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CAC  DOCUMENT  No.  2lU 

NET  ENERGY  ANALYSIS;  HANDBOOK  FOR 
COMBINING  PROCESS  AND  INPUT-OUTPUT 
ANALYSIS 

By 

Clark  W.  Bullard 
Peter  S.  Penner 
David  A,  Pilati 


October  1976 


SEP.  13J977,       . 

ine  person  charging  this  material  is  re- 
sponsible for  its  return  to  the  library  from 
which  it  was  withdrawn  on  or  before  the 
Latest  Date  stamped  below. 

Theft,  mutilation,  and  underlining  of  books 
are  reasons  for  disciplinary  action  and  may 
result  in  dismissal  from  the  University. 

UNIVERSITY     OF     ILLINOIS     LIBRARY    AT    URBANA-CHAMPAIGN 


CAC  DOCUMENT  2lU 


NET  ENERGY  ANALYSIS: 
HANDBOOK  FOR  COMBINING  PROCESS  AND  INPUT-OUTPUT  ANALYSIS 


by 

Clark  W.  Bullard 
Peter  S.  Penner 
David  A.  Pilati 


October  1976 


Energy  Research  Group 
Center  for  Advanced  Computation 
University  of  Illinois  at  Urbana-Champai^n 
Urbana,  Illinois  6l801 


This  work  was  supported  by  the  Energy  Research  and  Development  Administration 


ABSTRACT 

Methods  are  presented  for  calculating  the  energy  required,  directly  and 
indirectly,  to  produce  all  types  of  goods  and  services.   Procedures  for  combining 
process  analysis  with  input-output  analysis  are  described.   This  enables  the 
analyst  to  focus  data  acquisition  effects  cost-effectively,  and  to  achieve  a 
specified  degree  of  accuracy  in  the  results.   The  report  presents  sample  calcula- 
tions and  provides  the  tables  and  charts  needed  to  assess  total  energy  re- 
quirements of  any  technology,  including  those  for  producing  or  conserving 
energy. 

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 

This  work  was  supported  by  the  U.  S.  Energy  Research  and  Development 
Administration.   We  wish  to  express  our  thanks  to  Donna  Amado  who  was  responsible 
for  the  computer  programming  and  to  Charles  R.  Mandelbaum  of  ERDA  for  helpful 
comments  on  an  earlier  draft  of  the  manuscript. 


Digitized  by  the  Internet  Archive 

in  2012  with  funding  from 

University  of  Illinois  Urbana-Champaign 


http://archive.org/details/netenergyanalysiOObull 


Table  of  Contents 

Page 

1.  INTRODUCTION  1 

1.1  Definitions  and  Conventions   2 

2.  METHODOLOGY k 

2.1  General k 

2.2  Process  Analysis  h 

2.3  Input-Output  Analysis   10 

2.k     Combining  Process  and  Input-Output  19 

3.  DISCUSSION 29 

REFERENCES 31 

APPENDIX  A  Tables  for  Computing  Indirect  Energy  Requirements   ....  33 

Table  A-l.   Industry  Classification  of  the  1967  Input-Output 

Tables 3^ 

Table  A-2.   Price  Indices 38 

Table  A-3.  Margins  on  Direct  Energy  Sold  to  Final  Demand  ....  ho 

Table  A-k.      Margins  on  Goods  and  Services  Sold  to  Final  Demand   .  l+l 

Table  A-5.   Energy  Cost  of  Goods  and  Services  -  106T ^3 

Table  A- 6 .  Major  Products  of  Common  BEA  Sectors 55 

Table  A-7.   Error  Tolerances  {%   of  Mean)  for  90  Energy  Intensities  65 

APPENDIX  B  Bibliography  67 

List  of  Figures 

Figure  1.   Successive  Stages  In  a  Process  Analysis  5 

Figure  2.  Production  of  Cars 7 

Figure  3.   Production  of  Energy  &  loods   8 

Figure  k.      Hypothetical  3-Sector  Process  Analysis   9 

Figure  5.   Energy  Balance  for  a  Producing  Sector  10 

Figure  6.   Systems  Boundaries  for  Process  and  Input -Out-put  Analyses   .  21 


List  of  Tables 


Table  1.  Specification  of  Production  Technologies  10 

Table  2.  Energy  Cost  of  a  Computer 17 

Table  3.  Limitations  of  Input-Output  Analysis  18 

Table  h.  Second  Approximation  Energy  Cost 2k 

Table  5.  Third  Approximation  Energy  Cost 26 

Table  6.  Sample  Hybrid  Analysis * 25 


1 .   INTRODUCTION 

When  we  consume  anything,  we  consume  energy.   It  takes  energy  to  manu- 
facture, deliver  and  sell  all  types  of  goods  and  services.   It  is  possible 
to  add  up  the  energy  required  at  each  step  of  the  production  process  to 
determine  the  total  "energy  cost"  of  particular  goods  and  services. 

The  concept  also  applies  to  facilities  that  produce  or  conserve  energy. 
It  takes  energy  to  construct  and  operate  oil  wells  and  pipelines,  and  this 
must  be  compared  to  the  energy  output.  Similarly,  it  takes  energy  to  manu- 
facture insulation  for  homes  and  efficient  capital  equipment  for  industry; 
these  energy  costs  must  be  compared  to  the  energy  savings. 

Consumers  demand  energy  in  two  ways:  directly  and  indirectly.  Energy 
is  consumed  directly  in  the  form  of  gasoline,  electricity,  natural  gas,  or 
fuel  oil.  It  is  consumed  indirectly  as  energy  used  elsewhere  in  the  economy 
to  produce  the  other  goods  and  services  purchased  by  consumers.   Indirect 
energy  is  by  no  means  negligible ;  the  average  consumer  demands  more  energy 
indirectly  than  directly  (Herendeen  and  Tanaka,  1975). 

To  clarify  the  concept  of  energy  cost,  consider  aluminum  as  an  example. 
A  certain  amount  of  energy  is  consumed  directly  in  the  ore  reduction  process. 
But  energy  is  also  required  to  mine  the  bauxite  and  transport  it  to  the 
smelter.  Additional  energy  is  needed  to  manufacture  the  mining  and  transpor- 
tation equipment,  and  to  make  the  inputs  to  those  industries.  All  these 
energies  have  to  be  summed  to  determine  the  total  energy  cost  of  aluminum. 

The  purpose  of  this  report  is  to  provide  a  practical  guide  for  calculat- 
ing the  energy  cost  of  any  item.  Two  methods  are  described.   One  is  tedious 
and  involves  adding  all  the  energy  inputs  individually  and  is  subject  to 
error  because  some  inputs  are  inevitably  neglected.  The  other  is  a  simpler 
one-step  operation  that  has  inaccuracies  due  to  the  level  of  aggregation  at 


which  goods  and  services  are  defined.  We  describe  both  methods,  and  then  show 
how  to  combine  them  to  minimize  the  effort  required  to  obtain  a  predetermined 
degree  of  accuracy  in  the  result .  Appendix  A  gives  most  of  the  data  needed 
for  any  application.  Appendix  B  contains  an  extensive  bibliography,  organized 
by  subject  category,  covering  the  theory  and  application  of  both  process  and 
input /output  analysis. 

The  range  of  possible  applications  is  quite  broad.   Energy  analyses 
have  been  used  to  determine  the  overall  energy  efficiency  of  systems  as  varied 
as  beverage  containers  (Hannon,  1973)  and  nuclear  power  plants  (Rotty,  et  al. , 
1975).   Published  results  of  energy  analyses  (particularly  net  energy  analyses) 
vary  for  a  host  of  reasons,  due  to  differences  in  computational  techniques, 
system  boundaries,  types  of  fuels  and  energy,  etc.  (Bullard,  1976,  Pilati,  1977) 
This  report  is  limited  to  treating  the  computational  issues  involved  in  such 
analyses.   The  methods  and  results  presented  are  consistent  with  a  forthcoming 
set  of  ERDA  guidelines  for  net  energy  analysis  (Perry,  1977). 

1.1  Definitions  and  Conventions 

The  data  and  methodologies  described  in  this  report  permit  calcula- 
tion of  five  types  of  energy  "embodied"  in  a  particular  goods  or  service. 
One  calculation  determines  the  coal  required,  directly  and  indirectly,  to 
produce  a  unit  of  aluminum.   Parallel  calculations  yield  the  total  crude  oil 
and  gas,  refined  oil,  electricity,  and  natural  gas  requirements.  All  these 
inputs  are  useful  for  certain  purposes,  but  they  are  not  directly  additive  to 
obtain  a  "total  energy  requirement."   For  example,  due  to  the  direct  plus  in- 
direct nature  of  the  calculations,  there  would  be  some  double  counting  of 
electricity  and  the  coal  used  to  produce  electricity. 

To  obtain  a  total  energy  figure,  we  adopt  the  convention  employed 
historically  by  the  U.S.  Bureau  of  Mines  to  combine  U.S.  fuel  and  electricity 


consumption.   This  convention  views  coal,  crude  oil  and  crude  gas  as  primary 
fossil  energy  resources,  and  expresses  physical  quantities  (tons,  bbl,  cu.  ft.) 
in  terms  of  their  total  enthalpy.    Similarly,  hydro  ani  nuclear  electricity 
are  viewed  as  primary  energy  resources,  whose  enthalpies  are  evaluated  in  terms 
of  their  fossil  fuel  equivalents  using  the  prevailing  heat  rate  for  fossil 
electric  power  plants.   These  enthalpies  are  then  added  to  define  a  total 
primary  energy  requirement,  and  double- counting  is  avoided. 

Similarly,  we  define  a  total  primary  energy  intensity   as  the  energy 
required  directly  and  indirectly  to  produce  a  unit  of  gDods  or  services  for 
final  comsumption.   It  is  calculated  by  adding  the  (direct  plus  indirect) 
coal  intensity,  crude  oil  and  gas  intensity,  and  the  fossil  fuel  equivalent 
of  the  hydro  and  nuclear  electric  intensity.   It  is  useful  to  compare  the 
total  energy  intensities  of  goods  and  services  for  broai-based  analyses  of 
conservation  options,  such  as  substituting  fiberglass  for  steel  in  a  manufactur- 
ing process.   In  specific  instances  where  options  for  fuel  substitution  are 
limited  (e.g.  aluminum  production),  it  is  more  useful  to  retain  the  individual 
fuel  intensity  detail.   In  particular,  net   energy  analyses  often  require  that 
the  distinction  between  fuels  be  maintained,  because  the  object  of  the  analysis 
is  often  a  a  facility  (e.g.  a  power  plant)  for  converting  one  form  of  energy 
to  another.   "Viewing  all  Btu's  as  equal"  obscures  the  economic  purpose  of 
the  facility  (Bullard,  1976). 


For  the  types  of  energy  considered  here,  total  enthalpy  is  approximately 
equal  to  Gibbs '  free  energy.   The  latter  is  viewed  by  many  as  the  "ultimate" 
measure  of  energy  consumption  because  it  is  truly  consumed  and  cannot  be  re- 
cycled.  For  practical  purposes  in  these  calculations,  the  two  are  equal. 

** 

Energy  intensity   and  energy  cost   are  used  interchangeably  in  this  report. 


2.   METHODOLOGY 


2.1  General 


The  energy  cost  of  any  economic  activity  can  "be  measured  "by  either  of 
two  general  methods:   Process  analysis  or  input-output  (i-O)  analysis.   As 
will  he  shown,  "both  theoretically  require  the  same  data  and  would  yield  the 
same  result  if  a  fully  disaggregated  data  base  were  available.   In  the  real 
world,  each  technique  is  most  useful  for  a  particular  type  of  problem.   Ag- 
gregated, nationwide  problems  are  well  suited  to  1-0  analysis  because  the 
data  base  for  this  analysis  is  a  363-sector  model  of  the  entire  U.S.  economy. 
Process  analysis  is  more  suited  to  specific  processes,  products,  or  manufac- 
turing chains  for  which  physical  flows  of  goods  and  services  are  easy  to 
trace. 

2.2  Process  Analysis 

Process  analysis  "begins  by  identifying  one  particular  product  as  the 
object  of  study.   This  target  product   may  be  either  a  good  or  a  service.   One 
then  examines  the  industry  which  makes  the  product  and  asks ,  "What  goods  and 
services  were  required  directly  by  this  manufacturer  to  produce  the  target  pro- 
duct?"  When  the  list  of  such  inputs  is  obtained,  it  will  include  some  fuels 
(direct  energy)  and  some  non-energy  goods  and  services  from  other  industries. 
The  direct  energy  use  is  tallied  while  each  non-energy  input  is  further  examined 
to  determine  the  energy  and  non-energy  inputs  required  for  its  production.   This 
process  continues,  tracing  back  from  the  target  product  through  each  stage  of 
the  production  process,  (fig.  l).   3ach  successive  step  in  the  analysis  typical- 
ly identifies  smaller  and  smaller  energy  inputs,  and  all  these  energy  inputs 
are  summed  to  obtain  the  total  energy  intensity   of  the  target  product.   The 
first  energy  input  is  called  the  direct   energy  requirement,  the  remainder  is 


INPUTS  TO 
A 


o 
o 


INPUTS 
TO 
B 

o 
o 


INPUTS  TO 
TARGET  PRODUCT 


Production  of 
Target  Product 


STAGE  3 


STAGE  2 


STAGE  1 


FIGURE  1.   SUCCESSIVE  STAGES  IN  A  PROCESS  ANALYSIS 


called  the  indirect   energy  requirement.   It  is  often  the  case  that  certain 
items  appear  as  both  inputs  and  outputs  several  places  in  the  production  tree, 
reflecting  feedback  loops  of  economic  activity. 

In  stage  2  and  beyond,  the  indirect  energy  inputs  are  identified  and  sum- 
med.  Note  that  indirect  energy  inprts  include  the  energy  consumed  in  energy 
producing  industries . 

In  fig.  1,  there  are  four  inputs  to  the  production  of  the  target  'pro- 
duct.     Suppose  input  A  is  energy  ani  B,  C,  and  D  are  nonenergy  goods  and 
services.   The  direct   energy  requirement  is  simply  input  A.  Indirect   energy 
inputs  to  the  target  product  are  the  sum  of  energy  inputs  to  all  the  pro- 
duction processes  in  stages  2,  3,  and  beyond. 

In  practice,  a  large  number  of  terms  is  never  computed,  and  the  analysis 
is  terminated  at  a  point  where  the  input  is  believed  tc  add  a  negligible 
amount  to  total  energy  use.   At  the'  second  stage  only  the  most  significant  in- 
puts are  considered,  and  of  those,  only  a  subset  is  further  broken  down  into 
its  components.  Unfortunately,  diminishing  contributions  from  each  stage  pro- 
vide no  guarantee  that  the  truncated  infinite  number  of  terms  actually  sum  to 
a  negligible  quantity. 

Performing  a  process  analysis  requires  extensive  data  on  the  production 

of  the  target  product  and  similar  (but  usually  less  detailed)  data  on  any 
secondary,  tertiary,  and  other  inputs  not  truncated.   For  aggregated  pro- 
duction sectors,  data  are  obtained  from  government  statistics  on  economic 
activity.   For  induvidual  production  process,  information  must  often  be  col- 
lated directly  from  manufacturers,  trade  associations,  and  consultants.   If 
all  flows  can  be  measured  in  physical  units,  there  is  usually  no  reason  to 
introduce  dollar  values  in  the  analysis,  so  the  resulting  energy  intensity  is 
expressed  in  physical  terms  (Btu/unit  of  target  product). 


As  an  example,  we  shall  calculate  the  energy  intensity  of  cars  in  a  simple 
3-sector  economy.*  This  hypothetical  economy  consists  cnly  of  energy  (mea- 
sured in  Btu)  ,  cars  and  another  aggi-egate  industry  composed  of  all  other  goods 

and  services.   We  shall  simply  label  this  aggregate  industry  "goods"  and 
presume  its  output  is  measured  in  dollars  due  to  the  heterogeniety  of  its  out- 
put.  Assume  that  census  data  for  all  three  sectors  in  this  hypothetical  eco- 
nomic-system identify  the  inputs  for  each  industry's  production  precess.   A 
typical  production  facility  in  the  car  industry  uses  .6  car,  .01  Btu  energy 
and  $.25  worth  of  goods  to  produce  one  car.   (in  this  entire  example,  the 
numbers  are  chosen  arbitrarily).   The  final  stage  of  production  is  shown 
in  Figure  2. 


01  Btu  energy 


Car 
Production 


♦  1 


car 


25  $  worth  of  goods 


Figure  2:   Production  of  Cars 


Similarly,  typical  energy  and  goods  production  facilities  use  inputs  as  shown 
in  figures  3a  and  3b.   Energy  extracted  from  the  earth  does  not  appear  in 
fig.  3a,  only  purchased  energy  inputs  are  shown. 


(Battelle,  1975)  and  (Teasley,  197*0  provide  excellent  examples  of  practical 
process  analyses . 


,088l  Btu  energy 


5  cars 


2  $  goods 


Energy 
Production 


(a) 


Goods 
Production 


*►    1  Btu 


energy 


"►    $  worth   of  goods 


(b) 


Figure  3:   Production  of  Energy  and  Goods 


We  now  have  most  of  the  data  necessary  to  calculate  the  energy  intensity 
of  cars  using  process  analysis.   The  production  "tree"  is  shown  in  fig.  U, 
where  dashed  lines  denote  inputs  that  are  ignored,  and  represent  the  truncation 
points  for  the  analysis.   Values  for  input  flows  exactly  maoch  figures  2  and  3 
in  the  first  production  stage  where  the  output  is  one  unit.   Outputs  at  all  other 
stages  are  less  than  one  unit  and  their  inputs  are  scaled  accordingly.   For  ex- 
ample, in  the  second  stage,  0.6  cars  are  produced,  so  scaling  the  inputs  in  fig. 
2  gives  (.6)(.0l)  Btu,  (.6)(.6)    cars,  and  (.6)(.25)  $  goods. 


.00005 

.00? ' 

.0012--'' 

production 

0l'6mm 

ei.crgy 
prou-ction 

072.—-^ 

.06^ 

.015 .: 


goods 

production 


.00381 


.05 

.02-'"" 


ener^/- 
production 


.025  —  -=f         goods 

•Drod'j^tion 


Figure  h.      Hypothetical  3-Sector  Frocess  Analysis 

In  fig.  k,   the  direct   energy  input  to  car  production  is  0.010  Btu/car. 
There  are  an  infinite  number  of  indirect  inputs,  all  but  three  of  vhich  are 
neglected.   They  sum  to  .006  +  .100  +  .036  =  .lU2  Btu/car.   Thus  process 
analysis  yields  a  total  (direct  plus  indirect)  energy  intensity  of  0.152 
Btu/car.   The  truncation  error  is  unknown. 

In  this  simple  3-sector  example  it  is  clear  that  we  have  sufficient 
data  to  carry  the  process  analysis  on  for  an  indefinite  number  of  steps. 
In  a  real  problem,  however,  a  process  is  truncated  to  reduce  the  data  acqui- 
sition effort.   For  example,  in  an  economic  system  with  hundreds  of  sectors, 
a  process  analyst  may  follow  only  the  largest  branches  on  the  tree  to  limit 
data  acquisition  efforts  to  those  sectors  most  important  to  the  particular 
target  product . 

In  Table  1,  the  inputs  shown  in  figs.  2  and  3  are  arranged  in  matrix 
form,  normalized  to  one  unit  of  output.   This  matrix  is  one  way  to  represent 
the  technologies  for  all  goods  and  services  in  our  hypothetical  economy.   Note 


9 


that  it  shows  only  interindustry   flows ,  not  resource  flows  from  Earth  to 
producing  industries . 

input  +  to  production  of  ->        energy         cars  goods 

energy  .0881  Btu/Btu   .01  Btu/car     .h   Btu/$ 

cars  .5    cars/Btu  .6  cars/car    .1  cars/$ 

goods  .2    $/Btu    .25  $/car        0  $/$ 

Table  1.   Specification  of  Production  Technologies 

Entries  on  the  diagonal  show  the  amount  of  self-input  required  to  pro- 
duce 1  unit  of  output.   For  example,  each  Btu  of  energy  output  requires  .0S8l 
Btu  of  energy  input.   This  representation  of  the  data,  as  we  shall  see  below, 
is  useful  for  input-output  analysis. 
2.3  Input-Output  Analysis 

Input-output  analysis  is  a  modeling  technique  used  extensively  in 
economic  research  since  its  introduction  in  19^1  (Leontief,  19^1).   It  has 
been  adapted  to  analyze  energy  and  labor  intensities  (Bullard  and  Herendeen, 
1975).   The  structure  of  the  model,  a  large  linear  network,  remains  the  same 
for  any  variable.   Initially  the  economy  must  be  disaggregated  into  N  major 
sectors,  each  producing  a  unique  good  or  service  and  each  characterized  by  a 
node  in  the  network  equations.  Examples  of  these  sectors  might  be  primary 
metals ,  retail  trade  or  petroleum  products .   Figure  5  shows  the  energy  flows 
entering  and  leaving  each  sector. 


N 

E   e.  T.  - 

.  ,   1   in 
1=1 


'     n  n 


Figure  5.   Energy  Balance  for  a  Producing  Sector 


L0 


Energy  embodied  in  inputs  from  other  sectors  enters  at  the  left  and  can 
he  expressed  as  e.  T.  ,  energy  intensity  of  product  i  times  the  input  of 
sector  i  to  sector  n.   Energy  embodied  in  the  sector's  output  is  shown  exit- 
ing at  the  right  and  is  expressed  as  the  product  of  the  energy  per  unit  of 

sector  n  output  (e  )  and  its  output  (X  ).   If  in  fig.  5,  sector  n 

n  n 

denotes  the  energy  sector,  a  nonzero  amount  E  is  extracted  from  the  earth. 
The  energy  balance  equation  becomes : 

N 

I   e.  T.   +  E  =  e   X  (l) 

.  ..   1  in    n    n  n 
i=l 

or,   in  matrix  notation  ve  have: 


e_T+E  =  £X.  (2) 

The  above  set  of  N  equations  can  be  solved  for  the  N  ummowns ,  e_.   X  is  the 
diagonal  matrix  whose  elements  represent  the  total  output  from  each  sector. 

For  a  typical  product,  n,  the  production  technology  is  represented  by  a 
vector  A  where  a  typical  element  A.   represents  the  amount  of  product  i 
needed  directly  to  produce  a  unit  of  product  n.   The  N  x  N  matrix  A_  then  pro- 
vides a  linear  representation  of  the  technology  of  producing  all  goods  and 
services.   From  this  definition  of  A  we  have: 

T  =  A  X  (3) 

and  eq.  (2)  becomes: 

£  =  e  (I-A)"1  (U) 

where  _e  is  a  unit  vector  which  identifies  the  energy  sector  row  of  (l_-A) 
as  the  energy  intensities.*     For  a  multi-fuel  economy,  this  analysis  can  be 
repeated  for  each  type  of  energy  (coal,  oil,  etc.)  and  the  total  primary 


This  unit  vector  appears  algebraically  because  E  =  X  for  the  energy  sectors; 
their  output  defined  to  equal  what  they  extract  from  the  earth. 

LI 


energy  intensities  can  "be  calculated  (Bullard  and  Herendeen,  1975). 

Though  1-0  is  a  simple  and  elegant  technique,  it  would  hardly  he  useful 
without  large  amounts  of  data.   The  U.S.  Department  of  Commerce  has  reported 
economy  -  wide  data  separated  into  368  sectors  of  economic  activity  for  19o3 
and  1967.   From  these  data,  the  A  (technological  coefficients)  and  X   (total 
output)  matrices  are  determined.   Physical  data  for  the  E_  (energy)  vector 
are  available  from  a  variety  of  sources  (see  Bibliography)  and  are  equal 
to  the  output,  X  ,  of  the  primary  energy-producing  sectors.   Thus,  eq.  (k) 
can  be  solved  for  an  e_  (energy  intensity)  vector  containing  368  values  for  the 
entire  economy  in  the  year  studied. 

This  pure  1-0  approach  implicitly  assumes  that  the  target  product  is 
typical   of  a  certain  sector's  output.   (The  same  assumption  was  made  for  "cars" 
in  the  process-analysis  example.)   Treatment  of  atypical  products  is  duscussed 
in  section  2.3.4. 

2.3.1  3-Sector  Example 

In  the  following  example,  input-output  analysis  is  used  to  compute  the 

energy  cost  of  goods  in  our  hypothetical  3-sector  economy.   Both  the  data 

base  and  the  result  should  be  compared  to  the  process  analysis  example  given  in 

the  previous  section. 

The  technology  of  producing  energy,  cars,  and  goods,  is  given  by 

the  same  matrix  presented  in  Table  1. 


A 


For  this  matrix: 


(I- A)  = 


(I-A) 


-1 


.0881 

.5 
.2 


.9119 
-.5 
-.2 

1.^72 

2.041 
.805 


.01 

.6 

.25 


-.01 

.h 
-.25 

.1+32 

3.265 

.903 


.1+ 

.1 
0 


-.h 
-.1 
1.0 

.632 
1.1U3 
1.42 


To  obtain  energy  coefficients,  the  above  must  be  multiplied  by  e_,  the  unit 
energy  vector.   This  vector  is  the  energy  extracted  from  the  earth  by  each 
sector  per  unit  output;   in  this  example  it  is  (l  0  0).*  Finally  the  product 
of  e_  and  ( L-A)   gives  : 

e_  =  [1.1*72  Btu/Btu      .1+32  Btu/car        .632  Btu/$   ] 

We  now  have  the  total  energy  required  per  unit  output  for  each  sector  in 
the  hypothetical  3-sector  economy.   In  the  previous  section  a  truncated  pro- 
cess analysis  was  used  to  calculate  the  energy  cost  of  cars  in  this  economy. 
The  previous  result  of  .152  Btu/car  is  about  one-third  of  the  result  obtained 
from  1-0  analysis  (.U32  Btu/car).  We  therefore  find  that  in  this  example  the 
truncation  error  was  not  negligible. 

2.3.2   A  Simple  I-Q  Example 

Now  we  consider  a  more  practical  application  of  input -output  analysis.   It 
makes  use  of  a  357-sector  description  of  the  U.S.  economic  system  in  1967.   It 
includes  detailed  information  on  consumption  of  five  forms  of  energy  by  each 
sector,  and  is  based  on  data  from  the  U.S.  Bureau  of  Mines  and  the  U.S.  Depart- 
ment of  Commerce  Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis  (BEA). 

In  this  example  we  shall  calculate  the  energy  cost  of  a  typical   large 
computer.  We  assume  that  the  price  (to  the  ultimate  consumer)  was  $1,000,000 
in  1970.   The  first  step  is  to  determine  which  of  the  368  BEA  economic  sectors 
produces  computing  machines.   Refer  to  Table  A-l  in  Appendix  A  and  notice  that 
sector  51.01  is  denoted  "computing  and  related  machines."  The  table  also  lists 
the  SIC  (Standard  Industrial  Classification)  industries  included  in  BEA  sector 
51.01.   Thus  for  a  more  detailed  description  of  51.01,  one  could  check  either 
the  1967  SIC  manual  or  the  1967  Census  of  Manufactures  (see  Bibliography)  to 
insure  that  the  correct  sector  is  used. 


* 


In  reality,  the  energy  sectors  are  not  perfectly  efficient  and  so  require 

more  than  one  Btu  per  Btu  output  because  of  indirect  inputs.   This  is  reflected 

in  the  value  of  e  for  the  energy  sector. 


13 


Having  identified  the  appropriate  sector,  the  corresponding  energy 
intensity  can  be  obtained  from  Table  A-5 ,  and  it  is  multiplied  by  the 
quantity  of  computers  to  obtain  the  total  energy  cost.   The  total  primary 
energy  intensity  given  in  the  table  is  hf ,116  Btu  per  19^7  dollar's  worth  of 
computers.   The  Department  of  Commerce  data  used  to  construct  the  1-0  tables 
in  1967  measured  that  sector's  output  in  dollars  because  of  the  aggregation 
within  the  computer  industry;  that  is  why  the  energy  intensity  is  given  in 
those  terms.   This  is  true  for  all  nonenergy  sectors  in  the  US  input-output  tables; 
only  the  five  energy  sector  outputs  are  expressed  in  physical  units  (Btu). 

However,  due  to  inflation  between  19&7  anc^  1970,  there  is  a  difference  be- 
tween one  million  1967  dollars'  worth  of  computers  and  one  million  1970  dollars' 
worth,  even  though  we're  talking  about  exactly  the  same  machine.   If  we  con- 
vert the  $1  million  price  tag  in  1970  to  1967  prices,  we  can  remove  the  effects 
of  inflation,  and  the  "1967  dollars"  unit  of  measurement  becomes  a  surrogate 
for  a  physical  unit  of  measurement.*  Using  price  indices  (deflators)  from 
Table  A-2  we  calculate  the  quantity  of  computers  in  units  of  19&7  dollars: 

Value  of  a  million 
dollar  (1970)  cc 
in  1967  dollars 


nr   ho7n       +       tin6  (1967  price  index  for  51.01)    fin6*  1.0 
^L49I?L'°mpUter  =  $1°  71970  price  index  for  51. Ol)  "  (l°  )  LM5 


(10  )  .99  =  $990,000  (1967) 
This  figure  is  multiplied  by  the  total  primary  energy  intensity  (e)  for 
Sector  51.01,  found  in  Table  A-5 : 

•Energy  cost  of  =  $        (   g  }  ^  ^    6  Btu/$196T  =  U6>6U  Billion  Btu 
computer 


Note  that  if  we  were  to  use  purely  physical  units  we  could  avoid  the  problems 
of  dollar  cost  deflation.   If  physical  quantities  are  known,  these  can  often 
be  energy-costed  directly.   The  energy  intensities  in  Table  A-5  can  be  converted 
to  (Btu/physical  unit)  using  the  19^7  implied  prices  of  many  goods  and  services. 
For  a  few  additional  materials,  energy  costs/physical  unit  are  given  by  Perry  (19' 


lU 


This  example  demonstrates  hew  energy  costs  can  be  found  quite  simply- 
using  1-0.   However,  anyone  employing  this  method  should  have  a  good  under- 
standing of  the  limitations  and  uncertainties  inherent  in  it. 

2.3.3  Uncertainty  Associated  with  I-Q  Analysis 

One  source  of  uncertainty  which  has  "been  mentioned  already  is  the  change 
in  price  levels  over  time.   Due  to  inflation,  price  levels  change  while 
physical  quantities  (and  energy  cost)  may  not.   Price  level  changes  can  "be 
approximately  corrected  using  deflators  as  above,  though  deflators  are  some- 
times inaccurate  and  may  not  strictly  conform  to  BEA  sector  definitions. 
Measuring  quantities  in  terms  of  constant  (1967)  dollars  is  a  surrogate  for 
using  physical  units.   For  some  products  the  correspondence  between  physical 
units  and  1967  dollars  is  known.   The  average  1967  price  data  in  Table  A- 6 
can  be  used  to  express  many  energy  intensities  directly  in  terms  of  Btu  per 
physical  unit. 

Another  source  of  uncertainty  is  change  in  the  structure  of  the  economy, 
the  technology  of  producing  goods  and  services,  as  represented  by  the  matrix 
A.  Energy  intensities  are  a  function  of  A.  alone,  and  as  technological  change 
occurs  over  time,  the  uncertainty  in  z_  will  increase.   Recent  studies  have 
identified  the  parameters  in  A  which  are  most  important  for  energy  analysis 
and  work  is  now  underway  to  update  them  to  reflect  the  latest  technological 
advances  (Bullard  and  Sebald,  1975). 

Some  of  the  uncertainty  in  e  is  due  to  sector  aggregation.  Ideally, 
each  product  would  be  a  unique  output  of  a  BEA  sector,  and  therefore  would 
have  a  unique  energy  coefficient.    Because  millions  of  different  goods  and 

services  are  produced  by  the  U.S.  economy,  it  would  be  infeasible  to  collect 

2 
data  on  N  technological  coefficients  at  that  level  of  detail.   In  practice, 


15 


many  similar  products  or  services  with  a  range  of  energy  costs  are  grouped 
in  a  single  sector.   The  question  one  wants  to  ask  prior  to  calculation  is: 
How  much  of  BEA  sector  X  is  devoted  to  making  the  target  product  X  ?  To  answer 
this  question,  it  is  possible  to  go  back  to  the  original  Department  of  Commerce 
data  base  and  examine  the  composition  of  each  sector.   We  have  done  this 
and  list  in  Table  A-o  some  common  BEA  sectors  and  their  major  products.   To 
the  extent  that  the  target  product  'is  typical  of  the  sector's  output,  the 
sector  energy  intensity  is  a  relatively  accurate  measure  of  its  energy  cost. 
This  table  provides  a  basis  for  estimating  the  certainty  in  an  energy  in- 
tensity, as  applied  to  a  particular  product.   If  the  target  product  were  a 
very  minor  output  of  a  large  or  diverse  sector,  there  is  little  the  user  can 
do  to  correct  the  error  using  input-output  analysis.  There  is  a  way  to 
eliminate  this  problem,  and  it  will  be  discussed  in  section  2.k. 

A  number  of  economic  and  accounting  conventions  also  cause  problems. 
Since  data  are  collected  from  firms  rather  than  consumers,  they  are  based 
on  the  firm's  value  of  the  product,  or  producer's  price.   However,  consumers 
pay  not  only  this  price  but  also  the  wholesale  and  retail  margins,  transporta- 
tion costs,  insurance,  etc.,  required  to  market  the  product.   In  the  previous 
example  of  the  energy  cost  of  the  computer,  these  margins  were  ignored.   Taking 
them  into  account,  the  calculation  proceeds  as  follows: 

The  total  price  (to  the  purchaser)  of  the  computer  is  $1,000,000  in  1970. 
Of  this,  the  margins  can  be  obtained  from  Tables  A-3  and  A-U ,  and  a  more 
accurate  energy  cost  can  be  determined  as  follows: 


Sectors  listed  are  those  producing  major  inputs  to  construction  and  opera- 
tion of  facilities  for  energy  production,  processing,  and  transportation. 


16 


Energy       Primary 


allocated       deflator      intensity     nersy 
%   of  purchase       share  of  total   ($196T/$19T0)  Btu/$1967    °     Q 
Sector    price  (Table  A-k)        cost  ($1970)    (Table  A-2)    (Table  A-5)   (109  Btu) 

65.01- 

65.06         0 


69.01 

5 

$50,000 

.91 

39,636 

1.8 

69.02 

1 

10,000 

.8U 

39,372 

.3 

51.01 

9^ 

$9^0,000 

.99 

hi ,116 

U3.8 

TOTAL 

$1,000,000 

^5.9 

Table  2.   Energy  Cost  of  a  Computer. 
This  result  compares  to  U6.6U  x  10'  Btu  in  the  previous  example  where  the 
margins  were  not  explicitly  accounted  for.   The  favorable  comparison  is 
fortuitous  in  this  example  because  the  energy  intensity  of  computers  happens 
to  be  approximately  equal  to  that  of  trade.   For  a  more  energy-intensive  com- 
modity (e.g.  steel),  the  impact  of  including  margins  explicitly  could  be  quite 
significant. 

Another  economic  convention  is  that  purchases  of  capital  goods  are  counted 
as  net  outputs  of  the  economic  system,  rather  than  as  inputs  to  production  pro- 
cesses.  This  means  that  ordinary  1-0  energy  intensities  ( Bullard  and  Herendeen, 
197*0  do  not  include  the  energy  required  to  build  the  factories  or  machines 
used  be  each  sector.   A  correction  has  been  performed  using  capital  require- 
ments data  from  Fisher  (1971),  so  the  energy  intensities  presented  in  Table 


This  correction  is  described  by  Putnam,  et  al.  (1975).   Since  capital  data 
were  only  available  at  the  90-seetor  level  of  detail,  it  was  assumed  that  in- 
dividual processes  within  those  categories  are  equally  capital-intensive. 


17 


A-5  include  the  energy  required  to  make  capital  equipment. 

Finally,  there  is  uncertainty  in  the  results  due  to  errors  in  collecting 
and  processing  the  basic  data  on  the  technology  of  producing  goods  and  services. 
These  errors  include  those  due  to,  more  specifically,  incomplete  census  cover- 
age, reporting  errors  due  to  misunderstanding,  false  reports,  sampling  errors 
inherent  in  surveys  of  firms,  transcription  or  key  punching  errors,  the  pos- 
sibility that  forms  are  lost,  classification  errors,  and  the  problems  of 
separating,  companies  from  establisliments  in  processing  returns  from  surveys  or 
census   (Bullard,  1976).   Considerable  effort  has  been  expended  in  trying  to 
estimate  these  stochastic  errors,  and  their  effect  on  the  resulting  energy  in- 
tensities (see  Bibliography).   Briefly,  results  indicate  that  the  energy  in- 
tensities are  approximately  normally  distributed  with  more  than  a  99  %   likeli- 
hood that  the  actual  value  falls  within  the  error  bounds  shown  in  Table  A-T-   It 
is  assumed  that  these  values,  computed  at  the  aggregated  90-sector  level,  can  be 
applied  directly  to  the  357-sector  intensities.   However,  these  figures  do  not 
include  uncertainty  due  to  changes  in  the  technology  of  producing  goods  and  ser- 
vices since  1967.   Where  significant  process  changes  have  been  made,  the  error 
bounds  should  be  increased. 


Table  3 
Limit  at ions  of  Imout-Output  Analysis 


Problem 


Treatment 


Use  Tables  A-2  and  A-6 


1.  Price  level  changes 

2.  Technology  changes  (since  base  year)  Updated  energy  intense 

not  yet  available 

3.  Aggregation:   Typical  and  atypical  products  Vse   Table  A-6      ^ 
U.      Producer's  vs.  purchaser's  prices 

5.  Including  energy  cost  of  capital 

6.  Uncertainty  in  base  year  data 

7.  Physical  flows  assumed  proportional  to  dollar  values  Use  a  more  disaggregate. 

model 

8.  Errors  due  to  secondary  products  and  linearity  as-    None 
sumptions 

13 


Use  Table  A-5 
Use  Table  A- 7 


Table  3  summarizes  the  error  treatment  in  energy  input-output  analysis 
and  points  to  two  errors  that  are  urire solvable  using  this  technique. 

The  last  two  items  in  Table  3  result  from  the  fact  that  the  U.S.  input- 
output  tables  are  aggregated  to  such  a  level  that  it  is  not  possible  to  ex- 
press each  sector's  output  in  terms  of  a  single  physical  unit,  and  the  data 
are  collected  on  establishments  not  directly  on  processes.  Methods  for 
eliminating  these  problems  are  discussed  by  Bullard  and  Herendeen  (1975). 

2.k     Combining  Process  and  Input -Our, -put  Analyses 

As  shown  above,  the  energy  cost  of  any  good  and  service  can  be  deter- 
mined by  either  process  analysis  or  input-output  analysis.   In  theory,  both 
methods  require  identical  input  data  and  provide  identical  results. 

For  most  applications,  however,  the  complete  set  of  input-output  data 
(the  N  x  N  matrix  A)  are  not  available  at  the  necessary  level  of  detail.   It 
exists  only  at  a  more  aggregated  level  of  about  368  sectors  for  the  United 
States  economic  system,  and  is  much  smaller  for  most  other  nations. 

Because  of  this  lack  of  data,  input-output  results  give  only  the  average 
energy  intensity  of  a  sector's  output.   Accuracy  is  limited  by  the  level  of 
aggregation:   the  energy  intensity  of  aluminum  castings  would  apply  to  both 
pressure  cookers  and  aluminum  tools  because  both  are  included  in  sector  38.11. 
Process  analysis  does  provide  a  framework  for  determining  the  energy  intensity 
of  atypical  products  within  a  sector.   The  chain  of  inputs  can  be  traced  back 
to  the  point  where  all  inputs  are  sufficiently  "typical"  or  until  the  inputs 
are  so  small  that  the  aggregation  error  is  tolerable. 

The  errors  associated  with  truncating  a  process  analysis  can  be  minimized 
using  the  results  of  input-output  analysis.   The  truncation  error  is  replaced 
by  a  smaller  aggregation  error  associated  with  energy-costing  the  higher  indirect 
order  inputs.  The  combination  of  these  techniques  is  called  "hybrid  analysis"  and 

19 


the  procedures  are  described  below. 

Theoretically,  each  step  in  a  process  analysis  may  "be  viewed  as  an  ex- 
pansion of  the  system  boundary  (arcund  the  item  being  analyzed)  into  the 
economic  system,  tabulating  direct  energy  inputs  at  each  step  (see  fig.  k) . 
The  results  of  input-output  analysis  may  be  used  to  estimate  the  energy  em- 
bodied in  flows  crossing  the  system  boundary  at  any  level,  by  associating  each 
good  or  service  with  one  of  the  368  sectors  of  the  1-0  model.  These  1-0  results 
are  indifferent  to  the  location  of  the  system  boundary.   Regardless  of  the 
number  of  process  analysis  steps  taken s  the  boundary  looks  the  same  from  the 
1-0  side.   Thus  in  theory,  it  does  not  matter  at  which  stage  of  the  process 
analysis  you  correct  for  the  truncation  error.   In  practice,  by  carefully 
choosing  the  number  of  stages,  hybrid  analysis  can  reduce  the  error  in  both 
techniques  and  produce  the  most  accurate  result  possible.  The  truncation  er- 
ror is  eliminated  from  the  process  analysis  and  the  aggregation  error  is  mini- 
mized in  the  1-0  analysis. 

2.^.1  Procedure 

To  perform  a  hybrid  analysis,  begin  by  doing  the  first  one  or  two  steps 
in  a  process  analysis.   Select  the  target  product  and  carefully  determine  the 
energy  and  materials  required  for  its  production.    Some  of  the  input  materials 
may  be  typical  products  of  1-0  sectors;  1-0  can  be  used  to  determine  their  tots 
energy  costs  with  only  a  single  additional  calculation.   Thus  the  only  input 
materials  requiring  further  process  analysis  are  atypical  products  not  easily 
classified  in  an  1-0  sector.   The  technology  for  producing  these  items  must  be 


* 

Obviously,   if  the  target   product   is   "typical"   of  an  1-0  sector's   output,   no 

hybrid  analysis  is  needed. 


20 


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21 


examined  to  identify  their  inputs  which  must  in  turn  be  energy-costed  with 
either  1-0  or  further  process  analysis,  depending  on  whether  they  are  typical 
or  not.   Hybrid  analysis  is  best  suited  for  large  atypical  problems  such  as 
determining  the  energy  cost  of  a  power  plant,  since  there  is  no  1-0  sector 
corresponding  to  power  plant  construction. 

2.U.2  Example 

We  will  now  calculate  the  energy  cost  of  a  large  prototype  coal-fired 
power  plant  (Pilati  and  Richard,  1975).  Assume  that  information  on  this 
plant  is  available  from  either  a  line-item  plant  budget  or  an  expert  consult- 
ant on  the  project.   Our  objective  is  to  calculate  this  energy  cost  in  the 
easiest  manner  within  an  uncertainty  of  ±10$.   A  sequence  of  approximations 
will  be  used,  starting  with  the  simplest  assumptions.   The  sequence  can  be 
terminated  as  soon  as  the  error  tolerance  is  less  than  10$. 

As  a  first  approximation,  we  could  multiply  the  dollar  cost  of  the  power 
plant  ($88  million  at  1970  prices,  ±15%)   by  the  average  intensity  for  all 
goods  and  services  in  1970  (68,690  Btu/$) .    This  coefficient  is  simply  the 
ratio  of  total  U.S.  energy  use  to  gross  national  produce  in  1970.   When  used 
to  approximate  the  energy  intensity  of  a  particular  item  such  as  a  power  plant, 
this  coefficient  has  an  extremely  large  uncertainty  (say  a  factor  of  two: 
+100$,  -50$).   The  total  energy  cost  and  error  terms  are  given  by  the  formula: 

(a  ±  Aa)(e  ±  Ae)  =  ae  ±  aAe  ±  eAa  ±  AeAa 


This  is  the  cost  of  all  purchased  inputs  to  power  plant  construction  — 
materials,  services,  etc.   Wages  and  taxes  are  excluded  to  be  compatible 
with  the  system  boundary  of  the  1-0  model  which  corresponds  to  GNP  (See 
Bullard,  (1976)).  Using  this  convention,  energy  to  produce  items  bought  with 
wages  are  charged  to  the  wage  earner,  not  the  employer. 

If  the  energy/GNP  ratio  for  the  appropriate  year  were  not  known,  construction 
costs  could  be  deflated  to  the  year  for  which  it  is  known  .   A  construction  cost 
index  is  given  in  Table  A-2. 


where  a  is  the  budget  figure  and  e  the  energy  intensity,  and  Aa  and  Ae 
represent  the  uncertainties.   Values  for  Aa  and  Ae  are  obtained  by  simply 

multiplying  a  and  e  by  their  respective  percentage  errors.   This  first 

12 
approximation  yields  an  energy  cost  of  6.0U  x  10   Btu,  while  the  first-order 

errors  are  clearly  far  outside  the  desired  tolerance  interval: 

+  (eAa)  +  (aAe)  =  +6.9  x  1012Btu  (+llW 

-  (eAa)  -  (aAe)  =  3.9  x  1012Btu  (-655?) 

For  some  applications,  however,  errors  such  as  these  may  be  acceptable,  and 

the  analysis  could  terminate  here. 

The  second  approximation  begins  by  identifying  the  major  single  expenses 
in  the  budget.  Assume  that  an  expert  consultant  provided  a  list  of  such  pur- 
chases shown  in  column  I  of  Table  k.        Care  must  be  taken  to  identify  each 
expense  with  its  appropriate  BEA  sector,  as  defined  in  the  S.I.C.  Manual 
(U.S.  Department  of  Commerce  (197*0). 

The  energy  cost  calculation  for  these  purchases ,  including  removal  of 
transportation  and  trade  margins  and  price  deflation,  is  shown  in  columns  II 
thru  VII  of  Table  U.   Energy  used  directly  (on-site  for  construction)  should  be 
included  in  every  energy  cost  calculation,  because  it  may  be  significant  even 
if  it  is  not  a  large  dollar  expense .  The  energy  embodied  in  the  remaining 
(miscellaneous)  inputs  to  the  plant  is  estimated  using  the  energy/GNP  ratio  as 
an  average  energy  intensity  as  was  done  in  the  first  approximation. 

Column  VIII  contains  the  error  due  to  budget  uncertainty  (eAa),  which  is 
assumed  in  this  example  to  be  15%   for  all  items.   Column  IX  reflects  the  un- 
certainty in  the  energy  intensity  (aAe).   The  magnitude  of  the  uncertainty  in 


For  convenience,  a  90-sector  level  of  aggregation  is  used  in  this  example. 
Generally,  more  accuracy  (less  aggregation  error)  can  be  achieved  with  the 
368-sector  level  of  detail.   Tables  in  the  Appendix  are  368-order,  so  the 
numbers  in  the  example  will  differ  slightly  from  the  figures  in  those  tables. 


23 


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e  is  based  on  Table  A-7.*   An  examination  of  Table  A-6  can  indicate  whether 
an  input  is  typical  of  a  particular  sector's  output.   Assume  that,  based  on 
careful  classification  and  data  from  the  consultant,  all  inputs  except  cons-ruc- 
tion machinery  (1*5.00),  are  believed  to  be  typical  sector  outputs.   Typical 
inputs  can  use  the  figure  from  Table  A-7  for  their  As  terms.   To  account  for 
the  atypical  construction  machinery,  an  additional  20^  is  added  to  the  con- 
struction machinery  uncertainty  from  Table  A-7. 

The  result  of  calculating  the  second  approximation  is  a  total  energy 

1  ?  an 

cost  of  6.78  x  10  Btu  with  error  bounds  of  +53$,  -30/S.   This  is  an  improve- 
ment but  it  still  does  not  fall  within  our  desired  ±10$  limits. 

In  the  next  approximation  fewer  inputs  are  classified  as  miscellaneous 
in  order  to  further  reduce  the  error.   Assume  that  we  instructed  the  consult- 
ant to  write  down  every  significant  budgeted  expense  classified  in  BEA  sectors 
36.00,  38.00,  1*0.00,  1*2.00,  1*3.00,  1*5.00,  1*6.00,  1+9.00,  53.00,  62.00,  and  75.00. 
These  sectors  were  chosen  because  they  contain  most  of  the  materials  commonly 
used  for  power  plant  construction;  the  amounts  appear  in  column  I  of  Table  5. 
As  in  Table  1*,  computing  the  energy  cost  of  these  purchases  is  straightforward 
and  the  remaining  expenses  are  costed  with  the  average  energy/GNP  ratio  as 

before.   The  error  analysis  proceeds  as  in  the  previous  step,  and  this  time  the 

12 
error  is +15,  -13$  for  an  energy  cost  of  7.19  x  10  Btu.   This  still  does  net 

meet  our  accuracy  requirements  so  the  analysis  must  proceed  another  step. 

From  Table  5  it  appears  that  two  of  the  largest  errors  are  due  to  budget 

uncertainties  for  sectors  1*3.00  and  1+0.00.   Assume  that  we  have  no  way  of 


*These  uncertainties  apply  to  the  energy  intensity  of  goods  in  1967.  If  we  assume 
the  power  plant  will  be  built  in  1980,  the  total  energy  cost  will  be  higher  or  lower, 
defending  on  trends  in  energy-related  technological  change  throughout  the  US  economy 
during  the  1967-80  period.  This  correction  may  be  applied  after  the  final  result  is 
obtained,  and  may  be  approximated  by  anticipated  changes  in  the  aggregate  energy/ 
GNP  ratio. 

** 

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and  therefore  the  total  error  in  any  approximation  is  the  square  root  of  the 
sum  of  the  squares  of  each  input  error. 


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improving  the  15%   accuracy  of  the  expenses  in  sector  1+3.00,  hut  note  that  the 
"budget  figure  in  sector  Uo.00  has  an  unusually  large  (±30$)  error.   Assume  that, 
with  a  small  effort,  the  consultant  could  improve  the  error  term  on  structural 
steel  expenses  to  ±15%-     This  reduces  the  eAa  error  in  that  sector  and  reduces 
the  error  hound  for  the  entire  power  plant  to  +8,  -1%.      This  is  within  our  er- 
ror specification  and  the  analysis  can  now  he  terminated. 

To  give  an  idea  of  how  much  effort  was  saved  hy  these  approximations ,  a 
complete  computation  from  a  line-item  "budget  for  the  plant  is  shown  in  Tahle 
6.   Column  I  lists  all  inputs  deflated  to  19^7  dollars  with  margins  already 
computed  and  assigned  to  the  appropriate  margin  sectors.  This  is 'why,  for 
example,  sector  65.01  (rail  transport)  shows  an  expense  of  $883,15^  even  though 
the  plant  hudget  may  not  actually  show  any  money  allocated  to  direct  purchases  o: 
rail  transport-   This  complete  1-0  analysis  eliminated  the  large  errors  due  to 
use  of  the  average  energy/GNP  ratio  as  an  energy  intensity.   It  can  he  seen 
that  accuracy  has  been  slightly  improved  hy  this  method;  total  energy  cost  is 
7.36  x  1012Btu  ±1%. 

If  a  greater  degree  of  accuracy  were  desired,  it  would  not  have  heen  nec- 
essary to  perform  the  arduous  task  of  itemizing  all  inputs,  especially  the 
smallest  ones.   The  effort  might  have  been  "better  spent  reducing  the  budget 
uncertainty  on  some  of  the  inputs  contributing  the  largest  errors.   For  example, 
reviewing  design  details  to  reduce  the  budget  uncertainty  on  inputs  from  sectors 
U0.00  and  1+3.00  to  ±5$  could  have  improved  the  estimate  in  Tahle  5  to  +5%,   -3%. 

If,  in  this  example,  there  were  significant  inputs  not  typical  of  their 
sector,  similar  reductions  in  the  Ae  errors  may  have  been  achieved  by  perform- 
ing a  one-or  two-step  process  analysis  on  several  of  trem. 

In  closing,  we  return  to  the  question  of  the  unqusntified  uncertainty  due 
to  the  fact  that  the  technologies  for  producing  goods  end  services  changed 

27 


Table  6 
Sample  Hybrid  Analysis 


I 

II 

III 

IV 

V 

energy 

budget 

intensity 

BEA 

Expenses 

energy 
intensity 

energy 
(10   Btu) 

uncertainty 
(10   BtuHeAa) 

uncertainty 
(aAe).(l0  Btu) 

Sector 

($1967) 

(Btu/$) 

3101 

5.77    X    loi1    3TU 
7.2U    X    10°       BTO 

1.2194 

7C3609 

105541 

21108 

6801 

4.0643 

29 

4 

1 

6802 

9,68    X    10°      R1U 

1. 1157 

1080 

162 

43 

200 

65C4 

77672 

505 

76 

66 

400 

5155 

42482 

219 

33 

22 

900 

16100 

117771 

1896 

284 

265 

120C 

1880 

60140 

113 

17 

9 

1600 

1736 

112644 

196 

29 

6 

1700 

6730 

109024 

734 

110 

29 

1800 

186 

61440 

11 

2 

1 

1900 

100 

81326 

8 

1 

0 

2000 

766938 

73312 

56226 

8434 

3374 

2200 

613 

596  29 

37 

5 

1 

2300 

34239 

67760 

2320 

348 

70 

240C 

24H4 

1689^14 

4075 

611 

122 

2600 

242 

57880 

14 

2 

0 

2700 

34507 

26  3170 

9081 

136  2 

363 

300* 

6  38  23 

125326 

10505 

1576 

420 

3102 

11974 

576357 

6901 

1035 

897 

3103 

24445 

492584 

12041 

1806 

1686 

3200 

1571C9. 

1C0306 

15759 

2364 

473 

3500 

27726 

130543 

3619 

543 

181 

360  0 

1342855 

.177176 

237922 

35688 

7133 

370  C 

549914 

233593 

128456 

19268 

3  854 

3800 

1316802 

158599 

2C8856 

31323 

6  266 

aooo 

28279568 

10c593 

2985851 

447879 

89576 

4100 

4108 

98244 

404 

61 

12 

4200 

188C925 

95036 

178755 

26313 

7150 

4300 

15018830 

81113 

1218227 

182734 

36547 

4500 

3042544 

82534 

251114 

60267 

7533 

U600 

1224037 

69959 

85633 

12345 

2569 

4900 

2961657 

72460 

214602 

32190 

4292 

5000 

3299 

60872 

201 

30 

8 

5200 

642963 

75211 

48358 

7254 

1934 

5300 

3648279 

65406 

238618 

35793 

7159 

5400 

12697 

79750 

1013 

152 

30 

5500 

117535 

70393 

8274 

124  1 

248 

5600 

5386 

41520 

224 

34 

7 

5800 

3894 

73531 

286 

43 

11 

5900 

23 

78052 

2 

0 

0 

6200 

1248479 

54c45 

68099 

10215 

2724 

6U00 

11115 

63973 

711 

107 

14 

6501 

883154 

98184 

86712 

13007 

4336 

6503 

704982 

54654 

38530 

5779 

2  697 

650U 

15083 

256200 

3864 

580 

309 

6505 

67575 

205114 

13861 

2079 

1386 

6506 

96 

1429^0 

14 

2 

2 

6600 

28105 

54723 

1528 

231 

215 

6803 

1215 

1186  1 9 

144 

22 

14 

6900 

6087317 

45825 

278949 

41842 

27895 

7000 

40731 

28037 

1142 

171 

80 

7100 

47448 

17596 

835 

125 

50 

7  300 

3710C8 

37056 

13748 

2062 

825 

7  50  0 

2785132 

74526 

207564 

31135 

22832 

7700 

6367 

54757 

349 

52 

42 

7800 

241U      • 

40514 

98 

15 

11 

79C0 

2000 

111926 

224 

34 

31 

8100 

44362 

105911 

4698 

7C5 

658 

8200 

239U 

82546 

198 

30 

20 

TOTAL 

$73,608,500 

7357052 

518,8 

56   (±7*) 

#  Budget  uncertainty  ±13%   on  all  items. 

*  All  inputs  assumed  typical  except  U'5.00  (±2U#) 


between  1967  (the  model  "base  year)  and  the  time  construction  of  the  power  plant  in 
1980.   This  will  have  the  effect  of  increasing  As  for  all  goods  and. services . 
Rather  than  speculating  on  each  production  technology  individually,  it  may  be 
easiest  to  lump  the  uncertainty  in  a  single  factor  that  attempts  to  average 
these  effects  for  all  goods  and  services.   The  energy/GIIP  ratio  may  be  used  for 
this  purpose  since  it  is  essentially  a  weighted  average  of  the  energy  intensities 
of  all  production  technologies.   The  ratio  has  been  relatively  stable,  changing 
by  no  more  than  ±5%   for  about  20  years ,  so  its  impact  has  been  negligible  in 
the  past.   Anticipating  a  downward  trend  in  response  to  post-embargo  energy 
prices,  one  might  wish  to  adjust  the  As  values  accordingly.   For  our  purposes 
we  have  neglected  this  effect;  for  longer  range  application,  it  must  be  con- 
sidered explicitly. 

3.0  DISCUSSION 

The  preceeding  example  outlined  the  basic  steps  that  must  be  taken  to 
calculate  the  energy  cost  of  any  item.   In  the  trivial  case  where  the  item  is 
a  typical  output  of  a  sector  of  the  economy,  its  energy  cost  can  be  read  di- 
rectly from  Table  A-5.  The  example  considered  an  atypical  item,  an  electric 
power  plant,  and  showed  how  to  perform  a  one- stage  process  analysis  to  obtain 
a  ±10%  estimate  of  its  energy  intensity. 

The  foregoing  example  was  structured  to  highlight  the  payoffs  obtained 
by  focusing  attention  on  a  few  primary  inputs  —  the  most  significant  element 
in  the  first  stage  of  the  process  analysis.   It  was  seen  t  iat  it  is  not  always 
necessary  to  obtain  a  detailed  breakdown  of  exact  quantities  of  all  input  mater- 
ials in  order  to  obtain  a  reasonable  accurate  final  result.   This  technique  yields 
considerable  cost  savings  over  conventions!  analyses  (e.g.  Just,  1975)  that 


?9 


rely  on  a  compilation  of  accurate  and  detailed  lists  of  input  materials  and 
services. 

In  the  interest  of  simplicity,  the  example  did  not  include  any  two-stage 
process  analyses,  because  the  method  is  identical  to  that  shown  for  the 
first-order  step.   In  practice,  the  presence  of  large  atypical  inputs  (e.g. 

the  pressure  vessel  for  a  nuclear  plant)  may  result  in  some  of  the  largest 
uncertainties  "being  associated  with  the  Ae  terms;  it  may  prove  more  fruitful 
to  perform  crude  process  analyses  on  these  inputs  than  to  seek  more  accurate 
data  on  input  quantities. 

The  methods  developed  here  can  be  applied  to  calculating  the  energy  cost 
of  any  good  or  service  within  a  specified  degree  of  accuracy.   This  report  was 
written  to  support  energy  analyses  of  energy  supply  and  conservation  systems 
in  particular,  but  applications  are  not  restricted  to  that  area.   Detailed 
guidelines  for  using  this  method  for  net  energy  analysis  are  presented  by 
Perry  (1977). 


30 


References 

Batt ell e/ Columbus  Labs,  "Energy  Use  Patterns  in  Metallurgical  and  Nonmetallic 
Mineral  Processing,"  U.S.  Bureau  of  Mines,  1975. 

Bullard,  Clark,  "Energy  Costs,  Benefits,  and  Net  Energy,"  Energy  Systems  and 
Policy,  Vol.  1,  No.  U,  pp.  367-381,  1976. 

Bullard,  Clark  and  Robert  A.  Herendeen,  "Energy  Impact  of  Consumption  Decisions," 
Proceedings  of  the  IEEE,  Vol.  63,  No.  3,  pp.  U8U-1+93,  March  1975,  CAC  Document 
135,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801, 
October  19lk. 

Bullard,  Clark  and  Anthony  V.  Sebald,  "Effects  of  Parametric  Uncertainty  and 
Technological  Change,"  CAC  Document  156,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation, 
University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801,  March  1975.   Also  in  Review  of  Economics 
and  Statistics  (forthcoming) . 

Fisher,  W.  H.  and  C.  H.  Chilton,  An  Ex  Ante  Capital  Matrix  for  the  United 
States,  1970-75,  Battelle  Memorial  Institute,  1971. 

Hannon,  Bruce,  "System  Energy  and  Recycling:   A  Study  of  the  Beverage  Industry," 
CAC  Document  23,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana, 
61801,  March  1973. 

Herendeen,  Robert  and  Clark  Bullard,  "Energy  Cost  of  Goods  and  Services,  1963 
and  1967,"  CAC  Document  lUo,. Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of 
Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801 ,  November  197^;  Energy  Policy,  December  1975. 

Herendeen,  Robert  and  Jerry  Tanaka,  "Energy  Cost  of  Living,"  CAC  Document  171, 
Center  for  Advanced  Commutation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801,  April 
1975. 

Leontief,  Wassily,  The  Structure  of  American  Economy,  1919-1939,  Oxford 
University  Press,  1941. 

Perry,  A.  M. ,  "Guidelines  for  Net  Energy  Analysis,"  Oak  Ridge  Associated  Univer- 
sities, Institute  for  Energy  Analysis,  Oak  Ridge,  TN ,  1977. 

Pilati,  David  A.,  "Energy  Analysis  of  Electricity  Supply  and  Energy  Conserva- 
tion Options,"  Energy,  Vol.  2,  No.  1,  pi3.  1-7.  1977. 

Pilati,  David  A.  and  Ralph  Richard,  "Total  Energy  Requirements  for  Nine  Elec- 
tricity -  Generating  Systems,  "  CAC  Document  165 ,  Center  for  Advanced  Computa- 
tion, Universitv  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801,  August  1975.   Also  in  Energy 
Vol.  2  No.  1,  pp.  1-7,  1977. 

Putnam,  Dan,  Ralph  Richard,  and  Clark  Bullard,  "Energy  Labor  and  Capital  Updates 
to  the  Energy  Employment  Model,"  CAC  Technical  Memo.  36,  Center  for  Advanced 
Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801,  January  1975. 


31 


Rotty,  R.  M.  et  al. ,  "Net  Energy  From  Nuclear  Power,"  Report  No.  IEA-75-3, 
Institute  for  Energy  Analysis,  Oak  Ridge,  TN,  1975- 

Teasley,  Larry,  N. ,  "Energy  Implication  of  Polymer  Production  and  Use,"  Wash- 
ington University,  St.  Louis,  197^. 

U.S.  Department  of  Commerce,  Standard  Industrial  Classification  Manual,  1971, 
Washington:   Government  Printing  Office,  197**. 


32 


APPENDIX  A 


Tables  for  Computing  Indirect 
Energy  Requirements 


33 


Table  A-l 


Industry  Classification  of  the  1967  Input-Output  Tables 


The  titles  in  bold  face  represent  the  proupinps  of  industries 
used  for  the  summary  version  of  the  1967  tables  and 
were  also  used  in  the  1958  and  1963  input-output 
tables  prepared  by  the  Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis. 


Industry  number  and  title 


Related  Census- 

SIC  codes  (19<i7 

edition) 


AGRICULTURE,  FORESTRY.  AND  FISHERIES! 


1.01 
1.02 

1.03 


2.01 
2.02 

2.03 
2.04 
2.05 

2.06 

2.07 


3.00 


4.00 


1  Livestock  and  livestock  products 

Dairy  farm  products 

Poultry  and  eggs 


Meat    animals    and    miscellaneous 
livestock  products. 

2  Other  agricultural  products 

Cotton 

Food  feed  grains  and  grass  seeds 

Tobacco 

Fruits  and  tree  nuts 

Vegetables,  sugar,  and  miscellaneous 

crops. 
Oil  bearing  crops 


Forest,    greenhouse,    and    nursery 
products. 

3  Forestry  and  fishery  products 

Forestry  and  fishery  products 


4  Agricultural,    forestry,     and     fishery 
services 

Agricultural,  forestry,   and   fishery 
services. 


MINING 

3.00 


6.01 
6.02 


7.00 
8.00 
9.00 

10.00 


5  Iron  and  ferroalloy  ores  mining 
Iron  and  ferroalloy  ores,  mining 

6  Nonferrous  metal  ores  mining 

Copper  ore  mining 

Nonferrous  metal  ores  mining,  ex- 
cept copper. 

7  Coal  mining 

Coal  mining 


0132,  pt.  014. 
0133,0134,  pt. 

014. 
013.">,  0136,  013"), 

pt.  014,  0193, 

pt.  0729. 

0112,  pt.  014. 

0113,  pt.  0119, 
pt.  014. 

pt.  0114,  pt.  014. 

0122,  pt.  014. 

0123,  pt.  0119, 
pt.  014. 

pt.  0113,  pt. 

0119,  pt.  014. 
0192,  pt.  014. 


074.081.082,084, 
086,091. 


071,0723.073. 
pt.  0729,  085, 
098. 


8  Crude  petroleum  and  natural  gas 

Crude  petroleum  and  natural  ga.>. 

9  Stone  and  clay  mining  and  quarrying 

Mono      and      clay       mining      and 
quarrying. 

10  Chemicals  and  fertilizer  mineral  mining! 
Chemical     and     fertilizer     mineral  I 
mining. 


CONSTRUCTION 
11.01 


II  New  construction 

New  construction,  residential  build- 
ings (nonfarm). 


11.02 

11.03 

11.04 
1 1.  0.*> 

12.01 


pt.  13,  pt.  16, 
pt.  it,  pt. 
6361. 

pt.  13,  pt.  17. 

pt.  15,  pt.  10, 

pt,  17. 
pt.  Id,  pt.  17. 
pt.  15,  pt.  16,  pt. 
17,  pt.  13S. 
12  Maintenance  and  repair  construction 

Maintenance   ami   repair   construe-      pt.  13,  pt.  17. 
tion,   residential   buildings   (nun-  | 
farm).  I 


New     construction,     nonrc-.deutial 

building-. 
New  con.-truction,  public  utilities.. 

New  construct  ion,  highways. . . . 

New  construction,  all  other. 


1011.  106. 


102. 

103,  104,  105, 
108,  109. 


11.  12. 
1311,  1321. 


141,  142.  144,  145, 
148,  149. 


147. 


Industry  number  and  title 


Related   Ccnsus- 

SIC  codes   (1967 

edition) 


15  01 
15  02 


I   1601 

I 


1  16 

02 

16. 

0.3 

16 

04 

17. 

01 

17 

02 

17 

OS 

17 

04 

17 

05 

1  I? 

06 

17. 

07 

i!  17. 

OS 

1  17 

0<> 

i  17 

10 

18. 

01 

18 

02 

IN 

03 

il  IS. 

04 

12.  02  Maintenance  and   repair  construc- 

tion, all  other. 

MANUFACTURING 

13  Ordnance  and  accessories 

13.01  Complete  guided  missiles 

13.  02  Ammunition,  except  for  small  arms, 

n.e.c. 

13.  03  Tanks  and  tank  components. 

13.  04                Sighting  and  fire  control  equipment.. 
13.  05  Small  arms 

13  00  Small  arms  ammunition 

13.  07  Other  ordnance  arid  accessories 

14  Food  and  kindred  products 

14.  01  .Meat  products 

14.02  Creamery  hutter 

14  03  Cheese,  natural  and  processed j 

14.  04  Condensed  and  evaporated  milk i 

14.  05  Ice  cream  and  frozen  desserts j 

14  00  Fluid  milk 

14  07  Canned  and  cured  sea  foods | 

14.  OS  Canned  specialties | 

14  09  Canned  fruits  and  vegetables 

14.  10  Dehydrated  food  products 

14.  U  Pickles,  sautes,  and  salad  dressings.. 

14.  12  Fresh  or  frozen  packaged  fish 

14.  13  Frozen  fruits  and  vegetables 

14.  14  Flour  and  cereal  preparations 

14    15  Prepared  feeds  for  animal- and  fowls. 

14.  16  Rice  milling 

14.17  Wet  corn  milling 

14    18  Bakery  products 

14   19  Sugar 

14  20  Confectionery  an'l  related  products. .i 

14.  21  Alcoholic  bcvcrac.es .' i 

14.22  Bottled  and  canned --oft  drinks i 

14.  23  Flavoring  extracts  and  sirups,  n.c.c.i 

14.24  Cottonseed  oil  mill.-, 

14.  25  Soybean  oil  mills 

14.  26  Vegetable  oil  mills,  n.e.c 

14  27  Animal  and  marine  fat>  and  oils 

14.  28  Roasted  coffee | 

14.  29  Shortening  and  cooking  oils j 

14.  30  Manufactured  ic< 

14.  31  Macaroni  and  spaghetti j 

14.  32  Food  preparations,  n.e.c j 

15  Tobacco  manufactures 

Cigarettes,  cigar* ,  etc. j 

Tobacco  stemming  and  redrying.. .  .] 

16  Broad    and    narrow    fabrics,   yarn   and! 
thread  mills 

Broadwoven  fabr.c  mills  and  fabric  j 

finishing  plants. 

Narrow  fabric  mills | 

Yarn  mills  and  finishing  of  textiles,  j 

n.e.c.  j 

Thread  mills 

17  Miscellaneous  textile  goods  and  floor  j 
coverings  j 

Floor  covering*- ; 

Felt  goods,  n.e.c ! 

Lace  good* i 

Padding-  and  uphuHtery  fillings. 

Processed  teitilr  waste ; 

Coated  fabrics,  n>>t  rubberized 

Tire  cord  and  fabric 

Scouring  and  combing  plants 

Cordage  and  twn  e : . 

Textile  good-,  n.e.c 

18  Apparel 

Hosiery 

Knit   apparel   nulU 

Knit  fabric  mills 

Apparel      made      from      purchased 

materials. 

19  Miscellaneous       fabricated       textile 
products. 

19  01  Curtains  and  draperies 


pt.  15,  pt.  16. 
pt.  17,  pt.  138. 


1923. 
1929. 

1931. 
1941. 
1951. 
1961. 
1911,  1999. 

201. 

2021. 

2022. 

2023. 

2024. 

2026. 

2031. 

2032. 

2033. 

2034. 

2035. 

2030. 

2037. 

2041.2043,2045. 

2042. 

2044. 

2046. 

205. 

206. 

207. 

2082-5. 

20S6. 

20S7. 

2091. 

2092. 

2093. 

2094. 

2095. 

2096. 

2097. 

2098. 

2099. 

2111.2121.2131. 
2141. 


2211.2221.  2231. 

2261,  2262. 
224 1 . 
2209,2281-3. 

2284. 


227. 

2291. 

2292 

2203. 

2294. 

2295. 

2296. 

2297. 

229S. 

2299. 

2251.  2252. 
2253,  2254.  2259. 
2256. 
23  (cxd. 
239),  39996. 


2391. 


3U 


Table  A-l    (continued) 
Industry  Classification  of  the  1967  Input-Output  Tables — Continued 


19.02 
19.03 


20.01 

20.02 
20.03 
20.04 
20.05 
20.06 
20.07 
20.08 
20.09 


21.00 


22. 

01 

22. 

02 

22. 

03 

22. 

04 

23. 

01 

23. 

02 

23. 

03 

23. 

04 

23. 

0.5 

23. 

00 

23.07 

24 

01 

24 

02 

24 

03 

24 

04 

24. 

05 

24. 

06 

Industry  number  and  title 


Related  Ccnsus- 

SIC  codes  (1967 

edition) 


Housefurnishings,  n.e.c 

Fabricated  textile  products,  n.e.c. 

20  Lumber    and   wood  products,  except 
containers 

Logging  camps  and  logging  contrac- 
tors. 
Sawmills  and  planing  mills,  general. 
Hardwood  dimensions  and  flooring. 

Special  product  sawmills,  n.e.c 

Millwork 

Veneer  and  plywood 

Prefabricated  wood  structures 

Wood   preserving 

Wood  products,  n.e.c 


21   Wooden  containers 

Wooden  containers. 


22  Household  furniture 

Wood  household  furniture 

Upholstered  household  furniture... 

Metal  household  furniture 

Mattresses  and  bedsprings 


2392. 
2393-9. 


2411. 

2421. 
2426. 
2429. 
2431. 
2432. 
2433. 
2491. 
2499. 


23  Other  furniture  and  fixtures 

Wood  office  furniture 

Metal  office  furniture 

Public  building  furniture 

Wood  partitions  and  fixtures. 
Metal  partitions  and  fixtures. 
Venetian  blinds  and  shades.  . 
Furniture  and  fixtures,  n.e.c. 


24.07 


25.00 


26.01 
26.02 
26.03 
26.04 
26.05 
26.06 

26.07 
26.08 


27.01 

'27.  02 
27.03 
27.04 


28.01 
28.02 
28.  03 
28.04 


29.01 
29.02 
29.03 


30  00 


24  Paper  and  allied  products  except  con- 

tainers and  boxes 

Pulp  mills 

Paper  mills,  except  building  paper. 

Paperboard  mills 

Envelopes 

Sanitary  paper  products 

Wallpaper  and  building  paper  and 

board  mills. 
Converted  paper,   products,   n.e.c, 

except  containers  and  boxes. 

25  Paperboard  containers  and  boxes 

Paperboard  containers  and  boxes.. 


244. 


2511,2519. 
2512. 
2514. 
2515. 


2521. 
2522. 
2.531. 
2541. 
2542. 
2591. 
2599. 


2611. 
2621. 
2631. 
2642. 
2647. 
2644,  2661. 

2641,2643,264  5, 
2646,  2649. 


265. 


26  Printing  and  publishing 

Newspapers 2711. 

Periodicals 2721. 

Book  printing  and  publishing 273. 

Miscellaneous  publishing 274  1 . 

Commercial  printing i  2751,  2752. 

Manifold    business    forms,     blank-i  2761,  2782. 
books,  and  binders. 

Greeting  card  publishing 2771. 

Miscellaneous  printing  services 27.53,  2789,  279. 


27  Chemicals  and  selected  chemical  prod-! 
ucts 

Industrial    inorganic    and    organic 
chemicals, 

Fertilizers 

Agricultural  chemicals,  n.e.c 

Miscellaneous  chemical  products 

28  Plastics  and  synthetic  materials 

Plastics  materials  and  resins 

Synthetic  rubber 

Cellulosic  man-made  fibers 

Organic  fibers,  noncellulosic 


29  Drugs,  cleaning  and  toilet  preparations 

Drugs 

Cleaning  preparations 

Toilet  preparations 


30  Paints  and  allied  products 

Paints  and  allied  products. 


281  (excl.  2819.5.) 

2871,2872. 
2879. 
2861,  289. 


2821. 
2822. 
2823. 
2824. 


283. 

284  (excl.  2844. 

2844. 


2851. 


31.01 

31.  02 
31.03 


32.01 
32.  02 
32.  03 

32.04 


33.00 


34.01 
34.  02 
34.03 


35.01 

35.02 

36.01 
36.  02 
36.03 
36.04 
36.05 
36.06 
36.07 
36.  08 
36.09 
36.  10 
36.  11 
36.  12 
36.  13 


36. 

3-V 
3o. 
36. 


36.  18 
36.  19 
36.20 

36.  21 
36.22 

37.01 

37.02 

37.  03 
37.04 


38.01 
3S.  02 
38.03 
38.  04 
3.8.  0.5 
3S.  06 
38.  07 
38.  08 
38.  09 

38.  10 

38.  11 
38.  12 
3K.  13 
38.  14 

39.01 
30.02 


40.01 
40.02 


Industry  number  and  title 


Related  Ceosus- 

SIC  codes  (1967 

edition) 


31  Petroleum  refining  and  related  indus- 
tries 

Petroleum     refining     and     related 
products. 

Paving  mixtures  and  blocks . 

Asphalt  felts  and  coatings... 

32  Rubber    and    miscellaneous    plastics 
products 

Tires  and  inner  tubes 

Rubber  footwear 

Reclaimed  rubb'-r  and  miscellaneous 

rubber  products,  n.e.c. 
Miscellaneous  plastics  products 

33  Leather  tanning  and  industrial  leather 
products 

Leather     tanning     and     industrial 
leather  products. 

34  Footwear  and  other  leather  products 

Footwear  cut  stock 

Footwear  except  rubber 

Other  leather  products 


35  Glass  and  glass  products 

Glass  and  glass  products  except  con- 
tainers. 
Glass  containers 

36  Stone  and  clay  products 

Cement,  hydraulic 

Brick  and  structural  clay  tile 

Ceramic  wall  and  floor  tile 

Clay  refractories 

Structural  clay  products,  n.e.c 

Vitreous  plumbing  fixtures 

Food  utensils  pottery 

Porcelain  electrical  supplies 

Pottery  products  n.e.c 

Concrete  block  and  brick 

Concrete  products,  n.e.c 

Ready-mixed  concrete 

Lime 

Gypsum  producs 

Cut  stone  and  stone  products 

Abrasive  products 

Asbestos  products. 

Gaskets  and  insulatious 

Minerals,  ground  or  treated 

Mineral  wool 

Nonclay  ref ractories 

Nonmetallie  mineral  products,  n.e.c. 

37  Primary  iron  and  steel  manufacturing 

Blast  furnaces  and  ba-sic  steel  prod- 
ucts. 

Iron  and  steel  foundries 

Iron  and  steel  fc  rgings 

Primary  metal  products,  n.e.c 

38  Primary  nonferrous  metals  manufac- 
turing 

Primary  copper 

Primary  lead 

Primary  zinc 

Primary  aluminum 

Primary  nonferrous  metals,  n.e.c 

Secondary  nonferrous   metals 

Copper  rolling  and  drawing 

Aluminum  rolling  and  drawing 

Nonferrous  rolling  and  drawing, 
n.e.c. 

Nonferrous  wire  drawing  and  insu- 
lating. 

Aluminum  castings 

Bra>s,  bronze,  and  copper  castings.. 

Nonferrous  castings,  n.e.c 

Nonferrous  forgings 

39  Metal  containers 

Metal  cans 

Metal  barrels,  drums,  and  pails. 

40  Heating,    plumbing,     and     fabricated 
structural  metal  products 

Metal  sanitary  ware 

Plumbing  fitting}  and  brass  goods... 


2911,299. 

2951. 
2952. 


3011. 
3021. 
3031,3069. 

3079. 


3111,3121. 


3131. 
314. 

3151,3161,317. 
3199. 

3211,3229,3231. 

3221. 

3241. 

3251. 

3253. 

32.55. 

3259. 

3261. 

3262.  3263. 

3264. 

3269. 

3271. 

3272. 

3273. 

3274. 

3275. 

3281. 

3291. 

3292. 

3293. 

3295. 

3296. 

3297. 

3299. 

331. 

332. 

3391. 

3399. 


3331. 

3332. 

3333. 

3334.28195. 

3339. 

3341. 

33.51. 

3352. 

3356. 

3357. 

3361. 
3362. 
3369. 
3392. 

3411. 
3491. 


3431. 

3432. 


35 


Table  A-l    (continued) 
Industry  Classification  of  the  1967  Input-Output  Tables — Continued 


Industry  number  and  title 


40.  03  Heating  equipment,  except  electric. 

40.  04  Fabricated  structural  steel 

40.05  Metal  doors  sash  and  trim 

40.  06  Fabricated  plate  work  (boiler  shops) . 

40.07  Sheet  metal  work 

40.  08  Architectural  metal  work 

40.  09  Miscellaneous  metal  work 

41  Screw  machine  products,  bolts,  nuts, 
etc.  and  metal  stampings 

41.  01  Screw  machine  products  and  bolts, 

nuts,  rivets,  and  washers. 

41.  02  Metal  stampings 

42  Other  fabricated  metal  products 
4Z01  Cutlery 

42.  02  Hand  and  edge  tools  including  saws'. 

42.  03  Hardware,  n.e.c. -• 

42.  04  Coating,  engraving,  and  allied  serv- 

ices. 

42.  05  Miscellaneous  fabricated  wire  prod- 
ucts. 

42.  06  Safes  and  vaults : 

42.  07  Steel  springs 

4Z  08  Pipe,  valves,  and  pipe  fittings 

4Z  09  Collapsible  tubes 

4Z  10  Metal  foil  and  leaf 

4Z  11  Fabricated  metal  products,  n.e.c 

43  Engines  and  turbines 

43.  01  Steam  engines  and  turbines 

43.  02  Internal  combustion  engines,  n.e.c. 

44  Farm  machiney 

44.  00  Farm  machinery 

45  Construction,    mining,   oil    field    ma- 
chinery equipment 

45.  01  Construction  machinery 

45.  02  Mining  machinery -. 

45.  03  Oil  field  machinery 

46  Materials   handling    machinery    and 
equipment 

46.  01  Elevators  and  moving  stairways 

46-  02  Conveyors    and    conveying    equip- 

ment. 

46.  03  Hoists,  cranes,  and  monorails 

46.  04  Industrial  trucks  and  tractors 

47  Metalworking  machinery  and  equip- 
ment 

47.  01  Machine  tools,  metal  cutting  types. 
47.  02  Machine  tools,  metal  forming  types 
47.  03               Special  dies  and  tools  and  machine 

tool  accessories. 

47.  04  Metalworking  machinery,  n.e.c 

48  Special  industry  machinery  and  equip- 
ment 

48.01  Food  products  machinery 

48.  02  Textile  machinery 

48.  03  Woodworking  machinery 

48.  04  Paper  industries  machinery 

48.  05  Printing  trades  machinery 

48.  06  Special  industry  machinery,  n.e.c 

49  General  industrial  machinery  and 
equipment 

49.  01  Pumps  and  compressors 

49.  02  Bail  and  roller  bearings 

49.  C3  Blowers  and  fans 

49.  04  Industrial  patterns 

49.  05  Power  transmission  couipment 

49.  06  Industrial  furnaces  and  ovens 

49.  07  General  industrial  machinery,  n.e.c 

50  Machine  shop  products 

50.  00  Machine  shop  products 

51  Office,  computing,  and  accounting  ma- 
chines 

51.  01  Computing  and  related  machines. . 


Related  Census  - 

SIC  codes   (1967 

edition) 


3433. 
3441. 
3442. 
3443. 
3444. 
3446. 
3449. 


345. 
3461. 


3421. 

3423,  3425. 
3429. 
3471,  3479. 

3481. 

3492. 

3493. 

3494,  3498. 

3496. 

3497. 

3499. 


3511. 
3519. 


3522. 


3531. 
3532. 
3533. 


3534. 
3535. 

3536. 
3537. 


3541. 
3542. 
3544^  3545. 

3548. 


3551. 
3552. 
3553. 
3554. 
3555. 
3559. 


3561. 
3562. 
3564. 
3565. 
3566. 
3.->67. 
3569. 


359. 


3573,  3574. 


51.  02 
51.03 
51.  04 


52.01 
52.02 
52.03 
52.04 
52.05 


53.01 
53.02 
53.03 

53.04 
53.  05 
53.  06 
53.07 
53.08 


54.  01 
54.  02 
54.  03 
54.04 
54.05 
54.  06 
54.07 


55.  01 
55  02 
55.  03 


56  01 

56.02 
56.  03 
56.04 


57.01 
57  02 
57.03 


01 

02 
03 
01 
05 


59.01 
59  02 
59.  03 


60  01 
60  02 
60  03 
60  04 


61.01 
61  02 
61  03 
61  04 
61.05 
61  06 
61  07 


62  01 


Industry  number  and  title 


Related  Census- 

SIC  codes  (1967 

edition) 


Typewriters 

Scales  and  balances.. 
Office  machines,  n.e.c. 


52  Service  industry  machines 

Automatic  merchandising  machines.  3581. 

Commercial  laundry  equipment 3582. 

Refrigeration  machinery 3585. 

Measuring  and  dispensing  pumps i  3586 

Service  industry  machines,  n.e.c 3589 


3572. 
3576. 
3579. 


53  Electric  transmission  and  distribution 
equipment  and  electrical  industrial 
apparatus 

Electric  measuring  instruments 

Transformers 

Switchgear  and  switchboard  appa- 
ratus. 

Motors  and  generators 

Industrial  controls 

Welding  apparatus 

Carbon  and  graphite  products 

Electrical  industrial  apparatus,  n^e.c. 


3611. 
3612. 
3613. 

3621. 
3622. 
3623. 
3624. 
3629. 


54  Household  appliances 

Household  cooking  equipment 3631. 

Household  refrigerators  and  freezers.!  3632. 

Household  laundry  equipment i  3633. 


Electric  housewares  and  fans. 
Household  vacuum  cleaners. 

Sewing  machines 

Household  appliances,  n.e.c. 


55  Electric  lighting  and  wiring  equipment 

Electric  lamps .  .... 

Lighting  fixtures 

Wiring  devices 


56  Radio,  television  and  communication 
equipment 

Radio  and  television  receiving  sets.. 

.  Phonograph  records 

Telephone  and  telegraph  apparatus. 
Radio  and  television  communication 
equipment. 

57  Electronic  components  and  accessories 

Electron  tubes 

Semiconductors 

Electronic  components,  n.e.c. 


58  Miscellaneous    electrical    machinery, 
equipment  and  supplies 

Storage  batteries 

Primary  batteries,  wet  and  dry 

X-ray  apparatus  and  tubes 

Engine  electrical  equipment 

Electrical  equipment,  n.e.c 


59  Motor  vehicles  and  equipment 

Truck  and  bus  bi  .dies 

Truck  trailers 

Motor  vehicles  and  parts 


60  Aircraft  and  parts 

Aircraft 

Aircraft  engines  and  parts. .  . 
Aircraft  propellers  and  parts. 
Aircraft  equipment,  n.e.c.  .  - 


61  Other  transportation  equipment 

Shipbuilding  and  repairing 

Boatbuilding  and  repairing 

Locomotives  and  parts 

Railroad  and  street  cars 

Motorcycles,  bicycles  and  parts 

Trailer  coaches 

Transportation  equipment,  n.e.c... 

62  Professional,  s,  ientific  and  controlling 
instruments,  and  supplies 

Engineering    .rid    scientific    instru- 
ments. 


3634. 
3635. 
3636. 
3639. 


3641. 
3642. 
3643,  3644. 


3651. 
3652. 
3661. 
3662. 


3671,  3672,  3673. 

3674. 

3679. 


3691. 
3692. 
3693. 
3694. 
3699. 


3713. 
3715. 
3711,  3714. 


3721. 

3722 

37295. 

3729  (excl.  37295). 


3731. 
3732. 
3741. 
3742. 
3751. 
3791. 
3799. 


3811 


36 


Table  A-l    (continued) 
Industry  Classification  of  the  1967  Input-Output  Tables-Continued 


Industry  number  and  title 


Related  Census  - 

SIC  codes  (1%7 

edition) 


62.02 

62.03 

62.04 

62.05 

62.06 

62.07 

63.01 

63.02 

63.03 

•Mechanical  measuring  devices 

Automatic  temperature  controls.. 
Surgical  and  medical  instruments. 
Surgical  appliances  and  supplies.. 
Dental  equipment  and  supplies... 
Watches,  clocks  and  parts 


64.01 

64.02 
64.03 
64.04 
6405 
64.06 
64.07 
64.08 
64.09 
64.  10 
64.  11 
64.  12 


63  Optical,  ophthalmic  and  photographic 
equipment  and  supplies 

Optical  instruments  and  lenses 

Opththalmic  goods 

Photographic  equipment  and  sup- 
plies. 

64  Miscellaneous  manufacturing 

Jewelry,    including    costume,    and 
silverware. 

Musical  instruments  and  parts 

Games,  toys,  etc 

Sporting  and  athletic  goods,  n.e.c."' 

Pens,  pencils,  etc 

Artificial  flowers 

Buttons,  needles,  pins  and  fasteners. 

Brooms  and  brushes ■ 

Hard  surface  floor  covering 

Morticians  goods 

Signs  and  advertising  displays 

Miscellaneous  manufactures,  n.e.c... 


TRANSPORTATION.  COMMUNICATION. 

ELECTRIC.  GAS,  AND  SANITARY  SERVICES 

65  Transportation  and  warehousing 

65.  01  Railroads  And  related  services 

65.02  Local,     suburban     and     interurban 

highway     passenger     transporta- 
tion. 
65.  03  Motor   freight    transportation    and 

warehousing. 

65.  04  Water  transportation 

65.  05  Air  transportation *  ~  " 

65.  06  Pipe  line  transportation 

65.  07  Transportation  services 

66  Communications,    except    radio    and 
television  broadcasting 

66.  00  Communications,  except  radio  and 

television. 

67  Radio  and  television  broadcasting 

67.  00  Radio  and  television  broadcasting.. 

68  Electric,     gas.     water     and     sanitary 
services 

68.  01  Electric  utilities 

68.  02  Gas  utilities 

68.  03  Water  and  sanitary  services..  * ... 


WHOLESALE  AND  RETAIL  TRADE 
69.01 

Retail  trade. 


69  Wholesale  and  retail  trade 
Wholesale  trade 


69.02 


FINANCE.  INSURANCE  AND  REAL  ESTATE 

»„  -       70  Finance  and  insurance 

70.01  Banking 

70.  02  Credit  agencies 

In  £?  Security  and  commodity  brokers" 

7U.  04  Insurance  curriers...   ... 

70.  05  Insurance  agents  and  brokers .".  * '. 

71   Real  estate  and  rental 
!!-  9i  Owner-occupied  dwellings.. 

71.02  Real  estate 


3821. 
3822. 
3841. 
3842. 
3843. 
387. 


3831. 
3851. 
3861. 


391,  3961. 

3931. 

3941,  3942,  3943. 

3949. 

395. 

3962. 

3963,  3964. 

3991. 

3996. 

3994. 

3993. 

3999  (excl.  39990). 


40,  474. 
41. 


42,  473. 

44. 
45. 
46. 
47,  (excl.  473, 

474.). 


48,  (excl.  483). 


483. 


491,  pt.  493. 

492,  pt.  493. 
494,  495,  496, 

497,  pt.  493. 


50  (excl.  manu- 
facturers' sales 
offices). 

52,  53,  54,  55,  56, 
57,  58,  59, 
7396,  pt.  8099. 


60. 

61,  67. 
62. 
63. 
64. 


65  (excl.  pt. 
6561),  66. 


Industry  number  and  title 


Related   Census- 

SIC  codes   (1967 

edition) 


SERVICES 


72.01 
72.02 


72.03 
73.01 


73.02 
73.03 


72  Hotels  and  lodging  places,  personal 
and  repair  services,  except  automobile 
repair 

Hotels  and  lodging  places... 

Personal  and  repair  services  except 
auto  repair  and  barber  and  beauty- 
shops. 

Barber  and  beauty  shops.. 

73  Business  services 

Miscellaneous  business  services 


75.00 

76  01 
76.02 


77.01 

77  02 
77.03 

77.04 
77.05 


Advertising 

Miscellaneous  professional  services  . 

74  Research  and  development 

Eliminated  as  a  separate  industry  in 
the  1963  study.  Research  and  devel- 
opment performed  for  sale  is  dis- 
tributed to  the  purchaser  bv  each 
of  the  industries  performing  the 
research  and  development. 

75  Automobile  repair  and  services 

Automobile  repair  and  services 

76  Amusements 

Motion  pictures 

Amusement  and  services 

77  Medical,    educational    services,    and 
nonprofit  organizations 

Doctors  and  dentists 


70. 

72  (excl.  723.  724) 
76  (excl.  7692, 
7694,  and 

pt.  7699). 
723,  724. 

73  (excl.  731, 
7396),  7692, 
7694,  pt.  7699. 

731. 

81.  89  (excl. 
8921). 


Hospitals 

Other  medical  and  health  services. 


Educational  services 

Nonprofit  organizations. 


GOVERNMENT  ENTERPRISES 

78  Federal  Government  enterprises 
Post  Office 

Federal  electric  utilities 

Commodity  Credit  Corporation 

Other     Federal     Government     en- 
terprises. 

79  State  and  local  government  enterprises 

Local  government  passenger  transit. 

State  and  local  electric  utilities 

Other  state  and  local   government 
enterprises. 
RTS 


78 

01 

78 

02 

78. 

03 

78. 

04 

79 

01 

79 

02 

79 

03 

75. 

78. 
79. 


801,  802,  803, 

804. 
8061. 
0722,  807,  809. 

(excl.  pt.  8099) 
82. 
84,  86,  8921. 


IMPO 


80.01 
80.  02 


80  Gross  imports  of  goods  and  services 

Directly  allocated  imports. 

Transferred  imports 


DUMMY  INDUSTRIES 
81 


81.  00 


8'J.  00 


82 


83 


83.  00 

SPECIAL 

84 

84.00 

85 

8").  00 

86 

8fi.  00 


Business  travel,  entertainment  and  gifts 
Business  travel,  entertainment  and 
gifts. 

Office  supplies 

Office  supplies 

Scrap,  used  and  secondhand  goods 

Scrap,  used  and  secondhand  goods. 

INDUSTRIES 

Government  industry 

Government  industry 


Rest  of  the  world  industry 
Rest  of  the  world  industry. 

Household  industry 

Household  industry 


Source.  U.S.  Departments  Commerce.  Bureau  at  Economic  Analyst*. 


37 


Table  A- 

-2 

PRICE   INDICES 

(1967  =   1 

00) 

BEA  Sectors 

1970 

1971 

1972 

1973 

1971* 

(1.01). ..(1.03)    (2.01) 

(2.03). ..(2.07) 

1.111+ 

1.127 

1.337 

2.031 

2.059 

(3.00)(l+.00) 

1.206 

1.280 

1.371+ 

1.1*67 

1.670 

(5.00)(6.01)(6.02) 

1.685 

1.1*31+ 

1.532 

2.388 

2.31*7 

(7.00) 

1.1+21 

1.1*60 

1.590 

1.81*6 

2.579 

(8.00) 

1.017 

1.007 

1.101+ 

1.192 

1.685 

(9.00>  (10  ..00) 

0.991+ 

1.169 

1.212 

1.350 

1.729 

(11. 01). ..(11. 05) 

(12.01)(12.02) 

1.31+9 

1.1+73 

1.603 

1.779 

1.931+ 

(13.01). ..(13.07) 

1.132 

1.175 

1.209 

1.252 

1.391+ 

(ii*.oi). ..(lU. 32) 

1.123 

1.150 

1.209 

1.1*1*9 

1.619 

(15.01)(15.02) 

1.130 

1.157 

1.191 

1.238 

1.368 

(16.01)... (16. Ok) 

1.0U0 

1.01+2 

1.10U 

1.237 

1.393 

(17.01). ..(17-10) 

1.015 

1.017 

1.055 

1.151 

1.299 

(18.01)..  ..-(18.  Ok) 

1.122 

1.11+3 

1.161 

1.208 

1.307 

(19.01)(19.02)(19.03) 

1.027 

1.023 

1.098 

i.ii+3 

1.302 

(20. 01),.. (20. 09) 

1.11+2 

1.292 

1.1*68 

1.819 

1.877 

(21.00) 

1.11k 

1.212 

1.300 

1.575 

1.71*1 

(22.01). ..(22. Ok) 

1.116 

1.11+8 

1.171 

1.227 

1.358 

(23.01). ..(23.07) 

1.138 

1.161+ 

1.196 

1.305 

1.51*2 

{2k. 01). ..(2^.07) 

1.078 

1.087 

1.115 

1.188 

1.1*86 

(25.00) 

1.079 

1.113 

1.156 

1.21*6  - 

1.1*66 

(26.01). ..(26.08) 

1.162 

1.212 

1.21+5 

1.296 

1.376 

(27-01)... (27. Ok) 

0.992 

1.013 

1.025 

1.075 

1.1*71 

(28.01)... (28. Ok) 

O.969 

0.962 

0.963 

0.983 

1.210 

(29.01)(29.02)(29.03) 

1.037 

1.06U 

1.066 

1.080 

1.173 

(30.00) 

1.113 

1.11*8 

1.175 

1.222 

1.570 

(31.01)(31.02)(31.03) 

1.003 

1.059 

1.080 

1.1*06 

2.125 

(32. 01)... (32. Ok) 

1.059 

1.081 

1.101+ 

1.152 

1.393 

(33.00) 

1.089 

1.117 

1.1*07 

1.591 

1.512 

(3**. 01)  (31*. 02)  (3**. 03) 

1.110 

l.ll+O 

1.221 

1.299 

1.390 

(35.01)(35.02) 

1.209 

1.279 

1.316 

1.359 

1.1*90 

(36. 01)... (36. 22) 

1.128 

1.210 

1.255 

1.301* 

1.1*91 

(37.01)... (37. Oil) 

l.ll+O 

1.225 

1.292 

1.337 

1.695 

(38.01)... ( 38. Ik) 

1.223 

1.158 

1.161 

1,270 

1.683 

(39.01) (39.02) 

1.125 

1.218 

1.290 

1.350 

1.652 

(1*0.01).. .(1+0.09) 

1.117 

1.175 

1.211+ 

1.261 

1.586 

(1+1.01)  (1*1.02) 

1.175 

1.216 

1.2^7 

1.31+7 

1.630 

(1+2.01)...  (1+2.11) 

1.129 

1,181* 

1.226 

1.261+ 

1.1*81* 

(1+3.01)  (1+3.02) 

1.11+8 

1.200 

1.239 

1.271 

1.1*31 

(1*1*. 00) 

1.125 

1.166 

1.211 

1.21*5 

1.1*10 

(U5.0l)(l+5.02)(l+5.03) 

1.161+ 

1.221 

1.267 

1.318 

1.550 

(1+6.01)...  (1+6. 01+) 

1.11+7 

1.195 

1.226 

1.261+ 

1.1*28 

(l+7.0l)...(l+7.0l+) 

1.125 

1.157 

1.177 

1.21*5 

1.1*39 

(1+8.01). ..(1+8. 06) 

1.158 

1.206 

1.236 

1.303 

1.516 

(1+9. 01)...  (1+9. 07) 

1.139 

1.185 

1.215 

1.260 

1.1*71* 

(50.01). ..(50.05) 

1.217 

1.296 

1.337 

1.1*00 

1.611 

(51.01)...  (51.01+) 

1.015 

1.030 

1.038 

1.01*7 

1.067 

(52.01). ..(52.05) 

1.071 

l.llU 

1.12k 

1.132 

1.232 

(53.01). ..(53.08) 

1.085 

l.llU 

1.120 

1.11+7 

1.329 

38 


Table  A-2  (continued) 

PRICE  INDICES  (continued) 
(1967  =  1.00) 

1912             1971  1972  1973  197h 

(5U.01)  ...(5U.  07)                            1.057             1.071  1.075  1081.  1  n 

55-01   (55.02X55.03)                   1.106             1.163  1.182  I  213  J'S, 

56.01)...  (56. 0U)                              1.06!.               1.106  1   120  1  170  Tnftn 

"•°J)(57  -02)(57.03)                   0.983             0.989  Jj^  oloo  !o6 

S:feS  U       i:o93      iail  ill,1  ilil  iii° 

&£:::  :             •       if5i  i-238  j-»  ^ 


(61..  01)...  (61*.  12)  1.08)t 


121  1.155  1.200  1.355 


(fis'ool  l'1J?  ~359  l-389  l-1*22 

6s"o?  1-166  1'356  1"555  i-SSS  2.101 

^5.03;  1.10P  1        1«0  T        AA?  ,        ,r-r.  - 


<(k   no  ■  '    ,5  —"y  L-ia?  l-u22  I.517 

(65-°2)  i-1*  1-356  1.555  1.983  2.101 

1.182  1.203  I.155  1.272 

0.930  0.972  0.961  1.051 


(65  OU)  Af,             1-182  1-203  ^^  1-272 

fs'05  °-967             °'930  °-972  0.961  1.051 

fis"o1  1-15"              1-203  X-266  1-381*  1.W.3 

^•07  1.083  1.173  1.109  1.228  1.275 

67  TO  I"020  1-°62  la°T  X-136  1-lft 

:i-(68-03)  ™  --  -"  -S  i:% 

So'oo  i,°95  la2°  i'163  1-278  1502 

7o'oi          (70  «1  1'197  X-268  l'280  X-327  1-^7 

70'ni  "  l'33b  1'297  i-S*11  1-Wli  I.6U7 

S'Ss  ^-135  X'318  X-381  1'355  i-1*20 

n   01    (71    02)  }'U*  X-221  X-306  i-28?  1-381 

71.01   (71.02)  !.12L.  la6o  1-201                    g 

•      L2  „„  1-138  1.228  1.200  1.271  1.1.13 

73' 01     7, '02  1'152  1>1T8  ^^  X-275  1-358 

?HJ   (  ,"139  X-192  X'221  1-339  1.371. 

7,'oo  '-1!7  ^^  1'353  i-^O  1-552 

76"m  1'lf?  X-238  I-28?  1-307  l.klk 

7fino  ^  la65  1-21Z  l-239  1.381 

77'm    (77  0PW77  ml  la8:!  1,m  1-282  i-336  l-*05 

77.01   (77.02X77.03)  1.229  1.286  1.31.1  1.395  1.520 

77 '  X-2i5  1-277  1.397  1.529  I.698 

(ll'oV)       (78  om  ^f6  i-307  l-3^  1-367  1.U51. 

79'm    '    '   7q'o,  X'^3  Ukl9  :-623  1'377  1.800 

(8l.O0)(82.00)(83.0O)  i:^3  J,*T  1319  138  l^oi 

Construction  Cost   Index  1.277  1.1*69  1.597  I.769  1.955 

Source:      Phillip  Ritz,   US  Dept.    of  Comrrerce,   Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis   and  Several 
Issues   of  Engineering  Nevs  Record 


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Table  A-6 


Major  Products  of  Common  BEA  Sectors 


BEA 
Sector   Source 


** 


9.00 


11.02 


A 


11.03 


B 


B 


11.05 


12.02 


B 


B 


27.01 


27.014 


* 


Major  Products 


##* 


li+22  Crushed  and  Broken  Limestone 
1U29  Crushed  and  Broken  Stone,  n.c.c, 
lU^2  Construction  sand  and  Gravel 


New  Construction 
New  Construction 
New  Construction 
New  Construction 
New  Construction 
New  Construction 


Industrial  Buildings 
Office  Buildings 
Stores,  Restaurants 
Education  Buildings 
Hospital  Buildings 
Other  Non-farm 


New  Construction  Telephone,  Telegraph 
New  Construction  Electric  Utilities 
New  Construction  Gas  Utilities 
New  Construction  Water  Supply 
New  Construction  Sewers 


New  Construction  Farm  Residential 
New  Construction  Earm  Service 
New  Construction  Oil/Gas  Wells 
New  Construction  Military- 
New  Construction  Conservation  &  Development 
New  Construction  Other  Non-building 


Maintenance  Construction  Other  Non-farm 
Maintenance  Construction  Railroads 
Maintenance  Construction  Water  Supply 
Maintenance  Construction  Military- 
Maintenance  Construction  Highways 


28151  Cyclic  Intermediates 

28182  Miscellaneous  Acyclic  Chemicals  and 

Chemical  Products 
28191  Synthetic  Ammonia,  Nitric  Acid  and 

Ammonia  Compounds 
28199  Other  Inorganic  Chemicals  n.e.c. 


28911  Glues,  Adhesives,  and  Sizes 
28921  Explosives  (except  government  owned 
and  contractor-operated  plants) 


28$ 

Q% 

21% 


2k% 
lk% 
105 
2k% 
1% 
\2% 


1% 
h2% 
lk% 
12% 
10$ 


Q% 
2Q% 


29% 
13,o 


k2% 

6% 

6% 

% 

11% 


1% 

30% 

6% 
1% 


12% 


7  of 


1967 
Implied 
Price 


56.10  $/short   toi 
IOI4.OO  $/short  toi 


.20  $/lb. 


Includes  sectors  providing  more  than  1%   of  the  capital  costs  or  more  than  5%   of  the 
non-energy  operating  costs  for  any  of  the  six  energy  facilities  in  Just,  et  al 
New  Energy  Technology  Coefficients  and  Dynamic  Energy  Models. 

See  Code  at  end  of  table. 
t 

A  major  product  is  one  accounting  for  >_  5%   of  the  control  total  for  the  se-tor 

considered  unless  noted.   See  code  for  explanation  of  control  total. 

n.e.c.  =  not  elsewhere  classified 

n.s.k.  =  not  specified  by  kind 


*# 


*** 


55 


BEA 
Sector       Source 


36.01 


36.10 


36.12 


36.17 


36.19 


36.20 


36.21 


Table  A-6    (continued) 


Major  Products 


1967 
Implied 
Price 


2893-  Printing  Ink  9% 

2895-  Carbon  Black  5% 

28993  Essential  Oils,  Fireworks,  and 

Pyrotechnics  and  Chemicals  and  Chemical 
Preparation  3H/o 


32^10  11  Portland  Cement 


9h% 


32710  13  Lightweight  Aggregate  Structural 

Block  5  3% 

32710  16  Heavyweight  Aggregate  Structural 

Block  23$ 

32710  00,02  Concrete  Block  and  Brick  n.s.k.   18% 


.5k   3/lb, 
.07  S/lb. 


.28  $/ib. 


^   */3768i£ 


.20  $ /Block 


32730  11  Ready-mix  Concrete 


100/1 


32922  Asbestos  Friction  Materials  26% 

32926  Vinyl  Asbestos  Floor  Tile  27% 

32927  Asbestos  Textile  and  other  Asbestos  and 
Non-asbestos  Cement  Products  .  38/» 


32950  11  Lightweight  Aggregate  9% 

32950  20  Dead-burned  Magnesia  or  Magnesite   10% 
32950  31  Crushed  Slag  1*$ 


28% 


32961  —  Mineral  Wool  for  Structural  Insula- 
tion 

32961  27  3.0  to  k.k   inches  thick  Building 
Batts ,  Blankets  and  Rolls ; 

32961  33  2.0  to  2.9  inches  thick  Blankets 

(flexible  including  Fabricated  pieces, 
rolls  ,  and  batts : 

32962  31  Plain 

32962  36  Faced  and  Metal  Meshed 
32962  51  Blocks  and  Boards 
32962  6l  Pipe  Insulation 
32962  71  Acoustical  Pads  and  Boards 
32962  98  Other  Mineral  Fibers  for  Industrial 

Equipment ,  and  Appliance  Insulation 
such  as  loose  fiber  (shipped  as  such) 
granulated  fiber  felts,  insulating  and 
finishing  cements,  etc. 


lU.UO  3/cu.yd. 


1.07  $/sq.yd. 


1.78  S/short 


ccf 


32970  15  Magnesite  and  Magnesite-chrome  Brick 

and  Shapes  30 /» 

32970  21  Chrome  and  Chrome-magnesite  Brick 

and  Shapes  °'» 


9% 

.OH 

$/sq.ft 

5% 
s, 

.OH 

$/sq.ft 

18% 

1% 

n% 

.05 

$/bd.ft 

8% 

.31 

S/ln.ft 

8% 

.22 

$/sq.  ft 

96  $/9"  eqi' 
85  $/9"  eajv 


56 


BEA 
Sector 


Source 


Table  A-6  (continued) 


Major  Products 


1967 
Implied 
Price 


32970   35   Carbon  refractories;  brick,  blocks 

and  shapes ,   excluding  those   contain- 
ing natural  graphite                                     lk% 

32970   65   Basic  plastic   refractories   and  ram- 
ming mixes,   wet   and  dry  types                   6$ 

32970   92  Nonclay  gumming  mixes                                     7$ 

1.62   3/9"   equiv. 

113   $/short  ton 
86.30  3/short   ton 

37.01 

c 

33121  pt.    Coke  Oven   and  Blast   Furnace  Products, 
except   Ferroalloys                                                 5$ 

33122  Steel   Ingot    and  Semi-finished  Shapes        11$ 

33123  Tin  Mill  Products ,   Hot-rolled  Sheet   & 
Strip                                                                           20$ 

33121+  Hot-rolled  Bars    and  Barshapes  ;   Plates      19$ 

38.10 

c 

33571 

Aluminum  and  Aluminum-base  Alloy  Wire 

^          and  Cable                                                                     7$ 
33572  Copper  and  Copper-base  Alloy  wire, 

including  Strand  and  Cable,   Bare   and 
Tinned  for  Dectrical  Transmission              10$ 

Ilk    $/short  ton 
1070    $/short  ton 

1+0.01+ 

c 

3I+U1O  Fabricated  Structural  Metal  n.s.k.               9$ 
3I+I+H  Fabricated  Structural  Metal   for 

Buildings                                                                   1+8$ 
31+^12  Fabricated  Structural  Metal   for  Bridgesll$ 
31+1+13  Other  Fabricated  Structural  Metal              19$ 

337   $/short  ton 
363   $/short   ton 
1+38   $/short  ton 

1+0.06 

c 

31+1+31  Heat   Exchangers   and  Steam  Condensers        13$ 

31+1+32  Fabricated  Steel  Plate,    including  Stack 

and  Weldments                                                            20$ 

31+1+33  Steel  Power  Boilers,   Parts   and  At- 
tachments   (over  15  p.s.i.    steam  working 
pressure)                                                                     20$ 

31+1+37  Metal  Tanks,    Complete   at   Factory 

(standard  line,   non-pressure)                          7$ 

31+1+38  Metal   Tanks   and  Vessels,    Custom 

Fabricated  at  the   Factory                                 18$ 

31+1+39  Metal  Tanks   and  Vessels,   Custom  Fabric- 
ated and  Field  Erected                                         7$ 

1+5800  $/unit 
231    $/unit 

273    $/unit 

1+1.01 

c 

31+51-  Screw  Machine  Products                                        36$ 
31+521  Bolts,  Nuts,    and  Other  Standard 

Industrial  Fasteners                                            36$ 
31+533  Special  Industrial  Fasteners                          13$ 
31+523  Headed  Products   Other  than  Industrial 

Fasteners                                                                    6$ 

57 


Table  A-6    (continued) 


1967 


BEA 
Sector   Source 


1+1.02 


1+2.08 


1+3.01 


1+3.02 


1+5.01 


1+5.02 


Major  Products 


3l+6l2  Job  Stampings,  except  Automotive 
3l+6l3  Job  Stamping,  Automotive 
3I+618  Other  Stamped  and  Pressed  Metal  End 
Products 


19% 
58: 


Rot 


6% 


3I+9I+I  Automatic  Regulating  and  Control  Values 
3I+9I+2  Valves   for  Power  Transfer   (pneumatic   an 

hydraulic) 
3I+9I+3  Other  Metal  Valves   for  Piping  Systems 

and  Equipment  (except  plumbing  and 

heating  valves) 
3I+9I+5  Metal  Fittings,   Flages,   and  Union  for 

Piping  Systems 
3I+98O   13  Iron  and  Steel  Fabricated  Pipe  and 

Pipe  Fittings 


9% 


7% 


07* 
d.   1  /0 


15% 


12% 


35111,2  Steam,  Gas  and  Hydraulic  Turbine  and 

Turbine  Generator  Set  Units  and  Parts   80% 


35191  Gasoline  Engines  under  11  h.p.  except 
Aircraft,  Auto,  Truck,  Bus  and  Tank    10% 

35192  Gasoline  Engines  11  h.p.  and  Over, 
except  Aircraft,  Automobile,  Truck,  Bus 
and  Tank 

35193  Diesel  Engines  (except  for  trucks  and 
Buses) 

35195,7  Outboard  Motors  and  Tank  and  Con- 
verted Internal  Combustion  Engines 

35199  Parts  and  Accessories  for  Internal 
Combustion  Engines 


6% 


33% 

11% 

33% 


35313  Parts  and  Attachments  for  Tracklaying- 
type  Tractors,  Contractors,  Contractors 
Off -highway  Wheel  Tractors,  and  Tractor 
Shovel  Leaders 

35311+  Power  Cranes,  Draglines,  Shovels,  and 
Parts 

35317  Tractor  Shovel  Loaders,  Exceluding  Part 
and  Attachments 

35318  Scrapers,  Graders,  Rollers,  and  Off- 
highway  Trucks,  Trailers  and  Wagons 

35319  Other  Construction  Machinery  and  Equip- 
ment, including  Parts 


13% 

15% 

s 

16% 

10% 

12% 


35321  Underground  Mining  and  Mineral  Bene- 
fication Machinery  and  Equipment 

35322  Crushing,  Pulverizing,  and  Screening 
Machinery 


19% 

15% 


Implied 
Price 


308  $/unit 


216  $/short  1 


50  $/unit 


2690  $/unit 


Table  A-6    (continued) 


BEA 


1967 
Imoliei 


Sector 

Source 

Major  Products 

Price 

35323  All  Other  Mining  Machinery  and  Equip- 
ment 

3532U  Parts  and  Attachments  for  Mining 
Machinery  and  Equipment 

35320  Mining  Machinery  n.s.k. 

1Q% 

1% 

1+5.03 

C 

35331  Rotary  Oil  and  Gas  Field  Drilling 
Machinery  and  Equipment 

35332  Other  Oil  and  Gas  Field  Drilling 
Machinery  and  Equipment 

35333  Oil  and  Gas  Field  Production  Machinery 
and  Equipment  (except  pumps) 

3533^  Other  Oil  and  Gas  Field  Machinery  and 
Tools  (except  pumps)  including  Water 
Well 

35330  Oil  Field  Machinery  n.s.k. 

31% 

1% 

39% 

10% 
1% 

H6.02 

C 

35351  Conveyors  and  Conveying  Equipment 
(except  hoists  and  farm  elevators) 

35352  Parts,  Attachments,  and  Accessories 
for  Conveyors  and  Conveying  Systems 

35350  Conveyors  and  Conveying  Equipment  n.s., 

13% 

1Q% 
k.9% 

U6.03 

C 

35361  Hoists 

35362  Overhead  Traveling  Cranes  and  Monorail 
Systems 

35360  Hoists,  Cranes  and  Monorails  n.s.k. 

3&% 

1% 

lk   million$/uni 

U8.06 

C 

35591  Chemical  Manufacturing  Industries 

Machinery  and  Equipment  and  Parts 

35592  Foundry  Machinery,  and  Equipment, 
excluding  patterns  and  molds 

35593  Plastics-working  Machinery  and  Equip- 
ment excluding  patterns  and  molds 

3559^  Rubber-working  Machinery  and  Equipment 
excluding  the  molds 

11% 

9% 

15% 

I/O 

201*00  $/unit 

35595  Other  Special  Industry  Machinery  and 

Equipment 
35590  Special  Industry  Machinery  n.s.k. 

M% 

6% 

U9.OI 

C 

35611  Industrial  Pumps,  except  Hydraulic 
Fluid  Power  Pumps 

35612  Hydraulic  Fluid  Power  Pumps  and  Motors 
and  Vacuum  Pumps 

35613  Domestic  Water  Systems  and  Pumps,  In- 
cluding Pump  Jackets  and  Cylinders 

26% 

Q% 

91000  $/unit 

59 


Table  A-6    (continued) 


BEA 
Sector        Source 


^9-03 


U9.05 


i+9.06 


^9- 07 


51.01 


52.05 


53.02 


Major  Products 


1967 
Implied 
Price 


3561^  Air  and  Gas  Compressors,  except 
Refrigerator  Compressor 

35615  Pumps  and  Compressors  n.e.c.  except 
Refrigerator  Compressor 

35616  Parts  and  Attachments  for  Pumps  and 
Compressors,  n.s.k. 


29?* 


12% 


22% 


356U1  Industrial  Fans  and  Blowers 
356U2  Dust  Collection,  Air  Purification 
Equipment  and  Air  Washers 


59% 
31% 


35661  Plain  Bearing  9% 

35662  Speed  Changers ,  Industrial  High  Speed 
Drivers  ,  and  Gears  39/* 

35663  Other  Mechanical  Power  Transmission 
Equipment  ^7/* 


851000  $/unit 


35671  Electric  Industrial  Furnaces  and  Ovens, 
Metal  Processing  22% 

35672  Fuel-fired  Industrial  Furnaces  and 
Ovens,  Metal  Processing  37% 

35673  High  Frequency  Induction  and  Dielectric 
Heating  Equipment  and  Parts,  Attachments 
and  Components 


36% 


No  Subclassifications 


35731  Electronic  Computing  Equipment,  except 

Parts  and  Attachments  67/« 

35733  Parts  and  Attachments  for  Electronic 

Computing  Equipment 
3571+1  Calculating  and  Accounting  Machines, 

including  cash  registers,  except  parts 

and  attachments 


19  & 


10% 


35891  Commercial  Cooking  and  Food  Warming 
Equipment  29/* 

35892  Service  Industry  Machinery  and  Parts   57% 
35890  Service  Industry  Machines  n.e.c,  n.s.k  9% 


36121  Natural-draft  Type  Transformers 
(specialty  transformers) 

36122  Power  and  Distribution  Transformers, 
except  Parts 

36123  Power  Regulators,  Boosters,  Reactors, 
Other  Transformers,  and  Transformer 
Parts . 


18% 
70% 

11% 


22  $/unit 


3.06  $/unit 
Ul+7  $/unit 


60 


Table  A- 6  (continued) 


BEA 
Sector   Source 


Major  Products 


1967 

Implied 
Pr-1*  ce 


53.03 

c 

36131  Switchgear,  except  Ducts  and  Relays    29$ 

36132  Power  Circuit  Breakers,  All  Voltage    13$ 

36133  Low  Voltage  Panelboards  and  Distribution 
Boards  and  Other  Switching  the  Inter- 
rupting Devices,  750  Volts  and  Under   2k% 

36135  Molded  Circuit  Breakers ,  750  Volts  and 

Under                              11$ 
36137  Relays,  Control  Circuit               12$ 

53,01+ 

c 

36211  Fractional  Horsepower  Motors           36$ 

36212  Integral  Horsepower  Motors  and 
Generators  (except  for  land  xpo  equip- 
ment                               25$ 

36213  Land  xpo  Motors ,  Generators ,  and 
Control  Equipment  and  Parts            6$ 

3621^  Prime  Mover  Generator  Sets  ,  except 

Steam  or  Hydraulic  Turbine            10$ 

36215  Motor-Generator  Sets  and  Other 
Rotating  Equipment                   15$ 

36216  Parts  and  Supplies  for  Motors ,  Generator 
Generators,  Motor  Generator  Sets  except 
for  Land  Transportation  Equipment       7$ 

6600  $/unit 
209  $/unit 

1590  $/unit 
3280  $/ur.it 

53.05 

No  Subclassifications                100$ 

53.06 

c 

36231  Arc  Welding  Machines  Components ,  and  Ac- 
cessories ,  except  Electrodes           32$ 

36232  Arc  Welding  Electrodes,  Metal          38$ 

36233  Resistance  Welders,  Components,  Ac- 
cessories and  Electrodes              20$ 

36230  Welding  Apparatus  n.s.k.               9$ 

338  $/unit 
.22  $/Ib. 

55.03 

c 

36U30  Current  Cariying  Wiring  Devices,  In- 
cluding Lightning  Rods                59$ 
36HUl  Pole  Line  and  Transmission  Hardware    10$ 
36UU2  Electrical  Conduit  and  Conduit  Fitting  23$ 
36UU3  Other  Non  Current  Carrying  Wiring  Devices 
and  Supplies                          7$ 

.20  $/lt. 

62.02 

c 

38211  Aircraft  Engine  Instruments  Except 
Flight                               9$ 

38212  Integrating  Meters,  Nonelectric  Type   lh% 

38213  Industrial  Process  Instruments         55$ 
3821U  Motor  Vehicle  Instruments  except 

Electric                            5$ 
38216  Other  Mechanical  Measuring  and  Control- 
ling Instruments                     lU$ 

55  $/unit 
1600  $/unit 

ol 


BEA 
Sector   Source 


Table  A- 6  (continued) 


Major  Products 


1967 


65.01 

H 

Railway  Express                            3% 
Electric  Railways                          .2% 
Pullman  Companies                          .3% 
Class  I  Passenger  Service                   5% 
Other  Class  I  Non- Freight  Service  (Baggage, 
Main,  Switching,  Express,  etc,               5% 

Incidental  Operating  Revenue                 2% 
(Dining,  Hotel,  Rents,  Power,  Storage,  Misc) 
Freight  Service                           83% 

68.03 

No  Subclassification                     100$ 

69.01 

D 

Motor  Vehicles ,  Automotive  Equipment          7% 
Groceries  and  Related  Products              20/5 
Farm  Products,  Raw  Materials                8% 
Electrical  Goods                           7% 
Machinery,  Equipment,  Supplies              12% 
Metals,  Minerals  (except  petroleum  products, 
scrap)                                   6% 
Beer,  Wine  Distilled  Alchoholic  Beverages     5% 
Lumber,  Construction  Materials               5% 

69.02 

E 

Groceries  and  Other  Foods                   20% 
Meals  and  Snacks                           6% 
Cosmetics ,  Drugs ,  Cleaners                  h% 
Men's,  Boy's  Clothing  Excluding  Footware      3% 
Women's,  Girl's  Clothing  Excluding  Footware   6% 
Major  Appliances,  Radio,  TV,  Musical  Instru- 
ment                                     3% 
Furniture,  Sleep  Equipment,  Floor  Coverings   3% 
Lumber,  Building  Material                   k% 
Automobiles  and  Trucks                     lk% 
Auto  Fuels  and  Lubricants                   6% 

; 

Auto  Tires,  Batteries,  and  Accessories        3% 
All  Other  Merchandise                      k% 

1 

Nonmerchandise  Receipts                     k% 

70.  0U 

No  Subclassification                     100/5 

71.  02 

No  Subclassification                     100% 

73.01 

G 

73^+-  Services  to  Dwellings  and  Other  Buildings 

(window  cleaning,  pest  control,  etc.)    10% 

7391  Commercial  R&D  Laboratories             8% 

7392  Business  and  Consulting  Services        21% 
739^-  Leasing,  Rental  of  Heavy  Construction 

and  all  other  equipment                10% 
7399  Other  Business  Services  n.e.c.          lk% 

62 


Table  A- 6    (continued) 


BEA 


1967 
ImDlied 


Sector 

Source 

Major  Products 

Prices 

73.02 

G 

7311  Advertising  Agencies 

93$ 

73.03 

No  Subclassification 

100$ 

75-00 

G 

751  Car,  Truck  Rental  Leasing,  Without 
Drivers 

752  Automobile  Parking 

7531  Top  and  Body  Repair  Shops 

753^  Tire  Retreading  and  Repair  Shops 

29% 

Ho 

12% 

6% 

7539  Automobile  Repair  Shops,  n.e.c. 
75^  Automobile  Services ,  except  repair 

10% 
5% 

f3 


Table  A- 6  (continued) 


CODE 


A  Census  of  Mineral  Industries ,  reports  for  SIC  sectors  comprising  3EA 
sector.  Table  5  or  6  depending  on  aggregation  level.  Control  table 
is 

B  Internal  C.A.C.  documentation.   Control  total  is  gross  domestic 
output . 

C  Census  of  Manufacturers,  reports  for  SIC  sectors  comprising  BEA 
sector,  Table  5B  or  6A  depending  on  aggregation.   Control  total  is 
value  of  shipments. 

D  Census  of  Business,  Vol.  3  Table  D:   Sales  of  Merchant  Wholesalers, 
by  kind  of  business. 

E  Census  of  Business,  Vol.  1,  Table  1:   Sales  of  specified  Merchandise 
Lines.   NOTE:  Major  products  here  are  defined  as  any  line  representing 
j^  3%   of  total  sales. 

G  Census  of  Business,  Vol.  5,  part  1.   Table  2:   Receipt  of  All  Establishments 
is  control  total. 

F  Total  Insurance  Written  in  196?  is  control  total  from  Best's  Insurance 
Reports  -  Life /Health  1975  p.  vii  and  "Best's  Insurance  News,"  Property- 
Liability  Edition,  Vol.  69,  No.  6,  p.  38.   Percentage  breakdowns  are 
made  directly  for  property-liability  from  the  latter  reference  and  are 
based  on  "sales"  for  life  from  "Best's  Insurance  News,"  Life  Ed., 
Vol.  68,  No.  2,  p. 2. 

H  Based  on  1966  statistics  from  the  Interstate  Commerce  Commission.   Control 
total  is  total  operating  revenue  for  the  entire  railroad  system  ($11,  163, 
1+22,  895  from  Table  109,  Transport  Statistics  1966.  )  Major  Products 
listed  is  a  subjective  list  of  identifiable  classes  of  real  service  from 
various  tables  in  Transport  Statistics,  1966,  Part  1. 


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66 


Appendix  B 

BIBLIOGRAPHY 

Theory  of  Input-Output  Analysis 

Leontief ,  Wassily,  The  Structure  of  American  Economy ,    1919-1939 ,    Oxford 
University  Press,  19^+L 

,  Studies  in  the  Structure  of  the  American  Economy,    1953. 

,  Input-Output  Economics ,    Oxford  University  Press,  1966. 


9    "Environmental  Repercussions  and  the -Economic  Structure:  An  Input- 
Output  Approach."  Review  of  Economics  and  Statistics,    52:3:262-71,  1970. 

"Input-Output  Analysis,"  a  collection  of  articles  from  Scientific  American,  1970 

Miernyk,  W.  H. ,  The  Elements  of  Input-Output  Economics,    Random  House,  1965. 

Input-Output  Data  Sources  and  Refersnce  Works 

1967  Census  of  Mineral  Industries,    U.S.  Department  of  Commerce,  Bureau  of  the 
Census,  1970. 

,  1967  Census  of  Manufacturers. 


-,  1967  Census  of  Construction  Industries 

-,  1967  Census  of  Agriculture 

-,  1967  Census  of  Transportation 

-,  1967  Census  of  Business 

-,  1967  Census  of  Foreign  Trade 


Edison  Electric  Institution,  New  York,  NY,  Statistical  Yearbook  of  the 
Electric  Utility  Industry,    (annual). 

"Fuel  and  Electric  Energy  Consumed  in  Manufacturing  Industries,  1962,"  U.S. 
Bureau  of  Census,  report  NC63(l)-7- 

American  Petroleum  Institute,  Petroleum  Facts  and  Figures,   New  York 

"Consumption  of  Refined  Petroleum  Products  in  1963  Input-Output  Industries," 
JACKFAU-71-73(1) ,  October,  1971.   Jack  Faucett  Association,  Silver  Springs,  MD. 
This  report  is  only  disaggregated  to  80  sectors,  but  360  sector  worksheets  are 
available  from  Jack  Faucett  Associates. 

Office  of  Statistical  Standards,  Bureau  of  the  Budget,  Standard  Industrial 
Classification  Manual,    U.S.  Government  Printing  Office,  1967. 

Definitions  and  Conventions  of  the   1967  Input-Output  Study,    Bureau  of  Economic 
Analysis,  197*+ • 


67 


Simpson,  David  and  David  Smith,  "Direct  Energy  Use  in  the  U.S.  Economy,  196?," 
CAC  Technical  Memo.  39,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois, 
Urbana,  6l801,  January  1975* 

Bullard,  C.  W. ,  "Sector  Outputs  and  Intralndustry  Transactions:   Definition  of 
System  Boundaries,"  CAC  Technical  Memo.  UO,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation, 
University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801,  November  197*+. 

Input -Output  Models 

U.S.  Department  of  Commerce,  Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis,  Input-Output  Struc- 
ture of  the  U.S.    Economy:      1967 s    Vol.  1-3,  (also  available  on  magnetic  tape  from 
BEA)  (197*0.   Available  from  U.S.  Government  Printing  Office.   BEA  has  several 
amplifying  articles:   "Input-Output  Structure  of  the  U.S.  Economy:   1963," 
Survey  of  Current  Business ,   November  1969;  "Personal  Consumption  Expenditures 
in  the  1963  Input-Output  Study,"  SCB.      January,  1971;  "Interindustry  Trans- 
actions in  New  Structures  and  Equipment,  1963,  5CB,  August  1971.   "Definitions 
and  Conventions  of  the  1967  Input-Output  Study,"  April  1972  (available  on  re- 
quest from  BEA) 

W.  Leontief,  "Environmental  Repercussions  and  the  Economic  Structure:   An  In- 
put-Output Approach,"  Review  of  Economics  and  Statistics 3    52,  No.  3,  363-71 
(1970). 

Herendeen,  R.  A.,  "An  Energy  Input-Output  Matrix  for  the  United  States,  1963: 
User's  Guide,"  CAC  Document  No.  69,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation, 
University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801,  March  1973. 

Bullard,  C.  W.  and  Robert  Herendeen,  "Energy  Cost  of  Consumer  Goods  1963/67," 
CAC  Document  No.  lUo ,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois, 
Urbana,  618OI,  November  197*+.  Energy  Policy ,  3:H,  December  1975- 

Folk,  Hugh  and  Bruce  Hannon,  "An  Energy,  Pollution  and  Employment  Policy  Model," 
CAC  Document  No.  68,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois, 
Urbana,  618OI,  February  1973.  Energy:     Demand,    Conservation  and  Institutional 
Problems,    MACKRAKIS,  M.S.,  editor,  M.I.T.  Press  197*+,  Chapter  13. 

Bullard,  C.W. ,  "An  Input-Output  Model  for  Energy  Demand  Analysis,  CAC  Document 
No.  lU6,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l301, 
December  197*+. 

Bullard,  C.  W.  and  Robert  Herendeen,  "Energy  Impact  of  Consumption  Decisions." 
Proc.    IEEE   63:3:  U8U-i+93,  revised  March  1973. 

Input-Output  Models:  Error  Analysis 

Problems  of  Input-Output  Tables  and  Analyses.      Studies  in  methods  series  F, 
No.  Ik.      United  Nations,  New  York. 

Kirkpatrick,  Ken,  "Independent  Verification  of  Input-Output  Results,  CAC 
Technical  Memo.  26,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois, 
Urbana,  618OI,  August  197*+. 

68 


^'^f  ^   Anthony  Sebald,  "Effects  of  Parametric  Uncertainty  and  Te~h 
nological  Change  In  Input-Output  Models,"  CAC  Document  156,  Center  tor  Mva^ced 
Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  6l801,  March  1975.        Advanced 

o?1^^'  J1^  !*  and  Annh°ny  V'  Sebald>  "A  Model  for  Analyzing  Energy  Impact 

£^^^^>:,  r^ir  of  the  l9T5  *- *  w-  ~- 

P^rd'  C\W;  and  David  A-  Pllati>  "Reducing  Uncertainty  in  Energy  Analysis  " 
"blnt^^         **  "™d  °—  ^iversity^f  ZlSois , 

Bullard,  C.  W. ,  Donna  L.  Amado,  Dan  L.  Putnam,  Anthony  V.  Sebald  "stochastic 
Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  61801,  September 

£_£.  r™L'  "Errf  „Tolerances  °n  En^sy  Model  Results  ,"  CAC  Technical  Memo  75 
Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  61801,  June  1976. 

196?"*^  *_"•'  "f«eCt  °LInClUding  CaP"al  Flows  o"  Energy  Ceofficients , 
1963,  CAC  Technical  Memo.  32,  Center  for  Advanced  Computation,  University  of 
Illinois,  Urbana,  61801,  August  197ft.  '  '  G1 

Putnam,  Dan,  Ralph  Richard,  and  Clark  Bullard,  "Energy  Labor  and  Canital  [M.t- 
the  Energy  Employment  Model,"  CAC  Technical  Memo.  36  Center  for  Advanced  ^   +  _° 
University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  618OI,  January  1975.  Advanced  Computation, 

oc"^sj  WV-75,    Battelle  Memorial  Institute,  1971. 

Empirical  Tests  of  Input-Output  Forecasts:     Review  and  Critique,   Bureau  of 
Economic  Analysis,  197*+.  H     * 

f±T^k R°Se^  "Anal^S  °f  ChanSes  in  U'S-  Input-Output  Final  Demand  Coef- 
licients,   Bureau  of  Economic  Analysis,  1973. 

Applications  of  1-0  Analysis  and  Process  Analysis 

^heestatP;^  \   f  ^ "APPlica^ons  °?   Imput/Output  Analysis."  Also  Carter, 

The  State  of  the  Arts  in  Projecting  Input-Output  Structures,"  Institute  of 
Management  Sciences,  1967.  x 

of  Mr'  ^i°ny/»d+ROt!r?  Herendee">  "The  D°H*r,  Energy  and  Employment  Impacts 
nf i  VBalL  d  Autonotlle  Passenger  Transportation,"  CAC  Document  No.  06 
MTUer  ™_  fvance*  Computation,  University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  61801,  Se.tember 

in!  rJ  /3l  C°nsemat™»   *"P«».  (Robert  H.  Williams,  ed.  ,  Ballinger  4lT-h- 

ing  Company,  Cambridge,  MA,  1975,  Chapter  3.)  --udj.i_.i- 

Certafn6^  R'  A"  TtA-   Vm  Setald'  "The  D°llar''  Ener^  and  Employment  Impacts  of 

Sfv   i   TnvP™S'  CAC  D?Crent  No-  97-  Center  for  Advanced  Commutation 
University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  61801,  April  197,.  " 


69 


"Energy  Use  Patterns  in  Metallurgical  and  Nonmetallic  Mineral  Processing,"  Report 
to  U.S.  Bureau  of  Mines,  Battelle/Columbus  Laboratories,  1975. 

Teasley,  Larry  I.  ,  "Energy  Implications  of  Polymer  Production  and  Us-.,"  Washing- 
ton University,  St.  Louis,  197^. 

Pilati,  David  A.  and  Ralph  Richard,  "Total  Energy  Requirements  for  Nine  Elec- 
tricity-Generating Systems,"  CAC  Document  No.  165,  Center  for  Advanced  Computa- 
tion, University  of  Illinois,  Urbana,  618OI,  August  1975.  Energy,  Vol.  2  No.  1, 
pp.  1-7,  1977. 

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