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TECHNICAL REPORT 


LOCAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS 
AFFECTING ICE FORMATION IN 
NORTH STAR BUGT, GREENLAND 


RAYMOND J. McGOUGH 


Applied Oceanography Branch 
Division of Oceanography 


JANUARY 1956 


U. S. NAVY HYDROGRAPHIC OFFICE 
WASHINGTON, D. C. 


AGB Sf RUA 

Environmental factors influencing the formation and growth of 
sea ice in the area of North Star Bugt and Wolstenholme Fjord 
indicate that the peculiar characteristics of the harbor are the 
free water exchange with the fjord at all levels, the relatively 
small importance of fresh-water runoff, and the smail annual 
change in surface water temperatures during the open season. 
Because of these characteristics, the harbor is well situated 
for the use of long-range ice prediction techniques based on 
the thermohaline structure. 
The formation and growth of sea ice in 1953 was studied in 
detail. Data indicated that the observed and computed ice 
thicknesses were nearly identical, both for the original ice and 
for the newer ice which formed after the first ice was broken up 
by wind action. It is shown that in order to determine the 
weather conditions over the ice, observations from a ship 
anchored in the harbor are more accurate than those at a land 
station because of the greater wind velocity and warmer air 
temperature over the ice. Accumulation of degree days of 
frost corresponded closely to the ice growth in two different 

, but the el nee of degree days satin varied 


MBL/WHOI 


AA 


FOREWORD 


Successful arctic operations require a considerable amount of 
preparation and plaming. To aid such planning, the Hydrographic 
Office has been engaged in the development of various techniques for 
the forecasting of growth, movement, and disintegration of sea ice, 
especially in the harbor areas since each arctic and subarctic harbor 
constitutes a special environmental problem. 


This report presents a study of the environmental factors that are 
peculiar to North Star Bugt and Wolstenholme Fjord, and evaluates their 
effect on the formation and growth of sea ice in the harbor area. The 
ice growth in the autwm of 1953 was studied in detail. 


The conclusions expressed in this report are tentative and may 
require revision as more data become available, Al additianal informa~ 
tion which might amplify or modify this report will be welcomed by the 
Hydrographic Office» 


Ly 

Ch EES Sy, ty 

fl bd Lett the 
H. H. MARABLE 


Captain, U.o, Navy 
Vydrographer 


0 0301 0040863 4 


DISTRIBUTION LIST 


CNO (Op-03, 03D3, 31, 316, 32, 33, 332, OL, 05, 533, 55) 
BUAER (2) 

BUSHIPS (2) 

BUDOCKS (2) 

ONR (Code 100, 102, 410, 416, 420, 430, 464, 466) 

NOL (2) 


COMOPDEVFOR (2) 

COMSTS (2) 

COMSTSLANT (2) 

CODTMB (2) 

AROWA 

SUPNAVACAD (2) 

NAVWARCOL (2) 

NAVPOSTGRADSCOL, Monterey (2) 
NATECHTRAU, Lakehurst (5) 

OIC USFLTWEACEN NAVY #127 °/oPM Seattle, Wash. 
OIC USFLTWEACEN NAVY #103 °/oPM New York, N.Y. 
COMDT COGARD (IIP) (2) 

USC&GS (2) 

CG USAF (AFOOP) 

CGAWS (2) 

CGNEAC (2) 

USAF CAMBRSCHLAB (2 

ADTIC 

USWB (2) 

CIA (2) 

BEB (2) 

SIPRE (2) 

ASTIA (5) 

ARTRANSCORP 

CE (2) 

CANJBEMIS (5) 

INTLHYDROBU, Monace (2) 

ARCRSCHLAB, COL, Alaska 

ARCINSTNA (2) 

WHOL (2) 

SIO (2) 

UNIV WASH (2) 

TEXAS A&M (2) 

DARTMOUTH COL (STEFANSSON LIB) 

TUFTS COL (DEPT. OF PHYSICS) 

NAUTISK AFDELING METEOROLOGISKE INSTITUT, Denmark 
DIRECTOR, DANSKE S@KORTARKYV, Denmark 
GRONLANDS STYRELSE, Denmark 


dv 


CONTENTS 


Page 
RONG WONCMememeMcle) ele) (c) tele) of ololen enclose) eile ellen lionel elicits cimeniicicll 
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eS Introduction . . © o 6 oe ee BO HoeF O OF HO eee ee oe 
IT. Climatology. oer eee CCFC FF OCH HBT HM EH eH HO Ho oO HL 
IItI. Oceanography e« e o oo ee 6 ev CFF Fe BH He ee YQ 
IV. Ice Formation and Growth EN IEEE Gb OOOO OO OOOO oO SF 
Wie ice~growth Computations » oe¢8e 67 eee eee woe 6 eo ew F 
VI ConcilustonsS\eicmeleniel o. ale serlel ele fo) «et ele Velen lonel el feliolie 7 
Bibliography oe ee 6 e FeO oH HHH HOE OH HOH Oe eo woe © e KO 


FIGURES 


1 © Location and Bathymatric Chart ~ North Star Bugt and 

Wolstenholme Fjord. . 0. coe ec toe eo co wee cece eo we oly 
2 =~ Mean Air and Surface Water Temperatures in North Ster 

IER 6 010.6 605000000006 0006600600 06006 0150 00 
3 @ Temperature, Salinity, and Density Profiles for Site A, 

Jose ptember 1.9556 leltone bello enremmon enol cle cle) vero: teitenel cena 
l = Temperature, Salinity, and Density Profiles for Site A, 

GrOc tober 1953s er eivertet a tot etelr cere otro ointe; salie loltete Mah fammereniee 
5 = Temperature, Salinity, and Density Profiles for Site A, 

PAROS TODEr IOS Ss wliclic: ee Moments ve elieuiete ctuedioneneet ol lel oem: 
6 = Temperature, Salinity, and Density Profiles fer Site A, 

Oat Gea Sapo Oe en Re olny gan A Lae RE 2h 


7 - Synoptic Ice Conditions, 6 October 1953 (1000 LST). . o « « « 25 
8 = Synoptic Ice Conditions, 9 October 1953 (1000 IST)... . » © 26 
9 = Synoptic Ice Conditions, 9 October 1953 (1200 LST). »« « « © « 27 
10 - Synoptic Ice Conditions, 10 October 1953 (1100 LST) o oe « © 28 
11 - Synoptic Ice Conditions, 10 October 1953 (1600 LST) . « « « o 29 
12 =» Fee Conditions, 12 October 1953 20 0 &® © @ © © © & © e » 0 30 
13 « Ice Conditions, 23 October 1953 oe ¢ @ e@ eo ee Oe 8 le @ © Bilt 
1 = Temperature and Salinity Gradients in Ice, 11 October 1953 


CLOSODUS Tees Olicitice))s. oc lonielies emetic sa) ch cine velvet 


15 = Temperature and Salinity Gradlents in Ice, 23 October 1953 
GIBOO=1O00 MIST = New ice) ie) ecele 6 ei os or ole) one) (6 e a 32 
16 = Temperature and Salinity Gradients in Ice, 2h October 1953 
CLO@OBES T= New ice) <. oo sh ete votes eves ere” el ene Cains 6.0 33) 
17 = Ice Growth as a Function of Degree Days of Froabe e « » » « « 3h 
18 = Accumulation of Degree Days of Frost. « « « oo ee ao © 0 o SY 


19 = Ice Growth as a Function of Degree Days of Frost in 191)8- ; 
MONG ANAUUGS Ruma revises let wsetuen lol ool oudtel ReMi teliienerina astro oer enue 
20 = Historical Degree Days of Frost CurveSe 0 « « «© « o ee © e © 36 
L ~ Computed Icesprowth Curves for Selected Snow Covers. 
Computation Based on Data from Site A, 29 September 1953. « o 37 


22 ~- Compited Iceegrowth Curves for Selected Snow Covers. 
Computation Based on Data fron Site A, 12 October 1953. 

23 = Computed and Observed Ice-growth Curves for New Ice . . 

2), » Computed and Observed Iceegrowth Curves for Old Ice . . 


TABLES 


I. Surface Water Temperature and Salinity . « o © » « « « 
II. Synoptic Weather Observations at Thule Air Force Base 

and on the USS ATKA. « .2««eeseee%%0808 00 
III. Monthly Snowfall in Inches 6 «se see8e680806008 0 


vi 


Page 


I. INTRODUCTION 


During the past 3 years, the Ue S. Navy Hydrographic Office has 
been providing ice forecasts in support of military operations in the 
Arctic. These forecasts include information on the distribution, growth, 
and disintegration of sea ice, and other predictable factors which serve 
as aids to such operations. The forecasts are divided into two classes 
(a) shorterange (l8-hour) forecasts designed to provide detailed ice in- 
formation for the field units while operating in the ice and (b) long= 
range (5-day to 6-month) forecasts designed for operational planning. 


Forecasts of ice conditions in open-water areas present problems 
which involve oceanographic and meteorological factors that simultane- 
ously influence major areas. Conditions in the open water are suffi- 
ciently homogeneous so that forecasts can cover large areas. However, 
the local topography influences the various oceanographic and meteorologi-= 
cal factors for each harbor site. Separate ice studies are contemplated 
for the various harbors in which military shipping is conducted. These 
reports will describe the special local factors which affect ice fore= 
casting in each harbor, so that the local sequence of freezeup and ice 
growth can be delineated and a study of the particular harbor will be 
available for future operations. The present report discusses the local 
conditions of North Ster Bugt and Wolstenholme Fjord, Greenland. 


North Star Bugt, which is approximately three square miles in area, 

is situated in a protected cove opening to the west. A narrow peninsula 
to the north separates this bay from Wolstenholme Fjord, into which large 
glaciers discharge from the inland icecap. The peninsula terminates with 
the spectacular landmark, Mount Dundes, which is over 700 feet high, Hills 
about 1,000 feet high lie close to the south and east of the bay. Between 
these hills, Pitufik Valley (local name) extends to the east-southeast 
with a relatively gentle slope. Geographic features of the area are 

shown in figure i. 


The bay is normally open to shipping for three months anmually (5 
July to the first week of October). These dates vary somewhat from year 
to year, depending on the influencing factors. During the first half 
of July, shipping is almost entirely dependent on icebreaker escort. 
Obstructions to shipping are caused largely by the presence of sea ice, 
since ice of land origin is not of sufficient concentration to present 
a navigational problem. 


If. CLIMATOLOGY 


The warmest air temperatures at Thule occur during July with a 
mean temperature of 2° F, The coldest air temperatures occur during 
February with a mean temperature of ~159 F. The total precipitation 
throughout the year averages about 2.5 inches, nearly half of this amount 


occurring during July and August. January and February are the driest 
months, averaging less than Q.l1 inch per month. An interesting feature, 
in contrast to the low amount of precipitation, is that nearly half of 
the days throughout each month record a trace or more of precipitation. 
The amount of cloudiness scmewhet parallels the precipitation pattern, 
the greatest mean total cloud amount being observed during the summer and 
the least during winter. July observations show a mean total cloud 
amount of fowr=tenths or more about 78 percent of the time, whereas 

in December, the percentage drops to 5. Mean total cloud amounts of 
eight tenths or more were observed 68 percent of the time in July and 
39 percent of the time in December. 


Surface winds are comparatively weak throughout the year, averaging 
10 knots or less approximately 80 percent of the time, with considerable 
monthly variation. Almost all of the stronger winds are from an easterly 
direction. 


Ti. OCEANOGRAPHY 


The most important oceanographic factors in the formation and growth 
of ice are surface water temperatures, which indicate the heat loss and 
gain at the sea surface, and physical properties, which show how the 
heat logs and gain will be distributed throughout the water mass. Figure 
1 shows the location of the oceanographic stations (sites A and B) occupied 
in the area. 


Surface water temperatures in North Star Bugt vary little from year 
to year. Figure 2 shows the relationship between air and sea surface 
temperatures and indicates that the air temperature is higher than the 
water temperature until approximately 21 August. Air temperatures reach 
a peak near the end of July and decrease rapidly thereafter. Surface 
water temperatures lag behind the air temperatures by about 3 weeks, 
reaching a maximum near 16 August and decreasing slowly to the freezing 
temperature by the first week in Octcber, At this time, however, the 
air temperature is more than 10° F, colder than the water temperature. 
The reversal of the heat budget (the date when the water temperature 
begins to fall) can be placed at about 16 August. After that date it 
may be assumed that the water is losing heat continuously. 


The oceanographic structure was studied for four stations made at 
site A (fig. 1) on 29 September and 6, 12, and 21 October 1953. Observa= 
tions at site B, in shallow water, showed that the ice thickness was 
largely independent of depth. Changes in the oceanographic structure are 
show by the four station plots for site A (figs. 3, h, 5, and 6). Surface 
water temperatures and salinities are listed in table I. The gradual dis- 
appearance of the layer of warm water produced by the summer heating is 
illustrated by the oceanographic plots. Only the upper 100 meters were 
affected by this seasonal warming, while the water below 100 meters 
was nearly isothermal and isohaline, water temperature being about ~0.8° C. 
and salinity ranging between 33.70 and 33.90 °/oo. Cooling of the upper 
layer was steady and had evidently been proceeding from the time of the 
reversal of the heat budget. In the station profile of September 29 (fig. 
3), 5 days after the heat budget reversal, the surface water temperature 


was ~1o39 C. and the warmest temperature at 50 meters was ~0.36° GC. 
The salinity curve shows the beginning of convection in the first 
10 meters. The seasonal. thermocline lies between 75 and 100 meters 
and is still fairly sharp. 


In the second station profile (fig. h) taken a week later, the 
shallow layer has cooled further, so that the warmest water now has 
a temperature of ~0.5° C. The surface convection extends to 15 meters. 
At this time, the ice was 1.6 inches thick. The seasonal thermocline 
had weakened during the week. 


In the third station profile (fig. 5) taken 6 days later on 
12 October, cooling has reduced the temperature of the upper layer so 
that it is less than that of the lower layer, thus eliminating the 
seasonal thermocline. The nearly isothermal lower layer now is the 
warmer of the two layers. Convection has produced an isohaline layer 
in the upper 20 meters, while the continuing surface cooling has brought 
the temperature to the freezing point. At this time, a 6-inch cover- 
ing of ice at site A was the result of thermohaline convection. 


Finally, 9 days later on 21 October, the station profile (fig. 6) 
shows that the surface cooling has extended below 75 meters. hLittle 
change in the salinity and in the depth of the mixed layer has occurred. 
Since the ice thickness was nearly 12 inches, it is evident that the 
loss of a moderate amount of heat through the ice produced a relatively 
large amount of ice with lithle added change in the convection of the 
water. At this point, the winter oceanographic structure is well ese 
tablished. The precipitation of salt and the process of convection dure 
ing the formation of ice are shown clearly in the four prefiles. The 
surface salinity increased from 31.20 °/co on 29 September to 31.6 °/oo 
on 6 October, to 32.00 °/oo on 12 October, and to 32.21 °/oo on 21 
October. 


IV. ICE FORMATION AND GROWTH IN 1953 


Fringe ice was first noticed on 25 September along the eastern edge 
of North Star Bugt where fresh water empties from Pitufik Valley. By 
1 October, grease ice was forming over North Star Bugt in the area north- 
east of Delong Pier; a considerable amount of slush ice formed along the 
eastern shore. By 3 October, the first new ice was formed over this 
area of the bay. Temporary patches of grease ice were forming in the 
area of sites A and B. The first sheet of young ice formed at site B 
during the morning of October and at A during the morning of 5 October. 
This new ice attained a thickness of about 2 inches by 6 October, the 
thicknesses being 1.6 and 2.2 inches at sites A and B, respectively. 
The areal distribution of ice at this tims is illustrated in figure 7. 
& polynya with some grease ice existed slightly north of site A, and a 
few smaller open-water areas were present. Some rafting had occurred. 
Ice continued to grow with little change in areal distribution, attain= 
ing a thiclmess of l.8 inches at site B by 9 October (1000 IST). The 
snow cover amounted to one-half inch. Figure 8 shows the synoptic ice 
picture at this time, The polynya north of site A had decreased in size; 
a small polynya had developed a short distance southwest of Delong Pier; 
and a small area in the immediate vicinity of the pier had becoma ice 


3 


free, A point of interest here is that within 2 hours after this ice 
was observed at 1000 LST by helicopter the areal distribution changed 
very rapidly to that indicated in figure 9. This change occurred with 
the approach of high tide and 10-knot surface winds from the east and 
southeast. Average tide range during this period (9 to 10 October) 
was about 6 feet. 


On 10 October, westward movement of the ice was noticed at ap- 
proximately 1000 LST. Easterly winds at this time had increased to 
19 knots with gusts to 25 knots. At 1100 LST, aerial reconnaissance 
made possible a detailed synoptic analysis of the ice as shown in 
figure 10. Numerous cracks, leads, and polynyas had developed. Con=- 
siderable amounts of slush ice had formed in the newly developed water 
areaSe Ice thickness on this date measured 5.0 inches. By 1300 LST, 
the wind speed was 32 knots with gusts to O mots. By 1600 LST, the 
ice picture was radically different. The ice had moved out of the local 
harber area, except along the east shore, as shown in figure 11, Com- 
paratively strong easterly winds continued throughout the next day. 


During the period from 1 to 12 October, the USS ATKA (AGB-3) was 
anchored in North Star Bigt. Weather observations were taken regularly 
aboard the ship during the time and can be compared directly with the 
observations taken at Thule Air Force Base. These observations are given 
in table IIe On 10 October, when the ice changed radically as shown in 
figures 10 and 11, winds recorded on the ATKA were considerably stronger 
than those recarded at the Air Force station. In checking the winds for 
1030, 1330, and 1630 IST, it was found that the wind speeds at the land 
station were only 5) percent of those at the ship. Similar conditions also 
existed on nearly every day. This wind speed differential plays an im- 
portant role in forecasting ice distribution during breakup as well as 
during the period of freezeup. Since nearly all of the wind information 
used by the Hydrographic Office in making ice forecasts in harbors is 
derived or inferred from observations at neighboring land stations, it 
is evident that local harbor studies are necessary to determine the 
relative applicability of each land-station record to the forecasting 
of sea ice conditions in the surrounding areas. 


Grease ice developed on the newly formed water area during the 
morning of 12 October, at which time there was about five-tenths grease 
ice coverage. The distribution of the ice between the harbor and Wol- 
stenholme # on this date is shown in figure 12. Ice that formed on this 
newly exposed water area will be known as "new" ice hereafter, whereas 
the ice that formed the first part of the month will be known as "old 
ice. On this date (October 12), the old ice was 6.0 inches thick. Much 
rafting had occurred in this ice southeast of Saunder § to the main- 
land coast. By 21 October, the new ice attained a thickness of 8.5 
inches and the old ice 11.2 inches. No polynyas, cracks, or leads were 
present from Kap Athol to the dock area. On 23 October (fig. 13), the 
old ice was 12.0 inches thick with 1.5 inches of snow cover. No snow 
cover was evident on the new ice, even though some very light snow 


had fallen between 20 and 23 October. However, there was a brine 
covering of three-sixteenths of an inch, which appeared to cover the 
entire area of new ice. A sample of this brine, taken 50 feet south 

of the deck on 23 October, had 9 salinity value of 62.3 °/oo. Evi~ 
dently, this salinity value is the result of rapid ice formation on 

and after 12 October. The ice was able to form with comparatively low 
air temperatures, averaging about 7° F. between 12 and ll; October. Over 
a large area 300 feet south of the dock, walling was found to be very 
difficult owlng to the slippery brine covering. 


Three ice temperature and salinity profiles, as illustrated in 
figures 1), 15, and 16, were taken from ice in the immediate dock area. 
The salinity values were taken at 2-inch intervals vertically; i.e., 
O-2, 2- inches, etc. Temperature readings were taken at 2-inch ine 
tervals, starting at the surface. It will be seen that the temperature 
gradients are nearly linear, while salinity decreases irregularly with 
depth, 


Several ice thickness measuremants were made from time of forma= 
tion until the ice had attained a thickness of approximately 13 inches. 
Only one measurement was made after this time, and that was on 18 Novem- 
ber 1953. The new ice thickness at that time was 28 inches with ? inches 
of snow cover. Ice growth as a function of degree days of frost (° F.) 
and the accumulation of degree days of frost with time for the new and 
old ice are shown in figures 17 and 18. Degree days of frost are based 
on tho normal freezing point of the water at each location and may be 
expressed either in ° F. or ° GC. To illustrate the use of degree days of 
frost, a day with an average temperature of 25° F,. would accumulate h de- 
gree days of frost when the base temperature of 29° F. is used. It is the 
practice in the Hydrographic Office to use a base of 29° F. or =1.8° Ce at 
sites with salinity between 25 °/oo and 35 °/oo while a base of 32° or 31° F. 
for fresh or brackish water is used.» 


In figure 19, the ice growth as a function of degree days of frost 
is shown for two ice seasons, 1918-9 and 1953=-5h. The curves are nearly 
identical for the overlapping portion. Fhysically, this identity ex= 
presses the fact already noted that the water of North Star Bugt is well 
mixed because of the free exchange to depths. Since the composition of 
the sea water does not change greatly from year to year, the relationship 
between ice growth and the heat loss expressed in degree days ef frost 
is also the sane. There is, however, a wide variation in the accumla= 
tion of degree days of frost. Figure 20 shows the available historical 
data on degree days of frost and reveals that the extreme values ranged 
from the total of 7,950 degree days of frost on 31 May 195), to the total 
of 5,650 on 31 May 1917. This variation would be expscted to cause con= 
Siderable differences in ice thickness, assuming the other paremeters were 
unchanged. 


V. ICE GROWTH COMPUTATIONS 
In computing the ice growth a formula daveloped in the Hydrographic 


Office (Lee and Simpson, 195) is used, which tales into account the in- 
fluencing oceanographic and metecrological parameterse 


t | | 
is ie Nat [ Ahi + { Se + Shy, + Sear, 


where Tp = temperature of freezing in © C., 
T = temperature of the water in ° C., 
k; ® heat conductivity of sea ice, 


k, = heat conductivity of snow, 

/; = density of sea ice, 

K = latent heat of fusion, 

1, = thickness of the ice in cme, 

1, = thickness of the snow in cme, and 

Qr = amount of sensible heat loss in kg. cal. 


Using this method, ice~growth curves, figures 21 and 22, are plotted 
against degree days of frost (° F.) for various snow depths that may be 
covering the ice. The growth curves are based on oceanographic data 

taken at site A on 29 September and 12 October. Ice grows more rapidly 
during the early stages and/or with no snow cover. Greater ice thickness 
and/or snow cover offer more insulation therefore resulting in 4a slower 
rate of ice growth as compared to degree days. It will be noted here that 
these degree days are based on 26.6° f compared to the previous 29.0° F. 
However, differences are very small, less than 1 percent. The computed ice 
growth curve (in inches) versus degree days of frost (° F.), using the actual 
measured snow depths, is shown in figures 23 and 2h. Figure 23 and figure 
2h are for the new and old ice, respectively. For comparison purposes, 
the actual growth curves are plotted. In the case of the new ice, these 
curves parallel very closely. she old ice curve does not verify as well. 
Nevertheless, after 150 degree days (° F.) with 13 inches of ice, the 
computed thickness of the old ice is only 1.5 inches less than the actual 
depth. It is possible that this discrepancy may be the result of measur= 
ing the ice thickness in a comparatively shallow area, whereas the oceano=- 
graphic data is based on information from site A, in deeper water. The 
same was not true in the case of the new ice. Im this latter case the 

ice growth was the same over the entire areas; i.eo, from the pier to site 
A, which is approximately 6 nautical miles to the southwest. Neverthe- 
less, the actual growth curves parallel the computed values very closely, 
especially in the case of the new ice, thus reflecting the accuracy of the 
method in predicting ice growth. 


Naturally, if one were to predict the air temperature and snow depth 
values, a forecast of this natwre probably would not be so accurate as in 
the case pointed out here is figures 23 and 2h, where the observed values 
for snow cover and temparatures are used. Difficulty in making accurate 
long-range predictions of snow depths and temperatures will vary for dif- 
ferent areas. In general, the larger the monthly variation of these par= 
ticular parameters, the more difficult the forecast will be. Comparatively 
the variation for these two parameters is small in the area of Thule. 


For instance, table III indicates that the snowfell varies very 
little. Therefore, accurate predictions for this element are relatively 
easy. Temperature forecasting, however, is not so easy, as is evidenced 
in figure 20, which shows considerable variation. For example, on 15 
November 197 there was an accumulation of about 650 (9 F.) degree days 
of frost as compared to 1,200 (° Fe) degree days of frost on the same 
date in 1953. In referring to figure 23 this difference would mean 
approximately 10 inches more ice (19 versus 29 inches), Of course, 
the comparison assumes el] other influencing factors to be the same. 
This is clearly an extreme case. In other years the temperature values 
are more nearly equal. 


VI. CONCLUSIONS 


The area of North Star Bugt and Wolstenholme Fjord constitutes an 
open bay with free water exchange at all depths from surface to the 
bottom. The special characteristics of this area from an oceanographic 
standpoint are 1) the presence of contimal water exchange and hence 
temporal continuity in thermohaline structure, 2) the relatively small 
importance of runoff water, and 3) the small annual change in surface 
water temperetures during the open season. 


North Star Bugt, although a harbor suitable for shipping operations, 
is not a closed water system but, instead, is an arm of Wolstenholme 
Fjord and open at all levels. Since the water of the bay is contimally 
mixed with that of the fjord, the thermchaline structure remains re- 
latively constant from week to week. This continuity, in turn, is an 
essential prerequisite for long-range ice forecasting, in which the 
thermohaline structure must be studied in early autumn and the heat 
budget utilized on the basis of the early sampling. It also makes 
possible the use of an oceanographic sampling in deep water to predict 
ice growth in the bay. 


There is relatively little runoff into North Star Bugt, coming mostly 
from the Pitufik River. This runoff stops by the first week in September, 
so that there is essentially no runoff problem thereafter; the water sa= 
linity remains nearly constant, increasing slightly due to evaporation. 


The combination of the above characteristics makes North Star Bugt 
a suitable harbor for the use of the techniques of long-range ice pre~ 
diction even though these techniques were developed for use in open- 
water areas, The 1953 long-range ice prediction verified satisfactorily, 
as shown by figures 23 and 2h). 


In one aspect North Star Bugt presents obstacles to long-range ice 
prediction methods. The techniques assume that the ice remains in situ 
once it is formed. In North Star Bugt, however, it is normal for the ice 
to break up in the area of the pier as often as three times during the 
freezeup period, sometimes not permanently until the first part of November. 
Similar movement of the ice will generally apply to the greater part of 
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_Temperature 


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Direction 


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humidity 


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1b bulb Percent 


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bulb bulb Percent _ 


Oct. 1953 Lst* 


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1930 
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(Jo) SUNLIVYSdINSL 


20 


31.6 31.8 32.0 32.2 32.4 32.6 32.8 33.0 33.2 33.4 33.6 33.8 34.0 34.2 34.4 34.6 348 35.0 


31.4 


31.2 


S%e 31.0 


-0.8 0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 
% 25.00 25.20 25.40 25.60 25.80 26.00 26.20 26.40 26.60 26.80 27.00 27.20 27.40 27.60 27.80 28.00 28.20 28.40 28.60 28.80 29.00 


-0.9 


-1.0 


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-1.9 


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=i 
asst = 


LEGEND 


SALINITY 
DENSITY 


} cocvctes | 


Co) 
120 
130 
140} 
i50 
160 
170 


° 
(2) 


(SYSLAW) H1Ld3d 


AND DENSITY PROFILES FOR SITE A 


29 SEPTEMBER 1953 


9 


SALINITY, 


a 


FIGURE 3. TEMPERATURE 


21 


S%o 310 31.2 31.4 316 318 32.0 32.2 324 326 328 330 332 33.4 336 338 340 342 344 346 348 35.0 
TC. -20 -19 -N8 -cly -Ne 215 <4 <i3 =12 -i) =O «-09) =08 -07 ~O6 —0'5) -0:'4 503) (20201 0.0 
0} 25.00 25.20 25.40 25.60 2580 26.00 2620 26.40 2660 2680 27.00 27.20 27.40 27.60 2780 28.00 2820 2840 2860 2880 2900 


DEPTH (METERS) 
fe) 


LEGEND 
—-— TEMPERATURE 
—— SALINITY 
sete DENSITY 


220 
FIGURE 4. TEMPERATURE, SALINITY, AND DENSITY PROFILES FOR SITE A, 6 OCTOBER 1953 


22 


322 324 326 328 40 332 34 336 338 340 342 344 346 348 350 


BB 32.0) 


31.4 316 


31.2 


S%o 310 


0.0 


28:20 28.40 28:60: 2880 29.00 


26.80 2700 2720: 2740 2760 2780 28:00) 


SALINITY 
- DENSITY 


oF ee 25.20 2540 25.60) 25:80! 2600 26:20 2640 2660 


(SYSL5W) H1d30 


FIGURE 5. TEMPERATURE, SALINITY, AND DENSITY PROFILES FORSITE A, '2 OCTOBER 1953 


220 


23 


S %o 
i eG 
Ot 


DEPTH (METERS) 


i30 


140 


150 


160 


180 


190 


200 


210 


220 


100 


120 


30 Sika S34 SIG eSIBTNS2OM S225 S2I4 S216) 52183350) S312 514 SS CeO BNO. ON nS 412u AO OMC TO MOD C) 

=—20, 419 18) ar. HG aw 4 Hs ae Su = Om O95 0.8 O/ue— OC aa 0.5 0/4 OO 1m) 00 
25.00 2520 2540 2560 2580 2600 2620 2640 2660 2680 27.00 27.20 2740 2760 2780 2800 2820 2840 2860 2880 2900 
10) = ; : - : 


10 | 


} LEGEND 
Soot TEMPERATURE 


SALINITY 
170 seorereeere DENSITY 


FIGURE 6. TEMPERATURE, SALINITY, AND DENSITY PROFILES FOR SITE A, 2! OCTOBER 1953 


24 


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FIGURE 7 SYNOPTIC ICE CONDITIONS, 6 OCTOBER 1953 


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36 


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FIGURE 21. COMPUTED ICE-GROWTH CURVES FOR SELECTED SNOW COVERS. 
COMPUTATION BASED ON DATA FROM SITE A, 29 SEPTEMBER I[953. 


80 ¢ 


ICE THICKNESS (I;) IN INCHES 


0) aa 1000 1560 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500 8000 8500 9000 950010000 


DEGREE DAYS OF FROST (BASE 28.8°F) 


FIGURE 22. COMPUTED ICE-GROWTH CURVES FOR SELECTED SNOW COVERS. 
COMPUTATION BASED ON DATA FROM SITE A , i2 OCTOBER 1953. 


37 


ICE THICKNESS (INCHES) 


| fo 
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FIGURE 23. COMPUTED AND OBSERVED ICE-GROWTH 
CURVES FOR NEW ICE 


38 


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DEGREE DAYS OF FROST(°F) 


FIGURE 24. COMPUTED AND OBSERVED ICE-GROWTH 
CURVES FOR OLD ICE 


39 


BIBLICGRAPHY 
LEE, O.S. and SIMPSON, L.S. A practical method of predicting sea ice 
formation and growth, U.S. Hydrographic Office Technical Report 4, 
9 pes 17 figs, 195k. 


U.S. AIR FORCE. Daily weather records; Thule, Greenland, 1953, [iepey 
Unpublished. 


U.S. WEATHER BUREAU. Ice _ measurements in North Star Bugt; Thule, Green- 
land, 1948-1949, /nep./ Unpublished. 


- — — Climatology summary; Thule, Greenland, October, 1946 through December, 
1949, 38 pe, 1950. 


40 


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