338.437992 F2mbvm 1995 m 41 41 ^lOICONOfHIG iTUDU A Li$75 ($$ in thousands) Full Sample 19% 36% 30% 15% Resident 20% 38% 31% 11% Nonresident 11% 25% 25% 39% Section I of the survey asked respondents questions about their mountain lion hunting/chasing as well as a number of questions regarding their reasons for hunting. Table 2. provides details about the hunter's 1993-1994 season. The major differences between resident and nonresident hunter's trips lies in the miles driven, number of years hunting mountain lions and the number of trips to the hunting area. While the average (mean) number of trips by residents and nonresidents is 13 and 3 trips respectively, the median number of trips is only 6 and 1. It is obvious that some of the sample took multiple trips to the huntina area. TABLE 2 : Trip characteristics for resident and nonresident mountain lion hunters. RESIDENTS NONRESIDENTS FULL SAMPLE Mean Median N Mean Median N Mean Median N Yrs Hunted Lion 5.8 3 449 3 1 72 5.5 3 543 Yrs Hunted Lion in Montana 5.6 3 444 2 1 72 5.1 3 537 Days/yr hunted lion in Montana 14 8 431 7.5 7 70 13 7 521 Days/yr chased lions in MT . 13 10 206 6.4 4 19 12 8 234 # of Trips 13 6 342 3 1 55 12 5 408 Lions treed. 14 4 301 3 2 59 12 3 373 Lions killed 2 1 198 1 1 45 2 1 256 Mountain Lion Hunter Motivation and Management Preferences : It is important to wildlife managers to understand the reasons a person chooses to mountain lion hunt and the reasons they chose the area they did to hunt . Understanding how hunters feel about mountain lion management is also of interest to managers. A number of questions were asked in the Montana Mountain Lion Hunter Survey to provide insight into these areas. Table 3 . presents the information on why respondents hunted mountain lions. The top three reasons were: to be outdoors, to be in a natural setting, and to learn about lions. The least important reason was for hunting mountain lions was to take a lion . Some of the reasons hunters chose an area to hunt and their importance are given in Table 4 . The most important reasons given for choosing an area was high lion numbers and good access followed by being able to hunt with family/friends and familiarity with the area. Table 3. General reasons for mountain lion hunting. Very Not Very Not at All Important Important Important Important For the solitude 29% 50% 17% 4% Test hunt skills 19% 47% 26% 8% Kill trophy lion 15% 37% 36% 13% To be outdoors 65% 33% 1% 1% Take a lion 13% 31% 41% 16% Natural setting 43% 46% 9% 2% Learn about lions 34% 52% 11% 4% To run my dogs 32% 21% 13% 33% Table 4. Reasons for choosing a mountain lion hunting area. Very Not Very Not at all Important Important Important Important Good Access 44% 39% 14% 3% High Lion numbers 32% 54% 12% 2% Close to home 23% 40% 27% 10% Chance for trophy 21% 36% 33% 10% Hunt with family/ friends 36% 41% 16% 7% Familiar w/ area 31% 42% 21% 6% Mountain Lion Hunter Opinions on Management Options The questions regarding the management of mountain lion hunting provide insight into how hunters feel about lion populations, hunter numbers, access, etc.. Only twenty four percent of respondents felt there were too many hunters where they hunt mountain lions. These individuals were asked to rank a number of options to reduce hunter numbers . Forty percent (40%) of respondents felt that reducing the number of nonresident hunters was the solution while twenty percent (20%) felt that restricting vehicular traffic would help solve the problem. Table 5 . Options to Reduce Hunter Numbers % N Choose time period 7 11 Restrict veh. traffic 20 31 Restrict NR hunters 40 63 Permit Only 7 11 Choose hunting area 17 27 Other 9 14 10 Access is a concern for most hunters in Montana. Respondents were asked if "The opportunity to hunt/chase lions where you want" was restricted in the areas they hunted. A majority of lion hunters (56%) didn't feel access was a problem. Those who did were then asked what they felt was the major reason. As Table 6. points out, not being able to hunt private land and road closures were the biggest problems . Table 6 . Why access is restricted? % N Limited public hunting on private lands 39 107 Too many road closures 36 97 Not enough public land 3 9 Limited access to public land 10 26 Subdivisions 3 7 Other 9 25 Respondent's were also asked about the quality of mountain lion hunting in Montana. Ninety two percent (92%) of them felt that lion hunting was good or excellent. Only two percent (2%) responded that lion hunting was poor. The majority of hunters (74%) thought that lion numbers in the areas they hunted had increased and twenty one percent believed lion numbers had stabilized. The remaining five percent felt mountain lion numbers had decreased. Respondents were also asked if lion hunting without dogs should be allowed during the general big game hunting season. Fifty eight (58%) percent of those responding said yes while forty two (42%) said no. Those individuals who chase lions were asked if there are too many houndsmen where they chase lions? A large majority, 82% said no. Those that did feel there are too many houndsmen where they chase lions were asked which option listed they thought might reduce the problem. More individuals felt reducing the number of nonresident houndsmen would solve the problem. Restricting vehicular traffic and choosing your area to chase lions were also possible options to reduce the numbers of lion chasers . 11 Table 7. Options to reduce the number of chase participants. % N Choose time period to chase 5 5 Restrict vehicular traffic 19 18 Restrict number of nonresident houndsmen 39 37 Permit only 8 8 Choose your chase area 20 19 Other 9 9 Mountain Lion Hunter Expenditures Lion hunters were asked to provide i their 1993-1994 lion hunt/chase seas transportation, food, lodging, outfi fees. Resident hunters spent an ave Nonresidents spent considerably more $3493.00 per season due to the long the outfitter/guide fees they paid, presented in detail in Table 8. Ove spent approximately 1.7 million doll hunt/chase seasons pursuing lions in nformation about the costs of on. The categories were tter/guide fees, and access rage of $789.00 per season. than resident hunters, distances they traveled and This information is rail, mountain lion hunters ars during the 1993/1994 Montana . Respondents were also asked to estimate the current market value of their hunting/chasing equipment. This included kennels, dog trailers, radio collars, dogs, etc.. Residents reported they had about $6300 invested in these items, while nonresidents valued their equipment at $5800. Asked how much they spent on just their hounds during the year, residents and nonresidents reported spending $850 and $1050 respectively. 12 Table 8. Mountain Lion Hunter Expenditures, by Residency, 1994 Expenditure Category Residents Nonresidents Mean ($) Median ($) Mean ($) Median ($) Transportation 334 150 589 500 Lodging 193 150 260 200 Food/Beverages 133 50 189 200 Access Fees 129 15 214 250 Season Subtotal 789 365 1257 1150 Guide Fees 737 225 2241 2500 SEASON TOTAL 1526 590 3493 3650 Total / Per Trip 61 61 1164 3650 Total / Per Day 29 20 250 332 The per day and per trip estimates for residents are based on the season subtotal since only 20 hunters used the services of a guide or outfitter. A significant number of nonresident lion hunters used the services of a guide/outfitter so their per trip and per day values are based on the season total estimate. Expenditures were also broken out for resident and nonresident hunters who owned dogs. Resident hunters owning dogs spent considerably more than the average resident hunter - $1281 per season compared to $789. There was very little difference in the expenditures of the two nonresident groups - $3800 for those who owned dogs compared to $3650 for those who did not. 13 CHAPTER IV CONTINGENT VALUATION ESTIMATES Valuation Questions Asked Mountain lion hunters were asked how much they spent on lion hunting/chasing during the 1993/1994 season as well as what this activity was worth to them over and above what they actually spent. A dichotomous choice contingent valuation question format was used. The actual question read: Suppose that everything about this last season was the same except your trip expenses increased by Sxxxx , would you still have hunted/chased Mtn. lions? This economic valuation question presented the respondent with a specific dollar amount which he/she could response "yes or no" to, similar to an actual market situation. The dollar amounts ($xxxx) were one of ten predetermined bid levels and were randomly selected ranging from $25 to $500. Outlier and Protest Responses The analysis of the responses to the CVM questions requires that responses to these questions be excluded if they are willing but unable to pay the stated bid amount or they are protesting in some way the hypothetical market. In the first case, if a respondent answers yes to the bid amount but is obviously unable to pay this amount based on their income they are removed from the analysis. Economic theory requires both a willingness and ability to pay. Ability to pay was calculated by determining what percent of their income hunters were spending on mountain lion hunting/chasing. The following equation shows how this was calculated: Percent = (Total + Bid) / Income where : Total = total amount spent for the season Bid = bid amount asked Income= reported annual income Initially, all respondents with a Percent equal to or greater than one were excluded since this group obviously lacks the 14 ability to pay since the amount they said they would pay exceeds their income. The other group of respondents excluded from the analysis were those hunters who were protesting the simulated market. The U.S. Water Resource Council recommends that a followup question be asked to determine the reasons for a negative response. Mountain lion hunters who indicated they would not pay the bid amount but had a valid reason were left in the sample. Hunters were excluded from the sample as protest bids if they indicated they did not understand the question or were opposed to any increases in fees or taxes, etc. Model Specification Lion hunters' net willingness to pay (net economic value) was estimated by analyzing their responses to the CVM question using logistic regression. A comprehensive discussion of this theory and methods is provided in Duf field and Patterson (1991) . Economic theory suggests that particular variables will influence an individual's response to a CVM question. This study used a bivariate model that regressed "yes and no" responses upon the bid amounts asked. It is assumed that as the bid amount increases, the probability of a "yes" response will decrease. The specification of the logit equation is shown in Equation 1. ln(P/l-P) = BO + Bl In(Bid) where: P = probability of a "yes" response Bid = dollar amount of increased trip costs respondent was asked to pay. The estimated equations are shown in Appendix B. The coefficients for the independent variable In (Bid) had the expected sign (negative) and were significant at the 95% level. Based on the results of the models, the responses are logical and consistent with economic theory. Benefit Estimates The measure of economic benefits (net economic value) used in this study is the truncated mean. The bivariate form of the model can be graphed with the probability of a "yes" response on the vertical axis and the bid amount on the horizontal axis. Graphing this relationship shows a high probability of acceptance at low bid amounts with the probability decreasing and approaching zero at high bid levels. Integrating the logit function from zero to an upper limit, generally the highest bid 15 amount, provides an estimate of the mean or maximum willingness to pay. The upper level of integration for the mountain lion study was $500.00, the highest bid level. While there is no analytical method for deriving standard errors of the truncated means, a bootstrapping procedure by Duf field and Patterson (1991) provides reliable estimates. Table 9. presents the estimates of net economic value associated with mountain lion hunting. These estimates are for resident and nonresidents lion hunters and represent the value these individuals place on hunting/chasing mountain lions over their actual costs. Resident hunters valued their hunting/chasing at $25.00 per trip while nonresidents valued their trips at $125.00. This is not surprising given their higher income levels and the length of time they have to hunt lions. Table 9. Montana mountain lion hunting net economic values: Per season and per day - 1994 Model Sample Size Net Economic Value (Truncated Mean) * Per Trip ($) Per Day ($) Entire Sample 563 27.50 25.00 Residents 476 25.00 25.00 Nonresidents 77 125.00 50.00 *The truncation point for the mean value estimate was $500.00, the maximum bid level. The total net economic value of mountain lion hunting is estimated to be $450,525 for the 1993/1994 hunt/chase season. This includes both resident and nonresident value calculated at $369,525 and $81,000 respectively. 16 LITERATURE CITED Bishop, R. C, and T. A. Heberlein. 1985. The contingent valuation method. Paper presented at the National Workshop on Non- Market valuation Methods and Their use in Environmental Planning, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand. Dec. 2-5. Brooks, R. 1993. Montana Bioeconomics Study - A Contingent Valuation Assessment of Black Bear Hunting: Hunter Attitudes and Economic Benefits. Montana Department of Fish, Wildl . and Parks, Bozeman, Mt . Dillman, D. 1978. Mail and telephone surveys. John Wiley and Sons, New York, NY Duf field, J. W. and C. Neher. 1991. Montana Bioeconomics Study - A Contingent Valuation Assessment of Montana Waterfowl Hunting: Hunter Attitudess and Economic Benefits. Montana Department of Fish, Wildl. and Parks. Bozeman, Mt . Duf field, J. D., and D. Patterson. 1991. Interference and optimal design for the welfare measure in logistic contingent valuation. Land Economics. 67 (2) (forthcoming. May). Duf field, J. W. 1988. The net economic value of elk hunting in Montana. Montana Dept . Fish, Wildl. and Parks. Bozeman, Mt . Fay, G. and M. Thomas. 1986. Moose Hunter Economic Expenditures and Use Survey, Southeast Alaska. Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Division of Habitat and Game. Habitat Technical Report 86- 8. Just, R. E., D. L. Hueth, and A. Schmitz. 1982. Applied welfare economics and public policy. Prentice Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, NJ. U.S. Department of Interior. 1986. 1986 natural resource damage assessments: final rule. 43 CFR Part 11, Federal Register Vol. 58, No. 14 8. August 1. U.S. Water Resources Council. 1983. Economic and environmental principles for water and related land resources implementation studies. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office. Welsh, M. P. 1986. Exploring the accuracy of the contingent valuation method: comparisons with simulated markets. Unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Dept. of Agricultural Economics, University of Wisconsin, Madison. 17 APPENDIX A Montana Mountain Lion Hunting Survey 1993/1994 18 MONTANA MOUNTAIN LION HUNTING SURVEY 1993/1994 i 6 V -^ — X ■= w *- - S E - ra — — .9 o — c o ro o z 8. E Di t: o a CT> E c c — TO ^ o o ■c ?, -c 2 o o — u. O VI E " u C 0) , 0) := c ^ - to 8 '4 :§ 8. o *" c »- o CD < z o p (/) tu 3 o < EC UJ z UJ o UJ .. s< O Z w < ii UJ z ^3 h-'Z w p 5 5^ z O o UJ UJ w to < < I X o o 0) ^ '-u ~ Q ? 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UJ ^ oc § 5 8 •D 8. 0) £ a F F n o HI I 1- o z !5 2 o Q CO < 1- (/5 (0 Z X UJ c 3 CO o 3 1- cn QC z UJ j: UJ 1— m ^ O z CE "2 z 3 Z3 io X o z o >■ CO C tr UJ Q CO z o 3 UJ > O Q z 3 O S _l z u < o t- o 5i 1- »- E ^i o UJ 3 o o o5 to m 3 f2 3 < o w-J (— :*: •*^ UJ z z z E so Ouj UJ IT < X o 5" UJ < si UJ o z >- 3 o >- UJ CO 3 UJ rsi < Q. 3 i o 3 UJ UJ UJ m 5 I z> CE H _l UJ 5 < 55 ■r^ 10 - 3 >• o —:■ 5 ^5 £ TO = >, =* ™ m 'I ~ 3 ■£ J2 § E i > a> -*• 3 " = o 2 o 3 O Q o " S j:; T £ 3 CJ) £ 5 ■ ro < O) ~ o> iii o ^ 0) (3 S :£ Z o — ^ ? ^ - — 0) -'- o » ^ a: s. 2 a n c c c: c c (D a> o o Q> n Q. CL a. Ci w W) tf> E E E E O 7. During the hunting season this year, were you...? (Check one) Employed full time Retired Employed part time Homemaker Unemployed Other: 8. Please check your household's income before taxes last year: Under 5,000 20,000-24,999 40,000-49,000 5,000-9,999 25,000-29,999 50,000-74,999 10,000-14,999 30,000-34,999 75,000-100.000 15,000-19.999 35,000-39,999 over 100,000 Thank you for your help. Is there anything else you'd like to tell us about Lion hunting/chasing? We would appreciate any comments. -7- APPENDIX B Estimated bivariate logistic contingent valuation equations Model Statistics Likelihood Ratio-Goodness of Fit Test Intercept Log (Bid) Degrees of Freedom Chi Sguare p-Value Full Sample 6.23 -1.034 8 13.38 .099 Residents 6.74 -1.14 8 13.40 .098 Nonresdnts 3 .62 - .47 8 4 .31 .83 19