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BEBR 

FACULTY  WORKING 
PAPER  NO.  90-1630 


One  More  Time:  A  Look  at  the  Factors 
Influencing  Firm  Performance 


Irene  M.  Duhaime 
J.L.  Stimpert 


mutu 

m  2  4  m 


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College  of  Commerce  and  Business  Administration 
Bureau  of  Economic  and  Business  Research 
University  of  Illinois  Urbana-Champaign 


BEBR 


FACULTY  WORKING  PAPER  NO.  90-1630 

College  of  Commerce  and  Business  Administration 

University  of  Illinois  at  Urbana- Champaign 

February  1990 


One  More  Time: 
A  Look  at  the  Factors  Influencing  Firm  Performance 


Irene  M.  Duhaime* 
J.L.  Stimpert* 

Department  of  Business  Administration 


"Department  of  Business  Administration,  University  of  Illinois,  350  Commerce 
West,  1206  South  Sixth  Street,  Champaign,  IL   61820.   Irene  Duhaime:  (217) 
333-9344;  J.L.  Stimpert:   (217)  333-4240. 


ONE  MORE  TIME: 
A  LOOK  AT  THE  FACTORS  INFLUENCING  FIRM  PERFORMANCE 

ABSTRACT 

Several  recent  studies  examine  the  factors  influencing  firm  performance. 
Schmalensee  (1985)  concludes  that  performance  is  largely  the  result  of  industry 
effects — that  some  industries  are  more  profitable  than  others,  and  so  the  choice 
of  industry  in  which  to  participate  is  a  crucial  management  task.  A  study  by 
Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery  (1988)  concludes  that  performance  is  also  influenced 
by  the  extent  of  diversification,  with  narrowly  diversified  firms  enjoying  higher 
performance  than  widely  diversified  firms.  Hansen  and  Wernerfelt  (1989)  conclude 
that  both  economic  and  organizational  factors  influence  performance. 

This  study  makes  a  further  contribution  to  unraveling  the  performance 
puzzle.  We  introduce  an  important  new  variable,  comparative  gross  margin  as  a 
proxy  for  management  skill;  use  more  recent  data  and  alternative  measures;  and 
reach  conclusions  that  differ  from  previous  studies.  Based  on  our  results,  we 
propose  that  relatively  few  new  insights  will  come  from  additional  studies 
examining  the  relationship  between  diversification  strategy  and  performance. 
Rather,  new  strategic  management  research  might  focus  on  how  management  skill 
moderates  relationships  among  industry  membership,  diversification  strategy,  and 
performance. 


A  large  body  of  industrial  organization  research  suggests  that  performance 
is  largely  the  result  of  industry  effects — that  some  industries  are  more 
profitable  than  others,  and  so  the  choice  of  industry  in  which  to  participate 
is  a  crucial  management  task.  Strategic  management  rejects  this  narrow  view, 
arguing  that  firm  effects — strategies  selected  and  implemented  at  the  firm  and 
business  levels — will  also  influence  firm  performance.  Until  fairly  recently, 
the  term  "strategies"  often  referred  to  the  diversification  strategies  pursued 
by  firms,  and  strategic  management  researchers  have  given  considerable  attention 
to  the  relationship  between  diversification  strategy  and  performance.  In  fact, 
a  survey  of  the  strategic  management  literature  would  suggest  that  a  firm's 
choice  of  diversification  strategy  is  not  only  a  key  strategic  decision,  but  also 
a  principal  source  of  competitive  advantage. 

A  newer  stream  of  strategic  management  research,  however,  is  challenging 
both  of  these  perspectives.  These  researchers  are  examining  a  variety  of  firm- 
specific  strategic  factors,  including  firm-specific  knowledge,  business  segment 
strategies,  and  the  structural  relationship  between  corporate  and  business 
segment  strategies.  This  stream  of  literature  points  to  management  skill  as  a 
key  strategic  variable,  but  work  on  management  skill  as  a  strategic  variable  has 
not  been  well  linked  to  other  research  predicting  firm  performance. 

This  paper  provides  evidence  on  the  interactive  relationships  among 
industry  context,  diversification  strategy,  management  skill,  and  firm 
performance,  and  suggests  that  management  skill  plays  an  important  role  in 
influencing  firm  performance. 


A  REVIEW  OF  THE  VARIOUS  PERSPECTIVES  ON  PERFORMANCE 

The  Influence  of  Industry  Membership  on  Performance 

Long  before  strategic  management  researchers  began  exploring  the  topic  of 
diversification,  economists  maintained  that  the  structural  characteristics  of 
an  industry  would  influence  the  profitability  of  firms  in  that  industry.  While 
economists  have  been  interested  in  the  topic  of  diversification,  their  focus  has 
been  on  the  possibility  that  firms  would  use  the  profits  generated  in  one 
industry  to  subsidize  entry  and  expansion,  and  that  continued  expansion  would 
lead  ultimately  to  increased  concentration  in  another  industry.  By  raising  the 
level  of  concentration  in  an  industry,  diversification  might  enable  firms  to 
increase  the  profitability  of  that  industry  (Scherer,  1980).  A  study  by  Rhoades 
(1973),  for  example,  examined  the  relationship  between  diversification  and 
performance  in  241  manufacturing  industries  and  concluded  that  diversification 
is  associated  with  wider  price-cost  margins. 

One  of  the  key  assumptions  of  industrial  organization  research,  however, 
is  that  firms  don't  matter  much — that  differences  in  profitability  across  firms 
can  be  largely  explained  by  industry  membership  and  that  industry  performance 
could  be  explained  by  barriers  to  entry  and  other  structural  characteristics. 
Empirical  work  by  economists  appears  to  support  this  view  (see  for  example  Bain, 
1951,  1956). 

Perhaps  the  clearest  expression  of  this  view  is  in  a  recent  article  by 
Schmalensee  (1985).  This  research  assesses  the  relative  influence  of  industry, 
firm,  and  market  share  effects  on  profitability.  Using  cross-sectional  data  from 
the  1975  Federal  Trade  Commission  Line  of  Business  database,  Schmalensee 
concludes  that  1)  firm  effects  do  not  exist,  2)  industry  effects  exist  and  are 


important,  3)  market  share  effects  exist  but  have  a  negligible  influence  on 

performance,  and  4)  industry  and  market  share  effects  are  negatively  correlated 

(1985:349). 

The  strategic  implication  of  Schmalensee ' s  research  is  straightforward — 

firm  performance  is  a  function  of  the  ability  to  acquire  business  units  in 

profitable  industries.   Schmalensee  argues  that  Mueller's  (1983)  findings  of 

persistent  firm-level  profitability  "are  traceable  to  persistent  differences  at 

the  business  unit  or  industry  level,  combined  with  relatively  stable  patterns 

of  activity  at  the  firm  level"  (1985:349).   Schmalensee  also  concedes,  however, 

that 

it  is  important  to  recognize  that  80  percent  of  the  variance  in 
business  unit  profitability  is  unrelated  to  industry  or  share 
effects.  While  industry  differences  matter,  they  are  clearly  not 
all  that  matters  (1985:350). 

Diversification  Strategy  and  Performance 

A  principal  objective  of  strategic  management  research  is  to  understand 
how  firms  achieve  competitive  advantage  over  rivals  in  order  to  enjoy  superior 
economic  performance.  The  field  assumes  that  more  is  involved  than  simply 
selecting  individual  industries  or  markets  in  which  to  compete.  Instead, 
strategic  management  researchers  argue  that  the  configuration  of  individual 
businesses  into  a  corporate  portfolio — a  firm's  diversification  strategy — can 
be  a  source  of  competitive  advantage.  As  a  result,  strategic  management 
researchers  have  shown  a  considerable  interest  in  diversification,  focusing 
specifically  on  the  relationship  between  diversification  strategy  and 
performance. 


Rumelt'a  Strategy.  Structure  and  Economic  Performance  (1974)  provided  a 
basis  and  catalyst  for  this  study  of  diversification.  Building  on  the  work  of 
Wrigley  (1970),  Rumelt  developed  a  diversification  taxonomy  based  on 
relatedness,  and  nearly  all  subsequent  research  has  defined  diversification 
strategy  in  terms  of  relatedness.  Rumelt  concluded  that  firms  pursuing  related 
diversification  strategies  enjoyed  higher  levels  of  performance  than  firms 
pursuing  unrelated  diversification  strategies. 

Rumelt 's  original  study  was  later  replicated  by  Christensen  and  Montgomery 
(1981)  and  Bettis  (1981).  Both  of  these  studies  concur  with  Rumelt' s  conclusion 
that  firms  pursuing  related  diversification  strategies  outperform  firms  pursuing 
unrelated  diversification  strategies.  In  addition,  Christensen  and  Montgomery 
examine  the  intervening  influence  of  market  structure  variables  on  the 
relationship  between  diversification  strategy  and  performance.  Specifically, 
Christensen  and  Montgomery  suggest  that  firm  size  and  market  share  and  industry 
concentration,  growth  rate,  and  profitability  are  also  important  influences  on 
performance.  They  also  suggest  that  firms  located  in  markets  which  constrain 
growth  or  profitability  are  the  most  likely  candidates  to  pursue  unrelated 
diversification  strategies. 

Bettis  similarly  examines  the  intervening  influence  of  various  strategic 
decision  variables  including  expenditures  on  advertising  and  research  and 
development,  as  well  as  capital  intensity.  He  finds  that  these  factors  also 
influence  the  higher  levels  of  performance  enjoyed  by  firms  pursuing  related 
strategies. 

The  results  of  these  studies  are  in  general  agreement  with  many  of  the 
early  studies  in  the  finance  literature  which  found  few  advantages  for  widely 
unrelated  diversification  (Gahlon  &   Stover,  1979;  Mason  &  Goudzwaard,  1976;  and 


Melicher  &  Rush,  1973).  Many  of  these  studies  find  that  not  only  does  unrelated 
diversification  fail  to  improve  returns,  but  also  that  diversifying  firms  do  not 
achieve  any  significant  risk  reduction. 

The  literature,  however,  shows  little  consistency  or  consensus.  While  the 
studies  just  cited  suggest  that  firms  pursuing  related  diversification 
strategies  may  enjoy  advantages  over  firms  pursuing  unrelated  strategies,  other 
studies  (Bettis  &  Hall,  1982;  Lubatkin,  1987;  Michel  &  Shaked,  1974;  and  Weston, 
Smith,  Si  Shrieves,  1972)  have  reached  the  opposite  conclusion — that  unrelated 
strategies  can  be  more  (or  certainly  no  less)  advantageous  than  related 
strategies.  In  short,  the  diversification  literature  suggests  that  in  spite  of 
extensive  research,  an  understanding  of  diversification  remains  elusive;  the 
nearly  two  decades  of  research  have  produced  few  definitive  conclusions,  and  the 
findings  of  these  studies  are  often  contradictory. 

One  issue  which  has  emerged  from  the  diversification  literature  is  the 
question  of  the  relative  importance  of  diversification  strategy  versus  the 
choice  of  industry  membership.  The  Christensen  and  Montgomery  and  the  Bettis 
and  Hall  studies  noted  above  suggest  that  much  of  the  high  performance  of  firms 
pursuing  related  diversification  strategies  could  be  attributed  to  industry 
effects.  Specifically,  Bettis  and  Hall  argue  that  the  high  returns  of  the 
pharmaceutical  firms  in  Rumelt's  sample  which  were  pursuing  predominantly 
related  strategies  may  have  been  responsible  for  his  findings.  Rumelt  (1982) 
later  replicated  his  original  study  and  conceded  that  industry  effects  were 
significant.  He  concluded,  however,  that  performance  differences  across 
categories  persisted  even  after  controlling  for  industry  effects. 

Similarly,  Grant,  Jammine,  and  Thomas  also  find  a  significant  relationship 
between  diversification  strategy  and  performance.   They  note,  however,  that  the 


importance  of  this  relationship  must  be  tempered  by  the  fact  that  the 
diversification  variables  in  their  study  accounted  for  only  "a  small  proportion 
of  interfirm  differences  in  profitability.  Industry  membership  accounted  for 
a  larger  proportion"  (1988:795). 

Management  Skill  As  an  Important  Influence  on  Firm  Performance 

Prahalad  and  Bettis  (1986)  suggest  that  existing  studies  offer  only 
partial  answers  to  understanding  the  relationship  between  diversification 
strategy  and  performance.  They  suggest  that  we  need  to  view  management  of  the 
large,  diversified  firm  as  a  task  which  requires  knowledge  not  only  of  each 
individual  business  in  which  the  firm  operates,  but  also  of  the  particular 
requirements  of  managing  a  portfolio  of  businesses  in  a  large,  diversified  firm. 
More  specifically,  they  propose  that  the  relationship  between  diversification 
strategy  and  performance  will  be  influenced  by  the  "dominant  logic"  of  firms' 
managers.  This  dominant  logic  is  the  shared  understanding  of  the  processes 
needed  to  manage  large  diversified  firms.  According  to  this  view,  more  complex 
firms  and  unrelated  diversification  strategies  require  a  broader  dominant  logic 
to  ensure  high  performance. 

Kazanjian  and  Drazin  (1987)  similarly  describe  how  successful 
diversification  requires  a  process  of  organizational  learning.  Through 
diversification,  firms  enter  new  domains,  and  to  be  successful,  managers  must 
acquire  new  knowledge.  Other  related  research  suggests  that  business  unit 
strategies  require  appropriate  administrative  relationships  between  the  business 
unit  and  the  corporate  central  office  if  performance  is  to  be  enhanced  (Gupta, 
1987;  Govindarajan,  1988).  Taking  a  different  perspective,  Hill  and  Hoskisson 
(1987)   also  examine  the  relationship  between  strategy  and  structure,   and 

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Hoskisson  (1987)  concludes  that  firms  pursuing  market  and  product 
diversification  strategies  enjoy  higher  performance  when  organized  along  a 
multidivisional  organizational  structure. 

Still  other  approaches  have  examined  firm-specific  knowledge  and  skills 
which  might  be  responsible  for  high  performance.  For  example,  Lippman  and 
Rumelt  (1982)  and  Rumelt  (1984)  offer  a  theory  of  "uncertain  imitability"  in 
which  firms  develop  new  production  functions  resulting  in  "firm  heterogeneity 
as  an  outcome  rather  than  as  a  given"  (Rumelt,  1984:562).  According  to  this 
model,  unexpected  events  occur  which  are  the  source  of  potential  rents.  These 
can  include  changes  in  technology,  relative  prices,  consumer  tastes,  and  laws 
and  regulations.  The  managers  of  successful  firms  are  able  to  exploit  these 
changes,  but  do  so  in  a  way  that  leads  to  "causal  ambiguity."  As  a  result, 
managers  of  competing  firms  in  the  same  industries  are  uncertain  as  to  how  to 
imitate  the  actions  of  these  successful  firms.  Levels  of  performance  can 
therefore  vary  widely  within  the  same  industry. 

Rumelt *s  research  supports  this  view.  After  analyzing  the  rates  of  return 
on  capital  of  1,292  U.S.  corporations  over  a  20  year  period,  he  finds  that  "the 
variance  in  long-run  profitability  within  industries  is  three  to  five  times 
larger  than  the  variance  across  industries"  (1987:141). 

Porter  (1980,  1985)  examines  how  firms  and  business  segments  can  exploit 
aspects  of  industry  structure  or  the  value  chain  to  achieve  competitive 
advantage,  and  suggests  that  firms  and  business  segments  must  pursue  one  of 
three  generic  strategies — cost  leadership,  differentiation,  or  focus.  Porter's 
cost  leadership  strategy  bears  a  remarkable  similarity  to  the  least  cost 
production  techniques  which  characterized  the  so-called  American  System  of 


Manufactures.  A  more  recent  analysis  suggests  that  problems  of  competitiveness 
and  the  poor  performance  of  many  firms  can  be  traced  to  an  abandonment  of  these 
least  cost  production  techniques  (Melman,  1983). 

This  underscores  an  important  point — that  we  really  know  very  little  about 
how  high  performing  firms  develop  and  implement  strategies  which  lead  to 
competitive  advantage.  Yet,  this  would  seem  to  be  a  very  important  influence 
on  the  level  of  firm  performance.  This  paper  proposes  that  this  newer,  diverse 
stream  of  strategic  management  literature  points  to  management  skill  as  a  key 
strategic  variable,  likely  to  be  an  important  influence  on  firm  performance. 
We  will  argue  that  management  skill  is  the  reason  why  some  firms  consistently 
enjoy  levels  of  performance  above  industry  averages.  While  this  view  is  hardly 
new  as  a  theme  in  business  policy  and  strategy,  it  has  not  been  adequately 
operationalized  in  quantitative  research,  and  it  has  not  been  well  linked  to  the 
research  stream  explicitly  concerned  with  performance. 

TOWARD  AN  INTEGRATION  OF  THESE  PERSPECTIVES 

This  review  has  sought  to  describe  the  major  themes  of  three  literatures. 
Yet  each  seems  to  have  its  limitations.  Schmalensee' s  findings  are  remarkable, 
but  his  analysis  largely  ignores  the  highly  diversified  nature  of  large  firms. 
Furthermore,  we  would  disagree  with  his  view  of  "relatively  stable  patterns  of 


A  number  of  studies  examine  the  importance  of  efficiency  and  productivity 
in  the  growth  of  the  United  States'  economy  during  the  nineteenth  and  early 
twentieth  centuries.  These  studies  emphasize  how  the  impact  of  the  American 
System  of  Manufactures  with  an  emphasis  on  least  cost  production  techniques 
resulted  in  the  spectacular  growth  experienced  by  the  United  States  economy. 
See  for  example,  North  (1961),  Rosenberg  (1969),  Layton  (1973),  David  (1975), 
Mayr  and  Post  (1981),  and  Hounshell  (1984). 

10 


activity  at  the  firm  level"  (1985i349).  Instead  of  the  "relatively  stable 
patterns"  described  by  Schmalensee,  we  see  continuous  acquisition  and  divestment 
activity  (Duhaime  &  Grant,  1984;  Porter,  1987),  suggesting  that  much  more  is 
involved  in  managing  a  large  diversified  firm  than  one-time  selection  of  the 
right  industries  in  which  to  participate. 

On  the  other  hand,  not  only  has  diversification  research  been  plagued  by 
inconsistent  findings,  but  diversification  studies  implicitly  assume  that  firms 
have  equal  abilities  at  developing  and  implementing  strategies — an  assumption 
that  does  not  seem  realistic.  This  is  a  limitation  we  see  in  the  recent  study 
by  Werner felt  and  Montgomery  (1988).  Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery  extend 
Schmalensee ' s  study  and  find  that  not  only  are  industry  effects  important  in 
explaining  differences  in  firm  performance,  but  that  firm  focus  (the  extent  of 
diversification)  is  also  important  in  explaining  differences  in  performance — 
that  narrowly  diversified  firms  enjoy  higher  performance  than  widely  diversified 
firms.  • 

Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery  use  a  resource-based  view  of  the  firm 
(Wernerfelt,  1984)  to  explain  this  finding,  suggesting  that  narrowly  diversified 
firms  are  better  able  to  transfer  competencies  and  resources  among  business 
segments.  This  resource-based  view  is  appealing,  but  it  ignores  the 
difficulties  of  implementing  strategies  which  capture  the  benefits  of 
transferring  resources  among  business  segments.  Duhaime  and  Grant  (1984)  and 
Porter  (1987)  note  the  widespread  acquisition  and  divestment  activity  of  large 
firms.  These  studies  suggest  that  firms  may  find  the  transfer  of  competencies 
and  resources  to  be  very  difficult. 

The  managerial  control  literature  offers  an  explanation  for  why  synergies 
are  so  elusive.   Hamermesh  (1977),  for  example,  argues  that  information,  and 

11 


especially  "bad  news"  moves  very  slowly  through  organizations.  Business  segment 
managers  who  detect  unfavorable  environmental  circumstances  have  every  incentive 
to  prevent  this  information  from  flowing  to  the  central  offices  of  large  firms. 
Furthermore,  when  information  about  or  from  a  business  segment  does  arrive  at 
the  central  office,  senior  managers  there  may  face  major  challenges  in 
comprehending  information  and  integrating  this  information  with  relevant  facts 
about  the  market  conditions  in  which  the  various  business  segments  operate.  In 
some  large  firms,  these  information  lags  are  likely  to  constrain  attempts  to 
share  resources  across  business  segments. 

All  of  these  considerations  suggest  that  the  level  of  management  skill  is 
likely  to  be  a  key  influence  on  firm  performance.  We  agree  with  Grant,  Jammine, 
and  Thomas  when  they  conclude  that  the  "total  impact  of  diversification  on 
performance  depends  on  complex  interactions  between  diversification  strategy, 
corporate  capabilities  and  resources,  and  external  environment"  (1988:795).  A 
key  element  of  these  corporate  capabilities,  in  our  view,  is  the  level  of 
management  skill.  The  managers  of  high  performing  firms  are  likely  to  have  a 
much  better  developed  understanding  of  the  cause-effect  relationships  which  lead 
to  success  in  a  particular  industry  or  market;  they  also  understand  how  to 
coordinate  and  integrate  the  activities  of  large,  multibusiness  firms 
successfully. 

A  similar  conclusion  is  reached  by  Hansen  and  Wernerfelt  who  examine 
economic  and  organizational  influences  on  performance,  and  find  both  to  be 
significant.  Using  data  gathered  from  questionnaires,  they  examine  two 
variables,  emphasis  on  human  resources  and  emphasis  on  goal  accomplishment,  to 
assess  organizational  influences.  They  conclude  "that  the  critical  issue  in 
firm  success  and  development  is  not  primarily  the  selection  of  growth  industries 

12 


or  product  niches,  but  it  is  the  building  of  an  effective,  directed  human 
organization  in  the  selected  industries"  (1989:409). 

The  dominant  logic  described  by  Prahalad  and  Bettis  and  the  organizational 
learning  described  by  Kazan jian  and  Orazin  have  so  far  remained  conceptual. 
Furthermore,  while  Hitt  and  Ireland  (1986)  and  Snow  and  Hrebiniak  (1980)  assess 
the  relationship  between  corporate  level  distinctive  competencies  and  firm 
performance  using  questionnaires  to  assess  distinctive  competencies,  we  know  of 
little  additional  research  which  has  sought  to  analyze  explicitly  the 
relationship  between  management  skill  and  performance. 

We  believe  that  firms  with  higher  levels  of  management  skill  will  enjoy 
either  lower  costs  or  higher  prices  than  rivals  in  the  same  industries. 
Specifically,  a  high  level  of  management  skill  will  enable  a  firm  to  operate 
more  efficiently  than  its  rivals  either  because  the  firm  is  better  able  to 
transfer  competencies  and  resources  among  its  business  activities  or  because  the 
firm  is  better  able  to  manage  information  requirements.  Alternatively,  a  high 
level  of  management  skill  might  also  enable  a  firm  to  better  exploit 
environmental  and  technological  changes.  This  would  permit  the  firm  to 
implement  new  strategies,  and  offer  new  products  or  services  at  a  premium  price, 
thereby  enjoying  a  higher  gross  margin  than  rivals. 

Therefore,  we  believe  that  management  skill  can  be  represented  by  the 
difference  between  a  firm's  gross  margin  and  the  average  gross  margins  of  the 
markets  in  which  that  firm  operates.  Our  interest  is  in  how  a  firm's  gross 
margin  compares  with  the  gross  margins  of  other  firms  and  business  units 
operating  in  the  same  industries  or  markets.  We  believe  that  management  skill 
is  a  necessary  condition  to  achieve  a  high  gross  margin  relative  to  rivals,  and 


13 


so  our  measure — gross  margin  adjusted  for  industry  membership — is  a  good  proxy 
for  management  skill. 

RESEARCH  PROPOSITIONS 

This  research  study  has  a  number  of  aims.  We  want  to  examine  whether  a 
significant  relationship  exists  between  the  new  variable,  comparative  gross 
margin  as  a  proxy  for  management  skill,  and  firm  performance.  We  also  want  to 
re-examine  the  influence  of  industry  membership  and  diversification  strategy  on 
performance  using  different  data  and  measures.  Finally,  integrating  these  three 
perspectives,  we  want  to  examine  the  relative  influence  of  industry  membership, 
diversification  strategy,  and  management  skill  on  firm  performance. 

More  specifically,  this  research  examines  the  following  propositions: 

1)  The  choice  of  industry  will  have  a  significant  influence 
on  the  level  of  firm  performance. 

• 

2)  The  choice  of  diversification  strategy  or  the  extent  of 
diversification  may  or  may  not  have  a  significant 
influence  on  the  level  of  firm  performance,  but 

3)  management  skill,  as  measured  by  the  gross  margin 
adjusted  for  industry  membership,  will  have  a 
significant  influence  on  the  level  of  firm  performance. 

METHODOLOGY 

Data  and  Samples 

All  data  required  for  this  study  were  gathered  from  the  Compustat 
database.  This  database  consists  of  financial  and  market  performance  data  for 
over  6000  firms.   The  database  also  includes  financial  data  on  the  business 


14 


segments  of  these  firms  as  required  by  the  Financial  Accounting  Standards 
Board's  (1988)  Statement  of  Financial  Accounting  Standards  No.  14,  "Financial 
Reporting  for  Segments  of  a  Business  Enterprise." 

We  identified  all  of  the  firms  in  the  1989  Fortune  "500"  for  which  data 
were  available  for  the  years  1984  through  1988.  Most  of  the  existing 
diversification  literature  draws  on  samples  which  include  data  from  the  1970s 
and  early  1980s,  a  time  of  business  and  economic  volatility.  The  time  frame 
covered  in  this  study  (1984  through  1988),  is  marked  by  continuous  economic 
expansion,  avoiding  periods  of  wide  cyclical  and  inflationary  variations. 

We  created  two  samples — first,  a  sample  of  those  firms  which  reported 
results  for  two  or  more  business  segments  during  each  of  the  five  years  1984 
through  1988,  and  a  second  sample  consisting  of  the  firms  in  the  first  sample 
plus  firms  that  reported  results  for  only  one  business  segment  during  the  same 
five  year  period.  We  felt  this  distinction  was  important,  especially  after 
reviewing  the  papers  by  Schmalensee  and  Werner felt  and  Montgomery. 
Schmalensee' s  sample  consisted  of  only  multibusiness  firms,  while  Wernerfelt  and 
Montgomery's  sample,  drawn  from  a  sample  developed  by  Lindenberg  and  Ross 
(1981),  consisted  of  both  single  and  multibusiness  firms.  It  is  possible  that 
the  more  diverse  sample  used  by  Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery  may  have  influenced 
their  findings.  We  therefore  conducted  our  empirical  tests  on  the  two  samples; 
one  consisting  only  of  multibusiness  firms  (like  Schmalensee),  the  other  more 
diverse,  including  both  single  and  multibusiness  firms  (like  Wernerfelt  and 
Montgomery) . 

While  samples  drawn  from  the  Fortune  "500"  are  certainly  not 
representative  of  the  entire  population  of  business  enterprises  which  remains 
overwhelmingly  atomistic,  the  largest  industrial  corporations  do  account  for  a 

15 


very  large  share  of  total  business  activity.  Throughout  the  1980s,  for  example, 
the  sales  revenues  of  Fortune  "500"  firms  have  accounted  for  over  40  percent  of 
the  total  gross  national  product  (Abelson  &  Jacob,  1989).  As  a  result,  an 
interest  in  the  factors  influencing  the  performance  of  these  large  firms  is 
certainly  warranted.  While  samples  drawn  from  the  Fortune  "500"  would  be 
inappropriate  for  some  research  questions,  the  issues  raised  in  this  paper  would 
seem  to  warrant  use  of  samples  drawn  from  this  population. 

For  purposes  of  this  study,  industry  is  defined  by  four-digit  SIC  code. 
We  realize  that  industry  is  an  elusive  concept  and  that  any  definition  is  likely 
to  have  advantages  as  well  as  limitations.  One  key  advantage  of  defining 
industries  by  four-digit  SIC  codes  is  that  the  Compustat  database  provides 
aggregate  data  for  nearly  300  industries  defined  by  four-digit  SIC  codes.  In 
addition,  defining  industry  by  four-digit  SIC  code  avoids  the  pitfalls  of 
defining  industries  too  broadly.  Particularly  for  the  research  questions  raised 
in  this  paper,  a  narrower  definition  of  industry*  is  more  conservative  than  a 
broader  definition. 

Variables  and  Procedure 

We  used  return  on  assets  (ROA),  where  ROA  is  net  income  as  a  proportion 
of  total  assets,  to  assess  firm  performance.  While  a  variety  of  other 
accounting  and  market  measures  could  conceivably  have  been  used  to  assess  firm 
performance,  we  agree  with  Holzmann,  Copeland,  and  Hayya  (1975)  that  ROA  is 
widely  viewed  and  accepted  by  managers  as  a  measure  of  firm  performance  and  the 
success  of  business  strategies.  Furthermore,  Schmalensee  and  Hansen  and 
Wernerfelt  also  use  rate  of  return  measures  to  assess  performance. 


16 


The  influence  of  industry  effects  is  assessed  using  average  industry 
return  on  assets  (INDROA).  Since  large,  multibusiness  firms  are  likely  to  be 
active  in  more  than  one  industry,  we  felt  the  need  to  first  identify  the 
industries  in  which  our  sample  firms  operate,  and  then  determine  the  proportion 
of  each  firm's  activity  in  each  industry.  To  do  this,  we  identified  from  the 
Compustat  database  the  primary  SIC  codes  of  each  firm's  business  segments.  We 
then  calculated  for  each  firm  the  weighted  average  of  the  industry  ROAs  for  the 
industries  represented  by  these  business  segment  SIC  codes.  The  weighted 
average  was  based  on  each  segment's  proportion  of  the  firm's  total  sales. 

Diversification  (DIV)  is  assessed  using  a  continuous  measure  of  developed 
by  Davis  and  Duhaime  (1989).  Similar  to  the  entropy  measure  developed  by  Palepu 
(1985),  this  is  a  continuous  measure  which  uses  SIC  classifications  to  identify 
and  evaluate  the  extent  of  diversification.  .  The  Davis  and  Duhaime  measure  is 
particularly  useful  for  this  study  because  it  uses  business  segment  data 
available  on  the  Compustat  database  to  measure  diversification. 

Management  skill  (SKILL)  is  evaluated  as  each  firm's  gross  margin  adjusted 
for  average  industry  gross  margin,  where  gross  margin  is  operating  income  after 
depreciation  as  a  proportion  of  sales.  Again,  because  multibusiness  firms  are 
likely  to  be  active  in  more  than  one  industry,  industry  gross  margin  was 


The  extent  of  diversification  (DIV)  is  the  sum  of  measures  for  related 
diversification  (DR)  and  unrelated  diversification  (DU),  where 

DR  =  2  {[ (SEGSALES/GRPSALES)*ln(GRPSALES/SEGSALES) ] * ( SEGSALES/TOTSALES ) } 

DU  =»  Z  [  (GRPSALES/T0TSALES)*ln(TOTSALES/GRPSALES)  ] 

where  SEGSALES  is  sales  for  each  segment  of  each  company  as  reported  by 
Compustat,  GRPSALES  is  total  sales  for  all  segments  which  share  the  same  two- 
digit  SIC  code  in  each  company,  and  TOTSALES  is  total  sales  of  each  company. 

17 


calculated  the  same  way  we  calculated  INDROA.  The  SKILL  variable  then  is  the 
firm's  gross  margin  less  this  composite  industry  gross  margin. 

Two  variables  in  this  study,  INDROA  and  SKILL,  require  the  use  of  industry 
averages.  Other  studies  requiring  firms'  industry  averages  have  used  the 
industry  average  of  the  primary  or  largest  business  segment.  Since  conditions 
and  performance  levels  can  vary  widely  across  the  industries  in  which 
multibusiness  firms  compete,  this  is  an  incomplete  and  possibly  misleading 
industry  average  for  multibusiness  firms.  Our  construction  of  composite 
industry  averages  which  are  weighted  averages  of  all  industries  in  which  a 
multibusiness  firm  competes  gives  us  greater  confidence  in  the  validity  of  our 
results  than  if  we  had  used  previous  methods. 

Missing  data  reduced  our  multibusiness  sample  to  268  firms  and  our  single 
and  multibusiness  sample  to  329  firms.  Sample  observations  are  five  year 
averages.  Summary  statistics  and  correlation  matrices  for  these  variables  for 
the  sample  of  multibusiness  firms  and  the  sample  of  single  and  multibusiness 
firms  are  shown  in  Table  1. 


Insert  Table  1  about  here 


Building  on  the  work  of  Schmalensee,  Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery,  and  Hansen 
and  Wernerfelt,  we  developed  the  following  descriptive  model: 

ROA  »  bQ  +  b,( INDROA)  +  b2(DIV)  ♦  bj( SKILL) 
We  tested  this  model  on  the  two  samples  (multibusiness  firms  and  single  and 
multibusiness  firms).   We  then  tested  a  number  of  sub-models,  imposing  various 
restrictions,  excluding  one  or  more  variables  from  the  model. 


18 


RESULTS 


The  results  for  the  sample  of  multibusiness  firms  are  illustrated  in 
Figure  1,  and  the  results  for  the  sample  of  single  and  multibusiness  firms  are 
illustrated  in  Figure  2.  This  form  of  presentation  is  identical  to  that  used 
by  Schmalensee,  Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery,  and  Hansen  and  Wernerfelt.  In  each 
figure,  results  for  the  full  model  are  shown  at  the  bottom  of  the  figure,  and 
the  results  of  various  restricted  models  are  shown  above  this  full  model.  As 
with  the  earlier  articles,  the  arrows  correspond  to  restrictions  excluding  one 
of  the  three  effects,  and  the  numbers  next  to  the  arrows  are  the  probabilities 
(P  levels)  at  which  an  F-test  would  reject  these  restrictions. 


Insert  Figures  1  &  2  about  here 


The  results  of  both  tests  confirm  our  propositions.  First,  note  that  the 
R-square  values  of  the  full  models  in  Figures  1  and  2  are  quite  high. 
Furthermore,  note  that  the  very  low  P  levels  generated  by  tests  for  industry 
effects  (arrows  pointing  to  the  right)  and  management  skill  (arrows  pointing  to 
the  left)  indicate  the  presence  of  both  industry  and  management  skill  effects. 
As  in  Schmalensee,  the  results  for  industry  effects  are  quite  strong — always 
significant  at  the  .0001  level.  The  management  skill  effects,  however,  are  also 
very  strong — again,  always  significant  at  the  .0001  level. 

The  results  for  diversification  effects  are  also  interesting.  In  the 
sample  of  multibusiness  firms,  the  high  P  levels  indicate  that  diversification 
effects  are  either  not  present  or  not  particularly  significant.  In  the  sample 
of  single  and  multibusiness  firms,  however,  the  low  P  levels  indicate  that 

19 


diversification  effects  are  present.  Specifically,  in  these  models  higher 
levels  of  diversification  are  associated  with  lower  levels  of  firm  performance. 
This  result  closely  conforms  to  the  findings  of  Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery  who, 
as  already  noted,  used  a  sample  which  included  both  single  and  multibusiness 
firms. 

Table  2  shows  the  incremental  contribution  of  each  effect  to  the  adjusted 
R-square  of  the  full  model  for  each  sample.  These  values  represent  the 
difference  between  the  adjusted  R-square  of  the  full  model  and  the  adjusted  R- 
square  of  models  with  the  effect  of  interest  removed.  The  table  illustrates 
that  the  incremental  contributions  to  the  R-square  made  by  management  skill  and 
industry  membership  are  roughly  equal,  while  diversification  makes  a  small 
contribution  to  the  R-square,  but  only  in  the  sample  of  single  and  multibusiness 
firms. 


Insert  Table  2  about  here 


DISCUSSION  AND  IMPLICATIONS 

Like  Schmalensee,  Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery,  and  Hansen  and  Wernerfelt 
before  us,  we  find  that  industry  effects  are  a  major  influence  on  firm 
performance.  Similarly,  like  Wernerfelt  and  Montgomery,  we  find  that  in  a 
sample  of  single  and  multibusiness  firms,  diversification  effects  are  also  an 
influence  on  firm  performance.  The  major  contribution  of  this  study,  however, 
is  the  introduction  of  a  new  variable  to  assess  the  importance  of  management 
skill  effects.    This  variable,   comparative  gross  margin  as  a  proxy  for 

20 


management  skill,  proved  to  be  a  very  highly  significant  influence  on  the  level 
of  firm  performance.  In  fact,  the  results  reported  here  suggest  that  the 
management  skill  effects  are  as  important  as  industry  effects  in  influencing 
firm  performance. 

To  the  extent  that  our  variable,  management  skill,  reflects  the  quality 
of  management,  these  results  are  very  reasonable.  Selection  of  the  industries 
or  markets  in  which  to  compete  is  likely  to  be  an  important  influence  on 
performance,  but  just  as  important  is  the  level  of  skill  that  management  brings 
to  these  industries.  These  results  suggest  that  Prahalad  and  Bettis  (1986)  and 
Kazan jian  and  Drazin  (1987)  are  correct — movement  into  new  markets  will 
influence  performance,  but  these  relationships  are  likely  to  be  strongly 
moderated  by  the  level  of  management  skill.  This  is  why  we  see  great  variation 
in  the  levels  of  performance  enjoyed  by  both  single  business  and  highly 
diversified  firms,  even  after  controlling  for  industry  effects. 

Firms  enjoying  high  levels  of  performance,  whether  single  business  firms 
or  highly  diversified  firms,  are  much  more  likely  to  possess  the  requisite 
skills  and  expertise  to  be  effective  in  their  market  or  markets.  Our  analysis 
suggests  that  management  skill  effects  are  an  important  influence,  and  certainly 
much  more  influential  than  diversification  effects.  As  a  result,  we  agree  with 
Ramanujam  and  Varadarajan  (1989)  that  much  of  the  recent  diversification 
literature  has  been  incremental  at  best,  and  that  continued  traditional 
diversification  research  (i.e.  research  assessing  the  relationship  between 
diversification  strategy  and  performance)  will  lead  to  relatively  few  new 
insights. 

While  management  skill  has  enjoyed  a  central  place  in  the  field  of 
strategic  management,  it  has  been  difficult  to  operational ize  in  the  empirical 

21 


literature.  We  feel  confident  that  comparative  gross  margin  taps  the  presence 
of  management  skill.  It  is  also  significant  that  we  have  been  able  to  establish 
the  importance  of  this  variable  using  public  financial  data.  This  variable  may 
have  many  additional  applications.  For  example,  the  strategic  groups  and 
governance  literatures  have  typically  used  public  financial  data,  but  have  not 
explicitly  incorporated  management  skill  as  a  variable  in  studies  done  to  date. 
One  possible  application  would  be  to  use  management  skill  as  a  way  to 
distinguish  among  firms  within  an  industry's  strategic  groups. 

As  a  result  of  the  study,  we  feel  that  future  research  efforts  in 
strategic  management  should  further  examine  management  skill  effects.  For 
example,  more  research  is  needed  to  assess  what  constitutes  management  skill, 
how  management  skill  is  acquired,  the  relationship  between  management  skill  and 
managerial  characteristics,  what  management  skills  are  needed  in  multibusiness 
firms,  and  how  a  particular  repertoire  of  skills  moderates  the  relationships 
between  industry  membership  and  diversification  on  the  one  hand  and  firm 
performance  on  the  other.  To  pursue  these  new  research  directions,  qualitative 
and  field  research  methods  may  prove  both  necessary  and  worthwhile  adjuncts  to 
data  sets  such  as  ours. 


22 


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26 


TABLE  1 

Summary  Statistics  and  Correlation  Matrix 

for  the  Sample  of  Multibusiness  Finns  (N=268) 


Variable 

Wean 
.05063 

Std.  Dev. 
.05493 

Minimum 

Maximum 

ROA 

-.40905 

.20165 

INDROA 

.04744 

.02841 

-.06983 

.10632 

DIV 

.80569 

.32480 

.03567 

1.82378 

SKILL 

.00334 

.03652 

-.16025 

.14104 

ROA 

INDROA 

DIV 

SKILL 

ROA 

1.00000 

INDROA 

.40833 

1.00000 

DIV 

-.09465 

-.13515 

1.00000 

SKILL 

.34523 

-.07687 

.02770 

1.00000 

Summary  Statistics  and  Correlation  Matrix 
for  the  Sample  of  Single  and  Multibusiness  Firms  (N=329) 


Variable 

Mean 

Std.  Dev. 

Minimum 

Maximum 

ROA 

.05486 

.05680 

-.40905 

.23542 

INDROA 

.04881 

.02864 

-.06983 

.10840 

DIV 

.65631 

.42921 

.00000 

1.82378 

SKILL 

.00455 

.03970 

-.16025 

.20681 

ROA 

INDROA 

DIV 

SKILL 

ROA 

1.00000 

INDROA 

.46219 

1.00000 

DIV 

-.17066 

-.15601 

1.00000 

SKILL 

.44226 

-.00756 

-.03137 

1.00000 

27 


ECKMAN 

IDERY  INC. 


JUN95 


To.FW    N.  MANCHESTER. 
INDIANA  46962