\ 93943

1216158

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL

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THESIS

AN ERROR ANALYSIS OF RANGE-AZIMUTH POSITIONING

by David A. Waltz September 1983

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AN ERROR ANALYSIS OF RANGE -AZIMUTH POSITIONING

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Master's Thesis September, 1983

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David A. Waltz

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Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, California 93943

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Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, California 93943

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September, 1983

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It. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES

1*. KEY WOROS (Continue on roetto aid* It noeotety and Identity by block number)

Hydrography, surveying, range-azimuth, theodolites, hydrographic surveying

20. ABSTRACT 'Condnua on rovmrmo tide II neceeeery and identity by block number)

Pointing error standard deviations for two theodolites, the Wild T-2 and Odom Aztrac, were determined under conditions closely approximating those of range-azimuth or azimuth-azimuth hydrographic surveys. Pointing errors found for both instruments were about 1.3 meters, and were independent of distance. No statistical difference between the errors of the two instruments was found. The accuracy of the interpolation methods used by the National Ocean Service (NOS) for range-azimuth positioning were investigated, and an average inverse

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distance of about 2.5 meters was observed between interpolated positions and corresponding observed positions. The overall range-azimuth position errors of the two theodolites were then compared to positioning standards of NOS and the International Hydrographic Organization, using assumed ranging standard deviations of 1.0 and 3.0 meters. Both instruments met all standards except the NOS range-azimuth standard for 1:5,000 scale surveys. Interpolated positions may fail to meet more of the standards because of additional inherent error.

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An Error Analysis of Range-Aziaath Positioning

by

David A. Waltz Lieutenant, National Oceanic and'' Atmospheric Administration B.S., University of Alabama, 1971

Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of

MASTER OF SCIENCE IN OCEANOGRAPHY (HYDROGRAPHY)

from the

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL September, 1983

ABSTRACT

Feinting error standard deviations for two theodolites, the Wild T-2 and Odom Aztrac, were determined under condi- tions closely approximating those of range-azimuth or azimuth-azimuth hydrographic surveys. Pointing errors found for both instruments were about 1.3 meters, and were inde- pendent of distance. No statistical difference between the errors of the two instruments was found. The accuracy of the interpolation methods used by the National Ocean Service (NOS) for range-azimuth positioning were investigated, and an average inverse distance of about 2.5 meters was observed between interpolated positions and corresponding observed positions. The overall range-azimuth position errors of the two theodolites were then compared to positioning standards of NOS and the International Hydrographic Organization, using assumed ranging standard deviations of 1.0 and 3.0 meters. Both instruments met ail standards except the NOS range-azimuth standard for 1:5,000 scale surveys. Interpolated positions may fail zc meet more of the stan- dards because of additional inherent error.

TABLE OP CONTENTS

I. INTRODUCTION 9

A. THE RANGE-AZIMUTH POSITIONING METHOD 9

B. HYDROGRAPHIC POSITION ERROR STANDARDS .... 12

C. OBJECTIVES 14

II. ERROR INDICES AND RANGE-AZIMUTH GEOMETRY 20

A. DEFINITIONS 20

1. E landers 2 2

2. Systematic Errors 23

3. Random Errors 24

3. TWO-DIMENSIONAL ERROR FI3URES 26

1. Concentric and Eccsntric G=cm=try .... 27

2. The Error Ellipse 29

3. Root Bean Square Distance 33

4. Circular Standard Error 35

C. THE ERROR OF AN INTERPOLATED FIX 37

1. Interpolation Algorithms 37

2. Error Propagation 39

III. EXPERIMENT DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION 43

A. FIELD WORK 43

3. THEODOLITE POINTING ERROR 47

C. INTERPOLATION ALGORITHM EVALUATION 49

D. CHOICE OF EXPERIMENTAL CONDITIONS 51

IV. RESULTS AND DATA ANALYSIS 56

A. DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM 56

3. POINTING ERROR DETERMINATION 56

C. INrERPOLATION EVALUATION 64

D. ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE RESULTS . . 66

S. APPLICATION TO POSITION ERROP STANDARDS ... 72

V. CONCLUSIONS AND R ECO MMENDATIO N S 79

APPENDIX A: SEANS AND STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF

ACQUIRED DATA SETS 85

APPENDIX B: 3E0DETIC POSITION OF HORIZONTAL CONTROL

STATIONS 91

APPENDIX C: EMPIRICAL PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION

PLOTS 92

BIBLIOGRAPHY 98

INITIAL DISTRIBUTION LIST 101

LISP OF TABLES

I. Circular Error Formulae 36

II. Data Acquisition Sequence of Events H5

III. Pointing Error Standard Deviation (pooled estimates) 58

17. Summary of ANOVA Results at 95% confidence . ... 63

V. Results of Interpolation Evaluation 65

VI. Corrected Aztrac Standard Deviation 70

VII. Experiment Precision and Theololite Error .... 72

VIII. Position Standards Comparison 78

IX. 3000 Meter Arc 35

X. 1500 Meter Arc 86

XI. 1000 Meter Arc 37

XII. 700 Meter Arc 88

XIII. 500 Meter Arc 89

XIV. 300 Meter Arc 90

LIST OF FIGURES

1.1 1.2 1.3 2. 1

2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 4. 1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 C. 1 C.2 C.3 C.4 C.5 C.6

Illustration of Range- Aziauth Positioning ... 10

Illustration of Aztrac Shoes Station 17

The Aztrac Transmitting Unit 19

The Normal Probability Curve 25

Eccentric Range-Azimuth Geometry 27

Concentric Range-Azimuth Geometry 28

Eccentric Error Compensation 29

Error Ellipse and d^* 31

A Range-Azimuth Position 32

Variation of dr^s Probability 34

Example of Angular Interpolation 38

Sketch of the Survey Area 44

Lines of Position Observed to the Vessel .... 45

Uncertainty of an Observed Error 48

Interpolation of Angle Only 50

Interpolation of Angle and Distance 50

One-Dimensional Difference 3etween Means .... 66

Two-Dimensicnal Difference Between Means .... 6"^

Probability Density vs. Error 68

Results Compared to d^s 74

Results Compared to 90% Probability 76

Probability Density Plot: 300 m arc 92

Probability Density Plot: 500 m arc 93

Probability Density Plot: 700 m arc 94

Probability Density Plot: 1000 m arc 95

Probability Density Plot: 1500 m arc 96

Probability Density Plot: 3000 m arc 97

I- 5NIS0DUCTIDN

A. THE RANGE-AZIHUTH POSITIONING METHOD

The fundamental purpose of a hydrographic survey is defined by Ingham (197U) as being to "depict the relief of the seabed, including all features, natural and manmade, and to indicate the nature of the seabed in a manner similar to the topographic map of land areas." He goes on to describe two factors defining a single point on the seabed:

(i) "The position of the point in the horizontal plane in, for example, latitude and longitude, grid co-ordinates or anales and distances from known control points.

(ii) The depth of the point below the sea surface, corrected for the vertical distance between the point of measurement and water level and for the height of the tide above the datum or reference level to which depths are to be related. "

Thus the hydrographer must answer the two primary ques- tions of "hew deep" and "where" for each of the thousands of soundings acquired on every survey. Because every area to be surveyed has different geophysical characteristics and levels of use, the hydrographer must possess a suite of tools and techniques to accomplish each survey. A survey of a large metropolitan harbor requires different equipment and measurement precision than one for a deep ocean area.

Only the first of Ingham's two factors cited above is considered, and it is further narrowed in scope to techni- ques used in the most precise surveys. Such a survey might be one of a winding, narrow river carrying deep draft vessels, or perhaps a very large scale survey of an inner harbor. Eoth areas require the highest positioning accuracy and a minimum of shore control stations.

Any method of positioning employs the intersection of lines of position (LOP's) to construct a fix. Although advanced methods may use multiple LDP's, traditional hydrog- raphy uses the simple intersection of two lines to fix the vessel's position. The vessel is located somewhere along each of two lines of position, and the only point satisfying these conditions is the intersection of the lines.

The error associated with one of the simplest posi- tioning methods, that of the two LDP range-azimuth fix, which is illustrated in Figure 1.1, is analyzed.

r

range and azimuth

Figure 1. 1 Illustration of Range- Azimuth Positioning.

Also called the rho/theta method, range-azimuth positioning consists of the observation of a distance and an azimuth to a vessel from either one or two known locations [Ombach, 1976 ]. An example of this method is the use of radar aboard ship. A relative position for a radar contact is determined by observing a radar range and azimuth, or a radar range and visual azimuth, to a contact. The two lines of position

10

always intersect at right angles because the observation is made from a single point, and this concentric geometry provides the strongest fix possible. Mariners also know that the fix obtained via a visual azimuth is stronger than the one using a radar azimuth, because the visual bearing is more accurate.

This example shows the advantages that make the range- azimuth method popular for hydrography. It provides the geometrically strongest possible fix, and only one location on shore need be occupied to control the survey. Such a positioning method is ideal in harbors or rivers where maximum accuracy is needed but where obstructions make ether types of fix geometry impractical. In 1982 the U.S. National Ocean Service (NOS) obtained twenty thousand linear nautical miles of launch hydrography, and sixty percent of this was controlled by the range-azimuth method [Wallace, 1983 ].

There are limitations associated with this method just as with any fix geometry. It is labor intensive and requires more radio communication (to establish fix timing) than mest other methods. In totally nonautoraated situ- ations, distances to the survey vessel are recorded manually aboard the vessel, and azimuths are recorded ashore by the theodolite observer at prescribed intervals. These fix data are later put into computer compatible digital form via a process called logging. Manual recording of these fix data are generally toe slow to position every sounding. Therefore, individual sounding positions must be interpolated from the observed fixes.

Systems have been designed that have an intermediate level of automation. The NOS Hydroplot System is an example of this type [ Wallace, 1967], When used in the range- azimuth mode, the vessel is usually steered along arcs of constant range from the theodolite station, and the

11

Hydroplct System autcmatica lly records a distance measure- ment for each sounding. Azimuths are not telemetered to the vessel but are relayed ovsr voice radio and are manually entered into the computer system. Since the maximum data rate is atout two angles per minute, the interpolation of angles for sounding positions between fixes is necessary.

Recently a digital theodolite, the Odom Aztrac, has been developed which can record and telemeter angles with great speed -- up to ten angles per second [Odom Offshore Surveys, Inc., 1982]. A computer system aboard the survey vessel can thus record and plot an observed position for each sounding. This rapid position fixing, combined with a computer's ability to provide cross-track errsr indications to the helmsman, enables the hydrographer to systematically cover a survey area with maximum efficiency by running straight and parallel sounding lines.

The Aztrac system is still considered a semiautcmated system because an observer is required to manually track the vessel with the theodolite. Two fully automated range- azimuth systems which feature fully automatic tracking have been devolcped. One is the Polarfix system developed by Krupp-Atlas Elektronik in Germany [Smith, 1983], and the ether is the Artemis system developed by Christiaan Huygenslaboratcr ium in the Netherlands [Newell, 1981],

B. HYDROGRAPHIC POSITION ERROR STANDARDS

Historically, most national hydrographic organizations, as well as the International Hydrographic Organization (IKO) , have used linear plotting error at the scale of the survey to be the standard for sounding position accuracy. Prior to 1982, the standards recommended by IHO [IHO, 1968] were:

"The indicated repeatability of a fix (accuracy of location referred to shore

12

control) in the operating area, whether observed by visual or electronic methods, combined with plotting error- shall seldom exceed 1.5 mm 70.05 in) at the scale of the survey. "

The IHO recently published new recommendations for error standards [IHO, 1982] which are:

"... any probable error, measured relative tc shore control, shall seldom exceed twice the minimum plottable error at the scale of the survey (normally 1.0 mm on paper) . "

Neither of the IHO standards make any reference as to what probability level they apply. Munson (1977) inter- preted the words "shall seldom exceed" in the above state- ments to mean "less than 10% of the time", which seems reasonable. The 1982 IHO standard is somewhat confusing due to its use of both the terms "seldoi exceed" and "probable error". The latter term is associated with a 50% prob- ability by most statisticians including Green wait (1971). However, the author of these standards. Commodore A. H. Cooper, HAN (retd) , has stated that he intended no statis- tical significance tc the term "probable error" [Wallace, 1983 ].

The NOS has not yet incorporated the latest IHO stan- dards, but such action is being considered in some form [Wallace, 1983]. Current NOS standards have been developed to ensure that "accuracies attained for all hydrographic surveys conducted by NOS shall equal or exceed the specifi- cations" of the 1968 IHO standards [Ombach, 1976]. Unlike the international standards, the NOS standards for all elec- tronic positioning systems use the concept of root mean square error (drr*s or rmse) , which has a somewhat variable probability of between 68.3 and 63.2 percent. The NOS stan- dards for fully visual and for hybrid (combination elec- tronic and visual) positioning have no explicit reference to probability.

13

Specific operational standards for range- azimuth posi- tioning have been neglected by many hydrographic organiza- tions. However, NOS [Umbach, 1976] requires the following observational procedures bs follows! for all range-azimuth positions.

"Objects sighted on should be at least 500 m from the theodolite... the azimuth check should not exceed one minute of arc... observed azimuths or directions to the sounding vessel for a position fix shall be read to the nearest 1 min of arc or better if necessarv to produce a posi- tional accuracy of 0.5 mm at the scale of the survey. "

Since the range-azimuth method is classified as a hybrid positioning system, it is not referenced to any particular probability, but a reasonable assumption may be made that the drfW<; concept also applies in this case.

The U.S. Naval Oceanographic Office (NAVOCEANO) also requires that its surveys meet the standards of the NOS Hydrographic Manual. The Army Corps of Engineers presently have no formal positioning requirements that must be met by all districts, although draft specifications are being written at this time [Hart, 1983]. The range-azimuth tech- nique and its applicability to Corps of Engineers surveys is discussed in Hart (1977) . No specific requirements for range-azimuth positioning could be found for either the Canadian Hydrographic Service or the British Hydrographic Service. Palikaris (1983) also reports no published stan- dards for these organizations.

C. OBJECTIVES

All position error standards using an explicit prob- ability are based on the idea that an observation is a normally distributed random variable with zero mean and standard deviation <T . These standards require a value for

14

the standard deviation of the component lines of position that make up the fix. The standard deviation is a value such that there is a 68.27% probability of an observation falling within ±1 <T cf the mean. It is unfortunate that of ~en the 1 <T values of a hydrographic measurement are simply not known, or known only for ideal conditions and provided by manufacturers who have a vested interest in the measuring instrument.

This paper and experiment, then, has as its primary purpose the determination of a pointing error standard devi- ation for two theodolites used to measure azimuths under hydrographic conditions. One instrument (the Wild T-2) is the standard used by NOS field unizs. The other (the Odom Aztrac) is a new digital telemetering theodolite, which may prove useful in automating the presently tedious manual methods. No estimation of standard deviation has ever been made on these devices under typical range-azimuth conditions.

The T-2 is the standard instrument used by NOS surveying parties for land surveying and, to a lesser extent, hydrog- raphy. It is a very precise instrument used in third-order horizontal control and provides an angular resolution of one second of arc. However, it dees possess features that are less than ideal for range-azimuth work. The horizontal tangent screw of this instrument is awkward for range- azimuth surveying because it is not an infinite gearing device. The observer often encounters the end of the drive mechanism, stopping the instrument's movement while tracking the vessel, k solution to this problem for many observers is to track the vessel with the tangent screw undamped, then clamp the screw only seconds before the fix occurs.

The inverted image feature of the T-2's in use by NOS simplifies the optical system and reduces optical error. This is satisfactory for land survey work but creates some

15

confusion when tracking a fast moving vessel. This is because the observer sees an image of the survey boat upside down and coving apparently in the opposite direction from its actual movement. Another disadvantage is that the mech- anism for reading the horizontal circle of a T-2 is more complicated than desired for the rapid observations neces- sary in hydrographic survey work. The operator is required to step tracking the vessel, remove his eye from the tele- scope, and use an auxiliary eyepiece to read the angle. There is a practical limit of about 30 seconds to the speed with which successive angles can be observed and read. The particular unit tested was serial namber 30504.

The Odom Aztrac theodolite is a semi-automated, line-of-sight angle measuring system. The Aztrac system consists of a Wild T-16 theodolite (serial number 2534880 was tested) which was modified for infinite tangent drive and to provide angular information in a digital format. The shore unit decodes the observed angle, determines the direc- tion of rotation of the instrument and displays the angle on its front panel. The angle is then converted to binary coded decimal {BCD) format and used to frequency shift key (FSK) an FM transmitter to link the data with the survey vessel. The data is transmitted at the rate of 10 angles per second. On board the vessel the Aztrac receiver converts the received data to parallel form and displays it on the front panel for manual recording. For automated recording or processing by onboard computer a serial data ouout is provided. The Aztrac has an angular resolution of 0.01 degree (36 arc seconds) (Odom, 1983].

With the notable exception of angular resolution, this theodolite is more appropriate for range-azimuth hydrography than the Wild T-2. It has an erect image and infinite tangent screw which allow the vessel to be constantly tracked. Its digital output requires no action on the

16

Figure 1.2 Illustration of Aztrac Shore Station.

17

operator's part to record observed angles. An additional positive feature of the digital output is the ability to rapidly zero the instrument on an initial pointing. This is done by pressing a manual reset button on the instrument control panel. Figures 1.2 and 1.3 show photographs of the Aztrac equipment. Figure 1.2 illustrates a typical shore station. The observer is adjusting the Aztrac instrument, and the transmitter unit is on the ground to ths right of the Aztrac tripod. The distance measuring equipment is mounted on a tripod behind the observer, and the Aztrac transmitting antenna is at the top of a pole on the extreme right of the photograph. Figure 1.3 shows the Aztrac trans- mitter unit, with its digital angular display in hundredths of a degree. Both photographs were provided by Odom Offshore Surveys, Inc.

A seccnd objective of this paper is to evaluate the interpolation methods used by the NOS for range-azimuth work. The availability of the digital theodolite, with its direct measurement of all positions, enabled a comparison of observed and interpolated fixes to be made. This made possible an estimate of whether interpolated positions meet required accuracy standards , and whether direct measurement of all positions is needed. The estimate presented here was not made statistically rigorous so that the thesis could be kept to a manageable size. More theoretical statistical work is needed to fully reduce the interpolation data.

The final objective of this investigation is to compare the position errors of these two instruments with the various position error standards discussed in section 3 of this chapter. The conclusions resulting from this objective will assist the hydrographer to select equipment and oper- ating conditions that meet required position error standards.

18

im -ml

t ■■■>,■' "<^

\

Figure 1.3 The Aztrac Transmitting Unit,

19

II. ERROR INDICES AND RA^GE-iZIMOTH GEOMETRY

The method of range-azimuth positioning is usually selected for large scale surveys because of its simplicity and accuracy. This is the result of both angle and distance measurement devices being co-located, with the intersection of the two lines of position always being ninety degrees. In practice, however, the co-location of both instruments is often not achieved. The result is an eccentric geometry for the position fix. This section will analyze the geometry of both eccentric and concentric fixes. Position error indices in common use will be reviewed and analyzed for the special cases of range-azimuth methods, and the error of an interpolated fix will be derived.

A. DEFINITIONS

Although a complete and general treatment of error theory will not be presented, some basic definitions are necessary to understand the data analysis presented here. The ideas in this section are included in many basic statis- tics textbooks, and were specifically drawn from Wonnacott (1977), Bowditch (1977), Heinzen (1977), Kaplan (1980), and Davis (1981).

Error may be defined as "the difference between a specific value and the correct or standard value" [Bowditch, 1977], or as "the difference between a given measurement and the "true" or "exact" value of the measured quantity" [Davis, 1981]. Mathematically it can be defined as:

e = x.- T (2.1)

A.

20

where e is the error, X; is an observation, and T is the "correct" or "true" value. The word error implies that there is a known true value for a quantity, with which a measurement ma y be compared to find the "error" associated with that measurement. Since the true value of a measured quantity is rarely kncwn, the term "error" is not precisely correct. Davis (1981) states that it is more appropriate to speak of the theory of observations rather than the theory of errors, but it can be shown that the difference between the two is largely one of semantics.

A single aeasurement of a particular quantity may be considered sufficient for many purposes, even if it is known that additional measurements will probably be slightly different than the first. If the quantity to be measured is of sufficient importance, then multiple measurements are made and the sample mean, Y, is used. Each of these multiple measurements can be a considered numerical value for a random variable. A random variable is one that takes on a range of possible values, each associated with a particular probablility.

The sample mean may be expressed mathematically by equa- tion 2.2 [Wcnnacott, 1977]:

i *

X * - IX; (2.2)

where n is the sample size. If the sample size were increased without limit (n > <*>) , aquation 2.2 would give the population mean^< . The sample mean is always an esti- mate of the population mean, which is never directly computed. This leads to the concept of the residual, v, which is the difference between the estimate 7 of the popu- lation mean and the observation x^ . This is shown in equation 2.3.

21

v = X - x^ (2.3)

The residual is computationally the negative of the error. Nevertheless, equation 2.3 is more appropriate because it uses an estimate, X~, of the unknowable population mean^>< . The presence of X in equations 2.3 implies that multiple measurements have been made, and allows e partic- ular confidence to be assigned to the estimate of ^< depending on the number of such measurements. Because the word error is still used in much of the hydrographic profes- sion, it will be used interchangeably in this paper with the term residual. It is important, however, to understand that the concept of the residual, whatever its name may be, is fundamental to any measurement operation.

Errors are classically divided into three groups: blun- ders, systematic errcr, and random errors [Greenwalt, 1962]. Eowditch (1977) and Davis (1981) do not classify errors as including blunders, but like the term error itself, the distinction is largely a semantic one. Ideally blunders and systematic errors are completely eliminated from the data. The most precise measurements reduce random error as much as possible, but it can never be completely eliminated.

1 . Blunders

Blunders are mistakes that are "usually gross in magnitude compared to the other two types of errors" [Davis, 1981], and are most often caused by carelessness on the part of the observer, or by grossly malfunctioning observing equipment. They are usually detected and eliminated by procedural checks during the data aoquistion process. The recognition of a blunder is not always easy, since a blunder "may have any magnitude, and may be positive or negative" [Bowditch, 1977].

22

2 Systematic Errors

Systematic errors are defined by Davis (1981) as those that occur "according to a system which, if known, can always be expressed by mathematical formulation." This mathematical model results in correctors that are applied to all measurements obtained, thus eliminating the systematic errors from the observations. The model may be as simple as a constant corrector subtracted from lengths obtained with a steel tape, or it may be as complicated as modelling the effects of atmospheric refraction on electronic distance measuring equipment.

If the systematic error is such that it cannot be modelled, it is then estimated by a process known as cali- bration. Kaplan (1980) defines calibration as the process of comparing the measuring instrument against a "known" standard. The word "known" is usually operationally defined as a measurement operation or instrument that is much more accurate than the one being calibrated. The difference between the observed and standard value is used as an esti- mate of the total effect of all systematic errors present. This process is very close to the classical concept of "errors" presented above, and is entirely proper for use in the correction of systematic errors [Davis, 1981]. Of course, one must be careful to apply the corrector only to those measurments made under the same conditions as the calibration.

A systematic error found in theodolite or sextant observations is known as the personal error of the observer [Mueller, 1969], [Bowditch, 1977]. This type of error is rarely quantified for hydrogaphic applications, but never- theless it does exist. The observer must rely on the senses of hearing and vision to make measurements, which vary between individuals as well as with time in one individual.

23

Some personal errors are constant and some are erratic [Davis, 1981]. These errors are minimized by training and standardizing observational procedures. The best way to eliminate personal error is by the use of completely automated observation equipment.

3 . Random Errors

"Random errors are chance errors, unpredictable in magnitude or sign", and are "governed by the laws of prob- ability" [Bowditch, 1977], If one assumes that all blurders and systematic errors have been removed from the observa- tions, the remaining values can be regarded as sample values for a random variable. As noted earlier, a random variable can take on a range of values, each associated with a particular probability. A random arror has high probability of being close to the population mean,^ , and a low prob- ability of being very much different than^a [Greenwalt, 1962 ].

A probability density function expresses the rela- tion between a value for a random variable and the prob- ability of its occurrence. Hydrographic survey measurements often use the normal or Gaussian probability density func- tion. A concise explanation of this function is given in Greenwalt (1962) and Kaplan (1980). The function itself is given as equation 2.4, where p (v) is the probability of the occurrence of a particular residual v, and <T is the popula- tion variance which is approximated by the sample variance, St given by equation 2.5.

a

p(v) =

I

exp

2*x

(2.4)

sx =

\r\-

&-*)'

(2.5)

^-i

24

To find the probability of a residual falling between two residuals v, and vx , equation 2.4 must be inte- grated over the interval v, to vz . This corresponds to the area under the gaussian curve between -chose two points, as is shewn in Figure 2.1. If p(v) were integrated from -1<rto 1cT, the area under the curve would be 68.27% of the total area. This means that there is a 63.27% probability of a particular residual falling between plus or minus one stan- dard deviation of the mean, where the standard deviation, C, is defined as the square root of the variance given in equation 2. 5.

Figure 2.1 The Normal Probability Curve.

The combined effect of blunders, systematic errors and randem errors can now be seen in overview. If it is assumed that blunders and systematic errors have been completely eliminated from a set of observations, there remain only random errors. If the sample size is large enough, then the sample mean and variance are good

25

approximations of the population mean and variance. That is, there is a 68.27% probability that any future measure- ments made under the same conditions will not fall farther than plus or minus one standard deviation from the mean.

B. TWO-DIHENSIONAL EEHOR FIGOBES

The two-dimensional error of a position, as applied to the special case of range-azimuth fixes, must next be exam- ined. Two figures, the ellipse and the circle, are used to characterize two-dimensional error. The "error diamond" is also sometimes used but has no statistical significance [Thomson, 1977]. The error ellipse is discussed first since it is the most general index of error. Another is root mean square distance (drrnS ) , also known as root mean square error [Bowditch, 1977 ], which is the radius of a circular figure commonly used in hydrography. It is the error index used for NOS positioning standards [Umbaoh, 1976]. A second circular figure, known as circular standard error, is also examined briefly because of the ease of converting it to circular figures which have different probabilities.

For clarification of the issues involved in this section, the following assumptions are made.

(i) Only random errors are considered.

(ii) Errors associated with each LOP are normally distributed.

(iii) Errors are independent.

(iv) Errors are limited to the two-dimensional case.

(v) LOP's are straight lines at their point

of intersection.

26

These are the same assumptions made by Kaplan (1980), except that Kaplan allows systematic error to be considered in assumption (i). This appears to be an oversight since the remainder of his discussion, from which this section draws heavily, considers only random error.

1 . Concentric and Eccentric Geometry,

Before proceeding further into a discussion of error figures, it is necessary to examine the two special cases of range-azimuth positioning, that of eccentric and concentric geometry. Each is illustrated in Figures 2.2 and 2.3.

vessel position

distance device

theodolite

Figure 2.2 Eccentric Range-Azimuth Geoaetry.

In actual practice the geomatry used is often eccen- tric, but the concentric assumption is made. This is because it is usually difficult to co-locate both theodolite and ranging equipment. Hence, they are offset one or two meters from each other. It should be noted that this assumption will introduce a systematic error in all

27

/

/

/

vessel position

theodolite and distance device

Figure 2.3 Concentric Range-Aziauth Geoaetry.

positions, which must be eliminated before an analysis of random errors can be made. The systematic error is often ignored (by use of the concentric assumption) if the total uncompensated error is within the tolerance of the standards being used. An algorithm for eliminating this error is shown in Figure 2.4 and given by equation 2.6. This algo- rithm assumes thai: the size of d in Figure 2.4 is small compared to r.

c = d cos <J>

(2.6)

where:

c = the corrector to be applied to r r = observed range to the vessel

d = distance between theodolite and ranging device $ - the angle between the visual LOP and the line connecting the two stations

28

range arc

distance device

^V

vessel position

\ \

^ ^theodolite

Figure 2.4 Eccentric Error Compensation.

2. The Error Ellipse

Detailed discussions of the development of the error ellipse can bs found in many references, especially in Greenwalt (1962) and in Burt (1966). This paper will only present enough background to apply the error ellipse concept to two LOP range-azimuth positioning. The error ellipse formed when multiple LOP observations are made is not considered here.

A range-azimuth position is formed by the intersec- tion of two LOP's, each having an associated standard devia- tion. By applying the two-dimensional normal distribution to the errors, elliptical contours of egual probability density are formed. The contours center on the intersection point of the lines of position. This is illustrated in Figure 2.5, and shown mathematically by

P(v<,,vb) -

2i> <Ta <rb

e*i

(2.7)

29

wh e r e :

\ = residual (error) in the direction of vb = residual (error) in the direction of <J£

= Isngth of the semi-major axis <Tb = Isngth of the semi-minor axis

It can be shown "that

Vn

= K

(2.8)

wh e r e

:"■ = -XJU

p(v«,vb) <Ta(Tb 21T

(2.9)

"For values of p (v , v ) from 0 to oo , a family of equal probability density ellipses are fornei with axes K <& and K(Tt" [Greenwalt, 1962], The probability density function in equation 2.7, when integrated over a particular area, becomes the probability distribution function. This yields the probability that the residuals va and vto will occur simultaneously within that region. This probability distri- bution function of an ellipse is given by

-K/2

?(va ,vb) = 1 - e

(2. 10)

The solution of equation 2. 8 for different values of K yields different probabilities. For example, for 39.35^ probability, the axes of the ellipse are 1.000 (^ and 1.000 cTb [Greenwalt, 1962]. In other words, a one-sigma error ellipse around a measured position indicates a 39.35% prob- ability that the position is actually within that ellipse.

It is seen in Figure 2.5 that the standard devia- tions <T( and <T7 of the measured LOP's are not the same as the standard deviations d^ and of the error ellipse. A

30

Figure 2.5 Error Ellipse and dr„s .

coordinate -transformation is required to obtain them. This transformation is found in Heinzen (1977) and will not be discussed here. Results of the traQ sf ormazion are presented in equations 2.11 and 2.12, from Bowditch (1977).

<r*

2 sirf/3

<j. + <r,

z +-W(<r,%cr^"4sin/30"'^

(2.11)

^" 2sin\3

+ <£- V ((j;l* °0 ~4si n/S cr* *;

(2. 12)

31

where :

fla = length of the semi-major axis tf~b = length of the semi-minor axis o*« = standard deviation of the range LOP <SX standard deviation of the angle LOP when converted to distance units

/3 = angle of intersection of LOP's

For range-azimuth positioning, <S[ and (fx are not equal. (Tt is the error in distance measurement, and it is dependent on the equipment used for ranging. A diagram of a range-azimuth position is shown in Figure 2.6.

■*-

""}

1

'

L

^

V

4,

I

<r,

<4

*,

~>f

I I

->■

Figure 2.6 & Range-Azimuth Position,

32

The error in the visual LOP, (Tx , is a function of the angular error of the theodolite and the distance to the vessel, where r is the distance and C@ is the angular stan- dard deviation of the theodolite, in units of degrees. This is given by equation 2.13, which is a modification from Heinzen [1977], Heinzen uses the tarm angular resolution in place of the more correct <Te .

^ r C&

<L =

1 f7. 2<?6»

(2. 13)

The error ellipse concept can now be applied to the eccentric geometry by using equation 2.11, 2.12, and 2.13 directly. In the concentric case, since the angle of inter- section i ft * is always ninety degrees, equations 2.11 and 2.12 can be simplified to equations 2.14 and 2.15.

*-T

<rN <c +

<r, + °l - 4 <rt tr%

(2. 14)

<-T

cr, * <rx +

<r,+ <rz

- 4 d, cr,

(2. 15)

3 Root Mean Square Distance

Root mean square distance (drrv<s) is presented here because of its common use in hydrography. It is not commonly known among hydrographers that unlike the error ellipse, drmShas a variable probability depending on the eccentricity of its associated error ellipse, and ranges from 68.3% to 63.2%, as shown in Figure 2.7 from [Burt, 1977]. Eccentricity is defined as the ratio of the semi-miner to the semi-major axes of the error ellipse. Root mean square distance is also called Mean Square Positional Error (MPSE) by Greenwalt (1962), who recommends

33

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 OS 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

eccentricity

Figure 2.7 Variation of d^s Probability,

that this index not be used because of its variation in probability.

Root mean square distance is defined in Bovditch (1977) as equation 2.16. An alternative form is given by Heinzen (1977) as equation 2.17. If the errors are assumed independent, the correlation coefficient o , is zero and equation 2.17 is reduced to equation 2.18. An alternate method of arriving at equation 2.18 is to substitute equa- tions 2.11 and 2.12 directly into equation 2.16.

<Vm< =

d

crb

(2. 16)

drmS =

5/aJ

fi

-\/<J\+ + 2^<T,<TX Cos/2

(2. 17)

34

If concentric geometry is assumed, the angle & is equal to ninety degrees and equation 2.18 is reduced to equation 2. 19.

&r«« s\/^ + ^ (2- 19)

Substituting aquation 2.13 into equation 2.19, the final form for range-azimuth d^m$ is obtained.

««.. - "\/<r. + i^4 <2-20.

** Circular Standard Error

Circular standard error has experienced little use in hydrography but is valuable because it allows easy conversion between circles of different probability. It is derived in Greenwalt (1962) and given by equation 2.21. It should be noted that this equation is only an approximation, although a very good one.

CI = 0.50 00 ( C~^ + <Tb ) (2.21)

Circular standard error has a probability of 39.35% for a completely circular error ellipse. It is preferred over drmS because it can be converted to other circular error indices cf different probability by a constant conversion factor, as long as the ratio of ^b/<Ta is between 0.2 and 1.0. The equation for circular standard error, and for other circular error figures, is given in Table I, which is taken directly from Greenwalt (1962) . This table gives all error indices in terms of either (Tc or the error ellipse

35

TABLE I Circular Error Formulae

Percentage Precision Index Probability

Formula

Circular Standard Error

39-35%

ac = 0.5000 (ax + cry)

when Qmln/°max> °-2

Circular Probable Error

50%

CPE = l.llJh 0c

CPE = 0.5887 (ax + oy)

when °miiAniax> °"2 CFE~ (0.21*1 amin 0.6621 0mflV)

rain

max'

when 0.1 < omin/amax<0.21 CPE— (0.0900 a . + 0.67*5 a )

mm

max

when 0.0<o . /a < 0.1* mm' max ^

Circular Map 90^ Accuracy Standard

CMAS = 2.1*60 a CMAS

1.0730 (ox + <ry)

when <j /a > 0.2 nun' max

Circular Near- Certainty Error (Three -five sigma)

99.78^

3-5000 a

semi-major and semi-minor axes d"<* and <jj . Applying the assumptions of the previous section on drr*s to this case, 0~c for the concentric range-azimuth case is given by equation

2.22.

o! - 0.5000 («*5£^6

(2.22)

36

C. THE EBEOB OF AN INTERPOLATED FIX

The error in an interpolated position for both methods of interpolation used in range-azimuth positioning will now be derived. Fundamental to the derivation is an under- standing of the concept of error propagation, which is explained in detail in Greenwalt (1962) and Davis (1981). Error propagation is summarized here for the special case of range-azimuth positioning. It must be noted that any inter- polation discussed in this chapter is strictly due to errors in the observed positions between which the interpolation is made. Error due to the vessel not being at its interpolated position (due to steering or wind and sea conditions) will be considered in later chapters.

1 . Interpolation Algor ithms

The present NOS methods of interpolating range- azimuth fixes are of two types. One interpolates both the range and angle between two observed positions. The second is used when actual range information is acquired on each sounding. In this case only the angle is interpolated, and is used with the observed range to compute a position. In each case a linear interpolation is used [Ehrhardt, 1979]. Algorithms for the interpolated value of the range, r^ , and the angle 9; , are given in equations 2.23 and 2.24.

r^ = r, (j/K*1) (r^-r,) (2.23)

6^=6, (j/K+1) (ei-9, ) (2.24)

where :

Subscript i denotes interpolated.

Subscript 1 denotes observed position number 1.

37

Subscript 2 denotes observed position number 2. K denotes the number cf intsrpolations. j steps from one to K.

The following example of ths interpolation process is also sketched in figure 2.8.

a

/

/ --X

/ i

i

Figure 2.8 Example of Angular Interpolation.

Let:

e, = 251 ez = 244*

r, = 1501m j 1 to 2

rz = 1485m K = 2

The values of the interpolated angles and ranges are computed by equations 2.24 and 2.23.

6., = 251 (1/3) (244-251) = 251 - 2.3 = 248.7° (2.25)

e:Z = 251 + (2/3) (244-251) = 251 - 4.6 = 246.4 (2.26)

38

r., = 1501 (1/3) (1485-1501) = 1501-5.3 = 1495. 7m (2.27)

^U " 1501 + (2/3) (1485-1501) = 1501-10.7 = 1490.3^(2.28)

2 Error Propagation

"Error propagation is better termed the propagation of variances and covariances" [Davis, 1981]. The following paragraphs are a general derivation of error propagation, and will be applied below. In reading this section, the terms x and y are general, yet tha reader should remember that they will be applied specifically to range-azimuth interpolation. Let y be a set of quantities each of which is a function of another set of random variables x. The random variables in cur application are the observed x given in equation 2. 1, and y is the interpolated e^ or ru given in equations 2.24 or 2.23.

The covariance matrix l_>yy ^-s 9^ven bY the matrix equation 2.29, where Jyx is called the Jacobian matrix and is given in equation 2.30.

1—tyy - Jyx^-iJCX^y

T %

(2. 29)

yx

ax.

3P-

^xN

(2. 30)

i>rxt

39

Jyx is the transpose of Jy* , and ^^ is another covariance matrix given by :

I

I

I

t.

or,

<r* <S

a*

Ml

(2.31)

The covariancG matrix in equation 2.3 1 is written for the general case of correlated random variables. If y is a single quantity rather than a sst of quantities, and if the variables are assumed uncorrelated, equation 2.29 reduces to:

*>x.

<.0 0"'v

<r„

3*2

(2.32)

By carrying out the multiplication in equation 2.32, the expanded form is given in equation 2.33.

y

(2.33)

If y is a linear function of random variables, the partial derivative terms in equation 2.33 become constants. Thus the matrix equation 2.29 becomes equation 2.34, where a,b,c, and d are constants.

a. i

= a <r, +

lJ1 ^ * *

D <TZ ■+■ c cr. + - - -

cl <r„

(2.34)

40

Now let us apply equation 2.34 to the range-azimuth case. The assumptions made above are:

(i) y is a single quantity

(ii) The random variables x are assumed un correlated.

(iii) y is a linear function of x

If these are applied to the two interpolation algorithms, equations 2.24 and 2.23, it can be seen that:

(i) 9^ and r^ are single quantities.

(ii) The random variables 6, , 92 and r, , rz are assumed uncorrelated.

(iii) The two interpolation algorithms are linear.

From the foregoing general discussion the interpo- lated variances of equations 2.23 and 2.24 can be given as:

4. <£« + (lo7~) (f01 ' ^7 i2m36)

but,

<£i 4a. " $r (2.37)

41

and:

<£i = 4z <Te (2- 3Q)

By substituting equations 2.37 and 2.38 into equations 2.35 and 2.36, we have:

<Jrx <Tr (2.39)

and

Gel = cre <2.a0)

This error propagation applies only to vessels moving in an arc. For a vessel moving in a straight line the angular interpolation algorithm is not linear and the partial derivative terms analagous to those in equation 2.33 are not constants. The error ellipse for an interpolated position can now be formed. The ellipse is seen to be the same as fcr an observed position (figure 2.5) since equa- tions 2.39 and 2.40 show that errors in interpolated distance and angle are the same as for an observed distance and angle.

42

III. EXPERIMENT DESIGN AND IHPLEHENT ATION

The experimental work performed in this investigation can be conceptually divided into two parts, although both parts were accomplished simultaneously. Part one involved pointing error and variance determination for the two theo- dolites, and part two investigated the accuracy of interpolated positions.

A. FIELD WOBK

The actual field work was reprasentati ve of a typical range^azimuth survey. Two full days <8 and 15 April, 1983) were required to obtain 443 position fixes and over 2500 Aztrac angles. The experiment took place in southern Monterey Bay near the Monterey Harbor Coast Guard Pier, as shown in Figure 3.1. The vessel usad was a chartered 36-foct Uniflite with a fiberglass hull and twin engines, and its operator had about two months' hydrographic survey experience, including steering range arcs.

For each position of the vessel, six lines of position were observsd. Three wild T-2 theodolites located at stations MUSSEL, SOFAE, and USE MON were used to obtain the "reference" or best estimate positions of the vessel. Two additional test theodolites, a Wild T-2 and an Odom Aztrac, made observations from stations T2 and AZTRAC. Finally, a Del Norte Trisponder (model R04) provided a distance LOP to the vessel from station GEOCEIVER. The reference positions were obtained at one minute intervals, and five Aztrac angles were observed between each of these positions for later use in evaluating interpolation methods. Figure 3.2 shows the sources of the various LOP's to the vessel. It

43

Monterey Bay

reir . 7HG.oooi.ires

ScfAd

USE. **oisl

Figure 3.1 Sketch of the Survey Area.

represents an enlargement of the dashed circle area shown in Figure 3.1.

Geodetic control for the reference positions consisted entirely of monumented third-order stations. Station GEOCEIVER, although not a published station, was located to third order specifications by Mr. William Anderson of NAVOCEANO in 1982, and the other two stations were located as eccentrics of this station. Each was less than one meter from GEOCEIVER. GEOCEIVER is a monumented station, while Aztrac and T2 are marked by masonry nails driven into the concrete pier. Positions for Aztrac and T2 were computed on an HP-9815 computer using the NGS geodetic direct program. The initial pointing by both instruments was to station USE

44

mussel

error ellipse

sofar

\ 3000 m \ range arc

use mon

Figure 3.2 Lines of Position Observed to the Vessel.

MON. Initial pointings at all stations were made to third- order stations at least 500 meters distant. Geodetic posi- tions of all control stations is given in Appendix 3.

Underway operations were very similar to a nonautomated range-azimuth survey, except that five theodolites, rather than one, were trained on the boat for each fix. The survey boat steered along the appropriate range arc, and fix marks were given over voice radio to the observers on shore. All T-2 angles were obtained once each minute, and Aztrac angles were recorded every ten seconds. The sequence of events for each reference position is given in Table II.

This process continued throughout the two-day field operation. Breaks in data collection occurred at the ends of each range arc, and also when theodolite observers were rotated. The monotony of the events shown in Table II was sufficent to approximate the monotony (with its associated observer difficulties) of an actual survey.

45

TABLE II

Data Acquisition Sequence of Events

tii to

20

ce prior J fix j action

sec

depress Aztrac manual fix button

15

sec

"15 second standby" over voice radio I

10

sec

depress Aztrao manual fix button |

5

sec

"standby" over voice radio |

0

sac

"mark" over voice radio, { depress Aztra^ manual fix button, T-2 operators make observations

j

Observers at stations MUSSEL and USE MON were required to record angles as well as to observe. T-2 observers at stations T2 and SOFAR were provided with separate recorders, because at times the high angular speeds of the vessel at these stations (due to closeness of the boat) made observing and recording difficult for one person.

The Trisponder was calibrated using the standard NOS method over a geodetic baseline (GEOCEIVER to USE MON) and no systematic errors were observed. The geodetic baseline was determined by computing an inv=rse distance between stations USE MON and GEOCEIVER using the HP98 15 computer and NGS geodetic software. The Trisponder was reported by Odom Offshore Surveys to have a standard deviation of its ranging error of 1.0 aeters. The master unit and antenna were mounted at the highest part of the boat, about one meter above and aft of a radar antenna enclosure, which was about one meter in diameter and 0.4 meter high. The master unit was a cube about 0.3 meter on a side and was covered with

46

green signal cloth. This a nit was the target to which angles were observed. The Trisponiar Distance Measuring Unit (DMU) was mounted next to the steering station inside the boat.

Data logging for both Trispondsr and Aztrac was accom- plished by an Odom Navtrace computer system. Both the Trisponder DMU and Aztrac receiver were interfaced to this unit. The Navtrace computer is programmed to automatically log fix data not on intervals of equal time, but on equal distance intervals from a reference line. For this reason, all fixes were legged by using the manual fix feature of the computer. This simply caused the computer to log distance and angle each time a button was manually pressed. Timing for fixes was provided by an NOS standard sounding clock. This is a mechanical clock with a buzzer set to ring every ten seconds.

The weather during both days of field work was good to fair for survey work. Visibility was good at all times, and winds were calm on each morning of operations. Afternoon northwest winds were a maximum of about 15 knots on both days, which produced two to three foot seas in the offshore part cf the operating area.

B. THEODOLITE POINTING ERROR

The pointing error, x^ , is defined as the difference between an observed and computed angle given by

x.= e0- 9C (3.1)

and the mean pointing error, T, is therefore

* = -£-£*- <3-2)

47

where n is the number of observations, 9 is the observed azimuth and 6C is the computed azimuth from the theodolite position to the reference position of the vessel. The stan- dard deviation, <f& , cf a set of pointing errors can be expressed mathematically as

CL =

r»-

n*-*T

(3.3)

This is the usual definition in most statistics texts and agrees with the discussion in section II. A. of this paper.

The computed azimuth, 9C , was determined by computing a geodetic forward azimuth from either test theodolite posi- tion to the reference position of the vessel. There is some potential error in 9C due to an uncertainty in the reference position of the vessel. The reference position of the vessel was determined by a least squares adjustment cf the three LOP's from the three Wild T-2 theodolites. A by-product of this adjustment is an error ellipse for each position. The angle subtending this error ellipse from each test theodolite is the error in 9C . This is illustrated in Figure 3.3.

error ellipse

Figure 3.3 Uncertainty of an Observed Error,

48

The least squares method was developed in 1794 by Gauss. It is based on the ccncept that as soon as redundant obser- vations are present there appear discrepancies among the observations. In order to eliminate these discrepancies a residual, v, must be added to each observation. In the method of least squares the residuals are determined such that the sum of their squares becomes a minimum, provided all observations have the same accuracy [Mueller, 1979]. It is assumed that the three LOP«s used in this adjustment do in fact have the same accuracy. Further information on the method of least squares as applied to hydrography is given by Kaplan (1990) .

Reference positions were calculated by the least-squares FORTRAN program AZLSQ2, written by the author, which is a modification of program SILVA1 [Silva, 1979]. The program generated plane and geodetic coordinates for each position fix, as well as the lengths of the semi-major and semi-minor axes of its error ellipse. The angle made by the semi-major axis and the x-axis was also computed.

C. INTERPOLATION ALGORITHM EVALUATION

The present NOS method of observing azimuths to the sounding vessel is totally nonautoma ted , as explained in section A. This precludes recording an azimuth for each sounding because of the speed with which soundings are taken. Consequently interpolation algorithms are employed to plct soundings between observed positions. Two algo- rithms are used: one interpolates only the azimuth and uses an observed distance to the vessel, while the other interpo- lates both azimuth and distance. Figures 3.4 and 3.5 illustrate the situation.

49

actual track

aztrac positions used for interpolation

interpolated aztrac

position position

Figure 3.U Interpolation of Angle Only

aztrac positions used for interpolation

T

aztrac positions

interpolated positions

Figure 3.5 Interpolation of Angle and Distance.

The method used to evaluate thass interpolation methods is simple. Actual distances and angles to the vessel were

50

recorded every ten seconds, using the telemetering theo- dolite and associated computer logging system. A ncrauto- mated system was then simulated by interpolating between positions obtained every minute. Thus two data sets were produced, an interpolated set and a corresponding set of actually observed positions. These two sets of positions were then compared and their differences examined. Both NOS interpolation algorithms were evaluated in this manner. An analysis cf the experimental results is given in Chapter IV.

D. CHOICE OF EXPERIMENTAL CONDITIONS

Any experiment must be performed under conditions similar to those under which -he results will be applied. This section will describe the specific error sources to be examined under range-azimuth conditions. By carefully choosing the experimental conditions, these error sources can be brought into the foreground for examination, while all ether sources of error can be leapt in the background.

It is necessary to introduce some standard statistical terminology to help understand the experiment- design. The classical experimental method studies the effect of only one variable. That is, it holds all effects but one to be constant, and varies that single one systematically. In the case of this thesis, one factor (a theodolite) was varied systematically by introducing two levels (Aztrac and T-2) of the factor. It is desired to find the effect of that factor (the theodolite) on the error of a range-azimuth position. It is known, however, that the observer also has a consider- able effect on the error of a position. Thus another factor (the observer) is introduced into the experiment. Four levels (four different individual observers) of this factor were selected.

51

The following four observers, who are attached to the Naval Postgraduate School, constitute the four levels of the observer factor.

LCDR Gerald E. Mills, NOAA. Instructor in Hydrography. Ten years experience in geodetic and hydrographic surveying.

LT Maureen Kenny, NOAA. Student in hydrography. 2 years field experience atoard the NOAA Ship Davidson, primarily in Alaskan and West Coast waters.

LT Mary C. Schomaker, NOAA. Student in hydrography. 4 years field experience aboard NOAA Ship Davidson, and on NGS horizontal control and leveling parties.

Mr. James R. Cherry, Supervisory Geodesist, Naval Postgraduate School. 23 years field experience in hydrography and geodesy, with the Naval Oceanographic Office.

Although additional observers would have been desired, none were available who had any experience with theodolites.

Aside from the factors to be investigated, it was recog- nized that there were background conditions that affected the results of the experiment [Crow, 1955]. Some of these were taken into account explicitly in the design. The influence of all others was minimized by scheduling the experiment such that each combination of instrument and observer was evaluated in random order, thereby randomizing the effects of these other conditions.

52

Blunders and some systematic errors were explicitly accounted for in the design. Blundsrs were identified visu- ally by their large magnitude and were simply deleted from the data set using the editor on ths NPS computer. The Aztrac instrument essentially eliminates all blunders due to its automatic data legging feature.

Systematic errors integral to the theodolites, such as collimation and eccentricity, were not accounted for, since they were very small compared to the size of the errors under investigation. One systematic error that could be quite large is the initial pointing error, which is due largely to the observer. The NOS Hydrographic Manual [Umbach, 1976] requires the initial pointing to be "accurate to within ±30 seconds of arc". That is, the difference between beginning and ending pointings is not to exceed one minute. For this experiment, the mean of the beginning and ending pointings to the initial azimuth was algebraically subtracted from all observed angles for that set. It could be argued that a more accurate way of removing this system- atic error would be to prorate the difference in initial readings between the beginning and ending pointings. However, the former method is often used by NOS hydrographic survey units.

One background condition, the angular speed of the vessel, was explicitly taken into account in the design by dividing the experiment into groups. Six separate subsets of the experiment were created by measuring pointing error at six different angular speeds. These speeds were chosen to be closely representative of speeds found under actual surveying conditions. To this end, integral values of angular speed were not used, but rather integral distances from the vessel to the theodolite station. This corresponds to actual practice in most nonautomated or semiautomated surveys. The vessel maintains constant engine speed, and is

53

navigated in a circle such that a constant distance value is displayed in the ranging equipment. For this experiment, distances of 300, 500, 700, 1000, 1500, 3000 meters were used. Using the approximate vessel speed of 2 meters per second (4 knots) , the angular speeds in minutes per second corresponding to these distances were 22.9, 13.8, 9.8, 6.9, 4.6, and 2.3, respectively.

Another background condition that was explicitly accounted for in the design was the experience of the observers. For a completely general investigation, one would desire to evaluate the error using observers of widely varying experience. Only experienced observers were used in order to conserve resources of time and money, although ncne of them were experienced in using the new Aztrac instrument. All observers except LCDR Mills had acted as observer for range-azimuth hydrography within tha past year using the Wild T-2.

There were other background conditions that affected the results of the experiment, including weather and lighting conditions, and observer fatigue. Other subtle factors may have also contributed to the error. In nonautomated systems, there might have been a time lag by the radio oper- ator in the vessel as the fix mark was relayed to the theo- dolite operator ashore. The design of the experiment could not explicitly account for all these conditions, so several steps were taken to randomize the order of observations for each combination of instrument and observer.

It was assumed that the theodolites used were randomly drawn from the entire population of T-2 and Aztrac instru- ments. This is a fairly good assumption for the T-2, since the particular unit tested is one of ssveral maintained by the Naval Postgraduate School, and has seen several years of service. The assumption for the Aztrac theodolite is not as good, since it is one of only five in existence at this time. It was provided by the manufacturer for testing.

54

Theodolite observers ware required to be paired, since the experimental theodolites observed simultaneous angles to the vessel, A random selection of observer pairs was accom- plished by consulting a random number table in Wonnacott (1977). The order of observation for the six different range arcs was important and required randomization. Failure to do so could allow the error associated with each to be influenced by time varying conditions. Examples of these are the changing effect of sun glare on the instru- ment, observer fatigue, the effect of repetition acting to decrease error, or increasing afternoon winds disturbing the theodolite. Randomization was again accomplished with the aid of a random number table. A random number was assigned to each range arc, and the order of observation was estab- lished by selecting the arcs from the lowest to highest number.

55

IV. RESULTS AND DATA ANALYSIS

A. DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM

All data acquired for this experiment were manually entered into the NPS computer facility. A data processing system was designed and implemented to log the raw data and perform the necessary computations to arrive at the finished form given in this chapter. This system was divided into numerous subsystems to enter data, determine the pointing error, compute interpolated positions, compute means and variances, test for randomness, and compute analysis of variance (ANOVA) statistics. ANOVA is a standard statis- tical technique used in testing for a difference between the effects of two or more factors.

The data processing system was designed and programmed by the author. As mentioned previously, the NGS geodetic inverse and direct subroutines [Pfeifer, 1975], as well as the least-squares adjustment program [Silva, 1979], were adapted for use here. The ANOVA computations were performed by the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) on the Naval Postgraduate School mainframe computer [Hull, 1981]. The pointing error and interpolation subsystems were designed as described in Chapter III.

B. POINTING ERROR DETERMINATION

The pointing error standard deviation for each theo- dolite needs to be quantified, and i determination must be made as to whether there is a statistically significant difference between the two instruments. Pointing error for each combination of instrument and observer was determined by the methods discussed in Chapter III. Standard deviation

56

of the pointing error was computed using equation 3.3f for each combination of instrument and observer, at each range arc, and are given in Appendix A. This entire procedure was performed first for the T-2 angles observed to the nearest second of arc, which is the maximum resolution for this instrument, and second, for T-2 angles rounded to the nearest minute of arc, which is spacifically allowed by the NOS Hydrographic Manual [Urabach, 1976].

Since eight different instrument-observer combinations exist, the sample means and standard deviations for each combination were slightly different because each sample is only an estimate of the mean, , and standard deviation, , for the entire population. The poolsd standard deviation is the best estimate of for this case of multiple samples because it takes the differences among sample means into account. If an overall standard deviation is computed using equation 3.3, the population standard deviation will be overestimated because of the differences among sample means. The pooled standard deviation is mathematically expressed by equation a. 1 * crow, 1955], [Box, 1978].

/("■-')*» ("»-0£ + +K-')<

". + ni * - +nk-k

where:

k = total number of observer-instrument combinations

n = number of observations for each observer- instrument combination

s = sample variance for each observer- instrument combination

Thus a pooled standard deviation was computed for the eight samples available at each different range arc. These are

57

given in Table III for the Aztrac and both the rounded and unrounded T-2 data. This table gives angular speeds for the vessel in units of minutes of arc per seconds of time. Note that the pointing error of the Aztrac is twice as large as that of the T-2 and that the rounded T-2 pointing error is only slightly greater than the unrounded.

r

TABLE

III

Pointing Error

Standard Deviation |

[pooled

estimates)

Ranae Arc

(m)

Approx. Angular

Speed (min/sec)

Aztrac m (sec)

T-2

(unrounded)

i (sec)

T-2 (rounded)

m (sec)

I

I 22.9 1

I <71 Cs

I

I i

1. 26

(868)

I 1.31

<r&

300

I 3.33 (2290)

(902)

500

| 13.8 I j

| 3.56 (1470)

!

1 i

1.72

(712)

j 1.73

(715)

700

| 9.8

I

| 2.10 (619)

1

1 i

1.30

(382)

| 1. 31 j

(336)

1000

I 5.9

2.97 (6 13)

1

1 i

1.08

(225)

1 .09

(226)

1500

4. 6 j j

4.25 (584)

1

i

0.92

(126)

I 0.93 i

(128)

3000

2. 3 I I

2.06 (142)

1 1 1

1.41

( 97)

| 1 .43

I

( 99)

The technique of analysis of variance (ANOVA) is used to determine whether a statistically significant difference exists between the two theodolites. The ANOVA technique allows the partitioning of overall pointing error variance into portions caused by each factor (observer and theo- dolite) , by interaction, and by experimental error. Interaction exists if the variance for a particular combina- tion of instrument and observer is greater than the variance for any other such combination. The experimental error is

58

primarily due to the conditions described in Chapter III, concerning the reference positions for the vessel. This error is a measure of the precision of the experiment, where precision is defined as the closeness with which repeated measurements made under similar conditions are grouped together [Greenwalt, 197 1]. Experimental error is assumed to have a population mean of zero. Further details of the ANOVA method can be found in many statistics textbooks, such as Wo im a cot t (1977), Box (1978), Crow (1955), and Walpole (1978). This discussion was taken primarily from Crow (1955).

The following assumptions must be made when using the analysis of variance technique.

(i) Observations are random.

(ii) Means and variances are additive, as given in the mathematical model below.

(iii) Experimental errors are independent.

(iv) Variances of the experimental errors are equal.

(v) Distribution of the axperimental errors is normal. A mathematical model can now be given, using these assumptions, which specifies the total effects of the vari- ances acting on a particular observation, x^.+ .

where:

^<- overall mean for all observations

59

a^ = effect of the instrument factor at level i

hi - effect of the observer factor at level j

fc; = effect of the interaction of instrument and observer at level i and j, respectively .

e--f = random effect caused by the variance of the experimental error.

i * 1,2

j 1,2,3,4

t = 1,2,3, ,n

n = the number of observations for a particular observer-instrument combination (usually 15)

It should be emphasized that the a, b, fr , and e of equa- tion 4.2 are not actual variances, but a realization of the effect of those variances on a particular observation x-f . The variances associated with observer, instrument, and interaction are computed by the ANQVA procedure, and these form the basis of the test for differences. This test is called the F-test in honor of Sir Ranald A. Fisher [Wcnnacott, 1977], and is based on a ratio of variances. To test for a difference between instruments, we form a ratio with the variance among instruments in the numerator, and a denominator composed of an estimate of the variance of the experimental error. In terms of our mathematical model, a (the numerator) is being compared with e>c;f (the denomi- nator). More simply stated, it is a comparison of the precision of the instrument (the numerator) , with the preci- sion of the experiment (the denominator) . This ratio, F, is then compared to a ratio FM , which is computed for for a particular confidence level from the F-distribution function given as equation 4.3 [Crow, 1955].

60

p(fi = / ^)jW)i fi fi F (f,t*F) dF <a'3'

where: F = the ratio discussed above

f, = the number of degrees of freedom in the numerator of F

fx = the number of degrees of freedom in the denominator of F

A precise hypothesis must now be stated that can be tes-ced by the F-test. Walpole (1974) states that "a statis- tical hypothesis is an assumption or statement, which may or may not be true, concerning one or mora populations." Experiments are designed to test hypotheses, and "the rejec- tion of an hypothesis is to conclude that it is false, while acceptance merely implies that we have no reason to believe otherwise" [Walpole, 1978]. A null hypothesis is an "initial hypothesis, or one we hope to reject" [Crow, 1955], and is usually stated in terms of an assumption of no difference between the effects to be investigated by the experiment. Phis experiment uses three null hypotheses,

which are:

(i) There is no difference between observers, that is, the ratio F, for observers, is small compared to F^ .

(ii) There is no difference between instruments, that is, the ratio F, for instruments, is small compared to F^ .

(iii) There is no interaction, that is, the ratio F for interaction, is small compared to F^ .

61

These three null hypotheses can be accepted or rejected on the basis of the F-test and the ANOVA procedure. If any are to be rejected, the value of tha ratio F must exceed that of the critical F^ for that confidence level (95%) . A summary of ANOVA results is given in Table IV. For each range arc, the computed values of F and the corresponding critical value needed to reject the null hypothesis are given. The rightmost column of the areas labelled as rounded or unrounded data indicate acceptance or rejection of the null hypothesis. It can be seen from this table that in no case could the null hypothesis be rejected for either instrument or observer. In other words, it may be said with 95% confidence that there is no reason to believe there is a difference between the four observers or between the two instruments. It should be noted that data for the 1500 meter arc indicate a rejection of the null hypothesis for interaction. According to Crow (1955), a significant inter- action usually occurs because unrandomized background condi- tions are present. There is little apparent reason why this interaction should occur, other than that there were some unidentified, time varying conditions affecting the measure- ments. The 1500 and the 1000 meter range arc were only observed en April 8, while all the other range arcs were investigated on both days of the experiment.

A final assumption of the ANOVA technique is that the observations within the eight combinations of instrument and observer are randomly drawn from their populations. Several tests are available to determine if a particular sample is random. The test used here was the Run Test, as given in Crow (1955) , and a confidence level of 95% was used. This test showed all eight samples were random at the 95% confidence level. '

62

TABLE

IV

-T

Suamary

of ANO?A Results

at 95% Confidence

Rounded

Data

Unrounded Data

I

F*

I

F

I I

null hyp.

F

null hyp.

300 b arc

!

instrument observer

3.97

2.70

j

0.10 t 1 .69

I

I l

accept accept

0.09

1.69

l

accept accept

interaction

2.70

1 .36

1 1

accept

1. 35

accept

500 m arc I

instrument

3.92

0.01

1

accept

0.01

accept |

observer

2.68

0.13

1 accept

0. 14

accept i accept 1

interaction

2.68

0.25

1 1 1

accept

0. 25

700 m arc 1

instrument

3.84

I 0.05

I i

accept

0.05 1.86

accept |

observer

2.60 I

1 .86 0.28

1

1

I accept

accept |

interaction

2.60

accept

0. 29

accept |

1000 b arc I

instrument i

3.92 |

0.01

1 i

accept

0.01 |

accept |

observer

2.68

0.45

1 1

accept

0.45

1 accept |

interaction

2.68

1 .74

1

accept

1.79

1

accept |

1500 b arc I

instrument

3. 8U

0.78

i

i

accept

I 0.73

accept l

observer

interaction

2.68 2.68

1 .44 5 .01

1 1 1 1

1 accept

reject

1.41 5.02

i

accept |

reject |

3000 b arc I

instruBent

3.95

0.10

1

accept

0. 12

accept

observer

2.70

1 .69

1

I

accept

,.7«

accept

interaction

2.70

| 1 .36

1

1

1

1 accept

| 1.37

accept

1

i

63

C. INTERPOLATION EVALUATION

The two methods of interpolation used by NOS were next evaluated. As explained in section III.C. , three sets of positions were computed. These were a set of actually observed positions using Aztrac, and two sets of corre- sponding positions computed by the two different, interpola- tion algorithms discussed in section II. C. These two algorithms were evaluated by computing the distance between each observed position and each corresponding interpolated position. A FORTRAN program written by the author performed the computations. The NGS geodetic direct subroutine [Pfeifer, 1975] was used to compute positions from observed distances and Aztrac directions to the vessel. The interpo- lated positions were computed using equations 2.23 and 2.24, which are the same algorithms used in the NOS interpolation subroutine TCARC [Ehrhardt, 1979]. Distances between the two corresponding positions were computed on a plane, rather than using a geodetic computation. There is negligible difference between plane and geodetic methods at the distances (about ten meters) under consideration here. Results of these computations are given in Table V, which shows for each range arc the average distance in meters separating the interpolated and the corresponding observed positions. An indication of the variability of these values is shown by the percentage of interpolated positions falling farther than 1.0 meter away from the actual position.

Little can be inferred from the results in Table V because this table is really an intermediate step towards a rigorous evaluation of the raw data. This table should be viewed as only a general indication of the effectiveness of interpolation. Since it is a direct result of the ability of the boar operator to steer the vessel in an arc, wind and sea conditions have a tremendous effect on interpolation

64

Range

m

3000

1500

1000

700

500 300

TABLE V Results of Interpolation Evaluation

Angle Only

I Angle and Distance

% > 1.0 m I

from mean j X

% > 1.0 m

1.15

47%

2.09

85%

1.63

72%

2.0 4

75%

1.86

79%

2.59

79%

2.41

4.98 4.07 3.01 4. 15 5.32

rrom me

an

55S

9 1%

78%

80%

83%

34%

effectiveness. Although this experiment was carried out in representative survey conditions, Table V should not be viewed as being applicable to all situations. The table does indicate that, whenever possible, automatic recording of range data should be used.

Full analysis of the interpolation algorithms should be the two-dimensional equivalent of tasting for the difference between means. This is because both the interpolated and observed positions are not "true" positions, but have some error. A one-dimensional test of differences between means is well established, and is discussal in several references, including Wcnnacott (1977) . The null hypothesis for such a test is

(j = yMi ' y^:

(4.4)

65

where^, an & ^c*^ are the means of tha two populations, and d is some arbitrary distance selected by the experimenter. The two-dimensional problem has tha same null hypothesis but the mathematics of the test have not been established. This problem is illustrated in Figures 4.1 and 4.2.

Figure 4.1 One-Dinensional Difference Between Means.

A proper analysis of the data would inquire for each interpolated-obsarved pair of positions, whether the distance between the two positions was greater than d for a particular confidence. More work than could be incorporated into this thesis is required to fully evaluate the data.

D. AHALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE RESULTS

The results of this experiment were presented in Tables III, IV, and V. An attempt will now be made to analyze the experiment for errors in logic and technique, in order to better understand these findings.

66

interpolated

observed

Figure 4.2 Two- Dimensional Difference Between Means.

The most important results from this thesis are the estimates of (T for theodolite pointing error. It is obvious from Table III that standard deviations of both the rounded and unrounded T-2 error values are about one-half that of the Aztrac, for all angular speeds considered. The ANOVA technique, however, shows no statistical difference between the instruments at the 95% confidence level. An analysis of the data used to obtain the results yields a potential explanation for this apparent contradiction.

The original data (pointing errors in seconds of arc) were made the subject of empirical probability density plots using the subroutine HISTG [Robinson, 1974] on the NPS computer. These plots show probability density versus error, as well as mean and standard deviation. An example of these plots, for the 500 meter range arc, is given in Figure 4.3. The remaining plots are found in Appendix C. Plots are shown for both Aztrac and T-2 (unrounded) , for each range arc. A striking feature of the Aztrac curves is

67

r "

500 METER ARC

•*•

T-2: SOLID LINE flZTRflCJ OflSHEO LINE

to

f\f s

O"

'"* / \ *

^■^

/ \ / '\ «

>

* x / ' \ \

w

M * 1 i \

O-oi

7 \ \

d"

»*

1 \\

o"

* / v *

o

./ V^ \N»

^w.. _^*

-

4000.0 -2000.0 0.0 2000.0

- 1 4000.0

ERROR IN SECONDS

Figure 4.3 Probability Density vs. Error.

their bimcdal shape, as compared to a single peak for the T-2 curves. It can be easily seen from the curves how the spread of this bimcdal distribution would increase the computed standard deviation for the Aztrac data.

The method of data acquistion for this thesis was semiautcmated in that all T-2 angles were manually recorded, while the Aztrac angles were recorded by pressing a button aboard the vessel. It is probable that a time lag existed between all the T-2 observations and the Aztrac observa- tions, despite the best efforts of the observers, because the observation procedure was not totally automated. If this were true, there would be little difference between the observed angls 0 for the T-2 and the computed angle 9C , because 6C is associated with a reference position also derived from T-2 observations. The observed angle 0O for the Aztrac would, however, be consistently different from 9C because of this time lag and because the vessel was moving to the left or right with respect zo the Aztrac observer.

68

Since approximately equal numbers of observations were made with the boat moving to the left or right along the range arc, the distribution of Aztrac pointing errors would take on a bimodal shape.

It is understood that the data analyzed by these curves come from not one but four different samples, and that the curves should not be expected to ba perfectly peaked. The T-2 curves, however, also come from four samples and do not have multiple peaks. This analysis is further supported by finding the distance between one peak of the Aztrac carve and the single peak of the T-2 curve in figure 4.3. The distance in arc seconds, when converted to meters, is roughly the distance the vessel traveled in one second. One second of time is certainly a reasonable figure for the time lag discussed above. A manual check of the raw data recorded in the field also suggests such a time lag. The original data were sorted into two sets of "left'' and "right" observations, which were analyzed for mean and stan- dard deviation. Results of the analysis are shown in Table VI. This table gives the mean and standard deviation for the "left" and "right" data sets, and shows that "the mean of both sets was about two meters to the left or right cf the reference position of the vessel. This two meter difference corresponds closely to a nominal vessel speed of two meters per second (four knots) for the boat used, and a time lag of one second. Means for the 1500 and 3000 meter ranges are somewhat unequal because sea conditions at these offshore ranges caused the boat to travel slower in one direction. The rightmost column in Table VI gives the pooled standard deviation of each "left" and "right" data set, which is the best estimate of the population standard deviation , <f0 , for the Aztrac.

69

TABLE 71 Corrected Aztrac Standard Deviation

Arc

left/ right

Mean , X m (sec)

s in (sec)

Aztrac Pooled Standard Deviation

I L \ 2.95 ( 2035) | 1.17 ( 806) | 300 | || 1.07 (741) | R -2.67 (-1836) | 0.99 (682) |

| L | 2.40 ( 993) | 1.50 (660) | 500 1 j || 1.44 (598) R j -2.69 (-11 12) | 1.31 (539) j

700

L | 1.61 ( 476) R I -2.37 ( -700)

0.90 (266) |

J 1.05 (312) 1.28 (379)

I L | 2.49 ( 514) | 1.55 (321) | 1000 || I 1-»3 (296) 1 R | -2.92 (-604) 1.30 (268) |

1500

L | 1.93 (266) | 1.56 (228) |

I I I 1.45 (199) R -3.22 (-444) | 1.36 (147) |

3000

L

R

0,48 (33) | -3.97 (-273)

1.42 (98) | 1.22 (84)

I 1.3 0 (90)

The systematic error caused by a time lag as the boat moved left or right in the observer's field of view was the result of fauity design of the expariment. The proper way to correct this problem would be to duplicate the experiment using better synchronization of all observations. An alter- native would be to model the systematic error and apply corrections to the existing data. Such a model should include an estimate of the boat speed and its left or right direction with respect to the observer.

Different ANOVA results might ba obtained using the data corrected for systematic error, but this would not explain the ANOVA results in Table IV. The conditions affecting data acquistion must again be considered, as well as an

70

understanding of the ANOVA process, when offering an explanation.

The denominator of the F-ratio discussed in section 3 is essentially the experimental error of the measurement process. This error is primarily a function of the error ellipse for the "reference" position shown in Figure 3.3. Table VII gives an estimation of this experimental error, by comparing the size of the error in 30 and 9C . Uncertainty in ec is given as the mean major axis of all error ellipses for a given range arc. Uncertainty in 0O is the pooled standard deviation , <TB , of each test theodolite. The values for Ce in the Aztrac column are from Table VI, and the T-2 values are from Table III. An sxamination of Figure 3.3 shows that use of the major axis of ths ellipse is a worst case estimate of the uncertainty, since the ellipse could have any orientation in the x-y plane. Thus it can be seen from Table VII that the uncertainty in 9fc is smaller than that of the observed azimuth 80 . This comparison is an indicator of the precision of the sxperiment.

If this error in the computed angla, ec , could be reduced by decreasing the size of the arror ellipse, the denominator of the F-ratio would be smaller and the ratio itself would be larger. Thus a more precise experiment could produce a rejection of the nail hypothesis, although this is net indicated in light of the values of (Te for the Aztrac and T-2 shown in Table VII. Reducing experimental error any further than this study would be difficult under typical hydrographic conditions, because the three LOP theodolite intersection position, adjusted by the least- squares method, is one of the most precise positioning means available today. The size of the reference position error ellipse could possibly have been reduced if better intersec- tion angles were available, but this was not possible with the particular geographic shape of Honterey Bay.

71

TABLE VII Experiment Precision and Theodolite Error

Range, | Mean major meters j axis

neters (sec)

Aztrac pooled | T-2 pooled std. deviation j std. dev. meters (sec) meters (sec)

1.07 (741)

1.44 (598) 1.05 (312) 1.43 (296)

1.45 (199) 1.30 (90)

T

5*

1.26 1.72 1.30 1.08 0.9 2 1.41

(868) (712) (382) (225) (126) (97)

In summary, the analysis of variance performed on these data do, in fact, shew that there is no statistical differ- ence between Aztrac and T-2 at 95% confidence. This proce- dure is a strictly numerical one and must be viewed in light of the original research conditions. When these conditions are carefully analyzed to remove as much systematic error as possible, the data strongly suggest that the &N3VA results are indeed correct.

E. APPLICATION TO POSITION ERROR STANDARDS

From Chapter I it can be seen that there is some confu- sion in the hydrographic community as to the application of probability to positioning standards. With this in mind, there appear to be four possibilities for consideration as standards with which to compare the results of this thesis, as given below.

(i) The 1968 I HO standard* of 1.5 mm at the

72

survey seals, with tha 90% probability suggested by Munson (1977).

(ii) The 1982 IHO standard of 1.0 mm at the

scale of the survey, with 90% probability.

(iii) The current range-azimuth standard of NOS (0.5 mm at the survey scale) assuming a probability associated with d^s

(iv) The drwS standard of microwave range- range positioning found in Umbach (1976). This requires that d^^s values at the survey scale not exessd 0.5 mm for 1:20,000 scale surveys and smaller, 1.0 mm for 1:10,000 scale surveys, and 1.5 mm for surveys of 1:5,000 scale and larger.

These four possibilities may now be compared to the position errors of the Aztrac and 1-2 by using the pointing error results given in Table VII. Since the precision of a range-azimuth position is also a function of the standard deviation of ranging error, <J[ , assumed values of 1.0 and 3.0 meters are used in this analysis. Some manufacturers of microwave ranging equipment used in range-azimuth posi- tioning report a 1.0 meter value foe <T, , but 3.0 meters is most often used by NOS personnel [Wallace, 1983] and has some supporting experimental evidence by unbiased experimenters [Munson, 1977].

Using these assumed values for C, and the observed values for <TZ given in Table VII, the error ellipse axes may be computed using equations 2.11 and 2.12. However, the error ellipse must be converted to a circular error figure in order to be compared with the standards above. The assumed standards (i) and ( ii) must use a-90% probability circle, which can be computed using Table I, and standards

73

-5

-4

E

a

Aztrac (uncorrected)

a

-^

=*— *

©

T-2

L

Aztrac (corrected)

CO

L. <D

E

-1

10

15

20

J I 1 l I I L__J I L

J L

I ' I 1_

J L.

J L.

angular speed (arc min/sec)

Figure 4.4 Results Compared to drwS .

(iii) and (iv) must use the drwS formula given by equation 2.16. Results of these computations are shown graphically in Figure 4.5 for 90% probability, and in Figure 4.4 for drms . Each figure has angular speed of the theodolite along the abscissa, and an ordinate consisting of a distance scale, in metars, indicating the radius of the error circle.

74

The error circle for Figure 4.5 is associated with the 907o probability level, while the dr^s circle for Figure 4.4 is of somewhat variable probability, as discussed in Chapter II. The points plotted in Figure 4.5 have eccentricity values ( ^/(j; ) ranging from 0.3 to 3.6, which indicate a probability range of from about 65)5 to 67.5%.

These figures also clearly show an improvement in the estimate of Gq for the Aztrac as a result of the time lag correction discussed earlier. The position error values for the uncorrected Aztrac error is shown by triangles in both figures, while position error computed using the corrected (f9 values are shown by solid dots. For both Aztrac cases, two solid linear regression lines are drawn. Both figures show that the uncorrected Aztrac values have a much greater variability than the corrected values, and that the corrected values are almost the same as the T-2 position error values indicated by open dots and dashed linear regression lines. If the corrected Aztrac values are taken to be the best estimate of position error for this instru- ment, then a relatively constant error is indicated for the entire range of angular speeds considered here. This is about 3.3 meters d^s and 4.6 meters (90% probability) for both instruments using a <T, value of 3.0 meters, and 1.6 meters drmi and 2.5 meters (90%) for a CT, value of 1.0 meters. Plots are not shown for computations using a range error of 1.0 meter.

The four possible assumptions for position error stan- dards are compared to Aztrac and T-2 position errors in Table VIII. The roman numerals heading the columns of this table refer to the position standards associated with the same numerals at the beginning of this section. The reader should use the table by selecting one of these columns and inspecting it from the top to the bottom of the table. The first row of Table VIII indicates the probability associated

75

8

to

<D ♦->

E

u L.

U

-7

-6

Aztrac (uncorrected)

Aztrac (corrected)

5 10 15 20

i i i i i i i i i t i i t i i i i i i i i i i.

angular speed (arc min/sec)

Figure 4.5 Results Compared to 90% Probability.

with each positioning standard. The second row lists tha maximum position error allowed by that standard, at the scale of the survey. Rows three and four show the errors allowed in row two, when converted to actual distances for two representative survey scales of 1:5,000 and 1:10,000. Rows five and six shew the radius of the associated

76

probability circle fcr both Aztrac and T-2, for ranging error values of 3.0 and 1.0 meters, respectively. The dual probability percentages in columns (iii) and (iv) indicate the variable probability of dr^s . Dual values in column (iii) for maximum error at the survey scale result from the NOS standard for range-range positioning. The remainder of the table presents conclusions as to whether the T-2 and Aztrac meet the various standards. For example, in column (iv) the observed 3.3 meter drrr,5 value in row five is less than the maxiium allowable error of 5.0 meters shown in row four. Therefore, the T-2 and Aztrao do meet the NOS range- azimuth standards of 0.5 mm at the scale of the survey for 1:10,000 seals surveys.

77

TABLE VIII

Position Standards Comparison

(i) I (ii) I (iii) IHO | IHO | NOS (1968) | (1982) | (r/r)

(iv)

NOS

(r/a)

Assumed Probability

I I

90%

I I

90%

I

68%- -63%

| 6 8%-

| -6 3%

Allowable Max Error at Scale

I

I

1 . 5 mm

I

I

1 .0 mm

I I I

1.5,

1.0 mm

| 0.5 mm

Allowable Max Error at 1:5,000

I

I

7.5 m

I I I

5.0 m

I I I

7.5 m

| 2.5 m

Allowable Max Error at 1: 10,000

Aztrac & T-2j Error (a, = 3.0m) |

15.0m 10.0 m ( 10.0 m 5.0 m

4.6 m

Aztrac & T-2|

Error |

( cr, = 1 . 0m) |

2. 5 m |

4.6 m | 3.3 m

2.5m | 1.6m I

3.3 m

I 1 .6 m

Conclusion As To Meeting Standards: OT, = 3.0 m

I I

(i)

I I

(ii)

i (iii)

(iv)

1:5,000 scale

I I

yes

I I

yes

i yes

no

1: 10.000 scale

I

yes

I

yes

yes

yes

Conclusion As To Meeting Standards: 0", = 1 . 0 m

I

(i)

I (ii)

I I

(iii)

(iv)

1:5,000 scale

I

yes

l yes

I

yes !

yes

1:10.000 scale

I i

yes

I yes

I I

yes I

yes

78

7. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

Of the original objectives for this thesis discussed in Chapter I, ths first and most basic was the determination of pointing error standard deviation for the Aztrac and T-2 theodolites. No investigation of this type had ever been done for conditions typical of a range- azimuth survey. An experiment was carefully designed to determine this pointing error and to determine if there was a statistically signifi- cant difference between the instruments. The initial esti- mates of pointing error were given in Table III, which shows the Aztrac to have an error, when converted to distance, cf about 3.0 meters, while the estimate was about 1.3 meters for the T-2.

An uncompensated systematic error in the data, due to the time lag discussed in Chapter III, was discovered when empirical probability density function plots were made of the entire data set for each instrument. This led to a revised estimate of the pointing error for the Aztrac, because the bimodal distribution caused by this time lag adversely affected the original estimate for <f& . This revised estimate is about 1.3 meters, as shown in Table VII, and is almost the same as the value of <SQ for the T-2 instrument. »hen these estimates for CQ are viewed in light of the precision of the experiment, as shewn in the table, it is seen that the actual values of tf9 could be smaller than indicated, because smaller values would be masked by the relative imprecision of the experiment. It is to be concluded, however, that the actual values of the pointing error of each instrument are no larger than those given here.

79

The question of a statistically significant difference between the instruments was then considered using the ANOVA technique, which can be said to compare a variance component due to the instruments with a variance component due to the precision of the experiment. This precision was not very much greater than the variance of the instruments, but was based on the most precise positioning method generally available for hydrography -- an intersection position using three theodolites. The ANOVA procedure indicated no signif- icant difference between instruments, but if the precision of the experiment had been increased, a significant differ- ence could possibly have been detected. In light of the subsequent discovery and elimination of the systematic error due to a time lag, this conclusion of no difference between theodolites appears to be well justified.

An evaluation of interpolation methods was the second objective of this thesis, and although the analysis was not as rigorous as it could be, it can be concluded that there is a measurable distance between an interpolated position and a corresponding observed position. This has never been done for the oase of range-azimuth positioning because the rapid position fixing available with Aztrac has not been available. It has been shown, through an error propagation analysis of the interpolation algorithms, that the interpo- lated error is not inherently due to the algorithms them- selves. The error is therefore due to the inability of the vessel tc follow the range arc, whioh is caused primarily because of environmental conditions and the vessel opera- tor's track keeping capability. The distance between the interpolated and corresponding observed positions may be as much as two to four meters, as indicated in Table V, and is roughly twice as great for a position that is computed using both distance and angular interpolation, as for a position using angle interpolation alone. It is therefore

80

recommended that, whenever possible, automatic recording of range data should be used.

The third and most important objective of the thesis is a comparison of the total position error using these instru- ments with the required error standards of the major hydro- graphic survey organizations. The lower half of Table VIII gives these results, which are that all the standards considered are indeed met, except the NOS range-azimuth standard at 1:5,000 scale using a range error of 3.0 meters. This conclusion requires a very important qualification regarding the T-2 instrument and the errors encountered while pursuing the first two objectives. These are errors due to interpolation, and to the time lag discussed in Chapter IV.

The approximately one second time lag discovered with the Aztrac data set is not actually associated with the Aztrac at all but is associated with the T-2. It appeared to be a systematic error of the Aztrac in this experiment only because the reference postions were obtained using T-2 instruments similar to the test T-2. It must be concluded from the data acquired in this project that there exists, for any angle measured with a T-2, a time lag of about one second between angle observations and any measurement made aboard the vessel, including both automatic and manually recorded depth and range data. There is then an associated position error for these measurements, the magnitude of which depends upon vessel speed, which was about two meters for the four knot speed used in this experiment. The conclusions and position accuracies for observed T-2 posi- tions in Table VIII do not take this additional error into account. When the error contributions from both the time lag and interpolation are considered, it can be concluded that positions interpolated between observed T-2 positions have an additional error of about two to four meters. Thus

81

tha total actual position error for T-2 positions and posi- tions interpolated between T-2 positions might fail to meet more of the standards than are indicated in Table VIII.

Having reached conclusions related to the objectives of the thesis, another set of conclusions and recommendations can be made far the Odom Aztrac theodolite, regarding its ease of use and suitability for range-azimuth hydrography. The Aztrac instrument was expressly designed for range- azimuth or azimuth-azimuth positioning, and has features which are advantageous to the operator of the instrument in the field. Such advantages are discussed in Chapter I, and include ease of tracking, because of an upright telescope image and an infinitely geared tangent screw.

The Aztrac theodolite possesses advantages much more important than ease cf use in the field, and these addi- tional advantages are derived primarily from its ability to be interfaced with a computer aboard the survey vessel. Sesides eliminating systematic error due to a time lag, a computer based survey system offers the additional advantage of being able to measure and record a position every few seconds. This allows three important advantages over a system that can only measure positions once per minute. First, since each position is individually measured, no interpolation is required and thus better accuracy is obtained than with a nonautomated system. Second, no manual data logging is required, which reduces blunders and greatly increases the speed with which a survey may be processed. Third, an automated system allows the surveyor to run straight sounding lines rather than curved arcs, because an automated system can provide an almost real-time cross track error indication to the helmsman. Running straight sounding lines increases survey efficiency by orienting the lines more normal to the depth contours, and by requiring fewer total linear miles of hydrography for each survey. A vessel

82

may of course steer straight lines with a nonautomated system, but it is extremely difficult to maintain the strict line spacing requirements for hydrographic surveys without an indication of cross-track error, so curved range arcs are usually followed.

Disadvantages encountered during this experiment include additional operator fatigue caused by the requirement to constantly track the vessel. This is necessary if the substantially increased data rate available with this instrument is to be utilized. The extra effort to track the vessel is more than offset, however, by the elimination of manual data lagging. Care is required by the operator when rotating the instrument through an arc, because if the instrument is moved too rapidly the maximum telemetry data rate is exceeded and erroneous angle data will be trans- mitted. This can only be detected by checking the original initial pointing. Although this problem was observed during a manufacturers demonstration, it did not occur during the experimental field work. Finally, the transmitter range of 5 km is rather short for the distances used by NOS, which can be up to about 10 km. The manufacturer has stated that the system range can be easily extended by increasing the transmitter power [ Apsey, 1983]. Although this thesis meas- ured Aztrac error at a maximum distance of 3 km from the shore station, the conclusions stated here should not be blindly extrapolated to increased ranges. Still, if the Aztrac pointing error standard deviation is reduced to its angular resolution (0.01 degree) at the very slow angular speed of the vessel at long ranges, the error appears to remain acceptable. For example, 0.01 degree pointing error at a range of 10 km results in an error of only 1.74 meters.

The advantages of the Aztrac clearly outweigh its disad- vantages, so it is therefore recommended that the Odom Aztrac system be incorporated into the computer based equip-

83

ment used by NOS. It should be used only in situaxions where it meets required positioning standards based on the value for (Te found in this investigation. It is also recom- mended that the systematic error induced by the time lag discussed here should be accounted for in operational stan- dards for range-azimuth positioning using the Wild T-2. This could be done fcr semi -automated systems by providing an automatic radio signal to the observer on shore that precedes the actual depth measurement by one second. A simpler method of reducing this systematic error could be a limit on the speed of the vessel, depending on the accuracy standard required for the particular survey.

A final recommendation must be made regarding the posi- tioning standards of NOS. At present there are conflicting standards for a given survey scale, depending on whether electronic, hybrid (including range-azimuth) , or visual methods are used. For example, positions for a 1:5,000 scale survey may be required to have an accuracy of either 7.5 meters drrn$ , or 2.5 meters at some unspecified prob- ability, depending on whether microwave range-range or range-azimuth methods are employed. The NOS is certainly the most progressive hydrographic organization with regard to position error specifications, but it is recommended that the concept of probability be applied to all positioning methods and not only electronic ones. Further, if the meaning of "seldom exceed" in the IHO standards is to be interpreted as a 90% probability circle, then all the NOS standards should be changed to reflect that standard.

84

APPENDIX A MEANS AND STANDARD DEVIATIONS OP ACQUIRED DATA SETS

All values for means and standard deviations are in units of seconds of arc.

TABLE IX 3000 Meter Arc

I Mills I

Kenny | Schoraaker I Cherry

X ==> 53

Aztrac s ==> | 257

overall mean = -

306 93

106

66 | -242 76 63

pooled s = 142

T-2

un- rounded

X ==> j -34 s ==> | 67

overall mean

29 59 23

113

164

| -16 I 60

i

pooled s = 97

T-2 rounded

X ==> | -39 s ==> 75

overall mean

26

62 163

89 pooled s «

-10 57

85

TABLE X 1500 Meter Arc

Mills I Kenny | Schomaker | Cherry I I

Aztrac j

X ==>

5 ==>

o veral

-124 392

mean

| 476 37 990 | 431

88 pooled s

| -3,

476

584

T-2

un-

ounded

X ==> s ==>

overall

27 95

mean

-116 | 47 145 j 164

8 pooled s

74

. »l

| 107

T-2

rounded

X ==> 32 s ==> j 102

overall mean

-114 48 145 | 167

11 pooled s

. il

75 106

86

TABLE XI 1000 Meter Arc

I Mills | Kenny I I

Schomaker | Cherry

Aztrac

X ==> 115 s ==> 482

overall mean

| -116 | 534

-120

768

= 20 pooled s =613

199 711

T-2

un- rounded

X ==>

5 ==>

overal

-45 286

mean

17 111

125

269

= 11 poolsd s =

-53 196 225

T-2 rounded

X ==> s ==>

o veral

-49 282

mean

13 | 114

133 274

11 pooled s =

-54 | 199 226

87

TABLE XII 700 Meter Arc

Mills | Kenny | Schomaker | Cherry

X ==>

I

Aztrac j 5 ==> Dveral!

123 585

mean

-114 | 36

777 | 508 63 pcolad s

208 542

= 619

T-2

X ==>

un- s ==>

rounded j

I overal

-53 | -55 338 | 210

mean = 9 pooled s

= 382

156 681

T-2 |X ==>

rounded I s ==> | o v e ra 1

-14 j -50 j -60

311 j 342 | 205

mean = 9 pooled s

160 690

= 386

88

Aztrac

TABLE XIII 5 00 Meter Arc

I Mills J Kenny | Schomaker | Cherry III I

X ==> s ==>

o v e ra 1

284 1543

mean

<* I

98 1957

I 1423 j

65 pooled s

.,.1

-127 930

0

T-2

un- rounded

X ==>

3 ==>

overall.

56 710

mean

9

452 57 pooxsd s

. ,i

160 618

T-2 | X ==> | 62

rounded | s ==> | 710

I

overall mean

0 I 15

1041 | 4 55

- 60 poolsa s =

163 623

*15

89

Aztrac

TABLE XIV 3 00 Meter Arc

I Mills | Kenny | Schoraaker I Cherry ill I

X ==> | 425 s ==> I 2274

overall mean

-200 1605

699 2104

-1219 3516

= -74 pooled s = 2290

T-2

un- rounded

X ==> | -210 | 320 | 276

s ==> | 652 | 933 | 1290

overall mean = 124 pooled s

109 682

868

T-2 X ==>

oundsd s ==>

I overal

-215 | 313 654 j 929

mean = 10 4

I 274 I 1289

pooled s =

43

t

843 902

90

APPENDIX B GEODETIC POSITION OP HORIZONTAL CONTROL STATIONS

Station Nam*

SOFAR (1947)

USE MON (1978)

MUSSEL (1932)

AZTRAC

T2

GSOCEIVER

Latitude

3

Longitude

36

36'

32". 117

121

53«

24 ".0 04

36

36'

04". 685

121

52

' 35". 9 00

36

37'

18". 151

121

54

1 11 ".6 28

36

36'

32". 530

121

53'

25". 310

36

36'

32". 493

121

5 3

25". 254

36

36'

3 2 " . 5 1 2

121

53

1 25". 2 86

91

APPENDIX C EHPIBICAL PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION PLOTS

o

to

o

300 METER ARC

T-2: SOLID LINE flZTRRC: DASHED LINE

■4000.0 -2000.0 0.0 2000.0

ERROR IN SECONDS

4000

Figure C. 1 Probability Density Plot: 300 a arc.

92

in

.. 1

o~

500 METER ARC

■^

T-2: SOLID LINE flZTRPIC: DASHED LINE

to

l\ t ^

o~

'**> / \ v

/— V

' x / / \ \

>

' \ 1 ' \ \

«-^

! > // \

a. oj

7 \ \

d"

«^

t i \ \

o

•S Nw-X^^N. V>-

o_

^ ^

-

1 II

4000.0 -2000.0 0.0 2000.0

1

4000

ERROR IN SECONDS

_ j

Figure C. 2 Probability Density Plot: 500 arc.

93

ir>

o~

700 METER ARC

"**

T-2: SOLID LINE flZTRflC: DASHED LINE

to

' \

<-^

>

Q_. ct

\ 1

t

d~

\ J \ 1

A /

\ 1

\

' v /

l\

' x /

1 1

\ / M

o

/ A

1

\ / \ ■* N

/ f \

, ftt /

j J +—'

* /

1 4

/ /

^

1 »

y /

1 \

o

1 \

o

1

1 I

1 1 1

-2000.0 -1000.0 0.0

ERROR IN SECONDS

1000.0

2000

Figure C. 3 Probability Density Plot: 700 m arc.

94

o

to o

CL cvj

O

o

o

1000 METER ARC

T-2: SOLID LINE RZTRflC: DASHED LINE

.\

-1500.0-1000.0 -500.0 0.0 500.0 1000.0

ERROR IN SECONDS

1500

Figure C. 4 Probability Density Plor: 1000 m arc.

95

LO O

to o

o

o o

1500 METER ARC

T-2: SOLID LINE AZTRflC: DASHED LINE

-1500.0-1000.0

-500.0 0.0 500.0

ERROR IN SECONDS

looo. n i5on

Figure C. 5 Probability Density Plot: 1500 m arc.

96

O'

CO

o

o

o o

3000 METER ARC

T-2: SOLID LINE flZTRFiC: DASHED LINE

t 1 1 1 r 1 1

-SOChffllO. 0-300. 0-200.0- 100. 0 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500

ERROR IN SECONDS

Figure C. 6 Probability Density Plot: 3000 m arc.

97

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Apsev, B., private communication, Diom Offshore Surveys, Inc., Baton Rouge, LA, 1983.

Bowditch, N., American Practical Navigator, Defense Mapping Agency HydrograpETc Cen?2 t~~7111~

Box, G. f Hunter, W. G. , and Hunter, J. S. , Statistics for Experimenters, John Wiley and Sons, 1978.

Burt, W. A., and others. Mathematical Considerations

"Center tanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, CA . , 1966.

Crow, E. L. , Davis, F. A., and Maxfisldf M. W., Statistics HlHiilir U.S. Naval Ordnance Test Station China" La Ice, T9"55.

Davis, R. E., and others. Surveying Theory and Practice, McGraw-Hill, 1981.

Ehrhardt, J. E. , FORTRAN subroutine TCARC, NOAA Atlantic Marine Center, fforToTK,"7T7 "TO737

Grei

T' fti

Center, St. Louis., MO, 1962.

Greenwalt, C. R., User's Snide to Jnier standing Chart and

Seodet .c Accuracies, ACT* R"eference""?u5IIca^icn""no. "2F7

USlF~7reronajtTcaT""Chart and Information Center, St. Louis, MO, 1971.

Hart, D. E. , private communication, US Army Coros of Engineers W1 July, 1983.

Engineers Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MI, ~uly.

Hart, D. E. , and Downing, G.C., Portioning Techniques and Equipment Su: "

Heinzen, M. R. , Hydrographi c Surveys: Geodetic Control Criteria, M. S. Tresis, ""CorneTTuni var sit y7 T977."

Hull, C. , and Nie, N., SPSS 2p_date 7-9, McGraw-Hill, 1981.

98

Ingham, A. E., Hydrography for the Surveyor ar.d Engineer, Granada, 19/47 "

International Hydrographic Organization, Accuracy Standards Recommended for Hydrographic Surveys. S?""557~"T9 6B*.

International Hydrographic Organization, Accuracy Standards Recommended for Hydrographic Surveys, SP~t]±~~l9 8?.

KaDlan, A.r Error Analysis of Hydrographic Positioning and the Application of Least Squares? H7 3\ ~TKesis7~'Saval "" Postgraduate SchoorTTTorft erey,~T93 3 .

Mueller, I. I. , Spherical and Practical Astronomy, as applied to Geodesy, F rede ricK'TTn gar P*ub"XiIhTng""C'c77 ^sw YorTc,"

Newell, V. E., and Winter, D.. Agfilication of the Global Positioning System to Nearshofe Hy3roara£hTc~5urveys , M. S.TEesis, Nl"vaT~PosTgra3ua?3~5cfrDoI,""!Tonnfey7 T987.

Odom Offshore Surveys, Inc. , Aztrac System Technical Manual, 19 82.

Palikaris, A. S. , Methods of Hydrograohic Surveying used in Different Countries, H. 5. TnesTs7~NTval~p"5*sEgraauats ScTTooT, flonTerey, 7983 .

Pfeifer, L. J., FORTRAN subroutine INV3R1, NOAA National Ocean Service , ""RocfcyiiriT^flS, T975"7~

Pfeifer, L. J., FORTRAN subroutine DIRECT1, NOAA National Ocean Service, ~R"ockvilIe7 HE, T3757"

Robinson, D. W., FORTRAN subroutine HISTG, Naval Postgraduate ScKool, MohTerey, CT, "T9"7CT.

Silva, C. , Calculation of Hydrographic Positj.cn Data by

L®ali Sguaras""5a3ttS^EPsntr h7 s7""T5esis7~^avaI Postgraduate S~c"Ecol, aonterey, 1979.

Smith, J. G.. A New High Precision Rang.e^Aziraut h Position Fixing System ,~Se a Techno logy, v. 7T7 PP~ T3-1E , Sarcn,

Thomson, D. B. , and Wells, D. E. , Hy dro£rap_hic Surveying I, Lecture Note No. 45, Department or Surveying Engineering, dniversi^y of lew ""Brunswick, Canada, 1977.

99

Umbach, M. J., Hydro graphic Manual Fourth Edition , NO&A National Ocaan 5er vice 7~T 97157

Wallace, J. L. , Hydr oplot/3 ydroloa System Manual, National Ocean Service 7ech"nicaT~HanuaT TTo7 Z77T9777

Wallace, J. L. f private coi munication , NOAA National Ocean Service, Rockvllle, MD , September, 1983.

Walpole, R. E. , and Meyers, R. H. f Probability, and

Statistics for Engineers and Sci92tis£s7 MTcMiIIan, 197 8.

Wonnacott, T. H. f and Wcnnacott, R. »., Introductory Statistics, John Wiley and Sons, 19 77.""

100

INITIAL DISTRIBUTION LIST

1. 2. 3.

4.

5.

6.

7. 8.

9.

10. 11. 12.

Defense Technical Information Canter Cameron Station Alexandria, VA 22314

Librarv, Code 0 142

Naval Postgraduate School

Monterey, CA 93943

Chairman (Code 63Mr) Department of Oceanography Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943

LCDR Gerald B. Mills, NOAA (Coda 58mi) Department of Oceanography Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA 93943

Cdr Donald 5. Puccini, USN

Fleet Numerical Oceanography Canter

Monterey, CA 93940

Director Naval Oceanograohy Division Naval Obseratory 34th and Massachusetts Avanue SW Washington, D.C. 20390

Commander

Naval Oceanography Command

Bay St. Louis, MS 39522

Ccmmanding Officer

Naval Ocaanographic Office

NSTL Station

Bay St. Louis, MS 39522

Ccmmanding Officer

Naval Ocaan Rasearch and DeveloDment Activity

NSTL Station

Eay St. Louis, MS 39522

Chairman, Oceanography Departaant U. S. Naval Academy Annapolis, MD 2 1402

Chief of Naval Research 800 N. Quincy Street Arlington, VA 22217

Director (Code PPH)

Defense Mapping Aaency

Bldg. 56, U. S. Naval Observatory

Washington, D.C. 20305

No. Copies 2

101

13. Director (Coda HO)

Defense Mapping Agenoy Hydrographic

Topographic Center 6500 Brookes Lane Washington, D.C. 20315

17.

14.

15. Director, Charting and Geodetio Services (N/CG) national Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Rockvilla, MD 20852

16. Chief, Program Planning, Liaison,

and Trainma (NC2) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Rockvilla, MD 20852

Chief, Nautical Charting Division (N/CG2) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Rockvilla, MD 20852

18. Chief, Hfdrographic Surveys Branch (N/CG24) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Rockvilla, .ID 20852

19. Director, Pacific Marine Centar (N/MOP) National Ocean Service, NOAA

1801 Fairview Avenue Bast Seattle, MA 98102

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25. Commanding Officer NOAA Ship WHITING Atlantic Marine Centar, NOAA 439 West York Street Norfolk, VA 23510

102

26. Commanding Officer NOAA Ship PEIRCE

Atlantic Marine Center, NOAA 439 West York Street Norfolk, VA 23510

27. Chief. H? drographic Field Parties section MOA 233

Atlantic Marine Center, NOAA 439 West York Street Norfolk, VA 23510

28. Maureen R. Kenny, LT, NOAA N/MOP 21x2

7600 Sand Point Way N2 Bin C15700 Blda. 3 Seattle, WA 98115-0070

29. LT David A. Waltz, NOAA 147 5 Soring Meadow Lane Suffolk, VA 23432

30. LT Christine W. Schomaker, NOAA NOAA/NGDC E/GC3

325 Broadway Boulder, CO 80303

31. IHO/FTG International Advisory Board International Hydrograohic Bureau Avenue President J. F. Kennedy

Monte Carlo, Monaco

32. LT Athanasios E. Palikaris 72 Timotheou Street - Athens Tr512

Greece

33. Mr. Dunny Green SMC 2790 NP5 Monterey, CA 93943

34. LCDR Lima Williams, Vsnezuelan Navy SMC 1070 NPS

Monterey, CA 93943

35. Ing. Walter Herrera

Instituto Nacional de Canalizaciones Zona Industrial de la Ferrominsra Puerto Ordaz Estado Bolivar Venezuela

103

352

Thesis W22528 c.l

Waltz

An error analysis of range-azimuth position- ing.

r .

"Tiesis W22528 c.l

Waltz

An error analysis of range-azimuth position- ing.