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FACULTY  WORKIxNG 

PAPER  NO.  800 


investing  in  Options  of 
Stock  Announcing  Splits 

Frank  K.  Reilly 
Sandra  G.  Gustavson 


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Collega  of  Commerce  and  Business  Administration 
Bureau  of  Economic  and  Business  Research 
University  of  Illinois,  Urbana-Champaign 


350 
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FACULTY  WORKIiNG 
PAPER  NO,  808 


An  Integrative  Theory  of  Patronage  Preference 
and  Behavior 

Jagdish  N.  Sheth 


mmi 


College  of  Ccmmerce  and  Business  Adn".ini3tration 
Bureau  of  Economic  and  Business  Research 
University  of  Illinois,  Urbana-Champaign 


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BEBR 


FACULTY  WORKING  PAPER  NO.  808 

College  of  Commerce  and  Business  Administration 

University  of  Illinois  at  Urbana-Champaign 

October  1981 


An  Integrative  Theory  of  Patronage 
Preference  and  Behavior 


Jagdish  N.  Sheth,  Professor 
Department  of  Business  Administration 


Abstract 
A  general  cheory  of  store  patronage  preference  and  behavior  is 
developed  in  this  paper.   Store  preference  is  presumed  to  be  a  function 
of  the  matching  of  shopping  moi;ives  and  shopping  options  available  to 
the  consumer.   However,  store  patronage  is  also  influenced  by  a  number 
of  ad  hoc  situational  factors  iuch  as  in-store  marketing  effort,  lack,  of 
time  and  money,  unemployment  and  high  interest  rates.   A  conscious 
attempt  is  made  to  generate  some  behavior  theories  for  retail  competi- 
tion and  outlet  typologies. 


AN  INTEGRATIVE  THEORY  OF  PATRONAGE  PREFERENCE  AND  BEHAVIOR 

Jagdish  N.  Sheth 
University  of  Illinois 


INTRODUCTION 


Contrary  to  the  popular  belief  of  today,  patronage  behavior  as  part 
of  retailing  has  a  long  tradition  of  empirical  research  dating  back  to 
the  decade  of  the  twenties.   Referring  to  that  decade  in  his  poetic  de- 
scription of  the  history  of  marketing  thought,  Bartels  (1965)  makes  the 
following  observation  (p.  56): 

« 

"Apart  from  the  general  development  of  marketing  thought  at  that 
time,  one  of  the  most  impressive  single  advancements  was  in  retailing 
thought  in  the  form  of  what  has  been  called,  'The  Retailing  Series.' 
Imbued  with  confidence  in  the  potentialities  of  research  for  improving 
retail  management,  a  number  of  New  York  merchants  and  professors  at  New 
York  University  produced  a  series  of  books  explaining  the  application  of 
the  scientific  method  to  the  solution  of  retailing  problems.   Progress  in 
both  scientific  management  and  in  statistical  analysis  of  distribution 
practices  contributed  to  this  development  in  marketing  thought.   Begin- 
ning xn  1925  with  James  L.  Fri's  Retail  Merchandising,  Planning  and  Con- 
trol (Prentice  Hall,  1925)  ,  the  series  included  throughout  ensuing  years 
works  on  such  retailing  subjects  as  buying,  credit,  accounting,  store  or- 
ganization and  management,  merchandising,  personal  relations,  and  sales- 
manship.  Tnis  series  was  unequalled  in  the  marketing  literature  for  its 
contribution  to  institutional  operation  and  management." 


-2- 


Indeed,  Journal  of  Retailing  predates  Journal  of  Consumer  Research 
by  half  a  century.  Journal  of  Marketing  Research  by  four  decades,  and 
even  Journal  of  Marketing  by  at  least  one  decade! 

During  this  long  history,  it  would  appear  that  retail  patronage  re- 
search has  amassed  considerable  substantive  and  descriptive  knowledge  with 
respect  to  the  following  aspects: 

1.  E.etail  competitive  structures  including  classification  of  retail  out- 
lets, retail  life  cycle,  location,  store  image  and  positioning,  and 
their  influences  on  customer  patronage  behavior. 

2.  Operational  and  tactical  aspects  of  retail  store  management  includ- 
ing store  hours,  credit  policy,  advertising  and  in-store  promotion 
and  customer  services  to  attract  or  retain  patronage  behavior. 

3„   Impact  of  product  characteristics  such  as  classification  of  goods, 
brand  loyalty  and  product  usage  situations  on  specific  store  patron- 
age. 

^.   Fsrsonal  characteristics  of  shoppers  and  buyers  such  as  household  de- 
mographics, reference  group  influences  and  life  styles  and  psychograph- 
ics  as  correlcites  of  store  patronage. 

5.   Impact  of  general  economic  outlook  and  business  cycles  including  cost 
of  living,  recession.  uneraDloyraent ,  inflation  and  interest  rates  on 
retail  buying  behavior. 


■3- 


What  is  conspicuously  lacking  in  this  impressive  research  tradition 
is  the  development  of  a  theory  of  patronage  behavior.   True,  we  do  have 
several  interesting  and  useful  concepts,  laws  and  principles  such  as 
Copeland's  typology  of  convenience-shopping  -  specialty  goods  (1923), 
Reilly's  law  of  gravitation  (1929),  Hollander's  wheel  of  retailing  (1960), 
and  Huff's  model  of  retail  location  (1962).   However,  there  is  no  com- 
prehensive theory  of  patronage  behavior.   The  only  notable  exception  is 
the  recent  effort  by  Darden  (1979)  to  generate  a  patronage  model  of  con- 
sumer behavior  based  on  multiattribute  attitude  theories.   Still,  what 
seems  to  be  needed  is  some  attempt  at  integrating  existing  substantive 
knowledge  in  terms  of  at  least  a  conceptual  framework  or,  better  yet,  a 
theory  of-  patronage  behavior.   There  are  several  benefits  associated  with 
developing  an  integrative  theory  of  patronage  behavior. 

First,  it  will  indicate  areas  of  empirical  research  which  needs  to 
be  undertaken  because  of  past  neglect.   In  any  empirically-driven  disci- 
pline, one  always  finds  some  aspects  of  the  discipline's  phenomenon  which 
has  been  overlooked  due  to  either  methodological  problems  or  lack  of 
availability  of  data. 

Second,  it  provides  a  common  framework  and  a  common  vocabulary  so 
that  one  scholar  or  practitioner  can  communicate  with  another  scholar  or 
practitioner.   This  was  probably  the  biggest  impact  of  Howard  and  Sheth 
(1969)  theory  of  buyer  behavior  in  consumer  behavior  in  recent  years. 

Third,  it  will  define  the  boundaries  of  the  discipline  and  the  asso- 
ciated phencmanon  so  that  one  can  focus  and  delimit  research  attention  and 
effort  rather  than  succumb  to  the  temptations  of  broadening  or  extending 


-4- 


the  discipline  tc  a  level  where  it  becomes  a  subsystem  of  another  disci- 
pline.  This  is  particularly  necessary  for  a  young  discipline  in  social 
sciences. 

Finally,  it  will  encourage  large  scale  deductive  research  which  is 
more  theory  driven  and  consequently  enhance  the  benefit-cost  ratio  of  do- 
ing empirical  research.   Most  metatheorists  point  out  that  this  shift  from 
inductive-observational  research  to  deductive-theoretic  research  is  a  good 
indicator  of  the  transition  of  the  discipline  from  adolescence  to  adult- 
hood in  its  maturity  cycle.   Concurrently,  if  any  effort  at  generating  an 
integrated  theory  does  not  result  in  this  shift,  it  is  a  prime  face  evi- 
dence that  the  discipline  is  not  ready  yet  for  the  transition. 

Accordingly,  the  objective  of  this  paper  is  to  present  an  integrative 
theory  of  patronage  behavior.   Before  we  describe  the  various  components 
of  che  theory,  several  preliminary  observations  are  in  order. 

First,  the  proposed  theory  is  at  the  individual  level  of  patronage 
behavior.  A.s  such,  it  does  not  take  into  account  group  choices  such  as 
family  or  household  patronage  behavior. 

Second,  the  proposed  theory  is  based  on  psychological  foundations 
rather  than  economic  or  social  foundations  primarily  because  it  is  designed 
for  describing  and  explaining  individual  patronage  behavior.   However, 
it  is  possible  to  either  elevate  the  theory  to  group  (segment)  or  aggre- 
gate market  behavior  level  through  sociological  or  economic  foundations. 


-5- 


Third,  the  integrative  theory  consists  of  two  distinct  subtheories 
in  which  the  first  subtheory  is  limited  to  establishing  a  shopping  pre- 
ference for  an  outlet  whereas  the  second  subtheory  is  focused  on  actual 
buying  behavior  from  that  outlet.   It  is  argued  that  the  two  processes 
and  their  determinants  are  significantly  different  and,  therefore,  cannot 
be  combined  together  into  a  single  conceptual  framework  with  a  common  set 
of  constructs.   This  is  a  radical  departure  from  the  traditional  thinking 
of  attitudes  leading  to  behavior  proposition  ingrained  in  social  psychol- 
ogy.  In  fact,  we  will  actually  focus  on  shopping-buying  discrepancy  in 
the  development  of  the  patronage  behavior  subsystem. 


SHOPPING  PREFERENCE  THEORY 

Shopping  preference  subsystem  consists  of  four  basic  constructs  and 
their  determinants  which  attempt  to  integrate  a  vast  percentage  of  our 
existing  substantive  knowledge  referred  to  earlier  in  this  paper.   It  is 
summarized  in  Figure  1.   We  will  briefly  define  and  discuss  each  construct 
first  and  then  examine  their  determinants. 

1.   Shopping  Predisposition  refers  to  the  relative  shopping  preferences 
of  the  evoked  set  of  outlet  alternatives  for  a  specific  product  class 
purchase  situations  such  as  shopping  of  groceries,  clothing,  health 
care,  insurance,  etc.   It  is  the  output  of  the  shopping  preference 
subsystem  and,  therefore,  can  be  utilized  as  the  criterion  construct 
which  we  want  to  explain  and  predict  people's  shopping  behavior. 


-5a- 


Flgure  1 
AN  INTEGRATIVE  THEORY  OF  SHOPPING  PREFERENCE 


Determinants 


Personal 


1.  Personal  Values 

2.  Social  Values 

3.  Epistemic 

Values 


Product 


Product 
Typology 

Usage  Typology 

Brand 
Predisposition 


> 

/ 

Shopping 

Motives 

\ 

f 

Choice 

\ 

Shopping 

Calculus 

A 

Predisposition 

^1^ 
i 

Shopping 

1 

Options 

1 

i 
i 

1 

!  1.  LocatJ.on 

i 

;  2.  Retail 

;  Institutions 

;  3.  Positioning  & 

j  Image 

Market 


t 


1.  Merchandise 

2.  Service 

3.  Advertising  & 

Promotion 


Company 
4v 


Determinants 


-6- 


There  are  several  aspects  of  shopping  predisposition  which  need  to  be 
described  before  we  discuss  what  determines  a  person's  shopping  pre- 
ferences for  various  outlets  in  his  buying  behavior  process. 

First,  the  preferences  are  limited  to  those  outlets  which  a  buyer 
considers  acceptable  to  shop  a  particular  class  of  products.   It  is 
quite  possible  that  a  buyer  may  consider  one  of  the  traditional  out- 
lets for  a  product  class  not  acceptable  to  him  and  may  find  a  totally 
innovative  or  nontraditional  outlet  quite  acceptable  to  him.   For 
example,  he  may  consider  a  particular  supermarket  not  acceptable  but 
electronic  two-way  video  shopping  acceptable  for  grocery  shopping. 
In  addition,  the  number  of  outlets  a  particular  buyer  considers  ac- 
ceptable to  shop  a  class  of  products  is  presiimed  to  be  highly  limited 
and  will  seldom  exceed  more  than  four  or  five  distinct  outlets. 

Second,  the  outlet  preferences  are  defined  to  be  relative  and,  there- 
fore, should  be  measured  by  constant  sum  procedures.   It  is  quite 
possible  that  a  buyer  can  have  a  very  strong  or  dominant  preference 
for  one  outlet  and  very  weak  preferences  for  all  other  outlets.   Con- 
versely, he  can  be  virtually  indifferent  among  the  evoked  set  of  out- 
lets and  thereby  have  equal  or  near  equal  preferences  for  them. 

Third,  it  is  possible  to  assess  the  degree  of  potential  outlet  compe- 
titive structures  based  on  individual  and  market  preference  schedules. 
For  example,  if  the  buyer  has  strong  preference  for  a  single  outlet 
within  a  product  class  such  as  shoes,  that  outlet  will  acquire  ooten- 
tial  specialty  monopoly  powers  over  that  individual's  shopping  for 
shoes.   On  the  other  hand,  if  the  buyer  is  virtually  equal  in  his 


-7- 


shopping  preferences  across  all  acceptable  outlets,  it  will  result  in 
a  potentially  specialty  competition  among  those  outlets  for  his  shop- 
ping behavior.   Similarly,  if  the  same  buyer  has  a  dominant  preference 
for  a  single  outlet  across  all  product  classes,  that  outlet  will  ac- 
quire the  potential  for  a  general  monopoly  power  so  far  as  this  buyer 
is  concerned;  and  conversely,  if  he  has  virtually  equal  preferences 
across  all  acceptable  outlets  and  across  all  product  classes,  it  will 
result  in  a  potentially  general  competition  among  these  outlets  for 
his  shopping  behavior. 

Finally,  depending  on  the  distribution  of  preference  schedules  of 
buyers  in  the  market  place  for  various  outlets  in  various  product 
classes,  it  is  possible  to  estimate  potential  market  competitive 
structures  which  can  range  from  dominance  of  a  general  outlet  such  as 
the  emerging  one-stop  hyperstores  to  dominance  of  specialty  stores  in 
each  product  class  such  as  the  Footlocker,  Westernwear,  The  Limited, 
Just  Jeans  and  others.   In  between,  we  should  expect  coexistence  of 
both  specialty  and  general  outlets  as  is  so  common  today  in  a  typical 
shopping  mall.   Figure  2  provides  a  classification  of  some  of  the  past, 
existing  and  futuristic  retail  structures  based  on  this  analysis. 

2.   Choice  Calculus  refers  to  the  choice  rules  or  heuristics  utilized  by 
the  customer  in  establishing  his  shopping  predisposition.   These 
choice  rules  entail  matching  his  shopping  motives  and  his  shopping 
options. 

The  integrative  theory  postulates  utilization  of  any  one  of  three 
classes  of  choice  rules  or  heuristics. 


-6- 


There  are  several  aspects  of  shopping  predisposition  which  need  to  be 
described  before  we  discuss  what  determines  a  person's  shopping  pre- 
ferences for  various  outlets  in  his  buying  behavior  process. 

First,  the  preferences  are  limited  to  those  outlets  which  a  buyer 
considers  acceptable  to  shop  a  particular  class  of  products.   It  is 
quite  possible  that  a  buyer  may  consider  one  of  the  traditional  out- 
lets for  a  product  class  not  acceptable  to  him  and  may  find  a  totally 
innovative  or  nontraditional  outlet  quite  acceptable  to  him.   For 
example,  he  may  consider  a  particular  supermarket  not  acceptable  but 
electronic  two-way  video  shopping  acceptable  for  grocery  shopping. 
In  addition,  the  number  of  outlets  a  particular  buyer  considers  ac- 
ceptable to  shop  a  class  of  products  is  presumed  to  be  highly  limited 
and  will  seldom  exceed  more  than  four  or  five  distinct  outlets. 

Second,  the  outlet  preferences  are  defined  to  be  relative  and,  there- 
fore, should  be  measured  by  constant  sum  procedures.   It  is  quite 
possible  that  a  buyer  can  have  a  very  strong  or  dominant  preference 
for  one  outlet  and  very  weak  preferences  for  all  other  outlets.   Con- 
versely, he  can  be  virtually  indifferent  among  the  evoked  set  of  out- 
lets and  thereby  have  equal  or  near  equal  preferences  for  them. 

Third,  it  is  possible  to  assess  the  degree  of  potential  outlet  compe- 
titive structures  based  on  individual  and  market  preference  schedules. 
For  example,  if  the  buyer  has  strong  preference  for  a  single  outlet 
within  a  oroduct  class  such  as  shoes,  that  outlet  will  acquire  poten- 
tial specialty  monopoly  powers  over  that  individual's  shopping  for 
shoes.   On  the  other  hand,  if  the  buyer  is  virtually  equal  in  his 


-7- 


shopping  preferences  across  all  acceptable  outlets,  it  will  result  in 
a  potentially  specialty  competition  among  those  outlets  for  his  shop- 
ping behavior.   Similarly,  if  the  same  buyer  has  a  dominant  preference 
for  a  single  outlet  across  all  product  classes,  that  outlet  will  ac- 
quire the  potential  for  a  general  monopoly  power  so  far  as  this  buyer 
is  concerned;  and  conversely,  if  he  has  virtually  equal  preferences 
across  all  acceptable  outlets  and  across  all  product  classes,  it  will 
result  in  a  potentially  general  competition  among  these  outlets  for 
his  shopping  behavior. 

Finally,  depending  on  the  distribution  of  preference  schedules  of 
buyers  in  the  market  place  for  various  outlets  in  various  product 
classes,  it  is  possible  to  estimate  potential  market  competitive 
structures  which  can  range  from  dominance  of  a  general  outlet  such  as 
the  emerging  one-stop  hyperstores  to  dominance  cf  specialty  stores  in 
each  product  class  such  as  the  Footlocker,  Westernwear,  The  Limited, 
Just  Jeans  and  others.   In  between,  we  should  expect  coexistence  of 
both  specialty  and  general  outlets  as  is  so  common  today  in  a  typical 
shopping  mall.   Figure  2  provides  a  classification  of  some  of  the  past, 
existing  and  futuristic  retail  structures  based  on  this  analysis. 

Choice  Calculus  refers  to  the  choice  rules  or  heuristics  utilized  by 
the  customer  in  establishing  his  shopping  predisposition.   These 
choice  rules  entail  matching  his  shopping  motives  and  his  shopping 
options. 

Tne   integrative  theory  postulates  utilization  of  any  one  of  three 
classes  of  choice  rules  or  heuristics. 


-7a- 


Figure  2 


POTENTIAL  RETAIL  COMPETITIVE  STRUCTURE 


BASED  ON  MARKET  SHOPPING  PREFERENCES 


Dominant 


Outlet  Pi 

eference 

Hyperstore 

Shopping 

Specialty 

Monopoly 

Malls 

Monopoly 

Aggregate 

Shopping 

General 

Competition 

(Downtown 

Shop 
CenH 

ping 
:ers 

Specialty 

Competition 

(Bazaar) 

Shopping) 

Separate 

Product 

Shopping 


Weak 
Outlet  Preference 


-8- 


The  first  choice  rule  is  called  the  sequential  calculus  in  which  the 
customer  sequentially  eliminates  shopping  options  by  utilizing  his 
shopping  motives  in  order  of  importance  and  classifying  all  shopping 
options  into  acceptable  and  non-acceptable  categories.   For  example, 
his  shopping  motives  may  be  one-stop  shopping,  price  and  brand  selec- 
tion in  that  order  of  importance.   He  will  evaluate  all  available  and 
knovm  shopping  options  first  on  one-stop  shopping  and  eliminate  some 
which  are  inconvenient;  he  will  then  evaluate  the  remaining  shopping 
options  on  price  and  eliminate  some  more;  and  finally  he  will  elim- 
inate still  others  based  on  his  evaluation  of  brand  selection.   This 
process  may  result  in  elimination  of  all  shopping  options  or  in  re- 
tention of  many.   In  the  first  case,  he  will  either  search  for  new 
options  or  forego  the  marginal  shopping  motives.   In  the  latter  case, 
he  will  have  equal  preferences  among  the  retained  options. 

The  second  choice  rule  is  called  the  trade-off  calculus  in  which  the 
customer  evaluates  each  shopping  option  on  all  the  three  criteria 
simultaneously  and  creates  an  overall  average  acceptability  score. 
In  the  process,  the  negative  evaluation  on  one  criterion  such  as  price 
is  compensated  by  the  positive  evaluation  on  some  other  criterion  such 
as  oce-stcp  shopping.   All  shopping  options  with  an  overall  positive 
acceptability  score  are  retained  and  their  relative  preferences  are 
distributed  prcporticnally  to  their  positive  scores.   Once  again,  it 
is  possible  that  only  one  alternative  may  have  a  positive  overall  ac- 
ceptability score  resulting  in  only  one  shopping  preference.   Alter- 
natively, several  shopping  options  may  be  all  acceptable  but  their 
relative  scores  are  highly  skewed  in  favor  of  one  or  two  outlets. 


-9- 


The  third  choice  rule  is  called  the  dominant  calculus  in  which  the 
customer  utilizes  one  and  only  one  shopping  motive  and  establishes 
his  preferences  for  various  shopping  options  by  evaluating  them  on 
it.   For  example,  he  may  use  price  as  the  sole  criterion  and  eliminate 
all  shopping  options  which  are  above  and  below  an  acceptable  price 
range.   The  relative  preferences  of  the  retained  shopping  options 
will  be  equal  or  unequal  depending  on  the  price  latitude.   Of  course, 
if  the  dominant  criterion  is  binary  such  as  one-stop  shopping,  the 
relative  preferences  of  the  retained  options  will  be  equal. 

Given  that  the  customer  has  three  distinct  choice  rules  or  heuristics 
at  his  disposal,  which  one  he  will  use  depends  on  the  degree  of  past 
learning  and  experience  related  to  shopping  of  that  product  class. 
It  is  our  hypothesis  that  in  a  totally  new  or  first  time  purchase  sit- 
uation, he  will  use  the  sequential  calculus  since  it  provides  an  or- 
derly process  of  simplifying  the  choices  without  wrongly  eliminating 
a  good  shopping  alternative  or  a  good  shopping  motive.   In  other  words, 
it  simplifies  with  a  minimum  risk,  of  making  a  wrong  choice.   With 
some  degree  of  learning,  the  customer  is  likely  to  be  more  confident 
in  making  evaluative  judgments  as  well  as  make  compensatory  calcula- 
tions.  Hence,  he  will  shift  to  trade-off  calculus.   Finally,  when  he 
has  fully  learnt  the  purchase  behavior,  he  will  be  so  certain  of  what 
he  wants  as  to  short  circuit  the  total  process  by  relying  on  a  single 
criterion.   Therefore,  he  will  utilize  the  dominant  calculus. 

It  will  be  noted  that  a  conscious  effort  is  made  in  this  paper  to  link 
the  psychology  cf  simplification  proposed  by  Howard  and  Sheth  (1969) 
in  terms  of  extensive  problem  solving  -  limited  problem  solving  - 


•10- 


routinized  response  behavior  and  the  utilization  of  sequential  - 
trade-off  -  dominant  rules  as  a  function  of  prior  learning.   Of  course, 
this  needs  to  be  empirically  tested  and  validated. 

While  the  distribution  of  shopping  preference  schedules  provide  stra- 
tegic perspectives  on  potential  competitive  structures  in  the  retail 
environment,  the  distribution  of  choice  rules  across  customers  and 
across  product  classes  are  likely  to  provide  tactical  or  operational 
perspectives  on  retail  competition.   For  example,  if  most  customers 
utilize  the  same  dominant  rule  in  a  product  class,  it  is  obvious  that 
retail  competition  will  converge  on  that  specific  shopping  motive. 
On  the  other  hand,  if  customers  utilize  different  rules  in  a  product 
class,  it  is  likely  to  result  in  segmented  tactics  in  which  different 
outlets  will  position  themselves  on  different  shopping  motives  and 
concentrate  on  specific  segments  rather  than  the  total  market. 

If  the  customers  use  the  trade-off  calculus  as  a  basis  for  establish- 
ing their  outlet  preferences,  we  should  expect  persuasive  and  compara- 
tive tactics  in  the  design  of  marketing  mix  programs.   Finally,  if  the 
customers  use  the  sequential  rule^  one  would  expect  a  considerable 
degree  of  marginal  competitive  tactics  related  to  marginal  shopping 
motives. 

Based  on  a  combination  of  the  prevalence  of  specific  choice  rules  and 
customer  heterogeneity,  Figure  3  suggests  several  forms  of  competitive 
Lactics  which  arise  in  the  market  place.   Due  to  space  limitations, 
ue  will  not  discuss  them  further. 


-10a- 


Flgure  3 

POTENTIAL  COMPETITIVE  STRATEGIES  BASED 

ON  PREVALENCE  OF  CHOICE  RULES 


Sequential 


Market 
Homogeneity 


Tradd-Off 
Rule 


Dominant 


Rule 


Rule 


Heterogeneity 


-11- 


3.   Shopping  Motives  refer  to  a  customer's  needs  and  wants  related  to  his 
choice  of  the  outlets  from  where  to  shop  for  a  specific  product  or 
service  class  such  as  groceries,  clothing,  insurance,  appliances,  etc. 

Based  on  earlier  conceptualizations  (Sheth  1972,  1975),  we  hypothe- 
size that  the  shopping  motives  consist  of  two  types  of  needs  and  wants: 

a.  Functional  needs  related  to  what  has  been  traditionally  referred 
to  as  time,  place  and  possession  needs.   The  specific  examples 
include  such  things  as  one-stop  shopping,  cost  and  availability 
of  needed  products,  convenience  in  parking,  shopping  and  accessa- 
bility  of  the  outlets. 

b.  Nonfunctional  wants  related  to  various  shopping  outlets  due  to 
their  associations  with  certain  social,  emotional  and  epistemic 
values.   For  example,  many  retail  outlets  acquire  positive  or 
negative  imageries  due  to  their  patronage  by  desirable  or  unde- 
sirable demographic  socioeconomic  and  ethnic  groups,  or  they 
arouse  positive  or  negative  emotions  such  as  masculine,  feminine, 
garrish,  loud  or  crude  because  of  ;heir  atmospherics,  personnel 
or  business  practices  in  general.   Finally,  customers  do  shop  to 
satisfy  their  novelty-curiosity  wants  or  to  reduce  boredom  or  to 
keep  up  with  new  trends  and  events.   These  are  all  reflections  of 
the  epistemic  nonfunctional  wants. 

It  is  important  to  recognize  chat  functional  needs  are  clearly  an- 
chored to  the  outlet  attributes  whereas  nonfunctional  wants  are  an- 
chored to  the  outlet  association.   In  that  sense,  functional  needs  are 


-12- 


intrinsic  to  outlets  whereas  nonfunctional  wants  are  extrinsic  to  the 
outlets. 

If  an  individual  is  primarily  dominated  by  functional  needs  in  his 
make-up  as  a  customer,  we  would  expect  him  to  fit  the  profile  of  the 
"rational  man"  espoused  by  the  economists  such  as  Marshall  (Kotler 
1965).   In  that  case,  he  is  likely  to  patronize  what  is  commonly  re- 
ferred to  as  the  value  oriented  outlets  such  as  McDonald's,  Sears, 
K-Mart,  A  &  P,  True  Value  and  other  private  label  outlets.   On  the 
other  hand,  if  the  individual  is  primarily  dominated  by  nonfunctional 
wants  in  his  make-up  as  a  customer,  we  would  expect  him  to  fit  the 
profile  of  the  "conspicuous  consumer"  espoused  by  sociologists  such  as 
Veblen  (Kotler  1965).   In  that  case,  he  is  likely  to  patronize  what 
is  commonly  referred  to  as  status-oriented  outlets  such  as  Saks, 
Brooks  Brothers,  Nyman-Marcus,  Harrods,  gourmet  restaurants,  and  other 
premium  label  outlets. 

Since  it  is  most  likely  that  a  customer  will  be  functionally  driven 
for  some  product  class  shopping  and  nonf unctionally  driven  for  some 
other  product  class  shopping,  we  would  expect  him  to  simultaneously 
patronize  both  value-oriented  and  status-oriented  outlets  depending  on 
the  product  class.   Similarly,  it  is  very  likely  that  for  a  given 
product  class,  there  will  be  some  customers  wh'o  are  functionally  dri- 
ven and  others  who  are  nonf unctionally  driven  in  their  shopping  beha- 
vior.  Therefore,  we  would  expect  simultaneous  existence  of  value- 
oriented  and  status-oriented  outlets  for  the  same  product  class  such 
as  clothing,  groceries,  health  care,  eating-out,  appliances,  etc. 


-13- 


Figure  4  is  an  effort  at  developing  a  typology  of  outlets  and  their 
prevalence  based  on  the  above  analysis.   It  is  closely  related  to  the 
earlier  typology  of  competitive  structures  and  marketing  tactics. 

4.   Shopping  options  refer  to  the  evoked  set  of  outlets  available  to  the 
customer  to  satisfy  his  shopping  motives  for  a  specific  class  of 
products  and  services. 

'vrtiile  a  large  number  of  outlets  may  exist  in  a  given  trading  area,  it 
is  hypothesized  that  only  a  very  small  number  of  outlets  will  be  avail- 
able to  a  particular  customer  due  to  a  number  of  supply  related  fac- 
tors such  as  location,  credit  policy,  store  hours,  merchandise,  ser- 
vice or  positioning  and  image  of  various  cutlets.   As  we  evolve  more 
and  mere  to  specialty  chains  such  as  Taco  Bell,  Magic  Pan,  The  Limited, 
Just  Jeans,  Footlocker,  Tom  McAnn,  it  is  obvious  that  more  and  more 
constraints  will  emerge  on  a  particular  individual  customer  because  of 
high  degree  of  target  marketing  and  niching  espoused  by  these  special- 
ty chains. 

It  is  our  hypothesis  that  shopping  options  is  more  controlled  by  the 
retail  structure  in  a  given  trading  area  than  by  the  customers.   The 
most  dramatic  evidence  of  this  fact  is  the  lack  of  professional  ser- 
vices such  as  legal  and  medical  professions  in  the  farming  communi- 
ties, for  example. 

On  the  other  hand,  given  a  number  of  shopping  outlets  available  to  the 
customer,  the  specific  outlets  he  would  consider  appropriate  for  shop- 
ping will  be  determined  by  his  shopping  motives.   It  is  our  hypothesis 


-13a- 


Flgure  4 


OUTLET  TYPES  FOR  PRODUCTS  BASED  ON 


MARKET  SHOPPING  MOTIVES 


Functional 


Generic 


Nonfunctional 


Meads 


Wants 


IConveniencel 
\      Stores 


Product 
Specific 


that  the  outlets  he  will  consider  for  shopping  will  depend  on  the 
benefit  cost  ratio  associated  with  each  outlet  in  which  benefit  is 
defined  by  the  functional  and  nonfunctional  utility  offered  by  the 
outlet  and  the  cost  is  defined  by  the  time,  money  and  effort  required 
to  shop  at  that  outlet. 

Finally,  the  customer  will  narrow  down  the  number  of  outlets  as  ac- 
ceptable to  him  based  on  the  use  of  choice  calculus  as  described  earl- 
ier.  If  he  uses  the  dominant  rule,  it  is  very  likely  that  there  will 
be  only  one  or  two  acceptable  outlets.   On  the  other  hand,  if  he  uses 
sequential  rule,  there  may  be  a  larger  number  of  acceptable  outlets. 
The  use  of  trade-off  rule  will  result  in  acceptable  outlets  somewhere 
in  between  the  two.   It  will  be  noted  that  this  conceptualization  is 
remarkably  similar  to  the  Howard  and  Sheth  theory's  hypothesis  that 
the  number  of  acceptable  alternatives  will  decrease  as  the  buyer 
increases  his  learning  process  from  extensive  problem  solving  to 
limited  problem  solving  to  routinized  response  behavior. 

WViat  we  have  attempted  here  is  to  reconcile  differences  in  the  defi- 
nition of  evoked  set.   The  size  of  the  evoked  set  is  clearly  a  function  of 
the  definition  of  situation  and  alternatives  as  suggested  by  March  and 
Simon  t.1957)  .   In  our  case,  it  depends  on  whether  we  mean  number  of  out- 
lets available,  considered  or  acceptable  to  the  customer.   This  is  repre- 
sented in  Figure  5. 


-14a- 


Fieure  5 


EVOKED  SET  OF  SHOPPING  OPTIONS 


All 
Outlets 


1 


Available 
Outlets 


t 


jk. 


Considered 
Outlets 


Acceptable 
Outlets 


(- 


Preferred 
Outlets 


Shopping 
Options 


Shopping 
Motives 


Choice 
Calculus 


Shopping 
Preference 


-15- 


DETERMINANTS  OF  SHOPPING  PREFERENCE  THEORY 

Most  of  the  substantive  knowledge  in  patronage  behavior  and  retailing 
relates  to  the  correlates  and  determinants  of  various  aspects  of  patronage 
such  as  Shopping  Motives,  Shopping  Options,  and  Shopping  Preferences.   For 
an  excellent  review  and  summary,  see  Engel ,  Blackwell  and  Kollat  (1978, 
Chapter  19).   In  this  section,  we  will  attempt  to  classify  and  integrate 
these  diverse  and  numerous  studies  as  well  as  establish  their  relationships 
to  the  psychological  constructs  of  shopping  preference  theory.   There  are, 
however,  several  general  comments  related  to  these  determinants  of  shopping 
preference  which  must  be  stated  and  discussed  before  we  get  into  their  typ- 
ology and  relationships. 

First,  even  though  they  are  labeled  as  determinants,  most  of  the  past 
empirical  research  has  been  at  best  correlational,  despite  the  intent  of 
the  researchers  to  demonstrate  a  causal  relationship.   We  will  lean  toward 
a  causal  perspective  and  give  the  benefit  of  the  doubt,  even  though  from  a 
strict  scientific  enquiry,  it  cannot  be  justified. 

Second,  while  a  typology  of  determinants  will  be  provided,  we  will 
make  no  attempt  to  interrelate  different  variables  included  in  a  given 
typology.   Partly  this  is  due  to  lack  of  empirical  knowledge  on  which  to 
base  these  interrelationships  among  the  determinants  themselves,  and  partly 
it  can  be  only  stated  as  hypothesies   to  be  tested  by  more  complex  statis- 
tical procedures  such  as  multivariate  analysis  or  simultaneous  equations. 

Third,  we  will  only  provide  a  typology  of  these  determinants  of  shop- 
ping preferences  rather  than  explain  how  they  themselves  are  determined  by 


-16- 


some  other  factors.   In  that  sense,  we  will  treat  them  as  exogeneous  varia- 
bles of  the  shopping  preference  theory. 

Finally,  we  will  define  and  list  the  determinants  at  a  level  of  aggre- 
gation so  that  they  are  more  like  constructs  or  indices  of  several  specific 
variables.   In  other  words,  within  each  typology,  the  determinants  will  be 
a  set  of  generalized  factors  having  their  own  structure  of  operationalized 
variables.   This  is  more  a  reflection  of  the  difficulty  of  integrating  di- 
verse substantive  knowledge  and  less  of  a  preference  on  the  part  of  the  au- 
thor.  Hopefully,  at  a  later  stage  such  a  task  can  be  accomplished. 

The  typology  of  determinants  consists  of  supply-oriented  and  demand- 
oriented  factors  on  the  one  hand,  and  specific  to  the  individual  customer/ 
retailer  versus  general  to  the  purchase/market  situation,  on  the  other  hand. 
It  is  illustrated  in  Figure  6.   We  will  describe  each  category  of  deter- 
minants and  their  influence  on  shopping  preference  constructs  in  this  sec- 
tion. 

A.   Market  Determinants  refer  to  those  factors  which  determine  the  competi- 
tive structure  of  a  trading  area  and,  therefore,  a  customer's  general 
shopping  options  such  as  number  and  type  of  outlets  for  broad  product 
classes  such  as  groceries,  clothing  and  appliances. 

Based  en  past  research,  we  hypothesize  three  distinct  market  determinant 

factors : 


•16a- 


Figure  6 
DETERMINANTS  OF  SHOPPING  PREFERENCE  THEORY 


All 
Determinants 


Supply  Side 
Determinants 


\i> 


Market 

Determinants 


±. 


1.  Location 

2.  Retail 

Structure 

3.  Positioning 


Company 
Determinants 

1.  Merchandise 

2.  Service 

3.  Promotion 


Demand  Side 
Determinants 


d^ 


Personal 
Determinants 


J^ 


Product 
Determinants 


1.  Personal 

Values 

2.  Social 

Values 

3.  Epistemic 

Values 


1.  Product 

Typology 

2.  Usage 

Typology 

3 .  Brand 

Loyalty 


■17- 


1.   Location.   The  first  and  by  far  the  most  logical  factor  has  to  do 
with  the  location  of  the  outlets  in  the  trading  area.   As  we  all 
know,  the  most  common  explanation  for  success  or  failure  in  retail- 
ing has  been  attributed  to  "location,  location  and  location"  among 
the  practitioners.   It  has  been  more  systematically  justified  by 
such  pioneers  as  Reiley  (1929),  Converse  (1949)  and  more  recently, 
Huff  (1962), 

However,  location  is  only  of  several  market  determinants  of  general 
shopping  options  and,  therefore,  should  not  be  given  all  the  credit 
as  is  often  done  in  marketing  practice.   Furthermore,  location 
should  be  defined  more  broadly  to  include  not  only  distance  but  also 
accessability  of  the  outlet  such  as  parking,  traffic,  highway  entry 
and  exit  and  other  transportation  related  aspects. 

^-   Retail  Institutions.   A  second  market  determinant  is  the  retail  in- 
stitutions in  the  trading  area  which  includes  downtown  department 
stores,  variety  stores,  supermarkets,  discount  department  stores, 
and  the  more  recent  strip  malls  and  shopping  malls.   We  already  know 
that  retail  structures  have  accelerated  in  their  life  cycle  from  an 
average  of  80  years  for  the  downtown  department  store  to  an  aver- 
age of  20  years  for  the  more  recent  discount  department  stores 
(Davidson,  Bates  and  Bass  1976).   The  emergence  of  regional  shopping 
malls  and  hyperstores  are  likely  to  further  influence  customer's 
general  shopping  options. 

^-   Positioning  &  Image.   A  third  market  determinant  is  the  positioning 
&  image  either  consciously  established  or  historically  evolved  for 


•18- 


various  outlecs.   Positioning  refers  to  the  specific  merchandise 
price-performance  combination  offered  by  a  retail  outlet  to  encour- 
age certain  target  segments  and  discourage  others  from  shopping  at 
that  outlet.   For  example,  an  outlet  such  as  The  Limited  will  dis- 
courage older  or  bigger  women  because  of  the  style  and  size  selec- 
tion offered  for  women's  clothing  in  that  chain.   Similarly,  Sears 
has  the  image  of  catering  to  middle  America  for  shopping  general 
purpose  functionally  value-oriented  products. 

B.   Company  Determinants  refer  to  those  factors  which  influence  and  limit 
a  customer's  specific  shopping  options  for  a  given  product  class. 

It  is  important  to  recognize  that  while  the  Market  Determinants  influ- 
ence and  limit  a  customer's  general  shopping  patterns  of  certain  broad 
classes  of  products  and  services  such  as  groceries,  appliances,  cloth- 
ing, financial  services,  etc.,  the  Company  Determinants  influence  and 
limit  a  customer's  specific  shopping  options  of  buying  a  particular 
product  such  as  a  refrigerator,  a  dress  or  bread  or  milk.   In  many  in- 
stnaces,  especially  in  cases  of  convenience  goods  and  all-purpose  out- 
lets, we  should  expect  the  two  sets  of  determinants  to  be  correlated, 
although  the  correlation  may  not  be  perfect. 

Based  on  past  empirical  research,  we  hypothesize  the  following  Comoany 
Determinants: 

1.   Merchandise.   Obviously,  a  customer's  func-ional  needs  or  nonfunc- 
tional wants  can  be  satisfied  by  some  products  and  not  others.   To 


■19- 


the  extent  that  an  outlet  does  not  carry  merchandise  which  satis- 
fies that  need  or  want,  it  will  limit  his  choice.   For  example,  if 
a  customer  is  looking  for  Tall  Men's  jeans  and  Sears  does  not  carry 
Tall  Men's  clothing,  it  will  be  eliminated  as  a  shopping  option  no 
matter  what  Sears  image  or  location  is.   In  general,  specialty 
stores  tend  to  offer  more  merchandise  options  but  to  a  specific 
target  segment  whereas  the  general  purpose  stores  offer  less  mer- 
chandise options  to  the  mass  market.   This  results  in  the  coexis- 
tence of  both  types  of  outlets  in  the  same  shopping  mall  with  mini- 
mal competition. 

2.  Service.   It  refers  to  all  the  in-store  shopping  and  procurement 
factors  including  full  service  vs.  self  service,  atmospherics, 
credit  policy,  store  hours,  and  delivery  of  merchandise.   It  is 
very  difficult  to  make  any  generalized  statements  about  the  magni- 
tude and  direction  of  the  impact  of  service  on  deterraining  a  cus- 
tomer's specific  shopping  options  because  it  is  so  highly  contin- 
gent upon  his  shopping  motives  for  a  particular  purchase  situation. 
At  best,  we  might  hypothesize  chat  highly  functional  and  frequently 
purchased  products  will  be  more  suitable  for  self  service  whereas 
nonfunctional  and  infrequently  purchased  products  will  need  sales 
assistance.   It  will  be  more  interesting,  however,  to  measure  and 
quantify  the  elasticity  of  service  for  various  product  classes  sim- 
ilar to  measuring  price  elasticity. 

3.  Advertising  it   Promotion.   It  refer?  to  Che  ouclec's  idvertislng  in 
mass  media,  sales  promotions  and  in-store  unadvertised  specials 
which  are  all  designed  to  attract  target  customers  and  motivate  chem 


-20- 


to  buy  specific  merchandise.   It  does  not  include  corporate  image 
advertising,  however,  since  the  latter  is  more  directly  related  to 
influencing  the  general  shopping  options  as  discussed  earlier. 

Once  again,  what  will  be  more  interesting  is  to  measure  elasticity 
of  advertising  rather  than  to  state  any  general  hypotheses. 

C.   Personal  Determinants.   While  the  Market  and  Company  Detemiinants  con- 
trol and  influence  a  customer's  shopping  options,  we  hypothesize  that 
his  shopping  motives  are  determined  by  Personal  and  Product  Determin- 
ants. 

Personal  Determinants  refer  to  customer-specific  factors  which  influence 
and  determine  a  customer's  general  Shopping  Motives  across  a  broader 
spectrum  of  product  classes  such  as  groceries,  appliances  or  clothing. 
In  some  ways,  we  might  say  that  Personal  Determinants  may  manifest  in  a 
customer's  shopping  style  such  as  an  economic  shopper,  personalizing 
shopper,  ethical  shopper  or  the  apathetic  shopper  (Stone  1954).   Al- 
ternatively, we  might  say  that  a  customer  is  a  convenience  shopper, 
bargain  shopper,  compulsive  shopper  or  store  loyal  shopper  (Stephenson 
and  Willett  1969). 

The  integrative  theory  of  shopping  preference  has  identified  three  sets 
of  Personal  Determinants: 

1.  Personal  Values.  It  refers  to  the  individual's  own  personal  values 
and  beliefs  about  what  to  look  for  in  shopping  for  various  products 
and  services.   In  essence,  they  reflect  his  shopper's  personality, 


-21- 


and  may  be  determined  by  such  personal  traits  as  sex,  age,  race 
and  religion.   It  is  the  inner-directed  dimension  of  values  as 
stated  by  David  Riesman  (1950) . 

2.  Social  Values.   It  refers  to  a  set  of  normative  values  imposed  by 
others  such  as  family  and  friends,  reference  groups  and  even  society 
at  large.   It  is  the  other-directed  dimension  of  values  as  suggested 
by  David  Riesman  (1950). 

3.  Epistemic  Values.  It  refers  to  the  degree  of  curiosity,  knowledge 
and  other  exploratory  values  related  to  environmental  scanning  and 
coexistence  we  as  human  beings  tend  to  possess.  It  is  typified  by 
phrases  like  "you  climb  the  Sears  Tower  (modern  day  mountains)  be- 
cause it  is  there!"  In  a  recent  study  on  why  people  shop,  Tauber 
(1972)  found  that  such  epistemic  needs  as  diversion,  sensory  stim- 
ulation, learning  about  new  trends  and  pleasure  of  bargaining  were 
highly  prevalent. 

D.   Product  Determinants.   IVhile  Personal  Determinants  control  and  shape  the 
general  Shopping  Motives,  the  fourth  set  of  determinants,  namely  the 
Product  Determinants  shape  and  control  a  customer's  specific  Shopping 
Motives  for  a  given  product  class  purchase.   We  have  identified  three 
types  of  Product  Determinants  in  this  theory  based  on  past  substantive 
research. 

1.   Product  Typology.   It  refers  to  classification  of  products  into 
distinct  categories  or  typologies  for  which  the  Shopping  Motives 


-22- 


are  inherently  different  because  they  provide  or  possess  different 
types  of  utilities.   In  retailing,  the  classification  of  products 
as  convenience,  shopping  and  specialty  goods  by  Copeland  (1932) 
based  on  Parlin's  commodity  school  of  thought  or  the  more  recent 
classification  of  goods  into  red,  orange  and  yellow  goods  by  Aspin- 
wall  (1961)  are  more  prevalent  and  probably  useful.   However,  from 
our  viewpoint,  it  seems  better  to  go  one  level  more  abstract  and 
examine  the  differential  values  products  and  services  possess  as 
satisfaction  of  human  needs  and  wants.   In  that  regard,  perhaps 
Macklin's  (1921)  identification  of  elementary,  form,  time,  place 
and  possession  utilities  seems  to  serve  a  more  useful  function. 
Based  on  this  five  element  vector,  it  is  possible  to  identify  pro- 
ducts which  possess  functional  vs.  nonfunctional  utilities,  as  well 
as  generate  typologies  such  as  necessities  vs.  discretionary  pro- 
ducts, or  durable,  semi-durable  and  nondurable  products. 

Usage  Typology.   It  refers  to  the  selective  situational  and  social 
settings  in  which  a  particular  product  class  is  to  be  used  or  con- 
sumed.  Examples  include  in-home  vs.  out-of-home  usage,  personal  vs. 
family  consumption,  and  household  vs.  guest  consumption  situations. 


3.   Brand  Predisposition.   It  refers  to  the  preference  for  specific 

brand  names  in  a  product  class.   Obviously,  a  customer  can  be  brand 
loyal  in  one  product  class  and  not  in  another.   Also,  we  can  theor- 
ize that  some  consumers  are  likely  to  be  more  brand  loyal  in  gen- 
eral across  all  product  classes  than  others.   We  have  accumulated  a 
considerable  degree  of  knowledge  on  cons;-mier's  brand  predispositions 
and  it  is  nicely  summarized  by  Jacoby  and  Chestnut  (1978). 


} 


-23- 


In  view  of  the  fact  that  so  auch  has  been  theorized  about  brand  choice 
behavior  in  the  marketing  literature,  it  might  be  interesting  to  integrate 
that  knowledge  with  the  store  patronage  behavior  by  a  conceptual  framework 
at  a  macro  level  to  be  useful  to  marketing  practitioners  and  researchers  in 
terms  of  channel  power  and  forward  vs.  backward  integration.   In  fact,  this 
is  of  considerable  importance  at  the  present  time  since  many  packaged  goods 
companies  have  lost  significant  brand  loyalty  as  industries  have  begun  to 
mature  and  migrate  from  proprietary  differentiated  products  (brands)  to 
commodities.   This  has  been  particularly  true  in  gasoline,  pharmaceuticals 
and  many  grocery  products. 

In  Figure  7,  we  have  attempted  to  provide  a  behavioral  explanation  for 
various  types  of  channel  outcomes  and  the  resultant  market  competitive 
structures  that  can  arise  as  a  consequence  of  the  outlet  vs.  brand  predis- 
position strengths  and  weaknesses  in  the  market  place. 

If  customers  have  strong  brand  and  outlet  preference,  it  is  likely  to 
generate  a  monopolistic  competition  structure  in  a  product  class  resulting 
in  either  dominance  of  a  single  brand  -  outlet  combination  or  more  likely 
a  segmented  market.   This  seems  to  be  very  true  in  the  case  of  many  special- 
ty chains  such  as  the  Foot  Locker,  Just  Jeans,  County  Seat  and  electronic 
outlets  where  customers  have  strong  brand  as  well  as  outlet  preferences. 
It  is  still  true  for  the  traditional  supermarkets  although  the  brand  power 
of  the  manufacturer  seems  to  be  weakening. 

If  the  customers  have  a  strong  outlet  preference  and  a  weak  brand 
preference,  one  would  expect  the  emergence  of  distribution  monopoly  or  oli- 
gopoly resulting  in  backward  integration.   Clearly,  this  has  been  histor- 


-23a- 


Figure  7 


A  BEHAVIORAL  BASIS  FOR  CHANNEL  STRUCTURES 


Brand      I 
Predisposition 


jiL 


Strong 


M- 


Weak 


Strong 

T 

Outlet 
Predisposition 

•> 

1 
Weak  } 

— — 

Monopolistic 

Competition 

(Segmentation) 

Backward 

Integration 

(Distributor 

Monopoly) 

Forward 

Integration 

(Manufacturer 

Monopoly) 

Bazaar 
(Perfect 
Competition) 

-24- 


ically  true  for  Sears  in  this  country  and  Marks  &  Spencer  in  the  U.K.   The 
retail  giants  have  literally  full  time  dedicated  manufacturers  whose  pro- 
duct identity  is  not  known  to  the  consumer.   Instead,  the  retail  outlet 
superimposes  its  own  name  or  another  name  clearly  identified  with  the  retail 
chain.   Witness  the  case  of  True  Value  hardward  stores. 

On  the  other  hand,  customers  may  have  strong  brand  preference  and  weak 
outlet  preference  which  will  then  result  in  a  manufacturer  oligopoly  or 
monopoly  by  forward  integration.   This  can  be  accomplished  by  either  con- 
tractual (franchise)  vertical  distribution  systems  such  as  most  fast  food 
franchises,  automobile  dealerships  or  by  corporate  vertical  distribution 
systems  such  as  Radio  Shack,  Bell  Phone  Centers  and  Xerox  Small  Business 
stores. 

Finally,  when  the  market  place  has  no  strong  outlet  or  brand  prefer- 
ence, we  would  expect  the  emergence  of  perfect  competition.   This  is  prob- 
ably more  typical  in  less  organized  activities  such  as  the  flea  markets, 
garage  sales  and  bazaars.   It  is  certainly  not  true  contrary  to  the  popular 
writings  for  either  the  stock  market  or  for  agricultural  crops  where  there 
is  a  strong  distributor  ologopoly.   In  the  more  organized  sector,  the  only 
examples  which  come  to  mind  relate  to  gasoline,  and  convenience  grocery  pro- 
ducts such  as  milk,  eggs  and  other  selective  perishable  vegetables  and 
fruits  in  highly  developed  retail  trading  areas. 


PATRONAGE  BEHAVIOR  THEORY 

Now  we  turn  our  attention  to  patronage  behavior.   As  mentioned  earlier, 
preferences  and  intentions  do  not  automatically  result  in  behavior.   A 


-25- 


number  of  highly  systematic  and  sometimes  managerially  planned  events  and 
efforts  intervene  between  preferences  and  behavior  which  result  in  what  we 
shall  refer  to  as  the  preference  -  behavior  discrepancy.   The  evidence  is 
so  overwhelming  (Sheth  and  Wong  1981)  that  Sheth  and  Frazier  (1981)  have 
even  proposed  a  model  of  strategy  mix  for  planned  social  change  based  on 
the  degree  of  preference  -  behavior  discrepancy. 

In  Figure  8,  we  have  summarized  the  patronage  behavior  theory.   The 
output  of  the  theory  is  Patronage  Behavior.   It  refers  to  the  purchase  be- 
havior with  respect  to  a  specific  product  or  service  from  an  outlet,  and 
consists  of  a  vector  of  four  behavioral  outcomes:   planned  purchase,  un- 
planned purchase,  foregone  purchase  and  no  purchase  behavior. 

The  Patronage  Behavior  is  a  function  of  Preference  -  Behavior  Discrep- 
ancy caused  by  four  types  of  unexpected  events  which  have  either  no  effect 
or  they  have  inducement  or  inhibition  effect  on  a  customer's  shopping  pre- 
ference.  We  will  briefly  describe  each  factor  in  this  section, 

1.  Socioeconomic  Setting.   It  refers  to  the  macro  economic  conditions  such 
as  inflation,  unemployment  and  interest  rates  as  well  as  social  situa- 
tions such  as  presence  of  friends  and  relatives  at  the  time  of  shopping 
behavior. 

2.  Personal  Setting.   It  refers  to  the  time,  money  and  physical  effort 
considerations  of  the  individual  shopper  at  the  time  of  shopping  beha- 
vior. 


■25a- 


Figure  8 
AN  INTEGRATIVE  THEORY  OF  PATRONAGE  BEHAVIOR 


Socioeconomic 

Setting 


Unexpected 

Events 


In-Store 
Marketing 


Inflation 

Unemployment 

Interest  Rates 

Friends 


Relative 

Shopping 

redisposition 


Strong 


Weak 


Time 
Money 
Effort 


Al 


New  Brands 

In-Store   Promotion 

Sales  Effort 


Purchase 
Behavior 


Hi 


\/_ 


Lo 


Planned 
(No  Effect) 


Foregone 
(Inhibition 

Effect) 


Unplanned 
(Inducement 

Effect) 


No  Purchase 
(No  Effect) 


7^ 


Patronage 
Behavior 

Planned 

Unplanned 

Foregone 

No  Purchase 


Personal  f- 


Unexpected 
Events 


Brand  Availability 

Relative  Prices 

Shelf  Location 

Sales  Promotion 

^ 

^  Product 


-26- 


3.  Product  Setting.   It  refers  to  the  marketing  mix  of  the  product  class 
in  the  store  such  as  brand  availability,  relative  price  structure,  un- 
expected sales  promotion  and  shelf  location  of  various  product  options. 

4.  In-Store  Marketing.   It  refers  to  the  unexpected  changes  in  the  store 
such  as  presence  of  a  new  brand,  change  in  the  location  of  existing 
brands,  in-store  promotions,  and  selective  sales  effort  by  salesclerk 
which  could  not  be  anticipated  by  the  customer. 

It  must  be  reiterated  that  all  these  four  factors  represent  unexpected 
events  which  the  customer  could  not  anticipate  in  establishing  his  shopping 
preference.   As  such,  they  occur  between  the  time  and  place  when  shopping 
preference  and  intentions  are  established  and  actual  shopping  behavior  takes 
place.   It  is  our  contention  that  it  is  impossible  to  establish  attitude  - 
behavior  correspondence  as  suggested  by  Fishbein  and  Ijzen  (1975)  in  most 
real  life  dynamic  situations,  that  nximerous  events  do  intervene  and  influ- 
ence a  person's  intentions  with  respect  to  its  manifestation  into  behavior 
and,  therefore,  we  need  to  provide  a  separate  mediating  construct  such  as 
Unexpected  Events  as  proposed  by  Sheth  (1974).   At  the  same  time,  these  Un- 
expected Events  and  their  impact  on  intention  -  behavior  discrepancy  are 
neither  too  small  nor  too  idiosyncratic  to  be  treated  as  random  effects  to 
be  accomodated  by  any  stochastic  preference  theories  as  suggested  by  Bass 
(1974).   In  fact,  they  are  so  systematic  and  sizeable  that  managerial  mar- 
keting planning  and  budgeting  has  been  significantly  diverted  toward  util- 
izing them  in  place  of  the  traditional  persuasive  advertising  on  mass  media. 
In  the  process,  we  are,  at  present,  witnessing  a  greater  use  of  behavior 
change  strategies  as  opposed  to  attitude  change  strategies  in  the  retail 
environment. 


-27- 


THE  NEXT  STEP 

An  integrative  theory  of  patronage  preference  and  behavior  of  this 
magnitude  and  scope,  of  course,  will  be  more  difficult  to  diffuse  unless 
some  suggestions  are  made  as  to  how  to  keep  it  alive  and  active.   We  make 
the  following  recommendations  to  other  scholars  and  doctoral  students. 

1.  Perhaps  the  most  exciting  and  managerially  relevant  aspect  is  to  em- 
pirically investigate  the  degree  to  which  various  types  of  Unexpected 
Events  influence  a  person's  intentions  and,  therefore,  provide  what  we 
refer  to  as  the  behavioral  leverage  for  a  marketing  practitioner. 

It  would  be  very  interesting,  for  example,  to  investigate  the  relative 
magnitudes  of  attitude  leverage,  behavioral  leverage  and  no  leverage 
of  marketing  mix  efforts  across  a  group  of  products  and  services  in 
terms  of  shopping  preference  and  patronage  behavior. 

2.  A  second  and  equally  exciting  area  of  unexplored  research  is  the  utili- 
zation of  specific  rules  (sequential,  trade-off  and  dominant)  in 
choosing  a  retail  outlet  for  specific  product  choice  situations.   For 
example,  do  consumers  use  the  sequential  rule  for  shopping  goods,  the 
trade-off  rule  for  specialty  goods,  and  the  dominant  rule  for  conven- 
ience goods? 

3.  What  are  the  specific  functional  needs  and  nonfunctional  wants  for 
shopping  behavior  and  is  there  any  significant  correlation  between  them 
and  various  types  of  shopping  options  such  as  shopping  malls,  depart- 


-28- 


ment  stores,  discount  stores,  strip  nialls,  downtown  shopping  and  other 
retail  establishments? 

4.  How  much  of  the  shopping  options  is  determined  by  the  Market  Determi- 
nants and  by  the  Company  Determinants?   This  will  enable  a  company  to 
decide  what  is  the  balance  of  power  between  external  noncontrollable 
factors  in  its  strategic  planning  for  store  life  cycles. 

5.  What  is  the  relative  contribution  of  Personal  Determinants  vis-a-vis 
Product  Determinants  across  a  group  of  products  with  respect  to  their 
shopping  motives?   For  example,  we  might  suspect  that  for  highly  func- 
tional products  shopping  motives  may  be  more  determined  by  the  Product 
characteristics  but  for  highly  nonfunctional  products,  they  might  be 
more  determined  by  Personal  characteristics  of  the  individual  shopper. 

Underlying  all  these  suggestions,  there  is  a  latent  theme:   Do  not  try 
to  test  the  full  theory  in  one  single  study  and  try  to  apply  the  individual 
behavioral  concepts  at  the  aggregate  product/market  relationships.   In 
other  words,  the  theory  of  patronage  preference  and  behavior  is  likely  to 
be  more  useful  in  its  generative  function  rather  than  in  its  descriptive 
function. 


REFERENCES 


Aspinwall,  Leo  V.  (1961),  "The  Characteristics  of  Goods  and  Parallel 
Systems"  in  Four  Marketing  Theories,  Business  Division  Research,  Uni- 
versity of  Colorado. 

Bartels,  Robert  (1965),  "Development  of  Marketing  Thought:   A  Brief  His- 
tory" in  G.  Schwartz  (ed.),  Science  in  Marketing,  Wiley,  1965,  pp.  47-69. 

Bass,  Frank  M.  (1974),  "The  Theory  of  Stochastic  Preference  and  Brand 
Switching,"  Journal  of  Marketing  Research,  Vol.  11,  pp.  1-20. 

Converse,  Paul  D,  (1949)  ,  "New  Laws  of  Retail  Gravitation"  Journal  of 
Retailing,  Vol.  14  (October  1949). 

Copeland,  Melvin  T.  (1923),  "Relation  of  Consumers'  Buying  Habits  to  Mar- 
keting Methods,"  Harvard  Business  Review  (April  1923),  pp.  282-289. 

Darden,  William  (1979),  "A  Patronage  Model  of  Consumer  Behavior,"  paper 
presented  at  the  1979  AMA  Special  Symposium  on  Department  Sotres. 

Engel,  James;  R.  Blackwell  &  D.  T.  Kollat  (1978),  Consumer  Behavior, 
Third  edition.  Holt,  Rinehart  &  Winston. 

Fishbein,  Martin  &  Icek  Izjen  (1975),  Belief,  Attitude,  Intention  and 
Behavior,  Addison-Wesley . 

Hollander,  Stanley  C.  (1960),  "The  Wheel  of  Retailing,"  Journal  of  Mar- 
keting, 25,  July  1960,  pp.  37-42. 

Howard,  John  A.  and  J.  N.  Sheth  (1969),  The  Theory  of  Buyer  Behavior, 
Wiley. 

Huff,  David  L.  (1962)  ,  Determination  of  Intra-Urban  Retail  Trade  Areas, 
Real  Estate  Research  Program,  UCLA. 

Jacoby,  Jacob  and  Robert  Chestnut  (1978),  Brand  Loyalty. 

Kotler,  Philip  (1965),  "Behavioral  Models  for  Analyzing  Buyers,"  Journal 
of  Marketing,  29,  (October  1965),  pp.  37-45. 

Macklin,  T.  U921),  Efficient  Marketing  for  Agriculture,  McMillian  Company. 

Reilly,  William. J.  (1929),  Methods  for  the  Study  of  Retail  Relationships, 
Bureau  of  Business  Research,  University  of  Texas  Press. 

Sheth,  J.  N.  (1974),  "A  Field  Study  of  Attitude  Structure  and  Attitude- 
Behavior  Relationship"  in  J.  N.  Sheth  (ed.)  Models  of  Buyer  Behavior, 
Harper  i  Row,  pp.  242-270. 

Sheth,  J.  N.  and  Gary  Frazier  U981; ,  "A  Model  of  Strategy  Mix  Choice  for 
Planned  Social  Change,"  Journal  of  Marketing  fin  press). 


REFERENCES  (Cont.) 


Shech,  J.  N.  and  John  Wong  (1981),  "Intention  -  Behavior  Discrepancy: 
A  Laboratory  Experimental  Study,"  Faculty  Working  Paper,  College  of 
Commerce,  University  of  Illinois,  August  I98I. 

Tauber,  Edward  M.  (1972),  "Why  do  People  Shop?"  Journal  of  Marketing, 
Volume  36,  (October  1972),  pp.  46-59. 


HECKMAN       IX 
BINDERY  INC.        |§ 

JUN95