing 
world  (except  the  Asian  Communist 
countries)  to  population  purposes  are 
indigenous  and  about  one-third  comes 
from  external  assistance.  Such  exter- 
nal assistance  to  population  programs 
in  1965-78  totals  $2.1  billion  (chart 
13). 5 

Multilateral  Assistance.  The  U.N. 
Fund  for  Population  Activities 
(UNFPA)  is  the  largest  multilateral 
source  of  external  funding  for  popu- 
lation action  programs  in  developing 
countries.  In  its  9  years'  existence, 
UNFPA  has  provided  over  $250  mil- 
lion in  support  of  more  than  1,200 
population  projects  in  more  than  100 
countries.  In  1977  the  Fund's  annual 
budget,  obtained  from  voluntary  con- 
tributions by  some  45  donor  coun- 
tries, exceeded  $100  million.  The 
major  donors  have  included  Canada, 
Denmark,  the  Federal  Republic  of 
Germany,  Japan,  the  Netherlands, 
Norway,  Sweden,  the  United  King- 
dom,   and    the    United    States.    The 


United  States  in  recent  years  has  pro- 
vided about  30%  of  total  UNFPA 
funding. 

UNFPA  assistance  is  provided  only 
upon  the  request  of  governments.  The 
Fund  is  neutral  as  regards  national 
population  policies  so  long  as  the 
programs  it  supports  are  voluntary. 
The  six  areas  in  which  the  Fund  can 
provide  assistance  are:  basic  popula- 
tion data,  population  dynamics, 
population  policy,  family  planning, 
communication  and  education,  and 
program  development.  Since  the 
World  Population  Conference  in 
1974,  requests  for  UNFPA  assistance 
have  considerably  exceeded  its  re- 
sources, requiring  the  Fund  to  deter- 
mine allocation  priorities. 

Most  of  the  projects  that  UNFPA 
supports  are  implemented  through  or- 
ganizations and  specialized  agencies 
of  the  U.N.  system,  acting  in  their 
respective  fields  of  competence. 
Among  these  are  the  U.N.  Office  of 
Technical  Cooperation,  the  U.N.  De- 
velopment Program  (UNDP),  World 
Health  Organization  (WHO),  U.N. 
Children's  Fund  (UNICEF),  U.N. 
Educational,  Scientific  and  Cultural 
Organization  (UNESCO),  Food  and 
Agriculture  Organization  (FAO),  and 
International  Labor  Organization 
(ILO).    Responding    to    the   desire    of 


International  Assistance  to  Population  Programs 

Primary  Sources  of  Grant  Funds  (1965-78) 


Millions  of 

U.S.  Dollars 

320  r 

300 

280 

260 

240 

220 

200 

180 

160 

140  - 

120 

100 

80 

60 

40 

20 
0 


Est 
310 


|  Private  Sources 

J  Donor  Governments  other  than  the  U  S 

lUS  Government  (AID) 


368       3,4      R 


1    1 


1965   1966   1967   1968   1969   1970   1971   1972   1973   1974   1975   1976   1977   1978 


Source  Otlice  or  Population.  Bureau  lor  Developmenl  Support,  US  Agency  lor  International  Developmenl  Included  in  !he  above  figures  are 
national  conlnbubons  to  international  populabon  assistance  oigani;ations  sucn  as  UNFPA  and  IPPF 


developing  countries,  an  increasing 
share  of  UNFPA  support,  now  about 
27%,  has  been  going  directly  to  de- 
veloping country  population  agencies. 
The  World  Bank  and  its  soft-loan 
affiliate,  the  International  Develop- 
ment Association  (IDA),  entered  the 
population  assistance  field  in  1968. 
This  reflected  the  Bank's  conviction 
that  rapid  population  growth  is  a 
major  barrier  to  the  economic  and  so- 
cial progress  of  many  developing 
countries.  Supported  projects  have  in- 
cluded a  widening  range  of  activities 
relevant  to  an  effective  population 
program.  Assistance  is  provided  on 
conventional  Bank  terms  or,  in  the 
case  of  especially  weak  economies, 
on  highly  subsidized  soft-loan  terms. 

Bilateral  Assistance.  The  major 
national  donors  of  population  assist- 
ance are  Canada,  Denmark,  the  Fed- 
eral Republic  of  Germany,  Japan,  the 
Netherlands,  Norway,  Sweden,  the 
United  Kingdom,  and  the  United 
States 

The  U.S.  program,  comprising 
about  two-thirds  of  the  total  over  the 
1965-78  period,  is  administered  by 
the  Ageruv  for  International  De- 
velopment (AID).  It  has  assisted 
some  30  developing  countries  on  a 
bilateral  basis  and  another  50  coun- 
tries through  programs  sponsored  by 
private  organizations  and  intermediary 
agencies  such  as  the  IPPF  and 
UNFPA 


The  emphasis  of  the  U.S.  popula- 
tion assistance  program,  carried  out 
in  close  conjunction  with  health  as- 
sistance particularly  for  mothers  and 
children,  has  been  on  the  provision  of 
contraceptive  information  and 
supplies.  Recently,  while  maintaining 
and  increasing  this  program,  added 
emphasis  has  been  given  to  programs 
to  enhance  motivation  for  the  use  of 
family  planning  services.  Experience 
has  demonstrated  that  both  programs 
are  required  for  maximum  results  in  a 
mutually  supporting  relationship. 

Most  of  the  eight  non-U. S.  donor 
countries'  bilateral  aid  programs 
focus  on  innovative  approaches  in  a 
limited  number  of  countries  of  special 
interest.  Several  are  participants  in 
World  Bank  consortium  projects  in 
Bangladesh  and  Kenya.  The  major 
part  of  their  population  assistance, 
however,  goes  to  the  multilateral  pro- 
grams of  the  United  Nations  and  the 
IPPF.  Over  60%  of  UNFPA 's  funding 
and  over  40%  of  the  IPPF  budget  are 
provided  by  these  eight  countries. 

Nongovernmental    Organizations. 

A  large  number  of  private,  non- 
governmental organizations  (NGO's) 
have  become  involved  in  various  as- 
pects of  the  population  field,  includ- 
ing research,  training,  and  the  provi- 
sion of  technical,  commodity,  and  fi- 
nancial assistance  to  developing 
countries.    Funding   for   these   organi- 


Department  of  State  Bullei  \. 

zations   has   come   from   both    priva 
and  public  sources. 

The  United  States  has  provide 
substantial  financial  support,  throuj 
AID,  to  a  number  of  NGO's  in  recoj 
nition  of  the  need  for  many-sided  e 
forts  for  effective  overall  populatic 
assistance  to  developing  countrie 
The  Ford  and  Rockefeller  Found; 
tions  have  been  major  supporters  < 
world  population  programs  sine 
1965. 

NGO's  have  a  unique  capacity  i 
undertake    innovative    or    pioneerir  tr 
activities,   especially   in   the  areas  i 
contraception  service  delivery  and  u 
motivation.   They   are  also  an   impo 
tant  vehicle  for  population  assistanc 
to  countries  lacking  an  official  popi 
lation    policy   or   program,    or   whe: 
foreign    governmental    aid    is    nn 
wanted.  This  has  given  NGO's  a  sij 
nificant    role    in    many    countrie 
working  with  private  as  well  as  go" 
ernment  programs. 

The  largest  international  NGO 
the  IPPF,  which  provides  assistant 
to  some  90  affiliated  national  fami 
planning  associations  around  tf 
world.  In  1977  the  IPPF  budget  w; 
more  than  $50  million.  The  majq 
IPPF  contributors  are  Canada,  Japai 
Sweden,  the  United  Kingdom,  and  tr' 
United  States  (about  30%). 

Contraception  service  delivery,  ii 
eluding  the  expansion  of  sterilizatic ■  ■  nclu 
programs  and  community-based  coh  iEs 
traceptive  distribution  projects,  is  tl 
top  priority  of  IPPF  national  popul, 
tion    policies    and    programs.    Con 
munication  and  community  educatic  n 
receive   priority    where   national   pr<  idi 
grams  have  taken  on  broad  respons* 
bility  for  service  delivery.  Increasin 
emphasis    is    given    to    women's    a( 
tivities   associated   with   family   plan 
ning  and  to  improvement  of  the  stati 
of  women. 

Other  leading  population  NGO's  as 
the  Pathfinder  Fund,  Family  Plannin 
International  Assistance,  and  Associa 
tion  for  Voluntary  Sterilization.  A 
provide  technical,  commodity,  and  fi 
nancial  assistance  to  population  pre 
grams  in  developing  countries. 


Pi 
Id  I 


tin 


mi 


K 
VI 

ipei 
loss 
Sit 
ted 

m 


pot 


sThe  figures  in  chart  13  are  in  year-by-ye 
current  dollars.  In  real  terms,  taking  accoun 
of  inflation,  international  assistance  to  popi 
lation  programs  declined  between  1972  an 
1977. 


II 

mil 
nli 

hi 


'J;  i 

ii 


urn 
ii 


vcmber  1978 


THE  PRESIDENT: 

News  Conferences, 
Sept.  28  and  Oct.  I©  (Excerpts) 


PT. 28 ' 


'd  like  to  comment  first  on  two 
y  courageous  actions  that  have  been 
en  recently.  The  first  is  by  the  Is- 
li  Knesset — their  parliament — latt 
t  night,  when  they  voted  over- 
elmingly  by  more  than  a  4  to  1 
rgin  for  peace  in  the  Middle  East, 
luding  the  removal  of  the  Israeli 
tiers  from  the  Sinai,  which  is 
yptian  territory. 

This  is  a  continuation  of  the 
-irageous  action  that  has  already 
:n  demonstrated  by  Prime  Minister 
gin.  who  led  the  parliament  debate, 
/e  his  full  weight  to  this  peace 
ve,  and  by  President  Sadat  who 
>perated  at  Camp  David  in  making 
»ossible.: 

Since  the  Knesset  vote.  I  have 
iced  to  Prime  Minister  Begin;  also, 
it  a  few  minutes  ago,  since  lunch,  to 
sident  Sadat.  Both  of  them  agree 
't  there  are  no  remaining  obstacles 
proceeding  as  rapidly  as  possible  to 
lclude  a  peace  treaty  between  Israel 
i  Egypt. 

['m  very  proud  of  this  action  on 
ir  part.  We  will  cooperate  again  as 
1  partners  in  the  negotiations  to 
nclude  the  final  terms  of  the 
aeli-Egyptian  peace  treaty. 


Q.  What  will  you  do  to  make 
ime  Minister  Begin  comply  with 
ur  understanding  that  Israel  must 
entually  withdraw  from  the  West 
nk  and,  further,  to  build  no  set- 
ments  there  during  the  5  years  of 
gotiation?  And  will  you  consider  a 
ristmas  trip  to  the  Middle  East 
r  the  signing  of  the  peace  treaty? 

A.  There  *s  nothing  that  I  can  make 
ime  Minister  Begin  do.  He's  an  in- 
pendent  leader  of  an  autonomous 
d  independent  nation,  and  I  can  only 
e  persuasion  and  depend  upon  the 
atual  trust  that  exists  between  me 
d  him. 

There  were  20  or  30  very  crucial  is- 
es  that  were  obstacles  at  the  begin- 
ng  of  the  Camp  David  negotiations, 
lis  was  one  of  them.  And  I  would 
less  that  it  was  after  midnight 
iturday — less  than  24  hours  after  the 
nal  agreement  was  signed — that  we 
ached  these  agreements. 


There  are  two  elements  of  the  dis- 
pute. One  is  at  what  time  will  the 
agreement  not  to  build  any  more  set- 
tlements be  concluded.  Prime  Minister 
Begin 's  interpretation  is  that  this  is  to 
be  maintained,  the  prohibition  against 
new  settlements,  during  the  negotia- 
tions concerning  the  Sinai  with  Egypt. 
My  very  clear  understanding  is  that 
it  related  to  the  negotiation  for  con- 
clusion in  the  West  Bank-Gaza  Strip 
of  the  establishment  of  a  self- 
government. 

The  other  question  concerns  whether 
or  not  Israel  would  initiate  new  set- 
tlements after  this  negotiating  period 
was  concluded  and  the  self-gov- 
ernment was  established. 

I  think  the  best  answer  to  that  is  that 
this  is  an  honest  difference  of  opinion. 
The  best  answer  I  can  give  is  to  quote 
from  a  statement  by  Foreign  Minister 
Dayan,  who  was  with  us  at  that  mid- 
night meeting,  and  this  is  a  statement 
he  made  at  the  Ben  Gurion  Airport  on 
the  19th  of  September,  when  he  ar- 
rived in  Israel.  ""Let  us  not  delude 
ourselves" — I'm  quoting  him — "I 
have  no  doubt  that  when  we  enter  into 
deliberations  with  the  other  three  par- 
ties concerning  what  is  to  happen  in 
the  area  in  the  5  years  of  transi- 
tion"— that's  the  West  Bank-Gaza 
Strip — "this  question  will  come  up 
and  will  be  discussed  and  agreement 
will  have  to  be  reached  on  this  sub- 
ject." 

So  the  degree  of  participation  of  the 
residents  of  the  West  Bank  has  still 
got  to  be  determined.  But  it's  an  hon- 
est difference  of  opinion.  It  would 
certainly  be  no  obstacle  to  the  progress 
toward  peace. 

But  I  can't  say  that  we've  resolved 
it  yet.  There's  no  personal  animosity 
between  myself  and  Prime  Minister 
Begin.  I  certainly  do  not  allege  any 
improper  action  on  his  part.  It's  just 
an  honest  difference  of  opinion,  which 
I  think  will  be  resolved. 

As  far  as  my  going  to  the  Middle 
East  is  concerned,  nothing  would 
please  me  more  than  to  participate  in 
the  signing  of  a  peace  treaty  at  an 
early  date.  But  that's  still  to  be 
negotiated.  The  only  request  that 
President  Sadat  made  of  me  in  the  en- 
tire Camp  David  proceedings  was  that 
I  come  to  Egypt.  I  promised  him  that  I 
would  sometime  in  the  future. 


Q.  If  Prime  Minister  Begin  per- 
sists, would  you  consider  canceling 
the  U.S.  agreement  to  build  airbases 
in  the  Negev  for  Israel? 

A.  No.  The  letter  to  Israel  concern- 
ing the  two  airports  to  be  put  in  the 
Negev — I  have  already  directed  that 
that  letter  be  sent  to  Israel.  It's  not 
being  sent  from  me  to  Prime  Minister 
Begin;  it's  being  sent  from  Defense 
Secretary  Harold  Brown  to  Defense 
Minister  Weizman. 

We  have  not  agreed  to  build  the  air- 
bases.  We've  agreed  to  consult  with 
the  Israelis  and  participate  in  the  cost 
of  those  rebuilt  airbases,  to  the  degree 
that  we  negotiate  in  the  future.  We 
will  certainly  participate  in  the  cost, 
the  degree  to  be  determined  in  the 
future. 


Q.  We  hear  reports  that  you  feel 
pretty  good  about  how  the  SALT 
negotiations  are  coming  along  these 
days.  How  close  are  we  to  a  SALT 
agreement  now? 

A.  The  issues  that  divide  us  and  the 
Soviet  Union  on  SALT  have  been  con- 
stantly narrowed  over  the  last  18 
months  of  negotiation.  Now  the  issues 
are  quite  few. 

I  also  talked  to  Secretary  Vance 
since  lunch.  He's  been  meeting  today 
and  yesterday  with  Foreign  Minister 
Gromyko  of  the  Soviet  Union.  I  think 
that  both  men  are  negotiating  aggres- 
sively and  in  good  faith  to  reach  a 
conclusion  of  the  differences. 

I  don't  know  what  the  outcome  will 
be.  It  takes  two  to  reach  agreement. 
We  hope  to  conclude  a  SALT  agree- 
ment this  year,  and  I  will  be  meeting 
with  Foreign  Minister  Gromyko  Satur- 
day to  capitalize  upon  the  progress 
that  I  hope  that  Vance  and  Gromyko 
are  making  now.  I  don't  see  any  in- 
surmountable obstacles.  But  if  the 
Soviets  are  forthcoming  and  coopera- 
tive and  are  willing  to  compromise 
some  of  their  positions,  we  will  have 
an  agreement. 


Q.  The  military  is  pushing  an  idea 
of  digging  a  lot  of  holes  in  the 
ground  for  our  land-based  intercon- 
tinental ballistic  missiles.  So  you 
truck  them  around;  the  Russians 
never  know  which  hole  the  missile  is 
in.  The  theory  is  the  Russians  have 
to  hit  all  the  holes  in  order  to  get  all 
the  missiles.  Do  you  think  that's  a 
good  idea,  and  how  does  that  affect 
the  SALT  negotiations? 

A.  That  is  one  among  many  ideas.  I 
think  over  a  period  of  time,  it  has  be- 


10 

come  obvious  that  our  fixed  silo-type 
intercontinental  ballistic  missiles  are 
becoming  more  and  more  vulnerable 
because  of  the  accuracy  of  the  Soviet 
missiles  —  ours  are  even  more 
accurate — and  the  MIRV'ing  of  the 
Soviet  missiles  where  they  have  many 
warheads  on  each  missile,  which 
we've  had  for  a  long  time. 

The  so-called  multiple  aim  points  or 
many  silos  for  each  missile  is  one  idea 
that  has  been  put  forward.  It  has  some 
very  serious  defects.  I  can  only  men- 
tion two  at  this  time.  One  is,  how  do 
you  verify  that  all  the  holes  don't 
have  missiles  in  them?  It's  obvious 
that  we  would  be  keeping  the  agree- 
ment, and  we  would  not  violate  it.  We 
don't  know  that  that  would  be  the  case 
on  the  other  side.  And  I  believe  that 
we  would  find,  as  we  proceed  further 
with  it,  that  it  would  not  only  be  very 
difficult  if  the  Soviets  adopted  this 
same  policy  but  very  expensive  as 
well. 

But  that  is  one  option  that  we  are 
considering.  And  I  would  guess  that 
by  the  end  of  this  year,  we  would 
have  gone  through  all  the  options  in- 
cluding that  one.  And  at  that  time, 
certainly  at  the  time  that  SALT  II 
agreement  is  reached,  I  will  explain  to 
the  American  people  in  the  most 
careful  and  complete  terms  what  our 
future  plans  for  adequate  strategic 
strength  will  be,  probably  going  for 
the  next  5  years. 

That's  just  one  of  the  options  now. 
It  has  some  very  serious  defects.  It's 
being  considered. 

Q.  There's  a  report  that  you  are 
working  for  a  settlement  in  Lebanon 
and  that  Syria  and  Israel  would  be 
involved.  Could  you  verify  this? 

A.  This  is  a  subject  that  President 
Sadat  raised  with  me  several  times  at 
Camp  David.  It's  one  in  which  we've 
been  involved,  as  you  know,  for  many 
months. 

There's  a  tragedy  in  Lebanon  that 
the  rest  of  the  world  has  not 
adequately  addressed,  including  our- 
selves The  suffering  of  the  people  of 
Lebanon,  through  no  fault  of  their  own 
in  almost  ever)  case,  has  been 
extraordinary. 

Obviously,  the  responsibility  for  re- 
solving the  Lebanon  question  rests 
primarily  on  the  shoulders  of  those 
who  live  there.  My  commitment  has 
been  to  strengthen  the  Sarkis 
government — politically,  econom- 
ically, and  militarily.  We  gave  them 
some  aid  so  that  the  President  of  that 
country  can  control  the  affairs  of  the 
country  itself.  When  we  were  flying 
back  from  Camp  David  on  the  heli- 
copter.  President   Sadat   and   I   were 


talking  about  this;  Prime  Minister 
Begin  joined  in  the  conversation.  All 
three  of  us  committed  ourselves  to 
renew  our  support  for  the  Sarkis  gov- 
ernment, the  Lebanese  Government. 
So,  they  have  the  prime  responsibility. 

The  next  two  nations,  I  would  say, 
that  are  the  most  intimately  involved 
are  Syria,  which  has  large  forces  in 
Lebanon — invited  in  by  the  Lebanese 
Government  because  they  cannot 
maintain  order  by  themselves  under 
existing  circumstances — and  Israel, 
which  obviously  wants  a  stable  gov- 
ernment, stable  people  on  their  north- 
ern border. 

Other  countries  more  removed  geo- 
graphically also  have  an  intense  inter- 
est and  influence  in  Lebanon.  I  would 
say  two  of  them  would  be  Saudi 
Arabia  and  Egypt. 

More  distantly,  other  countries  that 
have  a  direct  historical  interest,  like 
the  United  States  and  France,  would 
be  involved.  All  this  could  be  done 
under  the  aegis  of  the  United  Nations. 

But  I  think  it's  time  for  us  to  take 
joint  action  to  call  a  conference  of 
those  who  are  involved,  primarily  the 
people  who  live  in  Lebanon — the  dif- 
ferent factions  there — and  try  to  reach 
some  solution  that  may  involve  a  new 
charter  for  Lebanon.  I'm  not  in  favor 
of  a  partitioned  Lebanon.  I'd  like  to  see 
a  unified  Lebanon,  at  peace,  with  a 
strong  enough  central  government  to 
control  the  situation  there  and  protect 
its  own  people. 


Q.  You  said  in  your  opening 
statement  that  both  President  Sadat 
and  Prime  Minister  Begin  said  there 
are  no  remaining  obstacles  to  con- 
cluding the  Sinai  treaty.  Have  they 
set  a  date  yet  for  starting  these 
talks?  And  how  long  would  you  es- 
timate that  it  would  take  to  go 
through  the  formalities  that  still 
remain? 

A.  I  would  hope  that  we  could 
commence  the  talks  within  2  weeks, 
but  no  specific  date  has  been  set.  Both 
Prime  Minister  Begin  and  President 
Sadat  today,  when  I  talked  to  them  on 
the  phone,  on  their  own  initiative,  said 
that  they  were  expecting  us  to  be  full 
partners,  as  I  was  at  Camp  David,  and 
they  could  see  no  obstacle  to  the  peace 
talks  beginning  without  delay. 

I  think  it  will  take  2  weeks  to  pre- 
pare for  the  talks.  There  are  some  of- 
ficial responsibilities  that  President 
Sadat  has  in  his  own  country  that  will 
take  place  and  be  concluded  within  2 
weeks.  But  that  would  be  the  ap- 
proximate timeframe.  I'm  not  trying  to 


Department  of  State  Bulle 

be  presumptuous,  because  no  date  h 
been  set. 

Q.  Prime  Minister  Begin  is  su 
posed  to  be  sending  a  letter  dealii 
with  the  Israeli  position  on  the  Wt 
Bank.  Has  that  letter  been  receive 
yet?  And  would  any  delay  on  th 
letter  perhaps  hold  up  these  talks  < 
the  Sinai? 


I 


A.  Prime  Minister  Begin  has  se 
me  a  letter  expressing  his  positio 
and  I've  also  sent  him  a  lett 
expressing  my  position.  Now,  I  thii 
the  next  step  would  be  for  me  at 
him,  in  good  faith  and  in  a  friend! 
cooperative  attitude,  to  try  to  work  o 
the  differences  between  us. 

Q.  Will  you  make  those  lette 
available? 

A.  I'll  think  it  over.  I  can't  answ 
because  I  would  really — it  suits  r 
okay  for  the  letters  to  be  made  avai 
able,  but  I  can't  unilaterally  releai 
the  letter  that  I  sent  to  him  or  receiv> 
from  him  without  his  approval. 

My  own  inclination  is  to  let  all  t 
correspondence  be  made  public  th 
relates  to  the  Mideast  settlement 
We've  done  that  so  far,  even  when  \ 
had  differences  of  opinion.  But 
would  have  to  get  his  permission  h 
fore  we  could  release  the  letters. 


il 


f< 


Q.  Can  you  tell  us  a  little  mo 
about  the  nature  of  your  partici] 
tion  in  this  next  round  of  talks?  V 
mentioned  full  partnership.  Will  \< 
be  personally  involved  with  that,  i 
will  Secretary  Vance  be? 

A.  I  would  guess  that  I  would  n 
be  personally  involved,  except  in 
case  where  the  leaders  of  the  other  tv 
nations  were  involved.  If  there  was 
dispute  about  a  particular  drawing  of 
line  or  a  phased  withdrawal  or  som  I 
thing  of  that  kind  that  could  not  be  r  |> 


■ 


solved  at  the  Foreign  Minister  or  del 
gate  level,  then  I  would  get  involve 
it  necessary. 

I  wouldn't  want  to  see  the  tall 
break  down  because  of  any  timidity  c 
my  part.  I  consider  it  to  be  one  of  tf 
most  important  responsibilities  that 
have.  I  would  guess,  though,  that  tr 
negotiations  will  be  carried  on  at 
fairly  high  level,  below  the  Presidei 
and  Prime  Minister  level 

I  understand  from  Prime  Minist 
Begin  that  the  leader  of  his  delegatii 
will  be  Foreign  Minister  Dayan. 
don't  know  yet  who  will  head  th 
Egyptian  delegation,  and  I've  not  yt 
decided  on  the  American  delegatio 
leader.  But  it'll  be  at  a  fairly  hig 
level. 


"II  vember  1978 

\nd  the  principles  for  settling  the 
ai  disagreements  have  all  been  re- 
ved.  Now  the  details,  which  I  don't 
nk  are  going  to  be  highly  controver- 
1,  are  the  only  things  remaining  to 
resolved.  The  exact  decision  of 
ether  a  particular  road  intersection 
a  hilltop  would  be  at  the  first  with- 
iwal  line,  those  are  the  kind  of 
ngs  that  would  be  settled.  And  I 
ieve  we  have  a  good  relationship 
ween  the  two  leaders  that  wouldn't 
se  a  deterioration  in  the  negotia- 
ns. 


:t.  io-1 


3.  Are  the  separate  peace  talks 
it  open  on  Thursday  [October  12] 
tween  Israel  and  Egypt  linked  in 
y  way  to  negotiations  on  other 
ab  lands  under  Israeli  occupa- 
n?  And  have  you  ever  answered 
tig  Hussein's  questions  concerning 
■  clarification  on  the  sovereignty 
ues? 

4.  The  two  discussions  on  the 
lai,  which  relate  to  Egypt  and  Is- 
1  only  on  the  one  hand,  and  the 
■st   Bank-Gaza  Strip  discussions  on 

other,  are  not  legally  intercon- 
:ted.  But  I  think  throughout  the 
Cmp  David  talks  and  in  the  minds  of 
D  self.  Prime  Minister  Begin,  and 
I-sident  Sadat,  they  are  interrelated. 
1?  have  been  trying  to  induce  the 
J  danians.  and  to  some  lesser  degree 
I  far  the  Palestinians  who  live  on  the 
V'st  Bank-Gaza  Strip  area,  to  partici- 
■<:e  in  the  talks. 

We  hope  that  they  will  both  partici- 
l.e  along  with  the  Egyptians  and  the 
laelis.  There's  no  doubt  in  my  mind 
lit  while  the  negotiating  teams  are  in 
lishington.  we  will  discuss  both  the 
Imai  questions  leading  to  an 
t  yptian-Israeli  peace  treaty  and  also 
I:  questions  concerning  the   West 

I  nk  and  Gaza  Strip. 

II  have  not  yet  responded  to  the 
lestions  that  King  Hussein  sent  to 
I;.  I  saw  him  on  one  of  the  television 
lograms  reading  the  questions. 
Iiey're  in  the  process  of  being  as- 
Issed  by  the  State  Department  and  I 
fcsume  when  they  get  to  me — 

Q.  They  were  given  to  you  pri- 
Itely,  were  they  not? 

A.  No,  they  were  not.  I've  not  yet 
liceived  them  personally.  But  I  do 
liow  basically  what's  in  them.   It's 

lportant  that  this  be  done  expedi- 
nusly,   and  I   will  not  delay  it.   but 

11  be  several  days. 


Q.  Does  Mr.  Warnke's  resignation 
have  anything  to  do  with  the  idea 
that  perhaps  he's  not  the  right  man 
to  try  to  sell  this  treaty  to  the  Sen- 
ate; and,  second,  to  the  SALT 
treaty,  can  you  say  today  that  you 
will  submit  a  SALT  agreement  to 
the  Senate  for  ratification  or  are  you 
still  holding  out  the  possibility  that 
you  might  just  do  it  in  an  executive 
capacity? 

A.  Mr.  Warnke  came  to  help  us 
with  the  SALT  negotiations  as  Direc- 
tor of  the  ACDA  [Arms  Control  and 
Disarmament  Agency]  organization 
with  the  understanding  that  he  would 
only  stay  for  a  limited  period  of  time. 

At  that  time,  last  year,  we  thought 
that  we  would  have  a  SALT  agreement 
in  1977.  Several  months  ago  he  told 
me  that  for  personal  reasons  he  would 
still  like  to  step  down.  Quite  early  this 
past  summer,  I  induced  him  to  stay 
on.  He  will  be  the  head  of  the  Arms 
Control  and  Disarmament  Agency  until 
after  Secretary  Vance's  upcoming  trip 
to  Moscow,  after  which  he  will  step 
down.  I  wish  he  would  stay  on.  He's  a 
very  good  man,  and  he  will  be  avail- 
able to  testify  to  the  Congress  even 
after  he  returns  to  private  life. 

I  have  not  yet  decided  how  to  sub- 
mit the  agreement  or  the  treaty  to  the 
Congress.  I  think  it  would  depend 
upon  when  it  was  concluded,  but  my 
preference  would  be  to  submit  it  as  a 
treaty. 

Q.  But  you  don't  rule  out  the 
other? 

A.  My  preference  is  to  submit  it  as 
a  treaty. 

Q.  Will  you  see  Ian  Smith  [Prime 
Minister  of  the  white  regime  in 
Southern  Rhodesia]  now  that  he's  in 
the  United  States?  And  there's  a 
second  part  to  that  question.  Are 
you  aware  of  any  agreement  Henry 
Kissinger  made  with  Smith  such  that 
the  United  States  would  give 
Rhodesia  full  diplomatic  recognition 
and  an  end  to  sanctions  in  return 
for  a  trend  toward  majority  rule? 

A.  I'm  not  familiar  with  that  execu- 
tive agreemeent.  I  do  not  intend  to  see 
Mr.  Smith.  He's  had  a  meeting  with 
the  Members  of  the  Congress  who  in- 
vited him  over  and  also  had,  I  think,  a 
2-hour  meeting  with  Secretary  Vance. 
There's  no  reason  for  me  to  meet  with 
him. 

I  think  that  the  essence  of  it  is  what 
we're  trying  to  do  is  to  end  the 
bloodshed  in  Rhodesia.  We've  not 
caused  the  bloodshed.  We've  not 
caused  the  war.  But  we  have  put  for- 
ward publicly,   without  any  secrecy 


11 

about  it,  along  with  the  British,  to  the 
front-line  Presidents,  to  the  patriotic 
front,  to  the  Smith  regime,  our  pro- 
posals, that  there  be  all-parties  confer- 
ences where  people  who  are  in  dispute 
can  get  together  and  talk  and  try  to 
work  out  a  means  by  which  free  and 
democratic  elections  can  be  held  in 
Rhodesia — so  that  anyone  who  is 
qualified  can  run  for  office — and  let 
the  people  of  Rhodesia  decide  what 
kind  of  government  they  want. 

This  is  a  proposal  that  Mr.  Smith 
and  his  regime  have  not  been  willing 
to  accept.  But  this  is  what  we  propose. 

If  the  parties  in  dispute  prefer  a 
different  proposal  and  agree  upon  it, 
we  would  have  no  objection  to  that. 

Q.  We  are  currently  prosecuting  a 
former  CIA  warrant  officer  for  al- 
legedly selling  a  manual  on  one  of 
our  spy  satellites  to  the  Soviets.  Can 
you  tell  us  whether  or  not  the 
Soviets  having  that  manual  has  in 
any  way  compromised  U.S.  security 
and  whether  or  not  it  has  affected 
our  SALT  negotiations  because  it 
might  make  it  more  difficult  for  us 
to  verify  their  strategic  weapons 
systems? 

A.  I  would  not  want  to  comment  on 
that  particular  case.  Whenever  the 
Soviets  discover  any  information  about 
our  classified  material,  it's  obviously 
potentially  damaging  to  our  country.  It 
has  not  affected  our  SALT  negotia- 
tions. 

I  stated  publicly,  I  think  for  the  first 
time  a  President  has  done  so,  down  at 
Cape  Kennedy,  Cape  Canaveral,  two 
or  three  Sundays  ago,  that  we  did  have 
aerial  surveillance.  And  I  think  that 
it's  important  for  the  American  people 
to  know  that  in  the  past  and  present 
and  in  the  future,  that  our  aerial  sur- 
veillance capability  would  be  adequate 
to  affirm  that  the  agreement  on 
SALT — those  in  existence  and  those  in 
the  future — would  be  adequate. 

So  the  revelation  of  any  secret  in- 
formation or  classified  information  is 
something  to  be  avoided.  It  has  not 
affected  the  SALT  talks.  Our  ability  to 
verify  compliance  will  be  adequate  in 
the  future. 


Q.  You  said  there  was  no  doubt 
that  the  subject  of  the  West  Bank 
would  come  up  in  the  talks  as  well 
as  that  of  Sinai.  One  of  the  Egyptian 
delegates  has  indicated  that  the 
Egyptians  might  be  unwilling  to  sign 
a  peace  treaty  without  evidence  of 
Israeli  flexibility  on  the  future  ques- 
tion of  settlements  on  the  West 
Bank. 

Have  the  Israelis  given  any  indi- 


12 

cation  yet — for  example,  have  they 
yet  responded  in  this  question  of  the 
exchange  of  letters  and  come  around 
to  the  U.S.  position  on  the  future 
settlements  in  the  West  Bank? 

A.  I  don't  believe  that  your  opinion 
accurately  expresses  what  President 
Sadat  has  told  me.  1  don't  think  he 
would  let  any  single  element  of  the 
West  Bank-Gaza  Strip  settlement  pre- 
vent a  conclusion  of  a  treaty  between 
Egypt  and  Israel. 

And  I  think  the  Israelis  have  been 
very  forthcoming,  in  my  experience 
with  them  at  Camp  David  over  long 
days  of  negotiation,  concerning  the 
West  Bank  and  Gaza  Strip.  I  think 
they're  acting  in  good  faith  to  set  up 
an  autonomous  governing  entity  in  the 
West  Bank-Gaza  Strip  to  withdraw 
their  military  government  very  ex- 
peditiously, and  I  think  the  settlements 
issue  still  remains  open.  But  it's  sub- 
ject to  a  negotiation. 

And  last  time  I  had  a  press  confer- 
ence, I  read  the  statement  that 
Foreign  Minister  Dayan  made  in  Is- 
rael, which  I  think  is  adequate,  com- 
bined with  a  cessation  of  settlement 
activity  altogether  between  now  and 
the  time  the  self-government  is  set 
up. 

The  role  of  our  government,  our 
position  has  always  been  that  the  set- 
tlements in  occupied  territory  are  il- 
legal and  are  an  obstacle  to  peace. 
I've  not  changed  my  opinion,  but  to 
summarize,  I  don't  believe  that  this 
one  issue,  if  unresolved  expedi- 
tiously, would  prevent  the  peace 
treaty  between  Israel  and  Egypt. 

Q.  I'd  like  to  ask  you  about  Iran. 
How  do  we  view  the  situation  in- 
volving the  Shah  there  now?  Is  he 
secure?  How  important  is  it  to  U.S. 
interests  that  the  Shah  remain  in 
power?  And  what,  if  anything,  can 
the  U.S.  Government  do  to  keep 
him  in  power? 

A.  The  strategic  importance  to  our 
country — I  think  to  the  entire  Western 
world — of  a  good  relationship  with  a 
strong  and  independent  Iran  is  cru- 
cial. We  have  historic  friendships 
with  Iran.  I  think  they  are  a  great 
stabilizing  force  in  their  part  of  the 
world.  They  are  a  very  important 
trade  partner.  They've  acted  very 
responsibly. 

My  own  belief  is  that  the  Shah  has 
moved  aggressively  to  establish 
democratic  principles  in  Iran  and  to 
have  a  progressive  attitude  toward  so- 
cial questions,  social  problems.  This 
has  been  the  source  of  much  of  the 
opposition  to  him  in  Iran. 

We   have   no   inclination   to   try   to 


decide  the  internal  affairs  of  Iran.  My 
own  hopes  have  been  that  there  could 
be  peace  there,  an  end  to  bloodshed, 
and  an  orderly  transformation  into 
more  progressive  social  arrangements 
and  also  increased  democratization  of 
the  government  itself  which  I  believe 
the  Shah  also  espouses.  He  may  not 
be  moving  fast  enough  for  some;  he 
may  be  moving  too  fast  for  others.  I 
don't  want  to  get  involved  in  the 
specifics. 


Q.  You  indicated  that  if  an  all- 
parties  conference  would  take  place 
this  would  be  an  advantage  to  pos- 
sibly settling  the  problems  in 
Rhodesia.  Would  you  host  such  a 
conference  in  the  United  States? 

A.  I  have  no  preference  about 
where  it  should  be  held.  I  think  it 
would  be  better,  perhaps,  to  hold  it 
where  the  parties  to  the  conference 
prefer. 

Two  or  three  weeks  ago  I  instructed 
Secretary  Vance  to  propose  to  the 
front-line  presidents  and  others  that 
an  all-parties  conference  be  held  in 
New  York.  This  was  not  acceptable  to 
some  of  them,  and  the  idea  was  not 
carried  to  completion. 

But  the  important  thing  is  to  get  the 
members  who  are  in  dispute  who  head 
armed  forces  that  are  killing  each 
other  in  Rhodesia,  Zimbabwe,  and  the 
surrounding  areas  and  bring  them  to  a 
table  to  talk  about  the  differences  and 
try  to  resolve  them. 

I  believe  that  this  is  the  best  ap- 
proach and.  as  I  say,  we  are  not  wed- 
ded to  a  particular  plan,  although  I 
think  that  the  Anglo-American  plan, 
so-called,  has  been  accepted  in  its 
basic  elements  by  all  the  front-line 
presidents  and  on  occasion  major 
parts  of  it  by  the  Smith  internal  group 
and  also  the  patriotic  front.  It's  a 
good  basis  for  negotiation. 

So  we're  doing  the  best  we  can  to 
end  the  bloodshed  and  to  bring  peace 
without  any  tendency  to  force  people 
to  come  to  a  certain  place  or  to  force 
people  even  to  accept  the  elements  of 
the  settlement  that  we  think  are  best. 


Q.  I'd  like  to  ask  you  about  the 
future  of  the  dollar.  Do  you  feel 
that  the  inflationary — anti-infla- 
tionary steps  that  you  plan  to  take 
after  Congress  leaves,  combined 
with  making  good  on  the  pledges  of 
bond  which  would  occur  if  Con- 
gress acts  on  your  energy  plan, 
would  that  in  sum  be  sufficient  to 
turn  the  dollar  around  or  do  you 
feel  you  have  to  do  more  than  that 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

in  order  to  stem  the  erosion  of  tl 
value  of  the  dollar  against  oth< 
currencies? 

A.  You  have  to  do  more  than  ai 
two  particular  items.  I  think  the  mo 
important  thing  the  Congress  can  c 
is  to  pass  an  energy  package  to  gn 
us  an  identifiable  American  enerj 
policy.  I  think  this  would  resto 
confidence  in  our  government,  conl 
dence  in  our  people,  more  than  an 
thing  I  can  think  of,  among  foreij 
nations  which  trade  with  us  ait 
which  trade  in  our  currency  an 
therefore,  cause  it  sometimes  to  j 
down  in  an  unwarranted  degree- 
Obviously,  controlling  inflation 
another  very  major  step  forward  th 
we  can  take  to  strengthen  the  dollar. 
We  have  done  other  things  as  wel 
We're  trying  to  increase  our  expon 
to  reduce  our  balance-of-trade  defici 
We  have  sold  additional  amounts 
gold  which  is  predictable  policy  no! 
and  I  think  this  helps  to  strength*, 
the  dollar. 

And  one  of  the  most  importai 
things  that  is  occurring  outside  of  ol 
own  control,  but  modified  in  a  beni 
ficial  way  at  Bonn,  was  to  strengths 
the  economies  of  our  major  tradin 
partners,  notably  Japan  and  German 
As  their  economies  are  stronger,  the 
can  buy  goods  more  from  other  cou 
tries,  including  ourselves. 

So  I  think  all  these  factors  coj 
bined  would  lower  our  trade  defia 
and  lead  to  a  stronser  dollar. 


.. 


lis 
,; 
lit 
K 

V 

I 

J 

fli 
Id 

ii 
i 


'For  full  text,  see  Weekly  Compilation 
Presidential  Documents  of  Oct.  2.  1978, 
1653 

:For  documentation  concerning  the  Can 
David  summit  meeting,  see  Bulletin  of  Oc 
1978.  p.  1. 

-'For  full  text,  see  Weekly  Compilation  c 
Oct.   16. 


vember  1978 


AFRICA:        Southern  Rhodesia 

Executive  Council  Members 

Visit  U.S. 


JPARTMENT 

WOUNCEMENT,  OCT.  4' 


As  you  know,  Ian  Smith  [Prime 
nister  of  the  white  regime  in  South- 
1  Rhodesia]  and  the  members  of  the 
lisbury  Executive  Council  have 
jght  permission  to  visit  the  United 
ates  in  response  to  an  invitation 
ued  by  27  members  of  the  U.S. 
nate. 

After  careful  and  extensive  review. 
Department  of  State  has  decided, 
an  exceptional  basis,  to  grant  that 
|uest. 

In  reaching  its  decision,  the  De- 
rtment  weighed  a  number  of  com- 
x  and  serious  considerations  on  all 
les.  Ultimately,  we  decided  to  make 
exception  and  grant  the  requested 
as  in  this  instance  because  we  be- 
ve  the  visit  can  contribute  to  the 
)cess  of  achieving  a  settlement  of 

t  Rhodesian  conflict,  to  which  the 
ministration  remains  entirely  com- 
jtted.  Moreover,  mindful  of  the  need 
J  hear  all  points  of  view  on  an  issue 
I  this  importance  as  well  as  of  the 
languished  source  of  the  invitation. 
I'  believe  that  the  visit  can  contribute 
I  the  American  public *s  understand- 
\i  of  this  complicated  matter  and  to 
■  e ir  support  of  our  search  for  an 
luitable  and  enduring  settlement. 
I  It  is  important  that  the  reasons  for 
I  r  involvement  in  efforts  to  settle  the 
jiodesian  conflict  and  our  role  in  the 
I  gotiations  be  clearly  understood, 
lth  here  and  abroad. 
I  For  the  last  18  months,  the  United 
lates  has  participated  jointly  with  the 
liited  Kingdom  in  a  major  diplomatic 
Uitiative  aimed  at  ending  the  increas- 
Igly  bloody  conflict  in  Rhodesia  and 
Itablishing  a  basis  for  a  peaceful  and 
Iderly  transition  to  majority  rule. 

We  have  not  favored  one  side  or  the 
iher  in  that  conflict.  We  have  resisted 
Iforts  by  both  sides  to  make  our  role 
i.  partisan  one.  We  have  not,  for 
sample,  accepted  the  demands  by  the 
[eternal  parties  that  they  be  given  a 
iminant  role  in  the  critical  transition 
feriod  leading  up  to  elections.  Simi- 
,  rl y .  we  have  not  endorsed  the  ar- 
i.ngements  of  the  internal  settlement, 
ecause  those  arrangements  do  not 
jffer  all  parties  the  opportunity  to 
larticipate  equitably  in  free  and  fair 
lections  held  in  peaceful  circum- 
lances. 


What  we  have  supported  throughout 
our  negotiating  initiative  is  an  ar- 
rangement that  would  assure  the 
people  of  Zimbabwe  their  right  to 
choose  their  own  government  in  elec- 
tions that  are  manifestly  fair  and 
impartial. 

Our  efforts  in  pursuing  that  goal 
have  been  unstinting.  U.S.  and  British 
envoys,  including  Secretaries  Vance 
and  Owen  and  Ambassador  Young, 
have  traveled  hundreds  of  thousands  of 
miles  in  their  attempts  to  reconcile  the 
differences  among  the  parties. 

We  have  done  so  because  the  parties 
have  continued  to  wish  us  to  play  that 
role.  One  of  the  last  hopes  for  a 
peaceful  resolution  of  the  Rhodesian 
conflict  lies  in  the  determination  of  the 
British  and  American  Governments  to 
pursue  every  avenue  that  might  lead  to 
a  settlement. 

Our  goal  remains  unchanged. 
Moreover,  we  are  convinced  that  the 
achievement  of  it  has  become  even 
more  urgent. 

As  the  situation  in  Rhodesia  be- 
comes more  and  more  critical,  we  be- 
lieve it  is  important  that  we  take  every 
conceivable  opportunity  to  help  the 
parties  reconcile  their  differences  and 
to  bring  an  end  to  the  bloodshed  and 
suffering. 

The  visit  of  Mr.  Smith  and  other 
members  of  the  Executive  Council  to 
this  country  can  provide  such  an  op- 
portunity. We  want  to  renew  our  dis- 
cussions with  them  in  order  to  make  it 
clear  that  what  we  are  seeking  for 
Rhodesia  is  not  a  solution  that  gives 
advantages  to  one  population  group 
over  another  but  rather  one  that  offers 
the  best  hope  for  all  Rhodesians  to 
live  under  conditions  of  peace  and 
justice. 

We  are  confident  that  in  their  other 
contacts  here  the  members  of  the 
Executive  Council  will  receive  this 
same  message:  that  the  achievement  of 
peace  in  Zimbabwe  requires  the  will- 
ingness of  all  parties  to  negotiate  their 
differences. 

Reflecting  our  nation's  commitment 
to  freedom  of  speech  and  the  impor- 
tance of  public  debate,  we  believe  that 
the  visit  can  enhance  public  under- 
standing of  the  situation  in  Rhodesia 
and  of  the  various  solutions  being 
offered. 

It  is  important  that  we  miss  no  op- 


13 

portunity,  however  remote  it  may 
seem,  to  settle  this  increasingly  brutal 
and  dangerous  war.  Our  decision  to 
admit  Mr.  Smith  in  this  instance  does 
not  mean  that  we  will  cease  to  observe 
our  responsibilities  as  a  member  of  the 
United  Nations  under  the  Security 
Council's  resolution  on  Rhodesia.  It 
does  not  imply  U.S.  recognition  of  or 
support  for  the  present  Rhodesian  ad- 
ministration nor  does  it  represent  an 
endorsement  of  the  internal  settlement 
proposed  by  the  Salisbury  group. 

Rather,  it  reflects  our  urgent  desire 
at  this  crucial  stage  to  leave  no  stone 
unturned,  no  opportunity  ignored,  and 
to  further  our  efforts  to  end  the 
bloodshed  and  suffering  and  to  achieve 
the  overriding  objective  of  a  peaceful 
and  orderly  transition  to  majority  rule 
with  respect  for  the  rights  of  all. 


JOINT  U.S. -U.K.  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  9 


Our  meeting  today  with  Mr.  Smith 
and  his  colleagues  gave  us  the  oppor- 
tunity to  discuss  the  rapidly  de- 
teriorating situation  in  Rhodesia  and  to 
stress  the  following  points.2 

•  The  only  way  to  avoid  a  growing 
bloody  and  dangerous  civil  war  in 
Rhodesia  is  for  all  the  parties  to  meet 
with  each  other  and  agree  upon  a  fair 
and  peaceful  solution. 

•  To  that  end,  we  urged  Mr.  Smith 
and  his  colleagues  to  agree  to  such 
talks  and  bring  about  an  end  to  the 
continuing  bloodshed. 

•  As  we  have  previously  proposed 
in  the  Anglo-American  plan,  the  road 
to  independence  could  lie  through  an 
impartially  administered  transition 
period  leading  to  fair  elections;  a 
cease-fire,  international  observation, 
and  a  constitution  for  Rhodesia  that 
would  preserve  the  rights  of  white  as 
well  as  black  citizens.3  But  we  will 
also  support  any  solution  agreed 
among  the  parties. 

•  Each  side  now  accepts  the  princi- 
ple of  elections,  but  each  also  seeks 
dominance  during  the  transition 
period.  If  each  continues  to  insist  that 
the  other  accept  its  terms,  there  can  be 
no  progress. 

•  We  remain  impartial.  The  recent 
claims  on  each  side  that  we  favor  the 
other  are  simply  false.  If  we  favored 
either  one,  we  would  hinder  our  abil- 
ity to  work  for  a  fair  process  that 
would  end  the  bloodshed.  Only  free 
and  fair  elections  —  not  outside 
powers — should  decide  the  future  of 
Rhodesia.  All  of  us  must  remember 
that  the  decision  for  peace  lies  in  the 
hands  of  the  parties  themselves. 


14 


Department  of  State  Bui  lei 


... 


ARMS  CONTROL: 

A  Balaneeil  ami  Effective  Defense 


by  Harold  Brown 

Address  before  the  annual  national 
convention  of  the  American  Legion  in 
New  Orleans  on  August  22.  1978. 
Harold  Brown  is  Secretary  of 
Defense. 

I  want  to  talk  today  about  how  we 
are  working  to  assure  our  military 
security — both  by  building  balanced 
and  fully  adequate  armed  forces  of  the 
kind  we  most  need  and  by  seeking 
arms  control  agreements  consistent 
with  the  interests  of  this  country. 

Last  week  President  Carter  sent 
back  to  the  Congress,  without  his  ap- 
proval, a  defense  procurement  bill 
which  would  have  weakened  our  de- 
fense by  taking  $2  billion  from  high 
priority  defense  needs  in  order  to  pay 
for  one  nuclear-powered  aircraft  car- 
rier. The  President  and  I  support  the 
full  amount  of  the  Defense  budget  of 
$126  billion  which  he  requested.  We 
want  no  congressional  cut  to  be  made 
from  it.  But  we  do  want  that  money 
spent  wisely  and  spent  where  it  is 
most  needed. 

The  nuclear  aircraft  carrier  costs 
nearly  a  billion  dollars  more  than 
would  a  future  non-nuclear  carrier.  We 
plan  to  build  carriers  in  the  future,  but 
we  do  not  need  to  build  this  one  now 
at  the  expense  of  more  urgent  needs. 
And  we  do  not  need  to  add  $1  billion 
to  the  price  tag. 

The  President  is  asking  the  Congress 
that  in  the  coming  year,  instead  of 
building  a  $2  billion  carrier  with  a  nu- 
clear power  plant,  that  great  amount  of 
money  be  applied  to  more  urgent 
needs  like  the  following: 


Southern  Rhodesia  (Cont'd) 

•  We  will  continue  to  press  all  sides 
for  an  end  to  the  senseless  and  brutal 
killing  of  civilians. 

We   urged   Mr.   Smith  and  his  col- 
leagues to  consider  these  points  sen 
ously  and  to  agree  to  earl)   roundtable 
discussions  with  the  other  parties        □ 


'Read  to  news  correspondents  by  acting  De- 
partment spokesman  Tom  Reston 

'Secretary  Vance  and  British  Ambassador 
Peter  Jaj  led  the  U.S.  and  U.K.  participants  in 

the  meeting. 

'For  text  of  the  Anglo-American  plan,  see 
Hi  ii  i  us  of  Oct.  3,  1977,  p.  424. 


•  $800  million  for  helicopters, 
combat  vehicles,  and  ammunition  for 
the  Army; 

•  $200  million  for  airlift,  electronic 
warfare  equipment,  and  modern  elec- 
tronically guided  ordnance  for  all  the 
services; 

•  Half  a  billion  dollars  to  upgrade 
the  readiness  of  all  our  Armed  Forces 
by  providing  spare  parts,  ship  over- 
hauls, training,  communications,  and 
logistical  support; 

•  Several  hundred  million  dollars 
more  for  research  and  development; 
and 

•  More  construction  of  modern  gen- 
eral purpose  naval  ships.  For  instance, 
we  could  build  next  year  two  new 
guided  missile  frigates,  three  antisub- 
marine warfare  ships,  and  a  fleet 
oiler — all  for  less  than  one-third  the 
cost  of  a  nuclear-powered  carrier. 

The  President's  action  is  one  to  en- 
hance our  defense,  and  it  certainly  is 
not  anti-Navy.  We  have  the  strongest 
navy  in  the  world,  and  we  intend  to 
keep  it  that  way.  We  need  to  have 
balanced  forces  to  meet  all  our  defense 
needs,  including  particularly  the  need 
for  our  forces  that  are  in  Europe  or  are 
oriented  for  combat  there  to  combine 
with  the  forces  of  our  NATO  allies  to 
counter  the  steady  Soviet  buildup.  The 
Navy  itself  needs  to  bring  the  ship 
construction  program  into  balance.  It 
must  stop  the  drift  of  the  past  10  years 
toward  a  navy  of  fewer  and  fewer 
ships,  each  of  which  costs  more  and 
more  to  build.  No  ship,  no  matter  how- 
costly  and  capable,  can  be  in  more 
than  one  place  at  a  time.  We  want  to 
keep  ours  the  world's  strongest 
navy — not  to  build  the  world's  most 
expensive  ship. 


The  Military  Balance 

Let  me  turn  now  to  a  broader  look 
at  where  we  stand  in  the  world  and 
how  it  shapes  our  defense  decisions.  I 
should  note  first,  of  course,  that  the 
overall  relative  strength  of  the  United 
States  and  the  Soviet  Union  depends 
on  mote  than  military  forces  alone, 
although  those  forces  are  a  necessary 
and  crucial  element.  The  total  balance 
includes  many  parts  —  economic 
strength  and  productivity,  political 
stability  and  cohesion,  our  technolog- 
ical skill,  the  appeal  of  our  way  of  life 
and  our  international  policies,  and  our 


national  will.  In  these  overall  term 
there  is  no  doubt  in  my  mind  that  til 
United  States  is  the  most  powerftl 
country  in  the  world.  We  outstrip  tl* 
Soviets  in  nearly  every  category  I  hav 
mentioned.  It  is  only  on  the  militai 
side  that  their  society  has  been  able  i 
rival  us.  But  the  fact  that  they  hav 
turned  so  much  of  their  effort  to  mill 
tary  activities  is  serious  and  has  to  U 
troubling  to  us.  We  need  to  do  what 
necessary  to  keep  a  military  balance  I 
well  as  a  favorable  overall  balance  < 
national  power. 

I  noted  a  moment  ago  that  we  ai 
urging  the  Congress  to  keep  our  D« 
fense  budget  for  next  year  at  the  fui 
amount  the  President  requested  ii 
January.  We  have  also  pledged,  alon| 
with  our  NATO  allies,  to  increase  oil 
defense  effort  in  real  terms,  after  ai 
lowing  for  inflation,  with  a  goal  I 
about  3%  increase  per  year. 

Why  are  we  making  this  effort  t 
increase  our  defense?  In  deciding  jut 
how  many  defense  dollars  we  neerj 
we  have  to  start  by  looking  at  th 
military  efforts  and  capabilities  of  th 
Soviet  Union.  I  have  examined  thos* 
Soviet  capabilities  carefully  with  th 
help  and  advice  of  the  Joint  Chiefs  c 
Staff.  They  and  I  meet  at  least  once 
week,  and  I  meet  daily  with  Gem 
Jones,  the  Chairman  of  the  Joir 
Chiefs  of  Staff.  We  consider  fre 
quently  what  responses  the  Unite 
States  should  make  to  growth  in  Sovia 
military  power.  We  find  that  th 
Soviets  have  been  engaged  in  a  sub 
stantial  military  buildup  for  nearly  2f 
years.  Over  that  period  they  have  in 
creased  their  military  expenditures  bj 
about  4%  each  year  in  real  terms 
compounded,  year  in  and  year  out 
And  their  buildup  is  continuing. 

But  that  does  not  mean  that  we  ano 
our  allies  have  been  sitting  on  ou 
hands  or  that  we  have  suddenly  be- 
come inferior  to  the  Warsaw  Pact.  Wt 
are  not.  And  it  does  not  mean  that,  as 
we  continue  to  improve  our  forces,  wt. 
should  make  them  a  carbon  copy  ol 
the  Soviet  posture  or  that  we  shoulc 
plan  forces  simply  to  match  certain 
•Soviet  capabilities. 

The  Soviets  must  wrestle  with  a 
number  of  problems  that  we  do  not 
now  have,  especially  with  respect  tOJ 
China.  Their  planning  has  to  take  into 
account  a  difficult  geography  and  a 
harsh  climate — though  they  do  hav& 
the  advantage  of  internal   lines  on 


jvember  1978 

mmunication.  They  lack  willing  and 
fective  allies.  Our  planning  should 
ither  forget  their  burdens  nor  assume 
;  have  the  same  problems;  we  have 
oblems,  but  ours  are  different. 


le  Nuclear  Deterrent 

Thus,  simple  comparison  of  Soviet 
d  American  forces  is  only  the  be- 
.ning  of  understanding  our  military 
eds.  In  planning  our  forces,  we  need 
be  careful  not  to  be  misled  by  such 
mparisons. 

Take  the  case  of  our  strategic  nu- 
;ar  posture.  With  the  warheads  we 
•eady  deploy,  we  can  target  all  sig- 
ficant  military  objectives  in  the 
.viet  Union,  even  after  undergoing  a 
st  strike  by  the  Soviets.  Our  basic 
tensive  strength,  in  other  words,  is 
equate  today.  But  as  strategic  forces 
ve  grown  more  sophisticated  in  both 
e  Soviet  Union  and  the  United 
ates,  the  requirements  of  deterrence 
ve  become  more  demanding,  not 
icessarily  in  terms  of  missile 
■row-weight  or  megatonnage  or 
arheads— the  sorts  of  measures  one 
ten  hears  about — but  rather  in  other 
nensions. 

For  example,  control  and  the  ability 
withhold  some  offensive  forces — to 
able  to  attack  some  targets  and 
lare  others  at  a  particular  phase  of 
mbat — may  be  as  important  as  rapid 
.action  against  the  entire  enemy 
irget  system.  As  a  consequence,  our 
ifense  needs  improved  communica- 
ms,  command,  and  control,  even 
ough  such  capability  tends  to  be  ig- 
ired  in  most  simple  comparisons  of 
jviet  and  American  strategic 
pabilities. 

Age  also  often  is  ignored  in  simple 
>mparisons.  and  some  of  our  offen- 
've  forces  are  growing  old.  Also, 
>me,  particularly  the  ICBM  [inter- 
mtinental  ballistic  missilel  compo- 
;nt,  are  becoming  more  vulnerable 
an  is  desirable  from  the  standpoint 
flexibility,  even  though  we  might 
:cide  to  use  those  forces  under  attack 
jfore  they  were  destroyed. 
We  have  not  been  idle  in  the  face  of 
ese  needs.  Aging  of  the  force  is 
ing  brought  under  control.  The 
odernization  of  the  submarine  and 
jmber  forces — with  the  Trident  mis- 
le  and  with  cruise  missiles — is  well 
ider  way.  We  are  moving  toward  de- 
jlopment  of  a  new  and  more  sophis- 
cated  ICBM.  And  we  are  continuing 
)  examine  possible  replacements  for 
ar  B-52  bombers. 
We  are  giving  equal  priority  to  our 
ther  strategic  force  needs,  even 
hough  they  are  less  visible  and  do  not 


lend  themselves  to  simple,   numerical 
comparisons  with  Soviet  capabilities. 

•  Our  warning  systems  are  being 
improved. 

•  We  are  developing  increased  ac- 
curacy for  all  our  missiles — ballistic 
and  cruise. 

•  We  are  upgrading  our  communi- 
cations and  ability  to  use  those  com- 
munications selectively. 

•  New  warheads  soon  will  be  de- 
ployed, and  advanced  avionics  systems 
for  our  bombers  are  being  tested. 

Right  now,  even  after  a  Soviet  sur- 
prise attack,  we  could  deliver  literally 
thousands  of  thermonuclear  weapons 
to  targets  in  the  Soviet  Union.  Despite 
the  improving  Soviet  offensive  and 
defensive  forces,  that  capability  of 
ours  is  not  going  to  decline  in  the  fu- 
ture. It  is  going  to  increase. 

In  response  to  the  potential  threat 
new  Soviet  ICBM's  pose  to  our 
ICBM's.  I  have  asked  the  military 
services  and  the  Joint  Chiefs  of  Staff 
to  consider  a  number  of  options  to  en- 
hance the  survivability  of  that  leg  of 
our  nuclear  deterrence  triad,  a  triad 
which  is  composed  of  bombers  and 
cruise  missiles,  submarine-launched 
ballistic  missiles,  and  intercontinental 
land-based  missiles.  A  number  of 
mobile  ICBM-basing  concepts  are 
being  evaluated,  including  some  in- 
volving alternate  launch  points  tor 
each  missile.  This  concept  envisions 
moving  missiles  and  their  launchers 
among  multiple  sites  which  might 
themselves  be  hardened,  thus  substan- 
tially complicating  Soviet  targeting  of 
our  deterrent. 

No  decision  has  been  made  whether 
or  not  to  deploy  mobile  ICBM  sys- 
tems, like  the  alternate  launch  point 
system  (or  multiple  aim  point  system, 
as  it  is  sometimes  called)  that  I  just 
mentioned.  Nor  have  we  decided 
which  particular  concept  we  would 
implement,  if  we  were  to  elect  to  de- 
ploy a  mobile  ICBM  system.  The 
current  and  projected  capabilities  of 
our  strategic  forces  give  us  time  to 
study  thoroughly  questions  of  techni- 
cal feasibility,  military  effectiveness, 
and  cost  prior  to  making  decisions 
about  deploying  mobile  ICBM's. 

Any  mobile  ICBM-basing  system 
would,  of  course,  have  to  be  fully 
consistent  with  all  provisions,  includ- 
ing verification  provisions,  of  a 
strategic  arms  limitation  agreement. 
The  United  States  will  not  deploy  a 
mobile  ICBM  system  that  would  not 
permit  adequate  verification  of  the 
number  of  launchers  deployed  and 
other  provisions  of  the  agreement. 
You  may  be  confident  that  we  will  in- 


15 

sist  that  any  Soviet  system  meet  the 
same  verification  standards. 

The  parts  of  the  joint  draft  text  of 
the  SALT  II  agreement  that  have  al- 
ready been  agreed  allow  deployment 
of  mobile  ICBM  systems  of  the  types 
we  are  considering.  The  draft  agree- 
ment explicitly  permits  deployment  of 
mobile  ICBM  launchers  during  its 
term,  after  the  expiration  of  an  interim 
protocol  period  which  would  end  well 
before  mobile  ICBM  systems  would  be 
ready  for  deployment. 

I  know  that  some  of  you  are  con- 
cerned about  SALT.  I  want  to  assure 
you  that  no  SALT  agreement  will  be 
signed  unless  it  is  in  the  interest  of  the 
United  States  to  sign  it.  That  means 
particularly  that  it  must  not  undermine 
our  military  security.  An  acceptable 
strategic  arms  limitation  agreement  is 
not  going  to  weaken  the  U.S.  second- 
strike  capability  that  I  have  described. 
We  will  retain  our  assurance,  and  the 
Soviets  will  know,  that  we  can  deliver 
such  a  devastating  second-strike  blow. 
And  that  will  remain  true  despite  the 
current  Soviet  civil  defense  program. 


Conventional  Forces 

Let  me  turn  finally  to  conventional 
forces.  Here  detailea  comparisons 
count  even  more  than  in  strategic 
forces.  Despite  the  growth  in  Soviet 
theater  capabilities,  we  and  our  allies 
already  have  bought  and  are  paying  for 
the  land,  naval,  and  air  forces  needed 
to  protect  our  interests  in  the  world. 
Despite  our  global  responsibilities,  we 
already  are  well  equipped  to  deal  with 
contingencies  that  allow  ample  time 
for  readying  and  deploying  our  forces. 
If  NATO  could  be  sure  of  a  month  or 
more  to  set  up  its  defenses,  for  exam- 
ple, I  doubt  that  any  Soviet  marshal 
would  recommend  an  attack  on  West- 
ern Europe. 

Unfortunately,  however,  we  and  our 
allies  no  longer  can  count  on  having 
that  kind  of  time.  The  Soviet  theater 
forces  have  changed  most  significantly 
not  in  numbers  but  in  their  ability  to 
wage  short,  intense,  non-nuclear  cam- 
paigns using  large,  modernized  forces 
with  relatively  little  advance  prepara- 
tion. In  consequence,  as  Gen.  Haig, 
the  Supreme  Allied  Commander  in 
Europe,  recently  observed,  surprise 
attack  has  become  more  feasible.  Our 
needs  have  changed  accordingly,  not 
toward  larger  forces  but  toward  higher 
combat  readiness,  greater  shortrun 
sustainability,  improved  interoperabil- 
ity with  allies,  and  more  long-range 
mobility  for  the  forces  we  already 
have. 

Don't  misunderstand  me;  I   recog- 
nize the  need  for  modern  weapons. 


16 

We  need  improved  equipment.  But  our 
modern  weapons  must  be  fully  effec- 
tive Therefore,  the  members  of  our 
Armed  Forces  must  be  able  to  main- 
tain them,  adequately  train  on  them, 
and  get  them  into  a  combat  theater 
before  our  defenses  are  overrun. 

Combat  effectiveness  depends  on 
many  factors.  We  must  keep  the  size 
of  our  forces,  their  modernization, 
their  readiness  (including  their  mobil- 
ity), and  their  sustainability  in  bal- 
ance, especially  when  the  incentives 
for  surprise  attack  and  short,  intense 
campaigns  have  gone  up.  Spending 
money  on  spare  parts,  unit  training, 
and  field  exercises  may  not  grab  the 
headlines.  But  considering  the  invest- 
ment we  already  are  making  in  hard- 
ware, that  is  the  right  way  at  the  right 
time  to  neutralize  the  Soviet  buildup. 
That  is  what  the  President  had  in 
mind,  as  I  said  earlier,  when  he  sent 
the  Defense  authorization  bill  back  to 
the  Congress  last  week  with  a  request 
to  put  our  dollars  where  they  will  pro- 
vide us  the  greatest  protection  from 
the  Soviet  military  effort. 


Security  and  Arms  Control 

An  adequately  and  properly  bal- 
anced Defense  budget,  then,  is  one 
way  we  assure  our  security  against  the 
Soviet  military  threat.  It  is  a  necessary 
way,  but  it  is  not  the  only  one. 

Although  some  may  still  be  skepti- 
cal about  arms  control  agreements — 
and  it  is  a  particular  responsibility  of 
mine  not  to  be  gullible  about  them — 
such  agreements  are  another  and  com- 
plementary way  of  dealing  with  Soviet 
military  efforts.  The  interests  of  the 
Soviet  Union  and  the  United  States 
clearly  diverge  in  many  respects.  But 
the  Soviets  understand  that,  as  long  as 
we  remain  strong — and  I  intend  that  we 
will — direct  conflict  with  the  United 
States  and  its  friends  could  quickly 
lead  to  disaster.  At  a  minimum,  they 
share  our  interest  in  avoiding  such  a 
conflict.  And  there  are  other  problems 
of  mutual  concern  on  which  com- 
munication remains  necessary  and 
cooperation  should  be  possible.  We 
cannot  afford  to  ignore  those  pos- 
sibilities. 

I  say  that  because  the  interests  of 


Convention  on  the  Hostile  Use 
of  Environmental  Modification  Techniques 


MESSAGE  TO  THE  SENATE, 
SEPT.  22' 

I  am  transmitting  herewith,  for  the  advice 
and  consent  of  the  Senate  to  ratification,  the 
Convention  on  the  Prohibition  of  Military  or 
Any  Other  Hostile  Use  of  Environmental  Mod- 
ification Techniques,  signed  at  Geneva  on  May 
18.  1977. 

The  Convention  is  the  result  of  extensive 
study,  debate,  and  negotiation  at  the  Confer- 
ence of  the  Committee  on  Disarmament  at 
Geneva  and  at  the  United  Nations.  It  seeks  to 
avert  the  dangers  resulting  from  the  hostile  use 
of  environmental  modification  techniques 
"having  widespread,  long  lasting  or  severe 
effects  as  the  means  of  destruction,  damage  or 
injury  to  any  other  Stale  Party." 

In  1973,  growing  awareness  of  the  need  for 
protecting  our  environment  led  to  the  adoption 
of  Senate  Resolution  71  which  urged  the 
Executive  Branch  to  negotiate  a  treaty  pro- 
hibiting environmental  wart.ire.  The  United 
States  and  the  Soviet  Union,  after  three  rounds 
of  bilateral  consultations,  tabled  identical  dull 
texts  of  a  multilateral  convention  at  the  Confer- 
ence of  the  Committee  on  Disarmament  in 
1975.  Negotiations  on  the  basis  ot  these  texts 
resulted  in  the  document  I  am  transmitting  to 
you  today. 


I  am  also  sending  with  the  Convention  four 
Understandings  relating  to  Articles.  1.  II.  Ill 
and  VIII.  respectively.  These  Understandings 
are  not  incorporated  into  the  Convention.  They 
are  part  of  the  negotiating  record  and  were  in- 
cluded in  the  report  transmitted  by  the  Confer- 
ence of  the  Committee  on  Disarmament  to  the 
United  Nations.  The  provisions  of  the  Conven- 
tion and  the  Understandings  are  described  in 
detail  in  the  accompanying  report  of  the  De- 
partment of  State. 

By  prohibiting  the  hostile  use  of  potentially 
disastrous  environmental  modification  tech- 
niques, the  Convention  represents  one  more 
advance  in  the  field  of  arms  control  to  which 
my  Administration  is  firmly  committed.  I  rec- 
ommend that  the  Senate  give  prompt  consid- 
eration to  the  Convention,  and  advise  and  con- 
sent to  its  ratification. 

Jimmy  Carter     □ 


'}. 


'Text   from   Weekly   Compilation   of   Presi 
dential   Documents  of  Sept.   25.    1978;  also 
primed  as  S.  Ex.  K  which  also  includes  Secre- 
tar)  Vance's  letter  of  submittal  and  the  texts  of 
the  conventions  and  the  understandings 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

the  United  States  are  best  advanc; 
under  conditions  of  peace  and  order 
change.  We  need  as  much  stability  an 
predictability  as  we  can  manage  in  oi 
internal  relations,  consistent  with  m 
tional  security.  U.S.  and  allied  am 
buildups  offer  one  way  of  obtainii 
security,  stability,  and  predictabilit 
arms  control  provides  another.  Wh 
mix  of  the  two  works  best  depends  c 
the  circumstances. 

As  matters  now  stand,  we  are  we 
positioned  for  further  competition  an 
an  arms  buildup.  But  that  is  not  on 
preferred  path,  if  we  can  obtain  sea 
rity,  stability,  and  predictabilil 
through  precise,  equitable,  and  verift 
able  arms  control.  In  that  case  w 
prefer  agreed  restraints  and  reductioi 
to  competition  and  buildups.  As  a  m 
tion.  we  have  no  vested  interest  : 
arms  races. 

Our  preference  for  restraint  is  bour 
to  be  especially  strong  where  nucle. 
forces  are  concerned.  I  say  this  ft 
several  reasons.  Nuclear  weapor 
represent  the  only  real  threat  to  tr 
survival  of  the  United  States  and,  fl 
that  matter,  to  that  of  the  Sovii 
Union.  Those  weapons  could  destrc 
in  hours  all  that  the  two  nations  ha* 
built  over  centuries. 

Both  the  United  States  and  tr 
Soviet  Union  already  deploy  nucle; 
forces  capable  of  this  kind  of  destrui 
tion.  As  a  consequence,  it  is  increa 
ingly  unlikely  that  further  buildups  b 
one  side  will  yield  a  meaningful  at 
vantage,  providing  that  the  other  sic 
takes  prudent  countermeasures.  This 
so  even  though  civil  defense  or  exot 
technologies  may  continue  to  creai 
the  illusion  of  potential  advantage. 

This  is  not  to  say  that  agreements  tt 
limit  strategic  or  other  armaments  cai 
solve  all  problems,  remove  all  grounc 
for  fear  and  suspicion,  or  bring  a 
competition  to  a  complete  halt.  Bb 
carefully  drawn  agreements,  backed  b 
verification  of  compliance  with  then"; 
can  accomplish  a  great  deal. 

•  They  can  make  the  achievemer 
of  future  advantage  even  more  un 
likely  while  allowing  current  vul 
nerabilities  to  be  removed. 

•  They  can  make  future  structure 
more  predictable  and  lower  the  neei 
for  extreme  conservatism  in  our  de 
fense  planning. 

•  They  can  contribute  to  a  healthie 
political  environment,  an  environment 
in  which  still  further  restraints  can  hi 
imposed  on  both  sides  according  to  tht1 
principle  of  equivalence. 

I  do  not  see  any  immediate  prospeC| 
of  achieving  a  mutual  end  to  competi 
tion  in  military  strength.  A  reasonable 
objective   today   is   to   maintain   t hi 


wember  1978 

)dest  momentum  toward  arms  con- 

1.   But  arms  control  as  such,  I  can 

sure  you.  is  not  our  sole  or  even 

ncipal  objective  in  SALT.  What  we 

nt.  what  we  insist  on,  is  that  the  se- 

•ity  of  the  United  States  and  its  al- 

s  be  at  least  as  assured  with  a  SALT 

eement  as  without  it.   If  an  agree- 

nt  does  not  meet  that  test,   it  will 

t  be  signed.  If  it  does,  it  will  be. 

But  with  or  without  SALT,  our  de- 

lse  programs  will,  in  the  main,  have 

continue.  As  we  proceed  with  them, 

issue   is  not   whether  to  have  as 

ich  defense  as  we  need  to  protect 

r  domestic  and  foreign  interests. 

)body   should  doubt  the   absolute 

ority  of  that  requirement.   To  the 

ent  that  there  is  an  issue,  it  is  over 

at,  in  detail,  constitutes  the  neces- 

y  defense. 

Experts  can  argue  for  hours — my 

n  time  is  heavily  involved  in  such 

isiderations — about  how  important, 

•wlutely  or  relatively,  it  is  to  add  a 

th  Army  Division,   a  27th  fighter- 

ack  wing,  or  a   13th  attack  carrier. 

e  fact  of  the  matter  is  that,  with  the 

ce  structure  we  already  have,  indi- 

lual  changes  of  that  order  are  not 

ing  to  make  much  difference  to  our 

erall   military   effectiveness.    But 

mges   in  our  ability   to   maintain, 

'Ve,  supply,  and  operate  profession- 

•y  the  weapons  already  in  our  in- 

itories  can   make  all   the  difference 

the  world  in  our  effectiveness  and 

our  deterrent  power.  You  can  recall 

or  own   military  experiences.    You 

jhbably   remember  the  difficulties  of 

|r forming    your    mission    when 

% apons  and  equipment   were  not  in 

a;quate   supply   or  not   functioning 

■  iperly  or  down  for  lack  of  spare 

Its 

!  The  President  and  I  want  tully  ef- 
Itive  forces.  The  competition  from 
mt  Soviet  Union  demands  it.  Real 
tidiness  to  fight  is  the  most  effective 
tJnter  to  the  Soviet  military  threat. 
Iir  resources  must  be  spent  to  assure 
I'ectiveness  for  the  kinds  of  conflicts 
lit  are  the  most  likely  now  and  in  the 
reseeable  future.  We  must  not  drift 
Ick  toward  the  old  strategy  of  sac- 
ricing  immediate  readiness  but 
lunting  on  a  long  time  for  niobil- 
lition — a  strategy  that  was  barely 
lisible  in  the  1930-s. 

Today  we  do  not  have  the  luxury  of 
gne.  and  combat  readiness  and  quick 
isponse  are  what  we  need.  As  Secre- 
II 'y  of  Defense,  I.  with  the  concur- 
Ihce  of  the  President,  intend  to  shape 
jljd  provide  for  our  forces  to  meet 
pse  very  real  requirements.  You  are 
(group  who.  because  of  those  very 
'.;al  requirements,  can  understand  this, 
lope  I  will  have  your  support. 


17 


Comprehensive  Test  Ban 


by  Leslie  H.  Gelb 

Statement  before  the  SALT  II  and 
CTB  Panel  of  the  House  Committee  on 
Armed  Services  on  August  14,  1978. 
Mr.  Gelb  is  Director  of  the  Bureau  of 
Politico- Military  Affairs. ' 

Let  me  briefly  review  the  com- 
prehensive test  ban  (CTB)  from  the 
perspective  of  America's  larger  politi- 
cal and  security  interests.  CTB  is  part 
of  a  continuing,  bipartisan  effort  car- 
ried out  by  all  postwar  Administra- 
tions. Each  has  tried  to  enhance  our 
security  by  placing  some  restraints  on 
the  dangerous  spiral  of  the  nuclear 
arms  race.  These  efforts  began  to  bear 
fruit  in  the  early  1960's.  The  follow- 
ing major  accomplishments  have 
helped  to  pave  the  way  for  a  CTB. 

•  In  1963  the  United  States,  the 
U.S.S.R.,  and  the  United  Kingdom 
negotiated  the  Limited  Test  Ban 
Treaty,  which  prohibits  the  testing  of 
nuclear  weapons  in  the  atmosphere, 
outer  space,  and  underwater.  This  left 
underground  testing  as  the  only  per- 
mitted area  remaining,  but  it  set  no 
limit  on  the  yield  level  of  the  tests. 

•  In  1967,  building  on  an  earlier 
U.N.  resolution,  the  United  States  and 
U.S.S.R.  further  limited  the  scope  of 
nuclear  weapons  activity  by  reaching 
an  agreement  prohibiting  the  stationing 
in  outer  space  of  objects  carrying  such 
weapons  (Outer  Space  Treaty). 

•  In  1968  the  United  States.  United 
Kingdom,  and  U.S.S.R.  took  a  major 
step  on  the  path  to  halting  the  interna- 
tional, or  "horizontal."  spread  of  nu- 
clear weaponry  by  concluding  the  Nu- 
clear Nonproliferation  Treaty  (NPT). 
This  has  been  ratified  by  104  countries 


but  there  unfortunately  remain  some 
key  holdouts. 

•  In  1971  the  United  States,  United 
Kingdom,  and  U.S.S.R..  building 
upon  the  Outer  Space  Treaty,  con- 
cluded an  agreement  prohibiting  the 
placing  of  nuclear  weapons  and  other 
weapons  of  mass  destruction  on  the 
seabeds  and  ocean  floors  (Seabed 
Arms  Control  Treaty). 

•  In  1972  the  United  States  and 
U.S.S.R.  concluded  SALT  I.  which: 
(a)  put  a  cap  on  the  antiballistic  mis- 
sile (ABM)  (defensive)  systems  of 
both  sides  and  (b)  limited  for  a  5-year 
period  certain  strategic  offensive  arms. 
This  set  the  stage  for  SALT  II,  in 
which  we  are  trying  to  bring  about 
more  significant  limitations  on  offen- 
sive nuclear  weaponry. 

What  is  it  about  these  treaties  that 
made  them  acceptable  to  the  United 
States  and  enabled  them  to  be  ratified? 
The  answer  is  that  they  have  effec- 
tively enhanced  and  complemented  our 
strong  national  defense  posture. 

It  is  important  to  note  that  these 
treaties  are  not  dependent  upon  any 
attempt  to  bring  about  an  unrealistic- 
ally  high  level  of  mutual  trust  be- 
tween the  United  States  and  U.S.S.R. 
Instead,  they  are  based  on  this  simple 
fact — there  is  a  clear  mutuality  of 
interests  between  the  two  superpowers 
in  restraining  the  nuclear  weapons  race 
in  this  careful  step-by-step  manner. 

Equally  important,  the  provisions  of 
these  treaties  can  be  adequately  ver- 
ified by  the  effective  national  technical 
means  which  we  already  possess.  The 
treaties  have,  in  effect,  followed  the 
pace  of  technological  advancement. 
More  ambitious  undertakings  were 
made  possible  when  the  state  of  tech- 


In  closing,  let  me  add  that  there  is 
another  and  more  fundamental  reason 
why  priority  should  go  to  combat 
readiness,  assuring  the  immediate 
fighting  capability  of  our  people  in 
uniform.  It  is  that  only  people  — 
professionally  trained  people  with  high 
morale — can  make  our  weapons  work. 
Even  pushbuttons  have  to  be  pushed. 

As  the  Legion  knows  better  than 
most,  people  are  the  greatest  asset  we 
have  in  defense.  Technologically,  we 
have  a  comparative  advantage  over  the 
Soviet  Union.  But  it  is  not  nearly  as 
great  as  the  advantage  we  obtain  from 
being  a  free  people.  The  Soviets  may 


be  able  to  close  the  gap  in  weapons 
production  and  to  narrow  the  gap  in 
military  technology.  They  will  never 
come  close  to  the  spirit,  the  dedica- 
tion, and  the  initiative  of  the  men  and 
women  in  the  Armed  Forces  of  the 
United  States. 

You,  our  veterans,  gave  us  the  mar- 
gin necessary  to  win  victory  in  the 
past.  The  men  and  women  of  our 
Armed  Forces  today  offer  us  the  op- 
portunity for  the  same  decisive  mar- 
gin. As  long  as  I  am  Secretary  of  De- 
fense, I  intend  to  make  the  most  of  it. 
I  hope  to  have  your  support  in  doing 
so.  □ 


18 

nology  permitted  independent  verifi- 
cation of  their  provisions 

There  have  been  two  other  direct 
precursors  to  the  present  CTB  negotia- 
tions, although  these  two  treaties  have 
not  been  ratified  by  the  United  States. 
The  first  is  the  1974  Threshold  Test 
Ban  Treaty,  which  prohibits  the  testing 
of  nuclear  weapons  with  a  yield  of  over 
150  kilotons.  The  second  is  the  1976 
agreement  governing  the  use  of  under- 
ground nuclear  explosions  for  peaceful 
purposes — the  Peaceful  Nuclear  Explo- 
sions Treaty. 

We  can  now  do  better  than  these  two 
relatively  modest  treaties.  As  you 
know,  a  CTB  would  effectively  ban  all 
weapons  testing  on  both  sides.  And, 
due  to  a  recent  concession  by  the 
U.S.S.R.,  the  CTB  would  include  a 
protocol  banning  peaceful  nuclear  ex- 
plosions altogether  for  the  duration  of 
the  treaty  (while  calling  for  negotia- 
tions to  try  to  find  a  mutually  accept- 
able means  to  carry  out  peaceful  nu- 
clear explosions). 


Importance  of  a  CTB 

President  Carter,  like  his  postwar 
predecessors  of  both  political  parties,  is 
committed  to  continuing  these  efforts 
to  cap,  and  ultimately  reverse,  the  nu- 
clear arms  race.  He  considers  the 
achievement  of  a  CTB  as  a  key  step  in 
this  process  and  as  the  logical  continu- 
ation to  the  successful  measures  al- 
ready achieved.  Two  dimensions  are 
critical. 

First,  a  CTB,  along  with  future  suc- 
cess in  SALT,  would  be  a  crucial  ele- 
ment in  restraining  the  U.S. -Soviet  nu- 
clear competition.  It  would  render 
great  service  to  our  national  security  by 
constraining  the  ability  of  both  sides  to 
improve  either  their  strategic  or  tactical 
nuclear  capabilities,  which  they  have 
done  so  markedly  during  the  last  few 
years. 

Without  such  a  ban.  on  the  other 
hand,  international  tensions  would 
surely  be  exacerbated,  and  we  would 
undoubtedly  see  a  continuing  Soviet 
buildup  in  various  types  of  nuclear 
weaponry.  Pressure  would  increase  on 
the  United  States  to  match  the 
U.S.S.R.  buildup  in  kind.  Needless  to 
say,  the  cost  would  be  staggering  on 
both  sides.  If  we  did  not  effectively 
counter  such  a  Soviet  buildup,  how- 
ever, the  deterrent  balance  between  the 
superpowers  could  be  jeopardized.  We 
are,  if  necessary,  both  willing  and  able 
to  counter  the  Soviets  in  this  way.  But 
we  must  ask  ourselves  whether  this  is 
really  the  most  effective  way  to  insure 
our  own  security  and  that  of  our  allies 


and  to  try  to  bring  about  a  less  precari- 
ous international  environment. 

Second,  the  other  critical  dimension 
is  CTB's  relationship  to  our  nonprolif- 
eration  efforts.  Because  the  spread  of 
nuclear  weapons  threatens  our  national 
security  in  several  ways,  the  President 
has  made  nuclear  nonproliferation  one 
of  his  top  priorities.  Presidents 
Eisenhower  and  Kennedy  gave  non- 
proliferation  as  their  prime  reason  for 
supporting  the  limited  test  ban.  The 
dangers  of  a  world  with  many  nuclear 
powers  are  real.  Nuclear  weapons 
could  upset  the  military  balance  in 
troubled  regions  of  the  world.  In  every 
part  of  the  world,  the  use  of  nuclear 
weapons  by  any  state  poses  serious 
risks  of  widening  the  conflict  and  of 
jeopardizing  U.S.  interests.  Moreover, 
the  potential  dangers  presented  by 
nuclear-armed  terrorists  are  almost 
unthinkable. 

To  minimize  the  spread  of  nuclear 
weapons,  the  Administration  is  pursu- 
ing a  multifaceted  policy.  We  are: 

•  Seeking  the  widest  possible  adher- 
ence to  the  Nonproliferation  Treaty; 

•  Moving  positively  to  strengthen 
international  safeguards  and  control  of 
civil  nuclear  facilities; 

•  Urging  restraint  in  international 
transfers  of  sensitive  technologies; 

•  Building  a  broad  international  con- 
sensus about  the  future  structure  and 
management  of  the  nuclear  fuel  cycle 
through  the  International  Nuclear  Fuel 
Cycle  Evaluation; 

•  Taking  steps  to  insure  that  our 
domestic  nuclear  policy  is  consistent 
with  our  international  objectives,  in- 
cluding assurances  that  we  will  remain 
a  reliable  supplier  of  nuclear  materials; 
and 

•  Doing  our  best  to  reduce  any  se- 
curity or  prestige  motives  that  states 
might  have  to  develop  nuclear  explo- 
sives. 

The  contribution  of  a  nondis- 
criminatory CTB  to  our  overall  non- 
proliferation  efforts  relates  to  the  first 
and  last  points.  It  would  help  reduce 
the  motivations  of  non-nuclear-weapon 
states  to  proliferate.  This  contribution 
would  increase  with  the  duration  of  the 
treaty,  but  even  a  limited  duration  ban, 
if  nondiscriminatory,  would  signifi- 
cantly benefit  our  nonproliferation  ef- 
forts. It  would  do  so  in  these  ways. 

A  CTB  would  strengthen  the  Non- 
proliferation  Treaty.  Many  nations 
outside  the  Nonproliferation  Treaty — 
such  as  India,  Argentina,  and 
Brazil — have  based  their  refusal  to  ac- 
cede to  the  treaty  on  the  ground  that  it 
is  discriminatory,  requiring  non- 
nuclear-weapon  states  to  forswear  nu- 


Department  of  State  Bulle- 

clear  weapons  while  American  ai 
Soviet  weapons  stockpiles  continue 
grow  and  improve.  In  particular,  the 
key  nations  and  some  NPT  parti 
claim  that  the  nuclear-weapon  stat 
party  to  the  treaty  have  not  fulfill 
their  obligations  under  article  ^ 
".  .  .  to  pursue  negotiations  in  gO( 
faith  on  effective  measures  relating 
cessation  of  the  nuclear  arms  race  at ; 
early  date  and  to  nuclear  disarm 
ment.  .  .  ." 

Non-nuclear-weapon  states  have  pt 
sistently  labeled  a  comprehensive  U 
ban  as  an  important  arms  control  meil 
ure.  Many  of  our  close  allies  and  sor 
key  nonaligned  states  again  called  f 
immediate  conclusion  of  a  CTB  at  t 
recent  U.N.  Special  Session  on  Disi 
mament.  Consequently,  a  CTB  trea 
would  directly  address  and  could  d 
fleet  criticism  of  discrimination  ai 
facilitate  the  task  of  persuading  ado 
tional  states  to  join  the  NPT. 

When  a  new  state  ratifies  the  NPT. 
greatly  reassures  neighboring  states 
the  new  party's  peaceful  intention 
This  reassurance,  in  turn,  reduces  i« 
centives  to  acquire   nuclear  weapo 
throughout  the  region.  Moreover,  if* 
CTB  enters  into  force  by  1980,  it  w 
reduce  the  risk  that  nations  will  use  t« 
NPT  Review  Conference  as  a  vehicle 
weaken  or  withdraw  from  the  NPT. 

A  comprehensive  test  ban  wou 
inhibit  testing  by  threshold  states. 

CTB    would    commit    those    no 
nuclear-weapon  states  who  join  to  i 
cept  constraints  upon  nuclear  explosi 
development.   These  nations  wou 
forswear  any  political   or  strateg 
benefits   from   the   initial   proof 
nuclear-weapons   possession   afford> 
by  testing.   Such  an  agreement  woui 
be  especially  important  for  key  natio 
which  have  not  yet  joined  the  NPT 
such  as  India.  Pakistan.  Egypt,  Israt 
Argentina.  Brazil,  Spain,  and  Soil 
Africa.  Six  of  these  nations  are  parti 
to  the  Limited  Test  Ban  Treaty, 
widely  supported  CTB — one  that,  u 
like  the  NPT,  could  not  be  attacked 
discriminatory — would  be   political 
costly   for  such   states  to  reject.   I 
therefore,   represents  an  alternative 
NPT   membership  beneficial   to  o' 
nonproliferation  efforts.  There  are  re 
sonable  prospects  that  a  number  of  tl 
NPT  holdouts  will  join.  Even  for  tho 
that  choose  not  to  adhere,  the  existem 
of  a  CTB  could  well  be  a  factor  ii 
hibiting  any  decision  to  test. 

A  CTB  would  strengthen  the  U.! 
bargaining  position  in  bilater: 
negotiations   on   nuclear  matter: 

Currently,  sensitive  negotiations  ai 
underway  with  a  number  of  countrie 
In  the  Nuclear  Nonproliferation  Act  i 


i 


member  1978 


nericanj 


19 


*PT 


article 

^  in 

srace 


CWlt 


78.  the  Congress  wisely  required  the 

egotiation  of  our  agreements  for  nu- 

ar  arrangements  with  other  states 

iese  safeguards  must  also  be  applied 

any  new  agreements  for  cooperation. 

ey  are  in  no  way  meant  to  restrain 

peaceful  use  of  atomic  energy. 

In  the  course  of  these  negotiations, 

issue  of  the  self-restraint  of  the 

ted  States  in  nuclear-weapons  de- 

yment  often  arises.   A  comprehen- 

e  test  ban  would  materially  improve 

U.S.  bargaining  position  to  achieve 

e  important  nonproliferation  benefits 

m  full-scope   safeguards  and  other 

untary  restraints. 

The  problem  of  nuclear  proliferation 
exceedingly  complex.  The  Adminis- 
tion  welcomes  the  participation  of 
e  Congress  in  carrying  on  our  non- 
oliferation  efforts  on  all  fronts.  To- 
ther  we  must  continue   to  seek  the 
operation  of  other  nations  in  order  to 
hieve   our  nonproliferation   objec- 
ves.   The  CTB  can  be  a  significant 
ement  of  this  joint  effort. 
Of  course,  the  CTB  is  not  a  panacea, 
cannot  quantify  for  the  committee 
I)   nactly  how  much  a  CTB  would  help 
ur  proliferation  efforts.  But  I  am  con- 
dent  that  it   will   be  of  substantial 
enefit.    And   given   the   international 
;•  xpectations  for  a  CTB,   failure  to 


i  NP 
stale 

lentil 


H 

ale.l 

i 


chieve  a  test  ban  would  undermine  our 
onproliferation  efforts. 


'erification  and  Stockpile  Reliability 

There  are  two  additional  issues 
/hich  I  would  like  to  touch  upon.  The 
irst,  which  is  still  under  painstaking 
egotiation  in  Geneva,  is  that  of  verifi- 
ation.  U.S.  and  British  negotiators 
lave  pushed  the  Soviets  very  hard  all 
long  to  agree  to  an  impressive  pack- 
ge  of  special  verification  measures, 
"his  will  complement  the  substantial 
chnical  verification  means  which  we 
ready  possess.  We  are  confident  that 
adequate  verification  system  can  be 
rived  at  in  the  negotiations.  We  as- 
ure  you  that  we  will  not  sign  any  arms 
ontrol  agreement  which  lacks  this. 

Second,  we  are  equally  determined 
o  insure  that,  under  a  CTB.  we  will 
ontinue  to  maintain  a  fully  reliable 
lUclear  deterrent.  We  have  a  very  high 
Idegree  of  confidence  in  our  stockpile  at 
Ithis  time,  and  the  active  safeguards 
(program  which  we  would  carry  out 
lunder  a  CTB  will  insure  that  this  re- 
mains the  case. 


'Conclusion 

In  sum  this  Administration  believes, 

j  as  have  all  of  its  predecessors  since  the 

dawning  of  the   nuclear  era,   that 


ECONOMICS:  Bonn  Summit  and 
Investment  in  Developing  Countries 


by  Richard  N.  Cooper 

Statement  before  the  Subcommittees 
on  International  Economic  Policy  and 
Trade  and  International  Development 
oj  the  House  Committee  on  Interna- 
tional Relations  on  September  20, 
1978.  Mr.  Cooper  is  Under  Secretary 
for  Economic  Affairs. ' 

I  am  pleased  to  have  this  opportunity 
to  appear  before  your  subcommittees  to 
discuss  the  results  of  the  Bonn  summit 
and  to  comment  on  certain  proposals  to 
stimulate  economic  growth  through  in- 
vestment in  the  developing  countries. 
These  two  subjects  are  closely  related. 
In  fact,  the  Bonn  meeting  reflects  a 
clear  understanding  by  the  participants 
that  the  problems  of  growth,  inflation, 
payments  imbalances,  trade,  energy, 
and  development  are  all  interrelated. 
The  Bonn  declaration  specifically  rec- 
ognizes that  economic  progress  in  de- 
veloping countries  benefits  industrial 
countries  just  as  prosperity  in  industrial 
countries  benefits  the  developing 
countries.2 


Results  of  the  Bonn  Summit 

The  Bonn  summit  was  the  fourth 
meeting  in  as  many  years  of  the  heads 
of  state  and  government  of  the  seven 
major  industrial  democracies  and  the 
European  Community  to  discuss  the 
international  economic  situation.  Pre- 
vious meetings  were  held  at  Ram- 
bouillet  in  November  1975,  Puerto 
Rico  in  June  1976.  and  London  in  May 
1977. 

The  Bonn  meeting,  like  the  three 
previous  summits,  enabled  the  leaders 
of  the  major  industrialized  countries  to 
examine  together  the  key  problems  of 
the  world  economy.  They  agreed  on  a 
comprehensive  strategy  to  deal  with 
these  problems  in  a  manner  consistent 
with  their  close  interrelationship.  The 


Bonn  summit  emphasized  the  following 
themes. 

•  The  participants  recognized  that 
economic  issues  can  be  addressed  in  a 
concerted  fashion,  through  mutually 
reinforcing  actions,  much  more  effec- 
tively than  they  can  be  addressed 
alone.  Concerted  action  to  increase 
growth,  for  example,  can  reduce  the 
constraint  of  a  significant  deterioration 
in  international  payments  which  a 
country  acting  alone  would  face.  The 
Declaration  thus  correctly  characterizes 
the  total  effect  of  the  program  as 
greater  than  the  sum  of  its  parts. 

•  The  participants  recognized  that 
each  country  should  contribute  in  a 
way  commensurate  with  its  particular 
situation.  Given  that  the  United  States 
is  now  growing  at  a  healthy  rate,  the 
President  stressed  his  determination  to 
reduce  inflation  and  our  dependence  on 
foreign  oil.  Germany  and  Japan,  with 
low  inflation  rates  and  balance-of- 
payments  surpluses,  agreed  to  take  ap- 
propriate measures  to  expand  domestic 
demand. 

•  The  Declaration  recognizes  that 
these  are  long-term  problems  which 
will  only  yield  to  sustained  efforts. 
Actions  to  reduce  energy  consumption 
and  dependence  on  imported  oil. 
agreements  to  liberalize  trade  and 
strengthen  trading  rules,  and  actions  to 
promote  economic  and  social  progress 
in  developing  countries  are  all  exam- 
ples of  policies  which  will  have  their 
full  impact  only  in  the  coming  decade 
and  beyond. 

Let  me  just  highlight  some  signifi- 
cant features  of  the  Declaration.  We 
were  frankly  pleased  that  the  other 
summit  participants,  and  especially 
Germany  and  Japan,  were  able  to  be  as 
specific  on  measures  to  increase  de- 
mand as  they  were.  In  the  spirit  of 
realism  which  characterized  the  Bonn 
meeting,   these   commitments   stress 


America  *s  security  must  be  pursued  in 
two  mutually  reinforcing  ways. 

•  We  must  have  a  defense  capability 
second  to  none. 

•  We  must  strive  to  reduce  the 
danger  of  war  and  the  cost  of  an  un- 
limited arms  race  through  arms  control. 

The  comprehensive  test  ban  we  are 
negotiating  is  an  integral  part  of  this 
consistent  American  policy.  It  will  help 


us  sustain  nuclear  parity  with  the 
Soviet  Union.  It  will  help  prevent  the 
spread  of  nuclear  weapons  to  states 
which  do  not  have  them.  I  deeply  be- 
lieve it  is  deserving  of  your  support.  □ 


'The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings  will 
be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments. U.S.  Government  Printing  Office. 
Washington,  D.C.  20402. 


20 

government  policy  instruments  rather 
than  performance  targets,  the  achieve- 
ment of  which  is  often  affected  by 
forces  beyond  the  control  of  individual 
governments. 

Chancellor  Schmidt  agreed  to  pro- 
pose to  his  legislature  new  measures  in 
an  amount  of  up  to  1%  of  GNP  to 
stimulate  German  growth.  Pursuant  to 
this  commitment,  the  West  German 
Cabinet  on  July  28  proposed  a  $5.6 
billion  stimulation  package  for  1979 
and  an  additional  stimulus  of  $1.6  bil- 
lion for  1980. 

Prime  Minister  Fukuda  agreed  to 
take  additional  measures  if  necessary  to 
achieve  Japan's  growth  target  for  fiscal 
year  1978  of  1%.  The  Japanese  Gov- 
ernment submitted  a  supplemental 
budget  proposal  to  the  Diet  on  Sep- 
tember 2  which  is  designed  to  add  2.5 
trillion  yen  to  domestic  demand.  These 
commitments  might  not  have  been  pos- 
sible without  the  President's  firm 
statement  on  inflation  and  energy. 

Although  public  attention  in  the  area 
of  energy  was  concentrated  on  actions 
expected  of  the  United  States,  the  dis- 
cussion of  energy  was  far  broader  in 
scope.  The  participants  emphasized  co- 
operative efforts  to  develop  energy 
sources,  including  renewable  sources, 
in  both  the  industrialized  democracies 
and  the  developing  countries.  The  im- 
portance of  coal  and  the  continued  de- 
velopment of  nuclear  energy  was  also 
recognized.  The  Declaration  stressed 
the  role  of  the  multilateral  financial  in- 
stitutions and  of  private  investment  in 
the  energy  field. 

The  Bonn  meeting  also  brought  us 
closer  to  agreement  in  the  multilateral 
trade  negotiations.  We  would  like  to 
have  been  even  further  along  than  we 
are  now.  Nevertheless,  the  Framework 
of  Understanding  issued  on  July  13  in 
Geneva  by  the  U.S.  and  other  delega- 
tions reflects  the  advanced  state  of 
work  on  tariff  reductions  and  on  sev- 
eral international  codes  to  reduce  non- 
tariff  barriers  to  trade.  The  summit 
participants  welcomed  this  statement 
by  the  major  trading  countries  and 
committed  themselves  to  conclude  suc- 
cessfully the  detailed  negotiations  by 
December  15.  This  commitment  en- 
compasses key  areas  such  as  agricul- 
ture, subsidies,  and  safeguards,  where 
major  decisions  are  needed. 

The  participants  also  specifically  en- 
dorsed the  decisions  of  the  Organiza- 
tion for  Economic  Cooperation  and 
Development  (OECD)  Council  of 
Ministers  in  June  to  renew  the  OECD 
trade  pledge  and  to  adopt  guidelines  for 
positive  adjustment  policies.  These 
guidelines  represent  a  significant  step 
forward  from  the  London  summit  Dec- 


Department  of  State  Bulle;  m 


laration.  They  will,  if  observed,  dis- 
courage defensive  policies  which  pre- 
vent structural  change  and  encourage 
the  acceptance  and  facilitation  of  such 
changes  over  time.  Adherence  to  these 
guidelines  will  promote  long-term 
growth  and  diminish  the  likelihood  of 
short-term  protectionist  responses  at 
the  expense  of  other  countries. 

At  the  summit  there  was  a  lively  dis- 
cussion of  international  monetary  pol- 
icy. All  recognized  that  exchange  rate 
stability  can  only  be  achieved  by  at- 
tacking the  underlying  fundamental 
problems  of  growth,  energy,  and  infla- 
tion. At  the  same  time,  summit  partici- 
pants pledged  to  intervene  to  counter 
disorderly  conditions  in  the  exchange 
markets. 

We  are  concerned  by  the  decline  of 
the  dollar  against  certain  currencies  in 
recent  weeks.  The  President  has  asked 
Treasury  Secretary  Blumenthal  and 
Federal  Reserve  Board  Chairman 
Miller  to  consider  appropriate  actions. 
We  have  taken  several  steps,  and  addi- 
tional measures  can  be  expected  as 
appropriate. 

Also  at  the  summit  there  was  a  use- 
ful discussion  of  proposals  for  a  Euro- 
pean monetary  system.  This  is  a  very 
ambitious  undertaking,  intended  to 
further  advance  efforts  at  European  in- 
tegration. As  such,  it  is  surely  to  be 
welcomed  and  encouraged,  consistent 
with  longstanding  U.S.  support  for 
European  economic  integration.  If  ef- 
forts to  build  such  a  system  are  suc- 
cessful, the  Europeans  will  have  a  better 
framework  for  harmonizing  economic 
policies  and  economic  developments, 
including  growth  and  inflation. 

Putting  together  a  viable  European 
monetary  system  involves  a  great  deal 
of  technical  work,  about  which  the 
European  Community  will  keep  other 
countries  informed  as  details  are 
worked  out.  Naturally,  the  effect  of  the 
system  on  third  countries  and  on  world 
financial  markets  cannot  be  judged 
favorable  or  unfavorable  until  such 
details  are  known.  The  European 
Community  itself  is  still  at  an  early 
stage  in  working  out  these  specifics; 
their  Finance  Council  met  only  2  days 
ago  to  consider  initial  technical  reports, 
and  final  decisions  are  not  expected  for 
several  months. 

Considerable  time  was  devoted  to  a 
discussion  of  the  problems  of  the  de- 
veloping countries.  The  Declaration 
explicitly  recognizes  the  growing  inter- 
dependence of  developed  and  de- 
veloping countries,  and  summit 
participants  committed  themselves  to 
increasing  the  flow  of  financial  assist- 
ance and  other  resources  tor  develop- 
ment.  The   need   for  intensified  and 


improved  bilateral  and  multilateral  a 
sistance  in  the  energy  field  is  speci 
ically  stressed.  The  Declaration  ah 
calls  on  the  developing  countries,  pa 
ticularly  the  more  advanced  among  ther 
to  assume  responsibilities  which  go  wi 
their  enhanced  role  in  the  world  eco 
omy. 

Finally,  the  Declaration  by  the  sur 
mit  participants  to  combat  internation 
terrorism  in  the  form  of  aircra 
hijacking  is  a  significant  achievemen 
Essentially,  the  Declaration  is  a  cor 
mitment  to  cut  off  air  service  to  at 
from  any  country  which  fails  to  retu 
the  hijacked  aircraft.  We  are  no 
working  with  representatives  of  othi 
summit  countries  to  gain  broader  inte 
national  support  for  the  Declaratie 
and  on  procedures  for  its  implement! 
tion. 


Proposals  To  Stimulate 
World  Growth 

I  would  now  like  to  turn  specifical 
to  the  proposals  which  have  been  ma« 
here  and  abroad  to  stimulate  wor 
growth  by  increasing  investments  in  tl 
developing  countries.  All  of  these  pr< 
posals  are  constructive  attempts  to  ai 
dress  the  needs  of  the  developir 
countries  in  a  way  which  also  benefi 
the  industrial  economies.  The  wor 
economic  situation  which  these  propo 
als  address  is  characterized  by: 

•  Sluggish  economic  growth  on  tl 
part  of  many  developed  countries  du 
in  large  part  to  lagging  investment; 

•  Large  investment  needs  in  dc 
veloping  countries;  and 

•  A  substantial  amount  of  liqui 
funds  which,  for  various  reasons,  d 
not  always  find  their  way  to  the  dt 
veloping  countries  which  need  them  th 
most. 

Investment  in  the  Industrie 
Countries.  Slow  growth  in  business 
fixed  investment  in  virtually  all  OEC1 
countries  in  recent  years  is  a  cause  a. 
well  as  an  effect  of  sluggish  overffl 
growth  rates.  There  is  some  concer 
that  lower  rates  of  investment  ma 
gradually  reduce  the  productiv 
capacities  of  the  industrialized  coun 
tries  and  that  future  expansions  may 
therefore,  encounter  the  types  o 
bottlenecks  that  typically  exacerbati 
inflation.  It  is  also  likely  that  lowe 
investment  —  particularly  in  researcl 
and  development  —  limits  an  econ 
omy's  ability  to  adjust  over  time  toi 
changes  in  international  competition. 

Investment  is  a  key  factor  in  tht 
maintenance  of  long-term  economi 
growth.  Over  the  years,  countries  witr 
higher  investment  levels  and  advancing 


>vember  1978 

■hnology  have  tended  to  grow  faster, 
is.  therefore,  unsettling  to  note  that 
:  OECD  has  reported  significant  re- 
ctions  in  the  rate  of  growth  of  the 
pital  stock  in  manufacturing  in  the 
st  half  of  the  1970's  compared  with 


the  previous  5  years  in  almost  all  major 
industrialized  countries.  This  is  par- 
ticularly troublesome,  since,  as  the 
OECD  reports,  capital  requirements  per 
unit  of  output  are  rising,  not  declining. 
Major  influences   on   investment 


Muttila  tera  t  Trade 
Negotiations 


ESSAGE  TO  THE  CONGRESS, 
£PT. 28 ' 

I   am   today   submitting   to   the   Congress   a 
jposal  for  legislation  to  extend  for  a  brief 
riod   the   authority    of  the    Secretary   of   the 
easury  under  Section  303(d)  of  the  Tariff  Act 
1930  to  waive  the  application  of  counter- 
Ming  duties.  I  hope  that  the  Congress  will  be 
•le  to  enact  the  necessary  legislation  before 
journment  sine  die. 
If   not   extended,    the    waiver   authority    will 
pire  on   January   2,    1979.   This   would   seri- 
isly  jeopardize  satisfactory  conclusion  of  the 
jltilateral  Trade  Negotiations  (MTN)  under- 
ly  in  Geneva.  Unless  the  waiver  authority  is 
tended  to  cover  the  period  during  which  the 
ults  of  the  MTN  will  be  under  review  by  the 
ingress,  our  ability  to  press  ahead  with  the 
gotiations  would  be  sharply  limited. 
As  stipulated  by  the  Congress  in  the  Trade 
it  of  1974,  negotiation  of  a  satisfactory  code 
subsidies  and  countervailing  duties  is  a  pri- 
ary  U.S.  objective  in  the  MTN.  The  United 
Btes  is  seeking  through  such  a  code  improved 
•scipline  on  the  use  of  subsidies   which  ad- 
rsely  affect  trade.  In  our  view,  a  satisfactory 
bsidy/countervailing  duty  code  must  include 
)  new  substantive  rules  on  the  use  of  internal 
d  export  subsidies  which  adequately  protect 
nited  States  agricultural  and  industrial  trading 
terests  insofar  as  they  are  adversely  affected 
'  such  subsidies,  and  (2)  more  effective  pro- 
isions  on  notification,  consultation  and  dis- 
ite    settlement    that    will    provide    for   timely 
solution  of  disputes  involving  the  use  of  sub- 
dies  in  international  trade. 
My  Special  Representative  for  Trade  Negotia- 
ons  [Robert  S.   Strauss]  has  informed  me  that 
le  prospects  for  reaching  agreement  by  year  end 
a    subsidy/countervailing   duty    code    which 
leets    the   basic    U.S.    objectives   are   good  — 
rovided  that  the  waiver  authority  can  be  ex- 
nded  until  such  a  code  has  been  submitted  to. 
nd  acted  upon,  by  the  Congress  under  the  pro- 
edures  of  the  Trade  Act  of  1974.  In  this  con- 
ection.  the  legislation  I   am  proposing  would 
rovide  that  the  countervailing  duty  waiver  au- 
lority  will  expire  as  scheduled  on  January  2. 
979,  unless  we  are  able  to  report  to  the  Con- 
ress    before    that    date    that    a    subsidy/ 


countervailing  duty  code  has  been  negotiated 
among  the  key  countries  participating  in  the 
MTN  and  that  the  MTN  itself  has  been  substan- 
tially concluded. 

Under  the  countervailing  duty  waiver  author- 
ity, the  imposition  of  countervailing  duties  may 
be  waived  in  a  specific  case  only  if  "adequate 
steps  have  been  taken  to  eliminate  or  substan- 
tially reduce  the  adverse  effect"  of  the  subsidy 
in  question.  This  provision  and  the  other  lim- 
itations on  the  use  of  the  waiver  authority  which 
are  currently  in  the  law  would  continue  in  effect 
if  the  waiver  authority  is  extended.  Thus.  U.S. 
producers  and  workers  will  continue  to  be 
adequately  protected  from  the  adverse  effects  of 
subsidized  competition. 

A  successful  conclusion  to  the  MTN  is  essen- 
tial to  U.S.  economic  policy.  If  the  waiver  au- 
thority is  not  extended,  such  a  successful  con- 
clusion will,  as  I  have  noted,  be  seriously 
jeopardized.  Accordingly,  I  urge  the  Congress  to 
act  positively  upon  this  legislative  proposal  as 
quickly  as  possible. 

Jimmy  Carter 

Proposed  Legislation 

Section  303  of  the  Tariff  Act  of  1930  (19 
U.S.C.  1303)  as  amended,  is  further  amended 
by  adding  the  following  new  sentence  at  the  end 
of  Subsection  (d)  (2). 

"The  four-year  period  specified  in  the  first 
sentence  of  this  paragraph  shall  be  extended 
until  August  1,  1979.  provided  that  before 
January  3,  1979,  the  President  informs  both 
Houses  of  Congress  that  agreement  on  a  code 
governing  the  use  of  subsidies  and  counter- 
vailing duties  has  been  reached  and  that  the 
Multilateral  Trade  Negotiations  as  a  whole  have 
been  substantially  completed  and  provided 
further  that  any  determination  by  the  Secretary 
of  the  Treasury  made  pursuant  to  this  section 
and  in  effect  on  January  2,  1979,  shall,  not- 
withstanding any  expiration  date  set  forth 
therein,  remain  in  effect  until  August  1.  1979, 
unless  prior  thereto  the  Secretary  has  reason  to. 
and  does,  revoke  such  determination."  D 


1  Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presiden- 
tial Documents  of  Oct.  2.  1978. 


21 

levels  include  the  overall  level  of  world 
demand,  business  confidence,  capacity 
utilization,  the  cost  of  capital,  and  the 
cost  and  availability  of  complementary 
factors  of  production.  With  current 
rates  of  OECD  growth  lagging  some- 
what behind  recent  historical  rates  and 
with  capacity  utilization  rates  relatively 
low,  it  is  not  surprising  that  investment 
is  restrained.  Pervasive  uncertainty 
about  inflation,  threats  of  protec- 
tionism, erratic  variations  in  exchange 
rates,  and  changing  government 
policies  all  inhibit  investment. 

OECD  Economic  Performance. 

Overall  economic  performance  in  the 
OECD  countries  continues  to  be  a 
major  determinant  of  developing  coun- 
tries' growth;  conversely,  as  develop- 
ing countries  expand  their  industrial 
capacity,  their  performance  will  be- 
come increasingly  important  to  the 
economic  health  of  the  industrial 
countries. 

Taking  the  United  States  as  an 
example,  our  exports  of  manufactures 
to  developing  countries  which  are  not 
members  of  the  Organization  of  Petro- 
leum Exporting  Countries  (OPEC)  were 
$20  billion,  in  1977,  or  23%  of  total 
U.S.  export  of  manufactured  goods. 
From  the  early  1970's  to  1977,  the  12 
fastest  growing  markets  for  U.S.  ex- 
ports were  in  the  Third  World.  A 
leveling  off  of  exports  to  some  of  these 
markets  in  the  last  year  or  two,  in  part 
because  of  foreign  exchange  con- 
straints, could  be  an  important  factor  in 
our  large  trade  deficit.  The  aggregate 
economic  performance  of  developing 
countries  in  the  postwar  period,  a 
growth  rate  of  approximately  5. 47c 
between  1950  and  1975.  has  been  fairly 
good.  Some  28  developing  coun- 
tries—  accounting  for  half  of  the 
population  of  the  Third  World  —  had, 
however,  real  per  capita  growth  rates 
of  less  than  2%  per  year  in  the  same 
period.  Thus,  the  scope  for  improve- 
ment is  substantial. 

In  this  framework  it  makes  sense  to 
ask  whether  the  excess  capacity  which 
exists  in  some  OECD  countries  could 
not  be  harnessed  to  satisfy  some  of  the 
unmet  demands  in  developing  countries 
for  the  mutual  benefit  of  both  groups  of 
countries.  The  reasoning  is  that  indus- 
trial countries  could  expand  employ- 
ment and  incomes  at  the  same  time  that 
developing  countries  could  accelerate 
their  accumulation  of  capital  goods. 
Several  proposals  have  been  put  forth 
which  seek  simultaneously  to  promote 
the  development  objectives  in  the  de- 
veloping countries  and  to  stimulate 
lagging  growth  in  the  OECD 
economies.  They  are  very  different  in 


22 


scope  and  operation,  and  il  is  important 
to  distinguish  carefully  among  them. 

Resource  Transfer.  A  proposal  by 
the  Nordic  countries,  made  last  spring 
at  the  U.N.  General  Assembly  Com- 
mittee of  the  Whole,  envisages  a 
transfer  of  resources — perhaps  on  a 
massive  scale  resembling  the  Marshall 
plan.  The  proposal  would  allow  for  the 
possibility  of  directing  the  demand 
created  in  the  developing  countries  to 
industries  with  excess  capacity  in  de- 
veloped countries,  thus  fostering 
noninflationary  growth  in  the  short 
term  and  contributing  to  higher  growth 
rates  in  the  world  economy  in  the  long 
term.  The  proposal  does  not.  however, 
address  the  question  of  how  the  mas- 
sive transfers  are  to  be  financed. 

Investment  in  Developing  Coun- 
tries. The  proposal  submitted  by  Sen- 
ator Javits  and  Representatives  Whalen 
and  Simon,  also  large  in  scope,  is  more 
precise  as  to  the  source  of  funds  for 
additional  investment  in  developing 
countries.  A  large  fund  would  be  es- 
tablished, drawing  on  OPEC's  holdings 
of  official  assets — now  in  excess  of 
$150  billion  and  largely  invested  in 
short-  to  medium-term  financial 
assets — to  invest  in  long-term  produc- 
tive projects  in  developing  countries. 
The  channeling  of  long-term  capital  to 
these  countries  is  to  both  maintain  the 
level  of  world  economic  activity  and 
also  provide  financing  for  development 
programs.  Without  such  a  rechanneling 
of  funds,  it  is  argued,  there  is  a  danger 
that  purchasing  power  transferred  to 
surplus-saving  countries  will  be  held  in 
shorter  term  financial  assets  in  a  lim- 
ited number  of  industrial  countries, 
with  longrun  consequences  being  a  re- 
duction in  global  demand  and  limited 
availability  of  long-term  capital  for 
investment. 

The  World  Bank  is  studying  a  simi- 
lar proposal  put  forward  by  Mexico  to 
use  reserves  of  countries  in  payments 
surpluses  for  a  $15  billion  long-term 
recycling  facility  for  purchases  by  de- 
veloping countries  of  imports  of  capital 
goods.  The  key  question  which  remains 
to  be  answered  satisfactorily  with  re- 
spect to  both  the  Javits-Whalen-Simon 
proposal  and  the  Mexican  proposal  is 
how  to  go  about  attracting  surplus 
country  capital  into  the  proposed  new 
funds.  To  put  the  question  another 
way:  How  do  we  convince  OPEC  or 
other  countries  in  surplus,  to  partici- 
pate in  such  a  plan? 

Another  approach  to  the  issue  is  thai 
taken  by  the  OECD  Secretariat  in  its 
recent  work  on  stepped-up  investment. 
The  OECD  Secretariat  proposes  an  in- 
crease in  long-term  private  investment 


in  developing  countries,  concentrating 
on  sectors  of  mutual  interest  to  de- 
veloping and  developed  countries. 
Sectors  recommended  for  additional 
investment  are  food,  energy,  raw  ma- 
terials, and  related  processing  and 
infrastructure.  The  primary  method 
proposed  to  channel  foreign  investment 
capital  into  those  sectors  is  cofinanc- 
ing,  whereby  private  investors  become 
partners  with  multilateral  development 
banks  in  the  financing  of  selected  proj- 
ects. The  concept  of  achieving  greater 
participation  of  the  commercial  bank- 
ing sector  via  the  co financing 
mechanism  is  attractive,  and  we  plan  to 
participate  actively  in  further  OECD 
work  on  this  subject. 

Basic  Questions 

None  of  the  proposals  I  have  referred 
to  have  been  elaborated  in  great  detail. 
I  will  confine  myself  therefore  to  the 
basic  questions  which  we  believe  re- 
quire careful  thought  in  evaluating  any 
or  all  of  the  proposals. 

The  most  basic  question  is  the  terms 
on  which  the  capital  is  being  trans- 
ferred. If  we  are  talking  about  substan- 
tial transfers  of  concessional  capital  to 
the  poorer  developing  countries,  we 
must  recognize  that  concern  with  large 
budget  deficits  in  the  United  States  and 
in  many  other  industrial  countries  is  a 
powerful  inhibition  to  any  form  of  new 
government  spending.  Also,  the  type  of 
spending  in  developing  countries  which 
will  best  stimulate  the  OECD 
economies  may  not  be  appropriate  for 
the  kind  of  development  strategy  we 
have  been  supporting  —  namely  growth 
with  equity.  Demand  for  imports  for 
these  purposes  in  developing  countries 
does  not  generally  correspond  to  those 
sectors  in  OECD  countries  with  excess 
capacity  or  to  the  need  of  some  OECD 
countries  to  strengthen  their  external 
payments  position. 

If  we  are  talking  about  transferring 
capital  at  nonconcessional  rates,  then 
we  need  to  ask  why  the  international 
financial  markets  are  not  now  per- 
forming this  function.  Clearly  the  mar- 
ket is  working  fairly  well  in  moving 
short-term  capital.  Most  developing 
countries  have  successfully  drawn  on 
nonconcessional  and  official  sources  to 
finance  unprecedented  current  account 
deficits  during  the  past  few  years 
While  the  system  performed  well,  new 
official  mechanisms  in  the  International 
Monetary  Fund,  such  as  the  Oil  Facil- 
ity, the  Trust  Fund,  ami  the  Extended 
Fund  Facility,  were  created  to  cope 
with  the  magnitude  of  the  payments 
balances  which  occurred.  The 
Supplementary    Financing    Facility 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

(Witteveen  facility),  which  is  sti 
awaiting  congressional  approval.  \\i 
further  strengthen  the  IMF's  capacitj. 
to  help  countries  overcome  payment!,, 
difficulties  and  thereby  to  increase  the 
spending  for  the  products  of  the  mdu; 
trialized  countries. 

The  real  thrust  of  the  proposals 
have  discussed,  however,  is  t 
mobilize  capital  from  the  OPEC  cour 
tries  and  other  sources  for  long-ten 
investments  in  developing  countries 
To  attract  capital  into  a  fund  for  lonj 
term  investments  (the  Javits-Whaler 
Simon  and  Mexican  plans)  or  int 
long-term  cofinancing  plans  (th 
OECD  plan)  will  require  returns  whic 
are  remunerative  to  investors  and  cor 
ditions  and  assurances  which  are  aq 
ceptable  to  them.  Insofar  as  the  risk 
associated  with  investments  in  de 
veloping  countries  are  higher,  becausi 
of  a  poor  investment  climate,  inapprc 
priate  government  policies,  or  simpl 
poor  economic  prospects,  or  the  ra 
payment  period  associated  with  thi 
capital  transfer  is  longer,  the  returni 
will  have  to  exceed  those  currentl 
available  for  medium-term  invest 
ments.  Such  terms  will  limit  both  thj 
types  of  projects  which  can  be  undei 
taken  and  the  number  of  countrie 
which  can  afford  to  assume  furthe 
high-cost  indebtedness. 

The  idea  of  a  Marshall  plan  for  th 
Third  World  and  of  the  less  ambitiou 
alternatives  derives  its  attractivenes 
from  the  presumption  that  such  plan 
would  act  countercyclical^  to  stimu 
late  recovery  in  the  industrial  eoun 
tries.  I  have  some  reservations.  Fund 
for  projects  are  never  lent  or  disburse 
quickly  or  easily.  If  capital  imports  ar 
to  be  additional  and  useful  in  develop 
ment  efforts,  a  good  deal  of  planning  i 
required.  There  does  not  exist  a  shel 
of  sensible  projects  awaiting  funding 
new  projects  must  be  developed.  Evei 
at  the  domestic  level,  the  lags  involve( 
between  domestic  policy  measures  t(» 
stimulate  investment  and  result inj 
changes  in  investment  can  be.  as  we  al 
know,  rather  long  and  unpredictable 
Using  international  investment  1 
achieve  certain  domestic  targets  is 
therefore,  an  even  more  uncertain  en- 
terprise. Spending  on  such  long-terrr 
projects  should  rather  be  governed  b> 
long-term  considerations. 

There  clearly  are  cases  of  attractive 
long-term  investment  projects  in  de- 
veloping countries  which  are  not  im- 
plemented because  of  financing  con- 
straints due  to  inadequate  guarantees  to 
potential  investors.  Increased  official 
development  assistance  can,  to  some 
extent,  serve  to  reduce  these  con- 
straints. 


A 


November  1978 

All  summit  participants  agreed  in 
3onn  on  the  need  to  increase  flows. 
50th  bilateral  and  multilateral,  of  fi- 
nancial assistance  and  other  resources 
"or  development.  Administration 
.pokesmen  have  made  the  same  point 
epeatedly  in  testimony  before  Con- 
gress. 

The  multilateral  development  banks 
ire  in  a  particularly  good  position  to 
lelp  because  of  the  role  they  are  al- 
■eady  playing  in  increasing  the  flow  of 
ong-term  capital  to  developing  coun- 
ties. Their  multilateral,  nonpolitical 
;haracter.  their  reputation  for  financial 
ntegrity.  and  their  ability  to  develop 
iound  projects  should  make  it  possible 
or  them  to  mobilize  capital  at  noncon- 
:essional  rates  from  OPEC  and  other 
surplus  countries.  These  countries 
:ould  increase  their  participation  by 
purchasing  more  of  the  bonds  issued  by 
:he  multilateral  development  banks. 
They  may,  however,  find  some  form  of 
rofinancing  arrangements  with  the 
oanks  to  be  more  attractive  because  it 
ivvould  allow  them  to  pick  and  choose 
among  projects  and  recipient  countries. 

Developing  countries  would  benefit 
from  additional  project  financing  at 
ireasonable  terms  while  surplus  coun- 
tries would  benefit  from  the  guarantees 
Iprovided  by  the  participation  of  the 
'multilateral  development  banks  as  well 

Cis  their  project  expertise.  To  perform 
his  function  adequately,  the  multilat- 
eral development  banks  must,  of 
.course,  have  sufficient  capital  to 
backstop  their  borrowing.  I  hope  we 
can  count  on  congressional  support  for 
augmenting  this  capital  as  it  becomes 
necessary. 

Conclusion 

I  want  to  conclude  by  noting  that  the 
(Bonn  summit  was  a  positive  step,  but 
only  one  step,  in  a  long  and  difficult 
process.  We  should  have  no  illusions 
about  the  difficulty  of  the  problems  we 
face.  Essential  to  the  success  of  the 
effort  is  the  support  of  the  public  and 
legislatures  of  each  country.  We  also 
need  more  of  the  kind  of  thinking 
which  obviously  went  into  the  prepara- 
tion of  House  Concurrent  Resolution 
581.  Finally.  U.S.  leadership  is  critical 
if  we  are  to  find  effective  solutions  to 
global  economic  problems.  Such  lead- 
ership can  only  be  based  on  close 
cooperation  between  the  Administra- 
tion and  Congress  in  energy,  foreign 
assistance,  and  other  key  areas. 

As  I  have  stressed,  the  basic  concept 
of  interdependence  between  developed 
and  developing  countries  is  valid.  It  is 
also  clear  that  there  is  scope  for  addi- 
tional investment  in  developing  coun- 


23 


U.S.  Export  Policy 


PRESIDENT'S  STATEMENT, 
SEPT.  26 » 


It  is  important  for  this  nation's  eco- 
nomic vitality  that  both  the  private 
sector  and  the  Federal  Government 
place  a  higher  priority  on  exports.  I  am 
today  announcing  a  series  of  measures 
that  evidences  my  Administration's 
strong  commitment  to  do  so. 

The  large  trade  deficits  the  United 
States  has  experienced  in  recent  years 
have  weakened  the  value  of  the  dollar, 
intensified  inflationary  pressures  in  our 
own  economy,  and  heightened  insta- 
bility in  the  world  economy.  These 
trade  deficits  have  been  caused  by  a 
number  of  factors.  A  major  cause  has 
been  our  excessive  reliance  on  im- 
ported oil.  We  can  reduce  that  reliance 
through  the  passage  of  sound  energy 
legislation  this  year. 

Another  factor  is  that  the  U.S.  econ- 
omy has  been  growing  at  a  stronger 
pace  in  recent  years  than  the  economies 
of  our  major  trading  partners.  That  has 
enabled  us  to  purchase  relatively  more 
foreign  goods  while  our  trading 
partners  have  not  been  able  to  buy  as 
much  of  our  exports.  We  will  begin  to 
correct  this  imbalance  as  our  trading 
partners  meet  the  commitments  to  eco- 
nomic expansion  they  made  at  the 
Bonn  summit. 

The  relatively  slow  growth  of 
American  exports  has  also  been  an  im- 
portant factor  in  our  trade  deficit  prob- 
lem. Over  the  past  20  years,  our  ex- 
ports have  grown  at  only  half  the  rate 
of  other  industrial  nations,  and  the 
United  States  has  been  losing  its  share 
of  world  markets.  Until  now,  both 
business  and  government  have  ac- 
corded exports  a  relatively  low  prior- 
ity. These  priorities  must  be  changed. 

The  measures  I  am  announcing  today- 


consist  of  actions  this  Administration 
has  taken  and  will  take  to: 

(1)  Provide  increased  direct  assist- 
ance to  U.S.  exporters; 

(2)  Reduce  domestic  barriers  to  ex- 
ports; and 

(3)  Reduce  foreign  barriers  to  our 
exports  and  secure  a  fairer  international 
trading  system  for  all  exporters. 

These  actions  are  in  furtherance  of 
the  commitment  I  made  at  the  Bonn 
summit  to  an  improved  U.S.  export 
performance. 

Direct  Assistance 
to  U.S.  Exporters 

1 .  Export-Import  Bank.  I  have 
consistently  supported  a  more  effective 
and  aggressive  Export-Import  Bank. 
During  the  past  2  years,  my  Adminis- 
tration has  increased  Eximbank's  loan 
authorization  fivefold — from  $700 
million  in  FY  1977  to  $3.6  billion  for 
FY  1979.  I  intend  to  ask  Congress  for 
an  additional  $500  million  in  FY  1980, 
bringing  Eximbank's  total  loan  au- 
thorization to  $4.1  billion.  These  au- 
thorizations will  provide  the  Bank  with 
the  funds  necessary  to  improve  its 
competitiveness,  in  a  manner  consist- 
ent with  our  international  obligations, 
through  increased  flexibility  in  the 
areas  of  interest  rates,  length  of  loans, 
and  the  percentage  of  a  transaction  it 
can  finance.  The  Bank  is  also  moving 
to  simplify  its  fee  schedules  and  to 
make  its  programs  more  accessible  to 
smaller  exporters  and  to  agricultural 
exporters. 

2.  SBA  Loans  to  Small  Exporters. 

The  Small  Business  Administration 
will  channel  up  to  $100  million  of  its 
current  authorization  for  loan  guaran- 
tees to  small  business  exporters  to  pro- 


tries  and  that  these  investments  would, 
on  balance,  improve  global  economic 
performance.  I  have  identified  in  this 
preliminary  assessment  a  number  of 
questions  which  merit  a  much  closer 
examination.  We  will  continue  to 
examine  these  ideas  internally  and  in 
conjunction  with  other  countries  in  the 
United  Nations,  the  OECD,  and  the 
World  Bank.    We   welcome  the  guid- 


ance and  advice  of  your  committees  on 
this  subject.  □ 


■The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings  will 
be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be  avail- 
able from  the  Superintendent  of  Documents. 
U.S.  Government  Printing  Office.  Washington. 
DC.  20402. 

2  For  text  of  the  Bonn  Declaration  and  related 
material,  see  Bulletin  of  Sept.  1978.  p.  1. 


24 


vide  seed  money  for  their  entry  into 
foreign  markets.  Small  exporting  firms 
meeting  SBA's  qualifications  will  be 
eligible  for  loan  guarantees  totaling  up 
to  $500,000  to  meet  needs  for  ex- 
panded production  capacity  and  to  ease 
cash  flow  problems  involving  overseas 
sales  or  initial  marketing  expenses. 

3.  Export  Development  Programs. 

1  am  directing  the  Office  of  Manage- 
ment and  Budget  to  allocate  an  addi- 
tional $20  million  in  annual  resources 
for  export  development  programs  of  the 
Departments  of  Commerce  and  State  to 
assist  U.S.  firms,  particularly  small 
and  medium-sized  businesses,  in  mar- 
keting abroad  through: 

•  A  computerized  information  sys- 
tem to  provide  exporters  with  prompt 
access  to  international  marketing  op- 
portunities abroad  and  to  expose 
American  products  to  foreign  buyers; 

•  Risk  sharing  programs  to  help  as- 
sociations and  small  companies  meet 
initial  export  marketing  costs;  and 

•  Targeted  assistance  to  firms  and 
industries  with  high  export  potential 
and  intensified  short-term  export  cam- 
paigns in  promising  markets. 

4.  Agricultural  Exports.  Agricul- 
tural exports  are  a  vital  component  of 
the  U.S.  trade  balance.  Over  the  past 
10  years,  the  volume  of  U.S.  farm 
exports  has  doubled  and  the  dollar 
value  has  nearly  quadrupled.  Trade  in 
agricultural  products  will  contribute  a 
net  surplus  of  almost  $13  billion  in 
fiscal  year  1978.  This  strong  perform- 
ance is  due  in  part  to  this  Administra- 
tion's multifaceted  agricultural  export 
policy,  which  will  be  strengthened  and 
which  includes: 

•  An  increase  of  almost  $1  billion 
(up  from  $750  million  in  FY  1977  to 
$1.7  billion  in  FY  1978)  in  the  level  of 
short-term  export  credits; 

•  An  increase  of  almost  20%  in  the 
level  of  funding  support  for  a  highly 
successful  program  of  cooperation  with 
over  60  agricultural  commodity  associ- 
ations in  market  development; 

•  Efforts  in  the  multilateral  trade 
negotiations  to  link  the  treatment  of 
agricultural  and  nonagricultural  prod- 
ucts; 

•  Opening  trade  offices  in  key  im- 
porting nations  in  order  to  facilitate  the 
development  of  these  markets; 

•  Aggressive  pursuit  of  an  interna- 
tional wheat  agreement,  to  insure  our 
producers  a  fair  share  of  the  expanding 
world  market;  and 

•  Support  of  legislation  to  provide 
intermediate  export  credit  for  selective 
agricultural  exports. 

5.  Tax  Measures.  I  am  hopeful  that 


Congress  will  work  with  the  Adminis- 
tration to  promptly  resolve  the  tax 
problems  of  Americans  employed 
abroad,  many  of  whom  are  directly  in- 
volved in  export  efforts.  Last  February, 
I  proposed  tax  relief  for  these  citizens 
amounting  to  about  $250  million  a 
year.  I  think  this  proposal,  which  Con- 
gress has  not  approved,  deals  fairly 
and.  during  a  time  of  great  budget 
stringency,  responsibly  with  this 
problem.  I  remain  ready  to  work  with 
the  Congress  to  resolve  this  issue,  but  I 
cannot  support  proposals  which  run 
contrary  to  our  strong  concerns  for 
budget  prudence  and  tax  equity. 
My  Administration's  concern  for  ex- 
ports is  matched  by  our  obligation  to 
insure  that  government-sponsored  ex- 
port incentives  constitute  an  efficient 
use  of  the  taxpayers'  money.  The  DISC 
tax  provision  simply  does  not  meet  that 
basic  test.  It  is  a  costly  (over  $1  billion 
a  year)  and  inefficient  incentive  for 
exports.  I  continue  to  urge  Congress  to 
phase  DISC  out  or  at  least  make  it 
simpler,  less  costly,  and  more  effective 
than  it  is  now.  and  my  Administration 
stands  ready  to  work  with  Congress 
toward  that  goal. 

Reduction  of  Domestic  Barriers 
to  Exports 

Direct  financial  and  technical  assist- 
ance to  U.S.  firms  should  encourage 
them  to  take  advantage  of  the  increas- 
ing competitiveness  of  our  goods  in 
international  markets.  Equally  impor- 
tant will  be  the  reduction  of 
government-imposed  disincentives  and 
barriers  which  unnecessarily  inhibit  our 
firms  from  selling  abroad.  We  can  and 
will  continue  to  administer  the  laws 
and  policies  affecting  the  international 
business  community  firmly  and  fairly, 
but  we  can  also  discharge  that  respon- 
sibility with  a  greater  sensitivity  to  the 
importance  of  exports  than  has  been  the 
case  in  the  past. 

1 .  Export  Consequences  of  Regu- 
lations. I  am  directing  the  heads  of  all 
executive  departments  and  agencies  to 
take  into  account,  and  weigh  as  a  fac- 
tor, the  possible  adverse  effects  on  our 
trade  balance  of  their  major  adminis- 
trative and  regulatory  actions  that  have 
significant  export  consequences.  They 
will  report  back  on  their  progress  in 
identifying  and  reducing  such  negative 
export  effects  where  possible,  consist- 
ent with  other  legal  and  policy  obliga- 
tions. I  will  make  a  similar  request  of 
the  independent  regulatory  agencies.  In 
addition,  the  Council  of  Economic  Ad- 
visers will  consider  export  conse- 
quences as  part  of  the  Administration's 
regulatory  analysis  program. 


Department  of  State  Bulletii: 

There  may  be  areas,  such  as  the  ex- 
port of  products  which  pose  serious 
health  and  safety  risks,  where  new  reg- 
ulations are  warranted.  But  through  the 
steps  outlined  above,  I  intend  to  inject 
a  greater  awareness  throughout  the 
government  of  the  effects  on  exports  of 
administrative  and  regulatory  actions. 

2.  Export  Controls  for  Foreign 
Policy  Purposes.  I  am  directing  the 
Departments  of  Commerce.  State,  De- 
fense, and  Agriculture  to  take  export 
consequences  fully  into  account  when 
considering  the  use  of  export  controls 
for  foreign  policy  purposes.  Weight 
will  be  given  to  whether  the  goods  in 
question  are  also  available  from  coun- 
tries other  than  the  United  States. 

3.  Foreign  Corrupt  Practices  Act. 

At  my  direction,  the  Justice  Depart- 
ment will  provide  guidance  to  the  busi- 
ness community  concerning  its  en- 
forcement priorities  under  the  recently 
enacted  foreign  antibribery  statute. 
This  statute  should  not  be  viewed  as  an 
impediment  to  the  conduct  of  legiti- 
mate business  activities  abroad.  I  am 
hopeful  that  American  business  will  not 
forgo  legitimate  export  opportunities 
because  of  uncertainty  about  the  appli- 
cation of  this  statute.  The  guidance 
provided  by  the  Justice  Department 
should  be  helpful  in  that  regard. 

4.  Antitrust  Laws.  There  are  in- 
stances in  which  joint  ventures  and  other 
kinds  of  cooperative  arrangements  be- 
tween American  firms  are  necessary  or 
desirable  to  improve  our  export  perform- 
ance. The  Justice  Department  has  ad- 
vised that  most  such  foreign  joint  ven- 
tures would  not  violate  our  antitrust 
laws  and  in  many  instances  would  ac- 
tually strengthen  competition.  This  is 
especially  true  for  one-time  joint  ven- 
tures created  to  participate  in  a  single 
activity,  such  as  a  large  construction 
project.  In  fact,  no  such  joint  conduct 
has  been  challenged  under  the  antitrust 
laws  in  over  20  years. 

Nevertheless,  many  businessmen  ap- 
parently are  uncertain  on  this  point, 
and  this  uncertainty  can  be  a  disincen- 
tive to  exports.  I  have,  therefore,  in- 
structed the  Justice  Department,  in 
conjunction  with  the  Commerce  De- 
partment, to  clarify  and  explain  the 
scope  of  the  antitrust  laws  in  this  area, 
with  special  emphasis  on  the  kinds  of 
joint  ventures  that  are  unlikely  to  raise 
antitrust  problems. 

I  have  also  instructed  the  Justice  De- 
partment to  give  expedited  treatment  to 
requests  by  business  firms  for  guidance 
on  international  antitrust  issues  under 
the  Department's  business  review  pro- 
gram. Finally,  I  will  appoint  a  business 
advisory   panel   to  work   with   the   Na- 


illei 


November  1978 


"   ional  Commission  for  the  Review  of 
he  Antitrust  Laws. 

5.  Environmental    Reviews.    For   a 

lumber  of  years  the  export  community 

las   faced   the   uncertainty   of  whether 

he  National  Environmental  Policy  Act 

NEPA)  requires  environmental  impact 

eif  itatements  for  Federal  export  licenses, 

>ermits.  and  approvals. 

I  will  shortly  sign  an  Executive  order 

vhich   should   assist   U.S.    exports   by 

:liminating    the    present    uncertainties 

to  :oncerning  the  type  of  environmental 

i»l  'eviews  that  will  be  applicable  and  the 

Isi  ^ederal  actions  relating  to  exports  that 

XI  vill  be  affected.  The  order  will  make 

:he   following   export-related   clarifica- 

:ions. 

to 

•  Environmental    impact    statements 

bj  will  not  be  required  for  Federal  export 
e}  licenses,  permits,  approvals,  and  other 
2xport-related  actions  that  have  poten- 
tial environmental  effects  in  foreign 
tries. 

Export  licenses  issued  by  the  De- 
partments of  Commerce  and  Treasury 
will  be  exempt  from  any  environmental 
reviews  required  by  the  Executive 
order. 

Abbreviated  environmental  re- 
views will  be  required  only  with  re- 
spect to  (1)  nuclear  reactors,  (2) 
financing  of  products  and  facilities 
whose  toxic  effects  create  serious  pub- 
lic health  risks,  and  (3)  certain  Federal 
actions  having  a  significant  adverse 
effect  on  the  environment  of  nonpar- 
ticipating  third  countries  or  natural  re- 
sources of  global  importance. 

Accordingly,  this  order  will  establish 
environmental  requirements  for  only  a 
minor  fraction  (well  below  5%)  of  the 
dollar  volume  of  U.S.  exports.  At  the 
same  time,  it  will  provide  procedures 
to  define  and  focus  on  those  exports 
which  should  receive  special  scrutiny 
because  of  their  major  environmental 
impacts  abroad.  This  Executive  order 
will  fairly  balance  our  concern  for  the 
environment  with  our  interest  in  pro- 
moting exports. 


Reduction  in  Foreign  Trade 
Barriers  and  Subsidies 

We  are  also  taking  important  inter- 
national initiatives  to  improve  U.S.  ex- 
port performance.  Trade  restrictions 
imposed  by  other  countries  inhibit  our 
ability  to  export.  Tariff  and  especially 
nontariff  barriers  restrict  our  ability  to 
develop  new  foreign  markets  and  ex- 
pand existing  ones.  We  are  now  work- 
ing to  eliminate  or  reduce  these  barriers 
through  the  multilateral  trade  negotia- 
tions (MTN)  in  Geneva. 

U.S.  export  performance  is  also  ad- 


versely affected  by  the  excessive  finan- 
cial credits  and  subsidies  which  some 
of  our  trading  partners  offer  to  their 
own  exporters.  One  of  our  major  ob- 
jectives in  the  MTN  is  to  negotiate  an 
international  code  restricting  the  use  of 
government  subsidies  for  exports.  In 
addition.  I  am  directing  the  Secretary 
of  the  Treasury  to  undertake  immediate 
consultations  with  our  trading  partners 
to  expand  the  scope  and  tighten  the 
terms  of  the  existing  international  ar- 
rangement on  export  credits. 

I  hope  that  our  major  trading 
partners  will  see  the  importance  of 
reaching  more  widespread  agreements 
on  the  use  of  export  finance  to  avoid  a 
costly  competition  which  is  econom- 
ically unsound  and  ultimately  self- 
defeating  for  all  of  us.  These  interna- 
tional agreements  are  essential  to 
assure  that  American  exporters  do  not 
face  unfair  competition,  and  this  Ad- 
ministration intends  to  work  vigorously 
to  secure  them. 

Conclusion 

While  these  initiatives  will  assist 
private  business  in  increasing  exports, 
our  export  problem  has  been  building 
for  many  years,  and  we  cannot  expect 
dramatic  improvement  overnight.  In- 
creasing our  exports  will  take  time  and 
require  a  sustained  effort.  Announce- 
ment of  my  Administration's  export 
policy  is  not  the  end  of  our  task  but 
rather  the  beginning.  To  insure  that  this 
issue  continues  to  receive  priority  at- 
tention, I  am  asking  Secretary  Kreps, 
in  coordination  with  officials  from 
other  concerned  government  agencies, 
to  direct  the  continuation  of  efforts  to 
improve  our  export  potential  and  per- 
formance. 

I  will  shortly  sign  an  Executive  order 
to  reconstitute  a  more  broadly  based 
President's  Export  Council  to  bring  a 
continuous  flow  of  fresh  ideas  into  our 
government  policymaking  process.  I 
expect  this  Council  to  report  to  me 
annually  through  the  Secretary  of 
Commerce. 

Increasing  U.S.  exports  is  a  major 
challenge — for  business,  for  labor,  and 
for  government.  Better  export  perform- 
ance by  the  United  States  would  spur 
growth  in  the  economy.  It  would  create 
jobs.  It  would  strengthen  the  dollar  and 
fight  inflation. 

There  are  no  short-term,  easy  solu- 
tions. But  the  actions  I  am  announcing 
today  reflect  my  Administration's  de- 
termination to  give  the  United  States 
trade  deficit  the  high-level,  sustained 
attention  it  deserves.  They  are  the  first 
step  in  a  long-term  effort  to  strengthen 
this  nation's  export  position  in  world 
trade. 


25 


ASSISTANT  SECRETARY  KATZ, 
SEPT.  29 

Statement  before  the  Subcommittee 
on  International  Economics  of  the 
Joint  Economic  Committee.  Julius  L. 
Katz  is  Assistant  Secretary  for  Eco- 
nomic and  Business  Affairs.2 

I  am  pleased  to  have  the  opportunity 
to  discuss  with  this  subcommittee  the 
role  of  the  Department  of  State  and  the 
Foreign  Service  in  the  newly  an- 
nounced national  export  policy. 

The  Department  of  State  participated 
actively  in  the  work  of  the  interagency 
task  force  established  by  the  President 
to  recommend  measures  to  increase 
U.S.  exports.  We  welcome  the  com- 
prehensive package  of  recommenda- 
tions developed  by  the  task  force  and 
approved  by  the  President,  including 
incentives  for  exports  and  reducing 
disincentives,  which  constitute  the  be- 
ginnings of  a  national  export  policy. 
We  are  especially  gratified  that  the  task 
force  looked  to  a  policy  of  increased 
exports  as  an  important  element  in  im- 
proving the  current  trade  account.  The 
President's  commitment  to  export 
growth  as  an  important  national  objec- 
tive will  provide  the  direction  needed 
in  the  executive  branch  and  the  Con- 
gress and  should  give  the  business 
community  the  confidence  to  pursue 
export  opportunities  more  aggressively. 

The  Department  of  State  views  the 
steps  now  being  taken  to  develop  a 
national  export  policy  as  only  one  ele- 
ment, but  an  essential  element,  of  our 
overall  foreign  economic  policy. 

A  strong  U.S.  economy  and  a  sound 
dollar  are  critical  ingredients  of  a  stable 
international  economy.  At  the  same 
time  the  United  States  has  a  critical 
stake  in  the  health  of  the  world  econ- 
omy. It  is  for  this  reason  that  we  seek 
to  pursue  policies  which  favorably  af- 
fect global  stability  and  growth: 

•  Efforts  in  the  current  multilateral 
trade  negotiations  to  expand  trade  and 
strengthen  trading  rules; 

•  Solutions  to  the  problems  related 
to  price  stability  and  security  of  supply 
of  food  and  other  commodities; 

•  Programs  to  conserve  energy  and 
develop  new  energy  sources  at  home 
and  abroad; 

•  Facilities  to  insure  the  availability 
of  balance-of-payments  financing  to 
those  in  need;  and 

•  Increased  flows  of  financial  assist- 
ance and  resources  for  development. 

The  success  of  these  policies  will 
open  new  export  opportunities.  These 
opportunities  will  not  translate  into  in- 
creased U.S.  exports  unless  U.S.  busi- 
ness is  prepared  to  respond  to  those 


26 

opportunities.  Government  policy  can 
affect  that  response — positively  or 
negatively. 


U.S.  Trade 

Recent  events  have  underscored  the 
need  for  a  clearly  articulated  national 
export  policy.  The  United  States  had  a 
$31  billion  trade  deficit  in  1977. 
Through  the  first  7  months  of  1978,  the 
deficit  is  running  at  an  even  higher 
annual  rate.  There  are  a  number  of 
explanations:  The  strength  of  the  U.S. 
recovery  combined  with  the  sluggish 
growth  of  domestic  demand  in  Japan, 
West  Germany,  and  many  of  our  other 
trading  partners;  the  high  level  of  oil 
imports  which  now  provides  40%  of 
domestic  consumption  and  a  relatively 
high  inflation  rate  in  the  country  com- 
pared to  those  of  West  Germany  and 
Japan. 

While  all  of  these  developments  have 
played  a  role  in  our  deficit,  they  may 
have  masked  another  fundamental  trade 
problem:  Slow  export  growth  and  a 
deteriorating  U.S.  share  in  world  trade, 
particularly  in  manufactured  goods. 
Over  the  past  20  years,  U.S.  exports 
have  grown  at  only  half  the  rate  of 
other  industrial  countries,  with  the  di- 
vergence increasing  in  the  last  several 
years.  When  we  take  inflation  into  ac- 
count, real  U.S.  exports  have  virtually 
stood  still  for  more  than  3  years;  this  is 
in  sharp  contrast  to  our  competitors 
who  have  managed  real  export  growth 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


(even  if  we  exclude  their  exports  to  the 
United  States)  of  nearly  4%  per  year 
during  the  same  period.  While  ag- 
ricultural exports  have  held  up  well, 
and  have  in  fact  even  grown,  the  vol- 
ume of  exports  of  American  manufac- 
tured goods  has  fallen  since  1974.  In 
1976  we  still  enjoyed  a  $12  billion 
surplus  in  trade  in  manufactured  goods. 
That  surplus  fell  to  $3  billion  in  1977. 
So  far  this  year,  trade  in  this  category 
is  in  deficit  at  an  annual  rate  of  $12 
billion. 

As  a  result  of  the  depreciation  of  the 
dollar  and  the  appreciation  of  the  cur- 
rencies of  our  major  trading  partners, 
we  should  expect  to  see  an  improve- 
ment in  our  competitive  position  af- 
fecting both  exports  and  imports. 
Again,  the  increased  competitiveness 
of  our  exports  which  dollar  deprecia- 
tion produces  will  only  expand  oppor- 
tunities. It  will  not  insure  that  U.S. 
exporters  take  advantage  of  those  op- 
portunities. 


U.S.  Commercial  Activities 

The  Departments  of  Commerce  and 
State  jointly  operate  programs  for  ex- 
port promotion  and  marketing,  and  it  is 
planned  to  expand  these  activities  to 
assist  in  meeting  the  goal  of  maximiz- 
ing exports.  The  Department  of  State 
performs  the  following  broad 
categories  of  functions  in  carrying  out 
its  export  promotion  activities. 


•  We  provide  Foreign  Service  offi- 
cers qualified  in  economic  and  com- 
mercial affairs  to  conduct  export 
promotion  programs.  The  State  De- 
partment has  roughly  900  economic- 
commercial  officers,  300  of  whom  are 
fully  or  principally  engaged  in  com- 
mercial work.  These  officers  work  in 
the  Department  and  in  our  embassies, 
consulates,  and  trade  centers  abroad. 

•  We  provide  our  overseas  posts 
with  guidance  and  assistance  in  man- 
aging their  individual  export  promotion 
programs.  Thirty-seven  embassies  in 
major  commercial  markets  abroad  op- 
erate under  a  State-Commerce  annual 
plan  called  a  country  commercial  pro- 
gram. This  management-by-objective 
document  establishes  plans  and  pro- 
grams for  efficiently  utilizing  our 
commercial  resources  to  achieve  spe- 
cific goals.  Additional  embassies  in 
smaller  markets  target  their  activities 
and  manage  their  resources  under  a 
simplified  type  of  annual  plan  called  a 
commercial  action  program. 

•  We  coordinate  with  other  U.S. 
Government  agencies  to  insure  effec- 
tive export  promotion  assistance  for  the 
American  business  community.  For 
example,  information  collected  at 
Foreign  Service  posts  is  distributed  in 
the  United  States  by  the  Department  of 
Commerce. 

•  At  our  posts  overseas  we  assist 
visiting  American  businessmen  to  es- 
tablish appropriate  trade  contacts  and 


I 


[ 


PRESIDENT'S  REMARKS, 
SEPT.  26* 

One  of  the  problems  that  our  nation  has 
faced  for  several  years,  but  with  growing 
concern  recently,  has  been  the  very  high 
negative  trade  balance.  We  have  imported 
a  great  deal  more  than  we  have  exported. 

There  are  obviously  several  reasons  for 
this.  One  is  the  extraordinary  increase  in 
the  imports  of  oil  which,  as  you  know, 
have  increased  800%  in  the  last  6  years,  so 
that  we  now  import  about  half  our  total  oil. 
This  has  created  inflationary  pressures.  It 
has  caused  some  doubt  about  our  nation's 
leadership,  and  we  have  been  considering 
lor  a  number  ot  months  what  we  might  do 
about  this  problem. 

I  know  the  obvious  cause  for  high  trade 
imbalance  is  not  exporting  enough  of  the 
products  that  we  ourselves  can  produce. 
Secretary  Juanita  Kreps  —  Secretary  ot 
Commerce — has  been  working  with  a  task 
force  recently  in  trying  to  resolve  this  par- 
ticular aspect  of  our  problem 

Obviously,  exported  goods  create  much 
needed  jobs  for  Americans,  and  it  corrects 
the  defects  that  I've  just  described  to  you. 


We've  never  been  a  nation  that  emphasized 
exports  enough,  because  we've  been  so 
highly  blessed  with  natural  resources,  ap- 
proaching a  degree  almost  of  self- 
sufficiency. 

We've  never  depended  upon  exports  as 
have  other  nations  who  trade  with  us  like 
Japan ,  Germany,  and  others.  But  there's  a 
growing  consciousness  in  our  country  now 
that  we  would  like  to  accelerate,  that  ex- 
port commitments  should  be  a  part  of  every 
producer  in  our  country,  both  large. 
medium-sized,  and  small- 
Many  people  don't  know  how  to  export 
They  don't  know  how  to  package  goods  lor 
sales  overseas,  how  to  get  their  products  to 
a  transportation  center,  how  to  deliver  and 
handle  the  paperwork,  how  to  locale 
foreign  buyers.  These  are  the  kinds  of  edu- 
cational processes  that  we  hope  to  explore. 
also. 

Lately  we've  been  slowing  down  in  re- 
search and  development  commitment  in  our 
country,  as  well,  and  we  hope  to  expedite  a 
recommitment  to  planning  for  the  future, 
so  that  we  can  he  technologically  compati- 
ble and  competitive  with  our  foreign  trad- 
ing partners. 


We  also,  of  course,  want  to  remove  trade 
barriers  that  have  been  created  by  congres- 
sional action  and  by  administrative  action 
which  prevents  exports  from  going  over- 
seas, and  we  are  negotiating  with  our 
foreign  trade  partners  to  eliminate  trade 
barriers  that  prevent  our  own  products  from 
entering  their  countries.  In  doing  this,  we 
must  be  careful  not  to  lower  our  standards 
for  environmental  quality  or  the  safety  or 
health  of  American  workers,  or  our  com- 
mitment to  principles  of  human  rights  and 
others  on  which  our  nation  has  been 
founded  and  exists 

Secretary    of    Commerce    Juanita    Kreps 
will  now  give  you  some  specific  proposals 
that  have  been  evolved  by  her  own  depart 
ment,   by   Members  of  Congress,  by   other 
members  of  the  Cabinet,    and   by   the   husi 
ness  and  labor  leaders  of  our  country.** 


*Made  to  reporters  assembled  in  the 
Briefing  Room  at  the  White  House  (text 
from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presidential 
Documents  of  Oct.  2.  1978) 

**FolIowing  the  President's  remarks. 
Secretary  Kreps  held  a  news  conference  on 
the  proposals,  the  text  of  which  was  issued 
as  a  White  House  press  release. 


ovember  1978 

resolve  any  commercial  problems 
Cot   ey  encounter. 

We  assure  that  all  activities  under- 
ken  under  commercial  programs  are 
>nsistent  with  overall  U.S.  foreign 
)licy  objectives.  This  is  achieved 
rough  frequent  interagency  meetings 
nong  senior  officials. 


27 


7 


The  commercial  activities  performed 
/  the  U.S.  Foreign  Service  are  aimed 
8  imarily  at  assisting  firms  to  enter  and 
nan  cpand  their  markets  abroad,  giving 
>ecial  attention  to  the  needs  of  small 
1  id  medium-sized  companies.  Foreign 
ervice  posts  provide  these  firms, 
irough  the  Department  of  Commerce, 
ith  a  continuing  flow  of  reports  on 
onomic  trends  and  market  develop- 
lents,  market  research,  trade  opportu- 
ities,  major  economic  development 
rojects.  and  background  financial  and 
Dmmercial  information  on  prospective 
gents,  distributors,  and  purchasers  of 
merican  products.  In  addition,  the 
osts  actively  help  organize  and  pro- 
lote  U.S.  trade  and  industrial  exhibi- 
ons  abroad.  They  also  arrange  for 
>reign  buyers  to  come  to  the  United 
tates  to  visit  American  trade  shows 

American  firms. 
Our  posts  abroad  also  operate  com- 
lercial  libraries  and  publish  and  dis- 
ibute  commercial  newsletters  to  pro- 
ide  the  most  important  business  and 
overnment  buyers,  agents,  and  end- 
sers  with  current  information  on 
imerican  products,  services,  and  tech- 
ology.  These  activities  are,  of  course, 
i  addition  to  the  posts'  ongoing  assist- 
ince  to  visiting  American  businessmen 
(nd  to  the  resident  American  business 
ommunity. 

With  the  need  to  service  a  larger 
lientele  in  mind,  the  Export  Policy 
'ask  Force  indicated  that  increased 
omestic  staffing  and  additional  com- 
nercia!  personnel  in  our  Foreign  Serv- 
ce  posts  abroad  are  necessary  to  carry 
ut  expanded  commercial  activities. 
The  President  has  directed  the  Office  of 
4anagement  and  Budget  to  allocate  an 
idditional  $20  million  in  annual  re- 
ources  for  export  development  pro- 

frams  of  the   Departments  of  Com- 
lerce  and  State. 

With  these  new  export  promotion 

guidelines,   we  have  begun  exploring 

he  following  programs  in  order  to  be 

Drepared  to  accommodate  this  projected 

xpansion. 

•  We  have  reviewed  post  commer- 
cial activities  and  business  assistance 


patterns  in  order  to  determine  in  which 
geographic  regions  and  at  which  em- 
bassies and  consulates  we  might  expect 
the  heaviest  initial  commercial  work- 
load increase  to  develop. 

•  We  are  identifying  those  Foreign 
Service  posts  which  can  be  expected  to 
cope  with  the  increased  work  require- 
ments without  increasing  their  re- 
sources. 

•  Then  we  will  target  selected  key 
posts  for  additional  personnel  where 
this  appears  necessary. 

•  We  will  explore  means  of  in- 
creasing the  flexibility  of  our  personnel 
resource  allocation  process  to  speed 
our  response  in  cases  where  the  need 
for  enhanced  commercial  services  to 
U.S.  export-motivated  industries  de- 
velops rapidly  and/or  exceeds  present 
projections. 

In  our  preparations  to  expand  the 
worldwide  capabilities  within  the 
commercial  function,  we  are  seeking 
to  absorb  as  much  as  possible  of  the 
cost  of  that  expansion  from  existing 
resources  within  the  Department. 

A  key  determinant  of  a  nation's 
success  in  exporting  is  the  existence 
of  a  substantial  number  of  highly 
motivated  and  competitive  domestic 
industries  which  are  vigorously  en- 
gaged in  seeking  out  and  exploiting 
sales  opportunities  in  overseas  mar- 
kets. Government  export  promotion 
programs  can  help  assure  that  infor- 
mation on  foreign  markets  and  firms 
is  available  to  present  and  potential 
exporters,  that  opportunities  are 
available  to  exporters  to  display  their 
products  abroad,  and  that  exports  are 
not  discriminated  against  by  foreign 
governments.  But  export  promotion 
programs  of  this  or  any  other  country 
cannot  be  effective  in  the  absence  of 
a  strong  commitment  by  the  private 
sector  itself  to  seek  overseas  markets. 

The  positive  government  policies 
included  in  the  new  export  policy  are 
essential  to  provide  the  climate  and 
framework  for  an  expanded  export 
effort.  The  Department  of  State  is 
committed  to  giving  its  fullest  support 
to  this  effort.  □ 


1  Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Oct.  2,  1978. 

2  The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings 
will  be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments, U.S.  Government  Printing  Office, 
Washington.  DC.  20402. 


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600.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8828.) 
Trade   in   Textiles.   Agreement  with   the 

Socialist  Republic  of  Romania.  TIAS  8831.  3 

pp.  700.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8831.) 
Trade  in   Textiles.    Agreement   with   the 

Socialist  Republic  of  Romania.  TIAS  8833. 

9  pp.  800.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8833.) 

Trade  in  Textiles.  Agreement  with  the  Re- 
public of  Korea.  TIAS  8835.  5  pp.  70?. 
(Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8835.) 

Agricultural  Commodities.  Agreement  with 
Sudan  TIAS  8856.  11  pp.  900.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8856.) 

Agricultural    Cooperative    Development. 

Agreement  with  Liberia.  TIAS  8857.   14  pp. 
900.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8857.) 

Agricultural  Commodities — Transfer  Under 
Title  II.  Agreement  with  Somalia.  TIAS 
8859.  3  pp.  700.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8859.) 

Agricultural  Commodities — Transfer  Under 
Title  II.  Agreement  with  the  World  Food 
Program.  TIAS  8860.  2  pp.  600  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8860.) 

Agricultural  Commodities — Transfer  Under 
Title  II.   Agreement  with  Tanzania.   TIAS 

8861.  3  pp.  700.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8861.) 

Agricultural  Commodities — Transfer  Under 
Title  II.   Agreement  with  Senegal.   TIAS 

8862.  5  pp.  700.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8862.) 

Agricultural  Commodities — Transfer  Under 
Title  II.  Agreement  with  the  Philippines. 
TIAS  8865.  8  pp.  800.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8865.) 

Trade  in  Textiles.  Agreement  with  the  Philip- 
pines, amending  the  agreement  of  October 
15.  1975.  TIAS  8879.  4  pp.  600.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8879.)  □ 


28 


Department  of  State  Bullet 


EUROPE:  An  Overview  of  U.S.'Soviet  Relations 


jikes 
ii  fw 


by  Marshall  D.  Shulman 

Statement  before  the  Subcommittee 
on  Europe  and  the  Middle  East  of  the 
House  Committee  on  International 
Relations  on  September  26,  1978. 
Ambassador  Shulman  is  Special  Ad- 
viser to  the  Secretary  of  State  on 
Soviet  Affairs. ' 

Last  year  when  I  had  the  privilege 
oi  testifying  before  your  subcommit- 
tee, I  presented  an  overview  of  U.S.- 
Soviet relations  as  of  that  time  — 
October  1 977.-  Today,  I  propose  to 
discuss  the  developments  that  have  oc- 
curred in  U.S. -Soviet  relations  since 
that  time,  to  analyze  the  reasons  for 
those  developments,  and  to  discuss 
present  prospects  for  the  relationship. 

It  has  been  characteristic  of  U.S.- 
Soviet relations  since  World  War  II 
that  they  have  fluctuated  between 
periods  of  high  and  low  tension.  Dur- 
ing the  past  year,  relations  have 
moved  toward  relatively  higher  ten- 
sion, continuing  an  uneven  trend  from 
the  latter  part  of  1975. 

From  the  point  of  view  of  the 
United  States,  the  causes  of  this  de- 
terioration were  to  be  found  mainly  in 
the  following  Soviet  actions. 

•  In  exploiting  opportunities  for  the 
expansion  of  its  influence  in  Africa, 
the  Soviet  Union  exceeded  a  reason- 
able level  of  restraint  in  the  transport 
of  weapons  and  Cuban  combat  person- 
nel onto  the  continent,  thereby  exacer- 
bating local  conflict  situations. 

•  The  deployment  of  new  strategic 
weapons  systems  and  the  continued  up- 
grading of  Soviet  armaments  in  the 
European  theatre  raised  uncertainties 
about  Soviet  intentions. 

•  The  heightening  of  Soviet  police 
actions  against  Soviet  dissidents, 
American  correspondents,  and  an 
American  businessman,  and  the  con- 
tinued harassment  of  Soviet  citizens 
who  apply  for  emigration,  reflected  a 
lack  of  regard  for  commitments  under 
the  Helsinki  agreement. 

While  we  cannot  accept  the  Soviet 
view,  it  is  important  for  us  to  engage 
in  a  serious  analytical  effort  to  identify 
key  elements  of  the  present  Soviet 
world  view.  As  we  understand  Soviet 
perceptions,  the  following  charges 
which  they  have  levied  against  the 
United  States  loom  largest  for  them. 

•  Moscow    complains    of    dilatory 


conduct  of  negotiations  on  SALT, 
mutual  and  balanced  force  reductions, 
a  comprehensive  test  ban,  and  the  In- 
dian Ocean. 

•  In  the  global  political  arena,  the 
Soviet  Union  is  suspicious  of  Western 
steps  to  strengthen  China  against  the 
Soviet  Union,  resents  exclusion  from 
the  Middle  East  negotiations,  and  be- 
lieves the  reaction  to  its  competition 
for  influence  in  Africa  is  dispropor- 
tionate and  unreasonable. 

•  The  Soviet  regime  sees  a  U.S. 
effort  to  use  human  rights  issues  to 
undermine  its  political  authority. 

•  It  is  disturbed  by  what  it  sees  as 
efforts  to  rekindle  the  cold  war  by 
economic  pinpricks. 

One  of  the  difficulties  of  the  situa- 
tion is  that  the  Soviet  leadership  sees 
the  deterioration  in  relations  as  largely 
stemming  from  cold  war  pressures 
within  the  United  States  and  does  not 
perceive  how  actions  of  the  Soviet 
Union  —  its  security  apparatus,  its 
military,  its  propagandists — have  con- 
tributed to  a  hardening  of  American 
attitudes  toward  the  Soviet  Union.  It 
is,  of  course,  a  natural  tendency  not 
"to  see  oursels  as  ithers  see  us,"  as 
the  poet  Bobby  Burns  put  it,  and  we 
are  not  immune  from  this  tendency. 
But  the  problem  is  compounded  in  the 
Soviet  case  by  the  fact  that  these  are 
the  actions  of  institutions  deeply 
rooted  in  the  Soviet  system,  and  the 
world  view  of  the  leadership  is  cir- 
cumscribed by  its  limited  experience 
of  the  outside  world. 

ANALYSIS  OF  RECENT 
DEVELOPMENTS 

In  seeking  to  understand  why  rela- 
tions have  deteriorated,  we  can  sort 
out  some  objective  factors  in  the  situ- 
ation. The  relationship  between  the 
United  States  and  the  Soviet  Union  has 
always  been  subject  to  changes  in  the 
external  international  situation,  which 
is  the  terrain  on  which  the  two  coun- 
tries meet. 

In  the  present  period,  a  principal 
factor  is  that  the  continent  of  Africa, 
culminating  several  decades  of  post 
colonial  change,  has  entered  upon  a 
period  of  extraordinary  fluidity,  in 
which  many  sources  of  conflict  have 
come  to  a  head.  This  creates  situations 
in  which  the  Soviet  Union  sees  op- 
portunities for  the  expansion  of  its  in- 
fluence,  and   this   in   turn   inevitably 


heightens    the    competitive    tension 
the    U.S. -Soviet    relationship.    Th 
Soviet  Union  has  not  interpreted   "dt 
tente"   or    "peaceful   coexistence' 
precluding  such  actions. 

There  are  also  factors  within  th 
Soviet  Union  that  contribute  t 
heightened  tension  in  the  relationship 
The  powerful  entrenched  polic 
bureaucracy  inevitably  presses  fo 
tighter  control  and  punitive  action 
against  the  expression  of  dissider 
opinion  during  periods  of  reduced  in 
ternational  tension,  thus  precipitatin 
international  reactions  which  cu 
across  the  foreign  policy  interests  o 
the  Soviet  Union.  Moreover,  the  con 
siderable  strength  of  the  militar 
bureaucracies  tends  to  perpetuate  sup 
port  for  military  programs  without  re 
gard  for  their  impact  on  the  other  in 
ternational  policies  of  the  government. 

In  addition,  there  are  factors  in  thi 
American  situation  which  affect  thi 
relationship. 

•  The  blurring  of  popular  under 
standing  of  the  limitations  o 
"detente"  contributed  to  a  sense  o" 
disillusionment  and  anger  when  tht 
competitive  aspects  of  the  relationship 
became  more  evident. 

•  A  measured  and  effective  reaction 
to  the  military  and  political  competi 
tion  from  the  Soviet  Union  has  been 
made  more  difficult  by  the  persisting 
post-Vietnam  apprehension  that  the 
United  States  may  be  seen  as  lacking 
sufficient  will  and  resolution. 

•  The  implementation  of  a  unified 
and  coordinated  foreign  policy  by  the 
United  States  has  become  more  com- 
plex, both  because  the  issues  them- 
selves have  become  more  complex  andl 
also  as  a  result  of  the  shifting  balance 
of  responsibility  for  the  conduct  of 
foreign  policy  between  the  executive 
and  legislative  branches  of  govern- 
ment. 

Given  the  existence  of  these  factors 
in  the  external  international  situation 
and  within  the  Soviet  Union  and  the 
United  States,  it  should  not  be  sur- 
prising that  the  course  of  U.S. -Soviet 
relations  does  not  follow  a  straight 
line.  Nevertheless,  it  lies  within  our 
power  to  magnify  or  moderate  the  ef- 
fect of  these  factors.  It  should  be  evi- 
dent that  it  is  in  our  national  interest 
to  moderate  them,  as  much  as  possi- 
ble, since  a  high  level  of  tension  in 
the  U.S. -Soviet  relationship  inevitably 


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November  1978 

makes  all  other  problems  facing  us  in 
our  foreign  relations  more  difficult  and 


more  dangerous. 


PRESENT  STATE  OF 
U.S. -SO VIET  RELATIONS 

In  this  short  perspective,  one  can 
only  speak  of  trends  with  fingers 
crossed,  but  it  appears  possible  that 
the  deterioration  in  Soviet-American 
relations  may  have  bottomed  out  in 
midsummer.  During  the  August  holi- 
days, a  lull  in  the  chain  of  actions  and 
reactions  gave  both  sides  an  opportu- 
nity to  reflect  on  the  consequences  of 
the  momentum  that  had  been  de- 
veloping in  the  downward  spiral. 

A  number  of  steps  on  the  Soviet 
side  in  recent  weeks  suggests  that  the 
Soviet  Union  wishes  to  reverse  the 
tide  of  events. 

•  The  court  action  against  two 
American  correspondents,  who  had 
been  charged  with  slander  as  part  of 
an  effort  to  limit  Western  news  re- 
porting on  Soviet  dissidents,  was  ter- 
minated. 

•  An  American  businessman  who 
had  been  charged  with  currency  viola- 
tions, apparently  in  retaliation  for  the 
arrest  of  two  Soviet  citizens  for  es- 
pionage, was  allowed  to  leave  the 
country  after  a  transparently  contrived 
trial. 

•  The  inhumane  severity  of  sen- 
tences in  human  rights  cases  has  been 
relatively  reduced  in  the  most  recent 
series  of  trials,  following  the  convic- 
tion of  Shcharanskiy,  and  the  Soviet 
leadership  has  agreed  to  allow  a 
number  of  families  to  leave  the  coun- 
try who  had  previously  been  denied 
permission  to  do  so.  The  level  of 
Jewish  emigration  from  the  Soviet 
Union  has  continued  to  rise  and  is  now 
higher  than  at  any  time  since  1973. 

•  Although  further  serious  problems 
may  lie  ahead  in  southern  Africa, 
there  are  some  grounds  for  a  tentative 
judgment  that  the  Soviet  Union  has 
observed  certain  limitations  in 
Ethiopia  and  has  not  sought  to  prevent 
Angola  from  playing  a  constructive 
role  in  composing  its  relations  with 
Zaire  and  in  the  Namibian  problem. 

The  logic  of  the  Soviet  situation 
suggests  that  the  same  reasons  that 
prompted  the  Brezhnev  regime  about  a 
decade  ago  to  commit  itself  decisively 
to  a  foreign  policy  of  "peaceful 
coexistence"  (that  is,  a  continuation  of 
the  competition  without  war  and  at  re- 
duced levels  of  tension)  are,  if  any- 
thing, more  compelling  today  than  they 
were  then.  Domestically,  the  Soviet 
system  still  faces  the  need  for  structural 


changes  to  raise  both  agricultural  and 
industrial  productivity  and  to  encour- 
age the  growth  of  the  advanced  tech- 
nological sector  of  its  economy. 

In  its  foreign  relations,  the  Soviet 
Union  is  concerned  about  delicate  in- 
stabilities in  Eastern  Europe,  a  mount- 
ing challenge  from  China,  and  rela- 
tively unpromising  prospects  elsewhere 
in  the  world,  with  the  partial  and  still 
uncertain  exception  of  parts  of  Africa. 
In  the  military  balance,  the  continued 
high  level  of  resources  devoted  by  the 
Soviet  Union  to  its  strategic  and  con- 
ventional forces  has  stimulated  a  higher 
level  of  military  effort  by  the  United 
States  and  its  NATO  allies. 

Each  of  these  problems  would  be 
compounded  by  a  foreign  policy  that 
would  result  in  higher  tensions.  Mis- 
calculations, irrationality,  and 
bureaucratic  free  wheeling  are  always 
possible,  but  if  prudence  and  logic  pre- 
vail, and  if  present  and  future  Soviet 
leaders  perceive  that  the  United  States 
is  equally  willing  to  conduct  the  re- 
lationship at  reduced  levels  of  tension, 
it  should  be  possible  to  put  matters 
onto  a  more  sensible  footing. 

For  its  part,  the  United  States  has 
been  taking  measured  steps  to  encour- 
age further  movement  by  the  Soviet 
Union  toward  the  resolution  of  funda- 
mental problems  still  unresolved. 

The  strains  of  the  recent  past  may 
create  an  opportunity  for  us  to  put  the 
U.S. -Soviet  relationship  on  a  more 
realistic  and  steady  course,  in  place  of 
the  alternations  between  extreme  hos- 
tility and  shallow  optimism  which  have 
dominated  our  attitudes  in  the  past. 

The  President  has  made  it  clear  that 
it  is  an  integral  element  in  U.S.  foreign 
policy  to  recognize  that  the  Soviet- 
American  relationship  in  the  present 
period,  while  fundamentally  competi- 
tive in  nature  as  a  result  of  our  differ- 
ent views  of  the  world  and  our  con- 
flicting long  term  aims,  at  the  same 
time  also  includes  some  important 
overlapping  interests.  Preeminent 
among  these  common  interests  is  the 
necessity  of  navigating  the  mine  fields 


Letters 
of  Credence 


On  October  2,  1978.  President  Car- 
ter accepted  the  credentials  of  Dr. 
Horst  Grunert  of  the  German  Demo- 
cratic Republic  and  Sean  Donlon  of 
Ireland  as  their  countries'  newly  ap- 
pointed Ambassadors  to  the  United 
States.  □ 


29 

of  conflict  in  the  world  today  so  that 
they  do  not  precipitate  a  world  nuclear 
war. 

From  this  it  follows  that  the  priority 
governing  our  relations  with  the  Soviet 
Union  in  the  present  period  is  to 
strengthen  our  security  by  seeking  to 
stabilize  the  military  competition  be- 
tween the  two  superpowers  and  by 
working  toward  a  regulation  of  the 
political  competition  so  that  it  does  not 
increase  the  danger  of  war.  Viewing 
the  relationship  with  the  Soviet  Union 
as  a  process  extending  over  many  dec- 
ades, it  is  part  of  our  longer  term  pur- 
pose to  encourage  a  widening  of  the 
sphere  of  cooperative  actions  to  effect 
a  moderating  influence  on  the  funda- 
mental character  of  the  relationship 
to  the  extent  that  this  may  become 
possible. 

CURRENT  ISSUES  IN 
U.S.-SOVIET  RELATIONS 

Strategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks 

Although  it  has  not  received  much 
public  attention,  the  work  of  the  two 
SALT  delegations  at  Geneva  has 
brought  to  completion  perhaps  95%  of 
a  SALT  II  agreement.  Their  work  is 
embodied  in  a  joint  draft  agreement  of 
more  than  60  pages,  which  specifies  in 
great  technical  detail  the  definitions, 
verification  procedures,  and  other  as- 
pects that  must  be  covered  with  preci- 
sion to  avoid  later  misunderstanding. 

Meanwhile,  in  a  series  of  meetings 
between  Secretary  Vance  and  Foreign 
Minister  Gromyko.  the  remaining  is- 
sues have  been  under  active  negotia- 
tion. Although  these  issues  are  few  in 
number,  they  are  complex  and  impor- 
tant to  one  side  or  the  other.  There  has 
been  some  narrowing  of  differences  on 
these  issues,  and  it  is  possible  that 
agreement  could  be  reached  in  the  near 
future. 

Once  agreement  is  reached,  the  re- 
sults will  be  placed  before  the  Congress 
and  the  American  people,  and  there 
will  be  a  full  opportunity  for  debate 
and  discussion  of  every  detail.  I  be- 
lieve that  it  will  be  the  judgment  of  the 
Congress  and  the  American  people  that 
the  proposed  SALT  II  agreement 
strengthens  the  security  of  the  United 
States  and  of  its  allies. 

It  will  be  apparent  to  all,  I  believe, 
that  in  the  absence  of  such  an  agree- 
ment, both  the  United  States  and  the 
Soviet  Union  would  increase  at 
dangerous  rates  the  destructive  capa- 
bility at  their  disposal  and  that  the  se- 
curity of  both  countries  and  of  the  en- 
tire world  would  thereby  be  seriously 
reduced. 

Agreement   in   SALT   is   not   based 


30 

upon  trust  but  is  soundly  based  upon 
practical  verification  measures. 

A  great  effort  has  been  made  to  con- 
tinue" the  SALT  negotiations,  not- 
withstanding the  increase  of  tension  in 
other  aspects  of  the  Soviet-American 
relationship,  on  the  self-evident 
grounds  that  our  interest  in  reducing 
The  danger  of  war  by  stabilizing  the 
military  competition  does  not  become 
diminished  during  periods  of  greater 
tension  The  President  and  Secretary 
Vance  have  repeatedly  emphasized  that 
it  would  be  short-sighted  in  the  extreme 
to  delay  the  completion  of  a  strategic 
arms  limitation  accord  for  reasons  re- 
lated to  other  issues. 

'n  one  crucial  respect,  SALT  is  dif- 
ferent from  all  other  negotiations.  We 
can  never  let  it  be  far  from  our  minds 
that  what  is  at  issue  is  the  growing  ca- 
pability of  the  human  race  to  obliterate 
itself.  Nothing  in  the  human  experience 
with  warfare,  nor  in  the  extraordinary 
development  of  nuclear  and  missile 
technology  in  recent  years,  would  jus- 
tify any  sense  of  complacency  about 
the  possibility  of  nuclear  war.  The  fact 
is  that  negotiations  to  limit  nuclear 
capabilities  have  crawled  in  the  past  9 
years,  while  destructive  military  tech- 
nology has  had  a  phenomenal 
expansion — testimony  at  the  same  time 
to  mankind's  genius  and  lack  of  any 
sane  sense  of  proportion. 

Other  Arms  Control  Issues 

While  SALT  has  been  our  most  sig- 
nificant arms  limitation  negotiation,  the 
United  States  and  U.S.S.R.  have  con- 
tinued discussions  in  a  variety  of  other 
forums. 

Comprehensive  Test  Ban.  We  have 
continued  negotiations  with  the  Soviet 
Union  and  the  United  Kingdom  on  a 
treaty  banning  nuclear  weapons  tests 
The  desirability  of  this  goal  has  never 
been  in  doubt,  but  a  king-lasting  con- 
cern has  been  whether  such  a  ban 
would  be  verifiable.  In  the  past  months 
we  have  made  major  strides  toward  the 
establishment  of  an  adequate  verifica- 
tion regime.  The  Soviet  Union  has 
agreed  to  cease  use  of  nuclear  explo- 
sions for  peaceful  purposes,  agreeing 
with  us  that  at  the  present  time  it  would 
be  impossible  to  rule  out  military 
benefit  from  such  events;  it  has  also 
taken  a  general  1)  constructive  approach 
to  other  verification  issues.  Though  de- 
cisions remain  to  be  made  in  our  own 
government  and  also  on  the  part  of  the 
Soviet  Union  on  our  respective  ap- 
proaches to  some  of  the  still  unresolved 
issues,  the  completion  of  these  trilat- 
eral negotiations  should  be  possible. 

Mutual  and  Balanced  Force  Re- 
ductions. These  negotiations  have  been 


underway  in  Vienna  for  more  than  5 
years.  The  rate  of  progress  in  them  has 
been  exceedingly  slow,  to  the  point 
that  the  general  public  sometimes 
forgets  they  are  still  in  train.  But  their 
pace  derives  from  their  complexity — 
and  their  importance.  They  are  an  ini- 
tial attempt  to  reach  agreement  on  a 
politically  and  militarily  significant  re- 
duction in  the  level  of  the  confrontation 
between  NATO  and  the  Warsaw  Pact. 

The  last  few  months  have,  in  fact, 
produced  some  significant  steps.  A 
Western  initiative  in  April  was  fol- 
lowed by  an  Eastern  counterproposal  in 
June  which,  while  it  moved  toward  ac- 
ceptance of  the  framework  for  an 
agreement  which  we  had  proposed  5 
years  earlier,  left  serious  differences 
with  the  Soviets  on  a  number  of  sub- 
stantive issues,  most  importantly  on  the 
number  of  troops  they  and  their  allies 
presently  have  in  the  reduction  area. 
But  I  am  more  optimistic  now  that  the 
negotiations  can  produce  a  significant 
result  than  I  could  have  been  a  year 
ago. 

Conventional  Arms  Transfer  Lim- 
itations. Since  my  appearance  before 
your  subcommittee  last  October,  U.S. 
and  Soviet  delegations  have  met  three 
times  to  establish  the  groundwork  for 
seeking  agreement  on  general  princi- 
ples to  restrain  arms  transfers  to  third 
countries  and  regions.  We  have  been 
pleased  to  note  that  the  Soviet  side  has 
addressed  the  issue  seriously.  At  the 
same  time,  the  problem  is  enormously 
complex,  and  we  cannot  expect  signifi- 
cant results  immediately.  The  fact  that 
the  dialogue  has  begun,  however,  of- 
fers some  hope. 

Antisatellite    Arms    Control.    We 

have  held  one  meeting  with  the  Soviets 
on  this  subject.  The  Soviet  Union  has 
expressed  interest  in  the  possibility  oi 
avoiding  competition  in  the  field  of 
antisatellite  weaponry.  We  hope  to 
have  a  second  session  later  this  year. 

Indian  Ocean.  Since  the  fourth 
round  of  talks  in  February  1978.  on 
stabilizing  force  levels  in  the  Indian 
Ocean,  these  discussions  have  been  in 
recess.  It  is  the  U.S.  position  that  in- 
creased Soviet  military  presence  and 
activit)  in  the  region  has  been  incon- 
sistent with  the  objectives  of  the  talks. 
The  U.S.S.R.  has  only  recently  re- 
turned to  former  levels  of  its  naval 
forces,  but  their  intentions  with  regard 
to  the  Arabian  Peninsula  and  the  Horn 
of  Africa  continue  to  arouse  concern  in 
the  area.  Since  the  goal  of  these  discus- 
sions is  io  produce  an  agreement  which 
would  limit  Soviet  military  presence 
and  activitj  in  the  area,  as  well  as  ours. 
I  believe  the  United  States  would  be 
receptive    to   evidence   that   the    Soviet 


Department  of  State  Bulletii 

Union  is  still  seriously  interested  in  the 
original  objective  agreed  upon  in  these 
discussions — stabilization  of  the  U.S. 
and  Soviet  military  presence  in  the  area 
at  the  level  which  obtained  when  the 
talks  began,  with  the  further  goal  ofl 
eventual  reduction  in  these  levels. 

Chemical  Weapons  and  Radiologi- 
cal Weapons.  Negotiations  are  pro- 
ceeding separately  in  Geneva  on  these 
two  areas.  Verification  and  definitional 
problems  remain,  but  the  prospects  are 
good  for  the  long  term. 

In  general,  talks  in  the  field  of  arms 
limitation  have  been  productive  as  well 
as  instructive,  although  extremely 
slow.  There  has  been  some  narrowing 
of  differences  in  the  approach  of  the 
two  countries  toward  these  issues,  and 
despite  the  suspicion  that  inevitably 
dominates  matters  affecting  military 
security,  the  Soviet  leadership  clearly 
wishes  to  avoid  nuclear  war  and  shares 
our  concern  over  the  dangerous  effect 
of  unrestrained  military — and  particu- 
larly nuclear — competition. 

It  is  important  to  note  that  these 
talks,  and  any  agreements  that  might 
result,  are  not  inspired  by  or  based  on 
mutual  trust  nor  by  an  effort  simply  to 
improve  the  general  climate  of  rela- 
tions. Rather,  both  sides  have  realisti- 
cally assessed  them  to  be  in  each 
country's  self-interest.  Progress  in  one 
area,  particularly  SALT,  can  enhance 
the  prospects  for  progress  on  other  is- 
sues. At  the  same  time,  each  negotia- 
tion is  carried  out  on  its  own  merits, 
and  concrete  results  will  be  the  ulti- 
mate criteria  on  which  we  judge  the 
success  of  our  efforts  to  restrain  the 
military  competition. 

International  Political  Issues 

Africa.  Since  the  Angolan  conflict 
in  1975-76.  and  again  since  last  Oc- 
tober, much  of  the  controversy  in 
U.S. -Soviet  affairs  has  centered  on  the 
issue  of  Soviet  activities  in  Africa.  The 
introduction  by  the  Soviets  of  modern 
military  equipment.  Cuban  combat 
troops,  and  Soviet  military  advisers 
into  conflicts  in  the  Horn  and  in  south- 
ern Africa  has  escalated  the  level  of 
violence  and  obstructed  the  peaceful 
resolution  of  these  disputes.  The  fact 
that  these  Soviet/Cuban  forces  remain 
in  Angola  and  Ethiopia  raises  questions 
about  Moscow's  ultimate  intentions 
and  is  of  continuing  concern  to  the 
United  States  and  our  allies.  We  have 
repeatedly  made  these  concerns  known 
to  the  Soviets  at  the  highest  level. 

Looking  at  the  specific  instances  of 
Soviet  actions  in  Africa,  one  is  drawn 
to  the  conclusion  that  Moscow  has 
sought  primarily  to  take  advantage  of 
opportunities  rather  than  to  implement 


e 
I; 

Hi; 

lir 

lit! 


lovember  1978 


31 


me  grand  design  for  subversion  of 
e  continent.  In  Angola  and  Ethiopia, 
ie  Soviet  Union,  by  taking  sides  in 
ical  disputes,  was  able  to  tip  the  bai- 
lee in  favor  of  its  clients.  While  ini- 
all\  successful,  this  policy  has  led  the 
aviet  Union  into  a  position  where 
k'en  greater  commitments,  some 
§ainst  its  own  interests,  may  be  re- 
aired  to  maintain  its  position. 
In  Angola.  Soviet  involvement  arose 
om  support  of  a  national  liberation 
ruggle  against  Portuguese  colonial 
lie.  In  1975  Soviet  military  assistance 
id  Cuban  troops  insured  the  ascend- 
lce  of  one  liberation  group,  the  Pop- 
ar  Movement  for  the  Liberation  of 
ngola.  over  its  rivals. 

Western  diplomatic  efforts  have 
>ught  to  facilitate  a  settlement  in 
amibia  and  to  encourage  a  reconcilia- 
:>n  between  Zaire  and  Angola,  thereby 
ducing  tension  along  their  common 
irder.  The  Angolan  Government  has 
cently  undertaken  a  concerted  effort 

broaden  its  foreign  policy  through 
iproved  relations  with  the  West. 
In  Ethiopia.  Soviet  intervention  in 
ie  Ethiopia-Somalia  war  was  mou- 
nted by  strategic,  geopolitical,  and 
eological  considerations  and  was 
inforced  by  their  expulsion  from 
imalia  in  November  1977.  After 
curing  an  Ethiopian  victory  in  the 
gaden,  the  Soviet  Union  provided 
gistical  support,  but  no  Soviet  or 
uban  combat  forces,  for  an  Ethiopian 
Tensive  in  Eritrea.  Support  for  the 
hiopians  against  the  three  Eritrean 
surgent  groups — one  of  which,  the 
iritrean  People's  Liberation  Front,  is  a 
ngstanding  Marxist  revolutionary 
•ovement — created  problems  for  the 
oviet  Union  in  its  relations  with  sev- 
ral  radical  Arab  states  and  opened 
iem  to  criticism  from  radicals  as  well 

moderates  in  the  recent  Organization 
African     Unity     (OAU)     and 
maligned  conferences.  Soviet  efforts 

bring  about  a  negotiated  settlement 

Eritrea  have,  on  the  other  hand, 
eated  tensions  in  their  relations  with 
ie  Mengistu  regime  in  Ethiopia. 
In  southern  Africa,  the  Soviet  Union 
as  provided  military  assistance  to 
lerrilla  forces  engaged  in  an  OAU- 
pported  effort  to  topple  the  white- 
ominated  government  in  Rhodesia, 
he  amount  of  Soviet  assistance  has 
en  limited  so  far.  however,  by  the 
Inwillingness  of  leaders  of  the  sur- 
punding  front-line  states  to  allow  a 
[irger  Soviet/Cuban  presence  in  guer- 
illa camps  in  their  countries.  Further, 
hese  leaders  have  supported  Anglo- 
Lmerican  efforts  to  achieve  an  all- 
arties  negotiated  settlement  and  have 
ivored  this  course  over  options  en- 
jiiling  greater  Soviet  involvement.  It  is 


unclear  whether  this  situation  will  con- 
tinue to  prevail  in  Rhodesia,  given  the 
recent  appeals  for  greater  resort  to 
violence.  We  continue  to  urge  restraint 
upon  the  Soviet  Union  in  recognition  of 
the  extremely  serious  consequences  of 
an  escalation  of  the  fighting. 

In  our  view,  African  problems  are 
best  solved  by  Africans  in  an  African 
context.  By  addressing  the  underlying 
problems,  we  reduce  the  opportunities 
for  Soviet  exploitation  of  African  situ- 
ations. It  is  the  actions  of  the  African 
states  which  will  ultimately  lead  to  a 
reduction  of  the  Soviet/Cuban  presence 
and  prevent  their  intrusion  in  future 
conflicts. 

Middle  East.  It  is  too  early  to  assess 
the  full  impact  of  recent  developments 
in  the  Middle  East  on  U.S. -Soviet  re- 
lations. The  Soviet  Union  has  sought  to 
become  an  active  participant  in  Middle 
East  negotiations  through  the  conven- 
ing of  a  Geneva  conference,  and  it  has 
bitterly  expressed  its  frustration  at  the 
course  of  events  that  followed  Presi- 
dent Sadat's  trip  to  Jerusalem 
[November  1977],  leading  up  to  the 
Camp  David  summit  meeting  [Sep- 
tember 5-17.  1978].  Brezhnev,  in  a 
speech  on  September  22.  criticized  the 
Camp  David  summit  results  as  intended 
to  split  the  Arab  countries.  He  said  this 
could  only  make  the  situation  in  the 
Middle  East  more  difficult.  What  the 
Soviet  position  will  be  in  the  long  run 
may  depend  upon  the  position  of  Syria 
and  the  Palestine  Liberation  Organiza- 
tion. 

We  recognize  the  strong  Soviet 
interest  in  the  Middle  East  and  would 
welcome  any  positive  contribution  the 
U.S.S.R.  can  make  to  the  long  term 
amelioration  of  the  problems  of  the 
area. 

The  Chinese  Factor.  In  recent 
months,  there  has  been  a  marked  inten- 
sification of  Soviet  expressions  of  con- 
cern about  the  developing  relationship 
between  the  People's  Republic  of 
China  and  the  United  States,  and  this 
issue  appears  to  be  on  its  way  to  be- 
coming a  major  element  in  the  U.S.- 
Soviet relationship. 

The  heightening  of  Soviet  concerns 
is  primarily  related  to  the  recent  out- 
ward thrust  of  China's  foreign  policy 
and  its  increasingly  active  efforts  to 
oppose  the  Soviet  Union  in  every  part 
of  the  world.  This  includes  the  recent 
completion  of  the  peace  and  friendship 
treaty  between  Japan  and  the  P.R.C. 
(which  the  Soviet  Union  strongly  op- 
posed), the  flaring  up  of  tensions  be- 
tween China  and  Vietnam,  the  highly 
publicized  visits  of  P.R.C.  Chairman 
Hua  Kuo-feng  to  Eastern  Europe  and 
Iran,  and  the  new  Chinese  interest  in 


acquiring  Western  technology  and 
perhaps  military  hardware. 

The  Administration  is  committed  to 
seeking  to  continue  to  improve  the 
U.S. -P.R.C.  relations  within  the 
framework  of  the  Shanghai  com- 
munique. We  have  repeatedly  made 
clear  our  official  position  that  the  nor- 
malization of  Sino-U.S.  relations 
would  be  a  desirable  development  in 
the  interest  of  world  peace  and  not 
directed  against  the  interest  of  any 
other  state. 

While  the  Soviet  Union  has  asserted 
that  it  has  no  objections  to  the  move- 


\itith  Report 
on  Cyprus 


MESSAGE  TO  THE  CONGRESS, 
SEPT. 1 ' 

As  required  by  Public  Law  94-104.  this  re- 
port describes  the  progress  that  has  been  made 
towards  a  negotiated  settlement  on  Cyprus  in 
the  past  sixty  days. 

The  last  report  described  proposals  submitted 
by  the  Turkish  Cypriots  on  April  13.  and  noted 
several  expressions  of  flexibility  subsequently 
made  by  the  Turkish  side.  In  July  there  were 
further  encouraging  signs.  Both  the  Government 
of  Cyprus  and  the  Turkish  Cypriot  leadership 
put  forward  fresh  and  promising  proposals  for 
the  resettlement  of  the  important  commercial 
and  resort  city  of  Varosha  (New  Famagusta). 
Varosha  has  been  deserted  and  under  Turkish 
control  since  the  1974  fighting  Significantly, 
both  sides  foresee  that  progress  on  this  issue 
will  lead  to  a  resumption  of  the  intercommunal 
negotiations. 

We  have  urged  the  two  Cypriot  parties  to 
give  these  proposals  careful  consideration,  and 
plan  to  continue  to  encourage  a  satisfactory 
compromise  on  Varosha,  one  we  hope  will  lead 
them  to  reconvene  the  intercommunal  negotia- 
tions under  the  aegis  of  the  Secretary  General 
of  the  United  Nations. 

Both  the  Congress  and  the  Administration 
feel  that  the  United  States  1)  should  continue  to 
play  an  active  role  in  seeking  a  just  and  lasting 
Cyprus  settlement,  and  2)  should  continue  to 
support  the  efforts  of  Secretary  General  Wald- 
heim.  On  August  14,  the  conference  committee 
on  the  Security  Assistance  Bill  approved  the 
language  to  end  the  Turkish  Arms  Embargo.  I 
consider  this  action  appropriate  and  necessary 
to  our  continuing  impartial  and  constructive 
role. 

Jimmy  Carter  □ 


1  Text  from   Weekly   Compilation  of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Sept.  4. 


32 

ment  toward  normalization,  it  has  ex- 
pressed particular  concern  that  steps  in 
this  direction  may  be  presented  as  di- 
rected against  the  Soviet  Union,  and  it 
has  shown  special  sensitivity  to  the 
prospect  that  the  United  States  or  the 
West  may  become  a  source  of  military 
technology  or  hardware  for  the 
People's  Republic  of  China. 

Soviet  apprehensions  are  deeply 
rooted,  and  the  issue  seems  certain  to 
remain  a  sensitive  one  in  the  Soviet- 
American  dialogue. 

Human  Rights 

The  issue  of  human  rights  has  con- 
tinued to  be  among  the  most  conten- 
tious aspects  of  recent  Soviet-American 
relations.  This  was  evident  at  the  Bel- 
grade Conference  on  Security  and 
Cooperation  in  Europe  which  reviewed 
implementation  of  the  Helsinki  Final 
Act.  While  from  the  Western  point  of 
view,  the  review  conducted  at  Belgrade 
reaffirmed  the  legitimate  interest  of  the 
international  community  in  encourag- 
ing respect  by  individual  states  for  their 
commitments  to  the  enlargement  of 
human  rights,  the  Soviet  response  was 
to  reject  the  process  as  an  improper 
interference  in  its  internal  affairs. 

The  Soviet  Union  sees  our  advocacy 
of  individual  human  rights  in  the  world 
as  a  fundamental  challenge  to  the 
dominant  political  and  ideological  po- 
sition of  the  Soviet  regime.  It  has  re- 
peatedly made  clear  its  position  that 
public  pressure  on  the  human  rights 
issue  will  be  counterproductive  in  indi- 
vidual eases  and  will  have  a  detrimen- 
tal effect  on  other  aspects  of  our  bilat- 
eral relationship. 

In  recent  months,  the  issue  has  been 
heightened  by  steps  taken  by  the  Soviet 
security  apparatus  against  all  forms  of 
expression  of  internal  dissent,  cul- 
minating in  an  intensification  of  ar- 
rests, trials,  and  harassment  of  promi- 
nent supporters  of  the  Helsinki 
monitoring  groups  and  of  those  who 
have  expressed  publicly  then  desire  to 
emigrate  from  the  U.S.S.R. 

It  was  evident  that  people  in  the 
United  States  and  other  countries  could 
not  remain  silent  in  the  lace  of  the 
intensification  of  these  repressive  ac- 
tions, lest  they  appear  to  condone  this 
serious  setback  to  the  cause  of  human 
rights.  In  the  case  of  the  United  States, 
the  reaction  was  expressed  by  a  pow- 
erful surge  of  public  condemnation  and 
by  actions  of  the  government  to  con- 
strict certain  aspects  of  the  bilateral 
relationship. 

While  the  issue  of  human  rights  re- 
mains as  an  abrasive  factor  in  the  re- 
lationship, rooted  in  the  fundamental!) 
different  nature  and  philosophies  of  our 


two  societies,  the  commitment  of  the 
United  States  to  the  furtherance  of 
human  rights  worldwide  remains  firm. 
It  will  continue  to  seek  to  persuade  the 
Soviet  Union  that  the  bilateral  relation- 
ship can  best  be  strengthened  by 
scrupulous  observance  of  international 
norms  of  human  rights  and  a  flexible 
and  tolerant  attitude  in  dealing  with 
individual  cases. 

Scientific,  Academic,  and  Cultural 
Exchanges 

The  11  U.S. -U.S.S.R.  governmental 
agreements  on  cooperation  in  scientific 
and  technical  fields  have  continued  to 
promote  joint  research  and  information 
exchanges  involving  a  wide  range  of 
official  and  private  scientists.  They  are 
administered  by  U.S.  Government 
agencies  and.  as  official  bilateral  ac- 
tivities, were  the  subject  of  continuing 
review  when  Soviet  actions  against 
prominent  dissidents  and  U.S.  citizens 
in  Moscow  created  serious  strains  in 
our  relations.  In  this  connection,  three 
high-level  delegations  were  postponed 
in  July. 

We  have,  however,  continued  ac- 
tivities at  the  working  level  in  support 
of  research  programs  and  expanding 
scientific  contacts.  Some  American 
scientists,  as  an  expression  of  concern 
about  the  fate  of  certain  prominent 
Soviet  scientists,  have  limited  their 
participation  in  the  scientific  exchange 
programs,  but  leaders  of  the  U.S.  sci- 
entific community  have,  on  balance, 
supported  the  long  term  benefits  of  sci- 
entific cooperation.  The  potential  for 
scientific  benefits  from  cooperation  has 
already  been  demonstrated  in  several 
diverse  fields  —  heart  disease,  elec- 
trometallurgy, and  magnetohydro- 
dynamic  production  of  electricity. 

Over  the  past  18  months,  American 
participants  have  worked  to  produce 
greater  substantive  benefits  and  to  in- 
sure balance  in  exchange  programs. 
These  efforts  to  some  extent  are  re- 
flected in  the  slightly  lower  levels  of 
activity  as  measured  by  travel  under  the 
agreements  in  1477  compared  to  1976. 


Americans 

Soviets 

to  U.S.S.R. 

to  U.S 

1976 

973 

876 

1977 

772 

668 

Under  two  additional  agreements 
with  the  Soviet  Academy  of  Sciences. 
the  National  Academy  of  Sciences  and 
the  American  Council  of  Learned 
Societies  have  also  continued  to  spon- 
sor exchanges  in  a  range  of  scientific 
fields.  A  major  review  of  the  National 
Academy's  activities  conducted  in 
1977  by  the  National  Research  Council 
concluded  among  other  points  that  the 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

program  is  worthwhile,  that  it  helps  t 
build  the  world  scientific  community 
and  it  can  be  helpful  in  amelioratin 
isolation  of  Soviet  scientists. 

Cultural  and  academic  exchang 
programs  have  been  sustained  at  leve 
approximating  the  previous  year  but  an 
growing  in  diversity  as  more  direi 
contacts  complement  the  official  pre 
grams  under  the  6-year  cultural  rel; 
tions  agreement  signed  in  1973.  Undt 
the  official  program,  postgraduate  stu 
dents,  senior  researchers,  and  lecturei 
continue  to  be  exchanged  on  a  recip 
rocal  basis.  Approximate  figures  f( 
these  ongoing  exhanges  are  4 
graduate  students  and  young  facult 
members  each  way  annually,  10  senk 
researchers,  and  about  20  universit 
lecturers.  A  major  International  Con 
munication  Agency  exhibit  on  U.S 
agriculture  is  now  touring  the  U.S.S.F1 
and  is  expected  to  be  seen  by  1.3-1. 
million  Soviet  citizens  in  six  citie; 
Recently  the  New  England  Conserv; 
tory  Jazz  Band  performed  in  th 
U.S.S.R.  and  the  Paul  Taylor  Dane 
Company  is  on  tour  in  September  an> 
October. 

Academic  and  cultural  exchange 
retain  their  importance  both  because  ( 
the  intrinsic  merit  of  communication  i 
such  fields  and  because  of  the  contr 
butions  made  to  improved  mutual  ui 
derstanding  over  the  long  term. 

The  broad  range  of  our  contacts  wit 
the  U.S.S.R.,  both  technical  and  cu< 
tural,  is  monitored  by  the  Interagenc 
Coordinating  Committee  for  U.S 
Soviet  Affairs,  eoehaired  by  the  A; 
sistant  Secretary  of  State  for  Europea 
Affairs  and  myself,  under  the  authorit 
of  the  National  Security  Council.  It  lu 
proved  a  valuable  instrument  for  ir 
suring  that  all  activities  are  consistet 
with  current  policy  guidance  and  ha 
given  participants  a  sense  of  direetio 
and  an  appreciation  of  where  each  er 
deavor  fits  in  the  general  pattern  c 
relations. 

Economic  Relations 

Although  it  is  recognized  that  th 
development  of  economic  relation 
with  the  Soviet  Union  could  add  a 
important  stabilizing  element  to  th 
total  relationship  and  could  be  o 
benefit  to  both  sides,  this  prospect  ha 
been  adversely  affected  during  th' 
period  under  review. 

After  a  5-year  period  of  generall; 
steady  growth.  U.S.  exports  to  th 
Soviet  Union  declined  from  $2.3  bif 
lion  in  1976  to  $1.6  billion  in  1977- 
This  reflected  a  decline  in  Soviet  pur 
chases  both  of  grain  and  of  industria 
equipment.  One  factor  in  this  declim 
was  a  Soviet  effort  to  conserve  its  stocl 


•ember  1978 


33 


f  hard  currency.  This  factor  also  was 
Sponsible  for  a  similar  pattern  of  re- 
jSced  Soviet  purchases  from  several 
ther  developed  countries. 

U.S.  imports  from  the  Soviet  Union 
fere  valued  at  $234  million  in  1977. 
bout  the  same  level  as  for  the  past  5 
ears. 

The  implementation  of  the  stated 
olicy  of  this  government  to  work  to- 
/ard  an  improvement  in  economic  re- 
gions with  the  Soviet  Union  has  been 
dversely  affected  by  the  general  fac- 
lrs  in  the  relationship  discussed  ear- 
er,  including  in  particular  the  prose- 
ution  of  the  Moscow  representative  of 
iternational  Harvester. 

In  response  to  a  number  of  actions 
tken  by  the  Soviet  Government,  the 
Jnited  States  adopted  several  meas- 
res.  including  the  provision  for  prior 
;view  of  sales  of  oil  and  gas  equip- 
lent  to  the  U.S.S.R.  under  the  Export 
idministration  Act. 


ONCLUSION 

It  is  evident  that  the  difficulties  in 
le  U.S. -Soviet  relationship  in  recent 
lonths  have  astringently  washed  away 
le  remnants  of  any  euphoric  expecta- 
ions  from  the  period  of  detente  as  it 
ppeared  to  exist  6  years  ago. 

What  remains,  however,  is  an  op- 
ortunity  to  build  upon  a  realistic  as- 
essment  of  the  fundamental  nature  of 
le  relationship  and  in  particular  to 
;alize  in  concrete  steps  the  interests 
nat  both  countries  should  have  in 
:abilizing  the  strategic  military  com- 
etition  and  in  setting  recognized  con- 
traints  on  the  conduct  of  the  political 
ompetition.  This  is  the  most  urgent 
spect  of  the  relationship. 

For  the  future,  one  cannot  escape  the 
impression  that  the  Soviet  Union  may 
e  approaching  some  fundamental 
hoices —  whether  to  allow  the  ele- 
ments of  conflict  in  the  relationship  to 
eepen  or  to  follow  the  course  of  re- 
traint  and  responsibility,  leading  to  a 

idening  of  measures  of  cooperation. 

The  United  States  has  the  means  and 
tie  will  to  protect  its  interests  in  either 
ase.  But  by  our  actions  and  by  what 
•e  say,  we  should  make  it  clear  be- 
ond  any  doubt  that  if  the  Soviet  lead- 
rship  chooses  the  wiser  course  of  re- 
traint  and  responsibility,  they  will  find 
he  United  States  fully  responsive.       □ 


An  Overview  of  Eastern  Europe 


The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings  will 
e  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be  avail- 
ble  from  the  Superintendent  of  Documents. 
I.S.  Government  Printing  Office,  Washington. 
l.C.  20402. 

For  text,  see  Bulletin  of  January  1978.  p.  1 . 


by  William  H.  Luers 

Statement  before  the  Subcommittee 
on  Europe  and  the  Middle  East  of  the 
House  Committee  on  International 
Relations  on  September  7,  1978.  Mr. 
Luers  was  Deputy  Assistant  Secretary 
for  European  Affairs  at  the  time  of  his 
appearance  before  this  subcommittee; 
he  was  subsequently  sworn  in  as  Am- 
bassador to  Venezuela . ' 

Eastern  Europe,  which  deserves  in- 
creased attention  and  broader  under- 
standing among  the  public  at  large,  is 
rich  in  historical  and  cultural  diversity 
and  includes  the  ancestral  homelands  of 
many  Americans.  In  fact,  reading  the 
roster  of  the  U.S.  Congress,  one  cannot 
but  be  struck  by  how  many  Members 
have  surnames  of  Eastern  European 
origin. 

This  Administration  has  dedicated  a 
special  effort  to  improving  relations 
with  Eastern  Europe.  In  doing  so,  we 
have  built  on  the  efforts  of  past  Ad- 
ministrations to  deal  constructively 
with  several  of  the  countries  in  the 
region.  We  are  mindful  that  our  rela- 
tions are  not  carried  out  in  a  vacuum 
and  that  our  policies  must  strike  a  re- 
sponsive chord  with  the  countries  in- 
volved in  order  to  be  effective.  In 
dealing  with  us.  Eastern  European  gov- 
ernments will  proceed  in  terms  of  their 
interests  as  well  as  those  of  their 
neighbors  and  allies.  We,  in  turn,  will 
seek  to  keep  our  European  allies  at- 
tuned to  our  efforts. 

For  the  present  purpose,  we  have 
defined  Eastern  Europe  to  include  Po- 
land, Czechoslovakia,  Hungary, 
Romania,  Bulgaria,  and  the  German 
Democratic  Republic.  All  of  these 
countries  are  members  of  both  the  War- 
saw Pact  and  the  Council  for  Mutual 
Economic  Assistance  (COMECON). 

We  will  not  discuss  Yugoslavia  or 
Albania  today.  Both  are  Communist, 
but  neither  is  a  member  of  the  Warsaw 
Pact.  Yugoslavia  is  nonaligned,  and 
our  relations  with  it  are  qualitatively 
very  different  from  those  of  the  War- 
saw Pact  member  states.  We  do  not 
have  diplomatic  relations  with  Albania, 
which  is  now  following  a  course  inde- 
pendent of  any  major  outside  power. 


HISTORICAL  SETTING 

Eastern   Europe,   as  we   speak  of  it 
today,    is   the    military,    political,    and 


ideological  buffer  zone  established 
across  the  heart  of  Europe  by  the 
Soviet  Union  as  the  fruit  of  its  suc- 
cessful counterattack  against  Nazi 
Germany  during  the  Second  World 
War.  Several  of  these  states  had 
emerged  as  creations  of  the  peacemak- 
ers after  the  First  World  War:  Poland 
was  recreated  after  123  years  of  foreign 
occupation  by  Germany,  Tsarist  Rus- 
sia, and  Hapsburg  Austria;  Czechoslo- 
vakia and  Hungary  emerged  as  new 
entities  out  of  the  collapsing  Austro- 
Hungarian  Empire;  and  even  Romania, 
although  independent  for  40  years  be- 
fore World  War  I,  assumed  expanded 
dimensions  by  acquisition  of  new 
territories. 

Interwar  Period 

In  the  interwar  period,  it  was  a  fond 
hope  of  the  Western  political  leaders 
that  these  new  and  inexperienced  states 
would  provide  a  buffer — or  cordon 
sanitaire — between  their  countries  and 
the  Bolshevik  Soviet  state.  In  the  brief 
20-year  period  between  the  two  World 
Wars,  these  states  struggled  with  the 
administrative  management  of  their 
territories,  unifying  their  countries; 
establishing  control  over  their 
minorities;  developing  foreign  policies 
usually  based  on  their  World  War  I 
alliances;  and  dealing  with  agricultural 
reform,  economic  dislocation  and  dis- 
aster, multiparty  systems,  and  Com- 
munist and  Fascist  agitation. 

Except  for  Czechoslovakia,  none  of 
them  succeeded  in  establishing  any 
kind  of  stability  or  democratic  repre- 
sentative system;  all  of  them  discov- 
ered that  they  were  not  strong  enough 
to  survive  separately  and  that  the  Allies 
were  not  able  to  help  them  sufficiently. 
The  economic  depression,  internal 
political  instability,  and  the  weakness 
of  the  Allies  led  the  eastern  Europeans 
to  succumb  to  Hitler  either  gradually 
through  political  means  or  abruptly  in 
battle  like  the  Poles. 

Aftermath  of  World  War  II 

The  outcome  of  the  Second  World 
War  again  altered  the  map  of  Eastern 
Europe.  Nazi  Germany  was  split  into 
two  successor  states.  Poland  lost  terri- 
tory in  the  east  to  the  Soviet  Union  and 
gained  in  the  west  at  the  expense  of 
Germany.  The  Germans  also  lost  east 
Prussia,  which  was  divided  between 
the  Soviet  Union  and  Poland.  Romania 


34 

lost  Bessarabia  and  other  pieces  of  ter- 
ritory to  the  Soviet  Union  and  also 
yielded  some  to  Bulgaria.  Hungary  and 
Czechoslovakia  found  themselves  now 
with  common  borders  with  the  Soviet 
Union,  which  acquired  portions  of 
Czechoslovak  territory. 

Soviet  armies  were  everywhere  in 
occupation,  giving  direct  support  to 
Stalin's  political  objectives.  Com- 
munist leaders,  schooled  in  the  prewar 
jails  of  their  countries  and  in  Soviet  in- 
stitutions, came  to  power.  These 
Communist  leaders  introduced  Stalinist 
methods  of  rule,  including  wholesale 
changes  in  administration,  economic 
management,  judicial  system,  the  se- 
curity apparatus,  and  other  areas  of  na- 
tional life.  The  new  leaders  threw  out 
those  who  had  exercised  power  and  re- 
placed them  with  reliable  Communists 
loyal  to  Moscow.  The  Communist  Par- 
ties became  the  ruling  elites 
monopolizing  the  reins  of  power. 

De-Stalinization 

Soviet  policy  underwent  change  after 
Khruschev's  de-Stalinization  speech  to 
the  Soviet  20th  Party  Congress  in 
1956.  Efforts  at  abolishing  the  worse 
excesses  of  the  period  met  with 
hardline  resistance  and  rising  expecta- 
tions of  the  population  and  split  the 
Communist  Parties  of  Eastern  Europe. 

In  Poland,  workers'  riots  in  1956 
accelerated  the  process  of  change  as  the 
leaders  made  concessions  to  the 
people — the  farmers,  the  workers,  the 
intellectuals,  and  the  Catholic  Church. 

In  Hungary,  where  a  full-scale  rev- 
olution broke  out  in  Budapest  in  1956. 
the  divided  Communist  Party  leaders 
found  that  their  attempts  at  far-reaching 
changes  were  thwarted  by  the  interven- 
tion of  Soviet  troops.  The  revolu- 
tionary government's  call  for  with- 
drawal from  the  Warsaw  Pact  probably 
convinced  the  Soviets  that  intervention 
was  the  only  course  for  maintaining 
control.  Repression  of  those  who  had 
participated  in  the  revolution  and  their 
supporters  became  the  first  order  of 
business.  Both  Eastern  Europe  and  the 
world  learned  that  Soviet  interests  in 
Eastern  Europe  would  brook  no  ex- 
treme change  of  system,  no  sudden 
change  of  foreign  policy,  no  dim  inn 
tion  of  the  authority  by  the  Communist 
Party  over  the  levers  of  power 

1956-64 

In  the  aftermath  of  1956,  two  paral- 
lel trends  were  discernible.  On  the  one 
hand,  the  Soviet  Union  pressed  forward 
toward  the  more  effective  cooperation 
of  Warsaw  Pact  military  forces  and  to- 
ward closer  coordination  of  economic 


plans  and  policies  within  COMECON. 
On  the  other  hand,  Eastern  European 
states  gradually  acquired  greater  free- 
dom to  develop  and  pursue  policies 
which  would  make  their  systems  work 
better. 

For  example,  Hungary  introduced  a 
policy  of  conciliation  toward  non- 
Communists  within  the  country  with 
the  maxim:  ""Whoever  is  not  against  us 
is  with  us."  It  thereby  reduced  hostility 
between  party  members  and  nonparty 
people  which  had  been  so  intense  be- 
fore and  immediately  after  the  1956 
period.  All  the  Eastern  European 
countries  went  through  a  process  of 
rehabilitating  many  Communists  who 
had  been  jailed  or  executed  during  the 
Stalinist  period  and  of  releasing  non- 
Communists  from  jail.  "Socialist  le- 
gality" was  emphasized,  compromises 
with  the  oppressed  religious  faiths  were 
explored,  autarkic  economic  policies 
were  reexamined,  relations  with  the 
West  were  expanded,  and  attempts 
were  begun  to  meet  consumer  needs. 


Late  1960's  and  Early  1970's 

A  most  dramatic  expression  of  East- 
ern European  nationalism  came  when 
Romania  issued  a  statement  in  1964 
declaring  its  intention  to  develop  inde- 
pendent policies  based  on  Romanian 
interests.  Thereafter,  differences  on 
foreign  policy  issues  between  Romania 
and  the  Soviet  Union  became  more 
explicit  in  a  number  of  areas. 

Even  while  Romania  was  becoming 
more  assertive  internationally,  in 
Czechoslovakia  in  1968  the  Soviets 
— joined  by  East  Germany,  Poland, 
Hungary,  and  Bulgaria — marched  in  to 
prevent  the  new  leadership  of  that 
Communist  Party  from  seeking  to  es- 
tablish a  more  human  and  pluralistic 
social  order.  Just  as  the  Soviets  could 
not  tolerate  the  specter  of  Hungary 
leaving  the  Warsaw  Pact  of  1956,  they 
could  not  tolerate  the  Communist  Party 
of  Czechoslovakia  seeming  to  relin- 
quish its  dominant  role  over  society  in 
1968. 

The  era  of  detente  has  been  accom- 
panied by  significant  changes  in  East- 
ern Europe.  Each  Communist  Party  has 
reevaluated  its  ways  of  dealing  with 
consumer  needs,  economic  problems, 
and  public  opinion. 

•  Worker  riots  in  Poland  in  il)70 
highlighted  the  dangers  to  the  Com- 
munist Party  of  ignoring  or  paying  too 
little  attention  to  worker  demands  for 
an  increased  standard  of  living,  more 
consumer  goods,  and  better  housing 

•  Czechoslovak  leaders  after  1968 
carefully  provided  the  populace  with 
expanded    supplies    of   food    and   con- 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

sumer  goods  in  order  to  defuse  politic 
discontent. 

•  Hungary  introduced  its  new  eci 
nomic  mechanism  to  get  away  from  th 
highly  centralized  command  econorr 
model  and  to  reward  efficient  industri 
management  and  higher  productivity. 

•  East  Germany  continued  to  bui 
up  its  industrial  capacity  and  achieve 
a  measure  of  status  assisted  by  tl 
political  and  economic  understandin; 
reached  bilaterally  with  West  Germar 
and  by  the  stability  which  develope 
after  signature  of  the  Quadriparti 
Agreement  on  Berlin. 

•  Romania,  following  its  ow 
maverick  path,  concentrated  on 
flexible  foreign  policy  while  its  lea< 
ership  continued  to  require  a  sparU 
existence  of  its  people. 

Recent  years  have  witnessed  furthi 
changes  and  trends  in  Eastern  Europe 


CURRENT  TRENDS 

The    growing    diversity    in    Eastei 
Europe  must  be  seen  in  context.   TI 
Soviet  Union  remains,  as  one  Pole  hi^ 
put  it,  "the  dominant  personality  of  thl 
region."    The    Communist    leaders   ( 
Eastern  Europe  have  much  in  comma 
with  the  Soviet  Politburo,  not  the  lea'-, 
of    which    is    their    determination    M 
maintain  the  power  monopoly  of  th 
party.  The  Soviet  Union  insists  that  th 
Eastern    European    Communist    state 
adhere  to  the  Warsaw  Pact.  It  is  Soviu 
policy   to   integrate   Eastern  Europe  t 
the  maximum  degree  feasible. 

The  Warsaw  Pact  and  the  COIV 
ECON  continue  to  be  the  principal  ir 
struments  of  Soviet  integration  policy 
On  the  ideological  front,  the  Sovit 
Union  has  sought  to  subordinate  th> 
national  interests  of  the  Eastern  Eurc 
pean  parties  to  those  of  "proletaria 
internationalism"  as  interpreted  by  th> 
Communist  Party  of  the  Soviet  Union 
Fearing  the  ideological  disintegrate 
of  the  Communist  movement,  th 
Soviets  have  made  particular  efforts  I 
solidify  the  ideological  support  they  re 
ceive  from  Eastern  Europe. 

These  Soviet  efforts  to  achiev 
greater  integration  and  more  ideologi 
cal  support  have  not  been  altogethe 
successful.  For  example,  bilateralisn 
and  nonconvertible  currencies  continue 
to  be  the  predominant  features  of  tradi 
among  COMECON  countries,  evei 
though  some  progress  has  been  made  ii 
coordinating  participation  in  joint  rav 
materials  extraction  projects. 

In  ideology,  at  the  conference  o 
European  Communist  Parties  in  Eas 
Berlin  in  June  1976,  the  Communis 
Parties  of  Western  Europe  and  Yugo 


November  1978 

;lavia,  joined  by  the  Romanians, 
breed  the  adoption  of  a  nonbinding 
inal  document  which,  inter  alia,  rec- 
)gnized  the  equality  and  autonomy  of 
ill  Communist  Parties  and  refrained 
rom  criticism  of  the  Chinese  Com- 
nunist  Party. 

Although  Moscow  seeks  as  much 
Tiilitary,  economic,  and  political  cohe- 
sion in  Eastern  Europe  as  feasible,  it 
ilso  has  an  important  stake  in  Eastern 
urope's  political  stability  and  eco- 
nomic viability.  The  U.S.S.R.  cannot 
neet  all  of  Eastern  Europe's  raw  mate- 
ial  and  technology  needs.  Lagging 
Productivity  and  technological  ad- 
vancement have  given  rise  to  various 
ittempts  at  economic  reform. 
Moreover,  internal  pressures,  gener- 
ated by  the  aspirations  of  the  nationally 
proud  peoples  of  the  area,  have  brought 
about  political  strains  that  can  only  be 
handled  by  these  nations  themselves. 
The  Soviets  have  become  reconciled, 
therefore,  to  some  diversity  as  a 
trade-off  for  stability  and  viability.  For 
reasons  which  relate  to  their  own  par- 
ticular situations,  the  nature  and  degree 
of  this  diversity  has  varied  from  coun- 
try to  country. 


Differences  in  Foreign  Policy 

With  the  exception  of  Romania,  the 
countries  of  Eastern  Europe  continue  to 
adhere  quite  closely  to  Soviet  foreign 
policy  positions.  Only  subtle  nuances 
and  differences  of  emphasis — based  on 
differing  national  interests  and 
priorities — are  evident 

Romania  continues  to  pursue  a 
foreign  policy  which  diverges  from  that 
of  the  U.S.S.R.  in  significant  ways. 
For  example,  the  Romanian  Govern- 
ment has  cultivated  good  relations  with 
the  People's  Republic  of  China  while 
maintaining  neutrality  in  the  Sino- 
Soviet  dispute.  It  has  obtained  guest 
status  in  the  nonaligned  movement, 
retained  diplomatic  relations  with  Is- 
rael, and  supported  the  right  of  all 
Communist  Parties  to  chart  their  own 
courses.  Romania  has  also  declined  to 
permit  multilateral  Warsaw  Pact  ac- 
tivities on  its  territory. 

Other  nations  in  Eastern  Europe 
demonstrate  their  separate  identities  in 
various  ways. 

•  Poland  and  Hungary,  as  well  as 
Romania,  have  significantly  expanded 
their  trade  and  economic  relations  with 
Western  nations  and  have  turned  in- 
creasingly to  the  West  for  technology 
and  even  management  assistance. 
Other  differences  have  emerged  in  in- 
ternational trade  and  financial  matters. 

•  Hungary  has  agreed  to  eliminate 
visas  for  Austrian  citizens,  reflecting  a 


35 


EASTERN  EUROPE— GENERAL  STATISTICS  (1977) 


Country 


Land 


Total 
Sq.  Mi. 


Population 


(million) ' 


Economy 


GNP2 

($billion) 


Per 
Capita 

GNP($) 


Steel 
Produc- 
tion3 
(mil.  Ml ) 


Bulgaria 


42.829 


8.8 


21 


2.400 


2.5 


Czechoslovakia 

49.370 

15.0 

60 

4.000 

14.7 

G.D.R. 

41.814 

16.8 

69 

4.100 

6.7 

Hungary 

35.915 

10.6 

28 

2.600 

3.7 

Poland 

120.664 

34.6 

95 

2.700 

15.6 

Romania 

91.699 

21.6 

57 

2,630 

10.7 

Totals 

382.291 

107.4 

330 

18.430 

53.9 

'Population  data  are  for  Jan  1977.  Source:  National  Basic  Intelligence  Factbook,  Jan. 
1977. 

:GNP  data  are  based  on  U.S.  purchasing  power  equivalents.  Source:  Central  Intelligence 
Agency  (ClAl  estimates. 

'Steel  production  data  are  for  1976.  Source:  "Handbook  of  Economic  Statistics,"  CIA, 
Sept.  1977. 


significant    opening   of   its   borders    to 
Western  Europe. 

•  East  Germany's  long  involvement 
in  Africa  has  placed  it  in  a  position  to 
participate  in  Soviet  and  Cuban  ad- 
ventures in  that  continent. 

•  Renewed  differences  have  recently 
surfaced  between  individual  Eastern 
European  countries  over  traditional 
areas  of  dispute  such  as  national 
minorities.  The  debate  between  Bul- 
garia and  Yugoslavia  over  the  Macedo- 
nian question  has  recently  intensified, 
while  the  leaders  of  Romania  and  Hun- 
gary have  publicly  addressed  questions 
concerning  the  nearly  2  million  ethnic 
Hungarians  living  in  Romania. 

Domestic  Diversity 

More  marked  than  the  diversity  in 
foreign  policy  have  been  the  differing 
approaches  each  nation  has  taken  to 
domestic  developments.  The  recent 
trends  have  been  generally  favorable 
toward  greater  openness  and  more  ac- 
cess to  the  West. 

Poland  is  still  a  most  unusual  Com- 
munist state  with  80%  of  its  arable 
land  in  private  hands,  a  powerful  and 
vital  Catholic  Church,  and  a  private 
enterprise  sector  that  is  growing  in  im- 
portance.   Moreover,   artistic,   intellec- 


tual, and  political  activity  in  Poland 
has  continued  to  expand,  encompassing 
not  only  the  youth  and  students  but 
evoking  spontaneous  responses  from 
workers  and  farmers  as  well.  Popular 
grumbling  persists  about  inefficiencies 
and  shortages  of  meat  and  other  prod- 
ucts, thereby  contributing  to  the  intel- 
lectuals' criticisms  of  governmental 
policies.  The  Polish  Government  has 
reacted  forcefully  at  times  to  these  de- 
velopments, fearing  the  emergence  of  a 
coherent  challenge  to  the  party. 
Nevertheless,  the  diversity  of  opinions 
and  attitudes  available  to  Poles  today  is 
greater  than  ever  before  in  the  postwar 
period. 

Czechoslovakia,  on  the  other  hand, 
has  maintained  the  tight  controls  im- 
posed in  the  months  following  the 
Soviet-led  invasion  of  August  1968 
which  put  an  end  to  efforts  to  achieve 
"socialism  with  a  human  face."  The 
Czechoslovak  Government  continues  to 
exclude  the  liberal  Communist  Party 
members  of  1968  from  political  life, 
and  the  great  majority  of  the  population 
appears  to  avoid  political  involvement 
of  any  kind  in  favor  of  enjoying  such 
benefits  of  consumerism  as  au- 
tomobiles and  weekend  cottages.  A 
small  group  of  dissident  intellectuals, 
signers  of  the  document  "Charter  '77," 


36 


are  pressing  the  government  to  live  up 
to  the  human  rights  obligations  inher- 
ent in  the  country's  own  laws  and  in 
the  Helsinki  Final  Act.2  The  govern- 
ment has  responded  with  a  mixture  of 
harassment,  intimidation,  and  attempts 
to  ignore  the  dissidents. 

Hungary  is  presently  characterized 
by  stability,  increasing  consumer 
satisfaction,  and  a  relatively  relaxed 
cultural  atmosphere.  The  government 
has  achieved  a  measure  of  legitimacy 
in  the  eyes  of  the  population  and,  given 
geopolitical  realities,  is  generally  per- 
ceived as  doing  what  is  possible  for  the 
welfare  of  the  people.  Some  340,000 
Hungarians  visit  the  West  annually, 
while  more  than  12  million 
foreigners — a  number  greater  than 
Hungary's  population — visit  or  transit 
Hungary  each  year.  Western  radio  and 
TV  broadcasts  reach  virtually  the  entire 
country.  In  the  last  two  parliamentary 
elections  several  nonparty  candidates 
defeated  opponents  who  were  party 
members. 

Romania  continues  to  maintain  u 
strictly  orthodox  internal  order  in  con- 
trast to  its  active  and  independent 
foreign  policy.  However,  there  are 
growing  signs  that  elements  of  the 
population  have  become  restive  over 
the  consumer  deprivation  resulting 
from  the  government's  crash  effort  to 
make  Romania  a  "developed"  country 
by  1985.  One  manifestation  was  a 
strike  by  miners  in  August  1977  pro- 
testing the  lowering  of  pensions  and 
poor  working  conditions.  The  strike 
was  resolved  with  a  mixture  of  conces- 
sions and  toughness.  This  general  dis- 
content seems  to  have  been  a  major 
element  in  President  Ceausescu's  deci- 
sion this  year  to  begin  some  tentative 
steps  toward  economic  reform,  includ- 
ing greater  local  participation  in  eco- 
nomic planning  and  a  limited  workers' 
role  in  the  operation  of  industrial 
enterprises. 

In  the  German  Democratic  Repub- 
lic, the  government's  consumerist 
course,  which  has  kept  the  population 
reasonably  satisfied,  is  running  into 
difficulties  caused  by  a  leveling  off  of 
production,  an  increasing  hard  cur- 
rency shortage,  and  a  greater  suscepti- 
bility to  Western  inflationary  influence. 
The  hard  currency  stores,  which  the 
government  has  set  up  to  conserve 
foreign  exchange  and  ration  available 
supplies,  have  produced  grumbling 
about  an  inequitable  two-class  system. 
The  government's  recent  attempt  to 
improve  relations  with  the  Evangelical 
(Lutheran)  Church  by  granting  it  reg- 
ular television  air  time  and  providing 
logistic    support    for    outdoor    church 


meetings  could  be  overshadowed  by 
church-government  differences  over 
plans  to  introduce  premilitary  training 
into  the  public  schools. 

Continuity  is  the  predominant  trend 
in  Bulgaria  where  the  government  is 
wedded  to  Soviet  political  and  eco- 
nomic orthodoxy.  Shortages  of 
foodstuffs  and  other  nondurables, 
stemming  in  part  from  bad  weather, 
have  caused  some  discontent.  How- 
ever, this  has  not  led  to  any  substantial 
outspoken  opposition  nor  has  the  gov- 
ernment chosen  to  make  concessions  of 
a  consumerist  nature. 


Declining  Growth  Rates 
and  Economic  Problems 

Although  each  of  the  six  Eastern 
European  countries  has  evolved  in  dis- 
tinctly different  ways  from  the  tradi- 
tional "Stalinist"  model,  all  share 
some  common  characteristics:  central 
planning,  administered  prices,  and  a 
high  priority  on  heavy  industry.  These 
elements  cause  a  misallocation  of  re- 
sources within  each  country,  and  they 
distort  trade  between  the  countries 
which  must  be  conducted  on  the  basis 
of  bilaterally  negotiated  barter  agree- 
ments. 

As  their  economies  have  increased  in 
size  and  complexity,  the  Soviet  model 
has  proven  less  and  less  effective. 
Also,  the  example  of  rising  living 
standards  in  Western  Europe  has  forced 
the  Communist  governments  to  pay 
more  attention  to  the  consumer  needs 
of  their  own  populations,  thus  reducing 
the  resources  available  for  investment. 
As  a  result,  the  high  growth  rates 
achieved  by  the  Eastern  European 
economies  in  the  immediate  postwar 
period  declined  in  the  1960's.  Al- 
though this  gradual  decline  was  inter- 
rupted in  the  early  1970's  when  trade 
and  financial  relations  with  the  West 
were  rapidly  expanded,  growth  rates 
have  begun  to  fall  again. 

In  the  period  1965-70,  the  six  East- 
ern European  countries  increased  their 
per  capita  GNP  at  an  annual  average 
rate  of  3.1%.  In  the  first  half  of  this 
decade  that  rate  rose  to  4.2%,  but  by 
1977  it  had  again  declined  to  3.2%. 
These  declining  growth  rates  reflect  a 
series  of  economic  problems  in  addi- 
tion to  rising  consumer  demands  and 
the  rigidities  of  the  centrally  planned 
economies,  namely,  limited  natural  re- 
sources, manpower  problems,  and  ag- 
ricultural difficulties. 

Shortages  of  natural  resources,  espe- 
cially energy  resources  have  been  a 
serious  problem  for  the  Eastern  Euro- 
peans. Except  for  Poland  which  has 
abundant  supplies  of  coal,  copper,  and 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

sulphur,  and  Romania,  which  still  has 
some  oil.  Eastern  Europe  is  resource 
poor  and  must  import  much  of  the  basic 
raw  materials  it  needs  from  outside  the 
region.  Most  of  Eastern  Europe's 
energy  imports  have  come  from  the 
Soviet  Union.  But  the  Soviets  have 
raised  the  price  and  in  some  cases  cut 
back  their  export  of  energy  to  Eastern 
Europe.  An  increase  in  intra- 
COMECON  foreign  trade  prices  in 
1975,  a  year  earlier  than  scheduled, 
saw  the  price  of  Soviet  crude  oil  jump 
by  about  1307r,  although  it  still  re- 
mained lower  than  the  world  price. 

Demographic  trends  and  manpower 
shortages  are  another  set  of  serious 
problems  these  nations  are  facing.  The 
manpower  shortage  throughout  Eastern 
Europe  is  only  partly  attributable  to  a 
generation  lost  to  war  and  to  the  emi- 
gration thereafter;  it  is  mainly  due  to 
urban  birth  rates  so  low  as  to  be  of 
major  concern  to  the  governments  of 
that  area.  Hungary,  for  example,  has 
zero  population  growth,  and  the  popu- 
lation of  East  Germany  actually  de- 
clined between  1965  and  1976.  Fur- 
thermore, low  population  growth  is  ex- 
pected in  all  these  countries  at  least 
through  the  end  of  this  century. 

Traditionally,  manpower  shortages 
can  be  offset  by  drawing  labor  from  the 
countryside.  But  the  skilled  technical 
workers  needed  are  not  available  from 
the  even  more  inefficient  agricultural 
sectors.  Another  way  to  meet  man- 
power shortages  is  with  migrant  work- 
ers. But  there  are  probably  not  more 
than  150.000  "guest  workers"  in  East- 
ern Europe — too  few  to  be  of  signifi- 
cant assistance  and  almost  all  of  them 
from  other  COMECON  countries. 

Low  labor  productivity  is  another 
endemic  problem.  One  of  the 
paradoxes  of  the  Eastern  European 
economies  is  that  while  labor  is  scarce 
there  is  an  enormous  amount  of  un- 
deremployment. Workers  are  fre- 
quently stockpiled,  as  are  other  re- 
sources, by  managers  who  fear  in- 
creases in  their  output  requirements. 
The  shortage  of  labor  is  compounded 
by  frequent  shortages  of  consumer 
goods  resulting  in  low  worker  incen- 
tives. Increased  earnings  do  not  auto- 
matically translate  into  increased  real 
income.  Classic  examples  of  this 
problem  have  appeared  recently  among 
the  miners  who  have  protested  in  Po- 
land and  struck  in  the  Jiu  Valley  in 
Romania. 

Agricultural  inefficiency  is  a 
hallmark  of  the  systems  of  Eastern 
Europe.  Between  1965  and  1975  East- 
ern European  agricultural  output  grew 
about  2.2%  annually.  Poland  sought  to 
deal  with  agricultural  inefficiency  by 
leaving   the    land    largely    in    private 


November  1978 


37 


hands.  But  farming  there  laeks  invest- 
ment and  modernization.  Where  large- 
scale  modernization  and  mechanization 
of  collective  farms  has  been  tried  (such 
as  in  Bulgaria),  incentives  for  indi- 
vidual productivity  have  been  low.  As 
result  of  chronically  poor  weather 
conditions,  and  these  inefficiencies. 
Eastern  Europe  has  been  a  net  importer 
of  foodstuffs  for  years,  often  at  the  cost 
of  increased  hard  currency  debts.  Yet 
Bulgaria,  Hungary,  and  Romania  have 


managed   generally    to   be   overall    net 
exporters  of  grains. 

Attempts  at  Economic  Reform 

Confronted  with  these  complex 
problems  and  the  inherent  inefficien- 
cies of  their  economic  systems,  the 
governments  of  Eastern  Europe,  espe- 
cially in  the  more  developed  countries, 
have  attempted  to  overcome  their  dif- 
ficulties by   introducing  programs  de- 


EASTERN   EUROPEAN  TRADE 

(IN   MILLIONS  OF  DOLLARS) 


Exports  Imports   Exports  Imports      Exports  Imports    Exports  Imports     Exports    Imports    Exports   Imports 

Bulgaria  Czechoslovakia         German  Hungary  Poland  Romania 

Democratic 
Republic 

SOURCE:  Central   Intelligence  Agency  estimates  based  upon  East  European  and  Soviet  trade 
statistics  converted  into  U.S.  dollars  at  official  rates  of  exchange. 


signed  to  decentralize  decisionmaking 
and  permit  a  greater  role  for  free  mar- 
ket forces.  Progress  in  actually 
achieving  such  '•reforms"  has  varied 
greatly  within  the  area. 

Although  Czechoslovakia  took  the 
lead  in  reforms  in  the  late  1960's,  the 
1968  Soviet-led  invasion  ended  the  ex- 
periments of  Deputy  Premier  Sik  and 
cast  a  pall  over  such  efforts  in  other 
countries.  The  Czechoslovak  reforms, 
which  were  the  most  far  reaching  of 
those  proposed  in  Eastern  Europe  in  the 
1960's,  had  implied  a  diminution  or 
even  elimination  of  the  role  of  the 
Communist  Party  in  the  management  of 
the  economy.  This  linkage  between 
economic  reforms  and  the  role  of  the 
Communist  Party  points  up  the  intimate 
relationship  between  politics  and  eco- 
nomics in  this  region. 

Hungary  went  ahead  with  its  new 
economic  mechanism,  a  program  intro- 
duced in  1968,  which  substantially  in- 
creased the  responsibility  of  individual 
enterprises  and  sought  to  regulate  the 
economy  by  macroeconomic  forces 
rather  than  direct  controls.  After  1973, 
further  development  of  the  mechanism 
was  stalled  by  excessive  rates  of  in- 
vestment, worker  dissatisfaction  with 
growing  disparities  in  wage  rates,  and 
balance-of-payments  problems.  During 
the  past  year,  however,  the  Hungarian 
Government  has  announced  plans  for 
basic  price  and  tax  reforms  that  could 
significantly  increase  the  role  of  market 
forces  in  the  Hungarian  economy. 

Reforms  in  Poland  have  not  gone  so 
far  as  those  in  Hungary,  but  sporadic 
efforts  continue  to  be  made  to  reor- 
ganize the  structure  of  Polish  industry 
by  decentralizing  authority  and  tying 
together  production  and  marketing 
units.  The  role  of  small  private  enter- 
prises, especially  in  service  industries, 
has  recently  been  allowed  to  expand, 
and  new  laws  have  been  instituted  to 
permit  foreign  investment  in  Poland. 
Romania  and  Bulgaria,  the  least  de- 
veloped countries  of  the  area,  have  not 
attempted  to  adopt  wide-ranging  eco- 
nomic reforms  and  thus  far  have 
largely  retained  their  highly  centralized 
systems  in  pursuit  of  broad-based  in- 
dustrial growth.  However,  earlier  this 
year.  President  Ceausescu  announced 
several  changes  which  could  prove  to 
be  the  first  signs  of  an  economic  re- 
form in  Romania. 


Economic  Integration 

COMECON,  the  common  Western 
acronym  for  the  Council  for  Mutual 
Economic  Assistance,  appears  to  be 
moving  slowly,  if  at  all,  toward  the 
increased  economic  integration  sought 


38 


Department  of  State  Bulletii 


U.S.  TRADE  WITH  EASTERN   EUROPE— 1977  * 
(IN  MILLIONS  OF  DOLLARS) 

-Rolling  Mill  and  Metal  Manufacturing  Machinery 


Bulgaria 


Czecho- 
slovakia 


German 

Democratic 

Republic 


Hungary 


Poland 


Romania 


]  Exports 
]  Imports 


]  436.5 


I I L_l I I I I I I L 


100 


J I I I I I I L 


200 


J I L 


I       l       l       I 


300 


J I L 


_l I L 


400 


J I I I 


SOURCE:   OVERSEAS  BUSINESS   REPORTS,   U.S.   DEPT.  OF  COMMERCE,  JULY   1978 

*  One-third  of  the  actual  value  of  agricultural  commodities  which  is  exported  to  Eastern  Europe  is  transshipped  through  third  countries  and 
is  not  reflected  in  the  above  data.  The  value  of  transshipped  agricultural  commodity  exports  to  Czechoslovakia  is  $62.8  million;  to  the  German 
Democratic   Republic — $208.7  million;  to  Hungary — $14.8  million;  and  to  Poland — $4.1    million  (U.S.  Department  of  Agriculture  estimates,  1977). 


by  the  U.S.S.R.  It  remains  an  organi- 
zation without  supranational  powers, 
and  an  estimated  90%  of  intra- 
COMECON  trade  is  carried  out  via 
bilateral  clearing  arrangements.  The 
predominance  of  bilateralism  is  due 
largely  to  the  absence  of  a  convertible 
currency  or  a  meaningful  exchange  rate 
or  prices  which  reflect  market  forces 
and  scarcities. 

The  share  of  each  Eastern  European 
country's  total  foreign  trade  which  is 
devoted  to  trade  with  other  COMECON 
members  varies  widely.  Bulgaria  con- 
ducts approximately  80%  of  its  trade 
with  other  COMECON  countries  and 
56%  with  the  U.S.S.R.,  while  only 
about  35$  of  Romania's  trade  is  with 
COMECON,  of  which  about  half  is 
with  the  U.S.S.R. 

COMECON's  moves  toward  inte- 
gration have  taken  the  form  of  closer 
coordination  of  5-year  and  longer  term 
plans  and  cooperative  projects  in  the 
areas  of  primary  products  and  fuels.  As 
of  now,  COMECON's  joint  efforts  ap- 
pear to  be  restricted  to  projects  from 
which  the  Eastern  European  countries 
can  ultimately  be  expected  to  benefit 
directly:   These   include  a  natural  gas 


pipeline  and   the  production  of  items 
such  as  asbestos  and  cellulose. 


East-West  Trade 

Since  the  early  1970's,  Eastern 
European  governments  have  given 
heavy  stress  to  solving  the  problem  of 
lagging  industrial  productivity  by  im- 
porting Western  equipment  and  tech- 
nology on  a  greatly  increased  scale. 
Between  1970  and  1977,  turnover  with 
the  developed  West  increased  almost 
four  times. 

The  infusion  of  new  technology 
seems  to  have  had  at  least  a  temporar- 
ily beneficial  effect  on  productivity  in 
the  Eastern  economies.  It  has  also 
stimulated  the  development  of  new 
ways  of  doing  business  in  many  of  the 
Eastern  countries.  For  example,  20 
U.S.  firms  have  offices  in  Warsaw; 
there  are  American  bank  offices  in 
Bucharest  and  in  Warsaw;  and  an 
American  firm  owns  49%  of  a 
Budapest  firm  which  produces  medical 
instruments.  Such  arrangements  have 
required  changes  in  the  domestic  busi- 
ness laws  and  practices  of  the  Eastern 
European   countries,    which   now   vary 


substantially  from  country  to  country. 

In  Poland,  businessmen  find  it  rela- 
tively easy  to  make  appointments  withi 
the  end-users  of  their  products,  while 
in  other  countries  such  appointments 
are  sometimes  difficult.  Hungary  pub- 
lishes more  complete  economic  infor- 
mation than  do  some  of  the  other 
countries.  Joint  equity  ventures  are 
permitted  in  some  countries  but  not  in 
others,  and  the  rules  for  these  ventures 
differ  from  country  to  country. 

Eastern  Europe's  hard  currency  ex- 
ports during  the  1970's  have  not  been 
sufficient  to  pay  for  imports  from  the 
West.  As  a  result.  Eastern  European 
hard  currency  debt  increased  from 
about  $4.6  billion  in  1970  to  about 
$31.4  billion  at  the  end  of  1977.  The 
deficit  has  been  covered  mainly  by 
borrowing  from  Western  banks  and 
governments.  In  some  countries,  par- 
ticularly Poland,  these  debts  have  be- 
come a  serious  concern  to  both  borrow- 
ers and  lenders.  Eastern  European  im- 
ports from  the  West,  which  grew  very 
rapidly  in  1970-74,  increased  at  a 
markedly  reduced  rate  in  1975  and 
1976  and  rose  hardly  at  all  in  1977. 

Poland,  for  example,  has  taken  ef- 


November  1978 

fective  steps  to  reduee  its  trade  deficit. 
Poland's  debt  is  large  relative  to  its 
hard  currency  earnings  and  it  is  still 
growing,  but  Western  creditors,  in- 
cluding both  U.S.  Government  and  pri- 
vate lenders,  have  been  favorably  im- 
pressed by  the  efforts  of  the  Polish 
Government  to  improve  its  trade  bal- 
ance. As  a  result,  these  lenders  con- 
tinue to  extend  credit  to  Poland. 


U.S.  Trade 

U.S.  trade  with  Eastern  Europe  in- 
creased four  and  one-half  times  be- 
tween 1970  and  1977  but  is  still  less 
than  \7c  of  our  total  foreign  trade.  In 
1977  the  United  States  accounted  for 
about  67c  of  total  Eastern  European 
trade  with  the  West.  This  is  due  in  part 
to  the  linguistic  and  geographic  ad- 
vantages held  by  our  Western  European 
competitors,  but  it  is  also  the  result  of 
the  absence  of  normal  trade  relations 
between  ourselves  and  three  of  the 
Eastern  European  countries.  Eastern 
Europe  will  continue  to  see  the  United 
States  as  an  attractive  trade  partner  be- 
cause we  have  advanced  technology 
and  because  we  offer  welcome  compe- 
tition to  their  Western  European 
suppliers. 

The  United  States  has  benefited  from 
its  trade  with  Eastern  Europe  despite  its 
relatively  small  volume.  In  1977  the 
United  States  had  a  trade  surplus  with 
the  region  of  about  $200  million.  Since 
the  beginning'  of  1976,  the  Eastern 
Europeans  have  purchased  about  $2 
billion  worth  of  U.S.  agricultural 
commodities  and  well  over  $1  billion 
worth  of  U.S.  manufactured  goods. 


CONTEXT  OF  U.S.  POLICY 

In  the  preceding  sections  of  this 
statement  we  have  attempted  to  outline 
the  context  in  which  U.S.  policy  must 
operate. 

Historically  Eastern  Europe  has  been 
alternatively  a  buffer  zone  and  a 
battlefield,  a  spark  for  world  wars,  and 
an  area  of  rivalry  among  great  powers. 
But  despite  great  power  competition  for 
the  loyalties  of  the  peoples  of  Eastern 
Europe,  each  nation  in  the  area  has 
tenaciously  aspired  to  and  has  moved 
toward  its  own  individual  identity. 

Soviet  power,  which  dominated  the 
political  evolution  of  Eastern  Europe 
following  1945,  is  reconciled — within 
limits — to  some  diversity.  The  Soviet 
Union  has  evidently  come  to  tolerate 
some  diversity  and  national  identity  in 
Eastern  Europe  as  a  necessary  trade-off 
for  political  stability  and  economic 
viability. 

Diversity   is.    therefore,   an   increas- 


ingly significant  political  characteristic 
in  the  area.  While  maintaining  the  pri- 
mary role  of  the  Communist  Party  and 
the  countries'  formal  commitments  to 
the  Warsaw  Pact,  there  are  increasing 
signs  of  differentiated  domestic  and.  in 
some  instances,  foreign  policies. 

Improved  economic  efficiency  is  the 
elusive  goal  of  virtually  all  these  gov- 
ernments. Within  the  constraints  of 
ideology  and  politics,  each  government 
has  tried  differing  approaches  to  eco- 
nomic reforms,  incentives,  imported 
technology,  and  foreign  trade. 

U.S.  Interests 

Eastern  Europe  is  important  to  the 
United  States  for  two  fundamental 
reasons — security  and  humanitarian 
concerns. 

Our  security  is  linked  to  Europe's. 
Two  World  Wars  were  ignited  in  East- 
ern Europe,  and  the  machinery  for  a 
war  infinitely  more  destructive  than 
either  of  those  is  already  in  place.  We 
must  and  will  maintain  a  credible  de- 
terrent to  possible  military  aggression 
by  Warsaw  Pact  forces.  But  this  deter- 
rent must  be  accompanied  by  consistent 
diplomatic  efforts  to  reduce  the  dangers 
of  war  and  confrontation.  To  ignore  the 
countries  of  Eastern  Europe  would  be 
to  leave  peace  to  chance. 

The  welfare  of  the  peoples  living  in 
Eastern  Europe  matters  deeply  to  all 
Americans.  More  than  15  million 
Americans  have  their  heritage  in  that 
region.  Millions  of  other  Americans 
sympathize  with  the  long  struggle  of 
the  peoples  of  the  region  for  independ- 
ence, security,  and  material  progress. 

Related  to  both  our  security  and  hu- 
manitarian concerns  is  our  interest  in 
building  more  durable  ties  with  the 
governments  and  peoples  of  Eastern 
Europe  through  expanded  trade  and 
economic  interaction,  through  cultural 
and  education  exchanges,  and  through 
the  increased  interchange  of  people  and 
ideas.  These  efforts  may  not  produce 
measurable  results  in  the  short  term, 
either  in  ameliorating  East-West  rela- 
tions or  relations  between  the  govern- 
ments and  their  peoples.  But  it  is  clear 
that  the  Eastern  Europe  of  today  is,  in 
general,  a  more  accessible  and  open 
area  than  it  was  two  decades  or  even  a 
decade  ago.  And  we  can  be  fairly  cer- 
tain that  a  lack  of  effort  to  expand 
contacts  with  the  region  would  result  in 
greater  state-to-state  tensions  and  less 
progress  on  humanitarian  questions. 

One  caveat  is  important.  The  efforts 
of  this  and  previous  Administrations  to 
improve  relations  with  the  countries  of 
Eastern  Europe  in  no  way  indicate  a 
lessening  of  our  concern  about  the  lack 
of   democratic    institutions    and    other 


39 


basic  elements  of  free  societies  in  that 
part  of  the  world.  We  continue  to  have 
profound  disagreements  with  the  gov- 
ernments of  Eastern  Europe  over  many 
questions  of  political  freedoms  and 
basic  human  and  social  values.  We 
have  seen  hopeful  trends  in  the  evolu- 
tion of  political  rights  in  some  coun- 
tries; there  have  been  regressive  steps 
in  others.  But  the  very  expansion  of 
relations  with  these  countries  has  en- 
abled us  to  talk  more  candidly  with 
their  governments  about  our  differ- 
ences both  in  bilateral  discussions  and 
in  multilateral  forums. 

Eastern  European  Interests 

The  countries  of  Eastern  Europe 
have  strong  interests  in  better  relations 
with  the  United  States.  Paramount 
among  these  are  their  own  security 
concerns.  The  region  stands  to  lose 
disastrously  from  any  major  East- West 
armed  confrontation.  Their  memories 
and  scars  of  World  War  II  are  still 
fresh.  The  countries  and  peoples  of  the 
region  see  better  relations  with  the 
United  States,  and  with  the  West  gen- 
erally, as  a  means  of  reducing  the  risk 
of  such  confrontation.  They  feel  they 
have  a  special  stake  in  stable  and  im- 
proving U.S. -Soviet  relations. 

Second,  these  countries  desire, 
partly  through  foreign  ties,  to  enhance 
their  national  identities,  of  which  they 
are  justifiably  proud.  They  can  pursue 
these  national  aspirations  most  effec- 
tively in  an  atmosphere  of  relaxed 
East-West  tensions.  The  governments 
are  anxious  to  be  accepted,  particularly 
by  their  Western  European  neighbors 
and  by  the  United  States,  as  legitimate 
members  of  the  international  commu- 
nity. 

Third,  all  of  the  governments  are 
committed  to  economic  growth,  and 
their  peoples  all  aspire  to  a  higher 
standard  of  living.  Expanded  economic 
and  commercial  relations  with  the 
United  States — including  access  to  our 
goods,  technology,  know-how,  and 
markets — serve  the  goals  both  of  the 
governments  and  of  the  peoples  of 
Eastern  Europe. 

Fourth,  the  improvement  of  relations 
with  the  United  States  responds  to  a 
deeply  felt  admiration  for  this  country 
which  remains  nearly  universal  among 
people  throughout  Eastern  Europe.  To 
the  extent  that  these  governments  deal 
with  the  United  States  in  nonhostile 
terms,  their  peoples  also  feel  more  re- 
laxed about  expressing  their  good  will 
toward  the  United  States.  And  to  the 
extent  that  the  governments  care  about 
the  impact  of  their  internal  practices  on 
American  public  opinion,  they  are  less 
likely  to  employ  repressive   measures 


40 


and    to    violate    recognized    norms    of 
human  rights 

In  economic,  trade,  and  cultural  re- 
lations, the  countries  of  Western 
Europe  have  played  a  greater  role  his- 
torically in  Eastern  Europe  than  has  the 
United  States.  However,  in  psycho- 
logical and  political  terms  the  United 
States  is  expected  to  play — and  indeed 
plays — an  important  if  not  vital  role. 


Past  U.S.  Policy 

In  the  immediate  postwar  era,  U.S. 
policy  toward  Eastern  Europe  tended  to 
function  as  a  corollary  of  U.S.  policy 
toward  the  Soviet  Union.  In  the  1950's 


and  I960's  the  cold  war  dominated  our 
perceptions  and  conditioned  our  policy. 
We  dealt  with  the  region  as  part  of  the 
"Sino-Soviet  bloc,*'  and  the  "Iron 
Curtain"  seemed  an  impenetrable  bar- 
rier. Even  during  this  period,  however, 
there  were  harbingers  of  the  more  var- 
ied approach  which  has  now  become 
the  rule  rather  than  the  exception. 

With  Poland,  for  example,  our  rela- 
tions improved  notably  beginning  in 
1956  when  Poland  initiated  a  policy  of 
increased  internal  liberalization  and 
eased  its  emigration  policies.  This  was 
given  added  impetus  in  1972  as  part  of 
the  broader  thaw  in  East-West  rela- 
tions. 

With  Romania,   we  developed  more 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

constructive  relations  beginning  in  the 
mid-1960's  which  have  continued 
since.  In  this  case  the  improvement 
was  made  possible  by  Romania's  rela- 
tively independent  foreign  policy 
which  included  an  interest  in  better  re- 
lations with  the  United  States.  In  1969 
Bucharest  became  the  first  capital  of  a 
Communist  country  to  be  visited  by 
any  American  President. 

With  the  growth  of  a  detente  re- 
lationship with  Moscow  and  with  the 
growth  of  diversity  in  Eastern  Europe, 
our  relations  with  the  countries  of  the 
area  have  developed  beyond  the  limited 
previous  range.  This  pattern  of  dealing 
with  each  country  on  an  individual 
basis  is  determined  in  part  by  their 
willingness  to  develop  constructive  re- 
lations with  us.  We  welcome  moves 
toward  internal  liberalization  or  toward 
nationally  based  foreign  policies. 

The  evolution  of  U.S.  policy  toward 
the  region  is  clear  from  earlier  high- 
level  U.S.  statements. 

President  Eisenhower,  in  an  effort  to 
erode  cold  war  barriers,  proposed  a 
"people-to-people"  program  which 
continues  to  function  and  which  serves 
one  of  the  consistent  goals  of  our  pol- 
icy over  many  years — to  expose  people 
in  different  societies  to  each  other  in 
hopes  of  promoting  broader  mutual  un- 
derstanding and  reducing  hostilities. 

In  1963  President  Kennedy,  in  his 
American  University  speech,  address- 
ing himself  to  the  Communist  states  of 
Europe  said:  "So  let  us  not  be  blind  to 
our  differences,  but  let  us  also  direct 
attention  to  our  common  interests  and 
to  the  means  by  which  those  differ- 
ences can  be  resolved.  And  if  we  can- 
not end  now  our  differences,  at  least 
we  can  help  make  the  world  safe  for 
diversity." 

In  1964  President  Johnson  spoke  of 
"building  bridges  of  understanding" 
across  the  gulf  which  had  separated  us 
from  Eastern  Europe,  and  in  1966  he 
proposed  the  expansion  of  peaceful 
trade  between  the  United  States  and 
Eastern  Europe. 

In  1973  Deputy  Secretary  of  State 
Kenneth  Rush  said  that  "we  seek  to 
engage  the  countries  of  Eastern  Europe 
in  an  expanding  set  of  close  and  indi- 
vidual relationships."  Rush  also  set  out 
three  principles  for  our  policy  toward 
Eastern  Europe:  to  deal  with  each 
country  "as  an  independent,  sovereign 
state;"  "to  create  a  continuing  eco- 
nomic relationship"  through  greater 
trade  and  investment;  and  to  promote 
the  engagement  of  the  Eastern  Euro- 
pean countries  "in  the  affairs  of 
Europe  as  a  whole." 


sJovember  1978 

Current  U.S.  Policy  and  Options 

The  range  of  U.S.  policy  options 
oward  Eastern  Europe  today  is  implied 
n  the  pattern  of  past  policies.  We 
:ould  approach  the  nations  of  the  re- 
gion as  adversaries,  tied  as  a  "bloc-" 
riilitarily.  politically,  and  economi- 
cally to  the  Soviet  Union  or  approach 
:ach  nation  individually  and  exploit  all 
)pportunities  to  change  the  status  quo 
without  regard  to  the  consequences  and 
lower  relationships  in  the  area. 

Neither  extreme  is  acceptable.  We 
ntend  neither  to  leave  our  relations 
.vith  Eastern  Europe  hostage  to  rela- 
ions  with  the  Soviet  Union  nor  con- 
duct a  policy  that  is  reckless  and  de- 
stabilizing in  Europe.  The  U.S.  policy 
hat  has  evolved  is  designed  to  further 
)ur  security  interests  in  Europe  and  to 
ake  into  account  the  growing  diversity 
)f  the  area. 

This  Administration  has  devoted 
substantial  energy,  at  a  high  level  and 
n  a  consistent  direction,  to  the  pursuit 
)f  our  policy  in  Eastern  Europe.  Sec- 
retary Vance  said  in  Budapest  early 
his  year:  "The  current  Administration 
s  seeking  to  improve  its  relationships 
■vith  the  countries  of  Eastern  Europe. 
iach  of  us  will  have  to  approach  this 
.vith  our  own  national  interests  in- 
/olved.  I  think  the  best  way  to  deal 
with  these  problems  is  to  have  face- 
co-face  discussions  where  we  can  dis- 
:uss  the  differences  and  the  common 
nterests,  and  we  shall  pursue  these  on 
he  basis  of  dealing  on  a  case-by-case 
->asis,  country  by  country,  on  the  vari- 
ous issues  and  common  concerns  which 
vve  have. " 

Our  policy  then  is  based  on  the  fol- 
lowing. 

•  We  recognize  and  support  the  in- 
dividuality of  each  nation  in  its  ap- 
proach to  domestic  and  foreign  affairs. 

•  We  deal  with  each  country  as  a 
sovereign  nation  while  taking  into  ac- 
count the  political  and  geographic 
realities  of  the  area. 

•  Our  primary  tools  for  improving 
relations  with  the  area  are  expanded 
human  contacts,  trade,  institutional 
cooperation,  and  information  flow. 

•  We  are  mindful  of  the  limits  of 
U.S.  influence  and  of  the  importance 
of  contributing  to  the  security  of  all  of 
Europe  in  pursuit  of  our  policies. 

More  specifically,  we  seek  to: 

•  Develop  mutually  beneficial  bilat- 
eral relations  to  the  extent  that  indi- 
vidual countries  are  willing  and  able  to 
sustain  them.  For  example,  we  have 
completed  negotiation  of  consular 
agreements  with  all  the  Eastern  Euro- 


pean countries  except  for  the  German 
Democratic  Republic,  and  we  have 
cultural  and  scientific  exchange  agree- 
ments with  Bulgaria.  Hungary,  and 
Romania,  and  extensive  exchange  pro- 
grams with  Poland; 

•  Maintain  high-level  contact  with 
leaders  of  those  Eastern  European 
countries  with  which  our  relations  have 
shown  adequate  improvement.  Imple- 
menting this  policy.  President  Carter 
visited"  Poland  in  December  1977, 
President  Ceausescu  of  Romania  vis- 
ited the  United  States  in  April  1978, 
and  cabinet  level  officials  have  ex- 
changed visits  with  several  countries  in 
the  area; 

•  Explore  all  possibilities  provided 
by  the  Helsinki  Final  Act  to  stimulate 
contacts  and  to  achieve  concrete  prog- 
ress on  the  practical  problems  which 
continue  to  hinder  relations  with  the 
countries  of  Eastern  Europe.  In  par- 
ticular, we  seek  solutions  to  problems 
affecting  the  lives  of  individuals  and 
encourage  the  observance  of  funda- 
mental human  rights.  We  are  especially 
concerned  over  the  need  for  progress 
on  divided  family  problems,  which  are 


BACKGROUND  NOTES 

Background  Notes  is  a  series  of  short, 
factual  pamphlets  on  the  countries  of  the 
world.  Each  Note  contains  information 
on  the  country's  people,  land,  history, 
government,  political  conditions,  econ- 
omy, foreign  relations,  and  U.S.  policy. 
Included  also  is  a  profile,  brief  travel 
notes,  map,  list  of  government  officials, 
and  a  reading  list.  Notes  are  available  on 
the  six  East  European  countries  (with 
order  numbers)  discussed  in  this  article 
and  the  USSR.: 

Bulgaria  (044-000-91040-3) 
Czechoslovakia  (044-000-91  102-7) 
German  Democratic  Republic 

(044-000-91159-1) 
Hungary  (044-000-91016-1) 
Poland  (044-000-91  180-9) 
Romania  (044-000-99914-5) 
USSR. (044-000-91025-0) 

Individual  Background  Notes  may  be 
obtained  for  700  each  from  the  Superin- 
tendent of  Documents,  U.S.  Government 
Printing  Office.  Washington,  DC. 
20402.  (Orders  of  100  or  more  copies  of 
the  same  Notes  mailed  to  the  same  ad- 
dress are  sold  at  a  25%  discount.)  Re- 
mittances in  the  form  of  a  check  or 
money  order  payable  to  the  Superinten- 
dent of  Documents  must  accompany 
orders. 


41 

of   direct    interest    to    many    American 
citizens; 

•  Promote  constructive  and  positive 
participation  in  international  organiza- 
tions and  peaceful  resolution  of  dis- 
putes. In  particular,  we  encourage  sup- 
port for  African  political  solutions  to 
African  problems,  and  we  oppose  East- 
ern European  participation  in  Soviet 
and  Cuban  military  activities  in  Africa 
and  other  troubled  regions.  Also,  we 
encourage  Eastern  European  nations  to 
play  a  more  constructive  role  in  the 
Middle  East  as  Romania  has  done; 

•  Improve  trade  and  economic  rela- 
tions through  the  resolution  of 
nationalization  claims  and.  where  pos- 
sible and  appropriate,  by  the  reciprocal 
extension  of  most-favored-nation 
(MFN)  tariff  treatment.  We  have  now 
concluded  claims  agreements  with  all 
of  the  countries  of  the  region  except  for 
Czechoslovakia  and  the  German 
Democratic  Republic.  The  implemen- 
tation earlier  this  summer  of  the 
U.S. -Hungarian  trade  agreement  makes 
Hungary  the  third  country  in  Eastern 
Europe  (after  Poland  and  Romania) 
with  which  we  exchange  MFN  tariff 
treatment,  reflecting  the  development 
of  our  relations  with  those  countries 
across  the  board.  We  also  seek  to  ex- 
pand our  bilateral  trade  through  in- 
creased commercial  opportunities  and 
business  facilitation.  Periodic 
government-to-government  consulta- 
tions on  a  number  of  levels  help  to 
expand  our  bilateral  trade; 

•  Engage  the  Eastern  European 
countries  more  fully  in  world  trade  and 
international  economic  activities,  such 
as  in  the  current  multilateral  trade 
negotiations  in  Geneva  and  in  various 
North-South  economic  issues; 

•  Reduce  the  number  of  opposing 
forces  in  central  Europe  through  seri- 
ous pursuit  of  the  Vienna  talks  on 
mutual  and  balanced  force  reductions. 

In  conclusion,  we  believe  that  our 
policies  toward  the  countries  of  Eastern 
Europe  and  the  objectives  we  seek 
through  these  policies  are  generally 
supported,  on  a  bipartisan  basis,  by  the 
vast  majority  of  the  American  public. 
Our  approach  is  one  which  we  believe 
is  best  designed  to  enable  the  United 
States  to  play  a  constructive  role  in 
Eastern  Europe.  D 


1  The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings  will 
be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments. U.S.  Government  Printing  Office, 
Washington.  DC.  20402. 

-  Charter  '77  is  a  private  group  established  in 
Czechoslovakia  to  monitor  compliance  with  the 
Helsinki  Final  Act. 


42 


Department  of  State  Bulled 


MIDDLE  EAST: 

Camp  David  Agreements 


by  Harold  H.  Saunders 

Statement  before  the  Subcommittee 
on  Europe  and  the  Middle  Falsi  of  the 
House  Committee  on  International 
Relations  on  September  28,  1978.  Mr. 
Saunders  is  Assistant  Secretary  for 
Near  Eastern  and  South  Asian  Af- 
fairs. ' 

I  appreciate  your  inviting  me  to  tes- 
tify on  the  agreements  reached  at  Camp 
David,  because  it  is  essential  that  we 
work  together  to  build  on  the  founda- 
tion for  peace  laid  in  these  meetings.2 

The  framework  for  peace  produced 
at  Camp  David  by  President  Sadat. 
Prime  Minister  Begin,  and  President 
Carter  provides  an  unprecedented  op- 
portunity for  the  people  of  the  Middle 
East  to  turn  away  from  the  long  and 
tragic  course  of  conflict,  tension. 
stalemate,  and  terror  that  has  for  so 
long  afflicted  Israelis  and  Arabs — and 
the  world  at  large.  As  President  Carter 
said: 

There  are  still  great  difficulties  that  remain 
and  many  hard  issues  to  be  settled  The  i|ues- 
tions  that  have  brought  warfare  and  bitterness 
to  the  Middle  East  for  the  last  30  years  will  nut 
be  settled  overnight.  But  we  should  all  recog- 
nize the  substantial  achievements  that  have 
been  made. 

It  would  be  tragic  to  lose  this  op- 
portunity 

The  issues  that  underlie  the  Arab- 
Israeli  dispute  have  been  recognized  by 
successive  American  Administrations 
as  having  profound  consequences  for 
America's  own  interests — our  historic 
and  moral  commitment  to  the  people  of 
the  region,  the  important  anil  mutually 
beneficial  economic  relationships  be 
tween  the  United  States  and  the  Middle- 
Eastern  nations,  and  the  dangers  which 
perpetual  crisis  in  the  region  pose  for 
world  peace  and  freedom. 

The  U.S.  diplomatic  role  in  the  Mid- 
dle East  has  been  and  continues  to  be  a 
matter  of  national  importance  to  us.  It 
has  been,  as  well,  indispensable  to 
hopes  for  a  negotiated  settlement  by  the 
parties,  for  it  is  the  United  States  alone 
among  the  world's  nations  that  both 
Israel  and  its  Arab  neighbors  have  been 
prepared  to  work  with  on  this  complex 
and  difficult  problem. 

The  President's  effort  at  Camp  David 
was  conducted  in  this  spirit  —  with 
humility,  with  perseverance,  and  with 
the  deepest  sense  of  responsibility  to- 


ward the  interests  of  the  American 
people,  toward  the  nations  and  peoples 
of  the  Middle  East,  and  in  the  cause  of 
peace,  justice,  and  cooperative  prog- 
ress. As  a  result  of  this  effort,  the 
prospects  for  peace  in  the  Middle  East 
have  been  advanced  significantly,  and 
good  prospects  exist  for  even  further 
progress — if  the  parties  to  the  Arab- 
Israeli  conflict  commit  themselves  to 
seizing  the  opportunity  that  now  is 
offered. 

No  international  agreement  can  suc- 
ceed unless  it  provides  a  balance  of 
benefits.  Each  party  must  be  able  to 
perceive  that  its  particular  interests  are 
addressed  seriously  and  with  a  sense  of 
reciprocal  advantage  and  responsibil- 
ity. This  is  all  the  more  true  in  the  case 
of  any  agreement  to  advance  the  cause 
of  peace  in  the  Middle  East.  All  the 
central  dimensions — human,  political, 
security,  and  psychological — must  be 
dealt  with  in  a  balanced  and  fair  man- 
ner if  we  are  to  expect  the  parties  to 
commit  themselves  to  go  forward  with 
the  peaceful  resolution  of  the  differ- 
ences that  for  so  long  have  caused  war 
and  destruction. 

Israel 

Support  for  a  secure,  free,  and 
democratic  Israel  in  the  Middle  East 
has  been  and  will  remain  a  permanent 
feature  of  American  foreign  policy;  in- 
deed it  is  a  moral  commitment  by  our 
country  and  a  strategic  concern.  The 
ties  of  friendship  that  bind  out- 
two  nations  will,  I  am  sure,  be  strength- 
ened by  the  Camp  David  agreements. 

Israel,  like  any  nation,  has  a  right  to 
recognition  and  acceptance  by  its  im- 
mediate neighbors  and  by  all  nations. 
Beyond  this.  Israel,  like  any  nation, 
has  a  right  to  live  in  security — a  secu- 
rity that  would  derive  from  its  own 
Strength  and  fortitude,  from  the  grow- 
ing cooperation  and  good  will  of  its 
neighbors,  and  from  linn  security  ar- 
rangements agreed  between  them.  The 
I  amp  David  agreements  go  further  to- 
ward meeting  all  of  these  fundamental 
concerns  of  Israel  than  any  interna- 
tional action  since  the  founding  of  the 
modem  State  of  Israel. 

For  Israel,  these  agreements  speak  to 
the  centuries-old  aspiration  of  the 
Jewish  people  to  live  in  peace  in  a  state 
of  their  own  in  the  land  of  their 
forefathers,  within  secure  and  recog- 
nized  borders,  and  to  take  their  riuhtful 


place  in  the  international  community  o 
nations.  As  President  Carter  said 
".  .  .  this  great  aspiration  of  Israel  ha: 
been  certified  without  constraint  in  thi 
greatest  degree  of  enthusiasm  by  Presi 
dent  Sadat,  the  leader  of  one  of  tht 
greatest  nations  on  Earth." 

In    practical    terms.    Israel    now    cat 
look    realistically    to    a    future    of   ful 
peace    with    Egypt    while    it    carrie." 
through  the  resolution  of  problems  tha 
will    lead    to    peace    with    all    of    it; 
neighbors.  The  agreement  with   Egyp> 
provides    for   diplomatic    relations,    an 
end  to  boycotts,  the  right  to  tree  pas 
sage  through  international   waterways 
and  other  ties  characteristic  of  norma 
peaceful    relations    between    sovereign 
states. 

The  framework  agreements  alsi 
contain  another  indispensable 
element — arrangements  to  guarantee 
the  security  of  the  parties. 

In  the  Sinai: 

•  A  wide  demilitarized  zone; 

•  A  limited  armament  zone  east  oi 
the  Suez  Canal; 

•  U.N.  forces  in  a  zone  along  the 
Egyptian-Israeli  border  and  the  Gulf  ot 
Aqaba; 

•  U.N.  forces  to  assure  freedom  ol 
passage  through  the  Tiran  Strait  ami  as 
a  buffer  between  Sinai  and  da/a; 

•  Relocation  of  Israeli  airfields  easi 
of  the  border,  in  the  Negev;  and 

•  A  small  limited  armament  zone  on 
the  Israeli  side  of  the  border. 

In  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza: 

•  Israeli  security  forces  will  remain 
m  specified  security  locations  to  pro- 
vide for  Israel's  security: 

•  There  will  be  arrangements  for  as- 
suring internal  security: 

•  There  will  be  a  5-year  interim 
period  before  the  final  status  of  the 
area  is  decided;  anil 

•  Israel  has  a  voice,  together  with 
Egypt,  Jordan,  and  the  Palestinians,  in 
the  determination  o\  the  final  status  ot 
the  area  and  its  boundaries 

These  concrete  security  arrange- 
ments are.  of  course,  important,  but  far 
more  is  involved.  True  security  cannot 
be  achieved  by  physical,  material,  or 
geographical  measures  alone;  true  se- 
curity must  be  founded  on  a  relation- 
ship of  amity,  trust,  mutual  respect, 
and  acceptance  between  a  nation  and 
its  neighbors.  For  the  first  time  ever, 
this  can  become  an  actuality — not  just 


[ovember  1978 

dream  —  tor  the  people  ot  Israel 
Vith  a  responsible  and  positive  ap- 
roaeh  to  the  provisions  of  these 
ramework  documents,  a  new  era  of 
mtual  friendship,  respect,  and  cooper- 
tion  between  Israel  and  its 
eighbors — and  all  the  benefits  that  can 
low  from  this — becomes  a  reality. 

If  the  nations  of  the  Middle  East  can 
eize  the  opportunity  before  them  and 
ross  the  threshold  to  peace,  no  one 
vill  benefit  more  than  the  people  of 
srael.  At  long  last.  Israel  will  be  able 
o  begin  to  free  itself  of  the  crushing 
efense  burden  which  its  citizens  have 
ad  to  bear  from  the  inception  of  the 
tate. 

Today  Israel's  development  has 
eached  a  point  where  the  advantages 
vhich  peace  can  bring  to  progress  are 
nprecedentedly  bright.  Peace  can  re- 
ease  the  extraordinary  talents  and 
nergies  of  the  people  of  Israel  to  ad- 
Iress  the  range  of  modern  problems.  In 
ier  capita  terms,  Israel  possesses  more 
cientists.  engineers,  physicians,  and 
ither  professionals  and  technicians 
rained  in  public  service  fields  than 
nost  nations  of  the  world.  Already, 
iespite  30  years  of  conflict  and  ten- 
ions.  Israel's  contributions  to  human 
nd  material  development  in  areas  such 
s  health,  agriculture,  the  environment. 
Iternative  sources  of  energy,  and 
yater  conservation  have  been  remarka- 
ile.  Under  conditions  of  peace.  Israel's 
lready  disproportionate  contribution  to 
olutions  to  some  of  its — and  the 
world's  —  most  pressing  issues  will  be 
nagnified. 

The  Arab  Side 

President  Sadat  and  Egypt  can  take 
l;reat  pride  in  the  extent  to  which  the 
jramp  David  agreements  speak  to  the 
|:oncerns  of  the  Arab  world  at  large. 
Through  its  contribution  to  the  docu- 
nent  entitled  "A  Framework  for  Peace 
In  the  Middle  East  [Agreed  at  Camp 
[David],"  Egypt  has  laid  the  founda- 
tions for  an  overall  Arab-Israeli  settle- 
nent  and  established  a  procedure  and 
jrinciples  which  can  be  used  by  all 
[Israel's  neighbors  who  are  prepared  to 
ijiegotiate  for  peace  and  security  on  the 
basis  of  all  the  principles  and  provi- 
sions of  U.N.  Security  Council  Res- 
olution 242,  which  applies  to  each  of 
jthese  negotiations  —  Egypt.  Jordan, 
iSyria,  and  Lebanon.  If  the  opportunity 
lis  seized,  the  results  can  shape  the 
future  of  the  Middle  East  for  decades  to 
Icome.  It  can  mean  a  Middle  East  that 
lean  live  in  dignity,  with  expanding 
jprosperity  and  influence,  and  freed 
from  the  shadow  of  outside  pressure  or 
Ithreat.  It  offers  an  avenue  for  the  Arabs 
to  work  together,   not  in  the  negative 


way  of  marshaling  their  energies 
against  a  common  adversary  but  toward 
the  attainment  of  the  highest  human 
goals. 

At  the  heart  of  Arab  concerns,  of 
course,  are  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza 
and  the  Palestinian  problem.  The 
"Framework  for  Peace  in  the  Middle 
East"  offers  the  Arabs  a  fair  and  hon- 
orable way  to  begin  resolving  these 
problems.  While  not  achieving  every- 
thing the  Arab  people  want  at  a  single 
stroke,  it  sets  in  motion  a  political 
process  which  will  significantly  ad- 
vance legitimate  Arab  objectives  while 
assuring  Israel's  security  and  its  right 
to  live  in  peace  with  its  neighbors. 

To  anyone  who  has  worked  on  these 
problems,  it  must  be  evident  that  the 
issues  involved  in  the  West  Bank  and 
Gaza  and  in  the  Palestinian  question 
generally  are  far  too  complex  to  be 
resolved  all  at  once.  Because  of  this  we 
have  long  felt  that  the  only  realistic 
approach  to  their  solution  would  be  to 
establish  a  5-year  transitional  period 
for  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  in  which 
the  decisions  that  needed  to  be  made 
could  be  dealt  with  in  a  logical 
sequence. 

That  approach  has  been  agreed  to  by 
Egypt  and  Israel,  and  they  have  invited 
other  parties  to  the  Arab-Israeli  conflict 
to  support  it.  As  the  key  Arab  nations 
consider  their  choice,  it  is  imperative 
that  they  understand  what  the 
framework  agreed  at  Camp  David 
achieves. 

For  the  first  time  in  history  a  Palestin- 
ian self-governing  body  will  be 
established — something  that  has  never 
before  existed. 

•  Throughout  the  West  Bank  and 
Gaza.  Palestinian  authority  will  be  es- 
tablished during  the  transitional  period, 
pending  negotiation  of  final  bound- 
aries. 

•  The  Israeli  military  government 
and  its  civilian  administration  will  be 
withdrawn  and  will  be  replaced  by  a 
Palestinian  self-governing  authority 
freely  elected  by  the  inhabitants  of 
these  areas.  A  major  initial  removal  of 
Israeli  military  forces  will  take  place, 
and  those  remaining  will  be  redeployed 
in  specified  locations.  A  strong  local 
Palestinian  police  force  under  Palestin- 
ian authority  will  come  into  being. 

•  The  Palestinians — along  with 
Egypt.  Israel,  and  Jordan  —  will  par- 
ticipate in  negotiations  based  on  all  the 
provisions  and  principles  of  U.N.  Se- 
curity Council  Resolution  242;  they 
will  thereby  have  a  clear  voice  in  de- 
termining their  own  future.  They  will 
participate  in  setting  up  their  self- 
governing  authority,  in  the  negotiations 
to   determine    the    final    status    of   the 


43 


West  Bank  and  Gaza,  and  in  the 
negotiations  for  an  Israel-Jordan  peace 
treaty.  Their  agreement  on  the  final 
status  of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza  will 
be  submitted  to  a  vote  by  the  elected 
representatives  of  the  inhabitants  of  the 
West  Bank  and  Gaza  to  ratify  or  reject. 
Their  elected  representatives  will,  by 
themselves,  decide  how  they  shall  gov- 
ern themselves  after  the  5-year  transi- 
tional period,  consistent  with  the  terms 
of  their  agreement  on  the  final  status  of 
the  area. 

•  These  arrangements  will  set  in 
motion  a  political  process  in  the  West 
Bank  and  Gaza  which  will  establish 
Palestinian  authority  and  administration 
with  full  autonomy  there. 

•  There  are  also  provisions  for 
Palestinians  not  now  in  the  West  Bank 
and  Gaza.  Representatives  from  among 
these  Palestinians  as  mutually  agreed 
may  join  the  negotiations  among 
Egypt.  Israel,  and  Jordan  on  establish- 
ing the  elected  self-governing  authority 
in  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza.  Through- 
out the  transitional  period  in  all  the 
negotiations  that  will  take  place,  re- 
sponsible Palestinians  in  this  area  and 
outside  almost  certainly  will  reflect 
each  other's  views  and  concerns. 

•  Israel  has  agreed  that  the  solution 
from  negotiations  must  recognize  the 
legitimate  rights  of  the  Palestinian 
people  and  their  just  requirements. 

This  framework  provides  a  start  — 
self-government  for  one-third  of  all  the 
Palestinian  people  in  the  world  within 
the  agreed  framework.  The  issue  to  be 
decided  now  is  whether  to  concentrate 
on  assuring  this  historic  step  —  which 
in  5  years  will  lead  to  a  determination 
of  the  final  status  of  the  area  approved 
by  the  elected  representatives  of  the 
inhabitants  of  the  West  Bank  and 
Gaza  —  or  whether  to  reject  this  step  in 
order  to  pursue  the  impossible  goal  of 


Secretary  Venice's 
Middle  East  Visit 

On  September  19,  1978,  Secretary 
Vance  departed  Washington  to  brief 
the  leaders  of  Jordan,  Saudi  Arabia, 
and  Syria  on  the  Egyptian-Israeli 
agreements  reached  at  Camp  David.  He 
visited  Jordan  September  20-21.  Saudi 
Arabia  September  21-24.  and  Syria 
September  24.  The  Secretary  returned 
to  the  United  States  September  25. 

Press  releases  related  to  this  visit 
are  Nos.  359  (September  19),  360 
(September  20).  and  364  and  365 
(September  21).  □ 


44 

an  immediate  resolution  of  all  out- 
standing issues.  We  believe  it  is  im- 
perative to  get  the  process  started  now. 

Let  me  dwell  on  this  point  for  a 
moment.  I  have  found  that  this  is  one 
of  the  most  difficult  points  for  some  of 
our  friends  in  the  Middle  East  to  under- 
stand. We  have  started  from  the  knowl- 
edge that  all  of  the  complicated  issues 
in  an  Arab-Israeli  settlement  cannot  be 
resolved  in  one  negotiation  at  one  time. 
Therefore,  we  have  put  them  in  se- 
quence and  provided  procedures  for 
their  resolution  within  an  agreed 
period.  Meanwhile,  each  change  in  the 
situation  will  produce  new  conditions 
which  will  make  it  possible  to  resolve 
issues  later  that  cannot  be  resolved 
now. 

This  framework  speaks  as  well  to  a 
deep  human  concern  of  the  Arab  people 
and  indeed  of  all  people.  At  Camp 
David  we  found  both  the  Israelis  and 
the  Egyptians  eager  to  come  to  grips 
with  the  tragic  refugee  problem.  For 
the  first  time,  two  parties  to  the  con- 
flict have  committed  themselves  to 
work  with  other  interested  parties  to 
establish  agreed  procedures  for  a 
prompt,  just,  and  permanent  resolution 
of  this  too  long  unresolved  problem. 
More  immediately,  the  agreement  pro- 
vides for  the  creation  of  a  mechanism 
which  should  permit  early  readmission 
of  persons  displaced  from  the  West 
Bank  and  Gaza  in  1967.  These  people 
will  be  able  to  reestablish  themselves 
in  their  homes  and  pursue  their  liveli- 
hoods for  themselves  and  their  families 
in  dignity  and  justice. 

Finally,  the  document  entitled 
"Framework  for  the  Conclusion  of  a 
Peace  Treaty  Between  Egypt  and  Is- 
rael" provides  tor  restoration  of  the 
full  exercise  of  Egyptian  sovereignty 
over  the  Sinai  to  the  internationally 
recognized  border.  This  agreement 
calls  for  the  full  withdrawal  of  Israeli 
forces  from  the  Sinai;  and  after  an 
interim  withdrawal,  which  can  be  ac- 
complished quickly,  the  establishment 
of   normal    peaceful   relations   between 


the  two  countries,  including  dip- 
lomatic relations.  This  offers  the 
Egyptian  people,  who  have  suffered 
and  sacrificed  so  much  in  the  wars  of 
the  past  three  decades,  the  possibility 
of  devoting  their  considerable  energies 
and  resources  to  the  cause  of  economic 
and  social  progress. 

The  United  States 

Let  me  conclude  by  noting  the  Camp 
David  agreements  serve  critical  Ameri- 
can interests  in  the  Middle  East  as  well. 
The  Camp  David  agreements: 

•  Provide  renewed  expression  of 
America's  traditional  moral  dedication 
to  help  find  just  and  peaceful  solutions 
to  international  problems  and  particu- 
larly to  find  a  peace  that  will  benefit  all 
the  people  of  the  Middle  East  while 
serving  American  interests; 

•  Demonstrate  that  our  commitment 
to  the  security  and  well-being  of  Israel 
is  effective  and  enduring; 

•  Strengthen  our  effort  to  deepen 
lies  with  our  friends  in  the  Arab  world. 
with  its  increasingly  influential  inter- 
national role; 

•  Lessen  the  danger  of  the  Middle 
East  becoming  a  focus  or  flashpoint  of 
conflict  between  the  great  powers  that 
could  lead  to  nuclear  war; 

•  Further  the  interest  of  our  allies 
and  ourselves  in  a  peaceful  Middle 
East; 

•  Contribute  to  an  international  en- 
vironment which  can  narrow  the  gap 
between  the  rich  and  technological!) 
advanced  nations  and  the  developing 
world;  and  above  all 

•  If  accepted  by  the  parties  for  im- 
plementation and  supported  widely  by 
the  international  community,  will  be  a 
bulwark  for  further  efforts  to  establish 
peace  and  cooperation  among  all 
nations. 

The  United  States  remains  com- 
mitted to  a  just  and  lasting  overall 
peace  for  the  Middle  East.  The  Camp 
David  agreements  do  not  bring  such  a 


Department  of  State  Bulled 

peace  immediately  into  existence — tW 
delicate  complex  of  issues  on  the  Wesi 
Bank  and  Gaza  will  have  to  be  settlec 
and  peace  achieved  between  Israel  ana 
its  other  neighbors.  Jordan.  Syria,  an« 
Lebanon  —  but  they  lay  the  groundworl 
for  a  comprehensive  settlement. 

The  outcome  at  Camp  David  is  ; 
major  step  toward  phased,  cumulatia 
agreements  through  which  a  record  o 
success  and  confidence  can  be  com 
piled  and  on  which  further  and.  at  soim 
point,  ultimate  decisions  can  bi 
reached  to  achieve  a  final  accord. 

The  choice  now  is  clear.  It  i 
whether  to  turn  away  from  thesi 
agreements  because  they  do  not  answj 
every  question,  provide  for  every  dj 
tail,  insure  all  parties  against  all  risk 
or  whether  they  will  be  supported  fo 
what  they  are  —  a  framework  for  peaci 
which  can  set  in  motion  a  political  am 
psychological  dynamic  capable  o 
transforming  this  terrible  and  tragi* 
conflict  into  the  just,  lasting,  and  com 
prehensive  peace  that  the  nations  ot  thi 
Middle  East  have  so  long  sought.  Thi. 
unprecedented  involvement  ot  thi 
President  of  the  United  States  at  Cam] 
David  demonstrated  the  meaning  of  thi 
U.S.  commitment  to  help  achiel 
peace  in  the  Middle  East.  The  parties 
and  all  those  interested  in  the  Middle 
East  problem,  can  rest  assured  that  th. 
United  States  will  remain  fully  in 
volved  until  a  final,  just,  and  lastin; 
settlement  is  achieved. 

We  have  said  for  many  years  nov 
that  the  modern  history  of  the  Middli 
East  has  been  a  record  of  lost  opportu 
nities.  All  of  us  recognize  that  we  nov 
face  an  opportunity  of  unprecedentec 
potential  for  peace  and  that  this  tunc  i 
must  not  be  lost. 


h 


1  The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings  wj| 
be  published  b)  the  committee  and  will  he  aNail 
able  from  the  Superintendent  "I  Documents 
U.S.  Government  Printing  Office,  Washington, 
[)  C    20402 

-'For  texts  ol  the  agreements  and  other  mate- 
rial concerning   the  summit,   see  Bulletin  ot 

Oct.  iy7x,  P  i 


November  1978 


45 


UNITED  NATIONS: 

33d  General  Assembly  Convenes 


by  Secretary  Vance 

Statement  at  the  opening  session  of 
the  U.N.  General  Assembly  on  Sep- 
tember 29,  iy78.[ 

A  generation  ago.  the  United  Nations 
was  created  by  men  and  women  who 
shared  a  vision. 

•  They  saw  the  need,  in  the  wake  of 
war,  to  create  stronger  international  in- 
stitutions that  could  dampen  the  flames 
of  conflict  and  lift  nations  and  people 
to  a  new  level  of  material  well-being. 

•  They  saw  the  need  to  afford  self- 
determination  to  millions. 

•  They  saw  the  need  for  the  world 
community  to  take  a  compelling  stand 
against  repression,  discrimination,  and 
the  denial  of  the  rights  of  man. 

The  men  and  women  who  gathered 
iin  San  Francisco  raised  their  sights 
labove  the  differences  and  divisions  of 
Ithe  moment.  They  dared  to  see  the 
world  as  it  could  be — a  world  where 
those  who  were  hungry  are  fed, 
where  those  who  were  poor  have  es- 
caped the  degradation  of  poverty, 
where  diplomacy  among  nations  is  a 
pervasive  substitute  for  violence  among 
nations,  and  where  the  resources  of  the 
world  are  used  effectively  and  shared 
equitably. 

In  the  years  since,  the  record  of  the 
United  Nations  in  working  toward  this 
vision  has  been  one  of  accomplish- 
ment. It  has  played  an  indispensable 
part  in  the  process  of  peaceful  decol- 
onization, in  defusing  tensions  among 
nations  through  its  peacekeeping  mis- 
sions, and  in  promoting  genuine  eco- 
nomic and  social  progress. 

Today,  the  members  of  this  body 
still  share  that  common  vision.  And  we 
understand,  far  better  than  ever  before, 
our  common  destiny — that  no  nation, 
acting  alone,  can  assure  its  people 
peace  and  economic  security;  that  the 
future  of  each  of  our  nations  depends 
upon  the  future  of  all  of  our  nations. 

Our  challenge  today  is  to  summon 
the  political  will  to  act  in  concert  to- 
ward the  goals  we  share — to  go  beyond 
the  rhetoric  of  interdependence  and  to 
j  begin  to  recognize  its  inescapable  im- 
j  plications  for  the  national  interests  of 
I  each  of  us. 

We  must  build  a  new  consensus  on 

this  proposition:   that  in  this  new  era, 

I  each  nation  must  weigh  more  carefully 

than  ever  before  its  long  term  interest 


in  a  healthy  global  community  when 
making  decisions  about  its  immediate 
concerns.  For  only  through  cooperation 
and  compromise  in  the  short  run  can 
we  assure  our  longer  term  future. 

On  crucial  issues,  the  coming 
months  will  present  turning  points  of 
incalculable  importance.  In  negotia- 
tions on  the  Middle  East,  on  southern 
Africa,  on  trade,  on  arms  control,  and 
on  many  other  pressing  problems, 
genuine  progress  has  been  made.  With- 
out continued  progress,  the  gains  we 
have  already  made  can  be  lost 

This  point  applies  not  to  any  single 
nation  nor  group  of  nations,  but  to 
every  nation,  including  my  own. 

The  resolution  of  dangerous  regional 
disputes  and  progress  in  limiting 
weaponry  must  always  be  at  the  top  of 
the  immediate  international  agenda.  I 
will  return  to  these  issues  later.  But  we 
cannot  so  concentrate  our  energies  on 
the  political  diplomacy  of  international 
peace,  essential  as  it  is,  that  we  dis- 
cover too  late  that  international  in- 
equities, and  poverty  and  injustice 
within  nations,  make  peace  among  na- 
tions impossible. 

So  let  me  concentrate  my  comments 
today  on  those  issues  that  so  central  I  \ 
touch  people's  lives  around  the 
globe — economic  security,  equitable 
development  of  the  Earth's  resources, 
and  individual  freedom. 

International  Economic  System 

Shared  economic  progress  requires  a 
global  consensus  on  the  benefits  of 
cooperation  among  nations.  Coopera- 
tion and  compromise  are  often  dif- 
ficult. 

•  The  economic  problems  we  share 
require  long  term  efforts,  but  we  are  all 
constrained  by  domestic  concerns  which 
call  for  immediate  attention. 

•  The  problems  we  share  are  so 
widespread  in  their  impact  that  solu- 
tions cannot  be  found  by  a  single  na- 
tion or  group  of  nations. 

•  These  problems  require  more  than 
general  agreements.  Application  of 
substantial  technical  and  financial  re- 
sources are  necessary.  Debate  over 
sterile  texts  will  neither  feed  the  hun- 
gry nor  create  new  jobs  for  the  un- 
employed. Only  common  action  can  be 
effective.  And  each  must  contribute  if 
all  are  to  benefit. 

Only    3    or  4   years   ago   there    was 


extraordinary  tension  between  North 
and  South.  Each  side  was  deeply  suspi- 
cious of  the  other's  motives.  Each  held 
sharply  different  perceptions  of  global 
needs  and  priorities. 

But  these  differences  have  been 
narrowed.  From  the  seventh  special 
session,  through  the  U.N.  Conference 
on  Trade  and  Development  (UNCTAD) 
IV,  the  Conference  on  International 
Economic  Cooperation,  and  the  meet- 
ings of  this  Assembly — and  through 
other  serious  efforts  in  the  Organiza- 
tion for  Economic  Cooperation  and 
Development  (OECD)  and  the  eco- 
nomic summits — agreement  has  been 
achieved  on  several  basic  issues  relat- 
ing to  a  new  international  economic 
order. 

•  We  are  agreed  on  the  need  to  work 
toward  the  elimination  of  poverty  in  all 
countries.  Concessional  aid  flows  have 
increased.  More  attention  is  being  de- 
voted to  food  production.  Satisfying 
basic  economic  needs  is  becoming  a 
greater  priority  of  the  international 
community. 

•  We  are  agreed  on  the  urgent  need 
to  accelerate  equitable,  noninflationary 
growth.  The  Geneva  trade  negotiations 
are  in  their  final  stages.  We  are  dis- 
cussing guidelines  for  international 
investment.  Private  capital  flows  are 
increasing.  The  facilities  of  the  Inter- 
national Monetary  Fund  (IMF)  have 
been  expanded,  and  discussions  are 
underway  to  expand  the  facilities  of  the 
multilateral  development  banks. 

•  We  are  agreed  on  the  need  to  re- 
duce economic  instability  and  uncer- 
tainty. The  IMF  is  playing  a  major  role 
in  providing  balance-of-payments 
financing  to  those  most  severely  af- 
fected by  recent  disruptions  in  the 
world  economy.  We  are  engaged  in 
serious  discussions  on  a  variety  of 
commodity  arrangements,  including  a 
system  of  internationally  coordinated 
national  grain  reserves. 

•  We  are  agreed  on  the  need  to 
facilitate  smooth  adjustment  for  work- 
ers and  businesses  that  have  borne  the 
brunt  of  changing  economic  circum- 
stances. The  Bonn  summit  made  clear 
that  we  must  intensify  our  efforts  in 
this  area. 

Because  we  have  come  far,  the  road 
ahead  will  be  even  more  challenging. 
for  the  most  difficult  issues  remain.  To 
maintain  our  progress,  we  should  be 
guided  by  three  fundamental  principles 


46 

in  the  North-South  discussions  over  the 
coming  months. 

First,  every  nation  must  resist  the 
temptation  to  solve  its  own  economic 
problems  at  the  expense  of  others.  We 
must  fashion  our  domestic  policies  on 
the  basis  of  global  as  well  as  national 
needs. 

Second,  all  nations  which  bear  their 
fair  share  of  responsibility  should  bene- 
fit from  a  healthy  world  economy. 

Third,  all  nations  must  enter  inter- 
national economic  negotiations  with  a 
spirit  of  accommodation. 

These  principles  will  not  by  them- 
selves solve  the  problems  we  face.  But 
without  their  general  acceptance,  there 
can  be  no  genuine  progress.  Adherence 
to  them  will  prevent  critical  negotia- 
tions from  turning  into  polarizing  and 
self-defeating  tests  of  will. 

Let  me  discuss  several  major  issues 
where  the  application  of  these  princi- 
ples can  make  the  difference  between 
success  and  failure. 

Committee  of  the  Whole 

One  of  our  most  recent  collective 
efforts  to  address  the  economic  chal- 
lenges we  share  was  the  establishment 
of  the  Committee  of  the  Whole.  This 
Committee  has  the  potential  to  look  at 
economic  issues  comprehensively  and 
to  identify  longer  term  priorities.  The 
United  States  strongly  supports  this 
forum. 

The  meeting  in  May  made  progress 
in  identifying  some  important  areas  of 
agreement  between  industrial  and  de- 
veloping countries.  Substantive  discus- 
sions in  the  Committee  had  an  impor- 
tant impact  on  the  June  ministerial 
meeting  of  the  OECD  and  in  the  Bonn 
summit.  We,  of  course,  shared  the  dis- 
appointment of  other  delegates  that  a 
procedural  impasse  earlier  this  month 
interrupted  the  Committee's  work. 

Since  the  September  meeting,  we 
have  carefully  examined  the  statements 
made  by  others  on  this  issue  We  have 
noted  in  particular  statements  by  the 
chairman  to  the  Committee  on  Sep- 
tember 8  and  to  the  press  on  September 
1  1  and  have  taken  account  of  sub- 
sequent consultations.  It  is  now  gener- 
ally agreed  that  the  Committee  would 
not  seek  to  provide  specific  solutions  to 
problems  outstanding  in  other  bodies 
Rather,  it  would  achieve  agreed  con- 
clusions on  fundamental  or  crucial  un- 
derlying issues  and  only  to  the  extent 
that  all  members  agreed  to  decide  on 
them. 

We  are  satisfied  that  on  the  basis  of 
these  statements,  sufficient  procedural 
agreement  now  exists  to  resume   sub- 


stantive work  in  the  manner  suggested 
by  the  chairman  at  the  end  of  the  in- 
formal consultations  on  September  6. 

Trade 

The  spirit  which  must  guide  our 
work  in  the  Committee  of  the  Whole 
applies  as  well  to  our  policies  on  trade. 
The  developing  world  is  no  longer  on 
the  periphery  of  world  trade.  Increas- 
ingly, growth  in  the  developing  coun- 
tries is  important  to  the  health  of  in- 
dustrial countries. 

Commitment  to  open  trade,  how- 
ever, is  extremely  fragile.  It  is  tempting 
for  one  nation  to  use  trade  restrictions  to 
export  its  economic  difficulties.  It  is 
often  easy  to  avoid  adjustments  which 
are  beneficial  in  the  long  term  but  which 
in  the  short  run  present  difficult  problems 
for  workers  and  industry. 

We  must  be  concerned  about  rising 
protectionist  pressures,  but  we  should 
also  recognize  that  world  trade  has  ex- 
panded remarkably  well  in  recent 
years.  Despite  a  deep  recession  in  the 
early  1970's,  we  not  only  avoided  the 
trading  wars  of  the  1930's,  we  con- 
tinued negotiations  to  liberalize  and 
improve  the  world  trading  system.  Our 
ability  to  conclude  these  trade  negotia- 
tions successfully  this  year  is  a  critical 
test  of  our  commitment  to  an  open 
trading  system.  And  agreement  will 
stimulate  production.  It  will  provide 
jobs.  And  it  will  help  reduce  inflation. 

Beyond  our  efforts  to  expand  trade, 
the  United  States  will  fulfill  our  com- 


U.S.  DELEGATION, 
33D  U.N.  GENERAL 
ASSEMBLY* 

Representatives 

Andrew  Young 

James  F.  Leonard 

Abraham  A.  Ribicoff,  U.S.  Senator  from 

the  Stale  of  Connecticut 
James  B    Pearson.  U.S.  Senator  from  the 

State  of  Kansas 
Set  Charles  Momjian 

Alternate  Representatives 

Donald  F.  McHenry 
Melissa  F.  Wells 
Angelique  O.  Stahl 
John  W.  Hechinger 
Richard  W.  Petree 


"Text  from  USUN  press  release  S<  ol 
Sept.  26.  1978.  which  includes  bio- 
graphic data  on  each  delegate. 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 

mitment  to  assist  developing  nations 
through  differential  measures  includ- 
ing, where  appropriate,  special  and 
more  favorable  treatment.  We  in  turn 
expect  those  developing  countries 
which  can  do  so  to  contribute  to  trade 
liberalization  by  improving  access  to 
their  markets.  Improved  access  will  not 
only  benefit  the  industrial  countries,  it 
will  be  even  more  important  to  many 
developing  countries. 

Finally,  we  believe  that  in  trade,  as 
elsewhere,  the  developing  countries 
should  have  a  voice  in  determining  the 
policies  which  affect  them.  We  have 
encouraged  their  full  involvement  in 
the  Geneva  negotiations  We  urge  de- 
veloping countries,  especially  those 
which  play  a  large  role  in  international 
trade,  to  participate  actively  in  the 
General  Agreement  on  Tariffs  and 
Trade  and  in  the  agreements  that  result 
from  the  Geneva  negotiations  so  that 
their  interests  are  fully  represented. 


Commodities 

An  essential  element  of  trade  for 
most  developing  nations  is  their  export 
of  basic  commodities.  At  UNCTAD  IV 
we  agreed  to  intensify  our  collective 
effort  to  address  commodity  problems. 
Progress  has  not  always  been  as  fast  as 
we  all  would  like,  but  this  has  gener- 
ally reflected  the  technical  complexity 
of  commodity  issues  rather  than  lack  of 
political  will  or  good  faith.  We  will 
continue  to  work  for  stabilization 
agreements  and  other  measures  that 
strengthen  commodity  markets. 

Let  me  affirm  also  that  we  believe  a 
soundly  designed  common  fund  could 
play  a  useful  role  in  alleviating  com- 
modity problems.  A  well-structured 
fund  will  provide  economic  benefits  to 
participating  countries.  We  also  recog- 
nize that  establishment  of  a  fund  is  of 
major  political  importance  to  the  gen- 
eral North-South  dialogue. 

We  will  cooperate  with  others  to 
bring  the  common  fund  negotiations  to 
a  successful  conclusion.  Recent  con- 
sultations have  identified  a  con- 
vergence of  views  on  some  issues.  All 
agree  that  a  fund  could  play  a  useful 
role  in  reducing  the  overall  financial 
costs  of  supporting  buffer  stocks  which 
effectively  stabilize  prices. 

In  addition,  there  is  a  growing  reel 
ognition  of  the  importance  of  en- 
couraging improved  productivity  and 
more  effective  marketing  of  many 
commodities.  A  separate  "second  win- 
dow "  of  the  common  fund,  based  on 
voluntary  contributions  and  operating 
under  agreed  guidelines,  might  be  an 
appropriate  mechanism.  We  are  pre- 
pared   to    negotiate    flexibly    on    this 


Movember  1978 


ssuc.  as  (in  others,  if  there  is  a  si 

ipproach  on  all  sides. 
While    progress   has   been    made   on 
'    iome  issues,  important  differences  still 

emain.   Movement  on  all  sides  of  the 

onferenee  table  will  be  necessary.  But 
1  .ve  are  convinced  that  with  mutual  ac- 

rommodation    a    workable    agreement 

:an  be  achieved. 
an; 

Resource  Transfers 

As  with  trade,  increased  resource 
lows  to  the  developing  world  must  be 
Dart  of  an  international  system  of 
hared  responsibility. 

We  ought  not  think  of  resource 
transfers  as  a  sacrifice  for  donors  or  a 
4  unilateral  benefit  for  recipients.  They 
are  an  economic  investment  in  the  fu- 
ture of  all  countries.  They  will  contrib- 
ute to  global  economic  growth,  greater 
trade,  and  enhanced  prosperity  for  us 
all. 

My  country  is  committed  to  increas- 
ing our  contributions  both  to  multilat- 
ral  and  bilateral  development  efforts. 
We  have  done  so  in  the  past  year:  Our 
nultilateral  commitments  increased 
31%  and  our  bilateral  program  ex- 
oanded  by  20%.  And  because  we  are 
determined  that  U.S.  aid  funds  will  be 
used  effectively,  we  will  concentrate 
jur  efforts  in  countries  where  programs 
jare  aimed  most  directly  at  meeting  the 
essential  needs  of  their  people. 

The  United  States  believes  strongly 
that  a  key  objective  of  foreign  assist- 
ance should  be  to  help  meet  basic 
human  needs.  We  recognize  that  na- 
tions will  have  different  development 
priorities  in  approaching  this  goal. 
Whether  emphasis  is  on  enhancing  the 
productivity  of  the  poor,  increasing 
food  production,  improving  health,  or 
expanding  industry  which  creates  jobs, 
the  critical  ingredient  in  every  nation  is 
to  have  all  its  citizens  —  men  and 
women — as  active  participants  and 
beneficiaries  in  their  nation's  growth. 

Finally,  we  recognize  the  debt  prob- 
lems that  many  of  the  least  developed 
countries  face.  We  will  soon  have  au- 
thority from  our  Congress  for  retroac- 
tive adjustment  of  certain  aid  terms 
which  would  permit  us  to  help  those 
most  in  need. 


Managing  Global  Resources 

As  we  work  together  to  promote 
leconomic  development,  we  must  also 
lassure  an  equitable  sharing  of  the 
[world's  resources.  Four  issues  demand 
our  urgent  attention. 

Food.  Our  first  urgent  priority  is 
i  assuring  adequate  food  and  stable  ag- 
ricultural  prices   for   all   people.    Four 


years  have  passed  since  the  World 
Food  Conference,  where  we  agreed  on 
measures  we  must  take  for  the  future. 
But  despite  our  efforts,  the  fundamen- 
tal problems  remain. 

•  Food  production  is  hardly  keeping 
pace  with  the  growth  in  population. 

•  Food  deficits  in  many  countries  are 
increasing. 

•  Negotiations  on  grain  reserves 
have  dragged  on  without  success. 

We  believe  progress  must  be  made. 

The  United  States  has  created  a  9- 
million-ton  farmer-held  grain  reserve. 
We  have  proposed  to  our  Congress  the 
establishment  of  an  international  emer- 
gency wheat  reserve  of  6  million  tons 
to  provide  food  for  emergency  needs  in 
developing  countries.  We  intend  to 
maintain  our  food  aid  level  at  a  fair 
share  of  the  target  set  at  the  World 
Food  Conference.  We  will  continue  to 
support  the  activities  of  international 
organizations  devoted  to  food  produc- 
tion, such  as  the  International  Fund  for 
Agricultural  Development.  And  we  in- 
tend to  make  food  aid  a  more  effective 
tool  in  support  of  development. 

I  propose  that  this  Assembly  review 
the  world  food  situation — to  identify 
the  current  obstacles  to  progress  and  to 
restore  a  sense  of  urgency  to  meeting 
mankind's  most  basic  need.  We  must 
not  be  lulled  by  good  weather  and 
plentiful  harvests.  Another  tragedy  is 
inevitable  unless  we  act  now. 

Energy.  We  must  act  now  to  de- 
velop new  energy  resources  so  that  we 
avoid  a  harsh  transition  to  the  time 
when  fossil  fuels  will  no  longer  be 
plentiful.  This  task  has  several  dimen- 
sions. 

•  There  must  be  an  expansion  of  oil 
and  gas  production.  And  we  need  to 
improve  our  conservation  of  these 
energy  sources,  especially  in  the 
United  States.  The  World  Bank  has 
expanded  its  lending  to  help  developing 
countries  increase  their  fossil  fuel 
supplies.  We  welcome  this,  and  we 
also  encourage  the  regional  develop- 
ment banks  to  assist. 

•  The  development  of  nuclear 
energy  will  also  be  central  to  the  future 
of  many  countries.  We  hope  the  Inter- 
national Nuclear  Fuel  Cycle  Evaluation 
will  provide  a  consensus  on  nuclear 
technologies  free  from  the  serious  risk 
of  nuclear  weapons  proliferation.  My 
government  supports  the  development 
of  safeguardable  nuclear  power,  in- 
cluding assured  nuclear  fuel  supplies. 
The  developing  nations  should,  of 
course,  participate  in  the  design  and 
management  of  the  institutions  which 


47 

form  the  basis  of  an  international  nu- 
clear energy  regime. 

•  Priority  attention  must  be  given  to 
the  development  of  renewable  energy 
sources.  Many  technologies  already 
exist  for  harnessing  solar,  wind,  and 
geothermal  power.  All  of  us  can  bene- 
fit from  these  technologies,  but  a  spe- 
cial effort  should  be  made  to  meet  the 
needs  of  the  poorer  countries. 

Two  opportunities  now  exist  for  the 
United  Nations  to  continue  to  play  an 
important  role. 

•  The  United  States  supports  the 
proposed  U.N.  conference  on  new  and 
renewable  energy.  It  could  result  in  a 
more  coordinated  U.N.  energy  effort 
and  clearer  priorities.  It  could  also  pro- 
vide up-to-date  information  on  renewa- 
ble energy  technology  and  examine  the 
role  of  the  private  sector  in  energy 
development. 

•  The  U.N.  Development  Program 
might  also  expand  its  efforts  to  help 
nations  assess  their  own  renewable 
energy  possibilities,  finance  the  testing 
of  new  technologies,  and  provide 
training  and  technical  assistance  for 
effective  energy  management. 

The  United  States  is  willing  to  con- 
tribute to  a  major  global  effort  to  de- 
velop new  energy  sources.  We  will  in- 
tensify our  assistance  programs  in  this 
area.  We  will  increase  domestic  re- 
search which  can  benefit  all  nations. 
And  we  will  expand  cooperative  energy 
programs  from  which  we  too  stand  to 
benefit. 

Law  of  the  Sea.  We  must  strive  to 
conclude  successfully  the  Law  of  the 
Sea  negotiations.  At  stake  is  whether 
this  vast  expanse  of  the  globe  will  be 
an  arena  of  conflict  or  cooperation. 

Considerable  progress  has  been  made 
on  a  number  of  issues  in  these  negotia- 
tions. These  achievements  have  been 
obscured,  however,  by  continued 
stalemate  over  seabed  mining.  The 
basis  for  an  equitable  solution  already 
exists  and  is  widely  accepted.  It  per- 
mits all  sides  to  benefit  fully  from  sea- 
bed mining,  with  private  firms  as  well 
as  an  international  enterprise  allowed 
to  mine  on  a  competitive  basis.  A 
mutually  acceptable  solution  is  im- 
perative, and  it  is  possible. 

Time  is  running  out  for  reaching  an 
agreed  solution.  Without  it,  seabed 
mining  will  inevitably  take  place  but  in 
the  absence  of  an  internationally  agreed 
framework.  This  would  be  less  satis- 
factory than  a  widely  supported  inter- 
national regime. 

Science  and  Technology.  Finally  is 
the   critical    question    of  how    best    to 


48 

harness  technology  and  science  tor  the 
benefit  of  mankind. 

We  hope  that  the  U.N.  Conference 
on  Science  and  Technology  for  De- 
velopment will  focus  attention  on  how 
all  countries  can  contribute  their 
knowledge  to  global  development.  It 
will  be  particularly  important  to  find 
ways  for  developing  nations  10  enhance 
their  capacity  to  generate,  select,  and 
apply  technology  for  their  own  de- 
velopment priorities.  We  will  contrib- 
ute to  the  work  of  the  conference,  and 
we  hope  to  benefit  from  it. 

Furthermore  to  help  mobilize  the 
technical  talents  and  knowledge  of  our 
nation  on  behalf  of  the  development  of 
others,  we  intend  to  establish  during 
the  coming  year  a  new  foundation  for 
international  technological  coopera- 
tion. 


Enhancement  of  Human  Dignity 

The  ultimate  purpose  of  all  our 
policies  is  the  enhancement  of  human 
dignity.  The  rights  to  food,  to  shelter, 
to  a  decent  education,  to  adequate 
health — the  rights  which  lie  at  the  heart 
of  our  approach  to  economic  issues — 
are  hollow  without  political  and  civil 
freedoms — freedom  from  torture  and 
government  mistreatment:  freedom  to 
worship,  to  travel,  and  to  speak  with- 
out fear;  freedom  to  participate  in  the 
affairs  of  one's  government.  There  is 
no  incompatibility  among  economic, 
political,  and  civil  rights,  no  choice 
that  must  be  made  among  them.  They 
reenforce  one  another 

We  commemorate  in  this  Assembly 
the  30th  anniversary  of  the  Universal 
Declaration  on  Human  Rights.  Dag 
Hammarskjold  described  the  Declara- 
tion as  a  "living  document."  We  have 
a  continuing  obligation  to  keep  that 
document  alive  in  our  own  nations. 
And  as  members  of  the  United  Nations, 
we  must  strengthen  the  international 
machinery  that  serves  to  promote  the 
full  range  of  human  rights — political 
and  economic 

We  have  made  significant  progress 
in  the  past  year.  Concern  tor  human 
rights  is  more  central  to  international 
discourse  today  than  ever  bet  ore.  But 
more  needs  to  be  done. 

•  This  Assembly  should  review  the 
activities  of  the  various  U.N.  human 
rights  institutions. 

•  We  must  resolve  in  this  Assembly 
to  make  torture  alien  to  the  experience 
of  every  nation  and  to  conclude  an 
international  agreement  to  outlaw  it. 

•  We  need  to  insure  that  we  are 
doing  all  we  can  to  end  conditions 
which  are  tantamount  to  genocide. 

•  We  must  ask  what  more  each  of  us 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 


can  do  to  insure  the  vitality  of  the 
Universal  Declaration — to  provide  am- 
nesty to  prisoners  of  conscience,  to 
assure  due  process  for  all,  and  to  ad- 
vance social  justice  and  equity  for  our 
people 

In  addition,  the  plight  of  one  group 
of  individuals  —  refugees  —  demands 
our  special  compassion.  We  urge  all 
nations  to  increase  their  support  for  the 
vital  humanitarian  work  of  the  High 
Commissioner  for  Refugees. 

The  refugee  problem  is  not  confined 
to  any  single  region.  In  Africa  alone, 
some  2  million  individuals  are  now 
outside  their  native  lands.  We  must  do 
more  to  offer  them  sustenance,  secu- 
rity, and  a  realistic  hope  of  resettle- 
ment or  return  to  their  homelands. 

In  Southeast  Asia,  hundreds  of  new 
refugees  from  Indochina  appear  daily, 
some  risking  their  lives  to  cross  bor- 
ders, others  challenging  the  sea  in 
every  form  of  vessel.  We  urgently  need 
greater  efforts  to  provide  them 
sanctuary.  We  hope  that  the  High 
Commissioner  will  consider  convening 
an  international  conference  in  the  very 
near  future  to  seek  humane  solutions  to 
the  desperate  plight  of  these  refugees. 
We  propose  that  consideration  also  be 
given  at  a  later  date  to  a  general  con- 
ference on  the  worldwide  refugee 
problem. 

International  Peacekeeping 

Too  often  the  anguish  of  the  up- 
rooted is  grim  testimony  to  our  col  lee 
tive  failure  to  achieve  international 
peace.  War  and  strife  are  the  enemies 
of  the  fundamental  rights  1  have  dis- 
cussed. 

Today  my  government  and  many  of 
those  assembled  here  are  actively 
pursuing  the  path  of  peace  in  troubled 
areas  of  the  world. 

Middle  East.  The  accords  achieved 
at  Camp  David  offer  hope  that  at  long 
last  a  turning  point  has  been  reached  in 
the  Middle  East.  The  agreement 
achieved  between  Egypt  and  Israel. 
with  active  American  participation, 
constitutes  a  framework  for  a  com- 
prehensive peace  settlement.  Much  re- 
mains to  be  done  in  ensuing  stages  of 
negotiations,  but  a  major  step  has  been 
taken  in  resolving  the  difficult  issues 
that  lie  at  the  heart  of  30  years  of 
Arab-Israel  hostility. 

As  negotiations  are  pursued  on  the 
basis  of  the  Camp  David  framework,  a 
dynamic  process  will  be  set  in  motion 
that  can  profoundly  change  attitudes  on 
the  issues  that  remain  to  be  resolved. 
That  process  will  significantly  advance 
legitimate   Arab   objectives   while    pro 


tecting  IsraeCs  security.  It  is  our  hope 
that  the  members  of  this  body  will  lend 
their  full  support  to  the  task  of  building 
a  just  and  lasting  peace  upon  this 
framework. 

In  his  recent  address  before  Con- 
gress, President  Carter  reviewed  the 
main    elements    of    the    Camp    David 


World 
Conference  To 
Combat  Racism 


ist« 

Ifii 

IS  In 

I 
Oil 

;.■ 
i\ 
/;. 
if. 
IV( 

-.. 
.. 


T: 
li 


WHITE  HOUSE  STATEMENT, 
AUG.  181 

This  week  representatives  of  many 
nations  are  meeting  in  Geneva  in  a 
World  Conference  to  Combat  Racism 
and  Racial  Discrimination. 

The  conference  marks  the  midpoint 
of  the  U.N.  Decade  for  Action  to 
Combat  Racism  and  Racial  Discrimi- 
nation, a  decade  whose  initiation  the 
United  States  strongly  supported.  But 
the  United  States  is  unable  to  partici- 
pate in  this  potentially  important  con- 
ference, although  we  will  monitor  the 
proceedings,  because  the  definition  of 
"racism"  has  been  perverted  tor 
political  ends  by  including  Zionism  as 
one  of  its  forms.  The  United  States 
cannot  associate  itself  with  the  decade 
so  long  as  it  endorses  the  patently  false 
definition  of  Zionism  as  a  form  of  ra- 
cism. 

Instead  we  hope  that  this  conference 
will  return  to  the  original  purpose  of 
the  decade,  so  that  we  might  rejoin  this 
international  effort  to  eliminate  racism 
throughout  the  world.  We  will  work 
toward  this  end  because  we  know  the 
challenge  that  racism  poses  and  tor 
more  than  a  century  we  have  struggled 
to  heal  its  scars.  We  know  our  goals 
have  not  been  fully  accomplished,  yet 
we  are  encouraged  and  deeply  com- 
mitted to  them.  Domestically  and  in- 
ternationally, we  will  continue  to  pur- 
sue this  great  common  purpose  in  the 
context  of  other  uncompromised  ef- 
forts. 

We  call  on  all  nations  to  respect  the 
original  objectives  of  the  United  Na- 
tions Decade  Against  Racism  and  to 
resist  efforts  that  distort  its  purpose  and 
erode  its  moral  force. 


ti 


ill 


■Text   from    Weekl\    Compilation   of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Aug.  21,  1978. 


lovember  1978 


49 


^reements.  As  the  President  said,  our 
istoric  position  on  settlements  in  oc- 
jpied  territory  has  remained  constant, 
s  he  further  said,  no  peace  agreement 
ill  be  either  just  or  secure  if  it  does 
ot  resolve  the  problem  of  the  Palestin- 
ins  in  the  broadest  sense.  We  believe 
lat  the  Palestinian  people  must  be  as- 
ired  that  they  and  their  descendants 
in  live  with  dignity  and  freedom  and 
ave  the  opportunity  for  economic  ful- 
llment  and  for  political  expression. 
he  Camp  David  accords  state  that  the 
;gotiated  solution  must  recognize  the 

gitimate  rights  of  the  Palestinian 
eople. 

The  Camp  David  accords  make  a 
)lid  start  toward  achieving  these  goals 
ir  the  Palestinians  in  real  terms.  In  the 
/est  Bank  and  Gaza,  the  framework 
rovides  that  Israeli  occupation  shall 
id  and  a  self-governing  authority  shall 
;  instituted.  This  can  be  achieved 
ithin  a  few  months.  Thus,  for  the  first 
me,  the  Palestinians  have  the  prospect 
F  governing  themselves  within  the 
amework  that  has  been  agreed. 

The    Camp    David    framework    also 

ves  the  Palestinians  a  vital  role  in 
taping    their   destiny   by    recognizing 

em  as  participants  in  all  aspects  of 

e  negotiations  that  determine  their 
iture.  They  will  participate  in  the 
jegotiations  to  set  up  their  self- 
jverning  authority,  in  those  to  deter- 
:  ine  the  final  status  of  the  West  Bank 
I  id  Gaza,  and  in  those  leading  to  a 
>rdan-Israel  peace  treaty.  Finally,  the 
ireement  on  the  final  status  of  the 
'est  Bank  and  Gaza  will  be  submitted 
i  a  vote  of  representatives  of  the  in- 
abitants  for  either  ratification  or 
Ejection. 

These  steps  set  in  motion  a  political 
I'ocess  of  the  utmost  importance  to  all 
alestinians. 

The  Camp  David  accords  concentrate 
n  the  means  by  which  self-government 
an  be  established  for  the  Palestinians 
ving  in  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza,  but 
Here  was  also  clear  recognition  by  all 
iiree  leaders  at  Camp  David  that  the 
iroblem  of  the  Palestinians  living  out- 
lide  these  areas  must  also  be 
ddressed. 

We  recognize  that  this  problem  has 
lolitical  as  well  as  humanitarian  di- 
mensions which  must  be  resolved  as  an 
;itegral  part  of  a  durable  peace  settle- 
tent.  When  the  Camp  David  accords 
ell  for  "...  the  resolution  of  the 
alestinian  problem' in  all  its  aspects," 
ney  acknowledge  and  embrace  that 
central  fact.  As  the  political  institutions 
|f  self-government  take  shape  in  the 
|Vest  Bank  and  Gaza  through  negotia- 
pns  among  the  parties,  the  relation- 
ihip  between  those  institutions  and  the 
Palestinians    living    outside    the    area 


should  be  defined,  including  the  ques- 
tion of  admission  of  Palestinian  refu- 
gees to  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza. 

The  framework  provides  for  the  es- 
tablishment of  a  committee  to  decide 
on  the  modalities  of  admission  to  the 
West  Bank  and  Gaza  of  persons  dis- 
placed in  the  1967  war.  For  the  first 
time,  the  parties  to  the  conflict — Egypt 
and  Israel — have  agreed  to  work  with 
each  other  and  with  other  interested 
parties  to  establish  agreed  procedures 
for  a  prompt,  just,  and  permanent  res- 
olution of  the  refugee  problem. 

As  President  Carter  stated  in  his  ad- 
dress to  Congress,  the  United  States  is 
irrevocably  committed  to  bringing 
about  a  satisfactory  solution  to  the 
problem  of  the  Palestinian  refugees 
We  will  play  an  active  role  in  the  res- 
olution of  this  problem.  A  solution 
must  reflect  the  relevant  U.N.  resolu- 
tions relating  to  these  refugees. 

We  urge  the  international  community 
to  support  Egypt  and  Israel  in  estab- 
lishing procedures  urgently  to  address 
this  issue  in  all  its  aspects.  And  the 
international  community  should  con- 
tribute to  a  program  to  promote  eco- 
nomic development  in  the  West  Bank 
and  Gaza  as  well  as  to  assist  those 
refugees  residing  elsewhere. 

We  are  determined  to  achieve  a  fair 
and  just  settlement  of  the  Middle  East 
question  in  all  its  parts,  and  we  hope 
the  Palestinian  people  will  seize  this 
historic  opportunity.  It  is  our  hope  that 
the  people  of  the  Middle  East  will 
agree  that  it  is  imperative  to  begin  the 
negotiating  process  now — and  not  to 
stand  still  until  every  last  issue  is  re- 
solved. We  urge  the  other  interested 
parties  to  join  the  negotiations  without 
delay. 

As  the  Middle  East  peace  process 
moves  forward,  it  is  vital  to  maintain 
the  effectiveness  of  the  U.N's 
peacekeeping  role  there.  It  is  critical 
that  the  mandates  of  U.N.  peacekeep- 
ing forces  in  the  Golan  Heights  and 
Sinai  be  renewed  this  fall.  They  have 
thus  far  helped  all  sides  avoid  renewed 
hostilities;  they  must  now  remain  to 
help  achieve  a  stable  peace. 

Lebanon.  In  Lebanon,  the  fighting 
and  tragic  loss  of  life  continues.  The 
U.N.'s  interim  force  in  southern  Leba- 
non has  done  much  to  stabilize  the 
situation  in  that  part  of  the  country, 
and  we  call  on  all  to  support  this  effort 
to  help  reassert  Lebanese  authority. 

Elsewhere  in  Lebanon  confrontation 
and  tensions  continue  at  a  high  pitch. 
President  Carter  has  made  clear  in  his 
address  to  the  joint  session  of  Congress 
following  the  Camp  David  summit,  and 
again  yesterday  [at  a  news  conference], 


his  determination  to  spare  no  effort  to 
assist  in  finding  a  solution  to  the 
Lebanese  tragedy.  As  the  President 
said  yesterday,  it  is  time  for  us  to  take 
joint  action  to  call  for  a  conference  of 
those  who  are  involved  and  try  to  reach 
some  solution.  It  may  involve  a  new 
charter  for  Lebanon. 

Namibia.  In  Namibia,  the  world 
community  faces  a  fundamental  chal- 
lenge. I  will  be  commenting  on  this 
more  fully  this  afternoon  in  the  Secu- 
rity Council.  Let  me  simply  say  now 
that  the  United  States  is  determined  to 
see  Namibia  achieve  independence  in 
accordance  with  the  contact  group  pro- 
posal and  Security  Council  Resolution 
43 1.2  We  call  upon  South  Africa  to 
cooperate  fully  with  the  United  Nations 
so  that  this  critical  opportunity  for  a 
peaceful  settlement  will  not  be  lost. 

Rhodesia.  In  Rhodesia,  time  may  be 
running  out  for  the  possibilities  of 
diplomacy.  But  we  will  continue  to 
work  with  the  British  Government,  the 
governments  in  the  region,  and  the 
parties  to  seek  a  negotiated  solution. 
We  condemn  the  murder  of  innocent 
civilians  as  a  matter  of  both  conscience 
and  reason.  The  prospects  for  peace  in 
Rhodesia  will  diminish  if  violence 
increases. 


BACKGROUND  NOTE 

ON  THE  UNITED  NATIONS 

The  Office  of  Public  Communication, 
Department  of  State,  has  just  released  a 
pamphlet  on  the  United  Nations,  the 
latest  in  the  Background  Notes  series. 

This  Note  describes  the  Organiza- 
tion's history;  the  functions  of  the  Secu- 
rity Council,  the  General  Assembly,  the 
Economic  and  Social  Council,  the  Trus- 
teeship Council,  the  International  Court 
of  Justice,  the  Secretariat,  and  the 
U.N.'s  specialized  agencies  and  pro- 
grams; the  financial  arrangements  of  the 
U.N.  system;  peacekeeping,  disarma- 
ment, and  human  rights  efforts;  and  U.S. 
participation  and  policy.  Included  also 
are  a  profile,  a  list  of  members,  principal 
U.S.  officials,  and  a  reading  list. 

Individual  copies  of  this  Background 
Note  on  the  United  Nations  may  be  ob- 
tained for  70C  each  from  the  Superinten- 
dent of  Documents,  U.S.  Government 
Printing  Office,  Washington,  D.C. 
20402.  (Orders  of  100  or  more  copies  of 
the  same  Note  mailed  to  the  same  ad- 
dress are  sold  at  a  25%  discount.)  Re- 
mittances in  the  form  of  a  check  or 
money  order  payable  to  the  Superinten- 
dent of  Documents  must  accompany  or- 
ders. 


50 


Cyprus.  On  Cyprus,  an  opportunity 
now  exists  to  help  the  two  communities 
narrow  their  differences  and  achieve  a 
just  and  lasting  solution  to  this  long- 
standing problem.  The  United  Nations 
has  done  a  commendable  job  of  nur- 
turing an  atmosphere  which  should  now 
make  possible  productive  inter/com- 
munal negotiations. 

To  grasp  this  opportunity,  we  would 
welcome  and  actively  support  a  re- 
newed effort  by  Secretary  General 
Waldheim  to  help  the  parties  reach 
agreement  on  a  sovereign,  bicom- 
munal.  nonaligned  federal  republic  of 
Cyprus  which  would  meet  the  concerns 
of  the  people  of  Cyprus. 

Nicaragua.  In  this  atmosphere,  we 
must  respond  to  the  agony  of  those 
caught  up  in  the  violence  and 
bloodshed  of  Nicaragua.  We  and  sev- 
eral countries  in  Latin  America  have 
offered  to  assist  in  the  mediation  of 
Nicaragua's  internal  crisis.  It  is  our 
hope  and  expectation  that  all  parties 
concerned  will  accept  these  offers  and 
agree  to  a  fair  mediation  process  in 
which  all  can  have  confidence.  Only  a 
democratic  solution  in  Nicaragua — not 
repression  or  violence — can  lead  to  an 
enduring  stability  and  true  peace. 

Terrorism.  As  we  work  together  to 
find  peaceful  resolutions  to  the  most 
dangerous  regional  disputes,  we  must 
also  seek  at  this  assembly  to  strengthen 
the  U.N.'s  peacekeeping  capability. 
And  while  this  Organization  works  to 
limit  violence  among  nations,  we  must 
not  lose  sight  of  the  havoc  wreaked  by 
those  who  perpetrate  terrorist  acts  on 
innocent  persons.  No  single  nation, 
acting  alone,  can  deal  adequately  with 
this  serious  problem.  Collective  action 
is  essential. 

We  are  beginning  to  make  some 
progress.  Last  year  the  General  As- 
sembly adopted  a  significant  resolution 
on  aircraft  hijacking.  The  Bonn  Dec 
laration  of  this  July  produced  a  much- 
needed  agreement  on  the  harboring  of 
hijackers.  We  strongly  urge  all  nations 
to  subscribe  to  this  Declaration. 

Arms  Control.  The  pursuit  of  peace 
and  security  must  go  beyond  resolving 
conflicts  and  preventing  violence.  The 
security  of  all  is  enhanced  if  nations 
limit  the  weapons  of  war  through 
mutually  negotiated  arms  control 
agreements. 

We  are  engaged  with  the  Soviet 
Union  and  other  nations  in  a  broad 
range  of  arms  control  negotiations. 

•  The  conclusion  of  a  strategic  arms 
limitation  agreement  with  the  Soviet 
Union  is  a  fundamental  goal  of  the 
United  States.    We  hope  that  we  may 


Department  of  State  Bullet 


I  nited  Nations  Day,  1978 


PRESIDENT'S  STATEMENT, 
SEPT.  191 

On  this  day  marking  the  opening  of 
the  33d  U.N.  General  Assembly,  I 
have  signed  this  proclamation  desig- 
nating October  24  as  United  Nations 
Day,  1978.  The  proclamation  is  a  call 
for  increased  attention  and  support  by 
the  American  people  for  the  United 
Nations  and  its  affiliated  agencies. 

The  United  Nations  is  now  more  in- 
volved than  ever  before  with  many  of 
the  central  issues  of  our  time,  and  we 
cannot  fully  advance  our  national  inter- 
ests or  help  build  a  more  peaceful 
world  if  we  ignore  the  potential  of  the 
United  Nations. 

As  a  peacekeeper,  the  United  Na- 
tions at  this  moment  has  four  major 
operations  in  the  Middle  East  and  in 
Cyprus.  In  addition,  the  Security 
Council  is  expected  to  adopt  soon  a 
mandate  for  a  U.N.  civilian  and  mili- 
tary presence  which  will  implement  the 


agreed  settlement  in  Namibia.  And  th 
British-American  proposal  for  settle 
ment  of  the  Rhodesian  crisis  also  im 
eludes  a  U.N.  peacekeeping  role. 

In  the  vital  field  of  development,  th 
U.N.  system  has  become  the  world' 
largest  purveyor  of  technical  assist 
ance,  helping  to  press  developmen 
programs  in  various  fields,  to  uncove 
mineral  deposits,  and  to  identify  in 
vestment  opportunities.  Few  U.N.  ac 
tivities  are  more  critical  to  the  Unite 
States  than  promotion  of  the  rapid  an' 
orderly  development  of  the  poorer  na 
tions  of  the  world — countries  whicl 
already  constitute  our  fastest  growin, 
export  market  and  the  source  of  man 
of  our  mineral  requirements.  And  con 
duct  of  the  critical  North-South  eco 
nomic  dialogue  is  occurring  largel 
under  the  auspices  of  the  Unitei 
Nations. 

In  the  promotion  of  human  rights 
which  has  been  one  of  the  major  con' 
cerns  of  my  Administration,  we  hav 


conclude  a  SALT  II  agreement  before 
the  end  of  this  year. 

•  The  United  States  hopes  that  early 
progress  can  be  made  in  concluding  a 
comprehensive  agreement  to  end  the 
testing  of  nuclear  weapons. 

•  Increased  efforts  are  critically 
needed  to  prevent  the  spread  of  nuclear 
weapons.  It  is  important  to  prepare 
fully  for  the  1980  Nonproliferation 
Treaty  review  conference;  to  continue 
to  make  progress  in  the  International 
Nuclear  Fuel  Cycle  Evaluation;  and  to 
recognize  one  of  the  important 
achievements  of  the  Special  Session  on 
Disarmament  (SSOD) — the  decision 
by  several  nuclear  powers  to  pledge, 
under  specific  circumstances,  to  refrain 
from  use  of  nuclear  weapons  against 
non-nuclear  states.  We  suggest  that  the 
Security  Council  take  note  of  these 
pledges 

•  The  United  States  will  also  work 
to  realize  the  call  in  the  SSOD  Decla- 
ration of  Principles  and  Program  of 
Action  tor  restraint  in  the  transfer  of 
conventional  arms.  We  are  actively 
discussing  with  the  Soviet  Union  how 
our  two  nations  might  encourage  re- 
straint consistent  with  the  legitimate 
right  to  self-defense  and  international 
obligations.  We  are  encouraged  by  the 
new  initiatives  already  being  undertak- 
en to  promote  restraint  on  a  regional 
basis  in  Latin  America,  and  we  stand 


ready    to    support    similar    efforts    b 
countries  in  other  regions. 

Conclusion 

Let  me  emphasize  that  on  all  thi 
issues  I  have  addressed  today,  what  wi 
share  is  greater  than  how  we  differ.  Wi 
share  the  same  small  planet.  We  shan 
human  aspirations — for  better  lives,  fo« 
greater  opportunity,  for  freedom  ant 
security.  And  because  we  share  ; 
common  destiny,  we  are  compelled  U 
resolve  our  differences. 

If  we  focus  on  these  common  inter- 
ests, we  can  begin  to  find  the  common 
ground  for  global  progress.  We  can.  a^ 
Jean  Monnet  said,  "'put  our  problems 
on  one  side  of  the  table  and  all  of  us  or 
the  other.  " 

The  measure  of  our  progress  will  not 
be  whether  we  achieve  all  of  our  goals 
in  this  generation,  for  that  will  surely 
prove  to  be  impossible;  it  is  whether 
we  can  now  summon  the  will  to  move 
forward  together  so  that  our  children 
may  benefit  from  our  efforts  and  our 
\  ision. 


1  Press  release  376. 

-For   text   of  the   proposal   for  a   Namihian 
settlement  and  related  material,  see  ButLETlNJ 
ot   lime   ll'7K.  p.  50;  for  text  of  Security  Coun- 
cil   Resolution    431.    see    Bulletin    of   Sept. 
I«J7K.  p.  46. 


November  1978 


Seen    heartened    by    recent    advances 
"lithin   the   U.N.   system,   even  as   we 
flecognize    that    much    more    progress 
jeeds  to  be  made.  International  organi- 
ations  can  play  an  especially  vital  role  in 
lis  field.  This  December  we  will  mark 
le  30th  anniversary  of  the  Universal 
>eclaration  of  Human  Rights,  a  prod- 
ct  of  the  United  Nations,  which  pro- 
ides  a  special  reason  to  hope  and  work 
or  greater   progress   in    human    rights 
round  the  world. 

Nor  should  the  more  direct  bene- 
ts  of  our  participation  in  the  United 
lations  be  overlooked.  Americans  are 
lore  protected  from  health  hazards,  air 
ccidents,  sea  catastrophes,  and  en- 
ironmental  dangers  than  ever  before 
ecause  of  U.N.  activities.  U.N.  pro- 
rams  like  the  World  Health  Organiza- 
on's  smallpox  eradication  campaign 
r  the  World  Meteorological  Organiza- 
on's  World  Weather  Watch  cost  rela- 
vely  little,  yet  they  save  the  American 
eople  several  hundred  million  dollars 
very  year — year  after  year.  We  could 
ot  possibly  carry  out  these  programs 
y  ourselves  except  at  enormous  cost, 
t  is  appropriate  that  we  acknowledge 
nee  a  year  the  unusual  contributions  to 
air  health  and  welfare  that  are  pro- 
ided  by  these  critical  programs. 

For  all  of  these  reasons,  the  United 
Jations  is  of  clear  and  growing  value 
o  the  United  States,  and  the  proclama- 
ion  issued  today  is  a  reflection  of  that 
oncern. 

In  March  of  this  year,  I  submitted  to 
tie  Congress  a  special  report  on  my 
iews    for   possible    reforms    of   the 


WESTERN  HEMISPHERE: 

The  Role  of  Human  Rights  Policy 
in  Arms  Transfers 


by  Patricia  M.  Derian 

Based  on  a  statement  before  the 
Subcommittee  on  Inter-American  Af- 
fairs of  the  House  Committee  on  Inter- 
national Relations  on  August  9.  1978. 
Ms.  Derian  is  Assistant  Secretary  of 
Stale  for  Human  Rights  and  Human- 
itarian Affairs. ' 

I  welcome  the  opportunity  to  discuss 
with  you  the  role  of  our  human  rights 
policy  in  arms  transfers  for  Latin 
America.    Before  addressing   this   spe- 


cific   subject.    I    would    like    to    make 
seven  general  points. 

First,  our  human  rights  policy  is  a 
global  policy.  It  is  not  directed  at  any 
one  country  or  any  one  region.  Last  fall 
I  traveled  in  East  Asia  to  Singapore, 
the  Philippines,  Indonesia,  and  Thai- 
land to  discuss  our  human  rights  con- 
cerns with  the  governments  of  that  re- 
gion. When  Under  Secretary  of  State 
for  Political  Affairs  David  Newsom 
visited  the  Middle  East  and  South  Asia 
this  past  July,  he  also  carried  the 
message.   In   our  relations  with   the 


United    Nations    system.2    Among    the 
things  that  I  would  like  to  see  are: 

•  More  effective  procedures  for  the 
settlement  of  disputes  between 
nations — before  they  erupt  into 
bloodshed; 

•  Increased  preparedness  for  dis- 
patch of  U.N.  troops  in  peacekeeping 
efforts  whenever  and  wherever  needed; 

•  Quicker  and  more  effective  reac- 
tions to  reported  human  rights  abuses; 

•  A  study  of  ways  we  might  develop 


UNITED  NATIONS  DAY,  1978 

A  Proclamation* 

The  founding  of  the  United  Nations,  on 
October  24.  1945,  was  an  historic  attempt 
to  establish  a  framework  for  international 
cooperation. 

The  nations  of  the  world  now  face  such 
tasks  as  maintaining  international  peace 
and  security;  promoting  basic  human 
rights;  building  a  better  international  eco- 
nomic order;  and  allocating  fairly  the 
globe's  natural  resources.  The  United 
Nations  and  its  affiliated  agencies  bring 
together  representatives  of  all  nations  to 
work  together  toward  these  goals.  It  holds 
out  the  vision  of  a  truly  cooperative 
world — a  world  at  peace. 

As  one  of  its  founding  members,  as  its 
leading  contributor,  and  as  its  host  coun- 
try, the  United  States  feels  a  special  pride 
in  the  Organization's  accomplishments. 

Now.  Therefore.  I,  Jimmy  Carter. 
President    of    the    United    States    of 


America,  do  hereby  designate  Tuesday. 
October  24.  1978.  as  United  Nations 
Day. 

I  have  appointed  Clifton  C.  Garvin. 
Jr.,  to  be  United  States  National  Chair- 
man for  United  Nations  Day. 

I  urge  Americans  to  become  better  ac- 
quainted with  the  institutions  that  make 
up  the  United  Nations,  to  consider  its  role 
in  addressing  the  problems  of  global 
interdependence,  and  to  help  it  resolve 
the  array  of  critical  international  issues 
that  face  us  in  these  times. 

In  Witness  Whereof,  I  have  hereunto 
set  my  hand  this  nineteenth  day  of  Sep- 
tember, in  the  year  of  our  Lord  nineteen 
hundred  seventy-eight,  and  of  the  Inde- 
pendence of  the  United  States  of  America 
the  two  hundred  and  third. 

Jimmy  Carter 

*No.  4597  (text  from  Weekly  Compila- 
tion of  Presidential  Documents  of  Sept. 
25.  1978). 


autonomous  sources  of  revenue  for  the 
international  community; 

•  Increased  accountability  for  the 
expenditure  of  the  funds  contributed  by 
149  nations;  and 

•  Greater  operational  efficiency. 

It  is  clearly  in  the  American  interest 
to  insure  that  the  United  Nations  oper- 
ates as  effectively  as  it  can,  and  we  are 
now  working  with  other  U.N.  members 
and  with  Secretary  General  Waldheim 
to  bring  this  about. 

As  we  undertake  this  important  ef- 
fort, I  believe  that  Americans 
everywhere  need  to  reflect  more  fully 
on  the  important  contributions  of  the 
United  Nations — the  opportunities  it 
provides  and  the  direct  benefits  it 
brings.  With  this  in  mind,  I  ask  the 
Congress  to  continue  to  provide  the 
U.N.  with  the  moral  backing  and  fi- 
nancial support  that  have  permitted  the 
United  States  to  play  the  significant 
role  in  the  Organization  that  we  have 
since  it  was  created. 

The  proclamation  issued  today  will 
provide  an  appropriate  reference  point 
for  increased  attention  to  the  United 
Nations  and  its  affiliated  agencies.  I 
ask  all  Americans  to  join  me  in  rein- 
forcing our  support  for  this  vital 
institution.  □ 


'Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Sept.  25,  1978. 

2Copies  of  this  report,  entitled  "Reform  and 
Restructuring  of  the  U.N.  System"  (Selected 
Documents  No.  S)  may  be  obtained  from  the 
Correspondence  Management  Division.  Bureau 
of  Public  Affairs,  Department  of  State,  Wash- 
ington. DC.  20520. 


52 

Soviet  Union  and  with  other  members 
of  the  Warsaw  Pact,  human  rights  have 
been  a  primary  concern.  Thus,  we 
emphasize  human  rights  in  our  rela- 
tions around  the  world. 

Second,  the  policy  must  be  im- 
plemented pragmatically.  This  means 
human  rights  objectives  cannot  be  de- 
terminative of  each  and  every  foreign 
policy  decision.  Other  factors,  includ- 
ing U.S.  security  interests,  must  be 
considered  and  weighed  in  the  de- 
cisionmaking process.  In  addition,  the 
diversity  of  history  and  culture  and  the 
different  stages  of  development  of  in- 
dividual countries  must  be  taken  into 
account.  Different  methods  may  be 
required  depending  on  the  exact  cir- 
cumstances of  a  particular  situation. 

Third,  international  law  is  our  guide 
to  the  definition  of  human  rights.  Al- 
though the  policy  reflects  basic  Ameri- 
can ideals,  it  is  not  an  attempt  to  im- 
pose uniquely  American  values.  The 
rights  about  which  we  are  con- 
cerned— the  right  to  be  free  from  arbi- 
trary arrest,  to  be  free  from  torture, 
rights  of  political  expression,  and 
rights  to  basic  economic  needs — are 
not  the  private  property  of  one  nation 
or  one  culture.  They  are  recognized  in 
the  Charter  of  the  United  Nations,  the 
U.N.  Universal  Declaration  of  Human 
Rights,  and  other  international  agree- 
ments and  convenants  as  being  univer- 
sal and  applicable  throughout  the 
world.  The  countries  of  the  Western 
Hemisphere  have  also  acknowledged 
basic  human  rights  in  the  Charter  of  the 
Organization  of  American  States 
(OAS)  and  are  now  according  addi- 
tional attention  to  them  in  the  Ameri- 
can Convention  on  Human  Rights, 
which  is  now  ratified  by  12  countries 
and  has  recently  entered  into  force. 

Fourth,  the  promotion  of  interna- 
tionally recognized  human  rights  is  in 
fulfillment  of  obligations  imposed  upon 
us  by  the  international  agreements  and 
covenants  described  above.  For  exam- 
ple, under  the  Universal  Declaration  of 
Human  Rights,  we  pledged  to  promote 
'"universal  respect  for  and  observance 
of  human  rights  and  fundamental  free- 
doms." President  Carter  put  it  this  wa\ 
in  a  speech  last  year  before  the  United 
Nations:  "All  the  signatories  of  the 
United  Nations  Charter  have  pledged 
themselves  to  observe  and  to  respect 
basic  human  rights.  Thus,  no  member 
of  the  United  Nations  can  claim  that 
mistreatment  of  its  citizens  is  solely  its 
own  business." 

Fifth,  our  policy  reflects  extensive 
congressional  mandates  in  the  area  ol 
human  rights  and  foreign  affairs.  As  a 
general    matter,    the    Congress    has   di- 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 


rected  in  Section  502B  of  the  Foreign 
Assistance  Act  of  1961,  as  amended, 
that".  .  .  a  principal  goal  of  the 
foreign  policy  of  the  United  States  is  to 
promote  the  increased  observance  of 
internationally  recognized  human  rights 
by  all  countries."  PL  95-45,  Section 
109,  authorizing  State  Department 
funding  for  FY  '78,  directs  the  Secre- 
tary of  State  to  report  annually  to  the 
Congress  on  proposals  '*.  .  .  that 
would  strengthen  human  rights  ...  in 
the  conduct  of  United  States  foreign 
policy.  ..."  That  same  legislation 
established  the  position  of  Assistant 
Secretary  of  State  for  Human  Rights 
and  Humanitarian  Affairs  which  I  now 
occupy.  There  is,  in  addition,  exten- 
sive legislative  history  accompanying 
all  these  statutes,  indicating  that  the 
Congress  expects  human  rights  consid- 
erations to  be  part  of  all  decisionmak- 
ing in  foreign  affairs. 

In  specific  statutes.  Congress  has 
directed  the  executive  to  apply  human 
rights  criteria  to  a  broad  spectrum  of 
programs  of  foreign  economic  and  fi- 
nancial assistance,  as  well  as  to  arms 
transfers.  These  programs  include  the 
Agency  for  International  Development 
(AID),  Food  for  Peace,  international 
financial  institutions,  the  Overseas  Pri- 
vate Investment  Corporation  (OPIC). 
and  the  Export-Import  Bank. 

In  order  to  convey  a  sense  of  how 
extensive  the  congressional  directives 
for  integrating  human  rights  criteria 
into  different  aspects  of  our  policy,  I 
would  like  to  cite  for  you  the  major 
statutory  provisions  on  human  rights 
and  concessional  economic  assistance. 

•  Section  1  16  of  the  Foreign  Assist- 
ance Act  of  1961,  as  amended,  states 
that  no  assistance  may  be  granted  to  a 
government  ".  .  .  which  engages  in  a 
consistent  pattern  of  gross  violations  of 
.  .  .  human  rights  .  .  .  unless  such  as- 
sistance will  directly  benefit  .  .  .  needy 
people  .  .  .  ." 

•  Section  112  of  PL  480.  provides 
that  no  food  aid  may  be  granted  to  an) 
government  ".  .  .  which  engages  in 
a  consistent  pattern  of  gross  violations 
of  .  human  rights  .  .  .  unless  lit] 
will  directly  benefit  .  .  .  needy 
people  .  .  .  .  " 

•  Section  701  of  the  International 
Financial  Institutions  Act  requires  that 
the  U.S.  Government  use  its  vote  in 
such  institutions  to  "advance  the  cause 
of  human  rights  " 

•  Section  2(b)(  I)(B)  of  the 
I  \  port -Import  Bank  Act  of  1945  re- 
quires that  the  Bank  "...  take  into 
account,  in  consultation  with  the  Sec- 
retary of  State,  the  observance  of  and 
respect  for  human  rights  in  the  country 
to  receive  the  exports  supported  b\    a 


loan  or  financial  guarantee  .  .  .  ." 

•  Section  113  of  the  Foreign  Assist 
ance  Appropriations  Act  of  1971  for 
bids  the  use  of  funds  appropriated  by 
that  act  ".  .  .  to  provide  security  as-i 
sistance  to  any  country  for  the  purpost 
of  aiding  directly  the  efforts  of  tin 
government  of  such  country  to  reprei 
the  legitimate  rights  of  the  populatior 
of  such  country  contrary  to  the  Univer- 
sal Declaration  of  Human  Rights.  " 

•  Section  239(1)  of  the  Foreign  As 
sistance  Act  of  1961,  as  amended,  re 
quires  that  OPIC  ".  .  .  take  into  ac 
count  in  the  conduct  of  its  programs  it  # 
a  country,  in  consultation  with  th< 
Secretary  of  State,  all  available  infoj 
mation  about  observance  of  and  respec 
for  human  rights  ..."  and  subject! 
OPIC  to  Section  1  16  of  the  Act. 

Sixth,  it  is  our  policy  not  to  inter 
vene  in  the  internal  affairs  of  any  Latin 
American  country.  But  where  basio 
human  rights  are  violated,  we  adjust 
our  own  policies  and  programs,  in 
accordance  with  both  international  ob- 
ligations and  U.S.  law. 


t 

ilii 
Isi 
■['. 
mm 

nn 


Seventh,  we  recognize  that  tht 
scourge  of  terrorism  seriously  violate.'' 
basic  human  rights.  But  terrorism  can- 
not excuse  arbitrary  arrest,  summan 
execution,  torture,  and  other  denials  ol 
fundamental  freedoms.  Secretary  of 
State  Vance  made  this  point  in  his 
address  to  the  OAS  General  Assembly 
in  1977:  "If  terrorism  and  violence  in 
the  name  of  dissent  cannot  be  con- 
doned, neither  can  violence  that  is 
officially  sanctioned  ....  The  sures* 
way  to  defeat  terrorism  is  to  promote 
justice  in  our  societies  .  .  .  ." 


Arms  Transfers 

I  would  like,  at  this  point,  to  turn  to 
the  more  specific  subject  of  the  role  of 
our  human  rights  policy  in  arms  trans- 
fers. There  are  numerous  dimensions 
along  which  we  conduct  foreign  rela- 
tions. At  the  most  basic  level,  we  and 
other  governments  exchange  ambas- 
sadors and  diplomatic  representation. 
We  may  also  engage  in  trade,  cooper- 
ate in  cultural  and  scientific  matters, 
supply  economic  assistance,  or  form  a 
military  relationship. 

While  we  attempt  to  take  human 
rights  into  account  in  all  aspects  of  our 
relationship,  it  has  particular  relevance 
to  arms  transfers.  This  is  because  arms 
transfers  by  us  to  a  repressive  regime 
are  associated  and  tend  to  associate  us 
with  the  conditions  of  force  that  sustain 
repression.  Transfers  may  link  the 
United  States  with  regimes  that  violate 
basic  human  rights  and  fundamental 
freedoms   and   thereby   undermine   our 


!i 


ivember  1978 


53 


Rditional  support  for  those  ideals, 
lonflict  with  our  international  obliga- 
ions.  tarnish  our  reputation,  and  dam- 
be  our  long-term  national  interests. 

i  In  this  area  of  arms  transfers,  we  are 
prected  by  the  Congress  to  take  human 
ghts  considerations  into  account  in 
he  formation  of  specific  programs  and 
blicies.  Section  502B  of  the  Foreign. 
Lssistance  Act  of  1961.  as  amended. 
prects  the  President  to  formulate  and 
onduct  such  programs  ".  .  .  in  a 
nanner  which  will  promote  and  ad- 
pnce  human  rights  and  avoid  identifi- 
Ution  of  the  United  States,  through 
jch  programs,  with  governments 
•hich  deny  to  their  people  internation- 
llly  recognized  human  rights  and  fun- 
amental  freedoms.  ..."  To  aid  in 
nplementation  of  this  directive,  see- 
on  502B  requires  the  preparation,  in 
pch  fiscal  year,  of  a  report  of  the 
uman  rights  practices  of  each  country 
roposed  as  a  recipient  of  security  as- 
stance. 

In  addition  to  section  502B.  the 
resident's  arms  transfer  policy,  issued 
m  May  19,  1977,  also  recognizes  the 
nportance  of  human  rights.  The  Presi- 
ent  affirmed  that  the  United  States 
I  ould  give  continued  emphasis  to  for- 
lulating  and  conducting  our  programs 
f  arms  transfers  in  a  manner  which 
ill  promote  and  advance  respect  for 
jman  rights  in  recipient  countries. 

The  procedures  for  formulating  pro- 
Irams  of  arms  transfers,  including  im- 
ilementation  of  the  directives  of  see- 
on  502B,  were  set  out  in  some  detail 
»r  the  committee  in  hearings  con- 
acted  last  February.2 

The  importance  we  attach  to  human 
ghts  has  been  part  of  the  complex  of 
hanging  developments  in  Latin 
.merica.  No  one  can  fail  to  recognize 
lat  widespread  violations  of  basic 
uman  rights  continue  in  certain  court- 
lies  in  Latin  America.  But,  even  after 

relatively  short  period  of  time,  there 
j;  already  real  and  significant  change. 

•  An  open  political  campaign  took 
lace  in  the  Dominican  Republic,  and 
ext  week  the  inauguration  of  a  demo- 
ratically  elected  president  of  the  op- 


Letter 
of  Credence 

I  On  October  2,  1978.  George  Ashley 
jriffith  presented  his  credentials  to 
President  Carter  as  the  newly  appointed 
Embassador  from  Grenada.  □ 


position  party  is  scheduled.  This  is  an 
accomplishment  of  the  people  of  the 
Dominican  Republic. 

•  The  Inter-American  Human  Rights 
Commission  has  been  strengthened  and 
its  activities  expanded.  It  has  visited 
Panama  and  El  Salvador  and  will  be 
traveling  next  week  to  Haiti.  Nicaragua 
has  committed  itself  to  receive  the 
commission  in  the  future. 

•  In  Ecuador  and  Peru,  the  process 
of  return  to  popular  election  of  national 
leadership  is  underway.  In  Ecuador, 
the  first  round  of  elections  for  Presi- 
dent was  successfully  held  last  month, 
and  a  runoff  is  now  scheduled  for  Sep- 
tember or  October.  In  Peru,  open  elec- 
tions took  place  for  a  constituent  as- 
sembly which  has  already  convened 
and  begun  deliberations. 

•  In  Bolivia  we  are  distressed  by  the 
interruption  of  the  recent  electoral 
process.  We  recognize,  however,  that 
in  the  past  year,  political  prisoners 
have  been  freed,  exiles  have  returned, 
civil  due  process  has  improved,  and 
press  and  trade  union  freedoms  have 
been  restored. 

•  In  Haiti  there  have  been  some  im- 
provements reported  in  prison  condi- 
tions, prisoner  releases,  and  some 
police  have  been  disciplined  for  re- 
ported acts  of  brutality. 

•  In  other  countries,  there  have  been 
significant  releases  of  political  prison- 
ers, a  reduction  in  or  an  end  to  reports 
of  torture,  and  a  reassertion  of  the  au- 
thority of  civilian  courts. 

•  At  the  recent  OAS  General  As- 
sembly, the  resolution  in  support  of  the 
advancement  of  human  rights  passed  by 
an  overwhelming  majority.  And  in 
those  countries  whose  governments  op- 
posed the  resolution,  there  is  now 
widespread  support  among  the  popula- 
tion and  active  political  groups. 

The  fundamental  objective  of  the 
human  rights  policy  is  to  improve  the 
observance  of  basic  human  rights 
throughout  the  world.  We  believe  that 
we  have  made  important  strides  toward 
that  goal.  At  the  same  time,  the  human 
rights  policy  has  had  another  important 
effect — it  has  strengthened  our  position 
and  influence  in  the  world.  Human 
rights  is  an  area  where  our  ideals  and 
self-interest  strongly  coincide. 


Strengthened  U.S.  Interests 

The  policy  has  strengthened  U.S. 
interests  in  at  least  three  separate  ways. 

First,  our  human  rights  policy  ena- 
bles us  to  regain  the  political  high 
ground  that  our  history  as  a  nation  of 
free  men  and  women  has  given  us  in 


competition  for  world  influence  and 
prestige.  Our  willingness  to  press  for 
human  rights  progress  among  our 
friends,  as  well  as  with  our  adver- 
saries, has  increased  the  credibility  of 
our  commitment  to  freedom.  Thus,  our 
human  rights  policy  has  generated 
widespread  support  for  the  United 
States  throughout  the  world. 

Second,  the  policy  helps  insure 
friendly  relations  over  the  long  run 
with  other  countries.  If  we  ignore  op- 
pression, we  may  obtain  closer  rela- 
tions with  a  particular  regime  over  the 
short  run.  But  there  is  significant  risk 
that  its  successor  will  be  hostile  to  our 
interests.  We  must  not  espouse  a  policy 
which  leads  a  government  to  be  hostile 
to  U.S.  interests  because  of  U.S.  ties 
with  a  prior  regime  that  practiced 
oppression. 

Third,  our  policy  is  important  to  the 
health  and  integrity  of  own  society 
within  the  United  States.  Our  most  im- 
portant asset  is  our  free  institutions. 
Our  democratic  society  is  what  makes 
possible  our  economic  and  military 
strength.  It  is  the  bedrock  of  our  secu- 
rity. It  is  our  special  commitment  to 
human  freedom  and  dignity  that  makes 
us  unique.  Support  for  or  indifference 
to  oppression  in  other  countries 
weakens  the  foundation  of  our  own 
democracy  at  home. 

Concern  has  been  expressed  about 
the  possible  costs  associated  with  the 
application  of  our  human  rights  policy 
to  arms  transfers  to  Latin  America:  the 
effect  on  of  governments  to  which  we 
refuse  transfers  and  the  domestic  eco- 
nomic loss  that  may  result  when  we  do 
not  make  sales.  But  I  believe  that  the 
benefits  of  our  policy  clearly  outweigh 
these  other  factors. 

First,  the  policy  has  produced  con- 
siderable political  good  will  for  the 
United  States  throughout  Latin 
America.  Our  relations  with  constitu- 
tional governments  are  much  closer 
than  before.  And  our  stand  for  human 
rights  has  won  respect  from  peoples 
throughout  the  hemisphere.  Any  possi- 
ble transitory  or  short-term  loss  of  in- 
fluence with  a  particular  regime  must 
be  balanced  against  these  more  durable 
and  long-term  gains. 

While  there  may  be  some  economic 
costs  associated  with  the  application  of 
the  human  rights  policy  to  arms  trans- 
fers, we  believe  that  they  are  justified 
as  an  investment  in  the  future. 
Moreover,  it  is  important  to  keep  the 
economic  factor  in  perspective.  The 
overwhelming  majority  of  U.S.  exports 
to  Latin  America  are  not  subject  to 
human  rights  review.  It  is  only  those 
items  that  lend  themselves  to  use  either 


54 


A  mi. s  Transfer  Potivy 
in  Latin  America 


Foreign  Relations  Outline* 

Latin  American  nations  traditionally 
have  displayed  a  cautious  attitude  to- 
ward arms  purchases  and  tend  to  give 
priority  to  economic  development. 
Most  do  not  feel  threatened  sufficiently 
to  justify  priority  for  external  defense 
requirements.  The  desire  to  modernize 
military  establishments  derives  primar- 
ily from  internal  considerations  and  the 
need  to  maintain  independent  military 
forces  as  a  manifestation  of 
sovereignty. 


U.S.  Policy 

Our  Latin  American  arms  policy  is 
part  of  the  global  policy  enunciated  in 
President  Carter's  May  1977  statement 
on  arms  transfers. 

•  We  will  utilize  arms  transfers  to 
promote  our  security  and  that  of  our 
close  friends,  but  the  burden  of  persua- 
sion is  on  those  who  favor  a  particular 
sale  rather  than  on  those  who  oppose  it. 

•  We  will  not  be  the  first  supplier  to 
introduce  into  the  region  advanced 
weapons  systems  that  would  create  a 
new  or  significantly  higher  combat  ca- 
pability. 

•  The  State  Department  carefully 
monitors  the  travel  and  activities  in  the 
hemisphere  of  promoters  of  U.S.  arms 
sales. 

•  We  assess  the  economic  impact  of 
arms  transfers,  particularly  on  recip- 
ients of  U.S.  economic  aid. 

•  We  carefully  consider  the  human 
rights  situation  in  proposed  recipient 
countries. 

•  We  encourage  regional  agreements 


among  purchasers  to  limit  arms  acqui- 
sitions. 

•  Where  sales  are  approved,  we  em- 
phasize that  the  sales  agreement  pro- 
hibits third  party  transfers  except  with 
prior  U.S.  approval. 

We  have  not  approved  for  sale  or 
export  in  the  region  sophisticated  air- 
craft more  advanced  than  the  F-5  and 
the  A-4;  ballistic  missiles  and  rockets 
regardless  of  range;  advanced  technol- 
ogy missiles;  assorted  military  articles 
that  raise  special  policy  problems  such 
as  silencers,  napalm,  incendiary  muni- 
tions, "smart"  and  cluster  bombs, 
flame  throwers,  radiological  weapons, 
and  delayed  action  munitions;  and 
major  combatant  vessels  such  as 
battleships,  cruisers,  and  aircraft  car- 
riers. Not  prohibited,  but  examined  on 
a  case-by-case  basis,  are  short-range 
tactical  missiles,  certain  ship-to-ship 
missiles,  and  air-to-air  missiles. 


U.S.  Transfers 

Security  assistance  and  arms  trans- 
fers to  Latin  America  reflect  a  U.S. 
political  and  security  interest.  They 
have  helped  maintain  cooperative  rela- 
tions with  military  establishments 
which  have  in  some  cases  a  potentially 
significant  role  to  play  in  hemispheric 
defense.  For  a  period  following  World 
War  II.  surplus  U.S.  equipment  domi- 
nated the  small  Latin  American  arms 
market,  but  more  recently  other  nations 
have  sold  more  weapons  in  Latin 
America  than  the  United  States.  About 
24%  of  our  foreign  military  sales  to  the 
region  are  for  major  items  such  as  air- 
craft, ships,  artillery,  and  ammunition. 


Role  of  Human  Rights — Cont'd 

by  the  police  in  the  commission  of 
human  rights  violation  or  by  the  mili- 
tary that  are  subject  to  such  review.  A 
significant  proportion  of  even  these  ex- 
ports go  to  countries  with  a  positive 
human  rights  record  and  so  are  not 
constrained  by  human  rights  consid- 
erations. Moreover,  even  where  our 
human  rights  policy  does  impede  the 
transfer  of  arms,  there  are  long-run 
economic  benefits  to  be  considered.  By 
creating  over  the  long  run  a  more 
friendly  political  atmosphere  for  the 
U.S.  Government,  we  also  engender  a 
more  favorable  economic  environment 
for  U.S.  business. 


In  conclusion,  we  believe  that  our 
policy  has  made  a  major  and  significant 
difference — both  for  the  victims  of  op- 
pression and  for  our  own  national 
interest.  We  will  continue  to  make 
human  rights  a  fundamental  goal  of  our 
foreign  policy.  □ 


'The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings  will 
be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  he 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Doc- 
uments, U.S.  Government  Printing  Office, 
Washington.  D.C.  20402. 

2  For  texts  of  statements  on  arms  transfer 
policy,  see  Bulletin  of  March  1978,  pp.  42 
and  45. 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 

The    balance    is    for    spare    parts 
supporting  noncombat  equipment,  ano 
supporting     services  —  including 
training. 


Decreasing  U.S.  Role 

Only  3  7c  of  all  U.S.  arms  sales  goto 
Latin  America.  As  our  role  as  an  arms 
supplier  in  the  region  has  decreased,  so 
have  U.S.  personnel  available  to  man 
age  security  assistance  programs.  Our 
security  assistance-related  military 
presence  in  the  area  will  drop  from  a 
high  of  769  in  1968  to  fewer  than  IOC 
in  FY  1979.  Until  1976.  the  Unitec 
States  maintained  18  military  missions 
in  the  area.  Since  then,  in  accordance 
with  various  legislative  requirements, 
that  presence  has  been  drastically  re- 
duced. In  FY  1979,  for  example,  only 
Panama  will  have  a  security  assistance 
management  group  of  more  than  sixf1'; 
military  personnel. 

Arms  Limitation  Initiatives 

With    a   few   exceptions,    the    Latir 
American    nations   have   not   signifi- 
cantly   sacrificed    their    developmeni 
goals  for  the  weaponry  in  which  they 
have    invested.    This    record    is    now 
under  some  strain,  however,  because  ol 
the  increased  cost  of  modern  weapons 
Recognizing    this    fact,    Argentina 
Bolivia,    Chile,    Colombia,    Ecuador 
Panama,   Peru,   and   Venezuela  signec 
the  Declaration  of  Ayacucho  in   1974 
stating  their  intent  to  cooperate  in  lim 
iting  arms  acquisitions.  At  Venezuelar 
initiative,  the  Foreign  Ministers  of  the 
Ayacucho  countries  announced  in  June 
1978  that  they  would  meet  to  considei 
a    broader    region-wide    conventional 
arms  restraint  agreement.  Mexico  cir- 
culated   a    similar    and    more    detailed 
proposal  at  a  meeting  of  the  Organiza- 
tion of  American  States.  We  fully  sup- 
port these  initiatives  and  are  prepared 
to  work  with  other  suppliers  to  insure 
that    any    agreements    worked    out    by 
Latin  American  states  are  respected.    D 


'Taken  from  a  Department  of  State  puhlica- 
tion  in  the  GIST  series,  released  in  July   1478 
This  outline  is  designed  to  be  a  quick  reference 
aid  on  U.S.  foreign  relations.  It  is  not  intended 
as  a  comprehensive  U.S.  foreign  polic)   Stall 
ment.  The  outline  was  based  on  a  statement  by 
John  A    Bushnell.  Deputy  Assistant  Secretary 
for   Inter-American    Affairs,   before   the   Sub- 
committee   on    Inter-American    Affairs    of   the   , 
House  Committee  on  International  Relations  on  | 
June  27,  1978.  The  complete  transcript  of  the 
hearings   will   be  published  by  the  committee  I 
and  will  be  available  from  the  Superintendent  J 
of  Documents,  U.S.   Government  Printing  Of- 
fice. Washington,  D.C.  20402. 


November  1978 


l/.S.-iWe.vieo  Commission 
on  Cultural  Cooperation 


The  third  meeting  of  the  Joint 
Jnited  States-Mexico  Commission  on 
ultural  Co-operation,  established  by 
xchange  of  notes  of  June  15.  1972, 
>ok  place  in  Mexico  City  July  17-18, 
978.  Following  are  a  summary  and 
nnexes  11  and  111  of  the  final  state- 
ment of  the  Commission  issued  on  July 
8,  1978. 

The  Mexican  delegation  to  the  third  meeting 
f  the  Commission  was  presided  over  by  Lie. 
Haria  Emilia  Telez.  Under  Secretary  of  the 
ecretariat  of  Foreign  Affairs,  and  the  U.S. 
elegation  by  Dr  Alice  S.  Ilchman.  Associate 
)irector  for  Educational  and  Cultural  Affairs  of 
le  International  Communication  Agency. 

The  work  of  the  meeting  was  carried  out  as 
ollows: 

•  Exchange  of  commentaries  on  cultural  ac- 
vities  for  the  period  1975-78; 

•  Recommendations  for  cultural  cooperation, 
bjectives.  and  priorities  for  the  period 
978-80; 

•  Recommendations   for   cultural   cooperation 
the  border  area,  objectives,  and  priorities; 

•  Exchange  of  status  reports  on  the  Lincoln- 
uarez  scholarship  programs; 

•  Procedural  and  administrative  matters;  and 

•  Other  matters. 

The  delegations  reached  agreement  in  several 
ireas,  including  educational  cooperation  and  the 
mprovement  of  cultural  and  educational  rela- 
ions  in  the  border  area. 

Vnnex  II — Education 

The  Governments  of  Mexico  and  the  United 
States,   wishing  to  improve  and  expand  educa- 

ional  activities  and  exchanges  and  to  achieve 
[greater    co-ordination    and    understanding    of 

:xisting  activities  among  institutions  of  both 
i;ountries.  consider  it  important  to  establish 
Effective  mechanisms  to  achieve  the  priorities 
lind  objectives  agreed  upon  in  the  e  lucational 
lirea. 

I     Objectives: 

1  Encourage  greater  co-operation  among 
Educational  institutions  particularly  in  areas  that 
[would  enhance  mutual  understanding  between 
She  two  countries 

I  2.  Develop  a  greater  understanding  among 
Mexican  and  American  Universities  and  re- 
search institutions  of  the  two  countries  in  order 

j:o  facilitate  and  improve  exchange  programs  at 
[the  undergraduate  and  graduate  levels  in  areas 

if  primary  mutual  interest. 
3.  Improve  the  teaching  of  English  in  Mexico 

and  the  teaching  of  Spanish  in  the  United  States 
las  an  important  instrument  in  the  achievement 


Priorities: 

1.  Initiate  a  study  of  the  current  relationships 
and  programs  among  educational  and  research 
institutions  in  both  countries  preparatory  to  the 
establishment  of  a  clearing  house  of  documen- 
tation and  information.  For  this  purpose  a  cor- 
responding group  or  committee  shall  be  formed 
with  the  participation  of  the  institutions  each 
country  considers  appropriate. 

2.  Continue  the  Lincoln-Juarez  scholarship 
program,  and  exchange  status  reports  every  six 
months. 

3.  Exchange  of  publications  and  informa- 
tional material  about  education. 

4  Continue  the  counseling  program  at  the 
Benjamin  Franklin  Library. 

5.  Encourage  the  exchange  of  scholars  and 
specialists  to  study  and  visit  in  areas  of  interest 
for  both  countries. 

6.  Study  the  English  and  Spanish  teaching 
programs  in  each  country  in  order  to  improve 
them. 


Arts  and  Humanities 

The  arts  and  humanities  play  an  important 
role  in  the  relations  between  both  countries. 
Geographical  proximity  offers  the  opportunity 
for  continued  expansion  of  the  arts  and 
humanities  originating  in  each  country  in  ac- 
cordance with  the  interests  of  public  and  private 
institutions  dedicated  to  cultural  activities. 


Objectives: 

1 .  Expand  and  improve  relations  among  pub- 
lic and  private  institutions  responsible  for  cul- 
tural policy  and  activities  in  both  countries. 

2.  Encourage  cultural  programs  focussed  on 
better  understanding  between  both  countries. 

Priorities: 

1.  Encourage  the  exchange  of  groups  and 
individuals  in  the  plastic  and  performing  arts. 

2.  Collaborate  in  the  training  and  profes- 
sionalization  of  Mexican  artists  in  the  United 
States  and  American  artists  in  Mexico. 

3  Encourage  co-operation  among  the 
museums  of  both  countries  in  accordance  with 
their  interests. 

4.  Encourage  the  exchange  of  experiences  in 
the  areas  of  anthropology  and  ethnography  in 
accordance  with  the  internal  regulations  of  the 
institutions  concerned. 

5.  Stimulate  the  expansion  of  exchanges  of 
exhibitions. 

6.  Encourage  greater  contact  and  interchange 
of  writers  and  literary  materials. 

7.  Work  towards  greater  co-operation  in  the 
fields  of  radio,  television  and  film-making. 

8.  Promote  the  presentation  by  national  art- 
ists of  works  of  the  other  country. 

9.  Seek  ways  to  promote  mutual  sharing  of 
the    artistic    achievements    of    third    countries 


55 

being  presented  in  Mexico  or  the  United  States 
and  interchange  information  in  this  respect. 

Annex  III — U.S. -Mexico  Border 

Context: 

The  Bilateral  Cultural  and  Educational  rela- 
tions between  the  United  States  and  Mexico  in 
the  border  area  have  been  carried  out  through 
various  mechanisms.  It  is  important  that  these 
cultural  and  educational  relationships  be  well 
co-ordinated  in  the  future  in  order  to  achieve 
the  broadest  possible  understanding. 

Objectives: 

1 .  Development  of  greater  mutual  under- 
standing of  the  cultural,  educational,  and 
touristic  context  of  the  border  region  and  the 
identification  of  problems  among  those  areas 
requiring  short-term  and  long-term  attention. 

2.  Better  co-ordination  of  mutual  efforts  to 
improve  educational  and  cultural  relations  in  the 
border  region. 

3  Increased  public  and  private  efforts  in 
areas  of  primary  concern  to  both  countries. 

Priorities: 

I .  To  encourage  the  continued  development 
of  cultural  and  educational  activities  in  the 
border  area  both  jointly  and  within  the  two 
countries  and  requesting  the  institutions  that 
carry  out  these  activities  to  provide,  to  the 
extent  possible,  relevant  information  to  the  ap- 
propriate entities  to  be  determined  by  each 
government 

In  the  case  of  Mexico  this  information  shall 
be  provided  to  the  office  of  the  Co-ordinator 
General  of  the  National  Program  for  the  De- 
velopment of  Frontier  Areas  and  Free  Zones  in 
the  Secretariat  of  Programs  and  Budget.  With 
regard  to  the  activities  carried  out  by  American 
institutions  this  information  should  be  provided 
to  The  Southwest  Border  Regional  Commission, 
and  coordinated  studies  referred  to  in  Articles  a 
and  b  of  the  report  of  the  Social  Working 
Group  of  the  United  States-Mexico  Consultative 
Mechanism  quoted  as  follows: 

a.  carrying  out  a  study  designed  to  deter- 
mine the  present  cultural  and  educational  con- 
ditions in  the  border  area,  with  emphasis  on  the 
quality  of  artistic,  bilingual  and  bicultural  edu- 
cation; 

b  analyzing  the  action  which  both  coun- 
tries are  taking  jointly  in  the  border  area  with 
regard  to  culture,  artistic  education  and  social 
welfare,  with  a  special  evaluation  of  completed 
activities. 

In  the  case  of  Mexico  the  supervision  will  be 
established  by  the  Co-ordinator  General  of  the 
National  Program  for  the  Development  of  Fron- 
tier Areas  and  Free  Zones  in  the  Secretariat  of 
Programs  and  Budget  and  for  the  United  States 
by  the  International  Communication  Agency  in 
consultation  with  the  United  States  Co- 
Chairman  of  the  U.S. -Mexico  Social  Working 
Group. 

3.  The  suggestions  for  the  solution  of  the 
problems  and  necessities  identified  as  a  result 
of  the  research  referred  to  in  article  C  will  be 
presented  to  the  institutions  cited  in  point  2 
above.  '-' 


56 


TREATIES: 

Current  Actions 

MULTILATERAL 

Antarctica 

The  Antarctic  Treaty.  Signed  at  Washington 
Dee.  I,  1959.  Entered  into  forte  June  23, 
1961.  TIAS4780. 

Accession    deposited:    Bulgaria,    Sept.     I  I  . 
1978. 

Aviation 

Protocol  on  the  authentic  trilingual  text  of  the 
convention  on  international  civil  aviation. 
Chicago,  1944  (T1AS  1591),  with  annex. 
Done  at  Buenos  Aires  Sept.  24,  1968.  En- 
tered into  force  Oct.  24,  1968.  TIAS  6605. 
Acceptance  deposited:  Finland,  Oct.  13, 
1978. 

Convention    for    the    suppression    of    unlawful 
seizure  of  aircraft.  Done  at  The  Hague  Dec. 
16,  1970.  Entered  into  force  Oct.   14.  1971 
TIAS  7192. 
Accession  deposited:  Libya,  Oct.  4.  1978. 

Protocol  on  the  authentic  cjuadrilingual  text  ol 
the  convention  on  international  civil  aviation 
(Chicago.  1944)  (TIAS  1591),  with  annex. 
Done  at  Montreal  Sept.  30,  1977. ' 
Acceptance  deposited :  U.K..  Oct.  3, 
1978. 

Bills  of  Lading 

Protocol  to  amend  the  international  convention 
for  the  unification  of  certain  rules  of  law 
relating  to  bills  of  lading  signed  at  Brussels 
Aug.  25,  1924  (TS  931).  Done  at  Brussels 
Feb.  23,  1968.  Entered  into  force  June  23, 
1977. J 

Ratification    deposited:    Belgium,    Sept.    6, 
1978. 

Coffee 

International  coffee  agreement  1976,  with  an- 
nexes. Done  at  London  Dec  3,  1975  En- 
tered into  force  provisionally  Oct.  1,  1976, 
definitively,  Aug.  1 .  1977.  TIAS  8683. 
Ratifications  deposited:  Finland.  Sept  14, 
1978;  Italy.  Sept.  18.  1978;  Netherlands,3 
Sept.  6,  1978. 

Collisions 

Convention  on  the  international  regulations  for 
preventing  collisions  at  sea,  1972,  with  reg- 
ulations. Done  at  London  Oct.  20,  1972. 
Entered  into  force  July  15,  1977.  TIAS 
8587. 

Accession  deposited:    Bangladesh.    Mav    10, 
1978. 

Customs 

Convention  establishing  a  Customs  Coopera- 
tion Council,  with  annex  Done  at  Brussels 
Dec.  15,  1950.  Entered  into  force  Nov  4, 
1952,  for  the  U.S.  Nov  5,  1970,  TIAS 
7063. 

Accession    deposited      Botswana.    Aug      25, 
1978. 

Customs  convention  regarding  E.C.S.  carnets 
for  commercial  samples,  with  annex  and 
protocol  of  signature.  Done  at  Brussels  Mar 
1,  1956.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  3,  1957; 
for  the  U.S.  Mar.  3,  1969.  TIAS  6632. 
Notification  oj  denunciation  deposited:  Fed- 
eral Republic  of  Germany,  Aug  29, 
1978;  effective  Nov.  29,  1978. 

Defense 

Memorandum  of  understanding  for  interna- 
tional collaboration  on  the  NAT!)  explosion 
resistant  multi  influence  sweep  system 
(ERMISS).  Opened  for  signature  Apr.  5. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Apr.  25.  1978;  tor 
the  U.S.  Aug.  24,  1978. 


Finance 

Agreement  establishing  the  International  Fund 
for  Agricultural  Development  Done  at 
Rome  June  13,  1976.  Entered  into  force 
Nov.  30,  1977.  TIAS  8765. 
Ratification  deposited  Argentina.  Sept.  II, 
1978. 

Fisheries 

Protocol  amending  the  international  conven- 
tion for  the  high  seas  fisheries  of  the  North 
Pacific  Ocean  of  May  9.  1952.  as  amended 
(TIAS  2786,  5385).  with  agreed  minutes 
and  memoranda  of  understanding.  Done  at 
Tokyo  Apr.  25.  1978. ' 

Senate   advice   and   consent   to    ratification: 
Oct.  11.  1978. 

Convention  on  conduct  of  fishing  operations  in 
the  North  Atlantic,  with  annexes  Done  at 
London  June  I,  1967.  Entered  into  force 
Sept.  26,  1976. 2 

Accession    deposited.    German    Democratic 
Republic.  Mar.  9.  1978."  s  * 

Human  Rights 

International   convenant   on  civil   and   political 
rights.    Done   at   New    York    Dec.    16.    1966. 
Entered  into  force  May  23.  1 976. 2 
Ratifications    deposited:    Austria,    Sept.    8, 
1978;  Italy.  Sept.  15,  1978. 

International    covenant    on    economic,    social, 
and  cultural  rights.  Done  at  New  York  Dec. 
16.  1966.  Entered  into  force  Jan.  3,  1976. 2 
Ratifications    deposited:    Austria,    Sept.    8, 
1978;  Italy.  Sept.  15,  1978. 

International  Bank  for 
Reconstruction  and  Development 

Articles  of  agreement  of  the  International 
Bank  for  Reconstruction  and  Development 
formulated  at  Bretton  Woods  Conference 
July  1-22,  1944.  Opened  for  signature  at 
Washington  Dec.  27.  1945.  Entered  into 
force  Dec.  27,  1945.  TIAS  1502 
Signature  and  acceptance:  Solomon  Islands, 
Sept.  22,  1978. 

International  Monetary  Fund 

Articles  of  agreement  of  the  International 
Monetary  Fund,  formulated  at  the  Bretton 
Woods  Conference  July  1-22,  1944.  Opened 
for  signature  at  Washington  Dec.  27,  1945. 
Entered  into  force  Dec.  27.  1945  TIAS 
1501. 

Signature  and  acceptance     Solomon  Islands, 
Sept.  22,  1978. 

Load  Lines 

International  convention  on  load   lines,    1966. 
Done  at  London  Apr.   5,   1966.   Entered  into 
force  July  21.  1968.  TIAS  6331 
Accession  deposited:    Bangladesh,    May    10, 
1978 

Meteorology 

Convention  of  the  World  Meteorological  Or- 
ganization. Done  at  Washington  Oct.  II, 
1947  Entered  into  force  Mar  23.  1950. 
TIAS  2052. 

Accession  deposited:  The  Gambia,  Oct.   2, 
1978. 

Narcotic  Drugs 

Sinelc    convention    on    narcotic    drugs,     1961 
Done  at   New   York   Mar.   30,    1961.   Entered 
into  force  Dec     13,    1964;  lor  the  U.S.  June 

24,  1967.  TIAS  6208 

A cce ssion  deposited:  Libya,  Sept    27,  1978. 

Protocol  amending  the  single  convention  on 
narcotic  drui;s.    1961,   Done  at  Geneva  Mar. 

25,  1972.   Entered  into  force  Aug.   8,   1975. 
I  IAS  XI  18. 

Accessions  deposited     Iraq,   Sept.   25,    1978; 
Libya,  Sept.  27,  1978. 

Oil  Pollution— Civil  Liability 

International    convention    on   civil    liability    tor 

oil  pollution  damage     Done  at  Brussels  Nov. 

20.     I960      Entered    into    force    June     19. 

I975.3 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Ratification   deposited:    Indonesia.    Sept.    1 
1978. 

Oil  Pollution — Compensation  Fund 

International   convention   on   the  establishing 

of  an  international  fund  for  compensatior 
foi  oil  pollution  damage.  Done  at  Brussels 
Dec  18.  1971  Entered  into  force  Oct.  16. 
1978- 

Accession    deposited:    Indonesia.    Sept.    1 
1978. 


ill 

r, 

I' 


Pollution 

Protocol   relating   to   intervention   on    the    lngr 
seas    in    cases    of   pollution    by    substancfl 
other    than    oil      Done    at    London    Nov.    2 
1973.' 
Ratification  deposited:  U.S..  Sept.  7.  1978. 

Protocol  of   1978   relating  to  the   international 
convention    for    the   prevention   of   pollutior 
from  ships.   1973.  Done  at  London  Feb.   17 
1978. ' 
Signature:  U.K..  Aug.  24,  1978. 7 

Postal 

Second  additional  protocol  to  the  constitution 
of  the  Universal  Postal  Union  of  July  10, 
1964.  general  regulations  with  final  protocol 
and  annex,  and  the  universal  postal  conven- 
tion with  final  protocol  and  detailed  rcgula- 
tions.  Done  at  Lausanne  July  5.  1974.  En- 
tered into  force  Jan  I  .  1976.  TIAS  8232. 
Ratification  deposited:  Libya,  Mar  15. 
1978. 

Money  orders  and  postal  travelers'  checks 
agreement,  with  detailed  regulations.  Done 
at  Lausanne  July  5.  1974.  Entered  into  force 
Jan.  1.  1976.  TIAS  8232. 
Ratification  deposited:  Libya.  Mar.  15. 
1978. 

Safety  at  Sea 

International  convention  for  the  safety   of  life 
at  sea.    1974.   with  annex.    Done   at   London 
Nov.  1.  1 974.' 
Ratifications    deposited:    Spain.    Sept.    5 

1978;  U.S..  Sept.  7,  1978. 
Protocol  of  1978  relating  to  the  international 

convention   for  the   safetv    of   life   at    sea. 

1974.  Done  at  London  Feb    17.  1978.' 
Signatures:    Belgium.   Sept.    8.    1978;7   U.K., 

Aug.  24,  1978  ' 

Telecommunications 

International  telecommunication  convention 
with  annexes  and  protocol.  Done  at  Malaga- 
Torremolinos  Oct.  25.  1973.  Entered  into 
force  Jan.  1,  1975;  for  the  U.S.  Apr.  7, 
1976.  TIAS  8572. 
Ratifications    deposited:    Cameroon. 

non,  June    1,    1978;   Niger.   June   7 

Turkey,  July  6,  1978. 
Final  Acts  of  the  World  Administrate 

Conference  for  the  planning  of  the 
broadcasting-satellite  service  in  frequence 
bands  11.7-12.2  GHz  (in  Regions  2  and  3) 
and  11.7-12.5  GHz  (in  Region  11.  with  an- 
nexes Done  at  Geneva  Feb.  13.  1977.  En- 
ters into  force  Jan.  1 .  1979. 
Notifications     ol     approval     deposited: 

Malaysia,    June    8.    1978;    U.K..    Julv   6, 

1978." 

Terrorism 

Convention  on  the  prevention  and  punishment 
of  crimes  against  internationally  protected 
persons,  including  diplomatic  agents.  Done 
at  New  York  Dec.  14,  1973.  Entered  into 
toiee  Feb.  20.  1977.  TIAS  8532. 
Accession  deposited:  Jamaica,  Sept.  21, 
1978. 

Tin 

Fifth  international  tin  agreement,  with  an- 
nexes. Done  at  Geneva  June  21.  1975.  En- 
tered into  force  provisionally  July  1,  1976; 
definitively  June  14,  1977.  TIAS  8607. 
Ratifications  deposited:  Belgium,  Luxem- 
bourg, Sept.  20.  1978. 


Illi 

lb( 
5i 
loi 
lil 

I 

III 

ib 
lio 


Leba- 
1978; 

Radio 


ove  tuber  147<S 

onnage  Measurement 

ternational  convention  on  tonnage   measure- 
ment of  ships.    1964,  with  annexes     Done  at 
London  June  23.  1969.' 
Acceptance  deposited:  Philippines.  Sept.  6. 
1978. 

nited  Nations 

larter  of  the  LI  nited  Nations  and  Statute  of 
the  International  Court  of  Justice.  Signed  at 
San  Francisco  June  26,  1945.  Entered  into 
force  Oct.  24.  1945.  TS  993. 
Admission  la  membership:  Solomon  Is- 
lands. Sept    19.  1978. 

heat 

otocol  modifying  and  further  extending  the 
wheat  trade  convention  (part  of  the  interna- 
tional wheat  agreement).  1971  (TIAS  7144). 
Done  at  Washington  Apr.  26.  1978.  Entered 
into  force  June  24.  1978.  with  respect  to 
certain  provisions.  July  I,  1978.  with  re- 
spect to  other  provisions. 
Accession  deposited:  Cuba  (with  declara- 
tions) Sept.  15.  1978. 
Ratifications  deposited:  Federal  Republic  of 
Germany,  Sept  28.  1978;"  Peru.  Oct.  5. 
1978. 
otocol  modifying  and  further  extending  the 
food  aid  convention  (part  of  the  interna- 
tional wheal  agreement)  1971  (TIAS  7144). 
Done  at  Washington  Apr.  26.  1978.  Entered 
into  force  June  24.  1978.  with  respect  to 
certain  provisions.  July  1,  1978,  with  re- 
spect to  other  provisions. 
Ratification  deposited:  Federal  Republic  of 
Germany.  Sept.  28.  1978." 

orld  Heritage 

invention   concerning    the    protection    of   the 
world  cultural  and  natural  heritage.  Done  at 
'Paris    Nov.    23,    1972.    Entered    into    force 
Dec.  17.  1975.  TIAS  8226. 
Acceptance    deposited:    Nepal,    June    20, 

1978. 
Ratification  deposited:  Italy.  June  23.  1978. 


[LATERAL 

jlivia 

Lgreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales 

I  of   agricultural    commodities    of   May    31. 

1978.   Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at   La 

Paz  Aug.  31  and  Sept.  1.  1978.  Entered  into 

force  Sept.  1.  1978 

had 

[rant  agreement   amending  the   agreement  of 

I  Aug.  25,  1977  concerning  the  human  re- 
sources development  project.  Signed  at 
N'Djamena  Feb.  28.  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Feb.  28,  1978. 

Irant  agreement  for  the  rural  sanitary  water 
project.  Signed  at  N'Djamena  Apr.  II. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Apr.  11,  1978. 

loject  grant  agreement  for  agricultural  in- 
stitutional development  with  annexes. 
Signed  at  N'Djamena  Aug.  15,  1978.  En- 
tered into  force  Aug.  15,  1978. 

gyp< 

rant  agreement  amending  the  agreement  of 
Aug.   11,  1977,  as  amended  Aug.  31.  1977. 

land  May   18.   1978,  for  technology  transfer 

I  and  manpower  development  III.  Signed  at 
Cairo    Aug.     15.    1978.    Entered    into    force 

,  Aug.  15,  1978. 

troject  grant  agreement  for  development  plan- 
ning studies.  Signed  at  Cairo  Aug.  17. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  17.  1978. 

roject  agreement  for  narcotics  control  en- 
forcement. Signed  at  Cairo  Sept.  29.   1978. 

i  Entered  into  force  Sept.  29.  1978. 

llong  Kong 

lgreement  amending  the  agreement  of  Aug    8. 

1977  (TIAS  8936),  relating  to  trade  in  cot- 

I  ton,  wool,  and  manmade  fiber  textiles.  Ef- 

I  fected  by  exchange  of  letters  at  Washington 


Sept.   20  and  25.    1978.   Entered  into  force 
Sept.  25.  1978. 

Italy 

Agreement   on    the    matter   of   social    security. 

Signed  at  Washington  May  23.  1973 

Entry  into  force:  Nov.  I,  1978. 
Administrative  protocol  for  the  implementation 

of  the  agreement  on  social  security  of  May 

23.  1973.  Signed  at  Rome  Nov.  22,  1977. 

Entry  into  force:  Nov.  1,  1978. 

Jamaica 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales 
of  agricultural  commodities  of  Aug.  2, 
1978.  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at 
Kingston  Sept.  5.  1978. 

Kuwait 

Agreement  on  procedures  for  mutual  assist- 
ance in  connection  with  matters  relating  to 
the  Boeing  Company.  Signed  at  Washington 
Oct.  6.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  6. 
1978. 

Liberia 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  Apr.  10 
and  18.  1973  (TIAS  3635).  relating  to  the 
establishment,  operation,  and  maintenance 
of  an  OMEGA  navigational  station.  Effected 
by  exchange  of  notes  at  Monrovia  Mar.  22 
and  Aug.  22.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug. 
22,  1978. 

Mexico 

Agreement    for   cooperation   on   environmental 
programs  and   transboundary  problems.    Ef- 
fected by  exchange  of  notes  at  Mexico  and 
Tlatelolco  June  14  and  19.  1978. 
Entered  into  force:  June  19,  1978. 

Morocco 

Project  grant  agreement  for  nonformal  educa- 
tion for  women,  with  annexes.  Signed  at 
Rabat  Aug.  14.  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  14.  1978. 

Project  grant  agreement  for  industrial  and 
commercial  job  training  for  women,  with 
annexes.  Signed  at  Rabat  Aug  14.  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Aug.  14,  1978. 

Nigeria 

Convention  and  supplementary  protocol  relat- 
ing to  the  avoidance  of  double  taxation  and 
the  prevention  of  fiscal  evasion  with  respect 
to  taxes  on  income,  signed  by  the  U.S.  and 
the  U.K.  at  Washington  Apr.  16,  1945 
(TIAS  1546),  modified  by  supplementary 
protocols  of  May  25,  1954,  and  August  19. 
1957  (TIAS  3165.  4124),  and  extended  to 
Nigeria.  Entered  into  force  for  Nigeria  July 
28.  1959. 

Termination:  As  respects  U.S.  tax.  for  the 
taxable  years  beginning  on  or  after  Jan.  1, 
1979;  as  respects  Nigeria  income  tax,  for 
any  year  of  assessment  beginning  on  or 
after  Apr    1,  1979. 

Panama 

Agreement  relating  to  economic  and  military 
cooperation.  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes 
at  Panama  Sept.  7,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Sept.  7.  1978. 

Philippines 

Project  loan  and  grant  agreement  for  small 
farmer  systems.  Signed  at  Manila  Aug.  18. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  18,  1978. 

Agreement  relating  to  trade  in  cotton,  wool, 
and  manmade  fiber  textiles  and  textile  prod- 
ucts, with  annexes.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Manila  Aug.  22  and  24,  1978.  En- 
tered into  force  Aug.  24.  1978;  effective 
Jan.  1,  1978. 

Romania 

Agreement  amending  the  agreements  of  June 
17.  1977.  as  amended  (TIAS  8833)  relating 
to  trade  in  wool  and  manmade  fiber  textiles 
and  Jan.  6  and  25,  1978,  relating  to  trade  in 
cotton    textiles.    Effected    by    exchange    of 


57 

letters  at  Washington  and  New  York  July  27 
and  Sept.  1  I.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept. 
I  I.  1978. 

Singapore 

Agreement  relating  to  trade  in  cotton,  wool, 
and  manmade  fiber  textiles  and  textile  prod- 
ucts, with  annexes.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Washington  Sept.  21  and  22.  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Sept.  22.  1978;  effective 
Jan.  I,  1978. 

Sudan 

Project  grant  agreement  for  southern  man- 
power development  project.  Signed  at 
Khartoum  Aug.  30,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  30.  1978. 

Project  grant  agreement  for  primary  health 
care — Part  II  (Northern  Provinces).  Signed 
at  Khartoum  Aug.  30.  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  30,  1978. 

Turkey 

Agreement  regarding  the  consolidation  and  re- 
scheduling of  certain  debts  owed  to, 
guaranteed,  or  insured  by  the  U.S.  Govern- 
ment and  its  agencies,  with  annexes.  Signed 
at  Washington  Sept.  21,  1978.  Enters  into 
force  upon  receipt  by  Turkey  of  written 
notice  that  U.S.  laws  and  regulations  cov- 
ering debt  rescheduling  have  been  complied 
with. 

U.S.S.R. 

Convention    concerning    the    conservation    of 
migratory    birds    and    their    environment- 
Signed  at  Moscow  Nov.  19,  1976. 
Ratifications  exchanged    Oct.  13,  1978. 

Entered  into  force:  Oct.  13.  1978. 

United  Kingdom 

Agreement  concerning  defense  areas  in  the 
Turks  and  Caicos  Islands.  Effected  by  ex- 
change of  notes  at  Washington  Sept.  29. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  29.  1978. 

Zaire 

Agreement  relating  to  acquisition  of  U.S. 
Government-owned  domestic  and  foreign 
excess  property  by  Zaire.  Signed  at  Wash- 
ington and  Kinshasa  July  10  and  Aug.  9. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  9.  1978. 

Agreement  for  sales  of  agricultural  com- 
modities, relating  to  the  agreement  of  Mar. 
25,  1976  (TIAS  8403).  with  memoranda  of 
understanding.  Signed  at  Kinshasa  Aug.  25, 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  25,  1978.     □ 


1  Not  in  force. 

2  Not  in  force  for  the  U.S. 
'For  the  Kingdom  in  Europe. 

4  With  reservation. 

5  With  statement. 

6  With  declaration. 
'Subject  to  ratification. 

8  Also  in  respect  of  Antigua,  Dominica,  St. 
Kitts-Nevis-Anguilla,  St.  Lucia,  St.  Vincent, 
Brunei,  territories  under  the  territorial 
sovereignty  of  the  U.K.,  and,  within  the  limits 
of  jurisdiction  therein,  the  Condominium  of 
the  New  Hebrides. 

"With  a  statement;  applicable  to  Berlin 
(West). 


58 


Department  of  State  Bullet 


PRESS  RELEASES: 

Department  of  State 


September  1 1 -October  13 

Press  releases  may  be  obtained  from  the 
Office  of  Press  Relations,  Department  of 
State,  Washington,  DC.  20520. 


No.  Date 

*348         9/11 


♦349        9/13 


*350        9/13 


*351        9/13 


*352        9/14 


*353  9/14 

*354  g/14 

*355  9/15 

*356  9/15 

*357  9/18 

*358  9/19 


*359  9/19 
*360  9/20 
*361        9/20 


*362        9/20 
•363        9/21 


*364        9/21 


Subject 

Joint  U.S. -Republic  of  Korea 
statement  on  the  standing 
committee  on  nuclear  and 
other  energy  technology. 

International  Telegraph  and 
Telephone  Consultative 
Committee  (CCITT), 
study  group  4,  Oct.  1 1 . 

Shipping  Coordinating 
Committee  (SCC),  Sub- 
committee on  Safety  of 
Life  at  Sea  (SOLAS), 
working  group  on  radio 
communications,  Oct.  19. 

Advisory  committee  to  the 
U.S.  section  of  the  Inter- 
national Commission  for 
the  Conservation  of  Atlan- 
tic Tunas,  Oct.  4. 

Advisory  committee  to  the 
U.S.  section  of  the  Inter- 
national North  Pacific 
Fisheries  Commission, 
Sept  26  (partially  closed 
meeting). 

U.S..  Philippines  sign  new 
textile  agreement,  Aug.  22 
and  24. 

U.S. -Japan  communique  on 
the  joint  planning  and 
coordination  committee  on 
environmental  protection. 

CCITT.  study  group  1.  Oct. 
12. 

U.S.,  Colombia  sign  textile 
agreement,  Aug.  3. 

Advisory  Committee  on  Pri- 
vate International  Law. 
Oct.  25. 

Vance:  address  at  the 
Women's  Action  Organi- 
zation award  ceremony 
(delivered  by  Assistant 
Secretary  Moose),  Sept. 
I  I 

Vance:  departure  statement. 
Andrews  Air  Force  Base 

Vance:  arrival  statement. 
Amman. 

SCC,  National  Committee 
for  the  Prevention  of  Ma- 
rine Pollution.  Nov.  28. 

S<  C,  Oct.  12. 

William  H.  Luers  sworn  in 
as  Ambassador  to  Ven- 
ezuela (biographic  data). 

Vance.  Ibrahim:  remarks, 
Amman  Airport 


*365 

9/21 

*366 

9/22 

*367 

9/26 

♦368 

9/27 

♦369 

9/27 

"370        9/27 


*371 


*372 


*374 


*375 


376 


*377 


*379 

*380 
*381 


9/27 


9/27 


*373        9/27 


9/27 


9/27 


9/29 


9/29 


*378        9/29 


10/2 

10/3 
10/3 


*382  10/6 

*383  10/6 

*384  10/10 

♦385  10/10 

*386  10/13 


Vance:  arrival  remarks. 
Riyadh. 

Advisory  Committee  on  In- 
ternational Intellectual 
Property,  Oct.  30. 

U.S.,  Japan  sign  textile 
agreement,  Aug.  28. 

Polish-American  Day,  Oct. 
5. 

Advisory  Committee  on 
Transnational  Enterprises, 
Oct.  12. 

SCC,  SOLAS,  working 
group  on  ship  design  and 
equipment,  Oct.  18. 

SCC.  SOLAS,  working 
group  on  fire  protection. 
Oct.  19. 

Ocean  Affairs  Advisory 
Committee,  Nov.  8  (par- 
tially closed  meeting). 

U.S.,  Romania  amend  textile 
agreement,  July  27  and 
Sept.  11. 

U.S.,  Hong  Kong  establish 
export  limits,  exchange  of 
letters,  Sept.  20  and  25. 

U.S.,  Singapore  sign  textile 
agreement,  Sept.  21  and 
22. 

Vance:  statement  before  the 
33d  U.N.  General  Assem- 
bly. 

Advisory  Committee  on  the 
Law  of  the  Sea,  Oct.  30 
(closed  session)  and  Oct. 
3  I  (partially  closed). 

Ambler  H.  Moss,  Jr.,  sworn 
in  as  Ambassador  to 
Panama  (biographic  data). 

John  Gunther  Dean  sworn  in 
as  Ambassador  to  Lebanon 
(biographic  data). 

Town  Meeting  on  foreign 
policy.  Norfolk,  Nov.  4. 

National  foreign  policy  con- 
ference for  community  and 
junior  college  chief 
executive  officers.  Oct. 
2-3. 

Harold  E.  Horan  sworn  in  as 
Ambassador  to  Malawi 
(biographic  data) 

ACDA  Director  Paul  C. 
Warnke  to  address  confer- 
ence on  U.S.  security  and 
the  Soviet  challenge. 
Pittsburgh.  Oct.   17. 

Advisory    Committee    on 

Historical  Diplomatic 
Documentation,  Nov.  13. 

Fine  Arts  Committee.  Nov. 
13. 

Richard  B  Parker  sworn  in 
as  Ambassador  to  Morocco 
(biographic  data).  Q 


REPLICATIONS 


1950  "Foreign    Relations"  Volume  V 
"The  Near  East,  South  Asia, 
and  Africa"1 

The  Department  of  State  released  o 
July  5,  1978,  "Foreign  Relations  c 
the  United  States,"  1950,  volume  V 
"The  Near  East,  South  Asia,  and  A 
rica."  The  "Foreign  Relations"  serie 
has  been  published  continuously  sine 
1861  as  the  official  record  of  America 
foreign  policy. 

This  volume  presents  1 ,889  pages  c 
previously  unpublished  documentatio 
(much  of  it  newly  declassified)  o 
basic  U.S.  security  interests  in  th 
Near  East  and  South  Asia;  military  an 
political  talks  with  the  United  Kinj 
dom;  the  Tripartite  Declaration  of  Ma 
25,  1950,  by  the  United  States,  th 
United  Kingdom,  and  France  concerr 
ing  Near  Eastern  arms  and  security 
U.S.  proposals  for  economic,  techn 
cal,  and  military  assistance;  and  petrc 
leum  policy.  A  section  on  U.S.  rela 
tions  with  Israel  and  U.S.  interest  i 
the  Arab-Israeli  conflict  over  the  futui 
status  of  Palestine  comprises  the  large: 
single  collection  of  material  in  the  vo 
ume.  Other  sections  of  the  volum 
present  documentation  on  bilateral  re 
lations  with  Egypt,  Greece,  Iran,  Irac, 
Jordan,  Lebanon,  Saudi  Arabia,  Syrk 
Turkey,  and  Yemen. 

Documentation  on  South  Asia  ir 
eludes  coverage  of  the  dispute  betwee 
India  and  Pakistan  over  Kashmir,  an 
U.S.  relations  with  Afghanistan,  India 
Nepal,  and  Pakistan.  A  substantia 
section  on  Africa  covers  general  U.S 
policies  with  respect  to  Africa;  partici 
pation  in  discussions  on  the  disposition 
of  the  former  Italian  colonies  in  Afric. 
(Libya.  Eritrea,  and  Italian  Somali 
land);  and  relations  with  Ethiopia 
Liberia.  Morocco.  Tunisia,  and  thi 
Union  of  South  Africa. 

"Foreign  Relations,"  1950.  volume 
V,  was  prepared  in  the  Office  of  tht 
Historian.  Bureau  of  Public  Affairs 
Department  of  State.  Five  other  vol 
times  for  1950  have  already  been  pub 
lished,  and  one  more  is  in  preparation 
One  volume  for  1951  has  also  beer 
published,  and  six  others  are  in  prep- 
aration. Copies  of  volume  V  for  195C 
(Department  of  State  publication  8927; 
may  be  purchased  for  $15.50  (domestic 
postpaid).  Checks  or  money  orders 
should  be  made  out  to  the  Superinten- 
dent  of  Documents  and  should  be  sent 
to  the  U.S.  Government  Book  Store, 
Department  of  State.  Washington, 
D.C.  20520.  C 


■J; 
I 


'  Not  printed  in  the  Bulletin. 


1  Press  release  269. 


INDEX 


NOVEMBER  1978 
'OL.  78,  NO.  2020 

frica.  Southern  Rhodesia  Executive  Council 
Members  Visit  U.S.  (Department  announce- 
ment, joint  U.S. -U.K.  statement) 13 

Tins  Control 
Balanced  and  Effective  Defense  (Brown)    .  .  14 

omprehensive  Test  Ban  (Gelb) 17 

onvention  on  the  Hostile  Use  of  Environmental 
Modification  Techniques  (message  from 
President  Carter) 16 

n  Overview  of  U.S. -Soviet  Relations  (Shul- 
man)   28 

resident  Carter's  News  Conferences  of  Sept.  28 
and  Oct.  10  (excerpts)    9 

3d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 
(Vance) 45 

ulgaria.  An  Overview  of  Eastern  Europe 
(Luers)   33 

'ommodities.  33d  U.N.  General  Assembly 
Convenes  ( Vance) 45 

ongress 

onn  Summit  and  Investment  in  Developing 
Countries  (Cooper)  19 

amp  David  Agreements  (Saunders)   42 

omprehensive  Test  Ban  (Gelb) 17 

onvention  on  the  Hostile  Use  of  Environmental 
Modification  Techniques  (message  from 
President  Carter) 16 

lultilateral  Trade  Negotiations  (message  from 
President  Carter) 21 

inth  Report  on  Cyprus  (Carter) 31 

n  Overview  of  Eastern  Europe  (Luers)    33 

n  Overview  of  U.S. -Soviet  Relations  (Shul- 
man)   28 

he  Role  of  Human  Rights  Policy  in  Arms 
Transfers  for  Latin  America  (Derian)     51 

.S.  Export  Policy  (Carter,  Katz) 23 

yprus 

I  inth  Report  on  Cyprus  (Carter) 31 
id  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 
(Vance) 45 
zechoslovakia.  An  Overview  of  Eastern 
Europe  (Luers) 33 

'eveloping  Countries 
llonn    Summit    and    Investment    in    Developing 

Countries  (Cooper) 19 

■  /orld  Population:  The  Silent  Explosion  —  Part  2 

t    (Fearey,  Giffler,  Green) I 

Iconomics.    Bonn   Summit   and   Investment   in 

I  Developing  Countries  (Cooper)    19 

ducational    and    Cultural    Affairs.    U.S.- 

■  Mexico    Commission    on    Cultural    Cooper- 

II  ation   55 

vgypt 

'amp  David  Agreements  (Saunders)   42 

'(resident  Carter's  News  Conferences  of  Sept.  28 
I  and  Oct.  10  (excerpts)    9 

13d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 
I]  ( Vance) 45 

Energy.  33d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 

j  (Vance) 45 

urope.  Country  Background  Notes  41 


Food.   33d  U.N.   General   Assembly   Convenes 

(Vance) 45 

Germany 

Letter  of  Credence  (Grunert) 29 

An  Overview  of  Eastern  Europe  (Luers)    33 

Grenada.  Letter  of  Credence  (Griffith) 53 

Human  Rights 

An  Overview  of  U.S. -Soviet   Relations  (Shul- 

man)   28 

The    Role    of   Human    Rights    Policy    in    Arms 

Transfers  for  Latin  America  (Derian) 51 

33d    U.N.    General    Assembly    Convenes 

(Vance) 45 

Hungary.    An    Overview    of    Eastern    Europe 

(Luers)   33 

Industrialized  Democracies.  Bonn  Summit  and 

Investment    in    Developing    Countries 

(Cooper) 19 

Iran.    President   Carter's   News   Conferences  of 

Sept.  28  and  Oct    10  (excerpts) 9 

Ireland.  Letter  of  Credence  (Donlon)  29 

Israel 

Camp  David  Agreements  (Saunders)    42 

President  Carter's  News  Conferences  of  Sept.  28 

and  Oct.  10  (excerpts)    9 

33d    U.N.    General    Assembly    Convenes 

(Vance) 45 

Jordan.  President  Carter's  News  Conferences  of 

Sept.  28  and  Oct.  10  (excerpts) 9 

Latin  America  and  the  Caribbean 

Arms  Transfer  Policy  in  Latin  America  (foreign 

relations  outline) 54 

The    Role    of   Human    Rights   Policy    in   Arms 

Transfers  for  Latin  America  (Derian) 51 

Lebanon 

President  Carter's  News  Conferences  of  Sept.  28 

and  Oct.  10  (excerpts)    9 

33d    U.N.    General    Assembly    Convenes 

(Vance) 45 

Mexico.   U.S. -Mexico  Commission  on  Cultural 

Cooperation 55 

Middle  East 

Secretary  Vance's  Middle  East  Visit   43 

33d    U.N.    General    Assembly    Convenes 

(Vance) 45 

Military    Affairs.    A    Balanced   and   Effective 

Defense  ( Brown) 14 

Monetary    Affairs.    President    Carter's    News 

Conferences  of  Sept.    28   and   Oct.    10   (ex- 
cerpts)   9 

Namibia.    33d    U.N.    General    Assembly   Con- 
venes ( Vance)   45 

Oceans.  33d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 

(Vance) 45 

Poland.    An    Overview    of    Eastern    Europe 

(Luers)   33 

Population.    World    Population:    The    Silent 

Explosion  —  Part    2    (Fearey.    Giffler. 

Green) 1 

Presidential  Documents 
Convention  on  the  Hostile  Use  of  Environmental 

Modification  Techniques  16 

Multilateral  Trade  Negotiations 21 

Ninth  Report  on  Cyprus 31 

President  Carter's  News  Conferences  of  Sept.  28 

and  Oct.  10  (excerpts)    9 

United  Nations  Day,  1978  50 

United  Nations  Day,  1978  (proclamation)  ...  .51 

U.S.  Export  Policy  23 

Publications 

Country  Background  Notes   41 


GPO  Sales  Publications   27 

1950  "Foreign  Relations"  Volume  V:  "The  Near 
East,  South  Asia,  and  Africa"    58 

United  Nations  Background  Note 49 

Refugees.  33d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Con- 
venes (  Vance)   45 

Romania.  An  Overview  of  Eastern  Europe 
(Luers)   33 

Security  Assistance 

Arms  Transfer  Policy  in  Latin  America  (foreign 
relations  outline) 54 

The  Role  of  Human  Rights  Policy  in  Arms 
Transfers  for  Latin  America  (Derian) 51 

Southern  Rhodesia 

President  Carter's  News  Conferences  of  Sept.  28 
and  Oct.  10  (excerpts)    9 

Southern  Rhodesia  Executive  Council  Members 
Visit  U.S.  (Department  announcement,  joint 
U.S. -U.K.  statement) 13 

33d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 
(Vance) 45 

Terrorism.  33d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Con- 
venes ( Vance)    45 

Trade 

Multilateral  Trade  Negotiations  (message  from 
President  Carter) 21 

33d    U.N.    General    Assembly    Convenes 

(Vance) 45 

U.S.  Export  Policy  (Carter,  Katz)    23 

Treaties 

Convention  on  the  Hostile  Use  of  Environmental 
Modification  Techniques  (message  from 
President  Carter) 16 

Current  Actions 56 

U.S.S.R. 

A  Balanced  and  Effective  Defense  (Brown)        14 

Comprehensive  Test  Ban  (Gelb) 17 

An  Overview  of  U.S. -Soviet  Relations  (Shul- 
man)   28 

United  Nations 

33d  U.N.  General  Assembly  Convenes 
(Vance) 45 

United  Nations  Background  Note 49 

United  Nations  Day,  1978  (Carter) 50 

United  Nations  Day,  1978  (proclamation)  ...  .51 

U.S.  Delegation  to  the  33d  U.N.  General  As- 
sembly     46 

World  Conference  To  Combat  Racism  (White 
House  statement) 48 


Name  Index 

Brown,  Harold   14 

Carter,  President  ....  9,  16.  21 ,  23,  31 ,  50.  51 

Cooper.  Richard  N    19 

Derian.  Patricia  M 51 

Donlon.  Sean 29 

Fearey,  Robert  A 1 

Gelb,  Leslie  H 17 

Giffler,  Lydia  K 1 

Green.  Marshall 1 

Griffith,  George  Ashley .  .  .53 

Grunert,  Horst 29 

Katz.  Julius  L    .  23 

Luers,  William  H      .  33 

Saunders,  Harold  H 42 

Shulman,  Marshall  D   28 

Vance.  Secretary 45 


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Department 


Jf    of  State  ~MW  JW  j    & 

bulletin 


December  1978 


■* 


e  Official  Monthly  Record  of  United  States  Foreign  Policy  /  Volume  78  /  Number  2021 

\3:        I 


Department  of  State 

bulletin 

Volume  78      Number  2021  /  December  1978 


The  Department  of  State  Bulletin, 
published  by  the  Office  of  Public  Com- 
munication in  the  Bureau  of  Public 
Affairs,  is  the  official  record  of  U.S. 
foreign  policy.  Its  purpose  is  to  provide 
the  public,  the  Congress,  and  govern- 
ment agencies  with  information  on 
developments  in  U.S.  foreign  relations 
and  the  work  of  the  Department  of 
State  and  the  Foreign  Service. 

The  Bulletin's  contents  include 
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CYRUS  R.  VANCE 

Secretary  of  State 

HODDING  CARTER  III 

Assistant  Secretary  for  Public  Affa 

JOHN  CLARK  KIMBALL 

Consulting  Editor 

PHYLLIS  A.  YOUNG 

Editor 

COLLEEN  SUSSMAN 
Assistant  Editor 


CONTENTS 


I     SALT  AND  AMERICAN  SECURITY 

5  AMBASSADOR  WARNKE'S  NEWS  CONFERENCE  OF  OCTOBER  30 

6  ACDA/SALT  OFFICIALS 


THE  PRESIDENT 

12      The  United  States  and  Its  Economic 

Responsibilities 
14      Interview  on  •'Bill  Movers'  Journal" 

THE  SECRETARY 

17      News  Conference  of  November  3 

20  Visit  to  Europe  and  the  Middle  East 

AFRICA 

21  Secretary   Vance  Discusses  Namibia 

With  South  African  Officials 
(News  Conference,  Joint  State- 
ment, South  African  Statement, 
Western  Five  Statement) 

25  U.S.,  U.K.,  Rhodesian  Executive 
Council  Meeting  (Department  An- 
nouncement,  Joint  U  .S .-  U  .K . 
Statement) 

25  Rhodesian  Raids  (Department  State- 
ments) 

27  Southern  Rhodesia  (Foreign  Rela- 
tions Outline) 

27  Letter  of  Credence  (Mali) 

EAST  ASIA 

28  The  Dominoes  That  Did  Not  Fall 

(David  D.  Newsom) 

29  Arms  Sales  to  Taiwan  (Department 

Statement) 

30  GPO  Sales  Publications 

ECONOMICS 

31  Measures   to   Strengthen   the   Dollar 

(President  Carter,  Secretary  Blu- 
menthal) 

31  Congressional  Documents 

32  Managing  Economic  Problems  in  the 

Industrialized  Democracies  (Robert 
D.  Hormats) 

EUROPE 

36  Armaments  Cooperation   in  NATO 

( Warren  Christopher) 

37  Secretary  Vance  Visits  Moscow 

37  Letter  of  Credence  (Romania) 

38  U.S.  Military  Cooperation  With  Tur- 

key (President  Carter,  Memoran- 
dum to  the  Secretary  of  State,  De- 
partment Statement) 


FOOD 

39  Presidential  Commission  on  World 

Hunger  (President  Carter) 

MIDDLE  EAST 

40  Egyptian-Israeli  Peace  Negotiations 

(President  Carter,  Foreign  Minis- 
ter Day  an.  Defense  Minister  Has- 
san Ali,  White  House  Statement) 

OCEANS 

42  Law  of  the  Sea  Conference  (Elliot  L. 

Richardson) 

43  Expanded  Canadian  Maritime  Bound- 

ary Claim  (Department  Statement) 

POPULATION 

44  World    Population:    The    Silent 

Explosion  —  Part  3  (Marshall 
Green,  Robert  A.  Fearey) 

SCIENCE  AND  TECHNOLOGY 

48  The  Challenge  of  Science  and  Tech- 
nology for  Development  (Charles 
William  Maynes) 

SOUTH  ASIA 

52  Superpowers  and  Regional  Alliances 
in  South  Asia  (David  D.  Newsom) 

54  Indian  Ocean   Arms   Limitation 

Negotiations  (Leslie  H.  Gelb) 

55  Letter  of  Credence  (Bangladesh) 

UNITED  NATIONS 

56  Namibia   (Secretary   Vance,    Text  of 

Resolution) 

57  Southern     Rhodesia     (John     W. 

Hechinger) 

TREATIES 

58  Current  Actions 

61      PRESS  RELEASES 

INDEX 

Supt  i 


DEPOSITORY 


SUBLIMIT 


820 


SUBLIMIT 


1,200 

MAXIMUM 


J^^^ 


SLBMs- THE  ABOVE  PLUS 

MIRVed  SUBMARINE 
LAUNCHED  BALLISTIC 
MISSILES 


SUBLIMIT 


1,020 

MAXIMUM 


BOMBERS- BOTH  OF  THE  ABOVE  PLUS 
LONG-RANGE  BOMBERS 
CARRYING  CRUISE  MISSILES 


OVERALL  CEILING 


2,250 

MAXIMUM 


TOTAL  DELIVERY  SYSTEMS:  ALL  OF  THE  ABOVE  PLUS 
UNMIRVed  MISSILES  AND 
BOMBERS  NOT  CARRYING 
CRUISE  MISSILES 


w 


SALT  AND  AMERICAN  SECURITY 


The  Strategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks 
ALT)  between  the  United  States  and 
Soviet  Union  have  been  formally 
derway  since  1969,  during  the  Ad- 
inistrations  of  three  American 
esidents  —  Richard  Nixon,  Gerald 
rd,  and  Jimmy  Carter.  The  purpose 
the  talks  is  to  promote  our  national 
;urity  by  reducing  the  risk  of  nuclear 
ir  through  negotiation  of  mutual  lim- 
on  strategic  nuclear  arms.  In  May 
72  the  negotiations  resulted  in  the 
st  SALT  agreements  —  the  Treaty  on 
:  Limitation  of  Anti-Ballistic  Missile 
stems  (Antiballistic  Missile  Treaty) 
i  the  Interim  Agreement  on  the  Lim- 
tion  of  Strategic  Offensive  Arms, 
ice  then — during  nearly  6  years  of 
lgh  bargaining  —  both  nations  have 
ived  at  the  broad  outlines  of  a  new 
■eement,  called  SALT  II,  and  accord 
>  been  reached  on  many  of  its  spe- 
ic  provisions. 

SALT  —  and  all  arms  control 
licy  —  is  part  of  national  security 
licy.  Our  basic  arms  control  policy 
ii  our  specific  negotiating  positions 
|l  developed  through  the  National  Se- 
fity  Council  with  the  participation  of 
i  the  responsible  agencies  and  their 
lads  —  the  Secretary  of  State,  the 

!:retary  of  Defense,  the  Chairman  of 
Joint  Chiefs  of  Staff,  the  Director 
'■  the  Arms  Control  and  Disarmament 
C  ency,  and  the  Director  of  the  Central 
telligence  Agency.  The  U.S.  SALT 
[legation,  which  is  negotiating  with 
jit  U.S.S.R.  delegation  in  Geneva 
[der  instructions  approved  by  the 
l:sident,  has  representation  from  the 


This  article  is  taken  from  a 
pamphlet  of  the  same  title  pre- 
i  pared  by  the  Arms  Control  and 
i  Disarmament  Agency  and  re- 
leased in  November  1978.  Indi- 
vidual copies  of  the  pamphlet 
i  may  be  purchased  for  $1.10  each 
from  the  Superintendent  of 
Documents,   U.S.   Government 
^Printing  Office,   Washington, 
1D.C.  20402.  (Orders  of  100  or 
\more  copies  of  the  same  pam- 
Sphlet  mailed  to  the  same  address 
\are  sold  at  a  25%  discount.)  Re- 
mittance in  the  form  of  a  check 
\or  money  order  payable  to  the 
\Superintendent  of  Documents 
must  accompany  orders. 


agencies  responsible  for  national  secu- 
rity policy. 

In  the  nuclear  age,  both  military 
forces  and  arms  control  serve  our  na- 
tional security.  We  need  a  strong  and 
flexible  military  capability  to  deter  any 
potential  aggressor  from  attacking  and, 
if  deterrence  should  fail,  to  defend  our- 
selves and  our  allies.  Our  nuclear  and 
conventional  forces  —  land,  sea,  and 
air — are  designed  for  these  missions. 

As  the  nuclear  arms  race  developed, 
however,  both  the  United  States  and 
the  Soviet  Union  recognized  that  an 
unlimited  arms  race  might  endanger 
rather  than  preserve  the  security  of 
both  nations.  This  recognition  gave 
birth  to  the  SALT  process,  which,  in 
its  simplest  terms,  seeks  equitable  and 
adequately  verifiable  limitations  on 
strategic  arms  to  enhance  the  national 
security  of  both  sides. 

In  SALT,  the  stakes  are  enormous. 
The  fact  that  nuclear  weapons  have  not 
been  employed  for  over  30  years 
should  not  cause  us  to  ignore  the  awe- 
some consequences  of  nuclear  war. 
Weapons  with  intercontinental  ranges 
and  previously  unimagined  explosive 
power  can  destroy  in  minutes  what  it 
has  taken  centuries  to  build.  Although 
we  are  confident  of  our  ability  to 
maintain  nuclear  deterrence  and  a  clear 
balance  in  strategic  forces,  without  a 
new  agreement  we  could  face  the  pos- 
sibility of  an  escalating  arms  race,  in- 
creased tension  between  this  nation  and 
the  Soviet  Union,  and  a  greater  risk  of 
the  catastrophe  of  nuclear  war.  SALT 
may  well  be  the  most  important  negoti- 
ation the  United  States  has  ever 
undertaken. 

A  national  debate  on  this  most  seri- 
ous of  issues  has  already  begun.  Below 
are  answers  to  some  of  the  questions 
that  Americans  are  asking  about  SALT 
and  American  security. 

Which  nation  has  stronger 
strategic  forces  today,  the  United 
States  or  the  Soviet  Union? 

In  terms  of  overall  strategic  nuclear 
power,  the  two  nations  are  roughly 
equal.  Both  sides  have  immensely 
powerful  strategic  nuclear  forces  that 
can  bring  catastrophic  devastation  to 
each  other  or  any  other  attacker. 

In  terms  of  specific  forces,  the 
United  States  leads  in  some  categories; 
the  Soviets  lead  in  others.  Today,  for 
example,  we  have  about  twice  as  many 


deliverable  strategic  nuclear  warheads. 
The  Soviets  have  more  and  larger 
land-based  missiles,  but  ours  are  more 
accurate.  We  have  a  substantially 
larger  heavy  bomber  force,  more  of 
which  is  on  alert,  and  our  bombers  are 
more  capable.  The  Soviets  have  exten- 
sive air  defenses,  whereas  U.S.  air  de- 
fenses are  minimal.  Both  nations  pos- 
sess secure  retaliatory  weapons  on  bal- 
listic missile-firing  submarines.  The 
Soviet  Union  possesses  a  larger  number 
of  submarines  and  submarine-launched 
ballistic  missiles  (SLBM's);  however, 
the  United  States  has  far  more  of  its 
strategic  nuclear  weapons  at  sea  on  its 
submarines  than  does  the  Soviet  Union. 
Although  the  Soviets  are  making 
major  efforts  to  catch  up,  we  continue, 
in  most  cases,  to  be  far  ahead  of  the 
Soviet  Union  in  economic  and  techno- 
logical strength  —  important  for  pre- 
serving strong  strategic  capabilities  in 
the  future.  Looking  to  this  future,  both 
sides  are  modernizing  their  forces  so 
that  each  may  always  maintain  power- 
ful and  secure  strategic  nuclear  power. 

What  will  be  in  the  SALT  II 
agreement? 

SALT  II  will  consist  of  a  basic 
agreement  which  will  remain  in  force 
through  1985,  a  protocol  which  will 
expire  well  before  that  date,  and  a 
statement  of  principles  which  will  es- 
tablish general  guidelines  for  sub- 
sequent negotiations,  SALT  III. 

Each  country  initially  will  be  limited 
to  an  equal  total  number  of  2,400 
strategic  nuclear  delivery  vehicles,  a 
ceiling  which  will  be  reduced  to  2,250 
well  before  1985.  Under  this  overall 
ceiling,  there  will  also  be  three  impor- 
tant sublimits:  a  1,320  sublimit  on 
launchers  of  land-based  intercontinen- 
tal ballistic  missiles  (ICBM's) 
equipped  with  multiple  independ- 
ently-targetable  reentry  vehicles 
(MIRV's),  launchers  of  MIRV'ed 
SLBM's,  and  airplanes  equipped  for 
long-range  cruise  missiles;  within  the 
1,320,  a  1,200  sublimit  on  launchers 
of  MIRVed  ballistic  missiles  (ICBM's 
and  SLBM's);  and  within  the  1,200,  an 
820  sublimit  on  launchers  of  MIRV'ed 
ICBM's. 

The  sublimits  on  MIRV's  are  im- 
portant because  the  use  of  MIRV's 
rapidly  increases  the  ability  of  each 
side  to  strike  a  greater  number  of 
targets  on  the  other  side.  The  protocol 


may  include  such  measures  as  a  ban  on 
the  deployment  of  launchers  of  mobile 
ICBM's  and  limitations  on  cruise  mis- 
siles. 

What  will  the  SALT  II  agreement 
mean  for  American  security? 

The  new  agreement  will  improve  our 
security  in  several  significant  ways. 

•  It  will  place  equal  numerical  limits 
on  the  overall  U.S.  and  Soviet  strategic 
forces.  To  comply,  the  Soviets  will 
have  to  dismantle  or  destroy  up  to  300 
strategic  systems.  We  will  not  have  to 
dismantle  or  destroy  any  systems  that 
currently  are  operational. 

•  It  will  hold  the  deployment  of 


Soviet  strategic  forces,  including  their 
most  threatening  intercontinental  mis- 
siles, well  below  what  they  could  de- 
ploy in  the  absence  of  an  agreement. 

•  It  will  somewhat  reduce  uncer- 
tainty in  our  strategic  planning,  since 
we  will  know  the  maximum  number  of 
strategic  systems  the  Soviet  Union  will 
be  allowed  to  deploy. 

•  It  will  contain  important  provi- 
sions to  help  us  determine  that  the 
Soviets  are  living  up  to  their  obliga- 
tions in  the  agreement. 

•  It  will  allow  us  the  flexibility  we 
need  to  continue  the  strategic  programs 
we  require. 

In  sum  SALT  II  will  provide  a 
framework  for  maintaining  essential 


SOVIET  UNION 


STRATEGIC 

NUCLEAR 

WARHEADS 


9,000  + 


5,000  + 


LAND 
DASED 
MISSILES 
(ICDM's) 


1,054 


1,400 


HEAVY 
BOMBERS 


350 


* 


150 


SLBM 
LAUNCHERS 


656 


950 


Department  of  State  Bulle 


8 
111 


equivalence  between  the  United  Sta  j 
and  the  Soviet  Union,  and  it  will, 
conjunction  with  an  aggressive  U. 
strategic  force  modernization  progra 
contribute  to  stability  in  the  strate]  ,, 
balance. 


[Ii 


ifi 


How  can  we  be  sure  that  the  Ri 
sians  will  live  up  to  the  agreement' 

In  SALT  we  do  not  rely  on  trust 
Soviet  good  faith.  The  1972  SAL1 
agreements  established  the  princij 
that  both  nations  would  use  their 
verse  and  sophisticated  intelliger 
capabilities  —  known  as  "natioi 
technical  means"  —  to  monitor  co 
pliance.  National  technical  meai 
such  as  satellite  photography,  are  vi 
effective.  Through  them,  we  are  able 
monitor  the  number  of  strategic  nucl 
delivery  systems  the  Soviets  have;  th 
basic  characteristics;  and  when,  whe 
and  how  they  are  tested.  The  SAL' 
agreements  also  prohibited  any  infc 
ference  with  these  means  and  any 
liberate  concealment  measures  wh 
could  impede  verification  of  co 
pliance  with  the  provisions  of  th< 
agreements. 

SALT  II  will  continue  these  prohi 
tions  and  will,  in  fact,  contain  ad 
tional  detailed  provisions  to  incre 
our  confidence  that  the  Soviets 
complying  with  the  agreement, 
should  be  noted  that  without  a  SA 
agreement  containing  such  prohi 
tions,  the  Soviets  would  be  free  to 
any  and  all  methods  of  concealme 
making  our  overall  monitoring  task 
more  difficult. 

The  SALT  I  agreements  also  p 
vided  for  the  establishment  of  the  jc 
Standing  Consultative  Commission 
forum  in  which  the  United  States  ; 
the  U.S.S.R.  address  questions  ab 
matters  relating  to  the  implementat 
of  the  agreements,  including  questit 
of  compliance.  In  the  commissi 
both  sides  have  raised  a  number  of 
tivities  which  they  judged  to  be  a 
biguous  or  subject  to  question  a 
which  were  thus  a  source  of  some  ci 
cern.  In  each  case  the  United  States  I 
raised,  the  activity  in  question  1 
either  ceased  or  additional  informat 
has  allayed  our  concern. 

At  the  same  time,  both  sides  h; 
made  it  clear  that  the  dynamic  nature 
implementation  and  compliance  coi 
require  the  reopening  of  any  of  the 
subjects  or  the  raising  of  new  questic 
at  any  time.  Consequently,  the  Sovi 
are  well  aware  that  the  United  Sta 
will  call  them  to  account  for  any  qu 
tionable  activities  relating  to  th 
strategic  programs  and  will  expi 
satisfactory  resolution  of  any  proble 
involved. 


Fu 


it 


II 


cember  1978 


Under  the  SALT  agreement,  won't 
r  Minuteman  missiles  be  vulnera- 
_  to  Soviet  attack? 

With  or  without  SALT,  our  Min- 
:man  missiles  will  become  increas- 
;ly  vulnerable  to  attack  by  Soviet 
BM's.  This  situation  is  the  result  of 
viet  advances  in  missile  accuracy 
upled  with  the  deployment  of  large 
mbers  of  ICBM-carried  nuclear 
rheads.  It  is  not  the  result  of  SALT. 

To  guard  against  the  potential  vul 
rability  of  any  one  part  of  our 
ategic  forces  is  a  major  reason  why 
United  States  has  maintained  a  bal- 
:ed  strategic  nuclear  force  of  land- 
sed  ICBM's,  submarine-launched 
listic  missiles,  and  heavy  bombers. 
:h  element  of  this  force  has  its  own 
erational  advantages  and  poses 
que  problems  for  the  other  side. 

Furthermore,  although  no  decisions 
/e  been  made,  the  United  States  is 
imining  other  options  such  as  alter- 
ive,  more  survivable  methods  for 
;ing  ICBM's  to  compensate  for  the 
:reasing  vulnerability  of  fixed 
M's.  The  SALT  II  draft,  as  pres- 
ly  agreed,  explicitly  permits  de- 
yment  of  mobile  ICBM  launchers 
er  the  expiration  of  the  protocol 
riod  —  well  before  such  systems 
•  uld  be  ready  for  deployment. 

j  The  use  of  Minuteman  vulnerability 
list  be  viewed  in  perspective.  The 
aviets  face  substantial  uncertainties  in 
inning  an  attack  on  our  Minuteman: 
Iw  reliable  and  accurate  will  their 
Bssiles  really  be;  can  they  avoid  hav- 
ii;  the  explosion  of  one  attacking 

■  rhead  damage  the  effectiveness  of 
ipsequent  attacking  warheads;  can 
1  y  be  certain  of  the  hardness  of  our 
jssile  silos;  and  would  the  United 
lites  launch  its  own  ICBM's  once  it 
|s  determined  that  a  massive  Soviet 

■  BM  attack  was  underway,   thus 

I  ving  only  empty  holes  for  the  Soviet 
Bssiles  to  hit? 

iFinally,  as  Secretary  of  Defense 
jirold  Brown  has  stated,  the  vulnera- 
lity  of  the  Minuteman — even  if  we 

II  nothing  about  it — "would  not  be 
■aonymous  with  the  vulnerability  of 
be  United  States,  or  even  of  the 

■  ategic  deterrent."  This  is  because 
linuteman  missiles  constitute  only  a 
Irt  of  our  retaliatory  forces.  Any 
I  viet  planner  must  realize  that  even  a 
Mccessful  attack  on  the  Minuteman 
wuld  still  leave  the  Soviet  Union  vul- 
flrable  to  massive  response  by  our 
flllistic  missile-firing  submarines  and 
lavy  bombers.  The  damage  these  re- 
taining froces  could  do  would  be  dev- 
jtating. 


What  about  Soviet  civil  defense? 

Soviet  civil  defense  cannot  change 
the  current  strategic  weapons  balance 
or  the  fundamentally  disastrous  nature 
of  a  major  nuclear  exchange  between 
the  United  States  and  the  Soviet  Union. 
The  destruction  that  our  retaliation 
would  bring  could  mean  only  catas- 
trophe for  the  Soviet  Union.  The  im- 
mediate effects  caused  by  blast,  fire, 
and  fallout  would  be  followed  by 
long-term  consequences.  Most  indus- 
tries would  be  destroyed,  and  wide- 
spread starvation  and  death  from  dis- 
ease would  almost  certainly  occur.  So- 
cial order  would  be  weakened  to  the 
point  of  breakdown.  There  would, 
furthermore,  be  large-scale  contamina- 
tion of  the  environment  with  unpredict- 
able consequences. 

We  are  monitoring  the  Soviet  civil 
defense  program  very  carefully.  Their 
civil  defense  program  represents  a  sub- 
stantially larger  effort  than  ours.  How- 
ever, compared  to  the  United  States, 
the  Soviet  Union  faces  even  more  im- 
posing civil  defense  problems:  severe 
climatic  conditions,  more  concentrated 
urban  areas,  more  population  located 
near  industrial  targets,  and  an  in- 
adequate transportation  for  large-scale 
evacuation. 

Despite  their  civil  defense  program, 
there  is  no  possibility  than  in  an  all-out 
nuclear  war  the  Soviets  could  avoid  the 
deaths  of  tens  of  millions  of  their  citi- 
zens and  the  destruction  of  most  of 
their  industrial  resources  and  urban 
areas.  As  a  recently  released  analysis 
by  the  Central  Intelligence  Agency 
concluded:  "We  do  not  believe  that  the 
Soviets'  present  civil  defenses  would 
embolden  them  deliberately  to  expose 
the  USSR  to  a  higher  risk  of  nuclear 
attack." 


What  about  the  Soviet  "Backfire" 
bomber? 

The  Soviets  have  developed  a  mod- 
ern, swing-wing  bomber  which  bears 
the  NATO  designation  "Backfire."  Its 
characteristics  fall  between  the  charac- 
teristics generally  attributed  to  existing 
heavy  bombers  and  those  of  medium 
bombers  (tactical  aircraft  and  medium 
bombers  on  both  sides  are  not  covered 
by  the  SALT  ceilings).  The  Backfire 
can  reach  a  significant  number  of 
targets  in  the  United  States  on  one- 
way, high-altitude,  unrefueled  mis- 
sions. However,  close  observation  over 
a  period  of  years  indicates  that  this 
bomber  is  currently  being  deployed  for 
use  in  a  theater  or  naval  strike  role  and 
is  a  replacement  for  older  Soviet 
medium  bombers. 

In  this  regard,  it  should  be  noted  that 


the  United  States  has  a  number  of  air- 
craft which,  when  deployed  in  forward 
bases  such  as  in  the  European  theater, 
are  capable  of  striking  targets  in  the 
Soviet  Union.  We  have  refused  to  in- 
clude these  aircraft  in  SALT  because 
they  are  theater  systems  and  the  Soviet 
forces  which  they  face  are  not  covered 
by  the  SALT  limits. 

The  United  States  has  indicated  to 
the  Soviets  that  the  Backfire  can  be 
excluded  from  the  permitted  overall 
SALT  totals  if,  and  only  if,  the  Soviets 
undertake  commitments  which  will  in- 
hibit the  Backfire  from  assuming  an 
intercontinental  role  in  the  future,  as 
well  as  impose  limits  on  its  production 
rate.  These  commitments  would  have 
the  same  status  as  the  SALT  agree- 
ments, binding  the  Soviets  to  the  com- 
mitments contained  therein.  Although 
there  are  no  assurances  that  the 
Backfire  would  not  be  used  against  the 
United  States  in  time  of  conflict,  these 
commitments  by  the  Soviet  Union  are 
designed  to  inhibit  the  Backfire  from 
being  given  an  operational  interconti- 
nental role  and  to  limit  its  overall 
strategic  potential. 

Won't  SALT  II  constrain  the  U.S. 
cruise  missile  program? 

We  have  been  careful  to  preserve 
those  cruise  missile  options  most  im- 
portant to  our  defense  needs.  The  new 
agreement  will  permit  us  to  go  ahead 
with  the  deployment  of  the  air- 
launched,  long-range  cruise  missiles 
we  now  have  decided  to  deploy  on 
heavy  bombers.  The  principal  lim- 
itations on  cruise  missiles  will  be  con- 
tained in  the  shorter  term  protocol. 

Even  during  the  period  of  the  pro- 
tocol we  will  be  permitted  to  flight-test 
all  types  of  cruise  missiles  and  to  de- 
ploy ground-  and  sea-launched  cruise 
missiles  capable  of  ranges  up  to  600 
kilometers  (about  375  miles).  We  will 
be  able  to  go  ahead  with  development 
and  testing  programs  for  all  types  of 
cruise  missiles  without  altering  present 
schedules.  After  the  protocol  expires, 
there  will  be  no  limitations  on  ground- 
and  sea-launched  cruise  missiles  unless 
mutually  agreed  upon  in  subsequent 
negotiations.  Cruise  missile  limitations 
will  be  an  agenda  item  for  SALT  III. 

Will  SALT  II  stop  us  from  de- 
veloping mobile  intercontinental  bal- 
listic missiles? 

No.  The  protocol  will  prohibit  each 
side  from  deploying  mobile  ICBM 
launchers  and  flight-testing  ICBM's 
from  mobile  launchers.  Research  and 
development  programs  short  of 
flight-testing  will  not  be  affected. 


B-52  •  U.S.    A 


47 


LENGTH  IN  MEIERS 


U.S.S.R.  •  DACKFIRE-D 


UNITED  STATES  MILITARY  POSTURE  FOR  FY  1 979".  US  Joint  Chiefs  of  Stoff 


At  present  the  United  States  is 
studying  a  number  of  mobile  ICBM- 
basing  concepts,  including  some  in- 
volving alternate  launch  points  for  each 
missile.  No  decision  has  been  made 
whether  or  not  to  deploy  mobile  ICBM 
systems.  Nor  have  we  decided  which 
particular  concept  we  would  implement 
if  we  were  to  elect  to  deploy  a  mobile 
ICBM  system.  The  current  and  pro- 
jected capabilities  of  our  strategic 
forces  give  us  time  to  study  thoroughly 
questions  of  technical  feasibility,  mili- 
tary effectiveness,  and  cost  prior  to 
making  decisions  about  deploying 
mobile  ICBMs. 

The  parts  of  the  joint  draft  text  of  the 
SALT  II  agreement  that  have  already 
been  agreed  upon  allow  deployment  of 
mobile  ICBM  systems  of  the  types  we 
are  considering.  The  draft  agreement 
explicitly  permits  deployment  of  mobile 
ICBM  launchers  during  its  term,  after 
the  expiration  of  an  interim  protocol 
period  which  would  end  well  before 
mobile  ICBM  systems  would  be  ready 
for  deployment. 

Any  mobile  ICBM  basing  system 
would,  of  course,  have  to  be  fully  con- 
sistent with  all  provisions  —  including 
the  verification  provisions  —  of  a 
strategic  arms  limitation  agreement. 
The  United  States  will  not  deploy  a 
mobile  ICBM  system  that  would  not 
permit  adequate  verification  of  the 
number  of  launchers  deployed,  and 
other  provisions  of  the  agreement.  We 
will  insist  that  any  Soviet  system  meet 
the  same  verification  standards. 


sile  and  other  sophisticated  technology. 
SALT,  furthermore,  will  not  affect  our 
important  efforts  to  strengthen  NATO's 
conventional  forces.  We  have  con- 
sulted closely  with  our  allies  through- 
out the  course  of  the  SALT  negotia- 
tions and  have  taken  into  account  allied 
security  concerns  in  our  negotiating 
positions. 


How  will  SALT  II  affect  our 
NATO  allies? 

SALT  II  will  not  place  any  restric- 
tions on  the  nuclear  forces  of  France 
and  Great  Britain,  and  it  will  not  limit 
any  of  America's  nuclear  weapons 
systems  located  in  Europe.  There  will 
be  no  ban  on  the  transfer  of  cruise  mis- 


How  do  the  cancellation  of  the  B-l 
bomber  and  the  decision  to  defer 
production  of  the  "neutron  bomb" 
relate  to  SALT? 

The  B-l  decision  was  not  an  arms 
control  decision.  It  was  made  sepa- 
rately from  SALT  in  the  interest  of 
providing  the  United  States  with  a 
strong,  efficient,  and  cost-effective  na- 
tional defense.  Instead  of  the  B-l 
bomber,  we  have  chosen  to  develop 
cruise  missiles  and  particularly,  in  the 
near  term,  to  equip  some  of  our  exist- 
ing bombers  with  highly  accurate, 
long-range  cruise  missiles  to  insure  the 
continued  effectiveness  of  our  bomber 
force.  This  decision  will  result  in  a 
dual  threat  —  manned  penetrating 
bombers  and  cruise  missiles  —  to 
Soviet  air  defenses  in  future  years. 

The  neutron  warhead  is  not  a 
strategic  weapon  and,  therefore,  has 
not  been  discussed  at  SALT.  It  is  a 
tactical  weapon  designed  to  counter 
Soviet  offensive  forces  in  central 
Europe.  The  neutron  warhead  has  not 
been  cancelled;  the  decision  on  its  full 
production  and  deployment  has  been 
deferred  —  to  see  if  appropriate, 
meaningful  restraint  by  the  Soviet 
Union  will  make  its  production  and  de- 
ployment unnecessary. 

Why  should  we  sign  an  agreement 
with  the  Soviet  Union  when  that 
country  promotes  instability  in  Af- 
rica and  other  parts  of  the  world? 


a 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 

Negotiating  a  SALT  agreement  doef" 
not  mean  that  we  approve  of  Sovit 
foreign  or  domestic  policies  or  the 
form  of  government.  The  United  State 
will  continue  to  oppose  Soviet  policie 
where  they  conflict  with  ours.  SALT 
not  a  reward  that  we  are  giving  th 
Soviet  Union  for  good  behavior.  Rathe 
SALT  is  worth  pursuing  only  if,  by  i 
self,  it  promotes  our  national  security 

The  emerging  SALT  agreement,  i 
conjunction  with  our  ongoing  defens 
programs,  does  improve  our  nation; 
security  by  supporting  continue 
strategic  nuclear  stability  and  by  nt1 
ducing  the  risk  of  nuclear  war.  n 

IP 

Will  SALT    I  really  slow  the  arm  " 
race? 

"Ves.  While  there  is  still  a  long  wa 
to  go,  and  we  wish  more  rapid  projt' 
ress,   the   SALT  process  has  alread  Hi 
slowed  the  arms  raOe 

In  SALT  I,  the  United  States  and  tl  » 
Soviet  Union  curtailed  an  expensiv 
competition  in  defensive  missiles  t 
agreeing  to  mutual  limitations  on  ai 
tiballistic  missile  (ABM)  systems.  D» 
ployment  of  ABM's  could  have  stimn 
lated  the  expansion  of  offensiv 
strategic  forces  to  offset  them. 

In  the  Interim  Agreement  on  tl   - 
Limitation  of  Strategic  Offensiv 
Arms,  the  United  States  and  the  Sovi 
Union  froze  land-based  and  submarii 
ballistic  missile  launchers  at  the  leve 
existing  or  under  construction  in  197: 
The  freeze  stopped  the  Soviet  buildi 
of   ICBM    launchers,    although   tr 
agreement  did  permit  the  Soviets 
have  a  greater  number  of  total  ICBN  fide 
SLBM  launchers  for  the  duration  of  th 
Interim  Agreement  than  the  Unite 
States.  We,  however,  were  left  wii 
more  deliverable  strategic  warheac 
and  other  advantages. 

SALT  II  will  establish  equal  aggn 
gate  ceilings  for  strategic  nuclear  d< 
livery  vehicles  (ICBM  and  SLBI 
launchers  and  heavy  bombers)  an 
common  subceilings  on  launchers  ft 
missiles  carrying  MIRV's.  EstablisI 
ment  of  such  equality  in  numbers  wi 
require  the  Soviet  Union  to  reduce 
considerable  number  of  strategic  sy; 
terns.  In  addition,  SALT  II  will  provid 
for  reductions  below  the  initial  overa 
ceiling,  which  will  require  a  further  n 
duction  in  the  Soviet  strategic  force 

To  limit  the  qualitative  arms  race  i 
weapons  technology,  the  new  agret' 
ment  will,  for  example,  place  cor 
straints  on  the  introduction  of  ne> 
types  of  ballistic  missiles,  althoug 
agreement  has  not  been  reached  on  th, 
specific  constraints.  The  statement  c 
principles  for  SALT  III  will  lay  a  gen 
eral   framework  and  foundation  fc 


ill 
s. 
i 
i;> 
II 
IS 


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.: 

E 


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HI 

[th 


J« 


ecember  1978 


Ambassador  Warnke^s  JVews  Conference 
of  October  30  (Excerpts) 


I  have  just  a  couple  of  comments  I 
ant  to  make,  sort  of  in  the  line  of 
irting  thoughts.  There  have  been 
me  who  find  a  certain  symbolism  in 
e  fact  that  I'm  leaving  on  Halloween, 
aughter]  But  I  figured  I  would  get 
st  about  as  many  bad  jokes  if  I  picked 
iother  holiday  —  Thanksgiving,  for 
ample,  would  be  subject  to  misin- 
rpretation,  as  would  Christmas.  And  I 
uldn't  wait  until  April  1st.  So  I 
ought  this  was  about  as  good  a  time 
any. 

I've  had  some  thoughts  these  last 
ys  about  the  entire  process  of  arms 
ntrol  and  how  the  job  has  stacked  up 
against  my  hopes  and  my  expecta- 
»ns.  You  always  hope,  of  course,  to 
i  better.   But  then  you're  always 
ateful  that  you  didn't  do  worse. 
I  But  the  one  real  conclusion  that  I've 
I  me  to  is  that  arms  control  just 
lesn't  come  naturally.  It's  a  very  un- 
I tural  act.  And  that's  one  of  the  rea- 
lms why  it  takes  such  a  long  time, 
nu  are  faced  with  the  necessity  of 
jniting  your  own  military  options  in 
« der  to  find  some  restrictions  that  you 
tin  get  on  the  other  side's  forces. 

And  when  you're  faced  with  that 
loice,  those  military  options  that 
l;u're  restricting  sometimes  look  a  lot 
I'tter  than  they  ever  looked  before, 
.id,  therefore,  it  gets  harder  and 
|  rder  to  give  them  up.  And  at  the 
sme  time,  of  course,  you  do  have  the 
k  jective  of  trying  to  get  the  other  side 
i  cut  back  or  to  limit  particular  things. 
I  I  think  if  you  look  at  the  experience 
:  SALT  to  date,  you  can  see  the 
|  enomenon  that  I'm  describing.  We 
pve,  in  fact,  preserved  options  that 
Ipuld,  perhaps,  have  been  something 
Hat  we  could  have  given  up  to  the  im- 
jovement  of  the  overall  strategic  situ- 
I  on. 

I  We    had    that   experience    with 
BlRV's   [multiple  independently- 


targetable  reentry  vehicles]  in  SALT  I. 
And  that's  one  of  the  reasons  why  I 
feel  that  what's  been  sometimes  de- 
scribed as  the  most  controversial  part 
of  SALT  II  may  be,  in  the  long  run,  a 
structural  innovation  which  is  of 
value  —  and  that's  the  protocol. 

There  have  been  suggestions,  re- 
peatedly, that  we  would  have  less  trou- 
ble with  SALT  if  we  eliminated  the 
protocol  because  of  its  possible  prece- 
dential impact  —  because  of  the  fact 
that  some  in  the  Senate  may  say  that 
once  you  get  the  protocol,  in  effect, 
you're  kind  of  stuck  with  it. 

But  it  does  seem  to  me  that  it's  got  a 
major  value,  and  that's  that  it  prevents 
you  from  making  decisions  in  the  heat 
of  negotiations  that  could  be  ill- 
considered  decisions.  It  does  give  you 
the  opportunity  for  thought,  and  it  does 
permit  you  to  reach  a  reasoned  conclu- 
sion after  thorough  analysis  of  the  pros 
and  cons.  I  think  you  can  see  that  in  the 
particular  items  that  are  in  the  protocol. 
Really,  what  the  protocol  controls  now 
is  the  question  of  deployment  of 
long-range,  ground-launched  cruise 
missiles  and  sea-launched  cruise  mis- 
siles, and  deployment  of  mobile 
ICBM  [intercontinental  ballistic  mis- 
sile] launchers. 

Now  those  are  both  the  kinds  of  is- 
sues on  which,  if  you  made  a  decision 
at  this  time,  it  could  be  a  wrong  one.  If 
you  had  to  make  an  up  or  down  deci- 
sion on  either  one  now,  I  suspect  that 
the  decision  would  be  up — that  the  de- 
cision would  be  to  permit  long-range, 
ground-launched  cruise  missiles  and 
mobile  launchers  of  ICBM's. 

Maybe  eventually  that's  going  to  be 
the  decision  we  come  to.  And  maybe 
that  would  be  the  right  thing  to  do.  But 
I  don't  think  that  we've  thought 
through  the  implications  of  either  of 
those  systems  at  the  present  time.  And 
we  haven't  been  able  to  come  to  a  rea- 


rther  progress  in  reducing  the  nuclear 
enals  of  both  sides  and  for  further 

strictions  on  qualitative   improve- 

ents. 
!]  It  is  important  to  realize  the  price  of 
|l)t  reaching  agreement  on  SALT  II. 

n  expansion  of  the  strategic  arms 

■>mpetition,  at  significant  monetary 
list,  could  follow,  with  an  increasing 
iinger  that  future  weapons  systems 
i'uild  increase  the  incentives  to  resort 


to  nuclear  weapons  in  time  of  crisis. 

SALT  represents  an  opportunity  to 
take  a  major  step  to  enhance 
stability  —  based  on  achieving  an  equi- 
table and  adequately  verifiable 
agreement  —  and,  therefore,  it  should 
be  pursued.  A  satisfactory  agreement 
also  will  maintain  the  efforts  of  both 
sides  to  continue  the  search  for  further 
agreements  on  the  entire  range  of  arms 
limitations.  □ 


soned  decision  as  to  whether  or  not, 
when  both  sides  acquire  those  systems, 
we  would  be  better  off  or  worse  off. 

So  that,  as  I  said,  it  seems  to  me  that 
this  may  turn  out  to  be  not  the  contro- 
versial part  of  SALT  II  because  it  means 
that  you  don't  have  to  pay  the  price  for 
an  arms  control  agreement  by  making  a 
premature  decision  on  a  system  which, 
when  both  sides  have  acquired  it,  may 
be  against  the  interests  of  the  United 
States. 

With  regard  to  where  we  are  today 
on  SALT,  I  can't,  of  course,  get  into 
the  negotiating  positions.  I  think  that 
would  be  a  disservice  at  what  is  proba- 
bly the  most  delicate  stage  of  the 
negotiations.  But  it  does  seem  to  me 
that  we're  now  so  close  and  that  the  is- 
sues remaining  are  such  that  it,  to  me, 
is  inconceivable  that  the  two  sides 
can't  complete  it  and  can't  complete  it 
at  some  time  in  the  fairly  near  future. 

We  have,  essentially,  two  kinds  of 
issues.  One  of  them  will  be  the  techni- 
cal details  which  are  being  worked  out 
in  Geneva,  and  the  other  is  a  couple  of 
issues  of  substance  primarily  relating  to 
the  tradeoffs  of  the  restrictions  on 
numbers  of  cruise  missiles  as  compared 
with  inhibitions  on  modernization  or 
modification  of  ICBM's. 

And  there,  the  two  sides  have  come 
closer  together.  But  it's  going  to  take 
some  more  time  and  some  more  negoti- 
ations. We  don't  have  any  schedule  set 
up  for  meetings  at  the  foreign  minister 
level  and  certainly  not  a  summit  meet- 
ing. But  I  think  sometimes  we  lose 
sight  of  the  fact  that  the  negotiations 
have  been  virtually  continuous  and  that 
the  two  delegations  have  been  in 
Geneva  since  May  of  1977  except  for  a 
short  Christmas  break  and  a  short  break 
this  summer. 


Q.  SALT  has  been  under  negotia- 
tion now  for  6  years.  And  you've 
been  at  it  for  2  years — those  same  is- 
sues have  held  it  up  for  a  long  period 
of  time  now.  Why  is  there  no 
SALT— 

A.  I  tried  to  answer  that  by  just  say- 
ing that  the  process  itself  is  a  difficult 
one;  that  it's  awfully  hard  to  reach 
meaningful  arms  control  agreements. 
You  could  reach  sort  of  a  token  agree- 
ment in  a  short  period  of  time. 

But  if  you're  trying  genuinely  to  end 
up  with  something  which  is  not  only 
going  to  be  good  in  itself  but  also  lay 


Department  of  State  Bulled; 


kci 


the  basis  for  later  steps,  it's  going  to  go 
slowly.  Here  what  we're  trying  to  do 
is,  unlike  the  SALT  I  Interim 
Agreement  on  offensive  arms,  to  do 
more  than  just  sort  of  ratify  the  arms 
competition. 

We  are  trying,  actually,  to  interfere 
with  programs  that  otherwise  would  be 
completed.  And  as  I  say,  that's  an  un- 
natural kind  of  an  act  on  the  part  of  any 
sovereign  state.  And,  therefore,  it's 
one  which  is  taken  with  a  great  deal  of 
resistance. 

Q.  To  what  extent  have  political 
factors  in  the  last  several  months 
held  up — on  both  our  side  and  their 
side — either  complicated  or  in  any 
way  delayed  progress  toward  a 
treaty? 

A.  That's  a  difficult  question  to  an- 
swer, and  I  don't  think  that  you  can  an- 
swer it  except  by  guessing.  As  you 
know,  I've  been  maintaining  consist- 
ently that  there  should  not  be  linkage 
between  SALT  and  other  elements  in 
the  relationship  —  that  you  can't  use 
SALT  as  a  reward;  you  can't  use  it  as 
punishment.  It  has  to  stand  on  its  own 
feet.  At  the  same  time,  I  think  that  you 
have  to  recognize  that  the  general  cli- 
mate of  relations  does  affect  the 
negotiations.  And  I  believe  that  had 
there  been  less  strain  in  the  relationship 
this  year,  there  would  have  been  more 
receptivity  on  both  sides. 

I  think  when  you  tend  to  feel  that  the 
other  side  is  behaving  in  a  fashion  of 
which  you  disapprove,  that  you  are  not 
apt  to  be  perhaps  as  responsive  to  their 
positions  as  you  might  otherwise  be. 
But,  as  I  say,  it's  an  atmospheric  thing 
rather  than  a  logical  thing.  But  it  does 
have  some  effect. 


Q.  Your  comments  about  the  value 
of  the  protocol  in  not  deciding  these 
issues  of  cruise  missiles  and  mobile 
missiles  while  we  complete  negotia- 
tions could  be  turned  around  and 
used  to  imply  a  criticism  of  the  issues 
that  are  being  decided  in  the  heat  of 
negotiations — and  maybe  the  things 
that  have  ended  up  in  the  treaty  are 
being  decided  too  nastily.  Is  that — 

A.  No.  I  don't  think  that  I  would  ac- 
cept that. 

Q.  It  amounts  to  what  you  are 
saying. 

A.  No.  What  I  say  is  there  are  some 
items  on  which  decisions  are  really  not 
ready,  and  that  the  risk  would  be  to  de- 
cide those  prematurely.  They  aren't 
ripe  for  decision. 

Q.  But  have  all  those  been  saved 
for  the  protocol? 


ACDA/SALT 

Officials 

Paul  C.  Warnke  resigned  as  Director 
of  the  Arms  Control  and  Disarmament 
Agency  and  chairman  of  the  U.S.  dele- 
gation to  the  Strategic  Arms  Limitation 
Talks,  effective  October  31,  1978.  He 
had  held  these  positions  since  March 
1977.  Secretary  Vance  has  appointed 
Ambassador  Warnke  a  special  consult- 
ant to  the  Secretary  of  State  for  arms 
control  affairs. 

The  President  announced  on  October 
20  his  intention  to  nominate  retired 
Army  Lt.  Gen.  George  M.  Seignious  II 
to  be  Director  of  the  Arms  Control  and 
Disarmament  Agency;  on  October  26 
the  President  appointed  Ralph  Earle  II 
as  chairman  of  the  U.S.  delegation  to 
the  Strategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks.  □ 


A.  I  would  say  that  they  have.  Take, 
for  example,  the  question  of  a  ban  on 
new  types.  At  one  point,  we  considered 
that  to  be  a  protocol  item.  But  we've 
been  able  to  reach  an  agreement  which 
preserves  the  options  that  we  feel  are 
important  to  preserve.  And,  therefore, 
you  can  move  that  into  the  treaty.  If 
you  remember,  at  one  point,  what  we 
were  proposing  was  no  new  type  of 
ICBM.  And  we  were  willing  to  do  that 
for  the  protocol  period  —  but  with  the 
understanding  now  that  there  will  be 
one  exception  on  each  side,  there's  no 
reason  to  make  that  a  protocol  item. 
Because  the  only  thing  we  are  in- 
terested in  for  the  entire  treaty  period  is 
the  possibility  of  one  new  ICBM. 

Q.  Was  it  a  mistake,  then,  last 
March  or  April  [1977]  to  propose 
wholesale  cutbacks?  The  Adminis- 
tration's first  position  would  have 
required  all  sorts  of  major  decisions. 
Did  you  lose  time? 

A.  No. 

Q.  Because  now  you're  in  favor 
of — what  you're  saying  now — and  I 
don't  know  if  you  were  in  favor  of  it 
then — the  limited  measures,  putting 
issues  off,  temporary  measures,  and 
yet  you  came  out,  if  I  remember,  for 
a  huge  substantial  slash  — 

A.  I  think  there  are  basically  two  an- 
swers to  that.  One  of  them  is  that  I 
certainly  don't  maintain  that  you  ought 
to  put  all  issues  off.  You  shouldn't. 
You  ought  to  decide,  on  a  long-term 
basis,  as  many  of  them  as  you  are  pre- 
pared to  make  a  considered  judgment 
on. 

But  what  I've  suggested  is  that  there 
are  always   going   to  be  a  couple  of 


items  that  aren't  ripe  for  decision;  ju: 
as  the  question  of  ground-launche 
cruise  missiles  or  the  question  o 
mobile  launchers  of  ICBM's  are  nc 
now  ripe  for  decision.  After  all,  wit 
regard  to  a  mobile  ICBM  launcher,  w 
haven't  even  been  able  to  arrive  at 
concept  which  is  satisfactory  to  us.  S 
that's  the  sort  of  issue  that  ought  to  b 
put  off. 

The  issues  such  as  drastic  reductior  nt; 
are  issues  that  we  have  been  prepare 
to  decide  now.  And  we  would  hav 
been  happy  if  the  Soviet  Union  ha 
been  prepared  to  decide  on  that  poii 
too. 


si 
It  i 

|tt 

in 
I'l 

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ivi 

li?' 

i 


»S 


K! 


Q.  It  was  a  long  time  ago.  But  d 
you  think  you've  lost  time? 

A.  It's  hard  to  say. 

Q.  Are  they  punishing  us  for  it? 

A.  No,  I  don't  think  that  they'i 
punishing  us  for  it.  And  it  seems  to  m 
that  it's  going  to  work  out  all  rigb 
That  we're  in  a  position  in  which, 
you  take  a  look  at  the  two  proposals  < 
March  1977,  where  we're  going  to  en 
up  is  in  between,  but  in  between  muc 
more  on  the  side  of  the  comprehensn 
proposal  than  on  the  side  of  the  deferr 
proposal. 


\r 
M 

I 
[CI 

V 

a 
Iva 
k 
I) 
I 

It 
II 
111 
iil 


Q.  I  wonder  if  you  could  addre 
these  apparent  contradictions  — 
least  looking  through  the  other  er 
of  the  telescope  —  and,   with  yoi 
perspective  here  and  when  you  wei 
over  at  the  Pentagon,  kind  of  sugge 
how  you  might  handle  it.  The  botto 
line  in  the  SALT  agreement  presun   * 
ably   is,   hopefully,   to  keep  fro 
blowing  each  other  up  and  to  sa'  "' 
money.  On  the  one  hand,  the  Pent; 
gon  is  committed  to  a  3%  increase  i  f= 
real  terms  in  its  budget,  year  afti  ' 
year,  no  matter  what  happens  i   f 
SALT.   On  the  other  hand,  we'i  Tl 
talking  about  making  the  land-base   ■ 
missiles  invulnerable,  no  matter  if    * 
costs  $40  million  for  an  MX  or  no 
How  do  you  square  what's  going  o  :i 
in  the  real  world  with  armamen 
and  the  theoretical  objective  of  lov  »-t 
ering  the   price  and   the  dange    ■ 
through  a  SALT  agreement? 

A.  Talking  first  about  the  econom 
issue.  As  you  know,  of  course,  betti'j! 
than  I,  the  strategic  arms  budget  is  thi  ( 
smaller   part   of  the   total    defens 
budget.   And,  as  a  consequence,  eve  |, 
with  quite  substantial  reductions,  thJ  ^ 
wouldn't  necessarily  mean  a  very  sul 
stantial  reduction  in  the  overall  budget 

I  have  never  thought  of  arms  contn 
as  being  primarily  directed  at  savin 
money,  because  I  sort  of  suspect  th; 


December  1978 


pu  would  find  other  things  to  do  with 
le  money  in  the  defense  field  if  you 
tved  a  certain  amount  of  money  in 
(trategic  arms. 

[  I'd  say  that  the  big  cost  saving  from 
sALT  II  will  come  from  the  absence  of 
living  to  do  things  that  you  otherwise 
flight  have  to  do.  I  believe,  for  exam- 
lie,  that  if  you  did  not  have  SALT  II, 
le  Soviet  Union  would  go  ahead  with 
hrtain  programs  that  would  be  stopped 
|y  SALT  II. 

I  Intelligence  sources  indicate  that 
ley  would  have  a  very,  very  substan- 
lally  greater  number  of  missiles. 
Ihere's  no  reason  to  feel  that  they 
lould  stop  at  308  SS-18's.  There's 
|;rtainly  no  reason  to  feel  that  they 
lould  stop  at  10  RV's  on  the  SS-18's. 
Ihey  would  have  a  very  substantial 

itential  for  exponentially  increasing 
le  number  of  warheads.  Under  those 
"rcumstances,  I  don't  hold  with  those 
I'ho  say  that  we  would  sit  back  and  let 
lem  acquire  that  kind  of  an  apparent 
flvantage.  So  that  we  would  do  certain 
Iher  things,  too,  and  they  would  be 

;ry  expensive  things. 
I  think  that  it's,  you  know,  as  com- 

ired  to  what  would  happen  otherwise, 
1  at  we're  going  to  be  saving  a  great 
pal  of  money.   But  as  far  as  there 

:ing  some  sort  of  a  saving  that  you 

in  point  to,  I  think  that's  going  to  be 
,  ird  to  do. 

Q.  Do  you  believe  that  we  have  to 
ake  the  land-based  missile  less  vul- 
;rable  or  can  we  settle  for  just  the 
r  and  sea  versions  and  there's 
)thing  sacred  about  the  triad? 

A.  My  position,  as  always,  is  impre- 

se  and  compromised.   I  would  say 

ither  of  those.  I  would  not  eliminate 

Le  triad  because  it  seems  to  me  that 

ie  maintenance  of  the  land-based 

'BM  force,   at  a  minimum,  compli- 

i  tes  Soviet  attack  plans. 

They  would  have,  to  a  considerable 
(.tent,  to  disarm  themselves  in  order  to 
lunch  any  sort  of  a  reasonably  suc- 
rssful  attack  on  our  land-based  forces. 
Ind,  therefore.  I  wouldn't  advocate 
']  rowing  our  ICBM's  away.  At  the 
i  me  time,  I  have  not  heard  any  con- 
rfete  program  that  would  give  us,  as 
r  as  I'm  concerned,  a  measure  of 
: eater  survivability  for  the  land-based 
(tree. 

,  The  solutions  that  I've  heard  just  re- 
lit in  a  multiplication  of  the  fixed 
>rgets  and  at  the  expense  of  verifi- 
>ility  so  that  you  lose  control  over  the 
umber  of  warheads  that  could  attack 
Jose  fixed  targets.  So  that  I  would 
jive  to  see  a  more  sophisticated  plan 
an  the  tunnel,  for  example,  or  the 
jiell  game  before  I  would  have  any 
'infidence  that  you  had  improved  sur- 


vivability and  hadn't,  in  fact,  lessened 
it. 

It's  theoretically  possible  to  come  up 
with  some  sort  of  a  plan  that  would  in- 
crease survivability.  I  wonder  whether 
we  would  find  it  desirable  to  put  a  tre- 
mendous amount  of  money  in  it  or 
whether,  perhaps,  the  vulnerability  of 
Minuteman  isn't  substantially  over- 
rated. 

My  own  view  is  that  any  military 
planner  that,  under  present  circum- 
stances, could  speculate  on  his  ability 
to  eliminate  the  vast  bulk  of  our  ICBM 
forces  would  have  lost  his  mind.  He 
would  have  to  plan  an  attack  with  the 
most  exquisite  precision.  He  would 
have  to  count  on  weapons  that  he's 
never  used  functioning  almost  flaw- 
lessly. 

And  he  would  have  to  count  on  the 
fact  that,  with  something  like  30  min- 
utes warning,  the  President  of  the 
United  States  would  sit  calmly  by  as 
the  missiles  thundered  overhead. 
Whether  he  would  or  whether  he 
wouldn't,  I  don't  think  that  the  Soviet 
military  planner  could  plan  on  that. 
And  the  circumstances  are  such  that  he 
would  have  initiated  nuclear  war  by 
doing  less  than  as  complete  a  job  as  he 
might  otherwise  be  able  to  do  on  our 
ability  to  retaliate  or  our  willingness  to 
retaliate.  So  I  don't  put  a  great  deal  of 
stock  in  the  idea  that  the  Minuteman  is, 
in  fact,  vulnerable  at  this  stage  or  is 
going  to  become  such  in  the  early 
I980's. 


But  if  you  could,  in  fact,  find  some 
way  to  eliminate  even  that  theoretical 
risk,  that,  obviously,  would  improve 
strategic  stability.  I  think  we  ought  to 
continue  to  think  about  the  concepts 
but  not  go  ahead  with  one  until  we've 
found  one  that  makes  sense. 


Q.  About  the  delicate  stage — 

A.  Yes.  The  issues  that  are  left:  Are 
they  tougher  per  se  than  the  issues  that 
have  been  resolved? 

Q.  Or  is  it  that  they're  the  last  is- 
sues and  were  in  the  stage  you  called 
the  delicate  stage  because  everything 
is  dependent  on  finally  wrapping  it 
up? 

A.  I  would  say  the  latter.  I  would 
say  that  the  toughest  issues  have  been 
resolved.  And  looking  back  on  the  way 
in  which  this  has  evolved,  I  think  that 
some  of  the  toughest  questions  were  re- 
solved a  year  ago  September. 

Q.  OK.  Then  that  means  for  at 
least  a  year,  issues  that  are  not  the 
toughest  issues  have  resisted  solu- 
tion? 

A.  That  plus  putting  the  agreement 
in  principle  that  was  reached  in  Sep- 
tember of  1977  into  treaty  language. 
It's  a  difficult  thing. 

Q.  I  guess  I'm  having  trouble 
grasping  why  you  can't  push  that 
other  5%  [inaudible]  because  the  as- 


George  M.  Seignious  II  was  born  June  21, 
1921,  in  Orangeburg,  S.C.  He  graduated 
from  The  Citadel  in  1942.  receiving  a  Regular 
Army  commission  as  second  lieutenant  of 
infantry.  During  World  War  II.  he  served  in 
Europe  with  the  10th  Armored  Division  and 
rose  from  platoon  leader  to  assistant  opera- 
tions officer  of  the  division. 

Gen  Seignious'  duty  assignments  have  in- 
cluded serving  as  military  assistant  and 
executive  assistant  to  the  Secretary  of  the 
Army;  Director  of  the  Policy  Planning  Staff 
in  the  Office  of  the  Assistant  Secretary  of 
Defense  (International  Security  Affairs); 
military  adviser  to  W.  Averell  Harriman  and 
Cyrus  R.  Vance  at  the  Paris  peace  talks  on 
Vietnam;  Commanding  General  of  the  3d 
U.S.  Infantry  Division;  U.S.  Commander  in 
Berlin;  and  adviser  to  U.S.  Ambassador 
Kenneth  Rush  during  the  quadripartite 
negotiations  in  Berlin  in  1971. 

In  1971  and  1972  Gen.  Seignious  served  as 
Deputy  Assistant  Secretary  of  Defense  (Se- 
curity Assistance)  and  Director  of  the  De- 
fense Security  Assistance  Agency.  From 
1972  to  1974,  he  was  Director  of  the  Joint 
Staff  for  the  Joint  Chiefs  of  Staff.  He  retired 


from  the  Army  in  1974.  having  attained  the 
rank  of  Lieutenant  General  and  became 
president  of  The  Citadel.  He  has  served  as 
the  "at  large"  member  of  the  President's 
SALT  negotiating  delegation  since  Sep- 
tember 1977.  On  October  20,  President  Car- 
ter announced  his  intention  to  nominate  Gen. 
Seignious  to  be  the  Director  of  the  Arms 
Control  and  Disarmament  Agency.  This 
nomination  requires  Senate  confirmation. 
The  President  subsequently  named  Gen. 
Seignious  as  ACDA  Director  under  a  recess 
appointment  effective  December  1 . 


8 

sumption  is  that  both  are  interested 
in  the  SALT  treaty  and  want  one. 

A.  Yes. 

Q.  Since  they're  not  the  toughest 
issues,  it's  not  like  leaving  Jerusalem 
to  the  end.  What's  the  problem, 
again?  Is  it  a  political  problem  here? 
Is  it  a  military  problem  there? 

A.  I  don't  have  any  good  answer. 
The  issues  that  are  left — although  some 
of  them  are  important — are  not  issues 
that  are  of  basic  significance  to  the 
strategic  balance,  or  at  least  the  differ- 
ence between  the  positions  of  the  two 
sides  is  not  so  great  as  to  be  that  im- 
portant to  the  strategic  balance. 

One  of  the  problems,  I  think,  is  that 
as  you  get  down  to  those  last  few  is- 
sues, both  sides  tend  to  be  quite  resist- 
ant. 

Q.  But  nobody's  taken  anything 
back,  have  they,  in  the  course  of 
these  negotiations? 

A.  No. 


Q.  Do  you  have  any  regrets  about 
the  protocol  now,  in  the  sense  that  it 
does — whether  it's  a  good  argument 
or  not — give  the  other  side  of  the  ar- 
gument that  if,  for  example,  the  Rus- 
sians haven't  reached  the  2,250  level 
by  1981,  or  by  the  expiration  of  the 
protocol,  or  any  of  the  other  terms 
envisaged  by  the  treaty,  that  they  can 
then  come  to  us  and  say,  well,  unless 
you  extend  the  range  limitations  on 
the  ground-  and  sea-launched  mis- 
siles or  on  mobile  ICBM's  then  we 
will  not  go  ahead  and  complete  the 
terms  of  the  treaty.  Obviously,  that's 
[inaudible]. 

A.  No.  I  don't  have  any  such  ap- 
prehensions. What  you  would  be  say- 
ing, then,  if  you  were  the  Soviet  side, 
is:  Unless  you  agree  to  extend  the  term 
which  has  been  agreed  upon,  I  will 
violate  the  agreement.  That's  a  threat 
you  can  always  make,  but  it's  a  threat 
which  is  fatal  to  any  chance  of  the 
agreement  remaining  viable.  I  don't 
think  that  anybody  is  going  to  be  able 
to  get  anywhere  with  either  the  United 
States  or  the  Soviet  Union  by  saying  to 
the  other  side:  Unless  you  capitulate  on 
something,  I'm  going  to  violate  the 
treaty.  It's  not  a  plausible  threat.  Or 
else  it's  a  threat  which  indicates  that 
the  treaty  isn't  worth  having. 

Q.  I  get  the  impression  from  the 
discussion  about  the  tradeoff  of 
numbers  of  cruise  missiles  vis-a-vis 
replacement  rights  and  that  kind  of 
thing  that  that's  as  much,  at  least, 
and  perhaps  more  a  matter  of  politi- 


cal decision  than  it  is  really  one  re- 
lated to  the  strategic  objective  of 
maintaining  the  strategic  balance.  Is 
that  correct? 

A.  As  I  said  in  answer  to  an  earlier 
question,  the  difference  between  the 
sides,  at  this  point,  is  not  so  great  as  to 
be  of  tremendous  strategic  importance. 
But  at  the  same  time,  I  think  we  have 
to  recognize  that  cruise  missiles  on 
airplanes  is  a  system  that  we've  de- 
cided upon.  It's  one  that  we're  going  to 
deploy.  It's  one  that  we  regard  as 
necessary  in  order  to  preserve  the 
manned  bomber  part  of  our  deterrent. 

As  a  consequence,  we  are  not  pre- 
pared to  accept  limits  that  we  feel  are 
incompatible  with  doing  that  and  doing 
it  effectively. 

Q.  How  do  you  verify  that  a 
ground-  or  sea-launched  cruise  mis- 
sile is  not  dropped  out  of  an  airplane 
and  tested  at  greater  than  375  miles? 

A.  It  really  is  something  of  a  mis- 
nomer, I  think,  to  refer  to  ground- 
launched  cruise  missiles  or  sea- 
launched  cruise  missiles  or  air- 
launched  missiles.  They're  all  nothing 
but  cruise  missiles.  And  the  question, 
then,  is  to  control  how  you  base  them. 
The  fundamental  control  is  a  testing 
control. 

And  as  long  as  you've  got  a  testing 
control,  then  you've  got  some  guaran- 
tee. The  problem,  fortunately,  at  the 
present  time  is  a  Soviet  problem  be- 
cause we're  the  ones  who  have  the 
modern  cruise  missiles.  As  a  conse- 
quence, I'm  probably  more  relaxed 
about  verification  on  cruise  missiles 
than  I  am  about  things  the  Soviets 
presently  can  do. 

And  it's  one  of  the  reasons  why  we 
felt  that  the  restrictions  on  ground- 
launched  cruise  missiles  and  sea- 
launched  cruise  missiles  ought  to  be 
protocol  restrictions.  It's  one  of  the 
questions  that's  just  going  to  have  to  be 
worked  out.  It's  whether,  if  you  have 
continuing  limitations,  they  will  be 
verifiable.  Because,  at  some  point,  the 
verification  problem  will  be  ours  as 
much  as  theirs. 


Q.  I  don't  want  you  to  engage  in 
[inaudible]  prophecy,  but  if  you 
could  give  us  some  feeling  as  to  how 
you  feel  this  treaty  will  fare  in  the 
Senate — you've  got  a  pretty  good 
sense  of  how  it's  going  to  shape 
up — and  what  do  you  think  will  be 
the  greatest  problems  with  it? 

A.  Of  course,  I  probably  am  the 
least  objective  person  whom  you  could 
ask  the  question  as  to  how  it's  going  to 
do  in  the  Senate.  It  will  do  a  lot  better 


IT 

A. 
lei 
que 


lllC 

Ml 


ise 


.: 


Si 


Department  of  State  Bullett  (et 

than  I  did.  [Laughter]  But  then  it 
probably  a  worthier  object.  But  it 
hard  for  me  to  see  why  anybody  woul 
be  against  it  on  the  merits  of  the  treat 
itself. 

So  let's  deal  with  that  first  of  all,  bt 
cause  if  you  look  at  the  treaty  itself, 
does  set  equal  aggregates  and,  thenfeti" 
fore,   complies   with   the   Jackso 
amendment.  It  does  provide  for  redut 
tions  which  will  impact  on  the  Sovic 
and  not  on  us.  It  does  provide  for  sue 
ceilings  that  will  at  least  begin  to  rs 
strain  what  we  regard  as  the  mo 
dangerous  of  the  strategic  systems, 
will  have  a  subceiling  on  MIRV'e 
ballistic  missiles.   And  then  a  furtht 
lower  subceiling  on  MIRV'ed  ICBM 
It  does  restrain  qualitative  developmei 
by  restrictions  on  new  types  and  o 
modifications  and  modernization, 
does  begin  to  offset — in  fact  substai 
tially  offset — the  greater  throw-weigl 
of  the  Soviet  missiles  by  the  fraction; 
tion  freeze. 

And  it  does  preserve  the  military  0| 
tions  that  we  have  regarded  as  bein 
important.  It  does  permit  us  to  mot 
ernize  each  part  of  the  strategic  dete 
rent  triad.  Looking  at  just  the  merits  ( 
the  agreement,  I  can't  see  how  anyboc 
can  conclude  that  the  absence  of  SAL 
would  be  better  than  the  presence  t 
SALT. 

It  does  begin  to  move  toward  effe  i 
tive  strategic  arms  control.  So  that  tl 
major  difficulty  that  SALT  will  ei 
counter.  I  think,  probably  will  have 
do  with  things  that  are  totally  extrins  L 
to  SALT  itself,  and  that  will  be  the  a 
mospherics. 

One  of  the  congressional  advise 
went  through  Geneva,  I  guess  it  w; 
sometime  last  summer,  and  I  spent  trl( 
day  with  him.  He  had  the  briefings.  Hit 
met  with  the  delegation.  He  met  wiifb| 
the  Soviet  negotiators.  And  I  said  at  tl 
end  of  the  day,  all  right,  now — tell  mt| 
Senator,  what's  wrong  with  SALT 
And  he  said,  I  will  tell  you  what  th 
problems  are:  first,  the  B-l  decisioi 
second,  the  neutron  bomb  decisioi 
third,  the   withdrawal  of  troops  froi 
Korea;  fourth,  the  Panama  Canal;  fi 
the  Horn  of  Africa. 

And  I  said,  well  now,  you  and  I  bo 
know  that  none  of  these  have  anythiii| 
to  do  with  SALT.  And  he  said,  yes,  bi 
they  are  part  of  the  atmospherics;  the| 
are  part  of  a  situation  in  which  it  look 
to  a  lot  of  us  as  though  the  Unite 
States  is  on  the  retreat  and  the  Soviet, 
are  on  the  advance  all  over  the  world. 
So  I  think  it's  that  kind  of  thing  thi 
will  enter  into  anti-SALT  sentimen 
more  than  the  merits  of  the  agreement. 


Q.  Do  you  think  it's  been  a  goc 


: 


jcember  1978 

lea  to  negotiate  with  Congress  over 
»ur  shoulder  and  — 

A.  I  think  it's  inevitable.  Now 
(nether  it's  good  or  whether  it's  bad  is 
nquestion  of  whether  you're  talking 
liout  the  convenience  of  the  Adminis- 
Iition  or  whether  you're  talking  about 
I;  desirable  operation  of  the  American 
Istem.  There  was  a  time  at  which 
mny  Senators  would  have  assumed 
Is  was  not  their  responsibility. 

iQ.  I  mean,  trying  to  get  them  on 
g  agreement  that  preempts  all  the 
jiticism  rather  than  getting  the  best 
issible  agreement  you  can  come  up 
.th  and  selling  it.  In  a  sense,  this 
is  dragged  out  for  so  long  because 
iu're  worried  about  so  many  differ- 
lt  things  and  so  many  reactions  on 
te  Hill  that  you're  trying  to  fore- 
jise  all  the  — 

A.  I  don't  regard  those  as  being  dif- 
ilent  objectives.  It  seems  to  me  that 
lu've  got  to  negotiate  on  the  basis 
lit  if  you  do  the  best  job  you  can  and 
§:  the  best  treaty  you  can,  then  that's 
jing  to  have  the  best  chance  of  being 
3:epted  by  the  Congress. 
3  So  I  don't  see  them  as  being  separate 
cjectives  at  all.  If  what  you  mean  is 
I  I  think  it's  been  a  mistake  to  have 
cngressional  advisers  come  to 
(  neva,  I  think  it's  been  a  plus. 


Q.  Do  you  think  there's  a  lot  of 
us  control  in  this  treaty? 

m..  Yes,  I  do. 


Q.  This  is  a  dangerous  kind  of 
cestion  because  it  invites  being 
sipped  down.  But  could  you  put 
jurself  in  the  Russian  mind  and  try 
t  describe  how  you  think  they  per- 
iive  this  treaty?  Do  they  think 
t;y're  taking  us  to  the  cleaners  in 
4;  strategic  balance?  Are  they  try- 
i ;  to  avoid  spending  a  lot  of  dough? 
I-  do  they  perceive  SALT  in  roughly 
ti  same  terms  as  this  Administra- 
te does? 

A.  I've  often  thought  about  that. 
Ihy  is  it  that  they  seem  to  be  so  in- 
vested in  completing  the  SALT 
!  reement?  And  first — I'm  sure  it's 
I'jnecessary  but,  first — let  me  disclaim 
;y  possibility  that  they  could  think 
f:y  are  taking  us  to  the  cleaners. 

I  mean,  after  all,  what  they  are  doing 
■!  agree  to  equal  aggregates;  agree  that 
fcy  will  cut  back  on  systems  when  we 
i  n't  have  to;  and  agree  to  limitations 

lich,  to  a  large  extent,  offset  the  ad- 

mtage  that  they  have  in  throw-weight 
the  ICBM's. 


Ralph  Earle  II  was  born  September  26, 
1928,  in  Bryn  Mawr,  Pa.  He  received  an 
A.B.  from  Harvard  (1950)  and  an  LL.B. 
from  Harvard  Law  School  ( 1955).  He  served 
in  the  U.S.  Army  from  1950  to  1952. 

Mr.  Earle  practiced  law  in  Philadelphia 
from  1956  to  1968.  In  1968  and  1969,  he 
served  as  principal  Deputy  Assistant  Secre- 
tary of  Defense  and  Acting  Assistant  Secre- 
tary of  Defense  for  International  Security 
Affairs.  He  was  Defense  Adviser  to  the  U.S. 
Mission  to  NATO  (1969-72)  and  was  a  con- 
sultant for  SALT  in  the  Office  of  the  Secre- 
tary of  Defense  (1972-73).  He  was  the  Arms 
Control  and  Disarmament  Agency  Represen- 
tative on  the  U.S.  delegation  to  SALT  from 
1973  until  May  11,  1977.  when  he  became 
alternate  chairman  of  the  U.S.  delegation. 
Mr.  Earle  became  chairman  of  the  delega- 
tion, with  the  rank  of  Ambassador,  upon  the 


resignation  of  Paul  C.   Warnke  on  October 
31,  1978. 


So  that  as  compared  with  where  they 
would  be  without  a  treaty,  they  cer- 
tainly can't  feel  that  they  have  some- 
how imposed  unequal  restrictions  on 
us.  I  would  much  rather  have  my  side 
of  the  case  in  presenting  it  to  the  Sen- 
ate. But  it  just  seems  to  me  that  there 
are  so  many  reasons  why  they  should 
be  interested  in  a  SALT  agreement 
that  it  doesn't  surprise  me  that  they 
are,  in  fact.  For  one  thing,  the  eco- 
nomic argument  is  a  much  more  potent 
one  for  them  than  it  is  for  us.  They've 
got  fewer  resources  and  it  costs  them 
more.  And  they  have  many,  many  more 
unmet  needs  than  we  have. 

Then  there  are  political  reasons  that  1 
think  are  perhaps  more  important  to 
them  than  they  are  to  us.  I  certainly 
have  the  impression  that  they  derive  a 
lot  of  satisfaction  from  being  seen  as  a 
coequal  of  the  United  States  negotiat- 
ing on  strategic  arms  and  also  other 
arms  control  matters. 

I  think  in  terms  of  their  perception  of 
their  world  position  that  this  is  a  factor. 
I  think  it's  very  clear  that  Mr. 
Brezhnev  has  got  a  heavy  political  in- 
vestment in  SALT;  after  all,  he  was  the 
one  who  negotiated  the  Vladivostok 
accord.  And  he  still  doesn't  have  that 
reduced  to  a  treaty. 

I  have  been  told  repeatedly  that  we 
don't  appreciate  how  much  political 
blood  Mr.  Brezhnev  had  to  expend  at 
Vladivostok. 

Q.  You  were  told  by  the  Soviets 
or — 

A.  Yes.  Told  by  the  Soviets.  And 
then  I  think  that  also,  if  you  look  at  it 
in  terms  of  the  overall  military  impli- 
cations, I  think  that  they  are  very  wor- 
ried about  proliferation.  And  I  have 
seen  that  throughout  the  comprehensive 


test  ban  talks,  and  I  see  it  very  much  in 
SALT. 

And  they  realize  that  we're  pretty 
much  on  the  hook,  both  of  us,  in  the 
Nonproliferation  Treaty,  to  do  some- 
thing about  our  own  strategic  arsenals. 
Look  at  their  excitement  and  concern 
about  the  possibility  of  South  Africa 
testing  a  nuclear  weapon.  So  I  think 
that  they  are  driven  to  a  considerable 
extent  by  that. 

And  I  think  they  should  be;  I  think 
we  should  be.  Because  I  can't  really 
believe  that  the  number  of  countries 
that  are  capable  of  building  nuclear 
weapons  will  continue  to  eschew  that 
possibility  unless  we  do  something 
about  controlling  our  own. 

And  then  I  feel  genuinely  that  the 
prospect  of  an  unfettered  competition 
with  the  United  States  is,  to  them,  a 
very  unappetizing  one.  They  are  very 
aware  of  our  superior  technology.  I 
think  they  feel  that  if  everything  is  al- 
lowed to  go  totally  unrestricted,  they're 
going  to  have  a  hell  of  a  time  trying  to 
keep  up.  And  I  think  they're  right. 

So  I  can  think  of  a  lot  of  reasons  that 
are  in  their  own  self-interest. 

Q.  [Inaudible;  concerns  toughest 
issues] 

A.  I  would  say  a  couple  of  them 
were  tougher  than  any  that  we've  got 
left.  One  of  them  was  the  entire  busi- 
ness of  the  MIRV  launcher-type 
counting  rule.  You  know,  what  we  had 
been  pushing  for  a  long  time  was  the 
idea  that  there  had  to  be  a  rule  in  which 
anything  that  looked  like  the  launcher 
of  a  MIRV'ed  missile  would  count. 

And  they  had  agreed  to  the  MIRV- 
type  rule  under  which  if  a  missile  was 
of  a  type  that  had  ever  been  tested  with 
MIRV's,  it  counted  as  a  MIRV'ed  mis- 


10 


sile.  But  they  were  not  willing,  until 
September  of  1977,  to  accept  the  idea 
that  a  launcher  that  looked  like  a 
launcher  that  had  ever  launched  or 
contained  a  missile  of  a  type  that  had 
ever  been  tested  with  MIRV's  would 
count  as  the  launcher  of  a  MIRV'ed 
missile.  And  that,  I  think,  was  a  fairly 
major  step. 

Another  one  was  the  business  of  how 
you  were  going  to  count  heavy 
bombers  with  cruise  missiles.  Re- 
member, that  was  the  issue  as  to 
whether  or  not  they  would  count 
against  the  MIRV  ceiling. 

Q.  [Inaudible]  that's  still  a  major 
question;  how  many? 

A.  No.  A  different  question.  At  that 
point,  they  were  arguing  that  a'  heavy 
bomber  with  long-range  cruise  missiles 
would  count  as  if  it  were  a  MIRV'ed 
ballistic  missile  launcher. 

And  that  was  a  very  important  issue 
for  us  because  if  we  had  then  gone 
ahead  with  the  upgrading  of  our 
strategic  bombers,  it  would  have 
counted  against  our  entitlement  of 
MIRV'ed  ballistic  missiles.  So  that, 
again,  was  a  very  major  agreement. 
Those  were  two  of  the  principal  ones. 

Q.  [Inaudible;  concerns  SALT  III] 

A.  As  far  as  the  timing  of  SALT  III 
is  concerned,  I  think  that  that's  pretty 
much  agreed  by  both  sides  that  we  will 
do  that  promptly  after  the  completion 
of  SALT  II.  And  I  think  we  should.  It's 
hard  to  see  what  kind  of  form  SALT  III 
will  take. 

It  will  be  very  different  from  SALT 
II  because  you  won't  have  to  go 
through  all  of  the  basics.  In  SALT  II, 
you  had  to  negotiate  all  of  the  boiler- 
plate of  a  treaty — the  definitions,  the 
question  of  the  verification  rules,  a  lot 
of  things  that  won't  have  to  be  re- 
negotiated. 

In  a  sense,  you  could  visualize 
SALT  III  as  sort  of  a  series  of  amend- 
ments of  SALT  II.  You  could  take  a 
particular  package  of  amendments  and 
try  and  negotiate  them.  But  this  is 
something,  obviously,  that  we're  going 
to  have  to  feel  our  way  toward. 

As  far  as  Gromyko's  comments  are 
concerned,  all  I  can  think  of  that  he 
may  have  been  referring  to  is  that  they 
have  pushed  for  a  long  time,  of  course, 
to  include  our  forward-based  systems 
and  the  nuclear  forces  of  allied  states 
as  part  of  SALT. 

Now  that's  the  basic  dichotomy  be- 
tween the  definitions  of  strategic 
weapons,  with  our  maintaining  that 
strategic  weapons  are  those  that  can  be 
launched  from  one  country  and  strike 


Department  of  State  Bullet 


(( 


the  other  country,  whereas  they  main- 
tain that  any  weapons  that  can  strike 
the  territory  of  the  other  country  ought 
to  be  counted  as  strategic. 

That's  what  they  yielded  in  Vlad- 
ivostok. That  was  the  fundamental 
breakthrough  that  President  Ford  ac- 
complished. But  they  have  made  it  very 
clear  always  that  they  would  try  and 
raise  forward-based  systems  and  the 
forces  of  the  other  side  as  part  of  SALT 
111. 

We  have  made  it  equally  clear  that 
we  aren't  prepared  now  to  concede  that 
these  would  be  relevant  to  a  SALT 
agreement.  And  if  they  were,  in  fact, 
to  be  involved — that  is,  the  forward- 
based  systems — then  we  would  be  pre- 
pared to  discuss  that  issue  only  in  con- 
junction with  a  discussion  of  theater 
nuclear  forces  on  both  sides. 

We've  also  made  it  clear  that,  as  far 
as  we're  concerned,  SALT  is  bilateral. 
And,  therefore,  the  forces  of  other 
countries  aren't  relevant  to  the  issue. 
But  I  have  no  doubt  that  they  will  con- 
tinue to  push  their  position,  and  I  think 
that's  what  Mr.  Gromyko  meant. 


Q.  Do  you  have  any  thoughts  on 
the  splitting  of  your  hats  once  again? 

A.  Gee.  That's  an  unprepossessing 
metaphor.  I  hope  my  head  wasn't  in  it. 

Q.  And  having  a  military  man  in 
charge  of  the  Agency? 

A.  Let  me  address  both  of  those 
questions.  I  felt,  when  I  took  this  job, 
that  it  was  very  important  that  the  di- 
rector of  ACDA  be  the  chief  negotiator 
of  SALT.  I  felt  that  way  because  it 
seemed  to  me  that  ACDA  had  to  be  in 
the  principal  arms  control  action. 

And  that  if  you  just  had  the  director- 
ship, you  would  be  in  a  position  in 
which  you  were  almost  a  kind  of  an 
arms  control  policy  planner.  But  you 
didn't  have  any  piece  of  the  actual  op- 
erational business.  Because  of  the  fact 
that  I've  had  both  jobs,  I  don't  think 
that  it's  as  important  for  somebody  to 
have  both  jobs  in  the  future. 

And  in  addition  to  that,  as  you  prob- 
ably know,  in  the  Arms  Control  Act, 
we  were  able  to  get  an  amendment 
through  back  in  1977  to  set  up  a  posi- 
tion of  Special  Negotiator  for  Arms 
Control,  which  is  the  statutory  position 
that  Ralph  Earle  holds. 

So  that  the  structural  relationship  of 
ACDA  to  SALT  is  now  very  well  es- 
tablished. As  a  consequence,  I  don't 
really  worry  about  the  fact  that  the  job 
has  been  split.  As  a  matter  of  fact,  as  a 
practical  matter,  it's  been  split  for 
some  time,   as  you   very  well   know. 


Most  of  the  time,   Ralph  has  been 
charge  of  the  actual  day-to-day  nego' 
ations.  And  I've  either  been  here  or 
Geneva  or  elsewhere  engaged  in  oth 
arms  control  negotiations. 

As  far  as  having  a  military  man,  n 
feeling  on  that  is  it  depends  on  tl 
military  man. 

I  don't  think  that  either  race,  se 
previous  condition  of  servitude, 
what  your  professional  background  h 
been  ought  to  be  a  disqualificatii 
from  holding  a  high  office  in  the  A 
ministration.  And  this  is  a  very  got 
General.  This  is  a  guy  who  has  demo 
strated  his  sympathy  for  arms  conti 
principles. 

Again,  I'm  quite  biased  because 
was  at  my  request  that  the  Preside 
appointed  him  as  the  at-large  delegi 
at  the  SALT  talks.  And  I  did  so  b 
cause  I  knew  him  and  knew  his  repui 
tion.  So  that  I  think  that  he  is  abu 
dantly  qualified  for  the  job. 

Q.  More  on  the  military — ai 
putting  the  negotiations  with  tl 
Soviets  aside  for  a  second — what  h 
it  been  like  to  negotiate  within  t 
Administration?  How  has  your  o\ 
position  stood  up  in  these  contest 
And  how  have  you  done  with  t 
Pentagon  and  other  places  aroui 
Washington? 

A.  I  think  I've  done  pretty  well.  Is 
as  well  as  I  would  have  liked  to  ha 
done.  But  I  would  say  that  the  voice 
ACDA  has  been  heard  and  that  we' 
won  our  share  of  arguments. 

Q.  What  kind  of  struggle  is 
though?  And  is  it  a  real  one? 

A.  It's  the  kind  of  struggle  y 
would  anticipate.  You've  got,  after  a 
a  situation  in  which  the  SALT  positio 
are  established  by  a  total  interagen 
process,  which  is  the  way  it  should  b 
You  can't  expect  when  you  sit  in 
NSC  [National  Security  Council]  su 
committee  meeting  that  you're  going 
find  a  total  congruity  of  views  amo 
the  Secretary  of  State,  the  Secretary 
Defense,  Chairman  of  the  Joint  Chiel 
Director  of  Central  Intelligence,  a: 
me. 

So  that  you  do  have  a  lot  of  debate 
But  I  think  that's  both  natural  and, 
think,  entirely  healthy.  And  1  think  y< 
end  up  with  a  better  product  as  a  resu 
I've  had  the  distinct  advantage  of  ha 
ing  known  a  lot  of  the  people  who  a 
involved  in  the  process  for  a  number 
years.  After  all,  I  worked  with  ( 
Vance  and  Harold  Brown  in  the  Pent 
gon  back  a  decade  and  more  ago.  Ai 
that  relationship  has,  I  think,  been  n 
only  something  that  has  made  my  j< 
more  pleasant  but  has  also  enabled 


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kember  1978 

talk  on   a  very   frank  and  candid, 
sis  and  to  resolve  a  lot  of  differ- 
es  that  might  otherwise  have  been 
source  of  irritation.  I  think  that 
t's  worked  pretty  well.  I  don't  really 
lilt  the  process.  I  think  that  the  prod- 
It  has  been  a  good  one.  But  even  if  it 
iren't,  I  couldn't  blame  the  process, 
•cause  it  does  seem  to  me  that  this  is 
jmething  which  does  require  the  sort 
consensus  positions  that  can  be  ar- 
ed  at  only  by  a  total  interagency 
cess. 


Q.  Going  back  to  ratification — 
laving  out  atmospherics — could 
Jur  foresee  how  Jackson  and  com- 
lny  could  get  a  hold,  a  lever  on  the 
Eaty  itself,  with  respect  to  equal 
ijgregates? 

A.  With  respect  to  equal  aggregates'.' 

Q.  With  respect  to  the  measured 
inferences  within  the  treaty. 

A.  If  you  mean  compliance  with  the 

:kson  amendment,  the   Vladivostok 

cords  established   that.   You  re- 

;mber  the  big  argument  then  was 

^liether  or  not  we  ought  to  yield  the 

linciple  of  equal   aggregates  of 

'iercontinental-range  systems. 

We  have  that,  so  that  that's  been 
I  isfied.  The  only  other  argument  that 
Jybody  could  make  is  that  they  are 
: 1 1  with  an  advantage  in  throw- weight 
I  the  ICBM's.  But  that's  not  the  result 
(  SALT;  that's  a  result  of  the  fact  that 
I  did  not  elect  to  build  the  very  large 
I  BM's  and  still  haven't. 

Q.  Throw-weight  is  much  more — 

..A.  But,  as  I  say,  they  can't  blame 
lit  on  SALT.  And  without  SALT,  the 
Irow-weight  disparity  would  be 
.|;ater  because  of  the  fact  that  they 
|)uld  not  be  limited  to  the  present 
Imber  of  heavy  ICBM's.  But  if  you 
:|Dk  at  our  1CBM  force  structure,  we 
l.ven't  even  matched  the  SS-19, 
Jiich  is  classified  as  a  light  ICBM. 
;,  And  it's  because  of  the  fact  that,  for 
Ime  reason — I  think  probably  for  a 
ijiod  reason — our  military  planners  did 
|>t  feel  that  this  was  a  prudent  expen- 
Iture  of  resources.  So  I  can't  see  how 
liy  argument  could  be  made  that 
ij\LT  II  somehow  does  not  comply 
Sith  the  principles  of  equality.  It  does. 


{ Q.  Semenov  was  in  the  job  for  9 
;ars. 

;  A.  Yes. 

Q.  And  you've  been  in  the  job  for 
hat — almost  2  years? 


11 


A.  Yes. 

Q.  You  took  it  rather  reluctantly, 
as  I  recall. 

A.  Grew  to  love  it,  though. 

Q.  Was  it  worth  it?  And  what  do 
you  feel  you  achieved? 

A.  There  are  two  ways  of  looking  at 
that  question.  One  personal  and  one 
from  the  standpoint  of  accomplish- 
ment. From  the  personal  standpoint,  it 
certainly  has  been  worthwhile.  I've 
enjoyed  it.  I've  found  dealing  with  the 
Russians  to  be  fascinating.  I've  found 
the  subject  matter  to  be  of  great  inter- 
est. I've  always  had  an  interest  in 
strategic  arms. 

It's  been  very  rewarding  also  be- 
cause of  the  tremendous  support  that 
I've  received,  particularly  from  Secre- 
tary Vance  and  from  President  Carter. 
And  that  is  always,  of  course,  some- 
thing that  leads  you  to  feel  that  you've 
had  a  unique  experience. 

From  the  standpoint  of  accomplish- 
ment, I  would  like  to  think  that  the 
treaty  is  a  little  better  because  I've 
been  a  participant.  I  can't  prove  that, 
but  I  shall  continue  to  think  so.  I  think 
also  that  I've  been  head  of  the  ACDA 
at  a  point  at  which  we've  been  able  to 
give  the  Agency,  perhaps,  more  weight 
and  brought  it  closer  to  fulfilling  its 
statutory  responsibilities. 

I  don't  take  credit  for  that  myself  but 
attribute  it  to  the  fact  that  I  was  there  at 
a  time  in  which  we  had  an  Administra- 
tion which  placed  arms  control  very 
high  on  the  agenda  of  priority  items. 
And  I  think  that  President  Carter's  rec- 
ord in  that  respect  is  really  a  distin- 
guished one. 

It's  one  of  the  difficulties  we  had  at 
the  Special  Session  on  Disarmament 
back  last  May  and  June.  You  know,  we 
tried  to  think  of  things  that  we  ought  to 
come  out  for.  And  the  real  problem 
was  that  we  were  doing  most  of  them. 
And,  as  a  consequence,  in  order  to 
come  out  with  anything  that  looked 
dramatic,  it  would  have  been  quite 
gimmicky. 

But  after  all,  the  President  not  only 
is  going  ahead  with  SALT,  and  has 
tried  very  hard  to  make  major  strides 
toward  an  effective  strategic  nuclear 
arms  control,  but  also  he  has,  for  the 
first  time  since  1963,  really  genuinely 
tried  to  reach  a  comprehensive  test  ban. 

We've  got  the  antisatellite  talks 
going.  We  would  have  gotten  further 
on  Indian  Ocean  stabilization  if  it  had 
not  been  for  the  developments  in  the 
Horn  of  Africa.  The  conventional  arms 
transfer  talks  have  proven  to  be  much 


BACKGROUND 
INFORMATION  ON  SALT 

SALT  I  agreements  (Treaty  on  the  Lim- 
itation of  Anti-Ballistic  Missile  Sys- 
tems and  Interim  Agreement  on  the 
Limitation  of  Strategic  Offensive 
Arms).  Bulletin  of  June  26,  1972,  p. 
918. 
"Soviet  Civil  Defense."  Report  released 
by  the  CIA  in  July  1978  and  printed  by 
the  Department  of  State  as  Special  Re- 
port No.  47,  Sept.  1978.* 
"The  Strategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks." 
Department  of  State  Special  Report 
No.  46.  July  1978.* 
"Compliance  With  the  SALT  I  Agree- 
ments "  Administration  report  released 
by  the  Department  of  State  and  the 
Senate  Committee  on  Foreign  Relations 
in  Feb.  1978  and  published  in  the 
Bulletin  of  Apr.  1978,  p.  10. 

"Verification  of  the  Proposed  SALT  II 
Agreement  "  Administration  report 
released  by  the  Senate  Committee  on 
Foreign  Relations  in  Feb.  1978  and 
published  in  the  Bulletin  of  Apr. 
1978,  p.  15. 

"The  SALT  Process."  Pamphlet  released 
by  the  Department  of  State,  June 
1978.* 

"Arms  Control  and  National  Security." 
Address  by  Secretary  Vance  on  Apr. 
10,  1978.  Bulletin  of  May  1978, 
p.  20. 

"Key  Features  of  the  SALT  II  Negotia- 
tions." Remarks  by  Paul  C.  Warnke  on 
June  2,  1978.** 

"The  United  States  and  the  Soviet 
Union."  Address  by  President  Carter 
on  June  7,  1978.  Bulletin  of  July 
1978,  p.  14. 

"SALT  II  —  The  Home  Stretch."  Ad- 
dress by  Paul  C.  Warnke  on  Aug.  23, 
1978.  Bulletin  of  Oct.  1978,  p.  17. 

"U.S.  and  Soviet  Strategic  Capability 
Through  the  Mid- 1 980 's."  ACDA  re- 
port of  Aug.  1978.  Bulletin  of  Oct. 
1978,  p.  24. 

"SALT — The  Alternative  is  Unaccept- 
able." Address  by  Paul  C.  Warnke  on 
Sept.  12,  1978.** 

"Strengthening  U.S.  Security  Through 
SALT."  Address  by  Paul  C.  Warnke 
on  Sept.  15,  1978.** 


*  Single  copies  are  available  from  the 
Correspondence  Management  Division, 
Bureau  of  Public  Affairs,  Department  of 
State,  Washington,  D.C.  20520. 

**  Copies  are  available  from  the  Public 
Affairs  Office,  Arms  Control  and  Disar- 
mament Agency,  Washington,  D.C. 
20451. 


12 


Department  of  State  Bulleti,  v 


THE  PRESIDENT: 

The  United  States  and 
its  Eeonomie  Responsibilities 


Remarks  at  the  opening  session  of 
the  26th  World  Conference  of  the  In- 
ternational Chamber  of  Commerce  in 
Orlando,  Florida,  on  October  1, 
197X.1 

We  meet  at  an  unusual  time  in  our 
world's  history.  It's  a  moment  of  rela- 
tive calm.  We  are  more  or  less  free  of 
overt,  international  warfare,  more  or 
less  free  of  the  severe  dislocations  that 
have  disrupted  our  economies  in  the 
past.  Yet,  in  this  moment,  we  must 
face  the  deeper  problems  of  humanity. 
None  of  us  can  ignore  hunger,  although 
we  may  never  personally  experience 
hunger.  We  cannot  ignore  the  problems 
of  overpopulation  or  the  unequal  divi- 
sion of  the  world's  goods,  even  though 
we  might  obviously  have  gotten  and 
retained  more  than  our  share. 

We've  all  learned  that  in  an  interde- 
pendent world,  we  can  only  advance 
when  we  advance  together.  As  human 
beings,  our  sense  of  mercy  and  justice 
is  offended  when  injustice  so  freely 
reigns. 

It's  in  this  time  of  relative  calm  that 
we  can  assess  our  reasons,  weigh  our 
obligations,  and  decide  how  best  to 
exert  and  apply  our  efforts  to  these 
great  obligations  that  you  and  I  face  to- 
gether as  leaders. 

The  Cause  of  Peace 

There  is  one  responsibility  that 
transcends  all  others,  and  that  is  the 
cause  of  peace.  Leaders  often  underes- 
timate the  wisdom  of  our  people  and 
how  much  our  people  desire  peace. 

We  saw  a  dramatic  demonstration  of 


this  recently.  Almost  a  year  ago,  when 
two  brave  leaders  —  President  Sadat 
and  Prime  Minister  Begin  —  took  the 
first  long  step  toward  peace,  their 
people  rejoiced  on  the  streets.  Where 
they  expected  hatred,  there  was  ob- 
vious demonstration  of  friendship  and 
even  love.  Where  they  expected  dis- 
pleasure or  condemnation,  there  was 
overwhelming  rejoicing. 

My  belief  is  that  the  great  hunger  for 
a  peaceful  world  imposes  on  us  the  ob- 
ligation to  use  the  resources  we  control 
constructively,  to  use  them  to  minimize 
frictions  that  can  lead  to  war.  And  my 
belief  is  that  the  people  of  other 
neighboring  countries,  even  in  the 
Middle  East,  also  equally  yearn  for 
peace,  even  though  some  leaders  may 
not  yet  recognize  this  fact. 

As  the  leader  of  my  own  govern- 
ment, there  is  no  responsibility  that  I 
take  more  seriously.  It  guides  every 
decision  I  make  about  our  nation's  de- 
fense forces.  For  I  know  that  our  un- 
questioned strength  is  the  surest 
guarantee  for  liberty  for  ourselves  and 
perhaps  even  stability  and  security  in 
the  world. 

But  I  also  know  that  the  pursuit  of 
military  strength  alone  is  not  enough. 
We  must  have  the  confidence  and  the 
courage  to  pursue  every  avenue  for 
peace  and  to  realize  that  this  pursuit  is 
not  a  sign  of  weakness.  That  is  why 
Secretary  Vance  and  I  have  just  spent 
long  hours,  even  yesterday,  with 
Foreign  Minister  Gromyko,  negotiating 
in  earnest  hope  of  an  early  agreement 
on  a  strategic  arms  limitation  treaty 
between  our  countries. 

But  government  does  not  bear  the 


Wamke  (Cont'd) 

more  of  a  seminal  event  than  would 
have  been  thought  at  the  time  that  we 
started  the  bilaterals. 

We  are  making  progress  on  restric- 
tions on  chemical  warfare  and 
radiological  warfare.  We  are  going  to 
have  a  second  set  of  talks  to  prevent 
the  development  and  retention  of  an 
antisatellite  capability.  It's  awfully 
hard  for  me  to  see  what  particular  field 
of  arms  control  we  have  not  initiated 
discussions  in  and  aren't  making  prog- 
ress in. 


As  a  consequence,  looking  back  at 
my  time,  I  would  have  to  feel  that  I 
was  in  the  fortunate  position  of  being 
head  of  the  Agency  and  chief  SALT 
negotiator  at  a  time  at  which  this  was 
an  important  part  of  overall  American 
foreign  policy.  I  don't  take  credit  for 
it,  but  I'm  grateful  for  it.  □ 


sole  responsibility  for  peace.  Through  goi 
out  history,  the  forces  that  can  unite  u 
also  have  often  driven  us  apart.  Ideol  » 
ogy,  religion,  allegiance  to  nation; 
soil  —  all  have  the  power  to  bring  wt 
among  peoples  or  to  enable  them  t 
find  peace  and  concord. 

This  audience  possesses  another  sue 
powerful  force.  Within  this  centur 
we've  seen  narrow  economic  interest ^ 
cause  the  friction  that  led  to  devastai 
ing  wars.  But  we've  seen  the  sanr 
economic  forces  lift  humanity  abov 
the  bitterest  previous  divisions. 

Most  of  us  here  can  remember  tfr 
days  when  the  United  States  was  er 
gaged  in  total  war  against  Germany  an 
Japan,  countries  that  are  now  ou 
closest  allies.  Largely  through  th 
bonds  of  trade  and  commerce,  thes 
nations  have  become  our  partners  i 
seeking  a  prosperous  global  future. 

I've  often  wondered  what  woul 
have  happened  if  we  had  the  sarni 
bonds  of  trade  and  commerce  befoi 
1939  or  before  1941.  That's  why  I'i 
such  a  staunch  advocate  of  glob; 
commerce.  That's  why  I'm  determine 
to  increase  substantially  U.S.  trac 
with  other  nations,  including  the  Sovic 
Union  and  the  People's  Republic  < 
China. 

I  will  not  compromise,  of  coursi 
our  nation's  security  nor  that  of  our  a> 
lies,  but  I  believe  that  fruitful  ecc 
nomic  relationships  can  advance  tr 
security  of  all  peoples  on  Earth. 

Let  me  repeat  that  governments  cai 
not  achieve  this  goal  alone.  Evei 
company,  every  corporation,  even 
economic  leader  involved  in  intern; 
tional  commerce  can  aggravate  tensiot 
by  encouraging  protectionism,  by  se 
ting  nation  against  nation  and  ric 
against  poor,  or  it  can  work  to  ove- 
come  and  to  prevent  these  same  negi 
tive  forces. 

That  responsibility  weighs  heavil 
on  all  of  us  who  are  in  positions  c 
privilege.  We  know  that  if  power  ( 
profit  is  pursued  for  itself,  and  nothin 
more,  that  we  are  not  worthy  of  ou 
gifts,  but  more  importantly,  our  worl 
will  suffer.  Without  leaders  of  visior 
we  can  never  solve  the  problems  th; 
most  sorely  afflict  us  and  those  th; 
threaten  us  even  more  in  the  future. 


Text  from  AC  DA  press  release  23  of  Nov.  I, 
I97H;  the  full  text  may  be  obtained  from  Office 
of  Public  Affairs,  Arms  Control  and  Disarma- 
ment Agency,  Washington,  DC.  20-151. 


Social  Justice 

There  is  another  responsibility  that  i 
imposed  upon  us,  that  of  simpl 
justice — justice  among  nations  of  th 
world,  justice  among  the  people! 
within  each  nation. 

It's  not  too  much  to  believe  that  al 
people  should  have  an  equal  opportu 
nity  to  enjoy  life's  rewards,  whethe 
they  were  born  in  a  poor  country  or 
rich  one,  whether  they  were  raised  tr 


In 


" 


December  1978 


13 


)or  parents  or  by  those  of  wealth. 
The  world's  governments  have  a  re- 
lonsibility  to  pursue  social  justice.  In 
e  United  States  we've  increased  our 
reign  aid  appropriations  and  raised  a 
rong  voice  on  behalf  of  human  rights. 
)litical  rights,  social  rights,  economic 
ghts  in  our  own  country  and  through- 
it  the  world.  We  recognize  that  trade 
id  free  economies  also  offer  a  good 
>pe  of  improving  living  standards  and 
better  chance  of  protecting  individual 
sedoms  in  the  broadest  definition  of 
e  word  "freedom." 

conomic  Justice 

It's  very  important  that  we  all  work 
bring  all  nations  of  the  world,  espe- 
ally  the  Eastern  nations,  the  members 
the  Organization  of  Petroleum  Ex- 
iting Countries,  and  the  undeve- 
loped nations,  more  closely  into  the 
arid  financial  and  economic  organi- 
tions,  like  the  International  Monetary 
ind,  the  World  Bank,  regional  banks, 
d  others.  To  meet  our  own  respon- 
lilities,  we're  expanding  our  exports, 
staining  our  economic  growth  at  the 
te  which  permits  us  to  buy  from  other 
tions,  and  taking  tough  but  sensible 
:ps  to  preserve  the  value  of  the  dollar 
a  reserve  currency. 
These  actions  will  help  to  distribute 
e  world's  wealth  more  equitably  in 
e  future.  But  I  know  as  well  that  you 
present  multinational  companies; 
ime  of  you  can  often  do  more  than 
'vernments  to  determine  how  fairly 
I;  world's  rewards  are  shared. 

The  International  Chamber  deserves 
leat  credit  for  the  contributions  that 
;  u've  made,  for  the  ethical  code  you 
j  veloped,  for  your  work  with  the 
hited  Nations,  and  your  many  other 
jogressive  and  admirable  acts.  Or- 
j  nizations  like  your  own  and  the  com- 
Inies  your  members  represent  have 
lought  the  benefits  of  trade,  technol- 
l;y,  education,  and  medicine  to  parts 
I  the  world  that  had  been  too  long 
« thout  them. 

i  But  you  realized  as  well  as  I  how 

Iten  a  few  corporate  leaders  have  been 

jiown  to  exploit  weak  nations,  to 

(•use  poor  and  inarticulate  workers,  to 

llerate  racism,  and  often  to  overlook 

n^ibery,   payoffs,   and  corruption  by 

(justed  employees.   You  know  how 

k|ten  some  have  been  unworthy  of  the 

.eat  power  and  influence  they  possess. 

:nd  you  know  as  well  as  I  that  power 

1  ng  abused  cannot  be  maintained.  It 

nnot  be  maintained,  not  only  because 

I's  wrong  but  because  it  defies  the 

storical  trend  of  our  times. 

[For  the  past  few  decades,   nation- 

lism  was  a  vision  which  inspired  and 

,'oved  people  around  the  world  to 

eate  a  nation  that  was  independent. 


no  matter  how  small  or  weak  it  may 
have  been.  Now  that  revolution, 
nationalism,  has  largely  been  com- 
pleted. And  other  goals  are 
emerging  —  goals  of  justice,  equity, 
human  rights,  and  freedom. 

These  are  the  wave  of  the  present 
and  the  wave  of  the  future.  We  should 
not  fight  this  wave.  We  should  ride  it, 
be  part  of  it,  encourage  it,  let  it  nurture 
a  better  life  for  those  who  yearn  and  for 
those  of  us  who  already  enjoy.  If  we 
can  marshal  our  resources  in  the  cause 
of  right,  if  we  can  pursue  peace  and 
justice  as  energetically  as  we  pursue 


Foreign  Oil.  The  second  step  is  to 
reduce  our  dependence  on  foreign  oil. 
We  are  on  the  verge  of  enacting  a  com- 
prehensive energy  program — I  predict 
that  it  will  be  done  before  the  Congress 
adjourns  —  which  will  increase  our 
domestic  production,  shift  to  more 
plentiful  supplies  of  fuel,  and  reduce 
the  waste  of  all  forms  of  energy  in  our 
country. 

Energy  is  a  worldwide  problem,  and 
our  responsibilities  extend  far  beyond 
our  own  borders.  We  will  never  at- 
tempt to  obstruct  exploration  and  the 
development  of  worldwide  energy  re- 


Every  company,  every  corporation,  every  economic  leader  involved  in 
international  commerce  can  aggravate  tensions  by  encouraging  pro- 
tectionism, by  setting  nation  against  nation  and  rich  against  poor,  or  it 
can  work  to  overcome  and  to  protect  these  same  negative  forces. 


power  and  profit,  then  we  can  achieve 
these  goals  and  in  the  process  win  the 
fight  against  our  other  modern  evils, 
such  as  international  terrorism,  which 
threaten  many  of  us. 

These  are  all  shared  responsibilities, 
ones  you  must  take  as  seriously  as  I. 
But  there  are  some  very  specific  re- 
sponsibilities of  the  U.S.  Government 
which  I  would  like  to  mention  briefly 
here  this  evening,  because  they  affect 
everyone  here  and  those  you  represent 
back  home. 

Economic  Stability 

The  United  States  has  a  responsibil- 
ity to  contribute  to  global  economic 
stability  and  well-being.  There  are 
three  important  steps  our  nation  is  tak- 
ing, based  on  the  commitments  I  made 
2  months  ago  in  Bonn. 

Inflation.  The  first  is  to  reduce  in- 
flation. I  will  soon  announce  a  tough 
new  program  designed  to  bring  infla- 
tion under  control.  We've  already  acted 
to  make  sure  that  the  government  sets 
an  example,  cutting  unnecessary 
spending,  reducing  Federal  pay  in- 
creases, removing  unnecessary  regula- 
tions, cutting  the  Federal  deficit,  and 
letting  the  free  market  set  prices 
wherever  it  can. 

We've  tried  a  quick  experiment  re- 
lating to  the  international  and  domestic 
airlines.  Fares  have  been  drastically  re- 
duced. The  number  of  passengers  has 
been  greatly  increased.  The  profits  of 
the  airlines  have  also  grown.  Soon  I 
will  ask  for  an  expanded  anti-inflation 
program  with  balanced  and  reasonable 
sacrifices  from  business,  labor,  and 
every  other  segment  of  our  economy, 
along  with  government. 


sources.  Our  great  technology  is  avail- 
able for  others  to  use. 


Trade  and  Investment.  The  third 
pledge  we  made  at  Bonn  was  to  expand 
our  exports  and  to  broaden  world  trade 
and  investment,  and  I  might  add,  while 
discouraging  the  excessive  speculation 
in  currencies  that  unsettles  foreign  ex- 
change markets.  We  will  expand  our 
exports  to  get  our  current  account  defi- 
cit under  control. 

Recent  statistics  are  encouraging. 
And  factors  that  have  already  come 
into  existence  will  enhance  this  trend  in 
the  coming  months.  The  rate  of  growth 
of  our  nation  is  now  much  more  in 
phase  with  the  rate  of  growth  of  our 
trade  partners.  A  lower  valued  dollar 
will  make  our  own  products  more  at- 
tractive. And  controlling  inflation  in 
our  country,  minimizing  the  imports  of 
oil  over  a  period  of  time,  will  help  to 
expand  our  exports  as  contrasted  with 
our  imports. 

U.S.  trade  relationships  and  export 
performance  are  not  just  a  domestic 
concern.  As  our  trade  encourages 
peace,  our  export  growth  will  spur  the 
world  economy. 

U.S.  food  production  is  a  great 
world  resource,  and  more  stable  stor- 
age and  supplies  will  increase  agricul- 
tural exports  at  more  predictable  and 
reasonable  prices  to  help  feed  the  hun- 
gry people  of  the  world.  It  also  reduces 
our  trade  deficit,  which  in  turn 
strengthens  the  dollar. 

We  accept  and  will  honor  the  re- 
sponsibilities that  go  with  the  dollar's 
role  as  an  international  reserve  of  cur- 
rency. Our  present  policies  are  de- 
signed to  fight  inflation  and  achieve 
that  goal,  and  I  have  no  doubt  that  the 


14 

dollar  will  rise  in  response  to  its  fun- 
damental value  and  the  emerging  eco- 
nomic trends  which  I  have  just  de- 
scribed. Stable,  noninflationary  growth 
enables  public  and  private  institutions 
to  meet  their  obligations  to  the  poor 
two-thirds  of  the  world. 

We  must  do  more  to  help  these 
countries  by  trade,  by  aid,  by  other 
measures.  Private  enterprise  has  a  large 
responsibility  here.  World  prosperity 
depends  at  least  as  much  on  the 
wisdom  and  foresight  of  private  busi- 
ness leaders  as  on  the  good  sense  of 
government. 

I  described  the  steps  the  U.S.  Gov- 
ernment is  taking,  not  because  they 


/  believe  .  .  .  that  the  best  way 
to  achieve  the  world  we  seek  is 
through  a  free  political  and  eco- 
nomic system. 


will  solve  all  our  problems — because 
they  won't — nor  because  they  are  un- 
usually brave  ones — because  they  are 
not.  I  mention  them  as  an  indication  of 
how  deeply  I  believe  my  nation  has  a 
responsibility  in  the  world. 

Each  of  these  steps  involves  some 
sacrifice  for  the  American  public.  In 
many  cases  they  require  deferral  of  goals 
we  would  prefer  to  pursue.  But  the 
American  public  is  ready  to  meet  this 
challenge.  I  have  no  doubt  about  that.  I 
think  my  nation  has  come  to  the  recog- 
nition that  only  through  vision,  ac- 
commodation, and  occasional  sacrifice 
can  we  be  worthy  of  our  privilege;  that 
only  by  fulfilling  our  obligations  can 
we  win  many  of  the  rewards  that  are 
truly  worth  possessing. 

I  believe,  as  1  know  you  do,  that  the 
best  way  to  achieve  the  world  we  seek 
is  through  a  free  political  and  economic 
system.  This  means  a  political  system 
in  which  governments  answer  for  their 
actions  to  their  people.  It  means  an 
economic  system  in  which  resources 
are  allocated  as  much  as  possible  by 
private,  not  government,  decisions. 

I  believe  in  a  free  market  system.  I 
prospered  in  it,  as  a  businessman.  I 
know  it's  the  best  route  for  progress  for 
all.  But  here,  again,  it  would  be  a 
mistake  to  blame  government  for  pro- 
tectionist decisions.  Hardly  a  week 
goes  by  that  I  don't  have  some  very 
conservative  businessman  or  a  group  of 
businessmen  come  to  me  to  ask  for 
government  protection  of  his  own 
interests,  at  the  same  time  deploring 
protectionism  for  all  others. 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


Interview  for 
"Bill  Moyers9  Journal"  (Excerpts) 


Am 


President  Carter  held  an  interview 
with  Bill  Movers  in  the  Oval  Office  on 
November  13,  1978,  for  broadcast 
later  that  evening  on  the  Public  Broad- 
casting System. ' 


Q.  What  do  you  think  the  Soviets 
are  up  to?  Do  you  see  them  as 
primarily  a  defensive  power  seeking 
to  solidify  their  own  position  in  the 
world,  or  do  you  see  them  as  an  ag- 
gressive power,  seeking  to  enlarge 
their  position  in  the  world? 

A.  To  be  perhaps  excessively  gener- 
ous, but  not  too  far  off  the  mark,  I 
think,  first  of  all,  they  want  peace  and 
security  for  their  own  people,  and  they 
undoubtedly  exaggerate  any  apparent 
threat  to  themselves  and  have  to,  to  be 
sure  that  they  are  able  to  protect  them- 
selves. At  the  same  time,  as  is  the  case 
with  us,  they  would  like  to  expand 
their  influence  among  other  people  in 
the  world,  believing  that  their  system 
of  government,  their  philosophy,  is 
the  best. 

This  means  that  we  have  to  plan  in 
the  future  in  the  presence  of  peace  be- 
tween us  to  be  competitive  with  them 
and  able  to  compete  both  aggressively 
and  successfully. 

But  I  would  say  that  those  are  their 
two  basic  motives  as  is  the  case  with 
us  —  security  for  themselves  and  to 
have  their  own  influence  felt  in  the  rest 
of  the  world  as  much  as  possible. 

Q.  There  is  a  school  of  thought 
which  says  that  their  aim  is  to 
achieve  superiority  over  us  in  both 
conventional  and  strategic  weapons 


and  that  we  must,  therefore,  not  set- 
tle to  be  equal  with  them  but  to  have 
superiority  over  them.  These  are  the 
hard  choices  you're  talking  about 
Where  do  you  come  out  in  that 
debate? 


A.  They  will  never  be  superior  to  us 
in  national  strength  nor  overall  military 
strength.  We  are  by  far  the  strongei 
nation  economically.  Our  productivity  i 
capacity  is  superior  and  I  think  always 
will  be. 

We've  got  a  vibrant,  dynamic  social 
and  political  system  based  on  freedom, 
individuality,  and  a  common  purpose 
that's  engendered  from  the  desire  oil 
our  own  people,  not  imposed  from: 
above  by  an  autocratic  government.  I 
think  our  absence  of  desire  to  control 
other  people  around  the  world  gives  us< 
a  competitive  advantage  once  a  new 
government  is  established  or  as  thejj 
search  about  for  friends.  We  are  bettei 
trusted  than  the  Soviet  Union.  The» 
spend  more  than  twice  as  much  of  theii 
gross  national  product  on  military 
matters,  but  we  are  still  much  stronger 
and  we  will  always  be  stronger  thar 
they  are  at  least  in  our  lifetimes. 

We  are  surrounded  by  friends  anc; 
allies;  Canada  in  the  north,  Mexico  in 
the  south,  two  open  and  accessible 
oceans  on  the  east  and  west.  The 
Soviets,  when  looked  at  from  the 
perspective  of  the  Kremlin,  are  faced 
with  almost  a  billion  Chinese  who  have 
a  strong  animosity  and  distrust  toward 
the  Soviets.  Toward  the  west,  in  East- 
ern Europe,  their  allies  and  friends 
can't  be  depended  on  nearly  so  strongly 
as  our  own.  They  have  a  difficult 
chance  to  have  access  to  the  oceans  in 


ei 

up 
1 

nl 

ID 

III 

ft! 

I 


)ll 


"I 


In  choosing  the  theme  for  your  26th 
conference — "Enterprise,  Freedom, 
and  the  Future"— the  International 
Chamber  has  recognized  the  essential 
linkage  between  free  people,  free  na- 
tions, and  free  enterprise.  Our  future 
course  will  be  determined  by  our  abil- 
ity to  sustain  these  freedoms.  We  must 
meet  our  responsibilities  to  others,  to 
keep  and  enhance  these  freedoms 
which  we  cherish.  Any  abuses  of  our 
power  and  influence  will  lead  to  inter- 
national constraints  and  controls  and  a 
lack  of  freedom. 

Peace  and  freedom  are  our  first 
priorities.  So  long  as  we  have  a  free 
play  of  ideas  and  information,  so  long 


-■ 


k 


as  we  maintain  a  climate  that  stimulates 
invention,  innovation,  competition,  our 
public  and  private  institutions  will  have 
the  intellectual  ferment  and  the  tech- 
nological progress  we  need  to  produce 
social  and  economic  progress.  I  know 
the  deliberations  that  follow  here  in 
Florida  will  be  stimulating  and  produc- 
tive. And  I'm  sure  that  you  will  leave 
Disney  World  ready  to  launch  a  new 
assault  on  the  problems  that  command 
our  future  attention.  □ 


'Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Oct.  9,  1 978  (opening 
paragraphs  omitted). 


:ember  1978 


15 


unrestricted  fashion;  their  climate  is 

t  as  good  as  ours;  their  lands  are  not 

productive. 

^nd  so  I  think  that  in  any  sort  of 

:sent  or  future  challenge  from  the 

viet  Union,  our  nation  stacks  up  very 

11,  and  1  thank  God  for  it. 

Q.  But  do  you  think  the  number 

mentality  which  you  hear  many 

»ple  espouse  is  a  healthy  mental- 

?  Is  the  whole  question  of  being 

mber  one,  one  that  can  ever  result 

lanything  but  an  increasing  escala- 

In  of  tensions  and  increasing  arms 

Denditures? 

V.  In  nuclear  weapons,  which  is, 
i  know,  where  our  competition  with 
Soviets  is  most  direct,  we've  both 
epted  the  concept  of  rough  equiva- 
cy;  that  is,  we  are  just  about  equal. 
;y  have  heavier  warheads;  we  have 
re  of  them.  We  have  three  different 
terns  for  delivery  of  warheads  —  if 
ever  need  to,  and  I  don't  think  we 
r  will  have  to  —  that  are  mutually 
portive.  We  have  a  much  higher  de- 
oped  electronics  technology;  our 
veillance  systems  are  probably  as 
>d  or  better  than  theirs. 
)ur  submarines  are  quieter  than 
Itirs.   We've  got  an  advantage  in 
{)  ing  a  tremendous  reservoir  of  a  free 
a;rprise  business  system  that  can  be 
jnvative  and  aggressive.  We  have  a 
l:h  closer  correlation  between  the 
eduction   of  civilian  or  peaceful 
^  ds  on  the  one  hand  and  military  on 
h  other. 

o  I  think  that  in  the  case  of  nuclear 
l/upons,  we  have  an  equivalency  with 
hn.  and  they  recognize  it,  and  vice 
■a. 

ioth  of  us  realize  that  no  one  can 
jick  the  other  with  impunity.  We  can 
§3rb,  even  if  we  had  to,  an  attack  by 
ij  Soviets  and  still  destroy  their 
sentry,  and  they  know  it,  and  vice 
la. 

o  I  think  that  the  horrible  threat  of 
»:ty  of  mutual  destruction  will  pre- 
*.t  an  attack  being  launched.  We 
I  't  intend  to  evolve,  and  neither  do 
ill  Soviets  intend  to  evolve,  a  capacity 
lalestroy  the  other  nation  without  our- 
■ves  being  destroyed  by  nuclear 
"c;es. 

n  the  case  of  land  weapons,  as  I  said 
lore,  the  Soviets  have  vulnerable 
taders.  They  have  neighbors  whom 
•y  can't  trust  as  well  as  we,  and  they 
Be  even  in  the  nuclear  field  three 
■er  nuclear  powers  which  are  poten- 
m  adversaries  in  case  of  a  crisis — the 
■  inese,  the  British,  and  the 
!(nch  —  in  addition  to  ourselves.  We 
■i't  have  any  of  those  as  potential  ad- 
wsaries  for  us. 
iut  I  think  for  any  nation  to  have  a 


macho  attitude,  that  we're  going  to  be 
so  powerful  that  we  can  dominate  or 
destroy  the  other  nation  would  be 
counterproductive,  and  I  don't  think 
that  even  if  we  wanted  to  do  that, 
either  we  or  the  Soviets  could  have  that 
capability. 

Q.  Let  me  apply  the  multiple 
choice  difficult  options  equation  to  a 
couple  of  other  contemporary  and 
very  live  issues.  One  is  Iran.  What 
are  the  options  facing  you  there? 

A.  We  look  on  the  Shah,  as  you 
know,  as  a  friend,  a  loyal  ally,  and  the 
good  relationship  that  Iran  has  had  and 
has  now  with  ourselves  and  with  the 
other  democracies  in  the  world,  the 
Western  powers,  as  being  very  con- 
structive and  valuable.  Also,  having  a 
strong  and  independent  Iran  in  that  area 
is  a  very  stabilizing  factor,  and  we 
would  hate  to  see  it  disrupted  by  vio- 
lence and  the  government  fall  with  an 
unpredictable  result.  The  Shah  has 
been  primarily  criticized  within  Iran 
because  he  has  tried  to  democratize  the 
country  and  because  he's  instituted  so- 
cial reforms  in  a  very  rapid  fashion. 

Some  of  his  domestic  adversaries 
either  disagree  with  the  way  he's  done 
it,  or  think  he  hasn't  moved  fast 
enough,  or  too  fast,  and  deplore  his 
breaking  of  ancient  religious  and  social 
customs,  as  Iran  has  become  modern. 

Q.  But  he  was  also  criticized  for 
running  a  police  state  —  political 
prisoners — 

A.  That's  exactly  right.  I  think  the 
Shah  has  had  that  criticism,  sometimes 
perhaps  justified  —  I  don't  know  the 
details  of  it.  But  I  think  there's  no 
doubt  that  Iran  has  made  great  social 
progress  and  has  moved  toward  a  freer 
expression  of  people.  Even  in  recent 
months,  for  instance,  the  Shah  has  au- 
thorized or  directed,  I  guess,  the  Parlia- 
ment to  have  all  of  its  deliberations 
open  and  televised,  something  that  we 
don't  even  do  in  our  country  here. 

Q.  You  think  this  is  all  too  late? 

A.  I  hope  not.  I  don't  know  what 
will  come  eventually.  I  would  hope 
that  a  coalition  government  could  be 
formed  rapidly.  At  the  present  time, 
there's  a  quasimilitary  government. 
The  Shah  has  reconfirmed  his  commit- 
ment to  have  open  and  democratic 
elections,  maybe  within  6  months  or  8 
months.  I  hope  that  would  be  possible. 

Our  inclination  is  for  the  Iranian 
people  to  have  a  clear  expression  of 
their  own  views  and  to  have  a  govern- 
ment intact  in  Iran  that  accurately  ex- 
presses a  majority  view  in  Iran. 

Q.  But  can  we  do  anything  to  en- 
courage that,  or  are  our  hands  tied? 


A.  No,  we  don't  try  to  interfere  in 
the  internal  affairs  of  Iran. 

Q.  We  did  put  the  Shah  in,  but 
you're  saying  we  can't  keep  him  in. 

A.  I  think  that's  a  decision  to  be 
made  by  the  people  of  that  country. 

Q.  Does  it  hurt  you  sometimes  to 
have  to  sit  back  and  do  nothing  when 
you  know  there  are  large  stakes  in  a 
part  of  the  world  beyond  your  influ- 
ence? 

A.  We  don't  have  any  inclination  to 
be  involved  in  the  internal  affairs  of 
another  country  unless  our  own  secu- 
rity should  be  directly  threatened,  and 
that's  a  philosophy  that  I  have  es- 
poused ever  since  I've  been  in  the  na- 
tional political  realm. 

I  just  think  we've  learned  our  lessons 
the  hard  way  in  Vietnam  and  in  other 
instances,  and  we've  tried  to  be  loyal 
to  our  allies  and  loyal  to  our  friends,  to 
encourage  one-person,  one-vote, 
majority  rule,  the  democratic  proc- 
esses, the  protection  of  human  rights. 

Obviously,  we  have  not  always  suc- 
ceeded in  encouraging  other  people  to 
measure  up  to  our  own  standards,  but  I 
think  we've  been  consistent  in  our  ef- 
fort. 

Q.  But  this  is,  again,  where  some 
criticism  arises  in  some  circles  in  this 
country  who  say  the  Soviets  have  a 
stake  in  what  happens  in  Iran,  and 
they  are  free  to  move  clandestinely  or 
any  other  way  that  they  wish;  but  if 
we  take  the  position  that  you're  es- 
pousing we'll  sit  back  and  do  nothing 
when  we  should  be  in  there  covertly 
or  clandestinely  or  overtly  taking  a 
tough  stand  saying  that  we  may  not 
like  the  Shah  but  we  need  him  in 
power.  You're  saying  that  day  is 
over,  that  we  cannot  do  that. 

A.  No,  we  have  made  it  clear 
through  my  own  public  statements  and 
those  of  Secretary  Vance  that  we  sup- 
port the  Shah  and  support  the  present 
government,  recognizing  that  we  don't 
have  any  control  over  the  decisions  ul- 
timately made  by  the  Iranian  people 
and  the  stability  of  that  region;  the  ab- 
sence of  the  success  of  terrorism,  of 
violence,  the  anarchy  that  might  come 
with  the  complete  disruption  of  their 
government  is  a  threat  to  peace. 

We  don't  have  any  evidence  that  the 
Soviets,  for  instance,  are  trying  to 
disrupt  the  existing  government  struc- 
ture in  Iran  nor  that  they  are  a  source  of 
violence  in  Iran.  I  think  they 
recognize  —  they  have  a  very  long 
mutual  border  with  Iran,  and  a  stable 
government  there  no  matter  who  its 
leaders  might  be  is  valuable  to  them. 

This  might  change.  If  it  becomes  ob- 


16 


vious  that  the  Shah  is  very  vulnerable 
and  that  other  forces  might  come  into 
power,  the  Soviets  might  change  their 
obvious  posture.  But  that's  the  obser- 
vation that  we  have  now. 

Q.  What  about  the  Middle  East? 

A.  I  have  put  hundreds  of  hours  in 
both  preparation  and  direct  negotiation 
with  the  leaders  in  the  Middle  East, 
particularly  Egypt  and  Israel.  And 
Secretary  Vance,  even  to  the  extent  of 
abandoning  some  of  his  other  respon- 
sibilities in  foreign  affairs,  has  tried  to 
bring  about  a  successful  conclusion  of 
the  peace  treaty  negotiations. 

There,  again,  we  don't  have  any  au- 
thority over  anyone  else.  We  can't  use 
pressure  to  make  the  Israelis  and 
Egyptians  come  to  a  peaceful  settle- 
ment of  the  disputes  that  have  divided 
them. 

The  Camp  David  framework,  which 
was  almost  miraculous  in  its 
conclusion  —  it  seems  more  miraculous 
in  retrospect  than  it  did  at  the  time  — is 
a  sound  basis  for  peace  between  Egypt 
and  Israel.2  There's  no  doubt  that  both 
nations  would  be  highly  benefited  by 
peace. 

Q.  But  yet  the  talks  seem  to  be  at 
an  impasse  as  of  tonight. 

A.  The  present  disagreements,  com- 
pared to  the  benefits  to  be  derived,  are 
relatively  insignificant.  The  benefits 
are  so  overwhelming  in  comparison 
with  the  differences  that  I  hope  that  the 
Egyptians  and  Israelis  will  move  to- 
ward peace. 

Q.  What's  holding  it  up  tonight? 

A.  At  Camp  David  it  was  a 
framework,  it  was  an  outline  that  had  a 
lot  of  substance  to  it.  But  it  required 
negotiation  of  details  and  specifics,  and 
there  is  no  way  that  you  could  have  a 
peace  treaty  with  all  of  the  ends  tied 
down  and  all  of  the  detailed  agreements 
reached,  the  maps  drawn,  the  lines  de- 
lineated, time  schedules  agreed  without 
going  far  beyond  what  the  Camp  David 
outline  required. 

And  so  both  sides  have  demanded 
from  the  others  additional  assurances 
far  above  and  beyond  what  Camp 
David  said  specifically.  This  is  inher- 
ent in  the  process.  And  I  think  in  some 
cases,  in  many  cases,  the  two  govern- 
ments have  reached  agreement  fairly 
well. 

Now  I  don't  know  what's  going  to 
happen.  We  hope  that  they  will  con- 
tinue to  work  in  reaching  agreement,  to 
understand  one  another,  to  balance  the 
consequences  of  failure  against  the 
benefits  to  be  derived  from  the  success 
and  be  flexible  on  both  sides. 

These  are  ancient  arguments,  histori- 


cal distrusts,  not  easy  to  overcome,  and 
the  frustrating  part  about  it  is  that  we 
are  involved  in  the  negotiations,  but  we 
can't  make  Israel  accept  the  Egyptians' 
demands,  nor  vice  versa.  We  have  to 
try  to  tone  down  those  demands  and 
use  our  influence.  I  don't  know  what 
will  happen  about  it.  We  just  pray  that 
agreements  will  be  reached. 

Q.  Are  you  asking  both  sides  to 
make  further  concessions? 

A.  Oh,  yes — every  day  and  night. 
We  ask  both  sides  to  please  be  con- 
structive, to  please  not  freeze  your  po- 
sition, to  please  to  continue  to 
negotiate,  to  please  yield  on  this  pro- 
posal, to  adopt  this  compromise. 

These  have  been  and  are  our  efforts 
on  a  constant  basis.  It  would  be  horri- 
ble, I  think,  if  we  failed  to  reach  a 
peaceful  agreement  between  Israel  and 
Egypt. 

Q.  What  would  happen? 

A.  And  then  see  our  children,  our 
grandchildren,  future  generations  look 
back  and  say  these  little  tiny 
technicalities,  phrases,  phrasing  of 
ideas,  legalisms,  which  at  that  time 
seemed  to  be  paramount  in  the  eyes  of 
the  Egyptian  and  the  Israeli  agree- 
ments, have  absolutely  no  historical 
significance.  And  that's  basically  what 
the  problems  are. 

Q.  Are  you  saying  that  the  impasse 
as  of  today  is  because  of  technicalities 
and  not  major  principles? 

A.  Yes,  compared  to  the  principles 
that  have  already  been  resolved  and  the 
overall  scope  of  things,  the  dis- 
agreements now  relatively  are  insig- 
nificant. 

Q.  Egypt  wants  to  tie  the  present 
negotiations,  I  understand,  to  some 
future  resolution  of  the  Gaza  Strip 
and  the  West  Bank.  Israel  is  resisting 
that.  Who's  being  more  stubborn? 

A.  I  wouldn't  want  to  start  saying 
who's  being  more  stubborn.  I  think 
there's  adequate  stubbornness  to  be 
allotted  to  both  sides. 

Q.  You  mentioned  grandchildren, 
and  I  heard  you  say  after  Camp 
David  that  at  one  critical  moment 
that  was  resolved  because  of  some- 
body thinking  about  grandchildren. 
Would  you  tell  me  about  that? 

A.  It  might  be  a  mistake  to  attach  too 
much  importance  to  it,  but  during  the 
last  few  hours  of  negotiations  at  Camp 
David  when  it  looked  like  everything 
was  going  to  break  down,  then  Prime 
Minister  Begin  sent  me  over  some 
photographs  of  me  and  him  and  Presi- 
dent Sadat  and  wanted  me  to  autograph 
them. 


Department  of  State  Bullet  Kl" 

And  the  issue  at  that  time  w 
Jerusalem,  which  was  an  almost  insufrl" 
mountable  obstacle  that  we  later  r 
solved  by  not  including  it  at  all  in  tl 
framework.  And  instead  of  just  puttii 
my  signature  on  it,  which  Preside 
Sadat  had  done,  I  sent  my  secretar 
Susan  Clough,  over  and  got  the  nam 
from  one  of  his  aides  of  all  his  gran> 
children.  So  I  personally  autographed 
to  his  granddaughters  and  grandsoi 
and  signed  my  name,  and  I  carried 
over  to  him  in  one  of  the  most  ten 
moments,  and  I  handed  it  to  him  and  I 
started  to  talk  to  me  about  the  brea 
down  of  the  negotiations. 

He  looked  down  and  saw  that  I  hi 
written  all  of  his  grandchildren's  nam 
on  the  individual  pictures  and  signi 
them,  and  he  started  telling  me  abo 
his  favorite  grandchild  and  the  chara 
teristics  of  the  different  ones.  He  anc 
had  quite  an  emotional  discussi( 
about  the  benefits  to  my  two  grandch 
dren  and  to  his  if  we  could  reach  peac 
And  I  think  it  broke  the  tension  th 
existed  there  that  could  have  been 
obstacle  to  any  sort  of  resolution  at  th 
time. 


Q.  What  does  that  say  to  yt 
about  the  nature  of  these  probler 
and  their  resolution? 

A.   You  know,  when  you  put  t 
problems  in  the  focus  of  how  they  ; 
feet  people  —  little  children,  familie 
the  loss  of  life  —  the  agreements  an 
the   need   for  agreement   becom 
paramount.  When  you  put  the  focus 
the  hands  of  international  lawyers  at 
get  it  down  to  technicalities — Is  a  ca 
tain  event  going  to  take  place  in 
months  or  8V2  months  or  10  months, 
this  going  to  happen  before  that?  Is  th 
demarcation  line  going  to  go  aroui 
this  hill  or  through  the  hill,  on  tl 
other  side  of  the  hill?  Can  the  observ 
tion  towers  be  150  feet  high,  200  fe 
high,    125  feet  high?  —  the  human  0 
mension  of  it  becomes  obvious 
paramount.   But  when  the  negotiato 
sit  around  a  table  and  start  talking,  tl 
human  dimension  tends  to  fade  aw; 
and  you   get  bogged  down   in  tr 
legalisms  and  the  language  and  tl 
exact  time  schedule  when  from  a  hi 
toric  perspective  they  have  no  signif 
cance. 

Another  problem  has  been  and  th 
has  been  one  of  the  most  serioi 
problems  —  at  Camp  David  we  didn 
have  daily  press  briefings,  and  this  w; 
the  agreement  when  we  started  here  i 
Washington,  that  neither  side  woul 
make  a  direct  statement  to  the  pres: 
As  you  know,  this  has  not  been  hoi 
ored  at  all,  and  it's  created  enormoi 
additional  and  unnecessary  problerr 
for  us. 


ion 
lai 


In 


10 


na 


l 


» 


1 


(ecember  1978 


17 


Q.  You  mean  leaks  from  both  gov- 
rnments  are — 

A.  Not  just  leaks;  I  mean  almost 
very  day  I  see  interviews  in  the  na- 
onal  television  of  at  least  one  of  the 
des  in  the  dispute.  And  also  at  Camp 
>avid  I  was  working  directly  with  the 
eads  of  state.  Here  we  work  with  the 
egotiators,  and  the  negotiators  then 
:fer  their  decision  back  to  the  head  of 
tate  or  the  cabinet,  the  cabinet  re- 
erses  itself,  reverses  the  negotiators 
n  a  language  change  or  one  word,  and 
1  effect  you  get  the  most  radical  mem- 
ers  of  the  governments  who  have  a 
tajor  input  into  the  negotiating  process 
ither  than  having  the  heads  of  state 
lere  100  yards  away  so  that  they  can 
:solve  those  issues  once  and  for  all. 

So  I  think  the  follow-up  to  Camp 
avid  has  been  much  more  time  con- 
iming  and  much  more  frustrating  than 

was  when  the  three  of  us  were 
imarily  leading  the  discussions. 

Q.  I  read  that  the  Camp  David  log 
towed  that  you  spent  21Vi  hours 
ith  Sadat  and  29  hours  with  Begin 
id  9  hours  alone  with  Sadat  and  6 
>urs  alone  with  Begin  with  no  one 
se  in  the  room,  the  way  F.D.R. 
ied  to  do  with  Churchill. 
Do  you  think  that  you  could  re- 
live most  of  these  large  issues  we 
ce  if  you  could  just  get  people  in  a 
loin  like  this  and  talk  to  them?  It 
>ed  to  be  said  Lyndon  Johnson 
•uld  have  done  much  better  had  he 
'en  able  to  persuade  people  one- 
l-one  instead  of  having  to  use  tele- 
sion  and  public  speeches. 
Do  you  think  that  other  problems 
>u  face  could  be  resolved  if  you 
iuld  meet  nose-to-nose  in  a  sense 
ith  the  adversaries? 

A.  I  couldn't  guarantee  success,  but 
:hink  obviously  the  likelihood  of  suc- 
ss  would  be  better. 


□ 


THE  SECRETARY: 

News  Conference  of  Novemher  3 


■For  full  text,  see  Weekly  Compilation  of 
esidential  Documents  of  Nov.  28,  1978. 
!For  texts  of  the  accords  reached  at  Camp 
vid  and  signed  on  Sept.  17,  see  Bulletin  of 
t.  1978,  p.  7. 


First,  I  have  a  few  words  to  say 
about  the  Middle  East  negotiations.  I 
know  that  all  of  you  are  interested  in 
the  Middle  East  negotiations,  and  I 
want  to  bring  you  up  to  date.  I  ob- 
viously will  not  be  able  to  go  into  de- 
tail. 

We  are  still  in  the  midst  of  sensitive 
negotiations,  and  we  want  to  preserve 
their  confidentiality  as  we  did  during 
the  Camp  David  negotiations.  Let  me 
say  that  we  have  continued  to  make 
steady  progress  in  the  negotiations  on 
the  text  of  the  peace  treaty.1  I  had  a 
good  meeting  yesterday  with  Prime 
Minister  Begin  in  New  York,  and  we 
made  important  progress.  We  have  now 
resolved  almost  all  the  substantive  is- 
sues. 

We  will  also  continue  to  work  inten- 
sively on  the  annexes  to  the  treaty. 
Much  of  this  is  a  matter  of  drafting,  but 
there  are  some  remaining  issues  in  the 
annexes  as  well. 

In  my  discussions  with  the  Prime 
Minister  yesterday,  we  spent  almost  all 
of  our  time  on  the  remaining  issues  in 
the  current  negotiations,  including  the 
question  of  how  to  get  the  negotiations 
started  on  the  other  issues  covered  in 
the  Camp  David  general  framework. 
We  also  devoted  some  of  our  time  to  a 
discussion  of  bilateral  matters,  and  we 
will  be  continuing  a  discussion  of  these 
various  items. 

That  is  all,  I  believe,  that  I  have  to 
say  at  this  point.  I  will  be  glad  to  an- 
swer any  questions. 

Q.  I  know  we  will  be  coming  back 
to  the  Middle  East,  so  let  me  try  to 
clear  SALT  away,  if  I  could. 

More  than  a  year  ago  the  President 
said  that  within  weeks  the  outline  of 
an  agreement  would  be  in  hand — an 
agreement  that  he  said  would  be  the 
pride  of  the  country.  That  was  Oc- 
tober 7th,  a  year  ago. 

There  is  no  summit;  there  is  no 
agreement.  In  fact  I  don't  even  know 
that  there  is  a  meeting  set  up  be- 
tween you  and  the  Soviet  Foreign 
Minister.  Could  you  tell  us  what 
went  wrong,  if  something  has  gone 
wrong? 

A.  The  negotiation  of  a  treaty  on 
strategic  arms  limitation  is  a  vitally 
important  and  a  very  difficult  negotia- 
tion. It  affects  the  most  fundamental 
interests  of  the  two  nations  involved, 
and  therefore,  it  must  be  and  is  treated 
with  the  greatest  of  care  by  the  parties. 


We  have  been  slowly  making  prog- 
ress in  resolving  the  issues  which 
separate  the  two  countries.  We  have 
left  a  handful  of  issues,  as  you  know, 
and  we  hope  that  we  will,  in  the  near 
future,  be  able  to  resolve  those  issues 
as  well. 

I  think  we  should  not  set  ourselves 
an  artificial  deadline.  What  we  are 
looking  for  is  an  agreement  which  will 
protect  our  interests,  which  will  protect 
the  interests  of  our  allies,  and  which  I 
know  the  Soviet  Union  wishes  to  pro- 
tect their  interests  as  well.  And,  there- 
fore, I  think  it  is  fitting  and  appropriate 
that  we  should  proceed  carefully, 
methodically,  and  one-by-one  remove 
these  issues  until  we  reach  the  common 
objective  which  we  clearly  both 
share  —  namely,  to  achieve  a  sound  and 
an  equitable  treaty. 

This  I  believe  will  be  done.  I  have 
said  to  you  before  that  I  cannot  predict 
an  exact  date  when  this  will  be  done.  I 
believe  it  is  still  possible  that  it  could 
happen  this  year,  but  I  don't  want  to 
try  and  predict  with  certainty  that  it 
will.  Let  me  say  that  I  can  assure  you 
that  we  will  devote  our  full  interests 
and  time  to  continuing  to  try  to  make 
progress  in  closing  the  remaining  is- 
sues. 

Q.  You  mentioned  that  you  spoke 
with  Prime  Minister  Begin  about 
bilateral  issues  yesterday.  There  are 
reports  that  Israel  is  seeking  sub- 
stantial American  aid  for  the  Sinai 
withdrawal.  In  fact  there  is  one  re- 
port out  of  Israel  this  morning  that 
that  request  may  go  as  high  as  $10 
billion,  plus  another  billion  for  the 
airfields. 

Can  you  tell  us,  first,  has  the 
United  States  committed  itself,  in 
principle,  to  giving  Israel  that  sub- 
stantial financial  aid?  And  two,  can 
you  give  us  any  kind  of  range  on  what 
numbers  we  are  talking  about? 

A.  The  only  document  which  has 
been  exchanged  between  the  United 
States  and  Israel  relates  to  the  airfields. 
This  is  a  public  document  which  I  think 
all  of  you  are  familiar  with.  It  is  a  let- 
ter which  went  from  Secretary  Brown 
to  Minister  Ezer  Weizman,  and  I  might 
read  the  last  paragraph  of  that  because 
it  pertains  to  the  subject.2 

I  suggest  that  our  two  governments  consult  on 
the  scope  and  costs  of  the  two  new  airbases  as 
well  as  on  related  forms  of  assistance  which  the 


18 


United  States  might  appropriately  provide  in 
light  of  the  special  problems  which  may  be  pre- 
sented by  carrying  out  such  a  project  on  an  ur- 
gent basis  The  President  is  prepared  to  seek  the 
necessary  Congressional  approvals  tor  such  as- 
sistance as  may  be  agreed  upon  by  the  U.S.  side 
as  a  result  of  such  negotiations. 

That  is  the  only  agreement  that  has 
been  reached  between  the  parties  with 
respect  to  the  question  of  assistance. 

We  did,  yesterday,  discuss  the  ques- 
tion of  a  possible  loan  to  Israel,  which 
was  raised  by  the  Prime  Minister.  We 
said  that  we  would  take  the  matter 
under  consideration.  Obviously,  that 
kind  of  a  question  would  require  very 
careful  study. 

The  figure  which  you  mentioned  is 
nowhere  near  the  figure  which  was 
suggested  by  the  Prime  Minister.  It's 
way  above  what  the  Prime  Minister 
suggested.  I  don't  want  to  get  into  de- 
tails because  this  is  a  matter  which  is 
still  under  discussion,  so  I  think  I  will 
leave  it  at  that. 

Q.  Could  I  just  straighten  out — so 
in  other  words,  the  Sinai  support 
would  come  in  the  form  of  a  loan — as 
the  negotiations  now  have  it. 

A.  That  is  the  request  of  Israel. 

Q.  And  there  would  be  no  grant, 
or  there  would  be  no — 

A.  That  is  their  request. 

Q.  Could  you  tell  us  if  you  have 
had  any  response  from  King  Hussein 
about  possibly  joining  the  negotia- 
tions since  the  answers  to  his  ques- 
tions were  delivered? 

And  secondly,  if  I  might  ask,  do 
you  think  it  will  be  possible  for  Egypt 
and  Israel  to  proceed  in  negotiations 
fairly  rapidly  to  implement  the  plan 
for  Palestinian  autonomy  on  the 
West  Bank  even  if  Jordan  does  not 
join  the  negotiations? 

A.  First,  we  have  been  in  touch  with 
King  Hussein.  We  are  in  touch  with 
him  on  a  very  frequent  basis,  both  by 
correspondence  between  the  two  heads 
of  government  as  well  as  through  dip- 
lomatic channels.  It  would  be  inappro- 
priate for  me  to  go  into  the  details  of 
those  conversations,  but  I  can  assure 
that  such  conversations  are  continuing 
on  a  regular  basis. 

With  respect  to  your  second  ques- 
tion: One  of  the  documents  which 
would  be  exchanged  in  connection  with 
the  signing  of  a  peace  treaty  deals  with 
the  question  of  timing  in  terms  of  ad- 
dressing the  issue  of  carrying  out  the 
provisions  of  the  general  framework.  I 
don't  want  to  go  any  further  into  detail 
as  to  what  that  time  might  be,  but  let 


me  say,  obviously,  this  is  an  important 
subject  and  will  be  one  which  will  be 
addressed  at  the  same  time  that  the  one 
of  the  signing  of  the  treaty  is 
addressed. 

Q.  In  other  words,  the  two  sides 
could  proceed,  do  you  think,  to  begin 
implementing  the  plan  for  setting  up 
administrative  councils  in  the  West 
Bank  even  if  Jordan  does  not  join  the 
talks? 

A.  I  believe  that  is  the  case. 

Q.  Last  night  on  public  television 
your  Iran  desk  officer,  Henry 
Precht,  appeared,  and  he  reported 
that  there  were  quiet  talks  going  on 
between  the  Shah  and  some  of  the 
moderate  opposition  leaders  to 
achieve  a  compromise,  and  that  these 
talks  involve  political  and  economic 
issues.  I  wonder  what  you  could  tell 
us  about  those  talks  and  what  the 
prospects  are  that  they  might  achieve 
some  sort  of  stability  there? 

A.  Let  me  say  a  few  words  about 
Iran  and  the  situation  in  Iran,  and  then 
I  will  speak  briefly  to  your  question. 

Iran  over  the  past  decade  has  made  a 
very  important  contribution  to  the  sta- 
bility of  the  Middle  East.  The  United 
States  has  worked  very  closely  with  the 
Shah,  and  Iran  is  a  close  and  valued 
ally. 

Iran  has  recently  reached  a  stage  in 
its  development  where  the  Shah  has 
believed  it  is  essential  to  broaden  par- 
ticipation in  the  political  life  of  Iran, 
and  we  have  supported  this  plan  of 
liberalization. 

The  continuing  violence  and  the 
strikes  in  Iran  are  a  serious  problem  for 
the  government,  and  we  fully  support 
the  efforts  of  the  Shah  to  restore  order 
while  continuing  his  program  of 
liberalization.  And  we  hope  that 
everyone  in  Iran  will  recognize  that 
continuing  turmoil  and  destruction 
serve  no  one's  interest. 

As  to  the  specific  question  that  you 
raise,  this  is  an  internal  question  as  to 
what  the  exact  nature  of  the  discussions 
are  and  a  question  which  I  think  should 
be  addressed  by  the  Iranians  rather  than 
by  the  United  States. 

Q.  Could  you  explain  how  the 
United  States  believes  that  it  will  be 
possible  for  you,  at  one  and  the  same 
time,  to  restore  order  and  continue 
liberalization? 

A.  I  think  that  they  are  not  at  all  in- 
consistent. I  think  that  law  and  order 
can  be  restored.  I  think  at  the  same 
time  one  can  continue  along  the  course 
which  the  Shah  has  charted  for  himself 
and  for  his  nation.  As  you  know,  he 
has  set  forth  a  plan  which  would  lead 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

to  elections  in  the  year  1979:  and  there 
is  no  inconsistency  in  reestablishing 
stability  within  the  nation  and  moving 
on  subsequently  to  the  holding  of  elec 
tions  according  to  his  liberal izatior 
plan. 

Q.  Did  you  get  anywhere  in  youi 
talks  with  Mr.  Begin  on  the  disput* 
over  the  thickening  of  the  West  Bank 
settlements?  And  I  had  a  relatec 
question  about  settlements.  Is  tin 
United  States,  in  principle — 

A.  One  by  one.  On  the  question  o 
the  thickening  of  the  settlements,  tha 
question  has  not  yet  been  resolved  be 
tween  ourselves  and  Israel  and  remain 
a  continuing  subject  of  discussion  be 
tween  us. 

Q.  What  is  behind  the  fact  that  thi 
new  meeting  between  you  and  Mr 
Gromyko  has  not  been  arranged?  Di 
you  see  a  new  date  for  a  new  round' 

A.  Since  I  went  to  Moscow  and  me 
with  Foreign  Minister  Gromyko  an« 
with  President  Brezhnev,  we  have  beei 
assessing,  in  an  orderly  way,  the  re 
suits  of  the  discussions  which  wer 
held  in  those  negotiations.  In  thi 
meantime,  the  delegations  have  beei 
continuing  to  meet  in  Geneva  to  dis 
cuss  the  matters  before  them.  When  w 
have  completed  our  assessment,  w 
will  be  in  touch  with  the  Soviet  Unio  |fl 
either  through  diplomatic  channels  c 
through  direct  consultations  at  variou 
levels,  including  possibly  anothe 
meeting  between  myself  and  th 
Foreign  Minister.  It  is  proceeding  in  ajiir 
orderly  fashion.  lis 

Q.  How  do  you  get  an  administra  , 
tive  council  —  if  you  don't  hav 
partners  such  as  Hussein  and  th 
local  Palestinians  on  the  West  Bank, 
think  that  you  said  a  moment  ago 
that  you  could  still  proceed  with  (h 
process  of  getting  this  administratis 
council  set  up.  How  do  you  do  that  i 
you  don't  have  the  people  to  talk  to'. 

A.  First  of  all,  as  you'll  recall  in  thi 
Camp  David  accords,  there  is  provisioi 
for  Palestinians  from  the  West  Banl 
and  Gaza  to  participate  as  members  o 
the  delegations  of  the  various  parties 
That  would  mean  that  Egypt  could  in 
elude  such  Palestinians  in  its  delega 
tion. 

In  addition,  we  would  hope  that,  a. 
the  discussions  get  under  way,  we  wil 
begin  to  find  people  beginning  to  par 
ticipate  in  a  more  active  way  througl 
consultation  with  those  who  would  bt 
involved  in  the  negotiations  leading  u[ 
to  the  setting  up  of  the  modalities  fo 
the  elections. 

There  is.  1  think,  certainly  in  m} 
judgment,   increasing  interest  on  hov  J 


December  1978 

■his  process  is  going  to  work,  and  many 

jbuestions  are  being  asked  about  how  it 

ill  be  organized  and  how  it  will  go 

forward.  So  I  think  there  is  a  real  pos- 

ibility  that  we  will  find  more  and  more 

nterest   in   participation   as   it  goes 

orward. 

Q.  Is  the  conclusion  of  the  peace 
talks  between  Egypt  and  Israel,  in- 
volving the  United  States,  in  any  way 
iependent  upon  or  linked  to  a  res- 
)lution  of  the  issue  involving  Ameri- 
an  aid  for  redeployment  costs  in  the 
Sinai  or  a  resolution  of  the  settle- 
nents  issue? 

A.  It  has  not  been  specifically 
inked,  no.  No.  They  are  obviously 
questions  which  have  been  discussed, 
■>ut  there  has  been  no  direct  linkage. 

H  Q.  There  have  been  reports,  one, 
here  were  secret  talks  between  the 
Jnited  States  and  China  on  normali- 
sation; two,  Washington  has  ac- 
cepted Peking's  preconditions;  and, 
hree,  normalization  will  take  place 

uy  the  end  of  President  Carter's  first 
erm.  I  would  like  to  have  your 
omment. 

A.  We  stated  at  the  outset  of  Presi- 

lent  Carter's  Administration  that  one 
i  )f  our  objectives  was  the  normalization 
(i)f  relations  with  the  People's  Republic 
i  >f  China.  We  have  also  stated  that  the 

]uestion  of  timing  and  modalities  was 

m  issue,  or  a  pair  of  issues,  that  would 
i  lave  to  be  dealt  with  very  carefully 

hrough  painstaking  discussions.  We 
l  ilso  pointed  out  that  an  important  fac- 
tor was  our  concern  for  the  well-being 

)f  the  people  of  Taiwan. 
We  have  had  discussions  ever  since 
jhe  beginning  of  the  Administration  on 
Shese  basic  issues.  No  decisions  have 
iieen  made  nor  can  I  predict  what  either 
jhe  modalities  or  the  timing  would  be 

n  reaching  such  an  ultimate  objective 

is  we  have  set  for  ourselves. 

Q.  There  has  been  a  very  large 
iropaganda  campaign  in  the  Soviet 
doc  countries  against  the  develop- 
nent  of  the  neutron  weapon  in  this 
country.  I'd  like  to  ask  you  if  any  of 
the  Soviet  bloc  countries  has  ever 
nade  formal  representations  to  our 
government  on  the  subject  of  the 
neutron  bomb? 

A.  I  specifically  discussed  this  sub- 
ject in  Moscow  when  I  was  there  and 
expressed  our  views  as  to  the  question, 
and  they  expressed  their  views  with  re- 
spect to  the  issue. 

Q.  Who  started  it? 

A.  I  can't  remember  whether  they 
did  or  I  did,  but  it  was  discussed. 


Q.  And  that  was  the  only  time  this 
has  come  up  in  government-to- 
government  talks? 

A.  In  the  past  there  have  been,  as 
you  know,  letters  written  by  the  Soviet 
Union  to  a  number  of  countries  on  the 
question  of  the  enhanced  radiation 
weapon. 

Q.  But  to  us? 

A.  We  have  received  in  the  past  a 
letter  on  this,  yes. 

Q.  Yesterday  the  State  Depart- 
ment issued  a  very  harsh  statement 
following  the  raids  into  Zambia.  Do 
you  believe  that  these  recent  raids 
cast  serious  doubts  about  the  sincer- 
ity of  the  Smith  regime  to  attend  an 
all-parties  conference? 

A.  Let  me  say  some  general  words 
about  the  situation  in  Rhodesia  and 
then  I'll  answer  specifically  your  ques- 
tion. 

I  must  be  very  frank  with  you  that 
there  have  been  setbacks  in  trying  to 
make  progress  toward  the  peaceful  res- 
olution of  the  problem  of  Rhodesia. 
These  setbacks  have  occurred  on  both 
sides.  They  are  to  be  seen  in  such 
things  as  the  shooting  down  of  the  Vis- 
count and  the  deaths  of  civilians  in 
Rhodesia.  They  have  also  been  re- 
flected in  the  attacks  such  as  those 
which  you  referred  to.  Both  of  these 
kinds  of  actions  have  been  a  real  set- 
back to  the  chance  of  achieving  a 
peaceful  resolution  of  this  problem. 

The  basic  question  is  whether  or  not 
the  parties  have  the  will  to  achieve 
a  peaceful  settlement.  I  don't  know  the 
answer  to  that  question.  I  can  say, 
however,  that  clearly  the  task  has  been 
made  more  difficult  by  such  things  as 
the  raids  that  you  have  referred  to. 

Coming  to  your  specific  question, 
although  Mr.  Smith  stated  when  he  was 
here  in  the  United  States  that  he  was 
prepared  to  go  to  an  all-parties  confer- 
ence without  preconditions,  at  the  very 
same  time,  raids  were  being  launched 
across  the  border  which  were  an  ob- 
vious impediment  to  the  holding  of  any 
such  talks. 

Let  me  stress,  however,  that  we  still 
believe  very  strongly  that  the  door  must 
be  kept  open  and  that  we  must  work 
toward  trying  to  find  a  peaceful  solu- 
tion to  the  Rhodesian  problem  through 
the  joint  efforts  of  ourselves,  the 
British,  and  others.  And  this  would  be 
done,  in  our  judgment,  through  free 
and  fair  and  independent  elections 
which  would  lead  to  the  free  choice  of 
the  people  of  Zimbabwe  in  determining 
who  their  future  leaders  should  be  and 
what  the  form  of  that  government 
should  be.  And  we  will  continue  to 
support  those  efforts. 


19 


Q.  Mr.  Secretary,  Chinese  Vice 
Premier  Teng  Hsiao-ping  recently  vis- 
ited Japan,  and  he  said  there  will  be 
no  war  in  the  Korean  Peninsula  by 
North  Korean  attack.  And  both 
Prime  Minister  Fukuda  and  Teng 
Hsiao-ping  agreed  on  the  need  of  re- 
sumption of  the  dialogue  between 
North  and  South  Korea. 

What  is  your  assessment  on  this 
agreement  and  what  is  U.S.  policy  on 
the  dialogue  issue  of  North  and  South 
Korea? 

A.  We  have  encouraged  a  dialogue 
between  the  South  Koreans  and  the 
North  Koreans  to  resolve  their  differ- 
ences. There  has  been  difficulty,  as 
you  know,  however,  in  ever  getting 
any  such  a  dialogue  going  or.  in  the 
one  occasion  where  it  really  started,  to 
keep  it  going  on  the  tracks.  It  petered 
out,  and  it  has  not  been  able  to  go  for- 
ward. So,  therefore,  we  would  encour- 
age discussions  that  could  lead  to  a 
peaceful  resolution  of  the  differences 
between  them. 

But  insofar  as  we  are  concerned,  we 
would  not  enter  into  any  such  discus- 
sions, even  if  invited,  unless  the  South 
Koreans  were  present.  We  have  made 
this  very,  very  clear. 

Q.  There  have  been  a  number  of 
reports  to  the  effect  that  China  and 
France  are  negotiating  over  the  sale 
of  some  antitank  and  other  types  of 
essentially  defensive  weapons.  The 
U.S.  policy  is  that  it  will  not  sell 
weapons  to  the  People's  Republic  of 
China. 

I  wonder  if  you've  made  any  rep- 
resentations to  the  French  about 
whether  you  think  they  should,  as  a 
member  of  the  NATO  alliance,  sell 
weapons  to  the  People's  Republic  of 
China  and  whether  the  Soviets  have 
brought  the  issue  up  in  your  discus- 
sions with  them,  and  what  they  have 
said  about  their  feelings  about  it. 

A.  As  you  correctly  stated,  it  is  our 
strong  and  unequivocal  policy  that  we 
do  not  intend  to,  nor  will  we,  sell 
military  equipment  —  weapons  —  to 
either  the  People's  Republic  of  China 
or  to  the  Soviet  Union. 

Insofar  as  other  nations  are  con- 
cerned, this  is  a  matter  which  each  of 
them  must  decide  for  itself. 

Thirdly,  with  respect  to  your  ques- 
tion, has  this  ever  been  raised  with  us 
by  the  Soviet  Union,  the  answer  is  yes, 
it  has  been  raised  by  the  Soviet  Union. 
This  is  a  matter  of  great  sensitivity  to 
the  Soviet  Union,  and  they  have  raised 
the  question  of  the  sale  of  weapons  to 
the  People's  Republic  of  China  not 
only  with  us  but  with  many  other 
nations. 


20 


Q.  I  wonder  if  you  could  say  what 
impact  the  sentencing  of  the  two 
Soviet  spies  in  Newark  has  had  on 
Soviet- American  relations — whether 
there  have  been  any  protests,  any 
threats  of  retaliation;  and  whether 
the  SALT  talks  are  being  held  a 
hostage  to  that  sentencing;  and  what 
the  prospects  are  for  release  of  these 
two  men  before  serving  their  50-year 
terms? 

A.  The  SALT  talks  are  not  being 
held  a  hostage  to  this  matter. 

Secondly,  the  question  of  the  two 
Soviets  who  have  just  been  sentenced 
has  obviously  been  a  subject  of  discus- 
sion between  ourselves  and  the  Soviet 
Union  on  a  number  of  occasions.  I 
think  it's  inappropriate  for  me  to  go 
into  the  substance  of  the  discussions  in 
a  public  forum  such  as  this. 

Q.  You  and  [Deputy]  Secretary 
Christopher  had  a  lot  to  do  with  the 
President's  setting  up  an  intervention 
fund  to  support  the  dollar.  Are  you 
now  fully  prepared  to  cooperate  with 
Chancellor  Schmidt's  so-called  new 
European  monetary  system,  since  it 
also  has  as  its  stated  goal  supporting 
the  international  role  of  the  dollar? 

A.  Our  position  with  respect  to  the 
European  proposal  is  that  in  principle 
we  support  the  proposal.  Insofar  as 
what  the  details  of  the  proposal  will  be. 
obviously  that's  something  that  we 
would  like  to  take  a  look  at  when  you 
get  down  to  fine  print;  but  in  principle 
we  would  support  it 

Q.  I  understood  you  said  there  is 
still  a  disagreement  on  the  West 
Bank  settlements.  I  am  interested  in 
exactly  where  things  stand.  What  did 
you  say  to  Mr.  Begin?  Did  you  say 
that  by  adding  400  new  families  to 
the  settlements  he  would  be  going 
against  the  commitment  he  made  at 
Camp  David? 

A.  I'm  not  going  to  go  into  the  de- 
tails of  what  I  said  to  Mr.  Begin.  It's 
not  appropriate  that  I  should  do  so.  He 
understands  our  position  very,  very 
clearly  on  this. 

Q.  We  don't;  I  don't. 

A.  It  is  not  appropriate  for  me  to  go 
into  the  details  of  our  conversation. 

Q.  Just  to  discuss  another  issue  of 
recognition,  early  on  in  the  Admin- 
istration you  said  that  the  United 
States  would  be  willing  to  have  dip- 
lomatic relations  with  Hanoi  so  long 
as  there  were  no  preconditions.  It's 
been  reported  that  the  Vietnamese 
are  now  saying  they  have  no  precon- 
ditions on  diplomatic  relations. 

Can  you  predict  when  you  might 


actually  have  an  exchange  of  embas- 
sies or  something  like  that,  or  what's 
holding  up  such  a  decision? 

A.  Let  me  say  the  answer  is  no,  you 
cannot  predict.  Let  me  then  review 
what  the  situation  is. 

As  you  know,  last  year  we  had  three 
sets  of  meetings,  which  took  place  in 
Paris,  with  respect  to  the  overall  ques- 
tion of  normalization.  During  those 
talks,  the  position  of  the  Vietnamese 
was  laid  out.  That  position  was  one 
which  was  unacceptable  to  the  United 
States  because  of  the  demand  for  aid. 

There  has  been  another  meeting  re- 
cently, as  you  know,  at  the  United  Na- 
tions during  the  General  Assembly,  at 
which  there  was  a  general  review  of  the 
situation  as  between  our  two  nations. 
The  position  of  the  Vietnamese  is 
somewhat  clarified  as  a  result  of  those 
discussions.  No  decisions,  however, 
have  been  made  with  respect  to  this 
issue.  And  as  I  said  at  the  outset,  I 
cannot  make  any  prediction  about  if 
and  when  there  would  be  normaliza- 
tion. 

Q.  Could  you  say  whether  they 
have  dropped  their  demand  for  aid 
as  a  precondition  for  normalization? 

A.  I  would  interpret  what  they  are 
saying  now  as  having  dropped  that 
condition. 

Q.  With  respect  to  the  fighting  be- 
tween Tanzania  and  Uganda,  as  nearly 
as  you  can  determine,  what  is  behind 
that  conflict  and  what  is  the  United 
States  doing  to  help  the  situation  in 
view  of  President  Nyerere's 
determination — or  stated  determina- 
tion— to  pursue  the  thing  militarily? 

A.  Our  information  with  respect  to 
the  situation  is  both  fragmentary  and 
sketchy. 

I  think  we  do  have  the  general  out- 
lines, probably,  of  what  is  taking  place 
now.  It  is  quite  clear  that  Ugandan 
troops  have  crossed  the  border  and 
penetrated  18  miles,  at  least,  into  Tan- 
zanian  territory.  The  fighting  is  going 
forward  there.  Insofar  as  American 
citizens  are  concerned,  who  were  in  the 
area,  all  of  those  are  safe  and  ac- 
counted for. 

Our  position  is  very  clear  on  this. 
This  is  a  clear  violation  of  the  borders 
of  Tanzania  by  Uganda.  This  is  totally 
in  conflict  with  the  principle  of  the 
OAU  [Organization  of  African  Unity] 
which  relates  to  the  territorial  integrity 
of  all  of  the  African  states,  and  we 
fully  and  completely  support  the  posi- 
tion of  President  Nyerere  that  the 
forces  of  Uganda  should  be  withdrawn 
immediately  in  accordance  with  the 
well-established  principles  of  territorial 


Department  of  State  Bulletin^. 

integrity.  And  we  will  work  to  support 
diplomatically  the  achievement  of  that 
objective. 

Q.  Just  to  clear  up  one  point  on 
the  Middle  East,  you  said  early  on 
that  you  resolved  almost  all  substan- 
tive issues.  That  came  within  the 
context  of  your  meeting  with  Mr 
Begin.  Are  there  any  substantive  is 
sues  that  the  United  States  has  with 
Egypt,  or  are  they  all — the  few  that 
remain — with  Israel? 


A.  When  I  said  almost  all,  I  really 
mean  almost  all. 


Q.  In  terms  of  both  sides? 

A.  Both  sides,  both  sides. 


□ 


Press  release  413. 

'For  texts  of  the  documents  agreed  to  at 
Camp  David,  see  Bulletin  of  Oct.  1978,  p.  7. 

2For  the  full  text  of  this  letter  and  other  ac 
companying  letters,  see  Bulletin  of  Oct. 
1978.  p.  10. 


Secretary  Vance 

to  Visit  Europe 

and  the  Middle  East 


On  December  5,  1978,  Department 
spokesman  Hodding  Carter  III  an- 
nounced that  Secretary  Vance  will  visit 
London  December  8-10  to  address  the 
Royal  Institute  of  International  Affairs. 

He  will  then  proceed  to  Cairo  on  De- 
cember 10  and  thereafter  to  Jerusalem 
to  explore  ways  of  resuming  the 
Egypt-Israeli  discussions  with  the  ob- 
jective of  concluding  the  negotiations 
which  have  been  conducted  on  the 
basis  of  the  frameworks  agreed  to  at 
Camp  David.  The  Secretary's  trip  fol- 
lows our  consultations  with  both  gov- 
ernments, including  the  recent  talks  in 
Washington  with  Prime  Minister  Khali! 
and  the  exchange  of  letters  between 
President  Sadat  and  Prime  Minister 
Begin.  D 


: 


K 


■P 


ecember  1978 


21 


AFRICA:        Secretary  Vance 

Discusses  Namibia 

With  South  African  Officials 


Secretary  Vance  departed  Washing- 
n  October  13,  1978,  for  Pretoria, 
here  he  met  with  South  African  Gov- 
nment  officials  (October  14-18)  to 
scuss  Namibia.  (He  then  traveled  to 
eneva  before  going  to  Moscow.) 
allowing  are  the  texts  of  the  Secre- 
ry's  news  conference  held  in  Geneva 
d  three  statements  issued  in  Pretoria 
October  19. 

jSCRETARY'S  NEWS 
CONFERENCE, 
ENEVA,  OCT.  19' 

I  think  you've  all  probably  had 
*'pies  handed  to  you  now  of  the  draft 
uint  statement  which  was  distributed  at 
12  press  conference  which  was  held  a 
It  earlier  today  in  Pretoria  by  the 
,)Uth  African  Government  [text  fol- 
ws  this  news  conference].  As  you 
i  ve  been  able  to  see  from  the  draft 
lint  statement,  it  contains  certain 
ims  on  which  agreement  was  reached 
;  d  other  items  on  which  agreement 
'is  not  reached. 

The  items  on  which  there  was 
i  reement  in  principle  were  those  re- 
!:ing  to  issues  where  there  was  further 
urification  required.  The  first  of  those 
ms  the  question  of  the  police  force. 
Isofar  as  that  is  concerned  it  appears 
lit  that  no  longer  is  a  problem  insofar 
1  the  South  Africans  are  concerned, 
nereas  previously  they  had  raised 
<  estions  on  that  provision  of  the  Sec- 
itary  General's  report  and  of  the 
|oposal. 

Secondly,  insofar  as  the  issue  of 
(nsultations  is  concerned,  again  there, 
(  the  document  which  was  issued  ear- 
1t  says  that  the  South  African  delega- 
l>n  felt  that  the  question  of  consulta- 
l»n  now  can  be  resolved. 
On  the  question  of  troops,  again 
l;re  the  issue  seems  to  be  resolved  in 
.■ms  of  principle. 

In  paragraph  3  of  the  document — and 
might  read  it  because  I  think  it's  an 
iportant  paragraph — it's  stated  that 
:he  South  African  Government  and 
e  five  Foreign  Ministers  accordingly 
lieve  that  it  would  now  be  appro- 
bate for  the  Secretary  General's  spe- 
lal  representative,  Mr.  Ahtisaari 
larti  Ahtisaari  of  Finland],  to  resume 
s  discussion  with  the  South  African 
dministrator  General  of  Namibia 


[Martinus  Steyn]  within  the  framework 
of  Security  Council  Resolution  435 
which  endorsed  the  Secretary  General's 
report.  The  aim  of  these  discussions 
would  be  to  work  out  the  modalities  of 
the  proposed  elections  under  U.N. 
supervision  and  to  fix  a  date  for  these 
elections." 

It  goes  on  then  to  say  "the  five 
Foreign  Ministers,  therefore,  intend  to 
recommend  to  the  Secretary  General 
that  he  should  instruct  Mr.  Ahtisaari  to 
proceed  to  Windhoek  as  soon  as  possi- 
ble. In  addition,  it  was  regarded  as  ap- 
propriate to  recommend  to  the  Secre- 
tary General  that  he  begin  consultations 
on  the  composition  of  the  military 
component  of  UNTAG  [U.N.  Transi- 
tion Assistance  Group]. 

The  next  two  paragraphs  indicate  a 
clear  difference  of  view — a  sharp  dif- 
ference of  view — between  the  two 
parties. 

Paragraph  4  deals  with  the  position 
of  the  South  African  Government  with 
respect  to  elections  which  they  have 
planned  for  December  which  they  de- 
scribe as  elections  which  must  be  seen 
as  an  internal  process  to  elect  leaders. 

The  five  Foreign  Ministers  state  in 
the  joint  statement  that  with  regard  to 
the  unilateral  elections  in  December, 
they  saw  no  way  of  reconciling  such 
elections  with  the  proposal  which  they 
put  forward  and  which  the  Security 
Council  has  endorsed.  They  further 
stated  that  any  such  unilateral  measure 
in  relation  to  the  electoral  process  will 
be  regarded  as  null  and  void. 

Accordingly,  in  sum,  what  you  have 
is  a  disagreement  on  the  latter  two  is- 
sues but  an  agreement  in  principle  on 
other  important  issues  which  had  been 
unresolved  and  a  joint  recommendation 
that  Mr.  Ahtisaari,  the  special  repre- 
sentative of  the  Secretary  General, 
should  proceed  as  soon  as  possible  to 
Windhoek  to  resume  discussions  with 
the  Administrator  General  to  determine 
the  modalities  for  working  out  the 
necessary  steps  and  procedures  and  the 
fixing  of  a  date  for  elections  under 
Resolution  435  [see  p.  57]. 

Q.  Aren't  those  two  mutually 
contradictory  in  the  sense  that  the 
South  Africans  are  saying  elections 
they're  going  to  hold  are  legitimate 
and  at  the  same  time  the  five  Foreign 
Ministers  and  apparently  the  South 


Africans  are  saying  there  are  going 
to  be  other  elections? 

A.  The  South  Africans  have  said  in 
their  unilateral  statement  that  they  re- 
gard elections  which  they  have  planned 
for  December  as  elections  which  are  an 
internal  matter  to  elect  leaders.  What 
will  happen  with  respect  to  those  elec- 
tions, what  the  function  of  those  lead- 
ers would  be,  whether  it  would  be  an 
advisory  function  to  the  Administrator 
General  remains  to  be  seen,  and  it  re- 
mains to  be  seen  whether  indeed,  in 
fact,  the  elections  themselves  will  go 
forward. 

We  both  agree — both  sides — that  it 
is  at  the  heart  of  the  matter  that  we  go 
forward  to  complete  the  process  of  set- 
ting up  the  procedures  for  elections 
pursuant  to  Security  Council  Resolu- 
tion 435  and  that  we  should  get  at  that 
business  immediately.  So  the  important 
thing  is  the  one  election — and  the  only 
election  that  really  counts — namely 
that  under  the  resolution  enacted  by  the 
Security  Council. 

Q.  That's  a  rather  flat  statement, 
there's  no  way  of  reconciling  and  yet 
when  Mr.  Botha  [South  African 
Prime  Minister  Pieter  Botha]  says  he 
will  use  his  best  efforts  to  persuade 
local  leaders  elected  in  December  to 
go  ahead  with  a  later  election,  do  you 
still  find  no  air  there — no  room  to 
qualify  the  very  flat  statement,  no 
way  of  reconciling? 

A.  I  think  we're  going  to  have  to 
wait  and  see  what  actually  does  happen 
with  respect  to  December  elections. 
And  if  they  are  minimized,  that's  one 
situation.  The  important  thing  is  to  see 
the  implementation  of  the  action  with 
respect  to  the  U.N.  elections,  and  that 
is  the  key  that  we  have  to  take  a  look  at. 

Q.  I'm  sorry,  I  don't  know  what 
you  mean  by  "minimize." 

A.  We  don't  know  actually,  if  such 
elections  are  held,  what  the  function  of 
the  so-called  leaders  would  be.  If  it 
were  an  advisory  function,  that  would 
be  one  thing,  and  it  would  have  a 
minimal  effect;  so  that  I  think  if  they're 
talking  about  that  kind  of  a  thing,  then 
it  means  one  thing.  And  if  they  show 
that  they  are  determined  to  go  forward 
and  to  work  with  Mr.  Ahtisaari  to  bring 
about  final  and  complete  elections 
which  would  lead  to  an  independent 
Namibia  under  the  U.N.  resolution, 
then  that's  something  different. 

Q.  Is  it  clear  to  you  whether  South 
Africa  intends  to  maintain  sov- 
ereignty over  South  West  Africa  after 
they  have  the  December  elections  and 
the  leaders  are  chosen,  is  it  clear  that 


22 

they  will  continue  to  be  responsible 
for  the  actions  of  those  chosen  lead- 
ers, or  is  the  possibility  now  being 
left  open  by  South  Africa  that  those 
leaders  will  have  the  right  to  deter- 
mine the  course  of  Southwest  Africa 
themselves?  Is  that  implicit  in  saying 
they  will  try  to  persuade  them — 

A.  No.  It  is  not.  South  Africa  will 
retain  sovereignty. 

Q.  It  has  committed  itself  to  that? 

A.  That  is  clear.  Yes. 

Q.  Mr.  Botha  is  being  quoted  this 
morning  saying  that  after  the  outcome 
of  the  December  elections.  South  Af- 
rica will  remain  in  charge  of  the  ter- 
ritory, enabling  the  United  Nations  to 
effectively  disregard  the  poll.  Now  why 
would  they  have  an  election  and  then 
enable  the  United  Nations  to  disregard 
the  poll? 

A.  It  is  up  to  them  to  decide  how 
they  want  to  handle  their  own  internal 
affairs.  The  important  thing  is,  how  are 
we  going  to  go  forward  and  carry  out 
the  elections  under  the  Security  Coun- 
cil resolution  which  will  lead  to  a  fair 
and  independent  election  pursuant  to 
which  an  independent  Namibia  can 
come  into  being. 

Q.  Do  you  have  a  target  date  for 
elections? 

A.  We  have  stated  we  thought  that 
elections  could  be  held  in  May  or  June, 
and  one  of  the  important  things  which 


SECRETARY'S  STATEMENT, 
PRETORIA,  OCT.  18* 

First  on  behalf  of  my  colleagues  and 
myself.  1  wish  to  express  our  deep  ap- 
preciation to  our  hosts  for  their  very 
kind  hospitality.  We  have  come  many 
thousands  of  miles  to  engage  in  these 
discussions  in  the  search  for  a  peaceful 
resolution  of  the  problem  of  Namibia. 

Our  discussions  have  been  intensive. 
They  have  continued,  as  you  know,  over 
a  period  of  3  days.  During  that  period 
we  have  put  several  proposals  on  the 
table  Those  proposals  are  still  being 
considered  by  the  South  African  Gov- 
ernment. Their  consideration  of  these 
proposals  will  continue  throughout  today 
and  this  evening  and  tomorrow  morning, 
and  I  expect  that  they  will  be  making  an 
announcement  tomorrow  sometime  with 
respect  to  their  conclusions 

Accordingly,  we  do  not  believe  that  it 
is  appropriate  for  us  to  make  any  com- 
ments on  the  details  of  any  of  these  pro- 
posals until  the  South  African  Govern- 
ment has  reached  its  conclusions. 


♦Press  release  394  of  Oct.  19,  1978 


Mr.    Ahtisaari   would  be  discussing 
would  be  the  fixing  of  a  date. 

Q.  These  clear  sharp  differences  of 
view  that  you  referred  to,  where  do 
those  differences  lead  you  in  refer- 
ence to  the  possibility  of  the  imposi- 
tion of  sanctions?  When  you  get  back 
to  the  States  this  question  is  certainly 
going  to  come  up  at  the  United 
Nations. 

A.  I  think  at  this  point  one  has  to  see 
what  happens  with  respect  to  the  ques- 
tion of  Mr.  Ahtisaari  going  out  to 
Southwest  Africa — to  Namibia — to 
have  his  discussions  with  Mr.  Steyn — 
Judge  Steyn.  And  until  we  see  what 
happens  there  I  don't  think  we  get  to 
the  question  which  you  raise. 

Q.  Do  you  have  a  commitment 
from  the  South  Africans  that  Justice 
Martinus  Steyn  will  continue  to  be 
the  Administrator  General  after  the 
December  elections? 

A.  No. 

Q.  Do  you  have  an  agreement  on  a 
date  for  indpendence? 

A.  A  date  for  independence?  The 
date  for  independence  will  be  depend- 
ent upon  the  procedures  set  forth  in  the 
proposal.  I'll  ask  Mr.  McHenry 
[Deputy  U.S.  Representative  to  the 
U.N.  Security  Council  Donald 
McHenry]  to  speak  to  that. 

A.  [Ambassador  McHenry].  The 
date  for  independence  was  left  open  in 
the  proposal  because  much  will  depend 
upon  what  the  constituent  assembly  de- 
cides to  do.  It  could,  conceivably,  de- 
cide that  it  was  agreed  upon  the  nature 
of  a  constitution  and  turn  itself  into  a 
new  government,  in  which  case  the  in- 
dependence would  be  very  early. 

Or  it  could  decide  to  draft  a  con- 
stitution, submit  that  constitution  to 
another  election — that  is  to  approve  the 
constitution — in  which  case  the  date  for 
independence  would  be  further  off.  But 
it  was  left  open  there  because  one  had 
to  get  the  views  of  the  constituent 
assembly. 

Q.  This  is  the  constituent  assembly 
that  follows  out  of  the  U.N.— 

A.  U.N. -supervised  elections. 

Q.  Are  you  in  a  situation  here 
which  is  roughly  comparable  to 
Rhodesia  in  the  sense  that  once  the 
internal  election  is  held,  then  the 
other  side— SWAPO  [South  West  Af- 
rica People's  Organization] — will  say 
that  since  they  have  constituted 
themselves  as  a  government,  that 
they  are  unwilling  to  come  in  on  the 
terms  laid  down  by  that  government 
for  elections,  very  much  in  the  way 


Department  of  State  Bullet 

that  the  patriotic  front  now  refusi 
to — 


v. 


to 
or 

A.  No,  I  don't  think  that's  the  casfni 
and  I  certainly  don't  accept  that  a 
sumption.  I  think  the  common  aim  c 
all  the  parties  is  to  try  and  move  fo 
ward  to  a  date  at  which  there  can  H 
final  elections  to  set  up  an  independe 
government. 

Q.  When  was  the  language  in  l¥ 
joint  communique  agreed?  What  w 
the  process  that  occurred  after  yc||B 
left  Pretoria?  Can  you  just  give  us  a 
outline  on  that? 

A.  We  made  a  number  of  pn 
posals  which  we  left  with  them- 
several  proposals.  I  would  put  it — ai 
one  of  the  proposals  was  a  propos 
to — in  the  exact  form  that  we  ha' 
here.  They  said  that  they  would  want 
discuss  among  themselves  and  wi 
such  other  people  as  they  would  wi 
to  call  in  to  meet  with  them  the  vario' 
proposals  which  we  had  made  and  thi 
would  be  in  touch  with  us  with  respe 
to  what  their  determinations  were  aft 
such  consultations.  We  had  agreed  wi 
them  in  advance  that  all  of  the  propc 
als  which  we  made  remain  on  tl 
table  so  that  we  would  be  willing  to  a 
cept  any  of  those  proposals  includi; 
this  particular  proposal. 

Q.  Can  you  tell  us  what  the  oth 
proposals  were? 

A.  No,  I'm  not  going  to  go  into  tf 
now. 

Q.  Have  you  been  in  touch  with  St 
retary  General  Waldheim  on  this? 

A.  Yes,  I  have. 

Q.  Before  the  formal  stateme 
was  issued,  the  things  that  you  s; 
here  that  you're  going  to  recommei 
to  him  you've  already  talked  ov 
informally? 

A.  I  talked  to  him  in  the  most  ge 
eral  terms  yesterday  about  this  becau 
before  there  was  agreement.  I  didr 
feel  it  was  appropriate  to  discuss  wi 
anybody  what  the  various  particul 
elements  of  the  proposal  were.  I  ha 
been  in  touch  with  his  office  th 
morning,  and  I  have  discussed  the  sp 


h 


cific  elements  with  some  of  his  cc 

leagues,  and  I  will  be  talking  to  hi 

directly    later  on,    after   this   pre 
conference. 

Q.  With  Mr.  Ahtisaari — have  yc 
dealt  with  him  directly?  n 

A.  No,  I  have  not— with  the  Und^tr 
Secretaries,  yes.  '  * 

Q.  Can  you  confirm  whether  i  * 
not   President  Carter  invited  M' 
Botha  to  come  to  the  United  Stat1  t 
and  what  the  conditions  are? 


December  1978 

A.  No,  I  don't  want  to  get  into  any- 
ling  having  to  do  with  the  exchange  of 
orrespondence  between  the  President 
nd  Prime  Minister  Botha.  As  you 
now,  insofar  as  personal  letters  be- 
ween  heads  of  government  are  con- 
erned,  that's  up  to  the  two  heads  of 
overnment  to  decide  whether  or  not 
ley  want  to  make  those  public,  and  I 
ave  no  authority  at  this  point  to  indi- 
ate  the — 

Q.  It  was  said  this  morning  on 
IBC  that  the  invitation  was 
xtended. 

A.  That's  BBC's  comment. 

Q.  Could  you  give  your  interpre- 
ition  of  the  unilateral  South  African 
tatement?  It  seems  they're  talking 
bout  the  U.N.  elections,  that  is  a 
eally  firm  commitment  to  those. 

A.  On  the  unilateral  statement  as  you 
now,  we  have  issued  what  we  call  an 
iditional  statement  of  the  five  in  re- 
>onse  to  this  unilateral  statement,  and 
ere  we  point  out  that  it  is  necessary  to 
ovide  a  firm  framework  for  the  elec- 
ral  process  and  to  reduce  uncertainty. 

We  go  on  to  say  that  insofar  as  a 
ate  is  concerned,  that  no  one  can  be 
lowed  to  delay  unilaterally  the  hold- 
g  of  U.N. -supervised  elections.  And 
en  we  went  on  to  point  out  that  if  the 
ireed  date  of  the  election  appeared  to 
:  at  risk  through  acts  of  violence  or 
timidation  or  any  other  failure  to 
irry  out  the  provisions  of  the  propos- 
s,  it  would  be  for  the  Secretary  Gen- 
i  al  to  bring  the  matter  immediately  to 
Security  Council  and  that  the  gov- 
nments  of  the  Western  five  undertook 

support  necessary  action  in  the  Se- 
irity  Council. 

We  then  went  on  to  point  out  further 
at  the  five  Western  governments  also 
idertook  to  maintain  observers  in 

indhoek    during    the    transitional 

riod  and  to  do  everything  possible  to 
sure  the  implementation  of  the  pro- 
>sals  which  we  have  put  forward. 

We  concluded  by  stating  that  we 
ere  confident  that  the  Security  Coun- 
1  would  respond  promptly  and  effec- 
/ely  to  any  situation  where  the  agreed 
ite  of  the  election  appeared  to  be  at 

k  and  would  maintain  the  election 

ite  and  that,  therefore,  there  would  be 

i)  case  for  any  unilateral  action.  We 

ink  that  that  completely  answers  the 

i  lil ateral   statement   issued   by  the 

|j"ime  Minister. 

Q.  Do  you  have  any  doubt  that 
lere  will  be  a  U.N. -supervised  elec- 
9n? 

I  A.  We'll  have  to  see  what  happens 
[(hen  we  have  further  conversations 
j:tween  Mr.   Ahtisaari  and  the  Ad- 
inistrator  General. 


Q.  To  turn  it  around,  there  are  no 
assurances  though? 

A.  There  are  no  assurances  at  this 
point. 

Q.  Don't  you  think  that  the  reac- 
tion of  the  United  Nations  is  going  to 
be  that  this  is  much  less  than  satis- 
factory? 

A.  I  don't  know  what  the  U.N.  Se- 
curity Council  is  going  to  say.  I  believe 
that  what  has  been  proposed  here  is,  or 
reflects,  a  step  forward.  I  believe  it 
clearly  reflects  a  desire  on  the  part  of 
the  parties  to  see  whether  we  cannot 
move  forward  to  complete  the  process 
under  Security  Council  Resolution  435 
and  that  that  is  a  positive  sign.  There 
may  be  differences  of  view  with  re- 
spect to  this  in  the  Security  Council, 
and  we'll  have  to  see  when  the  discus- 
sion of  that  takes  place. 

Q.  Is  it  inaccurate  to  describe  this 
as  a  standoff? 

A.  [Laughter]  I  don't  want  to 
characterize  it  as  a  standoff  or  use  any 
other  single  word  to  characterize  it. 
What  I  would  like  to  say  is  that  I  think 
that  it  indicates  some  progress.  We'll 
have  to  wait  and  see  whether  or  not  it 
works  out. 

Q.  Have  you  been  in  touch  with 
any  of  the  black  African  countries 
which  had  earlier  talked  about  seek- 
ing economic  sanctions  if  full  accept- 
ance by  South  Africa  had  not  come 
by  next  Monday?  Have  you  been  in 
touch  with  them  on  this  situation 
which  has  now  been  developed  to  see 
whether  they  are  intending  to  con- 
tinue to  push  for  sanctions  next 
Monday? 

A.  We — the  five — have  either  been 
in  touch  or  will  be  in  touch  today  with 
all  of  those  countries.  I  informed  one 
of  them  last  night  on  my  way  back  of 
what  had  happened  during  the  3  days  of 
discussions. 

Q.  At  the  point  of  being  in  touch 
simply  to  explain  what  happened  or 
to  seek  their  understanding  of  wait- 
ing a  little  longer  than  beyond  next 
Monday,  or  what? 

A.  Our  objective  is  to  explain  what 
has  happened,  to  answer  their  ques- 
tions, and  to  urge  them  to  let  the  proc- 
ess which  we  are  recommending  go 
forward. 

Q.  This  is  hypothetical  and  also  a 
step  back  a  couple  of  years  in  time. 
In  your  experience  with  American 
business,  and  on  our  needs  for  cer- 
tain manganese  and  other  valuable 
imports  from  South  Africa,  should 
there   be    sanctions,    simply — and 


23 


maybe  simple-mindedly  put — would 
it  hurt  South  Africa  or  us  more? 

A.  I  really  don't  want  to  get  into  that 
question.  That  is  a  hypothetical  ques- 
tion. Obviously,  the  question  of  sanc- 
tions has  been  looked  at  in  the  past  and 
evaluations  have  been  made  on  such  is- 
sues as  you  raise  but  I — the  issue  is  not 
before  us  at  this  moment,  and  I  prefer 
not  to  bring  it  up. 

Q.  Has  there  been  any  consultation 
with  American  business  leaders 
about  the  possibility  or  at  least  the 
consideration  of  sanctions — any  in- 
formal readings  or  consultations? 

A.  The  only  work  which  has  been 
done  in  this  area  over  the  past  has  been 
basically  discussions  within  the  gov- 
ernment itself. 

Q.  Had  you  hoped,  before  you 
went  to  Pretoria,  to  be  able  to  talk 
the  South  Africans  out  of  the  De- 
cember elections? 

A.  The  answer  is  yes.  I  had  hoped 
to,  but  we  were  unable  to  do  so. 

Q.  Are  you  disappointed? 

A.  [Laughter]  I  think  the  situation 
speaks  for  itself. 

Q.  We  didn't  have  any  details  of 
what  actually  went  on  Monday  and 
Tuesday.  Can  you  give  us  any  help 
on  that?  What  you  started  in  on,  how 
you  proceeded  along,  just  fill  in — 

A.  Yes,  I  can  fill  you  in  briefly  on 
that.  We  started  in,  as  you  know,  with 
a  meeting  with  the  Prime  Minister.  The 
Prime  Minister,  the  Foreign  Minister, 
the  Secretary  of  State,  and  General 
Mallan  were  at  the  meeting  on  behalf 
of  the  South  African  Government,  and 
the  five  [Western]  Foreign  Ministers 
were  present  representing  our  respective 
countries. 

We  started  off  with  a  general  discus- 
sion of  the  overall  situation,  each  of  us 
expressing  our  views  with  respect  to 
the  general  situation.  We  then  began  to 
discuss  some  of  the  more  specific  as- 
pects of  it. 

Following  that  the  Prime  Minister 
turned  the  meeting  over  to  a  discussion 
between  the  Foreign  Minister  and  his 
colleagues  and  ourselves,  and  from 
there  on  it  was  a  question  of  discus- 
sions and  negotiations  between  the 
Foreign  Minister  and  his  colleagues 
and  ourselves. 

However,  as  I  pointed  out — no,  I  don't 
guess  I  did — but  the  fact  is  that  the 
Prime  Minister  joined  us  from  time- 
to-time  during  the  2  days  that  followed 
that  first  day.  He  joined  us  at  dinner 
where  we  had  a  working  dinner — 
substantive  dinner — where  we  dis- 


24 


Department  of  State  Bulletit 


cussed  these  issues,  and  from  time-to- 
time  during  our  discussions  the  five  of 
us  together  with  the  Foreign  Minister 
joined  the  Prime  Minister  to  discuss  the 
issues.  So  he  participated  in  the  discus- 
sions as  well  as  people  at  the  ministe- 
rial level. 

Q.  At  any  time  during  the  discus- 
sions, did  you  discuss  the  South  Afri- 
can domestic  racial  problem  situa- 
tion? 

A.  I  had  general  discussions  cover- 
ing a  whole  variety  of  issues  with  the 
Prime  Minister. 

Q.  Do  you  see  a  successful  resolu- 
tion of  the  Namibia  conflict  as  lead- 
ing to  a  more  normal  relationship 
between  the  United  States  and  South 
Africa  that  would  involve  implicitly 
an  attempt  by  the  United  States — by 
the  Carter  Administration — to  have 
greater  understanding  of  South  Af- 
rica's problems? 

A.  I  think  that  a  satisfactory  resolu- 
tion of  the  Namibian  problem  would 
have  a  beneficial  effect  not  only  in 
Namibia  and  in  the  relationships  in  the 
region  in  general,  but  obviously  it 
would  help  in  terms  of  the  atmosphere 
between  the  United  States  and  the  Gov- 
ernment of  South  Africa. 

Q.  You  have  spoken  in  the  past  of 
the  relationship  between  Namibia 
and  Rhodesia.  Does  the  mixed  suc- 
cess that  you  had  here  retard  in  any 
way  your  hopes  for  making  progress 
on  Rhodesia? 

A.  On  the  Rhodesian  situation,  we 
will  know  a  little  bit  more  about  it 
when  we  have  the  meetings  with  Mr. 
Smith  on  Friday  in  Washington.  Again, 
the  situation  is  not  very  clear  as  to  what 
the  facts  actually  are,  but  I  hope  we'll 
have  some  further  clarification  as  a  re- 
sult of  the  meetings  on  Friday. 

I  continue  to  believe  that  it  is  very 
much  in  the  interest  of  all  of  the  parties 
first,  to  bring  the  bloodshed  to  an  end 
in  Rhodesia;  secondly,  to  move  as  fast 
as  possible  toward  free  and  fair  elec- 
tions; and  thirdly,  in  that  process,  that 
this  be  done  by  an  all-parties  confer- 
ence. I  would  certainly  agree  that  any 
such  all-parties  conference  must  be  a 
well-prepared  conference  at  which  all 
the  parties  could  sit  down  together, 
then  the  chances  of  arriving  at  a 
peaceful  solution — a  solution  which  re- 
solved the  differences  among  the  vari- 
ous parties — is  much  greater  than  the 
situation  we  face  now  where  there  is 
just  no  conversation  between  them. 


JOINT  SOUTH  AFRICAN- 
WESTERN  FIVE  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  192 

On  25  April  1978  the  South  African 
Government  announced  its  acceptance 
of  the  proposals  of  the  Western  five  for 
an  internationally  acceptable  settlement 
of  the  Namibia  problem.  However, 
when  the  U.N.  Secretary  General  pub- 
lished his  report  on  the  implementation 
of  the  proposals,  the  South  African 
Government  expressed  concern  that 
certain  aspects  of  the  report  were  not  in 
accordance  with  the  Western  proposal. 
The  areas  of  concern  were  the  size  of 
the  military  component  of  UNTAG,  the 
question  of  consultations,  the  proposal 
for  police  monitors,  and  the  date  of  the 
elections.  The  statement  by  the  Secre- 
tary General  in  the  Security  Council  on 
29  September  addressed  itself  to 
clarification  of  these  areas  of  concern. 

The  five  Foreign  Ministers  and  the 
South  African  Government  discussed 
these  clarifications  further  in  order  to 
establish  common  ground  on  the  im- 
plementation of  the  report  of  the  Sec- 
retary General. 

The  following  main  points  were 
examined. 

I.  Police  Force. 

While  the  South  African  delegation 
considered  the  number  of  civilian  per- 
sonnel envisaged  for  police-monitoring 
responsibilities  excessive,  it  believed 
that  the  Secretary  General's  explana- 
tory statement  in  the  Security  Council 
had  removed  South  Africa's  preoccu- 
pation with  the  character  and  role  of 
the  personnel  concerned.  It  had  become 
clear  that  the  functions  of  the  existing 
police  forces  would  not  be  affected. 

II.  Consultation. 

The  five  intimated  their  agreement 
that  they  were  committed  to  the  princi- 
ple of  fair  consultation,  emphasizing 
that  this  had  been  reaffirmed  by  the 
Secretary  General  in  his  introductory 
statement  of  29  September  in  the  Se- 
curity Council.  This  would  cover,  inter 
alia,  the  composition  and  actual  size  of 
the  military  component  of  UNTAG. 
The  five  intimated  that  they  would  seek 
confirmation  that  their  interpretation 
coincided  with  that  of  the  Secretary 
General.  On  that  basis  the  South  Afri- 
can delegation  felt  that  the  question  of 
consultation  could  be  resolved. 

III.  Troops. 

The  composition  and  the  actual  total 
figure  of  UNTAG  would  be  determined 
by  the  Secretary  General  after  consul- 
tation by  his  special  representative  with 
the  Administrator  General  in  the  light 
of  the  prevailing  circumstances. 

The  South  African  Government  and 


the  five  Foreign  Ministers  accordingly 
believe  that  it  would  now  be  appro- 
priate for  the  Secretary  General's  spe 
cial  representative,  Mr.  Ahtisaari,  tc 
resume  his  discussion  with  the  Soutr 
African  Administrator  General  o: 
Namibia  within  the  framework  of  Se 
curity  Council  Resolution  435  whicr 
endorsed  the  Secretary  General's  re 
port.  The  aim  of  these  discussion; 
would  be  to  work  out  the  modalities  o 
the  proposed  elections  under  U.N 
supervision  and  to  fix  a  date  for  thest 
elections.  The  five  Foreign  Ministers 
therefore,  intend  to  recommend  to  th< 
Secretary  General  that  he  should  in 
struct  Mr.  Ahtisaari  to  proceed  to  Wind 
hoek  as  soon  as  possible.  In  addition 
it  was  regarded  as  appropriate  to  rec 
ommend  to  the  Secretary  General  tha 
he  begin  consultations  on  the  composi 
tion  of  the  military  component  o 
UNTAG. 

The  South  African  Governmen 
stated  that  the  planned  December  elec 
tions  must  be  seen  as  an  internal  proc 
ess  to  elect  leaders. 

The  South  African  Government  wil 
thereafter  use  its  best  efforts  to  per 
suade  them  seriously  to  consider  way 
and  means  of  achieving  internationa 
recognition  through  the  good  offices  o 
the  special  representative  and  the  Ad 
ministrator  General. 

In  the  implementation  of  this  goa 
the  special  representative  would  con 
suit  with  the  Administrator  General  o 
all  aspects  of  the  Secretary  General' 
report  (including  the  fixing  of  a  furthe 
election  date). 

The  five  Foreign  Ministers  state 
with  regard  to  the  unilateral  election 
in  December  that  they  saw  no  way  o 
reconciling  such  elections  with  th 
proposal  which  they  put  forward  am 
which  the  Security  Council  has  en- 
dorsed. Any  such  unilateral  measure  ii 
relation  to  the  electoral  process  will  b< 
regarded  as  null  and  void. 

SOUTH  AFRICAN  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  19 

No  South  African  troop  reductioi 
without  peace.  Election  date  not  to  bi 
affected  by  continuation  of  violence. 

1 .  The  South  African  delegatioi 
stressed  that  the  reduction  of  Soutl 
African  troops  in  South  West  Afric; 
would  only  commence  if  and  when  ; 
complete  and  a  comprehensive  cessa 
tion  of  hostilities  had  been  brough 
about. 

2.  A  continuation  of  violence  can 
therefore,  interrupt  and  delay  indefi 
nitely  the  reduction  of  South  Afncai 
troops  and,  therefore,  conceivably  alsc 
the  holding  of  elections. 


"(December  1978 

3.  To  prevent  any  party  from  unilat- 
erally delaying  the  holding  of  elec- 
tions, it  is,  therefore,  necessary  that  a 
firm  election  date  be  fixed.  This  date 
must  then  be  adhered  to  irrespective  of 
whether  there  is  a  cessation  of  hos- 
tilities and  a  consequent  reduction  of 
South  African  troops. 


WESTERN  FIVE  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  193 


25 


The  fixing  of  a  date  is  necessary  to 
provide  a  firm  framework  for  the  elec- 
toral process  and  to  reduce  uncertainty. 
The  proposals  of  the  Western  five 
adopted  by  the  Security  Council  estab- 
ished  a  number  of  prerequisites  before 

a1the  official  political  campaign  starts.  In 
this  connection  the  South  African  Gov- 
ernment stressed  that  the  withdrawal  of 
South  African  troops  would  only  begin 
upon  cessation  of  hostilities.  The  five 
oointed  out  that  this  would  be  brought 
about  following  notification  to  the 
Secretary  General  of  an  agreed  cease- 
fire. 

No  party  can  be  allowed  to  delay 
jnilaterally  the  holding  of  U.N.  super- 
vised elections.  If  the  agreed  date  of 
:he  election  appeared  to  be  at  risk 
Jirough  acts  of  violence  or  intimidation 
jr  any  other  failure  to  carry  out  the 
provisions  of  the  proposals,  it  would  be 
or  the  Secretary  General  to  bring  the 
natter  immediately  to  the  Security 
Zouncil  and  the  governments  of  the 

ie  Western  five  undertake  to  support 
accessary  action  in  the  Security  Coun- 
:il.  The  five  Western  governments 
indertake  to  maintain  observers  in 

11  Windhoek  during  the  transitional 
oeriod  and  to  do  everything  possible  to 
nsure  the  implementation  of  the  pro- 
posals leading  to  elections  on  the 
igreed  date. 

The  five  Foreign  Ministers  are  con- 
ident  that  the  Security  Council  would 
espond  promptly  and  effectively  to 
iny  situation  where  the  agreed  date  of 
he  election  appeared  to  be  at  risk  and 
.vould  maintain  that  election  date  and 
hat  there  will,  therefore,  be  no  case 

i,  'or  any  unilateral  action.  □ 


•Press  release  396  of  Oct.  20,  1978. 

Mssued  in  Pretoria  (text  from  USUN  press 
elease  100  of  Oct.  20). 

"Issued  in  Pretoria  (text  from  USUN  press 
release  101  of  Oct.  20) 


t  .S..  I  .It..  Rhodesian 
Executive  Council  Meeting 


DEPARTMENT 
ANNOUNCEMENT, 
OCT.  16" 

Members  of  the  Senate  Foreign  Re- 
lations Committee  have  informed  the 
Department  that  on  October  12  Ian 
Smith  told  them  he  was  now  in  favor  of 
an  all-parties  conference  with  no  pre- 
conditions. On  October  14  in  San 
Diego,  Mr.  Smith  reportedly  added  that 
all  members  of  the  Rhodesian  Execu- 
tive Council  shared  this  view. 

After  consultation  with  members  of 
the  Senate  Foreign  Relations  Commit- 
tee about  their  discussion  with  Mr. 
Smith,  the  Department  has  invited  him 
and  his  colleagues  on  the  Executive 
Council  to  meet  in  Washington  with 
senior  Department  officials  and  British 
representatives  at  the  end  of  the  week 
for  a  further  exploration  of  the  views 
they  have  expressed  to  the  Senate 
committee. 

It  is  recognized  by  all  that  a  suc- 
cessful all-parties  meeting  will  require 
thorough  and  careful  preparation,  in- 
cluding advance  consideration  of  an 


PARTICIPANTS 

United  States 

David  D.  Newsom,  Acting  Secretary  of 
State  (Under  Secretary  for  Political 
Affairs) 

Richard  Moose,  Assistant  Secretary  for 
African  Affairs 

Anthony  Lake,  Director,  Policy  Plan- 
ning Staff 

Stephen  Low,  U.S.  Ambassador  to  Zam- 
bia 

George  Moose,  Deputy  Director,  Office 
of  South  African  Affairs 

Ann  Holloway,  Assistant  to  U.S.  Am- 
bassador to  the  U.N.  Andrew  Young 

Mary  Ann  Spiegel,  Member,  Policy 
Planning  Staff 

United  Kingdom 

Peter  Jay,  Ambassador  to  the  U.S. 
Clifford  Squire,  Counselor,  British  Em- 
bassy 

Rhodesian  Executive  Council 

Reverend   Ndabanigi   Sithole,   Current 

Chairman 
Ian  Smith,  Member 
Bishop  Abel  Muzorewa,  Member 
Chief  Jeremiah  Chirau,  Member 
John  Gaylard,   Secretary,   Executive 

Council 
John  Snell.  Secretary  to  Mr.  Smith 
Kenneth  Towsey,   Director,  Rhodesian 

Information  Office 


agenda.  It  is  anticipated,  therefore,  that 
in  addition  to  this  further  discussion 
with  Mr.  Smith  and  his  associates, 
there  will  be  discussions  with  the  other 
parties  as  well. 


JOINT  U.S.-U.K.  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  202 

In  the  course  of  discussions  today 
with  representatives  of  the  British  and 
American  Governments,  the  members 
of  the  Rhodesian  Executive  Council 
confirmed  their  willingness  to  attend  a 
well-prepared  all-parties  conference 
without  preconditions. 

In  that  context,  the  two  sides  iden- 
tified certain  broad  areas  for  discussion 
between  the  parties  and  discussed  the 
issues  to  be  considered  at  a  conference 
and  other  relevant  matters. 

The  British  and  American  Govern- 
ments now  plan  to  hold  discussions 
with  the  other  parties  before  proceed- 
ing further. 

The  British  and  American  represen- 
tatives reiterated  their  strong  concern 
over  the  escalating  cycle  of  violence  in 
the  area.  In  particular,  they  referred  to 
the  raids  into  Zambia  and  Mozambique 
and  the  likely  impact  of  these  actions 
on  the  negotiating  situation.  □ 


'Read  to  news  correspondents  by  acting  De- 
partment spokesman  Tom  Reston. 

-Read  to  news  correspondents  by  acting  De- 
partment spokesman  Tom  Reston;  also  issued 
as  USUN  press  release  102. 


Rhodesian 
Raids 


DEPARTMENT  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  23' 

On  October  19  the  Department  con- 
demned the  reported  Rhodesian  raids 
into  Mozambique  and  Zambia,  noting 
our  concern  that  this  intensification  of 
the  fighting  would  jeopardize  efforts  to 
bring  about  a  negotiated  settlement  in 
Rhodesia.  In  his  meeting  with  members 
of  the  Rhodesian  Executive  Council  on 
October  20,  Acting  Secretary  of  State 
David  Newsom  reiterated  these  con- 
cerns directly  to  the  Salisbury  parties. 

The  Rhodesian  attacks  now  appear  to 
be  among  the  heaviest  and  most  de- 


structive  of  the  war,  particularly  in 
terms  of  the  loss  of  life.  We  especially 
regret  that  these  attacks  were  carried 
out  while  the  Executive  Council  was 
traveling  in  the  United  States  em- 
phasizing its  readiness  to  negotiate. 

This  dramatic  and  untimely  escala- 
tion will  not  bring  about  an  end  to 
conflict;  it  inflames  the  attitudes  of 
other  parties  and  could  confound  ef- 
forts to  promote  meaningful  negotia- 
tions. Should  these  actions  continue, 
the  violence  and  suffering  will  be  pro- 
longed, and  a  negotiated  solution  will 
become  still  more  difficult  to  achieve. 

The  United  States  has  repeatedly 
condemned  the  escalation  of  violence 
by  both  sides  in  the  Rhodesian  conflict. 
If  there  is  to  be  any  hope  of  achieving 


an  early  settlement  to  this  increasingly 
brutal  and  dangerous  conflict,  then  it  is 
incumbent  upon  all  parties  to  recognize 
and  demonstrate  the  wisdom  of  re- 
straint. 


DEPARTMENT  STATEMENT, 
NOV.  22 

The  Rhodesian  military  has  an- 
nounced that  its  planes  have  again 
bombed  targets  in  Zambia.  Initial  re- 
ports indicate  that  some  of  these  targets 
were  in  heavily  populated  areas  within 
a  few  miles  of  the  capital  of  Lusaka. 
These  attacks  constitute  a  further  un- 
warranted and  deplorable  escalation  of 
the  Rhodesian  war. 


The  United  States  is  deeply  disturhei 
by  these  actions  and  strongly  deplore; 
this  latest  in  a  series  of  recent  military 
actions  which  threaten  to  create  ar 
even  more  dangerous  situation  in 
southern  Africa. 

Such  actions  can  only  add  to  the  ten 
sions,  bitterness,  and  distrust  among 
the  parties  and  make  it  more  difficult  k 
achieve  a  settlement  that  will  end  the 
fighting  and  bloodshed.  If  there  is  to  be 
any  hope  of  bringing  this  brutal  and 
dangerous  conflict  to  an  end,  actions 
such  as  these  must  cease. 


ti 


'Read  to  news  correspondents  by  acting  De- 
partment spokesman  Tom  Reston. 

-'Read  to  news  correspondents  by  acting  De- 
partment spokesman  Kenneth  Brown. 


December  1978 


Southern  Rhodesia 


7oreign  Relations  Outline1 

A  British  colony  since  1890, 
Uiodesia  today  is  populated  by  about 
!53,00O  whites  and  6.5  million  blacks, 
"he  white  colonists  obtained  self- 
.overnment  in  1923,  and  since  that 
lime  they  have  severely  limited  the 
lolitical  rights  and  economic  opportu- 
nities of  blacks. 

In  November   1965,  after  rejecting 
Sritain's  insistence  that  he  move  to- 
ward majority  rule.  Prime  Minister  Ian 
imith  announced  a   "unilateral  decla- 
ation   of  independence"   from   the 
Jnited  Kingdom.  The  U.N.   Security 
'ouncil,   with  U.S.   support,   imposed 
imited     economic      sanctions     on 
r.hodesia  in  1966  and  a  virtually  total 
mbargo  on  trade  in  1968.  For  over  10 
lears,  the  struggle  has  continued — 
irough  guerrilla  warfare  and  political 
ction — for  control  of  what  is  to  be- 
ome  independent  Zimbabwe. 

.frican  Nationalism 

In  the  early  1960's,  African  nation- 
Mists  in  Rhodesia  formed  two  rival 
roups — the  Zimbabwe  African  Na- 
onal  Union  (ZANU)  and  the  Zim- 
abwe  African  People's  Union 
^APU),  which  advocated  black  voting 
ghts  and  eventual  majority  rule.  Both 
'ere  banned  and  their  leaders  detained 
r  forced  into  exile.  They  ultimately 
lrned  to  guerrilla  warfare  from  bases 
)  neighboring  countries. 

By  the  early  1970's,  regular  skir- 
lishes  with  Rhodesian  forces  had  oc- 
urred,  and  since  then  civilian  and 
lilitary  casualties  on  both  sides  have 
tcreased  substantially.  Eventually  a 
)ose  ZAPU-ZANU  alliance,  known  as 
te  patriotic  front,  was  formed.  Inside 
.hodesia,  other  nationalist  groups — at 
jmes  affiliated  with  the  parties  con- 
tituting  the  patriotic  front — formed 
nd  reformed  but  continued  to  work  for 
ifrican  political  rights. 

inglo- American  Plan 

The  United  Kingdom  and  the  United 
itates  are  working  with  all  parties  to 
itie  conflict  to  achieve  a  peaceful,  in- 
jrnationally  recognized  settlement.  On 
ieptember  1,  1977,  detailed  Anglo- 
American  proposals  for  a  settlement 
vere  announced,  setting  forth  basic 
irinciples  which  we  and  the  British 
upport.  These  include: 


•  An       independent       Zimbabwe 
(Rhodesia); 

•  A  transition  period; 

•  Majority  rule; 

•  Preindependence  elections  based 
on  universal  suffrage; 

•  Elections  administered  by  a  neu- 
tral, impartial  authority; 

•  A  democratic  constitution  with  an 
integral  bill  of  rights;  and 

•  The  formation  of  an  army  loyal  to 
the  new  government. 

Although  reactions  were  mixed,  no 
party  rejected  the  plan.2 


Internal  Solution 

Following  presentation  of  the 
Anglo-American  proposals,  the  Smith 
regime  began  negotiating  with  the 
internal  nationalists  on  a  transfer  of 
power,  and  in  March  1978  Smith 
signed  the  Salisbury  agreement  with 
three  black  leaders. 

This  agreement  provided  for  inde- 
pendence by  the  end  of  1978,  qualified 
majority  rule,  eventual  elections  with 
universal  suffrage,  and  an  interim  ad- 
ministration headed  by  an  executive 
council  and  a  cabinet  with  black  mem- 
bership. However,  the  civil  service,  the 
military,  and  the  judiciary  would  re- 
main unaffected  under  the  Salisbury 
agreement  during  the  crucial  election 
and  transition  period. 

For  10  years,  28  of  100  seats  in  the 
new  parliament — a  number  sufficient  to 
block  constitutional  amendments — 
would  be  chosen  by  Rhodesia's  3% 
white  population.  The  external 
nationalists  refused  to  participate  in  the 
settlement,  mainly  because  it  requires 
that  they  first  lay  down  their  arms  and 
subject  themselves  during  the  transition 
to  the  administrative  control  of  the 
present  authorities. 

U.S.  Policy 

U.S.  policy  on  Rhodesia  is  to  perse- 
vere with  the  United  Kingdom  in  ef- 
forts to  find  a  fair  solution  and  to 
maintain  our  position  as  an  honest 
broker  among  the  contending  parties. 
This  approach  offers  the  best  chance  to 
reach  an  acceptable  agreement  and  to 
avoid  a  situation  easily  exploitable  by 
the  Soviets  and  the  Cubans.  Moreover, 
demonstrating  to  other  African  states 
our  commitment  and  concern  provides 
the  strongest  counterpoint  to  Soviet/ 


27 

Cuban  use  of  military  power  and  per- 
mits a  continued  strong  U.S.  role  in 
Africa. 

Our  policy  is  based  on  the  following 
premises. 

•  The  conflict  will  continue  unless  a 
solution  can  be  found  offering  a  realis- 
tic possibility  for  fair  participation  in 
the  transition  government  and  the 
electoral  process  by  the  main 
parties — the  Salisbury  group  and  the 
patriotic  front. 

•  Soviet  and  Cuban  intervention  is  a 
strong  possibility  if  the  conflict  con- 
tinues, and  U.S.  interests  would  suffer. 

•  A  peaceful,  internationally  recog- 
nized solution  can  be  obtained  only 
through  negotiation;  the  best  chance 
now  appears  to  lie  in  engaging  all  par- 
ties in  a  transition  process,  with  none 
having  a  predominant  influence. 

•  The  United  States  does  not  favor 
one  side  against  the  other.  Endorsing 
either  side's  negotiating  position  would 
prejudice  the  political  opportunities  of 
the  other  and  could  further  inflame  the 
conflict. 

•  We  believe  that  the  Anglo- 
American  proposals  provide  the  best 
basis  for  an  agreement,  but  we  would 
support  any  other  arrangements  worked 
out  by  the  parties  consistent  with  our 
support  for  principles  of  democratic 
government. 

All  parties  have  agreed  on  the  prin- 
ciples of  independence,  majority  rule, 
universal  suffrage,  an  independent 
judiciary,  and  the  broad  outlines  of  a 
constitution  protecting  the  rights  of  all. 
The  United  States  hopes  they  can  also 
agree  on  arrangements  for  the  impartial 
administration  of  the  country  for  an 
interim  period  in  which  all  parties  can 
compete  equally  in  free  elections.       □ 


•Taken  from  a  Department  of  State  publica- 
tion in  the  GIST  series,  released  in  June  1978. 
This  outline  is  designed  to  be  a  quick  reference 
aid  on  U.S.  foreign  relations.  It  is  not  intended 
as  a  comprehensive  U.S.  foreign  policy  state- 
ment. 

2For  full  text  of  the  plan,  see  Bulletin  of 
Oct.  3,  1977,  p.  424. 


Letter 

of  Credence 

On  November  16,  1978,  Macky 
Koreissi  Aguibou  Tall  presented  his 
credentials  to  President  Carter  as  the 
newly  appointed  Ambassador  from 
Mali.  □ 


28 


Department  of  State  Bulletin  > 


EAST  ASIA:         The  Dominoes 
That  Did  Vol  Fall 


by  David  D.  Newsom 

Address  before  the  Far  East  Council 
on  Trade  and  Industry  in  New  York  on 
October  2,  1978.  Mr.  Newsom  is 
Under  Secretary  for  Political  Affairs. ' 

Any  pundit  looking  back  on  his  4-  or 
5-year  predictions  on  the  course  of 
events  in  Southeast  Asia  can  only  be 
embarrassed.  The  dominoes  which 
were  to  have  fallen  did  not  fall.  The 
nations  which  were  to  have  emerged 
from  the  war  with  the  strength  and  de- 
termination to  take  over  Southeast  Asia 
are  fighting  among  themselves. 

We  were  reminded  of  this  dramatic 
irony  recently  in  Washington  when  the 
representatives  of  the  five  nations  of 
the  Association  of  South  East  Asian 
Nations  (ASEAN)— Thailand,  Ma- 
laysia, Singapore,  Indonesia,  and 
the  Philippines — gathered  for  their 
periodic  dialogue  with  the  United 
States.  Each  of  these  nations  last  year 
had  a  growth  rate  better  than  6'/f . 
Each  demonstrated  a  stability  which, 
despite  problems,  gave  it  confidence 
and  hope  for  the  future.  The  area  as  a 
whole  has  become  one  of  the  major 
centers  for  U.S.  trade. 

Why  did  our  gloomy  forecasts  not 
come  true?  Why  is  Southeast  Asia 
today,  despite  recognized  problems, 
one  of  the  most  hopeful  areas  of  the 
developing  world? 

It  is  still  not  easy  to  draw  conclu- 
sions on  the  nature  of  the  Vietnam  war. 
Yet,  there  is  much  to  suggest  that  the 
carrying  of  the  revolution  to  the  states 
of  Southeast  Asia,  beyond  Indochina, 
was  not  a  priority  objective  in  Hanoi. 
Their  immediate  priorities  related  to 
the  expulsion  of  the  foreigners,  begin- 
ning with  the  French,  and  to  the 
reunification  of  what  they  considered 
their  traditional  nation. 

It  is  now  even  clearer  that,  while 
Vietnam  had  an  extraordinary  capacity 
to  wage  war  on  its  territory,  it  was,  ba- 
sically, a  very  undeveloped  country. 
The  Vietnamese  search  for  outside  help 
now  is  not  only  a  manifestation  of  their 
political  requirements  and  reconstruc- 
tion needs;  it  is  also  evidence  of  the 
basic  underdevelopment  of  their  coun- 
try. 

To  suggest  that  the  threat  may  not 
have  been  as  great  as  many  felt,  how- 
ever, is  not  to  detract  from  the  accom- 
plishments of  those  nations  on  the 
periphery  of  Indochina.  It  is,  perhaps, 


to  suggest  greater  caution  on  our  part  in 
our  predictions  on  the  course  of  events 
in  other  societies. 

Strengths  of  ASEAN  States 

In  the  nations  which  now  comprise 
ASEAN,  there  was  greater  strength 
than  many  assumed  at  the  time.  This 
strength  was  manifested,  first,  in  the 
calmness  with  which  these  nations 
reacted  to  the  events  in  Indochina. 
Many  of  the  more  alarming  expressions 
were  on  this  side,  rather  than  their  side 
of  the  Pacific. 

Although  resources  and  productive 
capabilities  are  substantial  in  some 
areas  of  the  region,  these  are  not  the 
fundamental  source  of  the  strength  we 
now  see  emerging.  Rather  the  confi- 
dence gained  from  winning  and  main- 
taining their  independence  and  the 
strong  spirit  of  nationalism  that  per- 
vades the  area  have  provided  the  basic 
impetus  for  progress  and  success. 

•  Thailand,  except  for  the  period  of 
Japanese  occupation,  has  never  been 
under  foreign  domination. 

•  Malaysia  has  emerged  from  the 
trials  of  its  postwar  emergency  and  has 
been  independent  since  1957. 

•  Singapore,  a  remarkable  city  state, 
has  been  independent  since  1965. 

•  Indonesia,  fully  independent  after 
1949,  and  the  Philippines,  in  1946,  are 
among  the  two  earliest  states  to  become 
free  in  the  post-World  War  II  move- 
ment. 

A  second  major  source  of  strength 
among  the  ASEAN  nations  is  the  ex- 
traordinary and  pragmatic  quality  of 
the  leadership  that  has  emerged.  Each 
of  these  nations  has  in  its  own  way 
created  cadres  of  capable  people  who 
are  facing  squarely  the  major  problems 
of  each  nation. 

In  Indonesia,  well-trained  econ- 
omists and  technicians  helped  the 
military  and  political  leaders  turn  the 
economic  shambles,  overwhelming 
debt,  and  rampant  inflation  of  the 
Sukarno  era  into  effective  progress  in 


Correct 

ion 

In  the  An 

gust   1978 

Hi   l  i  i  iin 

(P 

3). 

!he    GNP    f 

igure    for 

Western 

Samoa 

should  have 

been  $.045  ($45  mill 

ion 

)  for 

1974. 

economic  development.  They  also 
helped  the  nation  weather  the  impact  of 
the  Pertamina  crisis. 

Universities  and  other  institutions  of 
higher  learning  in  Malaysia  and  Singa- 
pore have  provided  cadres  to  meet  the 
continuing  needs  for  upgrading  in  the 
managerial,  technical,  and  scientific 
areas.  The  growth  rate  of  both  coun- 
tries is  spectacular. 

The  Filipino  economic  planners  have 
parlayed  advanced  business  degrees 
obtained  in  the  United  States  and  in- 
herent entrepreneurial  skills  into  a 
polished  mix  of  free  enterprise  and 
state  economic  planning.  Economic 
growth  in  the  range  of  6%  per  annum 
has  helped  ease  severe  balance-of-pay- 
ments  problems  stemming  from  the  oil 
crisis. 

Thailand's  new  generation  of  eco- 
nomic policymakers  and  managers  are: 
for  the  most  part  Western  educated  and 
understand  the  market  mechanism.  We 
see  them  striving  to  strike  a  proper  bal- 
ance between  private  enterprise  and  in- 
vestment and  what  they  perceive  to  be 
a  need  for  state  management  of  certain 
strategic  economic  sectors. 

Regional  and  International  Relations 

Nowhere  is  the  confidence  of  the 
ASEAN  nations  in  themselves  more 
manifested  than  in  their  relations  witht 
each  other  and  with  the  rest  of  the 
world. 

When  Americans  look  at  ASEAN, 
they  sometimes  tend  to  look  for  mora 
dramatic  manifestations  of  the  cooper- 
ation among  these  nations  than  may  be 
realistic  at  this  stage.  We  must  look  at 
the  starting  point.  During  my  time  in 
Southeast  Asia,  I  was  struck  by  how 
little  these  nations  (except  for  Singa- 
pore and  Malaysia)  knew  of  each  other 
until  recently.  Although  geographically 
proximate,  there  is  great  diversity  ire 
the  region,  much  of  it  growing  from 
barriers  erected  by  different  colonial 
ties  and  old  disputes  which  needed  to 
be  overcome  and  reconciled.  Few  ofl 
the  universities  in  one  country  even  had 
courses  relating  to  the  cultures  of  their 
neighbors.  Malaysia  and  Indonesia  had 
been  at  war  during  Sukarno's  time. 

The  ASEAN  economies  were  more 
competitive  than  complementary  and 
the  focus  of  their  foreign  economic  ef- 
forts has  been  outside  rather  than 
within  the  region.  Moreover,  these 
were  not  well-developed  European  na- 
tions which  could  move  swiftly  into 
sophisticated  economic  relationships.  It 
took  Europe  15  years  to  create  the 
European  Economic  Community 
(EEC). 

Nonetheless,  the  ASEAN  countries 
have  perceived  the  importance  of  closer 


/ 


December  1978 


29 


pgional  cooperation.  They  have  de- 
jeloped  an  elaborate  framework  of 
onsultation  on  all  major  economic  is- 
jues.  These  consultations  range  from 
lonthly  meetings  at  the  ministerial 
pvel  to  frequent  technical-level  discus- 
lions.  ASEAN  has  begun  the  process 
If  abolishing  duties  on  trade  and  has 
|;ached  agreement  on  several  hundred 
[ems.  They  are  working  on  the  estab- 
Ishment  of  regional  industrial  projects. 
Uninhibited  by  the  political  consid- 
erations which  sometimes  make  de- 
eloping  countries  hesitate  to  talk  with 
Ithers,  the  states  of  ASEAN  moved 
lery  quickly  after  their  summit  meeting 
t  Bali  in  February  1976  to  expand 
xisting  dialogues  with  the  EEC  and 
.ustralia  and  to  establish  dialogues 
ith  their  other  major  trading 
artners — Canada,  Japan,  and  then  the 
nited  States. 

'  The  United  States  and  ASEAN  have 

nbarked  on  a  series  of  high-level  eco- 

I3mic  consultations,   beginning   with 

leetings   September   1977   in  Manila 

id  August  of  this  year  in  Washington. 

s  a  consequence  of  this  dialogue, 

I  .S.  economic  policy  toward  Southeast 

sia  is  now  being  shaped  to  take 

SEAN  into  account,  in  addition  to 

aditional  bilateral  relationships.  As  an 

<ample,   bearing  particularly  on  the 

iterests  of  the  business  community, 

)hn  Moore   [President  and  Chairman 

w  the  Export-Import  Bank]  is  leading 

i  Eximbank  team  visit  to  ASEAN. 

ustralia,   and  New  Zealand  in  Oc- 

■>ber  and  November,   and  about  the 

lame  time  Chuck  Robinson  [former 

>eputy  Secretary  of  State]  is  heading 

n  investment  mission  to  ASEAN  spon- 

jred  by  the  Overseas  Private  Invest- 

lent  Corporation  (OPIC). 

Not  only  did  the  states  of  ASEAN 

tove  to  talk  to  their  traditional  friends, 

Jt  they  moved  also  to  establish  satis- 

tctory  relationships   with  their  Com- 

mnist  neighbors.  The  trend  has  helped 

lute  the  criticism  from  both  Moscow 

;nd  Peking  which  was  once  leveled  at 

: lis  organization. 

On  our  side,  we  welcomed  the  fact 
kiat,  only  3  years  after  the  end  of  the 
I'ietnam  war,  these  nations  feel  suffi- 
ently  strong  to  extend  their  hand  to 
le  Communist  states  of  Asia.  This  is  a 
'ositive  note  in  the  Asian  scene.  I 
ould  stress  here  our  own  hope  that 
'ietnam  will  indeed  be  a  peaceful  par- 
cipant  in  Southeast  Asia. 

'he  Future 

And  now — what  of  the  future?  In 
lach  of  the  countries — in  its  own 
/ay — development  is  the  priority, 
"hroughout  the  area  there  is  a  recogni- 
ion  that,  in  the  long  run,  only  the  suc- 


cess of  their  freer  economic  systems 
will  overcome  the  challenge  of  the 
Communist  models  to  the  north.  In  the 
eyes  of  the  ASEAN  leaders,  this  strug- 
gle is  far  more  real  and  significant  than 
any  possible  military  confrontation. 

Indonesia.  Indonesia  is  the  poorest 
of  the  five.  Its  birth  as  a  nation  was  ac- 
companied by  war,  internal  insurrec- 
tion, and  nationalistic  economic 
policies  which  left  it  on  the  verge  of 
bankruptcy.  Its  island  character, 
stretching  3,500  miles  across  the 
Pacific,  provides  a  special  challenge  to 
development.  Despite  oil  and  natural 
gas,  its  annual  per  capita  income  is  still 
only  about  $300. 

Its  food  deficit  makes  it  the  largest 
importer  of  rice  in  the  world.  Its  popu- 
lation pressures  on  the  islands  of  Java 
and  Bali  compound  the  problem  of  de- 
velopment. Yet  each  of  these  major 
problems  is  being  tackled.  A  high 
priority  is  being  given  to  irrigation, 
fertilizer,  and  the  use  of  higher  yield 
strains  of  rice.  Its  population  program, 
particularly  in  the  densely  settled  areas 
of  East  Java  and  Bali,  is  considered 
one  of  the  most  successful  in  the 
world. 

Singapore.  At  independence,  Singa- 
pore found  itself  with  a  flourishing  en- 
trepot trade,  a  good  location,  and  the 
skills  of  its  people  but  few  resources. 
Within  a  decade  the  Government  of 
Singapore  transformed  the  island  into  a 
significant  manufacturing  center  and 
moved  away  from  purely  entrepot  ac- 
tivities to  oil  refining,  electronics,  and 
ship  repair  and  construction.  It  is  fast 
becoming  a  major  financial  center  for 
the  region,  and  with  nearly  500  U.S. 
corporations  having  offices  there,  a 
major  focus  for  U.S.  firms  trading  with 
the  entire  region.  It  now  has  the  second 
■highest  per  capita  GNP  in  Asia  (ap- 
proximately $2,900  in  1977)  and  has 
maintained  growth  rates  of  over  8% 
during  the  past  few  years,  having  had 
double  digit  growth  the  previous 
decade. 

Malaysia.  Rich  in  rubber,  tin,  palm 
oil,  tropical  woods,  and  petroleum, 
Malaysia's  strategy  has  been  to 
maximize  earnings  from  its  com- 
modities while  at  the  same  time  de- 
veloping a  manufacturing  sector  em- 
phasizing high  labor-intensive  technol- 
ogy such  as  electronics.  Its  growth 
rates  which  have  averaged  8-10%  per 
annum  are  expected  to  continue. 

Philippines.  Belying  the  apparent 
abundance  of  land,  the  7,000-island 
Philippine  Archipelago  is  highly 
mountainous  and  provides  limited  ara- 


ble area.  Because  of  this  and  the  tradi- 
tionally high  birth  rate,  primary  atten- 
tion has  been  directed  at  increased  pro- 
ductivity of  foodstuffs  and  concomitant 
efforts  at  population  growth  restraint. 
Some  measurable  success  has  been 
achieved  in  that  the  population  growth 
rate  has  declined  from  the  high  of  3.4% 
of  1970  to  a  more  acceptable  level  of 
2.85%  today.  Equally  important,  for 
the  past  2  years  the  Philippines  has 
been  self-sufficient  in  rice  and  has  even 
enjoyed  a  modest  exportable  surplus. 
The  Philippines  program  for  rural 
electrification  cooperatives  has  proved 
so  successful  that  it  is  now  used  as  a 
model  and  training  ground  for  other 
developing  countries. 

Thailand.  Thailand  is  predominantly 
an  agrarian  nation  characterized  by  se- 
vere regional   and  rural-urban  income 


Inns  Sales 
to  Taiwan 


DEPARTMENT  STATEMENT, 
NOV.  61 

The  U.S.  Government  has  consid- 
ered a  number  of  requests  from  the  Re- 
public of  China  (R.O.C.)  for  weapons 
purchases.  On  the  basis  of  an  assess- 
ment of  Taiwan's  legitimate  defense 
needs  and  the  President's  policy  on 
arms  transfers,  we  have  decided  to 
offer  for  sale  to  the  R.O.C.  additional 
F-5E  interceptor  aircraft  with  improved 
weaponry,  including  precision-guided 
munitions  and  Maverick  missiles.  We 
had  earlier  informed  the  R.O.C.  that  we 
would  not  object  to  their  purchasing  the 
Israeli  KFIR  fighter  which  is  equipped 
with  U.S.  components. 

We  have  turned  down  Taiwan's  re- 
quest for  the  F-4,  F-16,  and  F-18  on 
the  grounds  that  these  would  violate  the 
Administration's  arms  transfer  policy. 
In  conveying  these  decisions  to  the 
R.O.C,  we  did  not  address  their  re- 
quest for  the  so-called  F-5G  since  a 
decision  has  not  been  made  to  produce 
such  a  follow-on  aircraft  to  the  F-5E. 
The  F-5E  which  will  be  offered  to 
Taiwan,  with  its  improved  armament, 
will  provide  an  additional  capability  to 
help  meet  the  R.O.C.  s  defense  re- 
quirements. The  United  States  will 
continue  to  be  responsive  to  Taiwan's 
legitimate  defense  needs.  □ 


1  Read  to  news  correspondents  by  acting  De- 
partment spokeswoman  Jill  Schuker. 


30 


disparities.  The  present  government 
has  announced  its  plans  to  redress  in- 
come disparities  and  focus  its  efforts 
on  rural-based  industry,  intensification 
of  land  use,  and  diversification  of  ag- 
riculture. Development  of  indigenous 
gas  discoveries  should  relieve 
balance-of-payments  problems  stem- 
ming from  imported  energy  and  possi- 
bly release  needed  foreign  exchange 
earnings  for  further  development  of  ex- 
port oriented  agri-based  industries. 

Economic  development  has  not  been 
the  only  problem  confronting  the  na- 
tions of  Southeast  Asia.  Each  of  the 
nations  of  ASEAN  emerged  into  inde- 
pendence with  problems  of  internal 
friction  and  the  need  for  stronger 
political  institutions  and  cohesion. 
Each  in  its  own  way  has  sought  to  deal 
with  these  problems. 

•  Thailand  has  faced  rural  insurgen- 
cies and  frequent  changes  in  govern- 
ment but  has  been  able  to  maintain  a 
high  degree  of  political  continuity 
under  the  King. 

•  The  progress  in  Malaysia's  politi- 
cal stability  was  demonstrated  by  the 
recent  election.  Malays  and  Chinese 
alike  supported  the  victory  of  Prime 
Minister  Hussein  Onn's  party. 

•  Singapore  remains  stable  and 
prosperous  under  its  unique  leader, 
Prime  Minister  Lee  Kuan  Yew. 

•  Indonesia's  political  institutions 
have  recently  survived  the  test  of 
another  national  election.  Its  internal 
reconciliation  has  been  marked  by  the 
continuing  release  of  those  detained 
after  the  1965  abortive  Communist 
coup. 

•  The  Philippines  is  still  plagued  by 
the  300-year-old  Muslim  insurrection 
in  the  south.  President  Marcos,  after  6 
years  of  martial  law,  is  now  seeking 
new  political  institutions  through  a  re- 
cently elected  interim  National  Assem- 
bly. 

In  stressing  the  progress  in  several 
areas  of  these  nations,  I  do  not  ignore 
the  weaknesses  and  shortcomings  that 
are  common  to  new  nations.  But  they 
are  often  dwelt  upon.  For  those  of  you 
in  business,  asking  the  question  of 
whether  this  is  an  area  that  merits  your 
attention,  I  can  properly  dwell  on  the 
positive.  It  is  not  everywhere  in  the 
world  that  you  can  find  five  developing 
countries,  with  a  total  population  of  a 
quarter  of  a  billion  people,  generally 
supportive  of  the  free  enterprise  sys- 
tem, welcoming  foreign  investment, 
representing  a  rapidly  growing  market 
for  U.S.  goods,  and  with  a  reasonable 
degree  of  stability.  I  well  know  that 
many  of  you  may  feel  that  some  of  the 
policies  of  these  countries  raise  ques- 


tions about  their  genuine  interest  in 
foreign  investment.  My  impression  is 
that,  while  there  are  frustrations  and 
differences,  the  leaders  possess  in 
common  a  basic  desire  for  an  effective 
balance  between  their  political  neces- 
sities and  the  climate  for  investment 
and  trade.  Moreover,  they  are  prepared 
to  talk  with  foreign  representatives 
about  the  problems  they  may  face. 

Officially,  we  see  in  these  countries 
a  significant  indigenous  grouping  of 
nations  with  which  we  have  much  in 
common.  Their  strength  lies  in  the  fact 
that  they  are  free  to  associate  with 
many  states  of  different  systems,  not 
just  with  us.  They  can  be  considered 
nonaligned  in  the  best  sense  of  the 
word. 

With  some,  such  as  the  Philippines, 
we  have  special  ties  through  a  defense 
treaty  and  the  presence  of  our  military 
bases.  But  in  no  sense  has  this  pre- 
vented the  Philippines  from  a  free  and 
independent  foreign  policy. 

The  dominoes  did  not  fall  because 
they  had  inherent  strengths  and  con- 
centrated on  development  of  their 
economies  and  effective  political  in- 
stitutions, and  because  the  problems 
within  Indochina  were  far  greater  than 
we  perceived.  It  is  now  in  the  interest 
of  all  the  friends  of  ASEAN,  through 
active  trade  and  investment  and 
through  official  assistance  as  required, 
to  see  that  their  philosophies  and  their 
systems  point  the  way  for  their  peoples 
to  a  bright  future.  Neither  they  nor  we 
want  other  Asian  models  to  extend  or 
to  prevail.  □ 


Introductory  paragraph  omitted. 


Publications 


GPO  SALES 

Publications  ma\  be  ordered  by  catalog  or 
stock    number  from    the    Superintendent    oj 

Documents,  U  S  Government  Priming  Office. 
Washington,  DC.  2<>4()2  A  25  91  discount  is 
made  on  orders  for  11)1)  or  more  copies  Oj  any 
one  publication  mailed  lo  the  same  address. 
Remittances,   payable  to  the  Superintendent  oj 

Documents,  must  accompany  orders  Prices 
shown  below,  which  unhide  domestic  postage. 

ate  subjet  l  Ui  i  llange 

Kit-ill  Secondary  and  Feeder  Roads  Project. 

Agreement   with  the   Philippines     TIAS  8666. 

35  pp    SI  40   (Cat,  No.  S9. 10:8666). 
Trade   in   Cotton,   Wool,   and   Man-Made 
Fiber  Textiles  and  Textile  Products.  Agree- 
ment with  Macau.  TIAS  8672    3  pp    60?.  (Cat. 
No.  S9. 10:8672). 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Science  and  Technology  Program.  Memoran- 
dum of  Understanding  with  the  Republic  of 
Korea.  TIAS  8678.  8  pp.  70C.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8678). 

Waterworks  Systems.  Agreement  with  the 
Philippines.  TIAS  8703.  38  pp.  $1.40.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8703.) 

Rural  Electrification.  Agreement  with  the 
Philippines.  TIAS  8704.  32  pp.  $1.30.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8704.) 

Air  Transport  Services.  Agreement  with  Sin- 
gapore. TIAS  8721.  8  pp.  700.  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8721.) 
Economic  Assistance.  Agreement  with  the  Re- 
public of  Korea.  TIAS  8730.  2  pp.  50?.  (Cat. 
No.  S9. 10:8730.) 

Trade  in  Textiles.  Agreements  with  Thailand, 
amending   the   agreement   of   December   29, 
1975.    TIAS    8780.    8pp.    80?.    (Cat.    No. 
S9. 10:8780.) 
Express  Mail  Service.  Agreement  with  Japan. 
TIAS    8794.     3    pp.     60?      (Cat.     No. 
S9. 10:8794.) 
Express  Mail  Service.  Agreement  with  Hong 
Kong     TIAS   8795.    2   pp.    50?.    (Cat.    No. 
S9. 10:8795  ) 
Integrated   Communications  System.   Agree- 
ment with  Thailand.  TIAS  8837.  7  pp.  80?. 
(Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8837.) 
Research    Institute    of    Medical    Sciences. 
Agreement    with    Thailand,    modifying    and 
continuing  the  agreements  of  December  23 
1960  and  April  I  and  25.  1963.  TIAS  8840 
3  pp    70?.  (Cat    No.  S9  10:8840.) 
Military   Assistance — Eligibility    Require 
ments  Pursuant  to  the  International  Secu 
rity  Assistance  and  Arms  Export  Control 
Act   of  1976.    Agreement   with   Malaysia 
TIAS    8845.     5    pp.     70?.     (Cat      No 
S9. 10:8845.) 
Family   Planning.  Agreement  with  Indonesia 
TIAS    8848      26    pp      $1.30.    (Cat      No. 
S9. 10:8848  ) 
Surakarta  Potable   Water.   Agreement  with 
Indonesia.  TIAS  8849    32  pp.  $1.40.  (Cat. 
No    S9. 10:8849.) 
Ammunition   Storage.    Agreement   with   Thai- 
land    TIAS    8850.    5    pp.    70?.    (Cat.    No. 
S9  10:8850  | 

Whaling — International    Observer    Scheme. 

Agreement  with  Japan,  extending  the  agree- 
ment of  May  2.  1975,  as  extended  TIAS 
8874.  6  pp.  70?.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8874.) 

Trade  in  Textiles.  Agreement  with  the  Philip- 
pines, amending  and  extending  the  agree- 
ment of  October  15.  1975.  as  amended. 
TIAS  8880.  5  pp.  70?,  (Cat.  No. 
S9. 10:8880.) 

Trade  in  Textiles.  Agreements  with  the 
Philippines,  amending  ihe  agreement  of  Oc- 
tober 15.  1975.  as  amended  and  extended. 
TIAS  8881  20  pp.  $1.10  (Cat  No. 
S9. 10:8881.) 

Air  Transport  Services.  Agreement  with 
Japan,  amending  the  agreement  of  August 
11,  1952.  as  amended.  TIAS  8882.  4  pp. 
70?.  (Cat.  No.  S9. 10:8882.)  □ 


)ecember  1978 


31 


ECONOMICS:        Measures  to 
Strengthen  the  Dollar 


REMARKS  OF  THE  PRESIDENT 
ND  TREASURY  SECRETARY 
[LUMENTHAL,  NOV.  1 ' 

president  Carter 

I  Last  week,  I  pledged  my  Adminis- 
lation  to  a  balanced,  concerted,   and 
Lstained  program  to  fight  inflation. 
I  hat  program   requires  effective 
talkies  to  assure  a  strong  dollar. 
I  The  basic  factors  that  affect  the 
Irength  of  the  dollar  are  heading  in  the 
Ight  direction.  We  now  have  an  energy 
rogram  passed  by  Congress;  our  trade 
bficit  is  declining;  and  last  week,  I  put 
i  place  a  strong  anti-inflation  pro- 
ram. 

i  The  continuing  decline  in  the  ex- 
lange  value  of  the  dollar  is  clearly  not 
arranted  by  the  fundamental  eco- 
jmic  situation.  That  decline  threatens 
:onomic  progress  at  home  and  abroad 
id  the  success  of  our  anti-inflation 
•ogram . 

As  a  major  step  in  the  anti-inflation 
"ogram,  it  is  now  necessary  to  act  to 
meet  the  excessive  decline  in  the 
jllar  which  has  recently  occurred, 
herefore,  pursuant  to  my  request  that 
rong  action  be  taken,  the  Department 
F  the  Treasury  and  the  Federal  Re- 
;rve  Board  are  today  initiating  meas- 
■es  in  both  domestic  and  international 
onetary  fields  to  assure  the  strength 
F  the  dollar. 

The  international  components  of  this 

rogram  have  been  developed  with 

kther  major  governments  and  with 

:ntral  banks.  They  intend  to  cooperate 

illy  with  the  United  States  in  attaining 

ir  mutual  objectives. 

Secretary  Blumenthal  and  Chairman 

fliller  are  announcing  detailed  meas- 

res  immediately. 

secretary  Blumenthal 

In  the  past  few  months  the  United 
itates  has  taken  action  to  correct  the 
nbalances  that  have  characterized  our 
:onomy.  We  have  passed  an  energy 
ill  which  will  lead  to  a  reduction  of 
ur  dependence  on  imported  oil.  We 
ave  implemented  a  program  to  en- 
iance  exports  as  a  national  priority. 
i/e  have  launched  a  tough  and  deter- 
liined  anti-inflation  campaign.  We 
|ave  taken  steps  to  reduce  the  govern- 
ment's preemption  of  the  nation's  fi- 
ancial  resources  by  cutting  dramati- 
our  budget  deficit. 


ally 


We  have  also  moved  decisively  to- 
ward undoing  the  overregulation  of  our 
great  economy.  We  have  enacted  a  tax 
bill  which  will  enhance  capital  forma- 
tion and  improve  productivity.  More 
must  and  will  be  done,  but  the  prereq- 
uisites for  improved  economic  per- 
formance are  in  place. 

Recent  moves  in  the  dollar  exchange 
rates  have  not  only  exceeded  any  de- 
cline related  to  the  fundamental  factors 
but  plainly  are  hampering  progress  to- 
ward the  price  stability,  balance-of- 
payments  improvement,  and  enhanced 
climate  for  investment  and  growth 
which  these  measures  are  designed  to 
bring  about. 

The  time  has,  therefore,  come  to  call 
a  halt  to  these  developments.  At  the 
President's  direction,  Chairman  [of  the 
Federal  Reserve  Board  G.  William] 
Miller  and  I  are  today  announcing 
comprehensive  corrective  actions. 

Effective  immediately,  the  Federal 
Reserve  is  raising  the  discount  rate 
from  8V2  to  9'/2%  and  is  imposing  a 
supplementary  reserve  requirement 
equal  to  2  percentage  points  of  time 
deposits  of  $100,000  or  more. 

In  addition  to  domestic  measures 
being  taken  by  the  Federal  Reserve,  the 
United  States  will,  in  cooperation  with 
the  Governments  and  central  banks  of 
Germany  and  Japan,  and  the  Swiss  Na- 
tional Bank,  intervene  in  a  forceful  and 
coordinated  manner  in  the  amounts  re- 
quired to  correct  the  situation.  The 
United  States  has  arranged  facilities 
totaling  $30  billion  in  the  currencies  of 
these  three  countries,  which  will  fi- 
nance the  U.S.  contribution  to  the 
coordinated  market  intervention 
activities  of  the  four  participating 
countries. 

That  $30  billion  in  the  currencies  of 
these  three  countries  are  being  raised 
through  a  drawing  of  the  U.S.  reserve 
tranche  of  the  International  Monetary 
Fund;  through  the  sale  of  special 
drawing  rights  to  Germany,  Japan,  and 
Switzerland;  through  a  substantial  in- 
crease in  the  Federal  Reserve  swap 
lines  with  the  Bundesbank,  the  Bank  of 
Japan,  and  the  Swiss  National  Bank; 
and  through  our  intention  to  issue 
foreign  currency  denominated  securi- 
ties. Together,  this  will  make  up  the 
$30  billion  package. 

In  addition,  the  Treasury  will  in- 
crease its  gold  sales  to  at  least  IV2  mil- 
lion ounces  monthly,  beginning  in  De- 
cember. The  currency  mobilization 


measures  will  be  described  in  more 
detail,  and  Under  Secretary  Solomon  is 
here  to  answer  any  questions.2 

The  fact  is  that  the  foreign  exchange 
situation  that  this  program  is  designed 
to  correct  has  gotten  out  of  hand.  It 
must  end,  and  it  will  end.  The  dollar's 
deterioration  has  already  led  to  a  rise  in 
import  competitive  prices,  which  fur- 
ther fuels  inflation  and  perpetuates  a 
vicious  cycle.  And  the  image  of  the 
American  economy  and  its  leadership 
is  adversely  affected  by  this. 

We  feel  that  failure  to  act  now  would 
be  injurious  to  the  American  and  to  the 
world  economy.  Our  economy  is 
strong.  Steps  have  been  taken  to 
strengthen  it  further,  and  the  funda- 
mental economic  conditions  and 
growth  trends  in  the  four  nations  that 
are  a  party  to  this  agreement  are  mov- 
ing toward  a  better  international  bal- 
ance. 

Assisted  by  the  actions  we  have  now 
announced,  this  will  provide  an  im- 
proved framework  for  a  restoration  of 
more  stable  exchange  markets  and  the 
correction  of  the  recent  excessive  ex- 
change rate  movements.  □ 


1  Made  to  reporters  assembled  in  the  Briefing 
Room  at  the  While  House  (text  from  Weekly 
Compilation  of  Presidential  Documents  of  Nov. 
6.  1978). 

2Following  Secretary  Blumenthal's  remarks, 
Anthony  M.  Solomon,  Under  Secretary  of  the 
Treasury  for  Monetary  Affairs,  and  he  held  a 
news  conference  on  the  Treasury  Department 
and  Federal  Reserve  System  measures;  the  text 
of  this  news  conference  was  issued  as  a  White 
House  press  release  on  Nov.   1. 


Congressional 
Documents 


Department  of  Defense  Appropriations  for  Fis- 
cal Year  1978.  Report  of  the  committee  of 
conference  to  accompany  H.R.  7933.  H. 
Rept.  95-565.  Aug.  4,  1977.  57  pp. 

Canadian  Tax  Provisions  on  U.S.  Broadcast- 
ing. Report  of  the  Senate  Committee  on 
Foreign  Relations  to  accompany  S.  Res.  152. 
S.  Rept.  95-402.  Aug.  5,  1977.  3  pp. 

Customs  Procedural  Reform.  Report  of  the 
House  Committee  on  Ways  and  Means  to  ac- 
company H.R.  8149.  H.  Rept.  95-621.  Sept. 
23.  1977.  66  pp. 

Unlawful  Corporate  Payments  Act  of  1977. 
Report  of  the  House  Committee  on  Interstate 
and  Foreign  Commerce,  together  with  minor- 
ity views,  to  accompany  H.R.  3815.  H. 
Rept    95-640.  Sept.  28,  1977.  21  pp 

Increased  Funding  for  the  Reception  of  Foreign 
Dignitaries.  Report  of  the  Senate  Committee 
on  Foreign  Relations  to  accompany  S.  Res. 
278.  S.  Rept.  95-459.  Sept.  30,  1977. 
2  pp.  □ 


32 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


Managing  Economic  Problems 
in  the  industri€tUzed  Democracies 


by  Robert  D.  Hormats 

Address  before  the  third  U.S. -EC 
(European  Community)  Economic 
Journalists'  Conference  at  the  Airlie 
House  in  Virginia  on  September  9, 
1978.  Mr.  Hormats  is  Deputy  Assist- 
ant Secretary  for  Economic  and  Busi- 
ness Affairs . 

I  shall  try  in  this  discussion  to  cover 
three  related  sets  of  issues:  first,  recent 
underlying  trends  common  to  Western 
Europe  and  the  United  States;  second, 
a  few  of  the  major  economic  problems 
before  us;  and  third,  the  issue  of  lead- 
ership in  our  societies  and  in  the  world 
economy. 


Recent  Trends 

Without  attempting  to  be  exhaustive, 
I  would  suggest  three  trends  which 
contribute  to  the  complexity  of  con- 
temporary economic  problems. 

The  first  trend  relates  to  the  inten- 
sive push  and  pull  among  political 
pressures  which  has  resulted  in  a 
marked  change  in  the  economic 
characteristics  of  our  societies  in  recent 
years.  The  so-called  single-interest 
pressure  group  has  made  development 
of  a  national  consensus  especially  dif- 
ficult. A  certain  "refeudalization"  of 
politics  has  taken  place,  as 
individuals — perhaps  reacting  to  the 
bigness  and  distance  of  government — 
seek  to  amplify  their  voices  through 
participation  in  these  groups.  The  abil- 
ity of  governments  or  broad  political 
parties  to  balance  competing  interests 
and  aggregate  them  into  policies  which 
have  the  support  of  a  substantial  per- 
centage of  the  electorate  is  corre- 
spondingly diminished. 

The  industrialized  democracies,  in 
this  respect,  share  a  common  dilemma. 
On  the  one  hand  our  democratic  tradi- 
tion demands  that  our  institutions  be 
sensitive  to  a  wide  variety  of  interests. 
On  the  other  hand,  because  individuals 
increasingly  express  themselves  on 
many  issues  not  through  elected  district 
or  state  representatives  who  can  at  that 
level  aggregate  them  but  rather  as  part 
of  specifically  focused,  nationwide 
constituencies,  democratic  govern- 
ments find  it  difficult  to  formulate  and 
implement  broad  policies  which  serve 
the  long-term  national  interest. 

These  pressure  groups,  as  well  as  in- 
dividual citizens,  have  become  adept  in 


using  the  system — the  bureaucracies, 
regulatory  bodies,  the  legislatures,  and, 
most  strikingly,  the  courts — to  block  or 
at  least  substantially  delay  policies 
which  they  find  distasteful.  In  this 
post-Vietnam,  post-Watergate  era,  the 
political  dissent  of  the  1960's  has  been 
translated  into  the  economic  dissent  of 
the  1970's.  Thus,  while  we  have  be- 
come in  one  sense  more  democratized 
through  greater  access  to  the  instru- 
ments of  power,  we  have  in  another 
sense  become  considerably  less  so.  It 
has  become  difficult  to  mold,  or  even 
identify,  a  "will  of  the  majority"  and 
even  more  difficult  to  convince  indi- 
viduals and  groups  to  compromise 
with,  or  bend  to  meet,  the  democratic 
consensus. 

The  second  trend  relates  to  the  ends 
to  which  the  aforementioned  pressures 
are  directed.  The  economic  success  of 
the  industrialized  democracies  since 
World  War  II  has  resulted  in  new  types 
of  economic  demands  being  placed  on 
governments.  The  progress  of  the  last 
25  years — most  clearly  manifest  in  the 
dramatic  improvements  in  living  and 
working  conditions — has  brought  the 
average  American  and  European  a  life- 
style which  a  generation  ago  would 
have  been  considered  a  prerogative  of 
only  the  very  rich. 

Because  of  this  success,  the  em- 
phasis of  government  economic 
policies  appears  to  have  shifted.  In 
earlier  years  the  achievement  of  rapid 
economic  growth  was  a  strong  unifying 
objective  behind  which  broad  political 
coalitions  could  rally  and  to  which 
narrower  interests  were  generally  sub- 
ordinated. Today  the  goal  of  economic 
growth  is  often  indirectly  dominated  by 
social,  environmental,  and  distribu- 
tional goals.  I  stress  the  word  "indi- 
rectly" because,  except  for  a  relatively 
small  number  of  people  or  groups  op- 
posed to  further  economic  growth,  few 
want  to  believe  that  the  measures  they 
advocate  will  reduce  economic  growth. 
just  as  few  want  to  believe  that  the 
single  action  they  support  will  contrib- 
ute to  inflation.  But  many  actions  taken 
by  governments,  however  virtuous 
the  motive,  tend  cumulatively  to  reduce 
productivity,  place  a  drag  on  growth, 
and  contribute  to  inflationary 
pressures. 

These  same  social  and  equity  con- 
cerns lead  toward  policies  which  at- 
tempt to  minimize,  or  protect  citizens 
from,  risk — be  it  from  a  nuclear  reac- 


tor, the  noise  of  the  Concorde,  or  com- 
petition from  imports.  The  strong 
desire  to  preserve  what  we  have  fre- 
quently undermines  our  willingness  to 
accept  the  kinds  of  changes  which 
would  produce  greater  economic  well- 
being  in  the  long  run  but  with  painful 
adjustment  or  risk  to  certain  individuals 
or  groups.  The  trade-off  of  less  risk  for 
less  growth  may  be  entirely  appropriate 
in  many  circumstances.  Given,  how- 
ever, the  difficulty  of  identifying  the 
long-term  economic  costs  of  each 
risk-averting  decision  when  that  deci- 
sion is  made,  I  have  to  question 
whether  we  are  fully  conscious  of  the 
implications  of  this  trade-off. 

Economic  policymakers  must, 
therefore,  cope  with  a  growing  section 
of  the  population  which  is  interested  in 
preserving  the  status  quo  along  with 
another  substantial  portion  which  be- 
lieves that  improvements  in  the  quality 
of  life  are  costless — that  society  has 
little  need  to  make  hard  choices  or  set 
priorities  and  that  multiple  demands 
can  be  accommodated. 

The  third  trend,  which  follows  from 
the  first  two,  is  toward  greater  uncer- 
tainty and  a  consequent  lack  of  long- 
term  focus  in  government  policies.  The 
practical  economic  result  of  the  pres- 
sures I  have  identified  is  that  economic 
policy  tends  more  often  than  not  to  be 
erratic.  Leaders  frequently  adjust 
policies  to  accommodate  popular  sen- 
timent. New  legal  or  social  consid- 
erations are  constantly  being  injected 
into  our  economic  planning.  As  leaders 
or  institutions  attempt  to  satisfy  politi- 
cal or  social  sentiments  of  the  moment, 
they  tend  to  focus  less  on  the  longer 
term  problems  and  to  ignore  the 
cumulative  effects  of  their  actions. 

A  striking  example  of  this  trend  is 
found  in  the  many  new  sources  of  in- 
flation being  built  into  our  economies 
through  policies — many  to  be  sure  with 
considerable  merit — which  respond  to 
relatively  short-term  pressures.  The  in- 
hibiting effect  on  investment  in  new 
capacity  and  jobs  of  uncertainties  re- 
sulting from  frequent  changes  in  eco- 
nomic rules  is  another  good  example. 
In  addition  to  these  economic  costs 
there  is  also  a  political  cost.  While  the 
body  politic  demands  quick  responses 
to  current  pressures,  it  tends  to  judge 
leaders,  institutions,  and  systems 
primarily  by  their  ability  to  resolve 
longer  term  problems  such  as  inflation 
and  growth.  Thus,  there  may  be  an  in- 


» 


ecember  1978 


erse  correlation  between  efforts  to 
itisfy  short-term  political  pressures 
nd  long-term  political  support. 

lountertrends 

Let  me  punctuate  this  rather  pes- 
mistic  train  of  thought  by  identifying 
vo  developments  which  appear  to  be 
loving  in  the  opposite  direction,  to- 
ard  a  simplification  of  the  process  of 
:onomic  management. 

The  first  is  that  the  popular  senti- 
tent  for  an  increased  government  role 
1  economic  affairs  seems  to  have 
bated  on  both  sides  of  the  Atlantic. 
he  recent  economic  difficulties  ex- 
erienced  by  our  societies  have  brought 
bout  a  rethinking  of  the  proper  role  of 
overnment.  Large  budget  deficits, 
igh  taxes,  over-regulation,  and  doubts 
s  to  the  ability  of  the  government  to 
utguess  the  market  in  investment  pol- 
:y  have  created  sentiment  in  many 
uarters  for  a  reduction,  or  at  least  a 
andstill,  in  the  current  level  of  gov- 
"nment  intervention. 

In  Western  Europe  today,  we  see 
;ss  pressure  for  nationalization, 
rowing  disenchantment  with  state- 
wned  enterprises,  and  a  recognition  of 
le  need  for  a  revitalized  private  sec- 
>r.  In  a  recent  poll  in  the  United 
ingdom,  78%  of  those  questioned 
aid  they  were  opposed  to  further 
ationalization.  The  recent  liberaliza- 
on  measures  of  Prime  Minister  Barre 
l  France  imply  a  marked  change  in  at- 
tude  in  that  country.  Even  the  Italian 
ommunist  Party  has  recently  ex- 
ressed  disenchantment  with  state- 
wned  corporations.  In  the  United 
tates,  there  appear  to  be  strong  popu- 
ir  views  that  a  reduction  in  govern- 
lent  regulation  and  in  disincentives  to 
apital  formation  in  the  private  sector 
lay  well  help  stimulate  lagging  in- 
estment  and  reduce  inflation. 

The  second  countertrend  is  the 
reater  perception  of  several  national 
aders  of  the  political  as  well  as  the 
:onomic  benefits  of  establishing  and 
dhering  to  consistent  policy  direc- 
ons.  Leaders  who  have  adopted  con- 
sent economic  policies  have  gener- 
ted  renewed  public  confidence  in  their 
:adership  and  in  the  economic  systems 
ver  which  they  preside.  A  few  cases 
tand  out.  While  perhaps  greeted  with 
:ss  than  total  enthusiasm  initially,  the 
olicies  of  [President]  Giscard  and 
Prime  Minister]  Barre  have  generated 
rowing  public  confidence  both  be- 
ause  of  their  perceived  correctness 
nd  because  of  the  apparent  determina- 
on  of  the  French  leadership  to  adhere 
3  them.  The  policies  of  Prime  Minister 
.allaghan  and  Chancellor  [of  the  Ex- 
hequer]  Healey,  also  unpopular  in 


some  quarters  initially,  have  led  to  a 
long-term  strengthening  of  confidence 
in  Britain  and  important  improvements 
in  the  British  economy.  These  policies 
have  led  to  a  firming  of  economic  ac- 
tivity in  France  and  a  strong  recovery 
in  the  United  Kingdom.  Political  sta- 
bility in  both  countries  has  increased  as 
a  result. 

Four  Major  Economic  Issues 

Let  me  now  turn  to  several  issues 
which,  against  this  backdrop,  our 
societies  must  address  more  forcefully. 

Inflation.  While  concern  over  un- 
employment and  inflation  compete  for 
attention,  the  problem  of  inflation  ap- 
pears today  to  have  emerged  the  victor 
in  such  competition  in  the  United 
States  and,  I  believe,  in  many  countries 
of  Western  Europe.  The  problem  seems 
so  intractable,  it  affects  all  people  in 
any  society,  and  its  adverse  economic 
effects  tend  to  divide  Western 
societies.  The  middle  classes  who  find 
their  savings  eroded  and  their  lifestyles 
deteriorating  feel  that  the  rich  can  pro- 
tect themselves  while  the  poor  are  pro- 
tected by  government  welfare  pro- 
grams. This  attitude  puts  pressure  on 
programs  designed  to  benefit  lower  in- 
come groups. 

Many  of  the  causes  of  inflation  are 
built  into  our  economies  through 
legislation  and  regulation.  The  most 
frequently   advocated   prescription 


33 


credibility — needed  to  persuade  busi- 
ness to  hold  down  prices  and  labor  to 
hold  down  wage  demands — is  consid- 
erably reduced. 

Societies  will  from  time  to  time  in- 
evitably decide  for  entirely  appropriate 
reasons  to  take  actions  which  are  in- 
flationary. But  if  the  inflationary  trend 
is  to  be  reversed,  we  must  be  consid- 
erably more  judicious  about  the  selec- 
tion and  timing  of  such  actions.  As  a 
beginning,  we  should  strengthen  the 
presumption  against  measures  which 
increase  inflationary  pressures  and 
undertake  a  more  energetic  effort  to 
remove  previously  built-in  rigidities. 

While  such  an  approach  would  un- 
doubtedly be  burdensome  to  certain 
groups,  the  costs  would  be  smaller  for 
society  at  large  than  the  ultimate  costs 
of  inappropriate  actions  or  of  delaying 
appropriate  actions.  If  and  when  neces- 
sary, action  to  alleviate  the  costs  to  in- 
dividuals, such  as  protection  of  a  dying 
industry,  should  be  temporary  and 
should  aim  to  facilitate  adjustment 
rather  than  to  preserve  the  status  quo. 
Such  an  orientation  would  not  only  di- 
rectly reduce  inflation  but  would  also 
establish  a  longer  term  expectation  that 
inflation  will  decline.  I  am,  for  in- 
stance, struck  by  the  fact  that  Germany 
has  a  higher  rate  of  money  creation  and 
a  larger  budget  deficit  as  a  percentage 
of  GNP  than  the  United  States  at  the 
same  time  that  it  has  an  inflation  rate  of 
less  than  one-half  that  of  the  United 
States.   I  suspect  that  one  important 


Economic  policymakers  must  .  .  .  cope  with  a  growing  section  of  the 
population  which  is  interested  in  preserving  the  status  quo  along  with 
another  substantial  portion  which  believes  that  improvements  in  the 
quality  of  life  are  costless .... 


against  inflation,  however,  appears  to 
be  tighter  fiscal  and  monetary  policy. 
While  such  a  prescription  is  in  many 
cases  the  right  one,  it  frequently  tends 
to  divert  attention  from  the  need  for 
governments  to  be  considerably  more 
aware  of  the  inflationary  implications 
of  specific  decisions  in  such  areas  as 
environmental  protection,  health  and 
safety  regulations,  minimum  wages, 
agricultural  policy,  and  import  restric- 
tions. 

As  I  noted  earlier,  it  is  easy  to  argue 
that  any  given  policy  in  itself  is  not 
going  to  significantly  increase  infla- 
tion. But  tne  cumulative  impact  of 
small  individual  measures  can  indeed 
be  significant — and  has  been. 
Moreover,  as  a  result  of  this  accumula- 
tion of  measures,   governments' 


reason  for  this  good  performance  on 
inflation  results  from  widespread  ex- 
pectations on  the  part  of  the  citizenry 
that  the  German  Government  will  act  in 
noninflationary  ways,  that  labor  and 
business  will  act  in  a  similar  spirit,  and 
that  the  efforts  of  all  the  major  actors 
to  hold  down  inflation  will  be  mutually 
reinforcing. 

Energy.  The  second  critical  eco- 
nomic problem  we  need  to  address  is 
that  of  energy.  Our  ability  to  adapt  to 
the  new  global  energy  situation  through 
a  reduction  in  our  reliance  on  imported 
oil  is  critical  to  the  resumption  of  sus- 
tained economic  growth,  as  well  as  to 
our  political  and  security  interests.  We 
have  a  temporary  respite  because  of 
new  supplies  from  the  North  Sea  and 


34 

Alaska  and  slow  economic  growth  in 
many  countries.  It  is.  however,  no 
better  than  being  in  the  eye  of  a  hur- 
ricane. Unless  we  make  a  more  pur- 
poseful effort,  particularly  in  my  own 
country,  the  problem  can  only  worsen 
dramatically. 

While  efforts  to  increase  energy  pro- 
duction are  perhaps  the  most  important 
element  in  the  solution,  I  should  like  to 
focus  on  one  of  the  less  discussed 
elements — energy-saving  capital  in- 
vestment. We  are  seeing  some  reduc- 
tion in  the  ratio  of  energy  to  output  in 
our  economies.  Elementary  economics 
tells  us  that  as  energy  becomes  more 
expensive  we  should  begin  to  see  a 
substitution  of  labor  and  energy- 
efficient  capital  for  energy-intensive 
capital.  Recent  data  lead  to  the  conclu- 
sion that  this  substitution  is  beginning 
to  take  place.  Some  observers  suggest 


Youth  Unemployment.  A  third 
problem  is  youth  unemployment.  The 
figures  are  staggering.  In  the  OECD 
[Organization  for  Economic  Coopera- 
tion and  Development]  area  as  a  whole, 
unemployment  rates  for  those  between 
the  ages  of  15  and  24  are  on  average 
three  times  as  high  as  overall  un- 
employment rates.  The  unemployment 
rate  in  this  country  for  black  teenagers 
is  nearly  40%.  The  social  costs  of  this 
situation  are  enormous  because  un- 
employed young  people — especially 
blacks  and  other  groups  already 
disadvantaged — feel  they  have  no  place 
in  society,  fall  further  and  further  be- 
hind others  who  get  entry-level  jobs, 
and  come  to  altogether  reject  the  soci- 
ety that  spurned  them.  The  seeds  of 
rage  are  building  in  our  society  as  this 
rejected  group  becomes  larger. 

While  no  easy  answers  exist,   the 


The  leadership  of  the  industrial  democracies  is  today  more  interna- 
tional and  more  economically  experienced  than  at  perhaps  any  time  in 
this  century. 


that  this  is  at  least  part  of  the  explana- 
tion for  the  reduction  in  unemployment 
in  the  United  States. 

But  the  adjustment  to  date  has  only 
been  partial.  The  sharp  increase  in  oil 
prices  made  part  of  our  capital  stock 
obsolete,  causing  firms  to  idle  some  of 
their  most  energy-intensive  equipment. 
Productivity  fell  as  fewer  goods  were 
produced  by  the  same  number  of  work- 
ers, a  development  which,  along  with 
high  energy  cost  per  unit  of  output, 
contributed  to  inflation.  Increased  cap- 
ital costs  and  low-capacity  utilization 
were  holding  back  the  replacement  of 
obsolete  and  inefficient  capital.  Un- 
certainty about  energy  policies,  prices, 
supply  availability,  and  regulation  re- 
tards replacement  still  further. 

Although  higher  rates  of  economic 
growth  are  frequently  looked  at  in 
terms  of  the  short-term  oil  import 
costs,  the  long-term  economic  and 
energy  conservation  benefits  are  sig- 
nificant. Specifically  tax  and  energy 
policies  aimed  at  speedy  adjustment  of 
capital  stock  would  facilitate  increased 
investment  in  energy-efficient  equip- 
ment, thus  also  increasing  productivity 
and  employment  and  reducing  infla- 
tion. Also,  as  I  noted  earlier,  the  pri- 
vate sector  must  have  confidence  that 
government  policies  will  be  stable  and 
consistent  before  committing  invest- 
ment funds. 


problem  is  serious  enough  that  we 
should  reassess  many  aspects  of  our 
economies  which  have  long  been  taken 
for  granted  to  identify  solutions.  For 
instance,  many  countries,  in  pursuit  of 
their  social/economic  priorities,  have 
instituted  various  systems  of  taxes  on 
employment  which,  in  some  cases, 
may  be  counterproductive.  For  in- 
stance, in  attempting  to  assure 
adequate  retirement  and  other  benefits 
through  social  security  and  equitable 
wage  levels  through  the  minimum 
wage,  labor  costs  may  be  ratcheted  up 
to  the  point  that  they  reduce  employ- 
ment opportunities.  Similarly,  in- 
creasing job  security,  through  laws 
which  make  it  so  difficult  to  lay  off 
workers  that  firms  are  reluctant  to  hire 
new  ones,  can  similarly  frustrate  the 
specific  goals  these  programs  aim  to 
achieve. 

Adjustment  to  Imports  From  De- 
veloping Countries.  Fourth  is  the 
problem  of  adjustment  to  imports  from 
the  developing  countries.  Manufac- 
tured goods — both  labor  and  capital 
intensive — have  been  rapidly  replacing 
raw  materials  in  the  export  profiles  of 
the  more  advanced  developing  coun- 
tries. Since  1955  manufactured  goods 
as  a  share  of  developing  country  export 
earnings  have  expanded  from  10 '/<  to 
40%  and  significant  further  growth  is 
anticipated. 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

To  put  this  development  in  perspec- 
tive, roughly  23%  (nearly  $34  billion) 
of  total  U.S.  imports  in  1977  came 
from  non-OPEC  [Organization  of  Pe- 
troleum Exporting  Countries]  de- 
veloping countries.  The  comparable 
figure  for  Western  Europe  is  about 
10%.  Nonetheless,  concern  is  high  on 
both  sides  of  the  Atlantic  about  the  rate 
of  penetration  of  imports  in  key  sec- 
tors, provoking  charges  that  developing 
countries  have  an  "unfair  advantage" 
in  labor-intensive  manufacturing. 

To  better  understand  this  problem,  a 
few  facts  are  worth  noting.  First,  while 
imports  do,  admittedly,  displace  work- 
ers in  sensitive  industries,  the  amount 
of  displacement  is  considerably  smaller 
than  that  which  results  from  productiv- 
ity improvements,  competition,  and  in- 
dustrial consolidation  within  our  coun- 
tries. A  study  of  the  German  economy, 
for  instance,  has  shown  that,  in  the 
manufacturing  sector,  growth  of  pro- 
ductivity during  the  1962-75  period 
displaced  48  workers  for  every  one 
displaced  by  imports  from  developing 
countries.  The  fact  that  job  displace- 
ment resulting  from  productivity  im- 
provements leads  to  improved  con- 
sumer welfare  and  lower  rates  of 
inflation  is  clear.  Imports  do  likewise, 
although  their  displacement  effects  are 
more  noticeable  than  their  benefits. 

Second,  imports  from  developing 
countries  represent  only  a  small  portion 
of  total  supply  (imports  and  domestic 
production)  in  importing  countries. 
Even  in  the  area  of  clothing,  where  im- 
port penetration  has  been  rapid,  de- 
veloping countries  supplied  only  about 
7%  of  U.S.  consumption  in  1976,  up 
from  less  than  3%  in  1970.  In  other 
developed  countries  the  figures  are 
comparable. 

Third,  in  spite  of  the  rapid  growth  of 
imports  of  manufactures  from  de- 
veloping countries,  both  the  European 
Community  and  the  United  States  con- 
tinue to  run  large  surpluses  in  trade  in 
manufactured  goods  with  these  coun- 
tries. In  fact,  the  buoyancy  of  de- 
veloping country  economies,  made 
possible  by  substantial  borrowing  in 
international  capital  markets,  helped 
maintain  demand  for  developed  country 
products  during  the  last  recession.  To- 
gether the  developing  world  provides 
the  most  dynamic  market  for  our  ex- 
ports. In  this  decade,  for  example, 
sales  of  U.S.  goods  to  developing 
countries  grew  by  22%  per  year  as 
compared  to  15%  growth  in  U.S.  sales 
to  developed  countries.  Today  our 
manufactured  exports  to  the  less  de- 
veloped countries  exceed  our  combined 
manufactured  exports  to  Europe  and 
Japan.  A  restriction  on  imports  from 
developing  countries  is,  in  effect,  tan- 


He 


iia 


^December  1978 


35 


I'.amount  to  a  restriction  on  our  exports 
to  developing  countries. 

Fourth,  the  problem  has  taken  on  a 
Particularly  emotional  dimension  in 
lome  countries  in  Western  Europe. 
Many  Europeans  fear  that  Europe  will 
he  unable  to  compete  with  the  United 
Btates  in  future  growth  sectors  such  as 
■lomputers  and  aircraft  while  traditional 
■  apital-intensive  industries  such  as 
Jteel,  paper,  and  chemicals  will  con- 
linue  to  suffer  from  overcapacity,  and 
labor-intensive  industries  such  as  foot- 
J/ear,  consumer  electronics,  and  tex- 
tiles face  increased  competition  from 
lie  developing  nations. 

The  response  of  the  industrialized 
lemocracies  to  this  challenge  can  es- 
lentially  be  met  in  only  one  of  two 
l/ays — through  appropriate  adjustment 
r  through  increasing  protectionism, 
adjustment  will  entail   some  disloca- 
tions,  which   specific  groups   will 
learly,  and  in  their  view  legitimately, 
jasist.   Protectionist  measures  to  help 
itch  groups  may  enjoy  short-term  pop- 
larity  and  will  be   hard  for  govern- 
lents  to  resist.  We  may  not  notice  the 
onsequent  loss  of  high  wage  exports' 
obs  which  would  result  from  a  reduced 
1  bility  of  developing  countries  to  buy 
■om  us.  We  would  probably  think 
ven  less  about  the  jobs  that  could  have 
i  een  created  but  never  were  because 
j  'e  did  not  seize  the  opportunities 
'hich  appropriate  adjustment  and  trade 
xpansion  create.   Individuals  may 
rgue,  as  I  noted  earlier,  that  actions  to 
rotect  their  interests  will  have  only 
linor  inflationary  consequences  even 
lough  taken  together  they  contribute 
ignificantly  to  inflationary  pressures 
nd  expectations. 
The  alternative  path  is  what  has 
tome  to  be  known  as  positive  adjust- 
ment.  At  the  June  OECD  ministerial 
leeting  and  again  at  the  Bonn  summit 
■July   16-17]  the  industrial  countries 
/ent  beyond  their  pledge  of  previous 
fears  to  avoid  trade  restrictions.  They 
greed  on  guidelines  for  positive  ad- 
astment  which  recognize  that  defen- 
sive measures  designed  to  maintain 
ixisting  employment  or  to  preserve 
xisting  productive  capacity  in  ineffi- 
cient industries  tend  over  time  to  re- 
luce  productivity  and  to  inhibit  sus- 
lined  noninflationary  growth. 
The  OECD  countries  agreed  that  a 
jjiore  positive  approach   should  be 
>ased,  to  the  extent  possible,  on  market 
Morces  to  encourage  the  movement  of 
(abor  and  capital  to  their  most  produc- 
ive  uses.  In  those  rare  cases  where 
Protective  actions  can  be  justified,  the 
ctions  are  to  be  temporary,  progres- 
ively  reduced,  and  linked  to  plans  to 
ihase  out  obsolete  capacity.  Emphasis 
s  to  be  placed  on  positive  measures 


such  as  training,  improved  labor  mo- 
bility, and  work  replacement  in  order 
to  facilitate  adjustment  to  shifting  de- 
mands, technological  progress,  and 
changing  patterns  of  trade. 

The  concept  of  positive  adjustment  is 
unlikely  to  take  firm  root  in  developed 
countries  unless  similar  actions  are  un- 
dertaken by  developing  countries.  It  is 
difficult  to  ask  the  citizens  of  the  in- 
dustrialized countries  to  undertake 
painful  structural  adjustments  which 
provide  new  export  opportunities  to  the 
developing  countries  unless  the  latter 
are  also  willing  to  open  up  their  mar- 
kets. A  number  of  developing  countries 
which  have  been  particularly  successful 
as  exporters  unnecessarily  restrict  im- 
ports. This  feeds  pressures  for  protec- 
tionism in  developed  countries  and  dis- 
courages positive  adjustment.  It  is  also 
very  much  in  the  interests  of  develop- 
ing countries  to  rationalize  their  own 
domestic  policies.  Those  that  have,  for 
instance,  adopted  appropriate  exchange 
rate  policies,  undertaken  rational  pric- 
ing policies,  and  directed  resources  to 
industries  that  have  a  comparative  ad- 
vantage are  the  more  efficient  and 
dynamic  international  competitors. 


Politics  of  the  World  Economy 

Let  me  now  turn  briefly  to  the  poli- 
tics of  international  economics.  Shared 
responsibility  for  the  management  of 
the  international  economy  is  increas- 
ingly important  as  domestic  economic 
management  becomes  more  and  more 
dependent  on  the  world  economy  and 
vice  versa.  The  Bonn  summit  under- 
scored the  emergence  of  Germany  and 
Japan  as  countries  willing  to  play  a 
greater  leadership  role  in  the  world 
economy.  While  we  tend  today  to  as- 
sume that  our  countries  will  cooperate 
in  difficult  economic  situations,  that 
was  not  always  the  case.  During  the 
interwar  period,  leaders  of  many  major 
economic  powers  attempted  to  solve 
their  domestic  problems  at  the  expense 
of  other  countries. 

Seated  around  the  table  in  Bonn, 
however,  were  a  group  of  leaders  much 
more  cognizant  of  the  interests  they 
shared  because  they  had  recognized  the 
cost  of  unilateral  actions  in  an  interde- 
pendent world  and  the  critical  impact 
of  the  international  economy  on  their 
own  nation's  economic  well-being. 
None  of  these  leaders,  I  believe,  has 
illusions  that  his  country  could  achieve 
prosperity  at  the  expense  of  others.  All 
of  the  leaders  projected  an  economic 
sophistication  and  expertise  resulting 
from  the  experience  which  heads  of 
state  and  government  have  accumulated 
through  the  joint  debate  of  difficult 


economic  issues.  The  leadership  of  the 
industrial  democracies  is  today  more 
international  and  more  economically 
experienced  than  at  perhaps  any  time  in 
this  century. 

Another  element  which  contributes 
to  the  strengthening  of  shared  respon- 
sibility, and  which  is  too  often  taken 
for  granted,  is  the  existence  of  the 
European  Community.  Imagine,  if  you 
will,  the  difficulties  of  managing  recent 
events  if  there  were  no  Community  and 
individual  European  countries  went  off 
in  different  directions  or  worked  at 
cross-purposes.  The  framework  of  the 
Community  imposes  a  requirement  to 
work  out  common  or  relatively  consist- 
ent policies.  While  that  effort  is  not 
entirely  without  friction,  the  degree  of 
difficulty  is  minor  compared  with  the 
trials  of  managing  differences  in  the 
absence  of  the  Community.  Although 
Americans  from  time  to  time  complain 
about  Community  policy  in  one  area  or 
another,  there  is  little  doubt  that  eco- 
nomic cooperation  within  Europe  gives 
a  desirable  consistency  and  stability  to 
U.S.  economic  relations  with  Europe. 

Our  Atlantic  economic  relationship 
is  only  one  dimension  of  the  global 
economy.  Both  the  European  Commu- 
nity and  the  United  States  have  an  in- 
creasingly dynamic  economic  relation- 
ship with  Japan.  While  Japan  has  long 
been  content  to  simply  react  to  events 
in  the  world  economy,  we  are  now 
seeing  a  greater  willingness  on  the  part 
of  Japan  to  assert  its  interests.  Al- 
though it  is  not  easy  to  break  the  pat- 
tern of  hundreds  of  years,  Japanese 
leaders  are  making  the  effort  to  open 
up  Japan's  relatively  closed  economy. 
In  the  area  of  trade,  Japan  has  come  a 
long  way  in  the  direction  of  liberalizing 
imports.  And  while  more  progress  is 
called  for  in  some  areas,  Japan  has 
moved  in  directions  more  comparable 
with  the  open  economy  so  essential  to 
its  long-term  prosperity  and  to  dispel 
criticism  that  it  enjoys  access  to  other 
markets  while  unfairly  impeding  access 
to  its  own.  The  process  will  not  be 
furthered  by  the  strident  criticism  or 
demands  for  punitive  action  all  too 
often  heard  in  some  quarters  of  Europe 
and  the  United  States.  The  strongest 
possible  collaboration  among  the  Euro- 
pean Community,  Japan,  and  the 
United  States  is  a  prerequisite  for  a 
prosperous  and  orderly  world  economy 
in  coming  years. 

We  must  also  deal  with  an  increas- 
ingly assertive  Third  World.  Only  at 
our  peril  can  we  avoid  including  the 
major  OPEC  and  Third  World  trading 
nations  in  important  global  decisions. 
Patterns  of  cooperation  between  de- 
veloped and  developing  countries  are 
less  advanced  than  those  which  have 


36 


EUROPE:        Armaments 
Cooperation  in  WAT© 


by  Warren  Christopher 

Statement  before  the  Special  Sub- 
committee on  Standardization.  In- 
teroperability and  Readiness  of  the 
House  Aimed  Services  Committee  on 
October  10,  1978.  Mr.  Christopher  is 
Deputy  Secretary  of  State.  ' 

I  am  here  today  to  talk  about  how  we 
can  improve  armaments  cooperation  in 
NATO.  This  goal  is  one  of  the  al- 
liance's most  compelling,  urgent  needs 
but  also  one  that  is  perhaps  least  sus- 
ceptible to  any  easy,  early  solution. 

The  United  States  has  long  supported 
solidly  our  European  allies'  effort  to 
integrate  their  defense  within  NATO 
more  effectively.  A  better  integrated 
European  defense  will  help  sustain  the 
credibility  of  NATO's  deterrence  and 
defense  as  a  whole.  It  will  bring  a  more 
efficient  use  of  resources.  It  will  also 
result  in  a  more  equitable  sharing  of  the 
North  Atlantic  community's  defense 
development  between  Europe  and 
North  America. 


For  these  reasons,  the  United  States 
has  consistently  encouraged  the  slow 
but  steady  growth  in  Europe's  propen- 
sity to  do  more  for  itself  in  defense  and 
to  do  so  in  a  more  coordinated  fashion. 

•  In  1968  we  applauded  when  10 
European  allies  organized  the  Euro- 
group,  a  framework  from  within  which 
they  could  evolve  more  integrated  ap- 
proaches to  defense  as  well  as  make 
headway  on  specific  weapons  de- 
velopments. 

•  In  1970  we  welcomed  the  Euro- 
group's  European  Defense  Improve- 
ment Program,  a  $1  billion,  5-year 
commitment  aimed  chiefly  at 
strengthening  NATO  infrastructure  and 
undertaking  additional  national  force 
improvements. 

•  Over  the  past  decade,  we  have 
commended  the  Eurogroup's  continu- 
ing efforts  to  coordinate  more  closely 
on  specific  aspects  of  defense,  includ- 
ing tactical  warfare  doctrine,  arma- 
ments planning,  logistics,  tactical 
communications,  and  military  training. 


Industrialized  Democracies  (Cont'd) 

been  nurtured  for  years  among  de- 
veloped countries  in  the  OECD  and 
elsewhere.  We  must,  therefore,  fashion 
new  modes  of  consultation  to  insure 
that  we  better  understand  the  percep- 
tions of  developing  countries,  that  they 
better  understand  our  own  perceptions, 
and  that  common  objectives  can  be 
more  easily  identified  and  pursued. 


Conclusion 

The  industrialized  democracies  have 
gone  through  an  extremely  difficult 
period.  During  this  period  we  have 
managed  not  simply  to  avoid  a  de- 
terioration in  international  economic 
cooperation,  but  to  actually  strengthen 
it  significantly.  Greater  cooperation 
among  senior  monetary  officials,  more 
extensive  use  of  the  OECD,  the  crea- 
tion of  the  International  Energy 
Agency,  and  the  institution  of  eco- 
nomic summitry  are  four  important 
examples  of  such  improved  coopera- 
tion. 

We  have  also  begun  to  adopt  our 
domestic  policies  to  meet  new  demands 
and  new  conditions.   While   in   many 


cases  far  greater  effort  is  necessary — in 
the  areas  I  have  mentioned  and 
others — progress  has  been  made  in  in- 
creasing growth,  lowering  rates  of  in- 
flation, and  reducing  payments  imbal- 
ances between  OPEC  and  non-OPEC 
countries.  In  addition,  our  societies 
have  continued  to  press  forward  the 
frontiers  of  modern  technology  in  such 
areas  of  solar  energy,  computers,  and 
genetic  research.  We  continue  to  set 
the  standards  for  human  rights,  for  re- 
spect for  the  dignity  of  the  individual, 
and  for  the  free  competition  of  ideas. 

It  is  important  to  remember  that 
while  our  societies  clearly  have  prob- 
lems, we  have  also  demonstrated  resil- 
iency and  a  capacity  for  self- 
correction.  In  a  world  trying  to 
improve  the  quality  of  life  for  all  man- 
kind, to  solve  major  technological 
problems,  and  to  achieve  sustained 
prosperity,  it  is  the  industrialized  de- 
mocracies which  have  demonstrated 
repeatedly  that  they  can  find  the  an- 
swers. Given  effective  and  purposeful 
leadership  and  cooperation,  a  greater 
understanding  of  the  interrelationships 
among  the  various  problems  we  face 
and  a  clearer  policy  focus  on  our 
priorities,  our  societies  will  continue  to 
be  the  source  of  answers.  □ 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

•  We  welcomed  the  organization  of 
the  Independent  European  Program 
Group  (IEPG)  in  1976,  whose  purpose 
is  to  rationalize  its  members'  frag- 
mented defense  industry.  The  Presi- 
dent, as  part  of  his  May  1977  NATO 
summit  call  for  better  NATO  arms 
cooperation,  lauded  this  European  ini- 
tiative and  urged  a  dialogue  between 
the  IEPG  and  North  America,  which^ 
has  since  begun. 

One  of  the  most  important  means 
through  which  the  United  States  can 
support  European  defense  integration  is 
NATO  standardization  and  interopera- 
bility. It  is  responsive  to  our  European 
allies'  determination  to  provide  more 
of  their  defense  equipment  out  of  theii 
own  laboratories,  factories,  and  man- 
power. At  the  same  time,  their  growing 
proclivity  to  rely  more  on  themselves 
will  require,  we  believe,  some  adjust- 
ment in  the  ways  we  have  pursuec 
NATO  standardization  and  interopera- 
bility in  the  past.  There  is  sufficient 
reason  to  conclude,  however,  that  the 
prospective  gains  for  the  United  States 
in  terms  of  a  stronger  NATO  defense  al 
an  affordable  cost  are  well  worth  the 
accommodations  that  are  needed. 

The  U.S.  commitment  to  NATC 
standardization  and  interoperability  has 
been  reaffirmed  by  every  U.S.  Admin- 
istration over  the  nearly  three  decade; 
of  the  alliance's  existence.  Presideni 
Carter  made  it  one  of  the  three  majoi 
defense  initiatives  he  launched  at  the 
May  1977  London  NATO  summit.  Oui 
allies  endorsed  his  proposal  solidly. 
Even  before  that  summit,  the  Congress 
had  put  itself  squarely  behind  this  ef- 
fort with  the  Culver-Nunn  amendment 
of  1976,  which  endorsed  as  U.S.  policy 
the  proposition  that  the  defense  equip- 
ment we  procure  for  our  forces'  use  in 
Europe  should  be  standardized  or  at 
least  interoperable  with  that  of  other 
NATO  forces. 

Pursuing  a  More  Equal  Partnership 

Let  me  now  explore  with  you  some 
of  the  ways  in  which  our  European  al- 
lies are  moving  toward  greater  self- 
reliance  in  weapons  development  and 
production  and  are  asking  us  for  a  more 
equal  partnership  in  arms  cooperation. 

•  The  Europeans  are  no  longer  will- 
ing to  buy  their  defense  equipment— 
and  particularly  major  weapons 
systems — solely  through  off-the-shelf 
procurement  from  us  or  to  act  merely 
as  subcontractors  to  U.S.  firms. 

•  The  Europeans  instead  want  to 
participate  increasingly  in  the  de- 
velopment and  production  of  weapons 
for  their  own  use  and  to  sell  these  in  a 
wider  NATO  market  and  in  the  Third 


Dw 


m\ 
op 

fjs 
101 

ie 

10! 


(hi 
on 

M 
1 

scl 
11 
he 
hei 
q 
iro 
re; 


hi 


: 


toecember  1978 

IVorld  as  well.  They  want  to  achieve 
Ireater  national  self-sufficiency  in 
weapons  development  and  production, 
lo  preserve  their  defense  technology 
lase,  and  to  provide  employment. 
|  •  Our  European  allies  have  made  a 
Itrong  start  in  this  direction.  They  now 
'ire  able  to  develop  and  produce  a  wide 
lange  of  military  equipment,  including 
|igh-technology  items.  They  clearly 
lossess  first-class  technology  in  some 
Ireas  and  are  competitive  in  quality  in 
Ithers.  Over  the  past  10  years  they 
ja\e  turned  increasingly  to  multina- 
tional European  and  consortia  arrange- 
ments for  high-cost  weapons  systems. 
fhis  not  only  has  strengthened  their 
l;chnological  base  but  also — through 
langer  production  lines — has  lowered 
Ineir  unit  costs.  One  consequence  of 
riese  developments  has  been  decreas- 
ing allied  dependence  on  U.S.- 
Iroduced  equipment,  paralleled  by  in- 
creasing allied  purchases  of  nationally 

r   consortium-developed   European 

quipment. 

'■  •  The  Europeans  want  to  reduce  the 
Inbalance  in  their  defense  equipment 
lade  with  the  United  States,  which 
low  runs  heavily  against  them.  The 
i  resident  has  said  that  we  must  be 

ill ing  to  promote  a  genuine  two-way 
nansatlantic  trade  in  defense  equip- 
ment. We  are  looking  for  more  cost- 
Bffective  European  defense  equipment. 

ut  we  also  believe  that  the  pursuit  of  a 
•  lore  "two-way  street"  must  be  kept 

jbordinate  to  the  basic  objective  of 
llATO  arms  cooperation — a  stronger 
j»[ATO  militarily  at  an  affordable  cost 
!  1  resources. 

•  Our  European  allies  are  showing 

eightened  sensitivity  in  arms  coopera- 
I'On  to  what  sometimes  seems  to  them 
1}  be  U.S.   infringements  of  their 

Dvereignty.  Some  of  our  contracting 
tnd  auditing  procedures  designed  for 
iealing  with   private  industry  rankle 

fficial  European  sensitivities. 


37 


Secretary  Vance 
Visits  Moscow 

Following  his  trips  to  Pretoria  and 
Geneva,  Secretary  Vance  visited  Mos- 
low  October  21-24,  1978,  to  discuss 
|he  SALT  treaty  negotiations  with 

loviet  officials,  including  President 
•Jrezhnev    and    Foreign    Minister 

jromyko.  For  the  text  of  an  exchange 

if  luncheon  toasts  between  the  Secre- 
tory and  the  Foreign  Minister  on  Oc- 

ober  23,  see  press  release  398.  Secre- 
tary  Vance  returned  to  Washington 

)ctober  25.  D 


As  I  indicated  above,  this  European 
propensity  for  greater  self-reliance  in 
weapons  development  and  production 
supports  several  of  our  own  NATO 
objectives. 

•  A  more  advanced  European  de- 
fense technology  can  mean  preserva- 
tion of  our  qualitative  weapons  lead 
over  the  Warsaw  Pact  and  more  equita- 
ble sharing  of  the  costly  research  and 
development  burden. 

•  A  better  integrated,  more  efficient 
European  defense  production  base  can 
mean  improved  European  equipment  at 
lower  unit  costs  and  greater  stand- 
ardization of  weapons. 

As  I  also  indicated,  however,  the 
changing  European  disposition  will  re- 
quire some  adjustment  in  the  way  we 
pursue  NATO  standardization  and  in- 
teroperability. Essentially,  we  believe 
we  need  the  more  shared  approach  that 
is  present  in  the  main  lines  of  our  pol- 
icy on  NATO  arms  cooperation  — 
codevelopment.  coproduction,  and  re- 
duced defense  trade  obstacles.  The 
Congress,  in  the  Culver-Nunn  amend- 
ment of  1976,  recognized  we  should 
move  in  this  direction  when  it  endorsed 
a  greater  reliance  on  licensing  and 
coproduction  agreements  among  NATO 
members. 

If,  on  the  other  hand,  we  were  to 
refuse  a  more  shared  approach,  our 
European  allies'  reaction  would  likely 
be  to  proceed  on  their  own.  They  are 
acquiring  the  capability  to  do  so,  and 
they  have  the  will  to  use  it.  This  could 
mean  gradual  shrinkage  in  the  NATO 
market  for  U.S.  weapons  systems, 
sharpening  competition  in  third-country 
markets  for  U.S.  defense  equipment, 
and  proliferation  of  destandardized 
weaponry  in  the  alliance. 

We  are  confident  that  the  main  lines 
of  the  Administration's  approach  to 
NATO  standardization  and  interopera- 
bility are  an  effective  response  to  the 
European  trend  toward  self-reliance  in 
defense  equipment.  However,  we  have 
much  left  yet  to  do  to  implement  this 
approach,  and  this  we  must  do  in  close 
consultation  with  the  Congress  and  in 
discussions  with  U.S.  business  and 
labor. 

Several  other  basic  considerations 
impinge  on  how  the  Administration 
intends  to  move  ahead  with  this  ap- 
proach. 

•  The  United  States,  as  the  major 
member  of  the  alliance,  must  take  the 
lead  in  NATO  in  adjusting  the  ap- 
proach. This  is  not  only  because  it  is 
we  who  are  responding  to  a  changing 
European  disposition.  Probably  more 
importantly,  only  we  have  the  capabil- 
ity to  do  so  because  of  our  strong 


Letter 
of  Credence 


On  November  16,  1978,  Nicolae 
Ionescu  presented  his  credentials  to 
President  Carter  as  the  newly  appointed 
Ambassador  from  Romania.  □ 


advantage  in  defense  technology  and 
production  technique.  In  addition,  our 
allies  look  to  us  to  take  the  initiative  in 
this,  as  in  many  other  areas  in  the  al- 
liance. The  question  therefore,  I  think, 
is  not  whether  we  lead  but  how. 

•  We  must  approach  the  task  with 
caution  and  mindful  of  our  own  legiti- 
mate interests  that  are  at  stake.  NATO 
arms  cooperation  is  enormously  com- 
plex. There  are  no  quick  answers  or 
panaceas.  We  recognize  fully  that  arms 
cooperation  in  NATO  involves  not  only 
a  deep  mutuality  of  national  security, 
economic,  and  political  interests  but 
also  some  conflict  of  national  commer- 
cial interests.  The  job  before  us  is  to 
see  if  we  can  work  out  with  our  allies 
adjustments  in  our  modes  of  arms 
cooperation  that  will  satisfy  the  vital 
security  and  economic  interests  we 
have  in  common,  while  keeping  the 
competitive  commercial  interests 
within  the  acceptable  bounds  of  crea- 
tive free  enterprise.  We  intend  to  pro- 
ceed with  all  due  care  in  exploring  with 
allies  the  possibilities  for  needed  alter- 
ations in  our  existing  approach. 

•  Precisely  because  these  basic  U.S. 
interests  are  at  stake,  the  Administra- 
tion intends  to  work  closely  with  the 
Congress  as  we  discuss  this  approach 
with  NATO  allies.  We  are  aware  of  the 
apprehensions  felt  by  Members  of 
Congress  on  particular  aspects  of  this 
approach.  We  recognize  the  concerns 
of  our  industry  and  labor  leaders  over 
what  some  elements  of  this  approach 
might  mean  for  the  U.S.  lead  in  de- 
fense technology  and  for  U.S.  business 
and  jobs.  For  these  reasons,  we  plan  to 
intensify  our  discussions  with  the  Con- 
gress and  with  U.S.  industry  and  labor, 
looking  toward  a  new  consensus  that 
would  support  the  main  lines  of  the 
Administration's  policy  on  improved 
NATO  arms  cooperation. 


U.S.  Approach 

The  following  are  the  main  lines  of 
the  Administration's  approach  to 
NATO  standardization  and  interopera- 
bility. Secretary  Brown  discussed  them 
with  you  here  on  September  21  from 


38 

the  standpoint  of  the  Defense  Depart- 
ment. I  will  review  them  briefly  from 
the  standpoint  of  the  State  Department. 
I  will  focus  on  those  aspects  that  deal 
with  three  basic  problems  in  arms 
cooperation  —  weapons  selection, 
weapons  development,  and  weapons 
production  and  sales.  These  are  also 


aspects  that  the  State  Department  is  the 
most  concerned  with,  given  our  re- 
sponsibility toward  U.S.  foreign  and 
security  policy  and  our  obligations 
under  the  relevant  statutes  and  regula- 
tions. 

We  want  to  be  able  ourselves  to 


I  '.#.  Military  Cooperation 
With  Turkey 


PRESIDENT'S  STATEMENT, 
SEPT. 26 ' 

I  am  pleased  to  be  able  to  take  the 
action  authorized  by  the  International 
Security  Assistance  Act  to  fully  termi- 
nate the  force  and  effect  of  the  em- 
bargo on  arms  transfers  to  Turkey. 

The  nation  is  well  served  by  the  pru- 
dent decision  of  Congress  which  makes 
this  action  possible.  With  the  removal 
of  these  restrictions,  the  United  States 
will  be  better  able  to  accomplish  its 
goals  in  the  vital  eastern  Mediterranean 
region:  to  improve  our  bilateral  re- 
lationships with  Greece,  Turkey,  and 
Cyprus;  to  strengthen  NATO's  south- 
ern flank;  and  to  help  promote  a  just 
and  lasting  settlement  of  the  Cyprus 
problem.  In  this  effort  to  encourage  the 
restoration  of  a  stable  and  peaceful  at- 
mosphere in  the  eastern  Mediterranean, 
we  will  be  fully  guided  by  the  princi- 
ples set  forth  in  the  act. 

This  action  will  enable  us  to  resume 
full  military  cooperation  with  Turkey 
and  begin  a  new  chapter  in  our  re- 
lationship with  Turkey.  This  relation- 
ship is  important  not  only  because  of 
our  mutual  security  concerns  but  also 
because  of  our  shared  commitment  to 
democracy. 


PRESIDENT'S  MEMORANDUM 
TO  THE  SECRETARY  OF  STATE, 
SEPT. 26 2 

Subject:  Determination  and  Certification  Under 
the   International    Security    Assistance    Act    of 

1978    Regarding   Resumption   of   Full    Military 
Cooperation  With  Turkey 

Pursuant    to   the   authority    vested    in   me   by 
Section  13(a)  of  the  International  Security  As 
sistance   Act  of   1978.   I   hereby  determine  and 
certify: 

(1)  that  the  resumption  of  full  military  coop- 
eration with  Turkey  is  in  the  national  interest  of 
the  United  States  and  in  the  interest  of  the 
North  Atlantic  Treaty  Organization;  and 


(2)  that  the  Government  of  Turkey  is  acting 
in  good  faith  to  achieve  a  just  and  peaceful 
settlement  of  the  Cyprus  problem,  the  early 
peaceable  return  of  refugees  to  their  homes  and 
properties,  and  continued  removal  of  Turkish 
military  troops  from  Cyprus  in  the  context  of  a 
solution  to  the  Cyprus  problem,  and  the  early- 
serious  resumption  of  inter-communal  talks 
aimed  at  a  just,  negotiated  settlement. 

You  are  requested  on  my  behalf  to  report  this 
determination  and  certification  to  the  Congress. 

This  determination  and  certification  shall  be 
published  in  the  Federal  Register. 

Jimmy  Carter 


DEPARTMENT  STATEMENT, 
OCTOBER  5 3 

We  welcome  the  announcement  by 
the  Turkish  Government  on  October  4 
that  will  allow  for  the  deactivation  of 
the  U.S.  installations  in  Turkey  where 
some  activities  have  been  suspended 
since  July  25,  1975.  These  installations 
will  be  operated  under  transitional  ar- 
rangements, pending  the  conclusion  of 
negotiations  between  our  two  govern- 
ments for  permanent  new  arrangements 
governing  the  installations. 

These  negotiations  are  expected  to 
commence  in  the  near  future.  This  ac- 
tion, following  that  of  the  President  in 
late  September  when  he  signed  the 
1978  International  Security  Assistance 
Act  and  issued  a  certification  ending  all 
remaining  restrictions  on  arms  transfers 
to  Turkey,  indicate  that  both  we  and 
the  Government  of  Turkey  are  moving 
promptly  to  rebuild  our  bilateral  re- 
lationship and  to  open  up  new  possi- 
bilities of  cooperation.  □ 


'Made  on  signing  S.  3075  into  law.  As 
enacted,  S.  3075  is  Public  Law  95-384.  ap- 
proved Sept.  26,  1978  (text  from  Weekly  Com- 
pilation of  Presidential  Documents  of  Oct    2). 

2  Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Oct.  2. 

'Read  to  news  correspondents  by  acting  De- 
partment spokesman  Tom  Reston. 


ibi 


Ai 


n 


<H 


OP 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

consider — and  to  have  our  NATO 
allies  consider — the  selection  of  al- 
ternative new  weapons  systems  on 
their  merits.  In  this  way,  we  can  im- 
prove the  quality  of  weapons  available 
to  our  own  forces,  as  well  as  to  the  al- 
liance as  a  whole.  To  do  this,  we  need 
to  reduce  and  remove  many  of  the  ob- 
stacles to  the  exchange  of  information 
on  weapons  needs,  to  more  competitive 
research  and  development,  and  to 
weapons  acquisition.  The  Congress  has 
already  given  us  major  support  on  this 
in  the  Culver-Nunn  amendment  of  1976 
authorizing  the  Secretary  of  Defense  tc 
waive  the  "buy  American"  restriction 
on  the  procurement  of  defense  equip- 
ment abroad. 

Based  on  this,  the  executive  branch 
is  negotiating  bilateral  defense  pro- 
curement memoranda  of  understanding 
with  NATO  allies  to  remove  such  ob- 
stacles. Additionally,  in  our  transat- 
lantic dialogue  with  the  Independem 
European  Program  Group,  we  are  dis- 
cussing the  reciprocal  reduction  ol 
certain  defense  trade  obstacles.  The 
State  Department  has  worked  closely 
with  the  Defense  Department  in  the 
negotiation  of  these  defense  procure- 
ment memoranda  of  understanding  anc 
in  the  development  of  the  transatlantic  sp 
dialogue. 

Finally,  a  complementary  means  b; 
which  we  are  trying  to  improve  the  waj 
in  which  NATO  selects  its  weapons  i: 
the  development  of  a  NATO  long-range 
arms  planning  system.  To  the  exten 
that  alliance  members  can  coordinate 
with  each  other  on  the  definition  o: 
NATO  military  requirements  and  the 
weapons  needed  10-15  years  hence  tc 
fill  these  requirements,  NATO  will  be 
able  to  rationalize  and  standardize  its 
defense  equipment. 


We  must  move  forward  on  a  more 
cooperative  approach  to  the  full-scalt 
development  and  engineering  of  new 
major  weapons  systems.  By  limiting 
unproductive  duplication  of  the  high 
costs  that  are  incurred  at  this  stage,  we 
can  free  funds  and  technical  talent  on 
both  sides  of  the  Atlantic  for  the  de- 
velopment of  other  weapons  systems 
and  can  make  more  efficient  use  of  the 
wealth  of  scientific  and  technical 
capacity  that  is  one  of  the  alliance's 
major  strengths.  One  important  means 
is  the  family-of-weapons  concept, 
through  which  we  can  promote  a  more 
rational  transatlantic  division  of  labor 
in  the  development  of  interrelated 
weapons  systems,  such  as  antiarmor 
weapons,  air-to-ground  weapons,  naval 
mines,  and  antiship  missiles. 

The  State  Department  is  working 
closely  with  the  Defense  Department  in 
formulating   the   family-of-weapons 


ft 


It 


December  1978 

J  concept  as  a  more  effective  method  by 
which  to  develop  major  weapons  coop- 
eration in  NATO.  Our  two  Depart- 
ments have  considered  carefully  the 
implications  of  the  weapons-family 
concept  for  our  laws  and  policies  on 
third-country  sales  and  technology 
transfer.  The  State  Department  has 
agreed  that  the  Defense  Department 
should  begin  negotiations  with  NATO 
allies  on  the  weapons-family  approach. 
Weapons  codevelopment,  like  co- 
production  and  sales,  involves  the 
transfer  of  defense  technology.  The 
Administration's  policy  is  to  protect 
our  technological  superiority  over  our 
adversaries,  at  the  same  time  that  we 
insure  that  the  alliance  has  the  best 
equipment  available.  Our  approach, 
therefore,  is  to  weigh  these  risks  and 
opportunities  on  a  case-by-case  basis. 

We  need  production  lines  on  both 
sides  of  the  Atlantic  in  some 
cases — "dual  production"  as  Secre- 
tary of  Defense  Harold  Brown  has 
called  them  —  to  manufacture  the 
NATO  defense  equipment  developed 
cooperatively  among  allies.  The  Con- 
gress itself,  as  I  noted  above,  has  rec- 
ognized the  need  for  this.  It  will  re- 
spond to  European  allies'  aversion  to 
continue  to  buy  the  bulk  of  its  major 
weapons  from  off  the  U.S.  shelf. 
Coproduction  will  reduce  their  foreign 
exchange  outlays,  provide  employ- 
ment, and  strengthen  their  defense 
technology  and  production  base. 

To  date,  most  NATO  coproduction 
projects  have  involved  Europe's  man- 
ufacture of  U.S. -developed  weapons, 
although  we  also  have  more  recent 
examples  of  the  reciprocal,  such  as  the 
French-German  developed  Roland  air 
defense  missile.  As  Harold  Brown 
mentioned  to  you,  coproduction  ar- 
rangements could  also  include  weapons 
which  NATO  could  codevelop  under 
the  family-of- weapons  concept. 

To  move  ahead  in  the  increased  use 
of  coproduction,  we  must  harmonize 
U.S.  policies  and  practices  as  regards 
NATO  standardization,  on  the  one 
hand,  and  conventional  arms  transfer 
restraint  on  the  other.  Under  the  Presi- 
dent's policy  on  arms  transfers,  be- 
cause of  exemptions  for  certain  coun- 
tries including  NATO  allies,  problems 
do  not  arise  in  terms  of  European  off- 
the-shelf  buys.  Rather,  they  arise  in 
terms  of  NATO  members'  growing 
proclivity  to  coproduce  U.S. -developed 
equipment.  We  in  the  State  Department 
are  concerned  that  each  prospective 
coproduction  arrangement  should  meet 
an  alliance  military  need,  should  be 
fj cost-effective  to  the  alliance,  should 
protect  adequately  any  sensitive  U.S. 
technology  involved,  and  should  meet 


39 


FOOD:        Presidential 
Commission  on  World  Hunger 


PRESIDENT'S  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  5 ' 

Farmers  around  the  globe  are  pre- 
paring to  gather  one  of  the  largest  har- 
vests on  record.  Yet,  despite  this  abun- 
dance, hundreds  of  millions  of  people 
will  remain  hungry  and  malnourished. 
Some  Americans  are  among  them. 
Theirs  is  a  daily  experience  which  saps 
their  strength  and  will  and  prevents 
maximum  human  development.  Their 
numbers  will  grow  unless  we  find 
means  to  raise  world  food  production 
and  improve  food  distribution,  reduce 
population  growth,  and  help  these  men, 
women,  and  children  raise  themselves 
out  of  the  poverty  that  lies  at  the  root 
of  their  hunger. 

The  United  States  has  a  stake  in 
helping  to  solve  this  problem,  not  only 
because  of  our  humanitarian  concerns 
but  for  other  reasons  as  well.  We  can- 
not have  a  peaceful  and  prosperous 
world  if  a  large  part  of  the  world's 
people  are  at  or  near  the  edge  of 
hunger.  So  long  as  food  shortages  exist 
in  developing  countries,  the  possibility 
remains  of  another  world  food  crisis 
like  that  of  1973-74.  Such  a  crisis 
could  trigger  another  ruinous  cycle  in 
food  prices  and  thus  contribute  power- 
fully to  inflation. 

With  the  support  of  the  American 
people  and  the  Congress,  this  Admin- 
istration will  intensify  its  efforts  to 
meet  the  world  hunger  problem.  To  this 
end,  we  must  look  for  ways  to  tap  the 
talents  and  commitment  of  the  Ameri- 
can nation  in  an  effective  international 
effort. 


To  assist  in  this  vital  effort,  I  have 
signed  an  Executive  order  creating  a 
Presidential  Commission  on  World 
Hunger.  Ambassador  Sol  Linowitz, 
who  will  be  its  Chairman,  has  already 
served  our  country  in  many 
capacities — most  recently  as  Ambas- 
sador to  the  Organization  of  American 
States  and  as  conegotiator  in  the 
Panama  Canal  treaties.  None  of  his  as- 
signments, however,  has  been  as  im- 
portant to  the  future  hopes  of  mankind 
as  the  one  he  and  his  colleagues  will 
undertake  over  the  next  2  years — that 
of  helping  to  alleviate  hunger  and  mal- 
nutrition throughout  the  world. 

I  have  asked  the  Commission  to 
analyze  the  nature  and  dimensions  of 
the  problem,  to  assess  the  performance 
of  existing  programs,  and  to  recom- 
mend actions  this  nation  can  take  to  re- 
duce world  hunger  and  malnutrition.  I 
have  also  asked  the  Commission  to  in- 
form the  American  public  of  these  rec- 
ommendations and  assist  in  their  im- 
plementation. The  Commission  will 
provide  me  with  a  status  report  by  July 
31,  1979,  and  a  final  report  by  May  31, 
1980. 

I  am  confident  that  this  new  venture, 
which  will  entail  close  cooperation 
between  the  private  sector  and  U.S. 
legislative  and  executive  branches  of 
government,  will  produce  a  notable  ad- 
vance in  the  war  on  hunger.  □ 


1  Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Oct.  9,  1978. 


our  third-country  sales  regulations  and 
policies. 

On  third-country  sales,  the  problem 
arises  from  the  allies'  need  for  a  market 
adequate  to  make  production  of  a  given 
weapon  economically  viable  for  them. 
Collaboration  in  the  form  of  coproduc- 
tion of  the  U.S.  content  in  NATO- 
standard  equipment  offers  them  a  wider 
market  in  NATO  and  could  reduce 
pressure  for  Third-World  markets.  We 
intend  to  assure  allied  coproducers  that 
we  will  not  deny  them  third-country 
sales  that  we  would  be  prepared  to 
make  ourselves. 

I  have  attempted  to  respond  to  your 
interest  in  the  Administration's  ad- 
justed approach  to  NATO  arms  cooper- 


ation. I  have  tried  to  set  out  the  need 
for  intensified  arms  cooperation  in 
NATO  in  light  of  the  Soviet  buildup,  to 
clarify  for  you  our  perception  of  our 
European  allies'  new  disposition  to- 
ward arms  cooperation  with  us  and 
Canada,  and  to  outline  the  main  lines 
along  which  we  are  working  with  our 
allies  in  this  vital  domain.  I  will  do  my 
best  to  fill  in  any  gaps  that  I  may  have 
left  and  to  explain  further  the  rationale 
for  our  approach.  □ 


'  The  complete  transcript  of  the  hearings  will 
be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments, U.S.  Government  Printing  Office, 
Washington,  D.C.  20402. 


40 


MIDDLE  EAST:    Eyyptian-isrueli 
Peace  Negotiations 


Negotiations  to  conclude  a  peace 
treaty  between  Egypt  and  Israel 
opened  in  Washington  on  October  12, 
1978. 


OPENING  CEREMONY, 
WHITE  HOUSE, 
OCT.  121 


President  Carter 

For  2,000  years  in  the  Middle  East, 
people  have  cried,  "Peace,  peace," 
when  there  was  no  peace.  The  burden 
of  war  has  lain  heavily  on  this  troubled 
ground.  But  less  than  1  month  ago, 
President  Sadat  of  Egypt  and  Prime 
Minister  Begin  of  Israel  created  a 
chance  for  true  peace.  In  their  negotia- 
tions at  Camp  David,  they  displayed 
the  wisdom  and  the  courage  necessary 
to  forge  a  framework  for  peace  in  the 
Middle  East.2 


Everyone  who  shares  their  dream  of 
bringing  division  and  bitterness  to  an 
end  in  the  Middle  East  will  join  me  in 
welcoming  their  representatives  to 
Washington  as  they  take  their  next  vital 
steps  toward  turning  that  framework 
into  a  lasting  structure  of  peace. 

No  one  who  is  aware  of  the  history 
of  our  own  generation  or  of  this  cen- 
tury or,  indeed,  of  the  last  20  or  more 
centuries  can  overlook  the  historic  im- 
portance of  this  event — the  moment 
when  Egyptians  and  Israelis  meet  to 
begin  negotiating  the  terms  of  a  treaty 
which  will  define  in  a  practical  and 
concrete  way  relations  of  peace  be- 
tween them. 

Our  meeting  today  gives  us  a  meas- 
ure of  what  has  been  accomplished  and 
what  remains  to  be  done  to  make  peace 
and  dignity  a  reality  for  all  the  people 
of  the  Middle  East.  We  have  certainly 
not  resolved  all  the  issues  nor  removed 
all   the   risks.    We   have   established. 


From  left  to  right:  Acting  Foreign  Minister  Gliali;  Egyptian  Ambassador  to  the  U.S.  Ghorbal, 
Defense  Minister  Hassan  Ali;  Col.  Han  Tehila,  assistant  to  the  Israeli  Defense  Minister;  and 
President  Carter. 


,:: 


i 


Department  of  State  Bulletin  ' 

however,  principles  and  procedures  for 
resolving  the  negotiations  ahead. 

Again,  we  invite  Jordan,  the  inhabit- 
ants of  the  West  Bank  and  Gaza,  and 
others  who  are  ready  to  seize  this  op- 
portunity to  join  with  us  in  our  search 
for  peace.  The  alternative  is  drift, 
stalemate,  continued  enmity,  and 
perhaps  even  another  war. 

The  talks  that  begin  today  deal 
primarily  with  that  part  of  the  Camp 
David  framework  related  to  a  peace 
between  Egypt  and  Israel,  to  establish 
the  specific  terms  by  which  Egypt  will 
assume  its  full  exercise  of  authority 
and  sovereignty  over  the  Sinai,  under 
which  security  will  be  assured  to  both 
nations,  both  peoples,  and  under  which 
the  two  countries  will  live  and  work 
together  as  peaceful  neighbors. 

This  peace  between  these  two  great 
nations  must  be  the  foundation  and  the 
first   step  toward   the   larger,   even 
greater,   more   important  result  which 
we  all  seek — a  comprehensive  and  a> 
lasting  settlement  between  Israel   and  : 
all  her  neighbors.   A  peace  treaty  be- 
tween Egypt  and  Israel  should  be  com- 
plemented by  progress  toward  fulfill- 
ment of  the  provisions  of  the  general 
framework  agreement  which  was  con- 
cluded at  Camp  David  dealing  with  the 
West  Bank  and  Gaza  and  the  just  solu 
tion  of  the  Palestinian  question  in  all  itf 
aspects. 

In  the  days  since  Camp  David 
we've  seen  difficult  but  important  deci- 
sions made  in  both  Egypt  and  Israel, 
decisions  which  demonstrate  the  firm 
commitment  of  the  leaders,  the  gov- 
ernments, and  the  peoples  to  this  greal 
effort;  decisions  which  demonstrate 
their  willingness  and  their  ability  tc 
turn  the  existing  commitment  to  peace 
into  an  early  reality. 

With  President  Sadat's  striking  vi- 
sion of  the  future,  he's  made  even  more 
clear  his  nation's  determination  tc 
achieve  peace,  not  only  for  Egyptians 
but  for  all  those  involved  in  or  affected 
by  recent  conflict,  a  peace  that  answers 
their  yearning  for  an  end  to  bloodshed, 
an  end  to  destruction,  and  assures  the 
legitimate  rights  of  all  who  have  suf-  -Hi; 
fered  or  who  might  suffer  in  the  future 
through  never-ending  war. 

In  these  recent  days  Prime  Minister 
Begin  has  displayed  once  again  his 
courage  and  his  statesmanship,  his  de 
termination  in  dealing  with  the  very 
difficult  decisions  which  are  necessary 
and  must  be  taken  for  peace.  I  ap- 
preciate how  hard,  how  difficult  it  has 
been  for  him  to  make  some  of  the  deci- 
sions and  for  the  members  of  his  gov 
ernment  to  join  in  with  him.  They 
touch  the  very  heart  of  every  citizen  of 
Israel.  The  Knesset's  decisions  confirm 
what  we  in  this  country  have  always 


id 
ii] 

l. 
it 
iir 

ICO 

. 
Ha 


lens 
h 

lie. 


lecember  1978 


41 


hown  and  believed:  that  Israel's 
[eatest  wish  is  to  live  at  peace  and  in 
pod  neighborly  relationships  with  all 
le  countries  around  Israel. 
1  The  United  States  is  committed 
ithout  reservation  to  seeing  this  great 
locess  through  until  each  party  to  the 
irab-lsraeli  conflict  is  at  peace  with  all 
le  others.  Our  own  national  interests 
le  deeply  involved. 
I  The  question  of  peace  or  war  in  the 

iddle  East  affects  the  well-being  of 

ery  American.  But  beyond  this,  the 

nerations-old  cycle  of  tragedy  and 

ffering  speaks  to  America's  moral 

nscience  and  to  our  deep  and  lasting 

ncern  for  human  rights  and  the  ex-  ^ 

nsion  of  human  potential  for  peoples  | 

erywhere.  | 

We  will  work  hand  in  hand  with  all  | 

solved  parties  until  the  job  is  done,  ■= 

d  peace  is  assured.  * 

Minister  Moshe   Dayan,   Minister^ 

imal   Hassan  Ali,  Minister  Ezerl 

eizman.  Minister  Boutros  Ghali,  the  « 

lyptian,    Israeli,   and  American! 

oples  and  people  throughout  the  5 

irld  are  depending  on  you  now.  Our  %  V. 

'. '.  1   •  '       1  '  From  left  to  right:  Muj.  Gen.  Avraham  Tamir,  Chief,  Israeli  Defense  Force  Planning  Branch: 

My  own  personal   involvement  IS  as-  Presidenl  Carter:  Naftali  Lavie,  spokesman  and  adviser  to  the  Israeli  Foreign  Minister:  Foreign 

"ed  to  you.   Our  hopes  are  With  you.  Minister  Dayan;   Eli  Rubenstein,   assistant  to  the   Foreign   Minister:  and  Defense   Minister 

dour  prayers.  Weizman. 


reign  Minister  Dayan 

Allow  me  to  thank,  on  behalf  of  the 
aeli  delegation,  the  President  of  the 
lited  States  for  his  hospitality  and 
tiative  in  advancing  the  peace  proc- 
;  in  the  Middle  East. 
Primarily,  we  appreciate  your  role  in 
:  negotiations  between  the  Egyptians 
i  the  Israelis.  It  is  our  hope  and  be- 
f  that  we  have  reached  the  stage  in 
iich  we  can  finally  conclude  a  peace 
aty. 

I  know  that  we  still  have  to  over- 
me  many  obstacles,  but  with  you  and 
ur  aides'  help,  Mr.  President,  and 
:  constructive  spirit  of  the  parties,  we 
1  accomplish  peace. 
Thank  you  very  much  again,  and  I 
1  happy  that  immediately  after  this 
;tinguished  ceremony  here,  we  shall 
to  the  Blair  House  to  our  working 
:eting. 

Above  all,  this  is  the  purpose  of 
ing  here. 

■fen.se  Minister  Hassan  Ali 

Permit  me  at  the  outset  to  convey  to 
u  President  Sadat's  warm  greetings 
d  best  wishes. 

We  are  honored  to  present  to  you 
jetings  from  40  million  Egyptians, 
ey  are  grateful  to  you,  Mr.  Presi- 
nt,  and  to  the  American  people  for 
ur  genuine  interest  in  peace  in  the 


Middle  East.  They  will  always  re- 
member your  great  contribution  in 
Camp  David  to  the  cause  of  peace. 

We  are  very  happy  to  be  here  to 
continue  our  endeavor  for  peace.  We 
are  thankful  to  you  for  inviting  us  to 
conduct  the  negotiation  in  your 
beautiful  country.  Your  invitation  is  a 
symbol  of  the  American  commitment  to 
a  just  and  lasting  peace  in  the  Middle 
East.  It  is  also  another  affirmation  of 
your  pledge  to  act  as  a  full  partner  in 
the  peace  process. 

We  attach  the  greatest  importance  to 
the  continuation  of  this  partnership 
until  a  comprehensive  peace  is 
achieved  in  our  area,  a  comprehensive 
peace  which  insures  the  fulfillment  of 
the  legitimate  rights  of  the  Palestinian 
people  and  enables  them  to  play  a  con- 
structive role  in  a  peaceful  Middle 
East. 

The  peace-loving  people  of  Egypt 
have  welcomed  the  outcome  of  the 
Camp  David  meetings.  Our  people 
hope  that  the  two  frameworks  will 
serve  as  a  solid  foundation  for  a  com- 
prehensive peace  to  be  built  in  good 
faith  by  all  parties. 

We  came  here  with  good  faith  and 
earnest  hope.  We  also  came  here  de- 
termined to  devote  all  the  necessary 
time  and  energy  to  achieve  our  goals. 


We  sincerely  hope  that  our  coming 
negotiations  will  be  another  success  to 
be  added  to  the  achievement  of  Camp 
David. 

We  should  encourage  other  Arab 
parties  to  join  with  us  in  this  great  pur- 
suit. We  also  hope  to  continue  our  joint 
effort  until  peace  prevails  throughout 
the  area. 

My  colleagues  and  I  are  looking 
forward  to  a  very  fruitful  cooperation 
with  our  good  friend,  Secretary  Vance, 
and  his  assistants. 


WHITE  HOUSE  STATEMENT, 
OCT.  20 3 


President  Carter  met  this  afternoon 
with  the  Israeli  and  Egyptian  delega- 
tions to  the  peace  talks.  The  Presi- 
dent's meetings  followed  the  presenta- 
tion Thursday  evening  of  a  revised 
U.S.  negotiating  draft  of  the  main  arti- 
cles of  the  peace  treaty  between  Egypt 
and  Israel. 

During  the  meetings  with  the  Presi- 
dent, both  sides  reviewed  the  progress 
of  the  negotiations  and  the  remaining 
issues  to  be  resolved.  The  meetings 
were  held  prior  to  consultations  that 
both  delegations  will  conduct  with  their 
governments. 


42 


Department  of  State  Bullet! 


OCEANS:        Law  of  the  Sea 
Conference 


by  Elliot  L.  Richardson 

Statement  to  the  press  in  New  York 
on  August  21,  197H.  Ambassador  at 
Large  Richardson  is  Special  Repre- 
sentative of  the  President  for  the  Law 
of  the  Sea  Conference. ' 

When  the  seventh  session  of  the  third 
U.N.  Conference  on  the  Law  of  the  Sea 
recessed  last  May,  it  closed  on  a  note 
of  considerable  satisfaction.  Even  the 
most  jaded  observer  of  this-  long, 
tough,  complex  international  negotia- 
tion could  not  fail  to  be  impressed  by 
its  sense  of  purpose,  its  fresh  commit- 
ment to  reduce  seemingly  intractable 
problems  through  sober,  realistic 
give-and-take. 

It  may  be  said  one  day  that  the 
Geneva  phase  was  the  turning  point  in 
the  life  of  the  conference — the  time 
when  suspicions  were  calmed  and 
North  and  South  tacitly  agreed  that 
pragmatic  economic  considerations 
should  prevail.  For  the  United  States, 
progress  in  Geneva  was  sufficient  for 
us  to  renew  our  pledge  to  pursue  an 
equitable  treaty  based  on  the  principle 
of  mutual  benefit. 

Let  me  pause  at  this  point  to  em- 
phasize that  our  satisfaction  with  the 
improved  atmosphere  of  the  Geneva 
negotiations  should  not  be  construed  to 
mean  that  we  see  a  treaty  in  the  offing 
or  imminent  solutions  to  the  hard-core 
issues.  We  are  engaged  in  a  long-term 
effort.  In  the  case  of  deep  seabed  min- 
ing,  we   have   serious  objections  to 


many  parts  of  the  Geneva  texts  even 
though  they  are  better  than  the  Informal 
Composite  Negotiating  Text  produced 
last  year  at  the  end  of  the  sixth  session. 

The  Geneva  texts  are  valuable  in  that 
they  provide  the  basis  for  further 
negotiation  and  move  the  conference 
closer  to  the  goal  of  consensus.  But  if 
the  spirit  and  the  dedication  of  the 
conference  are  high,  so  are  the  obsta- 
cles to  consensus.  The  work  ahead  on 
the  seabeds  texts  is  more  difficult, 
more  susceptible  to  impasse  than  any- 
thing undertaken  previously. 

During  this  resumed  session,  we  be- 
lieve it  important  that  the  conference 
refrain  from  going  back  over  the  texts 
developed  in  Geneva.  All  delegations 
recognize  that  the  sum  of  agreements 
reached  to  this  point  have  a  filigree- 
like character.  Each  is  dependent  for  its 
strength  and  survival  on  others;  each  is 
fragile  and  vulnerable  by  itself.  To  turn 
back  now  and  focus  on  a  few  elements 
of  the  texts  could  touch  off  shock 
waves  which  would  adversely  affect 
many  others.  We  would  rather  see  a 
continuation  of  forward  movement  and 
consider  changes  at  a  later  date  in  light 
of  the  seabeds  package  as  a  whole. 

Even  though  it  is  fueled  with  fresh 
energy,  the  conference  cannot  fail  to 
recognize  that  the  facts  with  which  it  is 
dealing  are  changing  constantly.  Pri- 
vate corporations  of  several  indus- 
trialized countries  have  already  risked 
heavy  investment  of  their  funds  in  sea- 
bed mining  research.  Commercial  ap- 
plication of  their  rapidly  developing 
technology  is  only  a  few  years  away. 


Peace  Negotiations  (Cont'd) 

As  stated  earlier  today,  the  parties 
will  be  consulting  separately  with  their 
governments  about  the  current  status  of 
the  negotiations.  The  President's 
meetings  this  afternoon  were  designed 
to  assist  those  consultations. 

Ambassador  al-Baz  of  the  Egyptian 
delegation  has  gone  to  London  to  con 
suit  with  Vice  President  Mubarak,  who 
is  on  a  tour  of  several  European  capi- 
tals. Vice  President  Mubarak  intends  to 
return  to  Cairo  to  give  President  Sadat 
an  up-to-date  report  on  the  status  of  the 
negotiations. 

Israeli  Foreign  Minister  Dayan  and 
Defense  Minister  Weizman,  along  with 
Professor  Barak  and  Dr.  Rosenne,  are 


returning  to  Israel  Saturday  night  for 
consultations  with  their  government. 
Both  the  U.S.  and  Egyptian  delegations 
were  informed  of  this  decision  in  ad- 
vance. The  ministers  plan  to  be  in  Is- 
rael several  days,  returning  to  the  con- 
ference about  midweek  next  week. 
Working  contacts  between  members  of 
all  three  delegations  here  in  Washing- 
ton will  continue  during  their 
absence.  □ 


'Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Presi- 
dential Documents  of  Oct.  16,  1978. 

2  For  texts  of  the  documents  concluded  at 
Camp  David  and  signed  on  Sept  17,  see  Bul- 
letin of  Oct.  1978.  p.  7. 

'Text  from  Weekly  Compilation  of  Oct.  23 
(list  of  participants  omitted). 


U.S.  Legislation 

Taking  account  of  these  develo 
ments,  the  U.S.  Congress  is  well  on  tl 
way  to  enacting  legislation  under  whit 
seabed  mining  by  American  corpor 
tions  will  take  place.  This  legislation 
as  international  as  it  is  domestic 
character. 


•  It  recognizes  our  responsibiliti 
under  the  concept  that  the  resources 
the  seabed  are  the  common  heritage 
mankind. 

•  It  will  be  superseded  whenever 
law  of  the  sea  treaty  takes  effect  wi 
regard  to  the  United  States. 

•  It  requires  that  revenues  be  i 
aside  for  developing  countries. 

•  It  establishes  stringent  standar 
for  the  protection  of  the  marine  en' 
ronment. 

•  It  does  not  assert  any  right 
sovereignty  over  seabed  mine  sites. 

•  It  does  not  declare  or  imply  a 
intention  that  American  seabed  mini 
companies  should  remain  outside  1 
jurisdiction  of  an  International  Seab 
Resource  Authority  when  an  interi 
tional  treaty  comes  into  being. 

•  The  forces  now  in  motion  ; 
moving  across  a  broad  front.  They  c; 
not  be  blocked  or  turned  back.  1 
seabeds  contain  minerals  important 
economic  growth.  They  will  be  mil 
sooner  or  later  whether  or  not  there  i 
treaty.  These  are  the  fundamen 
realities  against  which  we  negotiate. 


ii 


: 
s 

1 

III 
Jf 
till 


Continuing  Negotiations 

Turning   again  to  the   negotiant 
which  resume  this  week,  the  object 
of  the  United  States  is,  as  it  has  b<    e 
throughout     these     negotiatioi  f 
achievement  of  a  comprehensive  tre 
that  protects  our  essential  interests, 
continue  to  believe,  at  the  same  tii 
that  this  conference  will  be  judged 
have  been  successful  only  if  it  prote 
the  essential  interests  of  all  nations. 

For  the  United  States,  these  intert 
include  assured  access  to  seabed  rr 
erals.  As  a  compromise,  we  shall  c 
tinue  to  try  to  create  a  parallel  syst 
of  mining  which  attracts  investment 
economically  viable  over  the  lc 
term,  and  accommodates  the  j 
claims  of  the  developing  world.  T 
system  should  insure  access  and  ten 
by  all  qualified  miners,  set  reali: 
production  controls  and  financial 
rangements,  provide  for  transfer 
technology  under  fair  commerc 
terms  and  conditions,  and  be  admit 
tered  by  an  international  body  wh 
makes  decisions  on  a  basis  t 
recognizes  the  important  interests 
stake  in  investment,  production,  ; 
consumption. 


December  1978 

The  sum  of  other  benefits  yielded  by 

e  conference,  while  numerous  and 

lpressive,  would  not  be  enough  to 

rsuade  us  to  accept  a  seabed  mining 

gime   which  does  not  meet  these 

iteria.    Whether  such   a  regime   is 

igotiable  remains  to  be  determined. 

Aside  from  deep  seabed  issues,  the 

mference  is  in  a  position  to  make 

bstantial   progress   toward   final 

solution  of  other  outstanding  issues. 

nese  include  scientific  research  and 

ecise  definition  of  the   Continental 

lelf. 

With  respect  to  scientific  research, 
e  conference  should  consider  ways  to 
arify  and  improve  the  texts  from  the 
actical  perspective  of  science  within 
e  overall  jurisdictional  framework 
at  emerged  from  the  negotiations, 
ery  country  should  recognize  that 
tural  processes  in  a  foreign  economic 
ne  may  ultimately  affect  its  own  citi- 
ns     in     very     important     ways, 
oreover,  it  may  not  be  practical  to 
rry  out  expensive  projects  if  one 
astal  state  objects  to  it,  even  though 
neighbors  want  the  project  to  go 
rward.   The  U.S.  delegation   intends 
explore  improvements  in  the  text  in 
der  to  facilitate  the  conduct  of  scien- 
ce research  and  the  availability  of 
ientific  information  for  the  benefit  of 

The  American  delegation  approaches 
is  resumed  session  hopeful  that  the 
jmentum  developed  at  Geneva  will 
sustained  and  that  these  4  weeks 
11  move  us  closer  to  the  goal  of  a 
utually  acceptable  comprehensive 
:aty.  At  the  same  time  we  are  all  too 
enly  aware  that  the  conference  still 
ces  formidable  problems  which  will 
quire  all  our  collective  wisdom  and 
tience  to  resolve.  □ 


43 


Expanded  Canadian 
Maritime  Boundary  Claim 


DEPARTMENT  STATEMENT, 
SEPT.  15' 


In  its  "Gazette"  of  September  15, 
the  Government  of  Canada  published 
an  expanded  claim  to  maritime  juris- 
diction in  the  Gulf  of  Maine  area.  This 
assertion  goes  beyond  the  claim  of 
jurisdiction  published  by  Canada  on 
November  1,  1976,  to  include  an  addi- 
tional area  on  the  Georges  Bank. 


'Text  from  USUN  press  release  76  of  Aug. 
,  1978. 


The  United  States  believes  the  Cana- 
dian claim  is  without  merit  arid  is  in- 
forming the  Canadian  Government  of 
its  formal  rejection  of  the  claim. 

The  line  published  by  Canada  in 
November  1976  was  based  on  the  prin- 
ciple of  equidistance  between  the 
coasts  of  the  United  States  and  Canada. 
The  U.S.  view  is  that  the  Georges 
Bank  is  a  natural  prolongation  of  U.S. 
territory  and  that  under  international 
law  "special  circumstances"  exist  that 
justify  a  maritime  boundary  east  of  the 
original  Canadian  equidistance  line. 
The  new  Canadian  claim  is  based  on 
the  contention  that  the  boundary  in  the 
Gulf  of  Maine  should  be  established  in 
a  manner  which  gives  full  effect  to  the 
coast  of  Nova  Scotia  but  totally  dis- 
counts the  coasts  of  Cape  Cod  and 
Nantucket.  In  the  U.S.  view  there  is  no 
justification  for  discounting  the  effect 
to  be  given  to  Cape  Cod  and  Nantuc- 
ket, which  do  not  constitute  projections 
in  relation  to  Nova  Scotia,  and  are 
areas  of  demographic  and  economic 


importance  to  the  United  States, 
closely  linked  to  the  maritime  areas  at 
issue. 

The  United  States  intends  to  main- 
tain the  full  exercise  of  its  fisheries 
jurisdiction  over  the  area  of  the  new 
Canadian  claim  in  accordance  with 
U.S.  law.  While  both  Canadian  and 
U.S.  vessels  have  historically  fished 
off  the  coasts  of  both  countries,  Canada 
elected  to  terminate  reciprocal  fishing 
last  June.  Under  these  circumstances, 
the  United  States  cannot  permit  Cana- 
dian vessels  to  fish  in  an  important  part 
of  the  U.S.  fishing  zone,  while  Canada 
denies  U.S.  fishermen  access  to  Cana- 
dian waters. 

The  United  States  is  prepared  to 
continue  negotiations  toward  a  settle- 
ment of  the  boundary  issues  or  an 
agreement  to  submit  unresolved 
maritime  boundary  issues  to  interna- 
tional arbitration  and  to  provide  ar- 
rangements for  reciprocal  fishing  under 
the  auspices  of  a  new  Canadian- 
American  Joint  Fisheries  Commission, 
either  on  a  permanent  basis  or  at  least 
for  the  interim  period  until  the  bound- 
aries are  finally  determined.  Any  such 
agreement  would  be  brought  into  force 
in  accordance  with  constitutional 
processes.  □ 


1  Made  available  to  the  press  by  Department 
spokesman  Hodding  Carter  III. 


44 


Department  of  State  Bulletii 


WORLD  POPULATION: 
THE  SILENT  EXPLOSION— PART  3 


WHAT  MORE  CAN  BE  DONE? 

Growth  Rates  Remain  Very  High 

The  progress  achieved  since  the 
early  1960's  in  world  awareness  of 
population  problems  and  in  reduction 
of  birth  rates  in  some  countries  is 
highly  welcome.  Nevertheless,  popu- 
lation growth  remains  far  too  high  in 
too  many  developing  countries,  sub- 
stantially offsetting  economic  gains, 
impairing  the  health  of  mothers  and 
children,  and  limiting  prospects  for  a 
better  life  for  generations  to  come. 
Birth  rate  reduction  in  the  developing 
world  as  a  whole,  where  death  rates 
are  also  still  declining,  is  too  slow  to 
prevent  many  developing  countries, 
including  some  of  the  most  populous, 
from  eventually  arriving  at  stationary 
populations  far  in  excess  of  acceptable 
levels.  Even  with  markedly  more  de- 
termined and  effective  worldwide 
population  programs,  replacement- 
level  fertility  cannot  be  hoped  for  be- 
fore 2000,  with  a  steady-state  popula- 
tion of  some  8  billion  by  about  2070, 
twice  today's  total  of  4.2  billion. 

There  are  those  who  believe  that, 
taking  realistic  account  of  the  factors 
discussed  earlier — insufficient  food, 
impaired  development,  unemployment, 
urban  crowding,  overburdened  public 
services,  an  overtaxed  environment, 
and  likely  political  and  social 
turbulence — the  world  will  never  see 
another  doubling  of  population.  It  is 
indeed  hard  to  visualize  a  China, 
India,  Pakistan,  Bangladesh,  In- 
donesia, or  many  other  countries  sus- 
taining twice  their  present  populations. 
Feedback  mechanisms  such  as  infla- 
tion, economic  deterioration,  acute 
privation,  and  political  and  social  in- 
stability could  lead  to  widespread 
famine  and  to  fertility  levels  well 
below  replacement,  bringing  popula- 
tion growth  to  a  halt  well  short  of 
about  8  billion.  But  while  not  exclud- 
ing this  possibility,  suffering  and 


Part  1  of  this  series  appeared 
in  the  October  Bulletin  and  set 
forth  the  facts  of  the  world 
population  problem.  Part  2  was 
published  last  month  and 
examined  the  consequences  of 
excessive  population  growth  and 
what  is  being  done  about  it. 


death  on  such  a  scale  could  never  be 
an  acceptable  solution  of  the  world's 
overpopulation  problem. 

A  world  of  8  billion  would  be  a  less 
desirable  world  in  many  ways  than  our 
already  overcrowded  planet.  But  it 
might  at  least  be  a  surviving,  operative 
world,  particularly  if  there  were  hope 
of  subsequent  population  reduction. 
Success  in  achieving  replacement-level 
fertility  by  2000,  permitting  a  later 
steady-state  population  of  8  billion,  is 
critically  important  for  those  now  liv- 
ing and  even  more  for  their  descen- 
dents. 

Priority  Action  Areas 

The  factors  producing  fertility  de- 
cline vary  within  countries  and  from 
country  to  country  and  are  imperfectly 
understood.  Conceivably,  fertility 
could  fall  substantially  over  the  next 
20  years  due  to  the  largely  automatic 
influences  of  development.  Hundreds 
of  millions  of  couples  might  recognize 
the  disadvantages  of  large  families  and 
sharply  curtail  births  without  govern- 
ment stimulus  or  assistance,  as  in  the 
last  century  in  Western  Europe. 

But  this  is  unlikely.  Development  is 
proceeding  slowly  or  not  at  all  in  most 
developing  countries.  Where  it  is  oc- 
curring, it  is  frequently  unbalanced, 
bringing  little  benefit  to  the  masses 
and  thus  having  little  impact  on  fertil- 
ity. Under  these  conditions  fertility  re- 
duction on  married  couples'  own  ini- 
tiative is  likely  to  be  a  protracted 
process  resulting  in  stabilization  of 
LDC  populations  only  after  long  delay 
and  at  very  high  levels. 

Governmental  programs  accordingly 
have  been  a  key  factor  behind  the  fer- 
tility reductions  achieved  by  a  number 
of  LDC's.  Accelerated,  further  prog- 
ress requires  that  more  governments 
act  immediately,  imaginatively,  and 
determinedly  to  reduce  fertility.  Ex- 
perience suggests  the  following  areas 
for  priority  emphasis  in  raising  world 
population  programs  to  a  new  level  of 
effectiveness. 

Leadership  Commitment.  Perhaps 
more  than  any  other  factor,  leaders  of 
countries  with  serious  population 
problems  must  accord  those  problems 
the  emphasis  their  fundamental  im- 
portance warrants.  They  must  insure 
development  of  effective  population 
programs,  speak  out  clearly  and  firmly 
in  support  of  those  programs,  and  see 
to  it  that  they  are  carried  out  both  at 


the  national  and  the  village  or  commu-1' 
nity  levels.  National  and  world  leaders "' 
must  keep  themselves  better  informec  e 
on   population   matters   and   discuss 
them  frankly  among  themselves. 


Rooting  Family  Planning  i 
Community  Development  and  ir 
Village  Life.  People,  experience 
shows,  are  more  likely  to  be  respon 
sive  to  the  need  for  limiting  famih 
size  if  they  see  the  problem  in  thi 
context  of  community  needs  and  inter 
ests  and  feel  community  peer  pressure: 
growing  out  of  those  needs  and  inter 
ests.  The  stronger  the  community,  tht 
greater  the  probability  of  community 
awareness  of  the  need  for  action  ii 
limiting  population  growth,  and  thi 
greater  the  opportunities  for  promotinj 
peer  pressures  within  the  communit; 
for  reduced  fertility.  Since  populatioi 
programs,  to  be  successful,  must  com 
tinue  for  many  years,  the  permaneno 
of  villages  (as  opposed  to  the  coni 
tinued  changes  in  national  govern 
ments)  is  added  reason  why  such  pro 
grams  should  be  rooted  in  communit 
life. 

Expanded   Use  of  Paramedics.   I 

much  of  the  developing  world,  th 
bulk  of  the  population  will  remain  be 
yond  the  reach  of  doctors,  clinics,  am 
other  formal  medical  services.  Som 
are  suspicious  of  such  services,  even  i 
available.  Large  numbers  of  healt 
workers  or  paramedics  are  needed  t 
provide  general,  simple  health  serv 
ices — including  family  planning — i 
communities  where  they  are  know 
and  trusted.  Such  workers,  able  t 
provide  personal  family  planning  ad 
vice  to  each  couple  in  the  village,  ar 
far  more  effective  in  motivating  user 
than  billboards,  posters,  and  medi 
appeals,  though  these  have  their  place 

Improved  Status  and  Active  In 
volvement  of  Women.  Women  ar 
key  to  the  success  of  population  pro 
grams,  both  as  childbearers  practicin 
or  not  practicing  family  planning  am 
as  an  influence  on  national  and  loca 
population  and  development  issues 
Population  programs  are  far  more  ef 
fective  in  countries  or  communitie 
where  women  have  been  freed  fron 
traditional  subordination  in  the  famil 
and  are  able  actively  to  participate  ii 
national  and  community  life.  This  is  ; 
crucially  important  population  actioi 
area. 


December  1978 


45 


Research   for   Better   Means  of 
Contraception.  Although  there  have 

•  '•een  notable  advances  in  this  area  in 
ecent  decades,  all  present  contracep- 
ion  methods  have  drawbacks.  In  order 
d  provide  or  arrange  effective,   safe 

: hoices  that  are  acceptable  to  the 

liasses  and  used  by  them,  there  must 

e   intensified  efforts   in   coordinated 

•  ontraception  research  which,  in  turn. 
|/ill  require  expanded  efforts  in  basic 
jiomedical  research. 

Emphasis  on  Population  Goals  in 
locial   and    Economic   Development. 

lany  developing  countries  continue  to 
fmphasize  capital-intensive  industrial 
ind  agricultural  development  pro- 
grams. There  is  insufficient  attention 
ij  development  strategies  that  will 
■Jave  greater  impact  on  improving  con- 
ditions for  the  masses  and  thus  con- 

ribute  to  fertility  decline.  Village  and 

Irban  education  programs,   small 

andicraft   industries,   simple  farm 

Sols  and  machinery,  cooperatives,  and 


other  measures  to  increase  the  produc- 
tivity and  income  of  the  poor  are  all 
relevant  to  population  control.  Wher- 
ever there  is  economic  and  social 
progress,  and  wherever  there  is  up- 
ward mobility,  there  are  almost  sure  to 
be  falling  birth  rates. 

Age  of  Marriage.  One  of  the  most 
effective  ways  of  reducing  birth  rates 
is  through  advancing  the  age  of  mar- 
riage. This  can  be  achieved  both 
through  laws  and  regulations  affecting 
the  legal  age  of  marriage  as  well  as 
through  social  and  cultural  processes 
that  result  in  later  ages  of  marriage, 
especially  for  women.  There  is  no 
question  but  that  Sri  Lanka's  relatively 
low  fertility  rates  are  related  to  the 
fact  that  the  average  age  of  marriage 
for  both  women  and  men  is  among  the 
highest  in  the  developing  world,  at  24 
and  28,  respectively.  Delayed  mar- 
riage is  also  a  major  aspect  of  China's 
birth  control  policy. 


Organization,  Management,  and 
Administration.  A  number  of  exam- 
ples could  be  cited  of  developing  na- 
tions whose  governments  are  com- 
mitted to  population  programs  but 
where  the  latter  are  proving  ineffec- 
tive, largely  due  to  poor  organization 
and  lack  of  adequate  managerial  and 
administrative  skills.  Optimum  organi- 
zation usually  entails  the  establishment 
of  a  top-level  interministerial  group 
under  the  prime  minister  or  president, 
a  group  which  is  in  a  position  to  in- 
sure that  the  elements  of  a  successful 
population  program  (e.g.,  family  plan- 
ning, education,  health,  women's 
status,  etc.)  are  coordinated  and  car- 
ried out  in  unified  fashion  by  all 
ministries  or  departments  concerned. 

Incentives  and  Disincentives.  Some 
of  the  most  densely  populated  coun- 
tries have  applied  or  are  now  consid- 
ering applying  a  range  of  incentives  or 
disincentives  designed  to  motivate 


WORLD  POPULATION 

CONFERENCE 

Bucharest 

August  19-30,  1974 

Sponsor:  United  Nations 

Participants  and  Leadership:  Representa- 
tives of  137  countries,  19  U.N.  organi- 
zations and  specialized  agencies.  4  lib- 
eration movements,  and  observers  from 
1 1  intergovernmental  organizations  and 
109  NGO's.  Chaired  by  George 
Macovescu  (Romania).  Secretary  Gen- 
eral of  the  conference  was  Antonio 
Carillo  Flores  (Mexico). 

Principal  Outcome:  Adoption  of  the 
World  Population  Plan  of  Action 
(WPPA).* 

WPPA  Principles  and  Objectives 

•  ".  .  .to  expand  and  deepen  the 
capacities  of  countries  to  deal  effectively 
with  their  national  and  subnational  popula- 
tion problems  .  .  .  .  " 

•  The  sovereign  right  of  governments  to 
set  their  own  population  policies  should 
take  into  account  ".  .  .  universal  solidar- 
ity ..  .  to  improve  the  quality  of  life  of 
the  peoples  of  the  world 

•  "All  couples  and  individuals  have  the 
basic  human  right  to  decide  freely  and  re- 
sponsibly the  number  and  spacing  of  their 
children  and  to  have  the  information,  edu- 
cation and  means  to  do  so  .  .  .  . " 

•  "  .  .  .  this  right  [should  take]  into  ac- 
count the  needs  of  .  .  .  living  and  future 
children,  and  .  .  .  responsibilities  toward 
the  community.  ..." 


•  "Women  have  the  right  to  complete 
integration  in  the  development  process 
particularly  by  means  of  an  equal  partici- 
pation in  educational,  social,  economic, 
cultural  and  political  life.  ..." 

WPPA  Recommendations 

•  Governments  should  integrate  popula- 
tion measures  and  programs  into  com- 
prehensive social  and  economic  plans  and 
programs. 

•  Countries  which  consider  their  popula- 
tion growth  hampers  attainment  of  their 
goals  should  consider  adopting  population 
policies  through  a  low  level  of  birth  and 
death  rates. 

•  Developed  countries  are  urged  to  adopt 
appropriate  policies  in  population,  con- 
sumption, and  investment,  bearing  in  mind 
the  need  for  fundamental  improvement  in 
international  equity. 

•  Highest  priority  should  be  given  to  re- 
duction in  mortality  and  morbidity  and  in- 
crease of  life  expectancy  and  programs  for 
this  purpose  should  reach  rural  areas  and 
underprivileged  groups. 

•  Countries  should  encourage  appro- 
priate education  concerning  responsible 
parenthood  and  make  available  to  persons 
who  so  desire  advice  and  means  of 
achieving  it. 

•  Countries  wishing  to  affect  fertility 
levels  should  give  priority  to  development 
programs  and  health  and  education 
strategies  which  have  a  decisive  effect 
upon  demographic  trends,  including  fertil- 
ity. International  cooperation  should  give 
priority  to  assisting  such  national  efforts. 

•  Countries  which  consider  their  birth 
rates  detrimental  to  their  national  purposes 


'°  population  i"*" 
are   invited    to   set   quantitative   goals    and 
implement    policies    to   achieve    them    by 
1985. 

•  Policies  and  programs  should  be  un- 
dertaken to  reduce  the  undesirable  conse- 
quence of  excessively  rapid  urbanization 
and  to  develop  opportunities  in  rural  areas 
and  small  towns. 

•  Agreements  should  be  made  to  regulate 
the  international  migration  of  workers  and 
to  assure  nondiscriminatory  treatment  and 
social  services  for  these  workers  and  their 
families;  also  other  measures  to  decrease 
the  brain  drain  from  developing  countries. 

•  Research  should  be  intensified  to  de- 
velop knowledge  concerning  all  aspects  of 
population  and  family  planning. 

•  Medical,  paramedical,  traditional 
health  personnel,  program  administrators, 
senior  government  officials,  labor,  com- 
munity, and  social  leaders  should  be 
trained  in  population  dynamics  and  admin- 
istration. 

•  International,  intergovernmental,  and 
nongovernmental  agencies  and  national 
governments  should  increase  their  assist- 
ance in  the  population  field  on  request. 

•  The  WPPA  should  be  closely  coordi- 
nated with  the  international  development 
strategy  for  the  Second  U.N.  Development 
Decade,  reviewed  in  depth  at  5-year  inter- 
vals, and  modified  as  appropriate 


*For   the   full    text   of   the    WPPA. 
Bulletin  of  Sept.  30,  1974,  p.  440. 


46 

people   to  have   smaller   families.   In- 
centives usually  have  taken  the  form 
of  inducements  or  rewards  for  those 
accepting   sterilization.    Disincentives 
usually  have  taken  the  form  of  admin- 
istrative measures  which  have  the  ef- 
fect of  penalizing  those  with  families 
larger  than  the  community  desires.  In- 
centives  and  disincentives  have  been 
effectively   used,   but   they   have   also 
been  abused.    Potentially,   one   of  the 
most  effective  measures  to  be  taken  in 
this  field  is  community  incentives:  that 
is,  a  system  of  rewarding  villages  or 
neighborhoods  which  have  achieved 
greatest  success  in  meeting  demo- 
graphic goals  set  by  the  government. 
Such  an  approach,  which  is  now  being 
launched  in  parts  of  Indonesia  and  is 
planned  by  certain  other  governments, 
has  the  greatest  chances  of  success  in 
countries  where  village  structure  and 
community  concerns  are  stable  and 
where  family  planning  services  are 
widely  available. 

Community  incentive  programs  also 
have  merit  in  terms  of  increasing 
flows  of  needed  assistance  to  villages 
in  ways  that  will  benefit  all  the  villag- 
ers, as  well  as  in  terms  of  stimulating 
motivation,  including  peer  pressures 
for  lowering  birth  rates.  Although  less 
subject  to  abuse  than  individual  incen- 
tives, community  incentives  require 
careful  administration  to  be  fair  and 
effective. 

Of  these  nine  priority  action  areas, 
the  crucial  one  is  the  first— leadership 
commitment.  If  more  leaders  of  coun- 
tries with  serious  population  problems 
will  address  those  problems  with  the 
urgency,  determination,  and  follow- 
through  their  importance  warrants, 
there  is  hope  for  a  substantial  curtail- 
ment of  fertility  in  the  coming  dec- 
ades, with  attainment  of  population 
stabilization  in  the  next  century  at  far 
from  desirable,  but  perhaps  tolerable, 
levels. 

U.S.  INTERNATIONAL 
POPULATION  POLICIES 


oping— requiring  that  the  problem  be 
approached  on  a  cooperative, 
worldwide  basis  with  the  more  affluent 
nations  doing  all  they  can  to  provide 
population  program  assistance  to  re- 
questing developing  nations. 

•  Population  programs  are  to  be 
seen  as  an  integral  part  of  effective 
social  and  economic  development  pro- 
grams and  carried  out  in  that  way. 

•  The  essence  of  population  policy 
is  mutually  reinforcing  programs  to 
enhance  parental  desire  for  small 
families  and  to  provide  family  plan- 
ning information  and  services. 

•  The  problem  is  both  long-range 
and  immediate— it  must  be  approached 
urgently  but  also  with  awareness  of  its 
long-continuing  nature. 

President  Carter's  May  23,  1977, 
message  to  the  U.S.  Congress  included 
the  following  on  the  world  population 
problem. 

Rapid  population  growth  is  a  major  en- 
vironmental problem  of  world  dimension. 
World  population  increased  from  three  to  four 
billion  in  the  last  15  years,  substantially  can- 
celling out  expansion  in  world  food  production 
and  economic  growth  of  the  same  period 

Without  controlling  the  growth  of  popula- 
tion, the  prospects  for  enough  food,  shelter, 
and  other  basic  needs  for  all  the  world's 
people  are  dim.  Where  existence  is  already 
poor  and  precarious,  efforts  to  obtain  the 
necessities  of  life  often  degrade  the  environ- 
ment for  generations  to  come. 

It  is,  of  course,  up  to  each  nation  to  deter- 
mine its  own  policies,  but  we  are  prepared  to 
respond  promptly  and  fully  to  all  requests  for 
assistance  in  population  and  health  care  pro- 
grams. At  my  direction,  the  Department  of 
State  and  the  Agency  for  International  De- 
velopment stand  ready  to  cooperate  through 
international  organizations,  through  private 
voluntary  organizations,  or  through  direct 
contacts  with  other  governments. 

In  a  message  to  all  U.S.  diplomatic 
missions  in  early  June  1977.  Secretary 
of  State  Vance  said: 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

information  and  means  to  do  so.  These  basic 
rights  were  specifically  acknowledged  by  the 
nations  of  the  world  at  the  Bucharest  confer 
ence  in  1974 


ecember 

IANKIN 

mm 


The  wo 
ie  acffi 
«fle  li» 
the  lie; 
product 


U.S.  international  population 
policies  derive  from  six  convictions. 

•  Excessive  population  growth  is 
seriously  handicapping  economic 
progress  in  the  developing  world. 

•  The  problem  can  be  significantly 
eased  if  nations  take  prompt  and  ef- 
fective countermeasures  along  lines 
recommended  in  the  World  Population 
Plan  of  Action,  but  it  is  up  to  each 
nation  to  determine  its  population 
policies  and  programs. 

•  We  live  in  one  interdependent 
world— part  developed,  part  devel- 


Leaders  of  developing  countries  should  be 
encouraged  in  (heir  efforts  to  promote  sound 
population  programs  Where  requested  and 
justified,  the  new  Administration  will  provide 
continuing  and  even  expanded  support  to  those 
programs,  along  with  other  donor  countries 
and  organizations. 

the  objective  of  the  United  States  in  this 
held  is  to  work  closely  with  others  rather  than 
to  impose  our  views  In  our  efforts  we  should 
stress  the  economic  and  social  gains  lor  the 
poorest  nations  that  result  from  reduced  popu 
lation  growth,  maternal  and  child  health  In  all 
these  efforts,  we  should  recognize  the  basic 
dignity  of  the  individual  and  his  or  her  right 
freely  to  choose  family  goals  and  to  have  the 


The    Congress,    during    1977,    took 
two    significant    actions    reflecting    its 
concern    over    the    world    population 
problem.  The  first  was  to  add  Section 
104(d)  to  the  Foreign  Assistance  Act, 
requiring   that   all   assistance   provided 
under  the  relevant  chapter  of  the   actr 
".  .  .   be  administered   so  as  to  give 
particular  attention  to  the  interrelation- 
ship  between    (A)  population   growth, 
and  (B)  development  and  overall  im- 
provement in  living  standards  .  .  .  and 
to  the  impact  of  all  programs,   proj- 
ects,   and    activities    on    population 
growth." 

The  second  action  was  the  estab- 
lishment by  the  House  of  a  Select 
Committee  on  Population  to  study  and 
report  on  all  major  aspects  of  the 
problem,  including  on  how  ".  .  .  the 
United  States  Government  can  most 
effectively  cooperate  with  and  assist 
nations  and  international  agencies  in 
addressing  successfully,  in  a  noncoer- 
cive manner,  various  national,  re- 
gional, and  global  population-related  'p 
issues." 

Meanwhile,  commencing  in  late 
1975,  the  U.S.  Government's  interna- 
tional population  policy  has  beer 
coordinated  by  an  interagency  group 
comprising  representatives  of  some  18 
U  S  Government  agencies  with  inter- 
ests in  this  field.  The  second  annua, 
report  of  this  group,  prepared  in  early 
1978,  provides  the  latest  ofticia 
statement  of  U.S.  policy  on  this  sub- 
ject. It  is  unclassified  in  order  to  per- 
mit widest  possible  readership  and  to 
allow  our  government  to  benefit  fron 
the  comments  of  nongovernment  read- 
ers. For  a  more  detailed  discussion  of 
U.S.  population  assistance  programs,  a 
statement  by  the  Director  of  AID'S 
Office  of  Population  before  the  House 
Select  Committee  on  Population  on 
April  25.  1978.  may  be  obtained  from 
that  office  in  Washington, 
20523. 

The  main  task  in  the  population  area 
falls  on  nations  most  handicapped  by 
excessive  population  growth,  which 
include  the  bulk  of  the  developing 
world.  The  United  States  is  prepared 
to  play  its  full  part,  in  cooperation 
with  other  donor  nations  and  organi- 
zations, to  achieve  an  urgently  needed 
marked  expansion  of  national  popula- 
tion efforts.  It  also  seeks  attainment  ot 
the  corollary  objective  of  a  more 
equitable  distribution  of  world  re 
sources,  production,  and  consumption 
as  called  for  in  paragraph  19  of  the 
WPPA. 


I! 
IS  I 

mil 

In- 1 

CK3SW 

ik  cat 
ibilizei 

ace,  e 
lit;  hi 
Gradu 
any  gi 
e  pop 
m  hi 
ier 


id  ihi 


pop 


m. 
r: 

sl) 
DO: 
it- 
elm 
t  : 
rate 
le;. 


(December  1978 

Iankind  faces  its  greatest 
;>hallenge 

The  world  faces  the  crisis  of  a  mas- 
Jve  accretion  of  people,  partly  older 
iiople  living  longer  but  mainly  youth 
J  the  developing  countries  with  their 
iproductive  years  still  ahead  of  them. 
,]>pulation  growth  rates  must  be 
Ipidly  and  drastically  reduced  if  the 
lorld  is  not  to  become  grossly, 
jrhaps  disastrously,  overpopulated  in 
ie  coming  decades. 

Jit  is  not  just  the  teeming  nations, 
jereasingly  locked  in  poverty,  that 
Ive  cause  to  see  population  growth 
jibilized.  All  nations  concerned  with 
lace,  economic  betterment,  and  sta- 
jjlity  have  a  stake  in  the  outcome. 
I  Gradually  over  the  last  10-15  years, 
■any  governments  have  awakened  to 
|e  population  problem.  Birth  rates 
Ive  been  reduced  in  a  significant 
1  mber  of  developing  countries.  The 
jiited  Nations,  its  concerned  spe- 
<ilized  agencies,  the  World  Bank, 
i  d  the  United  States  and  other  de- 
(j  loped  nations  have  expanded  their 
ijpulation  assistance  efforts.  The  rate 
population  growth  has  declined 
1>m  about  27c  around  1970  to  about 
B-l.9%. 

But  this  is  small  basis  for  comfort. 
Sirring  nuclear  or  other  catastrophe, 
I  manity,  growing  geometrically,  is 
l:ely  to  number  about  6  billion  by 
I '00  and  at  least  8  billion  some  dec- 
I  es  later.  In  the  absence  of  more  ef- 
l:tive  national  and  international  ac- 
^>n  than  has  thus  far  been  demon- 
|ated.  it  will  reach  1 1  billion  or  more 
fore  leveling  off.   For  every  decade 


Copies  of  reprints  of  this  three-part 
series,  entitled  "World  Population:  Si- 
lent Explosion,"  may  be  obtained  for 
$1.40  each  from  the  Superintendent  of 
Documents,  U.S.  Government  Printing 
Office.  Washington,  DC.  20402  (Or- 
ders of  100  or  more  copies  of  this  Bul- 
letin Reprint  mailed  to  the  same  ad- 
dress are  sold  at  a  25%  discount.)  Re- 
mittances in  the  form  of  a  check  or 
money  order  payable  to  the  Superinten- 
dent of  Documents  must  accompany 
orders. 


of  delay  in  attainment  of  a  net  repro- 
duction rate  of  1,  the  world's  ultimate 
stabilized  population  will  be  about 
15%  (1-2  billion  souls)  greater. 

A  diminishing  but  still  significant 
number  of  governments  remain  op- 
posed to  or  ambivalent  about  popula- 
tion programs.  They  cite  alleged  need 
for  more  people  for  their  vacant  lands 
and  for  their  labor  forces,  industries, 
and  domestic  markets.  In  a  few 
resource-rich,  sparsely  populated 
countries  these  arguments  may  be 
valid.  But  for  the  bulk  of  the  de- 
veloping world,  such  beliefs,  and  the 
concept  that  "development  will  solve 
the  problem — look  at  Europe,"  are 
myths,  though  fading  myths. 

Another  myth  is  that  science  will 
take  care  of  the  problem.  Research  and 
development  are  proceeding  worldwide 
to  expand  availability  of  food,  energy, 
water,  minerals,  and  other  necessities. 
No  one  knows  science's  potential,  in  a 
finite  world  of  already  depleted  re- 
sources, to  make  life  tolerable  for  to- 
morrow's greater  numbers.  Hopefully, 
it  will  be  significant.  But  it  would  be 
foolhardy  to  assume  that  technological 
advances  will  be  forthcoming,  and  will 
be  made  sufficiently  available  in  the 
capital-poor  developing  world,  to  ena- 
ble many  new  billions  of  people  to 
sustain  themselves  when  the  world  is 
now  unable  adequately  to  feed,  house, 
and  clothe  a  third  of  its  present  4.2 
billion. 

Few  would  dispute  the  fact  that 
coping  with  population  growth  is  the 
most  complex  and  intractable  of  prob- 
lems. The  "explosion"  is  silent  and 
often  far  off,  easily  crowded  from  the 
attention  of  busy  national  leaders.  And 
though  the  role  of  such  leaders  in 
population  control  is  critical,  the 
problem  is  ultimately  one  that  must  be 
resolved  by  the  private  decisions  of 
hundreds  of  millions  of  individuals  of 
widely  varying  backgrounds  and  pro- 
pensities. Many  of  these  individuals 
have  what  to  them  are  convincing, 
practical  reasons  for  having  many 
children,  such  as  a  need  for  many 
hands  to  help  tend  the  farm  and  fetch 
firewood  and  water,  a  need  for  sons  to 
provide  security  in  old  age,  and  in- 
grained  religious   and   social    beliefs. 


47 

Such  reasoning  and  attitudes  can  be 
changed  only  over  time,  and  although 
viewpoints  are  changing  and  progress 
is  in  the  right  direction,  time  is  short. 

Attempts  to  gloss  over  population 
problems  will  only  aggravate  them. 
The  world  is  already  overpopulated 
— in  the  developed  countries  as  well  as 
the  developing — and  it  is  going  to  be- 
come much  more  so.  We  have  been 
far  too  slow  in  facing  up  to  the  issue, 
only  beginning  to  take  action  when  a 
horrendous  spectacle  of  overcrowding, 
impoverishment,  and  conflict  became 
inescapable. 

We  can  no  longer — except  through 
widespread  famine  or  other  disaster — 
avoid  a  world  of  6,  and  then  8,  bil- 
lion. But  we  can  still  avoid  one  of  11 
billion  or  more  by  quickly  raising  our 
response  to  a  new  level  of  determined, 
coordinated,  and  effective  action. 
Hundreds  of  millions  of  couples  in  the 
cities,  towns,  villages,  and  shan- 
tytowns  of  the  world  who  still  believe 
it  in  their  interest  of  have  four,  five, 
six,  or  more  children  must  be  brought 
to  change  that  assessment  and  must  be 
provided  the  means  to  do  so.  Carefully 
designed,  meaningful  government  in- 
centives and  disincentives  must  almost 
certainly  play  an  important  part  in  this 
effort. 

Whether  world  population  stabilizes 
at  8,  1 1 ,  or  more  billions,  one  thing 
seems  clear:  There  will  be  mounting 
pressure  on  resources  and  environment 
everywhere.  Awareness  of  this  fact 
has  been  slow  in  coming,  but  there  is 
now  widening  recognition  that  life- 
styles are  going  to  have  to  change. 
Fortunately,  many  religions  and  cul- 
tures already  reflect  appreciation  of 
the  intangible  and  spiritual  over  the 
material.  But  anguishing  adjustments 
remain  in  store. 

The  world  population  explosion  im- 
pacts on  almost  all  global  issues — 
food,  energy,  environment,  develop- 
ment, North-South  disparities,  and, 
most  fundamentally  of  all,  improving 
conditions  of  life  for  countless  mil- 
lions of  people.  Whether  the  world 
community  can  act  adequately  and  in 
time  to  stabilize  population  levels  will 
critically  affect  the  future  of  man- 
kind. □ 


48 


Department  of  State  Bulleti.  ■' 


SCIENCE  AND  TECHNOLOGY: 

The  Challenge  for  Development 


by  Charles  William  Maynes 

Address  before  the  symposium  held 
by  the  United  Nations  Association  in 
Washington,  D.C.,  on  September  8, 
1978,  to  discuss  the  1979  U.N.  Con- 
ference on  Science  and  Technology  for 
Development.  Mr.  Maynes  is  Assistant 
Secretary  for  International  Organiza- 
tion Affairs . 

We  live — according  to  people  who 
construct  historical  calendars — in  the 
"postindustrial  age"  of  rapid,  expo- 
nential technological  advances.  We  are 
the  principal  beneficiaries  of  these  ad- 
vances, as  well  as  the  potential  vic- 
tims. Our  daily  lives  are  punctuated,  if 
not  dictated,  by  the  commands  of  tech- 
nology. We  awake  to  the  buzzing  of  a 
digital  radio  alarm,  and  each  day's  last 
look  at  the  world  is  the  fading  white 
light  on  the  TV  screen.  In  between,  our 
rooms  are  air  conditioned,  our  personal 
data  computerized,  our  voices 
amplified,  our  wastes  recycled,  our 
bodies  deodorized,  and  too  often  our 
souls  dehumanized.  While  it  is  easy  to 
surrender  ourselves  body  and  spirit,  in 
hidden  recesses  there  are  many  who 
rebel  against  it  all  and  dream  romanti- 
cally of  an  idylic  retreat  without  cars. 
carcinogens,  or  computers.  At  the  same 
time,  they  ardently  hope  that  the  bliss 
and  blessings  of  technology  can  make 
the  lives  of  less  fortunate  fellow  beings 
greatly  improved  over  their  present  lot. 

Of  course,  we  are  schizophrenic.  We 
boast  about  our  technological  superior- 
ity, and  we  are  scared  of  it. 

We  do  want  to  share  it  with  others, 
but  with  a  label  that  "technology  can 
be  dangerous  to  your  health  " 

We  approach  the  challenge  of  sci- 
ence and  technology  for  development 
with  mixed  emotions,  with  willingness 
on  one  hand,  with  reticence  on  the 
other. 

We  need  not  consider  ourselves 
latter-day  Luddites  to  caution  against 
the  star-warish  belief  that  future  prog- 
ress in  technology  will  automatically 
resolve  all  the  problems  that  past  ad- 
vances of  technology  have  bestowed 
upon  the  present. 

We  need  not  kid  ourselves  either  that 
there  is  much  that  we  can  do  to  halt  or 
to  hasten  the  spread  of  these  problems. 
Technology  is  present,  directly  or  in- 
directly, in  the  most  remote  parts  of  the 
world — both  as  a  threat  and  a  promise. 
It   is   there   in   its   most   awesome 


apparition  —  a  potential  nuclear 
holocaust — and  it  is  there  in  its  myriad 
of  miraculous  ways  to  save  lives  and 
make  life  better.  Nor  should  we  be  so 
arrogant  as  to  presume  that  we  can 
write  a  prescription  on  how  to  save 
others  from  the  ill  effects  of  technol- 
ogy. This  is  a  type  of  magnanimity  that 
smacks  of  a  new  excuse  for  paternalism 
and  intervention. 

The  question,  therefore,  is  not 
whether  but  how.  Will  we  allow  tech- 
nology to  set  its  own  pace  and  direc- 
tion, or  will  we  control  it?  To  put  it 
strongly  and  put  it  simply,  the  issues  of 
science  and  technology  are  too  com- 
plex and  too  important  to  leave  to  sci- 
entists and  technicians.  Whether  we 
consider  the  science  and  technology  for 
development  issue  as  a  problem  or 
challenge,  we  must  at  first  realize  that 
it  is  not  foremost  a  technological  ques- 
tion, nor  economic,  nor  political  for 
that  matter.  It  is,  first  of  all,  a  question 
of  values:  What  measures  do  we  take  to 
identify  our  goals,  and  what  strategies 
do  we  adopt  to  pursue  them? 

At  the  1979  U.N.  Conference  on 
Science  and  Technology  for  Develop- 
ment (UNCSTD)  and  in  the  intervening 
preparatory  period,  we  must  grasp  and 
come  to  grips  with  this  question.  My 
purpose  here  today  is  not  to  offer  de- 
finitive responses  but  to  outline  some 
areas  in  which  the  science  and  technol- 
ogy issue  must  be  raised: 

•  Since  this  is  going  to  be  a  U.N. 
conference,  to  describe  the  evolving 
role  of  the  United  Nations  in  science 
and  technology  for  development; 

•  To  put  the  science  and  technology 
issue  in  the  perspective  where  it  be- 
longs, in  the  framework  of  global 
economy;  and 

•  To  discuss  the  organizing  princi- 
ples that  should  imbue  all  efforts  to 
apply  science  and  technology  for 
development. 

Role  of  the  United  Nations 

Those  of  you  who  follow  the  United 
Nations  know  of  the  growing  complex- 
ity of  the  Organization  and  of  the  vast 
number  of  agencies,  commissions, 
subcommissions,  conferences,  and 
meetings  that  are  subsumed  within  the 
U.N.  system.  Since  the  United  Nations 
was  created  in  San  Francisco  33  years 
ago,  not  very  much  has  been  left  un- 
changed. Not  only  has  the  membership 
tripled — from  51    nations  to    150 — but 


the  character  and  even  the  mulliplicit 
of  the  issues  being  addressed  have  bee 
vastly  transformed.  The  budget — noi 
nearly  $2.5  billion  annually — is  fou 
times  what  it  was  just  10  years  ago. 

In  1947.  the  United  States  partic 
pated  officially  in  about  200  interna 
tional  conferences.  Today,  30  year 
later,  we  send  delegations  to  more  tha 
1 ,000  international  meetings — bot 
within  and  outside  the  U.N 
system — an  activity  that  involves  som}™1 
5,400  delegates. 

Inevitably,  in  this  process  of  growtIfa! 
scientific  and  technological  subjeci 
have  received  extensive  treatmen 
There  is  almost  no  way  to  talk  aboi 
increasing  food  production,  improvin 
diets,  purifying  water,  identifying  an 
extracting  minerals,  controlling  th 
spread  of  deserts,  predicting  th 
weather,  protecting  the  environmen 
applying  safeguards  on  nuclear  instai 
lations,  or  any  of  hundreds  of  otht 
topics  that  arise  within  the  United  N; 
tions  system  without  in  some  substai 
tial  way  getting  into  the  scientific  an 
technological  area.  A  1977  U.N.  stuc 
showed  that  at  least  $65  million  a  yea 
is  being  devoted  to  science  and  teel 
nology  activities  under  the  specif 
mandates  of  various  U.N.  specialize 
agencies. 

Fifteen  years  have  passed  since  tHfit 
U.N.  Conference  on  the  Application  i 
Science  and  Technology  for  the  Benet 
of  the  Less  Developed  Areas  (UP 
CAST,  as  it  was  appropriately  called 
Not  only  has  there  been  signified 
growth  and  change  in  technology  du 
ing  that  period,  but  the  world  scene- 
and  particularly  the  involvement  of  d' 
veloping  countries  in  world  issues — hi  t 
changed  considerably  since  1963. 

It  may  now  fairly  be  said  that  twife 
thirds  of  the  membership  of  the  Unite 
Nations  falls  into  the  broad  category  < 
developing  country  or  less  develops 
country  (LDC).  There  has  been  a  tei 
dency  to  regard  these  nations  as  a  reli 
tively  homogeneous  group,  and  te 
minology  such  as  the  "Third  World, 
the  "nonaligned,"  and  the  "Group  < 
77"  have  contributed  to  this  impre 
sion.  And  I  concede  that  sometimt 
these  countries  have  been  able  to  spea 
in  relative  unison  on  important  worl 
issues — although  their  capacity  to  do  .k 
waxes  and  wanes. 

Nevertheless,  there  are  vital  diffe 
ences  between  these  nations  which  w 
need  to  take  into  account.  Some  c 
these  countries  are  actually  "donor 
countries — giving  economic  and  tec! 
nical  assistance  to  others  (and  to  us 
There  are  also  significant  differences  i 
terms  of  size,  population,  natural  rt 
sources,  forms  of  government 
ideological  approaches  to  world  issue: 


l 


it; 
T; 
I 

[.-. 
it 

" 

It! 
■\ 
til 


IK 


December  1978 


49 


nd  stages  of  development.  And  natu- 
[Hlly  the  scientific  and  technological 

iterests  and  requirements  of  these 

Duntries  differ  markedly. 
f1  As  global  power  relations  shift  and 
^ew  actors  or  groups  of  actors  emerge, 
jp  has  the  United  Nations  changed — 
Bom  a  sideshow  of  big-power  conflict 
jito  the  central  stage  of  a  global  theater 
jivolving  all  nations.  And  our  relation- 
pip  to  the  United  Nations  and  our  es- 
fmation  of  it  have  changed  as  well.  We 
,o  longer  command  automatic 
Majorities  as  we  had  once  upon  a  time, 
|:>r  are  we  any  longer  the  butt  of  all 
•  plomatic  maneuvers  and  rhetoric  as 
le  were  not  so  long  ago.  As  the  United 
jations  matures,  we  are  maturing  with 
I.  As  its  agenda  grows,  our  diplomacy 
peonies  more  cognizant  of  the  poten- 
ijilities  of  multilateral  diplomacy. 
|  At  the  close  of  the  32d  U.N.  General 

ssembly  last  December,  our  Ambas- 
lidor.  Andy  Young,  told  the  Assembly 
:  at  they  had  just  participated  in  what 
lid  been  in  many  ways  "the  most  con- 
tractive session  in  many  years."  We 

.  .  .  have  seen  a  clearer  consensus  of 
lie  concerned  emerge,"  he  said,   "to 

place  some  of  the  politics  of  frustra- 
lin  which  seemed  often  to  drive  the 
lork  of  the  Assembly  in  the  past." 

irtainly  it  is  our  hope  that  the  tone  of 

at  Assembly  will  continue  into  the 
I  xt  one,  which  begins  September  19, 

id  into  the  many  other  U.N.  forums  in 

hich  negotiations  take  place. 
I  Clearly  contributing  to  the  lessening 

tension — as  well  as  being  in  our  own 
Sterests — have  been  U.S.  efforts  to 
i  ing  about  a  peaceful  settlement  in  the 

iddle  East,  our  increased  attention  to 
ie  problems  of  southern  Africa,  the 
jid  of  the  U.S.  role  in  Vietnam,  and 
|<e  signing  and  ratification  of  the 
.linama  Canal  treaties. 
I  The  growing  diplomatic  strength  of 
le  developing  countries  reflects  their 
Icreasing  clout  in  the  global  economic 
lene.  Except  for  the  oil  crisis,  how- 
I'er,  few  people  realize  this.  They 
itmtinue  to  consider  the  developing 
Imntries,  at  best  and  at  worst,  as 
lirely  a  concern  for  foreign  aid — in 
I hich,  if  we  must  be  concerned,  the 
Inked  Nations  might  as  well  also  have 
I  role. 

I  But  this  perception  is  rather  anach- 
Inistic.  Indeed,  far  more  than  one- 
lird  of  our  foreign  trade  is  with  less 
|:veloped  countries.  They  purchase 
|>out  35%  of  America's  exports  and 
I  count  for  45%  of  our  imports.  We 
I'll  more  manufactured  goods  to 
IDC's  than  to  Western  Europe,  Japan, 
|jid  the  Communist  countries  com- 
flned.  We  depend  on  them  for  over 
U/o-thirds  of  our  demand  for  bauxite, 
m\,  natural  rubber,  and  other  strategic 


materials.  And  they  purchase  50%  of 
our  wheat  exports;  60%  of  our  cotton 
exports;  70%  of  our  rice  exports;  and 
half  or  more  of  our  exports  of  industrial 
machinery,  electrical  machinery,  and 
aircraft.  So  it  should  not  come  as  a 
surprise  that  at  the  United  Nations — 
where  the  developing  countries  are  in  a 
majority — global  economic  issues  have 
become  a  major  preoccupation. 

Still,  we  tend  to  see  these  issues  in 
confrontational  terms — as  if  negotia- 
tions to  construct  a  new  and  more  effi- 
cient world  economic  order  were  a  zero 
sum  game  where  the  gains  of  a  set  of 
nations  should  automatically  register  as 
a  loss  for  others.  Nothing  could  be 
farther  from  truth  and  reality.  The  vi- 
tality and  economic  growth  of  these 
countries  are  vitally  important  to  the 
health  of  the  industrialized  world.  The 
world  economy  is  not  going  to  get  out 
of  the  doldrums  until  and  unless  the 
developing  nations  are  aided — or,  at 
least,  not  hindered — in  making  prog- 
ress on  their  own. 

We  also  need  to  recognize  that  the 
ways  in  which  these  countries  develop 
are  vital  to  the  future  quality  of  our 


and  technology  in  the  context  of  the 
global  economy. 

The  Global  Economy 

Ever  since  the  1974  call  of  the  so- 
called  Group  of  77  for  the  new  interna- 
tional economic  order,  one  U.N.  con- 
ference after  the  other  has  repeatedly 
focused  on  the  structural  context  of 
specific  issues — such  as  debt  relief,  a 
common  fund  for  trade  in  commodities, 
higher  levels  of  resource  transfers  for 
development,  access  to  markets,  and 
terms  of  trade  and  investment.  The 
subject  of  technology  is  very  much  part 
and  parcel  of  the  demands  of  the  new 
international  economic  order  and  very 
much  —  on  a  first  order  of  mag- 
nitude— a  question  of  structure. 

It  would  be  again  anachronistic  and 
folly  to  think  that  the  upcoming  U.N. 
conference  will  be  nothing  but  a  grand 
charity  fair  where  we,  the  possessors 
and  producers  of  science  and  technol- 
ogy, will  consent  to  spread  its  benefits 
for  the  development  of  the  Third 
World.  Our  interest  in  participation  is 
not  simply  a  case  of  responding  to 


.  .  .  at  least  $65  million  a  year  is  being  devoted  to  science  and  tech- 
nology activities  under  the  specific  mandates  of  various  U.N.  spe- 
cialized agencies. 


lives  and  our  very  own  survival.  Issues 
such  as  pollution,  environmental  pro- 
tection, nonrenewable  natural  re- 
sources, food  production,  narcotics 
traffic,  disease  control,  fertility  rates, 
management  of  the  ocean  and  the  deep 
seabeds,  the  handling  of  nuclear  power 
sources,  satellite  communication  and 
information  gathering,  and  the  limita- 
tion of  nuclear  and  conventional  arms 
all  directly  affect  the  United  States. 

Science  and  technology  is  not  unlike 
the  major  political  economic  and  social 
issues  that  interlock  the  United  States 
and  the  developing  world.  The  benefits 
of  technology  we  enjoy  cannot  remain 
our  monopoly  if  their  harmful  effects 
are  a  global  burden.  What  we  face  in 
this  area  is  not  just  a  question  of 
equity,  of  fairness,  of  morality.  It  is 
also  a  question  of  necessity  and  of 
expediency.  It  is  a  necessity  because 
the  topic  of  science  and  technology 
cannot  be  separated  from  the  global 
issue  of  the  economy.  It  is  an  expe- 
diency because  the  potential  contribu- 
tion of  the  developing  countries  to  sci- 
ence and  technology  is  a  resource  that 
only  people  with  the  worst  business 
and  common  sense  would  underesti- 
mate.  So  let  me  now  turn  to  science 


Third  World  demands.  It  is  time  that 
we  approach  the  question  of  science 
and  technology  for  development  not  as 
another  drain  on  our  resources  but  as 
an  occasion  to  get  back  into  the 
mainstream  of  global  technological  de- 
velopment. Trends  that  have  recently 
come  to  my  attention  should  prick  the 
balloon  of  our  arrogance  and  counsel 
greater  realism. 

•  Our  growing  trade  imbalance  is 
not  only  the  result  of  oil  imports  but 
also  due  to  the  growing  importation  of 
foreign  manufactured  goods. 

•  In  contrast  to  about  10  years  ago, 
foreigners  claim  35%  of  all  patents  is- 
sued in  the  United  States,  and  the  share 
of  U.S.  inventions  has  been  declining 
steadily. 

•  The  rate  of  growth  of  pro- 
ductivity— an  indicator  of  technolog- 
ical innovation — in  the  United  States  is 
only  half  of  what  it  was  in  the  previous 
20  years,  while  growth  rates  in  Japan 
and  Europe  are  on  the  rise. 

•  U.S.  investment  in  research  and 
development  has  not  grown  in  the  last 
10  years,  in  contrast  to  the  10%  growth 
rates  we  enjoyed  in  the  1950's  and 
1960's. 


50 

On  the  other  hand,  from  the  LDC 
point  of  view,  you  don't  have  to  be  a 
card-carrying  member  of  the  Group  of 
77  to  at  least  acknowledge  that  the 
ground  rules  of  the  global  situation  of 
technology  are  in  need  of  reform  and  in 
the  long  run  self-defeating.  Father 
Theodore  Hesburgh,  head  of  the  U.S. 
delegation  to  the  U.N.  conference,  has 
highlighted  some  of  these  issues — and 
let  me  add  some  of  my  own. 

•  As  long  as  most  technology,  re- 
gardless of  field  or  effect,  is  a  com- 
modity that  is  bought  by  those  who  can 
best  afford  it  and  not  by  those  who 
most  need  it,  weaker  countries  may 
have  inadequate  access  to  potentially 
helpful  technologies. 

•  Those  without  technology  cannot 
expect  something  for  nothing  but  those 
with  technology  should  not  expect  too 
much  for  too  little.  If  there  cannot  be  a 
free  lunch  for  the  poor,  there  also 
should  not  be  a  free  lunch  for  the  rich. 

•  A  free  market  in  technology 
should  also  be  a  fair  market  which 
means  knowledge  and  expertise  on  the 
part  of  the  buyer  at  least  equal  to  that 
enjoyed  by  the  seller. 

•  A  role  for  the  international  com- 
munity is  to  equalize  knowledge  and 
expertise. 

Acknowledgement  of  the  existence 
of  these  ground  rules  is  not  an 
ideological  stance  but  a  statement  of 
fact  that  even  the  most  diehard  oppo- 
nents or  proponents  of  a  new  interna- 
tional economic  order  should  readily 
admit. 

There  is  no  reason  to  view  the  callers 
for  reform  of  the   international  eco- 


the  target  of  science  and  technology 
transfers. 

As  long  as  we  regard  technology  as  a 
commodity  that  is  produced  "here" 
and  sold  "over  there,"  we  are  not 
really  addressing  the  crucial  issue  of 
technology  transfer.  There  is  little  that 
we  can  negotiate  away  at  the  expense 
of  the  incentives  of  private  industry. 
Diplomats  do  not  have  technology; 
businessmen  do.  But,  if  we  consider 
that  the  principal  issue  in  technology  is 
not  the  transfer  of  products  but  a  proc- 
ess, we  should  have  a  totally  new  per- 
ception of  the  role  governments — and 
the  private  sector — can  play. 

Contrary  to  sophisticated  wisdom 
about  wasted  efforts  for  reinventing  the 
wheel,  it  can  in  the  long  run  be  much 
cheaper  and  much  more  productive  to 
foster  that  discovery  than  to  continue  to 
buy  the  wheels  from  the  exporter.  What 
I  am  talking  about  is  not  a  simplistic 
import  substitution.  Rather,  I  suggest 
that  we  assist  the  developing  countries 
to  adopt  a  process  that  permits  their 
own  people  to  learn  (even  if  what  they 
learn  is  already  known),  to  invent 
(even  if  what  they  discover  already 
exists),  and  to  create  (even  if  what  they 
produce  is  already  available).  If  we  ac- 
cept this,  we  can  advance  radically 
different  offers  into  the  global  bar- 
gaining over  the  new  international  eco- 
nomic order. 

The  world  cannot  be  divided  into 
producers,  purchasers,  creators,  and 
users  of  technology  without  the  con- 
tinuing prospect  of  confrontation.  The 
transfer  of  the  processes  of  tech- 
nology— enhancing  the  recipients' 
capacity   to   understand,   adapt,   use. 


It  is  time  that  we  approach  the  question  of  science  and  technology  for 

development  not  as  another  drain  on  our  resources  but  as  an  occasion 
to  get  hack  into  the  mainstream  of  global  technological  development. 


nomic  system  as  people  with  a  chip  on 
their  shoulders,  nor  is  there  justifica- 
tion to  side  with  ideologues  against  the 
facts  of  life.  These  ground  rules — or 
complaints — cannot  be  wished  away, 
but  they  can  be  addressed  in  a  spirit  of 
cooperation  instead  of  confrontation. 

In  order  to  prepare  for  cooperation, 
we  should  perhaps  consider  three  chal- 
lenges. One  refers  to  the  question  of 
how  we  view  technology;  the  second 
assesses  what  we  realistically  can  do; 
and  the  third  concerns  the  question  of 
the  type  of  development  that  should  be 


manage,  maintain,  and  market  their 
own  technologies — does  not  reduce  the 
margin  of  profit  of  the  sellers  from  the 
industrialized  countries.  It  only  in- 
creases the  likelihood  that  the  right 
items  are  transferred. 

The  transfer  of  the  processes  of 
technology  is  the  only  self-reliant  ap- 
proach that  can  narrow  in  the  long  run 
the  technological  gap  between  the  de- 
veloping and  the  industrial  world  and 
permit  the  developing  countries  to 
contribute  their  talent  to  global  pros- 
perity. 


[01 


lie 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

This  cannot,  of  course,  be  done  by 
fiat.  Technology  transfer  is  already  a 
two-way  flow,  but  one  stream  will,  to  a 
large  extent  and  for  a  long  time,  remain 
bigger  than  the  other  representing  a 
large  net  flow  of  commodities  from  the 
"haves"  to  the  "have-nots"  with  all 
the  disadvantages  that  the  ground  rulesL 
of  reality  have  predetermined.  Bu: 
these  disadvantages  need  not  be  so  un- 
fair and  so  flagrantly  inequitable  thai  j( 
all  the  burdens  are  placed  on  the  de 
veloping  countries  and  that  we  harrr 
ourselves  in  the  long  run.  There  an 
courses  we  can  take  and  programs  tha 
we  can  support  to  make  the  unequa 
partners  in  the  technology  bargain  a 
least  "more  equal.  " 

The  enhancement  of  the  bargaininj 
power  of  the  purchasers  of  technolog; 
would  not  drive  legitimate  private  en 
terprise  out  of  business  but  only  thos< 
at  the  margin  who  benefit  themselve 
in  the  short  run  more  than  they  do  soci 
ety  in  the  long  run.  The  dumping  o 
unnecessary  technologies,  the  persua 
sion  of  people  to  buy  what  they  can' 
use,  the  one-shot  deals — these  are  nc 
sound  business  practices.  There  is  n« 
reason,  in  short,  that  the  private  secto 
cannot  play  a  major  role  to  its  own  ad 
vantage  as  well  as  to  the  advantage  c 
the  developing  countries.  Indeed,  ther 
are  several  ideas  and  programs  the 
could  offer  some  incremental  remedies 


el 


r 


•  We  could  increase  the  informatio 
base  in  the  developing  countries  jj 
permit  them  to  select  what  they  nee 
from  the  international  supermarket  c 
technology — to  reject  what  they  do  nc 
need,  to  choose  among  the  offerings,  t 
find  what  is  most  appropriate  and  ecc 
nomical  to  their  development  needs,  fit 
long  as  the  sellers  have  the  advantag 
in  this  information,  they  contribute  t 
waste  and  missed  opportunities. 

•  We  could  decentralize  and  shi 
more  research  and  development  to  th 
developing  countries — not  only  be 
cause  it  is  politically  wise  or  morall 
right,  but  because  it  is  a  good  inves 
ment.  Countries  like  India,  Pakistar 
Korea,  and  Taiwan  show  the  potenti; 
we  have.  Research  and  developmei 
that  are  more  locally  based  an 
oriented  toward  indigenous  resource: 
needs,  and  demands  contribute  not  onl 
to  the  growth  of  self-reliant  capacitie 
but  to  a  widening  of  markets. 

•  We  could  facilitate  technolog 
transfer  and  technological  cooperatic 
not  only  between  the  North  and  Soul 
but  also  among  the  developing  cout 
tries  themselves,  where  there  ai 
smaller  risks  for  the  transfer  of  inat 
propriate  technology  among  unequ 
partners.   The  just  concluded   U.r* 


:, 


December  1978 


51 


(fTonference  on  Technical  Cooperation 
\mong  Developing  Countries  is  a  gen- 
Hle  reminder  of  the  arrogance  in  pre- 
suming that  we  are  an  indispensable 
•learinghouse  for  the  flow  and  circula- 
tion of  technology. 


Organizing  Principles 

i    Finally,  let  me  turn  my  attention  to 
the  type  of  development  for  which  we 
must  consider  science  and  technology. 
I    Of  course,  we  are  aware  that  the  sci- 
ence and  technology  needs  of  the  dif- 
(erent   developing   countries   vary 
recording  to  each  one's  stage  of  de- 
velopment, its  industrial  base,  its  nat- 
ral  and  capital  resources,  and  its  ab- 
|orptive  capacities.  But  whichever  way 
/e  approach  the  question,  the  basic 
•  remise  is  that  it  is  people,  and  not  im- 
ersonal   forces,   which   technology 
jught  to  serve.  We  should  not  presume 
n  have  the  industrialized  world,  or  the 
I  Inited  States  for  that  matter,  determine 
'hat  is  most  appropriate  to  their  needs 
r  how  best  they  can  go  about  meeting 
lem.  One  thing,  however,  is  certain, 
he  appropriate  technology  is  not  a 
age   in  technological   sophistication, 
i  or  simply  a  calculus  among  the  factors 
if  production.    What   is  appropriate, 
lierefore,  is  a  technology  that  is  de- 
gned  on  a  human  scale  to  meet  human 
'eeds. 
The  foreign   policy  commitment  of 
merica  to  human  rights  encompasses 
le  attention  to  basic  human  needs  and, 
terefore,  we  cannot  discuss  science 
id  technology  for  development  with- 
lut  reference  to  them. 

Let's  face  it,  however:  some  dif- 
i  culties  have  risen  in  implementing  a 
lasic  human  needs  strategy — some  of 
ur  own  making,  some  not. 
|  Permit  me  to  deal  at  first  with  a  dif- 
culty  of  our  own  making.  We  have, 
tadvertently  perhaps,  not  been  force- 
il  enough  in  emphasizing  that  for  us 
conomic  rights — or  basic  human 
eeds — are  coeminent  with  civil  and 
olitical  rights.  We  have  said  it  and  at 
igh  levels.  We  have  thus  seemed  to 
Dnvey  to  the  Third  World  a  garbled 
tessage  on  basic  human  needs  through 
implistic  perfunctory  references  to 
jch  sectoral  concerns  as  food,  popu- 
ition,  health,  and  rural  development, 
hey  have  received  our  message  with 
istifiable  misapprehension.  For 
'hether  intended  or  not,  many  of  them 
se  in  our  preoccupation  with  basic 
uman  needs  yet  another  prescription 
Dr  paternalistic   redemption   at   best. 


and  at  worst  an  attempt  "to  keep  them 
on  the  farm"  and  exclude  them  from 
the  global  process  of  industrialization 
and  economic  growth. 

This  is  unfortunate.  By  emphasizing 
basic  human  needs  development 
strategies,  we  have  had  no  intention  of 
excluding  any  country  from  the  global 
processes  of  economic  growth.  Nor 
have  we  ever  contemplated  relegating 
the  poor  to  simply  a  position  of  global 
concern  or  excluding  them  from  par- 


though  we  admire  the  new  term  "ap- 
propriate" as  if  it  were  a  philosopher's 
stone. 

•  We  do  know,  case-by-case,  the 
up-front  cost  of  newly  introduced  tech- 
nologies, but  rarely  do  we  bother  to 
calculate  their  life-cycle  costs,  includ- 
ing energy  requirements  and  cost  of 
operation  and  maintenance. 

•  We  do  know  that  some  new  tech- 
nologies introduced  will  have  inevita- 
ble environmental   impacts — pollution 


.  .  .  the  real  issue  is  not  what  science  and  technology  can  do  to  meet 
the  basic  human  needs  of  people  but  how  best  people  can  use  and 
control  science  and  technology  to  meet  their  basic  needs.  .  .  . 


ticipation  in  their  own  development. 
For  us,  basic  human  needs  strategies 
cannot  mean  anything  but  the  partici- 
pation of  those  in  need  in  the  process 
of  defining  their  needs,  designing  ways 
to  respond  to  them,  utilizing  resources 
they  can  contribute,  and  working  to- 
ward ends  that  they  determine. 

So  when  we  pose  the  challenge  of 
science  and  technology  for  develop- 
ment, the  real  issue  is  not  what  science 
and  technology  can  do  to  meet  the 
basic  human  needs  of  the  poor  but  how 
best  the  poor  can  use  science  and  tech- 
nology to  meet  their  own  basic  needs. 
To  me  this  should  be  the  first  organiz- 
ing principle  for  UNCSTD. 

Another  set  of  difficulties  is  not  so 
much  of  our  making,  but  it  stems  from 
our  ignorance.  Let's  face  it,  we  know 
too  little  about  how  science  and  tech- 
nology in  development  affect  the  poor 
or  what  the  best  intervention  strategies 
are.  Even  if  we  accept  the  first  or- 
ganizing principle  that  I  have  just 
mentioned,  we  know  more  about  what 
not  to  do  than  what  we  should  do. 


•  We  do  know  that  the  appropriate 
choice  of  technologies  for  development 
depends  upon  the  value  choices  of  the 
one  who  intends  to  use  them,  but  we  do 
not  know  how  we  can  determine  that 
fairly. 

•  We  do  know  that  the  introduction 
of  new  technologies  can  create  sharp 
discontinuities  between  the  existing 
ones  and  the  new  ones,  with  harmful 
effects  on  a  people's  culture  and  with 
dislocating  impact  on  their  economic 
endowment  factors.  We  do  not  know, 
however,   what  is  appropriate — even 


and  the  like — but  we  often  fail  to  make 
the  correct  cost/benefit  calculations  as 
they  relate  to  social  and  political  in- 
stitutions. 

•  We  do  know  that  self-reliance  is 
the  only  reasonable  response  to  con- 
tinual technological  dependence,  but 
we  do  not  understand  the  dependency 
factors  that  relate  to  capital,  manage- 
ment, or  markets. 

I  return  to  the  first  organizing  prin- 
ciple that  I  described  a  few  minutes 
ago.  In  somewhat  rephrased  fashion  the 
principle  is  that  the  real  issue  is  not 
what  science  and  technology  can  do  to 
meet  the  basic  human  needs  of  people 
but  how  best  people  can  use  and  con- 
trol science  and  technology  to  meet 
their  basic  needs — with  our  help. 

By  adding  the  expression  "with  our 
help,"  I  mean  precisely  what  I  say: 
Not  with  us  defining  what  the  needs 
are,  not  with  us  designing  ways  to  meet 
them,  not  with  us  deciding  in  what  di- 
rection the  process  should  unfold. 

The  Conference  on  Science  and 
Technology  for  Development  will  take 
place  in  a  global  milieu  very  different 
from  the  one  in  which  UNCAST  oc- 
curred in  1963.  We  no  longer  com- 
mand the  world's  diplomacy,  and  so  be 
it,  for  it  is  a  greater  challenge  this  way. 
We  are  not  the  economic  czar  of  the 
world  anymore,  and  so  be  it,  for  it  is 
not  the  abundance  of  our  riches  but  the 
vitality  of  our  system  that  commands 
attention.  And  finally,  we  have  gotten 
to  the  point  where  we  admit  that  we  do 
not  always  know  everything — and  it  is 
just  about  time  for  others'  needs  to  be 
heard  and  we  need  to  listen.  This  time 
around  UNCAST  can  be  rightly  cast.D 


52 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


SOUTH  ASIA:        Superpotvers 
and  Regional  Alliances 


by  David  D.  Newsom 

Address  before  the  Council  on 
Foreign  Relations  in  New  York  on 
October  IS,  1978.  Ambassador 
Newsom  is  Under  Secretory  for  Politi- 
cal Affairs. 

One  of  the  personalities  I  remember 
most  vividly  from  my  diplomatic  career 
was  the  first  Iraqi  representative  to 
Pakistan,  Abdul  Qadir  Gaylani.  Abdul 
Qadir  Gaylani  grew  up  in  and  around 
the  900-year-old  mosque  of  his  ances- 
tors in  Baghdad.  As  a  boy,  he  learned, 
from  the  pilgrims,  of  the  lands  that  lay 
to  the  east  and  to  the  west.  By  adult- 
hood, he  spoke  fluently  not  only  his 
native  Arabic  but  Farsi,  Pushtu,  Urdu, 
and  Hindi.  He  undoubtedly  knew  some 
of  Burubashi,  Tamil,  and  Banghali.  He 
stayed  through  most  of  his  life  in  Paki- 
stan, becoming  Ambassador  and  dying 
there,  a  revered  man  of  Islam.  His 
tomb  is  a  point  of  pilgrimage  in 
Karachi  today. 

His  life  illustrates  two  facts  of  that 
area  we  often  refer  to  loosely  as  South 
Asia:  its  common  ties,  largely  through 
Islam,  and  its  diversity.  From  the  time 
of  Alexander,  this  area  has  been  one  of 
interest  and  fascination  to  nations  be- 
yond its  borders.  Since  Alexander's 
day,  other  actors  from  outside  have 
tried  to  exercise  influence  or  power  to 
the  exclusion  of  others.  The  great  pow- 
ers of  the  19th  century  viewed  southern 
Asia  as  a  focal  point  of  international 
rivalry.  British  and  Russian  im- 
perialism met  across  the  Hindu  Kush. 
If  after  the  Second  World  War  some 
players  changed,  the  region  was  still  an 
area  of  direct  competition  between  out- 
side powers. 

Marilyn  Berger  fof  the  Council  on 
Foreign  Relations  staff]  has  given  a 
title  for  my  remarks  today  — 
"Superpowers  and  Regional  Al- 
liances." I  would  like  to  address  that 
subject  in  a  somewhat  broader  context 
than  is  implied  by  its  military  over- 
tones. 

There  is  no  doubt  that  the  fears  of 
history  remain  in  the  area  today.  In 
many  of  the  countries,  the  American 
visitor  is  met  by  expressions  of  deep 
concern  about  the  possibly  conflicting 
ambitions  of  outside  powers. 

While  one  cannot  ignore  either  his- 
tory or  the  ambitions  of  nations,  it  is 
our  strong  hope  that  the  future  of  these 
countries  will  lie  in  their  hands  and  not 
those  of  others. 


Even  the  definition  of  South  Asia  is 
a  shifting  thing.  It  was  once  defined  as 
the  subcontinent.  Today  there  is 
emerging  clearly  a  commonness  of 
interest  and  a  growing  intercourse  be- 
tween all  those  nations  which  were  the 
world  of  Abdul  Qadir  Gaylani  —  those 
which  stretch  from  the  Red  Sea  to  the 
eastern  borders  of  the  subcontinent.  It 
is  of  our  relations  with  this  area  that  1 
shall  speak  today. 

It  is  not  possible  to  divide  the  world 
into  neat  segments.  The  countries  of 
the  traditional  Near  East  also  relate  to 
this  area.  Their  problems  and  concerns 
continue  to  influence  the  course  of 
events  in  these  neighbors  to  the  south 
and  east.  But  that  set  of  issues  would 
represent  another  speech  —  or  series  of 
speeches. 

The  relationship  of  the  United  States 
with  these  nations  of  South  Asia  began 
through  commerce  early  in  the  19th 
century.  Missionaries  and  teachers 
followed,  particularly  in  Persia  and 
India.  Americans  pioneered  the  de- 
velopment of  oil  resources  in  the  Gulf 
and  the  Arabian  Peninsula. 

We  watched  with  keen  interest  as 
nationalism  and  the  independence 
movement  grew  in  India.  This  was  one 
of  the  first  areas  where  our  identifica- 
tion with  modern  decolonization  pro- 
voked the  irritation  of  the  metropole. 

In  our  new  role  in  the  postwar  period 
we  sought  to  insure  that  nations  in  this 
area  were  not  threatened  as  they  were 
in  Eastern  Europe.  We  backed  strongly 
Iran's  resolve  in  1946  to  maintain  its 
territorial  integrity. 

In  our  preoccupation  with  the  outside 
threats  to  the  area,  we  were,  no  doubt, 
not  sufficiently  conscious  of  the  con- 
flicting motives  of  the  nations  of  the 
area  in  joining  with  us.  They  had  their 
local  objectives,  their  local  rivalries 
which  often  transcended  their  concern 
over  external  forces. 

We  nevertheless  found  sufficient 
support  for  a  series  of  local  alliances 
which  culminated  in  the  Baghdad  Pact 
in  1955.  This  became  the  Central 
Treaty  Organization  (CENTO)  in  1958. 
We  have  never  felt  we  could  formally 
adhere  to  CENTO,  but  we  have  con- 
tinued to  support  it  as  an  instrument  for 
cooperation  in  the  area  and  as  a  symbol 
of  common  interest. 

Today,  our  policy  focus  toward  the 
region  has  changed  as  the  region,  it- 
self, has  changed.  The  one-dimensional 
strategic  view  of  the  1950's  and  early 
1960's  has  been  replaced  by  a  more  di- 


verse and  more  complex  outlook,  par 
ticularly  as  the  countries  of  the  are; 
have  increased  their  ability  to  defenc 
their  own  interests  against  outsiders. 

U.S.  Objectives 

We  can  define  our  policies  in  this  re 
gion  in  terms  of  six  broad  objectives: 

•  To  encourage  and  strengthen  inde 
pendent  nations,  free  from  dominatioi 
by  outside  powers; 

•  To  assist,  through  investment 
trade,  and,  where  appropriate,  aid  in  th 
economic  and  social  development  o 
these  nations; 

•  To  encourage  regional  cooperatio 
in  overcoming  common  economic  am 
security  problems  and  in  resolving  dis 
putes  and  conflicts  among  the  states  c 
the  region; 

•  To  respond  appropriately  to  th 
defense  needs  of  these  nations; 

•  To  insure  that  the  development  c 
peaceful  nuclear  technology  is  consist 
ent  with  nonproliferation;  and 

•  To  encourage  the  observance  ( 
human  rights,  in  all  aspects  —  politica 
social,  and  economic. 


k 


Encouraging  Independent  Nation: 

The  visitor  to  the  area  today  is  im 
pressed  that  the  United  States  is  sti 
regarded  as  relevant  to  the  area — ju: 
as  we  regard  the  area  as  relevant  an 
important  to  us. 

It  is  not  surprising,  given  history  an 
the  continuation  of  traditional  cor 
cerns.  that  many  still  look  to  the  Unite  P 
States  as  the  central  actor  in  respondin 
to  a  perceived  threat.  Many  are  cor 
cerned  that  recent  events  in  the  are* 
particularly  in  Afghanistan  and  th 
Yemen,  are  signs  that  outside  force 
still  seek  to  destabilize  the  region  an 
to  increase  the  threat  of  radical  solt 
tions  to  its  myriad  problems.  They  loo 
to  the  United  States  for  understandin| 
for  reassurance,  and  for  signs  that  w 
will  help  to  meet  their  needs. 

We  fully  understand  these  concern? 
whether  or  not  we  share  precisely  th 
same  perception  of  these  events  or  thei 
causes.  Just  as  we  do  not  underestimat 
possible  dangers  to  the  South  Asia  an 
Middle  East  region,  others  should  nc 
underestimate  American  resolve  an 
willingness  to  support  our  friends  i 
safeguarding  their  integrity  and  inde 
pendence. 

The  closeness  of  our  relations  wit 
the  countries  in  this  area,  quite  natu  ■& 
rally,  varies.   With  one  country,  th  '■•' 


:'. 


t 


E) 
til 


Jecember  1978 

feople's  Democratic  Republic  of 
jemen.  we  have  no  relations.  With 
feq,  we  have  no  formal  relations,  but 
I  Interests  Section  in  the  Belgian  Em- 
Issy.  In  each  case,  the  choice  is  that 
ii  the  other  country. 

There  are  those  who  suggest  that  we 
low  our  displeasure  with  the  policies 
j  specific  countries  through  the  with- 
iilding  of  diplomatic  relations  or, 
iiere  pertinent,  of  aid.  It  is  our  feeling 
lat,  so  long  as  we  can  have  effective 
id  dignified  access  to  a  country  and 
■n  contribute  to  development  in  a  con- 
ductive way,  we  should  maintain  our 
jlations  with  it.  It  has  proven,  in 
jnerican  diplomacy,  far  harder  to  re- 
in to  a  country  than  to  leave  it. 
(Although  we  no  longer  look  at  the 
Izion  exclusively  through  the  prism  of 
Ist-West  rivalry,  we  know  that  the 
Iviet  Union  sees  important  interests 
n  its  own  in  South  Asia.  Historically 
I'  Soviet  Union  has  sought  to  improve 
I  access  to  the  Indian  Ocean.  As  the 
■  ategic  and  economic  importance  of 
I'  region  has  grown,  attempts  by  the 
fiviet  Union  to  build  its  influence  may 
h  expected  to  continue.  We  have  no 
Isire  to  return  to  the  rhetoric  and 
jlitical  environment  of  the  1950's  and 
|50's.  It  remains  true,  however,  that 
ly  attempt  by  the  Soviet  Union  to 
liieve  its  objectives  through  the 
jliievement  of  predominant  and  exclu- 
de influence  over  individual  nations 
Si  that  area  is  not  in  our  interest  nor  do 
9  believe  it  to  be  in  the  interest  of  the 
B  ions  concerned. 

I  Assisting  Socioeconomic  Develop- 

f  Tit.  The  resources  of  this  region  are 

I  interest  to  all  nations.  The  United 

I  tes  obtains  27%  of  its  imported  pe- 

lleum  requirements  from  this  region. 

1  r  allies  in  Western  Europe  and  Japan 

1/e  an  even  greater  dependence  on  the 

I  a  for  their  energy  needs  than  we  do. 

le  United  States  shares  with  other 

|;rgy  consumers  the  desire  to  partici- 

1  e  in  the  development  of  the  area  on 

l>asis  of  mutual  benefit. 

Jrhe  years  have  seen  a  dramatic 

e  )lution  of  patterns  of  investment  and 

Inership.  Today  the  resources  of 

se  nations,  to  a  very  large  extent, 

under  their  own  control.   Yet,  so 

II  conceived  has  been  the  transfer  of 

nership  in  the  major  oil  producing 

as  that  the  original  investor  con- 

ues  to  benefit  and  to  participate.  The 

a  has  become  not  only  a  source  of 

:rgy  but  a  very  significant  market  for 

r  exports,  our  technology,  and  our 

bital.   In   1977  we  exported  almost 

D  billion  in  American  goods  to  this 

ion. 

Where  normal  trade  and  investment 
:terns  do  not  provide  the  necessary 
nsfer  of  resources,  we  participate 


through  both  bilateral  and  multilateral 
aid.  Our  bilateral  aid,  in  accordance 
with  congressional  mandates  and  the 
policies  of  the  Administration,  con- 
centrates on  basic  human  needs  with 
emphasis  on  the  poorer  levels  of  the 
population. 

The  provision  and  production  of  food 
is  also  an  important  objective  in  this 
area.  Almost  all  of  these  countries  are 
net  food  importers.  The  nations  of  the 
area  have,  for  a  variety  of  reasons, 
found  it  difficult  to  achieve  dramatic 
increases  in  food  production.  As  the 
world's  principal  exporter  of  food 
grains  —  either  through  commercial 
sales  or  through  concessional  Public 
Law  480  programs  —  our  supply  of 
grains  is  a  major  element  in  our  re- 
lationship. 

We  continue  to  encourage  and  help 
the  nations  of  the  region  to  attain  self- 
sufficiency  where  this  is  possible. 
India,  largely  through  its  own  efforts, 
but  with  some  outside  technical  help, 
has  become  a  net  exporter  of  food 
barely  a  decade  after  having  a  10- 
million  ton  annual  deficit. 

Several  of  the  countries  in  the 
area  —  India  and  Pakistan  in 
particular  —  play  a  key  role  in  the 
North-South  dialogue  on  debt,  com- 
modities, and  other  features  of  a  new 
world  economic  order.  An  American 
ability,  however  limited,  to  demon- 
strate our  interest  in  the  special  prob- 
lems of  the  developing  nations  is  not 
only  important  for  the  development  in 
the  area  but  in  the  context  of  this 
dialogue  as  well.  Here  is  an  area  where 
we  are  clearly  asked  to  support  our 
words  by  example.  In  1977  the  nations 
of  South  Asia  received  nearly  $500 
million  in  bilateral  assistance  funds 
from  us. 

Encouraging  Regional  Coopera- 
tion. Where  appropriate,  we  can  and 
do  encourage  regional  political  cooper- 
ation in  the  area.  Because  of  the  nature 
of  the  new  dynamics  of  the  region,  out- 
siders can  play  only  a  minor  role  in  in- 
fluencing intraregional  relationships 
and  appropriately  so.  More  than  ever 
before,  the  region  that  stretches  from 
the  Arabian  Peninsula  in  the  west  to  the 
subcontinent  in  the  east  is  an  interre- 
lated unit  of  nations. 

True,  regional  rivalries  remain  — 
between  North  and  South  Yemen  and 
between  Pakistan  and  India.  Tensions 
persist  between  Pakistan  and  Af- 
ghanistan across  the  Durand  Line 
which  we,  and  most  others,  recognize 
as  the  international  border. 

What  is  noteworthy  and  encourag- 
ing, however,  is  the  pattern  of  efforts 
by  governments  within  the  region  to  re- 
solve their  differences  and  to  work 
constructively  together. 


53 


•  India  and  its  neighbors  in 
Bangladesh  and  Nepal  have  resolved 
significant  past  differences. 

•  Relations  between  Pakistan  and 
India  have  improved  despite  the  con- 
tinuation of  the  unresolved  Kashmir 
dispute. 

•  Iran  and  Iraq  have  found  signifi- 
cant solutions  to  their  past  territorial 
and  political  differences. 

•  Cooperation,  rather  than  animosity, 
today  marks  relations  between  Iran  and 
Saudi  Arabia. 

•  A  pattern  of  cooperative  relation- 
ships and  political  unity  has  been  de- 
veloped among  the  Gulf  States  where 
conflicting  territorial  claims  and  per- 
sonal rivalries  once  dominated  the 
scene. 

Growing  economic  and  commercial 
cooperation  among  states  in  the  region 
provides  further  positive  signs.  Coun- 
tries of  the  Arabian  Peninsula  and  Iran 
provide  significant  economic  assistance 
to  the  poorer  countries  of  South  Asia, 
and  those  countries,  in  turn,  have  con- 
tributed much  of  the  manpower — both 
skilled  and  unskilled  —  which  has  built 
the  economies  of  the  states  in  the  Ara- 
bian Peninsula.  Trade  and  commercial 
ties  between  India  and  Iran,  Pakistan 
and  Iran,  and  among  other  regional 
states  have  been  strengthened. 

Responding  to  Defense  Needs.  In 

carrying  out  our  objectives  in  this  area 
of  the  world,  we  are  faced  with  often 
difficult  policy  choices.  The  countries 
of  the  region  have  a  genuine  and  under- 
standable need  to  insure  their  own  de- 
fense and  to  obtain  the  military  equip- 
ment necessary  to  that  end.  Our  ability 
to  supply  is  often  important  to  our 
overall  relationship.  We  recognize  this 
need  and  have  sought  to  respond  to  it. 
The  bulk  of  our  overseas  arms 
sales  —  outside  of  NATO  —  is  in  this 
area. 

At  the  same  time,  it  is  a  basic  policy 
of  this  Administration  that  the  transfer 
abroad  of  increasingly  sophisticated 
conventional  military  equipment  must 
be  limited.  We  pursue  this  bilaterally 
and  in  our  continuing  talks  on  conven- 
tional arms  transfers  with  the  Soviets 
and  other  major  suppliers  and  recip- 
ients. 

Our  policy  has  been  to  review  with 
the  greatest  care  all  aspects  of  an  arms 
transfer  request,  including  the  regional 
security  implications  of  any  arms  sales 
and  the  appropriateness  of  the  equip- 
ment requested  in  terms  of  the  potential 
threat. 

It  is  a  policy  which  at  times  pleases 
neither  the  country  seeking  equipment 
nor  those  who  seek  even  greater  re- 
straints on  our  transfer  of  arms.  The 


54 


Department  of  State  Bulletin! 


importance  to  these  nations  of  the  de- 
velopment of  what  they  consider  to  be 
adequate  defenses  and  the  existence  of 
other  sources  of  supply,  however,  do 
not  permit  us  to  ignore  their  concerns 
or  their  requests. 

Supporting  Peaceful  Nuclear  De- 
velopment With  Nonproliferation. 

The  nuclear  field  faces  us  with  other  di- 
lemmas. Various  nations  in  South  Asia 
have  the  resources  and  the  skilled  man- 
power to  explore  seriously  and  develop 
nuclear  energy  for  peaceful  purposes. 
India,  Pakistan,  and  Iran  are  all  ac- 
tively engaged  in  nuclear  development 
programs.  In  1974  one  of  these  coun- 
tries exploded  a  nuclear  device,  raising 
serious  international  concerns  over  the 
use  of  nuclear  technology.  Often 
political  circumstances  inhibit  nations 
from  agreeing  to  the  safeguards  we 
consider  necessary  to  nuclear  coopera- 
tion. 

The  challenge  to  the  United  States 
and  to  all  other  nations  with  an  interest 
in  peaceful  nuclear  power  is  to  develop 
bilateral  and  multilateral  programs  with 
the  countries  in  the  region  which  sup- 
port peaceful  nuclear  power 
development  —  and  at  the  same  time  to 
insure  that  our  nonproliferation  objec- 
tives will  be  met. 

The  task  is  not  an  easy  one.  Our 
policy,  backed  by  legislation,  often 
raises  difficult  questions  involving 
shipments  of  nuclear  fuel  and  support 
for  specific  projects.  Despite  these  ten- 
sions we  feel  that  our  efforts  in  this 
area  are  increasing  the  awareness  of  the 
need  for  a  sound  nonproliferation  re- 
gime. Until,  however,  mutual  agree- 
ment is  reached  on  this  regime,  the 
temptations  to  develop  a  nuclear- 
weapons  capability  will  remain. 

Promoting  Human   Rights.   The 

final  U.S.  objective  in  the  area  is  an 
expression  of  our  worldwide  concern 
over  human  rights.  This  has  struck  a 
particularly  responsive  chord  with 
many  in  South  Asia. 

Some  of  the  key  countries  of  the  re- 
gion have,  through  their  own  internal 
dynamics,  set  democratic  courses. 
India  has  resumed  its  position  as  the 
world's  largest  democracy.  Sri  Lanka 
has  maintained  its  democratic  tradition 
through  three  decades  of  independence. 
Others,  where  traditional  societies 
exist,  are  themselves  seeking  to  make 
the  difficult  transformation  to  more 
democratic  forms,  forms  which  inevi- 
tably will  spell  greater  protection  for 
human  rights.  Pakistan,  in  the  midst  of 
a  difficult  political  transition,  intends 
to  hold  national  elections  within  a  year. 
In  Iran,  the  Shah  has  made  clear  his 
strong  commitment  to  political  liberali- 
zation, despite  the  difficult  challenges 


Indian  Ocean 
Arms  Limitation  Negotiations 


by  Leslie  H.  Gelb 

Statement  before  a  panel  of  the  House 
Armed  Services  Committee  on  October 
3,  197H.  Mr.  Gelb  is  the  Director  of 
the  Bureau  of  Politico- Military  Af- 
fairs . ' 

Background 

The  Indian  Ocean  region,  an  area  of 
great  diversity,  has  recently  become  of 
major  economic  significance  to  the 
United  States.  A  very  large  percentage 
of  the  free  world's  oil  supplies  origi- 
nates in  littoral  states  and  transits  In- 
dian Ocean  waters.  The  importance  of 
the  continuing  unrestricted  flow  of  oil 
supplies  to  the  United  States  and  to  its 
allies  is  obvious.  Large  numbers  of 
U.S.  citizens  reside  in  Indian  Ocean 
nations,  and  U.S.  companies  are 
rapidly  expanding  their  economic  in- 
vestment and  involvement  in  the  re- 
gion. 

Several  U.S.  allies,  including  Aus- 
tralia and  members  of  the  Central 
Treaty  Organization  (CENTO),  border 
the  Indian  Ocean.  India,  the  world's 
largest  democracy,  is  a  major  littoral 
state.  Three  continents  border  the  In- 
dian Ocean  and  there  are  more  than  30 
independent  nations  along  its  shores 
whose  histories,  cultures,  and  political 


outlooks  vary  greatly.  It  is  in  our  inter 
est  to  encourage  stability  in  thes« 
countries  and  to  assist  them  in  thei 
efforts  at  economic  development. 

The  Indian  Ocean  has  traditionally 
been  a  region  of  low  military  activity 
The  U.S.  military  presence  is  modest 
consisting  of  the  three  ships  of  oui 
Middle  East  force  and  the  periodic  de 
ployment  to  the  region  of  naval  tasl 
groups  from  the  Pacific.  Our  naval  am 
air  forces  participate  in  exercises  wit! 
our  ANZUS  [Australia,  New  Zealand 
United  States  pact]  and  CENT( 
partners.  Our  ships  periodically  com 
duct  routine  port  visits  to  many  state! 
in  the  area. 

The  Soviet  Union  also  maintains 
fairly  low  military  presence  in  the  In 
dian  Ocean,  although  its  interest  am 
political  activity  there  have  bee 
growing.  The  Indian  Ocean  provide  j. 
the  main  all-season  maritime  transi 
route  between  Soviet  ports  in  th 
Black,  Baltic,  and  Barents  Seas  and  th 
Soviet  Far  East.  For  centuries  Russian 
have  wanted  a  secure  southern  borde 
and  outlet  to  the  sea.  Thus  the  Sovic 
are  seeking  to  increase  their  politic; 
influence  in  littoral  states  and  t 
maximize  regional  support  for  Sovi< 
policies  and  objectives.  We  would  b 
concerned  by  any  increase  in  the  Sovi< 
military  presence  in  the  area,  especiall 


101 

iiij 


he  now  faces  within  the  country. 

In  this  diversified  area,  there  are 
many  paths  to  achieve  clear  communi- 
cation between  the  governor  and  the 
governed  and  to  fulfill  the  right  of  the 
people  to  participate  in  government. 
We  will  not  find  all  modes  identical  to 
our  own.  We  recognize  that  in  tradi- 
tional societies  there  are  often  strong 
traditions  of  mutual  respect  and  demo- 
cratic exchange  even  if  more  modern 
forms  are  not  adopted.  We  will  seek  to 
see  that  the  integrity  of  the  person  will 
be  respected,  regardless  of  the  form  of 
political  system  chosen.  And  we  will 
continue  to  speak  out  for  the  rule  of 
law,  freedom  of  expression,  and  the 
democratic  political  process. 

Conclusion 

For  30  years,  we  have  played  a  key 
role  in  helping  to  insure  development 
and  stability  in  this  sensitive  part  of  the 
world.  A  relationship  with  South  Asia 


which  permits  cooperation  on  a  basis  I 
mutual  benefit  with  us  and  with  otht 
nations  of  the  world  is  as  importar 
today  as  it  has  ever  been. 

While  not  denying  the  interplay  ( 
outside  influences,  we  remain  conf 
dent  that  these  nations  will,  throug 
determination,  solve  their  own  prot 
lems  without  domination  or  interver 
tion  by  others.  We  will  continue  oi 
own  resolve  to  lend  support,  not  onl 
to  sound  development  but  to  th 
safeguarding  of  their  independence  an 
integrity. 

We  believe  our  policy  objectives  i 
South  Asia  are  sound,  consistent  wit 
the  interests  and  goals  of  the  countrit 
in  the  area.  If  we  pursue  them  with 
clear  recognition  of  the  importance  ( 
the  area  to  us  and  with  due  regard  f( 
the  mosaic  of  the  region,  we  can  cot 
tinue  to  respond  to  the  clear  desire  ( 
these  nations  that  we  remain  intereste 
in  their  region  and  in  cooperation  wit 
them. 


IUI 


eai 

usi 


i 

9 

T\ 
■Id 
11 1 
»iei 

hi 

lels 

-, 

1 

to 


tecember  1978 

lit  were  large  scale  or  extended  over  a 
rplonged  period  of  time. 

ifeasons  for  Agreement 

Given  the   important  and  growing 

■  S.  and  Soviet  interests  in  the  Indian 
lj-ean,  there  is  clearly  a  potential  for  a 
Ijor  increase  in  military  presence, 
iiy  increase  in  the  military  presence 

4  one  side  could  lead  to  a  reactive  in- 
fcase  by  the  others.  Stabilizing  and 
arhaps  eventually  reducing  military 
j'els  would  preempt  the  development 
A  an  arms  race. 

iAn  arms  limitations  agreement  of  the 
l)e  we  are  seeking  would  prevent  any 
irrease  in  Soviet  naval  force  levels  in 
ti'  region,  such  as  that  associated  with 
rent  events  in  the  Horn  of  Africa.  It 
uiuld  prohibit  the  proliferation  of 
illitary  facilities,  under  the  control  or 
f  mary  use  of  the  Soviet  Union,  in 
Loral  states.  We  are  all  aware  of  the 
cicern  that  was  expressed  over  Soviet 
u:  of  the  port  of  Berbera  in  Somalia, 
lere  are  indications  that  some  of  their 
inabilities  at  Berbera  are  being  rees- 
t'lished  at  new  locations.  An  agree- 
tj  nt  would  minimize  concern  among 
|j:  friends  and  allies  over  a  possible 
|viet  buildup.  We  have  consulted 
to;ularly  with  our  friends  and  allies 
I  i  they  support  our  effort  to  reach  an 
ans  limitation  agreement. 

Under  a  stabilization  agreement 
I  ther  the  United  States  nor  the  Soviet 
I  ion  could  increase  the  size  of  its 
illitary  presence  in  the  Indian  Ocean 
jjl  significantly  alter  its  pattern  of  de- 
f  lyments.  The  United  States  would, 

■  :ordingly,  be  free  to  continue  its 
titine  pattern  of  activities.  We  would 

5  intain  the  Middle  East  force  and 
citinue  our  pattern  of  periodic  task 
|3up  deployments  to  the  Indian 
lean.  Our  ships  could  continue  to 
insit  the  area  and  to  make  routine 
jrt  calls  in  littoral  countries.  We 
I  uld  maintain  our  facility  on  Diego 
Ircia.  Our  military  forces  would  con- 
lue  to  participate  in  military  exercises 
Ith  our  ANZUS  and  CENTO  partners. 

e  military  forces  of  our  allies  would 
t  be  limited  by  the  agreement.  In 
"n  an  agreement  would  maintain  the 
S. -Soviet  force  balance  and  would 
rmit  us  to  fulfill  our  security  and 
reign  policy  commitments  in  the 
:a. 

The  effectiveness  of  our  forces 
mid  only  be  called  into  question  if 
;re  were  to  be  significant  increases  in 
viet  naval  forces  or  in  their  base 
tivities — as  we  witnessed  at  Berbera 
d  elsewhere.  Thus,  if  we  could  keep 
;  balance  as  it  was  and  constrain 
•viet  acquisition  of  bases,  it  was 
^arly  in  our  interest  to  do  so. 


The  only  alternative  is  to  match  the 
Soviets  if  they  increased  significantly 
their  military  presence.  Such  a  U.S.  in- 
crease would  be  possible  only  through 
a  larger  defense  budget  or  by  the  diver- 
sion of  existing  military  assets  from 
other  areas  where  they  are  currently 
deployed. 

These  negotiating  goals  were  the  re- 
sult of  an  extensive  interagency  re- 
view, in  which  all  participated,  in- 
cluding the  Department  of  Defense,  the 
Joint  Chiefs  of  Staff,  the  Arms  Control 
and  Disarmament  Agency  (ACDA),  the 
National  Security  Council,  and  the  De- 
partment of  State.  It  was  the  common 
judgment  that  if  we  could  get  an 
agreement  along  the  lines  we  sought,  it 
would  enhance  our  national  security 
and  our  defense  posture. 

We  also  examined  why  the  Soviets 
might  be  interested  in  an  agreement. 

•  The  Soviets  have  for  years  sought 
to  portray  themselves  as  being  in  the 
forefront  of  the  proponents  of  arms 
control.  Thus,  it  would  have  been  dif- 
ficult for  them  not  to  agree  when  Presi- 
dent Carter  proposed  discussions  on  the 
Indian  Ocean. 

•  They  may  have  hoped  to  drive  a 
wedge  between  us  and  our  allies.  We 
have  been  consulting  very  closely  with 
our  friends  and  allies  to  prevent  this. 

•  The  Soviets  probably  hoped  to 
gain  a  handle  on  our  construction  at 
Diego  Garcia,  to  limit  our  ability  to 
surge  forces  into  the  region  and  to  limit 
other  U.S.  defense  capabilities.  They 
may  also  have  wished  to  preclude  any 
large-scale  increase  in  the  level  or  na- 
ture of  U.S.  forces. 

Arms  Limitations  Proposals 

The  potential  danger  of  an  arms  race 
has  long  been  recognized.  The  littoral 
states  themselves  have  sought  to  limit 
foreign  military  activity  in  the  region. 
This  has  given  rise,  since  1971,  to  ef- 
forts within  the  United  Nations  to 
create  a  zone  of  peace  in  the  Indian 
Ocean.  The  United  States  has  not  been 
able  to  support  this  concept  for  a  vari- 
ety of  reasons,  although  we  have  taken 
note  of  the  desires  of  the  littoral  states 
to  avoid  an  arms  race  between  external 
powers.  We  believe  an  agreement  with 
the  Soviets,  if  reached,  would  go  far  to 
allay  the  concerns  of  the  littoral  states. 

Congress  has  also  considered  this 
question  in  connection  with  requests 
for  funds  for  construction  of  a  military 
facility  on  the  British-owned  island  of 
Diego  Garcia.  In  1975  and  1976  Con- 
gress requested  the  Administration  to 
consider  taking  initiatives  with  the 
Soviet  Union  to  achieve  an  agreement 
mutually  limiting  their  military  pres- 


55 


ence  in  the  Indian  Ocean.  The  previous 
Administration  had  replied  that  it  did 
not  fee)  the  time  was  appropriate  to 
take  such  an  initiative. 

In  March  1977  President  Carter  ini- 
tiated contacts  with  the  Soviet  Union 
to  consider  an  agreement  to  limit  mutu- 
ally our  military  forces  in  the  area. 

The  Negotiations 

Negotiations  were  begun  in  June 
1977  and  since  then  there  have  been 
four  rounds  of  talks  with  the  Soviets. 
The  head  of  the  U.S.  delegation  to 
these  talks  has  been  Ambassador 
Warnke,  Director  of  ACDA.  All  rel- 
evant agencies,  including  the  Defense 
Department  and  Joint  Chiefs  of  Staff, 
have  been  represented  on  the  delega- 
tion and  have  fully  participated  in  all 
aspects  of  the  talks. 

In  the  negotiations,  the  United  States 
is  seeking  to  stabilize  the  presence  of 
U.S.  and  Soviet  naval  and  air  forces  in 
the  region  at  the  approximate  level 
existing  when  the  talks  began.  We  also 
are  prepared  to  consider  mutual  reduc- 
tions in  force  levels  during  a  second 
phase  of  the  talks.  Among  things  the 
agreement  would  not  cover  are  the  de- 
ployment of  ground  forces  or  the  provi- 
sion of  military  equipment  to  littoral 
states.  The  agreement  would  apply 
only  to  U.S.  and  Soviet  forces  in  the 
area  and  not  to  the  forces  of  regional 
states  or  of  other  nonregional  states. 
We  are  seeking  a  bilateral  U.S. -Soviet 
agreement  that  would  be  of  limited 
duration.  Of  course  any  agreement 
would  be  submitted  to  Congress  for  ap- 
proval. Any  arms  limitation  agreement 
must  be  adequately  verifiable  and  we 
have  this  very  much  in  mind  as  we  de- 
velop our  positions  in  the  negotiations. 

During  the  four  rounds  of  talks  some 
progress  has  been  made.  Because  both 
sides  have  agreed  to  maintain  the  con- 
fidentiality of  the  negotiations,  I  can- 
not, in  open  session,  go  into  the  details 
of  our  discussions. 

It  is  obvious,  however,  that  any 
agreement  would  need  to  address  sev- 
eral basic  issues;  for  example,  what  are 
the  boundaries  of  the  Indian  Ocean, 


Letter 
of  Credence 


On  October  2,  1978,  Tabarak  Husain 
presented  his  credentials  to  President 
Carter  as  the  newly  appointed  Ambas- 
sador from  Bangladesh.  □ 


56 


UNITED  NATIONS:        Namibia 


SECRETARY'S  STATEMENT, 
SECURITY  COUNCIL, 
SEPT.  29 ' 

When  this  Council  last  met  to  dis- 
cuss Namibia  on  July  27,  my  govern- 
ment and  the  other  four  members  of  the 
contact  group  [Canada,  France,  Federal 
Republic  of  Germany,  and  United 
Kingdom]  described  our  satisfaction 
with  the  positive  turn  of  events  which 
seemed  to  bring  us  much  closer  to  a 
peaceful  settlement  of  this  longstanding 
problem.  During  the  intervening 
period,  we  have  seen  these  efforts  to 
achieve  a  peaceful  settlement  in 
Namibia  move  through  the  hopeful 
stage  of  the  visit  of  the  Secretary  Gen- 
eral's survey  mission,  only  to  come  up 
against  the  decision  of  the  Government 
of  South  Africa  itself  to  sponsor  elec- 
tions in  Namibia.  In  so  doing,  it  re- 
versed its  earlier  willingness  to  cooper- 
ate with  the  international  community  in 
bringing  Namibia  to  independence  on 
the  basis  of  Security  Council  Resolu- 
tion 385. 

We  are  deeply  concerned.  Although 
it  is  not  my  purpose  to  analyze  the  rea- 
sons for  South  Africa's  present  posi- 
tion, this  latest  occurrence  is  but  the 
most  serious  in  a  long  series  of  obsta- 


cles which  we  have  faced  in  developing 
the  proposal  which  is  the  subject  of  the 
Secretary  General's  report. 

I  should  like  to  make  clear  the  posi- 
tion of  my  government  in  the  light  ot 
these  developments. 

•  We  support  the  Secretary  Gen- 
eral's report  and  his  clarifying  intro- 
ductory statement.  They  constitute  a 
practical  plan  which  is  consistent  with 
the  proposal  which  had  been  worked 
out  by  the  five  governments  with  all  of 
the  parties  concerned. 

•  It  will  be  essential  that  the  U.N. 
Transition  Assistance  Group 
(UNTAG),  when  it  is  established, 
function  with  efficiency,  with  impar- 
tiality, and  with  fidelity  to  the  overall 
objective  of  the  early  independence  of 
Namibia  through  free  and  fair  elec- 
tions. Assuming  all  obstacles  to  im- 
plementation of  this  proposal  can 
quickly  be  achieved,  these  elections  in 
Namibia  would  take  place  by  the  end  of 
April  1979. 

•  In  voting  for  the  resolution,  and  in 
confirming  our  support  of  the  Secretary 
General,  we  believe  it  equally  impor- 
tant that  the  Secretary  General  be  ac- 
corded flexibility  in  the  implementation 
of  the  report  to  assure  that  it  meets  the 


Indian  Ocean  (Cont'd) 

what  methods  should  be  used  to  meas- 
ure military  presence,  how  should  the 
use  of  military  facilities  located  in  the 
area  be  limited?  These  are  difficult  and 
complex  issues  which  require  major 
efforts  by  both  sides  to  reach  a  mutu- 
ally acceptable  solution. 

Status  of  the  Talks 

The  talks  have  been  in  abeyance 
since  February  of  this  year.  Our  think- 
ing has  been  that  Soviet  naval  opera- 
tions in  support  of  their  political  ac- 
tivities in  the  Horn  called  into  question 
whether  we  had  a  common  under- 
standing of  how  a  stabilization  agree- 
ment would  actually  affect  the  behavior 
of  our  two  states.  I  am  not  talking 
about  political  competition.  This  will 
continue.  But  the  intention  here  was  to 
limit  the  degree  to  which  that  competi- 
tion would  be  supported  by  military 
activities.  For  our  part,  the  way  the 
Soviets  supported  their  political  ac- 


tivities in  the  Horn  by  increasing  the 
level  of  their  naval  forces  in  the  Indian 
Ocean  was  not  consistent  with  a 
stabilization  agreement.  Unless  we  un- 
derstand such  an  agreement  in  the  same 
way,  it  would  be  meaningless. 

We  have  made  it  absolutely  clear  to 
them  that  any  agreement  we  sign  will 
not  permit  increases  in  their  military 
presence  in  the  Indian  Ocean.  Their 
naval  forces  have  recently  returned  to 
routine  levels. 

The  Administration  remains  com- 
mitted to  seeking  a  sensible  and  verifi- 
able Indian  Ocean  agreement.  We  are 
currently  considering  the  question  of 
resuming  the  negotiations.  Of  course, 
we  will  continue  to  consult  closely  with 
the  Congress  as  any  agreement 
emerges.  Q 


tcre 
fe< 
isii 


E( 

«« 
«•• 

ftr 
tcri 


1  The  complete  transcript  ol  the  hearings  will 
be  published  by  the  committee  and  will  be 
available  from  the  Superintendent  of  Docu- 
ments, U.S.  Government  Printing  Office, 
Washington,  D.C.  20402. 


Department  of  State  Bulletin p 

problems  and  challenges  which  are 
certain  to  be  faced  once  UNTAG  is  de 
ployed. 

I  urge  that  all  of  the  parties  bear  in 
mind  the  following  points  regarding  the 
objectives  of  this  resolution  and  the 
deployment  of  UNTAG. 

•  The  five  governments  in  their  ef 
forts  could  not  have  carried  matters  this 
far  had  it  not  been  for  the  willingness 
on  the  part  of  all  concerned  to  negotiate 
seriously  and  to  make  substantial  con- 
cessions. 

•  Having  come  this  far,  the  five 
governments  will  persist  in  their  ef- 
forts. South  Africa  must  recognize  tha 
the  international  community  is  com- 
mitted to  seeing  that  the  program  con 
tained  in  the  Secretary  General's  repor 
is  implemented. 

•  Unilateral  actions  by  South  Africa 
such  as  its  decision  to  conduct  elec 
tions  in  Namibia,  cannot  be  recognizee 
and  will  not  result  in  a  political  process 
which  has  any  international  legitimacy. 

The  Government  of  South  Africa  aifl 
the  internal  Namibian  political  partie 
must  be  under  no  illusions.  The  inter 
national  community  cannot  and  will  no 
accept  the  outcome  of  the  electioi 
which  the  South  African  authoritie 
have  now  scheduled  to  begin  on  De 
cember  4  as  a  free  and  fair  statement  o 
the  desires  of  the  Namibian  people 
The  only  way  in  which  Namibia  cai 
achieve  independence  in  a  manner  full 
acceptable  to  the  international  commu 
nity  is  on  the  basis  of  the  full  am 
faithful  observance  of  the  proposal  en 
dorsed  by  the  Security  Council  in  Res 
olution431  of  July  27,  1978. 2 

It  would  be  tragic  indeed  if  Soutl 
Africa  were  to  deprive  the  people  o 
Namibia  of  this  unique  opportunity  fo 
a  peaceful  transition  to  independence 
Surely  the  Government  of  South  Afric 
and  all  of  the  Namibian  political  partie 
must  realize  the  troubles  which  such 
course  of  action  would  cause  for  th. 
people  of  Namibia,  of  South  Africa 
and  of  the  whole  region.  We  intend  t< 
continue  our  efforts  to  persuade  Soutl 
Africa  to  cooperate  with  the  Unitet 
Nations. 

It  is,  therefore,  a  time  for  persisteno 
and  vigorous  effort  in  persuading  Soutl 
Africa  that  its  best  interests  and  thi 
best  interests  of  the  Namibian  people 
lie  in  cooperating  with  the  United  Na 
tions  in  the  implementation  of  the  res 
olution  we  are  about  to  adopt  and  not  ii 
permitting  a  return  to  the  past  spiral  o 
violence  and  isolation.  From  the  Soutl 
West  Africa  People's  Organization  ant 
from  the  other  Namibian  political  par 
ties,  we  look  for  continued  cooperatiot 


December  1978 

Sid  fidelity  to  the  proposal  which  the 
fecretary  General's  report  implements. 
fe  call  on  South  Africa  to  rethink  its 
tasition. 


57 


Southern  Rhodesia 


. 


CURITY  COUNCIL 
ESOLUTION  435 3 

The  Security  Council, 

Recalling  its  resolutions  385  (1976)  and  431 
978),  and  432  (1978), 

Having  considered  the  report  submitted  by  the 
cretary-General  pursuant  to  paragraph  2  of 
solution  431  (1978)  (S/12827)  and  his 
planatory  statement  made  in  the  Security 
Hincil  on  29  September  1978  (S/12869), 
Taking  note  of  the  relevant  communications 
>m  the  Government  of  South  Africa  addressed 
the  Secretary-General, 

Taking  note  also  of  the  letter  dated  8  Sep- 
nber  1978  from  the  President  of  the  South 
est  Africa  People's  Organization  (SWAPO) 
dressed  to  the  Secretary-General  (S/12841), 
Reaffirming  the  legal  responsibility  of  the 
ited  Nations  over  Namibia, 

1 .  Approves  the  report  of  the  Secretary- 
ineral  (S/12827)  for  the  implementation  of  the 
oposal  for  a  settlement  of  the  Namibian  situa- 
m  (S/ 12636)  and  his  explanatory  statement 
/12869); 

2.  Reiterates  that  its  objective  is  the  with- 
awal  of  South  Africa's  illegal  administration 

Namibia  and  the  transfer  of  power  to  the 
ople  of  Namibia  with  the  assistance  of  the 
lited  Nations  in  accordance  with  resolution 
5  (1976); 

3.  Decides  to  establish  under  its  authority  a 
lited  Nations  Transition  Assistance  Group 
NTAG)  in  accordance  with  the  above- 
intioned  report  of  the  Secretary-General  for  a 
riod  of  up  to  12  months  in  order  to  assist  his 
•ecial  Representative  to  carry  out  the  mandate 
nferred  upon  him  by  paragraph  1  of  Security 
>uncil  resolution  431  (1978),  namely,  to  en- 
re  the  early  independence  of  Namibia  through 
:e  and  fair  elections  under  the  supervision  and 
ntrol  of  the  United  Nations; 

4.  Welcomes  SWAPO 's  preparedness  to  co- 
erate  in  the  implementation  of  the  Secretary- 
serai's  report,  including  its  expressed  readi- 
es to  sign  and  observe  the  cease-fire  provi- 
>ns  as  manifested  in  the  letter  from  the  Presi- 
nt  of  SWAPO  dated  8  September  1978  (S/ 
841); 

5.  Calls  on  South  Africa  forthwith  to  co- 
■erate  with  the  Secretary-General  in  the  im- 
;mentation  of  this  resolution; 

6.  Declares  that  all  unilateral  measures  taken 
the  illegal  administration  in  Namibia  in  rela- 

in  to  the  electoral  process,  including  unilateral 
gistration  of  voters,  or  transfer  of  power,  in 
ntravention  of  Security  Council  resolutions 
15  (1976),  431  (1978)  and  this  resolution  are 
dl  and  void; 

7.  Requests  the  Secretary-General  to  report  to 


by  John  W.  Hechinger 

Statement  in  Committee  IV  (Trust- 
eeship) of  the  U.N.  General  Assembly 
on  November  7,  1978.  Mr.  Hechinger 
is  a  U.S.  delegate  to  the  33d  U.N. 
General  Assembly. ' 

When  a  U.S.  representative  last 
spoke  on  this  subject,  on  March  14  of 
this  year  before  the  Security  Council, 
he  noted  that  the  question  of  Rhodesia 
has  been  one  of  the  priority  issues  of 
the  present  U.S.  Administration.2  I  as- 
sure this  committee  that  this  is  still  the 
case  and  that  the  United  States  remains 
firmly  committed  to  majority  rule  in 
Rhodesia  in  keeping  with  the  principles 
of  the  Anglo-American  proposals. 

During  the  more  than  7  months  since 
that  statement  was  made,  Great  Britain 
and  the  United  States  have  engaged  in 
an  exhaustive  series  of  negotiations 
with  the  interested  parties,  negotiations 
which  have  been  ably  chronicled  by  my 
distinguished  British  colleague  in  his 
earlier  statement.  The  purpose  of  these 
negotiations  was  to  narrow  the  differ- 
ences between  the  parties  in  order  to 
make  possible  an  all-parties  meeting 
which,  we  hope,  would  provide  the 
forum  for  discussion  and  settlement  of 
the  problem  of  Zimbabwe.  Our  goals 
during  these  negotiations  have  re- 
mained firm.  Those  goals  include: 

•  The  initiation  of  an  irreversible 
process  leading  to  majority  rule  in  an 
independent  Zimbabwe; 

•  The  creation  of  an  open  political 
process  which  would  allow  all  political 
factions  in  Zimbabwe  to  compete  fairly 
and  equally  for  political  leadership 
through  free  and  fair  elections  which 
truly  reflect  the  will  of  the  majority; 

•  An  end  to  hostilities  followed  by 
the  maintenance  of  stability,  law,  and 
order  during  the  transition  period  to  in- 


the  Security  Council  no  later  than  23  October 
1978  on  the  implementation  of  this  resolution. D 


'Introductory  paragraph  deleted;  text  from 
USUN  press  release  85. 

2  For  text  of  Security  Council  Resolution  431, 
see  Bulletin  of  September  1978,  p.  46. 

3  U.N.  doc  S/RES/435  (1978);  adopted  by  the 
Council  on  Sept.  29,  1978,  by  a  vote  of  12 
(U.S.)  to  0,  with  2  abstentions  (the  People's  Re- 
public of  China  did  not  participate). 


sure  the  fairness  of  the  process  and  thus 
its  durability;  and 

•  Agreement  on  an  independence 
constitution  that  provides  for  a  demo- 
cratically elected  independent  govern- 
ment, the  abolition  of  discrimination, 
and  the  protection  of  individual  human 
rights,  including  the  rights  of  the  mem- 
bers of  minorities  as  well  as  of  the 
majority. 

However,  I  wish  to  emphasize  that 
we  have  not  insisted  that  the  parties 
reach  agreement  according  to  any  im- 
mutable formula.  We  continue  to  be- 
lieve that  the  Anglo-American  propos- 
als represent  the  most  appropriate  and 
workable  framework  for  the  settlement 
of  the  Rhodesia  impasse,  but  we  would 
support  any  mutually  acceptable 
agreement  reached  by  the  parties.  Al- 
though our  original  proposals,  as  put 
before  the  Security  Council  on  Sep- 
tember 1,  1977,  have  been  refined  in 
the  consultations  we  have  had  with  the 
parties  during  the  past  year,  the  basic 
principles  underlying  them,  including 
the  concept  of  elections  before  inde- 
pendence, have  remained  unchanged. 

I  should  also  like  to  refer  to  the  re- 
cent visit  [October  7-20,  1978]  to  the 
United  States  of  Ian  Smith  [Prime 
Minister  of  the  white  regime  in  South- 
ern Rhodesia]  and  members  of  his  il- 
legal regime.  The  visit  was  permitted 
because  of  our  belief  that  it  could  fur- 
ther the  negotiating  process,  because  of 
strong  feelings  in  my  country  that 
Smith  and  his  colleagues  should  be  al- 
lowed, in  line  with  our  basic  traditions 
of  free  speech,  to  explain  their  position 
to  the  American  people.  After  all,  the 
combined  efforts  of  the  international 
community  have  as  their  purpose  not 
the  punishment  of  any  group  or  party 
but  the  establishment  of  majority  rule 
by  peaceful  means. 

Perhaps  the  most  telling  proof  of 
Smith's  own  realization  of  the  Ameri- 
can people's  support  for  a  settlement 
responsive  to  the  needs  of  all  Zimbab- 
weans was  his  public  agreement,  which 
was  confirmed  during  his  second 
negotiating  session  in  the  Department 
of  State,  to  attend  an  all-parties  meet- 
ing without  precondition.  Our  objective 
now  is  to  determine  Smith's  serious- 
ness. This  can  only  be  done  through  the 
mechanism  of  an  all-parties  meeting. 
Therefore,  the  United  States  and 
United  Kingdom  have  begun  the  proc- 
ess of  further  consultations  with  all  the 


58 


parties  in  order  to  make  careful  prep- 
arations and  improve  the  prospects  for 
the  success  of  such  a  meeting. 

I  should  also  like  to  refer  to  the  mas- 
sive Rhodesian  attacks  on  patriotic 
front  camps  in  Zambia.  The  United 
States,  too,  was  shocked  and  dismayed 
by  these  destructive  and  unjustified 
raids.  We  were  further  dismayed  that 
they  took  place  while  Ian  Smith  was 
still  in  our  country,  and  we  advised 
him  firmly  that  we  condemned  these 
acts  without  reservation.  Only  last 
Thursday  Rhodesian  aircraft  again  at- 
tacked the  outskirts  of  Lusaka.  The 
United  States  strongly  deplores  this 
latest  in  a  series  of  recent  military  ac- 
tions which  threaten  to  create  an  even 
more  dangerous  situation  in  southern 
Africa.  My  country  expresses  its  com- 
plete sympathy  with  the  plight  of  Zam- 
bia and  with  the  individual  victims  of 
the  raids. 

But  our  distress  over  these  actions 
should  not  obscure  our  primary  goal  of 
a  final  negotiated  solution  in  Zim- 
babwe. If  we  cannot  move  ahead  to- 
ward a  peaceful  settlement,  these  raids 
may  be  only  the  latest  incidents  in  the 
escalating  cycle  of  violence  in  a  war 
which  has  already  gone  on  far  too  long 
and  which  must  be  brought  to  a  peace- 
ful, negotiated  conclusion  as  soon  as 
possible. 

We  believe  that  Mr.  Smith  is  under 
great  pressure  to  achieve  a  negotiated 
solution  in  the  near  future.  My  distin- 
guished British  colleague  has  pointed 
out  to  you  the  effects  of  white  emigra- 
tion from  Rhodesia.  This  emigration, 
which  shows  more  clearly  than  any- 
thing else  the  wavering  confidence  of 
the  white  Rhodesian  minority,  is  the 
result  of  the  successful  application  of 
sanctions  and  the  unremitting  struggle 
for  liberation  of  the  people  of  Zim- 
babwe. The  present  Rhodesian  regime 
cannot  continue  to  sustain  itself  while 
under  such  pressures.  It  cannot  obtain 
the  international  recognition  which  it 
needs  to  survive.  And  in  this  regard,  I 
assure  this  body  that  the  United  States 
does  not  recognize  and  has  no  intention 
of  recognizing  the  illegal  Smith  regime 
nor  of  lifting  sanctions  against  it. 

We  believe  that,  as  a  consequence  of 
the  pressures  on  Smith  from  sanctions, 
from  the  deteriorating  security  situa- 
tion, from  international  isolation,  and 
from  people  in  Rhodesia  who  recognize 
the  futility  of  the  present  course,  he 
will  have  no  choice  but  to  seek  a 
negotiated  settlement  that  benefits  all 
Rhodesians.  In  his  statement  to  this 
committee,  the  representative  of  the 
United  Kingdom  expressed  the  hope  of 
his  government  that  before  this  com- 
mittee convenes  again,  all  parties  will 
have  agreed,  in  the  interests  of  Zim- 


TREATIES: 

Current  Actions 

MULTILATERAL 

Aviation 

Convention  for  the  suppression  of  unlawful  sei- 
zure of  aircraft.  Done  at  The  Hague  Dec.  16, 
1970.   Entered  into  force  Oct.    14,    1971. 
T1AS  7192. 
Notification  of  succession:   Suriname,   Oct. 

27,  1978. 
Accession  deposited:   Mauritania,    Nov.    1, 

1978. 
Convention  for  the  suppression  of  unlawful  acts 
against  the  safety  of  civil  aviation.  Done  at 
Montreal  Sept.  23,  1971.  Entered  into  force 
Jan.  26,  1973.  TIAS  7570. 
Ratification  deposited:   Guatemala  (with  a 

reservation),  Oct.  19,  1978. 
Notification  of  succession:  Suriname,  Oct. 

27,  1978. 
Accession  deposited:   Mauritania,   Nov.    1, 

1978. 

Biological  Weapons 

Convention  on  the  prohibition  of  the  develop- 
ment, production,  and  stockpiling  of  bac- 
teriological (biological)  and  toxin  weapons 
and  on  their  destruction.  Done  at  Washing- 
ton, London,  and  Moscow,  Apr.  10,  1972. 
Entered  into  force  Mar.  26,  1975.  TIAS 
8062. 

Ratification  deposited:   Venezuela,  Oct.   18, 
1978. 


babwe  and  all  its  people,  to  negotiate 
an  early  end  to  the  war  and  a  prompt 
transition  to  genuine  majority  rule. 

My  government  fully  associates  it- 
self with  his  statement  and  expresses 
its  earnest  belief  in  the  absolute  need  to 
continue  along  the  negotiating  course 
to  which  we  have  devoted  such  effort 
this  past  year.  Many  hurdles  have  been 
overcome.  Many  more  remain,  and  it 
would  be  foolish  to  believe  that  they 
can  be  surmounted  easily.  The  problem 
of  settlement  in  Rhodesia  involves 
complicated  questions  which  have  yet 
to  be  resolved  and  which  are  made 
more  difficult  by  the  legacy  of  mis- 
trust, suspicion,  and  bloodshed  which 
characterizes  recent  Rhodesian  history. 
Yet  they  must  and  will  be  overcome. 
The  alternatives — chaos,  civil  war,  and 
the  destruction  of  Zimbabwe's  hopes 
for  economic  viability — must  be 
avoided.  □ 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Accession  deposited:  Congo  (Brazzaville) 
Oct.  23,  1978. 

Collisions 

Convention  on  the  international  regulations  foi 
preventing  collisions  at  sea,  1972,  with  res 
ervations.  Done  at  London  Oct.  20,  1972 
Entered  into  force  July  15,  1977. '  TIAJ 
8587. 

Ratification  deposited:   Portugal,   Oct.    17 
1978. 


Conservation 

Convention   on   international   trade   in   en  ,( 
dangered  species  of  wild  fauna  and  flora   ,, 
with  appendices.  Done  at  Washington  Mar 
3,   1973.   Entered  into  force  July   1,   1975 
TIAS  8249. 

Ratification  deposited:   Panama,   Aug.    17 
1978. 


Consular  Relations 

Vienna  convention  on  consular  relations.  Doni 
at  Vienna  Apr.  24,  1963.  Entered  into  fore- 
Mar.  19,  1967;  for  the  U.S.  Dec.  24,  1969 
TIAS  6820. 

Accession  deposited:   Djibouti,   Nov.   2 
1978;  Syria,  Oct.  13,  1978. 

Containers 

International  convention  for  safe  container 
(CSC),  with  annexes.  Done  at  Geneva  Dec 
2,  1972.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  6,  1977;  fo 
the  U.S.  Jan.  3,  1979.  TIAS  9037. 
Accession  deposited:  Saudi  Arabia,  Oct.  ( 
1978. 


Customs 

Convention  establishing  a  Customs  Coopers 
tion  Council,  with  annex.  Done  at  Brussel  % 
Dec.  15,  1950.  Entered  into  force  Nov.  4 
1952;  for  the  U.S.  Nov.  5,  1970.  TIAS  7063 
Accession  deposited:  Zambia,  Sept.  2" 
1978. 


1  USUN  press  release  1 13  of  Nov.  7,  1978. 
2For   statement    by    Ambassador    Andrew 
Young,  see  Bulletin  of  April  1978,  p.  56. 


Diplomatic  Relations 

Vienna  convention  on  diplomatic  relations 
Done  at  Vienna  Apr.  18,  1961.  Entered  int 
force  Apr.  24,  1964;  for  the  U.S.  Dec.  13 
1972.  TIAS  7502. 

Accession  deposited:   Djibouti,   Nov.   2 
1978. 

Environmental  Modification 

Convention  on  the  prohibition  of  military  o 
any  other  hostile  use  of  environmental  mod 
ification  techniques,  with  annex.  Done  s 
Geneva  May  18,  1977. 
Ratification  deposited:  Laos,  Oct.  5,  1978. 
Entered  into  force:  Oct.  5,  1978. ' 

Finance 

Agreement  establishing  the  International  Fun- 
for  Agricultural  Development.  Done  at  Rom 
June  13,  1976.  Entered  into  force  Nov.  30 
1977.  TIAS  8765. 

Ratification  deposited:  Brazil,  Nov.  2,  1978 
Accession  deposited:  Mozambique,  Oct.  16 
1978. 

Fisheries 

Convention  for  the  establishment  of  an  Inter 
American  Tropical  Tuna  Commission    Don 


» 


ecember  1978 


at  Washington  May  31.  1949.  Entered  into 
force  Mar.  3.  1950.  TIAS  2044. 
Denunciation:  Mexico,  Nov.  8,  1978. 
rotocol  amending  the  international  convention 
for  the  high  seas  fisheries  of  the  North 
Pacific  Ocean  of  May  9,  1952,  as  amended 
(TIAS  2786,  5385),  with  agreed  minutes  and 
memoranda  of  understanding.  Done  at  Tokyo 

■  Apr.  25,  1978. 2 

Instrument  of  ratification  signed  by  the 
President:  Nov.  2,  1978. 

idicial  Procedure 

convention  abolishing  the   requirement  of 
I  legalisation  for  foreign  public  documents, 
with  annex.   Done  at  The  Hague  Oct.   5, 
I  1961.  Entered  into  force  Jan.  24,  1965  ' 

J  Accession  deposited:   Seychelles,  July  30, 
1978. 

ariiimi-  Matters 

mendments  to  the  convention  of  Mar.  6, 
I  1948.  as  amended,  on  the  Intergovernmental 
Maritime  Consultative  Organization  (TIAS 
4044,  6285,  6490).  Adopted  at  London  Oct. 
17.  1974.  Entered  into  force  Apr.  1,  1978. 
I  TIAS  8606. 

i  Acceptance  deposited:   Uruguay.   Sept.    19, 
1978. 

Jclear  Weapons — Nonproliferation 

:  eaty  on  the  nonproliferation  of  nuclear 

■  weapons.  Done  at  Washington,  London,  and 
|  Moscow  July  1,  1968.  Entered  into  force 
I  Mar.  5,  1970.  TIAS  6839. 

f  Accession  deposited:  Congo  (Brazzaville). 
Oct.  23,  1978. 

tllution — Ships 

:  otocol  of  1978  relating  to  the  international 
convention  for  the  prevention  of  pollution 
I  from  ships,  1973.  Done  at  London  Feb.  17, 
i  1978. 2 
i  Signature:  Poland,  Oct.  16.  1978. 3 

'  istal 

1  institution  of  the  Universal  Postal  Union  with 
f  final  protocol,  general  regulations  with  final 
I  protocol,  and  convention  with  final  protocol 
and  regulations  of  execution.  Done  at  Vienna 
f  July  10,  1964.  Entered  into  force  Jan.  I, 
I  1966.  TIAS  5881. 

J  Accession  deposited:   Mozambique,  Oct.   2, 
1978. 

■  Iditional  Protocol  to  the  Constitution  of  the 

■  Universal  Postal  Union  with  final  protocol 
I  signed  at  Vienna  July  10,  1964,  general  reg- 
ulations with  final  protocol  and  annex,  and 
I  the  Universal  Postal  Convention  with  final 
I  protocol  and  detailed  regulations.  Signed  at 

■  Tokyo  Nov.    14,   1969.  Entered  into  force 

■  July   1,   1971,  except  for  article  V,  which 

I  entered  into  force  Jan.  1,  1971.  TIAS  7150. 
B  Accession  deposited:   Mozambique,  Oct.   2, 

1978. 

l):cond  additional  protocol  to  the  constitution 

'I of  the  Universal  Postal  Union  of  July   10, 

!<  1964,  general  regulations  with  final  protocol 

and  annex,  and  the  universal  postal  conven- 

II  tion  with  final  protocol  and  detailed  regula- 
tions. Done  at  Lausanne  July  5,  1974.  En- 


tered into  force  Jan.  1,  1976.  TIAS  8231. 

Ratifications  deposited  Mauritius,  Tan- 
zania, Sept.  11,  1978;  Democratic 
People's  Republic  of  Korea,  Sept.  18, 
1978;  Gabon,  Sept.  29,  1978. 

Accession  deposited:   Mozambique,  Oct.   2, 
1978. 
Money  orders  and  postal  travelers'  checks 

agreement,  with  detailed  regulations.   Done 

at  Lausanne  July  5,  1974.  Entered  into  force 

Jan.  1,  1976.  TIAS  8232. 

Ratification  deposited:  Gabon,  Sept.  29, 
1978. 

Accession  deposited:  Mozambique,  Oct.  2, 
1978. 

Property,  Intellectual 

Convention  establishing  the  World  Intellectual 
Property  Organization.  Done  at  Stockholm 
July  14,  1967.  Entered  into  force  Apr.  26, 
1970;  for  the  U.S.  Aug.  25,  1970.  TIAS 
6932. 

Accession  deposited:  Jamaica,  Sept.  25, 
1978. 

Refugees 

Protocol  relating  to  the  status  of  refugees. 
Done  at  New  York  Jan.  31,  1967.  Entered 
into  force  Oct.  4,  1967;  for  the  U.S.  Nov.  1, 
1968.  TIAS  6577. 

Accession  deposited:  Somalia,  Oct.  10, 
1978. 

Seabed  Disarmament 

Treaty  on  the  prohibition  of  the  emplacement 
of  nuclear  weapons  and  other  weapons  of 
mass  destruction  on  the  seabed  and  the  ocean 
floor  and  in  the  subsoil  thereof.  Done  at 
Washington,  London,  and  Moscow  Feb.  11, 
1971.  Entered  into  force  May  18,  1972. 
TIAS  7337. 

Accession  deposited:  Congo  (Brazzaville), 
Oct.  23,  1978. 

Telecommunications 

Telegraph  regulations,  with  appendices,  annex, 
and  final  protocol.  Done  at  Geneva  Apr.  11, 
1973.  Entered  into  force  Sept.   1,   1974;  for 
the  U.S.  Apr.  21,  1976.  TIAS  8586. 
Ratification  deposited:   Lebanon,  June   1, 

1978. 
Telephone  regulations,  with  appendices  and 
final  protocol.   Done  at  Geneva  Apr.    11, 
1973.  Entered  into  force  Sept.   1,  1974;  for 
the  U.S.  Apr.  21,  1976.  TIAS  8586. 
Ratification  deposited:   Lebanon,  June    1, 

1978. 
International  telecommunication  convention 
with  annexes  and  protocols.  Done  at 
Malaga-Torremolinos  Oct.  25,  1973.  Entered 
into  force  Jan.  1,  1975;  for  the  U.S.  Apr.  7, 
1976.  TIAS  8572. 
Ratifications  deposited:    Bolivia,    Aug.   22, 

1978;  Gabon  (with  statement),   Aug.    16, 

1978. 

Terrorism 

Convention  on  the  prevention  and  punishment 
of  crimes  against  internationally  protected 
persons,  including  diplomatic  agents.  Done 
at  New  York  Dec.  14,  1973.  Entered  into 
force  Feb.  20,  1977.  TIAS  8532. 


59 

Ratification  deposited:  Finland,  Oct.  31, 
1978. 

U.N.   Educational,   Scientific  and   Cultural 
Organization 

Agreement  on  the  importation  of  educational, 
scientific,  and  cultural  materials,  and  pro- 
tocol. Opened  for  signature  at  Lake  Success 
Nov.  22,  1950.  Entered  into  force  May  21, 
1952;  for  the  U.S.  Nov.  2,  1966.  TIAS  6129. 
Acceptance  deposited:  Ireland,  Sept.  19, 
1978. 

War 

Geneva  convention  for  amelioration  of  the  con- 
dition of  wounded,  sick,  and  shipwrecked 
members  of  armed  forces  at  sea; 

Geneva  convention  relative  to  the  treatment  of 
prisoners  of  war; 

Geneva  convention  relative  to  protection  of 
civilian  persons  in  time  of  war. 
Done  at  Geneva  Aug.  12,  1949.  Entered  into 
force  Oct.  21,  1950;  for  the  U.S.  Feb.  2, 
1956.  TIAS  3363,  3364,  and  3365,  respec- 
tively. 

Notification  of  succession:  Djibouti,  Feb. 
13,  1978;  effective  June  27,  1977  (date  of 
independence). 

Wheat 

Protocol  modifying  and  further  extending  the 
wheat  trade  convention  (part  of  the  interna- 
tional wheat  agreement),  1971  (TIAS  7144). 
Done  at  Washington  Apr.  26.  1978.  Entered 
into  force  June  24,  1978,  with  respect  to 
certain  provisions,  July  1,  1978,  with  respect 
to  other  provisions. 

Ratification  deposited:  France,  Nov.  3, 
1978. 

Protocol  modifying  and  further  extending  the 
food  aid  convention  (part  of  the  international 
wheat  agreement),  1971  (TIAS  7144).  Done 
at  Washington  Apr.  26,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  June  24,  1978,  with  respect  to  certain 
provisions  July  1,  1978,  with  respect  to 
other  provisions. 

Ratification  deposited:  France,  Nov.  3. 
1978. 

World  Heritage 

Convention  concerning  the  protection  of  the 
world  cultural  and  natural  heritage.  Done  at 
Paris  Nov.  23,  1972.  Entered  into  force  Dec. 
17,  1975.  TIAS  8226. 

Acceptance  deposited:  Saudi  Arabia,  Aug.  7, 
1978. 


BILATERAL 

Abu  Dhabi 

Agreement  amending  and  extending  the  techni- 
cal assistance  agreement  of  Jan.  18  and  Apr. 
26,  1976  (TIAS  8690),  relating  to  a  customs 
improvement  program  in  Abu  Dhabi.  Signed 
at  Washington  and  Abu  Dhabi  Mar.  16  and 
19,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Apr.  19,  1978. 

Australia 

Agreement  extending  the  agreement  of  Oct.  16, 
1968.  as  extended,  (TIAS  6589,  7682),  re- 
lating to  scientific  and  technical  cooperation. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Canberra 


60 

Oct  10,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  10, 
1978. 
Memorandum  of  understanding  relating  to  coal 
information  exchange  in  the  areas  of  health, 
safety,  and  environment.  Signed  at  Canberra 
Oct.  24  and  25,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Nov.  23.  1978. 

Bangladesh 

Loan  agreement  amending  the  agreement  ol 
Feb.    12.    1975  for  the  Ashuganj  fertilizer 
project.   Signed  at  Dacca  Aug.   31.    1978 
Entered  into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 

Cameroon 

Project  loan  agreement  for  Transcameroon 
railroad  III,  with  annexes.  Signed  at 
Yaounde  Aug.  30,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  30,  1978. 

Canada 

Agreement  regarding  the  emplacement,  for  op- 
erational evaluation,  of  two  data  link  trans- 
mitters and  connection  cable  in  the  bed  of  the 
St.  Marys  River,  Ontario,  as  part  of  an  elec- 
tronic aid  to  navigation  subsystem,  with 
annex.  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Ot- 
tawa Sept.  29  and  Oct.  16,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Oct.  16,  1978;  effective  Sept.  1, 
1977. 

Caribbean  Community  Secretariat 

Project  grant  agreement  for  basic  health  man- 
agement training,  with  annexes.  Signed  at 
Bridgetown  Aug.  30,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  30,  1978. 

China,  People's  Republic  of 

Agreement  relating  to  an  educational  exchange 
program  in  scientific  and  scholarly  fields. 
Concluded  at  Washington  Oct.  20,  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Oct.  20,  1978. 

China,  Republic  of 

Agreement  extending  the  agreement  of  Mar. 
30,  Apr.  26,  and  Oct.  14,  1955,  as  amended 
and  extended,  (TIAS  3493,  3720,  8960),  re- 
lating to  the  establishment  and  operation  in 
Taipei  of  a  U.S.  Navy  medical  research  unit. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Taipei  Oct. 
3  and  14.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  14. 
1978. 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  June  8. 
1978,  as  amended,  relating  to  trade  in  cot- 
ton, wool,  and  manmade  fiber  textiles  and 
textile  products.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Washington  Nov.  1,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Nov.  1,  1978. 

Costa  Rica 

Project  loan  agreement  for  urban  employment 
and  community  improvement,  with  annexes 
Signed  at  San  Jose  Aug.  30,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Aug.  30,  1978. 

Egypt 

Loan  agreement  for  industrial  production,  with 
annexes.  Signed  at  Cairo  Aug.  31,  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 

Project  grant  agreement  for  industrial  produc- 
tion, with  annexes.  Signed  at  Cairo  Aug.  31. 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 

Agreement  between  the  U.S.  and  Egypt 
amending  the  grant  agreement  of  Sept.  29, 
1977,  for  agricultural  development  systems. 
Signed  at  Cairo  Aug.  31,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  31,  1978. 

Project  grant  agreement  for  aquaculture  de- 
velopment, with  annexes.   Signed  at  Cairo 


Department  of  State  Bulletii  Ke 


Sept.  7,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  7, 
1978. 

Project  loan  agreement  for  the  Quattamia  ce- 
ment project,  with  annex.  Signed  at  Cairo 
Sept.  28.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  28. 
1978. 

Project  loan  agreement  for  canal  cities  water 
and  sewerage,  with  annex.  Signed  at  Cairo 
Sept.  30,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  30, 
1978. 

Project  loan  agreement  for  the  Port  of  Suez 
project,  with  annex.  Signed  at  Cairo  Sept. 
30,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  30,  1978 

Project  grant  agreement  for  Cairo  sewerage, 
with  annex.  Signed  at  Cairo  Sept.  30,  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Sept.  30.  1978. 

El  Salvador 

Project  loan  agreement  for  small  farm  irrigation 
systems,  with  annexes.  Signed  at  San  Sal- 
vador Aug.  30,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  30.  1978. 

Ethiopia 

Agreement  relating  to  the  transfer  of  food  to 
Ethiopia.  Signed  at  Addis  Ababa  Sept.  22, 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  22.  1978. 

Germany,  Federal  Republic  of 

Memorandum  of  understanding  concerning  the 
principles  governing  mutual  cooperation  in 
the  research  and  development,  production, 
procurement,  and  logistic  support  of  defense 
equipment.  Signed  at  Schwanewede  Oct.  17, 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  17,  1978. 

Memorandum  of  understanding  extending  and 
modifying  the  memorandum  of  understanding 
of  June  12.  1973,  as  amended  (TIAS  8402), 
regarding  cooperation  on  the  development  of 
advanced  ground  transportation,  particularly 
tracked,  levitated  high  speed  transportation 
systems.  Signed  at  Washington  and  Bonn 
July  12  and  Aug.  30,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Aug.  30.  1978. 

Greece 

Memorandum  of  understanding  for  scientific 
and  technological  cooperation,  with  annex. 
Signed  at  Athens  Sept.  16,  1978.  Entered 
into  force  Sept.  16,  1978. 

Haiti 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  Mar.  22 
and  23,  1976.  as  amended  (TIAS  8268, 
8395,  8643),  relating  to  trade  in  cotton, 
wool,  and  manmade  fiber  textiles  and  textile 
products.  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at 
Washington  Oct.  13,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Oct.  13,  1978. 

India 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  Dec. 
30,  1977,  as  amended  (TIAS  9036),  relating 
lo  trade  in  cotton,  wool,  and  manmade  fiber 
textiles  and  textile  products.  Effected  by  ex- 
change of  notes  at  Washington  Aug.  30  and 
Nov.  3,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Nov.  3, 
1978. 

Indonesia 

Project  loan  agreement  for  sederhana  (simple) 
irrigation  and  land  development  II,  with  an- 
nexes. Signed  at  Jakarta  Aug.  31,  1978.  En- 
tered into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 

Project  grant  agreement  for  sederhana  (simple) 
irrigation  and  land  development  project  II. 
with  annexes.  Signed  at  Jakarta  Aug.  31, 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 


Israel 

Agreement  to  establish  the  U.S. -Israel  Ag 
ricultural  Research  and  Development  Fund 
with  appendix.  Signed  at  Jerusalem  Oct.  25 
1977. 
Entered  into  force:  Nov.  6,  1978. 

Jamaica 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales  o 
agricultural  commodities  of  Aug.  2,  1978* 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Kingsto 
Oct.  13  and  25,  1978.  Entered  into  fore 
Oct.  25.  1978. 

Lebanon 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales  o 
agricultural  commodities  of  Mar.  23,  197& 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Beirut  Sept 
26  and  Oct  6,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Oct 
6.  1978. 

Lesotho 

Project  grant  agreement  for  southern  Afric 
manpower  development,  with  annexes 
Signed  at  Maseru  Aug.  31.  1978.  Entere 
into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 

Malta 

Agreement  relating  to  acquisition  of  U.S 
Government-owned  domestic  and  foreign  ex 
cess  property  by  Malta.  Signed  at  Washing, 
ton  and  Valletta  Sept.  7  and  21.  1978.  Em 
tered  into  force  Sept.  21,  1978. 

Mexico 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  of  May  2'. 
1978.  concerning  an  illicit  crop  detectio 
system  to  be  used  in  curbing  the  illegal  tra 
fie  in  narcotics.  Effected  by  exchange  ( 
letters  at  Mexico  Sept.  26,  1978.  Entere 
into  force  Sept.  26,  1978. 

Agreement  concerning  the  provision  of  add 
tional  technical  assistance  to  curb  the  illeg; 
traffic  in  narcotics.  Effected  by  exchange  < 
letters  at  Mexico  Sept.  28,  1978.  Entere 
into  force  Sept.  28,  1978. 

Morocco 

Project  grant  agreement  for  dryland  agricultui 
applied  research,  with  annexes.  Signed 
Rabat  Aug.  31,  1978.  Entered  into  fore 
Aug.  31,  1978. 

Nepal 

Project  grant  agreement  for  rural  developmei 
project/resource  conservation  and  utilizatio 
project  design,  with  annexes.  Signed  ; 
Kathmandu  Aug.  31.  1978.  Entered  int 
force  Aug.  31.  1978. 

Project  grant  agreement  for  seed  productio 
and  input  storage,  with  annexes.  Signed  i 
Kathmandu  Aug.  31,  1978.  Entered  int 
force  Aug.  31.  1978. 

Nicaragua 

Project  loan  agreement  for  nutrition  improve 
ment,  with  annexes  Signed  at  Managu 
Aug.  30.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  31 
1978. 

Project  loan  agreement  for  rural  education  de 
velopment,  with  annexes.  Signed  at  Managu 
Aug.  30.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  30 
1978. 


Panama 

Memorandum  of  agreement  relating  to  the  pro,, 
vision  of  flight  inspection  services.  Signed  ^ 
Washington  and  Panama  Aug.  16  and  Sept^ 
1,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.   1,  1978. 


•ecember  1978 


61 


jreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales  of 
agricultural  commodities  of  Apr.  26.  1978. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Lima  Oct. 
27,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  27.  1978. 

iland 

emorandum  of  understanding  concerning  re- 
search cooperation  in  the  field  of  transporta- 
tion. Signed  at  Warsaw  Nov.  3,  1971.  En- 
tered into  force  Nov.  3,  1971. 
reement  amending  the  air  transport  agree- 
ment of  July  19.  1972,  as  amended  and  ex- 
tended (TIAS  7535,  8469).  Effected  by  ex- 
change of  notes  at  Warsaw  June  19  and  Aug. 
11,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  11,  1978. 
;reement  extending  the  memorandum  of  un- 
derstanding of  Nov.  3,  1971,  concerning  re- 
search cooperation  in  the  field  of  transporta- 
tion. Signed  at  Warsaw  Oct.  16.  1978. 
Entered  into  force  Oct.  16,  1978. 
reement  amending  the  agreement  of  Jan.  9 
and  12,  1978,  as  amended,  relating  to  trade 
in  cotton,  wool,  and  manmade  fiber  textiles 
and  textile  products.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
notes  at  Washington  Oct.  19  and  20,  1978 
Entered  into  force  Oct.  20.  1978. 
;reement  on  the  participation  of  small  and 
medium-sized  firms  and  economic  organiza- 
ions  in  trade  and  in  economic  and  industrial 
:ooperation.  Signed  at  Washington  Nov.  9, 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Nov.  9,  1978. 

rtugal 

.reement  for  sales  of  agricultural  com- 
nodities,  relating  to  the  agreement  of  Mar. 
18,  1976  (TIAS  8264),  with  minutes.  Signed 
at  Lisbon  Aug.  4,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  4,  1978. 

I  mania 

i  reement  amending  the  agreement  of  Jan.  6 
ind  25,  1978,  as  amended,  relating  to  trade 
I  n  cotton  textiles.  Effected  by  exchange  of 
letters  at  Washington  Oct.  13  and  14,  1978. 
I  Entered  into  force  Oct.  14,  1978. 

irmanent  Interstate  Committee 
I    Drought  Control  in  the  Sahel 

I  reement  amending  the  project  agreement  of 

peb.  7,  1978  for  research  and  development  of 

ntegrated  pest  management  for  basic  crops 

n  the  Sahel.  Signed  at  Ouagadougou  Aug. 

50,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  30,  1978. 

igapore 

reement  amending  the  agreement  of  Sept.  21 
nd  22,  1978,  relating  to  trade  in  cotton, 
vool,  and  manmade  fiber  textiles  and  textile 
jroducts.  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at 
Washington,  Oct.  18  and  Nov.  1,  1978.  En- 
ered  into  force  Nov.   1,  1978. 


reement  amending  the  arrangement  of  Sept. 
>3,  1957,  (TIAS  3906)  relating  to  certifi- 
:ates  of  airworthiness  for  imported  aircraft, 
ffected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Washington 
Sept.  18  and  Oct.  13,  1978.  Entered  into 
force  Oct.  13,  1978. 

i  Lanka 

jject  grant  agreement  for  development  serv- 
ces  and  training,  with  annexes.  Signed  at 
Colombo  Aug.  31,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  31,  1978. 

)ject  loan  agreement  for  agricultural  inputs, 
with  annexes.  Signed  at  Colombo  Aug.  31, 
1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  31,  1978. 


Project  grant  agreement  for  agricultural  educa- 
tion development  with  annexes.  Signed  at 
Colombo  Aug.  31.  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  31.  1978. 

Surinam 

Agreement  relating  to  the  reciprocal  granting  of 
authorizations  to  permit  licensed  amateur 
radio  operators  of  either  country  to  operate 
their  stations  in  the  other  country.  Effected 
by  exchange  of  notes  at  Paramaribo  Oct.  3 
and  12.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Oct.  12, 
1978. 

Swaziland 

Project  grant  agreement  for  southern  Africa  man- 
power development,  with  annexes.  Signed  at 
Mbabane  Aug.  31,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Aug.  31,  1978. 

Syria 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales  of 
agricultural  commodities  of  May  3,  1978.  Ef- 
fected by  exchange  of  notes  at  Damascus  July 
25,  1978.  Entered  into  force  July  25.  1978. 

Loan  agreement  for  the  Lattakia-Tartous  high- 
way project,  with  annexes.  Signed  at  Damas- 
cus Sept.  28.  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept. 
28,  1978. 

Thailand 

Agreement  relating  to  trade  in  cotton,  wool,  and 
manmade  fiber  textiles  and  textile  products, 
with  annexes.  Effected  by  exchange  of  notes 
at  Bangkok  Oct.  4,  1978.  Entered  into  force 
Oct.  4,  1978;  effective  Jan.  1.  1978. 

Tunisia 

Project  grant  agreement  for  agriculture  technol- 
ogy transfer,  with  annexes.  Signed  at  Tunis 
Aug.  31,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Aug.  31, 
1978. 

U.S.S.R. 

Convention  concerning  the  conservation  of 
migratory  birds  and  their  environment.  Signed 
at  Moscow  Nov.  19,  1976.  Entered  into  force 
Oct.  13,  1978. 
Proclaimed  by  the  President:  Oct.  31,  1978. 

United  Kingdom 

Convention  for  the  avoidance  of  double  taxation 
and  the  prevention  of  fiscal  evasion  with  re- 
spect to  taxes  on  income  and  capital  gains. 
Signed  at  London  Dec.  31,  1975.2 
Instrument  of  ratification  signed  by  the  Presi- 
dent: Aug.  1,  1978  (with  reservation). 

Agreement  amending  the  convention  of  Dec  31 . 
1975.  for  the  avoidance  of  double  taxation  and 
the  preservation  of  fiscal  evasion  with  respect 
to  taxes  on  income  and  capital  gains.  Effected 
by  exchange  of  notes  at  London  Apr.  13, 
1976. 2 

Instrument  of  ratification  signed  by  the  Presi- 
dent: Aug.  1,  1978  (with  reservation). 

Protocol  amending  the  convention  of  Dec.  31, 
1975,  as  amended,  for  the  avoidance  of  dou- 
ble taxation  and  the  prevention  of  fiscal  eva- 
sion with  respect  to  taxes  on  income  and  cap- 
ital gains.  Signed  at  London  Aug.  26,  1976. 2 
Instrument  of  ratification  signed  by  the  Presi- 
dent: Aug.  I,  1978  (with  reservation). 

Second  protocol  amending  the  convention  of 
Dec.  31,  1975,  as  amended,  for  the  avoidance 
of  double  taxation  and  the  prevention  of  fiscal 
evasion  with  respect  to  taxes  on  income  and 
capital  gains.  Signed  at  London  Mar.  31, 
1977. 2 
Instrument  of  ratification  signed  by  the  Presi- 


dent: Aug.   1,  1978  (with  reservation). 

Agreement  extending  and  modifying  the 
agreement  of  Mar.  17,  1978,  (TIAS  8964)  re- 
lating to  North  Atlantic  air  fares.  Effected  by 
exchange  of  letters  at  Washington  Nov.  2  and 
9,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Nov.  9,  1978. 

Reciprocal  fisheries  agreement,  with  agreed 
minutes.  Signed  at  Washington  June  24,  1977. 
Entered  into  force:  Nov.  7.  1978. 

Zambia 

Agreement  amending  the  agreement  for  sales  of 
agricultural  commodities  of  Aug.  4,  1978. 
Effected  by  exchange  of  notes  at  Lusaka  Sept. 
11  and  12,  1978.  Entered  into  force  Sept.  12, 
1978.  □ 


1  Not  in  force  for  the  U.S. 

2  Not  in  force. 
'Subject  to  ratification. 


PRESS  RELEASES: 

Department  of  State 

October  16-November  14 

Press  releases  may  be  obtained  from  the  Of- 
fice of  Press  Relations,  Department  of  State, 
Washington,  DC.  20520. 


No.  Date 

•387  10/16 

*388  10/16 

*389  10/17 

*390  10/17 


*391        10/17 


*392        10/18 


*393        10/19 


394       10/19 
*395        10/20 


Subject 

Goodwin  Cooke  sworn  in  as 
Ambassador  to  the  Central 
African  Empire  (biographic 
data). 

International  Radio  Consul- 
tative Committee  (CCIR). 
study  group  5,  Nov.  7. 

Marilyn  P.  Johnson  sworn  in 
as  Ambassador  to  Togo 
(biographic  data). 

Department  of  State,  com- 
munity colleges  of  the 
State  Universities  of  New 
York  to  begin  series  of 
community  meetings  on 
foreign  policy.  Corning 
and  Binghamton,  Oct. 
23-24. 

San  Francisco  conference  on 
U.S.  policy  in  Africa,  Oct. 
31. 

Marshall  W.  Wiley  sworn  in 
as  Ambassador  to  Oman 
(biographic  data). 

Shipping  Coordinating  Com- 
mittee (SCC),  Subcom- 
mittee on  Safety  of  Life  at 
Sea  (SOLAS),  working 
group  on  standards  of 
training  and  watchkeeping, 
Nov.  8. 

Vance:  statement  in  Pretoria, 
Oct.  18. 

U.S.,  Romania  amend  textile 
agreement,  Oct.  13  &  14. 


I 


62 

396 

10/20 

•397 

10/24 

*398  10/23 

♦399  10/24 

*400  10/24 

*401  10/25 

*402  10/26 

•403  10/26 

*404  10/26 

•405  10/26 

*406  10/27 

*407  10/27 

*408  10/27 


*409         11/1 


•410         11/1 


•411         11/2 


*412         11/3 


413         11/3 
*414         11/3 


*415         11/6 


*416         11/7 


Vance:  news  conference, 
Geneva,  Oct.  19. 

Richardson:  summary  of  ad- 
dress before  the  World 
Affairs  Council  and  the 
U.N.  Association  on  Law 
of  the  Sea  negotiations. 

Vance,  Gromyko:  exchange 
of  toasts,  Moscow. 

SCC,  SOLAS,  working  group 
on  radiocommunications, 
Nov.   16. 

Overseas  Schools  Advisory 
Council,  Dec.  14 

International  Telegraph  and 
Telephone  Consultative 
Committee  (CCITT),  study 
group  1,  Nov.  20. 

U.S.,  Poland  amend  textile 
agreement.  Oct.  19  &  20. 

U.S.,  Haiti  amend  textile 
agreement,  Oct.  13. 

SCC,  SOLAS,  working  group 
on  international  mul- 
timodal transport  and  con- 
tainers, Nov.  15. 

Advisory  Committee  on 
Transnational  Enterprises, 
Nov.  14. 

State  Department  opens 
Stamford,  Conn.,  passport 
agency,  Nov.  21 . 

Donald  K.  Petterson  sworn  in 
as  Ambassador  to  Somalia 
(biographic  data). 

World  Affairs  Council  of 
Phoenix  and  State  Depart- 
ment cosponsor  foreign 
policy  conference  on  select 
issues  in  U.S. -Mexico  re- 
lations, Nov.  16. 

Assistant  Secretary  for  Euro- 
pean Affairs  George  Vest 
to  address  conference  on 
U.S.  security  and  the 
Soviet  challenge,  Jackson- 
ville, Fla.,  Nov.  15. 

Joint  statement  regarding 
signing  of  U.S.-F.R.G. 
aviation  agreement. 

Richard  A.  Ericson,  Jr. 
sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 
Iceland  (biographic  data). 

Advisory  Committee  on  the 
1979  World  Administrative 
Radio  Conference,  Nov. 
29. 

Vance:  news  conference. 

SCC.  SOLAS,  panel  on  bulk 
cargoes  of  the  working 
group  on  subdivision  and 
stability,  Dec.  13. 

U.S.,  13  maritime  nations  to 
hold  shipping  talks,  Lon- 
don, Nov.   15-17. 

U.S.  Hispanic,  Carmen 
Delgado- Votaw,  to  head 
OAS  Inter- American 
Commission  of  Women. 


*417 

*418 

♦419 
*420 

*421 


11/7 


11/7 


11/9 


11/9 


11/13 


*422        11/13 


*423        11/13 


*424 


11/14 


*425        11/14 


*426 
*427 


11/14 
11/14 


U.S.,  India  amend  textile 
agreement,  Aug.  30  and 
Nov.  3. 

U.S..  Singapore  amend  tex- 
tile agreement,  Oct.  18  and 
Nov.  1. 

U.S.,  ROC.  amend  textile 
agreement,  Nov.  1 . 

Program  for  the  state  visit  of 
Moroccan  King  Hassan  II, 
Nov.  13-29. 

U.S. -Belgium  statement  con- 
cerning a  new  air  transport 
agreement. 

SCC,  SOLAS,  working  group 
on  radiocommunications, 
Dec.  14. 

SCC,  SOLAS,  working  group 
on  ship  design  and  equip- 
ment, Dec.  7. 

Advisory  Committee  on  In- 
ternational Intellectual 
Property,  copyright  panel, 
Dec.  12 

Advisory  Committee  on  Pri- 
vate International  Law, 
study  group  on  child  ab- 
duction by  one  parent, 
Dec.  9. 

U.S..  Thailand  sign  textile 
agreement,  Oct   4. 

U.S.,  Poland  amend  textile 
agreement,  Apr.  3  and 
May  26.  □ 


Not  printed  in  the  Bulletin. 


UJSJVJV. 


Press  releases  may  be  obtained  from  the  Pub- 
lic Affairs  Office,  U.S.  Mission  to  the  United 
Nations,  799  United  Nations  Plaza.  New  York, 
NY.   10017. 

No.  Dale  Subject 

*36  5/5         Kriendler:    American   Samoa, 

Subcommittee  on  Small  Ter- 
ritories of  Special  Commit- 
tee on  Decolonization 

*37  5/5        Leonard:        arms       control. 

Socialist  International  Con- 
ference on  Disarmament, 
Helsinki,  Apr.  24 

[List  of  USUN  press  releases  nos    38-64  were  primed  in  the 
September  1978  Bulletin]. 


•65 

66 

*67 


68 


69 


6/21  Harriman:  SSOD. 

6/23  Warnke:  SSOD. 

6/27  Helman:    space   programs, 

U.N.   Committee  on   the 

Peaceful   Uses  of  Outer 

Space 
6/30         Harriman:   assessment  of 

SSOD 
6/30         Leonard:  SSOD. 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 

*70  7/10  Mezvinsky:    Soviet   dissi- 

dents. Human  Right; 
Commission. 

71  7/11  Young:  ECOSOC,  Geneva. 

72  7/27  Vance:   Namibia.   Securit) 

Council 

73  7/27  Vance:  Walvis  Bay  resolu 

tion.  Security  Council. 

*74  8/9  Young:   remarks  before  thi 

American  Bar  Assn.  Con 
vention,  N.Y.,  on  humai 
rights. 

♦75         8/17  Leonard:   membership  appli 

cation  of  Solomon  Islands 
Security  Council. 
76         8/21  Richardson:   Law  of  the  Sei 

negotiations. 

*77         8/22  Young:   Statement  on   th< 

death  of  Presiden 
Kenyatta. 

*78         8/28  Young:  Puerto  Rico,  Com 

mittee  of  24. 

*79         9/11  Hormats:   committee  estab1 

lished  under  UNGA  Res 
olution  32/174  to  asses 
establishment  of  new  inter 
national  economic  order. 

*80         9/12  Young:  observance  of  the  an 

niversary  of  the  death  o 
Steve  Biko,  Special  Com 
mittee  Against  Apartheid. 

*81  9/18  Young:  renewal  of  mandat 

for  U.N.  Interim  Forces  i 
Lebanon,  Security  Coun 
cil. 

*82         9/19  Young:   admission  of  Sol 

omon  Islands  to  U.N' 
membership.  General  As 
sembly. 

83  9/26         U.S.  delegation  to  33d  ses 

sion  of  U.N.  General  As 
sembly. 

84  9/29  Vance:  statement  at  openin 

session  of  UNGA. 

85  9/29  Vance:    Namibia,    Securit    i 

Council. 

*86         10/2  Saddler:   financial  reports 

Committee  V. 

♦87  10/5  Momjian:   youth,   Committe*   fa 

III. 

•88  10/5  U.S.    Representative   Se    I 

Charles  Momjian  to  con 
centrate  on  social   and  hu 
manitarian  affairs. 
89  10/7  State    Department   announce 

ment  on  issuance  of  visa 
to  Rhodesian  Executivi 
Council. 

*90  10/10  Petree:  issuance  of  visas  ti 
Rhodesian  Executivi 
Council.  Security  Council 

*91  10/12  Carter:  statement  on  signinj 
Department  of  State  F~\ 
1979  appropriation  bill. 

•92  10/12  Stahl:  effects  of  atomic  radi 
ation.  Special  Politica 
Committee. 


*  Not  printed  in  the  Bulletin. 


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ECEMBER  1978 
OL.  78,  NO.  2021 

rms  Control 

mbassador  Warnke's  News  Conference  of  Oc- 
tober 30  (excerpts)  5 

CDA/SALT  Officials 6 

ews  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)  .  .  .17 

resident  Carter  Interviewed  for  "Bill  Moyers' 
Journal ' '  (excerpts) 14 

ALT  and  American  Security 1 

sia.  Superpowers  and  Regional  Alliances  in 
South  Asia  (Newsom) 52 

angladesh.  Letter  of  Credence  (Husain)   .  .  .55 

anada.  Expanded  Canadian  Maritime  Bound- 
ary Claim  (Department  statement) 43 

hina 

rms  Sales  to  Taiwan  (Department  state- 
ment)   29 

ews  Conference  of  November  3  ( Vance)  ..17 

ongress 

rmaments  Cooperation  in  NATO  (Chris- 
topher)    36 

ongressional  Documents   31 

idian  Ocean  Arms  Limitation  Negotiations 
(Gelb) 54 

'eveloping  Countries.  World  Population:  The 
Silent  Explosion— Part  3  (Fearey,  Green)    ■  44 
i  conomics 
anaging  Economic   Problems   in  the   Indus- 
trialized Democracies  (Hormats) 32 

uperpowers  and  Regional  Alliances  in  South 
Asia  (Newsom) 52 

he  United  States  and  Its  Economic  Respon- 
sibilities (Carter)   12 

l  gypt 

I  gyptian-Israeli  Peace  Negotiations  (Carter. 
I   Dayan,    Hassan   Ali,    White   House   state- 

|    ment )    40 

I  ews  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)  .  .17 
|  resident  Carter  Interviewed  for  "Bill  Moyers' 

I    Journal"  (excerpts) 14 

nergy 
■lanaging  Economic   Problems   in   the   Indus- 

I  trialized  Democracies  (Hormats) 32 

I  he  United  States  and  Its  Economic  Respon- 

I  sibilities  (Carter)  12 

l^urope.  Secretary  Vance  to  Visit  Europe  and 

II  the  Middle  East 20 

ood.    Presidential   Commission   on   World 

I   Hunger  (Carter)   39 

■tuman  Rights.  Superpowers  and  Regional  Al- 
liances in  South  Asia  (Newsom) 52 

ndian  Ocean.  Indian  Ocean  Arms  Limitation 
Negotiations  (Gelb) 54 

ndonesia.  The  Dominoes  That  Did  Not  Fall 
(Newsom)   28 

industrialized  Democracies.  Managing  Eco- 
nomic Problems  in  the  Industrialized  De- 
mocracies (Hormats) 32 

Iran 

••Jews  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)  .17 

-"resident  Carter  Interviewed  for  "Bill  Moyers' 
Journal ' '  (excerpts) 14 


Israel 

Egyptian-Israeli  Peace  Negotiations  (Carter, 
Dayan,  Hassan  Ali.  White  House  state- 
ment)     40 

News  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)   .  .17 

President  Carter  Interviewed  for  "Bill  Moyers' 
Journal"  (excerpts) 14 

Jordan.  News  Conference  of  November  3 
(Vance)   17 

Korea.  News  Conference  of  November  3 
(Vance)   17 

Labor.  Managing  Economic  Problems  in  the 
Industrialized  Democracies  (Hormats)  .  .  .  .32 

Law  of  the  Sea.  Law  of  the  Sea  Conference 
(Richardson)  42 

Malaysia.  The  Dominoes  That  Did  Not  Fall 
(Newsom)    28 

Mali.  Letter  of  Credence  (Tall)   27 

Maritime  Affairs.  Expanded  Canadian 
Maritime  Boundary  Claim  (Department  state- 
ment)   43 

Middle  East.  Secretary  Vance  to  Visit  Europe 
and  the  Middle  East  20 

Monetary  Affairs 

Managing  Economic  Problems  in  the  Indus- 
trialized Democracies  (Hormats) 32 

Measures  to  Strengthen  the  Dollar  (Blumenthal. 
Carter)  31 

News  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)  ..17 

Namibia 

Namibia  (  Vance,  text  of  resolution) 56 

Secretary  Vance  Discusses  Namibia  With 
South  African  Officials  (news  conference, 
joint  statement.  South  African  statement, 
Western  five  statement)   21 

North  Atlantic  Treaty  Organization.  Arma- 
ments Cooperation  in  NATO  (Christopher)  36 

Nuclear  Policy 

News  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)  .  .17 

Superpowers  and  Regional  Alliances  in  South 
Asia  (Newsom) 52 

Philippines.  The  Dominoes  That  Did  Not  Fall 
(Newsom)   28 

Population.  World  Population:  The  Silent 
Explosion  —  Part  3  (Fearey,  Green) 44 

Presidential  Documents 

Egyptian-Israeli  Peace  Negotiations  (Carter, 
Dayan.  Hassan  Ali,  White  House  state- 
ment)     40 

Measures  to  Strengthen  the  Dollar  (Blumenthal. 
Carter) 31 

President  Carter  Interviewed  for  "Bill  Moyers' 
Journal"  (excerpts)  14 

Presidential  Commission  on  World  Hunger  .39 

The  United  States  and  Its  Economic  Respon- 
sibilities   12 

U.S.  Military  Cooperation  With  Turkey  (mem- 
orandum to  the  Secretary  of  State,  Depart- 
ment statement)   38 

Publications 

Congressional  Documents    31 

GPO  Sales  Publications   30 

Romania.  Letter  of  Credence  (Ionescu)  ...  .37 

Science  and  Technology.  The  Challenge  of 
Science  and  Technology  for  Development 
(Maynes)  48 

Security  Assistance 

Arms  Sales  to  Taiwan  (Department  state- 
ment)     29 

Superpowers  and  Regional  Alliances  in  South 
Asia  (Newsom) 52 


U.S.  Military  Cooperation  With  Turkey  (Car- 
ter, memorandum  to  the  Secretary  of  State, 
Department  statement)    38 

Singapore.  The  Dominoes  That  Did  Not  Fall 
(Newsom)    28 

Southern  Rhodesia 

New  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)  ...  1  7 

Rhodesian  Raids  (Department  statements)   .  .25 

Secretary  Vance  Discusses  Namibia  With 
South  African  Officials  (news  conference, 
joint  statement.  South  African  statement. 
Western  five  statement)   21 

Southern  Rhodesia  (foreign  relations  out- 
line)    27 

Southern  Rhodesia  (Hechinger) 57 

U.S..  U.K.,  Rhodesian  Executive  Council 
Meeting  (Department  announcement,  joint 
U.S. -U.K.  statement)  25 

Tanzania.  News  Conference  of  November  3 
(Vance)   17 

Thailand.  The  Dominoes  That  Did  Not  Fall 
(Newsom)    28 

Trade 

Managing  Economic  Problems  in  the  Indus- 
trialized Democracies  (Hormats) 32 

The  United  States  and  Its  Economic  Respon- 
sibilities (Carter)  12 

Treaties.  Current  Actions 58 

Turkey.  U.S.  Military  Cooperation  With  Tur- 
key (Carter,  memorandum  to  the  Secretary  of 
State,  Department  statement) 38 

Uganda.  News  Conference  of  November  3 
(Vance)   17 

U.S.S.R. 

News  Conference  of  November  3  (Vance)     .17 

President  Carter  Interviewed  for  "Bill  Moyers' 
Journal ' '  (excerpts) 14 

Secretary  Vance  Visits  Moscow 37 

SALT  and  American  Security   1 

United  Nations 

The  Challenge  of  Science  and  Technology  for 
Development  (Maynes) 48 

Namibia  (Vance,  text  of  resolution) 56 

Southern  Rhodesia  (Hechinger) 57 

Vietnam.  News  Conference  of  November  3 
(Vance)   17 


Name  Index 

Blumenthal,  W  Michael 31 

Carter,  President   12,  14.  31.  38.  39.  40 

Christopher.  Warren 36 

Dayan.  Moshe 40 

Fearey,  Robert  A   44 

Gelb,  Leslie  H 54 

Green,  Marshall   44 

Hassan  Ali,  Kamal 40 

Hechinger,  John  W 57 

Hormats,  Robert  D 32 

Husain,  Tabarak   55 

Ionescu,  Nicolae 37 

Maynes,  Charles  William  48 

Newsom,  David  D 28,  52 

Richardson,  Elliot  L 42 

Tall,  Macky  Koreissi  Aguibou 27 

Vance,  Secretary   17,  21 ,  56 

Warnke,  Paul  C 5 


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Index  1978 


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United  Nations 


Third  World 


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Middle  East 


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Human  Rights 


Economic  Summit 


Department  of  State 

bulletin 


The  Department  of  State  Bulletin, 
published  by  the  Office  of  Public  Com- 
munication in  the  Bureau  of  Public 
Affairs,  is  the  official  record  of  U.S. 
foreign  policy.  Its  purpose  is  to  provide 
the  public,  the  Congress,  and  govern- 
ment agencies  with  information  on 
developments  in  U.S.  foreign  relations 
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CYRUS  R.  VANCE 

Secretary  of  State 

HODDING  CARTER  III 

Assistant  Secretary  for  Public  Affair; 

JOHN  CLARK  KIMBALL 

Consulting  Editor 

PHYLLIS  A.  YOUNG 

Editor 

COLLEEN  SUSSMAN 

Assistant  Editor 


I 


INDEX:    Vol.  789  Yos.  2010-2021 


lernathy.  Bob,  Jan.  46;  Jul\  26 
iramowitz.   Morion   I.,   Ambassador  to  Thai- 
land, swearing  in.  PR  276,  7/11 
izug,  Bella  S.  (Vance).  Jan.   19 
3U   Dhabi,   customs   improvement   program 
bilateral   technical    assistance   agreement, 
Dec.  59 

:heson.  Dean  (quoted).  Sept.  48 
:hilles.   Theodore   C   recipient   of   Director 

General's  Cup  award.  PR  223.  5/18 
dvisory  committees,   notice  of  meetings.  See 

Notice  of  meetings 
ghanistan: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  remarks  on  presentation 
of  credentials   and   reply   by    President 
Carter.  UNN,  8/2 
Economic  situation  (Dubs).  May  50 
Military  coup:  Aug.  46;  Newsom,  Dec.  52 
Opium  control  problem  and  U.S.  aid  (Falco), 

June  42,  45 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61.  62,  Mar. 

59,  Apr.  61.  May  58,  July  60 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Dubs),  PR  270,  7/6 
frica  (see  also  names  of  individual  countries): 
African   solution  of  African   problems:   Aug. 
40:  Brzezinski,  July  27;  Carter,  July  16, 
Aug.  7;  Luers,  Nov.  41;  Shulman,  Nov. 
31;  Vance,  June  29,  July  32    Aug.  12,  13 
China,  interests  of  ( Vance).  Aug.   14 
Commodity  exports  (graph).  Mar    4 
Denuclearization,  OAS  decision,  Aug.  52 
Economic  needs  and  U.S.  aid:  Carter.  May 
13.  Aug.  7;  Lake,  Jan.   25;  Vance,  Apr. 
26.  July  29.  31.  32;  Aug.   12.  16.  PR  89. 
2/24 
Foreign  military  intervention  (see  also  Soviet 
and  Cuban  presence,  infra):  May  5:  Car- 
ter, May  12;  Vance,  June  25 
International     response,     need     for 

(Brzezinski),  July  27,  28 
Pan-American  defense  force,  question  of: 
Carter,  Aug    7;  Vance,  July  6 
Foreign   Relations  of  the    United  States, 
1950,  volume  V,  The  Near  East,  South 
Asia,  and  Africa,  released.  Nov.  58 
Nationalism:   Carter,   July   21;    Vance,   Aug. 

11.  12,  16 
Population  projections,  Oct.  46,  48 
Religious  commitments  (Carter),  July  21 
Sahel:  Vance,  Apr.  26;  Young,  Jan.  34 

Permanent   Interstate   Committee   for 
Drought   Control,    bilateral    project 
agreement  re  integrated  pest  manage- 
ment for  basic  crops,  Dec.  61 
Southern  (see  also  Namibia,  Rhodesia,   and 
South  Africa):  Feb.   55;  Carter,  July  33; 
Vance.   Feb.   24,   Mar.    18,    19,   July  29, 
Aug.   II;  Whalen,  Jan.  56;  Young,  Feb. 
53 
Soviet  and  Cuban  presence  (see  also  Angola, 
Ethiopia,  Rhodesia,  and  Zaire):  ANZUS. 
July  48;  Brzezinski.  July  27,  28;  Carter, 


Africa  (Cont'd) 

Soviet  and  Cuban  presence  (Cont'd) 

Apr.  17.  July  I,  16,  19,  21.  Aug.  6.  8, 
Sept.  7;  Gelb.  Dec.  55;  Luers,  Nov.  41; 
Moose,  Apr.  30;  Shulman.  Jan.  5.  Nov. 
28,  29,  30;  Vance,  Mar.  16,  18;  May  24, 
26.  July  4.  29.  31.  32.  Aug.  10.  12.  15; 
Warnke.  Apr.  5 
German  Democratic  Republic,  support  for: 

Bolen.  May  37;  Luers.  Nov.  35 
U.S.  military  forces,  question  of  use:  Car- 
ter, July  19;  Vance,  July  31.  Aug.  13 
U.S.   foreign  policy  conference,   San  Fran- 
cisco, PR  391.  10/17 
U.S.  policy  and  relations:  Brzezinski.  June  1. 
July  27;  Carter.  Jan.    12,  Feb.  21,  May 
12,  19.  July  16.  19,  21,  33;  Maynes,  Jan. 
52;  Mondale,  June  34;   Vance,  July  29, 
32:  Aug.  10,  16 
U.S.  security  assistance:  Brzezinski,  July  26; 
Moose.  Apr.   30;   Vance,  July  32;  Aug. 
12.  16 
U.S. -Soviet  discussions  (Vance),  Sept.  31 
African  Development  Bank,  rural  health  services 

project  for  Benin  (Vance),  June  15 
African  Development  Fund: 

Agreement  (1972),  accession,  Kuwait,  May 

58 
U.S.  appropriations  request:  Carter,  May  13; 
Cooper,  Apr.  38;  Vance,  28,  July  29 
Agency  for  International  Development  (see  also 
Development  assistance),  internal  reorgani- 
zation (Vance),  Apr.  25.  27.  June  16.  Aug 
14 
Agricultural   surpluses,   U.S.   use   in  overseas 
programs,   agreements   with:    Afghanistan, 
Mar.  59;  Bangladesh.  Mar.   59.  May  58. 
June  60.  July  60;  Bolivia.  July  60,  No\ .  57. 
Dominican  Republic.  Mar.  59;  Egypt.  Feb. 

61.  June  60,  Oct.  61;  Guinea.  Feb.  61. 
Mar.  60;  Guyana,  Mar.  60,  Aug.  60;  Haiti, 
Aug.  60;  India,  Mar.  60;  Indonesia.  Mar. 
60,  Apr.  62,  Sept.  60;  Israel.  Feb.  61; 
Jamaica,  Feb.  61,  Sept.  61,  Nov.  57,  Dec. 
60;  Jordan.  Mar.  60,  July  61:  Korea,  Re- 
public of.  Mar.  60,  Oct.  62;  Lebanon,  June 
60,  Sept.  61,  Dec.  60;  Morocco,  May  59; 
Pakistan.  Feb.  61.  July  61;  Peru.  July  61, 
Dec.  61;  Philippines.  Mar.  60,  Oct.  62; 
Portugal,  Dec.  61;  Sierra  Leone,  Oct.  62; 
Somalia,  Mar.  61,  June  60;  Sri  Lanka,  Mar. 
61;  June  60;  Sudan,  Mar.  61;  Syria,  July 

62,  Dec.  61;  Tanzania,  July  62;  Tunisia, 
May  59;  Zaire.  Nov.  57;  Zambia.  Oct.  62, 
Dec.  61 

PL.   480  Title   I  agricultural  commodity 
agreements,   consolidation   and   re- 
scheduling of  payments,  bilateral  agree- 
ment with  Zaire.  Oct.  62 
Agriculture  (see  also   Food  production  and 
shortages):   May    11.   Nov.    1;   Young.  Jan. 
34,  Oct.  58 
Agribusiness  and  artisanry  project,  bilateral 
agreement  with  Bolivia,  July  60 


Agriculture  (Cont'd) 
Agricultural   base   mapping,   loan  agreement 

with  Sri  Lanka.  May  59 
Agricultural  commodities,  transfer  of,  bilat- 
eral agreements  with:  Bangladesh.  Oct. 
61;  Djibouti,  Apr.  61;  Mozambique,  Apr. 
61 ;  U.N.  High  Commission  for  Refugees, 
Sept.  61 
Agricultural  credit  project  grant  agreements 
with:  Afghanistan.  Apr.  61;  Bolivia,  May 
58;  Tunisia,  July  62 
Agricultural   development,   production,   and 
administration  projects,   bilateral   agree- 
ments with:  Chad,  Nov.  57;  Egypt,  Dec. 
60;  Guinea,  June  60;  Indonesia.  July  61; 
Syria,  Apr.  62 
Agricultural  human  resources  development. 

Upper  Volta,  Sept.  61 
Agricultural   inputs,   project  loan  agreement 

with  Sri  Lanka.  Dec.  61 
Agricultural   research   projects,   bilateral 
agreements  with:  Guatemala,   Apr.   26; 
Indonesia,  July  61;  Israel,  Sept.  60;  Dec. 
60;  Tanzania,  July  62 
Agricultural  technology  transfer,  project  grant 

agreement  with  Tunisia,  Dec.  61 
Aquaculture   development,    project   grant 

agreement  with  Egypt,  Dec.  60 
Asia,   problems  with  U.S.   aid:   Holbrooke. 

Aug.  5;  Mondale.  July  24 
Central  Helmand  drainage  (phase  II).  project 
grant  agreement  with  Afghanistan,  Jan. 
61 
Crop   protection,   bilateral   agreement  with 

Philippines.  June  61 
Dryland  agriculture  applied  research,  project 

grant  agreement  with  Morocco,  Dec.  60 
Fertilizer  projects,  bilateral  agreements  with 
Pakistan:  Sept.  60.  Dec.  60;  Vance.  Apr. 
26.  PR  89.  2/24 
Grain  production  (1960-77),  graph,  Nov.  2 
Grain  storage  facilities,  loan  agreements  with: 
Rwanda  (Vance),  Apr.  26,  PR  89,  2/24; 
Sri  Lanka,  Apr.  62 
International  Fund  for  Agricultural  Develop- 
ment: Feb.  55;  Young,  Jan.  35 
Current  actions:  Algeria,  Aug.  58;  Argen- 
tina, Nov.   56;  Austria.  Jan.  61;  Bel- 
gium. Benin.  Bolivia.  Mar.  58;  Brazil. 
Dec.   58;  Chile.   Aug.   58;  Comoros, 
Jan    61;  Congo,  Sept.  59;  Costa  Rica, 
Cyprus,  Djibouti,  Feb.  60;  Dominican 
Republic,   Mar.   58;   Fiji,   May   58; 
France.  Gabon.  Gambia,  Ghana,  Jan. 
61;  Guinea,  Aug.   58;  Guinea-Bissau, 
Apr.  60;  Guyana,  Jan.  61;  Haiti,  Feb. 
60;  Honduras,  Iran,  Iraq.  Jan.  61;  Is- 
rael. Mar.  58;  Italy,  Jan.  61;  Lebanon, 
Sept.   59;  Lesotho,  Jan.   61;  Liberia. 
Aug.    58;   Luxembourg,   Mar.   58; 
Malawi.  Jan.   61;  Morocco.  Mar.   58; 
Mozambique,   Dec.   58;  Nepal,   Aug. 
58;  Niger.  Jan.  61;  Papua  New  Guinea, 
Mar.  58,  Aug.  58;  Peru,  Qatar,  Samoa. 


Agriculture  (Cont'd) 

International  Fund  (Cont'd) 
Current  actions  (Cont'd) 

Jan.  61;  Sao  Tome  and  Principe,  Aug. 
58;  Senegal.  Feb.  60;  Sudan,  Jan.  61; 
Turkey,   Feb.   60;  United  Arab  Emi- 
rates. Mar.  58;  Upper  Volta.  Feb.  60; 
Uruguay,  Feb.  60.  Mar.  58;  Vietnam, 
Yemen  (Aden),   Yugoslavia,  Jan.   61; 
Zambia.  Feb.  60 
OPEC  financial  aid  (Saunders),  Aug.  30 
International   Rice   Research   Institute   project 
agreement  with  Philippines  (Vance),  Apr. 
26,  PR  89,  2/24 
Irrigation  and  land  development  II.  sederhana 
(simple),  project  agreements  with   In- 
donesia. Dec.  60 
Japan  (Hormats).  June  7 
Livestock  production  and  related  matters, 
bilateral   agreements  with:   Cameroon, 
Aug.  60;  Niger,  May  59 
Managed  input  delivery  and  agricultural  serv- 
ices project,  bilateral   agreement  with 
Ghana,  July  61 
Marketing  project,  bilateral  agreements  with: 
Guatemala,  July  61;  Philippines,  Aug.  61 
Overuse  of  land,  environmental  degradation, 

Nov.   I,  3 
Remote  sensing.  See  under  Satellites 
Rural  development  project  agreements  with: 
Afghanistan,  Apr.  61;  Bangladesh.  May 
58;   Indonesia,   July   61,   Sept.   60; 
Jamaica,    Aug.    60;   Jordan.    Apr.    62; 
Nepal.  Dec.  60;  Panama.  May  59:  Peru, 
Sept.  61;  Philippines.  June  61;  Thailand 
(proposed),  Falco,  June  46;  Upper  Volta, 
Sept.  61 
Rural    roads   project   grant   agreements   with: 
Haiti,  July  61;  Kenya,  June  60;  Philip- 
pines. Aug.  61 
Sahel,  integrated  pest  management  for  basic 
crops,  bilateral  agreement  with  Perma- 
nent  Interstate  Committee   for  Drought 
Control  in  the  Sahel,  Dec. 61 
Seed  multiplication  and  storage  projects  with: 
Nepal.  Dec.  60;  Tanzania,   Vance:  Apr. 
26.  June  15.  PR  89,  2/24 
Small   farm   irrigation   systems,   bilateral 

agreement  with  El  Salvador,  Dec.  60 
Small  farmer  systems,  project  loan  and  grant 

agreement  with  Philippines,  Nov.  57 
Subtropical   lands  development  project,   loan 

agreement  with  Peru,  Sept.  61 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942,  p.   17 
U.S.  exports:  Carter,  Jan.  28.  Nov.  24;  Dec. 

13;  Katz,  Mar.  4.  Nov.  26 
U.S.    International   Communication   Agency 
exhibit  on  agriculture.  Soviet  tour  (Shul- 
m.tnl,  Nov.  32 
Ahtisaari.    Marti.    See   Namibia:   U.N.    Special 

Representative 
Albania,  status  of  U.S.  relations  (Luers),  Nov.. 

33 
Algeria,    treaties,    agreements,   etc.,    Aug.   58, 

Sept.  59 
American   ideals:   Carter.   Jan.    12.   Feb.    1,    17. 
Mar.  57,  Apr.   17,  July  15,  21;  Vance,  Feb. 
23,  Aug.  15 
American   strengths:   Carter,   Aug.   8;   Chris- 
topher, Oct.  15;  Vance,  Aug.  15 


Angola   [see  also  Zaire:    Katangan   invasion  of 
Shaba  Province): 
Cuban  presence:  Brzezinski,  July  26;  Carter. 
July  17,   18,  Aug.  6.   10;  Shulman,  Nov. 
30 
Food  and  Agriculture  Organization  constitu- 
tion, signature.  Jan.  61 
South  African  raid:  Aug.   19;  Carter,  July  17; 

Vance,  July  30 
Soviet  arms  supply:   Brzezinski,  July   26; 

Shulman,  Jan.  5,  Nov.  31 
U.S.   military  aid  to  rebel  forces,  denial  of 

(Carter),  July  17,  18;  Aug.  9,  10 
U.S.  relations,  question  of:  Carter,  Aug.  10; 

Vance,  Aug.  12,  13 
Zaire   border  problems:  Carter,  July    16; 
Shulman,  Nov.  29.  31;  Vance,  Aug.  12, 
13 
Antarctic   seals,   convention  (1972):   Belgium, 
Mar.    59;   Soviet   Union.    Mar.    59;   U.S., 
Apr.  61 
Entry  into  force.  Mar.  59;  PR  125.  3/17 
Antarctic  treaty  (1959): 

Accession,  Bulgaria,  Nov.  56 
Antarctic   fauna  and   flora,   conservation   of, 
recommendations   (1964),    Belgium   (for 
Rec.  Ill- VIII).  Mar.  58 
U.S.  implementation,  legislation,  proposed 
(Mink),  Apr.  53 
Principles  and  objectives,  recommendations 
for  furtherance  (1966).  (1970).  (1972). 
Belgium   (certain   recommendations). 
Mar.  58,  Apr.  59 
Principles  and  objectives,  recommendations  re 
furtherance  (1968),   Belgium  (for  Rec. 
V-5,  V-6),  Mar.  58 
Principles  and  objectives,  recommendations  re 
furtherance  (1975):   Belgium  (for  Rec. 
VIII- 1  .    VIII-2,   VIII-5),   Mar.   58; 
France,  June  59;  Soviet  Union,  Feb.  60 
Special  consultative  meeting  for  negotiation 
of  treaty  for  conservation  of  marine  liv- 
ing resources.  PR  99.  3/1 
Antarctica,  ocean  resources  and  environmental 

concerns  (Mink),  Apr.  51 
ANZUS:  Carter  (remarks  to  Ambassador  from 
New  Zealand),  UNN,  4/6;  Gelb,  Dec.  54, 
55;  Mondale,  July  23 
Council,   27th  meeting:   announcement.   PR 
211,  5/3;  joint  communique,  July  48 
Arab-Israeli  conflict:  Brzezinski.  June  1;  Car- 
ter, Feb.  6.   II;  Maynes,  Jan.  5;  NATO. 
July  9;  Vance,  Feb.  23,  Mar.  18 
Arab   positron:    Atherton,   May  43;  Carter. 
Feb.    19;   Saunders,    Aug.    33;    Vance, 
Jan.  43,  45 
Arab  "rejectionist"   conference  in  Tripoli: 

Jan.  49;  Begin.  Jan.  44;  Sadat.  Jan.  41 
Arab  world,   U.S.   relations  and   interests: 
Atherton,  May  42;  Carter,  July   17,  20; 
Saunders.  Aug.  29.  30.  Nov.  44 
Camp  David  agreements:  Carter,  Oct.  2,  5, 
Nov.  9,  42  (quoted);  Saunders,  Nov,  42; 
Vance.  Nov.  48 
Definition  of  terms  (Carter),  Oct.   1  I 
Security   Council    underwriting   and   U.N. 

endorsement,  proposed.  Oct.  9 
Texts.  Oct.  7.  9 
Camp  David  meeting:  Begin.  Oct.  5.  6;  Car- 
ter.  Oct.    1.   3.   5.   7,    12.    13.   Nov.   9; 


Department  of  State  Bullett 

Arab-Israeli  conflict  (Cont'd) 
Camp  David  meeting  (Cont'd) 

Mondale.  Oct    4;  Sadat,  Sept.  44.  Oct 

4.   6;   Shulman.   Nov.   31;   Vance,   Sept 

44,  45:  White  House  statement,  Sept.  4.' 

"Grandchildren"   incident   (Carter),   Dec 

16 
Joint  statement.  Oct.  5 
Texts  of  documents   signed  on   Sept.    17 
Oct.  7 
Chronology  of  events  by  month:  Jan.  49.  Feb 

37 

Comprehensive  settlement,  need  for:  Jan.  45 

Begin,  Jan.  42;  Carter,  Feb.  5,  Apr.  22 

Aug.  8,  Dec.  40;  Hassan  Ali,  Dec.  41 

Sadat,  Feb.  37,  Oct.  4;  Saunders,  Aug 

33;  Vance,  Jan.  29,  42,  44,  46,  Feb.  33 

Aug.  20.  Sept.  40,  41,  44,  PR  565,  I 

13/77;  PR  567.   12/13/77;  PR  568,   f 

14/77;  PR  9B,  1/7;  PR  I8A.  1/16 

Framework  for  Peace  in  the  Middle  Ea; 

Agreed  at  Camp  David:  Carter,  Oc 

2.  5;  Sadat.  Oct.  6;  Saunders,  Nov.  4 

Arab  role,  assistance,  need  for:  Cartel 

Oct.  3;  Saunders,  Nov.  43;  Vance 

Nov.  49 

Knesset  approval:  Oct.   3;  Carter,  Oci 

6,  Nov.  9 
Signature,  Oct.  7 
Text.  Oct.  7 
Geneva  conference,  proposed  resumptior 
Atherton.  Jan.  47,  48;  May  44;  Carti 
(quoted).   Jan.    48;   Sadat.   Jan.   4! 
Shulman.  Jan.   5,   Nov.   31;   Vanct 
Jan.   17.  181  20,  29.  40.  45 
Core  issues  (see  also  Israel:  Security  and  su 
vival,  Palestinians  entries,  and  Peao 
Nature  of.  infra):  Jan.   16,  49,  Mar.  3i 
May   5.  June   38;  Atherton,   May  4: 
Carter,  Jan.  9,   13,  Feb.   12,   18,  Oct.  1 
Saunders,   Aug.   32;   Vance,  Jan.   2( 
Feb.  26,  33,  Mar.   16,  May  26.  June  1' 
24.  Sept.  42.  PR  9A,  1/19 
Egypt,   diplomatic   recognition  of  Israe 
Camp  David  agreement  provision:  Oc 
10;  Carter,  Oct.  3,  5;  Saunders,  Nov.  4> 
Egyptian-Israeli  bilateral  negotiations  (se 
also  Egyptian-Israeli  peace  treaty.  Cam 
David  Framework,  infra): 
Arab  participation,   need  for:   Athertor 
May  44.   Begin,  Jan.   42.   44;  Carte 
Jan.    13,    14;   Dec.   40;   Hassan   Al 
Dec.  41;  Sadat,  Jan.  40;  Saunder: 
Aug.  33;  Vance,  Jan.  42.  44.  45 
Arab  position.   President  Sadat   as  repri: 
sentative  for:  Begin,  Jan.  43;  Cartel 
Feb.  19;  Sadat.  Oct    11 
Cairo  conference:  Jan.  50;  Atherton,  Jar 
46.  47;  Begin,  Jan.  42.  43;  Princ 
Sa'ad,  Jan.  45;  Sadat,  Jan.  40;  Vance 
Jan.    17.    18.  20,   28,  29;  30.  40.  42 
43,  45.  46;  PR  555.  12/12/77;  PR  557 
12/12/77 
Confidentiality:  Begin.  Feb.  34.  36;  Cat 
ter.   Nov.    10;   Vance.   Feb.   36.   38 
Sept.  39.  41.  43,  Dec.   17.  18,  20 
Declaration  of  principles:  Atherton.   Ma 
45;  Begin.  Jan.  43,  May  48;  Dinitz 
JR   57.    1/30;  Sadat,   Feb.    36-37 
Saunders.  Aug.  32;  Vance,  Aug.   1 


fldex  1978 


tab-Israeli  conflict  (Cont'd) 
\Egyptian-hraeli  bilat.  negotiations  (Com' d) 

Declaration  of  principles  (Cont'd) 

20.  PR  9A,   1/19;  White  House.  Feb. 
39.  May  47 

Failure  of.  question  of  effect  on 
Israeli-U.S.  relations  (Vance).  May 
27 

Foreign  Ministers'  meetings;  Jan.  50;  Feb 
37,  39;  Atherton,  May  44;  Begin 
Feb.  33.  34;  Sadat.  Jan.  41,  Feb.  36 
Vance,  Feb.  25,  33,  34,  35,  PR  9A 
1/19;  PR  9B,  1/7;  PR  555.  12/12/77 
PR  26,  1/17;  PR  35,  1/20 

Interruptions,  stalemate:  Feb.  37,  39 
Begin.  Feb.  34.  35;  Carter.  Jan.  10 
Apr.  22,  Aug.  8.  Oct.  2;  Sadat.  Feb 
38;  Vance,  Feb.  34,  35,  38,  June  17 
20,  Aug.  20.  PR  30,  1/18;  PR  31 
1/19;  PR  32,  1/19;  PR  49,  1/23;  White 
House,  Feb.  39 

Jerusalem-Ismaila  meetings  of  President 
Sadat  and  Prime  Minister  Begin:  Jan. 
49,  50,  Mar.  35;  ANZUS,  July  48; 
Atherton,  May  42;  Begin.  Jan.  41,  44, 
Feb.  36.  May  48;  Carter,  Jan.  9,  Feb. 
18,  Oct.  2,  12.  Dec.  12;  Mondale, 
Aug.  36;  Saunders,  Aug.  32;  Vance, 
Jan.  17,  40,  42,  46,  Feb.  33,  38,  PR 
558,  12/12/77;  White  House  state- 
ment, Jan.  48,  49;  Young,  Feb.  52 
Camp  David  agreements,  Oct.  7 

Leeds  Castle  meeting  (July  17-19):  Owen. 
Sept.  18;  Vance.  Aug.  8,  18,  20, 
Sept.  13,  18,  39,  41,  42,  PR  291. 
7/17 

Meetings  of  President  Carter  with  Arab 
and  Israeli  leaders:  Jan.  16.  48,  50 
Feb.  37;  Mar.  35;  Begin,  Feb.  34 
May  47;  Carter.  Jan.  13.  Feb.  3,  11 
Apr.  20,  22,  May  47;  Sadat,  Feb.  11 
White  House,  May  47 

Resumption:  Feb.  37;  Atherton,  May  45 
Carter,  May  8,  June  13;  Vance,  Sept 
41,  42,  PR  314,  8/7;  White  House 
Dec.  42 

Three-way  summit,  question  of  (see  also 
Camp  David  meeting,  supra):  Begin, 
Sept.  42,  43;  Vance,  Feb.  34,  Mar.  17 

U.S.  as  full  partner  in:  Carter,  Oct.  13. 
Nov.  9,  10;  Vance,  Sept.  44,  45 

U.S.  visits  of  Defense  Minister  Weizman: 

Dinitz,  PR  57,   1/30;   Vance,   PR  51, 

1/24 

Egyptian-Israeli  peace  treaty.  Camp  David 

framework  (see  also  Sinai  agreement  and 

West  Bank,  Gaza,  infra):  Carter,  Oct.  3, 

5;  Nov.  9;  Newman,  Aug.  43;  Saunders, 

Nov.  42 

Delegation  heads,  question  of  (Carter), 
Nov.  10 

Israeli  settlements,  withdrawal  from  West 
Bank,  Gaza,  and  Sinai,  question  of 
linkage  with  signing  of  peace  treaty: 
Begin,  Oct.  10;  Carter,  Oct.  3,  6,  10; 
Nov.  9,  11,  12;  Dayan,  Nov.  9 
(quoted);  Sadat,  Oct.  10 

Knesset  approval:  Oct.  3;  Carter,  Oct.  6, 
Nov.  9 

Opening  ceremony:   Carter,   Dec.   40; 


Arab-Israeli  conflict  (Cont'd) 

Egyptian-Israeli  peace  treaty  (Cont'd) 
Opening  ceremony  (Cont'd) 

Dayan,  Dec.  41;  Hassan  Ali.  Dec.  41; 
White  House,  Dec.  41 
Press  statements,   problems  created   by 

(Carter),  Dec.  16 
Remaining  issues:  Carter,  Dec.  16;  Vance. 

Dec.  17.  20;  PR  452,  12/13 
Signature,  Oct.  7 

Target  date,  question  of:  Oct.  9;  Begin. 
Oct.  6-7;  Carter,  Oct.  3;  Vance,  Dec. 
18;  PR  452,  12/13;  PR  456,  12/14 
Text.  Oct.  9 
Egyptian-Soviet  relations  (Sadat),  Jan.  41 
Israel: 
Peace  treaties  with  other  Arab  states,  prin- 
ciples. Camp  David  agreements,  Oct.  9 
Security  and  survival:  Mar.  36;  Atherton, 
May  42,  45;  Begin,  May  48;  Carter, 
Feb.   22,  Mar.   7.  Apr.   22.  May  47, 
June  39,  40,  41,  July  20,   Aug.   35 
(quoted);    Mondale.    Aug.    34,    37; 
Saunders,   Aug.    29.   31,   32.   33; 
Vance,  Mar.  13,  37,  May  25.  26,  June 
18.  38,   39,  Sept.    13;  White  House, 
May  47 
Camp  David  agreements:  Oct.  7,  8;  Car- 
ter, Oct.   1;  Saunders,  Nov.  42,  44; 
Vance,  Nov.  48 
U.S.   exertion  of  pressure,  question  of 

(Vance),  PR  9A,  1/19 
U.S.  lobby,  question  of  (Vance),  June  29 
U.S.  nonrecognition  of  Jerusalem  as  capi- 
tal (Vance),  Jan.  45 
Israeli-occupied  territories.   See  Sinai   and 

West  Bank  and  Gaza,  infra 
Jerusalem  issue  (Vance),  Aug.  20,  Sept.  40 
Carter-Begin-Sadat  exchange  of  letters. 
Oct.  10 
Jordan: 

Israel-Jordan    peace   treaty,    proposed: 
Camp  David  agreements,  Oct.  8;  Car- 
ter, Oct.  2.  5 
Participation  and   role  in  negotiations, 
question  of:  Oct.   8;  Begin,  Jan.  42; 
Carter,  Jan.  10,  Feb.  19,  Oct.  2.  Nov. 
11;  Dinitz,  PR  57.   1/30;  Sadat,  Jan. 
40;  Saunders,   Nov.   42,  43;   Vance, 
Jan.  42,  May  25,  Dec.    18,  PR  557, 
12/12/77 
Lebanon-Israeli  border  terrorist  attacks  and 
retaliatory  measures.   See  under   Leba- 
non 
Military  balance  (see  also  U.S.  military  air- 
craft  sales   under   Egypt,    Israel,    and 
Saudi  Arabia):  Atherton,  May  42;  Car- 
ter,  Apr.   22,    May   7,   June    12,   40; 
NATO.  Jan.   30;  Saunders,   Aug.   31; 
Vance,  Mar.   13,   14,  37,  June   18,  20, 
38,  39,  PR  217,  5/9 
Palestine  Liberation  Organization:  Atherton, 
May  44;  Carter.  Jan.    14;  Vance,  Jan. 
20,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Sole  representative  of  Palestinians  (Sadat), 

Jan.  41 
Terrorist   attacks   (see  also  under   Leba- 
non): Mondale,  Aug.  35 
Palestinian  entity  tied  to  Jordan,  proposed: 
Atherton,  Jan.  47,  May  44;  Carter,  Jan. 


Arab-Israeli  conflict  (Cont'd) 
Palestinian  entity  (Cont'd) 

10,  Feb.  3.  18.  Apr.  23;  Mondale,  Aug. 
36;  Saunders.  Aug.  33;  Vance,  Mar.  16, 
PR  9A.  1/19;  PR  18A,  1/16 
Palestinian   interests:   Atherton,   May  43; 
Begin,  Jan.  43,  44;  Kaunda,  July  34; 
Sadat.  Jan.  41;  Saunders.  Aug.  30,  32; 
Vance,  Jan.  20 
Palestinians: 
Camp  David  agreements  negotiations,  ar- 
rangement for  participation:   Carter, 
Nov.    11;   Saunders,   Nov.   42,  43; 
Vance,  Dec.  18 
Camp  David   agreements   provisions  for 
interim  self-governing  authority  and 
ultimate  self-determination:  Oct.   8; 
Carter,  Oct.  2.  5;  Nov.  12;  Saunders, 
Nov.  42,  43;  Vance.  Nov.  49 
Palestinian   Arabs,   defined  as  (Carter), 

Oct.  11 
Refugees  and  displaced  persons.   Camp 
David  agreement  provisions:  Oct.   8, 
9;  Carter,  Oct.  3;  Saunders,  Nov.  44; 
Vance,  Nov.  49 
Self-determination  (see  also  Camp  David 
agreements,  supra):   Mar.   36;  Ather- 
ton.  May  44;  Carter.   Feb.    18.    19. 
Apr.  23.  May  9;  Sadat,  Feb.  37,  38; 
Saunders,  Aug.   30;  Vance,  Feb.  33, 
37;  PR  9A,  1/19 
Peace:  basis,  need:  Mar.  35;  Mondale,  Aug. 
35;  Saunders,  Nov.  44;  Vance,  Feb.  33 
Economic  development  program,  proposed 

(Vance).  May  28 
Nature  of  peace:  Mar.  36;  Atherton.  May 
43;  Camp  David  agreements.  Oct.  7,  9; 
Carter,  Mar.  8,  Apr.  21,  22,  July  20, 
Oct.  1;  Mondale,  Aug.  37;  Saunders. 
Aug.  30 
Peace  guarantees,  question  of:   Atherton, 

Jan.  47,  May  45;  Carter.  Jan.  10 
Security  Council  resolutions  242  and  338: 
Mar.  36,  May  17;  Atherton,  May  43; 
Carter,  Jan.  14,  Feb.  22.  Mar.  7.  Apr. 
20,   21,  July  20,  Oct.   2,  5;  Camp 
David  agreements,  Oct.  7,  8,  9;  Mon- 
dale,  Aug.   36;  Saunders,   Aug.   32, 
Nov.  43;   Vance,  Feb.   33,  Mar.    13, 
May  17,  25,  26,  Aug.  19,  Sept.  13,  44 
Saudi  position,  question  of  (Vance),  Jan.  19 
Sinai: 

Egyptian  sovereignty,  security  zones,  and 

Israeli  withdrawal:   Begin,  Feb.   35; 

Camp  David  agreements,  Oct.  9,   10; 

Carter,  Oct.  3,  5;  Nov.  9;  Sadat.  Feb. 

36.    38;    Saunders,    Nov.    42.    44; 

Vance.  Feb.  36,  Sept.  13 

Israeli  settlement,  removal  as  prerequisite 

to  peace  treaty,  issue  of:  Begin,  Oct. 

10;  Carter,  Oct.   3.  6.   10,   Nov.    11, 

12;  Sadat,  Oct.  10 

Negev  airfields,  relocation  and  question  of 

U.S.   financial  aid:   Brown,  Oct.    11, 

Dec.    17   (quoted);  Carter.   Nov.   9; 

Saunders,  Nov.  42;  Vance,  Dec.   17, 

19 

Soviet  role  and  Soviet-U.S.  consultations: 

Jan.  47;  Begin,  Jan.  44;  Brzezinski,  July 

27;  Carter,  Jan.   14,  Apr.  20;  Saunders, 


Arab-Israeli  conflict  (Com'  d) 
Soviet  role  (Cont'd) 

Aug.   31;   Shulman.  Jan.   5.   Nov.   31; 

Vance.  Jan.  17.  19,  29.  30.  40.  44.  May 

28,  PR  18A,  1/16 

German  Democratic  Republic,  support  for 

Soviet  Union  (Bolen),  May  38 

Syrian  position:  Carter.  Feb.  19;  Vance,  Jan. 

17.  18,  19 

U.N.  role:  Maynes.  Jan.  51.  Feb.  49;  Mon- 
dale.  June  34;  Vance.  Sept.  41.  Nov. 
49;  Young,  Feb.  52,  54 

U.S.  peace  efforts:  Mar.  35,  36.  Oct.  9; 
Atherton.  May  42;  Carter.  Jan.  9.  13. 
Feb.  3,  20,  Apr.  20,  22,  Oct.  1,  Nov.  9, 
Dec.  16;  Dinitz,  PR  57,  1/30;  Mondale, 
Aug.  36;  Sadat.  Jan.  40,  Oct.  4;  Saun- 
ders, Aug.  31,  Nov.  42;  Vance,  Jan.  17, 

18.  40,  43.  46,  Feb.  26.  38;  Mar.   16, 

19.  May  25.  June  17.  20,  Sept.  18,  39, 
41.  44.  Nov.  49.  PR  35.  1/20;  PR  49. 
1/23 

U.S.    Sinai   Support   Mission  appropriations 

request  (Vance),  Apr.  29 
Visit  of  President  Carter  (Carterl.  Feb.   3. 
May  9 
Second  visit,  question  of  (Carter).  Nov.  9 
Visits  of  Secretary  Vance:  Jan.  50.  Feb.  37; 
Vance,  Jan.    18,  29,  40,  Feb.   25,  33, 
Sept.  15,  18,  39,  42,  PR  555,  12/12/77; 
PR  556,  12/12/77;  PR  577.  12/12/77;  PR 
558.    12/12/77;  PR  563.    12/13/77;   PR 
564,    12/13/77;  PR  565.    12/13/77;   PR 
567.    12/13/77;  PR  568.    12/14/77;  PR 
569.    12/14/77;  PR  9A,    1/19;  PR  26, 
1/17;  PR  30,  1/18;  PR  31,  1/19;  PR  32, 
1/19;  PR  35,  1/20;  PR  49.  1/23;  PR  127, 
3/30;  PR  313,  8/7;  PR  314,  8/7;  PR  317. 
8/7;  PR  318,  8/8 
Camp  David  agreements  briefing  visits: 
Nov.   43,   Dec.   20;  Carter,  Oct.   3; 
Vance,  PR  445.  12/8;  PR  452,  12/13; 
PR  456.  12/14 
West   Bank  and  Gaza  occupied  territories: 
Carter.  Feb.    18.   Apr.   20.   23;  Sadat, 
Feb.  37;  Vance.  Aug.   18.  19,  Sept.  39. 
40,  41 
Begin  position:  Atherton,  May  45;  Begin, 
Feb.  35,  36;  Sept.  43;  Carter,  Jan.  10. 
May  9;  Vance,  May  25 
Camp  David  agreements  provisions  for  Is- 
raeli  withdrawal    during   transitional 
period:  Oct.   8;  Carter,   Oct.   2.  3.   5. 
Nov.  9,    12;  Dayan,  Nov.  9  (quoted); 
Saunders,  Nov.  42,  43;  Vance,  Dec. 

18,  20;  PR  452.  12/13 

Interim  arrangements,  proposed:  Atherton. 
May  44;  Carter.  Jan.  10.  II;  Feb.  18. 

19.  Saunders.   Aug.   33;   Vance.   Mar. 
16 

Israeli   refusal    to  accept   applicability   of 

Security    Council    resolution    242: 

Atherton.    May   45;   Carter.    May   8; 

Saunders.  Aug.  33;  Vance.  May  25 
Judea  and   Samaria.    Israeli   definition  of 

terms  (Carter).  Oct.   1  1 
Occupation  contrary   to  international   law: 

Mar.   36;  Carter,   Feb.   22;   Mar.   7. 

Nov.   12;  Vance.  15,  16;  Nov.  49 
Palestinians.    See   under    Palestinians. 

supra 


Arab-Israeli  conflict  (Cont'd) 
West  Bank  and  Gaza  (Cont'd) 
Shiloh   archeological   project:   Mar.    37; 
Carter.  Mar.  7;  Vance.  Mar.   16 
Arbitration: 
Arbitral   awards,   foreign,   recognition  and 
enforcement,  convention  (1958),  Kuwait. 
June  59 
France-U.S.  dispute  on  Pan  American  opera- 
tions, agreement  to  arbitration.  PR  277, 
7/11 
Inter- American  convention   (1975)  on   inter- 
national  commercial    arbitration,    signa- 
ture. U.S..  Sept.  58 
Permanent    Court    of    Arbitration.    U.S. 
member  (Hansell).   appointment,   PR 
279.  7/12 
Arellano.  Richard,  speaker,   Youpg  Hispanic 

Leadership  seminar,  PR  10.  1/9 
Argentina: 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61,  Apr.  60. 

61.  July  58.  59.  60,  Oct.  61.  Nov.  56 
Visit  of  President  Carter,  question  of  (Car- 
ter), May  9 
Armaments: 

European    Defense    production    base    and 
third-country   sales  (Christopher),   Dec. 
36 
International   arms  sales,   question  of  reduc- 
tion or  limitation:  Aug.  50,  54;  Benson. 
Mar.  43;  Carter,  Feb.  3,  5.  10,  14,  20. 
Mar.   47.   Apr.   20.   May  4,   Sept.   55; 
Lake,  Jan.  24;  Mondale.  Mar.   13,  June 
31,   33;   Newsom,   Dec.   53;  Shulman, 
Jan.  4;  Vance.  Feb.  23,  Mar.   18,  May 
31.  July  14.  Aug.  15.  Nov.  50;  Warnke, 
Jan.  21,  24.  Aug.  45;  Young.  Aug.  42 
Joint  U.S. -Soviet  communique,  July  36 
U.S.   agreement,   proposed  (Shulman). 

Nov.  30 
U.S. -Soviet  exchange  of  views,  PR  580, 
12/20/77 
U.S.: 

Arms  Export  Control  Board:  Benson,  Mar. 
42,  45;   Blechman.   Mar.   53;  Fish, 
Mar.  49.  50;  Vance,  Apr.  29 
B -1  bomber,  cancellation,  Dec.  4 
B--52  and  ICBM's  (see  also  Strategic  arms 
limitation   talks):    Brown,    Nov.    15; 
Warnke.  Apr.  8 
Defense.  See  Defense 
Mobile  missile,  question  of:  Brown,  Nov. 

15;  Vance,  Aug.  16 
Neutron   bomb:    Dec.    4;   Carter,   Feb.   6, 
June  12.  July  21;  Warnke.  Apr.  6,  9; 
Vance.  Jan.  29.  May  23,  Dec.  19 
Nuclear-powered   aircraft   carrier,   veto  of 
authorization:   Brown,  Nov.    14;  Car- 
ter, Oct.  12,  14 
Trident  missiles:  ACDA,  Oct.  24;  Brown, 
Nov.    15;   Carter,    Apr.    18;   Warnke. 
Apr.  7.  Oct.  21 
U.S.  sales  policy:  Jan.    15.  Nov.   54;  Ben- 
son,  Mar.  42,  45;  Blechman,   Mar. 
52;  Carter,   Feb.   20,   Mar.   47,   Apr. 
19,   May    14,   July   20.   Sept.    55;  De- 
rian,   Nov.    52;   Fish,   Mar.   48;  Gelb, 
Mar.  46:  Mondale,  June  31.   33,  July 
22;  Newsom,  Dec.  53;  Nye,  Mi 
Vance,  Mar.   18.  July  29;  PR  89,  2/24; 
Warnke.  Aug.  45 


Department  of  State  Bulleti. 

Armed  forces,  treatment  of.  See  Geneva  con 

ventions  <  1949) 
Arms  control  and  disarmament  (see  also  Nu. 
clear  entries):   Feb.   9;  Apr.  46.   May   10 
June   '7;  Brown.  Nov.    16;  Carter.  Feb.  6 
14:  Gelb.  Nov.   19;  NATO,  Jan.  31,  July  9 
Vance.   Ma)   22,  Nov.   50;   Vest,  Mar.  28 
Young.  Feb.  53 
Antisatellite  arms  control,   U.S.-Sovie' 
negotiations:    Carter.   July    14,   Aug.   9' 
Shulman.  Jan.  4.  Nov,  30;  Vance.  Ma; 
21.  Aug.   15;  Warnke.  Jan.  21.  24.  Aug 
46.  Oct    21.  Dec.  11.12 
Arms  control  agreements  since  1959  to  whicl 
the  U.S.  and  Soviet  Union  are  parties 
list   (The   SALT  Process,   publicatioi 
8947).  18-20 
Chemical  weapons:  Aug.  50,  51.  53 

Prohibition,   discussions:   Carter.   Feb.    3 
Mondale.   June   33;   Shulman.  Jan.   4l 
Nov.   30;  joint  U.S. -USSR,   state 
ment,  July  35;  Vest.  Mar.  29;  Warnke 
Jan.  20,  24,  Aug.  45,  Dec.  12 
Conventional   weapons  causing  excessiv 
injury,  unnecessary  suffering,  or  indis> 
criminate  effects;  Aug.  50.  51.  53 
U.N.  conference.  1979,  Aug.  54 
Disarmament   Commission,    reestablishment 

Aug.  56.  Leonard,  Aug.  48 
Enhanced   radiation   weapons:   Carter,    Ma 

*  I ;  Vance,  May  24 
France  and  China,   future  participatio 

(Leonard).  Aug.  48 
Military  budget  reductions,  proposed;  Aug 
54;   Leonard,   Aug.   47;  Mondale,  Jun 
34;  Warnke,  Aug.  46 
Missile   launchings,   advance  notice  (Shul 

man-).  Jan.  4 
Monitoring  systems,  "hot  lines,"  and  othe 
confidence-building  methods  for  pre 
vention  of  attacks  by  accident  or  miscal 
culation.  proposals:  Aug.  54,  55;  Ben 
son.  Oct.  55;  Mondale.  June  34;  New 
man.  Aug.  43;  Warnke,  Aug.  46 
Radiological  weapons:  Aug.  53;  Mondale 
June  33;  Shulman.  Jan.  4,  Nov.  30 
Vance.  May  22.  24;  Warnke,  Jan.  20 
24.  Aug.  45.  Dec.  12 
U.N.  Special  Session  on  Disarmament:  Ma 
5,  10,  17,  June  37;  ANZUS,  July  48 
(alter.  May  31  (quoted);  Harriman 
Aug.  17;  Mondale.  Mar.  13;  NATO 
Jan.  31,  July  9;  Newman.  Aug.  43 
U.S. -So\  ict  joint  communique.  July  36 
Vance,  July  4.  Nov.  30;  Warnke,  Jan 
21.  Aug  44.  Dec.  11;  Young.  Feb.  55 
May  31  (quoted),  Aug.  42 
Attendance  of  Soviet  President  Brezhnev 

question  of  (Vance),  June  27 
Declaration:   text.   Aug.   49:    Vance.   Nov 

Ml 
final   Document:  Aug.  55;  Leonard.   Aug. 

46;  text.  Aug.  48 
Program   of   Action.    Aug.    49;   Leonard. 
Aug.  48;  Mondale,  June  32;  text,  Aug. 
51:    Vance.    Nov.    50;   Warnke.   Aug. 
44.  46; 
Proposals  put  forth  for  consideration.  Aug. 

56 
U.S.   delegation:   Aug.   44.   Sept.   52/i: 
e ,  May  31 


ndex  1978 

I  irms  control  and  disarmament  (Cont'd) 
U.N.  Special  Session  (Cont'd) 
U.S.  objectives:  Blechman,  Mar.  53;  Car- 
ter, Mar.  48;  Leonard.  Aug.  46;  Mon- 
dale.  June  31;  Vance.  May  29 
U.S.   personnel  in  disarmament  field,  num- 
bers of  (Vance).  June  19 
Verification  problems   (see  also   Monitoring 
systems,  supra):   Aug.  50,  51,  54;  Ben- 
son,    Oct.     54;     Brown,     Nov.     16; 
Leonard,  Aug.  47 
World  public  opinion,   dissemination  of  in- 
formation on  disarmament  issues,  Aug. 
54 
Zones  of  peace,  proposed:  Aug.  53;  Leonard, 
Aug.  46 
Indian  Ocean  (Gelb).  Dec.  55 
Indochina  (Rithauddeen),  Sept.  24 
Arms  Control  and  Disarmament  Agency,  U.S. 
(Vance),  June  19 
Director  Seignious,   appointment:   Dec.   6; 

Warnke,  Dec.   10 
Director  Warnke,  resignation:  Dec.  6;  Carter, 

Nov.  11;  Warnke,  Dec.  5 
17th  annual  report,  transmittal.  May  30 
U.S.  and  Soviet  Strategic  Capability  Through 
the  Mid-1980's,  report.  Oct.  24 
ASEAN.  See  Association  of  South  East  Asian 

Nations 
Ashley.  George,  Nov.  53 

Asia,  South  Asia  and  Southeast  Asia  (see  also 
Pacific   entries,   and  names  of  individual 
countries): 
Commodity  exports  (chart).  Mar.  4 
East  Asia:  ASEAN,  Sept.   25;  Holbrooke, 
Apr.   31,   Aug.    1;  Newsom.   Dec.   28; 
Romulo,  Sept.  20 
General  statistics  (table),  Aug.  3 
Economic  and  Social  Council  for  Asia  and  the 
Pacific,  U.N.,  summary  of  U.S.   state- 
ments, Sept.  47 
Foreign  Relations  of  the  United  States,  1950, 
volume   V,    The  Near  East.  South  Asia, 
and  Africa,  released,  Nov.  58 
Foreign  Relations  of  the  United  Stales,  1951, 
volume  VI,  Parts  1  and  2,  Asia  and  the 
Pacific,  released,  Aug.  67 
South  Asia:  Sept.  47;  Newsom,  Dec.  52 
Nuclear-weapon-free   zone,    proposed, 

Aug.  52-53 
U.S.  economic  and  security  assistance,  FY 
1979,  proposed  (Dubs),  May  48 
Southeast  Asia,  zone  of  peace,  proposed. 

Aug.  53 
U.S.  role  and  interests:  July  22,  24;  Sept.  47; 
Brzezinski.  June  3,  4;  Mondale,  July  22; 
Newsom.  Dec.  52;  Vance,  Sept.  20 
Asian  Development  Bank:  Cooper,  Sept.   24; 
Holbrooke,  Apr.  34.  Oct.  44;  Vance,  Apr. 
27.  June  15 
Agreement  (1965),   acceptance.   Maldives. 

July  59 
U.S.  appropriations:  Cooper,  Apr.  38;  Mon- 
dale, July  24;  Vance.  Apr.  28 
Association  of  South  East  Asian  Nations:  Sept. 
47;  ANZUS.  July  48;  Brzezinski.  June  3; 
Holbrooke,  Apr.  33,  Aug.   1,  2,  5;  Mon- 
dale, July  23.  24;  Newsom,  Dec.  28 
ASEAN-U.S.   Business  Council,  proposed: 
ASEAN,  Sept.  25;  Vance.  Sept.  20 


Assoc,  of  South  East  Asian  Nations  (Cont'd) 
Ministerial   meeting,    Washington:   Cooper, 

Sept.    22,    24;   Mondale.   July    25; 

Pachariyangkun,  Sept.  23;  Rajaratnam, 

Sept     21;  Rithauddeen,   Sept.   22.   23; 

Romulo,  Sept.  20,  22,  23;  text  of  joint 

press  statement.  Sept.  24;  Vance.  Sept. 

19,  20,  21,  22.  23;  PR  309,  8/3;  White 

House  statement,  Sept.  23 
U.S.  economic  missions:  ASEAN.  Sept.  25; 

Newsom.  Dec.  29;  Vance.  Sept.  20 
Vietnamese   relations:   Newsom.    Dec.    29; 

Romulo.  Sept.  22 

Atherton.  Alfred  L..  Jr.,  Jan.  47.  May  42 
Ambassador  at  Large:  nomination.  Mar.  36; 

sworn  in  as,  PR  158,  4/1  1 
Interview  on  "Today"  show.  Jan.  46 
Speaker  on  U.S.  interests  in  the  Middle  East, 
announcements  of  conferences  in:  At- 
lanta,  PR   138,   3/28;  Detroit.  PR  204, 
5/3;  Los  Angeles,  PR  245.  6/9 

Atwood,  James  R.: 

Chairman   of   U.S.    delegation   to   U.S.- 

Consultative   Shipping  Group  talks,   PR 

234,  5/30;  PR  415,  11/6 
Sworn  in  as  Deputy   Assistant  Secretary  of 

State  for  Transportation  Affairs,  PR  58. 

1/30 

Australia  (see  also  ANZUS): 

Alice   Springs,   Joint   Geological   and 
Geophysical   Research   Station,   U.S. 
agreement,  Apr.  61 
General  statistics  (chart).  Aug.  3 
Indochinese  boat  refugees,  program  (Derian), 

Mar.  33 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60,  61,  Mar. 

58,  59,  Apr.  61,  June  60,  July  58.  59, 
60.  Sept.  60.  Oct.  61.  Dec.  59,  60 

U.S.  military  aid,  exemption  from  standard 

policy  controls:    Benson,   Mar.   44; 

Blechman,  Mar.   52;  Carter,   Mar.  47; 

Fish,  Mar.  48,  50;  Mondale,  June  33 
Visit  of  Vice  President  Mondale:  Brzezinski, 

June  4;  Holbrooke,   Aug.   2;  Mondale, 

July  22,  23 

Austria  (Vest),  Mar.  27 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  58, 

59,  Apr.  61 ,  May  58,  June  60,  Sept.  60, 
Nov.  56 

Aviation: 

Air  charter  services  and  reduced  fares,  bilat- 
eral agreements  with:  France.  Sept.  60; 
Germany.   Federal   Republic  of.   Sept 

60,  PR  410,  1  1/1;  Iran.  Sept.  60; 
Mexico.  Feb.  59,  Mar.  60;  Netherlands. 
PR  142,  3/31;  U.K.,  PR  191,  4/27.  PR 
126.  3/17 

Air  hijacking  and  other  unlawful  acts,  need 
for  collective  action:  Kennedy,  Jan.  53; 
Vance,  Mar.  53;  Wolff.  Jan.  54 
Bonn  economic   summit  meeting,  joint 
statement  on:  Sept.  5;  Carter,  Sept.  2; 
Cooper,  Nov.   20;  Department,  Sept. 
5;  Vance,  Nov.  50 
Air  navigation  equipment,  provision  of  parts 
and  services,   bilateral  agreement  with 
Australia,  Oct.  61 
Air  services  agreement  with  U.K.:  June  61; 
Katz,  Jan.  59 


Aviation  (Cont'd) 
Air  transport: 

Bilateral  agreements  with:  Austria  (termi- 
nation).  May   58;   Iceland.   PR   339, 
8/28;  Israel.  Oct.  62.   PR  333.  8/16; 
Ivory    Coast,    Liberia,    June    60; 
Mexico.   Mar.   60.   PR   38,    1/20.   PR 
63,    2/7;    Netherlands,    May    59; 
Nigeria,  June  60;  Paraguay,  May  59; 
Poland.  Dec.  61;  Singapore,  June  61, 
PR    144,   3/31;  Yugoslavia,  PR  576, 
12/16/77 
Consultations  with  Federal   Republic  of 
Germany,  joint  statement,   PR  244. 
6/9 
Experimental   implementation  of  low-cost 
fares,  bilateral  agreements  with:  Bel- 
gium. PR  421.    11/13;  Finland,  Feb. 
61;  Mexico.  Mar.  60;  Pakistan.  Feb. 
61 
Air  transport  services,  bilateral   agreements 
with:  France  (compromis  of  arbitration), 
Aug.  60;  Ireland,  Oct.  61 
Braniff  Airways  service,  question  of  com- 
pliance with  Bermuda  II  airline  agree- 
ment commitments  (Carter),  Apr.  21 
Certificates  of  airworthiness  for  imported 
aircraft,  bilateral  agreements  with:  Nor- 
way, Mar.  60;  Spain,  Dec.  61 
Civil  air  transportation,  bilateral  agreement 
with  Soviet  Union,   May  59,   PR   124, 
3/16 
Civil  aviation,  bilateral   agreements  with: 
Finland,  joint  press  statement  on  negoti- 
ations. PR  448.   12/11;  Israel,  PR  287, 
7/15 
Flight   inspection   services,   memoranda  of 
understanding   with:   Austria,   Sept.   60; 
Canada,  Ireland,  Oct.  61;  Netherlands, 
Sept.  61;  Panama.  Dec.  60 
France-US.  agreement  to  arbitration  on  Pan 

American  dispute.  PR  277.  7/11 
International   civil   aviation,   convention 
(1944):    Djibouti,    Aug.    58;   Guinea- 
Bissau,  Jan.  60 
Protocol  (1954)  re  certain  amendments  and 
protocol  (1961)  re  amendment  of  arti- 
cle 50(a).  Gambia.  July  58 
Protocol   (1962)   re   amendment:   Gambia, 
Israel.  July  58;  Lebanon,  Turkey,  Jan. 
60 
Protocol   (1971)  re  amendment:   Gambia, 
July  58;  Germany,   Federal   Republic 
of,   Jan.    60-61;   Israel.   July   58; 
Jamaica.  Jan.   60-61;  Turkey,  Jan. 
60-61,  July  58;  Venezuela,  July  58 
Protocol  (1974)  re  amendment:  Argentina. 
Australia,   Canada.  Cuba.  July  58; 
Ecuador.  Jan.  61;  Gambia,  Hungary, 
July  58;  Indonesia.  Jan.  61;  Madagas- 
car, Venezuela,  July  58 
Protocol  (1977)  re  authentic  quadrilingual 
text:  Colombia,  July  59;  Cuba,  June 
59;  Ecuador,  Mar.  58;  France,  Sept. 
59;  Germany,  Federal   Republic  of, 
Hungary,  July   59;   Italy,   Apr.   60; 
Morocco,  Aug.   58;  Niger,  Oct.   60; 
U.K.,  Nov.  56 
Protocol  (1968)  on  authentic  trilingual 
text:  Finland.   Nov,   56;  Israel,   Aug. 
58 


Aviation  (Cont'd) 

International  Civil  Aviation  Organization 
(Maynes),  Feb.  50 

International  recognition  of  rights  in  aircraft. 
convention  (1948),  Philippines,  July  58 

Jet  fuel  prices,  agreement  with  Colombia. 
Mar.  60 

Kimpo  International  Airport  expansion  proj- 
ect, agreement  with  Korea,  June  60 

Nonscheduled  air  service  agreement,  bilat- 
eral agreement  with  Yugoslavia,  Jan.  62 

North  Atlantic  air  fares: 

Bilateral   agreement  with  U.K.,   May  59. 

Dec.  61 
Joint  U.S. -Netherlands  statement,  PR  112, 
3/11;  signature,  PR  142.  3/31 

Offenses  and  certain  other  acts  committed  on 
board  aircraft,  convention  (1963): 
Mauritania,  Jan.  60;  Peru  (with  reserva- 
tion), July  58;  Sri  Lanka.  Oct.  60; 
Zaire,  Jan.  60 

Portuguese  Civil  Aviation  Administration  air 
navigation  aids,  site  test  and  periodic 
flight  checks,  bilateral  agreement  with 
U.S.,  July  62 

Suppression  of  unlawful  acts  against  safety 
of  civil  aviation,  convention  (1971): 
Bangladesh.  Aug.  58;  Cape  Verde.  Feb. 
60;  Germany.  Federal  Republic  of.  Mar. 
58;  Grenada,  Sept.  59;  Guatemala  (with 
reservation),  Dec.  58;  Lebanon,  Feb. 
60;  Lesotho,  Sept.  59;  Mauritania,  Dec. 
58;  Peru  (with  reservation),  June  59; 
Senegal,  Apr.  60;  Singapore,  May  57; 
Sri  Lanka,  July  58;  Surinam.  Dec.  58; 
Switzerland.  Mar.  58;  Thailand,  July  58 
U.S.  implementation  urged  (Vance),  Mar. 
55 

Suppression  of  unlawful  seizure  of  aircraft, 
convention  (1970):  Bangladesh,  Aug. 
58;  Cape  Verde,  Feb.  60;  Dominican 
Republic.  Aug.  58;  Grenada.  Lesotho. 
Sept.  59;  Libya,  Nov.  56;  Mauritania, 
Dec.  58;  Peru  (with  reservation).  June 
59;  Senegal.  Apr.  60;  Singapore.  May 
57;  Sri  Lanka,  July  58;  Surinam,  Dec. 
58 

Unification  of  certain  rules  re   international 
transportation  by  air,  convention  (1929): 
Malawi,  Turkey,  July  58 
Protocols  3  and  4:  Norway,  Sweden,  July 
58 

U.S.  aviation  policy:  Carter,  Apr.  21,  Dec. 
13;  Christopher,  Sept.  27;  Cooper.  Mar. 
24;  Katz,  Jan.  59 


B 


Bahamas: 

Narcotic   drug   transshipments,   problems  of 

control  (Linneman).  Oct.  37 
National  Insurance  Scheme,  U.S.  participa- 
tion, bilateral  agreement.  Apr    61 
Treaties,    agreements,   etc..   Mar.   60.   Apr. 
61.  June  59.  Aug.  60,  Oct.  61 
Bailey,  Steve  (quoted),  Jan.  53 
Baker,   Howard,   support  lor  Panama  Canal 
treaties:  Carter,  Apr.  59.  May  52;  Vance, 
Apr.  59,  PR  I  3A.  1/13 


Balaguer.  Joaquin,   speaker,   conference  on 
U.S. -Caribbean  trade,  investment,  and  de- 
velopment, PR  1  1/1/9 
Balance  of  payments  (see  also  Trade):  Sept.  4; 
Cooper.  Nov.    19;  Katz.  Mar.   2;   Vance. 
Nov.  45 
Andean  countries  (Carter),  Sept.  57 
Eastern  Europe  (Luers).  Nov.  38 
Portugal,   bilateral   loan  agreement  for  bal- 
ance of  payments  support.  May  59 
United   States:    Barraclough.   July   41; 
Brzezinski,  June  2;  Carter.  Jan.  27,  Feb. 
21,  Oct.   13,  Nov.   12,  23,  26.  Dec.   13. 
31;  Cooper,  Nov.   21;  Garner,  July  43; 
Holbrooke.   Aug.  4;  Hormats.  July  36; 
Katz.  Nov.  25.  26;  Vance,  Apr.  24,  36 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942 
Bangladesh: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.  (Husain):  Dec.  55;  re- 
marks on  presentation  of  credentials  and 
reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN.  10/2 
Political  and  economic  progress  (Dubs).  May 

50 
Political  prisoners,  release  of,  Jan.  39 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  58.  59,  May 

58,  June  60.  July  60,  Aug.  58,  59,  Sept. 

60,  Oct.  61,  Nov.  56,  Dec.  60 

U.S.  Ambassador  (Schneider),  swearing  in. 
PR  106,  3/6 
Barbados,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60, 

61.  Aug.  60,  Sept.  59 
Barcelo.  Carlos  Romero,  speaker  at  conference 
on  U.S. -Caribbean  trade,  investment,  and 
development.  PR  1  1 ,  1/9 
Barnes,  Harry,  remarks  on  work  of  the  Ameri- 
can   Association   of  Foreign   Service 
Women,  PR  103,  3/2 
Barraclough,  William  G  .  July  40 

Participant,  town  meeting  on  foreign  policy, 
Norfolk,  Va.,  PR  380,  10/3 
Barrett.  Mavis,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation, (Read).  PR  103,  3/2 
Barros,  Jose  Miguel,  July  57 
Bartlett,  Jensie,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation (Read),  PR  103.  3/2 
Belgium: 

Air  transport   protocol   with   U.S..   PR  421, 

I  1/13 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61.  Mar.  58. 

59.  Apr.  59.  July  60.  Aug.  58,  60.  Oct. 

61.  Nov.  56 

Begin.  Menahem  (Carter).  Apr.  20.  22.  Oct     1. 
5,  Nov.  9.  Dec.   17 
Leadership  of  Israel,   question  of:  Carter, 

May  8;  Vance.  May  24,  26 
Remarks  and  statements,  Feb.   33.  Aug.  35 
(quoted),  Sept.  42 
Exchanges  of  letters  accompanying  Camp 

David  agreements,  Oct.  10.  I  1 
Herzl,  Theodore,  PR  558,  12/12/77 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance,  Jan.  41,  PR  314. 
8/7 
Exchange  of  toasts  (Vance,  Begin),  PR 
558,  12/12/77 
Visits  to  U.S..  Jan.  48,  50,  May  47.  June  41 
Camp  David  meeting.  Oct.  5,  6 
Program,  PR  127.  3/20 
Belgium,   visit   of  President   Carter:   Jan.    16: 
Carter,  Jan.  9.  15.  Feb.   15;  Vest.  Mar.  27 
Belize  (Carter).  Sept.  54 


Department  of  State  Bulleti, 

Benin,   treaties,   agreements,   etc..   Mar.   58 

Apr.  60.  July  59 
Bennet.  Douglas  J..  Jr.,  June  35 
Bennett,  Jack  (Carter),  Sept.  9 
Bennett,  W.  Tapley,  Jr.,  profile.  July  1  1 
Benson.  Lucy  Wilson,  Mar.  42.  45.  Oct.  54 
Benton.  Marjorie  Craig,  Jan.  56,  Sept.  52c 
Bergman.  Robert  (Young).  Jan.  34 
Berlin  (NATO).  Jan.  31.  July  8 

Berlin  airlift.  1949  (Carter).  Sept.  9 
Bhutan,   treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  July  59 

Aug.  59 
Big-power  responsibility:   Carter,   Apr.    18 

Vance.  Apr.  37 
Biko,  Steve.  Jan.  20/i 
Bill  of  Rights  Day,  proclamation  (Carter),  Jan 

38 
Bills  of  lading,  international  convention  ( 1924 
for  unification  of  certain  rules:   Senegal 
May  57;  Tonga,  Sept.  59 
Protocol  (1968):  Belgium.  Nov.  56;  Tonga 
Sept.  59 
Biological    and   toxin   weapons,    conventioi 
(1972):  Aug.  50.  53 
Current   actions:    Bhutan.  July  59;  Congi 
(Brazzaville),  Venezuela,  Dec.  58 
Blechman,  Barry  M.,  Mar.  52 
Bloomfield,  Richard  J.,  swearing  in  as  Ambas 

sador  to  Portugal.  PR  74,  2/14 
Blum.  Barbara  (Vance).  Aug.  17.  28 
Blumenthal.  W.  Michael.  Dec.  31 
Bodde,  William  (Holbrooke).  Oct.  44 
Bolen.  David  B..  May  36 
Bolivia: 

Access  to  the  sea:  Carter.  Sept.  54;  UNN 

4/6 

Ambassador  to  U.S..  credentials:  July  57 

remarks  on  presentation  of  credential 

and  reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  4/C 

Cocaine   control   program   and   U.S.   ai> 

(Falco),  June  42,  44 
Democratic  processes  (Derian),  Nov.  53 
Treaties,   agreements,  etc.,   Feb.   60.   Mar 
58.  Apr.  61,  May  58,  June  60,  July  60 
Aug.   60.   Sept.   60.   Oct.   61.   Nov     57 
Dec    59 
Botswana: 

Rhodesian  raid  (Young).  Apr.  57 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  July  60.  Aug.  58 

Nov.  56 
U.S.  aid:  Moose,  Apr.  31;  Vance,  Apr.  29 
Bowdler,  William  G.,  appointment  as  Directo 
of  Bureau  of  Intelligence  and  Research 
PR  164.  4/14 
Boyatl,  Thomas  D..  swearing  in  as  Ambassado 

to  Upper  Volta,  PR  323,  8/10 
Bradford,  Peter  A.  (Nye),  July  47 
Bradley.   Tom.   participation   in   Los   Angelei 
conference  on  U.S.   Middle  East  policy 
PR  245,  6/9 
Brazil: 

Cardinal   Arns,   visit  by   President  Cartel 

(Carter).  May  9 
Economic  progress  (Vance).  Apr.  24 
Export  subsidies  (Hormats).  Aug.  23 
General  Figueiredo,  question  of  discussions 

(Carter).  May  9 
Loans  by   American  private  banks,  question 
of  congressional  restriction  on  (Carter), 
May  7 


5-1 


m 
M 
In 


Si;, 


111 


'index  1978 

I  trazi!  (Cont'd) 

I  Nuclear  sales  by  Germany,  proposed  (Car- 
ter), May  8 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S..   amendment. 
PR  263.  6/27 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61.  Feb.  61. 
Mar.   59.   Apr.   61,  July  60,   Aug.   60. 
Oct.  61,  Dec.  58 
U.S.    Ambassador  (Sayre).   swearing  in,   PR 

218,  5/9 
U.S.  relations  (Carter),  May  6.  10 
U.S.   trade.  The  Trade  Debate,  publication 

8942,  p.  13 
Visit  of  President  Carter:  Carter.  May  5;  text 
of  joint  U.S. -Brazilian  communique. 
May  10 
irewster.  Robert  C,  Special  Antarctic  Treaty 
Consultative  meeting,  opening  statement. 
PR  99.  3/1 
irezhnev,  Leonid  (Warnke).  Dec.  9 
irokaw,  Tom.  Jan.  9 

*rown.  Harold:  Jan.  21  (quoted),  Oct.   1  1 .  20 
(quoted),   21    (quoted),   Nov.    14,   Dec.    3 
(quoted),  17  (quotedl 
Jrown,  Kenneth.  June  39 
irzezinski,  Zbigniew:  June  1.  July  26;  Vance, 
Sept.  14,  16 
Criticism  of  by  special  interest  groups  and 

others,  comments  on  (Carter).  Aug.  9 
Profile.  June  1 

Visit  to  China:  Brzezinski,  June  4,  July  27; 
Holbrooke.  Aug.  2.  4;  Vance.  June  30 
Juber,  Martin,  Aug.  36  (quoted) 
Juckheim.  Robert.  Ambassadorial  nomination 

(Vance).  Apr.  1  1 
Budget,   FY    1979:    Blumenthal,   Dec.    31; 

Vance,  Mar.  18 
Bulgaria  (Luers),  Nov.  36.  37 
Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials.  Apr.  43 
Macedonian    problem   with    Yugoslavia 

(Luers),  Nov.  35 
Travel  restrictions  on  U.S.   diplomats,   re- 
ciprocal elimination  (Department),  Jan. 
32 
Treaties,   agreements,  etc.,   Feb.   60,   Mar. 
59,  Apr.  61,  July  59,  60,  Oct.  60,  Nov. 
56 
Bull,  Bartle,  appointment  to  Board  of  Foreign 

Scholarships,  PR  96,  2/27 
Bunker,  Ellsworth,  recipient  of  Foreign  Service 

Cup  award,  PR  223,  5/18 
Burma 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:  Sept.   21; 

remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials 

and  reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  8/2 

Asian  Development  Bank  fish  production 

project  (Vance),  Apr.  27,  PR  89,  2/24 
General  statistics  (chart),  Aug.  3 
Opium  control  program  and  U.S.  aid  (Falco), 

June  45.  46 
U.S.  relations  (Holbrooke),  Apr.  33 
Burundi,     U.S.     Ambassador    (Corcoran), 

swearing  in,  PR  114,  3/13 
Bushnell,  John  A..  Nov.  54/i 
Byrd,  Robert  C   support  for  Panama  Canal 
treaties:  Carter.  Jan.  11,  Apr.  59.  May  52; 
Vance,  Mar.   17,  Apr.  59,  PR  13A,   1/13; 
PR  18A,  1/16;  PR  23,  1/14 
Byelorussian    Soviet    Socialist    Republic. 


Byelorussian  S.S.R.  (Cont'd) 

treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.   61,   Mar. 
59.  July  59,  60 


Califano.  Joseph  A.,  Jr.:  Sept.  35;  Vance,  July 

7 
Cambodia  (Kampuchea):   Holbrooke.  Aug.  2; 
Vance,  June  19 
Debt  arrearages  to  U.S.  (Hormats),  Mar.  26 
General  statistics  (chart),  Aug.  3 
Human  rights:  ANZUS,  July  48;  Carter,  June 
38;  Christopher.  Feb.   32;  Holbrooke. 
Aug.  5;  Mezvinsky.  Sept.  52,  53;  Mon- 
dale,  July  25 
Malaysia,  relations  (Rithauddeen),  Sept.  24 
Thailand,  relations  (Pachariyangkun).   Sept. 
23 

Cameroon: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..   Aug.  60.   Nov. 

56,  Dec.  60 
U.S.  security  assistance  (Moose).  Apr.  31 

Canada: 

Air  quality  talks  with  U.S..  PR  459,  12/19 

Atikokan  generating  station,  studies  of  en- 
vironmental effects  on  U.S.,  PR  19, 
1/13 

"Buy  Canada"  movement  (Barraclough), 
July  40 

Execution  of  penal  sentences  treaty  with 
U.S.,  signature,  PR  292,  7/19 

Great  Lakes  water  quality  (Mondale).  Mar. 
10 
Agreement  with  U.S.:  announcement.  July 
58;  negotiations,  PR  140,  3/31 

High  seas  salmon  fishery  of  the  North  Pacific 
Ocean,  international  convention,  signa- 
ture of  amending  protocol  (1972).  PR 
209.  5/4 

Indochinese  refugees,  policy  on  (Derian). 
Mar.  33 

Maritime  jurisdiction  in  Gulf  of  Maine  area, 
expanded  jurisdiction,  and  U.S.  rejec- 
tion (Department),  Dec.  43 

Natural  gas  pipeline,  northern,  agreement 
with  U.S.,  Sept.  60 

Poplar  River  water  quality: 

Bilateral  meeting,  PR  280.  7/18 
IJC  correspondence  with  Canada  and  U.S.. 
PR  88,  2/23 

St.  Lawrence  Seaway  toll  agreement  with 
U.S..  May  58.  PR  128,  3/20 

St.  Marys  River,  Ontario,  data  link  trans- 
mitters and  connection  cable,  emplace- 
ment for  operational  evaluation,  agree- 
ment with  U.S.,  Dec.  60 

Seismograph  station  near  Kluane  Lake. 
Yukon  Territory,  agreement  with  U.S., 
Mar.  60 

Soviet  satellite  Cosmos  954,  landing  of: 
Carter,  Mar.  7,  8;  Vance,  PR  51,  1/24 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61,  Feb.  61, 
Mar.  59,  60,  May  58,  June  59,  60,  July 
58,  59.  60,  Aug.  58,  60,  Sept.  60,  Oct. 
61.  Dec.  60 
U.S.  maritime  boundaries  and  related  re- 
source issues,  report,  PR  136,  2/28 


Canada  (Cont'd) 
U.S.  relations:  Mondale,  Mar.  9;  Vest,  Mar. 

27 
U.S.   trade:   Mondale,   Mar.    10;  The  Trade 

Debate,  publication  8942,  p.  1  1 
Visit  of  Vice  President  Mondale  (Mondale). 
Mar.  9 
Cape   Verde,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,   Feb. 

60,  Mar.  58 
Caramanlis,  Constantine.  Feb.  31 
Carazo.  Rodrigo.  July  49.  51.  57n 
Carter,  Jimmy  (Young).  Jan.  34 

Addresses,  remarks,  and  statements: 

Aerial   surveillance,  alleged  sale  of  clas- 
sified material  on.  Nov.  1  1 
Africa,  Jan.  12,  July  21,  33,  Aug.  7 
Foreign  military  intervention,  problem 
of.  May  12.  14,  19,  Aug.  7,  Sept.  7 
Soviet  and  Cuban  forces,  presence  of, 
Feb.  21,  July  1,  16.  19,  21.  Aug.  6, 
8 
African  Development  Fund,  U.S.  financial 

support.  May  13 
Air  hijacking,   Bonn  joint  statement  on, 

Sept.  2 
Ambassador  Young,  Jan.  12,  July  21 
Comments  on   political   prisoners   in 
U.S..  criticism  of.  Sept.  11,12 
Angola,  July  16,  17.  18.  Aug.  6,  7.  9.  10 
Arab-Israeli   conflict    (for  details   see 
Arab-Israeli  conflict).  Feb.  6.  11.  17, 
Aug.  8.  Dec.  12 
Arab  position.  Feb.  19 
Cairo  conference,  Jan.  13.  14 
Camp  David   agreements,  Oct.   2,   5, 
Nov.  9,  42  (quoted) 
Exchange  of  letters,  Oct.  10,  1  1 
Negotiations  and  opening  ceremony. 

Dec.  16,  40 
Signature,  Oct.  10.  1  1 
Camp  David  meeting,  Oct.    1,  3,  5.  7. 
12,  13,  Nov.  9 
"Grandchildren"  incidents.  Dec.  16 
Core  issues,  Jan.  9,  13,  Feb.  12,  18 
Israeli  security  and  survival  commit- 
ment,  Feb.   22,   Mar.   7.   Apr.   22, 
May  47,  June  39,  40,  41.  July  20, 
Aug.  35  (quoted) 
Jordan,  role,  Jan.   10,  Feb.   19,  Oct.  2, 

5.  Nov.  11 
Lebanon,  Israeli  incursion.  May  7,  46 
Military  balance,  Apr.  22,  May  7,  June 

12.  40 
Negev  airbases,  relocation.  Nov.  9 
PLO.  Jan.  14 
Palestinian  entity,  tied  in  with  Jordan, 

Jan.  10,  Feb.  3,  18,  Apr.  23 
Palestinians,   self-determination,    Feb. 
18,  19,  Apr.  23.  May  9.  Oct.  2.  5, 
Nov.  II.  12 
Soviet  role,  Jan.  14,  Apr.  20 
U.S.  peace  role,  Jan.  9,  13,  Feb.  3,  20, 
Apr.  20,  22,  May  47,  Oct.  13,  Nov. 

9,  10 
West  Bank  and  Gaza  settlements,  Jan. 

10.  Feb.  18,  22.  Mar.  7,  Apr.  20. 
23,  May  9,  Oct.  3,  6,  10.  Nov.  9, 
12 

Arms  control  and  disarmament.  Feb.  3,  5. 


8 


Carter,  Jimmy  (Cont'd) 

Addresses,  remarks,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
Arms  control  (Cont'd) 

6.   10.   14,  Apr.  20,  May  31,  July  14. 
Aug.  9.  Oct.   18  (quoted) 
Arms  sales  policy.  Feb.  20,  Mar.  47,  Apr. 

19.  May  14,  July  20,  Sept.  55 
Aviation  policy,  Apr.  21,  Dec.  13 
Balance  of  payments  and  trade,  Jan.   27, 
Feb.   21,  Oct.    13.  Nov.    12.  23.  26, 
Dec.  13,  31 
Berlin  airlift,  1949.  Sept.  9 
Brazil.   American  private  bank  loans  to. 

question.  May  7 
Brazilian  Congress,  remarks.  May  5 
Brzezinski.   verbal   attacks  against,  com- 
ments. Aug.  9 
Cambodia,  human  rights,  June  38 
Cardinal  Arns,  visit  with.  May  9 
Cardinal   Wyszynski,   visit  by  Rosalynn 
Carter   and   Dr.    Brzezinski.   Feb.    18. 
19 
Castro.  Fidel,  Aug.  6 
China,  July  14,  Aug.  8,  Oct.  14,  Dec.  12 
Congressional-Executive  relations,  Jan. 

11,  12,  Oct,  13,  14 
Cuba  (see  also  Africa:  Soviet  and  Cuban 
presence),  July  15,  19,  Aug.  6,  Sept. 
54 
Cyprus,  Feb.  31,  May  35,  Aug.  6,  Sept. 

32.  Nov.  31 

Defense.  Feb.   14,   16,  20,  Apr.   17,  June 

24  (quoted),  July  15.  17,  Nov.  9 

Procurement  bill,  veto  of,  Oct.  12,  14 

Democracy  and  democratic   principles, 

Feb.  7,  12,  17,  May  3,  7,  13 
Dominican  Republic,  elections.  Aug.  58 
Economy,  Jan.  27,  Feb.  13,  Sept.  6 

Bonn  summit  meeting,   Sept.    I,  6.  9, 

Nov.  12,  23,  Dec.  13 
Dollar,  rates  of  exchange,  Jan.  28,  Feb. 
20,  Apr.  20,  23,  May  16.  Oct.   13. 
Nov.  12.  23.  Dec.  13.  31 
Domestic,   Feb.    15,   May    1,  July    15, 
Dec.  12,  13 
Egypt: 

U.S.    military   aircraft   sales.    Mar.    7, 

Apr.   19.  22.  June  12,  40.  July  17 
Visit  to,  Feb.  3,  1  I 
Energy,  Feb.  8.  Apr.  20.  23,  May  2.   15. 
Sept.  1,  7.  23,  26,  Oct.  14.  Nov.  23 
Comprehensive   energy   policy,   Jan.    9. 
II,  27,  Feb.  5,  6,   13,   15,  20,  21. 
May  16,  June  12,  Sept.  1  1,  Oct.  13, 
Dec.  13 
Natural  gas  prices,  June  12,  Oct     14 
Oil   import  fees  or  quotas,  question  of, 

June  12,  Sept.  11,  Oct.  13 
Solar,  Feb.  9 
U.S.  oil  reserves,  Feb.  22 
Enhanced    radiation   weapons   (neutron 
bomb),  Feb   6.  May  31,  June  12.  July 
21 
Ethiopia-Somalia  conflict,   Feb.   21.   Apr. 

20,  21,  May  14,  15,  July  16,  Aug.  6 
Europe,  Feb.  12 

CSCE  review  conference,   Feb.   4,   5, 

July  2 
Eastern,  July  14,  Dec.  14 


Department  of  State  Bullet  It 


Carter,  Jimmy  (Cont'd) 

Addresses,  remarks,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
Europe  (Cont'd) 

Mutual   and   balanced   force  reductions, 
Feb.  3,  5,   14,  Apr.   18.  July  1,  4, 
22.  Aug.  8,  Sept.  7 
European  Communities.   Commission  of. 

Feb.  15 
European  Community.  Feb.  14 
Export  policy,  July  37  (quoted),  Nov.  23, 

26.  Dec.  13 
Food  problems,  Feb.  8,  Dec.  12 

Presidential    Commission    on    World 

Hunger,  appointment,  Dec.  39 
U.S.  food  aid.  May  3 
Foreign  aid,  Jan.  13,  May  2,  July  18,  Aug. 

9,  Dec.  13 
Foreign  Corrupt  Practices  Act  of  1977  and 
the  Domestic  and  Foreign  Investment 
Improved   Disclosure   Act   of   1977, 
Jan.  27,  Nov.  24 
Foreign  policy,  July  15,  20,  Aug.  9 

Priorities,  Jan.  11.  Feb.  20 
France,  Jan.  15,  Feb.  12,  18 
Germany,  Federal  Republic  of,  Sept.  1,  6 

Nuclear  sales  to  Brazil,  May  8 
Greece,  July  4,  Aug.  6.  7;  Sept.  1  1 ,  34 
Health  program,  proposed,  Jan.  11 
Human  rights.  Jan.    13.   14,  Feb.    10,  20. 
21,  May  2.  6.  7,  July  2,   Sept.    10, 
Nov.  52  (quoted),  Dec.  15 
Africa.  May  13,  16,  July  21 
American  Convention  on  Human  Rights, 

U.S.  ratification  urged,  Sept.  56 
Brazil,  May  9 
Cambodia,  June  38 
Human  Rights  Day  and  Week.  Jan.    12. 

38 
Iran.  Feb.  7,  19 
Poland.  Feb.  4.  6 
Social  justice.  Dec.  12 
Soviet  Union,  June  41,  July  7-8,    15, 

Aug.  7,  8,  28.  Sept.  7,  11,  12 
Universal  Declaration  of  Human  Rights. 
30th  anniversary,  Nov.  51 
Hungary.  Crown  of  St.  Stephen,  return  of, 

Feb.  18,  30  (quoted) 

India.  Jan.  9.  15.  Feb.  18.  21 

Indian  Parliament.  Feb.  7 

U.S.    nuclear  sales,  proposed.   Feb.   9, 

17,  July  47 

Iran.  Jan.  9.  14.  Feb.   1,6,  19 

Internal  problems,  Nov.   12.  Dec.  15 
U.S.  nuclear  agreement.  Feb.  18 
Israel: 
Prime  Minister  Begin,  leadership.  May 

8 
30th  anniversary,  June  41 
U.S.  military  aircraft  sales,  Apr.  19,  22. 
June  12,  39.  40 
Korea,  Republic  of: 

Military   aid  credits   and  equipment 

transfers   to,    proposed,    Apr     19, 

June  36 

U.S.  visit  of  President  Park,  question  of, 

Sept.  12 

Latin  America,  Jan.   12,  May  8.  July  49, 

Sept.  54 
Lebanon,   Jan.    14,    May   7,   46,   Oct.    3. 


Carter,  Jimmy  (Cont'd) 

Addresses,  remarks,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
Nov.  10 
Less  developed  countries,  Feb.    14,   1 
May  1,  4,  13,  18,  Sept.  1,  7,  Nov.  2 
Dec.  13 
Mexico: 
Spraying  of  paraquat  for  marijuana  co 
trol   and  other  drug  enforceme 
programs,  Sept.  12 
U.S.  bracero  program,  denial.  Mar.  8 
Mozambique,  July  18 
Multinational  corporations,  Jan.  27,  No 

24,  Dec.  13 
Namibia,  May  8,   12,   15,  Aug.  7,  9-1 

Nov.  50 
National  Arts  Theater,  Nigeria,  May  1 1 
National  security.  Feb.   14.  20.  Apr.   1 

July  15.  19,  Aug.   14 
NATO:  Jan.  12.  15.  Feb.  14,  20.  Mar.  4 
Apr.    18,  June    12,  July    16,   Aug. 
Oct.  12 
Greece  and  Turkey,   importance  to,  Ji 

4,  Aug.  6.  7,  Sept.  34,  Dec.  38 
Long-term  defense  program,  July  2, 

Sept.  7,  8 
Summit  meetings.  Feb.  16.  July  1.  2. 
Unity  of  the  Alliance,  July  3 
Neutron  bomb,  Feb.  6,  June  12.  July  21 
Nigeria,  May  II,   15.  July  21 
Nuclear  energy,  Apr.  50,  May  8,  July  2 

Sept.   1 
Nuclear  nonproliferation,  Feb.  10,  15,  1 

20;  May  8.  July  16,  Sept.  1,  7 
Nuclear  Nonproliferation  Act  of  1978:  Jr. 

47;  signature,  Apr.  49 
Nuclear  weapons: 
Goal  of  elimination.  Feb.    14,  20,  Jt 

22 
Nonuse   against   non-nuclear-weapo 
states,  Aug.  52  (quoted) 
Olympic  Games,  1980,  Sept.  12 
OAS,  May  9,  July  16.  18.  Aug.  42 
Eighth  regular  session  of  General  A 
sembly,  Sept.  54 
OAU.  Feb.  21,  Apr.  21.  May  14.  15.  Ju 

16.  19.  Aug.  7 
Palais  des  Congres.  Paris,  Feb.  12 
Panama: 

Cinco  de  Mayo  Plaza,  and  Fort  Clayto 

July  49,  Aug.  58c 
Panama  City  Coliseum,  July  52 
Panama  Canal  treaties,  Jan.   11,  Feb.  2 
Mar.  55 
Carter-Torrijos  joint  statement  of  unde 

standing.  Jan.  12 
Ratification.  Apr.  59.  May  52.  July  41 
52,  Sept.  54 
Personal  religious  convictions,  Feb.  3-4 
Poland,  Jan.  9,  14.  Feb    1,  2,  17.  21 
Population.  Dec.   12,  46  (quoted) 
Private  enterprise,  Dec.  13.  14 
Rhodesia.  Apr.   23,  May   12.   15.   16.  Jul 

16,  Aug.  7,  Nov.   I  I,  12 
SALT.  Feb.  3,   10.   17.  20,   Apr.    18.  Jul 
1.  2.  4.  14,  22,  Aug.  9,  Sept.  7,  No\ 
9,  10,  Dec.  12,  15 
Issues.  Jan.   11.  Feb.  6.  July  17 
Soviet  interests,  Dec.  14 


id 


ex  1978 


arter,  Jimmy  (Cont'd) 
Addresses,  remarks,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
SALT  (Cont'd) 

Soviet  involvement  in  Ethiopia-Somalia 
dispute,  question  of  effect,  Apr.  20, 
21,  July  16,  18,  Aug.  8 
SALT  11: 

Tactical   nuclear   weapons,   question  of. 

Feb.  6 
Treaty  form,  preferences,  Nov.  11 
SALT  III,  July  15 

Sino-Soviet  relations,  Aug.  8,  Dec.  14 
Somalia,  question  of  U.S.  economic  and 

military  aid,  Apr.  21 
South  Africa.  May  13.  15.  July  17 
Soviet  Union: 
Cosmos  954,  Canadian  landing,  Mar.  7, 

8 
Human  rights  violations,  June  41,  July 
8.   15.  Aug.  7,  8,  28.  Sept.  7,   I  1. 
12 
Military  expansion,   Apr.    17,  June   12, 

July  1,  2.  15.  19,  21,  Dec.  14 
U.S.    cancellation   of  computer  sale. 

Sept.   12,  Oct.   14 
U.S.    military   orders   transmitted   by 
satellite,  question  of  Soviet  disrup- 
tion. Mar.  8 
U.S.  relations,  Jan.   11.  12.  14,  Feb.  3, 
20,  Apr.    18,  July   14,   17,  21,  Aug. 
8.  9,  Sept.  7.  11,  Dec.  12 
State  of  the  Union  (excerpts),  Feb.  20 
Tanzania.  July  18 
Terrorism.  Sept.  6 

Trade.  Feb.  13,  15,  May  2,  13,  Sept.  1.  7. 
56.  Oct.    14,  Nov.   21,  23.  26,  Dec. 
12,  13 
Turkey.    U.S.    arms  embargo   rescission, 
July  4.  Aug.  6,  7,  Sept.  11,  34,  Dec. 
38 
United  Nations  Day,  1978,  Nov.  50 
U.S.   Naval   Academy  commencement 

exercises,  July  14 
Venezuelan  Congress,  May  1 
Wake   Forest   University  commencement 

exercises,  Apr.  17 
War  Powers  Bill,  signature,  Feb.  22 
Warnke.  resignation,  Nov.   11 
World  Conference  of  the  International 
Chamber  of  Commerce,  26th  session, 
opening  remarks,  Dec.   12 
World  peace.  Oct.  1.12.  Dec.  12 
Zaire,  July  1,   16,  17.  18,  35,  Aug.  6,  7. 

10 
Zambia,  July  18.  33 
Correspondence,  memoranda,  and  messages: 
Aircraft  sales  to  Israel,  Egypt,  and  Saudi 

Arabia,  legislation  urged.  June  40 
Camp  David  agreements,  exchanges  of 

letters,  Oct.  10.  1  1 
Israel,  terrorist  attack  on.  May  46 
Turkey,   determination  and  certification 
under  1978  International  Security  Act 
re  resumption  of  full  military  cooper- 
ation. Dec.  38 
Zaire,  U.S.  security  assistance  authorized. 
July  35 
First  year,   assessment:   Carter,  Jan.    12; 
White  House  summary,  Jan.  15 


Carter,  Jimmy  (Cont'd) 

Meetings  with  Heads  of  State  and  officials 
of.  remarks  and  joint  communiques: 
Denmark.  Apr.  47.  PR  81.  2/17;  Egypt, 
Mar.  35;  Israel,  Jan.  48,  May  47,  June 
41;  Jamaica,  Jan.  58;  Japan.  June  2; 
Romania,  June  36 
Messages  and  reports  to  Congress; 

Arms  Control   and  Disarmament   Agency, 
17th  annual   report,  transmittal.   May 
30 
Cyprus,  progress  reports,  transmittal.  Feb. 

31.  May  35.  Sept.  32.  Nov.  31 
Environmental   modification  techniques 
convention  and  understandings,  ratifi- 
cation urged.  Nov.  16 
U.S.   uranium  export  to  Tarapur  Atomic 
Power  Station  in  India,  authorization, 
July  47 
Waiver  of,   application  of  subsidies  and 
countervailing  duties,   extension  pro- 
posed, Nov.  21 
News  conferences,  transcripts.  Jan.  12.  Feb. 
2,  17,  21.  Mar.  7.  Apr.  19.  May  6,  June 
12,  July   17,  Aug.  6.  8,  Sept.   11,  Oct. 
12.  Nov.  9.  1  1 
Question  and  answer  sessions.  May  15,  July 

20 
Television  interviews,   transcripts,  Jan.   9, 

Dec.  14 
Tribute  to  (Begin),  Oct.  6 
Visits  to: 
Africa  and  Latin  America  (see  also  Brazil, 
Liberia,   Nigeria,   and   Venezuela), 
Apr.  23.  May  1,  July  21 
Egypt.  Feb.  3.  11 

Germany.   Federal   Republic  of:   Carter, 
Jan.    15.   Sept.    1.  6,   8.  9;  Schmidt. 
Sept.  8;  text  of  declaration.  Sept.  2 
Latin  America  (see  also  Brazil  and  Ven- 
ezuela), Apr.  23,  May  I.  July  21 
Panama,  July  49,  Sept.  54 
World    trip    (see    also    Belgium,    Egypt, 
France,  India,  Iran,  Poland,  and  Saudi 
Arabia)  Dec.  29.  Jan.  6,  16;  Carter,  Jan. 
9.  Feb.   1;  Maynes.  Sept.  49;  Vance,  PR 
9A.  1/19 
Castro,  Fidel  (Carter),  Aug.  6 
Ceausescu,  Nicolae:  June  36;  program  of  U.S. 

visit.  PR  157,  4/1  1 
CENTO  (Central  Treaty  Organization):   Gelb, 
Dec.  54,  55;  Newsom.  Dec.  52 
Opening  session  (Vance).  June  24 
Central  African  Empire: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Aug.  59 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Cooke),  swearing  in,  PR 
387.  10/16 
Central  American  Common  Market  (Todman), 

May  55 
Chad: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Feb.  61.  July  60, 

Aug.  60,  Oct.  60,  Nov.  57 
U.S.  security  assistance  (Vance).  July  29 
Chang  Yie-joon,  visit  to  U.S.,  PR  193,  4/27 
Chapin.   Frederic  L.,   appointment  as  Ambas- 
sador to  Ethiopia,  July  31/1 
Chard,  Cynthia,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation (Read),  PR  103.  3/2 
Ch'en  Hsi-lien,  (Brzezinski),  July  28 


4 


Chile: 

Ambassador  to  U.S..  credentials,  July  57 
Human  rights:  Feb.  55,  Mezvinsky,  Sept.  53; 

OAS,  Sept.  58 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59, 
May  58,  Aug.  58.  Oct.  60 
China,  People's  Republic  of:  ANZUS,  July  48; 
Mondale,  July  23 
Foreign  relations,  expansion:  Shulman,  Nov. 

3  I ;  Vance.  Aug.   14 
General  statistics  (chart),  Aug.  3 
Human  rights  (Vance),  Jan.  20 
Korean  war  debt  arrearages  and  allocation  of 

claims  (Hormats),  Mar.  26 
Population  projections,  Oct.  46.  48,  Nov.  6 
Sino-Soviet   relations:   Brown,   Nov.    14; 
Brzezinski,  July   26;  Carter,   Aug.   8, 
Dec.    14;   Holbrooke,   Aug.   2;  Luers, 
Nov.  35;  Mondale,  July  23; 
Shulman,  Jan.  8,  Nov.  29,  31;  Vance.  June 

29,  Aug.   14;  Warnke,  Apr.  6 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60.  Dec.  60 
U.S.   arms  supply  and  technological  trans- 
fers, question  of:  Shulman.  Nov.  31 ,  32; 
Vance,  Aug.  17,  Dec.  19 
U.S.   normalization  of  relations,  Jan.    16; 
Brzezinski,  June   1,  4.  July  27;  Carter, 
Oct.    14;   Holbrooke,   Apr.    31,   Aug.   4; 
Shulman,  Jan.  8,  Nov.  31;  Vance,  Feb. 
23,  June  30,  Aug.  17.  20,  Dec.  19 
U.S.  relations:  Brzezinski,  July  27,  28;  Car- 
ter, July  14,  Aug.  8;  Mondale,  July  22 
U.S.  trade  (Carter),  Dec.  12 
Visit  of  Dr.  Brzezinski:  Brzezinski,  June  4. 
July  27;  Holbrooke,  Aug.,  2,  4;  Vance. 
June  30 
Great  Wall  of  China  remarks  on  Soviet 
Union,  question  of  (Brzezinski),  July 
27 
Christopher,  Warren:  Jan.   39,  Feb.   32,  Mar. 
30.  Sept.  26.  39n.  Oct.  15.  Dec.  36 
Certain  oil  and  gas  leases  in  Gulf  of  Maine. 

withdrawal  from  sale,  PR  53,  1/27 
Visit  to  Taipei,  arrival  statement.  PR  470. 
12/28 
Civilian  persons  in  time  of  war,  protection, 
Geneva  convention  (1949):  Djibouti,  Dec. 
59;  Tonga,  Aug.  59 
Claims: 

Cuban  appropriation  of  U.S.  property.  May 

57 
Eastern   Europe,    nationalization   claims 

(Luers),  Nov.  41 
Korean  war  debt  arrearages,   allocation  of 
claims  between  People's  Republic  of 
China  and  Taiwan  (Hormats),  Mar.  26 
Clark,  Bob,  Sept.  13 
Classified  material,   alleged  private  sale  to 

Soviets  (Carter),  Nov.  11 
Cleveland.  Marian  (quoted),  Jan.  53 
Clifford.  Clark  M..  July  41 
Coale,  Ansley  (quoted),  Oct.  53 
Cobb,  Jewell  Plummer,  appointment  to  Board 

of  Foreign  Scholarships,  PR  96,  2/27 
Coffee,     International    Coffee    Agreement 
(1976):  July  51;  Katz,  Mar.  5 
Current  actions:   Finland,   Italy,  Nov.  56; 
Liberia,   Oct.   60;  Malawi,   Sept.   59; 
Netherlands.  Nov.  56 


10 


Colbert,  Evelyn  (Holbrooke),  Oct.  44 
Collective  security  (Fish),  Mar.  48 
Colombia: 

Cocaine   control   program   and    U.S.    aid: 

Falco,  June  42,  44;  Linneman,  Oct.  37 
Textile  agreement,   amendment,   text,   PR 

203.  5/3;  PR  356.  9/15 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  60,  Apr.  61 
July  59,  60,  Oct.  61 
COMECON  (Council  for  Mutual  Economic  As- 
sistance): Sept.  4;  Luers,  Nov.  33,  34,  36, 
37 
Commerce,  Department  of:  Holbrooke.  Aug   4; 

Hormats,  July  37,  38;  Aug.  24. 
Commodity  trade   (see  also   Less  developed 
countries     and    name    of    commodity): 
ASEAN.  Sept.  25;  Vance.  PR  83.  2/21 
Commodities   and   commodity-related   serv- 
ices,   foreign    exchange    costs,    loan 
agreement  with  Jamaica,  May  59 
Commodity  import  program,  loan  agreement 

with  Zambia,  July  62 
Common  fund,  proposed:  Sept.  4;  ASEAN, 
Sept.  24;  Carter,  May  2.  14;  Christ- 
opher, Sept.  28;  Cooper,  Sept.  22;  Katz, 
Mar.  2,  6;  Lake,  Jan.  26;  Rithauddeen, 
Sept.  22;  Romulo,  Sept.  22;  Vance, 
Mar.  18,  Apr.  24.  Sept.  20.  21,  22, 
Nov.  46;  Young,  Feb.  55 
Integrated  Program  for  Commodities  (IPC), 

proposed  (ASEAN),  Sept.  24 
International  price  stabilization:  Carter,  May 
2,   14;  Christopher.  Sept.  28;  Hormats, 
July  36;  Katz,  Mar.  2,  Oct.  27;  Vance, 
Mar.   18,  Nov.  46 
Nickel,   seabed  sources:   Mink,   Feb.   44; 

Richardson,  Feb.  41 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942,  p.  16 
U.S.  import  dependence,  sources,  and  U.S. 
policy  (Katz),  Mar.  1 
Comoros,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61 
Condon,  John  P.  (Holbrooke),  Oct.  44 

Ambassador  to   Fiji,   swearing   in,   PR    111, 
3/10 
Congo  (Brazzaville),   treaties,   agreements, 

etc.,  Sept.  59.  Dec.  58,  59 
Congress,  U.S.: 

Executive-congressional   relations:   Bennet, 
June  35;  Carter.  Jan.    11.   12.  Oct.    13, 
14;  Shulman.  Nov.  28;  Vance,  July  31 
Foreign  policy,  documents  relating  to.  lists. 

Mar.  23.  May  62.  Sept.  28,  Dec.  31 
Legislation: 

'"Buy  America"  Act  amendments:  Bar- 
raclough,  July  40;  Christopher.  Dec. 
38 
Energy  Program:  Blumenthal.  Dec.  31; 
Brzezinski,  June  3;  Carter,  Jan.  9,  1  1, 
27;  Feb.  15,  21.  May  16,  June  12, 
Sept.  II,  Oct.  13,  Nov.  12,  23,  Dec. 
31;  Christopher,  Sept.  26;  Mondale. 
Mar.  10;  Vance,  Apr.  37 
Foreign  Corrupt  Practices  Act  of  1977  and 
the  Domestic  and  Foreign  Investment 
Disclosure  Act  of  1977  (Carter),  Jan. 
27.  Nov.  24 
Military  aircraft  sales  to  Egypt.  Israel,  and 
Saudi  Arabia:  Carter.  Mar.  7.  Apr. 
19,  22,  May  7.  June  12,  39,  40.  July 
17.  20;  Department,  June  39;  Vance, 


Congress,  U.S.  (Cont'd) 
Legislation  (Cont'd) 

Military  aircraft  sales  (Cont'd) 

Mar.    14,   37.   May  24.  June   18,  27, 
38,  39.  PR  217,  5/9 

Most-favored-nation  tariff  treatment  for 
Hungary  and  Romania:  Luers,  Nov. 
41;  Nimetz,  Aug.  26;  Vest.  Oct.  34, 
35 

Nuclear  Nonproliferation  Act  of  1978 
(Carter),  Apr.  49,  July  22 

Turkey,  rescission  of  U.S.  arms  embargo: 
Carter,  July  4,  Aug.  6.  7,  Sept.  II. 
34,  Dec.  38;  Clifford,  July  41;  De- 
partment, May  34,  Sept.  34,  Dec.  38; 
Vance,  May  34,  35,  Sept.  14;  White 
House  statement,  Sept.  34 

War  Powers  Bill,  signature,  Feb.  22 
Legislation,  proposed: 

African  Development  Fund,  second  re- 
plenishment: Carter,  May  13;  Cooper, 
Apr.  38;  Vance.  Apr.  28,  July  29 

Antarctic  flora  and  fauna,  agreed  measures 
on  conservation,  implementation 
(Mink),  Apr.  53 

Antarctica,  extension  of  U.S.  jurisdiction 
to  certain  criminal  cases  (Mink),  Apr. 
53 

Deep  seabed  mining,  interim  legislation 
(Richardson),  Apr.  54.  June  47,  48, 
Dec.  42 

Defense  budget.  Presidential  veto:  Brown, 
Nov.  14,  16;  Carter,  Oct.  12.  14 

Economic  program:  Carter,  Jan.  28,  Oct. 
13;  Hormats,  July  36;  Vance.  Apr.  36 

Export-Import  Bank,  appropriations  re- 
quest: Carter,  Nov.  23;  Vance,  Apr. 
36 

Foreign  aid,  FY  1979:  Benson,  Mar.  45; 
Carter,  May  2;  Holbrooke.  Apr.  34; 
Vance.  Apr.  24.  May  19.  33.  June  18, 
PR  83,  2/21;  PR  89,  2/24;  PR  109, 
3/9;  PR  265,  6/28 

IAEA,  appropriations  request:  Vance, 
Apr.  28;  Young,  Aug.  42 

Immigration  quotas  between  U.S.  and 
Canada  and  Mexico  (Mondale),  Mar 
12 

International  emergency  wheat  reserve, 
establishment  urged  (Vance).  Nov.  47 

International  narcotics  control  program, 
appropriations  request  FY  1979 
(Falco),  June  42,  43 

International  Sugar  Agreement,  1977,  im- 
plementing legislation  urged:  (Katz), 
Mar.  5,  Sept.  29 

Korea,  military  aid:  Carter.  June  36;  Hol- 
brooke, Apr.  32;  Vance,  Jan.  19.  Apr. 
29 

Korea,  transfer  to  of  U.S.  ground  combat 
equipment:  Carter,  June  36;  Hol- 
brooke, Apr.  32,  Aug.  2;  Vance.  Apr 
29 

Military  and  other  aid  to  Greece  and  Cyp- 
rus: Carter.  July  4,  Aug.  6.  Clifford. 
July  41.  42;  Department,  May  34; 
Vance,  Apr.  29,  May  33.  34.  35,  PR 
265,  6/28;  White  House  statement. 
Sept.  34 


Department  of  State  Bulleti    id 


Congress.  U.S.  (Cont'd) 

Legislation,  proposed  (Cont'd) 

Montreal  convention  on  aircraft  sabotage 

implementation  (Vance),  Mar.  55 
National  health  program  (Carter),  Jan.  11 
Panama  Canal  treaties,   implementatioi 

(Vance),  Mar.  I  7 
Rhodesia,   lifting  of  sanctions  (Helm 
amendment),   question  of:   Chris 
topher,  Oct.   16;  Department,  Sept.   18' 
Vance.  Sept.   16.  17 
Tax     relief    measures    for     American 
employed   abroad:   Carter.    Nov.    24 
Hormats,  July  39 
Undocumented  aliens:  Mondale,  Mar.   12 

Vance,  June  57 
U.S.    Interests  Section  in  Havana,   pro 
posed  closure  of  (Bartlett  resolution) 
Department.  Sept.  57 
Senate  advice  and  consent: 

American  Convention  on  Human   Right 
(1969),  U.S.  ratification  urged:  Apr 
48;  Carter.  Sept.  56 
Environmental   modification,   hostile  use 
convention  and  understandings,  ratifi 
cation  urged  (Carter),  Nov.   16 
Genocide  convention  and  other  huma: 
rights   treaties,    ratification    urgei 
(Mezvinsky).  Sept.  53 
Interim  reciprocal  fisheries  agreement  fo 
1978  with  Canada,  ratification  urged 
Cutler,  Aug.  38;  Department,  Aug.  3t 
International  Covenant  on  Economic,  So 
cial  and  Cultural  Rights  and  on  Civi 
and    Political    Rights,    ratificatioi 
urged:  Apr.  48;  Goldberg.  Jan.  38 
International  convention  on  elimination  o 
all    forms   of  racial   discrimination 
ratification  urged,  Apr.  48 
Panama  Canal  treaties.  See  under  Panama 

Canal  treaties 
Sugar   Agreement   (1977).    ratificatio 

urged  (Katz).  Mar.  5.  Sept.  29 
Tlatelolco  Treaty,  Protocol  I,  ratificatior 

Sept.  56;  Leonard,  Aug.  46 
Trade   agreement   with   Hungary,   ratifica 
tion:  Nimetz,  Aug.  26;  Vest.  Oct.  34 
PR  107.  3/7;  PR  271,  7/6 
U.S.   nuclear  facilities,  applicability  o 
IAEA    safeguards,    ratification    o 
IAEA-U.S.     treaty     urged     (Whit 
House),  Apr.  50 
Conservation: 

Antarctica.  See  Antarctic  entries 

Endangered  species  of  wild  fauna  and  flora 

international  trade,  convention  (1973) 

Botswana,  Egypt,  Aug.  58;  France  (witl 

reservation),   July   59;   Malaysia,   Aug 

58;  Monaco,  July  59;  Panama.  Dec.  58 

Migratory  birds  and  their  environment,  con 

vention  (1976)  with  Soviet  Union,  Aug 

61,  Sept.  61.  Nov.  57,  Dec.  61 

Polar  bears,  agreement  (1973),  ratification 

Denmark.  Mar.  58 
Shrimp,  bilateral  agreement  with  Cuba,  ter 
mination.  June  60 
Consular  relations,   Vienna  convention  (1963) 
Bangladesh,  Mar.   58;  Djibouti,  Dec.   58 
Haiti,   Mar.    58;   Iceland.   July   59;   Peru 
Apr.  60;  Syria.  Dec.  58 


Index  1978 


11 


Consular  relations  (Cont'd) 

Optional   protocol   re  compulsory   settlement 
of  disputes   (1963):    Iceland.   July   59; 
Niger,  Sept.  59 
Consular  services  abroad  (Vance).  Mar.  20 
Continental     shelf,     limits    of    jurisdiction 
(Richardson),  June  48 
HCooke,   Goodwin,   Ambassador  to  Central   Af- 
rica Empire,  swearing  in.  PR  387,  10/16 
Cooper.   Richard   N..   Feb.   26,   Mar.   24,   Apr. 

37,  Sept.  21.  22,  24.  Nov.   19 
Copper: 

Seabed  sources;  Mink,  Feb.  44;  Richardson. 

Feb.  41 
U.S.  imports:  Mar.  it;  Katz,  Mar.  5 
Zambian  exports  (Carter),  July  33 
Copyright,    universal   copyright   convention 
(1971),  protocols  1  and  2,  accession,  Aus- 
tralia, Mar.  58 
Corcoran,  Thomas  J.,  Ambassador  to  Burundi. 

swearing  in,  PR  1  14,  3/13 
Costa  Rica:  Todman.  May  55;  Young,  Jan.  36 
Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials.  July  57 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Feb.  60.  61.  May 
58,  June  59,  Aug.  60,  Dec.  60 
Council  for  Mutual  Economic  Assistance:  Sept. 

4;  Luers,  Nov.  33.  34.  36,  37 
Crawford,  F.  Jay  (Carter).  Jug.  8 
uba  (see  also  Africa:  Soviet  and  Cuban  pres- 
ence): Carter,  Sept.  54 
Debt  arrearages  to  U.S.  (Hormats).  Mar.  26 
Maritime  boundary  agreement  with  U.S.: 
May  57;   Vance,  Aug.    13;  PR  579.    12/ 
20/77 
Soviet  dependence  (Carter),  July  15,  19 
Soviet  nuclear  weapons,  question  ot   pres- 
ence of  (Vance),  May  24 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  62.  Feb.  60. 
Mar.  59.  Apr.  61,  June  59,  60,  July  58. 
Nov.  57 
U.S.  embargo,  effect:  May  57;  Katz,  Mar. 

22 
U.S.  influence,  question  of  (Vance),  July  6 
U.S.   Interests  Section,  question  of  closing 

(Department).  Sept.  57 
U.S.    relations:   Jan.    16;  Carter.   Aug.   6; 
Vance.  Aug.   13 
Cuban  presence  in  Africa,  effect  on:  May 
57;  Carter,  Aug.  6;  Vance.  Mar.   15. 
Aug.   13 
Foreign  relations  outline.  May  56 
U.S.   sport  fishing  in  Cuban  waters,  proce- 
dure (Department),  40 
"ultural  relations: 
ASEAN-U.S.   cooperation  in  education  and 

cultural  programs  (ASEAN).  Sept.  25 
Cultural  property,  illicit  import,  export,  and 
transfer  of  ownership  of,   convention 
(1970):    Oman,    Oct.    60;    Tanzania. 
Uruguay.  Mar.  58 
Cultural  property,  protection  of  in  event  of 
armed  conflict,  convention  (1954),  ac- 
cession, Oman,  Apr.  60 
Cultural  and  scientific  exchange  agreement. 

Eastern  Europe  (Luers),  Nov.  40,  41 
Educational,   scientific,   and  cultural   mate- 
rials,  importation,   agreement  (1950): 
Ireland.  Dec.  59;  Oman,  Feb.  60 
Egypt,  treasures  of  Tutankhamun  and  other 


Cultural  relations  (Cont'd) 

Egypt  (Cont'd) 

items  of  Pharaonic  art,  exhibition  in  San 
Francisco,  agreement  with  U.S..  May  58 

German  Democratic  Republic,  exchange  of 
exhibits.  (Bolen),  May  38 

Hungary-U.S.  (Vance),  PR  9B,  1/7 

International  Communication  Agency  pro- 
grams. May  32 

Italy,  cooperative  projects  (Gardner).  July  44 

Mexico-US.  Commission  on  Cultural  Coop- 
eration. 3rd  meeting,  summary  and  an- 
nexes II  and  111  of  final  statement,  Nov. 
55 

Scientific,  academic,  and  cultural  exchanges 
with  Soviet  Union:  Carter,  July  14;  Shul- 
man,  Jan.  6,  Nov.  32,  Vest,  Mar.  29 

U.S.  Advisory  Commission  on  International 
Educational  and  Cultural  Affairs,  release 
of  14th  annual  report,  PR  139,  3/29 

World  cultural  and  natural  heritage,  protec- 
tion, convention  (1972):  Brazil.  Jan.  61; 
Costa  Rica,  India,  Apr.  61;  Italy,  Nepal, 
Nov.  57;  Panama,  July  60;  Saudi  Arabia, 
Dec.  59;  Tanzania.  Apr.  61 

Curtis,  Lucile  Atcherson,  tribute  to,  PR  223, 
5/18 

Customs: 

Commercial  samples  and  advertising  mate- 
rials, importation,  international  convention 
(1952),  accession.  Republic  of  Korea, 
Aug.  58 

Customs  administration  and  training,  techni- 
cal cooperation,  project  agreement  with 
Saudi  Arabia.  Oct.  62 

Customs  Cooperation  Council,  convention 
(1950):  Botswana,  Nov.  56;  Lesotho, 
Oct.  60;  Zambia,  Dec.  58 

Customs  improvement  program,  technical 
assistance  agreement  with  Abu  Dhabi, 
Dec.  59 

Customs  offenses,  mutual  administrative  as- 
sistance for  prevention,  investigation, 
and  repression  of,  international  conven- 
tion (1977),  Apr.  60 

ECS  carnets  for  commercial  samples,  cus- 
toms convention  (1956),  denunciations 
by:  Germany,  Federal  Republic  of, 
Nov.  56;  Netherlands,  Jan.  61;  Portugal, 
July  59 

International  transit  of  goods  (ITI  conven- 
tion), customs  convention  (1971),  acces- 
sion, Morocco,  Mar.  58 

International  union  for  publication  of  cus- 
toms tariffs,  convention  (1890),  regula- 
tions and  final  declaration,  denunciations 
by  (of  convention  and  1949  protocol): 
Peru,  Oct.  60;  Uruguay,  Jan.  61 

Mutual  assistance,  bilateral  agreement  with 
Austria,  (May  58) 

Safe  containers  (CSC),  international  con- 
vention (1972):  India,  May  57;  Japan, 
Aug.  58;  Liberia,  May  57;  Saudi  Arabia, 
Dec.  58;  U.K.,  May  57;  U.S.,  Feb.  60. 
June  59 

TIR  carnets.  international  transport  of  goods 
under: 
Customs  convention  (1959),   accession, 
Malta,  Apr.  60 


Customs  (Cont'd) 
TIR  carnets  (Cont'd) 
Customs  convention  (1975):  Finland,  Apr. 
60;   German   Democratic   Republic, 
Sept.  59;  Switzerland.  Apr.  60 
Cutler,  Lloyd  N..  Aug.  38 
Cutler.  Walter  L.  (Department).  July  34 
Cyprus  (Carter).  Aug.  6 

Caramanlis:  Feb.  31;  Carter.  Sept.  34,  Dec. 
38;  Clifford.  July  42;  Vance,  Feb.  31. 
May  34.  June  25,  Sept.  15,  PR  18A, 
1/16;  Vest.  Mar.  27;  Young,  Feb.  54 
New  Famagusta  (Varosha),  Turkish  proposal 
for  return  of  Greeks:  Carter,  Sept.  33. 
Nov.  31;  Department,  Sept.  33.  34,  Dec. 
38;  Vance.  Sept.  15;  White  House  state- 
ment, Sept.  33 
Profile,  July  42 

Refugee  assistance,  proposed:  Carter.   Aug. 
6;  Department,  May  34;  Vance.  May  35, 
PR  265,  6/28;  Young,  Feb.  53 
Treaties,   agreements,   etc.,   Feb.   60,    Aug. 

58.  Sept.  60 
U.N    Secretary  General,  role:  Clifford,  July 

42;  Vance.  Jan.  29.  Feb.  30.  Nov.  50 
UNFICYP,   6-month  extensions:   Sept.  47; 

Carter,  Feb.  32 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Stone),  swearing  in,  PR 

104,  3/3 
U.S.  reports  to  Congress  (Carter),  Feb.  31. 

May  35.  Sept.  32,  Nov.  31 
U.S.  security  assistance,  FY  1979,  proposed: 
Clifford.  July  41,  42;   Vance,  PR  265, 
6/28 
Czechoslovakia: 

Soviet  relations  (Luers),  Nov.  34,  35 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  July  59,  Aug.  60 


D 


Danudirdjo,  Ashari,  Apr.  33 
Dayan.   Moshe:   Sept.   39,   Nov.   9  (quoted). 
Dec.  41;  PR  563.  12/13/77,  PR  317,  8/7, 
PR  456,  12/14;  Carter,  Nov.  10 
Departure  of  Secretary  Vance,  remarks.  PR 
35.  1/20 
Dean.  John  Gunther.  Ambassador  to  Lebanon, 

swearing  in.  PR  379,  10/2 
Debts,  international: 

Consolidation  and  rescheduling,   bilateral 

agreement  with  Turkey,  Nov.  57 
General  debt  moratorium,   U.S.   position: 
Lake,  Jan.  26;  Vance,  Apr.  24,  PR  83, 
2/21 
Renegotiations,  U.S.  position:  Carter.   May 
14;  Hormats,  Mar.   25;  Lake,  Jan.   26; 
Vance,  Nov.  47 
Defense,  Department  of  (Fish),  Mar.  48 
Defense   and   national   security:   Jan.    16; 
Brzezinski.  June    1;  Carter.   Feb.    14,  20, 
July  15.  19;  Fish,  Mar.  48;  Gelb,  Nov.  19; 
Vance,  Feb.  23,  May  22;  Vest.  Mar.  29; 
Warnke,  Apr.  5 
Budget:  Jan.    17;  Carter,  Feb.    16.   Apr.    17, 
July  15;  Mondale,  June  32;  Warnke,  Dec. 
6 
Defense  procurement  bill,  veto  of:  Brown, 
Nov.  14,  16;  Carter,  Oct.  12,  14 


12 


Defense  and  national  security  (Cont'd) 
Budget  (Cont'd) 

Military  budget  data  tor  purposes  of  com- 
parison (Warnke),  Aug.  46 
Minuteman:  Dec.  3;  ACDA,  Oct.  24;  Car- 
ter,  Nov.    10;  Warnke.  Oct.   22,  23, 
Dec.  7 
NATO   explosion-resistant   multi-influence 
sweep  system  (ERMISS),  memorandum 
of  understanding  ( 1978),  Nov.  56 
Overall  principles:  Brown,  Nov.    14;  Carter, 
Apr.   17,  June  24  (quoted);  Vance,  June 
24,  Aug.  15 
Strategic  nuclear  triad;  Dec.  3;  Brown,  Nov. 
15,   Dec.   3  (quoted);  Carter,  Apr.    18; 
Nye,  Mar.  38;  The  SALT  Process,  publi- 
cation 8947;  Warnke,  Jan.  23,  Oct.  20, 
Dec.  7,  8 
U.S.  security  and  the  Soviet  challenge,  con- 
ferences, announcements,  PR  246,  6/12; 
PR  290.  7/17;  PR  341,  8/30;  PR  345.  9/8; 
PR  346,  9/8;  PR  383.  10/6;  PR  409.  11/1; 
PR  439.  12/4;  PR  443,  12/7 
Delgado-Votaw.  Carmen,  election  as  President 
of  OAS   Inter-American  Commission  of 
Women.  PR  416.  11/7 
Democracy  and  democratic  principles:  May  10; 
Carter.  Feb.  7.   12,   17,  May  3,  7.   13;  De- 
rian.  Nov.  53;  Vance,  PR  232,  5/28 
Democratic  Kampuchea.  See  Cambodia 
Denmark  (Vest),  Mar.  27 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61,  Mar.  58, 
Apr.  61.  May  58.  June  59,  July  60,  Aug. 
60,  Oct.  60,  61 
U.S.    Ambassador  (Manshel),   swearing   in, 

PR  268,  6/29 
U.S.  visit  of  Prime  Minister  Jorgensen:  Apr. 
47;  program.  PR  81,  2/17 
Derian,  Patricia  M.,  Mar.  33,  Nov.  51 
Desai.  Morarji  (Nye).  July  46 

Visit  to  U.S.:  joint  communique,  Aug.  40; 
program.  PR  241.  6/7 
Development  assistance:  Sept.  47;  Lake,  Jan 
25;  Mondale,  June  24;  Vance,  June  15 
Appropriations   request   FY    1979   (Vance), 
Apr.  24;  PR  83,  2/21,  PR  89,  2/24,  PR 
109,  3/9 
Basic  and  occupational  skill  training  program 
project,  loan  agreement  with  El  Salvador, 
Aug.  60 
Development  services  and  training,   project 

grant  agreement  with  Sri  Lanka,  Dec.  61 
High   priority   development   activities,   utili- 
zation of  Jamaican  currency,   bilateral 
agreement  with  Jamaica,  Sept.  60 
Human  resources  development,  project  grant 

agreement  with  Chad,  Feb.  61,  Nov.  57 
National   development   training   project 

agreement  with  Afghanistan,  May  58 
Project  grant  agreements  with  Egypt,   Aug. 

60,  Nov.  57 
South  and  Southeast  Asia:  Holbrooke,   Apr. 
34,  Aug.  5;  Newsom.  Dec.  53;  ASEAN, 
July  25 
Dinitz,   Simcha,   remarks  to  press  following 
meeting   with   Secretary    Vance,   PR   57, 
1/30 
Diplomatic   relations,    Vienna  convention 
(  1961 ):  Bangladesh,  Mar.  58;  Boliva,  Feb. 


Diplomatic  relations  (Cont'd) 

60;   Djibouti.    Dec     58;   Haiti,    Mar.    58; 
Nauru,  June  59;  Sri  Lanka,  July  59;  Syria, 
Oct.  60 
Optional   protocol   re  compulsory   settlement 
of  disputes,  Sri  Lanka,  Sept.  59 
Diplomatic  representatives: 

Bulgaria,    U.S  .  .reciprocal   elimination   of 

travel  restrictions  (Department).  Jan.  32 
Diplomatic  and  official  passport  holders,  re- 
ciprocal facilitation  of  transit  or  tempor- 
ary duty   visas,   bilateral  agreement  with 
Hungary,  May  59 
Diplomatic  representatives  in  the  U.S.,  creden- 
tials: Bangladesh,   Dec.   55,   UNN,    10/2; 
Bolivia,  July  57;  Bulgaria,  Apr.  43;  Burma, 
Sept.   21;  Chile,  Costa  Rica,  July  57;  El 
Salvador,  Feb.  59,   UNN,    1/18;  Finland, 
France,  Jan.   30;  Gabon,  July  34;  Ghana, 
Sept.    18;  German  Democratic  Republic, 
Feb.   59,   Nov.   29,   UNN,    10/2;  Grenada, 
Feb.  59,  Nov.  53,  UNN,  10/2;  Guatemala, 
Feb.  59,   UNN,   1/18;  Indonesia,  Apr.   33; 
Ireland,   Nov.   29,   UNN,    10/2;  Italy.  July 
44;  Mali,  Dec.  27,  UNN,  11/16;  New  Zea- 
land, June  49;  Poland,  July  44;  Romania. 
Dec.  37,  UNN,  11/16;  Sierra  Leone,  Sept. 
18;   Spain,   Sept.    34;   Thailand.   Sept.    21; 
Western  Samoa,  Apr.  33 
Diplomats,   protection   of,   convention   (1973): 
Finland,   Dec.   59;  India,  June  60;  Iran, 
Sept.  60;  Iraq.  Apr.  61;  Jamaica.  Nov.  56; 
Peru,    June    60;    Romania,    Oct.    61; 
Uruguay,  Aug.  59 
Disaster  relief.  U.S.  aid  (Vance),  Aug.  12 

Italy,  earthquake  in  Fnuli  (Gardner),  July  43 
Djibouti,   treaties,   agreements,   etc..   Jan.   61; 
Feb    60.  61;  Apr.   60,  61,   May  58,   June 
60.  Aug.  58.  59,  Oct.  60.  Dec.  58.  59 
Dolland,  Franklyn  O'Brien,  Feb.  59 
Dominican  Republic: 
Elections:  July  51;  Carter,  Aug.  58;  Derian, 

Nov.  53 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb,  61;  Mar.  58, 
59,  60,  Apr.  60,  61,  May  58,  July  59, 
Aug.  58 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Yost),  sworn  in,  PR  192. 
4/27 
Donlon,  Sean:  Nov.  29;  remarks  on  presenta- 
tion of  credentials,  and  reply  by  President 
Carter,  UNN,  10/2 
Donsker,  Monroe,  reappointment  to  Board  of 

Foreign  Scholarships,  PR  96.  2/27 
Dorman,  Lesley,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation (Read),  PR  103,  3/2 
Double  taxation: 

Avoidance  of,  bilateral  conventions,  agree- 
ments,  and   protocols   with:    Intergovern- 
ment   Maritime  Consultative  Organiza- 
tion, Apr.  62,  Nigeria,  Nov.  57;  U.K., 
Aug.  61.  Dec.  61;  U.N..  Oct.  62 
U.S.  tax  relief  measures,  proposed:  Carter. 
Nov.  24;  Hormats,  July  39 
Draper,  Morris,  participant  in  town  meeting  on 
foreign   policy.    Norfolk.    Va ..    PR   380, 
10/3 
Drew.  Elizabeth.  July  26 
Drucker.  Peter  (quoted I.  Feb.  26 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Drugs,  narcotic: 

Asia:  ASEAN,  Sept.  25;  Falco.  June  42.  45; 

Vance,  Sept.  20 
Central  America  and  Caribbean  (Linnemanl, 

Oct.  37 
Cooperation    in    suppression    of,    bilateral 
agreements  with:   Egypt,   Nov.   57;  Ger- 
many, Federal  Republic  of,  Sept.  60;  Ven- 
ezuela. May  59 
Detoxification    programs.    U.S.    assistance 

(Falco),  June  46 
International   narcotic   control   program,   ap- 
propriations  request   FY    1979  (Falco), 
June  42,  43 
Mexico: 

Illegal  drug  traffic,  efforts  to  control:  Car- 
ter. Sept.   12;  Falco,  June  42.  43;  Lin- 
neman,  Oct.  38;  Mondale.  March  12 
Bilateral  agreements  re;   Mar.   60.  June 
60.  July  61,  Aug.  60,  Oct.  62,  Dec. 
60 
Spraying  of  paraquat  and  other  herbicides 
for  marijuana  control,  question  of: 
Benson.  Oct.  56;  Carter.  Sept.  12 
Opium  poppy  cultivation,  prohibition,  bilat- 
eral agreements  with  Afghanistan.  Jan. 
62 
Psychotropic  substances,  convention  (1971): 
Algeria,  Sept.   59;  Argentina,   Apr.   60; 
Korea,  Mar.  58-59 
Single  convention  (1961):  Austria,  Mar.  58; 
Libya.  Nov.  56 
Protocol   (1972):   Austria,   Mar.   58;  India, 
Sept.    59;    Iran.    Libya,    Nov.    56; 
Malaysia,  June  59;   U.K..   Aug.   59; 
Yugoslavia,  Sept.  59 
U.N.   Fund   lor  Drug  Abuse  Control:   Falco, 

June  46;  Whalen,  Jan.  56 
U.S.    control    functions   consolidated    under 
Senior  Adviser's  Office  (Falco),  June  43 
Dubs,  Adolph,  May  48 

Ambassador  to   Afghanistan,   sworn   in.   PR 
270.  7/6 
Dunsmore.  Barrie.  July  32,  Sept.  13 


Eagen,  Virginia,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation (Read),  PR  103,  3/2 

Earle,  Ralph  II:  Dec.  6,  9;  Warnke,  Dec.  10 

East-West  relations:   Apr.  47;  Bolen.  May  36; 
Brzezinski,  June   I;  Carter.  Feb.   16.  July 
3;  NATO.  Jan.  30.  July  8;  Nimetz.  Aug. 
26.  Oct.   33;   Vance.   July  4.   PR  9B.    1/7; 
Vest.  Mar.  29.  Oct    34 
U.S.  trade:  Nov.  37.  38.  Luers,  Nov.  38,  39; 
Nye,  Mar.  38;  The  Trade  Debate,  publi- 
cation 8942.  pp.   14.  19 

Easum,  Donald,  speaker,  San  Francisco  con- 
ference on  U.S.  foreign  policy  in  Africa. 
PR  391,  10/17 

Ecevit,  Bulent:  May  35  (quoted);  remarks  be- 
fore working  dinner  with  Secretary  Vance, 
PR  42.  1/21 

Echeverria,  Jose  Rafael.  July  57 

Economic  policy  and  relations:  Brzezinski, 
June  3;  Carter,  July  15,  Nov.  12,  Dec.  14; 
Cooper,  Nov.  19;  Hormats.  Dec.  33; 
Vance.  June  57.  Aug.   15 


Index  1978 

Economic  policy  and  relations  (Cont'd) 

Adjustment    assistance:    Nye,    Mar.    39; 

Vance.  Feb.  24.  Aug.  25 
Anti-inflation    program:    Blumenthal.    Dec. 

31;  Carter.  Dec.  13,  31 
"Buy   America"'   Act  amendments,   position 

on  (Barraclough).  July  40 
Domestic  needs:   Maynes,  Sept.  50;   Vance. 

June  17 
Economic  program,  proposed:  Sept.  2;  Car- 
ter. Jan    28.  Oct.   13;  Christopher,  Sept. 

26;  Hormats.  July  36;   Vance,  Feb.   23. 

Apr.  35 
Federal   Reserve   domestic   and   international 

measures  (Blumenthal),  Dec.  31 
Foreign  economic  policy:  Carter,   Dec.    12; 

Lake.  Jan.  24;  Nye,  Mar.  38.  40 
Italy,   financial   technical  cooperation  with 

U.S.  (Gardner).  July  45 
Panama,   economic   and   military   agreement 

with  U.S..  Nov.  57 
Poland,  economic  and  industrial  cooperation 

and  participation  in  trade,  agreement  with 

U.S..  Dec.  61 

Economy,  world 

ASEAN  consultations.   See  Association  of 

South  East  Asian  Nations 
Democratic  economic  systems:  Carter.  Feb. 

13.  Dec.  14;  Hormats,  Dec.  32 
Economic  development  and  military  costs, 
relation:  Aug.  49,  51,  54;  Benson,  Mar. 
44;  Carter,   May  6;  Leonard,  Aug.  47; 
Mondale,   June   34;   Vance,   July  4; 
Warnke,  Aug.  46 
ECOSOC  role  (Young).  Oct.  56 
European  monetary   system:   Cooper,   Nov. 

20;  Vance,  Aug.  18,  Dec.  20 
OECD  ministerial  meeting,  Paris:  Sept.  3-4; 
Cooper,   Nov.   20;  Gardner,  July  43; 
Hormats,   Dec.   35;   Vance,  July  5.  6; 
Aug.  24;  Vest,  Mar.  28 
Oil  prices,  effect:   Carter.  Jan.   27;  Christ- 
opher, Sept.  26;  Cooper,  Feb.  26;  Lake, 
Jan.  25,  Nye,  Oct.  38 
Summit  meeting.  Bonn:  Carter,  Sept.   1,  6. 
9,   Nov.    12.  23.   Dec.    13;  Christopher. 
Sept.   27;  Cooper,   Nov.    19;  Hormats, 
Dec.  35;  Schmidt,  Sept.  9;  Vance,  Aug. 
18,  24;  Vest,  Mar.  28;  Young,  Oct.  57 
Declaration,  text,  Sept.  2 
Participants,  list,  Sept.  2 
U.S.  dollar,  rates  of  exchange:  Blumenthal. 
Dec.  31;  Carter,  Jan.  28.  Feb.  20,  Apr. 
20,  23,  May  16.  Oct.   13,  Nov.   12,  23, 
Dec.    13,   31;   Hormats.   July   37;   Katz, 
Nov.  26;  Vance.  May  27 
Youth    unemployment:   Carter,    Feb.    14; 
Gardner,  July  43;  Green,  Feb.  46;  Hor- 
mats, Dec.  34 

ECOSOC  (United  Nations  Economic  and  Social 
Council):  Young.  Oct.  56 

Ecuador: 

Cocaine  control   program  and   U.S.   aid 

(Falco),  June  42.  44 
Democratic  elections  (Derian),  Nov.  53 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61.  Feb.  60, 

Mar.  58,  59,  July  60,  Sept.  60 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Gonzalez),  sworn  in.  PR 

297,  7/24 


Edmondson,  William  B.,  sworn  in  as  Ambas- 
sador to  South  Africa.  PR  225.  5/22 

Education: 

AID  projects,  results  (Vance).  Apr.  26,  June 
15.  PR  89,  2/24 

ASEAN-U.S.  cooperation  in  education  and 
cultural  programs  (ASEAN),  Sept.  25 

Board  of  Foreign  Scholarships,  appoint- 
ments, PR  96.  2/27 

Educational,  scientific,  and  cultural  mate- 
rials, importation,  agreement  (1950): 
Ireland.  Dec.  59;  Oman,  Feb.  60 

Exchange   programs,   bilateral   agreements 
with:  China,  Dec.  60;  Italy.  July  61 
Middle  East  (Saunders),  Aug.  30 
South  Pacific  Islands  (Holbrooke),  Oct.  44 

Fellowships  on  disarmament,  establishment 
by  General  Assembly,  Aug.  55 

Fulbright  scholarships.  May  32 

Italy,  cooperative  projects  (Gardner).  July  44 

Lebanon.  Institute  Pedagologique  Nationale 
d'Education  Technique,  reequipment. 
project  grant  agreement,  Sept.  61 

Mexico-US.  Commission  on  Cultural  Coop- 
eration, 3d  meeting,  summary,  and  an- 
nexes II  and  III  of  final  statement,  Nov. 
55 

Population  growth,  effect,  Nov.  3.  7 

Rural  agricultural  education  development, 
project  loan  agreements  with:  Colombia, 
Dec.  61;  Nicaragua,  Dec.  60 

Scientific,  academic,  and  cultural  exchanges 
with  Soviet  Union:  Carter,  July  14; 
Shulman,  Jan.  6,  Nov.  32;  Vest,  Mar.  29 

Women,  Nov.  5 

Nonformal  education,   project  grant 
agreement  with  Morocco.  Nov.  57 

Egypt: 

Arab  countries,  break  in  relations:  Jan.  49; 
Vest.  Jan.  20 

Field  drainage  project,  financing  (Cooper). 
Apr.  39 

Port  of  Suez,  project  loan  agreement  with 
U.S..  Dec.  60 

Quattamia  cement  project,  project  loan 
agreement  with  U.S.,  Dec.  60 

Rural  electrification  project  (Vance),  Apr. 
27 

Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ment. PR  55,  1/30 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61.  Feb.  61. 
Mar.  59,  60,  Apr.  61,  May  58,  June  60, 
July  60,  Aug.  58,  60,  Sept.  60,  Oct.  61, 
Nov.  57,  Dec.  60 

Unemployment,  Nov.  3 

U.S. -Egypt  Joint  Working  Group  on  Tech- 
nology, Research  and  Development,  sixth 
meeting,  PR  93,  2/24 

U.S.  military  aircraft  sales:  Carter.  Mar.  7, 
Apr.  19,  22,  June  12.  40.  July  17;  De- 
partment. June  39;  Vance,  Mar.  7,  13, 
14,  37,  May  24,  June  18,  38,  39,  PR  51, 
1/24,  PR  217.  5/9 

U.S.  security  assistance,  appropriations  re- 
quest (Vance).  Apr.  29,  PR  89,  2/24 

U.S.  visit  of  President  Sadat:  Feb.  37,  Mar. 
35;  Carter,  Feb.  3,  11;  Sadat,  Feb.  11 
Program,  PR  61,  2/2 


13 


Egypt  (Cont'd) 

Visit  of  President  Carter.  Jan    16 

Second  visit,  question  of  (Carter),  Nov.  9 
Visits  of  Secretary  Vance:  Jan.  50.  Feb.  37, 
Dec.  20;  Begin,  Feb.  34;  Vance,  Jan.  40, 
Feb.  36,  Sept.  43,  PR  555,  12/12/77;  PR 
556,    12/12/77;  PR  318,  8/8;  PR  452, 
12/13 
Einstein.  Albert  (quoted).  Aug.  37 
El  Salvador: 

Ambassador  Quinonez   Meza:   Feb.   59;   re- 
marks on  presentation  of  letter  of  cre- 
dence, and  reply  by  President  Carter, 
UNN,  1/18 
Border  dispute  with  Honduras:  Carter,  Sept. 

54;  Todman,  May  55 
Inter-American  development  potable  water 

project  (Vance),  Apr.  27,  PR  89,  2/24 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59, 
Apr.  62.  Aug.  60,  Sept.  59,  Oct.  60.  61. 
Dec.  60 
Energy  sources  and  problems  (see  also  Nuclear 
energy):   Sept.   2;  Carter,   Sept.   7;   Katz, 
Nov.  25;  Lake,  Jan.  24;  Young,  Oct.  56 
Advanced  heat  pump  systems,  research  and 
development,   program,   implementing 
agreement  ( 1978),  entry  into  force,  Oct. 
60 
Alternate  and  renewable  sources,   need   for 
development:  Apr.  48,  May  11,  Sept.  3; 
Carter,  May  2;  Cooper,  Nov.  20;  Mon- 
dale,  July   24;   Nye.   Oct.   40;    Vance. 
June  18,  Aug.  25,  Sept.  20 
U.N.  conference,  proposed  (Vance),  Nov. 
47 
ASEAN-U.S.   cooperation:   Sept.   25;  Mon- 
dale. July  24;  Vance.  Sept.  20 
Biomass  conversion  technical   information 
service,   implementing  agreement:   Bel- 
gium,   Ireland,    Sweden,    U.K.,    U.S., 
Aug.  58 
Canadian-U.S.  relations  (Mondale),  Mar.  10 
Capital   investment  for  energy   saving  (Hor- 
mats), Dec.  34 
Coal:  Sept.  3;  Carter,  Feb.  5;  Cooper,  Feb. 
29.  Nov.  20;  Vance,  Nov.  47 
Coal  conversion,  extraction  and  process- 
ing, exchange  of  information,  memo- 
randum of  understanding  with  Austra- 
lia, Sept.  60 
Coal   information  exchange   in  areas  of 
health,    safety,    and   environment, 
bilateral    agreement   with   Australia. 
Dec.  60 
Egypt,   bilateral   agreement   on   National 
Energy  Control  Center  Project,  Aug.  60 
Energy  conservation  in  cement  manufactur- 
ing, research  and  development  program, 
implementing  agreement  (1978).  entry 
into  force.  Oct.  60 
Energy   development  safety   precautions, 

Sept.  3 
Forestry  energy,  research,  development,  and 
demonstration   program,   implementing 
agreement  (1978):   Belgium.   Canada, 
Ireland,  Sweden,  U.S.,  Aug.  58 
India,  resources  developments  (Carter).  Feb. 

8 
Indian  Ocean  states,  oil   supplies  (Gelb), 
Dec.  54 


14 


Energy  sources  and  problems  (Cont'd) 
International    energy    program,    agreement 

(1974).  Italy,  May  57 
Jet  fuel   prices,  agreement  with  Colombia, 

Mar.  60 
Mexican   oil   and   gas  sales  to  Caribbean 
countries,  question  of  (Vance).  June  58 
Nigeria-U.S.  cooperation  (Carter),  May  15 
Nonconventional   energy  development  proj- 
ect,   bilateral    agreement   with    Philip- 
pines, Aug.  61 
North   Sea  oil,    "Buy   British"   policy   (Bar- 

raclough),  July  40 
Ocean,  power  sources  (Mink).  Feb.  44 
Oil  and  gas  leases  in  Gulf  of  Maine,  with- 
drawal from  sale,  PR  53.  1/27 
Oil  prices:  Apr.  48.  May  1  1 .  Sept.  3;  Carter, 
Fc'n     20,  21,   Sept.    1,  Oct.    14;  Chris- 
topher, Sept.   26,  28;  Cooper,  Feb.   26; 
Vance,  Mar.   18,  May  27 
Solar  energy  development:   Carter,  Feb.   9; 
Cooper,  Feb.  29;  Nye,  Oct.  39,  40 
Project  agreement  with  Saudi  Arabia,  Mar. 

61 
Solar  heating  and  cooling  systems  in 
buildings,  cooperative  information 
exchange,  memorandum  of  under- 
standing (1974):  Netherlands.  Oct. 
60;  Spain,  Apr.  60 
United  States  and  World  Energy,    by  Ralph 

Stuart  Smith,  released,  Feb.  28 
U.S.  domestic  comprehensive  energy  pro- 
gram: Blumenthal,  Dec.  31;  Brzezinski, 
June  3;  Carter,  Jan.  9,  11,  27.  Feb.  6. 
13,  15.  20.  21,  May  16.  June  12,  Sept. 
I,  11.  Oct.  13.  Nov.  12,  Dec.  13,  31; 
Christopher,  Sept.  26;  Cooper,  Feb.  28; 
Mondale,  Mar.  10;  Vance,  Mar.  19, 
Apr.  37;  Vest.  Mar.  28 
Crude   oil   equalization   tax,    proposed 

(Carter),  June  12,  Sept.   11 
Natural   gas  prices,  question  of:  Carter. 
June  12,  Oct.  14;  Vance,  June  57 
U.S.  oil  consumption:  Carter,  Feb.   5,   21. 
Apr.  20,  23,  Sept.  11,  23,  26,  Nov.  23, 
Dec.    13;  Christopher,   Sept.   26,   27; 
Cooper,   Feb.   26;   Hormats,  July  36, 
Dec.  33;  Maynes,  Sept.  49;  Katz,  Mar. 
I.  Nov.  26;  Saunders,  Aug.  30;  Vance. 
Mar.   19.  Aug.  25 
U.S.  oil  import  fees  or  quotas,  question  of 
(Carter).  June  12,  Sept.  11,  Oct    13 
Executive  order  in  lieu  of  congressional 
action,  question  of  (Carter).  Oct.  13 
U.S.  oil  reserves:  Sept.  3;  Carter.  Feb.  22 
Urban  electric   distribution,   loan  agreement 

with  Egypt,  July  61 
Wave  power,  research  and  development  pro- 
gram, implementing  agreement,  (1978), 
July  59 

Environmental  problems  and  control  (see  ■'/*<> 
Oil  pollution):  Benson,  Oct.  55 
Air  pollution  talks,   U.S. -Canada,   PR  459, 

12/19 
Antarctica  (Mink),  Apr.  51 
Canadian   Atikokan   generating   station. 

studies  of  effects  on  U.S.,  PR  19.  1/13 
Chemicals,  toxic  effects:  Califano.  Sept.  36; 

Mink,  Feb.  43 
Deep  seabed  mining  (Richardson),  Apr.  55 


Environmental  problems  and  controls  (Cont'd) 

Energy  development  safety  precautions, 
Sept.  3 

Environmental  modification,  prohibition  of 
military  or  other  hostile  use,  convention 
(1977):  Australia.  Bulgaria,  Byelorus- 
sian S.S.R..  July  59;  Cuba,  June  59; 
Cyprus,  Aug.  58;  Czechoslovakia,  July 
59;  Denmark.  June  59;  Finland,  German 
Democratic  Republic,  July  59;  Ghana. 
May  58.  Aug.  58;  Hungary,  June  59; 
India,  Feb.  60;  Laos,  June  59,  Dec.  59; 
Mongolia,  July  59;  Poland,  Sierra 
Leone,  Aug.  58;  Soviet  Union,  July  59; 
Spain,  Sept.  59;  Sri  Lanka,  June  59; 
Tunisia,  July  59;  Ukrainian  S.S.R.. 
Aug.  58;  U.K..  Zaire.  July  59 
U.S.  ratification  urged  (Carter),  Nov.  16 

Environmental  programs  and  transboundary 
problems,  bilateral  agreement  with 
Mexico,  Aug.  61,  Nov.  57 

Impact  statements,   requirements,   and   in- 
terpretation  of  National   Environmental 
Policy  Act  (Benson),  Oct.  55-56 
Exemptions  (Carter),  Nov.  25 

Marine  environmental  protection 
(Richardson),  June  48 

Poplar  River  water  quality: 

Bilateral  meeting,  PR  280,  7/13 
IJC  correspondence  with  Canada  and  U.S., 
PR  88.  2/23 

Population  growth,  effect  on  environmental 
degradation:  Nov.  1,  3;  Green.  Feb.  45; 
Mink,  Feb.  42 

Tropical  deforestation  conference,  an- 
nouncement. PR  243.  6/9 

U.N.   Environmental   Program   (Maynes). 
Feb.  50 
U.S.   pledge  (Vance).   Apr.   28.   PR  89, 
2/24 

Ericson.  Richard  A.,  Jr.,  Sworn  in  as  Ambas- 
sador to  Iceland.  PR  41  1,  11/2 

Ethiopia: 

Cuban  and  Soviet  assistance  in  conflicts  with 
Somalia:   Blechman,   Mar.   52;  Carter, 
Feb.  21.  Apr.   20,  21.  July  21.  Aug.  6; 
Kissinger.   June   29   (quoted);   Shulman. 
Jan.   5,   Nov.   28,   30.   31;   Vance,   Mai 
14,  15.  June  25.  30.  July  30.  32.  Aug. 
I  1 
Eritrean   dispute   with   Somalia:    Aug.    40; 
Carter.  Feb.  21,  May  16.  July  16.  Aug. 
6;  Shulman,  Nov.  31;  Vance,  June  25. 
30.  July  30,  Aug.   11,12 
Ogaden   conflict    with    Somalia:    Apr.    46; 
Carter.   Apr.    20.   21.   May    14.   Aug.   7; 
Shulman,  Jan.  5;  Vance.  Mar.   16.  July 
32 
OAS  peace  role:  May  16;  Carter.  Apr.  21. 
May    15;   Shulman,    Nov.    31;    Vance. 
May  27,  June  25.  Aug.  12 
Somalian  withdrawal  (Vance).  June  25 
Strategic  importance  (Brzezinski).  July  28 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  59.  Dec   60 
U.S.    Ambassador   (Chapin).   July    31n 
Vance,  July  30 

Europe  (see  also  East-West  relations  and  names 
of  individual  countries): 
Central  (Bolen),  May  37 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Europe  (Cont'd) 

CSCE  Final  Act  of  Helsinki: 
Belgrade  review  conference:   June   37 
Carter,  Feb.  4,  5;  Christopher,   Mar. 
31;  Fascell,   May  39;  Goldbert.  Jan. 
37,  Apr.  40;  NATO.  Jan.  30,  July  8 
Nimetz.  Oct.  30;  Vance.  PR  9B.  1/7 
Vest,  Mar.  29;  White  House,  Apr.  41 
Concluding  document  (text),  Apr.  43 
Implementation:   Apr.   46,  47;  June   37: 
Bolen,  May  37;  Carter,  July  2;  Chris- 
topher, Mar.   32;  Derian,   Nov.   52; 
Luers.   Nov.   40.   41;   NATO,   July   8 
Nimetz,   Oct.   29;   Vance.   Mar.    19. 
July  5.  8;  Vest,  Oct.  34 
Soviet  violations.  See   Soviet  Union 
Human  rights 
Semiannual  report  (Department),  Apr.  42 
U.S.    implementation   (Nimetz),   Oct 
31-32 
Eastern: 

General  statistics  (table),  Nov.  35 

Overview  (Luers),  Nov.  33 

Soviet  buildup  of  military  forces.   See 

under  Soviet  Union 
U.S.   interests  and  relations:  Carter.  Jul) 
14,  Dec    14;  Luers,  Nov.  39 
Eurocommunism:    Department,    Feb.    32 

Vance,  PR  18A,  1/16;  Vest.  Mar.  27 
Monetary  system:  Cooper.  Nov.  20;  Vance 

Aug.  18,  Dec.  20 
Mutual  and  balanced  force  reductions:  Aug 
53;  Bolen,  May  37;  Carter,  Feb    3,  5 
17.  Apr.  18,  July  1,  4,  Aug,  8,  9.  Sept 
7;   Luers.   Nov.   41;   Mondale.   June   34 
NATO,  Jan.   31;  Shulman,  Jan.   4.  5 
Nov.  28;  Vance,  May  21,  June  26,  Jul; 
5,  Aug.  15;  Warnke.  Aug.  46 
Data-exchange   issue:   Carter.  July  22 
Aug.    9;   NATO.   July   9;   Shulman 
Nov.   30;   Vance,  Jan.   30.   Aug.   20 
Vest.  Mar.  28 
Relationship   to   SALT,   question   o' 
(Warnke),  Oct.  22 
Population  projections,  Oct.  46.  48 
U.S.   relations,   summary:  Jan.    16;   Vest 

Mar.  27 
Western: 

Defense   development,    production,    ant 

sales  (Christopher).  Dec.  36 
Democracy  (Carter),  Feb.  12 
U.S.   forces.  See  under  North   Atlantic 

Treaty  Organization 
U.S.  trade:  Hormats,  Dec.  35;  The  Trade 
Debate,  publication  8942,  p.  12 
European   Economic  Community:   Apr.   47: 
Bonn  Declaration,  Sept.  2.  4;  Carter.  Feb. 
14.  15;  Hormats,  Aug.  22.  Dec.  35;  Vest. 
Mar.  27.  28 
The  Trade  Debate,   U.S.   publication  8942, 

pp.  12.  18,  25 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Apr.  61,  July  60, 
Aug.  60 
European  Free  Trade  Association,  The  Trade 

Debate,  U.S.  publication  8942.  p.   13.  26 
European  Space  Agency,  cooperative  projects 

(Benton).  Jan.  57 
Export-Import   Bank:   ASEAN.   Sept.   25;   Hol- 
brooke. Apr.  34.  Aug.  5;  Hormats.  Mar. 
25,  Aug.  24;  Vance.  Sept.  20 


Index  1978 

Export-Import  Bonk  (Cont'd) 

Expansion   proposed:   Carter.  Jan.   28.   Nov. 

23;   Hormats.   July   38;   Vance.   Apr.   36 

Human  rights  considerations  for  loans  (Der- 

ian),  Nov.  52 
Moore   mission   to   ASEAN.    Australia   and 
New    Zealand:    ASEAN.    Sept.    25; 
Newsom,  Dec.  29;  Vance,  Sept.  20 
Exports  (see  also  Commodities): 

Agricultural,   market   fluctuations  (Chris- 
topher). Sept.  26 
Japan.  See  Japan:  Economic  policy 
Korea,    Republic   of,   export  of  non-rubber 
footwear,  agreement  with  U.S..  June  60 
Promotion  of,  by  countries  other  than  U.S. 

(Hormats).  Aug.  21 
U.S.: 

Agricultural   products:   Carter,   Jan.    28, 
Nov.  24.  Dec.   13;  Katz,  Mar.  4.  Nov. 
26 
Antitrust  laws  (Carter).  Nov.  24 
Overseas  posts,   promotion  by:  Carter 
(quoted).  July  37;  Hormats,  July   37; 
Katz,  Nov.  26 
U.S.   policy  and  development  programs: 
Barraclough,   July   40;    Blumenthal. 
Dec.   31;  Carter.  Nov.   23,   26.  Dec. 
13;  Holbrooke.  July  36.  Aug.  4;  Katz. 
Nov.  25 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942 
Extradition,    bilateral    agreements   with: 
Bahamas.  Oct.  61;  Germany.  Federal  Re- 
public of.   Aug.   60,  signature.  PR  258. 
6/20;  Japan,  May  59,  signature.  PR   102. 
3/3;  Mexico,  June  58,   July  61;   Vance. 
June  57;  Spain.  July  62,  Aug.  61 


Falco.  K.  Mathea.  June  42 
Fascell,  Dante  B.,  May  39 
Fearey,  Robert  A.,  Oct.  45,  Nov.  1 
Fiji: 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  59,  May  58, 

Aug.  59 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Condon);   Holbrooke. 
Oct.  44 
Sworn  in,  PR  11  1,  3/10 
Finland: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials,  Jan.  30 
Treaties,   agreements,   etc.,   Feb.   61,    Mar. 
59.  Apr.  60,  June  60.  July  59,  60.  Aug. 
59.  60,  Sept.  59,  60,  Oct.  61,  Nov.  56, 
Dec.  59 
U.S.  civil  aviation  negotiations,  joint  press 
statement,  PR  448,  12/11 
Fish,  H.  M.,  Mar.  48 
Fish  and  fisheries: 

Antarctic  seals,  convention  ( 1972):  Belgium, 
Soviet  Union.  Mar.  59;  U.S.,  Apr.  61 
Entry  into  force,  Mar.  59,  PR  125.  3/17 
Antarctica   marine   living   resources   (Mink), 

Apr.  51 
Atlantic   tunas,   conservation,    international 
convention  (1966),   adherence.   Benin, 
Apr.  60 
Fisheries  off  coasts  of  U.S.: 
Bilateral  agreements  with:  Mexico,  Feb. 
61;  Romania.  Mar.  61 


Fish  and  fisheries  (Cont'd) 

Fisheries  off  coasts  of  U.S.  (Cont'd) 

1978  allocations:   Feb.   44;   Department, 
Aug.  39 

1979  allocations:   PR  438.    11/30;  Depart- 
ment, Aug.  40 

Gulf  of  Maine,  expanded  Canadian  maritime 
boundary  claim  and  U.S.  rejection,  (De- 
partment). Dec.  43 
High  seas  fisheries  of  the  North   Pacific 
Ocean,  international  convention  (1952), 
U.S.    withdrawal   of  notice   of  termina- 
tion, Apr.  60 
Protocol  (1978):  Canada,  Japan,  June  59; 
U.S.,  June  59.  Nov.  56,  Dec.  58 
High  seas  salmon  fishery  of  the  North  Pacific 
Ocean  (1972),   protocol  (1978),  signa- 
ture by   U.S.,  Canada,  and  Japan.   PR 
209.  5/4 
Inter-American  Tropical  Tuna  Commission, 
convention  (1949).  denunciations:  Costa 
Rica,  June  59;  Mexico,  Dec.  58-59 
Law  of  the  sea.  draft  treaty,  U.S.  position  on 
conservation   and   utilization   issues 
(Richardson).  June  48 
North  Atlantic,  conduct  of  fishing  operation, 
convention  (1967),  accession,  German 
Democratic  Republic,  Nov.  56 
Overfishing  and  pollution.  Nov.  3 
Reciprocal  fisheries  agreements  with: 
Canada.  June  60 

Canadian   provisional   effect,   termina- 
tion, issues,  and  U.S.  reaction:  Cut- 
ler.   Aug.    38;   Department,    Aug. 
38.  Dec.  43 
U.K..  Aug.  61,  Sept.  61,  Dec.  61 
Shrimp,  bilateral  agreement  with  Cuba,  ter- 
mination, June  60 
South   Pacific   Regional    Fisheries   Agency, 
proposed:  ANZUS.  July  48;  Holbrooke, 
Oct.  44 
Whaling,    international    convention   (1946). 
with   schedule   of  whaling   regulations. 
May  58 
Whaling  operations  from  land  stations,  ob- 
server  scheme,    bilateral    agreements 
with:  Australia.  June  60;  Japan.  July  61 
Fisher,  Adrian  (Vance).  May  31 
Food  and  Agriculture  Organization:   Maynes, 
Feb.  51;  Young,  Jan.  35 
Constitution   (1945):   Angola.   Comoros. 
Djibouti,   Korea,   Democratic   Republic 
of.   Mozambique,   Namibia.   Sao  Tome 
and  Principle,  Seychelles.  Jan.  61 
Food  production  and  shortages  (see  also  Ag- 
riculture): Carter.   Dec.    12;   Vance.  Nov. 
45.  47;  Young.  Jan.  33 
Asia,  problems  of,  and  U.S.  and  other  aid: 

Sept.  47;  Holbrooke,  Aug.  5 
Food  (grain)  transfer,  bilateral  agreements 
with:  Bangladesh,  May  58;  Chad.  Aug. 
60;  Ethiopia,  Dec.  60;  Gambia.  May  59; 
Mauritania,  Niger,  July  61;  Senegal. 
May  59.  July  61 
Food-population  ratio,  Nov.   1;  Green,  Feb. 

45;  Young,  Oct.  58 
Food  processing  technology  transfers.  U.S. 
position  (Nye),   Mar.   40;  International 
grain  (food)  reserves,  proposed:  Jan.  37, 
Feb.  55;  Carter,  Feb.  8;  Katz.  Mar    4; 


15 


Food  production  and  shortages  (Cont'd) 

Lake,   Jan.    26;   Mondale,   July   24; 

Vance,  Nov.  47 
Ocean  resources  (Mink),  Feb.  43 
Perishable  foodstuffs,   international  carriage 

of.  and  special  equipment,  agreement  on 

(1970),   ratification,   Luxembourg,  July 

60 
Presidential  Commission  on  World  Hunger: 

Carter,   Dec.   39;  Young,  Oct.  58 
U.S.   food  aid:  Jan.   36;  Carter,   May   3; 

Newsom,  Dec.  53;  Vance,  Apr.  26,  27; 

Aug.  12 
Volunteer  Food  Corps,  proposed  (Young). 

Jan.  35 
World  Food  Program:   Jan.   36,   Feb.   55; 

Whalen,  Jan.  56;  Young,  Jan.  35 

Ford,  Gerald: 

Aircraft  sales  to  Israel,  Egypt,  and  Saudi 
Arabia,  support  for  (Department),  June 
39 

Panama  Canal  treaties,  support  (Carter),  Jan. 
1  1 ,  Apr.  59 

SALT,  suggestion  of  linkage  with  Soviet  ac- 
tions in  Africa  (Carter),  July  18,  19 
Foreign  aid,  U.S.:  Carter,  Dec.   13;  Lake,  Jan. 
25;  Vance,  June  14,  Nov.  47 

Appropriations  request  FY  1979;  Benson. 
Mar.  45;  Carter,  May  2;  Holbrooke, 
Apr.  34;  Vance,  Mar.  19,  Apr.  24.  May 
33,  June  18,  PR  83,  2/21,  PR  89,  2/24, 
PR  109,  3/9,  PR  265,  6/28 

ASEAN  countries  (Cooper),  Sept.  24 

Congressional  restraints  on  provision  of 
goods  and  services,  review:  Brzezinski, 
July  26,  27;  Carter.  July  18,  Aug.  9; 
Clifford,  July  41;  Derian.  Nov.  52; 
Maynes,  Sept.  49;  Vance.  June  18.  July 
31.  32 

Coordination  with  international  institutions, 
need  for:  Cooper,  Apr.  39,  40;  Maynes, 
Sept.  49-50;  Vance,  June  16 

Domestic  needs,  question  of  effect:  Carter. 
July  18;  Vance.  June  17 

Human  rights  considerations:  Jan.  15.  37, 
Sept.  19;  Carter,  Jan.  13;  Christopher, 
Mar.  31;  Derian,  Nov.  52;  Goldberg, 
Jan.  38;  Holbrooke,  Apr.  34;  Lake,  Jan. 
26;  Mezvinsky,  Sept.  52;  Schneider, 
Apr.  48;  Vance,  Jan.  19.  Mar.  19,  Apr. 
25,  June  16,  PR  83.  2/21.  PR  89.  2/24. 
PR  109.  3/9 
Foreign  policy.  U.S.:  Carter.  July  15;  Vance, 
Mar.  18,  June  19;  Warnke.  Apr.  8 

Congressional  documents  relating  to,  lists. 
Mar.  23,  May  62.  Sept.  28.  Dec.  31 

Credibility  of  spokesmen:  Carter,  July  20; 
Vance,  June  30 

Executive  role  (see  also  Congress,  U.S.: 
Executive-congressional  relations):  Car- 
ter, Aug.  9;  Maynes,  Sept.  51;  Vance, 
Sept.  16 

National  foreign  policy  conference  for  com- 
munity and  junior  college  chief  execu- 
tive offices,  PR  381,  10/3 

National  foreign  policy  conference  for 
educators,  notice  of  meeting.  PR  236, 
6/1 

National  Women's  Conference,  PR  571.  12/ 
15/77 


16 


Foreign  policy,  U.S.  (Cont'd) 

Presidential  advisers,  question  on  difference 
of  views  (Vance),  Sept.  14,  16 

Principles,  objectives,  and  purpose 
Brzezinski,  June  1;  Carter,  Feb.  20 
Christopher,  Oct.  15;  Maynes,  Sept.  48 
Vance,  Feb.  26 

Priorities:  Jan.  15;  Carter,  Jan.  11,  Feb.  20; 
Maynes,  Jan.  51;  Vance,  Feb.  23; 
Warnke,  Jan.  20 

San  Francisco  conference  on  U.S.  policy  in 
Africa,  PR  391,  10/17 

Special  foreign  policy  briefing  for  labor 
editors  and  press,  notice  of,  PR  201,  5/3 

SUNY,  State  Department  community  meet- 
ings on  foreign  policy,  PR  390,    10/17 

Town  meeting,  Norfolk,  Va.,  PR  380,  10/3 

U.S.   national  interests  in  the  Middle  East, 
announcements  and  agendas: 
Atlanta  conference,  PR  133,  3/28 
Boston  conference,  PR  453,  12/13 

U.S.  security  and  the  Soviet  challenge,  con- 
ferences, announcements.  See  under 
Soviet  Union 

Young  political  leaders,  conference,  PR  219. 
5/12 
Foreign  Service  (Vance),  Mar.  19 

American  Association  of  Foreign  Service 
Women  (Barnes,  Read),  PR  103,  3/2 

Commercial  and  economic  affairs;  conduct: 
Carter  (quoted),  July  37;  Hormats,  July 
37;  Katz,  Nov.  26 

Family   Liaison  Office,   Inauguration,   PR 
103,  3/2 
France: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials,  Jan.  30 

Arbitration  of  Pan  American  operations  dis- 
pute, agreement  with  U.S.,  PR  277, 
7/11 

Economic  plans:  Sept.  2;  Hormats,  Dec.  33 

Indochinese  refugees  program  (Derian), 
Mar.  33 

Military  assistance  to  Chad  (Vance),  July  29 

President  Giscard,  talks  with  President  Car- 
ter in  Saudi  Arabia  (Carter),  Jan.  9,  15 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61 .  Mar.  58, 
June  59,  60,  July  59.  60.  Aug.  59,  60. 
Sept.  59,  60,  Oct.  61,  Dec.  59 

Visit  of  President  Carter:  Jan.    16,  Feb.    1, 
12.   16,   18;  Vance,  PR  9A.   1/19;   Vest, 
Mar.  27 
Freedom  of  the  press,  Aug    18 
French,  William,  participation  in  Los  Angeles 
conference  on   U.S.   Middle   East   policy, 
PR  245,  6/9 
Fukuda,  Takeo,  visit  to  U.S.:  June  2;  program, 
PR  194.  4/28 


Gabon: 

Ambassador  to  U.S..  credentials,  July  34 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc. ,  Jan.  61 ,  Aug.  58, 

Dec.  59 
U.S.    Ambassador  (Tienken),   sworn  in,   PR 
91,  2/24 
Gambia,  The,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan. 
61.  May  59.  July  58,  Nov.  56 


Gandhi,   Mahatma:   Feb.   7   (quoted);  Carter, 

Feb.  10 
Gardner,  Richard  N.,  July  42 
Garment.  Leonard  (quoted),  May  40 
Garvin,  Clifton  C,  Jr.  (Carter).  Nov    51 
Gas.   asphyxiating,   poisonous,   and   bac- 
teriological  warfare.  Geneva  convention 
(1925),   adherence  urged:   Aug.   53;  Mez- 
vinsky.  Sept.  53 
Gaylani,  Abdul  Qadir  (Newsom),  Dec.  52 
Gelb,  Leslie  H.:  Mar.  46,  July  36,  Nov.    17, 
Dec.  54 
Speaker  at  conference  on  U.S.  security  and 
the  Soviet  challenge,  PR  345,  9/8,  PR  346, 
9/8 
General  Assembly,  U.N.  (See  also  United  Na- 
tions Special   Session  on   Disarmament 
under   Arms  control   and  disarmament): 
Maynes,  Feb.  49 
Committee  on  Disarmament,  Aug.  55,  56 
Director  General  for  Development  and  Inter- 
national  Economic  Cooperation,   estab- 
lishment of  position  (Vance),  Apr.  28 
Resolution,  text,  safety  of  international  civil 

aviation,  Jan.  55 
32d  session,  assessment:  Feb.   55;  Young. 

Feb.  52.  Dec.  49  (quoted) 
33d  session  (Vance),  Nov.  45 
U.S.  delegation,  Nov.  46 
Geneva  conventions  (1949)  on  treatment  of 
armed  forces,  civilian  persons,  and  prison- 
ers of  war:   Djibouti,   Apr.   60,   Dec.   59; 
Tonga,  Aug.  59 
Protocol  I  re  protection  of  victims  of  inter- 
national armed  conflicts:  Jan.  61;  Ger- 
many, Federal   Republic  of.   Mar.   59; 
Greece,  Laos,  Libya,  Romania,  Aug.  59; 
Yemen  (Aden),  Oct.  61 
Protocol   II   re   protection  of  victims   of 
noninternational  armed  conflict:  Austria 
Belgium,   Byelorussian   S.S.R.,  Canada 
Chile,  Denmark,  Ecuador,  Egypt,  El  Sal 
vador,  Finland.  German  Democratic  Re 
public,  Jan.   61;  Germany,   Federal  Re 
public  of.   Mar.   59;  Ghana,   Guatemala 
Honduras,  Hungary,   Iceland,   Iran,   Ire 
land,  Italy,  Ivory  Coast,  Jordan,  Jan.  61 
Laos;  Libya,   Aug.   59;  Liechtenstein 
Luxembourg,   Mongolia,   Morocco 
Netherlands,   Nicaragua,   Norway,   Paki 
stan,  Panama.  Peru.  Philippines,  Poland 
Portugal,  Jan.   61:  Romania,   Aug.   59 
Senegal,   Soviet  Union,   Sweden,   Swit 
zerland.  Trinidad  and  Tobago,  Tunisia 
Ukrainian  S.S.R.,  U.K.,  U.S..  Jan    61 
Upper   Volta,   Mar.   59;   Vatican  City 
State,  Vietnam,  Jan.  61;  Yemen  (Sana) 
Oct.  61;  Yugoslavia,  Jan.  61 
Genocide:  Mezvinsky,  Sept.  53;  Vance.  Nov 

4X 
Genscher,  Hans  Dietrich,  Mar.  21,  22 
German  Democratic  Republic: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:  Nov.  29; 
remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials 
and  reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  10/2 
Hubner  and  Bahro  trials  (Carter),  Sept.  11 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61 ,  Mar.  59, 
May  58,  July  59,  Sept.  59,  Oct.  61,  Nov. 
56 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

German  Democratic  Republic  (Cont'd) 

U.S.  relations:  Bolen,  May  36;  Luers.  Nov 

34.  36 
Germany.  Federal  Republic  of: 

Air   service   agreement   with   U.S..  join 

statement.  PR  410.  11/1 
Air  transport  consultations  with  U.S.,  join 

statement.  PR  244.  6/9 
Economy  and  economic  relations:  Sept.  2 

Carter,  Sept.   1,  Nov.   12;  Cooper,  Nov 
19;  Hormats,  July  36,  Aug.  21,  Dec.  33 

35;  White  House,  Sept.  4 
Extradition  treaty  with  U.S.,  signature,  PP 

258.  6/20 
Health  compensation  benefits  to  former  in 

mates  of  Nazi  concentration  camps, 

changes  in,  PR  90,  2/24 
Nuclear  sales  to  Brazil,  proposed  (Carter), 

May  8 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61,  Mar.  58 

59,  July  59,  60,  61,  Aug.  60,  Sept.  59 

60,  Oct.  61,  Nov.  56,  57,  Dec.  60 
U.S.  relations  (Vest),  Mar.  27 

Visit  of  President  Carter:  Carter,  Jan     15 
Sept.  1,  6,  8,  9;  Schmidt.  Sept.  8 
Declaration,  text.  Sept.  2 
Ghana: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.:  Sept.    18;  remarks  on 

presentation  of  credentials  and  reply  by 

President  Carter,  UNN,  4/6 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61.  May  57 

July  59,  61.  Aug.  58,  59,  Oct.  61 

Gierek,  Edward:  Feb.    1,    17  (quoted);  Carter 

Feb.  17 
Giffler,  Lydia  K.,  Oct.  45,  Nov.  1 
Gilinsky,  Victor  (Nye),  July  47 
Ginzburg,  Aleksandr:  Carter,  Aug.  7,  28,  Sept 
12;  Department,  Aug.  28;  Goldberg.  Aug 
28;  Vance,  Aug.  18,  28 
Giscard  d'Estaing,   Valery  (quoted).  Feb     13. 

14 
Gleysteen,  William  H..  Jr..  sworn  in  as  Am- 
bassador to  Korea.  PR  275.  7/1  I 
Goldberg,  Arthur  J.,  Jan.  37,  Apr.  40,  Aug.  28 
Criticism  by  President  Sadat,  question  of 
(Vance),  Sept    1 3 
Gonzalez,  Raymond  E.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador 

to  Ecuador.  PR  297,  7/24 
Greece: 

Democratic  progress:  Carter,  Feb     13;  Mez- 
vinsky, Sept.  53;  Vance,  May  33;  Vest, 
Mar.  27 
Greek-Turkish   problems   (see  also  Cyprus): 
Caramanlis,  Feb.  31;  Carter,  Aug.  6.  7, 
Sept.   11,  34;  Clifford,  July  42;  NATO, 
July  9;  Vance,  Jan.  29,  July  7,  Sept.  15; 
Vest,  Mar.  27;  White  House,  Sept.  34 
NATO,  importance  to.  See  under  North  At- 
lantic Treaty  Organization 
Profile,  July  42 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Feb.  60,  July  59, 

60,  Aug.  59.  Sept.  60.  Dec.  60 
U.S.  Ambassador  (McCloskey):  Vance,  Feb. 
3.1 
Sworn  in  as,  PR  131.  3/21 
U.S.  security  assistance,  FY  1979,  proposed: 
Carter,  July  4,  Aug.  6;  Clifford.  July  41, 
42;  Department,  May  34;  Vance,  Apr. 
29,  May  33,  34;  PR  265,  6/28 


Gni 


.Index  1978 

Greece  (Cont'd) 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance  (Vance),  Feb.  31, 
34;  PR  44,  1/23;  PR  46.  1/25 
Discussion  topics  (Caramanlis),  Feb.  31 
Green,  Marshall,  Feb.  45,  Oct.  45,  Nov.  I 
Grenada: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.   (Dolland).  credentials, 

Feb.  59 
Ambassador  to  U.S.   (Griffith),  credentials: 
Nov.  53;  remarks  on  presentation  of  cre- 
dentials and  reply  by  President  Carter, 
UNN,  10/2 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Apr.  60,  Sept.  59 
Griffith,  George  Ashley:  Nov.  53;  remarks  on 
presentation  of  credentials,   and  reply   by 
President  Carter,  UNN,  10/2 
Grigorov,  Konstantin  Nicolov,  Apr.  43 
Gromyko,  Andrei:  Sept.  31;  Vance,  June  26 
Exchange  of  toasts  with  Secretary  Vance,  PR 

398,  10/23 
SALT  prospects.  PR  467.  12/23 
Grunert.  Horst:  Nov.  29;  remarks  on  presenta- 
tion of  credentials  and  reply  by  President 
Carter.  UNN.  10/2 
Guatemala: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.  (Lamport  Rodill:  Feb. 

59;  remarks  on  presentation  of  letter  of 

credence,  and  reply  by  President  Carter, 

UNN,  1/18 

Drug  control  program  (Linneman),  Oct.  38 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  61, 

Apr.  61,  July  60,  61.  Aug.  58,  Dec.  58 
U.S.   education  and  small   farmer  research 
projects  (Vance),  Apr.  26,  June  15;  PR 
89,  2/24 
Guinea,   treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.   61, 

Mar.  58,  59,  60,  June  60 
Guinea-Bissau,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan. 

60,  61,  Apr.  60.  Aug.  59 
Guiringaud.  Louis  de.  Mar.  21 
Guyana,   treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.   61. 
Mar.  59,  60,  Aug.  60 

H 

Habib,  Philip  C:  Jan.  20/1,  49;  Atherton,  Jan. 
47;  Vance.  Jan.   17 
Participation  in  Los  Angeles  conference  on 

U.S.  Middle  East  policy.  PR  245,  6/9 
Speaker,   San   Francisco  conference   on 
foreign  policy  in  Africa.  PR  391.  10/17 
Haiti: 

Human  rights  (Derian),  Nov.  53 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ments, Jan.  62,  PR  403,  10/26,  PR  562, 
12/12/77 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  62,  Feb.  60, 
61,  Mar.  58,  July  61,  Aug.  59,  Aug.  60, 
Dec.  60 
Hamilton,  Lee  H.,  remarks  on  return  of  crown 

of  St.  Stephen,  PR  9B,  1/7 
Hammarskjold.  Dag  (quoted),  Nov.  48 
Hansell,   Herbert  J.,   appointment   as   U.S. 
member  of  Permanent  Court  of  Arbitra- 
tion, PR  279,  7/12 
Harriman,  W.  Averell,  Aug.  44,  47 
Harrop,  William  C,  Sept.  19n 
Hartling,  Paol  (Derian),  Mar.  34 
Visit  to  U.S.,  PR  92,  2/27 


Hartman.  David.  July  32 
Hassan  Ali,  Kamal,  Dec.  41 
Hawley,  Janet,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation (Read),  PR  103,  3/2 
Hay,  John  (quoted!.  Mar.  55 
Hayes,  Miller  (Carter),  Sept.  9 
Health  and  medical  research: 
Cholera  Research   Laboratory,   project  grant 

agreement  with  Bangladesh,  June  60 
Health   sector  rehabilitation   project,   grant 

agreement  with  Lebanon.  Sept.  61 
Korean  veterans  in  U.S.  veterans  hospitals, 
treatment,  agreement  with  Korea,   Apr. 
62 
Malaria  control  loan  agreements  with:  Paki- 
stan, July  61;  Sri  Lanka,  May  59 
Maternal  and  child  health  aides,  manpower 
training  program  agreement  with  Tan- 
zania. Sept.  61 
Nutrition  improvement,  project  loan  agree- 
ment with  Nicaragua,  Dec.  60 
Panay   Unified  Services  for  health  project, 
loan  and  grant  agreement  with  Philip- 
pines, Aug.  61 
Population  growth,  effect  on   health  care 

services,  Nov.  1 ,  3 
Primary  health  care  (Califano),  Sept.  37 
Project  grant  agreement  with  Sudan,  Nov. 
57 
Rural  health  care  projects,  bilateral  agree- 
ments with:  Niger,  Sept.  61,  Thailand, 
Aug.  61 
Tropical  disease  research  (Califano),  Sept. 

34 
U.S.   health  assistance  projects:  Califano, 
Sept.  35;  Vance,  Apr.  26,  June  15,  PR 
89,  2/24 
Bilateral   agreements   with:    Afghanistan, 
July   60;  Caribbean  Community   Se- 
cretariat, Dec.  60;  Egypt,  July  61 
U.S.   national   health  program,   proposed 

(Carter),  Jan.   1  1 
U.S.  Navy  medical  research  unit  in  Taipei, 
bilateral  agreement  with  Taiwan,  Dec.  60 
World  Health  Organization:  Carter,  Nov.  51; 
Maynes,  Feb.  50 
Constitution  (1946),  acceptance,  Djibouti, 
May  58 
Amendments  to  articles  24   and  25: 
Cape  Verde,  India,  Mar.  58;  Ivory 
Coast,  Feb.  60;  Laos,  Uganda,  Mar. 
58 
Amendments  to  articles  34  and  55  ( 1973), 

acceptance,  Uruguay,  Aug.  60 
31st  assembly  (Califano),  Sept.  35 
Hechinger,  John  W.,  Dec.  57 
Hendrie,  Joseph  M.  (Nye),  July  46 
Hepburn,  Keith  (Carter),  Sept.  9 
Herman.  George,  June  27 
Herzl,  Theodore:  Aug.  37  (quoted);  Begin.  PR 

558,  12/12/77 
Higgins.  Msgr.,  remarks  on  return  of  crown  of 

St.  Stephen,  PR  9B,  1/7 
Hill,  Jesse,  Jr.,  speaker,  Atlanta  conference  on 
U.S.  interests  in  the  Middle  East,  PR  138, 
3/28 
Hla  Shwe,  U:  Sept.  21 ;  remarks  on  presentation 
of  credentials  and  reply  by  President  Car- 
ter, UNN,  8/2 


17 


Hoffmann.  Stanley  (quoted),  Oct.  15 
Holbrooke,  Richard  C,  Apr.  31,  Aug.   1,  Oct. 
43 
Profile,  Aug.   1 
Holmes,  Justice  (quoted).  Mar.  32 
Holmes.  Mary,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation (Read),  PR  103,  3/2 
Honduras: 

Border  dispute   with   EI   Salvador:   Carter. 

Sept.  54;  Todman.  May  55 
Illicit  drug  traffic  problem  (Linneman),  Oct. 

37 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  61, 

Mar.  59 
U.S.  bilateral  aid  projects  (Vance),  Apr.  27; 
PR  89.  2/24 
Hong  Kong: 

General  statistics,  Aug.  3 

Textile  agreement  with  U.S..  amendments, 

PR  374,  9/27,  PR  454,  12/14 
Treaties,   agreements,   etc..   Sept.   59,  Nov. 
57 
Hoover,  Herbert:  Feb.  1  (quoted);  Carter,  Feb. 
2 

Horan,  Harold  E.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Malawi,  PR  382,  10/6 
Hormats,  Robert  D..  Mar.  25,  June  5,  July  36, 
Aug.  21,  Dec.  32 
Speaker,  San  Francisco  conference  on  U.S. 
foreign  policy  in  Africa,  PR  391,  10/17 
Hoveyda.  Amir  Abbas,  Feb.  38c 
Hua  Kuo-feng:   Brzezinski,  July  28;  Carter, 

Oct.  14 
Human  rights  {see  also  Refugees):  Feb.  9,  Apr. 
46,  May  10,  June  58;  Brzezinski,  June  1; 
Carter,  Jan.  12,  14,  Feb.  10.  20,  21,  May 
7,  19,  July  2,  15.  21,  Dec.  13;  Goldberg. 
Apr.  43;  Kaunda.  July  34;  Lake,  Jan.  24, 
25;  Mondale,  Mar.  11.  13;  July  22;  Tol- 
bert,  May  17;  Vance,  Mar.  18,  Sept.  14; 
Vest.  Mar.  27,  Oct.  35 
Africa:   Carter,   May    12,    13;  Christopher, 

Mar.  32;  Vance,  July  29,  Aug.  11,  12 
African  human  rights  commission,  proposed: 
Christopher,  Mar.  32;  Mezvinsky,  Sept. 
53 
American:  Christopher,  Mar.  32;  Mezvinsky, 

Sept.  53 
American  Convention  on   Human   Rights 
(1969):  May  4,  Apr.  48,  July  51;  Carter, 
Sept.  56;  Derian,  Nov.  52;  OAS,  Sept. 
58 
Current  actions:   Barbados,   Sept.   59 
Dominican    Republic,    June    59 
Ecuador,  Feb.  60;  El  Salvador,  Gre 
nada.  Sept.  59;  Guatemala,  Aug.  58 
Jamaica,  Oct.  60;  Panama,  Sept.  59 
Peru,  Oct.  60 
Entry  into  force.  Sept.  59 
Asia:  Newsom.  Dec.  54;  Vance.  Sept.  23 
Basic   human   needs:   Sept.   47;  ASEAN, 
Sept.  25;  Califano,  Sept.  35;  Carter,  May 
2,  6,   16;  Christopher,  Mar.  30;  Green, 
Feb.  47;  Lake,  Jan.  26;  Maynes,  Dec.  51; 
Todman,  May  56;  Vance,  Feb.  23,  Apr. 
26,  June  15,  Aug.  14,  Nov.  48,  PR  89, 
2/24,  PR  109,  3/9 


Department  of  State  Bulletin    ^' 


Human  rights  (Cont'd) 

Berlin  airlift,  1949  (Carter),  Sept    10 

Brazil  (Carter),  May  9 

Bureau  of  Human  Rights  and   Humanitarian 

Affairs:  Feb.  32;  Benson,  Mar.  44 
Cambodia:  ANZUS,  July  48;  Carter,  June 
38;  Christopher,   Feb.   32;  Holbrooke, 
Aug.  5;  Mezvinsky,  Sept.  52,  53;  Mon- 
dale,  July  25 
Central  America  (Todman),  May  55 
Chile:  Feb.  55;  Mezvinsky,  Sept.  53;  OAS, 

Sept.  58 
China  (Vance),  Jan.  20 
Czechoslovakia  (Luers),  Nov.  35 
Eastern  Europe.  See  Europe:  CSCE  Final  Act 

of  Helsinki 
Economic  and  political  justice  (Vance),  June 

25,  Nov.  48 
Foreign  aid,  relationship.  See  under  Foreign 

aid 
Fundamental  to  U.S.  foreign  policy:  Jan.  15 
Carter,  Feb.  20;  Christopher,  Mar.  30 
Derian,  Nov.  51;  Maynes,  Sept.  50 
Mezvinsky,  Sept.  52;  Mondale.  July  25 
Schneider,  Apr.  47;  Shulman,  Jan.  7 
German  Democratic  Republic:   Bolen.   May 

38;  Carter,  Sept    II 
Ghana.  Quaison-Sackey,  UNN,  4/6 
Human  Rights  Day  and  Week:  Carter,  Jan. 

12,  38;  Goldberg,  Jan.  37 
International  Covenant  on  Civil  and  Political 
Rights,   optional   protocol   (1966): 
Dominican  Republic,   May  58;  Senegal, 
Apr.  60 
International  Covenants  of  Civil  and  Political 
Rights  and  on  Economic,  Social,  and 
Cultural   Rights:   Austria,   Nov.   56; 
Dominican  Republic,  May  58;  Guinea, 
Mar.  58;  Italy,  Nov.  56;  Japan,  July  59; 
Peru,   June   59;   Portugal,   Aug.   58; 
Senegal,  Apr.  60;  Venezuela,  July  59 
U.S.    ratification    urged:    Apr.    48; 
Goldberg,  Jan.  38 
Iran:  Carter,   Feb.   7,    19;  Christopher,   Mar. 

32 
Korea,   Republic  of:  Jan.   39;  Christopher, 

Mar.  32;  Vance,  Jan.  19 
Latin  America:  July  51;  Carter,  July  49, 
Sept.  55;  Christopher,  Mar.  32;  Derian, 
Nov.  53;  Mezvinsky,  Sept.  53 
Inter-American  Court  on  Human  Rights, 
proposed,  July  51 
Liberia  (Vance),  May  28 
Middle  East:   Atherton,   May  42;  Mondale, 

Aug.  35;  Saunders,  Aug.  31 
National   Foreign   Policy  Conference   on 

Human  Rights,  PR  97.  2/28 
Nepal:  Christopher,  Mar.  32;  Dubs,  May  50 
1977,  evaluation  (Christopher).  Mar.  30 
Office  of  High  Commissioner  on  Human 

Rights,  proposed  (Carter).  Jan.  13 
Paraguay  and  Uruguay  (OAS),  Sept.  58 
Social  justice  (Carter),  Dec.  12 
Soviet  Union.  See  under  Soviet  Union 
Uganda;  Sept.    18;  Katz,  Mar.  22;  Vance, 

July  29,  Aug.  14 
U.N.  role:  May  17;  Carter,  Nov.  50;  Derian, 
Nov.  52;  Maynes,  Sept.  50;  Vance,  Nov. 
48;  Young,  Feb.  53,  54 


Human  rights  (Cont'd) 

Universal  Declaration  of  Human  Rights: 
29th   anniversary   (Goldberg),   Jan.    37 
30th    anniversary:    Carter,    Nov.    51; 
Vance,  Nov.  48;  Young,  Feb.  54 
Humphrey,  Hubert  (quoted),  June  16.  17.  31 

Foreign  Assistance  Act  (Vance),  PR  83,  2/21 
Hungary: 

Crown  of  St.  Stephen,  return:  Carter,  Feb. 
18,  30  (quoted);  Nimetz,  Jan.  31,  Aug. 
26,  Oct.  33;  Vance,  Jan.  19,  Feb.  29,  PR 
9,  1/7;  Vest,  Mar.  29 
Joint  communique  and  exchange  of  letters, 
texts,  Jan.  32 
Emigration  and  family  reunification:  Nimetz, 
Aug.  26;  Vance,  PR  9B,  1/7;  Vest,  Oct. 
34 
Profile,  Aug.  27 

Soviet  relations  (Luers),  Nov.  34 
Trade  agreement  with  U.S.:  Luers,  Nov.  41; 
Nimetz,  Aug.  26;  Vance,  PR  9B,   1/7; 
Vest,  Oct.  34 
Negotiations  concluded,  PR  107,  3/7 
Signature,  PR  271.  7/6 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61.  Feb.  60, 
61,  May  59,  June  59,  60,  July  58.  59, 
Aug.  60,  Sept.  59,  Oct.  61 
U.S.  relations:  Luers,  Nov.  35,  36;  Nimetz, 

Jan.  31;  Vance.  PR  9B.  1/7 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance  (Vance).  PR  9,  1/7; 
PR  9B,  1/7 
Husain,  Tabarak:  Dec.  55;  remarks  on  presen- 
tation of  credentials,  UNN,  10/2 
Hydle,  Lars,  remarks.  Association  of  Ameri- 
can Foreign  Service  Women,  PR  103.  3/2 
Hydrographic  survey  operations  in  environs  of 
Port  Said  and  Gulf  of  Suez,  bilateral  ar- 
rangement with  Egypt,  Feb.  61 

I 

Ibrahim,  Hasan,  remarks  on  departure  of  Sec- 
retary  Vance  from  Egypt,   PR  565.    12/ 
I  3/77 
Iceland: 

Air  transport  agreement  with  U.S.,  amend- 
ment, PR  339,  8/28 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  July  59. 

61.  Oct.  61 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Ericson),   sworn  in,   PR 
411.  11/2 
lloniemi.  Jaakko  Olavi,  Jan.  30 
Immigration  of  undocumented  aliens  (see  also 
Labor  and  Mexico):  Christopher,  Sept.  26 
Foreign  relations  outline,  Sept.  38 
Imports.  U.S.  (see  also  Exports  and  Trade): 
Adjustment   assistance:    Hormats,    Dec.    34; 
Nye,  Mar.  39;  Vance,  Feb.  24,  Apr.  36, 
Aug.  25,  Nov.  45 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942,  p.  18 
Beef  and  veal,   trade   in,   bilateral   under- 
standing with  Canada,  Mar.  60 
Commodity  import  program,  bilateral  agree- 
ment with  Egypt,  Apr.  61 
Meat  imports,  limitation  of;  bilateral  agree- 
ments with:   Australia,  July  60;  Costa 
Rica,  Apr.  61;  Dominican  Republic,  Feb. 
61;  El  Salvador,  Apr.  62;  Guatemala, 
Haiti,  Feb.  61;  Mexico,  May  59;  New 
Zealand,   Mar.   60;  Nicaragua,  Feb.  61; 


Imports,  U.S.  (Cont'd) 
Meat  Imports  (Cont'd) 

Panama,   Mar.   60;  U.K.   (for  Belize), 
Mar.  61 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942 
India: 

British   administration,   historic  (Carter), 

Feb.  19 
Democratic   progress:   Carter,    Feb      13; 
Christopher,   Mar.   32;  Dubs,  May  49; 
Newsom,  Dec.  52,  54;  Mezvinsky,  Sept. 
53;  Vance,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Economic  progress:  Carter,  Feb.  7;  Cooper, 
Apr.  39;  Dubs,  May  49;  Newsom,  Dec. 
53 
Population  projections.  Oct.  46,  48 
Profile.  Aug.  41 

Regional  relations  (Newsom).  Dec.  53 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ments, PR  8,  1/7;  PR  178,  4/20;  PR  305, 
7/31;  PR  417,  11/7;  PR  429,  11/16 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60.  61,  Mar. 
58,  59,  60,  Apr.  61.  May  57,  June  60, 
July  60,  61,  Aug.  60,  Sept.  59,  60,  Oct. 
61.  Dec.  60 
U.S.  nuclear  exports  to  Tarapur  reactor:  Aug. 
40;  Carter,  Feb.  9,  17,  July  47;  Newsom, 
Dec.  54;  Nye.  July  45 
U.S.  relations  (Carter),  Jan.  15,  Feb.  18 
U.S.   trade.  The  Trade  Debate,   publication 

8942,  p.  13 
Visit  of  President  Carter:  Jan.   16,  Sept.  47; 
Carter,  Jan.  9,    14,  Feb.    1,  7.   12.  21; 
Dubs,  May  49;  Vance,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Delhi  Declaration,  Feb.  9 
"Open  mike"  incident  (Carter),  Feb.  17 
Indian  Ocean  (Brzezinski),  July  27 

Demilitarization,   proposed:   Aug.  40,   53; 
ANZUS,  July  48;  Carter  Jan.  11,  Feb.  3. 
10,  July   14;  Gelb,   Dec.   54;  Mondale. 
June  34,  July  23;  Shulman,  Jan.  23,  Nov. 
28,  30;  Vance,  Feb.   23.  Mar     15,   18. 
May   22.   Aug.    15;   Vest,   Mar.    29; 
Warnke,  Jan.  20.  Aug.  46,  Dec.  1 1 
Soviet  political  influence  and  military  pres- 
ence: Gelb,  Dec.  54;  Newsom,  Dec.  53 
U.S.  Diego  Garcia  base  (Gelb),  Dec.  55 
Indochina,  zone  of  peace,  freedom,  and  neu- 
trality, proposed  (Rithauddeen),  Sept.  24 
Indonesia: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials,  Apr.  33 
Economic    and   political   development 

(Newsom),  Dec.  28,  29,  30 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
OPEC  exclusion  for  U.S.  generalized  system 

of  preferences  (Cooper),  Sept.  21 
Political   prisoners,   release  of:   Jan.   39; 
Christopher.  Mar.  32;  Holbrooke,  Apr. 
34;  Mondale,  July  25 
Population   program:   Nov.   7,   Dec.   46; 

Newsom,  Dec.  29 
Science  and  technology  research  cooperation 
agreement  with   U.S.,   signature.   PR 
449,  12/11 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  60,  Feb.  60, 
Mar.  59,  60.  Apr.  62,  July  61,  Aug.  59, 
Sept.  60,  Nov.  56,  Dec.  60 
U.S.  military  and  other  aid:  Holbrooke,  Apr. 
34;  Mondale,  July  23,  24;  Vance,  Apr. 
29 


[idus 


Index  1978 


19 


U.S.   visit  of  Minister  Habibie,   PR  449. 

12/11 
Visit  of  Vice  President  Mondale:  Brzezinski, 
June  4;  Holbrooke,  Aug.  2;  Mondale, 
July  22 
ndustrial  production,  bilateral  agreement  with 

Egypt,  Dec.  60 
ndustrial  property: 
Nice  agreement  (1957)  as  revised:  Australia, 
Austria.  Belgium,  Mar.  59;  Benin,  July 
59;  Finland,   Sept.   59;  German  Demo- 
cratic  Republic,   Iceland,   Luxembourg, 
Morocco,  Norway,  Sweden,  Mar.  59 
Protection  of  (convention  of  Paris,  1883,  as 
revised),  ratification,  Central  African 
Empire,  Aug.  59 
information: 
International   Communication  Agency,   or- 
ganization and  purposes,  May  32 
Overseas  posts'  commercial   libraries  and 
newsletters,  (Katz),  Nov.  27 
ntelligence  agencies,  Jan.  16 

Foreign  intelligence  activities,  Mar.  8 
Inter-American  Development  Bank:  May   11, 
July  51;  Cooper,  Apr.  38;  Mondale,  Mar. 
12 
Agreement  establishing  (1959),  signature  and 

acceptance.  Bahamas,  Mar.  60 
Mexico,  rural  development  and  employment 

loan,  Sept.  38 
Potable  water  project  loans  with:  Colombia, 
(Vance),  June   15;  El  Salvador  (Vance), 
Apr.  27 
Interdependence  of  modern  world:  Feb.  9;  Ben- 
son,    Oct.   56;  Bolen,   May   36,   39 
Maynes,  Jan.  52,  Sept.  48;  Mink,  Feb.  42 
Shulman,  Jan.  6;  Vance,  Mar.  18,  June  25 
Young,  Jan.  34 
Economic.  See  Economy,  world 
Pacific  nations  (Hormats),  June  12 
Soviet  interdependence  (Vest),  Mar.  29 
Inter-Governmental  Committee  for  European 
Migration,  assistance  to  Indochinese  refu- 
gees (Derian),  Mar.  33 
International  Atomic  Energy  Agency: 

Program  expansion  for  research  reactors, 
proposed:  Nye,  Oct.  42;  Young,  Aug. 
42 
Safeguards:  Aug.  52,  53;  Carter,  Apr.  50; 
Gardner,  July  44;  Nye,  July  46;  Shul- 
man, Jan.  4 
U.S.   appropriations  request  (Vance),   Apr. 

28,  PR  89,  2/24 
U.S.  nuclear  facilities,  applicability  of  IAEA 
safeguards,   proposed  treaty   (White 
House  statement),  Apr.  50 
International  Bank  for  Reconstruction  and  De- 
velopment (World  Bank):  May  11,  July  51, 
Sept.  4;  Cooper,  Apr.  37;  Lake,  Jan.  26; 
Maynes,  Feb.  49,  Sept.  49;  Mondale,  Mar. 
12;  Vance,  Apr.  28;  Young,  Jan.  35 
Articles  of  agreement  (1945):   Maldives, 
Mar.   58;  Solomon  Islands,  Nov.   56; 
Surinam,  Oct.  60 
Compensation  systems,  memorandum  of  un- 
derstanding re  study  of  (1977):  France, 
Germany,  Federal  Republic  of,  Japan, 
U.K.,  U.S.,  Mar.  58 
Energy  development  lending:  Sept.  3;  Chris- 
topher, Sept.  26;  Cooper,  Feb.  28 


International  Bank  (Cont'd) 
Mexican  proposal  for  long-term  loan  to  de- 
veloping countries  for  imports  of  capital 
goods  (Cooper),  Nov.  22 
Mexico,   aid  for  rural  development  and 

employment,  Sept.  38 
Population  program  assistance,  Nov.  8 
International  Center,  Washington,  DC,  back- 
ground, PR  155,  4/10 
International   Committee  of  the  Red  Cross 
(White  House  statement),  Jan.  15 
Protocol  I  (1977),  additional  to  the  Geneva 
Conventions  of  1949,  re  protection  of 
victims  of  international  armed  conflicts: 
Jan.  61;  Germany,  Federal  Republic  of, 
Upper  Volta,  Mar.  59 
Protocol  II  (1977).  additional  to  the  Geneva 
Conventions  of  1949  re  protection  of 
victims  of  noninternational  conflicts: 
Austria,  Belgium,  Byelorussian  S.S.R., 
Canada,   Chile,   Denmark,   Ecuador, 
Egypt,  El  Salvador,  Finland,  German 
Democratic  Republic,  Jan.   61;  Ger- 
many,  Federal  Republic  of,   Mar.   59; 
Ghana,  Guatemala,  Holy  See,  Honduras, 
Hungary,   Iceland,   Iran,   Ireland,   Italy, 
Ivory  Coast,  Jordan,  Liechtenstein, 
Luxembourg,    Mongolia,    Morocco, 
Netherlands,  Nicaragua,  Norway,  Paki- 
stan, Panama,   Peru,   Philippines,   Po- 
land, Portugal,  Senegal,  Soviet  Union, 
Sweden,  Switzerland,  Trinidad  and  To- 
bago, Tunisia,  Ukrainian  S.S.R.,  U.K., 
U.S.,  Jan.   61;  Upper  Volta,  Mar.   59; 
Vietnam,  Yugoslavia,  Jan.  61 
International   Court  of  Justice,   Apr.   58 

Solomon  Islands,  membership,  Nov.  57 
International   Development  Association,  Jan. 
37,  Sept.  4 
Education  project  in  Pakistan  (Vance),  Apr. 

27 
Population  assistance  programs,  Nov.  8 
U.S.   appropriations  request:  Cooper,   Apr. 
37,  38;  Vance,  Apr.  28 
International   exhibitions,   convention  (1928), 

denunciation,  Tanzania,  Apr.  60 
International  Finance  Corporation,  U.S.  appro- 
priations request:  Cooper,  Apr.  38;  Vance, 
Apr.  28 
International  financial  institutions  (see  also  by 
name):  Sept.  4;  Carter,  May  2,  Dec.   13; 
Cooper,  Nov.  20;  Vance,  June  15,  Nov.  45 
Human  rights  considerations   in   loans: 
Cooper,  Apr.  40;  Derian  Nov.  52;  Mez- 
vinsky,  Sept.  52;  Vance,  PR  83,  2/21, 
PR  109,  3/9 
Political  considerations  in  decisions  of: 
Cooper,   Apr.   39,  40;  Maynes,  Sept. 
49-50;  Vance,  June  16,  PR  89,  2/24 
Salary   levels  of  bank  employees  (Vance), 

June  16 
U.S.   appropriations   request   FY    1979: 
Cooper.  Apr.   37;  Vance,  Apr.  24,  27; 
PR  83,  2/21;  PR  89,  2/24;  PR  109,  3/9 
International  Labor  Organization  (Maynes), 

Feb.  48,  51 
International   Monetary  Fund:   Sept.   4,  48; 
Maynes,  Feb.  49;  Saunders,  Aug.  31 
Articles  of  agreement  (1945):  Solomon  Is- 
lands, Nov.  56;  Surinam,  June  59 


International  Monetary  Fund  (Cont'd) 
Articles  of  agreement  (Cont'd) 

Second  amendment   (1976),  entry  into 
force,  July  59 
Compensatory   financing  facility  (Katz), 

Mar.  2 
Expansion:  Carter,  May  2;  Cooper,  Nov.  22; 
Lake,  Jan.  26;  Vance,  Mar.  18,  Nov.  45 
International  organizations,  universal  copyright 
convention  (1971),  protocol  2  re  applica- 
tion to  works  of  certain  international  or- 
ganizations, Australia.  Mar.  58 
International  Year  of  the  Child  (IYC),   1979: 

Califano,  Sept.  36;  Whalen,  Jan.  56 
Intervention  in  internal  affairs,  U.S.  position: 
Brzezinski,  July  27;  Carter,   May  3,    14; 
June  24  (quoted),  July  21 
Investment  guarantees: 

Bilateral  agreement  with  Papua  New  Guinea, 

June  60 
Deep  seabed  mining.  Administration  opposi- 
tion to  proposed  legislation  (Richardson), 
Apr.  55 
Investment  of  private  capital  abroad:  Sept.  2, 
4;  Carter,  Dec.  14;  Cooper,  Apr.  39,  Nov. 
19,  20,  22;  Nye,  Mar.  40;  Vance,  Feb.  23; 
Apr.  24,  June   14,  Nov.  45;  Young,  Oct. 
56 
Asian  Pacific  nations:  Holbrooke,   Aug.  4; 
Mondale,  July  24;  Newsom,  Dec.  30; 
Vance,  Sept.  20 
Domestic  and  Foreign  Investment  Improved 
Disclosure  Act  of  1977,  signature  (Car- 
ter), Jan.  27 
Italy  (Gardner),  July  43 
Mexico,  June  58 
Nigeria  (Carter),  May  13 
OECD  (Vance),  Aug.  25 
Overseas  Private  Investment  Corporation 
(OPIC):   Holbrooke,  Apr.   34,  Aug.   5; 
Katz,  Mar.  1 
Mission  to  ASEAN,  Australia,  and  New 
Zealand:  ASEAN,  Sept.  25;  Newsom, 
Dec.  29;  Vance,  Sept.  20 
Panama  (Vance),  PR  13A,  1/13 
Poland,  Romania,  and  Bulgaria  (Luers), 

Nov.  37 
South  Asia  (Newsom),  Dec.  52 
Ionescu,  Nicolae:  Dec.  37;  remarks  on  presen- 
tation of  credentials,  and  reply  by  Presi- 
dent Carter,  UNN,  11/16 
Iran:  Newsom,  Dec.  53;  Vance,  June  25 
Debt  arrearages  to  U.S.  (Hormats),  Mar.  26 
Human  rights:  Carter,  Feb.  7,  19,  Dec.   15; 

Christopher,  Mar.  32 
Internal  troubles:  Carter,  Nov.   12,  Dec.   15; 

Newsom.  Dec.  54;  Vance,  Dec.  18 
Nuclear  agreement  with  U.S.  (Carter),  Feb. 

18 
Soviet   involvement,  question  of  (Carter), 

Dec.  15 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  60, 

Apr.  61,  May  59,  Aug.  60,  Sept.  60 
U.S. -Iran  Joint  Commission  for  Economic 
Cooperation.   4th   session,  joint  com- 
munique, Apr.  48 
Agreed  minutes,  May  59 
U.S.  security  assistance  (Benson),  Mar.  42, 
43,  46 


20 


Iran  (Cont'd) 

Visit  of  President  Carter:  Jan.  16,  50;  Carter, 
Jan.  9,   14,  Feb.    I,  6.   19;  Shahinshah 
Pahlavi,  Feb.  6 
Iraq  (Newsom),  Dec.  53 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  60, 
Apr.   61,  June  60.   Aug.  60,  Sept.  60, 
Oct.  61.  Nov.  56 
Ireland: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:  Nov.   29; 
remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials, 
and  reply  by  President  Carter,   UNN, 
10/2 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59, 
July  60,  Aug.  58,  60,  Oct.  61,  Dec.  59 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Israel: 

Air  transport  agreement  with  U.S.,  signa- 
ture, PR  333,  8/16 
Civil  aviation  agreement  with  U.S.,  an- 
nouncement, PR  287,  7/15 
Economic  and  other  assets  (Saunders),  Aug. 

30,  Nov.  43 
Economic  and  political   stability,   bilateral 

agreement  with  U.S.,  Apr.  62 
Golda  Meir,  death  of  (Vance),  PR  444,  12/8; 

PR  445,  12/8 
Holocaust,  U.S.  memorial  proposed  (Carter), 

June  41 
Prime  Minister  Begin,   leadership:  Carter, 

May  8;  Vance,  May  24,  26 
South  Africa,  question  of  economic  relations 

(Vance),  Mar.  17 
30th  anniversary:   Begin,  June  41;  Carter, 
June  41;  Mondale,   Aug.   33;   Vance, 
Feb.  33 
U.S.   gift  of  Hebrew   Bible  (Mondale), 
Aug.  37 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,   Feb.  61,   Mar. 
58.  Apr.  60,  61,  62,  June  60,  July  58, 
Aug.  58,  60,  Sept.  60,  Oct.  62,  Dec.  60 
U.S.   economic  and  military  aid:   Benson, 
Mar.  42;  Mondale,   Aug.   37;   Vance, 
Apr.  25,  29,  PR  9A,  1/19 
U.S.  military  aircraft  sales:  Carter,  Apr.   19, 
22,  June  12,  39,  40;  Department,  June 
39;   Vance,   Mar.   7,   15,   37,  May  24, 
June  18,  38,  39;  PR  51,  1/24;  PR  217, 
5/9 
U.S.  mutual  defense  agreement,  question  of 

(Vance),  May  26 
U.S.  visits  of  Prime  Minister  Begin:  Jan.  48, 
50;  Begin,  Feb.   34,  June  41;  Carter, 
Apr.   20,  June  41;  Dinitz,  PR  57,   1/30 
Camp  David  meeting.   See  under   Arab- 
Israeli  conflict 
Visits  of  Secretary  Vance,  Jan.  50,  Feb.  37, 
Dec.   20;  Vance,  Begin,  Jan.  41,  Feb. 
33,  Sept.  42 
Arrival  statements  (Vance),  PR  556,   12/ 

12/77 
Exchanges  of  toasts  (Vance-Begin),   PR 

558,  12/12/77 
Program  (Vance),  PR  557,  12/12/77 
Remarks:   Vance,   PR  557,    12/12/77;  PR 
30,   1/18;  PR  31,   1/19;  PR  32,   1/19; 
Vance-Begin,   PR   314,   8/7;   Vance- 
Dayan,   PR  563.    12/13/77;  PR  35. 
1/20;  PR  456,  12/14 
Italy:  Sept.  2;  Gardner,  July  42 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 


Italy  (Cont'd) 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:  July  44; 

remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials 

and  reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  4/6 

Communist  Party:   Department,   Feb.    32; 

Vest,  Mar.  27 
Profile,  July  44 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Apr.  60, 
May  57,  June  60.  July  60.  61,  Nov.  56, 
57 
Itani,  Khalil,  remarks  on  presentation  of  cre- 
dentials and  reply  by  President  Carter, 
UNN,  11/16 
Iturralde  Ballivan,  Carlos:  July  57;  remarks  on 
presentation  of  credentials,   and  reply  by 
President  Carter,  UNN,  4/6 
Ivory  Coast  (Young),  Jan.  36 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  60, 
June  61 


Jamaica  (Young),  Jan.  36 

Drug  transshipment  problem  (Linneman), 
Oct.  37 

Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ment, PR  6.  1/6 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61.  Feb  61, 
Mar.  59,  Apr.  61.  May  59,  June  60, 
Aug.  60.  Sept.  60,  Oct.  60,  Nov.   56, 

57,  Dec.  59,  60 

U.S.   visit  of  Prime  Minister  Manley,  Jan. 

58,  June  2 

Jamieson,  Donald,  Mar.  9  (quoted),  20,  June  50 
Japan: 

Development  assistance  to  other  countries: 

Sept.  4;  Holbrooke,  Apr.  32 
Economic  growth  and  industrial  policies: 

Sept.   2;  ANZUS,  July  48;  Brzezinski, 

June   2;  Carter,   Sept.    1,   Nov.    12; 

Cooper,  Nov.    19;  Holbrooke,  Aug.   2; 

Hormats,  June  5,  July  38,  Aug.  21,  Dec. 

35;  Mondale,  July  23 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
German   Democratic   Republic,   relations 

(Bolen),  May  37 
High  seas  salmon  fishery  of  the  North  Pacific 

Ocean,  international  convention,  signa- 
ture of  amending  protocol  (1972),   PR 

209,  5/4 
Profile,  June  4 
Textile  agreement  with   U.S.,   amendment, 

PR  367,  9/26 
Treaties,   agreements,  etc..   Mar.   58,   59, 

Apr.  61,  May  59,  June  59,  July  59,  60. 

61,  Aug.  58,  60,  Sept.  59.  60.  61,  Oct. 

62 
U.S.  military  aid  (Holbrooke),  Apr.  32 
Exemption  from  U.S.  policy  controls:  Ben- 
son,  Mar.   44;   Blechman,   Mar.   52; 
Carter,  Mar.  47;  Fish.  Mar.  48,  50; 
Mondale,  June  33 
U.S.  relations:  Sept.  47;  Brzezinski,  June  1; 

Holbrooke,  Aug.  2 
U.S.   trade  and  other  economic  issues:  Bar- 

raclough.  July  40;  Brzezinski,   June    1; 

Holbrooke.   Aug.   3;   Hormats,   June    10. 

Dec.  35;  Vance,  Mar.  IX.  Apr.  37;  Vest. 

Mar.  28;  White  House.  Feb.  25 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942.  p.  I  1 


III 

I.- 


Japan (Cont'd) 
U.S.  visit  of  Prime  Minister  Fukuda:  June  2; 
Brzezinski.  June  4;  program.  PR   194, 
4/28 
Jay,  Peter,  Nov.   14n,  Dec.  25 
Jefferson,  Thomas  (quoted).  Jan.  33 
Jenkins,  Roy  (Carter),  Sept.  9 
Johnson,   Lyndon   B.:   Nov.   40   (quoted); 

Warnke,  Oct.  18 
Johnson,  Marilyn  P.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador 

to  Togo,  PR  389,  10/17 
Jordan: 

Meeting  of  King  Hussein  and  President  Car- 
ter at  Tehran  (Carter),  Jan.   10,  Feb.  3, 
19 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  60, 

Apr.  62.  July  61 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Veliotes),  sworn  in,  PR 

338,  8/24 
U.S.  security  and  military  assistance,  appro- 
priations request  (Vance),  Apr.  29,  PR 
89.  2/24 
Visits  of  Secretary  Vance  (Carter),  Oct.  3 
Arrival  statements,  PR  564,   12/13/77;  PR 

313,  8/7 
Departure  statements,   PR  565,    12/13/77; 
PR  317,  8/7 
Jorgensen,  Anker,  U.S.  visit,  Apr.  47 
Joseph,  Geri  M.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Netherlands,  PR  306.  7/31 
Judicial  matters. 

Boeing  Company,   bilateral   agreement  re 
mutual  assistance  with  Kuwait,  Nov.  57 
Execution  of  penal  sentences,  bilateral  agree- 
ments with:  Bolivia,  Apr.  61,  Aug.  60, 
Sept.  60,  Oct.  61;  Canada,  Oct.  61;  sig- 
nature, PR  292,  7/19 
General  Tire   and  Rubber  Company  and 
Firestone  Tire  and  Rubber  Company 
matters  to  include  J.  Aron  &  Company 
and  the  Israel  Coffee  Company,  mutual 
assistance  in  administration  of  justice, 
bilateral  agreement  with  Mexico,  Aug. 
60-61 
General  Tire   and   Rubber  Company   and 
Firestone  Tire  and   Rubber  Company 
matters  to  include  the  McDonnell  Doug- 
las Corporation,  mutual  assistance  in  ad- 
ministration of  justice,   bilateral  agree- 
ment with  Mexico,  May  59 
Jurisdiction  over  vessels  utilizing  Louisiana 
offshore  oil  port,  bilateral  agreements 
with:  Denmark,  Oct.  61;  Sweden,  Oct. 
62 
Legalization  for  foreign  public  documents, 
abolition  of  requirement,   convention 
(1961),  accession,  Seychelles,  Dec.  59 
Lockheed  Aircraft  Corporation  and  Boeing 
Company  to  the  McDonnell   Douglas 
Corporation,   mutual  assistance  in  ad- 
ministration of  justice,  bilateral  agree- 
ment with  Pakistan.  Mar.  60 
Lockheed  Aircraft  Corporation  and  McDon- 
nell  Douglas  Corporation   matters, 
mutual   assistance   in   administration  of 
justice,  bilateral  agreements  with  Tur- 
key. Jan.  62,  Sept.  61 
Taking  of  evidence  abroad  in  civil  or  com- 
mercial matters,  convention  (1970),  ex- 
tension to  Hong  Kong.  Sept.  59 


Index  1978 


21 


udicial  matters  (Cont'd) 
Turkey-US.  negotiations  on  prisoner  trans- 
fer treaty,  announcement,  PR  274,  7/10 
unior,  Lewis  D.,  participant  in  town  meeting 
on  foreign  policy,  Norfolk,  Va..  PR  380, 
10/3 


K 


Kaiser,  Philip  M.,  Jan.  32 
Kalb.  Marvin,  June  27 

Kamel,   Mohamed   Ibrahim  (see  also   Arab- 
Israeli  conflict:   Egyptian-Israeli  Foreign 
Ministers'  meetings),  Jan.  50,  Sept.  39 
Kampuchea.  See  Cambodia 
Karunaratne,  W.  S.,  Aug.  41 
Katz,  Julius  L.,  Jan.  59,  Mar.  1,  22,  Sept.  29, 
Oct.  26.  Nov.  25 
Profile,  Mar.  1 

Speaker,  25th  Assembly  of  the  International 
Rubber  Study  Group,  PR  205,  5/3;  PR 
264,  6/27 
Kaunda,  Kenneth  D.,  July  33 

Visit  to  U.S.:  (Carter),  July  33;  program,  PR 
221,  5/21 
Kelly,  Governor  (Vance),  June  20 
Kennedy,  Janet,  recipient  of  Certificate  of  Ap- 
preciation (Read),  PR  103,  3/2 
Kennedy,  John  Clifford.  Jan.  53 
Kennedy,  John  F.  (quoted),  Apr.  17,  May  40, 

June  31,  Sept.  9,  Nov.  40 
Kennedy,  Richard  T.  (Nye),  July  46 
Kenya: 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60,  June  60, 

July  60,  Aug.  60,  Sept.  60 
U.S.  economic  and  military  aid:   Moose, 
Apr.  30;  Vance,  July  29;  White  House, 
Apr.  30 
King  Khalid  bin  Abdul  Aziz,  Feb.  11 
King,   Martin  Luther,  Jr.:   May   15   (quoted); 

Carter,  Feb.  10;  Goldberg,  Apr.  43 
Kinney,  Stephanie  Smith,  recipient  of  Certifi- 
cate of  Appreciation,  (Read),  PR  103,  3/2 
Kissinger,   Henry:  June  29  (quoted);  Carter, 
July  20:  Vance,  Mar.  17 
Panama  Canal  treaties,  support  (Carter),  Jan. 
11 
Kneip,  Richard  F.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Singapore,  PR  298,  7/25 
Korea,  Democratic  Republic  of: 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61,  Dec.  59 
U.S.  embargo,  purpose  (Katz),  Mar.  22 
Korea,  Republic  of:  (ANZUS),  July  48 

Dialogue  with  North  Korea,  proposed,  and 
U.S.  conditions  for  participation 
(Vance),  Dec.  19 
Economic  relations  with  North  Korea,  pro- 
posed consultative  machinery  announced 
by  President  Park  (Department),  Aug.  20 
Energy  and  Resources  Minister  Chang,  visit 

to  U.S.,  PR  193,  4/27 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Joint  U.S. -Korean  Standing  Committee  on 
Nuclear  and  Other  Energy  Technology, 
joint  statement,  PR  348,  9/11 
Korean  Standards  Research   Institute,   de- 
velopment,  bilateral   agreement  with 
U.S.,  May  59 


Korea  (Cont'd) 

Myongdong  prisoners,  release  of:  Jan.   39; 

Christopher,  Mar.  32 
Textile   agreement  with   U.S..   texts  of 
amendments,  PR  2,  1/4;  PR  86.  2/22;  PR 
115,  3/13;  PR  240,  6/7 
Tongsun  Park  (Vance),  Jan.  19 

Joint  statement.  Mar.  60 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  59,  61,  Mar. 
58-59,  60,  Apr.  61,  62,  May  59,  June 
60,  July  61,  Aug.  58,  59,  Oct.  61,  62 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Gleysteen),  sworn  in,  PR 

275,  7/11 
U.S.  ground  forces,  withdrawal  and  transfer 
to  Korea  of  certain  U.S.  equipment:  Jan. 
16;  Brzezinski,  June  3;  Carter,  Apr.  19, 
June  36;  Holbrooke,  Apr.  32,  Aug.   2; 
Vance.  Mar.  17,  Apr.  29 
U.S.  military  aid,  proposed:  Carter,  June  36; 
Holbrooke,  Apr.   32;   Vance,  Jan.    19, 
Apr.  29 
U.S.  mutual  defense  agreement:  Carter,  Apr. 
18;  Holbrooke,  Apr.  32,  Aug.  2;  Vance, 
Mar.  17 
U.S.   trade.  The  Trade  Debate,   publica- 
tion 8942,  p.  14 
U.S.   visit  of  President  Park,  question  of 
(Carter),  Sept.  12 
Korean  conflict,  debt  arrearages  (Hormats), 

Mar.  26 
Kosciuszko,  Thaddeus,  Feb.  1 
Kreps,  Juanita  (Carter),  Nov.  26 

Visit  to  India,  proposed,  Aug.  41 
Kuwait,    treaties,    agreements,    etc..    May    58, 
June  59,  Nov.  57 


Labor  (see  also  Undocumented  aliens): 
Migration  of  labor,  Oct.  50 

Eastern  Europe  (Luers),  Nov.  36 
Population  growth,  effects  on  unemploy- 
ment, Nov.  2,  5 
Laboulaye,  Francois  de,  Jan.  30 
Laird,  Melvin  (Warnke),  Apr.  5 
Lake,  Anthony,  Jan.  24,  Dec.  25 

Speaker,  San  Francisco  Conference  on  U.S. 
foreign  policy  in  Africa,  PR  391,  10/17 
Lamport  Rodil,  Jorge:  Feb.  59;  remarks  on  pre- 
sentation of  letter  of  credence  and  reply  by 
President  Carter,  UNN,  1/18 
Lane,  George  M.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Yemen  Arab  Republic,  PR  342,  8/30 
Laos: 

General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 

Malaysia,  relations  (Rithauddeen),  Sept.  23 

Thailand,  relations  (Pachariyangkun),  Sept. 

23 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..   Mar.   58.  June 
59,  Aug.  59,  Dec.  58 
Latin   America  (see  also   Organization  of 
American  States  and  names  of  individual 
countries): 
Arms  sales  restraints,  need  for:  July  51, 
Nov.   54:   Carter,   May   5,   Sept.    54; 
Vance,  Nov.  50 
Human  rights  aspects  (Derian),   Nov.   51 
Caribbean: 
Caribbean  Group  for  Cooperation  in  eco- 


Latin  America  (Cont'd) 
Caribbean  (Cont'd) 

nomic  Development:  Jan.  16,  May  5, 
July  51;  Carter,  Sept.  57 
Community   Secretariat,   project  grant 
agreement  for  basic  health  manage- 
ment training,  Dec.  60 
U.S.    interests:   Mondale,   Mar.    13; 

Richardson,  Feb.  58 
U.S.  trade,  investment,  and  development, 
conference,  PR  1 1 ,  1/9 
Central  America  (Todman),  May  54 

U.S.   Trade  and  Investment,   3d  annual 
conference.   New  Orleans,   schedule, 
PR  64,  2/7 
Commodity  exports  (graph).  Mar.  4 
Democratic  progress:   Carter,   Sept.   56; 
Christopher,  Mar.  32;  Derian,  Nov.  53; 
Mezvinsky,  Sept.  53;  Todman,  May  56 
Economic  progress:  May  5;  Carter,  Sept.  56; 

Lake,  Jan.  25 
Inter-American  treaty  of  reciprocal   assist- 
ance (Rio  Pact),  protocol  of  amendment 
(1975),  ratification,  U.S.,  June  59 
Nuclear-free  treaty   (Treaty  of  Tlatelolco): 
May  5,  July  51;  Carter,  May  8,  Sept.  54; 
Mondale,  Mar.   13.  June  33;  Nye,  Oct. 
38 
Protocols  I  and  II:  Jan.   15,  Aug.  52,  53, 
Sept.  56;  Carter,  Sept.  54;  Leonard, 
Aug.  46;  Warnke,  Aug.  45 
Protocol  II,  Soviet  signature,  Aug.  59 
Population  projections,  Oct.  46,  48 
U.S.  relations:  Jan.   16;  Brzezinski,  June  1; 

Carter,  Jan.  12;  Derian  Nov.  53 
Young  Hispanic-American  leadership  semi- 
nar, PR  10,  1/9 
Law: 
International  Digest  of  United  States  Prac- 
tice, 1976,  released.  May  61 
Legal  careers,  address  at  Fordham  University 
(Vance),  PR  232,  5/28 
Law  of  the  sea  conference:  May  5;  Richardson, 
June  47,  Dec.  42 
Seabed  mining:  Mink,  Feb.  44;  Richardson, 
Feb.   39,  Apr.   54,  June  47,  Dec.  42; 
Vance,  Nov.  47 
Nationalism,   and   one-nation   one-vote 
threat  to  conclusion  of  negotiations 
(Richardson),  PR  397,  10/24 
U.S.   Senior  Scientific  Adviser  and  Deputy 
Representative  (McKelvey),  PR  24  1/15 
Lebanon: 
Ambassador  to  U.S.  (Itami),  remarks  on  pre- 
sentation of  credentials  and  reply  by 
President  Carter,  UNN,  11/16 
Cease-fire  and  arms  limitations,   need  for: 

Carter,  Oct.  3;  Vance,  Aug.  19,  Sept.  43 
Conference  of  Lebanese  factions,  proposed: 

Carter,  Nov.  10;  Vance,  Nov.  49 
Geneva  conference,  question  of  participation 

(Vance),  45 

Israeli  incursion  in  response  to  PLO  terrorist 

attacks:  Carter,  May  7,  46;  Department, 

May  46;  Vance,  May  23;  Young,  May  51 

U.S.  humanitarian  aid  (Department),  May 

46 
Use  of  U.S.  furnished  defense  articles  as 
violation  of  1952  agreement,  (Vance), 
May  27,  46 


22 


Lebanon  (Cont'd) 
Syrian  influence,  presence,  and  role:  Carter, 

Jan.   14,  Nov.   10;  Vance,  Mar.   14,  15, 

Aug.  17 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  60,  Feb.  60, 

June  60,  July  60,  Sept.  59,  61,  Nov.  56, 

Dec.  59,  60 
U.N.    interim  forces:   Sept.   47;   Atherton, 

May  45;  Carter,   May  7;   Department, 

May  46;  Mezvinsky,  Sept.  53;  Mondale, 

June   34;   Vance,  Jan.   45,   Nov.   49; 

Young.  May  51 
Security  Council   resolutions,   texts.   May 
51 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Dean),  sworn  in.  PR  379, 

10/2 
U.S.   intermediary  role:  Carter,   Nov.    10; 

Vance,  Jan.  45,  Mar.  15 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance  (Vance),  Jan.  45 

Lehrer,  James,  Mar.  14 

Leonard,  James  F.:  Nov.  46;  Vance,  May  31; 
Warnke,  Aug.  46 

Lesotho,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61, 
Apr.  61,  Sept.  59,  Oct.  60,  Dec.  60 

Less  developed  countries  (see  also  Commodity 
trade.  Food  production  and  shortages, 
Population  problems  and  control  and 
names  of  individual  countries):  Carter, 
May  14,  18 

Financing.  See  Development  assistance.  In- 
ternational financial  institutions  and  In- 
vestment of  private  capital  abroad 

International  economic  and  political  de- 
cisionmaking: May  17,  Sept.  47,  48; 
ASEAN,  Sept.  24;  Carter,  Feb.  14,  May 
4,  19;  Lake,  Jan.  26;  Maynes,  Jan.  51, 
Feb.  51,  Dec.  49;  Newsom.  Dec.  53; 
Vance,  Apr.  24,  PR  83,  2/21,  PR  89, 
2/24;  Young,  Oct.  58 

Nationalism  of  new  nations  (Richardson),  PR 
397,  10/24 

North-South  relations:  Feb.  9,  May  5,  Aug. 
41,  Sept.  3,  4,  47;  ASEAN.  Sept.  24; 
Carter,  Feb.  14,  15,  May  1,  Sept.  7, 
Dec.  13;  Christopher,  Sept.  28;  Mon- 
dale, Mar.  11,  13;  Shulman,  Jan.  8; 
Vance,  Mar.  18,  Nov.  45;  Young,  Jan. 
35,  Feb.  53 

Oil  prices,  effect:  Christopher,  Sept.  26; 
Vance,  Feb.  28,  Mar.  18;  Young,  Jan. 
35 

Population  size,  effect  on  economic  de- 
velopment, Nov.  1 ,  4 

Resource  transfers,  proposals:  Carter,  Nov. 
25,  Cooper,  Nov.  22;  Katz,  Nov.  25; 
Vance,  Nov.  47 

Technology  transfers.  See  Energy,  Nuclear 
energy  and  Science  and  technology. 

U.S.  trade  and  other  relations:  Jan.  16;  Car- 
ter, Sept.  1;  Chrisopher,  Sept.  27;  Hor- 
mats,  Aug.  23,  Dec.  35;  Lake,  Jan.  24; 
Maynes.  Feb.  49,  Sept.  49;  Vance,  Feb. 

24,  Apr.  24,  27,  June  14,  July  29,  Aug. 

25,  Nov.  46,  PR  83,  2/21,  PR  89.  2/24, 
PR  109,  3/9 

The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942,  pp. 
13,  20 


Liberia: 

Human  rights  (Vance),  May  28 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  May  57, 
58,  June  60,  Aug.  58,  Oct.  60.  Nov.  57 
U.S.  security  assistance  (Moose),  Apr.  31 
Visit  of  President  Carter:  Carter,  May   18; 
Tolbert,  May  17 
Libya,   treaties,   agreements,   etc.,   Aug.   59, 

Oct.  61,  Nov.  56 
Liechtenstein,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan. 

61.  July  60,  Aug.  59,  Nov.  56 
Lincoln,  Abraham  (quoted),  Feb.  7,  56,  June 

41 
Linneman,  Joseph,  Oct.  37 
Linowitz,  Sol  (Young),  Oct.  58 
Llado  y  Fernandez-Urrutia,  Jose:  Sept.  34;  re- 
marks on-presentation  of  credentials  and 
reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  8/2 
Lloyd,  Janet,  Director,  Family  Liaison  Office, 

remarks:  PR  103,  3/2;  Read.  PR  103.  3/2 
Load  Lines: 

Great  Lakes  load  lines,  reciprocal  recogni- 
tion, bilateral   memorandum  of  under- 
standing with  Canada,  Feb.  61 
International  convention  (1966):  Bangladesh, 
Nov.  56;  Honduras,  Jan.  61 
Lopez.  Alfonso,  July  49,  51,  57n 
Lopez  Portillo,  Jose:   Mar.    ll(quoted);  July 

57n;  Roel,  June  57 
Los  Angeles  World  Affairs  Council,  cospon- 
sorship  of  conference  on  U.S.  Middle  East 
policy,  PR  245.  6/9 
Lowenthal,   Alice,   recipient  of  Certificate  of 

Appreciation  (Read),  PR  103,  3/2 
Luers,  William  H.,  Nov.  33 

Ambassador  to  Venezuela,  sworn  in  as,  PR 
363,  9/21 
Luxembourg,  treaties,   agreements,  etc.,  Jan. 
61 ,  Mar.  58,  59,  Apr.  60,  June  59,  July  60 


M 


Macau,   textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of 

amendment,  PR  16.  1/12;  PR  465,  12/22 
MacLeish,  Archibald  (quoted).  July  25 
MacNeil,  Robert,  Jan.  9,  Mar.  14 
Madagascar,   treaties,   agreements,  etc.,  Jan. 

61,  Apr.  61,  July  58 
Malawi: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59, 

July  58 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Horan),  sworn  in,  PR  382. 
10/6 
Malaysia: 

Drug  control  program  and  U.S.  aid  (Falco), 

June  46 
Economic    and    political    development 

(Newsom),  Dec.  28,  29,  30 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Indochinese  refugees  problem  (Derian),  Mar. 

33 
Textile   agreement   with   U.S..   texts  of 
amendment.  PR  303.  7/27;  PR  440.  12/5 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  June  59,   Aug. 

58,  Sept.  61,  Nov.  56 
U.S.  military  aid  (Holbrooke).  Apr.  34 
Vietnam.   Laos,  and  Cambodia,  relations 
(Rithauddeen).  Sept.  23 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Maldives,  treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  58, 

July  59,  Aug.  59 
Mali: 

Action  Riz-Sorgho  project,  grant  agreement 

with  U.S.,  July  61 
Ambassador  to  U.S.:   Dec.   27;  remarks  on 
presentation  of  credentials  and  reply  by 
President  Carter.  UNN,  11/16 
Malta,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Apr.  60,  May 

58,  Aug.  60,  Dec.  60 
Mambouka,  Jean-Daniel,  July  34 
Manley,  Michael,  July  49,  51.  57n 
Manpower  development,  project  grant  agree- 
ments in  southern   Africa:   Lesotho,   Dec. 
60;  southern  Sudan.  Nov.  57;  Swaziland, 
Dec.  61 
Mansfield,  Michael  Joseph,  profile,  June  3 
Manshel.  Warren  Demian,  sworn  in  as  Ambas- 
sador to  Denmark,  PR  268,  6/29 
Marder,  Murrey,  June  27 

Marine  pollution  (see  also  Oil  pollution): 

Prevention  of  pollution  from  ships,  interna- 
tional  convention   (1973),   protocol 
(1978),  Poland,  Dec.  59 
Protocol  (1973)  re  intervention  in  cases  of 
marine  pollution  by  substances  other  than 
oil:   Mexico,   Aug.   59,  Oct.   60;   U.S., 
Aug.  59,  Oct.  60,  Nov.  56 
Protocol  (1978),  U.K..  Nov.  56 
Maritime  matters: 

Argentine-US.   bilateral   agreement  on,  July 

60 
Assistance  and  salvage  at  sea,  unification  of 
certain  rules,  convention  (1910).  acces- 
sion, Tonga,  Sept.  60 
Consultative   Shipping  Group-U.S.   shipping 
talks,  announcements,  PR  234.  5/30;  PR 
415.  11/6 
Agreed  record,  PR  431.  11/21 
Government-controlled  cargoes,  equal  access 
to   ocean   carriage,   bilateral   agreement 
with  Brazil,  Feb.  61 
Intergovernmental    Maritime   Consultative 
Organization  (Maynes),  Feb.  50 
Convention  (1948):   Guinea-Bissau,  Jan. 
61;  Mauritius,  July  59;  Seychelles, 
Aug.  58;  Somalia.  June  59 
Amendments   (1974):   Gabon,   Guinea- 
Bissau,   Jan.    61;   Mauritius,   Aug. 
58-59;    Seychelles,    Sept.    59; 
Uruguay.  Dec.  59 
U.S.   income  tax  reimbursements,   proce- 
dure, bilateral  agreement.  Apr.  62 
International  maritime  traffic,  facilitation  of. 
convention  (1965).  accession.  Liberia, 
May  58 
Amendment    of   article    VII    (1973): 
Bahamas.  June  59:  Greece.  Singapore, 
July  59 
Jurisdiction  over  vessels  in  deepwater  ports 
off  the   U.S.   coast,   bilateral   agreement 
with  Norway,  Sept.  61 
Jurisdiction  over  vessels  utilizing  Louisiana 
offshore  oil   port,   bilateral   agreements 
with:  Denmark,  Oct.  61;  Sweden,  Oct. 
62 
Maritime  affairs  and  boundaries  agreements 
with. 


Index  1978 

|  Maritime  matters  (Cont'd) 
Maritime  affairs  (Cont'd) 

Cuba:  Jan.  62.  May  57.  PR  579.  12/20/77; 

Vance.  Aug.  13 
Mexico:  June  58,  July  61;  Vance.  June  57 
Venezuela,  May  59 
Maritime  boundaries  and  related  resource  is- 
sues, joint  U.S. -Canadian  report,   PR 
136.  3/28 
Omega  navigational  system,  bilateral  agree- 
ment with  Liberia.  Nov.  57 
Tonnage  measurement  of  ships,  international 
convention  (1969):  New  Zealand  (not 
applicable  to  Cook  Island.   Niue,   and 
Tokelau).   Mar.   59;  Panama,   May  58; 
Philippines,  Nov.  57 
Marriage: 

Delayed  marriage  as  factor  in  population 

control.  Dec.  45 
Marriage,  consent,  minimum  age,  and  regis- 
tration, convention  (1962).  ratification. 
Guinea.  Mar.  58 
Mauritania,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  60, 

July  59,  61,  Dec.  58 
Mauritius,  treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61. 
Feb.  61,  June  60,  July  58-59,  Aug.  60, 
Oct.  61,  Dec.  59 
Maynes,  Charles  William,  Jan.   50.  Feb.  48. 

Sept.  48,  Dec.  48 
McCloskey,  Robert  J.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador 

to  Greece.  PR  131,  3/21 
McCullough,  David  (Carter).  Mar.  57.  July  49, 

51 
McDougall.  Frank  L.,  Jan.  33 
McGovern,  George,  Aug.  44 
McHenry,  Donald  L.,  June  55,  Dec.  22;  Car- 
ter, Aug.  10;  Christopher,  Oct.  15;  Vance, 

Mar.  22 
Speaker,  San  Francisco  conference  on  U.S. 
foreign  policy  in  Africa.  PR  391.  10/17 
McKelvey,   Vincent  E..  Senior  Scientific  Ad- 
viser to  U.S.  delegation  of  Law  of  the  Sea 
Conference  and  Deputy  Representative  of 
the  United  States,  PR  24,  1/15 
McKinney,  J.  R..  July.  58 
McNamara,  Robert  (Warnke),  Oct.  17 
Meir,  Golda  (quoted),  Aug.  35 

Death  of  (Vance),   PR  444,   12/8;  PR  445, 
12/8 
Mendelevich,  L.  [.,  July  36 
Menzies,  Sir  Andrew,  July  48 
Meteorology: 

Cooperative  observation  programs,  bilateral 
agreements  with:  Chile,  May  58; 
Mexico,  Apr.  62 
Iranian  Meteorological  Services,  moderniza- 
tion, bilateral  agreement  with  Iran,  Mar. 
60 
World  Meteorological  Organization:  Carter, 

Nov.  51;  Maynes,  Feb.  50 
Convention  (1947):   Djibouti.   Aug.   59; 
Gambia,   Nov.   56;  Guinea-Bissau, 
Jan.  61;  Maldives.  Aug.  59 
Meteorology,  Legal,  International  Organization 
of,  convention  (1955),  accession,   Korea. 
Republic  of,  Aug.  59 
Mexico: 

Air  charter  services  and  reduced  fares,  bilat- 
eral agreement,  Feb.  59 
Air  transport  agreement  with  U.S.: 


Mexico  (Cont'd) 

Signature  by   Vice  President  Mondale,  PR 

38,  1/20 
Text,  PR  63,  2/7 
Colorado  River  waters  for  use   in  Tijuana, 
emergency   deliveries.    International 
Boundary  and  Water  Commission  Min- 
ute 259.  Oct.  62 
Drug  control  programs,  and  U.S.  assistance: 
Carter.   Sept.    12;  Falco,  June  42.  43; 
Linneman,  Oct.  38;  Mondale.  Mar.  12 
Population  growth  potential.  Oct.  49 
Sovereignty  (Roel),  June  57-58 
Spraying  of  paraquat  and  other  herbicides  for 
marijuana  control,  question  of:  Benson, 
Oct.  56;  Carter,  Sept.  12 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ment, PR  343,  9/1 
Treaties,   agreements,  etc.,  Feb.   61,   Mar. 
59,  60.  Apr.  61,  62,  May  59,  June  60. 
July  61,  Aug.  59,  60,  Sept.  61,  Oct.  62, 
Nov.  57,  Dec.  59,  60 
Undocumented  workers:   Foreign  Relations 
Outline.   Sept.   38;  Mondale.   Mar.    12; 
Vance.  June  57.  58 
U.S.  bracero  program,  denial:  Carter,  Mar. 

8;  Vance,  June  57 
U.S. -Mexico  Commission  on  Cultural  Coop- 
eration,  3d  meeting,   summary  and  an- 
nexes II  and  III  of  final  statement,  Nov. 
55 
U.S. -Mexico  Cooperation  and  Desertifica- 
tion project  (Benson),  Oct.  55 
U.S.    relations,    announcement   of   Phoenix 
conference  on  select   issues,   PR  408. 
10/27 
U.S.   trade.  The  Trade  Debate,   publication 

8942,  p.  13 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance: 

Arrival  statement  (Vance),  PR  212,  5/4 
Joint  communique,  June  58 
Joint  news  conference,  June  56 
Toast  (Vance),  PR  214,  5/4 
Visit  of  Vice  President  Mondale,  Mar.  1 1 
Mezvinsky,  Edward  M.,  Sept.  52 
Micronesia  (Trust  Territory  of  the  Pacific): 
Sept.   47;  ANZUS,  July  48;  Department, 
June  49;  Holbrooke,  Oct.  43 
Statement  of  Principles,  June  49 
Military  aid  (see  also  Foreign  aid  and  Security 
assistance): 
Germany.  Federal  Republic  of: 

Defense  equipment  agreement  re  mutual 
cooperation  in  research  add  develop- 
ment, production,  procurement,  and 
logistic  support,  Dec.  60 
Sidewinder  (AIM-96)  missile  system, 
coproduction  and  sale,  bilateral 
agreement,  July  61 
Human  rights  considerations.   See  under 

Foreign  aid 
Japan,  U.S.   administrative  and  related  ex- 
penses for  Japanese  FY   1978,  bilateral 
agreement,  Sept.  61 
Korea,   Republic  of,   proposed  aid:  Carter, 
June   36;  Holbrooke,   Apr.   32;   Vance, 
Jan.  19,  Apr.  29 
Mutual  defense  (Carter),  Apr.  18 
Panama,  economic  and  military  cooperation 


23 

Military  aid  (Cont'd) 

agreement,  Nov.  57 
Southeast  Asia  (Holbrooke),  Apr.  34 
Taiwan  (Department),  Dec.  29 
Turks  and  Caicos  Islands,  defense  areas, 
bilateral  agreement  with  U.K..  Nov.  57 
U.S.   appropriations  request:   Benson,   Mar. 
45;   Vance.  Apr.   29,  June   19,  PR  89, 
2/24 
Military   missions,   bilateral   agreement   with 

Iran,  Mar.  60 
Mink.  Patsy  T.,  Feb.  42.  Apr.  51 
Mojsov,  Lazar  (quoted).  Jan.  39 
Momjian  Set  Charles.  Nov.  46 
Monaco,  accession  to  international  trade  in  en- 
dangered species  of  wild   fauna  and   flora 
convention,  July  59 
Mondale,  Walter,  Jan.  46 
Addresses  and  remarks: 

Arms  control,   address  to  U.N.   General 
Assembly  Special  Session  on  Disar- 
mament. June  31 
Camp  David  meeting,  greetings  on  arrival 
of  President   Sadat   and   of  Prime 
Minister  Begin,  Oct.  4 
Israel,  30th  anniversary,  address  to  Israeli 
Knesset,  Aug.  33 
U.S.  delegation  to  U.N.  Special  Session  on 
Disarmament,  ex  officio  chairman.  Aug. 
44  n 
Visit  to  Canada  and  Mexico,  Mar.  9 
Visit  to  Southeast  Asia:  Brzezinski.  June  4; 
Holbrooke.  Apr.  33.  Aug.  2;  Mondale. 
July  22.  23;  Vance,  Sept.  20 
Mongolia: 

General  statistics,  chart.  Aug.  3 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59. 
July  59 
Monnet.  Jean  (quoted),  Nov.  50 
Monroe,  Bill,  July  26 
Moore,  John:  ASEAN,  Sept.  25;  Newsom,  Dec. 

29;  Vance,  Sept.  20 
Moose,  Richard  M.:  Apr.  30,  Dec.  25;  Vance. 
July  30 
Delivery  of  Secretary   Vance's  speech  at 
Women's  Action  Organization  award 
ceremony.  PR  358.  9/19 
Speaker,  San  Francisco  conference  on  U.S. 
foreign  policy  in  Africa,  PR  391,  10/17 
Morocco: 

Human  rights  (Christopher),  Mar.  32 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  58, 
59,  Apr.  60,  May  59,  Aug.  58,  Nov.  57, 
Dec.  60 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Parker),   sworn  in.   PR 

386,  10/13 
U.S.  visit  of  King  Hassan,  program,  PR  420, 
11/9 
Morse,  Arthur  (Carter).  June  41 
Moss,  Ambler  H.,  Jr.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador 

to  Panama,  PR  378,  9/29 
Moyers,  Bill,  Dec.  14 
Moynihan,  Daniel  Patrick  (Maynes),  Jan.  51 
Mozambique:  Carter,  July  18;  Vance.  May  28 
Raids  from  Rhodesia:  Department,  Dec.  25; 
Vance,  May  28 
Joint  U.K-U.S.  statement,  Dec.  25 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Apr. 
61,  62,  Dec.  58,  59 


24 


Multinational  corporations:  Carter,   Dec.    13; 
Maynes.  Sept.  50 
Codes  of  conduct:   May  5,  June  58;  Carter, 
Dec.  13;  Nye.  Mar.  40;  Vance.  Aug.  25 
U.N.  drafts  (Maynes),  Feb.  51 
Foreign   Corrupt    Practices   Act    of    1977 
and  the  Domestic  and  Foreign  Investment 
Improved  Disclosure  Act  of  1977:  Carter. 
Nov.  24 
Signature  (Carter),  Jan.  27 
Illicit  payments:  Apr.  48,  June  58.  July  51; 
Vance.  Aug.  25;  Young,  Oct.  59 


N 


Namibia:  June  38,  Aug.  40;  ANZUS,  July  49; 

Kaunda,   July   34;    Mondale,    Mar.    11; 

Vance,   Feb.   23,   24,  July  32.   Aug.    16. 

Sept.   16.  Nov.  49 

Background  (Christopher).  Oct.  15 

Chief  Kapuuo,   murder  of:  Carter,   May    12; 

McHenry,  June  55 
Elections,   U.N. -supervised,  proposed:   May 
16,  June  53.  54,  Aug.   19;  Carter,  Nov, 
50;  Christopher,  Oct.  15,  16;  Jamieson, 
June  52,  53;  McHenry,  June  56;  Vance, 
Aug.  11.  Dec.  21 
Date,   question   of:  joint   statement.    Dec. 
24;  McHenry,  Dec.  22;  South  African 
statement.  Dec.  24;  Vance.  Dec.  21, 
22.  23,  56;  Western  Five  statement. 
Dec.  25 
Security  Council   resolution  435:  joint 
statement.  Dec.  24;  Vance.  Dec.  21, 
23 
Text,  Dec.  57 
Voter  registration,   announcement,   Aug. 
19 
Five-power  contact  group  (see  also   South 
Africa  and  South  West  Africa  People's 
Organization,  infra):  Jan.   16.  Feb.  55; 
McHenry,  June  55;  Shulman,  Jan.   5; 
Vance,  July  5;  Young,  Feb.  54 
Proposals:  May  16;  Carter,  May  8.  12,  15; 
Christopher,  Oct.   15;  Jamieson,  June 
50;   Vance.   Aug.    11,  Nov.  49,  Dec. 
23 
Text,  June  53 
Food  and  Agriculture  Organization  constitu- 
tion,   signature,   Jan.   61 
Independence  date,  question  of:  June  53,  54; 

Jamieson,  Mar.  21;  Vance,  22.  Dec.  22 
Political  prisoners,  detainees,  and  refugees, 
proposed  release  and  return:  June  54; 
Jamieson.  June  50,  52 
South  Africa: 

Acceptance   of   proposals:   Christopher, 
(Jet     15;   Jamieson,   June   53;   Vance. 
July  30,  Aug.   II 
Qualifications:  Joint  statement,  Dec.  24; 
McHenry,  Dec.  22;  Security  Coun- 
cil,  Dec.   57;  South  African  state- 
ment, Dec.  24;  Vance,  Dec.  21,  22, 
56;   Western   Five  statement,   Dec. 
25 
Five-power  contact   group,   consultations 
with:   Genscher,   Mar.    21,   22;  de 
Guiringaud,  Mar.  21;  Jamieson,  June 
50;  joint  statement,  Dec.   24;  Owen, 


Namibia  (Cont'd) 

South  Africa  (Cont'd) 
Five-power  contact  group  (Cont'd) 

Mar.  20,  22;  South  African  statement, 
Dec.   24;   Vance,  Mar.   20,  June  25. 
26,  Dec.  21,  22,  23 
Sovereignty  claim  (Vance),  Dec.  22 
Unilateral  election  to  select  leaders:  Car- 
ter. May  8;  joint  statement,  Dec.  24; 
South   African  statement,   Dec.   24; 
Vance,  Dec.  21.  22.  23,  56;  Western 
Five  statement.  Dec.  25 
South  West  Africa  People's  Organization: 
Acceptance  of  proposals:   Christopher. 
Oct.    15;   Vance,  June  30. .Aug.    11, 
Dec.  56.  PR  284,  7/14 
Angolan   relations:   Carter,   Aug.   9-10; 

Vance,  Aug.  13 
Authentic  leaders  of  Namibia,  May  16 
Five-power  contact   group  consultations: 
Aug.    19;  Carter,   May  8;  Genscher, 
Mar.   21;  Jamieson,   June   50,   52; 
Vance,  Mar.  20,  Aug.  19 
SWAPO-South   Africa  district:   Christ- 
opher, Oct.    15;  Jamieson,   June  50; 
McHenry,  June  56;   Vance,  July  30, 
Aug.  11 
Soviet  position,  question  of  (Shulman),  Jan. 

5 
U.N.  role  (see  also  Elections,  supra):  June 
53,  54,  Aug.   19;  Carter,  Aug.  7;  Chris- 
topher, Oct.    16;  Jamieson,  June  52,  53; 
Maynes,   Feb.   49;  Owen,   Mar.    22; 
Shulman,  Jan.  5;  Vance,  Dec.  22 
Security  Council   resolution   385;  Carter, 
May   8,    12;  Christopher,   Oct.    15; 
Jamieson,  June  50:   McHenry,  June 
55;  Owen,  Sept.  18;  Vance,  Sept.  45, 
Dec.  56 
Security   Council   resolution  435,   text, 

Dec.  57 
U.S.  visit  of  Prime  Minister  Botha,  ques- 
tion of  (Vance),  Dec.  23 
Walvis  Bay:  Jamieson,  June  53;   Vance, 
July  30.  Sept.  45 
Map,  June  51 
National   peace  academy,   proposed  (Vance), 

Aug.  14 
National   Security  Council   decisionmaking 

(Warnke),  Dec.  10 
Nauru,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  June  59,  60, 

Aug.  59 
Near  and  Middle  East: 

Arab   world.   U.S.   relations  and   interests: 
Atherton.  May  42;  Carter.  July   17,  20; 
Saunders,  Aug.  29,  30,  Nov.  44 
Commodity  exports,  graph.  Mar.  4 
Foreign    Relations  of  the    United  States, 
1950.  volume  V,   The  Near  East,  South 
Asia,  and  Africa,  released.  Nov.  58 
Middle   East   Special   Requirements   Fund 

(Vance),  Apr.  25,  PR  89,  2/24 
Nuclear-free   zone,   proposed:   Aug.   52; 

Vance.  Mar.  17 
U.S.    interests   in   the   Middle   East,   an- 
nouncements of  conferences:   Atlanta. 
PR  138,  3/28;  Detroit,  PR  204,  5/3 
U.S.   Middle   East   policy,   announcement  of 
Los  Angeles  conference,  PR  245,  6/9 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Near  and  Middle  East  (Cont'd) 
U.S.  policy  in  the   I970's  (Saunders).  Aug. 
29 
Nepal: 

Human  rights:  Christopher.  Mar.  32;  Dubs, 

May  50 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Aug.  58,  Nov.  57, 

Dec.  60 
U.S.  relations  (Dubs),  May  50 
Netherlands: 

North   Atlantic   air  services,  joint  U.S.- 
Netherlands statement  PR  112.  3/11 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Apr.  61, 
May  59,  June  59,  60,  July  60.  Aug.  60, 
Sept.  61.  Oct.  60,  Nov.  56 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Joseph),   sworn  in,   PR 
306.  7/31 
New  Zealand  (see  also  ANZUS): 
Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:  June  49; 
remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials 
and  reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  4/6 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Treaties,   agreements,   etc.,  Feb.   60,   61, 

Mar.  59,  60 
U.S.  military  aid,  exemption  from  U.S.  pol- 
icy   controls:    Benson,    Mar.    44; 
Blechman,   Mar.   52;  Carter,   Mar.   47; 
Fish.  Mar.  48.  50;  Mondale.  June  33 
Visit  of  Vice  President  Mondale:  Brzezinski, 
June  4;   Holbrooke,   Aug.   2;  Mondale, 
July  22 
Newman,  Paul,  Aug.  43 
Newsom,  David  S.,  Dec.  25,  28,  52 

Under  Secretary  of  State  for  Political   Af- 
fairs, sworn  in,  PR  177,  4/19 
Nicaragua: 

AID  education  project  (Vance),  Apr.  26.  PR 

89.  2/24 
Internal  crisis  (Vance).  Nov.  50 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61.  Feb    60, 
61,  Apr.  60,  Dec.  60 
Niger,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  May 
59.  July  61,  Sept.  59.  60,  Oct.  60,  Nov. 
56 
Niger  River  system  development,   U.S.   aid 

(Carter),  May  13 
Nigeria: 

Democratic  progress:  Carter,  May  13;  Mez- 

vinsky,  Sept.  53 
Joint  Nigerian-U.S.   working  groups:  May 
17;  Carter,  May  15;  joint  statement.  PR 
200,  5/2 
Treaties,   agreements,  etc..   Mar.   59.  June 

60,  Aug.  61,  Oct.  61.  Nov.  57 
Visit  of  President  Carter:   May  3;  Carter. 
May  11.  15.  July  21;  Vance,  July  29 
Joint  U.S. -Nigerian  communique.  May  16 
Nimetz,  Matthew,  Jan.  31,  Aug.  26,  Oct.  29 
Speaker.  Phoenix  conference  on  select  issues 
in  U.S. -Mexico  relations,  PR  408,  10/27 
Nonalignment,  Apr.  46 
Nonintervention,  U.S.  principle  (Carter),  Apr. 

18,  Sept.  11,  Dec.  15 
Noor  Ahmad  Noor,  remarks  on  presentation  of 
letter  of  credence  and  reply  by  President 
Carter,  UNN.  8/2 
Norrish.  Merwyn:  June  49;  remarks  on  presen- 
tation of  credentials  and  reply  by  President 
Carter,  UNN.  4/6 


ndex  1978 

■Jorth  Atlantic  Council,  July  I  I 
Ministerial   meeting,   Brussels,   (Dec.   8-9, 
1977),  and  final  communique  (Vance), 
Jan.  28 
Preparatory  meeting,  Paris:  NATO,  July    9; 

Vance,  July  5,  6,  7 
Summit  meeting.   Washington:  Carter,  Feb. 
16,  July   1,   2,   3;   Mondale,  June   32; 
Vance,  July  4;  Vest,  Mar.  28 
Invasion  of  Shaba  region  on  Zaire,  consid- 
eration of:  Carter,  July  1;  Vance,  July 
5 
Text  of  final  communique,  July  8 
Vorth     Atlantic     Treaty     Organization: 
Brzezinski,  July  28;  Carter,  Jan.   12,   15; 
Truman  (quoted),  July   1;  Vance,  PR  43, 
1/21 
Background  article:   July   10;  and  general 

statistics,  1977  (table),  July  7,  Sept.  34c 
Defense  forces:  Bolen,  May  37;  Brown, 
Nov.  14;  Brzezinski,  June  1;  Carter,  Feb. 
14,  16.  20,  Apr.  18,  June  12,  July  1,  16; 
Christopher,  Dec.  36;  Mondale,  June  32; 
NATO,  Jan.  30;  Vance,  May  21;  Vest, 
Mar.  27,  28;  Warnke,  Apr.  9 
Coproduction  and  third-country  sales 

(Christopher),  Dec.  39 
Long-term  defense  program:  Carter,  July 
2,  3;  Sept.  7,  8;  NATO,  July  9,   10; 
Vance,  July  4,  Aug.  15 
New   weapons   systems   and   family-of- 
weapons  concept  (Christopher),  Dec. 
38 
Readiness,  question  of  (Brown),  Nov.  15 
Tribute   to,   Wiesbaden-Erbenheim   Air 
Base:  Carter,  Sept.  8;  Schmidt,  Sept. 
9 
U.S.   forward-based   systems  (Warnke). 
Oct.  18,  Dec.  10 
Greece  and  Turkey,   importance  to:  Carter, 
July  4,   Aug.   6,  7,  Sept.   34,  Dec.   38; 
Clifford,  July  41;  Department.  May  34, 
Dec.  38;  Vance,  May  33.  June  25,  July 
4,  6,   Sept.    14,  PR  265,   6/28;  White 
House  statement.  Sept.  34 
Italy,  importance  to  (Gardner),  July  43 
NATO   explosion-resistant   multi-influence 
sweep  system  (ERMISS),  memorandum 
of  understanding  (1978),  Nov.  56 
Spain,  question  of  membership  (Vance),  July 

8 
Unity  of  the  alliance  (Carter),  July  3 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Bennett),  profile.  July  1  1 
U.S.   consultations  on  SALT  negotiations: 
Dec.  4;  Carter,   Feb.    17,  July  2,  4; 
NATO,  Jan.  31,  July  9;  Vance,  Jan.  28, 
29,  July  5;  Vest,  Mar.  29 
U.S.    financial   and  other  support:   Carter. 
Sept.  7,  Oct.  12;  Schmidt,  Sept.  8;  Vest, 
Mar.  28 
U.S.  military  supplies,  exemption  from  U.S. 
policy   controls:   Benson,    Mar.   44; 
Blechman,   Mar.   52;  Carter,  Mar.   47; 
Fish,  Mar.  48,  50;  Mondale,  June  33 
Norway,   treaties,   agreements,  etc.,  Jan.   61, 
Mar.  59,  60,  July  58,  59.  60,  Aug.  60,  61, 
Sept.  60,  61 
Notices  of  meetings: 

Advisory  committee  of  the  U.S.   National 


Notices  of  meetings  (Cont'd) 

Section  of  the  International  Commission 
for  the  Conservation  of  Atlantic  Tunas, 
PR   116,   3/15;  PR   161,  4/12;  PR  351. 
9/13 
Advisory  Committee  on  Historical  Diploma- 
tic Documentation,  PR  384,  10/10 
Advisory  Committee  on  International  Intel- 
lectual Property,  PR  118.  3/15;  PR  366, 
9/22;  PR  424,  11/14 
Advisory  Committee  on  the  Law  of  the  Sea, 
partially  closed  meeting,  PR  239,  6/6;  PR 
377,  9/29 
Advisory  Committee  on  Music: 

Advisory  Panel  on  Academic  Music,   PR 

80,  2/17 
U.S.   Advisory  Committee  on  Classical 
Music,  PR  108.  3/8 
Advisory  Committee  on  the  1979  World  Ad- 
ministrative Radio  Conference,  PR  229, 
5/24;  PR  330,  8/15;  PR  412,   11/3;  PR 
457,  12/14 
Advisory  Committee  on  Transnational  Enter- 
prises: PR  582,   12/21/77;  PR  72,  2/13; 
PR  84,  2/21;  PR  148,  4/5;  PR  160,  4/12 
(revision);  PR  210,  5/3;  PR  226,  5/24;  PR 
227,  5/24;  PR  302,  7/26;  PR  335,  8/16; 
PR  369,   9/27;  PR  262,   6/26  (closed 
meeting);  PR  282,  7/13  (cancellation);  PR 
405,  10/26;  PR  433,  11/22 
Advisory  Committee  to  U.S.  Section,  Inter- 
national North  Pacific  Fisheries  Commis- 
sion, PR  352,  9/14 
Fine  Arts  Committee,  PR  385,  10/10 
Ocean  Affairs  Advisory  Committee,  PR  59, 

1/31;  PR  238,  6/6;  PR  372,  9/27 
Overseas  Schools  Advisory  Council,  PR  208, 

5/3;  PR  400,  10/24 
Secretary  of  State's  Advisory  Committee  on 
Private  International  Law,  PR  54.   1/30; 
PR  357,  9/18 
Study  group  on  estate  matters,  PR  222, 

5/17 
Study  group  on  hotelkeepers'  liability,  PR 

77.  2/15;  PR  130,  3/21 
Study  group  on  international  child  abduc- 
tion by  one  parent,  PR  425,  1 1/14 
Study  group  on  maritime  law  matters,  PR 

36,  1/20;  PR  197,  5/1 
Study  group  on  negotiable  instruments,  PR 

230,  5/24 
Study  group  on  recognition  and  enforce- 
ment of  foreign  judgments,   PR  288, 
7/17 
Study  group  on  transnational  bankruptcy 
problems,   PR   113,   3/13;  PR   180, 
4/20;  PR  289,  7/17 
Shipping  Coordinating  Committee: 

Committee  on  Ocean  Dumping,   PR   198, 

5/1;  PR  328.  8/15 
National  Committee  for  the  Prevention  of 
Marine  Pollution,   PR   132,   3/21;  PR 

361,  9/20 

Open  meetings,   PR   120,   3/15;  PR   149. 
4/5;  PR   162,  4/12;  PR  320,  8/8;  PR 

362,  9/20 

Ad  hoc  working  group  on  nuclear  ships, 
PR  152,  4/6;  PR  153,  4/7;  PR  334, 
8/16 


25 


Notices  of  meetings  (Cont'd) 
Shipping  Coordinating  Committee  (Cont'd) 
Subcommittee  on  SOLAS: 

Working  group  on  bulk  chemicals,  PR 

144.  3/31;  PR  469,  12/28 
Working  group  on  carriage  of  dangerous 

goods.  PR  207.  5/3;  PR  312.  8/7 
Working  group  on  fire  protection,   PR 

301,  7/28;  PR  371,  9/27 
Working   group  on   international   multi- 
national   transport   and   containers, 
PR  561,  12/12/77;  PR  189.  4/26;  PR 
325,  8/15;  PR  404,  10/26 
Working  group  on  lifesaving  appliances, 
PR  3,   1/5;  PR  267,  6/29;  PR  428, 
11/15 
Working   group  on  radiocommunica- 
tions,   PR  560,    12/12/77;  PR  37, 
1/20;  PR  134.  3/21;  PR  190,  4/26; 
PR  228,   5/24;  PR  259,  6/20;  PR 
299,  7/26;  PR  350.  9/13;  PR  399, 
20/24;   PR  422,    1  1/13;   PR  466, 
12/22 
Working  group  on  safety  of  fishing  ves- 
sels, PR  319,  8/8 
Working  group  on  safety  of  navigation, 
PR    188,  4/26;  PR  252,   6/14;  PR 
442,  12/7 
Working   group  on   ship  design  and 
equipment,  PR  117,  3/15;  PR  327, 
8/15;  PR  370.  9/27;  PR  423,  1  1/13; 
PR  463.  12/22 
Working  group  on  standards  of  training 
and   watchkeeping,   PR  572.    12/ 
15/77;  PR  133.  3/21;  PR  331,  8/15; 
PR  393,  10/19;  PR  436,  11/27 
Working  group  on  subdivision  and  sta- 
bility, PR  150,  4/5;  PR  255,  6/16; 
PR  326.  8/15 
Panel  on  bulk  cargoes.  PR  173.  4/17; 
PR  261.  6/22;  PR  340,  8/29;  PR 
414,  11/3 
U.S.  Advisory  Commission  on  International 
Educational  and  Cultural  Affairs,  PR  34, 
1/19 
U.S.  Advisory  Committee  on  Folk  Music  and 

Jazz,  PR  578,  12/19/77 
U.S.   National  Committee  for  the  Interna- 
tional  Radio  Consultative  Committee 
(CCIR): 
National  Committee.  PR  147.  4/5 
Study  group  1.  PR  78,  2/15;  PR  122.  3/15; 

PR  329.  8/15 
Study  group  2,  PR  85,  2/22 
Study  group  4,  PR  119,  3/15 
Study  group  5,  PR  573,  12/15/77;  PR  123, 
3/15;  PR  185,  4/24;  PR  300,  7/26;  PR 
347,  9/8;  PR  388,  10/16 
Study  group  6,  PR  27,  1/17;  PR  332,  8/15 
Study  group  7,  PR  33,  1/19;  PR  70,  2/10; 

PR  447,  12/11 
Study  group  8,  PR  94,  2/27;  PR  137,  3/28 
Study  group  9,  PR  583,  12/21/77 
Study  group  10  and   11.  PR  87,  2/23;  PR 
143,  3/31 
U.S.  National  Committee  of  the  International 
Telegraph  and  Telephone  Consultative 
Committee  (CCITT): 
Study  Group  1,  PR  585,  12/27/77;  PR  69, 


26 


Notices  of  meetings  (Cont'd) 
CCITT  (Cont'd) 

Study  Group  I  (Cont'd) 

2/10;  PR  121.  3/15;  PR  199.  5/1;  PR 
251,   6/13;   PR  294,   7/20;  PR  304. 
7/28;  PR  337,  8/23;  PR  355,  9/15;  PR 
401.  10/25;  PR  441,  12/7 
Study  Group  2,  PR  281.  7/13;  PR  430, 

11/17 
Study  Group  4,  PR  68.  2/10;  PR  250.  6/13; 
PR  349,  9/13;  PR  460,  12/19 
Nuclear  energy,  peaceful  uses:  Apr.  46,  June 
58,  Aug.  51,  53,  Sept.  3;  Cooper,  Nov.  20 
CABRI   in-pile.   and   Annular  Core  Pulsed 
Reactor  (ACPR),   research  programs  re 
fast  reactor  safety,  agreement  (1978); 
France,  Federal   Republic  of  Germany, 
U.S  ,  Sept.  58-59 
India,  Tarapur  reactor;  Aug.  40;  Carter,  Feb. 
9,   17.  July  47;  Newsom.  Dec.  54;  Nye, 
July  45 
International   nuclear  fuel-cycle  evaluation 
program  (INFCEP):  Aug.   53,   Sept.   3; 
ANZUS,  July  48;  Carter,  Apr.  50;  Gard- 
ner, July  44;  Gelb,  Nov.   18;  Mondale, 
June   33;  Nye,   July  46,   Oct.   40,  41; 
Vance,  Nov.  47,  50;  Vest,  Mar.  28 
Organizing  conference  (Shulman),  Jan.  4 
Korea-US.   Joint  Standing  Committee  on 
Nuclear  and  Other  Energy  Technology. 
Joint  Statement,  PR  348,  9/1  1 
Nuclear  cooperation  (Vance),  June  18 

Bilateral  agreements  with;  Australia.  Oct. 
61;  Iran,  Apr.  49 
Nuclear  fuel  bank,  proposed:  Gardner.  July 

44;  Nye,  Oct.  42 
Safeguards.  See  under  International  Atomic 

Energy  Agency 
Safety  matters,  exchange  of  technical  infor- 
mation and  cooperation  in,  bilateral  ar- 
rangement in  Israel,  Aug.  60 
Satellite  power  sources,  safety  factors  (Car- 
ter), Mar.  7,  8 
Thorium  technology  (Carter),  May  8 
TRIGA  reactor,  supply  of  enriched  uranium. 
bilateral  agreement  with  Romania,  Apr. 
62 
Uranium  enrichment  services,   payments 
from  Japanese  utility  companies,  bilateral 
agreement  with  Japan,  Oct.  62 
U.S.   policy:  Carter,   Apr.   50,   May  8,  July 
22;  Leonard,  Aug.  47;  Mondale,  June  33; 
Nye,  Mar.   .38,  July  45,  Oct.   39;   Vest, 
Mar.  28;  Warnke,  Aug.  45;  Young,  Aug. 
42 
Nuclear  fuel   supply,  assurances  of:   Sept. 
3;  Carter,   Sept.    1;  Gelb,   Nov.    18; 
Mondale,  June  33;  Nye,  Oct.  40,  41, 
42;  Vance,  Nov.  47 
U.S.  production  (Cooper),  Feb.  29 
U.S.  visit  of  Korean  Minister  of  Energy  and 

Resources  Chang,  PR  193,  4/27 
Zero  power  research  reactor,  transfer  of  en- 
riched uranium,  agreement,  (1978),  entry 
into  force,  July  58 
Nuclear-free  zones,  proposed  (see  also   Latin 
America:   Nuclear-free  tieaty):   Aug.   51, 
52;   Leonard,   Aug.   46;   Nye,  Oct.   38; 
Warnke,  Aug.  45;  Young,  Feb.  53 


Nuclear  nonproliferation:  Jan.   15,  Feb.  9,  Apr. 
46.  May  5,   10,  Aug.  40,  49,  51;  Benson. 
Mar.   42,   Oct.   55;   Brzezinski,   June    1; 
Carter.  Feb.   10.   15,   17.  20,  May  8.  July 
16,   Sept.    1,   7;  Lake,  Jan.   24;  Leonard, 
Aug.   47;   Mondale,   Mar.    13,  June  33; 
Newsom,  Dec.  54;  Nye,  Mar.  38;  Vance, 
Feb.  23,  Mar.   18,  Apr.  28,  May  22,  31. 
Nov.  47;  Young,  Feb.  53 
Nuclear  Nonproliferation  Act  of   1978:  Car- 
ter, July  47;  Gelb,  Nov.  18-19;  Nye,  July 
46 
Signature,  (Carter),  Apr.  49 
Soviet  position  and  interests:  Shulman.  Jan. 
4;  Vest,  Mar.  29;  Warnke,  Jan.  21,  22, 
Oct.  20,  22,  23,  Dec.  9 
Treaty  (1968):  Apr.  50;  Vance,  May  20 
Adherence,    importance   of:    Aug.    53; 
ANZUS,  July  48;  Carter,   May  8; 
Gelb,   Nov.    17,    18;  Nye,  Oct.   38; 
Vance,  July  30;   Warnke,   Aug.  45; 
Young,  Aug.  42 
Article  6,   implementation,   problems  of 

(Warnke),  Aug.  45 
Current  actions:  Congo  (Brazzaville),  Dec. 
59;   Guinea-Bissau,    Liechtenstein, 
Aug.  59;  Portugal,  Jan.  61 
Review  conference,   1980:  Gelb,  Nov.   18; 
Vance,  Nov.  50 
Nuclear  testing: 

Comprehensive  test  ban  treaty  with  Soviet 
Union,  proposed:  Jan.  16,  Aug.  51; 
ANZUS,  July  48;  Carter,  Jan.  11,  Feb.  3, 
10,  14,  20,  July  14,  22,  Aug.  8,  9,  Sept. 
7;  Gelb,  Nov.  17;  Harriman,  Aug.  47; 
Leonard,  Aug.  47;  Nye,  Oct.  38;  Shul- 
man, Nov.  28;  Vance,  Mar.  19,  Aug.  15, 
Sept.  32,  Nov.  50;  Vest.  Mar.  29; 
Warnke,  Jan.  20,  Aug.  45,  Dec.  9,  11; 
Young,  Feb.  53 
Multilateral  treaty,  goal  (Mondale),  June 

33 
SALT  II  agreement,  question  of  linkage: 

Gromyko,  Sept.  32;  Vance,  Sept.  32 
Soviet  involvement  in  Ethiopia-Somalia 
dispute,  question  of  effect  (Carter). 
Apr.  20,  21 
U.S.-Soviet-U .  K.   discussions:  Carter, 
Feb.   17;  Mondale,  June  31,  32;  Shul- 
man, Jan.   4,   Nov.   30;   Vance,   May 
21,  June  26;  Warnke,  Apr.  6 
Nuclear  test  ban  treaty  (1963):  Gelb,  Nov.  17 

Accession,  Bhutan,  Aug.  59 
Peaceful  nuclear  explosions:  Aug.  51;  Car- 
ter, Feb.   14 
Treaty  (1976):  Gelb,  Nov.  18 

Soviet  moratorium:   Leonard,   Aug.   47; 
Shulman.   Nov.   30;   Warnke.  Jan 
22,  24 
Threshold  test  ban  treaty  (1974):  Gelb,  Nov. 
18 
Nuclear  war,  dangers  of:  Aug.  48,  49;  Brown, 
Nov.   16;  Carter,  Dec.   15;  Shulman,  Nov. 
29,  30;  Vance,  May  21;  Warnke,  Apr.  4. 
9,  Aug.  44 
Nuclear  weapons: 

Elimination,  proposed:  Apr.  46,  Aug.  40, 
50,  51,  52;  Carter,  Feb.  14,  20,  July  22; 
Mondale,  June  31;  Warnke,  Oct.   21; 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Nuclear  weapons  (Cont'd) 

Elimination,  proposed  (Cont'd) 

Young,  Aug.  42 
First  use,  principle:  Aug.   52;  Carter.   Aug. 
52  (quoted);  Mondale,  June  33;  Vance, 
Aug.  52,  Nov.  50;  Warnke,  Aug.  45 
Seabed  disarmament  treaty  (1971);  Aug.  53; 
Gelb.  Nov.  17 
Accession,  Congo  (Brazzaville),  Dec.  59 
U.S.   and   Soviet   Strategic   Capability 
Through  the  Mid-1980's,  ACDA  report, 
Oct.  24 
Nye.  Joseph  S..  Jr.,  Mar.  38,  July  45.  Oct.  38 
Nyerere.  Julius:  Jan.  36  (quoted);  Carter,  Aug. 
7 


o 


Oceans: 

Competition  for  fish,  mineral  resources,  and 
other  issues:   Benson,  Oct.   55;  Chris- 
topher, Sept.  26 
1977  conference  (Mink).  Feb.  42 
World  oceans,   cooperation  in  studies  of. 
bilateral  agreement  with  Soviet  Union, 
Aug.  61 
Oduber,   Daniel,   speaker,   conference  on 
U.S. -Caribbean  trade,  investment,  and  de 
velopment,  PR  1 1 .  1/9 
Oil  pollution  (Christopher).  Sept.  26 

Civil  liability  for  oil  pollution  damage,  in- 
ternational convention  (1969):  Germar 
Democratic  Republic.  May  58;  Ghana 
July  59;  Indonesia.  Nov.  56 
International   fund  for  compensation  for  oi 
pollution  damage,   international  conven 
tion  (1971):   France.  Aug.   59;  Ghana 
July  59;  Indonesia,  Nov.  56;  Yugoslavia 
May  58 
Entry  into  force,  Sept.  59 
Intervention  on  the  high  seas  in  cases  of  oi 
pollution  casualties,   international  con 
vention  (1969),  ratification,  Ghana,  July 
59 
Prevention  of  pollution  of  the  sea  by  oil,  in 
ternational  convention  (1954),   amend 
ments  (1969),  Chile,  Jan.  61 
Vessel   source   pollution,    jurisdictioi 
(Richardson).  June  48 
O'Kennedy.  Michael,  remarks  on  visit  of  Sec 

retary  Vance.  PR  9A.  1/19 
Okrun,  Gunduz,  Feb.  30 
Olmsted.   Mary,   Ambassador  to  Solomon  Is 

lands  (Holbrooke),  Oct    44 
Olympic  Games,  1980  (Carter).  Sept.  12 
Oman: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Feb.  60.  Apr.  60 

Oct.  60 
U.S.    Ambassador   (Wiley),    sworn   in.    PF 
392,  10/18 
O'Neill,  Thomas  P.,  Jr.,  Jan.  9 
Organization  for  Economic  Cooperation  anc 
Development:  Sept.  3;  Carter,  Sept    56 
Growth   rate   of  capital   stock,   repor 

(Cooper),  Nov.  21 
Ministerial  meeting.  Pans.  See  under  Econ 
omy,  world 
Organization  of  African   Unity:   May    16 


Index  1978 

Organization  of  African  Unity  (Cont'd) 

Brzezinski,  July  28;  Carter,  Feb.  21,  Apr. 
21.   May    14.    15.   July    16,   Aug.   7,   Mon- 
dale,  June  34;  Vance.  June  29,  Aug.   12, 
14,  Dec.  20 
Organization  of  American  States:  July  51; 
Carter,  July  16.  18,  Aug.  42;  Derian,  Nov. 
52;  Mondale,  June  34 
General  Assembly,  8th  regular  session  (Car- 
ter), Sept.  54 
Inter-American  Commission   on   Human 
Rights:  May  4,  July  51;  Carter,  May  9, 
Sept.  55;  Derian,  Nov.  53;  Todman,  May 
55 
Annual  Report,  resolution,  Sept.  57 
Inter-American   Commission   of  Women, 
election  of  President  Carmen  Delgado- 
Votaw,  PR  416,  11/7 
Members,  list,  Sept.  54 
Profile,  Sept.  55 

U.S.   appropriations   request   FY    1979 
(Vance),  Apr.  24,  28;  PR  83,  2/21,  PR 
109,  3/9 
Organization  of  Petroleum  Exporting  Coun- 
tries:  Sept.   48;  Carter,   May  2;  Cooper, 
Feb.  28.  Apr.  38;  Hormats,  July  36;  Nye, 
Oct.  38 
Financial  surpluses,  investments,  and  inter- 
national aid  (Saunders),  Aug.  30 
Javits-Whalen-Simon  proposal  (Cooper), 
Nov.  22 
Orlov,   Yuri:  July    lOn;  Carter,   Sept.    11; 

Nimetz,  Oct.  29;  Vance,  July  7 
Ostrander,  Nancy,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Surinam,  PR  253,  6/14 
Owen,  David,  Mar.  20,  22,  June  21,  23,  Sept. 
17,  PR  167,  4/15 


Pachariyangkun,  Upadit,  Sept.  23 
Pacific  area,  U.S.  role,  relations:  Brzezinski, 
June  1;  Carter,  Apr.   18;  Holbrooke,  Apr. 
31,  Aug.  1.  Oct.  43;  Mondale,  July  22 
Pahlavi,  Mohammad  Reza  Shah.  Feb.  6 
Paine,  Thomas  (quoted).  May  17 
Pakistan:  Newsom,  Dec.  53;  Vance,  June  25 
Economic  problems  (Dubs),  May  49 
IDA  education  project,  Apr.  27 
Opium  control  program  and  U.S.  aid  (Falco), 

June  42,  45 
Pakistan-Sweden  age-sex  population  com- 
parison, Oct.  47,  49 
Political   prisoners,   release  of:   Jan.   39; 

Christopher,  Mar.  32 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ment, PR  17,  1/12 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  61, 
Mar.  59,  60.  Apr.  61,  June  60,  July  61 
U.S.  military  sales  policy  (Benson),  Mar.  43 
Panama: 

Canal  treaties:  Jan.  15;  Maynes,  Sept.  49; 
Vance,  Mar.  18 
Carter-Torrijos  joint  statement  of  under- 
standing and  question  of  status  as 
treaty  amendment:  Carter,  Jan.  12; 
Vance.  Feb.  57.  PR  13A,  1/13;  PR 
23,  1/14 


Panama  (Cont'd) 

Canal  treaties  (Cont'd) 

Congress,  ratification  by:  May  5,  59,  June 
58,   61,   July   61,    Aug.   61;   Bennet. 
June  35;  Carter,  Jan.    11.   Feb.   20, 
Mar.   55,   Apr.   59;  Richardson,  Feb. 
58;   Vance,   Feb.   23.   56,   Mar.    19, 
Apr.  59,  May  23,  52,  PR  12,  1/11,  PR 
13,    1/12,   PR   I3A,    1/13,   PR   18A, 
1/16,  PR  23,  1/14 
DeConcini  and   Nunn  conditions,   texts. 
May  53 
Entry  into  force,  Aug.  61 
Exchange   of  instruments  of  ratifica- 
tion:  Aug.   61;  Carter,  July  49. 
52;  text,  July  52 
Leadership   amendments   20   and   21, 

texts.  May  52,  53 
Multilateral  statement,  text,  July  51 
U.S.   and  Panamanian  reservations  and 
understandings,  texts,  May  53,  54, 
July  53,  54,  55,  56.  57 
Latin   America  relations,  effect:   Carter, 
Mar.  57,  Sept.  54;  Richardson,  Feb. 
28;  Todman,  May  55;  Vance,  Feb.  59, 
Mar.    19,  May  23,  PR   12.    1/11,   PR 
13,    1/12,   PR    13A.    1/13,   PR   18A, 
1/16,  PR  23,  1/14 
Panama  Canal  Commission  (Vance),  Feb. 

56 
Panamanian  plebiscite:  Todman.  May  55; 

Vance,  Feb.  57 
Sea-level  canal  provision:  Carter.  Mar.  57; 

Vance,  Feb.  57,  PR  13A.  1/13 
Texts,  July  52 

U.S.   implementing  legislation  (Vance), 
Mar.  17 
Cuba  and  Soviet  Union,  question  of  influ- 
ence (Vance),  PR  I3A,  1/13 
Government,  form:  Carter,  Mar.  57;  Vance, 

Feb.  59 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  60, 
May  58,  59,  June  59,  61,  July  60,  61, 
Sept.  59,  60,  Nov.  57,  Dec.  58,  60 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Moss),  sworn  in.  PR  378, 

9/29 
U.S.  economic  aid,  proposed:  (Vance),  Feb. 
59,  Mar.  17,  PR  12,  1/11,  PR  13A,  1/13 
Visit  of  President  Carter  (Carter),  July  49 
Text  of  multilateral  statement,  July  51 
Pansa  Cedronio,  Paolo:  July  44;  remarks  on 
presentation  of  credentials  and  reply  by 
President  Carter,  UNN,  4/6 
Papaligouras,   Panagiotis,   remarks   on   visit  of 
Secretary  Vance  to  Greece,  PR  44,   1/23, 
PR  46,  1/25 
Papua  New  Guinea: 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Palm  oil   loan.   World  Bank  disapproval: 

Maynes,  Sept.  50;  Vance,  PR  89,  2/24 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,   Mar.   58,  June 

61.  Aug.  58 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Olmsted)  to  serve  con- 
currently as  Ambassador  to  Solomon  Is- 
lands (Holbrooke),  Oct.  44 
Paraguay: 

Human  rights  (OAS),  Sept.  58 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Apr.  61, 
May  59 


27 


Parker,  Richard  B.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Morocco.  PR  386,  10/13 
Patents: 

International  patent  classification,  Strasbourg 
agreement  (1971),  accession,  Portugal, 
July  59 
Microorganisms,   Budapest  treaty  (1977)  on 
deposit  of:  Austria,  Mar.  59;  Bulgaria, 
Oct.   60;   Hungary,   Sept.   59;   Luxem- 
bourg, Senegal,  Soviet  Union,   Sweden, 
Mar.  59 
Patent  cooperation  treaty  (1970):  Brazil,  Mar. 
59;  Denmark,  Oct.  60;  France,  Jan.  61; 
Japan,  Sept.  59;  Luxembourg,  Apr.  60; 
Soviet  Union,  Mar.  59;  Sweden.  Apr.  60; 
U.S..  Jan.  61 
Entry  into  force  of  Chapter  II,  Mar.  59 
Peace  Corps  program: 

Bilateral  agreement  with:  Bangladesh,  Oct. 

61;  Seychelles,  Aug.  61 
South  Pacific  islands  (Holbrooke),  Oct.  44 
Peacock.  Andrew,  July  48 
Pearson,  James  B.,  Nov.  46 
Perez,  Carlos,  May  1  (quoted),  July  49.  51,  57n 
Persian  Gulf: 
Oil  supplies,  importance  (Carter),  Apr.  19 
Security  (Vance),  June  25 
Peru: 

Cocaine  control   program  and   U.S.   aid 

(Falco),  June  42,  44 
Democratic  elections  (Derian),  Nov.  53 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  60, 
61,  Mar.  59,  Apr.  60,  June  59,  60,  July 
58,  60,  61,  Sept.  61,  Oct.  60,  Nov.  57, 
Dec.  61 
Petkus,  Mr.:  Carter,  Sept.  11;  Nimetz,  Oct.  29 
Petterson,  Donald  K.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Somalia,  PR  407,  10/27 
Philippines: 
Asian  Development  Bank  and  World  Bank  ir- 
rigation projects,  financing:  Cooper,  Apr. 
39;  Vance,  Apr.  27 
Bicol  integrated  area  development  II  project, 

bilateral  agreement  with  U.S..  July  62 
Economic    and    political    development 

(Newsom),  Dec.  28,  29,  30 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Human  rights  (Christopher),  Mar.  32 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ment, PR  21.  1/13;  PR  52,  1/24;  PR  65. 
2/7;  PR  248,  6/13;  PR  353,  9/14 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  61, 
Mar.  59,  60,  Apr.  61.  June  60,  61,  July 
58,  62;  Aug.  61,  Oct.  62,  Nov.  57 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Murphy),  sworn  in,  PR 

235,  5/31 
U.S.   bases:   Brzezinski,  June  3;  Holbrooke, 

Apr.  33,  Aug.  2;  Mondale,  July  23 
U.S.  economic  and  military  aid:  Holbrooke, 
Apr.  34;  Mondale.  July  24;  Vance,  Apr. 
29,  PR  89,  2/24 
Vietnam,  relations  (Romulo),  Sept.  23 
Visit  of  Vice  President  Mondale:  Brzezinski, 
June  4;   Holbrooke,   Aug.   2;  Mondale, 
July  22 
Phonograms,   protection  against  unauthorized 
duplication,  convention  (1971):   Egypt, 
Mar.  59;  Israel,  Apr.  60;  Japan,  Sept.  59; 


28 


Phonograms  (Cont'd) 
Norway,  July  59 
Piper,     Harold    D.:    (Nimetz.)    Oct.    32; 

Vance,  Aug.  17,  18 
Poland: 

Agriculture  and  economy  (Luers).   Nov.   36, 

37 
Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:  July  44;  re- 
marks on  presentation  of  credentials  and 
reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN  4/6 
Cardinal  Wyszynski,  visit  by  Rosalynn  Carter 
and  Dr.  Brzezinski  (Carter),  Feb.  18,  19 
Human  rights  (Carter),  Feb.  4,  6 
Soviet  relations:  Carter,  Feb.  4;  Luers,  Nov. 

34.  35 

Textile  agreement  with  U.S..  text  of  amend- 
ment. PR  56.  1/30;  PR  402.  10/26;  PR 
427,  11/14 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  60. 
Mar.  60,  June  60,  Aug.  58.  Oct.  61,  Dec. 
59,  61 

U.S.  Ambassador  (Schaufele),  sworn  in.  PR 
67,  2/10 

U.S.   relations:  Carter,  Feb.  3;  Luers,  Nov. 

35,  40 

U.S.  trade  (Carter),  Feb.  5 

Visit  of  President  Carter:  Jan.  16;  Carter,  Jan. 

9,  14,  Feb.  1,  17,  18,  21;  Gierek,  Feb.  1; 

Luers,  Nov.  41;  Nimetz,  Aug.  26;  Vest, 

Mar.  29 

Discussion  topics:  Carter,  Feb.  5,  6;  Vance, 

PR  9A,  1/19 
Text  of  joint  communique,  Feb.  4 
Polish-American  Day.  announcement,  PR  368. 

9/27 
Political  prisoners  (Christopher),  Mar.  30 
Cuba:  May  57,  Department,  Sept.  57 
Iran  (Carter).  Dec.  15 
Latin  America  (Derian),  Nov.  53 
Releases  by  Republic  of  Korea,   Indonesia, 
Pakistan,  and  Bangladesh  Governments: 
Jan.  39;  Christopher,  Mar.  32 
Pope  John  XXIII.  June  14  (quoted) 
Pope  Paul  VI,  June  32  (quoted) 

Death  of,  regrets  (Vance),  PR  316,  8/7 

Population  growth  and  problems:  Carter,   Dec. 

12,  46  (quoted);  Green.   Feb.   45;  Mink. 

Feb.  43:  Vance,  Feb.  24,  June  18,  Dec.  46 

(quoted) 

East  Asia  and   Pacific,   general   statistics, 

charts,  Aug.  3,  Oct.  46,  48 
Eastern   Europe   declining   growth   rates 

(Luers),  Nov.  36 
Family  planning  and  other  birth  control  pro- 
grams: Oct.  49,  53,  Nov.  4,  6;  Green, 
Feb.   47;    Vance,   Apr.    26,   June    19,   PR 
89,  2/24 
Bilateral   agreements  with:    Bangladesh, 
Sept.  70;  Indonesia,  July  61,  Sept.  60; 
Philippines,  Tunisia,  July  62 
Motivation,  Nov.  5,  Dec.  44 
In-depth  study,  with  charts  and  tables: 
Part  1,  Oct.  45 
Part  2,  Nov.  1 
Part  3,  Dec.  44 
U.N.  Fund  for  Population  Activities,  Nov.  7 

U.S.  pledge  (Whalen),  Jan.  56 
U.S.    international   population   policies,   Nov. 

8,  Dec.  46 
World  Population  Conference,  1974,  summary 


Population  growth  (Cont'd) 
World  Conference  (Cont'd) 

of  objectives  and  recommendations,  Dec. 
45 
Portugal: 

Democratic  progress:  Carter,  Feb.    13;  Mez- 

vinsky,  Sept.  53;  Vest,  Mar.  27 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59. 
Apr.  60,  May  59,  July  59,  60,  62.  Aug. 
58,  60,  Sept.  59,  Dec.  58,  61 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Bloomfield).  sworn  in,  PR 

74.  2/14 
U.S.  military  aid,  U.S.  appropriations  request 
(Vance).  Apr.  29.  PR  89,  2/24 
Postal  matters: 

Money  orders  and  postal  travellers'  checks 
agreements  (1974):  Chad,  Chile,  Dji- 
bouti, El  Salvador,  Oct.  60;  Gabon,  Dec. 
59;  Libya,  Nov.  56;  Morocco,  Apr.  60; 
Mozambique,  Dec.  59;  Yemen  Arab  Re- 
public, Oct.  60 
Postal  Union  of  the  Americas  and  Spain: 
Constitution,  additional  protocol  (1976):  El 

Salvador,  Oct.  61;  Surinam,  Mar.  59 
Money  order  agreement  and  final  protocol 

(1976),  El  Salvador,  Oct.  61 
Parcel  post  agreement,  final  protocol,  and 
detailed  regulations  (1976),   El   Sal- 
vador, Oct.  61 
Universal  Postal  Union  (Maynes).  Feb.  50 
Constitution  (1964):  Djibouti,  El  Salvador, 
Oct.   60;  Grenada,  Apr.   60;  Mozam- 
bique, Dec.  59;  Portugal,  denunciation 
on  behalf  of  Portuguese  provinces  in 
Asia  and  Oceania,  Apr.  60 
Additional  protocol  (1969):  Djibouti.  El 
Salvador,   Oct.   60;   Mozambique, 
Dec.  59 
Second  additional  protocol  (1974):  Chad, 
Chile.   Djibouti.   El  Salvador.  Oct. 
60;  Gabon,   Dec.    59;   Grenada, 
Korea,  Democratic  People's  Repub- 
lic of,   Dec.   59;  Libya,   Nov.   56; 
Mauritius,  Dec.  59;  Morocco.   Apr. 
60;  Mozambique.  Tanzania,  Dec.  59; 
Yemen  Arab  Republic,  Oct.  60 
Press,  Frank  (Vance),  Aug.  17,  28 
Prince  Sa'ud  bin  Faisal,  Jan.  45 
Prisoners  of  war,  treatment  of,  Geneva  conven- 
tion (1948):  Djibouti,  Dec.  59;  Tonga,  Aug. 
59 
Private  enterprise  (Carter),  May  7 
Proclamations  by  the  President: 
Bill  of  Rights  Day  (4542).  Jan.  38 
Human  Rights  Day  and  Week  (4542),  Jan.  38 
United  Nations  Day.  1978  (4597),  Nov.  51 
Professional  resources  development  I  project, 
bilateral  agreement  with  Indonesia.  July  61 
Property,    excess,    acquisition    of    U.S. 
government-owned   domestic  and   foreign 
excess  property,  bilateral  agreements  with: 
Malta,  Dec.  60;  Zaire,  Nov.  57 
Provincial  area  development  program  1  project, 
bilateral  agreement  with  Indonesia,  July  61 
Public  Law  480:  Mondale,  July  24;  Vance.  PR 
89.  2/24 
Food  for  Peace,  U.S.  appropriations  request 

FY  1979  (Vance),  Apr.  24,  27 
Human  rights  considerations  (Derian),   Nov. 
52 


Department  of  State  Bulleti 

Public  Law  480  (Cont'd) 

Indonesia  (Mondale).  July  24 
Titles  I.  II,  and  III,  Jan.  36 
Publications: 
Congressional  documents  relating  to  foreign 
policy,  lists,  Mar.  23,  May  62.  Sept.  28, 
Dec.  31 
Serial   Publications.   International  Center  for 
Registration   of  Statutes  (1974)  as 
amended:    Argentina,    Belgium.    Brazil, 
Canada,  Finland,  Germany,  Federal  Re- 
public of.  Hungary,  Libya,  Nigeria,  Po- 
land, Spain,  U.K.,  Oct.  61 
Soviet  books,  copyrighted,  bilateral  agree- 
ment concerning  translation  and  publica- 
tion in  English.  June  61 
State  Department: 

Background   Notes,    ordering   information, 

Nov.  41 
Bulletin,  revision  and  repricing,  PR  62,  2/6 
Digest  of  United  States  Practice  in  Inter- 
national Law.  1976.  released.  May  61 
Foreign  Relations  of  the   United  Slates, 

1950.  volume  V,  The  Near  East,  South 
Asia,  and  Africa,  released.  Nov.  58 

Foreign  Relations  of  the   United  States, 

1951 ,  volume  VI,  Parts  1  and  2.  Asia 
and  the  Pacific,  released,  Aug.  62 

The  SALT  Process,  publication  8947 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942 
Treaties  in  Force:  A  List  of  Treaties  and 

Other  International  Agreements  of  the 

United  Stales  in  Force  on  January  1, 

1978.  released.  May  61 
UN  Background  Notes,  released,  Nov.  49 
The   United  States  and   World  Energy,    by 

Ralph  Stuart  Smith,  released.  Feb.  28 
Pulaski.  Casimir  (Carter).  Feb.  2 


Q 


Qatar,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  July 

60 
Quainton.  Anthony,  (Department),  Sept.  5 
Quaison-Sakey,   Alex:  Sept.    18;  remarks  on 

presentation  of  credentials  and  reply  by 

President  Carter,  UNN,  4/6 
Quinonez  Meza.  Roberto:  Feb.  59;  remarks  on 

presentation  of  letter  of  credence  and  reply 

by  President  Carter.  UNN,  1/18 


Racial  discrimination: 

Apartheid:   Feb.   56.   May  5.    17.  June  38, 
Aug.  40;  Carter,  May  13;  Vance.  Feb. 
24.  July  29,  30;  Young,  Feb.  54 
International  convention  (1965)  on  elimina- 
tion of: 
Current  actions:  Korea,  Oct.  61;  Luxem- 
bourg, June  59;  Nicaragua.  Seychel- 
les. Apr.  60 
U.S.  ratification  urged.  Apr.  48 
U.S.  racial  justice  (Carter),  Feb.  10 
World  Conference  on  Racism,  U.S.  nonpar- 
ticipation  (White  House  statement).  Nov. 
48 


llJ; 

I 
Itl 
F 


h: 


H  :ndex  1978 

^ajaratnam,  S..  Sept.  21 
^ead.  Benjamin  H.  (Vance),  Jan.  19 
Foreign  Service  Family  Liaison  Office,  in- 
auguration remarks.  PR  103,  3/2 
efugees: 
Africa:  Moose,  Apr.  30,  31;  Vance,  Apr.  29, 

Nov.  48 
Indochinese  boat  refugees  problems  of  as- 
sistance:  ANZUS.  July  48;  ASEAN, 
Sept.   24;  Derian.   Mar.    33;  Mondale, 
July  25;  Vance,  May  28.  June  17.  Sept. 
20,  Nov.  48 
Japanese  financial  aid,  June  2 
U.S.   acceptance  and  processing:   Hol- 
brooke, Aug.  5;  Mondale,  July  25 
International  conference,  proposed  (Vance), 

Nov.  48 
Stateless  persons  and  refugees,  protocol  1  re 
application  of  universal  copyright  con- 
vention (1971).  Australia,  Mar.  58 
Status  of,  convention  (1951):  Dominican  Re- 
public, Lesotho,  Apr.  60;  Sao  Tome  and 
Principe.  Mar    59 
Protocol   (1967):   Costa  Rica,   May   58; 
Dominican   Republic.    Lesotho,    Apr. 
61;  Panama,  June  59;  Sao  Tome  and 
Principe,  Apr.  61;  Somalia,  Dec.  59; 
Spain,  Oct.  61 
Uganda,  U.S.  aid.  Sept  19 
U.N.    High   Commissioner   Hartling,   U.S. 

visit.  PR  92,  2/27 
UNRWA,   U.S.   pledge:   Feb.   55:   Vance, 
PR  89,  2/24 
(egional  security:  Nov.  54;  Benson,  Mar.  64; 
Carter,   Feb.   20,   Apr.    19;  Christopher, 
Oct.  15;  Mondale.  June  33;  Newman.  Aug. 
43;   Vance,  Mar.    18,  Aug.    15,  Nov.  45; 
Warnke,  Aug.  46 
{einhardt.  John  E.,  May  32 
(euter,  Ernst  (quoted).  Sept.   10 
Rhodesia:  Feb.  55,  May  5,  June  38,  Aug.  40; 
ANZUS.  July  49;  Carter,  Aug.  7;  Kaunda. 
July  34;  Vance,  Feb.  24,  July  32 
All-parties  conference,   proposed:   Carter, 
Apr.   23,   May    15.    16,   Nov.    11,    12; 
Christopher,  Oct.  16;  Department,  Sept. 
18;  Owen.  June  22,  23,  Sept.   17;  Shul- 
man.  Nov.  31;  Vance.  May  23.  June  23, 
24,  25,  26,  27,  30,  July  30,  Sept.   16, 
Dec.  19,  24,  PR  168.  4/16;  PR  169,  4/16 
Smith  acceptance  of:  Department,  Dec.  25; 
Hechinger,  Dec.  57;  joint  U.S. -U.K. 
statement,  Dec.  25;  Vance,  Dec.  19 
Civil   war,   danger  of:   Nov.    14;   Depart- 
ment,  Nov.    13;  Hechinger,   Dec.   58; 
Owen,  Sept.    17;   Vance,  June  30,  July 
31,  Aug.  19,  Sept.  16,  Nov.  49,  Dec.  19, 
24 
Elections,  proposed:  Department,  Sept.    18, 
Nov.    13;  Hechinger,   Dec.   57;   Vance, 
Feb.  23.  June  25,  Dec.   19.  24;  Young. 
Apr.  57 
Foreign  relations  outline.  Dec.  27 
Hove  incident:  July  31n;  Vance.  July  30 
Independent  Zimbabwe,  question  of  date 

(Owen),  June  23 
Muzorewa.  Bishop  Abel  (Owen),  Sept.   17 
Namibian   settlement,   question  of  effect 

(Vance).  June  24 
Patriotic  Front:   Dec.   27;  Vance,  June  25; 


Rhodesia  (Cont'd) 

Patriotic  Front  (Cont'd) 

Young,  Apr.  56 
Proposals  for  establishing  majority  rule:  Jan. 
16.  Feb.  56,  Apr.  30,  May  16,  Dec.  27; 
Carter,  Apr.  23,  May  12,   15;  Nov.   12; 
Christopher,  Oct.    16;  Hechinger,   Dec. 
57;  Shulman,  Jan.   5;   Vance,  Jan.    19, 
Feb.  23,  May  23,  26,  June  23,  25,  July 
5.  30,  31;  Young,  Feb.  54,  Apr.  56 
Alternative  plan,  question  of:  Carter,  Nov. 
11,    12;  joint  U.S. -U.K.   statement, 
Nov.  13 
Security  Council  resolution,  text,  Apr.  57 
Raids  into  Botswana,  Mozambique  and  Zam- 
bia: Sept.  48;  Department,  Dec.  25,  26; 
Hechinger.   Dec.   58;   Vance,   May  28; 
Dec.  19;  Young,  Apr.  57 
Joint  U.S. -U.K.  statement,  Dec.  25 
Smith  position:   May   16,   Dec.   27;  Carter, 
Apr.     23;    Department.    Mar.     21; 
McHenry,  June  56;  Vance,  Jan.  19,  July 
30;  Young,  Apr.  56 
South  Africa,  position,  role:  Owen.  Mar.  22, 
June  21,  22;  Vance,  Mar.  21,  June  21. 
25,  July  30 
Soviet  role  and  question  of  Soviet-Cuban  in- 
volvement:  Dec.    27;  Carter,   July    16; 
Shulman,  Jan.  5,  Nov.  31;  Vance,  July 
31.  Aug.  16 
U.K. -U.S.  consultations:  Owen,   Sept.    17; 
Vance,  Jan.  19,  June  25,  Aug.  19,  Sept. 
17 
Khartoum  conference  (Vance).  Sept.  16 
Malta  II  conference  (Dar  es  Salaam):  June 
21;  Vance,  June  21,  23,  26.  July  31, 
PR  165,  4/14;  PR  166,  4/15;  PR  167. 
4/15;  PR  168.  1/16;  PR  169.  4/16 
U.N.   role  (see  also  Elections,  supra):  Car- 
ter,  Nov.   50;  Christopher,  Oct.    16; 
Maynes,  Feb.   49;   Vance,  June  25.  26, 
July  30,  31;  Young,  Feb.  53,  54;  Apr. 
57 
U.S.  and  other  sanctions:  Christopher,  Oct. 
16;  Department.   Sept.    18;  Hechinger. 
Dec.   58;  Katz,   Mar.   22;  Owen,   Sept. 
17;  Vance,  Sept.  15-16,  17 
U.S.   position:   Dec.   27;  Christopher,  Oct. 
16;   Department,   Nov.    13;   Hechinger, 
Dec.  58 
U.S.  visit  of  Prime  Minister  Smith  and  mem- 
bers of  Salisbury  Executive  Council: 
Carter,  Nov.   11;  Department,  Nov.   13, 
Dec.   25;   Hechinger,   Dec.   57;  joint 
U.S. -U.K.   statement,  Oct.    13;   Vance, 
Dec.  24 
U.S.  recognition  or  support  for  present 
Rhodesian  administration  not  implied 
by.  Department.  Nov.  13 
White  emigration  (Hechinger).  Dec.  58 
Ribicoff,  Abraham  A..  Nov.  46 
Richardson.  Elliot  L.,  Feb.   39,  58,  Apr.  54, 
June  47,  Dec.  42 
Nationalism  of  new  nations  as  threat  to  law 
of  the  sea  conference  negotiations,  PR 
397,  10/24 
Rithauddeen.  Tengku  Ahmad,  Sept.  22,  23 
Rivera,  Tomas,   appointment   to   Board  of 

Foreign  Scholarships,  PR  96,  2/27 
Robinson,   Charles:    ASEAN,    Sept.    25; 


29 


Robinson,  Charles  (Cont'd) 

Newsom.  Dec.  29;  Vance,  Sept.  20 
Robinson,  Glen  O.,  chairman  of  U.S.  delega- 
tion to  1979  World  Administrative  Radio 
Conference,  PR  5.  1/6 
Roel,  Santiago.  June  56 
Rogers,  Georgia  A.,  agent-in-charge  of  new 

Detroit  Passport  Agency,  PR  336,  3/17 
Romania: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.:   Dec.   37;  remarks  on 
presentation  of  credentials  and  reply  by 
President  Carter,  UNN.  11/16 
Emigration  to  U.S..  tables.  Oct.  35 
Foreign   policy:   Luers.   Nov.   34,   35,   36; 

Vest.  Oct.  34 
Hungarian  minority,   treatment  of:   Luers, 

Nov.  35;  Vest,  Oct.  35 
Jewish  immigration  to  Israel,  tables,  Oct.  36 
Profile,  June  37 

Textile   agreements   with   U.S.,   text  of 
amendment.   PR  60,   2/1;  PR  206,   5/3; 
PR  373,  9/27;  PR  395.  10/20 
Treaties,   agreements,  etc..   Mar.   61,  Apr. 
61,   62,  July  62.   Aug.   59,  Oct.   61, 
Nov.  57.  Dec.  61 
U.S.  relations  (Luers),  Nov.  40 
U.S.   trade,   continuation   of  most-favored- 
nation  treatment  recommended,  (Vest), 
Oct.  34 
U.S.   visit  of  President  Ceausescu:  Joint 
declaration,  June  36;  Luers,   Nov.   41; 
Nimetz,   Aug.   26;  program.   PR   157, 
4/11;  Vest,  Oct.  35 
Romero,  Carlos  Humberto.  speaker,  U.S.- 
Central  American  Trade  and  Investment 
Conference,  PR  64,  2/7 
Romulo,  Carlos  P..  Sept.  19,  20,  22.  23 
Roosevelt.  Franklin  D.  (quoted),  Aug.  34 
Roosevelt,  Theodore  (quoted).  Mar.  57 
Rowan.  Carl  T.,  July  26 
Rubber: 

International  Rubber  Study  Group,  25th  as- 
sembly:  Katz,  Oct.   26;  notice  of,   PR 
205,  5/3;  report,  PR  264,  6/27 
Stabilization  agreement,  proposed:  ASEAN, 
Sept.  25;  Katz,  Mar.  5,  Oct.  27 
Rush,  Kenneth  (quoted),  Nov.  40 
Rusk,   Dean,  opening  speaker  at  Atlanta  con- 
ference on  U.S.   interests  in  the  Middle 
East,  PR  138,  3/28 


Sadat,  Anwar  al-,  Jan.  40,  Feb.   1 1 ,  Sept.  43 
Exchanges   of  letters   accompanying  Camp 

David  agreements,  Oct.  10,  11 
Tribute:  Begin,  Oct.  7;  Carter,  Oct.  1,  5 
Visits  to  U.S.:  Mar.  35;  program,  PR  61,  2/2 
Camp  David  meeting:  Oct.  4.  6;  Mondale, 
Oct.  4 
Safety  at  sea: 

International  regulations  for  preventing  col- 
lisions at  sea,  convention  (1972): 
Bangladesh,  Nov.  56;  Chile,  Mar.  59; 
Dominican  Republic,  May  58,  Ecuador, 
Ireland,  Korea,  Republic  of,  Pakistan, 
Mar.  59;  Portugal,  Dec.  58;  Saudi 
Arabia,  Sept.  59;  Sri  Lanka.  Mar.  59; 
Tunisia,  May  58 


30 


Safety  at  sea  (Cont'd) 

Safety  of  life  at  sea.  international  convention 
(1960): 
Acceptance,  Bangladesh,  Aug.  59 
Amendments   (1971),   to  chapters   II.    III. 
IV,  and  V  (1973)  and  amendment  to 
chapter    VI    (1973),    acceptance, 
Netherlands,  June  59 
Safety  of  life  at  sea,  international  convention 
(1974):  Canada,  July  59;  Denmark,  May 
58;  Liberia,  Jan.  61;  Panama,  May  58; 
Spain,   Nov.   56;  U.K.,  Jan.   61;  U.S., 
Aug.  59,  Oct.  61,  Nov.  56 
Protocol    (1978):    Belgium,    Nov.    56; 
Mexico.   Aug.   59;  U.K.,   Nov.   56; 
U.S.,  Aug.  59;  Yugoslavia,  Sept    59 
St.   John,   Bernard,   speaker,  conference  on 
U.S. -Caribbean  trade,  investment,  and  de- 
velopment, PR  1  1,  1/9 
Samoa,  International  Fund  for  Agricultural  De- 
velopment, ratification  of  agreement,  Jan 
61 
Santayana,  George  (quoted),  June  41 
Sao  Tome  and  Principe: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59, 

Aug.  58 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Tienken),   sworn  in,   PR 
91,  2/24 
Satellites: 

Aerial  surveillance  (Carter),  Nov.  11 
Direct  Communications   Link   (U.S. -Soviet 

Hot  Line),  activation,  PR  22,  1/16 
Indian  national  satellite  system-1  spacecraft, 
bilateral  agreement  re  launching  and  as- 
sociated services,  Sept.  60 
International  Telecommunications  Satellite 
Organization  (INTELSAT),  agreement 
(1971)  and  operating  agreement  (1971), 
Fiji,  Aug.  59 
Remote  sensing:  Sept.  47;  Benton,  Jan.  57, 
58;  Carter,  Feb.  9 
Global  crop  information,   bilateral   agree- 
ment with  Canada,  Aug.  60 
Landsat  satellites  (Mondale).  July  24 
Indian  ground  station,  access  to,  and 
availability  to  NASA  of  data  ac- 
quired,  memorandum   of  under- 
standing. Mar.  60 
Soviet  Cosmos  954,  landing  in  Canada,  and 

safety  factors  (Varter),  Mar.  7.  8 
U.S.  cooperative  and  other  projects:  Benton, 

Jan.  56;  Carter,  Feb.  9 
U.S.  military  orders,  transmission  by,  ques- 
tion of  Soviet  interruptions  (Carter),  Mar. 
8 
Saudi  Arabia  (Vance),  June  25 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  61,  July  60, 
Aug.  61,  Sept.  59,  Oct.  62,  Dec.  58,  59 
U.S.  military  aircraft  sales:  Carter,  Mar.  7, 
Apr.  19,  20,  22,  June  12,  13,  20,  40,  July 
17,  20;  Department,  June  39;  Dinitz,  PR 
57.  1/30;  Vance,  Mar.   14,   15,  37,  May 
24,  27,  June  18,  20,  28,  30,  39,  PR  51. 
1/24,  PR  217.  5/9 
U.S.  security  assistance  (Benson),  Mar.  42 
Visit  of  President  Carter:  Jan.   16,  Feb    37; 
Carter,  Jan.   9,    14,  Feb.    1,    II;   King 
Khalid,  Feb.  1  1 
Visits  of  Secretary   Vance.  Carter,  Oct.   3; 


Saudi  Arabia  (Cont'd) 
Vance.  Jan.  45 
Saunders,  Harold  H.,  Aug.  29.  Nov.  42 

Assistant  Secretary   for  Near  Eastern   and 
South  Asian  Affairs;  nomination,   Mar. 
36;  sworn  in  as,  PR  159.  4/11 
Sayre,  Robert  M.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Brazil,  PR  218,  5/9 
Schaufele.  William  E.,  Jr..  sworn  in  as  Ambas- 
sador to  Poland,  PR  67,  2/10 
Schieffer,  Bob,  Jan.  9 
Schmidt,  Helmut.  Sept    X 
Schneider,  David  T.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador 

to  Bangladesh,  PR  106,  3/6 
Schneider.  Mark  L.,  Apr.  47 
Schuker,  Jill,  moderator  for  National  Women's 

Conference,  PR  571,  12/15/77 
Science  and  technology  (Mink).  Feb.  42 

Cooperation,  development,   bilateral   agree- 
ments with:  Australia,  Dec.  59;  Bulgaria, 
Apr.  61;  France,  Oct.  61;  Greece,  Dec. 
60;  Indonesia,  July  61.   PR  449.   2/11; 
Saudi  Arabia,  Oct.  62;  Yugoslavia,  Sept. 
61 
Educational,   scientific,   and  cultural   mate- 
rials,  importation,  agreement   (1950): 
Ireland,  Dec.  59;  Oman,  Feb.  60 
Exchange  of  technical  information  in  regu- 
latory matters  and  in  cooperation  in 
safety  research  and  in  standards  develop- 
ment, bilateral  agreement  with  Belgium, 
Aug.  60 
Less  developed  countries,  transfer  policies: 
Mar.  41;  Young,  Oct.  56 
Appropriate  Technology,   International: 
Maynes,  Dec.  51;  Vance.  PR  89,  2/24 
U.S.  foundation  for  technological  cooper- 
ation,  proposed:   Carter,    May   2; 
Vance.  June    16,   Nov.   48;   Young, 
Oct.  59 
Middle    East-U.S.    cooperation   (Saunders), 

Aug.  30 
Scientific,  academic,  and  cultural  exchanges 
with  Soviet   Union:   Carter,  July   14; 
Shulman,  Jan.  6,  Nov.  32;  Vest,  Mar.  29 
Technical   services  and  feasibility   studies, 
project  grant  agreement  with  Syria,  Apr. 
62 
Technology  transfer,   international  code  of 
conduct  proposed:  Aug.  52;  Nye,  Mar.  39 
Technology   transfer  and   manpower  de- 
velopment III  project,  grant  agreement 
with  Egypt,  Aug.  60,  Nov.  57 
U.N.  Conference  on  Science  and  Technology 
for  Developing  Countries,  1979:  Mar   41; 
Benson,  Oct.   55;   Benton,  Jan.   58; 
Maynes,  Dec.  48;  Nye.  Mar.  40;  Young. 
Oct.  57,  59,  Nov.  48 
U.N.    industrial   technological    information 

bank,  proposed  (Young),  Oct.  59-60 
U.S. -Egypt  Joint  Working  Group  on  Tech- 
nology. Research  and  Development.  6th 
meeting.  PR  93,  2/24 
U.S.    National   Bureau   of  Standards   assist 
ance,  bilateral  agreement  with   Brazil, 
Aug.  60 
U.S.  technology  transfer  policies:  Mar.  41 
Benson,  Mar.  42,  Oct.  54;  Maynes,  Dec. 
50;  Nye.  Mar.  38 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 

Scranton.  William  (Maynes),  Jan.  51 
Security  assistance:   Derian.  Nov.   52;   Vance, 
June  15 
Africa:  Moose,  Apr.  30;  Vance,  July  29 
Appropriations  request  FY  1979:  Holbrooke, 
Apr.  34;   Vance,  Apr.  24,  25.  29.  May 
33,  PR  83,  2/21;  PR  89,  2/24;  PR  109, 
3/9;  PR  265,  6/28 
Conventional  Arms  transfer  policy:  Benson, 
Mar.  42,  45;  Blechman,  Mar.  52;  Carter, 
Mar.  47;  Fish,  Mar.  48;  Gelb,  Mar.  46 
Defense  articles  and  services,  furnishing  of, 
bilateral   agreement  with  Somalia,   Aug. 
61 
Defense  equipment,   mutual   cooperation  in 
research   and  development,   production, 
and  procurement,   bilateral  agreement 
with  Norway.  Aug.  61 
East  Asia  (Holbrooke),  Apr.  31 
Japan,  bilateral  agreements  re  requisition  and 
production  of  P-3C  aircraft  and  of  F- 15 
aircraft  and  related  equipment  and  sup 
lies,  Aug.  60 
Military  training  of  African  officers,  appro- 
priations request  (Moose).  Apr.  31 
Modular   thermal    imaging   systems   (MOD 
FLIR)  and  their  components,   bilateral 
agreement  with  Federal  Republic  of  Ger- 
many. July  61 
Turkey,  resumption  (Carter).  Dec.  38 
Zaire,  authorization  (Carter),  July  35 
Security  Council,  U.N.: 

Namibian  question,  role  (Jamieson).  June  50 
Peacekeeping  role:  Apr.  58;  Maynes.  Feb.  49 
Resolutions,  texts: 
Namibia: 
Elections,  nullity  of  unilateral  measures, 

Dec.  57 
U.N.   Special   Representative  to  super 

vise  elections.  Sept.  46 
Southern  Rhodesia,  majority  rule  urged. 

Apr.  57 
U.N.   interim  force  for  southern  Leba- 
non. May  51 
Walvis  Bay,  need  for  reintegration  into 
Namibia.  Sept.  46 
Seelye,  Talcott  W..  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Syria,  PR  307,  Aug.  2 
Seignious.  George  M..  II:  Dec.  6,  7;  Warnke, 

Dec.  10 
Selden,  Armistead,   U.S.   Ambassador  concur- 
rently accredited  to  Tonga  and  to  Western 
Samoa  (Holbrooke).  Oct.  44 
Self-defense,  individual  or  collective,  right  of: 

Aug.  54;  Leonard.  Aug.  47 
Self-determination.  Aug.  50.  54 
Senegal,   treaties,   agreements,  etc..   Jan     61, 
Feb.  60,  Mar.  59.  Apr.  60.  May  57.  59, 
July  62 
Seychelles,  treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61, 
Feb.   60.   Apr.  60,   May  58.  July  58.  59, 
Aug.  58.  61.  Sept    59.  Dec    59 
Shcharanskiy,   Anatoli:  Carter.   Aug.   7.   28. 
Sept.    II,    12;   Department,   Aug.    28; 
Goldberg.   Aug.   28;   Nimetz.   Oct.   29; 
Shulman.  Nov.  29;  Vance.  Aug.  18,  28 
Shelton.  Sally,  speaker,  conference  on  U.S.- 
Caribbean  trade,    investment,   and   de- 
velopment. PR  11/1/9 


kdi 


Ilndex  1978 


31 


ierra  Leone: 
Ambassador  (o  U.S.,  credentials:  Sept.   18; 
remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials 
and  reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  8/2 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Aug.  58,  Oct.  62 
Singapore: 

Air  transport  agreement  with  U.S.,   signa- 
ture, PR  141.  3/31 
Economic   and   political    development 

(Newsom),  Dec.  28,  29.  30 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Indochinese  refugee  asylum  center,  proposed 

(Derian),  Mar.  34 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  text  of  amend- 
ment, PR  25,   1/16;  PR  375,  9/27;  PR 
418,  11/7 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,   Mar.  59,  Apr. 
61,  May  57,  June  61,  July  59,  60,  Nov. 
57,  Dec.  61 
U.S.  aircraft,  purchase  (Holbrooke),  Aug.  2 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Kneip),   sworn   in,   PR 
298,  7/25 
Slayton,  William  L.,  sworn  in  as  Deputy  As- 
sistant Secretary   for  Foreign   Buildings 
Operations,  PR  4,  1/6 
Slepak,    Vladimir:  Carter,   Aug.   7;   Vance, 

Aug.  7 
Smith.   Elbert  B.,  appointment  to  Board  of 

Foreign  Scholarships,  PR  96,  2/27 
Smith,  Ralph  Stuart,  Feb.  28 
Social   and  economic  development  (Carter). 

Feb.  15 
Social  security,  bilateral  agreements  with  Italy, 

Nov.  57 
Social   work  centers  project,   grant  agreement 

with  Egypt,  July  61 
Solomon,  Anthony  M.,  Dec.  3I« 
Solomon  Islands: 

Independence:  ANZUS,  July  48;  Holbrooke. 

Oct.  43 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Nov.  56,  57 
U.S.    Ambassador  (Olmsted):   Holbrooke, 
Oct.  44 
Somalia: 

Eritrean  dispute  with  Ethiopia:   Aug.  40; 
Carter.  Feb.  21,  May  16,  July  16,  Aug. 
6;  Shulman,  Nov.   31;  Vance,  June  25, 
30,  July  30,  Aug.  11,  12 
Ogaden  conflict   with   Ethiopia:   Apr.   46; 
Carter,  Apr.   20,  21;  May   14,  Aug.   7; 
Shulman.  Jan.  5;  Vance,  Mar.    16,  July 
32 
OAS  peace  role:  May  16;  Carter,  Apr.  21, 
May   15;  Shulman,   Nov.   31;   Vance, 
May  27,  June  25,  Aug.  12 
Soviet  Use  of  Port  Berdera  (Gelb),  Dec.  55 
Treaties,   agreements,   etc..   Mar.   61,   June 

59,  61,  Aug.  61,  Dec.  59 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Petterson),  sworn  in,  PR 

407,  10/27 
U.S.  economic  or  defensive  arms  aid,  ques- 
tion of:  Carter,  Apr.  21;  Vance,  Mar.  14 
U.S.  relations  (Vance).  July  30 
South  Africa: 

Apartheid:  Feb.  56,  May  17,  June  38,  Aug. 
40;  Carter,  May  13;  Vance,  Feb.  24,  July 
29,  30;  Young,  Feb.  54 
Internal   settlement,  question  of  (Vance), 
Mar.  21 


South  Africa  (Cont'd) 
Israel,   question  of  economic  relations 

( Vance).  Mar.   17 
Majority  rule,  need  for  (Vance),  Feb.  23 
Nuclear  weapons  potential:   Vance,  July  30; 

Warnke.  Dec.  9 
Raid  on  Angola;  Aug.    19;  Carter,  July   17; 

Vance.  July  30 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,   Feb.   60,   Mar. 

59.  June  60.  July  60 
U.N.  additional  sanctions,  proposed:  Carter. 

May  15;  Vance.  Mar.  21.  Dec.  22,  23 
U.N.  mandatory  arms  embargo:  Carter,  May 

15;  Katz,  Mar.  22;  Young,  Feb.  53 
U.S.    Ambassador  (Edmondson),   sworn   in, 

PR  225,  5/22 
U.S.   relations:  Jan.    16;  Carter,   May   13; 
Vance,  Jan.  18,  July  29,  30 
Change,  question  of  (Vance),  Aug.  1  1 
Namibian   solution,   question   of  effect: 
Dec.  24;  Vance.  Dec.  24 
Soviet  Union  (see  also  under   Africa  and 
Strategic  arms  limitation  talks): 
Civil  air  transportation  agreement  with  U.S., 

PR  124,  3/16 
Civil  defense  program:  Dec.  3;  Warnke,  Apr. 

4,  Oct.  21 
Cosmos  954,   Canadian   landing  (Carter). 

Mar.  7,  8 
Direct  Communications   Link  (U.S. -Soviet 

Hot  Line),  activation,  PR  22,  1/16 
Human  rights:  Carter.  July  15;  Derian,  Nov. 
52;  Shulman,  Jan.  7;  Vest,  Mar.  29 
Crawford  arrest:  Carter,  Aug.  8;  Shulman. 

Nov.  29 
Helsinki   Final   Act,   nonimplementation: 
Carter,  July  8,  Aug.  8;  Nimetz,  Oct. 
29;   Shulman.   Nov.   28,   32;   Vance, 
Aug.  15,  16.  Sept.  11 
Olympic  Games,  question  of  boycott  by 

U.S.  athletes  (Carter),  Sept.  12 
Soviet     dissidents     ( Shcharanskiy , 
Ginsburg,   and  others),   arrests  and 
trials  of:  Carter,  Aug.  7,  28,  Sept.  1  1 . 
12;  Department,  Aug.   28;  Goldberg, 
Aug.  28;  Gromyko.  Sept.  31;  Nimetz. 
Oct.    29;   Shulman,   Nov.   29,   32; 
Vance,  July  7,  Aug.  18,  28 
Soviet   Helsinki   Watch   (signatories  of 
Charter  '77)  (see  also  Soviet  dissi- 
dents,   infra):   Fascell,    May  40,   41; 
Luers,  Nov.  35-36;  Shulman,  Nov.  32 
U.S.  foreign  policy  community  meetings, 
SUNY,   State  Department,  PR  390, 
10/17 
U.S.   newsmen  Piper  and  Whitney,  trials 
of:  Nimetz,  Oct.  32;  Shulman.  Nov. 
29;  Vance,  Aug.  17,  18 
Innate  racism  (Carter),  July  21 
Internal  economic  and  political  problems: 
Carter,  July  15,  Aug.  7;  Shulman,  Jan.  7, 
8 
Jewish  emigration:  Carter,  June  41;  Shul- 
man, Nov.  29 
Katyn  massacre  in  World  War  II,  question  of 

responsibility  (Vance),  Aug.  17 
Limitation  of  international  arms  trade,  ex- 
change of  views  with  U.S.:  PR  580,  12/ 
20/77;  Shulman,  Jan.  4 


Soviet  Union  (Cont'd) 

Military  situation:  Brown,  Nov.  14,  51; 
Brzezinski,  July  27;  Carter,  Apr.  17.  July 
I,  2,  15,  21,  Dec.  14;  Luers,  Nov.  34; 
NATO,  July  8,  9;  Shulman.  Nov.  28,  29; 
Vance,  July  4,  6,  Aug.  14;  Vest,  Mar. 
29;  Warnke,  Jan.  23,  Apr.  4 
Antisatellite  capability:  Apr.   14;  Warnke, 

Apr.  8,  Oct.  21 
SS-20  and  Backfire  bomber:   Mondale, 
June  31;  Shulman,  Jan.  4;  Warnke, 
Apr.  8,  9 
Neutron  weapons,  position  on:  Carter,  June 
12;    Vance.   May   23.   24,   Dec.    19; 
Warnke,  Apr.  6 
Political  competition  with  U.S.:  Brzezinski. 
July  28;  Carter,  Aug.  9;  Shulman,  Jan.  5, 
Nov.  28 
Population  projections,  Oct.  46,  48 
Profile,  Jan.  3 

Scientific,  academic,  and  cultural  exchanges 
with  U.S.:  Carter,  July  14;  Shulman,  Jan. 
6,  Nov.  32;  Vest,  Mar.  29 
Sino-Soviet   relations:   Brown,   Nov.    14 
Brzezinski.  July  26;  Carter,  Aug.  8,  Dec 
14;  Holbrooke,  Aug.  2;  Luers,  Nov.  35 
Mondale,  July  23;  Shulman,  Jan.  8,  Nov 
29.   31;   Vance,   June  29,   Aug.    14 
Warnke,  Apr.  6 
South  Asia,  interests  (Newsom).  Dec.  53 
Soviet  nuclear  weapons  in  Cuba,  question  of 

(Vance).  May  24 
Soviet   spies  in  U.S.,   sentencing  of,   and 
question  of  linkage   to  SALT  talks 
(Vance),  Dec.  20 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Jan.  61,  Feb.  60, 
Mar.  59,  May  59,  June  61,  July  59,  60, 
Aug.  59,  61,  Sept.  61,  Oct.  62,  Nov.  57, 
Dec.  61 
U.S.    and    Soviet    Strategic   Capability 
Through  the  Mid-1980's,  ACDA  report, 
Oct.  24 
U.S.  arms  supply,  question  of  (Vance),  Aug. 

17,  Dec.  19 
U.S.  computer  sale,  cancellation  of:  Carter, 

Sept.  12.  Oct.  14;  Vance.  Sept.  14.  32 
U.S.   relations:  Jan.    16;   Bolen,   May  37; 
Brzezinski,  June  1,  July  28;  Carter,  Jan. 
12.  Feb.  3,  20,  Apr.  18,  Aug.  8.  9,  Dec. 
14;  Lake,  Jan.   24;  Maynes,  Jan.   53; 
Shulman,  Jan.    1;   Vance,  Feb.  23,  25, 
May  26,  June  26,  Aug.    14.   Sept.   32; 
Vest,  Mar.  29;  Warnke,  Oct.  20 
Detente:  Brzezinski.  July  27;  Carter.  July 
14,  Sept.  7;  Luers,  Nov.  34;  Maynes. 
Sept.  49;  Shulman,   Nov.   28;   Vance. 
June  29 
Economic:   Carter,   Oct.    14,   Dec.    12; 
Shulman,  Jan.  5,  6,  Nov.  32;  Vance, 
Aug.  15;  Vest,  Mar.  29 
Soviet  human  rights  violations,  effect: 
Carter,  Aug.  8,  Sept.  7,   11;  Nimetz. 
Oct.    27;   Shulman,   Nov.    28.   32; 
Vance,  Aug.  17,  20,  28,  Sept.  14 
Soviet   presence    in   Africa,    effect: 
Blechman,  Mar.  52;  Brzezinski,  July 
28,  Carter,  July  21,  Sept.  7;  Depart- 
ment, Apr.   43;  Shulman,   Nov.   28, 
Vance,  Mar.    15.   16,   18,  July  5,  21 


32 


Soviet  Union  (Cont'd) 

U.S.  relations  (Cont'd) 

Soviet  presence  in  Africa  (Cont'd) 
(quoted);  Warnke,  Apr.  5 

U.S.  security  and  the  Soviet  challenge,  con- 
ferences, announcements:  PR  246,  6/12; 
PR  290,  7/17;  PR  341,  8/30;  PR  345,  9/8; 
PR  346.  9/8;  PR  383,  10/6;  PR  409.  1 1/1; 
PR  439,  12/4;  PR  443,  12/7 

U.S. -Soviet  arms  control  forum  for  theater 
nuclear  weapons,  intermediate  range  bal- 
listic missile  systems,  etc.,  need  for, 
(Warnke),  Oct.  22 

U.S.  summit  meetings,  list,  Jan.  8 

U.S.  visit  of  President  Brezhnev,  question  of 
(Carter),  Jan.  1  1,  July  17 

U.S.  visit  of  Soviet  parliamentarians  (Vest), 
Mar.  29 

Visit  of  Secretary  Califano,  cancellation 
(Vance).  July  7 

World  power  status  (Shulman),  Jan.  8 
Space: 

Exploration  and  use  of  outer  space,  princi- 
ples governing,  treaty:  Gelb,  Nov.  17 

Current  actions,  Seychelles,  July  59 

General  ratification  urged,  Aug.  53 

International  liability  for  damage  caused  by 

space  objects,  convention  (1972):  Malta, 

Seychelles,  May  58;  Venezuela,  Sept.  60 

Moon  and  other  celestial  bodies,  draft  treaty 

negotiation  (Benton),  Jan.  57 
Registration  of  objects  launched   into  outer 
space,  convention  (1975):   Byelorussian 
S.S.R.,  Mar.  59;  Cuba,  June  59;  Cyprus, 
Sept.  60;  Soviet  Union,  Mar.  59;  Swit- 
zerland, Apr.  61;  U.K.,  May  58,  appli- 
cable to   Antigua,   Dominica,   Saint 
Christopher,   Nevis  and  Anguilla,   Saint 
Lucia,  and  Saint  Vincent,  and  Solomon 
Islands  and  State  of  Brunei,  July  59; 
Yugoslavia,  Apr.  61 
Rescue  and  return  of  astronauts,  and  objects 
launched   into  outer  space,   agreement 
(1968):   Italy,  May  59;  Seychelles,  July 
58 
Space  flight  operations,  cooperative  program 
for  advancement  of  mutual   scientific 
knowledge,  agreement  with  Australia, 
Sept.  60 
U.S.  outer  space  programs  (Benton),  Jan.  56 
Spain: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:   Sept.   34; 

remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials 

and  reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN,  8/2 

Democratic  progress:  Carter,  Feb.   13;  Mez- 

vinsky,  Sept.  53;  Vest.  Mar.  27 
NATO  membership,  question  of  (Vance), 

July  8 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Apr.  60,  July  60, 
61,   Aug.   60,  61,  Sept.   59.  Oct.   61, 
Nov.  56,  Dec.  61 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Todman),   sworn  in,   PR 

266,  6/28 
U.S.   military  assistance,  appropriations  re- 
quest (Vance),  Apr.  29,  PR  89.  2/24 
Sparkman,  John:  Carter.  Apr.   59,   May  52; 

Vance,  Apr.  59 
Spasowski,  Romuald:  July  44;  remarks  on  pre- 
sentation of  credentials  and  reply  by  Presi- 


Spasowski,  Romuald  (Cont'd) 

dent  Carter.  UNN  4/6 
Sri  Lanka: 

Ambassador  to  U.S..  credentials,  Aug.  41 
Democratic  progress:  Christopher,   Mar.   32; 

Dubs,  May  50;  Newsom,  Dec.  54 
Economic   and   unemployment   problems 

(Dubs),  May  50 
Treaties,   agreements,   etc..   Mar.   59,   61. 
Apr.  61,  62,  May  59,  June  59,  60.  61, 
July  58,  59,  Sept.  59,  Oct.  60,  Dec.  61 
State  Department: 

Ambassador  at  Large  (Atherton);  Nomina- 
tion, Mar.  36;  sworn  in,  PR  158,  4/11 
Assistant   Secretary   of  State   for   Inter- 
American  Affairs  (Vaky),  sworn  in,  PR 
295,  7/21 
Assistant  Secretary  of  State  for  Near  Eastern 
and   South   Asian   Affairs   (Saunders): 
nomination.  Mar.  36;  sworn  in,  PR  159, 
4/11 
Bureau  of  Human  Rights  and  Humanitarian 

Affairs:  Feb.  32;  Benson,  Mar.  44 
Bureau  of  Intelligence  and  Research,  Direc- 
tor (Bowdler),  appointment,   PR   164, 
4/14 
Deputy   Assistant   Secretary   for  Foreign 
Buildings  Operations  (Slayton),  PR  4, 
1/6 
Deputy   Assistant   Secretary   of  State   for 
Transportation  Affairs  (Atwood),  PR  58, 
1/30 
Equal   employment  opportunities  (Vance), 

Mar.  20 
Family   Liaison  Office,   inauguration,   PR 

103.  3/2 
Franking  privilege,  question  of  use  by  Com- 
mission on  International  Women's  Year 
(Vance).  Jan.  19 
International  Center,  background.  PR   155, 

4/10 
International  Communication  Agency,  Jan. 

17 
Senior  Adviser's  Office,  consolidation  of 
former  AID  narcotic  control   functions 
(Falco),  June  43 
Under  Secretary  of  State  for  Political  Affairs 
(Newsom),  PR  177,  4/19 
State  of  the  Union  (excerpts):  Carter,  Feb.  20 
Statistical   services,  technical   assistance  for, 
bilateral  agreement  with  Bangladesh,  Sept. 
61 
Stern,   AH.,   speaker,   Atlanta  conference  on 
U.S.  interests  in  the  Middle  East,  PR  138, 
3/28 
Stevenson,   Adlai   E.,   remarks  on  return  of 

crown  of  St.  Stephen,  PR  9B,  1/7 
Steyn,  Martinus  (Vance),  Dec  21,  22) 
Stone,  Galen  L..  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Cyprus,  PR  104,  3/3 
Strategic  arms  limitation  talks:  Bolen,  May  37; 
Carter,  Feb.    10,   20,   Aug     8;   Mondale. 
June  31;  Shulman,  Jan.  1;  Vance,  Feb.  23, 
25.  May  20;  Young.  Feb.  53 
Confidentiality:   Vance,  June  27,   29,   Aug. 

17;  Warnke,  Dec.  5  Fact  sheet.  Apr.  3 
Ongoing  process:  The  SALT  Process,  publi- 
cation 8947;  Warnke.  Apr     1.  Oct.    17, 
21 


Department  of  State  Bulletin 

Strategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks  (Cont'd) 

Soviet   compliance:    Administration    report 
Apr.  10,  13,  Dec.  2;  Gelb,  Nov.  17;  Thi 
SALT  Process,  publication  8947;  Vance 
Apr.  1 1 ,  May  24,  Aug.  16;  Warnke,  Apr 
2,5 
The  SALT  Process,  publication  8947 
SALT  I:  Dec.  4;  Gelb,  Nov.    17;  Shulman 
Jan.   3;  The  SALT  Process,  publicatior 
8947;  Warnke,  Apr.  1,  Aug.  44.  Oct.  18 
19 
SALT  II:   Aug.   51-52;   ANZUS.  July  48 
Brzezinski,  July  27,  28;  Carter.  July   I 
Aug.  9,  Sept.  7,  Dec.  12;  Gelb.  Nov.  17 
Harriman,  Aug.  47;  Nye.  Oct.  38;  Shul 
man,  Nov.  28;  Vance.  Mar.  18.  Sept.  14 
Background  (Warnke).  Oct.  17,  20 

List  of  publications,  Dec.  1 1 
Basic  treaty,   3-year  protocol,  and  agreec 
principles,  form:  Jan.   15,  Apr.  3.   15: 
Dec.  1;  The  SALT  Process,  publication 
8947;   Vance.   May  21;  Warnke,  Jan. 
23,  Apr.  5,  8,  Aug.  44-45,  Oct.    19, 
Dec.  5.  6,  7.  8 
Congress,   position  on:  Carter,  July   18; 
Shulman,   Nov.   29;   Vance,  May  27, 
June  30,  Aug.    19;  Warnke,  Oct.   23, 
Dec.  8,  11 
Cruise,  MIRV,  and  ICBM  issues:  Apr.   11. 
14.   15.   Dec.    1,  3;  Brown,   Nov.    15; 
Carter,   July    17;    Vance,   May   21; 
Warnke.  Apr.   1,  5.  7,  8.  9.  Oct.   19, 
22,  Dec.  5,  6.  8,  9.  10,  11 
Geneva  meetings  of  Secretary   Vance  and 
Foreign        Minister        Gromyko: 
(Gromyko),  Sept.  31;  Vance,  Aug.  17, 
18,  28.  Sept.   31,  PR  278.  7/11;  PR 
278,  7/11;  PR  283,  7/14;  PR  284.  7/14; 
PR  461,  12/20;  PR  462,  12/21;  PR  464. 
12/21;  Vance-Gromyko,  PR  467,  12/23 
Human  rights  and  other  issues:   Dec.  6; 
Carter,  July   18,  Aug.  8;  Gromyko, 
Sept.  31,  32;  Vance,  July  31.  Aug.  17, 
18,  28,  Sept.  11.  14.  Dec.  20;  Warnke, 
Apr.  8,  Oct.  20,  22,  23,  Dec.  6 
Issues  remaining;  Gromyko,  PR  467,  12/23; 
Vance.   Dec.    17,   PR  462,    12/21; 
Warnke,  Dec.  5,  6,  7,  8 
Moscow   meetings  of  Secretary   Vance 
and  Foreign  Minister  Gromyko:  June 
21.  Dec.  37;  text  of  joint  communique, 
June  26;  Vance,  June  26,  July  32,  PR 
179,  4/20,  PR  181,  4/20 
Exchange  of  toasts  (Gromyko- Vance), 
PR  398,  10/23 
NATO,  U.S.  consultations:  Dec.  4;  Carter. 
Feb.    17,  July  2,  4;  NATO.  Jan.   31. 
July  9;   Vance.  Jan.   28,  29.  July  5; 
Vest.  Mar.  29 
Negotiations,  good  faith:  Carter,  July  15, 
22;  Vance,  June  27;  Warnke,  Jan.  22, 
Dec.  8 
1978   date,   question   of:   Jan.    15;  Carter, 
Jan.    11.   Feb.   3.  Nov.  9;  Shulman. 
Nov.   29;   Vance.  June  27,  Nov.   50, 
Dec.  17;  Warnke.  Oct.  21 
Soviet  economic   and  political   factors: 
Carter.  Dec.   14;  The  SALT  Process, 
publication   8947;   Warnke.    Apr.    3, 


Iride 


Index  1978 


33 


Strategic  Arms  Limitation  Talks  (Cont'd) 
SALT  II  (Cont'd) 

Soviet  economic  (Cont'd) 
Oct    21.  23,  Dec.  9 
Soviet  involvement  in  Africa,  issue:  Dec. 
4;  Carter.  Apr.  20.  21.  July   16,   18. 
Aug.  8;  Department.  Apr.  43;  Vance, 
Apr.  20.  May  24,  July  5-6;  Warnke, 
Oct.  20 
SS-20  and  Backfire  issues:  Dec.  3;  Carter. 
Feb.   6;   Shulman.  Jan.   4;  Warnke. 
Apr.  8.9 
Strategic   nuclear  balance:   Dec.    1.   4; 
ACDA,  Oct.  25;  Brown,  Nov.  14,  15; 
Carter,  Apr.  17,  18.  July  15.  Dec.  15; 
Gelb.   Nov.    19;  The  SALT  Process, 
publication  8947;  Shulman,  Jan.   3, 
Nov.   29;   Vance,  Aug.    15;  Warnke, 
Jan.  21,  Apr.  1.  2,  5.  7,  Oct.  17,  18, 
20.  Dec.  8.  11 
Summit  meeting,  question  of:  Carter,  July 
17.  Aug.  9;  Gromyko,  Sept.   32,  PR 
467.  12/23;  Vance.  June  29,  Sept.  14 
Tactical  (theater)  nuclear  weapons,  lack  of 
discussion:  Dec.  3,  4;  Carter.  Feb.  6; 
Warnke,  Apr.  7,  8,  9 
Technological  innovations,  issues:  Dec.  4; 
Shulman.  Jan.    3;  Warnke,   Apr.   4, 
Oct.  19,  20.  23.  Dec.  6,  10 
Treaty  form,  preference:  Carter,  Nov.   11; 

Warnke,  Oct.  23 
Trident  missile,  issue  (Warnke).  Apr.  7 
U.S.  delegation: 
Chairman  Earle,  appointment:   Dec.   6; 

Warnke,  Dec.  10 
Chairman  Warnke.  resignation:  Dec.  6; 
Carter,  Nov.    11;  Warnke,  Dec.   5, 
11 
U.S.   proposals  and  objectives:   Dec.    1; 
Brown,  Nov.   15,  17;  Carter,  Jan.   11, 
July  17;  Mondale,  June  32;  Shulman, 
Jan.  3.  Nov.  29;  Vance,  May  21.  June 
19.   29,   Aug.    16;  Warnke,  Jan.   23, 
Apr.  2,  Oct.  20,  23,  Dec.  6.  8 
SALT  III:  Jan.  15,  Apr.  3,  Dec.  3,  4;  Carter, 
July  15;  Mondale,  June  32;  Vance,  Jan. 
29;  Warnke,  Aug.  44,  45,  Oct.   19,  20, 
Dec.  10 
U.S.  compliance,  Soviet  questions,  Apr.   13 
Verification:   Dec.   2.  4;  Administration  re- 
port, Apr.   15;  Brown,  Nov.   15;  Carter. 
Jan.   11,  Apr.  18,  July  17,  Nov.  10,  11; 
Mondale,  June  32;  The  SALT  Process, 
publication  8947;   Shulman,   Nov.   30; 
Vance,  May  20,  21;  Warnke,   Apr.   3, 
16.  Oct    19.  21.  22.  Dec.  8 
Strauss,  Robert  S.  (Barraclough),  July  40 
Sudan: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  61, 

May  59.  Nov.  57 
U.S.   security  assistance:   Moose,  Apr.   30 
Vance,  July  29 
Sugar,   International  Sugar  Agreement  (1977) 
July  51;  Katz,  Mar.  2,  5,  Sept.  29 
Country  quotas  and  U.S.  domestic  program 
problems  of  consistency  (Katz),   Sept 
30 
Current  actions:  Argentina,  Jan.  61.  Oct.  61 
Australia,   Sept.   60;  Bangladesh,  Mar 


Sugar  (Cont'd) 

Current  actions  (Cont'd) 

59,  July  59-60;  Bolivia,  June  60; 
Brazil,  Jan.  61;  Bulgaria,  Mar.  59, 
July  59-60;  Canada,  Cuba,  Dominican 
Republic.  Egypt,  El  Salvador.  Ethiopia, 
Fiji,  Finland,  Mar.  59;  Federal  Republic 
of  Germany,  Oct.  61;  Guatemala,  Jan. 
61;  Guyana,  Honduras,  Jan.  61,  Mar. 
59;  India,  Mar.  59;  Sept.  60  (with  reser- 
vation); Indonesia,  Mar.  59;  Iraq,  Sept. 
60;  Jamaica,  Mar.  59,  Apr.  61;  Japan. 
Mar.  59,  Sept.  60;  Kenya,  Sept.  60; 
Korea,  Mar.  59;  Madagascar,  Jan.  61, 
Apr.  61;  Malawi,  Mar.  59;  Mauritius, 
Jan.  61;  Mexico,  Mar.  59;  Mozambique. 
Apr.  61;  New  Zealand,  Nigeria,  Mar. 
59;  Norway,  Mar.  59,  Sept.  60;  Paki- 
stan, June  60;  Panama,  Jan.  61; 
Paraguay,  Jan.  61,  Apr.  61;  Peru. 
Philippines,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59;  Portugal, 
Mar.  59;  Singapore,  South  Africa, 
Soviet  Union,  Mar.  59;  Sweden,  Mar 
59,  Sept.  60;  Thailand,  Mar.  59,  July 
59-60;  Trinidad  and  Tobago,  Uganda, 
Mar.  59;  U.K.,  Mar.  59,  Sept.  60;  Ven- 
ezuela, Mar.  59;  Yugoslavia,  Mar.  59, 
Sept.  60 

Supply  management  development,  technical 
cooperation  in,  project  agreement  with 
Saudi  Arabia,  Oct.  62 
Surinam: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  59,  June 
59,  Oct.  60.  Dec.  58.  61 

U.S.  Ambassador  (Ostrander),  sworn  in,  PR 
253,  6/14 
Swaziland,  treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60, 

Dec.  61 
Sweden: 

Pakistan-Sweden  age-sex  population  com- 
parison, Oct.  47,  49 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  59, 
Apr.  60,  July  58.  59.  60.  Aug.  58.  60. 
Sept.  60.  Oct.  62 

U.S.  relations  (Vest),  Mar.  27 
Switzerland: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Mar.  58, 
Apr.  60,  61,  July  60 

U.S.  relations  (Vest),  Mar.  27 
Syria: 

Soviet  arms  build-up.  question  of  (Vance), 
PR  51.  1/24 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Apr.  62.  July  62, 
Sept.  60,  Oct.  60,  Dec.  58.  61 

U.S.  Ambassador  (Seelye).  sworn  in,  PR 
307,  8/2 

U.S.  security  assistance,  appropriations  re- 
quest (Vance),  Apr.  29,  PR  89,  2/24 

Visit  of  Secretary  Vance:  arrival  statement, 
PR  567.  12/13/77;  remarks,  PR  568, 
12/14/77;  departure,  PR  569,  12/14/77 


Taiwan:  Holbrooke,  Aug.  4;  Vance,  Apr.  24, 
June  30,  Dec.  19 
Deputy  Secretary  Christopher,  arrival  re- 
marks, PR  470,  12/28 


Taiwan  (Cont'd) 

General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S..  text  of  amend- 
ments, PR  584,   12/22/77;  PR  146,  4/5; 
PR  249,  6/13;  PR  419,  11/7 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  61.  May  58, 

July  60,  Sept.  60,  Dec.  60 
U.S.  arms  sales  (Department),  Dec.  29 
U.S.  relations:  Holbrooke,  Apr.  33;  Vance, 

May  28 
U.S.  trade.  The  Trade  Debate,  publication 
8942,  p.  14 
Talboys,  Brian,  July  48 

Tall,   Macky   Koreissi   Aguibou:   Dec.   27;  re- 
marks on  presentation  of  credentials,  and 
reply  by  President  Carter,  UNN.  11/16 
Talleyrand,  Charles  de  (quoted).  Mar.  43 
Tanzania  (Carter),  July  18 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..   Mar.   58,   Apr. 

60,  61,  July  62,  Sept.  61.  Dec.  59 
Ugandan  invasion  (Vance),  Dec.  20 
U.S.  development  assistance  (Vance);  Apr. 

26,  PR  89,  2/24 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance  for  Malta  II  confer- 
ence on  Rhodesia,   PR   165,   4/14;  PR 
166.  4/15;  PR  167,  4/15;  PR  168.  4/16; 
PR  169,  4/16 
Taxation: 

Double  taxation.  See  Double  taxation 
Real   property   tax   administration   project, 
agreement  with  Philippines,  Aug.  61 
Technical   and  feasibility  studies,   bilateral 
agreements  with:   Egypt,   Indonesia.  July 
61 
Technical  assistance,  audit  administration  and 
training,  technical  cooperation,   bilateral 
agreement  with  Saudi  Arabia,  Aug.  61 
Telecommunications: 

ATS  and  direct  TV  broadcast  satellites  (Ben- 
ton). Jan.  57 
International  telecommunication  convention 
(1973):  Belgium.  July  60;  Bolivia.  Dec. 
59;  Botswana.  July  60;  Cameroon,  Nov. 
56;  Chad,  July  60;  Djibouti,  Feb.  61; 
Gabon,  Dec.  59;  Italy,  June  60;  Kenya, 
July  60;  Lebanon,  Nov.  56;  Mongolia, 
Mar.  59;  Niger.  Nov.  56;  Pakistan,  Jan. 
61;  Sri  Lanka,  June  60;  Turkey,  Nov. 
56;  Upper  Volta,  Uruguay,  June  60; 
Yemen  Arab  Republic,  July  60 
International   Telegraph   Union  (ITU): 

Maynes,  Feb.  50 
Licensed  amateur  radio  operators,  reciprocal 
granting  of  authorizations  to  operate  in 
either  country,   bilateral   agreements 
with:  Greece.  Sept.  60;  Iceland.  July  61; 
Surinam.  Dec.  61 
Radio  regulations  (1959),   partial  revision 
(1974)  to  establish  new  frequency  allot- 
ment     plan      for      high-frequency 
radiotelephone  coast  stations:   Argen- 
tina, July   60:  Netherlands,   June   60; 
Yugoslavia,  Jan.  61 
Radio   spectrum  allocations,   problems 

(Christopher),  Sept.  26 
Telegraph  regulations  (1973)  and  telephone 
regulations  (1973),   ratification,   Leba- 
non, Dec.  59 
World   Administrative   Radio  Conference 


34 


Telecommunications  (Cont'd) 

World  Administrative  Radio  Conf.  (Cont'd) 
(1979): 
Advisory  Committee  meeting,  announce- 
ment, PR  330,  8/15 
Chairman  (Robinson)  of  U.S.  delegation, 

PR  5.  1/6 
Final  Acts,  approval:  Byelorussian  S.S.R., 
July  60;  France,  June  60,  July  60; 
Liechtenstein.  July  60;   Malaysia, 
Nov.   56;  Qatar.   Singapore,   Soviet 
Union.  July  60;  U.K..  Nov.  56;  Uk- 
rainian S.S.R.,  July  60 
Tennyson.  Alfred  Lord  (quoted).  Jan.  38 
Terrorism  (see  also  Arab-Israeli  conflict):  Apr. 
46;  Carter,   Sept.   6;   Derian,   Nov.   52; 
Vance.  Mar.  53.  Nov.  50,  52  (quoted) 
Air  hijacking  and  other  unlawful  acts,  need 
for  collective  action:  Kennedy,  Jan.  53; 
Vance,  Mar.  53;  Wolff,  Jan.  54 
Bonn  economic   summit   meeting,  joint 
statement  on:  Sept.  5;  Carter,  Sept.  5; 
Cooper.   Nov.   20;  Department,  Sept. 
5;  Vance.  Nov.  50 
Diplomats,  protection  of,  convention  (1973): 
Finland,  Dec.  59;  India.  June  60;  Iran, 
Sept.  60;  Iraq,  Apr.  61;  Jamaica,  Nov. 
56;  Peru,  June  60;  Romania,  Uruguay, 
Aug.  59 
Prevention  and  punishment  for  crimes  of  in- 
ternational   significance,   convention 
(1971),  ratification,  Uruguay,  May  58 
U.S.  response  (Vance),  Mar.  54 
Textiles: 

Cotton,  wool,  and  man-made  fiber  textiles, 
bilateral  agreements  with:  Brazil,  July 
60;  Colombia,  July  60,  Oct.  61,  PR  203, 
5/3;  PR  356,  9/15;  Haiti,  Jan.  62,  Dec. 

60.  PR  562,  12/12/77;  Hong  Kong,  Nov. 
57,  PR  374,  9/27;  PR  454,  12/14;  India, 
Feb.  61,  July  61,  Sept.  60,  Dec.  60,  PR 
8,  1/7;  PR  178,  4/20;  PR  305,  7/31;  PR 
417,  11/7;  PR  429,  11/16;  Japan,  Oct. 
62;  PR  367,  9/26;  Korea,  Republic  of, 
Feb.  61,  Mar.  60,  July  61,  PR  2,  1/4;  PR 
86,  2/22;  PR  115.  3/13;  PR  240  6/7; 
Macau,  PR  16,  1/12;  PR  465,  12/22; 
Malaysia,  Sept.  61,  PR  303,  7/27;  PR 
440,  12/5;  Mexico,  Sept.  61,  PR  343, 
9/1;  Philippines,  Feb.  61,  Mar.  60,  July 
62,  Nov.  57,  PR  21,  1/13;  PR  52,  1/24: 
PR  65,  2/7;  PR  248,  6/13;  PR  353,  9/14 
Poland,  Mar.  60,  Dec.  61,  PR  56,  1/30 
PR  402;  10/26;  PR  427,  11/14;  Singa- 
pore, Nov.  57,  Dec.  6,  PR  25,  1/16;  PR 
375.  9/27;  PR  418,   11/7;  Taiwan.  Feb. 

61,  May  58,  July  60,  Sept.  60,  Dec.  60; 
PR  584,  12/22/77;  PR  146,  4/15;  PR  249, 
6/13;  PR  419,  11/7;  Thailand,  Mar.  61, 
Dec.  61,  PR  1.  1/3;  PR  15,  1/12;  PR  79, 
2/17;  PR  426,  1 1/14;  PR  455,  12/14 

Cotton  textiles,   bilateral   agreements  with 
Brazil,  July  60,  PR  263,  6/27;  Egypt,  PR 
55,  1/30;  Pakistan,  Feb.  61,  PR  17,  1/12; 
Romania,  Apr.  62.  Dec.  61,  PR  60,  2/1; 
PR  373.  9/27;  PR  395,  10/20 
International   trade,   arrangement  (1973):  In- 
donesia, Aug.  59;  Peru.  Feb.  61 
Protocol  extending  (1977):   Austria,   Apr. 
61;  Bangladesh,  July  60;  Brazil,  Col- 


Textiles  (Cont'd) 

International  trade  (Cont'd) 
Protocol  (Cont'd) 

ombia,    Apr.    61;    Egypt,    June   60 
European  Economic  Community,  Apr 
61;    Finland,    June   60.    Aug.    59 
Ghana,  Aug.  59;  Guatemala,  Apr.  61 
Haiti,   Aug.   59;  Hungary.  June  60 
India,   Apr.   61;  Indonesia.   Aug.   59 
Israel,  Jamaica,  June  60;  Japan,  Apr 
61;   Korea,   Republic  of,  June  60 
Mexico.   Pakistan.   Apr.   61;   Peru 
Philippines,    Poland.    June    60 
Romania,  Singapore,  Sri  Lanka.  Apr 
61;  Sweden,  July  60;  Switzerland 
Thailand,  Apr.   61;  Turkey.  July  60 
U.K.,  U.S..   Apr.  61;  Uruguay,  July 
60;  Yugoslavia,  June  60 
Textiles  and  textile  products,  trade  in,  bilat- 
eral  agreements  with:   Egypt,   Mar.   60; 
Haiti,  PR  403,  10/26;  Jamaica,  Feb.  61 , 
PR  6,  1/6 
Wool  and  man-made  fiber  textile  agreement, 
amendments,   text,   Romania,  July   62, 
Nov.  57,  PR  206,  5/3 
Wool  rugs,  bilateral   agreement  with   India, 
amendment,  PR  305,  7/31 
Thailand: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials:  Sept.   21; 

remarks  on  presentation  of  credentials 

and  reply  by  President  Carter.  UNN.  8/2 

Economic      and      political      development 

(Newsom),  Dec.  28,  29.  30 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
Human  rights:   Christopher,   Mar.    32;  Hol- 
brooke, Apr.  34 
Indochinese  refugees,  problem:  Derian,  Mar. 

33;  Mondale,  July  25 
Narcotic    control    program   and    U.S.    aid 

(Falco),  June  46 
Textile  agreement  with  U.S.,  texts  of  amend- 
ment,  PR    1,    1/3;  PR   15.    1/12:  PR  79. 
2/17;  PR  426,  11/14;  PR  455,  12/14 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  59,  61,  Apr. 

61.  July  58,  60,  Aug.  60,  Dec.  61 
U.S.    Ambassador  (Abramowitz).   sworn   in, 

PR  276,  7/11 
U.S.  economic  and  military  assistance:  Hol- 
brooke,  Apr.   34;   Mondale,  July   23; 
Vance,  Apr.  26.  PR  89,  2/24 
Vietnam,   Laos,   and  Cambodia,   relations 

(Pachariyangkun),  Sept.  23 
Visit  of  Vice  President  Mondale:  Brzezinski, 
June  4;   Holbrooke,   Aug.   2;   Mondale. 
July  22 
Tienken,  Arthur  T..  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 
Gabon  and  Sao  Tome  and  Principe.  PR  91, 
2/24 
Tin: 

Fifth  international  tin  agreement  (1975):  Bel- 
gium,  Luxembourg,   Nov.   56;   Nether- 
lands, Apr.  61 
ITA  buffer  stocks  (Katz).  Mar.  1.  2 
U.S.  imports:  Mar.  ii;  Katz.  Mar.  2 
Tito.  Josip  Broz,   visit  to  U.S.:  Apr.  44;  pro- 
gram. PR  105.  3/6 
Todman.  Terence  A.,  May  54 

Ambassador  to  Spain,  sworn  in  as.  PR  266. 

6/28 
Keynote    speaker,    conference    on    U.S.- 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 

Todman,  Terence  A.  (Cont'd) 
Keynote  speaker  (Cont'd) 

Caribbean   trade,    investment  and   de 
velopment,  PR  I  1 ,  1/9 
Speaker,  U.S. -Central   American  Trade  am 

Investment  Conference,  PR  64.  2/7 
Speaker,   Young  Hispanic  Leadership  Semi 
nar,  PR  10.  1/9 
Togo,  U.S.   Ambassador  (Johnson),  sworn  in 

PR  389.  10/17 
Tolbert,  William  R..  May  17 
Toma,  Iulai.  Apr.  33 
Tonga: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Aug.  59,  Sept.  59 

60 
U.S.   Ambassador  (Selden)  to  serve  concur 
rently  as  Ambassador  to  Western  Samo; 
(Holbrooke),  Oct.  44 
Tonnage  measurement  of  ships,   internationa 
convention  ( 1969):  New  Zealand  (not  appli 
cable  to  Cook  Islands,  Niue,  and  Tokelau) 
Mar.   59;  Panama,   May  58;  Philippines 
Nov.  57 
Toon,  Malcolm,  profile.  Jan.  5 

Key  speaker,  conference  on  U.S.  security  anc 
the  Soviet  challenge.  PR  341.  8/30 
Torrijos,  Omar.  July  49,  51 
Torture:  Feb.  56;  Christopher.  Mar.  32;  Vance. 
Nov.  48 
International  crime,  definition  as.   proposec 
convention  (OAS).  Sept.  58 
Tourists  and  tourism: 

American   International  Traveler  conference 

notice  of,  PR  224,  5/19 
Mexico,  bilateral  agreement:  June  58.  July  61 
Vance,  June  57 
Trade  (see  also  Balance  of  payments): 

Asia,  Japanese  trade  patterns  (Hormats),  June 

6 
Eastern  Europe.  See  under  East-West  relations 
Expansion  and   antiprotectionism:   May    II, 
Sept.  3,  48;  ANZUS.  July  49;  Brzezinski. 
June  2;  Carter,  Feb.   13,  15,  May  2.   13. 
Sept.  7.  56,  Nov.  23,  24,  26,  Dec.    12. 
13;  Christopher,  Sept.  27;  Cooper.  Feb. 
28;  Gardner,  July  43;  Holbrooke.  Aug.  5; 
Hormats,  Aug.  23,  Dec.  35;  Lake,  Jan. 
25;  Mondale.  Mar.   10;  Vance.  Feb.  23, 
Apr.  35,  Aug.  25,  Nov.  46;  Vest.  Mar. 
28;  Young,  Oct.  56 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942,  p.  22 
General  agreement  on  tariffs  and  trade:  Sept. 
3;   Vance,  Nov.  46;  The  Trade  Debate, 
publication  8942 
Accessions,  provisional: 
Colombia:  Cuba.  Apr.  61 

Proces-verbal:   Cuba,   Netherlands, 
Apr.  61 
Philippines,  2d  proces-verbal:  Denmark. 
Korea,   Apr.    61;   Peru,    Feb     61; 
Philippines,  U.S.,  Apr.  61 
Tunisia,    I  lth  proces-verbal:  Denmark, 
Japan,  Korea.   Apr.   61;  Peru.  Feb. 
61;  Tunisia,  U.S.,  Apr.  61 
Papermaking  machinery,   supplementary 
agreement  with  Finland,  Sept.  60 
Multinational  trade  negotiations:  Jan.  16,  July 
51.     Sept.     3;     ASEAN.     Sept.     25; 
Brzezinski,  June  2;  Carter,  Feb.   13,   15, 
May  2,  Sept.    1.  7,  56,  Nov.  23;  Chnst- 


id 


ndex  1978 

rade  (Cont'd) 
Multinational  trade  negotiations  (Cont'd) 
opher,  Sept.  27;  Cooper,  Nov.  20;  Gard- 
ner.  July  43;   Holbrooke,   Aug.   4;   Hor- 
mats,  June  7,  Aug.  23;  Katz.  Nov.  25; 
Lake,  Jan.  25;  Mondale,  Mar.  10;  Vance, 
Feb.  23.  Mar.  18.  19,  Apr.  36.  Nov.  45; 
Vest.  Mar.  28 
Subsidies  and  countervailing  duties,  code 
on,  proposed:  Carter,  Nov.   21,  25; 
Hormats,  Aug.  24 
Tropica!  Products  Group,  Aug.  41 
United  States: 

Africa:  Christopher.  Sept.  28;  Vance.  Aug. 

10.  16 
Asian  and   Pacific   nations:  July  22,   24, 
Aug.  5;  ASEAN.  Sept.  25;  Holbrooke, 
Apr.  32.  Aug.  2.  4;  Newsom,  Dec.  28, 
53;  Romulo,  Sept.  20 
Eastern  Europe.  See  under  East- West  rela- 
tions 
Embargo  policy:  Carter,  Oct.    14;  Katz, 

Mar.  22 
Generalized  system  of  preferences:  Apr.  49; 
ASEAN,  Sept.  25;  Cooper,  Sept.   21; 
Rajaratnam,  Sept.  21 
German  Democratic  Republic  (Bolen),  May 

38 
Hungary,    trade    agreement    and    most- 
favored-nation  legislation:   May  59. 
Aug.    60;    Luers,    Nov.    41;   Nimetz. 
Aug.   26;   Vance,   PR  9B,    1/7;   Vest, 
Oct.  34 
Negotiations  concluded,  PR  107,  3/7 
Signature.  PR  271,  7/6 
India,   tropical   products,   bilateral   agree- 
ment. Oct.  61 
International  trade  fairs  (Hormats),  July  38 
Japan.  See  Japan 

Latin  America.  See  under  Latin  America 
Less  developed  countries:  Christopher, 
Sept.   27;  Cooper,   Nov.  21;  Maynes, 
Sept.  49,   Dec.  49;   Vance,   Feb.   24; 
Apr.  24,  June  14;  Young,  Feb.  53 
Mexico,  June  58 

Middle  East  oil  states  (Saunders),  Aug.  30 
Nigeria  (Carter),  May  13 
1977,  chart,  Aug.  5 

Poland,  economic  and  industrial  coopera- 
tion, bilateral  agreement  with.  Dec.  61 
Romania:  June  37;  Vest,  Oct.  34.  35 
Subsidies  and  countervailing  duties:  Carter. 
Nov.  21,  25;  Hormats,  Aug.  24;  Mon- 
dale, Mar.  10 
Ten  largest  U.S.  trading  partners,  list,  June 

2 
The  Trade  Debate,  publication  8942 
Uganda,  U.S.  restrictions.  Sept.  19 
ransnational  corporations.  See   Multinational 

corporations 
Transportation: 
Advanced  ground  transportation,  particularly 
tracked,  levitated  high-speed  transporta- 
tion systems,   bilateral   agreement  with 
Federal  Republic  of  Germany,  Dec.  60 
Cooperation  in  field  of.  bilateral  agreements 
with:  Poland,   Dec.   61;  Soviet  Union, 
Oct.  62 
Highway  transportation,   project   agreement 
with  Saudi  Arabia,  Mar.  61 


Transportation  (Cont'd) 
Lattakia-Tartous    highway    project,    loan 

agreement  with  Syria,  Dec.  61 
Perishable   foodstuffs,    international   carriage 
of,    and   special    equipment,    agreement 
(1970),  ratification,  Luxembourg,  July  60 
Transcameroon   railroad   III,    project   loan 
agreement  with  Cameroon,  Dec.  60 
Travel  (see  also  Visas): 

Passport  agencies,   opening  in:   Detroit,   PR 
336,   8/17;   Houston,   PR  437,    11/29; 
Stamford.  Conn..  PR  406,  10/27 
Preclearance  for  entry  into  U.S.  to  Freeport, 
bilateral  agreement  with  Bahamas.  Aug. 
60 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  60,  Feb.  60.  Mar. 
58.   Apr.  59.  May  57,  June  59,  July  58, 
Aug.  58,  Sept.  58,  Oct.  60,  Nov.  56,  Dec. 
58 
Vienna  convention  on  law  of  treaties  (1969), 
Nauru,  June  60,  Aug.  59 
Trinidad  and  Tobago,  treaties,  agreements,  etc., 

Jan.  61,  Feb.  61,  Mar.  59 
Tropical   deforestation  conference,   announce- 
ment. PR  243.  6/9 
Truman,  Harry  (quoted).  May  6,  June  35.  July  I 
Trust  Territory  of  the  Pacific  Islands.  See  Mi- 
cronesia 
Tunisia: 

Human  rights  (Christopher)  Mar.  32 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  61. 
Apr.  61,  May  57.  59,  June  60,  July  59, 
62,  Dec.  61 
U.S.   visit  of  Prime  Minister  Nouira,  pro- 
gram, PR  435,  11/27 
Turay,  Mohamed  Morlai:  Sept.   18;  remarks  on 
presentation  of  credentials  and  reply  by 
President  Carter,  UNN,  8/2 
Turkey  (see  also  Cyprus): 

Defense  cooperation  agreement  with  U.S.,  re- 
negotiation planned:  Carter,   Sept.   34; 
Clifford,  July  41;  Department.  May  34, 
Dec.   38;   Vance.  Apr.   29,  May  35,  PR 
43,  1/21 
Greek-Turkish  problems:   Caramanlis,   Feb. 
31;  Carter.   Aug.   6,  7,   Sept.    11.   34; 
Clifford.  July  42;  NATO,  July  9;  Vance, 
Jan.  29,  July  7,  Sept.  15;  Vest,  Mar.  27; 
White  House,  Sept.  34 
NATO,  importance  to.   See  under  North  At- 
lantic Treaty  Organization 
Prisoner  transfer  treaty   with  U.S.,   negotia- 
tions announced,  PR  274,  7/10 
Profile,  July  41 

Soviet  intentions,  question  of  (Vance),  July  6 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  60,  61,  62, 
Feb.  60,  July  58,  60,  Sept.  61,  Nov.  56, 
57 
U.S.   arms  embargo,   rescission,  and  U.S. 
military  and  economic  aid  proposals: 
Carter,  July  4,  Aug.  6,  7,  Sept.  11,  34, 
Dec.  38;  Clifford,  July  41;  Department, 
May  34,  Sept.  34,  Dec.  38;  Vance,  May 
34,  35,  Sept.    14,  PR  265,  6/28;  White 
House  statement,  Sept.  34 
Linkage  with  lifting  sanctions  on  Rhodesia, 
question  of  (Vance),  Sept.  15 
U.S.  missiles,  question  of  effect  of  SALT  II 

(Warnke).  Apr.  7 
U.S.  relations:  Okcun,  Feb.  30;  Vance,  Feb. 


35 


Turkey  (Cont'd) 

U.S.  relations  (Cont'd) 

30,  May  33 
Visit  of  Secretary  Vance:  Okcun,  Feb.  30; 

Vance,  Feb.  30,  34,  PR  42.  1/21;  PR  43. 

1/21 


u 


Uganda  (Vance).  July  29 
Foreign  relations  outline,  Sept.  18 
Invasion  into  Tanzania  (Vance),  Dec.  20 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  Mar.  58,  59 
U.S.  economic  embargo,  question  of:  Sept. 

19;  Katz,  Mar.  22;  Vance,  Aug.  14 
U.S.   missionaries,  students  and  other  U.S. 

residents,  presence,  Sept.  19 
Ukrainian  Soviet  Socialist  Republic,  treaties, 
agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61 ,  July  60,  Aug.  58 
Union  of  Soviet  Socialist  Republics.  See  Soviet 

Union 
United   Arab  Emirates,   treaties,   agreements, 

etc.,  Mar.  58,  Oct.  62 
United  Kingdom: 

Air  services  agreement  with  U.S.:  Katz,  Jan. 

59;  joint  announcement,  PR  126,  3/17 
Charter  air  service  agreement  with  U.S..  and 

text,  PR  191,  4/27 
Economy:  Sept.   2;  Barraclough,  July  40; 

Hormats,  July  36,  Dec.  33 
Northern  Ireland  (Vance),  PR  9A,  1/19 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  Feb.  61, 

Mar.  58,  59.  61.  Apr.  61,  May  57,  58, 

59,  June  61,  July  59  (applicable  to  Saint 

Christopher,   Nevis  and   Anguilla,    Saint 

Lucia,  and  Saint  Vincent,  and  Solomon 

Islands  and  Brunei).  60,  Aug.  58,  59,  61 . 

Sept.  60,  61,  Oct.  61,  Nov.  56.  57,  Dec. 

61 
U.S.  relations  (Vest),  Mar.  27 
United  Nations:  July  51;  Carter,  July  16.  19 
Accomplishments,  problems,  and  role:  Apr. 

58,  Aug.  55;  Carter,  Sept.  55,  Nov.  50; 

Jamieson,  June  55;  Maynes,  Jan.   51, 

Sept.   50;  Mondale,   Aug.    12;   Vance. 

Aug.  12.  Nov.  45;  Young,  Feb.  54 
Background  Notes,  released,  Nov.  49 
Budget  and  financing:  Maynes,  Feb.  51,  Sept. 

49;  Young,  Feb.  55 
Committee  of  the  Whole:   Vance,  Nov.  46; 

Young,  Oct.  57 
Membership,  Solomon  Islands,  Nov.  57 
Privileges  and  immunities,  convention  (1946): 

Bangladesh,  Mar.  59;  Djibouti,  June  60 
Specialized  agencies  and  programs  (Maynes), 

Feb.  48 
Technical  assistance  for  Bangladesh  in  field  of 

statistical  services,  agreement,  Sept.  61 
U.S.  appropriations  request  FY  1979  (Vance), 

Apr.  24,  25,  28;  PR  83,  2/21;  PR  109, 

3/9 
U.S.   income  tax  reimbursement,  procedure, 

agreement  with  U.S.,  Oct.  62 
U.S.  participation  (Maynes),  Jan.  50 
Vietnamese  delegate,   espionage  activities 

(Vance),  Mar.  17 
United  Nations  Children's  Fund: 

Potable  water  resources  project  for  India 

(Vance),  June  19 


36 


U.N.  Children's  Fund  (Cont'd) 

U.S.  pledge:  Feb.  56;  Vance.  Apr.  28.  PR  89. 
2/24;  Whalen,  Jan.  56 
United  Nations  Conference  on  Trade  and  De- 
velopment (Katz),  Oct.  26 
Fifth  session.  1979  (ASEAN).  Sept.  24 
United  Nations  Day.  1978: 

Proclamation  (Carter),  Nov.  50.  51 
U.S.   National  Chairman  (Garvin),  appoint- 
ment, (Carter),  Nov.  51 
United  Nations  Development  Program:  Apr.  58; 
Holbrooke,  Oct.  44;  Maynes,  Jan.  52.  Feb. 
49;   Vance.   Nov.  47;  Whalen.  Jan.   55; 
Young,  Jan.  35 
Central   America,   energy   from   underground 

volcanic  steam  project  (Vance),  June  15 
U.S.  pledge  (Vance),  Apr.  28.  PR  89,  2/24 
United  Nations  Educational,  Scientific  and  Cul- 
tural Organization  (Maynes),  Feb.  49 
Educational,  scientific,  and  cultural  materials, 
importation,  agreement  (1950):  Ireland, 
Dec.  59;  Oman,  Feb.  60 
Resolution   on   Mass   Media,   question   of 

(Vance),  Aug.  18 
World  congress  on  disarmament  education, 
planned.  Aug.  55 
United  Nations  High  Commission  for  Refugees, 
transfer   of  agricultural   commodities  to, 
agreement  with  U.S..  Sept.  61 
United   Nations  High  Commissioner  for  Refu- 
gees: 
Indochinese  boat  refugees,  appeal  for  assist- 
ance: ANZUS.  July  48;  Derian,  Mar.  33 
Visit  to  U.S..  PR  92,  2/27 
United   Nations   Human   Rights  Commission 

(Mezvinsky),  Sept.  53 
United  Nations  specialized  agencies  (see  also 
United  Nations  and  United  Nations  Chil- 
dren's Fund),  U.S.  appropriations  request 
FY  1979:  Vance,  Apr.  28.  PR  89.  2/24; 
Whalen.  Jan.  56 
United  States  Information  Agency  (Christopher). 

Mar.  31 
University  of  Wisconsin.   Milwaukee,   cospon- 
sorship  of  Conference  on  U.S.  Security  and 
the  Soviet  Challenge,  PR  246,  6/12 
Upper  Volta: 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60,  Mar.  59, 

July  60,  Sept.  61 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Boyatt),  sworn  in.  PR  323, 
8/10 
Urban  problems:  Nov.  2,  3,  6;  Green,  Feb.  45 
Cairo  sewerage,  project  grant  agreement  with 

Egypt.  Dec.  60 
Urban  employment  and  community  improve- 
ment, bilateral   agreement  with  Costa 
Rica.  Dec.  60 
Uruguay: 

Human  rights  (OAS),  Sept.  58 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61.  Feb.  60, 
Mar.  58.  May  58.  June  60.  July  60,  Aug. 
59.  60,  Dec.  59 


Department  of  State  Bulletf 


Vaky.  Viron  P..  sworn  in  as  Assistant  Secretary 
of  State  for  Inter-American  Affairs.  PR  295. 
7/21 


Valdez,  Abelardo: 

Speaker,  conference  on  U.S. -Caribbean  trade, 
investment,  and  development,  PR  1  1 .  1/9 

Speaker,  Young  Hispanic  Leadership  seminar, 
PR  10.  1/9 

Vance.  Cyrus  R. 

Addresses,  correspondence,   remarks,  and 
statements: 
Africa,  Feb.  24.  Mar.   19,  July  5.  29,  Aug. 
10,  13.  16.  PR  165.  4/14 
Cuban  and  Soviet  forces.  Mar.    16.   18, 
May  24.   26.  June  25.   29.  July   31. 
32,  Aug.  10,  15 
Refugees,  Nov.  48 
Sahel,  Jan.  34 

U.S.  economic  aid.  Apr.  26,  July  29,  32, 
PR  89,  2/24 
African  Development  Fund,  Apr.  28,  June 

15.  July  29 
Agency    for   International    Development, 
reorganization,  Apr.  25,  27,  June  16, 
Aug.  14 
Ambassador  Young,   remarks  on   political 
prisoners  in  U.S..  Sept.    16.  PR  284, 
7/14 
Angola: 

South  African  raid,  July  30 
U.S.   consultations  on  border  dispute, 
proposed,  Aug.  12,  13 
Arab-Israeli   conflict   (for   details,    see 
Arab-Israeli  conflict),  Jan.  17,  40,  May 
24.  June  28.  Sept.  39 
Cairo  conference.  Jan.    17.   18,  20,  28, 

29,  30,  40-46  passim 
Camp  David  meeting  and  agreements, 
Sept.  44,  45,  Nov.  48.  Dec.  17.  20. 
PR  452,  12/13 
Core  issues,  Jan.  20.  Feb.  26,  33.  Mar. 
16,  May  26.  June  17.  24.  Sept.  41. 
42,  PR  9A.  1/19 
East  Jerusalem  issue,  Sept.  40.  41 
Economic  development  program,   pro- 
posed. May  28 
Egyptian-Israeli     Foreign     Ministers' 
meetings.  Feb.  25.  33.  34,  35,  Aug. 
18,  20.  Sept.    13.    15.    18,   39.  PR 
555.  12/12/77;  PR  9A,  1/19;  PR  9B. 
1/7;  PR  26,   1/17;  PR  35.   1/20;  PR 
291,  7/17 
Interruptions,  stalemates,  Feb.  34,  35, 
38.  June  17,  20,  Aug.  20.  PR  30, 
1/18;   PR   31.    1/19;   PR   32.    1/19; 
PR  49.   1/23 
Israeli-occupied  territories: 

Contrary  to  international  law.  Mar.   15, 

16.  Nov.  49.  Dec.  18.  20 
Shiloh  settlement.  Mar    16 
Security  Council  224.  applicability  to. 
Mar.    13.  May  25.  26,   Aug     19. 
Sept.  13,  40,  44 
Negev  airfields,  and  question  of  U.S.  aid 

in  removal,  Dec.  17,  19 
Palestinian   settlement,   proposals.   Mar. 
16.   Nov.   49.   Dec.    18.    19.   PR  9A. 
1/19;  PR  I8A.  1/16 
PLO,  U.S.  contacts,  question  of.  Jan.  20. 

PR  9A.  1/19 
Soviet   supply  of  arms  to  Syria.   PR  51. 
1/24 


J." 


Vance.  Cyrus  R.  (Cont'd) 
Addresses,  correspondence,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
Arab-Israeli  conflict  (Cont'd) 
Soviet-U.S.   consultations  and   Sovie 
role:   Jan.    17,    19,   29,   30.  40.  44 
May  28.  PR  I8A.  1/16 
U.S.  arms  sales.  See  under  Egypt.  Israel 

and  Syria,  infra 
U.S.  visit  of  Foreign  Minister  Weizman 

question  of.  PR  51.  1/24 
Visits  to  Middle  East.  See  under  Arab 
Israeli  conflict 
Armaments,  Apr.  29.  Aug.  16 

Arms  transfers  policy.  Mar.  18.  July  29 

/32.  PR  89.  2/24 
Neutron  bomb.  Jan.  29.  May  23,  Dec.  19 
Arms  control.  May  20.  June  19,  Nov.  50 
U.N.   Special   Session  on  Disarmament 
May  29.  June  27,  July  4,  Nov.   30 
50 
ASEAN  ministerial  meeting  on  economii 
cooperation,  Sept.  19,  20.  21,  22,  23 
toast,  PR  309.  8/3 
Cambodia.  June  19 
CENTO,  June  24 

China.  People's  Republic  of.  Jan.  20 
Africa,  role  in,  Aug.   14 
Normalization  of  relations,  Feb.  23.  Jun 

30,  Aug.  17,  20,  Dec.  19 
Visit  of  Dr.  Brzezinski.  June  30 
Commodity  trade.  Mar.   18,  Apr.  24.  Ma 

59.  Sept.  20.  21.  22,  Nov.  46 
Consular  services  abroad.  Mar.  20 
Cuba,   Mar.    15.   May   24.   July   6.    15.    19 

Aug.   13 
Cyprus,  Jan.  29.  Feb.  30.  31,  May  34.  Jun 
25.  Sept.   15,  Nov.  50,  PR  18A.  1/lf 
PR  265,  6/28 
Defense,  Feb.  23.  May  22.  June  24.  Aug 

15 
Domestic  needs.  June  17 
Economy,  Feb.  23.  Mar    18.  Apr.  35.  Jun. 

17,  25,  57.  July  5.  6.   Aug.    15.   Nov 
45 

Bonn  summit  meeting.  Aug.  18,  24 
European   monetary   system,   Aug.    18' 
Dec.  20 
U.S.  dollar,  rates  of  exchanges.  Ma 
27 
Egypt,  U.S.  military  aircraft  sales.  Mar.  7 
13,  14,  37,  May  24,  June  18,  27,  38 
39.  PR  51,  1/24;  PR  217,  5/9 
Energy.   Mar.    18.   57.   May   27.   June    18 
Aug.  25.  Sept.  20.  Nov    47 
Mexican  oil  and  gas  saies  to  Caribbeat 

countries,  question  of.  June  58 
U.S.  program.  Mar.  19,  Apr.  37.  June  57 
Ethiopia-Somalia  conflict  and  Soviet  ant 
Cuban  arms  supplies.  Mar.   14.  15.  16 

18,  May  27.  June  25.  30.  July  30,   '2 
Aug.   11-12 

Europe: 

Eastern,  U.S.  relations.  July  4.  Nov.  4! 

(quoted),  PR  9B,  1/17 
Helsinki   Agreement,   implementation   o: 

Final   Act,    Mar.    19,   July   5.   8,   PR 

9B,  1/7 
Mutual   and  balanced  force  reductions 

Jan.   30.   May   21.  June  26.  July  5 

Aug.  20 
Visit  of  President  Carter  to  France  anc 


& 


t 


dex  1978 

ince,  Cyrus  R.  (Cont'd) 
Addresses,  correspondence,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
Europe  (Cont'd) 

Visit  of  President  Carter  (Cont'd) 
Poland,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Eurocommunism,  PR  18A,  1/16 
Export-Import  Bank,  Apr.  36,  Sept.  20 
Food  shortages  and  problems,  Nov.  45,  47 

U.S.  aid,  Apr.  26,  27.  Aug.   12 
Foreign  aid.  June  18,  Nov.  47 

Appropriations  request  FY    1979,   Mar. 
19,   Apr.   24.  June   14,    19.  July  29. 
PR  83.  2/21;  PR  89.  2/24;  PR  109, 
3/9;  PR  265,  6/28 
Foreign  policy.  June  19,  27,  29,  Sept.   14, 
16 
1977  review  and  1978  agenda.  Mar.  18 
Priorities.  Feb.  23 

Women,   involvement  in.  PR  571.   12/ 
15/77  (quoted) 
Foreign  Service,  Mar.  19 

Family  Liaison  Office,   ribbon-cutting 
ceremony,  PR  103,  3/2 
Freedom  of  the  press.  Aug.  18 
General  Assembly,   33d  session,  opening 

statement,  Nov.  45 
Goldberg,  Arthur.  Sept.  13 
Greece,  Jan.  29,  June  25,  July  4.  6.  Sept. 
14 
U.S.  economic  and  security  assistance 
programs,  FY   1979,   Apr.   29,  May 
33,  34,  PR  265.  6/28 
Visit  to,  Feb.  31.  34.  PR  44,   1/23;  PR 
46,  1/25 
Human  rights,  Jan.   19,  20,  Feb.  23,  Mar. 
18,  Apr.   26,  June   15.  25,   Aug.    14, 
Sept.  14,  23,  Nov.  48 
Africa,  July  29,  Aug.   11,  12 
Hungary,   U.S.   return  of  Crown  of  St. 
Stephen,  Jan.  19,  Feb.  29.  PR  9,  1/17; 
PR  9B.  1/7 
India,  democratic  progress,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Indochinese  boat  refugees,   May  28,  June 

17,  Sept.  20,  Nov.  48 
Iran,  June  25,  Dec.  18 
Israel,  Feb.  33,  Mar.  17,  Apr.  25.  29,  May 
26.  June  27 
Golda  Meir.  death  of,  PR  444,  12/8;  PR 

445,  12/8 
Lobby  in  U.S.,  question  of,  June  29 
PLO  terrorist  attack  on.  May  46 
U.S.  exertion  of  pressure,  question  of, 

PR  9A,  1/19 
U.S.  military  aircraft  sales.  Mar.  7,   15, 
37,  May  24.  June  18.  38,  39,  PR  51. 
1/24;  PR  217.  5/9 
Visit  to.  See  under  Israel 
Korea,  Republic  of,  Jan.  19.  Mar.  17,  Apr. 
29 
North  Korean  dialogue,  question  of,  Dec. 
19 
Latin  America,  arms  restraint,  Nov.  50 
Law  as  a  career,  PR  232,  5/28 
Law  of  the  sea  conference,  Nov.  47 
Lebanon,  Jan.  45,  Mar.   14,  Aug.   17,   19, 
Sept.  43,  Nov.  49 
Israeli    incursion   and   subsequent   with- 
drawal. May  23,  27,  46 
Less  developed  countries,  Feb.  24.  28,  Apr. 
24,  27,  June  14,  July  29,  PR  83.  2/21; 
PR  89,  2/24;  PR  109,  3/9 


Vance,  Cyrus  R.  (Cont'd) 

Addresses,  correspondence,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
Less  developed  countries  (Cont'd) 
North-South  relations.  Mar.  18,  Aug.  25, 
Nov.  45 
Mexico: 

Undocumented  aliens,  June  57.  58 
Visit  to.  June  56,  PR  212.  5/4;  PR  214. 
5/4 
Middle  East  nuclear-free  zone,  question  of, 

Mar.  17 
Mozambique.  May  28 
Namibia,  Feb.  23,  24,  July  5.  32,  Aug.  16, 
Sept.  16 
Contact  group  consultation.   Mar.   20, 
June  21,  22,  25,  26.  Aug.   11.   19. 
Nov.  49.  Dec.  22,  23 
Elections,    U.N. supervised,    proposed, 

Aug.  11,  Dec.  21.  22.  23,  56 
Security  Council   resolutions,   Sept.   45, 

Dec.  56 
South   African  acceptance  of  contact 
group  proposals,  June  30.  July  30. 
Aug.  1  1 
South  African  qualifications  to  accept- 
ance, Dec.  21 ,  22,  56 
South  African  unilateral  elections,   Dec. 

21.  22,  23.  56 
SWAPO  acceptance  of  contact  group 
plan.  July  30,  Aug.  11,  Dec.  56,  PR 
284,  7/14 
SWAPO  relations  with  Angola.  Aug.  13 
Walvis  Bay.  July  30,  Sept.  45 
National  peace  academy,  question  of,  Aug. 

14 
NATO,  May  21,  33,  June  25,  Sept.  14,  PR 
43,  1/21;  PR  265,  6/28 
Brussels  meeting,  Jan.  28 
Long-term  defense  program,  July  4,  Aug. 

15 
Paris  preparatory  meeting,  July  5,  6,  7 
Summit  meeting.  Washington,  July  4 
Neutron  bomb,  Jan.  29,  May  22,  24,  Dec. 

19 
Nicaragua,  Apr.  26,  Nov.  50,  PR  89,  2/24 
Northern  Ireland,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Nuclear  comprehensive  test  ban  treaty,  pro- 
posed.  Mar.    19.   May   21.  June  26, 
Aug.  15,  Sept.  32,  Nov.  50 
Nuclear  energy.  June  18.  Nov.  47,  50 
Nuclear  nonproliferation,  Feb.  23.  Mar.  18, 
Apr.  28,  May  22,  31,  Nov.  47 
Treaty  (1968),  May  20,  July  30,  Nov.  50 
Nuclear  weapons,  U.S.  position  on  nonuse, 

Aug.  52.  Nov.  50 
Pakistan.  Apr.  27,  June  25 
Panama: 
Cuban  and  Soviet  influence,  question  of, 

PR  13,  1/13 
Panama  Canal  treaties,  U.S.   ratification 
urged,   Feb.   23,  56,   Mar.    17,    19, 
Apr.  59.  May  23,  52.  PR  12,   1/11; 
PR  13,  1/12;  PR  13A,  1/13;  PR  18A, 
1/16;  PR  23,  1/14 
U.S.  economic  aid.  proposed.  Mar.  17 
Pope  Paul  VI,  death  of,  PR  316,  8/7 
Population  growth  and  problems,  Feb.  24, 

June  18.  19,  Dec.  46  (quoted) 
Presidential  advisers,  question  of  difference 
of  views,  Sept.  14,  16 


37 


Vance,  Cyrus  R.  (Cont'd) 

Addresses,  correspondence,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
Rhodesia.  Jan.    19.  Feb.  23,  24,  May  26, 
July  5,  31.  32,  Aug.  11,  19,  Sept.  16, 
Nov.  49,  PR  163,  4/13 
All-parties  conference,   proposed.   May 
23.  June  23.  24,  25,  26,  27,  30,  July 
30,  Sept.   16,  Dec.   19.  24,  PR  168, 
4/16;  PR  169,  4/16 
Malta  II  conference,  Dar  es  Salaam,  June 
21,  23.  26,  July  31.  PR  165,  4/14; 
PR  166,  4/15;  PR  167,  4/15;  PR  168. 
4/16;  PR  169,  4/16 
Raids  into  Mozambique  and  Zambia,  May 

28,  Dec.  19 
U.S.  sanctions,  question  of  lifting,  Sept. 

15-16,  17 
U.S.  visit  of  Prime  Minister  Smith,  Dec. 
24 
SALT  1  (for  details,  see  Strategic  arms  lim- 
itation talks),  Soviet  compliance,  Apr. 
II,  May  24,  Aug.  16 
SALT  II  (for  details,   see  Strategic  arms 
limitation  talks,),   Jan.   29,  Feb.   25, 
Mar.  18,  May  20.  21,  27.  June  19,  26, 
27,  29,  July  5,  32,  Aug.  15,  Sept.  14, 
15,  Dec.  17,  20 
Congressional  ratification,  question  of, 

June  30,  July  6,  Aug.  19 
Geneva  meetings  with  Foreign  Minister 
Gromyko,   Aug.    17,    18,   28,   Sept. 
31,  PR  278.  7/11;  PR  283.  7/14;  PR 
284,  7/14;  PR  461,   12/20;  PR  462, 
12/21;  PR  464,  12/21;  PR  467,  12/23 
Moscow  meetings  with  Foreign  Minister 
Gromyko.  June  21,   26,  July  32, 
Dec.  37 
Arrival  statement,  PR   179,  4/20;  PR 
181,  4/20;  PR  398,  10/23 
1978  date,  question  of;  June  27,  Nov.  50, 
Dec.  17 
Saudi  Arabia.  Jan.  45.  June  25 

U.S.  military  aircraft  sales,  Mar.  14,  15, 
37.  May  24,  27,  June  18.  20,  28,  30. 
39.  PR  51,  1/24;  PR  217,  5/9 
Science  and  technology,  June  16,  Nov.  47 
Sino-Soviet  relations,  June  29,  Aug.  14 
Somalia,  Eritrean  and  Ogaden  disputes  with 
Ethiopia,  Mar.    14,   16,  June  25,  30, 
July  30,  32,  Aug.  12,  13 
South  Africa  (see  also  under  Namibia),  Jan. 
18,  Feb.  24,  July  29,  Aug.  11,  Dec.  24 
Nuclear  potential,  July  30 
Sanctions,  proposed.  Mar.  21,  Dec.  22, 
23 
Soviet  Union: 

Arms  program  restraint,  question  of.  May 

23,  Dec.  19 
Human  rights,  July  7,  Aug.   15,  16,   17, 

18,  20.  28,  Sept.  11,  14 
Military  expansion,  July  4,  6,  Aug.  14 
Soviet  spies  in  U.S.,  sentencing,  Dec.  20 
U.S.  relations,  Feb.  23,  25,  Mar.  15.  16, 
18,  May  26,  June  26,  29,  July  5,  21, 
Aug.   14 
U.S.   sale  of  computers,  cancellation, 

Sept.  14,  32 
Visit  of  Secretary  Califano,  cancellation, 
July  7 
Spain,  Apr.  29,  July  8,  PR  89,  2/24 


38 


Vance,  Cyrus  R.  (Cont'd) 

Addresses,  correspondence,  etc.  (Cont'd) 
State  Department: 

Budget,  FY  1979,  Mar.   18 
Franking  privileges,  question  of  use  by 
Commission    on    International 
Women's  Year,  Jan.  19 
Syria,  Apr.  29 

Soviet  arms  supply,  PR  51.  1/24 
Taiwan,  Apr.  24,  May  28.  June  30,  Dec.  19 
Tanzania: 

Ugandan  invasion,  Dec.  20 
Visit  to,  PR  165,  4/14;  PR  166,  4/15;  PR 
167,  4/15;  PR   168,  4/16;  PR   169, 
4/16 
Terrorism,  Mar.  53,  Nov.  50,  52  (quoted) 
Bonn  declaration  on  harboring  of  hijack- 
ers, Nov.  50 
Trade,  Feb.  23,  Mar.  18,  19,  Apr.  35,  Aug. 
25,  Nov.  45 
Hungary,  most-favored-nation  treatment, 
PR  9B,  1/7 
Turkey,  Jan.  29,  Apr.  29,  July  6 

U.S.  arms  embargo,  rescission.  May  33, 

34,  35,  Sept.  14,  15;  PR  265,  6/28 
Visit  to.  Feb.  30,  34,  PR  42,   1/21;  PR 
43,  1/21 
Uganda,  July  29.  Aug.  14,  Dec.  20 
U.N.  Disarmament  Conference.  See  under 

Arms  control,  supra 
Vietnam,  Mar.  17,  Sept.  23,  Dec.  20 
Women's  Action  Organization  award  cere- 
mony, PR  358,  9/19 
Zaire.  Shaba  Province,  invasion,  July  5,  7, 
29,  Aug.  12,  13 
News  conferences,  transcripts,  Jan.    17,  28, 
40,  41,  45,  Feb.  36.  Mar.   13,  May  24, 
June  56,  Aug.  16,  Sept.  20,  31,  39,  43, 
Dec.  21,  PR  9A,  1/19;  PR  9B,  1/7 
Joint  news  conferences  with  Foreign  Secre- 
tary Owen,  June  21,  Sept.  17 
Question-and-answer  sessions.  May  23,  June 
17,  Aug.  13,  Sept.  45,  PR  13A,  1/13;  PR 
18A,   1/16;  PR  23,   1/14  (by  telephone); 
PR  168,  4/16;  PR  169,  4/16 
TV  interviews,  transcripts,  Mar.  14,  June  27, 

July  32,  Sept.  13 
U.S.  delegation  to  U.N.  Special  Conference 
on  Disarmament,  ex  officio  chairman, 
Aug.  44n 
U.S.   participant  in  U.S.   meeting  of  Prime 
Minister  Smith  and  Members  of  Con- 
gress, Nov.  14n 
Visits  to: 
Africa,  June  21,  24,  25,  26 
Africa,  Soviet  Union,  and  Western  Europe, 
arrival   at  Andrews  Air  Force  Base, 
statement,  PR  184,  4/24 
Greece:  Feb.  31;  arrival  and  departure  re- 
marks, PR  44,  1/23;  PR  46,  1/25 
Hungary:  Feb.  29;  toast,  PR  9,  1/7;  PR  9B, 

1/7 
Ireland,  PR  9A,  1/19 
Israel.  See  under  Israel 
Lebanon,  Jan.  45 
London.  Dec.   20,   PR  445.   12/8;  arrival 

statement.  PR  291,  7/17 
Mexico:  June  56;  joint  communique,  June 
58;  arrival  statement,  PR  212,   5/4; 
toast,  PR  214,  5/4 


Vance,  Cyrus  R.  (Cont'd) 
Visits  to  (Cont'd) 
Middle  East.  See  under  Egypt,  Israel,  Jor- 
dan, and  Saudi  Arabia 
Soviet  Union.  See  SALT  II.  Moscow  meet- 
ings 
Turkey:  Okcun,  Feb.  30;  Vance,  Feb.  30. 
34;  PR  42.  1/21;  PR  43.  1/21 
Vance,  Jean,  Certificate  of  Appreciation,   pre 

sentation  to  (Read).  PR  103,  3/2 
Vatican   City   State,   treaties,   agreements,   etc., 

Jan.  61,  June  60,  Aug.  60 
Veliotes,  Nicholas  A.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador 

to  Jordan,  PR  338,  8/24 
Venezuela: 
Treaties,   agreements,  etc..   Mar.   59,   May 

59,  July  58,  59,  Sept.  60,  Dec.  58 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Luers),  sworn  in,  PR  363, 

9/21 
Visit  of  President  Carter:  Carter.   May    1; 
Christopher.  Sept.  28;  joint  communique. 
May  4;  Young.  Oct.  56 
Vest,  George  I.:  May  27,  Oct.   34;  Warnke, 
Apr.  3 
Participant,  town  meeting  on  foreign  policy, 

Norfolk,  Va.,  PR  380.  10/31 
Speaker,  conference  on  U.S.  security  and  the 
Soviet  challenge.  PR  409,  11/1 
Vietnam:  Mondale.  July  23;  Newsom.  Dec.  28 
ASEAN  membership,  question  of  (Romulo), 

Sept.  22 
Chinese  relations  (Holbrooke).  Aug.  2 
Debt  arrearages  to  U.S.  (Hormats).  Mar.  26 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3 
International   Fund   for  Agricultural   Develop- 
ment, ratification  of  agreement,  Jan.  61 
MIA's,  Jan.  16 

Philippines.   Thailand,   and   Malaysia,   diplo- 
matic relations:   Newsom,   Dec.    29; 
Pachariyangkun,  Sept.  23;  Romulo,  Sept. 
23;  Rithauddeen,  Sept.  23 
U.N.  delegate,  espionage  activities  (Vance), 

Mar.  17 
U.S.  relations,  proposed:  Jan.  16;  Holbrooke, 
Apr.    33.   Aug.   5;  Mondale.  July  23; 
Vance.  Mar.  17,  Sept.  23,  Dec.  20 
Vietnam  war:  Carter,  Dec.  15;  Holbrooke,  Aug. 
1;  Katz,  Mar.  22;  Lake,  Jan.  27;  Maynes, 
Jan.  51;  Newsom,  Dec.  28 
Vine,  Richard  D.,  July  58 
Visas: 

Diplomatic  and  official  passport  holders,  re- 
ciprocal facilitation  of  transit  or  tempo- 
rary duty  visas,  bilateral  agreement  with 
Hungary.  May  59 
Nonimmigrant  visas  to  certain  holders  of  diplo- 
matic or  official  passports,   bilateral 
agreement  with  Czechoslovakia,  Aug.  60 
Visessurakarn.  Klos:  Sept.  21;  remarks  on  pre- 
sentation of  credentials  and  reply  by  Presi- 
dent Carter,  UNN,  8/2 
Voice  of  America:   May  32,  33;  Christopher. 
Mar.  31 


w 


Waldheim.  Kurt:  Jan.  39  (quoted);  Vance.  Sept. 

41 
Walters.  Barbara,  Jan.  9 


Department  of  State  Bulletir 

War  Powers  Bill,  signature  (Carter),  Feb.  22 
Warnke.  Paul  C.  Jan.  20.  Apr.   1,16.  Aug.  44 
Oct.  17.  Dec.  5;  Vance.  June  19 
Chief  U.S.   delegate  to  Indian  Ocean  de 

militarization  talks  (Gelb),  Dec.  55 
Key  speaker,  conferences  on  U.S.  securifl 
and  the  Soviet  challenge,  announcements 
and  schedules  PR  246,  6/12;  PR  290, 
7/17;  PR  341,  8/30;  PR  346,  9/8;  PR  383, 
10/6;  PR  439,  12/4;  PR  443.  12/7 
Profile.  Apr.  1 

Resignation  as  ACDA  Director  and  as  chair- 
man of  U.S.  delegation  to  SALT  talks: 
Dec.  6;  Carter,  Nov.  11;  Warnke,  Dec    5 
Special  consultant  to  Secretary  of  State  for 
arms  control,  appointment.  Dec.  6 
Warsaw  Pact  (Luers),  Nov.  33,  34 
Water: 

Barangay    water   project,    loan   and   grant 

agreement  with  Philippines.  Aug.  61 
Canal  cities  water  and  sewerage,   bilateral 
project  loan  agreement  with  Egypt.  Dec. 
60 
Jordan  Valley  and  Maqarin  Dam   irrigation 
system,  bilateral'  agreement  with  Jordan. 
Apr.  62 
U.S.  appropriations  request  (Vance),  Apr. 
29 
Mahaweli  Ganga  irrigation,  bilateral   agree- 
ment with  Sri  Lanka,  Apr.  62 
Potable  water  projects: 

Bilateral  agreement  with  Chad,  Nov.  57 
Inter-American  Development  Bank  project 
loans  (Vance).  Apr.  27.  June  15 
South  Asia  (Carter),  Feb.  8 
Surface  runoff,  collection  and  conservation  of 
water  supplies  from,  bilateral   agreement 
with  United  Arab  Emirates.  Oct.  62 
U.N.  Decade  for  Drinking  Water  and  Sanita- 
tion.   1980-1990:    Benson,   Oct.    55; 
Califano,  Sept.  36 
Water  shortages  resulting  from  overpopula- 
tion, Nov.  4 
Water  use  and  management  project,  bilateral 
agreement  with  Egypt.  July  60-61 
Watergate  (Maynes),  Jan.  52 
Weiler.  Lawrence  (Vance),  May  31 
Western  Samoa: 

Ambassador  to  U.S.,  credentials,  Apr.  33 
General  statistics,  chart,  Aug.  3,  Dec.  28c 
U.S.   Ambassador  Selden,   to  serve  concur- 
rently as  Ambassador  to  Tonga  (Hol- 
brooke), Oct.  44 
Whalen,  Charles  W.,  Jr.,  Jan.  55.  Aug.  44 
Wharton.  Clifton  R..  tribute  to,  PR  223.  5/18 
Wheat: 

Food  aid  convention: 

Protocol   extending   (1976).   ratification, 

Argentina.  Apr.  61 
Protocol  modifying  and  extending  (1978): 
June  60;  Argentina.  Belgium.  Canada, 
July  60;  Denmark,  European  Economic 
Community,  July  60,  Aug.  60;  Fin- 
land, Aug.  60;  France.  July  60,  Aug. 
60.  Dec.  59;  Federal  Republic  of  Ger- 
many. July  60,  Nov.  57;  Ireland,  July 
60.  Aug.  60,  Oct.  61;  Italy,  July  60; 
Japan  (with  reservation).  Aug.  60; 
Luxembourg,  July  60;  Netherlands. 
Sweden,  July  60,   Aug.  60;  Switzer- 


t- 


I:: 


ndex  1978 

Vheat  (Cont'd) 
Food  aid  convention  (Cont'd) 

Protocol  modifying  and  extending  (Cont'd) 
land,   U.K.,  July  60;  U.S.   July  60, 
Aug.  60 
International  Wheat  Agreement,   proposed: 
Carter,   Nov.   24;  Christopher,   Sept.   28; 
Katz.  Mar.  4;  Vance,  Mar.  18 
Wheat  trade  convention  (1971): 
Accession,  Iran,  Apr.  61 
Protocol   extending   (1976).   Argentina. 

Bolivia,  Iran,  Israel,  Apr.  61 
Protocol  modifying  and  extending  (1978): 
Argentina,  Australia,  July  60;  Austria, 
June  60;  Barbados,  Aug.  60;  Belgium, 
July  60;  Bolivia,  Aug.  60;  Brazil.  July 
60.  Aug.  60;  Canada,  July  60;  Costa 
Rica.  Aug.  60;  Cuba,  Nov.  57;  Den- 
mark, July  60,  Aug.  60;  Ecuador,  July 
60,  Sept.  60;  Egypt,  July  60,  Aug.  60, 
Sept.  60;  El  Salvador,  Aug.  60;  Euro- 
pean Economic  Community,  July  60, 
Aug.  60;  Finland,  Aug.  60;  France, 
July  60,  Aug.  60.  Dec.  59;  Federal  Re- 
public of  Germany,  July  60,  Nov.  57; 
Greece,  Guatemala,  July  60;  India, 
July  60,  Aug.  60;  Iran,  Aug.  60;  Iraq, 
June  60,  Aug.  60,  Oct.  61;  Ireland, 
July  60,  Aug.  60,  Oct.  61;  Italy,  July 
60;  Japan,  July  60,  Aug.  60;  Kenya, 
Aug.  60;  Korea,  June  60;  Lebanon. 
Luxembourg,  July  60;  Malta,  Aug. 
60;  Mauritius,  June  60.  Aug.  60,  Oct. 
61;  Netherlands,  July  60;  Nigeria.  Oct. 
61;  Norway,  July  60,  Aug.  60;  Paki- 
stan. June  60;  Panama,  Aug.  60,  Sept. 
60;  Peru,  July  60;  Portugal,  July  60, 
Aug.  60;  Saudi  Arabia.  July  60;  South 
Africa.  June  60,  July  60;  Soviet  Union, 
July  60;  Spain,  July  60,  Aug.  60;  Swe- 
den, July  60,  Aug.  60;  Switzerland, 
July  60;  Syria,  Sept.  60;  Tunisia.  June 
60;  U.K.,  July  60;  U.S..  July  60.  Aug. 
60;  Vatican  City  State,  June  60,  Aug. 
60;  Venezuela,  Sept.  60 
/hitney,  Craig  R.:  Nimetz,  Oct.  32;   Vance, 

Aug.  17,  18 
/iley.  Marshall  W.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Oman,  PR  292,  10/18 
^ills,   international   uniform  law   on  form  of, 
convention  (1973):  Canada,  May  58;  exten- 
sion to  Province  of  Alberta,  July  60 
Volff,  Lester  L.,  Jan.  54 
v'omen: 
Asia  and  Pacific  Center  for  Women  and  De- 
velopment, Sept.  47 
Economic  and  social   impact  analysis/women 
in  development,  project  grant  agreement 
with  Philippines,  June  61 
Education,  Nov.  5 

Nonformal  education,  project  grant  agree- 
ment with  Morocco,  Nov.  57 
Foreign    policy    conference    for    non- 


Women  (Cont'd) 
Foreign  policy  conference  (Cont'd) 

governmental  women  leaders,  PR  571, 
12/15/77 
Industrial  and  commercial  job  training,  project 

grant  agreement  with  Morocco,  Nov.  57 
Inter-American  Commission  of  Women,  elec- 
tion of  President  Carmen  Delgado-Votaw, 
PR  416.  11/7 
Political  rights,  convention  (1953),  ratifica- 
tion, Guinea,  Mar.  59 
Status  of,  as  motivation  for  family  planning, 

Nov.  5,  Dec.  44 
U.N.  Decade  for  Women,  U.S.  contribution, 

Feb.  55 
Women's   Action  Organization  award  cere- 
mony: Vance  (text  as  delivered  by  Assist- 
ant Secretary  Moose),  PR  358,  9/19 
Woodcock,  Leonard,  (Carter),  Oct.  14 
World  intellectual  property,  convention  (1967): 
Central  African  Empire,  Aug.  59;  Jamaica, 
Dec.  59;  Sri  Lanka,  Sept.  59 
World  Intellectual  Property  Organization,  de- 
posit of  accessions  in:  Central  African  Em- 
pire, Aug.  59;  Egypt,  Mar.  59;  Israel,  Apr. 
60;  Japan,  Sept.  59;  Norway,  July  59;  Por- 
tugal, July  59;  Sri  Lanka,  Sept.  59 
World  order:  Carter.  May  1.  19.  Dec.  13;  Mink, 

Feb.  42 
World  peace  (Carter),  Oct.  1,12,  Dec.  12 
World  problems;  Carter,   Dec.    12;   Mondale, 
Mar.  13;  Vance.  June  24 


Yemen  (Aden):  Newsom,  Dec.  52,  53 
International  Fund  for  Agricultural  Develop- 
ment agreement,  Jan.  61 
Yemen  Arab  Republic: 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc..  July  60,  Oct.  60, 

61 
U.S.  Ambassador  (Lane),  sworn  in,  PR  342, 
8/30 
Yerkes.   Charles,    monitor  of  telephone 
question-and-answer  session  by  Secretary 
Vance,  PR  23,  1/14 
Yost,  Robert  L.,  sworn  in  as  Ambassador  to 

Dominican  Republic,  PR  192,  4/27 
Young.  Andrew:  Carter,  Jan.  12,  July  21,  Sept. 
11;  Christopher,  Oct.  15;  Maynes,  Jan.  51, 
52;  McHenry,  June  55 
Addresses,  correspondence,   remarks,   and 
statements: 
ECOSOC,   role   in  international   economic 

dialogue,  Oct.  56 
Food,  basic  human  right,  Jan.  33 
General   Assembly,   32d  session,   assess- 
ment, Feb.  52,  Dec.  49  (quoted) 
Lebanon,  U.N.  interim  force.  May  51 
Rhodesia,  comparison  of  Anglo-American 

and  Salisbury  proposals,  Apr.  56 
U.N.  Special  Session  on  Disarmament,  May 
31  (quoted).  Aug.  42 


39 


Young,  Andrew  (Com' d) 

Remarks  on  political  prisoners  in  U.S.,  criti- . 

cism  of:  Carter,   Sept.    11,    12;   Vance, 

Sept.  16,  PR  284,  7/14 
Speaker,  San  Francisco  conference  on  U.S. 

foreign  policy  in  Africa,  PR  391,  10/17 
U.S.  delegation  to  U.N.   Special  Session  on 

Disarmament:  Aug.  44;  Vance,  May  31 
U.S.  representative  to  33  U.N.  General  As- 
sembly, Jan.  16,  Nov.  46 
Yugoslavia: 

Air  transport  agreement  with  U.S.,  signature 

and  text,  PR  576,  12/16/77 
Macedonian  problem  with  Bulgaria  (Luers), 

Nov.  35 
Profile,  Apr.  45 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  61,  62,  Mar. 

59,  Apr.  61,  May  58,  June  60,  Sept.  59. 

60.  61 

U.S.  relations:  Luers,  Nov.  33;  Vest,  Mar.  29 
U.S.  visit  of  President  Tito:  Apr.  44;  pro- 
gram, PR  105.  3/6 


Zaire:  Brzezinski,  July  28;  Carter,  July  1 

Angolan  border  agreement,  need  for  (Vance), 

Aug.  12,  13 
Economic  problems  (Vance),  July  6,  Aug.  12 
Debt  rescheduling,  question  of  (Hormats), 
Mar.  26 
Katangan  invasion  of  Shaba  Province:  Carter, 
July  16,  17;  Vance,  July  5,  Aug.  12 
Angolan  Government,  question  of  responsi- 
bility: Brzezinski,  July  26;  Carter,  July 
18;  Aug.  10 
Chinese  views  on  Soviet  influence  (Vance), 

Aug.  14 
Cuban  involvement:   Brzezinski,  July  26; 
Carter,  July  18,  Aug.  6,  7;  Vance,  July 
6 
U.S.  economic  and  humanitarian  aid  to 
Zaire:  Carter,  July   18;  Department, 
July  34;  Vance,  July  7,  Aug.  12 
Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Jan.  60,  July  59, 

Oct.  62,  Nov.  57 
U.S.   security  assistance:  Carter,  July  35; 
Moose,  Apr.  30;  Vance,  July  29,  Aug.  12 
Zambia: 

Copper  exports  (Carter),  July  33 

Rhodesian  attacks:   Sept.   48;  Department, 

Dec.  25,  26;  Hechinger,  Dec.  58;  joint 

U.S. -U.K.  statement,  Dec.  25;  Vance, 

Dec.  19;  Young,  Apr.  57 

Treaties,  agreements,  etc.,  Feb.  60,  July  62, 

Oct.  62,  Dec.  58,  61 
U.S.  relations  (Carter).  July  18 
U.S.  security  assistance  (Moose),  Apr.  31 
U.S.  visit  of  President  Kaunda:  Carter,  July 
33;  Kaunda,  July  33;  program,  PR  221, 
5/12 


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