© •5 7-" THE LIFE, LETTERS AND LABOURS OF FRANCIS GALTON Cambridge University Press Fetter Lane, London Neiv Tork Bombay, Calcutta, Madras Toronto Macmillan Tokyo Maruzen Company, Ltd. All rights reserved THE LIFE, LETTERS AND LABOURS OF FRANCIS GALTON BY KARL PEARSON GALTON PROFESSOR, UNIVERSITY OF LONDON VOLUME IIIa CORRELATION, PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION AND EUGENICS CAMBRIDGE AT THE UNIVERSITY PRESS 1930 Q 143 G3Pu v. 3.*- Bookplate of Samuel Galton. rRINTKD IN ORKAT URITAIN PREFACE A GAIN after a long interval the third and final volume of this Life appears. Xx The delay is traceable to the same difficulties as arose in the case of the second volume, namely the high cost of producing nowadays a work of this character. As it was the generous help of Mr Lewis Haslam which enabled the second volume to be printed, so I have to record my gratitude to two friends who have assisted me to obtain the funds requisite on the present occasion. In the first place Professor Henry A. Ruger of Columbia University, New York, a former postgraduate worker in the Galton Laboratory, interested Miss Dorothy Chase Rowell in Galton's writings, and in the second place Dr F. A. Freeth reported my need to Mr Henry Mond. I wish to place on record here my deep gratitude to Miss Rowell and Mr Mond, whose gifts so far supplemented the proceeds of the sales of the first two volumes that I ventured to send the third to press. It may be said that a shorter and less elaborate work would have supplied all that was needful. I do not think so, and there are two aspects of' the matter to which I should like to refer. The writer of biographies usually belongs to the literary world, and is too often a minor light of that world. I have no claim to literary distinction of any order. I have written my ac- count because I loved my friend and had sufficient knowledge to understand his aims and the meaning of his life for the science of the future. I have had to give up much of my time during the past twenty years to labour which lay outside my proper field, and that veiy fact induced me from the start to say, that if I spend my heritage in writing a biography it shall be done to satisfy myself and without regard to traditional standards, to the needs of publishers or to the tastes of the reading public. I will paint my portrait of a size and colouring to please myself, and disregard at each stage circulation, sale or profit. Biography is thankless work, but at least one can get delight in writing it, if one writes exactly as one chooses and without regard to the outside world ! In the process one will learn to know — as intimately as any human being can know another — a personality not one's own; that is the joy of spending years over a biography where there is a wealth of material touching the mental output, the character and even the physical appearance of the subject. If a work is to be printed, even twenty years after a man is dead some things, some strong opinions and some names, must still be omitted. Our lives are too closely entwined with those of others not to call for some reticence even after two decades have elapsed. Still I think the reader will find in these volumes a portrait of Galton which represents without undue repression, and without uncritical adulation, the man as I knew him, and as I have learnt from his writings and letters to interpret him. vi Preface The farther aspect of the matter lies in the opinion I have formed of what Galton's influence will be upon the future. Even since his death I see what strides in public acceptance the doctrine he preached has made. The dominant race of the future, the leading nation of civilisation, will not be the one with the greatest material resources, nay, not even the one with the greatest wealth of tradition; it will be the one which can claim to have the finest breed of men and women, physically and mentally. Civilisation has gained nothing from rivalry in destructive warfare; it can gain enormously from the rivalry of nations in rearing their future generations from the most efficient of their citizens. Galton was the first to realise this great truth, to preach it as a moral code, and to lay the foundations of the new science which it demands of man. In the centuries to come, when the principles of Eugenics shall be commonplaces of social conduct and of politics, men, whatever their race, will desire to know all that is knowable about one of the greatest, perhaps the greatest scientist of the nineteenth century. I have endeavoured to put together many things of which the knowledge in another fifty years will have perished, or not improbably the documents on which that knowledge could be based will be distributed in many directions. I have to the extent of my judgment and powers given an account of Galton's scientific work and of his social ideas, so that all that is essential to an appreciation of his labour and thought will be found in these volumes without the need for continual reference to widely scattered papers, and in the future to still more widely scattered letters. With regard to Francis Galton's letters a word must be said here. I owe a deep debt of thanks to his relatives and friends for the immense mass of correspondence which has been placed at my disposal. Galton's own letters cover a period of at least eighty-five years, and the family letters stretch over a century. During that time profound changes have taken place in the manner of thought and in the habits of the dwellers in this country, and nothing can illustrate these changes better than the letters interchanged between the members, old and young, of a large family. We learn from such a century of letters much of the social history of our own country. We pass from an age when people travelled on horseback or in coaches to an epoch of aeroplanes and motor-boats; we note that it was once an open question whether it was wiser to invest in canal or railway shares, and we trace the changes from private to joint-stock banks. We see brought forcibly before us the passage from sail to steam ; and — as the chief interest — we grasp how this evolution influenced the minds of those who were spectators of it. This century of Galton family letters would in the future be of high value to the social historian of our country, and it is with grief that I think of its disper- sion. In a biography like the present there is small excuse for publishing letters which do not directly bear on the characterisation of its subject, but in picking out for publication letters from the many placed at my disposal my delight in social history may have occasionally led me to err in choosing letters which depict Galton's family environment even more significantly than they illustrate his keen affection for four generations of his kinsfolk. Preface vii While the circumstances detailed in the preface to my second volume led to a great extension of the original plan of this work, I felt the exclusion of many of these charming family letters was not justified by the introduction of so much scientific detail, and thus I have added them as an additional chapter to this volume. To Galton's niece, Mrs Lethbridge, I owe the privilege of publishing the selection from letters which, after the death of his sister Emma in 1904, her Uncle wrote to her almost weekly. They give the most perfect characterisation of Galton in his relationship to his family. One apology I must make if the reader feels that in the chapter on the last decade of Galton's life the biographer has introduced too much of himself. To me that last decade was essentially bound up with our joint work for a subject we both had closely at heart; and I believe that for Galton himself our common aim — the establishment of Eugenics as an accepted branch of science — was a leading, if not the principal, purpose of those years. My own enthusiasm may possibly have deceived me, but I believe Galton during that decade lived more in the struggles and difficulties of our infant Laboratory than in any other phase of his wide interests. The sympathy and help he always so readily tendered to his friends may again have misled me, but I think the history of the Laboratory he founded and finally endowed was also the essential history of his own life in those last years. At any rate such is the aspect of Galton's many-sided nature that I then saw most closely, and it is accordingly that which I am best fitted to render account of. To me his final crusade for eugenic principles was the crowning phase of a life whose labours in medicine, evolution, anthropology, psychology, heredity and statistics directly fitted him to be the teacher and prophet of the new faith. I have to express my gratitude to various societies and editors of journals for permission to reproduce the illustrations that accompanied Erancis Galton's letters and papers. In particular, to the Royal Institution for permission to use the figures illustrating Galton's lectures of 1877, to the Royal Anthropological Institute for permission to use the diagrams of Galton's memoir of 1885; and to the Editor of Nature for permission to use Galton's diagrams or other figures from that journal. The permission of the Royal Society to reproduce illustrations to Galton's memoirs was granted when my second volume was published. The copyright in Galton's books belongs to the University of London. The copyright in most of the letters and photographs belongs to those members of the Galton and Darwin families who provided me with them, and permission to reproduce them again must be obtained from those members, as well as from myself (if the second repro- duction be made from this volume). While I must again renew my thanks to many who have aided me in this as in the earlier volumes, I am under deep obligations to my colleagues Pro- fessor C. J. Sisson and Miss Ethel M. Elderton for assistance in the toil of proof- reading; if in a few instances I have not followed their obviously better judgment, I trust they will not despise me for being of a perverse heart. To Dr Julia Bell I owe the expenditure of too many of her free hours for several years in the preparation of the ample index to this work ; while to my Wife, b viii Preface Margaret V. Pearson, I am indebted for the heavy task of aiding in selecting and of afterwards transcribing the numerous letters and papers, which has very greatly lightened my own labours. I cannot conclude without a word of thanks for the care which my printers, the Cambridge University Press, have devoted to the preparation of this work and the endeavours they have always made to meet the very varied requirements of its illustration. KARL PEARSON. The Galton Laboratory, University of London. March 22, 1930. Yff Ony thyng Amysse be blame connyng, and nat me: I desyr ]ie redar to be my frynd, yff )>er be ony amysse, J>at to amend. (Mary Mavdleyn, Digby Mystery.) CONTENTS OF VOLUME IIIA CHAP. XIV. CORRELATION AND THE APPLICATION OF STATISTICS TO THE PROBLEMS OF HEREDITY A. Introductory ........... B. The First Idea of " Regression " C. Heredity in Stature of Man. Development of the Conception of Regression ............ D. Attempt to demonstrate the Law of Ancestral Heredity on Eye-Colour E Law of Ancestral Heredity applied to Basset Hounds .... F. Representations of the Ancestral Law ...... G. Experiments in Moth-Breeding ........ H. Correlations and their Measurement ....... I. Natural Inheritance .......... J. Discontinuity in Evolution ......... 5. Eugenics as a Religious Faith ........ L Miscellaneous Papers on Evolution, Heredity, etc. .... Noteworthy Families and Miscellanea ....... The Evolution Committee, and the Proposal to acquire Darwin's House at Down ............ Appendix to Chapter XIV. " Weights of British Noblemen during the last Three Generations" ......... XV. PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION AND DESCRIPTION . § I. History and Controversy ......... § II. Popularisation of Finger-Printing ....... § III. Scientific Papers and Books ........ A. The Royal Society Papers ......... B. Finger-Prints, 1893 Decipherment of Blurred Finger- Prints, 1893. Physical Index to 100 Persons, 1894 Finger-Print Directories, 1895 ........ Note to Chapter XV. Finger-Prints as Reminiscences XVI. EUGENICS AS A CREED AND THE LAST DECADE OF GALTON'S LIFE §1- §2. §3. §4. § r>. §6. §7. §8- §9- Introductory ........ Address to the Demographers, 1891 . Definition of Eugenics and the Eugenics Fellowship . The Huxley Lecture, 1901. Allied Matters Selected Correspondence between Galton and his Biographer, Work and Correspondence of 1903 .... Work and Correspondence of 1904 .... Work and Correspondence of 1905 .... Events and Correspondence of 1906 .... 1900 1902 PAGE 1-137 1-6 6-11 11-34 34-40 40-44 44-45 45-50 50-57 57-79 79-87 87-93 93-113 113-126 126-135 136-137 138-216 138-154 154-160 161-215 161-174 174-194 194-199 199-215 216 217-436 217-218 218-221 221-226 226-240 240-251 251-258 258-266 266-278 278-292 b-2 Contents of Volume II I A PAGE § 10. Galton's unpublished MS. on Eugenic Certificates .... 292-296 § 11. Reconstruction of the "Eugenics Record Office" .... 296-304 § 12. Final Form of Scheme for a Eugenics Laboratory for the University of London 304-308 § 13. "Work and Correspondence of 1907 . 308-332 § 14. Events and Correspondence of 1908 ....... 332-361 (a) On the Literary Style of Scientific Memoirs (pp. 332-339). (b) The Darwin-Wallace Celebration of the Linnean Society (pp. 340-347). (c) The Eugenics Education Society (pp. 347-353). (d) The auto- biography : Memories of my Life (pp. 354-361). § 15. Events and Correspondence of 1909 .... § 16. Events and Correspondence of 1910 . § 17. Francis Galton's Utopia ...... § 18. Further letters of 1910, chiefly concerning Eugenics § 19. The Last Scenes 361-400 400-411 411-425 425-432 432-436 Appendix I. The Codicil to the Will of Sir Francis Galton 437-438 Appendix II. Scheme by Sir Francis Galton for a Eugenics Discussion Committee, 1905 438 ILLUSTRATIONS TO VOLUME IIIA Frontispiece. Francis Galton, aged G6, from the copperplate prepared for Biometrika, Vol. ii. Extra Plate. The Greek Girl of the "Just Perceptible Difference" Lecture of 1893, to face Table of Contents. Tailpiece. Sir William J. Herschel's Forefinger prints at an interval of 54 years, the longest known evidence for persistence, to face Appendix n, p. 438 plate to I. The Genometer, after a suggestion of Francis Galton . II. Galton's " Ogive Curve " as exhibited by a marshalled series of Bean Pods ........... Dr Sorby's painting of a tree from the black pigment of human hair Dr Sorby's painting of a tree from the red pigment of human hair Rajyadhar Konai's Contract with Sir W. J. Herschel, made at Hooghly, 1858, and signed with the imprint of his right hand Effects of various injuries on Finger-Print Patterns Persistence of minutiae in Finger-Print Patterns at intervals of nine and twenty-eight years ......... Persistence of minutiae in Finger-Print Patterns at intervals of twenty six, thirty and thirty-one years ....... The Standard Patterns of Purkenje, with Galton's drawings of their Cores ............ TIL IV. V. VI. VII. VIII. IX. X. XI. XII. XIII. XIV. XV. XVI. XVII. XVIII. XIX. XX. XXI. XXII. XXIII. XXIV. XXV. XXVI. XXVII. XXVIII. XXIX. XXX. XXXI. Examples of the "outlining " of Patterns to assist Classification . Outlines of Patterns in Arches and Loops ..... Outlines of Patterns in Whorls, and Cores to Loops and Whorls . Outlines of the ten Digits of eight Persons, taken at random Transitional Patterns — Arches and Loops ..... Transitional Patterns — Loops and Whorls ..... Persistence of Finger-Prints, Enlarged Patterns .... Persistence of Finger-Print Patterns with corresponding minutiae like numbered ........... Finger-Prints of Like Twins, from the Collection in the Galtoniana Blurred Finger-Prints, Illustrations of Galton's Treatment (enlarged 2£ times) ........... Selected corresponding Portions of Blurred Doublets (enlarged 7 times) Skeleton Charts of Ridge Central Lines of Doublets of Plate XX Plate XXI overprinted on Plate XX Classification of Finger-Prints, Types treated by Galton as Arches Classification of Finger-Prints, Types treated by Galton as Loops . Classification of Finger-Prints, Types treated by Galton as Whorls Galton's method of counting Ridges in Loops. Illustration of dabbed and rolled prints .......... Illustrations of Galton's Secondary Classificatory Symbols (i,f, c) Illustrations of Galton's Secondary Classificatory Symbols (y, v, vy) Galton's Secondary Classificatory Symbols applied to Noteworthy Peculiarities .......... Illustration of the use of Galton's Secondary Classificatory Symbols Francis Galton, the Founder of the Science of Eugenics, from a photo- graph of 1902, by the late Mr Dew-Smith. (By kind permission of Mrs Dew-Smith) face page 30 31 97 97 146 154 166 166 179 180 181 181 181 181 181 182 182 191 197 197 197 197 213 213 213 213 213 213 213 213 217 xu Illustrations to Volume IIIA plate to face page XXXII. Francis Galton, about the age of 80 . . . . . . . 249 XXXIII. Collotype of the " interspaces " on Galton's own Finger- Prints . . 257 XXXIV. Francis Galton in 1904, aged 82 259 XXXV. Two portraits of Charles Darwin : on the right at age 31, from a water- colour painting by Richmond, formerly in the possession of his daughter, Mrs Litchfield ; on the left at age 33, with his eldest son William, from a daguerreotype, in the possession of Lady George Darwin . . 340 XXXVI. Francis Galton, aged 87, on the stoep at Fox Holm, Cobham, with his biographer ............ 353 XXXVII. A Reverie, caught " when the spirit was not there " .... 354 XXXVIII. Francis Galton, aged 87, on the stoep at Fox Holm, Cobham, with the faithful Gifi and the Albino puppy Wee Ling ..... 390 XXXIX. Guido Reni's Picture of Apollo and the Hours preceded by Aurora, from the Casino of the Palazzo Rospigliosi, Rome .... 422 XL. Francis Galton, aged 88, from a sketch made by Frank Carter, twelve days before Galton's death ......... 432 XLI. Francis Galton, January 17th, 1911, from a photograph taken after death ............. 433 XLII. The Church at Claverdon, with the iron railings surrounding the vault where Galton's body lies 435 In the Pocket at the end of this volume : (a) Supplementary Pedigree of Distinguished Ancestors of Francis Galton and Charles Darwin (/3) Galton's Types of Finger-Print Patterns reduced from the framed enlargements, once in Galton's Anthropometric Laboratory, now in the Anthropometric Laboratory at University College, London Bookplate of Tertius Galton. ERRATA TO VOLUME I p. 53. Lines 11 and 19-20, for " John Hubert Barclay Galton " read " Hubert John Barclay Galton. p. 150. Plate LI. The long horizontal object above the mantel-mirror is an oriental pipe not a lance. p. 161. On p. 160 we see that Tertius Galton was proposing a visit to the English Lakes, and it would appear from Emma Galton's diary that this actually took place. It is not clear whether Tertius Galton's serious illness occurred at Keswick in the English Lakes, or at "Keswick" the home of the Gurneys near Norwich on the homeward journey. In the letter on p. 162 Galton is speaking of Keswick in the Lakes, but it is not always easy in the diaries of Emma and Francis to distinguish between visits to Lakeland and to the Gurneys' home. p. 168. Line 9. The mysterious " Missourian " of Galton's letter to his Father is very probably Galton's misspelling for " Mesosaurian." Not only in his boyhood and his college days, but even to the last decade of his life, Galton's spellings could be erratic. In one of his letters to me he excuses his spelling by the darkness in which he is writing. It is probable therefore that he judged the spelling of words by seeing them, and he may only have heard this fossil lizard spoken of, and not seen the name written. Pedigree Plate A. Immediate Ancestry and Collaterals of Sir Francis Galton in pocket at end of Vol. I. Last line but one, seventh column of names, for " F. M. Cormford " read " F. M. Cornford." To M. S. P. and M. V. P. whose unstinted sympathy and aid have enabled me to complete my task Francis Galton, aged 66, from the copperplate prepared for Biometrika, Vol. n. CHAPTER XIV CORRELATION AND THE APPLICATION OF STATISTICS TO THE PROBLEMS OF HEREDITY "It is full of interest of its own. It familiarises us with the measurement of variability, and with curious laws of chance that apply to a vast diversity of social subjects. This part of the inquiry may be said to run along a road on a high level, that affords wide views in unexpected directions, and from which easy descents may be made to totally different goals to those we have now to reach. I have a great subject to write upon, but feel keenly my literary incapacity to make it easily intelligible without sacrificing accuracy and thoroughness." Natural Inheritance, p. 3. A. Introductory. Thus wrote Francis Galton in 1889 when the signifi- cance of correlation and its measurement had impressed themselves upon him. Up to 1889 men of science had thought only in terms of causation, in future they were to admit another working category, that of correlation, and thus open to quantitative analysis wide fields of medical, psychological and sociological research. Turning to the writings of Turgot and Condorcet, who felt convinced that mathematics were applicable to social phenomena*, we realise to-day how little progress in that direction was possible because they lacked the key — correlation — to the treasure chamber. Condorcet often and Laplacef occasionally failed because this idea of correlation was not in their minds. Much of Quetelet's work and of that of the earlier (and many of the modern) anthropologists is sterile for like reasons. Galton turning over two different problems in his mind reached the con- ception of correlation : A is not the sole cause of B, but it contributes to the production of B; there may be other, many or few, causes at work, some of which we do not know and may never know. Are we then to exclude from mathematical analysis all such cases of incomplete causation? Galton's answer was: "No, we must endeavour to find a quantitative measure of this degree of partial causation." This measure of partial causation was the germ of the broad category — that of correlation, which was to replace not only in the minds of many of us the old category of causation, but deeply to influ- ence our outlook on the universe. The conception of causation — unlimitedly profitable to the physicist — began to crumble to pieces. In no case was B * "Un grand homme [Turgot], dont je regretterai tousjours les lecons, les exeinples, & sur-tout l'amitie, ^toit persuade que les verites des Sciences morales & politiques, sont susceptibles de la meme certitude que celles qui forment le systeme des Sciences physiques, & meme que les branches de ces Sciences qui, comme l'Astronomie, paroissent approcher de la certitude mathematique." Discours preliminaire, Essai sur I'application de I 'analyse a la Probabilite des Decisions, p. i, Paris, 1785. t See for example Laplace's memoir in Memoires de VAcademie des Sciences for 1783, pp. 693- 702, where J entirely overlooks the correlation between the size of the population and the number of births in evaluating what is really the probable error of the birth-rate. pgiii 1 2 Life and Letters of Francis Galton simply and wholly caused by A , nor indeed by C, D, E and F as well ! It was really possible to go on increasing the number of contributory causes, until they might involve all the factors of the universe. The physicist was clearly picking out a few of the more important causes of A, and wisely con- centrating on those. But no two physical experiments would — even if our instruments of measurement, men and machines, were perfect — ever lead to absolutely the same numerical result, because we could not include all the vast range of minor contributory causes. The physicist's method of describing phenomena was seen to beonlyfitting whenahigh degree of correlation existed. In other words he was assuming for his physical needs a purely theoretical limit — that of perfect correlation. Henceforward the philosophical view of the universe was to be that of a correlated system of variates, approaching but by no means reaching perfect correlation, i.e. absolute causality, even in the group of phenomena termed physical. Biological phenomena in their numerous phases, economic and social, were seen to be only differentiated from the physical by the intensity of their correlations. The idea Galton placed before himself was to represent by a single numerical quantity the degree of relationship, or of partial causality, between the different variables of our ever-changing universe. How far he was successful forms the subject-matter of this chapter. I have said that Galton came to this fundamental conception from two aspects. The first problem was that of inheritance. To take an illustration : A character in the Father does not determine absolutely the like character in the Son ; it is only one out of many contributory factors. The character is only a partial expression of the Father's germ-plasm; so it is with the Son's character — it is not at all a full expression of his germ-plasm. Again, the Son is not a product only of his Father's germ-plasm, but of his Mother's also, and those of both parents in their turn are products of innumerable ancestral stirps leading us back through long eons of evolution. Nor is the somatic or bodily character of the Son a product only of heredity, it is the integration of a number of factors acting throughout his prenatal and postnatal growths. From the physicist's standpoint of causation there was no way at all to attack this problem, the causes were too indefinite and elusive to be individually grasped and measured. They could only be dealt with one at a time — the measure of the resemblance of offspring to parent, a partial causation, led Galton to the idea of correlation. The second problem which impressed itself on Galton's mind was that of correlation in the narrow biological sense. The word itself appears to have originated with Cuvier who denoted by it an association between two organs or characters of a family — thus the occurrence of a split hoof with a particular form of tooth, so that from the discovery of one organ a prediction could be made as to the nature of others. It has been said that Cuvier 's conception did not involve causation*. I do not know that any correlationist of to-day would assert that the knowledge of the length of the femur, which would enable him to closely predict the length of the humerus, is an assertion of * See C. Herbst, Uandw'orterbuch der Naturwistseiwchaften, Bd. Ill, S. 621, Jena, 1913. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 3 causation in a sense different from that of Cuvier; he would mei"ely think in terras of associations with differing grades of intensity. Be this as it may, Galton's second idea of measuring the degree of relationship arose from the fact that he had recognised that two characters measured on a human heing are not independent, they vary with each other. The femur of man has its characters associated with those of the humerus. Galton did not realise immediately that his two problems admitted of the same solution. His first actual attempts at solution of the inheritance problem were based on the weight of the seeds of mother and daughter plants. In the first place he used, about 1875, some seed like that of cress (see Vol. ir, p. 392), and he started by endeavouring to correlate grades or ranks. This could not be very successful because the regression curve and the "isograms" (see Vol. II, p. 391) are not linear, but extremely complicated curves. Later in 1875 (ibid. p. 187) we find him experimenting with Darwin's assistance on the weight and diameter of sweet-pea seeds, and here he reached his first "regression line." I reproduce (p. 4) from Galton's data in a note-book the first "regression line " which I suppose ever to have been computed. I have recalculated the constants and redrawn the line. It is for sweet-pea diameters in mother and daughter plants. The correlation coefficient is -33, almost exactly 1/3. Two points must here be noticed. First the parental mean is considerably higher than the offspring mean. If the offspring mean denotes that of the general population, this would indicate that Galton's parental population was not a random sample of the original general population. Secondly the means of the diameters of the daughter plant peas for each size of mother plant pea, give a series of points of rather irregular distribution, which conforms as well to a sloping straight line as to any other form of curve. Here we have the origin of Galton's "regression straight line." We see that as size of mother pea increases, so does size of daughter pea, but whether in excess or defect of mean the daughter pea does not reach the deviation of the mother's diameter from the mean value, the offspring is less a giant or a dwarf than the mother pea. This is Galton's phenomenon of regression. In this case the variabilities of mother and daughter peas were approximately equal, and Galton reached the idea that the slope of the regression line would measure the intensity of resemblance between mother and daughter. If there were no slope the diameter of daughter pea would be the same for all diameters of mother pea. If it sloped at 45°, i.e. a slope of unity, the daughter pea's diameter would be exactly that of the mother pea's, supposing their means were the same ; if they were not, the deviations from their respective means would still be equal. It is strange that both Galton and Mendel should have started from peas, the former from sweet and the latter from edible peas. Galton tells us dis- tinctly why he chose the former, namely because he would not be troubled to the same extent by variation in size of peas within the same pod. We must leave it to the future to judge whether the correlational calculus, which has sprung from Galton's peas, is or is not likely to be of equal service with 1—2 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Q U 73 o Diameter or Off spring Seed ( In HuNjmamu or ah Imh ^ Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 5 the vast system of factorial genetics which has arisen from Mendel's peas — and this even in the theory of heredity. We see now what Galton might have done, he might have provided us with data to check Johansen's later bean-weight experiments, he might have thrown light on the "pure line." [ He might possibly have reached the correlation coefficient instead of the re- 1 Agression slope in his first attempt to get a measure of correlation. Whatever he might have done, he reached the idea of regression before he reached that of the coefficient of correlation. As long as he was dealing with heredity in the same sex, the approximate equality of variabilities in the two genera- tions preserved him from any great error. Galton was driven to his second problem by Bertillon's system for the identification of criminals. Bertillon claimed, as I remember Dr Garson did at a much later date, that the measurements chosen were practically inde- pendent. Galton needed a criterion to show whether such measurements as head length, foot length, stature, etc. were or were not associated. He saw that the problem closely resembled that of heredity, but he was troubled by the fact that the slope of his regression line depended on the units in which its two component variables were measured. It was not till more than 13 years* after his first attack on the subject that Galton realised, namely in 1889 during a walk in Naworth Park, that the two problems were identical, provided each character were measured in its own variability as unit (see our Vol. II, p. 393). With that provision the slope of the regression line becomes what we now term the coefficient of correlation. It is needful to realise this history of Galton's. progress : namely that he reached regression and even the constancy of the array variabilities 12 to 14 years before he formulated his coefficient of correlation, in order to understand fully the sequence of his memoirs on this topic. One further fact it is necessary to bear in mind in order to measure his achievements. He started like Quetelet from the normal curve as describing the deviations of a population or of any selected population, e.g. that of an array of offspring from a parent of given character. \ He did not start with a general definition of correlation and see whither that would lead him. His justification was that he was dealing with anthropometric characters or measurements on living forms whose deviations from type approximately followed this special law of distribution. Thus he naturally reached a straight regression line, and the constant variability for all arrays of one character for a given value of a second f. It was, perhaps, best for the progress of the correlational calculus that this simple special case should be promulgated first; it is so easily grasped by the beginner. But it has had the disadvan- tage that certain branches of science, as psychology for example, have rarely got further, and, without taking the trouble to apply tests, adopt linear * In his Natural Inheritance, 1889, p. 79, Galfcon says his sweet-pea data were collected more than 10 years previously. His lecture at the Royal Institution, Feb. 1877, shows that he was then already in possession of sweet-pea data, and the first measurements seem to have been made in 1875. t What we now term "homoscedasticity." 6 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon regression and homoscedasticity where it is quite inappropriate. It is interesting to note how the history of the spread of knowledge follows with halting steps the history of its discovery. Again, if the reader anticipates that Gal ton was a faultless genius, who solved his problems straightaway without slip or doubtful procedure, he is bound to be disappointed. Some few creative minds may have done that, or appear to have done it, because, the building erected, they left no signs of the scaffolding; but the majority of able men stumble and grope in the twilight like their smaller brethren, only they have the persistency and insight which carries them on to the dawn. B. The First Idea of "Regression." I think these conceptions will be well illustrated if we consider Galton's first paper dealing with the subject of regression, namely the lecture entitled : Typical Laws of Heredity, which he gave on February 9, 1877 at the Royal Institution. It is the next forward step he took after the memoir of 1875, in which he had propounded for the first time the continuity of the germ-plasm. See our Vol. II, pp. 184-8. The paper itself embraces three fundamental sections, which I will take in logical sequence if not that of the paper itself. First : an account of the experimental data on sweet-peas. Galton assumes here that sweet-peas are invariably self-fertilised, a result which from my own observation I consider only partially true. There is also a further difficulty here: he does not take the average seed of the mother plant as representing the maternal character. He takes seeds of equal weight which may have been the ordinary produce of large-seeded plants, or the exceptional produce of small-seeded plants, and treats these as representing the parental character. This very fact would in itself involve regression in the offspring seeds, and leaves unsettled two important questions : (i) whether in the average result from all the seeds of a self- fertilising plant, there would be any regression at all, and (ii) whether there is any difference in the average seed weights of daughter plants grown from light and heavy seeds of the mother plant ? Had Galton had these points in mind, he might have thrown light on controversies of a much later date. Again, does the size of the mother seed influence the daughter seed only by way of heredity ? Galton's small seeds led to sickly and often sterile plants, and it is quite probable that this might affect the weight of their seeds (see our Vol. n, p. 181). Be this as it may, Galton found from his data* that there was a linear regression of daughter seed on maternal seed. He does not yet use the term "regression," but speaks of a "reverting" towards "what may be roughly and perhaps fairly described as the average ancestral type." But it is difficult to believe that this reversion was solely due to heredity ; if the original seed had fully represented the maternal plant and that plant had been indefinitely self-fertilised, the Law of Ancestral Heredity would suggest no regression at :*■ * He issued packets of seven sizes of seeds, each containing ten seeds, and nine friends grew the plants. Two crops failing, he had all the seed offspring of 7x7x10 = 490 carefully weighed seeds. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 7 all. It is not possible to say whether the observed " reversion " was due to the weight of a single seed not representing the true maternal character, to the hypothesis of self-fertilisation not being correct or to other causes. Theoretically the important point is that Galton reached linear regression as a first feature of his correlation table. The next point Galton reached was the homoscedasticity or equal variability of the arrays of daughter seeds corresponding to a given mother seed*. "I was certainly astonished to find the family variability of the produce of the little seeds to be equal to that of the big ones ; but so it was, and I thankfully accept the fact ; for if it had been otherwise, I cannot imagine, from theoretical considerations, how the typical problem could be solved" (p. 10). The second logical stage in Gal ton's analysis is mathematical ; he en- deavours, assuming that the population is stable and is distributed normally, to find what relation must exist between the " reversion " coefficient and -) * Thus far I have not been able to find Galton's data for the weights of sweet-peas in the Galtoniana here. It is not easy, however, to find a special topic in the mass of note-books and undated and unindexed papers. Quite possibly, however, he lent his measurements to somebody, as he lent many series of observations to myself. It would be interesting to see exactly the data from which he deduced the two fundamental principles of a normal bivariate distribution, i.e. the straight-line regression and the equivariability of the arrays. Galton gives the correlation table of filial and parental seeds in the Appendix, p. 226, of his Natural Inheritance for lengths not weights. This shows that the mean length and variability of the parent seeds were arbi- trarily chosen, thero being 70 of each. Further, in the table the offspring seeds are modified to show 100 iu each array. We do not know therefore the true means or standard deviations of either parental or offspring populations. This does not, however, affect the determination of either means or standard deviations of arrays. I find in hundredths of an inch: Diameter of Mean Diameter of Array of Filial Seeds Standard Deviation Parent Seed of the Array 21 17-26 1-988 20 17-07 1-938 19 16-37 1-896 18 16-40 2-037 17 16-13 1-654 16 16-17 1-594 15 15-98 1-763 My means do not agree with Galton's, possibly he found his before reducing his whole numbers to percentages. (It could not be by the distribution of the filial diameters "Under 15," as this would tend, I think, to reduce all his means below mine.) He does not give his array standard deviations nor the quartiles. However, on some such numbers as these Galton reached his results. The array means are not incompatible with a straight-line relation; the standard deviations suggest that the smaller parental seeds had offspring seeds of less variability than those of the larger seeds, rather than equivariability being the rule. This view might be modified if we knew the actual distribution of the filial seeds "Under 15." Many of these dwarf seeds I suspect were abortions, as their lumping up at the tail of the arrays really prevents the latter from being considered as "normal curves." Galton states (loc. cit. supra) that he had obtained confirmatory results for the foliage and length of pod; this indicates that his experiments must have been carried on for a second year, as he started only with the parental seed. 8 Life and Letters of Francis Galton the variability constant of the equivariable arrays in order that the popula- tion may owing to the laws just stated repeat in the filial the parental distribution. Now there are two points to be regarded here. Galton first states that he is going to suppose no sexual selection at work, and further he next supposes every female to be reduced to an equivalent adult male standard. It is true that he does this by the aid of percentiles, but what it really amounts to is this : If to2 be the female mean character, o-2 the standard deviation and A, the deviation of an individual female from type, to, , cr, and A, corresponding quantities for the male, then Galton replaces the female to2 + A2 by a male to, + A, , where A, has the same percentile value p for males as A2 for females. This really amounts to taking A, = — A2 ; it appears to me cr2 that this reduction of female to male value is more correct than that which he adopted later in his memoir of 1886 and in Natural Inheritance (see our p. 15). Having got his midparental value as the mean of the father's and mother's characters, the last reduced to male value, Galton correctly asserted that if there be no sexual selection and the original population followed a normal distribution, the midparental distribution also would be normal with a standard deviation -p cr, . He next introduces an ingenious artifice ; instead of supposing the offspring to " revert " he supposes the midparent to revert and then to have offspring whose type (i.e. mean value) is that of the original parentage. In other words, if X be the character in a midparentage, then r'X, where r1 is the reversion coefficient, will be the same midparentage after reversion. This really signifies a uniform " squeeze " in the ratio of r1 to 1 of the normal curve of midparentages, or the new curve of reverted midparentages will be a normal curve of standard deviation — = o-, x r'. We have lastly to distribute the offspring of these midparentages about their mean values with a constant variability, which we will represent by 2 ; thus the standard deviation a1 of the distribution of offspring will be given by (T 3=1^2,/2 a o-,V2 + 22. But, if this standard deviation of the final normal curve is to repeat the original population, cr' must equal cr,, or we have Here / is the " reversion " of the midparent and is equal to -f2r, if r be the reversion on a single parent*. In other words, if r be the reversion of offspring on parent then the constant standard deviation of the array of offspring fox a given parent must be ct,n/i — r2, if the population starts with a normal distribution and when reproduced is to have the same normal * If the standard deviation of the "reverted" single parent be rvx, then v2ro-, will be the standard deviation of the reverted midparent, but if this be taken as r'al clearly r' = *J2 r. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 9 distribution. This is the earliest appearance of the symbol r as a coefficient of " reversion" ; the reasoning by which the result is obtained is only true, if parental and offspring generations have the same variability; in that case r is what we now term the coefficient of correlation, and Galton here deduces the relationship between the constant array variability and this coefficient. In the course of his work he introduces the ideas of natural selection and of differential fertility. This section of the discussion is somewhat difficult to follow. Galton further supposes selection to take place symmetrically round the population mean or type. Finally to obtain the above result Galton supposes the selection and the fertility to be non -differential, or gives them mere percentage values for all parents alike*. NECATIVE < 0° DEVIATION -> POSITIVE DEVIATION iHlIIIIIIIII ABC I 1 r. aJbJ cj .; i; ■',. -\ / / cocrrTof 1 REVERSION //_OAj<_ OB J III OA OB IlIHUIIIIigiiiilliiill! "' R Fig. 2. Oalton's Quincunx illustrating the nature of Regression. The third point in this paper of Galton's is the ingenious " Quincunx " by which he illustrates the phenomenon of reversion and the continual main- tenance by aid of inheritance of a stable population. Galton at first indicates how closely certain measured characters are given by a normal distribution and how such a normal distribution may be produced by a stream of pellets * A paper in which this matter is more fully dealt with by the present writer will be found in Biometrika, Vol. vn, pp. 258-275, "On the Effect of a Differential Fertility on Degeneracy: A New Year's Greeting to Francis Galton, 1910." p G III 2 10 Life and Letters of Francis Galton falling vertically through a forest of horizontal pins. He next, starting with a normal distribution of variability or,, reduces the variability to r 2rxy y2\ z=o 7r^e 2(1-J,2)W w *i) 2jrcr1• to 0 7i <*:- 1 \ 1 \ 1 1 1 t^ "* * \ \s i *-< t N_ /C\ ^^\ ^ .~ \n / ■^ «A A s t-N \^ C") \ \4 • CO M — ^-*,j—'^i \p\ . CO 3 z 6 ■*■ n «s V 1 S tfi \ 0| -. Ul o Ul P _l '-< l-i OQ^ a S + ^J\ < Tl -J o n \ "* 01 ^sr* v «5 ^>-^ oo \to p. o g C0_ o > \ ^^o Ul H a - to tO 1 < * 2^ Co ^^ N -Ax^v \ <2 ■oO N J^ * \ ^""v ° A \ * 5* '3 8- i CO \ r~* xi ^o \ /?) Q^ * to- 1 1 1 1 1 \ 1 *\ en 1 1 1 1 1 1- z □ ■f.9-6 + + + 5 fH fj S O " i 2 3 g 1 ' 1 i 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 O S3 CO t> to to to to Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 15 predict the probable value of any third variate from a knowledge of two others*. The working of the Forecaster is almost obvious on examination of the diagram, but for the benefit of those who come for the first time to the subject of regression I give Galton's own words: "The weights M and F have to be set opposite to the heights of the mother and father on their respective scales; then the weight sd will show the most probable heights of a son and daughter on the corresponding scales. In every one of these cases it is the fiducial mark in the middle of each weight by which the reading is to be made. But, in addition to this, the length of the weight sd is so arranged that it is an equal chance (an even bet) that the height of each son or each daughter will lie within the range defined by the upper and lower edges of the weight on their respective scales. The length of sd is 3 inches = 2/t ; that is, 2 x 1 -50 inch. "A, B and C are three thin wheels with grooves round their edges. They are screwed together so as to form a single piece that turns easily on its axis. The weights M and F are attached to either end of a thread that passes over the movable pulley D. The pulley itself hangs from a thread which is wrapped two or three times round the grove of B and is then secured to the wheel. The weight sd hangs from a thread that is wrapped in the same direction two or three times round the groove of A, and is then secured to the wheel. The diameter of A is to that of B as 2 to 3. Lastly, a thread wrapped in the opposite direction round the wheel C, which may have any convenient diameter, is attached to a counterpoise. "It is obvious that raising M will cause F to fall, and vice versd, without affecting the wheels A, B, and therefore without affecting sd; that is to say, the parental differences may be varied indefinitely without affecting the stature of the children, so long as the mid-parental height is unchanged. But if the mid-parental height is changed, then that of sd will be changed to §- of the amount. "The scale of female heights differs from that of the males, each female height being laid down in the position which would be occupied by its male equivalent. Thus 56 is written in the position of 60-48 inches, which is equal to 56 x 1*08. Similarly, 60 is written in the position of 64-80, which is equal to 60 x 1-08 J." The last words indicate what is, I think, an important point: Galton obtains the female from the male stature by multiplying by the constant factor 1'08. This he obtained as the ratio of the male to the female mean value, and he practically assumes this ratio to be the same for all other statures. In a certain sense I think this is, at least theoretically, a retrograde step from his suggestion of 1877. He then took the transmuted female mean to be the male mean plus the female deviation increased in the ratio of male to female variability. This appears to be theoretically a better process of trans- mutation. Practically the two methods will only agree, if the ratio of the two variabilities is equal to the ratio of the two means, i.e. if the so-called coefficients of variability of the two sexes are equal. This is approximately but not absolutely true for a number of human characters. There are of course several other conditions which must be fulfilled to make Galton's definition of midparent valid, and some of these he discusses. In the first place the parents must mate at random with regard to the character dealt with, i.e. there must be no sexual selection in the form of assortative mating with regard to stature, tall must not tend to marry tall, * It would only be needful to adopt scales in accordance with the constants of the bivariate regression formula. t In this paper Galton uses the symbol /for the quartile deviate. j Journ. Anthrop. Institute, Vol. xv, p. 262. 16 Life and Letters of Francis Galton UJ ec 3 1- C Ul ►- to < o ul a: O u. 1 ( "** ) IK < FATHER us R 0 $ 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1 1 1 1 -€T r^ 1 lb. \ »1 10 u < u MOTHER M 1 M | N II II II II o o (0 Daughter 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 I □u V < 2 Son | 1 1 1 1 | 1 1 1 1 | I 1 I 1 | ts. O to 8 p :> i n .9 Ul cc >• (X Q UJ or *.3f — E Z o co co ul cr o < or Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 17 nor short, short. Galton discusses* the absence of assortative mating for stature and forms the following table, where the medium group embraces individuals of 67" and up to 70 stature for males or transmuted females: Husband Short Medium Tall Totals Short... Medium Tall ... 9 25 12 28 51 20 14 28 18 51 104 50 46 99 60 205 He notes that there are 27 like marriages short with short and tall with tall, and 26 contrasted marriages^ short with tall, and argues that there is no assortative mating in stature. In a fuller treatment of the same data by the present writer the coefficient of resemblance between husband and wife was found to be "093 + "047 J, which might just be significant. Later work has shown that there is sensible assortative mating not only in stature (•280), but in span (-199) and cubit ("198)§; in other words big men do tend to marry big women and small men small women. Galton's data show, however, so little assortative mating that his results were not sensibly influenced by disregarding it. Galton now turns to another point, namely : Does the difference in stature of parents influence the stature of the offspring? He was clearly conscious that this was an important point, for on it depends whether his value for the midparental stature is or is not to be considered correct. As we should now express it, he was really asking whether the stature in the offspring was equally correlated with the statures of the two parents, or rather, that is the question he would have been asking had he transmuted his female deviations to male deviations by aid of the ratio of the two variabilities and not of the two means 1 1. If the two correlations be not equal, then Galton's " Forecaster," based on his conception of midparent, would give incorrect results. Galton indicates in a table (Journ. Anihrop. Instit. Vol. xv, p. 250) that the differential influence of the parents should not be very great, but he does not really * Joum. Anthrop. Instit. Vol. xv, p. 251. f Printed in loc. cit. 32 instead of 26. \ Phil. Trans. Vol. 187 A, p. 270, 1896. § Biometrika, Vol. II, p. 373. || If rM be the paternal, r23 the maternal coefficient of correlation and r12 that of assortative mating, the bivariate formula shows us that to give equal weight to father and mother we must have equality of the two expressions !-»■„■ and 1 — r * (Roy. Soc. Proc. Vol. VIII, p. 240, 1895), and this involves rn = r„3, i.e. the equality of the parental influences. p G III 18 Life and Letters of Francis Galton determine it quantitatively. Actually for his data we have the following correlations*: Father Mother Son -396+ -024 -302 ±-027 Daughter -360 ±-026 -284+ -028 There was thus really quite a well-marked prepotency of the father in the case of stature. Later results on ampler and better material have failed to confirm this prepotency f; I think it may well have been due to amateur measuring of stature in women, when high heels and superincum- bent chignons were in vogue ; it will be noted that the intensity of heredity decreases as more female measurements are introduced. Daughters would be more ready to take off their boots and lower their hair knots, than grave Victorian matrons. As we have not since succeeded in demonstrating any sex prepotency in parentage, Galton's assumption that such did not exist justifies his theory. But this assumption was not justified by his actual data and affects seriously the values of the constants he reached, which are all too low in the light of more recent research. I think we should be inclined to say now that the regression of the offspring deviate J is on the average nearer to f than to Galton's § of the midparental deviate. Galton, however, recognised very fully that his numerical values were only first approxima- tions. He writes: "With respect to my numerical estimates, I wish emphatically to say that I offer them only as being serviceably approximate, though they are mutually consistent, and with the desire that they may be reinvestigated by the help of more abundant and much more accurate measurements than those I have at command. There are many simple and interesting relations to which I am still unable to assign numerical values for lack of adequate material, such as that to which I referred some time back, of the relative influence of the father and the mother on the stature of their sons and daughters. "I do not now pursue the numerous branches that spring from the data I have given, as from a root. I do not speak of the continued domination of one type over others, nor of the persistency of unimportant characteristics, nor of the inheritance of disease, which is complicated in many cases by the requisite concurrence of two separate heritages, the one of a susceptible constitution, the other of the genus of the disease. Still less do I enter upon the subject of fraternal devia- tion and collateral descent§." Galton's reasons for making a special study of stature are dealt with at considerable length and summarised as follows: " The advantages of stature as a subject in which the simple laws of heredity may be studied will now be understood. It is a nearly constant value that is frequently measured and recorded, and its discussion is little entangled with consideration of nurture, of the survival of the fittest, or of marriage selection. We have only to consider the midparentage and not to * Phil. Trans. Vol. 187 A, p. 270, 1896. t See Biomelrika, Vol. II, p. 378, 1902. | Galton in this paper introduces the term "deviate ": "I shall call any particular deviation a 'deviate,'" Journ. Anthrop. Inslit. Vol. xv, p. 252. The term was perhaps unnecessary con- sidering the existence of " deviation," but it has come into general use, and is perhaps more justifiable in Galton's sense than " variate," which is now so often used, not for a particular variation, but for the " variable " itself. § Journ. Anthrop. Instit. Vol. xv, p. 258. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 19 trouble ourselves about the parents separately. The statistical variations of stature are extremely regular, so much so that their general conformity with the results of calculations based on the abstract law of frequency of error is an accepted fact by anthropologists. I have made much use of the properties of that law in cross-testing my various conclusions and always with success*." Galton considers the fact that stature is not a simple element, but a compound of the accumulated lengths or thicknesses of more than a hundred parts, to be a distinct advantage and a source of the beautiful regularity of its frequency distributions f. He does not see that this may tend to screen some fundamental law which may be obeyed by the simple components. Thus we note that as a rule the parental correlations decrease as we take characters based on fewer elements, e.g. the parental correlations for span are less than those for stature, and those for forearm are less than those for span. There might be — I on my part do not assert that there is — an alternate inheritance in the simple components, which is screened in the complex compound J. To this Galton might well have replied: Why should a single bone be looked upon as an ultimate element, if it develops from a number of centres of ossification, and pushing the matter further may we not be driven to find the simple component ultimately in a cell? The "simple com- ponents," which obey some equally simple law of inheritance, are still to find in the bony skeleton of man. Two further terms defined by Galton may here be considered. He recognises that the individuals in what we now term an array (a column, or row) of the correlation table are not in themselves blood kindred, they are not, for example, all sons of the same parents, or all brothers of the same individual. Their link is that they are all sons of a set of parents having the same small range of any character, or again all brothers who have a brother within the same small range of character. Thus these individuals probably differ in both ancestry and nurture. Galton proposes to call them "co-kinsmen " or more definitely according to the array type "co-filials" or " co-fraternals. " By such terms he only means that their correlated variable (e.g. stature in parent, brother or collateral) has the same value, or limited range of values. Galton was thus fully aware that the variability within a family group of brethren, a fraternity, was not the same as the variability within such an array or co-fraternity, or co-kinship. Galton's terms have not come into general use, it is, perhaps, awkward to call individuals co-kinsmen who are not kinsmen at all. But the failure to distinguish between a fraternity in the true sense, and a co-fraternity in Galton's sense, has not been unfruitful of error§. It is, perhaps, best to stick to the words "filial array" or "fraternal * Journ. Anthrop. Instit. Vol. xv, p. 251. t Ibid. p. 249. X Those who assert that stature or cephalic index " mendelises," have not explained how the bones on the dimensions of which they are formed themselves react to inheritance. If these simpler elements " mendelise," how comes it that the compounds do, and what becomes of the correlations between these components 1 § If r be the correlation coefficient of offspring on midparent and R be the multiple correlation coefficient of offspring on the whole of its ancestry, then, o- being the standard deviation of off- spring, o- VI - r2 is the variability of a co-fraternity and iA* etc. Finally from what Galton has just said it would appear that we might have two series for determining ancestral contributions, the one in n, i.e. ^, ^, £,..., or the one in m, i.e. $,%,£,.... But this is clearly not what he * Boy. Soc. Proc. Vol. lxii, p. 61, and compare Journ. Anthrop. Instit. Vol. xv, pp. 260 etseq. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 23 understands, for having determined the midparental contribution to be £ from either series, he now writes* of the values of - and — : n m "These values differ but slightly from J, and their mean is closely J, so that we may fairly accept that result. Hence the influence, pure and simple, of the midparent may be taken as £, of the nridgrandparent T, of the midgreatgrandparent |- and so on. That of the individual parent would be T, of the individual grandparent y1^, of an individual in the next generation F*T and so on." Thus Galton reaches his Separate Contribution of each Ancestor to the Heritage of the Child, a principle which is often spoken of as his Law of Ancestral Heredity. In reaching it he apparently drops his - series altogether and follows his — series with its geometrical system of taxation. This is distinctly more in keeping with the expression for the generant deviate U above, which runs in a geometrical series. If we assume all the ancestors to have the same deviation h, we have U= r>h, and, if the offspring value might in such a uniform breed be also taken as h, it follows that y = 1 — /S. Hence if we take the first midparents' contribution to be ^, i.e. y = ij, with Galton, it follows that /3 = <^, and our series is Galton's geometrical series with his radix value, a half. But I venture to think it was inspiration rather than correct reasoning which led him to a geometrical series for U. On the other hand his multiple regression coefficients ^, \, |-, ... suffice to determine what the correlations between an individual ancestor in any generation and the offspring ought to be. They take the values for parents *3, for grandparents ^ x '3, for great-grandparents — x '3 and so on. Galton found Li his midparental regression § and took his parental to be \\. This is not so far from "3, that we could say it confutes Galton's Ancestral Law. But we find Galton taking the grandparental regression and therefore the correlation \, the great-grandparental ^y and so on. These values form a series a, a2, a', ... for the individual ancestral correlations and lead to y= 1, fi = 0, or to the generant U being solely determined by the parents, the higher ancestry contributing nothing to the generant J. Hence it follows that Galton's Ancestral Law is not in keeping with the values he has taken for his individual ancestral correlations. The reasoning by which he has reached one or the other is defective. As I have said Galton's guess at a geometrical relation for the coefficients of £7 was an inspiration, but his idea that a grand- son is the son of a son and so his regression (and with a stable population his correlation) must be | x ^ = \ is fallacious. Regression coefficients cannot be obtained from each other in this manner. * Roy. Soc. Proc. Vol. lxii, p. 62. f This will be equal to the correlation, for the variabilities of both variates are taken to be the same. t See Phil. Trans. Vol. 187, A, p. 306, 1896. 24 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Galton, by means of seeking the slope of the regression line, found the regression of brother on brother to be § and this accordingly would be the fraternal correlation ; he then said : a nephew is the son of a brother, therefore his regression on his uncle = -j x f = f- Again I do not believe that regressions can be built up in this manner. It appears to be multiplying together probabilities that are not independent, but correlated; for all a regression provides is a probable deviation, and we cannot apply independent probabilities to a correlated triplet. Why may not a brother be considered as the son of a midparent and so have regression § x § = $ instead of Galton's observed value |^? Why might we not equally well argue that a nephew is the grandson of a midparentage, which gave rise to his uncle and thus the nephew-uncle regression be-jxfx§ = ^- instead of § % Why should cousins* be considered the offspring of two brothers |x|x| rather than as the grandsons of one midparentage -jXfxfx^? Even if we are always to take the "shortest way round," no argument is given in favour of it, and it could only be satisfactorily demonstrated by actual data. :iGHTj ines MEAN STATURE OF 7S~ CHILDREN Or MID- PARENTS , OF VARIOUS HEIGHTS / 70" from, R.F.F data /K* w-prt MEAN STA TURE OF BRO THERS OF MEN OF ' VARIOUS HEICHTS n-'A from.' Special data MEAN STATURE 8^! >jf Pitfi".'t*H'>rt)^ Fig. 6. Galton's Filial and Fraternal Regression Lines. I do not think Galton's method of deducing the degrees of resemblance between kinsmen of various degrees of blood relationship from the single datum of the regression of a filial array on its midparent will pass muster; it is extraordinarily suggestive — no one had thought before of giving a quantitative measurement to the various types of kinship. Galton indicated how it could be done by aid of correlation tables and gave at this time two such tables t, those for midparent with offspring and for brother with brother. These are both from his R. F. F. [Records of Family Faculties), but he also provided another correlation table giving the distribution for a special series of pairs of brothers. In Fig. 6 will be found his regression lines for offspring on midparents, and for brother on brother. His method of reduction was, however, very different from any we should adopt to-day. When he wanted a mean he determined a median, and he did this by roughly proportioning (graphically) the total in the cell in which it lies, he worked not with the * The value J x § x ^ = ^T is given by Galton : Natural Inheritance, p. 133. t If we include the earlier one for the seed-weights in mother and daughter plants for the case of sweet-peas (see our p. 4) we have here the four earliest correlation tables and regression lines ever published. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 25 standard deviations, but the probable errors, and he determined these from the quartiles by rough proportioning as before. When he wanted a regression coefficient he plotted the medians of the arrays and fitted these with a straight line, presumably by testing with a straight edge. The slope of this straight line is Galton's regression coefficient. If we assume the standard deviation of the two marginal columns to be the same, then this regression coefficient is the coefficient of correlation, but that term was not used by Galton in the group of memoirs at present under discussion. It will be remembered that Galton transmuted all his females to their male equivalent, and then found his regression for offspring on midparent to be § and therefore on a single parent to be ^ = '3333. Reworking the whole material ten years later I found the mean of the four possible parental correlations to be '3355*, in singular accordance with his rougher methods, which, however, had largely screened the significant inequalities of the parental correlations in his case. Turning to Galton's data for brothers I note that he nowhere tells us how he gets his regression coefficient of f. In the R. S. Proc. paper (he. cit. p. 55) there is a small graph for the " Special" data for brothers, none for the R. F. F. data for brothers. The slope of the regression line Galton has run through the array medians is, as near as I can judge it, 34°, or the regression would be '6745, which Galton would call §. In the Natural Inheritance, p. 109, there are small charts for the regression lines of both the R. F. F. and the "Special" data, the former (which does not go truly through the mean) has an angle of 24° giving a correlation of "4452 and the latter an angle of about 33°, or a slope of '(5494. Actually forming tables myself on Galton's data I found for the R. F.F. Regression of Brother on Brother '4547, and for the "Special" data "5990, not so violently diverse from Galton's results, when we consider the difference of methods, and personal equation in selecting pairs of brothers for tabular entry. But there is a point in which I find it needful to differ from Galton in the value of his material. I believe that the "Special" data were really heterogeneous ; they contained pairs of brothers measured in an Essex volunteer regiment, who taken alone gave a regression of no less than "7175, while the remainder had only a value of "5574. I am inclined to think therefore that we need to throw out the volunteers, and if we do so the mean of Galton's two results, \ ("4452 + '5574) = '5013, is very close to the mean value '50 which has since been found on more satisfactory and ampler data for a variety of characters in man. I doubt whether it is possible to accept Galton's original estimate of § for fraternal regression and correlation, and believe that he may have been led to select the higher value of the two he had obtained by an idea that fraternal should equal midparental regression. Anyhow in these numbers we find the first attempt to obtain a numerical measure of the degree of resemblance in brothers, just as in another part of the paper he has provided us with the first measure of filial resemblance. Galton knew quite well that his values were not final, but here, as so often, he blazed the track for others to build a highway. * See our p. 18. p a in .4 26 Life and Letters of Francis Galton There is another suggestion in the Royal Society paper which has ultimately been followed up to great profit, namely that the variability within the family could be ascertained by considering the difference in the same character of pairs of brothers. Let R be the multiple correlation coefficient of an individual on all his ancestors or his correlation with his "generant," then since two brothers have the same ancestry the variability in a family of brothers is a-Jl—R2, where o- is the standard deviation of brothers. Now if xx and x, be the characters in a pair of brothers, for example their statures, we have \ (x1 + a:2) for their mean and \ (xl — x,y for their standard deviation squared, or so-called variance. If this be taken for a large number of pairs, then it may be shown that Mean variance for pairs of brothers = £ o-2 (1 — r) = J cr2 (1 — R2), where r is the simple correlation of brothers*. These results have really been given as early as 1886 by Galton. He does not use R, and instead of standard deviations, speaks of quartile values, i.e. probable errors. He writes b for our *67449 J $ O I u CO r. 1 a k i u 2 I Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 31 Galton was wont to illustrate the beauty of the "pre-ordained niche" on a marshalled series of bean pods which he had many years before prepared. This series is reproduced on Plate II. Unfortunately the tips of some of the pods have bent back, but the general scheme survives. (ii) The Phenomenon of Regression, a great Hindrance to the Establishment of Breeds (pp. 495-6). " It will be seen from the large values of the ratios of regression how speedily all peculiarities that are possessed by any single individual to an exceptional extent, and which blend freely together with those of his or her spouse, tend to disappear. A breed of exceptional animals, rigorously selected, and carefully isolated from admixture with others of the same race, would become shattered by even a brief period of opportunity to marry freely. It is only those breeds that blend imperfectly with others and especially such of these as are at the same time prepotent, in the sense of being more frequently transmitted than their competitors, that seem to have a chance of maintaining themselves when marriages are not rigorously controlled — as indeed they never are, except by professional breeders. It is on these grounds that I hail the appearance of any new and valuable type as a fortunate and most necessary occurrence in the forward pro- gress of evolution." Galton admits that the precise manner in which a new type comes into existence is unknown, but suggests that a multitude of petty causes may contribute to reshape the grouping of the germinal elements and so lead to a new and fairly stable position of equilibrium, which admits of hereditary transmission. In favour of this view he cites the frequent experience of "sports," useful, harmful and indifferent and therefore without ideological intent. These, he considers, have various degrees of heritable stability, and form fresh centres towards which some at least of the offspring have a tendency to revert. He considers that such sports, by refusing to blend freely, may be transmitted almost in their entirety. "On the other hand, if the peculiarity blends easily, and if it was exceptional in magnitude, the chance of inheriting it to its full extent would be extremely small...*. I feel the greatest difficulty in accounting for the establishment of a new breed in a state of freedom by slight and uncertain selective influences, unless there has been one or more abrupt changes of type, many of them perhaps very small, but leading firmly step by step, though it may be along a devious track, to the new form." * Galton gives in a footnote the percentage of sons who are as tall or taller than their fathers. I have recalculated this table on somewhat better data than Galton had available {Biometrika, Vol. ii, p. 381). It now runs as follows: Father's Stature Probable Stature of Son Percentage of Sons taller than Father Father's Stature Probable Stature of Son Percentage of Sons taller than Father Father's Stature Probable Stature of Son Percentage of Sons taller than Father 67"-5 68"-0 69"-0 70"-0 71"-0 68"-56 68"-82 69"-33 69"-85 70"-37 67-4°/ 63-7°/ 55-6 7° 44-0 7° 39-4 7° 72"-0 73"-0 74"-0 75"-0 76"-0 70"-88 71"-40 71"-91 72"-43 72"-95 31-6 7 24-5 7° 18-4 7: 13-4 •/. 9-5% 77"-0 78"-0 79"-0 80"-0 81"-0 73"-46 73"-98 74"-49 75"-01 75"-52 6-4 7 4-2 7° 2-6 7° 1-6 7° 0-9 7° The considerable changes from Galton's percentages arise from the facts : (i) that the sons in our data had a mean stature 1" greater than their father's, (ii) that our regression was -516 against Galton's -333. 32 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Whatever we may think of Gal ton's arguments, it is clear that in 1886 he did not believe in the influence of natural selection as producing new forms by acting on continuously varying small deviations. This may have been due to the influence which the idea of perpetual regression * had upon his mind. Whatever its source, Galton was in 1886 and later a firm believer, as the above passage indicates, in evolution by mutation. He was a mutationist before De Vries published his first paper on mutations (1900). (iii) On the Inheritance of Ability and its Application to the Upper House of Legislature (pp. 497-9). Galton inquires how far the results for heredity in stattfre may be applied to heredity in ability. He holds that considerable differences have to be taken into account, and he classifies them under three heads : " Firstly, after making large allowances for the occasional glaring cases of inferiority on the part of the wife to her eminent husband, I adhere to the view I expressed long since as the result of much inquiry, historical and otherwise!, that able men select those women for their wives who are not mediocre women, and still less inferior women, but those who are decidedly above mediocrity. Therefore, so far as this point is concerned, the average regression in the son of an able man would be less than one-third." On better data J than Galton had at his command the regression of son's stature on father's stature is about "52 instead of -33, and, allowing for assertative mating, about *82 on the midparent instead of Galton's -67. When we introduce the grandparents the regression is not large. I think these points will explain Galton's difficulty as to ability without resort to the theory that extreme ability does not blend, which he suggests in his second statement: "Secondly, very gifted men are usually of marked individuality, and consequently of a special type. Whenever this type is a stable one, it does not blend easily, but is transmitted almost unchanged, so that specimens of very distinct intellectual heredity frequently occur." Unfortunately Galton gives no illustrations, and without statistical evidence it is difficult to interpret his meaning. " Thirdly, there is the fact that men who leave their mark on the world are very often those who, being gifted and full of nervous power, are at the same time haunted and driven by a domi- nant idea, and are therefore within a measurable distance of insanity. This weakness will probably betray itself occasionally in disadvantageous forms among their descendants. Some of these will be eccentric, others feeble-minded, others nervous, and some may be downright lunatics." The same point has been made frequently since Galton's day, but although isolated cases can of course be cited, the statement demands statistical demonstration. We require to know first whether the men "who leave their * The theory of multiple regression shows us that if an individual mates with his like, he may regress on exceptional parents, but his offspring will not regress on him, nor further de- scendants either. A breed may be established if we select only parents and grandparents; the regression is thus of minor importance compared with the homogamy. t See Vol. ii, p. 105. J Biometrika, Vol. ii, p. 381. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 33 mark on the world" are really always the able men, and if so, how many of them are "driven by a dominant idea." Again having defined this class, do statistics indicate that their offspring more often suffer from some form of nervous breakdown than the sons of men of lesser ability? Ryk ud med dine tal, bygmester! Talene pa bordet! I think Galton did not really believe that ability was inherited in a manner widely different from stature, for he now proceeds to suggest how a fitting House of Peers might be based on the knowledge gained by his inquiry. He supposes that in some new country it is desired to institute an Upper House of life-peers which shall be largely governed by the hereditary principle. "The principle of insuring this being that (say) two-thirds of the members shall be elected out of a class who possess specified hereditary qualifications, the question is : What reasonable plan can be suggested of determining what those qualifications should be? "In framing an answer we have to keep the following principles steadily in view: (1) The hereditary qualifications derived from a single ancestor should not be transmitted to an indefinite succession of generations, but should lapse after, say, the grandchildren. (2) All sons and daughters should be considered as standing on an equal footing as regards the transmission of hereditary qualifications. (3) It is not only the sons and grandsons of ennobled persons who should be deemed to have hereditary qualifications, but also their brothers and sisters, and the children of these. (4) Men who earn distinction of a high but subordinate rank to that of the nobility, and whose wives had hereditary qualifications, should transmit these qualifications to their children. I calculate roughly and very doubtfully, because many things have to be considered, that there would be about twelve times as many persons hereditarily qualified to be candidates for election as there would be seats to fill. A considerable proportion of the.se would be nephews, whom I should lie very sorry to omit, as they are twice as near in kinship as grandsons*. One in twelve seems a reasonably severe election, quite enough to draft off the eccentric and incom- petent, and not too severe to discourage the ambition of the rest. I have not the slightest doubt that such a selection out of a class of men who would be so rich in hereditary gifts of ability, would produce a senate at least as highly gifted by nature as could be derived by ordinary parliamentary election from the whole of the rest of the nation. They would be reared in family traditions of high public services. Their ambitions, shaped by the conditions under which here- ditary qualifications could be secured, would be such as to encourage alliances with the gifted classes. They would be widely and closely connected with the people, and they would to all appearance — but who can speak with certainty of the effects of any paper constitution? — form a vigorous and effective aristocracy." (pp. 498-9.) Galton does not state how he would start his Upper House ab initio, nor take into account the possible need of recruiting its stock from outside ability. His scheme would certainly introduce improved and better planned marriages among the peers, as they would be anxious to preserve the peerages within their own families. Here as elsewhere f he points out to our hereditary peers how little justification there is for their position, while at the same time he indicates that there is a basis in heredity for a really effective aristocracy. Such doctrines would scarcely appeal even now to either Tory or Democrat. Among the many proposals put forward for reforming the British House of Lords, none has endeavoured like Galton's to place it on a * I think this is incorrect for reasons stated above (see pp. 22 and 24). The observed corre- lations between a man and his grandson and a man and his nephew are about equal, t See our Vol. n, p. 93. pain 5 34 Life and Letters of Francis Galton scientific basis by suggesting that the hereditary honour should follow ability in the stock and not be granted to a preordained individual. D. Attempt to demonstrate the Law of Ancestral Heredity on Eye- Colour. In 1886 Galton published in the Proceedings* of the Royal Society a paper on "Family Likeness in Eye-Colour." The only earlier paper I know which deals with this topic is that by Alphonse de Candollef. That paper has no adequate statistical treatment, and suffers from two fundamental errors. The material was collected not only from Switzerland with its mixed races, but from Sweden, Germany and France, so that beyond the immediate parents, there must have been great differences in the eye-colours of the unrecorded earlier ancestry, and secondly the contributors were especially requested to leave out offspring of "doubtful" eye-colour, and also those of definite eye-colour whose parents had doubtful eye-colour. I do not think that in de Candolle's paper any results of real scientific value are reached. Galton's method of approaching the problem is entirely different. He starts from his Law of Ancestral Heredity, and endeavours to apply it to eye-colour, which he says does not usually blend. Accordingly he proportions the ancestral contributions not in the character of the individual but among the whole group of offspring. As Galton believed he had deduced from his mid- parental regression of f the system i + i + £+--- for contributions to the individual character in the case of stature, so he now supposes that an indi- vidual parent's eye-colour will determine on the average that of \ of the offspring, that of a grandparent -j^ of the offspring, and so on. "Stature and eye-colour are not only different as qualities, but they are more contrasted in hereditary behaviour than perhaps any other simple qualities. Speaking broadly parents of dif- ferent statures transmit a blended heritage to their children, but parents of different eye-colours transmit an alternative heritage. If one parent is as much taller than the average of his or her sex as the other parent is shorter, the statures of their children will be distributed in much the same way as those of parents who were both of medium height. But if one parent has a light eye-colour and the other a dark eye-colour, the children will be partly light and partly dark, and not medium eye-coloured like the children of medium eye-coloured parents. The blending of stature is due to its being the aggregate of the quasi-independent inheritances of many separate parts, while eye-colour appears to be much less various in its origin. If then it can be shown, as I shall be able to do, that notwithstanding this two-fold difference between the qualities of stature and eye-colour, the shares of hereditary contribution from the various ancestors are in each case alike, we may with some confidence expect that the law by which these hereditary contributions are governed will be widely, and perhaps universally applicable J." Galton starts his paper by considering whether there has been a secular change in eye-colour in the four generations to which his Records of Family Faculties extended. He started with those who ranked as "children" in the pedigree as Generation I ; their parents, uncles and aunts were Generation II ; the grandparents and their collaterals were Generation III, while the great grandparents and their collaterals were Generation IV. He gives the * Vol. xl, pp. 402-416. Read May 27, 1886. t "Her^dite de la couleur des yeux dans l'espece humaine." Archives des Sciences physiques et naturelles, 3Rme Periode, T. xn, pp. 97-120, Geneva, 1884. X Hoy. Soc. Proc. pp. 402-3. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 35 accompanying chart for the percentages of these eye-colours in the various generations, and concludes that there has been in these four generations Fig. 9. Percentages of Eye-Colour in Successive Generations. little secular change in eye-colour. It should, I think, be noted that the Generations III and IV are likely to be much older than Generations I and II when their eye-colours were recorded. Galton's data give the following 5-2 36 Life and Letters of Francis Galton percentage values on considerable numbers in the groups combined of Light and Dark Blue, Grey, Blue Green: Generation Male Female I II III IV I II III IV Percentages Probable Errors 58-2 + 1-92 58-4 ±1-22 62-9 + 1-33 70-4 + 1-43 58-0 ±1-97 58-1 + 1-23 58-6 + 1-22 56-2 ±1-58 It will be seen that, while there is no significant change in the percentage of light eyes in the women, there is really such a change in the light eyes of the men ; the grandparental and great grandparental generations have more bluish eyes. Were it not for the fact that there is no change in the women, we might attribute this not to a racial change going on, but to men's eyes growing lighter with extreme age. I have no statistical data to produce, but my impression of the marked frequency of very light colour in old men's eyes is strong. At the same time I know no physiological reason why men's and not women's eyes should grow lighter with greater age. On the basis of his diagrams Galton considers that he may disregard "a current popular belief in the existence of a gradual darkening of the popula- tion, and can treat the eye-colours of those classes of the English race who have contributed to the records, as statistically persistent during the period under discussion" (p. 406). Galton next states that he considers that there are only two fundamental types of eye-colour, the light and the dark, but under this supposition the medium tints are troublesome. Such tints he has classified under "Dark Grey and Hazel." In these cases the outer portion of the iris is usually of a dark grey colour, and the inner of a hazel. The proportions of grey and hazel vary, and the eye is called "dark grey" or "hazel" according to the colour which happens most to arrest the attention of the observer. Galton's attempt to deal with these medium eyes, of which there are in the popula- tion about 12'7 0/o, is to me unconvincing; yet the fact that he recognises their existence is more satisfactory than the Mendel ian treatment which dis- regards them entirely ! Galton for conciseness terms all these eyes "hazel." He defines a hazel- eyed family to be one in which there is at least one hazel-eyed child, and he proceeds to inquire into the constitution and ancestry of such "hazel-eyed" families or sibships. He obtains the results tabulated on p. 37. Now it is clear from the table that when there is a hazel-eyed child in a sibship, the percentage of dark eyes in the sibship is only very slightly reduced, but the number of light-eyed brothers and sisters is 16% below that of the general population. Again in the parental generation, there are 12 °/o fewer light-eyed parents of hazel-eyed parents, and this 12°/u is transferred to the hazel-eyed group, the dark-eyed parents remaining at Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 37 Constitution and Ancestry of Hazel- Eyed Sibships. Generations Total cases observed in 168 families Percentages Light Eyed Hazel Eyed Dark Eyed I. Siblings II. Parents III. Grandparents 948 336 449 45 49 60 32 25 13 23 26 27 General Population 4490 61-2 12-7 26-1 the general population percentage. The distribution of the grandparents of a hazel-eyed person is practically the same as that of the general popula- tion. From these data Galton concludes as follows : "The total result in passing from Generation III to I, is that the percentage of the light eyes is diminished from 60 or 61 to 45, therefore by one quarter of its original amount, and that the percentage of the dark eyes is diminished from 26 or 27 to 23, that is to about [1 by about] one- eighth of its original amount, the hazel element in either case absorbing the difference. It follows that the chance of a light-eyed parent having hazel offspring is about twice as great as that of a dark-eyed parent. Consequently since hazel is twice as likely to be met with in any given light-eyed family as in a given dark-eyed one, we may look upon two-thirds of the hazel eyes as being fundamentally light and one-third of them as fundamentally dark. I shall allot them rateably in that proportion between light and dark and so get rid of them. M. Alphonse de Candolle has also shown from his data that yeux gris (which I take to be equivalent to my hazel) are referable to a light ancestry rather than to a dark one, but his data are numerically insuffi- cient to warrant a precise estimate of the relative frequency of their derivation from each of these two sources." (pp. 407-8.) I find it very difficult to follow this reasoning, or to see from the table above its validity. It would seem to be essential to follow up the particular ancestry of each hazel-eyed individual, before we can draw the conclusions that Galton does from the massed numbers of children, parents and grand- parents. Galton and de Candolle at least admit the difficulty of the hazel eyes; many Mendelian writers speak only of "brown" and "blue" eyes; others speak of hazel-eyed persons as heterozygotes*. Galton having thus disposed of his yeux gris, now turns to the same multiple regression formula as he has used for stature, namely he makes the regression coefficient \ for a parent, ^ for a grandparent and so on to higher ancestry. He also makes use of what is, I believe, an erroneous hypo- thesis, at any rate one inconsistent with his multiple regression coefficients, * Sometimes a definition is given of pure blue eyes as being those without anterior pigment. According to one ardent Mendelian this can always and only be tested with a lens; another accepted relatives' statements, and came to the same conclusion without a lens. From twelve cases in which both eyes were carefully examined with a lens and thus found to be without anterior pigment, the excised eye when sectioned and examined microscopically showed quite clearly anterior pigment. Hitherto I have failed to come across any eye, however blue, which is without some anterior pigment when sectioned. At what degree of pigmentation does the recessive character cease? 38 Life and Letters of Francis Galton namely, that if an individual has h of a certain character, the most prob- able value of the character in his parent will be ^h, and in his grand- parent —^h and his great grandparent — Ji and so on. o o Consequently, if we know nothing beyond the one parent of character h, the expected heritage is When one grandparent only is known to have h then the corresponding parent has ^h, and the two great grandparents ^h, the four great great grandparents — 2h and so on. Thus the formula is o i.e. actually 0"1583&. If a parent and the corresponding two grandparents be known Galton says the parent will contribute £ of his character and the two grandparents and their ancestry ^ as above. But I do not think this is correct, even on Galton's assumptions. In the previous case we predicted the great grand- parents and higher ascendants from a knowledge of the grandparents only. But in this case we have not only these two grandparents, but also the knowledge of their offspring, the parent, to predict from, and accordingly Galton's ■g'jj- for the rest of the ancestry is not satisfactory. As he is working in round numbers, Galton puts ^ ( = '075) as equal to '08. Three cases are now dealt with : I, both parents only known ; II, four grand- parents only known; and III, both parents and four grandparents known. I gives 2 x "30 = "60 of heritage with a residue of "40 undetermined. Galton distributes this residue in the general population proportions of light to dark eyes after distributing the hazel eyes § to light and ^ to dark eyes, which give 70°/o and 30% of those eyes. Thus the residue "40 is to be given "28 to light and "12 to dark eyes. The corresponding residues for cases II and III are "36 and "18, which Galton distributes as "25 and "11, "12 and "06* respectively. Galton now combines all these results in a table from which with know- ledge of the ancestry as far as parents and grandparents are concerned he considers prediction of eye-colour in offspring can be ascertained (p. 39). Let me illustrate the use of this table. A family of 12 given by Galton had both parents light-eyed, 3 grandparents light-eyed and 1 hazel-eyed. If we predict from parents only we should have 12 x (2 x "30 + "28) = 12 x "88 = 10"56 light-eyed. If we predict from grandparents only we should have 12 x (3 x "16 + 1 x "10 + "25) = 9"96 light-eyed. * More accurately the latter pair should be -13 and -05. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems 0/ Heredity 39 And if from all our information t 12 x (2 x -25 + 3 x -08 + 1 x '05 + '12) = 10-92 light-eyed. / Thus the best prediction gives 11 out of 12 children light-eyed. Actually all 12 were light-eyed. Take again another family 2 parents hazel, 2 grand- parents light, 1 hazel and 1 dark. Total family, 7 children. The prediction is 7 (2 x -16-1- 2 x -08 + 1 x "05 + -12) = 4"55 light-eyed, the observed number was 4. Of course Galton only claims to give the average family, and some of the results he gives from his Table of 78 individual families are not good. But his Table III in which he deals with 16 groups of different ancestries is, considering what appears to me the doubtful character of his assumptions, really surprising. Out of 827, 629 were observed to be light- eyed. Predicted from parents only 623 were light-eyed, and from parents and grandparents 614. As a rule, however, III gives a better result than I; for example, out of 183 children, all of whose parents and grandparents were light-eyed (none hazel), 174 were observed to be light-eyed; here III pre- dicts 172, and I only 161. Prediction Table for Eye Colour in Offspring. Both Parents I Four Grandparents II Both Parents and Four Grandparents III Light Dark Light Dark Light Dark Light-eyed Parent Hazel-eyed Parent Dark -eyed Parent 0-30 0-20 0-10 0-30 — 0-25 0-16 009 0-25 Light-eyed Grandparent Hazel-eyed Grandparent Dark-eyed Parent — — 016 0-10 006 0-16 0-08 0-05 0-03 0-08 Residue to be rateably assigned 0-28 0-12 0-25 0-11 0-12 0-06 It is certainly remarkable that the predictions should be even as accurate as they are — and they are indeed not perfect — considering the contradictory assumptions on which they are based*. Perhaps in the first glow of finding such an amount of accordance Galton was justified in writing: "A mere glance at Tables III and IV will show how surprisingly accurate the predictions are, and therefore how true the basis of the calculations must be My returns are insufficiently numerous and too subject to uncertainty of observation to make it worth while to submit them * In particular Galton's assumption that the correlations of the offspring with the individual parent, grandparent, great grandparent, etc., form the series r, r3, r3, etc., is incompatible with his multiple regression coefficients \, ^, ^T, etc. Any such series causes all those coefficients ex- cept the first or parental coefficient to vanish, and reduces the ancestral multiple regression to a simple biparental inheritance. Thus the parental characters determine completely those of the offspring, as in the well-known case of the Mendelian theory of gametic characters. 40 Life and Letters of Francis Galton to a more rigorous analysis, but the broad conclusion to which the present results irresistibly lead, is that the same peculiar hereditary relation that was shown to subsist between a man and each of his ancestors in respect of the quality of stature, also subsists in respect to that of eye-colour." (pp. 415-6.) The essential fact to be remembered here is that Galton supposes the ancestral contributions which blend in the case of the stature of the indi- vidual, will be found as alternative eye-colours in the same proportions as for stature in the total group of descendants. "For example, if an ancestor contributes 1/pth of his stature deviation to his descendant in the final generation, he will contribute his eye-colour to 1/pth of his descendants in the same generation. It would be of great interest to rework Galton's proportions with the actual correlations found from his data, and with the corresponding and con- sistent multiple regression coefficients, and ascertain whether accordance was not sensibly improved. His parental correlation J is too small for his data, and his regression coefficients want considerable modification. E. Law of Ancestral Heredity applied to Basset Hounds. Galton having applied his Law of Ancestral Heredity to Eye-Colour in Man sought for additional material to illustrate it. He found this eleven years later in Sir Everett Millais' large pedigree stock of Basset Hounds. This material reached him at the very time he was himself planning an extensive experi- ment with fast breeding small mammals*. One can but regret that that experiment was never undertaken. The Bassets are dwarf bloodhounds, and there are only two varieties of colour, they are either white with blotches from red to yellow technically termed "lemon and white," or they have in addition to this "lemon and white" black markings; in which case they are termed "tricolour." Galton had thus only two types to deal with, which he terms "tricolour" (T)and "non-tricolour" (N). A full report of his statistical reduction of Millais' data is given in a paper read before the Royal Society, June 3, 1897-f. Galton's material was contained in The Basset Hound Club Rules and Studbooh, compiled by Everett Millais, 1874-1896, but with this valuable addition, that Sir Everett Millais had added the registered colours of nearly 1000 of the hounds (this copy is now in the Galton Laboratory). In this record are 817 hounds, the colour of whose parents are given, and 567 hounds in which the colours of the two parents and the four grandparents are known, and lastly in 188 cases in addition the colour of all the eight great grand- parents. Galton starts with the same idea as in the paper last dealt with, namely that each parent contributes £,each grandparent -^ and so on, of the heritage taken as a whole to be unity. Here as in the case of eye-colour, the heritage is * An extensive series on moth-breeding had been undertaken but had unfortunately failed to give any satisfactory results, partly owing to the diminishing fertility of successive broods, and partly to the disturbing effects of food differences and change of environment in differentyears. t See Roy. Soc. Proc. Vol. i,xi, pp. 401-413. An abstract appeared in Nature, July 8, 1897, Vol. lv, p. 235. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 41 not taken to be that of an individual, but as represented by percentages of the total offspring, the coat colours being exclusive, i.e. there is no attempt to measure the degree of melanism. Galton gives some reasons for his law being a probable one : "It should be noted that nothing in this statistical law contradicts the generally accepted view that the chief, if not the sole, line of descent runs from germ to germ and not from person to person. The person may be accepted on the whole as a fair representative of the germ, and, being so, the statistical laws which apply to the persons would apply to the germs also, although with less precision in individual cases. Now this law is strictly consonant with the observed binary subdivisions of the germ cells, and the concomitant extrusion and loss of one-half of the several contributions from each of the two parents to the germ cell of the offspring. The apparent artificiality of the law ceases on those grounds to afford cause for doubt; its close agreement with physiological phenomena ought to give a prejudice in favour of its truth rather than the contrary. Again, a wide though limited range of observation assures us that the occupier of each ancestral place may contribute something of his own personal peculiarity, apart from all others, to the heritage of the offspring. Therefore there is such a thing as an average contribution appropriate to each ancestral place, which admits of statistical valuation, however minute it may be. It is also well known that the more remote stages of ancestry contribute considerably less than the nearer ones. Further it is reasonable to believe that the contributions of parents to children are in the same proportion as those of the grandparents to the parents, of the great grandparents to the grandparents, and so on; in short, that their total amount is to be expressed by the sum of the terms in an infinite geometrical series diminishing to zero. Lastly, it is an essential condition that the total amount should be equal to 1, in order to account for the whole of the heritage. All these conditions are fulfilled by the series of jr + ^~ + ^ + etc., and by no other *. These and the foregoing considerations were referred to when saying that the law might be inferred with considerable assurance a priori; consequently, being found true in the particular case about to be stated, there is good reason to accept the law in a general sense." (loc. cit. p. 403.) Modem research shows that the "binary subdivisions of the germ cells, and the concomitant extrusion and loss of one-half of the several contributions from each of the two parents to the germ cell of the offspring " may have other interpretation than that put upon it by Galton. ^Objections may also be raised to Galton's proportioning of the "heritage" among the offspring, and to his allowance for ancestors whose characters are not known directly />But the criticisms of the "ancestral law," made chiefly by Mendelians, have failed to attack these weaknesses. They have been generally based on citing individual matingsf, as if these had any application to a statistical law * This seems incorrect : the conditions would appear to be equally well satisfied by (l-a)(l+a + a2 + a3+...), which series leaves a constant a to be determined by observation of one kind or another. By putting a = £, Galton excluded his ancestral law from describing Mendelian gametic inheritance, which corresponds to a = 0 or the parents' gametic constitutions alone determining the offspring. t Occasionally hybridisations are cited. Galton in a letter to Nature, October 21, 1897, writes: "Permit me to take this opportunity of removing a possible misapprehension concerning the scope of my theory. That theory is intended to apply only to the offspring of parents who, being of the tame variety, differ in having a greater or less amount of such characteristics as any individual of that variety may normally possess. It does not relate to the offspring of parents of different varieties; in short it has nothing to do with hybridism, for in that case the offspring of two diverse parents do not necessarily assume an intermediate form." Whether the limit to offspring assuming "an intermediate form" is needful is another question, and might raise a discussion as to whether the law could be applied to alternate pqiii 6 42 Life and Letters of Francis Galton describing what happens on the average in the case of a race or community mating at random. What Galton's critics have not seen is that the degree of accordance between his predictions and observed facts, if not perfect, is yet so considerable, in the cases of both eye-colour in Man and coat-colour in Basset Hounds, that it is not possible simply to put it for all characters on one side as of no importance. No entirely erroneous hypothesis could, I think, lead to such accordance as Galton shows in his Tables V and VI of this memoir ! I have already pointed out when dealing with Galton's views on eye-colour, that, because r is the regression coefficient of child on parent*, it does not follow that r2 will be that of child on grandparent or of grandparent on child. Galton drops this manner of allowing for the unstated characters of the higher ascendants when he comes to the coat-colour of Bassets. He argues as follows: Out of 1060 parents of 530 offspring with tricolour coats 836 were tricolour (T) and 224 were lemon and white (iV), i.e. 79 °/o and 21 c/0j he accordingly says that the chance that a tricolour offspring has a tri- colour parent is "79. He concludes that if a dog has a tricolour parent, but nothing is known of the grandparents, these will be '79 °/o tricolour, and the parents of these grandparents will be (-79)2 °/o tricolour and so on. I am inclined to doubt the accuracy of this method of correction for the past ancestry of the tricolour for two reasons: (i) if both parent and grandparent were tricolour, then it seems to me there would be a greater probability of the great grandparent being tricolour than 79, for we know that not merely one, but two generations of the offspring of these ancestors have been tri- colour f; (ii) further, in each ascending generation besides the "79 °/o tricolour of a tricolour animal there will be '21 °/o non-tricolour, but these non-tricolour dogs will have also a percentage of tricolour ancestry, namely 56 °/o according to Galton's Table III, and I cannot see that he has allowed for the non- tricolour ancestors' contribution of additional ancestral tricolours in his method of reckoning his tricolour "coefficients" of tricolour grandparents. Noting that Galton calls A, the ancestry of the sth generation and a0 the offspring, we may cite his words from p. 406 : "Suppose all the four grandparents, Ait to be tricolour, then only 0-79 of A3 will be tricolour also, (0'79)s of Ait and so on. These several orders of ancestry will respectively contribute an average of tricolour to each a0 of the amounts of (0-5)3 x 0-79, (0"5)4 x (0-79)2, etc. Consequently the sum of their tricolour contributions is (0-5)8 x (0-79) {1 + (0-5) x (0-79) + (0-5)2 x (0-79)2 + etc.} which equals 0-1632. The average tricolour contributions from each of the four tricolour grand- parents must be reckoned as the quarter of this, namely, 0"0408." characters in either eye-colour or coat-colour; but Galton's disclaimer, made with regard to Professor Henslow's criticisms of the law (see Gardeners' Chronicle, September 25, 1897) based on plant hybridisations, has been overlooked by those who more recently have cited hybridisa- tions as disproving the law. • r = 0'3 according to Galton. f Thus from Galton's Table I we find that if parents and grandparents were all tricolour the percentage was 89, and not 79, tricolour offspring. Galton treats really correlated relation- ships as independent probabilities. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 43 Now I think this does not involve all the tricolour ancestry of the four tricolour grandparents, for 0"21 of the great grandparents are non-tricolour, and there will be (0-21) x (0*56) x (0-5)'x(079)x(0-5)2 of thegreatgreat grand- parents tricolour. At each stage a non-tricolour branch will split off, showing in the next ascending generation some tricolour. It appears to me that Galton has overlooked the sum of all these ancestral tricolour contributions in estimating the tricolour in a0. They may be considerably less than those retained, but I do not think they can be disregarded without justification. "By a similar process," Galton writes, "the average tricolour contribution from the ancestry of each non-tricolour grandparent is found to be 0-0243." (p. 406.) It would seem that this is obtained from : (0-5)3 x (0-56) {1 + (0-5) x (0-56) + (0-5)2 x (0"56)2 + etc.} = "0972, for one-fourth of this is 0'0243. But the above expression is not, I think, correct, for after the great grand- parental 0'56 of tricolour we must surely use not 0'56 but 079 to pass from tricolour to tricoloured ancestry. Thus the result should be (0-5):,x(0-56){l + (0-5) x (079) + (0-5)2x(079)2 + etc.}= -1157, of which the fourth part is "0289. \Iere as before the non-tricoloured ancestors of earlier generations who would themselves have tricoloured parents, etc., are neglected!^ Taking Galton's illustration (p. 406) of both parents tricolour, three grandparents tricolour, and one lemon and white, Galton's factor of "8342 is only changed to -8388 by the above correction, but this gives 100 tricolour hounds out of a total of 119 offspring in this category, while the observed tricolours were 101, a remarkably close accordance. I illustrate the sort of accordance obtained in the following examples : Both Parents Tricolour Number of Tricolour Grandparents 4 3 a 1 Totals Tricolour Offspring : Observed Calculated 106 (119) 108 101 (119) 100 24 (28) 21 8(11) 8 239 (277) 237 Both Parents and three Grandparents Tricolour Number of Tricolour Great Grandparents 8 7 6 5 4 Totals Tricolour Offspring : Observed Calculated 17 (18) 16 19 (21) 18 14 (16) 13 6(6) 5 56 (61) 52 The numbers in brackets denote total offspring. 6—2 44 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Two cases give rather poor results, those for 1 parent and 3 grandparents tricolour, no great grandparents or higher ancestry known (92 calculated for 79 observed in 158) and 1 parent, 3 grandparents and 5 great grand- parents tricolour with no higher ancestry known (18 calculated for 8 observed out of 3 1 ). In the latter case especially it is the observations which seem to me questionable, because for one parent tricolour and the other lemon and white, whatever be the more remote ancestry we get 139 tricolour to 122 non -tricolour, while with 3 grandparents and 5 great grandparents tricolour, the observations only give us 8 tricolour to 23 non-tricolour or a drop from 50 °/0 to 26 °/o in tricolour, with an increase of tricolour ancestry. If we can trust the classification, then no simple Mendelian hypothesis will provide a formula to fit the data, because neither tricolour x tricolour nor non- tricolour x non-tricolour breeds true. I have said, if we can trust the classi- fication, because as Galton points out there is a strange prepotency of sire over dam*, the ratio of sire colour to dam colour in offspring being of the order of 6 to 5. A more important fact bearing on the classificatory accuracy arises from an investigation by an entirely different method from Gal ton's f, where it appeared that the resemblance of the offspring to the sire was far less than to the dam. This suggested that the parentage was more certain in the case of the dam than in that of the sire, a difficulty not unlikely to arise from the carelessness of kennel attendants. In the opinion of the present biographer the Law of Ancestral Heredity has been shown by Galton to be at least approximate in two very different cases, and this justifies further attempts to deal with it, either in Galton's or a more generalised form, on more satisfactory material and with possibly more accurate methods of computing the corrections for the unknown characters of the higher ancestors. F. Representations of the Ancestral Law. Several graphical representa- tions of Galton's form of the Ancestral Law have been provided. Perhaps the best is that devised by A. J. Meston of Pittsburgh, which was modified by Galton himself in a communication to Nature, January 27, 1898. The diagram (p. 45) is of the following nature. It is based on a square of unit edge; 2 and 3 represent the parents; 4, 5, 6 and 7 the grandparents; 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 the eight great grand- parents, and so on. All even numbers represent males and uneven numbers females. 2n + 1 is the female mate of the male 2n. The father and mother of n are always 2n and 2ra + 1 respectively. Every ancestor in whatever line has now got a definite number, and every number denotes a definite ancestor. For example: (i) What is the proper number to represent a child's mother's mother's * In the Roy. Soc. Proc. paper, p. 404, Galton says the dam is prepotent. But on this page and in Table II, p. 410, sire and dam should be interchanged. This slip is acknowledged by Galton himself in a letter to Nature, October 21, 1897, on the Hereditary Colour in Horses, to which we shall refer later. It does not affect his work as he has made no use of this prepotency in his calculations. t Roy. Soc. Proc. Vol. lxvi, p. 158. January, 1900. % See The Horseman, December 28, 1897, Chicago. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 45 father's father's mother's father's father's father's mother? The child's mother is 3, her mother 2x3 + 1=7, her father 2x7 = 14, his father 28, 28's mother = 2 x 28 + 1 = 57, 57's father is 114, 114's father is 228, 228's father is 456 and lastly 456's mother is 913, which is the number signifying the required ancestor. Fig. 10. (ii) What ancestor does 253 represent? 253 is odd and therefore the mother of A> etc. be the means of all the deviations, including their signs, of the ancestors in the 1st, 2nd, etc. degrees respectively; then £ (M + A) + 1 {M+ A) + etc. = M + (» A + £ A + etc.)." This is sufficient evidence that Galton had not at the time under con- sideration reached the full meaning of multiple regression. The Ancestral Law is nothing but the principle of multiple regression applied to ancestral inheritance, but in this case the deviations must all be measured not from a general mean, but from the mean of the corresponding generation. The Law of Ancestral Heredity is therefore independent of the change of type, if such is taking place ; it can tell us nothing of the laws ruling that change of type, which is something wholly independent of it. Galton's statements that the law may be applied either to total values or deviations is only true for a population stable through the whole ancestry, whereas the application to deviations (with the proper ancestral coefficients, i.e. the multiple regres- sion coefficients) is generally true, and if Galton had recognised this, it would have saved him from doubts as to the compatibility of his law with evolutionary changes. That Galton recognised the difference between the Quartile of the single brood and the Quartile of the clubbed broods of like parents shows that he fully appreciated the difference between R and r. I do not think, however, that he recognised that his Ancestral Law, i.e. the. values he had chosen for his coefficients, actually enforced a definite relation between R and r. But he fully realised the relation between the regression coefficient and r, his "index of correlation*." We can now continue our citation from the Entomological Society paper, which brings out Galton's difficulty : " The laws in which these constants play a part give calculated results that prove to be closely true to observation in the ordinary cases of simple heredity, where there has been no long-continued selection, but it does not at all follow that they will hold true for the descendants of a long succession of widely divergent parents. It is this that I want to test. The point towards which Regression tends cannot, as the history of Evolution shows, be really fixed. Then the vexed question arises whether it varies slowly or by abrupt changes, coincident with changes of organic equilibrium which may be transmitted hereditarily; in other words, with small or large changes of type. Moreover the values of the Quartile in (3) and (4) cannot be strictly constant and are probably connected in part with the value of the Median and require a modi- fied treatment by using the geometrical law of error instead of the arithmetical one (Proc. Royal Soc. 1879). Again the diminution of fertility and of vitality that accompany wide divergence from racial mediocrity have yet to be measured, by comparing the A [selected large size] and Z [selected small size] broods with the M [mediocre size] broods. It was assumed not to vary in the approximate theory of which I spoke." (p. 28.) < These words bring out the difficulty which arose in Galton's mind from treating regression as taking place towards a fixed racial value, instead of t supposing it to arise from measuring deviations from the means of their groups.^In this way a rather mysterious entity "the racial centre of regresO sion " was created, which was given biological significance, when it really s was only a factor in the purely statistical description of mass phenomena. Once recognise that in each generation the deviation is measured from the * He speaks of his five constants being connected by " an equation." Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 49 mean of its generation and we find no incompatibility of the Ancestral Law with any change of type. What we obviously must do is to study the change of type or of successive means ; regression is a wholly independent matter, and "the racial centre of regression " something which has no essen- tial existence, biologically or statistically. The next point that Galton makes is that the variabilities 07VI— ii!2 and (TfJl—r- cannot be quite constant; it is not clear whether he only means by this that 07 and therefore cr, the population variability, changes with the course of evolution. This is very possible, though there is small likelihood of its being discoverable in breeding only six generations of moths, if kept under the same environment. Selection might equally well change type and variability; but if the distributions of frequency were normal, the type and variability would be uncorrelated, and the selection of one would not necessarily affect the other. Hence I do not see why Galton says the change in the Quartiles is probably connected with the value of the Median ; least of all do I grasp why he should refer at this point to Macalister's curve for the geometric mean. Whatever application that curve may have to variation in sensations, this is the only occasion on which I have seen it suggested that it has any claim to be used for bodily measurements. It might be as justifiably used for physical measurements on man as for those on moths, but I can hardly imagine profit coming from such an application. The last point made by Galton, namely that the fertility and vitality of stocks widely divergent from the mediocre are likely to be affected, is a very important one and is probably the reason why it is not possible to carry size selection far, at any rate by rapid strides. This has been demonstrated not only on the moth material at present under discussion, but by more recent endeavours to modify small mammals by selecting for size. The reader who is interested in this matter would do well to refer at least to Merrifield's first report* on the moth-breeding experiments. He will then quickly understand why they failed to satisfy Galton's thirst for data ! The spring and autumnal broods were really dimorphous, the males appeared to be larger in one and the females in the other; the wing lengths were not the same in the two. Thus the fact of two broods a year would certainly not expedite matters. Further, the fertility of the largest and the smallest Mas reduced below that of the mediocre, and when Merrifield took steps to obtain by forcing under higher temperatures more frequent broods, not only did he increase the size of his moths' wings, but the "giant" line and the "dwarf" line became sterile and he had to start again from the mediocre. In fact artificial means had to be used to get the moths from the pupae near enough in time to breed with one another. Further, changes in environment or food had to be made to hasten the larvae to the pupal stage because food supplies were getting low. And all these changes appear to have been associated with variations in size so that finally the irregularities were too widespread for any statistical treatment of the data, or as Galton himself * Trans. Entomological Soc. London (Dec. 7, 1887), 1888, pp. 123-136. pgiii 7 50 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon expressed it ten years later : " No statistical results of any consistence or value could be obtained from them*." Thus ended what had at first sight appeared to be a hopeful series of experiments, experiments upon which much thought and labour had been expended. H. Correlations and their Measurement. As I have already pointed out the conception that the regression coefficient for inheritance could be applied to a measure of the relationship of associated variates, provided each was measured in terms of its own scale of variability, first occurred to Galton while he was taking a walk in the grounds of Naworth Castle in the year 1888 (see p. 393 of Vol. n). On December 5, 1888, Galton sent to the Royal Society a paper read fifteen days later and entitled: "Co-relations and their Measurement, chiefly from Anthropometric Dataf ." The twentieth of December is therefore the birthday of the conception of correlation in biometric data as apart from the idea of regression in heredity which Galton had reached some years earlier, without perceiving at once its capacity for wide generalisation in the treatment of associated variates in all living forms. Like so much of Galton's work the present paper reaches results of singular importance by very simple methods; his methods are indeed so simple that we might almost believe they must lead to a fallacy had not Galton deduced thereby the correct answer. It is the old experience that a rude instrument in the hand of a master craftsman will achieve more than the finest tool wielded by the uninspired journeyman. The first three paragraphs of this memoir define Galton's method of con- sidering correlation, and indicate that in 1888 even the spelling of the word had not been fixed J : "'Co-relation or correlation of structure' is a phrase much used in biology, and not least in that branch of it which refers to heredity, and the idea is even more frequently present than the phrase ; but T am not aware of any previous attempt to define it clearly, to trace its mode of action in detail, or to show how to measure its degree. " Two variable organs are said to be co-related when the variation of the one is accompanied on the average by more or less variation of the other, and in the same direction. Thus the length of the arm is said to be co-related with that of the leg, because a person with a long arm has usually a long leg, and conversely. If the co-relation be close then a person with a very long arm would usually have a very long leg ; if it be moderately close then the length of his leg would only be long, not very long ; and if there were no co-relation at all then the length of his leg would on the average be mediocre. It is easy to see that co-relation must be the consequence of the variations of the two organs being partly due to common causes. If they were wholly due to common causes, the co-relation would be perfect, as is approximately the case with the symmetrically disposed parts of the body. If they were in no respect due to common causes, the co-relation would be nil. Between these two extremes are an endless number of intermediate cases, and it will be shown how the closeness of co-relation in any particular case admits of being expressed by a simple number. "To avoid the possibility of misconception it is well to point out that the subject in hand has nothing whatever to do with the average proportions between the various limbs in different * Roy. Soc. Proc. Vol. lxi, p. 402. \ Ibid. Vol. xlv, pp. 135-145. X Five years later in 1893 when the volume containing the letter C of the Oxford English Dictionary was issued, the Galtonian or biometric sense of " correlation " was not given. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 51 races*, which have been often discussed from early times up to the present day, both by artists and by anthropologists. The fact that the average ratio between the stature and the cubit is as 100 to 37 1 or thereabouts does not give the slightest information about the nearness witli which they vary together. It would be an altogether erroneous inference to suppose their average proportion to be maintained so that where the cubit was, say, one-twentieth longer than the average cubit, the stature might be expected to be one-twentieth greater than the average stature, and conversely. Such a supposition is easily shown to be contradicted both by fact and theory." (loc. cil. pp. 135-6.) Let us now describe Galton's procedure. In the first place Galton does not use means, he uses throughout medians, both for his marginal totals and his arrays. Further he does not use standard deviations, he makes use of the quartile measurements. Thus if Qlf M and Q3 be the measurements at first, second and third quartile divisions, he takes M as his median and '. CJ.i — Qi) as his measure of variation. Thus his results, unlike our modern treatment, depend essentially on assuming that all his data follow a normal (or "curve of errors") distribution J. If Mc be the median of any character c and bMc the median of an array of this character for a given value b of a second character c', then Galton plots: J£.-M. tQ b-M, In other words he reduces the deviation of an array median from the popu- lation median to its unit of variation obtained from the quartiles, and plots this to the deviation of the second character from its median reduced like- wise to its own unit of variation. Then he plots: „Ms-M„, a-M„ to where a is a value of the first character and aM& the median of the corre- sponding array of the second character, and thus gets a second series of points. He takes six or seven values of a and of b, plots two sets of six or seven points and notes that the first and second series of points are nearly on one and the same straight line§. He draws this straight line as closely as he can to the points and through the median, and reads off its slope. This slope is Galton's measure of co-relation. If we take the mean deviation of c' for a given value of c, Galton calls c the " Subject" and c' the "Relative," but perhaps it would be best to call the latter the "Co-relative." Galton's data consisted of about 350 males of 21 years and upwards, of whom the majority were young students, measured in his Laboratory in 1888. He deals with * [The variation in the ratio of stature to cubit does, however, provide a means of determining the correlation. K.P.] t [Rather 100 to 27 or thereabouts on Galton's numbers, i.e. 67-20" for stature and 18-05" for cubit. K.P.] \ In the table given on p. 52 for the correlation of Stature and Left Cubit it is very difficult to see any approximation to normality in the distribution of stature. § In order to get the same straight line, if c be the subject and c the co-relative, and the " subject " axis horizontal, then it is needful when c is subject and c co-relative to plot c along the same axis as was used in the first case for c. In other words the character axes must be interchanged. 7—2 52 Life and Letters of Francis GaUon a G X six characters: Head Length, Head Breadth, Stature, Length of Left Middle Finger, Left Cubit and Height of Right Knee. But he only provides as illustration one table such as we now term a correlation table, and one diagram illusti'ating how he found what we now term the correlation co- efficient. The table and diagram dealing with the co-relation of stature and cubit are given below. Readings were made to one-tenth of an inch. Correlation Table for Stature and Cubit. Length of Left Cubit in inches, 348 adult Males. Under 16-45— 16-95— 17-45— 17-95— 18-45— 18-95— 19-45 To 16-45 16-95 17-45 17-95 18-45 18-95 19-45 and above Above 7&4S . 1 3 4 15 7 69-45— 70-45 — — — 1 5 13 11 — 68-45—69-45 — 1 1 2 25 15 6 — 67-45—68-45 — 1 3 7 14 7 4 2 66'45 — 67 '45 — 1 7 15 28 8 2 — 6o-45—66-45 — 1 7 18 15 G — — 64-45—65-45 — 4 10 12 8 2 — — 68-45—64-45 — 5 11 2 3 — — — Below 68-45 9 12 10 3 1 — — — Totals 9 25 49 61 102 55 38 9 3 * Printed as 48, 48, and 34 respectively in the Roy. Soc. Proceedings. Diagram illustrating the Graphical Process of finding the Slope of the Regression Line, i.e. the Correlation Coefficient of to-day's terminology. Fig. 11. Galton says he constructed tables and diagrams like the above. " It will be understood that the Q value is a universal unit applicable to the most varied measurements, such as breathing capacity, strength, memory, keenness of eyesight, and enables them to be compared together on equal terms not- withstanding their intrinsic diversity. It does not only refer to measures of Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 53 length, though partly for the sake of compactness, it is only those of length that will be here given as examples" (loc. cit. p. 137). Galton already saw clearly that his new method enabled comparison to be made on equal terms between variates with such intrinsic diversity as acuity of vision and head breadth*. I have endeavoured to check Galton's work. I expect he found his medians and quartiles by plotting an "ogive curve" (see our p. 31 and Plate II) and smoothing it. The process of checking is rendered difficult by the following statements on p. 138: " It is unnecessary to extend the limits of Table II [that of stature and cubit reproduced above] as it includes every line and column in my MS. table that contains not less than twenty entries. None of the entries lying within the flanking lines and columns of Table II were used." The first statement seems to suggest that the whole table has not been printed, the second leaves one in doubt as to how to find the medians of the arrays, or indeed of the marginal totals, if none of the entries in the flanking lines and columns had been used. Unfortunately I have not succeeded in dis- covering the original work and manuscript tables for this memoir among Galton's papersf . Putting aside the possibility of re-examining Galton's own work by more modern methods, we can, I think, indicate how closely his semi- graphic median, quartile and regression slope methods accord with those obtained from much longer series by more accurate processes. First let us consider the correlation coefficients : Character Pair Correlation Coefficient As found by Galton from 350 Male Adults As found by Macdonell from 3000 Criminals Stature and Cubit Stature and Head Length Stature and Middle Finger Cubit and Middle Finger Head Length and Head Breadth Stature and Height of Knee ... Cubit and Height of Knee 0-80 {0-8290} 0-35 0-70 0-85 0-45 0-90 {0-8665} 0-80 {0-8028} 0.7999 0-3399 0-6608 ■ 0-8464 0-4016 The values in the first column of this table were the first organic corre- lations ever published, and on that account are of great historical interest. * It is not without interest to note that more than a quarter of a century later, Major Leonard Darwin could assert that the influences of environment and heredity could not be com- pared, because there was no common unit of measurement applicable to them both ! He appeared still ignorant of Galton's use of Q. See Eugenics Review, Vol. v, p. 152. f My colleague, Miss E. M. Elderton, has taken out the first 348 entries for male adults 21 years and upwards from Galton's Laboratory records, and the resulting values from her tables, computed by modern methods, are given in brackets in the above and the following tables. Our table for stature and cubit differs somewhat from Galton's but with a probable error of •01 1 3 the correlation is hardly significantly different from Galton's value. Both Knee Height and Cubit are measured in the Anthropometric Laboratory at University College, but the former is measured to the lowest point of the patella with the subject standing at rest, while Galton measured to the top of the knee with the subject sitting. Galton deducted the measured heel, we measure with boots off. Our correlation for male students of Knee Height and Cubit is only 0-66. 54 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Macdonell's values, obtained by a far more refined and accurate method, indicate — especially when we remember that they are for a very different popu- lation— how successfully Galton solved his problem. Doubtless he was some- what aided by the fact that anthropometric physical measurements are far more nearly normal than many other variates. Had his distributions been more skew, his median estimates would not have given as accurately the correlation coefficients. We can now compare the mean or median values and the standard deviations as found from the quartiles with later results : Character Means Standard Deviations Galton (Adults 21 and upwards) Macdonell (Criminals) Schuster (Oxford Students) Galton (Adults 21, and upwards) Macdonell (Criminals) Schuster (Oxford Studei Stature (cm.) Cubit (cm.) ... Height of Knee (cm.) Middle Finger (mm.) Head Length (mm.) ... Head Breadth (mm.) Cephalic Index 170-69* 45-70 52-00 115-32 193-55 152-40 78-74 166-46 45-06 115-24 191-66 150-04 78-28 176-50 {170-25} — {45-85} — {52-15} 196-05 152-84 78-02 6-58 2-11 3-01 5-63 7-11 6-82 6-45 1-96 5-48 6-05 5-01 6-61 {6-80} - {2'0l - {2-62} 6-23 4-92 2-92 Considering the difference of social class in the three series, Galton's results can hardly have exception taken to them, except in the case of the variabilities of Head Length and Head Breadth. These are excessive, but as we have not the original tables from which the quartiles were determined, it is not possible to investigate wherein they are anomalous f. The degree of accordance reached by Galton's process may be illustrated by his tables for Stature and Knee Height : Mean of corresponding Mean of corresponding Stature Knee Heights Height of Knee Statures Observed Calculated Observed Calculated 70-0 21-7 (30) 21-7 222 70-5 (23) 70-6 69-0 21-1 (50) 21-3 21-7 69-8 (32) 69-6 68-0 20-7 (38) 20-9 21-2 68-7 (50) 68-6 67 0 20-5 (61) 20-5 20-7 67-3 (68) 67-7 66-0 20-2 (49) 201 20-2 66-2 (74) 66-7 65-0 19-7 (36) 19-7 19-7 65-5 (41) 65-7 — — — 19-2 64-3 (26) 64-7 The figures in brackets give the numbers of individuals upon whom the observed medians of the arrays were determined. It will be observed that the accordance between observation and theory is again very good. * For a. general hospital population: Stature = 170-59 (Biometrika, Vol. iv, p. 126). f Galton says "The head length is the maximum length measured from the notch between and just below the eyebrows " (p. 137). Is this the glabella? Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 55 Table V on Galton's p. 143 is noteworthy. In Column 3 we have the co- efficients of correlation tabled under the now familiar symbol r. In Column 4 we have the values of v 1 — r", to enable the Quartile of the arrays to be found. In Column 5 we have, placed one under the other, the two regression coefficients, and in Column 6 in the same manner the Quartiles of the arrays (i.e. •67449 crx J 1 — i9 and -G7449 a-y J\ — r2) *. Throughout, without referring directly to the matter, Galton assumes linear regression and homoscedasticity, i.e. he is thinking in terms of the bivariate normal surface. Next he draws attention to the relation of his present work to his former work on heredity. On the fifth line of p. 144, he has the words: " from — to - x — - = 1 to 0'44, which is practically the same." This should read " from — to 11 .... „ . - x — - = 1 to 0"47, which is identically the same," as it should be since it expresses the coefficient of correlation found from the second regression line. Galton emphasises the importance of the reduction in the variability of the array, as measured by v 1 — r2, and points out how this affects the efficiency of Bertillon's system of identification by anthropometric measure- ments. Bertillon had asserted that his measurements were independent variates. A reference to Plate LII of our second volume will show that Galton had chosen several of Bertillon's " independent " measurements and determined their actual correlation. Galton next outlines a method by which the influence of n variates on another might be determined. He suggests that after transmuting the variates we should sum them, when the probable error of the sum would " be Jn, if the variates were perfectly independent, and n if they were rigidly and perfectly related. The observed value would be almost always some- where intermediate between these extremes, and would give the information that is wanted" (p. 145). This would not, I believe, be a feasible method of approaching multiple correlation; it neglects the possibility of negative correlations, and does not provide for the influence on one variate of all the remainder. It is an attempt to obtain a sort of average value of the interlinkage of a system of n variates f. I do not think that at this time Galton had realised the existence and importance of negative correlation. * A large proportion of values in the 5th and 6th columns have rather serious numerical errors, corrected by Galton on a copy of the paper in my possession. He also states thereon that he wishes to change the symbol r to p, presumably because he was thinking of it as the " correlation coefficient," not as the regression coefficient, when units are reduced to respective variabilities. The regression coefficient without reduction he had termed »-in his memoir on stature. t Let xlt a;2, ...x„, ...xn be the n variates, and (%* — *»)/o"s , we have : 2 + (c) Regression of Offspring on Midparent or substituting the value of e : Regression on Midparent = ,559 = fx0-84, Parental Correlation, r= '3471 =£ x T04. Now Galton deduced for regression of offspring on midparent for both stature and eye-colour the value f , and for parental correlation £. For the * Treating the degrees of artistic faculty in the midparents as 1, 0-5, and 0, a biserial corre- lation coefficient after correction for class index gives 4523+ -0138. The two possible divisions giving fourfold tables provide -4655 + -0240 and -4039 + -0298. The three results are thus in reasonable accord. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 69 artistic faculty the former value is therefore 16°/0 m defect and for the latter value 4 °/o in excess. Galton, using what he admits to be a very crude method of percentages, shows that a regression of § would give him : Percentage of Artistic Offspring. Both Parents Artistic One Parent Artistic Neither Artistic Theory Observation 407. 36 7. 38-5 7 39 7. ° 177 217. Observation differs by 10°/o m the first case and 23*5 % m the last case from theory. Galton says that the first values are "in very happy agreement," that the second "agree excellently well" and that the third give "a very fair accordance," and concludes : "that the same law of Regression, and all that depends upon it, which governs the inheritance both of Stature and Eye-colour, applies equally to the Artistic Faculty." (pp. 161-2.) But if the best value we can find from Galton's data for the Regression differs 16°/0 from the value he assumes*, it is clear that we cannot assert that the accordance of percentages between theory and observation given in the above table justifies us in assuming on the present material that the Regression is the same for Artistic Faculty and Stature. Nevertheless while it may be impossible to accept on the basis of Francis Galton's data in Natural Inheritance that agreement between the constants for the inheritance of Stature and Artistic Faculty — that is between physical and psychical characters — which he thought he had found, we have yet to bear in mind two points: First that since 1889 more refined tools and better and more ample data have distinctly tended to confirm the equality of inheritance of mind and body ; and secondly that Galton was foremost in the endeavour to obtain statistically a quantitative measure for the strength of resemblance in psychical characters. Before we pass to the subject of Disease, it seems fitting here to note that Galton dealt with a second psychical characteristic, that of Temper. He refers to this on p. 85, where he deals with Marriage Selection, and also in Appendix D, pp. 226-238, which is a reprint with slight revision of a paper which first appeared in the Fortnightly Review, July, 1887f, under the title of " Good and Bad Temper in English Families." Galton found Temper in his Family Records described under 15 "Good" epithets and '46 " Bad " epithets, and he divided these into five classes, the first two corresponding to his "Good," and the remainder to his "Bad." These were * If the midparental regression had been deduced from a correlation coefficient found in the ordinary way, its probable error would have been -0096; the difference of -667 and '559 is -108, more than 10 times that probable error. I think we must conclude that '559 cannot be treated as I- t Vol. xlii, N.S. pp. 21-30. 70 Life and Letters of Francis Galton (i) Mild, (ii) Docile, (iii) Fretful, (iv) Violent, and (v) Masterful. I liave already discussed this classification in Vol. n, p. 271. I would only add that if we follow Galton's classification of Good and Bad Temper, we find a slight negative correlation between Husband and Wife. If it be considered signi- ficant, the mild temper of one mate may be due to the experience that control is needful or at least advisable in the environment of a violent consort. On the other hand the fourfold table for siblings, i.e. offspring of the same parents, is: Temper in Siblings. 1st Sibling J 3 02 T3 a pgg.ra.r)cft of Pnit^sonVliook— been preaching emph^aticany^Jlie^dpctnne of djscontinuity-i&r evolution. S Indeed his opinions on the manner_oXj3y7nuEioTr~date back to 1872 : see our Vol. II, pp. 84, 170-174 and 190. They are more clearly "expressecTnTtKe preface to the 1892 reprint of Hereditary Genius. There we read : "Another topic would have been treated more at length if this book were rewritten — namely the distinction between variations and sports. It would even require a remodelling of much of the existing matter. The views I have been brought to entertain since it was written, are amplifications of those which are already put forward in pp. 354-5*, but insufficiently pushed there to their logical conclusion. They are that the word variation is used indiscriminately to express two fundamentally distinct conceptions: sports and variations properly so called. It has been shown in Natural Inheritance that the distribution of faculties in a population cannot possibly remain constant if on the average the children resemble their parents. If they • do so the giants (in any mental or physical particular) would become more gigantic and the dwarfs more dwarfish, in each successive generation. The counteracting tendency is what I called 'regression.' The filial centre is not the same as the parental centre but it is nearer to mediocrity ; it regresses towards the racial centre. In other words the filial centre (or the fraternal if we change the point of view) is always nearer, on the average, to the racial centre than the parental centre was. There must be an average ' regression ' in passing from the parental to the filial centre." (pp. xvii-xviii.) The flaw in Galton's argument is again one that we have had several times to notice, namely that he is overlooking the fact that he has clubbed together parents of all possible types of ancestry, and the " regression" of his sons is solely due to the large number of such parents who have sprung from an ancestry mediocre or below mediocrity. The amount of filial regression depends entirely on the amount of this mediocrity, and there will be no regression if two or three generations above the parents are of like deviation from mediocrity. Thus although it may still be a matter for experiment and dis- cussion, whether evolution proceeds by variations proper or by sports, whether it be continuous or advance by jerks, the reason which made Galton the pioneer in advocating discontinuous evolution was a misinterpretation of his own discovery of " regression." -f * These pages deal with Galton's idea of the stability of types : see our p. 61 and Vol. II, p. 1 1 3. It is quite reasonable to suppose that by successive selection of extreme variations proper we might reach a position of unstable equilibrium of the parts of an organism. But there does not exist experimental evidence at present to indicate that such instability would lead to a sport breeding truly rather than to non-viable forms of the organism. See our pp. 93-4. 80 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon This is expressed so definitely in the following paragraph that I must cite it : " It is impossible briefly to give a full idea, in this place, either of the necessity or the proof of regression; they have been thoroughly discussed in the work in question*. Suffice it to say, that the result gives precision to the idea of a typical centre from which individual variations occur in accordance with the law of frequency, often to a small amount, more rarely to a larger one, very rarely indeed to one that is much larger, and practically never to one that is larger still J. The filial centre falls back further towards mediocrity in a constant proportion to the distance to which the parental centre has deviated from it whether the direction of the deviation be in excess or in deficiency. All true variations are (as I maintain) of this kind, and it is in consequence impossible that the natural qualities of a race may be permanently changed through the action of selection upon mere variations. The selection of the most serviceable variations cannot even produce any great degree of artificial and temporary improvement, because an equilibrium between deviation and regression will soon be reached, whereby the best of the offspring will cease to be better than their own sires and dams." (p. xviii.) The flaw in the argument here is that Galton uses " filial centre " in two senses. In the first sense it refers to all the offspring of pairs of parents of the same character values, whatever their parental ancestries may be. ^Hence there must always be regression^ In the second sense it is used of the offspring of an individual pair of parents, and interpreted to mean that the offspring of a given individual stock always regresses to the population mean, more and more in each generation. This is not true, the stock may with assortative mating even progress. The misfortune arose from Galton not having reached the formulae for multiple regression. Had he done so, he would have seen the contradiction between his "Law of Ancestral Heredity" and his interpretation of " Regression." Whether continuous or discontinuous evolution, or partly one and partly the other, expresses the truth, it is quite certain that Galton in 1892 supported evolution by mutations owing to an error of interpretation. His views on the subject undoubtedly contributed to directing attention to discontinuous evolution. He writes : " The case is quite different in respect to what are technically known as ' sports.' In this a new character suddenly makes its appearance in a particular individual, causing him to differ distinctly from his parents and from others of his race. Such new characters are also found to be transmitted to descendants. Here there has been a change of typical centre, a new point of departure has somehow come into existence, towards which regression has henceforth to be measured and consequently a real step forward has been made in the course of evolution. When natural selection favours a particular sport, it works effectively towards the formation of a new species, but the favour that it simultaneously shows to mere variations seems to be thrown away, so far as that end is concerned. There may be entanglement between a sport and a variation which leads to a hybrid and unstable result, well exemplified in the imperfect character of the fusion of different human races. Here numerous pure specimens of their several ancestral types are apt to crop out, notwithstanding the intermixture by marriage that had been going on for many previous generations." (pp. xviii-xix.) Unfortunately the only method of settling points of such fundamental importance — that of critical experiment — was not adopted %. Some biologists * [Natural Inheritance, 1889. See our pp. 57 and 65.] •f [This sentence is lacking in Galton's usual precision of statement.] I Galton here first indicates what for years he believed to be the right experimental method for solving problems in heredity; his scheme, however, failed because he endeavoured to work Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 81 poured scorn on statistical methods even while they rejoiced in being ignorant of the mathematical processes, which would alone have enabled them to understand and criticise them effectively.- Other biologists contented them- selves with asserting that material collected by " non-biologists " could not possibly be of biological value. Many rash statements were made which would hardly now be maintained by the most ardent mutationist or Mendelian*. The controversy over Galton's method of dealing with heredity became a logomachy, or as some would say a tauromachy, and contributed little of permanent value to science. It was idle because the fundamental questions as to whether " variations proper " could serve as a basis for selection, and whether and to what extent sports bred true, were not investigated by agreed critical experiments. No one who has tried or even thought over such experimental work — bound to be of a secular nature — will be in the least likely to minimise the difficulty of devising and carrying through a crucial experiment. Nevertheless that was and remains the sole satisfactory method of settling a scientific dispute as to natural phenomena. The opinion that no real conclusion could be reached, except by direct experiment, was the actual reason why Galton's lieutenants ultimately retired from the controversy concerning the application of his methods to the measurement of heredity. Galton himself for another decade endeavoured to provide means for secular experimentation. What was the outcome of his attempts we shall see later on. Again when Galton came to study finger prints, he was struck by the scarcity of transitional types ; further his evidence indicated that there was little if any correlation between type and any bodily or mental characteristics, or that the types were peculiar to any human races. " It would be absurd therefore to assert that in the struggle for existence, a person with, say, a loop on his right middle finger has a better chance of survival, or a better chance of early marriage, than one with an arch. Consequently genera and species are here seen to be formed without the slightest aid from either Natural or Sexual Selection, and these finger patterns are apparently the only peculiarity in which Panmixia, or the effect of promiscuous marriages, admits of being studied on a large scale. The result of Panmixia in finger markings corroborates the arguments I have used in Natural Inheritance and elsewhere, to show that 'organic stability' is the primary factor by which the distinctions between genera are maintained ; consequently the progress of evolution is not a smooth and uniform progression, but one that proceeds by jerks, through successive ' sports ' (as they are called), some of them implying considerable organic changes; and each in its turn being favoured by Natural Selection. "The same word 'variation' has been indiscriminately applied to two very different con- ceptions, which ought to be clearly distinguished ; the one is that of ' sports ' just alluded to, by a committee of incompatihles. I shall return to his attempts later, but their first foreshadow- ing appears in the 1892 preface to Hereditary Genius: " It has occurred to others as well as myself, as to Mr Wallace and to Professor Romanes, that the time may have arrived when an institute for experiments on heredity might be established with advantage. A farm and garden of a very fewacres, with varied exposure, and well supplied with water, placed under the chargeof intelli- gent caretakers, supervised by a biologist, would afford the necessary basis for a great variety of research upon in- expensive animals and plants. The difficulty lies in the smallness of the number of competent persons who are actually engaged in hereditary inquiry, who could be depended upon to use it properly." (p. xix.) * For example, that two-factor dominant and recessive Mendelian hypotheses would account for the heredity of coat-colour or eye-colour. Or that albinotic eyes were those without any granular pigment, and individuals possessing them would breed true. POIII- 11 82 Life and Letters of Francis Galton which are changes in the position of organic stability, and may through the aid of Natural Selection, become fresh steps in the onward course of evolution ; the other is that of the variations proper, which are merely strained conditions of a stable form of organisation, and not in any way an overthrow of them. Sports do not blend freely together ; variations proper do so. Natural Selection acts upon variations proper, just as it does upon sports, by preserving the best to become parents, and eliminating the worst, but its action upon mere variations can, as I conceive, be of no permanent value to evolution, because there is a constant tendency to ' regress ' towards the parental type. The amount and results of this tendency have been fully established in Natural Inheritance. It is there shown, that after a certain departure from the central typical form has been reached in any race, a further departure becomes impossible without the aid of these sports. In the successive generations of such a population, the average tendency of filial regression towards the racial centre must at length counterbalance the effects of filial dispersion ; consequently the best of the produce cannot advance beyond the level already attained by the parents, the rest falling short of it in various degrees*." The views of Galton here summarised show that the view he took in the Natural Inheritance of 1889 f, that evolution was largely carried out by " sports " or in jerks, i.e. was chiefly discontinuous, was not the outcome of reading Bateson's work, although in that work he found support for his ideas. It will be seen at once also that he had divided, years before later controversies, " variations " into " sports " — now termed " mutations " — and "variations proper," which Galton held (and had indeed demonstrated) were inherited, but believed could not be of permanent value, because of what he termed the " constant tendency to regress." The fact that they are inherited distinguishes Galton's " variations proper," and very definitely distinguishes them, from the "fluctuating variations" of Mendelian writers, which are asserted by them to be non-inheritable. How far the theory of discontinuous variation — with all its contradiction in many cases of the palaeontological record J — was really forced on the attention of biologists by Galton's writings it is not possible to say. We do know that both De Vries and Bateson were at one time enthusiastic students of Galton's works. However this may be, what is now clear is that there is no "unexpected law of universal regression" as Galton supposed, it is merely a misinterpretation of his own data and the constants based upon them. It is important to examine this point, not only with regard to Galton's views on Discontinuity in Evolution, but also owing to the many biological misinterpretations of the statistical conception of regression. Galton found that the average value of the stature of sons of fathers having an excess h in stature above the population mean had only an excess of ^h above that same mean. Practically all his conclusions are based on this single fact and the statement that the array of such sons varies about this regressed mean with a variation about 6 °/c less than the variation of the general population. The reduction of variation is so small, that it is possible practically to select sons of the same character deviation as their parents possessed. In order to * Finger Prints, 1892, pp. 19-21. t See Chapter in, " Organic Stability," and compare our pp. 60-62 above. | " The distinctive feature of palaeontological evidence is that it covers the entire pedigree of variations, the rise of useful structures not only from their minute, apparently useless, condition, but from the period before they occur." Henry F. Osborn, 1889. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 83 illustrate what Galton overlooked let us take his Ancestral Law coefficients as if they represented the absolute truth and investigate what would be the mean stature of sons if their parents and grandparents were by natural or artificial selection raised to a deviation^Qibove the population value. The mean of the sons would now be the offspring have accordingly regressed \h from the parental deviation. Now suppose selection to cease, and owing to isolation or other cause the offspring to interbreed ; then their offspring will have the average value In other words there is no further regression, or what these offspring lose in the regression of their parents is compensated by the exceptionality of their VB, then for the corresponding intraracial characters in the "allied races" va will be > vb. There does not seem any obvious theoretical reason for this, but Galton holds that Brewster "has provisionally established his thesis that whenever any special character varies much in individuals of the same race, it is probable that it will be found to vary much in 'allied races' and conversely." The next paper to be considered is entitled: "Hereditary Colour in Horses," and appeared in Nature, October 21, 1897 (Vol. lvi, pp. 598-9). Galton tabulated his data from material collected and published by " Tron Kirk" in the Chicago journal, the Horseman (Christmas Number, 1896). In the fundamental table which Galton gives there are 3025 matings of bay sires, but as "Tron Kirk" informs us that 3100 foals were born to no more than 46 different bay sires J, or an average of 67 foals to the sire, it is clear that * The interpretation put by the practical gardeners was that Galton wanted to go back from an improved form to a poor original. But I do not think this by any means the chief purport of his paper; he wanted if possible to go back from a specialised variety to the form, not necessarily inferior, from which it had been obtained. f Proceedings, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, May, 1897. % It is not said that the matings of bay sires cover these 3100 foals, but presumably they do. The difference in numbers may be due to the omission of grey foals or to twinning. 96 Life and Letters of Francis Galton there will be a great bias in the returns owing to the limited number of gametic constitutions in the sires. The following table gives the results as Table of Colour Inheritance in Horses. No. of Observations Colour of Dam Colour of Sire Percentages of Colour iu Offspring Chestnut Bay Brown Black A (i) (") (iii) (iv) 68 1900 19 25 Chestnut Bay Brown Black Chestnut Bay Brown Black 100 10 81 42 4 6 52 28 3 5 68 B 407 366 Chestnut Bay Bay Chestnut 33 30 61 63 4 3 2 4 G 52 69 Chestnut Brown Brown Chestnut 16 86 65 11 10 2 9 D 72 57 Chestnut Black Black Chestnut 6 30 76 40 15 3 30 E 221 450 Bay Brown Brown Bay 1 6 79 66 14 18 6 10 F 156 268 Bay Black Black Bay 3 7 60 53 30 16 7 24 G 55 6 Brown Black Black Brown — 22 16 38 50 40 33 Percentages taken only to whole numbers. published by Galton. In the first line of the series of rows, A (i), we see that for 68 cases of chestnut mated with chestnut all the offspring were chestnut. Galton does not comment on this, but it was the source of con- siderable later controversy. A certain number of matings of chestnut with chestnut taken from Wetherby's Thoroughbred Studbook gave the same result as the first row of Galton's matings ; but a longer series, wherein it was pointed out that the Studbook did contain some instances of chestnut mated with chestnut not producing chestnut, was rejected on the ground that these instances must be due to error of record, a most circular process of reasoning. It is clear from B where we are dealing with a fairly adequate number of crossings both ways that (i) there is not a predominance of sire or dam for chestnut with bay matings, and (ii) bay may contain a factor of chest- nut. If we work out from B the number of bays with a factor for chestnut we find them to be 3T5 °/o, while 68 '5 °/o lack that factor. Applying these percentages to the 1900 bay and bay matings in A (ii) we should f.CS*r6r /i p. Reproduction in close colour facsimile of Dr Sorby's painting of a tree with the pigment from black human hair. [Colouring matter largely from melanin pigment granules ?] •toj ,V»v »»* J*L. *' - ^t- Reproduction in close colour facsimile of Dr Sorby's painting of a tree with the pigment from dark red human hair. [Colouring matter largely from the diffused pigment of the fibrillae ?] Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 97 anticipate 9,9°/0 chestnut and 90'1 °/o non-chestnut foals, a result almost exactly that observed. If we judged by A (iii), A (iv), and G, we should conclude that black and brown had no factor for chestnut. In that case chestnut and bay crossed with black and brown would produce no chestnut foals. This is flatly con- tradicted by C, D, E and F, which indicate that browns and blacks can contain a factor for chestnut. The only explanation is, perhaps, a rather forced one, namely that the matings in A (iii), A (iv) and G were few in number and possibly made from a very few sires of brown and black colour without factors for chestnut, while C, D, E and F, providing far more numerous matings, contained blacks and browns with such factors. C, D, E and F, indeed, tend to confirm this, for when the sire is black or brown there are far fewer chestnuts produced than when the dam is black or brown; in the latter case the larger number of dams used would give a greater chance of their carrying factors for chestnut. Galton himself by averaging up the likenesses in coat- colour of foal to dam and to sire concluded that as some 32"83 °/o of foals followed the colour of their dam and 3175 °/0 that of their sire, there was no prepotency, but such an averaging method misses the possibility of discovering a prepotency due to the presence or absence of "factors." The equality of male and female hereditary influence is borne out by the long series B, but hardly by the other and shorter series such as C and D*. Galton was very fully aware of what he terms the "rudeness" of the data. He had been troubled with much the same problems in considering hair colour ; but he had then obtained an analysis of the pigments in human hair from Professor Sorby and the latter investigator had shown the existence of two distinct pigments, one red and one black. Sorby painted two trees in these two pigments extracted from human hair, pictures which used to hang in Galton's dressing room and are now in the Galton Laboratory. More recent microscopic investigation seems to show that the same two pigments occur in the hair of horses and dogs, but that the red pigment is diffused in the hair, i.e. "the whole ground substance of the fibrillae is impregnated with it." On the other hand the black or melanine pigment occurs in the form of pigment granules"}". On examination of a number of specimens of horse hair in samples from ribs and mane of chestnut horses, ranging from the golden chestnut of the Trakehnen stud to the black chestnut, the diffused red pigment was found in all, but the pigment granules varied from scarcely any in the golden and light chestnuts to close packing in the dark and black chestnuts. This corresponds very closely to the range of granular pigmentation found in passing from light red to dark auburn hair in man. Such results suggest that it is very desirable to study microscopically the distribution of the two pigments in the hair of horses' * For example in 124 matings of chestnut dam by brown or black sire there were only 6 chestnut foals, but in 126 matings of chestnut sire with black or brown dam there were 46 chestnut foals. t Pearson, Nettleship and Usher: Monograph on Albinism, Part II, pp. 319-345, Cambridge University Press. pgiii 13 98 Life and Letters of Francis Galton coats, and to remember that granular pigmentation varies enormously within the range of coat-colours described as chestnut by hackney breeders. Galton assumes that full red pigmentation counts for 1 '0 and takes chestnut to be 0*8 ; bay, 07; brown, 0-4; and black, O'l. Then by using the results of the several lines in A, he concludes that each chestnut parent contributes 40 units to the offspring, each bay 337 units, each brown 25-3, and each black 10 "4. He is now able to deal with the crosses in B, C, D, E, F and G. He finds that there should be in the offspring of the matings : B G D E F G units of red units of red Theoretically ... While observations give 74 70 65 64 50 60 59 61 41 54 36 35 But is this really conclusive ? It is possible that there are almost the same amounts of diffused pigment in the different coats and that the visible colours arise from the relative amounts of granular pigmentation. Had Galton put the amount of red pigment = 0-8 for all coat-colours, he would have got his theoretical and observational numbers in perfect agreement. But I do not think this would justify the assumption that the amount of red pigment is the same for all coats. I think then that we cannot assume his far rougher agreement is any proof of the numbers he has selected, or indeed of his theory of average parental contributions*. After the experience we now have had in the coat-colour of mammals, I feel fairly convinced that it is necessary to supplement the macroscopic classification by microscopic examination, for the categories formed in the former manner contain a great range of both diffuse and granular pigmentation. Prepotency in Trotting Horses. Still another paper of the same year occurs in Nature, July 14," 1898 (Vol. lviii, pp. 246-7). It is entitled " The Distribution of Prepotency," and deals with data for American Trotting Horses. Galton was much occupied at this time with the idea of the pre- potency of individuals. He believed that some favoured individuals had a power of impressing their exceptional characters on their offspring, and that this prepotency was of the nature of a " sport." The American Trotting Horse data provided, he considered, a method of testing this belief. Wallace's Year Books give lists (i) of the sires of offspring any one of which has succeeded in trotting one mile in 2 minutes and 30 seconds or less, or who has "paced" (ambled) the same distance in 2 minutes and 25 seconds or less ; (ii) of the dams of two such offspring, or else of one such offspring and one such grandchild. Galton selected from these lists of sires and dams those foaled before 1870 and therefore who would be at least 25 years of age in the Year Book for 1896, which he was using. He considered that this would give at least 20 years of breeding age to the parents and 5 years of attempted * I took the relative proportions of red to be ru r2, r3, rt, and determined their values to fit li, G, D, E, F, G by least squares instead of guessing their values; the ratio of the r's was 1-00 : 1 04 : 1-14 : 1-06, almost a ratio of equality ! Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 99 record making at least to the foals. In this way Galton obtained 716 sires and 494 dams who had produced offspring satisfying the above conditions, and he classified them by the number of times they had produced such marked foals. Reduced to percentages of sires and dams the following table resulted : Percentage numbers of Standard Performers produced by a single Sire or Dam. 1 1 2 3 4 5 6—10 11—20 21—30 31—40 41—50 51 and over Sire Dam 46 50 17 35 10 10 7 3 3 1 9 1 4 1 1 1 1 Galton explains the difference between sire and dam by remarking that while the sire produces some 30 foals annually, the dam produces only one, and therefore the chance of a large number of standard performers is much less for her. He even allows that some of the exceptionally noteworthy per- formances of the sires (Blue Bull, 60 ; Strathmore, 71 ; George Wilkes, 83 ; Happy Medium, 92; and Electioneer, 154 standard performers) may be due in part to the best mares being sent to famous sires. But he concludes that the extraordinary "tail" of high-class offspring of the sires must be due to some prepotency in some of the sires which enables them to impress their character on their offspring, and he remarks : " My conclusion is that high prepotency does not arise through normal variation, but must rank as a highly heritable sport, or aberrant variation ; in other words its causes must partly be of a different order, or else of a highly different intensity, to those concerned in producing the normal variations of the race. In a sport the position of maximum stability seems to be slightly changed. I have frequently insisted that these sports or " aberrances " (if I may coin the word*) are probably notable factors in the evolution of races. Certainty the successive improvements of breeds of domestic animals generally, as in those of horses in particular, usually make fresh starts from decided sports or aberrances, and are by no means always developed slowly through the accumulation of minute and favourable variations during a long succession of generations." Here, I think, Galton has forgotten two things : (i) The average difference between the first and second individuals in a group of 100 tabled to any character is no less than "36 of the variability of the group, and in a random sample may be still higher, but this is no adequate reason for treating the first individual (or the last) as a sport because he is not, like mediocre individuals, practically continuous with his neighbours. (ii) That the number of distinguished offspring any individual gives rise to must be considered in relation to his total output. Galton merely says that a sire produces " some 30 foals annually." I do not think this is adequate. Many years ago I saw a good deal of the working of a large thoroughbred stud ; the stud contained a number of stallions, some famous for their racing * The word is quite good English, if Joseph Glanvill and Sir Thomas Browne are authorities. 13—2 100 Life and Letters of Francis Galton achievements or for those of their progeny, others less famous. The service lists of the former were always full up with external and home mares ; this could not be said of the latter. I think it would be safe to say that the former stallions served annually at least double the number of mares the latter did. I hold therefore that to really demonstrate even a relative superiority in producing standard performers Galton ought to have taken the number of standard performers per total foals produced and this for both sire and dam. Owing to one cause or another one mare may fail more frequently than another to produce her annual foal. Out of four viable foals she might produce three standard performers. Galton's method would make her a less exceptional mare than one that produced four standard performers out of ten foals. Thus his conclusions may be correct, but they cannot be said to be proven until we know the relation of exceptional to total offspring. The distribution of standard performers to sires looks like a "./"-shaped frequency curve, and I do not understand why it is not as justifiable as a ./-shaped curve for cricket scores, nor do I believe that anything is deducible from the deviation of its tail from normality*. Foundation of '" Biometrika." In October 1900 the present biographer sent in a paper to the Royal Society ; that paper was printed in the Philosophical Transactions and was published in November of the folloiving year. Mean- while William Bateson, who had read the paper as one of the referees, wrote a sharp criticism of it, which the then Secretary of the Royal Society printed and issued in slip to the Fellows, before the latter had any opportunity of studying the criticised paper itselff. Michael Foster, notwithstanding the remonstrances of the biometricians, failed to see any objection to a referee criticising a paper before its publication, and as a result of his attitude, it was determined early in 1901 to found a Journal for the publication of biometric papers. Weldon and the biographer were to be Acting Editors with Galton as Consulting Editor. It is all past history now, and with twenty volumes issued of Biometrika, one can afford to smile, when one thinks of Bateson and Michael Foster as unwitting parents of what they would have considered an unviable hybrid! Biometrika appeared in October 1901, and Galton contributed an introductory notice entitled "Biometry" (Vol. I, pp. 7-10). A good deal of that paper would now be unintelligible without the light * There is a long review in the same number of Nature (Vol. lviii, pp. 2-11-2) by Galton of Alexander Sutherland's The Origin and Growth of the Moral Instinct. Galton praises the book highly, as extremely original and extending and confirming the masterly sketch by Darwin in Chapters iv and v of his Descent of Man of the evolution of the moral instinct. Galton does not, however, contribute any special views of his own, except the remark that "it would be very interesting to trace and describe the origin and purport of superstitious fears in human nature and their bearing on moral instinct." Galton, it must be remembered, was always appreciative and generous in reviewing ; there is, even allowing for this, much information collected in Sutherland's book, which should give it a permanent place in the evolutionist's library. f Shortly afterwards a resolution of the Council was conveyed to me, requesting that in future papers mathematics should be kept apart from biological applications. /3ios was an admissible topic, fxirpov also, but their combination was anathema, and that at a time when statis- tical theory had to be worked out step by step as the biological applications demanded. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 101 that the above historical facts throw upon it. Galton's tale of Sir Joseph Banks and the young geologists was the parable which he provided in order that he who runs might read. " Now that nearly a century has slipped past since the event, there can be no harm in digging up and bringing to light a buried but amusing historical fact." Then follows the inner story of the foundation of the Geological Society. " But," continues Galton, " it is not in the least my intention to insinuate that Biometry might be served by any modern authority in so rough a fashion, but I offer the anecdote as forcible evidence that a new science cannot depend on a welcome from the followers of old ones, and to confirm the former con- clusion that it is advisable to establish a special Journal for Biometry." Speaking of those early difficulties of Biometry, Galton writes : " The new methods occupy an altogether higher plane than that in which ordinary statistics and simple averages move and have their being. Unfortunately the ideas of which they treat, and still more the technical phrases employed in them, are as yet unfamiliar. The arithmetic they require is laborious, and the mathematical investigations on which the arithmetic rests are difficult reading even for experts ; moreover they are voluminous in amount and still grow- ing in bulk. Consequently this new departure in science makes its appearance under conditions that are unfavourable to its speedy recognition, and those who labour in it must abide for some time in patience before they can receive much sympathy from the outside world. It is astonish- ing to witness how long a time may elapse before new ideas are correctly established in the popular mind, however simple they may be in themselves. The slowness with which Darwin's fundamental idea of natural selection became assimilated by scientists generally is a striking example of the density of human wits. Now that it has grown to be a familiar phrase, it seems impossible that difficulty should ever have been felt in taking in its meaning. But it was far otherwise, for misunderstandings and misrepresentations among writers of all classes abounded during many years and even at the present day occasional survivals of the early stage of non- comprehension make an unexpected appearance. It is therefore important that the workers in this new field who are scattered widely though many countries, should close their ranks for the sake of mutual encouragement and support. They want an up-to-date knowledge of what has been done and is doing in it. . . . " This Journal, it is hoped, will justify its existence by supplying these requirements either directly or indirectly. I hope moreover that some means may be found, through its efforts, of forming a manuscript library of original data. Experience has shown the advantage of occasionally rediscussing statistical conclusions, by starting from the same documents as their author. I have begun to think that no one ought to publish biometric results without lodging a well arranged and well bound manuscript copy of all his data, in some place, where it should be accessible under reasonable restrictions, to those who desire to verify his work. But this by the way*. " There remains another urgent reason of a very practical kind for the establishment of this Journal, namely that no periodical exists in which space could be allowed for the many biometric memoirs that call for publication. Biometry has indeed many points in common with Mathe- matics, Anthropology, Botany and Economic Statistics, but it falls only partially into each of these. An editor of any special journal may well shrink from the idea of displacing matter which he knows would interest his readers, in order to make room for communications that could only interest or be even understood by a very few of them." (pp. 7-8.) Thus Galton in his eightieth year heartened his young lieutenants for their task, and his words have been through some 28 years a guide to the * It is noteworthy that Galton's suggestion of a store of data (which has been provided in the archives of the Galton Laboratory for all papers worked out there) has recently been revived by Professor Julian Huxley, and suggestions made for storing measurements in the British Museum (Natural History). 102 Life and Letters of Francis Galton surviving editor of Biometrika, never in the first place to expect recognition too quickly, and always if possible to give opportunities for publication to the younger men, whose work and enthusiasm might elsewhere meet with a cool reception. Gifted Sons of Gifted Fathers. On November 28, 1901 (Nature, Vol. lxv, p. 79) Galton published a paper entitled : " On the Probability that the Son of a very highly-gifted Father will be no less gifted." " Here we meet again with the specious objection which is likely to be adduced, as it has already been urged with wearisome iteration, namely, that the sons of those intellectual giants whom history records, have rarely equalled or surpassed their fathers*. In reply I will confine myself to a single consideration and, ignoring what Lombroso and his school might urge in explanation, will now show what would be expected if these great men were as fertile and as healthy as the rest of mankind. " The objectors fail to appreciate the magnitude of the drop in the scale of intelligence, from the position occupied by the highly exceptional father down to the level of his genetic focus (as I have called it), that is the point from which his offspring deviate, some upwards, some down- wards. They do not seem to understand that only those sons whoso upward deviation exceeds the downward drop can attain to or surpass the paternal level of intelligence, and how rare these wide deviations must be." Galton points out that besides the exceptional quality of the father there are three other factors influencing the position of the offspring's genetic focus : (i) the quality of the mother, (ii) the quality of the father's ancestry and (iii) that of the maternal ancestry. The problem is — if we do not discuss it from an individual case — what weight to give to these three additional factors. Now it is a well-recognised fact that while exceptional parents produce exceptional sons at a much higher rate than non-exceptional parents do, the pairs of the latter are so much more numerous than those of the former that it is far more probable that an exceptional man is the son of non-exceptional than of exceptional parents. Hence when we are dealing with average results (ii) and (iii) will not be highly contributory. On the other hand many ex- ceptional men have wives much above the average, and we ought to reckon something for the influence of the mother. Let us take her influence to be measured by an exceptionality one-fifth that of her husband and suppose him to be one man in a thousand f. If we have somewhat over-estimated the average exceptionality of the wife, as one woman in two hundred, we have done so purposely partly to account for possibly neglected paternal and maternal ancestry, and partly to give the son a better chance of reaching to his father's exceptionality. On these assumptions we may treat the problem on rather more modern lines than Galton has done. The "genetic centre" or mean of the array of offspring of our exceptional man and his wife will be at a distance 2*086 x - = 24-04, and this is the percentage he actually uses. Taking 1 man in 100 as noteworthy — a somewhat arbitrary assumption — he states (p. xl) that F.R.S.'s have 24 times as many note- worthy fathers as the generality of men. Before we pass to Galton's final table we may cite one or two points he makes which are of distinct interest and importance for similar investigations. In Chapter IX he gives the result of marking individual degrees of noteworthiness ; he made three categories and gave to them in degree of noteworthiness marks 3, 2, 1. He then reduced the total of marks for each degree of kinship (657) to the total number of cases of noteworthiness (329). As a first appreciation the two results differed very little ; thus (p. xxxvii) : Comparison of Results with and without Marks in 65 Families. First Degree Second Degree Third Degree First Cousins Total Number of marks assigned Marks reduced by factor $f£ Number of Cases of Noteworthiness 225 113 110 208 104 112 102 51 46 122 61 61 657 329 329 The reason for this approximate concordance lies in the distribution of triple, double and single marks being much the same in the different Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 119 kinship groups. Galton concluded that marking for different degrees of noteworthiness would be a waste of energy in such a rough inquiry as that he was undertaking. But I think it would have been of great interest had Galton divided his material in another way, i.e. classified his F.Ii.S.'s into the three categories of noteworthiness, and tested whether their kinsmen had the same or different totals of marks. In other words he would have answered the question of whether ability leading to noteworthiness is inherited in quality as well as quantity. The next point is very important. Most men know beside their own name that of their mother, i.e. her maiden name. Hence both the numbers and achievements of the uncles and aunts in both paternal and maternal lives are known and there is no difference of a sensible kind in Galton's totals. This holds also for the achievements of the grandparental generation. But when we come to the great grandparents and great uncles, there have been further changes of name in fa me fa, me me fa, fa me bro and me me bro, and Galton attributes the ridiculously low number of cases of note- worthiness compared with those for fa fa fa and fa fa bro with a loss of record owing to change of name. This probably has a good deal to do with it, but it does not account for the successes of me fa fa and me fa bro, who of course bear the mother's maiden name, being only half those of fa fa fa and fa fa bro, who bear the father's name. I am inclined to think that the factor of assortative mating to which I have referred on p. 1 09 is at least a contributory cause. I now reproduce Galton's final table of results, to which I have added percentages*: Numbers and Percentages of Noteworthy Kinsmen recorded in 207 Returns of F.R.S.'s. Kinship Numbers Recorded Percentages Kinship Numbers Recorded Percentages bro 81 104 28-24 32-26 — — — fa fa me fa fa bro me hro 40 42 45 52 13-94 14-64 15-69 18-13 fa fa fa fa me fa me fa fa me me fa 11 2 5 1 3-83 0-70 1-74 0-35 fa bro son me bro son fa si son me si son 30 19 28 22 10-46 6-62 9-76 7-67 fa fa bro fa me hro me fa bro me me hro 12 2 6 2 4-18 0-70 2-09 0-70 Total Cousins Male Cousins, each type 99 24-75 34-51 8-63 * Obtained from Galton's assumption that we may take the mean of the extreme cases, i.e., we multiply by - (— + —J = -3486. I prefer this to his actual method. 120 Life and Letters of Francis Galton From this table we see how degree of noteworthiness diminishes as we pass from the near relatives of the noteworthy to more distant kinsmen. If we accept Galton's two hypotheses : (i) that only one relative in each class can on the average be considered as having lived and been mature enough to have had the opportunity of reaching noteworthiness (see our p. 116) and (ii) that one person in a hundred of the generality is noteworthy, then the above percentages express the numbers of times the F.R.S.'s have more note- worthy kinsmen than the generality of men*. It will be seen that the kinsmen with surnames different from those of the F.R.S.'s fathers and mothers have even a lesser percentage of distinction than the generality of men ! Allowing that this may be to some extent due to ignorance of the names, and so of the achievements of these relatives, are we justified in holding that the percentage of noteworthiness in the generality is as high as 1 Y0 ? Galton himself says : "The reader may work out results for himself on other hypotheses as to the percentage of noteworthiness among the generality. A considerably larger proportion would be noteworthy in the higher classes of society, but a far smaller one in the lower; it is to the bulk, say three- quarters of them, that the 1 per cent, estimate applies, the extreme variations from it tending to balance one another. "The figures on which the above calculations depend may each or all of them be changed to any reasonable amount, without shaking the truth of the great fact upon which Eugenics is based, that able fathers produce able children in a much larger proportion than the generality." (p. xli.) Finally Galton refers to the fact that while there was a general high level of ability in the families of F.R.S.'s, some parents were in no way remarkable, so that the "Fellow" was simply a "sport," in respect of his taste and ability. "It is," he remarks, "to be remembered that 'sports' are trans- missible by heredity, and have been, through careful selection, the origin of most of the valuable varieties of domesticated plants and animals. Sports have been conspicuous in the human race, especially in some individuals of the highest eminence in music, painting and in art generally, but this is not the place to enter further into so large a subject." Galton cited Bateson, De Vries and his own earlier writings (see our pp. 79 et seq.) for the treatment of this topic. I find it very difficult to accept the view that a Fellow of the Royal Society, whose parents or even the whole of whose known kindred fail to be remarkable, or rather to have been recorded as remarkable, is a sport. In the first place when a pedigree like that of the musician Bach is fully worked out, he is seen to be very far from a sport; he is only the ablest member of a very able musical stirp. And in the next place, if we take a family every member of which for indefinite generations has been mediocre for any given character, we find the variability of an array of offspring is some 70 °/o of the variability of the population at large, which contains among its members the specially able. Hence although the specially able will not * We might divide these numbers by two, if we assume that in collateral kinship, there will be two on the average who will reach an age when to be noteworthy is possible. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 121 arise as frequently from the mediocre stirp as from the able stirp, they will occur albeit in smaller numbers. I see no reason for terming such occurrences "sports" (see our pp. 78-9, 102-3 above). Galton's Preface was written when he was 84 years of age ; it was written at a time when he was feeling keenly that he could no longer under- take the lengthy accumulation of data and their reduction. Nevertheless it is remarkable in its discovery of new problems to be solved and in the suggestions of how they may be solved. The rest of the book is somewhat ephemeral in character, and its judgments of noteworthiness open to criticism, but I think Galton's contribution deserves to be preserved, and I have therefore abstracted it at length here. Miscellanea. Closely allied to the endeavour Galton made to obtain a register of noteworthy scientific families was a schedule he prepared entitled : "Register of Able Families," with a view to collecting material on a broader basis than that of the Royal Society. The object of the inquiry was "to collect information concerning a large number of exceptionally able families in all ranks of society." Ability and exceptionality are therein defined as follows : "Ability refers to the powers of mind or body, to character, and to every quality which makes a person valuable to his country or to the society in which he lives. It is shown by an artisan who becomes a foreman or an employer, by a clerk who rises to a position of trust, by a private soldier who gains a commission, by a student who wins scholarships and university honours, by those who educate themselves in the absence of other opportunities of instruction, and by all who have fairly achieved honourable distinctions." Exceptionality, we are told, refers to the middle classes : "The same amount of ability that is exceptional among them would be very much more exceptional among the lower classes, but not very uncommon in the most distinguished circles of society. The interpretation of the word in each particular case is left to the judgment of the correspondent." Then comes a characteristically Galtonian paragraph : "The merit of a family as a whole falls under three distinct heads: (1) Its number, large families being more valuable than small ones when the individuals are of equal merit. (2) The average merit of the individuals. (3) The absence of serious drawbacks in respect to character or physique. Civilised man being at present the worst bred of all animals, it is extremely rare to find families who are unstained by any moral or physical blemish*. Correspondents should, there- fore, not err on the side of diffidence in proposing names; it will be the business of the office to examine the returns that ai-e received and to select the best." This circular was issued, but probably not in large quantities. What returns Galton obtained I do not know. At any rate no filled-in copies were among the papers that reached the Laboratory named after him. He may have destroyed what he received as worthless, or recognised before its issue that the circular must fail of its object. Exceptional ability is the last to recognise itself under that name, and if you ask mediocrity to register ability you will find that even if it can recognise its existence, it cannot appreciate its degrees, and will almost certainly underestimate its national importance. * Italics the biographer's, para 16 122 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Galton, as I have often informed the reader, was ever young, ever believed that his fellow mortals had the same enthusiasm for the acquisition of knowledge that he himself had, and was always trustful that they would act as dispassionately in assessing their fellow mortals as he himself acted. Thus he launched his schedules and seemed never discouraged even when they brought little or no harvest ! In the January number of the Monthly Review for 1903 Sir Edward Fry published a paper entitled: "The Age of the Inhabited World." In this paper he endeavoured to show that Natural Selection is incapable of doing much that has been accredited to its agency, especially citing the case of mimetic insects. He wrote : " ...useful deception will not take place until the protected form is nearly approached. Thus during the whole interval occupied in passing from the normal form of group A to near the normal form of group B, natural selection will have been entirely inoperative.... Either birds are deceived by a small amount of imitation or they are not. If they are, natural selection can- not have produced perfect imitation; if they are not so deceived, then group A has passed over from its original form to something close upon the form B without any guidance from this principle." Galton criticised this statement in Nature, February 12, 1903 (Vol. lxvii, p. 343) in a letter entitled: "Sir Edward Fry and Natural Selection." He writes : "I deny this sharp dilemma and assert the existence of many intermediate stages. Two objects that are somewhat alike will be occasionally mistaken for one another when the condi- tions under which they are viewed are unfavourable to distinction. The light may be faint, only a glimpse of them may have been obtained, the surroundings may confuse their outlines*. While these conditions remain unchanged, the frequency of mistake serves as a delicate measure of even the faintest similarity. .., If one edible group A has individual peculiarities within the limits of variation, that give it a resemblance, however slight, to one of the noxious group B, it will occasionally be mistaken by a bird for a B and allowed to live unharmed. The similarity may be due to a characteristic attitude, to a blotch of colour, to a preference for resting on a part of the foliage to which its own form bears some likeness, or to other causes. In any case, it may well prove to be the salvation of 1, 2 or more per cent, of those who would otherwise have been seen and eaten. If so the thin edge of natural selection will have found an entrance, and its well-known effects must follow." It will be noted that Galton says "within the limits of variation." That point is so often overlooked that I must again emphasise it. Few biologists have ever measured the blotch or spot on a butterfly's wing in the case of 400 or 500 members of the same species. They think in terms of a type specimen and suppose the type of one species has to be gradually shifted by small stages to the type of another. But the absolute range of variation may possibly be 25 °/e °f the type value f. Stringent selection for one or two generations may easily raise the type 10 °/o or 15 °/o. Such selection is not the same thing as proceeding by minute stages. * I think Galton is here thinking of his own experimental work on degrees of resemblance and the use of blurrers: see our Vol. n, pp. 329-333. t The mean length of thigh bone in the type Englishman is say 447 mm., but the range of English thigh bones runs from 381 to 513, a range practically covering the type of all existing races. If existence for man depended on the length of his thigh bone there is nothing to prevent severe selection — say the destruction of all individuals with thigh bones over 400 mm. — lowering the English thigh bone to the value, 411 mm., of the Fuegian even in a couple of generations. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 123 Sir Edward Fry replied in Nature, March 5, 1903 (Vol. lxvii, p. 414), and falls at once into the fallacy of supposing that because variation in group A is continuous, it can only approach group B by converting minute points of likeness in the midst of unlikeness into such a preponderance of likeness as to produce deception. He holds, as so many others have held, that the theory of the accumulation of minute variations fails to account for the facts of mimetism. The error lies in supposing that because the organ varies "continuously," therefore evolution by natural selection involves a gradual accumulation of minute variations in a given direction. Let us suppose the edible group A to enter a new environment, where the protected group B exists, and that a small percentage of A differing widely from type has a sufficient resemblance to B to escape destruction at any rate to some smaller degree than its brethren. The bulk of A will be rapidly destroyed, but the widely divergent section will be, as it were, isolated by the destruction of their fellows, they will inbreed, and the tendency will be, according to the heredity theory of progressive evolution (see our p. 58), for the protecting character to continually increase in intensity, until in a larger and larger percentage it succeeds in deceiving its foes. Sir Edward Fry's appeal to the interspace that separates "the first minute change that deceives no one to the point of first deception," in which interspace he holds natural selection cannot operate, is clear evidence to my mind that he did not know how wide is the range of variation in nearly all organs of all organisms. Natural selection is not forced to choose an individual differing by a minute amount from the type. To hold this view is to think only in terms of the type, and not in terms of the whole population. Some further communications very typical of Galton may be noted here. He was far too human not to appreciate what the mass of men found of interest, and among other gatherings, he enjoyed great race meetings. Speaking of the Derby he writes in his Memories (p. 179) : " For my own part, I especially enjoy the start of the horses, for their coats shine so brightly in the sunshine, the jockeys are so sharp and ready, and the delays due to false starts give opportunities of seeing them well. I don't care much for its conclusion ; but I used often after seeing the start to run to the top of the rising ground between the starting point and the stand, and sometimes got a good opera-glass view of much of the finish." That Galton frequently went to the Derby is clear, and two instances deserve notice as characteristic of the man. On one of these occasions he persuaded Herbert Spencer and an Oxford clerical don to accompany him. We can imagine how Galton would enjoy this incongruous party who, how- ever, he tells us, enjoyed each other's society. "All went off quite well, except that Spencer would not be roused to enthusiasm by the races. He said that the crowd of men on the grass looked disagreeable, like flies on a plate ; also that the whole event was just what he had imagined the Derby to be." Nevertheless Spencer was sufficiently fascinated to join Galton's Derby party again. We have unfortunately not the don's impressions of the philosopher, the statistician or the races ! On another occasion Galton found 16—2 124 Life and Letters of Francis Galton it too hot to run to the hill, and facing the distant stand he watched the massed faces on the grand stand before the race and just as the horses ap- proached the winning post. The result of his observations was communicated to Nature*, and runs thus: The Average Flush of Excitement. " I witnessed a curious instance of this on a large scale, which others may look out for on similar occasions. It was at Epsom, on the Derby Day last week. I had taken my position not far from the starting-point, on the further side of the course, and facing the stands, which were about half a mile off, and showed a broad area of white faces. In the idle moments preceding the start I happened to scrutinise the general effect of this sheet of faces, both with the naked eye and through the opera-glass, thinking what a capital idea it afforded of the average tint of the complexion of the British upper classes. Then the start took place ; the magnificent group of horses thundered past in their fresh vigour and were soon out of sight, and there was nothing particular for me to see or do until they reappeared in the distance in front of the stands. So I again looked at the distant sheet of faces, and to my surprise found it was changed in appearance, being uniformly suffused with a strong pink tint, just as though a sun-set glow had fallen upon it. The faces being closely packed together and distant, each of them formed a mere point in the general effect. Consequently that effect was an averaged one, and owing to the consistency of all average results, it was distributed with remarkable uniformity. It faded away steadily but slowly after the race was finished. F. G." There is a notion still very current that gouty constitutions should avoid stoneless fruits, in particular strawberries. Galton's creed was that: "General Impressions are never to be trusted. Unfortunately when they are of long standing they become fixed rules of life, and assume a prescriptive right not to be questioned." What about gout and that noble fruit the strawberry % Galton (as well as his biographer) had come across instances, wherein belief dominating desire, enforced asceticism, and so deprived the believer of much harmless pleasure, by dogmatically asserting harmful consequences. Judge of Galton's joy while reading the biography of Linnaeus, at discovering that the great naturalist, when the doctors failed to cure his gout, had got quit of his disease by large doses of strawberries ! Galton wrote in 1899 a letter to Nature^ on Linnaeus' strawberry cure for gout. One can see the twinkle in his eye as he looked from his writing table towards Harley Street. "The season of strawberries is at hand, but doctors are full of fads, and for the most part forbid them to the gouty. Let me put heart into those unfortunate persons to withstand a cruel medical tyranny by quoting the experience of the great Linnaeus. ...Why should gouty persons drink nasty waters at stuffy foreign spas, when strawberry gardens abound in England?" A further characteristic letter appeared in Nature, December 20, 1906 (Vol. lxxv, p. 173) regarding the "Cutting a Round Cake on Scientific Principles." The problem to be solved was clearly a personal one for Sir Francis and his niece, who averaged a small cake every three days. " Given a round tea-cake of some 5 inches across and two persons of moderate appetite to eat it, in what way should it be cut so as to leave a minimum of exposed surface to become dry?" The accompanying diagram shows * June 5, 1879 (Vol. xx, p. 121). t June 8 (Vol. lx, p. 125). See D. H. Stoever, Life of Sir Charles Linnceus, 1794 (Eng. Trans.), p. 416. Correlation and, Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 125 Sir Francis' solution. Broken lines show intended cuts ; ordinary straight lines the cuts that have been made. The segments are kept together by an elastic band. Fig. 13. Always assuming, which I feel some doubt about, that both consumers of this cake ate their daily allotment of the circular rind, the method leaves an unconscionable amount of dry rind (some fth) for the third day's con- sumption ! I rather suspect that the cook would have been instructed by the lady of the house to bake in rectangular tins in future. Another amusing contribution: "Number of Strokes of the Brush in a Picture," was made to Nature, June 29, 1905 (Vol. lxxii, p. 198). Galton as I have already noted* sat in 1882 for his portrait (not a very successful one) to Graef. The source of the failure is, perhaps, revealed, for Galton finding it tedious to sit doing nothing counted the painter's slow methodical strokes per minute and then averaged them up. As he knew only too well the number of hours spent in the sittings, he obtained the total he desired to ascertain, some 20,000 strokes to the portrait. About 22 years later he was painted by Charles Furse f , whose method was totally different from that of Graef. He looked hard at Galton while mixing his colours, then he made dabs so fast that Galton found difficulty in keeping up his count. The difference of the two artists' work will be recognised, if the reader compares the Graef picture (Vol. n, Plate XI) with the Furse picture (Frontispiece to Vol. i). It may, however, destroy his pleasure in both, if he thinks of the two artists both having caught the aspect of Galton when silently counting! However to Galton's great surprise Furse's dabs came out about 20,000 to Graef's 20,000 strokes! Only we must remember that Furse did not fully complete his portrait. For comparative purposes Galton computed the number of stitches in an ordinary knitted pair of socks and found 102 stitches in the widest part to each row and 100 rows to 7 inches, whence he computed that the leg parts of a pair of socks would contain over 20,000 separate movements, or rather more than required for a portrait. Galton concludes : " Graef had a humorous phrase for the very last stage of his portrait, which was ' painting the buttons.' Thus, he said, ' in five days' time I shall come to the buttons.' Four days passed, and the hours and minutes of the last day, when he suddenly and joyfully exclaimed, ' I am come to the buttons.' I watched at first with amused surprise, followed by an admiration not far from awe. He poised his brush for a moment, made three rapid twists with it, and three • Vol. ii, p. 99 and Plate XI. t Furse died October 16, 1904, of phthisis. His unfinished portrait of Galton must have been one of his last works. 126 Life and Letters of Francis Galton well painted buttons were thereby created. The rule of three seemed to show that if so much could be done with three strokes what an enormous amount of skilled work must go to the painting of a portrait which required 20,000 of them. At the same time, it made me wonder whether painters had mastered the art of getting the maximum result from their labour. I make this remark as a confessed Philistine. Anyhow I hope that future sitters will beguile their tedium in the same way that I did, and tell the results*." Committee for the Measurement of Plants and Animals. It is impossible to pass over in Galton's Life the last decade of the nineteenth century without some reference to this Committee; it took up too much of Galton's energies and consumed too much of his valuable time to remain without some notice in his biography. But the time has hardly yet arrived, when it is possible to write fully about it, and cite at length the voluminous letters and other documents which indicate the parts played by various individuals in first hindering and then entirely perverting the original purposes of the Com- mittee. The Committee was appointed at Galton's suggestion by the Royal Society Council on January 18, 1894, and consisted of Francis Galton (Chairman), Francis Darwin and Professors Macalister, Meldola, Poulton and Weldon (Secretary), with the very definite purpose of "conducting Statistical Inquiries into the Measurable Characteristics of Plants and Animals." The first report was made in 1896, and consisted of a detailed account of Weldon's measure- ments on Carcinus mosnas, and also his "Remarks on Variation in Animals and Plants f." In the latter paper Weldon emphasised his own view that while "sports" in certain exceptional cases may contribute to evolution, ordinary "continuous" variations were a more probable source of change and further stated, what is almost self-evident, that "the questions raised by the Darwinian hypothesis are purely statistical, and the statistical method is the only one at present obvious by which that hypothesis can be experimentally checked." In asserting this he was only saying that heredity and selection in Nature are mass phenomena and must be treated as such. To those who have read the earlier pages of this chapter, it will be clear that Weldon's view as to the relatively small importance for evolution of "sports" was opposed to Galton's, but this divergence of opinion by no means caused friction between the Chairman and the Secretary of the Committee. It did, however, call forth reams of criticism and numerous letters of protest from William Bateson to the Chairman. The only addition to the Committee in 1896 was, however, that of the present biographer. That Weldon's paper admitted of criticism not only from the biological, but from the statistical side must be allowed, but the fatal mistake was the old one, the evil of attempting to work through a Committee. Had Weldon's paper been published * Would the result be that many subjects would have the strained look of those practising mental arithmetic? The late Mr Hope Pinker told me that he was once modelling a bust of Jowett. The Master remained stolidly silent ; Pinker found his task hopeless, and told Jowett that he must throw up his commission, unless the Master consented to talk. " I will try to be good, I will try," replied Jowett, and the portrait was completed. It is not always the artist's fault, if sittings end in a failure. f See Roy. Soc. Proc. Vol. lvii, pp. 360-382. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 127 as his independent contribution, it could have been criticised in the usual way ; he could have defended it, and its merits as well as the difficulties of its subject would have been amply recognised. As it was the reason given for the criticisms (which came from more than one quarter) was that of saving the Committee from making serious blunders*. The Chairman became the centre to which attack and rejoinder were directed, and in despair he wrote to Weldon on November 17, 1896 : " Herewith is another paper from Bateson, and I enclose with this his accompanying letter to myself. We must talk over what is the fairest course to adopt when we meet (as we probably shall) before the meeting of the R. Soc. on Thursday. " You see that he offers to print his four letters for circulation among members of the Com- mittee. My greatest difficulty in thinking what should be done arises from the lengthiness of these papers. I wish the issue could be stated in much more condensed language. " It would in man}7 ways be helpful, if Bateson were made a member of our Committee, but I know you feel that in other ways it might not be advisablef. The other members besides yourself hardly do enough." In 1897 the Committee was enlarged by the addition of zoologists and breeders, some of whom had small desire to assist quantitative methods of re- search— Sir E. Clarke, F. D. Godman, W. Heape, E. Ray Lankester, E. J. Lowe, M. T. Masters, O. Salvin, W. T. Thiselton-Dyer and W. Bateson. It was further rechristened "Evolution (Plants and Animals) Committee of the Royal Society." For several years there was no dominant personality, who could effectively guide this very mixed assembly. Personally I ceased to attend its meetings, resigning in 1900, and was followed in that year by Weldon and later by Galton. Mr Godman then became Chairman and the Reports of the Committee were devoted entirely to the publications of Bateson and his school. The capture of the Committee was skilful and entirely successful J. I think the feeling of the young biometricians towards Galton's enlarged Committee was more or less expressed by the letter to Galton I now quote, the date is February 12, 1897 : " I wanted to write a few words to you about yesterday's meeting, but have hardly had, nor indeed hardly now have time to do so. I felt sadly out of place in such a gathering of biologists, and little capable of expressing opinions, which would only have hurt their feelings * A paraphrase of some of these criticisms will indicate the spirit in which they were written. Vast labour, it was said, had been put into the work and its author no doubt thought himself justified in the conclusions put forward. Perhaps the Committee had thought too little of the responsibility it undertook in publishing such work. The author must know that many would accept his conclusions though few would be able to follow the paper or judge the matter for themselves. Nevertheless the critic found the evidence so inadequate and superficial that he could not understand how responsible people could entertain the question of accepting it. He very truly regretted the countenance given to such a production, etc. etc. Poor Galton ! There are some people, whose unfortunate temperaments compel them to believe that as a matter of conscience they are born to be their brothers' keepers. \ Bateson had absolutely no sympathy with the statistical treatment of biological problems, the very work for which the Committee had been appointed. I Perhaps the small understanding shown by the ruling spirits of the Royal Society of what had taken place, was evidenced in 1906, when inquiries were made as to whether the Society would accept the Weldon Memorial Medal and Premium, and the President wrote suggesting that the Evolution Committee would be an appropriate selecting body ! 128 Life and Letters of Francis Galton and not have been productive of real good. I always succeed in creating hostility without getting others to see my views ; infelicity of expression is I expect to blame. To you I mean to speak them out, even at the risk of vexing you. " All the problems laid down by you in your printed paper seem to me capable of solution, and nearly all of them in one way only, by statistical methods and calculations of a more or less delicate mathematical kind. The older school of biologists cannot be expected to appreciate these methods, e.g. Ray Lankester, Thiselton-Dyer, etc. A younger generation is only just beginning its training in them. " I believe that your problems could be answered by direct and well devised experiments at a ' farm ' or institute under the supervision of some two or three men who appreciate the new methods. I think you were entirely right in the idea of a committee to carry out such experi- ments. But I venture to think that the Committee you have got together is entirely unsuited to direct such experiments. It is far too large, contains far too many of the old biological type, and is far too unconscious of the fact that the solutions to these problems are in the first place statistical, and in the second place statistical, and only in the third place biological. It was the character of the Committee as now constituted which led me to support Michael Foster's motion that the Committee should not experiment, but assist experiment, and further to object to his words ' under the Committee.' Fancy the attempt to make real experiments on varia- tion, correlation, or coefficients of heredity 'under a Committee' of which, I shrewdly suspect, only the Chairman and Secretary know the significance of these terms ! " Hence to sum up, your method seems to me a right one — a Committee to undertake experiments of a definite statistical character*. But your actual Committee is quite a wrong one. It might be a good Committee to press the public with subscription lists ; but it is, I believe, a hopeless one to devise experiments which will solve in the only effective way these problems." Meanwhile besides the criticisms already referred to, there were factors, other than the hope of peace, inducing Galton to enlarge his Committee and widen its programme. As early as February 3, 1891, Alfred Russel Wallace had written to Galton urging that the time was ripe for an experi- mental farm or institute to undertake researches which might decide disputed points in organic evolution. Copy of Letter from Alfred Russel Wallace to Francis Galton^. Parkstone, Dorset. February 3, 1891. My dear Mr Galton, Don't you think the time has come for some combined and systematic effort to carry out experiments for the purpose of deciding the two great fundamental but dis- puted points in organic evolution, — (1) Whether individually acquired external characters are inherited, and thus form an important factor in the evolution of species, — or whether as you &■ Weismann argue, and as many of us now believe, they are not so, & we are thus left to depend almost wholly on variation & natural selection. (2) What is the amount and character of the sterility that arises when closely allied but permanently distinct species are crossed, and then "hybrid" offspring bred together. Whether the amount of infertility differs between the hybrids of species that have pre- sumably arisen in the same area, & those which seem to have arisen in very distinct or distant areas — as oceanic or other islands. * The Royal Society had on Dec. 11, 1896, decided to retain the old name of the Committee, which contained the word "measurement." It was not till the following year, that with enlarged numbers and a wider programme, the Council acceded to Galton's request that the Committee be called "The Evolution (Plants and Animals) Committee." t I have to thank Alfred Russel Wallace's son, Mr W. G. Wallace, for kindly permitting me to publish the following letters of his father. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 129 Both these questions can be settled by experiments systematically carried on for ten or twenty years. The question is how is it to be done. Talking over the matter with Mr Theo. D. A. Cockerell, a very acute &, thoughtful young naturalist, we came to the conclusion that a Com- mittee of the British Association would probably be the best mode of carrying out the experiments, by the aid of a B. Ass", grant & a Royal Society grant, aided perhaps by subscriptions from wealthy naturalists. It seems to me that one paid observer giving his whole time to the work could carry out a number of distinct series of experiments at the same time, — and if the Zool. Soc. would allow somo of the experiments to be made with their animals in their gardens much expense would be saved. To be really good however the hybridity experiments (and the others too) would have to be carried out with large numbers of animals, and thus some sort of small experimental farm would be required. Surely some wealthy landlord may be found to give a small tenantless farm for such a purpose. Then, using small animals such as Lepus and Mus among mammalia, some gallinaceous birds and ducks, and also insects, a good deal could be done even on a largo scale, at a small cost. On the same farm a corresponding set of plant- experiments could be carried out; and an intelligent well educated gardener or bailiff, with a couple of men, or even one, under him, could superintend the whole operations under the written directions and constant supervision of the Committee. Would you move for such a Committee at the next B. Ass". Meeting1? You are the man to do it both as the original starter of the theory of non-inheritance of acquired variations, the only experimenter on pangenesis, & the man who has done most in experiment and resulting theory on allied subjects. We thought first of a separate Society, but I doubt if a new society could be established & supported, whereas a Committee either of the B. Ass", or of the Royal Society could do the work quite as effectively & would probably receive as much support from persons interested in these problems. It seems to me a sad thing that years should pass away & nothing of this kind be systematically done. I feel sure you would meet with general support if you would propose the enquiry. Believe me, Yours very faithfully, Alfred R. Wallace. Francis Galton, F.R.S. P.S. It would of course be better still if a fund could be raised sufficient to establish an Institute for experimental Enquiry into the fundamental Data of Biology. This is surely of far higher importance than the anatomical, embryological, & other work for which the Plymouth Biological Station was founded. A. R. W. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Feb. 5/91. My dear Mr Wallace, The views you express so clearly & forcibly, agree with those I have often considered — ranging between a modest cottage with hutches th, 1891. My dear Mr Galton, It will be I am afraid impossible to discuss the difficulties of experi- ment you urge by correspondence, and I will therefore confine myself to a short reply to the objections you have actually made, which seems to me very easily done. Plants in windy and still air. You say, "it might be said" there had been selection. But this is very easily obviated, & is the very point on which experiment is superior to observation of nature. In an ordinary open garden or field plants properly cultivated are not killed or prevented from flowering & seeding by wind. They grow healthily under it, and I feel sure that not one in a hundred plants would so suffer. The contrast wd. be produced not by the violence of the wind in the one case but by its absence in the other set, they having grown in a glass-covered (or glass-sided) garden. If a common perennial plant was grown — a mallow or a wallflower — for example — a set of 50 or 100 plants might be grown on for 3 or 4 years so as fully to establish whatever change could be produced in the individuals by the diverse conditions. Then at the end of that time take the whole of the seed produced by each lot, — take two samples, of say the 100 smallest or lightest or better perhaps 100 of the average of each, and cultivate them side by side under identical con- ditions. It would not matter to me, or I think to you, what anybody said, but if there were — (a) a decided & measurable difference in the two lots of plants from which the seeds were taken, and — (b) there was no measurable or decided difference between the plants grown from these seeds under identical conditions, this would be one definite fact against inheritance*, — while if there was a difference of the same nature & fairly comparable in amount it would be a decided fact in favour of inheritance. No doubt it might be urged that the effect would be minute but cumulative, & that might be admitted, Rutland Gate, S.W. wagesof the caretaker and assistants. The salary . November 30th, 1896. The response was most heartrending. Even such warm friends of Galton as Sir J. D. Hooker and Herbert Spencer were not helpful. The former thought that experiments on plants could be undertaken at Kew, and no new station was needful; the latter thought the course suggested impolitic, the proposed purchase of the Darwin house was no doubt appropriate as a matter of sentiment, but most inappropriate as a matter of business. He would be disinclined to cooperate if any such imprudent step were taken*. Great matters must spring from small germs, which would only justify them- selves by their success. Real encouragement came only from Adam Sedgwick, from Meldola, and from Weldon ("Surely £4000 can be raised somehow!"). The Darwin brothers it is needless to say wrote most generously and helpfully, but the scheme fell dead even among the biologists who thought it worth while to come to the meeting with the view of discussing it. There was among them no broad conception of what a station for experimental evolution might achieve for their science, and there was not the slightest chance of enthusiasm and energy being put into the project so that it might be carried to a successful issue. The money for the acquisition of Down was still to be found, but there was the sum of £2000 assured by the anonymous donor f, and one distinguished biologist, thinking a bird in the hand was worth two in the bush, asked, if they had not come to allot that sum for their experimental work, what had they come for? I never left a meeting with a greater feeling of despair, and this was shared by Weldon, and to a lesser extent by Galton, who was consoled to some extent by Francis Darwin's writing that, however much he regretted the Down project could not be worked, he was not going to * Asa matter of fact Spencer had not been consulted, but had heard of the matter indirectly through Adam Sedgwick, and had then written to Galton to know what it was all about! t "There is assurance that a sum of £2000 would be available to start the undertaking, if a thoroughly satisfactory programme could be agreed to." Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 135 consider that scheme as finally dead. Now after thirty years it looks as if Down would be retained as a national possession. One may hope that it will be put to as good and fitting a purpose as Galton proposed for it. He has left a lengthy paper dealing with the work he considered the Biological Farm should undertake; it is based on the suggestions he received from many quarters, modified by his own ideas. It is a scheme for "Further accurate observations on Variation, Heredity, Hybridism, and other phenomena that would elucidate the Evolution of Plants and Animals." The matter is arranged under 16 headings, and it is sad to consider that, although more than thirty years have passed since the scheme was drafted, but little has been done to solve the problems therein suggested. It is impossible to print the full manuscript here, but some idea of what it deals with may be judged from its table of Contents : "A. Preparatory. (!) Procedure (especially emphasising the need for continuity in observa- tion and for secular experiments). (2) Cooperation (Institutions and Individuals). (3) Breeds suitable for Experiments (necessity for stores of pure stocks of small animals). (4) Place for Station (Down, and existing establishments). B. Heredity as affected by and related to : (5) Close interbreeding, Panmixia, Prepotency. (6) Hybridism. (7) Telegony. (8) Acquired modifications in parent. (9) Mental influence on Mother ("Jacobise" in a variety of ways). (10) Instinct (nest building by birds, who have never seen the nest of their species ; directive instinct in dogs, taken to unknown place and watched from a distance by a stranger). (11) Variations, "Sports" and their intensity of inheritance. (12) Natural and Physiological Selection. (13) Partheno- genesis. (14) Fertility (many problems stated). (15) Sex and its causes. (16) Gestation." The bundle of papers in which this and other schemes and letters from innumerable correspondents are included is labelled by Galton: "Old Papers concerning the Evolution Committee of the R. Soc. of probably no present value. Might be useful if a Darwinian Institute were ever founded." "Of probably no present value"- — what a criticism of the biologists of 1890-1900! Here, as in Experimental Psychology, Galton was ahead of his age, and few have recognised how much even by raising these questions, he stimulated that movement for experimental biology, which the present generation of biologists believes was unthought of by their Victorian predecessors. Thus came to an end Galton's plan for an experimental station for evolution; it was another illustration of the futility of working through ill-assorted committees. I say came to an end, but hardly in Galton's mind. It must I think have been in 1903, when in, the summer vacation the biometricians were employed on their summer tasks at Peppard and Galton was of the company, that the matter again arose. One evening he asked his two lieutenants to prepare a draft scheme for a biological farm, to state its size, staff, equipment, its probable cost and annual expenditure for maintenance and experimentation. Weldon and I talked the matter over, and felt that although Galton was well-to-do, he was not so wealthy, that to run a biological farm might not deprive him of some of the easements necessary to his age. We therefore determined to estimate the cost of the farm on the scale of maximum effectiveness. It was a pious fraud, but the suggestion of a biological farm was never again referred to, and Galton's thoughts of increasing human knowledge soon turned to less expensive projects. 136 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon Appendix to Chapter XIV*. "The Weights of British Noblemen during the last Three Generations," Nature, January 17, 1884 (Vol. xxix, pp. 266-268). This rather amusing paper is not included in any list of Galton's memoirs known to me, nor were any offprints of it to be found in the Galtoniana. It seems to have been forgotten by Galton himself and would have certainly been overlooked by me had I not stumbled across it in reading Komanes' review of Galton's Record of Family Faculties and Life History Album in the same number of the Journal. Galton — whom the Goddess of Chance certainly favoured — became acquainted with the fact that an old established firm of wine and coffee merchants had been since about 1750 in the habit of weighing their customers, and that upwards of 20,000 persons, many of whom were famous in English history of the eighteenth century, had for their use or amusement sought the firm's huge GALTON'S SMOOTHED CURVES FOR AGE -WEIGHT OF BRITISH NOBLEMEN IN THREE SUCCESSIVE GENERATIONS. 190 180 - i c©0 £ 170 160 beam scales. Galton confined his attention almost entirely to noblemen as a well-rounded class, whose ages were easily ascertainable, and to their data in respect only of two characteristics, namely the degree of fluctuation in weight as exhibited by the age- weight curves of individual noblemen, and the difference in the average age-weight curves of noblemen born in the three periods 1740-1769, 1770-1799, 1800-1829. He found that the average annual fluctuation in the earlier group was about 7 lbs. and that in the latest group it was only 5 lbs. He concluded that this pointed to an * Some notice of the following paper should have appeared in Section H of Chapter xm (Vol. n), but its existence was then unknown to me. Correlation and Application of Statistics to Problems of Heredity 137 irregularity in the mode of life that was greater two or three generations back than now. Further he found that the "prime" for weight was also earlier in age for the older generations, being hardly discoverable at all in those born in the first third of the nineteenth century or in the professional classes of the 'eighties. His three smoothed curves reproduced on p. 136, with the table of mean weights at each central age, indicate that noblemen of the generation which flourished about the beginning of last century attained their meridian and declined much earlier than those of the genera- tion sixty years their juniors, or indeed than the mid- Victorian professional classes, where the culminating point was difficult to ascertain. Galton's data were somewhat scanty as the following table will indicate, but his general conclusions appear to be justified : Actual Mean Weights in pounds at Various Ages. Class Years of Age 27 30 40 50 GO 70 Born 1740-1769 Born 1770-1799 Born 1800-1829 166(13) 168 (24) 165 (35) 176(18) 171 (23) 165 (44) 184 (24) 172 (24) 171 (43) 181 (21) 184 (26) 175 (37) 181 (18) 178 (26) 181 (22) 180 (12) 178 (15) 188 (7) Mid- Victorian Professional Class 161 167 173 174 174 ? "There can be no doubt," he writes, "that the dissolute life led by the upper classes about the beginning of this century, which is so graphically described by Mr Trevelyan in his Life of Fox, has left its mark on their age-weight traces. It would be most interesting to collate these violent fluctuations with events in their medical histories; but, failing such information, we can only speculate on them, much as Elaine did on the dints in the shield of Launcelot, and on looking at some huge notch in the trace [for the individual], may hazard the guess, 'Ah, what a stroke of gout was there!' " Although no great importance can be attached to Galton's results for this particular class of subject, yet the problems his paper suggpsts might be profitably studied on more ample material now extant. I am therefore glad to have brought to light once more this long forgotten paper. PGIII 18 CHAPTER XV PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION AND DESCRIPTION "It became gradually clear that three facts had to be established before it would be possible to advocate the use of finger-prints for criminal or other investigations. First it must be proved, not assumed, that the pattern of a finger-print is constant throughout life. Secondly that the variety of patterns is really very great. Thirdly that they admit of being so classified, or 'lex iconised,' that when a set of them is submitted to an expert, it would be possible for him to tell, by reference to a suitable dictionary, or its equivalent, whether a similar set had been already registered. These things I did, but they required much labour." Galton: Memories of my Life, p. 254., Fore Fbre LEFT RIGHT Fig. 15. § I. History and Controversy. The writer must confess to having felt not a little puzzled when he had to determine in what order to present Galton's work on Personal Identification. It is not only that his work was scattered over very numerous publications, but that in order to make it effective Galton had to step into the public arena; and this had its usual consequences, namely controversy and misrepre- sentation, factors which had hitherto played but a small part in Galton's career. On the whole it is strange how little controversy intruded on Galton's long and quiet years of study; this was in part due to the peace-loving mind of the man, but there were also other causes at work. In the first place he was labouring most of his life in an entirely untilled field, and there could be no friction therefore with other pioneers. In the next place his fellow scientists were slow to realise that the new logical tools he was Personal Identification and Description 139 forging would ultimately be applied in their own fields of work, and when that application came, whether in anthropology, psychology, biology, sociology or medicine, there would be sure to be friction, and resulting controversy — heated and bitter. That experience was left to his lieutenants and their disciples. In the matter of finger-print identification, however, Galton was not only sharpening a new tool, but urging on all and sundry its application to practical problems. The tool was soon seen to be so efficient that it had to be adopted, but its very efficiency raised jealousy and controversy, as to whom the merit of its introduction must be attributed. I shall endeavour in this chapter not only to put before my readers the history of the adoption of finger-print identification in this country, but the means Galton took to popularise the idea, and finally provide a resume of his scientific contribu- tions to the subject which form the foundation on which all later work in this field has been based. Investigations with regard to finger-prints occupied much of Galton's time during the years from 1887 to 1895. I say advisedly from 1887, because soon after the opening of his second Anthropometric Laboratory, he began the collection of those thousands of finger-prints, on the study of which so many of his conclusions depended*. It may be safely said that no one had in the early 'nineties so vast a collection of finger-prints as Francis Galton, a collection covering not only our own English race, but also Welsh, Hindoos, Jews, Negroes, and special groups such as idiots, criminals, etc. That collection started by Galton has continued to grow to the present day, although now it is chiefly, but not entirely, confined to hereditary data. I have already indicated how Galton in the 'eighties was occupied with the problem of portraiture and personal identity (see Vol. II, Chapter xn), and it was from the standpoints (a) of ethnology, (b) of heredity, that he first approached the problem of the papillary ridges on the fingers. It is well known now that finger-prints may be classified into certain types, which Galton called "genera," and that variations appear to cluster round these typical forms. It would have been a great achievement to show that in certain human races only one "genus" occurs, or indeed that the "genera" occur in very different proportions. Galton failed in racial collections of fairly considerable numbers to detect any marked differentiation of this kind. I am not prepared to assert that with larger collections and more modern statistical methods some differentiation might not still be found ; it is hard to believe that from the very origin of Homo these genera have * This collection in large indexed cabinets exists in the Galtoniana, and I should be very grateful to any one whose tinger-prints were taken thirty to forty years ago, if they would call in at the Galton Laboratory, University College, W.C.I, and allow their lingers to be reprinted. Galton in delivering his Presidential Address to the Anthropological Institute, January 22, 1889, refers to his lecture of 1888 as "of last spring " and mentions that he is taking the two thumb prints and describes the technique he has adopted. His work therefore began certainly in 1888 and I suspect experimentally in 1887 before his lecture of May, 1888. The earliest dated tinger-prints that I can find in this laboratory are from March, 1888. 18—2 140 Life and Letters of Francis Galton been scattered almost indiscriminately among the ten fingers ; yet Galton failed to solve any anthropological problem by the aid of finger-prints*. In the matter of heredity he was more successful, he produced evidence adequate enough to demonstrate that finger-prints were hereditary, but neither he nor any one since has produced a satisfactory account of the manner in which they are inherited. In later years t Galton formed a considerable collection of family prints of the two forefingers only. These were tabled and reduced in 1920 by Miss Ethel M. Elderton, who demonstrated the general inheritance of the ridge patterns, but noted that two finger-prints were far from adequate to deter- mine the intensity of heredity, as although a parental peculiarity of pattern might pass to the same finger in the child, or with less probability to the homologous finger, it might also pass to any one of the remaining eight fingers ; this, if it happens to any individual finger with still less probability, may occur with equal or even greater probability when we take into account the total eight of them. While the existence of ten fingers in man is a distinct advantage in the matter of personal identification — or if we like a distinct misfortune to the criminal — it is also something of a misfortune to the geneticist. At any rate Galton's work left much to be done in deter- mining the organic correlations between prints of the different fingers in the same individual { and the bearing of these organic correlations on the problem of heredity in the ridges. Thus it came about that while Galton did much pioneer work in the collection and co-ordination of material his chief contribution to the subject was in the matter of identification. He was the first to publish matter, largely due to Sir William Herschel, fully establishing the persistence of finger-print patterns ; he was the first to show the nature of their variety and to classify them, and lastly he was the first to prove that it was possible to index them and rapidly to find, from a given set of prints, whether their owner was already in the index. All these problems were fundamental and must be definitely solved, if finger-prints were to be used for police purposes. None of this spade work had been achieved or at any rate published before Galton took up the subject. Before his day we have mere suggestions of the possible usefulness of these prints. Within ten years from his first study of the subject by the aid of his papers dealing with the prints from a scientific standpoint, by repeated letters to the press, by action through the British Association and by definite demonstrations in his Laboratory to the Commission appointed by Mr Asquith to consider the question of criminal identification in England, Galton had got not only bertillonage accepted in * More recent researches, for example, those of Kubo (1918) and Collins (1915), seem to indicate that the Oriental races have a larger percentage of whorls and fewer ulnar loops than the European races. But the results are doubtful because there is a large personal equation in the matter of classification. I think we must conclude with Stockis {Revue Anthropologiqne, Annee 1922, p. 92) that the results reached (thirty years after Galton) are still not adequate to admit of our asserting the existence of well-defined ethnic differences in finger-prints. t See Biomelrika, Vol. n, p. 365, 1903. Collection made in the years 1903 to 1905. \ A beginning was made in the study of the organic correlation of finger-prints by Dr H. Waite, Biometrika, Vol. x, p. 421 el seq. Personal Identification and Description 141 England, but, what in the sequel has proved more important, the use of finger-prints. The fact that such prints are now practically adopted in the Criminal Investigation Departments of all civilised countries, is striking testimony to Galton's work and to his energy. Attempts have been made to belittle his achievement in this matter. Galton's claim is not based on his being the first to suggest this use of finger-prints, or on being the first actually to apply them. It lies in the fact that general police adoption of finger-prints resulted from his activities. It is easy to make suggestions, it wants an additional mental quality to get them carried out by administrative bodies, always and often justly conservative in character*. In Galton's lecture at the Royal Institution in 1888 on "Personal Identi- fication f," he gave an account (pp. 3-5) of Bertillon's method — bertillonage as it came to be called — the basis of which lies in recording the anthropometric measurements of criminals. Galton believed in the serviceableness of this method, but he held also that its efficiency had been overrated, because its inventor much underestimated the high correlations, which Galton surmised, and which were later demonstrated to exist between the various measurements taken. He then made his first public reference, as far as I am aware, to those "most beautiful and characteristic of all superficial marks" the "small furrows, with the intervening ridges and their pores, that are disposed in a singularly complex yet regular order on the under surfaces of the hands and the feet. I do not now speak of the large wrinkles in which chiromantists delight, and which may be compared to the creases in an old coat, or to the deep folds in the hide of a rhinoceros, but of those fine lines of which the buttered fingers of children are apt to stamp impressions on the margins of the books they handle, that leave little to be desired on the score of distinctness." Galton then refers to the work of Purkenje in 1823, Kollmann 1883, Sir William Herschel andDr Faulds, etc., much in the same terms as in his Finger Prints of 1892{. In this lecture Galton submitted on the problem of permanence : "a most interesting piece of evidence, which thus far is unique, through the kindness of Sir Win. Herschel. It consists of the imprints of the first two fingers of his own hand made in 1860 and in 1888 respectively, that is, at periods separated by an interval of twenty-eight years." . V L 0 AT Rajyadhar Konai's Contract made at Hooghly, 1858. which at Sir William J. Herschel's he signed with an imprint of his right hand as an identifiable sign- manual. ' request Personal Identification and Description 147 Inspector-General of Jails in Bengal], known only to literature* as 'My dear B — ' and is luminously certified as 'True copy of office copy,' but by whom certified is not stated." (Guide to Finger Print Identification, p. 36.) It was clearly impossible to deal patiently with a controversialist of this type, who first demands to see a document and when it is exhibited waits ten years before attempting to throw discredit on it ! I have rarely known Galton moved. He certainly was moved on this occasion. He wrote the notice of Faulds' book which appeared in Nature, Vol. Lxxn, Supplement, p. iv (October 19, 1905). Anyone who has read the literature on this topic up to 1905 can only agree with what Galton states. If it is severe on Dr Faulds, the severity was warranted. I cite a portion of it : "Dr Faulds was for some years a medical officer in Japan, and a zealous and original in- vestigator of finger-prints. He wrote an interesting letter about them in Nature, October 28, 1880, dwelling upon the legal purposes to which they might be applied, and he appears to be the first person who published anything, in print, on this subject. However his suggestions of introducing the use of finger-prints fell flat. The reason that they did not attract attention was presumably that he supported them by no convincing proofs of three elementary pro- positions on which the suitability of finger-prints for legal purposes depends : It was necessary to adduce strong evidence of the, long since vaguely alleged, permanence of those ridges on the bulbs of the fingers that print their distinct lineations. It was necessary to adduce better evidence than opinions based on mere inspection of the vast variety of minute details of those markings, and finally, for purposes of criminal investigation, it was necessary to prove that a large collection could be classified with sufficient precision to enable the officials in charge of it to find out speedily whether a duplicate of any set of prints that might be submitted to them did or did not exist in the collection. Dr Faulds had no part in establishing any one of these most important preliminaries f. But though his letter of 1880 was, as above mentioned, the first printed communication on the subject, it appeared years after the first public and official use of finger-prints had been made by Sir William Herschel in India, to whom the credit of originality that Dr Faulds desires to monopolise is far more justly due "The question of the priority of dates is placed beyond doubt, by the reprint of the office copy of Sir William's 'demi-official' letter of August 15, 1877, to the then Inspector of Prisons in Bengal. This letter covers all that is important in Dr Faulds' subsequent communication of 1880, and goes considerably further. The method introduced by Sir Wm. Herschel, tentatively at first as a safeguard against personation, had gradually been developed and tested, both in the jail and in the registering office, during a period from ten to fifteen years before 1877 as stated in the above quoted letter to the Inspector of Prisons. "The failure of Sir Wm. Herschel's successor, and of others at that time in authority in Bengal, to continue the development of the system so happily begun, is greatly to be deplored, but it can be explained on the same grounds as those mentioned above in connection with Dr Faulds. The writer of these remarks can testify to the occasional incredulity in the early 'nineties concerning the permanence of the ridges, for it happened to himself while staying at the house of a once distinguished physiologist, who was the writer when young of an article on the skin in a first class encyclopaedia, to hear strong objections made to that opinion. His * The India List for 1876-1877 would have at once informed Dr Faulds that Mr Beverley was, in August 1877, Inspector-General of Prisons in Bengal. Herschel also wrote to the Registrar-General, Sir James Bourdillon, who later expressed regret that he had allowed the suggestion to slip through his fingers. See Sir William J. Herschel, The Origin of Finger Printing, Oxford, 1916, p. 25. t Actually after his letter to Nature of 1880, he published no scientific contribution to the subject before Galton took it up in 1888; he wasted eight years. Then Galton published his books and papers, and only in 1905 does Dr Faulds issue a work which could be even considered a scientific contribution to the subject, and then of so acrimonious a character that it is of negligible value. 19—2 148 Life and Letters of Francis Galton theoretical grounds were that the gland, the ducts of which pierce the ridges, would multiply with the growth of the hand, and it was not until the hands of the physiologist's own children had been examined by him through a lens, that he would be convinced that the lineations on a child's hand might be the same as when he grew up, but on a smaller scale. . . . "Dr Faulds in his present volume recapitulates his old grievance with no less bitterness than formerly. He overstates the value of his own work, belittles that of others, and carps at evidence recently given in criminal cases. His book is not only biased and imperfect, but unfortunately it contains nothing new that is of value, so far as the writer of these remarks can judge, and much of what Dr Faulds seems to consider new has long been forestalled. It is a pity that ho did not avail himself of the opportunity of writing a book up to date, for he can write well, and the photographic illustrations which his publisher has supplied are excellent." This is a long extract and the subject is a painful one, but it has to be definitely asserted that it was to the experience of Sir Wm. Herschel and to the laborious studies of Sir Francis Galton, and not to anything Dr Faulds wrote or said, that we owe the adoption of finger-print identification for criminal investigation at first in England and since then throughout the whole civilised world*. There has been a tendency to obscure this great achievement of Galton's not only by confusing finger-printing with bertillonage, which it ultimately killed, but owing to Dr Faulds' continual attempts to monopolise all credit for both the discovery and the practical application of finger-printing. Like all arts it has developed in practice. But even as the credit for metal bridges is not due to the man who suggested that bridges might be made of metal, nor to those who changed cast iron to wrought iron or wrought iron to steel bridges, but to the man who made the first metal bridge, and induced people to walk over itf, so the credit for finger-print identification in criminal matters is due to Herschel and Galton, or even as the former has generously said — "the position into which the subject has now been lifted is there- fore wholly due to Mr Galton" (see our p. 146). On October 21, 1893, Mr Asquith appointed a Committee { consisting of Mr C. E. Troup of the Home Office, Chairman, Major Arthur Griffiths, * My Japanese friend, referred to in the footnote on p. 146, said very definitely, that while the Japanese had resorted very early to finger-prints as personal sign-manuals, yet the Japanese criminal investigation usage did not arise from this, but was imported de novo from Europe. f Thomas Paine, author of The Rights of Man. X The origin of this Committee is fully described in a letter of Galton to the Times, July 7, 1893. The British Association in its Edinburgh Meeting of the previous year had listened to a paper by Manouvrier of Paris on bertillonage and another by Benedict on the modified system used in Vienna. As a result a resolution was carried by the Council in the following terms : " Considering the need of a better system of identification than is now in use in the United Kingdom and its Dependencies, whether for detecting deserters who apply for re-enlistment, or old offenders among those accused of crime, or for the prevention of personation, more especially among the illiterate, the Council of the British Association express their opinion that the anthropometric methods in use in France and elsewhere deserve serious inquiry, as to their efficiency, the cost of their maintenance, the general utility, and the propriety of introducing them, or any modification of them, into the Criminal Department of the Home Office, into the liecruiting Departments of the Army and Navy, or into Indian or Colonial administration." Galton was not in Edinburgh nor responsible for the resolution but he was a member of the Committee appointed in connection with it. It will be seen that the recommendation does not go beyond bertillonage. Galton, as this letter to the Times amply demonstrates, at once pro- ceeded to introduce the idea of finger-printing into the proposals for a better method of identi- fication (see also Galton's letter, Nature, July 6, 1893, Vol. xlviii, p. 222), and four months later when Mr Asquith appointed his departmental committee finger-printing was ab initio included among the matters for examination. I know of no other reason but Galton's activities for its inclusion in Mr Asquith's programme. Personal Identification and Description 149 Inspector of Prisons, and Mr M. L. Macnaghten, Chief Constable of the Metropolitan Police Force, to inquire (a) into the method of registering and identifying habitual criminals now in use in England; (b) into the "Anthro- pometric System" of classified registration and identification in use in France and other countries; (c) into the suggested system of identification by means of a record of finger-marks, and to report whether the anthropometric system or the finger-mark system can with advantage be adopted in England either in substitution for or to supplement the existing method. It will be seen that the inquiry resulted from Galton's work of 1892 and earlier, and if the evidence given be examined *, it will be found that the Committee were really considering whether bertillonage, or what we may call galtonage in contra- distinction, or a combination of the two should be adopted. Galton was the only finger-print expert examined as a witness, and the Committee visited his laboratory, saw finger-prints being taken, and the relative ease with which Galton picked out from his cabinet the finger-prints of an individual, whose prints were provided in duplicate. It is noteworthy that Galton, with a foresight for possible difficulties, gives a very simple arrangement for a drawer into which it is impossible to place a card which does not belong to that drawer. It could be easily adapted to work for a finger-print index, but Galton actually arranged it in his illustration on the basis of five bodily measurements each grouped in three categories (see p. 81 and plate). There are two other appendices by Galton, the first (p. 79) giving directions for taking finger-prints, and the second for searching a cabinet of finger-prints indexed by a simple form of bertillonage. When the Committee came to report on the Finger-Print System (pp. 25 et seq.) it is of Galton and his work alone that they speak. They write: "The second system on which we are specially directed to report is that now associated with the name of Mr Francis Galton, F.R.S., though first suggested and to some extent applied practically by Sir William Herschel A visit to Mr Galton's laboratory is indispensable in order to appreciate the accuracy and clearness with which finger-prints can be taken and the real simplicity of the method. We have during this inquiry paid several visits to Mr Galton's laboratory ; he has given us every possible assistance in discussing the details of the method and in further investigating certain points which seemed to us to require elucidation. He also accompanied us with his assistant to Pentonville Prison and superintended the taking of the finger-prints of more than a hundred prisoners.... The patterns and the ridges of which they [finger-prints] are composed possess two qualities which adapt them in a singular way for use in deciding questions of identity. In each individual they retain their peculiarities, as it would appear, absolutely unchangeable throughout life, and in different individuals they show an infinite variety of forms and peculiarities. "Both these qualities have formed the subject of special investigation by Mr Galton, and having carefully examined his data, we think his conclusions may be entirely accepted." (p. 25.) The difficulty that arose in the minds of the Committee will be a familiar one to students of the subject, namely the large classes formed by some of the loop categories. Galton was not wholly prepared to meet this difficulty of indexing, although he was already counting the ridges of loops, and dif- ferentiating them in other ways by the nature of their cores. It was not till * Blue Booh (C. — 1763). Identification of Habitual Criminals Report, Minutes of Evidence and Appendices. 150 Life and Letters of Francis Galton 1895 that he was prepared with his full ideas of indexing by finger-prints alone*. He was clearly in doubt in 1893 — because his own scheme of indexing was not yet fully developed — as to whether a population of 30,000 to 50,000 could be adequately indexed solely on their finger-prints, and because the Committee shared his doubts, it is a misrepresentation to assert that they condemned his work f. In his evidence he exaggerated nothing, and placed his methods and their difficulties frankly before the Committee. It is idle to say either that Galton failed to get an independent system of finger-printing carried, or that the Committee condemned his system. Finger- printing was destined to become wholly independent of bertillonage ; it very soon did become so, as the study of finger-prints advanced, but in 1893 no one had published a complete system of indexing, and Galton was the only man who was able to make even suggestions in this matter. Above all to this day the all-important problem of indexing single prints seems to be unsolved J. The Committee laid down the following three main conditions for deciding what system should be adopted : "(1) The descriptions, measurements or marks, which are the basis of the system, must be such as can be taken readily and with sufficient accuracy by prison warders or police officers of ordinary intelligence. "(2) The classification of the descriptions must be such that on the arrest of an old offender who gives a false name his record may be found readily and with certainty. "(3) When the case has been found among the classified descriptions, it is desirable that convincing evidence of identity should be afforded." Applying these conditions to galtonage, the Committee reported that: "The 1st and 3rd of these conditions are met completely by Mr Galton's finger-print method. The taking of finger-prints is an easy mechanical process which with very short instruction could be performed by any prison warder. While in M. Bertillon's system a margin greater or less has always to be allowed for errors on the part of the operator, no such allowance has to be made in Mr Galton's. Finger-prints are an absolute impression taken directly from the body itself; if a print be taken at all it must necessarily be correct. While the working of this system would require a person of special skill and training at headquarters, it would have the enormous advantage of requiring no special skill or knowledge on the part of the operators in the prison §, who would merely forward to headquarters an actual impression taken mechanically from the hand of the prisoner. With regard to the third condition again, as we have already pointed out, Mr Galton's system affords ample material for conclusive proofs of identity. . . . "The Committee were so much impressed by the excellence of Mr Galton's system in com- pletely answering these conditions that they would have been glad if, going beyond Mr Galton's own suggestion\\, they could have adopted his system as the sole basis of identification." (p. 29.) * See later our account of his Finger Print Directories, 1895. t Dr Faulds, loc. cit. p. 41, "Mr Galton's own system, afterwards expounded in a work [i.e. his Finger-Prints of 1892] abounding in grave errors and set forth in a way which the Blue Book of 1894 characterises." Of. our pp. 145-147. J Suppose a single print is found after a burglary and we need to ascertain whether the burglar was a known criminal, i.e. on the finger-print record. We may not even know of which finger it is a print, and yet the single print is perfectly individual and would identify the culprit were we able to index our single prints. § I have examined the finger-prints on many hundreds of practice sheets of prison warders, and can certify that this statement has been amply confirmed by experience. || Italicised by biographer. The whole essence of the Report was the abandonment of Bertillon's " distinguishing marks," the use of his system as merely a method of indexing, and the ultimate identification by the finger-prints (see p. 20). Personal Identification and Description 151 The result of the Committee's deliberations was the recommendation that identification should be made by finger-prints, but that the indexing of the finger-prints should be by bertillonage. After recommending the appointment of a scientific adviser to the Convict Office, the Committee remark : "Moreover, when practical experience had been obtained of the use of finger-prints, he would be able to revise the suggestions which we have made as to the respective place of the Bertillon and the Galton methods in the system, and might possibly find it advantageous to extend the Galton method of classification further than, with the limited experience we possess of its practical application, we have ventured to propose." (p. 35.) It appears to me that the Committee went just as far towards replacing a tried system, bertillonage, by a new system, galtonage, as it was safe at that time to do. They even foresaw that with a really scientific adviser the latter system would entirely replace the former. In 1895 Dr Garson was appointed as scientific adviser to the Convict Office, and Inspector Collins* was sent to Galton's Laboratory to be instructed in finger-printing, and he ultimately took charge of the Finger-Print Department. Unfortunately Dr Garson, "being a skilled craniologist and writer on human measurement, was perhaps somewhat biased towards bertillonage f," and little was done towards following out the Departmental Committee's suggestion of indexing by the finger-prints themselves as experience in their use increased. Sir E. Henry, who had adopted finger-print identification in India, with as far as I can judge only small modifications of Galton's old method J, became Chief Commissioner of the Metropolitan Police in 1903. Of him Galton writes §: "When Sir E. Henry became Chief Commissioner six years ago, full of zeal for finger-prints, well experienced in their use and master of the situation, I felt satisfied that their utilisation had become firmly established, and I ceased to do more than observe its developments from * Probably the official who has risen to fame recently in less scientific activities. His teaching of the local prison warders in finger-printing certainly produced excellent results. t "Identification by Finger-Prints," a letter of Galton's to the Times, Jan. 13, 1909. % I judge this chiefly from his letters filed in the Galtoniana, and notes of Francis Galton himself. Thurs. Oct. 10/94 : "Mr Henry came today 10J to 12J to my laboratory by appointment.. ..I showed him much about finger- prints. He had spent hours at the lab. in my absence. Agreed that my part now- is to write an illustrated paper on classification. He undertakes to get me as many specimens as I want from India. I am to write to him there (he returns next week). In meantime I am to make some trials from my collection and I will talk to Macmillan." [This has reference to the proposed book, i.e. Finger Print Directories.] The correspondence with regard to finger-prints continued after Mr Henry's return to India, being dated from the office of Inspector-General of Police, Calcutta. In the following year Mr Henry submitted a "Note on Finger Impressions" for the guidance of the Lieutenant-Governor. From this it appears that identification was to be by the prints and indexing by bertillonage, i.e. the system of the Report of 1893. Numerous letters, thanking Galton for communications, asking him for further information, and stating how the matter progressed in India followed in 1895, 1896 (with a further Report to the Chief Secretary in Bengal, still emphasising the doubt as to how to index the finger-prints of 20,000 persons ; the letters urge the need for this indexing to replace the difficulty of exact anthropometric measurements under Indian conditions), 1899 (Henry describes his own new method of indexing) and 1900 (announcing that from April 1st the Indian Government had finally discarded anthropometry for direct finger-print indexing on Henry's system). § Ibid. 152 Life and Letters of Francis Galton time to time. Of course all new methods require time for development and growth, and though very much has been done under Sir E. Henry's vigorous administration, I doubt whether finality has even yet been reached ; for example, whether the power of lexiconising single prints has been developed to its utmost." The letters of Herschel, Henry and Galton In the possession of the Galton Laboratory trace clearly the history of finger-printing. It was Galton, who by his books, memoirs and constant letters to the press got the matter ventilated and ultimately forced the subject on the attention of the police- authorities; he might not have been successful had not Herschel's practical experience and evidence of permanence* been at his service. It was Henry who during 1898-1900 in India reduced the indexing of finger-prints to a workable system, and ultimately abolished the laborious and in the hands of careless observers the even dangerous anthropometric system f. But if a name is to be given to the system of finger-print identification in the same manner that bertillonage was attached to anthropometric measurement}, then the right term is undoubtedly galtonage. Of course every idler, who had not taken the trouble to investigate the subject, was up in arms against reform, as all such have ever been — "It may answer well enough on the Continent, where every one submits patiently to the inevitable, but it would not do in England, and I trust that the recommendations of the Committee— opposed as they are to the sentiments and principles of Englishmen — will not meet with the approval of the Secretary of State." (Times, March 23, 1894, Letter signed "Observer.") How many times have we read those words, when a powerful mind has pointed the way to a beneficial reform! Yet even as late as 1909 misrepresentations were made as to the originator of the police system for the identification of criminals by finger- prints. The Times in an article on the Metropolitan Police published on January 4 of that year attributed the system of identification by finger-prints to Sir Edward R. Henry ! What the writer should have said was that a * Herschel in a letter of Oct. 28, 1896 writes: "I have just compared my own mark of June 1859 with that of Oct. 1896. The identity is perfectly amazing, even to me. How nature can preserve such soft tissues for 37 years, renovating them constantly, yet preserving their delineation so precisely is not clearly intelligible to me." + It is only fair to Bertillon to remind the reader that the anthropometric measurements were even in Bertillon's system primarily a method of indexing, and the identification depended on the record of bodily marks and characters together with the photographs. For Galton the best bodily marks were not moles, cicatrices, etc. but the finger patterns. J Those who have studied all Galton wrote on the subject of Finger- Prints before 1895 and after doing so turn to Sir E. R. Henry's Classification and Uses of Finger Prints (1st Edition 1901, 3rd Edition 1905) may be inclined to think that the latter work does inadequate justice to Galton's labours. Henry's system of classification follows closely on Galton's and where he departs from it by the introduction of a very heterogeneous class of "Composites," it may well be doubted, if he has really succeeded in simplifying matters. His method of "ridge-tracing" for breaking up large whorl groups is essentially that of Galton's "Basis of Classification" in the 1890 Phil. Trans, paper (see our pp. 163-4); while "ridge-counting" was introduced originally by Galton himself to get over the large loop aggregation difficulty. Whether Henry's numerical symbolism for the various index classes gains in brevity what it loses in perspicacity can only be determined after a wide experience of the use of both full and "shorthand " formulae. Personal Identification and Description 153 modification of Galton's method of indexing was introduced by Sir Edward Henry*. In 1895 Galton had published his Finger' Print Directories, which contained a great improvement on his previous method of classification; this later method was in most essential points identical with that in use in 1909 at Scotland Yard. The article in the Times called Sir George Darwin into the field ; he concluded a letter which puts forward the simple facts of the matter with the words : "Sir Edward Henry undoubtedly deserves great credit in recognising the merits of the system and in organising its use in a practical manner in India, the Cape and England, but it would teem that the yet greater credit is due to Mr Francis Galton." One has to remember that identification by finger-prints was in use at Scotland Yard long before Sir Edward Henry came on the scene t, but the indexing was by bertillonage. Dr Garson, the former director, was too much of an anthropologist and had a mind of too little inventive power to give up the anthropometric index. A dozen different ways of breaking up the large loop categories would occur to an inventive mind, and as soon as one of these had been tried and found successful bertillonage was bound to disappear. The fact remains that nothing was done and no progress made in abolishing bertillonage, until Sir Edward Henry succeeded Dr Garson. This absence of progress was not Galton's fault, but lay with the Government, which selected for the post of director an old-school medical anthropologist rather than a finger-print expert. While it is absolutely impossible for one who has really studied finger- prints to confuse A's prints with those of B, it is always possible for a clerk to make an error in extracting the dossier, which corresponds to the identified finger-prints. Such a clerical lapse occurred in a case tried at the Guildhall in 1902, and the occasion was seized upon to attack the finger-print method by certain newspapers. Galton wrote a letter on the matter to Truth (October 2, 1902, Vol. lii, p. 78G). He pointed out that there was no doubt about the identification, but when it came to turning up the record attached to the * In March 1897 Major-General Strahan and Sir Alexander Pedler reported on the system of identification by Finger-Prints as adopted in India. It was really a report on Henry's work and methods. In the course of the Report the three conditions laid down by Mr Asquith's Committee (see our p. 150) are cited and the following words occur : " In the same report it is acknowledged that Mr Galton's finger-print method completely met the first and third conditions, but they disapproved of his method of classification." This is a complete mis-statement of what the Committee did. Galton was not prepared at that date to provide a comprehensive method of indexing, accordingly it was impossible for the Committee to disapprove of his method of indexing. It was Galton himself who suggested indexing by bertillonage and this the Committee accepted, although both they and he looked upon it as a temporary stage. Galton's Secondary Classification was complete and published in 1895 (see our pp. 199 et seq.), and in the present writer's opinion there is little in Henry's book of 1901, which cannot be found, often better expressed, in Galton's of 1895 or in his earlier writings. The numerical notation is the chief novelty. We do not think the statement we have quoted above should have been allowed to appear without a qualifying note in Henry's Classification and Uses of Finger Prints (p. 112). t I myself witnessed the rapid identification of criminals by their finger-prints in 1900. p o ni 20 154 Life ana Letters of Francis Galton impressions, a mistake had been made in the reference number and a wrong dossier was produced. Galton writes : "I wish to point out the moral of this. In every system there must be some clerk-work and a consequent liability, however small, to clerical blunders. In the system by measurements at least five have to be made and recorded for each person, and they each require three figures to express them. The frequent occurrence of mistakes in this complicated process was the main motive for abolishing measurements altogether, first in India, and now in this country. In the finger-print system all the above clerk-work is done away with because the hand of the accused person prints its own impression. As regards the comparative trustworthiness of the two systems, there can be no reasonable doubt. I took, as you may be aware, great pains in testing them, with the result that it is inconceivable to me that an expert to whom the impressions have been submitted of two different persons, taken with the cleverness that is habitual in prisons, should ever mistake one set for the other." § II. Popularisation of Finger-Printing. I propose in this section to give an account of some of the minor papers and letters to newspapers by which Galton made the idea of finger-printing familiar to his countrymen. I think this plan is better than scattering them chronologically between his more solid contributions to the science of the subject, which will be dealt with in the remaining section of this chapter. In August 1891 Galton published in the Nineteenth Century (Vol. xxx, pp. 303-311) an article entitled "Identification by Finger-Tips." It contains a resume of his Royal Society papers in a popular form, an account of his apparatus and a suggestion that professional photographers should take up finger-printing as part of their trade. He concludes with the prophecy : "I look forward to a time when every convict shall have prints taken of his fingers by the prison photographer at the beginning and end of his imprisonment, and a register made of them ; when recruits for either service shall go through an analogous process ; when the index-number of the hands shall usually be inserted in advertisements for persons who are lost or who can- not be identified, and when every youth who is about to leave his home for a long residence abroad, shall obtain prints of his fingers at the same time that the portrait is photographed, for his friends to retain as a memento." (p. 311.) Another matter in connection with finger-prints which excited Galton's attention and has very considerable scientific interest is the question of scars and wounds as influencing the ridges. On Plate VI are given illustrations of this matter which I have found in the Galtoniana. In Fig. (v) we have an enlarged print of a graft on the bulb of a thumb. In this case J. R. H., a solicitor in large practice, sliced oft' a piece of the flesh of his thumb; it was promptly picked up, replaced in what was thought to be its original position and the thumb tightly bandaged. The print taken thirty years later shows that the ridges had not been properly adjusted, the orientation of those on the graft being almost at right angles to their true position* ! In Fig. (i) a-d we have a good illustration of the effect of a burn, which occurred in the case of Sergeant Handle, Galton's assistant. In Fig. (i) b taken immediately after the accident, the ridges have entirely disappeared, but Fig. (i) d indicates that if the injury has not been too * See Nature, Jan. 30, 1896 (Vol. liii, p. 295). PLATE VI (a) Before Burn (6) Just after Burn (c) Some time after Burn Fig. (i). Restoration of Hidges after a not too severe Burn. ( 1 A.E.H.H. lr. 2 A.EHH 3r. >»v .-.-. - 1862 KHT 2r 1630. 3. N.H.T. lr. + NHT 2r Persistence of minutiae at intervals of nine and twenty-eight years. PLATE VIII jr-.\V.\W>\". 5 F K.H \r 1888. 1659. 1890. 5. F.KH lr. R.F.H.Sr. 6 W.J.H. 3 690 6. W.J.H. 3r Persistence of minutiae at intervals of twenty-six, thirty and thirty-one years. Personal Identification and Description 167 After a few remarks on scars, which consist chiefly in noting how few he had found which destroyed the patterns to any considerable extent, and how even in these cases with "rolling" generally enough is left for sound identi- fication (see our Plate VI, p. 154), Galton turns to another matter, which needs possibly more criticism or at least an ampler treatment. He considers that there are certain main types of finger-prints, "arches," "loops," "whorls," etc. There are also, he admits, transitional forms which create difficulty in classification, but he says the result of statistical observation shows these intermediates to be relatively few. He considers therefore the finger-print types to be analogous to ordinary genera, and in order to illustrate this he takes the case of the loop, and (a) counts the number of ridges in AH (see our Fig. 21 (iii) and (iv), p. 163), (b) measures the index VY/OI, and (c) the index AO/AH. Using both hands, and populations numbering 140 to 176 individuals only, he forms six frequency distributions, reducing them to percentages. For example: Percentage Number of Rid yes in 166 Right Thumb Loop Prints. 1 1 2 3 I 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 10 11 12 13 14 15 | above l 1 2 2 2 3 4 8 8 11 1 9 1 14 11 1 10 7 6 2 Percentage Value of Index VY/OI in 149 Left Thumb Loop Prints. 0-3—0-4 0-5—06 0-7—0-8 0-9—1-0 1-1—1-2 1-3—1-4 1-5—1-6 1-7—1-8 1-9—2-0 2-1—2-2 above 2 11 I 14 18 23 7 10 6 6 1 2 Galton does not apply an individual test for normality of distribution to these rather abnormal-looking distributions*, but reducing them to their medians and quartiles (see our Vol. n, pp. 385-6, 401) compounds them together to form a single average "ogive" curve (see our Plate II, p. 31). His final comparison is as follows: Ordinates of Ogive Curve from S ix D istributions and the com puted Values. Six Distributions Computed -231 -244 -182 -190 -117 -125 - 93 - 73 - 100 - 78 1 -37 -38 + 1 0 + 38 + 38 + 77 + 78 + 107 + 100 + 139 + 125 + 213 + 190 + 260 + 244 Grades 5 i 10 20 25 30 40 50 00 70 75 80 90 95 Considering that we have 965 observations to start from, this does not appear on the face of it a very good agreement, and even Galton (p. 22) contents * He merely places his observed values alongside the normal curve results, and says that considering the paucity of observations "there is nothing in the results that contradicts the possibility of much closer conformity when many more observations are dealt with." (p. 19.) 168 Life and Letters of Francis Galton himself by calling it a " quasi-accordance with the theoretical law of Frequency of Error." Personally I do not see why it is needful to show accordance, quasi or otherwise, with the normal law of error. It might have served Galton's purpose to show "tailing off" in his distributions of measurements. But it does not seem to me that measurement or enumeration is really what he needs, or it must be measurement or enumeration of characters which belong alike to the various genera, not to a loop alone. The transitions from loop to whorl are qualitative rather than quantitative, and it is the frequency of these qualitative intermediates that we need to analyse. I am inclined to think that this was later recognised by Galton, for I have several times heard him say that there appeared to him nothing to be measured in finger-prints in general; could I not suggest a measurable character? I still know of nothing that will apply satisfactorily to all types, and I hold that scientific finger-print classification must be qualitative*. As I have said, I do not see, even if Galton had proved that measurements on loop finger-prints only followed the normal law of distribution, that it would follow that types of finger-prints are genera. In order to prove this we should need to measure characters which run through the whole series of types and this is precisely what it does not appear feasible — at any rate for the present — to achieve. Undoubtedly finger-print patterns do occasionally blend, if such occasions are less frequent than the instances in which they appear to be exclusive (see our Plates XIII and XIV, p. 181). It seems therefore that the key to the matter lies in a closer study of the heredity of finger-prints than has yet been made. With this Galton certainly would have agreed. He writes (p. 21): "There is reason to believe that the patterns are hereditary. I have no adequate amount of data, whereby to test the truth of this belief by a direct inquiry, but rest the belief partly on analogy, but more especially on the ascertained existence of a considerable tendency to symmetry. When, for instance, there is a primary pattern on one thumb, there are not far from ten chances to one in favour of its being found on the other. Again, if there is a loop in one thumb, there is a strong chance that it will be found in the other thumb also. Similarly as regards each pair of corresponding fingers. Therefore the causes of the pattern must not be looked for in purely local influences. Some of the causes why it and not another pattern is present, are common to both sides of the body and may therefore be called constitutional, and be expected to be hereditary." Galton continuing next states that finger-prints form an "instructive instance of the effects of heredity under circumstances in which sexual selection has been neutral." He seems to think that sight could be the only sexual selective factor, for he says that finger-prints are too small to attract attention. He remarks that they appear to be uncorrelated with any desirable or repellent quality. Galton holds that they might possibly be related to sensitivity, the average breadth of a ridge-interval being possibly a measure of delicacy in the sense of touch f. But he states that this could have nothing * I write this fully aware of the attempts made by Kristine Bonnevie [Journal of Genetics, Vol. xv, pp. 46-54) to give a common measurable characterisation to all types of finger-print pattern. t Experiments on this point wore soon after made for Galton by Titchener, who found no relation between ridge-interval and sensitivity. Personal Identification and Description 169 to do with the attractiveness or otherwise of any particular pattern. I do not believe that Galton has quite plumbed the possible depths of the action of sexual selection in this matter. Touch is one of the least studied, and there- fore the least understood of the sexual factors. The question is not that of sensitivity in the producer of a sensation, but of the feelings excited in the recipient. It is not, perhaps, probable, but it is still possible, considering how huge a part touch plays in courtship, that the shades of feeling excited by it may be associated with finger-print pattern. Those who straight-away dismiss any slender possibility in this direction have hardly the true measure of our present scientific ignorance, and probably do not realise how much greater a part touch plays in the sensitory life of the female than of the male. Galton holds that there must have been complete promiscuity of matings, or as it is now called, panmixia, with regard to these patterns, and that con- sequently they ought to have hybridised. I cannot see that this argument is any more valid than the argument that iris-colours ought to hybridise. It is true that both iris-colours and finger-prints do blend under certain rare physiological conditions that we do not yet understand, but I can see no necessity for a universal rule which anticipates that blending must follow hybridisation. The mere fact that the individual can have finger-prints of various patterns suggests hybridisation, and it seems to me that the question of racial differentiation in finger-print frequencies wants renewed investigation, starting very nearly from the point where Galton left it (see our pp. 140, 193-4). We next turn to the question of natural selection and here we read : "As regards the influence of all other kinds of natural selection, we know that they co- operate in keeping races pure by their much more frequent destruction of the individuals who depart more widely from the typical centre. But natural selection is wholly inoperative in re- spect to individual varieties of patterns and unable to exercise the slightest check upon their vagaries. Yet, for all that, the different classes of patterns are isolated from one another, through the rarity of transitional cases, just as thoroughly, and just in the same way, as are the genera of plants and animals." (p. 22.) In the words I have italicised Galton seems to me to have departed from his usual cautious restraint in the matter of dogma, and some suspicion may be thrown on his conclusion from his own data. On p. 21 of the memoir are given measurements of the core and the number of ridges in loop finger- prints of the left and right thumbs. From this it appears that the right thumb exceeds the left thumb in these measurements and in the number of ridges. Is this relation reversed in left-handed persons? Nowadays we know that the finger-print types are not scattered at random among the digits, there is association between individual digit and individual type. Can it be that there is any reversal of this association in left-handed persons? We do not know; but if it should prove to be so, the first step would have been taken to show a relation between finger-print pattern and manual efficiency. It is never safe to dismiss all relationship of a character to natural selection because we cannot for the moment see any link between the character and fitness. pgiii 22 170 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Galton having dismissed both sexual and natural selection from past or present influence on finger-print patterns, argues that natural selection has had no monopoly in producing genera. "Not only is it impossible to substantiate a claim for natural selection that it is the sole agent in forming genera, but it seems, from the experience of artificial selection, that it is scarcely competent to do so by favouring mere varieties, in the sense in which I understand the term. "My contention is that it acts by favouring small sports. Mere varieties from a common typical centre blend freely in the offspring, and the offspring of every race whose statistical characters are constant, necessarily tend, as I have often shown, to revert to their common typical centre*. Sports do not blend freely ; they are fresh typical centres or sub-species, which suddenly arise, we do not yet know precisely through what uncommon concurrences of circum- stance, and which observations show to be strongly transmissible by inheritance. "A mere variety can never afford a sticking point in the forward course of evolution, but each uew sport implies a new condition of internal equilibrium, and does afford one. A change of type is effected, as I conceive, by a succession of sports or small changes of typical centre, each being in its turn favoured and established by natural selection to the exclusion of its competitors. The distinction between a mere variety and a sport is real and fundamental. I argued this in a recent work [see our discussion pp. 58-62 above of Galton's Natural Inheritance, 1889], but had then to draw my illustrations from non-physiological experiences. I could not at that time find an appropriate physiological one. The want is now excellently supplied by observa- tions of the patterns made by the papillary ridges on the thumbs and fingers." (pp. 22-3.) While I am very loath to say that -Galton is in error, I think that he has far from demonstrated the correctness of his views. I have cited his paper at considerable length because I want to indicate how keen a "mutationist" he was. We can claim that he was the first to assert a distinction between "mutations" (sports in his terminology) and " fluctuating variations " (varieties round a typical centre, as he would call them). If the Biometric School has been unable to follow him whole-heartedly in this path, it is because in his case the conclusion was only in a very minor degree based on observation ; in the main it flowed from a misinterpretation of his own great discovery of regression f. Finger-Print Indexing. In the year following the presentation of this memoir Galton read a second paper before the Royal Society (April 30, 1891). It was entitled: "Method of Indexing Finger-Marks," and was published in the Roy. Soc. Proceedings, Vol. xlix, pp. 540-548. Our author points out that the indexing of finger-prints is not only of importance for criminal identifi- cation, but for racial and hereditary inquiries. He especially emphasises their value in the latter case : "The patterns are usually sharp and clear and their minutiae are independent of age and growth. They are necessarily trustworthy, and no reluctance is shown in permitting them to be taken, which can be founded either upon personal vanity or upon an unwillingness to communi- cate undesirable family peculiarities." (p. 540.) * [This is the old error of the misinterpretation of regression, which led Galton so often and so far astray ; see our pp. 31, 48 and 83. K.P.] t An additional point in this memoir (p. 20) may, perhaps, be just noted. Galton compares the index found from the ratio of means of two absolute variates, with the mean of all the in- dices found from the individual values of the variates. He shows that the two are nearly the same. We now know the proper corrective factor required to pass from one to the other. Personal Identification and Description 171 It appears, possibly for reasons to which we have already referred (see p. 163), that Galton had by this time put aside his earlier method of indexing, and he remarks : " Without caring to dwell on many of my earlier failures to index the finger-prints in a satis- factory way, my description shall be confined to that which has proved to be a success. It is based on a small variety of conspicuous differences of pattern in each of many digits, and not upon minute peculiarities of a single digit." (p. 541.) Galton had now obtained the prints of all ten digits of 289 persons, though his indexing applies only to the first hundred of these. He here introduces for the first time the Arch-Loop-Whorl classifi- cation*, which has formed the basis of all later attempts at indexing. If a line be drawn from the tip of the forefinger to the base of the little finger, this is roughly the usual slope of the " axes " of the finger-prints if they be not symmetrical. Galton uses the odd numerals 1, 3, 5 for sym- metrical forms or for sloped forms with the usual or " normal " slope, the even numerals 2, 4, 6 for the unusual or "abnormal" slopes, in the three classes, arches, loops, whorls. There is little difficulty as a rule in allotting a print to one or other of these six classes. It is only when the rarer compounds (later termed "composites") appear that some difficulty may arise. Galton's scheme is provided in the accompanying diagram. Elemgntar^ divisions i Index number Symbols of Patterns fno>eJ\\ symmetric. sloped. mumden 1 Primary. 1 a b o d e / Whorls 3 @ @ h i J * t ^ 3 OR 4 m Loops n o all it oped 4>:%^^ P \. P p ([ r s t w r \ 5ob 6 Fig. 26. He does not arrange his numerals which denote the character of the finger-print in the natural order of the digits, i.e. from little finger left to little finger right. His reason for this is thus stated: "The forefingers are the most variable of all the digits in respect to their patterns, their slopes being almost as frequently abnormal as notf; the third fingers rank next ; the little finger ranks last, as its pattern is a loop in nine cases out of ten. I, therefore, found it convenient not to index the fingers in their natural order, but in the way that is shown at the head of the * Galton still uses the term "primary" for arch, t i.e. as frequently radial as ulnar. 22—2 172 Life and Letters of Francis Galton columns of figures on the left side of Fig. 27. There, the sequence of the numerals that express the patterns on the digits is divided into two groups of three numerals and two groups of two numerals, as 355, 455, 55, 35. The first group 355 refers to the first, second and third fingers of the left hand*; the second group 455 to the first, second, and. third fingers of the right hand ; the L R L ,R Left Right. 1 — 1 1 Inc/ex 123 , >Z5 Ta.T* 4 3 i i 1 2 3 4 35,35 /? ©^ © © © © © © ^ 38.2 553,333 35,35 p ^ \\ © % \\ ^ ^ 49.1 3.2 415,555 35,55 0 O a A S 21. a ! 1 Fig. 27. third group 55 to the thumb and fourth finger of the left hand ; the fourth group 35 to the thumb and fourth finger of the right hand. The index is arranged in the numerical sequence of these sets of numbers as shown in Fig. 27 1." (pp. 542-3.) It will be seen from Fig. 27 that Galton drew a rough symbol denoting the nature of his subclasses, the a to w of Fig. 26 in his index. The symbols with dots attached mark cases in which there may be doubt as to classifica- tion. Thus the primaries / and g may have been classed by another as loops. If there has been hesitation about them, after seeking them as loops, a second reference to the index should be made, treating them as primaries. When a whorl is "crozier" shaped, as j, k, I, m, it lies in a loop, and may when it approaches the plain eyes t, u give rise to hesitation and a dot is then added, as at I, m. Galton says that he has not found much difficulty with transitional cases, and considers it could be well surmounted if a standard collection of doubtful forms were established to ensure that different persons would abide by a common rule. Galton (pp. 545-6) gives an index based on the ten finger-prints of 100 persons. In this index there are nine cases of duplicated numbers and three * Galton's first finger = forefinger, second finger = middle finger, third finger = ring finger, and fourth finger = little finger. Galton's purpose is clear, but there are distinct and greater advantages in the "natural" order. t The last column in Galton's figure, our Fig. 27, requires explanation ; it is the page reference to his records where the actual finger-prints will be found. The word "Index" at the head of the column is, perhaps, not explanatory enough. Personal Identification and Description 173 cases of triplicated numbers. In other words the index number alone would not suffice to identify an individual in about a quarter of the indexed cases. Now if the index contains 100,000 instead of 100 individuals, it is clear that these multiple cases, instead of being counted by twos and threes, would be counted by hundreds, and the number of references required to the prints themselves would become most fatiguing. The source of this evil is fairly clear if we examine Galton's Table II (p. 548). It classifies the patterns that occur in 100 prints of left forefingers. It is obvious that we have gained very Forefinger of Left Hand. Pattern Classificatory Number Number of Occurrences Primary, plain ... ... ... ...) Primary nascent loop, slope normal ...j Primary nascent loop, slope abnormal Whorl, plain ... ... ... ... 1 Whorl, with tail, slope normal ... | Whorl, with tail, slope abnormal Loop, slope normal Loop, slope abnormal ... 1 2 3 4 5 6 26 4 23 6 21 20 Total eases 100 little indeed in the case of primaries and whorls by taking the nature of the slope as a characteristic. The four groups of 26, 23, 21 and 20 still remain far too large. We need to break up the primaries into three nearly equal groups, not into two of 26 and 4; the same applies to the whorls, while each group of loops requires bisecting. This would give us ten classes, and fit in well with a ten-figure index number. The scheme of indexing Galton proposed in this paper could not be final, yet it was pioneer work*; no one but our author himself had so far published or even suggested a plan for indexing, and there still remained much spade-work to be done before an adequate scheme was evolved. Galton himself recognised the difficulty, thus he writes: "The greatest difficulty in constructing a uniformly efficient catalogue lies in the troublesome frequency of plain loops, so that even the method of picture writing fails to analyse satisfactorily the numerous 555, 555, 55, 55 cases. When searching through a large number of similarly indexed prints for a particular specimen, it is a very expeditious method to fix on any well-marked characteristic of a minute kind such as an island, or enclosure, or a couple of adjacent bi- furcations, that may present itself in any one of the fingers, and in making the search to use a lens or lenses of low power, fixed at the end of an arm, and to confine the attention solely to looking for that one characteristic. The cards on which the finger marks have been made may then be passed successively under the lens with great rapidity. I fear that the method of counting ridges (as the number of ridges in All of my previous memoir [see our pp. 163, 167]) would be difficult to use by persons who are not experts. Anyhow, I have not yet been able to devise a plan for doing so that I can recommend." (p. 547.) * The diagrammatic symbols used by Galton are the basis from which his fuller classification in Finyer Print Directories starts (see our pp. 199 et seq.). 174 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Another point dealt with by Galton in this memoir is the relative ad- vantage gained in indexing by the first two fingers of the left hand, the first three fingers of the left hand, the first three fingers of both hands or by all ten digits ; he finds the numbers of different patterns occurring are respectively 16, 27, 65 and 83. The ten-digit indexing is now in general use, and of course provides a greater field for identification, if the indexing be somewhat more cumbersome. B. Finger Prints, 1893. We now reach Galton's fundamental book on finger-prints, namely Finger Prints* (Macmillan, 1893). Chapter I (pp. 1-21), entitled Introduction, gives a brief account of the subject referring to Purkenje and the pioneer work of Sir William Herschel; it further provides a synopsis of the contents of the entire bookf. Chapter II (pp. 22-29) deals with Previous Use of Finger- Prints. It recounts the use of nail-marks or finger-marks among barbarous or semi- civilised people rather as a superstitious sign of personal touch than of personal Chinese Coin, Tang Dynasty, about 618 ad., with nail mark of the Empress Wen ten, figured in relief. Fig. 28. identity. It notes also the frequent appearance of finger-impressions upon ancient pottery. Here, as in the case of a Greek impression found by Sir Charles Walston on a steatite seal at the Argive HeraeumJ, it is somewhat * It is an interesting example of the futility of some reviewers, that the critic who wrote the notice of Galton's Finger Prints in the Athenaeum of Dec. 24, 1892, expressed the wish that he might devote his brilliant powers to "subjects of greater promise of practical utility"; and again : "Whether the practical results to be derived from his researches will repay the pains he has bestowed upon them we must take leave to doubt. It will be long before a British jury will consent to convict a man upon the evidence of his finger-prints ; and however perfect in theory the identification may be, it will not be easy to submit it in a form that will amount to legal evidence." t At the end of this chapter Galton thanks Mr Howard Collins for his very material aid. The correspondence between Galton and Collins during the progress of the work was consider- able, and of some scientific value. In 1911 I issued a request in the Times and other journals for letters or copies of letters written by Galton. The response was very disappointing. During the last nine years the Galton Laboratory has had frequently to purchase letters of Galton sold by their recipients or the assigns of the latter to booksellers or autograph dealers. Among such purchases the Laboratory obtained from a Birmingham bookseller, whose catalogue the Director luckily chanced to see, Galton's numerous letters to Collins on the subject of finger- prints. } The Illustrated London News, Feb. 7, 1925, p. 231. Personal Identification and Description 175 doubtful if the impression was purely accidental, arising simply from touching by chance the wet clay, or was the result of moulding with the thumb the small base of an object, or was actually intended as a potter's mark. Galton next refers to Bewick's impressing his thumb-mark and a finger-mark on a Fig. 29. Thomas Bewick, his mark. block of wood, engraving them and afterwards using them for ornaments in his books*; this approaches the use of a finger-print for a sign-manual. Galton continues: "Occasional instances of careful study may also be noted, such as that of Mr Faulds (Nature, Vol. xxn, p. 605, Oct. 28, 1880), who seems to have taken much pains, and that of Mr Tabor, the eminent photographer of San Francisco, who, noticing the lineations of a print that he had accidentally made with his own inked finger upon a blotting-paper, experimented further, and finally proposed the method of finger-prints for the registration of Chinese, whose identification has always been a difficulty, and was giving a great deal of trouble at that particular time ; O^;^^ 9, /St J,. Order on a Cainp Sutler, by the officer of a surveying party in New Mexico Fig. 30. 1S82. but his proposal dropped through. Again Mr Gilbert Thompson, an American geologist, when on Government duty in 1882 in the wild parts of New Mexico, paid the members of his party * See for example History of Birds, Vol. I, p. 180, edn. 1805. It is not in my edition (1807) of the General History of Quadrupeds. Sir William Herschel reproduces in his book, The Origin of Finger Printing, 1916, p. 33, a receipt of Bewick from 1818, in 1918 in the possession of Mr Quaritch. The print is a very delicate one, and has the attached words "Thomas Bewick, his mark." Sir William thinks that these marks of Bewick, known to him as a boy, may have unwittingly led him to study such prints. 176 Life and Letters of Francis Galton by order of [? on] the camp sutler. To guard against forgery he signed his name [? wrote the amount] across the impression made by his finger upon the order, after first .pressing it on his office pad. He was good enough to send me the duplicate of one of these cheques made out in favour of a man who bore the ominous name of 'Lying Bob' [see Fig. 30 on p. 175]. The im- pression took the place of scroll work on an ordinary cheque ; it was in violet aniline ink, and looked decidedly pretty. From time to time sporadic instances like these are met with, but none are comparable in importance to the regular and official employment made of finger-prints by Sir William Herschel, during more than a quarter of a century in Bengal. I was exceedingly obliged to him for much valuable information when first commencing this study, and have been almost wholly indebted to his kindness for the materials used in this book for proving the pei-sistence of lineations throughout life. "Sir William Herschel has presented me with one of the two original 'Contracts' in Bengali, dated 1858, which suggested to his mind the idea of using this method of identification*. It was so difficult to obtain credence to the signatures of the natives, that he thought he would use the signature of the hand itself, chiefly with the intention of frightening the man who made it from afterwards denying his formal act ; however, the impression proved so good that Sir W. Herschel became convinced that the same method might be further utilised. He finally introduced the use of finger-prints in several departments at Hooghly in 1877, after seventeen years' experience of the value of the evidence they afforded. A too brief account of his work was given by him in Nature (Vol. xxm, p. 23, Nov. 25, 1880). He mentions there that he had teen taking finger marks as sign-manuals for more than twenty years, and had introduced them for practical purposes in several ways in India with marked benefit. They rendered attempts to repudiate signatures quite hopeless. Finger-prints were taken of Pensioners to prevent their personation by others after death ; they were used in the office for Begistration of Deeds, and at a gaol where each prisoner had to sign with his finger. By comparing the prints of persons then living, with their prints taken twenty years previously, he considered he had proved that the lapse of at least that period made no change sufficient to affect the utility of the plan. He informs me that he submitted, in 1877, a report in semi-official form to the Inspector-General of Gaols, asking to be allowed to extend the process ; but no result followed. In 1881, at the request of the Governor of the gaol at Greenwich (Sydney), he sent a description of the method, but no further steps appear to have been taken there. "If the use of finger-prints ever becomes of general importance, Sir William Herschel must be regarded as the first who devised a feasible method for regular use, and afterwards officially adopted it." (pp. 26-29.) I have cited this long passage because I wish to give evidence that Galton did ample justice to his predecessors, more justice than has since been done to his own workf. Galton never claimed to have invented the idea of identification by finger-prints. What he did do was to take up the matter from the scientific standpoint to establish certain principles and the prac- tical methods of operating them. It was his publications and his energetic demonstration of the value of finger-print identification, not occasional newspaper diatribes, which led to its adoption by the English Prison Service, and ultimately to its acceptance throughout the civilised world. Much solid * One is reproduced on our Plate V, p. 146 and the other in Sir William Herschel's The Origin of Finger Printing. f "In discussing the true natural history of the minute ridges upon the fingers Galton goes no further than did the first physiologist of note who drew attention to their presence. This was Nehemiah Grew." Louis Robinson in North American Review, May 15, 1905. Again: "Mr Galton distinctly says in his Finger Prints, p. 2: 'My attention was first drawn to the ridges in 1888,' etc. It is not a little remarkable to my mind that that date should so nearly coincide with the period when I was interesting Sir Wollaston Franks, of the British Museum, and other scientific authorities in the importance of this means of identification." Birmingham Post, May 16, 1905. Dr Faulds cites only the first words of Galton's paragraph on p. 2. For the full citation see our p. 142. Personal Identification and Description 177 work had to be done before the mere idea of identification by finger-prints could be transformed into its full realisation as a practical criminal procedure. For that actual transformation we have to thank neither Nehemiah Grew nor Dr Faulds, but Francis Galton expanding and working on the experiences of Sir William Herschel. Chapter III (pp. 30-53), entitled Methods of Printing, gives a very full description of methods for the permanent preservation of finger-marks. Galton starts by indicating a way of getting very perfect finger-prints, which has been since used very largely for detective purposes. The reader can easily try it for himself; let him pass his finger over the hair at the back of his head, and then press the bulb of his finger on a window pane, that of a recently cleaned window if available; he will find a very perfect imprint of his finger lineation, and there it may remain decipherable for days — under post- war conditions of domestic service! If the finger be merely moistened the impression soon evaporates ; the essential need is to oil the finger very slightly, and this is adequately achieved by the natural oiliness of the hair. Similar finger-prints may be obtained on polished steel — a razor blade — or on table plate. Now-a-days for the purposes of criminal investigation such accidental finger-prints can be reproduced and preserved. Galton next pro- ceeds to give accounts of laboratory and also of pocket apparatus for finger- printing; the important factors are the persistent cleanliness needful in the apparatus, and the extreme thinness of the ink layer on the finger, if a good impression is to be obtained*. This chapter is replete with suggestions such as we have recorded of the younger Galton with his mechanical "dodges." A thin sheet of copper which I found in one of Galton's diaries puzzled me, till I re-read Finger Prints, and there noted that it was to receive soot from a candle (or even a match) to blacken fingers for their prints. "Paste rubbed in a very thin layer over a card makes a surface that holds soot firmly, and one that will not stick to other surfaces if accidentally moistened. Glue, isinglass, size, and mucilage, are all suitable. It was my fortune as a boy to receive rudimentary lessons in drawing from a humble and rather grotesque master. He confided to me the discovery, which he claimed as his own, that pencil drawings could be fixed by licking them ; and as I write these words, the image of his broad swab-like tongue performing the operation, and of his proud eyes gleam- ing over the drawing he was operating on, come vividly to remembrance. This reminiscence led me to try whether licking a piece of paper would give it a sufficiently adhesive surface. It did so. Nay, it led me a step further, for I took two pieces of paper and licked both. The dry side of the one was held over the candle as an equivalent to a plate for collecting soot, being saved by the moisture at the back from igniting (it had to be licked two or three times during the process), and the impression was made on the other bit of paper. An ingenious person determined to succeed in obtaining the record of a finger impression can hardly fail altogether under any ordinary circumstances." (pp. 48-9.) I should like to have asked Galton what he would have done had there been no paper t ; I feel sure he would have been ready with a substitute ! The chapter concludes with remarks on the photography of finger-prints and on * The Galton Laboratory, which collects finger-prints of families, finds that an operator can he easily taught to take decipherable finger-prints with a simple pocket apparatus, which it circulates for this purpose. t Quite good impressions can be made with bird lime and candle black, specimens in Galtoniana. p Q in 23 178 Life and Letters of Francis Galton methods of enlarging them. In the Galtoniana we have still his special ' camera for enlarging finger-prints (see our p. 215), his much enlarged series of finger-prints used for fine classification (reproduced for this work, and to be found in a pocket at the end of this volume) and the watchmaker's glass mounted on a stand for directly examining them*. Chapter IV (pp. 54-63) deals with The Ridges and their Use. Galton starts with the ridges of the palm of the hand, and indicates that they are not very closely related to the "creases," so that the latter cannot be the cause of the former. He also refers to the ridges on the soles and toes, but ultimately confines his attention to those on the fingers. Here he defines two important terms: first, Minutiae, which are the minute peculiarities characterising an individual ridge. A ridge may divide into two or unite with another (see Fig. 31, a and b), or it may divide and almost immediately CJi*.ra.cleri»tio Peculiarities irz Ridges. (ibout 8 \im.e.$ the natural Si&6) Fig. 31. reunite, enclosing a small circular or elliptic space (c); at other times it may begin or end abruptly (d and e); or lastly the ridge may be so short as to form a small island (f). Secondly, Patterns: whenever an interspace is left between the boundaries of different systems of ridges, it is filled by a small system of its own which will have some characteristic shape. This shape is termed a pattern (see Figs. 20, 21 on our pp. 162, 163). The descriptions of minutiae and of patterns belonging to an individual are of special value for the purposes of identification. On the whole there is little known of the origin and use of the ridges, beyond the fact that they carry the sweat pores. Nor is their origin or use of much importance for the purpose of identification provided we can be assured of their persistency during life. Titchener, as I have noted (p. 168), made, at the suggestion of Galton, a series of experiments with the aesthesio- meter, and proved that the fineness or coarseness of the ridges in different persons had no effect whatever on the delicacy of their tactile discrimination. * This finger-print glass appears in Furse's painting of Galton; see the Frontispiece to Vol. I. It is worth noting that Galton selected this piece of apparatus as the most characteristic of his many activities. • PLATE IX THE STANDARD PATTERNS OF PURKENJE 7 8 9 Reproduced de novo from the copy of Purkenje's Commenlatio in the Library of the Royal College of Surgeons. The Cores or the above Patterxs. 4 % # Galton's Patterns from Purkenje's Types. Personal Identification and Description 179 Also he found it made no difference whether one or hoth points of the compass rested on the ridges or in the furrows. Nor again was the width of the ridge interval any test of the relative power of discrimination of the different parts of the same hand (p. 62). Galton himself suggests that the ridges may serve the purpose of enabling us to judge the relative roughness of surfaces by touch, and so to determine their nature. If a blindfold person be asked to determine an object by touch, he will be observed to rub the surface with his finger. "The ridges engage themselves with the roughness of the surface, and greatly help in calling forth the required sensation, which is that of a thrill ; usually faint, but always to be perceived when the sensation is analysed, and which becomes very distinct when the indentations are at equal distances apart as in a file or in velvet. A thrill is analogous to a musical note, and the characteristics to the sense of touch, of different surfaces when they are rubbed by the fingers, may be compared to different qualities of sound or noise. There are, however, no pure overtones in the case of touch, as there are in nearly all sounds." (p. 63.) I should be glad to have the experience of any of my readers on this point. T wonder if this thrill is universal ; personally I am unable to associate even uniform roughness of a touched surface with anything of the nature of a thrill. Two other men were like myself Of three women tested one had no sensation of thrill, a second failed with file and a stiff brush, but was doubtful in the case of velvet ; the third felt a thrill — chill in the spine — on rubbing with the finger-tip file, velvet or brush. Chapter V (pp. 64-88) is entitled Patterns: their Outlines and Cores. Galton opens this chapter by referring to Purkenje's types*, and states that he had entirely failed on trial to classify prints by mere inspection and the use of Purkenje's types. He had accordingly devised his method of "outlining" the pattern in order to classify it. He took as material for his classification 504 prints of right thumbs enlarged two and a half times their natural size, so * Galton (pp. 85-88 of this chapter) provides a translation of the portion of Purkenje's Com- mentatio which deals with types, and also a plate of Purkenje's nine types, accompanied by Galton's own outlining of the cores. Purkenje's nine types are the following: (i) Transverse Flexures = Galton's "primaries." In the course of his description Purkenje used the word "arch." I think this must have led Galton to replace his term "primary" of 1890 by "arch" of 1892. (ii) Central Lonijitudinal Stria = Galton's "tented arch." (hi) Oblique Stria = (I think) Galton's "nascent loop." (iv) Oblique Sinus = Galton's "plain loop." (v) Almond = (I think) "circlet in loop," a sub- type of Galton's "whorl" (see his Plate 8, No. 22). (vi) Spiral = Galton's "whorl," sub-type "spiro- w-horl" (see his Plate 8, No. 26). (vii) Ellipse, or Elliptic whorl = Galton's "whorl" (ellipses), (viii) Circle, or Circular Whorl = Galton's "whorl" (circles), (ix) Double Whorl = Galton's "whorl" ("duplex spiral"), see his Plate 8, No. 29. The reader who attempts to classify prints by Purkenje's nine classes will soon find, if he follows Purkenje's rather elaborate descriptions, that they exclude many frequently occurring cases. His definitions are indeed not broad enough to embrace the innumerable variations which arise. It is perhaps worth noting that Purkenje under the definition (vi) of "Spiral" introduces the word "composite" but not in its modern sense to denote a compound of two patterns, but for a spiral made up not of a single line, but of two or more lines proceeding from the single focus or pole. I imagine Galton would have called Purkenje's "composite spiral" a "whorl," sub-type "twist" (see Plate 8, No. 52 and Plate 16, Nos. 36, 37, where, however, no name is provided). Purkenje does not figure his "composite." He refers to the "small triangles," Galton's "plots," "deltas" or "islands," under his definitions (iv) and (vi). This footnote will suffice to indicate the extent to which Purkenje anticipated Galton in matters of nomenclature. See also our Plate IX. 23—2 180 Life and Letters of Francis Galton that each print was about playing card size. Galton found that on repeated trials he did not, by inspection only, deal these out into the same classes. The same failure occurred when he selected standard types and endeavoured to sort into groups by aid of these. Mere judgment by the unaided eye is liable to be influenced by the intensity of inking of some ridges; two prints will not always give the same extent of pattern. "A third cause of error is still more serious; it is that patterns, especially those of a spiral form, may be apparently similar yet fundamentally unlike, the unaided eye being frequently unable to analyse them and to discern real differences" (p. 66). Accordingly Galton introduced his system of "outlining" the pattern. To this we have already referred in discussing his Phil. Trans, memoir (see our p. 164). His Plate 5, here reproduced as our Plate X, shows samples of outlined patterns. Whether it is needful for an expert always to outline is another question, but to become an expert in classification, it is undoubtedly necessary to gain experience in grouping by outlining, even if the classification is only to be in the broadest categories. The chief reason for this is that the existing classification schemes are in truth largely artificial. There is really no generic difference between a "tented arch" and a "tented loop," or between an "eyeletted loop" and a "small spiral in loop" which Galton reckons a whorl. There are numerous such cases where the classification can only be by arbitrary standardisation. We reproduce as our Plates XI, XII and XllI Galton's Plates 7, 8 and 6 which will aid any reader desirous of learning to classify by outlines; yet even then he will undoubtedly find rare patterns, which he can only hope to thrust into a miscellaneous group of "composites." Galton's Plates 9 and 10 (see our Plates XIV and XV) give threefold enlargements of troublesome transitional patterns, the first between arches and loops and the second between loops and whorls. The beginner should attempt to classify them, and then compare his results with Galton's views on pp. 79-80. /. Inner or Radial side from both sides / and 0 both absent. Spirals from / side above Rinds from neither side I and 0 both present Loops from / side from 0 side 0 absent Duplex Spirals from both sides upper supply from I side 0 side <£?v Spirals from 0 side 0. Outer or Ulnar aide Fig. 32. It is necessary to suppose the finger-prints are from the right hand. On pp. 80-81 Galton repeats the classification of his Phil. Trans. PLATE X Examples of the outlining of Patterns to assist Classification. The specimens are rolled impressions of natural size. Galton was the first writer on the subject to introduce "rolling." All impressions are now rolled, a and /are loops ; b, c, d, e,yand h are various types of whorls. Finger Prints, Plate 5. PLATE XI Outlines of Patterns in Arches and Loops. ARCHES. Plain Arch. Forked Arch. Tented Arch. (See Loops, 12.) (See Whorls, 22.) Arch with Ring. (See Whorls, 24.) LOOPS. (Ste Arches, 2.) ^ 9 Nascent Loop. Invaded Loop. 12 Tented Loop. 13 Crested Loop £yeletted Loop. (See Whorls, 21.) Loop with nascent curl. 18 (Set Whorls, 21.) (See Whorls, 22.) Galton's nomenclature as aids to description and classification. Arches and Loops. From Galton's Finger Prints, Plate 7. PLATE XII Outlines to Patterns in Whorls. Types of Cores. WHORLS. Small Spiral in Loop. Spiral in Loop. 22 Circlet in Loop. Ring in Loop to Rings. 24 Ellipses. 26 Spiro-rings. 27 Simple Spiral. Nascent Duplet Spiral. 29 Duplex Spiral. Banded Duplex Spiral. CORES to LOOPS. Rods :— their envelopes are Indicated by dots. fli /# //I) /§ (B 31 Single. 32 33 34 35 Eyed. Double. Multiple. Monkey. Staples : — their envelopes are indicated by dots. 3tf 37 38 39 40 41 42 Plain. {parted. I parted. J parted. Tuning fork. Single eyed. Doobleeyed. Envelopes whether to Rods or Staples :-here staples only are dotted. 43 44 46 46 47 46 Plain. J parted. J parted. } parted. Single eyed. Double eyed. CORES to WHORLS. !> 49 50 61 52 63 54 Circles, Ellipses. Spiral. Twist. Plait Deep Spiral Galton's nomenclature as aids to description and classification. From Galton's Finger Prints, Plate 8. f 6 | fl f tf( e 4 ((( 2 T5 'T 3r 1877 V. H. H-d 3r 1890 V. H. H-dl To illustrate Persistence of Pattern in Finger Prints. From Galton's Finger Prints, Plate 13. PLATE XVII Persistence of Finger-Print Patterns with corresponding minutiae like numbered. Intervals of 9, 9, 26, 28, 28, 30, 31 and 31 years. Galton's illustrations from HerschePs material, Finger Prints, Plate \i. Personal Identification and Description 183 While convinced that the chance of two individuals actually possessing the same finger-print in all its minutiae is infinitesimally small — as small as the chance that two woodcutters given the same topic would produce two blocks identical in every line and dot — yet one recognises that Galton's treatment, however ingenious, lacks the power of compelling conviction. Nature probably works more definitely to form a whole pattern than can be mimicked by Galton's 24 "independent variable" squares. He himself writes that "it is hateful to blunder in calculations of adverse chances, by overlooking correlations between variables, and to falsely assume them to be independent, with the result that inflated estimates are made which require to be proportionately reduced. Here, however, there seems to be little room for such an error." (p. 109.) It is the last sentence only we would call in question. After all it is the minutiae, rather than the pattern, by which identification is determined. Hence we might consider the problem as follows : These minutiae are not points, the ridges having a measurable thickness. Let us suppose a ridge-interval square to cover the area within which, if two such minutiae occurred in two prints under comparison, we should hold these minutiae to be identical in position. Galton's 6-ridge interval squares contain 36 little 1 -ridge interval squares, and the chance of a given minutiae occurring in one of these is — , say - roughly. Now Galton takes 24 such squares to a finger-print, and roughly there are 20 to 30 or even more minutiae in a print, say one to each 6-ridge interval square; then the probability that the minutiae will be placed each in its right compartment in its 6-ridge interval square is less than f —t I , i.e. less than —0 . Actually it is considerably less than this because although the minutiae do not tend to cluster each one of them is not con- fined to its own 6-ridge interval square. Further all minutiae are not alike, e.g. ridge terminals. I think we may suppose a far more random, that is, less correlated, distribution of minutiae, than of parts of a pattern, and still conclude with Galton that it is very unlikely that two persons in the universe have the same print on any digit, as judged by its minutiae, still less on all ten digits. Galton concludes this chapter characteristically as follows : " We read of the dead body of Jezebel being devoured by the dogs of Jezreel, so that no . man might say, 'This is Jezebel,' and that the dogs left only her skull, the palms of her hands, and the soles of her feet; but the palms of the hands and soles of the feet are the very remains by which a corpse might be most surely identified, if impressions of them during life were available." (p. 113.) Chapter VIII (pp. 114-130) is entitled Peculiarities of the Digits. The data Galton uses in this chapter are the prints of the ten digits of 500 different persons. His objects are twofold : (i) to find the association of particular patterns with the individual digits, and (ii) to determine, if a particular digit has a given pattern, what is the chance that any other digit will have the same pattern. In discussion of these problems Galton uses only the triple 184 Life and Letters of Francis Galton classification arch, loop, whorl, and states that by including forked arches and nascent loops (see our Plate XI, p. 181) as arches, he has given a more liberal interpretation to the latter category in the tables of this chapter than he has done elsewhere. His fundamental table is the following : Percentage Frequency of Arches, Loops and Whorls on the different Digits from Observations on 5000 Digits of 500 Persons. Digit Right Hand Left Hand Arch Loop Whorl Total Arch Loop Whorl Total Thumb Fore Finger Middle Finger Ring Finger Little Finger 3 17 7 2 1 53 53 78 53 86 44 30 15 45 13 100 100 100 100 100 5 17 8 3 2 65 55 76 66 90 30 28 16 31 8 100 100 100 100 100 Total 30 323 147 500 35 352 113 500 Percentage (Whole Hand) 6 65 29 100 7 70 23 100 From this table the following inferences may be drawn: The patterns are not distributed indifferently either on the hands or on the individual digits. The right hand has a redundancy of whorls and the left of loops. The Fore Finger and to a lesser extent the Middle Finger have a redundancy of arches, the Little Finger and the Middle Finger a redundancy of loops, while the Thumb, Fore Finger and Ring Finger have the highest number of whorls. When we compare the corresponding digits of the two hands, we see little differentiation of pattern in Fore Finger, Middle Finger or Little Finger, but a more marked difference between the Thumbs and Ring Fingers of the two hands. While in the first group the percentages differ- in the three fingers but are the same in the two hands, in the second group they are nearly the same in the two fingers but differ in the two hands (pp. 115-118). Dealing with the slope of the loop Galton notes that the "inner" slope is much the more rare of the two for all the fingers but the forefingers, where the proportions of inner to outer slopes are about in the ratio of 2 to 3 (397. and 617.)*. ,, ' . _ The second problem, that of the resemblance of pattern in different digits, is divided by Galton into two sections, that of the resemblance in the same digits of the two hands, and that of the resemblance of different digits either in the same or different hands. He omits the little fingers because in 86°/c to 90 7o of cases both are loops. * Purkenje appears to consider that while the inner slope is the more rare, it is actually in the forefingers in excess of the outer. Personal Identification and Description Percentage of Cases in which the same Class of Pattern occurs in the same Digits of the two Hands (500 Persons). 185 Couplets of Digits Arches Loops Whorls Total Two Thumbs Two Fore Fingers . . . Two Middle Fingers Two Ring Fingers 2 9 3 2 48 38 65 46 24 20 9 26 74 67 77 74 Mean of Total 72 This table as it stands is not very illuminating ; take for example the middle fingers, and suppose there was no association of pattern between the same digits of the two hands. Then from the previous table the percentage probability of both being loops would be 100 x t^Xt^ = 59"370- Similarly the percentage chances of both being arches and whorls are 0"6°/o and 2*4 °/o respectively. Accordingly we must conclude that 62°/0 of the observed 77° j0 of coincidences would arise from mere chance, if the patterns were indepen- lent; it is the 15 °/0 balance which really marks the tendency to resemblance. Walton's second table (p. 120) is as follows: Percentage of Cases in which the same Class of Pattern occurs in various Couplets of different Digits (500 Persons). Couplets of Digits Of Same Hands Of Opposite Hands Arches Loops Whorls Total Arches Loops Whorls Total Thumb and Fore Finger Thumb and Middle Finger Thumb and Ring Finger Fore and Middle Fingers Fore and Ring Fingers Middle and Ring Fingers 2 1 1 5 2 2 35 48 40 48 35 50 16 9 20 12 17 13 53 58 61 65 54 65 2 1 1 5 2 2 33 47 38 46 35 50 15 8 18 11 17 12 50 56 57 62 54 64 Means of the Totals 59 57 The remarkable part of this table is that no marked change occurs in the percentage of resemblances whether the couplet of digits is from the same or opposite hands. Of this result Galton writes: " Though the unanimity of the results is wonderful, they are fairly arrived at, and leave no doubt that the relationship of any one particular digit, whether thumb, fore, middle, ring or little finger, to any other particular digit is the same, whether the two digits are on the same or opposite hands. It would be a most interesting subject of statistical inquiry to ascertain whether the distribution of malformations, or of the various forms of skin disease among the digits, corroborates this unexpected and remarkable result. I am sorry to have no means of undertaking it, being assured on good authority that no adequate collection of the necessary data has yet been published." (p. 122.) PGiii 24 186 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Here again we have to remember that the amount of resemblance is not really measured by the numbers given ; they might, as in the previous case, be merely the result of chance. Let us work out how much is due to chance in the case of the thumb and ring finger. Percentage of Cases in which the same Class of Pattern occurs in Thumb and Ring Finger. How found Of Same Hands Of Opposite Hands Arches Loops Whorls Total Arches Loops Whorls Total Observed Chance 1 0 40 36 20 15 61 51 1 0 38 35 18 13 57 48 Difference 1 4 5 10 1 3 5 9 The numbers remain very close, when we have deducted the resemblances due to chance, but perhaps do not look so impressive. Only about one-sixth of the resemblances in both cases can be attributed to the organic relationship. Galton, on pp. 122-129, discusses a somewhat unusual method of deter- mining the degree of association between the patterns on any two digits. To illustrate it let us take loops on the ring fingers of left and right hands. These occur in 660/o and 53°/o of cases. Or, the chance of a loop is — if the results were independent — 100 xT%^ x ^^ = 35% nearly. The maximum possible number of loops common to the two fingers is 53% and the actually observed number is 46°/c. We have then the three numbers 35, 46 and 53. Galton takes the first as a zero relationship and the last as a perfect relationship, which is represented by him as 100°. On the scale in which 35 represents 0° and 53, 100°, we must have 46 = 48-35 53-3S 100° = 4^ 100° = 61° He gives a table for these grades of association on p. 129 between digits of the same and of different hands. According to this table the highest relation- ship is between whorls on the middle and ring fingers (74°) and the lowest between loops on fore and ring fingers (13°). Galton is himself somewhat doubtful as to this method of measuring association, and I have not accordingly reproduced his full table (p. 129). In Chapter IX (pp. 131-146) Galton deals with Methods of Indexing. It does not carry us far beyond the Royal Society Proceedings paper (see our pp. 170-174). In his main method Galton breaks up only the loops on the forefingers into "inner" and "outer."* He represents these by i and o. Thus five symbols are used : a = arch, I = loop, w = whorl, and i = inner loop on forefinger, o = outer loop on forefinger. He breaks his ten-letter index into four groupsf , i.e. K hand, fore, middle and ring fingers; L. hand, fore, middle * The reader must remember that the finger-print is reversed, and not be surprised at Galton labelling "inner" what appears to the reader, looking at his hand, as an "outer" slope. f The reason for this has already been referred to (see our p. 184), namely, the greater variety in the types of forefinger prints. Personal Identification and Description 187 and ring fingers; R. hand, thumb and little finger; and finally L. hand, thumb and little finger. Thus Galton's own index formula (see his prints on our p. 138) is wlw, oil, wl, vol. He indexes 100 individuals in this manner. On the basis of 500 sets of digits he gives the frequency per cent, of all index-headings which occur more often than l°/0- The worst of these is oil, oil, 11, 11, which occurs in 4°/0 of occurrences. Thus, if we were dealing with 100,000 cases, we might have to search among 4000 individuals with this index-heading. The rapid fall in the number of entries having only a single individual is evidenced by the following returns which Gal ton gives on his p. 141 : Total Number of Entries 100 300 500 Percentage of Entries which are the sole members of their class 63 0 49-0 39-8 When we come therefore to indices which embrace 50,000 to 100,000 individuals, it will be seen that it may be needful to go through a large number of the cards on the o, i, a, I, w system of indexing before we identify a given individual. Thus even with the use of inner and outer loops on the forefingers, the great frequency of loops renders this system cumbersome for large finger-print collections. I do not think that Galton in 1892, although he suggests (p. 145) counting approximately the ridges, saw his way clearly out of this difficulty of loop redundancy. Possibly he did not fully realise the difference between his small collections and those of a national index of criminals. In this chapter Galton describes the form of card he used for printing and his manner of storing such cards (p. 145). Chapter X is entitled Personal Identification. This chapter contains much of general interest, which, however, we can only afford space to sum- marise briefly here. After referring to the ease with which any printer could take finger-impressions Galton again emphasises the suitability of the photographer for this work (see our p. 155), as not only can he easily enlarge prints, but he keeps an index to his negatives. Galton then passes to the many purposes for which identification is not only desirable but necessary. He cites some very interesting remarks (pp. 150-152) of Major Ferris, of the Indian Staff Corps, who, ignorant of Herschel's work, had found the same series of difficulties in identification and who had seen with much appreciation the finger-print method of identification at work in Galton's Laboratory — even as Sir E. It. Henry did later. In the next place Galton gives on the whole a favourable account of bertillonage (pp. 154-158), questioning, however, the statements made as to the independence of the characters measured ; Bertillon had asserted without demonstrating this independence. Galton shows from data of a similar kind drawn from his own Anthropometric Laboratory that such variables are not independent. Starting with five characters, head length, head breadth, span, sitting height, and middle-finger length, he shows that 167 out of 500 persons 24—2 188 Life and Letters of Francis Galton measured fall into classes in which there are 7 to 24 repetitions*. But even the group of 24 individuals could be separated out by taking finer divisions of the head measurements than the three classes and introducing seven eye- colour classes. I think Galton was not unnaturally critical of bertillonage, because it started by theoretically asserting the independence of measurements which he knew to be correlated^ ; it did in fact overlook one of his greatest discoveries, the quantitative measurement of the correlation of bodily measure- ments. Nevertheless Galton is fair to the results of the system : " It would appear from these and other data, that a purely anthropometric classification, irrespective of bodily marks and photographs, would enable an expert to deal with registers of considerable size... it seems probable that with comparatively few exceptions, at least two thousand adults of the same sex might be individualised, merely by means of twelve careful measures, on the Bertillon system, making reasonable allowances for that small change of pro- portions that occurs after a lapse of a few years, and for inaccuracies of measurement. This estimate may be far below the truth, but more cannot be safely inferred from the above very limited experiment." (p. 163.) It may be remarked that Bertillon does not appear to have made even such a limited experiment before he started his vast collection on the basis of his "independence" dogma! Some account is then given of an American system of identification in the case of recruits and deserters. It seems to be based on height, age (how judged ?), hair and eye colours for indexing purposes and then on a careful record of the body-marks placed on outline figures. Body-marks form of course an important factor of bertillonage (pp. 164-5). Galton remarks that no system he knows of appears to take account of the teeth. If teeth are absent when a man is first examined, they will be absent when he is ex- amined a second time. He may have lost others in addition, but the fact of his having lost certain specified teeth prevents his being mistaken for a man who still possesses them (p. 166). M. Herbette, speaking at the International Prison Congress in Rome, remarked of bertillonage : " In one word, to 6x the human personality, to give to each human being an identity, an individuality which can be depended upon with certainty, lasting, unchangeable, always recognisable and easily adduced, this appears to be in the largest sense the aim of the new method." Galton fitly remarks that these perspicacious words are even more ap- plicable to the method of finger-prints than to that of anthropometry. Bertillonage can rarely supply more than grounds for very strong suspicion, finger-prints alone are amply sufficient to produce absolute conviction of identity. Number of Repetitions 7 8 9 10 11 14 19 24 Number of Individuals 28 8 18 20 22 28 19 24 t Some of the Bertillon measurements are indeed highly correlated. See Macdonell, Biometrika, Vol. i, pp 202, 212. Personal Identification and Description 189 Chapter XI (pp. 170-191) discusses the suhject of Heredity in finger-prints. This is a most difficult problem ; it is not only that certain fingers favour certain classes of patterns, but that certain patterns classed in different broad groups are closely associated with each other. If we classify merely in arches, loops and whorls, we may find two kinsmen who have really kindred patterns, e.g. one having a plain arch and the other a nascent loop, classified as being as widely apart, as if the one had shown a tented arch and the other a twined loop. Again, supposing an extremely rare pattern occurs on the ring finger of one kinsman, and on the forefinger of the second, are we to dismiss this from our consideration of hereditary resemblance? It is almost inconceivable that a mere Arch-Loop-Whorl classification, especially if confined to a few fingers, can provide a true measure of inheritance although it may demonstrate that heredity is a factor of finger-print determination. Galton, in his first series of observations, confines himself to the fraternal relationship (boys and girls) of 105 pairs, dealing with right hand forefinger only and using the simple Arch- Loop-Whorl system. As we have remarked, this may show the existence of heredity, but it cannot really measure its intensity. He obtains the following table : Observed Fraternal Coiqrtets. First Child Second Child Arch Loop Whorl Total Arch Loop Whorl 5 (1-7) [10] 4 1 12 42 (37-6) [61] 14 2 15 10 (6-2) [25] 19 61 25 Total 10 68 27 105 Galton then pays attention only to the numbers occurring in the diagonal column, i.e. identical prints in the fraternal couplet with the Arch-Loop- Whorl classification. The numbers in round brackets are what are to be randomly expected, the numbers in square brackets, the highest values attainable for resemblance, on the hypothesis of independence of the marginal totals. In every case the observed values lie between the random and the highest values and Galton takes this as evidence of heredity. It will be seen that Galton is here aiming if rather ineffectually at some process like the modern method of contingency. If we apply now his method of centesimal grades we find for the degree of resemblance : Arches: 39'80; Loops: 18-8°; Whorls: 20-2°. Of these the last two are probably equal within the error of random sampling. The first shows about double the relationship of the other two. I do not believe this is due to a greater intensity of the force of heredity in arches than loops, but solely to the fact that arches form a relatively rare and homogeneous group, while loops and whorls are conglomerates and the use of 190 Life and Letters of Francis Galton these terms tends to obscure finer resemblances. This peculiarity of the loops recurs in further investigations made by Galton with the aid of Howard Collins, and the former writes : " I am unable to account for this curious behaviour of the loops, which can hardly be due to statistical accident, in the face of so much concurrent evidence." (p. 185.) But I think the explanation lies in the fact that resemblance is lost when a very broad category such as "loops" is taken. Galton, however, did see the difficulties of the Arch-Loop-Whorl classifica- tion, though not as far as I can judge of the limitation due to "corresponding finger." He accordingly prepared a set of 53 standard patterns, of which 46 are in pairs for "inner" and "outer," i.e. each pair is a mirror reversal. They are for the right hand, and the numbers of each pair of the last 46 must be reversed when we deal with the left hand. He calls this the " (7-set ol Standard Patterns," as Mr Howard Collins performed most of the tabulation under the C-set of patterns. The data consisted of right fore, middle and ring fingers in 150 couplets of siblings*, 900 digits in all. Unluckily the "C-set of Standard Patterns" is in one, the most important, respect almost as defective as the Arch-Loop-Whorl classification. While in the former treatment 129 out of 210 finger-prints fell into the loop category here 291 out of 900 finger-prints fall under the pattern No. 42, which is practically the simple loop; it is clear that this standard set of 53 patterns has failed to meet the inherent difficulty of breaking up the bulk of the loops. Our author proceeds in the same way to deal only with complete re semblances, i.e. he deals only with the diagonal of his contingency table, disregarding the possibility that a deBciency below the random value may be as important in measuring association as an excess above that value. Com- paring in this way random values, observed values and maximum possible values, and applying his method of the centesimal scale, Galton obtains the following results: Resemblance of Siblings, 150 Couplets: forefinger, 9°; middle finger, 10° ; ring finger, 12°. We have no probable error given for this method of computing association, but it may be to some extent estimated by the fact that an additional 50 couplets, worked out for middle finger only, gave a value of 21°. For loops on the middle finger only, the 150 couplets gave r25°, and the 50 couplets 8°, indicating little if any association. In nearly all cases the random values were below the observed; in the few cases where they are not so they were only slightly in excess. I think there is enough to show that fraternal resemblance exists, but I personally hold that the classification is rather inadequate, and the statistical method of reduction is unsound. Galton next turns (p. 185) to the degree of resemblance in twins. Here he has two series, each of 1 7 sets of twins for the fore, middle and ring fingers of the right hand. In the first series 19 of the 51 finger-print pairs gave the same pattern for the same fingers of both twins, 13 gave partial resemblance and 19 disagreement. Or, as he puts it, of 17 sets of three fingers, two * Pairs of children with the same parents without regard to sex. > X EH < — Q X ffyjCMOQ punW Q Z < X h X U I— « CO i J o CO E- &. hlQOJlOQ punjAl Personal Identification and Description 191 sets agreed in all their three couplets of fingers; four sets in two, and five sets in one of their couplets. There are instances of partial agreement in five others, and only complete disagreement in one. Of the second series of 17 twins Galton contents himself by saying that two sets agreed in two of their couplets and five agreed in one, without giving details. He concludes that : " there cannot be the slightest doubt as to the strong tendency to resemblance in the finger patterns of twins." (p. 186.) Unfortunately Galton gives no measure of the probability of the random occurrence of similar resemblances, and we are unable to compare what is the relative degree of resemblance of twins and ordinary siblings. Perhaps the best appreciation the reader can rapidly form of the degree of resemblance in the finger-prints of like twins can be obtained by carefully examining our Plate XVIII which gives the finger-prints of a pair of like twins from the Galtoniana. The last problem Galton touches on is that of parental heredity. Here he has only 27 pairs of parents, whom he chooses because on one of the three fingers, fore, middle, or ring, they have the same pattern. He has 4 cases of the forefinger, 14 of the middle finger and 9 of the ring finger. These 27 pairs of parents have 44 sons and 65 daughters; 22 out of the 44 sons, 37 out of the 65 daughters have the same pattern on the same finger as their parents. In 19 cases out of the 27 both parents had loops of type No 42, and in 48 cases out of their 75 children there was also a loop on the same finger; that is to say, in about 64 °/„ of cases, while the normal percentage is about 33 °/0- Thus, according to Galton's method, the resemblance is about 48°. This seems to show a much greater value for filial resemblance in looping than had been found for fraternal resemblance. Yet in analysing these parental sets, Galton is rather apt to desert the method he adopted for fraternal resemblances, namely, of terming two points like or unlike according as they are of the same or not the same pattern in his C-set of 53 patterns. Thus he has 3 parental sets with No. 14 tendrilled loops; they have 17 children of whom only 3 have No. 14 pattern; he says, however, that No. 14 counts as a whorl, and that the 17 have 11 whorls and only 6 loops. Few, however, of the remaining 8 whorls bear close resemblance to No. 14. Galton gives no general measurement of parental heredity. This raises, indeed, the broad question whether it is really the pattern which is inherited, or merely a tendency to arch, to loop, or to whorl with- out regard to the individual character of the pattern. Galton remarks (p. 187) that the finger-prints of twins while tending to be of the same pattern, cannot be mistaken one for the other; in other words, the number of ridges and the minutiae differ*. Thence he leads us to a very fertile suggestion, which neither he nor anyone else later, so far as I know, has ever worked out : " It may be mentioned that I have an inquiry in view, which has not yet been fairly begun, owing to the want of sufficient data, namely to determine the minutest biological unit that may be hereditarily transmissible. The minutiae in the finger-prints of twins seem suitable objects for the purpose." (p. 187.) * Our Plate XVIII suggests that Galton in this statement has somewhat over-emphasised the divergence between the finger-prints of twins. 192 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon The last section of this chapter is entitled the Relative Influence of the Father and the Mother. The fore, middle, and ring fingers of the right hand of the father and mother of 1 36 sons and 219 daughters were tabled under the 53 standard patterns, and I present Galton and Collins' results in the form of percentages of likenesses found in the case of the three fingers. It will be seen that for the fore and ring fingers there is no difference. Percentages of Same Finger-prints in Parents and Offspring on the basis of 136 Sons and 219 Daughters. Relationship Fore Finger Middle Finger Ring Finger Total Percentage of Sameness Father and Son Father and Daughter 12-5 •/. 13-2 7o 25-7 7 23-5 7° 20-6 7 14-0 7° 58-8 74 54.7 o, 50-7 7 J M ' >° Mother and Son Mother and Daughter 13-2 7 17-4 7° 36-8 7 34-3 7° 19-1 7 16-0 7° 69-1 7J fis ... 67-7 °/J 68 4 /- I think it may be safely inferred from these percentages : (i) that the Son has no greater degree of resemblance to the Father than the Daughter has ; (ii) that the Son has no greater degree of resemblance to the Mother than the Daughter has; (iii) that there is no sensible degree of difference between the resem- blances of Father and Mother to their offspring in the fore and ring fingers; (iv) that there does appear to be a difference in the middle finger, and this alone causes the Mother's total of resemblances to be greater than the Father's. Are we to assert as a result of these conclusions (a) that the heredity factor has greater influence in the case of the middle finger, and (b) that the mother has more influence than the father on the finger-prints of the offspring? Galton does not pledge himself to (b), but merely throws it out as a suggestion. We must, however, note that the resemblances here given include not only the hereditary but the organic factor, and the values of the per- centages given if they were corrected for random agreement might show very different results. The middle finger has a far higher percentage of loops (see the table on our p. 184) than the fore or ring fingers, hence there will be a far larger number of random coincidences to be corrected for. Until that is done we cannot accept (a) as true on the basis of the above table. Further, Galton has not given the digital distribution of patterns for the two sexes, and if these be not the same we cannot straightaway assume that (b) holds, or indeed that either parent has the like influence on son and daughter. Personal Identification and Description 193 I have discussed this chapter at length, primarily because Galton was undoubtedly the first to take up the subject of the inheritance of finger- print patterns, and it is desirable that later workers should see how he approached the problem, and so try to avoid the difficulties be encountered. Our statistical tools are better now than such tools were in 1892, but still the problem remains of transcendent difficulty. Secondly, I have done so because Galton provides as usual many suggestions for further inquiry. Here as else- where we come across the urgent problem of a standard set of patterns, which will subdivide plain loops into small approximately equal subclasses. Galton's set of 53 standard patterns provides at once too many and too few. There is no great advantage gained by dividing whorls into "inner" and "outer," and the division of loops into "inner" and "outer" is not division enough. Chapter XII (pp. 192-197) deals with Races and Classes. Galton obtained finger-print series for the English, Pure Welsh, Hebrew, Negro and Basque races. These were dealt with in a variety of ways and he concluded that there was no peculiar pattern which characterises persons of the above races. Many tabulations to discover racial differentiations appear to have been made without any great success. As an illustration Galton gives the following table: Percentages of Arches in the Right Forefinger. Number of Persons Race Percentage 250 250 1332 250 English Welsh Hebrew- Negro 13-6 10-8 7-9 11-3 Galton considers that there may be a significant difference between the percentages of arches in the English and Hebrew races. Now the probable error of his percentage value for English is 1*5 with a slightly greater value for the Welsh and Negro. Accordingly we see that the three series of 250 are too small to show significant differences if they really exist between these three races. The difference between Hebrew and English is 3 to 4 times its probable error and may be significant. The point needs further inquiry on longer series. Although no statistical differentiation of the Negro was found, Galton remarks: "Still, whether it be from pure fancy on my part, or from some real peculiarity, the general aspect of the Negro print strikes me as characteristic. The width of the ridges seems more uniform, their intervals more regular, and their courses more parallel than with us. In short, they give an idea of greater simplicity, due to causes that I have not yet succeeded in submitting to the test of measurement." (p. 196.) Galton considers that this matter should be pursued further, especially "among the Hill tribes of India, Australian blacks and other diverse and so- called aboriginal races." I would venture to add the amplest study of the PGIII 25 194 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Oriental Races, Japanese, Chinese, Aino and Tibetans, whose anthropological characters are so distinctive *. Further, an investigation should be made of the finger-prints of prehistoric man, especially of palaeolithic man in the caves f- Nay, we may go back further and ask what are the finger-prints of Tarsius, to whom some anatomists, at any rate in the matter of the hand, believe man to be more closely linked than to the anthropoids. The ancestry of man might possibly be illuminated by still further study of the primates' finger- prints. It is almost impossible to believe that the Urmensch had all men's present finger-print patterns scattered in a roughly promiscuous way over his digits! If he had, then it forms a huge stumbling-block in the evolution of man from a primate form. Galton concludes his chapter by stating that he has studied the finger- prints of men of much culture and of scientific achievement, of labourers and artists and of the worst idiots. " I have prints of eminent thinkers, and of eminent statesmen that can be matched by those of congenital idiots. No indications of temjjerament, character, or ability can be found in finger marks, so far as I have been able to discover." (p. 197.) Chapter XIII (pp. 198-212), the final chapter, is entitled Genera, and as it is substantially a reproduction of the matter on this topic in the Philo- sophical Transactions (see our pp. 167-169), it seems unnecessary to analyse its contents or repeat the criticisms already made on it by the present writer. Taking Galton's work as a whole we have to remember that it is the first treatise on finger-printing and none has been published since. That it is full of novel matter and teems with suggestions. That from the time of Purkenje (1823) to Alix (1868) there had been no scientific contribution to the subject, nor anything published which could provide Galton with material for study, until his own Royal Society memoirs were issued. The whole of the scientific treatment of finger-prints and the art of identification by means of them, now spread over the civilised world, arose from Galton's labours, especially those in this book. If anyone doubts this let him point to a single scientific memoir on identification by finger-prints which antedates Galton's publica- tions, or his campaign for finger-printing as an expert art. No one can realise how insignificant were the results before Galton, who has not read his Finger Prints. Decipherment of Blurred Finger Prints, 1893. In the following year Galton issued a booklet of the above title, with the subtitle Supplementary Chapter to "Finger Prints." Slender as is this volume (18 pp.), the important part of which consists of sixteen plates, it is again a pioneer work. It shows for the first time in numerous instances how evidence should be prepared which might convince a jury of the identity of two finger-prints, even if one or both those prints are badly impressed, or, as Galton puts it, "blurred." * I have already indicated why I do not think the researches of Kubo or Collins conclusive as to racial differences. See the footnote p. 140 above. t See E. Stockis, " Le dessin papillaire digital dans l'art prehistorique," Revue Anlhropo- logique, annee 30, 1920, p. xliii et seq. Personal Identification and Description 195 " The registration of finger-prints of criminals, as a means of future identification, has been thought by some to be of questionable value on two grounds — first, that ordinary officials would fail to take them with sufficient sharpness to be of use; secondly, that no jury would convict on finger-print evidence. These objections deserve discussion, and would perhaps by themselves have justified a supplementary chapter to my book. It happens, however, that there are strong concurrent reasons for writing it. I have lately come into possession of the impressions of the fore and middle fingers of the right hand of eight different persons made by ordinary officials, in the first instance in the year 1878 and secondly in 1892. They not only supply a text for discussing both of the above objections, but they also afford new evidence of the persistence of the minutiae, that is of the forks, islands and enclosures, found in the capillary ridges." (p. 1.) The reader will remember (see our p. 176) that Sir W. J. Herschel in 1877 had taken finger-prints for the registration of deeds at Hooghly. Galton in his Finger Prints (p. 89) had suggested that it might be well worth while to hunt up such of these Hindoos as were still alive and retake their finger-prints. Through the mediation of Sir William it was possible to obtain from the magistrate and sub-registrar of Hooghly not only fresh prints of the fore and middle finger-prints of eight persons, who had impressed their finger-prints in the Register of Deeds of 1878, but also these earlier prints themselves. In all cases the range of interval was about 14 years, so that Galton got evidence of persistence roughly between the following ages: I, 51 to 65; II, 50 to 64; III, 38 to 52; IV, 28 to 42; V, 48 to 62; VI, 38 to 52; VII, 40 to 54; VIII, 32 to 46 (p. 4). But his task was not an easy one; not only were the paper* and the inking on both earlier and later prints very defective, but the prints were not rolled prints and in a number of cases only a portion of the bulb had been impressed. Thus some of the minutiae were lost on each separate print and this in itself caused a double loss on comparison. Galton contented himself with a full discussion of eight out of the sixteen finger-prints and found the following results : Personal Number Finger Number of Agreements Number of Disagreements Patterns I II III IV V VI VII VIII Fore Middle Middle Fore Fore Fore Middle Fore 9 5 21 19 7 19 15 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Loop Loop Whorl Whorl Loop Loop Loop Whorl Average — 15-6 0 — Galton discusses each finger in detail (pp. 11-15), commenting on various peculiarities and difficulties. He remarks that his evidence for correspondence * They were on a common kind of native-made paper, worm eaten, with many holes Several of the Hindoos were old for their race and showed signs of much manual labour wearing down the sharpness of the ridges. 25—2 196 Life and Letters of Francis Galton is drawn from the minutiae and not from the general pattern ; for though no one can mistake a decided whorl for a decided loop, lesser differences are often deceptive to the untrained eye, especially when only a portion of the pattern has been impressed. But the chief interest of Gal ton's present work lies not in the identification of poor impressions at fourteen years' interval by aid of their minutiae but in his manner of presenting the evidence. His aim is to show that rough impressions such as may be taken by ordinary officials (or left behind by the burglar) can be made to afford evidence strong enough to convince a jury that two finger-prints had been made by the same person. "It is of course supposed that the cogency of the finger-print argument will be presented to the jury in that lucid and complete form in which it is the business of barristers to state and support their case, when they are satisfied of the integrity of the evidence on which it is based" (p. 2). Galton's method is best grasped from his plates rather than from a verbal description. He first enlarges his prints 2^ times photographically. The enlargements, eight to the page, occupy Plates I-IV. These give him a general impression of the patterns, and the particular cases and the parts of the particular cases he considers it desirable to study further. These selected parts of particular cases are now photo- graphically enlarged to seven times natural size. These enlargements occupy Plates V-VIII, and are printed in black. Thus far the work, except for the choice of parts, has been largely mechanical. Now comes the labour of the expert: the outlining of the ridges on these blurred prints. In doing this tracing paper may be used by the draughtsman, but Galton thinks a better plan is to do the outlining on the back of the print placed against a pane of the window or on a photographic retouching frame. "The axes should be drawn with a finely-pointed pencil, and with care, down the middle of the ridges. Slap-dash attempts are almost sure to be failures. It is advisable to take pains to determine a common starting point, before proceeding to draw any lines at all ; then to proceed from point to point in the two prints alternately, at first with wariness but afterwards much more freely The continuous course of every line has to be made out from beginning to end, and the lines must nowhere be too crowded or too wide apart, and they must all flow in easy and appropriate curves ; also as much regard must be paid to such blanks as are not obviously due to bad printing as to the markings. The general effect of these conditions is that a mistake in deciphering any one part of the impression nearly always introduces confusion at some other part, where the lines refuse to fit in." (pp. 10-11.) On Plates IX-XII Galton gives his outlinings, the blurred ridges being now printed in orange with the outlining in black, still on a sevenfold scale. Tiny circles mark the ends or beginnings of ridges, but as Galton warns his readers some of these may well be forks (see his p. 8 and our pp. 165, 181). Lastly Galton provides on the same sevenfold scale the outlinings of the ridges without the blurred ridges at all. Here in the juxtaposed prints corresponding minutiae are given the same small numbers, so that it is perfectly easy to refer to one after another of the correspondences. The whole series of plates forms a singularly lucid illustration of what it is possible to do even with badly printed and partial impressions. No reasonably thought- ful counsel ought with such evidence to fail to convince a jury that Dwarika I— I X W < ■J — PLATE \\ Selected Corresponding Portions of the Hooghly Doublets (1878 and 1892) from Plate XIX. Enlarged Beven times preparatory to drawing central lines of ridges, m«m&>&* PLATE XXI Skeleton Charts of the Central Lines of the Ridges of the Hooghly Doublets 1878 and 1892, drawn by aid of tracing paper from the prints on Plate XX. Corresponding numbers in upper and lower prints indicate persistence of minutiae. PLATE XXII Superposition of Central Lines of Ridges on enlarged Finger-Prints, i.e. Plate XXI overprinted on Plate XX, reproduced in fainter ink. Personal Identification and Description 197 Nath Banerji, who had impressed his fingers in 1892 afresh, was the same man who had impressed them on Deed No. 28 in 1878 ! We reproduce Galton's: Plate II, Plate III left-hand side, Plate IV left-hand side (see our Plate XIX); Plate VI and Plate VIII (see our Plate XX) ; Plate X and Plate XII (see our Plate XXI); Plate XIV and Plate XVI (see our Plate XXII). These plates form the best — a graphical — illustration of Galton's methods. On pp. 1 7 -1 8, we have some useful suggestions as to enlargingfinger-prints, but such work is now much more generally understood and accurately done than in 1892. Galton's two enlarging cameras are in the possession of the Gal ton Laboratory (see our p. 215). Our Author concludes with the following remarks : " Photographic enlargements save a great deal of petty trouble. It is far easier to deal exhaustively with them than it is with actual impressions viewed under a magnifying glass. In the latter case, a few marked correspondences, or the reverse, can readily be picked out, and perhaps noted by the prick of a fine needle, the point of a pin being much too coarse. It is thus easy to make out whether a suspicious print deserves the trouble of photographic enlargement, but without previous enlargement a thorough comparison between two prints is difficult even to an expert, and no average juryman could be expected to make it." (p. 18.) The Second Attempt at Indexing Finger- Prints. Galton provided another Finger-Print Index to 100 persons in July 1894. It is entitled "Physical Index to 100 persons on their measures and finger-prints (set up in two parts as an experiment)? Here the two parts consist: first, of an index based primarily on five measurements as in bertillonage, and secondarily on finger- prints; and again of an index based primarily on finger-prints, and secondarily on the five measurements. I cannot find that this index was ever published although it appears to have been printed, stereotyped and circulated among Galton's friends and correspondents. It possesses in arrangement greater brevity than that of the Finger Print Directories of the following year, and yet gives more information since the anthropometric measurements and certain other data are included. The whole space occupied by any entry is 36 x 17 mm., and Galton considers that, if the entries were cut up and pasted on to cards, "a cabinet of 27 broad and shallow drawers measuring, over all, less than 12 inches in height and 4| feet in width, would contain more than 100,000 of these small cards arranged as a catalogue." Each entry or label consists of four lines (see table on p. 198). In the first line on the left is the anthropometric formula, on the right the finger- print formula. These are the bases on which the indices of Part I and Part II respectively are formed, the entries being made in order of letters and numbers in the formulae taken in consecutive order. The second line gives the five anthropometric measurements in the order from left to right of (i) head length, (ii) head breadth, (iii) extreme breadth between cheek bones, (iv) length of left cubit, (v) length of left middle finger. To obtain the anthropometric formula, these are divided into a, I, w, which signify short, medium, long. The medium limits are for (i) 191 to 196, 198 Life and Letters of Francis Galton (ii) 150 to 156, (iii) 129 to 136, (iv) 450 to 464, (v) 113 to 116, all inclusive. The danger of the anthropometric formula will arise when we have one or more measurements in the neighbourhood of these limits. Galton uses the five-symbol classification for his finger-print formula, namely A = arch, L = loop, W = whorl, U and R being used for ulnar and radial loops on forefingers only. He adopts the numerical abbreviations of his later work, i.e. \=aa or A A, 2 = al or AL, 3=aw or AW, A=la or LA, 5 = 11 or LL, 6 = Iw or L W, 7 = wa or WA , 8 = wl or WL, 9 = ww or WW. The third line is the secondary classification of the finger-prints, but he takes only the following six fingers in the order : fore, middle and ring fingers of the right hand, and then fore, middle and ring fingers of the left hand. In the secondary classification the symbols Galton uses are those of his Finger Print Directories with two additions, i.e. b = partially burnt by fire or chemicals, or so spoilt by work as to leave granulations in place of ridges, and m = the pattern is minute, so small that two specimens of the characteristic portion would occupy less space than that covered by a single dabbed print. As there is no secondary classification for thumb or little finger, the description is not so full as in the later work. Ridges are counted in the same manner as we describe on pp. 201-2 ; and are given for the forefingers when they are loops, and for the middle finger when it is needful to distinguish between individuals having the same primary classifications. The fourth line gives the initials of the subject, the year of birth, the year of measurement, and the registered number of the subject, so that his finger-prints may be found. The following individual cases will illustrate the compactness of the arrange- ment and explain its interpretation : 58a A6 B5, 88 89«> lib Rb, 55 47a WG W6, 88 196 153 138 454 111 203 151 137 486 121 195 148 140 446 111 v • v 8' ■ - * — 6 16 — || 2a — y O V 0 wv G.K. 1862-94 6590 C. J. E. 1870-94 6547 G. A. 1839-94 6578 They are taken from the finger-print index. 58a = llwla ; thus G. K., whose finger-prints were registered as No. 6590 and who was born in 1862 and measured when he was 32 years old, was in the medium classes for length and breadth of head and for left cubit ; he was wide in bizygomatic or cheek bone width and had a short left middle finger; the second line gives his actual measurements. His finger-print formula was ALW, RLL, WL, WL. Both his thumbs were whorls, and his little fingers loops; no further information is given. His right forefinger was an arch, there being a needle or racquet- shaped ridge therein ; his right middle finger was a loop invaded by a blunt system of ridges; his right ring finger was a whorl with a racquet-shaped core. On the left hand the forefinger was a radial loop, and the ring finger a non- radial loop, the middle finger was a non-radial loop with the inner part of the Personal Identification and Description 199 pattern more or less hooked. C. J. E. was born in 1870 and measured when 24 years old. His finger-prints will be found under register number 6547. His anthropometric formula is 89w = ivlwww, or he is of medium head breadth, but large in all his other measurements. His finger-print formula is U5R5,55 = ULL, RLL, LL, LL, or he belongs to the class of which all the ten prints are loops. We are only- told that the right forefinger has an ulnar and the left a radial loop. The number of ridges on the right forefinger is 6, and on the right middle finger 16. The left forefinger with its radial loop has only two ridges and might also be called an arch (a) ; the left ring finger loop has a racquet-shaped core. Finally G. A., born in 1839 and measured at 55 years of age, has for register number 6578. His anthropometric formula is i7a — lawaa, or he is small in head breadth, left cubit and left middle finger, medium in head length and large in facial breadth (bizygomatic). His finger-print formula is W6 W6, 88= WLW, WLW, WL, WL. Thus his thumbs are whorls and both his little fingers loops; both his fore- fingers are whorls with well-defined rings round the core ; his right middle finger is a loop invaded by a blunt system of ridges and the same is true for the left middle finger, the print of which might, however, be mistaken for a whorl; there is no characterisation for either ring finger beyond the statement that both are whorls. It is clear that Galton was at this date feeling his way up to a more com- plete secondary classification. Dropping the anthropometric data — although be it remembered they are useful when the police need to give the public some rough particulars of a criminal — there is ample space for a full 10-digit print formula in the first line, which would get much more differentiation into the uncharacterised L's and W's. Something of this was introduced by Galton into his Finger- Print Directories of the following year, and we shall see that it can be easily extended. We note that for the all-loops formulae he introduces ridge counting on fore and middle fingers, and this was the method adopted by Henry from Galton, although he then proceeded for ridge frequency to follow Bertillon in using only broad categories. Galton admits that this index was only experimental, but its arrangement is suggestive especially in the cases where anthropometric measurements are also desirable. It has the advantage that as the frequency under any formula increases, it is always feasible to add more detailed secondary classification in the third line. For example, it would be at once feasible in the last illustration to break up the six whorls into those fed radially, ulnarly or from both sides, and again into right-handed and left-handed screw classes. The Final Work on Indexing Finger- Prints. Galton's third volume on the subject of finger prints appeared in 1895 ; it is entitled Finger Print Directories, and is gracefully dedicated to Sir William J. Herschel*. The main purpose * " I do myself the pleasure of dedicating this book to you, in recognition of your initiative in employing finger-prints in official signatures, nearly forty years ago, and in grateful remembrance of the invaluable help you freely gave me when I began to study them." Here, as elsewhere, Galton very fully acknowledges his indebtedness to Herschel's aid. 200 Life and Letters of Francis Galton of the book is to provide a method of indexing 200,000 to 300,000 individuals. Galton assumes that five anthropometric characters will each be divided into three classes as in bertillonage, and accordingly, if this provides for 35 = 243 classes, we need only to secure some method of finger-print indexing which will leave very few multiple entries in 1000 cases. This is the problem Galton sets himself; it will be seen that in 1895 he still thought it desirable to use a small dose of bertillonage to aid his index, if it was to provide rapid references to more than 1000 to 3000 individuals. Galton here starts from the old Arch-Loop- Whorl classification with the addition of the inner and outer slope of loops on the forefinger, only now, I think unfortunately, he changes many of his symbols and some of his previous terminology. Having preferred in his earlier works "inner" for the thumb side and "outer" for the little finger side, he now adopts radial and ulnar formerly rejected ; thus the symbols i and o are replaced by r and u. He still works in this index with the 10 digits arranged thus*: Right, fore, middle, ring fingers; Left, ditto. Right, thumb, little finger; Left, ditto — which in his old treatment gave 10 letters. He reduces them, however, to eight, by noting that a, I, w can only occur pair by pair in nine ways, and he gives the first nine figures to these, so that it is possible to represent thumb and little finger prints by a single figure. Thus far it is difficult to see that much has been gained on his earlier classification. Indeed with slight changes of notation Galton's present Primary Classification is his old a, I (i, o), w system. Now the defects of this as the sole classification are well exhibited in the following table which he gives (p. 77): Formulae with Frequencies 10 and over in 1000 Tests. Order of Frequency Formula Frequency of Occurrence 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ull, ull, 11, 11 rll, rll, 11, 11 ull, rll, 11, 11 www, WWW, WW, WW rll, ull, 11, 11 ulw, ull, 11, 11 ulw, ulw, 11, 11 www, www, wl, wl wll, ull, 11, 11 ull, ull, 11, 11 59 35 24 19 17 14 12 11 10 10 Total 211 * He states, however (pp. 72 and 111), that he has modified this view for the purpose of indexing and now prefers to take his finger-prints in order from left little finger to right little finger. There is little doubt that the latter, the " natural " order, and also the one in which the impressions are collectively dabbed and usually rolled, is less liable to errors of reading. At the same time as it starts with the little finger it gives far less variety to the initial letters of the index. Personal Identification and Description 201 In other words, between a fifth and a quarter of the sets fall into groups which are far too unwieldy for rapid index searching. It is clear that the loops and whorls are the chief source of this trouble (see our pp. 149, 165 and 173) and Galton proceeds to break them up by what he terras a Secondary Classification, or a system of adding subscripts to the letters of his primary classification. The subscripts or suffixes as Galton calls them are very numerous, although some can only be attached to certain patterns. For example, what would have appeared in his old (his present primary) classi- fication as oiviv, oil, vow, 11, now becomes uwvw, ul~\lvy, wlvyw, llv, where subscript y means that the core of the corresponding whorl is pear- or racquet-shaped ; f denotes that there was a scar on the middle finger of the left hand; lvy denotes a loop with invasion of ridges from the side and with a racquet core ; wlvv means a whorl which might be mistaken for a loop, has an invasion of ridges from the side and a racquet core, and lv denotes a loop with a like invasion only. Thus 18 symbols are used to index the set. Galton defines and discusses 28 letters and symbols which may be used as suffixes. Obviously the above system of subscripts is one liable to error either in writing or printing, and Galton, although he suggests its use, does not actually adopt it in the Directory he publishes of 300 sets of prints of the 10 digits. Here he gives the primary classification symbols on the left of his page, and then on the right in 10 columns the suffixes to be attached to each of these symbols. For example, the above formula appears as | Uivw \ull\9,5\\ — ,y, — | — , f , vy \ Ivy, — | — , v\, where the last 10 columns correspond to the digits in order of the primary formula (9 = ww, 5 = 11, the thumb and little finger formulae of right and left hands : see our p. 198). Besides the 28 symbols which are chiefly devoted to breaking up the large loop and whorl groups, Galton introduces for the troublesome all- loops group the counting of the ridges on the forefingers. This counting he now does in a different manner from that of his earlier papers, and one which seems less liable to misinterpretation. He first determines a better line for counting the ridges on (see his pp. 78-80) than he had previously selected (see our pp. 163 and 165). The following are his rules (see Fig. 34, p. 202): "The terminus from which the count begins is reckoned as 0; it proceeds thence up to, and including, the other terminus. "The inner terminus lies at the top of the core of the loop, the outer terminus at the delta, but it is necessary to define their positions more exactly, as follows : "Inner terminus. There are two cases : "(a) The core of the loop may consist of an uneven number of ridges, as in each of the two figures, a1 and a2; then the top of the central ridge is the inner terminus*. * I think there is a risk of confusion here to which Galton does not refer. The ridge or ridges within the "staple" may or may not meet the latter. In Figs, a1 and a3 the inner ridges are made to meet the staple, and the inner terminus is not put at the top of the pa in 26 202 Life and Letters of Francis Galton "(b) The core may be a circumflex or 'staple'; then, the shoulder* of the staple that is farthest from the delta is taken for the inner terminus, the nearer shoulder counting as a separate ridge (Fig. b). ff'i delfa. Inner Terminus Outer Terminus Fig. 34. Inner and Outer Termini for Ridge Counting. "Outer terminus. Here also are two cases : "(c) Where the upper and lower sides of the delta are formed by the bifurcation of a single ridge. Here the point of bifurcation forms the outer terminus. It sometimes happens that successive forks or branches are thrown off from the same ridge first at an acute angle and progressively becoming more obtuse. In this case the branch to be considered as forming one side of the delta is the first that makes not less than a right angle with the stem (Fig. c). "(d) Where the upper and lower sides of the delta are formed by two ridges that had previously run side by side, and then suddenly diverge. Here the base of the delta is the outer terminus. The nearest ridge in front of the place where the divergence begins, even if it be a mere dot, and whether or no it is independent of, or springs from one of the divergent ridges, is considered to form the base of the delta, and the outer terminus. " If scrupulous care is taken by the beginner, first in selecting the termini that best fulfil the above conditions, and afterwards in counting the ridges, his eye will soon become accus- tomed to the work, and the process may then be effected both quickly and trustworthilyf. It is usually easy to determine narrow limits within which the number of ridges will always be held to lie." Galton tells us that the 156 (ull, ull, 11, II)' s of his collection of 2632 sets showed, counting as above, all numbers of ridges from 3 to 16 with fairly equal frequency. He had also a few "under 3" and eight cases above 16; roughly these 15 groups would reduce the 156 to groups of about 10 sets. But Galton considers we must search not only the observed count-number, but two count-numbers on either side of it, or practically (having regard to central ridge. If it had been, then, I think, it is clear that with the delta in relatively the same position as in Fig. b one less ridge would be counted in Fig. a1 and two less in Fig. a2. It is possible that the engraver erred in carrying the ridges quite up to the staple. Or, it may be, remembering what Galton has said about cols, i.e. that we cannot be certain whether a ridge terminates or forks, we ought always to put the inner terminal, as in Figs, a1 and a2 above, not where the central ridge meets the staple, but at about a ridge interval from the meet. * The term "shoulder" is somewhat vague; the ridge-counts might well differ according to the choice of "shoulder." If the word means where the sides of the staple become parallel, then the engraver of Fig. b has hardly hit this off. I believe it would be preferable to define the shoulder as about a ridge interval below the summit. Galton's Plate 4 (our Plate XXVI), entitled "Counting Ridges," hardly seems to meet my difficulties in this and in the previous footnote. If Fig. 82 be a case of Fig. a1, then Galton does not appear to put the inner terminus at the top of the central ridge ; had he done so, I think the ridges would be 12 instead of 13. t Galton's illustrations of ridge-counting are given on our Plate XXVI and would have been more helpful with a finer counting line. A thick line runs into the stem and occasionally obscures the finer parts of the delta. Personal Identification and Description 203 terminal groups) about a group containing 4£ ridges on the average. Each of these groups would contain 40 to 50 individuals of the 156, or less than \ and more than \ of the whole. Hence to count ridges in the first finger presenting a loop would reduce to less than a frequency of 10 all the groups of large frequencies except those under the formulae ull, ull, 11, 11 and www, www, ww, ww (see the table on our p. 200). For the former group Galton suggests in addition counting ridges on the middle finger, and is thus able to break up his material into groups of less than 10 sets*. Here he introduces an interesting point; he gives a partial table (p. 82) for the number of ridges which occur in right middle and ring fingers for certain values of the count on the right forefinger. If the means of the former be found we have : Number of Ridges in Fore Finger Mean number of Bidges in Middle Finger Bing Finger 4 8 12 16 9-8 10-4 11-8 13-7 14-4 14-9 14-2 15-3 This suggests that there is correlation between the number of ridges at any rate in the fore and middle fingers of the same hand, and indicates a possible line of inquiry for the inheritance of ridge-numbers, when loops are available in both relatives. We have next to consider how Galton meets the difficulty of the www, www, ww, ww class of pattern and others with numerous whorls. The main idea he uses is that if the tail of a whorl or the ridges which form it come from the radial side, the subscript or suffix r is used. If they come from the ulnar side the suffix u might be used, but Galton says this is so frequent that he does not use it. Hence w standing alone might mean fed from both sides, from neither side, or from the ulnar side. The suffix s is, however, used for whorls fed from both sides, but this may occur in three different ways: (i) The ridges from either side may double back upon themselves, so that the contributory portions have blunt ends = sb. (ii) The ridges from the two sides may be twisted together almost to a point = sq. (iii) One set of contributory ridges may spring normally from one side of the finger, the other 'from one side of the tail of a tailed whorl = sv. There are other symbols used by Galton in relation to whorls, namely g, * The reader must remember that these numbers are based on a standard of 1000 sets. 100,000 sets some of the groups might still be too large. 26— 5 For 204 Life and Letters of Francis Galton when the whorl has a great core, o, when there is at least one complete and detached ring in the whorl*. Eicht Forms of Whorl, (fruo deltas) /^M Open, on one side Closed OfJer? on both sides Ojierc on one side Supplied both sides Open on both sides Fig. 35. Types of whorls from Galton's Finger Print Directories. Galton remarks that it is best to leave a whorl ambiguous rather than attach a v or a q to it which it does not clearly and distinctly demand. "The omission of a suffix is of little harm ; the insertion of a wrong one is. Cases should be dealt with merely as ambiguous, no suffix being attached to them, when the outline followed from the inner delta to a point above the outer delta or below it, as the case may be, does not suggest the same suffix as it does when the outline is followed in the opposite direction. The test in question is rapidly made and effective" (p. 94). It is, however, on the r and s sub- classification that Galton chiefly depends for breaking up the all or many whorl groups. Thus he writes : " It is mainly through the help of the r and s suffixes that it is possible to discriminate between the all- whorls which occur 19 times in every 1000 cases [see our p. 200]. The whorls * According to Galton's nomenclature, when in tracing any part of a pattern the direction changes so as to have pointed to all parts of the compass, that pattern is to be called a whorl. Partial, and ComPL.ETE CrRcurrs 2^ Fig. 36 a. Illustration of complete circuits needed to classify a pattern as a whorl. Hence arches with elliptic or circular rings between their arched ridges are classed as whorls. See Plates 7 and 8 of Finger Prints (our Plates XI and XII) and the accompanying cut, Figs. 36 a and 36 b, where, however, a print like Fig. 36 b, for which the compass point 4 might easily be non-existent, is still counted a whorl. Personal Identification and Description 205 in that particular group are curiously monotonous in their general aspect and size, the conspicuous characteristics of b, q and v appearing rarely, and being therefore of little service in differentiation ; neither is any method of counting ridges of value, for their numbers are much alike. But when the whorls are looked at carefully, and their contours followed a short way with a pointer, the variety in their r and s characteristics becomes distinctive. It may be pressed into the service of sub-classification, the sets admitting of being arranged in the order of the number of r's that they severally contain, irrespective of the fingers on which those r's appear." (pp. 95-6.) A point which I think would be of value, but has not, I think, been noted by Galton, is the character of the whorl or spiral. Starting from the pole of the spiral does it correspond to a right or left-handed screw motion, i.e. is the rotation clockwise or counter-clockwise ? It appears to me that these two types occur in not such unequal numbers, and at once divide whorls into two classes. Of course a clockwise or right-handed screw whorl on the actual finger is reversed on the imprint, but we may confine our classification to the imprints. A further classification which might also be made in the case of simple spirals — and which easily admits of four classes — is the direction of the whorl or spiral at its pole or terminal. Is this direction generally upwards or downwards, generally radial or ulnar? There would be some doubt as to the 45° slopes, but as a rule the general polar slope is fairly obvious. I think there is thus actually small difficulty in breaking up the whorls for the purposes of indexing. Galton makes only one division of arches in his Primary Classification, namely into Plain and Tented Arches (see our Fig. 37). The symbols k, r, u, or v may, however, be attached in the Secondary Classification. We have already seen that Galton uses counting of ridges on the fore- finger and if necessary on the middle finger in order to break up the loop groups. But he admits that this is scarcely adequate in itself to deal with an index of 3000 sets or persons. Accordingly he uses other suffixes to dif- ferentiate loops by their cores. He considers the following three types will suffice: Two Forms of Arch /ro delfe) Three Forms of Loop Cflht-fl > , ' Plain Arck Tented Arck i f c Fig. 37. Fig. 38. Classification of Cores of Loops. i is a central rod, whose head stands quite distinct and separate from the ridge curving round it. Galton says there is no need to fear a col, if there be the distance of a furrow between central rod and staple. / covers the cases in which the central rod forks whether it reaches the staple or not ; it may 206 Life and Letters of Francis Galton reunite forming the eye of a needle, or there may be an imperfect eye. The main point is that the core is not a simple rod; the several conditions do not need symbolising severally, they are all expressed by /. c represents the case when the core within the loop is a second staple wholly detached from the outer staple which curves round it. Galton uses still further symbols in his secondary classification — k, v, x, y, and three others to denote conditions of the print itself, namely : d, f and *. d marks a damaged print, either owing to the condition of the finger, or to the printing. If the print be wholly unreadable, then d is inserted in its proper place in the primary 10 symbols; if the print be only partially damaged, then d is to be used as a suffix, "f denotes the scar of a cut, and should be used, however small the scar may be, as it is a valuable means of identifica- tion. * denotes that a portion of the finger has been more or less smashed, and should be combined with d. Of the other four symbols x denotes that there is something very peculiar or questionable about the pattern. v indicates what Galton terms an invaded loop. Usually the ridges enter through the open mouths of the loop, curve round and take their exits Fig. 39. Secondary Classification of Loops, Galton's y and v. Four Forms of- Loop (one delta) y Pkirz Loop Eyed Loop founded Loop Hooked Loop Fig. 40. Secondary Classification of Loops, Galton's y, v and k. parallel to their entrances. Sometimes, however, a system of ridges instead of entering from the mouth, springs out from one of the sides and destroys the symmetry of the pattern. Such a loop is an "invaded loop" and symbolised by v. Galton holds y to be one of the most generally useful of suffixes ; it is the formation in the inner part of the loop of an eyed form. In the ordinary loop the ridges after turning back run parallel ; in the eyed loop they reunite after recurving and enclose a minute plot, y must be distinguished from /, which latter is an island or approximate island in a central rod. Finally k denotes a curvature sometimes affecting the whole of a loop, turning it into more or less of a solid hook, i.e. not a hook formed by a single Personal Identification and Description 207 terminated ridge. It may be applied not only to loops, but to whorls and even to arches to signify that they have an inner curl or hook. It must at once be admitted that Galton requires a most imposing battery of additional suffixes and symbols to obtain his Secondary Classification, and further that when this has been accepted and we are able to classify some 3000 sets, so that only the slightest difficulty arises in entering or leaving an index, there still remains the fact that difficulties will steadily increase as we mount up from 3000 to 100,000 entries. There may, as Galton himself thought, still be need for three or four anthropometric characters — not for the purpose of identification but for classification. Again, this heavy array of symbols involves much additional work at first in indexing new sets of prints and in reading sets for identification J. When I first read Galton's Secondary Classification and became acquainted with his battery of suffixes, it seemed too unwieldy to be practically applicable, but' a little examination of im- pressions under a lens convinced me that it was reasonably easy for a moderate expert to get a grip upon it. Such experts would be in every "Identification Bureau," and for the mere trained impressor of fingers, such as the prison warder, it is rarely that any necessity arises for reading the prints them- selves. More serious defects of Galton's classification are its cumbrous character, and the fact that the letters he uses as subscripts do not convey any hint of their significations. I doubt whether the latter difficulty can possibly be met ; characteristic symbols cannot be found for 20 to 30 subclasses, and if we once realise this, then it does not much matter whether we use numbers or letters provided we use a single one only. If we exclude numbers of ridges in loops, which might be placed as Roman figures in brackets after the index number itself, I believe that ten symbols with powers ought to describe any set of prints. The particular finger — supposing these taken in natural order from left to right — is indicated by the corresponding symbol taken in order from left to right. Now what are the symbols to be? They may be either letters or numbers. At first one might prefer the latter, because if we choose three forms of alphabet, say Greek, Roman and Italic letters, although we can go beyond ten corresponding letters of each, the printed mixture looks clumsy and can only be read out letter by letter. On the other hand, if we use numerals of three types: — say, Roman, Italic and Block — the printed number, while still looking clumsy, if less so, is capable of being read aloud as so many millions, so many thousands, hundreds, tens, etc. The grave disadvantage of the numerical scheme is that it is far less readily adaptable to a written index, where it is not easy to distinguish between Roman, Italic and Block numerals. We shall probably do better therefore to adopt three alphabets, say, the Greek, Italic small and Italic capital. Let us see how this will work. We will first get Galton's symbols d, x, * and f into slightly simpler form. A simple note of interrogation (?) denotes that the print is missing, cannot be taken or is unreadable. A short rule over a letter denotes the print is | Of course in about three-quarters of the inquiries it would not be needful to examine the secondary classification at all. 208 Life and Letters of Francis Galton damaged (c) = Galton's d. A short quantity over a letter (#) denotes a questionable pattern = Galton's x. A single dot (sign of fluxion), as m, denotes the scar of a cut = Galton's f; two dots (second fluxion or "Umlaut"), as c, denotes a smashed finger = Galton's *. Thus we replace these four subscripts by symbols already familiar to the printer. We then propose to adopt the Greek alphabet to represent arches, small italic letters to represent loops, and capitals to represent whorls. It is thus at once feasible to disregard all individual letters and write down the common Arch-Loop-Whorl formula by regarding alphabets only. The individual subspecies are represented by the individual letters. But we soon find that if we are to have only as many subspecies as Galton deals with, we shall need more letters than exist in any of the three alphabets ! We are thus driven back to suffixes, but here we find it easier to write numerical powers than to use subscript letters. Further, as we only want 10 characteristics, the 10 numerals will suffice. They are as follows: 0 = Galton's o, or the core of the whorl has a detached ring. 1 = Galton's 6, or the end of a single spiral or the two ends of a double spiral are blunted. 2 = Galton's q, or the core of the spiral is made of ridges twisted up into a point. 3 = Galton's g, or the core of the whorl is very large. 4 = Galton's k, or the body of the loop or whorl is curved like a hook, or some of the inner ridges are hooked. 5 = Galton's v, or there is an invasion of ridges from the side of loop or whorl. 6 = Galton's y, or the core of a loop or whorl, or even sometimes of an arch, has an eye shaped like a pear or racquet. 7 = Galton's c, or the upper part or innermost core of the loop is shaped like a staple detached from the enveloping ridge. 8 = Galton's f, or the innermost core of the loop forks like a tuning fork ; it may afterwards reunite, enclosing a space like the eye of a needle (or like a broken eye). 9 = Galton's i, or the innermost core of the loop is a rod whose head is separate from the enveloping ridge. Multiple rods may also be included under 9. It will be seen that the first four numerals (0, 1,2,3) apply only to whorls ; the last three (7, 8,9) only to loops; the remaining three (4, 5, 6) to any species of print. A little practice soon causes one to remember the significance of these numerals as easily as Galton's letters. Any combination of these numerals may appear as a power. Thus k54 we shall see denotes a radial loop with some resemblance to an arch, with an invasion of ridges from the side, and one or more hooked ridges; again A10 denotes a simple right-handed screw radial whorl with a completed circle and a ridge hooked round. Galton would represent this as w(r, ko), where w denotes the whorl, r that it is radial, and ko that there is a coil of ridges enclosed in a complete or nearly complete ring. So much for the power suffixes. Personal Identification and Description 209 It should be noted that the order of the numerals in the power is in- different. We may now turn to the subspecies of the main species indicated by different letters of their special alphabets. Arches: a = simple arch ; /? = tented arch ; y = arch with a central dot or very small circle ; k = arch approaching radial loop ; X = arch approaching ulnar loop; (jl = arch which might equally well be classed as a radial loop; v = arch which might equally well be classed as an ulnar loop ; 7r = arch approaching a radial whorl; p = arch approaching an ulnar whorl; = compound radial right-handed screw whorl; E= ,, ulnar „ „ F= „ fed from both sides right-handed screw whorl; G = simple radial left-handed screw whorl ; H= „ ulnar /= ,, fed from both sides left-handed screw whorl; J= compound radial left-handed screw whorl; K= „ ulnar L = ,, fed from both sides left-handed screw whorl. For the resembling and the ambiguous cases we have: P = radial whorl approaching arch ; R = ulnar whorl approaching arch ; S= radial whorl which might equally well be classed as arch; T= ulnar whorl which might equally well be classed as arch; U= radial whorl approaching loop; V= ulnar whorl approaching loop; X = radial whorl which might equally well be classed as loop; Y= ulnar whorl which might equally well be classed as loop. Clearly X, Y are interchangeable with x and y, and if the index shows no U or V, then u or v should be sought for. Unfortunately Galton's index does not record directly whether his whorls were simple or compound, or whether they were right or left-handed screws. Accordingly, in writing down his symbolism and that above for a few cases, we shall assume, where there is nothing to guide us, that his whorls were simple spirals and right-handed screws. I have chosen ten cases nearly at random from Galton's index of 300 sets of prints, only taking care that the selected individuals had very ample secondary classifications. The table below gives the two notations. In the condensed system, the indexing should be by order of letters, but for the same letter the Greek should stand before the small italic letter and the small italic before the capital, e.g. /8 before b and b before B. It will be seen that it is possible to put an even finer classification based on Galton's into a very concentrated form. Therein alphabets indicate the genera, or primary classification, letters the species or subclasses, and powers the individual peculiarities. In this way many thousand finger-print sets may be indexed without reference to anthropometric characters. But we have always to remember that to avoid multiple entries more and more symbols must inevitably be used. A very little practice, however, teaches anyone the meaning of the symbols employed. It does not seem possible to adopt Personal Identification and Description 211 any system in which the symbols will be self-explanatory, and neither in Galton's original, nor in the present condensed system has this been attempted. The problem of the Identification Bureau is to balance the time lost in writing down and in reading a complicated system, against the time lost in examining the multiple entries of a more simple classification. Table illustrating hoiv Galton's System of Finger-Print indexing may be condensed and at the same time further developed. Directory 1 2 3* 4 5 6 7 8 Right Hand Left Hand 00 V A * £ H Right Hand Left Hand Right Hand Left Hand Number in Register F.M.R F.M.R. F. M. R. F. M. R. Th. L. Th. L. A al M Rll Rhv Rlw Ull Ull Ulw Wll Who all rll rww ull wunv ull www rlw rll itnvw 5 5 5 5 8 8 5 5 9 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 _ I — 12 — vi) k — v kvw r by t* 10c — ' vyc V V V kvr — — rf — — yw — ky y vk sb sb Say — — rko s s i c — r ko — avk — ryl 2 t - iy - t v — V V . sb — vw t - 9 — O V vw — sb — sq — s — gs — vs 3550 3531 2351 3660 1985 3617 3560 3498 3554 738 The following are the values on our present condensed system : b u6 b a V? b be 648 a b b G1 C1 a54 C1 {3} b b b P b b C C A« b b b V b» b b B Bi0 A c b Ue b A" c {2} b b b a C3 b B B Vs c b* a k b b 3550 b* abb* b {xii} 3531 B a4 b b* b 2351 ¥ »« a B16 b 3660 Cl6* b B B 1985 b V b 6s67 b {x} 3617 v* V 66 V b 3560 B b b B b 3498 B3AKb b b 3554 B> A b B b6 738 With Galton : Th. = Thumb ; F. = Fore- finger ; M. = Middle finger ; R. = Ring finger ; L. = Little finger. In the condensed system, the fingers are in " natural order from left little to right little finger." The vertical is placed between the two thumbs. We have now to consider briefly the remainder of this last finger-print work of Francis Galton. In the Introductory Chapter Galton clearly defines his aim. Scotland Yard was beginning to form a vast collection of finger-prints, but these were to be primarily classified by four or five anthropometric measurements, so that the number of finger-prints in a group would not amount to more than a few hundreds or at most to, perhaps, 3000. It was the large groups in these subindices which Galton desired to break up. He was not describing how to deal with indices of 100,000 to 200,000 sets; that is a more modern problem. * See our p. 198. 27—2 212 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Yet, I believe, the extension I have given above of Galton's classification would readily admit of dealing with far larger numbers than he was considering. The important feature of Galton's present work is that he does not give merely definitions of his symbols for secondary classification, but he provides also illustrations of the various finger-print anomalies and characteristics he has symbolised. It is a misfortune that of the nine plates of finger-prints which accompany the memoir, all but two have the impressions natural size, and very often, to detect Galton's point, it is needful to use a magnifying glass. As the work has been long out of print and as there is, so far as I am aware, no published series of typical prints available, these plates are reproduced here on an enlarged scale to indicate Galton's ideas*. He is very modest about what he has achieved. The work, I think, shows some signs of haste, not in the studies on which it is based, but in the manner in which it is put together as if to supply some pressing need. He writes : "The methods I have used undoubtedly admit of many improvements, and I shall myself suggest important ones ; still they are the result of prolonged trials and much painstaking. They are therefore more likely to fulfil their purpose than any one alternative scheme that has not been worked out under similar conditions. In short, those who will consent to stand on my shoulders, are likely to see their way to improvements more surely than if they do not accept that aid. " It must not be supposed that the classification of sets of finger-prints for the purpose of a directory is especially difficult. The art of classifying rapidly and correctly, like every other art, requires instruction and practice, but it does so in no exceptional degree. I can speak with much more assurance on this point than was possible three years ago, when I wrote my first book on Finger Prints, or even than was possible one year ago, at the time when that com- mittee was sitting [see our pp. 148 and 174] Having studied and during the last few months having re-studied many thousands of sets of finger-prints, and therefore many tens of thousands of individual ones, I can say with confidence that it is rare to find a pattern whose peculiarities are not due to a few easily recognisable characteristics, occurring singly or in combinations of two or three. It is true that patterns occasionally fall between two of my primary headings, and that a double reference may be needed ; but these ambiguous patterns are recognised at a glance, and the alternative references that have to be made are obvious. " Chapter II (pp. 7-47) largely reproduces the Report of the Departmental Committee. With this I have dealt very fully on our pp. 148-151. Chapter III (pp. 48-59) contains Conditions and Requirements which to the reader of our present chapter will be already familiar; they concern the breaking up of the larger groups which arise in the ALW(+ UR) primary classification. On pp. 58-9 are some interesting observations on the amount of work which would be needful in order to register the 35,000 annual recruits to the British Army by their finger-prints, and so to stop desertion followed by re-enlistment. Chapter IV (pp. 60-77) Primary Classification, and Chapter V(pp. 78-107) Secondary Classification, we have already summarised (see our pp. 203-205 above). Together with the plates (our Plates XXIII — XXX), they form by far the best account a novice in finger-printing can study even to-day. Chapter VI, a brief one of only three pages, deals with Ambiguous Patterns. This is a most valuable chapter as indicating how we must treat intermediate * Some further understanding of his classificatory system may be obtained from the much reduced set of standard types, which will be found in the pocket at the end of this volume. The originals in three large frames are in the Anthropometric Laboratory at University College, London. PLATE XXIII Types treated by Galton as Arches. 12 18 («, org 24 PLATE XXIV Types treated by Galton as Loops. m 42 ?Arch (lev) 48 Loop (ft) PLATE XXV Types treated by Galton as Whorls. 54 Whorl (y) 06 Whorl (y) 72 Whorl (6«) PLATE XXVI Galton's method of counting the Ridges in Loops. The number of ridges as determined by him are given in the left-hand top corner of each print: see our pp. 201-202. A dabbed and a rolled print of the same linger to indicate how the former may lead one to classify as a loop, what the latter shows to be really a whorl : see our p. 213. PLATE XXVII Illustrations of Gal ton's Symbols i,/and c. (See our p. 205.) PLATE XXVIII Illustrations of Galton's Symbols y, v, vy. (See our p. 206.) 126 (vy) 144 (vy) PLATE XXIX Galton's Symbols applied to Noteworthy Peculiarities. (See our p. 208.) 118 164 162 (t) icn (t) PLATE XXX Various Prints with Galton's Classifications. 1G9 Loop (a) 170 Loop («) 171 Loop (a) 172 Loop (a) 173 174 Imperfect Forms of Tented Arch 175 Whorl (ky) 176 Loop (») 177 Loop (t) 178 Whorl (ofc) 179 Whorl («&) 180 Loop (y) 181 Loop (y) 182 Whorl (y) 183 Whorl iy) To illustrate the Symbols of Galton's Secondary Classification. Personal Identification and Description 213 patterns. I transcribe two-thirds of it for the benefit of those who can no longer obtain Galton's original work*. "The chief peculiarities of individual Arches, Loops and Whorls having now been described, it becomes easy to discuss the frontiers of the primary classes and the debatable country between them. "A to L [i.e. Arch to Loop]. The frontier between A and L ceases to be distinct at the point where A is just short of developing into a nascent loop. In the Figures 169 to 172 that point is just, but only just passed, so all those figures should count as loops with an a suffixed. The debatable ground lies between these and unmistakable arches, and in that debatable ground, A is held to predominate over L under any one of the following conditions: " 1. When the loop is formed by no more than one complete bend or staple, which may, however, be perfectly distinct, and may also enclose a rod (Fig. 21). "2. When it consists of two or even three imperfect bends (Figs. 19, 20), especially if they converge and unite. "3. Offsets at acute angles (Fig. 10) from the same ridge or from the same furrow do not rank as heads to loops. "4. When two symmetrically disposed loops are enclosed in the same curved ridge (Figs. 173, 174) they are counted as an imperfect form of tented arch, being noted as A with the suffix t or tur. " Generally speaking A is held to predominate whenever the pattern has no continuous contour, even though there may be a fairly distinct delta (Fig. 20), but it would be proper to unite the suffix I to this." (pp. 108-9.) Clearly since Arches form a relatively small group, it would be to the advantage of the indexer, if frontier cases were allotted as far as possible to Arches. "A to W [i.e. Arch to Whorl]. Between A and W a very small, or else an imperfect circle, or dot sometimes appears between two ridges of a pattern which is an arch in all other respects (Figs. 15, 17 and perhaps 18, which is ambiguous, and might be called a loop). If the diameter of the whorl does not exceed the width of one of the adjacent ridge intervals, the pattern does not lose the right to be called an A, but should for distinction's sake have a y suffixed to it. W is certainly reached when the little circle contains a central dot as in Fig. 175 which I should call Wky. " L to W [i.e. Loop to Whorl]. Between L and W a large class of transitional cases have been sufficiently discussed in speaking of complete and incomplete circuits!. See Figs. 180-183. "The specimens Figs. 176 to 179 show the relationships between whorls to which the suffix sb is applied (Fig. 178), with loops. In Fig. 176 we see a loop that throws off a curious crest from the upper part of its outline, and which is here and elsewhere a striking appear- ance; but in Fig. 177 the same peculiarity is much less distinct, while the number of cases that exist between extreme distinctness and extreme indistinctness is so great that crests are not allowed to have a suffix. Their conspicuousness in individual cases certainly depends to a considerable degree on the printing, whether more or less ink and pressure are used. When, however, the ridges cease to be given off from the outside of the contour of the loop, and recurve upon themselves as in Fig. 178, forming a blunted end to that part of the pattern, the result is a well-defined whorl. Another intermediate form between a loop and a whorl is produced in another way, and is recorded by vy as already explained." (pp. 109-10.) [See our p. 206.] Lastly Galton refers to the case in which a real whorl may be mistaken for a loop because enough of the finger ridges have not been imprinted by rolling. This is especially a danger with "dabbed" prints. See our Plate Chapter VII (pp. 111-115) is entitled Suggested Improvements. Here, as I have said, Galton gives up his special finger arrangement in favour of the * I have retained Galton's figure numbers, and the figures to which he refers will be found on our Plates XXIII— XXX. t See our p. 204 footnote. 214 Life and Letters of Francis Galton " natural order" (see our p. 200). We have seen that in the earlier publications Galton used o and *', "outer" and "inner," to mark his directions; in this work, to begin with, he uses "ulnar" and "radial" and the symbols U and R (or u and r) instead of o and i. He now appears to discard U and R, writing as follows : "As regards the Z7and R notation, I am now decidedly in favour of the plan tentatively suggested in my answer to Question 207 [Departmental Committee Report (Evidence)], namely that it would be far better, on the grounds of diminishing error and fatigue, to regard the slope of the print relatively to the paper on which it is made, and not relatively to the Radial or Ulnar direction in the hand that made it. The slope relatively to the paper admits of uniform interpretation ; the slope relatively to the hand does not, for what is R in the one hand is U in the other*." (p. 112.) Galton next suggests a symbolic notation for the arch, whorl and two kinds of loops, i.e. r\ \ / O Arch Loop Loop Whorl He says that the relief to eye and brain by this simple notation is very great. The pencil seems inclined to gallop over the cards automatically, because the attention is no longer strained by an endeavour to interpret the prints into alien symbols. The hand has merely to make abbreviated copies of what the eye sees, and thought is almost passive while doing so (p. 112). Galton does not, however, suggest how with such symbols the secondary classification is to be worked out. This chapter concludes with an account of Galton's finger-print enlarging camera, which will magnify up to sixfold. We have already referred to this instrument (see our p. 197). Chapter VIII (pp. 116-123) contains the Specimen Directory of 300 Sets. At first the variety of symbols in the Secondary Classi- fication is somewhat trying, but after a little becomes easily interpretable. Besides the numerals which are provided for the forefinger in the case of the ridge-counts in the formula III, III, 11, 11, other numerals occur in the index ; they never exceed 4, and they may stand alone or be associated with a or I. They are in the Secondary Classification, and I cannot find that Galton has any- where explained their meaning. This I am unable to supply. As I have said, I think the secondary classification needs condensation. It is also desirable that the method should be applied to several thousand sets of prints to ascertain, by an actual statistical experience, where the grading is still too coarse, or where it is over fine. If a student of finger-prints should, however, question me as to where he could learn how to index several thousand sets of finger-prints, I still could not refer him to anything better than Galton's Finger Print Directories of more than thirty years ago ! * Galton does not say how he proposes to symbolise the particular slope. As far as I can see, the result would be that two radial whorls on homologous fingers, say, which might be practically identical instead of being represented by the same symbol, would be represented by different symbols, which for any scientific purpose (e.g. inheritance) would be disastrous. If the finger-prints are taken in natural order, I see no difficulty in inscribing the letter U outside both.little fingers and the letter R in the middle of the set of prints, between the adjacent thumbs. They might even be printed in these positions on the blanks which serve for the finger impressions. If the slope is then downwards from forefinger towards the little finger it is ulnar, otherwise radial. Personal Identification and Description 215 The reader who has had the courage to follow Galton's biographer through the intricacies of this chapter will, I am sure, be convinced not only of the labour Galton devoted to his finger-print studies but also of the amazing energy he exhibited in acquainting not only administrative bodies but the public at large with the possibilities which then lay hidden in finger-printing, and this not solely for scientific but also for practical purposes. If the reader can find anyone who before 1895 had published a tithe of what Galton had Fig. 41. Galton's Finger- Print Enlarging Camera. issued on this topic, then I will admit him also to be a pioneer ; if he can find anyone who has since 1895 done more than amplify in minor, often in very minor points Galton's work, then I will admit him a worthy successor to Galton. Finger-printing as a science and finger-printing as an art are both alike the product of Galton's insight, ingenuity and tireless activity; the attempts to belittle the credit due to him can only spring from those who for their own purposes choose to ignore the literature of the subject. 216 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Note to Chapter X V. Finger-Prints as Reminiscences. As some collect autographs and others photographs, so we may collect finger-prints as mementoes of friends or of great men. Such a collection was formed by Francis Galton, and, the circumstances not always being favourable for a printer's ink impression, he not infrequently fell back on sealing-wax. In the Galtoniana are many sealing-wax impressions of Galton's friends. Thus we have Herbert Spencer's and quite a number of Sir W. R. Grove's* prints. The process of pressing the finger on hot wax was not always without pain, as is indicated in the accompanying 1893 Christmas greeting of Addington Symonds' daughter Katherine to Francis Galton. Fig. 42. A Christmas Greeting to Francis Galton "from an affectionate and admiring friend." Among the prints of famous men to be found in Galton's Album of Prints are those of Gladstone, Zola, Wallace, Herbert Spencer, etc. ; the Darwins, the Vernon Harcourts, the Garrods and many other families also appear. Galton himself had a seal cut from his right ring finger print, and this is still used on the name cards at the Annual Galton Laboratory Dinner. There are many other relics of Galton's early finger-print collecting days, e.g. prints of idiots, of farm labourers, of the Herschels at different ages, and occasionally foot and hand prints, as well as some finger-prints of apes. For some years Galton must have always had a finger-printing apparatus in his pocket, and possibly, like all men with a dominating hobby, have been somewhat of a trial to his acquaintances. * Of combined legal and scientific fame ! PLATE XXXI Francis Galton, the Founder of the Science of Eugenics, from a photograph of 1902, by the late Mr Dew-Smith. (By kind permission of Mrs Dew-Smith.) CHAPTER XVI EUGENICS AS A CREED AND THE LAST DECADE OF GALTON'S LIFE " No custom can be considered seriously repugnant to human feelings that has ever pre- vailed extensively in a contented nation, whether barbarous or civilised. Any custom established by a powerful authority soon becomes looked upon as a duty, and before long as an axiom of conduct which is rarely questioned." Francis Galton, 1894. (l) Introductory. The careful reader of this work will have realised how deeply impressed Galton was by the idea that with man himself lies the possibility of improving his race ; and this impression existed long before Galton initiated active propaganda for Eugenics as a social and political creed. Indeed, although Galton's earlier writings reached a limited and partly prepared audience, it was not till the beginning of the present century that he considered the time ripe for a more general public appeal, or sought proselytes to the new faith. There are some creeds, and more sciences, of which it is nearly impossible to name a single individual as the creator. When we speak of Christianity we forget, or wilfully disregard, Paul ; Einstein was not the first to see material phenomena in the curvature of space ; nor did Darwin stand alone when he propounded evolution through natural selection. But what student of evolution before Galton, realising the past ascent of man, grasped that his future lies with himself, if he be willing to study and control his own breeding ? It is given to few men to name a new branch of science and lay down the broad lines of its development ; it is the lot of fewer still to forecast its future as a creed of social conduct. In the thirty years which have elapsed, since Galton started his public teaching, what gratifying progress has been made, not only in establishing institutes and laboratories for research in Eugenics*, but also in familiarising the people at large with the code of conduct which an acceptance of eugenic principles involves ! It is as if the Great War had so thoroughly demonstrated the pitiable failure of humanity, that its thinkers and leaders felt that the old man must be replaced by a new- born Apollo f, the worn-out creed which had failed him by a more adequate * Institutes primarily for Eugenics research exist to my knowledge in England, America, Sweden, Norway, Russia, Switzerland, Germany, Poland and probably elsewhere. Popular Journals or Eugenics Societies have been started in England, America, Germany, France, Italy and Russia. t " Grief overcame, " And I was stopping up my frantic ears, " When, past all hindrance of my trembling hands, " A voice came, sweeter, sweeter than all tune, "And still it cried, 'Apollo! young Apollo! "The morning-bright Apollo! young Apollo!' "I fled, it follow'd me, and cried 'Apollo!'" Keats, Hyperion. r g in 28 218 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon faith. We know little of how it came about that Aurignacian man replaced Mousterian man ; but the ascent was a steep one, and man needs once more some such rapid elevating. With our present acquaintance with the laws of heredity, with our present knowledge of how customs and creeds have changed, can we not hasten the evolutionary process of fitting man to the needs of his present environment ? It is indeed a great task because it involves control of the most imperious instinct of living beings, so imperious that Nature's method of improvement has been to provide quantity and seek therein for quality. The new creed bids us seek quality and restrict quantity ; separate, where race demands it, the scarce controllable instinct of mating from the parental instinct, and teach nations to pride themselves on the superior type of their citizens, rather than on their material resources. The eugenic dreamer sees in the distant future a rivalry of nations in the task of bringing to greater perfection their human stocks, and this by an intensive study of biological law applied to man, and its incorporation, it may be gradually, but surely, in a revised moral or social code. (2) Address to the Demographers. A paper which bridges the gulf between the Inquiry into Human Faculty of 1883 and the Huxley Lecture of 1901 is Galton's" Presidential Address "of August 11, 1891, to the Division of Demography of the Seventh International Congress of Hygiene and Demography*. The word "Eugenics" does not occur in the address, it has no topical title, and yet it is an insistent demand for the study of eugenic problems. The paper has escaped and is likely to escape attention, it is not as far as I am aware included in any list of Galton's published papers, nor are copies of it among his offprints or in the bound volumes of his memoirs. Yet the address is of very great interest, not only for its intrinsic suggestiveness, but because it shows how during twenty years Eugenics had retained a fore- most place in Galton's mind. His appeal, however, produced as little effect on the demographers as it did later on the anthropologists. The topics with which the address deals are the relative fertility of various classes within a nation, and the relative fertility of nations among them- selves—intranational and international fertilities — whereby tendencies arise for one class or one race to supplant another. Referring to the hypothesis of Malthus, Galton asks : " Is it true that misery, in any justifiable sense of that word, provides the only check which acts automatically, or are other causes in existence, active, though as yet obscure, that assist in restraining the overgrowth of population ? It is certain that the productiveness of different marriages differs greatly in consequence of unexplained conditions.... One of the many evidences of our great ignorance of the laws that govern fertility, is seen in the behaviour of bees, who have somehow discovered that by merely modifying the diet and the size of the nursery of any female grub, they can at will cause it to develop, either into a naturally sterile worker, or into the potential mother of a huge hive." (p. 8.) Galton is here foreshadowing the sterilisation of those sections of the com- munity of small civic worth, which has since become a pressing question of practical politics. He suggests that if persons are graded in a nation on * Transactions of that Congress, pp. 7-12, London, 1892. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 219 physical, intellectual and moral grounds, there must essentially be a least efficient as there will be a most efficient class. If inheritance holds for these characteristics then the relative fertility of these classes is of the utmost national importance. The same is true of the relative fertility of races and nations : "The frequency in history with which one race has supplanted another over wide geo- graphical areas is one of the most striking [incidents] in the evolution of mankind. The denizens of the world at the present day form a very different human stock from that which inhabited it a dozen generations ago, and to all appearance a no less difference will be found in our successors a dozen generations hence." (p. 10.) Galton notes the Europeans who have swarmed over all the temperate regions of the globe, forming the nuclei of many future nations, the dis- appearance of the American Indian and the appearance of 8,000,000 negroes in America. He might have added many other instances even within Europe itself. It is indeed true that we hardly allow our thoughts to rest on the startling racial changes which have occurred in Europe in the last three or four thousand years, and on the still more significant changes in dominant races all over the world during the last few hundred years. Those who fully realise the marvellous evolution of certain types of humanity at the expense of others will smile — sadly, it may be — and wonder whether it is feasible for any League of Nations, however strong, to fix and maintain national and racial boundaries, unless it shall have first fixed the relative fertility of all the tribes of man and, what is more, internationalised all the world's resources ! As interclass struggle finds its hope of solution only in the socialism which teaches the nationalisation of the materials and means of production, so inter- national struggle can only reach its conclusion by the universalism which demands internationalisation of the world's wealth. In the first case, national eugenics is the only means left to provide any nation with men strong in mind and body ; in the second case, international eugenics is the sole possibility of producing finer races of mankind. The men or group of men who can say to a nation large or small : " This is your frontier and you must keep to it," will be forced ultimately and logically to the point, not only of internationalising the world's wealth and its means of transport, but also of saying : " This is your appropriate fertility and you must keep to it." New modes of transport are rapidly making the world too small for mankind. Any plant or animal that overcrowds its proper region ends by destroying its fellows. The domesticated herd can alone thrive and progress on a limited pasture because the breeder stringently restricts its numbers, and picks from them those best fitted to their environment. Man, if he is to be freed from class struggle and from racial contests — that is to say, if he is to become thoroughly domesticated — can only thrive and progress if he breeds himself ; in other words he must replace the harsh processes of Nature, which in the long run grant survival solely to the physically and mentally strong — to brain and muscle — by the milder practice of eugenics studied from the national and even the international standpoint. In the dimmest of distant futures we may see man fitting man to each region of his earth, and not 220 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Nature very slowly developing man, or man hoping to mould Nature to his present self. But such knowledge is far from us at present. As Galton puts it : " Much more care is taken to select appropriate varieties of plants and animals for planta- tion in foreign settlements, than to select appropriate types of men. Discrimination and fore- sight are shown in the one case, an indifference born of ignorance is shown in the other." (p. 11.) But Galton was not pressing for immediate action, only for early study, because these great questions of civic and racial worth " may unexpectedly acquire importance as falling within the sphere of practical politics, and if so, many demographic data that require forethought and time to collect, and a dispassionate and leisurely judgment to discuss, will be hurriedly and sorely needed." (p. 7.) In conclusion he emphasised the fact that "the improvement of the natural gifts of future generations of the human race is largely, though indirectly, under our control. We may not be able to originate, but we can guide. The processes of evolution are in constant and spontaneous activity, some pushing towards the bad, some towards the good. Our part is to watch for opportunities to intervene by checking the former and giving free play to the latter. I wish to distinguish clearly between our power in this fundamental respect and that which we also possess of ameliorating education and hygiene. It is earnestly to be hoped that demographers will increasingly direct their inquiries into historical facts, with the view of estimating the possible effects of reasonable political action in the future, in gradually raising the present miserably low standard of the human race to one in which the Utopias* in the dreamland of philanthropists may become practical possibilities." (p. 12.) The garden of humanity is very full of weeds, nurture will never transform them into flowers ; the eugenist calls \ipon the rulers of mankind to see that there shall be space in the garden, freed of weeds, for individuals and races of finer growth to develop with the full bloom possible to their species. I believe I am justified in the interpretation I have placed on Galton's address, and if there be a "national" eugenics, those words in themselves connote — as he himself indicates in his discussion of relative racial values — that there is also a science of " international " eugenics. This, if as we all trust the League of Nations survives, is bound to be the League's helpmate in the treatment of the most difficult problem with which its future is threatened. I may indicate here what I think Galton planned as the course to be run by his new science. Laboratories were to be created where man should be studied from the standpoints of heredity, anthropology and medicine ; journals and lectures were to be provided whereby the results reached should be popularised and a new morality inculcated. He had in view Eugenics not only as a science, not only as an art, but also as a national creed, amounting, indeed, to a religious faith. He never to my knowledge underestimated the difficulties, nor the slowness of its probable progress. A letter to William Bateson written in 1904 will indicate how Galton at that date visualised eugenic progress f : 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. June 12, 1904. Dear Me Bateson, Your letter of May 28 should have been answered earlier, had I not delayed in hope of receiving your promised answers to my "Ability in Families" circular j, and replying to both at once. * For Galton's own "Utopia in the dreamland of philanthropists" see later in this chapter, t I am permitted to publish this letter by the courtesy of Mrs William Bateson. \ See p. 121 of this volume. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 221 I quite understand now (I think) your point, and to a great extent agree with it. But what are we humans to do, if any "eugenic " progress is attempted 1 We can't mate men and women as we please, like cocks and hens, but we could I think gradually evolve some plan by which there would be a steady though slow amelioration of the human breed ; the aim being to increase the contributions of the more valuable classes of the population and to diminish the converse. We now want better criteria than we have of which is which. Do what we can (within reasonable limits as regards mankind), fraternal variability will never be much lessened; but I do think that the fraternal means might on the whole be raised. That is the problem, as it seems to me, to be held in view ; also that an exact knowledge of the true principles of heredity would hardly help us in its practical solution. I do indeed fervently hope that exact knowledge may be gradually attained and established beyond question, and I wish you and your collaborators all success in your attempts to obtain it. Very faithfully yours, Francis Galton. Do you want your cobs of maize back 1 This letter is of great importance ; it indicates that Galton had in view only a " steady though slow amelioration of the human breed"; but it further shows that in his opinion the exact mechanism of heredity, even if we could find it out, was not of the highest importance. As an evolutionist he saw mass-changes taking place, and he recognised that the statistical solution is the one that has most importance for the eugenist. His statement that fraternal variability — by which he certainly meant heritable variability — will never be much lessened, is one with which I should personally agree, but the reader must remember that it cuts at the root of the " pure line " hypothesis*, and must not pass over its significance for Galton's own views. His remark also that the fraternal means might on the whole be raised suggests that the work of the biometricians had convinced him before 1904 that there was not a continuous regression of a selected group to the population mean ; and that sports were not essential to progress. (3) Definition of Eugenics. We have already seen that the term " Eugenics" was introduced by Galton in 1883 into his Inquiry into Human Faculty. See our Vol. II, pp. 249 ftn., 251, 252. Romanes in a review in Nature^ of Galton's Record of Family Faculties and Life History Album in the following year (1884) uses the term "Eugenics" thrice and in one case speaks of the " science of Eugenics." " Mr Galton," he also tells vis, " is inde- fatigable in his zeal to promote the cause of Eugenics." Thus born in 1883, the term had come into an accepted use in 1884. Before we turn to Galton's propagandist lectures it is well to consider the definition of Eugenics. In 1883 Galton had defined Eugenics as the science of improving stock, not only by judicious mating, but by all the influences which give the more suitable strains a better chance. In 1904 Galton determined to take a step forward in his purpose by founding a research fellowship in National Eugenics, and addressed the following letter to the Principal of the University of London, Sir Arthur Rucker. This letter * The reader may consult "A New Theory of Progressive Evolution" by the present biographer in the recently issued Vol. iv, Part i, of the Annals of Eugenics, published by the Galton Laboratory ; it contains a discussion of the present position of the " pure line " hypothesis. t Vol. xxix, p. 257, January 17, 1884. 222 Life and Letters of Francis Galton contains his own first definition of Eugenics, and whereas in the Inquiry we find the term may be applied to animals as well as man, it is now implicitly limited to mankind: University of London. October 10, 1904*. Dear Sir Arthur, I desire to forward the exact study of what may be called National Eugenics, by which I mean the influences that are socially controllable, on which the status of the nation depends. These are of two classes: (1) those which affect the race itself and (2) those which affect its health. It is the numerous influences comprised in (1), whose several strengths are as yet only vaguely surmised, that I especially want to have submitted to exact study. Class (2) is already the subject of much research, but I fear that here also the results arrived at require much more exact analysis by the higher methods of statistics than they have yet received. If a scheme can be worked out that, on the one hand, fits in with the arrangements of the University of London and, on the other hand, is satisfactory to myself, I am prepared as a first instalment to give £1500 to serve for three years to carry out my purposes. If, but only if, the working of the proposed plan proves as satisfactory as I hope, I will reconsider the question witli the view of making the endowment permanent of about £500 a year. I presume that the University will supply accommodation for the person appointed at, say, £200 to £250 a year, and for a clerk, say, at £80 to £100 a year, leaving £150 to £200 for expenses. Also that the stamped official writing paper of the University may be used. One part of his [the Fellow's] duties would be to establish a collection of records relating to those families of England who are remarkable for the number of near kinsfolk whose deeds have been noteworthy. I feel some hesitation in drafting a statement of proposed duties for the "Research Fellow," or whatever his title may be, as they ought to fit into, and not overlap, what is already well done. Be that what it may, I think that " National Eugenics " would be good, as it is an exact title for what I wish to see done. Yours very faithfully, Francis Galton. This letter is important with regard to the definition of Eugenics, as it clearly indicates when and why the term "National" was introduced. The University appointed a committee to consider the offer and draft a scheme for the Research Fellowship in National Eugenics. It consisted of Sir Edward Busk (Chairman of Convocation), Francis Galton, the Principal of the Uni- versity, Mr Mackinder and myself. This committee met on Oct. 14th and drew up a scheme for the Fellowship. My recollection of the meeting is that most of the time was spent in drafting a definition, which ultimately differed somewhat widely from that of Galton's letter of Oct. 10th, but which he finally approved. It heads the Draft Scheme and runs : "The term National Eugenics is here defined as the study of the agencies under social control that may improve or impair the racial qualities of future generations either physically or mentally." The scheme itself contains the usual regulations as to manner of appoint- ment, the constitution of a special recommending Committee, Galton reserving a right of veto on the first nomination, the salary of the Fellow and his assistant, who if suitable was to be termed the Francis Galton Scholar. The duties of the Fellow are of more permanent interest : he was to devote all his time to Eugenics, in particular he was required: "(a) To acquaint himself with statistical methods of inquiry, and with the principal re- searches that have been made in Eugenics, and to plan and carry out further investigations thereon. * I do not know whether this is a clerk's error in printing Galton's letter or whether he actually wrote it in the precincts of the University. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 223 "(b) To institute and carry on such investigations into the history of classes and families as may be calculated to promote the knowledge of Eugenics. "(c) To prepare and present to the Committee, though not necessarily for publication, an annual Report on his work [to be done under general direction of the Committee]. To give from time to time, if required or approved by the Committee, short Courses of Lectures on Eugenics, and in particular on his own investigations thereon. " (rf) To prepare for publication at such times and in such manner as may be approved by the Committee (and at least at the end of his tenure of the Fellowship), a Memoir or Memoirs on the investigations which he has carried out." The origin of the trend on which the Galton Laboratory of National Eugenics was developed later will be found in this Draft Scheme. The University Senate on October 17th accepted the Draft Scheme without emendation, voted its cordial thanks to Francis Galton for his gift, and appointed as a Special Committee to recommend a Fellow and afterwards direct him*, Sir Edward Busk, Mr Mackinder, Francis Galton and myself. It also directed the Principal to issue an advertisement of the Fellowship and its conditions. This Sir Arthur Rucker did, but either out of sheer perversity, or through some clerical error, the word " morally " was substituted for " mentally " in the definition, and National Eugenics appeared in the advertisement as " the study of agencies under social control that may improve or impair the racial qualities of future generations either physically or morally." Quite recently this absurd definition was communicated to me by a member of the executive of the University as the work of the Special Committee ! It has, I believe, no standing whatever, except that of an advertisement issued by the executive f, for which neither Galton, nor the Special Committee, had any responsibility. Galton, in his Herbert Spencer Lecture at Oxford in 1907, cites the definition correctly, and in his Memories of my Life, 1908 (p. 321), he writes that Eugenics is officially defined in the Minutes of the University of London as " the study of agencies under social control that may improve or impair the racial qualities of future generations either physically or mentally," I do not know whether this definition fully covered his original views or not. I only know of one occasion on which during his life he departed in public from it. This was during a talk with an interviewer from the Jewish Chronicle, July 20, 1910. He then defined Eugenics with a slight difference as "the study of the conditions under human control which improve or impair the inborn characteristics of the racef ." It * There was too much " direction " about the scheme as originally planned. Galton, as I have previously remarked (see p. 135 above), was in my judgment too fond of working through committees. Beside the University Special Committee, which on the whole did little more than leave the first Research Fellow and Galton to their own devices, there was an "Advisory Committee" nominated by Galton, which met at the Eugenics Record Office and achieved little beyond hampering the Fellow. On this point the reader will find further remarks later. t It is to be noted that in an announcement of the Fellowship in The Times of Oct. 26, 1904, the word "mentally" occurs in its proper place. | In this interview Galton stated that it is one part of Eugenics to encourage the idea of parental responsibility, the other part is to see that the children born are well born. Galton considered that the Mosaic code had enjoined the multiplication of the human species, but it was really more important to prescribe that the children should be born from the fit and not 224 Life and Letters of Francis Galton is clear from this wording that Francis Galton was not wholly satisfied with the term " qualities." When did he change it? In the Codicil, dated May 25, 1909, of his Will of October 20, 1908, and in the cancelled clause, Galton defined the purpose of his foundation to be : " to pursue the study and further the knowledge of National Eugenics, that is of the agencies under social control that may improve or impair the racial faculties of future generations physically or mentally." He thus cast his vote for " mentally." And this was undoubtedly well, for the term " mental " is wider than " moral," and the latter does not include the former, while at least many will be content to consider morality a mental characteristic. Galton was less fortunate, I think, in replacing " qualities" by " faculties." There seem to me many characteristics or qualities of the mind or body which it is desirable for the Eugenist to study, and which it is difficult to force into the category of " faculties." Perhaps they may be admitted to our studies as often associated with the faculties of mind or body to which the definition appears to limit eugenic research. It is worth noting that Galton's Memories citing the Committee's definition of Eugenics appeared in October, 1908 — I got my copy on the 9th — and that on October 20th Galton signed a will in which "qualities" is replaced by "faculties." It might be thought that " faculties" was a word handed down from an earlier will, but this is not so. It was in the autumn of 1906 that Galton first told me of his plan to found a professorship of Eugenics in the University of London. I find that his letters to me of November and December, 1906, deal largely with the wording of the clauses in his Will as to his foundation for the study of Eugenics ; they also deal with the proposed Weldon memorial and of his own desire to free himself from the direction of the University Eugenics Record Office, which was becoming too much for his strength. To these matters I shall refer later, but I think the reader will pardon me for taking one letter here out of its natural order in the history of Galton's plans for Eugenics ; it demon- strates that even in his testamentary deposition of 1906 he fully accepted the definition of 1904. The letter runs as follows: 7, Windsor Terrace, The Hoe, Plymouth. Nov. 15, 1906. My dear Karl Pearson, Enclosed is Mr Hartog's reply (1695. 11) to my "semi-private" letter. Please ultimately return it to me. It is quite satisfactory from my point of view, how would it be from yours ? — Could you be persuaded to take control of the Eugenics Office as a branch of the Biometric Laboratory, working it in your way on "secular" biometric problems that have a distinct bearing on Eugenics 1 It cannot be under two heads or guidances so I willingly resign mine, perhaps keeping a nominal connection with it as " consultative*." It the unfit. He did not allow that this latter principle was inculcated by the Jewish code. The Jewish Chronicle in a leader on the interview endeavoured to magnify the eugenic influence of the Mosaic code, in particular quoting the warning words spoken from Sinai about "visiting the sins of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth generations." But surely these words had no relation to physically or mentally feeble parents refraining from parent- hood, but were a threat of the law-giver to induce his race to be faithful to their tribal deity, and prevent them worshipping (should their god fail them) at the altars of other gods ! It is only in modern days that we have adopted them as appropriate to heredity in disease. * Galton was a "consultative" editor of Eiometrika, see below, p. 245. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 225 would enlarge your means of work and from that point of view would be agreeable, I think and hope. It is, perhaps, well that I should copy out the paragraph in my Will, which refers to the residue after paying various legacies, the amount of which residue will be fully what I told you and somewhat more. " I devise and bequeath all the residue of my estate and effects both real and personal unto the University of London to be held, assigned and disposed of by the Senate of that University in the furtherance of the study of National Eugenics, that is of the agencies under social control that may improve the racial qualities of future generations either physically or mentally. Provided always that it shall be lawful for the Senate by a majority of not less than two-thirds of all its members at any time after ten years shall have elapsed from the date [1906] of this my "Will to divert part or the whole of the then remaining sum to the study of such other branch or branches of Biometry, Statistics or of Sociology as they may then think more worthy of support." If you think this could be amended by a Codicil, pray tell me. Mr Heron comes to see me tomorrow till, I believe, Monday morning ; I will write the results of what I may learn from him, etc. I hope that your reply to this may justify my telling Hartog that all the arrangements for filling up the Eugenics vacancy and its future control will be in your hands, and no longer in mine, that I wish to retire wholly and that in all matters concerning its management, except financial, he must henceforth communicate with you — May it be so ! Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. I shall think of you on the 24th*. Plymouth is a success in all essentials as warmth, cooking and comfort, but the sky and air are somewhat depressing. This letter shows that in 1906 Galton preferred " qualities " to "faculties ' in his definition of Eugenics. In the wording of both the Will of 1908 and the Codicil of May 25, 1909, the latter term replaces the former. I find from letters that passed between Galton and myself between May 4 and May 18, 1909, that he consulted me as to the drafting of this later Codicil, actually putting a copy (returned to him) before me for my suggestions, which turned solely on the desirability of granting power to the University to delay the appointment of a Galton professor, if no suitable man was at once available. If the word " faculties " replaced " qualities " in this draft, probably Galton, and certainly I, overlooked its introduction. Historically the origin of the definition of Eugenics is of interest ; its three forms, that in the Minutes of the University as to the duties of the first Galton Research Fellow, which has been invariably used by the Galton Laboratory ; the unsanctioned change in Sir Arthur Rucker's advertisement ; and finally that of the Codicil defining the bequest to the University, have already been the subject of inquiry from America. If the University were ever to insist in practice on a rigid interpretation of the phrasing of the bequest, the word "faculties" might hamper a future f occupant of the Galton Chair. It would be most undesirable that he should be precluded from studying any characteristic quality — iris pigmentation, constitution * I was probably giving a public lecture on that date, but do not remember topic or place. f Hardly in the case of the present Galton professor, as the Will permits him to associate the Biometric Laboratory with the Galton Laboratory, and biometry at least covers the "qualities" as well as the "faculties" of man ! pom 29 226 Life and Letters of Francis Galton of blood or size of thyroid gland, etc. — which, without being a "faculty," might tend to throw light on hereditary processes in man. I have therefore ventured to place on record here that to the best of my knowledge and belief Galton, by the use of the term "faculties" in the Codicil of 1909, in no wise wished to set any limitation on the definition of Eugenics which he fully accepted in his Memories of 1908 (p. 321). (4) The Huxley Lecture of 1901, and Allied Matters. Before entering into more detail as to the steps Galton took to develop the research side and the popular side of Eugenics, it may be convenient to pass under review the publications which he issued in this last period of his life. It is true that they were written more from the popular standpoint than his earlier papers on statistics and heredity, but they lacked little of the old fire, and were eminently suited to his purpose, viz. that of creating a national movement in favour of a eugenic policy. His work may best be reviewed in chronological order, thus forming a history of the last eleven years of his life, 1901 to 1911, from his 79th to 89th year. We have seen* that in the winter of 1900 Galton was in Egypt and spoke before the Khedivial Society for Geography on the Egypt of 1846 f and of 1900. On his return in 1901, he was invited to give the Huxley Lecture and receive the Huxley medal of the Royal Anthro- pological Institute. Tbese events took place on October 29th %, and the lecture, entitled "The possible Improvement of the Human Breed under the existing Conditions of Law and Sentiment," was published in Nature, Nov. 1, 1901, and again in the Report of the Smithsonian Institution, pp. 523-538. It seems to have been published only in abstract by the Anthropological Institute. It is noteworthy that Galton in his early days tried to induce the physical anthropologists of that Institute to adopt a scientific technique. In his old age he endeavoured to prove to them that a study of racial characters finds its practical outcome in the art of Eugenics. In neither case was he really successful. It is the Eugenics Laboratories springing up over Europe which are adopting anthropology as an auxiliary science and revivifying its technique and aims ; it is the older institutes of anthropology which have not grasped that their study of the evolution of man's past has for its main purpose the direction of man's future — therein alone it finds its full justification. Galton opened his Huxley Lecture by stating that he proposed to treat broadly a new topic belonging to a class in which Huxley himself would have felt a keen interest. He had accordingly selected a topic, which had occupied his thoughts for many years, and to which a large part of his published inquiries had borne a direct though silent reference. His remarks would serve as an additional chapter to his books on Hereditary Genius and Natural Inheritance, and we may add also to his Inquiry into Human Faculty, wherein he first defined and used the term "Eugenics," and talked of the possible purposeful improvement of the human breed§. * See the present volume, p. 158. t Actually 1845-6: see our Vol. I, pp. 198-205. % With Lord Avebury (formerly Sir John Lubbock) in the chair, a very fit choice. § See our Vol. n, pp. 252, 264 et seq. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Gallon's Life 227 The topic, he stated, had not hitherto been approached along the path that recent knowledge has laid open, and as a result the subject had not held as dignified a position in scientific estimation as it ought to do. "It is smiled at as most desirable in itself and possibly worthy of academic discussion, but absolutely out of the question as a practical problem " (p. 523*). The object of the lecture was to show cause for a different opinion. " Indeed I hope to induce anthropologists to regard human improvement as a subject that should be kept openly and squarely in view, not only on account of its transcendent importance, but also because it affords excellent but neglected fields for investigation. I shall show that our knowledge is already sufficient to justify the pursuit of this, perhaps the grandest of all objects, but that we know less of the conditions upon which success depends than we might and ought to ascertain. The limits of our knowledge and of our ignorance will become clearer as we proceed." (p. 523.) Thus Galton attempted to introduce the science of Eugenics to anthro- pologists, cautiously screening the label on his draught ! He first pointed out that the natural characters and faculties of human beings differ at least as widely as those of domesticated animals, such as dogs and horses : "In disposition some are gentle and good-tempered, others surly and vicious; some are courageous, others timid; some are eager, others sluggish; some have large powers of endurance, others are quickly fatigued ; some are muscular and powerful, others are weak ; some are intelligent, others stupid ; some have tenacious memories of places and persons, others frequently stray and are slow at recognizing. The number and variety of aptitudes, especially in dogs, is truly remarkable ; among the most notable being the tendency to herd sheep, to point and to retrieve. So it is with the various natural qualities which go towards the making of the civic worth in man. Whether it be in character, disposition, energy, intellect or physical power, we each receive at our birth a definite endowment, allegorized by the parable related in St Matthew, some receiving many talents, others few." (p. 524.) It is to be noted how artfully Galton chose the very characteristics of the dog which correspond to those of man, and led up his artless listeners without direct statement to the inference that what you can certainly breed for in the dog, you might equally well breed for in man ! Galton realised to the full that the best method of making converts is to allow the average man an opportunity of independently discovering your truth. In the pride of himself finding a nugget (conveniently placed), he is far less inclined to assert without examination that the whole field is non-auriferous. Pushing the parable of the talents further, Galton, rather quaintly, proceeds to put it into numbers, taking the quartile deviation ("probable error ") to represent one talent, and using the normal frequency distribution to express the frequency of the various grades of qualities in a nation. He justifies the use of the normal distribution on the ground that experience has shown that it is a fair approximation in the case of a number of qualities. * My references are to the pages of the Smithsonian Report. 29—2 228 Life mid Letters of Francis Galton He thus obtains the following distribution for 10,000 individuals of any character in a nation : Defect talents Excess talents Under -4-4 -3 -2 -1 Mean 12 3 4 Over 4 Total 35 180 672 1613 2500 2500 1613 672 180 35 10,000 V u t ■ r R 8 T U V The letters below mark the particular classes for purposes of reference, the small letters denoting classes with the corresponding range of defect of talents below mediocrity and the capital letters the classes with excess of talents above mediocrity. The reader will note that with a different nomenclature the distribution is one very familiar to statisticians. Beyond V and v Galton supposes classes W, X, etc., w, x, etc., each corresponding to a range of one talent. He illustrates this scheme from his own data for male stature where the mean was 5' 8", the "talent" If" nearly, and where accordingly class U would contain men over 6' l£", "quite tall enough to overlook a hatless mob." Then he continues : " So the civic worth (however the term may be defined) of {/-class men, and still more of K-class, are notably superior to the crowd ; though they are far below the heroic order." (p. 526.) In round numbers about one man in 300 belongs to the F-class. In the next place Galton proceeds to compare his normal distribution scale with the classes A, B,...H, into which Mr Charles Booth divided the population of London in his noteworthy survey. He concludes that Mr Booth's class H corresponds to his own T, U, V and above. Further, his own t, u, v and below correspond to Mr Booth's class A, criminals, semi-criminals, loafers, and a few others, and to his class B, very poor persons who subsist on casual earnings, many of whom are inevitably poor from shiftlessness, idleness or drink. Galton rightly considers that, from the standpoint of civic worth, classes t, u, v and below are undesirables. The next section of the lecture is entitled Worth of Cliildren. The lecturer points out that the brains of the nation lie in the W- and .X-classes, and if the people, who would be placed in them as adults, could be distinguished as children, were procurable by money, and could be reared as Englishmen, it would be a cheap bargain for the nation to buy them at the rate of several hundreds or even thousands of pounds per head. He refers to Dr Farr's estimate of the value of the baby of an Essex* labourer's wife at £5 and says he believes that on the same actuarial principles an X-class baby might be reckoned in thousands of pounds. While some such "talented" folk fail, most succeed and many succeed greatly: * Dr Farr's analysis seems based on the wages of agricultural labourers in Norfolk, not Essex : see Journal of R. Statistical Society, Vol. xvi, pp. 38—44. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 229 "They found great industries, establish vast undertakings, increase the wealth of multitudes, and amass large fortunes for themselves. Others, whether they be rich or poor, are the guides and light of the nation, raising its tone, enlightening its difficulties, and imposing its ideals. The great gain that England received through the immigration of the Huguenots* would be insignificant to what she would derive from an annual addition of a few hundred children of the classes W and X. I have tried but not yet succeeded to my satisfaction, to make an approximate estimate of the worth of a child at birth according to the class he is destined to occupy when adult. It is an eminently important subject for future investigators, for the amount of care and cost that might profitably be expended in improving the race clearly depends on its result." (p. 528.) Thus far it will be clear to the reader that all that Galton does is to assert and assert with truth that in any scale of civic worth, whether it be one of brains or energy, artistic power or skill, the classes W and X are of the highest value to a nation, and should be multiplied if possible, the classes t, u, v and below are undesirable, and should be decreased if feasible. It is difficult to see how anyone can deny this, for by the very definitions of those classes they are the best and the worst in the community. Galton now passes to " the descent of qualities in a population." Here he makes use of the conception of regression as he has discussed it in his Natural Inheritance, and makes the parental correlation one-third. As in that work he indicates with a diagram how a population reproduces itself. The same criticism may be made here as earlier on our pp. 18, 23 and 65, namely in the first place the parental correlation is actually .much higher than he assumes it, and secondly he supposes the ancestors of the parents in all cases to be mediocre, whereas these ancestors will most probably deviate from mediocrity in the same direction as the parents themselves do. Luckily these slips do not invalidate his conclusions, for, if corrected, his case for obtaining F-class offspring most economically by encouraging parentage in V-, U-, or T-class individuals is greatly strengthened. If the reader will bear in mind that Galton's statements owing to the above reasons give results far less favour- able than they should be to F-class parents, we need not hesitate to cite his sentences on p. 531 : "Of its [the T-class in new generations] 34 or 35 sons, 6 come from V parentage, 10 from U, 10 from T, 5 from S, 3 from R, and none from any class below R; but the number of the contributing parentages has also to be taken into account. When this is done, we see that the lower classes make their scores owing to their quantity not to their quality, for while 35 F-class parents suffice to produce 6 sons of the F-class, it takes 2500 .ff-class fathers to produce 3 of them. Consequently, the richness in produce of F-class parentages is to that of the ^-class in an inverse ratio, or as 143 to 1. Similarly the richness in produce of F-class children from parentages of the classes U, T, S, respectively, is as 3, 11 '5 and 55 to 1. More- over nearly one-half of the produce of F-class parentages are V or U taken together, and nearly three-quarters of them are either V, U, or T. If, then, we desire to increase the output of F-class offspring, by far the most profitable parents to work upon would be those of the F-class, and in a three-fold less degree those of the fAclass." (p. 531.) Here we see Galton fully cognizant of the solution of the paradox which nearly thirty years later was still troubling the non-statistical mind of Professor Leonard Hillf . * This is an illustration often used by Galton, e.g. in his Presidential Address to the Demographic Congress, 1891, and in the Jewish Chronicle, July 30, 1910. t See this volume, p. 27. 230 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Standard Scheitte. of Descent -3Q -2Q -Q O +Q +2Q +3Q Either Trent's Grade Number iri each Distribution of ITIid- -parents for 1000 pairs with assortatioe mating -2804 and midparental correlation 7907 as for stature in Man. Each pair one male child. Regression of Midparental to Filial Centres- Scale of Total Filial Variability. 21-5 Children of u 67-2 Children of X, 161-3 Children of S Wodified from Gallon's original scheme by faking better numerical oalues for stature m Man, and the aasorlatio* m&Iinfi not perfect. Fig. 43. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 231 Next Galton refers to the important fact that in each class of a community there is a strong tendency to intermarriage; this not only produces a " marked effect in the richness of brain-power of the more cultured families " but further an effect of another kind in the lowest stratum of civic worth. After citing Charles Booth on this " handful of barbarians*," Galton proceeds as follows : " Many who are familiar with the habits of these people do not hesitate to say that it would he an economy and a great benefit to the country if all habitual criminals were resolutely segregated under merciful surveillance and peremptorily denied opportunities for producing offspring. It would abolish a source of suffering and misery to a future generation, and would cause no unwarrantable hardship in this." (p. 532.) Galton, in his scheme of Standard Descent on p. 529, makes the assortative mating coefficient perfect. I have replaced it by one [see the opposite page] in which that coefficient has the observed value for stature. He has also supposed his filial arrays to regress from the midpoints of the parental blocks instead of from their means, and used a value lower than I have adopted for the filial regression. I think my diagram emphasises the con- clusions he has drawn above. The fact that the population does not reproduce itself absolutely is due to grouping into blocks instead of dealing with a continuous distribution. The following section is headed Diplomas t. Galton considers, and probably correctly, that there would not be a serious difficulty, if a strong enough desire were felt, in picking out young men whose grade was of the V, W or X order. He points out that at any great university the students are in con- tinual competition in studies, in athletics and in public meetings, and that thus their faculties are well known to their tutors and associates; he remarks that civic worth may take various forms, and a considerably high level both intellectually and physically should be required as a qualification for candidature. Galton considers that when a limited number had thus been selected they " might be submitted in some way to the independent votes of fellow students on the one hand and tutors on the other whose ideals of character and merit necessarily differ." Finally he would have an independent committee, who would examine the candidates personally and consider the favourable points of their family histories, making less of the unfavourable points, unless they were " notorious and flagrant," because of the difficulty of ascertaining the real truth about them — a view which is perhaps not wholly to be commended. As examples of successful working of such committees Galton cites the selections made by scientific societies, including, perhaps, the award of their medals, " which the fortunate recipients at least are tempted to consider judicious J " (p. 533). * Of this .4-class Charles Booth wrote very curiously : " It is much to be desired and it is to be hoped that this class may become less hereditary in its character ; there appears to be no doubt that it is now hereditary to a very considerable extent." This seems to be a misuse of the word "hereditary." t The proposal for diplomas or certificates for eugenically fit young people was first made by Galton in 1873 ; see our Vol. II, pp. 120-1. % The reader may be reminded that Galton was to receive the Huxley medal at the con- clusion of this lecture before the Institute. 232 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Galton next turns to the selection of women which he apparently considers harder than that of men students, because they are fewer. He would lay stress on their athletic proficiency and on their capacity to pass a careful medical examination, and he would pay more attention to their hereditary family qualities, under which he includes those of fertility and prepotency. This idea of diplomas may raise a smile, but experience has shown the present writer its feasibility, when public opinion is ripe for it. In any university the anthropometric laboratory which tests some 25 or 30 physio- logical, mental and physical characters, the eugenics laboratory which studies family pedigrees, the academic examinations and the numerous athletic competitions could in combination, if guided wisely, place university students into classes graded sufficiently finely for Galton's aims. I believe there would be no greater difficulty and considerably more accuracy than was reached during the Great War in grading conscripts into A, B and C classes and their subdivisions. But having admitted the possibility of at least approximately selecting our promising youths* can we be certain of their subsequent perform- ance? This is the subject of Galton's next section. He remarks on the real difficulty of the problem whether a classification in youth would be a trustworthy forecast of qualities in later life, but states that for eugenic purposes this classification of the relatively young is essential : " The accidents that make or mar a career do not enter into the scope of this difficulty. It resides entirely in the fact that the development does not cease at the time of youth, especially in the higher natures, but that faculties and capabilities which were then latent subsequently unfold and become prominent. Putting aside the effect of serious illness, I do not suppose there is any risk of retrogression in capacity before old age comes on. The mental powers that a youth possesses continue with him as a man, but other faculties and new dis- positions may arise and alter the balance of his character. He may cease to be efficient in the way of which he gave promise, and he may perhaps become efficient in unexpected directions. The correlation between youthful promise and performance in mature life has never been properly investigated t- Its measurement presents no greater difficulty, so far as I can foresee, than in other problems which have been successfully attacked.... Let me add that I think its neglect by the vast army of highly educated persons who are connected with the present huge system of competitive examinations to be gross and unpardonable. Neither schoolmasters, tutors, officials of the universities, nor of the State department of education J, have ever to * It will be seen that the lecturer does not deal with the equally, perhaps more, important classification of other social grades, for example craftsmen and factory workers. t E. Schuster, the first Galton Research Fellow, broke ground in this direction in his paper in the Eugenics Laboratory Memoirs, No. in, " The Promise of Youth and the Performance of Manhood," but the subject demands the treatment of still ampler material. \ Some years ago our Civil Service Examinations — the most elaborate system of State marking — were analysed in the Biometric Laboratory, not only with a view to testing the very empirical system of marking therein adopted, but also of ascertaining whether the marks thus settled were a real criterion of relative ability. The sole additional data needed were appreciations of success in State service after a period of 20 or 25 years. At first one believed salary might be such a test, but it was soon clear that other factors than ability were liable to determine salary. A control which I proposed, namely a classification in five classes of success, the judgment to be made by those acquainted with the inner working of the several offices (and to be treated as strictly confidential as to the individual), was at first accepted, but later rejected. Meanwhile the Government appears to have no proof — which must of course be statistical — either that its system of marking is a real measure of relative ability, or that the individuals thus selected fulfil in manhood the promise of their youth. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 283 my knowledge taken any serious step to solve this important problem, though the value of the present elaborate system of examinations cannot be rightly estimated until it is solved." (pp. 533-4.) Here Galton's judgment must appeal to every thoughtful man. Educa- tional methods both in teaching and examination are put into practice on the balance of opinion in committees, or even by the arbitrary will of par- ticular headmasters, and when the system is developed no attempt is made to determine statistically whether it really achieves what it professes to do. The preparatory schools prepare for the public schools' examinations, the public schools are again in their teaching controlled by the examinations on which the universities distribute their prizes, and finally distinction in the academic graduation examinations is an all-important factor in many lucra- tive appointments. Our educational system may be the very best available, as apparently its administrators believe it to be ; but public confidence in it would be based on a firmer footing if those administrators would occasionally take stock and prove to us that the promise of youth has been fulfilled in adult performance. We debate and we legislate, we educate and we examine — and never take the trouble to inquire after a few years whether the results we aimed at have been achieved ! Galton next turns to the question of the augmentation of favoured stock. It is clear that the improvement of the stock of a nation depends on our power of increasing the productivity of its best members. He considers this of more importance than repressing the productivity of the worst stock ; he does not give his reasons for this view, possibly he holds the production of one superman to be in the long run more profitable to a nation than the repression of fifty subhumans ; it is better to spend all available funds in the production of men of outstanding civic worth, rather than in the reduction of the number of undesirables. Galton's main proposal certainly would involve considerable expense ; it is that his youths and maidens, selected for all types of outstanding civic worth, should be put under conditions where early marriage is feasible and large families are not detrimental to success. He holds that with able and cultured women in particular there might be a reduction in the age at marriage from 28 or 29 to 21 or 22, thus prolonging marriage by seven years. This would not only save from barrenness the earlier part of the childbearing period of these women, but would shorten each generation by some seven years. Galton considers that it is no absurd idea that outside influences should hasten the age of marriage or lead the best to marry the best. " A superficial objection is sure to be urged that the fancies of young people are so in- calculable and so irresistible that they cannot be guided." So they are — in the exceptional case which only proves the contrary rule*. But the anthro- pologist is only too familiar with the fact that marriage is the most custom- ridden institution of humanity, and the variations in its customs are as wide as the races of mankind. At least 95 °'/o of men and women marry not only according to the custom of their nation, but according to the habits of * Galton cites as such the lady who scandalised her domestic circle by falling in love with the undertaker at her father's funeral and insisting on marrying him ! p a in . 30 234 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon the small section of it to which they belong ; the agricultural lad and lass early and within their district ; the cultured man and woman late and yet within their own circle. "An enthusiasm to improve the race would probably express itself by granting diplomas to a select class of young men and women, by encouraging their intermarriages, by hastening the time of marriage of women of that high class, and by provision for rearing children healthily. The means that might be employed to compass these ends are dowries, especially for those to whom moderate sums are important, assured help in emergencies during the early years of married life, healthy homes, the pressure of public opinion, honours, and above all the introduction of motives of a religious or quasi-religious character. " Indeed an enthusiasm to improve the race is so noble in its aim that it might well rise to the sense of a religious obligation. In other lands there are abundant instances in which religious motives make early marriages a matter of custom and continued celibacy to be regarded as a disgrace, if not a crime. The customs of the Hindoos, also of the Jews, especially in ancient times, bear this out. In all costly civilizations there is a tendency to shrink from marriage on prudential grounds. It would, however, be possible so to alter the conditions of life that the most prudent course for an X-class person should lie exactly opposite to its present direction, for he or she might find that there were advantages, and not disadvantages in early marriage, and that the most prudent course was to follow their natural instincts." When Galton comes to the consideration of " Existing Agencies," we are bound to admit how few endowments of real eugenic value exist at present. Galton suggests what might be done rather than what is already available. With an annual expenditure of £14,000,000 on charities might not more be achieved in producing the healthy fit than in tending the unhealthy weak % How much of this huge charitable expenditure may not really be opposed to eugenic doctrine in its effects % Galton refers to endowments by scholar- ships and fellowships, but does not say that their present length of tenure is inadequate for his purpose ; he thinks that wealthy men might be proud to befriend poor but promising lads without the patron being " a wretch who supports with insolence and is repaid by flattery." He commends the wise landlord of a large estate who builds healthy cottages and prides himself upon having them occupied by a class of men markedly superior to those in similar positions elsewhere. " It might well become a point of honor, and as much an avowed object, for noble families to gather fine specimens of humanity around them as it is to procure and maintain fine breeds of cattle, etc., which are costly but repay in satisfaction." (p. 537.) Our author has his Utopias, as many men have had with less scientific insight behind them. He dreams of settlements or colleges where promising young couples might be provided with healthy and convenient quarters. " The tone of the place would be higher than elsewhere on account of the high quality of the inmates, and it would be distinguished by an air of energy, intelli- gence, health and self-respect, and by mutual helpfulness." He dreams again his dream of 1873* of a great society with ample funds recording the abler of every social class, seeing to their intermarriage, and establishing personal relations between them. But while he dreams he realises that the first thing is to justify a crusade in favour of race-improvement ; to show step by step that it is both from the * See our Vol. II, pp. 119-122. He dreamt it again in the Utopia he described in the last few months of his life: see the letters of the autumn of 1910 below. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Gallon's Life 235 scientific and the practical standpoint possible ; to fill up by research the gaps in our ignorance and make every stepping-stone safe and secure. He would be content if his lecture justified men " in following every path in a resolute and hopeful spirit that seems to lead towards that end." And he concludes : " The magnitude of the inquiry is enormous, but its object is one of the highest man can accomplish.... We cannot doubt the existence of a great power ready to hand and capable of being directed with vast benefit as soon as we shall have learned to understand and apply it. To no nation is a high human breed more necessary than to our own, for we plant our stock all over the world and lay the foundation of the dispositions and capacities of future millions of the human race." (p. 538.) Thus Galton concludes the second Huxley Lecture of the Anthropological Institute; it is possibly the only one of the series which is destined to live, for it founded a new science, which in truth carried with it the germs of a great future social movement. But the seed fell on barren soil, it found no echo in the researches of British anthropologists, and the lecture, perhaps the most weighty paper their Institute had heard, was never fully published in their Journal. It attracted more attention and bore ampler fruit in America than in this country. Nothing daunted Galton determined to appeal to a wider public and another class of mind. From now on he made it his chief purpose to spend his remaining years and energies in teaching the public that they had to take Eugenics as seriously as any other branch of science with practical applications. It must not be supposed, however, that Galton's devotion of his remaining years to Eugenics cut him off entirely from other interests and from his habitual helpfulness to other allied causes. I find that the letters interchanged between us during the years 1900 to 1902 turn largely on the foundation of Biometrika, and it is pleasing to recall the sympathy expressed and the help which the Master's letters in those days of stress were to Weldon and myself, his disciples. Unfortunately it is not possible to understand the setting of Galton's letters or the frank and generous relationship between the older man and his lieutenants without publishing certain letters of the latter, which maintain the thread of the narrative. My own correspondence with Francis Galton is scattered over nineteen years, and only small portions of it can be published in this chapter. I shall select here a portion from the correspondence for the years 1900-1902, which, we must remember, were marked for Galton by (i) the foundation of Biometrika, (ii) the delivery of the Huxley Lecture, (hi) the award of the Darwin Medal, and (iv) the election to an Honorary Fellowship at Trinity College, Cambridge. The following letters bearing on these points may first be cited as throwing light on parts of that correspondence : Inmsfail, Hills Road, Cambridge. 24 June 1901. My dear Mr Galton, I have been commissioned by the Council of the Anthropological Institute to ask whether you would do us the honour to deliver the Huxley Lecture this autumn or early winter, and at the same time to receive the Huxley Medal. 30—2 236 Life and Letters of Francis Galton We would like in this way to emphasise our appreciation of the value of your researches, which have placed biological data on a prime mathematical basis. You have been the pioneer in the Mathematical School of Evolution, and Anthropology has benefitted enormously, not only by your investigations, but by those which you have directly or indirectly instigated and inspired. Who then is better fitted to discourse to us than a Pioneer Investigator in one corner of that field of which in other departments Huxley was a brilliant exponent t We sincerely trust that you will add another self-denying good deed for the sake of Anthropology, and will favour the Institute, and benefit our Science, by acceding to our urgent request. Believe me, my dear Mr Galton, Yours most faithfully, Alfred C. Haddon. This letter shows a real appreciation of Galton's services to Anthropology, hut, as I have indicated, his lecture found no response in the writings of English anthropologists. In announcing the award of the Darwin Medal to Francis Galton on Dec. 1 , 1902, Sir William Huggins said it was conferred "for his numerous contributions to the exact study of heredity and variation contained in Hereditary Genius, Natural In/ieritance and other writings. The work of Mr Galton has long occupied a unique position in evolutionary studies. His treatise on Hereditary Genius (1869) was not only what it claimed to be the first attempt to investigate the special subject of the inheritance of human faculty in a statistical manner and to arrive at numerical results, but in it exact methods were for the first time applied to the general problem of heredity on a com- prehensive scale. It may safely be declared that no one living had contributed more definitely to the progress of evolutionary study, whether by actual discovery or by the fruitful direction of thought, than Mr Galton." And, now the letter which Francis Galton valued more than all ! It runs : Trinity College, Cambridge. Nov. 14, 1902. My dear Frank, Many happy duties have come to me in my life, but few happier than that of now informing you, by the direction of our Council, that we have today elected you an Honorary Fellow of the College under the provisions of our Statute XIX, as a "person distinguished for literary and scientific merits." We are electing at the same time Mr Balfour, Sir William Harcourt, Lord Macnaghten and Professor Maitland. Our other Honorary Fellows, since the deaths of Bishop Westcott and Lord Acton, are Lord Rayleigh and Sir George Trevelyan. Need I say how it delights me to think that all your long and brilliant services in the cause of many a science should again link you in the later years of your life with the College to which, as I know, you have always been so loyal 1 Believe me, very affectionately yours, H. Montagu Butler. Can you kindly let me know by Telegraph whether you accept ? I should like, if possible, to announce the five Fellowships together. Since writing the above I have just seen the award of the Darwin Medal ! Very delightful. When a man is young, honours are a powerful incentive to further work, and as the years go by they test the judgment of those who conferred them. When a man is old — Galton was 80 years of age, and the wider world had long pronounced its judgment— honours mean far less to him, and need little exercise of judgment on the part of the givers*. There is a form of honour, * Putting aside membership of learned societies at home and abroad and the holding of offices therein, I may note the following honours conferred on Galton : Gold Medal, Royal Geographical Society, 1853; Silver Medal, French Geographical Society, 1854; Royal Medal of Royal Society, 1886; Officier de lTnstruction publique de France, 1891; D.C.L. Oxford, 1894; Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 237 however, which gives most Englishmen intense pleasure. They feel hound, in a way that many foreigners find it difficult to understand, to their school, college, or university. These institutions have in many cases fascinating tradi- tions, stately huildings and beautiful environment; they act on their students and inmates at a period when their minds are most impressionable, when they are learning to understand the value of friendship ; when they first begin to realise all that life may mean for them. This is peculiarly true in the case of youths like Francis Galton who reach the free atmosphere of a University without the background of a great public school behind them. Too many public school boys miss half the joy of their undergraduate days by holding too tightly to their school traditions and friends, so that the College or University appears to them chiefly as a club where they can strengthen old associations. With Galton it was different, like Columbus he discovered the wonders of a new world, and what was largely due to his own mental growth he attributed to his College, to the intellectual and physical environments it provided ; and, as so many have done, he felt a love for it, instinctive, like that we feel for the mother who reared us, or for our country. Such love is difficult to defend on rational grounds ; the personnel of a college may be as "dull as the pictures which adorn their halls," our fellow-students may be mediocre — but blessed be the man unknown who put those two words together, Alma Mater, and applied them to the communal homes of our youth, those ever-verdant pastures, that we always look back to from the dusty highways of later life ! Their honours are what we value most, even if their worth be little esteemed by the outer world; — an emotion no doubt of the heart, not a demand of the head, yet there are times when Rousseau gives greater delight than Voltaire. And the octogenarian was moved as he had scarcely been by other honours, much as his simple modest nature always rejoiced in any recognition, however long, as it seemed to us outsiders, postponed. Thus Galton wrote to his sister Emma about the Darwin Medal: Hotel des Anglais, Valescure (Vab), France. Nov. 14, 1902. You are so sympathetic that you will be glad to know that the Royal Society has awarded rue the Darwin Medal for my " numerous contributions to the exact study of Heredity and Variation." It was established some few years ago, and is awarded biennially (or is it triennially) without regard to nationality. Grassi, the Italian, got it last time for his discovery of the life history of eels, whose early life had puzzled zoologists from before the days of Aristotle onwards. He found that some creatures that were fished up from the Straits of Messina (Sicily) were young eels and that eels alway go to deep sea waters to breed. — -Well, I am very pleased except that I stand in the way of younger men. All well, except that my cough plagues me at night, a little before daybreak. No mosquitoes here. We are the only people in the hotel. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. Wallace, Hooker, I think, and Karl Pearson are, besides Grassi, the previous medallists. Hon. Sc.D. Cambridge, 1895; Linnean Society Medal (Darwin- Wallace Celebration), 1908; Knighthood, 1909 ; Royal Society, Copley Medal, 1910; and those recorded above. All, with the exception of the Geographical Medals, were conferred when Galton was well over 60 years, and in some cases over 80 ! 238 Life and Letters of Francis Galton But about his Alma Mater he wrote: Hotel des Anglais, Valescure, prks St Raphael (Var), France. Nov. 16, 1902. Dearest Emma, Your letter lias just come with the 2 extracts. Thank you much ; I was sure that you and Bessy and Erasmus would all be glad to hear of the Darwin Medal. But there is even more to tell, of even yet more value to myself. They have elected me Honorary Fellow of Trinity College, Cambridge, which is a rare distinction for a man who has not been previously an ordinary fellow, or who is not a professor resident in Cambridge. The beauti- fully conceived and worded letter of Montagu Butler, the Master of Trinity, of which Eva has made a copy for you to keep, will explain much of this. Mr Balfour was, I think, a fellow, anyhow he was one of the most brilliant men of his year. Sir W. Harcourt and Lord Macnaghten were fellows, so I presume was Maitland who is a resident professor. Lord Acton was a professor. Sir G. Trevelyan was 2nd classic of his year, but did not wait long enough in England to gain his fellowship. It was given him after his successful administration as Irish Secretary. Bishop Westcott was of pre-eminent reputation as a theologian and as a classic, and had been an ordinary fellow. So had been Lord Bayleigh. So I am in very good company indeed. Is it not pleasant 1 This is a sort of recognition I value most highly. All the more so, as I did so little academically at Cambridge, in large part owing to ill health. But I seem to owe almost everything to Cambridge. The high tone of thought, the thoroughness of its work, and the very high level of ability, gave me an ideal which I have never lost. So much egotistically. I am getting much stronger here, and have made the discovery that much of my asthma has been due to warm and overcarpeted rooms. Mine here I have now had cleared of carpet and underlying straw. It feels so much purer and wholesomer. The first night after it was done I had no asthma at all. Looking to past experiences, I now see how commonly warm and carpeted rooms have been associated with my asthma, notably the drawing room of the Athenaeum Club, where I can rarely sit 10 minutes without beginning to cough. I am planning the taking up of carpets in my drawing, dining, bed and dressing rooms at home, and varnishing and staining the floors. I have two uncarpeted rooms there already where I have long noticed that I cough less than elsewhere (the bathroom and my workroom*). The weather has been delicious here this morning. I took a good 4 miles walk without being tired, which is far in advance of what my powers were during the past summer. How I wish you f could get up and take walks too ! We have a few friends already come back Bessy's journeyings for meals on account of kitchen repairs at her own house are amusing. So is V... B...'s consignment of beetles ! Loves to Bessy, Erasmus and all. What are Erasmus' walking powers now when at his best? How many miles does he think he could manage 1 1 Eva sends her love [here the handwriting changes] — and you will be glad to hear that Uncle Frank is looking remarkably well; this place has done a great deal for him mentally and physically ; he can walk and eat and sleep like any ordinary person, but he does not present a very handsome appearance having a head still spotted with about 36 remaining bites from the mosquitoes of Hyeres. We are so happy here, yr. affect. Eva. [Galton concludes] So much from Eva, who sketches and paints assiduously. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. A characteristic letter showing two sides of Francis Galton's feelings, towards his Alma Mater and towards his "sibship." One further letter * The "workroom" at Rutland Gate was a very depressing room, with a single window looking into a well or high-walled court. On deal shelves were placed boxes of pamphlets and papers ; it gave one the impression of a store-room rather than a study. I think Galton chiefly worked, when on the ground floor at a writing table at the dining-room front window and when on the first floor at an oak bureau in the drawing-room. t Francis was now 80, Erasmus 87, Emma 91 and Bessie 94 ! Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 239 concerning these matters may be printed here. It bears witness to the widespread admiration and affection felt for Francis Galton*. Trinity College, Cambridge. 19 November, 1902. My dear Mr Galton, It was only today I heard, with very great pleasure, that your old College has done itself the honour of asking you to become one of its Honorary Fellows. We are proud of the distinction which you confer on the College, and we trust that you will not refuse to accept this mark of our sense of the great services you have rendered to science. To me the act of the College gives a personal pleasure, for I shall never forget your kindness to me at a critical time of my life, and I am happy and proud to think that I have enjoyed the privilege of your friendship ever since. Let me take this opportunity of congratulating you on receiving the Darwin Medal. It is a high distinction, and I am sure you have richly deserved it. Believe me, dear Mr Galton, Yours most sincerely, J. G. Frazer. As I have said on p. 235 the current of Galton's thoughts in these years and his strong affection will be best made clear to the reader if I print here a small selection of the correspondence which passed between us in the years 1900-1902. The letters indicate Galton's essential generosity of mind, the close terms of intimacy he was on with Weldon and myself,— who were proud to feel ourselves in some measure his lieutenants, — and the keen interest he had in the early struggles of Biometrika. The feeling of the younger men among us, who got into close touch with Francis Galton, was something like that of Aristides to Socrates : "I always made progress whenever I was in your neighbourhood, even if it were only in the same house, without being in the same room ; but my advancement was greater if I were in the same room, and greater still if I could keep my eyes fixed upon you." It was not Galton's power of solving problems : suggestive as he was, his analysis often lacked power to cope with them. It was the atmosphere he cast round every scientific question; he carried his intimates into a rarefied air, where the one aim was to reach the goal of truth, not heeding who should get there first, or who should tell the tale of its discovery. I think the like conception expressed in different words is provided by Mrs Sidney Webb \ : " Owing to our [the ' Potter girls '] intimacy with Herbert Spencer we were friendly with the group of distinguished scientific men who met together at the monthly dinner of the famous 'X-Club.' And here I should like to recall that among these scientists, the one who stays in my mind as the ideal man of science is, not Huxley or Tyndall, Hooker or Lubbock, still less my guide, philosopher and friend Herbert Spencer, but Francis Galton whom I used to observe * Sir James Frazer in kindly granting me permission to print his letter remarks "that the 'critical time of my life' referred to in my letter was in 1885, when my Trinity Fellowship would in the ordinary course have expired and the question of renewal came before the College Council. In the same year, shortly before, at Mr Galton's suggestion, I had read my first anthropological paper ('On some burial customs as illustrative of the primitive theory of the soul ') before the Anthropological Institute, with Mr Galton as President in the chair, and when the. question of the renewal of my Fellowship was raised shortly afterwards, I believe that Francis Galton and my ever-lamented friend Robertson Smith used their powerful influence to ensure the renewal and were successful. It was indeed a turning point in my life, and I shall never cease to be grateful to the two friends who stood by me at that critical time ...He [Galton] was indeed an admirable and lovable man from every point of view." t Beatrice Webb, My Apprenticeship, pp. 134-5, 1926. 240 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon and listen to — I regret to say without the least reciprocity — with wrapt attention. Even to-day I can conjure up from memory's misty deep, that tall figure with its attitude of perfect physical and mental poise, the clean shaven face, the thin compressed mouth with its enigmatical smile, the long upper-lip and firm chin, and as if presiding over the whole personality of the man the prominent dark eyebrows from beneath which gleamed with penetrating humour, con- templative grey eyes. Fascinating tp me was Francis Galton's all-embracing, but apparently impersonal beneficence. But to a recent and enthusiastic convert to the scientific method, the most relevant of Galton's many gifts was the unique contribution of three separate and distinct processes of the intellect : a continuous curiosity about and rapid apprehension of individual facts, whether common or uncommon; the faculty for ingenious trains of reasoning; and more admirable than either of these, because the talent was wholly beyond my reach, the capacity for correcting and verifying his own hypotheses by the statistical handling of masses of data, whether collected by himself or supplied by other students of the problem." The following letters may serve to illustrate and deepen the above very admirable characterisation by a skilful artist in words ! (5) Selected Correspondence between Galton and his biographer, illustrating the years 1900-1902. Tewfik Pa lack Hotel, Helouan, Cairo. February, 1900. Dear Prof. K. Pearson, Thank you heartily for letting me see, as a New Year's gift, the important proof sheets. By much hammering, the bad part of the "law*" will be knocked out of it and the good, if any, will remain. You know probably that India ink (1) in water and common ink (2) may look alike, but if you pass the former through a filter of blotting paper the water alone comes through ; not so with regard to ink. Now a mixture of (1) with water is not properly a blend, but a mixture with (2) is. When the particles in any case of "particu- late " inheritance are small and independent, I do not see any sensible difference (within reasonable limits) between the behaviour of the two. But now comes in the consideration which I take to be the great problem, and that which as I conceive lies at the bottom of stability of type, viz.: regarding the imperfectly explored facts of group-correlation. Let, in a given "stirp," a, b, c, ... be classes of elements which develop in that order, the several classes consisting of «i, a2, ..., blt 62, ..., Ac. varieties. Now we find that a certain lineament, or trait, ar, bs, ct, &c. tends to be inherited. If a, b, c, &c. were independent, the probability against the above particular combination would be enormous, whereas it is found to be frequent. What then is the cause? or, in default of knowing the cause, how can we represent to ourselves the character of the correlation 1 If a, b, c are developed in that order of succession, the particular and not improbable sequence of ar, b„ must make the next step to c, far more probable than if 6„ had been preceded by say a„ or some other variety of a. There must be an accumulating correlation of some kind. But how if a, b, c, &c. are simul- taneously developed 1 Here I fail to make any picture to my mind of the way in which the needed group-correlation acts. I often watch the family traits in a party at church, trying to find out the beginnings and the ends in each inherited lineament of resemblance whether to the parents or to one another. They are usually indefinite, I think. My servant writes me word that your "Grammar of Science" has just arrived at Rutland Gate. Thank you sincerely. I must wait till my return, to read it. We have had a very interesting and healthful journey to Wady Haifa and back, including a week's stay with Flinders Petrie at his diggings. The climate here near Cairo is far from being always benign. There are days of stormy wind with dust, and occasional down-pours of rain. I can't make up my mind as to the best places for an invalid — certainly neither Cairo nor Luxor. I have had two pleasant days in the desert with Prof. Schweinfurth the famous traveller. I trust you have pulled through the wretched English winter fairly well. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. I hope to be back about Mid May. * The Law of Ancestral Heredity, especially its application to alternative inheritance. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton' s Life 241 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. June G, 1900. Dear Prof. Kakl Pearson, On returning from a six months absence in Egypt and Greece, I found your valuable Grammar of Science on my table, and am reading it straight through at the rate of about an hour a day, with admiration at your thoroughness. It takes some time, as I find, to pick up dropped threads, so I have as yet little leisure. I wonder if you have worked out the relationship between those who are cousins in a double degree, I mean the issue of the marriages in which 2 brothers have married 2 sisters. Their ancestry from Grandparents upwards, is identical. I should be very curious to learn what value you would assign to it in your "table of collateral heredity," p. 481 of the book. I hope the past cruel winter in England has not hurt you. Weldon, whom I saw last week, spoke favourably of your health. My tour has done me a world of good, besides being extremely interesting and pleasant. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. Dec. 13, 1900. My dear Mr Galton, Your kind letter was very welcome tonight. 1 tried some year ago to sound people with regard to a journal of pure and applied statistics, but found a feeling pretty general that it might injure the R. S. S. Journal, although the sort of memoirs I had in view would I think not find a place in that journal. On the other hand I know a good many papers for which I hardly see a place and there is increasing material being gathered in Germany and America which is lost among masses of purely zoological papers or published in inaccessible proceedings. I think if a journal could survive its first two or three years there is a future for it of great service. The thing came to an issue just now owing to doings at the Royal. My paper on Homotyposis was sent for some reason to Bateson as referee — he chose to tell me so himself, and also to tell me that he had written an unfavourable report. He came to the R.S. at the reading and said there was nothing in the paper — that it was a fundamental error to suppose that number had any real existence in living forms. That this criticism did not apply to this memoir only but to all my work, that all variability was differentiation, etc., etc. Now all this may be quite fair criticism, but what is clear is that if the R.S. people send my papers to Bateson, one cannot hope to get them printed. It is a practical notice to quit. This notice applies not only to my work, but to most work on similar statistical lines. It seems needful that there should be some organ for publication of this sort of work and talking it over with Weldon, he drew up the prospectus, I gave a name, — the "K" was mine (K. P. not C. P.), — and we determined to see what amount of cork was forthcoming to float such a project. I don't think much can be done if we don't get 150 to 200 promises. But can we? — I fear not. Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Jan. 2, 1901. My dear Prof. K. Pearson, Here is the MS. on Eye Colour, which I am delighted is of use to you still. I hope not to go abroad yet awhile, but it would be safer to write on the parcel when you send it back, "To await return." Tell me please, in time, whether the answers you have received relating to the new magazine or journal, are encouraging enough for a prob- able start. Bateson's adverse views cannot be finally effective, being opposed to those of many other no less worthy authorities. But I presume from what you said, that they are effective as against the. particular memoir on Homotyposis 1 Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Jan. 7, 1901. Dear Prof. Karl Pearson, Thank you much for the " Lecture." It fits in with much that I habitually think about. — I wonder if this strikes you as reasonable : — Probably zeal for military usefulness will cause many men to be physically examined as to fitness to serve. There are also medico-physical examinations for other services. Could any sort of Degrees be given to those (a) who simply pass the required standard for the particular purpose, (6) to those who pass as valid for purposes of hereditary transmission. poiii 31 242 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon Two other examinations exist, that might he included in the (6) set : 1. That of a Life-Insurance Co. to certify a first-class life, which includes some facts about parents and brothers, together with local inquiries by their agents. I don't know what the cost of this may be in each case, but certainly the fact of being accepted as a first-class life by any notable Life Insurance Co. is an important fact, worthy of recognition. 2. Ordinary literary examination, to show that the man is not a real stupid. Now fancy that Degrees are offered of a V. H. T. (valid for hereditary transmission of qualities suitable to a citizen of an Imperial Country) would they meet a want, and would they help in forwarding marriages of the fittest and discouraging others in any notable degree 1 If a well considered answer be " yes " I suppose the action would be to write an article upon it, with plenty of solid stuff in it and then if the idea should take, to follow mainly the direction in which " the cat may jump." If tried, it ought to be tried at first on a small scale, that is in a small community by a self-constituted board, laying down their own conditions and giving their certificate as a " Degree." One great question is that of self maintenance when once fully started and running. I should think the cost of the mere medical and physical examination would not be beyond the powers of, say, Cambridge Undergraduates and I fancy that (always sup- posing the idea to catch) it might be possible to get some help from the present examining authorities in respect to the (6) condition. I mean that arrangements might be made by which an Examination by one of these should be accepted by the Certificate or Degree-giving board. I have thought over the subject a good deal and have more to say, but unless what has been said above seems reasonable to persons like yourself, the supplementary remarks would be useless. Will you kindly think this over at odd times during the next 2 or 3 days? I have written about it to no one else. There is another important point of " what severity of selection should be aimed at." A very moderate one would, I think, meet the need. Say that | pass and J fail. The effect on the hypothesis that the successes alone intermarry and keep up the population would roughly put the output of children in the hands of the best half of all possible married couples — |ths of them. (Of course this is the rudest way of putting it; but it will do for present purposes.) If men, like cattle or Mormons, were polygamous a much severer selection would be wanted. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. Jan. 10, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, It would be a very great pleasure to me to know you were going to take the field with regard to what I am convinced is of the greatest national importance — the breeding from the fitter stocks. If one could only get some one to awaken the nation with regard to its future ! — The statesmen, who really have the ear of the populace, never think of the future. They will not touch the question of coal supply nor that of fertility, and yet I am convinced these are far more important for the future existence of the nation than any question of local government, church discipline, or even technical education ! — I think I told you we had nearly completed the reduction of our measurements on 1 100 families, and one after another of the results confirm the higher series of values, about -5 for parental correlation, that I found from the eye and horse colour data. I shall probably not publish these results for some time, as I have half made up my mind to accept an invitation to lecture at the Lowell Institute in Boston this year and these materials would be a good basis for lectures on Heredity. But they emphasise even more emphatically than your earlier value of ^, the opinions you have expressed on the great part played by good stock in the community. Heredity is really more intense than we supposed it to be 10 years ago. Cannot this be brought forcibly home to our rulers and social reformers? Now the difficulty in this case seems to me to be twofold. How can you (i) stop the fertility of the poor stock and (ii) multiply that of the good ? The middle classes are I take it the result of a pretty long process of selection in this country, and I believe that they alone are the classes who largely insure. Your scheme therefore would at first apply only to them, and indeed to the best of them, for the others would not care a rap for a good bill of health, any more than they do for any moral suasion. You might influence by your health degree a small per- centage of the whole community, say 4 per cent., but this percentage is probably identical with those you could equally well influence by moral suasion. I mean by preaching the gospel that the stability of the nation depends upon the good stocks breeding fully and the weak exhibiting Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 243 restraint. But how are you going to get the better class workman to see that his checking the size of his family may make matters easier for him, but is at the expense of the nation's future? He is really unreachable by an assurance scheme, unless you could attach your health degree to the proposals for old age pensions*. That appears to me a point worth thinking about. As I have said elsewhere it seems to me that only socialistic measures can touch this population question. Even if you can by moral suasion lead the better class artizans and the middle classes to see that limitation of the family may be anti-social (and I believe it might be possible) how are you going to check the unlimited production of the worse stocks t The " Neomalthusians " — as I know from sad experience — abuse any one who like myself ventures to criticise their doctrine of limitation, unless it be accompanied by the words "of the poor stocks first " ; but this abuse is nothing to what one will arouse, if one ventures to assert that the huge charities providing for the children of the incapable are a national curse and not a blessing ; that the " widow with seven children all dependent upon her, husband a clerk who died of consumption aged 35," and who seeks your aid to get her children into Reedham, is really a moral criminal and not an object for pity. How can a health degree affect this source of rottenness ? I fear hardly at all. Your only hope is to impress upon the few who really lead the nation, that the matter is one for legisla- tion, that although we have got rid of Gilbert's Act, the workhouse and charity systems can still be sapping our national vigour, when coupled with a wide-spread neomalthusianism — due in the main to Bradlaugh — among the better working classes. What then it seems to me we mostly need at the present time, is some word in season, something that will bring home to thinking men the urgency of the fertility question in this country. There is no man who would be listened to in this matter in the same way as yourself. You are known as one who set the whole scientific treatment of heredity going ; no one has ever suspected you of being in the least a " crank," or having " views " to air. You will be listened to and it will be recognised that you write out of a spirit of pure patriotism. There is no one else, I believe, of whom this could be said, certainly no one who would be listened to in the same way. Let us have (a) known facts of heredity, (b) influence of relative fertility on national vigour, (c) actual statistics of birth rates of different stocks, and (d) proposed remedies (only, if they include the health degree, tack it on to old age pensions) brought home to those who think for the nation. Always sincerely yours, K. Pearson. If Biometrika be started Weldon and I want badly a paper however brief from you for No. 1. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. February 1, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, I have several times planned to write and ask if I might come and see you, and now you are off before I have done so ! I have been " crawling " through my work since December somehow, feeling mentally too tired to do more than get through my routine teaching and making no attempt beyond the day's necessary doings. My helpers go forward but I can only look on. I suppose one must pay eventually for all overwork, only one longs for a few more years to "finish up." Yes, I have settled on the American Lectures on Heredity and Variation for October. If any ideas on diagram-illustration occur to you, I should be very glad of suggestions. I have found a Genometer based on a suggestion of yours very useful at more than one popular lecture. It contains a gigantic lifeguardsman, a diminutive sailor and a " mean " man and illustrates the effect of any number of ancestors or collaterals of these types by means of a string working up and down. It always amuses people. You will share my pleasure in the acceptance of the Homotyposis paper for the Phil. Trans. I hope we may float Biometrika so that one could to some extent relieve the pressure on the R.S. space, which I think is to some extent grudged. We bad however only about 12 English acceptances, and we cannot venture even a first number without something like 100. We are BOW circularising everybody in America, Germany and Italy, but I am not very hopeful. I suppose the Riviera is hardly a place where birds' eggs abound 1 I want to measure another 100 clutches of some species but hardly know which to select or where to go for it. * [Galton wanted a medical examination such as the better insurance offices insist on extended to all classes of the nation. My suggestion was that a grading of lives was essential to a really sound national provision for sickness and old age pensions, proposals for which were then creating some stir. K. P.] 31—2 244 Life and Letters of Francis Galton I fear that to ask for 100 thrushes or blackbirds nests in England would raise a scandal. I got much reproved for my 200 house sparrow nests last year. I trust that your journey may be a pleasant one and that you may escape the horrors of February and March, which my Wife tells me occasionally reach the South of France. You know Miss Shaen is at San Itemo ?■ — May I still keep the eye colour MS. 1 If you would prefer its return before you leave, just say so on a postcard. Always yours sincerely, Karl Pearson. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. April 18, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, I wonder if you are back from your winter journeyings. I want to toll you about the present state of Biometrika. We have about GO promises of subscription, and we shall hardly get more now until the journal is definitely announced as coming out or until it has come. We have been talking over the matter with various publishers and printers, and so far the most reasonable terms seem to be those of the X — Press. Now it would be a great point to have the advertisement of this Press and the goodness of its get up, if we can. They are willing to take the journal on the same terms as they do the Annals of Y, which, with more expensive plates than we should think of, pays its way with some 270 subscribers. But they require a guarantee fund of £200. This they had in the case of the Annals and drew on pretty largely at first, but it is now refunded to the extent of £160. Whether we shall be equally successful is of course a very different matter, but I think there is no doubt that such a journal as Biometrika is wanted, and if we tide over the first few years, the journal will live. Weldon who was staying a few days with me this week wanted to take the whole risk on himself. This does not seem to me right. The natural thing would be for him and for me to share the risk, but with our very precarious condition at University College, this is out of the question. I can only guarantee a very modest sum. My view was that we should try and dis- tribute the £200 about. Of course any one who subscribes may stand a very poor chance of seeing his money again, and to those to whom I have written I have said it must be looked upon as a loss until it reappears (if ever it does) as a stroke of fortune. I take it that the money would be banked and could be drawn only by joint order of Editors and Secretary of the X — Press. Now I am writing to ask if you will aid to any extent in this proposal. T feel the less hesitation in frankly asking you because you are one of the men who I think can frankly say no, and the " no " would not affect our mutual relations. Quite apart from this question, and I am sorry to refer to it in this letter, Weldon and I discussed two points : (1) The desirability, if you do not feel it involves you in worry and work, of getting you to join in any way the editorial committee. This consists at present of Weldon, myself and Davenport of Chicago, as American editor to collect material there. Of course we should be glad of any suggestion or aid you may care to give, but on the other hand we don't want to bother you with the hard work of the journal, and still less to make you in any way responsible for matter or method you might not sympathise with. (2) We want very badly to have a paper by you however long or short for our first number, a "send off" of some kind. Will you promise us this 1 You hardly know perhaps how much of weight your sympathy expressed in some form will carry with it, especially in America ; it will be an uphill battle for some time with the biologists. Anyhow please let me know first your views as to my last two questions (1) and (2) and then rather more at your leisure whether you care to aid in the guarantee fund ? I trust you have had a pleasant sojourn in the South. We are now having beautiful weather in Surrey. Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. Hotel Bella Vista, Boudighera, N. Italy. April 23, 1901. My dear Prop. Karl Pearson, The straight-forwardness of your letter as to the probable total loss of the guarantee fund for Biometrika, is much more attractive to me than an enticing programme, for I like "forlorn hopes" in a good cause. I can just now spare the whole £200 and you shall have it, and I enclose the cheque, so you will be no longer bothered with that matter, and can give your spare energies wholly to starting the Journal. As regards joining the Editorial Committee, if it could be done in a way that carried both in reality and in the eyes of the public no more responsibility and work than the position of " Consulting Physician " does in respect to a Hospital, I should be pleased to do so. Would Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 245 "Consulting Editor" after the names of yourself and Weldon as Editors do? Of other titles, " Referee " is almost the only one that occurs to me ; probably you can suggest something. Of course a good-looking and well-printed title-page (not heavy-looking) is commercially helpful. About writing a short "sending off" paper I think I could manage one on " Biometry," — on its general aspect and principles. I have nothing serious enough in the way of original inquiry to give. Please send me a couple of copies (by return of post) of the programme, that I may better understand what may remain to be said. I trust you will see your way to make a con- siderable part of the contents of the Journal intelligible to those scientific men who are not mathematicians. It ought to be attractive to medical men and such like ; also to statisticians of the better kind. Short notices of original work abroad always attract. We stay here for a full week longer, I think, — and will leave address for letters that may arrive shortly after leaving. But 42, Rutland Gate will always find me in time. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. April 27, 1901. My dear Mr Oalton, Your letter met me on my return home an hour ago. We have not any further programme printed at present than the circular I sent you some months ago of which I enclose two copies. Your letter made me very happy, partly because you so readily consented to my proposals as to editorship and giving us a " send off," partly because of the generally kind tone and sympathy it exhibited for our endeavours. As to your name as "Con- sulting Editor" and your proposed paper on the Aims of Biometry, these we may consider as settled, but I must consult Weldon before I reply fully as to your liberal offer. I think that he feels very much that you have done a great deal from the monetary side for biometry and that he would be unwilling to allow you to take so much of this burden on your shoulders. My view was to spread what I am unwilling until we have made trial to look upon as anything but a loss, over a number of guarantors, for I cannot carry my share of a moiety myself. But about all this I will write in a day or two when I have had an opportunity of considering the matter with Weldon. I don't propose to say what I personally feel about your readiness to aid, because it would be making into a personal kindness what I know is enthusiasm for the study of your life. I can only hope Biometrika will forward that, but it will have an uphill fight. Always yours sincerely, Karl Pearson. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. April 30, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, I have considered the matter of the Biometrika guarantee fund with Weldon and his view is that we should as frankly accept your offered aid as it is frankly given. It places us in a position to survive for at least four years and I think if we can survive the risk of infantile mortality we shall live on. At any rate we shall do our best to make the thing run and supply what we are sure is a real need. We want to make the science into a really great organ of discovery. It is almost pitiable to see how good material is wasted. I was reading a few days ago a paper by an American on colonies of statoblasts in which he had measured the variability in the general population and in the fraternity or colony. He introduced what he called a coefficient of heredity = (variability in population — variability in fraternity) h- (variability in population), and found this to be what he called small. Then he went into long reasons why heredity should be small in a colony of statoblasts. I found on working from his own data that the fraternal correlation came out '44 or nearly exactly what it is for stature oj brothers in man, or for their eye colour or anything else ! In other words he had really demonstrated heredity in these lowly organisms to agree with its value in man and was yet searching about to show why it was so small ! This is only one sample of dozens of like papers now being issued, and which must ultimately cast discredit on biometric processes, if we cannot indicate how these things ought to be worked out properly. Half the Editors' work will be to show authors gently how to use their own data! We will send you specimens of title-page as soon as we can. Also can you let us have your paper at a fairly early date — say before June 30 — so that we may not cover in any other part of the number the same sort of ground. Further any "Notes" that occur to you on possible biometric work, or notices of books or ideas you may come across, would be very welcome. Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. 246 Life and Letters of Francis Galton 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. June 29, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, I am sending you the first proof of title-page and prospectus, etc. of Biometrika. You see it will be a capital size for tables and plates. The Syndics of the Press, Mr Wright told us, are keen on their own shield appearing, and he added, what I think is undoubtedly true, that it is effective as an advertisement. I felt in the face of this that it was not desirable to press for our own device. Will you let me have the proof back with any suggestions that occur to you ? I hope you don't object to the Quaker-like simplicity of the names on the title-page. I should have come to talk the whole matter over with you but this is my worst time — examinations etc. Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Monday, My dear Prof. Pearson, You have arranged a capital title-page, severe in its simplicity, and the Cambridge Press symbol gives it additional weight. I quite approve. There is no note that I can see my way to contribute now. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. I am just back from Cambridge, so excuse the few hours delay in reply. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. July 3, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, I have been looking at one or two of Darwin's books to see if he anywhere emphasises the value of statistical inquiry. I can find nothing; and yet I feel quite certain he realised that value by undertaking, as he did, the long series of experiments in Cross- and Self-Fertilisation of Plants. In his book he states that he has appeahd to you for an examination of his data from the statistical standpoint and for a report. It has struck me that although that letter is not in the Life and Letters it might possibly have survived. Do you think you have preserved it, and if so is there any apt remark as to the need of statistical method in solving such evolution problems? — I should be very glad, if you would let me know if there is. My address after tomorrow will be Manor House, Througham, Miserden, Cirencester, Glosters. Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. July 4, 1901. My dear Prof. K. Pearson, Darwin's letter has not I think survived but I recollect its terms well. They would not have helped in what you want. He began in his usual kindly and appealing way, apologising for the trouble, and implying that he had not confidence in his own power of making the best of the few "ipomaea" statistics, and then asked me to try what I could do with them. I doubt if he ever thought very much or depended much on statistical inquiry in his own work, in the sense that most members of the Statistical Society would have given to it; — though, as you know, he quotes statistical results that others had arrived at, not infrequently. Probably, or rather certainly, Frank Darwin would be the best authority on this. I am glad you have got away for a little into the country. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. July 8, 1901. My dear Prof. Karl Pearson, I have just spoken to Frank and to Leonard Darwin, first separately and then together. Their views about their father's attitude towards statistics are the same as mine, except that Frank's was more strongly expressed. I fear you must take it as a fact, that Darwin had no liking for statistics. They even thought he had a "non-statistical" mind, rather than a statistical one. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. I have temporarily mislaid your address, so send this via Hampstead. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Oct. 25, 1901. My dear Prof. K. Pearson, Biometrika has just come, and seems most appropriate in general get-up. The printing is beautiful and the size of page excellent. I heartily congratulate you. One small matter of great comfort to the possessors of a pamphlet, is to have its name printed along the back: Vol. 1. Part 1. Biometrika Oct. 1901. Do kindly have this done in future numbers. I have already had to write this along the back of mine as well as I could. Herewith I send the Abstract of my Huxley Lecture — Oh ! the trouble that the preparation of the lecture has given ! It was so difficult to make a track free from bogholes, and to keep the stages in proportion. I hope it will further investigations by others. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton' s Life 247 I have one in view now, that I began upon some years ago, but found that enough years had not elapsed since the experiment begun to draw useful conclusions, but every year since has brought a fresh crop of data, and there ought to be enough now. It is the correlation in the Indian Civil Service between the examination place of the candidate and the value of the appointment held by him 1 20 (I forget the figure I used) years afterwards. It seems that the value of an Indian appointment is a very fair test of a man's estimated ability. Mr Tuppy, or some such odd name, wrote a capital analysis of the careers of Indian Civil Servants. I made great use of his book and could soon pick up the long-dropped threads. Nothing however could be successfully done without the cordial and confidential help of the authorities at the India Office. I dare say I may persuade them to help me again, as they did before. I wish next Tuesday was well over. The paper will appear in full in Nature on Thursday. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. Oct. 25, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, Very many thanks for your kind letter. Certainly the back of Biometrika ought to have been and shall in future be stamped. I hope No. II may be a little more varied. Macdonell's article on "Criminal Anthropometry" will be a contrast to Garson's in the Anthropological Journal! — Latter's on Cuckoos' Eggs will be interesting I think. He has measured and examined nearly 300. I hope to get also the Naqada Skull measurements in, and a good many more Miscellanea. Still I fear we shall not be popular enough for a wide range of subscribers. I am quite sure your lecture has been a heavy piece of work. I know nothing which tries one so much as endeavouring to put scientific results in a form that the intelligent layman can grasp. I am just in the throes of producing two popular lectures for Newcastle — one on Natural Selection, and the other on Homotyposis — and I can appreciate from your abstract what yours has cost you. Please remember Biometrika for the Indian Civil paper. I have just been dealing with the Cambridge Graduates, correlating their degree with the shape and dimensions etc. of their head and physique geuerally. We have the full examination record of upwards of 1000 measured individuals. So far the relationship between size or shape of head and intellectual ability seems very slight, but the work is not yet completed. It appears to confirm the view I got from skull measurements, that size has very little to do witli intellectual grade. Next we have reduced the results for pairs of brothers measured in schools, and we find that vivacity, shyness, conscientiousness etc., are correlated precisely as stature, forearm, eye colour. I think this will be when finished as complete a quantitative demonstration of the inheritance of the mental qualities at the same rate as the physical as could be required. I fancy our method of using very simple classification (Memoir VII) would suit your Indian Civil data. Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Oct. 31, 1901. My dear Prof. K. Pearson, It would be very pleasant if we could meet and have a talk. On Sunday our routine is Lunch-dinner at 1 ; Tea at 4.30 ; Dinner-supper at 6.45. Could you come next Sunday for 2 or more of these meals and the intermediate time? If so, please say what you would prefer. I should doubt whether the exchange of Biometrika on equal terms for the Anth. Inst. Journal would be a gain to Biometrika, as so very few of the members of the Institute would be likely to use it intelligently. Quere defer the matter. But do as you think best. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 5, Bertie Terrace, Leamington. Nov. 17, 1901. My dear Prof. K. Pearson, Bravis-is-is-imo re like inheritance of physical and mental !! You have made a firm foot-hold here, well worthy of all the elaboration that you have and are giving to it. What a blessed feeling it is to come to solid rock, when floundering in yielding mud. I congratulate you most heartily. I write from the country but return by Friday, if not Thursday. 248 Life and Letters of Francis Galton There is much to be talked over, amongst the rest the possibility of giving a summary of the contents of each No. of Biometrika, in language that a newspaper could copy, giving the net results obtained in the papers it contains, distinguishing between statement of facts that for the present go no further, and deductions from them. If you thought this feasible, the existence of such a resume would greatly aid the reader. You will have before long to give a glossary and definitions of technical words, and references to the places where they were first employed. Also, a very compact account of the chief processes used would be of great service to many (with references of course). Doubtless you have in view the eventual publication of a regular text-book on statistical operations. I wish we could meet somehow. I could easily be at home next Saturday or Sunday if you cared to fix an hour and a meal, or meals. Dinner-supper on Sunday is always 6.45 to let the cook have time to put on her best bonnet for church. Such is the sex. Ever sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. Dec. 26, 1901. My dear Mr Galton, I have been intending for some days to send you a line of sympathy on being laid up, but I wanted to enclose a New Year's Greeting from the workers in my statistical laboratory, and I could not get it finished until this morning. I have always felt we must go into the point more fully, since you laid stress on the view that ability was correlated with the size of the head in your criticism of Dr Lee's paper. There is still a chance that extreme genius may exhibit something abnormal in the size of head, but I think it is now pretty clear, if we are to look upon ability as normally distributed in the population, there is only a very small, practically negligible correlation between it and either the size or shape of the head. We propose next to find out whether there is a higher relationship between ability and health, strength and general physique, and then to test its relation to temper and moral characters, from the school data schedules. It is a shame to send a gift and then ask for it back ! — But I have not had the chance of making a copy, and I might possibly find an abiding place for it in Biometrika or elsewhere. Please let me have also your criticisms and suggestions. I am sending you besides a paper by Macdonell to appear in the next number of Biometrika. It is rather long and full of tables, hut it involves nearly 18 months stiff work and the material is of value for a number of purposes. I think it shows that for many purposes the fourfold classifications we are now making can safely replace the old laborious tables of correlation. With the best wishes for the New Year and with the hope that Biometrika may not during its first year of life disappoint you badly, I am, Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Dec. 31, 1901. My dear Prof. K. Pearson, The New- Year gift is indeed acceptable both in itself and as evidence of your continued zeal and power of influencing others to work with you. Hearty thanks and best New-Year wishes. The non-correlation of ability and size of head continues to puzzle me the more I recall my own measurements and observations of the most eminent men of the day. It was a treat to watch the great dome of Sylvester's head. William Spottiswoode was another of the 5 or 6 largest ; so was that encyclopaedic physiologist Prof. Sharpey. That most accomplished &, many-sided official, Sir John Lefevre (formerly a senior wrangler), was the largest of all. Gladstone's head, which I myself measured, was very large. Again, comparatively the other day, I was one of a deputation of physicists to the Treasury about the National Physical Laboratory and sitting behind the front row I marvelled at their skulls. Lord Rayleigh, Stokes, Lord Lister, Lord Kelvin were all remarkable partly perhaps owing to the powerful moulding of their heads, irrespective of size. A Frenchman collected the recorded weight of brains of many eminent people and published them in one of the French anthropological periodicals many years ago. They contained remarkable weights. However I can say nothing against the validity of your results. One thing ought to be remembered, that bigness of head and sturdiness of build go together. A judge (the late Sir Wm Grove), whose large head I often measured, told me that it came X X w o 00 0> o r-3 cS c" o "3 C5 Eugenics as a Creed cmd the Last Decade of G alto ri 's Life 249 before him on evidence that the hats of stablemen were markedly smaller than those of other people. He inferred that they were less intelligent ; I, that stablemen are always light weights (in youth). A heavy boy would not do to exercise horses. Another of my 5 or 6 large heads was Admiral Sherard Osborn. He was very broadset. Also he was considered generally to be the ablest man of his day in the Navy and the accepted mouth-piece of reform. (He died of heart spasm while still young.) I have been quite bad, this is by far the longest letter I have been up to for many days. I went to Brighton to shake oil' remains of bronchitis and brought it back increased 7-fold. What with phlegm and spasm I had a fight for it on Xmas Day, but am now mending fast. I dare not write more now or would have said something on Macdonell's paper. I wish he had seen his way to express the magnitude of the advantages of scattering the arrangement of the Register. One good reason for beginning with the head is that a criminal must have a head, but he need not have a finger or an arm — and these may be contracted. E. R. Henry, who is now supreme over the identification department in Scotland Yard, is reclassifying the whole collection, primarily by finger-prints and secondarily only by measure- ments. He looks forward to abolishing measurements entirely in England, as he did in Bengal, stating that errors are more frequent than Garson thought and that they shield the culprit, whereas finger-prints cannot err. I think he overdoes the view, rather, but this is his attitude and he has the power to carry out his views. I was much pleased with the order and smartness he has imposed on the office. Garson's connection with it has entirely closed. He, unluckily for himself, took up a critical position towards Henry, who being his superior and a smart dis- ciplinarian, would have none of it. If Dr Macdonell induces that vainest of men, Alphonse Bertillon, to remodel his cabinet it will indeed be a marvel. I must rest now, with every good wish for you this coming year and for Biometrika. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Nov. 2 (Sunday), 1902. My deau Karl Pearson, I am just off to France, arriving on Wed. the 5th at Hotel Con- tinental— Hyeres (Var) France and staying there a week certain, afterwards according to health and weather. I will thence write again. Don't post any thing to me there later than on Saturday next the 8th. I fear it would be too risky to send Beddoe's paper, of which you spoke. Your proof, that of your latest paper which you kindly sent me, goes with me. What fertility of mathematical invention you have ! I have recently attacked the finger-print problem (of natural relationship between the various patterns) in quite a new way (no mathematics in it, however), with most promising results thus far. It would be tedious to explain, but it will give me a couple of months happy occupation while abroad at the rate of 3 hrs. a day which is now my maximum of safe performance. Good-bye, Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. November 21, 1902. My dear Francis Galton, I have been hoping to hear your address so that I might send you a line of satisfaction with regard to the Darwin Medal. But as you must have left Hyeres, and as I do not know how to reach you in Sicily, I send this via Rutland Gate. It seems absurd for me to congratulate you! I can only just say what I said to Weldon when he announced the gift of the medal to me four years ago : "Francis Galton ought to have been given it, not I." To which he replied : "To you it means encouragement to go on, to him recognition of the achieved, which everybody already recognises.". .."You get honour from the medal, he would give it honour" — or words to that effect. So it seems also to me that your receiving the medal will make it of greater value to younger recipients, but hardly give you that recognition which helps younger men with their work little known. I may write this now, for the fact that I received the medal four years ago has always had the feeling associated with it, that you ought to have received it long before I did. I trust, however, it may still give you pleasure, and for myself I can only say how it enhances the value of my own. I hope you have been having fair weather and maintained your health. You will have been lucky to escape the last ten days — the worst November I remember. Dr Beddoe has not yet sent me his article. T hope to have Vol. I. Part II wholly in type soon. Please remember me to Miss Biggs, and Believe me, Yours always sincerely, Karl Pearson. pgiii 32 250 Life and Letters of Francis Galton (Postcard) H6tel des Anglais, Valescure pres St Raphael (Var), France. Nov. 27/1 902. Thanks, hearty thanks, for your very nice letter. My pleasure at the award is and was a little embittered by the thought of standing in the way of younger men. Of course I value the honour very highly. Also another most unexpected one of being just elected Honorary Fellow of Trinity, Cambridge, my old College. Thanks to the pure air here, I have wholly thrown off first the asthma and then the chronic cough ! I never expected such good luck as this. We shall stay here a little longer and then to Italy. Very sincerely yours, Francis Galton. Glad that the next No. of Biometrika is in type. You are making a success of it, to all appearance. Address : Hotel Bristol, Piazza Barberini, Rome. I shall be there for about 2 months beginning with Dec. 22d. Dec. 8, 1902. My dear Karl Pearson, To my surprise the enclosed big cheque reached me this morning. I had quite forgotten it was part of the award. I cannot think of applying it to my personal use (as I have as much income as I want), but to some object in accordance with that for which the Darwin Fund was established, and can think of none more suitable than Biometrika. Please therefore take it as a sum to be paid in relief, so to speak, of the Guarantee Fund ; not intended, even if it could be, ever to be repaid but to be swallowed up in the initial expenses. I am very glad to have the opportunity of thus contributing. The pure air of Valescure has taken away the whole both of my asthma and of my cough, at least for the time, and I feel more fit, than for 2 or 3 years past. We leave Valescure to-morrow, reach Bordighera (Hotel de Londres) next Monday, and Rome the Monday after. I have no news that you would care about. The finger-prints give daily occupation. It is curious how many " blind alleys " one strays into, during any new course of inquiry. This one seems worth a good deal of trouble, but its merits may be more specious than real. Do please send me Biometrika news to Rome. Ever very sincerely, Francis Galton. University College, London. Dec. 10, 1902. My dear Francis Galton, Your letter and its enclosure reached me this morning. I cannot tell you how I appreciate your kindness and thought in the matter. I am communicating with Weldon by this post. I know it will give him as much pleasure as it gives me. I think you know that finally we collected a fund of £400 to start Biometrika with, and that the total call on that fund as a result of initial expenses was under £70. Against this we have about 250 copies of Vol. I, which ought to be sold some day*, and which when sold ought really to recoup the Guarantee Fund as well as the smaller loss of the Press Syndics. What I would therefore propose to do, if it meets with your approval, would be to recoup the Guarantee Fund, so that we start the second year again with our £400 balance, and reserve the remaining £30 to help in the publica- tion of any special memoir which is expensive on account of large tables or plates. I am not indeed at all sure that to devote the whole sum to one or two important memoirs as they come in, might not meet your wishes and the purport of the fund best. If so please let me know. The guarantors were besides yourself —Mr R. J. Parker t — the Attorney General's "Devil," — Dr W. R. Macdonell, Weldon and myself, and I don't think any of us are very keen on seeing our money back again, if the Journal can be thoroughly established by its use. Hence, I think, we should look upon the recouping of the oi-iginal Guarantee Fund rather as an omen that we had a longer definite life, than as a personal satisfaction. If we devoted £30, or any further sum to the publication of some extensive paper, please allow us to make a little note stating that help in the publication of that particular memoir has been obtained from your kindness with regard to the Darwin Fund. I am so glad the change has suited you. I have not sent proofs because I thought your address so uncertain but I will write a " biometric " letter soon. Yours very sincerely, K. Pearson. * A prophecy fulfilled as several parts of these volumes have had to be reprinted, t Afterwards he sat in the House of Lords, as Lord Parker of Waddington. Eugetiics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Gallon's Life 251 (Address) Hotel Bristol, Rome. Dec. 13, 1902. My dear Kakl Pearson, Your letter awaited me here at Bordigliera, on arriving this afternoon. The plan that most commends itself to me is that of paying off the £70, so as to leave the Guarantee Fund untouched up to the present time, and to use the £30, as you suggest, for getting good work done especially in plates, that would otherwise be left undone. But please use your full discretion. I rather shrink from my name being used as you kindly propose. It is difficult to express what is wanted without any appearance of glorification, viz.: that I feel that the £100 could not be bestowed more appropriately than on Biometrika. It is especially difficult to express this without provoking the rejoinder that that is precisely the view that a Consultative Editor of the periodical might be expected to take ! Don't put anything in type to the above effect without my seeing it first, please. This blessed Riviera air ! There ought to be a Goddess of that name and many temples to her, all along the coast. I was amused to read long quotations from you, in the largest of type, impressed into doing duty as a puff for the Encyclopaedia Britannica, by the " Times." It was about the advantage of science to modern civilisation and consequently the advantage to everybody of buying that scientific encyclopaedia. Anyhow they found your weighty words very suitable to their own commercial object. We stay 4 days here, 2 at Alassio, 2 at Pisa, and reach Rome on the 22nd. Wishing you all well through the horrid wintry weather. Ever very sincerely, Francis Galton. I wrote the above in bad light, when I find both spelling and grammatic composition difficult on paper. Please on these grounds excuse the many corrections. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. Dec. 27, 1902. My dear Francis Galton, It is with a feeling of shame that I take up my pen, for I had fully intended to write you a letter to await your arrival in Eome. But a slight attack of influenza and a general feeling of inertia following on it have made me reluctant to do ought but the most necessary things. Now your letter comes to reproach me for not having bestirred myself to send you a Christmas greeting. I forward with this some Biometrika proofs for Part II of Vol. II. I expect you will have received Part I ere this. It is very late, but I sent the MS. to Press in August last ! They are very dilatory. I have asked Yule to modify his article by giving a general popular account of association to start with. I think Lutz's paper is interesting as strengthening at least for one character the effect of a change of sex. The mouse paper in Part I is not quite definite enough, but I hope to get a second paper in Part II, on further results. The Shirley Poppy paper contains a great deal of work, and I wish it were more definite, but until we get a Biometric Farm where secular experiments of this kind can be carried out under uniform conditions, I don't think we can do much better. So far as it goes, it is quite in favour of plants obeying laws of inheritance very like those known to hold for man and horse. I hope to have a paper on the Law of Ancestral Heredity showing really what it assumes and how far we can at present assert it to hold. It is pleasant to hear of breakfast out of doors in Alassio, and of the sun too hot to sit in at Baliano ! I have just received 200 ants from Petrie's settlement and hear of 100 hornets in spirit coming. Please don't forget the celandines, if you get further south and find the collecting not too irksome. I shall hope to get the paper on the first series out in the next Biometrika. Pray send me any point in the finger- print investigation which you think I might elucidate. I am much interested in its possibilities, and think it ought to be rendered available for heredity. Weldon is now in Sicily, most happy over snail finds. Yours very sincerely, Karl Pearson. (6) Work and Correspondence of 1903. In 1903, largely as a result, if indirectly, of Galton's influence, a Royal Commission was suggested for the purpose of inquiring into the asserted deterioration of the British race owing to bad environmental conditions. Galton grasped at once that a report of such a commission dealing only with possible degeneration would be of small service unless a larger object were kept in view in the course of the inquiry 32—2 252 Life and Letters of Francis Galton itself, namely, the means by which any race can be improved, and these means were for him undoubtedly selective breeding. Accordingly he contributed an article to The Daily Chronicle of July 29, 1903, with the aim of propounding his views in a popular form. The article was headed (probably in the editorial office) "Our National Physique— Prospects of the British Race — Are We Degenerating?" As a matter of fact Galton in this article is more con- cerned with increasing our racial efficiency than with emphasising alarming reports of its deterioration, with regeneration rather than with degeneration. He states that he has no intention of confining his remarks to the wastrels and the slums : " The questions I keep before me are whether or no the British race as a whole is, or is not, equal to its Imperial responsibilities, and again how far is it feasible to make it more capable of the high destinies that are within its reach, if it possesses the will and power to pursue them. I wish that each one of us should stand aloof from ourselves as a whole, and should watch the conditions and doings of our race, much as an authority of the Royal Agri- cultural Society might criticise the stock of his neighbour over the hedge. If we do so we may learn in what ways our own stock and its rearing are open to improvement and we may perhaps ensue it." Galton has no doubt that the pick of the British race are as capable human animals as the world at present produces. He holds that their chief defects are to be found in their want of grace and of sympathy, " but they are strong in mind and body, truthful and purposive, excellent leaders of the people of lower races. I speak more particularly of those who are selected to go abroad in various high capacities, whether by Government or by firms to carry out large undertakings under circumstances where they have to depend much on themselves." The term "lower races" is very unfashionable at the present time, but it is a pleasing and emotional sentiment rather than real anthropological acumen which asserts that all men are of equal value at birth, or that all races are, physically, mentally and socially, of one standard of fitness. The distinctions between man and man, and race and race, are in the main inborn and not "innurtured" — I would say "inbred," but for the double meaning of that word*. Of the "lower middle classes" Galton's judgment was very unfavourable. He finds the average holiday-maker and cheap-excursion tourist unpre- possessing as compared with the like section of other European races. We may superficially, perhaps, but nevertheless with some justification, sum them up as mentally and physically litter-scatterers. "As regards the physique of Britons, I think we hrag or have bragged more than is right. Moreover we are not as well formed as might be. It is difficult to get opportunities of studying the nude figures of our countrymen in mass, but I have often watched crowds bathe, as in the Serpentine, with a critical eye, and have always come to the conclusion that they were less shapely than many of the dark-coloured people whom I have seen." * Few teachers who have had to instruct young men of many races — and usually the best of the " lower races " — would deny that mentally at least they can be graded. Exceptional men may possibly arise in any race, but it is the averages we have to regard. It was greed that introduced the negro into North America; it was lack of insight which did not push him northwards in South Africa. In both cases the "lower race" now forms a grave and almost unsolvable problem for the future. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 253 Galton gives an account of the Sandow competition in which the three best specimens were selected out of some eighty of Sandow's pupils. Galton was present when the trio was selected and thus states his impressions : "I did not think these best specimens of the British race to be ideally well-made men. They did not bear comparison with Greek statues of Hercules and of other athletes, being somewhat ill-proportioned and too heavily built. I must say that I was disappointed with them from the aesthetic point of view, though in respect to muscular power they seemed prodigies. Sandow afterwards exhibited himself in a pose that brought out his chest and arms to full advantage, and in that statuesque position I placed him as far superior to all the competitors." What Galton says about British physique and about the physical beauty of our trunk and limbs is probably very true. We have recently seen the foreigner our equal or even our superior at most of our national sports ; he only needed the proper training to defeat us. Nor is the somewhat low standard of physical beauty confined to trunk and limbs — anyone who makes an extensive study of the English skull must be forced to the conclusion that aesthetically at least it is not of a high type. The stock-breeder "looking over the hedge" must conclude that these are not directions in which much can easily be achieved. Yet he would affirm emphatically and " with justice that the whole of a race which was able to furnish the large supply which is produced in Great Britain of men who are sound in body, capable in mind, energetic and of high character, has the capacity (speaking as a rearer of stock) of being raised to at least the same high level." This, Galton believes, could be attained by making use of both Nature and Nurture. Of the former Galton holds that if a strong and intelligent public opinion can ever be roused in favour of improving our racial breed, then there are a number of small influences which even now operate under existing sentiment and law and which are capable by co-operation and development of producing great results. He admits, however, that we have yet much to learn that lies well within the province of anthropology, before it would be justifiable to attempt a crusade; otherwise grave mistakes will be made and the movement will be discredited. " My attitude, which has usually been misrepresented, is to urge serious inquiry into specific matters which still require investigation in the well-justified hope that a material improvement in our British breed is not so Utopian an object as it may seem, but is quite feasible under the conditions just named. But whatever agencies may be brought to bear on the improvement of the BHtish stock, whether it be in its Nature or in its Nurture, they will be costly, and it cannot be too strongly hammered into popular recognition that a well-developed human being, capable in body and mind, is an expensive animal to rear." It will be seen that here as elsewhere Galton places the acquirement of eugenic knowledge before eugenic action — -Eugenics Research Laboratories must be developed before Eugenics can be safely preached as a popular creed. He illustrates this by propounding a problem concerning nurture : If a dole be available to help in the rearing of a child, at what period will assistance be most effective ? Is it when it is growing most rapidly and most needs good feeding, or may irremediable mischief be done by withholding it until that 254 Life and Letters of Francis Galton age is reached? If the State has only a limited amount of money to spend on its children, let it investigate first when it is of most use in improving the bi'eed — whether in infancy, at school age, or during the rapid development of youth. The reader may think I have given too much space to an ephemeral news- paper article. It is not because of the suggestions it contains, but rather because it exhibits the cautious statements and the moderate proposals to which Galton gave expression even on a topic about which, as those who knew him well can testify, he felt with almost religious fervour. During this year (1903) Galton had turned to finger-prints again, and was very busy trying to find a measurable character common to all patterns. He endeavoured to obtain this by what he termed the "interspace" — a diameter drawn across the core (of loops or whorls) so as to be perpendicular to both its upper and lower borders. The interspace was to be measured in a mean ridge interval of the core as unit, this mean ridge interval being obtained as the average of ten ridges taken along the interspace. The arches were a serious difficulty, for Galton concluded that they had no interspace, and they tended to lump up at one end of his frequency distributions. Galton's views are given in the accompanying letters ; they were never published, although for the remainder of his life he occasionally returned to finger-print studies. As they may be suggestive to other workers, I reproduce them. Grand Hotel, Naples. March 2, 1903. Dear Karl Pearson, Your card of the 26th came all right yesterday, but the previous one which you mention, in reply to my letter enclosing Bicknell's, had and has miscarried. Hence my eagerness for tidings. You say that subscriptions are falling off — here however you will find one and probably two new subscriptions. I have written to Mr H. to say that I am forwarding his letter to you for reply and that I am ordering his book. ..to be forwarded to you also. Please answer to him his quere about the way of remitting his subscription. I know nothing of hirn. It is to be regretted that biologists do not welcome Biometrika, but the welcome cannot yet be expected. Would it be possible to give a summary of work done, that must prove useful to biology and which without biometric methods could not have been done 1 We seem to need something of that kind more and more ; something so free from technical language that news- papers could copy it, and their readers could understand and like it. Of course it could only contain cream and be in no way exhaustive, but it ought to be so far mentally digestible by the average biological intelligence as to leave some conviction upon it of the utility of biometry As regards the finger-prints I am in a little doubt, being not sure how far my collection of Bengal Criminals may be thought suitable, or even whether they are strictly non-selected. From the comparative absence of transitional patterns I fear that many of these may have been sorted out of the collection, which is one of a few hundred duplicates of some of the main collection of about 6000. They were used to enable Mr Henry (now Assistant-Commissioner at Scotland Yard) to show off the rapidity with which the original of any selected duplicate might be traced. It is possible that his clerks may have avoided troublesome transitional cases sometimes, but M1' Henry seems not to be cognizant of this. At all events I should prefer to work on my own collection, but that, alas, is classified, so I should have to go through the whole of it, 2600 odd in number, if I touched it at all. This would be a very tedious job, for I must not draw outlines on the patterns themselves, — which is easy but might spoil them, — but must trace them, which is very troublesome even with the best tracing paper and the best light. Would you however look at the enclosed table and tell me how it strikes you 1 Perhaps you might even get some one to work out the correlation index. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life [Enclosure in Galton's Letter of March 2, 1903.] 255 M\ Q*uMAl*Lit+ti • 3a - »jty IfZjJGUv 1 I lo /3 200 _flt*k. l~f. 0- ihSitk /^> ■S/uW \ &e- A&2*/ ^L S<7 „ -la „ ^r7 If '9 21 3/ (*«// lo I i * 7^'f^- /W* ^/^ 23 24 4 37 / / 3 3 Z 3 1 3 3 2 4 £ 3 2 * / 8 f- ? ■; j h- » f / 2&£ 4i v /) 3 / r-r-*r 4 7^ 3 / 9 6> I z 1 r; / i * ^ Jri71/4li3|7l25u(|i6[2f|8l6l3 ifl*& 30 r / 200 TVtkc^ SfUCt*. ^ o .9 © 60 T3 "> •-§ 1 § s - .sj CO "{/) -1 .3 S 60 7 graph of the skull that you send is exceedingly good, and is I presume (together with the rest) taken under standard conditions, and selected in some way free from bias, other than what may be clearly stated about them as intended to be conveyed by the word "English." English unless narrowly limited includes so great a diversity of type : — dark and fair, Cornish, Sussex, Midlands, Yorkshire, Welsh, Scotch, Irish, etc. &c. — ill-fed and well-fed, educated and uneducated, etc. etc. — that it is very difficult to deal with English as a whole, except by taking homogeneous subgroups*. I found this emphatically the case with my S. Kensington anthro- pometric data. Out of many thousand cases I failed to form a single homogeneous (quasi-homo- geneous) group that satisfied me. If you think that your collection is fairly free from this difficulty, please tell me what you think the cost of printing them would be, and I will see if it be possible for me to afford it. It is most desirable that some standard and unquestionably useful work — obviously useful to biologists — should appear in Siometrika. About the finger-prints, what I sent was a mere scrap and would require a great deal both of explanation and of collateral conclusions. The lump at the commencement of the series is to me of the greatest interest, for it emphasises the fact that the patterns do not form a continuous series, but a group or order composed of many sub-groups or species ; each of these lias a curve of frequency of its own. They are in some sense convertible, and they form hybrids, but the arches are far more "pure blooded" (so to speak) than any of the others. They are antipathetic to whorls. An arch on one forefinger is associated with a whorl on the other only once or twice in a hundred cases, and then only imperfectly. Then there is the case of radial and ulnar slopes, and their connection with whorls. We have in fact a menagerie of different creatures, breeding promiscuously, and yet at all times divisible into a limited number of definite types, each with its own law of frequency, whose statistical proportions between themselves seem to be constant. Its study has therefore a very close bearing on the evolution of species (as indeed I pointed out in my first paper on Finger-Prints iu Phil. Trans.). This study has the great advantages (1) that age has no effect on the patterns, when the ridge interval is taken as unit of measurement, and consequently (2) that it would be easy to get and to use family prints to 3 and even 4 generations, (3) that the data when once obtained are free from all error of measurement, for they are themselves the things to be measured f. I send prints of my own fingers, which are a worse example by far than the generality of those one might get, chiefly because the wrinkles of age leave numerous gaps in the form of white streaks, and also because I have smeared them by manipulations immediately after they were made, but they will serve to explain the dimension measured in the table I sent. The loops are troublesome only in the sense that the very best dimension is hard to define ; on the other hand many reasonably alternative dimensions give practically the same result. The measure desired * [The skulls in question all came from a single 17th century pit in Whitechapel, and were reasonably homogeneous and close to similar series from Liverpool Street and Farringdon Street. The photographs were the first of the series of standardly orientated crania on a large scale which have since then continuously appeared in Biometrika. Gal ton's offer was spon- taneous like several others, but not accepted. " Of course I could not think of your aiding us further at present. We made up the loss to the reserve fund with your Darwin Medal grant, and it left £30 to the good which might be reasonably expended on illustration if you approved. ...The photographs were all taken the same distance from the objective and in the same manner for each aspect, but different aspects had to be treated rather differently — a profile on a smaller scale than a frontal view, etc. The difficulty of getting a ' mean ' focus on a solid body must cause some variation, however, even in the distance. On the whole, I think, photographs of skulls must be taken to represent qualitative characters, which are after all, if indescribable, realities. I have tried a good deal, but do not believe that cranial photographs will ever serve usefully purposes of measurement I hope you will come back fit and well for climbing 'May hill,' which an old medical friend always describes as the great task of the year. I am going to Newbury to meet Weldon to-morrow to talk over Part III, while I hunt for Easter quarters. We want to be near Oxford, Weldon for the mice and I for Weldon." K. P. to F. G., March 20, 1903.1 t [I think Gallon must mean here that the stored data are free from error of measurement. Whether we take head measurements or finger-print measurements (and Galton is speaking of quantitative not qualitative classification) the measurement must be taken once.] i' oni 33 258 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon is the magnitude of disturbance caused by the finger nail. When the disturbance is great compound patterns tend to appear as the " kernelled loop " (right ring-finger). [Gal ton gives sketch : see our Plate XI, Fig. 19.] In the Arches the disturbance does not occur at any one place, but is distributed. [Sketch : see our Plate XXIII (1-6).] When I come back I must begin to collect data : viz. triplicates, rolled impressions of two forefingers, using a separate half-sheet of note paper for each person. I now understand quite what I want, and can use a clerk, working with comparatively slight supervision after he is well trained and started. The outlining is very distinct when done with the very black ink used by artists who draw for " process- work." I have contrived a wonderfully neat pocket-apparatus for printing, only the size of a small lucifer match box and value under l'1. Very sincerely « ^ prmt3 0f two forefingers yours, Francis Galton. in triplicate. Galton, when he returned to England, circularised many folk, issuing small finger-printing apparatus, and asking for the prints of the two forefingers of as many relatives to be taken as possible. To aid him in the reduction of these and other data Galton desired to find an assistant. On the advice of Dr Alice Lee, he selected Miss Ethel M. Elderton — a most happy choice. She received her first training from Francis Galton, then became successively Secretary to the Eugenics Record Office, Galton Research Scholar in the Eugenics Laboratory, then Galton Fellow, and is now Assistant-Professor in that Laboratory. Perhaps this was the best result that flowed from the forefingers-print collection ! (7) Work and Correspondence of 1904. Two events of this year had importance in relation to Eugenics, the one dealing with scientific research and the other with popularisation. The first was Galton's gift of £1500 to the University of London for the furtherance during three years of the scientific study of Eugenics. I have already referred to the Galton Research Fellowship when discussing the definition of Eugenics. Our correspondence for the latter end of the year chiefly dealt with the various candidates for the Fellowship with some of whom I was acquainted as well as with their work. The selec- tion committee ultimately recommended Mr Edgar Schuster, an Oxford student of Weldon's, who had already done good biometric work, and Miss E. M. Elderton was appointed as his assistant. University College provided rooms at 50, Gower Street, which at Galton's request were entitled the " Eugenics Record Office." In the same house were lodged for working purposes two or three post-graduates, an overflow from the Biometric Laboratory, but there was no other link between that Laboratory and the Office. Galton himself was in control, and the main scheme in hand was to form a register of "Able Families," of which only the portion dealing with Fellows of the Royal Society reached completion*. Schuster during his tenure of the Fellowship also wrote two memoirs, one on " The Inheritance of Ability " in conjunction with Miss Elderton and a second entitled " The Promise of Youth and the Performance of Manhood." These two memoirs * See the present volume, pp. 113-121. X X X < 00 so © OS a o "a =8 Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 2;">9 were excellent pieces of work*, and I am the more willing to praise them as I had no connection whatever with the Eugenics Record Office. I was not on its Advisory Committee, and Galton, knowing how pressed I was at that time with work, did not as far as I can recollect ever consult me as to the research in his Office ; once or twice only Schuster asked for aid in dealing with statistical matters. In the main it was Galton, with some aid from Weldon, who developed this first attempt at a Eugenics Laboratory. When two years later Galton asked me to take charge of the Office I was only too glad to publish Schuster's memoirs as the first and third of the new Eugenics Laboratory publications. These writings and a couple of papers on the inheritance of psychical characters and of deaf-mutism demonstrated that Galton's proposals for eugenetic research were feasible, and that his endow- ment was not being wasted. If in the future the question arises when and where did Eugenics as an academic branch of study take its origin, the answer can only be : In the autumn of 1.904 in the two rooms at No. 50, Gower Street under the direction of Francis Galton, within a few yards of the house on the same side of the street where Charles Darwin started his married life when he returned from his voyage in the " Beagle." When Eugenics becomes a great factor of academic and political life — as important as State Medicine, — which I have no doubt it will be in the future, then that house will deserve to be commemorated ! The second important event for Galton and Eugenics in the year 1904 was really anterior to the foundation of the Eugenics Record Office. I have already noted that Galton had endeavoured, although not very successfully, to interest English anthropologists in Eugenics. He now turned with a some- what greater degree of success to the Sociologists, and in particular to the newly founded Sociological Society. A lecture was given by him at a meeting of that Society held on May 16, 1904. It was exceedingly well-staged except in one unfortunate respect, the choice of a chairman. There was a reasonably well-directed discussion and there were written expressions of opinion upon Eugenics as science and art from a number of men with familiar names. Maudsley and Mercier were doubters and apparently ignorant of the know- ledge already obtained ; Francis Warner generalised on impressions ; Weldon preached the sound doctrine " that there can be no doubt whatever that for the student of Eugenics or of organic evolution generally, the conclusions drawn from the larger mass of complex material are far more valuable than those drawn from the simpler, smaller laboratory experiment " ; H. G. Wellsf was of the opinion that more can be achieved in the way of improving the human race by the sterilisation of failures than by the selection of successes for breed- ing; Benjamin Kidd was dogmatic without being convincing; Palin Elderton * Both now unfortunately out of print. t This popular author set an absurd myth on foot by saying : " Eugenics which is really only a new word for the popular American term stirpiculture." " I wish," said the German Professor, " that Lord Rayleigh would more frequently acknowledge his indebtedness to Mr Strutt." Galton himself actually invented the word " stirpiculture " and changed it advisedly to eugenics ! 33—2 260 Life and Letters of Francis Galton considered that actuaries as a body hold that environment operates merely as a modifying factor after heredity has done its work; L. T. Hobhouse maintained that if the problem of stock is to be taken into consideration at all, then it ought to be by intelligently handling the question rather than submitting to the blind forces of nature, but until there is more knowledge and agreement as to criteria of conscious selection, " we cannot, as sociologists, expect to do much for society on these lines " ; William Bateson held that " the ' actuarial method ' will perhaps continue to possess a certain fascination in regions of inquiry where experimental methods are at present inapplicable," but urged that those who have such aims at heart (as Galton) would best further Eugenics by promoting "the attainment of that solid and irrefragable know- ledge of the physiology of heredity which experimental breeding can alone supply"; he did not state the touchstone — faith in the research and the actuarial treatment — by which we can alone know that the knowledge is "solid and irrefragable"*; C. S. Lock obviously thought the proposals premature ; W. Leslie Mackenzie thought that the effects of inheritance were so masked by nurture that in no individual case could we determine what was due to the former, and cited as an illustration that the modern movement for extirpation of tubercular phthisis could not become world-wide until the belief in the " heredity of tuberculosis " had been sapped ; a view contradicted promptly by Archdall Reid who held that it was selection by consumption tbat made the Northern Races pre-eminently strong against consumption ; J. M. Robertson evidently laid more stress on environment than heredity, and considered ill-feeding, ill-housing, ill-clothing and early profligacy on the one hand, and ignorance in child-bearing and begetting on the other, as the great forces of " Kakogenics " ; Bernard Shaw agreed with the paper and went so far as to say " that there was now no reasonable excuse for refusing to face the fact that nothing but a eugenic religion can save our civilisation from the fate which has overtaken all previous civilisations." He held that "what we must fight for is freedom to build the race without being hampered by the mass of irrelevant conditions implied in marriage," and asserted that "a mere reduction in the severity of the struggle for existence is no substitute for positive steps for the improvement of such a deplorable piece of work as man." Shaw cleared away a good deal of the fog of previous contributors, but went further f than Galton certainly approved, and indicated methods of improving the race, for which, however biologically fitting, the time will not be ripe until the less drastic proposals of Galton have bred " under the existing conditions of law and sentiment % " a more highly social- ised race. Galton's suggestions may seem very limited as compared with Bernard Shaw's attitude to race improvement, but he who would practically * I can remember the day when certain so-called "Laws of Motion" were considered "solid and irrefragable " ! Most of the progress in science consists in the passage from one " solid and irrefragable " law to a second. t If a marriage is from the eugenic standpoint brilliantly successful "it seems a national loss to limit the husband's progenitive capacity to the breeding capacity of one woman," etc. etc. I See the title to Galton's Huxley Lecture on our p. 226. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton' s Life 261 reform mankind must not begin by alarming it. We may remind the Editor of " Fabian Essays " that the doctrines of Eugenics will be best served, like those of socialism, by a slow process of impenetration. The drift of the discussion as above indicated was to reveal clearly the past history, the narrow field of experience, the particular method of experiment or observation of the individual contributors. Impressions rapidly formed on a subject, which they had not thought over for years, like Gal ton, were produced without any foundation of facts or figures; my anticipations of what would flow from the various heterogeneous elements classed together as sociologists were realised. But Galton got an excellent advertisement for Eugenics, which he proceeded to follow up. The paper and the discussion on it were widely mentioned in the daily press. Sociology for the present bio- grapher must be a study of man in the mass, the facts on which the science must be based depend upon averages, variations, associations and correla- tions— in short, sociology to become a science must be based upon the collection of data and the statistical treatment of those data. Such treatment I had found almost wholly missing in sociological memoirs. Sociology appeared to me to be like psychology before the introduction of the experimental method, like what physics would be without a mathematical handling, or insurance before there was an actuarial science ; in the words of Galton, " Until the phenomena of any branch of knowledge have been submitted to measurement and number it cannot assume the status and dignity of a science." Until some sociologist should arise and grasp this fact and apply it to his studies, sociology in my opinion had not yet its founder*. Holding such a view I was somewhat astonished to receive a letter from Francis Galton dated April 12, 1904, running as follows : My dear Karl Pearson, I hear they have been bothering you to take the chair at a Sociological meeting on Monday, May 16th, when I read a paper on Eugenics at 5 p.m. — However agreeable it might be to myself that you should do so, I beg that you will consult your own inclinations entirely in the matter, without the slightest regard to mine. I have just had a talk with Mr Branford who favourably impressed me with the idea that he had clear views of what the Society might do scientifically, and that he saw his way to give effect to them. The result is to ease my own mind in respect to ottering the paper, or rather acceding to the request to send it. What a slashing you administer to Professor Castle. He deserves it. A book by Havelock Ellis "A study of British Genius" interests me. He has taken the " National Biography " as his store house, and shows forcibly the great contribution by English clergy to the ability of the next generation. That is a Eugenic fact for me, not unforeseen, however. I trust you are all having a happy Easter at Rotherfield Greys. I fear addressing this so, therefore I send it to Hainpstead. Kindest remembrances. Very sincerely, Francis Galton. The actual meeting took place in the large hall of the London School of Economics, and the audience which the veteran of eighty-two years addressed was numerous and distinguished. The Chairman, in opening the proceedings, said : " My position here this afternoon requires possibly some explanation. I am not a member of the Sociological Society, and I must confess myself sceptical as to its power to do effective * The reader will appreciate my amusement when the Secretary of the Sociological Society, Mr V. V. Branford, spent much paper and energy in endeavouring to prove that Vico, Comte and Herbert Spencer were architects of a science of sociology ! 262 Life and Letters of Francis Galton work. Frankly, I do not believe in groups of men and women who have each and all their allotted daily task creating a new branch of science. I believe it must be done by some one man who by force of knowledge, of method and of enthusiasm hews out, in rough outline it may be, but decisively, a new block and creates a school to carve out its details. I think you will find on inquiry that this is the history of each great branch of science. The initiative has been given by some one great thinker, a Descartes, a Newton, a Virchow, a Darwin or a Pasteur. A Sociological Society until we have found a great sociologist is a herd without its leader — there is no authority to set bounds to your science or to prescribe its functions. This you must realise is the view of that poor creature the doubting man, in media vita ; it is a view which cannot stand for a moment against the youthful energy of your Secretary, or the boyish hopefulness of Mr Galton, who mentally is about half my age. Hence for a time I am carried away by their enthusiasm, and appear where I never anticipated being seen — in the chair at a meeting of the Sociological Society. If this Society thrives, and lives to do yeoman work in science, which, sceptic as I am, I sincerely hope it may do, then I believe its members in the distant future will look back on this occasion as perhaps the one of greatest historical interest in its babyhood. To those of us who have worked in fields adjacent to Mr Galton's, he appears to us as something more than the discoverer of a new method of inquiry, we feel for him something more than we may do for the distinguished scientists in whose laboratories we have chanced to work. There is an indescribable atmosphere which spreads from him and which must influence all those who have come within reach of it. We realise it in his perpetual youth, in the instinct with which he reaches a great truth, where many of us plod on groping through endless analysis, in his absolute unselfishness and in his continual receptivity for new ideas. I have often wondered if Mr Galton ever quarrelled with anybody. And to the mind of one who is ever in controversy, it is one of the miracles associated with Mr Galton, that I know of no controversy, scientific or literary, in which he has been engaged. Those who look up to him, as we do, as to a master and scientific leader feel for him as did the scholars for the grammarian : ' Our low life was the level's and the night's ; He's for the morning.' It seems to me that it is precisely in this spirit that he attacks the gravest problem which lies before the Caucasian races — ' in the morning.' Are we to make the whole doctrine of descent, of inheritance, and selection of the fitter, part of our everyday life, of our social customs and conduct? It is the question of the study now, but to-morrow it will be the question of the market-place, of morality and of politics. If I wanted to know how to put a saddle on a camel's back without chafing him, I should go to Francis Galton ; if I wanted to know how to manage the women of a treacherous African tribe, I should go to Francis Galton ; if I wanted an instrument for measuring a snail, — or an arc of latitude, — I should appeal to Francis Galton. If I wanted advice on any mechanical, or any geographical, or any sociological problem, I should consult Francis Galton. In all these matters and many others I feel confident he would throw light on my difficulties, and I am firmly convinced that with his eternal youth, his elasticity of mind, and his keen insight, he can aid us in seeking an answer to one of the most vital of our national problems: How is the next generation of Englishmen to be mentally and physically equal to the past generation which provided us with the great Victorian statesmen, writers and men of science — most of whom are now no more — but which generation has not entirely ceased to be as long as we can see Francis Galton in the flesh." The Chairman then called upon Mr Francis Galton to read his paper on " Eugenics, its Definition, Scope and Aims*." The theme of the lecturer was very similar to that of the address to the demographers of 1891, only there was no screening of the guns, and the word eugenics was freely used. Eugenics was defined as the science which deals with all influences which improve * It will be found printed in Sociological Papers, published by Macmillan ) A series of my own Essays, which please do not return. In mitigation of any- thing which may offend you in them, I may say that most of them were written 25 years ago and all of them more than 20. The only ones that I suggest you should look at are Nos. 6 and 7, possibly No. 10 might interest you in a spare moment. I enclose the proof of the wrapper for the Eugenics Memoirs. I hope you will approve it. Will you return it to me with suggestions of any changes you would like 1 I shall have to send it to the University for approval By the bye, I was amusing myself by trying to draw up a pedigree of Darwins and Wedgwoods on the basis of Noteworthy Families, pp. 18-19. On p. 18 Josiah Wedgwood is said to be George Darwin's me me fa, and on p. 19 his me fa fa. Hence his mother's father and mother's mother must have been brother and sister! On p. 19, 1. 6, I read : " me fa fa (she was her husband's fa bro dau)." Now the " she " is I suppose the me, hence the great Charles' wife was a Darwin, his father's brother's daughter, but her father's father was a Wedgwood. Hence she was a Wedgwood. Something seems to have gone wrong on pp. 1 8 and 1 9. Will you put the W + D pedigree for me on a bit of paper ? I have got very confused over it. Can you send me — 's address 1 It has occurred to me that it might possibly do good, if I sent a few lines. I think, perhaps, I am the only person, who knowing so much, could effectively say something more. It might not help, but I don't think it could harm. If you advise me not to, of course I shall not attempt it. But sometimes a call to the immediately obvious duty is really helpful. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. April 16, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, I am so glad that the pleasant visit you gave me was no hindrance to your work. Excuse delay in replying to your questions I must postpone for another day the Darwin pedigree. The original papers are, I think, at 88, Gower Street, but I may succeed otherwise in working it out. The books are safely come ! Many thanks. I will read both of them leisurely. As regards the entries on the wrapper, they seem to me to be quite clear and appropriate, except that the address given to applicants to exchange publications should be to some person. I have put "to the Editor" as a suggestion. As regards the colour of the wrapper, it may have distinctive merits, but not in the sense that the printing on it is distinct. At this moment I cannot read it in a darkisli corner of the room, and I have often noticed in the heaps of periodicals on the tables at the clubs that the printing on the blue cover of the Edinburgh Revieio is by far the most indistinct of any. As regards size you naturally want to be constant to that of your other publications, so I say nothing against it, though my own unbiased feeling would be strongly in favour of Royal 8™. The Vice-Chancel lor of Oxford has attacked me about the Herbert Spencer lecture with such a kind and thoughtful letter, — assuring me that if when the time comes I should feel unequal to delivering it personally, or even of being present, he would arrange for its being read in my absence, — that I felt obliged to cancel my previous refusal. So I shall have to hold forth towards the end of May. I see that the first of these lectures was given in 1905 by Frederick Harrison. What may have occurred in 1906, I do not yet know I will be able to tell more when I write about the Darwin Pedigree. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. [Hampstead.] April 19, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I should have written yesterday only I was hoping to hear possibly from you again. I want to say how glad I am to hear you are going to undertake the Herbert Spencer Lecture after all. The only point I feel some compunction about is whether I have not, unwittingly, taken your subject from you. I had no idea at the time I sent them my title that you would be lecturing yourself in Oxford, and I would change it even now, if they had not posted it about the place. At least I judge they must have advertised it in some way, because I have received one or two letters already on the title. Now can you look upon me as pom 40 314 Life and Letters of Francis Galton your John the Baptist, making the way straight ? I am getting my lecture typed so that I may send you a copy. Will you let me know, if there is anything that trenches too -much on what you have in view, and I will cut it out ? Of course it is all you in a certain sense as it deals with Eugenics from beginning to end; still you must see it and give me your views.... The Eugenics folk are back, at least Miss Barrington was up with some problems yesterday. Bateson has edited a vast work — the Report of the Hybrid Conference — wholly Mendelian. I come in for my fair share of abuse! There is just one paper of 1| pages which would have pleased Weldon. It is by a Canadian on the inheritance of bearded and beardless wheat — one of the " striking Mendelian illustrations." He very quietly demonstrates by aid of illustrations that the Mendelian theory does not work. Affectionately yours, K. P. P.S. Your letter just come and I have re-opened this. Your Darwin pedigree is, I think, clear but there is still, I believe, a slip. You say : Mrs Darwin was her husband's fa bro da. Her husband's fa was a Darwin, and therefore his bro was a Darwin, and his bro da would be a Darwin and not a Wedgwood in maiden name. I think it should be she was her husband's me bro da. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. April 21, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, It is amusing that at Oxford we should both be proclaiming Eugenics as one of the large progeny of the University of London ! Really the study is gaining an academic status ! I do not think we shall clash as, though the title of my lecture is " Prob- ability, the Foundation of Eugenics," there are new points in it, and for the rest, when you send me your typed copy I shall have time to revise my own lecture by cutting out anything that appears as duplication. I should be most grateful for your free criticism of mine, which, owing to my slow work, won't be written out even, much less typed, by the end of this week. It shall be sent to you as soon as ready. What is your date? Mine is towards the end of May, but I do not yet know more precisely. You are quite right, the passage ought to have been she was her husband's me bro da, the " she " being of course transformed into a more intelligible expres- sion After much discussion with relatives, I have determined to safe-guard my interests by engaging (as soon as I can find one) a " Nurse-housekeeper," that is, an upper servant (not a lady), age about 40, who could manage well the household, mend my things and be able to write ietters in an emergency, which were fairly well-spelt, etc., and also nurse me well when I am next ill. Such persons exist in abundance but are hard to find. If Mrs Pearson knows of any such I should be grateful to her to tell me. I should give the "Nurse, etc." good wages, fully up to her "market worth." Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. The reader of the letters of Galton, 1906-1907, will realise that while he was mentally as active as ever, clear and concise in his judgments, his physical strength had begun to fail him, and he became more and more con- scious of the need to be cautious about himself. This need was emphasised by two accidents which he met with in the course of this year. Extract from a letter of April 22, 1907, of K. P. to F. G. : My lectures are both at Oxford. I lectured at Cambridge last term on statistical methods. I give the Boyle Lecture on May 19th to the "Undergraduate and Junior Graduate Science Club," but I believe others attend. ... On May 21st I lecture to the Philosophical Club (a club of Oxford lecturers and dons) on "The Possibility of a wider Category than Causation." This lecture starts from the idea that no two physical entities are exactly alike, e.g. not even two atoms are precisely identical. They form a class with variation about a mean character. Hence even in physics the ultimate basis of knowledge is statistical — the category is of course corre- lation not causation. The main difference is that in physics the correlation coefficients are nearly unity but in biology they diverge considerably from unity. Except that in this second lecture I shall assert that Probability is the basis of all knowledge (not only of Eugenics '), it will not touch on your topic at all. But I am rather sorry if I trespass on your field in my first lecture. All I can say is that you must read it before delivery and allow me to be, if possible, your way-straightener. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 315 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. April 22, 1907. Mv dear Karl Pearson, I telegraphed in order to save a post It was purely a blunder of mine about Cambridge instead of Oxford for your second lecture. I wish you all success on May 19th and again on May 21st. Have you any proof that the ultimate atoms are unlike, other than by inference? But I shall see what you say in good time. Of course it is most probable that they differ. I think my lecture will not trespass at all on yours except as far as the title ma}' suggest. You are very good about the Albinism and the Eugenics publica- tions. I like to feel that the Eugenics Laboratory is a sort of annexe to your Biometric Laboratory, using the same methods and working with similar precision under your guidance. I do not a bit understand the Royal Soe. Proc. memoir just out on the constitutional peculiarities of albinos. Anyhow it seems that their blood behaves differently in the presence of "proteids" — a mere name to me — from that of pigmented people. (Can people of piggish minds be properly styled pig-mentedl I crave pardon!!) Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. [Hampstead.] May 3, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, Here at last is my lecture typed by Miss Dickens's Office ! It was hastily written and the tables have yet to be added. I should esteem it a great favour if you would write on the blank facing sheets any suggestions that occur to you, and let me have back the copy for emendation. I fear the whole thing is very laboured, but I am writing under much pressure and feel a good deal the want of a holiday. I hope all goes well with you. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. Our letters for the next fortnight chiefly cover the last stages of the final drafting of the Weldon Prize regulations. Then they touch again the Oxford lectures. I will cite first the letter which reports my own lecture. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. May 29, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I think you may care to hear how my Oxford campaign has passed off. My lecture on Friday was fairly well attended. It was in Balliol Hall, and I soon found that I must throw up my manuscript and take to talking. Of course this made me slip many points, but that won't so much matter as the lecture is to be printed. On Saturday I went through the mice with Mrs Weldon, had a talk with Schuster about his brain-work, and wrote about half my lecture for Sunday. That was given in Magdalen Summer Common Room to the Philosophical Club. The members seemed to me mostly groping in the field of obscure defini- tions. The metaphysicians did not understand me, and the few science folk present were hostile. They could not grasp how much wider the correlation category is than the causal. However, I think T did some good, although these Oxford dons did not impress me as a group of very clear and powerful minds*. It was quite different when I faced in January the Cambridge mathematical lecturers — then one felt in the presence of men of superior intellectual power, and was rather ashamed of oneself. I hope at any rate I have done some Baptist work, and you will find the way straightened. They know now, or ought to, what Eugenics signifies and what the word correlation denotes. I had an interview with the Vice-Chancellor and hope the Weldon memorial will shortly now be settled. I trust this bitterly cold weather will not get a hold on you ; it makes me at times feel very incapable and inert. I hope your lecture has got written without too much effort. 1 hear it is to be given in the Sheldonian Theatre, which, I fear, will want more volume of sound than Balliol Hall. Always affectionately, Karl Pearson. The following letters deal with Galton's lecture. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. May 25, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, Here is my lecture, but without the 9 diagrams on one page, and without the references to them in the text. They have been redrawn and are being "processed." I send them thus as there is not too much time. Any suggestions in the text would be most welcome. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. * Looking back on the discussion now, I think we were really speaking different tongues, wherein the same words carry different atmospheres. 40—2 31(i Life and Letters of Francis Galton 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. May 26, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I wish the Hampstead dream had been realised and that I could first have run in and spoken to you, instead of having to trust to the written word ! . . . Now to the lecture. I like your opening and your finishing extremely, and your centre I should like also, if I heard you deliver it with the manuscript thrust aside, while you talked to the audience in Froebel fashion. I quite realise your point, that it is possible to make these biometric conceptions part of the average man of culture's ideas. Every word you have written would be telling, if you were teaching the teacher to teach. But I am not certain how far your very condensed five object lessons will be acceptable when you bring them in the Oxford June week to your child, not to your teacher. What you must do later is to expand them into a small primer of biometry. Now what I feel is this, that if you do not attempt to read these elements of a primer from your manuscript, but just talk a bit about them in the middle of your lecture, you will lead your audience to read these parts afterwards in print, while you fascinate it mean- while personally as you have the power to do. That is really my sole criticism — an Oxford June audience is the child and not the teacher. These other points involve merely suggestions of slight changes : (i) Surely you have inverted the order of our Huxley Lectures. My lecture was in 1903, but I think yours was two years earlier and not the year after. In fact you put the right date on the top of p. 7. So here you will see, you, not I, led the way ! (ii) Will you think me ungrateful, if I ask you not to praise me quite so much? It is natural that I should feel and speak strongly about your work, because I owe so much to it for method and suggestion, but if you praise me 'tis as you branded your own herring as of peculiar virtue. Please re-read in this sense pp. 2 — 3 and 9. I know you will grasp how much I appreciate all your praise, but others possibly will not see it from the same standpoint, (iii) Would it not be well to free yourself on p. 21 from your unit by measuring your A and B in terms of their standard deviations'! You thus avoid the difficulty which occurs to the mind coming fresh to the subject of the index of correlation* depending on the units used — lbs. weight, inches of stature, etc. — and thus providing no comparable ratio, but one varying with the units. If you agree to measuring in terms of your standard deviations as units, all values of the index of correlation are comparable and lie between — 1 and + 1. All this is, of course, very familiar to you [see, indeed, our pp. 5, 51, and Vol. n, p. 393, but it passed from Galton's mind when preparing his manuscript]. You would bring it home to your hearer and save him some difficulty, if you gave a hint that the coefficient of correlation lies arithmetically between 0 and 1, and has only a numerical value, being independent of scales, such as those of weight, length or units of pigment intensity. I wish I could come to Oxford to hear and possibly help you. I would if it were July, but I am under rather high pressure, and one of my ears is giving me much trouble and exciting the neck in some way. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. I shall hear how the lecture goes, I have no doubt; but I should like to hear when you have a chance how the lecturer gets through the exertion, which is another matter. Galton was not fit to speak at Oxford, one of the reasons being the accident referred to in the following letter. The. lecture was read by Mr Arthur Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. May 27, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, I have now a bout of ill fortune. Feeling particularly well I went on Friday to Bushey Park and returned a bit tired but nothing more. However a horrid bout of bronchitis came on and on Saturday night 12.30 on getting out of bed I rested in the dark on an insecure table with crockery and tumbled on the floor with such a clatter and bound with the bed-clothing dragged after me. I had not the strength to free myself so there I lay till 6.30 when the household stirred and the united strength of three maids got me into bed with a very sharp sciatica. It is possible that I may be fit to go to Oxford on June 5 but I feel practically sure that my lecture must be read for me. * I use here the term employed by Galton in his lecture; by 1907 the name "coefficient of correlation " was in general use. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Deeade of Gallon's Life 317 Thank you much for your suggestions, but I can't conscientiously adopt those that relate to yourself. The errors of date of the two Huxley lectures were serious (I can now trace how it occurred; I had bothered over it). I dare not think of Hampstead now, feeling that I mayn't be fit for more than a bath chair, hereafter. An oak floor makes a hard bed for an invalid, as my ribs, etc. loudly proclaim in their language of feeling. It is a good biblical phrase "the iron entered into my soul"; that is just what the oak has done — also Hudibras' "Now am I out of Fortune's power. He that is down can fall no lower*." I wonder whether, when the lecture is over, I could persuade Miss Elderton to write a primer of the proposed lessons. If the idea takes, it would be worth her while. Ladies often do these things better than men. Ever yours affectionately, Francis Galton. Thanks for the appreciative account of your doings at Oxford f. I return it. Galton was beginning as the result of his experience of the women workers in the Biometric and Eugenics Laboratories to have a higher opinion of the contributions of academically trained women to science. (See Vol. II, pp. 132-4.) 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. May 27, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I am so very sorry indeed to hear of your accident, although I am glad you can be humorous as to its incidents. But you really ought not to be, so to speak, out of range of the household and unable to summon them for six hours! You must have some- one in your dressing-room within call. You ought at least to have bells and sticks within reach. I shall still hope that it may be possible for you to deliver the lecture yourself, for although I would not have you make any effort that would have risk to health in it, I still know what a great pleasure it would be to many at Oxford to hear you speak yourself. As soon as you have got this over, you must see Miss Elderton and talk your project over with her. Always affectionately, Karl Pearson. You must not let anything I have said induce you to attempt more than you feel quite capable of, but it would be were it possible so fine to speak to Oxford in one's 86th year ! It is high time that we turn to the Oxford Lecture itself; the letters above printed will suggest to the reader how much time and thought its preparation cost Galton. Strange are the vagaries of chance, the outward plumage of Galton's lecture on Eugenics approached the wrapper-colours of the Edinburgh Review and Eugenics Laboratory Publications ! (See p. 313 above.) After a vivid and brief characterisation of Herbert Spencer : "Spencer's strong personality, his complete devotion to a self-imposed and life-long task, together with rare gleams of tenderness visible amidst a wilderness of abstract thought, have left a unique impression on my mind that years fail to weaken " (p. 5), Galton passes to the aid which Spencer gave him personally by discussing with quick sympathy and keen criticism in the old smoking room of the Athenaeum Club, while waiting for a game of billiards, the ideas with which Galton at the time was teeming. We may imagine that the process was scarcely mutual ; it is hard to think of Herbert Spencer seeking criticism of his ideas, although they naturally met with it, when he gave expression to them (see Memories of My Life, pp. 178, 257-8). For Galton, Spencer was * See Vol. i, p. 64. f The Oxford Magazine, May 23, 1907, p. 345. 318 Life and Letters of Francis Galton a whetstone whereon he could give his conceptions greater sharpness and clarity, and he confesses in the present lecture that he misses this much in his old age. And yet looking back on all that correspondence of some twenty years, re-reading our letters, it seems to me that both Weldon and I were ever seeking to guide our master into what we thought the straight and narrow path *. But the following passage shows how badly we had failed : "Among the many things of which age deprives us, I regret few more than the loss of con- temporaries. When I was young I felt diffident in the presence of my seniors, partly owing to a sense that the ideas of the young cannot be in complete sympathy with those of the old. Now that I myself am old it seems to me that my much younger friends keenly perceive the same difference, and I lose much of that outspoken criticism which is an invaluable help to all who investigate." (p. 6.) After this preliminary reference to Herbert Spencer, Galton began with a section on the History of Eugenics. He referred to the accident that the word " Eugenics " should have occurred in the titles of both Boyle and Herbert Spencer lectures and passes that praise on the Boyle lecturer to which I raised objection in my letter reproduced above (see p. 316). He then mentioned the coining of the word " Eugenics," in his Human Faculty of 1883, and recapitulates his creed wherein man is to control organic evolution, as he controls physical nature, and eugenic conceptions are to attain a religious validity — are indeed to become phases of a "categorical imperative." In this creed he emphasises "the essential brotherhood of mankind, heredity being to my mind a very real thing; also the belief that we are born to act, and not to wait for help like able-bodied idlers whining for doles. Individuals appear to me as finite detachments from an infinite ocean of being, temporarily endowed with executive powers. This is the only answer I can give to myself in reply to the perpetually recurring questions of Why? Whence? and Whither? The immediate 'Whither?' does not seem wholly dark, as some little information may be gleaned concerning the direction in which Nature, as far as we know it, is now moving. Namely towards the evolution of mind, body, and character in increasing energy and co-adaptation." (p. 8.) Galton re-states the view that we men may very likely be the chief, perhaps the only executives on earth, and that as such we are responsible for our success or failure to further certain obscure purposes, which we must strive to ascertain f. Our instructions, if obscure, are yet "sufficiently clear to justify our interference with the pitiless course of Nature, whenever it seems possible to attain the goal towards which it moves by gentler and kindlier ways " (p. 9). Galton admits that in 1883 the idea of directed evolution did not appeal to investigators, " it was too much in advance of the march of popular imagina- * I have before me at this moment a long paper by Galton in manuscript dated April 1890; it is on the topic of "Sexual Generation and Cross Fertilisation." It appears to have received the coup de grdce from a letter of Weldon's which is attached to it, suggesting that Galton should make a study of modern cytological ideas before proceeding further. It seems to me that the criticism of youth, bursting with the newer knowledge, may not always be of advantage to the inspirations of enthusiastic age with a riper practical experience and a much longer period of close observation. Youth makes its mistakes regardless of the counsel of age, and sometimes those very mistakes bring to it "la gloire." Let old age blunder without restraint from the young, and possibly after-generations may see in those very blunders not the least luminous rays in the aureole of genius. j" Jonathan Hutchinson asked what was his religion replied: "I am a good planetarian." So might Galton have asserted. Eugenics as a Creed and, the Last Decade of Galton's Life 319 tion." It had to wait till the publication of Natural Inheritance in 1889 ; then Galton found the lieutenants he stood in need of: "The publication of that book proved to be more timely than that of the former. The methods were greatly elaborated by Professor Karl Pearson, and applied by him to Biometry. Professor Weldon of this University, whose untimely death is widely deplored, aided powerfully. A new science was thus created primarily on behalf of Biometry, but equally applicable to Eugenics because their provinces overlap [i.e. in Man]. The publication of Biometrika... began in 1901." (p. 10.) Galton then refers to the Huxley Lectures of 1901 and 1903, and to his own papers of 1904 and 1905, to the establishment in the latter year of the Eugenics Record Office with its Research Fellow, and to the foundation in the year of the lecture of the Laboratory for National Eugenics. It is a brief, but adequate history of the small beginnings of the new science, concluding with its definition, that of the University of London Committee. I have so far passed over the earlier portion of this section which does not really belong to the History of Eugenics, but rather to that of Evolution. Galton refers to that wondrous creation the Hyperion of Keats, to the succession of deities ; Chaos ; Heaven and Earth ; the Titan brood ; the Olympian Gods. Each ousting their parents, and forming a notable advance, physically and mentally, on their predecessors. Thus Galton would have each generation of men advancing by their self-constituted control of evolution through heredity to higher qualities : "So on our heels a fresh perfection treads, A power more strong in beauty, born of us, And fated to excel us, as we pass In glory that old Darkness." (11. 212-15.) Thus in his 86th year Galton showed how little he had lost of that poetic imagination, which always marked his fertile mind. He could read into the barbaric theogony of primitive Greece a lesson for the men of to-day. The second section of the lecture is entitled: Application of Theories of Probability to Eugenics. It commences with the statement that Eugenics demands quantitative results. It is not content with such vague words as "much" or "little," but seeks to know "how much" or "how little" in precise and trustworthy figures. Given, Galton says, that we know that a certain class of persons, A, is afflicted with some specified degree of degeneracy we wish to find out how many of their offspring, B, will also be afflicted and to what extent. Further we want to find out: " What will be the trustworthiness of the forecast derived from averages when it is applied to individuals ? " Galton then turns for a measure of untrustworthiness to the average deviation, D, from the forecast. " The smaller D is, the more precise the forecast and the stronger the justification for taking such drastic measures against the propagation of class B as would be consonant to the feelings, if the forecast were known to be infallible. On the other hand a large D signifies a corre- sponding degree of uncertainty and a risk which might be faced without reproach through a sentiment akin to that expressed in the maxim ' It is better that many guilty should escape 320 Life and Letters of Francis Galton than one innocent person should suffer*.' But that is not the sentiment by which natural selection is guided, and it is dangerous to yield far to it." (p. 14.) Galton admits that a thorough investigation of the kind referred to, even if it were confined to a single grade of a specific degeneracy, is in itself a very serious undertaking: "Masses of trustworthy material must be collected, usually with great difficulty, and be afterwards treated with skill and labour by methods that few at present are competent to employ. An extended investigation into the good or evil done to the state by the offspring of many different classes of persons, some of civic value, others the reverse, implies a huge volume of work sufficient to occupy Eugenics laboratories for an indefinite time." (p. 14.) It will be seen how thoroughly Galton's mind was imbued with the con- ception that the science of Eugenics has to deal with mass-phenomena, that it is essentially based on statistics and must adopt the actuarial method, i.e. that it is based on probability reckoned on past experience. This conception leads him directly to his next section: Object Lessons in the Methods of Biometry. He proposes to speak of those fundamental principles of probability, which are chiefly concerned with the newer methods of Biometry, and con- sequently of Eugenics. "Most persons of ordinary education seem to know nothing about them, not even understanding their technical terms, much less appreciating the cogency of their results" (p. 15). Galton accordingly sets out to sketch in outline a series of lessons of a Kindergarten type, which a teacher may fill in, and thus lead the ordinarily intelligent person, though he be ignorant of mathematics, to a knowledge of the fundamental ideas on which probability is based. He fears that this will scandalise biometriciansf, but he has previously softened their wrath by saying that no man can hope to achieve much in Biometry without a large amount of study, the possession of appropriate faculties and a strong brain ! I do not propose to enter into the nine pages' of the Lecture (pp. 15-23) which draft this scheme of " Object Lessons." They have, as I shall indicate later, been developed by W. Palin and Ethel M. Elderton into a primer of statistics. Most of the ideas have already been considered in this biography; the scheme proceeds in the main from " median" and "quartiles," and covers the simpler forms of variation and correlation. The final section of the lecture is entitled : Influence of Collective Truths upon Individual Conduct. Galton commences by noting that probability will provide a solid foundation for action in the matter of Eugenics. But the " stage on which human action takes place is a superstructure into which emotion enters, we are guided on it less by Certainty and by Probability than by Assurance to a greater or lesser * This is the terrible dilemma in which the tender-hearted Condorcet found himself .when he came to analyse the probability of criminal trials leading to correct judgments. There, however, life had come into being ; here it need not be called into existence. t I think this was a little poke at his friend, who had really criticised the occasion not the matter of Galton's "object lessons." The friend had indeed already in the "'eighties" given several Kindergarten courses on experimental probability at Gresham College to City clerks and Government employees, who afterwards became statisticians, and besides to a considerable number of bookmakers and professional gamblers who entered keenly into. the spirit of the demonstrations, and whose gratitude took the form of free gifts of "tips" for the Derby and schemes to break__tbe l»ank at MontrrCfw-to-L. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 321 degree. The word Assurance is derived from sure, which itself is an abbreviation of secure' that is of secura, or without misgiving. It is a contented attitude of mind largely dependent on custom, prejudice, or other unreasonable influences, which reformers have to overcome, and some of which they are apt to utilise on their own behalf. Human nature is such that we rarely find our way by the pure light of reason, but while peering through spectacles furnished with coloured and distorting glasses." (p. 24.) The general drift of this final section, if not so clearly put as Galton has elsewhere expressed it, is that the principles of Eugenics must be made part of the social code, a collective truth of society at large, whose power over the individual can scarcely be overrated. " The enlightenment of individuals is a necessary preamble to practical Eugenics, but social opinion is the tyrant by whose praise or blame the principles of Eugenics may be expected hereafter to influence individual conduct." (p. 26.) Galton considers that the opinion which holds particular social codes of conduct to be unchangeable is like the conviction of lovers that their present sentiments will endure for ever. Love is notoriously fickle and so also is public opinion. Galton illustrates this by the fashion of hair on the male face. In the days of his youth the " assumption of a moustache was in popular opinion worse than wicked, it was atrociously bad style." During the Crimean War the infantry were relieved from shaving, and on their return to England beards spread to the laity, but stopped short of the clergy. Then a distinguished clergyman " bearded " his ^Bishop on a critical occasion, the Bishop was so overcome that he yielded without protest, and "forthwith hair began to sprout in a thousand pulpits where it had never appeared before in the memory of man " (p. 27). Once mould public opinion to consider a non- eugenic marriage atrociously bad form, and the victory is won — the law, as Galton indicates, follows linvpingly the growth of the public conscience. " Considering that public opinion is guided by the sense of what best serves the interests of society as a whole, it is reasonable to expect that it will be strongly exerted in favour of Eugenics when a sufficiency of evidence shall have been collected to make the truths on which it rests plain to all. That moment has not yet arrived. Enough is already known to those who have studied the question to leave no doubt in their minds about the general results, but not enough is quantitatively known to justify legislation or other action except in extreme cases. Continued studies will be required for some time to come, and the pace must not be hurried. When the desired fulness of information shall have been acquired, then will be the fit moment to proclaim a ' Jehad ' or Holy War against customs and prejudices that impair the physical and moral* qualities of our race." (pp. 29-30.) That the Herbert Spencer Lecture, notwithstanding fine passages, is not fully up to Galton's best work may strike the reader f, but he cannot see it in the same aspect as those of us who knew the extreme stress, not then fully ended, to which the old man in his 86th year had been for twelve months subjected. It was a surprise to some of us that he ventured to lecture at all, and we rejoiced that the lecture could be as good as it was. * It is startling to see this word reappear here after the use of " physical " and " mental " in the definition of Eugenics on p. 12 of the lecture ! | See my remarks at the top of p. 316. pgiii 41 322 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon Six days after the Herbert Spencer Lecture, Galton wrote to me : 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. June 11, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, An invalid's days creep by so uneventfully, that the passing of time is little felt and one gets too easily in arrears. I owe you many thanks for your kind interest and inquiries. For my part, I have practically said " goodbye " to bronchitis, for the present, — and feel plucky enough to venture on a visit to a niece in Leamington on Thursday, and, if that proves successful, to go a little further afield to a nephew for the next week. Letters here will always be forwarded. I am very curious about your new method of determining correlation. When you publish, don't forget me. Crackanthorpe's " Population and Progress " interests me much. His last chapter (VI) opens out quite a new horizon to me, and suggests a subject for discussion at some future Hague Conference — viz. limitation of populations ! The pullulating nations have ever been the primum mobile of invasions. If a country breeds more than it can provide for, there is bound to be an outburst. It is Germany's difficulty and temptation at the present moment. My head is full just now of such ideas, and of encouragement to entertain them, derived from that excellent article of Mrs McFadyean's in the XlXth [Century], showing how the women all over the world are now becoming enlisted in furthering the limitation-of-families question. They have so far less temptation to be imprudent than their husbands, and suffer so far more acutely from im- prudence than the latter do, that their awakening to the question seems of the higher importance. I had never looked at the matter before from the woman's point of view, as Mrs McFadyean does. It does not now seem to me nearly so hopeless as it did to limit the families of male degenerates, if the purely selfish feelings of their mates can be worked on and aroused. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. This summer the biographer and his family were at River Common near Petworth, and Francis Galton took a house at Haslemere ; but although I cycled over to see him, it was not possible to resume the old " biometric teas," the shadow of Weldon's death still hung over both households, and I had in addition much anxiety about the illness of my Father. Galton gave me sound advice and in my letter to him of July 7 I find the words: " I always feel about you, as I felt about Henry Bradshaw, that if I put a personal difficulty, I shall get the help of a contemplative man of riper experience. I think it is a trace of the old Quaker blood in both of you." I give a few of the letters which passed between Galton and myself in the remainder of 1907. The Galton Eugenics Laboratory, University College, Gower St. June 20, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I am writing a number of letters about the Eugenics Laboratory and feel I must send one to you while I sit invigilating here with my examinees. I have a good bit of news for you. The Education Committee of the L.C.C. has consented to place its material — observations on the mental and physical condition of London school-children — -at our disposal. I believe there are 8000 cases to be dealt with. This has relieved my mind a good deal, for I was growing very anxious as to whether I could provide the Laboratory with enough material to work at. Miss Elderton is simply a cormorant ! We are slowly collecting several series of data, but the time to get them up to a number big enough for safe conclusions must be long, and some of the data that have been sent to us have not proved very good. Heron's memoir on " Inheritance of the insane Tendency " will go to press as soon as I have the time to throw into shape his rough draft, I hope early next month. Miss Elderton's work on cousins is practically done ; Miss Barrington's on inheritance of defective eyesight and the influence (if home environment on eyesight (overcrowding, etc.) is nearly complete. I think this will form a good six months' work to start with. We shall then get on to the data for children from Manchester, Birmingham and now London. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Gallon's Life 323 You will bo amused to know how general now is the use of your word Eugenics ! I hear most respectable middle-class matrons saying, if children are weakly, "Ah, that was not a eugenic marriage !" We are going two or three miles from Petworth for the Long Vacation. Have you made your plans? I hope you have been feeling quite well again and well over that unfortunate slip. Your lecture is doing much good. I expect mine will be out by the end of the month and we shall be able to get up quite a talk concerning Eugenics in the journals. I want to ask you about the new rooms for the Laboratory. The College is ready to give two rooms next the new Biometric Laboratory, which will be open in October in the main build- ings. Of course this would make matters much easier for me, and easier for the Eugenics folk, who have to come and see me, but you must let me know your views. I propose a social gathering of some kind, when the new laboratories are opened in October, to bring biometric and eugenic folk together, and to advertise the whole thing. Always yours affectionately, Karl Pearson. Has the new nurse appointment proved a success 1 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. July 12, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, Thanks for Palin Elderton's letter which I return. My domestic servants' insurance is through the X. Society, and absolves me from troubles like yours, for I have to pay retrospectively at the close of each year for extra servants. Leonard Darwin, who is in touch with politicians, has again urged me to ask you to offer " hereditary " evidence before the Poor Law Royal Commission. He fears that the subject will otherwise be wholly ignored in what is likely to become the basis of legislation for many years to come. I suppose the point is to afford evidence: (1) that the undesirables contribute largely to the naturally undesirable portion of the population, (2) that natural undesirability is a/act, (3) that various forms of charity unnecessarily promote the propagation of the less fit, and (4) that the methods of restraining it are important to consider. It seems to me that (2) ought to be " rubbed in," also (3). Can you not do something in this way by writing to the Secretary of the Poor Law Royal Commission enclosing a programme of what you are prepared to testify 1 According to Leonard Darwin the present occasion is a most important one to interfere in. Excuse my interference ! Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Last night I wrote to accept one of the houses that have been inquired about. It is in Hindhead (Hasleinere), and rejoices in the name of " Yaffles." " Yaffle " in the patois of the district means, I am told, a green woodpecker. The garden of the house adjoins that of Mrs Tyndall who has lived there ever since her husband died. She will be a nice neighbour. I go there on Aug. 1 for 6 weeks. There is a railway connection, I see, between Hasleinere and Petworth, and the distance direct between the two places seems on Bradshaw's map to be only about 10 miles. So I trust we shall meet as heretofore not infrequently. Rock House, River Common, Petworth, Sussex. July, 1907 [after the 12th]. My dear Francis Galton, Your letter to hand. The " Yaffle " is a fairly common name for the green woodpecker in the South. I have heard him a good deal here and we always call him the "Yaffle." You will be open and high up, but I hope Mrs Tyndall has removed her Husband's big screens ! To-day I feel incapable of writing to any Secretary of a Royal Commission, for I am hit by a slight attack of 'flu which is I find just dying out here. As I have no fever, I think I may write to you safely. If Major Darwin would send me the Secretary's address I would write to him and forward a copy of the Eugenics lecture which will reach me shortly. I hate, however, suggesting myself to anybody ; I suppose if they wanted my evidence they would ask for it. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. July 29, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, It seems long since I wrote, for I have had a most interesting stay in a large moated house in Suffolk. Clear water all round it, no smell, stables away from it, draw-bridges raised each night as they have been for some hundreds of years, etc. etc. It is Helmingham Hall, where the widow of Lord Tollemache lives. The son and heir is at a more 41—2 324 Life and Letters of Francis Galton important house in Cheshire. On Thursday I meet E. B. at Waterloo Station and we go down together to Yaffles, Hindhead, Haslemere, for 6 weeks. Before leaving town I called at the Home Office to learn the address of the Poor Law Royal Commission. The porter wrote out the enclosed, R. G. Duff being the Secretary. I hope you will send them the copy of your lecture with the passages marked on which you think evidence ought to be taken, and which you are prepared to give. It is really an important crisis, as I am assured. It will be very pleasant if we could occasionally meet, much as of old. Yaffles, if you could be persuaded to bicycle so far, is very prettily situated with a terraced garden and two out of door sheds, — in one or other of which I hope to spend much of the day. How are you all thriving? A word as to the outcome of your own trouble about your Father's health and the doctor's opinion would be very welcome. With kindest remembrances to your Wife, Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Yaffles, Hindhead, Haslemere, S.O. August 13, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, All goes well, and I expect that all will be re-established. I can't write details, but the more hopeful prospect seems destined to be fulfilled completely. I began here with ill-luck. A second tumble at night, with some slight concussion and a considerable attack of sick headache. All this has passed happily away and I am quite well. This and what I had to learn as regards the first paragraph above, was the cause of my delaying so long to write. This house is perfectly charming. The grounds cover 4 acres of hill side, and are partly wild, partly terraced, with seats everywhere and distant views. The house itself is a sort of bungalow, just large enough to hold us two and Eva's half-sister, Mrs Macintyre, who lives at Penang and is over for a short holiday, with her baby. She is an acquisition in more than one way. The house is beautifully clean and fresh, very artistic, and many shelves-full of excellent readable books. I have done but little owing to the above-mentioned reasons — in fact I dared not even read a line for two days. Do tell me about yourself and yours. Petworth is within the reach of a long drive from here, and I see there is railway connection of a sort, but I fear roundabout and by different railways. I should be delighted to meet you anywhere not further than Petworth. Jonathan Hutchinson, the surgeon, has established quite a large museum in Haslemere, which forms a scientific centre. On Saturday he gave lunch to a School-Hygiene-Congress party and invited us. Prepara- tions for 50 hungry people, and only 25 (including ourselves and his own party) came to the lunch. He has a medical museum in Gower St and is going to live there and catalogue it. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Rock House, River Common, Petworth, Sussex. August 26, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, It was a great pleasure to see you on Saturday, the more so as you looked so fit and bright. I cannot but think that the return to your old home habits has been good for you, and I feel sure that it will gladden Miss Biggs to be conscious of this also. I should have sent you a line on Sunday but I buckled to and got Heron's draft memoir off hand, and sent it for his consideration. It ought not to be long now before it is out, and I think it will produce some effect. I suggest that you see it in slip, as it is then quite easy to adopt criticisms and modifications and is far easier for you to read. I hear from one of my folk, that Captain Hurst at the B.A. meeting asserted that in human eye colour, blue is a Mendelian unit, all the other shades forming the opposite allelomorph. That those cases we have shown in which two blue eyed parents have other coloured offspring are solely due to our not properly examining the colour of the eyes, and if we had done so a small amount of pigment, orange or brown, would always be found. It is the old Mendelian trick, if you may pick your individuals you can prove anything. It is of course perfectly true that if you take two blue eyed parents, both of whom come of blue eyed stock, you will get blue eyed children. The test of Mendelism lies in two blue eyed parents of other stock, always giving blue eyed offspring. But if they don't they will be dismissed as having a small but unrecognised amount of orange pigment ! No doubt, if we settled beforehand the blueness of the eyes of both parents, and some of the children were and some were not blue eyed, we should bo Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 325 told that the wife's virtue was not beyond question and that she had had a fancy for a heterozygous paramour ! That point has indeed already been suggested in this inquiry ! I have been rather pleased. In my Homotyposis paper I dealt with sweet-peas and felt pretty certain that they must be cross-fertilised, because of the numerical constants. Of course it looks commonsense from the blended forms one sees everywhere. But Darwin in Cross and Self Fertilisation of Plants strongly believes that in England they are not so. Now I have watched the whole process here. The bee works in a sort of frantic manner, pushes both flaps down and the pistil rises from its case, and usually he sweeps both sides of it with his hind legs. The bees I have seen have their belly and the whole of their hind legs covered with the pollen of the sweet-pea, and there is not the least doubt that there must be a great deal of cross fertilisation. Darwin speaks of the difficulty of access of the bee, but it is singular that with his great accuracy of observation he should have missed the simplicity of the whole thing. It is really rather striking to watch the bee at work. If you have any sweet-peas in that beautiful Yaffles garden, do try and confirm my observation. Affectionately yours, Karl Pearson. I am not sure that this bee is the ordinary hive bee ; it looks a somewhat stouter insect, but of much the same type. I have not seen more than two working at the same time on a long row of sweet-peas, although there might be 5 or 6 at the same instant on a small lavender bush, but these bees would, I found, very quickly visit 20 or 30 flowers*. Yaffles, Hindhead, Haslemere, S.O. August 30, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, The caricature of you is uncommonly good, though of course not flattering. Even the upper part of the back is distinctive, but the remainder of the dwarfed body is not good. I will keep it, if you don't want it back. Schuster's paper in the Eugenics Laboratory Publications reached me yesterday and very interesting it is. I will write to him. I shall be very glad to see Heron's paper "in slip." About the sweet-peas, when I reared them all those years ago, I selected them on the advice of both Hooker and Darwin, and was assured also that in nursery gardens rows of peas of different colours were often planted side by side, and that no cross fertilisation was ever observed. But I have with my own eyes seen, as you have, bees (of some kind) visiting flowers in succession without, or with little, regard to their colours and supposed their visits to be innocuous, though why, I have never been able to understand. There are only a few sweet-peas here, at the bottom of the garden, and no hive bees anywhere about, but bees of alien kinds, so I cannot easily repeat your observation in respect to hive bees. It was a very great pleasure to see you last Saturday, and to have a long talk. To-day, we drove to Linchmere and saw in the church a brass tablet to Salvin (the S. American botanist, who had a property near here). You may recollect him at the meetings of the R. S. Evolution Committee. He was usually reticent but very helpful on occasions and always a thorough gentleman. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. On and after Thursday Sept. 12 — Quedley, Shottermill, Haslemere. Yaffles. Sept. 8, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, I have rented the above house for 2 months certain, with option of continuing through the winter. It is pretty and has If acres lawn and garden with a well-warmed greenhouse into which the drawing-room opens. So I have a fair chance of pulling through the winter in it. What "Quedley" means, I don't yet know. I gather from a letter from Gifi that the new part of Biometrika is out and has been received in Rutland Gate. If so, it will soon reach me. I see that Schuster's article has attracted favourable newspaper notice. The enclosed (don't return it) is a good example. All goes on quietly here. I have at last got into good working order a method of " lexicon- ising " silhouettes. I can't conceive why artists and anthropologists have never succeeded in sharply determining points of reference in the human features, when it is so easy to obtain them by the intersection of tangents. The enclosed (don't return it) shows my primary tri- angulation. The C, N and F (obtained by intersections) are closely approximate expressions for the tip of chin, of nose, and of " nasion " (to adopt the word you used). With a small repertory of descriptive symbols, I find it feasible to give a formula for any profile, whence a very respectable duplicate of it can easily be drawn. Types of races ought to be readily defined and compared * See the present volume, pp. 6-7. s-m Life and Letters of Francis Galton on this principle, but I have not yet attempted to do so. However, I have a book of racial portraits at home, which I will get here to experiment with. How do you all get onl When do you return to dear smoky London ? Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. Primary triangle of a profile. CF = 100 "cents." Measurements are all in cents. CX, 0 Y are the axes for rectangular coords. F.G. Sept. 8, 1907. Rock House, River Common, Petworth, Sussex. Sept. 9, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I am extremely glad to hear that you are going to try Haslemere for the winter and I hope most sincerely that it will prove a success. I fear " Quedley " is not Sussex dialect but personal to the owner. I hope it will be as sunny and bright as the "Yaffles." T have written to Sir Robert Parker asking him if he will let me lunch with bim one day this week. He is, I know, in London on Wednesday, so that it will be towards the end of the week. May I come and see you afterwards ? I would let you know the day. I should have to start back at 5, as I do not care to cycle after dark, but I should like to see you again before I get back to work. My Wife goes to Oxford on the 17th and we all go back on the 21st. I do not begin lecturing until the 1st, but I want if possible to get everybody arranged in their new quarters, and we shall hope to give our inaugural tea-party when you are again in Town. I am probably in for two controversies ; one in the British Medical on the inheritance of the tuberculous diathesis, and one (possibly, in Nature) on the correlation of stellar characters. This, fti reply to attacks at the B.A. I think your profile scheme is quite good, only you must measure and find names for the angles of your fundamental triangle. Would it be also worth while taking the projection on the median sagittal plane of the centre of the auricular orifice, or of some point on ear ? This reminds me that I have had some idea of measuring such of the University College students as will consent thereto. If you thought well we could set up a profile-taker in the dark room with magnesium wire and sensitive paper and soon get a large number. What do you think ? I am glad to see the favourable notice of Schuster's paper. I think on the whole we must be well content with our " First Fellow." I find there are two kinds of bees. I have captured specimens of both to-day. One sort certainly gathers honey, but never touches the pistil or pollen of the sweet-pea, the other is never content and does not leave the flower until he has swept the whole of the pollen from the stamens onto his belly. I am sending the two kinds of bees to be identified. Affectionately, K. P. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 327 Quedley, Haslemeke. October 2, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, Enclosed I return Heron's paper, with suggested verbal correc- tions in pencil. The proposal (even if it be not wholly his) of a General Register of the Insane deserves all emphasis and would be a good subject for the Eugenics Office, as such, to " agitate " about. One first step would be in writing an article (by Heron himself, or by someone else) to appear shortly after the publication of his memoir. I wrote to him and have received this morning a clear ground-plan of the new rooms in University College. I am so glad that all is now so compactly under your wing. Shall you have an opening lea-party, and when 1 I should like to come up on purpose, but doubt its wisdom as I feel that fiend Bronchitis is hiding just round the corner, ready for a spring. I have indeed had premonitory symptoms already. Still, if the weather continues fine, I would come up on purpose. As yet I have not met either of your two friends, Mr Justice Parker or Nettleship. But cards have been interchanged. This place grows upon me and seems more suitable for the winter than any other that I know of. All goes well here. At least one doctor is said to be so good that it seems a waste of opportunity not to be ill while here, and to send for him ! You will be head and ears over in work, so I will not write more now. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Quedley, Haslemere. October 10, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, I hope the delay of two days in my reply has not inconvenienced you. I found it very difficult to put some of ~'s scarcely intelligible sentences into readable shape. But it is a most interesting paper and the diagram is very striking to the eye. I have, thanks to you, seen much of Mr Justice Parker and of Nettleship, both at their several houses and at mine. You have too much now in hand to think of new things, but a suggestion thrown out in conversation with the former deserves bearing in mind, namely a discussion of the parentage of the unemployed, which may prove to be of degenerate quality. It does not seem very difficult to carry it out. Another topic which I discussed with Sir Alfred Lyall and an Indian friend of his, is the feasibility of testing promise and performance in the Indian Civil Service, where appointments go very much by merit. I worked at this some (? 20 or more) years ago and have lots of MS., but I then published nothing, because the data were too few. Now, they are fairly abundant. I should like to talk this over with you some time. About the opening tea at the new rooms, I am quite at your service and would come up for it (and for other things, for two or three nights) whenever you may appoint. There is always uncertainty as to my impending bronchitis, but I will come if I can and you must excuse me if I fail. Will it be an evening conversazione or a late afternoon tea? It is growing autumnal here, but very little of the foliage has yet changed in tint. Where it has changed the effect is beautiful. Haslemere continues to commend itself as a winter residence. I am very grieved at your domestic anxiety, which must increase rather than diminish. You have all my sympathy. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. [Hampstead.] October 16, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I feel I must write you a line to tell you that my Father died at two o'clock yesterday. The operation had been delayed too long and his whole system was so weakened that the slight shock of the operation was more than he could stand. I feel my energy will be for some time very fully taken up with executorship and trustee work, although T shall have valuable aid in my co-executor, Sir Robert Parker. But it is a difficult and lengthy business to close up a home. There is no one now naturally to continue it, as my Sister and I already have made our own homes and environments. It is difficult to disperse all the hundred and one things one has known from one's childhood ; almost sacrilege to sell them, and yet nobody wants the bulk of them. My Father was a man of immense will and endless power of work, with a wonderful physique. A cripple from a fall from his pony when a boy, he was yet a splendid shot and a good fly fisher, striding over the fields gun in one hand and stick in the other in a way which out-tired me as a boy. Then he would be up at 4.30 to prepare his briefs, take a standing breakfast at 9, and rush into his brougham ; back at 7 o'clock, dinner over at 8, he was in bed at 9, and so for month on month, we only saw him at these hurried meals, when speaking was scarce allowed. 328 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Even in the vacation time he would take his sports in the same way ; 6 a.m. was the right time to be out on the river and the day went on till dusk, because the fish bit best after sunset ! Long days for a fidgetty boy, who was only allowed to use his rod when there were no fish to be frightened ! Even these last 15 years when he has been working on Domesday Book, accumu- lating immense piles of MS., my Father on my entry would sometimes point to a chair and forget me if I stayed. An iron man with boundless working power, who never asked a favour in his life, and never really got on because he forgot to respect any man's prejudices, and never knew when he was beaten. I learnt many things from him, and know that I owe much to him physically and mentally. But we were too alike to be wholly sympathetic. He thought my science folly and T thought his law narrowing, — the view of both of us being due to an inherited want of perspective in the stock ! Still he was a man of character and strength. I never saw him give in charity, yet I know now from his papers that more than one of his relatives owe to him their success in life — "Loan barred by the Statute of Limitations" is the quaint way in which he docketed the documents relating to the expenses of a college education for a nephew, or the starting in life of a brother ! I am rambling on when I ought to be thinking of other things, but just now all other matters seem small, when one is taking stock of a completed life, which no other has seen or can now see so closely, nay, who seeing would judge to be at all significant. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. [Hampstead.] November 23, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I have been wishing much to write a line to you, but I have been very pressed, and troubled also with a severe cold on my chest. However I must send you one little line now. First, Schuster was with me on Wednesday. He is arranging for an Anthropometric Laboratory for the Oxford students and came up to ask about instruments and other points. I had a sort of half idea that your old instruments went to Oxford from South Kensington. If this were so, can you tell me who has charge of them ? It might save pur- chasing certain things. Schuster seemed to think that there were possibilities in Oxford, which wanted pressing now that we had sown the seed of Eugenics there. Miss Elderton has been away with a bad cold. The radiators in the rooms have proved incapable of doing their work and we have had great difficulties. So bad indeed that Dr Alice Lee has resigned, which will be a great loss to me, although she had recently been a little difficult to work with. I know only one person her equal in rapid and correct calculation and that is Miss Elderton ; we must keep the latter at the Eugenics Laboratory, if we can. I passed her memoir for press finally to-day. She has worked out about 60 correlation coefficients for Uncles and Aunts and this mass of material shows that the intensity of resemblance is much the same as for Cousins. I have advised her to write a second paper on Uncles and Aunts, and discuss the whole point as to this paradox. She has put in a reference to this in the Cousin paper. I hope Haslemere is proving a good winter resort, and that you are not so low down as to get the valley frosts. I think I told you, did I not, that I paid £1000 into the Oxford Uni- versity Chest for the Weldon Memorial recently 1 I have asked for copies of the final scheme to send to the donors. Affectionately, K. P. Quedley, Haslemere. November 20, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, I was becoming anxious through not hearing from you, knowing that you were not well and are overworked. This is bad weather for your cold and for that of Miss Elderton. I grieve that you are losing Dr Alice Lee. It is most desirable that the paradox of almost identical intensity of kinship to an uncle and to an uncle's son should be faced, as you propose, by Miss Elderton, and I am very glad that the intention is referred to in her Cousin paper. As regards the S. Kensington instruments I gave them all to Professor Thomson for use at Oxford, in the Cavendish [? Anatomical] Laboratory. Schuster would do good work if he could show the exact importance of each measurement proposed and could arrange a system that is of real and proved value and at the same time simple. Correlation would play a large part in devising this, for if A is closely correlated with B and C, it may be sufficient (under limitations of time, trouble and expense) to observe A and to neglect B and C. I look forward to receiving a copy of the final scheme for the Weldon Memorial and am very glad that so substantial a sum as £1000 is available. I wish I had "radiators," even poor ones, in this house, which is becoming cold notwithstanding many fires. A sharp winter would be felt severely in it. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Gallon's Life 329 Methuen's " literary adviser " has written to me a sweet and fetching letter for an auto- biography to be published by them. I am disposed to write it, for it will give daily occupation for some time and will revive many memories. So I am discussing with him a single volume nicely got up, on the half profits basis. Oddly enough a common friend to myself and Methuen (whom I do not yet know personally) was spending last Saturday to Monday here under an engagement to lunch on Sunday with Methuen ; so I gave him the letter to show and talk about. Methuen proposes to call, but is now much invalided as the result of an operation last summer. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. (Antescripl. This is a "business" and not the personal letter which I want soon to write. ) The Galton Ecgenics Laboratory, University College. December 1, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I fully appreciate your point as to the facing what people will say about cousins being at least as alike as uncle and nephew. When Miss Elderton did the cousins' work, we had only my eye-colour work (based on your material) to compare with it. For 8 series of eye-colour correlations each embracing about 1200 cases we found a mean cor- relation value -265. Miss Elderton has worked out 32 series from my General Family Records — for uncles and nephews, etc. For Health and Intelligence we get mean of 16 series of about 1000 each, "272, practically the same as for my eye-colour work. Temper and Success which involve more doubtful judgments give about -20. You will see that these are comparable with Miss Elderton's cousin resemblance of -267. You ask how does it come about 1 Frankly I can't say. But I want to draw your attention to another point. When you first started this correlation work, you expected parental correlation to be ^ and brothers' to be § . My view in the " Law of Ancestral Heredity " paper, pure theory, was ^ and -4. These values would also arise from simple Mendelism. Now you see / still thought the brothers would be more alike than parent and off- spring, because the other parent would disturb the relation of one parent to the child ; just as we might suppose the uncle's wife would do. But when we have worked out long series of parental correlations and fraternal correlations, what is the result ? Why that it is very difficult to show that they differ from equality. I think my Family Measurements were very reliable and yet for long series the parental correlation came -46 and the fraternal -50, and probably this difference was due to comparing different generations of adults, i.e. father and son do not live in the same environment as two brothers. My position at present is that we have to find out the correlations from observation and when they are definitely known, turn back to theory. Alternate inheritance would, perhaps, give fraternal = parental correlation and would, I think, make cousins and uncle and nephew equal. It is, I think, in some such " determinant " direction that we must look for light in this matter. I will add a note to Miss E.'s paper. Affectionately, K. Pearson. Quedley, Haslemere. December 20, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, How nice Miss Elderton's paper looks. The Laboratory publications make a most respectable show. I am very glad you inserted the paragraph you did, at the end, showing that the paradoxical result of cousinly likeness being the same as avuncular, has not been unnoticed. The more I think about it the more amazed I am that an uncle's wife or an aunt's husband should exercise no appreciable effect. Facts are of course the supreme authority, but it is hard to bow before them here.... Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. Quedley, Haslemere. December 28, 1907. My dear Karl Pearson, The Tribune article is clever and oidy too true. I have been long desiring to start some movement to raise the deplorably low standard of scientific literature and have corresponded about it privately. Sir Archibald Geikie, whose family are now settled here, is still more emphatic than myself, and we had a good talk yesterday. We both belong to the R. Soc. of Literature, and I hope to induce it to take the " improvement in style of current scientific literature " as a serious duty. A man ought to feel as ashamed of publishing a slovenly memoir as he would of appearing at a public ceremony dirty and ill-dressed. But it is not only of an aesthetic but of a matter-of-fact trouble one has to complain — viz. of the length of time that is wasted by the reader in trying to understand what ought to be expressed by more vivid language, simpler expressions and more logical arrangement. I am now writing on this very P G in 42 330 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon subject to Sir Edward Brabrook who is the chief working authority of the R. Soc. of Literature, to enlist his interest and to get advice. Geikie and I did form a provisional scheme of action. This house, Quedley, really is not cold. Nettleship, who was here yesterday, and whom I asked, found no fault with its situation. The valley fogs do not as yet reach it, while I hear great complaints of cold and fog at Hindhead. In fact I really think I have fallen upon the most suitable house in the whole place, for my particular needs. T am now busy, as long as I can work, day by day, over my " Reminiscences." It is curious how the sense of " past " disappears. All my life from 5 years to 85 is beginning to seem to me "present," like a picture on the wall. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. December 30, 1907. My dear Francis Galton, I am very glad my alarm about the cold at Quedley is false. I certainly did not mean to disturb you needlessly. It was only my short experience of the valley some way above Shottermill where we had a house for four weeks. I should rather like to talk over the point of scientific literature with you, because I think there is danger of two distinct factors being confused. In the first place every paper ought to be written in lucid English. With this I am the more in sympathy, because I realise to the full my own difficulties in this matter. We want far more essay writing from the science student, although this must not be driven to the Oxford extent of making the discovery of fitting words the main occupation of the student. On the other hand every science must have its special term- inology, and its symbolism and short-hand. These can be interpreted into long-hand and simple English in popular lectures and reviews, but in the scientific memoir written for a scientificly educated public the terminology and short-hand of the special branch of science concerned must be preserved for the brevity and lucidity they provide. You might, I think, as well demand of a mathematician a definition and explanation of dy/dx in a Phil. Trans, paper as ask in a scientific memoir on heredity for an explanation of the fundamental equations (DD) x (RE) = 2 (DR), (DR) x (DR) = (DD) + 2 (DR) + (RE) of Mendelism. This symbolism is now known and accepted by all students of heredity whether they believe in Mendelian theory or not. Similarly such terms as " somatic " and "gametic " are to be found in every biological textbook. When therefore the Tribune cites such things as these and calls them "jargon," it is merely stating that its writer was incompetent to review the memoir because he was ignorant of the terminology of the branch of science he was discussing. This is quite apart from the possible want of lucidity of the English, or from any demand for a popular exposition of the results reached by more elaborate memoirs. These may be desiderata, but they are not to be confused with a mere absence of scientific terminology : and I think we have now reached an epoch when the popular exposition of heredity should be taken more fully into consideration. In February it will be a year since our regime began, and the appointments of Mr Heron and Miss Elderton will come up for consideration, as well as my own relations to the Laboratory. I feel my own limitations very keenly, and it might well be that other supervision would give the scheme more go and a more popular character. I need hardly say that I am ready to fall in entirely with your views, either to make way for a man of more leisure and activity, perhaps more in touch with the outside world, or to go on as we have been doing for one year more. As for the Galton Fellow and Scholar, I think we ought to give them some notion as to the future. The Fellow has done good work, but has not at present quite as much initiative as I shall look for later; the Scholar has much impressed me, and is even more able than I antici- pated. Taking the difficulty of finding new and efficient workers, I think we shall not readily find better instruments even if we agree that they need a more active guide. If you agree, there ought to be some report to the University and perhaps a meeting of your Committee. I will very readily draft something, if you will quite frankly send your views on the immediate future. Whatever is done now ought to be done so as to terminate definitely in February, 1909. I think the present people are too good for one year only of work, but they ought to understand that you may want to remodel the Laboratory scheme in 1909. Have you considered the possibility of resuming the reins yourself this year 1 I only came in default of any obviously better person to supply your place, and I am only a locum tenens ready to move on when you say the word. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. Eugenics as a Creed awl the Last Decade of Galton's Life 331 T think Galton's opinion of the falling off in style of scientific, especially R.S., memoirs was very well founded. He possibly did not realise some of the factors that had contributed to it. In the early history of the Royal Society the responsibility for the issue of papers seems to have rested with the Secretary (or Secretaries), and, I think, some of the feeling of this responsibility for editing lasted up to the days of Sir George G. Stokes, who must have spent endless time and energy over the verbal and critical emendation of authors' papers. Failing this editorial work much must depend on the printers' readers. My own — now fairly considerable — experience suggests that it is only at the University Presses of Cambridge and Oxford that one can be certain of the highest efficiency not only in proof-reading and suggestion, but in ensuring that corrections are properly made. The glory of a press de- pends as much on the general culture of its readers as on the beauty of its type. A second factor which I believe has largely escaped notice lies in the change of the class from which the writers of papers are now drawn. With the system of education as now developed the majority of men of science are springing from humbler and less cultured homes than formerly. Many of them have never passed through the literary training of public school and university, but have been " educated " in secondary schools and science laboratories, and have only exceptionally an appreciation of style, or any power of lucid expression. Add to this, and anyone who examines statis- tically the recent list of the fellows of the Royal Society will confirm the statement, the men of leisure and culture who occupy themselves with science, while formerly numerous, are now a vanishing minority; thus we see how it is that the hurriedly written papers of the modern professional scientists lack the lucidity of expression, sometimes the grammatical English, of the more leisurely savants of the middle of last century. Galton was keenly alive to the result, if possibly he had not studied fully the causes of the change. I think that Sir Archibald Geikie in the discussion which followed Galton's paper at the Royal Society of Literature came nearer to pointing out the inevitable evolution which has taken place in the scientific world. He said : " It seems to me that no candid reader can compare the scientific memoirs published at the present day with those which appeared a hundred years ago without coming to the conclusion that in average literary quality the modern writings stand decidedly on a lower level than their predecessors, and that the deterioration in this respect is on the increase. The earlier papers were for the most part conceived in a broader spirit, arranged more logically, and expressed in a better style than those of to-day. They show their authors to have been generally men of culture, who would have shrunk with horror from the slipshod language now so prevalent. " If it be asked what reason can be assigned for this change, various causes may be suggested. In former days, the number of men of science was comparatively small, and they belonged in no small measure to the leisured classes of the community. They were not constantly haunted by the fear of losing their claims to priority of discovery, if they did not at once publish what they had discovered. They were content to wait, sometimes for years, before committing their papers to the press. And no doubt the printing of their papers was likewise a leisurely process, 3 during which opportunity was afforded for correction and improvement. But this quiet, old- fashioned procedure has been hustled out of existence by the more impatient habits and requirements of the present day. The struggle for priority is almost as keen as the struggle for existence." (Trans. R. Soc. of Lit. Vol. xxvni, Part II, p. 10.) 42—2 332 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Sir Archibald might have added that in many cases it is a struggle for existence, since the chance of appointments too often is made to depend in the case of young men rather on the quantity than the quality of their published papers. (14) Events and Correspondence of 1908. The events of this year have been to some extent foreshadowed in the letters of 1907. We have seen that Galton was busy with two projects, namely (i) with an endeavour to improve the literary style of scientific memoirs, and (ii) with the writing of his volume of memories. There are three other matters to which we shall also refer ; they are (iii) the proposal to found an association for promoting Eugenics — the Eugenics Education Society, (iv) his papers before this Society, when founded, and (v) the Darwin- Wallace celebration at the Linnean Society. We will take these in a somewhat different order, interpolating correspond- ence which may throw light on their origins. (a) On the Literary Style of Scientific Memoirs. Quedley, Haslemeee. Jan. 1, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, The first tiling in this my first letter written in 1908, is to wish you and yours the happiest and most fruitful of New Years that it is reasonable to desire. I think you have read more into my letter than it was intended to hold. We are fortunate in having Heron and Miss Elderton, and it would be natural to continue their appointments, unless you — and I understand that you do not — wish otherwise. I am sure / should be sorry to lose them. Then as to yourself, the idea of your ceasing to superintend that which you have built-up so powerfully on solid foundations, simply makes me shiver. Pray not a word or thought further about this ! ! Now as to what I want the Royal Soc. Lit. to do. You and I are at one in respect to the necessity of strong action to put a stop to obscurity of expression, to bad grammar, and to faulty logical arrangement. The remaining question regards technical language. My own feeling is to restrict it so far that capable scientific men, who are familiar with cognate branches, shall be able to understand memoirs without difficulty. At present they are not able to do so without great labour. Here I have in view the publications of the Royal Society, which, and Geikie feels at least as strongly as myself, are faulty in this respect, besides being uncouthly and barbarously written. Heaven knows that I am only too willing to have my own faults of writing roughly corrected, and how much I feel indebted to the slashing of a friend, who kindly read the MS. of some of my early writings. He treated them ignominiously, I saw they deserved it and was grateful. You, I think, are more inclined to consider those memoirs which are addressed somewhat exclusively to specialists. But even here more caution seems required. A technical word does not quickly acquire the exact technical meaning it is intended to convey. Take your own useful expression " sib," which you apply to the children of the same parents. I see Skeat in his Dictionary defines it as nearly related, and he shows Gossip = God-sib, to be equivalent to God-parent. So when " sib " is used in your limited sense, the addition once for all in the same paper of the words " children of the same parents " would be helpful and prevent puzzling*. It is certainly well to minimise the use of technical words. The English language is a powerful weapon in skilful hands, and much more can be expressed briefly in it without technical language than is generally attempted, I heard last night from Brabrook and find * I am puzzled by this paragraph. I had introduced the word "siblings" not "sibs" to covera group of brothers and sisters regardless of sex and equivalent to the sense lost to modern English of " Geschwister," or " S^skende." " Sib " stands to me as an equivalent for kin, and I was some- what vexed when Nettleship cut my "sibling" short into "sib." It would appear as if I must have sinned by somewhere using " sib." Speaking from memory, I should say that on the early occasions on which I used " sibling," I had defined the meaning I attached to the term. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton' s Life 333 that my letter to him has fallen aptly. They are very shortly going to consider seriously what to do. Complaints are so wide and loud, not by any means from non-scientific people only, and the Royal Soc. Lit. feels that criticism falls within its province. All goes well here. The Hope Pinkers lunched with us yesterday. He told me about the progress of the bust of Weldon and that you had seen it. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. Jan. 2, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I am very busy to-day, but I must send you some few lines in reply to your very kind note. I reciprocate heartily your wishes for the New Year, and these include my desire for the success of your proposed attack on the citadel ! I am quite ready to continue superintending the Eugenics folk, and you must not suppose I am not interested in the work. All the same I am quite prepared to surrender the reins whenever you feel another man would achieve more in the particular directions you have most at heart. We are both ultimately of Quaker stock, and I want you to talk quite frankly when the time comes, remembering that I shall not be hurt by any decision you may take. I have so much in hand, that to close one phase of my work only means more progress in other phases. I should only feel sad if something were to happen which closed all phases of my work. Why, if Eugenics and even Biometry were closed down, I should turn to Astronomy with all my energy and time; I know how badly statistical knowledge is needed for problems therein ! I will send you a little formal note shortly as to the re-appointment of the " Eugenicians " (that word shall not go further !), which you can forward with any further comment to the University authorities. As a mathematician I must emphasise my view that symbolism is an enormous gain to any branch of science. Just think where we stood in statistics without the theory of total and partial correlation coefficients ! But how in the world can we express in any brief and decent English the formula Pim = (fa - W-OM1 - rj) (1 - r^), for the influence of the mother (2) on the son (1) for a character constant in the father (3)? I think you are wholly right to demand good grammar and clear expression, but I believe your movement will fail in these demands, if you attempt to drag terminology and symbolism into the fight. My ideal scientist in this respect was Clifford ; every educated man can follow his popular addresses, yet how few but mathematicians his scientific memoirs. Discovery and popularisation are distinct aspects of scientific work. They were excellently combined in Clifford and Huxley, and largely in Darwin ; but you must not expect to find this combination frequent nowadays. Your battle will be the easier, if you avoid arousing the wrath of the specialist in this respect. You have him in a cleft in the matter of English, but I fear you court failure, if you assert that the average man of science ought to be able to follow all the specialist papers in the Phil. Traits. If the terms accepted by every student of a specialised branch of science and the whole of its symbolism — its " short-hand " — are to be classed as jargon, and given short shrift, I sadly fear the Royal Society of Literature will find itself prostrate, Don Quixote- like, before the windmill ! Affectionately, K. P. How I shall rejoice to see the " Reminiscences " ! Extract from a letter of Francis Galton. Quedley, Haslemere. Jan. 25, 1908. ...The same morning that brought your reply to my letter, brought also the typed copy of your Report from the University of London, which I signed as approving. What a very good report you have made ! I wish I could see any glimmer of light in the cousinal = avuncular correlation. It seems almost equivalent to fraternal = nepotal correlation, and quite incredible a priori. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. Jan. 27, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, Being kept to the house and sofa to-day — not 'flu, or I would not write to you — I have some chance of getting letters off hand. Many thanks for your kind and helpful letter of this morning. There are now some 40 to 50 avuncular correlations worked out and they fully confirm the view that the relationship of cousins is as high as that of uncle and nephew. There are several points that need to be thought out carefully. The cousins are 334 Life and Letters of Francis Galton generally of the same generation and approximate age ; the uncle and nephew belong to different generations and may be of considerably different ages. But if anything the avuncular correla- tion is less than the cousinal, and accordingly I am not sure that the age and environmental differences would do more than equalise their values. Again we should expect brothers to he more alike than parent and offspring, but the fraternal correlation is only very slightly greater than the parental, and this again is due possibly to the age and nurture influences being more effective in the latter case*. As an illustration of what might happen, let us adopt as hypothesis an alternative inheritance in which | the offspring follow one parent and | the other. In this case 50 °/o of the offspring are like a given parent, but only 33^ °/o of the brothers are like a given brother. Thus the parent has greater resemblance to his offspring than the brother to his brethren. Now let us look at the grandchildren of a pair, A and B, on the assumption of this alternate inheritance : A = B Al = C, As = Z>, B, = E1 B^l\ I I I 'I I I I I 1 I I J A3 Ai 0t Ct Ab A6 A D3 B3 Bt E, E3 \ l_. -S5 B« K Fs With regard to the original grandparents, the 16 grandchildren are either like one or other of them, A or B, or unlike them, taking after their daughters or sons-in-law, Clt Dlt Elt or F1. Thus 25 °/o of the grandchildren are like a given grandparent. Now consider an A1 uncle, he has 12 nephews or nieces and 2 of these are like him, i.e. 16-6 "/„• Each individual cousin like A3 has two out of 12 cousins like himself, again 16-6 °/o. It would thus appear that on such a theory we should have as great a resemblance between cousins as between uncle and nephew. Now I don't suggest that this scheme is actually at all representative of what takes place, but it seems to me to indicate that we can invent schemes in which it does not follow that uncle and nephew have a greater measure of resemblance than cousin and cousin, nor brother and brother a greater measure than parent and offspring. We must first observe and obtain our correlations and then endeavour to interpret them. Affectionately, K. P. The divergence of view between Francis Galton and myself with regard to the use of technical terms is well illustrated in the following letter. I had sent him a paper in proof which was shortly to appear in Biometrika. Of this he wrote : Quedley, Haslemere. March 8, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I would strongly urge a footnote to the first page J headed — " Technical words used," including Chromomeres, Chromosomes, Determinants, Mytosis, also even Cytology, Somatic and Zygote, with definitions of each. Allogene might be dismissed with the remark " explained in text." Thinking of the men who ought to read the memoir with interest, — Yule, MacMahon, G. Darwin, Burberry, etc., — there is hardly one who would know the meaning of these words, or would care to read the memoir unless they were first defined. This or some analogous plan would often be a great lielp to readers of Biometrika articles. It is a most interesting investigation of yours. I had long had a vague idea that something of the sort was needed, but could not phrase it satisfactorily to myself. You must indeed feel the void left by Weldon. * Galton's argument was that in the case of cousins (sons of two brothers) there were two wives, the cousins' mothers producing variability, whereas in the case of uncle and nephew there was only one mother, the sister-in-law of the uncle, to be considered. So in the case of two brothers, we might argue there is no source of difference in descent, but in father and son the mother comes in as a cause of additional variability. t This refers to the proofs of a memoir " On a Mathematical Theory of Detcrminantal Inheritance from Suggestions and Notes of the late W. F. R. Weldon," ultimately published in Biometrika, Vol. vi, pp. 80-93. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 335 It is good news that you have taken " Moorcroft " for Easter. It will tempt me to stay on longer here than I had in my mind. I am glad the Eugenics Education Society's meeting was hopeful. Crichton-Browne may make a useful president, but lie has many irons in the fire. However it is all in his way, and if he is hopeful about it, he will throw energy in. I wish I could see your show at the University College soiree. My book is nearly finished in draft, and is typed, but much has yet to be done to it, in verificating [sic] and the like, which will bo troublesome. May you have a healthy relief from your excessive work here in Hindhead ! Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Quedley, Haslemere. March 16, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, In reply to your card asking me for something to exhibit at tin' (J.C. soiree, I have thought of an effective, yet somewhat absurd thing. But I have failed to got it. It is a Punch cartoon, published I fancy in the early '70's, of a weedy nobleman addressing his prize bull : Nobleman — By Jove, you are a fine fellow ! Bull — So you would have been, my Lord, if they had taken as much pains about your ancestors, as you did about mine. I wrote to Punch to make inquiries, but they have not succeeded in identifying the picture. It would have been a capital thing to frame and to let lie among other exhibits. I should have been much disposed towards utilising it in some way farther on my own account. I cannot think of anything else suitable. Your Tables of the Coefficients of Hereditary Resemblance ought to be shown somewhere. A model of the old kind but differently arranged, like this perhaps, would be effective. [Here is inserted a rough drawing of a geniometer without figures (see our p. 30 and Plate I) working by aid of a lever to indicate the average regression of an individual on various ancestors.] Heron might devise one, say 2 ft. high, to stand on the table, and to be worked there and explained. If so, it ought to be rough. People would under- stand it quicker. I am reading J. Arthur Thomson's new book on Heredity. The first part seems forcible and good. I had no idea that there was so much to be said about Acquired Faculties. I am curious to get on with it, but am obliged to be slow, and am now just at Mendel. By the way I find that I had the honour of being born in the same year, 1822, as he was. All goes on well here. I trust that " Moorcroft" will be a great success and no "April 1st" venture. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. March 26, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I am hoping to see you so soon that I should not write, were it not to tell you that I may be rather later in coming to Haslemere than I intended, and somewhat more inclined to be discontented. My youngest child has got whooping cough, so our party must be broken up. My Wife stays to look after her, and my Sisters-in-law come down with two of my children on Saturday to Moorcroft. I hope to get down early next week. I shall stay here as long as my Wife will allow, as I am not very easy about my bairn. She does not take these sort of things lightly, and I dislike whooping cough more than most diseases for its sequelae. We have had a busy day, or rather three days. Lord Rosebery — the Chancellor — came to open the new wing to-day and walked round our new rooms. I showed him our skulls and the Eugenics Laboratory. He said : " Now how do you pronounce that word 1 I shall call it Eughennics," i.e with a hard g and a short e. And so he did in his speech afterwards ! Then to lead him back to his past I showed him hair from mane, tail and flanks of nearly 100 chestnut horses. But he looked solemn and said : " Ah, Mr Gladstone had a great interest in chestnut horses, owing to the coloration of the Homeric steeds." In his speech later he paid you and your Laboratory quite a pretty compliment. We had many guests, but whether there were any worth showing things to is another question. You would see that has been convicted of an indecent assault. The whole thing is so improbable, and sounds so impossible that we must wait for the appeal. But it must at present be a bad blow for the Eugenics Education Society. He was giving six lectures on Eugenics ! Luckily that word has not been mentioned and I hope may not be, and I can't think this 336 Life and Letters of Francis Galton charge can be true*. I don't like several of these Committee-men, but this appears wildly unlikely. If it were proved, I should think the Society would go to pieces, but it would also be bad for us, if the word Eugenics were to get smirched in the beginning in this way. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. Quedley, Haslemere. March 27, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I long to see you again, and hope that your mind will soon be easy about the whooping cough. Poor child! I have taken this house up to April 14th, so shall well overlap your stay here. ! what a name that man has. It is enough in itself to make ridicule out of Eugenics. I know nothing more about the accusation yet than you have told me. The Times gives a cheering account of University College and Lord Rosebery's speech. Of course the g in Eugenics is properly hard, but we say it soft in Genesis, Genus, Generation, etc., even in Prince Eug6ne. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. We tried to tempt both Heron and Miss Elderton to come here for this week end, but both happen to be engaged. Au revoir ! Biometric Laboratory, University College, Gower Street, W.C. April 28, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I am back and at wori ! I hope the paper will be a success and that there will be some interesting discussion. I am wholly with you as to the great need of condensation, of improvement of English and of style. I am not wholly with you as to use of scientific terms, or as to the possibility of making all scientific paper's intelligible to the educated, but not specialised reader. I hope that the former can be pressed without un- necessarily attacking the extensive use of terminology.... Has the map scheme progressed at all ? Let me know if I can do anything further by aid of photography or otherwise. Yours, always affectionately, Karl Pearson. Think of a good name " Thesaurus rerum ad hereditatem pertinentium," " Thesaurus facultatum humanarum," or whatf 1 Galton's paper was read by Mr Pember — he was not able himself to deliver it — on April 29, 1908, before the Royal Society of Literature { ; it is entitled: " Suggestions for improving the Literary Style of Scientific Memoirs." In my opinion it is of more value from the standpoint of the biographer, than from any influence it had, or alas ! is likely to have, on " the simplicity of language, clearness of expression or the logical arrangement" of scientific memoirs. Galton's remedies were : (i) That the Councils of Scientific Societies should not be left in the dark as to the goodness or badness from the literary standpoint of the memoirs they are asked to publish, and accordingly should directly ask the referees of papers whether they consider the memoir referred to them (1) clearly expressed, (2) free from superfluous technical terms, (3) orderly in arrangement, (4) of appropriate length, (5) if it introduces any new terms (to be cited) has used necessary and appropriate words, and (6) generally has an adequate literary style. This is to suppose that the referees will be men of sound literary taste, whereas in nine cases out of ten they would be selected for their specialist knowledge, and the barbarous would sit in judg- ment on the barbarian, (ii) That in order that scientific societies might be * The conviction at the Police Court was quashed on appeal to Sessions, t This has reference to T)w Treasury of Human Inheritance, the prospectus and materials of which were then being prepared. \ Transactions, Vol. xxvm, Part n, pp. 1-8. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 337 made to realise the occurrence of literary faults in the memoirs they publish, occasional articles might be issued "containing a selection of passages that are conspicuous for short-comings." I must confess that (ii) seems to me a method more likely to produce effect than (i), and it might still be worth the combined efforts of a stylist and a natural philosopher, could they meet — after a satisfactory dinner — on the common ground, like Gal ton and Spencer, of the " old smoking-room of the Athenaeum*.'"' Galton was far too modest to pose as a literary critic. Of himself he writes : " I am far too sensible of my own grave deficiencies to assume that position. But a man need not be a cobbler in order to know when his shoe pinches. My standpoint is merely that I find many scientific memoirs difficult to understand owing to the bad style in which they are written, and that I am conscious of a rare relief when one of an opposite quality comes to my hand." (p. 2.) Galton does not give any actual illustrations of bad grammar and faulty syntax ; probably he considered that to do so was to pillory individuals, where the whole herd was to blame. When he passes from such errors to other literary defects he does cite a couple of cases, i.e. the contrasted terminations of the two Mendelian terms dominant and recessive (which should be recedent), implying a distinction which does not exist, and the use of such words as " Dimethylbutanetricarboxylate " by modern chemists. " It is of course understood that these are what have been termed 'portmanteau' words, in which a great deal of meaning is packed, but they are overlarge even for portmanteaux ; they might more justly be likened to Saratoga trunks, or to furniture vans." (p. 4.) The chemists certainly do seem to be rather lacking in imagination, but it would be impossible to make any suggestion to them without a very full understanding of their needs. As to the Mendelian term " recessive," the fault, as far as English is concerned, lies with those biologists who first translated Mendel's papers. It was the discovery of a fit English equivalent, not the invention of a new scientific termf. Galton then quotes his favourite English poet Tennyson to show how much power there is in the English tongue to express clear ideas in words of few syllables. " Long English words and circuitous expressions are a nuisance to readers and convey the idea that the writer had not that firm grasp of his subject which everyone ought to have before he takes up his pen." (p. 4.) But is not the real problem a harder one than Galton admits ? The whole force of the poet's lines lies, not in clear cut definition of the words used, but in their linked atmospheres ; it is just the width of meaning, the long train * Perhaps a still more effective method, which did not occur to Galton, would have been to have drawn up a petition to the Council of the Royal Society, signed by as many Fellows as possible, drawing attention to the literary quality of scientific memoirs. Probably every Fellow would have signed, not wishing to be thought a vir obscurus. f Mendel actually uses "dominirend" and "recessiv." I can find no previous history of the latter word in German, nor has that language a form like "recedent." p g hi 43 338 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon of memories and associations, which enables us to see the picture before us. Take one of Galton's quotations : " One show'd an iron coast and angry waves. You seem'd to hear them climb and fall And roar rock-thwarted under bellowing caves, Beneath the windy wall." All the adjectives are used in figurative senses, and the beauty of the passage lies not in the use of clear and narrowly defined terms, but in the atmospheres which experience and usage have attached to the words in the memory of the reader. It is precisely these atmospheres which form the staple of the poet's craft. They are a grave danger to the scientist, and he strives to meet them by coining new words with stringently limited meaning, or, less advantageously, using old ones in a new, narrowly defined sense. Every time a really great poet uses a word he enlarges its atmosphere, while the object of the scientist is — at any rate for the time being — to circumscribe a word's atmosphere ; he can often achieve his end by adopting little used words*. I would not weaken by a jot Galton's criticism of bad grammar, careless writing, or sheer pedantry in terminology, only I do not believe it feasible to write scientific memoirs with simple English words like Tennyson used in his Palace of Art. As an editor and teacher I agree with Galton that "The preliminary culture of students of science seems usually to have been very imperfect"; and again : " The comparative rarity among the English of a keen sense of the difference between good and bad literary style is a great obstacle to the reform I desire. It is especially noticeable among the younger scientific men, whose education has been over-specialised and little con- cerned with the ' Humanities.' The literary sense is far more developed in France, where a slovenly paper ranks with a disorderly dress as a sign of low breeding." (pp. 5-6.) I would have every postgraduate training in a laboratory for research write at least a monthly essay on a topic bearing on his branch of science. Yet grant all this, and still I feel that it was not only the "slovenly papers " which agitated Galton. Unconsciously behind it was the importance he felt of keeping abreast with the half-dozen branches of knowledge, in the early nurture of which he had taken part. His paper is the swan's song of the last of the great Victorian leaders in science. In his youth he had followed and contributed to the early growth of Anthropology, Meteorology, Evolutionary Biology, Genetics, the Theory of Statistics, and Psychology ; but these sciences had outgrown their infancy, had become highly specialised, and teemed with new terms with which he could not keep in touch. It would have been a very freat task for a younger man ; for the octogenarian, however outstanding is intellect, the task was impossible. Galton was, perhaps, over-inclined to attribute this incapacity to follow, as he longed to do, all new developments in half-a-dozen sciences to the obscure use of language or to the introduction * Thus "conjugation" is a better word than "mating"; "dominance" than "mastery"; " probability " than " chance "; " evolution " than " unrolling "—the simple English words before scientific adoption would have too wide customary atmospheres. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 339 of what he held to be unnecessary mathematics into discussions where he felt certain elementary theory could have provided a solution. Galton's physical strength was indeed waning, he was seriously unwell during the Easter of 1908. His mind still remained as fertile as ever in ideas, he was continually planning new projects, but the mental energy needed to carry through serious investigation was failing him. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. May 18, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, At length, I am to be allowed an hour's drive — after quite a long bout of bronchitis and asthma. It began here in Easter week and has kept me for 10 days or so mostly in bed, and quite invalided. I have contrived twice to get people here to dine, half on business, but though leaving them early it rather overtaxed me. The doctor declares that I am fast getting well at last. You may judge how incompetent I have been by the fact that even yet I have not tackled the last part of Biometrika. But I have nearly got my " Memories " off my hands. A letter of yours, April 28, has only come into my hands this morning. The housemaid had dropped it, and so it lay unopened behind a box in the hall. That Eugenics Education Society promises better than I could have hoped. Crackanthorpe is serious about it, and Professor Inge has joined it ! I can't find that Crichton-Browne has as yet done much. A. acts as a restrainer, but is very eager, and they have got a particularly bright lady Secretary who acts and works hard for the love of the thing. I have not yet ventured to join it, but as soon as I am assured it is in safe management, shall do so. I hope you are all the better for Hindhead. I am eager to get (in half an hour) my first out-of-doors view of this May time. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. The appearance of the Eugenics Education Society — another child of Galton's fertile mind — in these letters may be best explained by printing here the rough draft of a letter of Galton to Montague Crackanthorpe, dated so far back as December 16, 1906. Having established his Research Institute, Galton now turned, as he had done in the case of Finger Prints, to the popularisation of the principles of Eugenics. May I consult with you on the following? Is not the time ripe for some association of capable men who are really interested in Eugenics, and might not the existing Eugenics Office of the London University serve as a centre ? If you think so and cared to suggest the outline of a working plan and a few good names, I should be grateful. I am too much of an invalid to push forward any undertaking except by letter. Still I think something useful might be done even in that manner. I do not yet see the way clearly and am desirous of fresh ideas. Edgar Schuster has resigned his Research Fellowship, the future of the Office is just now uncertain. One idea is to have a " Fellow " at £250 a year, a Student at £100 in addition to the very capable Secretary, of good actuarial blood, who is already there and is familiar with the ways of the Office. Do you know of any capable man who would be a likely candidate for the vacant Fellowship? Hitherto it has been an annually renewable post. The Office is in Gower St, in rooms rented by University College and near to the Biometric Laboratory of Prof. Karl Pearson, who is a pillar of strength. 43—2 340 Life and Letters of Francis Galton (b) The Darwin- Wallace Celebration of the Linnean Society of London, 1st July, 1908. Two things remain impressed on the biographer's mind as memories of that day. I first felt the strong need Francis Galton had for a supporting arm. By the time the medals had been distributed, and the recipients* had spoken, the fatigue had so tried Galton that he had to leave the meeting. I saw that he rose with difficulty, and leaving my seat also, saw him home. He had spoken well, but the exertion and the closeness of the day had severely taxed him. The other memory is also a sad one; we had met to do honour to a great English leader of scientific thought, one whom I take it we all respected, and to whom many of us felt we owed a deep debt of gratitude ; he had given us, as Galton said, a keen sense of intellectual freedom. It was, as it were, a memorial service of thanksgiving, which all men of science could join in together, irrespective of divergence of scientific creeds. Some wag on the Linnean Executive had placed William Bateson in the chair adjacent to mine. I awaited his coming with expectation, determined that our greeting should disappoint the wag. But Bateson refused it, sat sideways on his chair, with his back to me, the whole of the medal distribution, and no doubt the wag was amused by what was simply pain to me — pain, that a distinguished biologist should refuse to join harmoniously with a biometrician, however despised, in a common service of reverence to one so immeasurably greater than either of us. Dr Dukinfield H. Scott, the President, addressing Galton, spoke as followsf : " Evolution, as understood by Darwin and Wallace, depends upon three factors, Heredity, Variation and Natural Selection. In the study of the first of these factors, Heredity, the work of the present day is characterised by the application of exact methods, whether on biometrical or Mendelian lines. It was you, Dr Galton, who first showed the way by which exact measure- ment could be applied to the problems of evolution and heredity, and indicated that their laws must be susceptible of proof. You have pointed out a new method, and the possibility of a more logical treatment of evolutionary questions. By establishing such principles as that of 'Regression to Mediocrity' you have added new laws to evolution, and under the name of ' Cessation of Selection ' you have suggested an explanation of degeneration following disuse, anticipating that afterwards independently proposed and elaborated by Weismann|, and called by him Panmixia. "The ingenuity of your methods, your energy and enthusiasm in applying them, and your constant interest in the work of others, and readiness to help them, have made you a great * Alfred Russel Wallace, Sir Joseph D. Hooker, Ernst Haeckel, August Weismann, E. Strasburger, Francis Galton and E. Ray Lankester, all of whom but Haeckel and Weismann were then present ; the last remaining leader, Lankester, died just ten days before I wrote these lines. t The Darwin- Wallace Celebration, held on Thursday, 1st July, 1908, by the Linnean Society of London, London, published by the Society, 1908. The work contains admirable portraits of Darwin and of the medallists, pp. 24-26. | I think it desirable to publish the following letter from August Weismann. It admits the priority of Francis Galton in the main idea involved in the continuity of the germ-plasm. Francis Galton, Esq., London. Freiburg i. Br. 23 Febr. 1889. Sir, You had the kindness to send to me your new book " Natural Inheritance " and a whole series of smaller papers you published before on the same subject. 1 thank you very much for your kindness and I am indeed very glad to have now all your memoirs at once at hand for consulting them. Till now I did not know all of them, but some ones, for instance " A Theory of Heredity " from 1875. It was Mr Herdman of Liverpool > X X X w H < Oh Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 341 power in the advancement of evolutionary studies : a power which has only been strengthened by your characteristic open-mindedness and willingness to accept new views. "You have shown, throughout the wide range of your work, that exactness of method is consistent with the charm of style; and we may recall the words of your cousin, Charles Darwin, in speaking of your famous book on Hereditary Genius, ' I do not think I ever, in all my life, read anything more interesting or original.' "The new departure which you inaugurated in the study of Evolution, has been previously recognised by the award of the Darwin Medal of the Royal Society. We desire to add our recognition of the originality and importance of your work by asking you to receive the Medal which commemorates the united discoveries of Darwin and Wallace." This speech, while admirably characterising some of Galton's work, misses entirely its fundamental aim, namely, by an accurate knowledge of the laws of evolution, as expressed in the three factors referred to above, to make man master of his future development, to give him control, biologically as he now largely has physically, of Nature herself*. Galton with his usual modesty made no reference to his own work ; the occasion for him was one for reverence towards those who had emancipated our minds. He said : "I thank you for your remarks, Sir. You have listened to-day to many speakers, and I have little new to say, little indeed that would not be a repetition, but I may say that this occasion has called forth vividly my recollection of the feelings of gratitude that I had towards the originators of the then new doctrine that burst the enthraldom of the intellect which the advocates of the argument from design had woven around us. It gave a sense of freedom to all the people who were thinking of these matters, and that sense of freedom was very real and very vivid at the time. If a future Auguste Comte arises who makes a calendar in which the days are devoted to the memory of those who have been the beneficent intellects of mankind, I feel sure that this day, the 1st of July, will not be the least brilliant." who — some years ago — directed my attention to this paper of yours, after having read my own papers on heredity, on continuity of germ-plasm and others. I regret not to have known it before, as you have exposed in your paper an idea which is in one essential point nearly allied to the main idea contained in my theory of the continuity of germ-plasm. You will find in the English translation of my essays just now appearing, a note by Mr Poulton, which draws the attention of the reader to your ideas. I shall profit by the next occasion which offers itself to me to give a more extensive account of your views and to point out the differences between our views. Heredity is a very complicated and difficult matter and I am afraid that none of us, who have thought about it, will have solved the whole mystery of it. Nevertheless it may be, that we have touched upon the right way which leads to the solution of the riddle. Please excuse my bad and perhaps not always intelligible English ! But as you tell me, that you do not read German with fluency, I thought it more convenient for you, if I wrote in bad English than in good German. As soon as my book shall appear you will receive a copy of it, which I beg you to accept as a sign of my high esteem. Believe me, faithfully yours, August Weismann. The " continuity of the germ- plasm " almost universally attributed to Weismann is really, as I have indicated in Vol. n, pp. 81-2, 169-171, 186-7, a product of Galton's inventive mind. * Among the speakers, I think only Lankester recognised the part which our knowledge of evolution must in the future play with regard to human society : " 'Darwinism ' must in the future guide statesmen and politicians as well as men of science. It is in its application to the problems of human society that there still remains an enormous field of work and discovery for the Darwin- Wallace doctrine. The science of heredity, of fecundity and sterility, of variation and adaptation, has yet to be far more completely studied and developed in its application to man and to human aggregates than it yet has been ; at the same time a true psychology has to be arrived at and made, together with a knowledge of heredity, the basis of education, of the government and of the prosperity of the modern state. How far we are from any satisfactory progress in this direction, the words and the actions of political leaders of all parties at this moment fully demonstrate " (loc. eit. pp. 29—30). But Galton, besides holding this view, had stepped into the public arena, and proclaimed a science which by providing a creed should control the biological evolution of man — -Eugenics. 342 Life and Letters of Francis Galton It was indeed an impressive meeting, the last occasion on which the " Old Guard " of Darwinism answered to the roll-call. Galton and Hooker died in 1911, Strasburger in 1912, Wallace in 1913, Weismann in 1914, Haeckel in 1919 and Lankester in 1929. Winsley Hill, Danby, Grosmont R.S.O., Yorkshire. July 6, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I have got back to my Yorkshire moors and their fresh air, — if it be cold, — and I hope to do a good three months' work ! Let me have a line to say you were none the worse for the Darwin- Wallace Celebration, and I hope none the worse for this cold bout that has followed it. I smelt the good smell of the turves and the bracken and the young heather and saw the first young grouse yesterday. The only grief is to come back after two years and find those one left hale now in the churchyard. When you know nearly the whole country-side, there are sure to be big gaps in the ranks. In London where one does not know even the names of one's neighbours within fifty yards of one's house, one does not get into touch with other folk's sorrows. I shall be here, if you write at any time, the whole holiday, except perhaps a couple of days to the South of the moors to see a tablet we have put up to my Father in his birthplace. Here we belong to those who have "gone over the moor," and have thus passed out of memory. As one of my ancestors of 1680 says in his will " Let my son Henry take my black mare and ride across the moor." That meant he was to go and seek his fortune south. My Father remem- bered as a boy the Quaker relatives from this Dale riding pillion with their wives across the moor, and stopping at his grandfather's house on their way to York Quarterly Meeting. That was his last touch with Danby. Pour years ago I saw a farmer riding pillion with his wife over the moor on what is still called the " Quakers' Path." Four miles up on the moor is the solitary hut which used to be a meeting-house, whence Gregory Pearson was taken to York Gaol in 1684, where he died. My other forebear, George Unthank, came back alone a year afterwards across the moor. You will understand why I like the smell of the moor. Affectionately, K. P. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. July 10, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I delayed writing to get news, if any, from A. who came here the day before yesterday, and Heron yesterday, (both to dinner). That Eugenics Education Society seems really promising. The prospectus has been re- worded and members are coming in. Mrs Gotto is marvellous in her energy. I have been doing rather too much, with the usual penalty in consequence, of \ of this day in bed, but no real harm. Next week I go into Oxfordshire and Worcester to a great nephew and to a niece respectively, and then back until August 1 when we go to a house in the neighbourhood of Petersfield for a month, whence I will write to you (with address of it). You must feel like Antaeus, who was revived by touching his mother-earth. The Quaker associations must be at times almost overpowering, where you now are. I expect the first batch of the proofs of my " Memories " every day. They have done all the little illustrations, and two portraits of me — that which you know well, and one from Purse's picture. I shall be glad when the book, index and all, is finally off my hands. I called at University College and found them at full work in the Eugenics Laboratory. I wish I could think of a good way of measuring the power of " Mrs Grundy," in some one important social usage. "The force of popular opinion" would be a good subject for an essay, if numerically assessed. That Linnean Medal has been nicely mounted in an unpretentious little round wooden frame, with glass on both sides. What kind care you took of me that day, — Hooker had a large luncheon party on the morrow, none the worse for the ceremony ! Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Winsley Hill, Danby, Grosmont R.S.O., Yorkshire. July 16, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, Thank you for your helpful suggestions and corrections about the Treasury circular. I think something might be done to gradually give a value to words in current use. I have endeavoured to do so in the case of correlation, defining " high " 1 -00 to -75, Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 343 " considerable" -75 to -50, "moderate" -50 to -25 and "low" -25 to -00. I found writers were always speaking of " high," " moderate " or " low " relationship and I thought it worth while to make a start with more exactitude. It is extremely good of you to undertake a " Butler " pedigree *. Can you do one of the " Pollocks " also ? The " Darwins " are already done and we shall want ten at least for the first number. Can you think of any families that we might look up in the Eugenics Office Records? We could put together two or three science ones from the Noteworthy Families. We want one or two " governmental " or " executive " families. If you can think of any names, we will see if they are already done in the Laboratory Records. Will you do us another favour, i.e. write a page, or, if it must be, only half a page of preface to the first part? If the thing starts well, it will go on through the years, until it will be the great mine for searchers after nuggets of heredity, and it would be pleasant to think of a few lines from you starting what will be a great monument, I hope, of your inspiration. I am sending you back a prospectus (rough form) to be a slight guide as to the nature of the work. I am asking Professor Osier of Oxford to write me a few lines of appeal to the younger medical men to aid from that side. He is the one man before whom the profession bows down, and if he aids it will be a great gain. I must not write more as I am rather invalided with a four days' attack of neuralgia. I got the doctor in to-day, but we have not yet succeeded in getting to the root of the trouble. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. [A leaf from a calendar was attached containing the words :] July 13, Monday. "Gather, then, each flower that grows, When the young heart overflows, To embalm that tent of snows f." Maidenhood. t Did any man of science ever write as wildly and carelessly as this famous poet 1 Shirrell House, Shedfield, Botley, Hants. August 11, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I long to know how you are faring, and that the neuralgia has ceased. All is abundantly right with myself; moreover my publisher's men have been active and during the past week have sent me the whole of my " Memories " in proof, which has occupied all my working hours to revise. But this is done now. I had hoped to hear from you something more about the " Thesaurus," and to see your circular which probably contains a specimen of how you wanted biographies drawn up— whether in respect to a single character or how far generally ? In your letter and in the lithographed page I see no provision for symbolising school-boy or university success, obtained when the person has not completed his opportunities. Thus, how to symbolise a youth of much school promise, and who has gained an open scholarship, but is not old enough yet to compete for higher things. I have at least three such cases in the Butler family. The same kind of difficulty of classification may occur in other subjects. Thus : — " not affected but still within the danger zone." You ask about whom to apply to for the Inge, Buxton and other families. Ask Professor Inge himself. I can't recollect his address (I think in Brookside) but " Cambridge " would surely find him. The pedigree at the Eugenics Office was sent by him and he is very willing. Sir X. Y. would either do, or get the thing done, for his family. He has some near lady relative who is versed in pedigrees, but it would be awkward to address him about tuberculosis for instance. I fear the maladies of that family would be like skeletons in their cupboards. Both Sir Vernon Lushington and Sir Ed. Fry, heads of their respective families, would be likely to contribute. You will probably have seen Crackanthorpe's letters to the Times about the Feeble Minded Report, one on Friday and one to-day. I have not yet procured the Report itself but am writing for it to-day. (I read the Times extract of it.) You will gather from the above that I have done nothing last week in respect to the proposed "send off" or to the Butler family. I have been working up to my full strength * Pedigrees of families distinguished for scholarly, literary or executive power were being compiled in the Eugenics Laboratory. 344 Life and Letters of Francis Galton elsewhere, but at length am fairly free. It would be easy to get what you want as regards scholastic success in the U. and V. families, but in respect to health and character it might be otherwise there as elsewhere. I know that U. shrinks from anything like a medical pedigree, not because his own is other than good but on more general grounds of not alarming the young with the terror of impending, hereditary disease. Under any pseudonym, his family history would be recognised by some one, and so become generally known. I fancy that you will get the medical information you mostly want from un-related bystanders rather than from members of the family. Send me a line to remove my present difficulties that I may set to work for you. I am happily housed and gardened here. I gave a day to see my brother in the Isle of Wight, which by road, rail and steamer is about two hours off. All the rest of the time I have stuck to my books. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. I return the page of the B.M.J. Winsley Hill, Danby, Gbosmont R.S.O., Yorkshire. August 17, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, Your letter I think will have crossed one of mine. It would have been answered sooner, but it went astray, through no fault of your addressing but owing to postal blunders, which seem characteristic of this district ! I am sending you a piece of the albino memoir. Will you please let me have it back, as I have not yet corrected it, and I want to return it for Press. I have not a spare Plate of Fig. 61, but send one of Plate XXXVI. You can use the symbol *\g to mark non-adult brilliancy. It is well in the pedigree to stick to a single character, but in the account of the pedigree, put in all points bearing on this character. Thus look at Fig. 61 in proof sent. You will see hair and eye colour given as far as possible; mentally deficients and deaf mutes are cited, also any other cases of weakness or degeneracy. You will see also that age is frequently stated. I have not yet printed a revise of the " Thesaurus " prospectus because I wanted first to see what helpers we could get. I think we shall be all right on the medical side. I am so glad to hear your quarters are comfortable. You are certain to find nice neighbours. Are you within driving distance of Cowdray Park % It is perhaps the most beautiful park in England, if you get up to the north from the motor road through it. There is an aged oak with a seat to it on a path which strikes north after passing the dower house (?) near the west gate, which is to my mind typically English in its environment. Here the hills are glorious purple and the " Grouseler" has not yet begun to disturb the peace. The cold, I suppose, has kept the birds back. I am glad the " Memories " are done ; how exciting it will be reading them ! Yours always affectionately, Karl Pearson. Shirrell House, Shedfield, Botley, Hants. August 27, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, Our stay is so near its end that there is barely time for a to and fro letter, so I have written and send the enclosed at once. I have sad misgivings about being able to make out here a good U. pedigree. It is an eminently sane and healthy stock, and very athletic, but the first wife of U. (I think you will gather whom I mean) died of uterine cancer. He was most unwilling this should be known to her children and contrived that the Register of Death should ascribe it to a true but secondary cause. Professor V. comes in a few minutes to dine here. His is a noted family, I believe. I will see what can be done about it, and if favourable will write. In great haste. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. On Monday we leave here, and tour about for a week or fortnight. 42, Rutland Gate will then be my address but letters may be delayed in reaching me. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Sept. 7, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, Having failed to satisfy myself about the U. pedigree, I wrote to C. U., who handed my letter to his very capable son, who sends me the enclosed cards and " tree." Will they, subject to a few pencilled and other corrections, do ? I replied to him that I had sent them on to you, that the names would be struck out, but that his name would be wanted for authenticity. When I hear from you, I will redraw the tree on a larger scale and see to its revision before returning it to you. Will that do ? By when do you want it t Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 345 I hope the weather has so far mended with you as not to bring your holiday change earlier to an end, than was originally intended. It is pleasant enough here. I sat out yesterday in my bath chair in the park, for an hour or more. I have secured a pretty little house in Brockham, just south of Box Hill, with the Mole River for its meadow boundary. It is called "The Meadows." We go there at the end of October. My own matters get on. The whole of the text of my book is in the printers' hands " for Press " and the index is in their hands too, but not yet in type. I shall be glad to have wholly done with it. Eugenics gets on. I have drafted an Address for the October meeting of the new Society of which I enclose the prospectus (No, I don't. I can't find one !). The address takes up fresh ground and I must ask Crackanthorpe to smash it into shape as soon as it is type-written. I see that in the President of the Anthropological Section, Ridgeway's, address, there is a good deal of platitudinous appreciation of Eugenics towards its close. What do you think of Frank Darwin's Address 1 I must read it carefully yet again, but at present it seems to me that he asks for too much tenacity of memory from each of innumerable units. The forgetfulness of one of them would create a havoc in the orderly development. But I write crudely. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. Your tale about Churton and the mad college porter is very amusing*. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Sept. 24, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I returned yesterday to London and the new No. of Biometrika arrived shortly after. I am glad that you have that off your hands. Your last letter, which describes your health as run low and the quantity of work ahead, made me feel sad, and fearful that the residue of your scanty holiday may have been far short of what your health needs. How I wish I could be of service to you in any way. It is a shame that your powers and zeal should be used up by comparatively small details of not the most advanced tuition f. I did not write before, being unwilling to add to your work. Now when you have time, a line would be very acceptable just to say how you are. The U. pedigree is not even yet such as I could wish. The V. U.'s, on whom I relied, were out of town and when they returned just before I last left it, could not find the required notes. I will now try a different way. . I have let this house for the winter, beginning with Nov. 1, and have taken " The Meadows," Brockham, Dorking, for that same time. It is small but very well appointed, and is pretty. Moreover it stands high, notwithstanding its name and the fact that the river Mole bounds its adjacent meadow. Box Hill is just to its north and is said to shelter it. I address this to Hampstead, thinking that you may have returned by now. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. I am a little busy with the new Eugenics Education Society. Also I have just read the proof-sheets of Saleeby's forthcoming book on race improvement. It has some new things, but too much denunciation. However he rubs certain elementary truths strongly into the reader. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. September 25, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, Many thanks for your sympathetic note. We came back last Saturday and I am trying to get back into harness again. I enclose the final form of the prospectus of the Treasury. I do not propose to issue it just yet, until we are a little farther forward with Part I, but we began drawing the plates for it to-day. I think we shall have a good first number. I have got a good Pollock Pedigree; Sir Edward Fry answered very nicely and I hope to get fully the data from him. Mr Vernon Lushington has not yet answered; I have # Alas ! Galton's letter to me concerning Churton, the abnormally shy College dean of my undergraduate days at King's, Cambridge, and my reply citing the incident of the under-porter mistaking him for the devil have alike perished. t At this time the biographer was giving 24 hours a week to teaching and demonstrating, apart from aiding research workers, supervising Galton's Eugenics Laboratory and much heavy editorial work. pgiii 44 346 Life and Letters of Francis Galton one or two other heavy pedigrees in hand. I see the " Memories " announced. By the by, I picked up a privately printed " Pedigree of the Family of Darwin " issued in 60 copies only ; it gives your pedigree pretty fully. It will be helpful in doing the Darwins. I must come and see you soon. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. October 7, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I was indeed sorry to hear yesterday that you had called the day before, and I had not been down at College. It was, indeed, a disappointment, because I want to see you for your own sake and to talk about several things. I have been working very hard in my last few days of freedom to get my Appendices to the memoir on Albinism done. Not the text, that has yet to be written, but the descriptions of the 550 pedigrees and the bibliography through the Press. We shall do the statistical part from this printed Appendix. I have also been gradually getting the plates of photographs printed off. It will be my biggest piece of work should I live to complete it. Meanwhile to-day all the rush of the term has begun. I have four new postgraduate biometricians of good type, one a doctor working at plague bacilli and opsonins ; another a biologist from Harvard, and a third who is taking up the influence of earlier judgments on later judgments. In Eugenics we are all hard at work. The memoir on the inheritance of eye characters and the influence of environment on sight has been delayed, because Nettleship thought we ought to give more account of earlier work. Some weeks have been spent in studying such work, but it really is of very little service for our purposes. Heron is nearing the end of his London children and Miss Elderton of her Glasgow children. She finds the employment or non-employment of mothers influences sensibly but not very markedly the physique of the child, but the employment of the father as measured by the mortality of that employment is also influential, though not so sensibly. Perhaps the greatest difficulty is that the employment of the mother is correlated with the mortality rate of the father's trade. If he follows a bad trade with a high mortality rate, then the mother generally has employment out, or home work. So the wheels of the whole machine are interlocked and it is very difficult to get the simple independent causes either of degeneracy or of physical fitness in children. Your subject looks very good. Can you send me a ticket or two more for people I know would like to hear you? I shall certainly hope to be present. Yours always affectionately, Karl Pearson. I cannot get to Oxford for the Weldon ceremony to-morrow. I should have liked to be there, but it meant risking a breakdown. The first plates of the "Thesaurus" are nearly ready for the engraver, i.e. the drawings are ready and I hope to get it out in November. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. October 8, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, It was just a chance visit on the spur of the moment that I paid on an exceptionally fine day to University College. I knew well how busy you would be and shrank from offering myself, but I am very free and could come almost any day and hour you might suggest*. It will be a grief sm well as a great pleasure to me if you come on the 14th to the lecture. I have asked the Secretaries to send you cards. But don't think of coming if you are tired. You have indeed both hands full and overfull of work. Thanks for all you tell me about the Eugenics work and the Biometric. To-day one thinks much of the Weldon ceremony. I could not venture to attend it, how- ever gratifying it might in itself be to do so. You will probably have received, or will receive almost immediately, my Memories of my Life. The reading of it will keep ; don't think you are expected to do that now, in the midst of all your other work. Methuen has got it up, I think, very well and legibly. What an immense deal must be omitted in any autobiography and that not the least important! Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. * Galton had called without warning and found me out. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 347 Hampstead. Friday, October 9, 1908. My dkau Francis Galton, It was a great pleasure to receive the Memories this morning. There is nothing which delights one more than to realise a little better that part of the life of a great friend in which one has had no share. I am only at Chapter in yet, but the reading so far suggests many points. First and foremost that you must make me a pedigree for the inheritance of longevity in the Galtons. I think it would be very suggestive. I shall hope to see you on Wednesday, if circumstances don't, as they probably won't, allow me to speak to the chief performer. Would Saturday, October 17, next be a possible day to come and have a chat with you? I could come in immediately after lunch, or any time up to 5 o'clock that would suit you. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. My Wife joins with me in demanding that in the Second Edition of the Memories there shall be a portrait of F. G. as a young man. (c) Papers read before the Eugenics Education Society. We must now return for a time to Galton's scheme for a Eugenics Society : see p. 339 above. This had in the earlier part of 1908 been vigorously pushed by Montague Crackanthorpe and the "Eugenics Education Society" had come into existence. At Mr Crackanthorpe's suggestion, Galton read a paper on Eugenics at the former's house, 65, Rutland Gate, on June 25, 1908. The paper was printed in The Westminster Gazette of the following evening. The paper is of much interest and is in part autobiographical. Galton starts with the statements that the word Eugenics is pronounced with a soft g and that the Science of Eugenics is based on Heredity. He points out that the latter word does not appear in Johnson's Dictionary, and he says that forty years previously he had been chaffed by a cultured friend for adopting a French word*. Notions about human inheritance were very vague and confused, and the subject had never been squarely faced. The prevalent notion was that inheritance existed in animals and plants, but men were in another category. It was admitted that physical characters were sometimes inherited, but the heredity of mental characters was stoutly denied by many — as it still is denied by some. This sprang partly from theological grounds. " There was much talk about men being equal and masters of their own fate." Galton tells us that his first opinion was formed in 1840, when he was at College: " Where competitions of all kinds showed most clearly to an unprejudiced eye that men were not equal in their natural powers, but most diverse in mind as well as body. It was also noticeable that high gifts of both of these tended to run in families." * Galton used the adjective "hereditary" as early as 1863 and 1864 in his papers on " Domestication " and " Hereditary Talent " written in those years (see our Vol. II, p. 70). He used "heredity" in his Hereditary Genius, 1869 (see p. 334). According to the New English Dictionary the word had been used in the sense of estate, property or succession, as early as 1540, but apparently it was given for the first time a biological sense by Herbert Spencer in his Principles of Biology, 1863, see §§ 80 and 82. I do not know whether Galton adopted it from Herbert Spencer or from the French writers. On the other hand, "hereditary" was used of disease in both the 16th and 17th centuries, although without considering whether the disease was truly hereditary or conveyed by infection in utero. Thus " hereditarie lepresie" in 1597 and " hereditary gout " in 1699. 44—2 348 Life and Letters of Francis Galton The first evidence that strongly impressed Galton, even in those early Cambridge days, was that of the Senior Classics. To be Senior Classic was scarcely less a feat than to be Senior Wrangler in the good old days when " Seniors " existed. Yet out of forty-one Senior Classics Galton found six who had a father, son or brother who was Senior Classic, or in one case a Senior Wrangler. He remarks that no mere tuition could account for this, they must have been born with exceptional capacity. He found that in every form of bodily and mental activity the same rule applied — those who achieved most had more achieving kinsmen than chance or good teaching could account for. We thus recognise the birth of the ideas which came to fruition in Hereditary Genius as occurring when Galton was at Cambridge, surveying unnoticed the academic phenomena around him. At that time, he remarks, there were " no means such as we now have — thanks to the development of statistical science — of measuring with numerical exactness the closeness of the various kinships." From these observations the lecturer said he had concluded that man was not an exceptional creature in respect to heredity, and that what applied to other animals and to plants applied also to him : " I perceived that the importance ascribed by all intelligent farmers and gardeners to good stock might take a wider range. It is a first step with farmers and gardeners to endeavour to obtain good breeds of domestic animals and sedulously to cultivate plants, for it pays them well to do so. All serious inquirers into heredity now know that qualities gained by good nourishment and by good education never descend by inheritance, but perish with the individual, whilst inborn qualities are transmitted. It is therefore a waste of labour to try so to improve a poor stock by careful feeding or careful gardening as to place it on a level with a good stock. " The question was then forced upon me — Could not the race of men be similarly improved 1 Could not the undesirables be got rid of and the desirables multiplied 1 Evidently the methods used in animal breeding were quite inappropriate to human society, but were there no gentler ways of obtaining the same end, it might be more slowly, but almost as surely 1 The answer to these questions was a decided ' Yes,' and in this way I lighted on what is now known as ' Eugenics.' " Eugenics has been defined as ' The study of those agencies which under social control may improve or impair the racial qualities of future generations, either physically or mentally.' It aims at showing clearly how much harm is being done by some one course of action, and how much good by some other, and how closely connected social practices are with the future vigour of the nation. Its procedure is the reverse of fanatical ; it puts social problems in a clear white light, neither exaggerating nor underrating the effects of the influences concerned. It is probable that even democratic governments will hereafter appreciate the value of Eugenic studies, and deduce from their results recognised guides to conduct. Such governments would be compelled to do so in their own self-defence, if not on higher grounds ; otherwise they would come to an end, for a democracy cannot endure unless it be composed of capable citizens. "The influence of public opinion, together with such reasonable public and private help as public opinion may approve of and support, is quite powerful enough to produce a large, though gentle, Eugenic effect. It is already becoming possible through Eugenic study to foresee with much assurance that such-and-such proposed action will influence a definite percentage of the population, though we cannot at present, and probably never shall be able to, foretell whether the individuals so affected will be A, B, G, or X, Y, Z. " To the statesman this individualisation is unimportant, since individuals are only pawns in the great game which he plays. The true philanthropist, however, concerns himself both with society as a whole and with as many of the individuals that compose it as the range of his affections is wide enough to include. If a man devotes himself solely to the good of the nation Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton' s Life 349 as a whole, his tastes must be impersonal and his conclusions appear to a great degree heartless, deserving the ill title of ' dismal ' with which Carlyle labelled Political Economy. If, on the other hand, he attends only to certain individuals in whom he happens to take an interest, he becomes guided by favouritism, oblivious alike of the rights of others and of the well-being of future generations. Statesmanship is concerned with the nation ; Charity with the individual ; Eugenics is concerned with and cares for both. "A considerable part of the huge stream of British charity furthers, by indirect and un- suspected ways, the production and support of the Unfit. No one can doubt the desirability of money and moral support, now often bestowed on harmful forms of charity, being directed to the opposite result, namely, to the production and well-being of the Fit. For the purpose of illustration we may divide newly married couples into three classes according to the probable civic worth of their offspring. Amongst such offspring there would be a small class of 'de- sirables,' a large class of ' passables,' and a small class of ' undesirables.' It would surely be advantageous to the country if social and moral support, as well as timely material help, were extended to the desirables, and not monopolised, as it is now apt to be, by the undesirables. "Families which are likely to produce valuable citizens deserve at the very least the care that a gardener takes of plants of promise. They should be helped when help is needed to procure a larger measure of sanitation, of food, and of all else that falls under the comprehensive title of 'Nurture' than would otherwise have been within their power. I do not, of course, propose to neglect the sick, the feeble, or the unfortunate. I would do all that available means permit for their comfort and happiness, but I would exact an equivalent for the charitable assistance they receive, namely, that by means of isolation, or some other less drastic yet adequate measure, a stop should be put to the production of families of children likely to include degenerates." Galton then referred to the newly founded Eugenics Education Society and the previously founded Eugenics Laboratory, and concluded as follows : " I will only add to this brief address that my purpose will have been fulfilled if I have succeeded in impressing on you the idea that Eugenics has a far more than Utopian interest ; that it is a living and growing science, with high and practical aims. I would ask you to make the Society known to your friends, and to persuade them as best you can to help on its good work." It was a thoroughly good paper for a man in his 87th year, and ex- presses in a marvellously brief space the creed of Eugenics. It is perfectly true that a democracy cannot endure unless it be composed of capable citizens, but did Galton fully appreciate what follows, when, as is the usual case, a democracy starts with a majority of incapable citizens ? A government which drew a line between capable and incapable would rapidly perish ; for the incapables care nothing for the future of the race or nation, but seek from their necessarily subservient governments panem et circenses — more time to pillion-ride, more leisure for cigarettes, chocolates and cinemas — at the cost of the capable. Eugenics — however sturdily we preach its creed, and we have no preacher to-day like Galton — must be unsuccessful if we start with such a democracy. We might as successfully ask the weeds in a garden to make way of their own accord for the flowering plants whose development they choke. Let my readers think what a gardener could achieve, if his tenure of office depended on the consent of the weeds ! I will now reproduce some of the letters of the autumn of 1908. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Oct. 13, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I see no reason against the Eugenics Laboratory publications including similarly solid work to its own, especially of a statistical kind which cannot easily find a home elsewhere. On the contrary it seems to me advisable. For a more popular kind the Eugenics Education Society might afford a home. As to F.'s work I gather that it is hardly up 350 Life and Letters of Francis Galton to the mark of a Eug. Lab. publication. If you think it to be on the border line and would send it to me, I would do my best to give a easting vote. I should be quite prepared to exact a revision of the paper in accordance with your suggestions to him, before taking it into con- sideration at all. He might be told this definitely. I fear that Mrs Gotto may have bothered you about speaking to-morrow. Please absolve me from the charge of having incited her. — Quite the contrary, I have insisted that you must not be troubled, but for all that I believe she has been irrepressible in her zeal. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. Oct. 15, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I have read F.'s memoir and return it with a few remarks, which you can if you like send to him. What you said last night was excellent, and very help- ful to the Society, as showing what valuable work they might do as collectors of facts, and organisers of local inquiry into family histories. I wholly go with you there. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Galton's paper, to which reference is made in the preceding letters, was read before the Eugenics Education Society at the Grafton Galleries on October 14, by the author himself. It was, I think, the last time I heard him address an audience, but he spoke clearly and well, and seemed less fatigued than at the Darwin- Wallace celebration. The paper is entitled " Local Associations for Promoting Eugenics," and was printed in the issue of Nature, Oct 22, 1908* Galton begins by stating that he only proposes to consider what steps can be taken by local associations in the large field of positive Eugenics, namely in favouring those especially fit for citizenship ; for the time being he put on one side the topic of restricting the production of undesirables, which has been sometimes termed negative Eugenicsf. The problem before Galton was the nature of the furtherance of Eugenics that local associations more or less affiliated to the Education Society could provide. He writes : "It is difficult, while explaining what I have in view, to steer a course that shall keep clear of the mud flats of platitude on the one hand, and not come to grief against the rocks of over- precision on the other. There is no clear issue out of mere platitudes, while there is great danger in entering into details. A good scheme may be entirely compromised merely on account of public opinion not being ripe to receive it in the proposed form, or through a flaw discovered in some non-essential part of it. Experience shows that the safest course in a new undertaking is to proceed warily and tentatively towards the desired end, rather than freely and rashly along a predetermined route, however carefully it may have been elaborated on paper. " Again, whatever scheme of action is proposed for adoption must be neither Utopian nor extravagant, but accordant throughout with British sentiment and practice. • Vol. lxxviii, pp. 645-647. t The term is not very satisfactory. " A-eugenics " is worse, " Cacogenics " is cacophonous, dys-genics should I fear be dys-eugenics, for it would signify without the "eu," I take it, absence of any generation, whereas it is to represent that branch of our subject which studies what may control misbreeding in man. Further the word used must be such that the study of cures for misbreeding is not confused with the practice. For example, what is the opposite of a eugenic marriage, i.e. one approved by the principles of Eugenics? If it be an "a-eugenic" marriage, then " a-eugenics " sounds rather like the practice of misbreeding, than the body of principles which we propound to minimise it. Galton in this paper uses the term "anti-eugenic" for an unde- sirable mating — the word is correctly formed, but " anti-eugenics " might signify propagandism against the principles of eugenics rather than the study of the causes making for anti-eugenic matings, or the factors which might minimise them. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 351 "The successful establishment of any general system of constructive eugenics will, in my view (which I put forward with diffidence), depend largely upon the efforts of local associations acting in close harmony with a central society, like our own. A prominent part of its business will then consist in affording opportunities for the interchange of ideas and for the registration and comparison of results. Such a central society would tend to bring about a general uniformity of administration, the value of which is so obvious that I do not stop to insist on it. "Assuming, as I do, that the powers at the command of the local associations will be almost purely social, let us consider how those associations might be formed and conducted so as to become exceedingly influential." Galton supposes that in any district a few individuals, some of local importance, desire keenly to start a local association. After forming them- selves into an executive committee, and nominating a president, officers and council, they would form the association although it has no legal corporate existence. This committee should next with the aid of the central society provide for a "few sane and sensible lectures" on Eugenics and on the A, B, C of heredity. They would seek the co-operation of local medical men, of the public health officers, of the clergy, of lawyers, and of all officials whose duty brings them into touch with various classes of society. The new association would embrace everybody likely to have sympathy with the eugenic cause; it would be thus much like any political or philanthropic agency. Then we reach something more original. The committee is to seek out " worth " in their district; by civic worthiness Galton understands the value to the State of a person as it would be assessed by experts or fellow-workers. Each class is to choose its own men of worth, students to be chosen by students, artists by artists, business men by business men and so forth*. These men of worth are to be invited to social gatherings. "The State is a vastly complex organism, and the hope of obtaining a proportional representation of its best parts should be an avowed object of these gatherings." Clearly Galton was considering that the local association would be a mixture of social classes, and he cites the meetings of the Primrose League at one end and those in Toynbee Hall at the other end as illustrations, given considerable tact, of what such reunions might achieve for the eugenic cause. He thinks the committee by its inquiries into "worthiness" would obtain a large fund of information as to the notable individuals in the district, and their family histories. These could be used for eugenic studies ; the histories should be tabulated in an orderly manner, and the more significant of them communicated to the Central Society. Speaking for himself only Galton states that in classifying persons as to "worth," he should consider them under three heads: in the first place physique, in the second ability and in the third character ; subject, however, to the provision that inferiority in any of the three should outweigh superiority in the other two. Galton admits character as the most important but it is not so easy to rate as the other two. " The tenure of a position of trust is only a partial test of character, though a good one so far as it goes." From this Galton passes to a conception that he had broached many years earlierf, associations of the well-born — the " Eugenes " — for mutual aid ; * See p. 231 above. t See our Vol. n, pp. 78-9. 352 Life and Letters of Francis Galton the "worthies" are to become a caste, with a just pride in their common worthiness, and with a feeling such as the soldier has for his regiment, or the boy for his school. "By the continued action of local associations as described thus far, a very large amount of good work in eugenics would be incidentally done. Family histories would become familiar topics, the existence of good stocks would be discovered, and many persons of ' worth ' would be appreciated and made acquainted with each other who were formerly known only to a very restricted circle. It is probable that these persons, in their struggle to obtain appointments, would often receive valuable help from local sympathisers with eugenic principles. If local societies did no more than this for many years to come, they would have fully justified their existence by their valuable services. " A danger to which these societies will be liable arises from the inadequate knowledge joined to great zeal of some of the most active among their probable members. It may be said, without mincing words, with regard to much that has already been published, that the subject of eugenics is particularly attractive to 'cranks.' The councils of local societies will therefore be obliged to exercise great caution before accepting the memoirs offered to them, and much discretion in keeping discussions within the bounds of sobriety and common sense. The basis of eugenics is already firmly established, namely, that the offspring of ' worthy ' parents are, on the whole, more highly gifted by nature with faculties that conduce to ' worthiness ' than the offspring of less ' worthy ' parents. On the other hand, forecasts in respect to particular cases may be quite wrong. They have to be based on imperfect data. It cannot be too em- phatically repeated that a great deal of careful statistical work has yet to be accomplished before the science of eugenics can make large advances. "I hesitate to speculate further. A tree will have been planted; let it grow. Perhaps those who may hereafter feel themselves or are considered by others to be the possessors of notable eugenic qualities — let us for brevity call them ' Eugenes ' — will form their own clubs and look after their own interests. It is impossible to foresee what the state of public opinion will then be. Many elements of strength are needed, many dangers have to be evaded or overcome, before associations of Eugenes could be formed that would be stable in themselves, useful as institu- tions, and approved of by the outside world." These associations would be standing examples of the benefits which flow from following eugenic rules and the evils which arise when they are dis- regarded. Ultimately a public opinion would be created in the district selected as a eugenic field. "The power of social opinion is apt to be underrated rather than overrated. Like the atmo- sphere which we breathe and in which we move, social opinion operates powerfully without our being conscious of its weight. Everyone knows that governments, manners, and beliefs which were thought to be right, decorous, and true at one period have been judged wrong, indecorous, and false at another ; and that views which we have heard expressed by those in authority over us in our childhood and early manhood tend to become axiomatic and unchangeable in mature life. " In circumscribed communities especially, social approval and disapproval exert a potent force. Its presence is only too easily read by those who are the object of either, in the countenances, bearing, and manner of persons whom they daily meet and converse with. Is it, then, I ask, too much to expect that when a public opinion in favour of eugenics has once taken sure hold of such communities and has been accepted by them as a quasi-religion, the result will be manifested in sundry and very effective modes of action which are as yet untried, and many of them even unforeseen 1 " Speaking for myself only, I look forward to local eugenic action in numerous directions, of which I will now specify one. It is the accumulation of considerable funds to start young couples of ' worthy ' qualities in their married life, and to assist them and their families at critical times. The gifts to those who are the reverse of ' worthy ' are enormous in amount ; it is stated that the charitable donations or bequests in the year 1907 amounted to 4,868,050Z. I am not prepared to say how much of this was judiciously spent, or in what ways, but merely PLATE XXXVI Francis Galton, aged 87, on the stoep at Fox Holm, Cobham, with his biographer. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 353 quote the figures to justify the inference that many of the thousands of persons who are willing to give freely at the prompting of a sentiment based upon compassion might be persuaded to give largely also in response to the more virile desire of promoting the natural gifts and the national efficiency of future generations." Was it only the idle dream of an old man ? Scarcely ! Galton had grasped the truth in his early youth that man would respond to careful breeding even as other animals ; he had propounded his gospel in full manhood, as early as 1804, when nobody had listened to him; he had repeated his doctrine in 1883, when he was sixty years old, with scarcely more effect. And now in his last years he called on his fellow-countrymen once more to have faith and act on that faith. There is a hereditary nobility, an aristocracy of worth, and it is not confined to any social class ; it is a caste which is scattered throughout all classes ; let us awaken it, that it may be self-conscious, and realise how the national future lies incontrovertibly in the feasibility of making it dominant in numbers and submitting the rest to its control. Those who imagine that Eugenics as a national faith was the dream of an octogenarian, have failed to understand the whole trend of Galton's intellectual development ; he preached and waited, he waited and taught. The dream of his youth, he endeavoured to the extent of his ability to make practice in his old age. As in the case of Finger-prints, he took the precaution of first establishing a science, and then followed it with his appeal for public recognition of the principles of his science through all the channels at his command. We shall see that he did not think them ex- hausted by newspaper articles, eugenics education societies and associations, or by public lectures. What he might have achieved had he been ten years younger, or the English jniblic ripe for his teaching a decade earlier, it is not possible to say. For two more years he fought for his creed, but his physical strength was failing. In his earlier days his chief recreation had been walking alone and thinking ; his best thoughts came to him on these occasions. We can follow the change in the truthful record he gives under Recreations in successive editions of Who's Who. We find : In 1898, " Chiefly solitary rambles," in 1904, " Solitary rambles," but in 1908, the year we have now reached : " Sunshine, quiet, and good wholesome food." He gave a literal interpretation to the word "recreate," and we find him from 1908 onwards seeking, well wrapt in rugs, sunshine and quiet in a sheltered garden corner, or on the " stoep " of a fitly chosen winter home. Sitting thus, Galton's thoughts rambled through the past eighty odd years and they became again actual to him. As he says in a letter to his biographer: "How much an autobiography must omit," and this, although in a lesser degree, is true of a biography, if it be compiled within fifty years of its subject's decease and its writer would not pain survivors ! pom 45 354 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Memories of my Life*. Galton's letters indicate how busy he was during the latter half of 1908 with this book. It would not be fitting — were it indeed feasible — to give an analysis of his work here. Our biography has, indeed, endeavoured to give a picture of Galton's personality, his deep affection for his relatives and for his friends ; it has been able to say what he could not say of himself. An autobiography can only indirectly characterise its subject, unless its writer be as unabashed as Benvenuto Cellini, or as self-soddened as Jean-Jacques Rousseau. But beyond this characterisation, we have en- deavoured to lay stress on Galton's contributions to science and to reproduce his thoughts in his own words. The reader will find little of this in the Memories ; they deal not wholly, but chiefly, with the men — many of them noteworthy in their day — whom Galton had known in the course of a long lifetime. They are delightful reading, full of anecdotes and reminiscences, but the Galton of our volumes — the scientific originator, the modest inquirer, the intensely affectionate and reliable friend — is not easily recognised in the pages of his autobiography. There are, however, two or three passages I should like to quote here for the benefit of those who are unable to read the Memories — now, alas, out of print. The first illustrates the depth of Galton's feelings for his friends. He is speaking of his college friend, Henry Fitzmaurice Hallam, born in 1824, only to die when he was 26 years old. He was the younger son of the historian, and brother to Arthur Hallam, who died at 22 and was the subject of Tennyson's In Memoriam. "Henry Hallam had a singular sweetness and attractiveness of manner, with a love of harm- less banter and paradox, and was keenly sympathetic with all his many friends. He won the Second Chancellor's Medal. Through him I became introduced to his father's house, still shadowed by the sudden death of his son Arthur and of a daughter. Mr Hallam was very kind to me, and the friendship of him and of his family)- was one of the corner-stones of my life- history Henry Hallam, like his brother and sister, died suddenly and young, to my poignant grief. His death occurred while I was away in South Africa. I have visited the quiet church at Clevedon, where all the Hallams lie, each memorial stone bearing a briefly pathetic inscrip- tion, and kneeling alone in a pew by their side, spent part of a solitary hour in unrestrained tears." (pp. 65-6.) Another passage I wish to cite bears upon the nature of Time ; it should be compared with Galton's view of Time in the Inquiries into Human Faculty %. "I will mention here a rather weird effect that compiling these 'Memories' has produced on me. By much dwelling upon them they became refurbished and so vivid as to appear as sharp and definite as things of to-day. The consequence has been an occasional obliteration of the sense of Time, and the replacing of it by the idea of a permanent panorama, painted throughout with equal vividness, in which the point to which attention is temporarily directed becomes for that time the Present. The panorama seems to extend unseen behind a veil which hides the Future, but is slowly rolling aside and disclosing it. That part of the panorama which is veiled is supposed to exist as vividly coloured as the rest, though latent. In short, this experienoe * Methuen & Co., London, 1908. t There was another daughter Julia Hallam, who travelled with Emma and Francis Galton : see "Vol. i, p. 180, and also pp. 140-1, 171, 191, 205-207, and 238. % See Vol. II, p. 263. PLATE XXXVII A reverie, caught " when the spirit was not there." Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 355 has given me an occasional feeling that there are no realities corresponding to Past, Present and Future, but that the entire Cosmos is one perpetual Now. Philosophers have often held this creed intellectually, but I suspect that few have felt the possible truth of it so vividly as it has occasionally appeared to my imagination through dwelling on these 'Memories.'" (pp. 277-8.) In Galton's last chapter, entitled Race Improvement, he summarises what he has hoped for and what he has done for Eugenics. He writes : " Skilful and cautious statistical treatment is needed in most of the many inquiries upon whose results the methods of Eugenics will rest. A full account of the inquiries is necessarily technical and dry, but the results are not, and a 'Eugenics Education Society' has been recently established to popularise those results. At the request of its Committee I have lately joined it as Hon. President, and hope to aid its work so far as the small powers that an advanced age still leaves intact may permit." (p. 321.) The last paragraphs of the Memories reiterate the teaching of 1865*, expressing it, perhaps, more effectively and concisely. It is probably very rare for a man at 86 to gain wide acceptance for a creed which he failed to impress on his contemporaries when at 42 he had the vigour and energy of early manhood. Galton was clearly 40 to 50 years ahead of his own generation. He thus concludes his autobiography : "I take Eugenics very seriously, feeling that its principles ought to become one of the dominant motives in a civilised nation, much as if they were one of its religious tenets. I have often expressed myself in this sense, and will conclude this book by briefly reiterating my views. " Individuals appear to me as partial detachments from the infinite ocean of Being, and this world as a stage on which Evolution takes place, principally hitherto by means of Natural Selection, which achieves the good of the whole with scant regard to that of the individual. "Man is gifted with pity and other kindly feelings ; he has also the power of preventing many kinds of suffering. I conceive it to fall well within his province to replace Natural Selection by other processes that are more merciful and not less effective. "This is precisely the aim of Eugenics. Its first object is to check the birth-rate of the Unfit, instead of allowing them to come into being, thougb doomed in large numbers to perish pre- maturely. The second object is the improvement of the race by furthering the productivity of the Fit by early marriages and healthful rearing of their children. Natural Selection rests upon excessive production and wholesale destruction; Eugenics on bringing no more individuals into the world than can be properly cared for, and those only of the best stock." (pp. 322-3.) " I shall treat," said Galton in his 42nd year, " of man and see what the theory of heredity of variations and the principle of natural selection mean when applied to manf," and his treatment only ended with his life. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. November 5, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I cannot refrain from sending you a line now that I have finished the Memories to thank you for the very kind things you say about my work. I have read the book with great interest and it has been helpful in more ways than you will realise. It was nice to find you also knew and appreciated Croom-Robertson. What a wonderful width of interests you have had, and how delightful that you had not to wedge them in between other things and carry out your work in haste ! I spoke to Heron yesterday about work and his appoint- ment and I must look into the original terms of his nomination before discussing it further. I certainly thought it came ipso facto to an end in February, but he seems to think it was as in Schuster's case for three years. I do not know that we could get a harder worker at present. * See Vol. ii, pp. 71-78. t See Vol. ii, p. 86. 45—2 356 Life mid Letters of Francis Galton Let me say exactly how affairs stand. (1) Eugenics Laboratory Memoir No. V has gone to press. It is on the Inheritance of Vision and on the Influence of Environment on Eyesight. It is a heavy bit of work and would have been stronger had we only been able to collect data ad hoc of an accurate kind. But I think it definitely shows what ophthalmologists have doubted — the inheritance of the various classes of eyesight, and further that environment, notably school environment, is not the most important factor in shortsightedness. (2) Resemblance of nephew and niece to uncle and aunt — will go to press in the next few weeks. (3) Brainweights of normal and insane. This took a good many weeks' work, but the results are inconclusive. The data were sent by Crichton-Browne, but they lack several needful points, e.g. information as to special type of insanity, and the records filled in at Wakefield from the Asylum Case Books are not accepted by C.-B. I am doubtful whether the results should be published, except to induce some one to start de itovo. (4) Eugenics Laboratory Publication VI. Occupation of Father and Mother in relation to the Physical Health of school-children. This is based on 20,000 Glasgow returns provided by the Scottish Education Office. It will be ready by Xmas. (5) Eugenics Laboratory Publication VII. Influence of physique (nutrition, tonsils, teeth, glands, etc.) on mental capacity of children. Data for 30,000 London School-children from County Council. This also will be ready by Xmas. (6) Treasury: 10 plates are now engraved, or ready for engraver. I hope to have Part I out this month. This represents the last 18 months of work, and I want you to see that the staff have been working really well, but that these heavy bits of research do not come lightly to an end. Our not publishing anything for a year must not be taken as a sign of inanition. By the by I got a few days ago about 50 folio sheets of pedigree and accounts of the Lushington family! V. L. had asked a nephew to prepare it, but had not written to tell me about his having done so. We have already some 20 pedigrees of distinguished families, with perhaps 200 individuals in each. They will have to go on folding sheets, they are so gigantic. Nettleship has just found two albino dogs — brother and sister. We are now going to try and discover whether we can create a race of albino dogs from these two. There have only been very vague rumours of such things hitherto. They are from their photographs very beautiful beasts, and I hope not too delicate to survive. I trust the winter quarters are going to be a success. Let me hear how you go on and what problem you are turning over. Affectionately, K. P. I have nine biometric research students this term and my new Laboratory is full. It is the first time I have had more students than I want on this side. A man came this afternoon for admission wanting to do research work, and I took quite a lordly tone with him and told him to go away for a fortnight and write a paper and I would take him if it was good enough for publication. I have never been able before to pick and choose postgraduate workers — and this man was a Cambridge wrangler! 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. November 30, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I want to send you a hurried line to say that I hear from all sides that Heron did exceedingly well at the Eugenics Education Society the other night. I really think he ought to give a course of lectures on Eugenics next term and that it would do him and the subject good. I feel sure he has a lot in him and only wants to be made to feel more confidence in himself. I shall make an effort to hear Miss Elderton on Wednesday week. Can you send me a line as to the enclosed difference in the Galton pedigree and that of the big Darwin pedigree? Is it possible that James K — M — had issue that died early? I am sorry to hear about your cold, but I expect that the weather will be more fixed this next month, and that a fixed temperature is what we all need. I have got Part I of the Treasury to Press and I think my talk at the Royal Society of Medicine recently will help it forward. I hope you won't think Part I too medical, but I want if possible to bring the medicals in the first place into line. Now one more point, do you know the P — s or anybody connected with them ? There is a very singular inheritance in their family, which they keep screened and I should like to get some clues if it were possible. Yours always affectionately, Karl Pearson. I was at Oxford last week, going through mice-work. Mrs Weldon comes up to work for a fortnight in my laboratory and we hope to get clear on some points. The medal for the prize is in hand. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 357 Meadow Cottage, Brockham Green, Betchworth, Surrey. December 2, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, I write at once and will send the corrected notice of the M — twins as soon as I get it back. The facts had got mixed, and if re-sorted would I believe be right. J. K — M — hadissne; L — M — (now apparently on his death bed) had not. He was unmarried. It gives me great pleasure to hear so favourable an account of Heron's lecture. Mrs Gotto wrote to the same effect as you did. I wrote and thanked him for it. It would be a good thing if, as you suggest, Heron could be made to lecture, or hold a class in some form at University College, as he has gifts for success. I do not "know the ropes" well enough to venture to say more than that the idea seems most desirable. Did he show you a long German poem on Eugenics by Sophia Martin, wife of a Professor at Rostock, Mecklenburg? I am told that it is not bad at all, and possibly may be rated as really good poetry. Enclosed I send a rough idea in outline. It may be a familiar one (and might be wrong !), but seems worth sending. Beyond its measurement, there is no fact in correlation that is more interesting than the proportion in which the causes of variation are (1) unknown or neglected, and (2) known; and it is so easy to deduce this from r in the simple cases of linear correlation between normal variables. How far it might be extended to other correlations I have no clear idea, but it seems very improbable that much could be done in that way. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. December 13, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, You will have been expecting to hear from me about Miss Elderton's paper, but alas ! I could not get to hear it. I have been crippled with lumbago for a week and was perforce absent. I had a very tiring week previously, culminating in a meeting at the Royal Society of Medicine, where I went to ask help for the Treasury, but found myself the subject of a very bitter attack from a disciple of Bateson's called N. I am not a ready debater and find it hard to marshal my arguments in reply to a set speech of nearly 70 minutes designed to prove that biometry was sheer rubbish, and that medical men would be fools to give any help to a biometrician. It is on these occasions I miss so much Weldon's ready repartee and light cavalry charges into the foe ! I don't know how far I saved defeat; if I did it at all, it was owing to the unmeasured abuse of my opponent. But it put the final touch to the very heavy week and I broke down on Saturday. I have crawled down and round the Laboratory for two or three days, after two days in bed and one on the sofa, but I am back on the sofa again to-day wondering whether the muscles of my back will ever do proper duty again I Heron gave a good account of Miss Elderton's paper, but I wish I could have been there to give her some aid. On other matters some progress has to be reported. 12 pedigree plates and 4 plates of half tone illustrations for the Treasury of Human Inheritance are now ready and some of the text is now set up. We shall have it out by January certainly. Also the first sheets of the long-delayed memoir on the Inheritance of Visual Characters have come in. I shall hope to send you proofs of a Note of mine for Biometrika and shall welcome any criticisms. I hope all goes well. Affectionately, Karl Pearson. Nettleship has got two albino bitches satisfactorily crossed by the albino dog. It will be most exciting to see the result of this attempt to create an albino race of dogs. I had an albino hen offered me the other day, but I did not see how to keep it! Meadow Cottage, Brockham Green, Betchworth, Surrey. December 14, 1908. Mr dear Karl Pea rson, Your bulletin distresses me. Lumbago is so painful and depressing. I have just been reading the biography of Alice Hopkins (daughter of the Cambridge coach). She had sciatica, and spoke of 2| feet of pain. I sympathise much with you, as you may well be assured. Yesterday I received a pedigree of the M — twins, about whom you sent a paper for verifica- tion. Enclosed I send it in a correct form. Also, after reading your Skin Colour of Crosses, I jotted down a recollection of my own which impressed me much. You can make any use of it you like. The paper is very instructive. I have pencilled a few words on p. 3 which seemed wanted. 358 Life and Letters of Francis Galton I am assured from many sides that Miss Elderton did her lecturing excellently. Also that Heron did his part as Chairman very well indeed. Miss Biggs was in London Thursday and Friday nights and met several "Eugenicals," full of enthusiasm. I grieve at the rudeness of your Mendelian opponents, which is harmful to progress. Confound them! Don't hurry one bit, but don't please destroy the little problem I sent you about the proportionate efficacy of known and disregarded causes of variability in two correlated variables. It will keep as long as your convenience requires, and you are over- worked. I have thrown off my chronic cough for three whole days. May it prolong its absence. All goes on well, though of course monotonously. Miss Biggs was at Miss Parker's wedding and delighted with all she saw. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. December 14, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I am sorry to trouble you again so soon and also to write, perhaps, unclearly, but I have only just got through the day and my back is giving me much pain. So please do not give undue weight to any phrase in itself. Miss Elderton came to me to-day and said that she had received an offer of the post of Secretary to a London College from the Principal of that College and that she had been given till Friday to consider her answer. That she had at first made up her mind to refuse, because she much preferred research work to executive work, and had not intended to tell me. But on second thoughts she felt she must ask my advice. Now I know exactly what this means, that home affairs are not too flourishing, and the post at the College means a definite post with steadj' rise, and a good position if needful for further advance. My impression of her is that she is a remarkably able woman with capacity in more than one direction. The first impulse was to say, but "you must stay here, the Eugenics Laboratory will collapse without you," but I felt without knowing your views, that this was hardly fair to her or to you. Now I want your advice before Friday. I cannot think of the Laboratory without Miss Elderton, she is the life and soul of the place, knows the whole of the material, writes all the letters and keeps everything going. I am sure she does not want to go, enjoys the work and is keen on the subject, and would find the secretarial work at a College less to her taste, but it offers an assured future. Now what ought we to do in the matter? I have always considered that you must look upon the Laboratory as on its trial and that if we failed to satisfy you, you must ruthlessly change the system or close the Laboratory as seemed to you best. Am I right therefore in trying to induce her to stay? I have no doubt, she is so valuable that she will always get a post, but suitable posts don't turn up every day and I feel if we advise her to stay we ought to say: If the Laboratory is closed or re-organised we will give you long enough notice to find a new berth. I don't think she would mind for herself, but, as I said before, her contribution to home funds is of some importance. On the other hand, if we go on, she is almost indispensable. It would take years to get any one with the same training, if even they had the same aptitude. Now what shall we do1? It is not, I think, a question of money. There was ample when I last saw the accounts, and notwithstanding that there will be a heavy publication expenditure in the next six months (there are four memoirs nearly ready, and there is the Treasury) there is quite enough for present purposes and for a future pledging of resources. May I say to Miss Elderton: We will give you a permanent appointment subject to a year's notice, or such shorter period as would seem good to you and fair to her? The problem then is: Ought we in justice to her future to let her go? Or, ought we for the sake of the Laboratory to keep her with a more permanent post and perhaps an increase of salary? May I guarantee her, say £ — or £ — with a year's notice? I feel the answer cannot rest with me, because it depends to some extent on the future of the Laboratory. I don't want you to keep the Laboratory going for our sakes ; we are all keen and ready to go on with the work on the lines which our powers render possible. But whenever you feel that we are not doing what you think best for the acquirement of that knowledge, which I know you have most at heart, then you must simply give me the word and we will bring things to a close. In this matter of Miss Eldeiton's, by advising her to refuse the College post I might be protracting the life of the Laboratory beyond your wishes, and thus I must consult you on the point. I do not know whether I have put her own wish strongly enough, she wants to stay and would do it at personal sacrifice, but her home calls on her have to be considered. Affectionately, K. P. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 359 Meadow Cottage, Brockiiam Green, Betchwortii, Surrey. December 15, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, All you say in favour of Miss Elderton I am fully prepared to believe from my much less but still not inadequate knowledge of her. She most certainly ought to be retained if possible, as the far future working of the Laboratory will be much more hopeful if she continues in it. My feelings about the Laboratory remain the same that they were two years ago when we had so much correspondence and I drew up a Codicil to my will to provide amply for its per- manent establishment after my death and to pay for a professorship. I can't undertake to die soon in order to hurry on the endowment, but I have not the slightest desire to do otherwise than continue the present £500 a year so long as I live. I would increase it, by say £50, rather than reduce it, if it were clearly ad visable to do so. It is worth considering whether Miss Elderton 's position in the Laboratory might be altered, by hereafter calling her Secretary, and on the next occasion abolishing the Research Scholarship altogether. It would not do to promote her over Heron, but hereafter when his term terminates it might easily be done. Possibly you may think that the two duties of Secretary and Research Fellow might be worked simultaneously, but if so, it must be clear which of the two is the responsible head, and I do not see my way here. Anyhow on the next vacancy the promotion could easily be made. I am most sorry about the cruel lumbago. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. December 15, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, Your letter gave me great pleasure this morning. We do not need more money, and above all things we want you to live to see the work you have set going reach more general acknowledgment. But what, I think, the younger workers, who really have worked hard and toiled forward against a good deal of outside (and even inside *) discouragement need is the knowledge that you really care for their work, and I think your letter really helps in that. You hardly realise how much they think of almost anything you do or say! Among the fourteen workers in the Biometric and Eugenics Laboratories at present we have five women and their work is equal at the very least to that of the men. I have to treat them as in every way the equals of the men. They are women who in many cases have taken higher academic honours than the men and who are intellectually their peers. They were a little tried therefore when your name appeared on the Committee of the Anti-suffrage Society! I refer to this merely to show that what you think and do dues produce effect in the Laboratory, and therefore the knowledge that you really care for their work helps us all round. I think that your approval accordingly counts for a great deal more than you realise. I know Miss Elderton is very keen on the work and wants to devote all her energies to it, but I am sure the feeling that you think she is doing good work weighs as much as or more than any opinion of mine. I ventured to tell her that she was indispensable and that there was no immediate fear for the life of the Laboratory. I can trust you to bear this in mind if anything should happen to me. I have not forgotten your problem, but I wanted to have another talk with Heron over it, before I returned the sheet. Could you not write a note on it for Biometrikal It would be quite easy to get a table calculated for you. Bulloch came in to-day with 30 pedigrees of hermaphrodite families. One noteworthy point has come out in collecting this material — a disproportionate number of hermaphrodites, perhaps 25 p.c, are twins. This is a very noteworthy point indeed and deserves special investigation. I have heard of hermaphrodites in sheep; were these twins 1 Always affectionately, K. P. Please excuse this handwriting, I am writing on my back. * P.S. Only last week a lecturer in the College read a paper "On the influence of Heredity on Conduct," which consisted chiefly of abuse of the Eugenics Laboratory work and workers. Meadow Cottage, Brockiiam Green, Betciiworth. December 22, 1908. My dear Karl Pearson, This is little more than a sincere Xmas greeting to you and yours. May that cruel lumbago keep its fangs off you. It is sometimes consoling to think of greater suffering than one's own, so imagine the feelings of the Chinaman who, humbly visiting his great superior on whom all his hope of advancement lay, when about to make his kow-tow was suddenly smitten with lumbago! 360 Life and Letters of Francis Galton I have written both to Miss Elderton and to Heron, saying nice things. The latter has sent me the calculated values for the little formula ; I have tried unsuccessfully to put my point in a "Note" as clearly as desirable, so that matter must stand over for the present. I will try again later. I see your lectures at the Royal Institution on Albinism are announced. Sir Trevor Lawrence (Pres. of the Horticultural), a great grower of orchids, has his home near here. He has much to say about an albino orchid of his, but I am so weak in botanical nomenclature that 1 am not at all sure whether I understood rightly what he told me. If you care for more, sufficiently to frame questions, I could easily get answers from him. Lady Phillimore near Henley on Thames, the wife of the Judge, showed me a breed which she thought unique (as I understood) of white ducks in a pool in her grounds. I must not trouble you with more than to beg you to give my heartiest Xmas greetings to Mrs Pearson and your children. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Hampstead. Christmas Eve, December 24, 1908. My dear Francis Galton, I saw Heron yesterday. He has delayed his journey north- ward in order to work now, and take a few days off at the beginning of next term. The University of St Andrews has asked him to give four lectures, and I thought he had better do it and spread the light there, as Macdonell has done at Aberdeen. He seemed to appreciate your kind letter very much. We arranged a course of Lectures at University College of which I send the rough draft. I think it ought to do well. We tried to get the subject into 5 or 6 but had to give up the idea. Please comment on it. Did you hear whether the white ducks at Henley were true albinos with red reflex in their eyes? The Treasury of Human Inheritance progresses, and I think it ought to be out by January. The great difficulty is to get all the material into the same "format." Each man makes his pedigrees, his notes and his bibliography in a different way. But after the first number appears we shall have a more concrete form for future contributors to work by. You take for example "Deaf-Mutism" or "Tuberculosis," and nobody so far has made a bibliography of papers dealing with heredity in these subjects. All sorts of pedigrees have been coming in, and I think when the first few parts are out, we shall have a constant flow. The heredity inquiry is everywhere in the air now. I hope this cold turn will not be too bitter for you. I am much better, but still tender in the back, and I can't get up or down easily. I must say I like for working purposes a good high temperature. With the best wishes for the New Year for both Miss Biggs and yourself, I am, Yours affectionately, Karl Pearson. Mrs Weldon has been working for more than a fortnight in the Laboratory over the mice skins. It is a big business, but we shall get it through some day. About your problem in correlated variables, I think you are correct if A, B, C, D, which are causes of X are not correlated among themselves, for the reduction of variability < **%> * - VlvZZ mjt\WL" * ^ *, gf-Japv -41IS ^ ]v ***£ ^ 1 1 "" , w f ▼ 1 ^^L^^- 1^^^ r ^ fe 'mm! ' * * ^£k. • I^^k ^ ^r % Francis Galton, aged 87, on the stoep at Fox Holm, Cobham, in 1909, with the faithful Gifi and the Albino puppy Wee Ling. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton' s Life 391 Payables, Woodcote, near Reading. September 10, 1909. Mv dear Francis Galton, What you want about the average number of relatives is of importance and shall be done, but it will need one or two points considering first. In the first place, the younger generations are not always complete and it may not always be easy to ascertain whether this is so or not. I think it would very much diminish the available pedigrees if one had to be certain on this point. In the next place, there has been such a great change in the past thirty years, the modern complete families are 1, 2, 3 or 4, but 30 or 40 years ago they were anything up to 6 or 11. There is also another point, do you mean to include all born, or only those living to a definite age ? A generation ago, perhaps, ^ died in infancy and childhood, even in the professional classes; now perhaps only i. You will see that this may, without some agreement as to treatment, introduce difficulties. I am not at all sure that the best way would not be to work at the Quaker family histories or the older Herald's Visitations. But we shall always have to remember that the problem reduces to the size of the family in a certain definite class, and this is modified by custom, by period and by the infantile and child death-rates. Could we not reach your point by discovering the average size of family and the sex ratio in each grade? I enclose a rough copy of Miss Elderton's Lecture. It ought to be out to-morrow. Here is a rough postcard my boy has made of the albino Pekinese Spaniels. They are very jolly little beasts — and quite of the harmless lap-dog order. Would Miss Biggs like Wee Ling? He will want to have a little training, but I don't think he would give much trouble. If at any time he became a nuisance I daresay I could find another home, but I should like to know where he was, if he had to be united in holy matrimony at any time with one of his cousins or half-sisters ! The pigs of our neighbour, who has some 300 acres, are very lordly and go with attendants, one pig, one man, for their daily exercise. Yours always affectionately, Karl Pearson. I have heard no more of the Americans ! Why cannot Cook and Peary behave like Darwin and Wallace? Fox Holm, Cobham, Surrey. September 11, 1909. Dear Professor Pearson, The photo of Wee Ling is most attractive and I should of all things enjoy to bring him up — but this alas is prevented by the "cruel uncle"! Possibly your powers of persuasion might move him. Since you induced him to sit for a bust, you might prevail over this matter too, won't you try ? and I will bring up the pup in the way he should go, having had much experience with dogs in my life. My dear Karl Pearson, The foregoing appeal from Eva Biggs has melted away my antagonism to dogs. Yes! send Wee Ling and much care shall be lavished on him*. Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. Hurray! E. B. Fox Holm, Cobham, Surrey. September 12, 1909. My dear Karl Pearson, I answered about Wee Ling yesterday, in a hurry, to save the Sunday post. This refers to the other part of your kind letter. It had been my intention to write about some of the points you raise, all of which are important. Respice finem. My object is to procure the desired data from one or more well defined and homogeneous groups, defined by convenient limits as to date and minimum age of children; this latter has to be regarded : say 20, or other early marriageable age. The dates are a more serious matter. You know better than anybody, the times over which childbirth has continued normal in any particular group. The Quakers, as you suggest, would serve well. So eminently would the Jews, if returns exist. Have you ever, by the way, inquired about what I understand to be an immense store- house of family facts, viz. the printed pedigrees, taken under affidavit, of the families of intestates, whose property comes into Chancery? I have no lawyer at hand to consult afresh. * I cycled over from Woodcote to Cobham taking Wee Ling in the basket on my handle- bar. Plate XXXVI was a result of this visit, and Plate XXXVIII shows Wee Ling in good company shortly afterwards. 392 Life and Letters of Francis Galton My authority was the late Vaughan Hawkins, whose account was graphic and most interesting. But this was half a century ago, and the procedure may have changed since, and the old Records be inaccessible ; but it is worth inquiry into. He said that the difference between the sizes of family of rich and poor was most conspicuous, the limit of eight in the former corresponding, if I recollect aright, to sixteen in the latter. To return to the point after this episode. If you have time to think out a moderate inquiry of this sort, and see your way to set some clerk to work on it, I should be very glad. Thanks for Miss Elderton's lecture. How well and clearly much of it is written. It would tax the power of a consummate literary genius to make statistical reservations easy to grasp. My friend Lt.-Gol. Melville, the army physician, was delighted with Heron's lectures, which he attended. He contemplates sending some of his best students for statistical instruction at the Biometric Laboratory, if they can be taken in. So he tells me ! Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Payables, Woodcote, near Reading. September 13, 1909. Mr dear Francis Galton, You must not have the dog to be a nuisance. It was a mere idle suggestion on my part, as they really are rather nice as dogs go and almost unique. If you have it, and it does not fit in, then we will find another home for it. I have got, I think, the person to put on to do the work on the relatives — a new recruit coming in October — I will look up the Chancery data on my return. I suppose copies will be preserved at the Record Office, but I will inquire. It is very hard to make people understand, that one has no aim but to get at the facts in this "Nature and Nurture" business. When we came to the problem, I expected to find the two factors about equipollent, but the insignificant character of "Nurture," as compared with heredity, soon became transparent. Even now when we find a fairly high (e.g. 0-2) correlation between environment and physique, it is very doubtful whether it is not a secondary effect of heredity, the feebler parents having a worse environment, because their wages are less. But the view that " Nature " is the fundamental factor is stirring up, as I feared it would, a whole hornets' nest. Affectionately yours, Karl Pearson. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. October 18, 1909. My dear Francis Galton, Miss Elderton asks me to answer your card, because she is not quite sure as to one or two points. It depends to some extent on two matters : (1) How the midparent is defined : Midparent Deviation = | {Father Deviation + (Mother Deviation increased in ratio of father's variability to mother's variability)}. This is theoretically the best definition and agrees with your original one provided Father's variability Father's mean value Mother's variability Mother's mean value ' This equality is very nearly true for many human characters, but not quite for all. (2) The existence or absence of assortative mating between father and mother. Let us call the correlation between father and mother p. This correlation coefficient is rarely over '2 and lies between "1 and -3. Assuming this, we have: Midparental correlation = */ -z (Mean of parental correlations), and again : Ratio of Mean Filial to Midparental Deviations = ^ (Mean of parental correlations). Now there is no sensible difference between the parental correlations that we have been so far able to discover. Hence if r = parental correlation, r Ratio of Mean Filial to Mid-parental Deviations = = . 1+p Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galtoris Life 393 Now r is very close to -5 — it varies from about -46 to 52 for the best series in man. Weldon's results for mice not yet publislied give almost the same values. But he has so selected his pairs of mice that p runs up to -8 ! For man p may be safely put -2. Thus the ratio you want ■a is = - - - = about -i. The ratio of mean filial deviation to parental deviation, i.e. for a single parent, is -5 but of course the prediction in this case is subject to a larger probable error ; these errors in the two cases being about in the ratio of \/'75 to V"60, the latter corresponding to the midparental estimate. I hope this will not be too complex, and that I have given what you want. Pray write again if there be any further point I could make clearer. I had a letter from the Principal of the University saying that the University was drawing up a list of their needs and asking me to say what the Galton Eugenics Laboratory needed. It was a somewhat difficult question to answer since if the University is in the way of getting money, there is no reason why the Laboratory should not have a considerable share. I suggested that £100 a year for books, £200 for publications, and £500 to pay a man to give the bulk of his time to supervision, could be easily assimilated ! If we get \ of all this from the University we may be happy, but it really is a sign of the times that they ask us if they can aid. We are very full this session. In the Biometric and Eugenics Laboratories together we have I think 16 research workers, and practically no vacant tables. I shall shortly send you the average numbers of certain classes of relatives — aunts and uncles. I fear we cannot work cousins because the records are too incomplete. Has Wee Ling behaved himself, or has he become a nuisance ? Don't hesitate to return him if he has become a difficulty. Affectionately yours, Karl Pearson. The Rectory, Haslemere. October 25, 1909. My dear Karl Pearson, You can with difficulty understand how incompetent I am to do mental work. I have blundered much in putting the enclosed into shape, desiring to avoid needless complexity, and now if the suggestion (B) be adopted the problem becomes apparently simple enough. Still I dare not trust myself to do it. I only want a rude approximation, but want one very much. Nettleship lunched with us on Saturday and inspected Wee Ling's eyes. The puppy is a joy- ful little beast with a now tightly curled tail and is a friend with all the servants. But he has a horrid temper, and bites with his little sharp teeth and swears in Chinese dog-language, a quite different language to that of English pups. He had a sharp lesson from the cat, in social usages ; for trying to oust her from her chair, he received a wipe from her claws across his little pink nose. No real harm done, but it must have hurt. We are well placed and the air of Haslemere suits me perfectly, but I do very little. Sir Archibald Geikie tells me of scientific events. He was delighted with Birmingham and remarked that among the men selected for degrees were two brothers (Haldane), one brother and sister and brother-in-law (Balfour, Mrs Sidgwick and Lord Rayleigh). I asked Nettleship about you, whether he thought you were not working too hard. He evidently thought so, but added that you were like a racehorse, difficult to keep quiet. And here am I bothering you about a problem ! How I wish you could be relieved from routine work. I wonder if you will come down to see your friends hereabouts? My niece is happy, after 2£ weeks out of the allotted 4 weeks in bed, for rest-cure. She hopes to get abroad to S. France in early winter, leaving me in charge of another niece (Mrs Lethbridge). I am fortunately well-nieced ; three are at the moment hereabouts, two in this house and one hard by. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. This letter contained the following problem of which a solution was sent to Francis Galton as a New Year's Greeting, 1910, and was published in Biometrika, Vol. x, pp. 258-275. PGin 50 394 Life and Letters of Francis Galton Problem. 0ctober 25> 1909. An array H is made of husbands arranged in estimated order of civic worth (see remarks below). Gauss's Law is supposed to apply throughout. Let the standard deviation of H which does not need measurement be unity. Cut off a segment G from the upper end of H, including l/nth of the whole o£H(ljn is here wanted only for the two values '02 and '04, to which the corre- sponding deviates in Sheppard's Table, Biometrika, Vol. v, p. 4, are 2-0537 and 17507). Make an array F in order of civic worth of all the male adult children of G as calculated from the formula for parental Heredity. It will be a skew array. Let the mean (or better the median) of all the values in F be/ and let the position of that value in the array H be \jw of its length from the upper end. Required : the ratio of w to n for the two values of 1/w mentioned above, and consequently that of the deviates at those class-places (from Sheppard's Table). Remarks. A. It seems impossible to obtain a satisfactory numerical value of civic worth, but it is not more difficult to classify it by judgment, than it is to select recipients of honours, members of Council, etc., out of many eligible persons. Therefore the method here adopted is to compare class-places and to derive the corresponding deviates from Sheppard's Table. B. Some law of fertility must be assumed that shall give limits to the possible error from ignorance of the true one. Perhaps the assumptions (i) that infertility so balances deviates that the F values are much the same as those of the children of parents at l/nth of the array from the upper end, and (ii) that they are the same as those at l/2nth of the same, might be adequate. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. October 26, 1909. My dear Francis Galton, I have only just got back from Newcastle, so you must excuse a hurried note. I was down by 5 o'clock yesterday and back by 1 o'clock to-day. But I always feel heartened by lecturing to the north country folk. They came between four and five hundred strong, had 1| hours' lecture, and nearly 100 standing all the time and so keen and interested. One point I can tell you at once, the average civic worth of your array of offspring would be to the average civic worth of your array of fathers (both measured from their respective means) in the ratio ra^ to o-2, where r is the correlation coefficient, o-j and cr2 the standard deviations of fathers and sons respectively. This would be true for linear regression quite independently of Gauss, wherever you cut off your array of fathers, and quite independently of any law of fertility, if r = correlation of father and son, and a^ and cr2 their standard deviations. But r will not be the r for a stable population, and o-j will not = f-fiautiiayv!her^. I returned to my host's house, where I was congratulated on having gone through my ordeal. I felt sure of success in the anthropometric part because I was something of an athlete, having rowed in a University race. I was also good in other respects, being reputed by good judges to be so prompt and sure a shot, that I have been urged, in all seriousness, to go to Monte Carlo and compete there for the valuable pigeon- shooting prizes. I knew I was all right medically, and thought I might do fairly in aesthetics. I, however, saw clearly that I was not even yet received with perfect freedom, except by Tom; the others evidently waited to learn how I should be placed, before letting themselves go, so to speak. They did not as yet invite me to accompany them to the houses of their friends, so I had much spare time, and thought the best way of occupying it until the lists were out, was to stay indoors and to make a careful study of the Calendar of Kantsaywhere College. I saw little Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 419 of Miss Augusta at this time, as she was invited to a succession of parties. The first four were official invitations given to ensure that each girl probationer should be made acquainted with an equal number of male probationers three or more years older in standing. The male proba- tioners are divided more or less at random into two groups A and B, the females into F and G, then the four official invitations are to A and F, A and G, B and F, and B and G. They have an amusing old-fashioned method of grouping and re-grouping the guests at these enter- tainments, in order that each girl should have a full half hour of conversation with each young man. It approached merry-making and banished diffidence. It seems however that marriages between two newly made probationers are not particularly approved. It is thought best that the girls should marry young, say about 22 years of age, which admits of more than 4 generations being produced in each century. As for the men, they have to establish themselves in some occupation before they can support a wife, which cannot usually be done till nearly the age of thirty. Consequently many social gatherings are arranged to bring together young girl probationers and older unmarried men, also of the rank of probationers. Persons may fall in love in Kantsaywhere as they do in England, on grounds more or less unaccountable to others, but it is felt here that the best girls and the best men should have frequent opportunities . of becoming friends and the earliest chance of falling in love with one another. " I was surprised to learn from the Calendar of the large extent of the College possessions in farms, houses, hostels, and funds, which were used to encourage early marriages among the most highly diplomaed ; I also perceived that the Collegiates must look upon themselves, as they did, as a great family community, out of which about one half of the members of each new generation were obliged to seek their living elsewhere, just as it usually happens in English families now. The Calendar contained the names of all who, since the date of the preceding edition, had either received marks exceeding + 70 or any special award. The record in the Calendar of their doings was minute. It corresponded in length to the paragraphs of Burke's or Debrett's Peerages, but differed totally from them by containing anthropological facts, and little else. It was a mine of information for inquirers into heredity, yet it was described as being only a brief abstract of what was preserved in MSS. in the records of the Registrar. " Tom had hinted to me that he thought his sister was slightly chagrined at her marks falling short of one half of those required for the great honour of a College wedding. The number of names of the men amongst whom she must marry, in order to secure one, was very small, and could easily be found from the Calendar. I looked for them and found only twelve, some or all of whom might be already engaged. "The large property of the College consisted, first, of the original endowment, of which the income was now retained in England and had been accumulating during recent years to form an Emergency Fund. Secondly, of the fee simple of the district and of all the houses, etc., that had been erected on it since the beginning of the Settlement. Thirdly, of gifts and bequests from former Collegiates, in gratitude for their rearing and in payment for its cost. Fourthly, the annual Eugenic Rates from Kantsaywhere. The inhabitants submitted as cheerfully to as heavy a rate in support of the College, as we do for the support of our Fleet, namely three quarters of £1 per head of the population. We in England, numbering some 45 millions, con- tribute about 35 millions of pounds annually to the maintenance of our Navy. Here, the 10,000 inhabitants contribute £7,500 to the College, and could easily be persuaded to contribute more, if it were really needed. In very round numbers one half of the income from the last two sources, from gifts and from rates, goes to the Examining, Inspecting and Registering Departments, which together form the soul of the place. The other half goes to collegiates who really need help to enable them to give proper nurture to their large families. This is done very judiciously on the joint recommendations made to the Committee of Awards, by a Board of District Visitors in conjunction with the District Inspector. The Chief Medical Inspector is one of three High Officials, the Rector and the Registrar being the other two. These are elected by the Senate at its Annual General Meetings for a term of three years, and are re-eligible. The Senate consists of all resident Collegiates of either sex, who had gained at least 70 marks, or who are parents of children whose average marks exceed 70 and whose total marks exceed 200, and is the supreme Authority, but in quiet times, the above-mentioned three High Officials, together with a Council, annually elected at the General Meeting, manage matters very much in their own way. This constitution works very well on the whole, though with occasional jars, much as those which occur in our leading Scientific Societies at home. 53—2 420 Life and Letters of Francis Galton "An important Committee of this Council is charged with the care of those who fail to pass the Poll examination in Eugenics. Such persons are undesirable as individuals, and dangerous to the community, owing to the practical certainty that they will propagate their kind if unchecked. They are subjected to surveillance and annoyance if they refuse to emigrate. Con- siderable facilities are afforded to tempt them to go, and agents of the College who are settled in the nearer towns to which they are most likely to drift, are prepared to take charge of them on their arrival. Their passage out is paid, small sums are granted to them at first, on the condition of their never returning to Kantsaywhere. They must renounce in writing all its privileges before being allowed the cost of deportation. Not a few of these persons do well enough especially when the principal reason of their rejection is some hereditary taint, and not personal feebleness. As regards the insane and mentally defective, suitable places for their life segregation are maintained in Kantsaywhere. With so small and eugenic a population, the cases are few and easily dealt with. " The Regulations printed in the Calendar confirmed the view I had already formed, that the propagation of children by the Unfit is looked upon by the inhabitants of Kantsaywhere as a crime to the State. The people are not misled by the specious argument that there is no certainty whether the anticipations of their unfitness will be verified in any particular case and the individual risk may be faced. They look on the community as a whole and know the results of unfit marriages with statistical certainty, which differs little from absolute certainty whenever large numbers are concerned. For instance, they say 1000 unfit couples will assuredly produce a number of children that can be specified within narrow limits, of each grade of unfitness, though they cannot foretell whether these children will be the offspring of A, B, C or X. This same statistical certainty forms a large part of the foundation of laws and penalties in every part of the world. There are many grades of expected unfitness, ranging from that of the offspring of the idiots, the insane and the feeble-minded, at the lower end of the scale of civic worth, to whom the propagation of offspring is peremptorily forbidden, whether it be by forcible segregation or other strong measures, up to the moderate unfitness expected in the offspring of parents who rank only a little below the average in eugenic worth. The methods of penalizing, taken in the order of their severity, are social disapprobation, fine, excommuni- cation as by boycott, deportation, and life-long segregation. The degree of restriction varies from the limitation of the offspring of unfit parents to a small number, up to its total prohibition. They say that limitation of families is now a recognised institution among most of the cultured and many of the artisan and labouring classes in Europe and America, and there is no reason why a sentence demanding it for the protection of the nation should not be passed, and the infraction of that sentence punished as a criminal act. As regards fines, if the defaulter cannot pay tliem, he is treated with severity as a bankrupt debtor to the State, being placed in a Labour Colony with hard work and hard fare until it is considered that he has purged his debt. With so small a population as the 10,000 of Kantsaywhere, and with the general high level of breed of its inhabitants, the cases of marked unfitness are not sufficiently numerous to require formal classification in different asylums. They can be more or less individually dealt with by the Board of Penalties. "The difficulty must again be discussed here, relating to the introduction of unfit immigrants. Municipal laws have been enacted, that are quite as severe as those in America and elsewhere, to exclude impecunious immigrants, but they are enacted here for the purpose of excluding the immigration of the constitutionally unfit into Kantsaywhere. Ships, as already mentioned, are only allowed to disembark their passengers subject to the fulfilment of certain accepted con- ditions. If unfulfilled, the ship-owners are obliged to convey them back to whence they came. Registered medical men are established at the principal ports from which immigrants arrive, whose certificate that a person has passed the ordinary test for fitness in body and mind is accepted. It exempts them from the somewhat more severe and tedious examination of which I have already spoken, which is conducted in a building attached to the Custom House and must be successfully gone through before they are allowed to disembark even for a short residence. They are required later on to -pass the Poll examination which allows them to become citizens of Kantsaywhere. "The grades of unfitness on the part of those who are married are determined by the number of their joint marks. Immigrant parents both of whom have received positive marks at the Poll examination may keep their children with them, but not otherwise. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 421 "The restriction placed by public sentiment and, in extreme cases, by penalty, on the number of offspring that a couple may propagate in Kantsaywhere, is based on that of their joint marks. If these exceed + 20 the restriction is nil and large families are encouraged. If between + 10 and + 20 they are restricted by public sentiment to about three children. If over 0 and under + 10 they are restricted to two children. If between 0 and — 10 they are restricted by law as well as by sentiment to one child. If below - 10 offspring are wholly prohibited to them. The above concessions were established as compromises, after balancing conflicting claims. It was necessary to take into account the need of the parents, the advantages of family life and the well-being of the children, as well as that of the race." Chapter VII is entitled Measures and Marks. It commences with the following words : "A paragraph in the Calendar headed "Measures and Marks" greatly interested me in connection with my previous statistical studies. These enabled me to understand easily the methods used in Kantsaywhere, which must seem puzzling and fanciful to others to whom they are wholly new. Such persons will I fear skip this chapter." Next follows a description of Galton's process of ranking by size. Then the quartiles are defined and we are told that half of their difference is taken equal to 10 Q-Vars*, while half of their sum is accepted as the middlemost value (median) of the series. "Each measure is translated into the middlemost value of the series plus or minus so many Q-Vars. The quickly increasing variety of larger values than 30 Q-Vars and the fear of un- trustworthiness in applying them have led the examiners in Kantsaywhere to limit their measures to a maximum of 30 Q-Vars, in each of the four principal divisions of the Examination. If the candidate obviously deserves still higher marks, they add a star (*) with accompanying explanation. Tom's exclamation that I was ' at least 30 in personal qualities ' was thus explained. " Measurement by Q-Vars, or indeed by any kind of Var, in the case of all ' Normal ' variables t, has the further advantage of affording means whereby class-places may be converted into measurements, or vice versa, notwithstanding that they run at very different rates. "...It is reasonably inferred that such faculties as cannot yet be directly measured, but which can be classified by judgment, will also obey the 'normal' law. The suitability of candi- dates for a particular post, or the goodness of essays written by different candidates, are cases in point. Whenever the objects in a 'normal' group of values can be classified, their class-places can be converted into Q-Vars. Conversion of Q- Vars into Centesimal Class-Places. Q-Vars Class-places (Centesimal) -30 2 -20 9 -10 25 0 50 + 10 75 + 20 91 + 30 98 " Measures made in Q-Vars are converted into marks by multiplying them by a factor appropriate to the importance of the faculty measured." Thus Galton says if the civic worth of one faculty be | that of a second, the marks of the first will be multiplied by 0^5, before combining the two. * The " Var " is thus the tenth part of the " probable error " = -06745 x standard deviation. Thus 30 Q-Vars equal about 2-0235 times the standard deviation, and roughly about 2°/ of the population exceeds this. f "Normal" variation is described in simple terms and attributed (erroneously) to "the great mathematician Gauss"; it is stated to be "with a useful degree of precision" the rule of distribution in the case of most anthropological measurements. 422 Life and Letters of Francis Galton He does not explain how the proper weighting is to be reached. It is this system of scoring that the clerks used, when, working in pairs independently for the sake of checking, they reduced the marks for the Examiners in the eugenic tests (see p. 418 above). It will be seen that Galton is here repro- ducing the ideas and methods of his paper of 1889 on " Marks for Bodily Efficiency" and his preference for the use of percentiles (see pp. 387-390 of our Vol. n). In that second volume I have said on p. 401 that Galton, when 85 years old, broke a last lance for the use of the ogive curve, the median and quartiles. I had not at that date examined the fragment of "Kantsay where." It will be clear from the above resume' of its Chapter VII, that within two months of his death, in his 89th year, Galton again illustrated in popular language the advantages of his method of ranking. We now reach the last chapter that has been preserved of Galton's Utopia. Here he largely drops his Eugenic State and gives expression to his own ideas on male and female beauty, on immortality and on funeral services, bringing in of course composite photography : see our Vol. n, pp. 283-298. I reproduce the whole of this chapter. "Chapter VIII. Marks gained by me — Society of the Place. ■ TheTTsts cameout on March 30. 1 1 got 17 marks less than Miss Allfancy, i.e. 77, but under the circumstances it was a very fair performance and I at once noticed the change in the reception given to me. It was distinctly more genial and intimate than before, and I was begged to accompany my host's family to half a score of different places to which they were invited. The loss of marks I had sustained owing to an " English " ignorance of my ancestry, became generally known and allowed for. I will describe in a few words my general impressions of Kantsaywhere society, to which I was now freely introduced. I had carefully guarded myself against exaggerated expectations of what might have been achieved by selective breeding at this place. It is but a small community and though of a high general level, the highest variations from that level cannot be expected to exceed those of an enormously larger population whose level is somewhat, and even considerably, lower. There are nearly 50,000,000 inhabitants in the British Isles and "only 10,000 in Kantsaywhere ; that is, they are 5000 times fewer. Again, however far gone a population may be in its decadence, it will retain enough organisation to bring forward its best specimens when there is a demand for them. I was greatly impressed by the tone and manner at the social gatherings that I attended, which were at first those of the more cultured class. The guests were gay without frivolity, friendly without gush, and intelligent without brilliancy ; they were eminently a wholesome set of young people, with whom one could pass one's life, not only in serenity but with satisfaction and even a large share of keen pleasure. The physique of the girls reminded me of that of the " Hours" in the engraving of the famous picture of 'Aurora' by Guido in Rome. It is a favourite picture of mine and I recall it clearly. The girls have the same massive forms, short of heaviness, and seem promising mothers of a noble race. The simple way of gathering the hair in a small knot at the back of the head, shown in the dancing ' Hours,' is the fashion at Kantsaywhere. So is the general! effect of their dresses, only they are here more decorously buttoned or fastened, than are thej fly-away garments in the picture. As for tfag__men_ they are well~bwilt.-practised both ir military drill and in athletics, very courteous, but with a resolute look that suggests figlftink qualities of a high order. Both sexes are true to themselves, the women being thoroughly feminine, and 1 may add, mammalian, and the men being as thoroughly virile. No "petty gossip or scandal is to be heard in their conversation, but a great deal is said about family histories and the prospects of the coming generation. These subjects occupy almost as much of their talk as athletic topics do at a public school, or as the performance of horses in racing circles. And it was genuine interest too ; for they looked upon themselves, as I have mentioned more than once, with obvious pride as a chosen race for the purpose of furthering humanity, and were as suspicious and guarded against unknown outsiders as a Jew against a Gentile, or X (— I X X X Oh a o Ph 'a, B O M o B N -S "3 Pi ^ 11 «-. '~l ° ■*" O r-i 3 I o - ^3 — - s O ^ P T3 O — S Ph Oh W ll a i o 3 Ph a « o »^H 3 a Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Gallon's Life 423 a Greek against a Barbarian. This gave a prevalent, and not a disagreeable mannerism. It suggested a constant sense of noblesse oblige, far removed from that disagreeable but not uncommon " Oxford tone " which implies that the speaker is a superior person to his listener. I think the selection of Kantsaywhere College folk may be rated as about equivalent to at least the best quarter of that of the population of Kantsaywhere town, which itself has a high level. The Collegiate average must be fully equal to the best twelfth of an English population. Now 1 in 12 is that of the foreman of a jury, and, unquestionably, the foremen play their parts, as a rule, very respectably. We are accustomed to appreciate bodies of picked men in many ranks of life and know well how superior they are. The crew of an Arctic research vessel are said to be a magnificent set of men : so are the Sappers and Miners. At a somewhat lower, but yet conspicuous degree of selection, stand the persons attached to those great and well-managed estates and firms, whose service is so popular that they have always more candidates to choose from than there are vacancies to fill. " Nothing struck me more than the photographic workshops, for besides their immediate interest, a religious parallel was drawn from them which will be described farther on. There is a great demand in Kantsaywhere for composite portraits of families. The material for making these is abundant and excellent, as it has long since become the fashion, now grown into an obligatory custom, for everyone to be photographed at reasonable intervals, both in full face and in profile, under similar and standard conditions of light, in addition to whatever more artistic representation may be desired. I am a bit of a photographer myself, and was delighted at the punctilious and exact way by which composite photographs were made. There was no unacknowledged faking but the work was strictly truthful throughout the whole process. The object is, I need hardly say, to superimpose the images of many different portraits, all of the same size, aspect and shading, in succession for a short time, upon the same photographic plate. The scale of the portraits and their emplacement require much precision. Here the various reductions and adjustments are leisurely made for each portrait and in a separate frame. When the photography begins, the frames are dropped in succession into their exact place, guided by pins and resting on a horizontal board below a fixed vertical camera*. " I saw several beautiful composites in the Studio, of men and women, respectively. Every family desires at least four family composites, one of the Grand-parental series, including Great Uncles and Aunts on both sides, another of the Parental series, including Father and Mother, Uncles and Aunts, and yet another of Self, Brothers and Sisters. Lastly, one made from the four grandparents and the two parents, allowing one half of the exposure time to each grand- parent that was allowed to either parent. A peculiar interest lies in the close analogy between composite portraits and their religious imagery, as will be seen from what is now about to be said. " Their creed, or rather, I should say, their superstition — for it has not yet crystallised into a dogmatic creed, is that living beings, and pre-eminently mankind, are the only executive agents of whom we have any certain knowledge. They look upon life at large, as probably a huge organisation in which every separate living thing plays an unconscious part, much as the separate cells do in a living person. Whether the following views were self-born or partly borrowed I do not know, but the people of Kantsaywhere have the strong belief that the spirits of all the beings who have ever lived are round about, and regard all their actions. They watch the doings of men with eagerness, grieving when their actions are harmful to humanity, and rejoicing when they are helpful. It is a kind of grandiose personification of what we call conscience into a variety of composite portraits. I expect that many visionaries among them — for there are visionaries in all races — actually see with more or less distinctness the beseeching or the furious figures of these imaginary spirits, whether as individuals or as composites. There seems to be some confusion between the family, the racial, and the universal clouds of spirit- watchers. They are supposed to co-exist separately and yet may merge into one or many different wholes. There is also much difference of opinion as to the power of these spirits, some think them only sympathetic, others assign the faculty to them of inspiring ideas in men, others * See our p. 215 above. 424 Life and Letters of Francis Galton again accredit them with occasional physical powers. Everyone here feels that they themselves will, after their life is over, join the spirit legion, and they look forward with eager hope that their descendants will then do what will be agreeable and not hateful to them. I have heard some who likened life to the narrow crest of the line of breakers of a never-resting and infinite ocean, eating slowly and everlastingly into the opposing shore of an infinite and inert continent. But that metaphor does not help me much, beyond picturing what, in their view, is the small- ness in amount of actual life with the much larger amount of elements of potential life. It is quite possible that if their confused ideas were worked out by theologians, who in a general way firmly believed in them, and who were able to define on valid grounds the extent of influences that the spirit world exerts over the living world, a very respectable creed might be deduced. Their superstition certainly succeeds, even as it is, in giving a unity of endeavour and a serious- ness of action to the whole population. They have no fear of death. Their funerals are not dismal functions as with us, but are made into occasions for short appreciative speeches dwelling lovingly on the life-work of the deceased. " The houses near the town are practically villas, for the use of town dwellers, each with a small garden for flowers, vegetables and fruit. The extent of garden and agricultural land is about twenty square miles. There are about 500 holdings in all, of a rough general average of 40 acres each. About one half of these are let at a low rent, especially to highly diplomaed parents. Though every married couple has perfect freedom in choosing his residence here, or in emigrating elsewhere, the attractions offered to those who settle in the country are so large and many that the pick of the Collegiates occupy farms or villas. A country life is considered to be so highly conducive to the health and size of families that a large part of the wealth of Kant- saywhere is gladly allotted to its encouragement. It is a great convenience to the Registrar to have so large a part of his charge located close at hand and for his inspectors to have means of easily verifying doubtful statements by conversation with neighbours. Nearly every household undertakes some unpaid office connected with administration and there is abundance of local pride and patriotism in doing this work welL With a less gifted people these customs would hardly answer, but here it is otherwise. " The character of the farming of Kantsaywhere is in many respects such as is described as ruling in Denmark, but for the most part it must bear a closer resemblance to...." Here my fragment breaks off, the remainder having been removed, so that it is not possible to say what agricultural system Galton thought superior to that of Denmark. Galton himself wrote very little of " Kantsaywhere " down ; he dictated it to his Secretary, and was much diverted by his own characters. On one occasion he had to be reminded that he had already killed a personage, whom he badly needed later, and accordingly, much to his amusement, the slaughter had to be revised. It is needful here to recall a point which Galton as an anthropologist strongly insisted on. He held that any form of superstition held by a tribe or nation as a whole — even the worst type of fetishism — was a source of strength to the believing group. A religion might be false, but anthro- pologically it was better than no religion*. Galton was a firm agnostic, that is to say while fully recognising the infinite mystery behind life, and indeed behind the physical cosmos as well, he did not think that man could fill the void either by his own reasoning or by revelation of a transcendental kind. Nevertheless he believed that every nation required its peculiar "superstition," and he devised in the above paragraph a curious one for the inhabitants of Kantsaywhere. It appears to * See pp. 88-89 above. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 425 centre in what I have termed the " Generant " of the stirp*, the composite individual who represents the entire ancestry of any person. Galton thinks of this in connection with his composite photography, and then intro- duces these Generants as an improved version of the Chinese worship of ancestors. They were to act as conscience to the new generation, in a land where each citizen studied and was proud of his forehears. That Galton himself thought of this spirit world as more than a valuable " superstition " I very much doubt. (18) Further Letters o/1910, concerning Eugenics, etc. The Rectory, Haslemere. January 1, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, What a noble New Year's greeting you send uie ! I prize it among the highest of honours, for it will he a landmark in the path of progress of Eugenics. How I admire the forcible and confident beats of your mathematical wings ! Certainly, as vou have phrased it, to Francis Galton, not " Sir," which under the circumstances sounds like tinsel. I rejoice in your work all the more, as it covers and includes much that 1 dearly wanted to see done, but had not strength or capacity to do. Biometrika is just the most suitable form of publication, toof. You must kindly tell me soon about my contribution to the Eugenics Laboratory for 1911, about which Hartog will wish to know. I am quite prepared to go on as before if you see your way to its continuance, either in the present or in some modified form, consequent on the possibility of Heron wishing to follow an independent line, or more especially to your own desire to be freed from the care of its oversight (I hope not). Give please my warmest wishes for the New Year to all your party. Wee Ling prospers and grows, and is a favourite. He enjoys a dry bone to chew. What an inexpensive and wholesome Lord Mayor's banquet might be provided if the Guests were supplied each with a plate and a dry bone, and nothing else ! The half sheet of a letter that was mistakenly sent to you, has since been identified. Ever affectionately and gratefully yours, Francis Galton. 7, Well Road, Hampstead, N.W. January 9, 1910. My dear Francis Galton, I hope you will not have thought me ungrateful in not replying to your very kind letter before. But I have been very, very busy. Fundamentally trying to get another chapter of the piebalds — i.e. one on the albinotic skin and dealing with pied folk and leucoderma and modern and ancient theories of pigment changes — to press. It is practically finished to-day— my last day of holiday. I have also revised in proof 80 pages on albinism in the negro; got Miss Elderton's paper on parental alcoholism finally passed and to press; and written 20 pages of suggestions to Heron for his big memoir. In addition I have read 10 papers for Biometrika and had to refuse four, which is always unpleasant for it makes foes. I have another half-dozen papers which want writing up and will again be postponed. I don't know whether I told you that last September old Dr Crewdson Benington died. He had been working in the Laboratory for two years, nothing finished, and a wheelbarrowful of manuscripts on skull measurements have come from his friends — "to be edited and finished." He was a curious old fellow — really able in many ways and affectionate, but difficult. He had divorced his wife, and his life was a failure, but he just settled down in the Biometric Laboratory and worked like a lad of 20, and I think we more or less kept hirn on the tracks. He came four years ago and then disappeared to the upper reaches of the Amazon, but Biometry brought him back again ! The last two years he worked away without a break — and then last long vacation he was all alone in London and there was nobody to look after him. Poor old fellow, I always feel that if I had had time to write him weekly letters, he would still have been measuring skulls ! * See our pp. 20-21, 29. f See our pp. 392-397 above, p g in 54 426 Life and Letters of Francis Galton We have got the scheme for recording eyesight and home-environment of Jewish children started. But we want more volunteer social workers. We propose doing 800 boys and 800 girls, but seeing and scheduling 500 or 600 homes will be a heavy task for one worker, Miss Rosenheim. I wish we could find a couple more Jewish ladies. Then I have been interviewing a Prison Commissioner to try and get an extension of the time for those working at the Criminal Statistics. I have recently found some rather good Eugenics materials — on the lives of girls committed to Industrial Schools and afterwards followed for perhaps 6 to 10 years. Also very good material on physically defective children in Liverpool which I hope to get access to — they keep a fairly full account of the parents and what becomes of the children. Did you see Major Darwin's address 1 It seemed to me quite well put and likely to do good. I have put in the " New Year's Greeting " a paragraph suggesting the sort of statistics that are needed, and hope to let you have a revise as soon as the diagrams are engraved. It is very good of you to say so much about the paper. My regret is that I am so slow in fulfilling requests and suggestions. Now as to the Laboratory. Of course I want very much to see it go on and develop. The time is ripe for this sort of work and if we make it a success, it will be taken up at other places and then a real knowledge of what makes for true national greatness will be reached. Heron will certainly, I think, leave this year. His big paper is completed. He has grown a good deal, and has been very sympathetic and helpful. He has been helping much more in the laboratories and did quite good teaching work with the six workers we had in the Laboratory last term. I have got to try and find him a berth, but I think it ought to be possible. I expect a medical officer will come for training this term and there are sure to be one or two others. Miss Elderton also has done a good deal of teaching work last term. Miss Rosenheim, who is to do the Jewish homes, was in her charge ; Miss Barrows, who has gone out to Jamaica to investigate the characteristics of half-breeds, and Miss Jones were both more or less in her hands. I hope Miss Jones will come back and take up the Industrial School girls — it would be a good bit of work. We want badly these trained social workers to go out and work for the Laboratory. But we have made a beginning. I think the work has been very good all round this last term and we really had not a vacant seat some days in the week. Unfortunately Miss Ryley got rheumatic fever, and this checked the Treasury work till I found Miss Jones was very excellent at drawing pedigrees. Harelip is done, the section on Cataract nearly done, and Haemophilia and Dwarfism practically complete and ready for engraving. Miss Barrington has prepared nearly 100 pedigrees of ataxy and atrophy and muscular failures. So that the Treasury has material ready for at least another year. I think really there has been a great deal of very thorough and honest work done and that is why I lament outside criticism (!) of the kind that has appeared from inside the Eugenics fold. I hope you were not disgusted with the Standard notice. The interviewer cut out a long bit in the middle of the article and stuck the two halves together crudely ! I hate being interviewed, but he said Hartog wished it when I refused the first time. I think we ought to consider the right man to succeed Heron, if you settle to go forward. You might see when you come back to Town one or two of the men working in the Biometric Laboratory now. L — , who is a clear-headed Cambridge mathematician, has had an engineering training, but has been two years doing statistical work. I consider him very good. And M — , who has been also two years, is a very strenuous person and distinctly able, but he has not specialised as yet on man, and is rather rougher in manner. I am glad to hear about Wee Ling. We miss our puppies very much and I fear we shall not have, as we had hoped, another litter this January. Even the matrimony of dogs is not always a success ! No more now. You will hardly read through all this. Always affectionately yours, K. P. The Rectory, Haslemere. February 26, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, The sale of the Eugenics Laboratory memoirs and papers is very gratifying and encouraging. You will doubtless receive suggestions as to the kind of change that would make the Treasury more sought after. X.'s article does not impress me, because he has made no proper study of the "positive" aids to Eugenics. He sent me a programme of a recent lecture in which the "positive " influences were hardly alluded to. I wrote, and pointed that out to him, but it was too late. Removal of influences that obstruct fertility is positive Eugenics. No one has yet studied the conditions under which a population has made sudden Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 427 advances, and there are many such cases — after pestilences — in colonies — etc. The way in which the Dutchmen of the Cape multiplied was remarkable. Hopefulness seems a powerful aid ; despondence is a powerful check. Have you seen Whetham's singularly clear and powerful lecture, delivered at Trinity College, Cambridge, of which he is a tutor 1 If you have not, I would send you my copy to read. Bernard Shaw is about to give a lecture to the Eugenics Education Society. It is to be hoped that he will be under self-control and not be too extravagant. Wee Ling now weighs 16| lbs., and though usually the reverse of aggressive, flew at a bigger puppy than himself of a commoner breed, to the loudly-expressed disapprobation of its owners, who were taking him for a walk. All goes on as usual with us. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. The Rectory, Haslemere. March 6, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, We hope to be back for good at 42, Rutland Gate, on March 21st (Easter being March 27). It would be only too delightful if you could come and see me during that week. Select your own date and I will make my plans suit. Possibly you might be persuaded to spend a quiet night with us 1 Will you 1 Eva and I had doubts as to where the pretty card with the quotation from Meredith came from. We suspected it was Mrs Pearson, now that I know, please thank her from me, gratefully. A letter from Heron about the antagonism of leading members of the Eugenics Education Society makes me unhappy. A quotation from a paper by Dr Slaughter justifies his contention fully. The passage seems to me inappropriate, untrue and in the worst taste. I have written to Mrs Gotto, who sees much of him, to point out this privately to him and otherwise to help in the cause of harmony. I don't like, just yet, to take a stronger course. How unwise many people are ! Like you, I in my small way have been a little plagued by retarded printing. An article of mine, long in type, will I expect really appear in this week's Nature. The profiles in it may amuse you. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. The Rectory, Haslemere. March 10, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, Heron's paper on Environment and Intelligence is indeed a credit to the Laboratory. How greatly he has improved, under your eye and help, since he first came. There is a weight and fulness in his writing now, that can hardly, I think, be further improved. I do not write to him myself, simply as a matter of discipline. It is better that praise should come from you or through you. I have done all I can, within reasonable limits, to put a stop to the vagaries of members of the Council of the Eugenics Education Society, in which I am warmly seconded by Crackanthorpe and Mrs Gotto. Bernard Shaw* has been another difficulty but I trust that matters will now improve. // they had the men, the Society might do really good work in emphasising such points as those brought forward by Heron, whether on the incompleteness of the present school statistics, or, as in a former paper, on the registration of the insane. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. March 25, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, We are safe back and I have now thrown off some bad effects of the little journey. Do come soon. Wee Ling is grown, of course, and Miss Biggs is very fond of him. But London is a bad place for pet dogs and Wee Ling cannot be trusted loose, as he runs wildly after stray dogs to play with them. We think of finding a home for him during the summer and have two possibilities in view. According to the first plan, he would be taken by my niece, Violet Galton, to Warwickshire on Tuesday next and be left with my nephew, Edward Wheler, who is knowing about dogs, acting as Judge in some great shows and sending his retrievers to win prizes at others. So if you could come here Saturday, Sunday or Monday you would see the little creature before he goes. Fix your own time. I have no engagements and am always rejoiced to see you. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. * Anecdotes of the famous have always a peculiar flavour. The Eugenics Education Society had asked Bernard Shaw to give a lecture, and some members of its Council had been somewhat in doubt about the matter. All Galton's contribution to the quandary was : " I don't mind good jokes, but Bernard Shaw makes such bad ones." 54—2 428 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. April 6, 1910. Dictated. My dear Karl Pearson, I have been so knocked about with cough, that I am still unfit for almost anything, with ever so much in arrear. I did not even wish you a happy return for your birthday, nor have I been as eager as I should be to hear about Wee Ling. It is joyful news that he gets on so well with you all*. I feel a sort of apology is due for having wandered so far from my regular track as to write the article in Nature, but I wished to finish off such bits of unfinished work as I could hope to achieve. As you say, life does not seem long enough for all the possibilities of interesting work. I feel like Tennyson's Ulysses : " Life piled on life Were all too little, and of one to me Little remains." So please count my apparent vagaries as merely an attempt to get some things now in disorder into shipshape form before I die. If I find, as I expect to do, that Miss Jones can be trusted with the work you suggest and which is precisely one of the things I had in view, I will set her steadily at it. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. P.S. I am so sorry I forgot to send a card about Uncle Frank's health, but I have been in bed with fever three days. E. B. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. May 7, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, The King's death will throw much out of gear, and may prove a disaster to our country ! The account you give of an apparent wish of the University of London authorities to dissever Eugenics, so far as locality is concerned, from Biometry, seems to me most unfortunate for the former. It may be logical to unite it with Sociology, but practically it would almost give a death-blow to its scientific status. Whenever you think I could intervene with advantage, pray tell me. I had seen the New Age and was vexed at Dr S.'s remarks. The allusion by the Editor to myself and to my letter may be quite correct, but I cannot properly recall the circum- stances, owing to having had recently to reply to 2, 3 or more letters in the sense " I sympathise with your object, but am too infirm to give any active help." The Council of the Eugenics Education Society have, I learn, extruded Dr S. by not putting his name on the candidate list. As I am told, certain members of the Council strongly objected to serving longer with him, and Mrs G. undertook to tell him so, which she did, doubtless with all practicable tact, but I have reason to know his feelings are much wounded. He however spoke very nicely to Mrs G. Like yourself I missed the notice of Mr Justice Parker's lecture in the Times, and I am sorry. Craokanthorpe's address, as it appeared in the Times summary, was weak, but a little better in the original, which I read. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. May 11, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, Saleeby's letter to the Pall Mall lies near the frontier between "do-nothing" and "do-something." I wish that somebody, other than our two selves, could lie posted up to reply to him. I am still in favour of " doing-nothing " ourselves. Whatever either of us might write, would be responded to and the issue be perplexed. Perhaps some opportunity may arise before long of pronouncing emphatically on all such inapt criticisms as those indulged in by C. W. S. and showing their futility. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. June 9, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, Your letter is a useful reminder, but you must not accuse your- self of having forgotten to tell me any part of its contents. Enclosed I send the pestilent copy of the New Age. Do not trouble to return it. I am very glad to have made it now clear to them that I will not take any part in it. Now, will you pardon me if I ask for a few minutes of your time, to look over the little memoir herewith enclosed. I may be a fool, but I think the simple results to be both new and important. Are they so, or merely rubbish, or anything between? Ever affectionately, Francis Galton. * He had rejoined us at Hampstead. Eugenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Gallon's Life 429 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. June 10, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, You are over-good to have taken such pains about my little problem. It shall now lie in a state of suspended animation. I must think well over the doubt you point out, whether the m^, etc. might be taken as of equally probable occurrence. At present, the difficulty does not strike me as it should. On all the other points I am fairly well prepared to give justification and explanation. Once again very many thanks. The Timeti of to-day contains no rejoinder by Crackanthorpe to your paper, but he sent in the morning for a copy of your memoir, which I lent him. Affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. June 23, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, Hartog came here yesterday and gave a most satisfying account of the friendly disposition of the University towards the Laboratory. I especially asked him whether there was anything in the supposition that it was proposed to transfer it to Sociology. It is quite unfounded, so he assured me. Then he went on about the enlargement of the accommodation, by buying the next house and bridging across, at a cost of £1 500. After he left, I thought that perhaps (if you thought it pressing) I might hasten this if I offered £750 on condition of the University supplying the rest. So T wrote privately to him to that effect, asking if he and the Principal thought it probable the money could be raised, adding that I made the offer subject to your approval, for though I had heard of the scheme from you I did not know exactly how far you approved of it. Hartog replies in a letter, just received, that T should consult you at once. So I do, hereby. I feel much less disposed to offer this money uncon- ditionally than under the proviso that the University should meet it by an equal contribution. I shall think of you all — including dogs — to-morrow evening. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. June 27, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, I can assure you that I acted proprio motu and that Hartog had not given the slightest hint, direct or indirect, on the matter. He came, partly to explain a misapprehension which, for some reason, he thought I was under, that the ultimate direction of the affairs of the Laboratory was circuitous. On the contrary, he assured me it was direct through the small Committee and thence to the Senate. Partly it was a personal visit, and I naturally asked many questions. Afterwards, turning over what he had told me, I wrote the letter. I have now written again to him wholly exonerating him from the suspicion of having, in any way, suggested that I should give more at present, adding that seeing, now, that matters were more complicated than I supposed, I would withdraw the offer. But that it might be repeated, probably in an altered form, if it seemed likely to draw an equal or larger contribution from or through the agency of the University, to match it. Both my letters to Hartog were "private." So glad to hear the Soiree was a success. Affectionately, Francis Galton. 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. July 4, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, Thanks for both of your sendings, (1) the cutting from the Medical Times, which I return, (2) for the letter — how on earth it ever reached you is a mystery — from Eva Biggs' servant (and more than servant), who is now married and settled in New Zealand. Yesterday I got together to tea, Miss Elderton, Crackanthorpe and Ploetz. C. made himself very agreeable in a long tete-a-tete with Miss E., but I fear was insufficiently penitent to receive full forgiveness. About my little problem, I was appalled, on re-reading what I sent you, at its crudeness. I was ill when it was dictated and I find that an important sentence must have been omitted. Moreover it is deplorably wrong in one part. Please banish it from your memory and allow me shortly to send you a revised version. I have had two baddish days, mostly in bed, but am better and was fit for yesterday's tea. Eva is out all to-day, at and about Haslemere, looking at houses for the autumn there, of which we have had some offers. I trust that Yorkshire retains its attractiveness to you all. We have here thunderstorms and most un-Julylike weather. I have not ventured out of doors for more than a week. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. 430 Life and Letters of Francis Gallon 42, Rutland Gate, S.W. August 4, 1910. My dear Kabl Pearson, It is pleasant to hear that you are thriving in Yorkshire. I am still in London, not going to Grayshott until August 16. We have had much of very unenjoy- able weather, but the last 3 days have been pleasant. Asthma has plagued me, but I stave off the worst bouts now, by smoking a cigarette of bhang (Indian hemp-hashish). It is curious to perceive the spreading of the narcotic effect over the lungs and everywhere. Q. and his elder brother have just had tea here. He is simply a beautiful youth, of the very best Jewish type — simple and very intelligent. He thinks that there is a mine of information bearing on Eugenics that could easily be worked in Manchester, and said that he would like to write to you about it. I encouraged him to do so. So you will understand. I heard from him about his Russian and mystical Grandfather and the Kabbala (? spelling). — A good spiritualistic story is told of him. So Marshall is at you again now, and with reinforcements about to come on the scene ! Anyhow he is a worthy antagonist. What pleasure and health you must have given Miss Elderton. Ever most affectionately, Francis Galton. Kindest remembrances to you all. The Court, Grayshott, Haslemere. August 18, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, At last I am most happily settled. Your letter reached me in London just before motoring here. I had to spend that afternoon and all yesterday in bed, but am now up and eager, having got over a horrid asthma ! It is pleasant to hear of your excellent weather and of much else. You know of course of the treatment bestowed on a big dog for sheep-chasing, viz. coupling him to an old ram, but Wee Ling's life would soon be pounded out of him in that way. It is too bad of V'ictor Horsley. Of course Crackanthorpe's letter justifies him, but I feel myself to be incidentally referred to. If ever I know of any such direct reference, I will certainly disavow it. You must be glad at feeling in sight of the end of Albinism — yet it suggests something more in respect to Melanism. I wonder whether the singular blackness in the R. family has been traced to a negro ancestor? I mean the present Lord R. and most of his sisters. His father also was very dark. You will like Q., I am sure, when you know him personally. He is as modest as he is capable. The tuberculous inquiry will not, I imagine, cause so great an outcry as the alcoholic. You have accustomed people to suspect the truth of current beliefs. I wonder what Sir Donald MacAlister thinks of all this 1 He is very favourably disposed towards Eugenics and is, as you know, a vigorous mathematician. Try and excuse this bad writing. It is performed on a board, while sitting in a wheel chair, and with a scratchy pen, brought to me. Very best wishes to you all. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. In October of this year the attacks on the work of the Eugenics Laboratory were in full progress and Galton wrote the letters to The Times and the British Journal of Inebriety cited on pp. 408-9 above. He was peculiarly moved by the half-hints made by certain writers to the press that he was out of sympathy with the work of the Eugenics Laboratory. All my letters to him directed to Haslemere in the last year of his life together with most of the letters he received during the same period appear to have been destroyed after his death, probably when Grayshott House was restored to its owners. Thus the correspondence for this last year must appear one- sided. Etigenics as a Creed and the Last Decade of Galton's Life 431 The Court, Grayshott, Haslemere. October 30, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, Will the enclosed draft of a letter to the Times fulfil what you think desirable 1 Pray make suggestions freely. I have heard from X. in a long " private " letter replying to what I sent him. He writes nicely but impenitently*. He is about to give numerous lectures. Very asthmatically, but affectionately yours, Francis Galton. X. is no longer even a member of the Eugenics Education Society. 48, Grosvenor Street. November 8, 1910. My dear Galton, I must write a line, as one of your oldest friends f, to congratulate you on the great honour of the Copley Medal. I hope you have been keeping well. Yours very sincerely, Avebury. Grayshott House, Haslemere. November 13, 1910. This will henceforth be my address. My dear Karl Pearson, You must indeed have been " rushed " as you say. The Press cuttings reached me of the letters of you and the antagonists, whom it seems to me you bowl over easily. Thanks about the Royal Society. I shall not, could not, attend however much I wished it, and had thought of asking you, if Sir George Darwin failed, to receive the medal on my behalf. But he tvill, anyhow, be there. So I have asked him to do so. People die so fast that I can find only five other living Englishmen, with Copley after their names, in the Royal Society list of Fellows ; they are — Sir Joseph Hooker, Lord Lister, Lord Rayleigh, Sir William Crookes, Alfred R. Wallace. How age counts! Thank the Staff for me for their joint telegram of congratulations. There is no news here that you would care for. What a political turmoil is at hand ! Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Grayshott House, Haslemere. December 6, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, Who is Mr Snow? You seem to have found a worker after your own heart. I wish that you or he could throw more light on the paradox that cousins are no more unlike than uncles and nephews. It would seem a reasonable deduction that cousins to the nth degree are as much alike as first cousins. Then, again, statistics make out (unless I am quite wrong) that husbands and wives are as much alike as first cousins. I wish you could clear my puzzled mind. Also one wants to know more precisely about the compound effect of hereditary influences. What is that of bi-parental — of the same kind — as compared with uni-parental 1 What is that of all four grand paren tal + bi-parental? and so forth. The whole lot together cannot exceed 10 J. I congratulate you on the last number of Biometrika. How are you all ? Your Winchester son will soon be with you. All goes on quietly here, but I am not allowed out of doors in such weather as we have recently had. In fact, I have been imprisoned now for 1 4 days and begin to crave for open air. Sir Archibald Geikie comes not infrequently over the 5 hilly miles that separate his house from mine, and tells me scientific news. If you care to rear a breed of dogs who eat woollen cloth, there is one in this house that does so. He began by nibbling off and swallowing the lappet of my man-nurse's coat, who had been caressing him, and subsequently found his way into the butler's pantry at night, and ran away with a beautiful new pair of trousers of mine, dragged them to his kennel and gnawed out a pieoe bigger than the palm of my hand and ate it. It has strained my Xmas feelings to pardon him ! * Galton's singular gentleness of disposition rarely allowed him to give expression to some of his deeper feelings about the proceedings of certain of his rasher self-styled followers. One incident, however, has been preserved: a letter came at mealtime; it went flying across the dinner table with the exclamation, " My disciple indeed ! " t Lord Avebury was 76 years old, twelve years younger than Galton, but they had been associated in many projects. J It seems to me now in the light of experimental determinations that it can, and that this is the source of progressive evolution when small groups are isolated or there is intensive in-breeding. 432 Life and Letters of Francis Galton It is wonderful how skilfully my tailor has patched the hole. The "fine-drawing " of the edges of the patch are invisible without scrutiny, such as no stranger would venture to make* ! I do hope all is well with you. Send me a line, even on a postcard. Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. Grayshott House, Haslemere. December 14, 1910. My dear Karl Pearson, We are delighted that you can come. You will be most welcome as early as is convenient to you on the 28th, and as late as you care to stay on the 29th. The Report of the Committee to the Senate, which I return, gives solid grounds for its application for a further grant to Eugenics and I am glad it was written by Hartogt, as it shows that the opinions of the Chief Executive Officer are strongly in its favour. Few things would gratify me more than that you should be relieved from the drudgery of teaching engineering students, etc., and be kept free for Biometry and Eugenics. I return the Report, which I cordially approve, wishing, in vain, that I was familiar with the hidden springs by which the Senate of the London University is moved and was able to give indirect influence towards its acceptance. Snow has kindly sent me an off-print of his Memoir. Poor TongJ! Ever affectionately yours, Francis Galton. (19) The Last Scenes. Galton had fretted his one hour upon Life's stage; the panorama, to use his own simile, had reached its final turn on the roller. This was the last letter I received from Francis Galton. On December the 28th and 29th I was with him at Grayshott. The weather was favourable and we sat out in the sunshine, Galton warmly wrapped up, talking about the work of the Eugenics Laboratory, the shortcomings of some members of the Council of the Eugenics Education Society, which were much troubling him, and again about the grave reaction against Darwinian evolution. One thing I remember very well, Galton's intense pleasure about the Copley Medal (I had not seen him since the award) and the numerous friendly congratulations he had received, even from some who had long passed from his circle. At dinner the conversation took a lighter tone. We had two recent converts to the Catholic Church, and we gravely considered why the Devil devotes so much more attention to Catholic than to Protestant countries and individuals. " You don't stick a knife into Professor Y. or Dr X. as I should probably try to do in your place," interjected one ardent convert. " That is because I have not your security for absolution," I urged, and added : " Is your main thesis correct, did not the Devil disturb Martin Luther when he wanted to get on with his own work ? I fear other minor devils cause me also to waste good ink." Galton took his full part in the talk. He seemed to me physically frail, but mentally active, and I saw no greater cause for anxiety than at * The following letter from Galton's tailors may serve to give colouring to the incident : 10, Clifford Street, Bond Street, W. December 14, 1910. Sir Francis Galton, Sir, We have received the pair of Trousers and are carefully repairing the holes torn by the dog, which we are pleased to learn has been placed in eternal exile. They will be forwarded to you as quickly as possible. We remain, Sir, Your obedient servants, Stclz, Binnie & Co. t Galton was under a misunderstanding; it would be the Report on the Galton Laboratory based upon material provided by its Director. I An albino bitch I had been obliged to send to a painless death owing to the development of an incurable disease. She was the mother of Wee Ling. PLATE XL Francis Galton, aged 88, from a sketch made by Frank Carter, twelve days before Galton's death. - X JS PLEASE DO NOT REMOVE CARDS OR SLIPS FROM THIS POCKET UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO LIBRARY Q H3 G3P4 v.3a Physical & .- Pearson, Karl The life, letters and labours of Francis Galton