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BOSTON  PUBLIC  LIBRARY 


3  9999  06317  679  4 


OURNING  DOVE  STATUS  REPORT 

1969 


ton  Publk 
.  intendent  of  Documents 

1 7  1970 

DEPOSITORY 


UNITED  STATES  DEPARTMENT  OF  THE  INTERIOR 

FISH  AND  WILDLIFE  SERVICE 

BUREAU  OF  SPORT  FISHERIES  AND  WILDLIFE 

Special  Scientific  Report  -  Wildlife  No.  1 32 


UNITED  STATES  DEPARTMENT  OF  THE  INTERIOR,  WALTER  J.  HICKEL,  SECRETARY 
Leslie  L.  Glasgow,  Assistant  Secretary  for  Fish  and  Wildlife  and  Parks 
Fish  and  Wildlife  Service,  Charles  H.  Meacham,  Commissioner 
Bureau  of  Sport  Fisheries  and  Wildlife,  John  S.  Gottschalk,  Director 


MOURNING  DOVE  STATUS  REPORT,  1969 


Compiled  by 

James  L.  Ruos 
Migratory  Bird  Populations  Station 
Division  of  Wildlife  Research 


Bureau  of  Sport  Fisheries  and  Wildlife 
Special  Scientific  Report — Wildlife  No.  132 
Washington,  D.C.         April  19  70 


For  sale  by   the  Superintendent  of  Documents,   U.S.    Government  Printing  Office 
Washington,  D.C.  20402  -  Price  45  cents 


CONTENTS 

Abstract  iv 

Introduc tion  1 

Procedure 

The  Call-Count   Survey    2 

Quality  checks   of   field   data    2 

Randomization  of   call-count   routes    3 

Physiographic    stratification  of   call-count  routes    3 

Breeding   Density    Index    4 

Determination  of    short-term   population  changes,    1968    to    1969    ...  8 

Determination  of   long-term  population   trends,    1959    to   1969    8 

Computer   analysis   of   dove  call-count  data    9 

Statistical   evaluation  of   data,    1959    to    1969    9 

Determination  of   population  distribution,    1968   and    1969    9 

Findings 

Status   of    the  United    States   dove  population 

1968    to   1969   populations    .  .  . 12 

Long-term   trends,    1959    to   1969    15 

Status   of    the  Eastern  Management  Unit   population 

1968    to   1969   populations    19 

Long-term   trends,    1959    to   1969    19 

Status   of    the  Central  Management  Unit  population 

1968  and   1969  populations    21 

Long-term   trends,    1959    to   1969    21 

Status   of    the  Western  Management  Unit   population 

1968    to   1969   populations    22 

Long-term    trends,    1959    to    1969    22 

Statistical   significance  of   data 

1968    to   1969    22 

Long-term   trends,    1959    to   1969    23 

References    24 

Append  ix    26 


in 


ABSTRACT 


U.S.   mourning  dove  population   indexes   declined  from  1968    to   1969 
by    2  percent    in   the  Eastern  Management  Unit  and   8   percent   in   the 
Central  Management  Unit,    but  remained   unchanged    in   the  Western  Manage- 
ment Unit.      The   changes  were  not   statistically   significant.      The   1969 
indexes  were   the   lowest   in   the  11-year   period   1959-69  and  were  below 
the   10-year  means,    1959-69,    by   8    percent   in   the  Eastern  Unit,    15  per- 
cent  in   the   Central,    and    21  percent   in   the  Western.      For    the    three 
units   combined,    the   1969    index  was    5   percent  below   that   for   1968   and 
15  percent  below   the   10-year  mean.      Regression  analyses   of    the  call- 
count  data   for   1959-69   indicate  a   statistically   significant  downward 
trend    in   the   dove  breeding   populations    in  all  management  units;    mean 
rates   of  decline  were  1   percent  a   year   in   the  Eastern  Unit,    3   percent 
a  year    in   the  Central,    4   percent  a   year    in   the  Western,    and   3   percent 
a  year   for    the  U.S.    dove  population  as   a  whole. 

The   distribution  of   dove  density    is   described  by   physiographic 
regions  within  management  units.      In  1969,    the  most   extensive  area   of 
high   dove  density  was    in   the   eastern  Great  Plains   and    the  Central 
Lowlands.      Other   important  breeding   areas  were   in   the  Upper  Coastal 
Plain  of    the  south  Atlantic    States,    the   Sonoran  Desert  of    Arizona   and 
California,    and   parts   of    the  Colorado   and   Columbia   Plateaus.      Between 
1968  and   1969,    the  greatest  rate  of   population  change  occurred   in 
these  high-density    regions. 


IV 


INTRODUCTION 


Management   of  mourning   doves    in   the   United   States    is    essentially 
the   regulation  of   hunting    to   achieve  proper  harvest.      The   Call-Count 
Survey,    conducted   annually    since  1953   by   Federal,    State,    and    inde- 
pendent observers   on  more    than  800   prescribed   routes,    provides    popu- 
lation data  on  which  wildlife  administrators    rely    in  setting   annual 
regulations.      This    report  describes    the  methods    employed    to    obtain  and 
analyze    those  data  and   presents    the  status   of    the   1969  mourning   dove 
breeding   population. 

Two   versions   of    the   dove  status    report,    one  preliminary   and   one 
final,    are  prepared   annually.      In   1969    the  preliminary   version  was 
mailed    to  members   of    the   Dove  Regulations    Committee  a  week  before   the 
regulations  meeting    in  June  at  Washington,    D.C.      This    timely   distri- 
bution was  made  possible  by    the   promptness   of   cooperators  who    sent 
their   data   directly    to    the  Migratory   Bird   Populations    Station   imme- 
diately after  completion  of    their   surveys.      The  present   report    is    the 
final   version  and   contains   additional    survey   data    received    too    late 
for   use   in   the  preliminary  version.      As    is   customary,    it  will   be 
distributed    to   all    cooperators   and  will   be  available    to    interested 
organizations   and    individuals. 

Basic    data   gathering  and   analyzing   procedures   used    in   this    report 
were    the  same  as    those  used    in   1968    (Ruos   and  MacDonald,    1970)  . 


PROCEDURE 

The  Call-Count   Survey 

Field   studies   have  demonstrated    the   feasibility   of    the   Call- 
Count   Survey   as   a  method   for   detecting  annual   changes    in  mourning 
dove  breeding   populations    (Foote  and   Peters,    1952) .      Since  1953, 
these  surveys   have  been  conducted    throughout    the  United   States    over 
a   system  of  more   than  800    established   routes.      Each   call-count  route 
has    twenty    3-minute  listening   stations    spaced   at  1-mile   intervals, 
usually   on   lightly    traveled   secondary    roads. 

Each   route   is   checked  once  between  May    20   and   June   10.      Inten- 
sive studies    in   the   eastern  United   States    (Foote  and   Peters,    1952) 
indicated    that   dove   calling    is   relatively   stable  during    this   period. 
Call-count  surveys   are   not  made  when  wind  velocities    exceed   12  miles 
per  hour   or  when   it    is   raining. 

Records   are  kept   of   all   doves    seen  or   heard   calling   along    the 
routes.      The   numbers   heard   calling   during    the  3-minute  listening  peri- 
ods  are    totaled    for   each   route   to   provide   the  data   for  determining    the 
population   index.      The   numbers    of   calls   per  dove  and   of    doves    seen  are 
not  currently  used    in   the   index  calculation,    but    they   are  recorded.      A 
detailed   analysis   of    these  and   other   pertinent   data    from   past   call 
counts    is   currently  under    study   by    the  Migratory   Bird   Populations 
Station. 

Studies    by   Frankel   and  Baskett    (1961)    and   Jackson  and  Baskett 
(1964)    have  shown   that  unmated  males   call  at   a   greater   rate    than  mated 
males.      This    suggests    that    the   reliability   of    the  annual   call-count 
census    is   reduced  by    the  variability    in   the  ratio   of  mated    to   unmated 
males.      However,    Wight    (1964)    observed    that  variations    in   the   ratio    of 
mated    to   unmated  males,    where    the  adult  sex   ratio   approached   equality, 
did   not   significantly   alter    the   reliability   of    the   dove   call   count   for 
measuring  annual    trends   of   breeding  mourning  doves.      Irby    (1964)    also 
found   no   evidence  on  his   study   area    in  Arizona    that    the   numbers    of 
unmated  males  materially   affected   call-count  results. 

Quality   checks    of   field  data 

Survey    reports   were   examined    to   determine  circumstances   affecting 
the  accuracy  with  which    the   routes   were   run  and    the  data   recorded. 
Records    for   routes    run  under  unacceptable  conditions   were   not  analyzed. 


Reports   on  routes    completed   under    the  prescribed   conditions  but   con- 
taining  discrepancies    or   errors,    or   lacking  data,    were   examined    to 
ascertain  whether   parts   were  acceptable.      If   so,    they  were  used    in 
analyses    for  which    they   were  applicable.      Where   there  was   a   change 
in  observers   on  a   route   from  one  year    to    the   next,    the  data  were 
examined    to   determine  whether   an  unexpected   population  change  was 
apparent.      When  such   differences    exceeded    those  of    the  prescribed 
limits,    they   were  attributed    to   differences    in  observers,    and    the 
data  were  not  used    in   the   current  analysis. 

Randomization  of   call-count   routes 


The  original  call-count  routes    (established  between   1951   and 
1956,    and  hereafter   designated   "management   routes")    were   in  many 
instances    selected    in  areas   of   high-density   dove  populations   and 
were  not  representative   of    populations   over    entire   States   or   manage- 
ment units. 

Randomly   located   routes  were   first   employed    in  seven  southeastern 
States    in  1957    (Foote,    Peters,    and   Finkner,    1958) .      A   comparative 
study  of    the   random  and   management   route  data   from    these   States    con- 
firmed  earlier  assumptions    that  a   revision  of    the   nationwide  call-count 
survey    routes    should   be  undertaken  if    representative  dove  population 
indexes   were    to   be  obtained.      This   recommendation  prompted    the   gradual 
selection  and    establishment   of    the   868   randomly   located   call-count 
routes    now   employed    in  44    States.      Selection  of   random   routes    in   the 
remaining   four   States    of  Maine,    New  Hampshire,    Rhode   Island,    and 
Vermont    (now   represented  by   a    total   of   11  management   routes)    was    com- 
pleted  prior    to    the   1969    survey.      All   States,    except  Maine,    have  pro- 
vided  random  data   for    1   or  more  years.      In  1970,    data   from  Maine  also 
are   expected    to  come   from   random   routes. 

Both    types    of    routes   were   run  during    the  year   of    transition  from 
management    to    random  routes.      This   procedure  permitted   a   direct   com- 
parison of   data    (Foote,    Peters,    and   Finkner,    1958).      Since   1967, 
randomized   data  have  been  obtained   for   44   States    for    2   or  more  years. 

Physiographic    stratification  of   call-count  routes 

Biologists    recognize    the   limitation  of  sampling  wildlife  popula- 
tions  by   political   units.      Census    data   collected   and   analyzed  by   eco- 
logical  divisions    represent   better   statistical   design  and   could   be 
expected    to   provide  more  precise   information  with    the   same   effort. 


An  ecological   sampling   design  for    the   collection  of   dove  popula- 
tion data,    using   physiographic    regions   as    the  basis    for   stratification, 
was   suggested  by    Foote,    Peters,    and  Finkner    (1958) .      The    78    regions 
designated    in   this   report    (fig.    1)    are  based    essentially    on  a   map 
entitled   "Physical  Divisions    of    the  United   States"   prepared  by    Fenneman 
(1931) .      The  boundaries    of    these   divisions   were  modified    in  several 
instances   after   examination  of    field   data   and  more  recent   ecological 
studies 

Breeding   Density    Index 

The  Breeding   Density    Index    (BDI)    is   an   indicator   of    the   number   of 
doves   per   unit   of   area   and   is    derived   from    the  average  number   of    call- 
ing  doves    per   route.      To  obtain  as    accurate  an  average  as    possible   for 
derivation  of    this    index,    the  call-count  data   from   each   stratum   in  each 
State  are  weighted   according    to    the   land   areas    they    represent. 

Before  1966,    the  BDI   for    each   State   represented    the   average   number 
of   birds   heard   calling  per   route  within   that   State,    thus   weighting   all 
routes    equally.      The   State  averages   were   then  weighted    in  proportion   to 
the   estimated   area   of   dove  habitat   in  each   State  of   a  management  unit 
(fig.    2)    to   provide  a  Breeding  Population  Index   for    each   unit    (U.S. 
Bureau  of   Sport  Fisheries    and  Wildlife,    1957) . 

Beginning  with    the   1966   survey    analysis,    weighting   factors   based 
on  physiographic    regions   were  used    for   calculating  BDI   values    in 
States   which  had  been  "randomized"    for    2   or   more  years.      The   average 
number  of   doves    heard   calling   per   route   in  each   region  within  a   State 
was  weighted  by    the  percentage  of    the    total   land   area    in   the   State 
occupied  by    that   region. 

Calculation  of  management   unit  BDl's    since   1965  has    involved    two 
similar   procedures    as   a    result  of   a   computer  program  change.      In  1966 
and   1967,    indexes   were   determined   for   each  management  unit   by  weight- 
ing  each   State's   BDI   by    the  percentage  of    the    total    land   area   occupied 
by    that  State   in   the  management  unit.      When  a   region  within  a   State 
was    not  represented  by   a   BDI,    that   region  assumed    the  mean  of    the 
other   regions   weighted  by    land  area    in   that   State.      In  1968  and   1969, 
management  unit  BDl's   were   derived  directly   from   State  physiographic 
region  BDl's.      When  a    region  within  a    State  was    not   represented   by   a 
BDI,    that   region  assumed    the  weighted  management  unit  mean.      Minor 
differences   between   these  procedures    are   evident  only  when  physio- 
graphic  regions   within  States   are  not   represented  by   comparable   routes. 


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Only    four   States    (Maine,    New  Hampshire,    Rhode   Island,    and  Vermont) 
did   not  provide   randomized  data    in  both   1968   and   1969.      Management 
route  data    from   these  States   were  not  weighted  and  were  not    included 
in   the  management  unit  averages.      Consequently,    comparable   data    for 
1968   and    1969   BDI  values    are   given   for   only   44    States. 

Determination  of   short-term   population  changes,    1968    to    1969 

Changes    in   the  size  of  mourning  dove  breeding   populations    between 
1968   and   1969   are   indicated  by    data   from   606   comparable   routes    run   in 
both  years.      The  average  appropriately  weighted  BDI  values    for    each 
year   are  presented   for   each   State  and  management  unit    (appendix    table 
Al) .      Differences    in   these  BDI  values,    expressed   as   percent   change, 
determined    the  magnitude  of    changes    in   the  breeding  population. 

Determination  of    long-term  population   trends,    1959    to    1969 

Short-term    (year-to-year)    population  changes    are  based,    as    indi- 
dated,    on  data    from  comparable  routes    only.      Since   the   composition  of 
these   comparable  routes    changes   with   each    2-year   comparison,    a   Base 
Year   Index    (BYI)    has   been  chosen   for    each   State.      Long-term   trends 
have  been  shown  by   applying    the  percent  change   from  year    to   year    to 
this    index.      Before  1967,    the  BYI  was   generally    the   first  year    that 
the   State's    call-count   routes  were   randomized.      This   method  of   selec- 
tion had   an  advantage  over    the  selection  of   a   single  year    for   all 
States. 

In  order    to  provide  a  more  uniform  basis    for    evaluation  of    long- 
term    trends,    the  BYI   for   all   States   has  been  selected  as    the  mean  of 
the   comparable  1966  and    1967   routes,    as   presented    in   the  Mourning   Dove 
Status   Report,    1967    (Ruos   and  MacDonald,    1968) .      This   BYI    is    thought 
to   provide  a  meaningful   refinement   over    the  previous   method.      Not  only 
are   two    "random-route"  years   averaged    to   reduce   the   influence  of   a 
possible  atypical   year,    but    the  choice  of   a   uniform  BYI   period   for   all 
States    reduces    possible  bias    in  overweighting  a    State  by    the   selection 
of   a   BYI   in  a   peak  year. 

As    in   the  past,    the  BYI  value   for    each   State   for    each  year    is 
weighted    to   provide  management  unit  values.      This   weighting    is   based 
upon  differences    in  land  area   among   States.      The   land   area  values   and 
the   BDI  values    for   States   and  management  units   by  year   are  presented 
in  appendix   table  A2. 


Computer   analysis   of   dove  call-count  data 

Through    the   efforts    of    the  North   Carolina    Institute  of    Statistics, 
University   of    North  Carolina,    and  with    the  support   of    the   Southeastern 
Association  of   Game  and   Fish   Commissioners,    an   improved   computer   pro- 
gram was  made  available   for    the  analysis   of    the   1968   and   1969   call- 
count  data.      This   program   provides    properly  weighted    State  and  manage- 
ment unit  averages.      It  yields    the  mean  difference,    the   standard    error 
of    the  mean  difference,    and    the   level   of   significance  of    the  change   for 
each   State  and   management  unit.      This    program  also   provides   a    summary 
of   data   by   physiographic    region   irrespective  of    State  boundaries,    thus 
allowing   analysis   of   population  distribution  by   physiographic    region. 

Statistical    evaluation  of   data,    1959    to   1969 

The  procedures    employed   on   the  annual    call-count   survey  were  orig- 
inally designed    to   detect  a    20-percent  change   in   the  population   index 
(BDI)    within  a   management  unit  at    the   95-percent   level   of   significance 
(Foote,    1959).      Analysis    of    the   1968   and    1969   data,    however,    revealed 
that  observed   differences    of    7.5,    9.8,    and   14.2  percent  between  years 
within   the    three  management  units  would    represent   statistically   sig- 
nificant  changes    in  population.      For    the   entire  country,    an  observed 
difference  of    6.3   percent    in   the  BDI   between  1968   and    1969  would   be 
significant.      Although    the  survey   was    not  designed    to  detect   a   statis- 
tically  significant   change   in   the  BDI   between  years   within  States    or 
physiographic    regions,    data   from    these  areas  were  also  analyzed   for 
statistical   significance. 

Long-term   (1959-69)    BYl's    for   all  management   units   and    the  com- 
bined  hunting   or    nonhunting   States   of    these  units   were   examined    to 
determine  whether   significant    trends  were  present.      Data   from   each 
unit  were  analyzed   using   six   regression  models.      The   linear   regression 
model  was   used    in  each    instance   in  which    there  was    statistical   signif- 
icance  even    though   a   slight   curvilinear   relation  was    indicated   by 
several   analyses. 

Determination  of    population  distribution,    1968   and   1969 

The  density-distribution  of    doves   within  a  management  unit  has 
been  determined   from  a   study   of   average  physiographic   region  BDI  values. 
These   data    for   1969   have  been  assigned    to    one  of    five  density   classes, 
as    shown   in   figure   3.      Changes    in  BDI  values    greater    than  10  percent 
between  1968   and    1969  within  a   physiographic    region  also  were   deter- 
mined   (fig.    4).      In  all    instances,    only    those  BDI's   obtained   from  com- 
parable routes    in  both  years  were  examined. 


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Further   study  was  made   to    identify    the  major  high-density  dove 
production  areas   by   physiographic   region  within  management  units. 
High-density   areas    included    those  regions  with    the  highest  BDl's  most 
nearly    totaling    50   percent  of    the  unit's   population.      This  was   accom- 
plished by   ranking   all   BDl's    in  descending  order.      These  values   were 
then  converted    to    Breeding  Population  Indexes    (BPl's)    by  multiplying 
the   BDI   by    its   represented   land  -area   value.      The   sum  of    the  ranked 
BPl's  most   nearly   representing    50   percent   of   a   unit's   population 
determined    those  regions    included    in   the  high-density   areas.      The 
importance  of    each   of   16   regions  with    the  highest  BDl's    is   shown   in 
appendix    table  A3;    the  high-density  areas   are   further    identified    in 
figures    5  and    6. 


FINDINGS 

Current  dove  populations,    as    indicated   by    the  call-count   survey, 
are  at   their   lowest   levels    for    the   11-year   period,    1959-69.      All   1969 
management  unit  population   indexes   are  well  below   their   preceding 
10-year  means.      Further,    a   statistically    significant   downward   popu- 
lation  trend  was    found    in  each  management  unit;    the  Central   and   Western 
Units    showed    the  greatest   rates   of   decline. 

From  1968    to   1969,    the  Central  Unit    index   declined    7.6  percent, 
while  population  levels    remained    relatively   stable   in   the  other   units. 
The   greatest   rate  of   change  occurred    in   the  high-density  areas    of   all 
management  units.      Dove  populations    in   the  nonhunting    States    of    the 
Central   Unit  were   found    to   be   declining   at    the  greatest   rate  of   any 
subunit    in   the  country.      Noteworthy   is    the  observation   that    the  Eastern 
Unit's    nonhunting   States    comprise    the  only   subunit   represented  by   an 
increasing   dove  population.      Further   study   of    these  data    is   presented 
by  management  unit. 

Status   of    the  United   States    dove  population 

1968    to   1969   populations. — Figure  3   shows    the   relative  densities 
of   breeding  doves    by   physiographic    region   in  1969.      High-density   areas 
in   the  United   States    are   identified    in  appendix    table  A3  and    figure   5. 
In  1969,    these  areas   represented    50   percent  of    the  population  and    28 
percent  of    the   land   area.      The  mean  BDI   of    the  high-density  areas  was 
2.6   times    that  of    the  low-density  mean   (34.5  doves   heard   per  route 
compared  with   13.4   doves   heard).      The  most   extensive  area   of  high   dove 
density  was   in   the  midcontinent,    especially   in   the   eastern  Great  Plains 


12 


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and   Central   Lowlands.      Other    important  breeding   population  areas   were 
observed    in    the   Upper   Coastal   Plain  of   Georgia   and    the  Carolinas,    the 
Sonoran  Desert  of  Arizona   and    California,    the  Grand   Canyon  of  Arizona, 
and    part  of    the   Columbia   Plateau    in  Oregon. 

The  United   States    BDI   declined  4.7    percent   from   20.3  doves   heard 
per   route   in  1968    to    19.3   doves   heard   per   route   in  1969    (appendix 
table  Al) .      During    the  same  period,    the  mean  high-density    population 
BDI   declined   11.6  percent   from   39.0   doves    to    34.5  doves    per   route, 
while    the   low-density  area   BDI   remained   relatively  stable,    down  0.9 
percent   from  13.6   doves    to    13.4   doves    per   route.      The  BDI    for    the 
combined   hunting   States    decreased   3.9    percent    from    20.1   doves    per 
route   in   1968    to    19.3   doves    in   1969;    whereas    the   combined    nonhunting 
States   declined    6.4   percent   from    20.7    to    19.3   doves    per   route   (appen- 
dix   table  Al) . 

Changes    in   the  BDI   greater    than  10   percent   between   1968   and    1969 
by   physiographic   region  are  shown   in   figure  4.      The  most    extensive 
areas   of    increase  were   noted    in   the  Rocky  Mountains    and   Colorado   Pla- 
teau,   Lower   and   East  Gulf   Coastal   Plains,    and   sections   of    the  western 
Appalachian  Plateau  and   Central   Lowlands.      Three  broad   areas   of   de- 
crease were  observed:       the   Great  Basin  and    Sonoran  Desert,    the  western 
Central   Lowlands,    and    the   eastern  Appalachians   and   adjacent  Piedmont. 
No    important   shift  was   noted    in  high-density   population  areas   between 
1968   and    1969    (appendix    table  A3   and   fig.    5) .      In   1969,    physiographic 
regions   035,    139,    and    215  replaced   regions    138,    216,    and    246  as   high- 
density   areas. 

Long-term    trends,    1959    to   1969. — The   1969   BYl's    for    the   United 
States,    the  combined   hunting   States,    and    the  combined   nonhunting 
States   are   the   lowest   observed    for    the   11-year   period,    1959-1969    (appen- 
dix   table  A2) .      This    is    the    third    successive  year   of   decline   in  BYl's 
(Ruos   and  MacDonald,    1970).      The   BYl's    for    these  areas    in  1969   are  also 
well   below    the  preceding   10-year  means:      United   States,    -14.7   percent; 
hunting    States,    -13.6  percent;    and    nonhunting   States,    -17.1   percent 
(appendix    table  A2) . 

Annual   BYl's    plotted    in   figures    7   and   8   reflect    the   general   down- 
ward   trend    in  BYl's    since   1959.      Linear    regression  analyses    of    these 
data    (appendix    table  A4)    are   shown   in  figure  9.      The   BYl's    declined   at 
an  average  annual   rate  of    2.7    percent    in    the  United    States,    2.4    percent 
in   the  hunting    States,    and    3.3   percent    in   the   nonhunting   States.      Thus, 
this   study   reveals   a   significant  decline   in  U.S.    populations   between 
1959   and    1969. 


15 


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18 


Status    of    the   Eastern  Management  Unit   population 

1968    to    1969   populations. — In   this   Unit,    high-density   popula- 
tions   in  1969   are  confined   principally    to    the   southern  part   of    the 
Central   Lowlands,    and  much   of    the    Interior   Low  Plateaus   and   Atlantic 
Coastal   Plain   (fig.    6).      These  areas    comprise   32  percent   of    the   Unit 
land   area  and   contain   54   percent   of    the  Unit's   population.      The  mean 
BDI   of    the  high   density   population  areas    (30.0   doves   per  route)    was 
2   1/2    times   as   great  as    for    the   remaining   areas    (11.8   doves   per  route). 

The   Eastern  Management   Unit   BDI   declined   1.7   percent   from   17.9 
doves   heard   per   route   in  1968    to   17.6  doves   heard   per   route   in  1969 
(appendix    table  Al) .      For    these   same  years,    the  high-density  area 
BDI   declined   7.4    percent   from  32.4   doves   per   route   to   30.0   doves    per 
route,    while    the   low-density   area    increased    slightly,    0.9    percent, 
from  11.7    to   11.8   doves   per   route.      The   BDI    for    the   combined   hunting 
States   decreased    2.5  percent   from   18.9   doves   per   route   in  1968    to 
18.4   doves    per   route   in  1969.      For    the  combined   nonhunting   States, 
the  BDI    increased   0.4   percent   from  15.58    to   15.64   doves   heard   per   route. 

A   southwestward   shift    in   the  high-density  area   occurred   between 
1968   and   1969,    as    evidenced  by  physiographic   region  034    replacing 
regions   031   and   041    in   1969    (fig.    6  and   appendix    table  A3). 

Long-term    trends,    1959    to    1969. — The   1969    BYl's    for    the   entire 
Eastern  Unit  and    the  combined   hunting   States   within   it  are    the  lowest 
for    the   11-year   period   -    the    third    successive  year   of   decline    (Ruos 
and  MacDonald,    1970).      Population   indexes   for    these  areas  were  8.1 
percent  and   13.2  percent,    respectively,    below   their   preceding   10-year 
means.      In  contrast,    the   1969   BYI    for    the   combined   nonhunting    States 
was    the   second   highest   recorded,    7.1    percent  above   the  preceding   10- 
year  mean   (appendix    table  A2  and    fig.    10) . 

The   BYI's    for    the  Eastern  Unit,    the  combined  hunting   and    the 
combined   nonhunting   States,    are   indicated    in  appendix    table  A2  and 
figures    7   and   10.      Regression  analysis    shows    that    the  Eastern  Unit 
population  declined   significantly   between  1959   and   1969;    the  mean 
rate  of   decline  was   determined    to   be   1.0   percent  per   year    (fig.    9). 
During    the  same  period,    the  combined  hunting   States    index  declined 
significantly  at  an  average  annual   rate  of    1.6  percent.      Although   no 
significant    trend  was    found    for    the  nonhunting   States,    the    index 
increased   at  an  average  rate  of   0.7    percent  per   year. 


19 


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20 


Status   of    the  Central  Management  Unit   population 

1968  and    1969    populations. —    In  1969,    high-density   population 
areas  were  generally    found    in    the    eastern  Great   Plains   and   western 
Central    Lowlands    (fig.    6).      This   area   of   high   density   contained 
50   percent  of    the   Unit's   population  and    31   percent  of    the    total   land 
area.      The  mean  BDI    for    the  high-density   area    (36.6   doves    per   route) 
was    2.3    times    that   of    the  low-density   area    (16.1   doves    per    route). 

The  Central  Management  Unit   BDI   declined   an  average   of    7.6   per- 
cent  from    24.3    to    22.5   doves   heard    per   route  between  1968   and    1969 
(appendix    table  Al) .      During    the   same  period,    the   high-density   area 
BDI   declined   17.4    percent    from   44.3    to    36.6  doves    per   route,    while 
the   low-density   population  area   decreased    5.3   percent    from  17.0    to 
16.1   doves    heard    per   route.      The   BDI    for    the   combined   hunting   States 
decreased    7.0   percent   from    25.4    to    23.6   doves   heard    per   route  between 
1968   and    1969.      For    the  combined   nonhunting    States,    the   BDI   decreased 
8.5  percent   from   23.0    to    21.0   doves   per   route. 2/ 

Although   no    important   shift   in    the  high-density   area    occurred 
between   1968   and    1969,    a   geographical    expansion  of    this   area  was 
evident   in  1969    (fig.    6  and   appendix    table  A3).      Physiographic    regions 
035,    131,    and    139    replaced   regions    216  and    138   between  1968  and    1969. 

Long-term    trends,    1959    to    1969. — In  1969,    the  Central   Unit,    the 
combined   hunting    States,    and    the   combined    nonhunting   States    BYl's   were 
the   lowest   for    the   11-year   period    (appendix    table  A2) .      This    is    the 
third    successive  annual   decline   in   the  Central   Unit   and    its    nonhunting 
States    (Ruos   and  MacDonald,    1970).      Current   population   levels   are  well 
below   the  preceding   10-year  means:      Central   Unit,    -15.4   percent;    com- 
bined hunting   States,    -8.9   percent;    and   combined    nonhunting   States, 
-23.2  percent    (appendix    table  A2) . 

Annual  BYI  values    shown   in   figures    7   and   10   reflect  population 
levels   between  1959   and    1969.      Linear   regression  analyses    of    these 
data   are  presented    in  appendix    table  A4   and    figure  9.      A   significant 
downward    trend    in  dove  populations   occurred    in   each  area.      The  annual 
rates   of   change   in  BYl's   were  calculated   as    follows:      Central  Unit, 
-3.1   percent;    hunting    States,    -2.2  percent;    and    nonhunting    States, 
-4.3   percent. 


1/    South  Dakota   data    included    in  nonhunting   States    subunit.      Hunting 
was   permitted    in  1967   and   1968,    but  a   change   in   subunit  designation 
will   not  be  made  until    1970. 


21 


Status    of    the  Western  Management  Unit   population 

1968    to    1969   populations. — In  1969,    the  high-density   population 
areas    in   this    Unit  are    in   the   California    Coast  Range,    Sonoran  Desert, 
Mexican  Highland,    and   parts   of    the  Columbia   and   Colorado   Plateaus 
(fig.    6) .      These   areas    include   54   percent   of    the  population  and    24 
percent   of    the   Unit   land   area.      The  mean  BDI   of    the  high-density  areas 
(34.8   doves    per  route)    was    3.7    times    that  of    the   low-density  areas 
(9.4   doves    per   route). 

No    significant   change    in   the  BDI   occurred    in   the  Western  Manage- 
ment  Unit  between   1968  and    1969   as    evidenced  by   a  mean  of    15.51   and 
15.52  doves    per  route   for    these  years    (appendix    table  Al) .      During 
this    same  period,    the  high-density   area   BDI    increased    20.8   percent 
from    28.8    to   34.8   doves    heard    per  route,    while    the   low-density   area 
BDI   declined   8.7    percent   from  10.3    to    9.4   doves   heard    per  route.      All 
States   within   the  Western  Management   Unit  hunt  mourning   doves. 

No  major  change    in   the   geographical   distribution  of    the  high- 
density  area   between  1968   and   1969   was    evident,    although  physiographic 
region   215   replaced   regions    203   and    214    in  1969. 

Long-term    trends,    1959    to    1969. — Although    the  Western  Unit   popula- 
tion level   did   not   change  appreciably   between  1968   and   1969,    the  current 
BYI    is    the   lowest   for    the  11-year   period    (appendix    table  A2) ,    and    is 
21.3   percent  below    the  preceding   10-year  mean. 

BYl's    for    the  Western  Unit  are  presented    in  appendix    table  A2  and 
figure   7.      They    indicate  a   rather  uniform  rate  of   decline  between  1959 
and   1969,    except   for   a    notable   increase    in  1964.      A   linear   regression 
analysis    (appendix    table  A4)    shows   a  mean  rate  of   decline  of    3.6  percent 
per   year   during    the   11-year   period. 

Statistical   significance  of    data 

1968    to   1969. — No    significant    (P<0.05)    changes   occurred    in   the 
BDl's   of  any  management  unit  or    in   the  combined   hunting   or    nonhunting 
States   of   any  unit  between  1968   and    1969.      Although   not  designed    to 
detect   population  changes   within  States,    the   survey   showed    significant 
declines    in  North  Carolina,    Missouri,    and   Minnesota.      In  no   State  did 
the    index    increase  significantly. 


22 


A   study   of    physiographic    region  data    obtained   from    the   1968   and 
1969  call-count   surveys   was   also  made.      As    identified    in  figure   1, 
significant    (P<0.05)    decreases    in   the  BDI  were  observed    in  sections 
of    the  Atlantic    Coastal   Plain  from   North   Carolina    to   New  Jersey 
(region  031),    the   Central   Lowlands    in   Iowa,    Missouri,    and    Nebraska 
(125),    and    in   the  Great  Basin  of    Nevada,    Utah,    and   California    (221). 
No    significant    increases   occurred    in  any  region. 

Long-term    trends,    1959    to    1969. — Statistical   analyses    of    the 
1959-69   data   revealed    that   significant    (P<0.05)    downward    trends    in 
BYl's   occurred    in  all  management  units  and    submanagement  units, 
except   in   the  combined    nonhunting    States    of    the  Eastern  Unit    (appen- 
dix   table  A4)  .      No    statistical   significance  could    be  attached    to    the 
observed   upward    trend    shown  for    the   nonhunting    States   of    the  Eastern 
Management  Unit. 


23 


REFERENCES 

Fenneman,    Nevin  M. 

1931.      Physiography   of   western  United    States.      McGraw-Hill 
Book  Company,    New  York.      534   p. 


1938.      Physiography   of    eastern  United    States.      McGraw-Hill 
Book  Company,    New  York.      714    p. 

Foote,    Leonard    E. 

1959.      A   sampling  design  for  mourning  dove  call   counts.      A 
report    to    the  Bureau   of    Sport  Fisheries   and   Wildlife,    U.S. 
Fish  and   Wildlife   Service,    from   The  Wildlife  Management 
Institute.       (Unpublished   report.)      December.      47    p.    +   24 
tables   +  appendix. 

,    and   Harold    S.    Peters 


1952.      Introduction,    p.    1-3    in  Investigations   of   methods   of 
appraising    the  abundance  of  mourning   doves.      U.S.    Fish  and 
Wildlife  Service,    Special    Scientific   Report — Wildlife  No.    17 

,    Harold    S.    Peters,    and  Alva  L.    Finkner. 


1958.      Design   tests   for  mourning   dove  call-count   sampling    in 
seven  southeastern   States.      Journal   of   Wildlife  Management, 
vol.    22,    No.    4,    p.    402-403. 

Frankel,    Arthur    I.,    and   Thomas    S.    Baskett. 

1961.      The   effect   of   pairing   on  cooing   of   penned   mourning 
doves.      Journal   of  Wildlife  Management,    vol.    25,    No.    4, 
p.    37  2-384. 

Irby,    Harold   D. 

1964.  The  relationship  of  calling  behavior  to  mourning  dove 
populations  and  production  in  southern  Arizona.  Unpublished 
Ph.D.    dissertation,    University   of  Arizona.      100   p. 

Jackson,    Gary   L. ,    and    Thomas    S.    Baskett. 

1964.      Perch-cooing  and   other   aspects   of   breeding   behavior   of 
mourning   doves.      Journal    of  Wildlife  Management,    vol.    28, 
No.    2,    p.    293-307. 

Ruos,    James   L.  ,    and   Duncan  MacDonald. 

1968.      Mourning  dove   status   report,    1967.      U.S.    Bureau  of    Sport 
Fisheries  and   Wildlife,    Special   Scientific   Report — Wildlife 
No.    121.      23    p. 


24 


Ruos,    James    L.  ,    and   Duncan  MacDonald  . 

1970.      Mourning  dove  status   report,    1968.      U.S.    Bureau   of    Sport 
Fisheries   and   Wildlife,    Special    Scientific   Report — Wildlife 
No.    129.      38    p. 

(U.S.)    Bureau   of    Sport  Fisheries   and   Wildlife. 

1957.      Mourning   Dove   Newsletter,    No.    12.      30   p. 

Wight,    Howard  M. 

1964.      Matedness    in    the  mourning  dove  and    its    effect  on   the 
nationwide  dove-call   census.      Trans.    29th  North  American 
Wildlife  and   Resources    Conference,    p.    270-281. 


25 


APPENDIX 


26 


Table  Al. — Changes    in  population  density   indexes   for  breediig  -nourning  dovt 

1958-69 

EASTERN    MANAGEMENT    UNIT   -   HINTING  STATES 


Average 

doves 

heard /route 

Comparable 
r  >utes 

(w 

eight. 

ad) 

1/ 

Percent 

State 

1963 

1959 

change  2/4/ 

Ala. 

25 

16.85 

20.59 

+22.2 

Del, 

0 

Fla. 

16 

5o82 

6.02 

+    3.4 

Ga. 

21 

18.12 

19.78 

+   9.2 

111. 

13 

32.50 

26.68 

-17.9 

Ky. 

16 

26.42 

26.37 

-   0.2 

La. 

IS 

3.79 

3.86 

^   0.8 

Md. 

8 

12.47 

11.91 

-   4.5 

Miss. 

18 

22.60 

24.39 

<■    7.9 

N.C. 

16 

31.70 

25.58 

-19.3** 

Pa. 

14 

10.69 

11.55 

i-   8.0 

R,I.  y 

2 

7.50 

7.00 

-   6.7 

S.C. 

16 

30.07 

30,58 

+    2.0 

Tenn. 

20 

18.14 

17.42 

-  4.0 

Va. 

8 

28.80 

22.03 

-23.3 

W.   Va. 

5 

3.01 



3.42 

+  13.6 

Subtotal 

216 

18.87 

18.40 

-   2.49 

EASTERN 

MANAGEMENT   O'NIt    - 

NOiNPUNUNG  STATES 

Conn. 

2 

6.00 

1.50 

-75.0* 

Ind. 

9 

31.79 

30.62 

-   3„7 

Maine  ±/ 

2 

1.00 

1.50 

+  50.0 

Mass. 

3 

4.91 

1.43 

-70.9 

Mich. 

14 

6.83 

8.81 

+29.0 

n„h.  y 

3 

4.33 

4.00 

-   7.6 

N.J. 

3 

23.29 

20.30 

-12.8 

N.Yo 

12 

8.28 

7.12 

-14.0 

Ohio 
Vt.    1/ 

10 

26.88 

30o46 

+  13.3 

2 

3.50 

2.00 

-42  o  9 

Wis. 

16 

12.49 

10.82 

-13.4 

Subtotal 

76 

15o58 

15„64 

+   0.39 

Eastern  Unit 

Total 

292 

17.86 

17.55 

-    1.74 

27 


Table  Al.--Caa.iges  in  population  density  indexes  for  breeding  mourning  doves, 

1963-69—  contiiu.-.d 

CENTRAL  MANAGEMENT   UNIT    -   HUNTING   STATES 


Average  doves 

he. 

ard/rou 

te 



Comparable 
routes 

(weight 

ed) 

1/ 

1959 

— 

Percent 

State 

1968 

cha.ige   3/4/ 

Ark. 

8 

27.89 

31.05 

+  11,3 

Colo. 

9 

10.06 

14.39 

+43.0 

Kans. 

15 

55.81 

61.85 

+  10.3 

Mo. 

13 

33.74 

24.97 

-35.5*** 

N.    Mex. 

15 

19.61 

13.52 

-31.1 

Okla. 

9 

43.63 

35.78 

-18.0 

Tex. 

30 

16.26 

15.54 

-   4.4 

Subtota' 

L 

99 

25.36 

23.59 

-   6.98 

CENTRAL  MANAGEMENT   JNT'I    -   NONHUNTING   STATES 

Iowa 

9 

35.77 

30.17 

-15.7 

Mini. 

8 

14.19 

7.44 

-47.6** 

Mont. 

6 

4.34 

5.04 

+  16.1 

Nebr. 

17 

45.72 

45.63 

-   0.2 

N.    Dak. 

21 

24.82 

20.78 

-16.3 

S.    Dak„ 

5/ 

10 

50.20 

'45.94 

-   8.5 

Wyoo 

6 

2.78 

5.18 

+122.3 

Subtota' 

L 

77 

22.97 

21.02 

-   8.49 

Cent  cal 

Unit 

Total 

176 

24.34 

22.49 

-   7.60 

WESTERN 

MIANAGEMENT   UNIT    - 

HUN 

CING   ST 

ATS3 

Ariz. 

32 

34.01 

38.50 

+  13.2 

Calif. 

48 

11.75 

11.3'+ 

-   3.5 

Id  a '10 

5 

9.41 

8.91 

-    5.3 

Nevo 

8 

11.14 

8.56 

-23.2 

Oreg. 

18 

15.58 

17.65 

+  13.3 

Utah 

10 

15.04 

10.57 

-29.7 

Wash. 

17 

7.96 

3.44 

+   6.0 

Western 

Unit 

Total 

138 

15.51 

15.52 

+   0.05 

28 


Table  Al. --Changes    in  population  density   indexes   for  brewing  mourning  doves, 

1968-69 — continued 


United 
States 


Comparable 
routes 


Average  doves   haard/route 
(weighted)  _ 


1968 


1969 


Percent 
change  2./4/ 


Hunt  ing 
States 


453 


20o13 


1^.34 


3.92 


Nonhunting 
States 


153 


20„67 


19.3'4 


-   6.43 


United   States 

Total  606 


20.29 


19,34 


4.68 


1/  Except   a.;   noted,    State  and  management   unit    Lndexaa   .■tare  obtained   froa 
comparable,    randomized    route  data   adjusted   for  variation   in  the   land 
area  of  each  physiographic   region  represented. 

2/  State    indexes   obtained   from  comparable,    non-randomized   route  data  not 
weighted  by  physiographic   region.      State  data  not   represented    in  the 
respective  management   unit  means. 

3/  Probability  that   the  direction  of   the   observed    change  was  due  to 
sampling  error:      *10  percent    -  **5   percent    -  ***1   percent. 

4/  Percent    change   calculated  using  data  carried   to   3  decimal   places, 
hence  the   apparent   rounding  error. 

5/  South  Dakota—hunting   State    in   1967    and    1968. 


29 


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«  U.   S.   COVrnNMKNT    PRINTING   OFFICE  :  1970  O  -  402-299 


As  the  Nation's  principal  conservation  agency,  the  Department 
of  the  Interior  has  basic  responsibilities  for  water,  fish,  wildlife, 
mineral,  land,  park,  and  recreational  resources.  Indian  and  Ter- 
ritorial affairs  are  other  major  concerns  of  this  department  of 
natural  resources. 

The  Department  works  to  assure  the  wisest  choice  in  managing 
all  our  resources  so  that  each  shall  make  its  full  contribution  to 
a  better  United  States  now  and  in  the  future. 


UNITED    STATES 

DEPARTMENT    OF    THE     INTERIOR 

FISH     AND    WILDLIFE    SERVICE 

BUREAU    OF    SPORT    FISHERIES    AND    WILDLIFE 

WASHINGTON.     D.    C.     2024Q 


POSTAGE    AND    FEES    PAID 
U.S.      DEPARTMENT     OF     THE     INTERIOR